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The Sun's Odd Behavior

gyrogeerloose writes "Most of us know about the sun's eleven-year activity cycle. However, relatively few other than scientists (and amateur radio operators) are aware that the current solar minimum has lasted much longer than expected. The last solar cycle, Cycle 24, bottomed out in 2008, and Cycle 25 should be well on its way towards maximum by now, but the sun has remained unusually quiescent with very few sunspots. While solar physicists agree that this is odd, the explanation remains elusive."

285 comments

  1. Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    This is clear to everyone except the Denialists.

    1. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Correlation is not causation!! (The slashdot favorite that is quoted constantly for wrong reasons...)

    2. Re:Global warming is the cause by binarylarry · · Score: 4, Funny

      No it's worse than that.

      ITS GALACTIC WARMING!

      We're doomed, the end is nigh!

      --
      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    3. Re:Global warming is the cause by ChipMonk · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Mod parent funny, please. Some thin-skinned dolt doesn't like being the butt of a joke.

    4. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Correlation is not causation!!

      Our computer models will show causation. Coding starts on Tuesday.

    5. Re:Global warming is the cause by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 5, Funny

      Worse yet, it's Anthrogenic Galactic Warming. It's all the fault of Western Civilization.

      *pounds on bongo drum in protest*

    6. Re:Global warming is the cause by WED+Fan · · Score: 1

      We're doomed, the end is night !

      There, corrected it for you.

      --
      Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong fix.
    7. Re:Global warming is the cause by davester666 · · Score: 3, Funny

      The aliens realized we could hack their systems using TCP/IP, so instead they are just going to slowly boil us off the planet, then reduce the temperature and take all the resources after we die.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    8. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Well somehow I thought it was cycle 23 that finished and cycle 24 being underway... so much for journalistic accuracy. Look for instance here: http://www.solarcycle24.com/

    9. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Not to break off this delightful train of thought, but the problem is that the sun is getting cooler. A lot cooler. It's magnetic field is looking dismal. It hasn't thrown a single plane even slightly off course for years, when predictions were it should have caused at least a few disasters by now (at it's higher intensities it can block radio communcations for weeks, make every compass useless (including ill-shielded gyroscopic ones, so it can even make the instruments in older planes miss where the ground is. Confused instruments and the resulting panicking pilots do not make for safe air traffic), and in simulations it has destroyed every electricity grid on the planet in a matter of seconds). And every day it is cooling and weakening a bit more (this "bit" more meaning you could power Al Gore's electricity bill for a billion years with the "bit" of power that it loses in a nanosecond). It's not yet "oh no it's the end of the world" solar cooling, ... but it's confusing and if it doesn't stop, it won't be long for that.

      And while everyone fully expects the sun to start it's next cycle any second now (it hasn't for 1.5 years now, only a few pathetic false starts), if for any reason it doesn't do so soon there won't be any more global warming for 2010-2020 than there was for 2000-2010, or it might even cool significantly more. And while global warming, in the worst cases, displaces a few coastal cities and makes jungles the size of continents out of deserts (esp. in conjunction with rising co2 levels), global cooling does indeed the reverse (deserts are created by cold, not warm, weather, and the process is sped up by low concentrations of co2 (today's "alarming" concentrations of co2 are still in the "I'd like 10 times that, please" level where plants are concerned)).

      Needless to say, the IPCC's predictions are entirely dependant on the assumption that you could correct cesium clocks by checking the solar cycle.

    10. Re:Global warming is the cause by kheldan · · Score: 1

      ITS GALACTIC WARMING!

      So when they speak of the eventual "heat death" of the Universe, it's not what you think it is?

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    11. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, it is getting cooler because it has been using so much energy lately warming the planets. The sun is just tired.

    12. Re:Global warming is the cause by phoenix321 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Be sure to include stations on sinking sand ground from Hong Kong in the sea level measurements and metropolitan area warming in the temperatures. And tree ring proxy data from errm "selected" trees. Hide the decline and make sure your raw data is only peer-reviewed by YOUR peers.

    13. Re:Global warming is the cause by oldhack · · Score: 1

      No use deriding Moonie-funded shills. Might as well squeeze water out of rocks.

      --
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    14. Re:Global warming is the cause by yyxx · · Score: 1

      Laugh while you can, monkey boy.

    15. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm. Have they tried turning it off and on again?

    16. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Aaah, another one who missed the external review showing those claims to be a load of shit.

      It's OK, go back to burning plastic in your fire, that's not poisonous in any way.

    17. Re:Global warming is the cause by shadowbearer · · Score: 0

      Needless to say, the IPCC's predictions are entirely dependant on the assumption that you could correct cesium clocks by checking the solar cycle.

        That is utter nonsense.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    18. Re:Global warming is the cause by michaelhood · · Score: 1

      Correlation is not causation!!

      Our computer models will show causation. Coding starts on Tuesday.

      be sure to empty your email's trash folder

    19. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Not really. He's talking about a scenario where a very small piece of a very complex curve is taken as a trend. People who tinker with such things as cesium clocks learn very quickly not to infer trends from short observation periods.

    20. Re:Global warming is the cause by BraksDad · · Score: 1

      "All right, but apart from the sanitation, medicine, education, wine, public order, irrigation, roads, the fresh water system and public health, what have the Romans ever done for us?"

      --
      Slowly waving my hand - "This is not the sig you are looking for."
    21. Re:Global warming is the cause by ChrisCampbell47 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Not to break off this delightful train of thought, but the problem is that the sun is getting cooler. A lot cooler. It's magnetic field is looking

      BOOM. Full stop. Train of thought broken. That's a cognitive speedbump, and I stopped reading immediately. If you want people to actually read what you write, especially smart people, then treat the language with respect.

      See the link in my sig below. Yeah, it's a sore point for me, especially around here.

    22. Re:Global warming is the cause by iacvlvs · · Score: 1

      It hasn't thrown a single plane even slightly off course for years, when predictions were it should have caused at least a few disasters by now

      I think it's taken some time off interfering with planes to go after cars.

      --
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    23. Re:Global warming is the cause by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      It hasn't thrown a single plane even slightly off course for years, when predictions were it should have caused at least a few disasters by now

      I think it's taken some time off interfering with planes to go after cars.

      And space probes but I think it is cosmic rays which do that and if anything a cool sun allows more cosmic rays into the solar system so that could be a problem for us right now.

    24. Re:Global warming is the cause by phoenix321 · · Score: 1

      The world would be a happier place if "Anthropogenic Global Warming" was as easy to analyze as the toxic fumes some plastic gives off when burned in an open pit.

      Observing the effects of a cheaply repeatable local experiment yields an unmistakable chain of cause-and-effect for every willing observer. When they have corroded lungs after inhaling the fumes of a PVC fire, they can experience first hand that plastic fires can be toxic.

      This is totally different to AGW theory, where the proposed effect is a global, slow but steady increase in temperature. Personal experience will yield only anecdotal evidence here and neither human common sense nor local temperature recording is sufficient to prove or disprove a global warming, let alone tell if this is man-made or not.

      If it were, the last winter - the coldest and longest winter in Europe for about three decades - would have shattered AGW theory, but even as a sceptic, I know it would take much more than one winter in one area to prove or disprove anything.

      But I think that wasn't the point of your argument. You just wanted to paint skeptics, denialists and lunatics with the same brush.

    25. Re:Global warming is the cause by vegiVamp · · Score: 1

      I keep saying we should just shoot our nuclear waste into the sun. That should give it the vitamin shot it needs to get it's act together again.

      --
      What a depressingly stupid machine.
    26. Re:Global warming is the cause by Jesus_666 · · Score: 1

      By which you mean "accelerate its demise". The sun runs on fusion, not fission. Heavy elements (like the stuff that makes up nuclear waste) lose energy in this scenario, not generate it.

      Apart form the fact that all our nuclear waste combined ought to have an effect roughly comparable to a speck of dust ending up in a nuclear plant.

      --
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    27. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Based on the undeniable fact that the erstwhile elites of this world can only lie in order to maintain their ill-gotten positions I have always said that anthropomorphic global warming was a sham aimed at improperly directing mankind's efforts toward averting it by draconian means and thereby breaching the tipping point leading to the next ice age. Population drops to a few million elites, their security forces backed up with enough small Nuke power plants to keep things going until warming takes over again = instant new Garden of Eden. Looks like I was right. So quit stealing the covers Bitch!

    28. Re:Global warming is the cause by shadowbearer · · Score: 0, Flamebait

        It's nonsense even as an analogy to global warming science. We have reliable climate data going far enough back ("climategate" wasn't) that we aren't observing short term trends.

        Y'know, it's odd how "another" anonymous coward replied here, and was quickly moderated informative. Could be a conspiracy... ;-)

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    29. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A web page where Michael Mann himself is one of THE main contributors is probably not the most unbiased source of information concerning Man-made Global Warming theory.

      You wouldn't want to "educate yourself" on the human rights situation in North Korea on Kim Jong Ill's personal blog at http://www.korea-dpr.com/ would you?

    30. Re:Global warming is the cause by witch-doktor · · Score: 2

      Smart people train themselves not to miss the forest for the trees.

    31. Re:Global warming is the cause by TechMouse · · Score: 1

      Quick, we better send up Cillian Murphy with a nuke.

    32. Re:Global warming is the cause by PhilipPeake · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You truly do need to be an Anonymous Coward to cite anything on realclimate,org as a reference.

      Get a life.

      Get an education.

      Get better friends.

    33. Re:Global warming is the cause by siglercm · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Y'know, it's odd how "another" anonymous coward replied here, and was quickly moderated informative. Could be a conspiracy... ;-)

      Then let me speak up. The standing assumption is that "solar output" only varies by approx. 0.1%, and therefore has almost no effect on global warming and cooling. IOW, they say that the sun has no effect on how warm or cool the earth is. Yeah, right. That is so pathetically wrong, I can barely comprehend the lack of understanding of how the earth is heated that could result in such a ludicrous contention (with apologies for so badly paraphrasing Babbage).

      The problem is that these so-called "climate scientists" assume that measured solar irradiance is in one-to-one correspondence with energy transport from sun to earth. What about poorly or incorrectly measured wavelengths of solar output? What about magnetic coupling from sun to earth? What about other forms of radiation, particles/solar wind streaming from the sun to earth? What about the effect of CMEs hitting or not hitting the earth? I may be _very_ wrong, but in the little reading I've done I've seen no mention of such effects. One thing that bothers me is it seems (not all, but) a bunch of these "experts" have studied these questions just a deeply as I have, which is to say, hardly at all.

      I'm no AC. The shrill AGW proselytizers are so wrong, and have garnered so much attention from those who set our collective direction (govt. and the damned UN), that we all deserve to be frightened. What will we do if and when earth begins cooling again, and they all start screaming of the coming Ice Age like back in the '70's? Rush off to fund their "new" research to the tune of tens of billions of dollars, and pass legislation that will retard our national economy hundreds of billions of dollars in excess costs and lost opportunities?

