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Belgium To Give Up Nuclear Power

AmiMoJo writes "Belgium's political parties have reached a conditional agreement to shut down the country's two remaining nuclear power stations. Older reactors will be decommissioned by 2015, with the final closures happening before 2025. The exit is conditional on alternatives being available. 'If it turns out we won't face shortages and prices would not skyrocket, we intend to stick to the nuclear exit law of 2003,' a spokeswoman for Belgium's energy and climate ministry said."

298 comments

  1. A little slow... by mirix · · Score: 1

    They've been planning this since 2003, when they passed legislation to do so.

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    1. Re:A little slow... by Fluffeh · · Score: 2

      Not quite. Legislation was passed in 2003 requiring it, but the current news is that both political sides have finally hammered out a strategy, plan to do so and actually agreed to the implementation process.

      Actually, for politicians, eight years to plan turning off a few power plants seems almost speedy... *cough*

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    2. Re:A little slow... by lordholm · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There was a very nice disclaimer though, which went something like "if alternatives can be found to replace the power plants". Without going with coal/oil (and Belgium is not very rich in hydro), there are not that many solid options. Effectively they are saying to the public that "yes we will turn them off" but in reality they are saying "yeah, we will turn them off (but you know... there are no realistic alternatives, so we will just kick the can in front of us and make a decision later)".

      --
      "Civis Europaeus sum!"
    3. Re:A little slow... by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2

      It's ingenious really. Politicians get to say they killed nuclear power (15 years from now) so they appease the anti-nuke crowd. Pro-nukes wins either way, if reactors are replaceable and some technology does come along then we get cheap clean energy anyway, if not then the nukes stay around.

      Unless we find an alternative it's essentially pro-nuke legislation dressed up as greenpeace.

    4. Re:A little slow... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if reactors are replaceable and some technology does come along then we get cheap clean energy anyway, if not then the nukes stay around.

      It's uninformed stupidity. As a Belgian I can tell you it's because they want to show they're "environment aware" but they don't have a base for it and are just "idealistic idiots". It comes out of boycotting and protest of locals.

      For example; we get in the news there's a bit possibility we'll be having energy shortage this winter. Our energy is already one of the most expensive in the world. But we will soon have to import energy. Which is generated in nuclear powerplants in France or Germany.

      Which will raise the prices even more, while there's the price which rises. With the crisis and inflation, alot of families cannot heat their homes in the winter: so they take a budget to give reduction on heating and electricity for those who cannot afford it anymore.

      If not, they should even build more nuclear power plants to create jobs, to specialize in nuclear technology and to light up our little country without dependence on external countries. Without ugly wind-generators.

    5. Re:A little slow... by GNious · · Score: 1

      We have a government, that works fast and efficient, here in Belgium .. uhm .... wait ...

    6. Re:A little slow... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'If it turns out we won't face shortages and prices would not skyrocket, we intend to stick to the nuclear exit law of 2003'

      In other words, political pandering to the stupid anti-nuclear masses. Since that's all but impossible, save only same miraculous new energy technology, they'll never stop using nuclear power.

    7. Re:A little slow... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there are alternatives, but they are being boycotted; it is Very hard to build turbines in Belgium.

  2. in other news, by Son+of+Byrne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ron Paul has said that if he is elected, then he will support the opening of two new nuclear power plants for every power plant that is decomissioned.

    --
    I'd happily pay you Tuesday for a biopsy today!
    1. Re:in other news, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      I was about to ask where the money for this would come from, but seeing as it's Ron Paul, I'd imagine he's aiming at cutting the safety regulations behind nuclear power and letting the free market have a field day at creating shoddier, but significantly cheaper, nuclear plants.

      Nothing can go wrong, guys! The invisible hand of the market will force all those energy companies whose plants meltdown will die out and only those who have put in significantly into safety will be able to last long enough to be rich!

      We'll still have tons of nuclear disasters on our hand until that self regulation, but the market can do no wrong, right?

    2. Re:in other news, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Safety and Success aren't synonymous.

    3. Re:in other news, by NalosLayor · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Of course. I like how you put words in his mouth and then get mad about them. I think I found your hat. It has tea bags hanging around the sides and says something about Obama being a socialist.

      Look, I'm not saying the man is a saint or the hero that Gotham deserves, but at least lets not just make up shit out of whole cloth, 'kay?

    4. Re:in other news, by Lanteran · · Score: 1

      Nice strawman!
      *claps slowly*

      --
      "People don't want to learn linux" hasn't been a valid excuse since '03.
    5. Re:in other news, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      Neither are "Ron Paul" and "sane".

    6. Re:in other news, by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Money isn't an issue, just guarantee the loans and it should happen. Nuclear reactors are really cheap to operate virtually all of the expense involved comes from constructing the plant. After that, even with proper safety procedures the cost isn't that much.

      I'm actually surprised that places like Montana and Nebraska aren't all over this, give that they can be built in the middle of nowhere and still be quite useful.

    7. Re:in other news, by Arancaytar · · Score: 1

      I was about to ask where the money for this would come from, but seeing as it's Ron Paul, I'd imagine he's aiming at cutting the safety regulations behind nuclear power and letting the free market have a field day at creating shoddier, but significantly cheaper, nuclear plants.

      Nothing can go wrong, guys! The invisible hand of the market will force all those energy companies whose plants meltdown will die out and only those who have put in significantly into safety will be able to last long enough to be rich!

      We'll still have tons of nuclear disasters on our hand until that self regulation, but the market can do no wrong, right?

      And also, a little bit of radiation never did anybody any harm. If anything, it speeds along evolution and gives us superpowers! :-P

    8. Re:in other news, by siddesu · · Score: 2

      just guarantee the loans and it should happen

      Yep, and just don't forget to add the cost for one of them having a rare accident. In Japan, Fukushima is estimated to have added 5 (the local nuclear lobby) to 48 (independent Japanese university researchers of nuclear power) yen to every nuclear-power generated kilowatt, which allegedly used to cost 5 yen before the accident.

    9. Re:in other news, by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I'd imagine he's aiming at cutting the safety regulations behind nuclear power and letting the free market have a field day at creating shoddier, but significantly cheaper, nuclear plants.

      Nuclear reactors were still incredibly expensive in the USSR, China, Iran, Egypt, Indonesia and North Korea. That should indicate that you really haven't been very well informed on this issue.
      The above story is really putting a "green" spin on doing nothing. It's a major long term expense to build new nuclear capacity or to upgrade available capacity whether the benefits are worth it or not.

    10. Re:in other news, by Rakishi · · Score: 2

      Exactly. Hell, after he shuts down the Department of Energy it's not like there'll even be anyone to judge the safety of those new rectors.

    11. Re:in other news, by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      lets not just make up shit out of whole cloth

      What? You would Denigrate our Great Political Process, Suh? Why, I oughta... That is To Say... if I were a Younger Man, Suh...

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    12. Re:in other news, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Shouldn't he have said that it's not the business of the federal government and that the constitution doesn't give him any authority on it?

    13. Re:in other news, by FireFury03 · · Score: 2

      Safety and Success aren't synonymous.

      No, but an industry that is limited by public hysteria are only shooting themselves in the foot if they allow even a small scale accident to occur. This isn't even about safety - its about public perception of safety.

    14. Re:in other news, by GNious · · Score: 2

      Honest question: How come Slashdot seems to be the only outlet recognizing Ron Paul's candidacy?
      When looking to news, or debates or whatever, they present O'Romney, Parry, Whats-her-name, and pizza-dude, but I hardly every hear Ron Paul being mentioned, even when he is right there on the screen.

    15. Re:in other news, by umghhh · · Score: 2

      Of course cost of waste disposal is covered in your calculation as well as the fact that accidents occur and if they do they may cost so much that companies like TEPCO had to be nationalized (or what else to call putting it under state control?). Otherwise your assessment of costs is correct.

    16. Re:in other news, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No we won't. He's a libertarian. What he'll do is let us build one in our backyards.

      Because who needs gubbermint?

    17. Re:in other news, by operagost · · Score: 1

      Your retort is a bit odd, being that tea party types usually lean quite libertarian and would agree with Ron Paul on his less radical opinions.

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    18. Re:in other news, by Toonol · · Score: 1

      "Support" is a pretty vague term. If he simply meant he would advocate for them, that's no problem. There also would be no problem if by 'support' he meant removing barriers and red-tape. Support doesn't have to be in the form of (perhaps unconstitutional or unethical) loan guarantees, grants, and subsidies.

    19. Re:in other news, by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      The problem with building a large powerplant in the middle of nowhere is that you have a huge problem with getting the electricity to somewhere where it can be used. These little things called transmission lines have losses. They are also viewed by an extremely vocal minority as extremely hazardous and this minority will do anything to insure that they are not constructed.

      This is why the "smart grid" idea on a small scale (variable pricing, remote controlled electric meters) will work but the idea of new superconducting transmission lines is pure fantasy. Today you have utility companies actually contemplating running cables through lakes to avoid the lines being visible so the protesters don't gather chanting under the lines.

      Electricity doesn't travel well and is really does need to be generated near where it is used. Trying to put nuclear plants somewhere where they cannot be seen and treating every plant as a direct threat to a population center is a mistake. The plants do need to be safe and this is possible to do. We also need to stop utilties building plants designed with a 20-year lifespan and then leaving the plant standing for all time as a hazardous waste site for someone to clean up in 100 years. A nuclear plant should be designed with a far longer lifespan from the beginning.

      The other option is the "1850 solution" or the "Amish solution". Turn it off. Turn it all off. We will all be safe and things will be far less polluting. But there will be few, if any computers and the candle companies will really make out well.

    20. Re:in other news, by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      If it was about safety, we would build Thorium reactors which are passively safe. Uranium reactors were always about weapons, not about safe.

      Perhaps we should rebrand Thorium reactors as a green power source that has nothing to do with nuclear, kinda like nuclear magnetic resonance imaging (nMRI - because MRI), maybe we can call them unicorn fart power!

      --
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    21. Re:in other news, by drsquare · · Score: 1

      I thought he was all about reducing government spending? That sounds like a pretty expensive policy.

    22. Re:in other news, by Son+of+Byrne · · Score: 1

      Oh, I thought we had carte blanche on inventing Ron Paul statements?

      --
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    23. Re:in other news, by Son+of+Byrne · · Score: 1

      Wait, what?

      How the hell was this modded insightful?

      Be gone dry humor, for you not only failed to amuse, but also to inform.

      --
      I'd happily pay you Tuesday for a biopsy today!
    24. Re:in other news, by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      On most issues, Ron Paul can be identified as a libertarian. Libertarian ideology is fringe and does not have broad popular support (many people who would often support its economic side tend to be alienated by its social liberalism, and vice versa).

    25. Re:in other news, by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

      wRong Paul says many things. 95% of them are nonsense. This might be one of the few nuts that blind squirrel has stumbled upon.

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  3. Here Here! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Good for them! Finally, some common sense and rational planning, instead of letting the market get our power from anywhere without regard to the consequences!

    1. Re:Here Here! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Since they currently get 55% of the power from nuclear generation, I'd say they're charting a course to the stone age.

    2. Re:Here Here! by Kagura · · Score: 1

      Good for them! Finally, some common sense and rational planning, instead of letting the market get our power from anywhere without regard to the consequences!

      I like your sarcasm. :)

    3. Re:Here Here! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given the cost of alternatives like coal (and I don't just mean in terms of money), it's hard to tell if you're being serious or sarcastic. Poe's Law works for greenies too I guess.

    4. Re:Here Here! by CharlyFoxtrot · · Score: 3, Interesting

      This, they're idiots. First they sold off our national energy company to the french, causing prices to skyrocket so we now pay the second highest price for our energy of all of europe (only Ireland beat us.) Now they're closing down the only reliable local source of energy we have which will force further imports and further price rises. They did pretty much the same with our banks too, selling to the french who then sucked them dry and left us with the bankruptcy and the costs. Oh and our national airline, ... Belgium's politicians are totally corrupt, or at best hopelessly incompetent. And people wonder why we haven't been able to form a new government for more than 500 days now.

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    5. Re:Here Here! by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Take heart, Belgians! Once your country goes dark and cold, no worries! Take all your money and move south. I think there will be a great sale on Mediterranean real estate soon, and you won't need as much heat to keep warm in the winters. You will have to learn a new alphabet, but learning greek will be a piece of cake, compared to what your grand children will have to learn - Chinese!

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    6. Re:Here Here! by kdemetter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Not to mention the power companies (Electrabel ) :

      We are still paying for the nuclear plants to be payed of earlier ( although they are already payed off for years now ).
      Yet they barely investing that money in green energy.

      On the contrary : they are charging their customers, for the loss of revenue due to people placing solar panels on their roofs ( because they have to pay them green certificates, because they themselves don't reach the required quota and would have to pay fines).

      So the people who actually care about the environment and place solar panels, are getting a bad name, because the other people have to pay for it.
      It's a form of 'divide and conquer' : have the people fight each other, and they won't be strong enough to fight the real culprits .

    7. Re:Here Here! by lordholm · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Having seen a Belgian energy bill, I can't say I fully agree. The price per kWh is not that high, however Electrabel charges something like 10 times the normal price as network connection fees. Which means that the end bill is a LOT higher than for the average European. The end result for the consumer (some of the highest bills to the electrical companies) is the same, but the devil is in the detail.

      --
      "Civis Europaeus sum!"
    8. Re:Here Here! by lordholm · · Score: 1

      That is why they added a disclaimer in the line of (don't remember the exact details): "if we find working alternatives".

      --
      "Civis Europaeus sum!"
    9. Re:Here Here! by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      The "working alternative" is called France. It shares a border with Belgium

      The French must be really happy with the Green Party right now.

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    10. Re:Here Here! by CharlyFoxtrot · · Score: 1

      Well we're already learning dutch, french, german and english, what's one more language ? Kalispera !

      --
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    11. Re:Here Here! by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Try looking at it from the other end: They currently get 45% of their power from non-nuclear generation, and there are plenty of new and cheaper sources that carry lower risk and produce less pollution/waste. I'd say they they are looking to cut costs and improve their country.

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    12. Re:Here Here! by roman_mir · · Score: 0

      Belgium's politicians are totally corrupt, or at best hopelessly incompetent.

      - by default all politicians are totally corrupt AND hopelessly incompetent. They wouldn't be politicians if they weren't both of those things necessarily.

      The number of incorruptible and actually competent politicians is in very low numbers. Gov't seizes power so it sells it (corruption) and people who are competent don't go to government, they do much better in private sector.

    13. Re:Here Here! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The greatest trick the devil pulled is convincing the world he does not exist

      The greatest trick the politicians pulled is convincing the world that they are incompetent.

      Politicians "own" you. They control the country. They tax you. They force regulations on you. They have ultimate power over you - power they have accumulated over years, none of which happened on their own.

      They did all that, and you actually think they're incompetent?

  4. Only France is not foolish in EU. by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What is bothersome is that proof is now showing up that droughts and climate issues are man-made. Now, they are looking to close their nuke plants. Foolish. Instead, it should remain part of their energy matrix until they get enough other energy and storage going.

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    1. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      France also export a lot of electricity to their neighbors and have just about the lowest per-kWh prices in Europe. It's French power (plus new brown coal burning plants, yuck!) that will make up for the impending loss of nuclear plants in Germany. I bet the story of Belgium will be somewhat similar.

    2. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Fluffeh · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's French power (plus new brown coal burning plants, yuck!) that will make up for the impending loss of nuclear plants in Germany.

      Why is that (aside from the brown coal plants) a bad thing that a country decides to buy cheap electricity from another? Especially when it's all in Europe where you can throw a stone across three countries?

      From a political point of view, it is actually rather sensible. You drop the cost associated with maintaining aging nuclear facilities which offsets the price you buy it for from France who will no doubt be happy to sell it to you, your country doesn't get any worse in terms of emissions and in the terrible event that something goes wrong at the plant, you will sleep happily in the political knowledge that the meltdown didn't happen in your country.

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    3. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Arancaytar · · Score: 1

      Especially when it's all in Europe where you can throw a stone across three countries?
      [...]
        you will sleep happily in the political knowledge that the meltdown didn't happen in your country.

      We may be safe from the political fallout; unfortunately not the other kind. ;)

    4. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by CharlyFoxtrot · · Score: 1

      France also export a lot of electricity to their neighbors and have just about the lowest per-kWh prices in Europe. It's French power (plus new brown coal burning plants, yuck!) that will make up for the impending loss of nuclear plants in Germany. I bet the story of Belgium will be somewhat similar.

      The belgian energy market is owned by Electrabel, which in turn is owned by the french GDF Suez. We will very soon by forced to import even more energy from France. Of course the two are completely unrelated (!)

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    5. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by CharlyFoxtrot · · Score: 1

      in the terrible event that something goes wrong at the plant, you will sleep happily in the political knowledge that the meltdown didn't happen in your country.

      You might want to take a look at this this map of french nuclear reactors and notice along which border the top 3 are located. The (significant) costs of this will be borne by the people as usual and the politicians get another board position to retire to. What's wrong with this picture ?

      --
      If all else fails, immortality can always be assured by spectacular error.
    6. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by black6host · · Score: 1

      And as the ability to produce one's own energy decreases I would expect a rise in prices to export it from another country. Supply and demand and all that.

    7. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is bothersome is that you seem to have some kind of "proof" droughts and climate issues being man-made. That the global scientific community can't seem to get their hands on such proof, and only have theories to rely on... Maybe you should make your proof and testing method available so it can be peer reviewed.

    8. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > in the terrible event that something goes wrong at the plant, you will sleep happily in the political knowledge that the meltdown didn't happen in your country

      I'm sure you're being sarcastic, but I'd like to highlight the following:
      If you look at the location where these reactors are built, you will notice that a lot of them are right next to country borders. (Thank you, game theory...)
      A meltdown would be a political nightmare on either side of the border.

