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Android Outsells iPhone In Last 6 Months

tomhudson writes "Despite all the hype about Apple's latest iPhone, Android has sold more in the last 6 months (27% of all smartphone sales) than Apple (23%). The gains for Android are coming at the expense of RIM (still #1 at 33%, down from 45% a year ago), Windows Mobile (11%, down from 20%) and the iPhone (down from 34% at it's peak 6 months ago). If the current trend continues, Android is expected to be #1 within the year."

75 of 514 comments (clear)

  1. Already #1 in the US market by SilentSage · · Score: 5, Informative

    Boy Genius and Engadget are circulating a report that says that Android has already overtaken Apple and RIM in the US. Android devices collectively represented a 34% share of the US market in the quarter, and with growth of 851% Android became the largest smart phone platform in the country.

    1. Re:Already #1 in the US market by hedwards · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A lot of that has to do with the fact that Nokia doesn't ship their best phones to the US. And really it's been a recent phenomenon for any good phones to make it to the US. Admittedly, that's largely because it's much more common in other parts of the world for people to have multiple phones or be willing to put up with beta gadgets.

      The smartphone market in the US is consequently just starting to get going. And it shouldn't be shocking that Android with it's increasingly diverse set of options would be overtaking the iPhone and it's limited selection.

    2. Re:Already #1 in the US market by QuantumRiff · · Score: 2, Interesting

      In our company, any smartphone under the sun is supported. Until September, when we start enforcing passwords, remote encryption/wiping abilities, etc.

      Pretty much every major smart phone made in the last couple of years supports these features, except Android based phones.

      People are very upset that their very nice Drod's will stop working soon, and they still have over a year on their phone contracts. (many people get re-imbursed by the company for monthly expenses).

      Microsoft has published their spec for ActiveSync for exchange. Google so far has not bothered to code it in. This is keeping iphones and blackberries (and winMobile 6.5 and above) phones popular here.. otherwise everyone would drop them.

      --

      What are we going to do tonight Brain?
    3. Re:Already #1 in the US market by mark72005 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      One reason is that there are many more Android devices out there than anything else.

      Blackberry has what, 4 current lines. iPhone only has one, most of the time. There are numerous Android phones on every carrier, pretty much.

      And even people who want the iPhone can't get the latest one without spending a month on a waiting list, or I think their numbers would be higher. (Though this applies to Android in some devices like the Droid X or the HTC EVO).

      It's most telling that Palm is flatlining and Windows Mobile has lost half of its already meager market share in the past year.

    4. Re:Already #1 in the US market by unix1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Notes:

      - numbers are for new devices only (not total market share)
      - does not include iPhone 4 - not a lot of people would buy an iPhone 3 in Q2 when new model was expected shortly

      More interesting will be Q2 and Q3 totals combined when Q3 numbers are available. Then put BB6 and WP7 in the mix by year's end and it will get really interesting.

    5. Re:Already #1 in the US market by Dixie_Flatline · · Score: 4, Insightful

      IN THE QUARTER. In the quarter. It's the biggest platform IN THE QUARTER.

      Rather than admonishing other people to read your links, please read the story that you're talking about. They haven't caught up to anyone yet, they're just selling faster.

      Ignore the 851% figure because it's meaningless. If I sell 1 phone in my first quarter and TEN phones in my second quarter, that's a growth of 1000% per quarter! All it tells us is that Android didn't have much market penetration before and it's up now.

      In the end, this isn't news. There are MANY manufacturers using Android as a platform and only Apple using iOS as a platform. Apple is tied to the most hated major network in America, and Android isn't. The actual question is 'what took them so dang long?'

    6. Re:Already #1 in the US market by oldspewey · · Score: 2, Interesting

      iPhone vs. Android -- they're currently seen as more "personal" phones, whereas Blackberry's market dominance is largely based on businesses, a market in which neither is remotely competitive with Blackberry yet

      At the company where I work, tons of my co-workers have picked up the iPhone. Corporate IT has been forced to offer Outlook email integration for iPhone in addition to Blackberry (they offer no such support for any other smartphone OS, including Palm, Android, and Windows). I'm happy to stick with my Blackberry as it does everything I want in a smartphone, but to say none of the others are remotely competitive is to ignore the reality on the ground.

      --
      If libertarians are so opposed to effective government, why don't they all move to Somalia?
    7. Re:Already #1 in the US market by Fnkmaster · · Score: 4, Informative

      Eh? Android does support ActiveSync. It just that prior to 2.2, it didn't enforce all the corporate security policies of ActiveSync. See Feature Enhancement Request 4475 and see this article for a summary of related changes in 2.2.

      2.2 seems to address most of the password/security policy issues with ActiveSync. I have 2.2 running on my Nexus One, but don't use Exchange server, so can't comment here.

      For Droid owners, the update to 2.2 is supposed to come out officially this week, though I'm pretty sure there are unofficial 2.2 ROMs out there already. So basically, what you are talking about is no longer an issue, or at least not a particularly significant one.

    8. Re:Already #1 in the US market by Miamicanes · · Score: 3, Interesting

      > It's most telling that Palm is flatlining and Windows Mobile has lost half of its already
      > meager market share in the past year.

      Are you counting people who own phones that were sold with Windows Mobile, but are now running Android (like the HTC Touch HD2)? The HD2 debacle will go down in tech history as one of Microsoft's worst marketing/business decisions in history. Here's a phone that was eagerly embraced by Microsoft's few remaining enthusiasts, even as their friends and peers ran for the door marked "Android", only to get its owners metaphorically kicked in the balls by Microsoft on what was probably the lamest pretense for non-compatibility *ever* (it had four buttons instead of three).

