Slashdot Mirror


Further Updates On Post-Tsumami Japan

DarkStarZumaBeach points out a frequently updated page from the International Atomic Energy Agency with updates on the situation at Japan's Fukushima nuclear plant, which reports in terse but readable form details of the dangers and progress there. The most recent update says that the plant's Unit 2 has been re-wired for power, and engineers 'plan to reconnect power to unit 2 once the spraying of water on the unit 3 reactor building is completed.' Read on for more on the tsunami aftermath. Reader srwellman writes "A large plume of radioactive smoke is heading from Japan to the West Coast of the US. Officials claim the plume is not dangerous."

dooms13 suggests (by way of The Register) that the disaster in Fukushima is nonetheless a demonstrated triumph for nuclear safety: "If nuclear powerplants were merely as safe as they are advertised to be, there should have been a major failure right then. As the hot cores ceased to be cooled by the water which is used to extract power from them, control rods would have remained withdrawn and a runaway chain reaction could have ensued – probably resulting in the worst thing that can happen to a properly designed nuclear reactor: a core meltdown in which the superhot fuel rods actually melt and slag down the whole core into a blob of molten metal. In this case the only thing to do is seal up the containment and wait: no radiation disaster will take place, but the reactor is a total writeoff and cooling the core off will be difficult and take a long time. Eventual cleanup will be protracted and expensive."

Something to contemplate while the rescue effort continues: imscarr writes "The coastline of Japan has drastically changed since the earthquake & tsunami. New bays have formed and many areas are completely flooded. These interactive before-and-after images show you the magnitude of devastation. Other photos here."

Adds reader madcarrots: "The Laboratory of Applied Bioacoustics (LAB), a unit of the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC), directed by Professor Michel Andre, has recorded the sound of the earthquake that shook Japan on Friday, March 11. The recording, now available online, was provided by a network of underwater observatories belonging to the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) and located on either side of the earthquake epicenter, close to the Japanese island of Hatsushima."

369 comments

  1. Tsumami? by SJHillman · · Score: 1

    Is that like a tsunami mommy?

    1. Re:Tsumami? by Goaway · · Score: 1

      It means a snack you have with drinks. Japan went out drinking last night, apparently.

    2. Re:Tsumami? by nicodoggie · · Score: 1

      Exactly, it's the Mother of all Tsunamis

  2. Don't be too proud by ColdWetDog · · Score: 0, Troll

    Of the technological terror you've created.

    Above all, don't pat yourselves on your (so far) only minimally irradiated backs. It's not over yet, not by a long shot. And while defense in depth has worked to a significant degree I will be you those engineers responsible for siting ALL the backup generators seaward of the reactors are having second thoughts. As are the geologists who suggested that a 5 meter tsunami was as large as need be covered for, despite pretty clear geological evidence of 30 meter waves in the past and the longstanding knowledge that specific wave heights vary with a large number of variables.

    Why the hell nobody thought of putting a 30 meter wall in front of a reactor complex is beyond me. No, you don't have to seal the whole coast - just in front of those glowing things.

    Nature will yet throw us something unexpected. Bet on it.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    1. Re:Don't be too proud by vbraga · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Do you think a 30 meters wall is able to survive the impact of a 30 meters tsunami wave? You know fucking nothing.

      --
      English is not my first language. Corrections and suggestions are welcome.
    2. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 2

      I know enough not to build a nuclear plant on a tsunami prone coast that can't be protected by walls.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    3. Re:Don't be too proud by Helphin · · Score: 2

      A 30 meter wall would be the same height as a 10 story building... It might also stop the water from leaving the area thereby causing more problems. These things are usually designed with pretty good safety factors and with redundant systems. If it were just the earthquake or just the tsunami we probably wouldn't have this scenario, its the combination of both that caused it... Do remember an earthquake of this magnitude is a 1 in 1000+ year event. It's not realistic to plan for those when the life of your reactor is 50 years...

    4. Re:Don't be too proud by maxume · · Score: 1

      Making that assertion with no reference to the costs or consequences of the 1000+ year events is just insane. It might not make sense to plan for 1000 year events, but no trivial analysis could possibly demonstrate that.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    5. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then you bulldoze it in pause mode and hope that the microwave or fusion plants are unlocked by then?

    6. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or, you know, put backup generators and fuel tanks underground. That's what they do in the US.

    7. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wise after the fact. Face it: you couldn't build a wall out of lego.

    8. Re:Don't be too proud by eviljolly · · Score: 1

      To be fair, 50 out of 1000 is still a 1 in 20 chance. You can't plan for everything though.

    9. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah, a 30-metre wall is ridiculous, especially because there are so much easier and cheaper options. If the backup generators were placed further up on the hill above the plant they would have been fine. This part of the coast is relatively steep-sloped, so it didn't even have to be very far away -- still inside the fence around the Fukushima plant site. Problem solved. Risk averted. No "big engineering" needed. Worst case, you have to reconnect them. Also, 30m is a bit extreme. From what I've been reading in the literature, the worst historical tsunami along this stretch of coast are "only" in the ~5-7m range, unless you're in a bay with a shape that is particularly effective at focusing the wave (and the nuclear plant is on a broad point, not a bay, and the obvious solution here is: don't build the plant at the head of a bay).

      Why nobody thought to take adequate measures against this *known* scale of historical tsunami is something for which heads will probably roll in the subsequent investigations. Not designing for this level of tsunami is simply foolish on this coast.

    10. Re:Don't be too proud by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      I do think it might have been wise to keep the generators on high ground (or deep underground) in a coastal area prone to typhoons and tsunamis. Why they didn't do this is beyond me (seriously, who doesn't plan on a tsunami on the Japanese coast??).

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    11. Re:Don't be too proud by Dunbal · · Score: 2

      Yes. And I know more than you. But don't let me convince you - just look at the concrete buildings still standing right next to the harbor. Look at the bridges, hospitals and schools that survived. Oh it will be expensive. And you'll have to fill it with earth, to take the weight. And it will crack. But it can be done easily.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    12. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 2

      Face it, they cut corners to make more of a profit. And talk about stupid, tsunamis happen all the time in Japan, this was built "after the fact." Are you seriously surprised that there was a tsunami of this size in Japan? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historic_tsunamis

      Face it, tsunami heights top five meters almost all the time.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    13. Re:Don't be too proud by hawguy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I know enough not to build a nuclear plant on a tsunami prone coast that can't be protected by walls.

      If only you were there 40 years ago when this reactor was installed to warn them of the dangers... maybe you could have told them to use a more modern design that doesn't require active cooling to remain safe. Maybe you already have a map showing them exactly where to site the reactors? Or do you have a viable alternative to nuclear in your back pocket?

      Lots of people can use hindsight to show exactly what went wrong in *this* particular incident, but who can tell where the next natural disaster will strike and how it will manifest itself? Did you already tell California to shut down its two coastal nukes? And it's not like nukes are the only power generating hazard out there - TVA was lucky that the billions of gallons of fly ash discharge didn't kill anyone.

      USA officials seem to have a lot of criticism for the Japanese and how they handled this incident, but truth be told, this reactor survived a quake 30 times larger than it was designed for and so far hasn't spun out of control into a large scale disaster. If they hadn't lost power it's likely that this would have been a very minor incident. If the USA wants to criticize, then they need look no further than their own backyard. In California their 2 coastal nuclear plants are designed for a 7.0 or 7.5 earthquake but there's a very good chance that California will have a larger quake in the next 30 years. Oh, and at one of them, they installed the seismic reinforcements backwards and at the other, the entire reactor was installed backwards. Oops.

    14. Re:Don't be too proud by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      The big problem I have (with my retrospectascope) is that they KNEW that there were very large tsunamis in the past. They KNEW that predicting wave height in any given place for any potential tsunami is impossible. Putting up a 100 foot or even a 100 meter concrete wall isn't especially difficult - it's a bit expensive but it's certainly do able. They KNEW that 'predicting' earthquakes is very imprecise and so far has an rather poor track record.

      So tumble that through the ringer of planning and funding a major engineering endeavor and you end up with some engineering assumptions that look pretty damned stupid.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    15. Re:Don't be too proud by Helphin · · Score: 1

      Agreed, you certainly can't plan for everything and you do try to plan for the worst case. That's why there's not just one backup system but a few different ones and the plant is designed with bigger safety factors than normal. Also each backup system is maintained by different personnel so the "human factor" can partially be taken out of the equation. It's impossible to have something that's 100% resistant to everything...

    16. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Streamlined bunkers of reinforced concreted with Stirling engines powering the emergency systems would probably have been a much better idea. Doesn't necessarily need external air supply and a damn lot easier to fix than diesels should something go wrong.

    17. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      Do you know how often tsunamis larger than five meters hit the coast of Japan? Anyone who lives there could tell you the last time a tsunami this size or larger hit, a ten meter tsunami hit Okushiri in 1993, and before that, another ten meter tsunami hit Wajima in 1983. I'm not criticizing Japan, per se, I am criticizing the cost cutting tendencies of the nuclear industry, which could have a perfect safety record if they cared to.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    18. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 1

      Cutting corners to up profits isn't really a big part of Japanese culture, especially 40 years ago with anything having to do with nuclear safety. Your accusations are as insulting as they are unfounded.

      This was a worst-reasonable-case external hazard for a nuclear reactor, and it held up quite well. Much like Three Mile Island, there doesn't seem to be much harm done here, aside from the economic value of the plant itself. This whole CNN-fueled panic over a non-crisis is a sad diversion away from the real disaster (the thousands killed by the tsunami) and the relief efforts needed on the coast.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    19. Re:Don't be too proud by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      1/1000 chance per year = .999 annualized chance of normal operation .999^(~436 reactors) = 1 in 3 annualized chance of meltdown somewhere in the world.

      Clearly your numbers are off, but still, the point remains the same: when it comes to things with great potential for harm, you need a far higher standard than just 1:1000 chance of disaster. What's an acceptable rate of time for a 50% probability for an INES Cat. 6 event? 1:500 years? Each reactor would need to have an annualized INES Cat. 6 failure probability of 0.000317% (a 1 in 315,000 chance).

      Great risk requires great caution.

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    20. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 2

      Aiming for a perfect safety record, or in general setting the bar too high, just causes people to game the system (just look at the games that go on with Japan's homicide police given the expectation of 90%+ solution rates for murders). Aiming for safe failure modes makes much more sense, and this plant was quite reasonable in that regard.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    21. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 2

      Cutting corners to up profit

      THAT is bean-counter territory. every color and nationality has them; and the engineers take shit.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    22. Re:Don't be too proud by peragrin · · Score: 1

      Nothing has a perfect saftey record. ever. The longer something is around the more likely problems will develop. Here they were hit not only a major quake which as saftey indicates they shut down for, but then got hit by a wave of water strong enough to move a cargo ship miles in shore.

      No wall would have stopped that, as the wave would go around, the wall and then flood back into the wall still destroying the generators. That's if the wall wasn't knocked down on top of said generators by the shear force of the wave to begin with.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    23. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      You do know this plant was built by GE, right? And that three engineers quite in protest over the unsafe design? Excuse me if I'm not concerned about insulting an American megacorporation.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    24. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1
      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    25. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      Then don't build it on the coast! And listen when your engineers tell you it isn't safe: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GE_Three

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    26. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 1

      Do remember an earthquake of this magnitude is a 1 in 1000+ year event. It's not realistic to plan for those when the life of your reactor is 50 years...

      so with 1000 reactors across the globe(442-6 in operation, 65 in construction), you can have one of these every year ?

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    27. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 1

      t might not make sense to plan for 1000 year events

      we DO when the radioactive crap will be here for thousands of years.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    28. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 1

      Except in this case there was no great harm, due to proper planning. When the dungheap hit the windmill, the failure mode was reasonably safe. Great risk comes from building a Chernobyl-style reactor. The best way to limit risk is to make the reactor fail as safely as possible, not arrogantly assume you can anticipate all the rare sources of risk and declare that you're not vulnerable to any of them!

      There are modern designs that really take this to heart. While a "pebble bed" reactor perhaps isn't the ideal design for a for-profit power plant, it's a great example of starting from a fundamentally fail-safe design so that you're not trying to kid youself that you've thought of every possible risk.

      Three Mile Island was a great object lesson in the importance of usability to design (the staff did exactly the wronng thing at every decision point), but also a lesson in how safe non-communist reactors are (the staff did exactly the wronng thing at every decision point -and still no one died).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    29. Re:Don't be too proud by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      What the hell are you burning without air to run this Stirling engine?

      What do you plan on using as your source of cold?
      The delta between the hot side and the cold is going to need to be fairly high to make that practical.

    30. Re:Don't be too proud by Helphin · · Score: 1

      That's not quite right. According to your math a 1 in 1000 year event affects a reactor every 3 years and leads to a meltdown. A 1 in 1000 year event could be a magnitude 6 earthquake depending on where the reactor is built so it might have no effect.

    31. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 1

      thanks for the numbers.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    32. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      And yet, in a region known for frequent ten meter tsunamis, the last one in 1993, they built the backup generator directly at sea level, on the coast, and designed it to withstand a five meter tsunami. Maybe because it was cheaper to do it that way. If you are the CEO who decides to do something like this, and people die, you will not face prosecution. But if you don't make your shareholders rich next quarter, you WILL be out of a job. It doesn't take genius insight into human nature to tell what will happen, given those incentives.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    33. Re:Don't be too proud by maxume · · Score: 1

      GE did the designs. Lots of companies were involved in the construction, with GE, Toshiba and Hitachi supplying the reactors.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    34. Re:Don't be too proud by hypergreatthing · · Score: 1

      The inside of a run away reactor and the outside should provide sufficient heat difference to run a sterling engine.

    35. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      Okay, so the plant was designed by GE, and some of the reactors were built by GE. Are you disputing the claims of the GE three? Are you saying these reactors were as safe as they could have been? Not that I am excluding anyone from blame, ten meter tsunamis hit Japan all the freaking time. They should never have built this thing on the coast. They did so to increase profits, and the people responsible for that decision will never face censure, let alone prosecution. Welcome to our world of two tier justice. If you kill a man, you go to jail, but if they kill a thousand, they get a bonus.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    36. Re:Don't be too proud by aix+tom · · Score: 1

      An, additionally, not have then all in the same place. Have some up in the hills where they are protected from tsunamis, have some in a different location where they are protected if a quake in the hills causes landslides.

    37. Re:Don't be too proud by peragrin · · Score: 1

      Um, Nuclear reactors need lots and lots of water readily available, and will warm up small enough lakes over time. They also have to be generally pretty close to the point of consumption. Since electricity can't be stored, and due to resistance loses amps to heat over distances.

      The great lakes have something like 30 nuclear reactors built around them as they are large bodies of water, near population centers.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    38. Re:Don't be too proud by Helphin · · Score: 1

      Well a 1 in 1000 year event that may affect all the reactors in Japan. There's some geographic information you have to include in this analysis. Also, like i said somewhere else a 1 in 1000 year event could be something insignificant depending where your reactor is located...

    39. Re:Don't be too proud by maxume · · Score: 2

      Did anything in most post look like I was disputing their claims? I found your post a little over simplified, so I posted slightly more information.

      And of course the plants were not as safe as they could have been, that is always true about everything.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    40. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      Exactly my point, thank you. They cut corners. The coastline there is very steep, had they situated it a couple kilometers inland and built a big pipe to the ocean, built a bigger cooling pond for spent fuel, and put the backup generator above the known average tsunami height, this all would have cost more. Shareholders wouldn't have made as much of a profit. And we wouldn't be having this conversation because this never would have happened.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    41. Re:Don't be too proud by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Face it: you couldn't build a wall out of lego.

      That would explain why my lego castle roof kept falling down.

    42. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But that's assuming mitigation of a 1000-year event would be extraordinarily costly and would be something that could plausibly balance the risk of the consequences. It's not costly. It's not a challenging engineering project. Not at this location. You put the backup generators on a hill more than the height of the tsunami risk, and worst case you might have to reconnect them after the tsunami (best case: you bury the connection cables, and of course test them regularly). Contrary to the prior posting, that height doesn't need to be 30 metres high (historical tsunami here are on the order of ~5-7m), but if you really wished to be that paranoid, guess what -- that still isn't hard to do. Check Google Earth or a similar source: at the Fukushima plant the elevation inside the site fence gets higher than 40m. See the baseball diamond and running track in this satellite image? Those are 40m+ elevation above sea level according to Google Earth's topography. Heck, right beside the plant you can see how they cut into the slope to make a flat area for the plant to sit nearer the shore. All they had to do was put the backup generators on the top of the hill above that platform and it would have been fine from any of the known tsunami in the last 1000 years, including this one. Why didn't they? Maybe it would have cost slightly more, but I find it hard to believe it would be significant.

    43. Re:Don't be too proud by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Cutting corners to up profits isn't really a big part of Japanese culture

      But it's not "Japanese culture" that's building the nuclear plants. It's corporate culture. And "cutting corners" is part of the corporate DNA. They can't help themselves.

      it held up quite well

      The people who are getting off planes from Japan in Dallas Fort Worth and Chicago's O'Hare airport and setting off the radiation detectors might disagree.

      There are those who have decided that nothing will change their minds about nuclear energy. Everything will be taken as evidence of their point of view. You don't want those people making decisions.

      I'm agnostic about nuclear energy. I think it's a necessary, if transitional energy source that should be used. But under no circumstances should private industry be in charge. Energy is just too important for the private sector to run.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    44. Re:Don't be too proud by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      if they could use the reactor they would be using the steam turbine.

    45. Re:Don't be too proud by anagama · · Score: 2
      Additionally, it was one of those engineers who pointed out in his 1972 memo while working at US Atomic Energy Agency, the whole pressure-suppression system was envisioned as a cost cutting measure, i.e., a way to build cheaper (and weaker) containment.

      In other words, GE tried to sweeten the price and TEPCO bought into it. It's OK to disparage TEPCO too btw.

      The operator of the Fukushima Daiichi plant now at the centre of the crisis - the Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO) - has had a rocky past in an industry plagued by scandal. ... Sugaoka worked at the same utility that runs the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant where workers are racing to prevent a full meltdown ... In 1989 Sugaoka received an order that horrified him: edit out footage showing cracks in plant steam pipes in video being submitted to regulators. Sugaoka alerted his superiors in the Tokyo Electric Power Co., but nothing happened. He decided to go public in 2000. Three Tepco executives lost their jobs.

      http://www.thestar.com/news/world/article/955468--japanese-power-companies-hid-nuclear-safety-problems-wikileaks?bn=1

      In one case, workers hand-mixed uranium in stainless steel buckets, instead of processing by machine, so the fuel could be reused, exposing hundreds of workers to radiation. Two later died. ...

      http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110317/ap_on_re_as/as_japan_earthquake_nuclear_scandals

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    46. Re:Don't be too proud by Hopium · · Score: 1

      I'm agnostic about nuclear energy. I think it's a necessary, if transitional energy source that should be used. But under no circumstances should private industry be in charge. Energy is just too important for the private sector to run.

      yeah lets allow the department of homeland security run it, i wanna see what color they use for nuclear fallout on their color charts.

    47. Re:Don't be too proud by stjobe · · Score: 2

      The "radioactive crap" will be 90% gone within a few months.
      Look at Chernobyl.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    48. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Subs use liquid oxygen and diesel for instance. I guess you could use that or something better suited if you care to think about it. It IS an external combustion engine after all. You could use pretty much anything. I did not mean that they'd have to be running without using oxygen from the air for extended periods of time, only that you could do it in an extreme emergency. Also, as some other poster pointed out, the stopped but - as currently all to evident - still far from cool reactor could be also be used. That'd actually be pretty nifty, to use the unwanted heat to power the system that cools it. Less waste of energy and extraneous CO2 or other pollutants. Win-Win-Win.

      Source of cold? How about that big ocean being right next door? I'm certain you could do something clever with that...

    49. Re:Don't be too proud by anagama · · Score: 1

      TEPCO's corporate culture has for years been about as bad as they come: Bungling, cover-ups define Japanese nuclear power

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    50. Re:Don't be too proud by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      How exactly do you think this failure mode is a desirable one? There are spent fuel ponds containing more fuel than in the core itself which are in various states of overheating, half of the buildings have been gutted of sensors, pumps, cranes, etc by hydrogen explosions, the core is cracked on the #2, god only knows what's happening in the common fuel pool, the radiation level has been high enough to drive away *helicopters flying high overhead* some days, etc. You call that "reasonably safe"? God forbid we get a recriticality in a spent fuel pool. The explosions left half of them sitting exposed to the air and full of debris.

      This is an INES level 6 disaster, same as the Kyshtym disaster that caused the Soviets to quietly have to remove 30 towns from their maps. The US has ordered a 50 mile exclusion zone for Americans around Fukushima Daiichi -- and the disaster is still unfolding. For comparison, it's under 40 miles from the reactors of Indian Point to Times Square, and far less to the outer reaches of NYC.

      And, FYI, you're applying an observation bias to your "wrong thing at every decision point" argument. if they had done the right thing, you wouldn't have heard about it. There are nuclear accidents all the time. Nearly every reactor has had accidents of varying severity. Only the bigger ones (generally INES-5 and above) make the news. Naturally those are going to be the ones where more than one thing went wrong. And, FYI, both in Chernobyl and TMI, there were many *right* decisions made also. They simply didn't outweigh all of the wrong decisions. And many "wrong decisions" occur during the engineering stage, not the operation stage, but aren't known about until they reveal themselves many years later.

