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Could PSTN Go Away By 2018?

An anonymous reader writes "If current rates hold, only 6% of the U.S. population will still be served by the public switched telephone network by the end of 2018. Tom Evslin reports that the 'Technical Advisory Council (TAC) to the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) recommended last week that the FCC set a date certain for the sunset of the PSTN rather than let the service fade slowly into oblivion as it is doing now.' Since doing 'nothing' isn't really possible, he suggests: (possibly) end(ing) the Universal Service Fund subsidies, ensuring PSTN-dependent services like E911 work on new technologies, and assuring that everyone who now has PSTN service has access to either a broadband or cellular communication alternative."

305 comments

  1. Well by sortius_nod · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As someone who's programmed PSTN, it's really not needed anymore. It's so inefficient it's not funny. Both ISDN & PSTN are so archaic now that there's no logical way to justify keeping these technologies going. It's why I don't understand opposition to the NBN here in Australia.

    1. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's one reason to keep PSTN - when the CO is 10 miles away and it's in a rural area that has lots of hills.

      Satellite - not possible due to terrain
      Wireless ethernet backhaul - need towers
      Cellphone - no service

      There's still a few people that cannot be served with new technologies without significant costs.
      Once, the phone company refused to install DSL, but the location was in-range (installer didn't wanna do it...).
      I had him install ISDN and he had to run an entirely new line :)
      Now it's set to 1.5Mbit service when the signal quality supports 3.0Mbit.
      They also refuse to increase the speed, even with offering to pay for a higher tier of service.

    2. Re:Well by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      Therefore no business depends on cell service as their only communication line.

      No but it's not either PSTN or cellphones, there's also VoIP as an option and businesses do rely on that.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    3. Re:Well by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      Larger businesses tend not to use POTS anymore, even for "landline" phones that present themselves as such. Certainly within a building, bigger companies are almost all on some kind of soft-PBX setup these days, not running copper wires to every desk. Increasingly they're doing the backlink with the phone company directly as some sort of VoIP as well.

    4. Re:Well by the_raptor · · Score: 2

      "At this time to plan the removal of POTS seems like a conspiracy to reduce options, to force people to spend money on equipment, and to increase monthly costs."

      What, rather then the tax payer giving massive subsidies for a service that less and less people use each year?

      POTS/PSTN is fading out of the mainstream, when that happens keeping it going for the few rural/paranoid/luddite users would be a huge drain on the public purse. POTS/PSTN is only cheap now because it was mostly paid for by taxpayers in the 60's - 80's. Likely the "last mile" PTSN stuff will still be there in some areas for another hundred years, but the local exchange will be hooked into a link like the Australian NBN.

      Complaining about the demise of PTSN is like complaining about the demise of the telegraph.

      --

      ========
      CINC, 4th Penguin Legion
    5. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And as the number of folks like you fall to near zero then the economics of extending service to you changes. When I have to do it for a 100 people it's alot more of an issue when I have to do it for one. At that point subsidizing the effort might make economic sense.

    6. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's why I don't understand opposition to the NBN here in Australia.

      Legacy Applications that use ISDN/PSTN (Mostly notably, Certified Alarm Systems). Also, VoIP has a bad rap down here because of the poor QoS handling. In my experience the consumer views VoIP as having poor voice quality and being unreliable but cheap.

    7. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It may be inefficient, but by God it works. I'd hate to see it go away in favor of something as dodgy as the internet. Imagine an internet storm that hits DDOS on key components, and suddenly grandma can't call 911 anymore.

    8. Re:Well by QuantumRiff · · Score: 1

      I'm 40,000 cable feet from the CO. I don't have a landline, but I needed to call some neighbors the other day, and they were clear as could be.. Quite impressive, that tech from the 70's.. Now if we could just get some decent, non-wireless internet out here in the sticks.. :( maybe someday..

      --

      What are we going to do tonight Brain?
    9. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My parents and everyone who lives around them do not have access to reliable cell phone service, or broadband internet. They pay $50 a month for satellite internet, which is barely better than dial-up. They also have frequent power outages -- and you know what? That telephone always, always works -- no need to worry about recharging, or signal, or any of that. Two pieces of copper -- what's wrong with that?

    10. Re:Well by sglewis100 · · Score: 1

      Larger businesses tend not to use POTS anymore, even for "landline" phones that present themselves as such. Certainly within a building, bigger companies are almost all on some kind of soft-PBX setup these days, not running copper wires to every desk. Increasingly they're doing the backlink with the phone company directly as some sort of VoIP as well.

      Just checked. My desk's VoIP phone still has a copper cable coming into the back of it. And it still connects to a switch that connects to a PBX that connects to a PRI (well... several actually) that pretty much puts me on the PSTN.

    11. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the parent is referencing NBN in Australia,
      the plan of the Australian government in to replace all or 97% or Australias PSTN with Fiber

      the opposition party is hell bent trying to convince the people
      Fibre is a white elephant and that the copper lines are good enough and wireless is superior to fibre and copper (PSTN)

    12. Re:Well by ultranova · · Score: 1

      It may be inefficient, but by God it works. I'd hate to see it go away in favor of something as dodgy as the internet. Imagine an internet storm that hits DDOS on key components, and suddenly grandma can't call 911 anymore.

      True enough. However, it's nothing that can't be solved through reserved capacity (if 911 calls or something else compete for bandwidth, 911 wins) - which is what switched lines are basically doing, the difference being that a packet-switched network can use the capacity for something else when it's not required by 911.

      The other problem - DDOS of 911 call centers - can't be solved easily. If enough people call 911 centers simultaneously, they get jammed. That's already a problem with current centers, and it's going to be worse if they can be reached from the Internet. I don't think we can do much but hope that the various shady online groups aren't willing to expand their activities to outright murder.

      In the future, however, it might be possible to man a virtual 911 center with an artificial intelligence, switching to an actual human only if required. Combine that with the oh-so-popular cloud service model, and especially its ability to bring more gear online very fast, and you could potentially have an extremely efficient and reliable service.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    13. Re:Well by Zeek40 · · Score: 1

      PSTN is useful during power outages. When hurricane Frances hit Florida in 2004, power was out in my town for about a week and a half. No power means the Cell towers were't working and the cable modem gets shut off. Since PSTN provides it's own power, most people that I know of keep a simple, dumb old corded telephone somewhere in their house for emergency communication during hurricanes.

    14. Re:Well by afidel · · Score: 1

      I was thinking the same thing, our PBX with hundreds of lines ties into the PSTN through a bunch of PRI cards, in fact we just upgraded it and added a few more PRI's on the recovery module (basically disaster recovery for the phone system) we'd be fairly pissed if the whole thing was shut down in only 7 years.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    15. Re:Well by ultranova · · Score: 1

      POTS/PSTN is fading out of the mainstream, when that happens keeping it going for the few rural/paranoid/luddite users would be a huge drain on the public purse. POTS/PSTN is only cheap now because it was mostly paid for by taxpayers in the 60's - 80's. Likely the "last mile" PTSN stuff will still be there in some areas for another hundred years, but the local exchange will be hooked into a link like the Australian NBN.

      So what's the problem? Do the end users actually care how the phone network sends their signals onward, as long as they can just hook their phone into it? And what does it really cost to support the option of an analog phone - it's nothing but a remote loudspeaker and microphone, after all?

      Complaining about the demise of PTSN is like complaining about the demise of the telegraph.

      Telegraphy is not dead. And why would it be? It's simple enough that pretty much anyone could hack together a sender or receiver. Heck, you can send telegraphs by banging together two exposed wires, and receive them through any means of detecting current. It's a perfect fit for developing areas.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    16. Re:Well by sortius_nod · · Score: 1

      Fibre kicks the shit out of ALL of the methods you've described.

    17. Re:Well by sortius_nod · · Score: 1

      It doesn't work, that's the problem. If it rains, the joins cause problems, if it's too dry after rain it causes problems.

      There's approx 10 different problems you can have with copper. With fibre, there's 1, cut cable.

    18. Re:Well by sortius_nod · · Score: 1

      Agreed, that's about the ONLY reason I can see for PSTN/ISDN to stay active at this stage. If you could offer battery-backup fibre voice receivers then that would fix this problem.

      As it stands, you can't deliver voltage via anything but copper.

    19. Re:Well by afidel · · Score: 1

      Uh, the cell towers can be provided with backup power just as easily as the CO, the FCC just needs to mandate it for all new installations after date X and that all existing towers without a proven obstacle to installation be retrofitted by date Y.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    20. Re:Well by MikePikeFL · · Score: 1

      I totally agree with this- I have been through hurricanes in FL, blizzards and ice storms in NH, even a tornado in CT- and the copper phone line always worked despite having no power or Internet for several days (well beyond UPS and the built in battery backups of many units). During emergencies the authorities override the cell system and you can't even use your mobile. I went to VOIP for one year before I cancelled it. The Internet goes out and you're done, and it was ridiculously unreliable even when the Internet was up!

      I have no cell service where I live, but I have a fempto cell that runs over my Internet connection. Sprint keeps trying to get me to drop my AT&T landline and switch to them since their fempto cell also supports a VOIP line. So _when_ the Internet or power goes out, I lose both my "landline" and my cell? No thanks!

      I will rue the day that my copper line is pried from my grasp! I'm not even hip on fiber optic because you need power to send light signals. I suppose maybe by 2018 we could have affordable Solar on everyone's rooftop- I'd just have to cut down a bunch of trees!

      --
      "Never underestimate the bandwidth of a station wagon full of tapes hurtling down the highway" -Andrew Tanenbaum
    21. Re:Well by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      Interesting; my office phone has cat5 coming out the back, which has been the case anywhere I've worked for a few years now.

    22. Re:Well by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      PSTN is useful during power outages. When hurricane Frances hit Florida in 2004, power was out in my town for about a week and a half. No power means the Cell towers were't working and the cable modem gets shut off. Since PSTN provides it's own power, most people that I know of keep a simple, dumb old corded telephone somewhere in their house for emergency communication during hurricanes.

      It isn't just a matter of power and towers...but somehow the exchanges for the cellphones went out during and the aftermath of Katrina.

      If you had a 504 area code cell phone..no matter where you were in the US, you could not generally receive a call for about a month or so. I found out from others that txt messages would work...and it was then that I learned about text msg and how to use it, until then...I'd only done voice.

      Of course, now that txt is much cheaper than it used to be...I use it all the time...but prior to Katrina, I had little need to use it.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    23. Re:Well by sglewis100 · · Score: 1

      Are you agreeing with me, or missing that CAT5 = copper?

    24. Re:Well by mcavic · · Score: 1

      Yes, but it's expensive to install out in the country where the population density is so low.

    25. Re:Well by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      I'd agree if we had universal broadband but we don't, not by a looooooong shot. Where my mom is is exactly 2 BLOCKS from where the cable and DSL ends. Gues how far they have advanced in 20 years since her house was built? Zero, nada, not an inch. The WISP out there is spotty at best, with several days a month with ZERO service and since they are in a valley half the time the cells won't pick up shit either.

      So if they would use the fund to pay for at least a basic 200Kb DSL line to all those like my mom, or at least get our 200 billion we gave the ISPs in the 90s for nationwide broadband (where all we got was the finger) and use that to make sure all the old folks like my mom can get a reliable service? ALL for it. But until then the alternatives are just too spotty and unreliable compared to POTS.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    26. Re:Well by Deadplant · · Score: 1

      Not needed?
      It is an independently powered comms system. It stays up when the power grid goes down, a literally life-saving feature.

      Also, the call quality, latency and reliability are still better than the alternatives.

    27. Re:Well by Deadplant · · Score: 1

      um well... I wouldn't say 'just as easily'.
      There are waaaay more cell towers than COs.
      You could put batteries on all of them but you can't roll a generator out to all of them when the power goes down and you have 6 hours of battery life.

      With the copper lines they have battery backup and can prep generator backup while the batteries run down.
      during the 'great power outage' a few years ago that shut down the north-east Canada/US power grid for days we had working telephones the entire time.

    28. Re:Well by Gerald · · Score: 1

      It hasn't stopped these guys.

    29. Re:Well by afidel · · Score: 1

      Most CO's already have generators, and for cell towers a 5 or 10kw generator is going to cost less than the monthly lease on the tower so it's not like it's undoable (though admittedly maintenance and fuel service for all the generators would be non-trivial).

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    30. Re:Well by Zeek40 · · Score: 1
      Yeah, you could do it, but it'd be WAY more expensive because each tower would need it's own generator, and it takes a lot more towers to cover to cover the same area that one POTS CO can cover. Each of those towers also consumes orders of magnitude more power to provide coverage a unit area than the POTS network takes due to the inefficient nature of omni-directional radio broadcast. Basically, in addition to backup generators, you'd need either a massive amount of on-site fuel storage if you wanted the generators to be able to run for more than a few hours, or a significant fuel distribution network (natural gas would be great, but the infrastructure just is'nt available everywhere you need it) and during Frances, you couldn't get diesel or gasoline any easier than you could get electricity.

      It's a technically simple problem, but a logistical nightmare during an emergency situation.

      It would take either a massive government subsidy to get it done, or your cell phone bill would skyrocket to cover the additional infrastructure costs.

    31. Re:Well by jenningsthecat · · Score: 1

      I could be wrong about this, but it seems to me that a POTS CO consumes a lot less power than would the cell sites required to handle the same volume of call traffic. Large urban cell sites, with several companies' equipment in place, can use 30 kW or more at peak times. Keeping that capacity going for a week or two without grid power will require a very large fuel tank, and/or an impressive array of batteries, and/or a Jesus-big solar panel, all of which are likely not compatible with a dense urban environment. Not to mention that everyone needs to find a way to keep his/her phone charged...

      I'll stick with PSTN, thanks. It has a proven track record, is pretty much immune to radio-frequency interference, is generally easier to patch back together when something goes wrong, and is more reliable by far than any of the existing alternatives. And I don't need any local power to use it - as long as the CO has power I have communications. Getting rid of PSTN, or failing to maintain it, would be a huge mistake

      --
      'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
    32. Re:Well by Zeek40 · · Score: 1

      Yeah you can, just combine fiber optics with a photo-voltaic cell. It'd be inefficent and a stupid waste of fiber, but it could be done :)

    33. Re:Well by ADRA · · Score: 1

      Copper is the analogy for Analog signal communications unless you want to move forward on your tie raid some more thanks?

      Working with a non-major telco / telco project directly related to this area, I think a 7 year sunset is absolutely untenable. There is so much time and money invested in to the physical switches themselves that companies aren't just going to up and throw them away because the gov wants a modern Telco network. Set a reasonable sunset to allow for the capital expenditures depreciate and have them buy into future-proof 'industry standard' technologies once they materialize.

      PS: PSTN is the back-haul lines that inter-connect all the telcos together and not the end user experience, so a switch to a new standard wouldn't be such a big deal if (once again the rub) if it wasn't for the cost of switching equipment that's currently in place and incompatible with said services.

      --
      Bye!
    34. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can tell you why PTSN is needed. Superior sound quality and superior reliability.

    35. Re:Well by QuantumRiff · · Score: 1

      I should have clarified. 40,000 feet from the CO, and no substations.. You can run that distance easy with fiber.. but at the other end, you have to have power for the equipment. Which means finding a power pole, running a line, adding a UPS, maintenance and batteries, etc. with copper, there is none of that, power is inline. That is a big cost when deploying fiber.

      --

      What are we going to do tonight Brain?
    36. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can tell you why PTSN is needed. Superior sound quality and superior reliability.

      No singing!

    37. Re:Well by chaered · · Score: 1

      Used to have ISDN in the 90s. Never found the same quality since (VOIP, cell, POTS). If something replaces PSTN, *please* add some virtual circuit service with guaranteed latency & bandwidth for voice. (Maybe stereo, this time.)

    38. Re:Well by skids · · Score: 1

      True enough. However, it's nothing that can't be solved through reserved capacity

      Actually the E911 problems run deeper than that. PSTN networks were designed when the industry took reliability seriously. Broadband systems not so much, and Gx services are well known to be completely unreliable in disaster situations.

      I wouldn't want to trust my life to whether or not my Comcast modem had decided to go belly up yet again.

    39. Re:Well by skids · · Score: 1

      No, there's also crimped fiber, which causes attenuation and can kill links or cause errors depending on the optical power budget of the link. This can be an issue when you get water intrusion into an enclosure in areas where the ambient temperature goes below 0C.

      Also there are various ways for contaminants and water vapor to make their way into patch joins, which is why splicing is preferred, but since it is much more expensive and time consuming than termination and patching, almost all points of demarcation use patches.

