Slashdot Mirror


NASA Unveils Design for New Space Launch System

wooferhound writes with an article in the Orlando Sentinel about NASA's Deep Space Exploration project. From the article: "After months of debate, NASA has settled on plans for its next spaceship — a space shuttle hybrid that will fly twice in the next decade and cost $30 billion through 2021, according to senior administration officials and internal NASA documents. That NASA decided to recycle elements of the shuttle is not unexpected. Last year, Congress and the White House agreed NASA should reuse equipment from old programs and the new design — which includes a giant fuel tank and two booster rockets — largely reflects that compromise. The most noticeable change is the plane-like orbiter will be replaced by an Apollo-like crew capsule atop the tank." The Space Launch System will be powered by a combination of the Shuttle main engine for the core launch stage, and the J-2 engine (from the Saturn V project) for the upper stage. The same solid booster rockets used for Shuttle missions will be used for at least the initial unmanned launch in 2017, but NASA will have a design contest to replace them for the 2021 crewed launch and beyond.

288 comments

  1. So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And for only $30 billion, and with 50,000 kg LESS lift capacity than it had in 1969.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yes there is something magical about working in any really large organization. it makes you stupid. yeah yeah you might be a Ph.d with a 170 IQ and all of that. maybe you can mind-meld. but after working for a huge organization you'll become a lobotomized drooling moron who craps his own pants and licks windows and cleebrates expensive technology that can't do what was done 40 fucking years ago.

    2. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Toe,+The · · Score: 1

      A Saturn V that carries a Space Shuttle.

    3. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      And for only $30 billion, and with 50,000 kg LESS lift capacity than it had in 1969.

      Don't worry. That's only this week's proposal. They won't build it and next week's proposal will be better. And it won't be build either.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    4. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A "Space Shuttle" that is an " Apollo-like crew capsule". So a Saturn V that carries an "Apollo-like crew capsule", just like the original Saturn V.

    5. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by elrous0 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Except according to the article (and even summary), this "shuttle" is really just a somewhat larger version of an Apollo crew capsule.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    6. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Sockatume · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not really. More like, they're reusing designs for some Saturn V components (the J-2 engine for the 2nd and 3rd stages of that rocket) and designs for some Shuttle components (the orbiter's main engines) as analogous components in this vehicle. If it ain't broke, don't reinvent the wheel, we won't be fooled again etc.

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    7. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by mfh · · Score: 1

      And for only $30 billion, and with 50,000 kg LESS lift capacity than it had in 1969.

      HEY IT'S NOT ROCKET SCIENCE.

      --
      The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
    8. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by mlong · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oh no they will work on it at least until the next president and congress is elected...then they will scrap it and come up with something else to start and abandon

      --
      //m
    9. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by AJWM · · Score: 1

      they're reusing designs for some Saturn V components (the J-2 engine for the 2nd and 3rd stages of that rocket)

      Actually TFA (vs the summary) says they're using the J-2X, which is almost but not completely unlike the original J-2. It's a redesign. Same fuels, same general design, but different in most details.

      --
      -- Alastair
    10. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And by "better" they mean smaller and more expensive.

    11. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Pedantically speaking, there was a design study for putting wings on the Apollo CSM so the Apollo crew could fly back to land rather than crashing into the sea. Though trying to land it with the limited view out of the CSM windows would have been entertaining.

    12. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by emc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And for only $30 billion, and with 50,000 kg LESS lift capacity than it had in 1969.

      To quote Neil deGrasse Tyson, "Apollo in 1969. Shuttle in 1981. Nothing in 2011. Our space program would look awesome to anyone living backwards thru time."

    13. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      Well since this seems to be the Ares V but slightly less ambitious, which is sold as a lego like rehash of space shuttle and saturn technology it's really not worth getting too excited about as a piece of news.
      Sorry I'm supposed to be a space geek - Go Mediocre rehash of 40+ year old designs!!!

      Don't get me wrong I like small incremental steps, I believe it's essential to getting into space reliably and cheaply, but I just wish they would stop changing the specification and just build them. IME The thing that makes projects late and expensive is usually specification change, so can we just celebrate instead when they don't announce news of a change to the heavy lift plans?

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    14. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Rakshasa-sensei · · Score: 0

      Yes, and you'd also think a truck from the 1960's that has more horsepower than a (slightly less powerful) modern truck, right?

      It's not like nothing else changed but the power of the engine...

    15. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by tinkerghost · · Score: 1

      Pedantically speaking, there was a design study for putting wings on the Apollo CSM so the Apollo crew could fly back to land rather than crashing into the sea. Though trying to land it with the limited view out of the CSM windows would have been entertaining.

      Actually it was a para-sail that popped out after the parachutes slowed it down enough. They have one in the Smithsonian.

    16. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 5, Insightful

      In this case, the "lobotomized drooling morons" are the Congressional spec writers and component selectors who are also happen to be in charge of the budget. Imagine if someone told you to design an airplane, they'd pay for the budget, you just had to include a giraffe and 1963 Volkswagon Beetle in the final airframe design.

    17. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      Actually it was a para-sail that popped out after the parachutes slowed it down enough. They have one in the Smithsonian.

      Nope. It was pop-out wings from the service module.

      Ah, here we are: I thought it was on NTRS, but it's actually US patent 3,576,298

      "An aerospace vehicle is described comprising a substantially conical forward crew compartment or command module mated to a substantially cylindrical rearward service module. Aerodynamic fairings are provided along the midline on the sides of the cylindrical portion and a substantial distance aft thereof for providing lift at hypersonic velocities and approximately vertical fins are provided on the fairings for aerodynamic stability and control. Wings are mounted within the aerodynamic fairings at high velocities and pivotably extended therefrom at lower velocities and altitudes to provide low speed lift." (etc)

    18. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by cpt+kangarooski · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I think there were experiments with a rogallo wing for Gemini but it never really worked.

      --
      -- This and all my posts are in the public domain. I am a lawyer. I am not your lawyer, and this is not legal advice.
    19. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Dunbal · · Score: 2

      Well if you take inflation into account, they're actually doing it for a lot, lot less. But yeah, it's easy to become mediocre when you are surrounded with mediocrity and it's very hard to excel in such an environment.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    20. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 2

      Not exactly. The Saturn V and the SLS are rather different. Aside from what should be obviously different--switching from vac-tubes to transistor style stuff--one of the interesting features of the SLS is that unlike the Saturn V it is mission configurable. It is possible to select a set of mission appropriate stages rather than being stuck with one heavy lift configuration. With respect to fuel at least this will make things considerably cheaper. If you aren't lifting 130 mT to Mars but rather 50 mT to LEO you would assemble a considerably smaller (fuel wise) stack.

      With this design they're playing some of interesting political games as only engineers could conceive them. First off they're playing to the politicians by enabling them to build out a vehicle that uses those stupid SRBs however with a twist. The SRBs are intended for "initial" development, and the vehicle will initially lift 70 mT and be evolvable to 130 mT. I'm assuming this to mean they've created a design wherein they have paved a path to drop the SRBs in favor of better technology later (probably LOX/RP-1). They're also strapping on the Orion crew capsule--from their last canceled efforts--to the top (and?)/or a cargo module. Ultimately I get the impression they've got in mind goal to build everything according to how the politicians want it and once that's been achieved, incrementally develop what they really wanted/needed "since we've already invested so much in this system...". It's vexing that we've got another 10 year wait (yes I know they claim 2017 launch), but this will be a rather interesting process to watch play out.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    21. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      And for only $30 billion, and with 50,000 kg LESS lift capacity than it had in 1969.

      HEY IT'S NOT ROCKET SCIENCE.

      Nope. Taking components from this project. Components from that project. Gluing them together. Hey maybe this is what they meant by "rocket surgery"...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    22. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by mfh · · Score: 1

      They need to add lots of glue to get these incompatible components to fit together. Hmmm cutting corners on space travel seems efficient!

      --
      The dangers of knowledge trigger emotional distress in human beings.
    23. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Kagura · · Score: 1

      After months of debate, NASA has settled on plans for its next spaceship — a space shuttle hybrid that will fly twice in the next decade and cost $30 billion through 2021, according to senior administration officials and internal NASA documents.

      Don't worry, I RTFA and it's just the rocket stack that is a shuttle hybrid. It's a space capsule on the top of the stack, not a space shuttle mounted like an IDIOT on the side.

    24. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by diersing · · Score: 1

      Meh, they filed that only for legal reasons and going after a later innovator of the technology.

    25. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Not really a modern saturn V would have been better.
      Why don't they use the F-1a upgraded engines they built and tested in the late 60s with a modern LiAl structure for the first stage? Get ride of the SRBs unless you want an even higher lift version. Heck you could even later develop a fly back first stage at some point in the future.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    26. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Capt.DrumkenBum · · Score: 2

      Vacuum tubes my fat ass.
      Back in high school my electronics teacher brought in one of his prized possessions. (He had worked on the Apollo project.) An IC removed from one of the Apollo command modules. (I do not remember which.) It was a defective module, but I remember it clearly. White ceramic, dripping with gold.
      Little known fact: The Apollo project was one of the first practical uses of integrated circuits. (For weight savings.)

      --
      If I were God, wouldn't I protect my churches from acts of me?
    27. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by trum4n · · Score: 2

      I'd build an SR-71, with a giraffe and a 1963 Volkswagen Beetle as removable attachments.

    28. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Upon reflection of observing the talent that administrates NASA. I've noticed that 1., physics hasn't changed since Newton. 2., the Saturn V launch gets the job done for 3 people to the Moon and back. 3., the Shuttle gets the job done for 8? into earth orbit. 4., there's a space platform in earth orbit right now that one can use to help build final assemblies with. And 5., there multiple space launches all over this planet, so why can't new technologies be applied accordingly.

      So can someone explain why we're "reinventing the wheel" here?

      And if the reply argument is, "it's all top secret." is applied, then google China. They're biggest librarian on the planet, but not the happiest.

    29. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Lumpy · · Score: 2

      You were able to get those surplus TI components for quite a wile in the late 70's and early 80's. I had several NASA spec 74xx series logic chips that I bought as surplus parts from various parts houses and even at the Dayton Hamfest. They were NOT "dripping with gold" it looked like gold on the outside as the legs were gold plated for corrosion and the Die cover was a gold color but was not gold. The cool part was getting your hands on NASA/Aircraft grade sockets. milled pins with a latching mechanism to lock the chip in place.

      What your teacher had was not "special" unless it really was removed from one of the command modules that was being prepped for flight. Removed from the assembly line modules during initial testing is not really that special. Anyone into electronics back then got their hands on a lot of "NASA" Military and Aviation surplus parts. I was using milspec jet fighter connectors on projects for a very long time until the surplus market dried up and all we had left was the china junk.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    30. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Sockatume · · Score: 1

      I'd hoped it was implicit that they were updating the designs!

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    31. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by X0563511 · · Score: 1

      Sounds vaguely like a variable delta-wing configuration like you see on some fighter craft.

      --
      For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
    32. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Dude is totally underestimating the value of the shuttle.

      He should know oh so much better.

      Ask him how Hubble would have got up there--and got repaired--without it.

    33. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Capt.DrumkenBum · · Score: 2

      Removed from a command module. He worked fro NASA, during the Apollo project. This is what we were told.
      He could have been making it up. But I prefer to believe I held in my hand part of the Apollo project.

      --
      If I were God, wouldn't I protect my churches from acts of me?
    34. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      The largest user of Hubble-like sats launches them on not-Shuttles for quite some time now. The number of "rendezvous, dock, supply spare parts" operations done by not-Shuttle absolutely dwarfs the number of times Shuttle did it.

      Many non-core ISS segments had to be put up by Shuttle only because they were designed to give it purpose. Doing it with some expendable launcher and small orbital tug would be almost certainly more optimal.

      Most of the useful, reusable, valuable cargo was brought down from orbit by not-Shuttle. The latter was conceptually obsolete before it seriously got onto drawing boards.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    35. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      It would have been repaired by the robotics program that was cancelled because Michael Griffin is a jackass.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
    36. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Robots can survive transit through the Van Allen radiation belts, humans can't (at least until we invent some new never before seen space capsule technology). Scrap the human flights and send robots. Much cheaper and much much more science is obtained. Of course you get the argument that human spaceflight is more politically favorable, well I just think we need more personable NASA robots. Just give them a witty AI personality. Everybody will love it if we send a Wall-E type robot to Mars sending back witty messages to school children through out the world. By the way, this youtube video shows how the Apollo 11 astronauts were able to overcome the technical challenges of the Van Allen radiation belts: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ns6YB_3SF6A&feature=results_main&playnext=1&list=PLCEE74566391EC717

    37. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by shadowfaxcrx · · Score: 1

      This, and the parent to this.

      I'll get interested in this thing when it's rolled out to the launch pad. Until then, I don't believe it'll be built.

      --
      "I disagree with you" does not equal "flamebait."
    38. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 0

      You didn't read what I said quite right or perhaps I didn't communicate quite clearly enough. I said "vac-tubes to transistor style stuff" as in you can expect newer technology in the same idea as a transistor being newer tech than a vac-tube. I didn't mean to suggest the Saturn V had vac-tubes. I really don't know what I'd expect to find in a Saturn V other than I know vac-tubes were already largely replaced by transistors by then.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    39. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

      The latter was conceptually obsolete before it seriously got onto drawing boards.

      Shuttle became conceptually obsolete when they decided to stop building them after five were completed.

      The only way Shuttle could hope to make sense was if we'd begun expanding our manned presence in space (space stations, lunar runs, that sort of thing) enormously. Note that 50 Shuttle flights per year means that over the lifetime of the Shuttle, we'd have been able to build a space station 50 times as big as ISS, and still had flights left over to do annual lunar flights with an earth orbit to lunar orbit transfer vehicle left in orbit and refueled by Shuttle as needed.

      Which would have been feasible with 25-50 Shuttles, and one (or more) Shuttle flights per week.

      As was, we had too many Shuttles for the jobs that were available given the constraints of a flight every couple months, and too few to do anything much that couldn't be done better if we'd left the Saturn V assembly line open.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    40. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by ArtFart · · Score: 0

      Nope. Basically, they're making a functional duplicate of the Soyuz, using spare parts from the Saturn/Apollo and Shuttle programs. What visionaries! The planners at NASA must be spending their time watching old episodes of "Junkin'".

    41. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      We would be able to build a station 20 times as big as the ISS merely by not wasting huge quantities of upmass on airframe launched into space. The Shuttle approach was what killed our expansion into space. Didn't brought any real new capability (with automatic rendezvous and docking done since the 60s, and capsules returning large valuable cargo just as long), while expanding costs.

      Or go on and continue "what if" dreaming which assumes completely unsustainable levels of funding...

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    42. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by tsotha · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Go Mediocre rehash of 40+ year old designs!!!

      There's nothing wrong with using old designs. There's even nothing wrong with making a mediocre hash of old designs if it results in a large cost savings. Cost, after all, is the big problem with these kinds of systems, not capability.

      But an expensive mediocre rehash of old designs needs to be killed with fire. This is a make-work jobs program, not a launch system.

    43. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think the Saturn V had much to do with the return journey from the Moon. After escaping the Moon's gravity it was more a case of falling with style, I think.

    44. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Cajun+Hell · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Apollo in 1969. Shuttle in 1981. Nothing in 2011. Our space program would look awesome to anyone living backwards thru time."

      Nothing in 2011? I thought we launched two rockets to the moon just a few days ago, and it was ho-hum routine! Look at the stuff crawling around on Mars right now, and think of how lame they would be by comparison, had the mission occured in 1969 or 1981.

