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Bill Gates On Energy

Sam the Nemesis submitted an interview in Wired with Bill Gates on the future of energy. Gates sees nuclear as the only feasible option for base load generation. His views on the current direction of energy funding are particularly distressing: "But the economics are so, so far from making sense. And yet that's where subsidies are going now. We're putting 90 percent of the subsidies in deployment — this is true in Europe and the United States — not in R&D. And so unfortunately you get technologies that, no matter how much of them you buy, there's no path to being economical. You need fundamental breakthroughs, which come more out of basic research."

474 comments

  1. Say waht you will about MS by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Say waht you will about MS but to me it appears old Bill is mostly right on this one. Things like solar and will will eventually become economical, but not in the immediate future. This is mostly due to the rising cost of fossil fuels, but there are some economies of scale. More basic research is needed but renewables will become economical on their own eventually.

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    Time to offend someone
    1. Re:Say waht you will about MS by sharkey · · Score: 5, Funny

      As long as no Microsoft products are used in nuclear energy generation.

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      --
      "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
    2. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Sinthet · · Score: 5, Informative

      Wind power is already pretty good depending on the environment. A local ski-resort around here (BerkShire East), already runs entirely on power generated from a single windmill they put up. Not only do they manage to run the entire place on it, they make enough to sell to the local electric company. Not only are they saving money by getting rid of what I'm sure is a huge electric bill, they're making extra money they otherwise wouldn't have. So, in some situations, these alternate forms of energy are already economically feasible.

    3. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Stargoat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is not enough energy potential in solar power nor in wind / hydro-electric to match the energy potential from nuclear power and fossil fuels. As fossil fuels become more expensive, nuclear power will be the world's only option. Gates is right on this issue because physics dictates his correctness. No matter how much people may wish it, you cannot legislate past physical laws.

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      Hoist Number One and Number Six.
    4. Re:Say waht you will about MS by poetmatt · · Score: 1

      Solar won't become economical? Is that a joke? Have you looked at how far solar has come in the last...5, 10 years? That's not exactly a long time. Building more nuclear plants in the immediate future is not a solution when solar is getting pretty significantly efficient.

    5. Re:Say waht you will about MS by ColdWetDog · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Things like solar and will will eventually become economical, but not in the immediate future.

      As opposed to nuclear and it's ability to operate in the free economic market without government handouts, protections and subsidies? Ah, I get it. Or, rather not.

      While at some level I agree with Gates that nuclear has the best chance of serving our near term (20-40 year) base load generation AND that we're better served putting a bunch more money in R&D (or at least getting rid of the remaining Gen I BWRs and the like an figuring out what to do with those neat glowing blue pools of spent fuel rods), it's not like anything other than fossil fuels can 'compete with the market'.

      Now, we can argue about how fossil fuels don't count for external costs like running out of fossil fuels. pollution, gbobal warming^Hclimate change^Herrnevermind, but then we get into a discussion about economics and I don't want to ruin a perfectly good morning with that sort of unpleasantness.

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      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    6. Re:Say waht you will about MS by whovian · · Score: 4, Funny

      It looks like you're having a nuclear meltdown. Would you like help?

      o Get help with shutting down the reactor
      o Just shut down the reactor without help
      o Don't show me this tip again

      --
      To-do List: Receive telemarketing call during a tornado warning. Check.
    7. Re:Say waht you will about MS by bmo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      >Solar won't become economical? Is that a joke?

      No, it's not a joke. And in places like here in the Northeast, it's totally out of the question.

      Solar only works when the sun is out.

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      BMO

    8. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      I never said that solar won't become economical, actually just the opposite it will become economical. I was saying that it isn't economical now and won't be in the immediate future. Give it probably another 10 to 15 years and it will probably be able to compete without the subsidies in most of the US. The majority of the article also focused on other stuff as well such as misguided farm policies and differences between the rich nations and poor ones.

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      Time to offend someone
    9. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      $/kilowatt hour is the only metric worthy of discussion and Nuclear OBLITERATES the competition.

    10. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could argue that solar isn't constant and unpredictable, which could potentially be solved by better energy storage technologies, but to say that there's not enough energy potential in solar is crazy! Any idea how much energy falls on the earth, in the form of light, every moment on the day? It's several orders of a magnitude more than we're all using in a year!

    11. Re:Say waht you will about MS by cbeaudry · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ignorance, does not a point make.

    12. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar and wind are not base load power sources... Until you understand that part anything you say about renewable energy sources has a huge gaping hole made of lack of understanding.

    13. Re:Say waht you will about MS by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      Solar only works when the sun is out.

      I present to you several interesting concepts:

      1. Batteries and other storage forms
      2. Transmission lines
      3. There has to be some good that came from stealing Texas, Arizona, New Mexico and Utah from the Mexicans a couple of centuries ago.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    14. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately I agree. I wish Solar and it's cleaner brethren were more advanced (And they would be if we had done the intelligent thing 30 years ago and started really working on them) but they aren't and they aren't going to be in my lifetime. Nuclear is not the safest thing in the world (And if you doubt that, go over to Japan and ask them... or take a trip to Chernobyl) and it produces waste that we are going to have a problem with. But right now it's the only type of energy advanced enough to shoulder a large portion of the load...

    15. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're not making floating solar plants, so there goes what, 60+% of that energy to waste. And we can't cover forests, parks and other areas in collectors, so there's more down the drain. Yeah, the sun bombards us with tons of energy, but how much can we actually gather.

    16. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      I never said that nuclear can compete without subsidies and handouts. I think with the current public opinion nuclear is more or less dead in the country for some time to come. That leaves us with fossil fuels for which prices will rise due to either increased demand, lack of supply, or probably both. That is the funny thing about the market, right now nothing can really compete with fossil fuels, but as their price continues to rise due to scarcity (decreased supply or increased demand) other things will be able to compete.

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      Time to offend someone
    17. Re:Say waht you will about MS by whiteboy86 · · Score: 1

      I bet he is also patenting this new technology of his....., so ok, he might be right, but unfortunately for him the renewables are actually viable once the long term storage problem is resolved (so you can store the peak output for later, today this power is wasted), technology like the new flywheel energy storage using magnetic bearings are making this possible, bringing solar and wind back to the game.

    18. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'll ask the Russians and the Japanese how to do it wrong.

    19. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Tx · · Score: 5, Informative

      That may be the case where you live, but in the UK, wind power depends on subsidies to exist at all. In fact on top of the subsidies, we've been paying wind farms to NOT produce electricity. The trouble is our peak demand for energy is in winter, when we have a large stable high pressure zone over the UK, leading to very cold clear conditions, and that same high pressure zone means no wind. Hence wind farms are almost useless when they're needed most, but producing power when it's not needed. Until economically viable ways of storing energy from wind farms is found, they'll never be economically viable in the UK, and such storage appears to be a long way off at the moment.

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      Oh no... it's the future.
    20. Re:Say waht you will about MS by physicsphairy · · Score: 2

      "Getting efficient?" So you want us to throw up a bunch of energy inefficient plants because we think in the future we will eventually have efficient ones? I don't understand why we would want to build the inefficient ones at all. Why not take that money and use it to get the efficient plants more quickly? That's what Bill Gates is suggesting, and it seems sensible to me.

      Even if we get the fundamental technology in the next ten years (not guaranteed), plants do not spring up magically and instantaneously. We have to be building infrastructure *right now* based on our anticipation of our near-future energy needs. We can't wait ten years because someone is prophesying an energy miracle, be disappointed and then... what? Spend a few years of rolling blackouts while we try to get back on course?

      If we think a certain line of tech is going to have a big payoff, then certainly we should invest in it. But we should not predicate the time-critical solution to our real and tangible needs on uninvented technology.

    21. Re:Say waht you will about MS by mellon · · Score: 2

      When you can externalize all your risk, your apparent cost per kilowatt goes way down. Ask the Japanese what their cost per kilowatt, including the cost of the Fukushima meltdowns is. The problem is that when you externalize risk, the risk doesn't just magically go away. If nuclear were really economical, the public wouldn't have to offer loans to build the plants, and wouldn't have to assume liability for accidents.

    22. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 2

      Really you actually believe this. We get more energy from the sun than we could realistically use. If you doubt me then how about NASA. They even do the energy to mass conversion for you so we literally are getting tons (metric or short) of energy from the sun each day.

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      Time to offend someone
    23. Re:Say waht you will about MS by mellon · · Score: 3, Informative

      Wind can actually be a base load power source—there are lots of places where the wind blows all the time. The problem is that the grid isn't tuned to make that work. Solar PV can't be a base load source, but solar thermal can, because of thermal mass. And you can build pump-storage power systems that pump water uphill when there's excess power, and then drain it back downhill through turbines when there's excess load. These systems are good for moderating load on the grid, but we don't have very many of them.

    24. Re:Say waht you will about MS by gnick · · Score: 2

      As fossil fuels become more expensive, nuclear power will be the world's only option.

      I'm a big nuclear proponent, but fossil fuels (coal at least) is still abundant and cheap. It's not a permanent solution, but the expense barrier is mostly moving due to new restrictions rather than a lack of fuel. For the large portion of the population that simply wants cheap power in the short term rather than short-term costly but long-term essential fashion, coal is still attractive unless we can continue to shift public opinion.

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      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    25. Re:Say waht you will about MS by RivenAleem · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is that fundamental breakthroughs, like the magnetic flywheel, are what's needed? You should be interviewed by wired instead of Old Bill.

    26. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen Windows (And VB .NET) being used at wind turbine plants, I think the windows licensing sales for the power generation industry in total is probably irrelevant when compared to other industries.

    27. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Umm. If Nuclear is economical then why is it ALL subsidized by the government. Most plants are in the red for 25 years before turning a profit which is why no company who ever build one without government funding.

    28. Re:Say waht you will about MS by gnick · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1. Batteries and other storage forms

      If your goal is to save the environment, please don't bring up batteries. Although I will grant that there are other efficient and interesting power storage mechanisms (molten salt vats are kinda cool.)

      2. Transmission lines

      I think you underestimate transmission cost when collecting in Texas to power Maine.

      3. There has to be some good that came from stealing Texas, Arizona, New Mexico and Utah from the Mexicans a couple of centuries ago.

      Texas is good for wind and the whole area is OK for solar if we can figure out how to do it right. But again, the postage necessary to transmit power from Texas to, say, NYC is non-trivial.

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    29. Re:Say waht you will about MS by danbert8 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html

      It IS the safest... How many have died in Fukushima? How many of those were from radiation?

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    30. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Nova77 · · Score: 1
    31. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Rakishi · · Score: 2

      1. Batteries and other storage forms

      Go look up how many batteries you'll need to power the north for 20 hours a day during winter. We're talking about a scale where you use water and gravity as storage mediums because nothing else is really economical. Even that one is hard due to environmental and practical contraints.

      So no, it's not a solution.

      2. Transmission lines

      These incur transmission losses, are somewhat prone to outages and most importantly don't help you at night. Or when a giant storm covers a significant chunk of your solar cells. So now you got to add in the costs of building a lot more solar cells than you need just to cover overcasts in other areas, etc, etc.

      So, no, given current and foreseeable technology going solar for base load is a giant horrible expensive pain the backside. One that will never really go away baring some absurd technological improvement.

    32. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is economical is a question of politics. Nuclear energy is economical, because risks are mainly carried by the state. Who is paying for all the damage in Fukushima? Not the folks running that power plant! They are paying a lot less. They are never able to pay everything, because they were allowed to sell their power so cheap (of course everybody was happy with that).

      No, Bill Gates is wrong (again). He should stay at his business. Tell us about the future of operating systems, Bill (but, please, a little more creative)!

    33. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      There are ways of storing energy: CAES, electrolysing H20 into H2 and O2 (then storing the H2 for use in fuel cells). These are slowly becoming economical, especially the electrolysing method. The fuel cells are almost ready for mass production, in fact some very big companies in Germany and Australia are looking at waste H2 and UCG for fuel cell applications.

      Obviously you're not going to produce 100% of required output through just one type of power production, a combination of nuclear, H2/fuel cells, wind, thermal, wave, UCG etc. will be the future. We shouldn't be putting all our eggs in one basket like we have done in the past with fossil fuels.

    34. Re:Say waht you will about MS by stiggle · · Score: 1

      Pumped storage schemes (like Dinorwig http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dinorwig_Power_Station) - but you'll never get the planning permission in to flood a few more valleys to create them.

    35. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Rakishi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You think fossil plants don't have this problem? They are a perpetual accident, we're just used to it and the cost (health problems, environmental damage, pollution, etc, etc.) are implicitly externalized onto society by now.

    36. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Mitchell314 · · Score: 1

      Touche, but is there a source of energy that can meet global needs that doesn't have considerable health/safety/environmental issues? Keep in mind those global needs are growing hugely as much of the world develops.

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    37. Re:Say waht you will about MS by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "It IS the safest... How many have died in Fukushima? How many of those were from radiation?"

      Indeed. Unlike the millions who die every year from solar and wind accidents.

    38. Re:Say waht you will about MS by caluml · · Score: 4, Funny

      molten salt vats are kinda cool

      You're doing it wrong.

    39. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Not when you account for all of the subsidies, especially in construction and waste disposal.

      It's profitable for companies to operate, but huge amounts of government money and valuable grants of things like land and guarantees of access to cooling water get shoveled into it at the construction stage, which for some reason everyone seems to ignore when making claims about cost, and the waste isn't being properly disposed of, and everyone seems to expect government to eventually bear the unknown and indefinitely prolonged costs of that, to say nothing of the security and anti-proliferation burden.

      Nuclear power plants only look good with crooked accounting.

      Now, it's possible that future nuclear technologies will be economical. But we couldn't be reasonably confident of that until a decade or two of actually using them in practice, and we couldn't be certain until at least a century had passed, since nuclear power creates an indefinite burden of ongoing costs, and nuclear waste containment could turn out to be very expensive in the long term.

      It's much more likely that future solar and wind and energy storage technologies will become economical in the near future. They don't have to be big projects. They can be done bit by bit by private individuals and small business. Anyone can be permitted to work on improving their technology, rather than needing government monitoring and buy-in. They are less likely to generate surprise costs.

    40. Re:Say waht you will about MS by poetmatt · · Score: 1

      Nuclear plants have significant long term impacts. We can always replace a solar cell. You can't so easily get rid of the nuclear waste from a plant, and even when buried in concrete requires significant long term maintenance costs.

      So no, spending more on nuke plants aside from fixing the maintenance that we don't even do is a horrible and shortsighted idea.

    41. Re:Say waht you will about MS by tranquillity · · Score: 1

      What is economical is a question of politics. Nuclear energy is economical, because risks are mainly carried by the state. Who is paying for all the damage in Fukushima? Not the folks running that power plant! They are paying a lot less. They are never able to pay everything, because they were allowed to sell their power so cheap (of course everybody was happy with that).

      No, Bill Gates is wrong (again). He should stay at his business. Tell us about the future of operating systems, Bill! (but, please, a little more creative)

    42. Re:Say waht you will about MS by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Yes, no one argue there are some specific uses for generating electricity from local sources. No rational person argues that concept However overall baseload power can't not be generated from alternative sources. It's a matter of power density.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    43. Re:Say waht you will about MS by gbjbaanb · · Score: 1

      he's describing the basic model of Windows - it's not quite ready now but it'll be great in the next version when yoyu've bought the upgrade.

      Also, performance is ok, but in the next round of hardware refreshes, PCs will become powerful enough to run the software well.

    44. Re:Say waht you will about MS by lupine · · Score: 1

      Pumped Water storage is 80% efficient, energy stored only depends on the reservoir size. Molten salt solar concentrators can be designed to provide power around the clock.

      But the great thing about solar is that it's production curve is very similar to our electrical demand curve. Which means that expensive solar plants can replace expensive fossil fuel peaker plants.

    45. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... yeah, I guess those millions of animals don't count.

    46. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      why don't you share how to convert this to usable energy efficiently, because no one else on Earth knows how.

    47. Re:Say waht you will about MS by nospam007 · · Score: 2

      "Solar and wind are not base load power sources.."

      Nuclear power plants are shut down for months because of low river levels or high river levels as we saw recently.
      No different from hurricanes or the sun disappearing behind the earth.

    48. Re:Say waht you will about MS by frdmfghtr · · Score: 2

      No, it's not a joke. And in places like here in the Northeast, it's totally out of the question.

      Solar only works when the sun is out.

      But the sun is very strong in other areas (southwestern US for example). The problem then becomes one of storage (how do you power the country overnight in stored energy?) and transmission (line losses, physical construction and routing).

      I think that part of the solution, as has been discussed here and elsewhere numerous times, is the idea of a distributed solar grid. If every building is covered with solar panels, part of the transmission problem is solved since the energy generated by the panels goes first to the local building, and any excess is returned to the local grid and used by larger loads that exceed their own panels' capacity. Next the excess (if any) goes to the regional grid for use in areas where there may be some lack of generation capability, and so on.

      The same idea can be used for wind power.

      It doesn't answer the question about nighttime energy needs (solar) or calm days (wind) but it's at least a start.

      --
      Government's idea of a balanced budget: take money from the right pocket to balance...oh who am I kidding?
    49. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Molten salt vats are HOT!

    50. Re:Say waht you will about MS by h4rr4r · · Score: 0, Troll

      Your problem is not electric supply, it is consumption. Sounds like your heating your homes with resistors, stop doing that and get some heat pumps. Also try selling your power to your neighbors, they eat cheese and live a short swim away.

    51. Re:Say waht you will about MS by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      Way to read the link...

      In any case wind and solar kill thousands every year... Ever heard of tornadoes, hurricanes, any other weather?

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      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    52. Re:Say waht you will about MS by LWATCDR · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It doesn't work at night.
      Battery technology is limited by physics and chemistry.
      Very little of it is in many places where you need it. The North East US for instance and all of Canada.
      Transmission lines are not a total solution. You will loose a lot of power shipping it from Texas to New York for example. Plus you have the NIMBY and the issues with massive centralization. If lots of power is sent over a few very good power lines from Texas to the North East those lines become a single point of failure. Since you will not build only one Nuclear plant to power the North East you have at least some redundancies compared to a thousand mile long power line.
      Solar cells will not follow Moore's law. Moore's law is based on things getting smaller. The amount of power a solar cell can produce is going to be tied directly the size of the cell.
      Economies of scale is also a mixed bag. Economies of scale fights with supply and demand for production to go up you must have the demand, high demand drives up prices which gets more people to start producing which should drive down prices in the long run the problem is that we are not there yet so demand goes up more than supply prices will first rise that will create a barrier to since it must compete with mature energy sources like natural gas.
      I am not anti solar or anti nuclear. I think that nuclear has a very bright future as a base load provider. I am also all for Solar as well. In the south every home should have a solar roof to help out with peak AC loads. However the pro solar and wind spout off buzz words like "Smart grid" and "Economies of Scale" without really understanding the problems or the meanings of the terms.
      Today I would have to agree with Mr. Gates that Nuclear is the way to replace Coal fired plants and to reduce CO2 emissions. I would love to see more research into Thorium cycle plants as well. I also want to see more funding for the Polywell reactor. In the county I live in we have two nuclear reactors and they are looking into building a wind farm as well. I am good with both. The fact is that Solar and Wind can not today or in the foreseeable future replace Coal, Nuclear, and or Hydro. It can and should be part of our current energy plans and future but so should nuclear.

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    53. Re:Say waht you will about MS by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Are there _any_ nuclear power plants in the US that could exist without large subsidies an tax relief though?

    54. Re:Say waht you will about MS by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      Coal is the same. If the nuclear plants could dump all their waste into the air think how cheap that power would be, if solar cell foundries could toss all their wastes into the river think how cheap they would be.

    55. Re:Say waht you will about MS by geekoid · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Sigh.

      Yes, lots of energy comes from the Sun. 1Kw per sqr meter of the earth.
      We can get, 150-200 watts from a sqr meter of solar power, 5-6 hours a day assuming no clouds and clear sky.

      The US uses 122,471,071 920Kw per hour.

      That means we need 612,355,359.6 sqr meters just to get what we need for 6 hours. Now you actually need off paek sun, so triple it.

      And we don't have a way of storing, but if we did, we would need to double the area to collect it to store for the night.
      SO panel are out.

      Now we have Solar thermal generation. This is pretty good tech, but it use a LOT of water. Far more then Nuclear.
      So the best places for industrial solar thermal have little water, and none to spare.

      Should we build some massive Industrial Solar thermal pants? yes. Hell, I would take a huge area near a city, and sell the power at cost and see what it would take to completely power the city.
      The US government should do that so we can see if we can substantial lower the water requirement, see how practical it is, and let energy producing company get a good look at it.

      All that said, right now, with what we know, 4th gen thorium plants are our best solution to meet base load needs.

       

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    56. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Digital+Vomit · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If you're referring to the cost in human lives, at deaths/TWH, nuclear power is *still* the safest power source, even when you include Fukushima.

      --
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    57. Re:Say waht you will about MS by geekoid · · Score: 1

      The only way to shift public support is to build new nuclear plants, based on new technology. Then sell the power at cost.
      Have it run by the government. remove shareholders, C*O bonuses, and you remove the incentive to cut corners.
      Frankly, I think the government should build and operate all nuclear plant, and we should have a gal to build about 100 new plants and sell power at cost.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    58. Re:Say waht you will about MS by spectro · · Score: 1

      As long as you don't count the costs of building it, decommissioning and storing nuclear waste for thousands of years.

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    59. Re:Say waht you will about MS by geekoid · · Score: 1, Insightful

      1) Batteries are a tech that isn't good enough.

      2) That great..except the whole country is dark for periods of time

      3) this is pointless trolling

      4) Have you even bothered to calculate the land area you would need?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    60. Re:Say waht you will about MS by CapuchinSeven · · Score: 1

      $/kilowatt hour is the only metric worthy of discussion and Nuclear OBLITERATES the competition.

      Literally.

    61. Re:Say waht you will about MS by ArsonSmith · · Score: 2

      The problem Bill Gates is outlining is that all the subsidies are going to deployments which means that solar companies can sell what they have right now with no need to increase efficiency. The government is stagnating the solar industries research and development because of this. In 10-15 years, if trends continue, we'll have a bunch of rich solar companies that got rich of of government money deploying existing, old tech and not bothering to develop anything new.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    62. Re:Say waht you will about MS by mordred99 · · Score: 1

      Okay .. so the Texas power grid is not interconnected to anyone outside of Texas. Cannot ship power to the Northeast as the original person said. Arizona, New Mexico and Utah are all part of the western interconnect and thus physically are disconnected from the eastern power grid, thus cannot power someone in the Northeast. Plus you have not even talked about loss of power across multiple thousands of miles of wire. Georgia and the Carolinas? Yes those are candidates, and they are looking into them.

    63. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Shatrat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There are plenty of people terrified of nuclear power, and there are plenty of people terrified of ghosts, for the same basic reasons.

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    64. Re:Say waht you will about MS by kestasjk · · Score: 1

      And we get huge amounts from the core each day too (enough to pull the entire sea bed along the ocean floor, cause volcanoes, power Iceland, destroy Japanese nuclear reactors and who knows what else). That doesn't matter if it's buried too far under the earth to use..

      Same goes for the sun; yes it's hugely powerful and we get x W/m^2 on the surface on a sunny day in California. Unfortunately when you factor in clouds, nights, seas, PV generation, farms, etc, etc, etc, it becomes a lot less practical than multiplying the sun-facing area of the earth by the watts per square meter.

      --
      // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
    65. Re:Say waht you will about MS by jawtheshark · · Score: 5, Informative

      Also try selling your power to your neighbors, they eat cheese and live a short swim away.

      Those neighbours you talk about are entirely on nuclear and sell their excess power to their neighbouring countries. Selling electricity to the French is like selling snow to the Inuit.

      --
      Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    66. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Ironhandx · · Score: 2

      Most of them have earned back their intial investment 3x over, and the maintenance costs for most of them are only running at around 20% of initial investment over the life span.

      In Canada the nuclear power plants are actually a source of income for government, and for awhile were experiencing a large amount of support because of that.

