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Where Next-Generation Rare Earth Metals May Come From

retroworks writes "Great piece in The Atlantic by Kyle Wiens of IFIXIT.org, who visited and photographed the Molycorp Mountain Pass rare earth facility in California's Mojave Desert. The mine is the only source of rare earths in North America, one of the only alternatives to the mineral cartels in China, and one of the only sources for the key metals such as tantalum needed in cell phones. There is of course actually one other source of rare earth metals in the USA — recycled cell phones. Is the best 'state of the art' mining as good as the worst state of the art recycling? If the U.S. Department of Energy subsidizes the mine, will China open the floodgates and put it out of business? Or will electronics be manufactured with alternative materials before the mine ever becomes fully scaleable?"

42 of 179 comments (clear)

  1. In a not so distant future... by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...rare Earth metals may come from the Moon. We didn't do that yet, because no one knows how to call them.

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    1. Re:In a not so distant future... by forkfail · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Long before that, they'll come from Afghanistan, in all likelihood:

      http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=afghanistan-holds-enormous-bounty-of-rare-earths

      (which may explain a few things...)

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    2. Re:In a not so distant future... by phrostie · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I suspect mining landfills is going to be a major industry in the century to come.
      I wonder how you would go about looking to see who, if anyone, has been buying up mineral rights on landfills?

    3. Re:In a not so distant future... by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 4, Insightful

      My post is indeed not very clever. I won't thank you, but thanks to your unfortunate post, mine looks brillant now. Relativity...

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    4. Re:In a not so distant future... by Ihmhi · · Score: 2

      Well by 2014 we're supposed to have pretty much all American troops out of Afghanistan. Even if mining companies were to get set up in the area, what are they going to do to protect themselves against insurgents and/or banditry? Hire a private army?

    5. Re:In a not so distant future... by Surt · · Score: 2

      Hiring a private army is the traditional solution, yes.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    6. Re:In a not so distant future... by slew · · Score: 2

      Well by 2014 we're supposed to have pretty much all American troops out of Afghanistan. Even if mining companies were to get set up in the area, what are they going to do to protect themselves against insurgents and/or banditry? Hire a private army?

      Just about diamond mine today has their own private army. Why would this mining operation be any different?

      http://www.iss.co.za/pubs/books/peaceprofitplunder/chap9.pdf

  2. Not the only place by husker_man · · Score: 4, Informative

    There are rare-earth deposits in other places - like Elk City, Nebraska having resources of the rare metals. However, it wouldn't be much fun to be running a mine in the middle of the desert.

    1. Re:Not the only place by lightknight · · Score: 2

      Hmm. Does anyone know just how well the various resources of the United States have been mapped?

      --
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    2. Re:Not the only place by trainman · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There are also mines starting up for rare earths in the Canadian arctic. Actually, quite large deposits up there from what I've read.

    3. Re:Not the only place by ackthpt · · Score: 3, Informative

      I thought Australia was proving to be rich in rare Earch metals.

      Linky

      --

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    4. Re:Not the only place by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Interesting

      However, it wouldn't be much fun to be running a mine in the middle of the desert.

      Actually, high volume / low yield mining is probably best done in a desert (if it can be done in an environmentally sane fashion anywhere). Remember, these are not high grade ores. It's not like you pick axe out a block of Yttiribilium (or however you spell these silly names). You get a pile of rocks with a bit more Yttiribilium than the surrounding rocks and then you process it into a slurry with more Yttiribilium and then it goes off and gets smelted.

      There was an interesting article somewhere suggesting that the best way to do this in terms of minimizing mining and water waste was to crush the ore, separate the rare earths using magnets and getting the concentration up to around 50%. It would then be economically feasible to haul that much smaller volume of rock to the a large, perhaps one off facility, that purified the material and dealt with the large amount of tainted water, dust and heavy metals that the refinery process entailed.

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    5. Re:Not the only place by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Informative

      Hmm. Does anyone know just how well the various resources of the United States have been mapped?

      Google comes up with fantastically interesting stuff sometimes. And it's even safe for work!

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    6. Re:Not the only place by MollyB · · Score: 2

      Detailed maps of valuable deposits would be proprietary, I should think. The US Geological Survey does provide maps of mineral resources.

    7. Re:Not the only place by mikael · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It would be even worse running a mine in downtown LA or New York. Imagine trying to get all those Caterpillar 797's and Liebherr T282B's through rush-hour traffic ....

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    8. Re:Not the only place by ccool · · Score: 3, Informative

      There is also some deposit in Canada.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hoidas_Lake

      I have been to a conference in 2009 where the speaker was talking about a mine which would open in a few years.

