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Egypt Goes Dark As Last ISP Pulls Plug

CWmike writes "Egypt is now off the grid. Four days after the Egyptian government ordered Internet service providers to disconnect from the Internet, the country's last working Internet company has abruptly vanished from cyberspace. Noor Group, a small service provider that hosted Internet connections for the country's stock exchange and other businesses, became completely unreachable at around 10:46 p.m. Cairo time (Eastern European Time), according to Earl Zmijewski, general manager with Internet monitoring company Renesys. 'It looks like they're completely lights-out now,' he told IDG News' Robert McMillan. Thought to handle only about 8 percent of the country's Internet connections, Noor had served as a critical lifeline to Egypt since the government had ordered service cut early Friday morning. Nobody is sure how Noor was able to keep operating, even as larger ISPs such as Vodafone and Telecom Egypt voluntarily cut their Egyptian networks off from the rest of the world." To help with this, engineers from Google, Twitter and SayNow have rolled out a "speak-to-tweet" service, which lets people dial in to an international phone number, leave a voice mail, and have the audio file made available online via an automated Twitter update.

51 of 323 comments (clear)

  1. And yet ... by damn_registrars · · Score: 5, Funny

    The internet in Egypt is still easier to read than slashdot 3.0.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  2. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by donny77 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This isn't about bandwidth. It's about preventing the populace from getting information. It's about keeping the populace from organizing. Its about control.

  3. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by Chris+Burke · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah. The point is that now a critical avenue by which the world at large could see those problems from a non-State-Approved point of view has been cut off.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
  4. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by Sarten-X · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The protesters are using the Internet to organize. They're protesting to fix those "bigger problems" like a lack of free speech, corruption in government, and police brutality. Preserving their Internet access is preserving their ability to fight for what they want. I believe that's important.

    --
    You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
  5. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by flaming+error · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > The UN should be let in
    By whom?

  6. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by Amorymeltzer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well, that would be the "news for nerds" part of it.

    In reality, though, the internet shutoff is a key part of the ongoing struggle. Call it a catalyst, a symbol of the regime, whatever - the point is that internet-based communications were pivotal in jump-starting starting this whole thing (back to Tunisia), and serve as a stark sign for whom the international community should rally alongside (hint: it's not the one turning off the media). There's more to the revolution than twitter, but it's more of a revolution when communication happens freely.

    --
    I live in constant fear of the Coming of the Red Spiders.
  7. Not sure how they were still operating? by interkin3tic · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That third link provided analysis as to how the government shut down most of the internet:

    ...a government that licenses a mobile authority can threaten violence to individual cell towers or backhaul networks, or to employees working for the carrier. Future license renewals can also be threatened for non-compliance, analysts noted.

    I'm going to suggest that maybe Noor figured Mubarak was weak enough to defy. Maybe they figured his security forces were too busy trying to control the country to shut Noor down, and there wasn't much risk of being denied a license renewal because there wasn't much risk of Mubarak being in power a month from now. It appears to have at least partially worked: they lasted longer than anyone else... though I guess that assumes the forced shutdown involved turning off the power and not, say, destroying their equipment and/or executing their employees.

    A more cynical take would be that it's good PR for if the revolution succeeded. "We were the only ones supporting the revolution. Customers: you really want to stay with Vodafone after they left you when you needed them the most? New government, you really want to let them back in? We helped you, now how about an exclusive license to operate in, say, everywhere?"

    1. Re:Not sure how they were still operating? by Temposs · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think it's just as likely that because Noor hosts the Egyptian stock exchange and several large companies, and otherwise serves a relatively small percentage of Egypt's internet connections, the government actually *wanted* to leave them on for as long as possible. Staying in the good graces of the business and financial community in the country and the world is an important part of staying in power, so it's no wonder they would hesitate to disconnect the ISP serving much of the business community through the stock exchange and such.

      Now the government is in panic mode, so they're pulling out all the stops, including shutting down a nerve center of their economy.

      --
      Knowledge is just opinion that you trust enough to act upon. -Orson Scott Card
  8. Re:How could this happen? by hsmith · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When people with machine guns come and tell you "turn off your internet or we will kill you, your family, and just bulldoze the building" - I'd say about 99.999999% of people would comply without blinking. Your "protest" of the engineers would be nothing more than a philosophical circle jerk.

  9. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yea, thats how the UN works, it just goes in.