      Maybe we ought to be happy we don't need to impress cold war rivals anymore. Imagine if in the 1960s, you told someone that 3000 deaths would be considered a big deal that would shake up international affairs for a decade. They probably misunderstand you. They'd think you were talking about the death toll per some kind of futurist micro-nuke MIRV, which would fit into individual ICBMs by the hundreds.

      Play the tape forward, Tyson, not backward. See through the special effects and pay attention to the plot.

      --
      "Believe me!" -- Donald Trump
    45. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      If it ain't broke, don't reinvent the wheel

      What if it is? For one, starting from RS-25 engines is probably suboptimal for heavy light expendable vehicle. Generally, hydrogen-fuelled first stages are suboptimal; they maybe have high specific impulse, but in first stage it's more than offset by complications from very low fuel density - say, large tank or not-so-great static thrust (essentially this is also why the Shuttle needed SRBs...)

      It's a pork, don't be wooed.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    46. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There seems to be a lot of negative spin here. Let's look at some choice quotes from the article:

      "The Space Launch System (SLS), as it is currently known, will be the most powerful launcher ever built - more powerful even than the Saturn V rockets that put men on the Moon.
      ...

      The initial design calls for the SLS to be able to put 70 tonnes in a low-Earth orbit (LEO), the altitude of the space station. Some 130 tonnes is the eventual target.
      ...

      The immense lift capability is necessary to put all the equipment in orbit that is needed to undertake a deep-space mission. This would consist of not only the Orion capsule but perhaps a habitation module and a landing craft to go down to the surface of another planetary body.
      ...

      In the case of a Mars mission, several SLS launches would probably be needed."

      So they're building the biggest rocket ever, to make future manned deep-space missions feasible. How's that for spin?

    47. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Most of that is caused by POTUS and Congressmen who somehow think because they were elected into office, they must be smarter than rocket scientists.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    48. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget training a whole new generation of rocket scientists. None of the Saturn V scientists are working at NASA anymore (if they're even still alive) and even most of the Shuttle designers are long gone. $30b is cheap to train a whole generation of Rocket Scientists.

    49. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Maybe they should hire Andy Griffith to help them. He has appropriate experience.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    50. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Crewed space work is pointless, expensive, and a distraction. Mars explorers are 'nothing'? Grail is 'nothing'? Come on...

    51. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Score: +5, Awesome.

    52. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      As I recall, when Bush proposed "back to the Moon", they were already talking about a return to Apollo type capsules.

    53. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by John+Bresnahan · · Score: 2

      Ask him how Hubble would have got up there--and got repaired--without it.

      They could have launched them the same way the military has been launching similar spy satellites for 40 years: expendable rockets.

      And with the money they would have saved by not using the Shuttle, they could have afforded to build and launch a new Hubble Telescope to replace the broken one.

    54. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      So, let us now compare what was accomplished with Apollo (that wasn't done by anything else) to the Shuttle exclusives...

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    55. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      They undoubtedly are updating the designs, if nothing else just to make them manufacturable by today's infrastructure - whether or not the updates are net improvements remains to be seen...

    56. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by John+Bresnahan · · Score: 1

      Robots can survive transit through the Van Allen radiation belts, humans can't

      Tell that to the 27 men who flew through the Van Allen Belts in the '60s and '70s.

    57. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      And with the money they would have saved by not using the Shuttle, they could have afforded to build and launch a new Hubble Telescope to replace the broken one.

      And it would have been a better telescope to boot. If you like things like the Hubble, the Mars rovers, and all the truly scientifically useful stuff we've done over the years, and you know what you're talking about, you've been a critic and hater of the Shuttle program for decades. There is so much great space exploration and science we could have gotten done for a fraction of the cost if we weren't wasting huge amounts of money doing idiotic shit like sending people in space to do jobs robots can do a million times better.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    58. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by SomePgmr · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry I just ran out of mod points. But you're right, that is a much better way to look at it. It sounds like everyone expected something radically different from anything we've ever done before... as if that worked out well the last time.

      I think we're also assuming that this is all we're going to see for the 30 years, as was largely the case with the shuttle program. But a heavy lift platform more capable than anything we've ever built sounds like a good starting point for a more exciting program, like manned planetary exploration.

    59. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by turgid · · Score: 1

      Can that glue convert 16-bit integers to 32-bit floating-point?

    60. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by rwa2 · · Score: 1

      Hmm, the SRBs are removable... Maybe you're on to something here... all we need to do is slap a few F-1 engines to the bottom of the fuel tank?

    61. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by ModernGeek · · Score: 2

      This isn't a shuttle for ferrying things back and forth to orbit, that's what private enterprise is for. This is an Exploration Class vehicle, in that it can actually go places and do things. Only the US has had a manned Exploration Class Vehicle, and that was 40 years ago. This is completely different.

      --
      Sig: I stole this sig.
    62. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by trum4n · · Score: 1

      Lockheed considered making the SR-71 into a space plane, but the government wouldn't fund such a "ridiculous concept."

    63. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Imagine if in the 1960s, you told someone that 3000 deaths would be considered a big deal that would shake up international affairs for a decade. They probably misunderstand you. They'd think you were talking about the death toll per some kind of futurist micro-nuke MIRV, which would fit into individual ICBMs by the hundreds.

      Certainly people were anticipating nuclear war in those days, but 3000 killings would still be a big deal, no question about it. Wasn't the surprise attack on Pearl Harbor a big deal?

      The surprising thing to the 1960s listener would have been that this attack was carried off by 20 terrorists (plus some planners and handlers). Pearl Harbor was attacked by the main strength of the Japanese Navy, and a similar number of people were killed. Furthermore, Pearl Harbor, although a major naval base, was not part of the U.S. mainland and was somewhat remote to most of the population. An attack on downtown New York City and Washington D.C. strikes much closer to home.

    64. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Russia has 4+ decades of experience with manned "Exploration Class Vehicle" in Soyuz, the very first spacecraft which took macroscopic life (turtles, most notably...) beyond LEO (around the Moon) and safely back, during Zond 5 mission (and few more).

      All this time it was used as an orbital ferry, but Soyuz is essentially capable of beyond-LEO operation. In fact... do you have $150 million? Well, then get yourself a ride (those are the people responsible for all orbital tourists to date, except for the first Japanese to Mir in ~1990)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    65. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      You could always partner with other countries. Why does every space agency have to build their own?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    66. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by queazocotal · · Score: 1

      Are you on crack?

      Space-X's Falcon heavy, which admittedly has not launched - will launch 50 tons to LEO, for around $125 million.

      For 30 billion, you can simply stick it in the bank, and launch 12 a year for the next decade, using only the interest on that 30 billion.

      Actually spending the 30 billion would get you 250 launches or so - neglecting any volume discount.

      So.
      A) Big expensive launcher - launching 100 tons in the next decade.
      B) Let it be developed commercially, and launch 12500 tons in the next decade.

      If you can't do a _really_ good kickstart of a truly awesome space program with twelve thousand tons of launch, you deserve to stop pretending you're interested in space.

      This is not a space project, it's a welfare project for the usual suspects.

    67. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      I see you've played this game before...

    68. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're making OP cry.

    69. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      because other countries don't always get along and its pretty important to gain the high ground in such disputes?

    70. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      There are two things wrong with your first sentence. One is that humans HAVE survived transit through the Van Allen belts, with no apparent after effects, and two is that the Van Allen radiation belts do contain radiation that can be harmful to integrated circuits and solar cells, so it is dangerous for robots too.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    71. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by khallow · · Score: 1

      There is so much great space exploration and science we could have gotten done for a fraction of the cost if we weren't wasting huge amounts of money doing idiotic shit like sending people in space to do jobs robots can do a million times better.

      There are deep structural problems with how NASA does robotics missions, even when humans aren't in the picture. You wouldn't get a million times better. Maybe a factor of ten better.

    72. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuel is cheap. Parts count isn't. Cost is many times not directly related to stack size (in terms of materials consumed to build the vehicle). Big Dumb Boosters thus rule. Logical end result is Sea Dragon (Possibly the Leviathan by the Direct 2 guys).

      It is FAR easier to build big and run a single, well understood, common upper stage part empty than having a smorgasbord of upper stages. At best you would want to tolerate a single upper stage design with variable tank length but with the same interstage/payload adapter/thrust structure.

      This pile of crap is throwing good money after bad. Seriously. Those SRB's,even a 5 segment one, are for keeping people employed in Utah, under the guise of maintaining solid rocket expertise and experience that the military can't maintain on its own due to budget cuts. Same for Louisiana and the Michoud STS external tank plant, which got repurposed but is idle. If you must have SRB's, build that Aerojet 260 inch monolithic solid, cast in a giant pit on the Florida coast, since monolithics are by design safer. Orion is just a placeholder anyways. No sane person would use that when there are 2, maybe 4 capsules coming up to be launched on commercial launchers that could stand in and be cheaper.

    73. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but when your launcher can only manage an "orbit" with a negative nine km perigee, it deserves to be cancelled. So, I'm siding with the President on that one. Mind you, it wasn't really the rocket scientists who dreamed up the ARES I.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    74. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      This is a common misconception. The shuttle was not mounted on the side. The shuttle *IS* the rocket. The external fuel tank was mounted "underneath" the shuttle and had boosters strapped to it. The Soviet Buran shuttle, on the other hand, was a side mount.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    75. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      All they are doing is taking the worst aspects of the DIRECT launcher design and combining them with the worst parts of Constellation. I don't see how anything wrong with that approach can help out.

      Building a rocket that will carry a payload for a program that still doesn't exist to a destination that will no longer be there because this rocket will finally be completed after nobody cares sounds like an excellent idea.

    76. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The para-sail was something that was a part of the Big Gemini program. I think it would have been an interesting project by itself. I don't know if that is the vehicle you thought was an Apollo spacecraft, as it was supposed to carry seven crew members.

    77. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Um, exactly what I said, you repeated. NASA wanted to make a new launch platform, congress said they had to reuse existing shuttle parts, mainly the SRBs because the Utah senator who has the SRB plant in his district thinks he knows better than NASA what NASA needs for space flight. Therefore, Ares was a failure from the get-go as the SRB is an awful design, and if it wasn't originally pork, would have never caused the Challenger loss. The whole cause of the Challenger loss was the o-rings, which were a requirement as the SRB is made in Utah, and has to be trucked down to Canaveral, rather than being made as one piece in TX or FL and shipped over on a boat.

      Yes, congress hamstrings NASA, and then wonders why projects can't work.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    78. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by CheerfulMacFanboy · · Score: 1

      So what exactly makes it so "Saturn V"-like as opposed to like any other of dozens of multi-stage rocket designs? The strap-on solid fuel boosters?

      --
      Fandroids hate facts.
    79. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      The O rings were also operated out of spec. It was too cold to launch that fateful day. However, other than that, the SRBs have performed flawlessly. I don't really see them as a design problem (other than the fact that you can't shut them down, and when you have to abort, they spew a giant hot fireball of burning fuel). The DIRECT folks made a fairly solid case for how reusing shuttle parts could be done cost effectively.

      I agree with you that Congress shouldn't be designing rockets. However, I believe that a good portion of the blame for the current predicament also lies within the management structure of NASA itself. They knew for years that "The Stick" wasn't going to work, yet they kept plugging away at it because Bolden said so. Again, the DIRECT proposal was put together largely by NASA engineers, but NASA management wouldn't listen and actively tried to shut them down. $15billion would have gotten them a J-130, and if they had started when Obama had taken office, they'd be just about ready to do full-up test flights now (BTW, that would have included a shuttle manifest extension leaving no gap in US manned spaceflight capability). Another $5billion or so to develop an upper stage, and they'd have their 100+ tonne heavy lift vehicle. But instead of proposing that to congress, they now have this $30 billion dollar ARES-V clone that they probably won't be able to afford to operate.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    80. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by SomePgmr · · Score: 1

      Jesus... who bricked in your Cheerios?

      The last press statement I saw out of SpaceX on the subject was that they already have signed contracts in hand for lifts with Falcon Heavy. An "also", not an "instead of", seems reasonable to me. And in the meantime, I'm sure someone will take of the task of something even more useful.

      And seriously, relax a little. We're allowed to disagree over something without acting like I kicked your dog.

    81. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by AJWM · · Score: 1

      But updating the designs isn't the same as reusing the designs, is it? Not quite as bad as starting from scratch, but this is rocket engineering: you'll have to test everything, and probably find surprises.

      --
      -- Alastair
    82. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      So can someone explain why we're "reinventing the wheel" here?

      All of the unemployed aerospace engineers in Utah, Alabama, Louisiana, and Texas (note the states and what political party tends to hold the senate and house districts where those engineers work at) all need to have "jobs" created with a stimulus bill to help out the economy of those respective congressional districts, in addition to some more campaign financing coming from the taxpayers of the United States that happens to pass through the hands of these contractors first.

      Simply put, the reason we are "reinventing the wheel" is purely so members of Congress can "bring home the bacon". They really don't even care if the thing works at all or even gets into space, as the one purpose is to keep a whole bunch of people, as many as possible, busy as beavers doing essentially nothing. They could be digging ditches followed by another crew filling up that same ditch behind them for all the good it will be doing.

      While the rocket equation has to work for getting something to orbit, the real trick is trying to keep politicians re-elected. That won't happen if these programs get cut and thousands of "highly skilled workers" are unemployed.... or if they become unemployed it will be easy to blame the "other" political party for failure to support this particular program.

      BTW, I have asserted and will continue to assert that had the Saturn V been allowed to continue in an assembly line for the past 40 years doing all of the American launches over these years instead of using the Space Shuttle, that we would have sent more stuff into space, more astronauts would have flown, and the whole manned spaceflight program would have been cheaper with fewer deaths and we would have been to far more places in the Solar System than being stuck at LEO. Returning to a stacked capsule design like the Saturn V is basically a public acknowledgment that the entire Shuttle program was a colossal mistake.

    83. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by ModernGeek · · Score: 1

      I can't find any pictures of this. How would the Service Module re-enter without a heat shield?

      --
      Sig: I stole this sig.
    84. Re:So basically, they're reinventing the Saturn V? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Shuttle and... Apollo (well, not for decades, too young for that; but I'm frustrated at myself how easily STS took me over as a kid, just because it was so "impressive")

      Of the twelve people we sent to the Moon, only one was a geologist, during the very last mission (and that just barely; he was pushed ahead of schedule, which required some concerted effort of scientific community, when his mission was cancelled).
      While, demonstrably, unmanned missions of the time provided scientific benefits fairly comparable to those of Apollo. With small portion of funds of the latter, we could probably maintain constant telerobotics presence.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  2. They canceled the Ares for this? by RetiredMidn · · Score: 2

    How is this different from the canceled Ares? Or they just trim out the LEO variant?

    1. Re:They canceled the Ares for this? by bigpat · · Score: 2

      How is this different from the canceled Ares? Or they just trim out the LEO variant?

      They painted it white.

    2. Re:They canceled the Ares for this? by pnewhook · · Score: 1

      The Ares design was fundamentally flawed. The engines created a massive vibration that they couldn't resolve. The modification they were proposing just before it got cancelled was the place a massive counterweight in the bottom of the rocket that would mechanically dampen the vibration. This would have reduced the payload capacity significantly. The cost overruns because of the poor design and trying to get it to work were staggering and projections of expenditure were even worse. The only possible solution was to cancel the program and just take lessons learned into a new design.

