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Ryanair's CEO Suggests Eliminating Co-Pilots

postbigbang writes "Ryanair's miser-in-chief Michael O'Leary now suggests eliminating co-pilots as a way to save money. Will airliners be powered by drones, or is it actually viable to have just a single pilot on passenger planes?"

52 of 553 comments (clear)

  1. Waste by gilesjuk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm all for cutting waste and luxuries we can do without. But when it comes to safety and personnel this is just going too far.

    1. Re:Waste by spleen_blender · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You sacrifice safety for expediency daily. Everyone does. It isn't black and white but a gradient. I do not think it is ridiculous to suggest the advance of modern technology has made co-pilots possibly unnecessarily redundant.

    2. Re:Waste by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unfortunately, no. The way things are going... you'll be arrested for being a terrorist.

    3. Re:Waste by TheLink · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How about Ryanair elimate their CEO position? That'll save some money too.

      I do not think it is ridiculous to suggest that an AI could replace their CEO.

      --
    4. Re:Waste by paeanblack · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I'm all for cutting waste and luxuries we can do without. But when it comes to safety and personnel this is just going too far.

      The exact same thing was said when the railroad industry began to eliminate brakemen.

      They too were the "eyes and ears" on the train, served critical safety functions, and acted as a backup engineer. Better technology came along, and they were simply no longer needed. The new air brakes failed less often than the people did. Trains were safer with an automated system being responsible for a task formerly done by a human.

      The exact same thing was said in 1911 when someone entered a car into the Indy 500 that carried only one person. It was unsafe; it endangered other drivers. The new technology this time was a rear-view mirror. Now this dangerous technological replacement for a live human being is a standard feature on all cars.

      Also in 1911 came the development of automatic helm control for ships. The technology ended up faster, more accurate, and more reliable than a trained, experienced career helmsman. Guess what the major complaint was? Yeah...it was "unsafe"

    5. Re:Waste by Forge · · Score: 4, Funny

      How about dumping the flight attendants? On short flights and budget airlines, they hardly serve a purpose. (Unless you were going to follow the suggestion of lowering the educational requirements and removing the uniforms... Ohh... and adding some music, mood lighting and garters designed for holding cash.)

      --
      --= Isn't it surprising how badly I spell ?
    6. Re:Waste by sakdoctor · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I would glady pay a few extra bucks to ... not be on the same flight as typical Ryanair customers.

    7. Re:Waste by ultranova · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I do not think it is ridiculous to suggest the advance of modern technology has made co-pilots possibly unnecessarily redundant.

      Co-pilots are there to handle things in case the pilot gets sick or something. If modern technology has made co-pilots unncesessary, it has made pilots unnecessary, period. If it hasn't made pilots redundant, then it has not made co-pilots redundant, either.

      Anyway, I think this is a really, really, really stupid idea. You are saving the $10,000-$100,000/year pilot salary and risking the $50-$150 million plane. Even from a corporate sociopath perspective, this is a really dumb idea.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    8. Re:Waste by WrongSizeGlass · · Score: 4, Informative

      You're gambling that a pilot, traveling without a co-pilot, never gets sick, injured or dies while flying the plane. I'm sure that's just an isolated incidence ... or maybe not.

    9. Re:Waste by master0ne · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually auto piolet can take off and land a plane, what it cannot do at this point is runway taxiing. The problem is that in some cases a human can deal with unexpected circumstances better than a computer, so it is advantagous to have a human pilot onboard, and redundency is always nice incase one is injured/rendered unconcience in some sort of accident. However it would be feasable to eliminate a co-pilot if airline attendentes were given basic flight instructions (emergency landing/radio operation). In the grand scheme of things, i personally would not feel comftrable (at this point) with the knoldage that there is only one HUMAN on the plane i am on capable of manuvering and landing said aircraft.

      Sources: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autopilot (shows that take-off and landing autopilots do exist)

      --
      Noone writes jokes in base 13!
    10. Re:Waste by dgatwood · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Until the pilot has a heart attack and dies, which happens periodically. There was one such case just last June on Continental Airlines, and another in February of 2008.... So yeah, if you're willing to increase the number of large airplane crashes by almost one per year, go ahead and cut out the copilots.