    9. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      in the terrible event that something goes wrong at the plant, you will sleep happily in the political knowledge that the meltdown didn't happen in your country.

      If something did go badly wrong in France the whole of western Europe would have a problem. When the Chernobyl accident happened it affected EU countries as well as Russia.

      Back to the topic at hand the EU is looking to build large solar thermal plants in northern Africa. Expect Libya to get them in the next few years. Handy how France and the UK helped liberate them, but I'm sure it was purely altruistic and in no way an attempt to secure valuable resources.

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    10. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1, Informative

      Only France? The UK has affirmed it's stance that new reactors are needed and will be built...

    11. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      your country doesn't get any worse in terms of emissions and in the terrible event that something goes wrong at the plant, you will sleep happily in the political knowledge that the meltdown didn't happen in your country.

      No the meltdown will have happened at 5 km from the border of my country. Nuclear power plants in France (and other European countries) are built as close to the borders as possible. The plant in Givet is even surrounded on 3 sides by Belgian communes.

      Besides that I feel that the nuclear exit is just plain stupid. The country is already getting most of its power from abroad, resulting in electricity prices being up to 3x higher than in our neighbouring countries.

    12. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is not sensible, especially not from a political point of view. What happens if there is an energy shortage or a power network disruption in France? Which power lines do you think will close first, the ones to Paris or the ones to Belgium?

      This is about the same debate as farming. Why not get all of our grain from the US and Russia, where it is cheap to grow? Because being dependent on other countries for basic necessities is a bad idea and a source of political tension.

    13. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because in Europe the wind generally blows to the west, which means any Fukishima-style disaster that occurs in France stands a good chance of affecting Germany. All they've done is export the energy production and the risks to their neighbor, they'll have no direct control over safety management there, they've increased transmission losses and costs, and if anything goes wrong it will probably bite them anyway. It doesn't solve much other than the political benefit you've identified, which is why it may be a great decision for politicians ("It's not my problem!"), but it isn't for any other reason.

    14. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by umghhh · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Well this is indeed a false dichotomy i.e. either nuclear or fossil based energy as options. The fact is that both types have serious consequences only for nuclear these are not as yet quite as profound as for fossil ones which by the way are not only reason why our climate change. Another thing is that going for nuclear is not solving much anyway - you assume that nuclear is replacing something which it may but to what extent if at all is unknown. What I see is that our energy consumption is on level unsustainable already and it will becomes worse every day. It may be that nuclear is an option that we have to consider but considering complexity and dangers that this complexity brings with it I'd say we should invest the time and money elsewhere. You will tell me of course that wind etc is not an option - of course there are problems with them only th fossil fuels are going to run out and nuclear is so troublesome that we will have to find another solution(s) anyway. Wy not start directly instead of talking nonsense?

    15. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by khallow · · Score: 1

      What's wrong with this picture ?

      Maybe countries shouldn't use rivers as their borders?

      The (significant) costs of this will be borne by the people as usual and the politicians get another board position to retire to.

      The people use a lot more electricity than the politicians do. So that seems a reasonable apportioning of the costs of nuclear power.

    16. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by CharlyFoxtrot · · Score: 1

      The people use a lot more electricity than the politicians do. So that seems a reasonable apportioning of the costs of nuclear power.

      Yes, the politicians have villas in Tuscany or the south of France so they won't be using a lot of electricity here. A shame really since they'll be the only ones who will be able to afford it.

      --
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    17. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by khallow · · Score: 1

      My apologies. I thought you were being serious.

    18. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should ask Koch brothers and Mueller. They now believe it. Sadly, only idiots are claiming that GW is not occurring, or that the USA can continue to run deficits like the republicans ran (10 t of the 14.5 t), or that the earth is only 6K years old, or that the earth is at the center of the universe.

    19. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Good luck with getting wind to blow on-demand. And I am sure that we will have no issue with getting the sun hitting the earth DURING the night and cloudly days.

      Look, I am a supporter of AE. We need it. The problem is, that we are are not being realists. We have spent our time and money focused on 2 of the worst choices: wind and solar. Neither are capable of being on-demand. So, we would need storage. How much work do we do on it? Realistically, little to nothing. So, until we have loads of storage combined with large amounts of multiple types of AE, you can not drop fossil fuel or nukes.

      BTW, the BEST AE, is geo-thermal. And yet, we spend a fraction of the money on it that we spend on Wind and Solar.

      --
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    20. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by mike2R · · Score: 2

      We invaded them to gain access to some empty desert?

      I've heard it all now.

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    21. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because in Europe the wind generally blows to the west, which means any Fukishima-style disaster that occurs in France stands a good chance of affecting Germany.

      France is West of Germany. Idiot.

    22. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Grizzley9 · · Score: 1

      Reading comprehension fail. If you read the article or know anything about it, it is talking about Global Warming overall, not the cause of it. The study was able to prove to those deniers that warming is actually happening. How much is actually caused by humans is not put forward in the study, it even says so at the end of the news article.

    23. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you will tell me of course that wind etc is not an option

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intermittent_power_source#European_super_grid
      And for everybody here claiming Wind is intermittent : ONLY WHEN YOU BUILD THEM ALL AT THE SAME PLACE ! (have a f@cking look at a weather-map)

    24. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Also, there was recent news from another of the scientists that worked on the study that Mueller conveniently forgot to mention that the data shows a plateau for the past 10 years of data.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    25. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      What is wrong with solar thermal power towers?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_thermal_energy#Power_tower_designs

      Storage is handled by the liquid salt stored in insulated underground silos which lasts through the night and balances the cloudy days.

      I however feel the future currently lies with Thorium reactors as they can shutdown without any power input and don't have the ability to meltdown.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    26. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      as a matter of pure efficiency it doesn't make sense to "ship" power across continents. line loss is considerable for long distances.

    27. Re:Only France is not foolish in EU. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because you are surrendering your energetic independence. Simple as that.

  5. Not much new here... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

    They felt this way in 2003, they're confirming they still feel this way today, and those plants will probably be at the end of their design life by the time they are decommissioned anyway.

    If they happen to change their minds anytime in the next 14 years, they can always start the construction of new plants then.

    It's not as if they're so far from France that they're safe from nuclear power generation accidents or anything...

    1. Re:Not much new here... by Znork · · Score: 1

      More likely they will be far, far beyond the end of their design life by the time they're decommissioned, and they'll probably get decommissioned because they get a serious accident due to running far, far beyond the end of their design life because they weren't replaced by new reactors or anything else.

      Ah, well, I've gotten my own hydro power facility now so my needs are more than covered (well, will be once I bring the turbine on-line).

    2. Re:Not much new here... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I've got a 4" well in a "flowing aquifer" - unfortunately, it only has about 3' of head most of the year, in days gone by it had over 15' of head. It will fill a nice sized pond in about a day. I ran the calculations on how much hydro-power I might extract from that 3' head-flow if I put a turbine on it. It came out to six watts, theoretical, if I could get an ideal turbine to extract that energy from the flow. I'm thinking solar is a better bet for me.

  6. idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    man, I hate politicians.

    nuclear power is seen as bad? lets close it to look like we are great.

    belgium already gets tons of energy from france, pretty much all nuclear, why the fuck would we close our plants? what do we have to make up in loss of that power? admitted, these plants were getting older, so should be replaced, but not just closed.
    france is just going to build a few more plants to sell more energy if necessary, and its not like we aren't just as fucked if a nuclear powerplant blows up in france or in belgium. at least if its in our country we keep it under control.

    1. Re:idiots. by couchslug · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "its not like we aren't just as fucked if a nuclear powerplant blows up in france or in belgium"

      There being no reason a modern nuke plant should "blow up", it makes more sense to pay France for power and avoid the construction, maintenance, closure, and remediation expenses of having plants in Belgium.

      You need electricity. You don't need to own what produces it, and a microscopic country such as Belgium risks nothing by outsourcing power production next door. OTOH it avoids all the pitfalls of new construction.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    2. Re:idiots. by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Outsourcing is never risk free. Belgians are going to pay for the construction, maintenance, closure, and remediation expenses embedded in the power costs, plus profit plus be dependent on someone for energy who will definitely put their own needs first.

      If we were looking at a future glut in energy you might be ok. But that isn't really what the predictions are.

      Closing down old plants and building something better is a great idea. Why not do that instead?

    3. Re:idiots. by rossdee · · Score: 1

      " 'There being no reason a modern nuke plant should "blow up",

      Terrorism ?

    4. Re:idiots. by Mashiki · · Score: 5, Informative

      Pretty hard with old reactors. You require something catastrophic to happen. Pretty close to impossible for new designs that use passive cooling systems.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    5. Re:idiots. by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      " 'There being no reason a modern nuke plant should "blow up",

      Terrorism ?

      Let's see...

      Terrorists might bring 500 tons of TNT into a nuclear plant and set it off. That would make a hell of a (non-nuclear) explosion. Might even break the containment vessel, if they knew what they were doing when they laid the charges. Most likely not, since it's pretty hard to synchronize that much boom.

      But other than that, it's not going to happen.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:idiots. by AxemRed · · Score: 1

      You don't need to own what produces it, but there are risks. There are many situations that could cause France to ration or cut off your electricity supply leaving you SOL.

    7. Re:idiots. by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      +1

      Only older designs are vulnerable, where you need external power for several days to actively cool a shut down core until its cool enough that thermal runaway won't occur. Newer designs? I'd live on the farking property if I could. All the hot water and power I could ever want.

    8. Re:idiots. by tftp · · Score: 2

      Terrorists might bring 500 tons of TNT into a nuclear plant and set it off.

      What is more practical from the terrorist's POV?

      1) Bring 500 tons of TNT into a guarded, monitored, secure territory that is in the middle of nowhere. Take your time to deploy these 500 tons by hand through narrow service corridors. Install charges near a meter-thick reactor vessel that is designed to survive just such explosions. Detonate the thing and scare all the nearby rabbits because the powerplant is so far from anything of value.

      2) Divide 500 tons of TNT into 500 pieces, load onto 500 trucks, freely drive those trucks into unprotected cities and explode at will. Carnage and terror will ensue.

    9. Re:idiots. by hedwards · · Score: 1

      That would be extraordinarily difficult to achieve. Those plants are built like bunkers, and the security clearance needed to get to work in one is extensive. I don't know about the checks they do in Belgium, but the ones they do in the US go on for a long time before they're granted.

      And you would need more than just one individual to do it too, so, you'd have to sneak through several personnel into the same nuclear power plant without being detected. I'm sure it's hypothetically possible, but at that point, you'd probably be better of building you're own bomb and figuring out how to set it off in a major city.

    10. Re:idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Accurate. Part of designing nuclear plants is running the odds of accidents. Old designs have odds of around 1 accident with damage in every 10k years of operation. New designs have odds of 1 accident with damage in every 15 - 300 million years of operation.

    11. Re:idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Try several months of active cooling for older plants.

      Tell me, what failure modes of "new", "modern" plants are we currently unaware of? Those BWR reactors were new and modern at the time they went online.

    12. Re:idiots. by sjames · · Score: 1

      That depends on how stoned they were when "Night of the Lepus" came on.

    13. Re:idiots. by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      But... but... Radiation! an... an... Hiroshima and stuff! AN.... 3 Mile Island an... Chernobyl! Glowing in the Dark! (climbs back into car and zips off down freeway...)

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    14. Re:idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And all of those well within 10000 years! The estimates are pretty good! Wait... that wasn't supposed to be "at least one or your money back?"

    15. Re:idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Easy to get a disaster to happen.. Chairman of the board wants more profit, simply reduces maintenance to bare minimum. All reactors have safety margin thus the system appears safe and stable after reduced maintenance. Over time this leads to more maintenance 'optimization' until either the cooling or moderator system fails under a certain condition.

      Almost all current reactors (15+ years old) require some kind of cooling system to stop the reactor melting down under failure conditions (Boiling water, Pressurized water, CANDU, and RBMK reactors all require water) whilst Fast breeder reactors also need coolant (often lead or sodium). Magnox reactors, gas-cooled reactors and pebble bed reactors are gas-cooled, and _may_ be designed so that total loss of coolant does not cause core meltdown, however ingress of liquid water into the core of pebble bed reactors creates a positive void coefficient. Positive void coefficient is what finished Chernobyl... With any reactor design, loss of coolant is only one of many possible failures that could potentially lead to an accident, and nuclear accidents are generally serious to the environment and people no matter how far removed you are from the problem.

    16. Re:idiots. by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      Pretty hard with old reactors. You require something catastrophic to happen. Pretty close to impossible for new designs that use passive cooling systems.

      Fukushima had a passive cooling system. It was _shut_down_ because it was cooling too quickly!

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    17. Re:idiots. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cool... It will be like in Italy case. They will buy power from a nuclear plant placed just over the border but they will be "safe"

    18. Re:idiots. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Fukushima had a passive cooling system. It was _shut_down_ because it was cooling too quickly!

      The isolation condenser is not a passive system. It requires water to keep operating (the heat from the reactor boils off water), meaning someone has to pump more in for it to continue to function.

    19. Re:idiots. by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      I was under the impression that the isolation condenser is gravity fed: hot water goes up and away from the core and cool water flows down towards it. Of course, if the water is boiling away then that is another issue, but at least it does not require electricity.

      Please correct me if I'm wrong, I am not a nuclear engineer. Thanks.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    20. Re:idiots. by khallow · · Score: 1

      I was under the impression that the isolation condenser is gravity fed: hot water goes up and away from the core and cool water flows down towards it. Of course, if the water is boiling away then that is another issue, but at least it does not require electricity.

      You are correct, But something needs to pump water back into the system to keep it going for the long term. That's what makes it another active system.

    21. Re:idiots. by BVis · · Score: 2

      Hmm. Chernobyl, Fukushima. Nuclear power plants haven't been operating for 20,000 years. I think the odds of an accident are a little better than you think, and those are just the two biggies that have happened within recent memory.

      Here's the bottom line: When there's a profit motive, corners will be cut, and accidents will happen. Period. The difference is, when an accident happens at a nuclear power plant, it contaminates the environment for hundreds of square miles. When an accident happens in a solar panel farm, a panel falls down and breaks.

      Nuclear power has proven itself neither safe nor practical (we still don't know what the fuck to do with the waste, burying it for 10,000 years doesn't do it for me.) Alternatives to coal, oil and nuclear must be found. Actually, they already have, it's just that Big Oil / Coal / insert big multinational conglomerate here lobby them to death.

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    22. Re:idiots. by Kam+Solusar · · Score: 1

      You don't need to get into the plants to cause serious damage to them. Just hi-jack a large plane and crash it into the plant. IIRC there were some studies a while back in Germany that showed that several of the country's nuclear plants were not built to withstand such forces. And it's not just the initial impact that causes damage, you have take into account the thousands of liters of burning fuel. And central Europe isn't that big, so there are many airports less than a few minutes of flight away from nuclear plants.

      --
      The Angels have the Phone Box
    23. Re:idiots. by Quantum_Infinity · · Score: 1

      Umm, you lose a lot by outsourcing power production to another country. If you ever get into a fight with that country all they need to do is pull the plug and your country comes to a standstill.

    24. Re:idiots. by trolman · · Score: 1

      And they are shipping their economy to France. If they kept the power production in house it would feed their economy. This would be like the USA getting most of it's energy from the middle east....oh wait, we do.

    25. Re:idiots. by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      (we still don't know what the fuck to do with the waste, burying it for 10,000 years doesn't do it for me.)

      Nonsense! We've known what to do with the waste for years - why would you bury something with all that vast, juicy energy still in it? You reprocess it and use it a different type of reactor. Nuclear fission is an excellent way to harness energy, and certainly one of our most effective ways until we can make economically viable commercial fusion power plants.

      Just because the politics of the situation don't allow for it doesn't mean the technical knowledge isn't there.

      You say "Nuclear power has proven itself neither safe nor practical" but that's demonstrably false - nuclear is one of the safest forms of energy generation we have, in terms of raw accident numbers *and* in terms of deaths/accidents/casualties per kWH.

      What next, you'll tell me that air travel has proven itself to be "neither practical nor safe" because of the Hindenburg accident?

      Chernobyl was was one of those "edge cases" - not so much an accident as gross negligence (funny what happens when you intentionally disable all the safety systems and put untrained operators in charge of a reactor that has no containment building, then tell them to execute a very dangerous procedure on a reactor with numerous design flaws beyond that first major one [no containment building]...). Again, it's like saying cars are unsafe because a guy was killed while riding on the roof of his buddy's truck on the highway. It doesn't mean cars don't crash sometimes.

      Fukushima was much more like a "classic" nuclear accident (as was TMI, or Windscale), and even in those cases the extent of radiation contamination is small and manageable (note: not zero - I'm not saying it is totally safe).

    26. Re:idiots. by couchslug · · Score: 1

      They'd pay ALL the costs if they build and risk a large portion of their economy. Belgium has only about 11 million people.

      They'd SHARE costs if France builds, have NO remediation risks, and keep their options open.

      In what alternate universe would France cut off power to tiny Belgium?

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    27. Re:idiots. by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "There are many situations that could cause France to ration or cut off your electricity supply leaving you SOL."

      Citation needed.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    28. Re:idiots. by couchslug · · Score: 1

      "If you ever get into a fight with that country"

      Now explain why France and Belgium would fight.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    29. Re:idiots. by Code+Yanker · · Score: 2

      France has some of the most experience in nuclear power at both the technical and the regulatory level. To boot, the political landscape is a lot more nuclear friendly, probably due to the high social status afforded to engineers (which tend to be pro-nuclear) in French culture. In economics, this is called a comparative advantage.

      This means that international trade (of energy) is rational.

