Identifying Nuclear Scientists Willing To Sell Their Knowledge
Harperdog writes "This is an interesting piece on U.S. programs most people don't know about: programs to identify and win over nuclear scientists who might be willing to sell their know-how to non-nuclear countries. Fascinating discussion, and points to the alleged Russian scientist who is reported to have sold information to Iran. How could he have been stopped?"
Someone please explain: why should he have been stopped?
Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
It's being shown time and again that strong countries do not get attacked. All countries need to understand that it is really in their best interest to get nuclear weapons fast. Libya made a huge mistake for example, so did Iraq. I think at some point Iran will have their weapon - good for them.
Good for them. They should get as many as they can possibly put their hands on. You get fucked in the ass if you can't fight back, that's what we really know today, everything else is bullshit.
Once they've sold their knowledge, they can be identified, sometimes.
Keeping the knowledge from spreading isn't possible - eventually it will become commonplace. The challenge is making the raw materials and weapons grade nuclear material out of the hands of those who would misuse it.
A similar problem exists with bioweapons - eventually the knowledge to make them will become commonly available. The differences there are that raw materials for bioweapons are far easier to obtain, the equipment needed is far less expensive than for nukes, and the potential damage of bioweapons is far worse.
By giving him job with salary better that one of Nigerian garbage collector in Abuja.
I"programs to identify and win over nuclear scientists who might be willing to sell their know-how to non-nuclear countries."
You mean there's an app for that? Oh boy, I'm going to install that right now.
No left turn unstoned.
...doesn't kill people, people kill people.
Lack of knowledge isn't what prevents most countries from building a nuclear bomb, lack of uranium and plutonium is.
I would bet 100% of nuclear scientists are willing to sell their secrets. So the identification is the easy part.
The only question is: at what price? One will spill for a drink at the hotel bar, the other only when offered critical medical services for his sick child.
There was nothing close to believable evidence for most of the "damning" allegations in the report, no sufficient information to justify taking them seriously even while reading the 20 odd pages. Most of the report was based on stuff that was shown by "one member state", and it happens to be the same member state that manufactured "evidence" for the war against Iraq. Excuse me if I delegate it to the trashcan without more extraordinary and unambiguous evidence than a table in yellow, orange and red.
From the rest of the report it was only evident that a) Iran has not succeeded in buying weapons tech or plans, b) Iran does not even have the fundamental science to develop weapons and c) all their efforts invariably end up in a brick wall.
Finally, while I keep hearing these scary stories about everyone and their dog develop nuclear weapon based on Russian know-how, it is, as a Russian combinator would say, a medical fact that ALL non-NPT nuclear programs except the Chinese are based either on US or NATO expertise.
Will we get a break from these scary, but largely baseless stories?
Really? The question on everyone's mind is how to stop a scientist from sharing his knowledge? You could as well ask how to stop a banker from profiting, or a politician from lying...
Why should anyone be stopped from pursuing a living? It is a Right we cherish here in the US.
If I have knowledge that is valuable on the market, why should I not be allowed to use that knowledge to earn a living?
Sure, we don't want IRAN to have nuclear facilities, but do we really have the Right to prevent them from it? No, we don't.
With a bullet to the head.
Gotta love how the real world is a lot different from TV..
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Directive
Instead of letting this culture/nation, Iran, Naturally develop their science to a high level, nuclear weapons, allowing them to flourish much as the USA has..
the US and the big guys on the anti nuke front are actively SQUELCHING the scientific advancement of Iran .. Pushing them further into the past because USA et al wont alllow them to develop naturally (or however iran develops..russian scientists or not)
I personally find it reprehensible that a nation would fight so hard to stifle the scientific understanding and development of a nation/culture/anyone.
The Reverse Prime Directive!! Don't let them get Warp technology! ITS DANGEROUS!
Sure, they will "win them over" with a Predator drone.
Give up your nuke program in exchange for normalized relations. Didn't work out so well for Gaddafi.
By giving his name to Mossad.
If he was employed, he wouldn't have been tempted to sell the information.
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what about u.s., which invades countries to steal their oil and gold and then set up sharia ?
Read radical news here
Did the identify the CIA as being a source of nuclear proliferation to Iran?
Just as the US (and British) bullied the Japanese in the 1920s and '30s, limiting the number of battleships they could have, bullying the Iranians about nukes will simply push them into the aircraft carrier equivalent for the 21st Century.
Ultimately, we can probably beat them in a war, or, at least, turn the livable parts of Iran into radioactive glass, but can we really block every single every avenue of damage to the US without turning the whole nation into even more of a gulag, with the attendant impact on innovation and productivity?
