Slashdot Mirror


Mutant Flu Researchers Declare a Time Out

New submitter scibri writes "Researchers working on highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza have said they will stop work on the virus for 60 days, to allow them to explain the importance of their work to politicians and the public. Quoting: 'Despite the positive public-health benefits these studies sought to provide, a perceived fear that the ferret-transmissible H5 HA viruses may escape from the laboratories has generated intense public debate in the media on the benefits and potential harm of this type of research. We would like to assure the public that these experiments have been conducted with appropriate regulatory oversight in secure containment facilities by highly trained and responsible personnel to minimize any risk of accidental release.'" Reader Harperdog sends in a related article arguing that we shouldn't be having a debate about the censorship of research, but rather a debate over whether the research should have been allowed in the first place.

224 comments

  1. English is tricky by SJHillman · · Score: 5, Funny

    Are they researchers for the mutant flu or are they flu researchers that are mutants? Or did the mutant flu make them mutants?

    1. Re:English is tricky by Baloroth · · Score: 5, Funny

      Are they researchers for the mutant flu or are they flu researchers that are mutants? Or did the mutant flu make them mutants?

      Yes.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    2. Re:English is tricky by hedwards · · Score: 4, Funny

      No, the researchers are themselves a highly evolved mutation of the influenza virus.

    3. Re:English is tricky by dkleinsc · · Score: 2

      Actually, it's non-mutant researchers that are creating a flu that infects mutants, just like the bird flu infects birds.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    4. Re:English is tricky by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      No, the researchers are themselves a highly evolved mutation of the influenza virus.

      Which mean that they can't produce offspring unless they infect you?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:English is tricky by elrous0 · · Score: 3, Funny

      The researchers CLAIM that they're not mutants. But, of course, a mutant isn't going to admit it. Better arrest and quarantine them just to be sure.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    6. Re:English is tricky by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Incoming Soviet Russia joke in 5, 4, 3, 2, 1,

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    7. Re:English is tricky by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Computer is our friend.

    8. Re:English is tricky by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed.

      Burn the heretic. Kill the mutant. Purge the unclean.

      Words to live by. Remember, the Emperor protects!

    9. Re:English is tricky by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, that would make sense. I mean why not?

      Mutant Humans are certainly capable of conducting research on other Mutant Humans. It only makes sense that some Mutant Influenza microbes attend private colleges, and later go on to conduct research studies on other Mutant Influenza microbes.

    10. Re:English is tricky by jd · · Score: 1

      Depends on the mutant, surely. I mean, there are plenty of other things you could do with Storm besides arrest her.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    11. Re:English is tricky by Talderas · · Score: 1

      Blessed is the mind too small for doubt.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    12. Re:English is tricky by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 3, Funny

      Well... I don't know about Soviet Russia,
      but,
      In Fluenza, mutant researchers infect You!

      --
      You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
    13. Re:English is tricky by Genda · · Score: 1

      You should stop right there! That would be a "Blow" job over which you would never get!

  2. Either them or someone else by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    If these guys don't do the research, someone else will. Probably some government, and then they'll spread it once they have a secret cure for themselves.

    1. Re:Either them or someone else by Tsingi · · Score: 3

      If these guys don't do the research, someone else will. Probably some government, and then they'll spread it once they have a secret cure for themselves.

      I think you have confused the government with drug companies. Granted the difference is sometimes difficult to discern.

      A drug company is a private corporation over which you have no control.

      A government is a public corporation that you vote for, and is controlled by the drug companies. (& etc.)

    2. Re:Either them or someone else by zerosomething · · Score: 1

      Government or private makes no difference here. It's bad guys (or just people with lax controls) and good guys. In either case someone will do the research. If the good guys do it (people with good intentions and good controls) then we stand a chance of saving people when the bad guys do it and fuck it up.

      --
      It all starts at 0
    3. Re:Either them or someone else by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 2

      I see. SOMEONE will do it .. so that makes is moral for ANYONE to do it when NOBODY should be doing it.
      hmm....

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    4. Re:Either them or someone else by Gotung · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Newsflash: SOMEONE is already doing it on a scale so massive that human beings can't even come close to competing with. That someone is called The Universe, or more specifically in this case the Planet Earth.

      Flu virii are replicating and recombining on their own. They do it all day every day in billions of organisms around the planet. By doing a tiny tiny tiny version of the same thing in a controlled manner in a lab, we can learn a whole lot about that natural process that will provide wonderful insights to help combat the really bad stuff that the evolution of these virii WILL produce at some point.

      In all likelihood all of the combinations that these scientists come up with already exist somewhere.

    5. Re:Either them or someone else by TheLink · · Score: 1

      If these guys don't do the research, someone else will

      We have finite resources we should start to be wiser about prioritizing things. There are some things that should be done earlier, some things that should be done later, and some things that we should avoid doing.

      IMO this research is definitely not one of the "do earlier" items. Tell me what's the potential benefit vs the potential cost?

      If one day there exists a way to develop a "Big Red Button" that could kill more than 50% of the humans in the world, saying a country shouldn't make it illegal just because "someone else will do it" seems to be a stupid argument to support doing it.

      As for developing cures, the main workaround for most of these sorts of diseases is the same- quarantine. Because when "stuff happens" even if a potential cure/vaccine may exist, you usually have no way or resources to get enough of it to everyone in time.

      Not every country can afford to stockpile stuff that may or may not work or be needed (just like some did with Roche's Tamiflu).

      --
    6. Re:Either them or someone else by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shit - you all have to be kidding. It won't be drug companies or legitimate governments - it'll be terrorists who use the piblished literature to develop the mutant variations, infect themselves and travel the world to cause a true pandemic!

    7. Re:Either them or someone else by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have it backwards. The 'control' is quite the opposite.

      A drug company depends on voluntary funding(our desire to fund them).
      A government depends on coerced funding(our desire to stay alive and out of jail).

    8. Re:Either them or someone else by David+Frankenstein · · Score: 1

      Like the line from the movie... "we don't need to work on mutating the virus. The birds are doing that for us."

    9. Re:Either them or someone else by tomhath · · Score: 3, Insightful
      From the linked article questioning whether the research should be done

      The seven experiments of concern are those that would:

      1. demonstrate how to make a vaccine ineffective

      2. confer resistance to antibiotics or antiviral agents

      3. enhance a pathogen's virulence or make a non-virulent microbe virulent

      4. increase transmissibility of a pathogen

      5. alter the host range of a pathogen

      6. enable a pathogen's ability to evade diagnostic or detection modalities

      7. enable the weaponization of a biological agent or toxin

      .

      I see your point, especially related to #7. However, I'd prefer to know that we understand pathogens, antibiotic actions, and immunization before we really, really need that knowledge. Bubonic Plague wiped out about 1/3 of Europe's population because they didn't have antibiotics.

    10. Re:Either them or someone else by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, for diseases (possibly unlike your hypothetical BRB), developing it can be a necessary precursor to developing ways to stop it -- which will be useful when "somone else" (possibly time and chance) makes it happen.
      As you say, thanks in part to patents, it's usually (but not necessarily always) impractical to deploy effective countermeasures besides quarantine. But if it's developed now, and the potential pandemic occurs (naturally, or through the work of terrorists/evil governments/whatever) after the patent runs out... seems there's a better chance?

    11. Re:Either them or someone else by geekoid · · Score: 0

      NOT. VIRII.

      You sound like an idiot.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    12. Re:Either them or someone else by geekoid · · Score: 2

      Being able to defend against is before MILLION OF PEOPLE DIE. There is your benefit.
      Also, developed the technology that makes vaccine and vaccine research better and faster.

      ""someone else will do it" seems to be a stupid argument to support doing it."
      that's a good argument because if someone else weaponizes it, we won't have a reasonable response time.

      "As for developing cures, the main workaround for most of these sorts of diseases is the same- quarantine. Because when "stuff happens" even if a potential cure/vaccine may exist, you usually have no way or resources to get enough of it to everyone in time."

      you need to stop talking now. Not only aren't you qualified to have this discussion, you are ignorant of even the most basic principles.

      Quarantine a flu epidemic.. idiot.

      SO, where do we quarentine the first 100+thousand? million? Before we know it it is in the wild. Limiting travel is part of it, but you need to reliace a few things.

      It's will be, at least 3 days before the first symptions . And it won't become known until many people ahve it ad go to a hospital that reports it to the CDC.
      SO, at best, we are looking at a week. Best Case.

      Some people get the flu and have it active and show little or no symptom.

      If they got onto any public transportation? Now hoe may exposed? now who do you quarantine?

      Quarantine people is really the weakest defense. Necessary, but weak.

      If we know how to make the vaccines, we can ramp up very quickly. Like we did with the bird flu; which, BTW, had a 30+% mortality rate when first found, and almost every hospital in the NW was out of beds. Imagine if we had to have waited a month longer before getting the vaccine to people?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    13. Re:Either them or someone else by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      "Being able to defend against is before MILLION OF PEOPLE DIE"

      Breaking evolution for humans ... are we supposed to be for Darwin's Evolution or not? If we Evolve, then why are we trying so hard to stop it? Seems short sighted to me.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    14. Re:Either them or someone else by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      combat the really bad stuff that the evolution of these virii WILL produce at some point.

      May produce at some point.

      In all likelihood all of the combinations that these scientists come up with already exist somewhere.

      Not necessarily. Just because they can achieve given results in a laboratory setting doesn't mean it would ever occur in nature on a reasonable timescale.

      And moreover, what are the benefits of producing such a pathogen? It's completely reasonable to discuss the risk/reward involved, and very small risks with very large consequences should not be ignored.

    15. Re:Either them or someone else by Strawser · · Score: 1

      If these guys don't do the research, someone else will. Probably some government, and then they'll spread it once they have a secret cure for themselves.

      They'll target a school, a tube station, and a water-treatment plant. Several hundred will die within the first few weeks. Until at last the true goal comes into view . . . after the election, lo and behold, a miracle. Some will believe that it was the work of God himself, but it will be a pharmaceutical company controlled by certain party members that will make them all obscenely rich. But the true genius of the plan will be the fear. A year later, several extremists will be tried, found guilty, and executed while a memorial is built to canonize their victims. Fear will become the ultimate tool of this government. And through it our politician will ultimately be appointed to the newly created position of High Chancellor. The rest, as they say, will be history.