    Actually the UNSC would hem and haw for weeks about it, someone would threaten a veto or four, probably France just to be a pissed off spoiler because of the Suez Crisis in '56. Then there'd be the decision about the make up of the peacekeeping force, someone would insist on alot of African Union troops, probably France, which would piss off the Egyptians and the Arab League, since some of those AU troops are Christians, and by then the entire place is stable on it's own, or a farking war zone like Mogadishu on a Sunday in 1993.

    The only folks who just "go in" are the Americans and sometimes NATO.

  10. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by Kvasio · · Score: 3, Funny

    this isn't about getting information. It's about keeping army's hands busy with porn ... they loose porn, they eventually get off the barracks and pacify people.

  11. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by hguorbray · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Sadly, unless the military get involved the most likely replacement will be some islamic hardline fascist group like the Muslim Brotherhood.

    Egypt's military has been the source of power for decades, so this is not like Tunisia where the military will just stand idly by.

    Ironically in another Middle East Country -Turkey the military has often intervened when the governments have gone off track, so they have actually helped keep that country from going radical at times -although they are currently a little nervous about the moderate islamist government currently in power there.

    Cries for Western Style Democracy seem to go unheeded in parts of the world where rigid power structures and theocracies reside. Not that Western Style democracy seems to be working that well in the US these days...

    I'm just sayin'

  12. Idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Now we can take their IPv4 addresses back and postpone the depletion.
    http://www.apnic.net/publications/news/2011/delegation

    They just allocated the last two /8s to APNIC, the remaining five /8s will be delegated to each one of the five regional registries. Goodbye IPv4! Nice to meet you and your brother called NAT.

  13. Egypt Goes Dark by Lawand · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Ironically, Noor means light in Arabic.

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  14. Re:Viva la Revelution by mr100percent · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Nope. The Muslim brotherhood explicitly has been saying for the last week how they're staying out of this one. Mubarak would LOVE to blame this on terrorists or outsiders, as a way of delegitimizing the protests, so they're not going to try helping him out on that. Egypt is not really known for their extremism, and democracy would likely moderate any factions that try it, especially since there is a very large secular crowd in the country as well as millions of Christians.

  15. Re:How could this happen? by interkin3tic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Maybe it's my residual American chauvinism, but I just can't imagine any patriotic person anywhere blindly shutting his country totally off of the international computer network, Regardless of what any corrupt 82-year-old man tells them to do. I'd just hem and haw and techno-babble them blind about how it just couldn't be done.

    You're not a corporation. I'm guessing Telecom Egypt's board members all gave little speeches about how they wanted to uphold the rights of their customers, but they had obligations to their employees to make sure they weren't punished, and an obligation to the shareholders not to put their equipment and future business at risk, and besides there are other internet providers to choose from, and they aren't actually preventing from people speaking so it's not really violating their free speech, and the terms of service had either explicit or implicit terms about how in times of mass protest, the service could be suspended.

    And then they unanimously voted to shut down for a few days, while they all went on holiday to a more stable country to look at real estate. Just in case.

    There was probably a bit of disagreement over whether or not they should and could stop paying their employees (aside from the security guards) during the shutdown.

  16. Re:Yup by h4rr4r · · Score: 4, Informative

    He is already a real dictator.

  17. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by h4rr4r · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They have been shooting protesters, do they need to rape them too?

  18. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by istartedi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Egypt's problem is multidimensional. The Internet is our dimension.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  19. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by mr100percent · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't think the Muslim Brotherhood will take over. Egypt actually has many political Opposition parties and alternative leaders, like Ayman Nour, the Wasat party, etc. They'd be far more likely to win than the Brotherhood. Keep in mind they've been sitting this one out for various strategic reasons. Even so, if they had to run for elections, they'd run towards the center like many other groups. Banning a party, as Mubarak did, will only make it more hardline. Whenever a far right party wins seats, they either are forced to moderate their ideas or they usually lose the next election.

  20. Re:Yup by EdIII · · Score: 4, Informative

    Despite many claims that dialup is worthless, it's actually quite useful - just slower

    If all you used was some specific programs that made use of API calls... dial up might be indistinguishable from broadband. Last I checked standard dial up could deliver about 4-5 Kb/s. 2 Kb/s with a crappy connection to the CO.

    A tiny program written specifically for tweeting or IM with a bare bones interface (like IRC) could easily work on dial up. I should know.... for years my connection at home was 2.8 Kb/s with THREE bonded modems. If I could do IRC on *that* it's absolutely possible to just do IM and tweets.

