Slashdot Mirror


Russian Official Implies Foul Play In Mars Probe Failure

Back in November, Russia launched the Phobos-Grunt probe on a mission to return a soil sample from Mars' largest moon. Sadly, the probe malfunctioned, and never left orbit. It's due to crash into the Indian Ocean this weekend. An anonymous reader points out some interesting comments from a Russian official, Vladimir Popovkin, who obliquely suggested that interference from other countries was a possible cause of the failure. Quoting: "Mr. Popovkin’s remarks to the newspaper Izvestia were the first high-level suggestion of nefarious interference. A retired commander of Russia’s missile warning system had speculated in November that strong radar signals from installations in Alaska might have damaged the spacecraft. 'We don’t want to accuse anybody, but there are very powerful devices that can influence spacecraft now,' Mr. Popovkin said in the interview. 'The possibility they were used cannot be ruled out.' ... Mr. Popovkin did not directly implicate the United States in the interview. But he said 'the frequent failure of our space launches, which occur at a time when they are flying over the part of Earth not visible from Russia, where we do not see the spacecraft and do not receive telemetric information, are not clear to us,' an apparent reference to the Americas."

42 of 451 comments (clear)

  1. Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Funny

    You want to fuck with us, fine. Build your own rocket, yankees.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Dexter+Herbivore · · Score: 4, Informative

      And 6% of the American poulation too.

    2. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Basically the guy is blaming HAARP (it happened over Alaska when we couldn't see it).

      Right. Now, how did we manage to get the satellite to point it's solar panels away from the sun? It's just the standard post Vodka blame game. I don't think anyone is really worried about it.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 5, Funny

      Vladimir Putin (takes his shirt off and shakes fist at the sky): "DAMN YOU PALIN!!!"

    4. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Artraze · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > It's just the standard post Vodka blame game. I don't think anyone is really worried about it.

      The problem is, tossing blame like this is the first refuge of incompetent government. The next is constructing enemies, and then finally war. Redirect the rage of the people you ruined to someone else, and rather then remove you from power they will grant you even more.

      Given how Russia has been behaving recently this is very worrying. If they have to blame America because their probe is backwards, then what about when something bigger fails? How long before the people have a (renewed) hate of the USA?

      It's not a step to a new cold war, but it disconcertingly similar to the behavior we saw then.

    5. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Funny

      I wonder if he knows what he is getting into.

      HAARP is the pet villain of practically every flavor of fun conspiracy lore there is. Weather control? Check. Mind Rays? Check. Communications with the Greys? Check. Interfering with Orgone flows to ensure the success of the fluoridation conspiracy? Check. Guiding black helicopters back to their spawning grounds to mate and reproduce? Check.

      If he thinks that he can just waltz in and grab some time out of HAARP's very busy schedule to have it sabotaging his spacecraft, he has another thing coming. He'll have to fight for HAARP time with practically every conspiracy theorist out there...

    6. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by shoehornjob · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Think about this for a moment. What possible interest could the United States government have in a probe heading to Mars. We are not in a space race with Russia anymore. If anything we should be sabotaging China's space program. Then again if their space program is anything like their high speed rail program I think they can manage for themselves.

      --
      "We are just a war away from Amerikastan. When god vs god the undoing of man." Dave Mustaine
    7. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by jeffmeden · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Does the entire Iranian populace hate us? Do all the North Koreans hate us? Or is it just more convenient to believe that they do to make it easier when we start killing them...

      No, you had it right the first time. The regime in those nations know that they can earn much more loyal support through (construction of) a common enemy than they can through any amount of good deeds (except perhaps the deed of constructing a free and democratic society, but i digress.) They do indeed cultivate hatred at every opportunity. You are correct that not everyone will fall for it, but enough of them will to generate the support the regime needs to do basically whatever they want. See Mccarthyism for an example, if you think construction of an enemy by any means necessary in order to garner supporters is a skill only dictatorial regimes posses. This is a tactic that nearly every government has used at some point, and as such it is very important not to downplay its presence or its effect.

    8. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Remus+Shepherd · · Score: 5, Interesting

      point it's solar panels away from the sun?

      Well, theoretically, a very strong radar pulse could cause ionization around the star sensors, which would make the spacecraft unable to tell which way was up and which was down. That would screw up the solar cell deployment pretty badly.

      That's a crazy scenario, about on par with believing that reptiloids control Switzerland, but like all crazy theories there's a tenuous path of logic behind it.

      --
      Genocide Man -- Life is funny. Death is funnier. Mass murder can be hilarious.
    9. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Worth noting there are almost two dozen HAARP-like, top secret and classified installations all over the world. All projecting massive eneergy levels into the atmosphere for "research". These are owned and operated by a handful of countries, including Russia.