      --
      Tesla was a genius. Edison however was a overrated hack who liked to torture puppies.
    3. Re:They canceled the Ares for this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Ares design was fundamentally flawed. The engines created a massive vibration that they couldn't resolve.

      All rocket engines create a vibration. The problem was they didn't have the computational software to calculate it anymore and the people that did back in the day are not either old or dead.

    4. Re:They canceled the Ares for this? by holmstar · · Score: 1

      You're referring to the Aries 1 but I believe that RetiredMidn is referring to the Aries 5, which was more or less the same configuration as the new proposal.

    5. Re:They canceled the Ares for this? by khallow · · Score: 1

      All rocket engines create a vibration. The problem was they didn't have the computational software to calculate it anymore and the people that did back in the day are not either old or dead.

      No. They had people and computer models which could do the calculations. It was that the thrust oscillation vibration was thought to exceed safety limits for a manned crew.

    6. Re:They canceled the Ares for this? by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      How is this different from the canceled Ares? Or they just trim out the LEO variant?

      They painted it white.

      It may seem flippant, but this comment is pretty close to the money. SLS is indeed the zombie version of Ares V with some relatively minor alterations.

    7. Re:They canceled the Ares for this? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      But imagine... zombies... IN SPACE!!!!!!!!!!!!11111111

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  3. Before the ranting starts...* by smooth+wombat · · Score: 2

    about how much NASA costs, I just posted this same link on another site. It shows an outstanding graph of the overall federal budget for 2011 broken down by Agency.

    As the Bad Astronomer says in his writing, find NASA's budget.

    The link.

    *Ok, I'm a bit late as the ranting has already begun

    --
    We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    1. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by DigiTechGuy · · Score: 1

      Interesting chart. It would be so easy to cut anywhere from 1/2 to 3/4 of that budget and the country would be such a better place. NASA is trivial compared to other spending.

    2. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by Baloroth · · Score: 1

      Interesting as that graph may be (and mildly deceptive as well.. but I'll ignore that), that doesn't change the fact that NASA is spending quite a lot of money. Comparing it to the DoD budget is like saying "well, I'm spending $500,000 dollars on a house, so I should be able to buy 5 iPads, right? It's cheap by comparison, so I'm not wasting my money!" It isn't a valid argument, not by itself.

      What you need for an argument is that NASA is far more important than the other sections of the budget. Which is true and false at the same time. Yes, space travel is important. Manned space travel? Well, maybe not so much. Sending robots to Mars? Cool. Helpful? Well, as an aspiring scientist, it is to me, but it isn't to the 300+ million others in the USA. The defense budget, on the other hand, is (ok, yeah, a lot, and I mean A LOT, is a waste, but having a military and a large one at that is kinda important to a nation as large as us, and that isn't cheap.) And a lot of DoD research ends up benefiting people in rather significant ways (the Internet comes to mind). NASA projects do have useful technologies too, but just how many and how worth it they are is a rather large debate in and of itself.

      When talking about government spending, a good rule that should hold (but never does) is that the spending should benefit everyone indiscriminately. So, interstate highways, a military, education system, Social Security, et alia. Sending people into space? Sure, it has future benefits for research, but you really need to balance those potential benefits against the immediate ones you can get for the same amount or cheaper. Especially difficult since future benefits are potentially infinite... or potentially nothing. Point is: you need a bit more than just that chart to justify NASA's budget.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    3. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      about how much NASA costs, I just posted this same link on another site. It shows an outstanding graph of the overall federal budget for 2011 broken down by Agency.

      Yeah, you know, maybe spending $200 on a pair of shoelaces might not seem all that much when compared to my annual budget, but it's still friggin' ridiculous.

      Look, I LOVE NASA, and would be happy to see them receive 10 times the funding ... but spending it like this? Screw that. If they're not going to make a real effort, then give the $30 billion to SpaceX and let NASA do the stuff they're good at: science.

    4. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by Andrewkov · · Score: 1

      The prison system gets almost as much as NASA.

    5. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Best part of that (so far): whoever coded that widget made the rollover info box STAY OUT OF THE WAY OF THE CURSOR.

      (Standing ovation.)

    6. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by blair1q · · Score: 1

      the spending should benefit everyone indiscriminately

      Long ago proved to be a false goal.

      Spending that benefits some directly and others indirectly and some barely is spending you can manage. Trying to make sure that you, personally, see a tangible benefit from every dollar of spending is a limitation that no budgetary process can tolerate.

      As for the rules, they are: 1. Congress may tax you as it chooses. 2. Congress may spend as it chooses. The treasury is thiers, not yours.

      There are no other rules, as long as they don't somehow violate other binding parts of the Constitution in the process. Anything you think should hold is an assumption, a personal desire, a long piss in the blustery wind of politics.

    7. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Makes sense. Incarceration is one area where the USA is a true global innovator.

    8. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Prisons get $8 billion. NASA gets about $18 billion.

      So, what we really need to do here is...spend more on Science and Math education...

    9. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      perhaps we could combine the two.

    10. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      Wow, it appears that everything but the bottom right 1/6th of the graph ought to be excised. And probably plenty inside what is left over we can do without as well. The federal government has gotten way too involved. They should only be supplying services that are necessary to the well-being and future of our country but that doesn't make sense for state, local or individuals to fund.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    11. Re:Before the ranting starts...* by sjames · · Score: 1

      If only the DoD was like a house. Yes, we need defense. However, our current nonsense in Iraq and Afghanistan make the comparison more like "Well, I'm buying a $500,000 house and blowing it up just for funsies so I suppose I can afford 5 iPads".

      If we can find 3% of the DoD budget to cut, that would fund all of NASA. It's only fair, NASA has frequently had to sacrifice chunks of it's budget for the good of the DoD anyway (that's part of why the Shuttle was so expensive to fly, it made changes to accommodate the DoD).

  4. This is disappointing as hell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All that work on new propulsion technology and vehicle design (spaceplane, anybody?) and we're doing the same roman candle approach. That is actually worse than something we had 40 years ago.

    1. Re:This is disappointing as hell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean the same approach that has produced well over 100 successful launches? Why would any one go with what works really really well?

    2. Re:This is disappointing as hell by Muros · · Score: 1

      All that work on new propulsion technology and vehicle design (spaceplane, anybody?) and we're doing the same roman candle approach. That is actually worse than something we had 40 years ago.

      I'm not a physicist, so I don't really know a huge amount about this. Is there actually a viable design for a spaceplane with a large cargo capacity in the works anywhere? I understand that planes are more economic in the lower atmostphere, where you rest the weight of the plane on the wings, but for upper atmosphere I believe you still need a vertical thrust and to carry the oxygen aboard as well as the fuel you're burning with it. How would you go about this? Maybe a spaceplane that takes off conventionally and refuels in the air for the final burn?

    3. Re:This is disappointing as hell by BZWingZero · · Score: 2

      I'm not a physicist, so I don't really know a huge amount about this. Is there actually a viable design for a spaceplane with a large cargo capacity in the works anywhere?

      Yes, there is a "viable" design for a spaceplane with large cargo capacity in the works. Its still a significant amount of development away from production, but its past a concept. Its called the Skylon

    4. Re:This is disappointing as hell by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Note that Skylon precursor HOTOL, a project under seemingly much more reputable entities and stricter oversight, apparently came to conclusion that it would be not really operationally better than a "dumb rocket" using comparably advanced technology or materials ...which for a specaplane are required to make it even barely possible.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    5. Re:This is disappointing as hell by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      Note that Skylon precursor HOTOL, a project under seemingly much more reputable entities and stricter oversight, apparently came to conclusion that it would be not really operationally better than a "dumb rocket" using comparably advanced technology or materials ...which for a specaplane are required to make it even barely possible.

      That's exactly backward. Alan Bond headed the HOTOL project. Guess who owns Reaction Engines, the company behind Skylon? That's right, Alan Bond. The main issues with HOTOL were actually more to do with the vehicle geometry, not with the engines themselves, and with politics (specifically, the Thatcher government). Apparently, the new materials and manufacturing technology available 20 years later have made it possible to address the technical issues. Let's not forget that there have been several independent evaluations made of Skylon's feasibility, including by the ESA, and none of them have found any reasons for the spacecraft not to be feasible.

    6. Re:This is disappointing as hell by sznupi · · Score: 1

      It is absolutely expected that creators are the most appreciative of their darling, it doesn't say very much in itself. If problems were so minor as you present, there would be not much reason to just terminate the effort (and yes, the new materials and technology available now were certainly anticipated in calculations then; those which suggested that a "dumb rocket" would give something at worst comparable)

      ESA provides them with low-level funding; it is certainly the goal of the organization to explore and be supportive of potentially(!!) promising paths, that's it, that's what public funding of research is also about. They have their own share of dead ends...

      Now, don't get me wrong, it would be fun if Skylon works out, in practical operations. But we must be sceptical of the claims of those who are, one way or another, deeply invested in it. If only because of... come on, how many "this will be awesome, revolutionary, and inexpensive" we had, also from supposedly respectable entities? Heck, it was the same song behind the push for STS, and look how much of a train wreck of a project it ended up being.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    7. Re:This is disappointing as hell by sznupi · · Score: 1

      I've added HOTOL background to Skylon enthusiasms; it's not so clear as Skylon would like us to believe (with the types of public funding it gets being also about risky projects with unknown outcomes, investors not willing to step up)

      ...but, on top of that, "vertically" ("vertical thrust") is a popular but huge misunderstanding. The first rocket that got into space was A4, aka V-2 (~100 km during normal operational flight, and I think it could achieve ~180 if launched almost vertically). However... it was more than an order of magnitude away in energy expenditure required from being able to reach orbit. Launchers work primarily not for height, but for horizontal speed, kinetic energy, and most of those energy gains must happen outside of the atmosphere - a) the speed is high b) it gets squared in kinetic energy...

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  5. If the shuttle was a political compromise by JoshuaZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So if you thought that the shuttle was a political compromise of various different interests this will look even worse. There's one primary reason that this new design uses so much of the shuttle: whiny lobbyists and politicians who want to make sure that the factories in their home districts stay doing the exact same thing. To most Slashdot readers the space program isn't what may be the first stepping stones to the stars, and we imagine people a thousand years from now looking back on this early age as we look back on the great achievements of the past. These people don't look at that way. They look at this as one more form of pork. And frankly, given how bad the economy is, I sort of understand that. Their home districts need every job they can get.

    But even given that, this still pisses me off. This will have less lift capacity than the Saturn V or the shuttle, will be less frequently launchable, will be essentially not reusable. This is a clear step backwards. More expensive and less capable. Great way to go.

    1. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by olsmeister · · Score: 1

      Initially the rockets will be able to carry into space 70 tons to 100 tons of payload, NASA said, which would include the six-person Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle capsule and more. Eventually it will be able to carry 143 tons into space, maybe even 165 tons, officials told the Associated Press. By comparison, the long-dormant Saturn V booster that sent men to the moon was able to lift 130 tons. The plans dwarf the rumbling lift-off power of the space shuttle, which could haul just 27 tons. The biggest current unmanned rocket can carry about 25 tons. Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2011/09/14/nasa-to-unveil-giant-new-rocket-design/#ixzz1XwZ5jLiC

    2. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      Admittedly, pork that puts you on the moon is still pretty good pork. Apollo was pork for Boeing, Douglas, North American, Grumman -- oh look at that, the top four military jet manufacturers got one stage each! Pork that everyone wants to see spent and achieves awesome goals takes on a different character.

      The challenge has been in trying to keep the program moving forward scientifically. When there was a challenge and people were getting these vast sums of money in order to invent new technologies and put them into production, you could justify the expense because we were inventing new things. When we transitioned to the shuttle, there really wasn't any new innovation because the goals of the program were quite circumscribed compared to a lunar or planetary mission, and the contractors just get paid for maintenance work, instead of inventing the next microchip, materials process, energy source, or medical technology.

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    3. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Admittedly, pork that puts you on the moon is still pretty good pork.

      If this thing ever goes to the Moon they'll find tourists waving at them at the landing site, having flown there for a fraction of the cost using a Falcon 9 Heavy.

    4. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by iluvcapra · · Score: 1

      Nota bene, my point is that Apollo was good pork in 1969. If there were private contractors designing heavy-lift vehicles in the late 60s, or Mars rovers today, I guess you'd have point. The problem with the private contractors is they only want to make what others will buy, and nobody would have paid $100 billion for a ticket to the moon.

      And if all SpaceX is doing is taking NASA-funded inventions and reselling them to our defense establishment at a 20% markup, meanwhile packing along tourists at $1 million a kilo... I see no achievement, or likely any profit, in that. At least if America does it you can be proud and say "we" did it. When it's a tourist it's just some embarrassingly rich prick who comes back with a Blu-ray of his vacation, gives inept interviews about the magic of how "small" the Earth looked, and spends the rest of his life "finding himself" while running a succession of failed charities, all the while trying to ignore the fact that he liquidated the GDP of a small country in order to walk on a sandy rock, and added nothing in the process.

      Foul mood this morning...

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    5. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Nota bene, my point is that Apollo was good pork in 1969. If there were private contractors designing heavy-lift vehicles in the late 60s, or Mars rovers today, I guess you'd have point.

      No-one was building heavy-lift rockets because they make no financial sense. One of the biggest contributors to launch cost is flight rate, and with similar technology levels a smaller rocket which flies a hundred times a year will almost always end up costing much less per pound in orbit than a huge monster than flies once a year; there are a lot of payloads for a $50 million ten-ton launcher but tthe 100+ ton payloads that can afford to pay a couple of billion dollars a time just don't exist outside of NASA and the military.

      No-one would have adopted the heavy-lift approach for Apollo if not for the unlimited budget and the demand to get to the Moon by the end of the decade. It was too expensive and a technological dead-end because you could only take whatever would fit on a single launch.

    6. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why the frack dont they just open source the design. The accumulated wisdom of /. would certainly come up with a race horse and not this camel.

      Altho! ... camels are far more suited to space travel than race horses ... they can go further, with greater payload, requiring only minimum fuel intake(of low quality) than any race horse, left dying in the desert thru heat exhaustion.

      Camels FTW, FOSS camels for the stars..

    7. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by OldeTimeGeek · · Score: 1

      So if I were in Congress and I was asked to spend money on something that would bring no obvious benefit to the folks that elected me and would almost certain to be used against me in the next election, how do you think I would vote?

    8. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why does everyone say this is worse and more expensive than the Shuttle system was? The average cost to launch a Shuttle mission was $450 million, and it demonstrated a 1.4% complete-destruction safety record. Isn't this system supposed to be cheaper than that on a per-mission operation and per-pound-lift basis, and less likely to asplode? I think those are good things.

      And I like that they dropped the wings from the orbiter. They weren't doing a lot of good.

    9. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by andydouble07 · · Score: 1

      This will have less lift capacity than the Saturn V or the shuttle

      No need to say things that are patently false.

    10. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by blair1q · · Score: 1

      This will have less lift capacity than the Saturn V or the shuttle

      Half right. Read TFA.

      make sure that the factories in their home districts stay doing the exact same thing

      Only until 2017. Read TFS.

      Jeebus.

    11. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1
      Right. I read too quickly, so this will have more lift capacity than the shuttle, and if things go well will about tie the Saturn V.

      Only until 2017. Read TFS.

      Really? Want to bet on whether congress will force further extensions of the same stuff?

    12. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by sznupi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This will have less lift capacity than ... the shuttle

      What is the point of including the wasted upmass of airframe? Excluding it, the lift capability of STS was in the range of many inexpensive expendable launchers; and there's nothing wrong with expandability - physics, rocket equation, are a bitch.

