Slashdot Mirror


World's Most Powerful Rocket Ready In 2012, SpaceX Says

Velcroman1 writes "Elon Musk, the millionaire founder of private space company Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX for short) said the long-planned Falcon Heavy vehicle would be ready for lift off at the end of 2012. The rocket, which he called the most powerful in the world, would be capable of taking men to the International Space Station, dropping vehicles and astronauts on the moon — and maybe even cruising to Mars and back."

251 comments

  1. Leave it Fox.. by Necron69 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What an amazingly inaccurate summary. The rocket will be left to fall back into the ocean/atmosphere, while it has enough cargo capacity (2X that of the space shuttle to LEO) to launch something that could, conceivably, go to Mars and back.

    Personally, I'm expecting Bigelow to be the first customer.

    Necron69

    1. Re:Leave it Fox.. by usul294 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I don't see how it's Fox's fault, all TFA said was that Elon Musk said the craft could be used to complete the Mars mission. Summary was way off from reality, but the article seemed to be done without hyperbole or bias.

    2. Re:Leave it Fox.. by 517714 · · Score: 3, Funny
      Title: "World's Most Powerful Rocket Ready in 2012, SpaceX Says"

      Last Sentence: ""First launch from our Cape Canaveral launch complex is planned for late 2013 or 2014,” Musk said."

      Apparently their reporters have a very short attention span.

      --
      The US government have made it clear that we have no inalienable rights; any we do not defend vigorously will be taken.
    3. Re:Leave it Fox.. by ravenspear · · Score: 3, Informative

      That is the first launch from Canaveral.

      The first launch will be from Vandenburg, which he stated would likely be in early 2013.

    4. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a difference between when it will be ready to launch and when it will actually be launched. Its not like they are going to get the thing done, turn around a week later, load up the astronauts, and take it for a test drive.

      I know Fox bashing is fun, but lets just think about how long these sort of projects take.

    5. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 3, Informative

      Apparently you didn't read the article.

      The rocket will be ready by late 2012 from Vandenberg (which is California), Canaveral (which is Florida) launches by late 2013.

    6. Re:Leave it Fox.. by RM6f9 · · Score: 2

      Rocket may be ready well in advance of available launch schedule dates/permits/etc..., - ?

      --
      Take the 90-Day Challenge! http://rwmurker.bodybyvi.com/
    7. Re:Leave it Fox.. by MozeeToby · · Score: 0

      Early 2013 is still not "ready in 2012" IMO.

    8. Re:Leave it Fox.. by ravenspear · · Score: 4, Informative

      He stated that the rocket will be ready i.e. ready to launch by the end of 2012.

      But the actual launch would probably be in 2013 depending on final regulatory hurdles plus any final technical issues encountered with the pad integration.

    9. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "That's more than a fully loaded Boeing 737 -- with passengers and fuel" and even luggage, Musk said.

      And the real money's in the baggage fees.

    10. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Confusador · · Score: 1

      I always assume the launch of a new rocket will be delayed by a year and a day. 2012-Q4 stated == 2014-Q1 actual. That was pretty close for the Falcon 2 (2008-Q4 v 2010-Q2), and looks like it will be close for the Taurus 2 (2011-Q2 v (currently) 2012-Q1). Of course, government projects are another ball of wax, Ares I was what, 4 years behind schedule?

    11. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article says the rocket will be assembled at Vandenberg, it says nothing of a launch from there.

    12. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1

      Fox BLAaaargh! aHunghh aHunghh aHunghh beereerrrrrrrrrrrrt asssaaaaassaaa fffffffffffuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu akakakgkakkakaka!

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    13. Re:Leave it Fox.. by ravenspear · · Score: 1

      I tend to agree, SpaceX has had significant delays with the Falcon 9.

      I would say they will be in good shape if they lift off anytime in 2013 with this.

    14. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article says it will be assembled at Vandenberg. There's nothing about a launch from there. One date is a quotation, one is not. Using "ready" implies ready for launch, apparently you believe that, but that is not what was said.

    15. Re:Leave it Fox.. by sznupi · · Score: 1

      OTOH schedule dates/permits/etc. also depend on the demonstrable readiness of the rocket, progress of preparations... Anyway, if history is any guide, causes related to the rockets themselves tend to cause very large part of delays.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    16. Re:Leave it Fox.. by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Leaving the little bit how the mass of loaded B737 isn't almost entirely about fuel.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    17. Re:Leave it Fox.. by DrJimbo · · Score: 3, Funny

      Always better to have the rocket ready *before* the first launch rather than after.

      --
      We don't see the world as it is, we see it as we are.
      -- Anais Nin
    18. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As someone who actually watched Mr. Musk speak this morning I can can tell you that he said the rocket would launch late next year from Vandenburg and Cape Canaveral in 2013/4. Additionally he said Mars destined missions would require multiple launches. The Falcon 9 heavy can put 117,000 lb into LEO

    19. Re:Leave it Fox.. by _0xd0ad · · Score: 1

      The rocket will be left to fall back into the ocean/atmosphere, while it has enough cargo capacity (2X that of the space shuttle to LEO) to launch something that could, conceivably, go to Mars and back.

      As opposed to the Shuttle, which doesn't drop anything into the ocean/atmosphere?

      Every space-going vehicle I can think of drops its empty fuel tanks and/or entire spent rocket stages, so I don't know why anyone would interpret the summary to mean that this was something significantly different.

    20. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Princeofcups · · Score: 1

      I don't see how it's Fox's fault, all TFA said was that Elon Musk said the craft could be used to complete the Mars mission. Summary was way off from reality, but the article seemed to be done without hyperbole or bias.

      It can, as long as you're not stuck with the concept of straight trip from ground to Mars. The rocket would be used to send the pieces up into orbit to be assembled into the Mars vehicle.

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    21. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apparently 517714 has a very short attention span and can't read the article.

      Its like this ford can have a car ready today but I will not be able to take it home until a later date since they have to ship it to my dealer first. Shipping a rocket and setting it up take a long time.

    22. Re:Leave it Fox.. by pookemon · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, what? I wasn't listening...

      --
      dnuof eruc rof aixelsid
    23. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The article says the rocket will be assembled at Vandenberg, it says nothing of a launch from there.

      The launch is going to be from Vandenberg, where SpaceX has had a launch pad for a great many years and even did a hold-down test fire for the Falcon 1. No launches have happened there, however, because of the huge piles of red tape that the Air Force requires, and several other "higher priority" launches from other companies.

      The rocket assembly and manufacturing (other than the final integrated assembly) is taking place at the main plant in El Segundo, California (a suburb of Los Angeles), and the rocket motors are tested in Waco, Texas for formal certification prior to launch.

      As for what the article says.... the author is significantly misinformed about a great many things and I wouldn't trust most of what was said other than a big press conference was held by SpaceX today (or yesterday as it were depending on your timezone). That is the only big news, not this fine minutae and quibbling over details the reporter likely got wrong anyway.

    24. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The launch is going to be from Vandenberg. Please be more informed if you are going to keep repeating this lie. Other launch pads that SpaceX has include Cape Canavaral (Elon Musk said he might end up getting one of the Shuttle/Apollo pads, and is currently in negotiation for that) and their facility at Kwajalein Island in the Republic of the Marshall Islands. All three facilities have been used by SpaceX in the past, but they've had difficulties launching rockets from California due to bureaucratic red tape and lack of flexibility on the part of the Air Force to give a launch window for their activities.

      If the payloads are Air Force payloads, I think that problem isn't going to be too hard to solve. SpaceX is hoping to get the USAF as a customer.

    25. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Still, you most certainly could use the Falcon 9 Heavy to launch nearly a hundred passengers, life support, flight attendants & crew, and stowage for those passengers into low-earth orbit if that is something you wanted to try. That was the point of the comment, especially how Musk talked about how the F9-H could also be used to repeat the Apollo 8 cis-lunar orbital trajectory with the Dragon Capsule and a crew of at least 3, plus food, life support for a week, and fuel for orbital maneuvering. The only thing you would lack would be a lunar lander, and that conceivably could even be sent up on a second launcher for an in-orbit rendezvous if you wanted to repeat Neil Armstrong's adventure. The Dragon capsule is being rated for such a return trajectory from the Moon.

      And all that for less than a billion dollars in R&D, including test launches.

    26. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      If you wanted to go to Mars on a SpaceX vehicle, wait for the Falcon XX-Heavy launcher, which is supposed to have the equivalent of 27 engines all of the equivalent of the F1 motors that were used on the first stage of the Saturn V. SpaceX is calling them "Merlin 2" engines if you want to Google the specs. That is some serious tonnage to space, but still on the future drawing boards for the company.

      What happened today is that the F9-Heavy, one of the original concept vehicles from back when SpaceX was first formed (actually the Falcon 5-Heavy, but that idea morphed into the F9-H shortly thereafter) has finally had the main design formally set down instead of a rough concept and goal. The design has been formally set down on paper down to the nuts, bolts, wires, and everything needed to build the thing. The design is done now, and all that is really needed is to build the thing. Since the engines are already flying on the Falcon 9 and have even been into space already, it is mostly an incremental improvement of the basic concepts that have already flown.

      The big deal design concepts are the tank interconnects between the side boosters and the main core engine, which will drain the side booster tanks first before they are jettisoned, turning the vehicle into essentially a 3-stage craft. It is a novel design idea that I'm not familiar with being used before except by some experimental rockets on a small scale.

    27. Re:Leave it Fox.. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      While not a primary objective so far as SpaceX is willing to sacrifice the boosters as is customary for most rocket systems on the market today, SpaceX is trying to make at least the first stage of their rockets to be fully reusable, or at least recoverable so they can be reviewed for engineering purposes and provide some feedback to improve manufacturing quality.

      If SpaceX is able to recover the 1st stage boosters, it will be an improvement over the Shuttle and most other system, and could conceivably offer a huge drop in price if refurbishing those booster stages for reuse could be done cheaply too.

      The Space Shuttle never achieved the fruits of its reusability for many reasons, most of which is because some stupid choices were made in terms of what components could be reused and the fact that "reuse" on the Shuttle was almost a complete tear-down and rebuilding of the Shuttle after each mission. It was good in concept, but poorly implemented on the Shuttle.

    28. Re:Leave it Fox.. by sznupi · · Score: 1

      If you'd also first spend few billions for a spacecraft capable of that (& rocket cost becoming quite small part of each launch)... plus "most certainly" is too strong of a word, seeing crew to mass ratios of existing spacecraft; 30 would be a safer bet. Especially since it might very well be beyond the practical sizes of capsules, so you need a lifting reentry with all its mass waste brought by airframe (yes, something a bit like Shuttle, which essentially wastes that way most of its launched to LEO mass... its size looks almost fine for this "100"... ups, two times too massive for F9H-class launcher)
      Realities for rockets are very different than for airliners; the launch mass of the latter isn't 95% fuel, and the small fuel they have isn't used up in less than 10 minutes.

      Generally, such scifi-inspired scenarios are... unimaginative. Give me a medium launcher, and I can send now probably at least a thousand people to any place of our system. Deep hibernation of miniaturized humans is routine...

      Also, you don't need heavy rockets for many missions, like that circumlunar one (and BTW, Russian lunar lander was the only fully flight qualified part of their Moon effort - it did few simulated test flights in LEO). In a spacecraft which we have few decades of experience with.

      Oh, and "less than a billion dollar in R&D" is a PR, don't believe it. NVM a) when was the last time SpaceX delivered something on time? b) where's the flaunted reusability / why they call their rockets like that? c) they merely are finally in the range of other inexpensive launchers. Most importantly... they're build on massive R&D investment from the past / talent / infrastructure (even using existing one). Saying "see, it took private industry just few hundred million dollars!" is an incincere BS, which stalinist libertarians and teabaggers want you to believe and propagate.
      (and that was of course THE POINT of past NASA investment in r&d, education, infrastructure)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  2. "maybe" cruising to mars? by tulcod · · Score: 5, Funny

    How can one not know whether his/her rocket is capable of making it to Mars? Are we talking superpositions here or what?

    1. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by ByOhTek · · Score: 5, Funny

      Maybe part of his team is using metric, and another part is using imperial?

      --
      Self proclaimed typo king, and inventor of the bear destroying coffee table (patent not pending).
    2. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by osu-neko · · Score: 3, Insightful

      How can one not know whether his/her rocket is capable of making it to Mars? Are we talking superpositions here or what?

      No, we're talking about reality. In reality, unlike in theory, it takes a lot more to get a rocket to Mars than engineering and sufficient power and fuel. It takes massive funding, political will, and the sustained support of both for several years. There's no engineering equation you can use to calculate if you'll make it to Mars -- the equation will only tell you whether you can do the easy part...

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    3. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Nyeerrmm · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because it depends on the engineering of what goes on top of it. The Falcon Heavy wouldn't actually go to Mars, it just has the heft to potentially launch a vehicle that could go there and back again in one shot.

      However, since no such vehicles exist or are far enough along in planning to have really believable numbers for mass and capabilities, its hard to say for sure.

      Add in that uncertainties in practical engineering for the launch vehicles certainly exist and its a very reasonable statement.

    4. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by FleaPlus · · Score: 4, Interesting

      No, we're talking about reality. In reality, unlike in theory, it takes a lot more to get a rocket to Mars than engineering and sufficient power and fuel. It takes massive funding, political will, and the sustained support of both for several years. There's no engineering equation you can use to calculate if you'll make it to Mars -- the equation will only tell you whether you can do the easy part...

      Actually, SpaceX's first demo launch of the Falcon Heavy in 2013 doesn't have a customer and they're self-funding it, so if they want to they can send it to pretty much anywhere in the inner solar system that they want. Heck, Elon Musk could even get part of his team to assemble his old Mars Oasis greenhouse project and try to land it on Mars if he wanted. Since it's self-funded, it's purely an engineering problem (perhaps with some PR thrown in for good measure).

    5. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Maybe" you're willing to buy the extra fuel necessary.
      "Maybe" you're willing to soak up several extra rads every day without adding extra shielding
      "Maybe" another vessel would be better suited.

      The space shuttle could cruise on to mars, but it would need an extra fuel source hooked up on orbit, and the radiation in interplanetary space would kill the occupants, but probably not before starvation or madness did.

    6. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by GooberToo · · Score: 2

      No, we're talking about reality. In reality, unlike in theory,

      Right there you just lost many a slashdot reader. I'll say no more else their heads may explode.

