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MIT Says Natural Gas Best To Lower Carbon Emissions

eldavojohn writes "This week MIT released a comprehensive, hundred-page report entitled 'The Future of Natural Gas' that outlined the many scenarios the United States faces when aiming to reduce carbon emissions. From the New York Times recap: 'The scenario goes like this, according to MIT: Nuclear power, renewable energy, and carbon capture and sequestration are relatively expensive next to gas. Conventional coal is no longer a major source of power generation in the United States. "Natural gas is the substantial winner in the electric sector: The substitution effect, mainly gas generation for coal generation, outweighs the demand reduction effect."' Will this urging help to produce a policy shift from renewable energy (like wind) to natural gas for the United States?"

284 comments

  1. Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    It could work.

    Too much has to change around the transmission/distribution infrastructure for the renewables to work. And scaling the renewables up to current needs promises to make them no cleaner and potentially not even more carbon neutral than what we have now.

    Like it or not, the future will have nuclear and cleaner versions of hydrocarbons before renewables.

    1. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Renewables will happen but it's going to take decades before they have a significant impact. As you say too much has to change for them to become the biggest producers of energy in our society today. However they are in the public's eye and that isn't likely to change. So slowly but surely they will be deployed on more buildings over time though it's like going to be fifty or more years before they provide even twenty five percent of our energy. That's because of the cost and the distribution issue.

    2. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Watch Gasland.

    3. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by KGBear · · Score: 2, Informative

      Please mod parent up. Gasland is a documentary on natural gas and completely relevant to this discussion.

    4. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by IdolizingStewie · · Score: 1

      Haynesville is another good relevant documentary.

    5. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not trying to sound like that singularity-guy Kurzweil here, but if you look at how quickly solar power grows it does look very promising.

      People complain about solar hype, but show me any other sector of the global economy that grows by more than 40% every year for over a decade.

      If there is such a sector, it is surely also extremely hyped. Like mobile phones?

    6. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Onsite renewables like wind and solar (especially solar thermal for water heating) don't need any transmission/distribution infrastructure changes to work.

      Where's your evidence that scaling up renewables like wind, solar, geothermal makes them no cleaner than coal or oil? Or creates anything like the dirty products of nuke plants?

      Yes, the future will probably have more nuclear and slightly less dirty exhaustible fuels like oil, coal and gas. But that's because those dirty old industries are still favored by subsidies and momentum. Not by physics or economics. The renewables are easier to scale, and the factors keeping their legacy competitors propped up are being steadily removed or overmatched by the new industries. We don't have to like the old stuff, and we don't have to keep it, either.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    7. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by IdolizingStewie · · Score: 1

      Or... judging by the reactions of most here, Haynesville is an awful documentary, because the conclusion it comes to is pro-natural gas. I would still recommend watching it just to see the coonasses in their native environment, which I submit that most here would find hilarious.

    8. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      The growth you are seeing is a product of manufactured necessity.

      In other words, the necessity simple isn't there at it's current state. If it wasn't for government subsidies in both the commercial and residential markets along with gigantic pushes for legislation mandating it, and the threat of regulation requiring it, the growth wouldn't otherwise exist.

      Solar, just like most other alternative energy sources simple aren't otherwise cost effective. That may change, but typically, to see the same growth you are seeing with solar, it would have changed before the growth not after it. This push to move to natural gas (and I'm assuming liquefied petroleum gas which is very similar) could cause a massive halt to the solar industry. That's a problem when something is propped up by artificial means instead of an actual market necessity. We saw the growth slow when oil dropped in prices, if the other incentives are removes, it doesn't look good.

    9. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by M.+Baranczak · · Score: 2, Funny

      You are right, of course. Solar power is not cost effective. Government subsidies for green tech distort the market, and are unsustainable. The only sane thing to do is wait for Ayn Rand to descend from the heavens and tell us what to do (I obviously can't predict what that will be, but I bet it'll involve income tax cuts for the upper brackets). And none of that matters anyway, because there's no such thing as global warming.

    10. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, yes and no.

      If solar power companies fail to deliver low cost and high performance before the government subsidies are phased out, then the growth will surely slow down.

      Natural gas will not threaten solar. Power from a newly constructed natural gas plant is more expensive than power from an existing coal power plant. Switching from old coal plants to new gas plants is likely to drive up the market price of electricity and possibly make brownouts and price spikes more common, which is exactly the kind of thing that the solar manufacturers thrive on.

    11. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by sumdumass · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You don't need Ayn Rand or anything descending from the heavens to know that cost effectiveness is what is the issue. To date, solar simply isn't cost effective without subsidies, artificial inflation of other energy sources and the threat of other technology being regulated out of the markets. This also needs no tax cuts or anything because it's a simple fact of life. If you bank all your money on solar power, you will be a broke mother'fsker if the country moves to natural gas for it's carbon sequestering plans as solar will wither away with your savings.

      Look, it doesn't take a genius to see the outside forces at play here. But it does take a fool to ignore them in order to chastise your political enemies.

    12. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Your somewhat there. It's not all that difficult to retrofit a coal plant to natural gas. The heat exchangers can be the same, the only difference would be the furnace to fire the fuel and a pipeline to bring the fuel in.

      When I was working at the power stations in Aberdeen Ohio, One of the four generators was already set up for dual fuels with natural gas being the backup in case there was a problem getting the coal or JPL fuel on site (the coal is sprayed with a mist of jet fuel grade kerosene in order to promote even burning just before entering the furnace so they count as one fuel).

      Anyways, one of the largest problems with upgrading the existing plants right now is that emissions regulations. They put a chemical dispersion devise on the exhaust scrubbers at the same power plant and had to get the entire emissions system re-certified to the newest emissions standards. And all this chemical was supposed to do was stop the fly-ash from creating an acid( or base, I don't remember) when it hardened in the corners of the heat exchangers. That stopped them from having to replace the exchangers as often (which oddly enough, didn't require any re-certification).

      I doubt the costs of building new or retrofitting the existing facilities would drive up the market price of electricity and possibly make brownouts and price spikes more common unless regulation causes it in which case we haven't really gotten away from the subsidy and artificial problem.

    13. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by M.+Baranczak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      To date, solar simply isn't cost effective without subsidies, artificial inflation of other energy sources and the threat of other technology being regulated out of the markets.

      Well... yeah. If you ignore the externalities (like pollution, or dependence on foreign oil), then solar is not cost effective (and neither is wind or biodiesel or any other renewable source). That's the whole point of subsidies and the other stuff you mention; the free market doesn't account for externalities, that's why they're externalities.

      If you bank all your money on solar power,

      Who said anything about "all" the money? I think a diversified approach would work best.

      I also think that a carbon tax would be a much better solution than subsidies for particular technologies, since it would encourage people to use the most effective emission-reducing measures, rather than the ones that happen to be in vogue with the regulators. But it doesn't look like we'll get that anytime soon.

    14. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by kvillaca · · Score: 0

      Doing this we are changing 6 for half-dozen... Because the CO2 still being produced and may be in larger scale than today, due that the population and the industrialization just expand. Yeah you are all right, we will have one time between hydrocarbons before renewables,though it's not the solution, for that we, "human race", don't reach one not return point, there are need to change many things, starting for transports, the way we produce wastes, and go on. The funny thing is that everybody knows that we are going to the abyss edge, and looks like that everybody is paying to see what will happen, because no one want's change your way of life. Don't believe that the people will command this change, because will not. Those sort of changes need be make from top to down, starting with the government, and laws, then companies and for last ordinary citizens.

    15. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by jcr · · Score: 0, Troll

      wait for Ayn Rand to descend from the heavens and tell us what to do

      That may seem like a clever quip to you, but Rand's philosophy is all about not telling people what to do.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    16. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by iggie · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sorry, but Rand's philosophy is all about not having people tell her what to do. Other than that, it was pretty much her telling people what to do. Its a subtle distinction, but it does illustrate a common characteristic of people who identify themselves as Libertarians.

    17. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by tripdizzle · · Score: 1

      When private citizens are telling other private citizens what to do, you shouldn't have a problem with that, because they can't force or coerce you into anything without your consent, the government on the other hand, is a completely different story, since they are able to confiscate your property or throw you in jail if they decide to, "nudge" you in the direction they see fit by taxing.

      --
      "A claim for equality of material position can be met only by a government with totalitarian powers." Hayek
    18. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2, Informative

      Mod parent up.

      Although to add more detail than the AC had:

      I haven't had an opportunity to read the MIT report, but the article summary indicates that it is describing a solution to lower carbon emissions.

      We need to see the forest through the trees - who cares if it reduces carbon emissions if it poisons our water? There are numerous cases of groundwater aquifers becoming undrinkable shortly after gas drilling (specifically modern hydraulic fracturing drilling) began. The gas industry continues to defend themselves by saying there is "no conclusive evidence" - But how is it that multiple towns have perfectly drinkable water for decades and then the water becomes undrinkable (saturated with pollutants including methane itself - some people near drilling sites can light their tapwater on fire.) within a year or two of drilling operations commencing?

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    19. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by iggie · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      I've never met a Libertarian who neglected to tell me what to do.

      I'm not sure you're very familiar with Ayn Rand or her cult. Or maybe its hard to see it as such unless you're looking at it from the outside.

    20. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      The growth you are seeing is a product of manufactured necessity.

      In some measure, I agree with you, but a large part of the market is niche applications. I have a friends whose company was trying to sell an LED powered work-light for road construction. What they have now are all powered by diesel generators. He had to put together a demo unit, so that chose to make it solar-powered.

      Damned, if people didn't give squat about the LED replacement lights. They wanted the full solar powered unit. Turns out those small generators are fuel hungry, and like lots of attention from the mechanics. When you have dozens of them to maintain, you end up with lots of maintenance/fueling headaches (especially when one coughs a hairball, and you're in the middle of gawd-awful nowhere).

      He is now in the midst of trying to figure out how to make enough of them. It isn't going to change the world, but this is capitalism the way it is supposed work. Buck makes a buck, and his customers save some bucks, too.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    21. Re:Natural gas has one advantage over renewables by jcr · · Score: 1

      I've never met a Libertarian who neglected to tell me what to do.

      I'm sure you have plenty of people telling you fuck off and die, but that's orthogonal to whether they're libertarians. A libertarian isn't going put a gun to your head and force your compliance.

      I'm not sure you're very familiar with Ayn Rand

      Never met her, but I've read all of her novels, and quite a few of her articles. You, apparently, have only read left-wing distortions of her writings.

      or her cult.

      Tee, hee! You compared Ayn Rand's readers to members of a religion! Why, you're the very epitome of wit. I'm sure you're a big hit in snotty undergrad circles.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  2. Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well, I've been an advocate of replacing coal power with nuclear power for quite some time, but even I'll admit that NG generally results in less than half the CO2 emissions for the energy production, and relative to a reactor is far cheaper to build. And nuclear promises to be cheaper than solar/wind for the amount of electricity produced.

    However, you need quite a lot of it. NG, while cheap in many areas, makes me hesitant because I believe that when we go 'full bore' we'd exhaust our supplies fairly quickly and have increased expenses. Thus I'd like to see nuclear electricity production while we keep NG for heating homes and chemical manufacturing. Heck, you'd have to be rather round-about to make steel using nuclear energy, you can use NG heat directly.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by mpe · · Score: 1

      Well, I've been an advocate of replacing coal power with nuclear power for quite some time, but even I'll admit that NG generally results in less than half the CO2 emissions for the energy production, and relative to a reactor is far cheaper to build.

      It would be possible to build a power plant which was multi fuel or even convert an existing one to a different fuel. Steam turbines don't care what the source of heat to produce the steam is.

    2. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wait till you're bidding against (subsidized) PG&E to heat your home at
      3X the current prices.

      what a sad thought.

      jr

    3. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Overzeetop · · Score: 5, Interesting

      We need multiple sources. I like solar from a purist standpoint: it's the primary source for all energy on earth save geothermal and nuclear (though it could technically be responsible for those, we'll ignore that). Still, I think solar conversion to electricity is still a long way from long term commerical viability. (yes, it's been done, but I don't see anybody making a killing in solar farms, despite the energy source being free)

      Nuclear has the advantage of being cheap (at least, according to my electric bill, it's less than half the cost of coal per kWh)
      Solar has the advantage of being great for A/C induced peaking loads
      NG is very good for peaking loads which are not concurrent with solar generation

      Of course hydroelectric is great for peaking, too - especially if practiced like France and Switzerland. The Swiss buy power from the French (nuclear) during off-peak and use it to pump water into dammed lakes, then generate power through those dams during peak periods and sell it back to the French. The challenege is that there are only so many areas which can be powered this way do to the need for proper topography.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    4. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by dawgs72 · · Score: 1

      I live in an area that contains both a coal and natural gas power plant. Everyday the coal fired plant burns away, but the natural gas plant is hardly ever producing electricity. Yes the natural gas is cheap, but that's the problem with it. Unless the price of natural gas is above a certain level the plant doesn't run. In recent memory the only time I know of it starting was to "jump-start" the coal plant, and then shut back down.

    5. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by AnonymousClown · · Score: 2, Funny

      I believe that when we go 'full bore' we'd exhaust our supplies fairly quickly and have increased expenses.

      Not to worry. My engineers are working on a system of getting the gaseous emissions from folks who eat pizza, Mexican, and drink lots of beer. Part of the plan is to open restaurants where you eat and capture the gas at the same time.

      We're also working on a capture of gas from cattle.

      Our mottoes are "Fart Powered", "Flatulence For Freedom!", "Passing the Wind and the Bucks" and "Make a Stink. Cut out the Terrorists!"

      --
      RIP America

      July 4, 1776 - September 11, 2001

    6. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was also under the impression that NG co-generators were the most efficient electricity producers being employed these days. The gas is burned in a turbine, and the heat from the exhaust is used to power a second steam generator. Emissions are controlled, and every calorie of energy that can be efficiently extracted and used, is.

    7. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      It would be possible to build a power plant which was multi fuel or even convert an existing one to a different fuel. Steam turbines don't care what the source of heat to produce the steam is.

      That's true for conventional steam turbines, but the really efficient natural gas plants are single fuel - they're built for NG. They use turbines that are a touch more like jet engines to help increase their thermal efficiency to over 50%.

      You can convert a coal plant almost directly, but then you're stuck with the plant's existing ~30% efficiency.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    8. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by masterwit · · Score: 1

      Look...you mixing it all up!

      Natural Gas doesn't pollute as much, they generate 3,000 MWh for 400 Simoleons. (0.13/MWh)

      That is not enough power for our cities! I think we would need quite a bit of these plants and of course parks to mitigate the effects! Now if your considering this on a region basis, this shouldn't even be an issue because pollution can disappear over borders completely.

      Source

      In the end its all how we zone, not where our power comes from...

      --
      We should start a new Slashdot and return control to the geeks. It actually wouldn't be that hard to get some users to
    9. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think you have it backwards - the price of NG has to drop below a certain level for them to use it, or the price of electricity has to rise above a certain level.

      This is part of why electricity can be expensive in some areas - due to fears about nuclear, and (justified) concern about the pollution of coal, they're pretty much stuck with natural gas. Unfortunately, NG tends to be the cheapest to build a plant for, but the most expensive on fuel - and Natural Gas is one of the more volatile markets.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    10. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by jollyreaper · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Of course hydroelectric is great for peaking, too - especially if practiced like France and Switzerland. The Swiss buy power from the French (nuclear) during off-peak and use it to pump water into dammed lakes, then generate power through those dams during peak periods and sell it back to the French. The challenege is that there are only so many areas which can be powered this way do to the need for proper topography.

      I've got a feeling that we're going to see a lot of energy barter in the future. Equatorial sites have plenty of sunshine. Not saying this is 100% certain but I think it's very conceivable that we see solar harvesting at the equator with power shipped pole-wards by super-conducting transmission lines. Nitrogen is supposed to be rather affordable by cryogenic standards though we might need to see more materials breakthroughs to get the temperature a little higher before this idea becomes fully economical. And methods of storing off-peak power like you mentioned, that's going to be the real key for evening out production spikes. It will take some serious computer control to balance base-load with variable sources like that. Wind and solar guys say that the spikes average out to a steady load over an entire region but there's still the matter of wind and solar having their peak times.

      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    11. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      A few years ago in Europe, we had a NG fuel crisis because Russian companies refused to provide the gas. Being dependent on Russia for energy generation seems like a very bad move for Europe. I'll take more expensive nuclear/solar over that.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    12. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by fadethepolice · · Score: 0

      Why is the concern here C02? From my perspective the move from Oil is paramount. We need to become self-sufficient in our energy production in order to stabilize our economy and withdraw our troops from overseas. Our global temperature has only been FAIRLY stable for 11,000 years. Global warming is a good thing because the normal state of affairs for our planet for the last 600,000 years has been an ice age please review long-term scientific data such as this: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ice_core and stop depending on climate models based off of the last few hundred years which are basically meaningless in the long term. The area I live at right now was under a mile of ice 14,000 years ago. Global warming is a very good thing compared to a global ice age. Our current warm period is already nearing it's termination phase and the greatest threat to human existence is the arrival of a new ice age. IF natural gas can domesticate our energy supply while providing a warming blanket over our perpetually cold planet then that is fantastic. Preserving a climate regime that is only 11,000 years old is shortsighted.

    13. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 3, Interesting

      wait till you're bidding against (subsidized) PG&E to heat your home at 3X the current prices.

      I live in Santa Clara, which has its own non-PG&E electric service. (From "local politicians going into the electricity business", as that bitch sneered in the the slick commercials for Prop 16- which would have required 2/3 of all voters to approve of their locality moving away from PG&E. That commercial was on every fucking commercial break last month and the POS almost passed.) Santa Clara charges 8 cents per kWh.

      Lawrence Expressway is one block away, separating Santa Clara from Sunnyvale, which is served by PG&E. By my reckoning, electric bills in Sunnyvale are 50% higher, since the PG&E baseline rate is 12 cents per kWh. I don't know what this "3X rate hike" is all about, but I've heard it from other people in surrounding PG&E territory.

    14. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by gbutler69 · · Score: 1

      You know, it is hard to argue with this. As much as I'd like to, I'm having trouble finding a viable counter-argument.

      --
      Over-the-top Response Guy! Giving "Over-the-Top Responses" since 1970.
    15. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by dkf · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Of course hydroelectric is great for peaking, too - especially if practiced like France and Switzerland. The Swiss buy power from the French (nuclear) during off-peak and use it to pump water into dammed lakes, then generate power through those dams during peak periods and sell it back to the French. The challenege is that there are only so many areas which can be powered this way do to the need for proper topography.

      Pumped storage is quite an expensive way to do electricity generation; there are considerable inherent losses in the system due to things like friction in pumps. On the other hand, it's the only known-viable large scale energy storage scheme; the other alternatives I've seen articles about (various kinds of batteries, pressurized gas, etc.) are neat but haven't demonstrated at anything like the scale of a pumped storage plant.

      And all you need to build one is two lakes/reservoirs close to each other with a big height difference. So, maybe not in most of the Mid-West, but there's got to be plenty of suitable places in the Appalachians or the Cascades. Maybe others too.

      --
      "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
    16. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by sourcerror · · Score: 1

      Stink different!
      or
      Stink right in the box!

    17. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by AJWM · · Score: 1

      Steam turbines don't care what the source of heat to produce the steam is.

      Yeah, actually, they do, because that will affect the temperature of the steam. The temperature (and thus pressure) of the steam affects the optimum design of the turbine. Nuke plants typically operate at a much lower steam temperature/pressure than coal plants, equivalent to or even slightly lower than the low pressure/temperature turbines (which use the steam already used to turn the high pressure turbines) in coal-fired plants.

      --
      -- Alastair
    18. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Rogerborg · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nuclear has the advantage of being cheap (at least, according to my electric bill, it's less than half the cost of coal per kWh)

      Check your tax bill for the rest of the cost. It's not all bad though: your kids and grandkids will help you out with the cleanup costs.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    19. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by shermo · · Score: 1

      This might surprise you but often the coal plant will be paying to keep running. The costs of shutting down and starting up again are large for coal plants, so it's in their interests to keep generating around the clock, even if it means they have to pay, rather than get paid, sometimes.

      --
      Insanity: voting in the same two parties over and over again and expecting different results
    20. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be possible to build a power plant which was multi fuel or even convert an existing one to a different fuel. Steam turbines don't care what the source of heat to produce the steam is.

      True in principle. Harder to realize in practice. Large-scale power plants are generally designed to produce steam of the ideal quality (temperature, pressure, etc.) for a particular turbine/generator backend. Swapping out a coal furnace with a gas burner or (even more radically) a nuclear reactor would take some very careful engineering to keep from pushing the overall plant efficiency off a cliff.