      National security is a valid argument against trade, but in a tightly knit international community such as the EU, people are more friendly to the idea that engaging international trade is SUPPOSED to be stressed more than securing yourself against your neighbors. Their decision is rational.

    30. Re:idiots. by Quantum_Infinity · · Score: 1

      Just because two countries have a good relation now does not mean that it will be so in the future. It's probably best to have your critical infrastructure in your control.

    31. Re:idiots. by DaleSwanson · · Score: 1

      This would be like the USA getting most of it's energy from the middle east....oh wait, we do.

      While I think the US should move to domestic nuclear power as much as possible, we don't get even close to most of our energy from the middle east.

      In 2008, petroleum was the largest source of energy in the US, providing 38% of the energy consumed

      In 2008 the US consumed 19.5 million barrels (3,100,000 m3) per day of petroleum products

      4.9 million barrels per day are from OPEC.

      4.9 / 19.5 = 0.251
      0.38 * 0.251 = 0.095
      The US gets 9.5% of its energy from OPEC.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petroleum_in_the_United_States
      http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_ep00_im0_mbblpd_a.htm

      Note this like pegs the imports from the Persian gulf at 18% vs the 25% I calculated. Probably because of OPEC countries that aren't in the Persian gulf.
      http://www.eia.gov/energy_in_brief/foreign_oil_dependence.cfm

    32. Re:idiots. by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Why do you want to bury energy? You know outside of the US, we make fuel out of this "waste".

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    33. Re:idiots. by BVis · · Score: 1

      Outside of the US, sure. I live in the US. And we've got waste in concrete lined bunkers that has to survive the next Ice Age.

      --
      Never underestimate the power of stupid people in large groups.
    34. Re:idiots. by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      Back in to replace boiled water? Is there not a closed radiator at the top? (that was my assumption, having never worked on such a system)

      Tank you for the explanation.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
  7. Russia and France are loving this! by danbuter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Both are already major energy providers to the rest of Europe. With Belgium and Germany shutting down their nuclear plants, both countries are going to make billions.

    1. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 4, Informative

      Belgium has quite a bit of a renewables coming online:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_Belgium#Renewable_energy

      I'll be the last person to bash nuclear. New designs are safe, efficient, and cost effective. But once you put enough solar and wind generation out there, and back it with proper storage/buffering facilities (large battery/flywheel banks, pumped storage, etc), the argument is moot.

      The price of solar is dropping so fast, solar businesses are struggling to stay afloat. Their loss is our gain, and you'll continue to see the price per watt of solar plummet. Wind is only getting more efficient, as gearboxes are being replaced with more efficient magnetic bearings and transfer systems:

      http://www.treehugger.com/sustainable-product-design/super-smooth-magnetic-bearings-glide-closer-to-the-mainstream.html

      http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/25188/page1/

      If you read my second link, you'll see GE is building 4 MW direct drive turbine systems. Yeah, 4 megawatts. As efficiency continues to scale up, you'll see windfarm nameplate capacity rival the largest coal and nuclear plants. Yes, yes, you'll still have to deal with generation peaks and valleys, but the energy is there for the taking!

    2. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 1

      From your Wikipedia link.
      =============
      In 2000, nuclear power contributed to 58.24% of the 78.85 TWh (total rate: 9 GWe) produced domestically.[7] ... and ...
      In 2000, renewable energy was used for producing 0.71% of the 78,85 TWh of electricity produced domestically.
      =============
      There was a rather optimistic projection of full exploitation of offshore wind at 17TWh, assuming this was possible.

      If the two plants are producing over half of that 79TWh, looks like wind has a ways to go to come close to replacing what they are shutting down.

      Sooo, yeah. More natural gas from Russia, more nuclear from France, more local coal.

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    3. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Flywheel? Battery? Pumped storage?

      Basic maths: the state of Victoria (Australia) has baseload power production of around 6 GW. Let's say that we need just ten seconds' worth of power buffering. That's 6,000,000,000 * 10 = 60 GJ of energy that needs to be stored (at 100% efficiency, mind you.) That's the equivalent of 1.5 tonnes of TNT, if it were to be catastrophically released.

      Sure, you can distribute it across a reasonably large area, but that's still a hell of a lot of energy that needs to be contained if something goes wrong - say the flywheel fractures, for example.

      Now, there's also the question of whether we actually need baseload power. I reckon we don't, not to the extent we think we do. But don't go thinking that energy storage on a large scale is the way to beat the variability in power output inherent (at least on the small scale) in solar and wind ...

    4. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Solandri · · Score: 1

      If you read my second link, you'll see GE is building 4 MW direct drive turbine systems. Yeah, 4 megawatts. As efficiency continues to scale up, you'll see windfarm nameplate capacity rival the largest coal and nuclear plants.

      This is a common mistake - comparing peak (nameplate) capacity to peak capacity. For actual power generation rates throughout the year, you have to multiply by capacity factor.

      For nuclear, capacity factor is about 0.9. That is if a nuclear reactor has a peak generating capacity of 1 GW, throughout the year it will on average generate 900 MW (after factoring downtime for maintenance, inspections, refueling, testing, etc).

      For wind, capacity factor is about 0.2-0.25 for land-based wind farms. Certain high-wind areas of the earth can hit 0.3-0.4 (Scotland, coastal Spain, various offshore). But for most land-based wind, you're doing pretty good if you can hit 0.25. So a 4 MW turbine will on average generate 1 MW throughout the year, and you'd need 900 of them to replace the 1 GW nuclear reactor.

      The rule of thumb for large wind turbines is about $1 million per MW, so your 900 4MW turbines will cost you a cool $3.6 billion to construct before loans, while the 1 GW nuclear reactor will be about $1-$2 billion. (I exclude the cost of batteries/energy storage for wind because nuclear and wind/solar/hydro complement each other. Nuclear is great for base load, but sucks for varying load. Wind/solar/hydro suck for base load, but are great for varying load. The best strategy involves building both nuclear and renewable electrical generation.)

    5. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My local utility group in North America/Canada has about 18,000MW of wind installed across a number of utilities. Demand peaks at about 100,000MW. This is not 4MW, this is 100,000MW, mostly from coal, gas and hydroelectric and some nuclear. Typically, wind provides for about 40% of its installed capacity, or about 7-8MW, on average, so 7-8% of the mix. Those are not bad numbers.

      Now, come forth the peak of the heatwave earlier this year. Temperatures rose to 38C-40C.. Energy demand shot up, a few percent, I think it was 108,000MW. Guess what happened to wind energy?? Wind production dropped 90% to 600MW as wind dried up. This is is across 1000s of sq. km, not a little country like Belgium!! Luckily, wind is just "extra" capacity on the grid. Hydro and gas picked up most of the slack, with hydro running at max tilt. Record sales that day for the hydro utility.

      How, what would be the scenario if there was 200,000MW wind installed and wind accounted for 50% of grid capacity?? (yes, that double redundancy of expected 40% average load). Major blackouts. Even adding solar would do little to counter this lack of wind. The low on wind came in the evening, at sunset.

      And if you think batteries, well, what is the capital cost of 1,000,000,000,000 Wh of batteries? That's enough backup for about 10h. Let's just say, you may as well build yourself 100 nuclear reactors and have 100,000MW load for 60 years as the numbers are about the same.

      PS. My local utility also have to shut down wind power around here when temperatures drop a little, say below -25C. But then there doesn't seem to be much wind at those temperatures either. It's dark, cold, and still. My heating is geothermal by the way, 10kW heatpump, so without electricity, I'm cold.

    6. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      France energy provider (singular as only EDF have nuclear plants) might be loving this, but french people might not: there's already rumors of blackout this winter with the production capacity not being enough to both provide Germany and french needs. If Belgium does the same, then we're sure to have some real problems down the line.

      Belgium is not really troublesome, though: 2 nuclear plants whould be quite easily replaced with alternative energy throughout the country. Germany won't have this choice, and the watching the politicians who took the decision explain to the Greens that it's better to have coal than nuclear is going to be fun.

    7. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by pngai · · Score: 1

      A varying supply without storage is not good for a varying load unless the variations match. In the case of wind, usually not.

    8. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The price of solar is dropping so fast, solar businesses are struggling to stay afloat. Their loss is our gain, and you'll continue to see the price per watt of solar plummet.

      This is a false argument. The people who supply and build our systems going broke is not our gain. It has a fixed floor. The prices will either continue to plummet making it completely unviable to enter the solar business (the largest solar manufacturing plant in Australia has already closed and shipped off to ... you guessed it ... China), they hit a break even point, or the quality suffers to a point where solar panels don't last as long as they do anymore (I still have a 35 year old hifi in my house, how many small boom boxes have broken in yours?).

      The other problem is that the price of solar is plummeting largely due to government subsidies rather than actual advancements in technology or efficiency. We have yet to see any of those beautiful technologies that claim even close to 50% efficiency come online making solar PV still the most expensive. Current projected trends show the cost of Solar (thermal or PV), and Wind to still be by far the most expensive (more than double Nuclear) per MWh generated. That's not taking into account the amount of land a 2-3GW plant would need, and the figure of double the cost does not take into account energy storage to compensate for baseload.

      I love solar. But I firmly believe it has a place on people's roofs rather than a large scale plant. Wind can go to hell, ruining the lovely countryside landscapes for a pissy little 1MW (if you're lucky, even with the new 4MW drive systems after you take into account wind capacity).

      More than anything I would love for you to prove me wrong about solar. (not Wind though, nothing you say will make up for the beautiful mountain top scenery that I saw ruined by 10 hideous windmills last time I went skiing in Austria. YUK).

    9. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Uh, your own sources show that fossil use is still growing, even though (ostensible) renewable generation is growing faster than demand. The numbers don't add up, and it's because fossil (and nuclear) plants need to be kept hot to supply sudden drops in wind and solar power.

      Without large scale storage, wind and solar (in Europe) are greenwashing. We're just burning fossil fuels to build devices that don't reduce further fossil use one whit.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    10. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, the powerplants in question are already owned by GDF-Suez, as Electrabel was sold to the french e few years back.

    11. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      German renewable energy production:

      http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/24/Stromerzeugung_erneuerbare_Energien1990-2007.png

      I think its absolutely no problem to ditch nuclear power altogether ;)

    12. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by khallow · · Score: 1

      I think its absolutely no problem to ditch nuclear power altogether ;)

      Eh, until the wind stops blowing. The problem with intermittent power sources is that you have trouble when they aren't working. The current approach is to buy power from other countries. The problem is that the more power that is in intermittent sources, then the more power you have to buy when your intermittent sources aren't working.

      A country like Belgium probably is too small a scale to benefit from homebrew nuclear power. I think they'd be better off just buying long term electricity contracts and eating the additional cost of those contracts. Maybe have a few natural gas plants around to take the edge off of peak load costs.

    13. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nobody expects batteries to be useful in this scenario. Distributed pumped and flywheel storage is a better solution, though, the only way for renewable energy to make a serious contribution is with multiple types (solar, wind, hydro, geothermal in the few areas there's enough of a temperature gradient), and it would require a major investment in distribution and in a "smart grid" to incentivize matching load to availability (or storing energy at the endpoint).

      Frankly we (in the US) need to upgrade our distribution infrastructure anyway. The rest will happen as it becomes economically feasible.

    14. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except there's a chance wind energy might be bad for the environment too.

      http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=wind-turbines-kill-bats
      http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/08/080825132107.htm
      http://www.fort.usgs.gov/BatsWindmills/

      Breaks my heart, wind turbines had been my favorite of the new alternative energy sources (there are too many trees near me for solar panels to make much sense) but the evidence is pretty well documented. I hope solar energy becomes more efficient but it's still not going to help people in areas that don't have a lot of direct sunlight and deforestation seems counter-productive.

      Maybe nuclear power isn't the answer we thought it would be (though I still say people are unnecessarily afraid of it) but here's no such thing as a free lunch.

    15. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by tokul · · Score: 1

      As efficiency continues to scale up

      You can't scale up beyond 100%. Some old dude Newton invented law about it.

    16. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      You really think efficiency of wind turbines is anywhere near 100%? There is still much that can be done to increase wind-to-copper efficiency. It's been 100+ years of the internal combustion engine and we're still only using 1% of the energy in a gallon of gas to move the car forward.

    17. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      generation peaks and valleys

      geographic distribution of the turbines and solar panels PLUS the use of concentrated solar power takes care of that.

    18. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      I think we're not communicating properly. I am under no illusion that a renewables facility is at its nameplate capacity fulltime. I'm suggesting overbuilding. Replacing a 500MW coal facility with wind? You build the wind facility out to 1.5TW of nameplate, or even 2TW. Why? Coal costs money. Every second of every day you're shoveling a fuel into a raging furnace, fuel that you have to pay for. Renewables have no such fuel, so you can pull those operating costs upfront into capital costs that you can amortize over 30, 50, or 75 years.

      1) Overbuild renewable capacity 2) Modernize transmission and load buffering systems; it doesn't matter where you generate the power if you can intelligently and quickly push the power to the load across huge distances 3) Shut down dirty generation systems (coal) (note: I take no issue whatsoever with nuclear, but I accept that some groups are too shortsighted to see the benefits, and may prohibit continuing operation or future building of said generation facilities). 4) Profit.

    19. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      I love solar. But I firmly believe it has a place on people's roofs rather than a large scale plant. Wind can go to hell, ruining the lovely countryside landscapes for a pissy little 1MW (if you're lucky, even with the new 4MW drive systems after you take into account wind capacity).

      This train of thought is just as bad as NIMBY individuals. Aesthetics are no reason not to build a generation system.

    20. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      This was just released today by the Earth Policy Institute. While it is US centric, it does have some compelling data:

      http://www.earth-policy.org/plan_b_updates/2011/update101

      Between 2007 and 2011, carbon emissions from coal use in the United States dropped 10 percent. During the same period, emissions from oil use dropped 11 percent. In contrast, carbon emissions from natural gas use increased by 6 percent. The net effect of these trends was that U.S. carbon emissions dropped 7 percent in four years. And this is only the beginning.

      In installed wind-generating capacity, Texas is followed by Iowa, California, Minnesota, and Illinois. In the share of electricity generation in the state coming from wind, Iowa leads at 20 percent.

      With electricity generated by solar panels, the United States has some 22,000 megawatts of utility-scale projects in the pipeline. And this does not include residential installations.

      Closing coal plants also cuts oil use. With coal use falling, the near 40 percent of freight rail diesel fuel that is used to move coal from mines to power plants will also drop.

      In fact, oil use has fallen fast in the United States over the last four years, thus reversing another long-term trend of rising consumption. The reasons for this include a shrinkage in the size of the national fleet, the rising fuel efficiency of new cars, and a reduction in the miles driven per vehicle.

      While not Belgium, the US is a much larger market, and I'd fathom that the trend will be followed in other first-world countries (including those in Europe).

    21. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 1

      Carbon emissions in the US dropped in that period because the economy tanked.

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    22. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by TooMuchToDo · · Score: 1

      Yes...and because consumers are opting for more fuel efficient vehicles, and because of coal plant shutdowns. Its not a single reason.

    23. Re:Russia and France are loving this! by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      From this statement I can conclude you don't live near a wind turbine. You should visit one if you get a chance. Get up close to it. Be amazed at it's beauty, at the industrial rumble of the blades swinging through the wind.

      Most powerplants can be built almost anywhere. Wind power ends up going in the windy areas which surprise surprise are mountain tops, a beautiful long valley which funnel wind. I'd by a long shot prefer 1 large nuclear reactor right next door to my house than 1000 wind turbines all over my favourite holiday destinations.

      Man made constructions are ugly enough without there being 3 orders of magnitude more of them spread around the countryside rather than concentrated in a central place. But if someone builds some decent windturbines which we can mount on buildings then I'm all for it.

  8. Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Belgium is a very low-lying coastal country, like Louisiana for example. The US has plenty of sites not vulnerable to tsunamis and flooding.

    1. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Ihmhi · · Score: 1, Interesting

      You know, this has always made me wonder.

      The U.S. surely has some areas that are free from natural disasters like tornadoes, flooding, hurricanes, earthquakes, etc. You always see the same few places getting socked by something horrible - and yet, a large amount of the Midwest is practically deserted.

      Why hasn't the people who live there moved somewhere like that? More importantly, why hasn't the federal government encouraged people to move to such a place? Instead, we keep bailing these people out who repeatedly choose a poor location for a home. Being stubborn and saying "We'll rebuild" when your area is constantly damaged by natural disasters isn't brave - it's moronic. It might make sense in a smaller country, but one of the things we have a lot of in America is land.

    2. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Big picture:

      People live where they do for a reason. Usually jobs.

      The coasts have, well, oceans right there. Which means incredibly cheap bulk transport for the products of their industries as well as the raw materials they need to import (food, that sort of thing).

      River valleys are much the same - that river makes shipping bulk goods cheap and easy.

      Alas, the parts of the country that are away from the coasts and rivers don't have those advantages.

      Alas, also, the parts of the country that are away from the coasts and rivers also have their own natural disasters. You don't hear about them because very few people are affected by a major storm in North Dakota, for instance. 2,000,000 people lose electricity, and you've got some real news. 130 people lose electricity, and you don't even have a good footnote to the news.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    3. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      Truth. I don't mind helping out people who get hit by natural disasters....the first time. Look at New Orleans. Much of it is below sea level. From the top of the dike there on the Mississippi River I looked down at the river then turned and looked at the town, this in 1980, and wondered how long it would be before that water found it's way into New Orleans. I told my friends with me that it was only a matter of time. When you looked at that mighty river where the water level was obviously above the buildings on the other side of the dike you knew it had to happen. It's nutty. That was before I knew about the canals. The canals are really crazy. They are concrete walls that are in the middle of housing areas that have water between them. You can see houses right next to these walls and water almost even with the roofs on the other side! Like I said, I didn't have a problem with helping people get new houses after Katrina......somewhere else! Rebuilding in a lake bed with the ocean and river that close by is insane.