      In that case, I simply recommend burning more carbon-based energy sources. Yeah, that's the ticket! </cynicism>

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    34. Re:Global warming is the cause by siglercm · · Score: 1

      Please, for those with mod points, mod this parent Up! Very insightful, and prescient, IMHO.

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    35. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      chock-full of logical fallacy goodness....

    36. Re:Global warming is the cause by Frnknstn · · Score: 1

      I was looking for an informed response. If an 'education' is what you have, I am happy with what I have.

      Come back once you can respond to the actual material at hand, instead of resorting to insults.

      --
      If it's in you sig, it's in your post.
    37. Re:Global warming is the cause by shadowbearer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      First off, my last comment was a joke, and quite clearly marked as such (";-)"). That my post was modded flamebait, and quickly, tells me that someone is abusing the moderation system. This isn't the first time I've seen the symptoms, although it is the first time it has happened to me specifically.

      Then let me speak up. The standing assumption is that "solar output" only varies by approx. 0.1%, and therefore has almost no effect on global warming and cooling. IOW, they say that the sun has no effect on how warm or cool the earth is. Yeah, right. That is so pathetically wrong, I can barely comprehend the lack of understanding of how the earth is heated that could result in such a ludicrous contention (with apologies for so badly paraphrasing Babbage).

      We have extremely good data on solar radiance variation nowadays; it is not an "assumption". People who think that climate scientists don't take our direct measurements of solar variation into account have very little understanding of the science involved. Who are the "they" you are talking about?

      so-called "climate scientists"

      Oh, please. Your lack of education about the subject is showing.

      assume that measured solar irradiance is in one-to-one correspondence with energy transport from sun to earth.

      No, they don't.

      What about poorly or incorrectly measured wavelengths of solar output?

      Which what? Unless you would prefer we invalidate of our current understanding of EM radiation, we have to accept that what we know about energy transport in that realm holds. Since our understanding of the subject also underlies our technology - including the computer you are typing on, the lights you read by, solar cell technology, lasers, etc, it's an incredible stretch to assume that we are that wrong.

      What about magnetic coupling from sun to earth? What about other forms of radiation, particles/solar wind streaming from the sun to earth?

      The magnetic field interactions between the sun and earth are fairly well known and have already been shown to have a much, much smaller effect on the temperature of the atmosphere than direct radiance does.

      If there are other forms of radiation coming from the sun that we can't detect, it's foolish to speculate about their effects.

      What about the effect of CMEs hitting or not hitting the earth?

      Since we've been observing the effects of CME impacts for nearly a half a century...

      I may be _very_ wrong, but in the little reading I've done I've seen no mention of such effects.

      Then do some more reading, and get a decent educational background in the hard sciences. I did more than twenty years ago and as an avid amateur astronomer I follow the field rather closely.

      One thing that bothers me is it seems (not all, but) a bunch of these "experts" have studied these questions just a deeply as I have, which is to say, hardly at all.

      Which "experts" would you be referring to? The tens of thousands of them who have devoted years to decades of their lives studying the subject?

      and they all start screaming of the coming Ice Age like back in the '70's

      A few papers and a lot of media attention from ignorant journalists? You really do need to do some more reading - this particular part of the subject has been addressed literally thousands of times in the last five years just right here on this website, and given your low UID, you have certainly had the opportunity to read the rebuttals.

      Look; I don't know you, and I don't mean to be insulting, but it's obvious to me that you don't have the faintest clue what you are talking about. I've been following this subject for nearly a quarter of a century, I have a good background in physics, chemistry, and mathematics, and I read as many of the papers published in the field as I can find t

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    38. Re:Global warming is the cause by PenguiN42 · · Score: 1

      The fact that the parent was modded insightful proves the decline of slashdot as an intellectual resource.

      I weep

      --
      The following sentence is true. The preceding sentence was false.
    39. Re:Global warming is the cause by siglercm · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      It appears that your thesis is simple: You have a good background in physical sciences (do you possess an university undergrad. or grad. degree in the physical sciences or engineering? I do. Both). Therefore, since I disagree with you, I'm wrong and you're right. Congratulations. You're the perfect AGW shill. That's as far as the AGW argumentation logic goes in the post-Gore world.

      I hope our descendants will be able to find their graves so that they might defecate on them. I'm done here.

      Wow. My apologies for hitting such a sensitive nerve.

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    40. Re:Global warming is the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate nazi.

      Done. The end.

    41. Re:Global warming is the cause by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Skeptic - an expert in a subject who doubts but can be convinced with evidence. Denier - incapable of recognizing evidence when they see it, thus likely to believe things which are known to be false by experts; too dumb to understand just how dumb they are; you.

      --
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    42. Re:Global warming is the cause by notrandomly · · Score: 1

      Be sure to misrepresent the science to push your political agenda... Why do denialists always do that? I don't get it.

    43. Re:Global warming is the cause by MightyDrunken · · Score: 1
      Ok,

      You say, "The problem is that these so-called "climate scientists" assume that measured solar irradiance is in one-to-one correspondence with energy transport from sun to earth. What about poorly or incorrectly measured wavelengths of solar output? What about magnetic coupling from sun to earth? What about other forms of radiation, particles/solar wind streaming from the sun to earth? What about the effect of CMEs hitting or not hitting the earth?"

      All you did was suggest a bunch of stuff you have no clue about and therefore suggest no-one else does.
      The first thing to note is recent solar activity has not correlated very well with global temperatures. You might expect an 11 or 22 year cycle would be present in these measurements if the solar cycle had such an influence.

      Also there are a number of observatories which observe the sun 24 hours a day. So the likelihood that the scientists are missing massive amounts of energy emitted by the Sun is very very low.

      STEREO
      Which has these separate instruments.
      - SECCHI 5 Cameras which study the sun for corona mass ejections in the UV and visible light spectrum.
      - IMPACT Looks at the distribution of the solar wind particles, electrons and interplanetary magnetic field.
      - PLASTIC Measures the solar winds plasma.
      - SWAVES Looks at radio frequencies from the sun.

      As well as other probes in space dedicated to observe the Sun:-

      SOHO Another sun observatory
      Advanced Composition Explorer an explorer mission to study the solar wind and cosmic rays.
      TRACE Observes the sun's surface.
      Solar Dynamics Observatory An orbiter designed to study the solar atmosphere and understands the sun's influence on Earth. It will collect data on the Sun's magnetic field, how it is stored and released into the heliosphere and geosphere.

  2. Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Its George Bush's fault.

    1. Re:Anonymous Coward by binarylarry · · Score: 4, Funny

      Actually, I think this might just be Captain Larry Ellison closing the deal with the Sun.

      --
      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    2. Re:Anonymous Coward by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Poor Larry thought that was the deal he was making.

    3. Re:Anonymous Coward by MachDelta · · Score: 0, Redundant

      -1 Redundant? The mods have a cruel sense of humour today!

  3. Enough data? by fenring · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I almost know nothing on the subject, but I'm thinking the 11 year cycle was empiricaly determined. One has to wonder do we have enough data on the subject compared to the age of the sun?

    1. Re:Enough data? by quanticle · · Score: 4, Informative

      Its a good point, but, ever since Galileo observed that there were sunspots, scientists have observed the sun to be on a fairly regular 11 year cycle of maxima and minima. So, until now, the scientific consensus was that the 11 year cycle was due to some kind of underlying fluctuation in the sun itself. Now that theory has to be revised (or maybe even rejected entirely) as this prolonged solar minimum continues.

      --
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    2. Re:Enough data? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Or maybe there some longer cycle of...cycles ;) With the Sun now manifesting a shift of this ubercycle, which will give "short" cycle of different lenght.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    3. Re:Enough data? by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      I almost know nothing on the subject, but I'm thinking the 11 year cycle was empiricaly determined. One has to wonder do we have enough data on the subject compared to the age of the sun?

      Why in the world would we need 5 BILLION years of data to make wild speculation about the various Sun cycles?!?!?!

      Oh, wait... they actually dont think it's just wild speculation, do they? Ah well. Yeah, in that case, I agree with you. a few hundred years of data is a drop in the bucket compared to the Sun's current age.

    4. Re:Enough data? by inKubus · · Score: 1

      Maybe time is speeding up.

      --
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    5. Re:Enough data? by clintp · · Score: 3, Funny

      Or maybe there some longer cycle of...cycles ;) With the Sun now manifesting a shift of this ubercycle, which will give "short" cycle of different lenght.

      Epicycles! Ptolemy was right, just not about the planets.

      --
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    6. Re:Enough data? by sznupi · · Score: 3, Funny

      It's cycles all the way...up?

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    7. Re:Enough data? by Bobke · · Score: 5, Informative

      That is not entirely correct. There is a period after Galileo's discovery called the Maunder Minimum where sunspots "became exceedingly rare", from wikipedia:

      The Maunder Minimum (also known as the prolonged sunspot minimum) is the name used for the period roughly spanning 1645 to 1715 by John A. Eddy in a landmark 1976 paper published in Science titled "The Maunder Minimum",[1] when sunspots became exceedingly rare, as noted by solar observers of the time.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder_Minimum

      So, is it really odd behavior?

    8. Re:Enough data? by The+Hatchet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well, all this time we have known about different cycles, but we don't know why they happen. That is a problem. The sun is really just a huge fucking fusion reactor, and having any kind of regularity is confusing. When we understand the layers, processes, and everything else about the sun, it might make a bit more sense.

      --
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    9. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      And turtles all the way down

    10. Re:Enough data? by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Given that the Maunder minimum led to global cooling, killing off (every last man, woman and child) in the -then- populated Greenland, almost a million people, and caused a number of famines everywhere else, I sure hope so.

      The wikipedia entry here does not do justice to the horror stories in a few remaining journals of the people living in cities upon which the ice advanced a little more every year, awaiting help that never came. It did not just "not come" for a week or a month, but for a century and a half. The journals literally end mid-sentence with the author describing how it's "suddenly warm", after having lost animals, the city, his family and finally his life, in a process taking years.

    11. Re:Enough data? by rcharbon · · Score: 1

      The sun is late in it's cycle? It must be pregnant!

      Does that mean it's really the "daughter"?

    12. Re:Enough data? by BitZtream · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We define odd as anything we haven't witnessed directly before.

      Global warming is a prime example. Theres plenty of scientific evidence that we're in just another normal cycle and the heat isn't even close to being abnormal, but since we've never actually witnessed them directly, certain groups of people freak out and think the end of the world is near.

      --
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    13. Re:Enough data? by X0563511 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      So perhaps there are two (or more) close, but different, mechanisms at place - and the resulting interference gives us the large cycles.

      Think about what happens when you combine a 440Hz tone with a 439.5Hz tone.

      --
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    14. Re:Enough data? by techno-vampire · · Score: 4, Informative
      Given that the Maunder minimum led to global cooling, killing off (every last man, woman and child) in the -then- populated Greenland, almost a million people, and caused a number of famines everywhere else, I sure hope so

      That's not only wrong, it's nonsense! First, the Norse Settlement died out in the early to middle Fifteenth Century, two hundred years before the Maunder Minimum or the journal you cite. Second, the colony never exceeded a population of about 4500 or so. Not only couldn't the land have supported the million you claim, if you tried to stuff that many people into the sites of the two settlements, they'd be standing on each other's toes.