      Could it be done? Yes. The Fort St. Vrain nuclear plant was converted to a natural gas plant (ironically, after the bugs in the novel, helium-cooled, thorium-fueled reactor had been largely sorted out). The spent nuclear fuel is still there...

    21. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by mjwx · · Score: 1

      I think you have it backwards - the price of NG has to drop below a certain level for them to use it, or the price of electricity has to rise above a certain level.

      This depends on where you live. In Western Australia (and Australia in general) it's cheaper to fill you car with LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas, made from Natural Gas) then it is with Petrol. Nearly half the price for LPG then for unleaded. Also for power generation, a bit cheaper then coal as we just pipe it down from the north west shelf.

      In case you were interested, the largest importer of Western Australian Natural Gas is China.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    22. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by MorePower · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Most modern natural gas turbines are "combustion turbines", which means they don't generate steam to turn the turbine*. Instead they use the hot exhaust to directly turn the turbines. The modern designs I have worked with generally have a "duel fuel" option, allowing them to run off of diesel fuel as well. They can also run off of syngas, which is basically the same as natural gas (but synthetic not natural), which is made from coal. And I know of one that was modified to run off of hydrogen (it was at a refinery that produced hydrogen as a by-product of refining).

      Combustion turbines can burn basically anything that is a gas or can be atomized, it is a question of tweaking there combustion settings, comparable to making a car run off alcohol or whatever.

      *Most combustion turbines I've work with are "combined cycle" which means they've added a Heat Recovery Steam Generator (HRSG) to boil water from the exhaust of the combustion turbine. The steam is then used to turn a steam turbine generator to produce even more power.

    23. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      This depends on where you live. In Western Australia (and Australia in general) it's cheaper to fill you car with LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas, made from Natural Gas) then it is with Petrol. Nearly half the price for LPG then for unleaded. Also for power generation, a bit cheaper then coal as we just pipe it down from the north west shelf.

      Ever consider that this might be due to various levels of taxes? The USA is commonly said to have the lowest taxes - but 70 cents out of every gallon is taxes.

      Anyways, yes, it's regional. As I noted in my original post.

      Some areas have lots of cheap natural gas. Some don't, yet produce their power via it anyways.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    24. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Thanks for identifying it - that's what I was searching for - 'combustion turbine'.

      Wasn't aware they can be multifuel that way. Thought they had to be basically hardware setup for a given fuel. How big of a hit does it give you on efficiency?

      And I'm aware of the combined cycle, that's how you get up in the range of 60%.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    25. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Back to basic economics (should have been in original post) - assuming that the operators of the plants are rational, the only justification for NOT operating a power plant is if the production would be too expensive. If they have it on standby, that makes it a 'peaking plant'.

      With a pre-built natural gas plant that's not defective, that would indicate expensive natural gas compared to the coal the coal plant is burning. Cut the cost of the NG in half or double the cost of the coal, and I'm willing to bet they'd shut the coal plant down.

      The grandparent seemed to imply that natural gas was too cheap to operate the plant. The situation would have to be the complete opposite.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    26. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Khashishi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      and who do you suppose will pay for the cleanup of coal pollution?

    27. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      The answer as it has been over the last forty years of inaction and begging for handouts is for the US nuclear industry to get off it's collective backside and do some R&D until they have something practical and possibly even commercially viable. The only thing they've done in all that time is to being in some old Japanese R&D via company mergers. If they don't start doing R&D the answer is to wait ten years until the Chinese perfect pebble bed or fifteen for the Indians to perfect accelerated thorium. The local alternative is three mile island with the safety features it should have had in the 1970s painted green.
      Also you can't make steel using nuclear generated energy since you need to put carbon in there (from coking coal) and various other reactions - all you can do with electricity alone is melt existing steel or heat it up to forge.

    28. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Rogerborg · · Score: 0, Troll

      CO2 cleanup money grows on trees.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    29. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>Unfortunately, NG tends to be the cheapest to build a plant for, but the most expensive on fuel - and Natural Gas is one of the more volatile markets.

      Indeed. I've tracked Natural Gas prices over the last 10 years, and they fluctuate wildly. The MIT report notes this, and expects that in the long run, NG will actually be displaced by other technologies. (Slashdot summary wrong? Heaven forfend.)

      It's hard to actually pin down "average costs" of building new power plants, as they can vary in cost regionally due to a variety of factors (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levelised_energy_cost). The California DOE surveyed existing power plants to generate levelized cost estimates for nuclear and gas (in a variety of designs) and found nuclear to be about on par; cheaper, if 15% subsidies are included.

      Needless to say, nuclear doesn't generate CO2, but NG does (though less than coal), so it puzzles me somewhat that they're pushing NG as anything other than a "well it's better than coal" option.

      Honestly, if we want to meet all our CO2 targets without giving up cars, switching our power plants to nuclear is probably the best option, and then using coal to generate our gasoline. Defund the middle east, halve our CO2 production, and keep the miners in West Virginia employed. It's win-win for America.

    30. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Darkman,+Walkin+Dude · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Pumped storage is quite an expensive way to do electricity generation; there are considerable inherent losses in the system due to things like friction in pumps.

      90%+ efficiencies are not uncommon in the field. If you want to see inefficiences, try drilling a hole though the earth's crust at semi random locations to tap and process fossil fuels.

    31. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for the US nuclear industry to get off it's collective backside

      You mean "its".

    32. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      The only thing they've done in all that time is to being in some old Japanese R&D via company mergers. If they don't start doing R&D the answer is to wait ten years until the Chinese perfect pebble bed or fifteen for the Indians to perfect accelerated thorium. The local alternative is three mile island with the safety features it should have had in the 1970s painted green.

      We have quite a few 'updated' reactor designs that are sitting approved. The problem is that federal subsidies don't yet even equal the anticipated regulatory burden expected to get a plant approved and built. Much less the protests by people. Not even necessarily NIMBY types, there are spots without significant NIMBY, but you have the BANANA people who will bus in to protest nuclear anywhere.

      The local alternative is three mile island with the safety features it should have had in the 1970s painted green.

      3rd/4th generation reactors tend to have things like 50% to 80% less wiring, valves, pumps, and such while actually increasing redundency in cooling. They are designed with 'fail safe' measures like control rods that will insert if the reactor gets too hot.

      Also you can't make steel using nuclear generated energy since you need to put carbon in there (from coking coal) and various other reactions - all you can do with electricity alone is melt existing steel or heat it up to forge.

      That's only ONE method of making steel. Like I said, you'd have to be rather round-about to do it, because you'd need to use electric heat as the nuclear boilers don't get hot enough. Adding carbon isn't difficult, coking coal is cheap, easy, and developed, but you could also use things like graphite or even charcoal if you had to. At that point you're not using the coal/coke as the principal source of heat, but as a feedstock to make the particular alloy you want. You need an order of magnitude less that way.

      Anyways, I know it's not economic - which is why I mentioned keeping natural gas/coal around FOR doing things like smelting operations for steel. You can use just enough coke to make the alloy, provide the rest of the heat via natural gas.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    33. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Ogive17 · · Score: 1

      Unless they plan on building off-shore solar farms, I don't think replacing rain forests with solar farms is a good idea. There is also not much land on the equator.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    34. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      well partially it's already included, scrubbers and such stuff. Not all coal outputs are budgeted for however. Exactly none of nuclear output costs are included in your utility bill since the fed nicely takes care of those for the utility providers.

      You do still pay for that, just not in your utility bill as the poster said.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    35. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Come off it - you can't just throw graphite and iron ore into an electric arc furnace and hope or we would have been doing that for a century. With respect to your undoubted skills elsewhere, you are just misleading readers here with your ignorance and you and the other readers would be better served going to wikipedia and reading the simple stuff about steel instead of spreading bullshit. I suggest starting with an article on a blast furnace and the reactions necessary to reduce iron ore to iron, then go on from there.
      As for the bit about current generation US designs as sold by Westinghouse etc - the improvements you talk about are really what I mean about taking an old design with corners cut at the last minute and refining it to the point it should have been in the 1970s, but still with an inefficient and expensive base that is best abandoned in favour of new technology that might just actually deliver the nuclear promise. We already know the old stuff doesn't work very well but all we've done is make sure that it can't break as easily. The Westinghouse stuff really is just polishing a turd.

    36. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Come off it - you can't just throw graphite and iron ore into an electric arc furnace and hope or we would have been doing that for a century.

      No, we can't. Well, we can, but it's totally uneconomic to do so, like I've said every post. There's all sorts of stuff we CAN do, that we don't because it's utterly impractical other than in the 'oh neat' sense.

      I've read about blast furnaces and such. I've read about the Bessemer process. There's lots of ways to get carbon into iron to make steel. Blast furnaces are just the most economic we have at this time(for bulk steel).

      Heck, looking at the blast furnace process, in our theoretical electric version we'd simply need to flow CO to replace the coke.

      I still maintain that it's entirely possible to make an electric furnace do the same, it's just, you know, not cost effective. Maybe not an electric arc one, but there's many options.

      We already know the old stuff doesn't work very well but all we've done is make sure that it can't break as easily. The Westinghouse stuff really is just polishing a turd.

      What designs do you suggest? The westinghouse stuff is only ONE of the reactor designs on the list. I'd like to see a molten salt reactor, but the French even had trouble with that(even if a lot of it was protester sparked).

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    37. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      No, we can't. Well, we can, but it's totally uneconomic to do so

      It's not economics - it's simple chemistry!
      OK then - you've seen now that you can use a carbon monoxide atmosphere as a reducing agent, now answer where the carbon monoxide comes from :) You'll see from that why the nuclear furnace or electric arc idea doesn't work. I used to work in a steelworks and then ten years after that started teaching engineering students about metallurgy which is why I can comment easily on such things so there's no point wasting time with "Maybe not an electric arc one, but there's many options." If you can tell me something I don't know I'll be happy, but you'll need to be specific and you'll need to be correct.
      Also don't make the mistake of thinking the superphoenix reactor was shut down because some idiot set off a bomb near it a few years before the project was scrapped. It was unfortunately an expensive dead end because it is very difficult to physically handle very large volumes of highly radioactive material and that approach required both a lot of handling and more active fuel than most reactors. More recent research has taken a different approach (eg. accelerated thorium, pebble bed, little submarine style reactors in parallel), but notably almost none of the research was done in the USA due to being stuck in the 1970s and begging for handouts. What has been done was done at Los Alamos and paid for by the taxpayer and doesn't belong to Westinghouse et al so they pretend it doesn't exist. Others know a lot more than me on this, but unfortunately even I know a vast amount more than the "nuclear now at any cost" idiots that are influencing people here with mostly emotive arguments and outright lies.

    38. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      It's not economics - it's simple chemistry!

      And you can do quite silly things with simple chemistry if you have virtually unlimited electricity. If nothing else you can go back all the way to [i]blister steel[/i].

      For example, would your processes have changed if electricity was free? Completely, utterly free?

      Hmm... How about rather than using carbon monoxide as a reducing agent, how about powdered aluminum and/or hydrogen. Heck, as I said, introduce powdered graphite or charcoal in a limited oxygen environment. You'll get monoxide.

      I'll ask you: In all the wide world of chemisty, if you're NOT ALLOWED TO USE COAL, but are given 'free' electricity, would you still be able to make steel?
      My thought is: Total market distortion, but yes, you'd be able to. You're tossing centuries of experience, so it's not going to be as good at first, but it can be done.

      Also don't make the mistake of thinking the superphoenix reactor was shut down because some idiot set off a bomb near it a few years before the project was scrapped. It was unfortunately an expensive dead end because it is very difficult to physically handle very large volumes of highly radioactive material and that approach required both a lot of handling and more active fuel than most reactors.

      There were numerous attacks on it, including at least one RPG attack. I agree though, they DID have some difficulties; as an entirely new class of reactor, I'd call it a prototype that turned out to have difficulties in development, examine it for 'lessons learned' and build a better one. From my readings they had most of the problems solved by the time it was shut down due to political pressure.

      but notably almost none of the research was done in the USA due to being stuck in the 1970s and begging for handouts.

      So, rather then build reactors to make money they kept asking for handouts they weren't getting? They're trying to export their designs, and last I heard pebble beds were in trouble.

      but unfortunately even I know a vast amount more than the "nuclear now at any cost" idiots that are influencing people here with mostly emotive arguments and outright lies.

      I'd like to most, if not all, of our coal plants replaced by nuclear ones. Just for the non-CO2 pollution reductions.

      As such I'd like to see:
      1. Imitate the French - standardize on a few reactor types; if you have a couple dozen plants of the same type, engineering expenses are substantially reduced.
      2. As long as we're building around a hundred plants, I'd want to try out the half a dozen or so new reactor designs - I'd let the engineers make the call on which ones are the most likely, and which the least. Build a test plant of each, then a second using lessons learned, after that standardize on the best, maybe a second if it's optimal in different ways.
      3. Reprocess our waste. It's still mostly fuel. This may involve having a number of smaller phoenix style breeders to help feed the more traditional plants and get rid of waste.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    39. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      True, you can do it the bad old way and use vast amounts of forests like Europe had at the start of the industrial revolution. You should be able to see my point right now that it's not about limitless electricity - you need something else - chemistry asserts reality over the dreams of vastly simplified economics. Thus perfect nuclear alone is not going to get you a tonne of steel from ore.
      As for the lessons learned from Superphoenix - the lesson was most definitely that it was a dead end with fundamental flaws - hence completely different sorts of breeder reactors without such flaws. Blaming an idiot with a bomb is handy but remember the project kept running for quite a while after that so I'll have to say there is very little chance it was related to the decision to eventually shut it down after 20+ years. Although this site that turned up from google is possibly biased I think we can trust the timeline of incidents for that plant here: http://www.nuclearno.com/text.asp?3412
      Pebble bed reactors are of course in trouble because the first full scale prototypes were only just commissioned this year. It takes a very long time to get a nuclear plant up and running, it's an experiment every time because nobody wants the 1970s crap that barely works at all. Actually it takes quite a while to iron out the bugs in new coal fired plants from existing designs as well.
      Why imitate the French, why not buy something from them and take advantage of decades of continuous R&D instead? Or perhaps import some expertise. One thing to imitate is learn the lesson from them as to why they stopped attempting large scale reprocessing - which answers point three. A far better approach is to have reactors that are less fussy about fuel so that instead of the incredibly expensive reprocessing step you can use existing spent fuel or expired weapons material as it is (eg. accelerated thorium can "burn" other fuels with the main fuel).
      Anyway, my major point is it is extremely unwise to suddenly build one hundred reactors when you are not sure you have a good enough design yet. It's better to take a few years, build a few prototypes scaling up the full size, and only then you'll know what power output you get from your hundred reactors and what capital cost you'll need to build them.

    40. Re:Natural gas - dependent upon fuel cost? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You should be able to see my point right now that it's not about limitless electricity - you need something else - chemistry asserts reality over the dreams of vastly simplified economics.

      I also, way back at the beginning of this, did mention that it's rather impractical to try to use nuclear power to smelt stuff, didn't I? Didn't I mention saving our natural gas for chemical feedstock and refining stuff, while using nuclear for electricity? I didn't mention saving coal for feedstock, but I have mentioned numerous times stopping using it for electricity generation, and usage for feedstock is orders of magnitude less than using it for electricity generation.

      Basically, you got my nitpicking side up by saying you can't make steel using electricity - which is, technically speaking, incorrect. You can make steel using electricity to provide the heat, you can add a relatively minimal amount of other feedstock to provide the necessary chemistry. It's just currently an ass-backwards way to do it.

      hence completely different sorts of breeder reactors without such flaws.

      How completely different are they? None have been built yet to my knowledge. We learned a LOT about molten salt operation during that time. Sometimes the only way you can learn things are by doing them.

      Think of an attempt at a 'revolutionary' new car. All new parts, etc... The car turns out to be a failure, but in designing the NEXT new car, you can still go back to the first for things like 'Fuel pump v1 didn't work right, but fuel pump v2 did'. 'Corrosion was a problem in these spots, with these characteristics, make sure we don't have these sorts of bends or use this alloy'. That sort of thing.

      Pebble bed reactors are of course in trouble because the first full scale prototypes were only just commissioned this year. It takes a very long time to get a nuclear plant up and running, it's an experiment every time because nobody wants the 1970s crap that barely works at all. Actually it takes quite a while to iron out the bugs in new coal fired plants from existing designs as well.

      Pebble beds date back to the '70s as well; the original prototype back then turned out to have a problem with the pebbles cracking. The waste produced is also harder to reprocess, so I'm iffy on them.

      Why imitate the French, why not buy something from them and take advantage of decades of continuous R&D instead?

      Good point. I figured we can go with even NEWER designs though, like you've proposed several times. Looking it up, France last stood up a reactor in 2000, and a big one at that. They have load-following compatible designs.

      I'd certainly consider the economics of licensing. I'd have to double check, but I think a couple of the approved reactor designs are cross-licensed french plants.

      Anyway, my major point is it is extremely unwise to suddenly build one hundred reactors when you are not sure you have a good enough design yet. It's better to take a few years, build a few prototypes scaling up the full size, and only then you'll know what power output you get from your hundred reactors and what capital cost you'll need to build them.

      I did mention building prototypes, didn't I?

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  3. Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by LurkerXXX · · Score: 5, Informative

    That's nice and all, but you should keep in mind how lots of places in the U.S. get their natural gas these days. Through phracking.

    It's not a good thing. There are huge environmental concerns. Flamable drinking water, Neurotoxins and other poisons in drinking water. There's even a movie about it.

  4. really? by X10 · · Score: 1

    Natural gas is better than biofuel, obviously, because for natural gas you don't have to chop down rain forests. But natural gas still produces carbon dioxide, unless chemistry has fundamentally changed in the last few days while I wasn't paying attention.
    Making synthetic gasoline from solar energy doesn't produce a lot of carbon dioxide because what gets produced in your car, gets used when they make it, more or less. We'll use solar energy to make the stuff. That's not extremely efficient, but who cares? More solar energy is hitting earth than we can use anyway.

    --
    no, I don't have a sig
  5. Summary is BS by Enigma2175 · · Score: 5, Informative

    TFS says:

    Conventional coal is no longer a major source of power generation in the United States.

    I call shenanigans. Coal is the #1 energy producer in the US. The US gets 30% of it's power capacity and nearly 50 percent of it's produced power from coal. I would love for that to be different but that is the current state of affairs and it is unlikely to change soon since the US has large coal reserves and it is much cheaper to produce power using coal than any other current fuel.

    --

    Enigma

    1. Re:Summary is BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I think the rest of the power comes from useless apostrophes that people put into harmless possessive pronouns.

      "The US gets 30% of it is power capacity and nearly 50 percent of it is produced power from coal "

      DId that make any sense at all?

    2. Re:Summary is BS by daveime · · Score: 1, Troll

      Yes, because the primary concern when discussing potential fuel sources the the next millenium is deciding where to put the fucking apostrophe.

      Have you got nothing better to do with your time ?

    3. Re:Summary is BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Conventional coal is no longer a significant proportion of current construction. The largest part of our energy comes from coal, but we're not building any significant number of new coal plants.

    4. Re:Summary is BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      TFS is right (rock-on)... And besides: We're (America) sitting on the single best chunk of the world's coal reserves... in-short, we have the coal-equivalent of saudi-arabia sitting under the US, and the precise means to utilize it best (for power)... Unless you know how to convince/force China AND Russia AND UAE AND South America AND Canada AND Mexico... to render their most valuble natural resource to be utterly worthless... you're NEVER going to reduce carbon emissions. PERIOD. End of argument... that's just plain reality. SO get reazdy for whatever global warming is going to happen and stop whining like tree-hugggin little B1+c3zzzzz!!

    5. Re:Summary is BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Do you have anything better to do with your time?

      FTFY.

      (P.S. - No.)

    6. Re:Summary is BS by DarkOx · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I am getting a bit tired of everyone dumping all over coal. Anthracite coal is probably the biggest supply of accessible fuel this country has. If you care about energy independence coal IS part of the picture and should be a big part. Yes there are problems like what to do with the ash but nuclear has the problem of hazardous waste as well; and I am confident both can be solved.