    4. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by hedwards · · Score: 1

      I've been to those areas, and they're not uninhabited, they're occupied primarily by farms. So, yes people could move there, but then we'd have to find someplace to grow that food. Food production is vital to national security and our well being in general.

    5. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by AuMatar · · Score: 1

      It's the outflow of the biggest river in the continent and the ocean. It will be a major transportation and shipping hub. That means a lot of ports, and a lot of incoming boats. So lots of jobs. The people who work there will want to live nearby. They'll want to buy goods and services. Industry will want to exist nearby to take advantage of the shipping. This means more jobs, and more goods and services, requiring yet more people. This is the basis of damn near every major city in the world. There is no way that there isn't a major city in that spot until the Mississippi dries up.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    6. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      is vital to national security

      Every time you use that phrase, an angel loses its nuts.

    7. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      The U.S. surely has some areas that are free from natural disasters like tornadoes, flooding, hurricanes, earthquakes, etc.

      No place on the planet is entirely free from natural disasters. Also, most of the reactors currently operating for commercial power here in the United States are of the boiling water variety which means that some sort of external liquid (usually water) heat sink is required. Perhaps you've noticed that commercial reactors are often built nearby bodies of relatively cooler water (rivers or the oceans). This way, cooler water can be taken in and exchange heat with the water in the closed cooling loop before being discharged back into the source water, albeit somewhat hotter than when it came in. Places out in the middle of nowhere are like that for a reason: they're hot and dry with very little water. Unless you're going to build a liquid metal reactor that can exchange heat with the air via a giant radiator system, which would probably be impractical anyway, those locations are unsuitable for building a nuclear generator plant.

      Being stubborn and saying "We'll rebuild" when your area is constantly damaged by natural disasters isn't brave - it's moronic.

      Politics very often doesn't make any sense or at least not any rational kind of sense. Here in the US it just so happens that some very disaster prone states, Florida is a prime example, are "battleground" or "swing" states which have swung back and forth in just about every recent Presidential election. I don't like federal flood and hurricane insurance either, It's my tax dollars subsidizing people who want to build in foolish places, but what can you do? Life's rarely fair, especially these days and the squeaky wheels always get the grease.

    8. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      "The U.S. surely has some areas that are free from natural disasters like tornadoes, flooding, hurricanes, earthquakes, etc."

      No, it does not. As the rest of your post depends from this, it can be ignored.

    9. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that river makes shipping bulk goods cheap and easy.

      Is that before or after factoring in the cost of rebuilding from scratch every time a hurricane strolls through?

      It seems to me a lot if not most people there claimed surprise at the disaster, despite there being no excuse for that, and wanted the government to pay for their short sightedness in planning for all the involved expenses of operating and living in such an area.

      Perhaps rebuilding every decade give or take is still worth the expense of having such a large port near, which would be fine and likely no one complain about.
      What we do complain about however are the ones that expect everyone else to pay for the cost of having to rebuild regularly.

      Factor in ALL of the costs however, and I would guess it might be far less "easy and cheap" after all.

    10. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Ihmhi · · Score: 1

      I take a bit of that back - of course no place would be *entirely* free from natural disaster. "Mosty free" would be a better way to put things.

      Take Arizona, for instance - the biggest natural disasters that I know of offhand (without Googling) are the occasional wildfire and the *very* rare hurricane/tropical storm that makes it that far inland from the Pacific Coast. The list is pretty damn short.

    11. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by dfenstrate · · Score: 1

      Rivers and Oceans also provide a heat sink, which needs to be rather significant for a heat engine that tosses away 2/3's of it's power.

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
    12. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Intropy · · Score: 1

      Don't forget Barringer Crater, which of course could happen anywhere.

    13. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is important since nuclear accidents can only be caused by the same thing that caused the previous nuclear accident. After Chernobyl we knew that a reactor failure could only be caused by a Soviet lack of responsibility in running a nuclear power plant. That was good news, because just a few years later the Soviet Union ceased to exist and nuclear accidents were once again impossible.

      Similarly, we now know that a tsunami is the only thing that can cause a nuclear accident.

    14. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Doesn't make it any less true.

    15. Re:Not necessarily relevant to US debate by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      There is plenty of land nearby above sea level. You can't build in a lake bed and not expect to get wet sooner or later. It's ridiculous for the US government to have to rebuild this place time after time after time after time....etc. Once should be enough to wake people up. If not, screw 'em. If you want to live in a hole take what comes with it. It's the same with people on offshore Islands. Every couple of decades a bad ass storm moves through and oops! Time for Big Stupid Uncle Sam to come to the rescue with tax dollars. If you want to live on the beach in Hurricane country you should expect to rebuild occasionally. It comes with the territory.

  9. 50 years ago by circletimessquare · · Score: 3, Interesting

    1. the space industry was booming

    2. the nuclear industry was booming

    3. the computer industry was just a support system for the real heroic industries

    now: the computer industry is the preeminent world industry (in terms of influence, company valuations, etc), and the space industry and nuclear industry are frail, aged, and dying

    not exactly what people imagined 50 years ago, in policy making and the popular imagination

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    1. Re:50 years ago by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Actually, the space industry is beginning to burgeon. It's just move into private industry, which is a good thing.

    2. Re:50 years ago by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 2

      Well, the problem was not with the popular imagination, but the poor policy making. The US would be fully energy independent today, and nuclear would be a brilliant, thriving industry, if only it had proceeded in a different direction. Indeed, the entire world would be a very different place, with the proliferation of cheap, safe energy, and reduced friction over fossil fuel resources. Maybe not too cheap to meter, but energy cheaper than from coal is quite possible with Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors. So are synthetic fuels from nuclear heat cheaper than from oil. As an additional benefit over current reactors, water can be desalinated with the rejected heat. All of this, with unparalleled safety, while addressing all of the waste concerns of present reactors.

      Instead of pursing the safer, cleaner, and immensely more efficient liquid thorium reactors. The government poured billions into funding the competing liquid metal fast breeder: a fundamentally inferior solid fueled design which requires an immensely greater amount of fissile material, as all fast reactors do. (Plutonium in this case). There are numerous other downsides, but it suffices to say that the molten salt reactor program was cancelled when Alvin Weinberg questioned the safety prospects of the prevailing light water reactors and the direction of the plutonium breeder program. (This is the very person who invented the prevailing reactor technology, so who is more qualified to make such judgements? Now that the politics have played out, and his fears have been realized, perhaps it is time to revisit the liquid thorium reactor.

      Now we face energy scarcity, horrific pollution, and accelerating destruction of our environment on a global scale, not to mention the results of climate charge. Please take the time to increase awareness of this technology; it isn't merely some theoretical hope, they ran a reactor successfully for years. It was and still is a genuine solution to all of our energy ills, which requires nothing but the will to embrace it. Learn more at Energy From Thorium, and please take the time to contact your representatives.

    3. Re:50 years ago by Hentes · · Score: 1

      Not really, the private sector is only interested in LEO and quick profits, they are not making new discoveries.

    4. Re:50 years ago by khallow · · Score: 1

      Not really, the private sector is only interested in LEO and quick profits, they are not making new discoveries.

      Making "quick" profits is a new discovery in space. I'd put it on the level of oh, the Europeans figuring out how to profit from the New World. And we don't need to rob the natives to do it.

      Plus, making new discoveries in space is just not that useful to Earth without anything out there to use the discovery.

    5. Re:50 years ago by cdrguru · · Score: 2

      I think the one constant has been the porn industry.

    6. Re:50 years ago by mr+exploiter · · Score: 1

      And who cares? Those people are 70 years old or more now, and old people always think things have gotten worse. New technology replaces old technology, and the space industry is still improving. We no longer make silly symbolic flights to the moon but the really important stuff, satellite technology, is ages ahead. Better energy productions methods are appearing. Nuclear is no longer the promise of the future. Now go back to bed granpa.

  10. Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Why make a mess at home, when you can just pay someone else to deal with the mess?

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    1. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's fine as long as you are rich enough to over pay and enjoy having to bow to demands from your supplier since you don't have an alternative within your borders. No worries, I'm sure Russia will never, ever make an unreasonable demand that you'd prefer to deny. You run the risk of having no power if your supplier suddenly needs that power for himself. If you want to have your own base load power plants to replace at least some of your shortfall, you must also prefer dispersed pollution in your lungs from coal and oil more so than nuclear's tightly confined waste. To top it all off, if you are really that concerned about a nuclear power plant having a fatal accident you'll still be living in Europe so you can still be affected by the nuclear power plants in France and Russia. Sure is a panacea.

    2. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Demonantis · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The crux of the anti nuclear movement is it creates a more dangerous industry forcing the government to rely on using past their prime plants. If France and Russia are willing to stay at the edge of nuclear development more to them. They will be safer then Belgium and Germany maintaining their old plants.

    3. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "You run the risk of having no power if your supplier suddenly needs that power for himself"
      This is absurd. Nuclear is not the only source of power, and other sources of power do not take decades to design and build (unlike nuclear). I am sure the combined intelligence of Germany and Belgium is a bit greater than your lone, little mind gives credit. I am sure they plan better than your straw-man argument implies.

      "tightly confined waste"
      Yes, until something unexpected happens to disrupt cooling, and it vaporizes into a lovely plume. I respect the Japanese for knowing their shit way more than some little shill like yourself and look how fucked things are over there. 8 months latter after their accident, and they still cannot fucking even turn things "off". Fukushima will become a monument with an eternal nuclear flame of the fucking risk of going that route.

      "you must also prefer dispersed pollution in your lungs from coal and oil "
      You see, that would actually be CHEAPER than nuclear. So your complaining that Russia will be able to demand high prices, and you will not have any recourse if Russia decides to cut you off, but you will have all the pollution from the CHEAPER sources. That is a clusterfuck of an argument you got there. Nuclear is just one option. There are alternatives. Some are more expensive, some are dirtier. The world is only using like 13% nuclear power, so don't fucking pretend that there are no alternatives or that nuclear is the undisputed best. The book is still out on that one, and the world is a much different place, post 311.

      "still be living in Europe so you can still be affected"
      Right, because living in Fukushima makes no difference from living in West Japan. Your arguments, though numerous, are not very well thought out. . . Better leave the shilling to the paid pro's . . .

    4. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The crux of the nuclear industry is that old plants are already paid for and depreciated. They are far more profitable than new plants. Also, safety measures cost money, so a profit maximizing business will try to minimize safety measures where possible (including building safer new plants). When things do go wrong, things are so bad that the government has to bail out the owners (just like the banks), so they face limited downside risk with the old plants.

      I am afraid you give way too much credit to the anti-nuke movement, and way too little credit to corporate greed.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    5. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by khallow · · Score: 0

      Nuclear is not the only source of power, and other sources of power do not take decades to design and build (unlike nuclear). I am sure the combined intelligence of Germany and Belgium is a bit greater than your lone, little mind gives credit. I am sure they plan better than your straw-man argument implies.

      The combined intelligence of Germany and Belgium can't turn on a light bulb by itself. One needs manifestation of that intelligence, say in the form of a French nuclear plant. And the thing about design is that most of the work is done on the first one. So the cost of design is now a sunk cost. Since nuclear power plants have already been designed, it doesn't matter now whether it took five minutes or five centuries to get to this point.

      Yes, until something unexpected happens to disrupt cooling, and it vaporizes into a lovely plume. I respect the Japanese for knowing their shit way more than some little shill like yourself and look how fucked things are over there. 8 months latter after their accident, and they still cannot fucking even turn things "off". Fukushima will become a monument with an eternal nuclear flame of the fucking risk of going that route.

      So what? That particular design (which depends on active cooling) has been obsolete for quite some time.

    6. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Less people die because of corporate greed because of nuclear power plants than die because of hydro, coal, oil and natural gas. The nuclear energy is safer by few orders of magnitude than coal.

    7. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "The nuclear energy is safer by few orders of magnitude than coal."
      Please cite (post Fukushima) source.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    8. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Germany and Belgium can't turn on a light bulb by itself"
      Great, let's send "khallow" to the rescue . . . Your point applies to all power generating facilities. Except, the alternatives can be kicked off at a much smaller scale, requiring much less financing (important in the business environment of the last 3 years), requiring much shorter construction periods (the longer it takes to operation, the more risk the project faces), and you are not left with the almost infinitely long project of nuclear waste "disposal." No wonder the industry needs government backing to even exist . . .

      "That particular design (which depends on active cooling) has been obsolete for quite some time."
      Nuclear is so expensive that you need the plant to operate for several decades to make a good ROI. That means, the designs, on average, will always be decades old. Technology changes so quickly that even the "new" designs will be made obsolete well before their operational life completes. Unknown risks that require an operational environment to discover will come out well after construction, but the old plants will still have years before they can be economically torn down. The global economy is moving into shorter and shorter business cycles, yet the nuclear industry is still thinking "big" in a world that thinks small and distributed . . . And what new designs do not require nuclear waste to be completely submerged for years at a time to avoid catching on fire (as happened in Fukushima)?

    9. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Scottingham · · Score: 1

      It obviously depends on your definition of safety, but nobody has died from Fukushima, and since then I can assure you there have been some coal miner deaths.

      From JUST West Virginia: http://www.wvminesafety.org/fatal97.htm

    10. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by khallow · · Score: 1
      Not all power generating facilities can replace nuclear power. It's an example of base load power. Something that always runs. Other examples of base load are coal, geothermal, and to some degree intermittent power with a means to smooth out the power (battery backup or offsetting natural gas generation).

      The global economy is moving into shorter and shorter business cycles, yet the nuclear industry is still thinking "big" in a world that thinks small and distributed

      There will always be demand for power especially in urban areas. No reason for supply to go quarter to quarter, when the demand stretches out over decades or centuries and remains pretty consistent.

    11. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 3, Informative

      "but nobody has died from Fukushima"
      By that same definition, people smoking tobacco and breathing in asbestos right now have not died, so those substances are perfectly safe, right? That argument has worked for those respective industries for a while. What are you going to do when people smarten up to the delayed incubation trick? Just move to the next talking point, I suppose . . .

      "From JUST West Virginia"
      Because we all know that every state has identical levels of coal mining . . . But, really, mining? Because we all know that there are absolutely no risks to uranium mining. Oh, and there are absolutely no additional risks to residents close to uranium mines that residents close to coal mines don't have to worry about . . .

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    12. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot "hydroelectric, biogas, biomass, solar thermal with storage and ocean thermal energy conversion can provide baseload power." Certainly you have heard of Desertec, which Germany is a strong supporter of. Base load is part of their strategy.

      "No reason for supply to go quarter to quarter"
      It must be nice to live in a world where Lehman shock never happened . . . Seriously, financing projects longer than 2 years is getting harder and harder. That is why you need government backing, and we all know how great government taking downside risks from large banks has worked . . .

    13. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Nobody died from Fukushima, there are over 40 yearly deaths in coal mining accidents in USA alone. Add rest of the globe, add lung cancer caused by coal power plants and we quickly approach few hundred thousand yearly.

    14. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "Add rest of the globe, add lung cancer caused by coal power plants and we quickly approach few hundred thousand yearly."
      Nice . . . Yes, be sure to include the "hundreds of thousands" of indirect deaths for coal power and conveniently exclude any indirect deaths that will be caused by Fukushima. Now THAT is some impartial thinking you got going there . . . Again, please provide post-Fukushima source backing your claims . . .

      And we all know that our only choices are coal and nuclear . . .

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    15. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl was a much worse disaster than Fukushima, yet both WHO and UNSCEAR estimate current death-toll at below 200 and say that only about 2000 people will die early because of radiation exposure because of Chernobyl. There have been no increase in leukaemia in affected areas and only 3% increase in overall cancer (so from around 30% chance to develop cancer to about 33%) in affected areas caused by increased thyroid cancer -- which has survivability of 99% in Russia, Belarus and Ukraine.

      Radiation is much less dangerous than it is made out to be by sensationalist media. But continuous, steady deaths caused by burning oil, gas and coal are boring, just like dam breaks: after all they don't cause fallout that can circumnavigate the globe.

      If you compare power sources by TWh produced, nuclear is safer (as in causes less deaths) than oil, coal, gas, hydro by large margin.

    16. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by khallow · · Score: 1

      "hydroelectric, biogas, biomass, solar thermal with storage and ocean thermal energy conversion can provide baseload power.

      Depends. Hydroelectric traditionally is used for the more lucrative peaking load, that is, drain the water source during peak load times and let it refill during the rest of the time. Using it as base load is inefficient. Biogas and biomass run into a couple of problems. First, they displace agricultural resources. What gets burned in the generator can't be used in the field. Second, they only work as long as you have something to burn. A lot of biomass is seasonal.

      Solar thermal with storage can work, but it hasn't been shown competitive. Also, there's the problem of real estate. Nuclear power has high power density, higher than any of these quoted technologies, aside from some biogas/biomass facilities which use an existing biomass stream.

      I have much to say on Desertec since I think it's a symptom of a deeper problem here. Desertec sounds like a viable concept and it gets over the real estate problem, but the project seems placed in the wrong hands. I glanced over the website and it has a lot of future fail present. For example, the use of the phrase "the world's most ambitious solar power project". If you have to tout that before you've even built anything of note, then maybe you need to put it in other hands. The news stream also has very little information on Desertec itself. I've seen that game played before on other business and project websites to give the impression that a lot is happening. But the problem is that the happening part need not have anything to do with the business or project in question.

      I'd be more interested, if they had a more conservative technology buildup and a business case that's self-funding. Building a 500 MW plant as the first stage of their project definitely is ambitious, but it also introduces a great deal of risk.