      Finally the fact that wave division multiplexing is so economical and easy for fiber means it's done more often, which means each strand is generally carrying a larger portion of services than in a copper network, and a mistake maintaining one of the services can in some conceivable (but rare) circumstances effect a much larger set of services.

      That said, still far superior to copper.

    40. Re:Well by Teancum · · Score: 1

      It took decades for the telephone companies to switch to PSTN in the first place. Remember before that network was put into place, they used full-time operators that made each telephone connection by hand with a manual telephone switch board. If I'm not mistaken, the last of those exchanges to get connected to PSTN with a direct-dial capability happened in the mid to late 1980's, at least in America.

      Why it should take any less time to perform the switch-over this time around?

    41. Re:Well by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      big cost when deploying fiber is adding a copper cable? I thought the high cost came from digging a path for it in the ground.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    42. Re:Well by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Many reasons to keep this "archaic" technology. First, it works great. Nice audio, far better audio than most state of the art digital "phones". Second, the infrastructure exists, it may be ugly but it's there and a replacement full-coverage infrastructure is non-existent. Third, the replacement technology currently is essentially bleeding edge technophile rich-people stuff.

      Nothing out there is even remotely as inexpensive as a land line phone or as easy to use. We don't have universal reliable coverage for mobile networks, mobile phones are very expensive, broadband is absolutely out of the question as a high priced luxury item. I can't even find a decent mobile phone for sale anymore that replaces my old one, they're 3G or smartphone crap, designed for apps and not for talking. Powered land lines may not be the best environmentally but they're far better than lithium in the landfill. Please people, leave your tight circle of hipster friends and take a look at how the real world works!

    43. Re:Well by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      That's because the old technology was legally mandated to service all customers (though it took some time), whereas the new tech is explicitly designed for only a fraction of the market. It's taken for granted that 5% of the market or more may be unreached.

    44. Re:Well by Dahan · · Score: 1

      I also had ISDN, and used it for both data and voice (had an actual ISDN handset for voice, rather than using an analog phone port on an ISDN terminal adapter), and I've found that VOIP matches or exceeds the quality. If you use an uncompressed codec (e.g., G.711), the quality is the same. And if you use a wideband codec (e.g., G.722), the quality is much better--instead of being bandlimited to 3.something kHz due to the 8k sampling rate, you get 7kHz or even 15kHz, which gets rid of the ubiquitous "telephone" quality that even ISDN has.

    45. Re:Well by Pseudonym · · Score: 1

      VoIP doesn't work when the power is out, which makes it less than useful in domestic emergency situations, such as fire.

      --
      sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f(q{sub f{($f)=@_;print"$f(q{$f});";}f});
    46. Re:Well by cthulhu11 · · Score: 1

      I was in a similar situation just a few years ago -- my place at the time was within DSL range of the local site, but Verizon refused into drop a mini DSLAMM into it. Comcast stopped a couple of miles away and wouldn't even return my calls to talk about extending to me. I ended up with ISDN again for a while since it was at least better than analog dialup, and satellite service is useless for interactive work. Later my employer sprung for a DS1, which required a couple of repeaters to be placed and quite a bit of prodding. Trees and terrain didn't allow use of the single wireless provider in the area without a 50' tower. Cell signals were scarce and flaky.

    47. Re:Well by cthulhu11 · · Score: 1

      Reading the site, the speeds available smell like DSL, and indeed DSL is mentioned in the price list, so I suspect that this is FTTN with DSL local loops. Notably PSTN service is required to order. I'm sure in their area given what's available the service is reasonable for the price, but when talking about FTTH without PSTN, it's not entirely relevant.

    48. Re:Well by SilverPDA · · Score: 1

      Some medical equipment used for home telemedicine require landlines. One such piece of equipment is used to monitor my pacemaker which has an acoustic coupler -- shades of 300 baud dial up. These devices use analog modems which don't work on VOIP or cellular connections.

      --
      Thank a veteran -- George
    49. Re:Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As someone who's programmed PSTN, it's really not needed anymore. It's so inefficient it's not funny. Both ISDN & PSTN are so archaic now that there's no logical way to justify keeping these technologies going. It's why I don't understand opposition to the NBN here in Australia.

      While PSTN might be dying in Australia, it's got a long way to go before we attend its wake here in the US. Broadband access is still a minority offering here as there are very large areas of the US that do not have the broadband infrastructure in place. Couple that with people who do not want or need broadband access and are simply happy with a reliable phone service. Cell and broadband communications are notoriously bad for outages when the power goes out. You do realize that landlines connect cell phone towers for the most part (a few have microwave transmitters)? I worked at a satellite communications provider as a system administrator and our backup connections, in case of power outage, were a bank of USR Courier modems connected to several landlines.

      If you want to talk archaic, the Internet is well over 40 years old now, so if that's the case, then why are we using the Internet? Just because something might be old doesn't mean that it's not reliable and that its had a lot of its inherent problems worked out. The phone system is well over 100 years old and it's held up pretty damn well for its age. I can't say the same for the cell networks and even broadband connections to the Internet.

      What's the saying? Oh yes. "If it ain't broke, don't fix it."

    50. Re:Well by unitron · · Score: 1

      As a resident of coastal NC, I heartily concur.

      They'll rip the BUG wire up out of our yard only after having to do severe violence to my person.

      --

      I see even classic Slashdot is now pretty much unusable on dial up anymore.

    51. Re:Well by Aqualung812 · · Score: 1

      Nice audio, far better audio than most state of the art digital "phones".

      You clearly have not used G.722 before.

      --
      Grammer Nazis - I mod you "troll" unless you actually add something on-topic. Yes, I know I have mispellings in my sig.
    52. Re:Well by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      And this is on "most" digital phones?

  2. No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Real business is done over loop start signaling

    1. Re:No by Kompressor · · Score: 1

      Real business is done over spark gap transmitter.

      That, or carrier pigeon.

      --
      kmem russian roulette: Aquillar> dd if=/dev/urandom of=/dev/kmem bs=1 count=1 seek=$RANDOM
  3. a comm. alternative by just_another_sean · · Score: 5, Insightful

    and assuring that everyone who now has PSTN service has access to either a broadband or cellular communication alternative.

    I'd rather they work on making sure we have multiple broadband and communication options. I don't like the words "a" and "or" being used here.

    Not that the PSTN was much better in that regard but here we have a chance to do it right.

    --
    Creationist Textbook Stickers Declared Unconstitutional by CowboyNeal
    1. Re:a comm. alternative by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      The copper is already strung up. Someone will find a use for it, and it will most certainly be digital communications of some kind.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    2. Re:a comm. alternative by Coisiche · · Score: 1

      The copper is already strung up. Someone will find a use for it

      In the UK that's often by grabbing any that's easily accessible and selling it for scrap. And not just unused wires either, railway signaling has been affected by this.

    3. Re:a comm. alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The copper is already strung up. Someone will find a use for it, and it will most certainly be digital communications of some kind.

      I'd guess that one of the main 'uses' for the copper lines will be by copper thieves taking it down and selling it:
      Companies strike at copper thieves
      At McClellan, copper thieves find something new to steal

      Since even removing a small section of phone line can result in an outage to a large area, I'd expect the copper PSTN system to be expensive to maintain as long as copper prices remain high. As the article points out, rural PSTN systems are currently subsidized (with the USF) because it already costs more to provide the service then they could reasonably charge the users. Continued high copper prices only exasperates the problem (with more thefts and with higher replacement price).

      I can foresee most rural copper-wire phone systems disappearing in a decade or two. Wireless is probably the easier option for most rural areas with a hybrid system to larger towns.

    4. Re:a comm. alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The copper is already strung up. Someone will find a use for it, and it will most certainly be digital communications of some kind.

      Sure, someone will figure out and sell it as scrap metal.

      That's true risk, if it's standing still there and not used. I live in Finland and about 15 years ago some russians came over the border eastern Finland and stole couple of kilometers railroad tracks which had not been used few years.

    5. Re:a comm. alternative by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      and assuring that everyone who now has PSTN service has access to either a broadband or cellular communication alternative.

      I'd rather they work on making sure we have multiple broadband and communication options. I don't like the words "a" and "or" being used here.

      Really, you'd rather they focus on you having multiple choices before everybody has at least one choice?

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    6. Re:a comm. alternative by just_another_sean · · Score: 1

      I don't see why they can't do both at the same time. I don't see a need for serialization in this case.

      --
      Creationist Textbook Stickers Declared Unconstitutional by CowboyNeal
  4. Re:Just try to switch it off by TeRanEX · · Score: 0

    goatse warning :/

  5. Re:Just try to switch it off by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Above Link NSFW... The picture was just wrong... wrong...

  6. The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but the copper to the end user is required for most broadband users. If PSTN goes who will be responsible for maintaining this.

    1. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Jimbookis · · Score: 1

      Hahaha suck it USAians. Here in Australia the GOVERNMENT has solved this problem and taken it upon itself to replace every single copper pair with gigabit capable fibre into most dwellings and businesses.

    2. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Chrisq · · Score: 1

      Hahaha suck it USAians. Here in Australia the GOVERNMENT has solved this problem and taken it upon itself to replace every single copper pair with gigabit capable fibre into most dwellings and businesses.

      Communist ;-)

    3. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And tries to filter it every time they think they can pass a law to do so. Or just coerce private companies into doing it for them,

    4. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Teancum · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First of all, we are AMERICANS over here, but that aside...

      We are also talking an infrastructure that had at one point a 99% penetration into the homes in America for a population that is about 15x the size of the country your are talking about too. Some of this infrastructure goes back to before World War I and is still in use. The sheer magnitude of what you are suggesting here is akin to rebuilding the entire interstate highway system.

      Yeah, a concentrated and coordinated rebuilding effort could happen, but the price of copper on the world market alone would substantially suffer from such an overhaul of the communications system.

    5. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What Teancum said, and also should we be using so much resources on technology that we think is good right now but is obsolete by the time we finish setting up the new infrastructure? It would take an insanely long time to do this, a lot of money, and there are more important things to budget for than faster internet access. We're doing fine as it is right now with speed.

    6. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Jimbookis · · Score: 1

      Sure. That's exactly what's started to happen here - the olde phone networke is being put out of action and replaced entirely. The NBN as it's called is already being rolled out. All the copper pairs are being decommissioned and replaced with fibre to the premises. In relation to this article the magic box they supply to the dwelling sports an ethernet port and a phone port so you can still plug in your existing analogue telephone and keep your existing phone number. So really, the PSTN is staying, it's just being replaced by fibre.

    7. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by aekafan · · Score: 1

      I do not understand why some Australians are so happy with the NBN. From articles on /. and elsewhere, I would say that what it does best is give the government the ability to dictate where you can go on the web, and track where you have been. I would rather have no internet at all than one like that.

    8. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by yodleboy · · Score: 2

      That's nice. The GOVERNMENT is also filtering everything that comes through that fiber and is only concentrating on kiddie porn at the moment because it's easy to get buy in. It won't stop there, their original filtering plans were much broader in scope and they will slip it in a bit at a time.

      Enjoy your new Great Firewall, or maybe it's the Great Barrier Filter in your case. SO FAR we have none of these shenanigans in the U.S. (not for lack of groups that would love to see it though.)

    9. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by klingens · · Score: 1

      And now tell me how this is different to the NSA having special rooms in AT&T buildings. For what exactly?

    10. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      USAians? Really?

    11. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by aekafan · · Score: 2

      They can listen to our phone calls (and i am very uncomfortable with that), but they don't dictate what we can and can't see on the web. Yet, admittedly. Plus I firmly believe that the NSA should be wholly done away with. Don't get me wrong, neither side is good, its just that i find a national firewall unconscionable.

    12. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Seriously, you people need to come up with a more representative adjective than "Americans"...which also applies to canadians, mexicans, colombians, argentinians, chileans, brazilians, venezuelans, peruvians, haitians, cubans (there, I said it) and so many many more...

      This again? No, "American" only refers to people in the US of A. People who live in other countries have their own demonyms, which you've used above.

      Yeah, technically you could use continent-wide demonyms. But nobody does it in practice, because it's stupid. The ones using terms like "Europeans", "Asians", "Africans", "Orientals" are ignorant fools and I guarantee you that if you keep doing it you will meet some resentment eventually. The continents are too large and there are too many countries, cultures and ethnic groups for single demonyms to make sense.

      Australia is somewhat of an exception, but even there you can fuck it up if you call a Kiwi or an Aborigine "Australian". Hell, call an actual Aussie "Australian" and you'll still be sneered at.

    13. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ..and then proceeded to ban pretty much everything on the internet that's fun.

      Fuck AusFAILia.

    14. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by zach_the_lizard · · Score: 2

      In English, America and American almost always refer to the people of the United States of America. Sure, if you speak Spanish, call us USians (estadounidense), but only in Spanish (or any other language that uses the same convention). If you call us USians, you also run into the whole "which United States" problem. Do you refer to the USA or United States of Mexico?

      --
      SSC
    15. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Teancum · · Score: 1

      America is the name of the country, and the continent. I would have thought that somebody from Australia would have understood that concept.

      I sort of hate how some bigotry gets into the languages south of the border, Spanish and Portuguese in particular where in Portuguese those who live in the USA are called "North Americans" (Norte Americanos).... a term I usually fought against on a semi-polite fashion when I lived in Brazil. The term is not accurate at all and neither is "estadounidense". The proper term in Spanish (and Portuguese) would be "Americanos", in reference to the name of the country, America.

      That there might be other countries on that continent, perhaps, but that is the name of my country. If it were a communist country, it would be "The People's Republic of America" or the "American Soviet Socialist Republic".

      That it might reflect a sort of "manifest destiny" on the part of those who started the country, perhaps, but that is the name of my country. Those who use the term "USian" simply don't have a clue about the language they are using (English) or what this country's name actually is.

      Yeah, I knew I was stirring up a fight by mentioning that, but it still ticks me off every time I see somebody using that term. Then again, the use of the term "USian" also shows the bigotry and hatred of my country that the writer has, and thus an automatic contempt already towards anything I might add to the conversation. I suppose it is a good marker for who is a troll, and sometimes I like to slay trolls for fun.

    16. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      The proper term in Spanish (and Portuguese) would be "Americanos",

      I thought it was "gringos".

    17. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wishing 'No Such Agency' away is not going to make it go away, guy. Sorry. We're stuck with a government that thinks it's okay to do warrantless wiretapping and has had precedent to do it, and a collusive industry that's been made immune to persecution.

      Also... how's Net Neutrality holding up in Congress?

    18. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fiber != PSTN

    19. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by omnichad · · Score: 1

      PSTN isn't a wire.

    20. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Nobody. The copper will be pulled out and sold for scrap. And if you aren't really careful, the roving gangs of copper thieves will beat you to it and sell your copper even before the service ends.

      Goodbye DSL. It will not exist any longer. And no, the government isn't going to decide to spend billions on putting fiber in to every home. Verizon is already doing it and Qwest is getting started. Unfortunately, they might stop or really slow down if there is no more revenue from landline service.

    21. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by ADRA · · Score: 1

      PON (Passive Optical Network) is being rolled out here (in Canada) very slowly for new sub-divisions and a few niche clientèle, but its a far far journey to replace millions existing installations with fibre solutions that still today end up being terminated KM down the road at central offices. At least PON has the advantage that:
      1. It can mux at least a few customers along a single fibre
      2. Its purely passive, so there's no need to actually power the mux/demux in the field

      I think the ultimate solution will hopefully be something like in-field fibre DLC's with 'cables' of fibre strands being fed back to the CO's

      --
      Bye!
    22. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by alexo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      --> First of all, we are AMERICANS over here, but that aside...

      By "here" you mean that whole continent outside the borders of the US too?

      Nope. If you want to refer to the population of a continent, you use "North Americans" or "South Americans" (or even "Central Americans"). There is too little in common among the residents of the whole American continent to justify a common term. Similarly, you don't refer to the residents of the largest landmass on Earth as "Afro-Eurasians" and even the term "Eurasians" has a different meaning from what you'd assume.

      Seriously, you people need to come up with a more representative adjective than "Americans"...which also applies to canadians, mexicans, colombians, argentinians, chileans, brazilians, venezuelans, peruvians, haitians, cubans (there, I said it) and so many many more...

      I am, among other things, a Canadian and have yet to meet a single Canadian that refers to himself (or herself) as "American". I am willing to bet that all those other nationalities, that you are so eager to speak on behalf of, do not classify themselves as "Americans" either, nor do they, as a rule, have anything against Americans "co-opting" the term.

      I like this USAians.... going to use it until you come up with a good replacement.

      They did, you just chose to ignore it, which says more about yourself than about them.