    67. Re:Say waht you will about MS by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "As opposed to nuclear and it's ability to operate in the free economic market without government handouts, protections and subsidies? Ah, I get it. Or, rather not."

      haha, why are you discounting all the government handouts, protections and subsidies for alternative energy? WHay re you overlooking the amount of land and storage issues?

      No, I don't want business running nuclear plants, I want the government running them. That would make them safer, and cheaper.

      "the like an figuring out what to do with those neat glowing blue pools of spent fuel rods"
      Use them in new gen plants.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    68. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Deployment is key, the basic foundation. Right now, nobody puts any serious money into alternative energy because of that lack of deployment. The minute those preparations are complete, money will start gushing in. It will mean the free market will be responsible for research, and the governments for regularization. Just as they should.

      What Bill Gates says, is give government money, free money, to privately owned research, for them to make even more money. Basically we pay, so we can pay even more.

      To use a car analogy, the governments shouldn't waste money on developing roads, but give "research grants" for making Ferraris and ice cream trucks and roads. So, you'll have three lane roads in one state, two lane suspended highways in another and dirt paths in yet another.

      Considering this advice comes from the creator of one of the best known monopolies ever, it's best taken with a heavy grain of salt.

    69. Re:Say waht you will about MS by geekoid · · Score: 1

      New flywheel storage isn't enough.

      DO you even have a clue how much power the US uses?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    70. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If fossil fuels didn't externalise the costs of their pollution, nuclear would be a lot more price-competitive with them.

      As long as the population don't mind being poisoned every day for their electricity, and don't charge the fossil power plants blowing mercury, arsenic, lead, etc. into the air we all breathe, fossil fuel plants have it comparatively easy.

    71. Re:Say waht you will about MS by doti · · Score: 1

      No single alternate source of energy will be enough for all.

      Some places can use wind, others solar, others tides.
      Here in Brazil more than 80% of all the eletricity is generated by hydro dams.
      All of the alternate sources together, combined with less waste (responsible use), may not solve all the problems, but sure can help a lot.

      --
      factor 966971: 966971
    72. Re:Say waht you will about MS by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Nuclear does need handouts and extensive government support. It isn't just clean-up or long term storage costs, there needs to be a massive regulatory framework in place and oversight for handling nuclear material. You can argue that there is too much red tape due to overblown fears about proliferation etc. but I don't see them going away any time soon.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    73. Re:Say waht you will about MS by hellkyng · · Score: 4, Funny

      No worries nuclear companies only use the best! Siemens gear!

    74. Re:Say waht you will about MS by halowolf · · Score: 1

      I saw a news report just the other day about an Australian battery solution for wind power generation output storage and normalisation back to the grid that they have started selling to Germany, China and Japan. It can be easily retrofitted to existing installations and no doubt easily integrated into new ones. Can't remember the name of it to save my live.

    75. Re:Say waht you will about MS by bberens · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Technology is improving dramatically. Fast forward about 5-6 decades and it's feasible that virtually every roof will have been replaced with solar shingles, every sidewalk, every road... all huge surface area and all potential places where heat/light can be trapped and converted to electricity. It's not cost efficient today, but with improved technology and more efficient solar cells this type of system would produce huge amounts of power. Wind and geothermal can take care of quite a bit more. Unlike some others, I don't feel it's necessary to get rid of nuclear power to help out with the baseline and/or seasonal issues where wind/solar do not provide enough local energy and the various large scale storage systems simply aren't pragmatic.

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    76. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      SO panel are out

      How does that mean panels are out?

      Using your math:
      612355359 sq meters * 3 (to get all night) * 2 for storage = 7348264308 sq meters
      That is approximately 53 miles by 53 miles for the entire united states.

      That is a relatively small chunk of southern Nevada to provide power to the entire country given we have only one power plant and one type of power supplying the entire United States.

      Honestly I would rather see advanced nuclear tech and hydro maxed out since they are cheaper and easier to maintain, but solar alone could definitely work if it was our only possible source of energy.

    77. Re:Say waht you will about MS by gilesjuk · · Score: 1

      He would say that. He's got to keep his heated driveway running somehow.

      But there does need to be a massive improvement in solar technology. I've often thought that the water could be preheated with solar power (black pipes in glass cages) before being heated by coal fired or gas fired plants. It would require less energy then.

      Your washing machine sources hot water to reduce the amount of heating it does itself. So the idea is well established.

    78. Re:Say waht you will about MS by tautog · · Score: 1

      Frankly, I think the government should build and operate all nuclear plant

      Not much of a solution.

    79. Re:Say waht you will about MS by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1

      Storage and distribution are two main obstacles to some of the renewable energy options. Things like wind can generate energy but can't store the excess easily. For someplace like the UK, it is hard to distribute it to somewhere that could use it like the continent without running a lot of wires.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    80. Re:Say waht you will about MS by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Informative

      Educate thyself: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concentrated_solar_power

      About 3% of the Sahara will power all of western Europe easily. Storage is built in, works 24 hours a day 365 days a year. You guys in the US have it even better because you have space in your own country you can use. DC long distance transmission is more efficient than moving coal or gas about and safer than transporting with nuclear material. Worried about being reliant on Africa for power, well it is no worse than being reliant on the middle east (less so in fact).

      The technical problems are largely solved with existing concentrated solar plants, we just need to sort the political situation out so we can get on with building the things.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    81. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Some of the most successful solar homes I've read about have been in the Pacific Northwest and other places that are cold, Northerly and/or gloomy. Ironically, the "Sunshine State" actually isn't, however. Not but what you won't find plenty of solar billboards and even traffic signals in Florida.

      To me, a bigger issue long-term with solar is that if one goes self-reliant, you end up with drunk uncle Charlie messing around with the wiring in the garage. ZAP! Cells continue to improve. I have confidence that environmentally-friendly high-capacity batteries will become cheap and commonplace. Controller electronics are already cheap and reliable. But until you can render the setup as a sealed unit that can be neglected for at least as long as a water header, it's too much for Homer Simpson's house.

    82. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Creepy · · Score: 1

      Solutions that are only practical in 20% of the US doesn't help the other 80% of the country. Solar concentrators may be great for Nevada, but they don't really help Seattle. Pumped water may be great for Florida, but it doesn't help anyplace where the water freezes for almost 1/2 the year. And before you suggest just building 800 plants in Nevada to supply the US, remember that current transmission loss would make that impractical. We would need superconducting power trunk to make that practical.

    83. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      Gates and Microsoft have decades of proven marketing experience under his belt. Isn't nuclear power more of a marketing problem?

    84. Re:Say waht you will about MS by grimmjeeper · · Score: 2

      Government funded/government operated entities are not free from trouble. Sure, you eliminate a lot of one kind of trouble by eliminating the profit motive. Trouble is, there is no small amount of graft and corruption in government operations. Bureaucrats are always finding ways to bilk the system and skim off the top, diverting money away from necessary operations. And there's plenty of temptation to cut corners in order to redirect the budget to other avenues inside operations. Lavish offices for the executives anyone? You also have to deal with lawmakers always fighting to cut budgets of any project that doesn't operate in their voting district (so they can fund things in their district in order to buy votes).

      Sadly, there's no perfect way to run these plants. There's going to be problems. There's going to be failures. Once in a while, those failures are going to be catastrophic. Nevertheless, we shouldn't use that as an excuse NOT to do it. We should use it as an opportunity to figure out how to do it better next time.

    85. Re:Say waht you will about MS by SuperKendall · · Score: 0

      Ask the Japanese what their cost per kilowatt, including the cost of the Fukushima meltdowns is.

      Give now little actual effect there is from radiation outside a small zone, it was still probably a few orders of magnitude more cost efficient.

      Especially with modern designs or even some forethought. There's a reactor in the U.S. which was flooded without incident.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    86. Re:Say waht you will about MS by rcw-home · · Score: 2

      Now we have Solar thermal generation. This is pretty good tech, but it use a LOT of water.

      There's no intrinsic need for that - it just makes the cooling system smaller, cheaper, and more effective (these are heat engines, operating off a temperature differential - the colder the cold side is, the more efficiently they run).

    87. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      That means we need 612,355,359.6 sqr meters just to get what we need for 6 hours. Now you actually need off paek sun, so triple it.

      Yup. That's about 0.007% of all the land in the US (all included).
      or 1% of the Mojave desert. Triple it all you want - available space is not the problem :)

    88. Re:Say waht you will about MS by JonySuede · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is pretty good tech, but it use a LOT of water.

      I why can't you condense the vapour back into water indefinitely ?

      --
      Jehovah be praised, Oracle was not selected
    89. Re:Say waht you will about MS by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 1

      Things like solar and will will eventually become economical

      The problem with solar power is that producing a state of the art solar cell requires almost as much energy as the cell will gather over its entire useful lifespan. If I were going to point to a "green" source of energy, I would point to wind; a wind turbine is much less energy-intensive to produce, and you can augment with with nuclear power to cover low-wind periods.

      In any case, Gates was spot on when he pointed out that fossil fuels kill people slowly, which makes them politically expedient. Nuclear + wind and hydroelectric is probably our best bet for the next few decades.

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    90. Re:Say waht you will about MS by peragrin · · Score: 2

      Try 100 years maybe. The majority of homes built 50 years ago sit basically changed. They still have shitty insulation,an electric system designed for a couple of lights and a radio(with additional stuff hacked in many ugly ways),plumbing and heating systems hacked together over 50 years of half ass cheap repairs.

      Not to mention the simple truth that solar modules require rare earth materials to build thus driving up their costs extensively. Solar thermal can offset some nuclear, wind is only 25% effecient(meaning you need to massively oversize the turbines.

      As for the ski resort being all i can say is duh! It is closed 6 months out of the year. Talk about saving money. Homes can be net energy can too, if your not living there

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    91. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...And you think we can just find a new fuel to continue our present level of energy use? Don't be insane.

    92. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Nadaka · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A lot. At current levels of efficiency a square 100 miles on a side in the US southwest could provide more than 100% of the US power needs including transportation.

      Put other such squares in the sahara, gobi, patagonia and austrailian outback and you can far exceed the total energy production of the entire world a couple times over. using a fraction of otherwise unused deserts you could elevate all 6.whatever billion people to an American standard of energy consumption and still have space left over for growth.

      All that said, a couple bad storms could devastate a purely solar powered grid. Nuclear power is a safe, clean alternative that should be used alongside solar to provide the worlds power.

    93. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, we have a good test case for this in Southern California. We are in the delicious position of being able to compare apples to apples this time. Case in point 1 GB power Generation Facilities.

      On the one hand, we have San Onofre Nuclear Power station. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/San_Onofre_Nuclear_Generating_Station

      On the other we have Solar that uses molten salt to generate steam (this means it is designed to generate electricity in the day and at night -> i.e. when the sun is down). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blythe_Solar_Power_Project

      The base cost of the Solar station is about 6 Billion, which is on a par with what one of the units at San Onofre cost. But, the solar is much less expensive to operate, and simple to clean up. The nuclear is hellishly expensive to run, and the cleanup costs are estimated at roughly another 6 Billion. Now, I'm just a simple country technician, but it seems plain to me that solar is economical here and now. Perhaps up in Seattle you need Nuclear, but anywhere South of the latitude of San Francisco solar is the way to go. Its not something you can argue any more, its just a fact. And you talking about physics dictating his correctness. For the love of god...

      Which one do you want in your back yard? Look at the picture of San Onofre. See where it is? That same Tsunami and quake here in Socal would turn Los Angeles and San Diego into Fukushimas. http://www.nnistar.com/gmap/fukushima.html

      It makes no sense to pay more for something that doesn't last as long, creates a lot of environmental problems, and will probably kill you.

      [And who cares what Bill Gates thinks about solar. Nobody can argue with his financial success, but he's a tired old man who is still living in the 20th century, and he's a programmer/manager who dropped out of college -> not an engineer.]

    94. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Creepy · · Score: 1

      You're referring to Generation II (like Fukishima) and III (essentially more efficient designs than gen II) or the in-development III+(+). Bill Gates suggested Gen IV reactor from last year's TED conference suggests burning the 99% U235 that is currently considered waste (currently only U238 is burned), which would run on nuclear waste, and waste from that reactor could be combined with waste from other reactors and burned again. Another alternative, Thorium Molten Salt Reactors also burn nearly 100% of their fuel, but because they use raw fuel and not vastly profitable processed fuel and also don't generate vast amounts of enriched uranium used in nuclear weapons, they have largely been ignored (the capitalist mentality - who cares how much energy it can provide or how efficient it is when you can make more money burning 1% and throwing the rest out). Waste from Thorium decays in hundreds of years and Thorium is vastly more abundant. Even better, TMSRs have passive shutdown built in, so have a much smaller risk factor than Uranium reactors.

    95. Re:Say waht you will about MS by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Are you serious? Ghosts are not real and can't hurt you. Nuclear definitely can hurt you if it goes wrong.

      That said Fukushima isn't as bad as some people make out. What we really need to worry about are emerging countries like Iran who want nuclear power but don't have the experience or safeguards in place. It doesn't help that we won't give them any assistance for fear of it being used to make weapons. If we could give them solar collector technology instead it would make it hard for them to justify continuing with uranium enrichment.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    96. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      However, most likely not all nuclear power plants are shut down at the same time, so it becomes a matter of having enough of them so the working ones can provide the power needed while some are shut down for maintenance or whatever.

      When it's night, it's dark all over the country (well, unless the country is Russia), so no matter how many solar power plants you build, they are going to be offline at the same time every day.

    97. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The blue glow of death. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherenkov_radiation

    98. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      And we don't have a way of storing

      Really? Because last I checked, there are about a billion ways of storing energy that are widely deployed on Earth right now.

      Its true that we don't currently have lots of storage systems online for use with mains power (because we have historically used "live" generation almost exclusively for that purpose), and its true that just as any form of electricity transmission is lossy, storage and recovery of stored energy involve some losses,. But to say that "we don't have a way of storing" is completely ludicrous.

    99. Re:Say waht you will about MS by artor3 · · Score: 3, Informative

      I know those numbers are supposed to be big and scary, but they add up to less than a tenth of a percent of the national landmass. Put another way, about the size of your typical parking space per person. With some wind power to supplement the big cities, it is entirely doable. The *only* issue is inventing a way to store power for the nights.

    100. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you underestimate transmission cost when collecting in Texas to power Maine.

      Maine? Maine!?

      They (and much of the rest of New England) get their power from rivers flowing into James Bay thanks to Hydro-Quebec.

    101. Re:Say waht you will about MS by networkBoy · · Score: 2

      Heat pumps efficiency drops dramatically below freezing or above about 102F/39C.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    102. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Nadaka · · Score: 2

      1: thermal batteries using molten salt.

      2: see 1.

      3: he was joking, but yes, what else are we going to do with huge arid deserts otherwise unfit for use?

      4: yes, less than a 100x100 mile square for the entire US energy use if you include day, night and the energy cost of all transportation including cars, trucks, trains, and airplanes and shipping (I don't recall if this accounts for transoceanic shipping or not though).

    103. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Rockoon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Please name the solar cell manufacturer that powers its factories with solar power. These people get the solar cells at cost, and if THEY wont use it.. then what the fuck?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    104. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Solutions that are only practical in 20% of the US doesn't help the other 80% of the country.

      Yeah, its not like electricity can be used any place outside of a very small radius of where its generated. And its not like you can use different renewable solutions in different parts of the country so that several different solutions that are each only practical in a small part of the country could, together, work for most of the country.

    105. Re:Say waht you will about MS by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Solar won't become economical? Is that a joke? Have you looked at how far solar has come in the last...5, 10 years? That's not exactly a long time. Building more nuclear plants in the immediate future is not a solution when solar is getting pretty significantly efficient.

      Yet we still subsidize solar and wind orders of magnitude more than nuclear, natural gas, hydro and coal. If it's so economical, why does it need 100 times the subsidies of natural gas? Why does it need 60X the subsidies of coal?

      Solar and wind have a LONG way to go... In 60, 80 years they may be reliable, efficient, cost-effective, and widely-deployed so they can be the majority of our power generation. But what about the intervening decades? Should we pay 15X subsidies for wind when we could use nuclear for now?

      Money is a resource, and it is somewhat limited. Buy the affordable power now, build lower cost generation while better wind and solar (and even fusion) is researched for future use.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    106. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      Our power grid is in disrepair anyway. When we get around to fixing it, might as well update it to allow for better power distribution as well.

    107. Re:Say waht you will about MS by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      It's not a matter of a subsidy existing or not; we subsidize all power generation forms. The issue is that solar and wind require subsidies 15 times that of nuclear, and nearly 100 times that of natural gas. If we have only so many dollars to spend on energy generation (NOT research - generation), then let's get the biggest bang for our buck.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    108. Re:Say waht you will about MS by networkBoy · · Score: 2

      but is there a source of energy that can meet global needs that doesn't have considerable health/safety/environmental issues?

      nope.
      Solar panel creation is messy
      Wind disrupts local air patterns and kills birds
      Nuclear provides radio-isotopic waste
      Fossil fuel is limited and also releases crap into the atmosphere.
      "wave power" is still a pipe dream
      Fusion is still a pipe dream (and produces radio-isotopic waste, just lots less than fission)

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    109. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Qzukk · · Score: 2

      Retry! Retry!

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    110. Re:Say waht you will about MS by omar.sahal · · Score: 1

      Seen this late so maybe wasting time replying but... I actually would like to see a real review of technologies. There have been many new and not so new tech advances such as Clean, cheap, nuclear fission power that should be funded, as they may save us the trouble of building traditional nuclear power stations. Off on a tangent there is also Gasification and Liquefaction leading to cheap fuel and gas. There are options, how appropriate and or beneficial they are needs to be looked at. I fear that the options that get funded however may have more to do with lobbying.

    111. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DragonWriter · · Score: 2

      Are there _any_ nuclear power plants in the US that could exist without large subsidies an tax relief though?

      There are no nuclear plants in the U.S. that could exist without large subsidies in the form of shields from liability in the case of disaster that are not provided to other power generating industries, as well as other existing forms of government support that act as subsidies, and even with those large existing subsidies the industry isn't building new plants and is lobbying for more subsidies as a prerequisite for doing so.

    112. Re:Say waht you will about MS by jeffmeden · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It looks like you're having a nuclear meltdown. Would you like help?

      o Get help with shutting down the reactor
      o Just shut down the reactor without help
      o Don't show me this tip again

      If that's the pop-up tip for someone starting off a broadcast email with the words "Nobody panic, everything is under control" then maybe it would have actually helped in a few nuclear events in recent history. Human error (or moreover, lack of timely intervention) is almost always the culprit, and not any sort of insurmountable hardware or software malfunction.

    113. Re:Say waht you will about MS by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Lets ask the people of Fucushima of what they think of yours and Bill's sterling conclusions.

    114. Re:Say waht you will about MS by bigpat · · Score: 1

      Strictly speaking it is not the energy "potential" that is the the problem with solar and wind power. Plenty of potential, but the land area requirements to practically collect the energy are very big so there are some very real environmental downsides.

      But the real problem, as Bill Gates has properly identified is the "baseload" requirement, so if you can only rely on solar and wind 50% to 60% of the time then you need to be able to store the energy efficiently and you need a "smart grid" to distribute the unpredictable energy output. Put it all together and you really can't get to a mostly solar and wind powered grid without huge drops in efficiency through conversion and storage which further increase the deployment costs and land use requirements. Such a system would cost so much that it would have a seriously negative economic impact. Right now solar and wind can get a free ride (efficiency boost) as long as most of the grid is powered via other sources that can provide a consistent baseload

      So, I'd say that the physics can be made to work at great cost, but agree that the economics can't work with current or currently foreseeable technologies.

      That said, something around 20% solar, wind on the grid would be a good policy goal. But the 80% goal needs to come from nuclear and natural gas and whatever hydro-electric already exists in the US. With the other goals to reduce coal and oil as much as possible and to increase efficiency in energy usage wherever possible.

    115. Re:Say waht you will about MS by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      Do you mean AC long distance transmission?
      DC transmission is crap.

      Strictly speaking low voltage/high current transmission is crap, but DC is way harder to transform into HVLC and back to LVHC than AC is.
      -nB

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    116. Re:Say waht you will about MS by astrodoom · · Score: 1

      Doesn't seem relevant to anything actually... They developed a custom software interfacing with SQL server and it had bugs. They were worried that a system without a password could be accessed by someone. That article must have been written on a very slow news day. Although props to the reporter for actually getting a response from MS rather than just reporting that there may be bugs with nuclear software.

    117. Re:Say waht you will about MS by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Which would be great if heat pumps weren't at their least efficient when it was coldest outside which just by coincidence happens to be when people want to heat their homes.

    118. Re:Say waht you will about MS by 5KVGhost · · Score: 1

      Dealing with nuclear waste is a solved problem. Unfortunately, political interests and faux-environmentalists prefer to block that solution because they're zealots and demagogues with a superstitious fear of anything nuclear. And, quite often, a vested interest in obtaining subsidies for certain alternatives.

    119. Re:Say waht you will about MS by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Interesting
      The storage mechanisms that you suggest are fine for short-term storage. They let a wind farm produce a slowly changing output, irrespective of moderate changes in wind. Some of them are even okay for allowing solar power plants to keep generating (some) power overnight. The grandparent is talking about moving energy from the summer, when wind and solar have a surplus, to the winter, when they're not generating enough. That requires a staggering amount of storage.

      In the UK, the average person uses about 12MWh of power every year, or about 43GJ. Assume half of this is in the winter (optimistic) and you need to supply 10% of that from energy stored in the summer. That gives about 2GJ per person. Hydrogen has an energy density of 143 MJ/kg, meaning that you'd need 14kg per person. Well, actually, that's assuming 100% efficiency of the fuel cells. Commercial fuel cells are about 50% efficient, so you'd actually need closer to 28kg, just to convert about 20% of the base load over to renewables.

      To put that in perspective, you're talking about storing about 1.5 billion kgs of hydrogen, just for the UK. Compressed, that's about 42840000000000 litres. Or, to put it another way, you'd need a cubic tank over 2km on each side to store it.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    120. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      You think fossil plants don't have this problem? They are a perpetual accident, we're just used to it and the cost (health problems, environmental damage, pollution, etc, etc.) are implicitly externalized onto society by now.

      That's not entirely true on the "just used to it" from, or at least is misleading. Its not that those costs are discounted, its that the status quo external costs of fossil fuels are the common baseline now, such that the absence of those external costs is viewed as an external benefit justifying a subsidy. Subsidies for less-polluting energy production methods are a way of internalizing this external benefit (or, really, internalizing the external cost of fossil fuels.)

      If nuclear were really economical, the public wouldn't have to offer loans to build the plants, and wouldn't have to assume liability for accidents.

      The principle of subsidizing nuclear has always been the same as subsidizing other alternatives, that it is "not economical" only because of the fact that the externalities of its benefits (or, more properly, the external costs of fossil fuels) aren't properly internalized; externalizing the risks of nuclear power is based on the premise that this acts as a mechanism to internalize its external benefits compared to competing mechanism (principally, fossil fuels).

      There is, of course, obviously room for debate over whether this overstates the relative value of the externalized risk of nuclear vs. internalized benefits when compared to fossil fuels, and whether the net effect of the subsidy creates too much of an incentive for nuclear compared to other non-fossil fuel alternatives that don't share its risks.

      And, of course, those argument that nuclear is "economical" while other non-fossil-fuel alternatives are not based on the direct subsidies that are used for other fossil fuels but ignoring the massive subsidies provided to nuclear in the form of externalized risk (and the fact that the industry itself is unwilling to build more plants without even more subsidies) is deeply and fundamentally flawed.

    121. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, these days you would lose almost zero power transmitting it any distance if you build liquid nitrogen cooled superconductive transmission cables.

    122. Re:Say waht you will about MS by HungryHobo · · Score: 2

      Ok, now you're good for the hottest day of summer.

      we now need even more energy to heat homes on the coldest day in winter when we get the least sun.

    123. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Now we have Solar thermal generation. This is pretty good tech, but it use a LOT of water. Far more then Nuclear."

      We can actually use molten sodium. The entire thing is closed-loop in either case so I don't know why you think we need a lot of any working fluid. once you fill the system up once it pretty much just sits there and circulates, none ever leaves except in the event of a leak.