      --
      The louder he talked of his honour, the faster we counted our spoons. -- Ralph Waldo Emerson
    16. Re:Either them or someone else by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      True. Corporations can be greedy, but are rarely insane.

    17. Re:Either them or someone else by jhumkey · · Score: 1

      True but then, why not experiment with the LEAST harmful virus to learn about "natural process", instead of starting with one already hyper-deadly? Why would it be likely that only the most dangerous, will exhibit the things we need to see? Even if that's true, (its a feature of the most deadly we need to master), wouldn't it be better to near-exhaust research on the lesser harmful, before continuing on to that? First you juggle 3 soft balls, then 4, then 5, you don't "start" with the Chainsaw, Bowling Ball, and Egg early on. (And, I respectfully submit, from a genetic-flu understanding standpoint . . . its "early on".)

      --
      No, I don't remember your name. But the memory mapped screen on a TRS80 from 1977 is from 15360 to 16383 if that helps.
    18. Re:Either them or someone else by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Breaking evolution for humans ... are we supposed to be for Darwin's Evolution or not? If we Evolve, then why are we trying so hard to stop it? Seems short sighted to me.

      it doesn't break evolution any more than the first human who wore the skins of another animal to survive a cold winter night broke evolution. Our intelligence, our ability to invent and use technology, is an evolved survival skill -- our best survival skill.

      It doesn't matter if we are "for" evolution or not -- evolution is not a religion, "evolving" is not some spiritual end-goal like Enlightenment. Evolution is something that happens, that is happening.

      Everyone too stupid to take advantage of the abilities nature gave us dying from influenza being one possible example.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    19. Re:Either them or someone else by jd · · Score: 2

      Hmmm. You've not talked to customer service from Dell recently, I take it.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    20. Re:Either them or someone else by Muros · · Score: 1

      If these guys don't do the research, someone else will. Probably some government, and then they'll spread it once they have a secret cure for themselves.

      I'm reading the second article linked, the "should we allow the research" one, and I've only gotten to the second paragraph so far and my bullshit sensors are screaming.

      the 1918 influenza virus, which killed somewhere between 50 to 100 million people worldwide, had a mortality rate between 2 to 3 percent.

      The world population reached 2 billion some time in the twenties. We'll go with 2 billion. That means if the above numbers are correct, the infection rate for the 1918 flu was somewhere between 83% and 250% of the global population.

    21. Re:Either them or someone else by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm, since we know that this virus is already occasionally infecting people and that it will kill a high percentage of the world's population if it becomes airborn, then maybe we should include H5N1 in this year's seasonal fly shot. Any reason we can't?

    22. Re:Either them or someone else by gnick · · Score: 1

      ...it'll be terrorists who use the piblished literature to develop the mutant variations, infect themselves and travel the world to cause a true pandemic!

      Oh great... Then we'll have to pick a "volunteer" from amongst our prison population to send back in time to try to establish a link between the outbreak and the Army of the 12 Monkeys only to learn that we've missed the mark...

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    23. Re:Either them or someone else by jd · · Score: 2

      Given a large enough number of viral mutations and a large enough timeframe, all events with non-zero statistical probability should be considered essentially certain to occur.

      Regardless, though, of whether this specific pathogen would arise, we have the question of whether the development of it tells us anything new about how viruses work (specifically the flu virus) and what makes a virus deadly versus not deadly. The evidence so far is that it does tell us something about both. I consider that to be a very high reward, particularly as we now know there are a series of mutations required to make flu deadly, that none of the modern flu strains have the capacity to pull a Spanish Flu within the next year. By understanding more about what critical mutations are needed, we can get early warning. We will be able to see a deadly strain prior to it becoming deadly, allowing us many months - perhaps even a year or two - to develop suitable vaccines before the critical mutation ever arises.

      We know from the Mexican Swine Flu case that our current pandemic controls just don't work. The disease was less lethal than feared, but that was luck not skill. Had it been deadly, none of the controls that existed were capable of identifying the disease in time, restricting its spread or handling the panic amongst health workers. The last of these was the worst problem as it was the Mexican paramedics and hospitals who were largely responsible for it becoming a pandemic. They were criminally negligent to the point where had it been another Spanish Flu, they would be guilty of planetary genocide. For that alone, I consider them no better than the criminal gangs there.

      If we are to prevent a deadly pandemic, then, we have to bypass governments AND almost the entire healthcare industry. They aren't competent and they can't be trusted. Advance notice, predictive bio-engineering and vaccinations based on forecasts of likely deadly strains would seem to be the best hope for preventing a deadly pandemic at this time. We don't have anything else. Nothing.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    24. Re:Either them or someone else by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

      I see your point, especially related to #7. However, I'd prefer to know that we understand pathogens, antibiotic actions, and immunization before we really, really need that knowledge. Bubonic Plague wiped out about 1/3 of Europe's population because they didn't have antibiotics.

      It was even worse than that. I read somewhere that many Europeans blamed cats (because they were witches pets) for the Plague and killed them, causing the rodent population to increase! Yikes!

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    25. Re:Either them or someone else by gnick · · Score: 1

      True but then, why not experiment with the LEAST harmful virus to learn about "natural process", instead of starting with one already hyper-deadly?

      Emergency broadcast from the CDC: "We've had reports that a new mutated strain of the common cold virus has been detected in multiple metropolitan areas and seems to be spreading at exponential rates among the population. Thanks to years of research by our dedicated scientists, we are prepared for this circumstance and have procedures in place. We recommend that everyone wash their hands regularly and cover their mouths when they cough or sneeze. If you suspect that you may have already contracted this disease, please stay home for 2 or 3 days before returning to work, eat some chicken soup, drink plenty of fluids, and get some bed rest. Thank the gods we were prepared for this terrible epidemic and know how to react."

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    26. Re:Either them or someone else by Gotung · · Score: 1

      I've gotten in the habit of using google as a spell checker. It didn't correct my search for virii, so I went with it. After searching again and reading the first link that comes up: I agree, I sound like an idiot.

    27. Re:Either them or someone else by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

      Sir, I disagree. I rather think that broad-spectrum flu vaccines are what we should be researching, instead of deliberately breeding deadly strains in inadequate containment facilities.

      A broad-spectrum vaccine protects against ALL flu, not just this year's common mutations.

      In fact, I have read that a broad-spectrum flu vaccine isn't too far out in the future.

      The DRACO antiviral drug from MIT also seems like a good option.

      Last, someone else has made the point that you can test contagiousness and deadliness independently. I.e., don't produce virii that are both, but only one or the other: only with BOTH characteristics is a virus world-threatening.

      --PM

    28. Re:Either them or someone else by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      We've had reports that a new mutated strain of the common cold virus has been detected in multiple metropolitan areas

      Well, technically speaking, SARS was a variant coronavirus (one of the several viruses generally grouped under the term "common cold") and it was pretty deadly, though not particularly communicable, so you're not totally far off.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    29. Re:Either them or someone else by jd · · Score: 1

      We know genes interact and that results:genes are an N:M relationship, not a 1:1 one as had been thought even up to the turn of the millenium. In consequence, testing independently won't tell you what happens when they're combined. They may cancel out rather than work together. Other strange things can happen.

      I agree that the containment is inadequate, but we need to know how these things work.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    30. Re:Either them or someone else by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      Evolution selects the populations that invest on vaccines.

    31. Re:Either them or someone else by TheLink · · Score: 1

      If we know how to make the vaccines, we can ramp up very quickly

      How long does it take to make a vaccine for each new strain of flu?
      Can a single vaccine work on all strains? If yes then there is no great need for this research. If no, then you'd still be starting from scratch for each strain some crazy nut comes up with (presumably the crazy nut can buy your vaccine and test against it). So what's the point of allowing researchers to create new dangerous strains when "nature" or some nut will do it for you?

      If it's to practice in creating flu vaccines quickly, do you really have to create very _lethal_ strains of flu to practice on, which this lab is doing? Why not create other strains? Just looking at their methods you can see they are purposely creating dangerous strains.

      The more people improve the technology in creating dangerous flu strains the cheaper it gets to create a new strain. If an attacker only needs to spend 10 million to create 10 different strains and it cost USD10 per vaccine per person, and you need to vaccinate more than a billion people, who is going to pay to defend against them all? How much does it cost to create a new strain? So it is a losing defence strategy.

      Quarantine is the main defence for pandemics. If you stop people from moving about and spreading the disease, the virus has to evolve to a less lethal form to spread. Or at least a more sneaky form - dormant but mildly infectious for one month then kill. So far there is not much selection pressure for flu viruses to evolve into such a virus (they seem successful enough) but if some crazy researchers try to do that, they might succeed.

      What if one day we have the ability into researching the creation of a "Cheap Big Red Button that kills EVERYONE"? Should we allow it with the reasoning that if you don't someone else will?

      IMO we should delay the development of any such technology till human society has reached a state where nobody would push such a button.

      From what I see humans are closer to developing "big red buttons" than they are at "growing up" so as to never push them. Hence the effort should be towards developing the latter first and not the former.

      --
  3. Handwringers & luddites by russotto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And this is the way the new Dark Ages will begin. Not from where you'd expect, religious fundamentalists who are offended by the challenge reality presents to their mythology. But from easily-frightened handwringing "ethicists", who had they been around in the time of the caveman would have taken away Ugh's flint for fear he'd burn down the forest were he to succeed in starting a fire.

    1. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah. Because a few million people in the name of science is a fair trade, right? Besides if Mother Nature wanted them to live they'd evolve. Wait, did I just capitalize "mother nature" as if she were someone's god? Blanket application of moral superiority is no more right for "enlightened" people like yourself than it is the religious zealots you decry.

    2. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      comparing creating fire to creating a super flu is retarded. When they screw up and it is released, and they will f*ck up, they are humans, i hope your the first one infected.

    3. Re:Handwringers & luddites by kelarius · · Score: 5, Informative

      comparing creating fire to creating a super flu is retarded. When they screw up and it is released, and they will f*ck up, they are humans, i hope your the first one infected.

      This statement is just fucking retarded and ignorant. There has been research going on like this for the better part of a century, including WEAPONIZING even more dangerous bugs than the flu, and none of that has ever been released. Why does everyone think that this one will be any different, the system is proven to work and I'm not the least bit concerned.

      --
      Personally I'd rather have my idiots at home glued to the TV than out doing idiotic things
    4. Re:Handwringers & luddites by McGuirk · · Score: 1

      Of course you did. Mother Nature is the personification of nature and thus a proper noun.

