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3D Printing and the Replicator Economy

An anonymous reader writes "'Tea. Earl Grey. Hot,' is a command familiar to every Trek fan as representing everyday use of replicator technology. While its use on the show is simply sci-fi wizardry, the beginnings of that technology is now making it into homes, and could spark an industrial revolution. 'New 3D printing and other so-called additive manufacturing technologies are based on methods that industries developed over the past quarter century to rapidly create prototypes of mechanical parts for testing. But as these methods become increasingly sophisticated, demand is rising to use them to manufacture finished products, not only in factories but also at a boutique, one-off level for individuals. ... Already, 3D printing has been used to make tools and artworks, custom-fitted prosthetics for amputees, components for aviation and medical instruments, solid medical models of bones and organs based on MRI scans, paper-based photovoltaic cells, and the body panels for a lightweight hybrid automobile.'"

322 comments

  1. stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 4, Funny

    stock up on bullets EMP's and lasers don't work on them

    1. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A powerful enough laser could deflect a bullet, at least enough to make its accuracy questionable.

      Of course, if you have lasers that power and accurate, why not just shoot you so you never get a second shot.

    2. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Or you could just get the Stargate reference and move along...

    3. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by rossdee · · Score: 1

      Jack O'Neill will design a weapon that can destroy them as soon as he gets overloaded with Ancient knowledge.

    4. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by blair1q · · Score: 1

      A powerful enough bullet could end a laser.

    5. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by mark-t · · Score: 1

      A powerful enough laser could end a bullet in mid-flight.

    6. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      But wouldn't the sharks be as dangerous as the replicators?

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    7. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by blair1q · · Score: 1

      I have more bullets, and they cost me pennies in bulk. How many multi-kW lasers are you sporting.

    8. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But doubling the size of the bullet, which will double the heat capacity, should be cheaper than doubling the power of the laser

    9. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by MarkvW · · Score: 1

      Jack O'Neill, hell.

      With one of those replicator things, any problem is a problem for MacGuyver!

    10. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by mark-t · · Score: 1

      A single laser would be more than adequate.

      Remember we're talking temperatures hotter than the surface of the sun here.

    11. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good luck moving that thing around, targeting something as fast a bullet, and, you know, powering the damned thing. Oh right, and do it cheaply.

      You're only about 200 years away.

    12. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by mark-t · · Score: 1

      A laser could easily target something as fast as a bullet.

      We're talking lightspeed here... bullets move only marginally faster than mach 1.

      And why should it have to be cheap, exactly?

    13. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As references go, why go with the most recent one?

      Pick the original!

      And no, I don't mean the original Stargate.

    14. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      When a significant amount of the frontal mass of the incoming projectile explodes into vapor, that's going to have an effect on both the trajectory and velocity. Do it far enough out, you should be able to dependably drive the bullet into the ground or off to the side before it reaches its target. Larger bullets take larger barrels, more propellant, kick harder or require more complex gas venting to somewhat control the kick, are harder to keep on target if handheld (kick and venting both typically foul up aim) -- at some point, they aren't all that practical for anything but mounted weapons. When you have a mount, you're at a point you can fire projectiles lasers can't stop anyway. Like an M1 120mm sabot round...

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    15. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But where can we find a copy of Geocities?!

    16. Re:stock up on bullets EMP don't work on them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the bright side, Replicarter.

  2. Last Tits! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Boobs are a myth!

    1. Re:Last Tits! by Genda · · Score: 1

      Apparently Not... :-)

  3. Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    . . . the post-scarcity economy will be in full swing just as unemployment hits 100%. We'll be able to print out cars instead of just living in them!

    1. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Thud457 · · Score: 1

      Just as long as we don't have to endure a remake of "Americathon"!

      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    2. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      Assuming of course you have the 2000lbs of raw materials to feed into you printer. This is the fundamental difference between replicators and 3D printers that tech articles love to ignore. The replicator (seemingly) fabricated any item out of thin air (yea, there was probably some psuedoscience bullshit explaining this in a reference manual somewhere). But in real life, you're always going to need to feed in the raw materials. And it will always be more convenient to buy a car than to buy palettes of steel, plastic, rubber, copper, etc.

    3. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by elrous0 · · Score: 3

      I always though that replicators essentially recycled everything for raw materials (and maybe had a cache of matter stored somewhere on board in case that wasn't enough). I seem to recall scenes in TNG where crewmembers put their dirty dishes into replicators and they were de-replicated (presumably for recycling).

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    4. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      The replicator (seemingly) fabricated any item out of thin air (yea, there was probably some psuedoscience bullshit explaining this in a reference manual somewhere).

      I always assumed that the "pseudoscience bullshit" was just e = mc^2. The fundamental axiom of Star Trek's society was the existence of unlimited free energy. If you have unlimited energy, you can create whatever particles, atoms, and molecules you need at the moment, and then convert it all back into energy when you're done with them.

    5. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Ultra64 · · Score: 1

      This is the explanation given by the TNG technical manual.

    6. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by OldeTimeGeek · · Score: 1

      The materials were readily available. What do you think happened to the tons of raw sewage generated by the crew daily?

    7. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Didn't Zefrem Cochrane confirm, in "First Contact", that Starfleet personnel never use the bathroom? So where is all the raw sewage gonna come from? But that would explain why Capt. Picard got that periodic squint and pursed lips...

    8. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet, when you see a complete replicator gifted to someone, it's about the size of a mini-fridge.

      All of this ignores the more fundamental elephant in the room in the not-actually-post-scarcity Star Trek world. That everyone somehow gets to be whatever they want to be if they study hard enough. No wars, no famine, humanity collectively focuses on bettering itself. Unfortunately they never quite deal with the idea of labor for shit jobs (which you see, if you pay attention) and remaining scarcities.

      Star Trek was how every socialist pictures the future if it were just done their way. Of course, it doesn't actually make a whole lot of sense when you consider the practicalities of it. Most of us would probably go on a shooting rampage in their reality... but watching on TV, we just assume we'd all be a Geordi La Forge, Will Riker or Captain Picard. But we'd probably just be replicator maintenance technicians or xyz check-in person.

    9. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by Tempest451 · · Score: 1

      No. What is don't see in the old Star-Trek, was the bulk-matter repository that all the food, clothing, and utensil were converted back into after their use. In the newer Trek, it was all created from energy-to-matter conversions. No pseudoscience BS necessary, since Trek tended to use real science as often as possible.

    10. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Deep Space 9 was the only Trek series to ever deal even semi-realistically with human behavior, IMHO. All the other Trek series seemed to presume that human greed, jealousy, ambition, sexual politics (or even sexual intercourse), etc. had somehow been obliterated.

      Data was the only TNG character who ever made any sense to me at all, since he was the only who was SUPPOSED to act like a robot. Everyone else was supposed to be human, not some bizarre automaton who's perfectly happy to work in a sexless, moneyless, greedless environment where everyone presumably got up every say whistling "Zippity Doo Da" out of their assholes. And wtf was with putting families and children on a ship that was nearly destroyed every week? What sane human being would even CONSIDER something that batshit crazy, much less implement it and keep it in place? In real life, a ship that was threatened that much would not only not have children on board, but would probably have trouble even finding a crew. Seriously, a few weeks on that death trap would have John Wayne suffering from PTSD.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    11. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      This is the explanation given by the TNG technical manual.

      You can't argue with facts like that. Or, at least, you shouldn't try to.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    12. Re:Maybe if we're lucky . . . by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      I always assumed that the "pseudoscience bullshit" was just e = mc^2. The fundamental axiom of Star Trek's society was the existence of unlimited free energy.

      I think the phrase "unlimited free energy" is pretty much the definition of "pseudoscience bullshit". You might just as well use magic and have done with it.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  4. Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by hsmith · · Score: 3, Interesting

    3D printers have a way to go, but there already have been modeled objects that have received infringement claims. It will only get worse.

    1. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by somersault · · Score: 1

      And then it will get better :)

      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're an IP lawyer, I'll assume?

    3. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by TehNoobTrumpet · · Score: 2

      I can imagine PirateBay hosting torrents for 3D printer 'blueprints'.
      Then those "Would you steal a car?!?1/! You shouldn't pirate videos then!" commercials to actually be logically sound.

    4. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by whiteboy86 · · Score: 1

      Fortunatelly copycat dudes can't reach this tech due to the cost, a capable laser sintering machine is sold for tens of thousands of dollars.

    5. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by somersault · · Score: 1

      Nope - just someone looking forward to the collapse of our current IP model. They can pry my 3D printed lego set from my cold, dead 3D printed exoskeleton.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    6. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      That's a bit shrill. It's true that there will be resistance to you reproducing name brand products for free. If the technology gets there, manufacturing as an industry is going to face that change exactly as the RIAA and MPAA are, fighting it tooth and claw, and not caring about collateral damage.

      Just as the RIAA and MPAA have not killed downloadable music or streaming movies, and publishers have not killed the internet as distribution for news, I doubt manufacturers are going to be able to kill 3D printers. Likely, the worst case scenario would be a mandatory registry for 3D printers, to make sure they're not being used to print out something that is copyright/patented/trademarked without paying a royalty.

    7. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you're short a couple zeros if you're referring to SLS.

    8. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by ctsupafly · · Score: 1

      The problem is & always has been that copying doesn't equate to stealing. When IP law catches up to this reasoning, we'll all be in a better place.

    9. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For now...

      Eventually every Dell will ship with its own Mr. Copy printer for free because it's a loss leader for the printer cartridges.

    10. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      So were Plasma TV's, 10 years ago. Now the cost is what? and for a bigger model? Cool.

    11. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm going to download and print a car.

    12. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fortunatelly copycat dudes can't reach this tech due to the cost, a capable laser sintering machine is sold for tens of thousands of dollars.

      Yes, because we've never seen cheap Chinese knockoffs of anything complicated before...

    13. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To put a dark side to it, these devices also (theoretically) allow one to manufacture weapons on a larger scale and of a higher quality than those produced by traditional corporations. We'll have to wait a few iterations of the technology to get that far, but then force-on-force becomes a viable strategy.

      Production > logistics > strategy > tactics.

      Production is covered, logistics requirements will be strongly reduced, all you need are good officers and ncos.

    14. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      The problem is & always has been that copying doesn't equate to stealing. When IP law catches up to this reasoning, we'll all be in a better place.

      The law is already well aware of the differences between theft and infringement of patents, trademarks, and copyrights. It's just certain people and organizations that try to blur them all together.

    15. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fortunatelly copycat dudes can't reach this tech due to the cost, a capable laser sintering machine is sold for tens of thousands of dollars.

      About the same as a laser printer in the early 80s.

    16. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Rich0 · · Score: 2

      Maybe. But, robots that build cars were expensive in the 80s, and they're still expensive today.

      I'm sure costs will drop, but you have to look at the components that make a device expensive. If the expensive components are integrated circuits, then of course the price is going to fall like a rock. If they're expensive due to poor yields, then there is also going to be a lot of room for prices to drop, since yields go up as technology improves. On the other hand, if they're expensive because they rely on rare materials (like lasers), optics that are labor-intensive to produce, or because they just need a fair bit of good old-fashioned steel to be sturdy enough then I wouldn't expect prices to drop like a TV set might.

      Right now I see that as the biggest issue around 3D manufacturing. Sure, it is great for solid pieces of plastic that meet certain requirements. However, it is a long way from turning out hardened steel gears and such.

    17. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by brim4brim · · Score: 1

      Well to be fair those robots aren't the exact same as they were in the 80's, one or two feature upgrades I imagine. Also they have a limited audience.

      Mass production will bring proper economies of scale to this and if it uses rare technologies, there is incentive to find alternative ways of doing it if you know you can tap into a mass market.

    18. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      3D printers have a way to go, but ...

      ... they've already demonstrated an ability to produce a phenomenal amount of plastic waste.

    19. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a project where people who have 3D printers will be making 3D printers. It will be difficult to keep track of all of them

    20. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by budgenator · · Score: 1

      In my industry, Dental Technology 3D printing is just now coming online, which is usually used with lost-wax casting, one company offers laser welded framework welded from Cobalt-Chrome alloy powder, which allows one to skip the investing, burn-out and casting phases. Mostly the CAD/CAM milled from billets of Co-Cr, titanium or zirconium ceramics on a 5 axis mill.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    21. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who needs lasers when you have that giant ball of fire in the sky and a limitless supply of "ink" in the desert?
      This guy prints glass from sand using the sun.

    22. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by bigstrat2003 · · Score: 1

      Technically, no. Morally, yes. What most pirate apologists gloss over is that generally the analogy is meant as an appeal to have some fucking morals and not rip off artists creating stuff you like, not trying to claim that it's exactly the same.

      --
      "16MB (fuck off, MiB fascists)" - The Mighty Buzzard
    23. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by icebraining · · Score: 1

      How are the pirates ripping off the artist, if (s)he has the exact same amount of money than before? By that logic, the fact that I don't buy a Lady Gaga CD because I dislike her music is also ripping her off.

      Oh, and just because some people have different moral codes doesn't mean they don't have morals. Yours aren't that special.

      And before you come with the ad-hominems, I'd just like to say that I buy all the music my meager income allows me to, although only from artists who aren't dead (fuck estates).

    24. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Well to be fair those robots aren't the exact same as they were in the 80's, one or two feature upgrades I imagine. Also they have a limited audience.

      it's not like you buy off-the-shelf car building robots. You buy off-the-shelf building stuff robots, and then customize them for building cars. A car building robot would be an automated factory. Building the cars themselves is made up of discrete steps which could as easily apply to anything made of sheet metal and stuffed with plastic, machinery, and electronics. There are welding robots and robots that hold stuff, and of course, robots that cut stuff. And then let us not forget robots that paint stuff.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    25. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Oh, and just because some people have different moral codes doesn't mean they don't have morals.

      No offence, but that's a fucking stupid argument. Stalin had morals, Al Qaeda suicide bombers have morals, even L Ron Hubbard probably had morals.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    26. Re:Won't go anywhere thanks to IP Law by icebraining · · Score: 1

      Yes, of course they did. So?

  5. Replicator economy or peak employment? by Compaqt · · Score: 4, Interesting

    On the one hand you have the possible utopia of unlimited "free" stuff.

    And on the other, the distopia of companies locking this technology up, and firing (almost all) the workers.

    It would be great to believe the former. But a whole lot of people seem to be afraid of the latter.

    Is there any unwavering indicator one way or the other?

    --
    I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    1. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What's free about this stuff? Printers aren't free and the more complex ones that actually do something are likely to be even more expensive. The feedstocks aren't going to be free.

      Unless you can conceive of an economy run on simple plastic objects with no moving parts, I don't see anything today that resembles the hallucination that is Star Trek. Or even The Diamond Age.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Funny

      Oh, and before anyone else feels the need to express the obvious, dildos will not support an entire economy. Sorry.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Talderas · · Score: 2

      Well you've got to be fucked by something? Why not fuck yourself with that dildo you just printed?

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    4. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by vlm · · Score: 5, Informative

      Unless you can conceive of an economy run on simple plastic objects with no moving parts,

      My main interest is making patterns to be sandcast in aluminum. It turns out that patternmaking is remarkably hard and painful when a pattern breaks or is lost. Of course when another is available by "press go" then its not so bad.

      Also note that "simple plastic objects with no moving parts" represents probably 50% by weight or volume of the stuff at walmart and target. Entire aisles of laundry baskets, storage baskets, kitchen gadgets, housewares gadgets, all obsolete.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    5. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Bios_Hakr · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It may not happen soon enough in the scale that will impact the majority of the people, but it is already happening.

      Here is a link to a guy who took the plans for an old Guillows free-flight plane and converted it to a 3d printable version:

      http://www.rcgroups.com/forums/thumbgallery.php?t=1455808&do=threadgallery

      Here is a link to a company that makes a "printer" for foam for simple models and prototyping:

      http://www.phlatboyz.com/Phlatprinter-3-Kit_p_9.html

      I think we are fast approaching the time when the printers will be able to print another copy of itself.

      Sure, you'll need the raw material, but we are at the point now where you could "print" an Ikea furniture piece.

      --
      I'd rather you do it wrong, than for me to have to do it at all.
    6. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well you've got to be fucked by something

      Why?

    7. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by flaming+error · · Score: 2

      > simple plastic objects with no moving parts

      Why "no moving parts"?