      As for solar panels not being efficient enough to use, this is a problem. But the solution to "solar panels aren't efficient enough" is to research more efficient solar panels, not to switch to a system of power generation that leaves tons (literally) of radioactive waste that we're going to have to deal with for thousands of years.

      It's just absolutely asinine to use nuclear power. We don't have any way of safely storing the waste left over from nuclear power generation. Yucca mountain was a shit idea ("let's build a radioactive waste repository in the most geologically unstable area we can find"), but regardless of that it's going to be full within a year of opening. If we ramp up production of nuclear waste then we just make the problem even worse.

    124. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      First of all, your numbers are wrong.
      From a government site: "Electricity consumption totaled nearly 3741 billion Kilowatthours (kWh) in 2009"
      You're claiming 122 billion kw per hour. That would hit the total yearly consumption in a couple days. If it that was only the figure for the highest-demand hour in a day, it'd hit the yearly figure in a month.
      This pretty much screws all the rest of your numbers, since they're derived from that.

      Going with alternate numbers from the web: US daily energy consumption is 13-14 kwh per capita. Solar panels in the southern US, after accounting for their actual efficiency and how much sun they actually get, come out to about 1 kwh per day per square meter. So for a family of four, that's 56 kwh/day needed, so 56 square meters of panel, or a 7.5m by 7.5m footprint (22.5 ft by 22.5 ft, for the metric impaired). Which is entirely plausible. Round up a bit for battery losses and extra capacity for the occasional run of less-sunny days, and it's still plausible.

      I mention that as plausible because in real life, we don't each personally use 13kwh/day. A huge proportion of the national energy use goes to industry. And, of course, we have more sources available to us than just solar, excluding fossil fuels: wind, hydro, fission... maybe wave, and someday fusion. The numbers show that solar can carry a very large slice of the burden.

    125. Re:Say waht you will about MS by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      More importantly, it can be distributed. One of my neighbours just installed 10 panels on the top of their house. By the look of them, they're 200W each, so that's 2kW. That level of power generation for six hours a day would easily cover my electricity usage. I wouldn't even need to store much overnight. With a DC supply, it would also be quite tempting to switch my lighting circuits over to DC and use LEDs for lighting everywhere. I'd probably also improve efficiency a bit by using the DC directly for a load of appliances, rather than having a few dozen inefficient AC to DC adaptors.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    126. Re:Say waht you will about MS by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Are you serious?
      "some losses" is like saying the sea contains "some water"

      storage is a massive problem.
      pretty much all methods of storing power for any length of time require that you throw 40% to 50% of it away at a minimum.

      You can run your laptop for a few hours off a little battery but to run a city you'd need skyscrapers entirely filled with batteries which all need to be replaced every year or so and god help you if there's a fire in the building.

      pumped storage takes a lot of land and huge capital investment and again you loose most of the power by converting it to potential and back to electrical.

      flywheels can store a small amount of power and are great for handling little hicups in the power supply but you'd need huge numbers of them to run even a tiny town for a few hours.

      Any other ideas?

      we don't have any practical and realistic way of storing it.
      we have lots of inefficient or impractical ways of storing power.

    127. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bill Gates is a megalomaniac and probably insane (advocating mas murder).

      God, put a sock in it you paranoid delusional cunt. Kook much?

    128. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How much fuel is available to power those reactors? I believe I have seen numbers showing how very soon we'll run out of fuel just for existing reactors. There are of course other alternatives, but that requires research into new designs using different fuels.

    129. Re:Say waht you will about MS by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      You'll never have a perfect system, you'll always have some losses. Even if you can collect 99% of it for re-use, that 1% is still a lot of water.

    130. Re:Say waht you will about MS by JonySuede · · Score: 1

      your point make sense, thanks

      --
      Jehovah be praised, Oracle was not selected
    131. Re:Say waht you will about MS by tripleevenfall · · Score: 0

      Just like Iran!

    132. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Machtyn · · Score: 1

      My wife and I discussed the issue of trying to harness power from lightning (having recently watched an episode about lightning). Of the various problems I mentioned, energy storage was one of them.

    133. Re:Say waht you will about MS by evilWurst · · Score: 1

      If your goal is to save the environment, please don't bring up batteries.

      House batteries don't have to meet the same energy density requirements (both volume and weight) as, say, cell phone batteries or electric car batteries. We don't need to pick them up and move them, and we don't need to store them somewhere especially small.

      That frees us to use other tech. (I assume you were referring to either the toxicity of chemical batteries, or the strip mining for lithium? Or both). For example, the stuff from this recent slashdot article: http://hardware.slashdot.org/story/11/06/01/1549209/Using-Flywheels-to-Meet-Peak-Power-Grid-Demands
      Those are just carbon fiber flywheels in steel cases.
      (And looking up the size of the thing: for a house, one fridge-sized unit would be enough. It's good for storing 25 kwh.)

    134. Re:Say waht you will about MS by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>As opposed to nuclear and it's ability to operate in the free economic market without government handouts, protections and subsidies? Ah, I get it. Or, rather not.

      Nuclear has the lowest subsidy rate of any green technology. NIMBY protection isn't exactly a subsidy, either.

      For solar, wind, biofuel, etc., the subsidy rates are much much higher. You can find out the subsidy rates for each type of power plant in California here: http://www.energy.ca.gov/

      Hell, if you count all the money we've put into "clean coal", then in just pure dollars coal probably comes out on top, though I'd have to look at the actual numbers.

    135. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Shatrat · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There are riders in the MotoGP championship who are asking not to have a race in Japan this year because of radiation fears. This is how retarded people can be, they are afraid of radiation from Fukushima which has killed no one as far as I know, but they won't blink at going 200+ miles per hour on a 230 horsepower motorcycle with titanium rods holding their bones together from the last race.
      Nuclear power is so many orders of magnitude safer than driving a car, smoking, eating red meat, pretty much anything else we do on a daily basis that the fear of it is pretty analogous to the fear of ghosts in my eyes. It's purely based on ignorance.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    136. Re:Say waht you will about MS by krakass · · Score: 2

      I'm guessing he means HVDC.

    137. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Afell001 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power has had the same problems for years. In order to operate, the plant has to generate a base capacity. When the grid requirement would drop below this base capacity, the plant would then have to push this power somewhere else. For a lot of plants that had different reservoirs at differing elevations, they would use the excess power to pump water from the lower reservoir into the higher one. Then, when the grid needed more power, they would run the water the other way and capture the "stored" energy using turbines.

      You don't even have to electrolyze water for H2 and O2, nor do you have to pump water. Something as simple as compressed air can store energy in the short term, which could then be recaptured later. Yes, batteries can be used in this capacity as well, but then you have all the issues you have to deal with when you maintain battery cells. Compressed air is simple...a tank stores the air, and a turbine captures the kinetic energy from that stored air once it is released from the tank.

    138. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds more like a transmission/distribution problem. With renewables (and their variable availability due to cloud cover, wind conditions, etc.), one needs to be able to dump the energy into a pool from which many can draw and let the statistics of under- and over-production wrt geography take care of local imbalances. Consuming at the point of production isn't likely to work well. It's a well known challenge (http://www.oe.energy.gov/SmartGridIntroduction.htm).

    139. Re:Say waht you will about MS by bberens · · Score: 1

      How many 50 year old houses still have their original roofs?

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    140. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      World energy use is 15 terawatt while 89 petawatt of sun energy reaches the Earth's surface on average (it's double that before the atmosphere). So the world's total energy use can be covered by capturing 0.017% of the solar energy reaching the Earth's surface or by capturing 0.008% of the solar energy that reaches the Earth in space. You are just plain misinformed: there is no physics problem, there is plenty of energy there if you care to capture it. The actual problem is whether capturing 0.016% of that energy is economical and whether it is still economical when you need to store the energy for when the sun doesn't shine. It sounds reasonable to me that solar isn't economical and certainly that it isn't economical everywhere, but the barrier is not physics.

    141. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      Nice rebuttal.... /sarcasm

      I don't think OP is right either but just calling them paranoid and a kook isn't going to dispute their point any...

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    142. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      Have it run by the government. remove shareholders, C*O bonuses, and you remove the incentive to cut corners.

      By saying "the government will do it" you mean "the government will pay fully for some other company to do it." And so corners will still be cut.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    143. Re:Say waht you will about MS by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      What is the longest super conducting power line today?
      How much power is used for cooling?
      The longest superconducting power line I have found on order is only 50 miles. That is a long way from a thousand mile cable and that isn't built yet.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    144. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But said ski-resort depends on Baseload from the local electric company to keep them running when said windmill isn't blowing, isn't blowing strong enough or is down for maintenance. Hence the need for BASELOAD. Wind and Solar can not provide baseload because they are too cyclical.

    145. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      Isn't transmission already an issue though? As far as I know, there's no nuclear plant or any kind of power plant near where I live (though near for me may not be the same as near for an electrical company). The power comes through massive transmission lines. So there's already an infrastructural in place.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    146. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One hour of insolation @ Earth surface > annual global human consumption. ~8760 hours in a year. Seems like displacing some fossil and nuclear for some of the world's population is doable.

      Another perspective,

              Solar peak is ~1 kW/m2 at Earth's surface. Let's take a GW coal plant. 1e9 W / 1e3 (W/m^2)= 1e6 m2 at peak to match output; multiply by 4 and store energy for a 24 hour supply. 4e6 m^2 * (1 km / 1e3 m)^2 = 4 km^2. Arizona is 295,254 km^2, much of it sunny desert. So, what physics were you referring to?

    147. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      for awhile were experiencing a large amount of support because of that.

      What happened to cause them to lose support?

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    148. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>As opposed to nuclear and it's ability to operate in the free economic market without government handouts, protections and subsidies? Ah, I get it. Or, rather not.

      Nuclear has the lowest subsidy rate of any green technology.

      I don't know about the US but usually nuclear power is subject to some liability exclusion in the case of severe accidents.

      Consider what an insurance company would quote an energy provider that wants to insure against the costs of a Fukushima-style disaster - that's a huge implicit subsidy (without which no company could dare to run a nuclear plant).

    149. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bill is right that more money is needed in R&D.. it is! Consider that most government funded R&D is devoted to weapons platforms, and most corporate R&D is devoted to short term profits (nothing at all with 10 or 20 year lifespans). Our university system USED to be a R&D lab of public domain innovations, but most universities patent the work of students now... to say nothing of the fact that admittance into many universities is a function of wealth, not personal academic talent.

      The other half of what Bill is saying is strawman bullshit of a "free marketeer": Renewables will NOT become economical on their own in the timeframe we need them to be.

      The free market simply wants this: to get the most return on the least investment and the least effort. That's all. Shareholders demand it, and executives of public companies who refuse to "maximize shareholder value" will themselves be removed or targeted by shareholder lawsuits. Since stocks can be bought and re-sold in the same day, there is disincentive to plan for the future or invest in pure science (or products which are not patentable).

      The free market does not care about climate change, soil erosion, global illiteracy, and mass human migration. Preventing or mitigating the effects of these things is either outside the scope of "the market", or it is akin to asking business to deny itself a possible revenue opportunity (ie, providing a service that addresses the after-effects of said crisis... ie addressing energy inefficiencies with more power plants, addressing soil destruction by petro-fertilizer with newer petro-fertilizers, etc).

      Bill Gates is a smart man, and he has money to specifically target problems he wishes to target. But above all, he is an investor, and a believer that the market can solve all problems (including problems ignored by the markets for decades).

      Let's see Bill Gates come up with a solution for storing nuclear waste safely, and which is agreeable by all states. That's an obvious, neglected problem.

    150. Re:Say waht you will about MS by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      For someplace like the UK, it is hard to distribute it to somewhere that could use it like the continent without running a lot of wires.

      What's wrong with running wires? Isn't that how most folks distribute electricity?

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    151. Re:Say waht you will about MS by silas_moeckel · · Score: 1

      That is grid tied and entirely artificial. Wind generates power when it feels like it not when it's needed. We force the utilities to buy it from you whether they need it or not. We have been forcing this on utilities for years now and it's feel good legislation. It's just a subsidy not real economics at work. If they had to pay for the power they pulled off the grid after using what power they got from the windmill it would probably not be economically feasible.

      We need more baseline power and cheap power at that. This is what will drive other business generation. Wind and solar are cute and work sorta but do not fill that need. Lots of large efficient (not the 50 year old 3% use of expensive fuels what we currently use) fission plants are needed. Use of naval type reactors that can ramp up and down quickly for peek loads needs to be designed and deployed.

      --
      No sir I dont like it.
    152. Re:Say waht you will about MS by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      You didn't read my post at all before replying, did you?

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    153. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you compare the monetary cost of wind/hydro/solar with nuclear/fossils

      Sorry but you are talking about capitalism, not physics

    154. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Amouth · · Score: 1
      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    155. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Script+Cat · · Score: 1

      You also must consider how many lifetimes worth of effort are wasted per twh. Some renewable systems consume many man hours and just don't produce the energy compared to other systems. How many lifetimes are spent building and maintaining a million windmills compared to a nice compact plant with a powerful and efficient steam turbine.

    156. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, but this line of thinking assumes that all we need to do is replace the energy sources we have now at a comparable price. Long term, we need orders of magnitude more power, for orders of magnitude less cost. Take just one application that would enable: Vertical Farming. You could reclaim huge tracts of land now used to grow staple crops, and at the same time eliminate huge sources of water pollution, resource usage for fertilizers, and of course hunger due to lack of food or overly expensive staples. The human race has more problems than just keeping the lights on in Western Europe or North America, and energy far beyond what we have today is the fundamental solution to those problems.

    157. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Ruzty · · Score: 1

      Then UK winter sounds like a prime candidate for solar power generation since skies tend to be clear.

      --
      The Master (Angelo Rossitto) in Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome, "Not shit, energy!"
    158. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's great, but please be aware that wind power can only exist as long as there are power plants to provide baseline power - and power plants that can quickly adjust their output to compensate for the current performance of the wind power.

      What your ski resort is really doing is over-producing when it's windy, using the rest of the net as a storage bank. And then drawing on that credit when the wind isn't blowing. Which is all fine, but they are still massively dependent on the power network.

    159. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Johnny5000 · · Score: 1

      And we don't have a way of storing, but if we did, we would need to double the area to collect it to store for the night.
      SO panel are out.

      But most power is consumed during the day. If we could fill most of our daytime power needs with solar, that could greatly reduce the reliance on fossil fuels. Even if we'd never be able to fulfill 100% of our power needs with solar, any reduction in power generation by coal plants would be beneficial. It doesn't have to be an all-or-nothing scenario.

      --
      The libertarian solution to the failures of capitalism is to apply more capitalism til the failures are fixed.
    160. Re:Say waht you will about MS by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      "Hi, I'm Clippy! I see you're having a melt down today. Can I help you with that? Would you like to inject more coolant? Perhaps you would like to SCRAM the reactor?"

    161. Re:Say waht you will about MS by radtea · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power is so many orders of magnitude safer than driving a car, smoking, eating...

      ...peanut butter!

      Please, if you're gonna make a food-risk comparison, make it to a genuinely dangerous food, which is 100 times as carcinogenic as charbroiled red meat.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    162. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      The NIMBY crowd. Once there was some public uproar after the three mile island incident the politicians decided to quietly shelve the whole thing. WIthout political support everything kinda crumbled.

      The main problem is the time frame involved, only governments and supermassive corps(who can usually find something that has the same return with a smaller time frame, and so invest in that instead) can deal with the sort of time frame involved on cost recovery for a Nuclear Plant. You're talking 5-8+ billion up front and you won't have your costs recovered for 10 years+ AFTER its in operation. In reality it'll take 5-10 to build the thing and then you're looking at 15-25 years for cost recovery depending on how the energy markets go. This is the largest reason that it doesn't get much, or really any, private support. Even the hugely massive off shore gravity base oil platforms have a recovery time on them of 10-12 years or so and companies can get pretty hesitant about that without some heavy government investment.

    163. Re:Say waht you will about MS by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      I they're running Windows 7 it would be more like:

      Troubleshoot reactor failure. *click*
      Your reactor is having a meltdown. Would you like to attempt to fix the problem? Yes/No *click*
      The cooling pumps have been activated. Did this solve your problem? Yes/No *click*
      Troubleshoot further. *click*
      Windows does not have more solutions for your meltdown problems. Would you like to search the internet for a solution? Yes/No *click*

      I'm not a Microsoft fan, but you have to admit it's a significant step in the right direction.

    164. Re:Say waht you will about MS by nicholas22 · · Score: 1

      Putting all of it in one tank is not practical. Surely we could have multiple tanks. And you are assuming that the entire energy grid is powered by wind power. Plus efficiencies could be made by the time it all got to that point.

    165. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Script+Cat · · Score: 1

      Ok, go build me 2809 square miles worth of heliostat reflectors smarty pants. The problem with solar power in not it's abundence. It's how diffuse it is. People are small and can only do somuch work to get this energy. After a while it makes sense just to dig coal not that there aren't better alternatives.

    166. Re:Say waht you will about MS by dargaud · · Score: 1

      The *only* issue is inventing a way to store power for the nights

      Easy (!): Build 3 systems: one in the Sahara, one in Gobi, one in the SW US/Mexico. Interconnect them with supraconducting power lines: you get power 24/7 without need to store it !

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    167. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DCFusor · · Score: 1

      Mostly agree. There never has been, and probably never will be a one size fits all solution. So? Use each technology where it works best and reduces total cost (however you measure that, some would include pollution) the most. Here in SW VA, I've been pure solar since around 1980 -- and the original panels and inverters are still putting out in my system, though I've been through two sets of crappy lead-acid batteries during that time. It's enough to run A/C, my machine shop, welders, computer network, and sometimes dummy loads I have to use to keep from ruining batteries from overcharge. It just plain works, even with 30 year old tech -- all that spin about "gee, look, they'll be 2% more efficient or 3% cheaper in just a few years is put out by people who sell something other than solar. Kinda like that hydrogen economy that's not coming but boosted by some big oil people (who BTW, make most of the best solar panels -- they know the music is going to stop and want to ensure a chair when it does)

      Any power I don't need from the grid (never been connected here) means more for someone who can't use solar and has to use something else, probably a mix of coal, gas, nuclear -- it works out. In fact, in the farther north, the thermal techs work better as the cooling side of the steam plant is easier to do. We have to think like system designers here, as it's a system we're working with, and one that includes humans and their demands -- and foibles.

      I'm not a huge fan of nuclear, not because of the physics (I am, after all, a physicist) but due to the stupidity of humans doing a good job running it. We don't reprocess fuel, or use more advanced ones, because of the fear of proliferation. We can't store it safely because of NIMBY stupidity...many have a knee jerk reaction to any mention of nuclear -- even NMR was renamed MRI in the medical business because of this. And look at Fukishima -- 10k plus dead of natural causes -- almost no reporting, but wow, even today you can find headlines about those reactors, which to my knowledge have resulted in just about two dangerous (1/4 sV) doses so far, and no deaths so far. That's emotions out of control and people with agendas using the event, ignoring the real tragedies of others, to push their views and fears. Sick in the extreme.

      Fusion would be nice -- it's what I'm working on myself, and self-funded so I'm no charlatan sucking the public teat for something that always seems to be far off -- I'm making progress due to advantages I (and some others in my group and blog) have over big science -- we can change on a dime when we find out new things, and are not limited to the rather ignorant tokomak approach which keeps promising that if we just build one more, bigger, it'll work this time. I'd have fired the lot of those tenure-perk seeking idiots on rev 2, we're on what, rev 5 or 6 now? But nothing else gets money unless you do it yourself.

      I think the reality is that we need to learn how to manage humans better, and build nuclear fission for awhile, letting any new fossil plants run off their lifetimes, maybe converting some to natgas if that frakking thing turns out well (maybe, maybe not, and truly, not all that much is projected compared to demand -- at best a few human generations worth, that's no solution, just a band aid). Meanwhile, we should be doing R&D and not so limited to just one approach for either fission or fusion, there are several contenders that make a lot more sense scientifically, but not till a lot more man hours are put into working them out. But we're not doing any of that, and that's just "not right". Hence, my putting MY OWN FORTUNE at risk to do something, since no one else has the will to do it. Maybe it pays off, maybe not - jury is out at the moment, but it seems worth doing and setting an example.

      Oh, I earned that fortune developing high tech products, such as you probably own. I maintain it by out-trading the masters of the universe on the markets, my "day job". So far, so good. Compared to a good engineer, most of those financial super-brains are little kids, shortsighted and just ignorant of how things really work.

      --
      Why guess when you can know? Measure!
    168. Re:Say waht you will about MS by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

      There is not enough energy potential in solar power nor in wind / hydro-electric to match the energy potential from nuclear power and fossil fuels. As fossil fuels become more expensive, nuclear power will be the world's only option. Gates is right on this issue because physics dictates his correctness. No matter how much people may wish it, you cannot legislate past physical laws.

      You won't need to. 1 day of sunlight is the same as about 16 years of total world energy consumption. This is ONLY an engineering problem. Wind and Hydro are simply different forms of solar energy harvesting. Hydro is already providing about 1/5th of total US production.

      When all is said and done nuclear might be the most practical here and now but there is more than enough solar power available to a determined civilization to meet all of their energy needs.

      In orbit 1300 watts m^2 constant 24x7 is available. Lets say your collector is only 50% effecient so that is only 650 watts per square meter or 1.6GW per square mile of collection area.

      Microwave beaming to earth is something like 80-90% effecient so >1.28 GW continuous production of energy per square mile.

      Yes it requires massive infustructure and R&D build out but no law of anything prevents it from being done.

    169. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until economically viable ways of storing energy from wind farms is found

      This.

      I propose terraforming/pumping/hydroelectric. Create a man made body of water and drainage system (lake + river) with a dam; then use the windmills to drive pumps to fill the lake during peak excess load times/seasons. When the high pressure season comes open the gates to the dam's generators.

      I think it's a really old idea, but we have some pretty sweet digging and construction technology these days that a project like this might be capable of giving a great ROI.

    170. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's because no nuclear plant to date has used Microsoft software in it's operations. So the only way an "event" could happen was human error.

    171. Re:Say waht you will about MS by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Do you have a handy chart of wind-by-month in the UK? In Denmark, which is quite close, the wind turbines produce a quite a bit more power in winter than in summer.

      Of course right now anyone who can produce energy in Northern Europe can make a good deal of money. The hydro reservoirs in Scandinavia ran almost empty this spring, Swedish nuclear power is still not at full output, Germany has shut down a lot of nuclear capacity, power lines are straining to deal with the demand... At least the spring flood came early and seems to be very generous this year, we just need bigger lines to Norway and Sweden.

      See Nordpoolspot for the Scandinavian view. There is also EEX for the view a bit further south, sadly without the pretty maps. For extra prettiness there is the Danish grid which unfortunately eats 100% CPU with flash.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    172. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There is not enough energy potential in solar power nor in wind / hydro-electric to match the energy potential from nuclear power and fossil fuels. As fossil fuels become more expensive, nuclear power will be the world's only option."

      Gee, only 25 years later to realize that? While taking thermodynamics in school, the prof had an energy agenda that he made part of the curriculum. It was the conclusion back then that to provide the ever-increasing demand for energy that nuclear would be the only alter for many regions unless something new came along.

    173. Re:Say waht you will about MS by amorsen · · Score: 1

      I am fairly sure that offshore wind farms even in the UK area will generate more power in winter than in summer. The opposite just seems completely unlikely. Either way, any extra power produced in the summer will be welcomed by countries further south where air conditioning is the main use of electricity.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    174. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      When you can externalize all your risk, your apparent cost per kilowatt goes way down. Ask the Japanese what their cost per kilowatt, including the cost of the Fukushima meltdowns is.

      Oh really? If you want to make that comparison, then compare the cost of solar/wind/whatever-your-choice-alternate 30 years ago to the cost per kilowatt of Fukushima. Then maybe you'd have something that is even remotely fair. Comparing 30 year old tech to cutting-edge is assinine and not even worthy of debate.

    175. Re:Say waht you will about MS by radtea · · Score: 1

      No, it's not a joke. And in places like here in the Northeast, it's totally out of the question.