      What is know about these projects is that both the US DoD and USAF have been directly associated with all US installations and leaked + FOI documents indicate both the DoD and USAF histofically planned to use these facilities for climate/weather influence and/or control. Its also known since these early days they have branched out into various other types of "atmospheric research", which is currently classified. To put it bluntly, this in no way sounds like the typical Russian hot-air. Chances are reasonable, intentional or otherwise, one of these stations may have unduly influenced the operation of their rocket.

      Now if we take very reasonable assumptions based on established facts and combine a little paranoia, we can come up with an interesting theory. NASA is basically defunct and there are powerful interests in the US who absolutely do not want to rely on Russia for space access. It wasn't until NASA' immediate space access was drawn into question that Russia's rockets suddenly started having problem; despite a long history of relatively high reliability. Worse yet, this easily falls well into the US' dirty tricks+plausable deniabilty combination it loves so much.

      Tin foil hat? Maybe. But it doesn't mean its wrong either.

    10. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by enormouspenis · · Score: 5, Funny

      Personally I never believe anything you post. There's no real reason for that, it's just that I read somewhere that you were full of shit.

      --
      "I didn't spend six years in Evil Medical School to be called 'Mr.Evil,' thank you very much!"
    11. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Nutria · · Score: 5, Insightful

      this in no way sounds like the typical Russian hot-air.

      Why in fuck's sake would we (a) sabotage a scientific mission, and (b) piss off the people who carry us to the ISS?

      Chances are reasonable, intentional or otherwise, one of these stations may have unduly influenced the operation of their rocket.

      Do you have *any* rational evidence to support this hooch-addled paranoia?

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    12. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      HAARP is not a directional antenna that can point and "shoot down" a satellite. HAARP is an ionoshphere research program, that's why it only points straight up.

      Secondly, if you can screw up a satellite with radar, then the said satellite will be completely fucked during the next major solar flare.

      Thirdly, the OP idea is crazy because you can still see the sun and at least point the spacecraft in the right direction to the sun!!.

      The bottom line is, there was major spacecraft malfunction. And it is not unique to this satellite. Russians have had malfunctions with Soyuz too, and that is something that is vital to ISS and US has contracted Russians to use Soyuz. Of course you could be for conspiracy theories that US destroyed its own space shuttles like Challenger.

    13. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by mbkennel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Chances are reasonable, intentional or otherwise, one of these stations may have unduly influenced the operation of their rocket."

      Actually that's insane. What is the (a) physics of doing so? (Heating the atmosphere over a wide patch is what they do to study ionosphere) What's the cross section of power applied directly on the satellite? Notice that when you want to aim something precisely (and hitting a satellite in orbit requires LOTS of precision) you need to use short wavelengths, like say an optical laser, and then you have to precisely compensate for atmospheric aberrations. The radio research facilities instead use wavelengths of a number of meters long, which of course diffracts and spreads out just a wee bit more.

      And then what is (b) the motivation for doing so? In detail. Screwing with a scientific probe going to Mars? Dr Strangelove types aren't particularly impressed or care about some nerd spacecraft. What's in it for The Conspirators?

      c) "there are powerful interests in the US who absolutely do not want to rely on Russia for space access" -- but are apparently insufficiently powerful to get the USA to spend the money to fund ongoing operations and develop the next generation simultaneously. Well, since in your conspiracy theory the US *is* in fact dependent on Russia, then why sabotage Russian rockets? Why not sabotage Russian rockets only after the US gets its space access back?

      And besides, the US is is not dependent on Russia for space access overall: the military and intelligence communities happily continue to buy launches on expensive Boeing/Lockheed ULA rockets, it's just that NASA can't afford (isn't given funding for) these ones and will have to hitch rides on bargain basement SpaceX hardware in a few years.

    14. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Funny

      Originally to Phobos, but you've just managed to retarget the mission to Eros.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    15. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by iggymanz · · Score: 4, Informative

      utter bullshit, the research at HAARP is open, scientists come from around the world to conduct experiments there with no security clearance, public tours are given, you can go tour the HAARP facilities.

    16. Re:Simple solution...no more Russian taxis to ISS by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Informative

      The problem is, tossing blame like this is the first refuge of incompetent government.

      Except it's not the government, it's one politician. Surely whatever country you come from has a few politicians that make similarly ridiculous statements for domestic consumption. I know if you live in the US you will be under a constant barrage of such bullshit in the form of political attack ads. Similarly, what we have here is an obscure blow-hard trying to look appealing to Russian nationalists.

      How long before the people have a (renewed) hate of the USA?

      Any Russian who swallows this guy's story was already anti-US, just like the 'birthers' were anti-Obama long before they started denying his citizenship, or like 'truthers' were anti-Bush long before they started banging on about 'building 7'. In other words what we are looking at is common garden variety propaganda aimed directly at 'useful idiots', and Russia certainly doesn't have a monopoly on propaganda or idiots. None of this means I condone politicians spreading lies and half truths about anything, anywhere, but it's an unfortunate fact of life that propaganda has, and always will be, a primary tool of politics.