      Coal can be used directly for heat in industrial processes as well and does not always have to be first used to generate electricity. You can't do that with hardly any of the renewables. I say put our energy in to figuring out how to scrub and sequester carbon efficiently and burn the heck out of our coal supplies; can't use them up if we try.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    7. Re:Summary is BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      TFS is right - America is the Saudi Arabia of COAL... and unless you want to render a multi-trillion dollar resource worthless... you'll drop this whole nonsense

    8. Re:Summary is BS by gotpaint32 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I call BS on you, Anthracite coal is too damn expensive for use in power plants. Power plants use Bituminous coal which is softer, contains more impurities and is far cheaper. Anthracite coal is rarer than other softer coals since it require very specific geological conditions to compress out the impurities from the carbon. Anthracite is also much more difficult to mine since the locations where it is found are usually found deep in the mountains rather than on flat coal seams like some other type of coal. Burning coal and its impurities lead to air quality issues (carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides and incomplete hydrocarbon burns) as well as deposition of toxic metals in the areas where emissions particulates travel such as Mercury, Arsenic, Manganese, Chromium, and Beryllium. Coal power just sounds awesome compared to the other options doesn't it.

      --
      Nuclear war would really set back cable. - Ted Turner
    9. Re:Summary is BS by Scott+Wood · · Score: 1

      Nuclear doesn't spew its hazardous waste into the air.

      "Energy independence" is not the only concern.

    10. Re:Summary is BS by gbutler69 · · Score: 1

      You sir, are a dipshit!

      --
      Over-the-top Response Guy! Giving "Over-the-Top Responses" since 1970.
    11. Re:Summary is BS by MJMullinII · · Score: 1

      Nuclear doesn't spew its hazardous waste into the air.

      "Energy independence" is not the only concern.

      It should be, because if the right-wing has shown us anything, it's that the lowest common denominator is what moves the argument.

      We can all talk until we're blue in the face about Global Climate Change and exactly just how damn bad it will become here on Planet Earth, but you're wasting your breath when 50% of the population doesn't even "believe" in Global Warming.

      I shudder every time I say or write any form of that sentence because it reminds me how many less-than-smart people substitute science with belief, but I digress.

      The problem is that when it comes right down too it, the majority of voters could give a shit about what happens anywhere outside their front yard. And in the United States, voters have all the power.

      I, personally, get upset when people fall into the self-pity party of "Oh, it doesn't matter, rich people have all the power. That's bullshit of the highest order, VOTERS have all the power in the United States and they always have.

      The only thing money gives the other side is the ability to influence voters, nothing more.

      It still is ultimately up to the American Voter how this country rolls forward.

      Now, getting back to the current conversation, every single one of these plans (Nuclear, Natural Gas, Clean Coal, etc.) can be made to contribute to preventing Catastrophic Climate Change in the long term while moving the United States toward Energy Independence in the short-term.

      Democrats and Liberal-Progressives (and I'll be honest...I'm one of those "far-lefty-liberals" Bill O'Reilly crows about :) ) need to get off our collective asses and stop trying to turn Climate Change into a fucking religion (which is the only way I know how describe something that someone calls "evil", which I've heard more than a few call inaction on Climate Change -- Climate Change is a Science and in Science there is no such thing as good and evil, only fact and theory, and ALL facts start as theories

      I could give a shit if someone "cares" about what will happen to the weakest among us when food prices quadruple do to loss of farmland (speaking of just one of the dangers of Global Climate Change).

      If we have to play to their nationalistic spirit and get them to do something because it makes them think they're "putting one over" on the Saudis, SO BE IT

      I have no problem with that whatsoever just as long as the solutions to the "Energy Independence" also happen to be the solutions to the real problem at hand...which, again, Nuclear, Natural Gas, and Clean Coal all can be.

      --
      "Don't be a martyr -- BE THE ONE WHO GOT AWAY!"
    12. Re:Summary is BS by shermo · · Score: 1

      Beat me to it.

      Furthermore, how is this news?

      CCGT (runs on natural gas) ~ 400 Tonnes CO2/GWh
      Coal steam = ~1000 Tonnes CO2/GWh

      These are readily available numbers from a quick google. Ta da.

      --
      Insanity: voting in the same two parties over and over again and expecting different results
    13. Re:Summary is BS by MJMullinII · · Score: 1

      ....Climate Change is a Science ....

      It would be so nice if that were true! The fact is that our so-called scientists have intentionally forgotten that all these fossil fuels were produced by sunshine converted by photosynthesis in plants. Therefore, all the stored carbon we are now liberating must have been available in the air to those plants growing ages ago upon this planet. If mankind were to release every single carbon atom that was sequestered underground, the conditions on earth would have to revert to whatever they were at the time when the fossil fuels were formed.

      We do know from science as well as everyday life, that plants grow much better in a warm environment. Isn't that why we build hothouses? Who is to say that turning the entire earth into a gigantic hothouse will not be beneficial to mankind and all other living creatures in the long run?

      Oh you mean the "good old days" when the sea was several hundred feet higher?

      You see, that's the problem with being a "jailhouse" scientist.

      Simple ideas like that are taken directly into account when real scientists tell you we've got a problem...it is hardly the "faith based initiative" right-wingers make it out to be.

      Just to be clear, I'm not mocking you (I'm simply saying your incorrect), I'm mocking the radio talk show you heard that from :)

      --
      "Don't be a martyr -- BE THE ONE WHO GOT AWAY!"
    14. Re:Summary is BS by MJMullinII · · Score: 1

      ....when the sea was several hundred feet higher?....

      The fact is, that just the opposite was true in ages past. If you want evidence of this, just get yourself a National Geographic map of the world's oceans. There you will see the continents, the continental shelves and the deep abysmal ocean basins. There you will also see clearly depicted on such maps the continued course of many of the world's rivers, such as the Amazon, the Mississippi and the Nile and others. This of course could not be if the riverbed has not at some point been on dry land rather than underwater such as they are today. This underwater riverbed tracing is especially prominent for the Amazon River. Because the continental shelf is rather wide on the east coast of South America, the riverbed tracing is unusually deep and long.

      In ages past, the continental shelves all over the world were dry and the oceans were confined to the deep ocean basins. Today the water covering the continental shelves is only hundreds of feet deep, whereas in the deep ocean basins in water depth is measured in thousands of feet.

      The few hundred feet of water above the continental shelves, can easily be held, with room to spare in a much warmer humid atmosphere. Water holding capacity of the air increases dramatically with temperature. Furthermore, presently the majority of the moisture is held in the lower 20,000 feet of the atmosphere. If the earth and its atmosphere warms up, this threshold of altitude also rises, making that much more air capable of holding that much more moisture.

      Thus, if the earth did get warmer, as it once was, the ocean's levels would go down, making more space for all land animals. The assumption that global warming in the long-term is detrimental, is based upon the idea of extrapolating present conditions by faulty mathematical model assumptions, not upon observations.

      Even if we had been observing the climate for 400 or 500 years, which we obviously have not, that would be a miniscule amount of time, compared to the geologic timescales involved in long-term climate of the earth.

      The problem is that we're talking about two completely different frames of time.

      Fossil Fuel deposits and the Earth's geography are two completely different things.

      And, yes, we can in fact study the Earth's Climate (along with what the atmosphere was like during past climate cycles) because of ice cores from places like Antarctica. Ice from thousands of feet down contain bubbles of air that give us a direct sample from the atmosphere at the time the ice formed.

      Again, Climate Change Science is not a "belief" or "assumptions", it is a theory backed by facts.

      However, it really doesn't matter whether one subscribes to the Theory of Human caused Global Climate change or not. Every single proposal aimed at combating Global Climate Change in regard to the United States will also make the United States more and more energy independent...until that magical day when we are not forced to import any of our energy, period.

      --
      "Don't be a martyr -- BE THE ONE WHO GOT AWAY!"
    15. Re:Summary is BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, because the primary concern when discussing potential fuel sources the the next millenium is deciding where to put the fucking apostrophe.

      Spelling, grammar, and usage do most certainly matter when attempting to communicate clearly. The topic at hand does not excuse sloppiness.

    16. Re:Summary is BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I say put our energy in to figuring out how to scrub and sequester carbon efficiently and burn the heck out of our coal supplies; can't use them up if we try."

      You may want to read,
          http://www.epa.gov/grtlakes/bns/mercury/index.html

      atmospheric deposition of mercury emitted into the air by combustion,
      incineration, or manufacturing processes, contributes a large portion of the mercury found in waters and
      soils. In Minnesota, researchers estimated that in 1995, direct industrial discharges of mercury to surface
      water contributed only 1 to 2 percent of the mercury load to surface waters, while atmospheric
      deposition was responsible for 98 percent

      http://66.155.8.209/reports/mer_cycl.html
      http://www.pca.state.mn.us/index.php/topics/mercury/mercury.html?menuid=&missing=0&redirect=1

      Most of the coal used (you can read the reports, if you really care) use lignite coal. Most power plants there produced mercury at 40-100mg/MWh and 99%+ of ALL mercury emissions are in the form of COAL.

      This is not even about CO2. It's about polluting of all lakes such that now there are more lakes in the US where fishing is *dangerous* for you due to mercury contamination, than there are clean lakes.

      Secondly, tuna has had dangerous amounts of mercury in it for decade or longer. And now we are starting to see reports of people actually getting *acute* mercury poisoning though tuna and other fish consumption! Fish that you can buy at local store. Long term impact is mental impairment and the ever popular kidney failure. But whatever, each to their own, right?

  6. Oh Boy... by sycodon · · Score: 0, Troll

    ...the environmental wackos aren't going to like this.

    Natural gas = carbon emissions however reduced they may be.
    Natural gas = drilling

    Yeah, this ain't gonna fly. Just wait for the big fat raspberry from the greens.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Oh Boy... by MrPhilby · · Score: 0

      What part of you thinks that anyone considers NG Green?

  7. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thats A GURL

  8. Who paid for the report? by xzvf · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My first question on any study is who paid for it? That said, natural gas is a better alternative to oil and coal. The real problem with alternatives like solar, wind and to a lesser extent nuclear is the cost per Kwh. I can by electricity generated by coal, oil and gas between $1-2 dollars per Kwh. If I replaced my electric with solar panels and batteries, my cost would be $4-5 dollars per Kwh. Tax credits reduce that cost, but they are still being paid by someone. Natural gas and nuclear are excellent bridge technologies while alternatives are brought down in cost.

    1. Re:Who paid for the report? by Entropius · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Gas and nuclear may have similar costs, but they're hardly alike when it comes to environmental concerns.

      Gas still produces CO2, and extraction is messy.

      Nuclear produces no emissions, and it takes so little uranium to make a plant that the issues associated with mining are small.

    2. Re:Who paid for the report? by SteeldrivingJon · · Score: 5, Informative

      The report is from the MIT Energy Initiative, which counts among its members: BP Technology Ventures, Saudi Aramco, Chevron, Total, Hess.

      The Board of Advisors includes: "Tony Hayward Group Chief Executive, BP p.l.c."

      --
      September 2011: Looking for Cocoa/iOS work in Boston area Cocoa Programmer Quincy, MA
    3. Re:Who paid for the report? by RobVB · · Score: 1

      I can by electricity generated by coal, oil and gas between $1-2 dollars per Kwh. If I replaced my electric with solar panels and batteries, my cost would be $4-5 dollars per Kwh.

      Where did you get those numbers? I guess you made them up, but if that's really what you're paying, you're getting ripped off.

      According to this, the average price for residential electricity in the U.S. is 10.86 cents per kWh.

      --
      I'd rather you rationally disagree than irrationally agree.
    4. Re:Who paid for the report? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      He's talking capital costs, not ongoing use costs.

    5. Re:Who paid for the report? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh for averages. I'd love to pay ONLY 10.86 cents per kWh. Sadly a good portion of my PG&E bill goes toward electricity at 42.48 cents per kWh.

    6. Re:Who paid for the report? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, he is not.

      Capital costs would be listed in dollars per kilowatt, not dollars per kilowatt-hour.

    7. Re:Who paid for the report? by actionbastard · · Score: 2, Informative

      These people:

      "A major sponsor of the report is the American Clean Skies Foundation, a Washington think tank created and funded by the natural gas industry."

      --
      Sig this!
    8. Re:Who paid for the report? by mprinkey · · Score: 1

      Capacity would be measured in kW or MW, not in kWh. Capacity is the amount of power that can be produced by the facility at any given time, not the total amount of energy that the facility could produce over its lifetime. Whatever the case, the numbers make no sense as listed in the OP.

    9. Re:Who paid for the report? by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Makes complete sense if you drop the H off of KwH, as coal has a capital cost around 1-2 dollars/Kw of generating capacity with solar quickly catching up to that.

    10. Re:Who paid for the report? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Parent must live in Khalifornia.

      Here (in Khalifornia) our baseline rate is around $0.14 per kwh - up to ~500khw in the winter and ~1000kwh in the summer. Over that there are various level that correspond with a certain percentage over baseline and the price per kwh goes up accordingly.

      And speaking of averages, I believe the average price per khw paid in CA is ~$0.20.

    11. Re:Who paid for the report? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Steam (water vapor from the cooling towers) very much IS an emission, and it is, in fact, the world's largest greenhouse gas.

    12. Re:Who paid for the report? by nmos · · Score: 1

      Nuclear produces no emissions, and it takes so little uranium to make a plant that the issues associated with mining are small.

      It may not take a lot of uranium to run a power plant but it takes quite a lot of uranium ore to make a small amount of uranium suitible for a typical power plant. I have relatives who live in a small town that is/was a superfund clean up site due to the uranium mining in the area. Their little town even has it's own hospital due to the resulting cancer rates.

    13. Re:Who paid for the report? by smchris · · Score: 1

      "Nuclear produces no emissions"

      You've got to be kidding, right? It's a political football just trying to find a state that will take nuclear's "emissions."

    14. Re:Who paid for the report? by amorsen · · Score: 1

      I can by electricity generated by coal, oil and gas between $1-2 dollars per Kwh

      Which dollars? If that's USD, then get off the grid now! For 1USD/kWh you can buy solar panels + batteries, no problem.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    15. Re:Who paid for the report? by GonzoPhysicist · · Score: 1

      I don't think all those politicians are concerned about loose neutrinos polluting their state.

      --
      horror vacui
    16. Re:Who paid for the report? by MJMullinII · · Score: 1

      "Nuclear produces no emissions"

      You've got to be kidding, right? It's a political football just trying to find a state that will take nuclear's "emissions."

      And yet another "political football" that's simply a waste of time.

      95% of what is called "Nuclear Waste" can be reprocessed into new fuel.

      Very, VERY little of what we call "Nuclear Waste" here in the United States is actually waste at all, but just unused fuel.

      In France, the amount of actual "waste" is about equivalent in size to a cigarette lighter per French Citizens' personal electrical-footprint per year.

      The reason? France reprocesses all the spent fuel they can.

      --
      "Don't be a martyr -- BE THE ONE WHO GOT AWAY!"
    17. Re:Who paid for the report? by MrPhilby · · Score: 0

      The problem with judging the pollution regarding Nuclear is that it only takes one mistake to completely change the statistics. I would like to see the safety stats before and after Chernobyl. And yes, it could happen anywhere, any engineer worth his salt knows nothing is impossible.

    18. Re:Who paid for the report? by rhubarb42 · · Score: 2, Informative
    19. Re:Who paid for the report? by thegarbz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nuclear produces no emissions, and it takes so little uranium to make a plant that the issues associated with mining are small.

      It may not take a lot of uranium to run a power plant but it takes quite a lot of uranium ore to make a small amount of uranium suitible for a typical power plant. I have relatives who live in a small town that is/was a superfund clean up site due to the uranium mining in the area. Their little town even has it's own hospital due to the resulting cancer rates.

      Nuclear is a wide scope that encompasses many types of reactors. Nuclear does not merely include old dirty Light Water Pressurised Reactors, even if you use the words "typical power plant". I would greatly suggest spending an afternoon browsing through the virtually limitless info on the various types of reactors on Wikipedia. For instance Heavy Water Pressurised Reactors like the CANDU design can run from unenriched uranium amongst other fuel sources such as already "spent" fuel that is being stored underground.

    20. Re:Who paid for the report? by Entropius · · Score: 1

      That's a political problem, not a technical one.

  9. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    MIT just considered burning natural gas, not how you get it, and only considers the CO2 footprint.

  10. I have better idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Build a couple large NG boilers thru lower 8 states on East coast, Run a massive pipe to gulf, and draw this incredible amount of gas to the boilers - all on bp's tab.

    There - I just solved unemployment, foreign energy dependence, global warming, electric distribution network upgrade, mess in golf.

  11. Yeah, that will work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Burn more fossil fuel to lower CO2 emissions?

    And this:

    MIT projects natural gas vehicles will be 15 percent of the private vehicle fleet by 2050

    Manufacturers have been trying to introduce natural gas cars for decades. The technology is there, but nobody bought them and nobody will.

    The price of natural gas is coupled to the price of oil. Look at the economic wars being fought over natural gas in Europe right now. No way will this be cheaper than other fossil fuels.

    1. Re:Yeah, that will work by CrazyDuke · · Score: 1

      Well, as someone that looked into CNG vehicles for commuting, the problem is the only public station in the area is about 2x my commute out of the way. I get NG piped to my house. But, for some reason the CNG compressors cost over $10,000 new for ones where it takes all night to refill the tank. Not to mention my gas bills already skyrocket in the winter. There appear to be some used ones in various states of repair, the cheapest I think I've seen was $2,500 for a rigged up scuba compressor setup with no safety cutoff. And, from what I have read, typically a home owner or contractor has to pull permits to hook one up. Something tells me that the bank won't finance that.

      The vehicles can be had for dirt cheap compared to their gas only counterparts, are usually low mileage for the year, and are often duel fuel to boot, though. But, I also imagine it's a royal pain to find parts and people that know how to work on their fuel injection systems.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced influence is indistinguishable from control.
  12. Stick a pipe under my ass by hellop2 · · Score: 1

    I'm sure you'll be able to power at least a reading light. Yet another reason why nerds are useful to women.

    --
    How many more years will slashdot have an off-by-one error on your Score in your profile?
  13. What's with the title? by webdog314 · · Score: 1

    So, is this just an advertisement for the natural gas industry? Why not title it something like, "The Future of Energy Production in the U.S.'?

    1. Re:What's with the title? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a story about a study, not a link to a blog that regurgitates some press release from USA Natty Gas Inc.

      Are you too lunkheaded to understand the difference or are you just a troll?

    2. Re:What's with the title? by webdog314 · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's a study. Hopefully, it's a scientific study. Are you too lunkheaded to understand basic scientific method?

    3. Re:What's with the title? by mmcxii · · Score: 1

      What in this report makes you think it is not scientific?

    4. Re:What's with the title? by webdog314 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Only the title. Having read the review of the study (not the 100 page study itself) it seems that the study is a comparison of the various forms of energy production in the U.S. The study shows that natural gas is comparatively the cheapest bridge source for electricity production in terms of both cost (dollars) to produce and cost (in CO2, etc) to the environment. So my question was, why the focus on natural gas at all in the title? It may seem like a small thing, but in terms of presentation to the public it's huge. The title they used reads like an ad for the gas industry. Whereas, they could have chosen an unbiased title to give the study more credibility.

    5. Re:What's with the title? by mmcxii · · Score: 1

      The focus on natural gas may have been the intent from the beginning. Perhaps there are other studies that simply aren't posted here with other focus areas. Either way, to say that this report isn't scientific because it has a focus area doesn't mean it isn't scientific. Far from it, as I see things.

      As for the public? The public takes what it wants from research. Scientists worrying about conveying their meaning to every Joe Sixpack is a more likely way for the science to be lost. Catering to those who don't care to understand is just a means of undermining your own efforts. I'd back any scientist that doesn't feel the need to worry about the masses in the matters of how research is perceived by the public at large.

  14. There's lots of natural gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was seriously researching building an electric car. Then I saw an article on the conventional and non-conventional supply of natural gas. There's a hundred year supply. Natural gas can be used to power cars. The main cost is the high pressure tanks required, but those are cheaper and last longer than batteries for electric cars.

    We can get off imported oil and not have to make too much sacrifice. I am of course ignoring CO2 induced climate change but the science on that seems to be changing ... (me ducks beneath desk to avoid thrown bricks)

    1. Re:There's lots of natural gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Read up on fracking before thinking natural gas is the way to go.

    2. Re:There's lots of natural gas by Nadaka · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Switching to natural gas is at best a temporary solution, buying us a few decades or a century at most. Fission can buy us many hundreds or even a few thousands of years. Of the technologies currently available, only solar offers a real long term solution for the bulk of our energy requirements.

    3. Re:There's lots of natural gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Switching to natural gas is at best a temporary solution, buying us a few decades or a century at most. Fission can buy us many hundreds or even a few thousands of years. Of the technologies currently available, only solar offers a real long term solution for the bulk of our energy requirements.

      Err.. You're really worried about not having energy in a "many hundreds or even a few thousands of years"?? Our descendants will probably have fusion by then if we give them the time. You might as well write "solar can buy us only a couple billion of years" which is similarly useless (assuming we can solve solar's problem).