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    51. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 2

      You have just demonstrated that you do not understand the difference between a sterling engine and a steam turbine, so I will point you to Wikipedia, where you can remedy your lack of education.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sterling_engine
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steam_turbine

      Or perhaps you do not understand just how hot things remain when a reactor is shut down.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decay_heat

      Hopefully that should be enough for you to understand why a sterling engine sized to run the emergency cooling pumps will work off the decay heat, while a full sized steam turbine designed to produce electricity would not.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    52. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl, an area where over 90% of children born have serious birth defects.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    53. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      Wow, you really got schooled here, didn't you? Did you read all those replies pointing out how very wrong you are? Did you read the two posts pointing out how bad TEPCO really is? I wonder because you seem very certain of your position in this post, but you quite obviously are not working with full information. Personally, when I learn new information that exposes my own ignorance or incorrectness, I update my position to reflect my new understanding of reality. But you haven't responded to any of the people who responded to you. Which leads me to believe you haven't learned anything from your schooling here. Which is kinda sad.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    54. Re:Don't be too proud by hawguy · · Score: 1

      The coastline there is very steep, had they situated it a couple kilometers inland and built a big pipe to the ocean,

      Or maybe the earthquake (which was much more powerful than the plant was designed to withstand) would have cracked and damaged the 2km long pipes and on-site water storage tanks, leaving no easy way to bring in water a couple kilometers from the ocean. Then everyone could have pointed fingers and said "What idiots! Why did they locate the plant so far away from the ocean, if they were next to the ocean, fire engines with water cannons could have cooled the plant!"

      Just like it's easy to say "If only they'd done *this* and the disaster would have been averted", it's easy to point out potential flaws in the alternative solution - there is never a perfect, risk-free solution.

      Shareholders wouldn't have made as much of a profit. And we wouldn't be having this conversation because this never would have happened.

      Cost cutting doesn't just benefit the shareholders, it also benefits the consumers. Modern economies depend on cheap, plentiful power - there is always a trade-off between cost and safety, very few people are willing to pay for absolute safety.. Even your car is a tradeoff (and you are much *much* more likely to die in a car accident than a nuclear accident). Do you think all cars should be designed like tanks, be limited to 5mph, and have redundant power sources and built-in air supplies providing a week of life support to occupants just in case the car drives into a lake? If those cheap-ass car companies didn't cut corners when building cars, we could save 40,000 lives/year.

    55. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      What bullshit. Why do some people claim that when corporations cut corners, they pass the savings on to the consumer? You KNOW that isn't true. As for putting things away from the ocean, if they can engineer a containment unit to withstand an earthquake, they can engineer a pipe. If they can engineer a spent fuel holding tank to withstand an earthquake, they can engineer a spare water tank. And if they HAVE to put things next to the ocean, they can still put the backup generator up a hill, out of reach of the tsunami. Engineers were telling them this was unsafe. The bean counters ignored them.

      Nobody expects a risk free solution. What we do expect is for them to follow safety regulations, and to refrain from cutting corners on safety, and then lying about it. Keep reading the other posts here. There is a lot of good information explaining, in detail, just how the corporate sociopaths earned their huge bonuses.

      You see, I want nuclear power. We can make it cheaper and safer than anything else we know of right now. Except the corporate fuckwads ruined that dream by cutting corners and putting profits (not consumer costs) over safety, giving the environmentalists ammunition in their misguided quest to destroy nuclear power. And you, you clever little cheerleader, are bending over and hiking up your pretty little skirt for them. Thanks for helping destroy nuclear power, asshole.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    56. Re:Don't be too proud by stjobe · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl, an area where over 90% of children born have serious birth defects.

      [citation fucking needed]

      In a 2005 report, the UN said there were "no evidence of an increased risk of birth defects or other reproductive effects in areas contaminated by radiation from the Chernobyl accident". A recent study claims there does exist a slightly elevated risk of birth defects in some of the areas (up to 27 in 100.000 births as compared to EU average 9 in 100.000), but even that study says it's findings are "not definitive" and lacks information about pregnant mothers exposure to radiation as well as their diet and alcohol habits. The same effects can be attributed to overconsumption of alcohol:

      This is important because the birth defects that were elevated in Rivne can also result from fetal alcohol exposure or, in the case of neural tube defects, a deficiency in the B vitamin folate early in pregnancy.

      "In the Ukraine," Wertelecki said, "alcohol is also a problem. Malnutrition is also a problem."

      It is not clear to what extent alcohol, folate deficiency and low-dose radiation exposure may each explain the findings. It's also quite possible, Wertelecki said, that all three factors work in combination to raise the odds of congenital defects.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    57. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 1

      Sorry, It's in dutch
      http://www.deredactie.be/permalink/1.984013
      especially time-index 10:00 - 10:30 is interesting.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    58. Re:Don't be too proud by treeves · · Score: 1

      Depends on how thick it is, how it is anchored etc.
      In any case, it wouldn't work as long as the water flowed around it, I'm guessing, because it wasn't the impact of the wave that did the damage to the diesel generators, it's the fact that they were *underwater*. They do put snorkels on submarines to provide air to the diesel engine for operating the diesel while submerged close to the surface (it's called 'snorkeling'), but I don't think they did that on land.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    59. Re:Don't be too proud by hawguy · · Score: 1

      What bullshit. Why do some people claim that when corporations cut corners, they pass the savings on to the consumer? You KNOW that isn't true.

      Well, look at the converse -- whenever corporations incur additional expense, they pass the expense onto consumers. Do you disagree? So if design A costs $5B, and design B is twice as safe but costs $15B, do you think the corporation will just absorb the additional cost?

      I'm not taking about corruption and safety violations, I'm talking about design safety factors.

      As for putting things away from the ocean, if they can engineer a containment unit to withstand an earthquake, they can engineer a pipe

      The earthquake shifted parts of the country by 2.4 meters -- not just buildings, not just a hillside, but the land itself - how do you design a 2km pipe to handle that? If half of your pipe moves 8 feet to the left (or up, or down, or it's stretched longer, or compressed shorter), I don't see how to account for that in design. I can believe it's possible to design a small building or reactor housing to handle local shaking, but when the ground beneath you moves dramatically, how do you account for that?

    60. Re:Don't be too proud by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Actually, I *HAVE* told the state to shut down those plants. I also told them not to build there in the first place. They ignored my advice. A couple of the plants that they built in especially bad places had to be shut down before starting up. We're still paying for them, even though we campaigned against them being built.

      So, no, I don't think that the US is doing a very good job. California probably isn't even the worst. A map I saw recently seemed to show that the area around New York, NY was much more endangered. By obsolete plants past their designer specified lifespan which are being licensed to generate more power than their designers specified as the intended maximum. It may not be the same kind of disaster, but one should expect one just as bad. And there may well not even be the excuse of "a natural catastrophe of a magnitude it was unreasonable to expect". It's likely to just be a combination of greed and political expediency.

      Nuclear power can probably be done safely. But I'm not sure that people can do it safely. Because they make stupid decisions for short-range profit.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    61. Re:Don't be too proud by treeves · · Score: 1

      Did they really mis-spell 'Stirling' in the wikipedia article? Wow.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    62. Re:Don't be too proud by treeves · · Score: 1

      Liquid oxygen on a submarine? That's insane-- where'd you hear that? Subs have a snorkel mast they use to draw air in from above the sea surface when operating the diesel submerged. It's called snorkeling. It's either that or run on the surface. I was a nuclear trained machinist's mate on an SSBN so I stood watch in the Auxiliary Machinery Room 2 Lower Level and ran the diesel when it was needed (usually for reactor scram drills).

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    63. Re:Don't be too proud by stjobe · · Score: 1

      Sorry, that doesn't cut it against a UN report.
      Even the published report that contradicts the UN reports have the maximum number at 27 birth defects in 100.000 births - a far cry from your tv-show's unknown Ukranian doctor's claim of 90%.

      I thought we'd agreed not to base our view of reality on what we see on tv?

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    64. Re:Don't be too proud by stjobe · · Score: 1

      No, it's a redirect page for a common misspelling. It shows the page for the Stirling engine.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    65. Re:Don't be too proud by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 2

      In California their 2 coastal nuclear plants are designed for a 7.0 or 7.5 earthquake but there's a very good chance that California will have a larger quake in the next 30 years.

      Not with our horizontal slip faults. The biggies come from the subduction zones, and the nearest stretches from Northern California up to British Columbia. And the plants were designed for 7.0 quakes *directly* underneath, and there's no faults directly under them.

    66. Re:Don't be too proud by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      You have just shown that you fail to understand reality. They blew the top off the building, no one wants to go near it, stuff is in ruins. A sterling engine would not change any of this.

    67. Re:Don't be too proud by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Ok. You've got heat. Now what are you going to use for cooling? You've got to have both.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    68. Re:Don't be too proud by stjobe · · Score: 1

      Liquid oxygen on a submarine? That's insane-- where'd you hear that? Subs have a snorkel mast they use to draw air in from above the sea surface when operating the diesel submerged. It's called snorkeling. It's either that or run on the surface. I was a nuclear trained machinist's mate on an SSBN so I stood watch in the Auxiliary Machinery Room 2 Lower Level and ran the diesel when it was needed (usually for reactor scram drills).

      For a submariner you seem awfully ignorant of submarines. The Swedish Navy has been running their diesel-electric subs on Stirling engines powered by liquid oxygen for over 20 years now. See Gotland Class Submarine, Södermanland Class Submarine, and Näcken Class Submarine..

      Snorkeling, while easy and cheap, has the disadvantage of only being useful at periscope depth. Using a Stirling engine gives a diesel-electric sub almost the same submerged endurance as a nuke. Add to that the fact that the diesel-electric one is quieter than the nuke and you'll start to see why the Swedes (and the Aussies in their Swedish-built subs) keep sinking US carriers in wargames.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    69. Re:Don't be too proud by Gofyerself · · Score: 1

      Nuclear reactors need lots of water. it is an obvious choice to put it on the coast of an island!

    70. Re:Don't be too proud by treeves · · Score: 1

      Well, I was last on a submarine 20 years ago. That is news to me.
      The articles mention the submerged endurance as being a few weeks which is definitely less than a nuclear sub, and since they are quite a bit smaller, their armaments are limited, but the technology certainly does seem to have some strong points.
      Learned something new today.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    71. Re:Don't be too proud by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Purple, obviously.

    72. Re:Don't be too proud by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Aiming for safe failure modes makes much more sense, and this plant was quite reasonable in that regard.

      Too bad, then, that they didn't aim to put the emergency generators on the roof rather than down below the level of the (underestimated) tsunami for which they planned.

    73. Re:Don't be too proud by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      I dunno about that. Seriously, I do my best to ignore alarmist headlines and stories. But, the fact is, "it ain't over til the fat lady sings". There are so many possibilities, and things COULD get a whole lot worse before they start to get better. That damned spent-fuel cooling pond that is low on water is troubling, for one thing. The other ponds that are overheated are less troubling, but they merit serious consideration.

      The last news story I read quoted some official, who suggested that some of the engineers and workers at the plant may have to make "heroic efforts" to save the situation.

      And, I can't help thinking of the workers at Chernobyl who gave their lives to keep things there from getting worse.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    74. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't even pass the sniff test. 90% of all children born deformed? That's quite a freakshow, how would you hide it? If you killed 90% of all children, how would you hide THAT?

      Fuck, it's even crazier than the rumor that Operation Wetback deported 1/10th of America back in 1955.

    75. Re:Don't be too proud by dbIII · · Score: 1

      By obsolete plants past their designer specified lifespan which are being licensed to generate more power than their designers specified as the intended maximum

      That is very much typical now in power generation so we are seeing a lot more equipment failures. Extending it to nuclear is a bit much but that's the way industry goes until a major failure wakes up the current batch of management. That's why engineering disasters go in cycles from extreme care for a few years after burning the astronauts in a test on the pad to ignoring the engineers warnings about the o-rings and launching anyway.

    76. Re:Don't be too proud by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Well, look at the converse -- whenever corporations incur additional expense, they pass the expense onto consumers. Do you disagree?

      I do disagree. Corporations will try to price their products and services to make the most profit. If passing on the extra costs to consumers causes them to lose too many sales to their competitors, they will not pass the costs on. As long as they are still making a reasonable profit, they will stay in the business.

      The earthquake shifted parts of the country by 2.4 meters -- not just buildings, not just a hillside, but the land itself - how do you design a 2km pipe to handle that? If half of your pipe moves 8 feet to the left (or up, or down, or it's stretched longer, or compressed shorter), I don't see how to account for that in design

      I do. Pipes expand and contract all the time due to stress and temperature changes. It's not unusual for pipes to experience changes in length on the order of 0.1% to 0.5%. Copper going from freezing (0C) to boiling (100C) would be around 0.17%. For a 2kM pipe, that's about 3.3 meters, or about 11 feet. Steel pipe would expand and contract somewhat less, plastic piping much more.
      Anyway, the pipe wouldn't have gone over the fault line in this case, so one section of the pipe would not have moved 8 feet relative to another.
      I have worked on projects where pipes were braced for earthquakes and flexible joints were built in to withstand shaking and relative motion of several inches between sections of the building. Though I must admit the designs I have been involved in would not have survived near a 9.0 magnitude quake, neither were they as important as nuclear safety.

    77. Re:Don't be too proud by dbIII · · Score: 1

      but also a lesson in how safe non-communist reactors

      I've already seen the 1986 bullshit come out again. The USA is the master race so nothing that happens to a commie or jap reactor will happen there - that's the line some are stating to push and learning NOTHING from what is going on now.
      TMI should have shocked everyone out of that smugness long before Chernobyl happened - good planning in the early stages and sheer dumb luck saved everyone's bacon but some people were too stupid to learn the lessons. A feature put in to protect against aircraft strike doubled as better containment and turned a potential disaster into an incident. The lesson learnt then led to shutting down some of the old stuff that was WORSE than the "communist reactors" and to improve everything else.
      My other nitpick is that it is still in progress so "the failure mode was reasonably safe" may not hold next week - let's all hope it does.
      It's good you brought up pebble bed. Pebble bed etc is from people that did learn the lesson from TMI. Nuclear is all about getting vast amounts of steam but you can still get that from a lot of little reactors in a plant (eg. pebble bed) instead of enormous individual reactors such as the four we are talking about. With smaller reactors the whole potential disaster would have been over by now and everything cooled down.

    78. Re:Don't be too proud by hawguy · · Score: 1

      I do disagree. Corporations will try to price their products and services to make the most profit. If passing on the extra costs to consumers causes them to lose too many sales to their competitors, they will not pass the costs on. As long as they are still making a reasonable profit, they will stay in the business.

      Right, that's my point -- if the plant cost 3 times more to build and they had to charge 3 times higher for electricity the plant wouldn't have gotten built at all until scarcity drove the price of power up to where the plant became profitable. So Consumers would pay higher prices either way -- they pay more if the plant has superior safety measures, and they pay more if those safety measures are so expensive that the plant doesn't get built at all.

      I do. Pipes expand and contract all the time due to stress and temperature changes. It's not unusual for pipes to experience changes in length on the order of 0.1% to 0.5%. Copper going from freezing (0C) to boiling (100C) would be around 0.17%. For a 2kM pipe, that's about 3.3 meters, or about 11 feet. Steel pipe would expand and contract somewhat less, plastic piping much more.

      I'm no structural engineer, but it seems like a localized shear force is a lot different than heat expansion along a 2km pipe.

      Anyway, the pipe wouldn't have gone over the fault line in this case, so one section of the pipe would not have moved 8 feet relative to another.

      What do you mean "in this case" - this was a made-up case by me, and now I say that in this case the earthquake caused a mudslide down the hillside where my coolant water pipe was located. something like this:

              http://www.life.com/image/51554665

      (note that this picture is not from the current quake, it was caused by a previous quake a few years ago)

      What I'm saying is that no matter where you locate the plant there are risks -- put it too close to the water and you risk Tsunami, put it too far away and you risk not having emergency cooling water when you need it most.

    79. Re:Don't be too proud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really have a hard on to pin this on a US company.

      But it isn't like the Japanese bought this thing at a garage sale, they knew or should have known the weaknesses of the design. GE 'cut corners' because that is what their customers wanted, a less expensive way to build a nuke plant. And the obviously delivered because this one ran fine for 40 years as several others of the same design did and continue to do.

      And further, by all indications, the reactor containment is doing exactly what it is supposed to do. The biggest ongoing problem at the site is not even one of the reactors but a spent fuel pool, speaking of cutting corners.

      The fact is there is no alternative means of meeting Japan's power demand that doesn't make them a huge importer of fuel. There certainly wasn't 40 years ago. Before you point a finger at GE, what alternative would you suggest that was available 40 years ago? A passive cooled reactor perhaps? Provide a link to a design.

    80. Re:Don't be too proud by MimeticLie · · Score: 1

      You've never worked with diesel generators, have you? You're essentially talking about putting several locomotive engines on the roof of a building.

    81. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 1

      People getting off planes from Japan to America got a higher dose of radiation from the plane ride than the reactor. The radiation level in Tokyo never exeeded the radiation level in Denver, though the level did spike briefly to 80% of Denver (about double the normal level). But of course "ooh, scary, scary, nukular, scary" will always dominate the news, regardless of facts.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    82. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 1

      Communist nuclear reactors are built nothing like real nuclear reactors (not to take anything away from the heroism of the guys at Chernobyl). But here's the analysis from an MIT professor of this stuff; don't take my word for it. The MIT profs in this field have been doing their best to spread actual information, but sadly it's just not newsworthy.

      The Japanses guy who went into the dark reactors in suits to carry the hoses in to flood the hot cores with seawater were also pretty heroic - it must have been a heck of a scary situation, and those suits are claustrophobic enough without crawling through tunnels in the dark - but they weren't like the Russian guys who were basically throwing their lives away.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    83. Re:Don't be too proud by Killall+-9+Bash · · Score: 1

      Cutting corners to up profits isn't really a big part of Japanese culture

      Are you fucking kidding? They're the ones who taught us!

      They only focus on (relative) quality now because China has gobbled up the "cheapest one available please" market.

      --
      "Prediction: within 10 years, Windows will be a Linux distribution." Me, 7-6-2016
    84. Re:Don't be too proud by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      People getting off planes from Japan to America got a higher dose of radiation from the plane ride than the reactor.

      Then why don't people getting off the plane from London set off the radiation detectors?

      The radiation level in Tokyo never exeeded the radiation level in Denver, though the level did spike briefly to 80% of Denver (about double the normal level)

      Bloomberg reported yesterday that radiation levels in parts of Tokyo are twenty times normal..

      Oh, I notice from your sig that you're one of those that calls himself "conservative". That means you have to repeat the mantra of nuclear energy being "clean, safe and cheap" although it's never been any one of those three.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    85. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 1

      A Coleman lantern mantel will sett off most radiation detectors (and certainly those inside nuclear reactors - there are stories). They detect environmental contamination that is itself radioactive, not how much radiation you've reveived - and they're very sensitive. But to be fair those right next door to the plant did get a dosage spike of 3x an alantic plane flight, per the MIT prof.

      Oh, I notice from your sig that you're one of those that calls himself "conservative". That means you have to repeat the mantra of nuclear energy being "clean, safe and cheap" although it's never been any one of those three.

      This is why it's has become nearly impossible to have rational discourse in this country. People are so quick to slap a label on the other guy, ignore the argument he's actually making, and instead attribute the argument that a guy with that label would stereotypically make. It's very hard to have an actual discussion when people insist on talking past one another.

      On the topic of my sig: politiclly liberal, politically conservative, it doesn't matter what programs are a good idea when you're broke. Sometime this yeat mandatory entitlement speding at the federal level is expected to be larger than federal revenues. When that happens, failure of the status-quo system is a mathematical certainty not a political opinion.

      Whether you're talking about a nuclear reactor or a social progam, the first concern any engineer should have is "if it fails, will it fail safe?" And "it doesn't matter, it can't possibly fail" is always the wrong answer for any complex system.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    86. Re:Don't be too proud by spun · · Score: 1

      Are you thinking that we were both suggesting they go put a sterling engine in there NOW?!? How dumb do you think we are? Don't answer that... we were asking why nobody thought to use a sterling engine to power emergency pumps in the first place. Sheesh.

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    87. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 1

      so I had a bad source of information. I can still quote another report saying that 'Chernobyl disaster still hurting millions'
      http://www.un.org/ha/chernobyl/docs/dev2373.htm

      In any case, I would like to see at least the same amount of money is being spent on windpower as on nuclear energy for the forseeable future, and it not being actively being sabotaged like in my country (Belgium).

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    88. Re:Don't be too proud by stjobe · · Score: 1

      so I had a bad source of information. I can still quote another report saying that 'Chernobyl disaster still hurting millions'
      http://www.un.org/ha/chernobyl/docs/dev2373.htm

      Yeah, did you even read that report you linked to? It's about how they think "[r]esources should be concentrated on mainstream services which have the greatest effect on life expectancy and general well-being, including primary health care, health education, clean water and economic development."
      It's goal is to promote "[i]mprovement of environmental policy planning, implementation and management at the local, national and transnational levels to build on lessons learned and develop innovative approaches to land use as the radiation threat diminishes over time"

      In any case, I would like to see at least the same amount of money is being spent on windpower as on nuclear energy for the forseeable future, and it not being actively being sabotaged like in my country (Belgium).

      Google for "liquid thorium reactor" and see what real sabotage action looks like. There ARE safer, cheaper, more environmentally friendly alternative reactor designs out there, but the reactor fuel companies don't want anything to do with these - it would put them out of business. Thorium is more abundant by a few orders of magnitude than uranium/plutonium, doesn't need to be refined, can be utilized almost 100% as compared to 5% for uranium/plutonium, and is a sideproduct of mining for rare earth metals. It's so cheap you can't even give it away. And best of all - a single year's production of thorium from a single rare earth mine is enough to cover the whole earth's energy needs for one year - if only there were enough reactors to use it.

      Furthermore, a liquid salt reactor is passively cooled, has safety blowout valves that depend on the laws of physics and nothing else, can be run at atmospheric pressure and can be refueled without stopping the reactor. Did I mention it burns almost 100% of the fuel? - which means a lot less dangerous waste.

      Really, go google it. It's the future of our energy needs.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    89. Re:Don't be too proud by polar+red · · Score: 1

      I know about fission and radioactive decay: i know about the science, AND I know about the technology BUT I also know about politics and business, and it's those 2 latter things that worry me. So: Nuclear power NO THANX. Give me solar panels on my roof, tidal power stations and a coast line lined with wind turbines.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    90. Re:Don't be too proud by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      what programs are a good idea when you're broke

      And who's "broke"?

      Sometime this yeat mandatory entitlement speding at the federal level is expected to be larger than federal revenues.