      Now IF this was Putin making official speeches with this sort of crap in it, THEN your scenario might have legs. As it stands the GP's "post vodka blame game" is where I'd put my money.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  2. Malice? by nospam007 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.

    1. Re:Malice? by iggymanz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Since HAARP has HF, VHF and UHF, and not satellite microwave systems, the stupidity is clearly on a Russian looking for a scapegoat, who has joined the ranks of scientifically ignorant wingnuts who blame HAARP for everything that was blamed on Satan and Witchcraft 400 years ago

    2. Re:Malice? by ihatewinXP · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I have seen discussions on HARP on Slashdot before - and some interesting comments relating to it that have always stuck with me.

      One story was about a grandfather who worked on HARP - said he told stories of having to be taken to the dentist by armed guard and watched while he went under gas in case he started to talk. Then about 3 posts down someone basically tells the same story and ends with his grandfather telling him: "I dont know exactly what we are building, but it ain't for watching the weather, thats for sure."

      So before we all go "tin foil hat alert!" this may be more than a case of 'whipping up enemies' and 'passing the buck' - this might be a little glimpse into a world we are rarely told of...

      --
      ---- The real Slashdot is still here. You just have to browse at -1 to read the comments.
    3. Re:Malice? by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 4, Funny

      So because HAARP is secret and isn't for watching the weather, that means it is the cause of a Russian Mars probe failure?

      How does logic work in your world?

      --
      http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
  3. Failure... by QuietLagoon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Russia should just admit to its failures, and move on. From what I've read, Russia's high-technology infrastructure is held together with band-aids® and chewing gum. They should concentrate upon repairing their space exploration foundation, then make the attempts to explore Mars.

    1. Re:Failure... by Droog57 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, you are probably right, but remember, the US is still reduced to renting a ride from the Russians to get a man into LEO now that we (stupidly) killed off the STS. Which one is the real failure? What an embarrassment, from "The Country that put a Man on the Moon" to equality with most developing nations..

      --
      "If the only tool that you have is a hammer, every problem looks like a nail." Donny Rumsfeld
    2. Re:Failure... by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, you are probably right, but remember, the US is still reduced to renting a ride from the Russians to get a man into LEO now that we (stupidly) killed off the STS. Which one is the real failure?

      The real failure would have been to keep flying the Shuttle. Even if you ignore that the NASA budget isn't increasing after inflation, you still have to explain why it's better to chuck billions on a few really expensive launches rather than spend that money on actual somewhat useful space activities. You'd also have to explain why we're relying on a vehicle that would be an accident away from ending the program.

  4. Most likely sabotage from the future. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Most likely, someone came back in a time machine to sabotage the launch to prevent the return of samples to Earth that are contaminated with Martian Hemmorhagic Fever and save billions of people.

  5. Putin is taking russia back soviet style paranoia by Viol8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And with that goes blaming everyone except yourself for your public failures.

  6. No by sandytaru · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When science from another country fails, it is still a tragedy to the US. We are not in a cold war any more - the loss of a sattelite, or a probe, is a huge loss for everyone. Russia may be upset but unfortunately it would not be in US interests to intentionally destroy a probe that we cannot ourselves replicate (due to lack of funds or lack of interest.)

    --
    Occasionally living proof of the Ballmer peak.
    1. Re:No by GreatBunzinni · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because it would be research which the US would not need to fund, and therefore free funds to invest in other projects, and which could be used to help plan what to research next.

      For example.

      --
      Slashdot, fix your code or at least hire someone who is competent at it to do it for you.
  7. HAARP by na1led · · Score: 4, Funny

    Maybe this also account for the 20 feet of snow Alaska is getting too.

    --
    -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
    1. Re:HAARP by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Funny

      Maybe this also account for the 20 feet of snow Alaska is getting too.

      Or maybe, just perhaps, it's winter time. In Alaska. You know, that cold, snowy place Up North. Tundra. Arctic Circle. Polar Bears.....

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  8. The Russians Always ignore the obvious by tkrotchko · · Score: 4, Funny

    Whenever one is dealing with sending rockets to Mars, particularly Phobos, once has to take into account some pretty basic facts about Phobos:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leather_Goddesses_of_Phobos

    Once you deal with that, then you can start blaming Eskimos in North America for downing your rocket.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
  9. Re:Not even good lies by elrous0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Laughable. (Apparently, so is their space program)

    Well it's not like their joke of a space program put up the first satellite in orbit, the first man (and woman) in space, the first person to orbit the earth, the first moon probe, the first Mars probe, the first Venus probe, or the first space station--or are currently the only country in the world with the capability of launching humans into space. They're SUCH a joke! Let's all laugh at their weak-ass space program. Ha ha ha.