      Similarly, I don't see evidence that the project could move on under its own merits. The project seems to depend too much on government funding and subsidies. Currently, the political fad of the moment is green power. But it's a bit foolish to be so reliant on that. A more incremental approach that pays for future debt acquisition with revenue from existing successful projects would be a more viable approach. So that's why I assert above that it doesn't have much of a business plan.

      Seriously, financing projects longer than 2 years is getting harder and harder. That is why you need government backing, and we all know how great government taking downside risks from large banks has worked . . .

      Sure, there's a short term credit crunch from the recent financial difficulties, but that will go away. Past that, I just don't see your assertion. Financing big projects has always been difficult, but that's because it always is a difficult thing to show that you can pay back that kind of money.

    17. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "Chernobyl was a much worse disaster than Fukushima,"
      You are missing your authoritative source stating such (and the Fukushima event is still ongoing . . .).

      "estimate current death-toll at below 200"
      It must be nice to feel so confident about speculated results of an event that is so notorious for lacking good, reliable data. You must be a TRUE BELIEVER. The LNT model seems far more realistic, and it looks like Fukushima may serve as the "great experiment" to provide the additional supportive data it needs. However, I believe that no models are "conclusive" at this point. It takes a true shill to claim differently. (FYI, the estimate for deaths from tobacco and asbestos was once "0" until proven otherwise . . .).

      "nuclear is safer (as in causes less deaths) than oil, coal, gas, hydro by large margin"
      Nice, more fact transcending ranting. Sources, please. Hearing the same talking points spewed over and over is not convincing.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    18. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      if the LNT model was true then people in Ramsar, Iran would be falling dead like flies in Raid factory. They are receiving doses over 100mSv/y.

      In the real world though, there is no statistically significant increase in cancer rates in this area.

      If you want to believe that any radiation dose above background level causes cancer in 12 seconds and death in 14, then please, be my guest. You can't negate the facts, than even the biggest overestimates (published by greanpeace loonies) in deaths caused by nuclear accidents don't come close to deaths caused by coal, oil, natural gas and hydro per TWh of produced power. If you have facts that tell otherwise then please, show me them.

      In the mean time, you can multiply the numbers of deaths caused by nuclear by 1000 and it will still be safer than oil, coal and gas.

    19. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "would be falling dead like flies in Raid factory"
      "causes cancer in 12 seconds and death in 14"
      Thanks, 'cause the one thing I really thought this debate was lacking was straw-man arguments. Is it alright to assume that you deny the existence of all carcinogens since they do not make people "fall dead like flies" nor "cause cancer in 12 seconds and death in 14?"

      "there is no statistically significant increase in cancer rates in this area" The liberal use of the italic tag is no substitute for a creditable source, yet you have used more i tags than href tags . . . Is presentation more important than supportive facts?

      "If you have facts that tell otherwise then please, show me them."
      No, I never made the claim one way or the other. You are the one making that claim therefore the responsibility is on you to support your claim with supportive evidence. I merely am stating that I do not accept unsupported claims as facts. Making the same claim multiple times or making more extreme claims does not make your argument any more convincing. Please provide your source.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    20. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      I said that my main sources are WHO and UNSCEAR, they are published on the web:
      http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/releases/2005/pr38/en/index.html
      http://www.unscear.org/unscear/en/chernobyl.html

    21. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      Thanks. Where does it confirm that you could "multiply the numbers of deaths caused by nuclear by 1000 and it will still be safer than oil, coal and gas"? That is the claim made in the prior post that I was responding to.

      Besides, I think I already mentioned that there are some serious issues with the data from Chernobyl. Studies can only be as good as the underlying data. Just be patient . . . in 25 years we will probably have much better data from the Fukushima disaster.

      Additionally, how do you explain studies that come to very different conclusions?

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    22. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Here's a compilation of WHO, IEA and few other EU or UN organizations studies with direct links to them:
      http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html

      Even if they are underestimating the number of deaths, it is highly unlikely they missed the mark by 10 or even 100. It still makes the nuclear energy safer than coal, oil and gas. We're not comparing 2 to 4, we're comparing 0.04 to 161. The margin of error for incomplete data is rather big...

      As for greenpeace report: if you attribute each and every case of cancer to Chernobyl on this area (as they did with their own 6000000 estimate) you will get to similar numbers. But it's not the way epidemiology studies are done. Besides, if you start counting the number of people which quality of live has been reduced (because they had their thyroid cancer removed or have other health problems) you have to count also the number of people that have asthma attacks, heart problems or other diseases because of air pollution (mercury pollution alone is huge problem) caused by fossil fuel burning. Otherwise you're comparing apples to oranges (future early deaths to deaths that are already happening).

    23. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      Do you have the professional credentials of this "BW?" Heck, do you even have the real name of this individual? I did not see any affiliations or disclaimers, but I found it quite striking the post date was 3/13 (and, of course excludes any possible impacts from the 311 Fukushima accident). Has this research been peer reviewed by anyone? I don't know about you, but I tend to take "facts" from people that don't even bother to post under their real name with a grain of salt.

      I also find it fascinating that you hold "BW's" material more highly than research written by 2 and a half pages worth of authors with impressive and relevant professional credentials. Although, perhaps you just know more about this BW than I do. I do look forward to you letting me know more details regarding this individual . . . However, you even go as far as to say "But it's not the way epidemiology studies are done . . ." Excuse me, but do you mind letting me know what YOUR credentials are, and why I should listen to you instead of, say, a research center for radiation medicine?

      One of the ironic things is that BW even has an article stating that cancer is the largest killer in the UK and continues to increase. Yet, in his analysis of deadliness per watt, he is looking at things like people falling off roofs when installing solar panels. It is hard to take such analysis very seriously.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    24. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      I checked his sources and his numbers, they do add up. I could posted links to raw data, but then I'd have to re-do those calculations.

      As I said, it's a compilation of WHO, IEA and few other institutions with direct links to papers published by them.

      First: where am I supposed to get you a peer-reviewed paper on Fukushima if the accident is still ongoing? Besides, the IEA currently estimate the number of radioactive Iodine released to 1/5 of Chernobyl and radioactive caesium to half that of Chernobyl. It would have to release at least 100 times more to cause significant number of deaths in next 10 years. (few orders of magnitude) Even if we take the highest estimates of Chernobyl deaths, average them over the period of 80 years are re-do the calculation on lethality it will still be favourable to nuclear energy.

      Second: How is stating that cancer is the largest killer in UK contradictory to, for example air pollution from coal burning? The cited article (nor paper) doesn't say anything about what caused those cancers... Your clutching at straws here.

      Third: Sorry, but the number of people dying installing them is significant, he did count the number of people dying mining uranium and building nuclear power plants. If anything, it shows that this is a thorough comparison.

      As I said, we're not debating whatever data that shows 2 deaths per TWh by coal is correct and 1 death per TWh of nuclear is incorrect. Between them is 4 orders of magnitude difference, the margin for error is huge.
      I think that large scale solar can have similar death-ratios (if not better) than nuclear, I'm sceptical if wind is really sustainable (the amount of power needed to construct those turbines is enormous, but it's a entirely different debate) but its death-toll can be similarly lowered (or is over-estimated, whatever). At the same time, I don't think that oil, coal and gas can ever reach this level of safety, mining alone makes those resources much more deadly. With hydro we would have to eliminate dam breaks entirely to make it less lethal than nuclear and this is simply impossible. The nuclear power is the only type of power that can reach low lethality and provide base load capability for electric grid.

      I'm sorry to say that, but now you look like a TRUE BELIEVER in alternative power (I still don't know what kind, probably unicorn rainbows because they don't cause deaths), while at the same time I showed you data that nuclear is vastly less lethal than coal, oil and gas. But then you don't seem to grasp the difference between 2 and 1000. This is just pointless. You are completely biased against nuclear and consider report by a widely known "opposer of everything modern organization", highly political Greenpeace in higher standards than recalculation of official data provided by independent, international organizations. Even in Greenpeace report, the graph that shows higher incidence rates, not lethality rates, of cancer is only few percent higher (in line with the lying, employing morons, WHO and IEA: shock, horror!). You want me to provide papers, the same papers you can't properly extract data from.

    25. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "I checked his sources and his numbers,"
      Ok . . . Your source is some guy named "BW" and you, some guy named "Tomato42," have peer reviewed his work . . . Also, just because your raw data comes from more credible sources (though, I have supplied evidence of controversy regarding some of the results from those sources), that credibility is in no way automatically transferred to the sequential work done by "BW." Furthermore, his work excludes consideration of the ongoing Fukushima accident and wastes time on things like deaths from falling from roofs (while failing to pay adequate attention to actual material information, like possible contribution to the cancer epidemic). Consequently, it seems that our disagreement stems on our differing standards of what constitutes as "fact."

      "First: where am I supposed to get you a peer-reviewed paper on Fukushima if the accident is still ongoing?"
      You are not supposed to. That is my point. Your claim is baseless at this point due to the unprecedented ongoing Fukushima event. And, again, you think this issue is so simple that you can just use rudimentary arithmetic to project the damage. Damage is not just caused by total radioactive isotope release (which the estimates for seem to double every couple of months, and it is still unclear when the release will actually stop, if ever . . .). For instance, how easy is it to completely ignore things like population density?

      "Second: How is stating that cancer is the largest killer in UK contradictory to, for example air pollution from coal burning?"
      Simply put, when at least 7.6 million people are dying a year from cancer, you would expect a large part of any analysis on energy impact to focus on what percentage of that was caused by what energy source (coal, nuclear, etc . . .). An analysis that wastes time on immaterial things like roof solar installation related deaths is a complete joke and is just trying to fill up space where factual data does not yet exist.

      I am now satisfied I sufficiently understand the basis of your claim. It seems obvious that insufficent data exists to calculate to a level of appropriate accuracy to support your claim, and I am confident that few people with decision making authority would ever consider that 'BW' source you posted as a credible source (even with your "peer review"). It is a bit sad to think that some people hold such strong beliefs that they would claim such things as facts on sites like Slashdot, but I am hopeful that moderation will prevent such falsities from wasting too much mindshare.

      Finally, you easily dismiss the opinions of a significant group of professionals who have devoted their lives to this topic. Perhaps you are also a professional in a relevant field and think you have grounds to do so. I, like the rest of the public, am not. Therefore, I must base my assumptions of the facts on the statements of others while considering things like expertise, credibility, perceived self-interests, and overall availabity of underlying data. Perhaps one day I will come across sufficient evidence to support your claim, but until that day comes, I consider you claim to not be fact but a belief. Furthermore, your imposing your beliefs as facts on others only increases the level of noise within the debate, doing a disservice to all those involved.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    26. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Oh, yes, you know better. Redo the numbers with your estimates of Fukushima, Chernobyl and show me it kills more people per TWh then. You only provided report from a highly political group of which the main reason for existence is to stifle progress and return civilisation to bronze age. They are against every form of energy able to provide base load: hydro, nuclear, fusion, fossil. We need energy if we want to develop and there are no other viable alternatives. And then you wonder why I dismiss their claims. They are the people that would go after dihydrogen-monooxide!

      And I don't care whatever solar panels are more or less lethal than nuclear, that was not my point and it's not the point of discussion we're having.

      BW is not the source, he just brought few numbers together, you don't need a peer review for that. Every science magazine and newspaper does this. I also never claimed that I peer reviewed them, I only claimed that with the data he presented I would draw the same conclusions. If you had visited the links on his site, you'd see links to reports that do exactly the same: compare the lethality of coal, hydro, nuclear but not other types with same results as BW. So he's not alone in his claims!:
      EU ExternE calculation: http://manhaz.cyf.gov.pl/manhaz/strona_konferencja_EAE-2001/15%20-%20Polenp~1.pdf 25 deathes per TWh for coal and somewhere around 1 per TWh for nuclear.
      IEA calculation: http://www.ieahydro.org/reports/ST3-020613b.pdf 327 deaths per TWh for coal versus 12 per TWh for nuclear.

      Each and every study comparing fossil to nuclear shows that nuclear is safer. And that was original point. You have provided no source showing otherwise.

      Unless you do provide study showing otherwise I consider this discussion over.

    27. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "show me it kills more people per TWh then"
      My claim is that there is no conclusive data supporting or disproving your claim and that you are being presumptuous to state otherwise. Additionally, you are just throwing a bunch of straw-man arguments in an attempt to discredit people who have put far more effort gaining expertise in this issue than yourself (of course, I assume you lack similar expertise based on what you assume as "fact" ).

      "BW is not the source, he just brought few numbers together, you don't need a peer review for that"
      Of course . . . just like perpetual motion machines do not NEED peer review. However, without peer review, there is no credibility behind the claim. Yet you act as if your belief is fact.

      The sources you provide do not even mention Fukushima, which is still ongoing. Entire countries are deciding to no longer support nuclear power due to Fukushima, yet you do not think it is even relevant when trying to establish support for your claim?

      "Unless you do provide study showing otherwise I consider this discussion over."
      The utility of any discussion on this topic with you was lost when you started confusing fact with belief.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    28. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      My claim is that there is no conclusive data supporting or disproving your claim

      First: So you're telling me that governments in eastern or central Europe have no idea how many people live there and die every year? Because I, as a non scientist, would call that a highest possible estimate.

      Second: Somehow, people that made those reports (that is, real scientists that committed their lives to work in those fields) consider this data to be good enough to publish and peer review (done by real scientists) consider them good enough.

      But YOU KNOW BETTER.

      Entire countries are deciding to no longer support nuclear power due to Fukushima, yet you do not think it is even relevant when trying to establish support for your claim?

      Way to go for argumentum ad populum. Those are decisions made by politicians under pressure from public that absolutely doesn't understand radioactivity. You dismiss papers published by scientists but consider opinions of politicians in high regard! On whose payroll are you? Exxon? Shell? Some coal consortium?

      The utility of any discussion on this topic with you was lost when you started confusing fact with belief.

      Unlike you, I have provided facts to support my belief. Or now we will turn to religious debate, whatever its OK to have beliefs that don't go together with facts?

    29. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "First:"
      Of course they know total deaths, but they do not know the true source of the illness that caused a given death for the majority of deaths. That is why the asbestos and tobacco industries were able to deny responsibility for so long. Most of the deaths are caused by cancer, and our current technology does not allow us to find the true source of most cancers, directly.

      "Second:"
      Yes, and another group of committed scientists have published other reports that contradict the reports you posted. This also happened for years with reports regarding the dangers of asbestos and tobacco. That is how science works when an issue is lacking conclusive data. However, I have yet to see a peer reviewed report, post-Fuskushima, claiming that nuclear energy is the safest energy available.

      "But YOU KNOW BETTER."
      No, you are the one picking a group of scientists and saying "that is fact." I am the one who is taking into account ALL the reports and saying "this is not concluded yet."

      "Way to go for argumentum ad populum."
      Over half a century has brought nuclear energy only to about 13.5% of all power creation. Your justification may be that the majority of energy decisions have been wrong because people do not "properly" understand radioactivity. However, this is an extreme position to take and, again, extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof. Do you have PROOF that the world is wrong and you are right? And, no, everyone who does not agree with you is not just disagreeing with you because they are being paid to do so . . .

      You have provided disputed facts (facts still being debated by scientists) and then beliefs based on those disputed facts. The problem, as I see it, is that you are unable to understand the difference between fact, disputed fact, and belief. Creationists also have this problem.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    30. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Yes, and another group of committed scientists have published other reports that contradict the reports you posted

      Show me this report. Greenpeace report doesn't tell anything about fossil fuels.

      Your justification may be that the majority of energy decisions have been wrong because people do not "properly" understand radioactivity. However, this is an extreme position to take and, again, extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.

      Those proofs are in the IEA report. You should try reading it. I just restated their conclusions.

    31. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "Show me this report. Greenpeace report doesn't tell anything about fossil fuels."
      That is because it was a report on Chernobyl and was not trying to do anything as ambitious as try to calculate the safety of energy sources based on the extremely weak data that currently exists. My point is that even the experts are disputing the impact of Chernobyl, over 20 years later. Fukushima is still on going, and it will be years before any meaningful estimates start to come out. Without scientists being able to come to a meaningful consensus on these events, higher level conclusions based on said "data" requires faith, not scientific reasoning.

      "Those proofs are in the IEA report. You should try reading it. I just restated their conclusions."
      I am confused. That report was written in 2002, 9 years BEFORE Fukushima. . . Does your belief system include time machines?

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    32. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1
      You've completely missed my point, the IEA report says why we're not building more nuclear power plants. And if you want politicians that think, that, somehow, nuclear is safe and is sustainable just look at Russia, they did build 4 new reactors after 2001 and the newest one came on-line this week.

      Also, as you go forward in time, the estimates for total death-toll from Chernobyl are being reduced, not increased!

      As I said, Fukushima released only half the radioactivity Chernobyl did and only 4% of the released material landed on dry land, 96% landed in ocean. At no time, the amount of caesium and iodine in sea exceeded regulatory limits. No member of public received or will receive doses of radiation higher than a single CT scan (in the range of 5-20mSv). Scientific reasoning assumes there must be a cause to cause an effect. If there is no cause, there will be no effect. If the cause is small then the effect will be small (like with the worst possible case model: LNT).

      After: http://bos.sagepub.com/content/67/5/27.full

      Assuming that the risk is proportional to dose (the linear no-threshold hypothesis), a 10-rem whole-body dose would bring with it a risk of cancer death later in life of about half of one percent.

      The very high thyroid doses from the Chernobyl disaster were due in large part to the failure of authorities to block the consumption of milk produced by cows grazing on contaminated grass. By contrast, in Japan, shipments of raw milk and vegetables from Fukushima and three neighboring prefectures were blocked on March 21, six days after the large release that caused the high contamination. Screening of produce for radioactivity began the next day

      Very little potassium iodide was distributed in the Soviet Union after the Chernobyl accident. In Poland, however, more than 10 million children, 16 years of age and under, and approximately seven million adults received at least one dose of potassium iodide, reducing their thyroid doses to “negligible levels”.