      It is generally accepted to use the demonym that a group chooses for themselves. After all, how would you feel if people ignored your given name and decided to use the arguably more descriptive "Ignorant Douche" instead?

    23. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Goodbye DSL. It will not exist any longer. And no, the government isn't going to decide to spend billions on putting fiber in to every home. Verizon is already doing it and Qwest is getting started.

      And Google.

      Unfortunately, they might stop or really slow down if there is no more revenue from landline service.

      Wait, so if the government announces a multiyear plan which would remove Verizon's ability to earn revenue through one kind of service, you think they would work less hard at making a new services which could replace that soon-to-be-defunct service? Especially when part of the policy proposed for phasing out the existing service is to provide subsidies for the expansion of exactly the class of service that Verizon was already rolling out?

      Its possible, of course, but I don't see the logic in expecting that behavior.

    24. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Teancum · · Score: 1

      And the folks who call us that are "spics" or "wetbacks". What is your point?

    25. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by iCEBaLM · · Score: 1

      American moderators just made my point about ego for me. :)

    26. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by jon3k · · Score: 1

      Seriously, you people need to come up with a more representative adjective than "Americans"...which also applies to canadians, mexicans, colombians, argentinians, chileans, brazilians, venezuelans, peruvians, haitians, cubans (there, I said it) and so many many more...

      No, you just need a better understanding of geography: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Americas

    27. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by RajivSLK · · Score: 1

      I am also Canadian, and I vividly remember my grade 8 Spanish teacher (of Argentinian origin) giving us a 15 minute lecture about the term "American" being used incorrectly to describe USians. As far as she was concerned she was American and was visibly upset about it. So yes it does bother some people.

    28. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by baileydau · · Score: 1

      I do not understand why some Australians are so happy with the NBN. From articles on /. and elsewhere, I would say that what it does best is give the government the ability to dictate where you can go on the web, and track where you have been. I would rather have no internet at all than one like that.

      You do realise that NBN Co is only offering a Layer 2 service. It's the ISP (now RSP) that offers the higher level services. I realise you*could* do some deep packet inspection stuff from their end, but as I understand it, it would not be at all practical at this scale.

      Now if you tinfoil hat is wound on so tight you are too scared of the NBN to use it, what do you use for your connectivity now? A Telstra copper connection (weather it is from them or another ISP), just like the vast majority of Australians do now? How is that different to the vast majority of people going over the NBN infrastructure?

      --
      Ever stop to think ... and forget to start again?
    29. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by BrokenHalo · · Score: 1

      America is the name of the country...

      I read somewhere that they originally named it after Amerigo Vespucci, but after a while they got sick of calling it Vespuccia. ;-)

    30. Re:The actual PSTN might not be needed . . . but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In US English ...

      FTFY

  7. confused by s122604 · · Score: 1

    Freely admit I don't understand most of this, but, doesn't mobile phone traffic (once it gets to a tower that is) get transferred to the PSTN?

    1. Re:confused by CoolGopher · · Score: 1

      Nah, it typically gets put onto ATM links for the back-haul. It only breaks out onto the PSTN if the destination is a land line.

    2. Re:confused by hitmark · · Score: 1

      If the PSTN network is up to snuff, the conversation likely stays ATM up to the nearest PSTN "switch" for the landline customer.

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    3. Re:confused by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not quite. Any call that is between two companies traverses the PSTN.

      Verizon User calls AT&T user? It transverses the PSTN. A VOIP subscriber calls a cellphone user? Yep, traverses the PSTN.

      There is a lot more of the PSTN that just the copper that comes out of the wall.

    4. Re:confused by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, it typically gets put onto ATM links for the back-haul. It only breaks out onto the PSTN if the destination is a land line.

      Ah, so that's where my money goes. Always wondered about that.

  8. What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Here's a potentially stupid question.

    My family's gone cellular; we only have a landline for DSL. Last night we had a power outage in my part of Philadelphia. Not too bad, perhaps 20 minutes or so, but the outage apparently also took out the cell my phone connects to. As I recall, the PSTN works even if the rest of the grid is down. So what happens if, during an outage that also eliminates cellular connectivity, someone has, say, a medical emergency? With wireline redundancy on a separate system, I can call 911 and get an ambulance to my location in a hurry. Without it, I'm SOL.

    The question, therefore, is: How do we mitigate the risk that some related service interruption leaves us completely disconnected at a moment of crisis?

    1. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by cvtan · · Score: 1

      I seems to me that cell service goes down in times of crisis. Major power outages, 9/11 etc.

      --
      Sorry, but gray text on gray background is making my eyes bleed.
    2. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by turkeyfeathers · · Score: 1

      Obvious: don't have a crisis when the power is out.

    3. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by ledow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Let's now be silly here. PSTN operates on a separate grid + backup power basis so that it works even in the case of a (normal) power cut. There's no reason that cellular or broadband networks can't be required to do the same and/or don't already do that.

      I've never experienced a cellular "outage" except through something other than simple power - i.e. oversubscribed networks, busy periods (e.g. New Year Eve), or just plain stupidity of someone changing settings they shouldn't. So there's nothing to say that the cellular network isn't already backed in terms of additional / temporary / emergency power.

      It's like saying what would have happened during a PSTN outage even if the normal grid wasn't affected? Same problem, and would have happened just as often (PSTN networks aren't somehow infallible, and sometimes HAVE to be shutdown for safety reasons if they are still supplying power to places that could be dangerous - e.g. fires, gas leaks, etc.). All that happens is that instead of PSTN you use cellular, or broadband (which is still essentially running on the same PSTN copper/street cabinets/exchanges).

      The only "problem" is that cellular isn't a guaranteed service in that it could be up and running but far too busy to let you call rather than, say, the emergency services. Although they have a QoS for such emergency services, you won't necessarily be able to get signal in an emergency purely because of the sheer number of people near you trying to do the same. But broadband? That's a different matter.

      PSTN was just "a" network. What did you do before you had cellular and there was an accident? You relied on PSTN or "something else" (i.e. your neighbours PSTN, or CB radio, or whatever). Now you just shift your expectations and use other methods.

      To be honest, in an urban environment, I've never had quite so many completely independent ways of contacting people in an emergency. The loss of one, albeit one of the most reliable, is hardly a loss at all in terms of safety. There are at least three different methods of Internet connection available to me just sitting at home - cable internet, phone-line-based internet (e.g. ADSL, etc.) and 3G internet. They are all more-or-less independent of each other so if the 3G goes down, SOMETHING else will work and if the ADSL goes down, I can always hook up a 3G dongle (on any of 5 major networks that all run seperate infrastructure and frequencies).

      If I was out in the sticks, I'd be slightly more worried but your basic landline phone isn't going away - it's just changing its underlying technology. There's still plenty of options open to anyone that needs them. It's not like it's the 40's anymore where the next phone is several miles away and you have no other backups at all.

    4. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      It'd be interesting to known what percentage of people even with landline phones already have this problem, given the prevalence of cordless phones. When the power's out, the only thing that works is an old-fashioned phone with a cord directly plugged into the wall.

    5. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by KDR_11k · · Score: 1

      Make sure your telephone can run off the line power, we've got a DECT phone and I think the base station requires a separate power supply so in case of a power outage the phones would stop working.

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    6. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by WillAdams · · Score: 1

      That is exactly why I insisted on keeping a separate copper line for my home telephone when Verizon came and hooked up FIOS. I know, the fiber-network phone comes w/ a battery backup, but I don't want my 911 service dependent on whether or no a battery is in good condition and charged.

      The other consideration is that I don't want my doctor, plumber, dentist, lawyer, HVAC contractor, &c. to be able to disturb me when I'm not at home, so they get the home #.

      --
      Sphinx of black quartz, judge my vow.
    7. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Teancum · · Score: 2

      I think this is a valid point. Quite often the PSTN is the one utility that I can count on functioning even when other utilities (particularly the electrical grid) is shut down. This isn't to say that the telephone network has no interruptions, but the "uptime" is usually of such quality that it sets the standard in my opinion for what ought to be expected from utilities in general. Even cable television service has more outages. That isn't accidental too.

      Then again, I still have a landline which I still use on a fairly regular basis. My family also helped to install that network, at least in America, where both my father and by grandfather were former employees of the old Bell System companies. I'm having a hard time imaging what life would be like without it.

    8. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      TL;DR

      The POTS system has had a hundred years of experience to work out issues like redundant power supplies. Cellular networks haven't. So POTS often works when cell doesn't; the reverse is almost never true.

      In another seventy years, this will probably not be the case.

    9. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by s122604 · · Score: 2

      Let's now be silly here. PSTN operates on a separate grid + backup power basis so that it works even in the case of a (normal) power cut. There's no reason that cellular or broadband networks can't be required to do the same and/or don't already do that..

      yes and no, yes, technically you are right (although my guess is cell tower transmitters would require a lot more battery power than the POTS network)

      but no, that kickass reliability was engineered into the landline network back when AT&T was a very fat and happy, and heavily regulated, monopoly.

      The mobile network providers have to constantly think about undercutting competitors while delivering maximum shareholder value. Also a big difference between then and now; politicians who express belief in the concept of government regulation can expect to be accused of being a follower of Pol Pot by Fox news and their sycophantic viewers..

    10. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by DrgnDancer · · Score: 1

      That seems odd. When the power went out to Northern Alabama for nearly a week in April it took almost 24 hours for the cell towers to start dying. They have pretty substantial battery backups. Within 12 hours or so of the towers starting to die, someone from AT&T seemed to realize that the power wasn't coming back anytime soon; and they either set up a battery rotation schedule or put generators on the towers. All in all the system was only really dead for about 12-14 hours of the week long outage. I used my car to keep my phone running and had internet/phone service for almost the whole experience. Honestly I don't think POTS would have been much better. My Vonage phone on the other hand was completely useless. I was awful glad I had my cell.

      That's the bigger issue in my opinion. Cell phones are fairly reliable in power outages. Not quite as good as POTS, but fairly reliable. VOIP solutions on the other hand very quickly become useless. If you take POTS away from people who live outside of cell range (not hard to do in the mountains northeast of here) they need something at least as reliable as cellular. Making sure everyone has access to broadband is all well and good, but VOIP solutions, even with a battery backup, aren't as reliable as cell systems in a power outage, let alone as reliable as POTS.

      --
      I don't need a million points of light, just two points of multi-mode fiber and a 10 Gig-E router.
    11. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ever been to Austin during SXSW? A couple years back, you could not make a call on networks there during the festival.

      Had there been an emergency, you would have had to go searching for a pay phone, or perhaps someone nearby who actually had a POTS line.

      Cellular networks are relatively delicate. All our cell networks have been designed during a relatively quiet time of sun activity. A good solar flare can do serious damage, if not cook a good chunk of our wireless networks if it hits in the right spot.

    12. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, you couldn't make a voice call during the festival. But did you try to make an emergency call, instead of an ordinary voice call? Your phone and the basestation both know the difference, and emergency calls outrank voice calls for admission control, power control, interference budgets and so on.

    13. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that's why we still have two of them sitting around the house. One near the NID when I need to verify whether a line problem is inside or outside the house, and one on an upper floor for when the power's out.

    14. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      I live where there is hurricains. We keep an old style phone just for that issue. You can get them for about $10. It is very nice to have.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    15. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      During our last hurricane we lost cell service in 18 hours stayed down for 5 days. Power went out for a week, Phone service never went down. Cable TV.......

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    16. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Zeek40 · · Score: 1

      It's not the case yet though, and good luck getting any kind of "make big businesses worry about the consumer" legislation passed in the current US political climate. When my town was hit by hurricane Frances in 2004, power was out for a week and a half, and the only way to communicate was using an old corded telephone on a POTS line. The cell towers were all unpowered, as were the cablemodems. I haven't done the math, but I have a feeling that it takes a lot more power to cover a given area with cell signal than to keep the POTS system running over the same coverage area, just because broadcasting omni-directional radio signals is inherently less efficient than direct-line communication.

    17. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Ksevio · · Score: 1

      PSTN only keeps working because it has backup power systems in place. Put equivalent ones for the cell tower and it's just as good.

    18. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love your logic. "It's always worked for ME, therefore it's 100% reliable all the time for everyone!"

      In my rural area, the lone cell tower has gone out on me multiple times before, even during perfect and beautiful weather, day and night. When it goes out, that's it, no more cell service until it's restored. No "other towers" to fall back on. Just reliable POTS.

      They recently installed a second cell tower. What they don't tell you is that it's a wireless link back to the first one and all calls are routed through it. So if the first one goes out, so does the second one.

    19. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by jdoverholt · · Score: 1

      Funny thing about redundant power supplies: that technology transfers. It's not that cell tower operators haven't figured it out, it's that they do/might not do it because that costs extra and so far they can get away without. If PSTN goes away, that regulatory requirement will almost surely be applied to the tower ops.

    20. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      There have been times when I've been to major events that I can't even get a connection to the network at all. I'm not talking just being able to place a call but to even get my cell phone to be recognized at all as being on the network. How is it possible to place even an emergency phone call when that happens?

      There may be a ranking system for emergency calls, but it isn't foolproof and can be a bit of a bind when the cell is overloaded with too many customers. At least with POTS you knew which phones would actually work, even if you had to wait in line in order to get access to them.

    21. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by compro01 · · Score: 1

      24 hours? Hah! The POTS system here will go for at least 48 hours (48 hours assumes 90% network load) on just the batteries, then they have a big damn diesel generator to backstop that, with enough fuel for 2 weeks. And this is all automatic, no human intervention required.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    22. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Jimmy+King · · Score: 1

      Things like this are why I still have a landline and don't want to see them go away. Even if my cell tower is up, what happens when the battery on my cell phone dies and the power is out (yeah, yeah, plug it into the car)? With a proper landline I can grab the old school, fully cabled up phone which doesn't need a separate power supply that I keep around and plug it in and, probably, still make phone calls.

      Obviously the landline "could" be out as well, but my understanding is that they had much more go into designing them to stay up and working as much as possible and my experience is definitely that my landline is more reliable than any other service I pay for. I can assure you my internet connection (which also needs power) doesn't have that and I have my doubts about my cell service (which again needs power anyway).

      Then of course there's the cost. I can talk to local friends and family on my landline for hours and hours every day if I really want to (not that I do, but we have had times where we needed to) for a whole lot cheaper than I can do the same on my cell phone.

    23. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Get a ham radio license.

    24. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you got in a car wreck 20 years ago, likely you or someone else would have to walk a considerable distance to find a pay phone. Nowadays you have a phone on your person at all times. In the event that your phone or the network it's on is down, chances are there's someone else around with a working phone on a network with a separate infrastructure.

    25. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Back around 1988, the telephone central office in Hinsdale, Illinois was destroyed by fire. In addition to disabling phone service, air traffic was disrupted nationwide because the communication lines between O'Hare Airport, Midway Airport, and the Regional Air Traffic Control Center went through that CO. And this was long before cell phones became common, so many individuals and organizations in the Chicago suburbs had no phone service whatsoever.

      The solution for emergencies was to place fire trucks, ambulances, and police cars at major intersections. Anyone with an emergency went to the nearest intersection, and if the right emergency vehicle wasn't there, they could use their radio to summon the right responders.

      It wasn't fun, but it wasn't the end of the world either. Simple solution for an extremely rare problem.

      By the way, back then it usually took a year to install a new CO switch. But they got it done in about 3 months. A 20-minute outage pales in comparison.

    26. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by malkuth23 · · Score: 1

      During Katrina the power went out throughout New Orleans fairly early on. I still had cell service for about 3 hours after the city went black - if I remember correctly. The POTS system worked, albeit somewhat sporadically, the entire time. The phone at the house we were staying at surprised the hell out of us by ringing during the peak of the storm when everything else had gone dead for hours. I also remember seeing lines half way down the block for pay phones the day after.

      I remember hearing somewhere that the cell towers were on a battery backup. I am not sure if this is a normal thing or something installed because everyone knew they would lose power when Katrina hit.

      I assume that both system have some sort of backup, but the cell tower takes too much power to run off batteries for long.

    27. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by NevarMore · · Score: 1

      So what happens if, during an outage that also eliminates cellular connectivity, someone has, say, a medical emergency? With wireline redundancy on a separate system, I can call 911 and get an ambulance to my location in a hurry. Without it, I'm SOL.

      The question, therefore, is: How do we mitigate the risk that some related service interruption leaves us completely disconnected at a moment of crisis?

      You're on your own. Full stop.

      The police and fire and medical services are there to help, but when the shit hits the fan they'll be busy. When seconds count they are minutes away. I respect and honor the people in these professions, but its far better to be prepared myself and have them and not need them than to not prepare and then not have their services available.