    5. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Research shouldn't be done on the ebola virus - it may get out and kill people!

    6. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yeah, thats exactly right... tinkering with highly dangerous and highly contagious viruses is exactly the same as supressing all of science... Especially since we all know that outbreaks of viruses from such secure research facilities can never happen... Just a random search on ebola offers this.

      http://www.nytimes.com/2004/05/25/world/russian-scientist-dies-in-ebola-accident-at-former-weapons-lab.html

      Not to say that it shouldn't be allowed, but the whole point is that this is not that simple an issue, that it requires debate and your comment is just plain dumb.

    7. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      Research with the intentional result of weaponizing the ebola virus shouldn't be done.

      They are intentionally taking a virus known to have particularly high kill rates among infected, but poor vectors for infection. And then giving it awesome vectors for infection. They are creating a weaponized super virus.

    8. Re:Handwringers & luddites by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 1

      Lets see.. forest fire vs
        50% of 7bil dead and a probable end of our ability to carry out commerce or have a technologically advanced civilzation for a few centuries. hmm... which one sounds like a more serious consequence to you?

      I don't care how professional, careful , trustworthy etc your group is sooner or later a mistake will be made or an accident beyond their control. Fire , earthquake, tornado, what do suppose it would take.

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    9. Re:Handwringers & luddites by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Funny

      In all fairness, Ugh really shouldn't be trusted with fire.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    10. Re:Handwringers & luddites by DC2088 · · Score: 2

      "Our biochem corpus is far in advance of theirs, as is our electronic sentience. And their...ethical inflexibility has allowed us to make progress in areas they refuse to consider. "

    11. Re:Handwringers & luddites by ItsJustAPseudonym · · Score: 0

      Right. They should stick to weaponizing the flu. That's much safer.

    12. Re:Handwringers & luddites by m.ducharme · · Score: 4, Insightful

      One could argue that setting humanity back a few centuries and wiping out half the population would be good for the planet (and perhaps ultimately save the species). It's not an argument I'd be prepared to make, but it's one I'd take seriously, if someone else were to make it.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
    13. Re:Handwringers & luddites by hamburger+lady · · Score: 1

      who had they been around in the time of the caveman would have taken away Ugh's flint for fear he'd burn down the forest were he to succeed in starting a fire.

      i'm sure the rest of the biosphere thinks that would have been a good move.

      --

      ---
      Is this the MPAA? Is this the RIAA? Is this the DMCA? I thought it was the USA!
    14. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes, let's kill off the physically weak and vulnerable, and let the physically fit survive. The resulting loss in overall IQ surely won't have detrimental effects on society.

    15. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 2

      So would that mean the personification of sex is Mother F...

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
    16. Re:Handwringers & luddites by jizziknight · · Score: 2

      Are you really implying that the physically fit have lower IQs than the physically weak or vulnerable? If so, I question your own IQ, my good sir.

      --
      Everything I say is a lie. Except that... and that... and that, and that, and that, and that... and that.
    17. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually they were examining methods of mutations in virii to better understand how they change. The results of this experiment can and will help prevent the creation of similar sub-bugs in nature by identifying particular vectors which must exist for such a mutation to come about. It's good research and it's beneficial to all of us. Your irrational fear is a far bigger threat then this research ever could be.

    18. Re:Handwringers & luddites by siddesu · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Nah, it isn't some mythical "ethicists" that are the problem. Two things are at work here that have shaped this kind of attitude.

      First, there is a gradual and seemingly purposeful dumbing down of public education, especially in the "civilized" world. When I was growing up, I had boring math and physics books with theorem proofs and many problems in them. These days my kids have pictures, diagrams, bold colors and boxes with all sorts of historical and "cultural" references, but what was standard hardness in my book is now "optional" or "advanced" and "can be skipped without loss of continuity". The situation is the same in every field that teaches science. Teachers are poor, undereducated and not interested in teaching. Kids are "spared" the "psychological shock" of failure that low grades imply. The situation in higher education somewhat similar, except at the very top, which is accessible to the very few -- who turn out to be the researchers.

      Science is hard and getting harder, and to make sense of it, you need to be taught about the basics. There is no time anymore to figure it out for yourself. No education == fertile supply of "luddites". Incidentally, this also means a fertile supply of "consumers".

      Second, there is the media world, which has totally gone down the drain in terms of quality. Serious journalism, where reasonably educated people would research a topic and write about it in articles long enough to cover the subject in some depth and breadth has devolved into idiots spewing out 150-200 word articles, or "blog posts" or "twits" of 140 chars or less. They make money by try to make a sensation out of everything. More and more people seriously believe that the Wikipedia article and the top hits on google on any topic give them the full picture. So, you are undereducated and fair and competent coverage, that is filtering out manipulative interests is almost inaccessible to you. How are you not going to become a "luddite" in some fashion or other?

      Add to this the growing disconnect between politics, where more and more things is internationally and behind closed doors, and you can understand why people distrust the "official" line more and more, and turn to "the fringe" -- all these movements that we here usually laugh at. Unlike the "official" coverage, the fringe is cozy, warm, easy to understand, and sounds plausible to most in the audience. You can find friends who think like you and join your own misinformation bubble, deepening the problem above and adding psychological support and motivation that further solidifies your "luddite" attitude.

      This is your recipe for the dark ages, and, sadly, it starts with your government screwing up the public education and your corporations converting journalism in a platform for sales enhancement.

    19. Re:Handwringers & luddites by emilper · · Score: 2

      quoth one of the fine article: "investigators have proved that viruses possessing a haemagglutinin (HA) protein from highly pathogenic avian H5N1 influenza viruses can become transmissible in ferrets" ... translation: haemagglutinin are proteins found on the surface of the virus and which help them bind to the attacked cell; they managed to get some viruses to infect a mammal, not H5N1, but _other virus_ that have _one_ of the "attack proteins" in common with the H5N1 virus.

      So, how come that the H5N1 virus did not infect foxes, dogs, cats or whatever hunts birds in the area where the virus in found ? How come they find the virus only in Anatidae when they want to wipe out poultry farms in some unimportant country far away ?

      I call this "desperate plea for more funding because we're getting nowhere with it but the job is cozy" or "let's keep the marks scared stiff and coughing money".

      If it was real they would do epidemiological studies among predators, but that means you have to go outside in unpleasant places and try to catch toothed animals that don't want to be caught, and risk discovering that H5N1 in it's wild and pristine form does not mutate in the wild enough to infect mammals.

    20. Re:Handwringers & luddites by geekoid · · Score: 1

      except we will know how to vaccinate and treat it.

      "I don't care how professional, careful , trustworthy etc your group is sooner or later a mistake will be made or an accident beyond their control."
      I'
      m sure your dim witted ancestors said the same thing about the wheel.

      And no, the difference between a pigs nose and a mans is not accidental. There are evolutionary pressure for why they are different.
      If you think that, then you don't understand evolution at all.

      Humans don't eat their own because it isn't really good for them, and it's not a strong survival trait.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    21. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 1

      Hell, Ugh's so dumb he can't even be trusted with rocks.

    22. Re:Handwringers & luddites by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Ugh so dumb him think woolly mammoth is type of dance.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    23. Re:Handwringers & luddites by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      The fact that something with a small probability has not happened in the past does not mean that it will not happen in the future. The issue with this research is that the consequences of release are so grave; death of billions of people.

      There are safeguards in place to prevent the escape of a deadly virus. There is also an unknown sequence of events that would lead to the release of a virus. The sequence is unknown or there would be a safeguard in place to stop it. Now equate that sequence of events to flipping a coin 1000 times and all coming up heads; probability 1x(10^-300)%. That is extremely low probability but still may happen.

      Think of this analogy;
      Flip 1000 coins and if they all come up heads kill 1/3 of the earth's population.
      How many times would you do this test before considering this test to be safe?

      In my opinion it is not safe on the first test. It is a risk/reward analysis; to me the risk of killing billions of people is much heavier on my scale of importance than any reward from the research.

    24. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Jeng · · Score: 1

      including WEAPONIZING even more dangerous bugs than the flu, and none of that has ever been released. Why does everyone think that this one will be any different, the system is proven to work and I'm not the least bit concerned

      For the most part I agree with you, but it only has to not work once.

      --
      Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
    25. Re:Handwringers & luddites by chichilalescu · · Score: 1

      why aren't you lobbying for better pay for teachers then? I'm not a citizen of the country I live in, so I can't do anything about it in practice (can't vote etc).

      these researchers chose to do the right thing: "to hell with research, let's spend some time educating people". obviously, the purpose is to be able to do more research, but it got bad enough that they had to stop what they were doing and explain to people that they're careful.

      anyway, if teachers had better pay, then "better" people would choose to be teachers. if there were more teachers, they would have spare time to do some research as well, so those obsessed with research could also teach.

      --
      new sig
    26. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Jeng · · Score: 1

      Yes, let's kill off the physically weak and vulnerable, and let the physically fit survive. The resulting loss in overall IQ surely won't have detrimental effects on society

      If it was a question between being physically fit and being intelligent you might have a point, but that is hugely incorrect. In fact I would say that those who are the most intelligent tend to be very healthy individuals.

      Yes, there are many people who are physically fit and stupid, and there are some very out of shape people who are smart, but those are not lifes two options, and very smart people do usually concern themselves about their health.

      The most likely people to die of a flu such as this would be the poor and the old. IQ would not be a significant variable.

      --
      Don't know something? Look it up. Still don't know? Then ask.
    27. Re:Handwringers & luddites by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Education has never been about the dumb kids. That's just where all the effort, money and discussion is focused. The world needs ditch diggers too.

      You can't stop the smart kids from learning. No matter how hard the average teacher tries. You have to understand just how dumb the average teacher is. They don't like the smart kids any more now then they did when they where in the grade they are teaching.

      The internet has shifted things for the smart self motivated kids. I wish we had it when I was in middle school. I would have burned down the city. Then again we didn't have cameras everywhere and FLIR when I was a kid.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    28. Re:Handwringers & luddites by CODiNE · · Score: 1

      Cuz of killer bees.