    4. Re:There's lots of natural gas by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      Actually I am not. I fully support the use of fission as a major source of energy. It has several advantages over solar in that it is much harder to damage a nuclear plant than a solar plant. Combined, fission and solar (with a bit of support from wind/tide) will provide all the energy we could use for as long as I care to imagine.

      It is not clear that fusion will ever be a viable energy source. We are not close to break even energy. Here is something else you may not know about fusion, the energy production rate per volume within the sun is about the same as the thermal output of a compost heap. To master fusion, we will need to operate at far higher energy densities than even the sun is capable of producing.

  15. Clean Air, Dirty Water by bit+trollent · · Score: 4, Informative

    Too bad that extracting natural gas usually involves pumping massive quantities of toxic chemicals directly in to the ground.

    Thanks to the incredibly corrupt Bush Administration, Fracking isn't even subject to the clean water act. The Halliburton Loophole, named after Dick Chaney's true employer, has allowed entire towns to be polluted beyond repair.

    Thousands have been sickened by this polluted water. Pets are losing their hair. People are getting cancer. The water out of some homes' faucets is actually flammable!!

    citation needed?

    1. Re:Clean Air, Dirty Water by darjen · · Score: 1

      yep this was all in Gasland. http://www.pbs.org/now/shows/613/index.html

    2. Re:Clean Air, Dirty Water by cmdr_tofu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      So you use more natural gas, less oil, producing slightly less carbon, but poison a lot of groundwater. People are forced to import water from places that aren't poisoned, requiring expensive water transport, burning more hydrocarbon fuel negating any possible benefit from switching to natural gas :-/

      I guess hydraulic fracturing is the culprit, not natural gas, and the exemption for natural gas from being regulated can be overturned. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydraulic_fracturing#The_FRAC_Act_of_2009 Let's hope politicians get this one right.

    3. Re:Clean Air, Dirty Water by darjen · · Score: 1

      gas companies should definitely be held accountable for the damage they are causing. I don't see that happening any time soon though...

    4. Re:Clean Air, Dirty Water by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Cats and dogs living together!

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    5. Re:Clean Air, Dirty Water by cmdr_tofu · · Score: 1

      Yeah that's another solution. I'm a fan of regulation (sometimes associated with big government and/or socialism). But if these companies and the people involved with the flawed decision-making were really made accountable that would stop the problem too.

      Time to get a price on solar panels.

    6. Re:Clean Air, Dirty Water by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      Hmm? The well water from my grandparents farm in Michigan in the early 80's was flammable. But as far as I know, it had been like that for at least a century.

  16. Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by Thelasko · · Score: 2, Informative

    Natural Gas is mostly Methane. Since methane has the smallest ratio of carbon to hydrogen at 2 carbons, per 6 hydrogens, it is the best hydrocarbon to burn if you are trying to reduce carbon emissions.

    Yeah, other sources produce no carbon, but they can't compete with Natural Gas's price.

    --
    One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    1. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by Convector · · Score: 1, Redundant

      Actually, straight hydrogen gas (H2) has the smallest ratio of carbon to hydrogen at 0 carbons per 2 hydrogens. But it's not as readily available, harder to store and transport. So the next most efficient option, methane, is a more reasonable choice.

    2. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by maeka · · Score: 4, Informative

      Natural Gas is mostly Methane. Since methane has the smallest ratio of carbon to hydrogen at 2 carbons, per 6 hydrogens,

      Huh? Methane is C1H4. Ethane is C2H6.

    3. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 4, Interesting
      The price of natural gas is extremely low currently ($4-5/per million BTU) due to the economic recession. If the economy were to pick back up, the price would rise quickly, thereby cancelling out a great deal of the economic benefit:

      http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/energy-prices/

    4. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by putaro · · Score: 1

      It's also not a hydrocarbon nor is it something you can get out of the ground.

    5. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Your confusing ethane, C2H6, with methane, CH4.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    6. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      my bad...

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    7. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      my bad...

      That's an even better carbon to hydrogen ratio though...

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    8. Re:Carbon to Hydrogen Ratio by maeka · · Score: 1

      Aye - it is.
      I wasn't trying to get you modded below 3, just post a clarification, as your point was valid, regardless of facts. ;)
      Oh well - never can tell what the moderators will do.

  17. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by Eggnogium · · Score: 1

    So MIT is smart enough to speak for the thousands of Americans living near natural gas operations that have flammable tap water from natural gas leaking into their watershed?

  18. Not good enough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Environmentalists demand that you get your power from pixie dust or else!

  19. In agreement on hazards of wind power by Latent+Heat · · Score: 1, Troll
    Because in the words of John Rowe, CEO of electric power generation company Exelon and a "believer" in the need to reduce carbon emissions, "Wind is a natural gas play."

    Owing to the intermittent nature of wind, the need for 100% backup of generating capacity, and the ability to provide at most 20% of total electricity, wind is a way to in effect get an extra increment in efficiency in a natural-gas based electric power generation economy. As such, you can ascribe to wind power all of the evils you ascribe to natural gas production, only, about 20% less.

    1. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by Frekja · · Score: 3, Informative

      This is such a bunch of FUD. Several UK studies show that very substantial carbon savings can arise from wind power even at 30% of total electricity provision.

      The point about backup is that we have it already for existing plants; adding quite a bit of wind will have minimal impacts on this requirement, both in carbon and cost terms. Having substantial amounts of wind just means more intelligent load balancing from the grid operator, more flexible generation from existing fossil fuel/nuclear plant, and more demand management of consumption.

      Again in the UK context, the Centre for Alternative Technology's recent Zero Carbon Britain report shows how the UK could fully decarbonise without gas by 2030 (though it would take quite radical action).

    2. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by DamonHD · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It is *not* necessary to have 100% backup for wind, that's an old canard. For a start there is such as thing as 'demand control' where load is disconnected (eg automatically without notice in return for a fee or discount upfront) or load is shifted (by big price signals). It already happens. If, in extremis, we had 100% demand-controllable load then we would need 0% backup.

      Secondly, your post seems to carry the assumption that the fossil/nuke alternatives have capacity (reliability) factors of 100%: they don't.

      And indeed one *good* feature of a typical renewables mix over (say) big nukes is that no big chunk can fail all at once (ie in a matter of a few cycles or seconds). We had the UK's biggest nuke cut out for no especially good reason a couple of years ago, and the result in short order was 500,000 people spread over the UK being load-shed involuntarily (which is another form of demand control of course).

      Likewise I think the 20% value you vote is plucked from the air and insupportable, apart from anything else different geographic areas and populations and usage patterns will influence what can be managed in the local grid on any given hour/day/month. There can be no magic fixed threshold given physics as I understand it.

      Rgds

      Damon

      --
      http://m.earth.org.uk/
    3. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by polar+red · · Score: 2, Informative

      wind, the need for 100% backup of generating capacity

      SOURCE

      I'll give you some sources to the contrary. please read.
      http://www.no-fuel.org/index.php?id=242
      http://130.226.56.153/rispubl/reports/ris-r-1608_186-195.pdf
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intermittent_power_source#European_super_grid

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    4. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by evilviper · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Owing to the intermittent nature of wind, the need for 100% backup of generating capacity, and the ability to provide at most 20% of total electricity, wind is a way to in effect get an extra increment in efficiency in a natural-gas based electric power generation economy.

      Wow! More BS packed into a single sentence than I've ever seen...

      Wind is only intermittent on a small scale. On larger scales, it's plenty reliable, and more than 20% of capacity could well be supplied by it.

      Wind won't replace all other power sources, sure, but that doesn't mean natural gas will be the base load provider, either.

      With enough installed wind capacity, base-load and peaking could be provided by hydro, both utilizing current dams, and using pumped-hydro supplied from wind power at times when supply exceeds demand.

      Base load could also be provided by nuclear, or even solar, as liquid-sodium solar-thermal power plants are being testing out, which would allow for substantial electricity production over-night, and for a couple days into a solar lull (which very, very rarely happens in the deserts, anyhow).

      --
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    5. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, adding a large chunk of wind power would reduce carbon production for the current system.

      Unfortunately, peak demand for electricity is increasing and wind contributes very little (some people argue none, but it's probably not that bad) to helping meet this increase. So how do we manage with an increasing demand when all new power plants are wind farms?

      To address your points individually:
      - Intelligent load balancing. I'm not sure exactly what you mean, perhaps you're talking about importing from neighbouring power systems? To some extent this moves the problem elsewhere, although it does acrue some diversity benefits. This comes at the cost of transmission losses however, which makes things more expensive. Definitely helpful, but not a solution.
      - More flexible generation from existing plant. Well if you can, of course this is a good idea! But it reduces efficiency, and will cost money to refit stations to be more flexible. I expect you'd find in a lot of cases it's cheaper to just build new, more flexible plant.
      - Demand 'management'. This is a promising area. Many parts of the world are installing smart meters which do exactly this. They turn down your fridge/heating when needed. It's helpful, but there are a lot of complications around smart meters (Not least of all that they use electricity to run). And again, they're not cheap.

      All these things cost money, which makes wind a less enticing option. Wind is a good idea in situations where it's a good idea. I personally don't believe that the current fad for wind development makes sense when viewed from a total costs/benefits analysis.

    6. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by dbIII · · Score: 1

      And "nuclear now" is a coal play - it takes so many years to argue about it with huge lies from both sides, a decade or more to build once you've decided, and is such a massive undertaking in terms of capital that the status quo wins.
      If you could make money simply by building nuclear plants and selling the electricity than Richard Branson and Rupert Murdoch would have dozens of the things each. Instead the only current way to make money from them is to get the taxpayer to pay the difference in cost between old 1970s nuclear and other forms of electricity production.
      Forget about "instant" nuclear power and instead we need to get something that will work in the future. Ironically some of the small unit technologies show signs of being developed to the point of mass production and built in less time than the ten to fifteen years it will take to build a 1970s dinosaur "now."

    7. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is *not* necessary to have 100% backup for wind, that's an old canard. For a start there is such as thing as 'demand control' where load is disconnected (eg automatically without notice in return for a fee or discount upfront) or load is shifted (by big price signals). It already happens. If, in extremis, we had 100% demand-controllable load then we would need 0% backup.

      "Demand control" may happen today, but it tends to be very rarely used in any well developed country for a reason. In most of them up-times of over 99.9% are the norm, and the vast majority of the populace has at least a few appliances (like refrigerators) that expect to be on all the time and a myriad of others (like computers, radios, TV's, dishwashers, microwave ovens, etc..) they've grown accustom to using whenever they want. Good luck convincing the majority of people in a modern Western country of accepting their electrical grid's dependability being down-graded to near Third-World standards!:p

    8. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by DamonHD · · Score: 1

      Demand Control currently is with industrial users in the main, not domestic.

      But a bit of ToD tariff in the retail market (as for example happens various US and European markets already) may change that.

      And actually the fridge can coast perfectly happily on stored 'cool' for a while without any harm, and indeed 'dynamic demand' enabled fridges are creeping into the UK market right now...

      Rgds

      Damon

      --
      http://m.earth.org.uk/
    9. Re:In agreement on hazards of wind power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Demand Control currently is with industrial users in the main, not domestic.

      Exactly, and I stated one of the reasons why this is so. However, even though industrial customers use normally much more on an individual basis, in many communities it is the commercial and residential users that collectively are responsible for the largest block of total Watt/Hrs most parts of the day. If we are talking about even 50% of total power being renewable without a non-renewable backup, then there will be times a significant amount of domestic users won't be able to get power at any price. Furthermore, it will be more appreciably more frequent than current maintenance and weather induced power-outages, even in a place that is known for tornado, electrical storms, and ice-storms like where I live near the Missouri-Kansas border in the USA.

      But a bit of ToD tariff in the retail market (as for example happens various US and European markets already) may change that.

      IMHO (paying more for usage at peak times, and actually getting electricity) is a whole different matter than having times when when there is little to no power being generated. Customers may not like either, but most will tolerate the former more than the latter. That last is scenario is certainly possible in your hypothetical 100% renewable scenario, at least using modern renewable generators. I wish it was otherwise, but currently there really isn't a national-scale (whether we are talking about a nation the size of the UK or the USA) solution to store enough electricity for when neither the sun is shining nor the wind is blowing.

      None of this means I'm against implementing renewable power, even if it's only part of the day every kW/Hr not produced by burning coal or hydrocarbons helps. I'm just convinced that it's not realistic that to think we can go 100% renewable without either some major technology break-throughs, or giving-up on wide-scale on-demand power.

      And actually the fridge can coast perfectly happily on stored 'cool' for a while without any harm, and indeed 'dynamic demand' enabled fridges are creeping into the UK market right now...

      However, all residential grade refrigerators made in the last few decades, even the ones lacking complex electronics, where designed assuming power would be available at all times, even if they don't constantly use it. This is one of the things that enable it to be opened at the whim of the owner. Even opening an un-powered fridge once for 30 seconds will significantly reduce the time it can 'coast' at a sufficiently cool temperature, no matter how good the isolation might be.

      Rgds

      Damon

      Thank you for your response. I disagree with you, but I hope it's clear that I do so respectfully.

  20. How can this be? by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    I admit I have not studied the answer yet. But... the energy release from burning 1 gram of coal is higher than the energy release for burning 1 gram of gas. SO how could it be the gas every beats coal for carbon reduction? I think also that of the two that gases tend to release more methane as well. In which case the greenhouse case is even worse than CO2.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:How can this be? by john.r.strohm · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is high-school chemistry.

      Coal is carbon (with impurities). Oxidation of carbon is exothermic and yields carbon dioxide.

      Natural gas is hydrocarbons, compounds of carbon and hydrogen. As before, oxidation of carbon is exothermic. So is oxidation of hydrogen, which yields water. To get the same amount of energy, you can burn a certain amount of carbon, or a lesser amount of carbon and offset it with hydrogen, which gives you lower carbon dioxide emissions for the same energy output.

      Methane is CH4, a hydrocarbon. It burns along with the rest of the natural gas. If you are getting methane in your exhaust, it is because you are running your fuel/air mixture too rich, and you aren't injecting enough air to burn the natural gas completely.

      And, of course, burning uranium (or, better yet, thorium, but we don't have the engineering of the thorium fuel cycle worked out yet) in negative void coefficient pressurized water reactors is far better than burning coal or natural gas, since there are effectively NO greenhouse gas emissions from nuclear plants.

      Besides, natural gas is far too valuable as a chemical processing feedstock to burn it to make electricity.

    2. Re:How can this be? by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Informative

      Better check your sources...

      Natural gas: 53.6 MJ/kg
      Anthracite Coal: 32.5 MJ/kg
      Bituminous Coal: 24 MJ/Kg

      Natural gas has around twice the energy per gram of coal, depending on whether you're looking at Anthracite or Bituminous.

      Now, it's tilted way the other way if you look at volume - Coal is 72.4 or 20 MJ/Liter, vs .0364 MJ/L or 9 if you compress it.

      As John pointed out, Coal is mainly carbon. 'Natural Gas' is mainly Methane, or CH4.

      C+O2 -> Energy +CO2
      CH4 + 2 O2 -> 2 Energy + 2 H2O + CO2.

      Add in that NG plants can be more efficient than coal plants, 60+% vs ~30%, and you get a LOT less carbon dioxide from NG than coal.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    3. Re:How can this be? by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      Who cares how much energy is in a gram? What we want to know is how expensive a joule is in dollars, and how much pollution of interest, whether NOX, CO2, nuclear waste, heat water, whatever it causes. Put a price on the pollutions and don't subsidize anything. Let the market race to a solution.

      --
      Currently hooked on AMP
    4. Re:How can this be? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Generally this is the way I advocate doing things, actually. Doesn't mean that we can't discuss the various possibilities though, seeing as how we are the market, in the end.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    5. Re:How can this be? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "If you are getting methane in your exhaust, it is because you are running your fuel/air mixture too rich, and you aren't injecting enough air to burn the natural gas completely."

      So if my farts are real stinky, I need to be breathing deeper to fix my feul/air mixture?

    6. Re:How can this be? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      the problem with letting the market fix things is you get accidents like the current spill in the Gulf.

      or if you prefer, having way too much CO2 produced until it's so blatantly obvious that global warming is well under way that it's catastrophically expensive to fix.

      Renewables need subsidies because current fuels, coal/gas/nuclear, don't include the full costs of their use in the prices.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    7. Re:How can this be? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Renewables need subsidies because current fuels, coal/gas/nuclear, don't include the full costs of their use in the prices.

      Are you arguing that the renewable fuels, which generally enjoy subsidies orders of magnitude higher than coal, gas, or nuclear, aren't subsidized enough?

      Heck, for that matter, how does nuclear not cover it's full costs? I could see arguing about the waste - but France, Japan, and other countries manage to dispose of it(normally they reprocess it). Yucca Mountain is a boondoggle caused by the government... The deal, passed more or less unilaterally by the government, was 'pay us $X per Mwh produced, and we'll dispose of the waste'. It's gotten so bad the nuclear companies are suing the government for failure to perform the contract.

      A source

      $666 Million for 27.7 Billion kwh of electricity. Around 2.4 cents per kwh. Nuclear got 1.267B, but produced 794B kwh. .16 cents per kwh.

      Heck, just use the chart:

      Nuclear: $1.59 per Mwh
      Wind: $23.37
      Solar: $24.34
      Refined coal: $29.81 (wtf? aren't we trying to reduce coal use?)
      Natural Gas: .25
      Coal: .44

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  21. Who'da thunk it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wow, burning methane (CH4) produces less carbon emmisssion than longer chain hydrocarbons, and especially less than coal which is ALL carbon.
    I guess nobody ever thought about that before.

    But hang on, what if we got our energy from sources that don't have any carbon. Nuclear, Hydro, wind and geothhermal. Or even nuclear fusion. Until we get our own fusion generators going, we can use the one thats 93 million miles away.

  22. There's not one single approach which will work by stomv · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's focus only on the 13 of carbon emissions in America which are electricity related:

    Coal emits 2.1 lbs CO_2-eq per kWh generated. Oil 1.9, nat gas 1.3. Wind, solar, geothermal 0. If we instantaneously switched all 20 quads of energy from coal used to generate electricity to natural gas *tomorrow*, we'd save roughly 10% of our overall carbon emissions (coal is 1/3 of overall carbon emissions used almost entirely for electricity, and switching to gas saves 1/3 (1.3/2.1 ~= 2/3)). So the 10% is nice, but it's clearly not enough.

    We've got to do better than that. Additional ways to do better include:
    * Improving building envelope (air sealing and insulation) has a substantial impact on both heating and cooling load. Interested in the electricity portion -- focus on the southeast and the southwest explicitly. Work to improve the existing building infrastructure with regard to envelope.
    * Strengthen building codes. There's no point in tightening up old buildings if we permit new buildings to be built leaky. This is especially important to do at the Federal level, because (a) most new construction is in the southeast and southwest, not northeast nor midwest, and (b) their Republican governments have shown no interest in passing state laws. Before you go off on a libertarian rant, keep in mind that even if a homeowner was savvy enough to understand the importance of a tight and well insulated home, he would have very little ability to measure/inspect the potential home because seeing through sheetrock is nontrivial. Building inspectors, on the other hand, are looking at the space before finish walls are installed, and therefore have a perfect opportunity to inspect for energy efficiency.
    * Follow California's lead in ratcheting up energy efficiency requirements for appliances and electronics. Sure, they won't get it all right the first time -- that's true of just about all engineering projects -- but the overall impact is substantial. It's not just about saving money for customers, it's also about reducing the demand on the grid and at the power stations.
    * White/green/solar roofs, particularly in urban areas, particularly in those with more sun exposure in warmer climes. This is a simple building/zoning code change, and it has a tangible impact over time.
    * Local renewable. Solar or wind at the home or small commercial level, on site, helps not only reduce demand (from the utility, it appears to be the same thing), but it also reduces the demands on the local grid. This is important because it allows us to hold off on building larger capacity at the local level for as long as possible, a huge savings. Ways to foster this include tax credits, time-variable pricing (solar), and even simply ensuring that net-metering is legal everywhere.
    * Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) have been enacted in roughly 30 states. Essentially, they require utilities to increase the percentage of renewable electricity in the mix of their electrons by a little bit each year or every few years. They define what counts as renewable (typically large hydro is excluded, biofuel may or may not be, wind and solar and geothermal are, some states allow a portion to be met with negawatts (efficiency improvements). The elegance is that the utilities can choose the technologies / facilities which make sense for them to meet the criteria, they can "bank" surplus credits, and if they come up short they pay a financial penalty which is severe enough to make compliance cheaper than punishment.