      The idea of training a flight attendant to perform a landing in the case of a pilot's death means that you would be trusting a minimally trained "pilot" to land a large jet with several hundred people aboard about once per year. That's absolute insanity. That's not cost cutting. It's homicide.

      I know I would stop flying IMMEDIATELY on any airline that even CONSIDERED doing that (which means at this point, I'd base jump off the Empire State Building before I'd fly Ryanair, BTW). If your airline's management is stupid enough to consider that, you almost certainly are cutting corners dangerously in other areas, e.g. maintenance. After all, by that same standard, you don't *need* to inspect all those things with such regularity. Most of the time, the parts won't fail even after twice that time....

      Now if he had said that they were considering putting in remote control systems so that a backup pilot on the ground could take over electronically in the event that the pilot became incapacitated, that might be palatable. There are ways for technology to reduce the need for a copilot in this day of fly-by-wire aircraft. However, what this guy is suggesting puts him beyond bonkers straight to psychopathic, homicidal maniac. Their CEO shouldn't be leading an airline. He should be locked up in a padded room somewhere so that he can't harm himself or others.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    11. Re:Waste by jimngo · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yes it can. An autopilot/autothrottle/autoland system can fly an ILS approach, flare and touchdown. It's called CAT III ILS and isn't new technology. It has been around for a few decades. Both JFK and Heathrow have CAT III ILS approaches.

    12. Re:Waste by pehrs · · Score: 4, Informative

      Well, it is ridiculous.

      In the cockpit you have two pilots for a reason. One is PF (Pilot Flying). One is PNF (Pilot Not Flying). The PF is responsible for actually flying the plane. The PNF is responsible for all the checks and offloading to ensure the pilot can take care of the plane. He reads the checklists, handles communication and everything else. And even with this set of checks one of the most common causes of accidents is "Pilot Error". Removing the checking function of the PNF in that situation is beyond insane. It would take us back 30 years in aircraft security and completely ignores the whole CRM (Cockpit Resource Management) concept. You should think of removing the CNF as making a law that all drivers on the road must speak in their mobile phone and fiddle with the radio while driving.

      Also, better technology has not made airplanes easier to fly. It has made them safer and more powerful, but not easier. It's like claiming that a modern nuclear powerplant doesn't need any engineers because it's all automatic... Planes are large and very complex machines. More technology means more failure modes.

    13. Re:Waste by orzetto · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You seem to think that flight attendants only serve the purpose of serving orange juice. They are trained for safety and security purposes, including crashes and hijacking. Have you ever noticed that they are never teens who want to make a few bucks, like those who wait tables at the local pub? Yet, if the companies could save money hiring teens, rest assured they would.

      --
      Victims of 9/11: <3000. Traffic in the US: >30,000/y
    14. Re:Waste by pjt33 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If Ryanair scraps the flight attendants it loses the ability to try to sell stuff to a captive audience. That's not going to happen.

    15. Re:Waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      That's exactly right. People don't understand what a co-pilot is. No airline refers to the second cockpit member as a co-pilot. They are both pilots. One is a Captain and the other is a First Officer--the sole difference being one of seniority, not training or skill. They two typically take turns flying every other leg, and both are required to balance the workload. No transport airplane will be certified for single-pilot operation unless it has been specifically designed for one pilot, and none have. There are good reasons to have two humans up there--to back each other up, and use their combined judgement to handle situations when things are not normal. It's not a matter of technology replacing the pilot's mechanical skills. A computer would have to replace the pilot's mind, and we're not at that point yet. Certainly it's crazy for any Windows IT person to suggest that technology is reliable enough to hold the lives of hundreds in its silicon hands. They of all people should know better.

    16. Re:Waste by dgatwood · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually auto piolet can take off and land a plane, what it cannot do at this point is runway taxiing.

      That's a dangerous overgeneralization to make. Some people might misunderstand that sentence and interpret that to mean that any autopilot-equipped aircraft is capable of doing this. That is not the case.

      First, the avionics aboard many planes in service are not configured from the manufacturer for autoland (e.g. every 737 that American Airlines flies). These can only do "coupled" approaches.

      Second, many smaller planes and older planes are not fully fly-by-wire, so they would require a serious retrofit to make them capable of full autoland.