      Some simple, back of the napkin calculations so you might get the feel of how much waste the "spaceplane" scifi cargo cult dream brought with it: the empty weight of the orbiter was 80 tons, weight at liftoff 110 tons including maximum payload of 24 tons. Lets be generous and assume, say, a capsule of 15 tons for comparable crew transport capabilities (other capabilities being superfluous), launched on a typical ~20+ tons launcher... that gives a wasted upmass of around 70 tons in each Shuttle launch.

      Through 134 successful launches. Over 9000* tons of launched mass which could be in LEO, but was wasted on Buck Rogers style contraption.
      Even if merely half of that was used for a space station, it would an order of magnitude larger than the ISS, probably easily of the spinning, "gravity" generating type. And on a somewhat higher orbit (ISS was for a long time on non-optimal one so that Shuttle would be able to reach it with usable payloads)

      *Yes, I perhaps slightly inflated the above "70" ( ~65 being more realistic), but I wanted badly to sneak in the 9k line ;p

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    13. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by PhinMak · · Score: 1

      The average cost to launch a Shuttle mission was $450 million... Isn't this system supposed to be cheaper than that on a per-mission operation and per-pound-lift basis, and less likely to asplode?

      Shuttle: $450,000,000 per mission
      New system: $15,000,000,000 per mission (Source copied below.)
      After spending $30B for development and 2 launches, you would need 130 launches with the new system at HALF the cost of the old shuttle before this became break even. And that's even before we consider the time-value of money.

      Someone else do the math for the per-pound calculation. I'm too disheartened.

      If NASA stays on budget, which is far from certain given NASA's history of cost overruns, each mission would cost about $15 billion apiece, although planned missions after 2021 would reduce that average price tag.

    14. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by tsotha · · Score: 1

      No they won't. If this thing actually gets funded SpaceEx will be a competitor and the Falcon will be cast into regulation hell.

    15. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by blair1q · · Score: 1

      By then the companies making the current stuff will be out of parts for the current stuff and looking with hungry eyes at the money for the new stuff. And of course will be way way way ahead of anyone else in knowing exactly what will win the bid for the new stuff.

      The stuff will change. The directionality of the pork flow won't.

    16. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      It's not false. The design calls for a rocket that can lift 50,000 kg less than a Saturn V. NASA *hopes* (read that word again slowly) that it will eventually be able to surpass the Saturn V in lift, but those designs aren't even on the drawing board.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    17. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      Shuttle: $450,000,000 per mission

      Actually, the Shuttle was up to around $1 billion per-mission if you take into account the operating program costs. Unlike disposable launchers, the Shuttles required an army of maintenance and support people to keep them running.

      New system: $15,000,000,000 per mission (Source copied below. [orlandosentinel.com])

      That's true if they only launch two missions.

      But keep in mind the Shuttles were nearing the end of their lifespans and would have needed to be replaced by new orbiters. Endeavuor, the replacement for Columbia, cost $2 billion, but was built largely with spare parts almost two decades ago. You'd be looking at something like $5 billion a pop to build new Shuttles - $25 billion to replace the entire fleet. And you'd still be stuck with their outrageous launch costs and operating expenses.

      I see this plan as an improvement over the Shuttles - they won't have the operating expenses and obvious design flaws of the Shuttles - but still overpriced compared to what Falcon appears poised to accomplish.

    18. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      If this thing ever goes to the Moon they'll find tourists waving at them at the landing site, having flown there for a fraction of the cost using a Falcon 9 Heavy.

      More likely, they're find tourists at the landing site, but they won't be able to speak to them unless they know Mandarin.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    19. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by ModernGeek · · Score: 1

      They say that they are only doing two launches within this decade. That's because all the launches start in the 2020s. It's obvious sensationalism at it's best.

      --
      Sig: I stole this sig.
    20. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Though I agree with your rant, I have to be honest: if I had the money to buy me a return trip + walk on the moon, hell yeah.
      I'd be pretentiously dicking out my riches for that, you betcha!
      If I had it, and if there was a company offering, I'd even pay the GDP of a medium-sized country.

    21. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      So if I were in Congress and I was asked to spend money on something that would bring no obvious benefit to the folks that elected me and would almost certain to be used against me in the next election, how do you think I would vote?
      Well, as a congresscritter you are not there to get re-elected, you are there to carry out the will of your constituents. Normally, carrying out the will of your constituents IS good for your career, though. In this case, I would expect that the will of your constituents is probably to vote it down. That is because, on averages, most constituents are probably not very forward thinking. They would probably prefer that you spend the money on free handouts for locals, thus continuing and expanding the supply of uninformed constituents.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    22. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

      Ah, the General Theory of Pork Relativity:

      Your pork, my valuable project.

      --
      Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
    23. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

      OVER 9000!

      So is it the wasted mass that matters most? Is there a diminishing return on disposable rockets? Building the same rockets over and over, vs having part of the rocket be reusable (the cabin). Would we be able to do as much in capsules as we could in a shuttle? Could they stay up there a week or more in a capsule AND do experiments?

      i'm asking because i don't know. Seems like the capsule method would be very limiting. Even if there was less cost in getting stuff up there, once something was in place, would they be able to do anything? How long could they stay? How many rockets with capsules would we have to launch to do the same amount of research and payload delivery?

      Upmass? Did you intuitize that transterminologicalism or did someone else jargonify it before you?

      --
      Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
    24. Re:If the shuttle was a political compromise by sznupi · · Score: 1

      When just few percent of the launchpad mass gets into LEO, such (50+%) waste matters a lot. "The most reliable ... most frequently used launch vehicle in the world" (and among the least expensive ones, also in cost per kg) is a fully expendable rocket, semi-mass produced (on average over 30 per year; though there's a more mass-produced example in the very first widely used, large rocket; and who knows where we would be if OTRAG weren't cancelled for political reasons), and probably comfortably on its way towards a century of service (with how a new launchpad in Guiana is inaugurated right about now). Mass production, simplification, modularisation (of standard units) is what generally seems to do the trick in lowering costs of operations; few large, unique and overcomplicated units generally accomplishes quite the contrary.

      Besides, capsules can be largely reusable as well. And don't forget how much they can do, and did, that STS-class vehicle cannot. Plus, why would you want humans to do experiments in a capsule? Space stations are for that ...for quite a bit longer than a puny one week (and if you insist, compare the length of "Soyuz strips" with those of the Shuttle in this timeline ...the first type looking there more like actual spaceships).

      And most of the space station modules historically lifted, did so on an expendable launcher. In fact, there is some talk of retrofitting few in-storage "western part style" ISS modules with small orbital tugs, launching them on average medium launchers, and docking them autonomously like all Russian and some Japanese and European modules do - what will most likely end up being less expensive (including the R&D and manufacture of tugs!), less wasteful, than launching such modules on STS was! (which was "required" for many ISS modules only because they were specifically constructed that way, to give the Shuttle some purpose).
      Think about it for a second - STS was among the three most powerful, by far, launchers in history (if not the most powerful at take off, too lazy to check). And yet, its payload capability was merely in the range of many medium expendable launchers. Proton, Ariane 5, Delta IV, Atlas V, Falcon, Long March, Angara, Rus. Pick one.

      One shot of such launcher already gives comparable amounts of stuff to work with (of course you also need to launch crew on a separate launch or two, but it still ends up more economical and with much greater possibilities, much longer stay). And, if doing one launch of STS-scale rocket but without the waste of a glorified glider, you'd have few times more in just that one launch (Energia was a bit more sensible like that from the start - the Buran was just its payload; another one was an 80 ton space station modules, one being also at the core of their Mars mission spacecraft which Energia was to asemble; SLS will be also capable of such, it will represent this more sensible approach)

      And if you want to bring some stuff back... well, capsules also lead in the amounts of recovered, valuable, purpose-specific, actually reused equipment (also scientific missions, including half of NASA experiments of such type, most during the Cold War; another type, and few more variants of just this one capsule here ...though the "Reentry" text of Foton, seemingly pasted over few arts, doesn't really make much sense and needs to be corr

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  6. 30 billion? C'mon guys... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    it's not like this is rocket science...

    1. Re:30 billion? C'mon guys... by gilleain · · Score: 1

      it's not like this is rocket science...

      Well, it's rocket budget science.

  7. So by afidel · · Score: 1

    Is this the DIRECT proposal, and if so are they going to design a new crew vehicle or use all the work already poured into Orion?

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    1. Re:So by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Orion -> MPCV

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multi-Purpose_Crew_Vehicle

  8. James Webb Funding by sir_eccles · · Score: 1

    Anyone? Beuller?

    1. Re:James Webb Funding by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The question isn't "what are we going to do," the question is "what aren't we going to do?"
      http://www.universetoday.com/88928/senate-saves-the-james-webb-space-telescope/

  9. What we really want to know is.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is this the first or subsequent submission for this poster?

  10. say no to ATK. by jafac · · Score: 1

    Solid rocket propulsion is inappropriate for manned spaceflight.
    This message has been brought to you by: Basic Common Sense.

    What was wrong with the X-33? The concept had flaws. In 1996. So. . . we turn our backs and never try again for a fully, TRULY reusable system? Just so we can continue to funnel billions of dollars of pork to powerful senators from Louisiana and Utah? Wow. We do not deserve space. We just don't.

    --

    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    1. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we arent going to get space either so what the problem ? The chinese can launch their nuclear powered battleships on fission drives while we sit back and let them take space for themselves. theres plenty of it anyway.

    2. Re:say no to ATK. by tekrat · · Score: 1

      My understanding was that the X-33 couldn't be build as the composite fuel tanks never worked, and without that, the thing could not be built light-enough to actually fly with the available fuel. I'm sure these hurdles could have been overcome, but 'they' decided not to throw good money after bad, although 'they' were willing to fund a decade of useless wars. Go figure.

      And yes, this design looks like it's just about continued funding for certain contractors who have paid off the right senators.

      --
      If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    3. Re:say no to ATK. by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      The composite tank did fail but they came up with a lighter aluminum tank that did work. They killed the program anyway. Really it is called RnD. Research and Development. Sometimes things work some times they do not but you always are learning.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    4. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't comment on the X-33, but I must say I agree with the statement on Solid Rockets. They work great for Estes but not for carrying anything you care about.

      Both Shuttle disasters can be directly attributed to the SRBs. Challenger in a very obvious way, and Columbia in a less obvious way- due to how solid fuel burns, it creates horrific vibrations. So much so that one of the major issues of the Ares program was the extra structure (and weight) they were going to have to add to keep the upper stage from falling apart. If you watch shuttle launches up close and in slow-mo, you can actually see it pulsing off the pad- due to the SRB burn.

      This vibration caused the falling foam and ice issues that plagued the shuttle program and brought down Columbia. If they had been liquid fueled boosters, it would not have happened. Period.

    5. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Both Shuttle disasters can be directly attributed to the SRBs.

      WRONG

      Columbia hand nothing what so ever to do with the SRBs. In the SRBs have had 134 successful launches making it a 0.7% failure rate. Nasa would be stupid not to use SRBs. They are cheap, powerful and work reliably.

    6. Re:say no to ATK. by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      There have been significant advances in composite materials since the 90s, it's fairly cutting edge stuff. One would think that it would be worth another try with these new materials - it should be comparatively cheap to test just the fuel tank to see if this were true.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    7. Re:say no to ATK. by Graymalkin · · Score: 1

      The current four segment SRBs work reliably. The SLS is going to use five segment SRBs which means the new ones will be a completely different design. Solid rocket motors need a very specific geometry in order to burn correctly and provide the amount of power they need to help lift a rocket. Increasing the length by another segment means the geometry is complete altered so too are the methods of pouring and curing the propellant. Every single manufacturing process Thiokol had working for the Shuttle's SRBs needs to be revamped or thrown out completely and rebuilt from the ground up. The new SRBs will start no safety rating whatsoever.

      --
      I'm a loner Dottie, a Rebel.
    8. Re:say no to ATK. by Bill+Hayden · · Score: 1

      The X-33 was not designed be an orbital vehicle, though perhaps it could have paved the way for orbital vehicles of a similar design. It was never designed to fly over 100km or above 50% orbital speed.

      --
      Protect your browser with the Force Safe Search add-on
    9. Re:say no to ATK. by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Solid rocket propulsion is inappropriate for manned spaceflight.

      Anything that gives you good dE for your dm is appropriate for any kind of spaceflight, as long as you can control it.

      The shuttle's SRBs had one catastrophic failure in 30 years. And that sort of failure could have happened to a liquid system. Heck, a liquid system could have cryo-borked its own o-rings without freak weather getting involved. And...(and this one's a slight stretch)...it was actually a combination failure. If the massive liquid tank hadn't been sitting right there to be blasted by the escaping gases from the unfortunately positioned defect in the SRB, all that would have happened is the SRB would have thrusted funny (but only if the proceeding reaction didn't cause it to explode on its own...)

      Putting people into space is dangerous. There are ways to mitigate the dangers. Solid rocket propulsion has its uses.

    10. Re:say no to ATK. by tsotha · · Score: 1

      The DC-X was a better start than X-33. They tried to do too much at once in X-33 - it was guaranteed to be a failure.

    11. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except this design uses the old four segment design.

    12. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You, sir, are an idiot.

      134 successful launches where every single one had massive vibration and foam strikes due to it. Ever look at the flight anonomly list for STS-1? I'll save you some time. It includes damaged tiles and re-entry damage to a gear door. If by success you mean they burned, you're right. But if by success you mean burned safely, you are very, very wrong.

      They are cheap, powerful, and burn reliably. But as I stated, they are unfit for human transport. Fact remains that if they were liquid boosters, neither disaster would have happened.

      Meanwhile, the shuttle program has gotten to expensive to continue, and we're paying Russia to launch us. . . and Russia does not use solid fuel.

    13. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      134 successful launches where every single one had massive vibration and foam strikes due to it. Ever look at the flight anonomly list for STS-1? I'll save you some time. It includes damaged tiles and re-entry damage to a gear door.

      All rockets have vibrations and the only reason that tank needs foam insulation is to keep the liquid cold for the liquid fueled engines on the orbiter. If the orbiter had no liquid fueled engines, Challenger would not have exploded and the leading of the wing on Columbia would not have been damaged.

      N1 Rocket: Liquid Fueled
      Vehicle serial number 3L – Due to unexpected high-frequency oscillations in the gas generator, one of the pipes broke apart and a fire started. This fire reached the engine control system which at the 68.7 s of flight sent the command to shut down the engines.[5] The rocket exploded at 12,200 m altitude, 69 seconds after liftoff.

      Vehicle serial number 5L – At liftoff a loose bolt was ingested into a fuel pump, which failed. After detecting the inoperative fuel pump, the automatic engine control shut off 29 of 30 engines, which caused the rocket to stall. The rocket exploded 23 seconds after shutting off the engines, destroying the rocket and launch tower in the biggest explosion in the history of rocketry.

      Kosmos 3M Rocket: Liquid Fueled
      On June 26, 1973, the explosion of a Kosmos 3M at Plesetsk Cosmodrome killed 9 people.[5] In 1976, the explosion of a Kosmos 3M on its launchpad killed nine engineers.

      Vostok-2M
      On March 18, 1980 a Vostok-2M rocket exploded on its launch pad at Plesetsk during a fueling operation, killing 48.

      I could go on and list US liquid fueled rockets that also exploded but you are too much of an idiot to understand space flight is dangerous.