    You'll notice I've entirely avoided mentioning nuclear power. I'm not opposed to it, but I also acknowledge that it's far more expensive for society than the pro-nuke folks let on, and it's far safer than the anti-nuke folks acknowledge. In either case, since it is more expensive than lots of alternatives, let's work on the alternatives and see how far we can push them. If we've legitimately pushed wind and solar and geothermal and efficiency as far as we can and

    1. Re:There's not one single approach which will work by haruchai · · Score: 1

      I'd mod you up to 11, if I could

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    2. Re:There's not one single approach which will work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Bottom line: don't fall for the "do this instead of that" line.

      Absolutely.

      I'd also add that, using your above stats, if we shifted 10% each to solar, wind, and geothermal, and then the rest of the coal and oil to natural gas, we'd cut emissions by over 30%. (the 30% being the 10 each for those three, and several percent more from ditching coal and oil). In other words, it's a spectrum, not a switch. So we can set goals, and the goals can be lofty, and if we fall a little short we still make huge cuts to our emissions. Maybe we only manage to switch 5% each to solar, wind, and geothermal, and move 20% to natural gas, but that'd still be an over 15% CO2 emissions cut. If we do all your efficiency suggestions, they'll be implemented gradually, but eventually add up to a few percent more on their own. And if we went to electric cars we'd make another huge cut, but just plug in hybrids with a 15 mile battery range would be a huge difference on their own (for my current commute, I'd never need to burn any gas).

    3. Re:There's not one single approach which will work by khallow · · Score: 1
      First, why do we want to reduce carbon emissions by reducing energy consumption? I don't see valid reasons for any part of this chain of implication. There's no reason to reduce carbon emissions (that is, no one has yet done a proper cost/benefit study of the issue). Energy consumption is only loosely tied to carbon emissions. There are more effective and less destructive ways to reduce carbon emissions from electricity production (say, via a carbon emission market where the coal burning plant has these extra costs on it). Finally, energy consumption is important since it drives modern society. Poorly thought out measures such as the above will in my view harm society more than they help.

      Improving building envelope (air sealing and insulation) has a substantial impact on both heating and cooling load.

      Keep in mind that you need ventilation in order to the simplest way of dealing with indoor pollution. Also, humans need some oxygen. How does that get into a sealed building? Are we going to have to grow plants in every building?

      Strengthen building codes. There's no point in tightening up old buildings if we permit new buildings to be built leaky. This is especially important to do at the Federal level, because (a) most new construction is in the southeast and southwest, not northeast nor midwest, and (b) their Republican governments have shown no interest in passing state laws. Before you go off on a libertarian rant, keep in mind that even if a homeowner was savvy enough to understand the importance of a tight and well insulated home, he would have very little ability to measure/inspect the potential home because seeing through sheetrock is nontrivial. Building inspectors, on the other hand, are looking at the space before finish walls are installed, and therefore have a perfect opportunity to inspect for energy efficiency.

      Maybe we should ban Republican states then? I see several problems with the above. First, building codes are a local affair. I see no reason to change that. Federal government contributes best through setting up nationwide standards. Second, your worries of a libertarian rant are probably well founded, but you gain nothing by the lousy argument that followed. Thermal issues can be seen easily through drywall (especially, if you look from the outside where there is no drywall). And the stuff that can't be easily seen, can be seen in other ways. A professional building inspector does these things every day.

      Follow California's lead in ratcheting up energy efficiency requirements for appliances and electronics. Sure, they won't get it all right the first time -- that's true of just about all engineering projects -- but the overall impact is substantial. It's not just about saving money for customers, it's also about reducing the demand on the grid and at the power stations.

      It's not about saving money for customers IMHO because money isn't saved. Nor is it about reducing demand on the grid. Remember, if your power grid or power stations are overloaded, then you can just build more of it. OR YOU CAN RAISE ELECTRICITY PRICES and fixed the problem without doing anything else.

      White/green/solar roofs, particularly in urban areas, particularly in those with more sun exposure in warmer climes. This is a simple building/zoning code change, and it has a tangible impact over time.

      Solar roofs aren't a simple code change since they cost $$$$. As to the rest, almost nobody does them. That's good enough for me even though white roofs would be more energy conserving.

      Local renewable. Solar or wind at the home or small commercial level, on site, helps not only reduce demand (from the utility, it appears to be the same thing), but it also reduces the demands on the local grid. This is important because it allows us to hold off on building larger capacity at the local level for as long as possible, a huge savings. Ways to foster this incl

  23. Methane clathrate by Tisha_AH · · Score: 2, Interesting

    We will not burn up all of the natural gas deposits for centuries to come. There is much more methane (natural gas) in hydrates than in all of the possible traditional natural gas reservoirs worldwide.

    If you have been watching the news regarding the oil well disaster down in the Gulf of Mexico they have problems with hydrates condense out of the expanding column of oil and gas that forms hydrate ice crystals and blocks up the stack. (remember basic physics about expansion and temperature).

    Hydrate deposits could be exploited in a controlled manner with the modest introduction of heat into a deep deposit to liberate the gas. To stop a well from producing, remove the heat.

    --
    Tisha Hayes
    1. Re:Methane clathrate by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      We're never going to 'run out' of oil in the traditional sense, but just like with oil, additional sources tend to come from more difficult to extract deposits leading to increased costs.

      As such, I hope to retain NG for stuff that natural gas is better at, such as feedstock for chemical production and heating stuff that it's impractical to use nuclear electricity to do so(smelting, for example).

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    2. Re:Methane clathrate by apoc.famine · · Score: 0, Troll

      The question is whether or not it's cost effective to do so. At the moment, it isn't. If we tax the hell out of coal and oil, it might be.

      Pretty much we're at the point where we either have to legislate against coal and oil, or we have to tax carbon emissions heavily. There's no market incentive to stop with either.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    3. Re:Methane clathrate by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Pretty much we're at the point where we either have to legislate against coal and oil, or we have to tax carbon emissions heavily. There's no market incentive to stop with either."

      There's a third path: do not legislate against coal or oil but legislate about gas emissions (COx, Nx...). Just don't have favoritisms: all energy should be zero emissions. You can even extrapolate it to *any* kind of emissions (not only gases, but wasted fuel, heated water, etc.). And then let the market forces do their way.

    4. Re:Methane clathrate by chazbet · · Score: 1

      Don't know why this is modded "troll". Poster is talking about a Pigouvian tax, raising prices to reflect external costs not captured in the market price.

  24. did you actually read the article? by locketine · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Your last sentence in the summary is contrary to the main finding of the article in regards to power generation.

    "Power Generation

    • Pursue displacement of inefficient coal generation with natural gas combined cycle generation.
    • Develop policy and regulatory measures to facilitate natural gas generation capacity investments concurrent with the introduction of large intermittent renewable generation.

    " -the MIT research summary

    They are not advocating moving away from renewable energy like wind or solar to natural gas but rather advocating the use of both to replace coal since wind and solar do not produce reliable energy.

    --
    Think globally but act within local variable scope.
  25. Black Start by Tisha_AH · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yep, right now you see natural gas electrical generation at peaking plants as they can come on-line very quickly.

    For jump starting a conventional plant that would be called "black start capability" as most power plants do not have enough electrical generating capacity to bring the plant on-line. Natural gas powered plants and hydroelectric are also referred to as facilities that are "black start".

    --
    Tisha Hayes
    1. Re:Black Start by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      No, Black Start capability is not a function of the fuel, it is a function of the design. A gas-fired turbine plant needs reciprocating engines (typically diesel) to start compressors, circulate water and steam, and controls to be capable of a black start. Even the diesel generator needs power to start... usually batteries.

      Since these things add cost, many facilities require grid power for startup.

      After the blackouts in the NE several years back, more facilities have been providing black-start capability, but by no means all.

  26. No drinking water for New York City by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Fracking is messing up Northern Pennsylvania right now.

    And the dirtbags are trying to start it up in New York State.

    Say goodbye to your drinking water!

    Fracking is allowed to use *any chemicals they want, with no disclosure* pumped deep into the ground.

  27. Natural gas supply is in decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In North America, conventional natural gas reserves have been in decline for a while, and it's not expected that trend will reverse as unconventional sources (shale gas and coal-bed methane) are brought on stream. There are also legitimate concerns about groundwater contamination in association with shale gas and coal-bed methane projects, although it can be done safely if the work is done properly. Investment in natural gas will continue because it is a good option: it's clean, has less CO2 output per unit energy than other fossil fuels, there is substantial infrastructure built to deliver it, there's a decent reserve already, and even as North American supplies continue to dwindle, there is also quite a bit available world-wide that can be delivered via liquified natural gas terminals at sea ports.

    However, supply of natural gas is still going to peak eventually like oil will. It's a temporary solution. So investment in renewable/sustainable energy sources should be the focus, and, no, policy should not shift from that. Natural gas certainly doesn't need any special financial encouragement because it's already an economically profitable option.

    1. Re:Natural gas supply is in decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Natural gas is CLEAN???

      Tell that to the folks whose wells are polluted and whose homes have exploded. Tell that to the cows that have died in the field near extraction sites.Tell that to the farm owners who now have to put up with huge loud trucks and ugly dirty loud machinery on the adjacent property. Let's see what they think about how clean natural gas is.

      I live in Pennsylvania. Our lovely Commonwealth government just approved a fracking site in the cleanest watershed in the Commonwealth. How much you wanna bet it's no longer the cleanest within a couple years after fracking starts?

  28. Magnetohydrodynamic generators by Tisha_AH · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Using a cleaner burning fuel like natural gas would allow for generating facilities that capitalize on both the MHD effect and then the follow-on of traditionally 'boiling water to make steam" to drive a turbine.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetohydrodynamic_generator

    By adding an MHD system to a conventional plant, energy efficiency can be increased by 50% over a conventional facility. As we do more work with near-room temperature superconductors the efficiency would increase.

    --
    Tisha Hayes
    1. Re:Magnetohydrodynamic generators by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the case of natural gas it wouldn't necessarily be as much of an efficiency gain as you might think, because many natural gas->electric systems have a dual energy recovery system that is already fairly efficient. They use the natural gas in what is essentially a modified jet engine, and the shaft of the engine drives the generator directly. Then the waste gas from the gas turbine can be used to do the "boiling water to make steam" routine to recover even more energy. How this compares to MHD, I'm not exactly sure, but the natural gas combined cycle systems already get 50 to 60% thermal efficiency, which is quite good compared to traditional thermal plants. Even the plain gas turbine systems (without the steam generation from the exhaust) are quite efficient.

    2. Re:Magnetohydrodynamic generators by evilviper · · Score: 1

      Using a cleaner burning fuel like natural gas would allow for generating facilities that capitalize on both the MHD effect

      Except cleaner burning fuel is not needed. MHD generators can be used in coal power plants as well, and have been used in several trials.

      By adding an MHD system to a conventional plant, energy efficiency can be increased by 50% over a conventional facility

      Except you'd be hard-pressed to find a "conventional plant" these days, as they've by and large all gone to dual-generation methods cheaper than MHD generators, that still allow them to get that same 60% efficiency.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    3. Re:Magnetohydrodynamic generators by Comen · · Score: 1

      The problem is that people keep talking about how clean NG is to burn over things like coal, but from what others have posted and some seem not to want to read is that NG takes much more energy to extract from the ground, and is causing many more problems.
      Just because it burns cleaner does not make it better if it takes you ruining water suppies and polluting the air to get it out of the ground! you just end up hiding the problems.

  29. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wish someone would torrent it, I have been waiting to see it since Sundance, because now some companies are starting to talk about using these methods more here in nothern europe.
    Even in these internet days, you can't see it out outside the US, one should think the creator would want to sell it on different movie ppv sites worldwide.

  30. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by hey! · · Score: 1

    Environmental impact is, in economic terms, all about externalizing costs. Furthermore, like any other cost the *margins* of environmental costs vary with volume and at some point consistently trend upward with scale.

    That means that from an environmental economic perspective there is an optimal volume for something like natural gas. If reduce production, the slack is taken up by marginally dirtier sources. If we increase production, we are replacing marginally cleaner sources. At some point we end up letting the impacts of NG (as in from phracking) get out of hand, which only happens because we can pass them off to third parties (as BP did by passing the risks of DWH onto everyone else who was dependent on the Gulf to make a living).

    So for a given level of energy consumption, there is an environmentally optimal *mix* of sources.

    Efficient electricity distribution and local storage is key to making that possible. You can't put an environmentally optimal mixture of energy sources into an internal combustion engine car's gas tank, but you *can* do that for electric cars.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  31. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am the folks at MIT you insensitive clod

  32. Natural gas between energy sectors by Dr.+Cody · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A lot is going to have to change in the natural gas market to start replacing large amounts of our coal capacity with natural gas. Our distribution networks are hugely complex, aging, and very much tied to domestic supply.

    Electric utilities built most of their base load capacity (coal, nuclear, hydro) before 1980, and a lot of this (the coal/nuclear part, that is) is coming up for replacement at the same time that demand has been creeping up, eating the surplus capacity afforded. The easy way out, especially with more investor-owned utilities (IOUs lol) and fewer state-owned, is to start adding to your generating fleet by installing plants which are only used several weeks a year at very high load. These are invariably plants which are cheap to build and expensive to run (because of fuel cost per kWh). NG-fired gas turbine generators are the dominating solution.

    These low investment/NG-fired capacity upgrades all have their straws in the same glass, as it happens, and are being used for more and more weeks per year. Not only that, but they're also competing against the market that was practically made for NG, heating. We've been fortunate that, so far, the big summer peak in electricity consumption from air conditioning use has been on the opposite end of the year from the big winter peak in NG heating consumption. (with regard to both NG distribution and price reasons)

    However, all this extra consumption is making NG prices are nuts, and--anecdote warning--I've seen a utility go a summer without running their GTs simply because it was actually cheaper to buy off another near-overloaded utility than to run peak plants on NG, which just never happened. Those prices aren't going to get any better running NG-fired capacity not only during the summer peak, but even during the not-to-be-sneezed-at winter peak. Coal is king, and the only way we're ever going to start replacing it or adapting to its decline in affordability is with thoughtful, long-term investments in efficient base load and phasing out of "temporary" capacity upgrades. This is not just a matter of one generation method/energy source being preferable to another, it's a systemic lack of strategy in our energy sector for preparing for changes which they already know will happen or imposed.

    1. Re:Natural gas between energy sectors by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      The NG plants that are idled are single stage systems. More and more dual stage HRSG plants are being built because gas is so cheap, and costs can easily be hedged to manage future costs.

      What I find more interesting for natural gas are the MW scale fuel cell systems that can add distributed generation capacity to the grid. We are seeing higher efficiency and only low-grade waste heat now.

  33. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    MIT and LurkerXXX are considering different questions and arriving at different answers.

    MIT says that natural gas is the best practical low-carbon-emission fuel.

    LurkerXXX notes that current production methods are just ducky, as long as you hate groundwater and like cancer.

  34. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by divisionbyzero · · Score: 1

    That's nice and all, but you should keep in mind how lots of places in the U.S. get their natural gas these days. Through phracking.

    It's not a good thing. There are huge environmental concerns. Flamable drinking water, Neurotoxins and other poisons in drinking water. There's even a movie about it.

    I thought you were talking about something else: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phrack

  35. Honey... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm saving the environment. And so is the dog. So there, please quit complaining, honey.

  36. CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse effect by cheesybagel · · Score: 0

    CO2 is not a pollutant. It is in fact essential for the Earth's life cycle. Plants would not survive without it.

    If you actually believe that global warming is a man made problem, and believe greenhouse gas emissions should be reduced, you would not be replacing coal with natural gas (methane). Methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2. Any methane infrastructure will necessarily have emissions.

    No, the reason people are going for natural gas is the typical myopic management of today. Building a natural gas power plant is very cheap, even if the fuel isn't. Since people plan everything on the short term today, what matters is the low initial capital costs, even if you have to screw your customers in the long term.

  37. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by budgenator · · Score: 1

    I grew up on flammable drinking water with no fracking fracking involved!

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  38. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  39. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by timeOday · · Score: 4, Insightful

    CO2 is not a pollutant. It is in fact essential for the Earth's life cycle. Plants would not survive without it.

    A meaningless statement. The fact is, nothing is a harmful in a small enough quantity, and nothing is safe in high enough quantity. You may as well argue that reducing salt intake to combat heart disease is stupid because sodium is necessary for survival.

    However, you make a good point that methane is a horrible greenhouse gas, so reducing leaks of unburned methane would have to be a priority if we ramp up the natural gas infrastructure.

  40. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Interesting

    CO2 is not a pollutant. It is in fact essential for the Earth's life cycle. Plants would not survive without it.

    Water is not a pollutant, it is also essential in the earth's life cycle. We wouldn't survive without it. It still kills tens of thousands a year from overabundance.

    I'll note that my reasoning behind getting rid of coal plants has always been more due to the pollution they produce than the CO2 they release.

    No, the reason people are going for natural gas is the typical myopic management of today. Building a natural gas power plant is very cheap, even if the fuel isn't. Since people plan everything on the short term today, what matters is the low initial capital costs, even if you have to screw your customers in the long term.

    It's also easy. Nuclear everyone's afraid of even though it has fewer deaths involved with it than pretty much any other industry, and coal is dirty. So getting approval for a natural gas plant is relatively quick and easy.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  41. CNG and India by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    All taxicabs in the main cities in India run on Compressed Natural Gas. So do the public transport buses in many cities. It takes 800$ to convert a regular petrol burning to car to run on either petrol or CNG. Some individual owned cars all have also been converted. CNG prices are around 60% of petrol prices in India, so it takes a year or two (depending on how much you drive) to break even on your 800$ conversion cost.

  42. The transistion to nat gas should be smooth but... by blindseer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In college I took a tour of a couple power plants as part of my courses. One of the power plants had this tower of a boiler where the coal dust was blown in the bottom and the soot was tossed out the top. The tour guide pointed out that the boilers had to be pre-heated with natural gas before the boiler could switch over to coal dust as fuel. Another power plant I toured had a more conventional, and less efficient, boiler that also used natural gas to get the fires going. It took me a split second to realize that these boilers could just as easily run on natural gas all the time if they chose to do so.

    Not part of my tours but I have read about how some diesel powered generators have been converted to using natural gas or propane as fuel by injecting the gaseous fuels into the combustion cylinder much like how a conventional gasoline engine does. The ignition of the fuel still requires a small amount of diesel fuel to be injected into the cylinder. With this conversion just about any diesel cycle engine can use just about any ratio of diesel fuel to gaseous fuel to run.

    Power plants have for the longest time have been flexible in what fuel they use. They will burn what ever is cheapest or whatever is available. One of those power plants I toured still had it's old wood burning boiler as a last resort backup. I would guess they figured it would cost money to dismantle and remove the thing and as long as they had no need for the room in the plant it did no harm in keeping it there. Oh, that boiler could burn coal just as easily as wood. It could probably also burn straw, corn, soybeans, discarded plastic, old tennis shoes, grass clippings, dispatched zombies, or whatever else you could think of. As long as the fuel met certain minimum conditions then it should work as fuel. Might have to mix the fuels a bit to achieve a proper burn but the boiler shouldn't care if you put the old tennis shoes in with the zombies.

    The reason these power plants have not already switched to natural gas should be obvious, it's cheaper. Not only that but with the threat of "cap and tax" hanging over their heads few will switch to natural gas even if it is cheaper. They need the history of being "dirty" so that if a cap on CO2 emissions is placed upon them the reduction of CO2 output can be done as easily, and cheaply, as throwing a switch over to natural gas.

    Then there is the issue of how to get the natural gas. Natural gas tends to be in the same places as the oil. If we can't drill for oil then we can't drill for natural gas. If we burn the natural gas for fuel what are we to do with all that oil? Obviously we'd burn that too. If the government imposes a "cap and tax" scheme on industrial scale uses of coal and oil the price of natural gas will climb to adjust for supply and demand. That will make coal and oil cheaper for the smaller scale uses.

    I've been telling people that if "cap and tax" passes into law then I'm buying a coal fired furnace for my home.

    When it comes to CO2 output per kilowatt hour produced nuclear power is second only to hydroelectric. We've dammed up all the rivers we can. Wind power requires the use of carbon heavy materials like plastics and aluminum. (The aluminum does not contain the carbon but the carbon is used to reduce the aluminum ore to pure aluminum releasing massive amounts of CO2 into the air. Also there is much heat and electricity required typically meaning burning large amounts of fossil fuels in the process.)

    The only real option available to reduce our carbon footprint, and reduce our dependence on foreign sources of energy, is nuclear power. The problem is politics are killing both nuclear power and domestic fossil fuels. The politicians want so hard to please everyone in the country but something has to give or we are going to find ourselves capped and taxed out of an economy. I find evidence in human caused global warming unconvincing so I really don't care if the powers that be permit more drilling or more nuclear power plants

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  43. Bad moderation of parent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No idea why you were modded flamebait, your points are good and were presented well.