      Third, not all airports have the facilities to support autoland.

      If you limit yourself only to fully fly-by-wire planes and limit yourself to major airports, that statement is true. However, the autopilot system in a sizable percentage of aircraft in the air today are NOT capable of autonomous landing.

      And, of course, as you alluded to, in the event of an autoland glitch, the system kicks out and you're back under full manual control, which means you still NEED a pilot. So yeah, it's possible, but it's not a good idea.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    17. Re:Waste by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      On short flights and budget airlines, they hardly serve a purpose.

      ... unless something goes wrong. For instance, in the US Air LaGuardia Airport->Hudson River flight, the flight attendants were critical to evacuating the passengers safely. The pilots can't take care of the passengers in those sorts of situations, because they're busy trying to save the plane.

      Of course, I should point out that the second option is an excellent idea.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    18. Re:Waste by TubeSteak · · Score: 3, Insightful

      trains... cars... boats...

      Q. What do these things have in common?
      A. They don't go 500+ mph or fly.

      Right now, our ground-side air traffic control systems are still a relic of the 50s.
      Until that changes, there is a limit on how much technology you can put in the plane to compensate.

      BTW - Those guys at the Indy 500 rely heavily on their track-side spotters to tell them if they can make a move or not.
      Not only that, they communicate through the spotters to pass messages to other drivers on the track.
      Just because he isn't in the car, doesn't mean he isn't co-piloting.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    19. Re:Waste by hedwards · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's Ryanair, a lot of these suggestions are never intended to be put into service or even investigated. It's a way of getting free publicity for always looking for ways of cutting costs. And the press falls for it just about every time.

    20. Re:Waste by dintech · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They are trained for safety and security purposes, including crashes and hijacking.

      Maybe so but on Ryanair, they are mostly trained to sell you stuff.

    21. Re:Waste by couchslug · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Frankly, I believe that computers make fewer mistakes than humans, so I would in fact prefer a plane with a single (or no) human pilots."

      I've got 26 years as a tactical aircraft avionics tech, engine weenie, and crew chief, from manual control (Bronco) to hydraulically-boosted and electronically supplemented flight controls (Phantom) to excellent fly-by-wire flight controls (F-16 A/B/C/D) and in my experienced opinion...
      FUCK THAT NONSENSE! We aren't there yet for passenger applications. UAVs and drones are still early in their development, let alone autonomous systems.

      Pilots fuck up, systems fuck up, and one can compensate for the other which is a good reason to have both.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    22. Re:Waste by feepness · · Score: 4, Informative

      Commuter pilots in the US have been known to start as low as 19,000/year (less than a manager at Taco Bell, accordign to M. Moore).

      Employees are estimated to cost around double what they are paid in various taxes and overhead.

    23. Re:Waste by cmdahler · · Score: 5, Informative

      Some people might misunderstand that sentence and interpret that to mean that any autopilot-equipped aircraft is capable of doing this. That is not the case.

      First, the avionics aboard many planes in service are not configured from the manufacturer for autoland (e.g. every 737 that American Airlines flies). These can only do "coupled" approaches.

      The 737 is delivered from Boeing fully capable of autoland. All modern airplanes these days have at least 2 completely separate autopilots (the 757, 767, and 747-400 have 3 autopilots). However, AA orders their 737s with HUDs (Head Up Display) which are certified by the FAA for the pilot to hand-fly a Cat IIIb approach (700 feet forward visibility, no ceiling). The cost of the HUD quickly pays for itself since the airline does not have to maintain the airplane's autoland certification because the pilots are doing the approaches, not the airplane.

      A "coupled" approach simply means that both autopilots are active at the same time, which is normally the case during an autoland; no transport jet's autopilot is certified for a single-autopilot autoland. Coupling the autopilots allows for cross-checking and either fail-passive or fail-operational autoflight. Typically, a two-autopilot airplane like the 737 is certified as fail-passive: a failure of the one autopilot will render the airplane unable to complete the autoland but will not dramatically affect the attitude of the airplane as the pilot takes over. A three-autopilot airplane has both fail-passive and fail-operational characteristics: fail-operational means one autopilot can drop out and the remaining two can still perform the autoland; a second failure is fail-passive and the pilot has to do something.