    14. Re:say no to ATK. by bruce_the_loon · · Score: 1

      And you know what, these new 5 segment SRBs are being designed by the people who have spent decades working on solid rockets. And after 3 test burns, they are happy with the design and the geometry.

      ATK does not only make SRBs for the shuttle, they make them for Trident missiles and other systems. You want an SRB, you go to ATK. Otherwise it's like going to a CPU fabricator for a new GPU instead of NVidia or ATI.

      --
      Trying to become famous by taking photos. Visit my homepage please.
    15. Re:say no to ATK. by holmstar · · Score: 1

      As another poster commented, aluminum could have been used. Also, there have been advances in composites since 1996. Building a composite tank of that size/shape would actually be possible with today's technology.

    16. Re:say no to ATK. by holmstar · · Score: 1

      The X-33 was intended to be a scaled down technology demonstrator. The full size version (Venture Star) would have been capable of SSTO.

    17. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure there were failures early on, that's the nature of developing new technology. Technology that doesn't fit the bill even after it's developed (solid fuel) should be dumped.

      But how many of those failures have occurred during the shuttle era, on human rated equipment? For that matter, How many SSMEs have failed?

      What fuel did the Russians choose to use for their space shuttle's (buran) boosters?

      There are far too many issues with solid fuel. The vibration is much, much worse (as the burn is much less controlled), they can't be vectored well, they can't be throttled (the Ares 1 test launch was delayed due to upper level winds a liquid rocket could have throttled through) and can't be shut off. And the point of thrust moves as the candle burns, so figuring out how to keep the whole thing stable throughout the burn is difficult. This is why Ares 1 was test launched with a 4 segment instead of a 5. All the models showed a 5 segment would become uncontrollable near the end of the burn.

      As for your implication that the liquid fueled motors should go- the shuttle would not even be remotely possible in an all-solid fuel configuration, due to it's control limitations. Even if it were possible, Challenger would very likely still have been lost even if the tank had not exploded. The thrust loss on the failed SRB was well more than enough to make them miss orbit (probably not even TAL), so the best case scenario would have been a return to launch site abort, which is freakin crazy.

      I may not understand that space flight is dangerous, but at least I have a basic understanding of the physics and engineering required to do it. You, and the majority of congress, trying to keep jobs in their districts, do not. Solid fuel was a great idea and a good try, it had a lot of promise- but it's proven it has no place in human spaceflight.

    18. Re:say no to ATK. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *And* the fact that Challenger had failed SRB was completely undetectable because these gunpowder cans don't have and basically can't have any health instrumentation. Two seconds before the explosion there was an indication that something was wrong, but this came from a routine check of altitude and speed (which was way wrong, due to the lack of thrust from the failed booster), not from instrumentation related to the motor itself.

      If it were a failed liquid booster, there would have been some indication, probably at start up, that there was an issue. So if we want to continue the Challenger debate, it's likely it never would have left the pad if it had liquid boosters. The failed motor would have been detected before the bolts blew.

      But yea, it'd cost more to do it that way. And we can't have that.

    19. Re:say no to ATK. by sznupi · · Score: 1

      What shredded the stack to pieces was aerodynamic force, when an SRB which detached itself positioned it "sideways" to supersonic air stream, nearly at the moment of highest aerodynamic loads. Fuel tank itself had little to do with it. There was no explosion, the tank was just severely structurally compromised by an out-of-control SRB (which burned through one of the elements attaching it to the rest, and was wrecking havoc "suspended" on only one). What looked like an explosion happened behind the stack, after the tank dumped virtually its whole load (bulkheads gave way, because of... SRB which was wrecking havoc). Read the report.

      And no, there is nowhere near that high pressure inside of liquid fuel tanks, they don't try to rip themselves apart through every sealing, no need for o-rings of such type (NVM how the most crucial thing with safety of temperatures is how stable they are, how predictable; for cryogenic fuels, the answer is: extremely)
      Also nice thing about liquid fuels - they can be non-toxic (many most successful and all new designs use such), fairly inert, and the rocket itself is virtually completely inert during production, it becomes "hot" only at the launchpad ...which GREATLY benefits the prospects of mass production, lowering costs (not only production, also operations, etc.)

      There's really no reason to excuse bad approaches.
      Bad on many levels. SRBs were there mostly to negate the suboptimal characteristics of choosing hydrogen as fuel, to "average" characteristics of whole stack; when you just use kerosene, characteristics are already at that more optimal spot, and there's not much need for SRBs.
      Solid fuel rockets might be maybe sometimes sensible if you treat them for what they are - a simple disposable tube with explosives; many of them are basically just that (the small ones used by many expendable launchers in the very first stages of flight). It's something what STS SRBs were nothing but (pointlessly modular, just to give pork to one contractor whose bread - wound up by crazy Cold War nuclear race - was starting to dry up after first arms control treaties, but properties desired for ICBMs don't translate neatly to LEO launchers; pointlessly reusable - a metal tube is not that valuable, but suddenly it needed recovery systems, ability to survive impact & to float, refurbishment procedures; pointlessly overcomplicated)

      Frankly, I don't care much about people, most get a hell of a ride. Launching stuff into space is expensive. Solid rocket propulsion failed to provide an attractive offer, despite being probably the most produced type of rocket (but for other usage scenarios, where they are in turn more sensible)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  11. Why not simply use Space X? by director_mr · · Score: 2

    Space X is developing the falcon heavy, ( The link. ) Why not use that instead. It lifts 53 metric tons for only $80-125 million a pop. Sure, the payload is a lot less, but the cost is 1/10 of what Nasa is thinking about. And those are hard numbers, not NASA will go over-budget numbers. I suppose the one drawback is in scenarios where you want to send a vehicle up there all in one piece.

    1. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Gravatron · · Score: 1

      because congress gets to dictate who NASA has to build with, and they want their precious tax kickbacks.

    2. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Dunbal · · Score: 0

      Why not use that instead.

      Because some congress-critter somewhere will scream "How can it be that the United States can no longer have its government space program" just like Nancy Pelosi silenced criticism of the GM bailout with a spurt of patriotism, and yet another excuse to print a few more hundred billion dollars will be found. By the way GM is losing money again - surprised? Don't you realize yet that budget caps are not limits, they are goals? Promises to reduce debt are never met.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    3. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "And those are hard numbers, not NASA will go over-budget numbers."
      It hasn't flown yet so no those are not hard numbers. They may make those numbers but until it happens it is still just an estimate. A problem with all government projects is feature creep. Since no one really has to pay this group or that adds "Wouldn't it be nice ifs" all over the place. Sort of like software development.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    4. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Muros · · Score: 1

      Don't you realize yet that budget caps are not limits, they are goals?

      I was surprised last year when I visited my brother in San Francisco, he told me his car was categorised as a "compact". To me it was just a car, obviously not a huge one but I didn't think of it as a small one either.

    5. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Muros · · Score: 1

      Um I don't know where that came out of. I'm tired and reading things that aren't there. Sorry

    6. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Graymalkin · · Score: 1

      Even the Falcon Heavy is unlikely to be capable of a Moon, NEA, or Mars mission. However the Falcon will very likely be used for ISS resupply and other in-orbit operations, a mission profile at which the Falcon is to likely excel. The only way the Falcon would be able to do a deep space mission would be to have in-orbit refueling in place. While not impossible it's impractical at this point. Building this themselves would be far too expensive and they would definitely need some subsidies. SpaceX needs a nice reliability record they can bring to the table before the ESA or NASA gives them money for an in-orbit fuel depot. Assuming they can deliver reliable and cheap personnel and cargo launches to the ISS for the next decade I don't think it would be impossible for them to get the funding/connections needed to build a depot. However I don't think NASA should just sit idly by waiting for SpaceX to prove themselves.

      --
      I'm a loner Dottie, a Rebel.
    7. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by blair1q · · Score: 1

      Because that can't do what this does.

    8. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by afidel · · Score: 2

      GM is losing money again

      What?

      Daniel F. Akerson - Chairman and CEO: Thanks, Randy. In summary, we had a solid quarter. Each region posted a profit . GM Q2 2011 conference call

      They made $2.5B in what is historically a slow quarter.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    9. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By the way GM is losing money again

      http://money.cnn.com/2011/05/05/news/companies/gm_earnings/index.htm

      http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=GM

      Not quite. How do you ever expect to have people take you seriously when you like most conservatives post lie after lie because the truth of the matter is that you HAVE to lie to convince people your right since tie and again Kensian philosophies on economic growth and recovery show taxes and deficit government spending DOES work to short term fix economic woes at which point you can focus on repaying debt. The federal budget is NOT like your home budget and is purposely designed to not be.

    10. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by director_mr · · Score: 1

      Thanks for you well-thought out response! You make a number of good points I hadn't thought about.

    11. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by tyrione · · Score: 1

      This is for Deep Space.

    12. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Space X is developing the falcon heavy, ( The link. ) Why not use that instead. It lifts 53 metric tons for only $80-125 million a pop. Sure, the payload is a lot less, but the cost is 1/10 of what Nasa is thinking about. And those are hard numbers, not NASA will go over-budget numbers. I suppose the one drawback is in scenarios where you want to send a vehicle up there all in one piece.

      Or the Atlas V family which has launched 27 times, is NASA's workhorse for space probes, is configurable with all kinds of different booster setups, launches up to 29K lbs. to LEO, 13K lbs. to geostationary. Already been chosen as the proposed booster for the private Dream Chaser spaceplane and CST capsule. Already has a contract with NASA signed just 2 months ago for human-rating specs so both of those private craft can be in the mix for space station trips. Costs $90M per launch for the configuration they're human-rating. And offers ample pork opportunities to Lockheed Martin and Boeing (under the United Space Alliance joint venture), who developed it, and the red states where it's manufactured. Same companies that did the Shuttle, because they bought up all the original contractors.

      Or, hey, what about the Delta IV? NASA was considering that one too for the CEV before it went full-Frankenstein with the Ares. Delta family's been in use for 50 years and is the military's main payload launcher. 17 launches, only 1 partial failure on the latest generation. SAME EXACT CONTRACTORS as the Atlas and Shuttle. And twice as expensive per launch than Atlas, if we're feeling extra generous about lathering the pork.

      Why are we even bothering to develop a much more expensive untested rocket out of Shuttle leftovers when the U.S. has got two active workhorse rockets to try for human-rating with good chance of achieving it. I get the idea behind Ares...we were going way beyond LEO with that family. But why the hell spend a whole decade reinventing the wheel with old parts when there's something relatively more state-of-the-art and more flexible already launching several times a year, has never had a catastrophic failure and whose only glitches resulted in lower-than-planned payload orbits, and which will probably achieve full human-rating by the 2015 deadline that was originally planned for Ares. No...let's do this bundle of half-assed compromises instead and not even get a mockup built before decade's end. With the SAME EXACT CONTRACTORS, no less.

    13. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Learn to read financial statements then maybe next time you won't be caught by surprise. See all that red ink at the bottom? That's not good no matter how pretty you want a balance sheet to look.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    14. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GP is a fool, but maybe you should learn to read financials and then explain how they support your claim that GM isn't making a profit.

    15. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      That's their cash flow, you halfwit. This is their income statement: http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/results/statemnt.aspx?symbol=US%3AGM&stmtView=Qtr

      They paid out a huge chunk of cash as dividends, because they're doing so well.

    16. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      You're using the wrong set of facts, from the wrong universe. In the FOX universe, it's losing money...

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    17. Re:Why not simply use Space X? by holmstar · · Score: 1

      Even the Falcon Heavy is unlikely to be capable of a Moon, NEA, or Mars mission.

      On it's own, no. But those type of missions would use part of the payload capacity for an upper stage engine and enough fuel to get there. Based on what I've read, the folks at SpaceX do believe that they can do these sort of missions. Larger missions would require multiple launches, but that's not impossible.

      If you read up on Elon Munsk, you'll find that one of his personal goals is to make it feasible to colonize Mars. Even before he was involved in founding paypal, his sights were on Mars. Based on what he has already accomplished, I wouldn't be quick to bet against him getting a long way toward that goal.

  12. So let's see... by AJWM · · Score: 0

    will fly twice in the next decade and cost $30 billion through 2021,

    In other words, $15 billion per flight.

    With a "lift capacity" (not payload, so that figure has to include mass to carry the payload -- but we'll assume it's all payload) of 70 metric tons -- 154,000 pounds. That's just under $100,000/lb ($97,402/lb, or $214,285/kg) launch cost.

    And you thought Shuttle was expensive...

    (Mind, this is just the initial cost estimate. Given NASA's track record on such projects, it'll probably come in at around $100 billion by the time they're finished. That's a stack of dollar bills half way to geosynchronous orbit.)

    --
    -- Alastair
    1. Re:So let's see... by tekrat · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's too bad they haven't developed a rocket engine that burns a tank-full of $100 dollar bills. That would be cheaper to run.

      --
      If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    2. Re:So let's see... by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      $30 billion dollars for two flights includes all the R&D to build the freaking rocket, each flight does not cost $15 billion as you imply. Your math is like saying Sony spent $400 million dollars over 4 years to build the first two Cell processors, therefor they will never be able to sell a PlayStation for less than $200 Million each. To put it in perspective, Shuttle R&D was originally bid at $43 billion in today's money. The actual cost per flight was $1.5 billion dollars if you include every dollar that went to the Shuttle program.

    3. Re:So let's see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And help solve out inflation problems.

    4. Re:So let's see... by danlip · · Score: 1

      Yes, but Sony sold way more than 2 PlayStations, so R&D is spread out over millions of units. The chances of this boondoggle ever flying more that 2 flights is infinitesimal, so it really is $15 billion per flight. Actually the chances of it even flying 1 flight is small, so cost per probable flight is approaching infinity.

    5. Re:So let's see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The actual cost per flight was $1.5 billion dollars if you include every dollar that went to the Shuttle program.

      So you agree with the GP's point then? It's an order of magnitude more per launch for the new system. Furthermore, per one of TFA's, "Related NASA documents show there would be a flight every year or two after 2021."

      Regardless, it's GAAP to include development costs depreciated over each unit produced when assessing cost.

      Let's be insanely charitable and say they will stay within their 3 billion/year budget, it will never grow, they will launch once per year, and they will retain this system as long as the Shuttle program (30 years). Even in 2022, the direct cost of launching *one* of these would be 3 billion, disregarding R&D. In 2052, the fully depreciated cost of a single launch would be the 3 billion annual budget + (30 billion R&D)/30 years == 4 billion per launch. You could argue for it to be a little less depending on how you count the pre-2022 launches (either as R&D or as "real flights").

      ...and this the simplistic, Pollyanna-optimistic costing outcome. Everyone knows it's going to be far more than that.

    6. Re:So let's see... by blair1q · · Score: 1

      it's a tiny fraction of what we've spent sending people to South Asia in the past decade. a few months' worth.

    7. Re:So let's see... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what are the missions going to be? Or will there be any missions at all?

    8. Re:So let's see... by AJWM · · Score: 1

      Just because someone else (or some other part of the government) is throwing even more money away on something else stupid, doesn't make this a good idea.

      --
      -- Alastair
  13. I miss the old days. by freaxeh · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If only the US Government had more balls and more incentive to launch a great big rocket into space, we might all be space cowboys by now.

    If only NASA had the budget of 5% of the US Military, I could take my space guitar to a much larger International Space Station and sing the blues all with my other space buddies.

    If only we all could see the amazing opportunities and forward thinking plans which a healthy space program can produce, I could retire on a farm on Mars.