      My plan is centered around time:
        - seconds - imminient violence, severe medical, no-warning disaters (quakes, some tornados), house fire
        - mintues - moderate medical
        - hours - light medical, power outage
        - days - long power outage, disaster recovery, water loss
        - weeks - total SHTF

      I'm working through this list in order. I am well prepared for seconds, minutes, and hours. Working on days. Weeks will come in time.

    28. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by DrgnDancer · · Score: 1

      Which is why I said that it's not as reliable as POTS, but still fairly reliable. The VOIP land line solutions are weaker still. Plus the cell towers could easily be made better by the simple expedient of legally requiring it. There's a fairly finite number of towers, which already have some level of disaster protection built in, and they are controlled by relatively well regulated companies. It'd be a lot more complicated to get all the various VOIP vendors to ensure power to all the various moving parts needed for their systems. I don't think high reliability is even on the radar for MagicJack, let alone a priority.

      --
      I don't need a million points of light, just two points of multi-mode fiber and a 10 Gig-E router.
    29. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Get a ham radio license.

      Actually, you dont' need the license while emergency. Anyone can use the radio transmitter then.

      You need just the skills to use the device. Granted, getting the skills the license is helpful.

    30. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Deadplant · · Score: 1

      PSTN operates on a separate grid + backup power basis so that it works even in the case of a (normal) power cut. There's no reason that cellular or broadband networks can't be required to do the same and/or don't already do that.

      Well, there are a few reasons they can't.
      Basically, wireless networks can be battery backed but they can't be generator backed.
      There are just too many cell towers and they are in all sorts of inaccessible places. In a power outage you would have to roll out and fuel thousands of small generators to the tops of office buildings, church steeples, hillsides... there's no way.
      Just keeping 1500 small generators fueled and running for two days during a major outage would be a huge problem.
      With the PSTN's copper network you can battery+generator back a half-dozen COs throughout the city which are dedicated buildings where you can have generators set up.

    31. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by couchslug · · Score: 1

      CB radio. Yes. really. Besides being a great resource of info on the highway, Channel 9 is reserved for emergency use.

      Snow and automobiles among other things take down telephone poles. If the shit hits the fan, have a radio.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    32. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Deadplant · · Score: 2

      There are 6 POTS COs in my city. They all have space for a large diesel generator.
      There are 3000 cell towers. They are all over the farking place, the tops of apartment buildings, churches...

      So yes, theoretically possible. But not remotely practical.

    33. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've got one sitting on the shelf, for this very reason.

    34. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by jenningsthecat · · Score: 1

      I haven't done the math, but I have a feeling that it takes a lot more power to cover a given area with cell signal than to keep the POTS system running over the same coverage area, just because broadcasting omni-directional radio signals is inherently less efficient than direct-line communication.

      You are so right about this; cellular service is hugely less efficient than PSTN. Also, if my cell phone happens to be low on power when the grid goes down for a week, then the status of the cellular service is irrelevant, because in a couple of days I will have no way to access cellular service - my phone's battery will be dead...

      --
      'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
    35. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by jenningsthecat · · Score: 1

      It'd be interesting to known what percentage of people even with landline phones already have this problem, given the prevalence of cordless phones. When the power's out, the only thing that works is an old-fashioned phone with a cord directly plugged into the wall.

      That's why those of us 'in the know', (and you might be surprised at the large number of non-techies who, like my sister, fall into this category), keep a hard-wired phone available for use when mains power goes bye-bye.

      --
      'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
    36. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Yeah uhhhh...no. The tech is still simply too fragile compared to 100 year old tech where we have seen just about every disaster and have overbuilt the thing. My area was one of those hit during the April "super tornado" that blew through the south and the cells quickly became overloaded and then went tits up. The POTS? Kept right on humming through the entire mess. When you are digging through homes looking for survivors the last thing on anyone's mind is fixing the towers so those areas stayed down for over a week, but the POTS? Was often the ONLY way to get info in or out of those areas.

      Today i look on POTS like I do HAM operators...you don't notice them until the shit hits the fan but when it does? you'll be DAMNED GLAD they are there!

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    37. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go outside and use a police box.

      I know, I know, they don't exist anymore. But that's how it was done 60 years ago. You "broke into" a police (or a fire box) box and got dispatch on the horn. Even faster than 911, when you think about it.

    38. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      The POTS system has had a hundred years of experience to work out issues like redundant power supplies. Cellular networks haven't. So POTS often works when cell doesn't; the reverse is almost never true.

      In another seventy years, this will probably not be the case.

      The POTS system will always have more years of experience to work out issues than any newer system. This is always true of older infrastructure.

      And, actually, in emergencies there have been many situations where the POTS network didn't work where the cell networks did. (And, in emergencies, because of the nature of POTS vs. cellular connections, its particularly likely that people who need to communicate might not have access to devices attached to the POTS network but would still have access to cellular devices. A functioning network that doesn't actually reach the people who need to communicate has limited utility.)

      But, its important to understand that the push for a date-certain end to PSTN isn't because the alternatives are good enough to replace POTS as it is, its because they are -- whether or not they are good enough -- actually replacing the existing network for most users, and that they have advantages that the existing PSTN network doesn't provide, and the date-certain end is seen as a way to get both government and private resources directed at improving the areas where it is not good enough for the perceived public emergency needs, and to assure universal access to it so that the additional benefits over PSTN are more widely realized.

    39. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Chirs · · Score: 1

      Some better-quality cordless phones have backup batteries in the base for just this reason.

      We also still have several corded phones in various spots around the house in addition to the cordless ones.

    40. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by dannys42 · · Score: 1

      Don't forget that cellular has fairly limited capacity... it's designed for a lot of re-use, making the assumption that people are continually moving. So in a time of emergency when no one's moving and everyone's calling everyone, you're going to get a small fraction of the people through compared to the wired lines. I don't know what the numbers are, but I thought the capacity of each cell tower was fairly low (like on the order of 100 per tower, possibly less).

    41. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by backwardsposter · · Score: 1

      Who is going to power your cell phone when the power goes out? With PSTN, we're only worried about one node having power, with cellular we have 2. And I feel like the power to my cell phone has gone out a few times more than PSTN.

    42. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what happens when asteroid hits Earth?

    43. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      I have telephone service through U-Verse and the CPE is on its own battery backup which is plugged into a big online UPS which also feeds my cordless phone base station and some other network gear.

    44. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      I suspect the biggest obstacle to cell tower generator backup is the required permits. You would want to use propane like they do with remote towers for easier cleanup and longevity.

    45. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by omnichad · · Score: 1

      I think that even towers with no roaming agreements with your provider are still required to connect emergency calls. That would still show on your phone as no service.

    46. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't speak for other regions but in South Florida your PSTN service typically goes through a mux (we mostly have Lucent WaveStar's here) then on to fiber to the CO. The muxes have batteries but are powered off the local utility. When the power goes out the batteries only last so long.

    47. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Dishwasha · · Score: 1

      back when AT&T was a very fat and happy, and heavily regulated, monopoly.

      What do you mean was?

    48. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you are mentally functioning and alive in 70 years I bet you will be in for a surprise.

    49. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Vrtigo1 · · Score: 1

      This is a very valid point. One of the big strengths of traditional PSTN service is that it works even when your power is out. There's a reason that IT guys refer to extremely high reliability gear as 'carrier' or 'telco' grade. The PSTN just doesn't go down all that often. I'm sure this has changed somewhat over the past 10-15 years as more of the 'non last-mile' portion of the telco network is becoming digital. I.E. my neighborhood has analog copper from the houses, but that only goes less than a mile to a multiplexer where that signal is carried further on digital circuits, and those do need power to work.

      With regard to cell phones, I would imagine that carriers have standby power at most if not all cell sites. If the FCC doesn't already mandate at least a certain level of standby power, I think they should start. I.E. every cell site needs to stay alive for at least XXX minutes in the event of a power failure.

      As far as VoIP solutions, all of the solutions the local cable co sells come with a combo modem / ATA that has a built in battery backup, so your phone and Internet stay up when the power goes out. At least for a while.

    50. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Most mobile operators are small fly-by-night outfits, with a few small slightly more conscientious operators. Whereas the phone companies were required by law to provide a certain level of service. There's a bit of national security involved here as well. After all if a war breaks out you want to be able to contact the general on the phone and not be told "sorry the power is out" or "he's visiting rural relatives where we don't have service coverage".

      Today though if power goes out, everything is out - internet, mobile, cable, etc. Except the land lines in _some_ locales. My mobile battery has a one day lifetime, if power is out it will soon be out as well (need to get me one of those hand crank chargers), my internet access requires a lot of power (computer plus DSL) and then no one I know or would ever want to talk to uses skype or other audio, so I send an emergency message and then hope it gets read sometime soon. You get to the web page of my hospital and it points you to phone numbers to call in case of emergency... Whereas the land line just works.

    51. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      I wonder about this too. It would be worth testing what happens if you unplug one from power but leave it in the phone jack. If all you lost was ability to recharge the battery you may be better off than those that relied on the power for basic electronics. I've got two cordless phones and I suspect one won't work but the other one will.

      How did I get into this situation? Cordless is "convenient". And just as with computers, convenience will reduce security.

    52. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by toddestan · · Score: 1

      But the power going out *is* a crisis. The battery on my laptop only lasts so long...

    53. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by sjames · · Score: 1

      So what happens if, during an outage that also eliminates cellular connectivity, someone has, say, a medical emergency?

      They die

      And that's the problem. Cell towers often have only a small battery backup that gets no testing or maintenance whatsoever. VoIP goes out along with the power in the home. Currently if you cancel your landline and just go cellular or VoIP, you can still call 911 on POTS. We need to think long and hard before throwing that away.

      Next, we need to ask if POTS is so much more expensive to maintain, why does cell service cost more?

    54. Re:What happens when the power goes out? by sjames · · Score: 1

      It's really hard to provide central backed up power from a manned facility over a fiber link.

      Most cell towers have a limited local battery backup with no generator and no feed from a CO. They don't get the same regular testing and maintenance as the backup power at a CO does.

      It's quite common in times of emergency for cell service to fail while POTS keeps going. It can either be a total failure or simple overload of an under-provisioned network.

      It can all be solved from a technical standpoint, but our telecomms companies would rather just let people die unless forced to do the right thing at gunpoint.

  9. I hope it doesn't go away! by DogcowX · · Score: 0

    How will I get my 2400 bps modem to connect up to American Online?

    1. Re:I hope it doesn't go away! by NewWorldDan · · Score: 2

      Oh, you laugh, but there's actually a lot of old communications equipment out there using 2400 baud modems to communicate. One variant of the product that I make is still using them! On a practical level, it's at least an order of magnitude more reliable than an ethernet product. There's no firewall, the CO is battery backed up, and no configuration other than a phone number. Ethernet, by comparison, goes off line frequently through no fault of the product itself. People change DNS servers and the product doesn't get updated. Likewise for firewalls, routers, etc.

  10. Re:Just try to switch it of... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sure few user use it, but remaining users are pure Luddutes.

    Just look what happened when analog broadcasting was switched off.

    Good one, Sir.

  11. PSTN: low-latency and reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At least here in Europe, PSTN is extremely reliable and in general has low-latency and low-echo qualities. VOIP are often unreliable, high-latency, and (as a result) have terrible line echo. I'll switch back to PSTN.

  12. Re:Just try to switch it of... by coaxial · · Score: 1

    You know, perhaps it's just my years of hanging out on slashdot, and the age of the meme, but instead of being shocked and repulsed, I got nostalgic.

  13. Too bad by Cornwallis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I happen to like and trust PSTN. It just works. Always has. And it is simple. Sometimes simple is good.

    For those comparing this to the switch to digital TV - yeah, I hear you but you know what? The promise of digital TV was over-sold. The picture may be great *most of the time* (not going to discuss the programming - crap, alway was/is/will be - see "Four Arguments for the Elimination of Television" by Jerry Mander) but it isn't reliable either. My beautiful HD tv breaks up as often, if not more, than the analog signal I used to receive.

    I don't have any confidence in cell or IP service. There are too many ways to make it not work for me to feel comfortable - especially on a "dark and stormy night"...

    Luddit? Maybe. I've been an IT manager for over 20 years, use all the toys at work, but still don't trust them. Sometimes simple is good.

    1. Re:Too bad by Phreakiture · · Score: 2

      It just works. Always has.

      I disagree that it has always worked; the PSTN is generally very reliable, I'll give you that. I will agree with your apprehension about maybe seeing it go.

      When it does fail, it fails very badly, and often takes other things with it.

      Personally, I often find myself longing for the higher sound quality of a fully-wired phone line versus that of a cell phone. Isn't that ironic?

      --
      www.wavefront-av.com
    2. Re:Too bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First of all, PSTN is like anything else and can fail. Second, even when it works reliably, it's not because of any intrinsic reason (such as simplicity). It's simply that people decided to make reliability an important criterion and pour resource into it to make sure it's highly available. Now, it's not going to have that resource. I switched away from PSTN because one day my land line died for 6 hours. That's longer than the *combined* outage of electricity, cable, internet, and my VOIP in 10 years. That's when I realize, they can't keep the whatever number of 9s they promised or hoped for.

    3. Re:Too bad by Cornwallis · · Score: 1

      Personally, I often find myself longing for the higher sound quality of a fully-wired phone line versus that of a cell phone. Isn't that ironic?

      Agreed! Cell phones exist now for texting, apps and ringtones at teh expense of reliable *phone* service. The voice call side has been left in the dust which is one more reason I like my PSTN line.

    4. Re:Too bad by WebSorcerer · · Score: 1

      I live on the Gulf coast in Texas. It's hurricane territory. If the power is knocked out, the cable modem has no power, and in a few days the cell towers stop functioning. That's why we kept our land line phone.

    5. Re:Too bad by tixxit · · Score: 1

      Let's not forget that cell plans (at least in Canada) are still no match for landlines. The price of unlimited day-time minutes (VERY important if you work from home) is just way too high. I've also found when it comes to VOIP, of the three desirable features - cheap, reliable, and good quality - you only get to choose 2. Good quality, reliable VOIP (w/ SIP) costs as much as a regular land line.

    6. Re:Too bad by RocketJeff · · Score: 1

      I live on the Gulf coast in Texas. It's hurricane territory. If the power is knocked out, the cable modem has no power, and in a few days the cell towers stop functioning. That's why we kept our land line phone.

      You live on the gulf coast and don't have a backup generator? I live near Birmingham and have a UPS (for minor outages to keep some electronics running) and a small backup generator for longer outages (powers the refrigerator to keep food from spoiling and to charge the UPS). Our last power outage (the tornado that went from Tuscaloosa nearly to Georgia) lasted almost a day, but we had working wired broadband/vol-ip (u-verse) and cell service (sprint) the entire time (and didn't have to worry about food spoiling).

      While our broadband comes over the phone lines, ours lines are mainly underground. We had many friends without a land line for a week because their above ground lines were ripped up by the tornado. Nothing is disaster proof - always have redundancy.

    7. Re:Too bad by wolrahnaes · · Score: 1

      Personally, I often find myself longing for the higher sound quality of a fully-wired phone line versus that of a cell phone. Isn't that ironic?

      Try a VoIP phone with G.722 support some time. It'll blow you away. I thought they were gimmicks when I first got one in for testing, but it really makes the G.711 codec used by the PSTN sound like the shit it is. The bandwidth usage is exactly the same too at full rate, so the only reason it's not more common is legacy equipment which doesn't support it. A few lower bitrate options are in the 3GPP specs and are being used by certain cellular carriers in Europe and Canada to deliver better than PSTN call quality over mobile phones.

      --
      I used to get high on life, but I developed a tolerance. Now I need something stronger.
    8. Re:Too bad by jon3k · · Score: 1

      Personally, I often find myself longing for the higher sound quality of a fully-wired phone line versus that of a cell phone. Isn't that ironic?

      Sounds like you've never used HD Voice.

  14. Re:Just try to switch it off by elsurexiste · · Score: 1

    Nice link to have!

    --
    I rarely respond to comments. Also, don't ask for clarifications: a brain and Google are faster, believe me!
  15. 911 access by sunderland56 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Today the government requires VOIP providers to warn people about the unreliability of 911 access by any means other than copper. Now the government wants to take away the copper since it is obsolete. What??

    1. Re:911 access by garcia · · Score: 1

      My "landline" comes over my cable connection. It has a battery backup but many times when my Internet is down so is my telephone.

      So, if the mobile network is down and/or strained and my cable is out too (likely in a severe situation) what the fuck am I going to do? I guess I'd have to walk to the nearest fire station a mile away.

    2. Re:911 access by drussell · · Score: 1

      Then it is not really a "landline". You are using a type of VOIP service which requires a relatively fragile network to function.

    3. Re:911 access by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Satellite. Check out LightSquared, for example.

      Shane

    4. Re:911 access by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Get with the times. You are stuck a few years in the past. 911 has been updated and regulations have changed for mobile/VOIP users. The problem with 911 on cell phones was never one of reliability but of response time. Landlines are required to be kept track of in a database, whether they are listed or unlisted. This means the phone companies provide 911 service providers with accurate and up-to-date information about your phone/address combination. Cell phones are not under such requirements. So, in the past, if you call 911 from a phone the ONLY way they would be able to send someone to help is by asking you to clearly state your address. This can take precious time and if the call quality isn't good you may have to repeat. This can be disastrous in an emergency. Conversely, call 911 from a landline and say "send help" or "help me" then hang up and you will at least have the police at your door in minutes. They can react to your call by dispatching someone by looking up your address in their system. This can be done today because VOIP and cell phone companies provide 911 services information, but you have to make sure that it is up to date. Because VOIP and mobile phones are not fixed in location, you give them and address that they can respond to as a default for that number. Calling 911 is just a phone call and is as reliable as any other call. The concern was always about the address tied to the number and initially VOIP and cell phones did not have this information.

    5. Re:911 access by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Today the government requires VOIP providers to warn people about the unreliability of 911 access by any means other than copper. Now the government wants to take away the copper since it is obsolete.

      Not quite.

      Now an advisory body on telecom policy wants the goverment to begin to take policy steps -- since, warnings are not, VoIP and mobile services are displacing PSTN -- so that (among other things) 911 access is reliable when accessed via the networks on which people are increasingly relying.
       

    6. Re:911 access by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup, it is a "landline" however it's not a landline. Don't be a fucking asshole.

  16. won't happen by genner · · Score: 3, Informative

    Doing this by 2018 is pretty much impossible. There's still huge chunks of land without BB service or even decent cell phone coverage.

    1. Re:won't happen by PingSpike · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That was my thought as well. They're probably making assumptions based off those same old faulty broadband maps that count an entire zip code as having broadband if one person in it has broadband. I just got DSL service last week for the first time, and I have no other options. My area is fairly rural I'll admit but the United States has large swaths of space that are just like here.

      2018 seems completely unreasonable and sounds like the myopic suggestion of some one that has lived entirely in high population density areas. And I'm not even going to go into the change averse nature of our large elderly population who statistically are going to need reliable 911 service the most.

    2. Re:won't happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Never assume that you have a perfect sence of development vs time. Most of the time, we do fail to predict the development, integration and deployment in technology sector.

      By me, I don't believe that it PSTN will stand that long. 2018 is really, really far away in technological terms.

    3. Re:won't happen by Dynedain · · Score: 1

      I bought my first cellphone in 1998-99 because and made my carrier choice on two factors:
      1) local coverage - they were mostly equal.
      2) coverage for a rural area that I vacation to several times a year.

      None of them had coverage for the rural area, but most of the carriers "coming soon" maps were planning to cover it in 1-2 years.

      When did that rural area finally get celular coverage? 2005-2006. And the carier I had selected because they would be there first? They ended up actually being the last in around 2008 when they bought up one of the other carriers.

      --
      I'm out of my mind right now, but feel free to leave a message.....
    4. Re:won't happen by genner · · Score: 1

      Never assume that you have a perfect sence of development vs time. Most of the time, we do fail to predict the development, integration and deployment in technology sector.

      By me, I don't believe that it PSTN will stand that long. 2018 is really, really far away in technological terms.

      In terms of new technology coming out it is a long time.
      In terms of legacy technology going away completely it may as well be tomorrow.


      Now if you'll excuse me I have to go back to work on my clients vax system.

  17. Power Outages? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In many areas (including mine), they still haven't solved the issue of power outages dropping out your VoIP service. In contrast, during the long power outages we sometimes have to endure in the Northeast US, the PSTN still works. This is an issue not only for emergencies, but also to buoy dial-up services such as alarm systems.

    Yes, some alarm companies like ADT have 'approved' certain VoIP providers (such as Time-Warner's digital phone) for use with their alarm system.

    Yes, this is from political pressure, not thorough testing of the system in every area during a power outage.

    1. Re:Power Outages? by Skater · · Score: 1

      In many areas (including mine), they still haven't solved the issue of power outages dropping out your VoIP service.

      We switched to FiOS a couple years back and this is one of the things I don't like about it (I knew this was an issue going in, of course). The battery backup does hold for several hours. I've considered plugging the box into a UPS so that it'll continue to receive power for somewhat longer when the power dies; I don't think it draws much current so it should last at least a couple more hours even with a small UPS.

  18. IN CAHOOTS !! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Landline is cheaper than any cell plan w/kids !! A lot cheaper !! Need another extension ?? Just add a phone !! And it's so easy to listen in !!

  19. I will die with my analog phone... by dwex · · Score: 0

    They are going to pry my analog phone from my cold, dead hand.

    In 20+ years, my analog phone has never not worked. Power goes out, cable goes out, DSL went out routinely (when I had it before cable). Cell coverage is a pathetic joke, and I live 1 mile outside the DC beltway. The voice quality on mobile technologies is beyond pathetic due to over-compression and crappy connection quality.

    I haven't switched to FiOS because they'll take away my copper loop if I do.

    It's not that I'm a luddite. It's that I expect the phone to work, all the time, with reasonable quality. Is that too much to ask?

    1. Re:I will die with my analog phone... by putaro · · Score: 1

      I live in Tokyo. When the Great Sendai Earthquake hit, everybody decided to call home simultaneously.

      The phone network was, for all intents and purposes, crashed for two days. We have ISDN at the office, POTS at home and cell phones. None of them worked.

      Our internet connection kept chugging along. I could call the US over VOIP but couldn't make a phone call inside of Japan. We run our own e-mail server so that kept going, though the ones run by the big ISPs overloaded.

  20. PSTN:Trustworthy & Reliable by Announcer · · Score: 1

    I totally agree with you; you nailed it. It is a tried-and-true, proven technology. One of the first casualties of major events, such as storms, floods, etc is the cellular network! Unless the wires, themselves, get damaged, Ol' Ma Bell still works. Power goes out, and stays out for a week? Ma Bell's phone still works.

    --
    Willie...
    1. Re:PSTN:Trustworthy & Reliable by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      *such as storms, floods, etc is the cellular network! Unless the wires, themselves, get damaged, Ol' Ma Bell still works.* properly built cellular will continue to work a while even when majority of local cables get cut. storms, floods, landslides etc rip the cables though. and those complaining of crappy voice on cellular, how about you ask your provider to start using newer codecs, though usually voice concerns could be squelched by just using the old landphones speaker-microphone set as a handsfree kit of sorts(big bulky old phone has room for bigger speaker).

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  21. It will be dead in Australia in about a decade by ras · · Score: 2

    I don't know about the US, but with the completion of the NBN in Australia the PSTN will be history here.

    History means all copper land lines gone and all the analogue gear the copper is connected to in the 1200 exchanges becomes land fill, along with all the ISDN based switch gear. The 1200 exchanges will be reduced to 120 point of interconnects. We are talking scorched earth here.

    The only thing left will be the analogue phones in the house. They connect to SIP ATA's, so by the time the voice leaves the premises it will already be IP, switched by internet routers, being transmitted in ethernet frames over fibre or fixed wireless. Our resident teloc's will all be become SIP providers.

    It might be someone's theory the analogue PSTN will disappear in a decade or so in the US. In Australia govenment lawyers crafted iron clad agreements, the contracts are signed, the opposition has admitted defeat, and the money is committed. They are digging up the ground now. The PSTN's death here is almost a certainty.

    1. Re:It will be dead in Australia in about a decade by NJRoadfan · · Score: 1

      We have fiber to the home in some parts of the US. Verizon's POTS service on FiOS is a hybrid option. The transport to the home isn't IP based, the connection at the CO is either legacy PSTN or VoIP depending on what service plan you subscribe to.

    2. Re:It will be dead in Australia in about a decade by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dumb naive question, I know... but what's the point of digging up all the existing copper infrastructure? Seems someone could come up with some use for it... And if not, well why waste the time/effort to dig it up? Is there going to be some sort of nation-wide copper recycling program?

    3. Re:It will be dead in Australia in about a decade by ras · · Score: 1

      Sorry to mislead you, it's not being dug up. When the fibre is deployed in an area the residents have 18 months before the copper is disconnected, so they operate in parallel for a while. I don't know what the plans for the exchanges are after that, but I don't see any of it being useful for long. You aren't allowed push data over them, they will literally suffer bit rot as all records of what pairs run where are lost, copper needs constant upkeep in the face of water damage, and the block of land they terminate at, ie where the exchanges sit now, will be sold off.

  22. Reliability by rcoxdav · · Score: 1

    I live in a small town in rural Illinois. I have cell, but service stinks in town due to being close to a boundary between two different providers (the small family owned one goes nutsy whenever the big company signal hits their turf). There is only one provider that has good service in my town. I have a phone through the cable company, which sounds good and has a lot of features, but has an unacceptable amount of down time (we have some medical problems that make it so that we need something reliable). What is left, PSTN through the phone company. The only time we have lost access, it was only long distance when a contractor cut a fiber line. Until broadband reliability is in the many 9's category like PSTN, I want to keep it.The entirety of the US is not big cities, there is a lot of middle of nowhere with a decent amount of population also, and, along with that, unreliable wireless and broadband infrastructure.

  23. KISS by metalmaster · · Score: 1

    Im no expert, but every time the topic came up in a networking lecture the "simplicity" of PSTN compared to its more modern counterparts was the explanation why the tech is still widely used

    1. Re:KISS by hey · · Score: 1

      I agree. If it ain't broke don't fix it.

    2. Re:KISS by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      The reason it is still used is because the infrastructure is fully amortized. CAPEX = 0 so profit = revenues - operating costs.

      As the infrastructure ages it will die out because nobody is going to invest in it.

  24. I still have a plain old telephone by Ngarrang · · Score: 1

    I do not like cell phones. They are devilish devices that encourage the stupid to be even more stupid behind the wheel of a car. They are possibly the worst invention thrust upon mankind. That said, I do own a pay-as-you-go cell phone for cases of road-side assistance. I spend about $20 a year for it. The mobile phone plans in the USA are monstrosities. They are convoluted and expensive. I keep my old telephone because it works, even when the power goes out. When the hurricane blew through Ohio and places lost power for days and weeks, I still had phone service while my neighbor's cell phones died and the local cell towers lost power. My big old phone has excellent voice quality, a big old speaker in the handset to hear the caller.

    I will not go quietly. You will not take my phone service.

    The broadband quality in my rural area sucks, big time. I can barely stream Netflix movies, let alone consider making phone calls with it.

    --
    Bearded Dragon
    1. Re:I still have a plain old telephone by bloosh · · Score: 1

      Why does it have to be either / or?

      I enjoy having a smartphone. I also enjoy my collection of big old phones with big old speakers in the handsets at my house.

      In fact, I do prefer talking with a big old phone rather than my smartphone. That's why I have an OBi110 device that allows me to use my Google Voice number on my 1941 Western Electric 302 rotary phone. It sounds great and I can even dial out with a DialGizmo between the phone and the OBi.

    2. Re:I still have a plain old telephone by Ngarrang · · Score: 1

      It needs to be either/or due to the cost. Maybe some of y'all have the money to spend on PSTN+Crappy DSL AND Mobile+Data plan. I do not. I can afford one, or the other, but not both at the same time. The plans by US mobile carriers don't fit me. I have, maybe, 60 minutes of talk time per month. But I need massive data. There is no mobile+data plan that fits that. They are hugely expensive plans that give you 3G/4G and 2000 minutes per month with "limited" data after a certain number per month. My DSL is unlimited, as in, only limited by the number of hours in a month.

      I don't want to check my e-mail at McDonalds, or while on the road. I don't need to be that connected to the world, and I pity the people that feel they must.

      --
      Bearded Dragon
    3. Re:I still have a plain old telephone by wolrahnaes · · Score: 1

      The broadband quality in my rural area sucks, big time. I can barely stream Netflix movies, let alone consider making phone calls with it.

      If you can even contemplate streaming video, you can run a phone call over it just fine. The absolute worst case bandwidth needs are 64kbit/sec in each direction, and a non-shitty VoIP provider will offer multiple codecs which need far less.

      Using AMR-WB (typically used for high quality cellular calls in places that aren't the US) I can easily put four simultaneous calls through a dialup connection while matching or beating the quality of a PSTN call. Any form of broadband, as long as it's actually working (no horrible packet loss or jitter problems), is more than sufficient for phone use.

      --
      I used to get high on life, but I developed a tolerance. Now I need something stronger.
    4. Re:I still have a plain old telephone by LanMan04 · · Score: 1

      I can barely stream Netflix movies, let alone consider making phone calls with it.

      You do realize a VOIP voice call used a few orders of magnitude less bandwidth than streaming a Netflix video.....right?

      --
      With the first link, the chain is forged.
    5. Re:I still have a plain old telephone by Ngarrang · · Score: 1

      In my prior experiments with VoIP from my computer, the audio quality was the suck and keeping a clean connection was difficult. I could never keep a connection for more than 30 seconds. Everything sounded "hollow", like the person talking to me was in a big metal box. Maybe a dedicated VoIP phone would solve that problem.

      --
      Bearded Dragon
    6. Re:I still have a plain old telephone by gknoy · · Score: 1

      That's strange, because using Skype has been the exact opposite. My dad and I can talk as if there's no distance between us, and I can talk with my best friend across the country with simialr ease. In contrast, my cellular phone (and land line too) has absolutely shitty quality. I don't know if it's the phone's microphone, its codec, its speakers, the network, or my ears, but I suspect it's one of the former.

  25. Bad Graph by Dishwasha · · Score: 2

    Is it just me or does the graph do a steep and then gentle curve in the actuals and then take a linear nose dive in his projections? I'm not a math genius but that totally looks like somebody making up their own agendas and skewing the evidence to support it.

    1. Re:Bad Graph by sjames · · Score: 1

      I saw that too. The natural curve would (and the actual data suggests it is) grow shallow towards the end. The steep drop at the beginning is early adopters, the shallow part is people who either don't see the benefit or have no working alternative they CAN switch to.

  26. Something's gotta happen first by kelemvor4 · · Score: 2

    I telecommute full time as do almost all of my co-workers. PSTN is a requirement primarily because of the audio quality on skype/magicjack/cellular is not as good as a good ol' land line. I know some of you skype fanboys are going to cry "yes it does" but I assure you that you are mistaken. We've got several folks on the team that use it and it is consistently a problem.

    There may be great business class solutions along the lines of getting a T1 or better line and setting up some kind of service across a direct connect, but I don't see that replacing pstn either. Cell phones are great, and voip is OK in a pinch but neither are "up to snuff" in my opinion.

    1. Re:Something's gotta happen first by afidel · · Score: 1

      G.711u is actually superior to POTS for call quality as almost all POTS today ends up on G.711 carrier anyways but on the far end of a very long cable. Get a SIP adapter and provider that support it if you're worried about call quality.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    2. Re:Something's gotta happen first by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The magic word here is bandwidth. If you have lots of bandwidth, you can have high quality of service. It also depends largely on the quality of the network connections out to the location you are at.

      PSTN and POTS are well established networks which have that quality established. Perhaps once these networks are discontinued you might get your local communications company to put the investment into higher quality protocols and connections through other means like fiber. That takes time and money, something that I don't think will really happen very well, particularly for more rural/suburban areas. If you live in an outlying area, you have usually just the choice of one provider, two if you are very lucky.

    3. Re:Something's gotta happen first by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      That is true if the following conditions are met

      1: The hardware in the sip adaptor or phone is of sufficiently good quality
      2: The network is free of packet loss and provides low jitter (late can be as bad as never when it comes to VOIP).

      Condition 1 can be met by a sufficiently good hardware qualification process when the hardware is purchased but for condition 2 unless you spend serious money (more than just getting a PSTN line) on dedicated connections you are essentially at the mercy of your ISP.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    4. Re:Something's gotta happen first by kelemvor4 · · Score: 1

      Here's my results
      http://www.speedtest.net/result/924009803.png (old)
      http://www.speedtest.net/result/1378615604.png (new)

      These are very typical of my line even during "peak hours". The problem with the theory that a users line just has to be good enough is that EVERY point along the pipe has to be problem free. No one company can guarantee that across the internet. For example, the route to skype's webserver (it was just an easy example, don't jump all over me for using a webserver as an example here please) is 18 hops away, and the path crosses the networks of four different network providers. Even if I have the best service possible (and I think mine is pretty darn good) I'm still at the mercy of every single pop along that path. Not to mention the unknowns if the packets travel through someone's ATM or something along those lines. It's just a concept that inherently can't be reliable enough in my opinion without some fundamental changes.
      VOIP is a good way to save money if quality isn't extremely important; I pay $50 a month for my land line (all features + unlimited USA LD), and I could be paying like $35 a year with a voip system.
      Unfortunately it's not good enough for me. I don't want my boss to get annoyed with any facet of me telecommuting and consider revoking the privilege. I don't believe I'm the only one that will continue to pay for a land line for quality purposes; and so I think that the idea of PSTN going away in less than 6 1/2 years is dubious at best. That is unless telco's are taking a loss on them.. which I also doubt. The voip based services I've tried (and ditched) so far are: Skype, Magic Jack, Bright House Networks Digital Phone, and vonage.

  27. Making predictions can be misleading by PuddleBoy · · Score: 5, Informative

    "If current rates hold, only 6% of the U.S. population will still be served by the public switched telephone network by the end of 2018.

    (Disclaimer: I work for a landline company)

    You are assuming that 'everyone' wants this, including retirees, people in rural areas, people who just don't need broadband and know it. You assume that the cellular/VoIP offerings will be as robust as the PSTN. You also assume that, if the landline business is 'dissolved', these other networks can take over the load.

    Do you know who connects those cell towers? Those towers don't talk to each other wirelessly, they use terrestrial copper/fiber. If you sunset the network that keeps the copper/fiber infrastructure in reasonably good shape, the economics of maintaining the cellular network change, driving up costs significantly.

    And please, don't maintain that there is quality parity between these types of services/networks: I have had so many conversations with business owners who tried using VoIP-based services for their dialtone and came running back to the PSTN because their customers complained about voice quality and dropped calls. Also note that while many government agencies have adopted VoIP internally, they recognize that they must have a reliable network to serve the public, especially for emergency services, and thus the vast majority stick with the PSTN for dialtone.

    The PSTN and the Internet are both great networks, but they were built on different premises and with different (internal) priorities. One is really good at low-latency communications, one is very good at network survivability.

    I'm not a Luddite suggesting that we throw away new technologies, but I'm also not some knee-jerk hype-meister of What's Hot Now. Both networks have their place and will coexist for many years to come.

    1. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by Duradin · · Score: 2

      I have to wonder what cell/mobile/wireless and VoIP will cost when they have to meet the same uptime standards as landlines.

      I can't remember which company it was but they dropped 10,000 911 calls during one snow storm. A land line company would have been fined out of existence for that but it was A-OK for them since it was only cell phones.

    2. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said. Well said. Cell technology was a bigger win for the telecoms than your average consumer. I think the loss of reliability and the general expectation of service was not worth the increased mobility that people gained, but that will only become evident over time. The telecoms could have done more for reliability, but that was the trick they played by marketing their mobile services as the "best way to go".

      I have to wonder what cell/mobile/wireless and VoIP will cost when they have to meet the same uptime standards as landlines.

      I can't remember which company it was but they dropped 10,000 911 calls during one snow storm. A land line company would have been fined out of existence for that but it was A-OK for them since it was only cell phones.

    3. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by afidel · · Score: 1

      Some towers do talk to each other wirelessly, microwave backhaul ftw =) I actually do agree with you for the most part but I just wanted to pick that nit.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    4. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      You are assuming that 'everyone' wants this, including retirees, people in rural areas, people who just don't need broadband and know it.

      No, they are measuring empirical trends including the underlying demographics and projecting them out; they actually noted that part of the decline in landline use is organic (that is, because older people who are more resistant are dying, while younger people are more likely to drop landlines or be born into mobile-only or VoIP+mobile households and never acquire a PSTN connection.)

      You assume that the cellular/VoIP offerings will be as robust as the PSTN.

      No, in fact, the recommendation is that the FCC should address the problem that, with current trends, virtually all of the country will be using cellular/VoIP offerings that are not now and are not projected to be without some additional effort as reliable or robust as the PSTN.

      Do you know who connects those cell towers? Those towers don't talk to each other wirelessly, they use terrestrial copper/fiber. If you sunset the network that keeps the copper/fiber infrastructure in reasonably good shape, the economics of maintaining the cellular network change, driving up costs significantly.

      I'm pretty sure the sunset isn't for any backend network, its for the end-user facing use of the PSTN network, redirecting government resources designed to provide universal end-user access to the PSTN to assure universal end-user access to next-generation networks.

      And please, don't maintain that there is quality parity between these types of services/networks

      I'm pretty sure that the FCC advisory commission that is specifically recommending policy changes for the specific purpose of addressing quality and reliability gaps in the networks that end-users are, despite the quality and reliability gaps, choosing over the PSTN is not basing its recommendation on the premise that those gaps don't exist; the recommendation is based on the fact that the quality/reliability gaps exist.

      Also note that while many government agencies have adopted VoIP internally, they recognize that they must have a reliable network to serve the public, especially for emergency services, and thus the vast majority stick with the PSTN for dialtone.

      Unfortunately, that strategy fails to provide a reliable network "to serve the public" even now, when a sizable fraction of the public isn't using PSTN (and so, the use of such a network to serve the public requires both the PSTN and the networks actually used by the public served to be working), and this problem will just get worse over time as the public continues to abandon the PSTN.

    5. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by hackertourist · · Score: 1

      Do you know who connects those cell towers? Those towers don't talk to each other wirelessly, they use terrestrial copper/fiber. If you sunset the network that keeps the copper/fiber infrastructure in reasonably good shape, the economics of maintaining the cellular network change, driving up costs significantly.

      Cellular traffic already is a significant fraction of total PSTN traffic, and provides much higher revenues per connection-minute than the PSTN, so I doubt that the cost increase is as significant as you think.

    6. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by omnichad · · Score: 1

      I have to wonder what cell/mobile/wireless and VoIP will cost when they have to meet the same uptime standards as landlines.

      Whatever people are willing to pay. Do you think the prices are based on equipment/maintenance costs?

    7. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by Duradin · · Score: 1

      You don't think it will cost them and us more when cell phones and VoIP are required to have the same uptime and repair response times as landlines that there won't be new costs?

      That's not even getting into what happens when they actually have to pay to maintain their infrastructure when ILECs aren't around for them to leech off of. Of course, you don't sound like the type who cares about that since maintaining other people's infrastructure would be communist and makes Baby Invisible Hand cry.

    8. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by omnichad · · Score: 1

      Wow - quite a misread there. I was saying that they're already charging way more than they need to, and not investing in their infrastructure to artificially inflate their profits at the expense of customer satisfaction. Not sure that anything you said makes sense in response to that.

    9. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm surprised you prefaced your post with "I work for a landline company". I just attended a DISA conference recently, and the reality is this: The government isn't swapping by 2017 (the quote we had) because it was smart. We're swapping to IP-Everything because the vendors aren't manufacturing legacy equipment any longer. This came directly out of DISA reps and the vendor's mouths.

    10. Re:Making predictions can be misleading by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Lots of cell towers use VOIP over microwave or copper backhaul.

      Internet QOS for streaming services like VOIP is rapidly improving because so much of the traffic is video which has higher requirements than voice. It is unlikely that VOIP QOS will be a problem in 2018.

  28. Another takeover by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ok I'm all for moving to a better technology, but this is not merely just a technology switch, its another federal government intervention into something they have absolutely no business in. Why must we keep switching from one subsidized tech to another? PSTN has WORKED for very well for long time why not just keep up the same slow phase out process?

    1. Re:Another takeover by whit3 · · Score: 1

      No, just another important part of the national infrastructure
      that we all have an interest in. When railways didn't have a common gage, it tied up shipping. So, they were regulated
      to common mechanical standards and encouraged to allow each other's trains to share tracks.
      When telephone standards were needed (numbered dials
      and phone numbers aren't NATURAL, they're an imposed
      standard), they were created and imposed uniformly.
      Likewise, electrical power standards were imposed (the
      Japanese have incompatible electric grids-it's UGLY).
      And TCP/IP connections cannot easily replace POTS
      unless additional rules are imposed. What use is FIOS if you're miles from home and looking for a phone?
      And Skype and cellphones and landlines CAN connect,
      because of the imposed rules. These are GOOD rules. Enjoy 'em!

  29. Nonsense by MrVictor · · Score: 1

    Great idea! Let's put all of our telephone traffic onto the Internet where there is no guaranteed quality of service. No, that's a terrible idea. The best effort paradigm of the Internet doesn't work for all applications and that especially goes for telephone type services.

  30. Re:censorship by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They're doing the censoring with DNS. I've been told by TPTB that this was deliberate as it allows everyone with a clue to use the entire net whilst pacifying a certain idiot senator. Telstra and Optus are being 'encouraged' into the scheme as the NBN is offering to buy out their competing HFC networks for 'way more than they're worth'.

  31. No plans to do away with my PSTN service by Xian97 · · Score: 1

    I have no plans to do away with my PSTN service.

    1) I like having a phone in most every room instead of having to always carry one around
    2) I get a LOT better international calling rate with my PSTN provider than their cell phone international rates, even with the same carrier
    3) My DSL broadband line uses the same wiring. It is still going to have to be maintained even if the PSTN goes away
    4) Ever try to make a call with a cell in a regional emergency such as an earthquake, tornado, etc? No cells available. The PSTN lines get full too at such times, but not usually to the extent that the cells do. Local weather events can disrupt cell coverage. Once during a hurricane I lost electricity for 2 days, yet never lost my telephone signal.
    5) Quality. In nearly 40 years of phone service, I can't remember a single dropped call, where that is a weekly occurrence on my work cell phone. While I have had some occasional bleedover and humming at times on my regular phone, the quality of the sound is still a lot better than my cell.

    1. Re:No plans to do away with my PSTN service by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but DSL dies the moment the PSTN is no longer maintained. Better call the cable company this week.

    2. Re:No plans to do away with my PSTN service by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but DSL dies the moment the PSTN is no longer maintained. Better call the cable company this week.

      Many DSL providers also provide fiber and other broadband access options. If the governnent decides to phase out the PSTN, I am sure that they will be very interested in working to roll those out to existing customers rather than losing those customers.

  32. Wait a minute, what the hell? by The+O+Rly+Factor · · Score: 1

    So, they want to shut down the PSTN in favor of cellular service?

    What the FUCK do these dimwit politicians think is the mechanism that actually transmits their cellular call after it leaves the NSS? Magic and unicorn farts?? Or are they just in bed with the broadband/cable television companies who want to see even more critical consumer data pushed across their cheap last mile infrastructure so they can append it to people's data caps?

    "Oh, you're being robbed and need to call out to 911? Sorry, but you have exceeded your monthly data cap and can't do that."

    1. Re:Wait a minute, what the hell? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, they want to shut down the PSTN in favor of cellular service?

      Sure, if it's not making money for owners that will eventually happen. Or the government takes over the operation ... which I don't think will happen. Subventing few years propably but its obsolete effort long term.

      What the FUCK do these dimwit politicians think is the mechanism that actually transmits their cellular call after it leaves the NSS? Magic and unicorn farts?? Or are they just in bed with the broadband/cable television companies who want to see even more critical consumer data pushed across their cheap last mile infrastructure so they can append it to people's data caps?

      I'm not, hopefully with the dimwits, but looking things realistically yes. PSTN is mostly so old technology, expensive to uprade and maintain, that the consolidation is inevitable to some other network and then phasing out once it's no more absolutely necessary.

      I know, been working for Lucent, what are the benefits of the old central battery telephone networks and how much more complicated and therefore much more error prone are current networks ... after saying all that I still understand that the old dog will not live forever, sorry.

      3G is already a data network, LTE (4G) even more. It makes sense to build and maintain just the IP/MPLS network, which then can be by the nature of MPLS virtualized for different operators sharing same fibers without fear of messing up addresses, customers etc.

      "Oh, you're being robbed and need to call out to 911? Sorry, but you have exceeded your monthly data cap and can't do that."

      Ever tried to call 911 without even SIM card? Sure it works, no fees nothing, no need to know even the pin code to open phone / sim after powering up. Those were resolved over 10 years ago, before actually wide audience started using wireless phone networks.

      I understand your consern, but it all comes to the fact that as long as networks, providing connections etc. are business not public service funded with government money, the sooner it doesn't make (enough) money sooner its days are numbered.

      If you like it to be public funded operation then prepare for more taxes or higher fees. It's simple as that.

  33. It's not going anywhere. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    HUGE numbers of small companies have neither the money nor the desire to modify their decrepit PBXes, etc. Unless virtual PRI, etc., are brought to them, with assurances of transparency, I see no reason whatsoever for them to feel motivated to make changes. Don't get me wrong: I *could* see telcos doing that -- it would be to their benefit -- but right now, their margins on a PRI-provisioned T1s are sky-high, and I doubt they're feeling much incentive to modify that structure, either.

    I'm not holding my breath. It'll happen -- but by 2018? Seven years is forever in Internet time -- and a blink of the eye in the land of telecom, where T1 was first conceptualized in the *50's*.

    1. Re:It's not going anywhere. by drussell · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Any competitive provider will provide you with the appropriate CPE (Customer Premise Equipment) to connect your analog PBX to their VOIP/whatever network. Obviously traditional T1s are a very expensive way to get 24 phone lines but, for example, a cable provider (traditional TV cable co, the ones with a single coaxial cable to your premise) will bring a box that has a coax cable in and a standard 50-pin AMP telco connector out. They provision however many lines you need at the head end for your box, connect it to your phone system and away you go.

      Then you have a lovely single point of failure when the one coax loses signal for some reason, you lose EVERYTHING. Whee!

      I recently tried to explain this to the new owner of a restaurant/bar where I do all the IT work; why it was a TERRIBLY bad idea that he had fallen victim to the marketers from Shaw who told him "everything would stay exactly the way it was" when he signed up with them instead of the phone company. Now when there's a problem with the cable (tends to happen a couple times a year for various reasons), not only will all 15 TVs go blank (except the internal video loop) but it will now also take out the internet (formerly a totally reliable DSL) which includes the main connection for the ATM machine and the debit card machines for payment AS WELL as their backup! (usually a POTS line) which are now through the single point of failure... No phones, no ability to take payments from customers?!! Gonna give away a lot of free lunches the next time the cable goes out.... OUCH! He still doesn't seem to get it... Won't even spring for a second internet connection for redundancy... as that would erase the supposed "savings" he's getting by using the TV company instead of the PHONE company.

      I guess there IS such a thing as a free lunch! :)

    2. Re:It's not going anywhere. by omnichad · · Score: 1

      give away a lot of free lunches

      This guy needs to get a manual carbon-copy card imprinter and then process those transactions when the connection is back up.

    3. Re:It's not going anywhere. by drussell · · Score: 1

      They do, of course, have a manual imprinter (as I believe is always required as per the merchant agreement) for credit card transactions (although paper-copy charges can be easily disputed as it isn't a "chip" transaction now) but it doesn't help for debit cards when you have no ATM to get cash and no debit processing... I'd keep at least ONE real POTS line, but it's not my establishment...

  34. Then apply the same protections as PSTN by MobyDisk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That's fine, but first the wireless and broadband carriers must be made common carriers like they are over telephone. That is one of the biggest differences between the systems. Telephone companies are not permitted to delay, degrade, alter, or record telephone conversations or modem signals. But no such protections exist over broadband or wireless. They have no requirements for call quality, nothing stops them from inserted advertisements or charging you differently depending on who you call.

    Those same protections need to apply to other services, in addition to deregulating them so we have choices.

    1. Re:Then apply the same protections as PSTN by fyoder · · Score: 1

      nothing stops them from inserted advertisements

      That would be very annoying on a 911 call. Could be popular with insurance companies. "When disaster strikes, are you covered?"

      --
      Loose lips lose spit.
    2. Re:Then apply the same protections as PSTN by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      That's fine, but first the wireless and broadband carriers must be made common carriers like they are over telephone. That is one of the biggest differences between the systems. Telephone companies are not permitted to delay, degrade, alter, or record telephone conversations or modem signals. But no such protections exist over broadband or wireless.

      This is not correct. While the exact details of the rules are different from PSTN carriers, similar protections (which differ also between fixed and mobile broadband carriers) exist for broadband data. Not sure about cellular specifically.

    3. Re:Then apply the same protections as PSTN by guspasho · · Score: 1

      Citation please? Because there are many articles here on /. about how cable and mobile carriers are finding various ways to throttle or discriminate among data and in general act in a non-common-carrier-like fashion, and how they have challenged and opposed attempts at net neutrality rules.

  35. I normally don't make "I misread that" comments... by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

    Could PSTN Go Away By 2018?

    I read that as "Could the PSN go away by 2018...". I was thinking: "Only if the script kiddies hit puberty!"

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  36. Poor cell voice quality by jhecht · · Score: 1

    Good point, but that's not all. Cell-phone connections are poor, as becomes painfully evident when you try to talk with people with thick accents. That poor quality effectively impairs your hearing, and can make it hard for people with mild hearing impairments to carry on conversations. I'm on the phone a lot, and do a lot of interviews on the phone, so I always use my land line and only call cell phones reluctantly. Often when I do call a cell., the voice quality is poor enough that we eventually switch to a landline. The bottom line is that cell connections are not good enough for many purposes, especially for many people who have mild hearing impairments but can use the PSTN. Can you say handicap access??

    1. Re:Poor cell voice quality by omnichad · · Score: 1

      Cellular is capable of much better quality voice, but requires more bandwidth. Don't expect the phone companies to give that up any time soon - they're too busy keeping up with data demands for iphones.

  37. Why? by darjen · · Score: 1

    Why is doing nothing never an option for federal bureaucRATS? If the service was really that bad, wouldn't the last few customers just stop using it completely? I guess then the cronies wouldn't be able to stick their greasy paws into every aspect of our lives. I am convinced that these FCC jobs are nothing but expensive busywork for the buddies of our elected officials. Nothing they do makes any logical sense.

    1. Re:Why? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      How long ago did the last manual switchboard operator finally get retired from the phone network? I'm talking the equipment which has the physical wires that are used for connecting telephone customers to each other and to the larger long-distance network and required an "operator" to be working to make every connection.

      This happened relatively recently (I think the last one was finally phased out in the 1980s) and took place over the course of decades to completely phase out. As has been said here in terms of complaints about alternative systems to PSTN, it was the rural areas that took the longest to make the switch to even get onto the PSTN in the first place.

      I also don't see the pressing need to make the whole switch-over to the new network types all at once. It can happen one system at a time as more profitable ways of getting things to happen can occur.

  38. Time scale wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have no problem with losing it, long as they allow enough time for technological perfection of the cell service, it took about 70 years to work out the bugs of the pots system so lets set the date for pots phase out 2080, this fixes the issue of current people not wanting to lose service cause by the time it happen most of us will be in diapers or dead.

  39. PSTN/POTS already unreliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In my rural community the PSTN/POTS infrastructure is very old and unreliable to the point I only have dial tone 70% of the time or less and often not when there is any weather, especially heat. I have tried to get the problem serviced without success and the carrier (Verizon) refuses to offer a wireless broadband or voice lifeline at reduced cost to offset the lack of access to dial tone despite the need for personal safety and security against local crime in this low income, low employment, rural area. Verizon in this case has good 3G wireless access in the area and there is a fiber line less than 1/4 mile from my property and those who are experiencing similar service failures. They refuse to provision the CO with fiber for access to local businesses or consumers at any cost, much less the same cost they offer to their Fios accessable customers in the next town or two over.

    Rural access is a real issue and the easiest way to solve it is to have a lifeline plan of sorts with a reduced cost baseline bandwidth on wireless to at least have basic access to do minimal personal and safety and bill paying activities. I am not talking about unlimited bandwidth here, just a basic 100-250mb plan with VoIP phone that accesses the 3G/4G hotspot.

    Large bureaucracies such as the phone company and the PUC and the FCC have no real concern for real people with real problems. They are focused entirely on process, procedure, rules, filings, political feedback mainly from their overseers, not their "clients", who are for the most part at the mercy of process.

    1. Re:PSTN/POTS already unreliable by drussell · · Score: 1

      This is why basic voice communications DOES need basic government oversight and regulation. If any type of phone company doesn't have the profit motive to serve a customer and serve them well, they'll naturally just ignore them instead of spending money they'll never recoup on you. This is why regulations were created in the first place, so everyone could have at least a basic standard of communication. Nothing has really changed. The access methods by various types of phone companies may have changed, yes, but the concept is the same. Everyone should be able to expect the availability of some form of basic communications to be available. Does it NEED to be POTS? I'm not qualified to answer that, but EVERY type of communications can't be made universally mandatory and POTS was built out the way it was for a reason, and it works fabulously well.

    2. Re:PSTN/POTS already unreliable by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      You sir don't understand the tariff situation with the telephone system.

      The landline phone network is required - by state regulation and FCC - to have pretty much 100% uptime. If you aren't getting that, get on the phone! Maybe from somewhere with real phone service, I suppose. Your state regulators are required to get the problem fixed and they will put unlimited pressure on the phone company to fix the problem, even to the extent of replacing every piece of copper between your house and the CO. And Verizon will be happy to do so to avoid the fines that would result otherwise.

      You are clearly talking to the wrong people about this problem. Verizon (or any landline carrier) will try to sidestep the problem but they are subject to such severe regulation that once the "right" people know about this problem it will be fixed. Fast, too.

      The problem that this article is discussing is having the regulators authorize shutting down, which hasn't happened yet. And might never happen if people wake up and understand the difference in how cell phone service is tariffed and how landlines are. VOIP as far as I know is not subject to any regulation at all right now, or if so, certainly nothing relating to reliability.

  40. OT: Americans, the word by Urban+Garlic · · Score: 1

    In fact, historically speaking, the English word "American" was used to mean inhabitants and features of the English colonies in North America, which later evolved into the United States of America. The part that became Canada was not under British control until after the Battle of Quebec (1757, I think), and even after that, it was quite usual to use "America" or "Americans" in its by-then historically-established sense as referring to the thirteen older British colonies, and to use the term "Canada" to refer to the recently-conquered formerly-French colonies.

    Being a natural language issue, it's not perfect, since "America" also included former Dutch possessions, so you don't get a nice rule out of it, like "America == British-established colonies", since not all of the 13 American colonies were of British origin.

    But, the point is, an educated British subject of, say, 1776, would have thought it odd to use the term "Americans" to refer even to English inhabitants of Canada.

    Of course, it's a source of irritation to folks who think that natural language usage ought to flow from axioms, that same word which describes the American continent does not, historically speaking, also describe all of its inhabitants, but the simple fact is that, for most language users, usage flows from history rather than axioms, and so obvious inconsistencies persist.

    Note also that the scope of this discussion is restricted to the *English* words "America" and "Americans". I have no expertise in other languages (I am an American, after all...), and don't pretend to know their preferences on this.

    --
    2*3*3*3*3*11*251
    1. Re:OT: Americans, the word by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The part that became Canada was not under British control until after the Battle of Quebec

      You need to learn some history.

      At the time of the Battle of Québec, the area controlled by Britain via the Hudson’s Bay Company for almost a hundred years prior, which eventually became part of Canada, was far greater that the French North American colonies. And The French had already lost Acadia to the British fifty years earlier, territory which also became part of Canada.

      At that time, way more of what became Canada was already under British rule than not.

  41. stupidity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just because a certain (if growing) percentage of people don't think they need a wired phone anymore doesn't mean that we should be stupid an get rid of the current PSTN system. As others have pointed out, it is the most reliable communications system during times of disaster or long term power outages.

    Many non-techies are not going to have alternate methods of charging their cell phone batteries, so the cell phone will be useless when the batteries die. Internet service will most likely be one of the first services lost. Even if not, desktop computers are useless without mains power, and laptop/netbook batteries die too.

    The badly aging power grid here in the U.S. is getting less reliable all the time. and even if cell towers have generators, fuel runs out . During a tornado, earthquake or huricane cell towers are likely to be damaged or destroted.

    Besides, some of us neither need nor want a cell phone!

  42. Of course, you know what will happen... by jejones · · Score: 2

    Some Congresscritter will come up with the idea of making everyone with cell phones, VoIP, and broadband connections pay even more to subsidize the dwindling number of PSTN users.

  43. VOIP only for 9 years by randallman · · Score: 1

    I dumped PSTN somewhere around 2002, first went to vonage and shortly after to Asterisk + PSTN gateways. Over these 9 years I think I've developed an idea of the pros and cons of VOIP.

    * Call quality, on average, has been very good. This probably depends mostly on one's ISP, but call quality is better than a cell phone which most people are OK with. I prefer PCMU since it's what the telcos use and is a simple (little processing overhead) and raw codec. Keep in mind that it's possible to use codecs with higher quality (HD in marketing speak) that what's on the PSTN.

    * Reliability is OK, but I've had occasional problems with PSTN gateways not getting calls out and the occasional dropped calls, which I'm not always sure where the blame lies. My biggest headache has been NAT, mostly when trying to bridge calls with someone else behind NAT. I prefer to try to bridge calls directly to keep latency to a minimum.

    * Cost and features ROCK! Keeping a DID (phone number) with Vitelity is just $1.99 per month. I love paying just for the minutes I use, typically between $0.0008 and $0.0016 per minute. And of course the feature list in nearly left to the imagination with Asterisk.

    I have my network equipment and IP phones on a UPS and my ISP (cable company) keeps functioning when my power goes out so my phones still work. I could see this being a problem for the average Joe though. A straight DC solution would be nice and could be cheaper that using a UPS.

  44. everyone .... has access ... broadband or cellular by rgviza · · Score: 1

    " and assuring that everyone who now has PSTN service has access to either a broadband or cellular communication alternative"

    What country does this guy live in? There are still areas (MANY areas)  in the US that are either only served by PSTN or satellite. I'd personally rather use dialup than satellite especially for the work I do in a shell (insane ping times on satellite...)

    --
    Don't kid yourself. It's the size of the regexp AND how you use it that counts.
  45. Maintaining the PSTN isn't feasible by Kuma-chang · · Score: 1

    While I understand many commenters are sad to see the PSTN go, I hope all acknowledge that it is simply not feasible to keep it running. Even today we're shelling out somewhere in the neighborhood of $12-15 billion a year in subsidies through the universal service and intercarrier compensation systems to rural telcos to keep the PSTN running. As PSTN subscribership continues to drop steadily (and it will), the required subsidy levels will only go up. Sure the PSTN had its merits, but ultimately it could not compete with IP networks in terms of efficiency and capabilities, and hence both service providers and customers are abandoning it in droves. Unless we are all happy to shell out tens of billions of dollars a year in subsidies, the PSTN is going to die and die quickly.

  46. FCC shut down the PSTN? by quetwo · · Score: 1

    Last I knew, the FCC didn't run the PSTN -- they just regulated common carriers (the providers of the PSTN to consumers). They don't have the authority to shut it down, nor would they save any money doing so. All they do is regulate the carriers, approve interconnection agreements, and make skewed reports on its use.

    What is also neglected here is two major things :
      - The cellular network runs over the PSTN. Without the PSTN backbone, cellular calls would not be able to be connected to people outside your provider (and even then when you are roaming, you can't call people within your provider either!). Dirty little secret -- most cell towers are connected via T1's via the PSTN to their local backhaul.
      - Most businesses utilize the PSTN very heavily. Because the cellular companies have been so apt to lock down cell phones, there has been very little innovation to make these devices work in a business enviroment. Things like PBXs are still very widely popular in the enterprise and these require connections to the outside world -- something more than a cell phone.

  47. ATM is dead already, killed by MPLS/IP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, ATM is certainly still somewhere where it was installed 10yrs or so ago and it's still operational. But ATM:s dates have been counted looong time, where it's still being used it's long over due already. I haven't heard new ATM installations in about 8 years now.

    So past 6-7 years its been mostly MPLS/IP usually having Ethernet L2. But sure there is some MPLS/ATM too during the transition. Few years from here it's just IP v4 and v6 and nothing else as it's easier and cheaper. PSTN days are counted, soon it's just MPLS/IP with VoIP switches.

  48. PSTN sound quality far better than cellular by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I sometimes hate cellular and VOIP. The sound quality is unreliable. It is always slightly to moderately garbled. There are drop offs/cutoffs when the sound volume goes below a threshold. I have been on Verizon and ATT and both are inferior for the above reasons. ATT seems a little worse than Verizon but they are both in a whole different category than old PSTN. Once in a long while I get a staticy or VERY staticy PSTN connection, but I can always redial and that fixes it.

    PSTN is great when you are talking with your 96 year old mother-in-law who is hard of hearing. She can't understand hardly a word on cellular.

    I will likely have PSTN until they forcebly take it out of my house.

    1. Re:PSTN sound quality far better than cellular by omnichad · · Score: 1

      It saves bandwidth to cut sound below a certain level. I'm looking at cell towers when I say that - they'll do anything to save a bit. Their bitrate is already awfully low for sound. For VoIP, silence suppression is usually an optoinal setting at the ATA, though I'm sure some VoIP providers may do the same.

  49. Self-Powered PSTN Can Be a Life-Saver by DERoss · · Score: 2

    I live in southern California. My electrical service is Southern California Edison (SoCalEd), which can have outages any time of the year.

    My broadband service is through Time Warner Cable TV. When SoCalEd fails, Time Warner's amplifiers die, leaving me with no Internet, no VOIP, and (if I had it) no Time Warner phone service.

    I don't have a cell phone, but my wife does. When SoCalEd fails, the local cell towers die.

    However, my phone service is land-line (PSTN) through AT&T. This phone service is self-powered by AT&T and is not dependent on local power from SoCalEd. Only with land-line phone service can I call SoCalEd to report an outage. More important, if SoCalEd fails, my land-line service becomes the only way to call 911 for emergency services (police, fire, paramedics).

  50. What should be done? by bigsexyjoe · · Score: 1

    Do you think the government should maybe subsidize broadband connections instead?

  51. I will give up my PSTN... by alispguru · · Score: 1

    ... when the replacement has the reliability of PSTN. At a minimum, the battery backup for the fiber box in my house must run longer than the worst-case power outage in my area.

    I could switch to FIOS right now, and they'd give me an interface box they claim is good for up to 12 hours.

    I live in the Washington DC metro area. Neighborhoods in this area have lost power for DAYS within the past few years.

    --

    To a Lisp hacker, XML is S-expressions in drag.
    1. Re:I will give up my PSTN... by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      I will give up my PSTN...when the replacement has the reliability of PSTN.

      Okay. You do realize the main reason for this proposal is that (1) trends suggest that the vast majority of Americans aren't like you, and will give up their PSTN by 2018 without the reliability of the PSTN, (2) recognizing that, for effective provision of emergency and other services, there is public value in having the network actually used by people have at least the reliability of the current PSTN, (3) recognizing that that means that action is necessary to assure that VoIP and mobile networks have the reliability that PSTN has now, and (4) proposing a set of policy changes that are directed at acheiving that end.

  52. XKCD by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

    "If current rates hold, only 6% of the U.S. population will still be served by the public switched telephone network by the end of 2018.

    http://xkcd.com/605/

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  53. Cat5 or just 4 pairs with RJ45? by name_already_taken · · Score: 1

    Interesting; my office phone has cat5 coming out the back, which has been the case anywhere I've worked for a few years now.

    But is a VOIP phone, or just an analog phone with an 8-conductor cable?

    I've done all the phone work for the little company I work for for the past 20 years, and helped some other companies with their systems. RJ45 plugs and cables were often used with the old analog key systems and PBXs, long before VOIP came around. You can't tell what communication method the phone uses by looking at the plug. A lot of the newer business VOIP phones look very similar and to the user appear basically the same as the analog systems that went before, as those analog systems had become pretty advanced.

    --
    Putting moderation advice in your .sig lowers your karma!
  54. Oh it's gonna happen by cdrguru · · Score: 2

    The migration of individuals from landline service to cell only insures that at some point there just isn't going to be enough revenue to keep the infrastructure maintained. So the maintainers are going to want to pull the plug and will start lobbying for that... like it seems they have already.

    First casuality will be DSL. It requires really good copper connections to the CO and they are going to degrade. Even if they don't pull the copper out and leave the CO as a unmaintained building the lines will degrade enough to doom any possibility of DSL in a short period of time. So if you don't have cable now, you might want to look into it REAL SOON.

    Second thing is people will notice that cell phone service isn't tariffed like landlines are. The operating companies are required to have pretty much 100% up time, or so close as to not make any difference. Cell towers are not required to be up. Cell towers are not on large building-size battery banks and do not have backup generators like every CO is required to have. So when there is a power outage, the tower is down until power is restored. Yes, there are UPSs in place to hold the tower service up over short outages, but we are talking seconds or maybe at most minutes not hours or days. Might want to think about that and lobby for getting cell service upgraded from being a luxury to being tariffed like landline phone service is today.