      Second, many smaller planes and older planes are not fully fly-by-wire, so they would require a serious retrofit to make them capable of full autoland.

      Fly-by-wire is not a requirement for autoland. Transport-category aircraft have been doing autolands since the 1960s.

      If you limit yourself only to fully fly-by-wire planes and limit yourself to major airports, that statement is true. However, the autopilot system in a sizable percentage of aircraft in the air today are NOT capable of autonomous landing.

      There are almost no commercial aircraft flying around these days that don't have autoland capabilities. The last of the older generation jet aircraft such as the DC-9 and the 727 are mostly out of major airline passenger service. Any commercial transport jet made after around 1980 has autoland capability by default.

    24. Re:Waste by jeremyp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually, I don't think that's correct. I think, in an emergency, two pilots probably improve the odds dramatically over one.

      If there is an emergency, with two pilots, one can concentrate on keeping the plane in the air while the other deals with how they are going to get themselves safely on the ground.

      --
      All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
    25. Re:Waste by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Informative

      Commercial airlines are already required by law to do a certain percentage of their landings automatically. They just don't tell you...

      ref

      --
      No sig today...
    26. Re:Waste by X0563511 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I have a story.

      Once upon a time, the Captain had to tinkle. As he shut the cockpit door (which is required to be locked, btw) somehow the door slipped into Uber-Lockdown-Mode (aka guys with forks want in). There is a special trick to opening it like this, and it's only doable from inside. The FO didn't know it.

      The moral? He had to chill out with the rest of the passengers and flight crew for the duration while the FO took care of everything.

      Had there been only one crew, then it would have been interesting. They have autolanding and autobraking systems. Would you bet your life on them? (nothing being said of how they would be enabled remotely, not currently possible).

      Random acts of god/nature/whatever could also seek to relieve your flight of your captain as well. Having the second man not only distributes the workload, but provides some redundancy here. The workload division is a good thing too. Imagine the flight director malfunctioned. There goes your autopilot. Imagine trying to keep the plane pointed forward and on-speed while checking your map chart, dealing with ATC and the radios, and any number of other little things that come up.

      --
      For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
    27. Re:Waste by jp102235 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Commercial airlines are already required by law to do a certain percentage of their landings automatically. They just don't tell you...

      what you mean is that pilots must remain proficient in Cat 3 and 3a approaches - so they must maintain currency with those procedures by performing one every once in a while. This currency can also be accomplished in a simulator.

      Cat 3 and 3a autoland has been around for a long time. (1965)
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoland

      Trying to do one of these without a co-pilot is ill-advised (1 set eyes on instruments another looking out for the runway environment) - don't forget about radio calls, communication with home base / fuel management / emergencies / etc. I flew very complex, very large planes - and I can tell you that there is a real good reason for at least two in the cockpit. j

      --
      jp
    28. Re:Waste by AK+Marc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I disagree. The copilot is a redundant system for the pilot. Because they are there, they share the load. But the plane could operate 100% should one of them drop dead. That you have two means it makes sense to train them to double-check the other, but even if the majority of their time is spent on that task, it is irrelevant to their purpose. They are a single redundant pilot. If you remove one, then you can remove the other. If not, then you are changing the job of "pilot" from a redundant to nonredundant system. Such changes are clearly steps back in safety. It's not like the navigator (which has redundancy in its current system, computer primary and paper backup) or radio operator (moving duties around but not actually eliminating any redundancy). Increased automation let the pilots take over both primary and secondary control of those systems without impacting their ability to, well, pilot. But there are primary and backups for both. Eliminating the copilot will eliminate the redundancy in the last human operator. Until there's no need for a pilot, there will be the need for a copilot in a redundant system.

    29. Re:Waste by Volante3192 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Whenever someone mentions how planes can fly themselves these days, I'm reminded Northwest Flight 188: the one that overshot MSP by 150 miles.

      Clearly, if planes can fly themselves, it should have landed on its own and not overshot.

    30. Re:Waste by michelcolman · · Score: 4, Informative

      Take it from a pilot: an automatic landing actually gives us MORE work than a normal one. Imagine programming you car's GPS to drive to a destination automatically, only having to constantly monitor whether it's going the right way, not violating any traffic rules, constantly being ready to take over control if the car suddenly swerves off the road because of some malfunction (GPS'es never make mistakes, right?) or another car does something stupid,... Isn't it a lot easier to just have the steering wheel in your hands and drive the car yourself? Well, it's the same in an airplane. Which is why we almost always land manually, except in very bad visibility.