    I guess it falls down to many people being hardwired to reject any reasoning that isn't black and white that allows for no continuum of benefit/harm.

  44. report sponsored by Natural Gas industry by guanxi · · Score: 4, Informative

    From TFA:

    A major sponsor of the report is the American Clean Skies Foundation, a Washington think tank created and funded by the natural gas industry.

    That doesn't invalidate it, but it's important for readers to know and should probably be in the summary.

  45. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by Vellmont · · Score: 1, Insightful


    CO2 is not a pollutant. It is in fact essential for the Earth's life cycle. Plants would not survive without it.

    You don't seem to understand what a pollutant is. Anything can be a pollutant given sufficient quantities of it. High oxygen environments can cause explosive fires, even though oxygen is essential for animal life. So your argument falls flat on its face. Pollutants are all about quantity. It's not a specific quality that you can wave away through pointing out some beneficial aspect of it.

    Methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2. Any methane infrastructure will necessarily have emissions.

    Pointing to a preliminary analysis, with no details, and the author has ALREADY found grave errors in isn't exactly a very convincing argument.

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    AccountKiller
  46. Thanks! by zogger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is a great post! I was going to post something like this if no one else did. This 99% fixation on OMG WE NEED MORE POWER PLANTS! Instead of looking to REDUCE DEMAND is plain nuts. It's been pure propaganda and brainwashing of the population for decades now. I know why they do it, to keep wall street traders and speculators and the entrenched energy companies rich. Super insulate ONCE, save forever, or ignore rational insulation and efficiencies that are quite possible and keep up the propaganda that we "need" more power plants, of any kind, and keep paying through the nose month after year after decade for your energy. Freakin loony tunes how many people they have brainwashed against the realities of actual do-able energy savings that are possible using off the shelf technologies.

    I've worked on several superinsulation projects, the heating and cooling savings are ginormous, simply *astounding*. The energy industry does NOT want this pushed, they got millions to throw around lobbying, so it isn't pushed. We're talking dropping your energy demands down to 20-10% sometimes of what they were previously, it's that good. It is by far and away the best ROI "energy dollar" that can be spent.

    Next up, build out a better internet! It's ludicrous in the 21st century to have millions of people commute daily to go sit in front of a screen with an internet connection. That's bob cratchet and a quill pen action, we don't need that physical presence in the office all the time. We could eliminate millions of transportation miles, millions of lost production hours, by car or bus or train, and eliminate all this supposed "need" for huge SUV energy hog office towers, the ones with huge lights blaring all night long advertising to the space aliens.

    There's tons and tons of places that we could be reducing demand at, without reducing quality of life at all, but wall street and the big energy cartels don't like that, and they run the nation. You saving money is not what they like, taking your money every month in big chunks is what they like, and they'll keep shoving propaganda like this article at people as long as it takes to keep you faked out, or feed you BS like "good cents" homes. That's a joke level.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superinsulation

    1. Re:Thanks! by khallow · · Score: 0, Troll

      This 99% fixation on OMG WE NEED MORE POWER PLANTS! Instead of looking to REDUCE DEMAND is plain nuts.

      Electricity consumers aren't stupid. There's a natural explanation for why demand hasn't reduced on its own. Because the consumer loses more than they gain. Given that, why should we attempt to artificial reduce demand?

      There's tons and tons of places that we could be reducing demand at, without reducing quality of life at all

      Then why isn't it already done? Answer: because demand reduction reduces our quality of life.

    2. Re:Thanks! by dylan_- · · Score: 1

      Then why isn't it already done? Answer: because demand reduction reduces our quality of life.

      The facts don't fit your theory, therefore your theory is wrong.

      Quality of life index (out of 10):
      Ireland: 8.333
      USA: 7.615

      Per capita power usage (GJ):
      Ireland: 157.97
      USA: 327.38

      --
      Igor Presnyakov stole my hat
    3. Re:Thanks! by khallow · · Score: 1

      The facts don't fit your theory, therefore your theory is wrong.

      Citation please. And what happens if I dig in there and find out that per capita power usage is considered by this "quality of life" index to have a negative correlation with quality of life? That kind of bullshit happens all the time with these things.

    4. Re:Thanks! by dylan_- · · Score: 1

      Citation please.

      Why? Don't you believe my figures? Well, here then.

      And what happens if I dig in there and find out that per capita power usage is considered by this "quality of life" index to have a negative correlation with quality of life?

      "Dig in there"? You mean like you actually doing some checking of your own theory? Like that's ever going to happen!

      Still, the Wikipedia page describes the criteria used, and as you can see power usage is not included.

      There is a link for the original Economist PDF down there at the bottom of the Wikipedia page. Use your scrollbar.

      --
      Igor Presnyakov stole my hat
    5. Re:Thanks! by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Let me get this right. A higher quality of life is associated with such things as trade unions? Job security? Gender equity? Divorce rate? I just listed almost half the scoring of the index and already it is looking pretty worthless as a measure of standard of living. It's also notable in what it omits. For example, there's nothing there about rearing children, education, or Ireland's superior tax code.

      And let us not forget that the index also has a weather component, which strictly is a function of location. Ireland has the advantage here.

      Glancing around, I see other life expectancy indices that provide different quality of life indices for Ireland and US (0.965 versus 0.956). Given that this index supports my view, I'll pick it instead. Oh, did I forget to mention that quality of life is highly subjective?

      I think that last sentence bears repeating. Quality of life is highly subjective. That means whatever you consider to be higher quality of life (such as consuming less energy) doesn't have to apply to someone else (such as me). There's no point to using as evidence some kooky index that a newspaper threw together to grab a few eyeballs or a UN index that has to survive negotiation with a bunch of countries gaming to increase their position in the list. The thing to remember about energy consumption is that it is by choice. For some reason, people choose to consume energy. I think they do so to enable the other decisions they make, including decisions that improve their quality of life.

      This choice is the missing element in plans like this which allege to improve the quality of life. If I force you to make choices that aren't in your interests, how does that improve your quality of life? It doesn't.

    6. Re:Thanks! by dylan_- · · Score: 1

      Let me get this right. A higher quality of life is associated with such things as trade unions?

      Yes, having the right to form trade unions is important to your quality of life. Countries where you get shot or arrested for doing so aren't so nice to live in.

      Gender equity?

      Yes, again, countries where women aren't allowed to do certain jobs are generally not good places to live (particularly if you are a woman).

      Glancing around, I see other life expectancy indices that provide different quality of life indices for Ireland and US (0.965 versus 0.956). Given that this index supports my view, I'll pick it instead.

      OK, pick that one then. Of course it doesn't support your view. Ireland and the USA have a small difference in QoL despite having a huge difference in energy usage. What's worse, from your point of view, is that Norway tops that Index and Norway's energy usage is 249.21 compared to (I'm sure you remember!) 327.38 for the USA!

      Your own figures let you down.

      Quality of life is highly subjective.

      Then why did you make the statement that it must decrease if you decrease energy usage? Surely for some people it would actually increase if it's that subjective.

      There's no point to using as evidence some kooky index that a newspaper threw together to grab a few eyeballs

      The Economist prints "kooky" indices? Who would have thought? Perhaps they should be less capitalist; maybe then they'd be more serious.

      or a UN index that has to survive negotiation with a bunch of countries gaming to increase their position in the list

      Well, they ranked the UNs most powerful and influential member way down in 13th place, so perhaps there wasn't that much gaming going on.

      The thing to remember about energy consumption is that it is by choice. For some reason, people choose to consume energy.

      I don't care about how much energy people choose to use, as long as it doesn't impact on me. When people start fucking up the planet I live on; then I object.

      But that's besides the point. The point is that you claimed that lower energy usage necessarily meant a lower standard of living. I claimed that was untrue, and so far the figures are bearing me out, even the ones you supplied.

      --
      Igor Presnyakov stole my hat
    7. Re:Thanks! by khallow · · Score: 1

      What's worse, from your point of view, is that Norway tops that Index and Norway's energy usage is 249.21 compared to (I'm sure you remember!) 327.38 for the USA!

      Norway is also a massive exporter of fossil fuels and the difference between the top of the index and the US isn't that significant.

    8. Re:Thanks! by dylan_- · · Score: 1

      Norway is also a massive exporter of fossil fuels

      What's that got to do with anything?

      and the difference between the top of the index and the US isn't that significant.

      I misread your previous comment. I thought it had the USA above Ireland, but I now see you were trying to say that they were about the same, because in fact Ireland scores higher than the USA in that one too.

      So you're saying countries with lower power consumption have at least as good a quality of life as the USA.

      Therefore lower power consumption does not equal a lower quality of life. See, you knew you were wrong all along!

      --
      Igor Presnyakov stole my hat
  47. Three thoughts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't see the study give any consideration to the increasing escaping of methane due to increased production and distribution. In other studies the escaped methane and its efficiency as a greehouse gas made it a wash when compared to coal. Don't expect to run your car on this stuff. I don't see a way to price escaped methane

    Methane production in the US is currently plagued by poor regulation and misguided greed causing damage that is socialized but profits aren't

    Wind energy as a natural gas ploy also has the effect of placing a damper of increasing natural gas prices.

  48. In Pennsylvania There Is No Doubt by christoofar · · Score: 1

    The latest edition to Pennsylvania's vast natural gas reserves, the Mercellus Shale find, is our only hope in this state to recover from de-investment since the steel industry was obliterated in the 1970s, and the coal industry before that.

    Since NatGas prices are now trading at obscenely low levels, I'm hoping for more expansion (and driller taxation) in my state to at least make up somewhat for 30 years of economic decline, and the expectation is that NatGas prices now have nowhere to go but back up after perhaps another 12-20 month plateau until more coal-fired power plants are retired and gas-generated electricity expands.

    Home consumption of natural gas in Pennsylvania is starting to expand after years of decline. Most PA electric companies will be allowed to jack up rates starting in 2011, which means any homeowner who moved off gas or oil heat to cheap and ineffecient forced-air electric heating elements to save money will now be royally screwed.

    There's a lot of local companies around the Philadelphia area who are making a mint converting newer houses off electric heating back on to Natural Gas and those who are giving up oil heat are picking forced-air gas furnaces instead.

    I am soon to buy a new home, and not only does my water heater and my furnace run off gas, but I will be switching my 240V electric clothes dryer (120V powers the motor, 240V goes to the heating element) to a low power 120V electric/gas dryer. Gas clothes dryers also dry your clothes quicker than all-electric models do with a more even application of heat.

    1. Re:In Pennsylvania There Is No Doubt by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      I hope you guys have some sort of backup water supply lined up...

      If you are really lucky, which seems unlikely, you won't see a repeat of the "coal country" scenario. There is a bump in jobs and tax revenue(though, because it tends to be accompanied by levels of regulatory capture that would make anyone outside of a narco-state wince, a smaller and less pleasant bump than would otherwise be expected). Most of the profits leave the area and those that remain are usually spent by the time the minerals are gone. You are then back where you started, except you now live in a superfund site. It's worked out real well for Appalachia...

    2. Re:In Pennsylvania There Is No Doubt by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      The latest edition to Pennsylvania's vast natural gas reserves, the Mercellus Shale find, is our only hope in this state to recover from de-investment since the steel industry was obliterated in the 1970s, and the coal industry before that. Since NatGas prices are now trading at obscenely low levels, I'm hoping for more expansion (and driller taxation) in my state to at least make up somewhat for 30 years of economic decline

      "Driller taxation" As in taxing drilling companies more? Doesn't that seem like a reverse-investment?

  49. No coal? Not likely by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Conventional coal is no longer a major source of power generation in the United States.

    Yeah right. The US is to coal what Saudi Arabia is to oil. I cannot conceive of any scenario by which coal will not be a major player for the next 40 years. I'd love to be wrong but I seriously doubt I am.

  50. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by amorsen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    (as BP did by passing the risks of DWH onto everyone else who was dependent on the Gulf to make a living).

    It is entirely possible (perhaps not likely, but possible) that BP can't pay and goes bankrupt.

    Imagine that there are a bunch of companies producing the same product. Half of them produce it safely, the other half have a 10% risk each year causing an environmental disaster costing a fortune in excess of their assets, but the production price is halved. In that case the unsafe ones are going to outcompete the safe ones, leaving only the unsafe ones (which are regularly replaced as disasters strike, but shareholders get their dividends each year for the ones which survive).

    Market economics don't prevent environmental disasters even when environmental costs are entirely and fairly paid by the polluter. The only market economy remedy is requiring all companies to take out insurance for the very worst theoretical environmental disaster they could possibly cause.

    There are other remedies for this problem which don't rely on market mechanisms, of course. Including the current one of letting society pay when companies can't...

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    Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  51. Natural Gas by DaMattster · · Score: 1

    Natural Gas may lower carbon emissions in vehicles, however, there are more cars on the road than there were even 15-20 years ago. Even if today all vehicles were to be government mandated to go to natural gas, we would really only be reducing carbon emissions to levels that they were about 15-20 years ago and it would take forever for these mandates to go into effect. At the rate that cars are being added to the road, we would quickly negate any carbon advantage. Hell, the levels 15-20 years ago were still very high!! In the end, it really does nothing to stem the tide of greenhouse gases and climate change. If, as a nation, we were serious about alternative energies we would seek zero emissions. If we were serious about energy independence, we would be actively looking towards clean hydrogen. Clean coal is any oxymoron because it still emits greenhouse gases when burned. The trouble is, thanks to the GOP and Big Oil, we are not likely to get serious any time soon.

    1. Re:Natural Gas by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Hydrogen may, depending on how the tech evolves, and how you crunch the numbers, end up being a cheaper/better energy storage tool than batteries for vehicle-sized applications; but it's still just storage. You have to generate the stuff, either by cracking some hydrocarbon and throwing the carbon away(which does reduce the CO2 problem; but actually means less usable energy per unit environmental destruction and political havoc caused by fossil fuel extraction) or by using some electrical source to crack water. The latter scenario requires either a massive ramp of solar/wind/hydro or more nukes than you can shake a stick at.

      There is basically zero free hydrogen within our little gravity well and, barring the Fusion guys actually getting that working, the energy you generate from a given quantity of hydrogen will always be less than the energy you spent to produce it. That doesn't make it useless, the exact same thing is true of rechargable batteries; but it consigns it to the role of energy storage, not energy generation.

  52. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by Snowhare · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Water isn't a pollutant. That doesn't mean you can't drown in it.

  53. Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What is "significant impact"? Renewables already constituted 7.4% of US energy consumption by 2008, which was a year before Obama started dramatically increasing investment in renewables. Before the US entered the Great Recession, after a decade of Oil War in which energy prices were finally high enough to make reducing energy consumption a national consensus. Before BP killed the Gulf with the consequences of offshore oil/gas drilling. That fraction had already jumped by the beginning of 2009 (still before those propelling events), just as it had been swiftly rising - though for only a few years.

    California (1/7th of all Americans) already generates 31% of its electricity from renewables, 12% from non-hydropower. Again, this is all before the recent catastrophes and stimuli produce a new wave of generation plants, which are under construction.

    It doesn't have to take decades before renewables have significant impact. In fact, close to 10% is already significant impact. Renewable plants are faster to build than exhaustible power systems, and are much easier/cheaper to build distributed around the country than centralized exhaustible power plants. Contrary to your statement, onsite generation by solar and wind is an advantage over centralized petrofuels in terms of our existing distribution, which onsite can largely ignore but petrofuels cannot. If we spent a $TRILLION on renewables for a decade, the way we will have spent a $TRILLION+ in Iraq on Oil War for a decade, we'd probably have at least 25% of our power coming from renewables. The resulting boom in the US domestic economy, both stimulated by investment in new technology/labor and unshackled from shipping money and jobs to foreign oil suppliers, would even further accelerate renewable fuel switchover, making subsidies unnecessary. If we canceled all the subsidies to petrofuels like oil, coal, gas and nukes, we'd see even faster conversion as a freer market finally played on a leveled playing field.

    We don't have fifty years to leave exhaustible fuels for renewables. Fortunately, we don't need more than 10-20 to do it.

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    make install -not war

    1. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by Wrath0fb0b · · Score: 0

      If we canceled all the subsidies to petrofuels like oil, coal, gas and nukes, we'd see even faster conversion as a freer market finally played on a leveled playing field.

      Nuclear fuel has nothing whatsoever to do with petroleum.

    2. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1, Informative

      Not "petroleum", petrofuel.

      Nuclear fuel is an extracted mineral. That's a rock. Greek for rock is "petro", which is why petroleum is called that: "rock oil". Nuclear fuel is a petrofuel. It's exhaustible, not renewable.

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      make install -not war

    3. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by dcw3 · · Score: 3, Informative

      The DOE table you linked to runs from 2003-2007, as shown below. Not sure where you got the '08 number. One surprise for me at least, is that from '06 to '07, the percentage actually decreased. Looking at the chart (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:USRenewableElectricity.jpg) that you provided, shows a continued downward swing in that percentage, which is likely due to our constantly increasing demand. One other thing that needs to be made clear is that hydroelectric currently makes up 5.74% of all the renewable energy in the U.S...and I suspect that won't be increasing since there's so much opposition to dams. So, if you take out hydro, the amount of energy that renewables are producing is much smaller.

      Energy Source 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
      Renewable Energy 6.150 6.261 6.424 6.909 6.813

      I attempted to look further into the comments about CA, but some of the references on Wikipedia didn't work. http://www.eesi.org/publications/Fact%20Sheets/EC_Fact_Sheets/Factoid20.pdf for example.

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      Just another day in Paradise
    4. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Renewables already constituted 7.4% of US energy consumption [doe.gov] by 2008

      Well, following a link from the DoE source you cite, the picture is a bit less clear. Of the 6.813 quadrillion BTUs (sorry non US readers, for the non SI units, but it is from a US Gov't. website) attributed to "renewable" energy, 53% comes from biomass and 36% comes from hydroelectric dams. Of the remainder, wind energy accounts for 5% and solar for only 1%. America's hydroelectric capacity is pretty well tapped out -- not to mention the political pressure from environmental groups to prevent new dam building and to actually tear down functioning dams. The majority of the biomass consumption is the burning of wood for heat. Not a bad idea, where applicable, but wood is a poor source of heat for electricity generation and is useless for the transportation sector of our economy. Speaking of transportation, the second largest component of "biomass" energy consumption is biofuels -- largely corn-derived ethanol. Not too smart environmentally or economically speaking, but the farm states loves the subsidies...

      When most people think of "renewable" energy, they're thinking solar panels and wind turbines. These energy sources accounted for (0.05 + 0.01)*0.074 = 0.0044 = 0.44% of the energy consumed in the US in 2007. Not so significant, really.

    5. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My credibility comes from the facts. If you choose to ignore them because of some Bush-era talking points you insist on clinging to, that's your problem. I'm not interested in convincing people like you who insisted we go into Iraq and stay there. You will just have to get dragged along with everyone else as we claw our way out of the hole you forced us to dig there.

      It's an oil war. What made Iraq unusual among all the targets for invasion was its oil. The UN controlled Iraq's oil when it was under Saddam Hussein's control; that hasn't been in the way for over 5 years now. The possibility that the US might never get preferential access to it doesn't matter: the oil was the bait that already got us to spend the $TRILLION (that you people said would be negligible). The Oil War isn't necessarily for oil, but it's certainly about oil. Otherwise there's plenty of other countries where victory and democracy were actually achievable. But they wouldn't have been perfect places for Halliburton and its other oil ilk, topped by Bush/Cheney, to get US corporate welfare for a decade or more.

      You're the one with no credibility. If you want to quibble with the facts because of your bias, try quibbling with the actual facts of the actual subject. Instead of the bait and switch that makes up both your comment here, and your whole "!!!9/11!!! - no, Iraq!" scam that you're still defending with everyone's life but your own.

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      make install -not war

    6. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by sumdumass · · Score: 0, Troll

      My credibility comes from the facts. If you choose to ignore them because of some Bush-era talking points you insist on clinging to, that's your problem. I'm not interested in convincing people like you who insisted we go into Iraq and stay there. You will just have to get dragged along with everyone else as we claw our way out of the hole you forced us to dig there.

      Translation, he knows the truth so we will ignore him and move on to some useful idiot.

      It's an oil war. What made Iraq unusual among all the targets for invasion was its oil. The UN controlled Iraq's oil when it was under Saddam Hussein's control; that hasn't been in the way for over 5 years now.

      So you do not dispute what I said, the UN controlled Iraq's oil until it officially recognized the Iraqi government as a separate entity of Saddam's regime.