    You know what is missing from this so-called modern world? Ego, If only the US had the biggest Ego to orbit the center of the galaxy, we would all be better off. Just having the opportunity to say to the world, hey, I've got a plan for the world, let me build a space station orbiting around every single planet in this galaxy and we can all see the wonderful beauty that is our Solar System, we can all bring back to earth ideas for peace and ideas for bigger and better scientific projects, and oh yeah, We're the U.S of Effin' Aye, and we have a Saturn X. 5 Times the size of Saturn V and a beautiful sight to see as it takes off, this is our mark on society, this is our Image for the future free for all to look up to, and we love doing it too. Because we're the USA!

    But no, instead, we've shut down it all and dug our heads in the sand, for fear of financial collapse.

    This isn't the america I remember.

    We are all cowards.

    1. Re:I miss the old days. by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Oh, we're not exactly cowards. We just stroke our ego on manly war escapades. Keeping the world safe from (non aligned) tinpot despots by using the world's largest military industrial complex to stomp a bunch of backwards, third tier, fourth world countries into molten dust!

      Or not.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:I miss the old days. by gilleain · · Score: 1

      let me build a space station orbiting around every single planet in this galaxy

      Using our FTL drives?

    3. Re:I miss the old days. by tsotha · · Score: 1

      The fact that we don't see a reason to spend hundreds of billions so you can take your space guitar to a space station isn't an indication of cowardice. That's just common sense.

    4. Re:I miss the old days. by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Seeing what huge and actually present amounts of misplaced ego, of drunken fantasies, give, it's courageous to recognize the conditions of the Real World(tm).

      OTOH it might very well be cowardly when people want to hear about grandiose, fabulous, "awesome" and "inspiring" styles of space travel and colonisation typical of scifi (works of fiction); when they expect something palatable, nothing too uncomfortable and too alien from Earthly experiences (bonus: it's much easier to write / depict...), fearing to face the absolutely wild realities of actually existing universe. It's actually a sign of constrained imagination.

      Ultimately, people will continue being upset how the space travel will most likely remain fundamentally different from their expectations. In the meantime, how many even realize that we can already send people when they are miniaturized and in deep hibernation and that dozens of thousands on Earth are past the procedure? Heck, give me one medium launcher + few dozen million bucks, and I can transport at least a thousand viable humans practically to anywhere in our system.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    5. Re:I miss the old days. by Lieutenant_Dan · · Score: 1

      Using our FTL drives?

      No man, that's crazy talk. We're obviously talking about cryogenics here so we can reach Saturn and space-catapult asteroids towards our refineries on Hades which we have relocated around Earth's orbit for convenience's sake.

      --
      Wearing pants should always be optional.
  14. Do it properly or not at all by tp1024 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What is NASA going to do with those two flights and what are they going to do next? There is no credible plan at all. Fly to some asteroid, then maybe to mars. But in order to do what? Put a flag in the sand of Mars so that half a century later somebody can fly a space probe to the planet and make a picture to combat the conspiracy theories that the Mars flight was all fake?

    There is no vision in this other than giving even more money to the firms that provided overpriced space ships and rockets in the past. There is no research in this, other than whatever happens to be picked up along the way by some great coincidence, just as with Apollo that had a grand total on one scientist flying to the moon.

    If you want to do manned spaceflight, you need a vision or it doesn't work. Because manned spaceflight in and of itself is stupid. As stupid as plonking down huge stones after dragging them for kilometers through the dirt in order to build Stone Henge. As just as stupid as breaking out stones in a quarry, carrying them along the Nile and building pyramids. Or wasting your time to write a symphony, playing football, chess or go (my favorite).

    There is no credible economic reason. There is very little indication, that the scientific gains of manned spaceflight will be worth the monetary expenditure for centuries. But that doesn't mean it isn't worth it, if that is what you decide to focus on. If you say, we think it's worth it, because human nature sometimes requires a higher goal that doesn't have a lot to do with the individuals of the society, but the society as a whole - and as such can truly be enjoyed by all because nobody has any tangible benefit - then this is a good enough reason.

    But unfortunately our societies have devolved to the point of regarding everything that doesn't have a tangible benefit to identifiable individuals as a waste of time - unless it is part of those practices that were grandfathered in from eras when people thought otherwise.

    1. Re:Do it properly or not at all by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      If you can't make up your mind, what "my beef is against" - then maybe I just don't have one?

      Just because there is no promise of tangible economic benefit in manned spaceflight, doesn't mean that there isn't any other benefit in manned spaceflight (tangible or otherwise).

    2. Re:Do it properly or not at all by prakslash · · Score: 1

      OK.. then you do have a beef and it is against the society which thinks that the only worthwhile projects are the ones with economic benefit. You obviously do not agree with this societal thinking.

      That's all you had to say, homes. 3/4 ths of your long "Do it properly or don't do it at all" seemed to indicate otherwise.

    3. Re:Do it properly or not at all by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      Well, try to fill in the gap then, if you think I didn't say enough favor of manned spaceflight, then let me assure you that you are free to make up your mind, whether or not there is any other potential benefit in it besides the economic or scientific one. I've tried to give a somewhat longer account of my thinking on my blog.

    4. Re:Do it properly or not at all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...just as with Apollo that had a grand total on one scientist flying to the moon.
        If you want to do manned spaceflight, you need a vision or it doesn't work.

      Err, did you just contradict yourself?
      Or perhaps you're saying the Apollo space program didn't work?

    5. Re:Do it properly or not at all by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      Short version: The Apollo space program did work. Certainly not as a science program, but as a mission the society of the United States of America regarded as important and worthwhile to do for the sake of pursuing the goal and reaching it.

      Long version: here.

    6. Re:Do it properly or not at all by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      I really don't understand how this is a difficult concept to get or where the confusion is occurring. he is essentially saying that space travel is a political investment, not a scientific or financial investment. The return has always been political, anything else is just icing, but the focus and the goal should always be political.

    7. Re:Do it properly or not at all by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps you would prefer something with some economic potential, which could be built as a noncritical throwaway demo payload?

      1.Giant tank of water with a heater, some transfer valving and pumps, some stationkeeping thrusters, a solar panel, and an electrodynamic tether for propulsion. If somebody up in space want the water, for water or as a in-orbit source of hydrogen/oxygen, charge the bastards and make them come and get it.

      2. Fuel depot core/backbone supporting multiple fuels, but having no fuel itself, just solar panels/pumps/electrodynamic tether. Commercial launchers can send up fuel containers to dock. Profit sharing agreements all around. Then, some startup can send up a interorbital tug which feeds at the fuel depot, which can pickup cargo thrown from commercial launchers into LEO parking orbits (which don't carry any GTO fuel themselves). This allows GEO sats to be checked out in LEO and possibly offering the opportunity to be repaired if there is an issue before going higher to GEO.

      The key here is not missions, but infrastructure. All exploration since the dawn of man hinged on initial route surveys and logistics chain setup. We have squat for infrastructure in orbit. Make something open ended, and people will use it.

    8. Re:Do it properly or not at all by sznupi · · Score: 1

      You were going along fine, but then, after around 2/3rd of your post... sir, are you or were you ever a member of the Communist Party?

      But seriously, how Apollo brought only one geologist for the ride is possibly one of the saddest testimonies about the mindset of humanity. I guess we should root for unmanned sample return Mars mission, it might happen relatively quickly and there might be some gain out of that... (possibly of the world view changing ones)

      Generally, transport of humans as embryos seems to possibly make "manned" spaceflight considerably less stupid. Of course, that would encounter barriers coming from ancient mythologies (unless someone manages to hijack them for the purpose of colonisation, in a "this universe made by our deity for us, to spread life and his word" style - heck, spreading would basically require adopting some of the harder types of... monastic life).

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  15. Re:SRBs, again?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Orrin Hatch has been feeding Thiokol a steady diet of it for 30+ years now.

  16. Will fly only twice? by Froeschle · · Score: 1

    So it will take NASA over 10 years to launch only two more missions? So what do they plan on doing after the second launch? I'm sure by that time that Russia and China will have launched more than just two missions a piece. I really don't like the sound of this.

  17. Not just designed by committee... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most Senators and Congresspeople aren't exactly rocket scientists. And yet here they are mandating major design parameters...

    Spiffy.

  18. Let's do this instead by Lord+Grey · · Score: 0

    Take that $30B and invest it in Space X.

    Space X already has something a lot more concrete than the NASA plan. While lifting less, Falcon Heavy costs way less money per launch. $30B would go a long way to making Space X a reality, faster. I, as a taxpayer/investor, would definitely vote for that over funding NASA's idea.

    For all those people complaining about jobs lost due to retiring the shuttle components: Get them jobs associated with Space X. Maybe part of that $30B could go into employee reeducation and retraining for Falcon assembly.

    --
    // Beyond Here Lie Dragons
    1. Re:Let's do this instead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the government were to invest $30B in Space X, it would also want to have a big say in everything that gets done. And we all know what happens when the government gets involved.

    2. Re:Let's do this instead by blair1q · · Score: 1

      NASA: hundreds of flights of dozens of platforms and mission profiles, and an edict to do good for us all.

      Space-X: not so much.

    3. Re:Let's do this instead by tyrione · · Score: 1

      Let Space X figure it out on their own. They want to be a Private Venture then they can raise the money on their own.

    4. Re:Let's do this instead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the problem is this isn't NASA's idea. It's Congress' idea being forced upon NASA. If they want the bucks they'll take the idea for themselves. NASA would probably rather put 10B into SpaceX for LEO stuff and then 20B into deep space next gen propulsion systems. SpaceX doesn't use the same parts so forget it. No pork, no, um spork, or something.

    5. Re:Let's do this instead by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      Let Space X figure it out on their own. They want to be a Private Venture then they can raise the money on their own.

      And probably be better off for it. The last thing they need is a single customer with a large enough wallet to essentially dictate to them how to run things. Might net a lot of cash in the short term, but it's not really in their best interests for the long term.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    6. Re:Let's do this instead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, if the stated goal of NASA is to get into space rather than make jobs for Americans, by far the most cost-effective thing to do is to spend that $30B on buying launches from Russia. Maybe if you buy $30B, they'll throw in a discount and give you 1000 instead of the 500 you would get at the current going rate. That would keep the US manned space program going for the next couple of centuries.

  19. China needs to get to Mars first... by thefuz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What is being overlooked here, imo, is the factor that drove the Apollo program to such fantastic feats on its relatively short timescale. That type of commitment and effort is _never_ going to be undertaken without the threat of another country topping the US. Barring the type of wake-up-call moment like Sputnik or Gagarin, the necessary desire to get us to the aspirational next level will continue on this iterative path of fits and starts. The key factor that allowed for Mercury -> Gemini -> Apollo was the race to the moon. Right now we have these wishy-washy blurred objectives like wouldn't it be great to visit an asteroid or maybe we'll be walking on Mars in 20 years. F that. We really need a challenger. China. Like the title says, they need to get to Mars. Will them putting something real into orbit do the trick? Is that even attainable given their current launch capabilities (I think so). Until something like that happens, we're doomed to live in this bureaucratic netherworld of pork. The public (I'm guilty too) is too apathetic to realize the country could really use something inspiring like this. Otherwise all the wonderful brainpower out there will continue to funnel into the world of spooky finance transactions... who can blame them!!

    1. Re:China needs to get to Mars first... by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      American beating China to Mars is about as likely as Britain beating America to the moon. When an empire dissolves, it ceases to lead, no matter how huge and powerful it once was. Empires are expensive, and sooner or later, the populace at the core gets tired of paying the cost. The Tea Party is just the latest symptom of that inevitable trend, and I don't see any mass movement in America saying we need the government to be raising and spending more. Until that happens (and I don't think it ever will), whether we admit it or not, we've decided we don't want to be world leaders anymore. It's an expensive job, and we don't want to pay for it. Wake me up when the majority of people in America agree we aren't taxed enough, and you can make a counterargument that won't be laughable.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    2. Re:China needs to get to Mars first... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk needs to get to Mars first. It's one way to buy yourself into the history books.

    3. Re:China needs to get to Mars first... by jonwil · · Score: 1

      The chinese have already launched missions equivalent to the Russian Vostok and American Mercury programs and are working towards launching a space station and a moon program (unmanned initially with a manned lunar landing to follow) so whats the difference here vs what the Soviets were doing in the 60s?

  20. Criminal waste of money by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

    This is a prime example of why NASA should be terminated. Spin off the space science/weather programs and kill the rest. $30B to re-use existing technology to get something in space 6 years from now? Are they that fucking hopeless?

    1. Re:Criminal waste of money by Beelzebud · · Score: 1

      We spend 8-10 billion dollars a month in Iraq alone. And you call 30 Billion over 10 years a "criminal waste of money" for a new launch vehicle? Did you stop to think about this for two seconds, because that is CHEAP, and the reason it is cheap is because they have that existing technology to build from.

      Then Pentagon has roughly 2 TRILLION dollars that they can't even account for, and you call 30 billion over 10 years (to build a new shuttle) criminal? Get some perspective...

    2. Re:Criminal waste of money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a prime example of why NASA should be terminated.

      More like a prime example of why CONGRESS should be terminated.

    3. Re:Criminal waste of money by tyrione · · Score: 1

      What's criminal is your lack of knowledge.

    4. Re:Criminal waste of money by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      You should get some perspective. That money is wasted elsewhere does not justify wasting it somewhere else irregardless of the amounts involved.

    5. Re:Criminal waste of money by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      My lack of knowledge that.. private industry is doing this? Can do it far cheaper? Is doing it faster? With new methods and not beholden to a government bureaucracy? Or my lack of knowledge that there is no need for a continued manned presence in space funded by the government?

    6. Re:Criminal waste of money by Beelzebud · · Score: 1

      Right now, in reality, the private sector is not doing it at all, out side of some sub-orbital test flights. Whine about government all you want to, but they got to the moon in 10 years of trying, and so far a private company hasn't even orbited around the planet one time...

    7. Re:Criminal waste of money by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      My lack of knowledge that.. private industry is doing this?

      yes, your lack of knowledge is that private industry ISN'T doing this YET at all... its not cheaper when it doesn't exist.

    8. Re:Criminal waste of money by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      Right now, in reality, the private sector is not doing it at all, out side of some sub-orbital test flights. Whine about government all you want to, but they got to the moon in 10 years of trying, and so far a private company hasn't even orbited around the planet one time...

      No, there's no company that's completely privately developed three new rocket engines and launched two new classes of launch vehicles into orbit with a third, even larger, on the way...

      You're clearly right, private sector is not doing it at all. Oh wait, no, you're an ignorant clod.

  21. Space Lunch System?? by jittles · · Score: 1

    I knew I shouldn't have skipped lunch. When I first saw the title I thought this was a "New Space Lunch System" for underprivileged aliens and astronauts.

  22. So, they catch up with the Mid-1980's by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    I worked on a "Shuttle-Derived Cargo Launch Vehicle" in the Mid 1980's. It was an obvious answer to the low payload capacity of the orbiter. I see NASA has finally caught on to this idea after we proposed it to them about 5 times over the years in various studies.

    (Given the rate of management turnover, they would forget someone already did the study, and pay for it again and again)

    I look forward to when they catch up to studies we did in the 1990's (giant space guns, and ultra-tall towers)

  23. This is NOT repeat NOT the Aries V. by pecosdave · · Score: 1

    Yes, it came from the same concept drawings, but we scratched out the name dangit! Aries was canceled so it is NOT the Aries 5!