      Finally, it is important to note that, if not dealt with properly, the psychological consequences associated with accidents such as Chernobyl and Fukushima could damage many more lives than the cancer consequences.

      My "belief system" include bringing data together from different sources. For example: comparing doses received by residents with typical CT or X-ray.

      After Science: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/332/6032/908.full

      He thinks the reaction to low doses could be quite complex. “There's not going to be a uniform response of all biological functions to low levels of radiation,”

      Some researchers doubt that any study in Fukushima, no matter how well devised, will reveal much. The radiation exposure of the general population “is too small to give a statistically significant increase in stochastic effects such as cancer,” argues Ohtsura Niwa, professor emeritus of radiation biology at Kyoto University.

      We need power or people will die from malnutrition, hypothermia and diseases (just like in developing countries right now) in much higher numbers than even those caused by coal burning, as no other technology has proved itself in high-scale power production, we can make it only from fossil or from nuclear. You have not provided any source stating that nuclear is less safe than fossil. If you want to live in developing country, then please, do so. You may take your Greenpeace pals with you. In the meantime, by using coal electricity, you're responsible for more deaths than it is necessary.

    33. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      "the IEA report says why we're not building more nuclear power plants"
      Are you referring to: "The public perception of risk also weakens the environmental performance of nuclear power."? If you attribute this to why nuclear power has not budged 14% of world power in over half a century, then I am afraid nuclear power has a very sad future ahead, indeed. You can thank the Japanese government's mishandling of the Fukushima accident for this, as public perception of the risks is at a all time high now.

      "as you go forward in time, the estimates for total death-toll from Chernobyl are being reduced"
      Funny, as the largest estimate I have seen for Chernobyl (1 million) was just published by the New York Academy of Sciences last year. Again, have you peeked into the future with your time machine to see that future estimates will be decreasing here on out?

      "Fukushima released only half the radioactivity Chernobyl"
      Amazing, so you have traveled to the future to a point of time where the estimates have finally stopped doubling every couple of months (for instance, the paper you cite below claims Fukushima was just 1/10 of Chernobyl when it was published. . .) and the releases of additional radioactive isotopes have finally stopped! Or are you just claiming more beliefs as facts again . . . ? Oh, and you are confusing external exposure (CT scans) with internal exposure . . . really, I would have expected more from you at this point.

      "Very little potassium iodide was distributed in the Soviet Union after the Chernobyl accident. In Poland, however, more than 10 million children, 16 years of age and under, and approximately seven million adults received at least one dose of potassium iodide, reducing their thyroid doses to “negligible levels”."
      Interesting you bring this up, because we all know that Japan's distribution of iodide was stellar.

      "comparing doses received by residents with typical CT or X-ray"
      Thank you for demonstrating why skeptism is so important when trying to establish fact. Up until now, you have been making claims about the safety of nuclear energy, I assumed you understood the difference between internal and external exposure. Only many posts later do you finally reveal that you seem to have a serious gap in your understanding of the risks of fallout. Had I lacked skeptism, I too could have been tainted by your ignorance. Furthermore, any further analysis built on top of yours would also be suspect. Here is a hint . . . gamma readings are only indirect indicators of the true killers: alpha and beta emitters. Alpha radiation cannot even pass through a sheet of paper, but once an emitter is embedded within tissue it causes severe local damage, often leading to cancer. Fallout is nothing like a CT or an X-ray exam.

      "is too small to give a statistically significant increase"
      Nice, yes let's go back to May before the radiation release estimates were doubled at least twice (two months before meltdowns were even admitted) to quote the head of Japan ICRP, who are considered by many to have far too much vested interest in the success of nuclear to be considered objective . . .

      "no other technology has proved itself in high-scale power production"
      Again, nuclear is at 13% and coal is at 41%. Together, that only accounts for a little over half world production, yet you act as if that is all there is that is "proven" . . . And, again (and again and again . . .), I have never stated that one is safer or not safer than the other. I have only stated that conclusive data does not yet exist to make such a conclusion. Finally, 13% is hardly something to start screaming the end of the world over . . . I am sure we will get along just fine without it.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    34. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      who are considered by many to have far too much vested interest in the success of nuclear to be considered objective

      Because fossil fuel industry has absolutely no lobbying incentive and no vested interest to sustain the public perception of nuclear power, yeah, sure. All those scientists are on nuclear power payrolls. We have nothing to talk about about then, just watch out for your tinfoil hat it seems to be blocking blood flow.

      You may also want read more about Sievert unit, or not, you may actually learn something...

      Finally, 13% is hardly something to start screaming the end of the world over

      Because coal, oil and natural gas (those that make up over 80% of energy sources) will last forever, solving the problem once and for all, ONCE AND FOR ALL.

    35. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      Because fossil fuel industry has absolutely no lobbying incentive and no vested interest to sustain the public perception of nuclear power, yeah, sure. All those scientists are on nuclear power payrolls. We have nothing to talk about about then, just watch out for your tinfoil hat it seems to be blocking blood flow.

      Where have I posted reports from fossil fuel engineers (or others who would benefit professionally if fossil fuel use were increased)? I know you hate Greenpeace, but they are mighty allies if you hate coal. Do you think THEY are secretly supporting fossil fuels!? Talk about tinfoil hats . . .

      You may also want read more about Sievert unit, or not, you may actually learn something...

      If this is in response to your ignorance of the differences between internal and external exposure, I think I see how you perpetually remain ignorant. The system of units has absolutely nothing to do with whether or not your are actually capturing the important data points. If you're measuring process is limited to gama radiation (which, economically speaking, is the best you can do without crowd-sourcing the entire public), you really are missing the most dangerous data points. Using the unit system that is based on biological impact does not magically make that gap in captured data disappear . . .

      Because coal, oil and natural gas (those that make up over 80% of energy sources) will last forever, solving the problem once and for all, ONCE AND FOR ALL.

      Are you making a non-renewable energy argument to support nuclear energy? Really? Hint: not only is nuclear power non-renewable, the waste disposal is a real bitch, too.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    36. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      You question validity of minimal estimates for deaths from fossil fuels, isn't that a proof for your involvement in fossil industry or effectiveness of their lobbying? I don't hate Greenpeace, I just considers them terrorists and luddites at best (also, they hate coal for completely different reasons). You still haven't provided any data what so ever supporting your world view: that we can somehow live without energy or that fossil fuels don't cause vastly more deaths and pollution than nuclear. I'm still waiting for that reports/papers/data... or will you tell me that the nuclear industry is much more powerful than fossil fuel industry and so can silence any such report? Nuclear isn't renewable, but at least estimates for known and proven uranium and plutonium ores will last at least few centuries, unlike fossil, which won't last to the end of current century (if our estimates for undiscovered resources aren't overstated and we don't kill ourselves over what's left).

    37. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      You question validity of minimal estimates for deaths from fossil fuels, isn't that a proof for your involvement in fossil industry or effectiveness of their lobbying?

      Two things . . . One, the largest contribution to death estimates for both fossil fuels and nuclear fallout is based on indirect health impacts from airborne contaminants. My claim is that, though there are clearly health impacts, accurate data to claim one is greater than the other does not yet exist.
      Two, though I doubt that a single "fossil industry" conspiracy exists (coal and petroleum are actually quit different industries and probably compete to a degree with one another, just as they do with other forms of energy . . .), I would expect most people supportive of fossil fuels would be just sitting back and watching the ignorant horde of nuclear believers generate public disgust with their arrogant assault on logic and insensitive statements towards the victims of Fukushima.

      they hate coal for completely different reasons

      Please eloborate. I find the way your mind works to be fascinating.

      Your world view: that we can somehow live without energy or that fossil fuels don't cause vastly more deaths and pollution than nuclear

      How is questioning a source that we only get a mere 13% from today "wanting to live without energy." Really . . . the old straw-man thing really gets old . . .
      On what kills more people, I am simply saying I do not know and neither do you. When you claim otherwise and pretend it is fact, you are practicing a belief system, not science.

      will you tell me that the nuclear industry is much more powerful than fossil fuel industry and so can silence any such report

      Let's assume they are equally powerful, I think the focus should go to the authors, themselves. If a report comes out on Chernobyl by a "radiation expert," I have to take into account that a radiation expert will have a much more successful career in a world full of nuclear reactors. If another report on Chernobyl claims significantly more deaths but is also written by radiation experts and physicians, I do not have the same level of skepticism that bias has compromised the analysis. If a petroleum expert wrote a report on Chernobyl, I would again be skeptical of the results. I believe this is reasonable skepticism that allows me to be better informed than those who do not practice reasonable skepticism.

      Nuclear isn't renewable, but at least estimates for known and proven uranium and plutonium ores will last at least few centuries

      Funny, cause I think your earlier "solving the problem once and for all, ONCE AND FOR ALL" really is better placed here . . .

      Finally, did you ever wonder how it makes the students of Kyoto University feel when professors like Ohtsura Niwa soil their school name in the interest of nuclear propoganda? Wonder no more . . .

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    38. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      If another report on Chernobyl claims significantly more deaths but is also written by radiation experts and physicians, I do not have the same level of skepticism that bias has compromised the analysis.

      Right, because WHO is comprised of nuclear physicists, oh wait, it's World Health Organization, not Radiation, it's an agency of UN, not IAEA! The ExtenE report also had a professor of Occupational Medicine on the panel.

      But they come to conclusions you don't like, with methods you don't approve ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_proof ) instead of extrapolation and wild speculation (like the Greenpeace report did). So you ignore the results they come to and assume there is some grand conspiracy to make us all highly radioactive. We can't just sit on our asses muttering "there's not enough data" when people are dying in thousands in coal mines alone, and this is definitely attributable to energy production, unlike future possible life shortening. Just like there is statistically proven lung cancer increase near coal fired power plants (which isn't easily curable, again, unlike thyroid cancer). There have been hundreds of trials related to X-Ray, CT, radiation exposure to mouse, people living in very high background radiation areas, etc. and they agree that the LNT approximation is wrong, so any study using it as approximation will be wrong, we don't know by how much, but the WHO report (just like most of data from those trials) would suggest very.

      How is questioning a source that we only get a mere 13% from today "wanting to live without energy.

      Because fossil and hydro don't kill people? There are only 3 sources of energy that we know that work: fossil, nuclear and hydro. All three kill people. But you somehow can't wrap your head around that idea! We've got better data to support that nuclear is killing less people than the other two than to support AGW. Yet the politicians wave the "Anthropogenic Global Warming" flag, because there's no "radiation" in it, so the general population doesn't throw rationality out of the window and don't yell "conspiracy!".

      As for sustainability of nuclear: There's a difference between "I will have to deal with the problem" and "My children's children certainly won't need to deal with the problem" (where the problem is energy shortage): it's very likely we may not harness fusion to the end of century (especially wide adoption is highly unlikely), it's very unlikely we won't harness fusion and won't use it commercially in 4 or 5 centuries (solving the problem for foreseeable future). We need technology that will bridge the gap.

      Oh, and Greenpeace doesn't like fossil because it's "causing Global Warming", not because it's killing people working in mines or living near power plants.

    39. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      Right, because WHO is comprised of nuclear physicists, oh wait, it's World Health Organization, not Radiation, it's an agency of UN, not IAEA! The ExtenE report also had a professor of Occupational Medicine on the panel.

      It seems that you are also ignorant about the WHO's arrangement with the IAEA. The WHO is unable to publish anything on radiation impacts that the IAEA does not agree with. Health impacts from radiation are the only kind of health matter that the WHO must get outside approval from an outside body before publication. The IAEA is mandated to increase nuclear power use. How is that for bias?

      So you ignore the results they come to and assume there is some grand conspiracy to make us all highly radioactive.

      When faced with conflicting results from two separate groups of credible professionals, the only reasonable conclusion is that the issue is still controversal and neither results can be accepted. You are the one ignoring results of the conflicting data so that you can peddle your beliefs as facts.

      We can't just sit on our asses muttering "there's not enough data" when people are dying in thousands in coal mines alone, and this is definitely attributable to energy production, unlike future possible life shortening.

      Really? Do I have to waste time trying to convince you that all deaths are life shortening, and closing down coal mines would be an attempt to decrease future possible life shortenings from coal mining? Perhaps this is how your mind attempts to cope with your cognitive dissonance?

      Just like there is statistically proven lung cancer increase near coal fired power plants (which isn't easily curable, again, unlike thyroid cancer).

      Nuclear fallout causes various forms of illness, not just thyroid cancer. In fact, it also causes lung cancer . . .

      There have been hundreds of trials related to X-Ray, CT, radiation exposure to mouse, people living in very high background radiation areas, etc. and they agree that the LNT approximation is wrong, so any study using it as approximation will be wrong, we don't know by how much, but the WHO report (just like most of data from those trials) would suggest very.

      Again, external exposure is immaterial to this discussion . . .

      Because fossil and hydro don't kill people? There are only 3 sources of energy that we know that work: fossil, nuclear and hydro. All three kill people. But you somehow can't wrap your head around that idea! We've got better data to support that nuclear is killing less people than the other two than to support AGW. Yet the politicians wave the "Anthropogenic Global Warming" flag, because there's no "radiation" in it, so the general population doesn't throw rationality out of the window and don't yell "conspiracy!".

      I am starting to get a picture of your warped view of the world. Rather than claim the rest of the world is stupid, I think a much more reasonable answer to why nuclear is only at 13% now is simple economics. Building nuclear reactors requires a large amount of capital, an extensive period of construction time, and government insurance. During the last 50 years, only certain governments had the resources and the agenda (nuclear weapons) to make the investment. These days nuclear weapons are not such a high agenda item for the most developed countries. Additionally, globalization has made the world much more sensitive to all risks. In the current financial climate, investors have little appetite for 2 year lon

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    40. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      How is that for bias?

      So how will you discredit the TORCH report ( http://www.chernobylreport.org/torch.pdf ) commissioned by the German Green party? Are they too paid by or limited by IAEA? Or perhaps they are proponents of nuclear power? They estimate the total death-toll from cancer to between 30000 and 60000. What's more, they warn, that the results highly depend on risk factors used in calculations. So again, the increase in lethality isn't obvious and that means it's not significant.

      It still makes nuclear safer than mining coal, let alone burning it. And safer than hydro. Even if we assume that Fukushima will cause another 60000 deaths in next 40-80 years.

      Again, external exposure is immaterial to this discussion . .

      Because you can eliminate internal exposure when you're living in very high background radiation area and the radioactive materials are in water you're drinking, bathing in or air you're breathing... Those are areas that have higher radiation levels than the permanently evacuated areas in Ukraine. As we know, studies for internal exposure haven't been conducted, at all: http://iopscience.iop.org/0952-4746/24/4A/008 . Oops, there have been, multiple ones. But those results don't agree with your world view so you just ignore them.

      Building nuclear reactors requires a large amount of capital, an extensive period of construction time, and government insurance.

      First and foremost it requires convincing general population that the build is necessary, unlike fossil fuel plants which you can "just build" and poison neighbouring areas for next 40 or 60 years. Could you explain to me, why on earth French have the cheapest electricity in Europe if its so economically infeasible?

      How many generations will have to deal with nuclear waste

      Because breeder reactors are impossible to build and you can't enrich "used" fuel once more... If you want the answer why France is sending its nuclear waste to Germany and Russia: it's because Greenpeace protests made their only breeder reactor uneconomical! USA shot themselves in the foot with law that makes it illegal.
      You may want to read something more about radioactivity: the longer something is radioactive (its half-life is longer) the less its radioactive (it's more stable). The "waste" is buried because of political (nuclear non proliferation) and public relations reasons not because its actually needed or because its re-use is economically infeasible. You can separate highly-radioactive isotopes from not highly radioactive ones, you recycle non-highly radioactive to regular fuel. The highly radioactive stuff will decay to stable isotopes in few decades, not centuries. Not to mention that we have reactors that can burn anything radioactive, not necessarily Uranium or Plutionum. Even if this would make the fuel 100 times more expensive, the electricity produced with it would be only few percent more expensive. In the end my children's children won't have more problem to worry about than I do.
      All because of Soviet propaganda and now Greenpeace scaremongering. "It's invisible so it's lethal", just like cellphones. Or will you tell me that there aren't people that are scared of radio waves or that claim that they are sensitive to them? Or that there's another conspiracy of cellphone makers to hide those results and they are in fact causing millions of deaths around the world?

      Priceless . . . so you are a pro-nuke and global warming denier . . . That fits well with your low knowledge to conviction ratio. Are you sure you are not also a creationist?

      And you believe in power from unicorns and rainbows. Just like I don't deny that nuclear power kills people, I don't deny that global warming is happening. I say we don't have enough data (where did I saw tha

    41. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Idou · · Score: 1

      So how will you discredit the TORCH report ( http://www.chernobylreport.org/torch.pdf [chernobylreport.org] ) commissioned by the German Green party? Are they too paid by or limited by IAEA? Or perhaps they are proponents of nuclear power? They estimate the total death-toll from cancer to between 30000 and 60000. What's more, they warn, that the results highly depend on risk factors used in calculations. So again, the increase in lethality isn't obvious and that means it's not significant.

      How does posting multiple reports, all coming to very different conclusions, support your claim that enough conclusive data exists to conclude nuclear is the safest energy source? I have seen estimates range from 50 to 1 million for deaths from Chernobyl. What amazes me is that you (who have shown ignorance on some key aspects of this issue) are able to arbitrally pick one of those numbers and then, with great conviction, march forward with your own claims and calculations based on your arbitrally picked number. That takes faith, not scientific scrutiny.