      --
      Cwm, fjord-bank glyphs vext quiz
    29. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you are taking the stance that all science is benign. Pure science and common sense have nothing to do with each other. The problem is we aren't just dealing with scientists. How it works is a scientists says I figured out how to kill everyone on the Earth, the government reacts by saying how can we weaponize it and make it so it kills just who we want to kill. That's not even the fanatics it's our own government. This strain of bird flu won't kill everyone but it would severely reduce the population. I know there's this stance that all information should be freely available but is it safe for everyone to know how to make nuclear weapons and this orders of magnitude worse and far easier to make. I'm a fan of pure science but even I had a knee jerk reaction to creating micro black holes. After the first reaction rational thought took over and I realized they are harmless. Forming a black hole doesn't change the mass. If you compressed Jupiter into a black hole I'm not convinced it would suck in it's own moons let alone the solar system. It still has the same mass it did before it juts occupies less space. The shift could destabilize the moons but other than that they should continue to orbit as they did before and the rest of the solar system would be largely unaffected. This is very different since there is no question of the damage it would do if this bug was released. I'm far more concerned though about the information escaping than the bug itself. There are plenty of shoe bombing morons that would use it in a heartbeat. The only thing that would save is anyone crazy enough to use it doesn't have the brains to make it in the first place. The problem is there are always guns for hire, that's how Iran is moving forward with their nuclear weapons program. There are hundreds of potentially out of work bioweapons engineers from the old Soviet Union that would be happy to cook up a batch of bugs for a few million dollars. They don't even have to smuggle it into the country. Just disperse it on a plane headed for JFK and the whole country would be sick in a matter of weeks without even sitting foot in this country. It's not a matter of if it'll happen it's a matter of when. When it does happen it'd be better if it wasn't bird flu on steroids.

    30. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Are you really implying that the physically fit have lower IQs than the physically weak or vulnerable? If so, I question your own IQ, my good sir.

      I don't know what they were trying to imply. However I would agree that anytime you apply strong selective pressure for a specific trait that it is bad for the maintenance of every other trait, because now it's suddenly not as important that those traits be passed on as survival will be dominated by the strongly-selected trait.

      For the sake of argument, imagine that there are easily defined "smart" and "fit" dominant genes, and a couple where each spouse possess a single copy of each of the genes. Their kids have a 75% chance of being fit, and a 75% chance of being smart. Then the influenza pandemic hits, and the surviving children are 100% fit, and 75% smart. If resistance to communicable disease remains the dominant selection pressure, then this will continue with subsequent generations.

      Obviously reality is not that simple. However if you are of European or Middle Eastern descent then your genes passed through a major bottleneck where disease resistance was the primary criterion for survival.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    31. Re:Handwringers & luddites by jd · · Score: 1

      Ludd did not argue against technology, he argued only that increased use of technology should not harm humans. It is industrialists who had no concern for consequence who muddied the waters. This is relevant because in this issue we have a very definite question of whether technology has the potential to harm humans and what the consequences could be.

      (As noted elsewhere, I side with the researchers that the potential for harm is negligible in comparison to the potential benefits of understanding why some flu strains are deadly and others aren't.)

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    32. Re:Handwringers & luddites by siddesu · · Score: 1

      Here I am just replying to the GP, who, IMHO, is blaming the wrong party. At home I do what I can, but unless there is a large enough group of people who share the general direction my beliefs and can effect political change on a large enough scale, and that means changing attitudes internationally, it is a lost fight. Globalization affects domestic policies too, and the global trend with few exceptions is towards more comfort and less hardship.

      Unfortunately, learning science is a pain, albeit sweet pain, and I'm afraid the taste for the sweet pain of science is an acquired taste.

      Also, sorry for the hard to read mess above, I blame the Android and the lack of coffee on the train.

    33. Re:Handwringers & luddites by siddesu · · Score: 1

      This is a slightly misguided attitude. You cannot always stop a smart kid, but you can make his/her life a lot harder than necessary. Why?

      Also, the more educated your population is, the easier is for the society to advance, especially so in a democracy. If your voters are stupid, don't expect your politicians to be smart, or society to be a good place to raise smart kids.

    34. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      But from easily-frightened handwringing "ethicists", who had they been around in the time of the caveman would have taken away Ugh's flint for fear he'd burn down the forest were he to succeed in starting a fire.

      Yes, and they explored the ramifications of that and other technology in Caveman Science Fiction!

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    35. Re:Handwringers & luddites by gnick · · Score: 1

      If that's the way you personify sex, you're doing it wrong and I pity your poor mother...

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    36. Re:Handwringers & luddites by L3370 · · Score: 1

      So let's say I'm God and present you with a game of heads or tails x 1000 and gives you a choice to play or not....

      1000 heads up: 1/3 of the population will die.
      Anything less than 1000 heads up: I grant you and all humankind access to the unending knowledge of the universe.... How to create life, build worlds or travel to distant planets.
      What would you choose? Play or go home?

      And how could you possibly live with yourself knowing one day you might be the one infected with the super flu virus that kills everyone? Don't think you'll get killer flu? how do you know? It's probable right?

    37. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Muros · · Score: 1

      Think of this analogy; Flip 1000 coins and if they all come up heads kill 1/3 of the earth's population. How many times would you do this test before considering this test to be safe?

      In my opinion it is not safe on the first test. It is a risk/reward analysis; to me the risk of killing billions of people is much heavier on my scale of importance than any reward from the research.

      I reckon I might try this. So, around 2 seconds per coin toss on average, to throw and take note of the result. I'll be working 9 to 5:30 with 1 hour off for lunch, Mon-Fri 48 weeks a year. I calculate I should complete this test 3240 times per year. Being the evil bastard that I am, I find that the resulting chance is waaaaaayy too low for my liking. If, however, I successfully conceive with and implement a nefarious plot to mind control the entire human population of earth and get them to do this at the same rate as me, my chance of killing off 1/3 of the people in the world will be.....

      Ummm....

      Sorry, windows calculator causing a slight bit of trouble. Blasted thing is telling me 1 - 1/(2^1000) is 1. You may all live for now while this evil genius searches for a bigger calculator.

    38. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meh. Your entire body is coated in organisms that would gladly eat you alive if only they could. Most of the biosphere is just stuff trying to last long enough to eat other stuff, and neither expects nor cares for that to change.

    39. Re:Handwringers & luddites by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      who had they been around in the time of the caveman would have taken away Ugh's flint for fear he'd burn down the forest were he to succeed in starting a fire.

      i'm sure the rest of the biosphere thinks that would have been a good move.

      "In the beginning the Universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry and has been widely regarded as a bad move."

      Douglas Adams

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    40. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Nidi62 · · Score: 2

      When they screw up and it is released, and they will f*ck up, they are humans, i hope your the first one infected.

      Right. That's why we've had all these epidemics and plagues that came out of USAMRIID and similar institutions. Oh, wait, that's right, you haven't. Because we know how to store and contain weaponized or highly contagious pathogens.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    41. Re:Handwringers & luddites by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Not never... there was a probably release of an Ebola-type virus in Reston, Virginia IIRC.

    42. Re:Handwringers & luddites by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "Science is hard and getting harder, and to make sense of it, you need to be taught about the basics. There is no time anymore to figure it out for yourself."

      No, that's the part that's missing. Everyone expects to have things handed to them. There is no more "figure it out for yourself." The worst possible thing you can do if you're trying to train future scientists is not teach them how to figure things out for themselves.

    43. Re:Handwringers & luddites by siddesu · · Score: 1

      That'd be totally true if I were discussing the education of scientists. The context, however, was science education for the people who won't become scientists, and IMHO, the requirements for that are not the same.

    44. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too many letters, cane someone summarize it? :)

    45. Re:Handwringers & luddites by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      Bad analogy. The research is not unending knowledge.

      And how could you possibly live with yourself knowing one day you might be the one infected with the super flu virus, created in a lab due to the research you allowed, that kills everyone?

      The difference is that a super bug may or may not evolve in the wild. It is a certainty that such a superbug will be made in a lab because that is what they are trying to do. The only issue being is whether of not it will get loose. For me the risk of one getting loose is higher than one being created in the wild that could be dealt with due to the research.

    46. Re:Handwringers & luddites by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      Bad analogy. This assumes that you want to kill 1/3 of the population. The issue is to try not to kill people. There is an axiom in all decision-making; If you can not deal with the worst case scenario then don't do it. Killing billions of people is a pretty bad worst case scenario.

    47. Re:Handwringers & luddites by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Disagree. EVERYONE can make use of critical thinking skills. There's no reason a non-scientist should know the details, but they should be taught how science works. And science doesn't work by listening to someone tell you how it is. It's far more useful to teach someone, anyway, how to find information for themselves (and how to assess the information they do find) rather than pouring facts into their heads.

    48. Re:Handwringers & luddites by siddesu · · Score: 1

      My point above is that students should have as a minimum sufficiently broad and deep knowledge of the basics of modern science, so that they understand how the world around them works. Ability to think critically is very important, but it is not a substitute for sound knowledge of science basics. Since this is a very broad topic to cover on one's own, there is a need for teachers. I do not imply that critical thinking ability should not be developed, or that parts of the scientific method should not be taught, just the opposite.

      And since we're arguing over things we agree about, I'll stop here ;)

    49. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "But from easily-frightened handwringing 'ethicists'... "

      No, it will begin with MORONS like you who are too stupid to know what to be genuinely afraid of. When all the cavemen are busy stampeding buffalo over a cliff in order to get some food, you'd be the one standing at the bottom so you could look up and see the pretty buffalo rain.

      Do you really understand what they did? They created a superflu, in laboratories. In settings that are fallible. We know they can have accidents. How do we know this? Because they have had accidents!

      So, you create a pathogen that had the serious potential to wipe out humanity, and not in just one place, but in several labs. Multiplying the chances of a mistake.

      It doesn't take a genius to figure out that this is one very seriously and very badly f**ed up scenario. It should never have been allowed. It has absolutely nothing to do with being a Luddite. It has everything to do with protecting ourselves from Goddamned Idiots.

    50. Re:Handwringers & luddites by eli+pabst · · Score: 1

      No, really it's not stupid. In fact there was an article in Nature this week written by several experts in the field that basically argued the same point. They estimated the likelihood of accidental release through lab-acquired infection is around 30% within four years, based on recent rates of lab-acquired infections. Keep in mind that one of the biggest concerns is that this modified pathogen is *NOT* being stored in a USAMRID-grade BSL4 lab, but rather a BSL3 facility. Do a google search for laboratory-acquired SARS (also a BSL3 agent) for a wake up call. Release of a highly transmissible pathogen with 50% mortality would be a catastrophe unlike anything we've ever experienced.