    7. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by smelch · · Score: 0

      Oh yes, if he can fund a test launch, he can surely fund a trip to mars to set up a greenhouse. That makes total sense.

      --
      If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
    8. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Surt · · Score: 1

      Well, you can think your rocket is capable, but you can't know until you arrive.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    9. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by killkillkill · · Score: 5, Funny

      To be fair, that error actually got NASA closer to Mars.

    10. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by FleaPlus · · Score: 2

      > Oh yes, if he can fund a test launch, he can surely fund a trip to mars to set up a greenhouse. That makes total sense.

      If he wants to, pretty much, yeah. The work SpaceX has already been doing with heat shields, solar power, and propulsive landing potentially makes it even more feasible now than it was back when Musk would have had to start from scratch. The biggest barrier he faced back in 2001 was the cost of launch. Here's a more recent (2009) recollection of Musk's about the Mars Oasis project:

      http://spectrum.ieee.org/aerospace/space-flight/risky-business/0

      At first, I thought I'd use some of my PayPal money to popularize the idea of life on Mars. I settled on a mission called Mars Oasis, which would land a small robotic greenhouse that would establish life on another planet and show great images of green plants on a red background. It would get the public excited, and we'd learn a lot about what it takes to sustain plant life on the surface of Mars.
      I quickly found that the biggest obstacle was the cost of the launch. A U.S. Delta II rocket would cost $60 million, while a refurbished Russian intercontinental ballistic missile would cost $10 million -- without the necessary third stage.
      I gathered a group of engineers from the space industry to find a way to get the launch cost down. We determined that we could do it by optimizing the design for cost and by making the rocket reusable. Of course, we also had to ensure that it performed at least as well as other available rockets. I dropped the greenhouse idea; my goal now was to make it technically and financially possible to extend life to Mars. In 2002 I founded Space Exploration Technologies.

    11. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      Maybe the government will send it to Mars, maybe they wont. Even the space shuttle could have gone to mars, they just never sent it.

    12. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Actually sounds quite doable, essentially something like the Mars rovers except stationary with seeds to grow. If you land with just seeds you can take the same landing approach they did - COMPLETELY unfeasible with humans.

      I'm skeptical if they can keep it warm enough though, the rovers only produce a few watts - far too little to be used as a space heater. You will need a very good heat trap/isolator.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    13. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...so if they want to they can send it to pretty much anywhere in the inner solar system that they want.

      Nope. The Falcon Heavy goes to orbit, carrying 50 tonnes of rock. If they want to replace those 50 tonnes of rock with a 50-tonne spacecraft that will go from Earth orbit to Mars (or elsewhere), they have to design, fund and build that, too.

    14. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Unless they could aim absolutely perfectly its unlikely they could hit Mars with the Space Shuttle, it doesn't typically carry the fuel supply to manage the guidance changes required along the way, especially if you plan on using any gravity assists to get there in a reasonable time without going splat when you get there. It certainly couldnt' carry humans to Mars without major reconfiguration.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    15. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by uvajed_ekil · · Score: 1

      How can one not know whether his/her rocket is capable of making it to Mars?

      Probably because his rocket, like any rocket, would not actually ever go to Mars. However, it is capable of lobbing something pretty damn big and heavy into orbit, perhaps enabling an efficiently-designed interplanatary vehicle to make the rest of the trip. No lift vehicle is designed to complete the trip, but a good one gets you off the ground, which is the first step.

      --
      This is a hacked account, for which the owner can not be held responsible.
    16. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      ...so if they want to they can send it to pretty much anywhere in the inner solar system that they want.

      Nope. The Falcon Heavy goes to orbit, carrying 50 tonnes of rock. If they want to replace those 50 tonnes of rock with a 50-tonne spacecraft that will go from Earth orbit to Mars (or elsewhere), they have to design, fund and build that, too.

      That doesn't seem to be a particularly tough problem for SpaceX, and getting something to work in space isn't nearly as difficult of a problem as getting something up to LEO in the first place. Throw on some sort of prototype ion drive propulsion system on something like the "RatSat" that SpaceX flew on their Falon 1 launch #4, and there might be something interesting going on.

      SpaceX flew a wheel of cheese with their last Falcon 9 launch, I wouldn't put it past Elon to try something a bit more audacious for this launch of the Falcon 9 Heavy. He might offer a "free ride" to some of the Google Lunar X-Prize teams at the very least, who would be more than willing to provide the spacecraft systems once they get to LEO.

    17. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The F9-Heavy is certainly going to be able to put more mass into LEO than the Delta IV-Heavy, which has routinely put vehicles on Mars over the past couple of decades. As for a sample-return mission, yes, that hasn't been done yet, but the requirements for such a mission are certainly well known and putting something on Mars would not be a problem for a vehicle like this Falcon 9-Heavy.

      Believable numbers? I guess Spirit and Opportunity are simply wandering around somewhere in Arizona and it is a fiction that those photos they are sending back represent anything real on another planet. Since these fictional vehicles never got to Mars, I guess we don't know anything about how large of a rocket is needed to put vehicles like these on that other planet. Uncertainties? Well, if you never got off the Earth in the first place and have never actually been in space (these vehicles are wandering around next to the Apollo studios where the astronauts did the lunar landings) I suppose nobody knows what it takes to actually launch something into orbit in the first place.

      I would dare say that the calculations for going to Mars are known quite well, with plenty of real-world experience and real missions that have already happened. Think about it.

    18. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The Space Shuttle could never go to Mars, even if you somehow put an external tank into orbit, fully fueled, and ready to burn the shuttle main engines to perform a maneuver needed to acquire the delta-v necessary for a mission to Mars. Simply put, it was never designed for that mission in mind.

      The least of which is that the Shuttle has components that break down after about 30 days in space. With some careful swapping out of components assuming it is also docked to the ISS, it might survive up to about 90 days pushing it real hard, but then it wouldn't be reliable enough to bring back to the Earth and would have to be scuttled (left to drift back hoping it would crash into the Pacific Ocean on some uninhabited piece of open water).

      There are many reasons why the Shuttle never left LEO, and it is more than just fuel.

    19. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Nyeerrmm · · Score: 1

      There and back is a very different proposition than simply going there. I'm certainly aware that we know how to get to Mars. In fact I'm working on a Mars orbiter mission plan right now (I'm a JPL navigation engineer). I worked on a (slightly ridiculous) sample return concept back when I was in undergrad so I have some grasp of what it takes.

      There have been studies on sample returns, but nothing really past the proposal stage. Currently it involves multiple vehicles, missions, and funding authorizations. The Falcon Heavy would most likely enable a one-shot sample return, but I'm not one to say certainly on something like that, particularly with the problems finding the funding for that size of flagship mission.

      Also, I admit, I had mis-interpreted this as a claim to enabling a manned Mars mission, since thats Elon's stated goal. Those are even less well studied (landing is an ugly prospect) and I'd be concerned about anyone who could say with certainty this would enable that. My mistake -- and I don't mean that sarcastically.

    20. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I'll also admit that going to Mars with a manned mission is a tough nut to crack. Heck, even landing on Mars is seemingly a tougher challenge than almost any other spaceflight technical challenge for a number or reasons, mostly because Mars has an atmosphere which exists (so it has to be dealt with) but not thick enough to be useful. Landing on Mars would be much easier if it simply lacked an atmosphere altogether. That is one of the reasons why even now a successful landing on Mars is still a hit or miss proposition, where the "hit" too often is fatal even for robotic missions. Yeah, I get the challenges involved, where seemingly pure luck is a mission requirement when dealing with Mars.

      If the NATLUS-X concept ever gets some attention, it may be possible to use something like the Falcon 9-H to assemble a serious mission to Mars with a dozen flights or so. That puts the price tag for a mission to Mars down to mere billions and would require some of the in-orbit assembly experience gained from building the ISS. Even so, that is going to require some substantial R&D even to get to that stage and a commitment from somebody with a pile of cash willing to put the thing together (with looks at the federal government).

      The speculation about using the Falcon 9-Heavy for a manned cislunar flyby (aka recreating the Apollo 8 flight) sounds a bit more interesting. The Dragon capsule would be more than sufficient for such a journey (perhaps even a bit roomy compared to the Apollo command capsule) and the technical challenges aren't nearly so huge. The only tough challenge would be building a service module for the Dragon that could have the delta-v to go from LEO to the Moon and back. I would dare say anybody taking such a trip would get instant world-wide media attention that would rival the Apollo flights.

    21. Re:"maybe" cruising to mars? by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      Doesn't have a customer -yet-.

      --
      This is blinging
  3. But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by LWATCDR · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Call me when we have something that can out lift the Saturn V. Yes I know they say this will cheaper but still I expected us to be much farther along than we are.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    1. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by avgjoe62 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm glad someone else noticed this. The Saturn V had a payload capacity of 260,000 pounds and peak thrust of at least 7,500,000 pounds. They may be saying that this is the biggest thrust and payload among operational rockets, but I'd still like to see the ratio of (thrust/payload)/cost. That is where I'd really like to see improvement.

      --

      How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

    2. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      Why? We're much better at orbital assembly now so we don't need the giant, all-the-eggs-in-one-basket rocket anymore. Cheap is MUCH more impressive.

    3. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Nyeerrmm · · Score: 1

      Why do you need something bigger than a Saturn V? Who's to say, smaller vehicles with on-orbit refueling aren't a better approach?

      We're at a point now where we really are making real progress. We're moving past the command-and-control approach to exploration taken in Apollo (and proven to fail without extremely high funding levels by the post-Apollo era) and getting to a place where we can do interesting things with sustainable budgets.

      The great thing about this concept is that it is not a one-off design. Even if there is only a demand for one of these every three to five years, the fact that it is mostly built from Falcon 9 parts (for which there is a proven market) means that it can be available to be built-to-order without much extra overhead. This is where the big advances in space exploration need to come from right now, not advances in technology, but advances in business and manufacturing practices. We're good at building efficient rockets at this point, but we're not good at keeping them on-time and on-budget.

    4. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by digitalnoise615 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm glad someone else noticed this. The Saturn V had a payload capacity of 260,000 pounds and peak thrust of at least 7,500,000 pounds. They may be saying that this is the biggest thrust and payload among operational rockets, but I'd still like to see the ratio of (thrust/payload)/cost. That is where I'd really like to see improvement.

      Estimated to be around $1,000/ton to orbit. Nothing comes close at this point to that figure, and it's all down-hill from there once it's reached. The Saturn V was/is a beautiful machine - but it was rather inefficient.

    5. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the Saturn V program took a sensible "quit while we're ahead" termination. They were awesome rockets, and probably more than a little bit lucky that they didn't pull a Challenger.

      In other words: expense wasn't the only issue where 1960's boosters could have used some improvement.

    6. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unlike Saturn V, the Falcon Heavy
      1) doesn't require a gargantuan centralized government programme (Apollo)
      2) doesn't require 500k workers at 4% of GDP (SpaceX's employee tally runs in the lower 1000s)

      Saturn V got canceled for the wrong reasons, because it blew everything away at the time. Blame politics for its demise. This is a triumph for spaceflight, enabled by private enterprise.

    7. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by timster · · Score: 1

      If the price listed on the SpaceX website ($125M) is accurate, "we" are making progress, if by "we" you mean the people who actually work on this stuff rather than posting on Slashdot. Saturn V launches cost in the hundreds of millions each, in 1970 dollars.

      --
      I have seen the future, and it is inconvenient.
    8. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by ravenspear · · Score: 4, Informative

      $1000/lb not $1000/ton.

      But yes this is MUCH cheaper than the Saturn V, Shuttle, or anything else really.

    9. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by sandytaru · · Score: 2

      "Musk also claimed the Falcon Heavy would cost a third per flight than the Delta IV rocket, and sets a new world record for the cost per pound to orbit of around about a thousand dollars." Not an apples to apples comparison, but if he's claiming a new record, then it is pretty impressive. Any direct comparisons to the Saturn V would also need to take into account inflation, as the 1965 dollar was about six times as valuable as today's dollar. Ah, Wiki says: " In 1969, the cost of a Saturn V including launch was US $ 185 million (inflation adjusted US$ 1.11 billion in 2011)." Yikes.

      --
      Occasionally living proof of the Ballmer peak.
    10. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm all for powerful machines, but the Saturn V expended an incredible amount of fuel to lift the first few feet of it's launch. Didn't anyone take intro to physics?

      A few moderately sized rockets working together (staging in orbit etc) is much more fuel efficient and cost efficient overall than a gigantic (awesome) rocket.

    11. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by k6mfw · · Score: 1
      >Call me when we have something that can out lift the Saturn V.

      It has been said any proposal to develop a Saturn V class vehicle (heavy lift of 100 tons or more) is a non-starter. Reasons are development costs would so expensive Congress will never approve such a program. And if they did, there would be no money left for spacecraft development. Dennis Wingo has presented this argument many times on nasawatch.com and I agree. For many decades ***nothing*** has come about except proposals and artwork.

      Even for Saturn V, they stopped production (back when we had lotsa $$$ to spend) because it was unsustainable. When Ares V was proposed, it hit with a thud because it was a big expensive one-shot use for simply flying to the moon while we still debate as why.

      But.... this Falcon looks really interesting (it's big but not too big) and I like the schedule because I will not be dead of old age when it finally flies.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    12. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Eponymous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I don't think you can use standard inflation rates for high tech equipment. Consider how much you could accomplish with $1000 of computer time in 1969 with what $1000 of computer time will get you today.

    13. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by khallow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Call me when we have something that can out lift the Saturn V. Yes I know they say this will cheaper but still I expected us to be much farther along than we are.

      Why? The Space Shuttle sucked the oxygen out of the room for large rocket development and Griffin, the previous NASA administrator, followed up with an incompetent, underfunded attempt. As I see it, 53 metric tons to LEO at SpaceX prices is a far better deal than making some ludicrously expensive Saturn V class rocket.

      Keep in mind also that SpaceX's designs scale quite nicely to Saturn V class level. I'd rather give them the chance to prove themselves with smaller rockets first than get pouty because SpaceX doesn't meet somebody's overblown expectations.

    14. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by ravenspear · · Score: 1

      The great thing about this concept is that it is not a one-off design. Even if there is only a demand for one of these every three to five years, the fact that it is mostly built from Falcon 9 parts (for which there is a proven market) means that it can be available to be built-to-order without much extra overhead.

      There would be significant overhead for that low a flight right.

      Musk stated in the announcement that to meet the $1000/lb figure it would have to launch at least 4 times per year.

    15. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by ravenspear · · Score: 1

      It has been said any proposal to develop a Saturn V class vehicle (heavy lift of 100 tons or more) is a non-starter. Reasons are development costs would so expensive Congress will never approve such a program.

      Congress passed a bill last year that says NASA must build a new rocket titled the Space Launch System with a payload evolvable to 130 tons (Saturn V class), so this statement is not correct.

    16. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by goodmanj · · Score: 1

      I don't think you get to claim a record until your rocket gets off the pad and delivers payload to orbit.

    17. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by lennier1 · · Score: 1

      Call me when we have something that can out lift the Saturn V. Yes I know they say this will cheaper but still I expected us to be much farther along than we are.

      You don't even need to aim that high. They're gunning for the Delta IV Heavy, which is said to manage a payload of roughly 13,500 lbs into GSO.
      They want to reach more than twice of that. Let's assume 30,000 lbs.
      That would still place them well below the 44,000 lbs the over 20 years old Energiya could handle (even if you don't update the blueprints). And that's only the regular one. Imagine what the planned monster with twice as many boosters could've achieved!

    18. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Confusador · · Score: 3, Informative

      And then they promptly refused to fund it.

    19. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by sarahbau · · Score: 1

      I thought that seemed off by a few orders of magnitude. lol. $1,000 a ton would be pretty good for shipping freight on a truck.

    20. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by jcr · · Score: 1

      Does anyone even still sell computer time?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    21. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Saturn V had a payload capacity of 260,000 pounds and peak thrust of at least 7,500,000 pounds

      And it cost 682 000 000 pounds per launch.

    22. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by mdielmann · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Even Amazon does, nowadays. What do you think a virtual server is?

      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    23. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      If the price listed on the SpaceX website ($125M) is accurate, "we" are making progress, if by "we" you mean the people who actually work on this stuff rather than posting on Slashdot. Saturn V launches cost in the hundreds of millions each, in 1970 dollars.

      Someone above calculated the Saturn V launch costs, adjusted for inflation, is roughly $1.1 billion per launch. Even if the $125M per launch number is off by a factor of two, that means they can still launch four rockets for everyone one Saturn V. That provides for what, a 4x-8x improvement in efficiency? So yes, that's a big step forward, even if it takes multiple rockets to achieve what previously could be done with a single Saturn V launch.

    24. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by edremy · · Score: 3, Informative
      You're making the mistake of assuming that all high tech equipment improves at the same rate as microprocessors.

      The basic physics of rocket engines hasn't changed much at all, and can't given the limitations of the chemical fuels they use.

      • The F-1 engine on the first stage of the Saturn 5 had a specific impulse of 263 seconds, burning kerosene and LOX
      • The Merlin 1C engine on the first stage of the Falcon 9 has a specific impulse of 304 seconds, burning kerosene and LOX
      • The Space Shuttle main engine? 363 seconds, but it uses hydrogen and LOX

      That's not a lot of improvement in 40 years. Sure, there are some materials improvements and better, lighter avionics, but that doesn't buy you the massive improvement you see in other high tech areas

      --
      "Seven Deadly Sins? I thought it was a to-do list!"
    25. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Estimated to be around $1,000/ton to orbit.

      Hey, for a dollar a kilo I have some stuff that I might want to send to orbit. Musky flying dildos FTW!

    26. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Eponymous+Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm not assuming anything. I was just saying you can't assume that the Saturn V would cost 6x today what it cost in 1969. In fact, one of the main points of the article is that we should now be able to get stuff into orbit for about $1,000 / lb. I don't have Saturn V number, but I bet it was more than $170 / lb in 1969. So, while the physics haven't changed, the economics certainly have. I'm guessing a respectable chunk of that decline is related to advances in hardware and software.

    27. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you. You just basically crushed all the Space Nuttery out there in one fell swoop. As if a CPU is providing lift, or software can move objects. We're not only at peak oil, but peak thrust, peak materials and peak engineering. Space is over, folks. Hopping around Low Earth Orbit, taking pictures, and sending RC toys is all we can do.

    28. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      In 1969 we expected Pan Am to be flying passengers to the moon. In 1975 they where talking about O'Neil colonies at L5 with 10,000 people living in them and also at that time they where talking about 100 shuttle launches a year...
      Sorry but we are so far behind what was expected when I was a child that it is just depressing.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    29. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by imgumbydamnit · · Score: 1

      Now it's called cloud computing.

      --
      To err is human. To arr is pirate.
    30. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Confusador · · Score: 1

      GP is still right about saving overhead that's shared with the F9, as opposed to building something like the Ares V that you have to support in it's entirety. You've hit on my pet peeve about SpaceX, though, which is that they quote things based on what they are capable of, not what there's a market for.

    31. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      I agree but the the hype they are using ticks me off. If they had just said that they where going to launch their largest rocket ever or even the Falcon 9 Heavy. I am more anti hype then anti Space X. I actually think this is really very cool but I want my nuclear powered Orion class shuttle with Pan Am markings! It is 2011 and I have been lied too.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    32. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by RockClimbingFool · · Score: 1

      Congress loves to pass authorization bills. They don't enjoy passing the corresponding appropriation bills.

    33. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Call me when we have something that can out lift the Saturn V.

      That'll probably be never - and that's a good thing. Big heavy payloads costs in the billions-to-tens-of-billions range, which means that they are hard to get funded, which means we end up spending more billions keeping the heavy lifter on standby for the once-in-a-blue-moon heavy payload. Smaller rockets are cheaper to design, build, and operate* - and since they'll fly more often those costs and their fixed [annual] costs can be amortized over more flights. Smaller rockets are also more flexible because you can either launch them singly, or launch your cargoes in sections for on-orbit assembly.
       

      Yes I know they say this will cheaper but still I expected us to be much farther along than we are.

      There are other ways of making progress than simply increasing the size of your penile substitute. This whole attitude of "if it isn't Big and Very Bold has held making real progress back for decades.
       
      * With the caveat that cost scales only weakly with size and very strongly with complexity. This is why Pegasus is so much more expensive than other launchers in it's weight class. Like the Shuttle, it's flexibility and abilities come at a heavy price.

    34. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by jcr · · Score: 1

      Do they charge for time, or storage and bandwidth? I can't remember how long it's been since I've seen a bill that stated CPU time.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    35. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by LWATCDR · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The Saturn V was produced in small numbers and using 1960s cost was no option development. Using modern production methods the cost should be much lower if they produced it today. Frankly the only parts I would keep from the old Saturn program would be the F-1A which they never flew and the J-2 which we just developed new versions of. Use LiAL for the tanks and user modern electronics and it could cost a lot less.
      The Falcon 9 Heavy is really cool. It is the hype that is rubbing me the wrong way.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    36. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by holmstar · · Score: 1

      The Falcon Heavy is cheap (or is expected to be) at $1000/lb. For comparison, it cost about ten times that to launch a payload on the Space Shuttle.

    37. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Lincolnshire+Poacher · · Score: 1

      How about the Soviet Energia? It launched Polyus and Buran.

      35,000 kN at lift-off versus 34,000 kN for a Saturn V. 100 tonnes to LEO.

    38. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by LWATCDR · · Score: 0

      I guess you are.
      a. a Space X fanboi
      or
      b, kind of clueless.

      I mean really Space X is the one with size issues. They are the ones that put out the headline saying they where building "The World's Biggest Rocket".
      It is the hype that ticks me off. Had the headline was SpaceX is producing the cheapest rocket or a new breakthrough in launch costs then I would have never bothered to make a comment.
      But really when they are not even matching the old Saturn V and bragging about size? Yea they need to be called out.
      Now putting aside the hype this is really cool and I am really looking forward to seeing this go up. I can probably see the launch from my office window.
      But as to being disappointed yes I am. I was a child during Apollo and we where told that we would have space stations, and moon bases by now. We sort of have a space station but it sure is tiny compared to what we where supposed to have by now. When was a kid I was disappointed that I was too young to be the first man to land on mars. Now I fear I am so old that I may live to see the first man land on Mars.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    39. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Uh, yes, which is why the Falcon Heavy is more impressive than a Saturn V even though it can lift less.

    40. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From the press release:

      Please note that Falcon Heavy should not be confused with the super heavy lift rocket program being debated by the U.S. Congress. That vehicle is authorized to carry between 70-130 metric tons to orbit. SpaceX agrees with the need to develop a vehicle of that class as the best way to conduct a large number of human missions to Mars.

    41. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by maxhead42 · · Score: 1

      Estimated to be around $1,000/ton to orbit. Nothing comes close at this point to that figure, and it's all down-hill from there once it's reached. The Saturn V was/is a beautiful machine - but it was rather inefficient.

      An excellent rate indeed! In comparison, the cost by sea freight from Salaberry-de-Valleyfield, Québec to Resolute Bay, Nunavet is just $421/ton. Somewhat slower, certainly not as elegant but similar in that departures are not on demand but planned well in advance. Departure dates can vary because of weather. Saturn V never had to deal with wind driven pack ice or icebergs, though. For a little over twice as much, we could orbit our winter's supply of beans and beer instead of dropping it on the tundra.

    42. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Oh come now! We've barely scratched the surface of what nuclear rockets can do.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    43. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Be nice to them. They'll figure out how to strap on 2 or 3 more Falcon 9s to get it up to the equal of what we had in 1967.

    44. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by k6mfw · · Score: 1
      >And then they promptly refused to fund it.

      Exactly. This is why to never go down that road of HLV, even if funded this year does not mean it will be funded in later years. A lot can happen in just a few years, there may be another war in a few years.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    45. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      True but the cost of the Saturn V was spread over very few launches and they where produced at a very low rate. With modern manufacturing methods like 3D CAD systems, modern materials like LiAl, and modern electronics there are some savings to be had. You are correct that it will be no where near what we have seen in microprocessors but even there are savings that could be had. The other thing is I didn't say we should build Saturn Vs just that this wasn't bigger than the Saturn. Now parts of the Saturn like the F-1a which never flew and the J-2x are still interesting today. Maybe a Saturn Va using modernized F-1a and the J-2X along with the a LiAl structure would be worth having.
      As to the Falcon 9 Heavy? Well people seem to think I am down on it. I am not because it is progress. My comment was on the size hype that SpaceX was pushing.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    46. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by TheEyes · · Score: 2

      Choose your shipping method:

      [ ] Ground
      [ ] Air
      [X] Semiballistic

      When you need it halfway around the world in less than an hour, choose SpaceX Freight!

    47. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by avgjoe62 · · Score: 1

      I want to be nice to them. I'd really like to see them be able to lift the same payload for less cost per pound (in inflation adjusted dollars) then what was possible with Saturn, with hopefully the same failure rate. I want them to make significant improvements and even exceed what Saturn did. I REALLY want their business to succeed.

      --

      How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

    48. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by hey! · · Score: 1

      It'd be interesting to hear the number of launches they need to make a profit at that price. I'm assuming the price is based on an average price, which in turn is calculated by assuming the fixed costs of development can be spread over some minimum number of launches.

      If the number of paying launches were, say, *1*, I doubt very much they'd be able to make money at that price.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    49. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Don't measure progress relative to "what was expected" - that's completely arbitrary. (At least until you get as far as investing money on a specific capability).

      Dreamers and sci-fi authors are just that, fiction.

    50. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by PickyH3D · · Score: 1

      Amazon. It's making a comeback.

    51. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by FleaPlus · · Score: 2

      It'd be interesting to hear the number of launches they need to make a profit at that price. I'm assuming the price is based on an average price, which in turn is calculated by assuming the fixed costs of development can be spread over some minimum number of launches.

      If the number of paying launches were, say, *1*, I doubt very much they'd be able to make money at that price.

      If I recall correctly, the break-even number stated during the press conference was 4 Falcon Heavies (and presumably 4 Falcon 9's) a year. The capacity they're presently aiming for is 10 FH's and 10 F9's.

      I assume this also doesn't include SpaceX's quest to reuse the first stages and accompanying engines. Since the side-mounted stages actually separate earlier, reuse will hopefully be easier to accomplish with the FH than the F9.

    52. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oblig wikipedia link.

    53. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I guess you are.
      a. a Space X fanboi
      or
      b, kind of clueless.

      You forgot "c. knowledgeable and not biased".
       

      I mean really Space X is the one with size issues. They are the ones that put out the headline saying they where building "The World's Biggest Rocket".
      It is the hype that ticks me off. Had the headline was SpaceX is producing the cheapest rocket or a new breakthrough in launch costs then I would have never bothered to make a comment.
      But really when they are not even matching the old Saturn V and bragging about size? Yea they need to be called out.

      Had you called SpaceX out, you'd have a point. But whiny bitching about not being as big as a now obsolete dinosaur and complaining that they aren't making your virtual penis big enough and hard enough is not "calling out".
       

      But as to being disappointed yes I am. I was a child during Apollo and we where told that we would have space stations, and moon bases by now. We sort of have a space station but it sure is tiny compared to what we where supposed to have by now.

      You're still a child - a whiny, bitchy, clueless, delusional one. We were never 'supposed' to have anything at any given time. We were never 'promised' anything.

      Grow the fuck up.

    54. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      The Saturn V was produced in small numbers and using 1960s cost was no option development. Using modern production methods the cost should be much lower if they produced it today.

      Well, in a universe where the Saturn V was developed using 'cost is no option' (by which I assume you mean 'cost is no consideration'), you'd have a point. But here in the real world, NASA was considerably budget limited. Which is why they went with the Saturn V to start with - LOR was the only option that fit within the budget and the timeline.
       
      Not to mention that production wasn't the real cost driver - it was the enormous number of man hours required for assembly, checkout, and launch.

    55. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're at the peak of chemical rockets power. We have a fair amount of improvement in materials technology (lighter/stronger), and completely different forms of lift (nuclear fission/fusion, primarily, although space elevators, ground-based lasers, etc. are remote possibilities). Most importantly, the underlying economy of space travel can change greatly based on scale, motivation, politics, and societal change.

    56. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by shadowfaxcrx · · Score: 1

      http://www.artvalue.com/photos/auction/0/44/44130/duesenberg-vehicles-model-j-engine-2025489.jpg

      That's the engine from a Duesenberg Model J. It's an 8 cylinder 5.2L engine that produced 265hp.

      We're making power like that from 2-3L 4 cylinders now.

      I'm sure someone back then said "the Duesenberg's engine is the pinnacle. No one will ever build an engine that can do better."

      And now that engine is eclipsed by the engine in the Chevy Cobalt.

      In short, just because we think we know all there is to know about making an engine does not mean that 50 years from now someone won't make a much better one.

      --
      "I disagree with you" does not equal "flamebait."
    57. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Nutria · · Score: 1

      Congress loves to pass authorization bills. They don't enjoy passing the corresponding appropriation bills.

      And then vilify as baby-killing Hitlers the Republican governors who must clean up the fiscal mess that the states wind up in.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    58. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Yea you use the term child yet you use language that is only impressive to an 8th grader. As to growing up stop trying to show off that you have learned those naughty words that you mommy didn't want you to know.
      You are also humorless and frankly just not entertaining.
      I dismiss you as a child that thinks they understand more than they do. You may go now.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    59. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Eponymous+Coward · · Score: 1
    60. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by grahamwest · · Score: 1

      At that point you're really building a new rocket which happens to look like a Saturn V. Changing the thrust means changing the thrust structure and the plumbing, the latter of which is highly optimised (read about POGO and their solution to it). Changing the tank and/or skin composition is a radical change, too. Lastly, the avionics would need a modern re-do. The old Saturn V one is the Instrument Unit http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saturn_V_Instrument_Unit and was completely custom, with an analog computer among other things. Of course that can all be done and you're right that modern techniques may be superior, but designing a new rocket is a very expensive thing.

      SpaceX's big advantage is their vertical integration. They build everything in house from software to engine nozzles and they do take advantage of volume manufacturing as you discussed. That's why they're so cheap compared to the existing companies.

      Lastly, Energia was also higher payload than Falcon Heavy. Like Saturn V it was infeasibly expensive to operate routinely.

      --
      Graham
    61. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed, that poster is a prick.

      Don't let assholes get you down.

    62. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by ravenspear · · Score: 0

      Well the budget has not been passed yet. NASA's budget (whenever it gets one) will include funding for it.

    63. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Call me when we have something that can out lift the Saturn V.

      >

      I've got an Estes rocket that can out lift the only Saturn V's we have left. They both sat outside as lawn ornamants at JSC and KSC for the better part of 40 years, at least now they've been moved indoors where they won't decay from birdshit anymore.

      Call me when they start up the Saturn V production lines again.

      I expected us to be much farther along than we are.

      So did we all. Sigh

    64. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you are never going to see much of a change either, because as you stated, it is a limitation of the fuel, not of 'technology'. And the SSME's are I believe extracting 98% of the theoretical specific impulse limit. Considering the cost, it would probably be much more cost effective to go the other route and lower the specific impulse but lower the cost per specific impulse (though I don't believe anyone would ever use that as a valid metric lol)

    65. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Yeah but there's this thing called diminishing returns...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    66. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      i wonder if this is how people reacted when planes started taking to the skies.

    67. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The numbers they are quoting is rather conservative in terms of making a profit. From what I've seen, they only need a dozen or so flights to be able to recoup the costs of the R&D.

      SpaceX is a very lean manufacturing company in terms of expenses for making the rockets they are building, and they are really able to make a whole bunch of money even at this low price. Some of the ways they are reducing costs is through massive automation (they are using some advanced robotics for many of their manufacturing processes), and the fact that they outsource almost nothing. Since the entire manufacturing chain from raw materials to the finished product all happen within a block of each other and everybody involved are all SpaceX employees, they are also able to cut out waste and paperwork.

      Since the whole project is being built with private funds and not a government contract, they don't give a damn about paperwork except for what is purely needed for FAA clearance to get the thing off the ground. Quality assurance is happening, but they don't have a NASA or Air Force inspector breathing down their neck 24/7/365. If there is some way to do the project cheaper, all they have to do is ask a manager (ultimately just Elon Musk, who has an office on-site) and the change happens. No fuss, no fancy approval process, and certainly no ass-kissing to some congressional aide.

      In spite of the fact that SpaceX has really only sent up one successful commercial payload and received a partial payment for the successful completion of the Dragon capsule with the most recent flight from NASA, SpaceX is being "forced" by the IRS to report profits and has actually been a "profitable company" for the past 3 years. Investment capital, such as is flowing into the company right now, is mainly being used to accelerate the growth of the company and is not strictly needed in terms of general operating costs. SpaceX is very much a for-profit business, and they are making a profit even now.

      On top of all of that, the most complex part of the whole product line really is the Merlin engine, which is being used on all of their products, from the Falcon 1, Falcon 9, and now the Falcon 9-H. Since the number of engines being produced certainly is substantially greater than "1", they are able to apply production line economies of scale to their manufacturing processes. I heard Elon Musk say that they were planning on a production capacity of at least 100 engines per year, which is about 2-3 engines per week. He is actually anticipating going as large as 10x that production rate eventually if the market can keep up, which is a couple of engines each day, or about a dozen launches per year between all of the various launch vehicles. At that production rate, some very interesting economies of scale can certainly happen that haven't been applied to the rocket launcher business before.

      Personally, I think SpaceX and especially Elon Musk is going to be laughing all of the way to the bank with the pile of money he will be making with these rockets.

    68. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      If that was the case, why were signs plastered all over the major contractors that proclaimed "waste anything but time" during the Apollo era?

      Yes, the Apollo program did have a budget and they were pushing to being able to have something which was affordable given the goals and circumstances, but given the huge portion of the federal budget which went towards NASA in the 1960's, cost was not really a major driver other than ideas so outlandish that they simply couldn't be used at all were dropped and ignored.

      After about 1966-68 (roughly) cost considerations became much more important and there were huge pushes to cut back on Apollo. Even while Apollo 8 was going around the Moon, missions were starting to be cut already and activities for future missions in space were significantly scaled back. Still, in terms of getting to the Moon in the first place NASA was pretty much given a blank check and told to do whatever it took to achieve the goal.

    69. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I've argued many times that had NASA simply abandoned the Shuttle design (looking back to the 1970's with 20/20 hindsight and not really something which could have been anticipated back then) and stuck with the Saturn series of vehicles, it is very likely that NASA could have flown all of the astronauts, missions, and even built the ISS for the same cost if not substantially cheaper than using the STS system that was eventually built.

      Sticking ISS modules on the top of a Saturn V certainly would have been much cheaper than flying them on the Shuttle, and they would have been much roomier too, with fewer flights needed as a side benefit.

      In a retro-fiction speculation, it would be interesting to think about what the Saturn V would have looked like in the 21st Century with several decades of incremental changes and more or less continuous usage of the Apollo flight systems. Certainly there would have been "glass cockpits" that were eventually added to the Shuttle as well as refined avionics and other components that certainly would have been added too. A 21st Century Apollo spacecraft would have been a completely different vehicle, but still would have a clear heritage and it would have been a solid workhorse of a spacecraft.... as the Soyuz spacecraft currently is.

      The sad thing is that nothing NASA is currently doing has any heritage at all. It seems like any time any sort of project gets going, it is going to be terminated, sometimes before "metal is bent". Of all of the things NASA has worked on, the last manned spaceflight system they have been able to get from the drawing board to the launch pad has been the Space Shuttle, and that happened during the Nixon administration. That sounds like a strong record to work from and one to have some faith that the next big thing might actually get built.

    70. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      SpaceX has to be deliberately vague about commercial partners because many of them don't want their names plastered all over the news... at least not until there is a proven flight system that has a record of successful flights.

      SpaceX would not be building this vehicle if there wasn't customers already in the pipeline ready to use the vehicle, just as there is already a fairly substantial manifest of customers waiting in line right now to be using the F9 and F1e. The customers are there, but they are not being so open about them until after the test flights have been completed.

      SpaceX clearly thinks there is a market for this vehicle, and I am inclined to believe them when they say that they can produce a steady stream of about 10 launches per year of the F9-H. It may not be nearly so many, but with the drop in price there certainly are going to be some customers who previously wouldn't have purchased a launcher which now can afford it.

      The real trick that SpaceX is going to face is if they have hit upon an elastic or inelastic supply/demand curve. It can be argued successfully that at least for the current generation of people who buy spaceflight services that the number of flights and the amount of money available to spend upon these flights is pretty much fixed. If you cut spaceflight costs, all that really happens is that the payloads get a few extra bells and whistles that otherwise wouldn't be there. The same number of launches still happen (a pitiful few) and it is the payload manufacturing groups who get to keep the money instead of the launcher companies.

      What SpaceX is hoping for is that new markets will emerge and that prove the preceding philosophy as being in error and that there are a great many people who would go into space for various things... if only there was a rocket cheap enough to be able to justify going up into space in the first place.

      About the only new market I can definitively count upon to justify this substantially lower price point is space tourism, which indeed grows faster as you drop the price. Still, even at $1000/kg, you are going to be hard pressed to find millionaires willing to spend their fortune for the privilege of going into space except for the hard-core space geeks. Other proven space related markets are already quite saturated and really don't care about substantially lower prices for access to space.

    71. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Congress also failed to give any reason or note any program that was going to use the rocket. Its only purpose: To keep aerospace engineers busy over the next decade. It was a stinking WPA program doing the space equivalent of moving a mountain of rocks from one side of the highway to the other and then back.

      This is a rocket whose first action after it has flown the first test rocket is to terminate the program and send everybody home..... sort of like how the Ares I-X flew just one flight (sub-orbital at that) and then the whole Ares program was terminated as not cost effective. And we want that whole process repeated?

      NASA should not be a jobs program for engineers. Besides, making a rocket program and then canceling the program before it flies is a good way to burn out perfectly good engineers. Engineers want to build something that works, not just collect a paycheck. Then again, these companies involved likely don't have any real engineers left who want to build stuff.

    72. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Who is going to use this "super heavy" rocket? There are customers for the Delta IV Heavy and a proven market for geo-synch satellites. For much larger vehicles, the proven market simply isn't there or comes up so seldom that it is really not worth building.

      Oh, on a rare occasion, perhaps once or twice a decade, there is a legitimate project that could use a larger rocket. That isn't enough of a demand to justify building such a huge vehicle and even RKK Energia couldn't justify keeping rockets of that class in their product line for the same economic reason.

      If there was a major project that required multiple copies of such a super-heavy launcher, such as building a replacement for the ISS, another manned lunar exploration program, or a manned program to Mars, building such a large rocket might be justified. Get the program going first and the launcher will come so such a large rocket can be justified and that more than one can be built. Unfortunately for these rocket manufacturing companies, Congress doesn't want to authorize and pay for such a program which would actually use such a vehicle.

      This isn't just "updating the blueprints", it is maintaining the entire supply chain so that you can build the thing when you need it. If you only build one per decade, you don't maintain that supply chain.

    73. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      All SpaceX said is that this is going to be the largest rocket currently in production. Can you refute that statement? The other headlines are things which were produced by clueless reporters who grabbed the first things that was said and made that as a headline. The press conference clearly emphasized many other things, including the substantially cheaper cost to orbit (rockets are much more efficient when they are larger) and some design concpets such as the booster stage interconnect that hasn't been used before. If you had bothered to watch the bloody press conference itself you would see that SpaceX talked about a great many other things besides "gee, we got a big rocket, don't we?"

      BTW, while I don't always agree with DerekLyons and his conclusions, the last thing I would ever accuse him of being is clueless. For space related topics, he is perhaps one of the most clueful people I have seen post on Slashdot. Calling him otherwise only demonstrates your immaturity and inability to actually read what he has written.

    74. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what about russian Energia rocket?

      Payload to
      LEO 100,000 kg (220,462 lb) (200,000 kg (Vulkan))

      Payload to
      GSO 20,000 kg (44,093 lb)

      The rocket had the capacity to place about 100 metric tons in Low Earth orbit, up to 20 t to the geostationary orbit and up to 32 t to the lunar mission trajectory.

    75. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If we're really going to speculate about what NASA could have done with or without the shuttle, why not think about how big of a station we could have now if we had parked all those shuttle main tanks someplace.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    76. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      If you have something to launch that requires Saturn V capabilities, Musk will probably design something for you. If you don't, he won't have to waste the money that could be spent elsewhere.

      --
      This is blinging
    77. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by nebosuke · · Score: 1

      Do they charge for time, or storage and bandwidth?

      All of the above. Processor time is ridiculously cheap nowadays though (e.g., Amazon EC2 rates vary from cents to dollars per hour for the range from modest virtual machines to virtual compute clusters with serious horsepower).

    78. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by holmstar · · Score: 1

      I thought you were saying that the Falcon Heavy wasn't impressive because it was it was aimed at heavy lift and not cost efficiency, but after re-reading your comment I realize I was mistaken.

    79. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by khallow · · Score: 1

      Space Nuttery

      I see you're still out there. K'breel, Speaker for the Council was more fun.

    80. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by grahamwest · · Score: 1

      Saturn Vs were hugely expensive to build and fly. http://www.astronautix.com/lvs/saturnv.htm says $431mil in 1967 dollars, which is just over $2.8bil in 2010 dollars! Saturn 1Bs lifted 18.6 tons for $107mil in 1967 dollars, which is $702mil in 2010 dollars. That's worse performance and cost than STS, which averages around $600mil/flight (Shuttle launch cost estimates are harder to come by than for traditional rockets) for more mass, more crew volume and more mission time. Launching a huge space station on 2-5 Saturn Vs would've allowed design choices that aren't currently possible, but there's no way it would've been cheaper in the general sense.

      The Apollo spacecraft was at the end of its life, too. Pure Oxygen, non-standard docking, no solar panels. It needed to be replaced with something no matter what. STS was originally envisioned as fully reusable and somewhat smaller and would've been a good replacement in my opinion. The development budget wasn't there for it and the military was forced to be on board. That's why the cargo bay is 60ft long and it has huge wings. The former was useful on occasion (Kibo only just fit in the bay) but the cross range of the wings was never used. When the military projects were merged with STS, that was part of their trade studies so a vehicle which couldn't do it was unsuitable for their requirements at that time.

      At this point I consider NASA first and foremost a red state jobs program. That's not necessarily their fault, but it makes it impossible for them to run a space program per se. If they get downsized to $5-$7bil and made into a pure blue sky R&D and science organisation, maybe that's not such a bad thing. At least it'd stop this game of rocket musical chairs.

      --
      Graham
    81. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by grahamwest · · Score: 1

      When MECO happens the orbiter and tank are in an orbit with a low point of about 35 miles, well inside the atmosphere. The tank separates and burns up half an orbit later. The orbiter's OMS engines fire to circularise its orbit and keep it in space. The external tank weighs 33 tons dry. That's more than the maximum payload for the orbiter, which means that the system as-is cannot save the tank. If it used bigger SRBs and/or had more main engine thrust (plus the fuel/oxidiser for them to burn) that might be a different story.

      --
      Graham
    82. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      What does "more than the maximum payload for the orbiter" mean? Assuming you are correct, how much more SRB would it have taken to save the tank?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    83. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by grahamwest · · Score: 1

      By maximum payload I mean the total mass of stuff you can haul into space in the orbiter cargo bay and/or mid-deck and that's 24.4 tons currently. That means that if the orbiter wasn't carrying any cargo at all but instead wanted to lift the tank to the circular orbit, the tank is 8.6 tons too heavy.

      I don't know much bigger the SRBs would need to be - the Tsiolkovsky rocket equation would answer that I think but I haven't done the math. There are also constraints on the trajectory (maximum dynamic pressure, maximum G force from acceleration, safe place to drop SRBs, ability to abort in-flight and land safely somewhere) that still need to be observed and they complicate the math further.

      --
      Graham
    84. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by grahamwest · · Score: 1

      I just came upon this document from 1982 which talks about keeping the tank in orbit. Some of the things it talks about are now precluded by safety (eg. having a fueled LOX/LH2 engine in the orbiter cargo bay), but it's worth reading.

      http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/19940004970_1994004970.pdf

      --
      Graham
    85. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by Teancum · · Score: 1

      One of the problems facing the Saturn rocket program is that Werner Von Braun was ramping up for a production run of well over a hundred rockets. He was striving for economies of scale.... none of which were realized due to the premature cancellation of the program in the late 1960's. I say premature because after all of that infrastructure was put into place, it was then abandoned afterward.

      In fact, some of those systems were later used for the Shuttle system (particularly the barges and docks at KSC for the external tanks), and ironically the Falcon 9 with the Merlin engines are using the same test stand that was originally built for the testing and development of the F-1 and J-2 engines used on the Saturn family of rockets. Assembly lines were built and a huge team of people put together to make these rockets.

      I very much disagree with the assertion that Apollo was at the end of its life, and the other rationale you are using here doesn't fly either. Pure Oxygen atmosphere? Yeah, that was an issue, but was it a bad thing in space? The reason Nitrogen is used on the Space Shuttle has to do with modern electronics and the need to cool down laptops and other similar equipment. To me, that is some lazy engineers, but we can argue that point separately. It certainly has little to do with human physiology which can certainly survive with just a partial pressure of enough oxygen to breathe.

      Non-standard docking? They had a standard.... the Apollo docking standard. It was used on Skylab and the Apollo-Soyuz missions too. It certainly was better than the hole in the heat shield that was used with Gemini and planned for the MOL program. As for solar panels.... why would they be needed with the mission profiles being used? That was also a brand-new technology in the 1970's. Those are all excuses.

      Any numbers that you find now for the cost of a Saturn launch is based upon data that was inflated explicitly to kill the program and make the Shuttle program look good. BTW, I've seen costs well above $1 billion to almost $2 billion per launch for the Shuttle, again depending on how you do the accounting. And the Shuttle did amortize the hard infrastructure costs over more than a hundred launches.

      My argument is that it wasn't as expensive as it has been claimed, and that the expensive aspects of building a Saturn rocket had already been spent by 1970. It was engineers who were used to creating the next big thing and a congress trying to aggressively cut back on space exploration which led to the pressures put upon building the Shuttle. I admit it is 20/20 hindsight, but I still assert that for the cost of the Shuttle program as a whole, a similar sort of space exploration program could have been developed as happened with the Shuttle, and with far more flexibility in terms of doing stuff beyond LEO... which is certainly a major limitation of the Shuttle. That is also why the Constellation/Orion program was put together, in part because a Shuttle II program would leave American astronauts stuck in LEO again. Unfortunately, Constellation was even worse than had the Saturn rockets been re-created.

    86. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Thanks, I will certainly give it a read. A friend of mine was interested in this years ago, he may have more info.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    87. Re:But smaller then the Saturn V from the 1960s by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  4. "SpaceX" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX for short)"

    Later to be renamed Weyland Yutani (WY for short)

  5. What does that remind me of... by Lead+Butthead · · Score: 1
    --
    ELOI, ELOI, LAMA SABACHTHANI!?
    1. Re:What does that remind me of... by digitalnoise615 · · Score: 1

      the Soviet N1?

      Except that the N1 never reached orbit (read your own article if you don't believe me).

      Space-X has already launched, orbited, and successfully recovered a payload. For a private company using almost all private dollars, that's a significant achievement and I don't doubt that the Falcon Heavy will succeed.

    2. Re:What does that remind me of... by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 1

      SpaceX only uses 9 of the same engines per booster, the N1 had 30 in the first stage, 8 in the second stage, 4 of a different type in the third stage, 1 of another type in the fourth stage and 1 of yet another type in the fifth stage.

      So SpaceX has 27 Merlin IC total in the first stage and a Merlin IC Vacuum in the second stage.
      N1 had 38 NK-15s, 4 NK-21s, 1 NK-19 and 1 RD-58 total.

      Every N1 launch test failed, while SpaceX is 2/5 with Falcon 1 and 2/2 with Falcon 9

  6. hopefully all the chosen ones will leave at once by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it's a very small crowd, so that's not a problem? almost nobody on this planet cares where they go, as long as it's far away forever. could their big rocket be ready any sooner? the real 'aliens' may have other plans for them, seeing as they were the ones who originally suggested that we not hurt/kill each other.

    which just makes the increasingly popular/populated genuine native americans for president campaign become just that much more appropriate/relevant/timely.

  7. Something smells fishy... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Elon Musk? Is that really his name? Sounds more like the name of a perfume.

    1. Re:Something smells fishy... by Thud457 · · Score: 1

      Sounds like a Bond villain to me.
      Like that Julian Assange fellow...

      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  8. His designs are in NASA archives at Marshall SFC by alispguru · · Score: 4, Informative

    Urban legends aside, NASA did not throw the plans for the Saturn V away.

    Falcon Heavy is cool, but it's still a factor of two away from the LEO capacity of a Saturn V.

    --

    To a Lisp hacker, XML is S-expressions in drag.
  9. Details from press conference by FleaPlus · · Score: 4, Informative

    The Fox article is a little sparse on info, so for the curious, there was some pretty good liveblogging (live-foruming?) of the press conference here. You can see official details (and a neat video) on SpaceX's site here.

    Looking through the forum and the website, here's a summary of all the most interesting stuff:

    • Falcon 9 (F9) able to lift much more than estimated with engine upgrades, Falcon Heavy (FH) estimates upgraded
    • FH: 3 nine-engine cores attached to each other
      paying development costs internally, strong commercial + gov customer interest
    • FH will arrive at Vandenberg pad in 2012, launch in early 2013
    • testing upgraded engines now at McGregor facility
    • estimating 117K lbs (53mt) to orbit for FH, possibly >120K lbs
    • double payload of Shuttle and Delta IV Heavy
    • launching from Vandenberg and Cape Canaveral
    • once in full operation expecting ~10 F9 flights a year, ~10 FH flights a year
    • increasing rate of engine production to 400 each year (currently 50/year)
    • FH price sets new world record at $1000/lb
    • first rocket in history to feature propellant crossfeed, allowing for earlier separation of emptied side boosters (== much more efficiency)
    • multi-engine-out capability for more reliability
    • meets published NASA human rating standards, not sure yet about "unpublished" standards
    • lower cost than current EELVs could save DOD alone $1.7B-$2.2B each year
    • could do Mars sample return mission in a single flight
    • payload to Mars 1/4 LEO payload, so 30K lbs to Mars
    • could go to Moon or NEO with only 2 launches
    • could do lunar flyby with a single launch of Dragon capsule
    • in response to Q&A, mentioned follow-up design capable of >150mt (Saturn V was 119mt)

    As an aside, it'll be quite fascinating to see what impact this has on the heavy-lift debate currently going on in Congress. For those unfamiliar with it, Congress is currently trying to pressure NASA to spend several billion dollars of its funding over several years into building a 70mt rocket from shuttle-legacy components/infrastructure. It's now looking like SpaceX will build a rocket with nearly the same capability using its own funding, which will be ready to launch several years before the Congress-mandated rocket. Hmm.

    1. Re:Details from press conference by Terwin · · Score: 1

      As an aside, it'll be quite fascinating to see what impact this has on the heavy-lift debate currently going on in Congress. For those unfamiliar with it, Congress is currently trying to pressure NASA to spend several billion dollars of its funding over several years into building a 70mt rocket from shuttle-legacy components/infrastructure. It's now looking like SpaceX will build a rocket with nearly the same capability using its own funding, which will be ready to launch several years before the Congress-mandated rocket. Hmm.

      That project is about jobs in some congress-critters district.
      If this is seen as a threat to those jobs then the congress-critter will probably change the criteria just enough so that this is not suitable.
      Hopefully the fact that it is privately funded will prevent having this project interfered with as one method of making it unsuitable.

    2. Re:Details from press conference by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      meets published NASA human rating standards, not sure yet about "unpublished" standards

      Because there are known knowns and there are known unknowns... :^D

    3. Re:Details from press conference by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Hopefully the fact that it is privately funded will prevent having this project interfered with as one method of making it unsuitable.

      Well, there are those mysterious "unpublished standards"...

      Unpublished Standard #1: Components must be built by companies that contribute to politicians on the committee to decide the standards.

    4. Re:Details from press conference by Strider- · · Score: 1

      meets published NASA human rating standards, not sure yet about "unpublished" standards

      That's when the weight of the paperwork associated with the rocket matches the weight of the fully fueled rocket itself.

      In all seriousness though, the concept of "man rating" a rocket is a bit of a red herring. There's no real difference between a rocket used to launch humans vs one used to launch other payloads to orbit. Humans just happen to be a bit of a squishy, wet payload. The only real caveat is that we tend to limit the g-forces for human spaceflight to 3 to 4gs, while equiment launches can handle more.

      --
      ...si hoc legere nimium eruditionis habes...
    5. Re:Details from press conference by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      After reading a little more, apparently the numbers they announced today assume that the second stage uses their existing kerosene-based "Merlin Vacuum" engine, and not the high-energy hydrogen-based "Raptor" engine/stage they have under development. Combining the Falcon Heavy with the Raptor could potentially push the payload into the 70+mt range that Congress wants for the super-heavy rocket they want NASA to build.

    6. Re:Details from press conference by harperska · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Unpublished Standard #1: Components must be built by companies that contribute to politicians on the committee to decide the standards.

      Unpublished Standard #1: Components must be built by ATK.

      Congress doesn't really care about 'shuttle derived technologies' and costs are a straw man. But ATK in particular, who makes the shuttle SRBs, holds some pretty strong sway over certain congress-critters. That's why the Ares 1 first stage was just a scaled up shuttle SRB even though SRBs are a pretty dumb idea for a human-carrying rocket and completely idiotic as the sole first stage, as they can't be effectively throttled or shut off after being lit.

    7. Re:Details from press conference by harperska · · Score: 1

      I believe that part of man rating includes astronaut survival and recovery at any point between T-0 and orbit in the case of catastrophic rocket failure. IIRC, the reason they couldn't just drop an Orion capsule on top of the current Delta IV is that rocket's flight path includes a window where if the rocket were to explode at that point the capsule would not be recoverable even with a perfectly functioning escape tower. I believe it is because the Max Q of the Delta IV's flight path is too great, even though the G forces might still be in line with crew comfort.

      Of course, crew survivability means the shuttle would never have been man-rated, as it doesn't contain any crew escape mechanism, which resulted in the death of 7 astronauts when a rocket failed on launch in 1986.

  10. New To Space Vehicles by jaysunn · · Score: 1

    Hello I have read the site page for falcon heavy on the spacex site. I am a bit confused as to how they can take men / women to ISS and safely return them. I understand the entering of space and docking. However I do not see a craft that can renter safely and land somewhere on earth. Please enlighten me.

    1. Re:New To Space Vehicles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dragon_(spacecraft)

      The dragon capsule:
        - Can hold humans
        - propel itself in LEO
        - Dock with IIS
        - Return to Earth, parachuting into ocean like the Apollo missions did

    2. Re:New To Space Vehicles by _$hackerekcah$_ · · Score: 0

      Here a good explanation for you

    3. Re:New To Space Vehicles by Confusador · · Score: 3, Informative

      What you're looking for is not a capability of the Falcon Heavy, but their Dragon spacecraft which launches on the Falcon 9. They recovered it from orbit in December, so I'll let them show it to you: Specs, Mission update. Short version is that it's your basic capsule design with water landing, they're hoping to have the next version be a rocket landing on ground, using the abort motors.

    4. Re:New To Space Vehicles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Grow up.

    5. Re:New To Space Vehicles by jaysunn · · Score: 1

      That was an awesome video. I am hooked!!!! Thanks to all the replies.

  11. Re:His designs are in NASA archives at Marshall SF by ravenspear · · Score: 2

    It actually makes it somewhat easier to get to the moon though, since 2 launches of the Falcon Heavy (what you need to get enough mass for a moon landing) are going to be cheaper than one Saturn V.

    You could launch the capsule with one launch and the EDS/lander with a second one, then rendezvous in orbit.

  12. So did NASA start that "myth"? by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    Urban legends aside, NASA did not throw the plans for the Saturn V away.

    Then they just SAID they couldn't find them any more when private space industry startups tried to get them when NASA was designing the shuttle and Congress was wondering why they couldn't continue to do launches with the proven technology rather than having to fund all this new stuff, including new big engines?

    (I heard that "urban myth" from one of the players in private launches at the time.)

    Please enlighten us with the details, if you have them.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:So did NASA start that "myth"? by mangu · · Score: 1

      Then they just SAID they couldn't find them any more when private space industry startups tried to get them when NASA was designing the shuttle and Congress was wondering why they couldn't continue to do launches with the proven technology rather than having to fund all this new stuff, including new big engines?