    A Roman-style Senate which had NO leaders. No caesars or presidents or anybody else who might become sick with power.

    Really? How did a Roman-style Senate prevent corruption and nepotism? Sincerely curious.

  21. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by pckl300 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Egypt's military has been the source of power for decades, so this is not like Tunisia where the military will just stand idly by.

    This just in: the military is standing by while the people exercise their right to revolution.

    --
    In the beginning, there was null.
  22. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by BasilBrush · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The Muslim Brotherhood aren't an islamic hardline fascist group. They are in favour of a secular state. And in any case they are no where near having majority support.

  23. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by sexconker · · Score: 4, Informative

    But as oppressive as things have been, he could have ordered a brutal crack down on the protesters.

    He did.
    The commanders of his military all said "fuck that", and his order went ignored.
    All he has left at his command is the regular police force, and he likely won't have that for long.

    Things aren't as bad as they could have been not because he showed any degree of restraint or sanity, but because his generals didn't join him on the oblivious power trip.

  24. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by mr100percent · · Score: 3, Insightful

    High road? He's been on TV crowing about how he is the country's leader of freedom. Nothing but hollow rhetoric.

    He fired the entire cabinet of technocrats, in a lame attempt to deflect blame to others, and is only making the crowds angrier. He could have ordered a more brutal crackdown, but he knows that's what caused the Shah of Iran to lose, so he's not willing to make such a suicidal move. The high road would have been for him to announce a peaceful transition to democracy and upcoming elections and a repeal of his emergency powers that he's been using to suppress free speech and jail people without cause. Egypt is known for the most brutal police and prisons in the region.

  25. Re:Yup by siddesu · · Score: 4, Informative

    First, the Roman Senate most definitely had leaders, and they had amazing powers to manipulate it. It was these powers that allowed it to be subverted eventually by military men like Pompei, Caesar and Crassus, and then be swept aside as Octavian did. And Octavian wasn't even a caesar, just a mere first citizen :)

    Second, the Senate was a consultative body, which had no actual power, legislative or otherwise. All it could do was issue advice decrees. Unless those were made into laws by other Roman institutions that actually had legislative powers, Senate proclamations remained just that - proclamations. Of course, the main reason those proclamations had some influence, and were largely implemented as laws once adopted was the fact that the Senate was comprised of the richest, most influential and sick with power Roman citizens.

    Third, read some history before you post funny things on slashdot.

  26. Worked recently by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    He could have ordered a more brutal crackdown, but he knows that's what caused the Shah of Iran to lose

    Not sure I buy that, since in a more recent example the "brutal crackdown" model worked really well for Ahmadinejad, sad to say.

    I'm in agreement with other posters that Mubarak simply doesn't have "brutal crackdown" as an option because the army would not obey it and he would then lose their support (which is also why I don't think he has ordered anything like this).

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  27. Supporting the revolution - only when it's safe by thetagger · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Thanks for nothing Google. What about hosting a Wikileaks mirror or allowing donations to Wikileaks via Google Checkout?

    It's so easy to be a revolutionary when you are thousands of miles away from any danger. Twitter is full of Internet revolutionaries sipping coffee at a Starbucks in San Francisco.

    1. Re:Supporting the revolution - only when it's safe by shia84 · · Score: 2

      Whoa, someone with an axe to grind... Are you seriously saying we shouldn't thank them for supporting the people of a nation because they don't host mirrors for something completely unrelated? And tell me, have you any proof that it's not possible to donate money to Wikileaks via Google Checkout? Last time I looked, there was no indicator to this... And I'm not even going to ask you what gives you the higher moral ground to attack a company that does more than any other tech giant and (presumably) more than you...

  28. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by The13thSin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What are you basing your assumption on that the regime will be replaced by extremists? The protesters seem to be of every walk of life and from every ideological point of view. Even the Muslim Brotherhood recognizes the secular Nobel Peace Price laureate ElBaradai as the main opposition spokesperson now.

    If anything, this could very well mean a good thing for the west, with a more secular and broader government of this huge power in the middle east. Of course, uncertainty doesn't make everyone in the different western governments jump up in joy (even though they arguably should) by this uprising. That said, it would obviously speed things up enormously if the Egypt military would throw their weight behind the protest, and the first signs to that end are already there.

    --
    "This should be fun, and by fun, I mean a wholly depressing insight into the cognitive ability of some grown adults."
  29. Re:Yup by Teancum · · Score: 2

    Really? How did a Roman-style Senate prevent corruption and nepotism? Sincerely curious.

    I'm trying to see how any incarnation of a Senate is anything but the very definition of corruption and nepotism. Yeah, I'd be curious as well.

    It is important to note that Rome was a Republic, not a democracy. The Senate was essentially a lifetime appointment originally and turned into an inherited office over time. Arguably the U.S. Senate is heading that way too.

  30. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Nearly 80% of the 'common' people there support them in some fashion

    Source? I can see that in 2005 elections, MB candidates running as Independents got 88 seats in parliament out of 454 - that's less than 20%, and a far cry from 80%.

  31. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by mr100percent · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You're going to have to show me some citations there. Do you actually trust opinion polls in a police state that lacks free speech?

    When you ban all other political parties, they get together, moderates and radicals alike. It's because they have a common goal to get rid of the existing regime and are being persecuted together. That's why the Brotherhood is seen as popular because they are the !=Mubarak party. When you remove that block, the supporters fragment once more. Look at Iraq for example; all the formerly-banned opposition groups have divided into their respective parties; Communist, Salafi, secularist, Velayat, etc. They were all opposed to Saddam, and he painted them all as Muslim extremists, traitors, puppets of Iran, Israel, and the US, etc. Most of them weren't.

    If you remove Mubarak and allow the formation of political parties once again, you won't see religious extremism take over. Jeffersonian democracy is not like that, instead you get competing factions that will cancel each other's votes out. You'd get a spectrum of political parties from right to left; the Muslim Brotherhood, the Wasat, the National Democratic Party (Mubarak's regime), Socialist party, Communist party, etc. Egypt is not the same as Iran or Saudi etc. You have a large urban class, Cairo is like the Hollywood of the Arab world, and there are tens of millions of non-Muslims living in the land. This revolution is not over religion, it's over political freedom, poverty, and against police repression.

  32. Re:Yup by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

    Which in the long term will ensure Egypt would have the same sort of revolution Iran had. I wish our leaders had the stones to admit he needs to go and that we have been propping this asshole up.

  33. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by poena.dare · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Just pointing out...

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiananmen_Square_protests_of_1989

    "Small voluntary civilian gatherings started on 15 April around Monument to the People's Heroes in the middle of the Tiananmen Square in the form of mourning for Hu Yaobang."

    "The movement lasted seven weeks after Hu's death on 15 April. In early June, the People's Liberation Army moved into the streets of Beijing with troops and tanks and cleared the square with live fire."

    Sometimes brutal crackdowns take a while to get organized.

  34. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by Teancum · · Score: 5, Informative

    While related, apparently one of the largest problems facing Egypt is that unfortunately for the Egyptian people much of the food is imported.... and purchased with dollar-denominated funds when purchased on the international markets.

    The U.S. Federal Reserve, due to loose spending of the U.S. Dollar and essentially "running the printing presses" (mainly sending credits to various banks in America buying up "toxic assets" to be owned directly by The Fed) has been devaluing the dollar sending the price of this food up so wheat in particular is about double the price as it was about a year ago or more.

    To really make things ugly here, American farmers have been switching from wheat to other crops, most especially corn which is increasingly being used to make ethanol and other synthetic materials including plastic substitutes that used to be made with petroleum. Since corn isn't even being used for food in these situations, that in turn drives up the price of other grains like wheat when it still is grown by those few remaining farmers who still plant that grain. Thanks to U.S. federal ethanol subsidies, poor people in Egypt have to pay even more for a loaf of bread (made from wheat usually) and are in effect taking the brunt end of the problems caused by the housing collapse in America.

    Wheat farmers in other countries are also seeing the dollar lose value in relation to their own currency, yet they are struggling with things like higher petroleum prices that are wiping out any profits they may have experienced from higher wheat prices.

    In other words, this is a perfect storm of converging events that essentially is making it impossible for ordinary people in Egypt to be able to eat food anymore. It is also a dangerous feed-back loop given their location next to many major oil reserves in the world, especially sitting on a major international trade route that is going to make this a vicious feedback cycle to drive up food prices even more that will in turn stop international trade in food. When you can't eat, you get desperate and usually don't give a damn about who is in charge.... you'll eat their hide and certainly would be willing to go to desperate ends to simply live until tomorrow or not care if you don't.