    31. Re:Waste by winwar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "They are trained for safety and security purposes, including crashes and hijacking."

      They exist because of government regulations mandating certain staffing levels and minimal emergency abilities. Sorry, but anyone who wears high heals is not there for safety and security purposes. That apparel in direct opposition to effective safety and security measures is allowed to be worn indicates that their primary purpose lies elsewhere.

  2. Huh? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There are good reasons for having a co-pilot. What he's really saying is that pilots salaries are (in his opinion) excessive, and he thinks he sees a cheap way out by eliminating the "unnecessary" backup pilot.

    Which will work great until that pilot has a coronary at 35,000 feet.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  3. You don't want the best, you want cheap. by rve · · Score: 4, Informative
    1. Re:You don't want the best, you want cheap. by Hazelfield · · Score: 5, Funny

      Ryanair isn't an airline company. It's a social experiment to see how far people are willing to humiliate themselves for getting cheap tickets.

  4. Slashdot suggests eliminating VPs to reduce cost by Solandri · · Score: 4, Funny

    Should an emergency arise, the CEO could ring a bell and a specially trained board member could come in and take over running the company.

  5. More typical wankery from the master thereof. by EWAdams · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This jerk gets publicity for his cheap-ass airline by making outrageous threats, most of which are unlawful in any case. Not long ago it was pay toilets in the plane. Then it was standing room only, no seats, with harnesses to hold you in place. It's just a way of getting print space in newspapers that emphasizes how low his fares are.

    He is, in short, a troll. Buy some advertising and STFU.

    --
    I piss off bigots.
  6. It's actually very smart, if evil. by EWAdams · · Score: 4, Insightful

    He gets free publicity from the newspapers by announcing these outrageous ideas. None of them ever come to pass, but the column inches he gets could cost millions if he had to pay for them.

    --
    I piss off bigots.
    1. Re:It's actually very smart, if evil. by jimicus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Contrary to popular believe, any publicity is NOT good publicity. Anyone willing to even propose such a blatant risk to the lives of their customers isn't a company I will ever do business with.

      You'd better tell Ryanair that. They are possibly the only company I've ever met which has turned appalling customer service into an art form of which they are proud.

  7. Pilots on Food Stamps by lobiusmoop · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This reminds me of this segment of Michael Moore's 'Capitalism: A Love Story', where he discusses airline pilots that are so poorly paid that they are on food stamps and having to work second jobs to make ends meet (with potentially disastrous consequences).

    --
    "I bless every day that I continue to live, for every day is pure profit."
    1. Re:Pilots on Food Stamps by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 4, Informative

      Frontline: Flying Cheap: "A hard look at the risks that may go with cheap flying."
      http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/flyingcheap/

      When you start off flying commercial, almost every starts at a regional airline. You may be buying a United or Continental ticket, but it's a seperate airline that codeshares with the big boys. Those co-pilots on those aircraft are making between $18K-28K/year, are only paid from when the cabin door closes until it opens at the destination, and have their schedules dicked with by the airline's scheduling/routing department so that, while technically compliant with labor laws, they're extremely exhausting and some even nap in the cabin. Keep this in mind the next time you shop for your airline ticket based on price.

  8. God is my co-pilot by hex0D · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...and he was declared dead before powered flight even existed.

  9. Seriously by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 3, Informative

    I'm all for leaning on technology, but this just seems like profiteering

    Just in case you weren't paying attention, there has been a big move in the US to increase regulations on commuter carriers who have driven down pilot pay and driven up pilot hours in order to increase profits. A lack of pilot training and an over reliance of the autopilot was seen as a direct cause of the crash of Continental Connection Flight 3407
    http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2010-07-30-aviation-safety_N.htm

    IMHO, this makes ryanair's request unreasonable

    --
    Wherever You Go, There You Are
  10. Old joke by Anne+Honime · · Score: 4, Funny

    Frankly, I believe that computers make fewer mistakes than humans, so I would in fact prefer a plane with a single (or no) human pilots.