      Sunny Northern Florida is no further away from New York City than Northern BC is away from Vancouver, and the WAC Bennett Dam in Northern BC provides a fair bit of Vancouver's power. Moving power over long distances is just not a big deal compared to living with brown-outs, nuclear waste, and the like.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    176. Re:Say waht you will about MS by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Heat pumps are getting popular in Greenland...

      Anyway, you can increase efficiency by using ground-coupled heat exchangers.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    177. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bigby · · Score: 1

      This whole paragraph means nothing unless we know the cost to build and maintain those windmills. Viability is not about whether something produces, but rather whether it produces more than it costs. It is also affected by the cost of alternatives. If alternatives are cheap, then excess electricity is sold back to the grid at a lower rate.

    178. Re:Say waht you will about MS by i_b_don · · Score: 1

      I am a big solar proponent and ... I agree.

      Why the hell would we try to shoehorn a new technology someplace that doesn't fit well. That's just stupid. However there are plenty of places where solar power works really well. Over here in California we do tend to use a fair chunk of electricity ourselves. Solar power is a fantastic option since we have large parts of our state and many neighboring states that are pretty much unpopulated useless desert... AND our maximum power usage runs in lock step with high temperature summer days when air con is running at maximum and solar power is at maximum efficiency.

      Why do I care about energy storage? Another stupid argument. Worry about that if solar power can (excuse me while I try to say this with a straight face) ... become the dominant power generation source here in the US, THEN worry about energy storage. Here on the west coast we use power during the day, and it's just damn fine that solar generates power DURING THE DAY. There are plenty of other technologies that generate power at night that there really isn't any need to make solar do that ..... yet.

      Pick the low hanging fruit first. If you try to force something new into a place where it doesn't really fit you just give the naysayers that many more stones to throw.

      d

      --
      all language nazi's will burne in heil!
    179. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wait, you're saying use lots of horizontal area for solar power so that you can grow crops vertically?

      What makes you think it'll be better that way?

    180. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever read "The Road Ahead"? Bill was so far off on the future of IT, a subject he actually has some experience in, and you want to even entertain his ideas on energy?

    181. Re:Say waht you will about MS by GeoSanDiego · · Score: 1

      Can't name a corn-to-ethanol plant that runs on ethanol either.

    182. Re:Say waht you will about MS by gdshaw · · Score: 1

      Then UK winter sounds like a prime candidate for solar power generation since skies tend to be clear.

      I wish that were so, but we're too far north. That means the days are too short and the angle of incidence too shallow. In my experience, the energy generated in December is about a tenth of what you get in June.

    183. Re:Say waht you will about MS by cartman · · Score: 1

      Storage is built in, works 24 hours a day 365 days a year

      CSP doesn't store enough energy for consistent baseload power for 365 days per year.

      CSP stores energy in the form of molten salt. That's enough energy for the coming night time, but not enough to last even a few days. Even if you built enormous molten salt containers, they would be useless beyond a week or two because they are always leaking heat and energy.

      The problem is cloud clover. Sometimes there's a succession of cloudy days lasting weeks at a time. Energy production drops to almost zero with CSP when it's overcast, and can remain zero for weeks. This problem would be very difficult to overcome using molten salt storage, because the duration of outage is very inconsistent.

      About 3% of the Sahara will power all of western Europe easily.

      That claim is based upon the theoretical maximum potential of CSP, which is not the relevant statistic. There is clearly enough sunlight falling on the deserts of planet earth, to greatly exceed our energy demands, but the problem is cost. CSP is several times more expensive than other forms of energy generation. Furthermore, we can't expect drastic reductions in cost because it's already a mature technology involving things like steam turbines and mirrors which have already been produced for more than a century. It's quite possible that greater mechanization in the deployment of solar troughs or things like that, would lead to considerable reductions in cost, but even matching the price of nuclear is a long way away.

      Of course it's possible to generate almost all our electricity using CSP and various forms of storage. We could use CSP for energy generation, plus molten salt for nighttime storage, plus pumped storage for successions of several cloudy days, plus peaker natural gas turbines for the rare circumstances where you have long periods of continuous cloudy days and all storage runs out. That combination would be sufficient to provide reliable baseload power. However the cost of electricty (according to a back-of-the-envelope calculation I'm doing in my head) would be more than $0.30/KwH busbar. That is several times higher than the price we pay now.

    184. Re:Say waht you will about MS by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1

      Through the ocean. My understanding is that High voltage underwater cables are risky and expensive. Didn't finish my sentence before I hit submit

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    185. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DamonHD · · Score: 1

      No, by a factor of between 5 and 10 typically. The average solar panel has an EROEI better than tar sands.

      Rgds

      Damon

      --
      http://m.earth.org.uk/
    186. Re:Say waht you will about MS by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      Yes, because a nuclear plant built several decades ago is the absolute peak of technology and everything should be judged against that.

    187. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Defenestrar · · Score: 1

      A good superconducting-wire grid could really help solve the base load generation problem. (i.e. generate on the other side of the planet, or in windy zones without transmission loss). That would of course require focusing on R&D while using economical solutions to meet current base load infrastructure expansion needs - like Billy G. is saying here.

    188. Re:Say waht you will about MS by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Ground source coupling can be your friend

    189. Re:Say waht you will about MS by gdshaw · · Score: 1

      The *only* issue is inventing a way to store power for the nights.

      While that is certainly a problem, it is not as big a problem as storing power for the winter.

    190. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, it's still better than Linux. As unhelpful as the green-glowing paperclip mutant may be, at least it tries, unlike GNU/Linux Nuclear Power.

      "Oops."

      Oops, indeed.

    191. Re:Say waht you will about MS by frdmfghtr · · Score: 1

      When I think of a transmission issue, I'm thinking of the problem at a much larger scale (thousands of miles instead of hundreds). I envision a large group of solar arrays in the sunny southwest and transmitting that power to the east coast. That's a huge and expensive problem.

      I could also be talking completely out my orifice, as I'm not a transmission engineer, so it's outside my realm of expertise.

      --
      Government's idea of a balanced budget: take money from the right pocket to balance...oh who am I kidding?
    192. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      So, once again, technologies only existing on paper yet will produce energy to cheap to meter?

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    193. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      12MWh of power every year

      If that were only electricity, there would be an obvious way to lessen the problem: Conserve. Alas, it is not: 12MWh/year=1370W is twice the actual average per capita electricity consumption in the UK, 667W: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electricity_consumption

    194. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except for the fact that the state picks up the insurance tab. If the plant owners had to cover the insurance, nuclear power would not be economically viable.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_of_new_nuclear_power_plants#Insurance

    195. Re:Say waht you will about MS by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

      Ok but fossil fuels are no longer ethically acceptable. Period. Everyone who uses them, and currently, yup, that's everyone, is in a morally bankrupt position with regard to near-future generations of human beings (and all kinds of other plants and critters too).

      We know that their continued use (and related things like rapid destruction/conversion of natural ecosystems) is slowly causing catastrophic damage to our current climate regime (and oceans) and the eco-systems that inhabit the Earth.

      And nuclear fission power introduces a lot of risk (in both the short and long terms.) The only reason it's even remotely affordable is because regulatory corners are being cut in the ongoing maintenance of plants, and because we are basically ignoring the costs of addressing the longer-term problems.

      So that leaves ingenuity, renewables, massive innovation in energy storage (underground pumped hydro anyone?) and transmission (superconducting grids to balance intermittent renewables over continent-sized areas to create stable base generation stochastically.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    196. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      I disagree entirely. The amount of energy we receive on the earth's surface from the sun every day is enormous, probably more per day than humans have generated in electricity since it was discovered.

      Yes, wind and hydro are not that useful. Wind is useful in certain locations as a supplement, or perhaps as the main provider for certain remote and windy locations with small population. Hydro is just plain bad, and mostly tapped-out. It destroys huge amounts of good land and ecosystems by creating giant artificial lakes. In some places, this has been OK because it gave the side benefit of controlling flooding, so the good outweighed the bad, but again that's pretty much tapped out in most developed nations.

      Nuclear has its own problems. Aside from the waste problem (which could be greatly helped by reprocessing which we stupidly won't do in the US), it relies on the thermal cycle, which means you have to dump excess heat into a nearby river. This is bad for ecosystems, and has a limit: there's been many instances where nuclear plants had to shut down during peak usage times in the summer because their river was too hot. If we had a way of creating electricity directly from fission, that'd be great, but we don't: we have to heat up steam and turn turbines with it, subjecting the process to the Carnot efficiency limitations.

      Solar is the only true renewable and non-polluting power source of the future. In some areas, such as here in Phoenix, Arizona, it's almost ideal, because we need the majority of our electricity in the daytime, when it's hottest and sunniest outside, to run our A/C systems, and we need much less power at night (mainly to run the A/C because it stays hot due to the heat-island effect). In the winter, we need very little power at all.

      The problem with solar is we haven't figured out how to make it economical yet, especially compared to power sources that rely on energy that's been stored in a handy compact form for millions of years underground, and which causes ecological problems when you burn it (global warming due to greenhouse gases).

      One good possibility is massive space-based or orbital solar platforms, which collect solar power 24x7 in orbit and beam it down by microwave. This of course will require lots of initial capital to build, but after it's operational should be very, very cheap. We probably need to improve our PV technology, however, because what we have degrades in efficiency significantly over 10-20 years, which isn't so hot for something you want to put in space at enormous expense and leave there, and also isn't that great for something you want to put on top of a building and leave there for 30-50 years.

    197. Re:Say waht you will about MS by rbrausse · · Score: 1

      The submarine transmission cable between Norway and the Netherlands had costs of EUR 1.03M per kilometer, with a capacity of 700 MW.

      Compared with overhead power lines quite expensive (e.g. a project in Austria: estimated EUR 0.98M per kilometer with 2* 1300 MW), but much cheaper than underground cables (same Austrian project plan: EUR 9,75M per kilometer).

      seacables are not as cheap as overhead cables but nearly donated compared to buried lines....

      YMMV

    198. Re:Say waht you will about MS by David+Greene · · Score: 1

      Solar and wind are already economical. We have plenty of wind farms here in Minnesota. We're looking at putting solar on the house and were surprised by the low price. The payoff point is something like five years out, not bad at all for this kind of investment. The key to making it work is to conserve energy. Removing phantom loads gains you a significant decrease in energy use. Germany is the world's largest user of solar power and they have fewer days of sun than most everywhere in the U.S.

      Nuclear certainly has a place and the U.S. has got to get over the fear of investing in it. But it's not a panacea. It uses a non-renewable resource and we do still have to solve the waste problem. Recycling will help but it's not a complete solution.

      --

    199. Re:Say waht you will about MS by David+Greene · · Score: 1

      Solar will work just fine in the Northeast U.S. It gets more sun than Germany, the world's largest user of solar.

      --

    200. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      All that said, a couple bad storms could devastate a purely solar powered grid.

      That's why you build it in space, and beam the power to earth by microwave.

    201. Re:Say waht you will about MS by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      No, what is ethically unacceptable is stealing from people by force to build uneconomical and unreliable power sources. Fossil fuel use is no more "catastrophic" than natural sources of CO2 (wildfires, volcanoes, etc). Life goes on. What will fuck up future generations is our mountain of debt, not our fossil fuel usage.

      PS, underground hydro? WTF? Hydro energy is based on height, you put it in the ground, and it takes energy to bring it back up... If you want to store energy underground, compress air in caverns... But that is expensive as shit, not to mention dangerous.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    202. Re:Say waht you will about MS by biodata · · Score: 1

      Sheesh I thought the guy was a business man. On what planet was nuclear ever an economically viable proposition if you don't subsidise it by the nuclear weapons business as a sideline? The cost of cleanup is astronomical, unless the proposal is never to clean up and just keep moving the reactors to a new town when the old one gets too dirty/old to use. Nuclear was never about generating affordable energy. Do you think Iran's nuclear programme is about generating affordable energy for them?

      --
      Korma: Good
    203. Re:Say waht you will about MS by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

      You'd think that the UK could benefit most from Tidal power as they're surrounded by fairly active sea... using the rising sea to generate energy. It's fairly eco-friendly, and could be easily built into some of the harbor protection projects going on.

    204. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seem to imply that human error is just a bug in need of a fix.

      It's not. Or rather, if it is a bug, it is an unavoidable bug. It will happen. We should not build systems that trigger the mass evacuations of millions (or worse) when humans err. It is not a question of 'if.' It is a question of 'when.'

    205. Re:Say waht you will about MS by marnues · · Score: 1

      Hate to agree with the Anonymous Hater, but you are quite paranoid. I recommend watching a nice feel good movie and maybe toke some marijuana. Should remind you that life isn't so harsh or serious, especially for anyone posting to Slashdot.

    206. Re:Say waht you will about MS by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

      "stealing from people by force to build uneconomical and unreliable power sources" As opposed to stealing from other people by force their countries' fossil fuel resources you mean?

      Underground hydro - two caverns at two different depth levels. Standard mining technology. Easy peasy. Compressed air works too.

      You would just rather rest comfortably on the innovations people 100 years ago took risks on than agree that we need new innovations now.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    207. Re:Say waht you will about MS by marnues · · Score: 1

      Sure it can. Just stop thinking that baseload should come from a single source. When wind isn't blowing in Judith Gap, it's probably blowing in Broadus. And wind is always blowing in the Livingston pass. Of course, I live in Montana where the Rockies create an excellent source of wind energy. We'd be happy to sell it to you if we could only convince our farmers and ranchers that they should be installing turbines.

    208. Re:Say waht you will about MS by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      The only way to shift public support is to build new nuclear plants, based on new technology. Then sell the power at cost.
      Have it run by the government. remove shareholders, C*O bonuses, and you remove the incentive to cut corners.
      Frankly, I think the government should build and operate all nuclear plant, and we should have a gal to build about 100 new plants and sell power at cost.

      As I recall, they tried this with a little plant called Chernobyl.

      I'm not saying that all governmental run nuclear plants will go that way, but not all that ails the world is due to profit motive.

    209. Re:Say waht you will about MS by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

      All that said, a couple bad storms could devastate a purely solar powered grid.

      Not with sufficient advances in long-distance superconducting transmission and grid-scale storage, and, as you say, global distribution of solar power generation.

      Also, you don't put all your eggs in one basket. A mix of solar, wind, maybe ocean-wave, geothermal, and hydro would do the trick.

      I for one though, am holding out hope for the steam-punk version of fusion power: http://generalfusion.com/

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    210. Re:Say waht you will about MS by bmo · · Score: 1

      They use many more nuclear power plants than we do here in the Northeast US.

      And don't misunderstand Germany's phasing out of nuclear. They're not replacing it with solar. They're simply going to be buying nuclear generated electricity from France.

      "It's ok as long as it's someone else's problem"

      --
      BMO

    211. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Good point. The OP should have said that many people are afraid of mummies. Sure they exist, but they have little to do with what you see in the movies, and fearing them isn't rational.

    212. Re:Say waht you will about MS by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

      Which comes with the side-benefit of free bring-your-own-meat "barbecue" zones.

      Semi-seriously though, space-based solar actually adds energy (ergo heat when the energy increases in entropy through use) to the Earth system.
      Depending on the orbit of the solar satellites, the solar energy in question was going to miss the planet.
      The numbers might be pretty small here, but you need to think carefully.

      Also, terrestrial solar on a large scale lowers the albedo (reflectivity) of the Earth, trapping more heat near the surface (compared to bright sand for example.)
      To give you an idea, it is estimated that black-carbon deposition (soot) on arctic snow and ice is now causing a 1W/m^2 increase in retained solar energy, which represents 0.1 % more of incident solar energy being absorbed rather than reflected. Seems like a small number, but Earth (and the arctic) is big.
      Really really big. So it matters.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    213. Re:Say waht you will about MS by operagost · · Score: 1

      Have it run by the government. remove shareholders, C*O bonuses, and you remove the incentive to cut corners.

      You really can't think of a government bureau that cuts corners? Aren't all bureaucracies famous for inefficiency? The incentives will just be driven underground, in the form of graft for special interest groups.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    214. Re:Say waht you will about MS by operagost · · Score: 1

      "stealing from people by force to build uneconomical and unreliable power sources" As opposed to stealing from other people by force their countries' fossil fuel resources you mean?

      This is such a stupid straw-man I can't even believe I'm answering it. Assuming we're "stealing" someone fossil fuels right now, what is to stop anyone from "stealing" the raw materials needed to construct alternative systems?

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    215. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Glendale2x · · Score: 1

      That's not true, nuclear waste can be reprocessed. Unfortunately we've decided to ban it in the US because it's scary.

      --
      this is my sig
    216. Re:Say waht you will about MS by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      I guess I was not clear enough, ground source heat pumps are what you want.

    217. Re:Say waht you will about MS by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      I don't think we are stealing from OPEC, or Canada (our biggest oil supplier). Iraq probably, but I don't support that. We buy oil from other countries, renewable energy subsidies are taken under threat of imprisonment from those that produce wealth.

      As for your underground hydro, why is this better than above ground reservoirs?

      And no, as an engineer, I love innovation. However I can differentiate a good theory and a practical solution. I would much rather fund cold fusion research, which would render all other energy generation methods pointless, than dumping money into solar and wind power.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    218. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Depends where you live. I have bills here in CA where I am paying $0.32, $0.37, and $0.42/Kwh.

    219. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Depending on the orbit of the solar satellites, the solar energy in question was going to miss the planet.

      Wouldn't a space-based system just use a geosynchronous orbit?

      Also, terrestrial solar on a large scale lowers the albedo (reflectivity) of the Earth, trapping more heat near the surface (compared to bright sand for example.)

      A space-based system avoids this problem.

    220. Re:Say waht you will about MS by marnues · · Score: 1

      Your link says that the federal government gives 4x the subsidies to renewables, not 15x. And that's because no new nuclear has been built in quite some time. Thanks for finding numbers to back up your beliefs and then misrepresenting them. You contribute to the discussion!

    221. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I live less then a mile from tv brownsfarry nuclear plant I pay .08 a kilowatt that plant produces power at that price 24/7 no matter what day night all weather conditions so which is really more feasible

      Sent from my Samsung GT-I9000

    222. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? Are you sure?
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_Energy_of_Canada_Limited

      Here are a few facts from the end of the Wikipedia page, and this is not the sum total of the story

      "On June 2, 2009, secret government documents on AECL were revealed by CTV news. In the documents it was revealed that the government had spent $1.7 billion on AECL since 2006; that $100 million had been requested by AECL in supplementary funding to keep it solvent and that refurbishment of the Bruce nuclear reactors is "far behind schedule". "Bruce 1 is 324 days late" and "Bruce 2 reactor 433 days late."[20]

      On June 10, 2009, Prime Minister Harper announced that Canada will "eventually...be out of the business" of medical isotope production.[21]

      On 17 Dec, 2009, Natural Resources Canada Minister Lisa Raitt formally announced the offering of AECL's CANDU engineering division for private investment."

    223. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Okay .. so you're aware that Texas has their own interconnect, but you're not aware of the existence of DC ties and their application to connect Texas to the Eastern Interconnect. If Google, Wikipedia and the ERCOT website are all objectionable to you, you could perhaps befriend the Eastern Interconnect on Facebook and read about the Texas DC ties there.

    224. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Human error (or moreover, lack of timely intervention) is almost always the culprit, and not any sort of insurmountable hardware or software malfunction.

      Humans make the hardware and software.

    225. Re:Say waht you will about MS by RazorSharp · · Score: 1

      I think the problem is the issue is being thought of as an either/or problem when it's not. The energy solution should fit the geography. I'm all for nuclear power in the northeast, but not in Texas where solar/wind are feasible and natural disasters (hurricanes/tornados) can be a threat to safely harnessing nuclear power.

      Also, I think Gates, along with some commenters here, are neglecting new energy technologies such as the Bloom Box (http://www.bloomenergy.com/).

      --
      "From the depths of my skeptical and rationalist soul, I ask the Lord to protect me from California touchie-feeliedom."
    226. Re:Say waht you will about MS by wrook · · Score: 1

      No offence, but you are taking a very narrow view. Solar is already economical in a lot of places (including where I live).

      I think a lot of people think that if they can't completely replace all energy production with solar then it's not worth it. Even if it doesn't replace all your energy demands, it can still be economical. Or rather, it is more likely to be economical if you are careful about what you are using it for.

      For example, I live in Japan and most people bathe in the evenings. Thus hot water demand is generally from 5 o'clock to about 8 o'clock (come home from work, have a bath, eat dinner and then go to bed). A lot of people in my neighbourhood have solar hot water heaters that are low tech, cheap to build and install and work well. Of course they have gas backup for cloudy/cold days (although my friend's system works fine even on cloudy days). Especially since gas is expensive in Japan the systems pay for themselves very quickly. No, it doesn't take over 100% of the power generation, but is that really a concern?

      Where I live electrical solar panels are also economical (although that is helped dramatically by 30+ cents per KWH electricity costs). Since the problem at Fukushima, there is also a scarcity of electricity and a lot of people can't run their A/C (we've had temps over 30 degrees C 19 out of the last 20 days). People with solar panels *can*. As you can imagine, solar panel installation is starting to become popular, especially when you think that you need the power when the sun is out.

      Honestly, I don't know where you live, but I used to live in Ottawa Canada and even there there are examples of houses that were built to be partially heated from passive solar heating. There are even some houses that are entirely heated with solar, but use active systems to move heat through the house (using water reservoirs for heat storage). Before I moved to Japan I looked into building a house with such a system and over the lifetime of the house, it *is* economical.

      Solar energy is *never* going completely replace other forms of power generation. But implying that it shouldn't be used at all is very short sighted. We need to move away from the idea that there is some silver bullet technology that will take care of all our needs and start thinking creatively about how to obtain energy from a variety of different sources.

    227. Re:Say waht you will about MS by RazorSharp · · Score: 1

      There’s this company, TerraPower, which former Microsoft CTO Nathan Myrhvold and I have spun out of his invention group, Intellectual Ventures. We’ve got a new nuclear design, a generation four.

      If only energy companies would depend on the patented technologies of Gates' cronies, the world would be a much better place. Intellectual Ventures is that patent troll company run by ex-Microsofters.

      http://www.xconomy.com/seattle/2010/12/08/intellectual-ventures-files-first-three-patent-infringement-lawsuits-against-nine-companies-including-mcafee-symantec-altera/

      http://www.techdirt.com/articles/20101208/11073712190/intellectual-ventures-files-its-first-lawsuits-giant-patent-troll-awakened.shtml

      --
      "From the depths of my skeptical and rationalist soul, I ask the Lord to protect me from California touchie-feeliedom."
    228. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      We don't even need to be efficient about collecting or storing it since it provides several orders of magnitude more power than we currently use, the cited NASA piece claims about 4 orders of magnitude. So if we had 1% efficient cells covering 1% of the earth we could more or less meet our energy needs, there will be energy losses in transmission and storage but these are ball park figures. Also considering that current cells have a much higher efficiency, we could use concentrated solar (mirrors), or we could also use solar thermal (with molten salt) and get higher efficiency and the number look even better even including the losses in transmission and storage.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    229. Re:Say waht you will about MS by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Check the subsidies per MWhr - for solar and wind it's around $24, for nuclear it's around $1.60, and for coal about $0.44. Natural gas is at $0.25.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    230. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Eclipse-now · · Score: 1

      This is rubbish! We already have the technnology, Gen3 AP1000's which the Chinese are making modular as we speak. That's nukes on a production line people! Prices will drop. All nukes to this stage have been hand crafted Rolls Royces. Once these modular AP1000's are on the assembly line prices will crash down to 'Hyundai' equivalent prices, yet these guys have safety features Fukishima could only dream of. Then, by the time GenIV reactors are finally coming off their own production lines, we'll have enough once-through-fuel (nuclear waste) to burn for 1000 years.

    231. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Eclipse-now · · Score: 1
      ColdWetDog, how expensive is a car?

      Well that would depend if it was hand built as an individual project or whipped up on a factory line wouldn't it?

      We must deploy today’s GenIII reactors immediately. We cannot wait any longer. These GenIII reactors have passive safety features undreamt of in Chernobyl and Fukishima.