    It sounds really nice that the Australian government is taking over the last mile connections. It isn't going to happen in the US for a couple of reasons. The first one is can you imagine the response to spending 3-4 hundred billion on such a project today? No, sorry, it would not be approved as the money simply isn't there. Then there is the idea that the government would be actively supporting and facilitating child porn, porn of all sorts, etc. etc. etc. Someone would notice in a big way. You might be able to pass that off in some other places, but I don't think it would fly here. I can see it now where someone fights a child porn charge by having someone testify that the government provided their Internet connection and did not filter it to ensure that child porn could not be viewed. This then constitutes permission and facilitation.

    The private companies that are today running fiber are in large part still supported by landline phone service. It may be a declining part of their revenue, but it is still there. Should that revenue disappear - as is seems certain to do so - why would they continue wiring the world when their remaining revenue is from wireless services almost exclusively? Verizon and Qwest (the two that I know of with fiber programs) could drop all landline services, get rid of the thousands of trucks and wireline-servicing employees and focus only on wireless pretty easily. It would be a consolidation and focusing of attention, both things that are good for businesses. They would likely benefit greatly from increased efficiency - translated as revenue per employee. Oh, did I say that if you didn't have cable you might want to think about it?

    1. Re:Oh it's gonna happen by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Verizon already disconnects your copper when you sign up for FIOS so you can't go back to POTS.

      Ultimately the reason I moved to VOIP was because my POTS connection got so noisy and unreliable due to poor maintenance it was unusable. I called to complain about it and they basically blew me off.

  55. Re:Just try to switch it of... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

    But where are you when the other great memes are dying sir? Do you know how long it has been since I saw a "Pay your $699 license fee" troll or even a classic Natalie Portman post? The Goatse is the TOS Star Trek, sure it doesn't get the airtime it once did but it will never truly go away, while there are true classic like Penisbird and cocksmoker that are truly on the verge of going extinct! So if you want to do your part save one of the rare trolls for future generations. Maybe someday you'll make it into the big leagues yourself, like being the head of Comcast!

    As for TFA when all those thousands upon thousands like my mom that both the DSL and cable companies refuse to serve, even though she is a lousy TWO BLOCKS away from the junction are served? I'll be all for it. But thanks to monopolies and cherry picking there are plenty like my mom that get a "choice" of crappy satnet or a WISP that is often down for a week or more at a time, and thanks to the valley cell is spotty at best.

    What are you gonna do, tell a 68 year old woman that has worked for more than 30 years to pay off her dream house "Sorry but ur old and POTS suxor so move LULZ!" ? If anything in this dead economy the cable/DSL duopoly is spending LESS money on rollouts than the meager movements they were before, and thanks to cherry picking many just don't give a fuck. I know that when I lived there a few years ago there were places in downtown Nashville that didn't have anything but POTS, you gonna tell me in the middle of Music Row is considered the sticks?

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  56. In related news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The government is going to save a fortune by shutting down the Interstate and US highway system by 2018 as everyone moves to hovercraft and flying cars.

  57. True story by sean.peters · · Score: 2

    A few years ago, Hurricane Isabel blew through my part of the world, causing a lot of severe damage. My power was out for almost three days. I had no cell service (damage to either the tower or its power supply, I'm not sure which), no cable service for quite a while even after the power came back on, etc. But! I had kept an old Princess phone around (my wireless handset was useless, obvs), and as a result, had POTS the whole time. Luckily, we didn't have any emergencies, but if we had, I could have called someone.

    I'm not so well prepared any more - we replaced our landline service with your standard TV/Internet/phone bundle (Verizon FiOS). While this system has a battery backup that will allow phone calls for an hour or so after lights out, after that... if the cell service is also down, I guess it's back to smoke signals.

    1. Re:True story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reserve can also be true depending on the type of damage. During the great ice storm in Quebec(1998?) power and phone lines were out for almost a month but I had access to cellular calls the whole time. Back then they were really expensive and I ended up wtih a very steep mobile phone bill.

    2. Re:True story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can still make emergency calls on a POTS line even if you're no longer paying for the service. Go ahead and try plugging in your old phone and dial 911, but make sure the very first thing you say to the operator is "This is not an emergency, I'm just testing that I can still make emergency calls from this phone." Pay phones should work just the same - no payment necessary to dial 911.

    3. Re:True story by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      And of course, Superman isn't around anymore since he has nowhere to change.

    4. Re:True story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can keep your POTS under the Verizon FiOS TV/Internet/phone at the same price. Just call them and ask them to switch you back to a copper telephone line. It should even be a transparent switch back. This is a must need if you have a family member that might require medical assistance in the near future.

  58. Happening on its own by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

    Doing this by 2018 is pretty much impossible. There's still huge chunks of land without BB service or even decent cell phone coverage.

    The whole basis of the recommendation is a finding that without any policy change, the current trend would have about 6% of the population still using the PSTN network by 2018. I don't really think its anywhere near impossible to bridge that 6% gap with appropriately targetted incentives for service provision and integration of the types recommended.

  59. But it is broken... by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

    I agree. If it ain't broke don't fix it.

    PSTN is broken as a mechanism for connecting people reliably to emergency services. It is not broken because it is technologically inadequate, it is broken because people are not choosing to retain access to the PSTN network.

    The alternative services which people are choosing are also, currently, broken for connecting people reliably to emergency services.

    The recommendation is to recognize that the first fact is a trend that is largely desirable except for the second fact, and to address the problem posed by the second fact.

    1. Re:But it is broken... by metalmaster · · Score: 1

      I agree. If it ain't broke don't fix it.

      PSTN is broken as a mechanism for connecting people reliably to emergency services. It is not broken because it is technologically inadequate, it is broken because people are not choosing to retain access to the PSTN network.

      The alternative services which people are choosing are also, currently, broken for connecting people reliably to emergency services.

      The recommendation is to recognize that the first fact is a trend that is largely desirable except for the second fact, and to address the problem posed by the second fact.

      I blame the telcos for pushing new services without first taking things like E911 into account.

    2. Re:But it is broken... by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

      I blame the telcos for pushing new services without first taking things like E911 into account.

      Placing blame on them, even if it is well-deserved, doesn't do anything to address the issue.

  60. mandated emergency services by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    PSTN is still in daily and high-profile use as the primary transport path for delivery of live closed captioning data to major and minor television and cable TV broadcasters. Internet delivery of caption data is available, growing in use and eventually may supplant POTS lines, but the technology is still in "beta," and if the power goes out in an emergency (which is what closed captioning was mandated for in the first place), the old POTS copper lines are still going to be needed when a captioner's DSL or broadband connection loses its juice. VoIP and digital cable phone lines do not pass the caption data through clean enough for the encoders to process correctly (the packetization of the analog waveform caption data causes garbling, changing of colors and jumping around on screen if digital transports are used in place of POTS lines). So at least in terms of providing information to the public during emergencies, PSTN will continue to be necessary and extremely useful.

  61. Maybe if it weren't so expensive. by bobdole369 · · Score: 1

    I might consider a phone line, esp since we are in hurricane country. However it costs friggin $60 a month!!!!!!

    --
    Lousy facepalm.
  62. WTF? PSTN != POTS! by Scareduck · · Score: 1

    The author of this piece has confused the public switched telephone network with Plain Old Telephone Service (POTS). The PSTN isn't going anywhere; the question is, will old-fashioned analog phone service?

    --

    Dog is my co-pilot.

  63. Order of Failure by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

    During natural disasters of various types, the first to go: Cell towers; seond: Cable TV / Broadband; third: power; forth: POTS.

    Careful what you wish for.

  64. Credit cards? & FAX, isn't these a use of PSTN by neurocutie · · Score: 1

    Many business (small stores) that I know ring up credit card purchases via simply CC readers that use PSTN to dial into CC verification centers. I don't think these stores are interested or can afford paying 4X for an Internet connection instead, even if they could get BB Internet (which many semi-rural or rural locations wouldn't be able to, for *any* reasonable price).

    This would also be the death of FAX as most VOIP and NO cell services cannot do FAX well or at all. Yet many businesses still rely on FAXing...

    ergo, I don't believe in this 2018 date... not at least until BB Internet is available EVERYWHERE that PSTN is, and I mean everywhere, not just 99% of the population (which is a meaningless statistic for public policy, even though it is what, from an economic standpoint what might may sense)...

  65. Verizon has stopped fiber Re:The actual PSTN by neurocutie · · Score: 1

    Goodbye DSL. It will not exist any longer. And no, the government isn't going to decide to spend billions on putting fiber in to every home. Verizon is already doing it and Qwest is getting started. Unfortunately, they might stop or really slow down if there is no more revenue from landline service.

    At least in our area (Upstate NY) Verizon has STOPPED deploying fiber... not economical... not enough profit... so no, it isn't necessarily going to happen commercially...

  66. Say it ain't so by iamacat · · Score: 1

    Nobody who experienced wonderful "consistency" of cellular and cable networks would want to depend on one in an emergency or even to call a taxi to airport. That's like saying it's time to get rid of seat belts in leu of self driving cars.

  67. Re:Credit cards? & FAX, isn't these a use of P by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

    I gave up on fax a long time ago because the technology just doesn't work reliably on VOIP, and you can't tell who has VOIP. E-mail is so superior to fax it isn't funny. So as far as I am concerned fax is dead already.

    As far as cost of PSTN business lines, I bet if you took a look at their tariffs you would find that they can get Internet connectivity at a lot less than 4x the cost of a PSTN line.

  68. Re:Credit cards? & FAX, isn't these a use of P by gl4ss · · Score: 1

    in the first world those point of sale connections work through cellular data networks, because it's way cheaper than paying for dialing. you only need a fax if you're doing business with the french(and you could send faxes with cellphones in 1995 - nobody gives a shit about that capability now so almost no new phone supports it, they assume that if you want fax you'll use an email-fax service or similar).

    --
    world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  69. Nonsense? But but but... by ratboy666 · · Score: 1

    The "internet" started with the PSTN. Using modems, and the "internet" inherited the reliability of the the PSTN. Of course, having multiple paths is more reliable, and, unlike the PSTN, the "internet" is more tolerant of less reliable connections.

    As more data needed to be shipped, things like fiber were implemented. Packet switched, just like the "internet". Now, the PSTN uses that same infrastructure. Instead of the "internet" being supported by the PSTN, the PSTN is supported by the "internet".

    Which means that the "best effort paradigm of the Internet" DOES work for all applications, including telephone type services.

    Now, local telephone loops supply power separately from the grid. If the grid doesn't function, the telephone may still be powered. An accident of history.

    PS. There was no guaranteed quality of service from the phone company either. In fact, it was a running joke while it was still a monopoly.

    Lily Tomlin: "We don't care; we don't have to. We're the phone company."

    --
    Just another "Cubible(sic) Joe" 2 17 3061
  70. Re:Credit cards? & FAX, isn't these a use of P by luther349 · · Score: 1

    i havent seens a busness rely on faxing in years.most are using email and pdf files.

  71. FCC Open Internet rules by DragonWriter · · Score: 1

    Citation please?

    FCC Report and Order 10-201, Adopted Dec. 21, 2010.

    Because there are many articles here on /. about how cable and mobile carriers are finding various ways to throttle or discriminate among data and in general act in a non-common-carrier-like fashion, and how they have challenged and opposed attempts at net neutrality rules.

    Those actions, for the most part, are the background that motivated the current Report and Order. The rules are adopted but not yet effective because required approval of information collection components associated with the enforcement process has not yet occurred (the public comment period ends August 8, 2011.)

    It is true that a previous net neutrality-related order adopted on the basis of different statutory authority was struck down as unauthorized by the authority on which it relied.

    Obviously, were this order -- the existence of which is part of the premise of other subsequent FCC broadband actions and proposals, including the one related to PSTN under discussion here -- to be repealed (as some in Congress have already attempted, though they've failed to line up sufficient support) or struck down by the courts (as both Verizon and MetroPCS, and maybe others, have already sought to have done before it went into effect), that would change the landscape with regard to other broadband efforts that build on the framework of broadband access with limits on broadband operators power to constrain legal uses of the network that the Open Internet order sets up.

  72. PSTN != POTS by Vrtigo1 · · Score: 2

    I didn't read TFA to see if they're talking about residential PSTN connections only, but in terms of businesses, I don't see this happening anytime soon.

    If you're a business, you basically have three and a half choices when it comes to voice communication with the rest of the world:

    1) POTS, most small businesses still rely on this, but it's impractical for larger businesses with more than about 50 employees at a given location

    2) ISDN - many medium and most large businesses use ISDN for connectivity to the PSTN because it just plain works

    3A) On-net VoIP - I.E. phone service from your cable company, or SIP over a dedicated link (i.e. from a CLEC over a T1, etc / not over the Internet)

    3B) Off-net VoIP - I.E. Skype, Vonage, Ring Central, Google Voice, etc.

    Of these, off-net VoIP really has no QoS capability, so it's not especially suitable for business use. I know tons of people use it and are happy with it (myself included, for home phone service), but when the rubber meets the road, businesses are more than willing to pay for ISDN or on-net VoIP for the QoS and reliability.

    On-net VoIP is where I see the traditional PSTN losing most of their business over the next few years. But, you have to realize that the majority of small businesses that are using it are doing so over channelized T1 circuits, which still require the PSTN (T1 circuits = PSTN). You can also do it over fiber, and that's where I see the bulk of Ma Bell's business going. Although the phone companies are in some cases still providing the fiber, I don't consider that to be the PSTN.

    So when you look at it, the phone companies are losing business, but I don't see the PSTN going away any time soon.

    I think what the article meant to say is that POTS is going away, but POTS != PSTN. I think the article is just poorly summarized.

  73. This may finally kill the fax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I hope it kills the fax.

  74. Re:Just try to switch it off by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I See this AFTER I clicked the link!

  75. TIC TAC TOE by chuckpeters · · Score: 1

    TIC: A couple years ago the Verizon CEO said they don't care about land lines anymore. Perhaps it could be that they are essentially an unregulated monopoly when it comes to cell service where we live. Profit... and how might they make more money, perhaps do away with the POTS lines.
    TAC or FCC TECHNOLOGICAL ADVISORY COUNCIL: and get a bunch of other business people with conflicts of interest http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Releases/Daily_Business/2010/db1025/DOC-302376A1.txt who will profit from increased business to tell the govt what is best for them.
    TOE: We will hear about this one later. Does anyone remember how Verizon promised to put fiber every where in exchange for being able to get back into the long distance business? And how the delivery of that so called promise doesn't exist, at least not in our county, or any of the surrounding counties. A phase out will be announced with some promises about how great cell and broadband will be, and we will probably just see higher monthly bills...

    We lost power for almost two weeks after Hurricane Isabel and cell service was mostly down, cable TV was down and the POTS line worked intermittently. My brother bought a cheap generator and we could use our dialup service while the landline worked. Although only one very old computer and the laptop could take the non standard voltages of our cheap generator... It was about 3 weeks without cabletv, which also is our current ISP. A couple of months ago I tried to call 911 with our cell phone when I saw (likely a drunk driver) a truck driving slowly down a dark road with no lights, and guess what 911 didn't work! My parents are elderly and I have argued with my father for a couple of years now not to get rid of the land line because it is more reliable in an emergency. This is all I need, now he will get rid of the land line and need it for an emergency call...
     

    1. Re:TIC TAC TOE by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      We lost power for almost two weeks after Hurricane Isabel and cell service was mostly down, cable TV was down and the POTS line worked intermittently

      I think it depends on where you live; what natural disasters you're subject to. Two tornados tore through my town in March 2006 (I lournaled about it)*. There weren't many utility poles left standing, and the entire electrical infrastructure of my part of town had to be completely rebuilt. Power was out for a week, POTS was down for three weeks, the cell phone service didn't stop once.

      I'm sure the service provider has a lot to do with it as well. The city owns the power company, so if service suffers the mayor won't get re-elected. A much weaker tornado hit the St Louis area a few months later. I visited a friend down there a month after his tornado, and the only evidence there had even been a tornado was that he was still without electricity (Amerin is a particularly bad company; I have them for natural gas). Meanwhile, it was a full year before all the mess was cleaned up in Springfield

      * The journal is a rambling essay; hurricane and tornados are toward the end)

  76. Re:Just try to switch it of... by coaxial · · Score: 1

    But where are you when the other great memes are dying sir?

    I was busy pouring hot grits down my pants!

  77. Re:Credit cards? & FAX, isn't these a use of P by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't know what your contact with business is... but FAX *is* still used quite a bit. I've used faxes (both send and receive) several times in the past week.