      Here's a story of a company that can print a monkey wrench:
      http://www.lowellsun.com/todaysheadlines/ci_18593056

    8. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Knuckles · · Score: 3, Informative

      Also not that "no moving parts" is not even necessarily true: http://www.shapeways.com/shops/oskarpuzzles

      --
      "When I first heard Daydream Nation it quite frankly scared the living shit out of me." -- Matthew Stearns
    9. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You're worried about a hobby-level "technology" that can print out ridiculously fragile 20-sided die? It's not going to change anything. It's a niche product for a niche within a niche. You're wildly extrapolating the potential of this "technology". It's a mold. That's all it is. It's not going to print out a model car, much less a real one. Relax. Physics and engineering haven't changed. You won't be printing titanium turbine blades from plastic with a 10 mil accuracy...

      If you need to make a new know for a vintage 1950s black and white TV however, you're in luck.

    10. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by ZankerH · · Score: 2

      Whoa.
      Whoa whoa.

    11. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by smelch · · Score: 3, Interesting
      --
      If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
    12. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually they already have simple moving parts built into the printing model (see the crescent wrench video on youtube). How long before it becomes more than just and simple machine (in this case and inclined plane wrapped around an axle)?

    13. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by westlake · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Also note that "simple plastic objects with no moving parts" represents probably 50% by weight or volume of the stuff at walmart and target. Entire aisles of laundry baskets, storage baskets, kitchen gadgets, housewares gadgets, all obsolete.

      You won't be paying OEM prices for your chemical feedstocks.

      Think mile-long unit trains. Fleets of container ships. Transcontinental pipelines.

      Does it make sense for the high wage geek to spend hours or days at home fabricating plastic forks and spoons that sell for $1.39 a box at the dollar store?

      Scavaging aluminum at 5 cents a can?

      Do we ignore the problem of air, ground and water pollution when you bring an industrial process into the home?

    14. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by peragrin · · Score: 1

      A former IBM CEO ince stated that there was only a market for 10 computers world wide.

      While I agree the average person wont be buying a car and printing it out what you will find are custom "build" shops that will build you your car"custom designed for lots of plans, some certified by car company" in 48 hours.

      That wont stock cars at the dealership but build them like mcdonalds's as ordered. I figure to see something like that in 30-40 years. Between complex multi tool,multi material CNC mills, and quick print plastics all you need now is the electronics manufacturing( and it is difficult).

      Of course you still need raw materials, and that is where the economy will be focused still

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    15. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Warhammer figurines. Yay. Looking around this room, I also think of cable conduit (Exactly to length and shape of room), dog toys, replacement top covers for the radiator valves, coathangers, the plastic things that the electronics for a USB memory stick go inside... nifty. That last one for customisation purposes. Having a custom-shaped USB stick brings a little geek-cred.

    16. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Genda · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Are you kidding? Do you have any clue as to the actual number of people in America today who are out of work? Add to that the virtual collapse of available jobs in government and public services, well you get the picture.

      Tell me that every advance in productivity, every application of robotics, every technological enhancement that makes it possible for business to make more, better, cheaper products hasn't resulted in higher wages for the Board of Directors and lower wages for the common worker in real currency. We now live in a global economy that sees human labor as a commodity, and all of it is to serve a self obsessed, self indulgent, corporate elite.

      You want unwavering indicators, here are a few that might help you hone in on an answer:

      • The average income for a middle class American in adjust dollars over the last 50 years
      • The ratio of income between the average worker and CEO of all American business over the last 50 years
      • The number of patents issued to corporations per year over the last 50 years
      • The number of patent attorneys employed per year over the last 50 years
      • The number of exceptions, exclusions and abridgments to your civil rights enacted per year over last 50 years
      • The number of people in prison per year over the last 50 years
      • The number of people on food stamps, food lines, homeless and living with friends or relatives over the last 50 years

      What you will see is a mass migration into poverty and population control. We are being herded into oblivion. You honestly tell me if you had a billion dollars how eager you would be to help the masses vs feathering your own nest. We've built a society of bottomless appetites, with fewer and fewer souls who can feed that hunger. Can you see any way for the common man to make out in such a world?

      Let me put it another way. The greater people are responsible for the future. Until the masses hold wisdom more highly than gratification, dignity above notoriety, justice above animal revenge and compassion above dominion, we can pretty much predict how it will all turn out. We have done a spectacular job of teaching our children to be fat, stupid and ready to dance to any tune their corporate masters may choose to play. What indicators are you looking at?

    17. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Most of what you stated is injection molded plastic. Another tremendous machine that can just run and spit out parts. Combined with 3D printer to make the die and then AL cast the mold. We are looking at the worker less, or a lot less workers, facility. Toss in some robots to move things around the facility and you are looking at fixed capital costs, the rest is consumables.

      Also, Star Trek replicator was based on the science of the Transporter, half at least. Energy to matter, based on patterns in the main computer. When you make a machine thats only feed stock is electricity from a wall socket, then I would be seriously impressed/scared. This invention is what caused the utopian world in Star Trek and the federation. Since division of labor for farming, textiles, manufacturing and such was no longer needed and therefore an economy to trade the various goods was not needed, then they were able to explore the wonders that existed and do what your heart desired.

    18. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Good idea. Take it further with a 3D model made of foam and that would make for some easy lost-foam casting.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    19. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Eponymous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Once you can print a printer, they will not be expensive at all.

    20. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "A former IBM CEO ince stated that there was only a market for 10 computers world wide."

      And in a few years he was proven wrong with 1950s technology. So, how many years has the 3D printer crowd had now? Anyone can make ridiculously wrong predictions, doesn't mean ALL predictions are wrong. God, it's like talking to kids in here.

    21. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      And look at the cost of most of that. A laundry basket? Storage Bins. Molding is cheap when you a lot anything. This is useful for limited run items like your patterns. Get on of these that prints in foam or wax and does it fast and it could be great for manufactures. For those widgets you mentioned the savings isn't worth the cost of the printer.
       

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    22. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You forget one side of your first bullet. You forget the price and performance of the items those people purchase. The price of items has gone down. The performance of those items has gone up. And while the dollar used to buy those items is now depreciated in value, the decrease in the price of the items is greater. People work fewer hours to buy items that they use.

      People are better off now than 50 years ago.

      Regards,
      Jason C. Wells

    23. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by MarkvW · · Score: 1

      Somebody is going to sell this technology. It is far too cool and far too desirable.

      The bugaboo of companies "locking up" the technology didn't work for the printing press, the copier, the computer printer, the cassette player, and the DVD drive. It won't work for 3D printers either.

      Too many people will be coming out with competitive devices and everyone will have to fight for market share. The company that sits on the technology and doesn't exploit it will waste a great opportunity.

    24. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Yvan256 · · Score: 1

      We're already at the point where a CNC router can make copies of itself (depending on the design, at least close to 100% of the wood/plastic/aluminium parts).

    25. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Agreed - I saw a demo of one of these printers at a conference (a DIY model), and if you wanted high resolution then it probably would take an hour to print out a spoon. I'm sure the feedstock isn't free either. That $1 box of spoons probably would take a day to print, and if your computer+printer pulls 200W the whole time you've just spent 50 cents just on electricity. I doubt that the quality or durability/etc is going to be comparable either.

      And forget manufacturing metal spoons unless you're willing to invest in blocks of stainless steel and a plasma cutter.

      Now, I could see the value in the manufacture of replacement parts. These can be hard to get, and because of stocking costs/etc have quite a mark-up. The problem is that again you need to have pretty high-end equipment to make them. I used to work with a guy who actually used a private machine shop to create a gear for his bike, but they used much older tech to do it.

      Now, a company that SELLS replacement parts might find quite a bit of use, since the machine might well cost less than the warehouse, and you don't have to pay somebody to inventory and find all those parts, and throw some out from time to time when they don't sell.

    26. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by nschubach · · Score: 1

      The Trek replicators are said to work with matter though. Not pure energy to matter conversion. This is why they say you cannot create precious metals and things like pure Dilithium Crystals to power said replicator. (it's pseudoscience, but that's an explanation.) Somewhere/anywhere on the ship there's matter storage that feed the replicators. Of course, using this idea, you could break down other matter/waste to feed these stores.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    27. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by AkkarAnadyr · · Score: 1

      I see the banks have people reading Slashdot.

      --

      I bought this house and you know I'm boss
      Ain't no h'aint gonna run me off

    28. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by michael_cain · · Score: 2

      And forget manufacturing metal spoons unless you're willing to invest in blocks of stainless steel and a plasma cutter.

      Direct metal laser sintering machines are already in commercial use (article with pictures of produced items here) that could manufacture metal spoons. Current metals in use include stainless and maraging steel, and titanium alloys. In theory, almost any alloy could be used. I have to believe that machines built around 200-watt lasers, and properly prepared stainless steel powder, are beyond the budget of most hobbyists who would be interested in making spoons :^)

    29. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by michael_cain · · Score: 1

      I also think of cable conduit (Exactly to length and shape of room)

      At least today— who knows about the future, maybe a continuous rather than batch process will be available— the size of objects is pretty limited. You might have to settle for snap-together pieces with the last piece being exactly the 7.468" length that you need.

    30. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks to the wonderful javascript technology of slashdot. Opening links has become as simple as righ-click>copy link location>open new tab>paste url in adressbar>enter!

    31. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by hitmark · · Score: 1

      Depends on the ability to recycle the material when broken or not.

      I know there are some project or other out there looking into grinding up and reusing previous creations as feed for new ones.

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    32. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by nschubach · · Score: 1

      It's great (strike that... annoying) that the site prioritizes application/json over text/html regardless of quality ratings in the HTTP accept string. It makes navigating it rather pointless if you have a JSON formatting plugin. I mean, if my browser accepts application/json (no matter what quality (;q=0.n) rating I give it) the site gives me application/json.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    33. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by tecnico.hitos · · Score: 1

      Including the eletronic components? I don't think so. Everytime they I hear someone saying that any 3D printer can "print itself", it strikes me as marketing speech.

      --
      The good, the evil and the vacuum tubes.
    34. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by hitmark · · Score: 1

      And it is spreading. The other day there was news that Foxconn (yes, that Foxconn) was going to buy a whole lot of industrial robots.

      And industrial robots are getting better all the time:
      http://singularityhub.com/2011/04/23/look-out-humans-this-frida-robot-from-abb-will-take-your-factory-job/

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    35. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Nick+Ives · · Score: 1

      So basically what you're saying is that Marx was right about class warfare and crisis of overproduction. Capitalism depends on consumers to buy the things that are produced but individual capitalists want to have as few workers as possible to cut costs, thereby creating a contradiction.

      Note that I'm not trolling you; I find it heartening to see more people coming around to socialist ideas.

      --
      Nick
    36. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention the parent project of makerbot, RepRap

    37. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Last time I checked the Makerbot could only print part of itself. It couldn't handle metal. (There are fancier 3-D printers that can, but not the Makerbot.)

      I haven't yet heard of a 3-D printer that could print a motor. (I think I heard of one that could print a battery, though. Just not a very good one. And it may have been on paper.)

      Still, things have been progressing fairly rapidly. Just not as rapidly as people clamor for them to.

      But do remember. These things *AREN'T* assemblers. They are just printers. They work with chemicals and heat. Their only advantage over traditional methods is that advantage of dot-matrix printers over daisywheels. And remember that daisywheels were dominant for a long time. Even after dot-matrix became cheaper, daisywheels could produce better appearing letters. They didn't disappear until laser-printers (assemblers in this metaphor) became common.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    38. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by HeckRuler · · Score: 1
      I still don't get this mentality. Progress is progress. If we have free limitless energy/food/clothing/trinkets/communications/rougelikes/manufacturing tomorrow, then the world is a better place. Where it took X resource to do something, now it takes x/100, and nearly anyone can do it. That's fantastic. Yeah, a portion of the populous that used to make their living hand-delivering mail by buggy, or carving gears out of wood, or whatever is going to be out of work. (Although, many jobs are just shifted to servicing the tools). But so what? We don't need them anymore. You don't need to break windows, just to employ people to fix them.

      That is, common workers get laid off. Yeah, it sucks to be an uneducated manual laborer. Duh. Retrain, learn something new, be awesome. And this is why I'm ok with social welfare and taxing the rich. Because it's simply an unfair system, it's hard to change like that, and some people just can't. But progress is progress, and it's good.

      You honestly tell me if you had a billion dollars how eager you would be to help the masses vs feathering your own nest.

      Quite eager. I'm arguably close to that point anyway. Not a billion, but to a point where I have enough money to live comfortably. Where more money really won't make a difference. It's nice. I have to keep working, of course. But with my skillset, career, and savings, I'm pretty much set. I donate to webcomics, the EFF, hacker spaces, and various people I think make the world an awesome place. There is another point where you can stop working and live off of interest and investments. Perpetual money. But I'd never stop working, I'd just work for myself on what I want.

      Can you see any way for the common man to make out in such a world?

      Get an education, be less common, and make yourself valuable. Be awesome. And if that's simply not in the cards, well lean on me my brother, I'll bear your weight. At least enough to keep you from starving out in the street and murdering me for a sandwich.

      Until the masses hold wisdom more highly than gratification...

      Oh. Well, you see you're just getting old and cynical. People are still more or less good when you average everything out. Relax dude. Go be awesome.

      What indicators are you looking at?

      Human nature. Scientific advancement. My neighbors. The Internet. Times are good.

    39. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by nschubach · · Score: 1

      That reminds me of an old Woodwright's Shop episode where he carved a pair of wooden pliers out of a single piece of wood, no "assembly" required. After his last cut, they just worked like a set of pliers made of wood. There are a few tricks he showed to carve out the wood and make the wrench without breaking it apart at all. I could not find any pictures of similar feats, but I saw this episode well over 15 years ago. It's not all that hard to do with a layered maker bot to make items with all sorts of moving parts. I'm sure it's also much easier than carving out wood cubes with balls in the middle and other crafting oddities.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    40. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I once had an Economics teacher in High School try to explain that the Capitalist world would eventually shift on it's own to a Socialist model, but he would not go as far as stating how you'd go from Capitalism to Socialism.

      I mean, I get the lovey-feely humans working for the benefit of humans feelings of Socialists, but I don't fully believe that there's enough progress in the world to make such a switch. It would be nice if all our needs could be taken care of and our wastes removed without "forcing" someone to do the labor, but there are still jobs today that nobody wants to do on their own without some serious motivation.

    41. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, this is really well written..

      (Not sarcasm)

    42. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Genda · · Score: 2

      Read my post, the problem is not inherently with capitalism or socialism. The problem is training people from birth to hold material gratification above their own humanity and/or the humanity of others. The reason the US system worked so well to begin with, is that through checks and balances it was designed to limit the damage the worst in people could illicit and empower the best that people could accomplish. Almost from the start, individual interests have been at war with these principles and what we see now are the results of a complete breakdown in those checks and balances.

      People are prone to ideologies, superstitions and magical thinking. The current pervasive mental illness supposes that you can cut enough tax to make the government work while at the same time demanding more and more from that government. That is by very definition bankrupt. It only leaves the option for that government, to print money, and if you don't think that's a tax, you need to study basic economics. Socialist and Communist governments fair no better as long as the people running those governments are no different and certainly no better than the corporate thugs running America today. To quote The Who "Meet the new boss, same as the old boss."

      Its time for humanity to transform. Its time for humanity as a super-organism, to evolve to the next level, to literally grow up. As long as the dominant memes that give us the society we currently live by, are based on scarcity, *unenlightened self interest, domination, conflict and moral self righteousness, we are pretty much never going to reach operational escape velocity. Our modern societies are literally built to promote thinking that is based of thousands of years of fallacy. Why is it that all past civilizations collapsed? These are predictable cycles. It is time to transcend our history. Or we'll repeat it, with the major difference being that the next civilization to rise will not have the necessary resources to transcend.

      Forgive me if this sounds airy-fairy. Its not. There is nothing mystical about letting real visionaries lead humanity in a radically different direction. It would however demand a large number of people suspending belief, because it is the very beliefs themselves that doom us to the outcomes those beliefs fulfill. I suggest that rather than a social ideology, we as a species migrate towards operational sanity.