      Entitlements are not government spending. Social Security is a multi-generational insurance program that is solvent to pay off 100% of its obligations to nearly 2040. After that, it's solvent enough to pay 80% of its obligations for about forty years after that, if nothing at all is done to plug holes.

      The fact that you bought into these two myths says a lot about you political leaning, because "conservatives" tend to buy into both.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    91. Re:Don't be too proud by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      Because in this kind of emergency you need power to come from outside the reactor, as in these kinds of emergencies it would nice to be able to access the generator if it needs work.

    92. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 1

      And who's "broke"?

      If your brother-in-law made 50K take-home, but you knew he was spending 80K a year, and knew he was $128K in debt already, whould you lend him more money? I try to be generous with family, but you have to set limits.

      The federal government is spending 1.6 times what it takes in, and each of us who pays taxes already has a $128k share of debt because of that. If that isn't "broke", what is? I was $50k in the hole before I learned how money worked, and that was one Hell of a hill to climb. $128K is - well face it, it's going to be shoved off on our grandkids, and when I look at it that way the generosity of any government program vanishes (but that's veering into politics and away form the math).

      Entitlements are not government spending.

      Wait, what? Maybe I'm using the word a different way - I didn't mean to cause any confusion. A part of the government budget is mandatory and inflation-adjusted, and a part is discretionary. The mandatory part is about to exceed revenues, and since it's (almost entirely) inflation adjusted, we can't inflate our way out of it. How can that end well?

      Social Security is a multi-generational insurance program that is solvent to pay off 100% of its obligations to nearly 2040. After that, it's solvent enough to pay 80% of its obligations for about forty years after that, if nothing at all is done to plug holes

      Social Security is neither solvent nor insolvent, it's part of the general fund now, since the "trust fund" was emptied in the 80s and early 90s. (The debt I mention above doesn't include any "trust fund" obligations, BTW, there are no government bonds or anything in the "trust fund", that money is just gone). If you compare Social Security taxes to Social Security outflow, it's already cashflow negative - but that hardly matters as, again, it will be paid from the general fund.

      We can certainly keep any one program going at the expense of all the others. Which one we should prioritize is a matter of values and politics, not math. But here's some math: the total expected cost of everyone currently participating in Social Security, Medicare, and related programs exceeds the total expected revenues (over the lifetime of everyone we've made promises to) by over $1 million per taxpayer (about $363K per citizen). There's just no way - there's no such money to be taxed. Heck, the total worth of all personal, small business, and corporate assets in America is about $247K per citizen, and even if we siezed them all to pay for medicare, who would buy them? How can that end well?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    93. Re:Don't be too proud by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      If your brother-in-law made 50K take-home,

      When someone uses family finances as a metaphor for national economics, you know it's not worth the effort, but here goes...

      Can your "brother-in-law" print his own money? Can your "brother-in-law" sell bonds? Does your "brother-in-law" have the power to levy taxes? Does your stupid fucking brother-in-law have his own Federal Reserve?

      Social Security is neither solvent nor insolvent, it's part of the general fund now, since the "trust fund" was emptied in the 80s and early 90s.

      That is simply not true. It was never "part of the general fund". It was used as collateral to sell bonds which are still bringing in a profit. It was never, ever part of the general fund. You are listening to Fox News and taking what they say as the truth.

      And by the way, every thing you said in your last paragraph is factually incorrect. You got the entire thing from some chain-letter email that's being sent around to the teabaggers. It is entirely, every word, even the punctuation, a lie.

      Social Security currently, as in today, right now, has over a TWO TRILLION DOLLAR SURPLUS, and that SURPLUS is in a savings account (though not the kind you get at your corner Chase Bank) collecting interest. In fact, it could be factually said that without that SURPLUS, the government's situation would be even worse than it is. There is no danger of Social Security having to reduce any benefits until at least 2039. And even then, a very simple set of fixes could make it sufficient for a century more.

      Dwight Eisenhower first borrowed against (that doesn't mean "borrowed from") Social Security in order to build the interstate highway system. That was a great investment that paid dividends for the fund. Ronald Reagan, though, was the first president to borrow against Social Security in order to give a tax cut to the richest few percent of Americans. Reagan started the program of trying to make it look like Social Security was "broken" so all those trillions in the Social Security SURPLUS could be handed over to the big investment banks.

      You are running around, lgw, believing stuff that is not only not true, but is not true in order to make you think a certain way. You are being fooled, flim-flammed, conned, and bullshitted. All the truth about this is available, but it requires you not to just buy whatever that mass email you got or Fox News tells you, and go look it up yourself. Spend an hour. Get a calculator. Don't get sucked in, and don't spread the BS even further.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    94. Re:Don't be too proud by lgw · · Score: 1

      Hmm, you missed my point with the brother-in-law metaphor - maybe I should have gone with a car metaphor. The US is like that broke brother-in-law: who will lend us money? Sure we can try to borrow more by issuing bonds, but there have to be buyers. Sure, we can print more money, but that directly drives up the cost we'll pay to borrow money (and nearly all the mandatory spending is inflation-indexed, so we can't actually win that way).

      As you point out, raiding the Social Security trust fund started with Reagan - and there's nothing there now, just "special issue bonds" that are no more than IOUs. BTW, Reagan's "tax cuts to the richest few percent of Americans" raised more federal revenue. More, not less, so that wasn't the reason he was raiding the trust. You may have heard of voodoo economics and the Laffer curve.

      I know the current meme you're blindly parroting without any knowledge or research is "there is no crisis". Keep telling yourself that, but look at Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain in the coming years - that's our future, we're right in the middle of that pack Debt/GDP-wise.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    95. Re:Don't be too proud by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Let me answer you in someone else's words:

      "The government issuance of debt securities is well beyond the capacity for the United States to pay all of its debt obligations internally or externally." This is gibberish (= orthodox economics). Money is a debt security. The US government pays its obligations by replacing one debt security it created out of thin air, a bond, with another one, a dollar bill. Governments are never solvent in their own liabilities/debt/IOUs/money. Government debt is what the private sector uses for money. If governments became "solvent" - ceased to be debtors, then there would be no money at all in the private sector."

      Oh, and what do Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain all have in common? They cannot print their own money.

      And please, Debt/GDP is a false and misleading metric. I'm not saying "there is no crisis" but the crisis is not from government spending. It's not from deficits, except for the fact that deficits are the result of the real problem, which is increasing concentration of wealth in capital.

      And Reagan did not "raise federal revenue" by cutting taxes. He actually presided over the biggest tax increase in US history, but it was on wages, on working and middle class families. He transferred wealth from the group at the bottom to the slice at the top. And yes, it was "voodoo economics" as GHW Bush claimed before Reagan asked him to become his running mate.

      If you won't check for yourself on any of these "facts" maybe you will do this much: Go read some of the recent writings of Ronald Reagan's man in the OSB, David Stockman. He's got some very interesting things to say about what was going on in the US economy during the Reagan Administration, and what the end result was.

      Seriously, friend, those facts and figures you throw around? Check them out for yourself. All the information is publicly available. Don't trust what you hear on the AM radio and cable news. You're smart enough to get your own information. Then get back to me when you're fully informed and we can have this talk. As long as you're just going to quote Rush Limbaugh to me, we won't make any progress.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
  3. One of the five basic tsu-tastes by tepples · · Score: 3, Funny

    Tsumami as opposed to tsusweet, tsusalty, tsusour, and tsubitter.

    1. Re:One of the five basic tsu-tastes by Cogita · · Score: 1

      Tsumami as opposed to tsusweet, tsusalty, tsusour, and tsubitter.

      I'm sure many people are feeling quite tsusour at the moment. You might even say they are tsubitter about it. ;-)
      Sorry, I couldn't resist

      --
      -- "The Price of Freedom of Speech, of Press, or of Religion is that we must put up with a good deal of rubbish."
    2. Re:One of the five basic tsu-tastes by treeves · · Score: 1

      Since the 'u' comes from the 'umami', wouldn't they be tssweet, tsbitter, tssalty, and tssour.

      I know , I know, Japanese does not have a t or an s, or a ts, but it has a tsu and an u. Although when it comes at the end of a word, which is most common, the tsu sounds pretty much like 'ts'.

      OK, this is funny: there is a word 'tsumami' in Japanese. It means pinch, as in shio hito-tsumami = pinch of salt

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    3. Re:One of the five basic tsu-tastes by dido · · Score: 1

      Tsumami also means knob, and is the word that Japanese programmers use for what we would call a handle, such as a file handle (file descriptor).

      --
      Qu'on me donne six lignes écrites de la main du plus honnête homme, j'y trouverai de quoi le faire pendre.
  4. Misleading in the extreme by fridaynightsmoke · · Score: 5, Informative

    Reader srwellman writes "A large plume of radioactive smoke is heading from Japan to the West Coast of the US. Officials claim the plume is not dangerous."

    The linked source does NOT validate that assertion whatsoever. The 'plume' is a forecast of the way a plume would take shape across the pacific, if it were to exist. No-one is saying that there is a radioactive smoke plume of any magnitude, including undetectable. It is a weather forecast, meant for internal consumption by various national nuclear agencies for contingency planning and leaked to the NYT, nothing more.

    --
    This is a substitute for a clever sig that fits within the maximum number of characters.
    1. Re:Misleading in the extreme by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

      So weather forecasts are automatically NOT predictive? I understand weather pattern estimates don't always pan out, but they are generally more accurate than not. What point are you trying to make, other than just being needlessly contrarian?

    2. Re:Misleading in the extreme by fridaynightsmoke · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Because it is the worst kind of bullshit scaremongering to report "Radioactive plume crossing towards USA" when the story is "Agency draws up probable route potential radioactive plume would take", in the same way it would be to report "Response plan drawn up to potential terrorist bombing" as "Terrorist bombing".

      --
      This is a substitute for a clever sig that fits within the maximum number of characters.
    3. Re:Misleading in the extreme by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      You still miss the point - there is no "plume of radioactive smoke" to be moved by weather. It was a simulation
      of how a block of air moves from japan to the west coast. There is no plume for it to move, and if there was
      the model did *nothing* to model the actual dispersion of radiation and particles during that journey.

    4. Re:Misleading in the extreme by Colonel+Korn · · Score: 1

      So weather forecasts are automatically NOT predictive? I understand weather pattern estimates don't always pan out, but they are generally more accurate than not. What point are you trying to make, other than just being needlessly contrarian?

      I can't believe this AC post was modded up and the GP modded down. Fridaynightsmoke is making an important clarification from TFA (and even TFA doesn't emphasize this point nearly enough): there is no plume. The prediction is based on the hypothetical situation of a constant emission from nuclear plants in Japan, simply predicting where that radioactive material would travel. He's not questioning the weather prediction at all. He's pointing out that the report says, "If there were a worst case scenario plume, which so far isn't the case and almost certainly won't be, where would it go?"

      --
      "I zero-index my hamsters" - Willtor (147206)
    5. Re:Misleading in the extreme by sycodon · · Score: 2

      The media has been nothing than a huge cluster fuck of hyperbole and made up speculation under the guise of "experts".

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    6. Re:Misleading in the extreme by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      Not for contingency planning, at least the NYT implies it was created to easy sensor calibrating. What I understand from their diclaimer is that its inteded use is to tell something like: "We expect you very sensitive sensors here to go out, but that is not a nuclear weapon somewhere, it is because of Japan".

  5. Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by cpu6502 · · Score: 3, Informative

    From New York to Germany, politicians are proposing shutting-down nuclear plants.

    Talk about jumping to rash conclusions. What are we supposed to use for power once the oil/coal becomes scarce and as expensive as silver? We need nuclear power as a replacement fuel (and supplemented by solar).

    --
    My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
    1. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by gamanimatron · · Score: 5, Insightful

      They've learned that fear can be converted directly into money, by way of voters. Who do you think is going to be selling you that coal?

      --
      cogito ergo dubito
    2. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Mashiki · · Score: 3, Informative

      Welcome to media hype and the anti-nuclear nuts run amok. By the way, next time they trot out the "experts", jot down the names and do a search. You'll find most of them are linked to anti-nuclear groups.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    3. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by cpu6502 · · Score: 1

      >>>oil/coal becomes scarce and as expensive as silver?

      That would be ~$160,000 per barrel. I suppose oil will never reach that high.

      --
      My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
    4. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Dan667 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      people have short memories, BP just got through destroying much of the Gulf of Mexico with IMHO a much worse Oil Disaster.

    5. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. When coal and oil get up there (it will take awhile for coal to get there as we have massive amounts of it and costs 10-50 bucks for 4-6 tons of it). It will not be a matter of 'oh maybe we should use nuke power' it will be matter of how much can we bring online.

      We need better cheaper designs. Newer designs that take these sorts of problems into account. The plant in question is a 1960's design with shove in the dirt in the mid 70s. Even back then there were questions about the design.

    6. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Cogita · · Score: 1

      >>>oil/coal becomes scarce and as expensive as silver?

      That would be ~$160,000 per barrel. I suppose oil will never reach that high.

      Is that by weight or by volume?

      --
      -- "The Price of Freedom of Speech, of Press, or of Religion is that we must put up with a good deal of rubbish."
    7. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by poetmatt · · Score: 1

      This isn't flamebait, it's incredibly accurate. It isn't specific to anti-nuclear groups but people that want to control others via fear. You know "BEWARE OF NUCLEAR FALLOUT IMMINENT!" etc etc.

      For real news read here - http://mitnse.com/ - ,where, everything is calming down.

    8. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would be ~$160,000 per barrel. I suppose oil will never reach that high.

      Fight enough wars for it and it will.

      As for the grandparent; you're supposed to sit in your community yurt and shiver.

    9. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      On the upside, the anti-nuke environmental wackos are having a fucking field day. Nothing beats some good Chicken Little scare tactics and a convenient radiation boogeyman to advance your hippie agenda.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    10. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Stupid move. Any nuke plant you shut down will have to be maintained as though it's running while you wait for a decade or more for the fuel to be unreactive enough to be transported off-site. You might as well make money on the electricity it can generate while that's happening, and you would be better off retrofitting it with a gravity-fed flooding mechanism with an inlet a long distance away and behind significant shielding.

    11. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by blair1q · · Score: 1

      You? You'll be jacked into port 12B888 on pylon zed-zed-plural-zed-alpha. 200 watts of continuous thermal output as long as we have enough beer and donuts in intravenous form.

    12. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by blair1q · · Score: 1

      interesting. I double-replied to the same post without noticing. I need to get into the lab and clear this shit out of my brain for the rest of the day.

    13. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Pumpkin+Tuna · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Yep,

      I clicked on a CNN video of the explosion at the plant, and was conveniently served an ad about "Safe, Clean, Coal"

      I nearly retched.

    14. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by sirsnork · · Score: 1

      And when the earthquake cracks the inlet tube and all the water dumps before the reactor?

      Nothing is ever fullproof. You do the best you can with the money you have and the ideas/plans available.

      Personally I'm more impressed the facility came throught he quake unscathed, and ironically it's the lack of power thats the problem.

      So, how can a nuclear power plant not have power when a reaction is still occuring, thats the thing thats confused me here. It's a power plant, and yet the cooling pumps are powered exclusivly by an off-site feed? Shouldn't there be redundant connection to these pumps, at the very least so the facility is self sufficient?

      --

      Normal people worry me!
    15. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Wish I had some mod points left for you.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    16. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      That would be ~$160,000 per barrel. I suppose oil will never reach that high.

      Fight enough wars for it and it will.

      Nope. Because you can synthesize it from a lot of other stuff far cheaper than that. (Proven sources include garbage, sewage, and crop waste.) Potential replacements become more numerous if you're replacing the various refined products piecemeal rather than replacing the crude oil feedstock itself.

      Oil is used because it's CHEAPER than the alternatives. Once it gets more expensive the usage switches to alternatives (after a short startup time) and demand goes away.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    17. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      African or European barrel?

    18. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by ZeRu · · Score: 1

      From New York to Germany, politicians are proposing shutting-down nuclear plants.

      I wonder, what would those clueless politicians say if, instead of Tsunami, Japan was hit by a meteor?
      Better not to tell them about "Laws of Gravity", or they might appeal to change them.

      Shit is bound to happen to our world from time to time, in form of earthquakes, tsunamis, meteors, no matter what we do, and most of the time we can't do anything to prevent it - only minimize the consequences, and you can't say that Japanese didn't do everything in their effort to minimize radiation leaking.

      --
      If you post as an AC, don't expect me to spend a mod point on you.
    19. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      The mass hysteria over nuclear power is ridiculous. If any of these people would pick up a physics textbook they would realize Fukushima is not dangerous to anyone but the Japanese in a 100 mile radius of it. Furthermore, an earthquake followed by a tsunami is not something that most mainland nuclear reactors need to worry about. As I have heard, the reactor did well until the tsunami hit. Ok, so we shouldnt build nuclear reactors on the coastline in an area prone to tsunamis, lesson learned, now apply the lesson and stop bitching about one of the cleanest and highest yielding energy sources within man's reach.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    20. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      anti-nuclear groups = pro big oil and coal

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    21. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Pumpkin+Tuna · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, MIT, which brought us the widely quoted "why-i-am-not-worried-about-japans-nuclear-reactors" blog post early on. What's that? You can't find "why-i-am-not-worried-about-japans-nuclear-reactors?" Oh, it seems mitnse.com has taken that highly rosy, bright and shiny optimistic tract down. Probably because the disaster that it dismissed has slowly happened. You can read that original post with a little googling. Pay close attention to the "worst-case-scenario" at the end.
      Forgive me if I don't automatically accept the rosy outlook of people who are going to college to build and run nuclear plants.

      Has there been breathless overreaction? Absolutely! I still hear crap on the news that makes me facepalm. But at the same time, TEPCO has consistently downplayed the real situation. other actual experts are considerably more worried about the ability of TEPCO to get a handle on this.

    22. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by polar+red · · Score: 1

      are you saying there is nothing wrong with nuclear power ? are you saying absolute safety is even physically possible ?

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    23. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by spun · · Score: 1

      Yes, let's move to safe, clean, non-radioactive coal... wait a second...

      http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=coal-ash-is-more-radioactive-than-nuclear-waste

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    24. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by snspdaarf · · Score: 1

      I don't know what voltage these generators produce, but it is highly unlikely that it matches what the pumps and control systems require. These generators need the grid in order to produce useful power. When the grid shorts, or opens, they disconnect automatically to protect the generator. No grid, no power at useful voltages. That's where the diesel gensets were supposed to step in.

      --
      Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
    25. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Just because someone is anti-nuke doesn't mean they're wrong on the facts any more than being pro-nuke makes someone correct. I'm in favor of nuclear power, but I've heard plenty of BS on both sides. And understating the dangers is just as much of a disservice as overstating them IMO.

    26. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by anagama · · Score: 2
      Plus, TEPCO is has a proven track record of being a lying sack-of-poo: Bungling, cover-ups define Japanese nuclear power

      Leaks of radioactive steam and workers contaminated with radiation are just part of the disturbing catalog of accidents that have occurred over the years and been belatedly reported to the public, if at all.

      In one case, workers hand-mixed uranium in stainless steel buckets, instead of processing by machine, so the fuel could be reused, exposing hundreds of workers to radiation. Two later died.

      "Everything is a secret," said Kei Sugaoka, a former nuclear power plant engineer in Japan who now lives in California. "There's not enough transparency in the industry." Sugaoka worked at the same utility that runs the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant where workers are racing to prevent a full meltdown following Friday's 9.0 magnitude quake and tsunami.

      In 1989 Sugaoka received an order that horrified him: edit out footage showing cracks in plant steam pipes in video being submitted to regulators. Sugaoka alerted his superiors in the Tokyo Electric Power Co., but nothing happened. He decided to go public in 2000. Three Tepco executives lost their jobs.

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    27. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by RealGrouchy · · Score: 1

      I bet the folks who hastily switched to nuclear-powered cars after the BP spill are kicking themselves now.

      - RG>

      --
      Hey pal, this isn't a pleasantforest, so don't waste my time with pleasantries!
    28. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      I have no problems using fact when presenting a story. I have problems with make believe information being parroted as fact, or bad information being presented as fact, or things taken damn near out of science fiction. I've already heard one 'expert' saying that this would be like the china syndrome. Seriously? That's not fact, or even correct. That's anti-nuke fear mongering.

      Speaking of fear mongering, this is why you see places like norway having a run on potassium iodine pills, and people making a run for table salt in china.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    29. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by hey! · · Score: 1

      One thing it's worth reminding ourselves is why Japan has so many nuclear power plants, even though as the only nation to have suffered a nuclear attack you'd expect anti-nuclear sentiment to be high there. It's the same reason they attacked Pearl Harbor. They don't have the natural resources needed to supply a modern industrial economy, so in the 30's they set out to secure oil and rubber the old-fashioned way: they sent gunboats and troops to take it from someone else. We moved the Pacific Fleet to send Japan a message that we'd oppose that. They received the message loud and clear, but their response wasn't what we were expecting.

      After WW2 they still had the same problem: they didn't have the petroleum they needed to grow their economy, so they turned to nukes.

      And that's probably where we're all headed sooner or later. As the price of oil climbs higher and higher above the $100/bbl mark, more Americans will want to take the nuclear plunge. At the same time, the Fukushima incident will harden the attitudes of Americans with predisposition against nuclear power. The result will be an ugly, unenlightening political fracas in which politicians of various stripes pander to one side or the other.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    30. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by anagama · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps they've learned that Nuclear Plant Operators are worse liars than politicians?

      Bungling, cover-ups define Japanese nuclear power

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    31. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      switched to nuclear-powered cars

      By that, you mean, of course, people who switched to electric cars. Correct?

    32. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by aliquis · · Score: 1

      There is a Swedish blog called Cornucopia which asks a question regarding (whatever it's possible with) unlimited growth in a limited world.

      Which I find a fitting quote and/or question.

      I guess what follows is a rather bearish attitude on the future economical growth and consumption for everyone.

      Maybe even more so for us westerner and you people over there in the US.

      As long as solar power can provide more power than was needed to build the plant it would work. But the energy may become very expensive and hence you most likely need to use it more sparingly. Same goes for a world without oil (and nuclear if that would be part of it.)

      For housing you can build (more or less) passive houses with extra insulation and smart planning if you really want to. For other needs such as industry maybe one just have to accept that one may have to consume less, not more, the whole time? Guess the same goes for food production. Maybe you have to accept less growth and less food because it's grown in a more energy efficient and simple way?

    33. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by poetmatt · · Score: 1

      All I'm saying is pick your sites carefully as to where you look.

      Lots of shit has been beyond overreactions. The situation isn't perfect, but seems to be you know, under control.

    34. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Mashiki · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually I'd say anti-nuke, is much closer to = pro stone age humans.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    35. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by treeves · · Score: 1

      Well, I get the joke, but the Nissan Leaf and Chevy Volt are partially nuclear-powered, depending on where you live.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    36. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by NoSig · · Score: 1

      The reactors shut down in case of earthquake. I assume because they might be damaged by the earthquake and there's no way of being sure about that without first shutting down the reactor.

    37. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by NoSig · · Score: 1

      Call me when all mass in the solar system is arranged according to our wishes. Then we may have hit a limit, but maybe not even then.

    38. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by HiThere · · Score: 1

      We don't yet know if that was a worse disaster or not. Seriously. If the spent fuel rods start feeding Cesium into the environment, then I'm going to say that the Gulf disaster was the lesser evil. But maybe they won't.

      This disaster has the potential to be much worse than anything we've seen so far. It could make Chernobyl minor. It could make Tokyo uninhabitable. It probably won't. But we don't know how it will work out, we don't know how we've been lied to (though we know we have). And it might be that the worst is over.

      You just can't tell. Things are being hidden, and even the people who know the most are probably stumbling around in the dark much of the time.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    39. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by HiThere · · Score: 2

      Absolute safety is, of course, impossible. But relative safety is.

      I just wonder, though, whether humans can be trusted to operate nuclear plants safely. We don't have a good track record. Everywhere there's sufficient information we find critical information being hidden from the people who are supposed to ensure that things are safe for the economic benefit of plant management. In the US we have known unsafe plants being re-licensed after their design life is over to be operated at higher levels of power production than they were designed to EVER be able to safely produce.

      I think that physically it's possible to build an operate nuclear plants that are reasonably safe (given the dangers inherent and the benefits, etc.). But I don't think that people can be trusted to do so. It's not a problem of physics, it's a problem of ethics and morality. And we have a very lousy record in handling that area. We don't even seem to be able to think straight about it.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    40. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      As I said, there's misinformation on both sides. Fearmongering is just as bad as saying that there's absolutely nothing to worry about, particularly for people in Japan. The truth is that the outcome is unknown (or was -- things seem to be improving). But honestly, if I didn't need to be in Tokyo right now, I wouldn't be. Chances are things will be fine, but there's a not-insignificant chance that they won't be. If the risk of staying is higher than the risk of leaving, then it makes sense to leave, though unfortunately, the risk of staying is difficult to quantify.

      Yes, people on other continents should not be concerned for their safety. While there is a non-zero chance that they could be affected, nothing they can do will mitigate that miniscule risk. Even going to the store to get iodine tables presents its own risk, which is likely far in excess of the risk of inhaling a radioactive particle that traveled halfway around the world. Would you flip a coin for your life to avoid having to spin a roulette wheel? That's what it boils down to.

    41. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      You're safe in death...

    42. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by LetterRip · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes, MIT, which brought us the widely quoted "why-i-am-not-worried-about-japans-nuclear-reactors" blog post early on. What's that? You can't find "why-i-am-not-worried-about-japans-nuclear-reactors?" Oh, it seems mitnse.com has taken that highly rosy, bright and shiny optimistic tract down.

      You mean this post?

      http://mitnse.com/2011/03/13/modified-version-of-original-post/

      Still seems to be there. (The original was posted at the blog mortagesatlarge since it was an email to freinds and family - it moved to the MIT blog since the original author found ou it had been publically posted, and asked them to check it for accuracy and if they would be willing to host it)

      Probably because the disaster that it dismissed has slowly happened. You can read that original post with a little googling. Pay close attention to the "worst-case-scenario" at the end.

      I've read it, the worst case scenario was with respect to the reactors. The problems we are seeing, which was not discussed in the original post (and at the time of the articles writing were not known to be an issue), are with the cooling beds for spent fuel, not the reactors.

    43. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Kyusaku+Natsume · · Score: 1

      Around 3-5% of the electricity generated by a power plant is "wasted" in internal uses, it is used for running pumps, fans, valves and diverse equipment, maybe even for powering power plant's lights. For Fukushima 1, that should be around 141 Mw, more than enough to power a small city. The turbine and generators buildings are the ones between reactors buildings and sea, they got flooded so they cant be used at the moment, and even if they could be by a miracle intact, the HV electrical equipment in the surface had to bear the brunt of the impact of the 7.6 m high tsunami and his damaged. Also, the demineralized water necessary to generate the steam for the turbines is aparently gone, since the water deposits were destroyed/damaged too. To make matters worse, the emergency diesel generators were flooded and damaged too and really big power plants like this need external supply to start anyway.

      The current situation is far worse than the worst case scenario that the engineers imagined when they built it. So, the only choice is a new HV transmission line and hope that most of the pumps are operational, since a single pump can move far more water than anything they have available at the moment.

      --
      Mexico: 100% conservative's America now!
    44. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      of course!

      Civilization will turn into anarchy long before then.

      I bet even $1000/barrel will cause some revolutions...

    45. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by 517714 · · Score: 2

      The Tokaimura incident (hand mixing of uranium) has no connection with TEPCO, or with commercial nuclear power. Kei Sugaoka waited eleven years before reporting the incident, two years after he was fired. He may be completely forthcoming in his assessment, but ...

      --
      The US government have made it clear that we have no inalienable rights; any we do not defend vigorously will be taken.
    46. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by repapetilto · · Score: 1

      The people who will get hysterical aren't going to trust the physics textbook because "its written by the same people who built the reactors." Your argument will hold no sway with them. Just sayin.

    47. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by buzzn · · Score: 1

      There are 600 coal plants in the US, generating about 2000TW. A few recent projects for large scale solar range from 50MW to 700MW. It would only take a few hundred of these to make a significant dent in the need for US coal and nuclear generating capacity. What is lacking is determination, and money. The fossil fuel subsidy per year is about $70B and roughly $13B per Nuclear plant. That should pay for a whole lot of alternatives including solar.

      --
      Join the window installer's union, where prosperity is a brick throw away!
    48. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by MimeticLie · · Score: 1

      Why not just shorten it to "whether humans can do anything safely"? The BP oil spill had nothing to do with nuclear power. Nor does the vast amounts of fly ash produced by coal-based power plants. Those have problems as well, you know. Hell, just browse http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Environmental_disasters_in_the_United_States and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Waste_disposal_incidents and see how many of them are related to nuclear power, or more importantly how many aren't.

      Nuclear isn't perfectly safe. Nothing is. But all the alternatives have risks and drawbacks as well. "People are fallible" isn't an argument that justifies removing nuclear power from the table.

    49. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by II+Xion+II · · Score: 1

      Not sure where you get your news from, but at least from what I have seen on CNN, most of the "experts" interviewed on the subject matter seem to be pretty impartial so far. Of course CNN, like a lot of the news networks, has a lot of hysterical headlines and discussion topics, but at least the professed experts I have seen on there have by and large supported not getting hysterical and shutting down plants. Most seem pretty sensible on the subject. Just my observations having the network on in the background as I monitor the situation online as well.

    50. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that Lignite? Or does all coal contain uranium?

    51. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Welcome to media hype and the anti-nuclear nuts run amok. By the way, next time they trot out the "experts", jot down the names and do a search. You'll find most of them are linked to anti-nuclear groups.

      So the only "real" experts are linked to the nuclear industry?

    52. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by spongman · · Score: 1

      nuclear power is fine, just as long as the reaction containment vessel can safely be completely disconnected from ALL external systems while running at 100%. anything less needs to be scrapped, now.

      there's been a lot of talk about how this kind of accident couldn't happen with the newer designs with passive safety systems. but as far as I can tell these aren't so passive, they're just slightly less active. sure, they may not need external power, or human intervention (for a while), but they still need a whole bunch of equipment outside the containment vessel to be functioning correctly in order for disaster to be averted.

      no SPOFs people, come on. using your moderator as coolant which also happens to oxidize your cladding, vaporize into explosive gas? really?

    53. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Gryle · · Score: 1

      It amazes me how quickly the politicians jumped on that one. Meanwhile people seem to be forgetting that Fukushima ran 40 years without incident and that it took the combined effects of a tsunami and an earthquake to get to this point. A freakin' 9.0 on the Richter Scale for crying out loud. How many other power plants could withstand the equivalent of 474 megatons of TNT?

      --
      Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not entirely sure about the universe - Einstein
    54. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Pumpkin+Tuna · · Score: 1

      Okay, I admit the post it still up. I didn't see it there.

      But I strongly disagree that the problems we are seeing are not with the reactors. The spent fuel pools are a massive problem, but we still have multiple reactors in which the water level is BELOW the fuel. Exposed fuel elements in a reactor is a major problems. In addition, there is at least one reactor with a probable containment breach. Heck, even reactors 5 and 6, which were not seriously damaged have dangerously low water levels in the reactor

    55. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by Pumpkin+Tuna · · Score: 1

      "under control"

      The NRC says it believes that the spent fuel pool in reactor 4 has a major breach, meaning a part of the wall is gone, making it impossible to fill it with water. Do you consider this, you know, under control

    56. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by hawguy · · Score: 1

      People seem to be pointing to the Pebble Bed Reactor as the gold standard in passive safety:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebble_bed_reactor#Safety_features

      It's self regulating since as the fuel temperature increases, the reactor power decreases. In the event of no active cooling, it reaches a steady state temperature and will stay there indefinitely.

    57. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by spongman · · Score: 1

      Yeah, PBR is probably the best choice right now, but they're not without their issues (dust, cracking, jamming & waste volume), but at least they're inherently inert. Molten-salt is also interesting, but also not without serious issues.

      However, the bottom line is that ALL these low-budget, designed-for-submarines-only boiling water reactors need to be decommissioned immediately.

    58. Re:Shutting down nuke plants is a bit foolish by HiThere · · Score: 1

      The bad effects from the BP oil spill will be largely gone in a few decades. A couple of centuries at the most. The bad effects from fly ash are similarly confined in time. Nuclear plant problems have a scale that's 10 to 1000 times as long. This is a significant difference. And they can (potentially) affect a much larger area.

      We haven't had a really bad nuclear accident yet. It doesn't look like this latest one is going to qualify, though it did come close to the lower end of "really bad". If things had gotten a bit worse to the point where Tokyo needed to be evacuated quickly it would have made it. This would have happened if the spent rods had really lost all cooling and started releasing lots of Cesium. Then the lives of the people in Tokyo would have been hostage to the direction of the wind...unless they left within a few days. Not hours, but not weeks, either. And the surrounding countryside would have been removed from the food producing areas of the country for at least decades. And that's the lower end of "really bad" for that location.

      But do notice that New York City has several similar reactors near it. And don't think that because one kind of accident is not likely to happen there (it wasn't *likely* in Japan) that some other won't. And of course it will be one that wasn't foreseen, or at least not considered plausible by anyone in authority. At least not officially. (The Tokyo Electric Company has a history of problems and coverups, but guess what. The US companies do too.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  6. water and electricity.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the whole thing has been flooded and douched with salt water, better not stand too close to the fuse box when they fire that thing back up ..

    1. Re:water and electricity.. by blair1q · · Score: 2

      It's not starting back up. Ever. If the salt water wasn't enough, the potassium borate that they were pumping in (remember the report of the US delivering "coolant"? boron is a neutron absorber, it's not normally in the cooling water, it's used when the cooling water isn't working, and it gums up the core) was. Those reactors are useless forever now.

    2. Re:water and electricity.. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      Those reactors are useless forever now.

      If any didn't actually have something melt (and the water didn't have significant cobalt) they COULD be cleaned up and restarted. But it would be SO expensive that it's far cheaper to build new ones. (Post-apocalypse approval process and all...)

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    3. Re:water and electricity.. by EdZ · · Score: 1

      Hang on, I'm sure there's a reason against this, but the Fukushima Daini complex is RIGHT THERE:
      The main problem at the moment is loss of power to the cooling pumps without fully functional backup systems. Restoring power requires reconnecting the Fukushima Daiichi complex back to the grid, a connection that has been severed by the quake and tsunami. Instead of attempting to link to the grid as a source of power, why not restart one of the shut down but functional reactors at the Fusushima Daini complex and use it to power the cooling pumps for the rest of the reactors at the Daini and Daiichi complexes?

    4. Re:water and electricity.. by blair1q · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure this is how the conversation went:

      E1: why not run the cooling pumps off the electricity we're generating?
      E2: well, what happens when you have to scram it? it stops generating. then your cooling pumps stop and you get cascading failure.
      E1: oh. no shit. so we need an external source of power for the pumps.
      E2: and a backup in case that external source has a blackout, which happens a lot in less-developed countries like 1960s Japan.
      E1: well, we also sell diesel generators, how about a few of those at each reactor?
      E2: sure. now we've got double backups and nothing can go wrong.
      E1: so we're done with the safety design?
      E2: ayup. as long as we have a double-backup system, the cooling water will keep flowing, so the rods will never be exposed to air, so they'll never melt, never release hydrogen gas, never catch on fire. if it weren't for those stupid regulations we wouldn't even need to build the containment vessel thick enough to contain a meltdown...

      Their Nth mistake was wiring the generators in a nonstandard way, so that when the Fukushima guys got replacements delivered for the ones the tsunami damaged, they'd be ready to run.

    5. Re:water and electricity.. by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      because the problem isn't a sustained lack of power for the pumps, the problem was a brief interruption of power which was long enough for the plant to go into melt down. i doubt they would have had the time.

    6. Re:water and electricity.. by korean.ian · · Score: 1

      Just a quick note - Japan was the world's 5th biggest economy in 1960 by GDP and 2nd biggest by 1970. They were hardly less-developed. They made their money the same way the States did - off war (Korean War in this case).
      I'm sure the rest of your conversation went the same though. :)

  7. astroturf in action by 0WaitState · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This link:

    Bad Oehmen: Confirmation Bias, Sources & Astroturfing

    Describes the curious case of how a reassuring first time web post ("Why I am not worried about Japans nuclear reactors") from a guy working on a liason project at MIT in a non-nuclear engineering or physicist role somehow got reposted 30,000 times in one day.

    Just something to keep in mind when you see crap like "If nuclear powerplants were merely as safe as they are advertised to be, there should have been a major failure right then". Hey clueless, the cores haven't melted. Yet. They are losing their heat removal capacity over time as less and less water surrounds them. When they do get hot enough, they will melt their containers, and we will have a chernobyl-style release. Not exactly the same as chernobyl, because there's no graphite to burn. Instead the particulate radioactive isotopes and actinides (and plutonium, yay!) will be propelled into the atmosphere via hydrogren explosions. There's also a hell of a lot more uranium and plutonium on site since some clever laddie beancounter got the used fuel rods containment pools located above the reactors.

    Fukushima hasn't completely melted down, yet. If it doesn't it will because we (the planet) threw everything we have at it.

    --

    Remain calm! All is well!
    1. Re:astroturf in action by maxume · · Score: 1

      If that article was anything but innocent, the people behind it were really bad at what they were doing. It only took the fuel rods catching fire for the article to look a little too relaxed about the situation, a day or 2 after it had been published.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:astroturf in action by 0WaitState · · Score: 1

      The point is that a clueless don't worry be happy posting from a very-non expert was picked up and broadcast over the web 30,000 times in one day, while being misrepresented as coming from an MIT nuclear scientist. This guy had literally zero history of posting on the subject or credentials in the space, yet his first-time posting got promoted very energetically.

      --

      Remain calm! All is well!
    3. Re:astroturf in action by blair1q · · Score: 0

      Um, first, "meltdown" includes any melting of the fuel rods, and is bad mojo even if you subsequently cool them.

      Second, there are reports that containment has been breached in at least one of the reactors.

      Third, when the spent-fuel pools dried up and caught fire, that was just like the containment being breached, in terms of the radiation and radioactive stuff that gets into the outside world.

      Fourth, the hydrogen explosions so far blew building materials skyward; at the point where they happen the fuel isn't yet exposed to open air. (they were because of deliberate hydrogen venting from the core, which implied that the core was running overly hot and not just boiling the water but decomposing it (turning the fuel rods' zinc cladding into ZnO2 and releasing hydrogen)).

      So, the cores have melted, they have lost their water, containment has been breached, nuclear fires are burning, and it's all GE's fault, because, as you say, the beancounters seem to have ruled the design committee and chased the safety engineer away.

    4. Re:astroturf in action by maxume · · Score: 1

      Yeah? By calling it astroturf, you are saying that someone with an agenda spread it on purpose.

      30,000 internet people is nothing, it is a non-statistic, it is well explained by the article simply sounding credible and spreading around.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    5. Re:astroturf in action by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Coupled with the ongoing debacle with the plant in Japan, stories like this really make me wonder if I ever should have changed my position on nuclear power.

      A few years ago, my views on nuclear energy began to shift. Part of this was due to "self-education" on nuclear power, and finding out from many online sources that nuclear energy was "totally safe", and that the dangers were "overblown", and that the public was simply being irrational and hysterical.

      But over the last few days, watching the reactors in Fukushima explode one by one, seeing hundreds of thousands of residents forced to evacuate, and witnessing engineers from one of the most technological and disciplined countries in the world fail to simply keep something cool, I begin to wonder if my faith in the nuclear industry was misplaced all along. I'm beginning to think I was simply conned by a kind of passive nuclear industry PR campaign, and that nuclear energy is simply too dangerous to justify the benefits.

      Nuclear power has lost a lot of credibility with me over the last few days. Now, I'm not sure if I should ever have given it any.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    6. Re:astroturf in action by 0WaitState · · Score: 1

      I think we're mostly in agreement as far as what is happening on the ground at Fukushima. There are genuinely different degrees of meltdown, that somewhat map to the higher numbers of the 1-7 scale.

      What I am trying to address is the non-sensical prattle about how it can't/won't be as bad as Chernobyl because there's no graphite and the reactor didn't explode. Hydrogen explosions from oxidized zirconium (and oxidized uranium at the next "bad shit happens" temperature threshold) will work just fine to create a radioactive particle plume, that may be smaller or larger than Chernobyl's.

      People have this idea that if the molten reactor core isn't visibly red hot from above that "it's not a chernobyl" and therefore can be put out of mind. That's right, it's not a chernobyl. It's something different, it's not over yet, it is still a critical situation getting worse every day, and it could end up worse than chernobyl.

      --

      Remain calm! All is well!
    7. Re:astroturf in action by gtbritishskull · · Score: 1

      Not 30,000 views. He is claiming it was re-posted (or linked to) 30,000 times. I saw one of the links in a forum and read the article myself. I would imagine 30,000 links would equate to many more views (possibly a million or more?... I am just guessing).

    8. Re:astroturf in action by stjobe · · Score: 1

      it is still a critical situation getting worse every day, and it could end up worse than chernobyl.

      It's still a critical situation, but it's getting better by the hour. They now have power restored to reactor 2 and are working on the others. It is unlikely in the extreme that it'll end up anywhere near a Chernobyl.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    9. Re:astroturf in action by stjobe · · Score: 1

      simply keep something cool

      If you think keeping a reactor cool without all power lost is anything like "simple", you're an idiot.
      They got hit by a magnitude 9+ quake and a 30ft tsunami. Nothing is "simple" at that point.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    10. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      1) It's taken an 8.9 scale earthquake to start causing problems with these reactors

      2) They have not "exploded", there have been several explosions around the reactors.

      3) The local residents have been given many days warning of the problems. If anyone gets hurt it will be because they were not listening.

      4) "simply keep something cool" is a stupid thing to say. These are some very powerful materials reacting, the facilities are damaged and the rest of the country is in disarray. Just one of the three (earthquake, tsunami and nuclear reactors) problems would be a major undertaking for most countries, never mind all three at once.

      5) Did you not notice that more people were injured in the oil refinery inferno than the nuclear reactors so far? When it comes to safety the nuclear reactors are far safer than other forms of energy production. In the history of civilian nuclear reactors, Fukushima, should it melt down, will be the third meltdown. That's an incredible safety record. And to add to that, it will only be the second to actually cause radioactive material to leave the reactors and contaminate the surrounding area.

      For me, nuclear power has shown just how robust it is. You really have to kick the crap out of a reactor to make it fail and when it does you get a week to pack up your things and evacuate.

    11. Re:astroturf in action by Solandri · · Score: 3, Informative

      Bad Oehmen: Confirmation Bias, Sources & Astroturfing

      Describes the curious case of how a reassuring first time web post ("Why I am not worried about Japans nuclear reactors") from a guy working on a liason project at MIT in a non-nuclear engineering or physicist role somehow got reposted 30,000 times in one day.

      Indeed. Do you want another example of confirmation bias and astroturfing? Have you ever heard of Banqiao? It was a Chinese nuclear plant which in 1975 suffered a severe accident. The Chinese covered it up for 30 years and quietly admitted it to the world in 2005. So quietly that most people still haven't heard of it. The toll compared to Chernobyl is just staggering:

      26,000 immediate deaths (57 for Chernobyl)
      145,000 long-term deaths (4000 estimated cancer deaths for Chernobyl)
      11 million people relocated (336,000 people relocated for Chernobyl)
      Nearly 6 million homes and buildings made uninhabitable
      768 km^2 rendered uninhabitable (489 km^2 exclusion zone for Chernobyl)

      Horrific, isn't it? Worse than the atomic bombing of Hiroshima. Clearly proof that nuclear power is too dangerous to use, right?

      I'm sorry. I lied. Banqiao wasn't a nuclear plant. It was a hydroelectric dam . Everything else I said is true though. In 1975, during a typhoon and torrential rainfall, it filled to over capacity. After several attempts to lower its water level by opening sluice gates, the dam above it burst. The swell of water overwhelmed the Banqiao dam, and it too burst. 700 million tons of water were released, and it precipitated a cascade failure of dams beneath it. In all, 62 dams burst or were deliberately destroyed in attempts to divert water into flood plains, with a total of 15.7 billion tons of water released.

      26,000 people lost their lives in the flooding. Over 1 million people were left stranded by the waters, cut off from disaster relief, and had to have food and water airlifted to them for weeks. An estimated 145,000 of them (Chinese govt figures) died of the famine and disease caused by the disaster. Nearly 6 million buildings were destroyed, and 11 million people had to be relocated. When the dam was rebuilt, 768 km^2 was flooded to form the flood catchbasin.

      Horrific, isn't it? Worse than the atomic bombing of Hiroshima. Clearly proof that hydroelectric power is too dangerous to use, right?

      No? Why not? It's the exact same evidence. When it was presented against nuclear, you were probably in full agreement. But when told the truth and you find out that it's really evidence against hydro, your mind rejects it. Hydroelectric is more dangerous than nuclear? Can't be! Why not? Confirmation bias against nuclear power. You hear all those terrible things that happened, and when nuclear power is to blame, you accept it. But then you find out that hydro power is to blame, and your mind rejects it. You have an anti-nuclear bias. A double standard created by astroturfing propaganda from anti-nuclear activists.

      Let me address all the objections you're probably going to bring up. The same ones you dismissed when the pro-nuclear side brought them up with Chernobyl.

      But Banqiao was a clay dam. Western dams are typically concrete.
      Chernobyl was a dangerous and unstable reactor design never used in the West.

      It was Chinese. They had shoddy building and operating standards. (My apologies to the Chinese)
      Chernobyl was built and run by the Soviets with substandard construction and operating standards.

      Banqiao was one incident, in fact the only hydroelectric dam failure in history with a large number of deaths up to today.
      Chernobyl was one incident, in fact the only nuclear accident in history with a large number of deaths up to today.

      It was built in 1951. It was 25 year-old technolog

    12. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't there some coal field in the US that caught on fire many years ago and forced the evacuation of entire cities, and is still burning? Seems like it would be easy to pump some water in there and "keep it cool."

      Seems like I've misplaced my trust in the safety of coal.

    13. Re:astroturf in action by 0WaitState · · Score: 1, Troll

      Nice straw man and projection, dude (or dudette). But you're projecting a no-nuke agenda. What I do have is a no-regulatory-capture agenda. I have this quaint notion that regardless of industry if you deliberately shave your safety margins to the point of causing a BP Macondo or other disasters of that scale, you should go to jail for a significant portion of your life. Without the fear of jail these disasters will continue to happen, at least in the US. I imagine in China some folks got bulletized.

      The Fukushima meltdown didn't have to happen: Japan Nuclear Disaster Caps Decades of Faked Reports, Accidents. I've read other reports of non-functioning standby diesels in US-based boiling water reactors. Do you really think it's any better here or whereever you live?

      The current business as usual culture where you can gut safety margins in favor of profits, and collect and keep huge cash bonuses during the years that go by until the blowup happens, make nuclear power untenable. Nuclear energy accidents destroy land for centuries. By contrast even the gulf of mexico will mostly recover in my lifetime, though I won't be eating any food from the gulf for a decade.

      And yes, I cheerfully acknowlege that scary fusion reactor that's irradiating me multiple frequencies every day. I'll walk on the shady side of the street.

      --

      Remain calm! All is well!
    14. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A significant difference between a dam breaking and a nuke plant spewing isotopes:

      Days, weeks, or at worst, months after the dam has broken, one can return to a now-dry damaged location and begin rebuilding.

      Not so for the longer-lived isotopes that can contaminate and render areas uninhabitable for decades, or potentially even centuries.

      So yes, I agree with you that the dangers of immediate death and property damage from non-nuclear sources ARE significant.

      It's the long-afterwards aftermath more than a year later where nuclear power generation accidents remain a factor. (Get a little extra dose from a nuke plant accident? Perhaps you won't experience and direct effect for years, then you get cancer. Gotta love it!)

    15. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear scares people because radiation will damage them and cause death later -- maybe. They don't know how much they've been hit with, or whether an area is still dangerous. Hydroelectric dam disasters you can tell when it's safe, there isn't a wall of water coming at you.

      However, ask people how they feel about how dangerous smoking cigarettes is...

    16. Re:astroturf in action by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Your entire spiel on Banqiao is an elaborate straw man. China has been subject to catastrophic floods for millennia. It has a lot to do with geography, but basically China is flat as a pancake and its major rivers have enormous watersheds. The dam is only part of the problem.

      Meanwhile. devastating as the floods were, the waters receeded(Floods do not make regions uninhabitable). The dam was rebuilt and people's homes can also be rebuilt. Chernobyl on the other hand is a write off for up to 100 years. The Fukushima plant disaster now risks making a 30km radius semicircle of land uninhabitable for decades in one of the most densely populated countries in the world.

      Only nuclear power can inflict that kind of long term, irrecoverable damage in the event of an accident; Can and has, on more than one occasion.

      Would you build one of these plants within 30km of a major city like Tokyo, London or New York? Will you take the risk that the plant will operate smoothly and without incident for 100 years? Will you take the risk with 100-200 such plants near major cities worldwide? Are you prepared to write off one major metropolitan area every thirty years or so?

      I'm not.

      Nuclear energy lost its gloss for me after this incident. Nuclear engineers and particularly private companies cannot be relied upon to keep hot rods cool in an emergency. When the chips are down, they are too likely to fail, and the potential long term damage is simply too much to risk.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    17. Re:astroturf in action by HiThere · · Score: 1

      If they weren't still needing to spray water in from helicopters I might agree with you. And if we hadn't already been lied to several times. (Lie *may* be a bit harsh. It's quite possible the people speaking didn't know what was going on, but felt compelled to say something. But they certainly publicly misrepresented the situation.)

      As it is...I'm going to hope that things are getting better, but I'm not going to assume that they really are. Maybe they are. And maybe they're just trying to keep people from getting hysterical. And maybe they're trying to get their family members on flights out of the country before all the seats are booked. And from here we can't tell.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    18. Re:astroturf in action by cyclocommuter · · Score: 1

      I have karma to burn so here goes: I have lost my faith on many in the Slashdot/nerd community. I thought the brightest minds were mostly open minded and will re-factor their conclusions based on the facts presented to them, of which many can be found in this still developing story. What I find is that many actually keep repeating the same old mantras about nuclear power... much like fundamentalists.

    19. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you.

    20. Re:astroturf in action by hrvatska · · Score: 2

      You're thinking of Centralia, Pennsylvania. I drove through it in the early '90s. It was bizarre. The whole town was abandoned. Coal mining in the US used to be incredibly hazardous, now it's just very hazardous. It still causes terrible environmental dammage. And that's before the mined coal is transported and burned. I'd willingly trade the occasional nuclear crisis for the death by a thousand cuts that we're suffering from coal.

    21. Re:astroturf in action by fire5ign · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power has lost a lot of credibility with me over the last few days. Now, I'm not sure if I should ever have given it any.

      1960's technology doesn't have much credibility with me either. Hasn't since 1980.

    22. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Only nuclear, huh?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kingston_Fossil_Plant_coal_fly_ash_slurry_spill
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centralia,_Pennsylvania

      That's just off the top of my head. Oh yeah, I think there was some kind of oil disaster recently too, somewhere near Mexico, but I can't remember..

    23. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "No? Why not? It's the exact same evidence. When it was presented against nuclear, you were probably in full agreement. But when told the truth and you find out that it's really evidence against hydro, your mind rejects it. Hydroelectric is more dangerous than nuclear?"

      You make a good argument, and I'll add one more: I'll bet natural flooding in the relevant drainage basin used to kill a lot of people long before the hydroelectric dam was installed, and that the flood control (while it was properly operating) saved many lives. The same is true for many hydroelectric dams.

      I think your comparisons are useful to try to put things in perspective, but they aren't ideal because some aspects of the respective disasters aren't really comparable. For example "number of deaths" is an unbalanced way to compare hydroelectric power to nuclear because number of deaths isn't the only thing that matters to the evaluation. Water has *zero* effects on cancer rates, while increased exposure to radiation increases cancer, and could seriously easily impact the rest of your life without killing you. Radioactive contamination can persistently affect the people in the area for many years, whereas water simply drains away or evaporates in short time frames. The output of the hydroelectric power generation drains into the ocean or lakes. Heck, you can pour it on your agricultural fields or drink it if you want. The output of nuclear power, while small in volume or mass, is a big challenge to dispose of. Basically, if you flood an area with the worst imaginable disaster with water, you can rebuilt again as soon as practical, hopefully with some lessons learned. If you do the same with nuclear, you put up a fence around it and leave it alone for a century at least.

      Basically, I like some aspects of your comparison, but it is woefully incomplete in terms of what it considers.

    24. Re:astroturf in action by cartman · · Score: 2

      Only nuclear power can inflict that kind of long term, irrecoverable damage in the event of an accident;

      I don't know if you're a believer in Anthropogenic Global Warming or not. If you are, I should point out that coal-burning plants could make Florida, Louisiana, and most of the country of Bangladesh underwater for several hundred thousand years.

    25. Re:astroturf in action by Solandri · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Meanwhile. devastating as the floods were, the waters receeded(Floods do not make regions uninhabitable).

      Floods don't. Hydroelectric dams do. In fact, quite a few more people are relocated for dams than from Chernobyl.

      Would you build one of these plants within 30km of a major city like Tokyo, London or New York?

      No. But neither would I build a large hydroelectric dam upriver from them. Nor a coal plant upwind from them. All of these plants are very safe, but there's no sense taking that risk if there's lots of open space in a relatively uninhabited area where you can put the plant.

      Are you prepared to write off one major metropolitan area every thirty years or so?

      We already do far more than that. Coal plant emissions are estimated to kill about 1 million people each year worldwide. Yeah all those deaths are distributed around the world. But 30 million deaths every 30 years would easily exceeds a major metropolitan area.

      Your entire spiel on Banqiao is an elaborate straw man. China has been subject to catastrophic floods for millennia. It has a lot to do with geography, but basically China is flat as a pancake and its major rivers have enormous watersheds. The dam is only part of the problem.

      I wanted to address this last because you're introducing another variable (a good one) into the comparison. Mainly, the presence of the hydroelectric dams cannot be compared against a vacuum where nobody dies. If the dams were not there, those regions of China would experience more annual flooding. Sure, the Banqiao dam failure resulted in a huge number of deaths that fateful day, but we have to also take into account the number of lives saved by the presence of those dams in other years.

      The net effect could be that having the dam actually resulted in a net savings of life. If flooding normally caused 8000 deaths in the region per year, and the dams stopped that for 24 years, then it saved a total of 192,000 lives. 171,000 lives were lost when the Banqiao dam burst. So over those 24 years, there would've actually been a net benefit of 21,000 lives saved.

      But if you do that for hydro, you also have to do it for nuclear. You can't compare nuclear power to a vacuum where nobody dies. If nuclear power plants didn't exist, the need for the power they generate would still be there. Something else would have to provide that power. The most likely candidate is coal plants. Both are the constantly on type of power generation referred to as base load (oil, gas, and hydro plants are usually used to adjust for variability in demand, solar and wind provide a negligible contribution to power generation). So if our currently existing nuclear plants had never been built, we'd most likely be using coal plants in their place.

      Statistically, coal plants cause about 161 deaths per TWh of power generated. Worldwide, nuclear power generates about 2500 TWh per year. Its average fatality rate has bee 0.04 deaths per TWh. So if all our nuclear plants had never been built, and were coal plants instead, we'd be looking at (161-0.04)*2500 = 402,400 more deaths per year from the additional coal mining and pollution.

      In other words, if we analyze safety the way you're proposing, nuclear power saves 400,000 lives each year.

    26. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "it won't be as bad as Chernobyl" sounded convincing right up to the point where the fact that reactor number 3's fuel was changed in September to MOX fuel started being reported.

    27. Re:astroturf in action by stms · · Score: 0

      If it doesn't it will because we (the planet) threw everything we have at it.

      If it does it will because the planet threw everything it had at it.

    28. Re:astroturf in action by jbengt · · Score: 1

      They now have power restored to reactor 2 and are working on the others.

      As of 9:45 CST the spokesmen are correcting that and saying that they have not connected power at reactor 2 yet. I have not heard any claims that they have worked to connect power anywhere else at the site.
      The power company is also reporting that the radiation is currently at it's peak (so far) at the site - 20 millisieverts / hr [as I am hearing on CNN now]

    29. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's only supposed to tell you something about yourself in a way that you might listen to it. All analogies are wrong and all they can ever do is give you a new way to look at something. An analogy can never force you to think in a particular way about anything because they are all flawed so not listening to an analogy is no harder than pointing out its flaws. For that reason an analogy is at its core never really a real argument - it is always just an offer of a different way to look at things. E.g. right now you are going with the argument that land is more important than lives and therefore Chernobyl is more significant in some sense than this dam event. You probably would not go with that argument unless you felt you had to to reject the analogy. It probably doesn't sit so well with you. However, at that point it's just a logic puzzle of finding another way in which water is nice and uranium is bad. For example you might say that increased use of nuclear power inherently leads to proliferation of nuclear weapons, while more dams don't do such a thing - none of us could tell you that you are wrong. You would be right to say that. The analogy is flawed, as all analogies are. However, the real thing to consider is, maybe the point of the analogy is just right even if the analogy itself is flawed? Or maybe it's not right - many analogies are pointless and stupid. It's just that the point of an analogy is to make you take that thought into yourself and seeing what comes out the other end. Maybe you did that, maybe you didn't.

    30. Re:astroturf in action by buzzn · · Score: 1

      Dear Sir or Madam, I am afraid you are tilting at windmills and to some extent burying your head in the sand. A dam failure half a world away away from me does not have a significant probability of harming me or the ecosystem I depend upon. A major radioactive release half a world away from me does. At this point it is possible, though hopefully improbable, that I will be required to leave my home at some point in the future, even though I live thousands of miles away (you may dispute the chance of this, but the news remains ominous and certainties are hard to come by). All of this because of poor decisions made by corporate bureaucrats from a completely different country (over which my fellow citizens have absolutely no influence through voting) a couple decades ago. Perhaps you can see why I am extremely concerned. Holding the world to a standard set by a totalitarian government cutting enormous corners without benefit of oversight or design standards, in comparison with one of the most technologically and knowledgeable advanced countries and corporations supposedly under extremely strict regulations, is completely unfair. Obviously a bunch of idiots will harm far more people than those who make at least a civilized attempt at preventing catastrophe. The question is simply, did those in charge take adequate precautions, and what lasting effects will the lack of planning will have now and in future generations. Let us place the blame squarely for both items in question upon the source: insufficient engineering on points of failure whose catastrophic degradations outside of design parameters due to unforeseen natural disasters caused enormous unforeseen consequences. Let us also recognize that the effects of these have spheres of influence. The dam failure killed a lot of people and nobody will argue that. However, a level 7 nuclear catastrophe will have international effects that far exceed local and natural ones for perhaps hundreds of years. You may deplore those responsible for the massive dam failure, and I concur, and we can debate who should be held accountable, although that is pretty clear. This should not in any way diminish your admonition of those responsible for today's failures by people who supposedly have superior know how, and due to a democratic government as well as historical situational fact, the serious *obligation* to not completely cock it up while involving extremely dangerous and incredibly toxic nuclear materials that have multiple generational consequences. And if the worst were to happen, say, right next to the Pacific Ocean, what exactly would those extremely long term effects be.... we just don't know yet, and I sincerely hope we both agree those will not come to pass.

      --
      Join the window installer's union, where prosperity is a brick throw away!
    31. Re:astroturf in action by buzzn · · Score: 1

      > Its average fatality rate has bee 0.04 deaths per TWh. Please elaborate with facts. Unless otherwise proven, I would tend to assume that you are using statistics for the operational cycle of a reactor. This probably does not include the extensive amount of fossil fuel used to excavate and process nuclear fuel, build the actual plants, nor to deal with the resulting waste. It also does not account for what happens when the current set of extremely old 35 year+ reactors need to be shut down permanently.

      --
      Join the window installer's union, where prosperity is a brick throw away!
    32. Re:astroturf in action by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      It's taken an 8.9 scale earthquake to start causing problems with these reactors

      This argument is a fallacy, in 2002 the David-Besse reactor passed inches away of a loss of coolant accident with impossibility to insert the control rods from a single leak. Isn't this the very definition of a single point of failure? That's the very first example I looked at, there are near misses all the time, in the nuclear industry like in any other. However people seem to like avoiding to envision "what would have happened if..." and above all making the results public.

      The local residents have been given many days warning of the problems. If anyone gets hurt it will be because they were not listening.

      The residents have been told there's nothing to fear for a simple reason: in case of a major radiation leak there is nothing to do anyway, it's impossible to evacuate a whole country. So the guys can only do their best and hope for the best.

      Did you not notice that more people were injured in the oil refinery inferno than the nuclear reactors so far?

      That's a totally fallacious and ludicrous argument that is unfortunately parroted all the time. First this only points to how sloppily the oil and coal industries are (cf BP oil spill), not how safe nuclear is. But above all this is akin to driving at 100mph and saying "I haven't had any major accident yet, see how safe my driving is?" Except the guy is not a motorist, he's a school bus driver with one million kids in his bus.

    33. Re:astroturf in action by geschild · · Score: 1

      In other words, because land becomes uninhabitable, a nuclear disaster is worse than a hydro-dam failure? Do you understand that for comparable loss of life to that dam failing in China, there would have to be 40 chernobyl style accidents? As to your comments on Chinese geography being responsible instead of human failure, perhaps this example will make you think again: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vajont_Dam

      Besides, the area of habitable land made inhabitable by hydro dams /while in operation/ is quite probably a lot larger than the area made uninhabitable by nuclear accidents. I can't find a good comparison, though.

      Chernobyl was an older, less safe style reactor that was badly designed, built and operated than those in Japan.

      A modern style reactor would not suffer from cooling failure and a pebblebed reactor would even go on without any consequences if all people would suddenly disappear from the face of the planet. (Hmmm. Not the best example as there would be no humans to 'inconvenience' with relocation anyway :)

      The amount of lives lost, financial and other consequences, over the lifetime of this way of energy production are all well below those for other types of energy production. This is just like a large aircraft accident: the sheer number of casualties makes people /feel/ unsafe but airtravel is still a very safe if you look at the bigger picture. The shortcomings you mention are all addressable.

      In other words: if this accident makes you feel 'Nuclear energy lost its gloss' then I wonder how you would feel if you informed yourself properly of the consequences of the alternatives. To me, nuclear energy has proven itself beyond a shadow of a doubt in the Japan disaster and I think we should use nuclear energy more, not less, because of this.

      --
      Karma? What's that again?
    34. Re:astroturf in action by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 1

      It's not clear from your comment, but what mantras do you find many repeating? Those opposing or supporting nuclear power, or both kinds?

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    35. Re:astroturf in action by lingon · · Score: 1

      It's taken an 8.9 scale earthquake to start causing problems with these reactors

      This argument is a fallacy, in 2002 the David-Besse reactor passed inches away of a loss of coolant accident with impossibility to insert the control rods from a single leak.[..]

      No that argument is *not* a fallacy. If you want to include near misses, you have to do that for all other forms of comparable energy generation as well. How many near misses are there per year for oil power plants? Oil refineries? Coal mines? I'll bet there's just as many there.

      The local residents have been given many days warning of the problems. If anyone gets hurt it will be because they were not listening.

      The residents have been told there's nothing to fear for a simple reason: in case of a major radiation leak there is nothing to do anyway, it's impossible to evacuate a whole country. So the guys can only do their best and hope for the best.

      No, that's not true either. All within a radius of 20 km have been evacuated already. The zone of alienation around Chernobyl is 30 kilometres, and that's around the worst nuclear disaster we've ever had.

      Did you not notice that more people were injured in the oil refinery inferno than the nuclear reactors so far?

      That's a totally fallacious and ludicrous argument that is unfortunately parroted all the time. First this only points to how sloppily the oil and coal industries are (cf BP oil spill), not how safe nuclear is. But above all this is akin to driving at 100mph and saying "I haven't had any major accident yet, see how safe my driving is?" Except the guy is not a motorist, he's a school bus driver with one million kids in his bus.

      No, it's not, it's a fair and square argument. However, as to your point, we can establish that more people die every year from coal pollution than what's died in all nuclear power plant accidents combined since we started using it. Of course, nothing is 100% safe all the time, but if you want to discuss safety, nuclear power is the safest alternative we have for baseload power generation. That's not to say this accident is really, really bad and people will probably die.

    36. Re:astroturf in action by lingon · · Score: 1

      The Fukushima meltdown didn't have to happen: Japan Nuclear Disaster Caps Decades of Faked Reports, Accidents. I've read other reports of non-functioning standby diesels in US-based boiling water reactors. Do you really think it's any better here or whereever you live?

      While I agree with the point of your post, I must point out that in the Fukushima case the standby diesels *did* work. It was just that they weren't really compatible with a 10 metre tsunami. However, up to the point of getting swallowed by it, they worked fine on all reactors.

    37. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The figure of 0.04 deaths per TWh is based on the total number of deaths from nuclear power generation being 4000 people, all from Chernobyl. It is hard to believe that figure when a town of 50000 people, Pripryat was not evacuated until 36 hours after the explosions at the plant and a radioactive graphite fire burned for two weeks, sending radioactive particles up to 30000 feet and all over Russia, the Ukraine and Belarus. Between 1986 and 1992 hundreds of thousands of workers worked in the Chernobyl exclusion zone to clean up the mess. The figure of 4000 deaths was provided by the IAEA who seek to accelerate and promote the use of nuclear power, and the WHO. The figure is a source of debate and controversy to this day.

    38. Re:astroturf in action by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      As has been stated almost but apparently not quite to death already, these reactors are not the "safe" kind that we know how to build. The unsuitability was known ahead of time and covered up for the purpose of profit.

      Capitalism has lost a lot of credibility with me over the last few days. Now, I'm not sure if I should ever have given it any.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    39. Re:astroturf in action by olau · · Score: 1

      That's what I've been saying all along. And if you compare the power technologies that way [nextbigfuture.com], no bias, no subjective measures, just objective data making a best effort to tally all deaths caused vs. power generated,

      Did you actually bother reading some of the comments on your link there? Best effort, maybe, objective data, hardly. :)

    40. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You didn't take into account the energy provided by hydro-electric power. I admit to know very little about hydro-electric, but I do remember that the only such power station I visited, Itaipu, always work on at least 75% of the maximum power, and the variation is seasonal. I see no reason why can't it be the majority of the base load, as it seems to be there (brazil has over 70% of it's electrical power produced in hydro-electric stations). Of course, not every place can use hydro-electric, Japan probably can't do much with it, but you should add to estimates of lives saved by hydro electric those saved by the reduction of coal burning.

    41. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just do what everyone else does. When it's approaching its age limit (50 years?), bulldoze it and build a new one in its place. Then it won't explode and irradiate half your city.

      Also, pausing just before it explodes gives you enough time to bulldoze it, so it's not like there's any rush.

    42. Re:astroturf in action by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      If you want to include near misses, you have to do that for all other forms of comparable energy generation as well. How many near misses are there per year for oil power plants? Oil refineries? Coal mines? I'll bet there's just as many there.

      Of course you need to if you want to assess the true risk associated with any process. Not doing so is totally ludicrous. This is akin to assessing the danger of land mines by the number of deaths, and since land mine mostly don't kill people but only maim them, concluding that they are safe. This is a preposterous way for nuclear islamists to hide the real problem, which is that nuclear energy can (and thus eventually will) lead to disastrous accidents, on a scale simply impossible with any other industrial process.

      All within a radius of 20 km have been evacuated already

      You obviously have not a clue of the disaster we brushed these last few days.

      More people die every year from coal pollution than what's died in all nuclear power plant accidents combined since we started using it.

      Your logic is preposterous. What you say only shows that

      • o Coal energy is handled in a sloppy way, as I said before;
      • o You don't know the true scale of the consequences of Chernobyl, and have bought the figures put forward by the IAEA, which it admitted later were lies.
      • o We haven't had the "big one" yet.

      However rest assured that we eventually will thanks to the furious blindness of the countless luddites of your kind.

      No, it's not, it's a fair and square argument

      Yes it is a fallacity due to the "so far" condition. We know the true risk associated with oil for instance, we have had now thanks to BP almost all the possible disasters that can happen, and we know that if we keep on with oil as we do we'll have this or that many leaks and spills per year, with this or that amount spilled in the environment and these and that consequences on the biosphere. We now the "true" risk with oil, let's say with Deepwater Horizon we won the jackpot.

      With nuclear we haven't won the jackpot yet, far from it. Put yourself the day after the real disaster at Fukushima, i.e., the true worst case scenario that we missed by an inch, by sheer luck: a major radiation leak forces everybody off the site, for good. The reactors must be abandoned. All cores go to full meltdown and the thousands of tons of spent fuel rods burn off. Now please try to estimate the consequences and reassess the true risk of nuclear, not a feel-good fallacy.

    43. Re:astroturf in action by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Consider how many people have been killed by nuclear weapons fot the last 50 years or so. Zero. And how many people have been killed by conventional weapons, knives and stuff? Yeah.

      Nuclear threat is bullshit.

  8. MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by ahodgkinson · · Score: 3, Informative

    The MIT Department of Nuclear Engineering has a web site, updated regularly, which acts as a hub for information about the nuclear crisis, including helpful background information.

    See it at: http://mitnse.com/

    --
    ---- It won't be as bad as you fear or as good as you hope, but it will take twice as long as you plan.
    1. Re:MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by snspdaarf · · Score: 1

      Your sig is stunningly appropriate to this thread.

      --
      Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
    2. Re:MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Oh, you mean this reputable site?

      "Because mitnse.com was registered yesterday, through wordpress.com. That was a Sunday, right? And while the contact information says it’s for MIT, the admin contact is given for an independent contracter, with the contractor’s phone number. The contractor is a graphic designer who has done prior work for the department. (here’s his site: http://www.subbiahdesign.com/web/index.html

      There are only a couple of links from the department site – added well after normal working hours on Monday night.

      Before “mitnse” killed the comment and rss functions on this wordpress.com site, you could see that rss feed said the site was “maintained by students” in the NSE department. No such students have identified themselves. And while the originally, highly erroneous post has been redacted, the editors have not seen fit to identify themselves.

      So – “students” on the site, “experts” in the announcement of it."
      http://geniusnow.com/2011/03/15/the-strange-case-of-josef-oehmen/

    3. Re:MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The MITSNE.com site appears to be malware.

    4. Re:MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a wordpress site, and wouldn't MIT use a .edu address? nse.mit.edu, I'd believe. This, I don't.

    5. Re:MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by fridaynightsmoke · · Score: 1

      The site at http://mitnse.com/ is directly linked from MIT at http://web.mit.edu/nse/newsandmedia/news.html .

      --
      This is a substitute for a clever sig that fits within the maximum number of characters.
    6. Re:MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bullshit. If it is malware then the bad guys have also hacked http://www.mit.edu/nse to reference their site. Apparently the MIT nuclear science and engineering dept put up a parallel blog site (mitnse.com) to take the web load.

      Your FUD attempt is a bit off, the site is mitnse.com, not the way you spelled it.

    7. Re:MIT Nuclear Engineering Department's assessment by MonsterTrimble · · Score: 1

      I thought the sig was insightful regardless. Great quote.

      --
      I call it 'The Aristocrats'
  9. Tsumami is delicious. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That tsumami taste is extra savory. (typo in title)

  10. Not running amok by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Welcome to media hype and the anti-nuclear nuts run amok.

    They are not running amok so much as running away from the industry shills and misguided nuclear enthusiasts, who, when each new batch of egg hits their face, remind us that raw egg can be very good for the skin.

    1. Re:Not running amok by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      Nothing wrong with nuclear power if its done correctly. I seem to remember liquid sodium cooled reactors that are safer than any of the water reactors, yet you anti-nuclear people wont allow these safe reactors to be built to replace the less safe water reactors. Good work, you basically made a self fulfilling prophecy.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    2. Re:Not running amok by maxume · · Score: 1

      That's overstating it a little bit, the cost of constructing the Fukushima reactors has already been paid, it is very unlikely that construction of a bunch of molten sodium reactors would have resulted in the shutting of these reactors.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Not running amok by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      Still, if we had safer reactors it would over time phase out less safe ones. Keep in mind you probably would get higher energy yields from modern reactors per input, especially since newer breeder reactors can recycle spent fuel.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
  11. Auto shutdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What I would like to know is if they could have prevented any of these problems by not shutting down all the plants right away.. What kind of problems would have resulted if a few of the reactors were left Online?

    1. Re:Auto shutdown by atrain728 · · Score: 1

      I am not a nuclear scientist, but it would seem possible to me that given the amount of excess energy currently being dealt with at these reactors, they could have stopped the primary reaction (as they did) and continued to generate electricity to power the cooling systems. If the continuing radioactive decay is energetic enough to bring the core up beyond 3000C (the melting temperature of the fuel), couldn't it run the generators sufficiently to run the cooling system?

      I'm sure there is a limitation here, but I'm not really certain as to what...

    2. Re:Auto shutdown by stjobe · · Score: 1

      If the reactor is running and the cooling fails Bad Things occur. Remember, after the scram the secondary reactions produce about 1% of the heat/energy of the main reaction before scram. What they're struggling with now is a hundred times less than what they'd be facing if the reactors had been online.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
  12. Not sure what their priorities are. by blair1q · · Score: 2

    It's taken them nearly a week to get a police truck with a water cannon there (and it didn't work).

    Why the fuck wasn't there a way to fly in a pumper truck, a generator, a long hose, and a ladder, to flood that building on Saturday or Sunday?

    Are they so married to their procedures that they have no clue at all when thinking outside the box will save their asses? Do they have no foresight to try something preventive instead of waiting for the same sequence of disastrous results to occur in every reactor building?

    1. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Why the fuck wasn't there a way to fly in a pumper truck, a generator, a long hose, and a ladder, to flood that building on Saturday or Sunday?

      You go ahead and run it.... The problem is that closeup you're dealing with enough radiation to kill a human in minutes. Even if you were brave enough to drive the truck there, you might not survive long enough to get out, pick up the large, heavy hose, hurk it up several flights of non existent stairs, bolt it down and turn it on. I'm a bit surprised that we don't see any robotics at least trying to get close. Possibly the thermal and radiation environment precludes anything not specifically designed for this sort of behavior.

      I'll bet we see some next time.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by 0WaitState · · Score: 1

      Maybe they were distracted cause of 10,000+ people killed, 300,000+ homeless in freezing temps, no power anywhere, fires burning, streets blocked 5 miles inland, yadayadayada.

      BTW, onsite radiation is measured in the 100s of millisieverts/hr. You want to by the guy manning that hose? Also, the volume of water put out by a high pressure firehose compared with what is needed to cool 3 reactors and refill 4 reactors' spent fuel ponds is kind of like trying to fill your backyard swimming pool by pissing in it. Drink lots of beer.

      --

      Remain calm! All is well!
    3. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Priorities tend to get changed when your infrastructure is swept away by a 30ft tsunami. How are you supposed to get huge trucks and generators out to this nuclear plant when literally every road has either been swept away, buried by huge debris, or at the bottom of the pacific? Their only operations have been conducted with helicopters, which are currently being stretched beyond means with all the destruction they need to tend to.

    4. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Beelzebud · · Score: 2

      If only they could have used your giant head to block the tsunami that wiped out a large part of their nation..

    5. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by stjobe · · Score: 1

      In case you've missed it, the area was hit by the largest earthquake in recent history and a 30ft tsunami.
      It might not be as easy as going to the corner shop to get that equipment in there with all the surrounding land in ruins and 11.000 people dead or missing.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    6. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      Im definitely surprised there are no robots bringing hoses over to the core. It seems like it wouldn't take this long to make a wheeled robot capable of handling a hose travel to the reactor. Sure, it would be a long-ass hose, but I see no reason its not possible given enough pumps at the far end and enough couples to screw fire hoses together.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    7. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by compro01 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Fly it in using what exactly? A pumper truck weighs in at 20+ tonnes. There's no helicopter that will lift that much. Not the Tarhe (9T), not the Chinook (12.7T), not even the Super Stallion (14.5T).

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    8. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      So make a fleet of hose-wielding wheeled robots, attach them to pumps that can pump seawater, station the pumps 12 miles away from the reactors at the coast, and ask the world governments for every fire hose and fire hose coupler they can find. Im sure if you get 20 or so robots you could at least deal with the worst problem first, then try the same thing or re-evaluate the strategy with the other problems as you get the radiation down to tolerable levels where humans can work.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    9. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by stjobe · · Score: 4, Interesting

      They tried it at Chernobyl, the radioactivity fries the electronics very fast, making it impractical at best and impossible at worst to use robots.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    10. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by stjobe · · Score: 2

      Contrary to popular science fiction, electronics and radiation don't mix well.
      The robots they tried to use at Chernobyl stopped working almost immediately.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    11. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Until things started exploding the radiation levels outside the core were not much higher than normal for the plant.

    12. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your comment is so stupid it belongs on youtube. Let me guess, you watch lots of gundam.

    13. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      That sort of surprises me since I thought a nuclear detonation was the only thing that causes this problem with EMP. Anyway, there are radiation hardened computer chips but I am not sure how long that would take to manufacture. Also, you could build a Faraday cage and lead shielding around the control electronics and control the robot from a cable.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    14. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by maxume · · Score: 1

      That was 25 years ago. I suppose many of the advances in electronics have made them less robust, but it does seem like the sort of problem someone would be working on.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    15. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by blair1q · · Score: 1

      The radation didn't spike up until things got out of control.

      Each of those buckets they're now dumping on the plant holds about 7.5 tons, or about 1200 gallons.

      A pumper truck can pump about 1000 gallons per minute.

      Pumper truck >> helicopter bucket.

      Pumper truck 24 hours after emergency that prevents explosions and meltdowns >>>>>>> helicopter bucket 5 days later that just makes the catastrophe damp...

    16. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by JeffAtl · · Score: 1

      Why wasn't the BP leak in the Gulf plugged in 3 days?

    17. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by alextheseal · · Score: 1

      Drop the hose from the helicopter. Weight the end with a ton of iron ahead of time.

    18. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      The advances in electronics in the last 25 years have been to further miniaturize the electronic circuits. And the smaller stuff gets, the more vulnerable it is to radiation.

      The laws of physics haven't been revoked, nor have new phenomena been discovered that changes anything.

    19. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait a minute! Supposing two Chinooks carried it together using a strand of creeper ?

    20. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by stjobe · · Score: 1

      I thought a nuclear detonation was the only thing that causes this problem with EMP.

      It's not an EMP that's killing the electronics, it's all the ionizing radiation:

      A single charged particle can knock thousands of electrons loose, causing electronic noise and signal spikes. In the case of digital circuits, this can cause results which are inaccurate or unintelligible.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    21. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by jimmyswimmy · · Score: 1

      It's not EMP. It's high energy particles affecting the operation of the ICs inside an electronics box. You get soft errors like what happens when you are probing a chip with the lights on. Or you can get permanent damage from particles stressing the lattice, and there's no Faraday cage that can shield a robot from gammas or neutrons. It's tough to build a complicated system (with numerous chips) which is rad hard.

      Modern digital ICs with very small feature sizes are highly susceptible to this damage, so you're talking about older technology. I've heard of paralleling functions (computers, reset circuits, etc.) up and making them vote on each decision, which might be why they did that on the moon missions.

      See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rad-hard for more info.

      --

      Just my $0.55 (US inflation, 1774-2008, for $0.02)
    22. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      African or European Chinooks?

    23. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by LetterRip · · Score: 1

      [quote]Contrary to popular science fiction, electronics and radiation don't mix well.
      The robots they tried to use at Chernobyl stopped working almost immediately.[/quote]

      Electronics can be hardened to 10,000 krad tolerance and you can use boron and lead shielding. Robotics have been sucessfully used to explore inside the Chernobyl sarcophagus. We have the technological capabilities to do the required hardware.

    24. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by ian_from_brisbane · · Score: 1

      Fly it in using what exactly? A pumper truck weighs in at 20+ tonnes. There's no helicopter that will lift that much. Not the Tarhe (9T), not the Chinook (12.7T), not even the Super Stallion (14.5T).

      Does this count as a helicopter: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mil_Mi-12 (40 tonne lift).

    25. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by HiThere · · Score: 1

      There's electronics and electronics. If nothing else, they could use vacuum tubes...which don't get fried by radiation.

      OTOH, I seem to recall that there are also gAs electronics that are pretty hard against radiation. The probable answer is "Nobody has already designed robots or telefactors to operate in that kind of environment. And custom designs take a long time." (At current state of the art I think that telefactors are better than actual robots, but the idea is pretty much the same.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    26. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by HiThere · · Score: 2

      It's not the EMP. Hard radiation destroys semiconductors built from silicon. Possibly even those built from gallium-arsenide. You might need to go back to vacuum tubes.

      EMP is hard on magnetics, which radiation isn't, particularly. (At least it didn't used to be. By now the domains might be small enough that those are damaged, also.) Chips, however, are damaged by hard radiation. They ruin the charge distribution, cut small traces, change the ionization levels, etc. Also even interfere with the doping. The smaller and the faster the chip, the more sensitive it is to this kind of damage. Gallium-arsenide is harder to damage, and there may be another family that's even more rugged. But if you really want rugged, you need to go back to vacuum tubes.

      A Faraday cage wouldn't do anything except prevent the control signals from getting to the device. Not what you want. Lead shielding has more going for it, as it would keep out the radiation...but also the radio control. So you'd need something that could operate without a remote controller. And without eyes, either. Those are also sensitive to radiation. Sound and touch could be managed. (I think this is beyond the state of the art even in an intact laboratory, much less in a badly damaged construction site, when there have been multiple explosions showering strangely shaped pieces of concrete around, and where the pre-existing maps no longer tell you where there is safe footing.

      Now controlling from a cable...that's not impossible. Of course you're standing a safe distance away, and you can't see the environment your device is trying to move through. And even if the stairs were intact, it's probably heavier than their designed load limit. ... well...perhaps not.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    27. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      take off heavy parts till a copter can lift it. add a day to put it back together

    28. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by compro01 · · Score: 1

      It doesn't count as there are no flyable examples available. The two constructed examples are museum pieces.

      Though I must've missed this one. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mil_Mi-26

      Though since Japan doesn't have any of those, someone would need to lend them one.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    29. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      What about analog computers?

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    30. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why using fly ? You can use boat. After all this happen because of the sea,

    31. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by spongman · · Score: 1

      The robots they tried to use at Chernobyl stopped working almost immediately

      yeah, and then they sent in 1,000 red-army soldiers who bravely carried(!), shoveled and threw parts of the exploded core back into the reactor. with makeshift protection.

    32. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The trick is to start flooding the reactor before it's too late. You remember the first couple of days of news, when there was no dramatic increase of the radiation? But then we run into the ultimate flaw of nuclear power generation: The lack of someone with 1) the authority to destroy the reactor with salt water to save the surrounding environment and 2) the guts to actually do it and face his superiors afterwards. You tell me how to implement that in the organization, and you just may have found a critical piece of the puzzle of how to run these plants safely.

    33. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fly it in using what exactly? A pumper truck weighs in at 20+ tonnes. There's no helicopter that will lift that much. Not the Tarhe (9T), not the Chinook (12.7T), not even the Super Stallion (14.5T).

      Actually a Mil Mi-26 can lift 22 ton. So there is a helicopter that can do it, It's Russian and it's bad ass. Google it lifting a little Chinook. Maybe the Russians should build a sell a helicopter with high pressure pumping system for cooling runaway nuclear reactors.

    34. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      zeppelins could though, in theory. Right?

      AC

    35. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > There's no helicopter that will lift that much.

      Well, except a Mil Mi-26. Handy that you omitted that one, since it has a slung payload of... 20 tonnes.

      For example when employed on fire-fighting missions it slings a VSU-15 bucket containing 18,000 litres of water.

    36. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you don't need a truck, just a pump. or ten pumps, if one is still to heavy. they did ... pretty much nothing.

    37. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      I still think that you can make a shielded control box, put it inside a truck or a boat, away from the radioactivity source, and control a robot in there by wires or low bandwith radio. On this specific case you'd need a camera, that is a problem, but you can make a camera that works for a few hours there just by shielding it in lots of glass. Make it low resolution, and send the signals back by cable instead of processing localy.

      Bipolar transistos didn't vanish from the Earth's surface. There aren't of the shelf components you can plug toghether now, for this accident, but it would be a nice and not-that-expensive addition for dealing with the next one.

    38. Re:Not sure what their priorities are. by spongman · · Score: 1

      here's the video

  13. New inlets, loss of sand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The most impressive thing to me is the creation of new inlets, and the loss of sand. I wonder how long (if ever) before the sand bars will reform.

    BTW, they landed a plane at Sendai Airport. I imagine it will be a long time before normal operations are established there though. AFAIK, those military transports can take off and land on anything that's flat and not too muddy.

  14. Evac by jhoegl · · Score: 2

    I was online this morning with a few people from Japan.
    I found out that American schooled people are being evacuated, and that all of the "Military kids" of the higher echelons have already been moved out of the area.
    Of course, these could just be rumors, but one guy was pretty convinced he was being evacuated today.

  15. march 9 ... 12011 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    10.000 years after the accident, Fukushima habitable again ?

    1. Re:march 9 ... 12011 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's probably 100,000 years and more land, but what is the rent on 500 square miles of land for 10,000 years?

  16. Spent fuel stored on site? by d3xt3r · · Score: 4, Insightful

    A lot of comments here seem to focus on what could have been done differently. Obviously, hindsight is 20/20. That being said, I have a question that I haven't seen asked or answered yet. Why are the spent fuel rods stored in the same buildings as the reactors?

    In the event of losing power, not only do the active rods need to be dealt with, but the spent rods have to be monitored and maintained in the same facility. Wouldn't transporting the spent rods to a less densely populated area that was specifically designed to handle their storage make more sense? It seems that the problems right now getting the reactors under control is being hampered by the severe risks of those containment pools for the spent rods draining.

    1. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      As far as I know, transporting spent fuel rods is hazardous and therefore very expensive. They therefore make things cheaper by storing them on-site.

    2. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by gr8_phk · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The spent rods are only "spent" in the sense that they are not useful for producing large amounts of electricity. They are still very radioactive and still generating a lot of heat. So they leave then in the pools for a few years with active cooling until they are easier and safer to transport to whatever processing place they go to. You question still seem valid though since one would presume a "fresh" rod would be even hotter. Or are they not hot until subjected to neutrons in large quantity? What's the mechanism there if they don't start out super hot?

    3. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by denis-The-menace · · Score: 2

      Why not reprocess them so that they can be reused.
      Oh ya, I forgot. That got banned
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_reprocessing#History

      F'n genius!

      --
      Obama's legacy: (N)othing (S)ecure (A)nywhere and (T)error (S)imulation (A)dministration
    4. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by stjobe · · Score: 2

      A lot of comments here seem to focus on what could have been done differently. Obviously, hindsight is 20/20. That being said, I have a question that I haven't seen asked or answered yet. Why are the spent fuel rods stored in the same buildings as the reactors?

      Because that's where you have the safety measures already installed to store nuclear fuel and waste.

      In the event of losing power, not only do the active rods need to be dealt with, but the spent rods have to be monitored and maintained in the same facility.

      Short of being hit by a magnitude 9+ earthquake followed by a 30ft tsunami, power shouldn't go out.

      Wouldn't transporting the spent rods to a less densely populated area that was specifically designed to handle their storage make more sense? It seems that the problems right now getting the reactors under control is being hampered by the severe risks of those containment pools for the spent rods draining.

      The reactor facility was designed to withstand a magnitude 8.4 earthquake. There exists areas specifically designed to handle storage of spent fuel rods within the facility. In short, the spent fuel rods are already in the safest place they can be.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    5. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't answer your question, but I do think this is a fairly common practice.

    6. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      These things still put out a lot heat and radiation. It's not easy to move them around.

      I think they sit in the reactor facility (with it's shielding) for a while until they are cool enough to haul away. But that would take several months at the least.

      Also, IIRC 4-6 were down for scheduled maintaince. Those rods may not be completely spent, just temp removed for the maintaince then planned to be put back in later.

    7. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by maxume · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Fukushima 1 reactor 3 was running on fuel that was reprocessed in France.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    8. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Only 40% of the fuel rods are stored locally in each reactor (so, 6% on each?) I get the impression that it's a temporary holding area. Reactors 4,5 and 6 were offline for maintenance, and reactor 4 (the first to have fuel pool problems) is listed on wikipedia as defueled, so it probably had extra rods on its holding pool while it was being defueled/refueled.

      Fun wikipedia fact. Three Mile Island #2 received its operation license on February 1978. Chernobyl #4, in the 80s. Fukushima Daiichi 1,2,3 and 4 first turned on on 1970, 1973, 1974 and January 1978.

      Yes, these reactors are older than both TMI's and Chernobyl's. Make of that what you will.

    9. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by pak9rabid · · Score: 3, Informative
      From the same article you linked to:

      President Reagan lifted the ban in 1981, but did not provide the substantial subsidy that would have been necessary to start up commercial reprocessing.

    10. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A lot of comments here seem to focus on what could have been done differently. Obviously, hindsight is 20/20. That being said, I have a question that I haven't seen asked or answered yet. Why are the spent fuel rods stored in the same buildings as the reactors?

      Ah, you see here is the problem, you must now actually transport those rods somewhere, safely, avoiding all of those scary terrorists along the way trying to steal your fancy nuclear materials. This is one of the reasons that storage is such a big deal, finding a place to put all of the spent fuel is one thing, finding a way to get the spent material there is something else. No one wants a rail car with tons of radioactive material rolling through their town. And we sure don't want the terrorists to have a chance to snag it.

    11. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by jsternbe · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of intermediate isotopes from the main uranium fission reaction in the spent fuel rods and although the main reaction can not take place because the storage geometry they still produce heat from those secondary reactions. That heat is a small fraction of that from the main reaction that runs a nuclear power plant, but it still must be carried away somehow or the spent fuel rods can get extremely hot. They are put into a large amount of water in a system which has a heat exchanger for several years until these secondary reactions have become so weak that there is no risk of damaging them anymore. They are then sent to dry storage. The problem with transporting them off-site at the beginning is that you *must* have a large amount of water covering them both to dissipate heat and to block radiation. Its very difficult to transport them when they need to be in so much water during the entire transportation process. As a result they are usually stored on site. I think the reason why they are on the roof of the Fukushima Daiichi reactors is because they can then lift the spent fuel rods with a crane on the roof and move them directly to storage very quickly without the risks involved in transporting them to a location somewhere else across the plant.

    12. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by smellsofbikes · · Score: 2

      A lot of comments here seem to focus on what could have been done differently. Obviously, hindsight is 20/20. That being said, I have a question that I haven't seen asked or answered yet. Why are the spent fuel rods stored in the same buildings as the reactors?

      In the event of losing power, not only do the active rods need to be dealt with, but the spent rods have to be monitored and maintained in the same facility. Wouldn't transporting the spent rods to a less densely populated area that was specifically designed to handle their storage make more sense? It seems that the problems right now getting the reactors under control is being hampered by the severe risks of those containment pools for the spent rods draining.

      Precisely because spent rods need to be monitored and maintained, and at a nuclear power plant you already have the technology, expertise, and security in place because you have to for the reactor itself. If you have a remote facility for disposal you need to duplicate a lot of effort, and you have to figure out a secure and safe way to transport highly radioactive materials from the plant to the facility. A truck/train accident involving spent fuel rods would be a Big Deal because it'd be very likely to happen with zero buffer zone between the hot material and civilians.

      --
      Nostalgia's not what it used to be.
    13. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by polar+red · · Score: 0

      ... So the message here is "let's cut some corners to make more money" in stead of "let's make nuclear power safe" That's the nail in nuclear power(s coffin.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    14. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why are the spent fuel rods stored in the same buildings as the reactors?

      1) Sites with high level radiation need to be secured and isolated. Separate storage areas mean additional large secured areas.

      2) There is no dump for nuclear waste, but almost no one wants on in their back yard (or even in the next county).

      We don't know the cost of nuclear energy because we don't know the cost of long term storage for the waste, because we have no good solution for all the waste.

    15. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm guessing here, but I'd assume it is because they need to cool quite some time before you handle them. moving highly radioative stuff that with out constant cooling will melt and possibly catch fire more that absolutly nessecary doesn't sound like a good idea

    16. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by stjobe · · Score: 2

      No you idiot, the message is that the spent fuel rods are in a purpose-built area specifically designed to hold them while they cool down enough to move them somewhere else. There's simply no better place to put them while they cool down than inside a nuclear plant, in actively cooled pools built specifically to hold spent fuel rods.

      Nuclear power is - even with this accident still ongoing - still the safest form of power generation we have.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    17. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Regarding why the spent fuel rods are stored in the same building as the reactors:

      The fuel rods are radioactive once taken out of the reactor vessel. During refueling the reactor cavity [area above the reactor] is flooded with water and gates are opened to allow an underwater pathway for a refueling crane to carry the fuel from inside the reactor to the spent fuel pool. The water provides radioactive shielding and heat absorption. Once in the pool, the fuel is typically given some time for radioactive decay (and the resultant heat) to diminish. From a space standpoint, you'd run out of space if you did this indefinitely, so there's a process of placing used fuel rods into rugged containers [again, a portion done underwater]. The rugged containers can then be stored outside the building.

      Placing the fuel into the containers is a much slower process than moving the fuel from the reactor to the fuel pool. During refueling outages, the push is to repair/upgrade equipment and refuel the reactor to get electricity generation started again. Moving the fuel into the rugged containers is something that can be done later when fewer activities are occurring.

    18. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by "fresh" you mean fuel that has not been in a neutron flux of a critical reactor, it is very non-radioactive. Uranium-235 (the fissile material) and Uranium-238 (the large remainder of the Uranium) both have extremely long half-lives. It's not until they've been exposed to a neutron flux that fission occurs to create radioactive fission products and neutron capture by elements that makes them radioactive.

    19. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't transporting the spent rods to a less densely populated area that was specifically designed to handle their storage make more sense?

      It would - if it weren't for the fact that moving them is expensive and difficult and introduces hazards of it's own, and the storage system would be considerably expensive as well. Even so, you'd *still* need storage at the plant because the rods are too dangerous to move at all for a year or so after they are removed from the reactor and to store the rods removed during maintenance.
       
      Just like any engineering task, there's tradeoffs.

    20. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Algae_94 · · Score: 0

      I believe that the spent rods are not permanently stored right next to the reactor. It is a short term storage for rods just pulled from the core. There is a communal long-term storage location shared among reactors 1 through 6 on the grounds, but not immediately next to the reactors. My common sense says that the cooler a spent rod is radioactively, the farther it can be safely transported.

      It certainly would make sense to then take all the spent rods out of the communal Daiichi long-term storage and store them in a permanent location. I don't know the Japanese opinion on this matter, but it is damn near impossible in America to get anyone to agree on a place to store this waste. No one wants it near them. Even if we try to put it in the middle of an unpopulated dessert area, no one wants it transported near by them on its way there.

    21. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by HiThere · · Score: 1

      "Power shouldn't go out" isn't an acceptable answer. Yeah, it's true. But power does occasionally go out.

      What they should do is store them in a deep hole, so that they can fill the thing with water and let it boil off for a few days without worrying. Yeah, when power's on, the run a refridgerator, and keep the water cool (below boiling, anyway). But there's a reservoir that automatically dumps into it in case of power failure, and then they've got several days to straighten things out. It *would* make retrieving the spent rods more of a hassle most of the time, but how often does THAT happen, anyway?

      Maybe store them vertically in a container with a slanted base. Older rods slide down to the deeper part. And there's a lock at the bottom that they can use to retrieve the coldest rods.

      But, yeah, this is an after the event analysis. Still, it seems like that's how they should design them from now on.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    22. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      Yeah because what we really need is a huge reprocessing industries with more trucks, trains and boats moving around more an more tons of radioactive waste from here to there all the time. We know nothing is ever spilled, boats don't sink, a truck cannot be stolen, bearded fanatics are not wet-dreaming of pulverizing radio-nucleides in your tap water, right. And anyone expressing concerns regarding those issues is a "luddite", right?

    23. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1
      No you fucking moron, you're parroting things out of your ass that you don't understand. This design is the worst design ever, newer reactor designs locate the spent fuel pools inside of the containment chamber, but other countries don't store spent fuel on site but in dry casks off site (yeah, guess what, more expensive).

      The real danger on this planet are not terrorists but nuclear islamists like yourself who believe their own bullshit, are too fucking dumb to educate themselves (it took me five seconds to locate the above articles on Google) but insist on force-shoving their crap down everybody's throat.

      Nuclear power is the safest form of power generation we have.

      Educate yourself on renewable energies you asshole, our kids and grand-kids might thank you once in the future for changing your mind.

    24. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by stjobe · · Score: 1

      it took me five seconds to locate the above articles on Google

      Yeah, if you'd instead spent five minutes educating yourself about dry cask storage instead of going off on your nerdrage, you'd see that dry cask storage can't be used for at least a couple of years (in some cases up to 20 years) after the fuel is removed from the reactor. Those first years needs to be spent in - that's right - spent fuel pools.

      Remember, this is a 40-year old reactor designed to withstand a magnitude 8.4 earthquake that got hit by a magnitude 9+ earthquake and several magnitude 8+ aftershocks as well as a 30ft tsunami waves - it's a testament to how safe these things are that it's not just a smoking hole in the ground by now.

      Educate yourself on renewable energies [...], our kids and grand-kids might thank you once in the future for changing your mind.

      Right back at you; educate yourself on nuclear energy, our kids and grand-kids might thank you once in the future for changing your mind.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    25. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The heat comes from decay of radioactive fission products. Natural uranium produces very little heat because it's long lived and not very radioactive. In contrast the products of the fission reaction are to a large extent short-lived beta emitters. The short half-life makes them extremely radioactive, which is why they produce so much heat.

    26. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by polar+red · · Score: 1

      I suggest you go live in Fukushima.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    27. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      "They therefore make things cheaper by storing them on-site."

      Cheaper and safer. Well, at least everybody tought it was safer.

    28. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      it's a testament to how safe these things are that it's not just a smoking hole in the ground by now.

      This is a pathetically preposterous argument put forward by so many nuclear luddites that but put to show the total lack of logical abilities of their befuddled brains. What your kind of joe-six-packs don't take into account obviously is that we brushed in the last few days inches away from a true nuclear disaster, the "big one", that you probably can't even fathom.

      Just try to imagine for a few minutes: one additional major radiation leak forces all personnel off the site, for good. The reactors must be abandonned. We were very very close to this situation yesterday, and should thank either God or fucking sheer luck, depending on your beliefs, that it was not the case. What would have happened then? One to six reactors going full meltdown plus a number of thousand of tons of spend fuel rods (a.k.a. "nuclear waste") burning through the air and spewing in the atmosphere. With Chernobyl for comparison about 200 tons of radioactive material went up the air. This is how safe nuclear energy really is, not the feel-good fallacious kool-aid that you ludicrous nuclear islamists gulp to the last drop.

      Right back at you; educate yourself on nuclear energy

      Wow you're taking a risky bet here buddy, so I'll tell you what I'm gonna do: I'll invite you formally at a honest, open, sincere discussion on the subject "nuclear vs. renewable energies". I won't be the one killing the discussion with fallacious or ad hominem arguments, mark my word. So the possible outcome will be twofold, in my humble opinion needless to say. Either you will go through the discussion and I will shred your arguments to pieces, teach you a hard lesson in humility and bring you to reason. Or you will simply leave the discussion on some bogus or fallacious argument in order to preserve your dear belief.

    29. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by stjobe · · Score: 1

      First off, you speculating on what might have happened - while enlightening as to the depths you're willing to go to invent boogymen - has little to do with reality. None of the six reactors would go "full meltdown" - an event incidentally not even remotely as horrible as you seem to believe it to be. At TMI, the core suffered a partial meltdown and it didn't even breach the reactor containment. "a theoretical person standing at the plant property line during the entire event would have received a dose of approximately 2 millisieverts (200 millirem), between a chest X-ray's and a CT scan's worth of radiation." (wikipedia).
      Furthermore, now that we have had visuals on the spent fuel pools we also know that there wasn't a risk of any of them drying out, catching fire or in any other way exploding in a nasty way.

      Secondly, holding the world's nuclear reactors as unsafe because of Chernobyl is also rather disingenious - nowhere but in Russia do these kinds of reactors even exist any more. They are quite poorly constructed and when Lithuania joined the EU they did so on the requirement that they shut down the reactors at Ignalina which run the same type of reactors as at Chernobyl. They are wholly incompatible with modern nuclear safety standards. The last Ignalina reactor shut off in 2009. It supplied about 70% of Lithuania's electricity demand. Now they're burning fossil fuels and importing electricity instead.

      Thirdly, on just about any scale you care to mention, nuclear power has a better safety record, lower environmental impact, and lesser death toll than any other means of producing electricity. We need electricity, and on a scale that neither wind, solar, geothermal, or any other alternative energy source is able to provide. Fusion (hot or cold) would do it, but we're not even close to that yet. Nuclear isn't just the safest way to get the energy we need, at the moment it is the only way. Burning oil, coal and other fossil fuels isn't sustainable and traditional alternative energy sources just can't produce enough to cover demand.

      Lastly, if you can keep a civil tongue I don't mind at all having an open, honest, sincere discussion on the subject "nuclear vs renewable energies" with you. I'll even start it off for you by claiming that modern Liquid Thorium reactor designs provide a cleaner, greener, safer means of producing electricity at a large scale than anything we've ever seen. Care to comment about that?

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    30. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      First off, you speculating on what might have happened - while enlightening as to the depths you're willing to go to invent boogymen - has little to do with reality

      What you don't seem to understand is that I speculate with the information that I have access too. I'm not willing to invent boogy-men; I was at some point this past week genuinely worried for my two little kids, although I live on the very opposite part of the planet.

      I'm too young to remember much about TMI, however I vividly remember Chernobyl. What I retain from this event is that: first the disaster was shamelessly denied by the Soviets, but we really didn't expect much more from them. The consensus in western Europe at the time was that the USSR was a tyrany with gulags and thought police, pretty much similar to what North Korea is now, and that the guys in power would have dropped babies in the nuclear furnace if it would have advanced their fucked-up ideology.

      Secondly the French governement lied openly to the public by pretending that the radioactive cloud stopped at the German border. How nice of this pretty little cloud! So the conclusion, right or wrong, was that the nuclear industry in France, in bed with the governement and the military, was ok to let some kids absorb some amount of radionucleides and get a few additional thyroid cancers, provided it could be hidden and avoid turning the public against nuclear energy.

      Then the IAEA issued an official report evaluating the consequences of the disaster to 4000 additional deaths by cancer. This figure was afterwards challenged by the WHO itself it seems(!) as being a "political communication tool". Greenpeace says 60,000 deaths, some russian biologistsays 985,000. Who to believe? Definitely not the IAEA who appears as a corrupt organization in bed with industry interests.

      Finally a quick search on google brings back haunting images of a world where "the living envy the dead". Since those consequences were seemingly not even considered by the IAEA, brushed away as collateral casualties to the advance of a certain concept of "progress", it reinforces the feeling of a bunch of people who would saw your kids legs if it would allow them to line their own pockets, just like with the Iraq war (who cares about the Iraqi children? Not Cheney nor Rumsfeld it seems), the BP and countless other oil spills, the incredible pollution in Niger, in China, etc, etc. That's for the background.

      None of the six reactors would go "full meltdown" - an event incidentally not even remotely as horrible as you seem to believe it to be. Furthermore, now that we have had visuals on the spent fuel pools we also know that there wasn't a risk of any of them drying out, catching fire or in any other way exploding in a nasty way.

      Again what you don't seem to understand is that nobody gives a shit about what the situation ends up to be, same thing with TMI. What people want to know, need to know is very simple: a precise description of a realistic worst case. If there was an incident on your plane and you land safely you don't want the company to tell you "What are you worrying about, you're safely on the ground now aren't you? Move along." You need to know what happened and how close to dying you went.

      I've tried several times now to get a clear picture of a reasonable worst-case scenario for Fukushima from several seemingly knowledgeable persons here and elsewhere, and haven't been able to get any answer yet. And in fact nobody seems to have the answer, so ev

    31. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by stjobe · · Score: 1

      What you don't seem to understand is that I speculate with the information that I have access too. I'm not willing to invent boogy-men; I was at some point this past week genuinely worried for my two little kids, although I live on the very opposite part of the planet.

      I find this very sad. You've been told all your life that nuclear power is dangerous - life-threatening, planet-threatening dangerous - and you've swallowed this propaganda (yes, that's what it is) without question to the point where you start worrying about your kids halfway across the globe from a nuclear accident (that incidentally is yet to produce any deaths from radiation).

      Open your eyes, please. You don't seem averse to do a bit of googling, so google for "energy production deaths" and read a few of the links. You'll see that nuclear power production has a historical death toll of four hundreths of a death per TWh, far lower than any other form of power production - solar, wind and hydro included. It really is the safest form of power production there is - and we can make it even safer. Google again for "pebble-bed reactor" and "molten salt reactor" and realize that these forms of nuclear reactors are passively safe - if the plant in Japan had been one of these types nothing would have happened at all.

      Finally, some reading about nuclear fuel. The uranium/plutonium fuel used in today's reactors are only used about 5%, that's one of the reasons the "waste" fuel is so hard to handle. Thorium, on the other hand, as used in a liquid fuel thorium reactor, uses almost 100% of the fuel, leaving very little waste at all. Read about this on energyfromthorium.com. Thorium has two more wonderful properties when used as nuclear reactor fuel - it's dirt cheap (really, it's a byproduct from rare earth mineral mines and so cheap they have to give it away) and one of the byproducts of burning it in a reactor is uranium-233, an isotope that is very rare and that can be used in cancer treatments. It is also abundant, far more so than uranium and plutonium. The Thorium produced in a year at one single rare earth mineral mine (about 5000 tons) could cover the whole world's energy needs for that year - if only there were enough reactors to burn it.

      So please as a first request, since you sound to you have some insight on the subject, answer clearly this. My understanding of a plausible scenario, based on my limited grasp of the intrisics of nuclear plant, not necessarily nuclear energy, is that a major radiation leak on Fukushima site could have forced the company to evacuate and abandon the plant to its fate. Then a leak in a spent fuel pool could have emptied it, at which point a zirconium fire could have started (I dismiss re-criticallity as little plausible). At least it appeared that some people either at TEPCO or at the US government were worried about that. So in that very case, with all the zirconium going up in smoke, or maybe another bad scenario that according to you was possible at some point: what kind of radioactive cloud would have formed? How far would have it spread? How many people would have been seriously affected? What could the consequences have been?

      Worst case scenario is pretty much what we've seen at Fukushima. A Richter 9+ earthquake, a 30ft tsunami, no power for the cooling systems and unknown or failed integrity of the different containment structures.

      But it's not that we have a dearth of speculation on what could happen; google "fukushima worst case scenario" and read a bit.

      Here's what John Beddington (UK government chief scientific officer) says:

      In this reasonable worst case you get an explosion. You get some radioactive material going up to about 500 metres up into the air. Now, that’s really serious, but it’s serious again for the local area. It’s not s

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    32. Re:Spent fuel stored on site? by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      I find this very sad. You've been told all your life that nuclear power is dangerous - life-threatening, planet-threatening dangerous - and you've swallowed this propaganda without question

      This is where you are deluded. First yes, nuclear power is dangereous. Radio-nucleides produced during nuclear fission are radiotoxic, carcinogenic and teratogenic, this is a fact. You don't want to ingest them in any quantity. Now the quantity you or your kids may be brought to ingest due to unfortunate circumstances is the crux of the issue with nuclear power. Then please, try to quit your condescending stance and do not assume that I've been told anything. I try to think for myself, following some basic logic and fact-checking.

      Open your eyes, please. You don't seem averse to do a bit of googling, so google for "energy production deaths" and read a few of the links.

      Open your brain please. You seem to be able to follow the basic tenets of logic. As I told you above, when you board a plane, or a care, or do whatever in life there are three things that you consider, being a human being:

      1. 1. The worst possible scenario.
      1. 2. The probability of that scenario.
      1. 3. Possible mitigating actions.

      When you get in your car you know intuitively, from experience, the answers. Worst scenario: head-on collision. Probability: not negligible as soon as you drive a few dozen miles. Mitigating actions: buckle seatbelt, drive defensively. When you board a plane, you know that worst scenario = crash. Probability = fairly low. Mitigating actions = nothing (some Japanese are said to buy preferably seats in the tail of the aircraft but that sounds futile).

      So you're insisting on point number 2, or more exactly some combination of 1 and 2, when what I'm concerned with is point number 1. This is akin to telling someone who's never seen a boat before: "don't worry, few people ever died boating". That's not the piece of information I'm looking for. What I need to know is that worst case scenario = boat sinks, mitigating action = have a buoy handy. In the case of Fukushima I was, together with a lot of people, in the following situation: worst case scenario = something like Chernobyl, perhaps worse (simple arithmetic, six American reactors plus seven spent fuel pools might reasonably end up worse than one crappy Russian one). More about that below.

      far lower than any other form of power production - solar, wind and hydro included

      Be cautious with this kind of highly questionable statistics though, they are partisan to the point of being ludicrous. First they are based on the bogus IAEA Chernobyl numbers that I mentioned before. Also the deaths from solar include supposed falls from the rooftops. Do you really think anybody is going to value equally the death of his child from radiation poisoning to the death of his plumber who fell from his roof? These kind of ridiculous comparison are not helping your cause. On the contrary they make the nuclear industry appear as willing to resort to the most preposterous and twisted rethoric, on top of blatant lies and dissimulation (see TEPCO resignations, IAEA reporting of Chernobyl), to push their agenda down the throat of the unwilling public. People are not that dumb and resent being considered so.

      But above all there is a more fundamental problem of logic with these numbers, or possibly more of statistics, in that you don't estimate the likely outcome of a long-tailed statistical distribution from a few samples, else nobody would play lottery. For instance even if my last 50 bets brought me only 10$, I am not going to base my expectancy of gain on that, since I could perfectly get 1M$ next time. Same thing with this study. Saying that nuclear hasn't killed many people up to now, even if it happens to be true, does not preclude that it may in the future. Again it all depends on the worst-c

  17. Where are the robots? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have undersea robots to attempt to plug oil leaks. Where are the robots workers can man from a safe distance to wade into the radiation and deal with the physical aspect of getting water where water is needed?

  18. Slashdotted? by wcrowe · · Score: 1

    Oops. Maybe posting such an important link on /. wasn't a good idea.

    --
    Proverbs 21:19
  19. ENOUGH! I'm tired of all you naysayers! by Thud457 · · Score: 2
    We'll learn from this how to do things better next time.
    Yeah, sure, most of the problems were financial or political, not engineering. But we can fix those, too.

    When I first came here, this was all swamp. Everyone said I was daft to build a castle on a swamp, but I built in all the same, just to show them.
    It sank into the swamp.
    So I built a second one. That sank into the swamp.
    So I built a third. That burned down, fell over, then sank into the swamp.
    But the fourth one stayed up. And that's what you're going to get, Lad, the strongest castle in all of England.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  20. Why cool with a bucket instead of a firehose by alextheseal · · Score: 1

    Why are we hoisting in a bucket at a time by helicopter when we could use the same flight to lift in an drop a weighted firehose which would provide a stream of water? Would require less exposure to radiation by the flight crews. Also drop one on each of the reactors now while you still have access, don't wait till they blow.

    1. Re:Why cool with a bucket instead of a firehose by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Why are we hoisting in a bucket at a time by helicopter when we could use the same flight to lift in an drop a weighted firehose which would provide a stream of water? Would require less exposure to radiation by the flight crews. Also drop one on each of the reactors now while you still have access, don't wait till they blow.

      How exactly would you do that? You do realize that if you just drop a 3 inch diameter, high pressure hose on the ground and turn it on, it will whip around and destroy a bunch of things - firehoses pack a big wallop if let go of. If you use a low pressure hose, you're going to need it placed carefully. Look at the videos of the helicopters dropping water - they didn't linger at all. In fact, their aim was so bad I got the impression that they were more bombing runs than careful drops - presumably because of the radiation. Placing hoses would be much, much harder. There is a lot of local radiation around the reactors - otherwise all of this would be rather trivial.

      We need big robots.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Why cool with a bucket instead of a firehose by LordKronos · · Score: 1

      Placing hoses would be much, much harder. There is a lot of local radiation around the reactors - otherwise all of this would be rather trivial.

      We need big robots.

      Something like a cement crane (not sure what it's actually called) would be useful:
      http://sailgarden.us/dreamhouse/slab_cement_mixers_crane_800x513.jpg

  21. Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by tetrahedrassface · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Port Royal, Jamaica had a huge earthquake in 1692 pretty much dropping a fair portion of that city under the ocean. It is still there, flooded and under water. Protected as a historical site, divers frequently dive on it. In some places entire buildings are still there, intact as if they were built under the water.. The reason I'm asking is, has the land that is flooded in Japan actually subsided to below sea level due to the earthquake, or is it simply still flooded? It looks to me as if most of the land in Japan that was affected is still at the same height above sea level as pre-quake, however there may be areas that are now below the ocean... in any event Port Royal was pretty much destroyed again in 1909, and has been hit and hit hard by Hurricanes and probably is due for another temblor in 200 odd years.... I sure hope they don't build a nuke plant there, and I hope that Japan and every other country planning a new nuclear plant try their hardest to site them in areas that

    (A): Don't have a history of earthquakes.

    and

    (B) don't have a history of storm surges from Hurricanes/Cyclones/Tsunami's...

    1. Re:Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      All I know is, the Netherlands better not have a tsunami. Not exactly a tsunami prone part of the world, but considering Japan and your Port Royal example, the Netherlands would become the Nomorelands

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    2. Re:Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by wrook · · Score: 1

      Some areas have subsided a bit. I saw a picture on TV of a dock that is now underwater because the land had subsided. But it isn't very much (less than a meter). The water left on the land had just pooled there. It will evaporate over time.

    3. Re:Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As I understand it, it's only a matter of rising sea levels and time before that country is seabed. Its mostly under sea level now and only protected by a series of dikes. Can we at least get the women and children out of there now?

    4. Re:Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The reason I'm asking is, has the land that is flooded in Japan actually subsided to below sea level due to the earthquake, or is it simply still flooded?"

      In general, it's flooded temporarily. The very wide tsunami wave comes up, WAY up, stays up for 15-30 minutes, starts flowing back out again. Draining could take a while, but it will happen. There weren't particularly major changes of land elevation in association with this earthquake, although they might be significant in some areas (see below). Even small changes are measurable (GPS measurements are very precise and the arrays in Japan are very extensive), but we're probably talking no more than a metre, and usually a lot less. Big changes in elevation (several metres, like you describe in Jamaica) tend to happen closer to the area where the fault plane shifts, and in this case most of the displacement on the fault occurred quite some distance offshore, so the land elevation changes are comparatively small.

      There's a nice map of the horizontal and vertical displacements (measured and modeled) at this Caltech site. From my quick look it appears all the vertical displacements are indeed less than a metre. If I'm reading the plot right (I'm assuming "down" on the plot is "down" in the real world), on land they are mostly down, which isn't so good. You might be right about the possibility of some permanent flooding, but we're still talking small changes in places already within a metre of sea level, not "sink the city" scale.

      The slip map on that same page is a little harder to explain and requires some understanding of the fault geometry, but basically it shows the amount of displacement that occurred across the fault plane and the direction it moved. The fault has a thrust geometry in this case, which is typical where you have lateral compression, such as where you have the Pacific Plate converging with the Eurasian Plate along the subduction zone that runs in the oceanic trench beside Japan. With the fault plane likely dipping down towards the northwest (NW), it means the NW side of the fault (the hanging wall) moved up, whereas the SW side (the footwall) moved down. In the horizontal plane, where most of the motion appears to have been, that also means the NW side (Japan) moved towards the ESE (i.e. towards the Pacific). Other data (earthquake focal mechanisms) provide information about the geometry of the fault (it's probably a very low-angle thrust), and further details will emerge with more analysis.

    5. Re:Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by ZigiSamblak · · Score: 1

      You mean like this?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_flood_of_1953

      The Netherlands has battled with flooding ever since people started living here. We are probably the best prepared country in the world when it comes to flooding and Dutch experts are often used in other countries with flooding problems. Less than half of the Netherlands is actually below sea level and there are a lot of defenses against any type of flooding which seems to happen a lot less here than in the surrounding countries.

    6. Re:Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Anyplace near shore is at risk of a tsunami. Earthquakes aren't the only things that will set them off. They can be set off by the collapse of undersea canyons. (In fact, IIRC, the big earthquake in Indonesia did most of it's damage by causing the collapse of an undersea canyon, which set of the large tsunami. The earthquake itself did do damage, but relatively minor, it was the tsunami that did most of the damage, and that was caused by the collapse of the canyon. And earthquakes aren't the oly reason for that kind of thing happening.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    7. Re:Port Royal Jamaica Analogs? by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

      i'm just waiting for dutch know how to engulf the entire north sea into one giant polder

      the other thing about the dutch eating seabeds and turning it into farmland: what about all the salt? how do you desalinate seabed? i never figured that out

      look: i'm honestly impressed. it seems a little suicidal as a national pasttime: waging protracted technological war on the natural coastline, but you've been doing it for a long time, so i am adequately impressed, technologically, nonetheless

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  22. Cooling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hmmm. Having seen their unsuccessful attempts to deliver water to the reactor basins(?), I armed myself with (digital) crayons and (authentic) nativity:

    http://androidarts.com/cooling.jpg

  23. An electrical generator requiring outside power? by unil_1005 · · Score: 1

    The thing makes power -- why can't it use its own power to run the pumps to keep it cool enough to work?

    I can see the need for outside power in a start-up mode. But after that you should be able to cut the umbilical cord.

    Would we be having this conversation (or this nuclear disaster) if it was self-powered?

    What am I missing or don't know?

  24. Re:An electrical generator requiring outside power by snspdaarf · · Score: 1

    Generally speaking, power plant generators don't generate at voltages usable by the control systems in the plant itself. They need to feed power to the grid, which is designed to distribute power at voltage that is usable by the control systems. If they had a purpose built transformer on site to take generator output and convert it to the proper voltage for pumps, computers, etc. it would work like you expected. However, those kinds of transformers are costly and built to order. It is much cheaper to tap the distribution grid (which would have to be extended to the plant during construction anyway) for the lights, pumps, and such, then back up that power with generators.

    --
    Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
  25. NOt fear. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the case of Germany it's not fear. As far as I know, Angela Merkel was and is against nuclear power (she has a doctorate in quantum chemistry BTW), her party (which is conservative) also favours the nuclear phase-out, they only differ with the left in the transition period. They recently extended the nuclear phase-out period (longer than they wanted, because the FDP forced them), but they weren't going to allow to build new nuclear plants anyway.

    Overall, Germany is a very anti-nuclear country. They think that nuclear power is not sustainable long-term, they don't have control over the nuclear raw materials like others countries have. They seem to think that in order to be competitive Germany must lead the next big technological change (which is why they bet so much on renewables)

  26. Re:Airport by spitzak · · Score: 1

    I have noticed that there are no large planes at the flooded Sendai airport. Was there just none there, or did they get them all off the ground before the tsunami hit?

  27. Re:An electrical generator requiring outside power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The pumps need to run when the plant is not operating. Even when the reactor is scrammed, decay heat is generated at say .01 % of operating levels for a month (and lowering). For this type of reactor that is still on the order of MW(th). Also it is standard practice to isolate systems in case of failure. As an example, one of causes of Chernobyl was a test in which energy of the turbines as they wound down from the operating regime to shutoff was transferred to the circulation pumps to give time for the backups to kick on. While this does not directly relate, it does illustrate that a reactor being self-sustaining in a low-power or scram condition would be dangerous.

  28. This is all bullshit and PR by siddesu · · Score: 2

    The plans to "rewire" the power plants were from yesterday and, at the moment, they are just that, plans. This morning Toden announced that the construction of the electric cable that was supposed to be complete yesterday will be delayed until at least tomorrow. At the very end, they said also, in a markedly small voice, that they hope restoring the electricity will go smoothly, but there are worries that the equipment on the ground - pumps and transformers - may be out of order (maybe - after those explosions and all that water dumped on them from the air?), and that could probably hamper the effort.

    In reality, there is no staff (except the firefighters, Chernobyl style) on the ground since Saturday - a relative and a former colleague worked at the plant and are already in Osaka since Tuesday - all measurements are taking place from the helos and from an observation points 30km away, and radiation in excess of 150 microgreys is being reported 30-40 km away upwind from the reactor by the local authorities.

    So, there is only stalling, spinning, and no information.

    Incidentally, here are the radiation reports by the ministry of science and bullshit (japanese, sorry, all data is in microsieverts, and if the last column is without dates, it has the long-term averages) : http://www.mext.go.jp/a_menu/saigaijohou/syousai/1303723.htm

    1. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      What you expect data to be in rads? Sorry we stopped using those about 20 years ago. We moved to sieverts and greys.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    2. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by siddesu · · Score: 1

      It is my understanding that not everybody here reads Japanese, asshole.

    3. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by Hartree · · Score: 1

      Just an FYI before you start calling people asshole: It's not just the Japanese. Even the US Military started moving to Sieverts and Grays way back in 1984 when I was doing NBC (nuclear biological and chemical) for an artillery battalion in Korea. It was part of a move to standardize between different NATO armies.

      Now, they kept training in Rads and REM up through when I left the army in 92 so whether they completed the change I don't know.

      But, a quick check on google will tell you 1 Sievert = 100 REM and 1 Gray = 100 RAD.

      If you can't handle things like micro and milli, I can't really help you.

    4. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by siddesu · · Score: 1

      Thanks, smartypants, but what is your point? All information I already put above was in modern units - and that happened before you read them up on the Wikipedia.

    5. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by Hartree · · Score: 1

      Do you actually read?

      If you think wikipedia was around in 1984, you've got some serious misconceptions, youngling.

    6. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by siddesu · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I know, everybody on slashdot is a decorated military veteran.

    7. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by Hartree · · Score: 1

      Not decorated. Unless you count a good conduct medal and a couple of AAMs. And all of those are a dime a dozen. Never been in combat.

      Just some former army puke.

    8. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Latest press conference update: There are some kilometers of cable to put in place, the status of the equipment is not known, at the earliest power can be restored late tonight Japanese time. Yesterday the work stopped because of the military operation to dump water. There is a water dump operation scheduled today as well. Tokyo Denryoku believes there is small risk of reaction in the old fuel, because there was more of it dumped in the storage facility than it is designed for.

      I hope they'll restart the pumps and we'll finally have some good news from there.

      A summary of the press conference, in Japanese
      http://www.asahi.com/national/update/0318/TKY201103180196.html

    9. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In reality, there is no staff (except the firefighters, Chernobyl style) on the ground...

      Chernobyl style? You mean with no protective gear and no notice that there is a radiation hazard?

    10. Re:This is all bullshit and PR by siddesu · · Score: 1

      Yeah, more or less. You're very smart for your age.

  29. The international press. by RanBato · · Score: 2

    I feel very strongly that the press have behaved very irresponsibly throughout this and gov'ts around the world should take them to task.

  30. No true Scotsman, eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nothing wrong with nuclear power if its done correctly. I seem to remember liquid sodium cooled reactors that are safer than any of the water reactors, yet you anti-nuclear people wont allow these safe reactors to be built to replace the less safe water reactors. Good work, you basically made a self fulfilling prophecy.

    No "true" nuclear reactor is dangerous. Its just the bad old ones that are a problem (and that's the fault of people who don't trust nuclear reactors in general). Note that these "less safe" reactors were once considered safe.

    BTW, when the cooling system is rendered inoperable, what difference does it make what kind of coolant it uses?

  31. Wusses by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 3, Funny

    Everyone is panicking now and buying iodine tablets.

    What a pack of pussies the world has become.

    In the 1950s, people used to watch above ground atom bomb tests in between shows and gambling in Vegas while sipping martinis.

    Our current president had to be roused from his busy schedule of vacation or golf or whatever to make a comment. Former President Teddy Roosevelt once killed a Kodiak bear with his mind, and personally dug the final mile of the Panama Canal.

    Send in Chuck Norris in a lead apron. He'll kill the fuel rods with one punch.

    1. Re:Wusses by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1
      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    2. Re:Wusses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saxton Hale doesn't need the lead apron or even to punch them. He just looks at the fuel rods and they cool down and cower in fear of him.

    3. Re:Wusses by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

      The we send his atomic super clone! Think, man, think! The manly, meaty non-wuss answers are obvious!

  32. Don't think that's quite right: by Hartree · · Score: 1

    They have the transformers needed, but they are in the switchyard that connects the plant to the power grid. The combination of the quake and tsunami damaged that. (Think. They both have to be able to change generated power to grid form to deliver it, and to take power from the grid to convert to the voltages and phase used by the plant when they are shut down but not on backup generators.)

    In any case, they have to close the reactor steam connections to the turbines when they SCRAM the reactor as they often don't know yet just what sort of malfunction it is. There are quite a number of possibilities that could damage the turbines or piping and release steam that is contaminated with radioisotopes into area of the plant not made to handle it.

    1. Re:Don't think that's quite right: by snspdaarf · · Score: 1

      It's been a long time since I gave up studying transmission line engineering for computers, so I am trusting my memory, but I don't remember that the transmission grid was used to reverse-feed the plant when it was idle. I could have been hung over that day, but if the transmission line has to be shut down for any reason, that setup would blackout the plant. But, power from the distribution grid would have plenty of power to run pumps, lights, etc.

      Absolutely right about the steam valves closing. I didn't want to get into tl;dr country, but maybe I stopped too soon.

      --
      Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
    2. Re:Don't think that's quite right: by Hartree · · Score: 1

      It can be used for that. At least at some plants. I recall that an engineer at one of the local nuke plants indicated that one could do it (a couple decades back). I don't know if it's mandated for all US ones. It's not for conventional ones but people get really twitchy when a nuke plant loses power.

      I know a lot of Europe requires house load operation for nuclear plants. I'm not certain about the Japanese plants.

  33. Re:Airport by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How long did they have? Half an hour, I think. I seem to recall that under ordinary circumstances you need about 2 minutes between planes. That'd get 15 planes out. Maybe they were able to push it and get 30 out, using different runways. Any plane that didn't get out probably washed away. I haven't seen any large jets in wreckage photos.

    I'm sure a lot of people have stories that will come out later. Imagine taking off, looking out the window and seeing the coastline appear to change before your eyes.

  34. Re:An electrical generator requiring outside power by Hartree · · Score: 1

    I believe it can do it. Normally. That's what's called house load operation. Where the reactor is producing power just for itself when it's disconnected from the grid for some reason. It may be very temporary while it syncs itself back to the grid so it can reconnect.

    The problem is, that the transformers needed to do that are in the switchyard of the plant (big oil coiled transformers). The quake and tsunami damaged that as well as the backup generators and took out the power lines to the plant as well. So, no self powering, no power from the grid, and no power from the emergency generators.

    That left them with the steam powered RCIC cooling system that needs batteries for the controls. That failed. (I'm not clear if they failed due to batteries running down, malfunction or combinations. There are separate ones for each reactor so it could be any of them. There was word they were flying in batteries to power them at one point.)

  35. astroturf by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm seeing a lot of stuff on slashdot that sure sounds like industry spin to me. I'm not a doom sayer by any means, but it's my observation that industry and government big whigs never tell the whole truth about anything. They told us the NYC air after 911 was safe too. I think this guy puts it well:

    "Look, if you think any American official is going to tell you the truth, then you're stupid. Did you hear that? Stupid." - Arthur Sylvester, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Public Affairs, 1965

    This snippit from whatreallyhappend.com:

    Be aware that General Electric, which designed these reactors and is staring at trillions of dollars on losses from lawsuits and loss of future sales of this design, have launched a huge PR campaign in the mainstream media and here online (as you can see) to downplay this disaster.

  36. Re:An electrical generator requiring outside power by mhotchin · · Score: 2

    Couple of problems
      - The generators/switch gear are designed to produce transmission voltages. Industrial voltages for the plant are probably taken from a normal power substation, not directly from the high voltage transmission lines. It's likely the sub-station servicing the plant was wiped out.
      - Strangely enough, generators don't work properly if there isn't *enough* load. It's unlikely that the needs of the plant are high enough to keep the generators online.

  37. So, you want to talk about the earthquake then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > Your entire spiel on Banqiao is an elaborate straw man. China has been subject to catastrophic floods for millennia. It has a lot to do with geography, but basically China is flat as a pancake and its major rivers have enormous watersheds. The dam is only part of the problem.

    Japan has been subject to earthquakes and tsunamis for the same amount of time. The present earthquake and tsunami killed ~5k. Compared to two people missing at Fukushima Dai-ichi and a few exposed to radiation or otherwise injured.

    The nuclear plant is only part of the problem.

  38. Just cut to the chase. . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    . . .and declare that nuclear-is-never-dangerous skeptics hate us for our freedoms(tm).

    1. Re:Just cut to the chase. . . by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      . . .and declare that nuclear-is-never-dangerous skeptics hate us for our freedoms(tm).

      Now why would I do that AC? There is a large part of the environmental and anti-nuke groups that strongly support driving humanity back into the dark ages, along with removing humanity altogether to ensure a 'pure and blue earth'.

      Time to realize exactly how far out in left field some environmentalists are.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
  39. I know what to do with those reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's just nuke them!

  40. TFA link is dead: new one below by 1u3hr · · Score: 1
    TFA link is dead. The correct link is http://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/2011/tsunamiupdate01.html

    I doubt editors will correct this, given they didn't even notice they misspelled "Tsunami" (as "Tsumami") in the headline.

  41. Compare like with like by jonaskoelker · · Score: 1

    This probably does not include the extensive amount of fossil fuel used to excavate and process nuclear fuel, build the actual plants, nor to deal with the resulting waste.

    Of course, you'd have to factor similar considerations in when comparing nuclear to other power sources.

  42. The reactor designs are flawed. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The reactor designs are flawed, the reactors should have been designed to automatically and manually shut down, with rapid drop in control rods, operated by big old basic "Lever and Rod" Frankenstein style off switches - with NO reliance on weak external links such as electrically driven pumps - to keep them cooled.

    .

    External links, are always the weakest link - because they are attached under the assumption that the sources of power to drive them, the pumps capacity to operate and the piping that carries the coolant to and from the reactor core; will always be operational, able to drive and able to carry the cooling operation out.

    .

    The only "almost total disaster" resistant method to shut down the reactors ARE a huge bunch of moderator rods and gravity - and a simple pull operated release pin.

    .

    Anything else is just bullshit.

    1. Re:The reactor designs are flawed. by stjobe · · Score: 1

      You do realize that the reactors scrammed the instant the earthquake hit, right? What they're dealing with is the secondary reaction and how to cool that in the aftermath of a 30ft tsunami knocking out all power.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
  43. Land subsidence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just read somewhere (I forget the source) that along some parts of the affected Japan coast, the tides look like they are running about 0.5 m higher than they did before the quake. So maybe about 18 or 20 inches of downward land level shift in places.

  44. tsumami by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Typos are not something I would normally comment about, but in this case "tsumami" actually means something (namely "nibblies" which you get with your drink in a bar). Please fix the title.