      And they have the GenIV feature of being modular. Think about that for a moment. Older nukes were the “Rolls Royce” of the energy world. They were hand-crafted site-constructed expensive beasts! But GenIII reactors can be modularised and put up on the assembly line. Safety systems can be standardised as part of the production line process. It will bring the costs down dramatically, and cuts Rolls Royce costs down to the Hyundai level, while being better than the original.

      Now, GenIV reactors are still my favourite as they burn nuclear waste. They breed it up. I’ve said repeatedly that we have about 500 years of fuel sitting around in cooling ponds, just waiting for GenIV reactors to burn it.

      But it’s not that simple. We don’t have access to all that energy yet. Even if I waved a magic wand and overnight and we had the thousands of GenIV nukes we need, it would still take a few decades to breed up our nuclear waste to the right purity to run them! That is, although we *already* have 500 years worth of nuclear fuel sitting around in our ‘waste’ cooling ponds, it will take a few decades to get at it all as the fuel only doubles every 7 years.

      So build the safe GenIII nukes now, and then we’ll have all the waste we need ready for the GenIV reactors when they finally come off the production line! As a friend over on BNC said,

      "Gen III+ reactors (AP1000, ESBWR) are also largely ‘modular’ with parts built in a factory and assembled on site. We can do this now. New designs should be developed, but there is no need to wait. In 10 years China will be building AP1000 (or their higher-power variant the CAP1400) reactors at rates that will astonish the world. They are building the module factories now."

      We have the technology right now. We can do this! We should build AP1000 assembly lines to fly them out the doors onto the trucks and freight them straight to site for assembly like so much giant-sized Lego. It’s time to do this, and the faster we start the better we’ll cope with peak oil and climate change.

    232. Re:Say waht you will about MS by delt0r · · Score: 1

      It depends on the fluid used and the design. There are cold designs that work well in freezing conditions. They do cost more however.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    233. Re:Say waht you will about MS by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Again, a properly designed heat pump is still many times more efficient even in very cold conditions than just resistors. Many use a working fluid that means they don't work well at freezing at below. But there are more expensive models that work fine in such conditions.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    234. Re:Say waht you will about MS by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      No I mean by the laws of physics it takes more energy to pump heat from a colder environment into a hot one.

      heat pumps work well then it's warm outside and are at their most efficient while no matter what fluid you use the colder it is outside the worse they work.

    235. Re:Say waht you will about MS by delt0r · · Score: 1

      True. However that is *not* why commercial heat pumps do badly in cold weather, since cold for thermodynamics reasons is relative to *absolute zero*. Or -273C. Since -25C is cold for a human and inside is often not hotter than 25C. We can calculate the ideal performance of such a heat pump which is T_c/(T_h-T_c), or in this case 248K/(298K-248K)=4.9. In other words for each joule of energy used you get to pump almost 5 joules of heat even at -25C outside. This is of course ideal performance and real performance is less, typically about a factor of 2 less. Or still a COP of 2-3 (compared to resistive heating of COP=1). Note however this assumes the pump is designed for this operating temperature (most are not). There are other issues other than working fluid too, for example icing up the outside heat exchanger. As others have noted, ground heat exchange can work well for this, thou less so for build up areas.

      Bottom line is that heat pumps don't work well in cold weather is due to practical design issues, not fundamental physics.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    236. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Beacon11 · · Score: 1

      I don't see a massive orbital solar platform happening-- space debris can't miss something that big. There's a lot of it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_debris .

    237. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Thumper_SVX · · Score: 1

      Have you seen what goes on with most roof repairs on 50 year old houses? Most of the time they are fixed to 50 year old standards, too. I've seen it too often; either the contractor fixing the roof is skimming some money off the top by cheaping out on materials, or the homeowner is. Few houses actually get upgraded to modern standards.

    238. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Thumper_SVX · · Score: 1

      They're 200W today... by next year they'll be 180W... by the year after 160W... etc.

      Solar panels degrade over time, and you have to keep them clean to maximize efficiency (not easy on a roof actually). Plus, as time progresses I think you'll find your energy consumption tends to rise rather than fall; new devices, new toys, air conditioning compressor that gets older and less efficient every year etc.

      Still, probably not going to stop me from installing some PV shingles in the future :)

    239. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      That's the whole point. Wind is NOT base power. You need to be connected to a grid, so you can sell you excess when you have it, and buy your shortfall when you don't. Otherwise wind is unreliable. The only option is to store the energy, and you are limited to batteries (expensive and not feasible for large scale), and pumping potential energy of water (which basically requires hydro, dam or resoviour).

      So you basically just shadowed what Bill is trying to say, for BASE power nuclear is king, and people are wasting money trying to build alternative that is unsuitable for base power. Most remote communities that I know that run wind, also run diesel (wildly expensive) generators to provide power when the wind ain't blowing.

    240. Re:Say waht you will about MS by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      pretty much all methods of storing power for any length of time require that you throw 40% to 50% of it away at a minimum.

      That's not true; superconducting storage is about 95% efficient, round-trip; its really, really expensive right now, but we're nowhere near the point where storage for anything beyond power quality (avoiding minute-to-minute variations) from plants is needed for most of the grid, because we aren't anywhere near the deployment level for wind, solar, and similar technologies where they supply more than the total grid demand at their peak output. Once we reach that level of deployment, any storage technology (even an inefficient one) is useful to reduce demand on the peaker plants using on-demand technologies (whether hydro, nuclear, fossil fuel, or whatever else.)

      You can run your laptop for a few hours off a little battery but to run a city you'd need skyscrapers entirely filled with batteries which all need to be replaced every year or so and god help you if there's a fire in the building.

      Its possible one could imagine a worse energy storage system for the application under discussion than batteries, but it would require an effort; even just constraining oneself to chemical storage mechanisms, regenerative fuel cells are vastly superior.

      But it doesn't really matter, because we haven't, in most of the world, reached anywhere close to the level of deployment of the relevant technologies where long-term storage would be a limiting factor to their further expansion.

    241. Re:Say waht you will about MS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A local ski-resort around here (BerkShire East), already runs entirely on power generated from a single windmill they put up.

      That sounds impossible. Wind turbines are typically operating less than 30% of the time. So assuming the sky resort did not buy some expensive electricity storage equipment, it is relying on the grid (and thus fossil fuels) for continuous operation.

    242. Re:Say waht you will about MS by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      well put.

      I was under the impression that they were intrinsically less efficient than they actually are in very cold weather.

      Thank you for correcting my mistake.

    243. Re:Say waht you will about MS by gullevek · · Score: 1

      MSR are not paper study. They have been setup and run for several years in the 60s.

      We just prefer to buy new bombs to kill people than invest in science to find out new ways (or better ways) to create electricity.

      --
      "Freiheit ist immer auch die Freiheit des Andersdenkenden" - Rosa Luxemburg, 1871 - 1919
    244. Re:Say waht you will about MS by apetrelli · · Score: 1

      ... TED conference suggests burning the 99% U235 that is currently considered waste (currently only U238 is burned)...

      In fact it is exactly the opposite.

  2. It takes 20 years to get from R&D into product by Colin+Smith · · Score: 0

    That's waaaay too late.
     

    --
    Deleted
  3. The down side to nuclear is the waste by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 2

    The down side to nuclear is the waste where does it go? and Safety as all it takes is one MR burns cutting costs to make a big mess.

    1. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by compro01 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The down side to nuclear is the waste where does it go?

      Into another reactor, then into storage for 100-ish years.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    2. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well see, they take it from the ground, and... if approved, they put it back in the ground. Except they bury it deeper, and in classified form that can't seep out like the original uranium ore could. It's actually safer when they are done than before they started in some ways.

    3. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by tarpitcod · · Score: 1

      The real fact is that the waste from a reactor is actually an upside. The processes described above, and by prior posters are much preferable to spewing radioactive material out into the atmosphere like coal plants do

    4. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by NevarMore · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You also need to recognize that there are wastes and negative impacts from all forms of energy:
        - copper windings for any rotational generator have to be mined
        - rare earths for solar arrays are also mined
        - heavy metals (\m/\m/) and acids for batteries are not exactly harmless
        - coal ash, great big mountains of it
        - smoke and other pollutants from burning fuels
        - alteration of waterways for hydro or cooling plus runoff

      The reality is we don't get energy for free and no current form of energy production is entirely without environmental consequences.To attack the challenges and consequences of nuclear power without honestly acknowledging the same from other forms of energy will lead to poor decisions.

    5. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention the subsidy requirements. Nuclear plants are expensive and it can be really difficult to find investors -- IIRC, most Nuclear plants are heavily subsidized by the government.

    6. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No it is not you *stupid fool*. Nuclear is the ONLY technology that actually manages its waste. The only one. If you care one bit about the environment, you would support nuclear precisely because of its waste management practices.

      If fossil fuel energy managed all its waste, we would not be in the shit we are today. There wouldn't be catastrophic global warming. There would not be forest destroying acid rains. There would not be 1,000,000+ million people dying per year directly attributed to fossil fuel pollution and the diseases it produces. The ocean would not be polluted with mercury. Almost ALL lakes in the US are now so contaminated with mercury, it is not safe to eat fish from them! And the list goes on and on and on...

      Nuclear waste is so *little* that even if you had to guard and monitor the dump and renew its containers for a billion years, it would still be very cheap. We are talking a few tons a year per reactor, if we don't do any r processing. Reprocessing could reduce this waste by 98% and provide more usable fuel) Simply a fund with $1-2 billion in it would be able to fund all the personnel in perpetuity simply from interest.

      A coal plant burns *thousands of tons* of coal *per day*, producing hundreds of tons of toxic, carcinogenic waste *every day*, most of it going "puff" into the air you breath.

    7. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by michael_cain · · Score: 1

      Yes. If nuclear is going to be part of the long-term solution, then thermal neutrons have to go. Fast neutron reactors that can burn everything except the short-lived fission products, and that can do breed-and-burn of the million tons of depleted uranium the US and Russia have in storage, are critical (no pun intended). With my cynic hat on, I note that Bill Gates has funded design and simulation studies of one such fast-neutron reactor, and would probably like the government to fund the first working model built from the design rather than paying for it himself.

    8. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Phleg · · Score: 1

      More to the point, we could simply vaporize every hunk of nuclear waste generated by nuclear power straight into the atmosphere, and it would _still_ be better than coal.

      --
      No comment.
    9. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      I wish I had more points to mod you up with. This is one of the better explanations as to why Nuclear Waste is a good thing. I think very few people realize how little there is and even then it isn't waste as such. It can still be used as fuel in a different type of plant. An intelligent design would have a few types of reactors so you could go fuel in at one type of reactor and use it's waste to power another type of reactor on down until you've used as much of the fuel as possible before you throw it away.

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    10. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 4, Informative

      Let's not forget that in the United States, our nuclear waste management practices are WAY behind the times.

      France generates 75-80% of their power from nuclear, and they don't have a waste problem because they not only reprocess their own fuel, they have enough reprocessing capacity to reprocess fuel from their neighbors too.

      And that's just for thermal neutron based fuel cycles... Fast reactors have fuel cycles with even less waste. For example the IFR had the potential 100% of this country's electrical needs for a century using only existing nuclear waste as fuel - and the remaining waste would only be dangerous for 200-300 years as opposed to the thousands of years for current waste.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    11. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by ballpoint · · Score: 1

      I'm with you on most of the other waste issues, but What catastrophic global warming ?

      Mind, this is one of the longest uninterrupted temperature records in existence. It could be catastrophically warming anywhere but in Central England, but even accounting for the archetypal English idiosyncrasy, that's quite unlikely.

      --
      Flourescent (adj): smelling like ground wheat.
    12. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by tranquillity · · Score: 1

      Eh, can you tell me where in the US (or the rest of the world) is a safe radioactive waste repository, please?
      Safe against all environment impact, terror attacks, human failure?

    13. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      France generates 75-80% of their power from nuclear, and they don't have a waste problem because they not only reprocess their own fuel, they have enough reprocessing capacity to reprocess fuel from their neighbors too.

      France does have a waste problem. It's true that they reprocess a lot of fuel, but they don't have the reactors to consume all that processed fuel. As a result, they are stockpiling massive amounts of MOX in the hope that one day there will be enough fast breeder reactors to actually burn it.

      The reason they process the waste from their neighbors is because those neighbors pay dearly for that, due to these neighbors not having adequate disposal means either. It's not because they can use that waste for fueling their own reactors.

    14. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To attack the challenges and consequences of nuclear power without honestly acknowledging the same from other forms of energy will lead to poor decisions.

      It already has. Look at Germany. Look at the fear surrounding nuclear in the US right now; it was finally about to take off again before the Earthquake and Tsunami in Japan.

    15. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Evanisincontrol · · Score: 1

      Eh, can you tell me where in the US (or the rest of the world) is a safe radioactive waste repository, please? Safe against all environment impact, terror attacks, human failure?

      How about in a place similar to where the military stores its nuclear warheads? We seem to be quite capable of protecting those things against environment impact, "terror attacks", and human failure. And if someone steals an ICBM, it's going to be a hell of a lot worse than if they stole some radioactive waste.

    16. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by seven+of+five · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but coal is dumb and simple. Nukular is scary, and only elitists with thick accents understand it.

    17. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah this is pretty much nonsense and enviro-wacko screeching. Cite your sources or admit you're making it up.

    18. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by DCFusor · · Score: 1

      I wish they'd donate me a few drums of the very hottest waste they can produce. I'd bury it in my backyard surrounded with thermocouples and have nighttime power input to augment my successful solar system that's been doing it for me since 1980, other than "February" which is a time of darkness here.

      Sure, my solar system only gives me maybe 10kwh a day -- but I've learned to run a machine shop, an electronics shop, a computer network, and life in general off it. You adapt.

      And that's the real issue -- people won't willingly turn off the big screen TV at 2 am because it's not demanded of them now, and they think they are entitled to hot water at 6 am when it's expensive and hard to do, instead of at noon when it's free, more or less. I just don't weld when the sun ain't shining.

      While there are for sure some technical issues -- nothing is simple -- they are not the real problem. It's humans, always has been.

      --
      Why guess when you can know? Measure!
    19. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      I'm not positive, but your comment about elitists and spelling of "nukular" leads me to believe you're blaming Republicans for the fear of nuclear. Quite the opposite, I think you'll find Republicans in favor of nuclear and it's Democrats who childishly anti-nuclear.

    20. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To True, The facts is that a person living around a coal burning power plant is expose to 100 times more radiation then one living around a nuclear power plant because it is not regulated like a nuclear power plant is.

    21. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      To True, The facts is t

      To true or not to true?
      That is the question.

    22. Re:The down side to nuclear is the waste by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the fact that coal burning actually releases more radioactivity into our atmosphere than is ever produced by nuclear.

      One greeny put it right (but was criticized by his hippy colleges): "I don't like nuclear, but I like coal a whole lot less, and it is really the only alternative"

  4. Bill Gates on climate change: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    "640 kwh should be enough for anyone"

  5. I really hate it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I really, really, really, don't like that Mr. Gates is right about this. Not because I hate nuclear power or anything, I just don't like him being right.

  6. Lomborg by andreasg · · Score: 1

    Isn't this what Bjørn Lomborg has been saying for years?

    1. Re:Lomborg by antifoidulus · · Score: 1

      Lomberg is staying!

  7. I simply have to agree by erroneus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    After the last discussion on energy options, I had since learned that many of the most desired alternative sources fail to be viable in the truest sense. Wind farms cost too much. They are expensive to maintain -- even more expensive than nuclear power plants. Solar just isn't there yet either though I feel that with more R&D, that will change... money spent on deployment of solar at the moment is wasted I think.

    Perhaps only geothermal has the potential to replace nuclear as a longer-term solution but I have my doubts on that too. At the moment, it is only available to specific regions and those are also potentially unstable areas meaning that the same areas where geothermal is of use in the US also have active magma circulation relatively close to the surface. (If deeper drilling techniques were available, perhaps that problem could be overcome.) Once again, more R&D needed to make it viable everywhere.

    1. Re:I simply have to agree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      the biggest problem with Wind Farms is not the expense, it's you cant rely on them to be at the needed capacity, so what you have is when wind isn't producing you have to rely on more traditional forms such as Coal, so what you have is you need to have to build more Coal power into the Grid to create excess capacity the more you use Wind.
      When you do have the Wind that excess in Coal is still operational and polluting, so Wind Farm's actually cause more emission's indirectly.

    2. Re:I simply have to agree by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Here is the base problem: It's not that everything else is too expensive, it's that fossil fuels are too cheap. Too cheap in the long run. We've had a something like 100 year run on FF and we're going to run out of cheap versions of it (the Peak Oil concept). We're too stupid and spoiled as a culture to really put the money down for the next base power technology so we're going to run up the credit card now and really have to change our minds on how we live in the not so distant future.

      There is plenty of power around. We waste a perfectly enormous amounts of it and we know how not to, but it's not easy changing the way that billions of people do things.

      So the invisible hand will slap the ever living crap out of us in about 50-60 years. Our grandkids will wake up with one hella hangover.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:I simply have to agree by Dan+Ost · · Score: 1

      That could be overcome if there were economical and scalable ways of storing energy so that it doesn't need to be consumed at the same time that it's produced.

      I would love to have an affordable unit that I could install at my house (flywheel, capacitor, whatever) that charges when power is cheap, discharges when power is expensive (either into my home or back onto the grid for a credit on my meter), and provides additional power when needed so my lights don't flicker when the AC turns on and so my lights and appliances don't immediately lose power when the local grid experiences an outage.

      --

      *sigh* back to work...
    4. Re:I simply have to agree by tranquillity · · Score: 1

      Windfarms are expensive to maintain?!??? WTF, look a the disaster in Japan. And, how much does it cost to keep the nuclear waste safe for thousands of years?

      BTW, who gives us the right to burden our children an their children (and so on) with radioactive waste and to pollute large areas (cf. Tschernobyl, Fukushima, etc.) for hundreds of years?

    5. Re:I simply have to agree by CapuchinSeven · · Score: 1

      money spent on deployment of solar at the moment is wasted I think.

      On a large scale maybe, but individually they are wonderful. I have them fitted over here in the UK and all my water (two of us living here) comes from solar power, outside of needing to boost from the mains if we have people staying over or alike.

    6. Re:I simply have to agree by Uhhhh+oh+ya! · · Score: 1

      That's not really the topic being debated, obviously clean energy has to be viable to some extent, the problem is they just aren't at a point where they can replace current power generation. The problem is so many people are pushing this technology to the market so fast that they are crippling it. Rather than spending money just experimenting and building on prototypes the money is all being put in to developing a implementable version of an unfinished product.

      The point of the article was that on our current path these new sources of energy will never be truly viable as a replacement. The solution is simple, for a decade just stop pushing out these new technologies and send all the money to researching them and making them even more efficient. I would like an electric car for the gas mileage but I don't want to have to stop and find a place to recharge my car constantly on road trips, some of the research in capacitors could easily solve this problem but instead the research is slowed by the marketing cost of the cars on the market right now.

    7. Re:I simply have to agree by w_dragon · · Score: 1

      How about tidal?

    8. Re:I simply have to agree by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      AFAIK the disaster in Japan was caused by an earthquake, not the maintenance (or lack thereof) of a nuclear reactor.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    9. Re:I simply have to agree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How in the world can this kind of a pessimistic wrist slashing comment be rated (Score:5, Insightful) ? Fossil fuels too cheap, stupid, spoiled culture and end of the world hangover bla, bla, bla.

      This is supposed to be a site for technology, innovation and geeks. When was it overtaken by green hippies?

    10. Re:I simply have to agree by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      What's the matter, AC? Hit a nerve or something? The complex issue of how we power this technological terror we've created is very much a geek subject. Various branches of science, lots of engineering, some biology and unhappily politics and social studies all fold together in a giant sticky mess.

      But if it bothers you too much, just hang out on the "what's the best Linux distro" thread. It's a good question and doesn't require peering into your soul all that much. And log in if you're going to complain, will you?

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    11. Re:I simply have to agree by jafac · · Score: 1

      wow - I'm not the ONLY person on the planet who "gets it".

      Depressing though. Because that "invisible hand" slap is going to take the form of billions of human deaths, war, disease, poverty, likely long-term contamination and degradation of large portions of the surface of the earth, and continued extinction of 90% of living species. It's not going to be a "market correction". It's going to be Nature, telling us, "yes, you still ARE my bitch, silly apes."

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  8. er, why? by macshit · · Score: 0

    Why are they interviewing Gates about energy? I mean, yeah, he's rich and all, but is there any reason to think he has any particular insight on the subject?

    --
    We live, as we dream -- alone....
    1. Re:er, why? by kervin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      1. You should into look at how Bill Gates has spent the last decade and then ask yourself your own question.
      2. Even if you felt that way before the article, did he actually come off as a man who didn't know what he was talking about?

    2. Re:er, why? by ledow · · Score: 1

      Of course not.

      However, it's probably the only thing he's ever given an opinion on that I happen to agree with. I just find it funny that it's a comment about something far removed from IT where we actually see eye-to-eye.

    3. Re:er, why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Because he's one of the world's premier professional philanthropists with lobbyists and a research staff who's been involved with political and humanitarian advocacy full-time for ten years now?

      Internet Explorer sucks and all, but Bill Gates is a very accomplished and intelligent man with a lot of influence. His opinions matter a great deal.

    4. Re:er, why? by cbeaudry · · Score: 4, Insightful

      He's a technology geek, with lots of money. Has a charity foundation that's trying to find ways to help the other 80% of this earths population.

      The #1 thing to help those people is to get them ENERGY.

      So he invests in groups, companies, people to find solutions. That's what foundations do.

      And as someone else mentioned, did you read the interview? I has very good points and insights even if some of them have been obvious to the geek /. crowd.

    5. Re:er, why? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      2. Even if you felt that way before the article, did he actually come off as a man who didn't know what he was talking about?

      Had you asked me that in the waning days of the 20th Century, I would have said exactly that.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    6. Re:er, why? by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

      The #1 thing to help those people is to get them ENERGY.

      Yeah lets plonk some nuclear reactors down in Africa...

      No what's needed first are stable political environments.

      --
      Deleted
    7. Re:er, why? by spire3661 · · Score: 1

      Bill Gates in unquestionably smart. Hes also rich. While related, they are not the same thing.

      --
      Good-bye
    8. Re:er, why? by plasmana · · Score: 1

      He has lots of insight on the subject. Which was: the economics of business models.

    9. Re:er, why? by aslag · · Score: 1

      He's a very accomplished businessman with a record of stealing his way to the top, then buying or squashing the competition to stay there. And the company that brought you pain while it raked in billions through (oft-forced) sales of an unstable, unsecure os is now bullying Android phone manufacturers with legal tomfoolery. If Bill or MS happen to do something to benefit humanity we can recognize that. But the character of this man and his still-abusive empire shouldn't be white-washed when he happens to share a reasonable opinion. Perhaps rather than trying his hand at solving energy and social problems, he should use his money to undo the problems he created in technology.

    10. Re:er, why? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      2 is irrelevant, many people sound like they know what they are talking about when they are talking nonsense.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    11. Re:er, why? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      He has give a lot of opinions I agree with, but his implementation and attempt to control them that I dislike.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    12. Re:er, why? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      I don't think he's proposing nuclear as a solution for Africa. It doesn't really make much sense, anyway, since they have lots of untapped hydro, which would be both safer and cheaper.

      That said, stable political environments don't come out of thin air - they require a certain standard of living, and having cheap energy available is a big step towards that goal.

  9. agreeing-with-bill-gates-feels-dirty by kervin · · Score: 1

    Yes, strange things happen when we put aside our prejudices.

    1. Re:agreeing-with-bill-gates-feels-dirty by spottedkangaroo · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. When Mr. Gates isn't talking about Microsoft or Windows, he seems to be a very likable and smart public policy nerd and philanthropist.

      --
      Imagine if you weren't allowed to use roads because a bus company complained about your driving 3 times. --skunkpussy
    2. Re:agreeing-with-bill-gates-feels-dirty by ISoldat53 · · Score: 1

      Wait for it. In the not to distant future it'll come out the he has some financial interest in nuclear power.