    The situation is really bad, and unfortunately American policies over the years including domestic America policies are really screwing with the Egyptian people right now... much of it as unintended consequences originally intended to help.

    Even somebody like Chavez isn't going to help much in this situation, and Mubarak seems to be making some particularly stupid moves in this explosive situation. I don't think Obama is necessarily doing anything worthwhile either, and IMHO should be doing something like shipping millions of tons of wheat to Egypt at least to calm the situation down a bit. Bread and circuses can make a difference, but right now Egypt has neither and the people are really pissed as a result. Cutting off the internet gets rid of the circus, so they are making their own with the protests. Way to go there.

  35. Re:Yup by camperdave · · Score: 2

    What is the point of going dark on the internet? With the cutting of the internet though, world opinion has turned against the Egyptian government. News crews are going to be going in and getting stories, so you won't stay out of the public eye. People will still find ways of calling out and reporting to the world what is going on. Cutting the internet simply raises a huge "LOOK AT ME" flag on the world scene. The UN will get involved, then the US. Ultimately your dictatorship gets overthrown and you either wind up a bullet ridden corpse, or dangling from a noose. Cutting the internet triggers the beginning of the end, so why go dark on the internet. What's the point?

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  36. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by Pharmboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I have a novel idea: How about we stay the fuck out. The last thing the US needs is to get involved in "nation building" where we weren't invited. Our track record over the last several decades isn't that good when it comes to nation building anyway. Just not our forte.

    Oh, don't get me wrong, when you need people killed or stuff broken, our American military is seriously second to none. Perhaps that is what we should stick to, when it is appropriate.

    At this point, it would seem the Egyptian citizens have taken responsibility for their own destinies, and unless we are clearly and unambiguously invited, we should stay out. And even if invited, if we can't help them according their own wished, for any reason, then we still stay out. The LAST thing we need is sticking our noses in the middle east when it isn't wanted. From what I can tell, what the citizens want from the US is only VERBAL support anyway. They don't want us there, for good reasons.

    Again, this is from a vet, so is a son of a retired Korea/Vietnam vet. If you have no experience in the military or have no family members to risk, you are welcome to disagree.

    --
    Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
  37. Re:Who is compensating the ISPs? by LordLucless · · Score: 2

    lol. Sovereign Risk.

    --
    Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
  38. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

    Why start WW3 over a tiny little apartheid state?
    I just do not understand how a nation that does that, then uses its intelligence agencies to commit murders all over the world and hides/lies about its nuclear weapons is somebody we should be risking our necks for.

  39. Re:Text to speech by blackhat1234 · · Score: 2
    Egyptian people can apparantly hear the tweets by dialing a number...from Official Google Blog

    People can listen to the messages by dialing the same phone numbers or going to twitter.com/speak2tweet.

  40. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by cHiphead · · Score: 2

    UN does not mean it needs to be primarily US troops, in fact, based on proximity to Europe and the US being tied up in Iraq and Afghanistan, it makes more sense to use a predominately EU based force.

    --

    This is my sig. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
  41. dialup and wifi cantennas by petsounds · · Score: 2

    I heard a NPR report today on this which mentioned some Egyptians are using dialup modems now and connecting to international numbers for an access point. Not sure how widespread this is.

    I also wonder if a site-to-site wi-fi system using the infamous cantenna could be used to daisy chain net access from across the border. I know the Burmese Tiger rebels used this tactic pretty successfully.

  42. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by radish · · Score: 2

    The USD hasn't really changed much in value vs the Egyptian Pound over the last year (it's down about 5% or so) - historically it's pretty much business as usual. In fact, the great weakening of the dollar due to the bailout is pretty mythical - vs GBP and EUR it's pretty average right now (actually pretty strong against GBP), the exception being JPY which is strong at the moment. Look at the 10y charts and it's really doing fine (unlike 2008!).

    I agree about the screwed up farming subsidies re: ethanol, and the price of wheat has certainly risen sharply since the middle of last year, but I don't see evidence for the fx markets having much to do with it.

    --

    ---- Den ene knappen er powerknapp, den andre er Bender voice knapp "Bite My Shiny Metal Ass"

  43. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by Opportunist · · Score: 2

    Finally some common sense.

    I mean, be honest, people. Imagine your country is in turmoil and you overthrow your government for insane corruption. You finally get rid of them. Now suddenly some foreign soldiers come in, declare that they are going to "help" you (whether you like that or not) and they suddenly decide how your country should be rebuilt, because what's good for them at home is good for you there too.