    --
    The preceding post was not a Slashvertisement.
    1. Re:This is NOT repeat NOT the Aries V. by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Well, maybe it's still Ares, if not Aries... :p

      (@sig, aren't teabaggers what became out of 60s hippies, anyway?)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  24. increase NASA's budget! by lazn · · Score: 3, Informative

    NASA is one of the FEW places where the $ spent MORE THAN PAYS OFF in actual $$s into our economy:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budget_of_NASA#Economic_impact_of_NASA_funding

    Every dollar spent on NASA actually GENERATES between $7 and $22 for our economy:
    http://www.bu.edu/sjmag/scimag2005/features/NASA.htm

    People who think spending $ on NASA is bad are the same kind of people that think treating an infected wound with HIV infected dog poop is good.

    1. Re:increase NASA's budget! by bWareiWare.co.uk · · Score: 1

      Past performance is no guarantee of future success.

      In relative terms NASA's budget is tiny, and any effective investment in new technology will always give a many fold return. Simply sticking a NASA badge on some crazy congressional pork isn't going to provide magical benefits.

    2. Re:increase NASA's budget! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      People who think spending $ on NASA is bad are the same kind of people that think treating an infected wound with HIV infected dog poop is good.

      Hey if it works on cancer, I reckon it is worth a shot!

      In other news, I got a little excited when I saw the Orion name on the new launch system design. Just need to set up a launch pad in DC and we'll be all set.

    3. Re:increase NASA's budget! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if NASA would use their money wisely, the money returned on the investment would be even higher. Like this: NASA should stop building their own rocket launch systems, and buy them from e.g. SpaceX. They have already flight-proven the Dragon capsule in a record time. ISS docking will happen soon too.

  25. Re:launch rates and costs by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    For a conventional rocket, to some extent you are correct. The aerospace industry has lots of experience with a "learning curve", the more of the same kind of item you make on a production line, the more you learn how to do it faster and cheaper. But there is a "forgetting curve", so if you do it less than two per month, in the couple of weeks between instances of the same task, your production workers *forget*, and you don't gain from experience. So yeah, do it often enough, and costs should come down.

    Conventional rockets have to fight physics, part of which is the Earth's atmosphere and fuel tank shapes. To minimize drag, you want a skinny rocket, to minimize tank weight, you want a spherical fuel tank. Below a certain size, aerodynamics wins, and the rockts are skinny, but weight-inefficient. Once the get to around 200 ft tall, mass per unit area of the rocket is much larger than mass per unit area of the atmosphere (14.7 psi or 101kPa), so rockets get fatter rather than taller after that.

    If you have jet boosters on your rocket rather than solid rockets, that forumula gets reversed. Air breathing engines want area, more air means more thrust.

  26. Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by fantomas · · Score: 1

    Saturn V looking rocket with strap on boosters like a Soyuz, with a small capsule on top? The 1960s were so great we're going to go back to them?

    1. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by tompaulco · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The 1960s were so great we're going to go back to them?
      Let's see. Moon Rockets, SR-71, Boeing 747, Boeing 737, Concorde, Arpanet, RAM, BASIC, Electronic Fuel Injection.
      I'd say the 60's is pretty much the local peak of human achievement.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    2. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by NikeHerc · · Score: 1

      Moon Rockets, SR-71, (lots of other cool 1960s stuff...)

      You forgot the Scientific Data Systems (later, XDS) series of mainframes. Possibly the most elegant machines ever to draw power.

      --
      Circle the wagons and fire inward. Entropy increases without bounds.
    3. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by sznupi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Those strap on boosters are very unlike that of Soyuz / R-7 rocket. In the latter, they are very similar to core stage, burning the same fuel mixture (kerosene and oxygen; a mix very suitable for first stages, giving nice balance of good specific impulse, high fuel and exhaust density, hence small tanks and large static thrust; a sweet spot, one sort of aimed at in coupling and "averaging" characteristics of STS hydrogen-burning engines with SRBs ...yeah, "so why not just use kerosene?", like Saturn V also did BTW)

      Generally, seeing capsules as a step backwards is at odds with basic chronology. Everybody at first expected "aerodynamic" or "spaceplane-ish" shapes from reentry vehicles, and worked towards it hard. They proved relatively unworkable. Blunt shape entry capsule was a relatively late innovation, an improvement; and a bit of a surprise. There's nothing wrong with capsules; physics, rocket equation, are a bitch.

      Soyuz also worked out fine, being "the most reliable ... most frequently used launch vehicle in the world" (and one of least expensive ones). With designs like Angara or Falcon improving even more on the concept, for example with parallel grouping of identical first stages (bringing even more benefits of mass production)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    4. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by multipartmixed · · Score: 1

      I can't believe neither of you mentioned The Beatles.

      --

      Do daemons dream of electric sleep()?
    5. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      When you have cheap Fuel and no Concerns about global warming. Making Bigger and Faster means transportation is easy. Fuel isn't cheap anymore. So we are trying to keep the same old stuff from the 60s but make them use less fuel a much harder engineering challenge. I want to make my car faster and fuel isn't a concern make the engine with more cylinders and grater gear ratios. But to make my car 10% more fuel efficient while keeping the existing power is much harder to do.

      Arpanet, RAM, BASIC... from the 1960's That is just pure nostalgia. Arpanet barely worked. RAM had errors in it all the time. and BASIC a very primitive programming language.

      We are paying for the progress of the 1960's right now. (Those Hippies somehow became the Tea Party) Those Cool and Fast Technology is hurting the environment. And still it is 2011 and I am still running into code that has GOTO in it!!!

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    6. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      Saturn V looking rocket with strap on boosters like a Soyuz, with a small capsule on top? The 1960s were so great we're going to go back to them?

      When you make a wrong turn, sometimes you have to backtrack before you can truly go forward. Anyone afraid to step back guaranteed to be not very good at moving forward over the long term.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    7. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by adamgundy · · Score: 2

      When you have cheap Fuel and no Concerns about global warming. Making Bigger and Faster means transportation is easy. Fuel isn't cheap anymore. So we are trying to keep the same old stuff from the 60s but make them use less fuel a much harder engineering challenge. I want to make my car faster and fuel isn't a concern make the engine with more cylinders and grater gear ratios. But to make my car 10% more fuel efficient while keeping the existing power is much harder to do.

      fuel (and oxidizer) is a TINY percentage of the cost of a rocket launch - usually less than 1% of the cost of the launch. launch vehicles are never optimized for fuel economy - they are optimized for performance above all else.

      they are reusing components from the shuttle because they are still (just) available. components from Saturn V (engines, mostly) would do a far better job, but they haven't been built in decades and couldn't be reproduced for a sensible amount of money. NASA is half way through a project to reproduce a J-2 engine for the new vehicle's upper stage (the same engine was used for Saturn V upper stages 50 years ago), and it's cost a VERY large amount of money to get as far as they have.

      there is also a huge dollop of politics and pork involved. re-using shuttle components keeps existing contractors (and jobs), rather than causing uncomfortable restructuring and job losses right before an election year.

    8. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by turgid · · Score: 1

      I can't believe neither of you mentioned The Beatles.

      I can. They sucked.

      The Beatles are one of the most overrated pop-groups in history.

    9. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Rockets are 90+% fuel at launch, used up very liberally, in just few minutes. Only few percent "barely" gets to LEO.

      Yes, the absolute quantities and costs of propellants aren't large. However, for launch vehicles, fuel economy, aka efficiency in conversion of stored energy into desirable practical goal (vs., say, goals often seen with cars - how "mean" and "impressive" they are on some idiotic scale of penis-enhancement effects; in contrast, rockets are only coincidentally phallic ;p ), is EVERYTHING . That's their main goal; even minute (and/or often very expensive to implement) improvements in fuel economy are often considered worthwhile due to noticeably greater payload capabilities they bring.

      They are able to even override pork that you mention, or even the "Not Invented Here" syndrome, even in the US. Atlas V, the past darling of the Air Force IIRC, launcher of X-34 or few "big" probes ...doing it on NPO Energomash RD-180 main engines, Energia & Zenit derived (as are Angara or Rus main engines). Taurus II, an upcoming star of "private American rocket industry revival" will use Kuznetsov NK-33 engines (and with a Zenit-derived 1st stage BTW), coming from N-1 (the Soviet Moonshot rocket).
      There's even some talk of trying to push Kuznetsov NK-33 (well, with an inconspicuously Americanised name Aerojet AJ26) into the Space Launch System under discussion here.

      Why is that, why do ~half of US launch systems might end up with ex-Soviet / Russian engines? The staged combustion cycle, which only the Russians successfully implemented, is extremely efficient.

      PS. Plus, the parent poster addressed an overall phenomena of "wonderful 60s breakthroughs" ...which typically simply ignored their true costs (which we are only starting to pay now)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    10. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by adamgundy · · Score: 1

      Why is that, why do ~half of US launch systems might end up with ex-Soviet / Russian engines? The staged combustion cycle, which only the Russians successfully implemented, is extremely efficient.

      because they are cheap? they were built with Soviet labor, then left in warehouses to rot. found and sold to the US in the 90s for pennies on the dollar. they are VERY good engines.. but that's NOT why they're being used.

      efficiency is only terribly useful for a rocket in a vacuum. that's why they're rebuilding the J2 for upper stage work (and even it's not particularly good).for first stages you need thrust. that's why the shuttle and the proposed Aries-V (cough) SLS needs expensive, dangerous solid rocket boosters strapped to it, because it's using hydrogen fueled engines which are good at ISP but not as good at thrust. Saturn-V used kerolox for the first stage for a very good reason. high thrust, not so good ISP.

    11. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Most (if not all, Taurus II is yet to fly) of the engines in question are and will be brand new; sold profitably. Redesigned quite a few times. Put into production (or prepared for one) in "high labour cost" place.

      But at least you, suddenly, insist that economy of rockets does matter after all...

      And specific impulse is far from the only measure of overall launcher efficiency (in converting its stored energy into LEO mass), particularly in a first stage engine, where optimal fuel density or thrust are important ...and what makes those Russian engines extremely efficient at their task> (though NK-33 has a decently nice vacuum version, NK-43); heck, all of them are kerosene-fuelled, it's a given that exceptional specific impulse isn't a part of their exceptional efficiency.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    12. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by adamgundy · · Score: 1

      Most (if not all, Taurus II is yet to fly) of the engines in question are and will be brand new; sold profitably. Redesigned quite a few times. Put into production (or prepared for one) in "high labour cost" place.

      they are cleaned, polished, given a new coat of paint and some new gaskets. a new wiring harness and modern electronics.. fired on a test stand to make sure they don't explode (and apparently a third of the NK-33s WILL explode when used.. without some fixes. that's why Taurus is delayed). but they are definitely not 'brand new'. none of those engines has been built new in decades.

      But at least you, suddenly, insist that economy of rockets does matter after all...

      the whole topic of discussion was about the price of *fuel*. which is insignificant compared to the rocket, engines, electronics, and payload. of course the cost of the engines makes a difference. a single engine costs ten or more times the fuel and oxidizer..

      this would be the (one of) the reasons SpaceX designed a relatively simple, cheap to make, engine. it's not as efficient as the Soviet-era engines, but it's just as cheap, and can be mass produced now. that means you need to use more fuel. but guess what? the cost of the extra fuel is basically a rounding error.

      for the upper stage, I absolutely agree with you - efficiency is king. but Soviet-era engines are not the best choice for that... a super high ISP kerolox engine is still 30% worse than an average hydrolox engine.

    13. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by sznupi · · Score: 1

      It wasn't only about NK-33, and not only about this batch (from the numerous planned launchers using them, it would seem they are at least being prepped for production)

      Plus the topic (marginal one, really; main one being "glorious 60s") was fuel economy, not "price of *fuel*" ...all those costs you mention, "rocket, engines, electronics, and payload" are so high largely because of the scale of problems when efficiently (aka economically; preferably also reliably...) using the chemical energy of propellants; high efficiency must be the case if they are to have any chance of putting their payload into LEO; again, this what the launchers are about.

      Furthermore, you treat cost of fuel as it is when stored in cisterns near the launchpad. But it is much higher than that during launch. Not quite on the levels of LEO payload costs per kg... but when the fuel is, say, half used, the remaining half is worth not only its "cistern value", but also what it costs overall to get it to its present height and speed!

      And yes, SpaceX took a less extreme approach (though they have yet to demonstrate the claimed "lower costs than the Russians"! And ex-Soviet engines are also quite straightforward, "simply" just using a very curious metallurgy and basic design concepts it allows); but note how they did choose a more efficient (overall, for the 1st stage job) fuel...
      (actually, they chose it also for the second stage IIRC; maybe it shows how overall(!!) efficiency is best served by this quite "Russian" approach)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    14. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by khallow · · Score: 1

      PS. Plus, the parent poster addressed an overall phenomena of "wonderful 60s breakthroughs" ...which typically simply ignored their true costs (which we are only starting to pay now)

      There's an easy solution to the problem you mention above. Get metrics that matter. Ecological footprint is nonsense. Similarly, so is the other axis, Human Development. It may still turn that you are right, but at least you'd have the opportunity to know, if you were.

    15. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by Walkingshark · · Score: 1

      I can't believe neither of you mentioned The Beatles.

      I can. They sucked.

      The Beatles are one of the most overrated pop-groups in history.

      Oh, but they revolutionized music! It was amazing! Because they were doing the same thing as dozens of other bands, but they were popular so that makes them special and different!

      --
      The world you experience is only a close approximation of reality.
    16. Re:Combination Saturn V / Soyuz? hello 1960s! by justsayin · · Score: 1

      Or mini-skirts, bra burning parties, I could go on.

  27. Units.. units... by sconeu · · Score: 1

    I'm sure there are plenty of launchers than can lift 70mT and 130mt.

    70mT = 140 pounds.
    130mT = 260 pounds.

    --
    General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    1. Re:Units.. units... by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 1

      Forgive me if I'm ignorant, I normally do not deal with metric tons and I was using NASA's article as source.

      70 metric tons (mT) and will be evolvable to 130 mT

      If this is not correct perhaps you should educate NASA and while you're at it let me in on how to properly express 70 metric tons using the abbreviated form.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    2. Re:Units.. units... by belg4mit · · Score: 1

      You call it a tonne, or you convert to Imperial, or you call it a long ton, or you ignore the ~10% difference;
      in order of decreasing accuracy.

      --
      Were that I say, pancakes?
    3. Re:Units.. units... by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      Looking at my list of SI symbols, I believe that NASA are claiming SLS will launch 70-130 milli-Teslas...

    4. Re:Units.. units... by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      If this is not correct perhaps you should educate NASA and while you're at it let me in on how to properly express 70 metric tons using the abbreviated form.

      The SLS will launch between 70 Mg (7e4 kg) and 130 Mg (1.3e5 kg).

  28. Good Design by scharkalvin · · Score: 1

    Don't knock this approach. The Russian space program uses rockets that can trace their linage back to the R7 boosters that put the first man in orbit. Rather than scrap a working design the Russians have improved them constantly. The SSME is really not a totally new design, it's based on the Saturn V J1 engine. The upper stage of the SLS will use the J1X engine, which is based on the same engine. While the SRB's have a bad reputation thanks to the Challenger accident, they actually have a good safety record. Similar (smaller) engines are used on the Delta rocket as boosters. The SRB's biggest problem is the joints between sections. The SRB could be built in a single large piece (one section), but would then be harder to assemble and ship. By stacking sections it is possible to build SRB's of different sizes and power to suit the payload.