I teach on a Nuclear Reactor physics masters course. We teach students from all over the world - I've had Saudi and Iranian students in the past. Everyone who graduates our course could have a decent stab at building a bomb. Why is this myth that the physics of constructing a nuclear weapon is a well kept secret? You could teach yourself, easily, from publicly available materials.
The countries that the US and allies want to prevent from acquiring weapons are only held back by the lack of availability of the fissile materials. The physics is well known and the engineering is fairly straightforward.
They contain nuclear knowledge!
I must say I am relieved because until now I thought they (Iran) had done everything from scratch.
I can't even imagine what freak/nuclear accidents his knowledge prevented.
with all 18 half/lives and there is no keeping that secret safe anymore...
the government spooks trying to play "whack a mole" with scientists from all over the world is a losing game, too bad its only a matter of time before the big one goes off, it is not "IF" but "WHEN" since that info is already out there.
Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
Instead of getting paid little to work, I could be getting paid a lot to *not* work. D'oh!!!
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
This fact is often forgotten. But the estimates at the time were running at ~2 million soldiers and ~10 million civilians dead in case of conventional invasion of Japan. And of course, Russians would probably have been there in time to "help" with invasion and occupation and raping and pillaging and they would have turned the occupied areas into puppet communist regimes as in europe.
So nuclear bombs were bad, but not nearly as bad as conventional war would have been. OTOH there are people claiming peace could have been achieved at that point without conventional or nuclear war (by granting the emperor immunity), but given that even after nuclear bombs there nearly was a coup to continue the war, this is doubtful.
--Coder
> How could he have been stopped?
A well-placed shot from a Barrett 0.50.
Other posters have asked:
> Why should he have been stopped?
Iran is the bully on the block who lacks the technical expertise to do much of anything right. This includes oil refinery (none), centrifuges (slow), monkeys into space (sorry all dead), etc. They are also the saber-rattlers of the neighborhood. Not Syria, Lebanon, or even the militant Hamas rattle sabers like Iran. They are the LAST country that should have nuclear weapons, and THAT is why the nuclear scientist should have been stopped.
Other poster: ...north Korea...
>
North Korea is cute. They aren't trying to recreate "the great Persian Empire" at the expense of every country around them. Yes, they have nukes. (They didn't use a rogue scientist for this). Yes, they have delivery mechanisms. But ultimately they're not trying to conquer the countries (read "vast swaths of ocean") around them.
Other: ...Why should only the US and its friends get to be in the nuclear club...
>
Evolution. The end result -- to quote Larry Niven -- "Think of it as evolution in action."
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The bombs were not dropped to save civilian lives. That's just an explanation invented later.
The civilian lives are of no value, when big countries are drawing global borders for areas under their own influence. Just as in the war in Irak; the hundred thousand iraki-civilians casualties are never mentioned by american news agencies.
I am a Nuclear Scientist and I am Willing to Sell Everything I know. I am also a Prince of Nigeria. For only 100,000 dollars I can sell you what you want to know about radioactive materials and such!
I usually prefer mentioning the fact that we haven't needed, not to say we haven't, to make more Purple Heart medals since WW2.
when the Pakistani guy was selling the technology he stole from the Netherlands left, right and center?
According to a BBC documentary I saw a few years back there were at least 4 cases where the CIA asked to "deal with him" and was forbidden because at the time the US wanted to empower Pakistan against India which has become “dangerously socialist”.
So, under the approving eye of the west the dear doctor did sales pitches in Libya, Iran, Iraq, Syria and god knows where else. For more than a decade. Well done!
To summarize:
1. The nuclear powers have no moral right to deny development of nuclear weapons to any nation, especially since the most prominent member of the club is the only one that actually used them against civilians.
2. Fight the “red menace” by funding and training religious fanatics, allow them to build the bomb and then come back to squash them later. Win-win!
3. Lie your pants off in case they did not actually manage to build the bomb.
4. Invade
5. Profit
How could he have been stopped?"
"I have yet to meet man who can outsmart bullet." -- Heavy Weapons Guy, TF2
I have a complete device ready to go. I know it looks like I took parts from a pinball machine, but it works. Honest.
I'm a firm believer that the US should provide any country with nuclear ambitions with a number of nuclear devices - preferably delivered by MIRV in less than 20 minutes. I can guarantee that would cut down on the number of countries that the US would have to classify as ROGUE STATES, as well as cool the ambition of many countries. Then anyone who's trained or lived in those countries could be tracked with the simplest of radiation detectors. Seems to me it solves a lot of problems, quickly, easily, and relatively cheaply.
I find it difficult to receive nuclear know-how from other countries because I could take advantage of it and develop weapons.
Actually, if i tried to develop weapons on my own, i could, it would be perfectly legal and my right to do so, but it would take me decades to get there.
Therefore I sign the NPT, promise not to develop weapons, then you give me nuclear know-how in exchange.
I take your know-how, develop weapons, and when caught - tell you to go shove my signature up your rear.
And everybody's happy.
Interesting trivia: Out of the NPT violators, all but one (NK) are Muslim states.
The matter of putting the knowledge of building an atomic bomb ando actually producing an atomic bomb is a wholly different matter. The facilities to make one are enormous. Before Neils Bohr was aware of the Manhattan Project he stated the opinion that ( I am paraphrasing) making an atomic was theoretically possible but to make one you would have to make a factory the size of an entire nation. When he later became a member of the Manhattan Project he toured the facilities and then stated (again I am paraphrasing)... I said that making an atomic bomb would require a factory the size of an entire nation and that is exactly what you have done! (He was probably talking about a nation the size of Denmark, his home.)
Granted, the knowledge of how to build an atomic bomb is easy to master. In fact, it is easier to prematurely detonate a "Little Boy" type bomb than to actually deliver one to a target and THEN have it go off. An implosion type bomb ("Fat Man") is much safer as far as premature detonation. There still is the high explosive component of such a bomb which can go off prematurely. The chances that the resulting conventional explosion will cause a nuclear explosion is quite small. The explosion would be like a "dirty bomb" going off.
PS. If you are interested in the history behind the Manhattan Project, I highly recommend reading "The Making of the Atomic Bomb" by Richard Rhodes. It is easy reading and I understand that it is fairly accurate.
The Danilenko case goes like this:
- russian nuke scientist teaches Iranians to make nukes
- okay, an ex nuke scientist then. Because he's been working on nanodiamonds for 20 years. But he really went there to work on bombs/
- okay, he also worked on nanodiamonds In Iran but that is just a cover.
- well, he's not really a nuke scientist, but he worked at the nanodiamond department at an institute that also had a department working on nukes.
So really the main problem is "how do we manage to sell the Iraq story again"
reference(one of many)http://original.antiwar.com/porter/2011/11/09/iaeas-soviet-nuclear-scientist-never-worked-on-weapons/
If you want to build a bomb you need to know how to construct it, explosives timing etc. that's complicated stuff. Otherwise you get a very low yield like NK did.
The big issue about mechanical devices (or just about any product) is not their theoretical feasibility. It is making them work, and reliably.
Furthermore, a bomb the size of a container doesn't mean much. There's lots of knowledge in building a compact warhead that can be put atop a missile.
I have a PhD in physics, and my field (back when I was doing research) was experimental low-energy nuclear physics (not specifically nuclear engineering, etc.). There is no secret about how, e.g., neutron-induced fission works, what the cross-sections are, or what is critical mass for a given enrichment. When I saw the title, "Identifying Nuclear Scientists Willing To Sell Their Knowledge," I thought, sure that's me. I'm willing to sell my nuclear knowledge. In fact, I do sell my nuclear knowledge. I teach physics at a college. That's what the taxpayers pay me to do. Is there some reason why I would not want to do my job properly in some very large subfield of physics such as nuclear physics? Of course not. It happens to be my specialty, so I'll probably do a better job teaching it than any other topic.
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Totally spot on. Why do people believe their government's assertions just because a few POLITICIANS on "opposing" sides repeat some of the same talking points?
How about we use some science to make policy for a change? What does Game Theory say about how we deal with Iran? http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/bruce_bueno_de_mesquita_predicts_iran_s_future.html
Of course, the best answers are not important and neither is science because its lawyers thinking not scientists; the truth is not relevant. The whole mode of thought is to have a political policy (likely set by somebody else) and defend it like a guilty murderer. Win or lose you still profit. Later, you are payed privately to represent some corp (arguably they do that while in office already.)
Democracy Now! - uncensored, anti-establishment news
Of all the accumulated slashdot knowledge herein, but of the ones I did read, why has no one pointed out that most countries, especially us fun-loving, bomb-slinging Americans, tend to view the selling of nuclear trade secrets as treason? Even in the private sector, the contracts for weaponry are given by the government, and you are bound by the same secrecy as if you were working in Los Alamos. It's that small thing called spying.
Baseless self confidence kills more people each year than bathtubs.
But the estimates at the time were running at ~2 million soldiers and ~10 million civilians dead in case of conventional invasion of Japan. And of course, Russians would probably have been there in time to "help" with invasion
Okay, but demonstrating nuclear weapons would have probably forced surrender anyway, and if it hadn't they could then have moved on to attacking military targets. They didn't, the first thing they did was nuke two cities full of civilians. They didn't even wait long enough between the attacks to contact the Japanese government and try to negotiate a surrender.
I'm not sure what your point is here, conventional warfare is irrelevant in this debate. The only possible conclusion is that they had two bombs they wanted to test on civilians, and the lives of a million or two Japanese people were considered a price worth paying to gather data that would protect Americans.
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SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
Really, why should he have been stopped? Iran is a sovereign nation, and of they want to develop nuclear then so be it.
Could you imagine the Russians telling us we aren't allowed to developed anything nuclear? Or the Canadians? What argument could we have given then that Iran couldn't use now?
It would be better to help them develop a nuclear program. That way you have close ties with the country. Alienating them won't help.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
That's the question? The answer is that you couldn't have stopped him. Information wants to be free. Especially when you have someone willing to pay for it. And I don't think you want to go to a world where anyone with sensitive knowledge is better off dead once they leave the employ of those who provided them with that knowledge - because that's the only way to stop it - bribery (which turns out to be ever-increasing in costs) or death.
That is all.
Pah! Typical statement from a member of the 1% who fears the equalizing power that guns give to those who can't jet around the world training to be a superhero, or drive a personal battle tank.
"It's times like this I'm so thankful Batman doesn't use a gun!" -- The Joker, escaping from Arkham for the 100th time.
Iranians are Persian, not Arab.
Maybe try with money? It works for most other people.
So I heard they shutdown the nuclear industry over there. So are you in the market?
Is this related to the killings of Iranian physicists?
If this information comes from the same sources that claimed that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, it should be considered just another lie from the US government to start a new invasion.
Very simple. Do NOT have secrets. If everything is open, then no one can surprise you buy selling secrets.
I'm going to get very hippy here, but how about we trying being nice to people in other countries, instead of telling them what to do, what to buy, and what corporations to let fuck you in the ass.
How about we go in and build up infrastructures, ie water, electricy, housing, instead of killing people?
Being dicks, only makes everyone not like you.
How about we share, instead of hoarding, and give away instead of charging everyone for everything?
ROFL, like that will happen.
oh, ya, and people selling secrets, that won't stop ever either, not if you keep on being the same dicks, i mean, treating everyone like they are lucky to have us.
Be seeing you...
If any state out there wants to pay top dollar for a nuclear scientist who'll tell them all about s process nucleosynthesis while asking no questions about what the knowledge will be used for, for a 10% finder's fee I may be able to put you in touch with someone.
Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
This fact is often forgotten. But the estimates at the time were running at ~2 million soldiers and ~10 million civilians dead in case of conventional invasion of Japan. And of course, Russians would probably have been there in time to "help" with invasion and occupation and raping and pillaging and they would have turned the occupied areas into puppet communist regimes as in europe. --Coder
And China would be a communist state today.
In 1945, the Russians were reluctant to fight Japan, even though the Japanese were in retreat across Asia. Russia would have done to the Allies in Asia what the Allies did to Russia in Europe, let the Allies fight the hard battles. Stalin didn't want to invade Manchuria, but did so only because they US and Britain forced his hand, he had no interest in occupying China, Japan or Asia militarily.
Another thing is, the Empire of Japan was seeking a means to surrender as early as late 1944. They sent emissaries to negotiate with the United States. Their mistake was to send their emissaries through the Soviet union, so of course no word of these attempts to sue for peace ever reached the US or Allies until after WWII ended. It's important to remember the Soviets were not necessarily our allies, but the enemies of our enemies.
I dont disagree with the US's decision in hind sight, they had no idea of the things we know today and someone had to be first to use a nuclear weapon (the Nazis were working on them as well, an SAS/Norwegian resistance operation against a heavy water plant in Norway was the biggest step towards halting the Nazi nuke program). I'm simply glad that no-one has used them again.
Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
The downside of bubbles bursting is expertise 'offshored' by the unemployed or underpaid experts. AKA - Brain Drain. 1. Destroy and prosecute the Fed, 2. Issue the New Treasury Dollar, 3. Implement social credit's national dividend, 4. So the system can correct itself - thus 5. There is no desperate need to prostitute offshore. Exposé
Considering that the only condition of surrender was that Japan keep their Emperor and that was rejected, but after their unconditional surrender the petition was granted indicating that that was a irrelevant point for Allied powers, then, it is clear that the atomic bombs have been used only like experiments and not as a mean of reduce casualties in either side.
Mexico: 100% conservative's America now!
Seems like the current method is an attack on motorcycles in the streets of Tehran. Very effective, and nobody ever gets caught...