    Reminds me :

    Q: What is the ideal cockpit crew?
    A: A pilot and a dog...the pilot is there to feed the dog, and the dog is there to bite the pilot in case he tries to touch anything.

  11. Re:Some aircraft are designed to have a crew ... by joe_frisch · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Part of the job of a pilot is to keep an eye on all the automation. The problem is that its very difficult to stay alert for long periods of time waiting for a very rare failure. Two pilots tend to keep each other awake and alert. (Yes I know about the plane the overflew its destination while the 2 pilots were looking at something on a laptop - but that is such a rare event that it made the national news).

    Humans and automation tend to fail in very different ways - humans are much better at dealing with unexpected situations, automation is much better at doing repetitive jobs without mistakes.

    Having a second pilot probably adds about $1/hour per passenger seat (including all overhead etc) - at the moment I think its still a good deal.

  12. Maybe, but not necessarily a bad idea by Aquitaine · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Disclaimer: IANACP (I Am Not a Commercial Pilot) but IAAP (I Am A Pilot)

    There are probably some flights, in some aircraft, where you could train a flight crew member to do enough to relieve the captain of enough tasks so that (s)he can concentrate on landing the plane. In some cases it isn't that any one part of getting an aircraft from A to B is difficult so much as it's the sheer number of tasks at hand -- between monitoring a zillion instruments and talking to approach, then the tower, then the ground -- that you just need a second person there. Even in a small plane, there are times when having a co-pilot just handle the radio makes things a lot easier.

    The actual mechanics of flying an airplane are not especially difficult, but knowing how to handle bad or emergency conditions while keeping cool is. It's easy to get overwhelmed just by the quantity of things you have to keep track of. It's plausible that, on shorter, commuter flights, a computer could do enough of those things so that one person can reasonably fly a plane.

    The problem is that, while most pilots are pretty safety-conscious, there is such a huge supply of them that there will always be people willing to fly for these companies under less than ideal conditions. Particularly with the minimum number of hours (in the US, anyway) jumping to 1500 (from something like 200-250, which was indeed too low), you're going to see a lot of young guys with a lot of debt from flight school (where commercial loans are on the order of 12-18% interest) who will take any job just to pay the bills. They just don't get paid very well these days, and airline margins are tiny as it is.

    1. Re:Maybe, but not necessarily a bad idea by vlm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Out of curiosity: Could some of these tasks and procedures be simplified, perhaps with the help of technology? For instance, exactly what information does the pilot need from/provide to the approach, tower and ground? Couldn't any of this be sent automatically by computers?

      Pilots that I've talked to explain you'd pretty much need Nobel prize quality strong AI. Look at that squall line. Is it going to develop or get weaker? And how does that interact with my judgment of the quality of the plane and the quality of my flying? Meanwhile I see a fresh NOTAM shutting down the escape route to my backup airport... or is it? And trust me, even native English speakers misinterpret NOTAMs (with sometimes very bad consequences). Meanwhile fuel filter #5 is clogged but not enough to replace, while transfer pump 2 is running slow but not bad enough to replace, and the peculiar loading of cargo today means strange weight and balance issues ... should I top up tank 3 and risk running out of gas due to transfer failure or top up tank 2 and burn so much extra fuel due to being out of balance that we might run out of gas ... Or could I try a strange reconfiguration never tried before and pump tank 3 into tank 1 and then tank 1 into tank 2 bypassing all the questionable gear? And how does that interact with the development of the squall line storm meaning higher turbulence at least or maybe needing to divert.

      Non-pilots think the work required is simple control system theory, just need a fancier autopilot. Can't you replace that whole paragraph about with a simple linear equation or something?

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  13. Re:Huh? - Plenty of work to keep both pilots busy by jdmonin · · Score: 4, Informative

    There's an article, by a commercial pilot, about the myths of jets able to "fly themselves" at http://www.salon.com/technology/ask_the_pilot/2009/11/19/askthepilot342 . You have to scroll down a little to get to the meat of it, but there's plenty up there to keep 2 people busy.

    He also talks about how busy things can get in an earlier article http://www.salon.com/technology/ask_the_pilot/2007/08/31/askthepilot243/index.html .