    I wonder how the SLS will compare in takeoff power compared to the Saturn-V and the Falcon-9 Heavy.

    1. Re:Good Design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The biggest problem is not in the design, but in the cost and the time to complete it.

  29. CCDev-2 is key by bigpat · · Score: 1

    A little more quietly, there are four companies now with NASA funded manned space-flight programs: SNC, Boeing, Blue Origin and SpaceX.

    http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2011/08/nasa-ccdev-2-partners-reveals-progress-milestones/

    Once people start flying on any of these vehicles then it opens up more possibilities moving forward. This is the real space race.

  30. Seems Pointless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There isn't any designated mission, and to me it seems unlikely that this will ever fly.

    Better to shut down all new manned projects by NASA, supporting only the ISI while it remains in orbit. They can concentrate on what they do best, unmanned orbital and interplanetary missions. If nothing else, the big projects aimed at manned flight are way too political, both within and without NASA.

  31. How about we get a proper title? by tyrione · · Score: 1

    This is not a New Shuttle but a Deep Space ship for cryin' out loud.

    1. Re:How about we get a proper title? by RogerWilco · · Score: 1

      But going where? What can it reach and what can it do there?

      --
      RogerWilco the Adventurous Janitor
  32. And Boeing's next airliner ??? by petes_PoV · · Score: 2

    Will that be a return to turbo-props and a wooden frame.
    What NASA appear to be saying is that they've made no significant progress in spacecraft or engine design over the past 40 years.

    If all they've done is stagnate, then the NEXT iteration after that can only be the start of the slide backwards.
    (Note to self: start learning to ride a horse and hunt with a bow.)

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    1. Re:And Boeing's next airliner ??? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Modern high bypass turbofan aircraft engines are sort of more akin to turboprops than to early turbojet engines. Propfan is one of more promising improvements. "Frames" go for composites, so organic materials...

      Maybe what NASA says is that they've made a mistake. One almost not done by anyone else* ...but very popular in works of fiction. Maybe it's simply how dreams about expected modes of space travel turned out to be wrong; dreams extrapolating (not understanding, generally) rates and directions of observed progress. Look at those airplanes from "our" times (imagined during rapid advances of marine tech; and we can even build them - take a Harrier, remove wings and canopy... still a horrible idea vs. "boring" reality)

      Consider how the "spaceplanes" came to dominate scifi... around the 40s, during rapid advances of airplane tech (I can see a pattern...); how the designers and decision-makers of the Shuttle were undoubtedly raised on those works of fiction. And how they gave us an analogue of Catalina, at best (Spruce Goose, at worst); but something which looked very soothing and "inspiring" to the already constrained public imagination, already quite accustomed to airliners / Concorde. Something which probably robbed us at least of a decade of progress; was conceptually obsolete (with automatic rendezvous, docking and routine return of large valuable cargo done in the 60s) before it seriously got onto drawing boards. It was a retreat to early dreams.

      Short spurs of progress are generally typical of our civilisation, in the Real World(tm); it's what tends to happen with everything. BTW, have you seen the ideas of Archimedes about floating improved? Come on, his law is over 2k years old, surely we should be able to ignore it by now...


      *The Shuttle appears to make more sense if you look at it as a geopolitical engineering project, to provoke the ignorant Soviet generals[1] into pushing for a rampant spending of their counterpart, to have a parity for (non-existent) "strategic advantage" of the STS. Of course, then one has to ask why was it allowed to continue sucking NASA dry for the past two decades?... there even was a good opportunity to terminate the program post-Challenger (of course, that in turn could be also a "revenge of the Buran" of sorts - it was essentially being prepped on its launchpad at the time, and of course the Soviets couldn't be allowed to be the only ones with a shuttle[2])

      1. Their engineers very much didn't want to go there, preferring Spiral approach. With the vehicle being just a dumb payload of medium launcher ...ultimately, when forced, doing the same with STS-class vehicle (Energia was a more sensible approach from the start, one very similar to this Space Launch System) - but it bled them dry, killed what they really wanted (Zarya "super Soyuz")

      2. Who knows, the history might judge the last laugh was even more on Buran - in its only flight, it demonstared the whole main "point" behind a shuttle (its flight profile) to a much fuller degree than any of STS vehicles ever did. With the secondary point (LEO space station) being essentially, for STS fleet, in the form of maintenance and expansion of two space stations meant for Buran...

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    2. Re:And Boeing's next airliner ??? by osu-neko · · Score: 2

      What NASA appear to be saying is that they've made no significant progress in spacecraft or engine design over the past 40 years.

      Admitting that, and then starting from where we were 40 years and and building on that so that we start making significant progress again (instead of wasting another 40 years on a dead-end) is a good idea that will help move forward the state of the art and insure you're using rockets instead of horses and bows as you fear. I'm not sure why you're taking this as meaning the opposite, other than perhaps a complete lack of understanding of how you make progress.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
  33. Not an investment... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem here is capitalism, or with spaceflight and capitalism.

    There is a huge hiatus between where we are and where we could easily make money out of space, and the real big challenge in spaceflight right now is NOT design, but a way to make this fitting with our way of life.

    I see this as having a kid. You pay for its education and never does it make monetary sense, but you do it anyway, because you love it. In the end, the world makes profit from the smarts and knowledge and everyone is grateful for it.

    Spaceflight is like a kid, and basically in the way we are treating it, we are not paying for its upbringing. We are being terrible parents.

  34. Confusing design by PyroMosh · · Score: 1

    I'm a bit confused by this.

    The re-use of the shuttle program's SRBs makes perfect sense. I know folks at NASA were pushing for these kinds of "refine what we already have" ideas for the next space launch system (See: DIRECT).

    But I have no idea why they chose the RS-25 (Space Shuttle Main Engines) for the first stage of this thing.

    The RS-25s are unique in that they are designed to be re-used. No other liquid fueled rocket engines are.

    Other liquid fueled rocket engines are built, test fired, and then run for 8ish minutes before they're discarded into the ocean, or they burn up on reentry.

    Because the RS-25s are re-usable, it's my understanding that they're far more complex than disposable engines of comparable thrust.

    Since it appears that the stage these engines will be attached to will not be recovered, why select these engines?

    Can anyone confirm my understanding of these engines?

    Can anyone confirm if this stage is recovered or not?

    Can anyone shed light onto this particular design decision?

  35. I'm with ya bro! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    damn sandniggers are breeding faster than we can kill them!

  36. You Want Fries With That? by camperdave · · Score: 1

    Apparently SpaceX pricing is a-la-carte. The $80-125 million dollar price tag is for the launcher itself. You have to provide transport, vehicle assembly, mission control, range safety, telemetry monitoring, recovery, etc. for yourself. Granted though, NASA has all those capabilities.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    1. Re:You Want Fries With That? by PeterBrett · · Score: 1

      Apparently SpaceX pricing is a-la-carte. The $80-125 million dollar price tag is for the launcher itself. You have to provide transport, vehicle assembly, mission control, range safety, telemetry monitoring, recovery, etc. for yourself. Granted though, NASA has all those capabilities.

      [Citation needed].

      Seriously, though, I hadn't heard that before and it contradicts what I'd heard previously, so I'd love to know your sources for this information!

    2. Re:You Want Fries With That? by camperdave · · Score: 1

      I think I came across it in one of the SpaceX threads on http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/

      It may be third hand, or outdated information though.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  37. What is over the next hill? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One thing that has been lost in the years since Nerva, the original Orion, the Von Braun Mars ideas and of course the awesome Saturn V is the basic monkey curiosity of what is over the next hill. I suspect that is what moved us out of Africa in the first place. We need a vision, not of moon colonies like 2001 projected but something much further off. The stars are ours... we just have to want to get there. There are too many people on this little rock and we need living room... That is the problem with setting low goals. When JFK said 'not because it is easy but because it is hard'. I and many others believed him. Setting a goal to do what we did before is just too small a step for mankind.

  38. A better way for the initial heavy lifting? by wexsessa · · Score: 1

    Way back when Russia was lifting much heavier loads into space than the USA could manage, some (NASA?) people got to wondering out loud how they managed to do that. One suggestion I recall was that they had a stretch of basically railway track, and an electric(?) locomotive+spacecraft-holder+spacecraft. That whole assembly was accelerated along the track. Towards the end, at high speed, the track angled upwards and about then the rockets fired up, lifting the spacecraft off of the locomotive+spacecraft-holder, which was decelerated and retained for reuse. So the rockets got off to a flying start, and were carrying no unnecesary weight. If that was such a nifty-seeming idea back then, could it not still be a nifty idea?

    1. Re:A better way for the initial heavy lifting? by sznupi · · Score: 1

      I don't think anybody at NASA was so stupid... maybe, at most, some political manager types who saw photos of Baikonur provided by U-2 flights, showing train tracks leading right to the launchpads? (a handy thing when transporting heavy, long, fairly narrow payloads on few very clearly defined routes, no need for silly expensive crawlers)

      It would realistically give maybe, what, 10 m/s? 20, 30 tops? The launcher needs to achieve almost 8000 (and the speed is squared in kinetic energy...). But now with all the tremendous complication and much harder aborts, that's a horrible trade off (heck, the heavier construction necessary to survive such dynamic launch would most likely far more than offset any gains)

      Genius of Korolev and some luck did the trick, when choosing early approaches (that did include striving for relative simplicity). So much so that essentially the same rocket turned out to be the most reliable ... most frequently used launch vehicle in the world

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  39. You are all wrong. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I see a lot of posts on here talking about SLS being less capable than Saturn V. I suppose the design just came out, so maybe you see the "70 metric ton" lift capability and then miss, or discount all of the quotes by the NASA types saying it will be more capable than Apollo.

    Or maybe you read "initial" capability and think that it wont ever actually achieve the 130 metric ton goal. Possibly. Anything can happen to a government program. But it's important to note that the 70 ton capability is achieved WITHOUT the upper stage. The "evolved" capability that they are referring to is adding the J2x upper stage.

    The reality of this situation is shown by the simple fact, that at liftoff the SLS will have 10% more thrust than a Saturn V, even with just the "initial" capability. Beyond adding a second stage using J2x, the only other change is that they are going to hold a competition for the side boosters, which they expect to have slightly more performance than the ones that they will use for the first launch, which are essentially spare parts.

  40. Gotta say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This actually looks like a very rational approach design wise, with whats been spent and whats available right now.

    Its stackable, good crew escape capability, and re-using a good deal of proven technology. I dont see why everyone is bitching so much about the design ( in the here and now). 3 Problems though:

    1. The 5 segment srb's, as another poster pointed out...solid rockets should NOT be used for manned spaceflight.
    2. J2X should be developed to work with methane fuel.
    3. I really dont like the idea of going with the shuttle main engines (5 total), that just seem like a crazy waste. (last I heard the only thing re-usable from the stack was the crew capusle and the srb/side slung rockets).

  41. Big Rockets are Not the Right Approach by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    Disclaimer: I am a rocket scientist. I worked for Boeing for 25 years doing space transportation and space station work. Real name is "Dani Eder", look me up.

    The problem with the big rocket approach is that it is exactly as hard to make the next trip as the last trip. What we should be doing is building infrastructure to make future trips easier. My current favored approach, which is subject to change as new ideas come along is to:

    * Use a hypervelocity gun on a mountain in Equador to launch small cargoes of supplies on a regular basis in tens to hundreds of kg per shot. Build up a manned base station there using robots to do the initial assembly work. People come later via ordinary rocket.
    * At your low orbit station, assemble VASIMR type plasma rockets which can chug to nearby asteroids and return ~20x their weight in asteroid mass per trip. Choose a carbonaceous type asteroid, and use the carbon to start making space elevator cable. Use the metallic component to expand the orbital base. Use the oxygen component as more fuel for future trips. You will need some chemical and metal processing equipment to do that, send it up in parts via your gun.
    * As your space elevator cable grows, use the plasma rocket to raise the orbit gradually until it reaches about 30% of a full space elevator. That is the practical limit with carbon fiber we can make now (if we learn how to make better carbon fiber later, great, update the plans and upgrade the fiber). 30% is very useful. Take 30% off the velocity to reach earth orbit,and reuseable single stage to orbit vehicles become fairly easy to make. 70% of orbital velocity means 50% of kinetic energy relative to standard rockets.
    * 30% above orbital speed on the upper end of the elevator cable is nearly escape velocity (which is 41% above orbital). So you are nearly able to get anywhere outside earth orbit. To start with that is grabbing more asteroid stuff to expand your system.
    * Lunar orbit velocity is 21% of Earth orbit velocity. So if we can build a 30% Earth space elevator, we can build a full space elevator on the Moon. Now we can take off and land on the Moon with negligible fuel use.
    * Since we already know how to make habitats and oxygen out of local materials, and use the O2 for fuel, we can pretty much spread out through all the nearby asteroids and the Moon. When we get to Phobos and Deimos, we can build a space elevator going down to Mars. Oh hey, Mars orbit velocity is 45% of Earth's, so our space elevator technology can take care of 2/3 of the velocity to land, the rest is by some aerobraking and landing jets. Going up we can get our oxygen from the Martian atmosphere (its CO2), and only need to get to 1/3 of orbital speed to reach the elevator, so getting to and from Mars is relatively easy all around.

    1. Re:Big Rockets are Not the Right Approach by sznupi · · Score: 1
      I see one major problem with you currently favoured approach - we're already possibly not too far from the Kessler Syndrome, and with such levels of activity in L & MEO, introducing many large targets for all the projectiles flying around (and constantly produced by new activity and previous impacts) might give curious results... While the orbit is the ultimate asymmetric warfare battleground (take any medium rocket and launch a "satellite" of which by far the most massive part is a gravel container)

      Dreams of massive orbital infrastructures never seem to take into account the above. And the required advanced in-situ manufacturing makes them largely superfluous - you're not tied to Earth already, just go to the asteroids and such.
      (heck, places like the middle of an ocean or Sahara desert are insanely more friendly to the (early) kinds of infrastructure required, so don't expect much of such space-anything as long as we mostly ignore Sahara (and such), as long it is a wasteland and not an industrial powerhouse)

      In fact, I suspect "big and glorious" space travel might never get, well, big. Most of the humans can travel when they are miniaturised and in deep hibernation (even now, with easy transport across the Earth, most of humanity doesn't move much; most people die near the place where they were born); dozens of thousands on Earth are past the procedure! When grown humans are taken out of the equation, we can take our time...

      ...plus by the time all of this would be maybe-who-knows feasible, the whole surrounding tech background is likely to be quite different; changing the rules. Heck, 'we' might as well have "magical nanotech" & mind uploading in a few centuries (by this time we probably wouldn't expand much using the "big" methods), which would simply obsolete the dreams of "big & glorious" modes of space travel known from scifi (which often shows limited imagination - to make the work of writers easier & consumption more palatable to audiences / not too dissimilar from earthly experiences) and adored by all the scifi cargo cultists who treat it almost as proven to be viable - while largely in disregard of the absolutely wild realities of existing universe.

      PS. Harmonic vibrations in untethered space elevators could be fun, too; especially since it would need to be constantly reboosted, its lifting capability isn't free. Also:

      The problem with the big rocket approach is that it is exactly as hard to make the next trip as the last trip.

      That's not strictly true in practise, not with benefits of mass production and operational expertise (vs. one of a kind megastructures?)

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  42. Direct v.3/Jupiter by SDLeary · · Score: 1

    So, is this essentially a slightly re-designed Jupiter craft from the Direct v.3 team? As I understand it this was the main opposition program to ARES. SDLeary