    Let's even imagine their intentions are good and they're not just there to open your country to stripmining corporations, they genuinely want to aid you rebuild your country, albeit in their image of a "good country".

    How welcome would they be, huh?

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  44. google did something and is involved. by 0ptix · · Score: 4, Informative

    Dude... seriously?

    At least they SOMETHING to help the people in egypt. What do you want? a full scale google invasion?

    And by the way a google employ (exec) was kidnapped by plain clothed security forces in cairo and is missing since several days. The arrest was caught on video. See around 1:11

    Not quite so cushy after all.

  45. Re:Egypt's got bigger problems by Reziac · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The food shortage isn't something "America caused". Egypt did this to themselves. Nassar just HAD to have a dam, to prove that Egypt was a "modern" country, but it destroyed the Nile-based ecology and economy -- before the Aswan Dam was built, Egypt was a net food EXPORTER.

    Here's an excerpt from a letter written in 2008, by a PhD who lived there at the time, was in thick with the higher-ups, and knew the situation firsthand:

    =======
    The Aswan High Dam (read Miles Copeland's book "The Game of Nations") blocked silt and nutrient transport downriver and into the eastern Mediterranean. Egypt had a thriving coastal sardine fishery, which landed about 18,000 tons of sardines a year. Within two years after completion of the dam, the sardine fishery collapsed, with the yield falling below 500 tons a year. It has stayed down ever since.

    It took a bit longer to use up the nutrients in agricultural soils, or for the irrigated soils, deprived of their annual "flush", to become so saline no crops would grow.

    Deprived of sediment, the Delta will probably also erode. That's what's happening to New Orleans and vicinity - we've messed around with the river enough that the sediment transport is less and the delta is no longer self-sustaining, but is gradually (well, not so gradually) sinking into the Gulf of Mexico.

    Egypt had a lot of very good fisheries and freshwater biologists - some of them among the best in the world. Nasser convened a scientific panel to advise him about building the dam. They told him what would happen. He didn't like
    hearing that, so all those scientists lost their jobs and had to emigrate. The U.S., for example Texas A&M University, profited greatly by snapping them up. ...

    Well, the reasons for building it were primarily political and had to do with the Cold War. Nasser sucked the Russians and the U.S. into a bidding contest. The Copeland book lays it all out, in a rather amusing way.

    And of course Egypt had, as a matter of national pride, to have a gigantic dam. ...

    Big dams (well, all dams) eventually silt up - they have a finite lifetime. Once the reservoir is silted up the dam can no longer regulate water flow. Don't remember what the anticipated lifetime of Aswan is - maybe a century or less.
    =======

    [Undoing a bunch of moderation to post this, but I couldn't let the historical ignorance stand unchallenged.]

    --
    ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  46. Re:Yup by cold+fjord · · Score: 2

    - He is already a real dictator.

    So, you're thinking they couldn't do worse?

    Nasser’s Biggest Crime - December 19, 2005

    “In Egypt you can walk wherever you want,” he said. “There are no rules or laws here.”

    Well, I thought. There are laws against involvement in politics. But I knew what he meant. The Egyptian government doesn’t micromanage its citizens. Good on Hosni Mubarak for that one, at least. Egypt may be a police state, but at any given moment it doesn’t feel like one......

    Can we talk about politics out in the open?” I said.

    “Yes,” he said. “We can say whatever we want.”

    “Is it because we’re speaking in English?”

    “No,” he said. “We could do it in Arabic, too.”

    “You’re not worried about the secret police?”

    “Not any more,” he said. “It is a real change from last year. Last year there was no way. But it’s better now, more open. Do you know why?”

    “No,” I said. “Tell me.”

    “Because of pressure from George W. Bush.”....

    I wanted to know what he thought of the Muslim Brotherhood. Was it even possible that they are as moderate as they want everyone to believe?

    “They are moderate because they don’t have guns,” he said. “They don’t kill people. It’s true. But most of the armed terrorist groups we see now were born out of the ideology of the Muslim Brotherhood.”

    “At some point,” I said, “if you want to live in a democracy you’re going to have to accept the fact that conservative religious political parties exist. You may never like them, but they won’t always be a terrorist threat. Democracy has mellowed out the Islamists in Turkey, for example.”

