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Call In the Military To Blast Rogue Satellite?

coondoggie submitted a follow-up to the tale of the wandering satellite that might collide with other stuff in orbit. He asks "Will the military need to be called in to blow up the rogue Intelsat satellite meandering through Earth's orbit? Or maybe a NASA Space Shuttle could swing by and grab it? You may recall that in 2008, rather than risk that a large piece of a failing spy satellite would fall on populated areas, the government blasted it out of the sky. The physics of such a shot were complicated and the Navy had a less than 10-second window to hit the satellite as it passed over its ships in the Pacific Ocean. But it worked. Now word comes that a five-year-old Intelsat TV satellite is meandering in orbit and attempts to control it have proven futile. At issue now is that the satellite could smash into other satellites or ramble into other satellite orbits and abscond with their signals."

24 of 243 comments (clear)

  1. U.S. Air Force to the rescue! by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Well, I guess now at least we know what the launch of that secretive X-37B Air Force shuttle was for. So we should be safe, assuming that a PS3 update doesn't screw up its aiming system.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:U.S. Air Force to the rescue! by nospam007 · · Score: 4, Funny

      The satellite is Luxembourg-owned, which has an army of 600 soldiers, 2 cannons and no plane, so I don't see that happening.

    2. Re:U.S. Air Force to the rescue! by NonSenseAgency · · Score: 5, Informative

      The X-37B, the Space Shuttle, all current anti-satellite missiles, in short all systems that the military currently acknowledges having cannot reach far enough to "destroy" the satellite. Such an outcome is not even desirable as it would turn the satellite into a field of orbiting buckshot that would "mostly" remain in the same orbit. Which is to say some would not and would inevitably impact nearby satellites and possibly create more problems. Likewise, hitting it with a ground based laser, although probably doable, would not be a good idea. As it stands now, the satellite will not come back to Earth, there is no danger of reentry. It will most likely end up at the Lagrange point as has already been stated.

    3. Re:U.S. Air Force to the rescue! by apoc.famine · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Until it passes in front of stars, planets, or the moon, or the sun reflects off it. 2-3 observations over a few hours is plenty enough to pin down an orbit. Changing orbit takes a fair bit of energy. While I assume this can do it, it can't do it all the time.

      Stealth works for airplanes because they can change altitude and direction easily. It's not nearly as useful for stuff in orbit.

      Like I said, there's not much to hide behind in space. Unless the X-37 is transparent, it's not going to hide in orbit.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    4. Re:U.S. Air Force to the rescue! by elrous0 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Did I mention that the U.S. has the unwavering support of the Canadian mounties? Yeah, not talking so tough *now* are you, Luxembourg?

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  2. No, and no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    As was clearly stated the last time we had this exact discussion:

    - far too high for the space shuttle
    - most assuredly too high for most anti-sat missiles

  3. 1 big bit vs many many little bits by RichMan · · Score: 3, Informative

    Stuff does not deorbit like a syfy movie.

    I would think the tightly contained 1 big bit of a satellite is much safer than the thousands of little tiny parts in all sorts of orbits you are going to get if you try and destroy the one big bit.

    1. Re:1 big bit vs many many little bits by tlhIngan · · Score: 3, Insightful

      many little bits have much more surface area which increases friction to cause it to fall to Earth much quicker and have a much much higher chance of burning up completely on the way down.

      Problem is, there's a period of time when those little bits are made from that one big bit, and when those little bits deorbit. During that time, those little bits can choose to impact other satellites in the same or lower orbits, which causes the impacted satellites to have more little bits ripped off and sent flying around.

      That's one of the big problems we have right now - we could reach a point where space junk contributes to making more space junk by destroying working satellites which cause a nice chain reaction as that new space junk has increased the chances a satellite will get hit.

      The other thing is Galaxy 15 is at or near GEO. Which means those pieces will take a long time to deorbit, and with random orbits there's a good change they'll take out other satellites in GEO as well. Best to just let it naturally find a new equilibrium position at one of the Lagrange points. At least if it breaks up there those pieces will tend to stay there.

    2. Re:1 big bit vs many many little bits by colonelquesadilla · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yeah but it's in geostationary orbit, that's way up there, it's not like in LEO where you still get a lot of atmospheric drag.

      --
      It's either false dichotomies, or the terrorists win, you decide.
    3. Re:1 big bit vs many many little bits by idontgno · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Friction? In a Clarke orbit?

      The only interactions the "many little bits" are likely to participate in would have unpredictable orbital effects (like boosting fragments into more elliptical but semi-stable orbits, threatening more orbital space), and also more likely to have cause high-velocity collision damage to other spacecraft at the same orbital altitude and node.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
  4. Satellite Hunting License . . . by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 4, Funny

    With "privatize the space industry" all in vogue these days, the government should issue Satellite Hunting Licenses to private companies, with $$$ prizes for taking it out.

    Let the private sector nail that varmint!

    --
    Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
  5. Shuttle? by TamCaP · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The part about the shuttle is obviously a joke, right? It can barely make it to the LEO, it is not able to reach a very highly located geosynchronous orbit. + why would you want to risk the lives of the crew and send a completely crazy unscheduled mission? And for some cheapo (in space terms) comms satellite? If they will send anything, it will be an unmanned mission, but even this is unlikely.

  6. They can't by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 5, Informative

    The US doesn't appear to have a system capable of destroying something at that orbit.