    3. Re:agreeing-with-bill-gates-feels-dirty by geekoid · · Score: 1

      when ever someone in the media talks about think you don't know about they sound likable and smart.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:agreeing-with-bill-gates-feels-dirty by ballpoint · · Score: 1

      If boring. Listening to him talking in public is a good substitute for swallowing a quarter of a bottle of sleeping pills.

      --
      Flourescent (adj): smelling like ground wheat.
    5. Re:agreeing-with-bill-gates-feels-dirty by spottedkangaroo · · Score: 1

      I couldn't actually parse that. I spent some time on it, but I'm not sure what you're trying to say. Sorry.

      --
      Imagine if you weren't allowed to use roads because a bus company complained about your driving 3 times. --skunkpussy
    6. Re:agreeing-with-bill-gates-feels-dirty by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There comes a point when getting more money doesn't change your standard of living. Bill is well past that point. His money isn't even going to his kids (except a very (relatively) small set amount). His money will be staying with his foundation after he dies.

      I know common sense doesn't really matter to cynical douche bags, but at least try to be reasonable.

  10. Cool! A plug for Sadoway: by Hartree · · Score: 4, Informative

    One of the links is to Donald Sadoway's research group at MIT. His group works on the very topics that will make or break the shift to better energy sources and greater efficiency.

    He's also a wonderful teacher who's put up a course at MIT open course ware. It's Solid State Chemistry 3.091 and it utterly rocks. If you want to understand how chemistry impacts energy efficiency and the properties of materials, this is the course for you. And, it's in a format that is great for self teaching.

    3.091 course link

    I know it's a shameless plug, but give me a break. I work in a chemistry department that does a lot of work on improved energy related materials and methods.

    1. Re:Cool! A plug for Sadoway: by snl2587 · · Score: 1

      I was about to rip the summary for pointlessly linking to an MIT group (everything thing they do is gold and everyone else sucks, right?), but then I read the article.

      Apparently, Bill Gates backs Sadoway directly. Thus, the link makes sense.

  11. Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by leftie · · Score: 0, Troll

    Bill Gates is smart and has a whole lot of field-specific knowledge about PCs. He's not well educated outside his field.

    Let's let the let the guys with the PhDs in science, math, and engineering figure out energy policy.

    1. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Computer Science / Computer Engineering has an energy policy requirement?

    2. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      Bill Gates is smart and has a whole lot of field-specific knowledge about PCs. He's not well educated outside his field.

      Let's let the let the guys with the PhDs in science, math, and engineering figure out energy policy.

      I dare say that Gates has picked up a lot since he dropped out of college. A lot of people as intelligent as him keep on learning and, with his philanthropic work, you can bet he's broadened his knowledge of many subject areas. I'm more willing to listen to him over a politician like Al Gore, or any number of celebrities that only became famous because of their looks. At the very least, I believe he is smart enough to not speak out about something that he hasn't educated himself in.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    3. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by MrTester · · Score: 1

      Let's let the let the guys with the PhDs in science, math, and engineering figure out energy policy.



      Clearly you have no experience with how Democracies work....
    4. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Right, because no-one can ever learn anything on their own. Without that piece of paper from a university with a piece of paper saying they are allowed to give out pieces of paper saying "dis gui noes stuf" you don't know anything.

      But then, I guess everybody wants to rule the world, don't they?

    5. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      640 dollars/MWh ought to be good enough for anybody.

    6. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1

      No way. Let Rick Perry, the GOP and the Evangelical right decide it at "The Response" prayer meeting and campaign fund raiser this August 6th. All that ivory tower elitist knowledge only gets in the way. This PSA brought to you by the great state of Texas, yee haw!

    7. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's let the let the guys with the PhDs in science, math, and engineering figure out energy policy.

      Do you have any idea what you are talking about?? Vast majority, by far, in the fields you listed are pro-nuclear crowd precisely because they are educated and know the problems and solutions of these problems. Bill Gates didn't conjure this up on his own. He is actually just saying what the science crowd has been saying for 50 years.. Nuclear is the only reliable, base-load option.

      If you want solar to be reliable, base-load, then you need to get solar in geosynchronous orbit and beam down your power from there. Nothing else will really matter for reliable power.

    8. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually that's exactly how they work. Policy is made by policymakers, not representatives. "leftie" is just worried that those PhD policymakers will make the "wrong" decision and go nuclear. When of course they should be deciding to use solar, wind, and static bicycles connected to generators like at Climate Camp.

    9. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Cool so we can throw out Greenpeace and the Sierra clubs input and listen to the majority of nuclear engineers that say nuclear is safe! Great I am good with that.
      And it was your idea.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    10. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by geekoid · · Score: 1

      It's a good indicator of what someone had to go through giving a base set of knowledge. We have nothing to lead us to believe Gates knows what he is talking about. I suspect he does, but I base that on how his layman opinion is aligned with practical facts.

      I don't want to rule the world, but I do want to set some baseline rules.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    11. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by DragonWriter · · Score: 2

      Bill Gates is smart and has a whole lot of field-specific knowledge about PCs. He's not well educated outside his field.

      I think he has a lot more field-specific knowledge about business, and particularly technology business, than he has about PCs, though not through formal education.

      He also has some field specific knowledge about public policy for much the same reason, though not as much as about any of those other areas.

      Let's let the let the guys with the PhDs in science, math, and engineering figure out energy policy.

      A Ph.D. in science, math, or engineering qualifies you as an expert in any area of policy about as much as a Ph.D. in Public Policy and/or Administration qualifies you as an expert in science, math, or engineering.

      Though, again, academic credentials aren't the only source or indicator of expertise.

    12. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by marnues · · Score: 1

      No, we would listen to them plus physicists, geologists, biologists, etc. Using nuclear power involves a lot more than just running a nuclear power plant.

    13. Re:Can't forget Bill Gates didn't finish college by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      How convent.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  12. Thorium, not Nuclear by Klinky · · Score: 1

    Nuclear is a waste of time, too complicated & too costly. Thorium is where it's at baby.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5LeM-Dyuk6g
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nl5DiTPw3dk

    1. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Klinky · · Score: 1

      Yes, I am aware that Thorium is just a different fuel & uses technique for nuclear reaction.

    2. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by tarpitcod · · Score: 1

      You do realize that Thorium is Nuclear too right?

    3. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh, I thought you were going to power everything with old Coleman mantle lanterns. I was going to point out they needed "white fuel"

    4. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Shhhhhh......he's on the right path. If we can just start calling it something else and abandon all the stigma of the "nuclear" keyword, we can actually get some new nuc....err....I mean thorium plants built.

    5. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so, why did you title your post "Thorium, not Nuclear"?

      And since Thorium requires an extra step before the standard nuclear fuel cycle why is it less "complicated" than Uranium nuclear? I agree that Thorium is really promising, but I'm not sure how it's less complicated and less costly.

    6. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why - I just realized...
      "With these new Thorium pllants electricity will be so cheap it won't be worth metering!"
         

    7. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amen brother. Thorium and the LFTR concept is the only thing that makes sense. Maybe those guys in Vancouver can get fusion going (General Fusion the company) but other than that I think Thorium is the only way and the LFTR concept makes a lot of sense.

      The only other potential Nuclear method that I see is the fast reactor concept. Problem is that they want to use liquid sodium which explodes when in contact with water. Not so fun to deal with when something goes bad.

      Write your congress person and tell them to support LFTR or at least let them research it (you can't even get permission to research other nuclear options here in the USA or in Canada for that matter).

    8. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I still think you're retarded

    9. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by OakDragon · · Score: 1

      Why stop at Thorium? Let's go Hulkium!

    10. Re:Thorium, not Nuclear by Klinky · · Score: 1

      It was early & my brain wasn't thinking.

      Nuclear is synonymous with "uranium fueled reactor". When someone says "Nuclear" they're really saying "classical uranium based reactor like those currently in operation". Which aren't very economical when you count mining, refining(proprietary fuel rods aren't cheap), reacting, reprocessing, transporting & long-term storage along with safety hazards & initial construction costs. Plus the stigma attached to nuclear isn't helping it's cause.

      The only benefit of current nuclear designs have is energy density which is really handy when you're on an aircraft carrier or submarine, but on a massive scale they really aren't that viable when you factor in all the costs associated with them. They do become viable if we have no other option(i.e completely out of fossil fuels & have no alternatives).

      Thorium is more abundant, reactors are simpler to build, waste products are less toxic, with half-life as low as 100 years, plus there is less waste material.

      Negatives: It's different than the current nuclear reactors, so engineers, businesses & regulatory agencies aren't really well versed or interested in doing a 360 on their current investment. There are no commercial thorium reactors currently available, until then Thorium is just a pipe dream. But the reasons it's not being used don't seem to be technical in nature, but more a mindset that needs to shift. We've tried uranium based reactors for decades now & there have been numerous failures & they really have not panned out as the end-all-be-all to our energy woes.

      Everyone jazzed about Nuclear should hop on the Thorium bandwagon as it seems more viable & perhaps won't have as much stigma attached to it as "nuclear" does.

      You can see the videos for more details.

  13. Waste != waste if purposed correctly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear waste can be purposely recycled to the point of maximum returns. We're literally sitting on the pile of fuel (nuclear 'waste') that will power the world for years to come.

    http://www.nationalcenter.org/NuclearFastReactorsSA1205.pdf

  14. That's trickle-up economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We're putting 90 percent of the subsidies in deployment — this is true in Europe and the United States — not in R&D.

    And as a result the manufacturers get income which they can invest in R&D. Sounds better to me than blindly throwing money at them and hoping that one day they may produce something useful. It seems to work fine with both wind turbines and solar panels, both of whose costs have come down significantly over the last 10 years and whose performance also has increased drastically. Trickle-up economics at its finest. And moreover a large market with quite a lot of small players, rather than a few multinationals raking in all of the cash.

    Of course, with nuclear power there's the problem that you have to invest billions in research, wait for 10 years for the technology to mature, then another 10 years for the pilot projects to get built (not because people are inept or companies corrupt, but because the technology is so complex and the safety requirements are so high), and once it gets accepted then you need 40 years or more before you get a new significant market for the next technology node because it takes a long time for the initial investments to get recouped. And all the time you need all kinds of governmental support to keep the financial side of the picture bearable (insurance, research subsidies, administration of waste processing/disposal, security, ...).

    And once the costs have been recouped, companies obviously want to keep the existing plants running for as long as possible since that's free cash, while dismantling gobbles up a lot of money.

    1. Re:That's trickle-up economics by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "And as a result the manufacturers get income which they can invest in R&D."

      It's so much more efficient to give money to an end user so they can give it to a company so that company can market, build and sell some inefficient tech and MAYBE invest their profit in R&D instead of more marketing, dividends, etc.

      Yes, giving money to that same company, or a university research lab and saying "do R&D with this" is MUCH more complicated and far more inefficient.

    2. Re:That's trickle-up economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "And as a result the manufacturers get income which they can invest in R&D."

      It's so much more efficient to give money to an end user so they can give it to a company so that company can market, build and sell some inefficient tech and MAYBE invest their profit in R&D instead of more marketing, dividends, etc.

      The last 10 years have demonstrated that this model works very well for both solar and wind power. I don't think you'd have gotten better results by directly giving the money to the companies. After all, it's not just a matter of money, but also a matter of field testing, deployment experience, grid adaptations etc. Not to mention that you support the economy at the same time, and also immediately start producing renewable power (getting alternative players into the market, thereby making the market healthier).

      Yes, giving money to that same company, or a university research lab and saying "do R&D with this" is MUCH more complicated and far more inefficient.

      If throwing money at something was all that was needed to get good results, we'd all be using nuclear fusion reactors by now. It's not like there has been no money for nuclear R&D (both fission and various approaches to fusion), and in fact both thorium reactors and 3rd generation nuclear (European pressurized reactors) are currently being built. But that's just a few major multinationals in projects that are generally way over budget and overrunning their completion schedule, taking years to complete and sucking up tons of public money for safety measures, insurance etc.

      In fact, it would surprise me a lot if more money were flowing to renewables (I don't mean fake ones like corn subsidies in the US) than to the nuclear industry.

  15. Nuclear is proceeding by SuperKendall · · Score: 0

    Thankfully, the mania in Europe over nuclear power has not infected the U.S. - for the first time in a while new plant development is proceeding here.

    If you really want to get rid of more coal plants, it is the only option for quite a long time... even if some people get panicky about it at higher levels cooler heads are prevailing (at least in the U.S.)

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Nuclear is proceeding by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      Didn't Germany just recently plan to close down all their nuclear reactors after what happened at Fukushima?

  16. Not enough energy potential in solar? by TWX · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What's the total life-cycle cost comparison though?

    With solar I see the following:

    up front:
    Mining raw material for the panels, batteries, and electrical converters
    manufacturing the components in a low-security factory
    transporting the components on standard truck
    installing the panels and conversion equipment to an existing structure or building frames to install on bare earth

    down the road:
    cleaning the panels
    maintaining the circuitry
    replacing batteries
    having an electrician or homeowner possibly replace individual components over time if things fail

    end of life:
    remove panels from frames
    remove frames from structure or earth
    remove switching equipment and batteries
    send panels, frames, and switching equipment to recycler
    send batteries to mild hazardous waste disposal for disassembly or recycling

    Potential problems:
    solar panels smashed en masse in a hail storm - solar is offline until panels are replaced and structure is back on grid power. If owner has insurance, that is used to pay for the replacement.
    Batteries leak, owner stops storing power for overnight use and goes back on to the grid, and replaces batteries and cleans up acid spill
    Absolute Worst Case- solar system causes a fire and the small structure burns.

    Contrast to nuclear:

    Startup:
    Spend billions to build obtain land, fight local opposition, and build the plant.
    spend millions to obtain ROW to install power transmission lines
    Refine nuclear fuel in a high security factory
    transport fuel in an expensive manner via truck convoy
    employ dozens, if not hundreds of engineers and technicians to fuel, power up, and baby sit the reactor

    down the road:
    continue to employ dozens, if not hundreds of engineers and technicians to baby sit the reactor
    spend millions to refuel reactor as necessary
    spend millions to store spent nuclear fuel in the proper fashion, forcing it to stay cool until it's no longer generating its own heat
    maintain security at the facility

    end of life:
    spend billions to decommission and clean up plant site
    find solution for storage of spent fuel?

    possible problems:
    contaminated water spills posing an environmental hazard requiring expensive cleanup
    mismanagement of the reactor leading to core meltdown and environmental contamination (worst case similar to Chernobyl, but without the graphite moderator)
    natural disaster leading to core meltdown and environmental contamination (Fukushima)
    attractive target for terrorism

    I'm for solar subsidy, especially once solar panel efficiency exceeds 40%, which they're almost to on the newest panel designs, especially for structures that can receive solar panels without spoiling the appearance of the structure. Commercial and residential structures with flat roofs, retrofitting houses with the backyard side on the south (as to no put the panels on the roof on the front of the house, for appearance), and building new structures with solar in mind from the planning stages all appeal to me. Give subsidy for Photovoltaics with battery storage, grid-tie-in, and intentional islanding (leaving the structure powered by the PV or batteries but separating from the grid when the grid itself loses power) and suddenly every home becomes a mini power plant. It might even cost more per unit of energy than bulk production like at large power facilities, but it also reduces or eliminates a need for more wiring infrastructure, adds failover, and in places like the southern portion of the country, provides power when it's needed most, during the sunniest days when the air conditioning is cranked down and when power grids tend to fail due to a lack of capacity. A big enough solar installation at a house can power the whole house and can sell back to the grid easily.

    If people are worried about safety, have cities implement an inspection regimen at installation, significant modification, and every ten years or so. Nothing really expensive, just something to make sure that everything is hooked up properly and safely.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    1. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by snowraver1 · · Score: 2

      Question for you: What do you think that the environmental impact would be to create enough batteries to store 1-2 GW of power for 8+ hours?

      --
      Copyright 2010. All rights reserved. This comment may not be copied in any way including, but not limited to caching.
    2. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Lifyre · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I know I'm currently in the minority here but I personally don't think that solar panels detract from the appearance of the house especially if done in such a way that they fit the profile of the house. Ultimately I would love to be able to completely roof a house with solar panels in place of other materials like shingles.

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    3. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by gtall · · Score: 1

      Nice straw man you have there: solar - no mention of money, nuclear - billions and millions. I suppose if you were able to back up any of your baloney with real figures, it wouldn't be baloney.

    4. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by tautog · · Score: 2
    5. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Feeling are much easier to argue with than figures.

    6. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by bigpat · · Score: 1

      I was considering this a pretty decent list of things to look at when comparing total costs until I got to "spend millions to obtain ROW to install power transmission lines" in the nuclear category.

      But apparently you were proposing that people go off the grid with solar, because shared solar and wind power generation require even greater land usage and a more dispersed power grid than nuclear. And nuclear can be expanded at most existing facilities that have adequate access to water, so there are no additional land acquisition costs to simply expand capacity with new reactors at existing locations. You could probably double nuclear output without taking up much more valuable land with either transmission lines or new plant locations and you can't say that about shared wind and solar resources.

    7. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since every nuclear company only is liable for like 5% of fallout charges, and is not responsible for containment for 100,000 years, none of this are problems for the companies involved.

      Therefore, expect to see more nuclear disasters in the near future (50-200 years) spoiling ALL watersupplies in the "civilized world".

    8. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      Agreed. It doesn't cost much to set up a single solar panel, but to set up enough to put out as much power as a nuclear plant would also cost billions and millions, not to mention maintenance.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    9. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Major flaw in your reasoning -

      This is an apples to oranges comparison. Your solar scenario only powers a fraction of one house. The nuclear one powers an entire city.

      Scale matters. Multiply your solar power production and distribution externalities (toxic chemicals, oil and gas uses, etc.) by the number of households in a city and the equations look a lot different. Nuclear is cleaner and uses fewer resources, human and natural.

    10. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Spoke · · Score: 1

      I'm for solar subsidy, especially once solar panel efficiency exceeds 40%, which they're almost to on the newest panel designs, especially for structures that can receive solar panels without spoiling the appearance of the structure.

      PV panel efficiency does not matter unless you are space constrained - and current PV panels are no where near 40% efficiency. PV panels currently in use range from 10%-20% efficient depending on the technology. 40% efficient panels are used where space/weight is a premium - primarily space applications - and are very expensive.

      What really matters is the cost per kWh of an installed system. Right now, without subsidies, PV is between $0.15-$0.30 / kWh in sunny areas depending on the scale of the project. This makes it competitive with retail electricity prices in many areas. That's without subsidies!

      The industry is working to get the price cut by 75% by 2010. At which point PV will be cost competitive or even cheaper than current grid power in many areas without the harmful emissions.

    11. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Solandri · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Potential problems:
      solar panels smashed en masse in a hail storm - solar is offline until panels are replaced and structure is back on grid power. If owner has insurance, that is used to pay for the replacement.
      Batteries leak, owner stops storing power for overnight use and goes back on to the grid, and replaces batteries and cleans up acid spill
      Absolute Worst Case- solar system causes a fire and the small structure burns.

      You left off people falling off of rooftops during installation, maintenance, and replacement. That kills far more people per TWh than nuclear.

      Contrast to nuclear:

      Startup:
      Spend billions to build obtain land, fight local opposition, and build the plant.
      spend millions to obtain ROW to install power transmission lines

      Per TWh generated, solar is currently far more expensive to construct and takes up more land. The average generation capacity of a U.S. nuclear plant is a bit over 1.5 GW. With a 90% capacity factor, that means they generate on average 1.4 GW throughout the year. Cost estimates for a new 1 GW reactor range from about $1 billion (Westinghouse's estimate after production is ramped up) to $5 billion (high end estimate) excluding interest payments for financing. So for 1.5 GW of capacity you're talking $1.5 - $7.7 billion.

      Commercial panels are only about 15% efficient. Some are up to 16%, and I've seen 18% ones available if you're willing to pay (a lot) extra. Go with 16%. Sunlight hits the earth's surface with about 700-800 W per m^2 perpendicular to the rays. Go with 750 W. So one square meter of commercial panels has a peak generating potential of ~120 Watts.

      Capacity factor, taking into account night, weather, changing angle of the sun throughout the day, etc. ranges from about 12% in the northern U.S. to 18% in the desert southwest. Assume you build in the best areas for solar and go with 18%. So the average annual production of of a square meter of panels is 120 W * 0.18 = 21.6 Watts.

      To match the average annual power generation of one nuclear plant (1.4 GW) at 21.6 Watts per m^2, you'd need 64.8 square km of PV panels. So already you can see solar is going to require acquiring a lot more land than nuclear. In terms of cost, if your construction budget matches that of the nuclear plant with the same power output ($1.5 - $7.7 billion), the panels have to cost $23 - $119 per square meter. No commercial panels are close to that price point yet, and this is ignoring the cost of batteries to time-shift your electricity production to match demand.

      Refine nuclear fuel in a high security factory
      transport fuel in an expensive manner via truck convoy
      employ dozens, if not hundreds of engineers and technicians to fuel, power up, and baby sit the reactor

      The U.S. currently uses about 2000 tons of enriched uranium as fuel each year in its 3-4 decade old heavy water reactors which don't reprocess. By volume that's about two tractor trailer's worth. The amount of high-risk material we're talking about to power the entire country is minuscule compared to alternatives. To power the average U.S. home for 30 years would require just 2.5 tablespoons of uranium, vs over 150 tons of coal.

      Personally, I don't see what the problem is. Nuclear is great for baseline load but sucks for daily load variances. Of the green renewables, only hydro is able to provide baseline load, but its real strength is being able to respond almost instantly to variable load. Solar's variable production coincides with daily load variances. So you start with nuclear as your baseline power source, add wind on top of that, add solar to compensate for some of the daily variance, and use hydro to top it off and make generation exactly match demand. Any solution which relies only on nuclear, or only on renewables adds considerable expense and engineering obstacles because you'd be using the technologies for things they suck at. And all of them are much, much better than coal.

    12. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by marnues · · Score: 1

      We know that the costs of solar are far less than the costs of nuclear. You can pretend that this needs arguing, but you're incorrect for any well learned audience. Should we not assume that Slashdot is such?

    13. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by wrook · · Score: 1

      Are you really in the minority? I'm currently living in a place where solar energy is quite economic (high energy prices and lots of sun all year round). Quite a lot of people have solar water heaters or solar energy panels on their roof. You can even buy everything from the local hardware stores. Just looking out the window now and I'd guess 10% of the houses have something. I've never heard anyone complain about them being ugly. In fact they are considerably better looking than some of the roofing options people use (although the tile roofed houses still look the best IMHO). If I weren't renting I'd definitely invest in it. Actually, if I didn't have to move next year for my job, I'd even ask my landlord if I could put up panels on the roof. I'm sure it would be fine.

    14. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by TWX · · Score: 1

      Ah, but remember, lots of homeowners and businesses are already personally choosing to invest in solar on their own, even if the costs are higher. The cost of the panels at purchase is fixed, but the cost of energy in the future is probably only going to continue to rise, even if it comes from Nuclear.

      I for one appreciate the independence of being able to generate one's own power, and the ability to even recoup some costs with resale during the day while I'm out. I plan to be in this house for forty years or more, and I have the roofs of both a workshop and of the house, I probably have 2000sqft of usable panel space on flat roofs with plenty of space to move among the panels for maintenance, and that's not even putting any on the slanted south-facing roof on the front of the house.

      For me, the option to add solar to my house is very easy and practical. The personal risk, beyond the financial one, is low. The risk to my neighbors is nonexistent. The benefit to me as an Arizona resident is great as suddenly that massively expensive piece of equipment that pumps cool air into my house to make it habitable might be offset in its entirety by a resource literally pouring down on my roof, currently heating up the very structure I'm trying to cool.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    15. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You've missed the bit about massive price spikes as we run out of the rare earth metals that all the "green" technologies rely on.

    16. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      again we see: trying to argue with feelings when the figures don't actually support you.

      for a bonus trying to imply that if you disagree with the bullshit then you're stupid.

    17. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Anyone who's serious about solar would put their money into a firm that's building big serious solar thermal in a desert somewhere.

      Tiny, inefficient solar pannels on your roof are nothing but a status symbol at the moment. that same money could do far far more good better spent and harvest far more energy but it isn't about the energy. it's about prooving that you can afford the installation on your roof.