      Because you can eliminate internal exposure when you're living in very high background radiation area and the radioactive materials are in water you're drinking, bathing in or air you're breathing... Those are areas that have higher radiation levels than the permanently evacuated areas in Ukraine. As we know, studies for internal exposure haven't been conducted, at all: http://iopscience.iop.org/0952-4746/24/4A/008 [iop.org] . Oops, there have been, multiple ones. But those results don't agree with your world view so you just ignore them.

      Alright, that does not even make sense . . . You mean to imply that background radiation can also lead to internal exposure, correct? The problem whith that approach is that once you get into internal exposure, you are facing a biological problem space which includes things like biological concentration and biological half-life. Those vary based on the type of element you are dealing with. Most of background radiation is caused by Radon gas. Radon is a noble gas, which means no biological concentration and an extremely small biological half-life. It requires a lot higher concentrations of Radon contamination to cause harm compared to things like Cessium, Plutonium, or Strontium. Consequently, it is completely inappropriate to consider Radon internal exposure as a proxy for internal exposure for a nuclear meltdown.
      Furthermore, your link appears to be concerned with the exposure of wildlife to ionizing radiation, not the contamination by radioactive particles of the food supply and subsequent consumption by humans. It has absolutely nothing to do with internal exposure through contamination of the environment from fallout.

      First and foremost it requires convincing general population that the build is necessary, unlike fossil fuel plants which you can "just build" and poison neighbouring areas for next 40 or 60 years.

      First of all, I think your fossil fuel bundling is inappropriate. How is natural gas poisoning the environment, especially when you do no think people are contributing to global warming?
      Second, the potential damage a single nuclear plant could do to an area is off the scale compared to the potential damage of a single non-nuclear plant. To cover those risks, you need insurance. No insurance company can cover the risks of a nuclear plant, so you need government backing. In democracies, the government requires public consensus. Perhaps you are also against democracy?

      Could you explain to me, why on earth French have the cheapest electricity in Europe if its so economically infeasible?

      Because the French government "subsidizes" the insurance costs of the nuclear plants? This "subsidy" results in the public being completely exposed to the risks of an accident.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    42. Re:Sure, just like rare earths by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      who have shown ignorance on some key aspects of this issue

      So now you're going to put words in my mouth? You can win discussion only by discrediting other people and not addressing their arguments? Where was this ignorance of mine shown? By claiming that the Sievert unit takes type of exposure into account making comparisons between internal and external dose valid? Are you serious?!

      Explain to me one thing:
      The Banquiao dam failure killed an estimated 171000 people. 11 000 000 people lost their homes. Will you claim that the people that lost their homes haven't had their lives shortened? That living in moulded homes isn't unhealthy? That diseases spread by flood didn't kill anybody? Even if only 1% (highly unlikely) of those people have their lives shortened it's still 100000 people. Why there are no studies about flood victims published, no matter the country? Because they don't exist or maybe because there was no "radiation" involved?

      That's how the millions or hundreds of thousands of dead are calculated in those reports on Chernobyl: by using worst case LNT model estimation (known to be highly unreliable at low exposures) and multiplying the population over the dose received or by attributing all changes in population to single cause (which will be laughed at by any statistician). Those are fundamental mistakes you can make in epidemiological studies and they completely invalidate your results.

      It requires a lot higher concentrations of Radon contamination to cause harm compared to things like Cessium, Plutonium, or Strontium.

      Interesting you mention that: Caesium, Plutonium and Strontium have long biological half-life and are used instead of Calcium in bones. Yet no study showed (even the Greenpeace one) increase in incidence rates of laukeamia in affected areas. Even though laukaemia has short gestation period of few years at best, few weeks at worst, and the catastrophe happened over 20 years ago.

      Great, why was all the used fuel at Fukushima sitting in pools next to the reactors?

      I already said that and I will say again: nuclear non proliferation. There aren't enough breeder reactors to reprocess all fuel.

      so you conclude that no actions to curb carbon emmision should be made

      Where did I claim that? I claim that Greenpeace is full of morons for thinking that CO2 is the biggest effect fossil industry has on people and environment, not mercury pollution, not mining, not general air pollution, but CO2. I want to stop fossil fuel usage because of those other effects. AGW has nothing to do with that, If it is really happening, it will be a positive side effect. And how on earth will usage of nuclear increase our CO2 emissions?

      You can blame politics all you want, but the industry has had over 50 years to get its act together and show the world they could be profitable, economical, and safer. They have failed.

      How have they failed?! It is safer (2 major accidents in ~50 years!!) and it is economical (France). Show me one study that claims that fossil or hydro is safer than nuclear! If it is so obvious why no scientist went and wrote such papers comparing them? Oh wait, there were at least two such papers, both concluded that nuclear is safer. But you just ignore them. Just because over 20 year old designs were shown to be unsafe in extreme conditions.

      People overestimate effects from single big events (like plane crashes) and underestimate common small events (like bicycle accidents, let alone car crashes). They overestimate effects of things they don't understand (like nuclear radiation and cellphones) and underestimate effects of things they think they understand (like coal burning). Claiming that population "feel" about any issue has anything to do with real numbers and real danger it poses is funny at best and dangerous at worst.

      You may know a lot about radioactiv

  11. The real reason why... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'm from Belgium and this has been discussed since 2003... why now? Knowing that Electrabel until recently was the owner of these 2 power, the following may explain why the decision has been taken to decommission them:

    From the Wikipedia page for Electrabel:

    For a long time a majority stake in Electrabel was held by the French company Suez. In 2005, Suez increased its stake to 96.7% and a squeeze-out of the remaining shareholders was completed on 10 July 2007, when the company was delisted from the stock exchange. Following Suez's 2008 merger with Gaz de France, Electrabel is now a subsidiary of GDF Suez.

    I won't speculate on the exact economic benefits it will bring to GDF, but lets be clear the decision wasn't made for climate or anti-nuclear reasons. This decision will certainly assure the energy monopoly of GDF in Belgium.

  12. !Tautology by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If it turns out we won't face shortages and prices would not skyrocket, we intend to stick to the nuclear exit law of 2003

    if (false && false) exit_nukes();

    1. Re:!Tautology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it's more like "if (!q && !p) exit_nukes();"...

    2. Re:!Tautology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it turns out we won't face shortages and prices would not skyrocket, we intend to stick to the nuclear exit law of 2003

      if (false && false) exit_nukes();

      More like

      if (lobbyistsSayItsSo() && otherLobbyistsSayItsSo()) exit_nukes();

  13. Hope they don't choose coal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Crunching the numbers, the health effects from a normally operating coal plant (+10% cancer rate within 20 km) is about the projected effect of Fukushima's fallout for inhabitants within 30 km. Long term effects of coal outside this range are also similar (same order of magnitude), regular functioning coal vs. major nuclear accident.
    Furthermore, the majority of the long term Fukushima radiation effect (Cs) has a half-life of two years, were much of the cancer effect from coal is permanent due to chemical ground water and soil contamination.

    1. Re:Hope they don't choose coal by Gaygirlie · · Score: 1

      Not to mention all the negative effects that come from mining coal, both to the environment AND to the miners inside. Whereas a nuclear plant consumes a lot less fuel and thus the secondary effects from mining for nuclear fuel are much less significant. Long- and short-term primary and secondary effects that are the result of coal plants are way worse than from nuclear plants, it just so happens that no media seems to mention that in a way that the general public would understand.

    2. Re:Hope they don't choose coal by ATMAvatar · · Score: 1

      The deaths and ill-health caused by coal plants is consistent and expected. The deaths and ill-health caused by a nuclear meltdown is unexpected. The unfortunate but inevitable human psychological reaction is to assume that (despite all the statistics proving otherwise) nuclear power plants are less safe. It's no different than our reaction to 9/11 versus heart disease, where we have spent hundreds of billions of dollars reacting to the former while the latter kills several orders of magnitude more people when both are amortized over the last decade.

      --
      "They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety."
    3. Re:Hope they don't choose coal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can understand you love nuclear power, but Cesium 137 has a half-life of 30 years and you're a moron.

  14. France will happily provide power from Givet by AceJohnny · · Score: 1

    France has a power plant near Givet, which is situated in a "peninsula" of French territory going into Belgium. That's going to be pretty convenient when Belgium needs to buy massive amounts of power from abroad (hint: Belgium is very poorly endowed for hydro/solar/geothermal energy)

    --
    Misleading titles? Inflammatory blurbs? Keep in mind that Slashdot is a tabloid.
    1. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Belgium's also broke monetarily and politically so I guess the Dutch and French are even closer to becoming just a little or a lot bigger.

    2. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by rbrander · · Score: 1

      You're half-way there. France already sells Italy a substantial fraction of Italy's power. Add in Germany and now Belgium, and one starts to see a nice national business for the French, exporting the results of decades of investment and mass-production of nuclear power plants and operators, and the whole fuel chain. It will keep getting cheaper by the unit, the more they do. France is undoubtedly the mainstay of the OECD analysis that nuclear is actually the most competitive investment, with the proviso you hold the initial construction costs down. But the move to green power, combined with these nations shutting down nuclear, gives France an opening to quickly bring down the costs of building "Generation III+" plants by building several one after another.

      At this rate, the whole French border will be dotted with new plants, powering Germany, Belgium, Italy, maybe Spain next.

      Reuters on the OECD report http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iH4t1XC8kr8

    3. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by arose · · Score: 1

      Does this "whole fuel chain" include trying to stash the waste in Germany? Plants on the boarders, spent fuel out of the boarders. Spread the nuclear love, why keep it in your backyard?

      --
      Analogies don't equal equalities, they are merely somewhat analogous.
    4. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by Zironic · · Score: 1

      I think a large reason that a lot of nuclear reactors end up on the border is because you have to build them next to running water, by coincidence running water is also the most practical place to draw a border after a peace agreement.

    5. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Most of French "used" fuel ends up in breeder reactors so they have few magnitude less "nuclear waste" than US.

    6. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Germany doesn't need to import power from France.

    7. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Germany currently produces 16% of their power by renewable energiy, already slightly more than nuclear power.

      Look at this graph: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/24/Stromerzeugung_erneuerbare_Energien1990-2007.png

      Since 2000, renewable energy production has tripled. I think it's safe to say that in 10 years, it can double, making nuclear power unnecessary. Nuclear power can't be a 100% safe, and in a small, densely-populated country like Germany, an event like Fukushima would be a dozen times worse than in Japan.

    8. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by arose · · Score: 1

      What's the stuff they ship to Germany then? Nuclear aid?

      --
      Analogies don't equal equalities, they are merely somewhat analogous.
    9. Re:France will happily provide power from Givet by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Kind of an interesting place to build a plant. In the unlikely event that anything go catastrophically wrong, it would render a lot more of Belgium's land uninhabitable than France. If I was Belgium, I wouldn't exactly be happy about something like that built almost in my territory that I have absolutely no control over.

  15. Just thinking... by Lanteran · · Score: 1

    I've been reading foundation recently, and it's spot on. Nuclear power plants breaking down because they're old and in disrepair? Train new technicians and build new plants? Unthinkable! Restrict nuclear power! Nuclear power is one of the only viable mid-term energy sources until we can get ourselves on to decentralized green energy, and even then it's incredibly useful for base load, non-intermittent power generation. We're now trying to get off of it for what exactly? Solar's not that viable in Europe as opposed to, say, California. Chemical energy only lasts so long, and everything else besides geothermal is pretty intermittent.

    --
    "People don't want to learn linux" hasn't been a valid excuse since '03.
    1. Re:Just thinking... by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      If we want to develop as a species, the energy usage will go up. There's no decentralized green energy that can sustain that. Short term: nuclear, long term: fusion.

    2. Re:Just thinking... by Lanteran · · Score: 1

      Right, base load nuclear supplemented by solar. I doubt that the actual amount of power needed to run a house will increase too much for that.

      --
      "People don't want to learn linux" hasn't been a valid excuse since '03.
  16. more global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    More fossil fuel electric plants putting more carbon dioxide into the air, not to mention radioactive polonium. What? You didn't know that burning fossil fuels puts more radioactive waste into the air than a nuclear power plant?

    Love those wild and crazy Europeans!!

  17. Re:slashdot analogy: by hedwards · · Score: 1

    I'm sorry, you're going to need to give us a troll car analogy.

  18. Japans experience by wolfheart111 · · Score: 1

    Belgium must have considered what happened to Japan during the quake. This alone is good enough reason to give up nukes.

    --
    [($)]
    1. Re:Japans experience by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, Japan was stupid for building their plant where they built it and how they built it. Additionally they did a terrible job taking care of the situation. I'm not saying anything bad about Japan as a whole because I consider it my home away from home, but don't believe everything the liberal media tells you about nukes. They are incredibly safe, it causes almost no harm to humans and the environment, and it's typically secure enough to ward off terrorist threats. It's not every day that you get hit by a bunch of massive earthquakes, a tsunami, and so on in just a few days but when it does happen modern-day nuke setups are ready for situations such as those with a theoretical good chance at succeeding.

    2. Re:Japans experience by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fact you said "liberal media" means I see you as brainwashed Faux News viewer. If you believe the that media is "liberal", you'll take anything on faith and believe what you are told. That means I can't really take anything you say seriously. Sorry...

    3. Re:Japans experience by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Count number of people that died in Fukushima because of radiation (tip: it's 0, and will be zero) and compare it to number of deaths because of coal fired power plant induced lung cancer (in the hundreds of thousands globally per year), mining accidents (in the thousands globally per year) or hydro dams related deaths (in tens of thousands per year).

      Fukushima showed that even mismanaged nuclear power plant during the biggest earth-quake on record in Japan is safer than any conventional power plant.

  19. Irony by tommy8 · · Score: 1

    The nuclear reactors might outlive the country of Belgium. Flanders might break away before 2015.

    1. Re:Irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In your face, Flanders! Uh, wait...

  20. Where Have We Come in 70 Years? by NicknamesAreStupid · · Score: 1

    It was seventy year ago that Roosevelt sign an executive order to begin nuclear development. Now, the two largest uses of fission energy are boiling water and fueling bombs that never explode (thank goodness). Is that progress?

    1. Re:Where Have We Come in 70 Years? by robot256 · · Score: 2

      I'll agree on the bombs part, but "boiling water" seems a mite simplified for "powering whatever the hell we want with electricity". Or were you expecting us to have proton beams and fusion factories by now? Just what else can you do with decaying plutonium?

    2. Re:Where Have We Come in 70 Years? by ErikZ · · Score: 1

      Yes.

      Man, these questions are easy! Ask another!

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  21. "Those BWR reactors..." by tlambert · · Score: 1

    Those BWR reactors were new and modern at the time they went online.

    At the time they went on line... by which you mean "approximately half a century ago, the first two of which went on line prior to the first moon landing, when Lyndon Johnson was president of the US". Right?

    We went from horse drawn carriages to landing on the moon in about the same amount of time the Fukishima BWR designs have been around; are you seriously claiming we haven't been able to design better reactors in that amount of time?

    -- Terry

  22. French nuke plants are good quality by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

    The French knows how to build good quality plants. They don't skimp on concrete and steel. Their plants very different from the junk that GE built in Japan.

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
  23. Slow and stupid. by fyngyrz · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's sad to watch whole countries shoot themselves in the foot over hysteria and foolishness. But those are the times we live in: where most countries have adopted a system where any two idiots can outvote an expert, whether those people are rank and file (straight democracy), or holding elected office (republics and so on.) And all this in environments where experts are actually rare.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Slow and stupid. by risom · · Score: 2

      I assume you are not from Europe? In the state in Germany where I live (Germany is a federation like the US), the percentage of renewable energy in the mix already is at 55%, and that happened without any coordinated strategy by the state. It is assumed that the percentage will rise to 65% in the next few years. Belgium is geographically quite similiar to Northern Germany, so I assume completly going renewable really is a viable option for them.

    2. Re:Slow and stupid. by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 1, Troll

      In the state in Germany where I live (Germany is a federation like the US), the percentage of renewable energy in the mix already is at 55%

      Please provide proof.

      Anyone can say anything.

      Please provide proof that an energy hungry country like Germany can obtain 55% of its total energy needs solely from renewable sources.

      Danke !

      --
      Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    3. Re:Slow and stupid. by Shoe+Puppet · · Score: 1

      It's about 10% currently. However, he said his state has a percentage of 55%, not Germany as a whole.

      --
      (+1, Disagree)
    4. Re:Slow and stupid. by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      According to Wikipedia it's only 17 per cent.

      That's probably higher on a windy day (heck, even here in Spain we can hit 40% on a windy day) but the leap from 17% to 100% is massive. A vast chasm. Maybe even impossible to achieve in practice.

      At some point you're going to have to burn fuel. If you stop using those cold war bomb manufacturing plants as energy sources then Nuclear is the best option.

      --
      No sig today...
    5. Re:Slow and stupid. by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      He said "In the state in Germany where I live", not the whole of Germany.

      --
      No sig today...
    6. Re:Slow and stupid. by risom · · Score: 2

      I didn't say anything about Germany as a whole, but only about one state in Germany. The 55% stems from print publication of an employer organisation. They state to have it online here: http://www.rostock.ihk24.de/share/flip/Oktober2011/index.html But it's flash, which I don't have installed here, so I can only guess. Look for the editorial, second page IIRC.

    7. Re:Slow and stupid. by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Iceland gets 50% of its energy from geothermal. It doesn't make the energy viable for everybody.

    8. Re:Slow and stupid. by risom · · Score: 1

      Of course not. But when you look at a map and compare Belgium with Northern Germany, the similarities will be pretty obvious.

    9. Re:Slow and stupid. by SharkLaser · · Score: 1

      where most countries have adopted a system where any two idiots can outvote an expert, whether those people are rank and file (straight democracy), or holding elected office (republics and so on.) And all this in environments where experts are actually rare.

      That's democracy for you. Most popular opinion wins.

    10. Re:Slow and stupid. by icebraining · · Score: 1

      17% is the whole Germany. GP said "In the state in Germany where I live".

      By the way,

      Renewable energy in Portugal was the source for 52% of the country's electricity generation in 2010 - an increase of 28% in 5 years.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renewable_energy_in_Portugal

    11. Re:Slow and stupid. by c0mpliant · · Score: 2

      Excuse me, but just because someone disagrees with you regarding the use of nuclear power, doesn't mean you can label them as reacting to "hysteria and foolishness". There are real, rational and coherrent concerns regarding nuclear power. If you disagree with that, then fine, but please don't simply label your opposition as hysterical or foolish.

      --
      There is no -1 disagree
    12. Re:Slow and stupid. by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      If the similarities are that obvious, how come you are ignoring the differences? Like the number of people living in Belgium.

      If Mecklenburg-Western Pommerania had the same population density as Belgium - 350 per km^2 instead of the 75 per km^2 it has, it would have a population of 8 mio people instead of 1.7 mio. And, given the same energy consumption per capita, the share would be down to less than 12%.

    13. Re:Slow and stupid. by risom · · Score: 1

      That is a reasonable argument. I would assume much of the energy needs come from industry consumption and not from the people themselves, though, but the proportions would likely be similar, as there is not much heavy industry in Mecklenburg-Western Pommerania either.
      Still, one has to take into account that the 55% in this region are not a result of guided action of any kind. One very often sees south-facing roofs without any photovoltaic modules, for example.

    14. Re:Slow and stupid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You guys gave up your national security in doing so. If Russia turns off the natural gas, German citizens will die from the cold by the thousands to hundreds of thousands.

      Ask yourself: Is giving up national freedom worth the cost of being chained to a nation that only a couple decades ago forced a very oppressive regime on half your nation? Is being free of nuke plants worth having a foreign country (who in the past was extremely hostile) in charge of domestic affairs?

    15. Re:Slow and stupid. by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it was a lot better when someone could just decree things be done because of their birth or hat size.

    16. Re:Slow and stupid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And when the alternative is coal and such... those reasons seem to become less rational and coherent.

    17. Re:Slow and stupid. by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      That is exactly what he was saying. If something could be worse, the current situation must be good!

      --
      Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
    18. Re:Slow and stupid. by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

      Aw, c'mon. "Hat size" was funny.

    19. Re:Slow and stupid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are real, rational and coherent concerns that in no way apply to all kinds of reactors, just to one single kind and its derivatives.
      The way the matters are being handled nowadays is an instance of illogical hysteria and foolishness, as it would be if one car model had a tendency for accidents and people stopped using all cars.

    20. Re:Slow and stupid. by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      If Russia turns off the natural gas, German citizens will die from the cold by the thousands to hundreds of thousands.

      Yes, exactly... or they will utilize blankets and jackets and those magical inventions called "socks" and "hats" and "gloves" and not die from the cold. But hey. Don't let the facts interfere with your hysteria.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    21. Re:Slow and stupid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, if they would have gotten their facts straight, they should be against fossil fuel, not nuclear. So it's irrational hysteria or foolishnes.

  24. I am Belgian... by spectrokid · · Score: 1

    and let me say this: This is the country which has run without federal government for over 500 days now. It is also the country which sold most of its electricity infrastructure to French companies and now wonders why they pay so much more for electricity than their neighbouring countries. The last elections were won by a right-wing party (NVA) which is kept out of the negotiations for the next government because they were too greedy. If this party can turn its votes into ministers before 2015, the whole process will be reversed. So don't hold your breath just yet.

    --

    10 ?"Hello World" life was simple then

  25. No really by ocean_soul · · Score: 1

    Notice the part If it turns out we won't face shortages and prices would not skyrocket [...]. Obviously it will turn out that way, so they will not do this.

  26. Buying power from neighboring countries... by orphiuchus · · Score: 1

    Its a good thing that all European countries get along so well with their neighbors, and that they always will.

    If history is any lesson, this should continue to work smoothly for hundreds of years!

  27. Seems logical by Hentes · · Score: 1

    If you have a plentiful source of cheap energy you should quit nuclear too. The condition is rational, whether it will be true by 2025 is another question.

  28. They won't by Krommenaas · · Score: 1

    I'm Belgian and I worked in the senate when the decision was made in 2003 to buy support for the government from the green parties. It was clear then to political insiders that the nuclear power plants would not close in 2015, and it is just as clear now. Notice the IFs in the statement. We will face shortages and prices will skyrocket if we close the nuclear power plants, so we won't. Why are they saying this then? Once again to buy support from the green parties, this time not for the government but for the state reform which they helped negotiate and still need to vote through.

  29. Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Aries-Belgium · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'm from Belgium and on my electric bill there is a list of energy sources from which my electricity is made of. Nuclear only has a 2% portion. Most of the energy comes from renewable energy. And that's even for the standard energy plan, and not the green energy plan, my provider is offering. Even the largest energy provider, Electrabel (which is in French hands: GDF Suez), only uses about 5% nuclear for their energy. Most people think of nuclear energy as being clean. And that's true as there is no emission of damaging gases or something. But what about the nuclear waste that has to be stored for a few thousands of years (although this is only a theoretical assumption). We can't keep shoving our problems into the ground and putting them off for later. It's time to start thinking of the future.

    1. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Tomato42 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear waste can be reprocessed to new fuel. Nuclear waste after processing is less radioactive than ashes from any coal fired power plant.

    2. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Alioth · · Score: 1

      Shoving our problems in a small concentrated spot in the ground (nuclear) where you know where they are and keep them from harm is a lot better than letting them spread out worldwide (CO2 from coal) where you can't stop it from adding to AGW.

    3. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      But you don't even do that - why would you bury such a useful resource?

      You reprocess it and use it again. The fact that it's strongly radioactive shows you how much energy is still in it! You can use it in a different reactor type, and work your way down until the final waste product is almost inert.

    4. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your arguments support getting rid of fossil fuels as well. Instead of shoving the waste into the ground, it gets thrown up in the air. At least nuclear power feels a responsibility towards its waste.

    5. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Enigma2175 · · Score: 1

      I'm from Belgium and on my electric bill there is a list of energy sources from which my electricity is made of. Nuclear only has a 2% portion.

      Perhaps for your particular region, but an anecdote is not data. This 2004 report shows that 55% of Belgian electricity is generated by nuclear, a later study shows close to the same. Just because your bill claims a 2% mix doesn't mean that is representative of the energy mix in your country.

      But what about the nuclear waste that has to be stored for a few thousands of years (although this is only a theoretical assumption).

      You really think nuclear physicists don't know how to calculate half lives of fission products? If they didn't, they certainly couldn't operate nuclear reactors. Since there are operating reactors in the world it appears that we are actually capable of performing such calculations.

      --

      Enigma

    6. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is so myopic, you can recycle waste as fuel until very little is left, only the US disallows it. A plant that does this can store 10 years of fuel in some ridiculously small space (I think someone said one drum, but I've not verified). You'd have more issues with radioactive spent equipment than waste.

    7. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That 2% applies only to the company you buy your electricity from. As a whole 54% of the electricity generated in Belgium comes from nuclear power plants.

    8. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      on my electric bill

      Yeah, wow. I can't speak to the fictions they print on your power bill, but most electricity used in Belgium is nuclear; 59.3%. Belgium is the 3rd most nuclear powered nation on Earth. Figures here.

    9. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the US, we prefer coal: where we keep shoving our problems into the air and putting them into our lungs for later.

    10. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Code+Yanker · · Score: 1

      ^mod parent up

    11. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most people think of nuclear energy as being clean. And that's true as there is no emission of damaging gases or something

      1/building a nuclear power plant takes a lot of energy and materials.
      2/uranium isn't exactly abundant, and mining it is very damaging to the environment.

    12. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by mr+exploiter · · Score: 1

      Yes so what, he didn't said he is advocating replacing nuclear with coal. So many straw man arguments in slashdot is sad.

    13. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The Kingdom of Belgium produces over half of its electricity through nuclear energy."

      source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_Belgium

      Nuclear is an important part of our energy production.

      That being said: there is no cheap way back to nuclear for Belgium. The real decision was made in the 1990s, when our nuclear fuel production facilities were closed down. Building a new nuclear power plant in 2015 would take the same effort as it did in the 1950s.

    14. Re:Only 2 to 5% nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The green thing to do is recycle spent nuclear fuel, not build stockpiles of it.

      The French have it correct by building breeder reactors. Breeder reactors generate more fuel than they consume.

  30. How can they by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

    Given they have a caretaker government?

  31. if not nuclear... by Dark+Lord+of+Ohio · · Score: 1

    if not nuclear power then what? I haven't heard about this guy from Italy that his cold fusion worked so we will be using resources like coal... which will dissapear probably by the beginning of the next century. Wind and solar power, OK, but not everywhere... so, please enlighten me what my grandkids will have to run their xboxes, dishwashers and ipads...

  32. belgian politics - and nuke exit? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You should not take this seriously - Belgium politics is a joke.
    Thanks to Germany and the dismanteling of 7 nukes - Belgium runs a large risk of falling without electricity when the first spikes arrive in November/December.

    There's no way they'll be able to replace the current nukes with extra capacity - those incapables had no planning at all - the only thing they could imagine is putting taxes on the extra profits on the written-off nukes in Belgium.

    When they signed in the purple and purple-green governements an agreement on closure of the nukes - they should have written into the law that anyone who voted for them should be turning off his electricity now because of their vote.

    It's the same as the greens driving 140 km/h in a small car - and when the journalist asks them why they run so fast - the only answer is phoeh.
    Or the green one that makes publicity for volvo...
    That was a green car isn't it?

    Belgium is a joke - and a nightmare for those living in this mess - but Greece is still worse.

    No planning no serious governement en real high energy prices + taxes !

    For what? For a show thats tons worse than the muppet-show?

  33. negotiations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm from belgium. Some extra needed intel:

    We currently still have no new government, about one and a half year after the elections. There are currently negotiations between 6-8 parties that may form the new government.
    During these negotiations this was discussed and approved, if the negotiations fail at some other point, which is still a good possibility as the tough topics about money are not yet discussed, this will all be thrown back into the bin.

    Furthermore Electrabel (the owner of the plants) doesn't quite like the idea of opening for a few months more. (That would require financial investments that only pay out in years)

  34. Freeze in the dark by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    You idiotic morons. Nuclear power is the safest way to generate power. Even with the human equation, it is still safer than coal, and cleaner. It seems that every 25 years or so, something comes along to screw it up. Three Mile island, then the movie China syndrome Chernobyl...even though the only people that use that type of plant are the stupid Russians. The Japanese problem, building a plant with backup power where they did. More people have been killed in coal mining accidents than with nuclear power. When I was a kid in the late 60's-70's, I was against nuclear power too, because I thought, nuclear power = bomb I was very fortunate that I had an 8th grade science teacher who took the time to explain that a nuclear power plant is nothing more than a hot water boiler, and the reaction is controlled and has multiple back ups. I lived within 10 miles of a nuke plant growing up, and it never had any issues. If the rules are followed, they are safe. You can't have it both ways. If you want to heat/cool your home, the power comes from somewhere. Wind/solar are pie in the sky solutions just to make people feel good.

    1. Re:Freeze in the dark by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You idiotic morons. Nuclear power is the safest way to generate power. Even with the human equation, it is still safer than coal, and cleaner. It seems that every 25 years or so, something comes along to screw it up. Three Mile island, then the movie China syndrome Chernobyl...even though the only people that use that type of plant are the stupid Russians. The Japanese problem, building a plant with backup power where they did. More people have been killed in coal mining accidents than with nuclear power. When I was a kid in the late 60's-70's, I was against nuclear power too, because I thought, nuclear power = bomb I was very fortunate that I had an 8th grade science teacher who took the time to explain that a nuclear power plant is nothing more than a hot water boiler, and the reaction is controlled and has multiple back ups. I lived within 10 miles of a nuke plant growing up, and it never had any issues. If the rules are followed, they are safe. You can't have it both ways. If you want to heat/cool your home, the power comes from somewhere. Wind/solar are pie in the sky solutions just to make people feel good.

      The preceding message was paid for by the astroturfing for the nuclear industry association and is endorsed by ignorant sheeple everywhere.

  35. Dumb Asses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Too much weed and meth.

  36. In the future this will be referred to as... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Belgian Waffle

  37. US Could be 55% "renewable" also by cdrguru · · Score: 1

    All it would take is to raise the price of electricity to $100 a KWh.

    I've been in Germany and there are two explanations for what you see there with solar panels: electric prices are really, really high or there are tremendous subsidies for solar panels, such large subsidies that it is basically free to install. Either of these techniques would probably work in the US, but really high prices would be far simpler in our current times. The government could add a $99.88 tax per KWh (considering much of the country is paying $0.12 a KWh now) and anyone with a spare $30,000 would have a big array of solar panels on their roof in a few months.

    Traveling through Germany you see homes and businesses with $100,000 or more (US prices) of solar installations all over. Not just a few places but quite widespread. What would push a small business (like a lumberyard or plumbing warehouse) to spend $100,000 on a solar installation? Well, I suppose it could be an extremely unreliable electric power system as well, but my guess is that it is either subsidy or insane pricing of electricity.

    We could push for that in the US. It would mean that electricity would become a luxury overnight and candle sales would skyrocket, but we could be 55% renewable in a short period of time easily. It is all a matter of priorities.

    1. Re:US Could be 55% "renewable" also by risom · · Score: 1

      Yes, the electricity costs my well play a role in adoption, but it is also the amount of electricity used per month that has to be considered. Example: We are on an eco plan (100% renewables) and pay EUR 0.26 per KWh, but on the other hand we only pay about 15 Euros per person per month for our household (and 2 servers). We most probably are below average, but the overall consumption per capita is not that high in Germany.
      I think what's more important than the subsidies (AFAIK currently about EUR 0.24 per KWh for PV systems, they lower the subsidies every year in correlation to the sunken costs of new PV systems) is the fact that they are combined with forcing the utilities to "buy" the generated energy. You save the battery array and the inverter, which together can amount to up to one third of the price of a PV system last I looked. And you lay the foundation for a decentralized smart grid.

      P.S. the subsidies you mentioned sounded interesting, so I looked for a moment for the German numbers. According to [1] total subsidies/governmental costs for nuclear power in Germany starting in 1950 until now were 165 billion Euros in total, which means about 2.7 billion Euros per year, plus about 95 billion for the future (there are still plants running and the old ones have to be deconstructed. [2] cites a similar amount for PV subsidies: 2.9 billion per year for 2009.

      [1] = http://www.wiwo.de/politik-weltwirtschaft/solarwirtschaft-gegen-kernkraft-421838/
      [2] = http://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/wirtschaftspolitik/16-prozent-ab-1-juli-kuerzung-der-solar-subventionen-steht-1937301.html

    2. Re:US Could be 55% "renewable" also by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      In U.S., it also depends on the location. In my state, you can opt to pay a higher price for your electricity, and provider will purchase the corresponding amount of kilowatt hours from generators that use renewable sources (mostly hydro) to feed into their grid - if you don't, IIRC it currently defaults to about 70% renewable, 7% nuclear, and the remainder is coal or gas - it's combined to buy energy at cheapest prices offered. I opted into it, and I end up paying about 15% more on my electricity bill than I would pay otherwise.

  38. Without binary, not much !Tautology by stomv · · Score: 1

    According to wikipedia, Belgium has 6000 MW of nuclear power, generating a hair over 50% of their electricity. It seems unlikely that they could replace 6000 MW with fossil fuels within a decade and still be sensitive to local issues, emissions and pollution, fuel transportation, and transmission needs. For renewables, 6000 MW is certainly theoretically possible within a decade, but again unlikely. Beligium has some number of dispatchable MW which aren't nuclear. It's *conceptually possible* [I don't have easy access to the numbers] that the existing (dispatchable) fossil fuel plants aren't all running at night, and that they could make up some of the night time slack caused by reducing nuclear. The daytime could be made up with photovoltaics. It might require some more natural gas to handle cloudy days with higher demand [hotter? colder? darker due to being near daylight savings? dunno], although Belgium does have a fairly large natural gas capacity.

    My point: Belgium may well end up reducing but not eliminating their nuclear power generation. They could easily make a big push on photovoltaics, taking public policy lessons from Germany [and borrowing their business practices, now that Germany is ramping down]. Belgium could also build a few SC or CC natural gas plants to help bridge the gap. Keep in mind that about 860 MW of Belgium's nuclear power is nearly 40 years old, and that although nuclear fuel is very cheap, the plants will need capital additions and face higher O&M costs, and fuel disposal is not cheap. If you start adding those costs in, it may be the case that the additional renewables and natural gas production [at existing facilities or building a new one] may not come at a substantially higher price than the full cost of keeping Belgium's first generation nuclear power stations operational and safe.

    Personally, I wish Belgium was focused on replacing the roughly 9% of electricity generated from coal with renewables first, but it's their choice, not mine.

  39. Conditional Agreement by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    I agree to pay you a million dollars if gravity is suddenly turned off. I am pretty sure its not going to happen, and if it does I don't think I will care anymore.

    This is just political speak for the stupid.

    The stupid go "Ook Ook, Nuke Bad! Leader shut down. Leader Good ook ook!"

    What this really means is the politician will say he will shut them down, but when he doesn't because he cannot due to need, he will just point to his previous remarks and say that is what I said originally.

    That said I am sure France would love your money and your sovereignty.

  40. The thing about nukes by vandamme · · Score: 1

    ...is they take a huge amount of time to build and they're owned by power companies far away from your house. Whereas you could put up solar panels on your house in a couple days and generate your own power for 20 years, without the transmission cost. With such a large demand, people are coming up with cheaper panels and soon the installs will even accelerate. Installation costs are now a big chunk of the cost.