    43. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Nick+Ives · · Score: 1

      Well, I don't think capitalism will just eventually switch to socialism. The point at which things start being made so cheaply leading to overproduction is when cuts are made to increase profits. That's the point that socialists need to organise to take over society through either constitutional or revolutionary methods. Either is appropriate depending on the circumstances faced by organised labour.

      The big question is what comes next. I don't think it's immediately possible to do away with markets, but markets could clearly be better regulated. Personally I'd rather refuse and sewerage workers, for example, had the best houses for doing the least desirable jobs.

      Also I think it would be desirable for everyone to essentially work for agencies at a good rate (possibly one massive agency; in the scenario I'm envisioning I think a natural monopoly would emerge anyway) so that people were allocated jobs depending on what needs doing within their area. Combine that with a generous wage subsidy so that even small local enterprises wouldn't have to be concerned about affording wages and I think it would be better than the current system.

      What I'm trying to say is that we shouldn't have some people working long hours for terrible pay and other people not working at all for terrible benefits. We should have general employment and general subsidy to share both the free time and the money.

      Obviously all of this should be done democratically: Stalinism isn't socialism. The question is how we organise society so that there are incentives to cooperate, peoples needs and desires are fulfilled and that everyone plays a part in production insofar as they are able.

      That's just one idea on how we can transition from where we are now to a society that's centred around the needs of working people. The process of getting working people educated, active and talking about these kinds of ideas and organising to make things happen is socialism!

      --
      Nick
    44. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by bobaferret · · Score: 1

      WOW, that's just awesome.

    45. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by bobaferret · · Score: 1

      You know that at some point there's going to be a whole rule 34 meets Robert Heinlein kinda thing going on here.

    46. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Particularly the feedstocks... I just modeled a wheel comparable to one you could find at an R/C hobby shop and uploaded to Shapeways. Made it reasonably thick so it would appear usable without breaking. Guess how much it cost as replicated in the cheapest uncolored nylon plastic based material? Something around $80. Yikes!

      Go to an R/C shop online for a comparable plastic wheel... More like $12 or less.

      The process is cool, and I really like the flexibility it allows in fabricating one-off items, but pricing as compared to older manufacturing and reproduction processes isn't there yet. Maybe that will change in a decade or so if it becomes more common and competitive.

      There are also other issues, the printing based processes don't allow for clear plastics. (By clear, I mean with some optical clarity like plastic used on a lens. Not that translucent frosted look - even though it's technically clear in allowing light through.)

    47. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Knuckles · · Score: 1

      Thanks to the wonderful javascript technology of slashdot. Opening links has become as simple as righ-click>copy link location>open new tab>paste url in adressbar>enter!

      A click works for me in FF5

      --
      "When I first heard Daydream Nation it quite frankly scared the living shit out of me." -- Matthew Stearns
    48. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by fyngyrz · · Score: 1
      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    49. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...except for all the parts it can't make.

    50. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      This: Non-AI Robots.

      Most work is very simple in nature; they can do it. That can improve things a great deal.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    51. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Penguinisto · · Score: 1

      Personally I'd rather refuse and sewerage workers, for example, had the best houses for doing the least desirable jobs.

      One wee problem with that... everyone suddenly wants to grow up and be a garbageman, and nobody wants to be a doctor.

      It's an example of a small but common problem with most socialist schemata, and one that tends to unravel even the best of intentions: the law of unintended consequence.

      Props for recognizing the evil of extreme application (e.g. Stalinism/Leninism, etc), but you miss entirely how folks like Stalin got there in the first place... they were elected.

      Something else that I've always wondered at, if I may...

      Socialism is supposed to be an equitable redistribution of wealth, so that all may share in the benefits, yes? Now, if you consider that the majority of the wealthy got that way by working for it, and have legally (for the sake of argument) amassed their fortunes, under what moral right does one take that away? It may be luck, it may be inheritance, or it may be hard work that got them that pile of money/property/whatever... but it is theirs. Not yours, not mine. To assume otherwise would be to undermine the basis for personal property law, period.

      If what you have isn't really yours (which is what any overtly socialist redistribution law basically says), then one of two things begins to happen:

      * you decide to chuck it all in and not contribute anything more to society than the absolute minimum required to acheive relative comfort. Nothing more. This in turn reduces overall productivity and drive of society at large. Let someone else take the risks, break their backs, and push hard... sit back and enjoy the results anyway with no additional effort on your part.

      * you decide to hide/steal/hoard what you have, and find creative ways to prevent the government from taking it (see also tax loopholes, shelters, etc).

      How on Earth does one prevent these things? At least on the capitalist side, evil though it may be, works - it's based on the worst of human emotion: greed and selfishness to promote productivity and progress. Anything else is a bonus.

      Personally, everything we've tried as a species to date, well, sucks. They all have downsides, and some of them are garish. OTOH, Until someone comes up with a *workable* society, and one which can prevent the first psychopath to come along from taking over and becoming another Stalin or Mao (or Hitler, or Ivan The Terrible, or Genghis Khan, or Caligula, etc)? Capitalism seems all at once a balance between least evil and most realistic.

      I know, I know - let's point at Europe. OTOH, Europe has a lot of advantages here... it (as a whole) doesn't have to fully defend itself militarily (doing that alone would cost more than I think their system overall could bear). The EU, like the US, benefits from trade with nations that don't regard human rights as a necessary thing. There are a lot of reasons why the semi-socialistic governmental systems in the EU does work, but if the whole world operated the same way, the system would very likely collapse.

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
    52. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by green1 · · Score: 1

      Everyone will have a device, but nobody will be allowed to use it because anything you could conceivably print will infringe someone's patent or copyright and it will be cheaper to just buy the item than to license it... (the devices will also come with mandatory circuitry to detect such infringement and refuse to print if detected)

      Or maybe that's just my cynical side and in actual fact maybe we'll transition in to a society where everyone can have any item they want for what basically boils down to "free"...

    53. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by bmo · · Score: 1

      CNC machining didn't make machinists obsolete. Just another tool in the belt.

      --
      BMO

    54. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      finally that lucky sob that invented the toothpick will get his comeuppance...

    55. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by MarkRose · · Score: 2

      Well, obviously. You'd need fleshlights, too.

      --
      Be relentless!
    56. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Nicolai+Haehnle · · Score: 1

      I like your thinking, but I do believe you're tending to a black-and-white line of thought. Capitalism and socialism are not mutually exclusive (capitalism and communism are mutually exclusive). Capitalist societies have a wide range of different wealth and income distribution outcomes, and I'm not just talking about different countries here, but even the same country at different points in time.

      This whole debate about progress vs. employment is not new after all. Karl Marx develop his theories in the 19th century, and many of his contemporaries worried that labor would simply disappear. Instead, the capitalist societies of the West in both Europe and the US just saw shifts in the labor markets, and combined with increased labor rights they saw a strong move in more equal distribution of wealth in parallel with rapid technological progress.

      Nowadays, labor rights are on the decline, and the distribution of wealth is swinging backwards (and has been swinging backwards for the last three or four decades or so) towards a more unequal distribution.

      I believe the takeaway lesson from this is that things are hardly ever structural inevitable shifts based on technology. Instead, it's all politics. A capitalist society can become more equal by adopting socialist elements. The key is to recognize that this is not really about economic organisation, but really about who has the power. Give the power to the people via strong labor organizations, and most distribution-related problems will naturally disappear over time.

    57. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure beats sitting on the office copier for fun and excitement.

    58. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can always count on my daily dose of cheer from Slashdot.

    59. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i must be part if the rich elite... Doh!

    60. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      There is nothing mystical about letting real visionaries lead humanity in a radically different direction. .

      And those "real visionaries" are exactly the "new bosses" that Pete Townsend sang about. No matter how "visionary" they start out as, eventually the only thing that they will care about is maintaining power at any cost.

      Humans are humans. We are, collectively, apes in nice clothes. Civilizations will always rise, better their people, decline, harm their people, and eventually disappear. Nothing will ever change that.

    61. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Arterion · · Score: 1

      It's not that easy to retrain. I'm 27, and I lost a pretty good job doing some programming and support stuff for when the small engineering company I worked for changed ownership (I got outsourced), and decided to go back to school and get an engineering degree. Unfortunately, it isn't looking so good. Even with a Stafford loan the Pell grant, I'm not sure if I can afford it this year. Even "working my way" through is hard, because jobs are scarce around here. There are enough people out of work that employers don't have to fool with someone with a class schedule. It's not as if I'm a dunce, I have a 4.0 (though I'm only a sophomore), and I've tried getting scholarships, but most of them are specifically for kids coming in right out of high school.

      Sometimes not being cynical is difficult. It's rough to see other students getting additional need-based aid arbitrarily, while I'm on a "waiting list", especially when a lot of them are breezing through with a C in something like English or Art.

      --
      "That which does not kill us makes us stranger." -Trevor Goodchild
    62. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Sintered metal is shit compared to forged. You're still going to need forged parts for a lot of applications. It's potentially good for making spoons, though, if only we had unlimited free energy :)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    63. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      They continually say that some kinds of matter are too complex for the holodeck or replicators to produce, which is the "actual" reason you cannot create precious metals with their system.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    64. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      And it can mill a double-sided PCB too, but that's about as close as it's going to get to handling the electronics. In order to make everything with commonly available technology today you're going to need a heck of a lot more than one tool. You might be able to use a whole room full of tools to build a whole room full of tools, though.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    65. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The reason the "powers that be" would like to replace us with robots is that while robots are still a ways off from being able to do all the jobs humans do, they are even further from being able to rebel against their corporate masters. Humans can do all kinds of cool stuff and they are highly replaceable (there's lots of humans on this mud ball) but they occasionally rebel and burn down your mansion.

      Expect to see mass dieoffs with the world powers doing nothing to stop them once robots can replace most human workers. These dieoffs will be engineered, but in many (most?) parts of the world all you have to do is take your hands off and people will start dying in droves.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    66. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it ain't easy. Good luck and try to stay positive.

      Are you sure you even need to retrain? Years of experience as a programmer is usually leaps and bounds better then a degree. Big shops still require it, but you could look across the nation for similar small engineering shops.
      Unless you're strongly tied to an area, that's pretty limiting.

      Oye, one thing that might cheer you up. Look at it this way. We're 27, only 5 years out of college (or 9 out of highschool). That's peanuts to how long you're going to go on living. You've got, what? Another 50 years to live? Career-wise, we're still young blood.

    67. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The French revolution began because of a tax on salt. Salt was a middle-class luxury in France at the time, and by making it less affordable with a tax, the French Monarchy created such anger in the consuming middle class, the people rose up and overthrew the aristocracy.

      The modern "salt" is access to information, be that a music file, a movie or a CAD document for a 3D printer. Corporate feudalism, not dissimilar to the French Monarchy of old, will lock up one too many document ecosystems, or will prosecute one too many ordinary user, and the public will rise up. Perhaps not violently, but maybe by choosing to buy their "printables" from a company which realises that you can't screw the customer and that consumables are a product that people understand, while documents are just ephemera.

    68. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Even then it is going to be iffy. Lets just take one thing. A laundry basket.
      If it costs you $12 at the store and lasts 5 years. But only costs $2 if you print it yourself how many years will it take for payback on a $1000 3d printer? And frankly that is going to be cheap for a 3d printer big enough for a laundry basket.
      Of things change with the product but still it doesn't really works all that well for personal 3d printers.
      Now imagine a store like Ikea. Instead of you owning the 3d printer maybe they will. You just order what you want in the color you want online and then it is shipped to you or you pick it up. They could have a number of large and expensive machines but keep them going 24/7 making stuff. Some of it would be stocked at the store and other would be custom. That I could see. It is sort of like the difference between people having large really good photo printers at home vs having CVS or Snapfish print their pictures for them. But for that to work we will need to get the speed up, increase the number of materials we can use, and keep the costs down. Now if they could get one that has the same tolerances as CNC and produce stuff from Al and doesn't cost as much as an aircraft carrier then wow.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    69. Re:Replicator economy or peak employment? by lennier · · Score: 1

      They continually say that some kinds of matter are too complex for the holodeck or replicators to produce

      And yet they can replicate food, which is extremely complex and where you really don't want any transcription errors creating, eg, CH3OH instead of C2H6O.

      I'm sorry, I was attempting to apply rational thought to Star Trek. My mistake.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  6. Cars by Baloroth · · Score: 2

    So, when can I download my free car from TPB?

    --
    "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
  7. You know what it would produce by DanTheStone · · Score: 4, Funny

    And the 3D printer would spit out a liquid almost, but not quite, entirely unlike tea.

    1. Re:You know what it would produce by feepness · · Score: 1

      And the 3D printer would spit out a liquid almost, but not quite, entirely unlike tea^H^H^H a car.

      FTFY.

    2. Re:You know what it would produce by blair1q · · Score: 1

      I was gonna say.

      Call me when it can actually make: tea, Earl Grey, hot.

      Actually, Earl Grey is vile and pussified. I'll have the Assam.

    3. Re:You know what it would produce by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      Actually, Earl Grey is vile and pussified.

      Not all Earl Grey is vile. My favorite tea is a nice loose leaf Darjeeling tea. I am lucky that I have a whole bunch (several pounds) at home that I get my Indian co workers to bring back when they go for a visit and then vacuum pack and toss in the deep freeze so it stays fresh.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    4. Re:You know what it would produce by blair1q · · Score: 1

      I'm going to go on spec and believe you just didn't equate Darjeeling to Earl Grey.

      I'm also going to lament the death of SpecialTeas.Com, which Teavana (ptui!) bought out and turfed for its mailing list. Monopolistic tisane-pushing motherfuckers.

    5. Re:You know what it would produce by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      I did not mean to give the impression that I equate Darjeeling to Earl Grey. My whole point was that there is a vast difference in quality between teas, I have had bad Darjeelings, Earl Greys, Jasmines, Chais, Orange Pekoes, along with others so it might be that you have just have only gotten bad Earl Grey. If you have a bad Earl Grey it is usually really bad as they probably put in way to much oil of bergamont or citrius as there should be hints of these but not overpower the black tea flavor.

      --
      Time to offend someone
  8. Not quite replicator tech yet by UnknowingFool · · Score: 2

    From what I remember replicators converted energy into matter. 3D printing converts matter in one form like powder to a more solid form another albeit it is very customizable in the shape of the objects. To me it's more like assembly than replication.

    --
    Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    1. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by earls · · Score: 1

      Replicate
      1. The action of copying or reproducing something.
      2. A copy.

      I guess it all depends on your threshold of a copy.

    2. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by hjf · · Score: 1

      The whole article is a stupid nerd reference to Star Trek. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replicator_(Star_Trek)

    3. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by Genda · · Score: 1

      Actually the first replicators on Star Trek (Star Trek Enterprise), were assemblers, assembling food stuffs from raw molecular stock (also a great way to recycle organic waste on a ship.) The question is always one of energy. The energy required to assemble a steak is not insignificant. The energy required to replicate a steak from energy to matter however is stunning. Of course there may be all kinds of cool technologies to reduce the ridiculous amount of energy it would take using the tech we now have to perform that task. Matter Antimatter technology gives you almost unlimited energy, but I think there would probably be better ways to use it. If you remember the original Star Trek series food was manufactured (small colorful cubes and odd shapes) and replication was reserved for producing industrial components and ship parts. That seems much more likely to me.

    4. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Start trek replicators function by rearranging matter. Crap in*, stuff out. They use the same technology as transporters, but use low-resolution images rather than a submolecular-level resolution from a pattern buffer**. The lower resolution isn't good enough for making living tissue, and the slight chemical distortion in food products gives them a harmless but unpleasant taste.


      *Literially. As Enterprise established, the toilets are piped into the replicator input. DS9 established that the ship's air is also fed into the replicators to scavange it for carbon atoms, thus keeping ihe CO2 levels down.
      ** Vital part of a transporter - a memory that can hold an insanely huge amount of information, including quantum information, though only for a very brief time before the data becomes corrupted (With dirty, dangerous hacks it can be made to sometimes last longer, but not reliably). Readout is also destructive (espicially the quantum. No-cloning theorm), which is why transporters cannot be used as replicators.

    5. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A "Replicator" describes an object which converts data into complex shapes. I fail to see how using a fancy energy to mass converter to produce the necessary raw ingredients makes that much of a difference, compared to a sufficiently complex 3D printer that could build multi-material shapes of any physically possible complexity.
      We name objects for their function, not for how they perform it. That's why the cellphone in your pocket is just as a computer as the 60s room sized computers were.