    9. Re:Not the only place by Ihmhi · · Score: 4, Funny

      It's not like you pick axe out a block of Yttiribilium (or however you spell these silly names).

      WHAT?! Minecraft LIED to me!

  3. Lame article by Animats · · Score: 5, Informative

    Superficial article about Mountain Pass. The big problem they have is finding a place to dump the tailings. A rare earth mine needs big settling ponds. The Mountain Pass solution is that they've built a pipeline to Ivanpah Dry Lake on the Nevada border.

    The mine tailings are slightly radioactive, because the dirt in the area being mined has some uranium and thorium in it. This isn't a big deal once the water has evaporated and it's solid material again, but the water in the tailings ponds has to be kept from leaching into a water supply.

    1. Re:Lame article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      All the same, as someone who has recently invented a new form of energy storage that relies upon several ceramics comprised in part of rare Earth elements - and having to deal with foreign vendors for the ceramics - I can definitely say its a challenge. Virtually all rare-earth suppliers are in the Asia/Pacific area - all of them get their rare Earths from China, and China is increasingly locking down the supply (they will of course build whatever you want made out of Rare Earths at an incredibly competitive price, but if you want to buy the raw materials instead of the finished component there is a very tightly controlled channel to go through with strict limits on how much can be exported - IMO this is to get the designs of what is being built so they can control the manufacturing side). In short: all of our latest technology requires rare Earths, all foreseeable technology will require it - rare Earths are practically the new Oil, we should have our mine running ALONG WITH a strong rare Earth recycling program, possibly go further and provoke the Icelandic mines to open up as well as encourage (even buy stock from) companies in Japan readying to mine the massive supply of rare Earths on the Pacific Ocean seabed.

    2. Re:Lame article by L3370 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've heard other discussions about rare earth mining here on /. and one factor that seemed to pop up all the time was China.

      Specifically, China being so willing to mine without much regard to pollution or contanimation. They are the biggest suppliers of it now so they can set the price. If someone were to stand up a mining operation in say...california, all China would have to do is drop their asking price or ramp up production and watch the California mine collapse in bankruptcy.

      It is my understanding that propping up a rare earth mining/refining operation requires tons of capital and an incredible amount of preparation for enviornmental concerns (at least in western nations where people don't like radioactive pools leaking into their ground water). Investors would be understandibly weary of putting money on the line when China could potentially kick the legs from under the entire enterprise.

      Hard to compete when your competitor is willing to turn their backyard into a wasteland.

  4. Mission. ****ing. Accomplished. by girlintraining · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So if we make the mine operational and then China starts providing us with cheap metal, I don't see the problem. Keep the mine maintained, and ready for use, and let China load us up with cheap minerals. Oh, of course making this situation of allowing many hundreds of businesses and hundreds of millions of consumers to thrive in an atmosphere of reduced costs would depend on the government buying out or subsidizing one...

    Naturally, this will have conservatives crawling out of the woodwork to declare that capitalism is being subverted and to let the market decide. I will quietly pray that the other business leaders wait for those conservatives to go home, and then beat them until all the stupid has leaked out...

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    1. Re:Mission. ****ing. Accomplished. by olsmeister · · Score: 2

      Opening the mine and, if necessary, subsidizing it may be the best answer in a situation like this. However the important thing is to maintain the availability of the resource, not necessarily to keep the price low.

      I'm sure the far right would consider this sacrilege to the God of Free Markets, but sometimes when you're dealing with entities like China you need to be willing to stray slightly from your ideology sometimes, for everyone's sake.

  5. Mineral Cartels in China? by TubeSteak · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Just to be clear: rare earth minerals are mined in numerous countries.
    Our problem is that China had a national strategy of buying up as many mines and refineries as it could.
    By creating a vertical *monopoly, China has made it very hard for anyone else to enter the market.

    Assuming China doesn't implode from its demographic and financial problems, there's a serious risk that China's state capitalism is going to outcompete America's free/mixed market capitalism.

    *sometimes monopolies lower prices. When this happens to a market with high start up costs, it deters anyone else from entering.

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    1. Re:Mineral Cartels in China? by alexander_686 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To clarify, it’s not a monopoly per say. It’s the market structure that makes it hard for anybody to enter.

      To start a rare earth mine requires long lead times, large up-front capital spending, and high running costs (As have been mentioned, these mines produce a lot of trailings that need special environmental handling).