    51. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or maybe our downfall will come from fuckwits who are stuck with their way of doing things just because they can't pick good changes from bad. Your books sucked, and didn't engage as many kids as they could have. It is possible to make better books and the fact that the (mostly useless) stuff your classmates didn't learn despite it not being in the "advanced" section doesn't matter. Break out the computers and statistics, because that's what is useful for most people after school. Make it meaningfull and keep elitist fuckwits like parent out.

    52. Re:Handwringers & luddites by eli+pabst · · Score: 1

      When they screw up and it is released, and they will f*ck up, they are humans, i hope your the first one infected.

      Right. That's why we've had all these epidemics and plagues that came out of USAMRIID and similar institutions. Oh, wait, that's right, you haven't. Because we know how to store and contain weaponized or highly contagious pathogens.

      There have been 3 separate instances in the last 10 years where BSL3 pathogens have escaped from a lab and infected people, including one in Beijing where a small local outbreak occurred and one person died of SARS. My biggest concern isn't so much the publication of the knowledge, but rather that this pathogen is actually not being kept at a USAMRIID-like facility, but a BSL3 at University of Wisconsin, Madison.

    53. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't understand. He had to learn facts, not thinking, in the snow, uphill both ways. And so should those little fuckers who won't get off his lawn. Everything else is an excuse.

    54. Re:Handwringers & luddites by siddesu · · Score: 1

      You seem to use "fuck" too much, why so angry?

      Break out the computers and statistics, because that's what is useful for most people after school.

      Sure, bring it on. Throw out physics, biology and chemistry, they suck. But how to use those computers and statistics if you don't understand how the world you're trying to use them on actually works? You need a model to fit data against, no?

    55. Re:Handwringers & luddites by DarwinSurvivor · · Score: 1

      And how could you possibly live with yourself knowing one day you might be the one infected with the super flu virus, created in a lab due to the research you allowed, that kills everyone?

      Pretty sure he wouldn't be doing much of anything actually.

    56. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Muros · · Score: 1

      There is an axiom in all decision-making; If you can not deal with the worst case scenario then don't do it.

      Sorry, but that is absolutely wrong. If you said "If you can not deal with the worst case plausible and in some way likely scenario" then yes. If people took every tiny possible outcome into account when making a decision, we would never do anything. The chances of Buckethead charging into your kitchen and bludgeoning you to death with his guitar for eating chicken are on a par with 1000 heads in a row flipping a coin. That would be a very bad outcome from my point of view. Do you consider this when buying chicken in the grocery store?

    57. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't cast your pearls before the swine, because it is bad for the swine.

    58. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Muros · · Score: 1

      Just to point out how bad YOUR example was, lets compare it to the size of the observable universe, 4.1 * 10^32 cubic light years. We'll make that into a bigger number of smaller units, both for purposes of easy visualization and ridiculous comparisons. 1 light year is ~9.4608 * 10^17 millimetres. So the volume of the observable universe, measured in cubic millimetres, is approx. 3.47 * 10^ 86. The number of outcomes to 1000 coin tosses is 1.07 * 10^301.

      You picked 1 outcome out of a total number of outcomes 214 orders of magnitude larger than the size of the observable universe measured in cubic millimetres, all equally likely, as a credible threat that we should consider when thinking about the possible consequences of our actions. You must be a nervous wreck ordering in a restaurant.

    59. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Muros · · Score: 1

      Mistake in math above. 1 light year is ~9.4608 * 10^18 millimetres. It's only 211 orders of magnitude larger than the size of the observable universe measured in cubic millimetres.


      We are so fucked.

    60. Re:Handwringers & luddites by EricScott · · Score: 1

      One could argue that setting humanity back a few centuries and wiping out half the population would be good for the planet (and perhaps ultimately save the species). It's not an argument I'd be prepared to make, but it's one I'd take seriously, if someone else were to make it.

      Which half?

    61. Re:Handwringers & luddites by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Misguided or not, it's the truth.

      Education can't fix stupid, it can only fix ignorant. The bottom 25% will always be the bottom 25%. They will always vote for whoever promises them the most bread and circuses.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    62. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The cumulative change of releasing one, given continued research, approaches 100%.

      Just keep going long enough.

      It is just probability, no need to get all religious about "We are Powerful, Our Science is GOD!!!"

      It's not. What i say is merely truth. Of the mathematical kind.

      Regards.

    63. Re:Handwringers & luddites by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      Here are a few differences
      Buckethead killing me is very different that an accidental outbreak killing billions of people. Would I do something that may kill me? Possibly. Would I do something that may kill billions of people? Probably not. In the later case my probability threshold would be much lower.
      I never said that an outbreak had the same possibility as flipping 1000 heads in a row; that was just an example of low probability. I believe it is much more likely. In fact all it takes is a dedicated individual; as happened in the case of weaponized anthrax.

      Probability is not the only criteria. Consequences are not the only criteria. It is a combination of the two. The two combine to form risk. Hi probability, low consequence is low risk. Low probability extreme consequences is high risk. Yes, there is a low probability of the research causing an outbreak but since the consequences could be billions of deaths I say we should not do it.

    64. Re:Handwringers & luddites by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 1

      any one who makes such an argument should be listened to ... and if they try acting on their belief put in jail.

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    65. Re:Handwringers & luddites by Raenex · · Score: 1

      You could lead by example and kill yourself instead of using weasel words that suggest it would be beneficial if a virus wiped out half the population.

  4. Shit. by DC2088 · · Score: 2

    I'm going to dream about an old woman in a cornfield on a porch soon, aren't I?

    1. Re:Shit. by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 1

      Well, that or you'll be one of the 99.9% of the people who just die.

      --
      <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
    2. Re:Shit. by DaMattster · · Score: 1

      I'm going to dream about an old woman in a cornfield on a porch soon, aren't I?

      Too funny, I thought the same thing. Well, I guess it is better than dreaming about the dark man, Flagg.

    3. Re:Shit. by DC2088 · · Score: 1

      Just don't ask that fella for a tarot reading. Unless you really like naps.

    4. Re:Shit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Then again, Las Vegas or the Republic of Boulder. I don't know which is worse.

    5. Re:Shit. by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1

      I thought the same thing too. For those who didn't catch it - it's a reference to Stephen King's "The Stand".

      Now I have Blue Oyster Cult stuck in my head...

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    6. Re:Shit. by Pope · · Score: 1

      Funny, I have The Alarm!

      --
      It doesn't mean much now, it's built for the future.
    7. Re:Shit. by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1

      Thanks! Now Blue Oyster Cult is out of my head. "Come on down and meet your maker, come on down and make your stand..." Crap!

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
  5. Physically separated research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Research with dangerous things works much better in self-limiting environments. There wouldn't be much risk of trouble if they were on a moon or space base. We're really playing with fire when we test things that could wipe us out.

    1. Re:Physically separated research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well there we have it, we need a moon base.

    2. Re:Physically separated research by hedwards · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure they aren't doing this research in the local park or at the mall.

    3. Re:Physically separated research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They should be doing it at the CDC in Atlanta -- I hear they have an automatic incineration procedure with absolutely no risk of massive distribution of pathogens in the big fireball. But they need to reinforce the windows first -- too vulnerable to a Chekov Grenade.

    4. Re:Physically separated research by jd · · Score: 1

      I doubt Congress or the Republican candidates would consider that a reasonable excuse, although arguably we SHOULD be conducting dangerous research of this kind off-planet since we're technically capable of it. However, given what Congress allows researchers access to, this is as careful as it gets.

      (You can't do better without spending more money and right now spending billions - if not trillions - on ultra-secure biotech is simply not politically viable. Too many people want their taxes to go down, no matter what the consequences. To do this right, to do this well, you're looking at a cross-the-board tax hike of 10-15%. Perhaps more for the rich, who can afford a good deal more. Given the choice of higher taxes or near-certain global death from science mishaps, the current mood is that death is the preferred option.)

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    5. Re:Physically separated research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like SARS and H1N1?

  6. Never trust a tube rat! by Kenja · · Score: 2

    I knew those ferrets where up to something. They must be stopped!

    --

    "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
  7. I would rather.... by Brannoncyll · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...have someone studying it now rather than having them start when its already too late. It can take months or years to create a vaccine, then more time to manufacture/distribute it to the public. By this time a large proportion of the world's population could be infected.

    1. Re:I would rather.... by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 2

      assuming whatever they made up in the lab was in someway close enough to the naturally evolved pathogen. of coarse how could anyone know what that even means.

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    2. Re:I would rather.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are not creating a vaccine they are creating a version that is airborne and kills 60% of those infected.

    3. Re:I would rather.... by Brannoncyll · · Score: 1

      Presumably sequencing the RNA (which is pretty quick these days I understand) along with some knowledge of the method by which the virus interfaces with the cells would allow the researchers to compare how similar the natural and lab varieties? I am not a biologist but I would think this kind of thing is pretty routine for things as simple as viruses.

    4. Re:I would rather.... by Brannoncyll · · Score: 1

      Providing the wild variety has the slightest chance of mutating into something like this, I reiterate my point that I would rather have it studied now and not later. That's not to say I don't think caution is necessary.

    5. Re:I would rather.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YES!

      This thing is HIGHLY contagious and HIGHLY capable of evolving through the right mutations.
      Not researching this is the stupid thing.
      To have such a horribly destructive disease come about in times like this would be disastrous, mainly because most of the human race are ignorant and will spread the damn thing like wildfire!
      And these are the very same people who would scream at the researchers trying to protect their ignorant asses!

    6. Re:I would rather.... by fredrated · · Score: 1

      What difference does it make if the wild variety has no chance to mutate to the human-engineered form? The people are making this extremely dangerous variety who's escape could kill millions of people. And the upside to creating this dangerous virus is what exactly? You don't know, but are already OK with letting the experiment continue?

    7. Re:I would rather.... by Aladrin · · Score: 5, Informative

      I dont think the argument is over whether it should be studied or not. After a little digging, the argument seems to be over the fact that they are studying it in Biosafety Level 3 facilities, instead of BSL4. As my post below states, BSL3 is for treatable diseases, and BSL4 is for untreatable ones. This one isn't, and should be in BSL4 according to those rules.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    8. Re:I would rather.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Because that's based on a false premise. We can predict with some success what sorts of mutations are likely to happen in the wild by ourselves understanding the organism. We might find that certain areas are more prone to mutation than others, and that some areas are prone to certain types of mutation, and that those areas are a few steps away from a super bug.