    6. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Didn't the technical manual suggest matter conversion being unnecessarily inefficient, and instead replicators used energy to arrange a substrate?

    7. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually according to the star trek enterprise technical manual the replicators are a technology similar to transporter technology and do require matter and a template (in the computer/replicator) to assemble this matter.

      Next to quite a lot of energy needed to execute a transport they also are connected to a matter stream coming from the recycling plant, which recycles the waste produced on the ship.

      Most replicators are not accurate enough to assemble living organisms though (maybe the medical replicators can for small organisms), just like the transporters in the cargo bay are not normally (they can be modified in case of emergency) accurate enough to transport humans. Accuracy it seems is a matter of energy usage, speed, volume and mass.

    8. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by OwMyBrain · · Score: 1

      The whole article is a stupid nerd reference to Star Trek. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replicator_(Star_Trek)

      I disagree. The whole article is an AWESOME nerd reference.

    9. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by lennier · · Score: 1

      From what I remember replicators converted energy into matter.

      Which suggests that if you could hotwire a Star Trek replicator to run in reverse (as presumably they must do, to recycle used matter), you've just put several dozen hydrogen bombs worth of E=MC^2 into every household kitchen every time Mom recycles the dishes. And to download patterns, every one of these devices must be connected to something approximating the Star Trek Internet. Which as we've all seen, gets zero-day hacked by aliens approximately three times a week.

      There is nothing that could ever possibly go wrong with such an idea. Let's deploy it immediately.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    10. Re:Not quite replicator tech yet by lennier · · Score: 1

      No-cloning theorm

      Tell that to Tom Riker.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  9. Virus by SnarfQuest · · Score: 3, Funny

    Can you imagine the kind of virus attacks you will have to protect yourself from?

    Beyond a pile of dildos falling out of your inbox every day, you may have to deal with theif-bots, explosives, smelly messes, noise makers, and herbal viagra advertisements. Then, there will also be the polotical campaigns.

    --
    Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    1. Re:Virus by TehNoobTrumpet · · Score: 1

      Political Campaigns?
      Hey maybe instead of ads they'll start printing out money for us so we vote for them!

    2. Re:Virus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it's extremely unlikely that you would catch a virus from a freshly made dildo.

    3. Re:Virus by Genda · · Score: 1

      Forget that... what about assassination by putting a virus in someones replicator that replicates a physical virus? In fact you could have the replicator manufacture a virus with a genetic lock to a single person, ensuring only that person would succumb to your specially engineered Ebola virus. You could do all kinds of very unpleasant mischief with such technology.

    4. Re:Virus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Beyond a pile of dildos falling out of your inbox every day

      Then, there will also be the political campaigns

      You repeat yourself...

      - T

    5. Re:Virus by psycho12345 · · Score: 1

      Umm there was a Deep Space 9 episode that did exactly that, weaved a virus directly into replicated food.

    6. Re:Virus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you mean then?

  10. Won't have it all by plover · · Score: 4, Interesting

    3D printing addresses one component of "stuff". Electronics, servomotors, glass, ceramics, metals, all those are components that may need to play a functional part in anything much more complicated than a Lego brick.

    Don't get me wrong: I've been in complete awe of 3D printing since I saw one in 1991 at IMTS in Chicago. They used lasers to spot-harden UV-curable resin, then lowered the support table by 0.1 mm and drew in the next layer. After it was complete, they drained the resin and rinsed the part off. It was absolutely amazing, and that was 20 years ago. Modern additive machines are even cooler, with the ability to combine different materials and colors, making a finished part with a much cleaner process.

    But they still have to affordably produce a sufficient number of end-user-usable things before we'll see them in the average home. Need a 100 cc measuring cup because all you have are imperial measuring cups? No problem! Need a TV remote control, or a toaster? Sorry.

    --
    John
    1. Re:Won't have it all by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      There are 3D printers that can produce circuits (although they're expensive and calibration is a bitch). You can even produce motors in them. ICs are still a long way away from being possible though.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    2. Re:Won't have it all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You know what I think people will want to make with these?

      Guns.

    3. Re:Won't have it all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      RepRap isn't all that expensive (cupcake is sub $1000). Two years ago someone did make a PCB from plastic and solder. Granted, it's inefficient and slow, but that will only improve with time.

    4. Re:Won't have it all by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      ICs are like the easiest fucking thing to make an auto-fab for. The fact that they don't exist is due to tight tolerances--quality of manufacturing and maintenance needs are so high it's not feasible outside an industrial situation.

    5. Re:Won't have it all by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Those parts are all common though - not custom-made for a specific application.

      The toaster is almost doable. You could create a toaster frame out of thermoset plastic, but you'd have to wind the heating wire on it by hand, and it would have no timer or switch. Fire hazard.

    6. Re:Won't have it all by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Very hard to make guns out of plastic.

      They can make knives instead. Those are much more practical. A replicated knife would dull after a few stabbings, but you can always replace it.

      Then someone else can use it to make knife-resistant armor custom-fitted to each wearer.

    7. Re:Won't have it all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very hard to make guns out of plastic.
       

      Once we all have titanium laser sintering machines the guns will be super cool.

    8. Re:Won't have it all by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      That sounds like a problem that will solve its self.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    9. Re:Won't have it all by Hatta · · Score: 1

      You can make bombs out of plastic(e.g. CO2 bombs). All a gun is is a bomb with a projectile attached. If you make the walls thicker, and don't intend on reusing the item, you will have no problem imparting a projectile with enough kinetic energy to take a human life.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    10. Re:Won't have it all by michael_cain · · Score: 1

      Can I produce a printed circuit board this way? Full meaning traces, plated-through holes, solder mask, silkscreen printing. Doesn't have to be particularly rugged; FR-4 is overkill in terms of strength for most people. If you could keep such a machine busy, how expensive would the results be? Just wondering about the business opportunity; sending designs for simple one-offs to China for fabrication through a consolidation service like BatchPCB has always seemed extravagant in some fashion.

    11. Re:Won't have it all by hitmark · · Score: 1

      The trick will be to get 3D printers that can work with multiple materials at the same time. This so that the heating wire and the shell is printed at the same time.

      And perhaps also borrowing some recent development in inkjet printing may affect how fast these printers can work. There is a company out there that makes inkjet printers that use a page wide printing head. So rather then physically move the head for each line, the ink is gated to the relevant area of the page, and may even be used on multiple point at the same time.

      It may be possible to do something similar with 3D printing, resulting in shorter print time.

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    12. Re:Won't have it all by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      There's a TED talk of a guy who tried to make a toaster..

    13. Re:Won't have it all by fyngyrz · · Score: 2

      If all else fails, you can hit them over the head with the printer.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    14. Re:Won't have it all by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      ICs have the highest ratios of size-of-machine to size-of-product of anything that's made. This is a problem for home fabrication. You can easily fit a machine big enough to construct anything that you might need in a garage - except ICs. Even if you get silicon wafers shipped to your house, the machinery required for a fab is pretty large. Well, for any modern process - Intel's early chips actually were produced in a garage, but you're talking about a few hundred transistors per IC if you use something like that.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    15. Re:Won't have it all by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      The poster above linked to someone who produced a PCD with a RepRap machine - they're under $1,000 - although the quality of the resulting PCB looks similar to the ones I made at school, and probably took longer. The tolerances for RepRap are currently too low for this to be sensible, but it has some potential. For example, the PCB that he made had the solder traces on the outside. There's no reason why that should be. His RepRap made a layer of plastic and then printed solder onto it, but it could easily then put another layer of plastic on top of the solder.

      Unfortunately, it is currently limited to something like solder, with a low melting point (and one that won't melt or burn the plastic when applied). The one that I was thinking of used a resin-based approach, with tiny particles of various materials suspended in the liquid. Lasers were then used to condense them at the correct point. This let you get the kind of quality you get from resin-based fabricators, but with a few different materials. Last I read, they were trying to scale up the number of materials.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    16. Re:Won't have it all by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You mean like this?

  11. Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that breaks by Overzeetop · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The natural progression of most products is towards disposable goods. The danger of this generation (and likely the next) of replication machines is that the materials will not have the kind of physical properties that make things durable. Luckily we've been weaned off durable, and now we expect to be able to break most items with moderate human force. And these items will fit the bill in that case.

    Making components for system critical or life safety functions, except as en emergency "everyone will die if the part isn't here right now" condition, is a bad, bad idea. Of course, there are too many people in the world...maybe this is just another way to thin out the herd?

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  12. wtf star trek? by Cederic · · Score: 1

    Picard's Star Trek post-dated Douglas Adams' take on the replicating tea machine, which was a sadly far more likely outcome than the Star Trek ideal.

    A far more interesting exploration of replicating technology within the home was in Neal Stephenson's The Diamond Age. Although aspects of the exploration within that book went somewhat esoteric it did at least give a hard sci-fi contemplation of the impact of the technology, instead of using it as the background to space opera.

    1. Re:wtf star trek? by rbrausse · · Score: 2

      Picard's Star Trek post-dated Douglas Adams' take on the replicating tea machine, which was a sadly far more likely outcome than the Star Trek ideal.

      hey, we're talking about the 24th century here. maybe Picard prefers his Earl Grey as almost, but not quite, entirely unlike tea :)

      A far more interesting exploration of replicating technology within the home was in Neal Stephenson's The Diamond Age. Although aspects of the exploration within that book went somewhat esoteric it did at least give a hard sci-fi contemplation of the impact of the technology, instead of using it as the background to space opera.

      /. and literature, a strange but fitting combination... another nice novel about the possibilities of a self-made/replication-tech society is Doctorow's Makers.

    2. Re:wtf star trek? by hitmark · · Score: 1
      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
  13. Knee Replacements by Tihstae · · Score: 3, Informative

    These guys http:http://www.conformis.com/index.asp/ make knee replacements based off of MRI or CT scans. They exactly match your knee rather than the surgeon choosing from small, medium, or large parts out of a bin.

    Amazing stuff.

    1. Re:Knee Replacements by hitmark · · Score: 1
      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
  14. Car Analogy by rodrigoandrade · · Score: 3, Interesting

    When was the last time you built your own car? All parts required are readily available.

    What percentage of all PC users build their own PC (overall PC users, not /. geeks)??

    The thing is, most people don't have patince/skill to build things, and they're better of just buying thigs they need, like TFA says.

    3D printing could be the next industrial revolution, but it could also be a niche for hobbists.

    1. Re:Car Analogy by the_humeister · · Score: 1

      Assembling a computer from parts is fairly easy. Building new components is a little more difficult. I don't have access to a billion-dollar chip fabrication plant.

    2. Re:Car Analogy by twistedsymphony · · Score: 1

      You're absolutely right, every-time I hear someone yell that the sky is falling because of 3D printers I ask them how it is that books managed to survive the era of the home printer... just because you CAN print something at home doesn't mean it's cheaper or easier than going to the store.

      I'm sure we'll get to a point where lots of people have their own 3D printer (I'm actually looking at building/buying one myself) but consumer technology is ALWAYS behind the curve compared to what is being used in industry... so to matter how fast/cheap/good home printing gets... the industrial equivalent will always be faster/cheaper/better. Its the same reason the desktop paper printer never effected people going to the store to buy their books... because as well as desktop printing has progressed, industrial techniques have always been further ahead of the curve.

    3. Re:Car Analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When was the last time you built your own car? All parts required are readily available.

      For something basic (70's tech or older), this is true. For anything that will pass a current smog test, the ECU is pretty likely to be locked down by enough proprietary crap to drive a person mad. Add in the legal complications and safety requirements, and you'll quickly find yourself in one of two scenarios: 1: you can build it, but are forbidden from ever taking it onto public roadways, or 2: you can build it and use it personally, but are forbidden from ever selling it to anyone else without some serious liability insurance to back it up.
       
        Another point worth making is that the only reason that we have anybody even building their own PCs is due to standard interfaces. e.g. You can buy a SATA drive and know that it will work on your board, no matter the brand because the interface is the same. Graphics cards, power supplies, fans; they all typically conform to a handful of standards, and compatible parts are available from several manufacturers. Cars on the other hand are rarely compatible with parts from different years of the same model. If you want to start switching around drivetrain components, be prepared for a lot of welding, engineering headaches, and hours of searching for some botique manufacturer who makes a compatible bell housing that will clear the firewall. For computers, it would be like having to solder the chips and connections together piece by piece. Yes, there are people who can do it, but standards and interoperability have made it a significantly easier process.

    4. Re:Car Analogy by snadrus · · Score: 1

      Today's hobbyists are tomorrows small business leaders. Small business moves the economy. A lot more somebodies build cars today than 40 years ago.

      --
      Science & open-source build trust from peer review. Learn systems you can trust.
    5. Re:Car Analogy by vlm · · Score: 1

      When was the last time you built your own car? All parts required are readily available.

      What percentage of all PC users build their own PC (overall PC users, not /. geeks)??

      The thing is, most people don't have patince/skill to build things, and they're better of just buying thigs they need, like TFA says.

      3D printing could be the next industrial revolution, but it could also be a niche for hobbists.

      It's very much like asking why my wife takes pictures and prints them out at home, when far superior photographers using far superior camera and printing gear make really cheap postcards. Why did my grandma knit sweaters that at any reasonable rate of pay were the equivalent of hundreds of dollars? Why did my mom make acrylic paintings instead of buying a reproduction or a professional painting?

      Thats easy, because she wanted to, and no one could stop her. Same thing here. Good luck stopping the guys trying to make 3-d printers. Seriously.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    6. Re:Car Analogy by johanw · · Score: 1

      Printing or copying a book is usually more expensive than just buying it, and then I didn't consider the time it takes. However, with tablets becoming more popular, I find that downloading digital copies of books (from sites that don't charge any money) and just don't print them but read them from the screen replaces buying physical books.

    7. Re:Car Analogy by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      When was the last time you built your own car? All parts required are readily available.

      (Blinks)
      They ARE?!

      I've been looking at Kit Cars for years. And the biggest problem is that you have to have a donor car for the frame and such. You're saying all these parts are just out there, waiting to be bought?

      Where man? This is fantastic.

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    8. Re:Car Analogy by wintersdark · · Score: 1

      All over the place. Take Factory Five's cars - some awesome stuff there - which want Mustang or Corvette drivetrains.

      They recommend you pick up a used one, as that's by far the cheapest, simplest route, but it's absolutely trivial to order all the parts you need.

      Call up Lordco, give them the parts list, they'll deliver.

      Same principle as if you were repairing your Mustang/Corvette.

      --
      Meh.
    9. Re:Car Analogy by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      1: you can build it, but are forbidden from ever taking it onto public roadways, or 2: you can build it and use it personally, but are forbidden from ever selling it to anyone else without some serious liability insurance to back it up.

      In California, the most controlling state when it comes to autos, you are permitted one fully custom auto per lifetime. It is not subject to anything but a minor safety inspection, and to a smog inspection if the powerplant is new enough to be emissions-controlled. That means about 1978 for gas and 1998 for diesel. The vehicle does not have to meet crash standards but you do have to drive it around a parking lot and prove it won't fall apart. It has to have a windscreen (if four-wheeled or more) and a metal firewall/floor/toe pan (if not titled as a motorcycle) but otherwise you're fairly free to do as you will. You need nothing more than basic (minimum) liability insurance to drive it on the road.

      People don't drive homebuilt cars because it's hard! There's a lot of pieces to a car. Further, you have to know how to use tools correctly. Most people would never get past the rotating assembly without getting something horribly, tragically wrong.

      Graphics cards, power supplies, fans; they all typically conform to a handful of standards, and compatible parts are available from several manufacturers.

      Well, "kind of" compatible parts, and everyone and their mom has broken the standards, usually where inadequate, e.g. nVidia graphics cards and ATX power.

      Cars on the other hand are rarely compatible with parts from different years of the same model.

      That depends on if you're counting the name badge as defining a model or not; in the automotive profession you do NOT. The "model" is the chassis. When the chassis changes you expect other changes. Some makers, especially Ford, love to make changes within a model year, while others (notably the Japanese) tend to make only minor changes between years, and the parts are generally compatible forwards and backwards. In fact, you can install many 22R parts (2.2l toyota carbureted four banger) in a 22RE (same engine with fuel injection) even though the engines appear in utterly different models. Meanwhile, there are all kinds of parts which appear in common Ford engines (say, 351W or 351C... which mind you, are two engines of the same displacement and similar performance whose parts do not interchange) which are incompatible year-to-year, or even at the half-year mark, and you have to check serial numbers to get the right part.