      Any competitor entering the market would face a opponent that has already spent huge amounts on it’s fixed capital (i.e. sunk costs). What normally happens in these situations is a long, brutal price war as the established company lowers it price because it does not have to recoup it’s sunk costs. So anybody who enters the market could not count on today’s high prices.

      If the established company want’s it’s monopoly, it can even “dump” product onto the market for years, starving it’s completion.

        Factor in that you are going against a state sponsored Chinese company that has access to cheap capital (effectively reducing the cost of it’s fixed capital) and lower requirements to it’s environmental laws.

    2. Re:Mineral Cartels in China? by alexander_686 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But the structure of the market dictates the best way to handle this. In industries like this you tend to get monopolies, cartels, collusion, etc.

      One choice is to break the company up. Not an option here.

      Another choice is to compete head on. In industries like this it will mean years of pouring subsidizes down the new competitor. This “monopoly” (well, “leading oligopoly” would be more correct) can hang on for years until it breaks even without a state subside. It may well be worth it, but don’t kid yourself that it’s going to be a quick battle.

      Another choice is to doge the issue. Figure out better ways to recycle. Toyota is figuring out how to make electric motors that don’t require rare earths.etc.

      As a counter point, look back to the 80’s when Japanese companies were dumping DRAM onto the market Intel had a choice. They could keep producing their bread and butter, seek US Government subsides, and engage in a very long and expensive fight over a commodity product. Or, they could abandon their main business – which they did – for CPUs. And we know how the battle ended – Intel prospered, Japan stagnated, and South Koreans won.

      Now, I do think it’s good to have a supply other than China. It’s not the high prices but forcing companies to relocate to China if they want a supply. But it’s good to know the nature of the fight and to think of other options.

  6. Why no right-thinking person believes in free trad by MikeRT · · Score: 3, Interesting

    will China open the floodgates and put it out of business

    Whenever I've had conversations with libertarians about how free trade would actually work in the real world where governments frequently aggressively protect corporate interests, they always stammer "buh buh the free market will prevail." Really? You mean American companies going up against Chinese state-owned companies or companies with tacit backing from the Chinese central government aren't going to face crushing problems competing against that level of cohesion between state and corporate power? Anyone remember what happen to the Australian mining executives who were imprisoned a while back for having the audacity to negotiate hardball style with their Chinese counterparts under the mistaken premise that it was a meeting of equals?

    When this country was at its most economically free, we had high tariffs. That's an indisputable fact that no free trader can deny unless they want to argue that slavery was so heinous that it overshadows all of the economic freedom in all areas of employment, property ownership, business creation, etc. that was enjoyed in the late 18th century and most of the 19th century.

  7. Re:Why no right-thinking person believes in free t by Pope · · Score: 3, Informative

    The simplistic answer is that fee companies competing with state-sponsored ones is by very definition not a free market.

    --
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  8. Re:Why no right-thinking person believes in free t by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Whenever I've had conversations with libertarians about how free trade would actually work in the real world

    See, there's your problem.

    Sadly, the Libertarian model more or less assumes that nothing about current reality applies, and that we can hit a big reset button and start from scratch in a bubble where all of their little assumptions would hold true by sheer force of will.

    It's like bed-time stories for economists.

    There will always be inequalilties that keep that perfectly free market from happening, and countries will always try to bolster their own industry over others. The US does this in many areas (agriculture, steel, lumber) and seems to expect they can protect their own companies while trying to skew the playing field against foreign competition who have a different cost structure.

    To me, there's simply nothing to actually support the notion that the Libertarian free market could ever exist. And, if it did, it sure isn't going to bring about all of the positive things it claims ... mostly the world would devolve into the rich having all of the privileges, and the rest of us being left to duke it out for scraps. But apparently, that's a good thing somehow.

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  9. Re:Plenty of rare earths in NA by arth1 · · Score: 2

    Not only in the US, but in other parts of the world too.
    After all, about half the rare earth metals are named after a single Swedish town and the scientists working on samples from there. But minerals with rare earth elements in them can be found in numerous places.

    The question is how high the price must go before commercial mining or even prospecting becomes lucrative, given the higher environmental concerns in countries outside China, Columbia and South Africa. It's (for now) cheaper to close ones eyes and let these countries mine it and deal with (or ignore) the pollution problems.

  10. Re:Why no right-thinking person believes in free t by eth1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    My first thought when I read that was that if China starts selling the stuff at insanely low prices (at a subsidized loss) to beat out domestic competition, why don't we just start buying it up and stockpiling it.

    That would give us a buffer if they decide to cut us off, and we wouldn't need to buy from them for a while if they raise the prices, which might cause them to keep underselling themselves.

  11. Isn't recycling the best source of rare earths? by mspohr · · Score: 3, Informative

    It seems that the second link in the summary is being ignored (by both /. and industry). The concentration of rare earth elements in used electronics (cell phones, displays, computers, etc.) is many thousand times higher than their concentrations in rare earth ores. Rather than tearing up and polluting large areas of the earth with new mining, it would seem to be much more cost efficient and easier on the environment to "mine" used electronics.

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    1. Re:Isn't recycling the best source of rare earths? by wwbbs · · Score: 2

      HREE's are used in such small quantities that extraction is often impractical to extract them is no economical or environmentally sound. Often they are used as catalysts and are consumed in the manufacturing process etc, or the risk of mixing the compounds and creating a volatile substance is also a risk. Safety Concerns “The fire is not the only safety problem,” says John Michlovic, manager of technical services and marketing for H.H. Robertson Floor Systems. The plastics used in the insulation and jacketing may also release toxic gasses and smoke in a fire scenario. The fire doesn't necessarily ignite the cabling jackets immediately, but the heat can cause it to release clear or white toxic gases that are highly dangerous. These gases can be blind you or shutdown your respiratory system. Incapacitation of the building occupants is a real problem that is not addressed by the testing or the NEC. "Plenum rated cabling may start burning in 35 to 40 seconds to a couple of minutes," says Michlovic. "Currently, there's no toxic gasses-developed criteria for plenum-rated cable, no fuel load standard. Worst of all, there are no toxicity standard and no acid level requirements." Current industry estimates: 1,000 feet of four-pair unshielded twisted pair (UTP) cable weighs about 24 pounds -10 pounds of copper and 14 pounds of plastic jacketing and insulation. "When cables are installed in a plenum air handling space, exposure to airflow makes the risk from heat or fire generated toxic gasses and smoke especially dangerous for building occupants when fire breaks out," says John Moritz, principal of JMME consulting firm, well-known safety advocate and NFPA/NEC expert. Fluoropolymer (like DuPont Teflon® FEP) insulated and/or jacketed cabling releases many toxic gases under heat decomposition. Some of the deadly gasses like Hydrogen Fluoride are highly reactive. HF gas, when in contact with any moisture, including humidity, forms hydrofluoric acid. Moritz said, "Hydrofluoric acid is so corrosive that it can destroy most glass and eat away most metals and metal oxides. The damage potential posed by HF to the human body is immediate and it can affect your eyes, throat, and lungs incapacitating someone on exposure. Incapacitation can and does lead to many fire related causalities." Remember: Safety is too important to ignore.

  12. Re:Why no right-thinking person believes in free t by Charliemopps · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You don't understand what free trade is. That's your problem. We do NOT have free trade in the united states... not by a long shot. We subsidize one industry, tax another, we bribe other countries to sell us cheap goods with economic and military aid. If China is willing to sell goods for cheaper than it costs to produce, then that's good for us. The rare earth metals will remain in our country while we bleed China dry. You can only try to manipulate the market for so long before you run out of money. That time is fast approaching for China. The price of goods will suddenly skyrocket and manufacturing in the US will suddenly seem a lot more reasonable (it's actually already starting to happen) The only thing standing in our way is our government and its silly programs designed to aid industry and other countries. Let oil rise to its real value (likely $8-$10/gallon) and see what happens to the automotive industry. Stop subsidizing farmers and giving the food away to countries that can't afford to produce it themselves. When the cost of a bad of grain goes from "free" to $20, see how quick local business's figure out the free market.

  13. Trash dumps in general by wjcofkc · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I have long held the idea that a future industry will be the comprehensive mining of trash dumps.

    --
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  14. National Geographic had a good article a year ago by wbr1 · · Score: 5, Informative

    NGC here has a good article. One of the issues though again is cheaper labor and lax restrictions in China. Processing rare earths is labor intensive and can generate toxic and radioactive by-products which are fare more expensive to deal with in our regulatory system from an environmental and worker safety perspective.

    --
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  15. Re:Why no right-thinking person believes in free t by lightknight · · Score: 2

    Indeed. However, the general thought is that although the [Insert Foreign Power] can tacitly back one of their chosen industries, to do so they must pull resources from somewhere else, which creates an opening.

    Think of the marketplace as a battlefield. To put 5 more tanks on the lines protecting [Insert Politically-Favored Company], they must draw 5 tanks away from [Insert Some Other Company Not Held In As High Regard]. They strengthen one, at the cost of another; by focusing on their front lines, they've left their flanks unguarded. When the imbalance becomes large enough, competition from within and without begins appearing in earnest, destroying what's left of those weakened companies, and coming up from behind on those previously favored companies.

    To protect GM, the United States had to ultimately sacrifice a fair number of less-favored, weaker, and / or newly created companies. Ultimately, it's a form of cannibalization, where Saturn eats his sons to maintain his power (to mix in some Roman mythology here, just for fun).

    This is why protectionist economies eventually fail -> the market moves at light-speed or faster, cannot be bribed, and is constantly checking for weaknesses; the people working the protectionist racket move at human speeds, can be bribed, and are not always aware of weaknesses in either themselves, their friends, or their enemies. As the effects of poor decisions take some time to ripple throughout the markets (the effects thereof, not the decisions themselves), endlessly cascading until they hit a particular resonance (at which point destruction, creative or otherwise appears), things such as high tariffs may take several years to destroy a healthy economy. Feel me? It's like losing a loved one, acknowledging the fact thereof for many months, but only realizing it / feeling it on some quiet afternoon when you suddenly break out in tears, but don't know why.

     

    --
    I am John Hurt.
  16. Re:Why no right-thinking person believes in free t by ArcherB · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Whenever I've had conversations with libertarians about how free trade would actually work in the real world where governments frequently aggressively protect corporate interests, they always stammer "buh buh the free market will prevail."

    Here, let me try.

    When China subsidises it's own mines to drive prices down and force the competition out of business, our local mines will shutter and we all enjoy the benefits of rare earth minerals paid for, in part, by the Chinese taxpayer. We all win with the exception of the miners who were working at the mines. The mine owners may be forced to sell then mine to someone with enought foresight to know that the prices won't stay low forever. And they would be correct.

    Once the Chinese government thinks they have a lock on the market and raises prices, the domestic mines open back up and begin to reap the large profits from the elevated prices of these rare earth minerals. Eventually, the price will lower and stabilize once supply reaches and equalibrium with demand.

    So, yeah! The free markets will prevail. The main losers here would be the Chinese government and taxpayer who subsidized the materials that we used to build stuff and sell back to them at a profit. (Actually, they'd be the ones building it... but for Apple, who is American based)

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  17. Canada is most of North America by beckett · · Score: 2

    There's more than one rare earth mine in North America: Hoidas Lake in northern Saskachewan, and Strange Lake in northern Quebec, and Bernic Lake in Manitoba.

    I guess the US is just lazy or something; lots of rare earths being pulled out of North America already.

    1. Re:Canada is most of North America by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Also in Canada:

        Misery Lake (Labrador), Ramusio Lake (Quebec), Alterra-Strange Lake (near Strange Lake in Quebec), Eden Lake in the Leaf Rapids district of Manitoba, Red Wine HREE Project in southern Labrador.

      Elsewhere:

      Aktyuz Ore Field among others in Kyrgyz Republic (being mined by NA companies in collaboration with Kyrgyz companies), not to mention Sweden, Norway, and Finland among many others.

      China however controls 97% of the market. The can drive others out of business simply by lowering prices and making it economically infeasible to produce (H)REEs

  18. Sea Floor by rwise2112 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    On the ocean floor, are large deposits of the stuff Wall Street Journal
    A company called Nautilus Minerals Inc. is planning to begin operations.

    --

    "For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert"
  19. The flood gates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is where capitalism fails, when the intervention of a government dictates everything. You can only fight such abuse with your own abuse (high traffics to ensure alternatives along with international agreements with other countries). It would otherwise be too easy for China to fully control usage of rare earth around the world. These rare earth mining operations take a long time to both setup and become profitable, China needs only to open up it's export policies every few years to basically destroy any normal company. The only other option is government subsidizes to alternatives. Either way, it would require government to fight against government. (An economic resource war in a way).

  20. Re:Why no right-thinking person believes in free t by ArcherB · · Score: 2

    What you've described is how customers will respond to market forces. The situation is still anything but a free market.

    If you consider China subsidizing shit to still be part of the 'free market,' then what the fuck is the point of even having the term 'free market' to begin with? It's all just 'the market'.

    --Jeremy

    Understand that OUR market will be free and end up ahead. Sure, in my example, the Chinese government tried to manipulate the market, and did so successfully. However, it didn't help them. It ended up helping OUR market, because we have the FREE market in my example.

    What you've described is how customers will respond to market forces.

    Yeah! It's called Demand and is the most fundamental concept of economics. I thought we were past that.

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