    9. Re:I would rather.... by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 1

      yeah, but the point is , does anyone know the likelood that the similarities would be enough to be useful in creating a vaccine for the wild one?

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    10. Re:I would rather.... by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      The issue with your statement is that there is no "it". Virus mutation can go in many different directions. If the researchers mutate a virus in one direction and come up with a vaccine that is great for that virus. If nature goes in a slightly different direction and mutates the virus in a different way the reasearch done is useless as the vaccine for the research virus will not work on the wild virus. Even if the research virus has a vaccine there is nothing to say that if the research virus ever escapes that it will not immediately combine with another virus in the wild and make the vaccine ineffective. There is no way to research all possible viruses and come up with vaccines for all of them.

      Risk/reward.

    11. Re:I would rather.... by jd · · Score: 1

      If we know what makes the virus deadly, we can look for the precursor forms. Let's say there are N single nucleotide polymorphisms that are required to make Flu deadly and we observe N-2 of them in a specific strain. We then take that strain, make the 4 forms that are of significance and develop a vaccine for each, adding that to the shots for that year. Nature takes a slightly different course, with one of those mutations plus one we didn't anticipate. The vaccine should be partially effective, slowing the spread down, and we can now develop 2 more tightly tuned forms from the new strain. One of those ends up evolving, but since everyone is already vaccinated against it it dies out. World saved.

      Remember, bubonic plague was just a common soil bacterium that had some strange mutations. The current form is much less deadly, in part because some of those mutations no longer exist. We could do almost nothing against the return of the black death, though, if those deadly mutations re-arose because we don't know what they were. An extra-resistant form of the bacterium could be as deadly today as it was back then. It must eventually arise, so our best hope of stopping it from doing any harm is to understand why/how specific mutations allow pathogens to do harm at all.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    12. Re:I would rather.... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      We could do almost nothing against the return of the black death, though, if those deadly mutations re-arose because we don't know what they were. An extra-resistant form of the bacterium could be as deadly today as it was back then.

      Except perhaps, wash our hands, stay away from rats and use antibiotics.

      An extra-resistant form of the bacterium could be as deadly today as it was back then. It must eventually arise, so our best hope of stopping it from doing any harm is to understand why/how specific mutations allow pathogens to do harm at all.

      By extra resistant, I presume you mean a multiple antibiotic resistant strain. It's possible but currently Y. pestis isn't being treated directly much and so antibiotic resistance would more likely come from horizontal gene transfer, like plasmids. It's possible but by saying 'it could be as deadly as it was back then' you're being a tad hyperbolic.

      "It must eventually arise" isn't true at all. There is no reason that every potential mutation / rearrangement must occur, especially in the absence of specific selection pressures.

      "So our best hope is to understand ...."

      I think that's a reasonable approach. I'd feel better if they were doing in a P4 containment facility as opposed to a P3 (if that indeed is happening, someone above mentioned it).

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    13. Re:I would rather.... by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      I may even support the the kind of research you suggest but that is not waht is being done.

      The reserachers are creating deadly viruses that may kill millions of people in hopes of finding out how that become deadly. If one of these deadly viruses gets out the world may be destroyed by the research itself. The issue is the research itself may kill us before nature makes the virus that may or may not kill us.

    14. Re:I would rather.... by jd · · Score: 1

      Rats have been exonerated. Archaeologists are 100% convinced that there is zero - absolutely zero - link between them and the spread of the plague. That's an example of how research eliminates the illusion of certainty and replaces it with evidence.

      It arose before without any obvious pressure, and yes there is "pressure" in that between antibiotic resistance in other bacteria and a suicidal agriculture industry, not being a soil-specific bacteria suddenly becomes highly desirable.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    15. Re:I would rather.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not like the mutation that actually occurs even has to be the same as the mutation they created. As long as key proteins are the same the vaccine will still cause your immune system to attack it.

      Saying there is no upside to creating this "dangerous virus" without looking into it is a bit silly. Especially when you consider how quickly these things can mutate in nature. They reproduce quickly and anything that reproduces quickly changes quickly since reproduction is the catalyst.

      The upside to not doing the research is a high chance of many people dieing from a natural mutation much more likely to occur than a breach of containment. Sounds good to me I've never been a big fan of the human race so the loss would make the wold a better place.

    16. Re:I would rather.... by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      I really don't know about that...

      How many different proteins you must put in a vaccine before it stops a kind of Influenza? If that number is low, we probably can make a vaccine that is close enough to whatever evolves at nature, if it is hight, we can't.

      The problem is, it is going to be expensive, and it will hurt a few people. There is no other way to protect the population.

    17. Re:I would rather.... by jd · · Score: 1
      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  8. Too short? by Aladrin · · Score: 1

    'But he thinks that the duration of the pause is too short. “The 60 days will likely not be adequate in terms of getting a truly workable international policy and applying that. I just don't think that's realistic,” he says. '

    Is it really too short, or are the parties involved not interested enough to put their time into resolving it quickly? Because if they aren't really interested in coming to a resolution, the scientists have just wasted 60 days of their lives for people who don't actually care.

    And I admit I don't know the difference between level 3 and level 4 facilities, but if it really could cause a pandemic, why is it not under the highest security? That's my life you're taking a chance on and claiming you're being cautious enough. I think anything you could learn from it is not worth the risk of my life.

    I'm all for science and progress, but scientists are known for forgetting the stakes of what they're doing and claiming that progress is necessary, no matter the risk. It sounds to me like they need some oversight, and that's what this is.

    --
    "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    1. Re:Too short? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      And I admit I don't know the difference between level 3 and level 4 facilities

      I'm a catastrophic movie lover and I can knowledgeably tell you that level 3 facilities only require you to have a face mask, glasses, gloves and being extra careful with your test tubes, whereas level 4 facilities involve a sci-fi-like separated building with an imposing airlock controlled by an handprint-operated electronic lock making cool noises, inside which scientists work in awesome-looking spacesuits!

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    2. Re:Too short? by godIsaDJ · · Score: 2

      Or we can just, you know, look it up

    3. Re:Too short? by Aladrin · · Score: 3, Informative

      lol If that's even remotely true, then I definitely want any pandemic-capable viruses worked on in level 4 labs.

      You inspired me to look it up.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biosafety_level

      "Biosafety level 3
      This level is applicable to clinical, diagnostic, teaching, research, or production facilities in which work is done with indigenous or exotic agents which may cause serious or potentially lethal disease after inhalation.[7] It includes various bacteria, parasites and viruses that can cause severe to fatal disease in humans but for which treatments exist, such as" ... blah blah blah. Key words, "treatments exist."

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Influenza_A_virus_subtype_H5N1

      60% fatal, vaccine being developed. In other words, no treatments exist, and it's highly deadly.

      Yeah, let's go with BSL4, please.

      --
      "If you make people think they're thinking, they'll love you; But if you really make them think, they'll hate you." - DM
    4. Re:Too short? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      lol If that's even remotely true, then I definitely want any pandemic-capable viruses worked on in level 4 labs.

      You inspired me to look it up..

      Hmph, methinks I should have added a joke tag...

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:Too short? by jd · · Score: 1

      We need more levels. Two bits aren't enough.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  9. Akin to people walking out with data... by HockeyPuck · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We would like to assure the public that these experiments have been conducted with appropriate regulatory oversight in secure containment facilities by highly trained and responsible personnel to minimize any risk of accidental release.

    Why does this remind me of all the stories where some contractor walked out of a "secure $organization facility" with highly sensitive data/source code/credit_card numbers etc...?

    Should we be surprised when we read a story one day that says that some Chinese researcher walked out the door with a container of some highly contagious strain of Ferret Flu...

    1. Re:Akin to people walking out with data... by vencs · · Score: 0

      Thats' how Ethan Hunt in MI:2 becomes a savior and sets up a new religion - oh wait!

    2. Re:Akin to people walking out with data... by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      He can walk out of it with some data too, and manufacture the virus later.

  10. Works on Ferrets to. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A virus more deadly than Humans? Works on Ferrets to.

  11. Cull the herd by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We could use a couple good ones.

  12. Think of the terrorists! by Chemisor · · Score: 1

    Would somebody please think of the poor terrorists? Everybody knows they are not smart enough to do this sort of research on their own. Without real scientists helping them create doomsday weapons like this one, how will they ever take over the world?

  13. Why these experiments shouldn't be avoided by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The experiment is so low-tech that anyone with access to the virus could do it. They literally exposed one ferret to another, several times, and the virus strain that successfully transmitted was, well, transmissible.

    Which means people should know how easily this can be done.

    It kind of puts a burden on these guys to prove it can be done so they can warn people, for the same reason that we want security researchers to, hey, research security. And to tell people when they find security problems.

    1. Re:Why these experiments shouldn't be avoided by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 1

      yeah , but we don't want security research to create viruses and that might get released into the net just so they can figure out what 'might' happen, that and if every computer on the whole earth crashed , that is nothing compared the the economic, cultural and human destruction that would take place if a strong strain of this bug gets loose.

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
  14. Sustainability by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    What they are working on is a way to create a sustainable world with a far smaller population. You can't just line people up against the wall and shoot them or poison them as the Nazis did but a global epidemic accidentally released from a laboratory will serve just as well and with a far smaller number of people that need to be held accountable.

  15. 60 days by phrostie · · Score: 5, Funny

    and that should give us time to find that Damn ferret.

  16. Time Out! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If I was a mutant, I would take some time off from researching the flu, too.

    Of COURSE I didn't RTFA!

  17. Vid related... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  18. sounds like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    my mom

  19. Mutant flu? by Overunderrated · · Score: 1

    Who really cares if mutants get the flu? The less monsters the better, I say.

  20. Ignorant comment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If these are the same people who flipped their shit over H1N1, their importance = 0.
    Otherwise, whatever.

  21. Follow up to "Pause on avian flu studies" by NikeHerc · · Score: 2

    Hello, Ron A. M. Fouchier and 38 co-authors here. I want to assure everyone that our work on a highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza will have no

    er...

    hold a moment...

    we aren't feeling too well..

    can someone please #$%^

    NO CARRIER

    --
    Circle the wagons and fire inward. Entropy increases without bounds.
    1. Re:Follow up to "Pause on avian flu studies" by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Should have given them some more money to research the problem. Obviously if they're still on dial up, they're hurting for funding.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  22. Perhaps this shouldn't be done. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Personally, I feel that if these scientists insist they have the right to create a highly infectious agent that is airborne and kills 60% of those infected, the public has the right to kill these scientists.

  23. aThis gets SO old by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    It seems like both right and left want to stop research in science depending on RELIGIOUS POVs. The evangelicals, want to stop genetic research, deny evolution as well as Global Warming. The left, with their own brand of religion, want to stop nuclear research and now this.

    it is hard to believe that America was at one time, the leading nation in science. Since the likes of reagan onwards, we have suffered over and over by both extremist on right and left wings.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:aThis gets SO old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah yes, the bogey man Reagan.

      Yes, both political sides have anti-thinking portions. "blue laws" (religious law(most of it)) vs "social justice"(state sponsored theft(most of it)). Neither are attributed to any kind of thought.

    2. Re:aThis gets SO old by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Agreed. That is my whole point. reagan was just the start of the anti-science. But look at Clinton allowing IFR to be killed. That was a PISS POUR CHOICE. While I agree with him that compromise was needed, even he said that he thought it was a mistake. However, there is little doubt that reagan and the neo-cons were the start of anti-science.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:aThis gets SO old by evilviper · · Score: 1

      it is hard to believe that America was at one time, the leading nation in science.

      Funny thing is, I'm watching a documentary right now about how extremely afraid of Nuclear power the German at large is (irationally so). Germany was thee scientific powerhouse before the US, and seems to be working in that direction again, largely unabated by public ignorance and fear.

      And do you really think there was ever a tiime when the US public collectively said "Yay Science, Damn the consequences, Don't let my dogma stop you"? That's nothing but fantasy.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    4. Re:aThis gets SO old by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, we did. From 30's through to early 80's, we pushed the boundaries of science hard. It made America what it was. Then it got stifled. By both sides. Our fear of nukes is irrational.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  24. Why does the virus have to be both? by Karmashock · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I see no reason for an experimental virus to be both highly contagious and deadly at the same time. Couldn't you learn the same thing from two viruses. One that was very contagious but not dangerous and another that was very deadly but not contagious?

    Why put the warhead in the missile if you don't intend to kill people? if you want to test the missile, put a dummy warhead in it. If you want to test the warhead, then detonate without the delivery mechanism.

    Viral researchers do this sort of thing all the time. They test contagious viruses with harmless strains to watch how they get into the body. Deadly strains are typically injected. They're not airborne.

    Maybe I don't understand what they're doing but the whole thing smells like a germ warfare lab if they're combining the two and trying to make them more deadly. That's a weaponization program.

    --
    I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    1. Re:Why does the virus have to be both? by chichilalescu · · Score: 1

      why do you see no reason for it to be both?
      as far as I know, very deadly viruses are also highly contagious (ebola, flu first come to mind). maybe they're highly contagious because they spread in the body very fast (i.e. "deadly")?

      --
      new sig
    2. Re:Why does the virus have to be both? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A couple of reasons:
      1: You can't definitively say that the rate of transmission isn't affected by the pathogenicity. Virus are astoundingly efficient with their genetic code and changing a single base of DNA can potentially affect the way that several of their viral proteins are expressed. It's often an apples to oranges comparison which won't pass scientific muster since control strains won't necessarily be comparable.
      2: Doing so will probably require twice as many people working on the project, and twice as many animals to test. This means that the experiment is unlikely to be approved by either the ethics board or the accounting department.
       
      (posting anon since I'm at work)

    3. Re:Why does the virus have to be both? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      They don't have to be both.

      Deadly refers to how likely you are to survive if infected where as contagious simply relates to how likely you are to get infected.

      So a very deadly virus that isn't very infectious would not be dangerous. But if you were injected with it... you would die.

      A very contagious virus such as the common cold would not be dangerous even if you got because it doesn't really hurt people.

      Taking contagious diseases and then weaponizing them is not responsible or acceptable.

      We stopped doing that research in the US in the 1960s. Want us to start up again? The EXACT same technology we developed in the 1960s to make super plagues is what these people are doing. They reverse engineered the same system.

      That doesn't raise any red flags for you?

      yes it does or no the US should start making super plagues again?

      either/or.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    4. Re:Why does the virus have to be both? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In nature, I think that a virulent, deadly pathogen won't last long. The propagation of the most deadly strains would be limited by its victims becoming too sick to go out and pass the disease along. The less deadly strains would be better fit to propagate, and would end up (through natural selection) becoming the surviving, dominant strains. But this wouldn't necessarily be the case with an engineered strain...

    5. Re:Why does the virus have to be both? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, there's the problem, Ebola is very deadly but it's also very quick so outbreaks can be quarantined and controlled. What you're looking for is something with a reasonably long gestation/contagious period during which you show little signs of the disease and then, after you've spread it to all your friends and co-workers it can kill you off. Flus are very good at this but they're not deadly enough hence the research to make them more deadly.

      The Agenda 21 crowd will eat this up. It's just what they'd need to bring the world to a sustainable population. Of course, they'd have a vaccine for the few they want to actually save and the rest would be left to nature to survive or not.

    6. Re:Why does the virus have to be both? by marcosdumay · · Score: 2

      Different situation here.

      Those researchers found that there is a virus that is hightly contagious and deadly. Also, this virus is likely* to be created at Nature, so it is interesting by itself. The researchers thus want to know how this specific virus behave, not some generic fast spreading or some generic lethal variation of it.

      * For suficiently unlikely values of "likely". It is likely enough to make people afraid, but just because the result will be a lethal pandemic. If it was something less damaging, the same probability wouldn't be considered "likely".

    7. Re:Why does the virus have to be both? by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      as you wish.. we'll just dust off your germ warfare lab that we shut down in the 60s... think of all the super plagues we could have created in the last 50 years!

      Don't worry... we're doing it for SCIENCE!

      Shopping list

      2000 lab monkeys
      10,000 lab rats
      Genealogically frozen plague cultures

      oh and we need to get one of those doors that makes the woosh sound from startrek.. .those are fun.

      It's for science!

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
  25. Basically... by qeveren · · Score: 1

    ... it's biotechnology as usual, only this time the public got to hear about it and now, being utterly ignorant of anything, they're in a panic.

    --
    Don't just stand there, get that other dog!
  26. *Don't* RTFA! by zooblethorpe · · Score: 3, Funny

    No, the researchers are themselves a highly evolved mutation of the influenza virus.

    Which mean that they can't produce offspring unless they infect you?

    Whatever you do, don't click the link!

    :-P

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
  27. Because when you weaponise it by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    The military are going to want something which is both easy to pass on and effective at taking out the enemy population.
     

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Because when you weaponise it by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Relevant if you want a weapon.

      If you want to study a disease then you don't need to combine the two qualities.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    2. Re:Because when you weaponise it by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      I bet the military aren't that interested on something that is also easy to pass and effective at taking out their own population.

  28. Adult Supervision by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It seems to me that these researchers need adult supervision. Forgetting about 'terrorism' for the moment, the consequences of a small mistake or small misunderstanding are far too large. They appear to be thinking like little children playing with cap guns than like adults working with technologies that could possibly lead to either another human population bottleneck or, indeed, extinction.

  29. The drug companies do the research for government by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    And where is the most money? Military research.

    Clearly it's going to be weaponised. They're probably researching selectivity now.

    Doomsday weapon; kill all humans on the planet. Except that's not really what you want, it might get you. What you want is to selectively be able to kill someone. Maybe an individual, maybe a certain ethnicity etc.

    So. They've already got the doomsday weapon now, the biological equivalent of the hydrogen bomb. How do you control it? How do you make it only kill Russians, or Iranians? Could it be used to assassinate Putin?

    --
    Deleted
  30. Fun with Latin declensions! by zooblethorpe · · Score: 3, Informative

    ...the really bad stuff that the evolution of these virii WILL produce at some point.

    NOT. VIRII.

    You sound like an idiot.

    Indeed. The closest Latin word to virii would be viri, which is just the plural for vir, "a man". So I guess the GGP might be right -- "the evolution of these virii^Wmen" *has* produced some really bad stuff.

    More pedantically though, assuming virii existed as the plural of some Latin word, the rules state that the singular would be virius -- still not virus, and not a word in any language that I'm aware of.

    Going the other way from singular to plural and using basic Latin rules, many people might look at virus and assume you just change the -us to -i to make the plural, but that gives us viri again -- meaning "men" as the plural of "a man". Looking deeper, we find that the actual Latin word virus was uncountable , so it never even had a plural in Latin -- so applying Latin rules for deriving the plural is just silly.

    Applying English rules for plural formation to the *countable* *English* word virus gives us the proper plural form viruses.

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
    1. Re:Fun with Latin declensions! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      God I hated Latin. That _was_ the biggest waste of time in high school.

      I still remember the sight and smell of those books burning. Makes me smile.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Fun with Latin declensions! by jd · · Score: 2

      Since we now know that there are a plural number of infinities, it only stands to reason that "uncountable" should be extended to also have a plural form.

      Further, although Latin is officially a "dead" language (ie: no longer evolving), there is no reason why it can't be undead and therefore still have new words added to the dictionary.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:Fun with Latin declensions! by amorsen · · Score: 1

      I think you are not quite doing justice to the subject. The Latin Language Forum has a rather longer treatment of it.

      In Neo-Latin the plural is vira.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    4. Re:Fun with Latin declensions! by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "the singular would be virius"

      That is a pretty awesome word though. We should really find a use for it.

    5. Re:Fun with Latin declensions! by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "it only stands to reason that 'uncountable' should be extended to also have a plural form."

      What's wrong with "uncountables?"

    6. Re:Fun with Latin declensions! by ocdscouter · · Score: 1

      "it only stands to reason that 'uncountable' should be extended to also have a plural form."

      What's wrong with "uncountables?"

      That was the one with Sean Connery and Kevin Costner, right?

  31. Re:The drug companies do the research for governme by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

    It's still just a variation of the Flu. Some people will be resistant.

    If you want a doomsday weapon you have to genetic engineer in some African sleeping sickness surface chemistry genes. That would really fuck over our immune systems.