      If you want to start switching around drivetrain components, be prepared for a lot of welding, engineering headaches, and hours of searching for some botique manufacturer who makes a compatible bell housing that will clear the firewall.

      Or be prepared to make or have made a custom bell housing, which is not a complicated component. This assumes that the bell housing is removable, unlike (again) most Ford transmissions. (It is not inappropriate to call them Ford transmissions even though Ford doesn't make transmissions, because they do specify the housings.) Of course, in trucks the situation is much more open. You can swap almost any engine to almost any other truck, with the possible exception that the International 6.9 or 7.3 might not fit in other trucks. You can swap a Cummins into a Ford, though, which is probably the most popular full engine swap for light trucks.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:Car Analogy by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Kit cars which use someone else's frame usually use a VW frame which is practically free. Indeed, you can get beetles for free in non-running condition with rust and body damage pretty often.

      Most interesting kit cars use a tube frame and fiberglass body, and then you're usually reduced to "only" having to find an engine, brakes, shocks, springs, and maybe axles/diffs/etc. For a GT40 kit for example most of them use 'vette brakes (blasphemy! but most Ford brakes suck) and you source whatever engine you want, make mounts if it's not a 429 or one of the other engines originally used in the GT40 (289 was first maybe? too lazy to look) and have exhaust fabbed regardless for several of 'em.

      So yes, the parts are just out there waiting to be bought. You can even buy a white body for most popular vehicles. It will be damned expensive, though.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  15. View from the bbc by auric_dude · · Score: 3, Interesting

    A few well timed words from the BBC http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b012r7ty - listen or look. Quite a few ideas and links to follow.

  16. Cost & physical usability is Critical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The 3D design can cost a lot in time, software or contracting work. That is typically ignored in news articles.

    Models vary in strength and precision depending on the RP process & material. When you need fictional fitting parts, the finishing & fitting time can become the biggest expense.

    I don't think RP 3D modeled "printer" parts at home are anything but a development tool at best.

    Want SS, titanium or SLS Nylon Parts? Be prepared to spend $0.5 million or so for the machine.

    Devil is in the details.

    1. Re:Cost & physical usability is Critical by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      There is free 3D software, designs only need to be done once so sharing them online seems perfectly feasible.

      I do not think people will commonly own them for the latter reasons, the same reason I do not own a photo printer. Either I could buy a crappy one that costs a lot in "ink" and does a poor job or just hire out to have the part made and mailed to me, like I do with photos.

    2. Re:Cost & physical usability is Critical by MarkvW · · Score: 1

      Having a 3d design alone isn't enough. You need an instruction set to give to the machine that is going to make the product.

      Software to run CNC routers and milling machines is very complicated (and expensive).

    3. Re:Cost & physical usability is Critical by Hatta · · Score: 1

      This is what open source is for.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  17. Retail 3D printing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    In convenience stores such as Walgreens and CVS, film developing is becoming less common but customers still order large stacks of digital photos. I wonder if it's time for them to replace the film developing machine with a 3D printer. It would be neat to set the machine out where customers could see it, as long as it's not too sensitive to vibration as children would run up to it. The complexity of orders could range from pre-modeled objects to customer-modeled. The store could only finish about one object a day, but that would suit management since production is low-labor and retail staffs are stretched thin nowadays.

    Is anybody here currently working in a retail photo shop, or better yet, work in equipment acquisition? How viable is this?

    1. Re:Retail 3D printing by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Copyright would be a nightmare.

  18. copyright stuff by craftycoder · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think people who say 3D printers are "not going anywhere thanks to IP law" are missing the point. 3D printers are for people who want to design and build their own things and less about trying to save money by building your own version of a absurdly cheap Walmart available gizmo. A 3D printer will never compete with Lego as an affordable way to replace Lego's manufacturing capabilities. I have no doubt that these machines will be co-opted for nefarious goals on occasion, but mostly they will be cost additive rather than cost saving or even cost neutral compared to the mark up on a manufactured items.

    I have a couple of things I've been wanting to build for quite sometime but I don't have rapid prototyping capabilities at home. Once I get to my local hackerspace and print out a a few prototypes and get the design worked out I'll be having them machined out of aluminum and sell the products. More money will move through the economy and maybe even a few jobs will be created. These may even bring about a renaissance in the small business. Here's to hoping anyway.

    1. Re:copyright stuff by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think people who say 3D printers are "not going anywhere thanks to IP law" are missing the point. 3D printers are for people who want to design and build their own things and less about trying to save money by building your own version of a absurdly cheap Walmart available gizmo.

      What about replacement parts? That's where the real use of a 3D printer is, IMO. I'm not interested in copying a $5 plastic toy from Wal-Mart, but I would have liked to copy that $100 plastic laptop back cover when it broke.

    2. Re:copyright stuff by craftycoder · · Score: 1

      That will require an extraordinarily expensive 3D printer because the ones that cost a couple thousand won't make something that big or that thin (with similar strength). 3D printing is at least a decade (several decades is my guess) away from replacing commodity item purchases. They are an incredible tool for rapid prototyping but beyond that they are not a serious threat to manufacturers of plastic crap.

    3. Re:copyright stuff by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      Nifty for counterfeiting though. Brand-name goods are already sold at times for thousands of times their manufacturing costs. Even if printing them costs a bit more, it'd still be cheaper than retail price. I'm thinking Warhammer figures, littly kitchy statues of Disney characters, designer sunglasses, that sort of thing.

    4. Re:copyright stuff by couchslug · · Score: 1

      They should serve superbly for making small lost-material foundry patterns. It's easy to cast metal, but patternmaking is labor-intensive.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    5. Re:copyright stuff by cheeseandham · · Score: 1

      but mostly they will be cost additive rather than cost saving or even cost neutral compared to the mark up on a manufactured items

      On full manufactured typical items that are readily available and have competition. But what about when you want to replace/fix something that is simple, but costs a lot due to the manufacturer being the only one that supplies them?
      An example? How about a bit of plastic on a BMW bumper that saves replacing the entire bumper? (which you can only get from BMW or, if you are very lucky, a scrap yard)

    6. Re:copyright stuff by craftycoder · · Score: 1

      You are right on the money with this. I don't think BMW is ever going to sue you for making your own spare part though. How would they know?? I can imagine BMW eventually charging for a 3D model of the part so you can make it yourself, but I really don't see them getting upset if you fashion your own.

    7. Re:copyright stuff by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here you go

      http://www.sculpteo.com/en/?gclid=CLyZpbqSr6oCFQYObAodey9h8w

      http://www.emachineshop.com/

      http://www.aliexpress.com/fm-store/204943

      Everything you need to build your own super computer, vacuum cleaner, 6 axis robotic arm, tunnel boring machine, etc. What are the advantages of owning your own machine, definitely not cost?

    8. Re:copyright stuff by green1 · · Score: 1

      now... but if their parts department starts loosing enough customers, will they adapt and sell patterns? or do like the current media companies and just try to sue anyone who provides patterns?
      They won't know you're printing it... but they can always troll the P2P networks looking for people sharing pattern files

    9. Re:copyright stuff by craftycoder · · Score: 1

      I don't think you are going to be finding patterns of esoteric patterns hiding on the pirate bay. Instead 3D scanning will become as normal as 3D printing I think.

    10. Re:copyright stuff by green1 · · Score: 1

      many people choose to download a song instead of rip it from a CD because it's easier.

      3D scanners will likely be the same. especially as scanning never gives a perfect copy. Plus, if you had the original piece to scan, you probably don't need the new one!

    11. Re:copyright stuff by craftycoder · · Score: 1

      Your first point may be correct, but as the parts we are discussing will be so esoteric I believe indexing them will be darn near impossible so scanning will likely be the only likely way to get what you want.

      To your second point, I likely will have the part, it will just be broken. So I'll glue it and scan it or scan the pieces and glue them in software. Either way that seems like the most plausible scenario until BMW starts selling 3D files.

      Who knows we are just prognosticating...

    12. Re:copyright stuff by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A 3D printer will never compete with Lego as an affordable way to replace Lego's manufacturing capabilities

      You obviously haven't bought any Lego recently then...

  19. Toffler's FutureShock? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sounds like some of Alvin Toffler's Future Shock ideas are coming into play.

  20. Replication has been here for a while now by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Haas Automation, the largest automated machine tool maker in the US uses automated machine tools to make more automated machine tools. They use several hundred of their own products on their factory floor. This also lets them test out their product in a real working environment.

    1. Re:Replication has been here for a while now by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      of course, replication without automation has been around even longer. My father worked in large U.S. tool and die maker that routinely used their milling machines to make more milling machines, with a lot of blood, sweat and tears of very skilled machinists. Amazing what they did before CNC, complex curves by various tricks of the trade.

    2. Re:Replication has been here for a while now by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Automated machine tools are differn't from 3D printers. Very cool mind you but different CNC has been around for decades.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  21. "Business As Usual, During Alterations" by westlake · · Score: 1

    3D printers have a way to go, but there already have been modeled objects that have received infringement claims. It will only get worse.

    You pay the licensing fees just as you would for anything else.

    Life goes on.

    Ralph Williams' "Business As Usual, During Alterations" First publication, "Astounding," July 1958.

    For any non-trivial application of a replicator there will be issues.

    You LEGO house needs to be structurally sound.

    It needs to be fire resistant. The plastic must not off-gas toxic fumes.

    All this and more has to be documented and certified in a way that will be persuasive to your local zoning board, building inspector, real estate agent, your Savings & Loan.

    1. Re:"Business As Usual, During Alterations" by WillAdams · · Score: 2

      Interestingly there is at least one company building one-off houses using a 3D printing-style device --- out of concrete:

      http://www.physorg.com/news139161727.html

      William

      --
      Sphinx of black quartz, judge my vow.
    2. Re:"Business As Usual, During Alterations" by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      You LEGO house needs to be structurally sound.

      Only to the degree that I determine it needs to be. Artificially enforcing community rules can disqualify anything.

      It needs to be fire resistant.

      No it doesn't; for instance, wood isn't fire resistant, yet makes superb homes. The house just needs not to be set on fire. Otherwise Darwin steps in.

      The plastic must not off-gas toxic fumes.

      Um. Well, depends on what you mean by "toxic." If we're talking *actually* toxic, that is, you get sick or die if you inhale them, then yeah, of course. Nylon sintering already meets this goal. If you're talking your basic flaky new-ager who throws a fit at the smell of a new car... yeah, something's toxic all right, but it isn't the material.

      All this and more has to be documented and certified in a way that will be persuasive to your local zoning board, building inspector, real estate agent, your Savings & Loan.

      Well, no. Wrong approach. What we really need to do is get rid of said zoning board and building inspector, not to mention the legislators that are under the mistaken impression they can legitimately tell us what we can do on our own property.

      Many places in the country are worse than others re zoning; I built the interior of my house -- the walls, I'm talking about -- out of wood, not sheetrock and so forth. Why? Because wood is a much better (stronger, multi-use, considerably more extensible) building material with integral structural properties sheetrock can't even hope to match. Not as fireproof as sheetrock, but then again, I didn't build my home in order to see how well it burns or to impress some inspector with his head up his ass. Instead, I built in fire suppression systems, and my home is WAY better than most others built today.

      We are vastly over-regulated and over-controlled. It's a racket.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    3. Re:"Business As Usual, During Alterations" by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      So you sell your house to someone, and it collapses and kills them? Or your own family members get injured or killed because you don't know how to install a furnace? Should that be only up to you?

      The community most definitely has a responsibility to prevent construction incompetence from hurting or killing people.

    4. Re:"Business As Usual, During Alterations" by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      No it doesn't; for instance, wood isn't fire resistant, yet makes superb homes. The house just needs not to be set on fire.

      That would be a perfectly valid argument if there wee never any house fires.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  22. Not cost effective by i_b_don · · Score: 4, Informative

    Look, 3D printers are cool. They're awesome for anyone who ever wanted to build something quickly. I use one at work regularity so I fully appreciate the technology..... BUT they are just not cost effective compared to mass manufacturing processes.

    There are often many different ways to build something in manufacturing. You can machine something, mold something, 3D print something, etc, and many different flavors of each type of manufacturing. It will be 50 years before 3D printing a lego is anywhere near as cheap as just molding a lego if ever. This is the way of things. 3D printing is awesome for doing small custom things and giving you the ability to do stuff that you either couldn't do before or that would take you a lot of time and skill to develop on your own.

    Let me give you a simple example. I use our 3D printer to manufacture small plastic pieces used in semi-conductors assemblies. This is not my primary job, just a skill that allows me to get my real job done faster. The size of the pieces I print out are around 2" x 2" x 0.5" or smaller. If I try to mass manufacturer them then I can *maybe* do them around 1 per hour. (I have to fill the platter with say 20 of them and it'll take me 20 hours to complete). This will get me accuracy that is not quite as good as molding or machining, but it's within an order of magnitude.

    So, it's not better, not cheaper, and not faster (on a per piece basis). What it gets me is small-quantity-cheap. Custom stuff, prototypes, one-offs, etc. That's it's advantage. AND it can also do some stuff traditional machining/molding just can't do ever. These are this technology's sweet spots. Even if you give the technology 10 or 20 years, you're not going to compete with molding. It's just not cost effective.

    Yes 3D printing is awesome. Yes it gives us the ability to prototype stuff in 6 hours or overnight. Yes it's cheap for stuff like that, but it's just not the be-all and do-all that the "tea, Earl gray" line would have you expect. It will be rare that you will save money by printing out your own stuff even ignoring the cost of the machine itself.

    d

    --
    all language nazi's will burne in heil!
    1. Re:Not cost effective by sootman · · Score: 1

      > It will be rare that you will save money by printing out your
      > own stuff even ignoring the cost of the machine itself.

      What about repairs? I am champing at the bit for a good, affordable, home 3D printer for all the times when a little plastic bit breaks off of a toy or something. It's one of those things, just like any other new technology, where we can't see all the implications and possibilities just yet.

      And relating to a point you did make, one-offs and small custom stuff will also be HUGELY useful. One trivial example: I was at Coit Tower in S.F. the other day, and in the gift shop, they sell souvenirs of all types EXCEPT little miniature towers! An afternoon with a printer and I'd have one. :-)

      --
      Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
    2. Re:Not cost effective by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Thanks for this. Everything you said is true including 3d printing is really cool. It is just too handy to draw a part and print it without waiting for a machine shop to get it done.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    3. Re:Not cost effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So just use the printer to make your first Thing, then use it to make a pattern and mold (or cast, or whatever) the next two million Things based on it. That way you can get the best of both worlds: customization (from the printer) and mass production (from the molding or casting).

    4. Re:Not cost effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Says the guy who never waited 3 weeks for a part to get back from China to find out it needs to be changed, but only to find out he is stuck with 10,000 worthless units.

    5. Re:Not cost effective by nine932038 · · Score: 1

      It depends on what you mean by "cost effective". Many people would argue that our current manufacturing process isn't cost effective either, in the long run - we're simply outsourcing our pollution and other industrial effluvia.

      Arguably, building a small, localized industrial base which is extremely flexible might be better than sending all our money to China.

    6. Re:Not cost effective by i_b_don · · Score: 1

      Maybe you didn't fully read my post... My whole point was that 3D printing is good for a subset of things. "Custom stuff, prototypes, one-offs, etc. That's it's advantage." But the idea people have that they will product all their household goods with it is just naive. Hell, I think it's awesome just compared to paying a local company $300-$500 dollars to turn a part in 2 days!

      d

      --
      all language nazi's will burne in heil!
    7. Re:Not cost effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But they are substantially cheaper (in both material and time) compared to sending anything to be mass produced if you don't need 10,000 of. You will get laughed out of your conference call when you tell them you only want 100-500 parts, with a total price of under 1,000 dollars. It won't happen.

    8. Re:Not cost effective by i_b_don · · Score: 1

      So your argument is ... pollution?

      Pollution primary comes from three sources... nasty chemicals used in manufacturing, mining, and power generation. And your solution is to put manufacturing near us? Currently, the 3D printing that I've seen is only plastic or in the case of some home-brew kids, epoxy. All other things you'll need to get from your current sources and plastic molding is not where the nasty chemicals are!

      All the nasty chemicals used in PCB manufacturing, silicon chip manufacturing, cars, power generation, etc etc etc etc, are still done in the exact same place. This isn't going to revolutionize things as much as mildly shift the way things are done. Mass manufacturing will still be done in low cost regions. Anytime we can outsource pollution generating industries we will. All of the core problems you hint at will still be the same!

      This isn't going to do what you think it is going to do.

      d

      --
      all language nazi's will burne in heil!
    9. Re:Not cost effective by i_b_don · · Score: 1

      There are two problems with doing such a thing. The first is that to create a part that matches this toy, it's often difficult to make an accurate 3D model of the part in a computer. This is of course required in order to make this useful. If you had a really good and accurate 3D scanner then you can get away with out the skill of 3D modeling and a really good set of calipers. This is hard to do, but I think it's easier to get to the "really good 3D scanner" than it is to get to a "really good and affordable 3D printer". (The 3D scanner is more about software, while the 3D printer is more about hardware.)

      So once you have the model, you now need to print it out. If you get lucky and the material you need is hard plastic, then bingo you're good. If you're unlucky, the part wants to be a bit rubberized or something more flexible. Then you're screwed. Ok... next problem is coloring. If you're fixing a toy, you THEN have to whip out a handy dandy paint can. A few (one?) 3D printers on the market can now do color... so maybe in 20 years this will be common. If it's being sold to the home market, this is probably a good assumption. So ok, color is handled. Now comes problem #2, toner.

      This is like printer toner. The material you use to print the product costs money... and the companies that sell this take their business model from the ink-jet printer/razerblade markets. The material for printing is expensive. If this is a tiny piece, no problem, $0.30 or something... for a larger piece, a few bucks. So if you're fixing a toy, you may have just spent $1.50 to fix a $5 dollar toy. A bargain you say? Then go back and factor in the cost of the 3D printer and the 3D scanner and your time. (Today a block of around 50 sq inches is around $1000)

      There are times when it would be useful to have this capability at home, I agree, but I don't think they will make up the cost of the 3D printer for anyone but the hobbyist... even if it is a *cheap* thousand dollars or something.

      --
      all language nazi's will burne in heil!
    10. Re:Not cost effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Arguably, building a small, localized industrial base which is extremely flexible might be better than sending all our money to China.

      Assuming that (A) all manufacturing is actually gone from the US (it isn't) and (b) we decide to do that, we won't use 3D printing to create that localized industrial base. Unless we want to fail, completely, in horrific fashion. As the OP tried to inform you, it simply isn't viable for anything other than prototyping. Listen to what he says. One machine needs ~1 hour to make a 2"x2"x0.5" piece -- one which is worse quality than an equivalent machined or molded part.

      Is it possible to increase performance? Probably. But the results will be even further from the quality of "traditional" manufacturing techniques.

      I'd also note that the /. love for 3D printing tends to blind commenters to other rapid prototyping techniques. For example, miniature 3-axis CNC mills are just as cheap, if not cheaper. And they're awesome. 3D printing does have some advantages in terms of possibilities (you don't have to have a path for the mill bit in your final object), but for any object you can make with a mill, you're better off doing it with a mill. Faster, better quality results, and you have a much wider selection of materials to choose from.

    11. Re:Not cost effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "BUT they are just not cost effective compared to mass manufacturing processes."

      Just like any 2D color printer then.
      Although everybody has one.

    12. Re:Not cost effective by hitmark · · Score: 1

      The question is not what 3D printing can do today, but tomorrow or a decade ahead. Faster depositing (seems right now much of the speed issue comes from moving a "printing head" around), the ability to mix materials in a single run (no assembly required, tho maintenance may be a bitch), perhaps even recycling old objects for new ones (the ST replicator was capable of breaking down objects as well as assembling them, meaning little to no waste and no dishes to clean).

      --
      comment first, facts later. http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
    13. Re:Not cost effective by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Even when you bypass the licensing cost of both LEGO and the Star Wars franchises?

    14. Re:Not cost effective by i_b_don · · Score: 1

      Actually, this fits in exactly with my point exactly. You use printers to print letters, or one-off items. You don't use them to print books. You still go to a bookstore (or Amazon) to buy books because it's cheaper than printing out a book at home on your printer and a bound book is more directly what you want. The same economic models would hold true for 3D printers. Very little of what you buy today is a single lump of plastic formed into a specific shape.

      d

      --
      all language nazi's will burne in heil!
    15. Re:Not cost effective by dachshund · · Score: 1

      This is probably true, but not the whole story. Once you factor in the cost of shipping, marketing, retail markup, and the intangible losses inherent in purchasing a product that's only 95% correct for your application --- the cost of manufacturing that simple object can go up by many times.

      So if 3D printing can get to the point where it's in the home, or at least the neighborhood, it doesn't have to achieve parity with mass manufacturing. There's still a lot of room.

    16. Re:Not cost effective by i_b_don · · Score: 1

      Actually, in my experience, most of the professional line of printers use a laser on material and only the hobbyist ones use a "print head". These still take hours upon hours to do small pieces. Somewhere on the ballpark of 20 hours per linear inch of height (area you get for free because of the laser, but height takes time because each step needs to cure slightly before the next layer goes down.) So the real problem is around chemistry rather than mechanics, and you're much less likely to improve that 1000x in a few years.

      d

      --
      all language nazi's will burne in heil!
    17. Re:Not cost effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yea ok you can mass produce better than you can 3D print , I'll buy that. But you forget that there is a cost to "retool" and set up mass production runs. Often it is simply NOT cost effective to do. Also many parts are no longer available or extremely rare so costly. Here are some examples to think about:

      A/C drip pans. I worked for an AC contractor for a while. We would almost never buy a drip pan from the company that made the A/C unit( Train, Kenmore, Lenux, etc) because of the time and cost. It was better most of the time to simply measure the pan and have a local machine shop fabricate one. It could be done in a day, for less than or equal to the cost of the mass produced Item( with shipping etc). These items would be even cheaper 3d printed from plastic.

      Car Parts. Many are insane in markup. I paid 125.00( this was 18 years ago mind you) for a 3 sq inch formed pieced of blue plastic trim that was part of the door handle for my BMW. If I could have found it at a junk yard( I tried) it might have been 30-50. I could have 3d printed it for MUCH less. Go look at your car, boat, RV, bike, etc. Look at all these little plastic parts. They are not often purchased , so the cost is way jacked up to pay for the extra production. Plus many are not available aftermarket EVER! Somebody tell me the cost difference for printing and buying an ashtray for a green 1975 aussie falcon or a 68 vette.

      Small Electronics. Now go look at your TV, Blender, all remotes you have in the house. You think a guy with a 3 d printer is gonna pay 50 bucks for a new Tivo remote because the clip on the plastic piece that hold the batteries in wore out? No he will just Print another plastic piece. How many remotes you think TIVO has sold because of that kind of user damage? You gonna pay 100.00 for a piece of plastic that broke on your 4 year old 500 dollar TV? no your gonna buy another one, but now you can print the piece for 6 bucks, replace it and wait another year until the LCD goes out. Think about all the bullshit plastic parts in a 500 dollar laser printer ...No more paying 200 bucks for the part that holds the damn toner that's for sure. Our IT dept( before I was self employed) would replace a 350.00 printer if that part broke( the cost was not that much higher and you got a whole new printer. Not with 3D printing!

      Camping gear- My step father looked for weeks on Ebay for a set of matching tent poles for an older backpacking tent he had. He was missing one plastic pole. Sure he was able to get a SET of replacements for like 20 bucks, but they where not exact matches and he only needed one that would cost pennies to print on a 3d printer.

      Make action figures?Toys?Dildos? Tell me this technology is not disruptive as hell. Look at all the plastic they sell on TV for 29.99 ! Put a 3d Printer in every home and that shit is OVER.

      And that's just the start. Look Most stuff used to be made in the home. Even the first model T's where often sold as a kit. Imagine products made without many of the plastic parts. GM is working on a skate board chassy that would allow them to just make one chassy for all cars. Imagine an open source version of this being made cheap as hell by factories in India and shipped to dealers who added the interior and exterior of the car 3D printed from your custom design choices at their shop on BIG ASS 3d Printers. Or at your home to save a few bucks. Imagine LOTS of stuff being sold ( and shipped) without cases and having simple modular connections that where all standard. Want a Hello kitty VS Alien LCD TV ...no problem.

      Lastly this could to some degree reverse the "throw away " society we have. Tired of that hello kitty VS Alien TV case, melt it down and you can have Gay Smurph Orgy instead. Plus when the stuff that looks cool( car seats, cell phone cases, etc ) can be or is made at home, watch companies start to compete on quality and length of useful life more. They will have to.

    18. Re:Not cost effective by countertrolling · · Score: 1

      Transmission of documents via telephone wires is possible in principle, but the apparatus required is so expensive that it will never become a practical proposition. - Dennis Gabor, British physicist and author of Inventing the Future, 1962.

      The ordinary 'horseless carriage' is at present a luxury for the wealthy; and although its price will probably fall in the future, it will never, of course, come into as common use as the bicycle. - Literary Digest, 1899.

      Flight by machines heavier than air is unpractical (sic) and insignificant, if not utterly impossible. - Simon Newcomb

      While theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially it is an impossibility, a development of which we need waste little time dreaming. - Lee De Forest, American radio pioneer and inventor of the vacuum tube, 1926.

      --
      For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
    19. Re:Not cost effective by Yamioni · · Score: 1

      AND it can also do some stuff traditional machining/molding just can't do ever.

      ...Not to imply that I doubt you (I don't) but could you give an example? I'm genuinely curious.

      --
      Cool post bro, highfive \o
    20. Re:Not cost effective by i_b_don · · Score: 1

      When you're machining stuff you have to be able to get a spinning drill bit into the part to cut away material. You're starting with a block of plastic or metal and removing material, so you have to have access for your drill bit to get into position and cut. There are things like creating a hollow cavity inside the part or create curved holes (straight drill bit and all), etc, that you can't do with that type of technology.

      When you're doing an additive process you can create things right from the 3D printer that you can't do with even the best 6 axis machining tools available because you're creating them one "pixel" at a time from the ground up. Molds have the problem in that you must remove the mold when you're done. With 3D printing you can print hallow cavities (depending on the 3D printing process) and fanciful delicate features that you can' never machine or mold due to the limitations of those processes.

      d

      --
      all language nazi's will burne in heil!
  23. Stupid Computer by Toe,+The · · Score: 5, Insightful

    WhyTF does Picard have to say "Tea. Earl Grey. Hot" every freakin' time?

    A computer that is sophisticated enough to fly a warpdrive spaceship and replicate food should be able to understand user preferences, no?

    Shouldn't he just say, "cuppa tea" or just, "the usual" and get a nice hot cup of Earl Grey?

    Only explanation is it's MS Enterprise 5.7 and user preferences are the great new groundbreaking feature in MS Enterprise 6... expected any decade now.

    1. Re:Stupid Computer by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      maybe picard often got a wild hair and would drink thai ice tea or american licorice and orange rind colonial tea

    2. Re:Stupid Computer by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      come to think of it, that wild hair between his teen might have belonged to a certain bartender

    3. Re:Stupid Computer by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Probably because the command is so short (three words) that he never saw the need to shorten it further. It might also be an old habbit picked up through traveling between so many different ships and stations, where the replicators wouldn't have his preferences stored.

    4. Re:Stupid Computer by Toe,+The · · Score: 1

      Wow, that's pretty good rationalization. But really, it's his ship. It's where he lives, He owns the friggin place. The command is four syllables. He should really just have to say "tea." If he's on an unfamiliar system, then it should ask him what kind and temperature. But at home, it would know exactly what tea means without him even programming it... it should assume that since he didn't provide clarification, he wants the usual.

    5. Re:Stupid Computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've never understood why the replicator didn't just make a bunch of hot tea and dump it all over the floor. After all, Picard never tells the computer he wants it in a cup.

    6. Re:Stupid Computer by Nanosphere · · Score: 3, Funny

      Obviously Picard had his cookies disabled.

    7. Re:Stupid Computer by feetsby · · Score: 1

      There's an episode where Data asks the ship's computer what the time is.... he's a robot! Surely he knows the time!?

    8. Re:Stupid Computer by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Because it's a catch phrase, and Picard is on TV.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    9. Re:Stupid Computer by Arlet · · Score: 1

      Shouldn't he just say, "cuppa tea" or just, "the usual" and get a nice hot cup of Earl Grey?

      He probably knows we're watching him, and this makes him look more sophisticated.

    10. Re:Stupid Computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      He only gets tea earl grey when the camera's on him, all the other time he gets long island ice teas and yells at children.

    11. Re:Stupid Computer by itsdapead · · Score: 2

      But at home, it would know exactly what tea means without him even programming it...

      Pah. He should just count himself bloody lucky that he doesn't get handed a small cup of lukewarm water and a teabag on a string, which is what seems to pass for "tea" these days - even in establishments where the barrista will happily faff about drawing a smiley face in the tallskinnyhalffathalfsoychocomohofrappelatte made to your precise specifications from freshly ground beans, ask for "tea" and you still get the bloody self-assembly option. The only places that seem to have heard of a "teapot" are Chinese restaurants. I can forgive the Americans, but continental Europe is just as bad, and it has even infected Old Blighty.

      Due to be visiting Boston next month. Somebody told me that they're good with tea. I'll ask.

      --
      In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
    12. Re:Stupid Computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WhyTF does Picard have to say "Tea. Earl Grey. Hot" every freakin' time?

      The sooner you accept RPN as the method superior of conversing with computers, the future will be for you easier.

    13. Re:Stupid Computer by ImprovOmega · · Score: 1

      In all honesty, I would expect a ship that advanced to just freaking know that he wanted tea and have it ready. The ship's AI became self-aware in one episode and gave birth to a .... whatever it was new lifeform thing. I think it could figure out how when the Captain wants his tea.

    14. Re:Stupid Computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      His user preference is saying, "Tea. Earl Grey. Hot" every... freakin'... time!

    15. Re:Stupid Computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Picard runs in privacy mode, 24/7. No user preferences are stored.

    16. Re:Stupid Computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Picard is pedantic and anal retentive to a fault. Those probably ARE his prefernces, you insensitive clod!

    17. Re:Stupid Computer by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      There's an episode where Data asks the ship's computer what the time is.... he's a robot! Surely he knows the time!?

      Maybe he's firewalled off from the NTP server?

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    18. Re:Stupid Computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hrm, obviously there is money to be made by advertising for a tea brand like this. This is a dream situation for a company, being part of a slogan. Even when you don't watch the series people will be hammering it into your head

    19. Re:Stupid Computer by coder111 · · Score: 1

      Bah, I have mostly given up with ordering tea at restaurants/caffes/etc. I just order english tea with milk or earl gray- that is at least somewhat drinkable and consistently bad everywhere. If I want a nice cup of gyokuro, I make it myself at home.

    20. Re:Stupid Computer by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Only explanation is it's MS Enterprise 5.7 and user preferences are the great new groundbreaking feature in MS Enterprise 6... expected any decade now.

      obligatory GIF anim

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    21. Re:Stupid Computer by lennier · · Score: 1

      But really, it's his ship. It's where he lives, He owns the friggin place. The command is four syllables. He should really just have to say "tea."

      Nah, this is Star Trek. If they let the writers think about it, they'd probably have him say something like: "Computer! Accept Picard voice override Delta Theta Epsilon-twelve, personal replication configuration Tango, Echo, Alpha Nine, on my mark, engage... er, wait, cancel auto-destruct sequence..."

      Tea, Earl Grey Hot, is a lot better.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  24. Re:I really wish people would shut up about these. by eln · · Score: 2

    I agree that there are serious technical hurdles to get over before these could possibly be revolutionary to the average person, and those hurdles might never be overcome.

    However, I feel it's worth mentioning that your entire post could have been written about computers at any point from the 1940s until the mid-1980s, and they turned out to be kind of a big deal after all.

  25. Re:I really wish people would shut up about these. by rubycodez · · Score: 1

    ignorant point of view, tech been used by industry for decades. As it becomes within reach of home user many things are possible. I was once manager of a group that made power switching systems for buildings and military installations, and whenever Motorola would go into prototyping mode for new cell phone lines all my projects for transfers switch enclosure would get backed up, all the mom & pop prototyping shops for miles around Chicago would be backed up.

  26. A is for Anything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Brings to mind an old novel "A is for Anything". Replicators that could replicate anything, including themselves and people, resulted in a society with a very few, very affluent, and a large slave class.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_for_Anything

  27. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by JordanL · · Score: 1

    While I agree to some extent with the sentiment you're expressing, I think, in general, the progression has been much more toward identifying the purpose of an item and creating that item to exactly fill that purpose, including its purpose-stated lifetime.

    That's all separate from certain consumer goods that have been designed to fail for the good of continual demand. What I'm more saying is, the progression of technology has been more towards "Well, we want a solid model of this guy's bones so that we can plan our surgery with precision before-hand, so if it only lasts a week, that's fine", and engineers have responded with "Well, if we only need it to last that long and not be too durable, I bet we can build a machine that produces them on demand".

  28. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    Also note that each time a thing is destroyed, society loses its value. Of course, if you can melt down the broken plastic cup as fresh feed stock, then the cost of remaking it is extremely low... but then we get into soviet methods ....

  29. Re:I really wish people would shut up about these. by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

    They are just about the most boring technology we have today. They will not revolutionize anything..

    They already have. Surgery (by modeling from MRI scans to get a better look before surgery), surgical replacement (custom-made joint replacements), product design testing and visualization (i.e. make a shoe or a skateboard; I've considered using one to make the plastic housing for a particular bicycle light), architectural modeling (quick and easy way to go from the CAD design to a model: much less time and labor).

    Biotech has focused on using similar techniques to construct organs and such from tissues, with limited success. Forensics has found the use of image analysis software helpful: one can scan a bunch of pieces of a fragmented object and have the computer emit a physical model of the original undamaged object.

  30. Slashdot = News for Nerds, remember? by Richard+Kirk · · Score: 2

    Do you remember the first computers? You could spend 20 minutes loading a simple game from audio tape on a Commadore PET, only to have it fail the checksum. The audio was 'beep'. The displays were black and green, or awful CGA black, magenta, cyan and white, or black, red, green and yellow. The printers used thermal paper and had a tiny resolution. It was grim, but it was fun too for some of us who could see this as the first glimmers of a new universe of possibilities from a machine made not for particular purpose, but to be capable of doing an unknown nearly infinite set of things. Meanwhile the press said 'you can store recipies on these things', and 'they can remind you of diary appointments', and the average user wondered what the fuss was about.

    The RepRap is like an X-Y plotter with a glue gun. It will produce arbitrary but rather wonky shapes with glue gun drool. It is pretty limited in materials. If you say "Faberge Egg" and hold out your hands, you will be disappointed. But it is affordable in the way the early computers were if you were a dedicated hobbyist, such as you may find in the the Slashdot target demographic. There are machines that can manage more materials and higher resolutions, but they cost much more. We got nice looking color pictures on our computers in the end. In time we shall get nice, smooth, hard (or soft) objects from our 3D printers. The press says 'you can make tea with these', and the average user wonders why on earth they should get excited about one. But those who understand what they are now, and also what they will become are excited.

    Not interested? Well, the Internet is big these days, and I am sure you will find the lolcats, tubgirl, furry porn or whatever it is you are looking for. But the Internet was small once, and we had a lot of fun watching it grow. These are going to be interesting times for 3D printing, and we are going to have ourselves some fun all over again, and the Grinch himself cannot stop us...

    1. Re:Slashdot = News for Nerds, remember? by DryGrian · · Score: 1

      *begins slow clap*

      --
      For optimal comment enjoyment, take red pill now.
  31. Lego is not the enemy by voss · · Score: 1

    Imagine "Lego Factory" a 3d printer designed to print low volume customized and/or specialized lego parts.

    Imagine creating your own set of 100 lego blocks with any color you can imagine.

    Of course if lego doesnt want to do that...someone else will...especially since the shape of the lego brick
    is no longer legally protected as a trademark.

  32. Star Trek or HHGTTG ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Uhmm, when I've read the beginning of the slashdot article didn't Star Trek came to my mind, got The HitchHiker's Guide To The Galaxy instead. Actually the episode when Arthur Dent faces the Cybernetic Sirio's Nutrimatic machine.
    Did someone think the same?!

    My 2bits
    (Apologize for any mispells, English is not my natural language)

    1. Re:Star Trek or HHGTTG ? by Maltese+Falcon · · Score: 1

      I thought the exact same thing. Here's the excerpt: http://www.technovelgy.com/ct/content.asp?Bnum=1385

  33. Re:I really wish people would shut up about these. by Daetrin · · Score: 2

    Well according to the publisher of Forbes the price of 3d printers has fallen by a factor of ten in the last five years, which seems to fall pretty squarely within Moore's Law and hardly seems to be "behind the curve of technological process."

    Sadly i can't seem to find any exact timelines of price/performance. (Does anyone else know of one?) I don't want to just appeal to authority, but he at least actually provided figures while all you've done is trash talk the technology. So until i can find some figures to confirm or deny the claim, or unless you can refute his figures, i'm going to have to go with... you're incredibly wrong.

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  34. Like this? by AkkarAnadyr · · Score: 1

    And do you know why I want a cup of tea?

    --

    I bought this house and you know I'm boss
    Ain't no h'aint gonna run me off

  35. Nutri-Matic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Our efforts will probably be more like HHGTG, producing "a liquid that is almost, but not quite, entirely unlike tea."

  36. Dear aunt, let's set so double the killer delete by itsdapead · · Score: 1

    Only explanation is it's MS Enterprise 5.7 and user preferences are the great new groundbreaking feature in MS Enterprise 6... expected any decade now.

    Nah. MS Enterprise 5.7 would just deliver a sweaty English aristocrat holding a small plastic golf-ball stand.

    --
    In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
  37. Re:I really wish people would shut up about these. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    However, I feel it's worth mentioning that your entire post could have been written about computers at any point from the 1940s until the mid-1980s, and they turned out to be kind of a big deal after all.

    Bzzzt! Sorry, this is analogy fail. Computers did not suddenly become important in the 1980s after decades of languishing in failure to be of any real importance. They merely became a lot more available to the public at large, which transformed them from a Big Deal into an Amazingly Big Deal. Don't confuse "were too big and expensive for everybody to own one" with "didn't revolutionize a ton of things".

    3D printers aren't revolutionizing anything so far. And they probably won't. GP is probably a bit too down on them (they're already useful prototyping tools for some purposes), but they just don't seem likely to have anything like the seismic impact which, say, an IBM S/360 had. (Just to pick a seminal design from the era during which you seem to think computers weren't a big deal. To give you an idea how big a deal the 360 was, IBM still sells computers compatible with the 360 today, well over 40 years past the inaugural member of the family.)

  38. Good 3D Printed Parts, but not cheap at Home by BoRegardless · · Score: 2

    News articles of the "fluffy kind" do a disservice to people who want to know the truth about "3D printers".

    The total cost of a rapid prototype or pre-production part can work out efficiently, but you need some critical items.

    1. The "real" 3D model, sized for the process and the end use is needed: Functional differences will exist in the best machines depending on how the models are oriented & built. Hire a designer or get your own 3D modeling & CAD/CAM software, learn it & use it and the cost is anything but trivial. Usually at least $5k not counting your time, unless you get an educational discount.

    2. The "good" 3D printers to make strong usable parts are typically SLS laser sintering machines that sinter plastic or metal powders in an inert atmosphere. You do NOT put one of these at home, unless you are Steve Jobs. Figure $500k for a good one.

    3. Even the "good" parts from SLS machines often need machining and surface finishing to keep them from looking cruddy and having sizes that make fits come out wrong. I have personally spent 5 hours finishing a small RP modeled part so it would function as intended. It makes for REAL expensive parts.

    The only way to keep costs down for good usable "3D printed" parts is to use a Rapid Prototyping job shop and hire or be a good designer yourself.

  39. true replication by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For true exponential replication (what I believe most of the scifi fans think of when replication is mentioned) I think we need a set of fabrication machines and assembly robots that can in combination fabricate and assemble each of the machines and the robots. These machines must be able to produce all of the components (including electronics) not just the frames and large mechanical parts. Wouldn't hurt if this set of machines could also fabricate and assemble all of the machinery needed for harvesting the raw materials. Letting mind wander off into further fantasy if the raw materials could be any old crap such as regolith we could truly say: "Now we've done it!"

  40. Pipe dreams by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    this won't be widespread in my lifetime. i have a son that is 8. maybe when he's a grandfather, this will be widespread. this could be quite good for the country where the printers and consumables are made. however, i suspect it will be china so it will just be a wash. however, at some point, perhaps?, these 3d printers could get so accurate and precise that they could start 'printing' more 3d printers. 'hey, dude. if i pay for the consumables, can i print myself a 3dprinter on your 3d printer?'

  41. Meh. by blindseer · · Score: 1

    All of this 3D printing is cool but I think the technology has a long way to go. This won't get much market share as the practical applications are minimal.

    Let me know when these 3D printers can print me a Milla Jovovich then I'll go buy one.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  42. Laser based weapons take time too by perpenso · · Score: 1

    A laser could easily target something as fast as a bullet. We're talking lightspeed here... bullets move only marginally faster than mach 1.

    No. The flight time of a laser beam has nothing to do with *tracking*. What sensor is detecting the incoming bullet? How many readings does it need to accurately determine a trajectory? How fast are the servo motors that point the laser? How far is the laser's current vector from the desired vector?

    1. Re:Laser based weapons take time too by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Servos? Impractical. Detect the bullet's zone with omni-doppler. Detect the bullet's path with radar triangulation at three different frequencies and three different points in the firing zone; radar out and back, not a significant portion of the flight time. Three triangulations required to determine flight path (because it won't be a straight line); these can be done extremely quickly; match intercept; Optically switch the laser to the appropriate angle (drop n mirrors simultaneously so the mirrors providing the correct angle are exposed); not a significant part of the flight time; wait until intercept match; fire; Bullet gone.

      BTW, the key to this kind of intercept isn't to point the laser at wherever the bullet is; it is to fire the laser when the bullet crosses where the laser is nominally pointed. Add to this close-in intercept. These two techniques reduce the number of required aim points by bazillions. More lasers also reduce the number of mirrors/laser/zone required; they also give simultaneous zone coverage.

      The downside is that right now, this would take a lot of optical hardware and high energy lasers are annoyingly unportable. But it could be done with existing tech, there's no magic here.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    2. Re:Laser based weapons take time too by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      If the bullet is going to hit the laser, then it is going to have a fairly slow drift trajectory across the line of sight when viewed from the laser. So, speed of servoing isn't likely to be that much of an issue for self-defence.

      If a bullet travels a little over mach 1 (someone else said), then theoretically a sniper could shoot at me from (say) 1km away and I could see the muzzle flash, possibly see the bullet emerging from it, register what I'd seen, and still live to tell the tale as the bullet whistles past my ear.

      Now there is a proposition for Mythbusters!

      (Boring ; they'd use Buster with a high-speed camera for an eye-ball. I wanted to see Adam get head-shot by Walrus-chops.)

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    3. Re:Laser based weapons take time too by perpenso · · Score: 1

      Now there is a proposition for Mythbusters!

      Actually they did this. IIRC they determined that you need to be about 400 yards out. However they also determined that you can't see the muzzle flash that far out.

    4. Re:Laser based weapons take time too by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Haven't seen that one.

      Well, my "this would make a good Myth to bust" sense is functioning at least.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  43. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

    Did you know that they used to pull the nails out of old homes before they tore them down? True stuff. Nails were expensive. They pulled them, straightened them, and used them again. Then they started making them cheaply in bulk and it wasn't worth the time to go through a place and pull out old nails. Well, the old guard didn't think too highly of this change and for a little while in some places there were laws on the books stating that you HAD to go pull out the nails from a building.

    Did you also know that there generals that didn't think much of the repeating rifle? They argued that if soldiers could fire quickly, they'd devote less time to aiming. Big waste of ammo, you know.

    Progress, it's a good thing. Also, you know how you can make your own X for a lot cheaper then if you buy it from a company that would be liable for it? Yeah, there's a reason for that.

  44. Oblig xkcd by Strahd+von+Zarovich · · Score: 1

    Oblig xkcd: http://xkcd.com/924

  45. Repair, Recycle, Reduce, Re-Use by hughbar · · Score: 2

    I think that printing parts could contribute to repairing things again. We used to do that in the 1950s and the 1960s, but now we throw away as the default settin, especially when we don't have a part.

    I'm currently missing some simple valve components in the hot water system in my appartment, result the whole valve needs to be changed, what a waste. The current set of printers won't solve this [because it needs solid metal for the part] but they're edging towards it with sintering and laser shaping.

    Of course this requires some sea-changes in our culture and economies too, maybe that's the hardest part. Perhaps we should 3d print some new leaders and politicians?

    --
    On y va, qui mal y pense!
    1. Re:Repair, Recycle, Reduce, Re-Use by ImprovOmega · · Score: 1

      but now we throw away as the default settin, especially when we don't have a part.

      End it don't mend it!

      Here, have some Soma you'll feel better.

  46. I suspect... by Jozza+The+Wick · · Score: 1

    ...that it'll take a while before the tea replicators produce something that is not entirely unlike tea

  47. Waste? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have to wonder how recyclable this stuff is. Cheap, disposable plastic crap is already a major load on our ecosystem in terms of materials cost and disposal cost. I cringe to think how much stuff will end up in landfills, and how much material will be wasted, when people are able to make cheap disposable plastic crap themselves--not to mention misprints and other waste from people using the machines incorrectly or just dicking around.

  48. PIRACY! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's quite obvious that some racketeering mob will collude to fund the prosecution of as many people as possible who buy this equipment.

    On the other side, I cant wait for printable buildings.
    Imagine this. You park a large, what looks to be a large plastic bin on girders filled with sand on your new lot.
    Over several weeks, it slowly sinters the sand into foundations and walls. Using an array of legs alternately "Stepping" on the walls it has just completed.
    Fresh sand is augered up like grain.
    Once it has reached the desired height, it waits for a calm day, offloads all the remaining sand and any extras that can be moved by hand. Then, a large balloon is inflated, it takes off, and drifts either pulled by ropes, or with the wind to a truck/landing point.

    Tell me that wouldn't be cool.
    Combo it with the solar sintering method and you could leave these things on full auto in the desert to make emergency shelters/stabilise the sand.

  49. Re:Guns, not Cars by johanw · · Score: 1

    Maybe the question should not be when you can download the (blueprints of) a car from TPB but those of machine guns. Some pistols (like the Glock) are already made mostly of plastic, criminals and ;ynch mobs will just love it when they can print heavy artillery and ammo. Gunpowder is easy to make, I experimented already with that when I was a kid.

  50. maker weapons by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    Hard to make plastic guns with explosive propellants; not so hard, perhaps, to make one with an accelerator track (or tracks) in it. The power supply is the main problem there, but ultracaps are moving slowly ahead too... imagine a relatively svelte sintered iron dart as the projectile, carrying something toxic at the tip, for instance.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:maker weapons by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Why not use gyrojets? If you can print complex shapes then you should be able to print complex ammo. It might need some machining after printing but a lathe is practically free compared to a 3d printer worth half a shit and you can automate it with a CNC kit off the 'net for under a hundred bucks. They work fine in atmosphere, I met somebody who has fired one.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  51. Problem is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They're never going to sell more than 2 of these...

  52. As opposed to one in every home... by brim4brim · · Score: 1

    I think it is more likely to be one in each specialist store. We could see this bring jobs back to western economies and kill off the need for cheap foreign labor on things. The local specialist 3D printer operator will be able to make certain goods. Another will specialise with a 3D printer that makes other goods. Eventually you have what the west had 30-40 years ago where you have small local stores making things locally. Might allow the small store to come back or big supermarkets to just ship stuff from down the road rather than from China.

  53. Cost Effective by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's being said that these devices will never be more efficient than the huge manufacturing plants, and that's true, but is efficiency the most important thing here?

    If you look at software engineering the trend is to do things -less- efficiently, in order to get a faster time to market. The reason being that the market is moving so quickly that if you attempt to setup a huge, rigid process, with full documentation to hit a target a year from now, you'll miss only for the reason that the target has moved.

    As the rate of technological advance increases the time to market advantage increases, and agile companies start running rings around the more bureaucratic ones (except where a rigid process is mandated such as for safety, security or public accountability).

    Manufacturing in China is cheap because they take shortcuts rather than use a massive unified process. They also use manual labour which is a million times more flexible than any machine today ("ok go start putting those pile of widgets together, put the prices on too and then load them onto the truck") and take a stab and thousands of different products to see which ones are worth putting more effort into.

    I can see a day when efficiency isn't king for products, it's time to market, uniqueness and not having to store it locally. If that's the case, these could definately be the way of the future. Today we have things designed, a small production run (potentially thousands) made, errors fixed (or not, try to recoup costs on the not-so-perfect ones), another run made, then have it shipped from China to the shop and stored, then finally sold. Tomorrow it might simply be designed, tested in house, redesigned and then the design is sold. Distribution centres close to each shopping district can make a tiny production run to put into stores, and items sold online are paid for before they're even made

    Sure it might be a little bit more expensive per item, but the amount of waste cut from the overall system would more than make up for it.

  54. False dilemma by sjbe · · Score: 1

    On the one hand you have the possible utopia of unlimited "free" stuff.

    Nothing is free. Raw materials are not free, energy is not free and labor is not free. Resources are scarce and baring some real genuine miracle always will be.

    And on the other, the distopia of companies locking this technology up, and firing (almost all) the workers.

    Only people with absolutely no concept of economics believe that. Unless you have effectively unlimited energy and the ability to easily convert that energy into complex matter (like food) with no limit, there is a economic cost. So long as any resources are scarce, human needs and economics are a part of the equation.

    Is there any unwavering indicator one way or the other? Is there any unwavering indicator one way or the other?

    False choice. Neither is possible. It is impossible to remove scarcity completely from the human experience.

  55. Not stupid. SIMPLE computer. by subreality · · Score: 1

    In Star Trek, they've had enough time to get past the awful mistakes we make in computers now.

    The replicator doesn't have any hidden settings, preferences dialog, user-anticipation, or auto-tuning. There's no first-time setup wizard, advanced configuration, recommendations based on your prior purchases, or new user help balloons. When it doesn't give you what you want, it's because you didn't ask for the right thing, and it doesn't leave you wondering about some hidden internal state. The only feedback required is a subtle acknowledgement that your request is understood and being processed, or an explanation when it can't be performed.

    The UI is minimal and easy. I think it's a wonderful design.

  56. Better tea replicator quote by Internetuser1248 · · Score: 1

    When the 'Drink' button is pressed it makes an instant but highly detailed examination of the subject's taste buds, a spectroscopic analysis of the subject's metabolism, and then sends tiny experimental signals down the neural pathways to the taste centres of the subject's brain to see what is likely to be well received. However, no-one knows quite why it does this because it then invariably delivers a cupful of liquid that is almost, but not quite, entirely unlike tea.

    1. Re:Better tea replicator quote by tgv · · Score: 1

      Why is there no way to mod things both insightful *and* funny?

  57. Uh oh, I've awkened a mommas boy... by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    So you sell your house to someone, and it collapses and kills them?

    My house is far LESS likely to "collapse and kill someone" because the materials it is made out of are significantly stronger and better braced and better fastened than anything you're likely to find as the output of a typical contractor. Even the stairs have triple the usual support (3x 2x10" + trusses, like bridge construction.) It is LESS likely to burn, because it actually has excellent built-in fire suppression systems, not to mention it has exactly ZERO electrical junctions within its walls and all electrical AC cabling is heavy gauge to 20 amp outlets, where every single load has its own breaker AND sub-breaker, not to mention GFI outlets on just about every line. The floors are thrice as thick, and the trusses that support them twice as dense and a third again as hefty, as the code would have a contractor use. You could park a loaded pickup truck in my bedroom and the floor wouldn't deform. Building to code is FAR less strict than what we did here; my home makes any "standard" built home look like the proverbial pig's straw house.

    Or your own family members get injured or killed because you don't know how to install a furnace?

    Again, you leap to unwarranted assumptions. I know exactly how to install a furnace. I don't need any help doing it. At all. If I had to, I could *build* a furnace, including a modern safety ignition controller and sequencer. As it happens, I didn't build ours -- there were acceptable units available -- but I *did* build the power failover system for it. When the power fails around here in the winter, guess whose house still has heat and power for critical utilities? That's right: mine. Safe as heck, too.

    Should that be only up to you?

    In a word, yes. It's mine. Not yours. You are not my mother. It's MY decision if I want to hand off that responsibility to a third party, and I don't -- because standard construction techniques bring numerous inherent flaws and shortcomings that I don't intend to have in my home. If I sold my home to you (not likely, it's willed to my kids), no matter who, or how, it was built, you should inspect every detail about it before you commit to buying. And you could; every wall interior and floor interior is safely and easily accessible, every fastener can be non-destructively removed and re-applied, every AC line has pre- and post-attachment resistance test points, every breaker has a current monitor, every inch of plumbing, in and out, is accessible right to the city-owned lines, all non-power cabling is routed sensibly and may be removed, updated, etc., with almost no extra work. The exterior is covered with fireproof material, as is the roof, and again, there are appropriately located fire suppression systems even so. The roof structure is comprised by double the number of trusses that are "standard" for its size (which is quite large), and they are enhanced with three types of specific reinforcement for high wind survivability (this is tornado country.) The windows are multi-layer Lexan, the exterior doors steel, and the house is equipped with 16-channels of security monitoring onto several terabytes (several days worth) of recordings. The exterior insulation FAR exceeds the norm (both in thickness and in R value) for this latitude, is non-toxic, fully removable and fully maintainable because as I mentioned previously, you can get into any wall without a problem and I designed it so that it would be maintainable.

    And you know what? There are a lot of places in the US where I could not have built this house this way. Because "the community" is stupid. It acts by rote; not by thoughtful cognition. I'd just as soon y'all stayed as far away from me as possible.

    The community most definitely has a responsibility to prevent construction incompetence from hurting or killing people

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Uh oh, I've awkened a mommas boy... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The reason we need minimum building codes is that you could get hit by a bus tomorrow and then we have to clean up after you. The fact that YOU did everything right doesn't change that fact. The only problem comes when the building codes mandate stupid behavior instead of requiring e.g. a fastening method with the appropriate minimum characteristics as opposed to specifying a particular metal tie should be used which in your case (since you overbuilt) might not even hold up the member for which it would be specified.

      You are NOT my mother. What you want is 100% irrelevant to me on my own property.

      Someday you will be dead and society will have to deal with what you have built. There is no "away". The world does not belong to you. Your government has granted you the right to limited use of a specific piece of ground for as long as it has been titled to you. That doesn't entitle you to pour rocket fuel on the ground, or build a crap shack that someone else will have to deal with later. Building codes are a good idea. When they are not abused to promote specific industries they make the world a better place.
      The community also has the right to send certain people into your house at certain times to accomplish certain things, and the community has an interest in maintaining the safety of the people they send in, so that's another reason why we need codes, and why you shouldn't be permitted to build anything without an approved plan.

      You are NOT my mother. What you want is 100% irrelevant to me on my own property.

      I'm glad to know that you won't get upset when I buy the property up hill from you and I start dumping toxic waste. I'm sure you won't mind when I also put a massive water tank on the property... very poorly, so it is likely to burst, and dump the full contents into YOUR property.
      You either haven't thought about this for more than a couple seconds, or you're a miserable excuse for a human being who thinks that he should be able to do anything he wants regardless of whether it will impact others.
      If you want to complain about abuse of building codes, you will find a sympathetic ear here, perhaps two. But if you want to complain about the existence of building codes, you are an idiot. The supposed fact that you did everything right does not change that one whit.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Uh oh, I've awkened a mommas boy... by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      No one is saying that if there is a building regulation you can't exceed it, only that they represent a minimum. And I'm sorry, but self-regulaion doesn't cut it when it comes to things that can injure other people and their property.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  58. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Did you know that they used to pull the nails out of old homes before they tore them down?

    Did you know that in some countries they think we're big fucking idiots for using nails, when you could be using screws which are easier to remove and reuse, and which also preserve the lumber in superior condition for reuse? Oh, and screws hold the structures together better to begin with?

    Did you also know that there generals that didn't think much of the repeating rifle? They argued that if soldiers could fire quickly, they'd devote less time to aiming. Big waste of ammo, you know.

    Did you know that the number of rounds expended per kill has gone up by an order of magnitude since the automatic rifle was implemented in warfare?

    Progress, it's a good thing, we should try it.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  59. Why should it have to be cheap? by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Because bullets are.

    And so are explosives, grenades and various other area-effect "tools" that one could use to disable/destroy that very expensive laser.
    So not only would the enemy kill you (cheaply), they'd bankrupt you as well.

    Also, unless the laser would actually vaporize incoming bullets, the entire thing just turns into a statistical exercise.
    Cause, as we all know - where there is one bullet, there are more bullet.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:Why should it have to be cheap? by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Where did you get the notion that I was claiming lasers are supposed to be indestructible, exactly? My initial statement in this thread was only that a powerful enough laser could easily stop bullets, not that a powerful enough laser can't be destroyed.

  60. Morals-schmorals... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Morally, USA is a far greater "evil" than Nazi Germany.
    Morally, drinking Coca-Cola is an immoral act. Or Lipton tea. Or Pepsi.
    Using anything made in China is utterly fucking immoral.
    And don't get me started on driving around/having your stuff driven to you using Saudi oil.

    At the same time, it used to be perfectly moral to have yourself a herd of human cattle - not so long ago.
    You could hunt them, kill them, skin them, cook them, fuck them (not necessarily in that order) - and no one would say that is immoral.

    Now, you can only do all that to your human cattle only in certain countries. People in other countries find it immoral.
    Well... unless you pay your cattle some trivial amount of money, then many of those things suddenly become perfectly moral.

    Except fucking them.
    THAT'S fucking immoral.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  61. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

    Uh, Drinkypoo, you're usually pretty insightful around here, but you're a little off the mark.

    Screws are better because they hold the wood together more firmly. They don't take them out and reuse them. Nor do they use the wood again out of old houses. It's used lumber and hardware from ancient decaying houses. I wouldn't want my house built with used hardware. And this stuff is cheap enough that it's really not an issue. Old houses get scavenged and then torn down. The scavenging doesn't include the bloody FRAME of the house.

    And... dear god. Automatic fire was leaps and bounds better then rifles with a slow and cumbersome reload. The argument that it wastes ammo was supposed to be ludicrous.

    Drinky. An important first step is recognizing progress.

  62. Haven't we learned anything from HL and Portal? by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Turrets which can be knocked over by a stiff breeze ARE NOT adequate protection from actors performing any kind of kinetic attacks.
    Why use bullets at all then?
    If the laser is sufficiently destructible, just toss rocks at it. Or fart in its general direction.

    On the other hand, why use lasers at all?
    A thin sheet of paper with "Please don't shoot. Thank you." printed on it in large enough letters should do just as well.
    AND it is a lot cheaper.
    AND biodegradable.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:Haven't we learned anything from HL and Portal? by mark-t · · Score: 1

      The initial remark that spawned this laser-related thread was that a single bullet could take out a laser. I retorted that a powerful enough laser would be able to take out bullets too... my point being to show a stalemate. It was intended to be nothing more and nothing less than a counterpoint to that single statement... not to provoke what has evidently turned into an argument about what is a better weapon.

  63. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

    Well, I'm an engineer who has worked both ends of the spectrum - aerospace and construction. "Disposable" has it's place, no doubt, but durability is often underrated in many things.

    As you mentioned, they don't pull and reuse nails because today that isn't cost effective (mat'l vs labor). The key is that nails are still made of steel. If you were to make a nail of sintered pot metal (or whatever the substance is on a 3D printer), it's not going to have the mechanical properties of a traditional nail, and though it may work just find under low loads, it will fail under higher - or perhaps just cyclic - loading.

    You might liken the change to either screws or to "gun" nails. Gun nails aren't nearly as good as "old" nails, mostly because you can pneumatically drive a thinner nail than you can hand drive. So a 3.25" long nail can be driven with a 0.131" diameter, whereas a hand driven 3.25" nail (aka 16d or 16 penny common) will be 0.162" diameter. Shear and withdrawal resistance is proportional to nail diameter, so a 16d "gun" nail isn't nearly as strong as a 16d hand nail.

    Do you know why screws are frowned upon in construction? It's because they are not a ductile as nails, and tend to fail in a brittle way. That makes them lousy as connectors in seismic events. Nails help ensure a wide hysteresis loop that allows lumber structures to dissipate seismic energy and survive far beyond their calculated strength (they get 2x the strength bonus vs hot rolled steel, and 4-5x bonus over masonry per lb of static resistance).

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  64. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Progress is finding ways NOT to kill people.

    The wood taken from "old" houses can be reused for other purposes instead of taken to landfill as we commonly do here in the USA.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  65. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

    Only after you tear off the shingles, the siding, the insulation, the drywall, the venting, all the stuff inside, and the fixtures (you cut power right?).
    THEN you have access to the frame of the house. But you're going to have to built some scaffolding around it or rent a lot of cherrypickers if you want to PULL THE NAILS (or screws). And all that said and done, you have a few peices of crappy 2x4s. Turns out, with today's labor prices and the availability of lumber, it's cheaper to go chop down another tree.

    Sorry Dink, the free-market forces are right about this one. It ain't worth it.
    (The fixtures and the various copper sources in old houses can be worth it though. That's why you hear about scavangers electrocuting themselves every now and then. You don't hear about the roof falling on lumber scavengers.)
    I will eat my own hat if you have deconstructed a house and have have pictures of you harvesting the old lumber.

    As for progress and war, shrug, that gets into philosophy. Which is mostly pointless. You might be more right here then about lumber, but if push came to shove, I'd rather have a machine gun then a flint lock.

  66. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

    Huh. I thought they were just slower to work with. The more you know, eh?

  67. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    You don't build scaffolding, you erect it. I myself have a piece of scaffolding, I'm using it to access the roof of a 1962 travel trailer I'm working on (just ordered two big sheets of .063 AlClad...) and it stacks together like Legos or something. (I would say K'Nex, but since it's just pegs into holes, Legos are more apt.)

    if push came to shove, I'd rather have a machine gun then a flint lock.

    I guess it depends on what kind of pushing and shoving is going on. If your life depends on your gun then you might as well forget it because there's always more of them than there are of you over a sufficiently long time scale. I think your life depends on your community and then it doesn't matter too much what kind of guns you have because it's guerilla warfare all the way. And then you're going to want to conserve ammo, and anything more than a semi-automatic is going to be just a wasteful lead hose.

    Anyway, all that stuff COULD be ripped off of houses, and if the TRUE cost of lumber were actually accounted for in dollars and cents, then it WOULD be, and we WOULD re-use the lumber. Unfortunately, no one is being held accountable for the environmental cost of logging. The same is true for countless other industries which enjoy legal protection from a corrupt government. Big Oil leaps directly to mind; BP is sitting on the patent for cost-effectively producing Butanol and actually suing the only people trying to actually make the stuff. Butanol is a clean, green direct replacement for gasoline; you can imagine why BP would be terrified that someone might actually produce it in quantity. Meanwhile we don't pay enough gasoline taxes to pay for the environmental cleanup of the gasoline (and attendant) emissions, and even if we did, the money would hardly be spent on bioremediation.

    However, this has nothing whatsoever to do with a free market. Managed trade is not free trade.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  68. Re:Because we're accustomed to cheap shit that bre by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

    I've given this one a little bit of thought.

    Scaffolding. Neat. But you're getting nitpicky and/or argumentative.
    War. Lemme rephrase that. I'd rather the army that I support to defend me be armed with machine guns rather then flintlocks.
    Salvage. Now here you bring up a good idea. Getting the "true cost" of lumber to be reflected. A tax or a equal replanting system to account for environmental damage. And something similar for risks of environmental damage. That's the insightful Drinkypoo I know and love.
    Free market. It doesn't exist. A pure, true, absolute, the-real-deal free market simply doesn't exist outside of theory. It's one of those things that people work towards. Governments exist, natural monopolies exist, people have friends, and no one is perfectly rational and well-informed. So don't go off into the deep end and say that the price of lumber doesn't have anything to do with the free market. The USA has a pretty damn free market. Historically speaking. Could be better. But if I go down to the store and buy a plank, there are free market forces at work determining how much it's going to cost me.