    18. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Ya you say that now. At least up in Canada electricity is very subsidized. Green alternatives even more so. Solar is the worst.

      Current prices is something like 3 cents a kilowatt hour for conventional. Solar contracts are like 80 cents.

      So when you pay the true cost of power, your bill will go from 100$ a month to about 2700$ a month.

      This is a super over simplification, but you get the general idea.

      So you say well just keep subsidizing it! Well guess what, someone has to pay, and government gets its money through taxes. You will pay one way or another. So by all means put more solar out there.

      I am all for government to provide incentives for say homeowners to install panels on their houses, and individuals selling power back to the grid (at a reasonable rate). However promoting a technology that is not yet ready efficiency wise to make solar farms and subsidizing it to make it economically viable is a terrible idea. A year doesn't go by that I don't hear about the "next" big break through in solar efficiency technology, yet every year it has not improved sufficiently to make it even close to worthwhile.

    19. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet, solar panel farms are profitable today, and no nuclear energy facility in the world is (with the possible exceptions of French and Swedish plants, due to those countries' paucity of natural resources). Even with massive tax-derived subsidies, the nuclear plants are failing to set aside the necessary funds to pay for their decomissioning and/or rebuilding - they simply can't be made economically feasible without huge influx of tax dollars and corporate tax breaks.

      So, I'd have to say that the invisible hand of the marketplace just slapped your ass shiny.

      A combination of algal biogas, solar & wind can trivially provide more than twice the base load of the entire US today using less than 10% of our existing waste land area. And the energy farmers can get rich doing it without resorting to Reagan/Bush style Big Government subsidization. That's reality, baby. Get in touch with it.

      People falling off roofs is a national crisis. Yeah, right!

    20. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you even seen the talk? Or did you just decide to go off on a rant?

    21. Re:Not enough energy potential in solar? by Lifyre · · Score: 1

      The farther you get away from places like the southwest (which is how you describe) the more resistance you see to solar panels.

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
  17. Wrong - Again! by metasepp · · Score: 0, Troll

    Bill Gates doesn't get it. - Again -

    He didn't get it on the Internet in 1995 and doesn't get it for renewables in 2011.

    Nuclear power is only cheap if you don't include the waste disposal and the riscmanagement in the price.
    If you think otherwise go to Chernobyl or Fukushima and se for yourself.

    As for the disposal. No longterm deposit has been errected so far - world wide.

    Including these risks onely in the Energy prices would mean to quadrupel the price per kwH.

    Not to mention some other problems:
    Scarcity of Uranium. Some Experts speak of "Peak Uranium" in analogy to Peak Oil.
    Many nuclear byproducts are not only dangerous radioactiv matirials, some are among the most effective poisons known to man.

    So please Bill, do some serious research on the subject, before blurting out some lobbiest DUMMTALK.

    There is only on way to make the planet happier and better with nuclear power:
    Shut it down ASAP.!

    Thanks folks.

    Going back to sleep now. ;-)

    1. Re:Wrong - Again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It comes down to a couple of simple questions. Firstly do you support a level of civilization that we currently have? That means all the things we use every day which requires energy. If you do, then you need lots of energy. If you don't then feel free to go back to the stone age and die from the next polio outbreak, cholera outbreak or famine. It really is that simple.

      I ask you to do a couple of searches for:

      1) How many people died as a result of Chernobyl?
      2) How many people died as a result of Fukushima?
      3) How many people died as a result of Coal mining?
      4) How much radiation is released as a result of burning Coal?

      Remember Chernobyl and Fukushima were not nearly as well designed as modern reactors. Unfortunately, we are forced to keep running these older designs because:

      A) The public still wants to continue to live in a civilization with a standard of living similar to before while population increases, B) The public didn't want new nuclear plants built. Which would have allowed older plants to be retired.
      C) The fuel rods at Fukushima should have been shipped to a long term storage facility scheduled for the U.S. but it was never built.
      D) Chernobyl is a special case. Read the detailed report. The operators did the equivalent of taking a pressure cooker on a stove and filling it up with loads of water and then shoving it onto the exhaust of a jet engine.

      So it's really that simple. Solar and Wind are all well and good, but they will not support the current level of civilization we enjoy. They may someday, and the use of them is not bad, but they simply wont cut it right now without deploying a huge number of them all over the place.

      So if you want to keep your current standard of living, you need reliable base-load energy, and that energy needs to come from somewhere. Nuclear provides lots of energy and if you do the research you will find has actually - even accidents at Chernobyl and Fukushima included killed and harmed less people than fossil fuels. You may soon find more people die falling from wind turbines than Nuclear has killed.

      So choose what you want. You may decide that you do want to live in a technological civilization that needs energy, but you don't want nuclear. Just don't be surprised if when you take a cold hard look at the numbers, you discover you actually made things worse by building huge wind farms and solar plants, and that your level of civilization collapses somewhat due to the costs.

    2. Re:Wrong - Again! by Lifyre · · Score: 2

      Why are you disposing of most of that waste? That is still perfectly good fuel for a slightly different reactor... If you use and reuse the fuel it becomes significantly less dangerous. You don't have to use just Uranium/Plutonium to power a reactor you know...

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
  18. Graft by Rob+Riggs · · Score: 2

    Politicians do not get enough kickbacks (I mean "campaign contributions") from the Basic Research crowd. Until this fundamental deficiency is addressed, the lack of public funding for basic research will not improve.

    --
    the growth in cynicism and rebellion has not been without cause
    1. Re:Graft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You're on the right track that it's the politicians' faults, but for the wrong reasons...

      Basic research may or may not pay off in a few decades. Subsidies for otherwise pointless things are something they can point to and campaign that they "got things done! Local jobs! Free money!". Basic evolutionary theory means there's no advantage to basic research in political theater, there is a disadvantage in the taxes required to pay for them, so politicians will tend to move away from that.

      And before you make a joke about politicians being low forms of life that couldn't possibly evolve... hey, pond scum evolves too, right?

    2. Re:Graft by drdrgivemethenews · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up please. It's cool to be cynical AND spot on.

    3. Re:Graft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mod parent down, but mod grandparent up.

    4. Re:Graft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm inclined to believe that it has more to do with voters not caring enough about research. Could you imagine an American president running on a platform of "let's fund basic research!" I sure can't. The best you can expect is single-issue things like cancer research. The world is built on mathematics, yet nothing any one mathematics researcher does today is very likely to impact the economy in his lifetime. In spite of that, somehow, their combined output over the last 2000 years has made civilization itself possible and without it we'd still be banging rocks together. That makes for a vital issue that is never the less a hard sell to voters.

    5. Re:Graft by craklyn · · Score: 1

      Why does a subsidy create more jobs than basic research? Is it because a subsidy only slightly covers the cost to produce a good and the purchaser pays the rest, while a basic research grant must cover 100% of the wages?

    6. Re:Graft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't, really. But it's a physical item they can point to and say "Look at what I've done. I've gotten us this shiny widget, which made jobs!".

      Basic research, they can only say, at best: "Hey! I funded jobs at the university that already existed, and got them some shiny new widgets!". That doesn't go over nearly as well...

  19. Re:It takes 20 years to get from R&D into prod by frdmfghtr · · Score: 2

    That's waaaay too late.

    Twenty years may be too late to get from R&D to product, but it's 20 years sooner than if you never make the effort. if you want to make progress towards your goal, you have to start towards that goal.

    --
    Government's idea of a balanced budget: take money from the right pocket to balance...oh who am I kidding?
  20. Silicon Valley vs. Washington by Jodka · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you put Bill Gates, Vinod Khosla, and Sergey Brin & Larry Page in a room together it would be a massive love fest; From statements each has made independently it appears they are in close agreement on the subject energy. Bill Gates states the issue well. Compare to interviews with Khosla on the subject of his investment strategy and the google.org REC initiative.

    People who gained wealth and fame by bringing improved technologies to market instinctively apply the same approach to energy. That is the Silicon Valley approach. In contrast, the energy policy emanating from Washington D.C. is a combination of vote buying using cash handouts to favored constituencies, e.g. corn ethanol subsidies, and using government coercion to extort cash payments from the public directly into the hands of the politicians, e.g. Al Gore's carbon offsets business.

    Genuinely greener technologies do not require government handouts. In fact, it is the opposite, they are cash cows for private investors. That is because efficiency is inherently and simultaneously more green and more profitable than inefficiency. The higher the ratio of outputs the more you get for less. That means spending less money on inputs and impacting the environment less by consuming fewer inputs in production per unit of output.

    --
    Ceci n'est pas une signature.
  21. Gates is right by PPH · · Score: 1

    Frightening, coming from the guy who brought us Windows.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  22. Traveling Wave Reactor by Scottingham · · Score: 5, Informative

    How is there not a single post on the actual nuclear technology he is researching and advocating for! C'mon nerds!

    Traveling wave reactors (google them) are projected to run without refueling for 60 years on what is 'waste' now and then become the storage facility for the next ~500 years until it fades into background rad. Oh, and they're made to be put in the ground like missile silos. Think of them as nuclear candles. Without having to refuel by hand and taking people out of the equation as much as possible the chances for error get reduced significantly. They also have large negative energy coefficients so a loss of coolant does not lead to a meltdown.

    After researching as much as possible into TWRs I'd say the current stage of developement is trying to get the exact alloy of uranium, burnable poisons (look these up too, they're sweet), etc just right to create a long lived sustained reaction. I'd imagine that such work is really heavy on the super computer time.

    I hope that these researchers have access to lots of money and super computer time. If only there was some tech billionaire funding them...

    1. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      Nice to see that he's aiming more long-term here. The reactor seems like a middleground between current nuclear reactors and the fusion dream, in terms of power generated / cost and maintenance. Would you say that's fair?

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    2. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      After researching as much as possible into TWRs I'd say the current stage of developement is trying to get the exact alloy of uranium, burnable poisons (look these up too, they're sweet), etc just right to create a long lived sustained reaction.

      IOW, its a stage comparable to much higher (than current) efficiency solar, nuclear fusion, and lots of other technologies where the theoretical groundwork has been laid but the engineering difficulties not worked out, and there is no basis for saying it is the "only solution" to anything, and it is especially dishonest to say it is the best future approach based on comparisons to existing alternatives with large scale deployment and not to other technologies that are in the same general state where the basic theory has been demonstrated but the engineering work necessary for viable, deployable solutions are still in progress.

    3. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by SteveMurphy · · Score: 1

      Thorium is far more abundant than uranium, it can't be used for weapons production and a Thorium reactor would produce almost no waste. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5LeM-Dyuk6g

    4. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by Scottingham · · Score: 1

      That's essentially true, but this beats out solar and wind on the grounds of power density. For nations with not a lot of land area available to devote to energy farming, these will come out on top. Just one of these reactors will likely put out 1-2 Gigawatts. Sustained. That's hundreds of acres equivalent for solar or wind, during ideal conditions only.

    5. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is there not a single post on the actual nuclear technology he is researching and advocating for! C'mon nerds!

      ....maybe because some work shown at a recent conference (ICAPP11) seems to prove the travelling wave reactor wont work (I'm not a neutronics expert so here's the link for you to judge for yourself)
      http://icapp.ans.org/icapp11/program/abstracts/11168.html

    6. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by grggls · · Score: 1

      By "taking people out of the equation" I assume you mean to imply these reactors will be fully secure, redundant, impervious to breach and compromise, and able to run for decades without human intervention, correct? In that case, Bill Gates is definitely the guy we want building them.

    7. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup, as soon as bitcoin mining becomes inefficient, we'll have vast numbers of networked GPUs do the necessary computations in no time :-)

    8. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> and then become the storage facility for the next ~500 years until it fades into background rad
      Bullshit.

      You dream that no byproducts are generated. This is physically impossible.

      Also, material properties cannot guarantee confinement after a strong neutron bombarding during 60 years. Physically impossible. Every material becomes brittle near a core after some years.

      Not to mention other "details", like cooling underground ....

      Simple utopy

    9. Re:Traveling Wave Reactor by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      That's essentially true, but this beats out solar and wind on the grounds of power density.

      So does thermonuclear power generation, which like travelling wave fission generators has the theoretical basics well-established but is still working out the engineering details for practical use in energy generation.

      So do lots of other things that you can't actually deploy right now.

      So pointing to this not-yet-usable form of nuclear fission generation as the "one true answer" to our energy needs is poppycock.

      Its one potential thing that might, if and when it is practically deployable, have some advantages in certain applications and environments.

      Or it might not, depending on what else is available when that happens.

      For nations with not a lot of land area available to devote to energy farming, these will come out on top.

      Or, buying energy from a regional grid will come out on top; just as for nations with not a lot of non-urbanized land for the more traditional kind of farming, buying food comes out on top.

  23. I held Gates in higher esteem before this remark . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I held Gates in higher esteem before this remark, although I didn't read the article. It is quite foolish to think nuclear energy is "feasible". People seem to forget one important fact. Who will attend to all the accruing atomic waste? This material is highly dangerous, for 10 thousand+++ years. Who will pay for it? Where will it be stored? Who will look after it? In modern energy cost calculations, storage of atomic waste etc is not included, that's the reason why everyone thinks it's the cheapest "engery", but infact it's a plain lie. To attend to nuclear waste will cost perhaps trillions?? in the long run .. I think ITER is quite the chance of true and new innovation, the energy of the sun is also the most efficient energy source one could wish for, man only needs to use it adequately. Didn't i read something like, the sun emit on a single day, energy which could sustain the energy needs of the entire world for an entire year? Anyway, I just think atomic energy is so 20th century, if anyone still advocates this model.. He should get his facts straight. Or be silent and not make the world listen and think it would depend on procedures that produce enormous amounts of highly dangerous waste products which are so far, unattended for..... These people don't even have a solution.

  24. Another Cow!! by alien9 · · Score: 0

    what a prick Myrvhold is, and Gates along with him. They want to extend their generic patents also on nukes to milk another fat cow...

  25. The trouble with nuclear by Animats · · Score: 2

    Nuclear energy, the short version.

    Pro: there's plenty of uranium and thorium.

    Con: every 20 years or so you have to evacuate an area 50km across on short notice.

    1. Re:The trouble with nuclear by hey · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Its not going to happen. *Perhaps* it is "better". But lets all agree that we should work on second best... whatever that is.

    2. Re:The trouble with nuclear by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      Solution to con:
      Don't keep old known-unsafe clunkers in operation. Problem solved.

      Chernobyl was a known-dangerous/known-unstable reactor design that traded away safety in order to achieve a dual-purpose goal (the ability to use the reactor for weapons materials production - while it was never used for such a purpose, its design allowed for this purpose and compromised safety in the process.). No similar reactors have ever been used for civilian power generation in the USA, and in fact the NRC explicitly bans construction of reactors with positive void coefficients. (It's one reason we don't have any CANDUs.)

      Fukushima was one of the oldest plants in operation prior to the disaster. It didn't have the 4 decades worth of safety design improvements that modern reactors have.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    3. Re:The trouble with nuclear by marnues · · Score: 1

      Nice hand-waving. Please implement in practice and then we can talk.

    4. Re:The trouble with nuclear by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      The nuclear industry would love to. But people fight the construction of new nuke plants tooth and nail.

      End result - old clunkers get service life extensions instead of decommisioning. You DO realize Fukushima Unit 1 was originally scheduled to be shutdown and begin decommissioning at the beginning of the month before the earthquake but received a service life extension?

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
  26. Fuck Bill Gates, and his opinions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Anyone with the profound lack of ethics which Bill Gates displayed time and again
    during his career is not a person I am going to listen to, because I cannot be certain
    that he is giving his opinion without a hidden agenda.

    Besides which, Bill Gates is NOT a trained engineer.

    So Bill, you need to shut the fuck up and stick to your philanthropic attempts at
    self-cleansing.

  27. Everybody's right and so am I. by Helpadingoatemybaby · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So to sum up this thread, and how Slashdot is broken in general. "Bill Gates is right!" "I agree." "You're right and I agree with you." "Everybody above is right and I agree with them." Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal), and is making money at it, it's important to notice that Slashdot's mod system says this can't be done.

    --

    The baby's fine -- please stop sending business cards.

    1. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydro is great, sure, but I don't think of a dam as a environmentally friendly structure. Also, Bonneville is only producing about 35% of the power in the region. Most of the power is still generated by coal and nuclear.

    2. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by demonbug · · Score: 2

      Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal), and is making money at it, it's important to notice that Slashdot's mod system says this can't be done.

      A couple of issues here. One, at least according to their 2010 financial statement BPA isn't making money (they do have a small operating profit, but not enough to cover interest payments - not to mention that their operating profit was slightly less than the amount they received in treasury credits, meaning their operations were not profitable without government subsidies even before debt payments).

      Second, BPA doesn't just use renewables - they also get power from a nuclear power plant, and several "other" power plants, presumably fossil fuel of some sort. Unless we've decided that nuclear is renewable, you can't say they get all their power from renewables even ignoring the "other" plants.

      Third, there is no (well, little) doubt that in certain areas renewable power is currently viable. Hydro power, which is largely the basis of BPA's power, is generally pretty cheap and reliable - assuming you have a lot of precipitation and some appropriate topography to work with. It works great in the Pacific Northwest and some other areas, but we have pretty much tapped this resource everywhere it is available (in the U.S., at least). I don't doubt that large-scale wind and solar can be profitable now or in the near future, but again - the areas you can deploy these technologies to the best advantage (i.e., profitably) are limited.

    3. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal), and is making money at it, it's important to notice that Slashdot's mod system says this can't be done.

      BPA is able to run at a "profit" because they were goverment funded during their startup years and for their capital needs during their expansion years. Now that they have low capital needs and largely only parasitic maintenance and management costs (I.E. essentially no major new construction) - it's easy to be "profitable".

    4. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to this, they use some coal and nuclear. I suppose they're doing a pretty good job of using hydro renewable from their stats, but it's not the 100% you're claiming:

      http://www.bpa.gov/corporate/about_BPA/Facts/FactDocs/BPA_Facts_2010.pdf

    5. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by bigpat · · Score: 1

      Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal), and is making money at it, it's important to notice that Slashdot's mod system says this can't be done.

      Of course you can do "it" with hydro-electric, because hydro provides a pretty steady base load from day to day. Even a drought will reduce hydro output over longer time periods measured in months versus the minutes and seconds which the variability of solar and wind output are measured.

      Solar and wind are the problem because day to day changes in the weather mean you have to store the energy someplace in order to provide the same base load which reduces efficiency and increases cost quite a bit.

      The Southwest US would probably be a good place to try and power a sizable populated area on its own isolated smartgrid primarily powered via solar and wind. But as long as it is connected to a grid which has a stable baseload primarily provided by another source, then solar and wind are freeloaders on other energy sources, which is fine as a supplemental energy supply or if you can live with greater variability in the availability of electricity.

    6. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alright, fine. I disagree with you!

    7. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who do they dependent upon for baseload? And what are you including as renewables? If you include any form of biofuel/biomass then you have to ask whether that fuel/mass is scalable(current general research suggests no) so you need something to fill that nitch at scale and the only options we have today is either nuclear or fossil fuels.

    8. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      BPA only provides about 35% of the energy used in the pacific northwest and all its energy is sold AT COST, so it does not make a profit. Its renewable energy is mostly based upon 31 hydro-electric dams along the Columbia river which took nearly 50 years and enormous amounts of capital (from the government) to build.

      There is very little room left for expansion of hydro power along the Columbia river. It is not a long-term feasible solution to energy needs, though it is *part* of a solution that includes nuclear energy.

    9. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      Great, a whole 70MW from all of Bonneville's stations in total, now if only there were about 1000 times as many dams all over the place, including in dry areas. You have clearly shown us the answer.

    10. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal), and is making money at it, it's important to notice that Slashdot's mod system says this can't be done.

      Strawman arguments are lies.

    11. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With subsidies, anything can be economical. You need to provide a link independent of the company themselves to show what you're talking about - I haven't found one.

    12. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, except that's not really true, the BPA has a nuclear plant (read, NON RENEWABLE) as one of its producers. Also it has 31 hydro electric dams on the columbia river system. I guess if we all had the Columbia River in our backyard, we wouldn't need alternative sources of power either.

    13. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bill Gates need to STFU. I'm amused that wealth is somehow an indicator of wisdom. Bill Gates is an expert on everything these days, despite the fact his intuition on even personal computing technology has never really that great. As for the NukeTard group think on slashdot, they're also a bunch of idiots who can be summed up thusly 1) Anything anti-nuclear is ELF sponsored hysteria and 2) Magical undeveloped reactor technologies of the future will solve our problems easily. Yeah nuclear is "cheap" when governments assume all the risk, development, and fuel production.. LoL, let us ask how many of these idiots are also PaulTards.

      Wind and solar (perhaps with illegal chinese subsidies) have lower LOCE than any new fossil fuel or nuclear power converter, except IGCC. Somehow this argument is neglected in favor of comparing them to the costs of a fully-depreciated 40 year old coal boiler/reactor. It's funny, really. Doesn't matter. Compare corporate investment in solar vs coal. Compare the 17GW 4 yr US solar pipeline to coal or nuclear. This shit will be moot in 2-3 years until we have to worry about widespread intermittentcy in about a decade (due to 20-35% renewables in many areas).

    14. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      30-something dams and a nuclear power plant == 100% renewable... gotcha, chief.

    15. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget being modded down for even the slightest hint at being critical to the prevalent dogmas of today, and all the scornful, degrading and outright illogical arguments to follow typical of most pseudoskeptics. Even grammar nazi is more constructive and innovative..

    16. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm reserving comment until I've heard what mdsolar has to say about the matter.

    17. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah,

      Bonneville is a unique situation. What's working for them will not work in Kansas or just about any other location in the US. They're exploiting a geological advantage that doesn't exist in most places.

      I'm no Bill Gates, and I actually do use a Mac. But my research suggests that Bill is right. It's not right for every location, but it's the best option available.

    18. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal)

      I've heard this mentioned on Slashdot before, but can't find a reference on their web site to back it up. Here's a fact sheet that indicates BPA is generating (on average) 28,161 MWe, of which:

      • 44.5% comes from hydroelectric dams (big surprise, it's the Pacific NW)
      • 19.1% comes from coal
      • 11.6% comes from combustion turbines (natural gas)
      • 9.6% comes from "cogeneration" (reclaimed heat at coal/gas plants?)
      • 3.7% comes from nuclear

      There are other sources listed, but wind/solar/etc aren't specifically called out. So yeah, at a glance it doesn't even look like they generate a majority of their power from renewables, let alone 100%.

    19. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wind power kills birds and hydro kills fish. And neither is feasible the whole USA over.

    20. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Helpadingoatemybaby · · Score: 1

      Yeah, first off, they're not using their nuclear plant because it was down for refueling. They're not using their coal plant because it wasn't needed because of all the renewable energy that they've got (150% of load, previously). Thirdly, they don't make a large profit because their profits are rebated back to their customers. Nuclear is dead in the long term because, not only is it unpopular, it simply isn't needed in the long run, no matter what Slashdot says.

      --

      The baby's fine -- please stop sending business cards.

    21. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The salmon would disagree...

    22. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal), and is making money at it, it's important to notice that Slashdot's mod system says this can't be done.

      You're right. The existence of one or two small power generation schemes completely proves that the world with all its different climate zones can switch to completely renewable power.

    23. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bonneville Power uses nuclear too. So yes, they are off fossil fuels, but no, I still agree with Bill Gates.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonneville_Power_Administration

    24. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The BPA exists to sell power from hydroelectric dams (including the largest Dam in the United States), so of course its 100% renewable

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonneville_Power_Administration

    25. Re:Everybody's right and so am I. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's because most people on Slashdot are nerds who live in their parents' basement and have never ever really had to pay for anything.

      My wife and I have bought an apartment in Germany and have been looking into the pros/cons of putting solar panels on the roof. From the calculations I've made so far on wattage, installation costs, the amount of sun we get here, etc., the panels should pay for themselves in 8 years. They have a rated lifespan of 30 years, so for 22 years we earn money for deciding to put panels on the roof. How is that "just not there yet" or "not economical"?