      I'm sure the Ford corporation still has the plans for the Model T, which doesn't mean it would be better to continue using that proven technology.

      The Saturn V was simply too big for commercial launches. The not so big launchers today launch two commercial satellites at a time. Having a bigger launcher would mean bigger logistics problems: how do you coordinate the construction of several satellites so that all of them are ready to launch at the same time?

      If there existed a need for a bigger launcher than the Saturn V there would be no problem in designing one, and it would probably be cheaper after adjustment for inflation.

    2. Re:So did NASA start that "myth"? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      which doesn't mean it would be better to continue using that proven technology.

      Exactly. And that ignores the fact that material science and electronics have come a long, long way since the 1960s. What can be created to provide the same functionality can now be built for a fraction of the size of weight of what was required during the 1960s. The reason satellites are not getting much, much smaller and lighter is because they are being packed full of ever increasing functionality, including more fuel and more orbital time.

      The simple fact is, unless we are going back to the moon or plan a trip to mars, we simply don't require the lift capability provided by the Saturn V. And when we do, its likely we can make due to multiple, cheaper, smaller rockets.

  13. A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 3, Informative

    This is about half a Saturn V class rocket in terms of payload. Development costs are likely to be remarkably low, around a few billion dollars (Elon Musk has claimed $2 billion before to develop a Saturn V class rocket which would be larger than the SpaceX Heavy). What is interesting is that they seem intent on developing the vehicle using the current Merlin engines rather than than a new F-1 class engine (the rocket engines used on the Saturn 5, five on the first stage and one on the second stage). A cluster of 27 engines (!) will power the first stage. This technique of small rocket clusters is known to have caused trouble for the Soviets when they tried it (four launch failures in a row). With modern technology, the odds are probably better, both because an engine failure that is about to wipe out some of its neighbors can be detected and a shutdown attempted. Second, control systems are much more sophisticated. One can design a system with random engine outs (that is, engines that aren't firing for some reason) that can still fly. We'll see if that's good enough.

    The interesting thing from a development perspective is that this means a good portion of the testing is already done since the Merlin engines have been successfully flown on four flights (two Falcon I and two Falcon 9). They already claim that they are the top manufacturer of rocket engines by number (though I don't know if they are by total thrust). They also have some success firing Merlin engines in clusters and on the successful Falcon 9 flights. They'll probably have to make a more sophisticated avionics and control system, plumbing/pumping to supply the much larger engine cluster, and the vehicle frame, but I suspect that they won't have to do much more than that. My guess is that the 27 engine cluster and its plumbing will be fairly tricky as will the control system (which has to be able to handle several engine outs), but the rest won't be.

    Now compare it to the Shuttle derived Space Launch System (SLS) that Congress wants NASA to research. For one or two years of funding of the SLS (and incidentally, about the same amount of funding just to maintain the current Shuttles!), SpaceX probably can develop the SpaceX Heavy. It doesn't have quite the capability that the SLS would have (at least on paper!), payload is a bit over 50 metric tons to LEO (low Earth orbit) while even a minimal SLS design is required to be able to carry 70 metric tons (at least as NASA read the Congressional directive) to LEO) Yesterday, there was gnashing of teeth because the last Space Shuttle was coming up with a possible end to the US's space program in the works. Now we have a rocket that not only would be vastly cheaper, but capable of carrying far more payload than the Shuttle. This may be our chance to get our space program back on track from when it derailed in the 70s.

    1. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by ravenspear · · Score: 1

      With modern technology, the odds are probably better, both because an engine failure that is about to wipe out some of its neighbors can be detected and a shutdown attempted. Second, control systems are much more sophisticated. One can design a system with random engine outs (that is, engines that aren't firing for some reason) that can still fly. We'll see if that's good enough.

      There's another important reason their odds are much better. They do extensive test firings of all the engines. With those soviet rockets, the first time the engines were lit was when the vehicle was on the pad attempting to launch.

      My guess is that the 27 engine cluster and its plumbing will be fairly tricky

      It will be because they are doing propellant crossfeed (this leaves the core stage nearly full when the boosters separate, significantly increasing performance). That is complex and has not been done before.

    2. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Behrooz · · Score: 1

      I don't think it's reasonable to compare the difficulty controlling clusters of independent rockets using Soviet tech from the 1960s with modern materials science and computerized engineering.

      They're spending a metric assload of their own money. That's likely to produce a much more reasonable assessment of capabilities and failure modes than centralized planning in the framework of a mega-bureaucracy. We'll see how it goes, until proven otherwise I expect some pretty impressive advances.

      --
      "We have to go forth and crush every world view that doesn't believe in tolerance and free speech." - David Brin
    3. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Confusador · · Score: 1

      They've been planning the 3 core configuration for a while, and their already flying the 1 core design, so I don't think the complexity of multiple engines will be a problem. The news today is 1) the upgraded engines and 2) the propellant crossfeed, which combine to double their projected capability. They've hinted at a Merlin 2 (F1 class) that could replace all 9 Merlin 1s on the Falcon 9, and provide a Saturn V class Falcon X with a cluster of 5, but there is no realistic timeframe for it yet, whereas FH could believably be ready in 2013. (They've also hinted at a 3 core Falcon X Heavy, which would be insane, but since there's not a market for it I don't think it will happen.)

    4. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 1

      I forgot to mention that even if we completely ignore NASA, and frankly it's not that significant, it still remains that a private US business has gone from nothing in 2002 to proposing building a rocket with a considerable fraction of which is already flight proven and twice as much payload as anything else flying today. That's pretty good for less than ten years!

      A single US company is blowing by everyone. As Musk said, if he can get the flight rates he wants for the Falcon 9 and the Falcon Heavy, then he'll be making more engines (again by number) than the rest of the world combined.

      I think this will be a game changer not just for US space flight, but for humanity in general. The economics of doing stuff in space will change radically, IF SpaceX can show this works.

    5. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      SpaceX is working on other engines. The Merlin 2 would be capable of around 1.7 million pounds of thrust (the Saturn V F-1 was capable of 1.5 million pounds of thrust), reducing the number of engines used per vehicle, especially for the Falcon 9 Heavy and the Falcon X/XX series of SHLLVs.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    6. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 1

      The point is that the Falcon Heavy doesn't require successful development of the Merlin 2.

    7. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by queazocotal · · Score: 1

      "it still remains that a private US business has gone from an initial investment of $100M in 2002 to proposing building a rocket with a considerable fraction of which is already flight proven and twice as much payload as anything else flying today. That's pretty good for less than ten years!"

      $100M is hardly nothing.

      It's a magnificent achievement, yes.

    8. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by kaiser423 · · Score: 2

      That crossfeed is really where they get a good chunk of their performance numbers from. I expect 15-20% increase from doing that....but it does make the plumbing pretty expensive and complex :)

      For those whom aren't familiar with crossfeed, the outer-tanks keep the main tank topped off during flight, so that at liftoff you get thrust from all engines, but when seperation time comes, the stage seperates, but your main core is still full of fuel. It's almost like launching a Falcon 9 from halfway outside your gravity well. You get good performance :)

      As far as I know, it's never been done before due to certain complexities with pressures, sloshing, pogo-ing, etc. It would be quite the revolution if they could pull it off reliably.

    9. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by sconeu · · Score: 1

      Just a minor nitpick. The Saturn V S-II second stage did not use an F-1. It used 5 J-2s. The S-IVB third stage used a single J-2. The F-1 was only for the first stage.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    10. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 1

      $100M is hardly nothing.

      It's less than one thousandth what they spent on Apollo, adjusted for inflation. When you're developing rockets in the world of NASA and its prime contractors, $100 million is nothing.

    11. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Darn, you're right. I must have been thinking the number of rockets on the second and third stages.

    12. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by trout007 · · Score: 2

      The Shuttle Cross Feeds. The engines are on the Orbiter and the fuel is in the External Tank. It's not exactly the same because you aren't switching the engines from two different tanks which is what will have to happen on the Falcon 9 Heavy. It's the switch that may be tricky.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    13. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      What is interesting is that they seem intent on developing the vehicle using the current Merlin engines rather than than a new F-1 class engine (the rocket engines used on the Saturn 5, five on the first stage and one on the second stage).

      Saturn V had five F-1 on the first stage, five J-2 on the second, and one J-2 on the third.
       
      That being said - using smaller, existing, engines is a way to cut development costs and to bring the booster to market early. (I.E. pretty much standard corporate behavior, but a behavior we've all seen go badly wrong before.)
       

      A cluster of 27 engines (!) will power the first stage. This technique of small rocket clusters is known to have caused trouble for the Soviets when they tried it (four launch failures in a row).

      It's also known to be wildly successful for the Soviets too. The N1's problems were less due to clustering than due to lack of proper engineering and testing and a deeply flawed assembly, checkout, and launch flow.
       

      They'll probably have to make a more sophisticated avionics and control system, plumbing/pumping to supply the much larger engine cluster, and the vehicle frame, but I suspect that they won't have to do much more than that.

      Wow... It's only April and that's pretty much a shoo-in for the "Understatement Of The Year" award.
       
      Between now a flying rocket there are a number of significant hurdles to jump...
       
      They'll have to develop a complex and sophisticated thrust structure that can take the thrust and (when maneuvering) side loads of all those engines without having any nasty vibration modes. (And it has to handle a large number of arbitrary modes where one or more engines are shut down.) Making that job even harder is the need to route a complex and sophisticated piping system to deliver the fuel and oxidizer in the required quantities without flow problems or their own nasty vibration modes through that thrust structure. And the piping system has to handle startup transients gracefully, fail gracefully when engines shut down in arbitrary numbers and locations, and handle shutdown transients at end of burn gracefully regardless of how many engines are running and in what locations.
       
      All of that's going to be a tall order indeed. I'm not saying it's impossible mind you, just that you vastly underestimate the issues.
       
      And that's without even mentioning the vast issues the engine and flight control systems will have of their very own.
       

      Now we have a rocket that not only would be vastly cheaper, but capable of carrying far more payload than the Shuttle.

      It might be vastly cheaper, it might not be. It might be capable of carrying far more, or it might not be. It's a paper rocket, and paper rockets are always wonderful. There's a lot of really big "if's" and unknowns both known and unknown between here and there.
       

      This may be our chance to get our space program back on track from when it derailed in the 70s.

      There's two huge unspoken assumptions buried in that statement:
       
      First, that there's some preordained or ideal course for our space program.
       
      Second, that choosing a course based on political expediency back in the 60's and abandoning slow step-by-step development in favor of Big Stunts (I.E. the course you want to return to) wasn't itself a derailment of a reasonable space program.

    14. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by holmstar · · Score: 1

      In terms of what they are accomplishing with that $100M, it IS practically nothing. NASA would spend that much just doing feasibility studies. SpaceX has actually delivered two functional rockets and a space capsule, and soon another rocket. AND, not only have they done all that, they've also managed to create designs that are significantly more efficient than the competition. It's very impressive.

    15. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by ravenspear · · Score: 1

      Just to clarify, SpaceX has spent around $800M so far, not $100M.

    16. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      actually this is three clusters of nine engines (ie, basically three of the successfully flown F9 rockets strapped together) - not a giant 27 engine monster, which is more comparable to the N1).

      most of the N1 issues were due to poor integration engineering (rushed work, lack of funding, political problems etc), very limited testing (new engines were strapped to a new rocket, then tested by launching it), and just stupid lapses (for example not putting filters on the fuel lines, then having engines explode when junk got in them from the fuel).

      this Falcon Heavy is quite a different beast: using well tested engines in an existing well tested configuration, and with far more sophisticated control technology. oh, and they have fuel filters, and have even tested that their engines continue working if a large nut is dropped in the fuel intake...

      this is not to say it's easy. there are additional complexities, not the least of which is the plan to do propellant crossfeed (ie, the center core will burn fuel from the outer two cores until they are empty), which has never been done before, but gives a large performance boost.

    17. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by adamgundy · · Score: 1

      sigh. forgot to log in. parent article was me, if anyone cares.

    18. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 1

      It's also known to be wildly successful for the Soviets too. The N1's problems were less due to clustering than due to lack of proper engineering and testing and a deeply flawed assembly, checkout, and launch flow.

      I count 20 large nozzles (plus a considerable number of control nozzles) on a picture of a Molniya-M rocket near the bottom.

      They'll have to develop a complex and sophisticated thrust structure that can take the thrust and (when maneuvering) side loads of all those engines without having any nasty vibration modes. (And it has to handle a large number of arbitrary modes where one or more engines are shut down.) Making that job even harder is the need to route a complex and sophisticated piping system to deliver the fuel and oxidizer in the required quantities without flow problems or their own nasty vibration modes through that thrust structure. And the piping system has to handle startup transients gracefully, fail gracefully when engines shut down in arbitrary numbers and locations, and handle shutdown transients at end of burn gracefully regardless of how many engines are running and in what locations.

      When you put it that way, it does sound difficult.

      It might be vastly cheaper, it might not be. It might be capable of carrying far more, or it might not be. It's a paper rocket, and paper rockets are always wonderful. There's a lot of really big "if's" and unknowns both known and unknown between here and there.

      I guess SpaceX will have to bend metal, turn the unknowns into unknowns, and deal with the big "ifs". Or not as the case may be. It's worth noting that SpaceX's paper rockets have fared much better than NASA's paper rockets.

      This may be our chance to get our space program back on track from when it derailed in the 70s.

      There's two huge unspoken assumptions buried in that statement:

      First, that there's some preordained or ideal course for our space program.

      Second, that choosing a course based on political expediency back in the 60's and abandoning slow step-by-step development in favor of Big Stunts (I.E. the course you want to return to) wasn't itself a derailment of a reasonable space program.

      I agree with the termination of Apollo and the discontinuation of the Saturn V launch vehicle. That tempo was unsustainable and unaffordable in the long run. But look at what they replaced it with. Another huge vehicle that NASA could barely afford on its reduced budget. Between the Shuttle and the ISS, they burned far more than the cost of Apollo on a dead end launch vehicle and a six man space station. I think that was far more foolish. At least, Apollo had some useful national prestige goals and credible lunar science. That's "big stunts", your last complaint.

      SpaceX's Falcon Heavy, assuming it ever leaves the paper rocket stage to become a real, well-used vehicle, is priced far below anything that NASA is attempted. This can be the US government's opportunity to abandon the space launch business altogether. In place of big stunts, NASA can go to novel ground, say, launching frequent, cheap, serious missions to a variety of destinations, develop space-based technologies for private enterprise to exploit, and support the establishment of US private enterprise in space.

      I apologize for implying that there is a preordained or ideal course. But NASA has at time indicated future intent. For example, several times it has claimed a desire to send humans to Mars. What progress to that goal has been made?

      There's little development of propulsion and power systems that could make the trip more survivable and tolerable such as nuclear or solar electric propulsion. We don't know the effects of Mars-level gravity on any organism, much less humans. We really don't know much about what's on the surface, particularly, what tox

    19. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Why does it have to be all that complex? Each core would have a fuel manifold and an oxidizer manifold. Each manifold would have three inputs (left, center, and right). The center input would be fed from the core itself. The left input would connect to the manifold on the core to the left, and the right manifold would connect to the core on the right. Essentially, the manifolds are daisy chained together. Consider this ASCII Art rendition *TTT*. Imagine the T as the fuel manifold in one of the cores. (You'll also have to imagine the center of the T going up to the fuel tanks instead of down.) The * are end caps on the pipes. As you can see, the center core can be fed from either of the side cores.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    20. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It didn't go from "nothing". It already had the hard work and research done decades ago by your big enemy, the government.

    21. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 1

      It didn't go from "nothing". It already had the hard work and research done decades ago by your big enemy, the government.

      Government didn't own the private companies that did most of that research or from which most of SpaceX's employees were hired.

    22. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      It doesn't require it, no, but it will reduce the complexity of the system at the cost of some redundancy. Losing a Merlin 1 is annoying but survivable. Losing a Merlin 2 could mean mission failure. But if the odds of an engine loss are about the same in terms of numbers of firings, there could be significant savings with the larger engine.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    23. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by khallow · · Score: 1

      And will the Merlin 2 get developed in time for an early 2013 launch? Musk claims he can put together a rocket with a larger payload than anything anyone currently has inside of two years. That requires him to use as much stuff that currently works, such as 9 Merlin 1 rockets rocket clusters, as possible.

    24. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      Probably not, based on what I've read. But the engine and the lift vehicles are being designed such that swapping out a cluster of nine Merlin 1 engines with a single Merlin 2 will be possible. A SpaceX presentation from last year showed that they expect a roughly 10% improvement in maximum mass to LEO with the Falcon 9 (from 10.5 tons to 11.5 tons). Falcon 9 Heavy will use 27 Merlin 1 engines at first and transition to (or perhaps have the option for) three Merlin 2 engines with an increase in maximum mass to LEO of around 3-5%. The Falcon X/XX family will use just Merlin 2 engines, as they start clustering them per core at that point with three engines per cluster in the Falcon X series and six per core for Falcon XX. (I want to see a Falcon XX Heavy with three Falcon XX cores purely to see 30 million pounds of thrust light up at once, but I can't think of anything that masses in at 400+ tons that I'd want to risk in one launch.)

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    25. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Which is just a little less than the cost of the Ares I-X demonstrator flight that proved nothing other than ATK had engineers who could design a rocket that would clear the tower and to help show off the pretty launch tower that cost a couple billion dollars by itself.

      Congress spends a billion dollars merely when a member of congress clears their throat. Even at that higher figure, it still is impressive as hell.

      If you add in the seed money from NASA and the USAF, you might get a little over a billion dollars invested into SpaceX over this past decade, but not much more than that. USAF money was used for the development of the Falcon 1.

    26. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      It also wasn't that hard to sell potential employees with real skills to work for SpaceX. All Elon had to say is "would you like to work on a clean-sheet design for a new rocket that will actually fly?" When asked for who is going to pay for the thing, Elon said "I will".

      Nothing burns out engineers faster than spending nearly a lifetime of effort on something only to see the project canned as if you never existed in the first place. NASA has been doing that for decades where one project after another get started and then terminated. After many folks have been on that treadmill for all of these years, it is refreshing when you build something, use it, and then tear it apart afterward to see where you made your mistakes or if your presumptions were accurate. Having to wait in limbo over congressional appropriations hearings and knowing your job is on the line each time congress meets in a committee hearing can't help either.

      In other words, SpaceX is doing real engineering for real things, and is now where stuff is happening. As a result, they are getting the best and brightest, where earlier the best rocket engineers were going to Wall Street instead.

    27. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I know that the initial development work on the Merlin 2 engine has started, but it is currently a low-priority project and hasn't received full funding yet (from within SpaceX). I think Elon is hoping to get a government development project for it as it will be an expensive engine to develop, although as you indicate it can be something used incrementally on the Falcon 9 to boost performance too.

      If that Falcon XX ever gets built, I would stand in awe to watch it go up. Just imaging a fully loaded 747 being launched into space (aka about 400 tons) is enough to drop my jaw.

      Yeah, trying to think of who might use such a vehicle sort of shows why that is decades away from being built, if it ever will be built at all. Elon has stated elsewhere that he wants to personally go to Mars, even if he has to build the rocket to get there first. The F9-H is certainly a good step in that direction.

    28. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      The Falcon XX will be able to lift 140 tons into LEO. There are no (public) plans for a Falcon XX Heavy.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    29. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      There are no formal plans for the Falcon XX either, but that doesn't stop the discussion for how big these rockets might get.

      The real issue with anything larger than a Falcon 9-Heavy is one of market interest, and if anybody might have a project that could legitimately use such a heavy lift vehicle. As demonstrated with this announcement, there certainly are economies of scale and improved efficiencies which come from a larger vehicle, and that holds true even more for much larger rockets than the Falcon 9.

      Since the F9-H is going to be the largest rocket on the market, there simply aren't customers who have even anticipated this sort of launcher size, much less something even larger. Some have suggested they can use the extra capacity, but it will be interesting to see just how far that will go.

      There is a demand for larger rockets, but that is for projects that typically show up only once or twice per decade. Maintaining an army of workers to support a rocket that only is used once in a blue moon is not an efficient way to build rockets, which drives up deployment costs as well. What is needed to get something larger built, like the Falcon XX, is one of getting a project put together that can use the launcher size. In the meantime, I think the Falcon 9 is going to be more than sufficient for most of the current concepts of getting something into space, together with what is available from other companies.

      It is also noteworthy that SpaceX is hardly the only commercial spaceflight company, or even the only one who might challenge the traditional major aerospace manufacturing companies. They are merely the first of what may be a long line of companies who are willing to challenge traditional presumptions about what it takes for getting into space. Not mentioned is how Armadillo Aerospace was set to launch a new class of rockets capable of getting into space this past weekend, and on their own path into orbital spaceflight. If Armadillo is able to get their act together, SpaceX is going to be considered a dinosaur with inefficient pricing models. We are living in exciting times in terms of American spaceflight development.... and most reporters are bemoaning the fact that the traditional spaceflight companies are dying.

    30. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      I don't think there's as much development left as you think. Plumbing and frame? Yes. Avionics and control system? Probably mostly done already because of F9. Just need to scale it to 3 engine clusters. I don't think it's "a few billion dollars" left. Remember, it's an engineering company, not NASA.

      --
      This is blinging
    31. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      On the contrary--the Falcon XX has appeared a number of times, and does have specs. The very same presentation that I mentioned earlier has a Falcon XX for comparison to the F9, F9H, FX, and FXH, and specifies engine configuration, thrust, and mass to LEO. It is in roughly the same class as the Saturn V in terms of size, mass, thrust, and payload.

      Armadillo is in the same place we found SpaceX a few years ago leading into the first Falcon 1 launch: a hopeful curiosity. Once they get a few launches under their belts with some level of success (getting off the pad is a basic level of success, and reaching orbit is a major success), then they can be seriously discussed in the same breath. Any rocket manufacturer should be treated thus because it is a tremendously difficult thing to get right.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    32. Re:A game changer, if they can get it to work. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The Falcon XX does not have real specs. It has design goals for what it ought to look like if the engineers ever actually sat down to work on the thing, and what an educated guess might be able to say if the green light ever was given to develop that vehicle. About the only thing known about the Merlin 2 engine is that it is supposedly going to have similar propulsion and fuel requirements (including the Kerosene/LOX fuel currently in use with the Falcon rockets already) as the F-1 engines used on the Saturn V. Assuming modern composite materials, new discoveries in metallurgy, and some tweaking by SpaceX engineers, it may even exceed the performance of the F-1 and certainly be comparable to the Space Shuttle Main Engine. That is a lofty goal by itself.

      The Falcon 9 is supposedly going to launch with just one Merlin 2 engine for the first stage, if it gets developed, with a slight performance improvement if built too.

      One difference with Armadillo as compared to SpaceX is that I don't think any current group has ever test fired more rocket engines than Armadillo, with perhaps the sole exception being Estes Industries. Rocket propellant has been one of their major expenses... something you would be hard pressed to find with almost any other research team even hoping to achieve sub-orbital flight, much less orbital. Armadillo, through Space Adventures, has also sold over 100 passenger flights (seats I guess) on their upcoming manned sub-orbital vehicle. They certainly are going to be in competition with Scaled Composites (and Virgin Galactic).

      The real dark horse so to say with commercial space flight is Blue Origin, as money is being spent, engineering being hired, land is being acquired, and stuff is happening but they are being more quiet than the engineers at Area 51 in terms of what they are up to. Their last public test flight was a couple of years ago, so it might be interesting to see what they will eventually come up with. Jeff Bezos certainly isn't short on money at the moment.

  14. Vaguely remember... by WonderingAround · · Score: 1

    Someone that was on the Colbert Report the other night, claiming to be a ``historian`` of the American space program, was saying something like Space X could build everything needed to launch a rocket into space for the same price NASA spends on building just a launch tower, but NASA also needed $12 billion and a decade to make a pen that worked in 0 gravity... and the Russians just used a pencil, classic.

    --
    It's like the mind going AWOL, it's there somewhere
    1. Re:Vaguely remember... by Loadmaster · · Score: 1

      12B, come on, claim a bigger number if you want to repeat false tales. It was 13 Trillion dollars and Zillion!

      http://www.snopes.com/business/genius/spacepen.asp

      NASA tower = SpaceX rocket price might be real. SpaceX doesn't have to waste money on contractors and designs forced on them by Congress in an attempt to appease their district. Congress still trying NASA to use SSRBs and spend billions for political gain, classic.

    2. Re:Vaguely remember... by Martin+Blank · · Score: 1

      That historian doesn't know his history, then. The "space pen" was independently developed by a private firm and was later sold to NASA at around what you'd pay picking up one at an office supply store. The Russians did reportedly use pencils for a while, but found that graphite dust caused potential electrical problems, and switched to the space pen.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
    3. Re:Vaguely remember... by IICV · · Score: 5, Informative

      ...but NASA also needed $12 billion and a decade to make a pen that worked in 0 gravity... and the Russians just used a pencil, classic.

      There's pretty much nothing true in that statement besides the claim that "the Russians just used pencils" - NASA did too, until after Fisher developed the space pen (without government funding) and asked NASA to try it. In fact, after NASA adopted the space pen, so did the Russians.

      And there's problems with using pencils in space - wood pencils are flammable, and the graphite in mechanical pencils can snap off more easily and damage vulnerable equipment (it's conducive, after all) or the astronauts themselves, if they accidentally inhale it.

    4. Re:Vaguely remember... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Urban legend. NASA didn't develop the space pen, and initially they used pencils too.

    5. Re:Vaguely remember... by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      The space pen thing is an urban legend, but the launch tower comparison is real:

      http://www.spacex.com/press.php?page=20100607

      The NASA COTS program has demonstrated the power of what can be accomplished when you combine private sector responsiveness and ingenuity with the guidance, support and insight of the US government. For less than the cost of the Ares I mobile service tower, SpaceX has developed all the flight hardware for the Falcon 9 orbital rocket, Dragon spacecraft, as well as three launch sites.

    6. Re:Vaguely remember... by WonderingAround · · Score: 1

      Cool, I stand corrected then, I'd still like to know who started the whole $12 billion rumor/urban legend and caused me to make such an outrageously incorrect statement. So would it be more accurate to say pencil's were used my astronauts and cosmonauts alike at one point until they were determined to be dangerous to be used in space, and Fisher created the first space pen for $1.5 mil?

      --
      It's like the mind going AWOL, it's there somewhere
    7. Re:Vaguely remember... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NASA hasn’t spend $12E9 on any one piece of equipment, ever. That amount of money is equivalent to the entire NASA budget for 1970, 71 and 72 combined. During that period NASA was launching crews to the moon on Saturn V rockets. You actually walk around with this sort of bunk polluting your mind?

      Also, the Colbert Report isn't news or credible information. Same goes for the Daily Show. Those shows are marketing placement spots for movies and other drek, served on a bed of amusing left-wing snark. We've now fostered a generation of tardlings that have Comedy Central as their basis for political thought, history and current events.

      God damn we need a real war.

  15. Re:His designs are in NASA archives at Marshall SF by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    Urban legends aside, NASA did not throw the plans for the Saturn V [CC] away.

    Revisions to urban legends aside, most of the expertise to easily leverage the Saturn V designs have long since left NASA and/or died. And what those plans fail to account for, Saturn V was designed in such a way where it was common for revisions to be made on the actual product and designs were changed later. As a result, its acknowledged, a modern Saturn V is very likely to differ from the original Saturn Vs which previously flew. Specifically because modern fixes to the elements which are unknowingly broken in the those designs are very likely to find different solutions given different sets of constraints and minds.

    So technically, yes, we have plans for something called a Saturn V. And yet, we have MOST of the plans for what actually flew.

  16. Re:His designs are in NASA archives at Marshall SF by Burdell · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yep. My father worked on every Saturn (guidance and control, especially the LVDC on the IU) except SA-1 (and then Shuttle, X-33, and now Ares). He retired from civil service a few years ago and now works part-time for a contractor, but if Congress/Obama can't get a budget passed and Dad goes home for a while due to a shutdown, he might not go back. There aren't many others left around from that era.

    Even if you had the knowledge and the people, you wouldn't build another Saturn V anyway. You couldn't rebuild the same computers, so you'd update the computers and programs, at which point you might as well upgrade the engines, which leads to changes in the structure (since you have to build new dies and jigs anyway), etc. The test a few weeks ago at Marshall showed that the consensus for structural strength (that even SpaceX and such have used) was off by about a factor of 2 (the rocket structure was about twice as strong, and thus as heavy, as it needed to be).