  14. Passengers by SleepyHappyDoc · · Score: 3, Funny

    They should get rid of all the passengers. Think about it....they wouldn't have to pay for meals, they could fire all the flight attendants and save that salary money, the seats on the planes wouldn't be needed anymore. They'd even save on fuel, since the planes would be so much lighter without all those people on board.

    --
    Stasis is death. Embrace change.
  15. The 3rd dimension by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You have heard of 3D? Well, trains and ships and automibiles lack it. They travel on a flat service. Planes don't.

    What happens to a train whose engines stops Nothing.

    What happens to a ship whose engines stop? Nothing.

    What happens to a car whose engines stop? Nothing.

    What happens to a plane whose engines stops? It crashes into the ground.

    The difference and one that should really be obvious is that with ground based vehicles, if something goes wrong, you got more time and the only safety procedure that must be performed is to bring the vehicle to a stop. Stop an aircraft in a mid air and it won't be there for long.

    Even terrorists know this. That is why ships and trains have rarely been hijacked. There is no urgency.

    With aircraft you don't time to instruct a crew member on how to turn the ship. You cannot rely on a deathman's handle to make an aircraft safe. Oh, you forgot about that little device didn't you. Wonder how come you forgot to mention the REAL reason brake men could be removed, the simply switch that in the event of a disaster happening to the driver, the train coming to an automatic stop.

    Wonder why you left this device out? Because it would ruin your entire idiotic rant of "X works in situation Y, so it will work in situation Z"?

    There are a LOT of accidents where the existence of the co-pilot saved the day. many you don't even hear about. like the regular occurance of a pilot getting a heart attack. And oh gosh, that is OFTEN the cause of SMALL aircrafti with SINGLE pilots crashing. That is why if you fly passengers, you need two pilots.

    The moment someone can come up with a system that can land a plane safely no matter what, THEN the pilots can be replaced. But no such system exists. No, automated landing systems do not count. They work in perfect conditions, that can cease to be simply because an airport is repairing its systems. Unless airports start to be forced by law to have their automated systems on 24/7, aircraft can't rely on it. Especially not if such systems aren't even allowed to be used in less then ideal circumstances.

    But really, comparing a train with a deadman's switch whose breaks are designed to bring the vehicle to a complete stop if anything happens to an aircraft... bit silly don't you think?

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:The 3rd dimension by horza · · Score: 3, Informative

      You have heard of 3D? Well, trains and ships and automibiles lack it. They travel on a flat service. Planes don't.

      Exactly, lacking that third dimension makes it far more dangerous. You have both the introduced weak points of connecting to the 2D surface (think tyre blow-outs, trains derailing, etc) and also critical reliance on brakes. With planes 3D removes these weak spots and you have an extra dimension in which to take evasive action.

      What happens to a ship whose engines stop? Nothing.

      Not true. In the case of a large oil tanker you end up with a massive environmental disaster, as we've seen numerous times.

      What happens to a car whose engines stop? Nothing.

      Sure, only 11M annual road accidents in the US alone. Really safe mode of transport.

      What happens to a plane whose engines stops? It crashes into the ground.

      Or you could just glide down and land. Apparently even possible to land on a river I hear.

      Even terrorists know this. That is why ships and trains have rarely been hijacked. There is no urgency.

      The shipping around Somalia will be pleased that you've managed to alter reality to make them more safe.

      Wonder how come you forgot to mention the REAL reason brake men could be removed, the simply switch that in the event of a disaster happening to the driver, the train coming to an automatic stop. Wonder why you left this device out? Because it would ruin your entire idiotic rant of "X works in situation Y, so it will work in situation Z"?

      That doesn't always work. But aren't you arguing againt yourself? The real reason you can lose the co-pilot is that the plane can land itself in an emergency.

      And oh gosh, that is OFTEN the cause of SMALL aircrafti with SINGLE pilots crashing. That is why if you fly passengers, you need two pilots.

      By your reasoning, that is why cars, trains, subway systems, trams, boats and every other vehicle needs two drivers/pilots.

      Phillip.

  16. In other cost savings news... by FranTaylor · · Score: 3, Funny

    RyanAir's co-pilots suggest eliminating the CEO position as a way to cut costs.

    After all, when cutting costs, start first with things that don't contribute directly to the bottom line, and don't affect safety...