      Microsoft could hardly have done a better job of driving its few remaining friends into the Android camp if they'd personally rebranded MSDN as an Android portal & given a free Nexus One to everybody who attended a Microsoft event in 2010.

    9. Re:Already #1 in the US market by jdgeorge · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's true that the Android platform is becoming dominant. But it is interesting (admirable?) that the iPhones are still by far the most popular smartphone devices.

      Great for Android/Google/HTC/Motorola/Samsung, but certainly nothing to worry about for Apple. People are willing to pay a premium for consistent, well-designed, well-supported stuff, even if the guy who runs the company is a little arrogant. He gets the job done.

      Requisite snarky jab at Apple users: Why does it seem as if even though people prefer Android, androids prefer iPhones? Zing!

    10. Re:Already #1 in the US market by Poorcku · · Score: 2, Informative

      One popular seires here is the Nokia E series. It is the business phone class from Nokia and i must say they (the E71 and E72) have supreme build quality and wonderful corporate connectivity. Business has never been keen on the touch fad here in Europe, and most big companies still don't give their employees phones other than Blackberries and Nokias. So i must say Nokia E71 is the seller here together with E72.

      --
      I take my children to see Madonna(..), but I never for once ever thought I was in the same business.Chris Rea.
    11. Re:Already #1 in the US market by bonch · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm sure people in the comments will conveniently ignore those facts, especially the one about not including iPhone 4 sales. Many analysts say the iPhone 4 leak hampered 3GS sales because customers were waiting for the new model. Also, it's bizarre to be comparing an OS to one device. It's more accurate to compare Android to iOS, which would then include the iPad.

      iPhone 4 + iPad = more than Android, sorry.

    12. Re:Already #1 in the US market by DJRumpy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I get tickled at news like this. There are numerous vendors selling Android phones, and only 1 vendor selling a current model iPhone from one provider in the U.S. These numbers also do not take into account iPhone 4 sales after it's release. Funny this article doesn't mention that.

      This is not something to 'brag' about. They should be solidly trouncing iPhone considering how popular Android is becoming. It's a common thing to see Apple hardware sales decline before a new line is introduced. People hold back on buying in order to get the latest. Just look at the sales history for iPhone and Apple Mac hardware.

      This is like saying all other PC vendors combined outsold Dell. It's a silly argument.

    13. Re:Already #1 in the US market by phoenixwade · · Score: 2, Informative

      Obviously we're trading anecdotes here, but I've yet to encounter a business iPhone.

      I work with a 35 employee Photo Studio / Equipment retailer they are 100% iPhone users. I don't guess I know what you mean by "Business" iPhone, but by my definition those phones are all "business" iPhones. The manage communications, scheduling, billing, etceteras on their phones, communication with the corporate servers, the production system for the service bureau, and the sales and delivery systems. I can't imagine what else they'd need the iPhone to do to get labeled as a "business" class phone, or what the Blackberry would do that the iPhone fails at.

      --
      A positive attitude may not solve all your problems, but it will annoy enough people to make it worth the effort.
    14. Re:Already #1 in the US market by sznupi · · Score: 4, Interesting

      ...but then ignoring non-phone Android devices is fine?

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    15. Re:Already #1 in the US market by mlts · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, none of the big names ship their best phones to the US, sadly enough, except for Apple. One can just look at the phones offered in markets like South Korea or Japan to see what should be here in the US. Those places, there is actual broadcast TV that people can easily watch (without being dependent on the data bandwidth.)

      Until Apple came out with the iPhone and woke people up in the US, when I showed them what a smartphone was able to do, the response was mainly, "who cares about Bluetooth or E-mail. I just want a phone that is thin and makes calls. Any more and that is what a laptop is for." Ironic how things change. It wasn't that long ago when everyone was lusting after RAZR models and people with smartphones were either geeks or corporate execs.

    16. Re:Already #1 in the US market by unix1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's more accurate to compare Android to iOS, which would then include the iPad.

      No, it's a valid comparison - the category is smartphone OS market share, which is a perfectly valid and meaningful category.

    17. Re:Already #1 in the US market by DJRumpy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That was exactly my point and Windows vs. Mac is a good example. This is about as relevant as saying that Windows sells more OS in a quater than Mac. It's just kind of a 'duh' statement. Although Apple is extremely popular in the smartphone segment, they are only a single company. They can't hope to compete with every other smartphone vendor releasing an Android phone.

      This would be significant if it was a 'Droid X outsells iPhone' headline. Instead, they are grouping a slew of hardware models together into one big group who happen to all use the same base OS, and then comparing them to a handset that only comes on a single piece of hardware from a single vendor.

    18. Re:Already #1 in the US market by vipw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The point of market share reports isn't like a sporting even where you cheer for your favorite team (fanboyism), but to help people understand the big picture of what is happening in the market.

      For example: I need to migrate an enterprise application to a handheld computer platform, and this report makes me think I should start hiring engineers with knowledge of android instead of iOS or Windows Mobile developers.

    19. Re:Already #1 in the US market by DragonWriter · · Score: 3, Insightful

      true that the Android platform is becoming dominant. But it is interesting (admirable?) that the iPhones are still by far the most popular smartphone devices.