      Right now, most of the solar panel companies are having trouble surviving because the Chinese have gotten in on the market and are practically giving the panels away. The prices are constantly going down. Most people on this thread simply have no idea as to what is really going on in the world and are just spouting on here to watch themselves spout.

  28. Why why why by paiute · · Score: 0

    Why do people think Gates knows anything about anything?

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    1. Re:Why why why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Brilliant you think yourself. List of your accomplishments I see not. Criticize others when you a multi-billion dollar software empire have made.

      --Yoda

  29. Hydrogen? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All I have heard about are current conventional means of power. Nothing was said on Hydrogen. Solar has many R&D projects bringing its efficiency up beyond 60%. If we can use that in conjunction with hydrogen we could possibly solve the auto and home energy crisis. But then that would not be economical to the fat billionaires would it?

  30. stop being such goddamn wussies by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    SPSS -> cyclotron -> antimatter -> ??? -> profit^W energy!

    As a side-effect, you get a real big-boy space program and a fueling infrastructure for starships.
    Yeah, you're right, why invest in building the future when we can just hand our taxes to the bankers and military contractors.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  31. The Answer is Fusion Power! by rlp · · Score: 1

    But only if the question is: "What energy technology is only ten years away, and has been for the last thirty years?"

    --
    [Insert pithy quote here]
  32. Intellectual Ventures the Invention Group? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "There’s this company, TerraPower, which former Microsoft CTO Nathan Myrhvold and I have spun out of his invention group, Intellectual Ventures. We’ve got a new nuclear design, a generation four. On paper it’s quite amazing." link

    Has this ' invention group ` ever actually built a nuclear reacter or built anything else for that matter. So down the road we can see some third world country paying IV intellctual property licenses to build their own reactors.

    "The Reg wrote about just this Wednesday in conjunction with its TerraPower division's work on small-scale nuclear reactors. Those reactors may be small-scale, but IV certainly isn't. According to a 1,989-page report published by the "Strategic IP Counseling" group Avancept LLC in January of this year, IV has a patent portfolio that could include as many as 25,000 to 50,000 patents squirreled away in around 1,100 shell companies" link

  33. I think his comment on nuclear is beside the point by w1nt3rmute · · Score: 2

    The part of his comment that I think is most significant is his comment on energy strategy, at least in the US. Our long-term strategic energy policy makes no sense; government subsidies are going to the wrong technologies and partisan politics inhibit any real solutions. You may disagree on which tech is the right one - but everyone should agree with Gates that we have no viable current plans for the long-term energy needs of this country.

  34. One Monopoly begets another by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Excuse me, but gates is on crack.

    http://www.awea.org/learnabout/industry_stats/index.cfm

    There is no basic research needed, because wind power + storage (via compressed air, hydrogen production, and ammonia synthesis, and maybe even batteries) can easily provide the base load power requirements for the entire US. If you notice from those statistics, we putting in 5-10 GW of wind turbines a year in the US. Nuclear and Coal are the big IBM mainframes, and Wind Turbines are the small personal computers. Rooftop solar might be the equivalent of cell phones, but it's got quite a ways to go yet.

    I will believe he is serious about nuclear power when he will put his fortune behind underwriting nuclear contamination insurance policies.

  35. Bill the expert by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    640kW ought to be enough for anybody.

  36. Re:I can't believe the cred this asshole gets by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 1

    T. Boone "Swiftboater bank account" Pickens was pushing a...ahem...revolutionary new energy solution for this country that just so happened to rely on his vast natural gas holdings. I take any commentary from a vested representative with a grain of salt.

    --
    I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
  37. Economical. by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

    That is the most important thing.

    --
    Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
  38. Agree, but Bill is missing several points. by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    While its true that nuclear power is the only immediately scalable power source we have that can fill in for coal and gas powered electrical generation at anything like the current scale, there are a number of problems this doesn't even begin to solve.

    One of the biggest is transportation technology and battery technology. The energy crisis coming from oil depletion over the next few decades would be little more than an inconvenience if the world's transportation systems were run on electricity instead of petroleum. Right now, batteries still don't have enough energy density at a price point that makes them worth using. At the moment, we're dependent on oil for so much that even our coal and nuclear plants couldn't operate without it (Remember Fukashima's Diesel back-up generators?). Similarly, coal and nuclear fuel travel on oil, are mined using petroleum based machines, transported on diesel oil trains, and so on.

    So, in a nutshell, the problem is one of over dependence on ONE kind of fuel (i.e. oil) at the expense of all others for ONE service (i.e. transportation).

    Changing this configuration is distinctly non-trivial, and frankly, we as a civilization dependent on money, cheap and available oil, and a just-in-time supply chain may be out of time to fix it. At least not quickly enough to avoid having a goodish number of the world's inhabitants die of starvation.

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  39. Uh - Nuclear is Expensive Too by Vegan+Cyclist · · Score: 1

    I have to laugh whenever people react with 'solar/etc is not economic at this time'.

    Is nuclear free?

    It's freaking expensive. Plants cost billions. Mining costs tons.

    What's worse, they cannot be insured. Who foots the bill when accidents happens? The tax payer. Ask Japan how much money they 'saved' with Fukushima.

    When you add it up, nuclear is WAY more expensive.

    Further, spending on alternatives is an INVESTMENT. Spending on nuclear is a future burden, which will be decommissioned in the best case, and a toxic wasteland in the worst.

    Would love to see some intellectual honesty in this discussion.

  40. Wrong questions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem the world is facing right now isn't "how do we produce energy" but "how can we store energy for use later on".
    Traditional power generating methods rely on continual production/continual consumption models. Newer methods produce abundant energy but not predictably so the peak production time may be six hours off the peak usage time. What we need is a way to time-shift the energy and bring it on-line when we need it.

    First person to make a dependable multi-gigawatt capacitor gets the prize.

  41. I have to disagree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think the price being charged for energy is too low right now. There are many low cost gains to be had in energy efficiency. Home insulation is cheap. Solar water heaters have been developed for decades in foreign countries. Commercial buildings can use thermal energy storage, for cooling at night, when the air temperature is lower, and the electricity is cheaper.

    Some solar panels from the 1970s are still producing electricity. A small amount of solar panels on a rooftop require minimal maintenance, produce a steady supply of electricity, and add resale value to your home. Transmission and distribution would cost extra, but if the consumption of electricity is in the home, you don't have to bother with that extra infrastructure.

    For the important stuff, people are willing to pay electricity that costs several times as much, ie., the cost of electricity from wind power.

  42. Number comparisons by manekineko2 · · Score: 1

    You're right that "those numbers are supposed to be big and scary, but they add up to less than a tenth of a percent of the national landmass". That's because the limiting factor isn't really the land.

    When we're back to talking about absolute numbers (612,355,359.6 sqr meters x 3 is the figure thrown out earlier in the discussion), that as an eye-poppingly large order to cover with solar power generators.

    1. Re:Number comparisons by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      When electrifying the country was first suggested, would you have been amongst the "300.000 km of power lines is an eye-poppingly large number of lines to string"-crowd? Infrastructure projects for a whole country tend to be large by nature.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  43. Efficiency First! by MountainLogic · · Score: 1
    There is no more cost effective or greener KWH than the KWH you don't need to generate. We can meet all of our short term needs most cost effectively with efficiency improvements. McKinsey has a very detailed and compelling case for the cost effectiveness of efficiency. Think 1/2 cent for a KWH of avoided generation - try buying that in California. The big and small venture capital community has recently started to pour huge amounts of money into efficiency.

    Our needs are more subtle than the constant chanting of "base load" would suggest. Most of new generation (natural gas) is for peak demand and sit unused most of the time. Utility scale energy storage for both renewable and peak demand is advancing very quickly including compressed air and pumped hydro. Google has a detailed report on how in the mid-term renewables will beat all other fuels for the simple reason the fuel is free. (note efficiency typically costs $5/MWH while coal costs $29/MWH). Google is putting their wallet where there mouth is and has/is investing almost $1B into solar. Investing in nuclear power plants and research is not now and will never be cost effective.

    1. Re:Efficiency First! by unimacs · · Score: 1

      Not only efficiency but we need to deal with the other half of the equation, - consumption. For example, modern houses are more energy efficient than those built 30 years ago. The problem is that they're also a lot bigger, wiping out any savings gained from the efficiency.

      We need to take a hard look at how we live our lives. How many people drive 3 miles or less to work when they could easily ride a bike? Not only would they save energy but they'd be much healthier and save themselves some money in the process.

    2. Re:Efficiency First! by MountainLogic · · Score: 1
      unimacs, I agree with your sentiment, but this is such a "must not fail issue," we can't take just one tract. To your point about home sizes, as much as I agree with the virtues you point to, we need to accommodate varying wants and needs. Our building energy codes have a perverse incentive to use more energy. Heating plants size is regulated according to building size. The larger the home, the more energy you get to use. Go ahead and let people build McMansions, just make them build them so that they use no more energy than an efficient modest home. Outside walls might effectively go from 6 to 12 inches. It might also drive the market for super efficient HVAC systems.

      Another example are TVs. All the gains in efficiency of moving from CRT->PLASMA->LCD->LED (backlight) has been wiped out in the increase in panel size. EPA/DOE already has a perfectly functional standard in EnergyStar for most appliances. All we need to do is set the current EnergyStar standards as the minimum and ban the junk. We also need to set long term mandatory improvement curves in appliance efficiency. Give industry one year warning and then require aggressive increases in performance.

    3. Re:Efficiency First! by unimacs · · Score: 1

      I'm all for multiple tracks but I rarely hear people talk about consumption, only where the power should come from and sometimes efficiency. Yeah, in the short term we need new power sources but we will never solve the problem unless we attempt to curb the trends in consumption. Don't forget, we not only have an energy problem, we have an obesity epidemic. The two are related. People need to eat less and move more.

      How many folks really lead a happier and more fulfilling life because we now use leaf blowers instead of rakes?

    4. Re:Efficiency First! by unimacs · · Score: 1

      Oh and I forgot another point. We've made great strides in improving the efficiency of the automobile since the 70's, yet as a society we still consume more gasoline because we drive more than we did in the 70's. In a sense creating a more efficient gizmo is just pissing in the wind because we aren't dealing with the fundamental problem.

      Is having twice as many clothes as my counterpart in the 50's made me happier? I doubt it. Did my Dad miss out because he had to use a screw driver that he turned with his own hand as opposed to being driven by a motor? I suspect not.

      I work for an energy efficiency organization. One of the things that we're working on with the DOE is a rating for homes similar to what you see for appliances. Instead of getting a new appliance though, the idea is to make improvements to your home in order to get a better score. The rating is from 1 to 10. One issue is that you can probably only move up a couple of rating points no matter what you do. So there's talk of basing the initial score on housing type and size so that you can always get a high score if you make some improvements. This solution though masks energy hogs. In other words, the problem often isn't so much that a house needs more insulation, it's that it's 3 times as big as it needs to be.

    5. Re:Efficiency First! by Keith+Henson · · Score: 1

      "Investing in nuclear power plants and research is not now and will never be cost effective."

      Suppose (It's possible) that biological research made humans completely immune to the effects of radiation.

      Would that make nuclear power plants cost effective?

      --
      End MGM. Get prospective parents of boys to Google: Men do complain
    6. Re:Efficiency First! by MountainLogic · · Score: 1

      If you look at the Google.org study you see that on-shore wind is already at $73/MWh and base load geothermal at $78 vs. $78 for nuclear. As we have sen from the latest plant builds these high construction risk facilities are inclined to go way over cost and not come close to their $78 target. By comparison, new coal is $64/MWh. The Google study looks at what substantial research can do for cost over time. By 2050 they suggest that On shore wind will hit $29, solar PV $22, solar CSP (can be base load) $35, Geothermal (base load) $34 and Nuclear $34 /MWh.

  44. Big hydro is at its limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even though the Bonneville Power administration was running 100% with renewables already (without even using microhydro, solar thermal, or tidal), and is making money at it, it's important to notice that Slashdot's mod system says this can't be done.

    BPA relies on big dams ("Macro" hydro.). That's all well and good, but:

    1. There aren't many places where large-scale hydro is practical. Certainly not enough to supply our current energy neds
    1a. Most of those places in the US have already been dammed and are producing at capacity
    2. Building dams seriously screws up rivers, flooding upstream areas, destroying downstream ecosystems and building up silt.

    So no, Bonneville does not have the answer. They have a tiny, tiny, part of the answer, and there's not much that can be learned from it that hasn't already been learned.

  45. Electric heat? by erice · · Score: 1

    Is there no natural gas infrastructure in the UK? In the States (or at least the places that I have lived), people mostly heat with gas. It's still fossil fuel, of course, but it's a lot more efficient and cheaper than burning the same fuel to generate electricity and then using an electric heater. Our peak energy consumption is during summer, when the air conditioners run.

    1. Re:Electric heat? by mabhatter654 · · Score: 1

      to change power in the summer would require some massive changes in architecture from offices, to factories, to homes. Most structures in North America are build to be fairly sealed to withstand winters... rather than being well lit and open to create air flow during the summers. Of course many public buildings were built for the summer school break schedules making the problem even worse now that they have more usage.

  46. Wrong! by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 2

    There are plenty of people terrified of nuclear power

    There are plenty of people terrified of nuclear power executives, cutting corners on design, maintence, staffing, and most especially corrosion prevention and a scientifically valid and permanent EOL date.

    1. Re:Wrong! by nukenerd · · Score: 2

      I have been a nuclear power executive, and the principle equivalent of an "MoT tester" for certain UK nuclear power stations.

      I previously worked in the shipbuilding and railway industries (One of my resposibilities was to assess the margin against train de-railment). All three of these industries involve public safety on a large scale, but I was staggered when I first joined the nuclear industry (at a more junior level then) at the additional length and expense the nuclear industry goes to in the interests of safety - far beyond anything else I had ever seen, and far beyond most people's conception. In addition, I found that the guys working for the nuclear power industry were the best engineers and technicians I have come across in my career.

      I am speaking of the UK, and I also realise that being told these these facts (or anything else) does not mean that outsiders do not remain "terrified" of anything nuclear. Similarly, my grandmother was terrified of electricity - lived in one of the last houses in London to rely on gas lighting. Nothing on earth would have convinced her otherwise. Perhaps she was right - after all, quite a few people are electrocuted every year.

  47. Re:It takes 20 years to get from R&D into prod by dargaud · · Score: 1

    There's research being done right now on experimental nuclear reactors, it's not like we have to start from scratch. I write software for one of those (alone!). The problem is that we are underfunded (as always) and don't have any plans for going big: it's just research. With the will (and the dough) I'm certain an industrial version could be built within 20 years. Disclaimer: I only speak for myself, not my research group.

    --
    Non-Linux Penguins ?
  48. mod parent up by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    Bill knows even less about energy than computers.

  49. On one hand, Bill is right... by dcavanaugh · · Score: 1

    Everything he said about energy is spot-on. Although reasonable people may disagree, nuclear is the closest thing we have to an economical non-fossil source of energy. But the cost of safety is high, and the cost of failure is even higher.

    Ironically, Bill is the reason why people are skeptical about the safety of process automation software when in fact properly designed software will react more swiftly and reliably than humans. Any time there is a publicly disclosed problem with a nuke plant, the late night comedians respond with batch of Microsoft jokes.

  50. then we are doomed by stabiesoft · · Score: 1

    Eventually, (and granted it may be a very long time) we will run out of all of them. In the end we must get sufficient energy from the sun (or figure out how to make our own using fusion) or we are screwed. It may take a hundred or even a thousand more years, but eventually every drop of oil, gas, coal, & every fissionable piece of uranium will be spent. Given our ever increasing population/appetite for energy it may be sooner than anyone plans. So I think it might be wise to start really figuring out how to extract energy from the sun be it direct conversion, wind, hydro, ?. So if you are right, we are already overusing what mother earth/sun can give us.

  51. So you are buying oil futures then? by Kohath · · Score: 1

    So you are buying oil futures then? You know better than the people in the oil business that their prices are going to go up, don't you?

    If you are right, the obvious thing for the oil guys to do is leave their cheap oil in the ground and then sell it for 30x as much in 10 years, realizing a 3000% profit for doing nothing. I guess they must not want to make a profit. Or you are wrong.

    1. Re:So you are buying oil futures then? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      You're trying to imply that since I am not getting filthy rich buying oil futures (maybe I am, you don't know) that oil scarcity isn't an issue. However, the point you seem to be missing is the realization that oil cannot get too expensive (for extensive references on this, go back to the Oil Drum). At some point (probably just north of $100 / barrel, but that's debatable) demand drops off so trying to keep it in the ground only goes so far.

      You are also missing the concept that oil producers are pretty much running flat out now - not to gouge the market, but because they need the money. Saudi Arabia needs to crank out lots of Petrodollars to keep their population sedated. Russia needs the money NOW. And so does Alaska and everybody else.

      So oil (and coal and tar sands, etc) are not really amenable to just leaving them in place and waiting for the market to shower gold at you at some unspecified time in the future. Doesn't work that way. But fossil fuels are not being sold at replacement value because the economies that depend on FF can't take that number. What happens when the easy oil runs out - fairly soon if it hasn't already happened - is unclear but it doesn't look like roses and kisses to me.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:So you are buying oil futures then? by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Yes. I am trying to imply that. Peak Oil alarmism is silly. Future scarcity is reflected in the current price. People in the oil business know more about that future than pundits and alarmists. They buy and sell oil and pump it or leave it in the ground. They don't act in any way that suggests there's a reason to be concerned.

  52. Let's Join the Thorium Race! by cbarcus · · Score: 1

    Gates is right about the importance of nuclear, but our current technology sucks. Even the latest commercial designs leave much to be desired in terms of safety, flexibility, scalability, and efficiency.

    Gates is behind the Traveling Wave Reactor, but a lot of research would be necessary to get that idea working, and we need something sooner and more scalable.

    Thorium in a Molten Salt Reactor (Liquid Flouride Thorium Reactor- LFTR) should be our energy technology of choice. It has already been proven to be feasible (a prototype was built back in the 60s), and the research necessary to build a commercial version would be minimal. China is already pursuing this promising course, and we could join in the Thorium Race by pumping in say $10 billion or more (if we're serious) to take our society into a new era. Doing so would go a very long way towards solving many of the economic and social problems that currently have us deadlocked- so many things come down to the availability of energy.

    This is our Green Nuclear solution, and it would allow us to build the society that we dream about with abundant services for everyone, but not unless we reform our attitudes away from fossil fuels or trying to "farm" our energy, which has kept us pre-occupied for some 40 years. It's time to wake up and get moving!

    1. Re:Let's Join the Thorium Race! by Genda · · Score: 1

      This is exactly right. Thorium is abundant, has no ability to produce nuclear weapons (which by the way is the original reason the super powers avoided it), and is an incredibly clean relatively safe technology available this very moment. Helium cooled pebble bed reactors are also looking very promising. Inherently run-away proof. Easy to scale (from tiny reactors for neighborhoods to huge reactors for entire regions) they have the added benefit of binding the fuel in stable ceramics, allowing you to use them up almost completely, then store the waste safely afterwards.

      We unfortunately suffer the same stupid problems with greener and renewable technologies that have made fossil fuels such a problem. Intrenched moneyed interests keep rigging the game to line their pockets, as opposed to actually producing a solution to the problems we currently face. Case in point, the use of ethanol in the United States has degenerated into an economic, social and environmental disaster. The conversion of corn into fuel is brain damaged. It actually takes more carbon to produce that gallon of ethanol than you'll ever save by burning gasoline instead. The impact of corn to fuel on food availability and markets is itself a disaster. Finally, the entire thing becomes nothing more than one more exercise in corporate agro-business pumping our tax dollars into their pockets. Its not even a subtle form of financial rape. Its high time that governments (all too often bought and sold) should fund pure research (ie. not for profit) particularly in the area of producing energy that doesn't create greater problems than it solves. We now have nuclear technologies that can help us get to better and more environmentally sound technologies in 10-50 years. Pursuing this vigorously is the only sane avenue I can imagine under the current circumstances.

  53. Get a basic grasp of order-of-magnitude of effects by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    Of course everything we do has trade-offs, positives and negatives on the surrounding environment, and economically.

    But to compare for example the "messiness" of solar panel creation with the warming of the global climate by 4 to 7 degrees Celcius (that's 9 to 15 degrees Fahrenheit !) through continued fossil fuel use belies a lack of perspective on the relative scales and severities of these problems.

    We need that quantitative perspective to wade our way through these problems. We need rational solutions. Saying "everything is bad" does not help.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  54. what could possibly go wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    why is Bill Gates trying to saddle the entire planet with profligate pieces of shit whose fallout ordinary citizens will spend decades coping with and cleaning up?

    oh.

  55. Not in Canada by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    In Canada, the nuclear regulator wanted to keep a nuclear plant closed because it had not met the agreed safety requirements in its upgrade process.

    The Conservative government promptly fired the head of the nuclear regulatory agency and put in a patsy who would rubber-stamp the plant's
    ability to operate.

    Shortly after that the nuclear reactor had to be shutdown for 15 months for repairs.

    But of course reality (and nuclear safety) has a well known liberal bias.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  56. Real solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Think Matrix. Fat or sick people hooked up to systems using their body heat. Let them pay back society in a useful way.

    What? Too much like a sci-fi movie? Well....it works.

  57. Gates is a moron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What a breath taking ignorant moron Bill Gates is.

  58. "Rich people can do whatever they want" Bill Gates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    QFT

  59. Re:Get a basic grasp of order-of-magnitude of effe by Mitchell314 · · Score: 1

    Problem is that solar can't scale economically to meet global demand. The point is that no matter what we pick, it's going to have significant drawbacks. Assuming it's feasible in the first place. With our current proven technology, the only two heavy hitters that (I am aware of) can do for a long time that are coal and nuclear.

    Pick your poison. Cheers.

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    I read TFA and all I got was this lousy cookie
  60. Bonneville: peak hydro is just like peak oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem with hydro is the same as with oil - we have already used most of it. True, hydro, unlike oil, is "renewable", but available hydro power is limited - all the economic dam sites (mean flow*head/ construction and land cost) are already built. Saudi oil was great in it's day, hydro remains great, but in limited, if renewable, supply.

  61. Bill should tell Harper... Canada is selling Candu by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    The government of Canada, in its great wisdom are actually selling Atomic Energy of Canada Limited (AECL) the makers of its CANDU reactors.

    The Conservative Government is retarded.

    I bet they will get a great price so soon after the Japanese incident. It certainly makes logical sense to sell it now, particularly when Ontario has committed to building more nuclear.

    I am sure this will help us meet all those carbon targets that we never met, etc...

    What a douche.

  62. Two alternative ways to collect solar power by Keith+Henson · · Score: 1

    There are two ways I know of to collect dilute solar energy that might be economic, i.e., lower than the price of coal.

    First is over 40 years old, go into space and beam energy down as microwaves. .

    Zero gravity and no wind means the collecting structures can be far lighter than anything on earth. They are still way too expensive to haul up by current or projected developments in chemical rockets. The cost must come down by a factor of 200 for current rockets and a factor of 40 for the projected cost of the Falcon Heavy. $100 per kg is what's needed..

    That looks possible (at 500,000 tons per year) by using partly air breathing vehicles for the first stage and beamed energy (lasers) for the second. Details here: http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7898.

    The second way is to float the collectors at 20 km where you can avoid clouds and the cosine effect by pointing a 2 km parabolic reflector at the sun. This works as far north as Stockholm. You bring the energy down in a 50 meter diameter light pipe, convert to heat which can be efficiently stored at high temperature.

    Based on materials cost, the investment looks to be around $1.2 B/GW and the power cost between one and two cents per kWh. The storage system (35,000 cubic meters of firebrick) costs a tenth of a cent per kWh. I worked on this for a year and a half. We found no showstoppers, but the engineering detail got beyond what could be done with a small unpaid team. More here www.stratosolar.com

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    End MGM. Get prospective parents of boys to Google: Men do complain
  63. Re:Say what you will about MS by si618 · · Score: 1

    More basic research is needed but renewables will become economical on their own eventually.

    You mean like this: http://beyondzeroemissions.org/

    Just a pity our (Australian) economy depends so much on digging up coal and iron ore to send to China.

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    Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion