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Researcher Predicts Your Next Facebook Friend
itwbennett writes "Stanford professor Jure Leskovec knows who your friends will be before you've even met them and has won a Microsoft fellowship for his analysis. 'Data shows that who will be our next friend on Facebook is not so random as we think,' he said. Based on information about the personal networks of users and their communication he was able to tell in advance half of the new contacts they would add shortly after. In the future the rate of correctly predicted new friends could be even higher, he said. 'We are able to train the analyzing methods,' Leskovec said."
"You have no friends."
"Hey baby, software predicted that we'd become friends..."
the tranny that sells blowjobs under the bridge.
Her name is Taco Supreme, and she users her tongue like a dog licking for peanut butter.
Stanford professor Jure Leskovec knows who your friends will be before you've even met them
There's a saying that goes something like this: an expert is someone who knows a great deal about very little. Perhaps the professor knows who my friends are before I meet them, however he completely fails to understand the meaning of the word "friend".
If he is talking about Facebook then has forgotten two highly crucial variables in his complex data analysis and methods:
1) Farmville
2) Mafia Wars
After he factors that in, I would *love* to see him predict my next friend in the 7000's range. Shiiitttt.. I'll bet $20 and give him 10:1 odds.
P.S - I hate Facebook, but have loved Mafia Wars. Way I saw it, I was messing with their ability to predict precisely that. Fight the power.
The obvious application of this is advertising. Every business wants to sell something. If this research tells them how to convince you to friend them they will be all over it. Political organizations will do the same. I have to wonder if the basic concepts have broader applications outside social media.
I quit Facebook all three times. Can this guy predict my first friend on Google+? It has been a lonely, lonely 6 weeks.
I don't want to pay the research cash for a Stanford guy to make this prediction for me. So, maybe I can get a discount and have some MIT geeks figure it out for free?
And yeah, you don't have to mention the MIT grads I know who won't accept my G+ invites. We don't need to discuss that. I just want to know who and when!!!!!!
So, so lonely here online. So lonely....
Moe
"If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
facebook login malfunctioning
The Admin and the Engineer
FRINKIAC 7
"I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
"In the future the rate of correctly predicted new friends could be even higher." ...or it could be lower.
Who's my next friend?
In soviet Russia, God creates you!
Well I have to say my friends, I am quite shocked and surprised. As my girlfriend was staying with me for a week, because her parents were being dicks and tossed her out, I decided to take advantage of the situation and perform the act of love making upon her every night in my own bed. Now, as last night was the first night. I thought we could do something new and kinky, to which the thought "Anal" popped up.
Now, I was quite nervous to ask her this, as she was already under a lot of emotional stress. But I plucked up the courage and did. It lead to a lot of questions; First of all her saying that why would I want to and it sounds painful and sick. But I managed to convince her by saying that its every single males sexual fantasy to have anal, and that I would always love her if she'd let me. She agreed to try it out.
So, last night we took all the precautions. She had an enema, while I stocked up on the various lubes that we needed. When we began she only wanted fingers inside, until she got used to the feeling. She gave out the usual discomfort signs, but agreed to keep going on as I assured her it would get better. When she said she was ready, I smothered her hole in lube and slowly began to penetrate.
Again, she was showing signs of pain and discomfort, but soldiered on. This was the most amazing feeling for me as well, and I advice all you men out there to try it as soon as you can, with a female if possible. By about ten minutes into it, she was loving it, and moaning for more.
By about twenty minutes into it, she started to come, and apparently had the hardest orgasm she has ever experienced. Take in mind we were also using various vibrators and clit stimulator's. Her orgasm made me come as well, as the tension basically crushed my cock, as I filled her ass with the sticky stuff. We both then had a shower and went to bed.
She was telling me this morning that she is pleased we tried it, and that she would like to do it more often, to my glee.
In my one and a half years of posting on the BBS, I would have to say that this is the happiest post I have ever made.
waiting for my 15 degrees
We've added these friends to your profile automatically. You were going to add them anyway. You're welcome, because I knew you were going to thank me.
Love Mark.
Task Mangler
"he was able to tell in advance half of the new contacts they would add shortly after" So the other half of the time he was wrong. Maybe he was trying to predict who you wouldn't befriend...
If analysts can now predict relationships without FB, then they can make money off those relationships without FB. So turn off all the servers and give me back my free time and shut down FB please - it's no longer needed as a profit source.
That Facebook is rapidly becoming unrelevant? Also fuck Mark Zuckerberg.
h h h h h giving punches very smartly hmmmmm.. so tell me first what is the predicted of that software.!?
Slashdot users next were predicted to friend computer geeks that lived in their parent's basement. All friend requests of geeks to friend Playboy Playmates were declined so the obvious result was all new friends were other geeks. This isn't logic or programming but common sense. A program predicting that geeks will "friend" other geeks is like predicting the sun will rise in the east and set in the west. Here's a prediction that doesn't require a line of code. Pretty and popular people will friend pretty and popular people. I'll bet I get better than 50% so where's my Microsoft grant?
I think the research is bullshit and the professor is an idiot. What the hell "shortly after means"? Some time in future? Yeah there is a certain probability that I'll add some of my friend's friends in future. Pick a random one. It's not hard to be correct half the times.
Good luck with that. The friends I have are "stumbled upon" outside, while I seldom randomly wanders outside.
My Farcebook account URL is /dev/null
C'mon, surely you can predict my next FB friend; you claimed to be able to do it, after all.
Idiot.
-SS "Teach the ignorant, care for the dumb, and punish the stupid."
How do we know the researcher couldn't get the same results picking people at random? The article doesn't describe the method or contain a statement of the problem. What's the null hypothesis, sample space, control group?
what surprises me the most is that there is a study about this.
Winter is coming
he also plans to buy new equipment and use part of the grant to organize seminars. He wants to send his students to work with Microsoft, too.
Well, buddy, our predictions show that your next friends are all members of the Aryan Nations, so we decided to arrest you pre-emptively. You'll have to explain your anticipated future actions to the Judge...
How 'bout you help me and my fellow gf's DOS this Facebook sight as a honeymoon gift, and then I'll give you my real pictures so you can see through the fat if I'm a keeper that is cheaper? Just go to Mozilla Foundation's website and download the new Firefox add-on LOIC to point at server IP ( si si duh tu tu oh duh wu fi tree duh wu ni ( aka 66.220.153.19 ).
-Anonymous
PS, I'm not a nigger.
So Facebook has become self-referential now?
Sorry, 90% of the people I add as friends I do so because I've met them IRL. How are you going to predict that?
But, apparently, I'm in the minority and too many people have begun to consider the people they add on Facebook to be their friends instead of the other way around. Am I getting old, or is the world getting stranger?
Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
And so do researchers. It shows how much gray matter is being devoted to social networking that could be spent on better things. That's because the social networking problems are easy. Curing cancer is, you know, hard work.
Can someone actually find anywhere in the article where it states exactly what it means by "tell in advance half of the new contacts"? Does this mean they literally pin-pointed the exact person 50% of the time ahead of time? Because that sounds like a heap of bullshit. If it just means it predicts some aspects of the next person you will friend/be friended by, then I would find it much easier to believe yet much less impressive.
The most recently added individual on my FB friends list is an illegitimate third cousin that no one in the family knew about. He took his step-father's surname. While he does, in one sense, fall within their "six degrees" model, I doubt that any algorithm could have discovered him. There were certainly no clues on Facebook.
That's amazing! I predict that if you flip that coin, it's going to be heads!
Would have to be real friends for this to reliably work, wouldn't it?
Why wait until someone pisses you off...?
It is easy to predict my next Facebook friend: nobody! I have an account, but the fact that I have not logged in for a year or so is probably enough of a clue that I really couldn't care less about it. Perhaps the real challenge is predicting how long the next friend request will sit unacknowledged in my queue before my never-to-be-friend gives up.
We tend to meet people through other people. Therefore, friends-of-friends are the most likely new friends. Duh?