      Great for Android/Google/HTC/Motorola/Samsung, but certainly nothing to worry about for Apple.

      And Apple may be the biggest individual seller of desktop computers (it was for a while, ISTR, don't know if that's still true) but the fact that MacOS has far less penetration than Windows means that MacOS is far less attractive for many application developers.

      If the same thing happens with the mobile space, it will make native iOS apps less attractive to developers than other choices. Which has a feedback effect, as the decrease in iPhone-specific apps will reduce the incentive to buy into the platform for the apps.

    20. Re:Already #1 in the US market by Liquidrage · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In one corner you have Apple+ATT, and in the other Motorola + HTC + Samsung + LG + (like 10 other smaller manufactures) + Google + Verizon + Tmobile + Spint/Nextel + (like 10 other smaller carriers)

      That's just not a winning fight for Apple. And even if they added other carries, the other carries are already selling the other devices. Apple's 1.5 product releases a year won't keep up. The installed user base won't keep up. The innovation won't keep up. I'll be honest, people keep talking about an iPhone on Verizon. I just don't see it happening. Verizon seems to be doing pretty good with Android right now.

      So why it's not a valid comparison or whether it is or not, doesn't matter. The end game right now is bad for apple.

    21. Re:Already #1 in the US market by grnrckt94 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think if you read between the lines, in the end this is about open source vs closed source. Apple & RIM made a conscious decision to produce their own devices. Microsoft sells their mobile OS specifically to run on other hardware, and makes you pay for implementation support. Google just gives the OS away, with a business-friendly Apache license, with very little to no support (Which by the way has spawned a whole new industry). Apart from that, this report is pretty meaningless. I'd be interested to see how much total revenue/profit Google/Microsoft/Apple/RIM generate directly or indirectly from their respective OS's. It would paint a better picture of who is "winning" the mobile OS war, but we'll never see a report like that...

    22. Re:Already #1 in the US market by davidbrit2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's probably largely due to the fact that until around the time the iPhone hit the market, US smartphones were mostly limited to ugly hunks of plastic like the Treo 650, Blackberry 8700 series, or various Symbian bricks, and they generally didn't have particularly remarkable web browsing or media playing capabilities.

      It wasn't until Apple came along and thrust style (and admittedly, usability) to the forefront of smartphone design that the non-business market really started to pay attention. Say what you want about Apple's products, but they have taking full advantage of a style-conscious market down to a science. In standard follow-the-leader fashion, other handset makers have clued in on this, and now we've got a much more lively market, and it seems that plain old feature phones get very little hype around here anymore.

    23. Re:Already #1 in the US market by RobertM1968 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm sure people in the comments will conveniently ignore those facts, especially the one about not including iPhone 4 sales. Many analysts say the iPhone 4 leak hampered 3GS sales because customers were waiting for the new model. Also, it's bizarre to be comparing an OS to one device. It's more accurate to compare Android to iOS, which would then include the iPad.

      iPhone 4 + iPad = more than Android, sorry.

      Nor does it include the new batch of Android based phones that just came out (check Verizon for a bunch), so big deal. I suspect if it did, then Android phone lead would increase.

      And since we are discussing smartphones which is prominently mentioned in each article title and the article itself, then it would be ludicrous to include iPads and the iPod Touch (or non-phone Android devices).

    24. Re:Already #1 in the US market by Totenglocke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You don't get it. You think it's about hardware and you're completely wrong. It's about software, more specifically, OS. It doesn't matter how many of any given phone is sold, it's about how many phones with a given OS are sold.

      They can't hope to compete with every other smartphone vendor releasing an Android phone.

      They could compete if they wanted to. They don't have to be typical tyrannical Apple and insist on controlling everything about the phone. They could easily license iOS to other companies to make iOS phones and still have the iPhone as a separate phone (like how Google did with the Nexus One). Or, they could make multiple product lines - such as an iPhone and an iPhone slider and an iPhone XL (larger screen). However, Apple is too arrogant to make multiple product lines because they think that if they make something, it is perfect and there is no need for any other models.

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    25. Re:Already #1 in the US market by xenapan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Have you ever been to Japan? Know what percentage of the population drives? How about the percentage thats out on the public transportation system? The main difference is in travel time and method of travel. They needed phones that texted well. Why? Cause when you are stuck on the bus or subway with hundreds of people near you, chances are talking is going to be fairly hard with all the ambient noise. Same reason for having TV tuners in phones. Americans drive everywhere. In Japan most people have their hands free while travelling. Also because of population density, living spaces are much smaller which means appliances are also smaller. No huge plasma TVs for the general population so why bother buying a TV for every room in the house when you can just have one and watch it on your phone? Have you ever been to Japan? You would understand why certain features are important on their phones but much less useful to the general American

      --
      insert funny sig here
  2. After almost 20 years by OrangeTide · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Turns out Linux doesn't suck and it is good for something mainstream after all. I still haven't seen the real "year of the Linux desktop" but Android has already given us a year of the Linux phone, and we barely even realized it.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    1. Re:After almost 20 years by binarylarry · · Score: 2, Funny

      How many people buy a windows computer and tell everyone "I bought an NT kernel based computing device!"?

      --
      Mod me down, my New Earth Global Warmingist friends!
    2. Re:After almost 20 years by arth1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      People also buy phones because of the apps they can get for them.
      Just like they buy a Windows PC not because they are Microsoft fans, but because there are apps they want that's available for Windows. Similar with Android devices; the chance of finding the apps you want is higher for Android than any other system, and this helps drive sales.