      --
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    15. Re:Enough data? by aristotle-dude · · Score: 1

      Why in the world would we need 5 BILLION years of data to make wild speculation about the various Sun cycles?!?!?!

      Oh, wait... they actually dont think it's just wild speculation, do they? Ah well. Yeah, in that case, I agree with you. a few hundred years of data is a drop in the bucket compared to the Sun's current age.

      How exactly was the age of the sun determined? By what empirical data?

      --
      Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
    16. Re:Enough data? by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      Second, the colony never exceeded a population of about 4500 or so. Not only couldn't the land have supported the million you claim, if you tried to stuff that many people into the sites of the two settlements, they'd be standing on each other's toes.

      Skraelings. Inuit, Thule, Dorset. Greenland/Canada weren't void of humans when the Vikings arrived.

    17. Re:Enough data? by x_IamSpartacus_x · · Score: 5, Funny

      The journals literally end mid-sentence with the author describing how it's "suddenly warm", after having lost animals, the city, his family and finally his life, in a process taking years.

      Sheesh how slow did this guy write?

    18. Re:Enough data? by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      Of course not. However, we're still only talking about a few thousand people, not almost a million.

      --
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    19. Re:Enough data? by AliasMarlowe · · Score: 4, Informative

      ...ever since Galileo observed that there were sunspots, scientists have observed the sun to be on a fairly regular 11 year cycle of maxima and minima...

      Where did that "fairly regular" assertion come from?
      The cycle is on average just under 11 years in duration, but is somewhat irregular. Individual cycles have varied between 9 and 14 years in duration in the couple of dozen cycles for which adequate observations are available. See http://www.infiniteunknown.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/sunspot-observations.png or http://odin.physastro.mnsu.edu/~eskridge/astr102/bfly.gif for example. The variations in sunspot cycle duration do not appear to be related in any simple way to the variations in amplitude.

      --
      Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. - Voltaire
    20. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Indeed. The linked Wikipedia article doesn't contain much support for the GP's assertation either.

    21. Re:Enough data? by RSKennan · · Score: 3, Funny

      We clearly don't know enough about the sun. It's too bad no one's thought of a way to take core samples...

      I've got it. If we could only place some sort of "rig" on the sun, with a kind of "pipe"...we could pump solar material to Earth for further study.

      I know what you're saying. The Sun's really, really hot. We could pump the solar plasma to a place that was already used to warmth. Like, say the Gulf coast of the US.

      Someone make me the president of something.

    22. Re:Enough data? by N3Bruce · · Score: 1

      There were plenty of other things, both terrestrial and astronomical that can wreak havoc with the climate. Major volcanic eruptions such as the ones on Krakatoa and Mount Tambora are repeat offenders, and there are dozens of other volcanoes that can wreak similar havoc with the climate, including America's very own Yellowstone Volcano, and Santorini .

      We also face similar hazards from space on a timeframe that people can relate to. The Tunguska Event of 1908 is believed to be a comet that exploded in the upper atmosphere, and resulted in a release of energy equivalent to a large Hydrogen Bomb, and Hiroshima size explosions from meteoroids happen every couple of years. . Events such as this can happen on the scale of a human lifetime, but there are larger objects out there that will likely eventually collide with earth that can have the potential to ruin everyone's day, such as Apophis .

    23. Re:Enough data? by pz · · Score: 3, Interesting

      ... the scientific consensus was that the 11 year cycle was due to some kind of underlying fluctuation in the sun itself. Now that theory has to be revised (or maybe even rejected entirely) as this prolonged solar minimum continues.

      I would seriously doubt that anyone is questioning whether the fluctuations are from an internal process.

      We can barely -- barely -- predict weather on the *surface* of our globe for a period of a few days. We can't even accurately predict how many storms there will be in a given cyclone / hurricane season yet, and that's one of the biggest periodic features. To say that we have a good enough understanding (and therefore can predict) what amounts to three dimensional weather in a volume six orders of magnitude larger than the earth to be able to predict even the coarsest features to eleven years is mistaken hubris at best.

      We have a few hundred years' worth of sunspot observation. Is it so shocking to think that there might be patterns that are on a longer timescale than our stretch of observations would reveal? Personally, I see no reason to think that the underlying mechanism is not still entirely within the sun. It certainly might be the case that it is due to external influences, but it would seem improbable.

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    24. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not having any kind of regularity would be much more confusing.

    25. Re:Enough data? by the_bard17 · · Score: 2, Funny

      So then you end up having a leak or a big bad explosion, so that the "rig" "sinks"? Then you spend over a month trying to solve the problem while the Sun leaks all over the world?

      No thanks. The oil leak in the Gulf is bad enough. I don't to see what happens when we hand you the Sun and a really big pipe.

    26. Re:Enough data? by RSKennan · · Score: 3, Funny

      Wow. I never thought of it that way. Sorry guys.

      Someone call the Nobel committee and tell them that the deal's off, and the teamsters who were planning to start work on Monday to tell them that Christmas is going to suck again this year. Kids need to learn that.

      You're a hard man, doing hard things, the_bard. I respect you for making this decision. Could you break it to 'lil Barak Obama though? I just keep thinking about how his eyes lit up when I told him my plan... and I don't have the heart.

    27. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We have about as much data as the Global Warming crowd does to make their determination.

    28. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well, I know a bit about it and there is eveidence showing hundreds of years of data. There is also a 28 day cycle , and a 7 day cycle as well as a more recent discovered cycle that lasts decades to centuries. Just as a general FYI, the last cycle was kind of a dud as well, as far as total sun spot count goes. They do have evidence of previous cycles similar to this one but I can't remember off the top of my head, and I'm too lazy to goole to see if it was at the so called "mini ice age" back around the dark ages.

    29. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is informative?? Hardly.

      11-ish year solar cycle is the fast oscillation of the sun. There are long range cycles that are less understood. There were at least 2 know longer term minimas in solar cycle amplitues. One is known as the Maunder Minimum... Scrapping a long term, well developed observation because of a blip in data is stupid.

      Now how stupid is this? It is just as stupid as when someone is burnt in a car wreck or drowns in a car because they can't unlock their seat belts being given as proof that seat belts don't save lives.

    30. Re:Enough data? by Mspangler · · Score: 2, Informative

      "That's not only wrong, it's nonsense! First, the Norse Settlement [wikipedia.org] died out in the early to middle Fifteenth Century, two hundred years before the Maunder Minimum... "

      You are correct. Although the northern Norse settlement died out first about 100 years before the southern one. They went down due to the same cooling trend that hit Europe in the 1300's.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Famine_of_1315–1317

      "The Great Famine of 1315–1317 (occasionally dated 1315-1322) was the first of a series of large scale crises that struck Europe early in the fourteenth century, causing millions of deaths over an extended number of years and marking a clear end to an earlier period of growth and prosperity during the eleventh to thirteenth centuries. "

    31. Re:Enough data? by jonadab · · Score: 1

      > I'm thinking the 11 year cycle was empiricaly determined

      The eleven-year cycle is immediately obvious if you look at the data, because we have been collecting data for many times that long, so the pattern is very evident.

      But the eleven-year cycle is the *short* cycle of solar activity. There may very likely be longer cycles, but they're less obvious, because we haven't been collecting data for long enough to repeat the longer cycle(s) as many times as the short cycle.

      We do know that what is currently happening has happened before, but we don't know why, or how often, or whether it occurs in any kind of regular (predictable) cycle. We've really only observed this *once* before, so it's very hard to extrapolate meaningfully.

      --
      Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
    32. Re:Enough data? by gstoddart · · Score: 2, Funny

      Think about what happens when you combine a 440Hz tone with a 439.5Hz tone.

      It goes all the way to 11?

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    33. Re:Enough data? by The+Grim+Reefer2 · · Score: 1

      Its a good point, but, ever since Galileo observed that there were sunspots, scientists have observed the sun to be on a fairly regular 11 year cycle of maxima and minima.

      I realize that's all the data we have and all but isn't it a little arrogant of us to think that an observation period that is less than a ten-millionth of the suns, currently believed, existence is an accurate sampling; not to mention being a little short sighted?

    34. Re:Enough data? by dpastern · · Score: 2, Insightful

      400 years is NOT enough data, not when looking at a star that might have a lifespan of nearly 10 billion years. All stars are variable to some degree, and 11 years is a very tiny period.

      Dave

      PS If the sun is cooling, (yeah right!), then the amount of radiated heat we receive will drop, and that means our core mean temperature will also drop. If that is the case, then why are our temperatures rising? Maybe there is something to global warming being man made ;-)

      --
      Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter. --Martin Luther King Jr.
    35. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Little Ice Age
      The Maunder Minimum coincided with the middle — and coldest part — of the Little Ice Age, during which Europe and North America were subjected to bitterly cold winters. Whether there is a causal connection between low sunspot activity and cold winters is the subject of ongoing debate (e.g., see Global Warming). In 1709, the Rhine remained frozen until the summer. This contributed to widespread starvation and the lengthy emigration of Germans from the Palatine. These people are referred to as the Poor Palatines.

    36. Re:Enough data? by kenwd0elq · · Score: 1

      Ummm, "fairly regular"? Not so much, no. The length of an "average" sunspot cycle is 11 years, but there have been short cycles at 7 years, and some have lasted as long as 14 years, trough to trough. The Maunder Minimum, from about 1640 to about 1710 was a long void of sunspots. And the original post indicated that this cycle, began to rise in late 2008; false. The sunspot numbers were a daily average of about "1" from 2007 to December, 2009. There is WHOLE BUNCHES that we do not know about the patterns of the Sun; it was only 4 centuries ago that we first SAW a sunspot. We're only a half-step beyond alchemy when it comes to understanding the Sun. Perhaps if we sacrificed a goat, and spread the entrails over the keyboard.......

    37. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In many ways, the weather of the Sun is probably EASIER to predict than the weather of the Earth. Earth has a bunch of complications; its primary energy source being the Sun (fluctuates, in absolute terms, but also the distance and angle changes over time), tidal influence from the moon, various things changing the atmosphere (eruptions, burning stuff, meteor impacts), and the goofy shape of the sea and land interfering with the way air and water convection might otherwise happen.

      The Sun, though? Comparatively few outside influences on it. Much more amenable to modeling as an ideal blob of mostly hydrogen and drawing conclusions from physics (and refining physics by observing stars...).

    38. Re:Enough data? by The+Hatchet · · Score: 1

      haha. I actually just had the live feed up, and it went green. A wierd, static-like green, and its been like that for a while from different sources.

      Maybe we could shoot a probe at the sun, and stare at the impact, and fly a probe through the fallout. That would be original, right?

      --
      Where is the mod rating for "scary"? Also, ...
    39. Re:Enough data? by Volguus+Zildrohar · · Score: 1

      The Universe as a teetering column of bicycles atop of an infinite pile of turtles has an uncanny ring of truth to it.

      It certainly explains much about the stuff I see every day on the internet.

      --
      When confronted with one problem, some think "I'll use recursion". Now they are confronted with one problem.
    40. Re:Enough data? by flubby! · · Score: 1

      Hey ! You cannot "hand" Big Pipe to anyone you want.

      Unless you're a major shareholder, the CEO or something...

    41. Re:Enough data? by Mal-2 · · Score: 1

      I think this is more likely than not. There are some vibrational modes that like to split into two at the slightest irregularity. In a square plate it shows up as the X mode split. I'm sure it's a lot more complex in a sphere. Just by their nature, these two new modes will generate beat frequencies, and slow ones at that -- the resonance from north to south just isn't going to be THAT much faster than the resonance across the equator.

      It's quite likely there are multiple cycles going on, and they just might be stomping on each other right now. It's like putting your food in the cold spot of the microwave, which I think we've all done. ;)

      Mal-2

      --
      How is the Riemann zeta function like Trump rallies? Both have an endless number of trivial zeros.
    42. Re:Enough data? by MtViewGuy · · Score: 1

      Indeed, during the Maunder Minimum the Thames River regularly froze over in the London area during the winter. It was this period that the trees harvested in had unusually dense properties due to the very thin tree rings in the grain of the wood; many scientists agree that the great sound of a Stradivari or Guarneri made violin and viola came because of the unusually dense wood these two luthiers had access to, thanks to the cold winters caused by the Maunder Minimum.

    43. Re:Enough data? by Jesus_666 · · Score: 1

      And that, children, is how summer came into existence.

      --
      USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
    44. Re:Enough data? by quanticle · · Score: 1

      I totally agree. All I was saying is that, based on that admittedly limited data set, we had no reason to suspect that anything else was going on. Obviously, now we do.

      --
      We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
    45. Re:Enough data? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sun is late in it's cycle? It must be pregnant!

      Yeah, sorry about that. Though you have to admit, the sun is very hot...

    46. Re:Enough data? by DahGhostfacedFiddlah · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure how you hit +4 while mistaking weather and climate. While we can't predict the earth's weather particularly well, we can say that hurricanes tend to bunch around a particular time, and that the period between the peaks is approximately 365 days. That's the same type of prediction we're making for the sun, and it tends to be quite accurate - far more accurate than "weather" predictions.

    47. Re:Enough data? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Considerin that the Sun spews "fallout" all the time... Well, I guess first probe would still be original; not a lot of space agencies would do something that useless.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    48. Re:Enough data? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      If oblateness wasn't enough, there are also slightly different rates of rotation of various parts. Still lots of fun left with modelling it, I'm sure.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  4. Anthropomorphic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    All these solar power devices are using the sun up.

    1. Re:Anthropomorphic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lulz

    2. Re:Anthropomorphic by rbmorse · · Score: 1

      Damn. I knew it!

    3. Re:Anthropomorphic by kestasjk · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Seriously though; supposing (just because we're being crazy and ridiculous) that global warming is happening, wouldn't it be a concern that the next solar cycle will be starting later, reducing only the short-term effects of a problem that is only significant in the long-term (and without delaying/decreasing those long-term effects)?

      Put another way: Supposing the temperature is going to be X degrees higher by 2YYY, wouldn't it be much better for the increase to be steady and predictable?

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    4. Re:Anthropomorphic by a2wflc · · Score: 3, Insightful

      some (many) pro-agw people have been saying for a couple of years that man-made co2 has caused temps to increase but the lack of solar activity has negated the increase so we don't see an increase in measured temps. People who want agw to be true say "yeah, that sounds good". People on the other side say "that's convenient". Fortunately there are scientists on both sides who say "this needs to be explained and tested (empirically as well as with models"

    5. Re:Anthropomorphic by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      All these solar power devices are using the sun up.

      Knowing how weird quantum physics is, that wouldn't surprise me.

    6. Re:Anthropomorphic by BlueStrat · · Score: 0

      some (many) pro-agw people have been saying for a couple of years that man-made co2 has caused temps to increase but the lack of solar activity has negated the increase so we don't see an increase in measured temps. People who want agw to be true say "yeah, that sounds good". People on the other side say "that's convenient". Fortunately there are scientists on both sides who say "this needs to be explained and tested (empirically as well as with models"

      And those scientists are immediately and viciously personally attacked, grants terminated under pro-AGW pressure, their careers destroyed, they and their family harassed, and become shunned by peers afraid of similar repercussions.

      There is far, far too much money at stake for those in favor of carbon trading, increased government control, higher energy taxes, etc to let a few scientific facts get in the way of the trillions of dollars in wealth redistribution that will result if they can successfully implement their agendas.

      The pro-AGW crowd is quick to try to invalidate opposing arguments and individuals by claiming it/they have been paid for by "Big Oil" and so are biased, but they never seem to be bothered by scientists & research funded by "Big Government" which has an equal (arguably even greater) stake in the outcome, and is run by politicians who, nearly by definition, are lying, corrupt dirtbags that would sell their own mother down the river for wealth & power.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    7. Re:Anthropomorphic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fortunately there are scientists on both sides who say "this needs to be explained and tested (empirically as well as with models"

      Fortunately there are scientist on both sides who say "I bet I could get a research grant from someone to study this!"

    8. Re:Anthropomorphic by Abcd1234 · · Score: 2, Informative

      some (many) pro-agw people have been saying for a couple of years that man-made co2 has caused temps to increase but the lack of solar activity has negated the increase so we don't see an increase in measured temps.

      Pity that statement is, itself, simply false. This was the warmest decade on record, period. Furthermore, most of the warmest years occurred in the last ten years. Can you cherry-pick you results to find outliers in the 90s, so as to make the current decade look not so bad? Sure. But that's tantamount to lying, plain and simple.

    9. Re:Anthropomorphic by Alef · · Score: 3, Insightful

      some (many) pro-agw people have been saying for a couple of years that man-made co2 has caused temps to increase but the lack of solar activity has negated the increase so we don't see an increase in measured temps.

      But we are seeing an increase in temperature.

      People who want agw to be true say "yeah, that sounds good".

      I don't think anyone in their right mind wants AGW to be happening.

    10. Re:Anthropomorphic by MacDork · · Score: 1, Troll

      some (many) pro-agw people have been saying for a couple of years that man-made co2 has caused temps to increase but the lack of solar activity has negated the increase so we don't see an increase in measured temps.

      Pity that statement is, itself, simply false. This was the warmest decade on record, period.

      The geologic record shows the vast majority of earth history has been warmer than it is now. We're at what... 14, 15 degrees C for global mean temp? 22 is not unusual for this planet. I don't know what records you're talking about, but you're wrong.

    11. Re:Anthropomorphic by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 1

      grants terminated under pro-AGW pressure, their careers destroyed, they and their family harassed, and become shunned by peers afraid of similar repercussions.

      [citation needed]

    12. Re:Anthropomorphic by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      The geologic record shows the vast majority of earth history has been warmer than it is now

      Quit being a pedantic jackass. I think it's clear I meant "on human record", as in, during the period which the human species has existed.

      Clearly the earth itself has been warmer in the past. Hell, the surface was molten at one point. But it certainly wasn't hospitable to human life at the time...

    13. Re:Anthropomorphic by MacDork · · Score: 0, Troll

      The geologic record shows the vast majority of earth history has been warmer than it is now

      Quit being a pedantic jackass. I think it's clear I meant "on human record", as in, during the period which the human species has existed.

      Well, there you have it; Don't present facts to a climate change cultist, or you're a pedantic jackass. Got it loud and clear!

      Clearly the earth itself has been warmer in the past. Hell, the surface was molten at one point. But it certainly wasn't hospitable to human life at the time...

      Nice straw man you have there. I could point out more scientific facts, but I guess that would just make me more of a pedantic jackass. I see you have no need for factual information. Clearly you just make it up as you go along (^_^)

    14. Re:Anthropomorphic by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      Don't present irrelevant facts..

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    15. Re:Anthropomorphic by Burpmaster · · Score: 1

      .... People who want agw to be true ...

      This, right here, is your problem. AGW is not a good thing, and no sane person would want it to be true. To the contrary, people want it to be false. Some hope to achieve that by regulating AGW out of existence, while others merely pretend it's not true.

    16. Re:Anthropomorphic by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      Right. So, a small group of private scientists in random universities are able to pull of an intimidation campaign better than that of the CIA, whilst poor defenceless oil companies of the kind which can calmly deny journalists access to the Gulf of Mexico are completely unable to protect their own scientists. Right..

      int; the "Big Government" is mostly controlled by the same people as the "Big Oil" and that is the problem.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    17. Re:Anthropomorphic by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      "Big Government" is mostly controlled by the same people as the "Big Oil" and that is the problem.

      Then why in $DEITY's name would you ever think the government would pass cap-and-trade and/or other CO2 reduction legislation that actually addressed any of the root problems, rather than being yet another wealth-and-power grab that leaves the average person with less money and fewer freedoms and choices?

      Oops?

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    18. Re:Anthropomorphic by wisdom_brewing · · Score: 1

      I love the modifiers being so pro-global warming

      climate is dynamic, there are natural balancers (if such a word exists).

      I really am bothered by people having the expectation of things staying static...

    19. Re:Anthropomorphic by MacDork · · Score: 0, Troll

      Don't present irrelevant facts..

      Plate tectonics, ocean currents, and solar output are the drivers of our planet's climate. I would hardly call the information irrelevant.

    20. Re:Anthropomorphic by nadaou · · Score: 1

      But we are seeing an increase in temperature.

      which is why observing what happens in 5 years time (when the solar cycle may peak again) will be very intesting. If the current rise is actually being held back, what's it going to look like at the other end of the cycle when it isn't? No one knows the answer to that, but either way I'm glad the cycle is short enough to fit into humanity's notoriously short term memory.

      --
      ~.~
      I'm a peripheral visionary.
    21. Re:Anthropomorphic by siglercm · · Score: 1

      I don't think anyone in their right mind wants AGW to be happening.

      Well, at least you're one person who isn't depending on global warming being "correct" to continue funding all their research grants. C'mon, man, everybody else has boat payments to make, and vacations in the Caymans planned over the next few "winters!!!"

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    22. Re:Anthropomorphic by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      Then why in $DEITY's name would you ever think the government would pass cap-and-trade and/or other CO2 reduction legislation that actually addressed any of the root problems, rather than being yet another wealth-and-power grab that leaves the average person with less money and fewer freedoms and choices?

      Answer A) I'll believe that when I actually see it. These bills have not been passed, and it's pretty clear that the politicians and lobbyists bought by big oil are out to stop them.

      Answer B) We (I'm assuming you're from the USA; I'm from Europe) still live in semi-democracies. If you actually are willing to protest about things and keep following up on them you can actually get things changed. Continue to vote against politicians who are in the pockets of industry and eventually they will take notice and throw you a few sops. Keep doing it and keep them to their words and eventually they will actually take you seriously. Politicians can't even sell themselves to industry if they fail to get elected.

      Enough people have been continuing to go on about bad environmental policy for long that even politicians begin to care. That's why you begin to see so many people beginning to turn up with all sorts of different clever explanations of why these scientists are wrong, which when you try to look through them carefully turn out to based on some kind of strange lies that these people never mention and which they make it difficult for you to check up on. The oil companies are scared and are trying to build a base of popular support.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    23. Re:Anthropomorphic by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      Then why in $DEITY's name would you ever think the government would pass cap-and-trade and/or other CO2 reduction legislation that actually addressed any of the root problems, rather than being yet another wealth-and-power grab that leaves the average person with less money and fewer freedoms and choices?

      Answer A) I'll believe that when I actually see it. These bills have not been passed, and it's pretty clear that the politicians and lobbyists bought by big oil are out to stop them.

      Wait, you said the government and politicians were in the pocket of "Big Oil". Now there are some that are *not* in the pocket of "Big Oil"? News Flash: they *all* take money from "Big Oil". The proposed cap-and-trade schemes can't achieve any meaningful CO2 reductions or affect any climate trends any significant amount even if the whole world implemented the policies, and especially not with a very large part of the world (India, China, etc, etc) not participating. We'd be throwing away lives and wealth all to achieve very, very little except make those already rich & powerful even more so, while selling ourselves into government servitude.

      So what's left is an enormous reduction in the standard of living and a huge tax & regulatory drag on Western economies and populations coupled with an enormous transfer of wealth to third-world and some second-world countries. This in turn will result in the US not able to afford superpower-class military and economic power that keeps aggressive countries at bay, that vacuum being quickly filled by China and Russia. But that's OK because living in a world ruled by China and/or Russia would be great.

      Right?

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
  5. In conclusion... by quanticle · · Score: 1, Redundant

    We all know that something's up, but we have no idea what the underlying phenomena are, so we have not a clue as to why the sun is behaving the way it is.

    Well, its good to see that there are still mysteries left in the universe.

    --
    We all know what to do, but we don't know how to get re-elected once we have done it
  6. Murdoch? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I thought this was about the newspaper bought by Rupert Murdoch.

    (CATCHPA: maggot)

    1. Re:Murdoch? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (CATCHPA: maggot)

      I'm not I want to catch your 'pa, especially if it has sth to do with maggots...

  7. Okay, who broke the Sun? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Funny

    I don't know, you'd think a massive ball of fusion fire wouldn't need warning signs, but apparently some joker still managed to break it. For future reference, the Sun does not contain any user-servicable parts. Please try to remember this, or you will invalidate the warranty.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    1. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just need to send Courage the Cowardly Dog up there to change out the light bulb and we will be back on or way to normalcy

    2. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Funny

      I don't know, you'd think a massive ball of fusion fire wouldn't need warning signs, but apparently some joker still managed to break it.

      And to think that Consumer Reports told me the 3 billion year warranty was a scam.
      It was only $5 a month!

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    3. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by ducomputergeek · · Score: 2, Funny

      My money is on the oil cartel. They had to silence the competition of energy from the sun.

      --
      "The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
    4. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      I guess Mr. Burns got his hands on something bigger than just a giant umbrella.

    5. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by arielCo · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the heads-up. I'm forwarding this to these guys

      --
      This post contains no rudeness or derision of any kind. All arguments are friendly. Terms and exclusions may apply.
    6. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by fm6 · · Score: 1

      For future reference, the Sun does not contain any user-servicable parts.

      That's what they said about the planet.

    7. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by splorp! · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but you had to pay up front.

      --
      Please don't humanize the morons around me. It makes me very uncomfortable.
    8. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My bad dude, you see, there was this switch, and it was set to "More Magic" and we decided to flip it over to "Magic" just to see what would happen, and fuck man, we did not see this coming. We can fix this, just give us some time, and hell, uhh, do you still have any of that duct tape?

    9. Re:Okay, who broke the Sun? by marqs · · Score: 1

      I have heard thet the oil cartel is going to fix the Sun as sone as they have stoped the oil leak in the Mexican gulf

  8. 2012 by mederbil · · Score: 2, Funny

    I see what's going on here. The Mayan were right!

    1. Re:2012 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'tis a bit early, ain't it?

    2. Re:2012 by marqs · · Score: 1

      No worry, the Mayan 2012 bug is greatly exagerated just like:

      * The Y2K bug was hardware based, sort of.. or rather the lack of memory.
      * The Unix 2036 bug is due to the limitations of 32bit systems.

      2012 is just the same, a breakdown of Myan monotith calendars due to limitations of the Sun. but there will be a patch i assure you

  9. I know the answer... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...We are doomed I tell you, doomed.

  10. I think you're off by a bit by Daetrin · · Score: 3, Interesting

    On the one hand, outside the kind of geeky population represented by slashdot, I really doubt a lot of people know about the 11 year cycle. On the other hand, I've seen othee articles about the recent abnormally low period, and the subect also seems to come up frequently on the recurring global warming debate that seems to crop up in every third article. (Which isn't to say that more information about the subject isn't wanted of course.)

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    1. Re:I think you're off by a bit by Mashiki · · Score: 2, Informative

      We had an extreme low solar output about 400 years ago too, and no one has a clue what caused that. Except most of the world was an ice cube at the time. Now for those of us here in Ontario, we're in a mini-heatwave. But the rest of the country? Below average, last I heard even the easties were hoping for spring to start, they're still getting snow.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    2. Re:I think you're off by a bit by Torodung · · Score: 1

      I've certainly seen material about the low sunspot activity. It's just fascinating to live in an age where the things that are supposed to be predictable, aren't.

      Those sorts of anomalies sometimes lead to discovery (through comparison). It'll be fun to keep an eye on the work regarding this solar irregularity. In fact, at the risk of injecting my personal politics into this, I propose we give all the money that's going to study of global warming to people studying this, because it's probably a lot more relevant to mankind's future on this speck of dust.

      --
      Toro

    3. Re:I think you're off by a bit by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1

      Now for those of us here in Ontario, we're in a mini-heatwave. But the rest of the country? Below average, last I heard even the easties were hoping for spring to start, they're still getting snow.

      Uhuh. So? Local climate != global climate. And sadly:

      The decade of the 2000s (2000-2009) was warmer than the decade spanning the 1990s (1990-1999), which in turn was warmer than the 1980s (1980-1989).

      Citation.

      But, hey, who wants to look at actual facts, when looking out the window is, like, totally scientific and stuff, right?

    4. Re:I think you're off by a bit by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      You might want to go back and look at non-fudged data, because from east/west and from two different "ngo's" providing temperature information they vary by as much as 4C. But as we all know, Canada = only a mere 9.7m sq/KM or something, pretty small. But then again, most temperature sets that are being used don't use all of the info provided by environment Canada either, even tho we have weather stations all over the place. They happily cherry pick hot spots.

      So yeah, don't worry. Those facts are the things I just pointed out.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    5. Re:I think you're off by a bit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fear not. All will be revealed in 935 days.

      - Quezacotl

    6. Re:I think you're off by a bit by artson · · Score: 1

      "But the rest of the country? Below average, last I heard even the easties were hoping for spring to start, they're still getting snow."

      Um, wrong. We "easties" are finding ourselves about three weeks ahead of where we were last year. My tomatoes went in three weeks early and the June bugs came out in May. It is not snowing now nor has it been snowing for months. Canada east of Ontario is made up of a very diverse set of conditions and climates, just as Ontario is. Ontario ranges from the Golden Horn down by Toronto, to the bitter cold of Hudson's Bay. The lesson? Don't generalize and don't pull information from your ass.

      --
      In times of trouble, the smell of frying onions usually gives confidence and comfort.
  11. zOMG Planet X!@~ by Ilsundal · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Holy crap, it's coming!

    --
    "True refinement seeks simplicity."
  12. Here's your answer.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's the sun, it does whatever the f it wants.

    1. Re:Here's your answer.. by malaprohibita · · Score: 1

      Agreed. The sun is so much older than humans there's no way we can have statistically accurate information for the last x billion years.

  13. there is a guy with a theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Explains the odd behavior. Read read about it on Slashdot. Not long ago. Or maybe it was long ago, in Slashdot time. No, I won't look it up for you, because you kids are pissing me off!

  14. Conspiracy! by ultranova · · Score: 4, Funny

    The explanation is simple: the Sun is actually getting hotter, but the climatologists, in their conspiracy to frame things like the Earth was getting warmer due to greenhouse gasses, have forged all records to make it seem like the Sun was at low activity instead. That way the warming climate is blamed on human activity.

    I will consider all replies and downmods to this post as further evidence of the Anthropogenic Global Warming Conspiracy. If you disagree with me, you're obvilously a paid chill or a poor, deluded fool. Or maybe you're just an evil ecoterrorist who wants to destroy our economy despite knowing better.

    Go on, conspirators! Give me your best shot!

    --

    Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    1. Re:Conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps a tad over the top with the sarcasm, but this is what people who dare to question the establishment have to put up with.

      Actually, everyone has to put up with your stupidity, yes including scientists who question "the establishment". They think you're a dunce, too.

    2. Re:Conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      chill

      That's shill, numbnuts.

      Unless you were offering everybody a free beer?

    3. Re:Conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Derivative.

    4. Re:Conspiracy! by daveime · · Score: 1

      Go visit http://www.surfacestations.org/ and see how many US stations are classified as poor or bad ... 69%, or two thirds of the stations have an error >= 2 degrees celcius, and 8% have an error >= 5 degrees celcius.

      I'm the dunce ? If that means I'm not willing to accept everything assholes like Al Gore would have us believe, then yes, I'm a dunce.

    5. Re:Conspiracy! by MacDork · · Score: 2, Informative
      You're wasting your breath dave. He's a coward and ultranova is trolling. Don't let it bother you. Here's some ammo for you next time (^_^)
      • The missing carbon
      • Graph showing ice age with 12 times more CO2 than today.
      • Polar bears
      • Ethanol
      • Ethanol again
      • Climate cultist whack job from "Whale wars" believes quote We need to radically and intelligently reduce human populations to fewer than one billion.
      • NASA's chief on global warming.
      • The IPCC get their their asses handed to them in front of Congress in 1997. A personal favorite is this quote:

        The observed warming since the late 19th Century has only been 0.5 degrees Celsius, or less than one-third of the predicted value. Critics argued, as I did before this committee, that there would have to be a dramatic reduction in the forecast of future warming in order to reconcile the facts and the hypotheses.

        By 1995, in its second full assessment of climate change, the IPCC admitted the validity of the critics' position: `When increases in greenhouse gases only are taken into account, most climate models produce a greater mean warming than has been observed to date, unless a lower climate sensitivity to the greenhouse effect is used. There is growing evidences that increases in sulfate aerosols are partially counteracting the warming due to increases in greenhouse gases.'

        Let me translate this statement. It means either it is not going to warm up as much as we said it would or something is hiding the warming. I predict that every attempt will be made to demonstrate the latter before admitting that the former is true.

      My links are getting old it seems. I have a folder full of them, but a lot seems to have been eradicated by the cult of climate change. Feel free to use this stuff in your next big flame war, but I think you'll find that arguing with these idiots is pointless. Your best bet is to put together a well reasoned, informative essay... then wait for a related story and top post. You may be marked troll, but it doesn't matter. People like myself who don't agree with /.s group think tend to read at troll +6 anyway. In fact, I would have never seen your response if you had not been marked troll above... anyhow, we'll mod you up if you're hit with -1 disagree mod.

    6. Re:Conspiracy! by ccp · · Score: 1

      Go on, conspirators! Give me your best shot!

      Bang!
      You asked for it...

  15. The release cycle has changed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    because Sun was acquired by Oracle.

    1. Re:The release cycle has changed by Dragonslicer · · Score: 0, Troll

      because Sun was acquired by Oracle.

      Gee, I bet nobody predicted this joke.

    2. Re:The release cycle has changed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes but... it's still funny;)

  16. Sun misbehaves, humans angry by amn108 · · Score: 2, Funny

    The Sun has better and more important things to do than to adhere to our primitive line of thought.

    The following analogy comes to mind:

    http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/the_search.png

    1. Re:Sun misbehaves, humans angry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      best xkcd ever!

    2. Re:Sun misbehaves, humans angry by BraksDad · · Score: 1

      The world doesn't owe you anything. It was here first.
      - Mark Twain

      The Sun was here before the Earth so... logically, if she weighs the same as a duck...the Sun owes us nothing.

      --
      Slowly waving my hand - "This is not the sig you are looking for."
  17. Easy to fix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Odd, I just met a an eccentric young man with a bow tie, tweed jacket and braces. He owned a small wooden blue box (about the size of a beach hut) and he said that this was a harbinger of doom and that the sun would go out if he didn't do something about it. He dashed off with a pretty young female in tow....but it's pretty cold and overcast now, so maybe the end is nigh!

    1. Re:Easy to fix by RobertLTux · · Score: 1

      http://www.instantrimshot.com/

      seriously do you think its the daleks or cybermen thats at fault??

      --
      Any person using FTFY or editing my postings agrees to a US$50.00 charge
    2. Re:Easy to fix by Randle_Revar · · Score: 1

      >braces
      What?

    3. Re:Easy to fix by Nyder · · Score: 1

      Odd, I just met a an eccentric young man with a bow tie, tweed jacket and braces. He owned a small wooden blue box (about the size of a beach hut) and he said that this was a harbinger of doom and that the sun would go out if he didn't do something about it. He dashed off with a pretty young female in tow....but it's pretty cold and overcast now, so maybe the end is nigh!

      braces? seriously?

      Guess now that all the timelords are dead, he has a better dental plan?

      --
      Be seeing you...
    4. Re:Easy to fix by painandgreed · · Score: 2, Informative

      >braces

      What?

      Braces are the proper term (ie British, eg Boots & Braces of Skinhead culture) for suspenders, or at least the type that don't clip onto your pants but button. I suspect that is what the OP is saying.

    5. Re:Easy to fix by Randle_Revar · · Score: 1

      Oh, ok. That makes more sense.

  18. Re:Mankind's fault. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hurf durf, I'm a closet-republican trying to make the other side look bad. Nobody will figure it out. Durr, I R smart!

  19. Solar cycles have always varied by Alrescha · · Score: 4, Informative

    Over the past few hundred years, the solar cycle has regularly varied from as short as 9 years to as long as 14*. The tone of the summary (and the S.A. article) make this sound as if it is a new thing.

    * http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_solar_cycles

    A.

    --
    ...bringing you cynical quips since 1998
    1. Re:Solar cycles have always varied by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot suckers me in every day. The sensationalist headline and summary make me read the comments and about three quarters of the way down there's the obligatory link to some facts that wholly refute the summary. Since I continue to repeat the same behaviour while expecting something different to happen I guess I must be mad. Wibble.

  20. New Maunder Minimum? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hasn't anyone else noticed that the Maunder Minimum (q.v.) corresponded almost exactly with the period covered by The Baroque Cycle? Started with the death of Charles I and ran to the coronation of George I. Who is our 21st century Waterhouse and where is Enoch Root when we need him?

  21. It's simple... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's simple, the Sun is conspiring with Earth to get rid of us. I wouldn't be surprised if the entire Milky Way is part of the conspiracy, in an effort to keep us from invading other parts of it.
    An analogy would be that of the doctor (Sun) working together with the patient (Earth) to get rid of an infection (human race). This happens in a hospital (Milky Way), whose staff is interested in destroying the infection too.

  22. Preggers? by Ogive17 · · Score: 4, Funny

    If the sun missed it's last "cycle", maybe one of the "probes" used to "explore" forgot to use adequate "shielding" and now the sun is pregnant.

    --
    "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    1. Re:Preggers? by troll8901 · · Score: 1

      Can you imagine how large the diapers will have to be for mini-Sun? Where will we get to throw them?

      (Good one, pal!)

    2. Re:Preggers? by Dunbal · · Score: 2, Funny

      That would certainly add a whole different line of thought as to how stars are born. I guess we'll have to wait for the offspring to see who the likely parent was. I'm looking at YOU, Jupiter...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  23. Re: Plants are the cause by clarkkent09 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Don't you know that plants have been using the Sun's energy for millions of years, no wonder there is nothing left! The solution is simple: burn the forests.

    --
    Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
  24. Correction. by hailstop · · Score: 1

    Cycle 23 bottomed out in 2008. We're now into cycle 24. That said, Cycle 24 is following fairly closely the Dalton minimum of the early 1800s.

  25. I blame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Larry Ellison. Its not been the same since Oracle took it over.

    It gets worse though, it seems they are trying to turn open office into a commercial rpoduct.

  26. most? by Main+Gauche · · Score: 1

    ""Most of us know about the sun's eleven-year activity cycle."[citation needed]

  27. Re:Mankind's fault. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    British Petroleum's new mascot: http://imgur.com/3JFae.jpg

  28. And then it really got odd by dmomo · · Score: 2, Funny

    When James Gosling left.

  29. man-made solar system pollution by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

    gota be it. The global warming refracted too many of the sun's rays back, and stopped the core of the sun. Any day now, it will be a red giant, and we'll just be swallowed up by it (when it expands this far, natch).

  30. WolframAlpha to the rescue by laxisusous · · Score: 1

    WolframAlpha recently added space weather, including sunspot activity. Seems to me that the next cycle is just a bit of a late riser.

  31. Vishnu Rocket by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    The Sun is being outsourced which means longer hold times and incomprehensible activity in response to the question being asked.

  32. It's Global Warming by MikeV · · Score: 2, Funny

    Darn, someone beat me to the punchline. So. Did anyone check to see if it's still plugged in?

    1. Re:It's Global Warming by zephvark · · Score: 2, Funny

      Oh fer gosh sakes. It doesn't need to be plugged in. It's solar-powered.

    2. Re:It's Global Warming by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      God's a hippy, it's a giant lava lamp, but the blobs are not working, and he left the reciept in some long-lost black hole.

    3. Re:It's Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have we tried turning it off and on again?

    4. Re:It's Global Warming by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Oh, right. So what keeps it working at night?

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
  33. Re: Plants are the cause by Shikaku · · Score: 3, Funny

    No, the sun isn't having its cycle because it's pregnant. DUH.

    (Also am I the only one who thought Sun as in the company?)

  34. It's not global warming! by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    Duh... it's George Bush's Illudium Q-36 Explosive Space Modulator! It's a conspiracy between Marvin and Old Georgie Boy to put out the sun since it's obviously the cause of global warming.

  35. Disappointed.. by byrdfl3w · · Score: 1

    Smoked Suns Pot all day. Didn't feel a thing.

  36. So... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    Should we start building Magellan? And who gets on board? A good chance to get rid of all those telephone sanitizers, you know.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
    1. Re:So... by El_Oscuro · · Score: 1

      I thought that was the "B" ark ship....

      --
      "Be grateful for what you have. You may never know when you may lose it."
  37. Gravitational tides and orbital resonances by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I believe the establishment is in denial. There is a long history of literature investigating the correlations between orbital resonances and solar activity. Hopefully, the next two or three cycles will resolve the relative standing of forcing factors.

  38. Dolphins? by bradorsomething · · Score: 1

    Someone make sure the dolphins are still here.

  39. It's the Darrians by Angst+Badger · · Score: 1

    Obviously, the Imperium has struck a deal with the Darrians to destabilize the Solomani Confederation by striking at the capital system.

    Sorry, had to be done.

    --
    Proud member of the Weirdo-American community.
  40. Sun's acting odd? by zill · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Hold on, let me consult the oracle about that.

  41. Just a prelude... by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

    ... for the solar explosion in 2012 that wipes out all life. Mayan calendar FTW!

    --
    That is all.
  42. 2012 by edivad · · Score: 1

    Just getting ready for 2012.

  43. Oh, you mean... by vorlich · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    the sun http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_sun

    and not the Sun http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/ -

    two entirely different things in those lands where one speaks the Queen's English and the word take is not extinct.

    --
    Posts, MyBio or Sig, may contain satire, sarcasm, bolded nouns be sardonic or even witty & be Church of SD
  44. sunspots? by Superken7 · · Score: 1

    The sun got spots and now they are missing? Might be because of the suncream

  45. It's gods work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We humans are creating better insulation for our home, earth, in a desperate effort to reduce energy consumption. Now that everything this plan is working out fine, god is turning down the heating system.

    Or, more seriously, the next ice-age is due soon (though technically already started - both poles are fully covered in ice), and reduced solar power output helps for sure.

  46. hell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We're all doome!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11111111!!!!!!!!!!!

  47. Re:Mankind's fault. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nah, it is only oracle fault

  48. Livingston and Penn tell an interesting tale by SockPuppet_9_5 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If you want a solar story that adds a bit more mystery to the rehash of the current solar tale in the linked article, google up Livingston and Penn about the observations that the sunspot frequency is diminishing. In the past, the solar flux would match up to the sunspot number closely. Beginning some twenty some odd years ago, this century long curve matching parted ways. To sum up the mystery, in ten years time, solar cycles will continue. It's just there won't be any more sunspots. (a little hyperbole, but not as much as you think)

  49. Re: Plants are the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think we've been doing a good job at that already!

  50. Probably Ignored by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'll probably be ignored, but Native Americans have long known the sun to be on an (average) FIFTEEN (15) year cycle. They might have just been lucky it was low during their observations.

  51. Clearly, it's the Oracle by microbee · · Score: 1

    Enough said

  52. You insensitive clods! by PPH · · Score: 1

    I live in Seattle. What is this 'sun' you speak of?

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  53. Effects on the weather by Retron · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One of my hobbies is meteorology and as I'm in the UK there's no shortage of discussion about the weather!

    Over on the various weather forums we've been discussing the solar minimum for the past couple of years, as in the UK at least there's a strong correlation between climatic cold spells and low sunspot activity (the Little Ice Age a few hundred years ago coincided with the Maunder minimum, for example). There was another minimum in the early 1800s, again coinciding with a colder period in the UK climate. It was during this time that Charles Dickens popularised the idea of a White Christmas, something which hasn't occured in 40 years here (30 miles east of London).

    The effects are pretty immediate in climating terms, with an onset of years rather than decades. Although yes, the Sun's becoming more active there's been a lot of discussion as to whether the low solar activity was responsible for the coldest winter in 17 years in England (and longer than that in Scotland).

    The Sun's effect on the climate is probably beyond any numerical weather prediction models at the moment but it'd be fascinating to see what the effects would be if we were to experience a prolonged period of much lower solar activity than normal!

    1. Re:Effects on the weather by andymar · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't use the word fascinating. We should worry if the climate gets colder. Historically that has meant
      a lot of suffering for humans. Warm climate is good.

    2. Re:Effects on the weather by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1, Informative

      Although yes, the Sun's becoming more active there's been a lot of discussion as to whether the low solar activity was responsible for the coldest winter in 17 years in England (and longer than that in Scotland).

      Doubtful, given that:

      For the year-to-date, the global combined land and ocean surface temperature of 13.3C (56.0F) was the warmest January-April period. This value is 0.69C (1.24F) above the 20th century average.

      Citation.

      Furthermore:

      The decade of the 2000s (2000-2009) was warmer than the decade spanning the 1990s (1990-1999), which in turn was warmer than the 1980s (1980-1989). More complete data for the remainder of the year 2009 will be analysed at the beginning of 2010 to update the current assessment.

      Citation. Which, of course, makes the idea of solar drive GW look pretty silly, what with the solar minimum during this decade.

      So, alas, apparently I *once again* need to point out: Local temperature != global temperature. Seriously, people, how many times does this have to be repeated before you start to actually get it?

    3. Re:Effects on the weather by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Total Solar Irradiance does not change, though the spectrum does change somewhat, particularly at the high end of the solar spectrum, UV.

      There is certainly a correlation seen - I have heard several scientists remark on this. There have been 3 or 4 Minimum (not just the Maunder Minimum) and each time, the climate changes. But the Maunder Minimum is the best recorded. The Viking Settlement that died in Greenland was a different Minimum if I recall correctly.

      One of the more popular theories is that changes in solar UV and solar wind affect cloud formation, which will drive the local climate different ways.

    4. Re:Effects on the weather by Abcd1234 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      None of which changes the fact that, during *this* solar minimum, the global has continued to warm, which cleanly rules out the sun as the primary driver of the global warming we are witnessing.

    5. Re:Effects on the weather by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Not hardly. We barely understand micro lag-time wrt climate, let alone how much lag there is in the system over decades or hundreds or even thousands of years.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    6. Re:Effects on the weather by Retron · · Score: 1

      So, alas, apparently I *once again* need to point out: Local temperature != global temperature. Seriously, people, how many times does this have to be repeated before you start to actually get it?

      Yes, yes, I get it - which is why I pointed out "in the UK" rather than globally. Your patronising attitude is misplaced in this case.

      Incidentslly the REASON it's suspected to cause colder weather on a local - but not necessarily global - level is as follows. When solar activity is weaker, this tends to promote a weaker jetstream across the Atlantic and/or one which lies further south than normal. A weak jet in the winter means a lack of "dartboard" lows zooming in from the Atlantic, the sort of thing that was commonplace in the early 2000s. Notably the late 2000s have seen a marked lack of these lows, which means less mild conditions for the UK. Indeed, a southerly jet means we end up to the north of lows, resulting in a greater incidence of easterlies, snow and generally cold weather. Note that the same pattern in summer results in hot Continental air wafting over the UK, so low solar activity doesn't mean cold summers.

      In short, I know full well that it's not as simple as low solar activity = cold world, but I didn't say that. I said that low solar activity = cold UK, perhaps next time you may want to actually read the post you're commenting on.

    7. Re:Effects on the weather by Budenny · · Score: 0, Troll

      "So, alas, apparently I *once again* need to point out: Local temperature != global temperature. Seriously, people, how many times does this have to be repeated before you start to actually get it?"

      Of course local temperature = global temperature. The science is settled on this one.

      Deniers can say all they want about this, but this was proved by Michael Mann and colleagues in MBH98, and their studies have been replicated many times by independent researchers. You will recall, or perhaps people need to be informed, that in that seminal groundbreaking article, which was accepted by the IPCC as reflecting the mass of the evidence, and indeed in subsequent publications, a couple of bristle cone pines in the US and a few cedars in the Gaspe Peninsula turned out to represent the climate of the whole planet. You had to use a sophisticated method of PCA analysis to get to the truth of the matter, so sophisticated and so ground breaking that the full method was too valuable to reveal in its entirety, but once you did this, bingo, you had it.

      It was an excellent thing that we had these bristle cone pines and Gaspe cedars, because otherwise we'd have had no way of measuring global temperatures for that period. Fortunately however, these trees showed local temperatures which were also global temperatures.

      It was similarly proved, I think by UEA researchers, that one or two trees in Yamal, or someplace in Northern Russia, maybe it was Tornetrask, could accurately represent temperatures there, and that these temperatures were those of the entire planet.

      So it is a filthy lie to say that local temperatures are different from global ones. People who say this are denialists funded by the fossil fuel lobby. They probably do not believe in evolution either, they are right wing neo conservative fundamentalists, and many of them used to campaign against the connection between tobacco smoking and cancer. Dreadful people. The consensus is that Exxon and Dick Cheney are behind this well funded campaign of disinformation.

      Anyway, the science is settled, as long as you pick the right local temperatures, they are the same as the global ones!

    8. Re:Effects on the weather by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't worry about it.

      -Coal powered Hummer Driver's Association

  54. Gordon Brown... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...claimed he would end boom and bust. This is what we got.

  55. It's the photino birds! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They are eating our Sun!

  56. Oblig XKCD by SerpensV · · Score: 1
    1. Re:Oblig XKCD by boxwood · · Score: 1

      even funnier since thats kinda the plot of Sunshine.

  57. Isn't it obvious? by f3rret · · Score: 1

    It's all Galactus' doing.

    --
    Admit nothing. Deny Everything. Make Counter-accusations.
  58. Apres moi le deluge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No need to reject any theory. Simple undramatic already known explanation: there is some variability in Sun's cycle.

    It is natural for us to think: I am special! When something slightly different happens during my lifetime, it must be something grand!

    A few years from now on things will be back to normal. And we'll be trying to find something else special about our generation. How about the Jesus peoples' staple: the entire world will become to an end within my lifetime. Because I am just that special.

  59. Re: Plants are the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Which also has the desirable effect of creating a second source of bright light.

  60. Re: Plants are the cause by GuruBuckaroo · · Score: 1

    The Nagas of Upper Burma believe that the Sun shines by day, because, being a woman, she is afraid to come out at night.

    --
    Poor means hoping the toothache goes away.
  61. Re: Plants are the cause by BitZtream · · Score: 1

    Burning down all the forests just deals with the leaf inflation problem. Then you end up needing to send all your useless robots off to make planetary toupees.

    --
    Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  62. Similar situation by OpenSourced · · Score: 1

    "What's not so gratifying is we have no clue why any of these effects are happening."

    Well, it's not like they had any clue before as to why there was an eleven years' cycle, so the situation hasn't changed that much.

    --
    Rome taught me patience and assiduous application to detail. Virtues which temper the boldness of great, general views.
  63. watch this video by FudRucker · · Score: 1

    and you'll know what needs to be done:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PT8bGxFu4wA

    --
    Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
  64. Re:Mankind's fault. by daeglo · · Score: 1

    The above link is proof that the gulf oil 'leak' is really a conspiracy by the PostgreSQL lobbyists to quash the competition on MySQL! We must not let this stand!!!

  65. Two Techniques by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Informative
    Off the top of my head I can think of two ways to put a firm upper and lower boundary on the sun's age:
    • Upper bound from the ratio of U235 and U238. In supernovae these are produced in roughly equal quantities and each has a half life measured in billions of years. Currently the Uranium on Earth is about 99.3% U-238 and 0.7% U-235 so, using the different half-lives, you can calculate the age of the supernovae which preceded the solar systems formation as about 6 billion years ago so the sun must be younger than this.
    • Lower bound from the age of the Earth itself. Again radio dating techniques used on rocks put the age of the planet as about 4.5 billion years so the sun must be older than this.

    Combine this with simulations about how long it would take an Earth sized mass to form an cool and you can probably come up with reasonably accurate value for the age of the sun. Of course this is just off the top of my head - there may be better and more accurate techniques which geologists and astophysicists have developed.

    1. Re:Two Techniques by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Upper bound from the ratio of U235 and U238. In supernovae these are produced in roughly equal quantities and each has a half life measured in billions of years.

      How do you know that U235 and U238 are produced in roughly equal abundance? This is not generally true of isotopes of other elements. I'm a little doubtful that the production rates can be derived accurately enough from theory to produce a useful age limit.

      The amount of helium in the Sun provides a limit on the total energy it has radiated, assuming we're right about how fusion works. Combine that with the observed total radiation of the Sun and you can get what I think is a better crude limit on the Sun's age. You can do better by dating certain meteorites, which appear to have been created at about the same time as the Sun.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    2. Re:Two Techniques by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lower bound from the age of the Earth itself. Again radio dating techniques used on rocks put the age of the planet as about 4.5 billion years so the sun must be older than this.

      While I have no doubt that this is correct, my inbuilt need to argue compels me to say that the age of the Earth is not by itself enough to set a lower boundary on the Sun's age. You would need to present some additional arguments as to why the Earth could not have formed earlier than the Sun. It might even have originated outside of the solar system and captured by the Sun as it passed through the gravity well.

    3. Re:Two Techniques by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      How do you know that U235 and U238 are produced in roughly equal abundance?

      Models of supernovae explosions. I'm not a nuclear astrophysicist so I don't know the details, nor how robust the prediction is though. However trying to figure out what was going on in our neighbourhood 5+ billion years ago is likely to be fraught with inaccuracies and require some level of assumption.

    4. Re:Two Techniques by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      The amount of helium in the Sun provides a limit on the total energy it has radiated, assuming we're right about how fusion works.

      Surely you can only do this is you know how much helium the sun started with? There is the relic abundance from Big Bang nucleo-synthesis but what if our region was helium rich (or poor) at the time the sun formed? Certainly we know a supernova had dumped heavier elements into the region. Perhaps these assumptions are more reasonable than those involved in calculating supernova production - I don't know - but you still have assumptions in your method.

    5. Re:Two Techniques by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      You are correct that is an assumption. However you can correlate it with the age of meteorites and the moon as well so it seems rather unlikely that meteorites, moon and Earth all formed around the same time and then all got captured later by a far younger sun. When figuring out what happened in our local region in the past some assumptions are inevitable but I would argue that assuming everything formed at the same time is a more reasonable one (and more likely) than simultaneous capture.

    6. Re:Two Techniques by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      That's why I only said it provides a limit. The Sun hasn't been around much longer than it takes to create the observed amount of He. If it started with an anomalously large amount then it could be younger. The original poster had a good limit on how much younger.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
  66. Wrong by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 3, Informative

    Native Americans have long known the sun to be on an (average) FIFTEEN (15) year cycle.

    They are demonstrably wrong. The data is unequivocal that the cycle has been 11 years in length for the past several hundred years. Look at the plot in this article. There is no way that this is in any way consistent with a 15 years cycle. There may be other, longer cycles which the sun goes though - certainly there are multiple cycles for Earth's ice ages - but there is no evidence whatsoever to support a 15 year cycle.

  67. Solar minima by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    I assure you that we amateur radio operators are _very_ much aware that the sunspot activity is low for much longer than normal. There is much discussion about the Maunder Minimum
      http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/SunspotCycle.shtml
    and the American Radio Relay League has regular reports on sunspot activity and the lack thereof
    http://www.arrl.org/news/the-k7ra-solar-update-113

    Solar flux is very real to radio amateurs, thank you very much.

  68. Flashback 20 years... by aevan · · Score: 1

    Reminds me of Flare* by Zelazny/Thomas: the unnaturally quiet sun bodes ill.

    *not a recommendation of the novel, esp. for Zelazny fans.

  69. Cycles by hackus · · Score: 0

    Given the context of time to do the analysis of the SUN, which lets not forget is probably 6 billion years old, I doubt the so called "cycle" of sun spot activity is a cycle. If it is, then it probably is very short term and studying it is probably not going to in and of itself, allow scientists to gleem any information about the inner workings of the sun.

    My guess, is that sun spot activity is a by product of the material composition of the sun, namely its rich metals content therefore studying it is sort of a waste of time if your desire is to understand how in actuality the sun works. So as the sun ages the metal content tends to increasingly flow to the surface, cooling more slowly due to its mass and causing the surrounding gases to (Hydrogen and Helium Plasma) to cool.

    I have a theory that Sun Spots are not present in young stars that have high metal content like the sun. They are cooler, and do not have the energy levels to cause the kind of flows that would differentiate metal plasmas from Gas plasma's to the surface.

    If I was a chemist I would be studying the sun spot cycle very much so, but I wouldn't studying sun spots if I wanted to learn how the sun works.

    So this seems to me to be a bit of a waste of time from the Stellar mechanics view of things.

    -Hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  70. Louis XIV caused the Maunder Minimum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Louis XIV, the Sun King, took the throne in 1643. It took him two years to kill off the sunspots (after all he was only four when he ascended) but he was able to keep them away until his death, in 1715. I guess ole Louis just wore himself out keeping those sunspots away.

    I knew to look that up because Isaac Asimov wrote about it. I remembered from when I was a kid.

  71. de Vries Cycle? by dammy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We are currently over do for the de Vries (Suess) 205-210 year cycle. Hopefully it will just be a Dalton Minimum...

  72. oversimplified by confused+one · · Score: 1

    Maybe it's an 11 year cycle on top of a 400 year cycle. Maybe there's a number of cycles at work with odd harmonics and resonances that will appear from time to time.

  73. All these head injuries to Steve Nash are taking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    their toll.

  74. Sun under new management? by rcamans · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Maybe that crazed executive from SCO decided to take over running Sun...
    No, wait a minute, wrong Sun...

    --
    wake up and hold your nose
  75. Too Quiet... by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 1

    When things get really quiet, isn't that just before it all goes horribly wrong?

    --
    You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
  76. It's digesting by ZeroExistenZ · · Score: 1

    Jupiters late missing spot :)

    --
    I think we can keep recursing like this until someone returns 1
  77. Re: Plants are the cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    I thought The Sun, as in the newspaper.

  78. Oblig. Irrelevant Mayan Reference by Torodung · · Score: 2, Funny

    Wait. Which b'ak'tun are we in again? Time to invent an enormous stone time machine and bug out, folks. LOL.

    --
    Toro

  79. Sun's periodicity? by rcamans · · Score: 1

    The Sun's sunspots actually have many periods. ~11 yrs, ~22, ~87, ~210, ~2300, ~6000 yrs. The overall sunspot count is a combination of these periods. So where are we in all of these cycles?

    Sunspots are actually cold spots on the Sun's "surface" (photosphere). The Sun has many other layers (core, radiative, convective, photosphere, chromosphere, corona). I am sure that each layer has it's own phenomenon, with their own periodicities. Each layer, its features, and their periodicities, influence the layers around it, at least. The photosphere has, in addition to sunspots, granules and prominences. Do these also have periodicities? (yes, but we do not know them, and maybe aren't even looking for them yet) Because the Sun's overall output is the combination of all of them, not just sunspots.

    And these phenomenom are not just surface effects, but also deep, like rotation, currents, etc. And interlayer interactions

    Funny thing is, sunspots are cold spots. So why did we have a cold spell (ice age) during the Maunder minimum, which had almost no sunspots for many years? Probably because there was also a minimum of hot spots during the same time? So solar output overall fell? Maybe that means that the hot spots can be more important to overall solar output than the cold sunspots? And what are the hot spots? Solar prominences? Are there any other hot spots?

    What are the similar featuress of the other layers, what are their preiodicities, and how can we detect these features and their periods, and their effect on overall solar output? And their effects on adjacent layers?

    Can someone start working on making solar observation scientific?

    --
    wake up and hold your nose
  80. internal current circulation was responsible by PDX · · Score: 1

    The rate of current circulation increased during the solar minimum. Churning of plasma means that less heat is blasted into space. The coronal temperature increases gradually as a result. The solar flares everyone is familiar with is analogous to a boiling kettle. The lid of the kettle is the magnetic field of the sun confining its plasmas.

  81. Solarpause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The sun's no longer spotting regularly... Solarpause.

  82. We're about to get our butts kicked by the sun by stoicio · · Score: 1

    Longer solar hiatus has tended to lead to stronger peaks.
    I hope everyone has surge protectors.

  83. Don't you play video games? by Nyder · · Score: 1

    The sun is pressing down the hit button to powerup for a big blast.

    --
    Be seeing you...
  84. Blame Game ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's all Bush's fault, whatever it is.

  85. Re: Plants are the cause by Xyrus · · Score: 1

    Can someone please go and tell Chuck Norris to stop terrorizing the sun?

    --
    ~X~
  86. I have altered the Sun ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... Pray I do not alter it further.

  87. The reason. by Cr0vv · · Score: 3, Funny

    The reason why the Sun's cycle is lasting longer than expected has been known by the astronomers and astrophysicists for many years, it's just that there is a news blackout on the subject. Have you also noticed that we have had record breaking weather around the World now for several years? Now, there is a gag order on reporting the weather records being broken. How about the Volcanoes, have you noticed the increase? I'm not just talking about Eyjafjallajoekull in Iceland, there 2 now active in Ecuador right now alone. How about the sensational (unexplained) sky swirl in Norway? Odd, don't you think? What's up with the Sink holes in the Eastern U.S. and how about the melting glaciers and pole ice? These and many more unusual Earth events are happening but the public doesn't really get to find out, as the USGS, U.S.Navy or NASA control your access to the information. Please, don't bother with the IOCC status quo pablum they've been pushing for years. Do you think that C.C. is gonna explain the Norway? The Volcanoes now? Take that out of the equation. I've been telling this story since '08, it is a highly magnetic small brown dwarf in the solar system with it's South pole pointed at the Sun for the last few years sucking out the magnetron particles and softening the Sun's normal cycle. Soon it will break free of the ecliptic, and Slashdot will be no more. Survivable though. subscribe to my newsletter to get the details. Chris Thomas.

  88. I wish it would hurry up by sv_libertarian · · Score: 1

    I want the 10 meter band to open up damnit! Personally though, I blame Bush.

  89. Just let the Sun be! by sriramv_iyer · · Score: 1

    The problem comes when we try to fit in behaviors into our model, rather than have models to explain behavior. Sun does what it wants to do - Just because scientists observed something periodic, does not require the Sun to behave appropriately. For e.g., fitting employees performance to a Bell Curve (normalization curve) - Here we take data and fudge it to fit into the model for the sake of convenience of management. It might be of scientific interest to see why this happened, though. Just let the Sun be! Sriram

    1. Re:Just let the Sun be! by Black+Gold+Alchemist · · Score: 1

      LEAVE THE SUN ALONE!

      --
      Responsibility is an addiction
      Virtue is a temptation
      Community is a cartel
  90. CQ DX by Whiteox · · Score: 1

    "CQ - CQ - Do you read me Smokey Bear?"

    --
    Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
  91. Possible rebound? by LongearedBat · · Score: 1

    Could this delay be something like loading a spring? So that when the sun does complete its cycle, it then gives us an unusually big burn to make up for this extended cold period?

  92. Anonymous Coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    bwahahahhahhahhahaah

    2012 is here !!

    bwahahahahahahah !!

  93. could it be... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    that we're just looking at the sun from the wrong side?

  94. Re: Plants are the cause by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

    Don't you know that plants have been using the Sun's energy for millions of years, no wonder there is nothing left! The solution is simple: burn the forests.

    That at least will push up the value of the leaf.

  95. Re: Plants are the cause by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

    So is Jupiter going to be kicked entirely out of the solar system? And about time too.

  96. Re:Mankind's fault. by Kymermosst · · Score: 1

    Proof that one man's +5 funny (or so I thought it would be) is another man's -1 troll.

    My sig ought to have given away my position here, folks.

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.
  97. Re:Mankind's fault. by Kymermosst · · Score: 1

    Don't be an idiot. The comment was supposed to be funny, jackass.

    --
    "Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives" should be a convenience store, not a government agency.
  98. Re: Plants are the cause by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Also am I the only one who thought Sun as in the company?

    Given that the Sun logo appears along side the story, I'd imagine that at least one Slashdot editor had the same thought...

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  99. Mod the troll down by Snaller · · Score: 1

    Are you mad? Give him 5 for this?!

    --
    If Google really cared they would fix Android Chrome to reflow text, instead of discriminating
  100. documentary by stiller · · Score: 1

    I saw a documentary on this once:
    http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0448134/

  101. 2012 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Two more years, my friends.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_%28film%29

  102. Jor-El, Krypton is merely adjusting its orbit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nothing to worry about.

  103. Why the Sun enters a period of rest. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.landscheidt.info/
    THIS site goes into the physical reasons for the solar cycles. The positions of the 4 gas giants of the solar system pull the sun in a lobed orbit around the nominal center of he solar system. When we have an extended solar cycle (like we do now), Jupiter, Uranus and Neptune are in the same quadrant and saturn is on the other side of the Sun. The positions of Uranus and Neptune are a little more critical inn their positioning, but the result for the Sun is that it is not pulled in its lobed orbit as far as normal. It is more at rest in the actual center of the solar system with smaller gravitational stresses. This reduction in the angular momentum of the Sun leads to reduced solar activity.