    Even the second run of Saturn V vehicles (if they had been built) would have been different, with upgraded engines (the J-2X was developed during the Apollo program, and then pulled out for Ares I), similar to the changes the Space Shuttle underwent during its 30 year run.

  17. Rockets. by hackus · · Score: 1

    Can't we do anything besides rockets?

    Been doing the rocket thing for like thousands of years.

    I think it is time for something a little less clunky and more elegant.

    Rockets suck.

    -Hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    1. Re:Rockets. by Nyeerrmm · · Score: 1

      Got any suggestions?

      And please, lets keep it reasonable for expected technology development in a 20 year range and consider the obvious feasability constraints. That is, a method that:
      - doesn't require 100s of Gs (Space guns)
      - Is only barely theoretically possible with idealized materials (Space elevator)

      As someone who works in the industry I'd be happy to get rid of them if you have a reasonable suggestion.

    2. Re:Rockets. by Gravatron · · Score: 1

      Perhaps we should start thinking with portals?

    3. Re:Rockets. by Teancum · · Score: 1

      So you want to use the Stargate that is found in Cheyenne Mountain? Wake me up when that bit of fiction becomes reality. Or are we going to do the Edgar Rice Burroughs method of space travel and simply use our minds to transport ourselves to Mars?

  18. 2012? by DocZayus · · Score: 1

    Let's just hope it's before December 21st, or no one will get to see it happen.

    --
    -- http://www.doczayus.com/
    1. Re:2012? by Singularity42 · · Score: 0

      Can we round-up anyone who repeats this meme by Dec 21, 2012? Then let's get rid of religion.

  19. Can't compare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Saturn V was funded involuntarily (by government). At the time, there was nobody willing to fund such a project out of their own pockets -- otherwise it would have happened. Government made it happen only because government had the power to force everyone else to pay out of their own pockets, particularly those who would never have chosen for themselves to support it.

    The SpaceX program, by contrast, is funded through voluntary means (if you ignore the government contracts). We have finally reached an era where space travel/exploration is ready for voluntary investment. But government space programs did have a half-century head start, and it doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that we cannot compare the private space industry with the public space industry until the private space industry has reached maturity.

    1. Re:Can't compare by Nutria · · Score: 1

      The SpaceX program, by contrast, is funded through voluntary means (if you ignore the government contracts).

      But you can't ignore the government contracts. It's where SpaceX gets it's continuing funds.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    2. Re:Can't compare by Teancum · · Score: 1

      SpaceX is also getting contracts from governments other than the U.S. government. That is where it is going to be doing something different from the other American launchers. They are underbidding ESA and even RKK Energia, something other American companies haven't done for decades.

      Yes, American federal contracts are going to be a source of significant revenue too, but that certainly isn't going to be the only customer for these rockets.

    3. Re:Can't compare by Nutria · · Score: 1

      Yes, American federal contracts are going to be a source of significant revenue too, but that certainly isn't going to be the only customer for these rockets.

      I'm just correcting AC's fallacious logic, not stating that the US gov't will be their only customer.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
  20. Sounds like the Millenium Falcon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just like in Star Wars, the SpaceX rocket defies physics and makes rocket noise in the depths of space (1:08 in the video). Maybe the biggest breakthrough yet!

    1. Re:Sounds like the Millenium Falcon by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The audio link on the Falcon launches by SpaceX is real. If you had been riding those vehicles, there most certainly would be many sounds which you can hear through the vehicle, as the structural frame itself can act as a sound medium. Sure, you can't hear the sounds if you are outside of the vehicle, but inside of it there most certainly is sound coming from the motors.

      The audio in this case is an excellent engineering diagnostics tool to make sure what you want to happen is going on when you want it to be happening. An "unusual sound" is something you especially want to be listening for in such a recording.

  21. Elon Musk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not bad for a dude that toiled in college for an economics degree (and then some kind of physics minor afterthought as a flip side; might only be topped by the select few journalism + applied math doublets).
    Just imagine if he had been a technical major.

    1. Re:Elon Musk by jnaujok · · Score: 2

      Then he would have been stuck in a dead-end position as a glorified draftsman being told by his superiors that, "you can't do that." His econ degree let him see how to make PayPal work, his dabbling in physics inspired him to go ask "why not" when told it couldn't be done. The money he made from PayPal let him put his arguments to the test (his money where his mouth is.) Had he gone into technology... we would still be buying stuff on ebay with money orders, and the Constellation project would be $15B over budget and 8 years late.

      --
      Life, the Universe, and Everything... in my image.
    2. Re:Elon Musk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, because no one else would have thought of a way to process money online, like banks have been doing since the '60s... eye roll...

    3. Re:Elon Musk by jnaujok · · Score: 1

      You're missing the point of the comment. Elon Musk was a guy in the right place at the right time. Could there have been others who did something similar? Sure. He just found the formula that worked. My point is that none of them would have gone on to found SpaceX and thus rewrite the future of NASA and Space Exploration. Thus, were it not for him, history would have been different. I was being facetious with the Ebay comment, but the rest of it stands.

      --
      Life, the Universe, and Everything... in my image.
  22. Re:His designs are in NASA archives at Marshall SF by lennier1 · · Score: 1

    Revisions to urban legends aside, most of the expertise to easily leverage the Saturn V designs have long since left NASA and/or died.

    True, their supply of captured German scientists ran out. ;)

  23. Will it be "most powerful" by time of launch? by sznupi · · Score: 1

    Of course, for it to not be "most powerful", Angara (even more modular... much more late) would have to be on time, also with its heavy variant, at the least.

    Anyway, such payloads aren't even strictly necessary for Mars sample return - not with our automatic rendezvous & docking capability (which we've done in the 60s, making the Shuttle obsolete before it seriously made its way to drawing boards)
    At least those new launchers take an approach of very high modularity & semi mass-production - seems to be working fine for R-7 family, "the most reliable ... most frequently used launch vehicle in the world" (and one of the least expensive ones; too bad Zenit isn't given much of a chance)

    --
    One that hath name thou can not otter
    1. Re:Will it be "most powerful" by time of launch? by Somegeek · · Score: 1

      Not the most powerful? I don't follow?

      quoted figures: Falcon Heavy, 53000 kg to LEO, Angara Heavy (A7V) is 'only' 40500 kg to LEO.

      If the Falcon Heavy launches at all, it will be the most powerful available.

      --
      And as you tread the halls of sanity, You feel so glad to be, Unable to go beyond. I have a message, From another time..
    2. Re:Will it be "most powerful" by time of launch? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      1) from much higher latitudes (seeing the improvement in GTO Soyuz will get in Kourou, from 1.7 to 2.8 tonnes...) 2) plus A7V is a standard Angara, 7 of them; one can also mean the heavy variant of core Angara stages, giving a stack in 100 tonnes range.

      ^why it was primarily about "Of course ... much more late ... would have to be on time, also with its heavy variant, at the least."; which is unlikely, to say the least (too bad, really, they are constantly cash-strapped... and if only STS & Buran didn't suck their space agencies dry) - but then, when did SpaceX delivered their new projects on PR announcements schedules? (NVM constant mentions of "reusability"; & costs just finally close to other inexpensive vehicles)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    3. Re:Will it be "most powerful" by time of launch? by Somegeek · · Score: 1

      interesting, thanks for the reply. I forget that mass to an orbit is a factor of more things than thrust.

      On the cost issue, I have to think his costs have been higher than expected because 1) he probably didn't really envision the massive staff and infrastructure that he is currently bankrolling, and 2) what must be spiraling r and d costs. I would guess that he is pricing them not based on cost but as high as he can and still be cheap enough to capture and grow the market.

      --
      And as you tread the halls of sanity, You feel so glad to be, Unable to go beyond. I have a message, From another time..
    4. Re:Will it be "most powerful" by time of launch? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Also more than thrust even if still within the scope of the launcher. For example, efficiency in conversion of the stored chemical energy into thrust; and it so happens that the Russians use very efficient staged combustion cycle in their engines (check RD-170 family and where it is used, NK-33 and where it is being used) ...and are basically alone in this.

      It's geneally curious that SpaceX has an approach very similar to many longstanding Russian design "rules"... even exactly the same propellants (but not so popular elsewhere; likewise Taurus 2, especially considering where its 1st stage has been designed). And getting costs finally (merely?) in the range of those designs / yup, costs overruns and delays at odds with optimistic claims are pretty much expected in this field (heck, with Angara it would be good if 7-segment version had official funding, for a start)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  24. And it can lie on its side, too by Animats · · Score: 2

    I'm impressed that the Falcon-9 rocket can lie on its side, supported at only two points. Many large US rockets don't have enough strength in torsion for that, and must be assembled vertically.

    This reduces cost. The thing can be built in a factory bay of reasonable size, then barged and/or trucked to the launch site. There's no need to do final assembly near the launch pad.

    This is a good sign. One of the big problems with US rocketry has been that fanatical weight reduction resulted in overly fragile vehicles. This thing looks tougher.

    1. Re:And it can lie on its side, too by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I'm impressed that the Falcon-9 rocket can lie on its side, supported at only two points. Many large US rockets don't have enough strength in torsion for that, and must be assembled vertically.

      That's one stage laying on it's side for transport - something that every US rocket is capable of doing.
       

      This reduces cost. The thing can be built in a factory bay of reasonable size, then barged and/or trucked to the launch site. There's no need to do final assembly near the launch pad.

      The first is not unique to Falcon - it's how every rocket is built.
       
      The second is not only an assumption, it confuses assembly (manufacturing the stages) and assembly (stacking the individual stages into a flight vehicle). Not only is horizontal assembly (manufacture) standard, horizontal assembly (stacking) is increasingly common as well.

  25. Did anyone else watch the webcast by opus_magnum · · Score: 1

    and thought it looked amateurish?
    Seriously, the guy stuttered for the whole duration and the promotional video was momentarily interrupted by a flash plugin popup.

    Anyway as long as he can sell the stuff...

    1. Re:Did anyone else watch the webcast by Somegeek · · Score: 1

      He is the founder of a flourishing rocket company, telling us about his dreams for the future, not some paid spokesperson.

      Instead of spending a few million on a PR department, he is just getting up and telling us about it himself. Who cares about a little stuttering? Grow up.

      --
      And as you tread the halls of sanity, You feel so glad to be, Unable to go beyond. I have a message, From another time..
    2. Re:Did anyone else watch the webcast by opus_magnum · · Score: 1

      He is the founder of a flourishing rocket company, telling us about his dreams for the future, not some paid spokesperson.

      Instead of spending a few million on a PR department, he is just getting up and telling us about it himself. Who cares about a little stuttering? Grow up.

      Quite frankly I don't care, but being the head of a company looking for major government contracts, is precisely the reason why he ought to.

  26. Not the world's most powerful rocket by Snarky+McButtface · · Score: 2

    SpaceX stated it was the most powerful rocket since the Apollo era. They also said a larger rocket would be needed for a Mars mission. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-12975872

    1. Re:Not the world's most powerful rocket by dido · · Score: 1

      It's not even the most powerful rocket since the Apollo era. The old Soviet Energia (which briefly saw service in the late 1980's, long after the Apollo era), which could send a payload of 100,000 kg into LEO, almost double the Falcon Heavy. The Space Shuttle could also do roughly the same, but since the Shuttle Orbiter is rather heavy, its maximum payload to LEO was only about 24,300 kg. There were only three super heavy lift launch vehicles built that ever had successful launches (Saturn V, Energia, and Space Shuttle), all with roughly twice the payload lift capacity as Falcon Heavy.

      It will, however, hold the distinction of being the most powerful rocket in active service if all goes well when they finally launch. If their projections are correct it'll also be the cheapest way to get stuff into LEO, at only 10% of the cost of using an Ariane 5 or Proton, and half that of the Falcon 9.

      --
      Qu'on me donne six lignes écrites de la main du plus honnête homme, j'y trouverai de quoi le faire pendre.
  27. But... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...will it be powerful enough to get Duke Nukem to the alien mothership?

  28. Who wrote this? Dr Evil? by oluckyman · · Score: 1

    Wow! "the millionaire founder".

  29. cheaper huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry I wasn't paying attention in basket weaving, sorry I mean economics, as Mr. Musk was, but given that Delta, Atlas, Titan, Ariane, ...are existing and flying designs, I not sure how the Falcon can be substantially cheaper than these systems.

    It's like claiming the Tesla is substantially cheaper than the Prius, oh right, it isn't.

    1. Re:cheaper huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Tesla roadster is more than $100,000. No it's not substantially cheaper than a (more technically sophisticated) Prius (~$30,000).
      Guess the Musk economic magic hasn't seep down to the Tesla division.

    2. Re:cheaper huh? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Please explain how the Roadster is more or less technically sophisticated than the Prius?

      The design goals for the two vehicles were hugely different, and Tesla was explicitly going after the high-end auto consumer market with the Roadster, where $100k is not really a problem. If you knew anything about economics at all, you'd realize that the strategy Tesla is using is a much better way to build cars.

      Besides, have you seen the "Model S" specs lately? Tesla is working for cheaper vehicles, and there is another vehicle in the works that is aimed squarely at the Prius market slated to cost about $30k each. Are you complaining because you don't have that $100k right now to own a Roadster?

  30. 2012 by AnonymmousCoward · · Score: 0

    Maybe this will be the rocket that attracts the attention of nearby space beings!

  31. Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have hade a good read of this blog and I dont fully understand half of the comments but I do no that if you need debt help the www.debthelpcompare.co.uk is where you need to look.

  32. Re:His designs are in NASA archives at Marshall SF by thesandtiger · · Score: 1

    Cheap is also better for long-term sustained exploration and presence. Set up regular supply & equipment drops and you can "easily" keep a lunar base a going concern and have a lot more space/easier construction (dig tunnels!)

    --
    Since I can't tell them apart, I treat all ACs as the same person.
  33. Re:And smaller than the space shuttle. by edibobb · · Score: 1

    The two shuttle solid rocket boosters (combined) have more thrust than the Falcon Heavy.

  34. Yeah, well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They damn well better name it the Millennium Falcon.

    1. Re:Yeah, well... by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Where do you think the name Falcon came from?