    “Yes,” he said. “But Turkey has a secular constitution. They want to enter the EU, so the Islamists are forced to play by the rules of the game. They cannot step on the freedoms that the Turkish people take for granted. The Egyptian people, though, since the time of the Pharaohs, have been a flock. They follow the shepherd.”

    “My biggest fear,” he continued, “is that if the Muslim Brotherhood rules Egypt we will get Islamism-lite, that they won’t be quite bad enough that people will revolt against them. Take bars, for example. Most Egyptians don’t drink, so they won’t mind if alcohol is illegal. The same goes for banning books. Most Egyptians don’t read. So why should they care if books are banned? Most women wear a veil or a headscarf already, so if it becomes the law hardly anyone will resist.”

    “How many people here think like you do?” I asked him.

    “Few,” he said. “Very few. Less than ten percent probably.”

    Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood eyes unity gov't without Mubarak
    The Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt's largest opposition group,is in talks with other anti-government figures to form a national unity government without President Hosni Mubarak, a group official told DPA on Sunday....

    Gamal Nasser, a spokesman for the Brotherhood, told DPA that his group was in talks with Mohammed ElBaradei - the former UN nuclear watchdog chief - to form a national unity government without the National Democratic Party of Mubarak.

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    much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
  47. Re:Good-by financial markets???? by cold+fjord · · Score: 3, Informative

    - They have been shooting protesters, do they need to rape them too?

    No, but they could open fire on mass demonstrations, or other means of crushing dissent.

    Hama 1982 – The Syrian massacre you never heard about
    In 1982 the Syrian government killed 30,000 – 40,000 of its own citizens. Assad leveled an entire city with an air bombardment followed by artillery and tank fire. Why? They were anti Baath party, and apparently in 1982 in Syria that was a death sentence

    “The residents of a Syrian city named Hama had been more persistent in their criticisms of the dictator than other towns. For that reason,

    Hafez Assad decided that Hama would be the staging point of the example he was to make to the Syrian people. In the twilight hours of February the 2nd, 1982, the city of Hama was awakened by loud explosions. The Syrian air force had begun to drop their bombs from the dark sky.

    The initial bombing run cost the city few casualties. It's main purpose had been to disable the roads so that no-one could escape. Earlier in the night, Syrian tanks and artillery systems had surrounded Hama. With the conclusion of the air bombing run, the tanks and artillery began their relentless shelling of the town.

    The cost in human lives was severe. As homes crumbled upon their living occupants and the smell of charred skin filled the streets, a few residents managed to escape the shelling and started to flee. They were met by the Syrian army which had surrounded the city ... they were all shot dead.

    Hours of shelling had turned Hama into rubble. The tanks and artillery had done all that they could. The next wave of attacks came in the form of Syrian soldiers. They quickly converged onto the town killing anything that would move. Groups of soldiers would round up men, women, and children only to shoot them in the back of the head. Many other soldiers would invade homes with the orders to kill all inhabitants. ....

    The final attack on Hama was the most gruesome. To make sure that no person was left alive in the rubble and buildings, the Syrian army brought in poison gas generators. Cyanide gas filled the air of Hama. Bulldozers were later used to turn the city into a giant flat area.

    The Syrian government death count was place at around 20,000 people dead ... but the Syrian Human Rights Committee estimates it to be much higher, at somewhere between 30,000 to 40,000 civilians’ dead or missing”

    So, yes, it can get a lot worse without rape.

    That is what a genuinely brutal dictatorship looks like. Sadly, too many divert their attention and misdirect their anger at let's pretend "dictators" instead of the real thing.

    Of course for mass death, it's hard to beat Mao.

    Mao: The Unknown Story
    "Mao Tse-tung, who for decades held absolute power over the lives of one-quarter of the world's population, was responsible for well over 70 million deaths in peacetime, more than any other twentieth century leader." Chang and Halliday claim that he was willing for half of China to die to achieve military-nuclear superpowerdom. Estimates of the numbers of deaths during this period vary, though Chang and Halliday's estimate is one of the highest. Sinologist Stuart Schram, in a review of the book, noted that "the exact figure... has been estimated by well-informed writers at between 40 and 70 million".

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    much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
  48. Mr Universe by el+cisne · · Score: 2

    Can't stop the signal, Mal.

  49. Turning off the Internet is a bad idea by gurps_npc · · Score: 2

    Think about happens when you take the internet away from a typical teenage girl. When you have news, you sit back and read about it. Maybe play a little farmville. Check your stocks. Without the internet, many egyptians have nothing to do besides go outside and protest.

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    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com