      The possibility that the US might never get preferential access to it doesn't matter: the oil was the bait that already got us to spend the $TRILLION (that you people said would be negligible). The Oil War isn't necessarily for oil, but it's certainly about oil. Otherwise there's plenty of other countries where victory and democracy were actually achievable. But they wouldn't have been perfect places for Halliburton and its other oil ilk, topped by Bush/Cheney, to get US corporate welfare for a decade or more.

      In order for you to believe that, you have to ignore the actual history of Iraq upto and including the takeover. I never could understand how people like you could insist that some conspiracy is at work while ignoring the very real facts in order to make the case. Plenty of other countries shouldn't have even been in your statement at all. Iraq wasn't about bringing democracy to Iraq until after Saddam was out of power. Saddam claimed to have WMDs and wouldn't let the UN inspection teams validate whether he did or didn't. This validation was mandatory as part of the cease fire agreements that stopped hostilities of the first gulf war.

      Iraq became a big problem when the threat of terrorism was brought home to civilians instead of military targets abroad. Whether Saddam actually had WMDs or not, the world believed he did in some capacity before the 2003 invasion because Saddam was personally attempting to make them believe that. He said in an interview that he was afraid of invasion if the neighboring countries thought he was defenseless. Now with terrorism hitting home, Saddam having banned WMDs and publicly stating his design to inflict harm to the US, he became a very real threat that not only had the capacity, suspected capabilities, but the motivations to move these WMDs to terrorists for their use against American citizen at home. Bush has always said that after 9/11, we can no longer sit back and wait for something to develop- we need to be proactive when the threat is that real. We invaded Iraq for those reasons- because 9/11 changed everything for the administration.

      Now I know you don't get it. You're probably one of those people who won't listen to the details long enough to understand any of them and say Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11 when the reality of the situation is that 9/11 had to do with why we went into Iraq not the other way around. Only then can your wild conspiracies make sense outside of your own mind. It's about oil right, yea only if we conveniently forget about the entire 90's leading up to the 2003 invasion.

    7. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by brianerst · · Score: 4, Informative

      Unfortunately, the information you link to undermines your case.

      The most significant source of renewable power in the United States is hydroelectric power (it accounts for 67% of all renewable power in the US). The amount of hydroelectric power produced in 2008 is the same as it was in 1969.

      From 2003 to 2008, the percentage of total power derived from renewables went from 6.26% to 6.70% - an increase of 7% over the course of 5 years. In terms of total energy, the only two renewable sources that showed big gains were biofuels (went from 4/10th of 1% to 1%) and wind (went from 1/10 of 1% to 3/10 of 1%). The biofuel component is mostly ethanol, which is highly controversial in terms of land use and energy return and unlikely to get significantly larger any time soon.

      If you look beyond those 5 years, it's far more discouraging. Look at that hydroelectic chart again. In 1949, 30% of all the electricity used in the United States came from hydroelectric power. Today, it's 6%.

      Your California numbers are just as bad. The vast bulk of renewables come from three sources - large scale hydro, small scale hydro and geothermal. All three are essentially either tapped out or have significant problems getting larger (you can't dam anything else and natural geothermal is largely tapped out - and injecting water into deep hot rocks has some significant geological dangers in a state full of fault lines).

      I, too, want to move to a non-carbon economy. But even among the nerd-herd that is Slashdot, hardly anybody understands the sheer magnitude of power that is used to keep our 21st century civilization working. Wind has to grow 800% just to reach the current levels of hydroelectricity, and that's just 6% of electrical usage. And that hydropower is going to get smaller and smaller, as no one is creating new dams and existing dams are being shut down (for different environmental protection reasons). Land siting and usage issues, power transmission from places with good solar/wind potential to existing population centers, water problems - the list goes on and on.

      "Significant" impact is decades away on a national scale. On a local scale, it can be transformative, but let's not kid ourselves into thinking we're 10 or 20 years away from being largely carbon-neutral. It simply can't happen - no matter how much we wish it were so. Best to just keep plugging away at it and being realistic and honest with the public - it's going to take a long time, but it can be done.

    8. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by tripdizzle · · Score: 0

      "Before BP killed the Gulf with the consequences of offshore oil/gas drilling." The Federal gov't is who forced them to go that deep, if they were allowed to drill in shallower water, they wouldn't have had a problem stopping this leak.

      --
      "A claim for equality of material position can be met only by a government with totalitarian powers." Hayek
    9. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      I've heard this argument "shallow drilling is safer" and haven't heard the facts that back it up. The Ixtok spill was in only 150 feet of water and was pretty bad; it spilled for about 9 months before they could cap it.

      Can you provide information to show why shallow water drilling is so much safer than deep water? And how shallow is shallow for this to be the case?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    10. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by tripdizzle · · Score: 1

      Common sense. Not as far under water means its easier to get to and there is not as much pressure.

      --
      "A claim for equality of material position can be met only by a government with totalitarian powers." Hayek
    11. Re:Renewables Advantages Over Exhaustibles by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      So the 'common sense' argument was ruled null and void 30 years ago? Ixtok being in 150 feet seems to say that.

      'easier to get to' isn't a reason it's safer, just easier to drill. I can understand *some* concept that if it's shallow enough for actual divers to go down to the site you have a bit more in terms of remediation options and precision. But that means anything over 200-300 feet is classified as 'deep'. I'd guess a good percentage of wells are at least that deep.

      As to pressures, again I'd guess that the bulk of the reservoir pressure is due to the rocks containing the oil instead of the water, but I'm sure it's fair to say the reservoir pressure is higher at a mile down than at 100 feet. I just don't know how much higher or what percentage of the pressure would be due to the water. Since the reservoir in this case is 13,000 feet below the sea floor, lots of rock seems to be a bigger pressure source. Likewise in shallow drilling, you may still be going down through 10,000 feet of rock to get to the reservoir, resulting in significant reservoir pressure.

      Any specific examples that can back up the 'common sense' argument?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  54. Re:Well, yeah, the gas industry funded it! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now, this should not surprise anyone: the major funding for this came almost entirely from the gas industry...

    You're right!

    http://web.mit.edu/mitei/about/members.html

  55. Re:Well, yeah, the gas industry funded it! by Culture20 · · Score: 1

    most gas is now imported from Canada

    ... a known Terrorist State and Enemy of Freedom

  56. Re:The transistion to nat gas should be smooth but by Culture20 · · Score: 1

    The reason these power plants have not already switched to natural gas should be obvious, it's cheaper. Not only that but with the threat of "cap and tax" hanging over their heads few will switch to natural gas even if it is cheaper. They need the history of being "dirty" so that if a cap on CO2 emissions is placed upon them the reduction of CO2 output can be done as easily, and cheaply, as throwing a switch over to natural gas.

    Or they figure they should use up as much coal as they can while they can. Or maybe they make an extra profit from the leftover coke?

  57. Oh sweet! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    More hydraulic fracturing! I was just thinking that my groundwater was WAAAAAY too clean for my tastes.

  58. Re:Well, yeah, the gas industry funded it! by dkf · · Score: 2, Informative

    It proposes increased CNG use while ignoring the energy density and transportation issues.

    It's among the easiest of fuels to transport as you can pipe it around easily and it doesn't have nearly as great a problem with groundwater contamination as heavier hydrocarbons. The energy density argument is rather bogus too; gas power plants are more efficient these days than oil or coal plants as they're run at much higher temperatures, and you don't transport it in the same way. One of the main ways in which the UK has reduced its carbon output over the past 2 decades has been by switching to producing electricity using gas, and this is despite the amount of electrical power required not decreasing (I think it's increased).

    You would think, based on this, that natural gas is the be-all, end-all of fuels and is damn near perfect in every way. While it is lower carbon than coal, and slightly lower than oil, this is absolutely not the case. Effectively, this focuses on only the best aspects of gas and only the worst of nuclear and every other energy source. it uses the best case for gas and worst case for all others

    OTOH, they can point to real case studies where the benefits are directly quantifiable. The technology exists now, and has done for decades; the kinks in it have been ironed out. It's definitely practical. (It also doesn't preclude investing in other technologies as well.)

    Now, this should not surprise anyone: the major funding for this came almost entirely from the gas industry, who has recently been using heavy PR to cultivate a much "greener" image than it really is entitled to. The major funding and supporting agency is "The American Clean Skies Foundation." This foundation is funded almost exclusively by Chesapeake Energy corporation - one of the largest natural gas producers in the US. YES, THAT'S RIGHT - THIS WAS BOUGHT AND PAID FOR BY A GAS COMPANY

    You'd rather it was funded by the nuclear industry? Or the RIAA maybe? (Powering America on the burning ambitions of a generation of artists!!) Seriously, while you're absolutely right to be careful of what they say, you can't just reject it out of hand because there actually is evidence that it is better (i.e., more flexible, cheaper, more efficient per ton of CO2, etc. There's quite a few metrics.) The companies involved think they can make money (duh!) and serve some other goals at the same time. To claim that their natural financial interest makes them ineligible to say anything on the topic just marks you out as one of the Loony Left (or perhaps the Raving Right; I've lost track of which part of the political spectrum is currently claiming the forefront of rabid anti-corporatism at the moment).

    --
    "Little does he know, but there is no 'I' in 'Idiot'!"
  59. Nope, there's an awful lot of gas left.... by Joce640k · · Score: 0

    Yearly consumption is about 20 billion cubic feet

    Reserves are measured in hundred of trillions of cubic feet

    So...enough for tens of thousands of years even if we double or triple the consumption, plenty to keep going until somebody invents the ZPM.

    (Assuming I haven't mixed up what Americans think of as "billion" and "trillion")

    --
    No sig today...
    1. Re:Nope, there's an awful lot of gas left.... by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Informative

      Re-read the DOE site.

      Annual usage is ~20 TRILLION cubic feet. - 22,834,120 Million cubic feet is 22.8 Trillion.

      Our proven reserves are only about 8 years worth, extended to ~50 years if you assume level use and that the unproven reserves(IE guesses) are accurate.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    2. Re:Nope, there's an awful lot of gas left.... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      See! I *did* mess up what Americans think of as "billion" and "trillion"...

      In that case, yeah, you're screwed. Building gas powered plants is a bad idea.

      --
      No sig today...
    3. Re:Nope, there's an awful lot of gas left.... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      USanian:

      1,000,000 1 Million
      1,000,000,000 1 Billion
      1,000,000,000,000 1 Trillion.

      How's it work in English? I seem to remember billion being a million millions, but I'm not sure.

      Though just dealing with sets of numbers with lots of zeros, working with kilowatts, megawatts, thousands of millions of cubic feet, millions of thousands of cubic feet, made me triple check my conversions. No where else can you make a mistake of 3 orders of magnitude and get an answer that looks right.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  60. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How did this troll get modded up to 5?

    CO2 is not a pollutant. It is in fact essential for the Earth's life cycle.

    That is a false dichotomy. It is essential for the life cycle, but it is also a pollutant in excessive quantities (and the first rule of tautology club is the first rule of tautology club).

    Methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2.

    Your article is interesting, but it seems to be quite a bit of guesswork. The analysis is assuming leaks and also that extraction of methane is necessarily more energy intensive than petroleum, which I don't think is the case.

  61. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by evilviper · · Score: 4, Insightful

    CO2 is not a pollutant. It is in fact essential for the Earth's life cycle.

    Sulfur is essential for some life on earth as well, but that doesn't mean it's not a pollutant when you spray large quantities of it into the atmosphere (hooray for acid rain!).

    Methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2.

    Yes, but it's much, much shorter lived, and so has much less impact.

    Any methane infrastructure will necessarily have emissions.

    The link you cite is about automobiles. Yes, if you have many millions of poorly maintained vehicles driving around, and average people fueling up every day, you can expect lots of leaks. When you're talking about a single pipeline to a power plant, you shouldn't expect much leakage at all. There's a lot of experts, and money working on preventing any such leaks before they happen. That's the main benefit of centralization after all.

    --
    Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  62. Re:The transistion to nat gas should be smooth but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Converting natural gas to electricity using boilers is old tech. Turbines are more efficient.

  63. Why not use less energy? by turing_m · · Score: 1

    The only real option available to reduce our carbon footprint, and reduce our dependence on foreign sources of energy, is nuclear power.

    There is another option, and that is energy efficiency. Our current profligate rate of energy use will cause us to run out of the stockpiled energy we have in just a few generations. At that point we may need that energy for projects that would have really been useful and not easily doable any other way - infrastructure that has a negligible ongoing energy requirement, exploring and colonizing space, that sort of thing. Instead because energy is so cheap, guys like this (http://tech.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=1699062&cid=32702164) who are investing in energy reduction measures are laughed at by their friends. Energy is so cheap that the guy I linked to can make an investment in his house that will pay off better than stock market averages, and he is LAUGHED AT by his friends who think he should invest in marble counters and a theater room.

    Human civilization managed to grow (and at an exponential rate) well enough without using any fossil fuels. With the engineering knowledge we have now, our standard of living can be vastly higher, without much more in the way of energy use. However, infrastructure has to be designed to conserve energy rather than prioritize convenience or aesthetics. Probably one of the best ways to do that is to gently ramp up energy costs with taxes until the ROI of energy efficient investment becomes a no-brainer. This can be done without causing too much in the way of pain by lowering income and sales taxes in proportion as taxes on energy are raised.

    --
    If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    1. Re:Why not use less energy? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      The only real option available to reduce our carbon footprint, and reduce our dependence on foreign sources of energy, is nuclear power.

      There is another option, and that is energy efficiency.

      Energy efficiency does not keep the lights on. If we wish to reduce the dependency on foreign energy then we need more domestic energy. There is going to be growth in energy consumption as the population increases and the desire for a higher standard of living continues. There was someone on Slashdot that summed it up nicely.

      Pick one:
      1. Fossil fuels. (The status quo with all of its drawbacks.)
      2. Nuclear power.
      3. Agrarian society.

      The USA could become energy independent but it's going to take more than compact fluorescent lamps, properly inflating our tires, and turning down the thermostat in winter. We import 70% of the oil we consume. I seriously doubt we can save 70% on fuel use through efficiency advancements alone.

      Human civilization managed to grow (and at an exponential rate) well enough without using any fossil fuels.

      That was true as long as human population was low enough that wood for fuel was sustainable. Many civilizations have failed and disappeared once the trees ran out. It is because of fossil fuels that we have advanced to the point that we can now use nuclear power. It took centuries of burning coal to get where we are, it will take centuries to move beyond fossil fuels.

      With the engineering knowledge we have now, our standard of living can be vastly higher, without much more in the way of energy use. However, infrastructure has to be designed to conserve energy rather than prioritize convenience or aesthetics. Probably one of the best ways to do that is to gently ramp up energy costs with taxes until the ROI of energy efficient investment becomes a no-brainer. This can be done without causing too much in the way of pain by lowering income and sales taxes in proportion as taxes on energy are raised.

      I'm in favor of consumption based taxation for many reasons. It's a delicate balance though since if the taxation on energy is too high then it might result in the stagnation and slow rot of the economy. It takes a lot of energy to make things like hydroelectric dams and nuclear power plants. A crushing taxation on energy could discourage any investment in new infrastructure.

      I'm none to happy about seeing the government take a heavy hand on the economy through taxation to impose social policy. I realize it is impossible to avoid all influence taxation and regulation has on the economy but we should minimize it when we can. A free market is a healthy market. What happens when energy taxes are raised the poor end up paying an inequitable portion of the taxes. The poor don't have the funds to pay for up front costs to save on energy in the long run, such as more efficient but more expensive appliances. Also, the poor tend to already pay a larger portion of their budget on energy than the more wealthy. While a more wealthy family will spend spare funds on electronics and fancy foods the poor will take comfort in raising the thermostat above freezing.

      That's just a long way to say, be careful what you wish for.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  64. I'm sorry....did we forget something? by WheelDweller · · Score: 2, Informative

    I think the term was...oh, yeah:

    C L I M A T E G A T E?

    People in this group are natural thinkers. Are we also natural forgettors?

    Al Gore shows the two, seemingly identical charts on roll-arounds because he wants to hide a one fact, and create another: that CO2, per the fossil record and no one's opinion, actually COOLS the planet, not heats it. The 800-year delay is the data that gets lost because they're on different charts. After the ocean has been "hot" 800 years, the CO2 in the ocean is released in great quantity and resolves the problem.

    Then we have all that "here's how we make this information up" discussions from a dozen various "science" outlets.

    So who GIVES A SHIT about tuning for zero-carbon? I think we have much bigger problems.

    --
    --- For a good time mail uce@ftc.gov
  65. Re:The transistion to nat gas should be smooth but by blindseer · · Score: 1

    Converting natural gas to electricity using boilers is old tech. Turbines are more efficient.

    Yes, moving to natural gas turbines would be more efficient. However there is a sunk cost in the existing boilers. Those boilers can be switched over to the less "polluting" (assuming the claim that CO2 is pollution has merit) with essentially no cost. If the change to natural gas has a long lasting merit then we can expect the power plants to be switched to combined thermal turbines.

    Even then we can expect the boilers to exist on site for as long as it is a no cost effort as a for profit organization is reluctant to destroy capital. That boiler may be idle for decades before it is torn down as there may come a day that they will need to burn coal again.

    We should all realize that there is more to the operating cost of a power plant than fuel. It may be more profitable to run a less efficient electric generator even though the fuel cost is higher because the more efficient generator may need more capital investment, man power, or maintenance.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  66. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by hey! · · Score: 1

    My argument is for regulatory enforcement to internalize costs, or where costs cannot be internalized to prevent reckless action.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  67. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oxygen (O2) is essential for life on earth too, but if you stick yourself in a room of pure O2, it will kill you.
    Nitrogen is essential for life on earth, if I stick you in a room full of Nitrogen, then you will suffocate.
    If you increase the amount of any gas too high in the atmosphere it will have bad consequences
    Need I go on?

  68. http://www.pickensplan.com/ by gemtech · · Score: 1

    I've been supporting T.Boone Pickens for over a year. A sane (IMHO) roll in of natural gas for commercial vehicles.

    --
    Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Albert Einstein
    1. Re:http://www.pickensplan.com/ by iggie · · Score: 1

      I'm wondering how much 'ol T. Boone had to do with the aforementioned study.

      Natural gas is fossil fuel. There are sustainable, renewable, carbon-neutral ways of getting it, but this is not what we're talking about. What we're talking about is dumping sequestered carbon back into the atmosphere, and long (or medium) term, that's pretty primitive thinking in my book.

      It would mean more giant piles of money for T. Boone if he manages to get his way. He's good at it too.

  69. Natural Gas = undrinkable water by acoustix · · Score: 1

    Gasland

    Watch it. People across the country are getting sick from natural gas drilling because they must drill through underground water to get to the gas.

    --
    "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
  70. Renewable Energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Hey petroleum and natural gas are renewable energy too. They just take hundreds of thousands of years to renew.

  71. Nope by zogger · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'd guess you've never seen or experienced a superinsulated residence. "They" don't push it from the reasons I state, it would collapse energy prices because demand would drop. The energy cartels are some of the biggest lobbying and influence kahunas out there, they fund "studies" like this MIT propaganda piece.

    There's a reason there's a push for the "passive house" in places like Germany where energy prices are high and winters are long..it *works*.

    Go outside in the winter in some chilly northern clime with a T shirt and shorts, then try it in an insulated snowsuit/ snowmobile suit, see which works better on "saving energy". Same with your house/building, it's dogshit simple to see this. It can be done new construction or retrofit, I have worked on both kinds. Try a house in Maine in January, comfy inside, with NO heater running during the day, and just a very small supplement at night when it is below zero F. It can and does work that well.

    Part of getting it adopted is educating people that superinsulation (R55 or better all around, planned air intake and exhaust with a heat exchanger, triple pane windows with pull down insulated covers for at night, etc) exists and can work, that's why I posted the above with the link, so people can see they have some options.

    Heating and cooling buildings is the number one energy use in the nation, dropping demand, while retaining the same or even better comfort levels (planned air in and out means you can run a much better air filter, keeps the inside cleaner, plus the house is quieter), would greatly negate this "need" for more plants and using all this fuel, natgas coal nukes whatever. Those boys are in the energy SELLING business, at best they will pay lipservice to the energy savings business, mostly for PR purposes to look green trendy when they are anything but. They are in no way sha[pe or form ever going to push rational conservation as an option, it makes them loads LESS money. There's nothing new to patent, no giant wall street speculation is needed, no one company can gobble up a whole region worth of the insulation business because any carpentry crew can do it. This is off the shelf, already invented long ago stuff, just MORE of it with a few other efficiency tweaks involved.

        Superinsulation works with air conditioning as well. Another project I worked on in Missouri was in the summer, the lady there called us up after the install/retrofit was finished and complained we "broke" her air conditioner. She was so used to it kicking on every half hour or hour during the summer, hearing it, when it went more than a day and didn't come on she thought it was broken. I asked her if it was still nice and cool inside, she goes "yes.." "that's what you paid for ma'am". It really does work that well.

    1. Re:Nope by khallow · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'd guess you've never seen or experienced a superinsulated residence.

      I guess you've never paid for one. Just because these exist, doesn't make them a good idea. Economically, there are diminishing returns from insulating your house and at some point the cost of insulating a house is going to exceed the value gained. My view is that current insulation of homes in the US is pretty close to that sweet spot. I'm not surprised that Germany is further along. They have a combination of higher real estate prices, longer winters, and ideological distortion of the energy markets that encourage more insulation in homes. There, the sweet spot would be a more insulated home. Not necessarily a so-called "superinsulated" residence though.

      If energy prices continue to climb, then that eventually will be incentive to build these sorts of homes. I think however, that energy cost is ultimately capped by things like nuclear power and solar power which at worst won't go up significant in cost. So we're probably not going to see significantly higher energy costs in the future unless politics somehow plays a role (as it did in Europe).

      The fact that most of the US does not have long winters cripples your argument. Sure there's a lot of underinsulated homes and apartments, but the superinsulated home doesn't work out all that well when it's dumping heat to a hot, moist environment. A regular home with a light roof gets most of that benefit without the extra cost.

      Finally, it doesn't take much damage to a superinsulated home to disrupt the internal environment. Lose a window and the "small supplement" of heating isn't going to keep up, even if you board up the window while waiting for another triple pane. Maybe the homes you build come with ample heating systems already, but my experience with home builders is that they put in the minimum of such things that they can. Regular homes, because they have to be engineered with beefier heating/cooling systems, are more forgiving of such circumstances. It's not the end of the world, but you might end up with frozen pipes or dead plants.

      planned air intake and exhaust with a heat exchanger

      I'd be interested in learning more about this aspect. Ventilation is a key problem with such homes and it is good to hear that there are ready, off the shelf solutions. I also might be able to use such things for other purposes.

  72. Re:Well, yeah, the gas industry funded it! by manofherb · · Score: 1

    the company i work for, www.lincolncomposites.com might have the answer to your "energy density and transportation issues" we just introduced a 40ft. cng tank(TITAN) which combined with 3 others inside an ISO frame(the boxes you see on ships in the ports) can handle your transportation issues i know the truck and bus tanks we make can handle 3500psi easy plenty of volume and safe as can be btw i'm just a lowly production worker who sees the future of our products and i am in no way getting paid for this

  73. Quick simple no technology way to global goals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Goals: reduce carbon emissions, greatly reduce CO2 emissions, reduce rate of global warming, reduce man made emissions, reduce fossil fuel use, reduce hot air from politicians & liberals, eliminate efforts to create global government. Without any new technology, without wait, without construction, all these goals can be accomplished in one step. When liberals quit exhaling CO2, all the listed goals will be accomplished.

    Yesterday Goddess Pele emitted 300 tons sulfur dioxide to atmosphere. That is right, KILAUEA VOLCANO, one of 350 active volcanoes, did 600 million pounds of sulfur dioxide in one average day. We do not make global weather or global warming. According to our US government the major (98.7%) green house gas is water vapor. Not CO2, not carbon dust, water in air controls solar heating of this world.

    All the lies of dangerous CO2, rising oceans, carbon caps, cap & trade is just a way to Global Government. Power to the politicians is always better than power to the people, right? Just read history, see how powerful politicians have always kept rich contented subjects.

  74. Re:CO2 not a pollutant, NG has more greenhouse eff by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2.

    "Yes, but it's much, much shorter lived, and so has much less impact.""

    A molecularly specious argument. Trace the atoms and you get a different story perhaps.

    The breakdown products of atmospheric methane is water vapor and usually CO2. The negatives you give to CO2, you have to give to methane because it eventually becomes CO2, with some qualification to the conversion. (While water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it's proportional to average temperature.) The qualifications are that it's not 1:1 CH4 to CO2, and there are minor methane sinks involved that draw it out. Still, that's accounted for somewhat in the lifespan count.

    A better measure is to look at methane's GWP. It's why even after 500 years, it's still over 7 times higher than CO2 (CO2 is the baseline and is always 1). So even the timeline measure using GWP still points to methane as worse.

    Which, btw, is why there has been more research into looking at the methane numbers, and methane is showing up more and more as the cause for CO2 levels to some, at least enough to have an argument about. If the conversion plays out a certain way, we aren't looking at CO2 as the major player, and that makes certain environmentalists unhappy.

  75. Watch Gasland, then decide if Natural Gas is good! by EricTheO · · Score: 1
    --
    -Eric
  76. Just ignore this troll by dbIII · · Score: 1

    It's the sockpuppet account he has for when he wants to annoy people with a fake parody persona to send up Christian Libertarians heterosexuals with a working class background. Look at his posts and his journal where he talks about his other account and all of his previous posts where he accuses others of homosexual acts he describes in expert detail (not that there's anything wrong with that - but accusing others is wrong).

    1. Re:Just ignore this troll by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Oh, so it's a big conspiracy now is it. Nobody listen to what is being said- just ignore the words written which happen to be true because of some conspiracy being alleged that couldn't exist if anyone ever looked at the real facts.

      Get over it and get over yourself. Your just pissed because almost anyone can open a third grade text book and prove you wrong the majority of the time. In fact, I just opened a newspaper and proved the person I was replying to wrong. Now instead of accepting that his conspiracy is dead in the water without any leg to stand on, you invent this other conspiracy thinking it will silence me. If you have a problem with what I say, then address what I say and where I am wrong, I will admit it. The problem is that I'm not wrong often which causes issues for the half backed loony geopolitical ideals you and Doc Ruby spout. There is more evidence of you conducting a conspiracy to silence me then there is of me participating in any conspiracy.

    2. Re:Just ignore this troll by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I don't think you are part of any "conspiracy." I just think you are a playing a silly little game with your spare slashdot persona that you only use to annoy people, often via blatant lies.
      I suggest you stop being a nasty little weasel and instead reply with your main account.

    3. Re:Just ignore this troll by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      and I suggest you put some truth behind your statements and point out what was said that was a lie. If you could, you wouldn't be playing this little game of yours where you follow me around and attempt to claim I'm the troll every time I through a wrench in your little Geopolitical world view. The Iraq was was not about oil and it the case simply cannot be made that it is unless you ignore very real facts that exist. How pointing that out means I'm "playing a silly little game with your spare slashdot persona that you only use to annoy people, often via blatant lies." is beyond me but the conspiracy simply doesn't wash. You and the parent poster are idiots attempting to remain willfully ignorant in a mad attempt to believe the lies you know to be wrong.

      Like I said before, get over it and get over yourself. You have nothing to back up your accusations and you are just trolling.

    4. Re:Just ignore this troll by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Did I write anything at all like the above words sumdumass is putting in my mouth? You see readers - there's a big pile of lies right there in front of you designed purely to get me angry as some sort of silly little game.

    5. Re:Just ignore this troll by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Did I write anything at all like the above words sumdumass is putting in my mouth?

      What the hell are you talking about? That was the statement I was making when you finally found the thread and started claiming everything I said was a lie. Are you so daft that you can't even contain context? Oh yea, that right, your a fucking troll, Why would I expect anything more.

      You see readers - there's a big pile of lies right there in front of you designed purely to get me angry as some sort of silly little game.

      Yea, see above. You see readers, this is the type of bullshit those conspiracy theorists attempt to do. They chime in with Bullshit to discredit the people spreading the truth in order for their distortions of reality to prevail. You all are supposed to believe the Iraq war was because of oil, bush is evil and no matter what the facts are or the historical events are, they are wrong so believe the conspiracy, Oh yea and vote democrat or republocrap or whatever. and when things still don't go their way, they will blame Bush or Reagan, or some long lost democrat who wasn't socialist or communist enough for them. In short, they expect the reader to be useful idiots who have no capacity of checking the facts for themselves and instead just parody what their masters tell them on the other websites with no real understanding of the issues at all.

      This isn't the first time dbill has trolled like this. He likes to follow me around and pretend he is saving his cause (whatever that may be) by distracting the poster from the points that were damaging the claim. I find that he usually pops up right after someone seriously contradicts Doc Ruby and a few other accounts. It may be as he claimed in the beginning a "the sockpuppet account he has for when he wants to annoy people with a fake parody persona" or it might just be some useful idiot following them around who thinks they are helping the cause or something. It's sort of one of those guilty conciseness like where people who are cheating on their spouse end up accusing them of cheating in order to justify their own behavior. It's typical where he will distract the thread and when someone attempts to get back on point he says "I didn't say that". Well, No shit Sherlock, I said it and more, and if you would have been following along instead of attempting to confuse everyone, you would have easily seen and comprehended that.

  77. free fuel by speculatrix · · Score: 1

    I just pop down to the beach and get a bucket of fuel; it's delivered free by BP.

  78. Re:Not a good answer. We need solar or fusion. by elrous0 · · Score: 1

    Sort of like many wind and solar fans don't give much thought to what it takes to build those panels and turbines.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  79. It's a warning, not "following around" by dbIII · · Score: 1

    I find that he usually pops up right after someone seriously contradicts Doc Ruby

    Can you find one other example of this? Obviously not.
    That's right guys, it's yet another lie.

    1. Re:It's a warning, not "following around" by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I guess they will have to take my word for it just the same as they have to take your word for what you said.

      However, I should mention that it isn't just following Doc Ruby, You seem to troll on out for any topic where the facts presented break down your idea that Bush is an evil oil Barron plotting the destruction of freedom while pulling some massive oil war conspiracy, while at the same time too stupid to tie his own show even though he was able to defeat two democrat opponents in two elections. You also seem to troll when the science doesn't back the Church of global warming, or when someone attempts to claim science disproves religion when it does no such thing. I think I remember a thread in which you were attempting to claim all sorts of shit about the bible too which turned out to be the simple fact that you don't know your ass from a whole in the ground about it or the christian religion or the bible. It was like you read a website somewhere trashing the thing then repeated it without understanding what they were even saying.

      I can understand your frustration and why you will not address the issues or facts presented. I mean if I was shot down as much as you have been, I would probably just stop posting online. You on the other hand seem to think the alternative to intelligent discourse isn't keeping your mouth shut, it's trolling and attempting to distract from the points being made in order to keep your geopolitical ideals real to yourself. I am pointing out that you only jumped in this because you disagreed with something I said, yet you offer nothing to what was said, just your blabbering about not listening to the truth because of something entirely unrelated which exists in your mind.

    2. Re:It's a warning, not "following around" by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I guess they will have to take my word for it

      They don't because if it was really on this website they could read it for themselves. Hence an incredibly obvious huge fucking lie.
      Put up or shut up and preferably find a different hobby from deliberately making people angry on the internet with stupid lies.

    3. Re:It's a warning, not "following around" by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Lol.. And your search mastery wouldn't have issues with the limited search abilities of the site or Google's reference to articles instead of threads like it used to be. Why don't you post a fool proof way to search this site for comments to back up your own statements and I can easily adapt it to do mine. I mean after all, you are making unsupported claims too. Except you are saying that because I'm not activly supporting mine means yours are right. Well, that may have worked in third grade, but most of us aren't in the third grade still. We don't see technical limitations or the lack of willingness of someone to do something you try to goad them into as proof of anything. Of course ignoring the facts and that is what I was posting about in the first place before you trolled on over. You know, where I was saying that in order to believe the Iraq war was about oil and that there was some massive conspiracy to cover that up, you would have to ignore the very real and factual history of the last ten years and you pop in saying I'm lieing and offering only my unwillingness or inability to participate in your bullshit as proof instead of actual proof that can stand on it's own.

      Go troll elsewhere. It's obvious here. I guess that's just one more thing you can't do right. You might want to start looking for something you can do right before the lists get so lopsided, you think you are nothing but a failure when reviewing it.

  80. Re:Watch Gasland, then decide if Natural Gas is go by energydem · · Score: 1

    People who believe what they see in Gasland must also believe in the tooth fairy. It is an advocacy piece, discredited by anyone who knows anything about energy, including the New York Times. Please, I do not work for the gas industry and I am a Democrat, not a Dick Cheney supporting republican. I do know that there are environmental impacts from all energy production, including concentrated solar and ethanol (both of which use far more water than natural gas production). If you had read the study from a world class research institution (which receives money from many industry and foundation sponsors but remains respected for its objectivity), you would know that it recommends that we require full disclosure of fracking fluid contents as well as regional water planning and disposal, two positions strongly opposed by the industry but in the public interest. On Gasland, you should know that much of focus on Colorado has nothing to do with shale gas, they don't produce shale gas in Colorado. Also, natural gas in tap water is a perennnial problem when you do any kind of shallow drilling to, for example, install geothermal heat pumps for your house where there have beein similar documented instances of gas in tap water. There is a lot of gas at shallow depths. Shale production on the other hand occurs at depths of 8-10,000 feet below the surface whereas aquifers are seldom deeper than 1000 feet. There are thousands of feet of impermeable rock between a frack and groundwater. there are clear surface and shallow aquifer issues but this is from produced water that comes up through the borehole, not from fracking. That's why you need regional surface water management, which most states that have a history of gas production already have. Read the report, think, don't respond to cheap shot advocacy pieces that are designed to appeal to people who know nothing.

  81. on renewables and gasland by energydem · · Score: 1

    I have seen many Gasland comments in the chain and responded to one but want more people to read my response. Also, agree with the person on penetration of renewables. It will take decades and breakthroughs to reduce costs. I think solar is the long term winter but it is an order of magnitude more expensive than gas. Someoned cited California as getting 31% of its energy from renewables. Without looking, I can tell you California generates most of its electricity with gas and uses alot of hydro. I suspect there is corn ethanol in that figure as well. At any rate, this is a fairly erudite discussion so I am surprised that any one is fooled by the muckraking in Gaslang. My comments on Gasland follow: People who believe what they see in Gasland must also believe in the tooth fairy. It is an advocacy piece, discredited by anyone who knows anything about energy, including the New York Times. Please, I do not work for the gas industry and I am a Democrat, not a Dick Cheney supporting republican. I do know that there are environmental impacts from all energy production, including concentrated solar and ethanol (both of which use far more water than natural gas production). If you had read the study from a world class research institution (which receives money from many industry and foundation sponsors but remains respected for its objectivity), you would know that it recommends that we require full disclosure of fracking fluid contents as well as regional water planning and disposal, two positions strongly opposed by the industry but in the public interest. On Gasland, you should know that much of focus on Colorado has nothing to do with shale gas, they don't produce shale gas in Colorado. Also, natural gas in tap water is a perennnial problem when you do any kind of shallow drilling to, for example, install geothermal heat pumps for your house where there have beein similar documented instances of gas in tap water. There is a lot of gas at shallow depths. Shale production on the other hand occurs at depths of 8-10,000 feet below the surface whereas aquifers are seldom deeper than 1000 feet. There are thousands of feet of impermeable rock between a frack and groundwater. there are clear surface and shallow aquifer issues but this is from produced water that comes up through the borehole, not from fracking. That's why you need regional surface water management, which most states that have a history of gas production already have. Read the report, think, don't respond to cheap shot advocacy pieces that are designed to appeal to people who know nothing.

  82. The coke is to reduce the steel - heat byproduct by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Pebble bed dates back to the 1950s. The South Africans and Germans have had decades to solve the hassles that Oak Ridge gave up on in the 1970s. Now the Chinese have some full scale prototypes thanks to help from German and South African research.
    I see now why you don't get the point about making iron and steel so I'll explain it a bit better. The entire point of the process is to take iron ore and make iron and alloys from it - so the entire point is to reduce the iron oxide of the ore and heat will not do that for you. Using coke to reduce it generates a lot of heat, but the heat is not the point, the reduction is the point - hence my nitpick that started the entire thread.
    We can use alternative sources of energy such as nuclear for a lot of things but steel, fertilizer and the huge range of petrochemical products are dependant on coal and oil as raw materials instead of as a source of energy. That is all I'm trying to say on that issue, and that's all I wanted to draw your attention to based on your suggestion that we can make steel with nuclear energy. You can melt stuff that is already steel with arc or induction furnaces with electricity from anywhere later - but to make it the chemistry is the thing and the heat is a useful byproduct.


    We have to consider nuclear energy as a real thing with real limitations to separate ourselves from the idiots that think it is magic that are ready to fall for the next snake oil scam.
    That's why I jump on claims that don't quite get things right.

  83. Re:The coke is to reduce the steel - heat byproduc by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Using coke to reduce it generates a lot of heat, but the heat is not the point, the reduction is the point - hence my nitpick that started the entire thread.

    Ah, now I get you.

    Pebble bed dates back to the 1950s. The South Africans and Germans have had decades to solve the hassles that Oak Ridge gave up on in the 1970s. Now the Chinese have some full scale prototypes thanks to help from German and South African research.

    And we have information from the super-phoenix reactor.

    You can melt stuff that is already steel with arc or induction furnaces with electricity from anywhere later - but to make it the chemistry is the thing and the heat is a useful byproduct.

    Yeah, makes it even more important to save our coal for things like making steel. There's other methods, some that may use electricity, but coke is the cheap, efficient method.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  84. Re:The coke is to reduce the steel - heat byproduc by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Yes, the information we have from Superphoenix is to move on from a 1968 design like that! We've come a very long way since then and whoever suggested that it was a good idea to you is well and truly stuck in the 1970s before we knew better. It's even a dud for plutonium production for weapons materials, CANDU is the reactor of choice for that role in countries with nuclear ambitions.
    By the way, the bomb that manipulative people blame for the closure of the superphoenix went off on January 18, 1982. The plant closure was actually announced in June 1997 - that's fifteen years later! Do you see now how we are being manipulated by emotive arguments to think that is it wasn't for those damn hippy protester kids and their dog nuclear would be everywhere today? Nuclear will be everywhere when it's good enough to be everywhere, and it's only going to be good enough if companies trying to sell it actually do some R&D. Otherwise we wait for China, India or maybe even France and buy it from them.

  85. Re:The coke is to reduce the steel - heat byproduc by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    When I say 'lessons learned', I'm thinking more about the technical details of working with a liquid sodium design. With liquid sodium, you can increase the reactor's temperature quite a bit to produce things such as hydrogen, increase efficiency so you're dumping less heat for more electricity, etc...

    You're thinking I want to see the reactor design itself resurrected - I don't. I don't want breeder reactors for plutonium, I want them for their far greater ability to completely consume fuel and dispose of waste.

    By the way, the bomb that manipulative people blame for the closure of the superphoenix went off on January 18, 1982.

    That was the RPG attack, while explosives were involved I wouldn't call them 'bombs', the damage profile is quite different.

    '63 months normal operations(but low power), 25 months outage due to technical problems, 66 months spent on hault due to political and administrative issues'.

    In 1996 it finally reached 90% power, after they fixed the sodium system's corrosion and leakage problems.

    Otherwise we wait for China, India or maybe even France and buy it from them.

    Something of this scale should be joint, I think.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  86. Re:The coke is to reduce the steel - heat byproduc by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Yep - such lessons learned are not to use liquid sodium (cause of liquid metal embrittlement) anywhere near something that is bombarded with neutrons and thus develops the sort of voids that produce the sort of cracks that get opened up a lot by a liquid metal. Nobody ever found more than a short term solution to that one even with a lot of retubing. A very similar sort of thing to neutron damage happens with high temperatures and stress and the same alloys are used in coal fired power stations which is why I was reading papers on that even though I've never worked on anything from a nuclear plant.
    To put things in perspective I heard a lot of the things that were wrong with it from a former Russian nuclear power station engineer in 1994 - that French plant was so bad that even the Russians said it scared them. That Russian engineer wasn't stating it out of any sort of patriotism, he also said much of the Russian stuff was very very bad (with very scary details) but Superphoenix was considered a bad joke in comparison.
    Anyway, liquid metal embrittlement is interesting stuff and is why you can't take mercury thermometers on aircraft - once it spills it dissolves any little scratch into a major crack and forces the crack open. That was one of the many problems resulting from the very concept of a liquid sodium reactor. Get around with that the right materials and the concept has a chance - but who has been able to do so? Until that is no longer a problem there is no chance of ever getting such a thing as a system reliably generating electricity, so a dead end for now unless some research can find something to fit all of the conditions.
    The plutonium fast breeder was mostly to get around a future shortage of fuel from cheap high grade uranium ore which is no longer worth worrying about since much more has been found and only old US designs (eg. what Westinghouse is try to sell to the Government) need high grade fuel anyway.