    Now the first paragraph in the article is just full of ignorance.

    "Will the military need to be called in to blow up the rogue Intelsat satellite meandering through Earth's orbit? Or maybe a NASA Space Shuttle could swing by and grab it?"

    Again, the military hasn't demonstrated the ability to hit things in that orbit. The Shuttle can't go that high.

    The F-15 launched ASM-135 ASAT - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ASM-135_ASAT - could go up to 350 miles.
    USA-193 was destroyed at 130 miles

    Galaxy 15 is at 22,230 miles

    1. Re:They can't by denis-The-menace · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Even if the US would have such a capability they would not tip their hand to show it off.
      Why show your enemies what you can really do?

      --
      Obama's legacy: (N)othing (S)ecure (A)nywhere and (T)error (S)imulation (A)dministration
    2. Re:They can't by glwtta · · Score: 4, Funny

      The F-15 launched ASM-135 ASAT - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ASM-135_ASAT [wikipedia.org] - could go up to 350 miles.

      Galaxy 15 is at 22,230 miles


      So that just means you need 64 of them, right?

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
  7. Lasers? by oodaloop · · Score: 4, Funny

    What if everyone on earth pointed their laser pointers at it at the same time? It would have at least as good a chance as sending the space shuttle.

    --
    Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
  8. Re:When China does it... by eldavojohn · · Score: 4, Informative

    When China does it, the world protests. all the space junk created. However, when the US does it, it's to save other satellites.

    The US did it before China and people were very critical:

    The official explanation – that the US wanted to prevent the toxic contents of the spacecraft's fuel tank from hitting the ground – seems a bit thin, according to James Lewis, director of the technology and public policy program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Thus critics from around the world have speculated about ulterior motives, ranging from a desire to test US ballistic missile defenses to poking China in the eye.

    It's a sort of anti-satellite arms race and status thing between two super power. Or in playground terms, the two assholes are having a dick measuring contest.

    --
    My work here is dung.
  9. Best to move it by MpVpRb · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Blowing it up would create a huge cloud of debris...very bad.

    It's in geostationary orbit (~22000 miles), so it's way beyond the shuttle altitude.

    Maybe somebody could develop a small space "tug" that could be launched to intercept it, and gently push it out of the way?

    Probably a lot harder to actually do than to speculate about, and it would probably take years, and cost millions.

    So...no easy answers.

  10. Re:When China does it... by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 5, Informative

    Well, the two shots were Apples and Oranges.

    USA-193 was in a decaying orbit at 130 miles and most of the debris de orbited within a couple weeks. It was hit by a small SM-3 surface to air missile, 21 feet long, 3,000 pounds

    FY-1C was in a stable polar orbit at 537 miles and it's destruction increased the amount of space debris by 12%. The missile that hit it was a DF-21, 35 feet long, 30,000 pounds

  11. What about by Dyinobal · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Okay I'm not an expert on how they get satellites up to geosynchronous orbit, but it seems to me the most expedient way would be to re-purpose what ever delivery system they use to get the things up there in the first place.

  12. Re:#3: would cause huge amount of debris by jd · · Score: 4, Funny

    If this stops satellite TV stations from polluting the skies with gameshows and comedies, I'm all in favour of blowing the satellite up in the way that causes the worst debris field possible.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  13. Re:When China does it... by clone53421 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Thanks. I came here to ask whether this didn’t just increase the space debris and your comment pretty well answered my question.

    --
    Alexander Peter Kristopeit bought his basement from his mommy for one dollar.
  14. Very, verrrrrrry bad idea by Goldenhawk · · Score: 3, Informative

    In case you don't remember, stuff traveling at orbital velocities is positively lethal to spacecraft. The extreme energies involved in these kinds of impacts is enough to send very high velocity fragments in all directions. Sure, some of it will de-orbit, but most will end up in fairly stable orbits that will EVENTUALLY intersect all the other satellites up there. So blowing up one rogue satellite makes one very annoying but eminently predictable problem into a thousand lethal and unpredictable problems.

    Last February, a Russian satellite hit a commercial Iridium satellite, and the resulting debris cloud (estimated near 600 pieces in various orbits) has been a HUGE headache for everyone in similar orbital altitudes.
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123438921888374497.html
    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/29147679/

    In 2008, the US got criticized around the world for blowing up a falling satellite because of the health threats of hydrazine if it landed in a populated area. Aside from complaints about military showboating, there were many scientists who complained about the resulting orbital debris; however, in reality it was a very low-altitude explosion and the debris cloud did de-orbit very quickly (unlike a geosynchronous orbit explosion, which would leave practically permanent debris due to the orbit well above any appreciable atmospheric drag).
    http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_6712/is_35_237/ai_n29417848/

    Read here for some details on the general problems with orbital debris.
    http://illuminations.nctm.org/LessonDetail.aspx?id=L376

    So no more helpful suggestions like this, please.

    --
    --Brandon / Split Infinity Music

  15. Obligatory XKCD: Gravity Wells by starglider29a · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://xkcd.com/681_large/
    In particular, look at the panel of Earth, which is under Uranus and Neptune, lower right.

    Geez, XKCD should win the Pulitzer Prize for this graphic. If a picture is worth a KiloWord, this is worth a MegaWord of explanation. This should be required viewing in all 8th Grade science classes.