    3. Re:After almost 20 years by Microlith · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Linux never sucked for mainstream. Nothing about Linux makes it unsuitable for mainstream use except user interface design.

      Android has already given us a year of the Linux phone, and we barely even realized it.

      Does it really matter if everything that most people consider part of "Linux" is missing? I know most people don't care, but certainly the fact that Android phones run the Linux kernel is completely irrelevant, and deliberately so.

      Note: I bought a Nokia N900, specifically because it was not Android (well that and it had a slew of awesome features that fit my needs perfectly.)

    4. Re:After almost 20 years by Luckyo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You may consider putting your hopes into MeeGo with this. It's planned to be an OS that will function in both netbooks (and notebooks) and smartphones, and just might smuggle linux onto desktop through the back door.

      Or at least get it decent games and applications finally making it a worthy opponent of windows, rather then one that is constantly playing catch up, and never having any good games supported natively.

    5. Re:After almost 20 years by sznupi · · Score: 2, Interesting

      In quite a bit more. Apart from (obviously ;) ) tablets, there's also a team of few major car manufacturers.

      (and you know, with how FB/Flash/etc. games are taking the world by storm for some time, are in realiy a big part of "PC gaming")

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    6. Re:After almost 20 years by Microlith · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, how dare we prefer an OS on our mobile devices that shares technologies and toolkits with our desktop instead of a unique, incompatible Java implementation from a single source.

    7. Re:After almost 20 years by Threni · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > huge dependency on Google for future development

      Yeah, if only they released the source:
      http://source.android.com/source/index.html

      or if people other than Google released the hardware:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Android_devices

      or if Android didn't use such unpopular, old fashioned technologies as Java, C++, Linux, XML etc etc.

      Never heard of MeeGo, so I just googled for it. It appears to be something Nokia is doing - presumably because they're shit scared that Android/iPhone has just rendered them unnecessary. Who's going to want some shitty proprietary OS now? Intel are no fools - they're porting Android to x86. Perhaps Nokia are better off partnering with Apple?

  3. Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by Xemu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The numbers for the iPhone are of course going to reflect that the apple crowd has been holding off and waited for the new generation iPhone 4. The numbers for Q3 will be more interesting.

    And then again, who cares, it's just a phone.

    --
    Tell your friends about xenu.net
    1. Re:Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by geekoid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's not just a phone. It is determining how portable device will be used by the mainstream. Locked down, or open? The ability to load your own music and ring tones, and app, or only loading what you are allowed ..at a price, of course.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And how many non-geeks really care about such a thing?

      You do realize that you're posting it on a website titled "news for nerds", right?

      Anyway, which model dominates does affect you as a geek, because it defines how much you will have to shell out for an open phone, how many applications will there be for it, etc.

    3. Re:Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by Kitkoan · · Score: 2, Funny

      I agree that the Q3 numbers will be interesting but Q3 also holds the release of the HTC Evo and The Motorola Droid X, which were both highly sought after Android platforms. So all this Q3 competition should be a sight to see. Now if only I liked popcorn...

      Not to mention the return rates of the iPhone 4 due to people not being able to "hold it correctly" might add some fun to the numbers.

      --
      Attention... all grammer nazi"s! Is they're anything; wrong with: my post,
    4. Re:Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by sharkey · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I thought Android's biggest selling point was wobbling.

      --

      --
      "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
    5. Re:Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by RobDude · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't know what android phones you've got; but the ones I've seen aren't really that much better than an iPhone when it comes to being 'open'.

      If you buy a phone directly, without a carrier, sure, it's "open". But then you are spending several hundred dollars extra. If you buy it through a carrier, it's going to have limits and restrictions imposed by the carrier. Truthfully, even if you buy it yourself, you'll still have restrictions, just fewer of them.

      The source is available for android phones; but that means nothing. The carriers are free to branch the code and use their own and 99.99999% of people can't do anything with the source anyway. 'Rooting' your android isn't any easier than doing something unsupported - like installing the Homebrew channel on a wii. It's not encouraged. And doing it causes all sorts of potential problems like voiding your warranty.

      So, in theory, an Android phone is great.
      In practice, I can't delete the Sprint TV/Sprint Nascar apps from my HTC Hero without voiding my warranty.

    6. Re:Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by Totenglocke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You obviously don't understand what they're talking about when they say "open". They're talking about how you're free to install any app you want - not just the apps a specific group says you're allowed to install. Open as in you can make your own ringtones quickly, easily, and for free. Open as in you're free to use what you want on the phone instead of just what a certain company wants you to use.

      --
      "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." ~Thomas Jefferson
    7. Re:Higher demand after iPhone 4 release in Q3 by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Informative

      The rest of us don't. We just care about how it directly effects us. We don't give a shit that we can't run some one elses hacked together copy of the OS, the one that came with it works just fine for what we want to do with it. ... I do expect my phone to be 'open' but my definition is rational, yours is fanatical

      You're putting words in my mouth. That, or trying to construct a strawman. I suspect the latter, since you seem to be addressing not me specifically, but the "averaged" take on iOS openness on Slashdot, which is rather meaningless as it comes from different people with different backgrounds and outlooks on life.

      Now, personally, I'm not a Stallman adherent. I don't care about openness as an abstract value, in and of itself. I do care when it practically limits what I want to do with my phone.

      Example #1: my N1 has an IRC client on it, which can run in background. I purchased it on the Market, and use it regularly. Such a thing is impossible to implement on iPhone.

      Example #2: that same phone has an ICQ/MSN/AIM/Jabber client that also runs in background, and does not connect through any intermediate server (exposing my credentials to the company behind it). Again, it's not doable on iPhone.

      Example #3: my phone has an SSH daemon running on it. Yes, in background. Should it ever be stolen, this might prove very handy.

      There are quite a few more. All of them have to do with practical limitations that iPhone would have where my Android phone does not.

      (As a side note, all examples above are for a non-rooted phone, and all apps are obtained from the Android Market - no manual installation of third-party APKs. Definitely no custom ROMs etc.)

      Are they geeky examples? Undoubtedly, yes. Not many people want an SSH daemon on their phone. But I do, which is why I care.

      The reality is, most of us, as adults, don't have time to dick around hacking our phones to do silly shit with half assed broken software from someone else. Most of us have lives. Families to feed and jobs to keep.

      So basically you say that you're a geek, except that you're not because you no longer have time or desire to do things that actually make one a geek. So you're not really a geek.

      Which is perfectly fine, most people aren't, and they're not any worse for it. It doesn't make one any better or worse.

      But, please don't pretend to speak for that of which you're clearly not a part.

      The 'openness' you talk about is a new privilege you think of as a right. You are simply wrong. It isn't a right, its a privilege. You do not have a right to tell Apple (or anyone else) what to do with their products. You do have the right to ignore their products, and thats good for you.

      I absolutely have a right to tell Apple (or anyone else) what I think about them being an ass towards myself and others, however; and I - and many others - happily exercise that right on Slashdot.

      This goes equally well for many other companies, by the way.

  4. Not to trivialize these facts... by dingen · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...but hasn't the iPhone sales been slow the past 6 months due to anticipation for the new model coming out last month?

    --
    Pretty good is actually pretty bad.
  5. If this trend continues... by BorkBorkBork6000 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If this trend continues, Android will have 100% of the market in just over 8 years!

    I love linear extrapolation.

    1. Re:If this trend continues... by oodaloop · · Score: 2, Funny

      Everyone will have at least one phone?

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    2. Re:If this trend continues... by thePowerOfGrayskull · · Score: 2, Funny

      But what happens when it exceeds 100%? That's what I want to know.

      This dial goes up to 11.

    3. Re:If this trend continues... by Kitkoan · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Is there any single phone model that is selling as well as the iPhone these days?

      Last year the Motorola Droid was selling more then the iPhone 3GS... and now with the Droid X coming out it's quite possible that it can outsell the iPhone 4...

      --
      Attention... all grammer nazi"s! Is they're anything; wrong with: my post,
  6. I wonder how much of this you can blame on AT& by Mongoose+Disciple · · Score: 3, Informative

    Or rather, the exclusivity deal between AT&T and Apple.

    Anecdote: I had lunch over the weekend with a friend who lives in a part of the country that AT&T doesn't cover at all. He and his wife had seen other peoples' iPhones while travelling outside of that area, and all things being equal, would have preferred to buy iPhones, but couldn't. (Yes, they could have bought one someplace else, sucking up a useless contract, jailbreaking, etc., but come on -- that's not a real option for most people.) They ended up getting Android phones instead.

    AT&T's commercials assert that it covers 97% of Americans, but if you live in or spend much time in one of the areas (more than 3% of the map) it doesn't cover, the iPhone loses by default even if Apple's marketing is successful.

  7. Yawn... by illumin8 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Yawn... These are sales from January to June - before the iPhone 4 was released. People were intentionally holding off purchases because they knew iPhone 4 was coming out. Wake me up if they outsell iPhones for the next 6 months.

    --
    "When the president does it, that means it's not illegal." - Richard M. Nixon
    1. Re:Yawn... by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not to mention that this is a comparison of a phone from a single company to a multitude of phones from a variety of companies. The fact that the iPhone holds it own so well with so few models against all the Android phones is quite a feat.

    2. Re:Yawn... by ADRA · · Score: 4, Informative

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:IPhone_sales_per_quarter_simple.svg

      Yep, the market really cooled off in Q1/Q2 in bated anticipation...

      --
      Bye!
    3. Re:Yawn... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yawn... These are sales from January to June - before the iPhone 4 was released. People were intentionally holding off purchases because they knew iPhone 4 was coming out. Wake me up if they outsell iPhones for the next 6 months.

      uhhh, iphone 4 sold 3 million in the first 21 days of being released (so about 143k per day). Google claims that during that same time they were activating over 160k per day. So the peak of the iphone 4 buying craze already came and left and android phones were still outselling them.

      http://www.androidpit.com/en/android/blog/392465/Android-Market-Reaches-65K-Apps-160K-Activations-Per-Day

  8. Re:Bring tha hate, bring tha noise! by SerpentMage · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I am sorry, but this comparison is pretty crap.

    RIM = 1 company
    Apple = 1 company
    Android = oodles of companies...

    Its comparing apples to oranges here.

    Of course you do see that Android is doing well. Something that I expected and it will continue. This is why I question RIM's, Microsoft's and Nokia's sanity of trying to go against either Apple or Android.

    Though I wonder how long Android will do well. Here is the thing, people buy gadgets, but upgrade devices. With the iPhone 4 people upgraded. With RIM people upgraded. Nokia less so, and Android is an open question mark. I don't know either way and only time will tell.

    --

    "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
    "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
  9. Re:Bring tha hate, bring tha noise! by Mongoose+Disciple · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yeah, the iPhone wasn't even close to being the #1 Smartphone in the US. That honor goes to Blackberry. So why compare to Apple? Ah, because it's cool to hate on Apple.

    Slightly different markets. People have Blackberries for business, mostly. iPhones and Android phones are more personal consumer use products.

    If we're going to ignore the business/personal distinction, then I'm going to hate on Macs for doing terribly in the business server market. You just can't win! :)

  10. Re:I wonder how this factors in... by crow · · Score: 3, Interesting

    My employer-provided phone is an HTC EVO 4G (Android). I could have chosen a Blackberry or an iPhone (or even Windows Mobile). And I work for a large Fortune-500 company. Corporate America is opening up to the new options.

    (My company is large enough that they've outsourced the phone purchasing to some other company that specializes in it. I went to that company's web site, selected the phone that I wanted from the list that had been approved by our IT department, and they shipped it directly to me. All said, it seems like a very good system, especially compared to some of the other services that have been outsourced.)

    Android 2.2 is supposed to take Exchange integration a step further, letting corporate IT wipe the phone if it's reported as lost or stolen, as well as allowing corporate security policies to be enforced. So expect Android to compete even more heavily with Blackberry once 2.2 comes out.

  11. Re:I wonder how much of this you can blame on AT&a by sznupi · · Score: 2, Informative

    Quite a bit more than 3%; size of the map area not served doesn't follow anywhere near that close the percentage of population served.

    --
    One that hath name thou can not otter
  12. Both are locked down to the mainstream by SuperKendall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's not just a phone. It is determining how portable device will be used by the mainstream. Locked down, or open?

    To the mainstream, both devices are locked down. Android requires rooting for full openness, the iPhone requires jailbreaking.

    Where you got confused is that the degree of open differs more significantly if you are a developer. But then you should not be confusing what is relevant to the mainstream, vs. the developer.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Both are locked down to the mainstream by Radtoo · · Score: 2, Informative

      This is not a problem with Android, but only the current sources where you get these phones from (you can already buy phones with root-level access as a specialty thing and anyone can sell root-level access enabled phones with Android). Try that with iOS.

      By the way, I would also say "the mainstream" does not really want or require to root the phone. You should not confuse its demand to run the applications it wants with the need or competence to deal with OS-level problems. Sure, they want OS updates (without particular modifications, just what's required to run new applications and such), but any decent vendor will provide it with the standard Android updates. You'd have to have a large and illegal conspiracy of vendors not to compete with software updates for this to be otherwise.

  13. Re:Curious... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Although your post is pretty much both content free and apropos of nothing, I'm glad you posted it! I was sitting here wondering what your view on Apple products was. Elaborating on why you feel "jailed" using BSD on a Mac or what you meant by "mindlessness and intolerance" or even what about Apple's ethics you disagree with would have really dilluted your thesis, so good call on leaving that part out.

  14. A couple things by funkylovemonkey · · Score: 2, Interesting

    First of all these numbers directly contradict the numbers presented a few weeks ago that only 20% of Android users would buy another Android phone. Here it says that 71% of Android users would buy another Android phone. Still lower then Apple's 91%, but that can partly be ascribed to the fact that Apple has built a very strong brand loyalty over the last several years. Secondly, there is a direct negative correlation between the release of the Motorola Droid (which began the release of many droid phones like the Incredible) and the drop in recent acquirers of IOS4, going from 34% to 23% in the same period that droid went from 6% to 27%. Now this could be that people were holding out for the iphone 4, however the trend started nine months ago. It's doubtful most people were holding out nine months for the latest iphone. There were probably a few, but I don't think that explains these numbers. Third these numbers are going to be dramatically different in the third quarter simply because the hype of the release of the iphone 4. Because the new iphone is released rarely compared to a most other phones that event atmosphere lends itself to what I'm sure will be a spike in iphone sales. What will be most telling is what happens in Q4 as things balance out.

    1. Re:A couple things by Anubis+IV · · Score: 3, Informative
      Seems you didn't go back to the source and read the article, since, as is common around here these days, the summary got it wrong again. Even CNN Money got it wrong, including with their correction. Their actual numbers have no mention of 20% anywhere. To quote Yankee Group's correction of their own data:

      So what is the right statistic for Android owners? The honest answer is that we don’t know. You’ll note in the excerpt above, we were careful to say “Google-branded Android phone owners”.

      The numbers actually ended up being that 77% of iPhone owners intend to purchase another iPhone for their next phone, one third of ALL smartphone owners plan to buy iPhones for their next phones, 36% of Google-branded Android owners (e.g. Nexus One) plan to buy an iPhone for their next, and 32% of Google-branded Android owners plan to buy an Android for their next phone.

  15. Re:Wow. by amicusNYCL · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But the swarm of Android devices reminds me a little of the horde of Wintel PCs that swamped Apple's desktop offerings.

    A little? The parallels are many. Apple has a platform that is considered the superior platform by many people. The problems with their platform are all based on how closed it is, either that they can't install what they want, or they can't use it how they want, or they have to use AT&T, etc. Other than the antenna issues, criticism for the iPhone isn't very technical, it's all usability issues related to the closed Apple system.

    Contrast that with Android, which is designed to run on many different platforms with varying hardware. It might not be as shiny as the offering from Apple, but it's more flexible. This is exactly the scenario that allowed Microsoft to crush Apple with Windows, and if Apple isn't careful they're going to end up getting crushed again, this time by Google. Apple is just one company, they don't allow anyone else to sell their products. Anyone can license Android and build and sell a device that runs it. This is the same as the PC scenario, where it turned out to be Apple versus everyone else, where everyone else was selling the same competing product.

    You'd think they would learn that more openness translates to more market penetration, but their mindset is so stuck on controlling the user experience that it seems like they're doomed to keep repeating history until consumers and businesses "evolve" to desire a more controlled experience. Even just licensing iOS to other vendors to allow them to create other devices powered by it would level the playing field, and I truly have no idea why they refuse to do that. It's all about control, and Apple refuses to relinquish any of it, even if they keep control all the way into the ground.

    --
    "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
  16. Re:Bring tha hate, bring tha noise! by GameMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's an excellent way to compare them. The strength of platforms like iPhoneOS, Android, WindowsCE, etc. is that you can run the same apps across all of the devices. The more devices there are out in the population, the more enticing it is for developers to develop for them. The more developers there are developing for a platform, the more decent quality apps there are, and the more decent quality apps there are the more people will want to buy into the platform. It's a cycle that accelerates at an increasing rate as the install base increases. It's what has made the Apple app store so successful up to this point and will work the same way for Android.

    --

    Rules of Conduct:
    #1 - The DM is always right.
    #2 - If the DM is wrong, see rule #1
  17. Re:I wonder how this factors in... by nedlohs · · Score: 3, Funny

    And I work for a large Fortune-500 company.

    Are there any small Fortune-500 companies? What definition of "small" covers, "we have annual revenues in excess of $4 billion"?

  18. Re:I wonder how much of this you can blame on AT&a by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think the exclusivity with ATT hurts the market share.

    It's a shame that AT&T held a gun to Jobs head to force Apple to sign an exclusive agreement with them.

    And finally, when you have multiple HW manufacturers and multiple carriers it's seems that it would be easier to get a larger base established.

    And most important: multiple sources for applications.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  19. Re:Wow. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I find it impressive that the Apple's single handset is selling comparably to the multitude of Android phones currently being offered.

    I find it impressive that a relatively new platform is selling comparably to a platform that's been around for 4 years and has had a chance to "iron out the bugs".

    Oh, and Apple's selling three different iPhone models, so it's not exactly a "single handset".

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  20. Re:What are you smoking? by Kitkoan · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's not just a phone. It is determining how portable device will be used by the mainstream. Locked down, or open? The ability to load your own music and ring tones, and app, or only loading what you are allowed ..at a price, of course.

    Uh what android devices are as free as you claim? Last I heard you have to wait for someone to "jailbreak"/root the android device to be able to do what you want with it. This "android is open and free" is a load of bull. Motorola phones are all locked up so are HTCs. I also heard many Android devices, just like iPhone, has apps you can't even remove by the user. Yes, that doesnt sound very open to me.

    Sounds like you've never seen an Android either. Rooting an Android device is just unlocking the firmware. Software is still open as is much of the layout. You can install any program you want for the Android regardless if it came from the Market Place or the internet (and I've done that before). While some of the core applications that came on the phone are uninstallable by default, most of them never run unless you open them so its not as much of an issue as you seem to make it out to be. I can also change ringtones and other sound effects to what I want. Something the iPhone won't let you do by default.

    --
    Attention... all grammer nazi"s! Is they're anything; wrong with: my post,
  21. Re:I wonder how much of this you can blame on AT&a by tagno25 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    AT&T's commercials assert that it covers 97% of Americans, but if you live in or spend much time in one of the areas (more than 3% of the map) it doesn't cover, the iPhone loses by default even if Apple's marketing is successful.

    97% population does not cover 97% land area, it probably is closer to 60% or less land area.

  22. Re:Bring tha hate, bring tha noise! by recoiledsnake · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nonsense. Windows Mobile = oodles of companies and it still fails.

    --
    This space for rent.
  23. That's logical by obarthelemy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    because Apple are limiting themselves too much with the One True Form-Factor. Some people want a keyboard, either palm-style or N900-style, some people want a bigger screen, some want a smaller device (though the iPhone 4 is getting small), and some a more rugged one. No matter how good the iPhone gets, most people I know just won't consider it because of the form factor issue. I for one want a larger screen (my HD2's is 44% bigger by area than the iPhone's, I'm strongly considering a Dell Streak, 99% larger), above all other considerations.

    All the rest (features, locked-ness, looks) can be argued about. Form-factor is a very straightforward issue, and there's a reason why there are so many different ones on the market.

    --
    The Cloud - because you don't care if your apps and data are up in the air.
  24. Re:What are you smoking? by bm_luethke · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Wrong.

    I have a Motorola droid. I plug a USB adapter into the phone and my computer, swipe the status bar down, and tell it to mount the SD card. I then get a removable drive on my PC. I opened my music directory, selected all my songs, right-clicked and selected copy. I then opened my SD card, created a directory called "music", and copied my MP3's there. Never once did I have any need to root my phone for that one so I can certainly load my own music and I do not need iTunes or some other application to get anything through, it is just a standard USB drive. Ring tones required an app from the Android market, I picked one called "Ringdroid" IIRC. I then can open any MP3 I have and one of the menu choices is "set as ringtone", if I press that choice it .... sets it as my ring tone. I still haven't rooted my phone at all. I can also check or uncheck a security feature that allows me to install unsigned applications, that still doesn't require root. So as far as I can see everything the person you are responding to says they can do one can regardless of what you may have heard.

    Some manufacturers do have some applications you can't remove - Android is Open Source and people are allowed to extend it in ways they see fit and that includes that. However Android itself doesn't. Some manufacturers have also chosen to require rooting for other common functions too - again it is Open Source so they can modify to their hearts content. There are people who want a phone with no "dangerous" options and are fairly locked down (as many iPhone users say they want to be) and Android can accomodate that - indeed Motorola's answer to signing ROM's on the Droid-X is "If you want an extensible phone, purchase a different model" for that very reason. Android itself is open and it isn't hard to find currently sold models that are near as "free" (as in speech) as the nexus one is.

    Maybe last you heard was from another Apple user that wishes Androids were not selling like they were? Or at the least you believed someone that was *very* misinformed and you should take what they say from now on with a large grain of skepticism as they were easily fooled.

    --
    ------- Sorry about the spelling, I suffer from two problems. Dyslexia makes it difficult to spell well, lazy makes it
  25. Re:Android is not a phone!! by Anubis+IV · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Its certainly relevant to anyone who cares about targeting a platform (such as, say, developers) to compare sales of one platform to another.

    So compare the platform then, not the device. iOS runs on multiple different devices. Android does too. If a developer is targeting Apple's platform, they're targeting a version of iOS, and by all indications, developers are targeting iOS more than Android. The fact that there are about 5x more apps in the AppStore just backs up that claim.

  26. Re:Bring tha hate, bring tha noise! by Urkki · · Score: 2, Insightful

    they are instead smug about hopping on the walled-off Apple bandwagon where customizing a device you own is not allowed unless it's approved by the company that sold it to you.

    Uh... Isn't Android largely just the same? To freely customize an average Android device you own, you have to root it using methods very unapproved by the operator that sold it to you? How is this different from iPhone?

  27. It's not like Steve had a lot of choice by sean.peters · · Score: 2, Insightful

    AT&T was the only carrier that would let Apple retain a degree of control over the phone. Given the crap that, say, Verizon tends to load their phones up with, and their tendency to nickel and dime you to death with fees for everything, I can't say I'm sorry about how things worked out.

  28. Symbian and RIM growing faster than Apple by mdwh2 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I understand that Nokia makes some excellent hardware, but with the explosion in popularity of Android and iOS, it seems we have two winning platforms here, and it's almost too late for anyone else to catch up. RIM had something good going, but they're losing out big time.

    The market data disagrees with you. Even on current sales, Nokia are still number one, with RIM number two. In the US, Nokia have no presence (and they never have, so this wasn't them losing out to the Iphones or Android), but RIM are still number one.

    "Ah, but Symbian and Blackberry are becoming less popular, with Android and Iphone catching up, right?" you'll cry.

    No. Looking at percentages of market share is very misleading, as the smartphone market is increasing (or rather, the number of phones arbitrary defined as "smartphones" is increasing). From the article, you'd think that Symbian is falling. But actually, the number of sales is still increasing: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-10839034

    "Ah, so they're still increasing, but Android and Iphones are increasing faster, right?" you'll say.

    For Android yes, but for Apple, no. Again this is a statistical quirk, due to looking at percentage change rather than actual sales, thus penalising the larger players. The BBC love to spin things in favour of Apple, but here's the actual increases from Q2 2009 to Q2 2010.

    Android 9,605,050
    Symbian 7,950,430
    RIM 3,272,880
    Apple 3,200,350
    Others 607,210
    Microsoft -348,320
    Total 24,287,600

    So, Android are still top, but Apple are actually fourth! So worldwide, I'd say it's all about Symbian and Android, with RIM perhaps holding out, and Apple stagnating in fourth place. In the US, it'll be between RIM and Android, with it being likely that Android will win out on top, but again with Apple lagging, this time at third place.

    I've been on a blackberry for three years and recently switched to the Android platform. Nearly everyone I know is ditching their blackberries for iPhones or Android phones when their contracts are up

    I'd prefer actual evidence over anecdotes. Aside from anecdotes being poor evidence, one factor is that there's something about Iphone users that makes them have to tell everyone "I've just got an Iphone!" And then everytime they use it, it's "I'm doing X on my Iphone". Android users do this to a lesser degree. Other people just use their phone. I once even had some strangers in the pub butt into our conversation about Android, to brag "Oh, we've got Iphones".

    People love apps, and it looks like most developers are focused on these two platforms.

    Actually it's often just a focus on Apple. Yes, it is indeed frustrating that companies, including public funded organisations (in the UK, the BBC and the Government) seem intent on focusing on what is the fourth most popular smartphone, and only covering about 3% of the phone owning market (there's an uproar when people only develop for Windows, but at least that has 90+% market share!), and when they do consider something else, it's most likely to be Android whilst the two most popular platforms are forgotten.

    However, despite all the astroturfing for Apple by companies writing their apps, and in the media, this has yet to help them in terms of sales. Also, it's not clear that Apple do have a larger number of apps overall (most claims only look at central app store sales), plus, even if there are more than quantity, who cares about thousands of different fart apps? There's still plenty of apps for Symbian at least, and the only thing that I thought was cool that I can't get is the Google Sky Map, which isn't available on Apple either (plus it's not something that's really useful, unless you're actually an astronomer, which most people aren't).