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  10. One of my co-workers is Russian ... by timholman · · Score: 5, Interesting

    One of my co-workers is Russian, and he still keeps in touch with friends and family back home. We've been discussing the recent anti-government protests in Moscow, and he says that the government-controlled media (which includes all of TV and radio, and many of the newspapers) has gone into overdrive accusing the U.S. for being behind almost everything that's currently going wrong in Russia. In his words, "Blaming America is all they have left."

    Implying that the U.S. is responsible for their spacecraft failure is just part of that game. Russia has been launching spacecraft for decades, and it is silly to think that they didn't learn how to deal with contingencies such as deliberate jamming long ago.

  11. Medvedev threatened prosecution by Morty · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Russian President Medvedev threatened to prosecute those responsible for the space failures. No surprise that the individuals in question are now looking to blame someone else.

    1. Re:Medvedev threatened prosecution by inviolet · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Russian President Medvedev threatened to prosecute those responsible for the space failures. No surprise that the individuals in question are now looking to blame someone else.

      Yeah, THAT will sure attract new talent to their space program! Alex, I'll take Perverse Incentives for 500 rubles, please!

      And never mind the equally important point that the current team at least learned something and won't repeat this particular mistake again. Can't say that for the new team.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
  12. The Cold War mentality again by Maimun · · Score: 5, Informative
    During the Cold War, every single failure of the USSR was due to some external enemy (or internal enemy, being an agent of some external enemy).

    Regrettably, the russians have gone back to that silly Cold War mentality. Their own propaganda tells them constantly that they are unique, superior to the others, and surrounded by vile enemies that miss no chance to do harm to russia. Recall that when their submarine Kursk exploded and sank, the first instinctive reaction of the regime and its propaganda was to blame a US sub for colliding with, and thus sinking, Kursk.

  13. Re:yes by SuricouRaven · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maintaining perfectly fixed position (storms aside) isn't difficult. Manouvering thrusters can turn to thrust in any direction. Just throw in a GPS receiver and you can stay in place to within a couple of meters easily.

  14. Drag by Dan+East · · Score: 4, Informative

    Right. Now, how did we manage to get the satellite to point it's solar panels away from the sun?

    I thought the theory as to why the spacecraft is in a stable, albeit backwards, orientation was simple: there are enough air molecules in that orbit to apply pressure to the large solar panels, which causes drag and thus rotates the craft so the panels are towards the back. Just like a shuttlecock in badminton.

    --
    Better known as 318230.
  15. Re:and they are right ? by aintnostranger · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The problem with your arguments is that you give the US too much credit. Yes, the US secret services have had lots of involvement in orchestrating stuff in the past, but it seems you are taking it to a "no revolution happens without the US behind it". That's very irrational IMHO. I'm from a country in which the US has meddled in the past and pressed for regime changes, sometimes succesfully. But here people make the same mistake. They think that just because the US has tried and succeeded at *some* regime changes, then it has to be behind *every* regime change/revolution. I think its very counterproductive to think like that, as its a way to perpetuate the myth of North American invencibility.

  16. Typical Russian response... by Karmashock · · Score: 4, Funny

    Fail at anything = Blame America.

    Offer up some kind of evidence or we'll just respond that actually it was your mother.

    That's right... your mom. There's just as much evidence backing that... eg none.

    --
    I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
  17. Re:Not even good lies by sxltrex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's take a closer look at this list:

    1) Sputnik 1 (first satellite): 1957
    2) Yuri Gagarin (first man in space, first orbit): 1961
    3) Valentina Tereshkova (first woman in space): 1963
    4) Luna 2 (first [successful] moon probe): 1959
    5) According to Wikipedia, every Soviet Mars mission prior to Mariner 4 (first Mars fly-by [US]) failed.
    6) According to Wikipedia, every Soviet Venus mission prior to Mariner 2 (first Venus fly-by [US]) failed.
    7) Salyut 1 (first space station): 1971

    So other than their currently operating Soyuz craft, the most recent entry on your list is over 40 years old. I understand the point you were trying to make, but you have to keep in mind that things change, and the current Soviet space program is not nearly as noteworthy as the space program you described.

  18. Re:Not even good lies by demonbug · · Score: 4, Funny

    They share the glory of launching humans into space with China at the moment. On the other hand, Russians don't have a good track record of creating a brand new design for a while. Kliper is dead, their shuttle did one flight and they haven't managed to design a single human-rated spacecraft since Soyuz and that was in 1960s. Sad fact: Both Russia and Western countries have stagnated.

    Well what do you expect? WWII ended 66 years ago; all of their Germans must be dead by now, so there's no one around to design new stuff.