    I bet (hope) the new $150,000 gene sequencer machines are pre-hacked not to sequence those genes, just like printers would'nt copy currency. All they would need is a table of hash's in the machine. Every time the CDC finds a new very dangerous gene they add a hash with the next update.

    Otherwise it's just a matter of time before some small group of lunatics cooks up something for Prof Farnsworth's collection.

    Governments for all their faults seem to lack the insanity required to kill us all. Even the Indians/Pakis haven't nuked each other. A-bombs seem to force a level of sanity on otherwise fanatical people.

    Perhaps its facing the A-bombs that does it. When it was only one, it was bombs away, don't fuck with us now. Granting 'don't fuck with us now' is a lot better then any historical precedent.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  32. Famous last words by kbg · · Score: 2

    "We would like to assure the public that these experiments have been conducted with appropriate regulatory oversight in secure containment facilities by highly trained and responsible personnel to minimize any risk of accidental release."

  33. What difference with private atom bomb research ? by unity100 · · Score: 1

    If it wasnt world war iii, numerous private 'defense' companies would be working on atom bomb by then, and be willing to contract with whichever nation was willing to buy from them. of course, atom bomb research ALSO would eventually enable nuclear power. ..........

    this kind of thing goes beyond atomic bomb. to effectively discharge an atomic bomb you need to go through numerous hurdles. to start a plague bomb, all you need is a working sample that is enough to infect 3-4 people in a crowded location.

  34. What I want to know is.... by 3seas · · Score: 1

    ... Why are they not working on something that multiplies in just air alone and kills within minutes of contact?

    I mean if they are going to speculate on what nature might or not create, why don't they just go for the brass ring?

  35. Re:The drug companies do the research for governme by gnick · · Score: 1

    It's still just a variation of the Flu. Some people will be resistant.

    Wonderful. We've just shifted out of 12 Monkeys and entered The Stand...

    --
    He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
  36. risk/reward analysis by glodime · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is a risk/reward analysis; to me the risk of killing billions of people is much heavier on my scale of importance than any reward from the research.

    The risk of research: Billions of people could die if containment fails or if natural strains evolve and spread before an effective vaccine is developed.
    Reward of research: Eliminate risk of Billions of people dying if natural strains evolve and spread or containment fails.

    Risk of NO research: Billions of people could die if natural strains evolve and spread.
    Reward of NO research: eliminate risk of Billions of people dying from containment failure.

    Which is better? There is no action that creates zero risk of Billions of people dying.

    1. Re:risk/reward analysis by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      I think that your reward for research needs to be re-defined.

      Reward of research: Decrease risk of Billions of people dying if natural strains evolve exactly the same as in the research and spread.

      The reason for the change from "eliminate" to "decrease" is that there is no gaurantee that the research will be applicable to the virus that evolves in the wild. The reason for removing the last clause is that containment failing is not a reward.

      In my estimation the risk of release of a research pathogen outweighs the possible benifit of the research as it applies to viruses in the wild.

      How abot this analogy? Lets build a virus that will kill millions of people on the off chance that the research may help with a vaccine for a similar virus that may or may not evolve in the wild.

      Research into one virus does not mean that the same research will not be needed to be done for a different virus (one created in the wild).
      Another point is what if the release happens before a vaccine is created? One now has a virulent strain of virus, that may never have been created naturally, in the wild with no vaccine and millions of people may die before the vaccine is created.

      The bottom line is that nature is doing a good enough job of killing us without our help. We are helping by helping by pushing viruses in directions that they may not go in nature and possibly creating pathogens that can kill millions of people because we have not found the vaccine.

      Which is better? There is no action that creates zero risk of Billions of people dying.

      I never said there was a zero risk. I believe there is a higher risk of billions of people dying if the research is done. Say for example, if the risk of a virus outbreak was 50. Say that the research could deal with 20 points of that risk so now the total risk would be 30. But say the risk of a virulant virus being released was 30. Now you have a total risk of 60. The total risk with research is higher that the total risk without research.

    2. Re:risk/reward analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would be true, if you hadn't just pulled those numbers completely out of your ass!

    3. Re:risk/reward analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, humans are coded to believe that inaction is more moral than action when the stakes are equally bad.

    4. Re:risk/reward analysis by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It's even more complex than that, because there's also the additional risk of no research that someone else will do the research in secret and you will be caught napping... you know, the "only criminals will have guns" argument.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:risk/reward analysis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sadly, and that is truly sad, those who oppose any science and scientific thinking whatsoever know that it will be the right half of humanity that will suffer and die out. Sorry, but a die hard fundamentalist thinker of any kind knows that a well fed human survives anything more likely than a starving or poor(ly) nourished one. So if this flu finds its way out of the laboratory, there will be much room for the now self-righteous busybodies. Sad, I know.

  37. Government Oversight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Has anybody noticed that Governement oversight and regulations where your personal data is concerned gets out all the time, so why should we trust their abilities to contain a deadly disease?

  38. "virus" as used in English is an English word by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

    Since we now know that there are a plural number of infinities, it only stands to reason that "uncountable" should be extended to also have a plural form.

    Further, although Latin is officially a "dead" language (ie: no longer evolving), there is no reason why it can't be undead and therefore still have new words added to the dictionary.

    The word "virus" in the discussion here might derive from the Latin, but in modern English discourse the term has clearly been borrowed into the English language and is used as English. There's no need to change anything about Latin dictionary entries unless something changes in how Latin itself is used, as Latin.

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
  39. Neo-Latin details by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

    I think you are not quite doing justice to the subject. The Latin Language Forum has a rather longer treatment of it.

    In Neo-Latin the plural is vira.

    Interesting thread; I recall reading something along those lines some years ago, but clearly forgot the conclusion.

    While this certainly fills in details lacking from my post, the issue at hand in Gotung's post and then in geekoid's reply was the proper plural in English. I'm not sure if a word borrowed from classical Latin into modern English should use Neo-Latin forms, at least not when there are already perfectly serviceable English forms available.

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
    1. Re:Neo-Latin details by amorsen · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if a word borrowed from classical Latin into modern English should use Neo-Latin forms, at least not when there are already perfectly serviceable English forms available.

      I completely agree with you about English. Viruses both looks and sounds fine. There is no reason to go for something more exotic.

      In Danish there are 3 correct plurals of virus: virusser, virus, and vira. The first is too ugly to live and the second is annoying because it's the same as the singular, so vira is in common use.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    2. Re:Neo-Latin details by zooblethorpe · · Score: 1

      In Danish there are 3 correct plurals of virus: virusser, virus, and vira. The first is too ugly to live and the second is annoying because it's the same as the singular, so vira is in common use.

      Very informative. Tusind tak!

      (NB: Danish is the language of about half my ancestors, only three or four generations ago. I tried studying Danish from a book + audio set once, but the materials gave no indication for where glottal stops show up -- as in the name "Sørensen", for instance -- and I gave up out of frustration. Ah, well. Life's too short to waste time on badly done teaching materials.)

      --
      "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
      "A four-foot prune."
  40. Anything that can go wrong will go wrong. by __aasdno7518 · · Score: 1

    "We would like to reassure the public that there is no way this can ever escape the la"

  41. that's bullshit by circletimessquare · · Score: 2

    likewise, radioactive decay is happening everywhere on earth, so who cares if someone has a neutron bomb

    pffffffffffft

    of course in the vast scope of the universe human endeavour is paltry. but that doesn't mean a couple of smart humans can't get together and make a virus purposefully tailored to infect humans, and do that well, and do that tomorrow, rahter than mother nature arriving at the juncture in 20-2000 years

    and some other asshole fucks up and releases it by mistake or some nutcase thinks its a good idea to repeat the experiment and release it because allah or god or yahweh said to

    so i'll make you a deal: i won't posit mankind as omnipotent in the face of mother nature's power, if you don't pretend mankind has no abilities to royally screw himself. deal?

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  42. do you know what is as bad as false alarmism? by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    false complacency

    intelligence is not freaking out in panic at every possible scary scneario

    intelligence is not being completely relaxed even when a possible scary scenario grows in possibility

    intelligence is realizing both extremes are a problem

    i am glad you and others are so smart as to see false alarmism is dangerous

    now grow the other half of your brain and realize false complacency is equally dangerous

    if you don't have an appreciation of man's vast power to completely fuck up on purpose or by mistake, you're an idiot

    reference: fukushima

    (now we will hear form those who will dismiss fukushima as not an example of any warning about mankind's ability to screw up... guess what: you false complacent types are just ignorant as the hysterical false alarmists. now grow a brain and learn why)

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  43. Ronald Regan on why mutants could save us... by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1
    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  44. Re:Ronald Reagan on why mutants could save us... by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    Sorry about the typo in his name.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  45. Do the Wooly Shuffle by Dareth · · Score: 1

    Hey Ugh, Hey Ugh!
    Nyup Nyup, I mean Ugh Ugh Ugh!

    --

    I only look human.
    My mother is a halfling and my dad is an ogre, so that makes me an Ogreling
  46. anthrax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Forgetting something...?

  47. Re:The drug companies do the research for governme by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

    A group of people controlling lots of money with political influence are generally pretty sane to begin with to be able to pull off a manhattan level project. That, and keep tabs on these weapons. But event that's not guaranteed with the likes of N. Korea and Iran.

    No. The biggest fear is someone cooking up a synthetic virus with one of these sequencers. It's just another form of programming. But instead of controlling computer hardware, your playing with meat. Far more deadly.

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
  48. H5 Already in Humans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Epidemiologists worry about H5 because of the often-mentioned "50% case mortality!" However, these are only cases which were bad enough to justify hospitalization in the first place. Much like we do with tuberculosis, we can easily check if people have been infected with an H5-bearing flu strain by checking for circulating antibodies in blood. Extensive testing has revealed many individuals are seropositive for the H5 protein suggesting that the 50% value is highly misleading (due to the biased case selection.)

    Now, it's an epidemiologist's JOB to worry about this sort of thing, but a good bit of literature is out there suggesting that the worries are unfounded.

  49. Not permitting this research would be dangerous. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    WRT the comment that the research should never have been permitted, hogwash.

    What the research shows is that it was quite easy to accelerate the evolution of transmissibility, and it is important to know this. It means that relatively unskilled persons could succeed in creating an easily transmitted form of the virus, and not knowing that could be fatal.

    -michael

  50. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion