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Was Earth a Migratory Planet?

astroengine writes "Why our planet isn't a "snowball Earth" — a dilemma called the 'faint young sun paradox' — has foxed solar and planetary scientists for decades. Since the Earth's formation, a planet covered in ice should have stifled any kind of greenhouse effect, preventing our atmosphere from warming up and maintaining water in a liquid state. Now, David Minton of Purdue University has come up with a novel solution that, by his own admission, straddles science fact and fiction. Perhaps Earth evolved closer to the Sun and through some gravitational effect, it was pushed to a higher orbit as the Sun grew hotter. But watch out, if this is true, planetary chaos awaits."

257 comments

  1. On the upside though by Fluffeh · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If this is the case, and the "chaos" that awaits is us migrating into a higher orbit, then whoopee, there goes us having to worry about the greenhouse effect... Oh wait... this isn't just another excuse not to curb our burning of fossil fuels is it?

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    1. Re:On the upside though by geekoid · · Score: 1, Troll

      just so you know, CO2 is a poison.
      Also, getting farther away and darkening the atmosphere isn't really a survivable strategy.

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    2. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      just so you know, you're a retard.
      Also, CO2 is not a poison.

    3. Re:On the upside though by Gideon+Wells · · Score: 0, Troll

      poison/poizn/
      Noun:
      A substance that, when introduced into or absorbed by a living organism, causes death or injury, esp. one that kills by rapid action.

      Counter: It is. Though everything is in large enough quantities. Even water. It is all about the LD50.

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    4. Re:On the upside though by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Informative

      So is O2. It takes life and sunlight to constantly replenish the element back into our atmosphere. Otherwise it will just be bound up in oxidation with something else. Most of it already has been with iron. Excess O2 did not start accumulating until about 1.7 billion years ago.

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    5. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      just so you know, CO2 is a poison.
      Also, getting farther away and darkening the atmosphere isn't really a survivable strategy.

      So is dihydrogen monoxide.

    6. Re:On the upside though by cpu6502 · · Score: 0

      We won't curb our fossil fuel use any way... there's no viable alternative (especially for mobile devices like cars, planes, long-distance freight trucks, ships). It would mean living like they lived in the pre-oil age (1800s).

      BTW wasn't earth a Snowball already? That didn't seem to affect its ability to warm-up later on. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snowball_Earth

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    7. Re:On the upside though by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hey, dihydrogen monoxide is perfectly safe as long as you process it with grain, yeast, a bit of hops, and the correct amount of time... it was in fact this process that saved the world!
      http://topdocumentaryfilms.com/how-beer-saved-the-world/

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    8. Re:On the upside though by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      We won't curb our fossil fuel use any way...

      We will when we run out.

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    9. Re:On the upside though by busyqth · · Score: 5, Funny

      It won't run out because oil is being constantly created in the earth's mantle, just like blood is continuously manufactured by marrow.
      Both Mantle and Marrow start with 'M'.
      Think about it.

    10. Re:On the upside though by Known+Nutter · · Score: 2

      Not sure if my sarcasm detector is broken, but when you go popping a bunch of holes in your body, pay close attention to your marrow's inability to manufacture enough new blood to keep up with gravity's demand of placing your blood all over the floor.

      I think my sarcasm detector is busted, though I'm gonna post the above anyway since I put a fair amount of thought into it...

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    11. Re:On the upside though by letherial · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That documentary had so many leaps and assumptions that it was hard to follow. Basically, it showed itself as so bias that the worship of beer seemed more important then facts; undermining the very fabricate of truth it tried to create. It makes such a leap that if it wasn't for beer, civilized society would of never been created, but the impossibility of knowing that is really never mentioned. There are more then just one thing that started civilization moving, declaring it all to revolve around beer is ridiculous. What about the wheel, same argument could be made. While i admit beer has a strong place in our history, it is not the end-all-be-all that this documentary tried to make it seem. At least, that was my impression of it; i guess if i was a beer lover, i may of seen it different, or maybe if i would of been interested in the whole thing, i was over a friends house and barley paying attention, so watch it for yourselves.

    12. Re:On the upside though by mooingyak · · Score: 1

      From my end that was either superbly done, or it hasn't occurred to you that you can bleed out even when your blood has to go against gravity to exit your body.

      I honestly can't tell.

      --
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    13. Re:On the upside though by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      But it makes beer so much more enjoyable... I'd rather have fizzy beer than the planet. And most men would agree.

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    14. Re:On the upside though by Lumpy · · Score: 3, Funny

      "It makes such a leap that if it wasn't for beer, civilized society would of never been created, but the impossibility of knowing that is really never mentioned. "

      Agreed, it's preposterous.

      Everyone knows that civilized society came about when Whiskey and Gin was invented. And yes I count a good brandy in there as well.

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    15. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh wait... this isn't just another excuse not to curb our burning of fossil fuels is it?

      So what! Pollute away and call the extra week in each year Robot Party Week.

    16. Re:On the upside though by Lumpy · · Score: 5, Informative

      "We won't curb our fossil fuel use any way... there's no viable alternative"

      That is a completely full of ridiculousness statement.

      There is no viable alternative, By what measure, that there is already 80,000 stations selling hydrogen on every street corner for $1.22 a gallon? That you dont already have your home covered in solar?

      Fools make such statements. Solar is a highly viable alternative to home energy, Even as far north as Copper harbor, MI there are off the grid homes and even state buildings that have a 5KW solar install that works even on cloudy days (that is easy to do BTW) As for cars, electric storage is coming about, and if you paid for it you could have one built that will go 300 miles on a single charge. bio-diesel, switchgrass, there are a ton of other sources of fuel for use in an Internal Combustion engine if you MUST stick with that old outdated technology.

      Will it do 0-60 in 2.4 seconds and take up 3 lanes of traffic and carry 80 people? No, the canyonero gigantor truck people will have to suffer. Will it make a small 4 seater? yes it will. Even a small 4 seater 4X4 truck if you really need one because you live miles away from roads. The technology is there already, it's just most amercians are too stupid to understand it. They think they NEED 300HP and to carry 7 passengers + 40 cu FT of cargo all the time.

      You dont. Just like you dont need to have 60 light bulbs in your home burning with 120Watts of light in each of them. Be realistic and suddenly alternatives start popping up everywhere.

      Hell you can run a internal Combustion engine off of WOOD! Google it for some education.

      Will it require americans to stop being idiots and actually learn things about daily life? yes. And if that is what you are talking about, people being required to have a solid basic education about most everything like they did in the 1800's, then that is a good thing.

      none of the caravans crossing the United states, waited for AAA to change their wagon wheel.

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    17. Re:On the upside though by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 2

      I think you missed it. I believe he was referring to the Abiogenic petroleum origin theory, which is generally discredited (and, thus, his silly example where both Mantle and Marrow start with 'M').

      Of course, if you have to explain it, it isn't funny.

    18. Re:On the upside though by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 1

      If this is the case, and the "chaos" that awaits is us migrating into a higher orbit, then whoopee, there goes us having to worry about the greenhouse effect... Oh wait... this isn't just another excuse not to curb our burning of fossil fuels is it?

      How many billions of years are you planning to live?

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    19. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that plenty of people and places are curbing their fossil fuel use and carbon emissions right now! Surprisingly, none of those places have reverted to pre-Victorian living conditions. That's not a surprise, really, because behaving smarter usually has a better pay off than behaving really, really dumb. So how about you forget about the 'we', paleface, and concentrate on the 'me'?

    20. Re:On the upside though by dudpixel · · Score: 2, Informative

      yeah we have all this great technology but can the average person afford it? no, they cant.

      we have solar here in australia. the govt provides a rebate which kind of makes it seem attractive, but the truth is that the panels will often need replacing before you've broken even on the cost.

      as far as cars go, many people buy second hand cars because that's all they can afford. I suppose if people buying new cars start targetting more efficient / hybrid / greener cars then eventually the situation will change.

      but so far "green" cars carry a fairly substantial tax (ie. higher purchase price compared to equivalent petrol/diesel car) which often outweighs any cost benefit you get from it.

      The only thing we can deduce is that eventually the cost of petrol/diesel will climb to the point where these other technologies are cheaper...and then people will start to switch.

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    21. Re:On the upside though by Fluffeh · · Score: 5, Funny

      How many billions of years are you planning to live?

      Ideally as many as I can.

      I of course plan to get fashionably mad into my second billion, but the recover after a bit of time in some choice facility. By that time though, I should have enough money to pay for absolutely anything, I deposited six dollars into a compound interest savings plan a week ago Tuesday.

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    22. Re:On the upside though by hairyfeet · · Score: 2

      Uhhh..maybe you missed the story on the front page about how Asian call centers are being trained with tax dollars? You see to actually buy all this whizzbang tech, which is anything BUT cheap, you need...oh what is it called...oh yeah MONEY. That kind of thinking is why we have morons like Al Gore say "Well just raise the gas to $5+ a gallon and they'll all buy green cars or take the bus" while ignoring that in many places in the USA there simply are NO buses and the average age of a car in the USA right now is 11 years because nobody has any money to buy new ANYTHING.

      This is why I've said for ages what we need is some common sense. What we need is a "people's car" that doesn't use batteries or any other bullshit that will make the price out of reach for the working poor, but instead build a car with a minimum of 40MPG with both a 2 door and a 4 door, and make the price $10k. THEN have a cash for clunkers program so that even the working poor can afford to trade in those 10+ year old gas hogs. If you can get it above 40MPG? great but it must NOT cost more than $10K.

      Since the average MPG in the USA is 20 you'll have cut our fuel usage in half if you get everyone to switch and you'll also be producing more jobs the old fashioned way when businesses crop us to customize the new car. But all we are doing now is letting rich folks feel green if they so desire and from what i've seen most of the rich folks? really don't care about green, they are in a Lexus.

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    23. Re:On the upside though by Bruha · · Score: 1

      Not true, the sun gets about 1% brighter every million years so if we move away slowly then maybe that counteracts the increase in light output.

      There's a theory out there that believes as the sun loses mass the planets move away slowly, so perhaps by the time the sun is a red giant, we would be far enough away to not get toasted.

    24. Re:On the upside though by Fluffeh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That would make perfect sense that as the sun loses mass the planets drift further away, but the problem is that the size of the sun is driven not only by the mass, but the available fuel driving the fusion reaction inside it. The radius of the sun is maintained by the amount of energy being released in its core through fusion which pushes against the force of gravity pulling the sun together. Certain elements fuse releasing a lot of energy, others fuse releasing only a little energy - yet others fuse and take in energy from their surroundings. The tipping point is Fe (Iron), anything lighter releases energy when it is fused, anything heavier absorbs energy. While sun has converted about 100 earth masses into energy over the 4.5 billion years it has been here, it is still fusing mainly Hydrogen (lots of energy output), meaning that by the time it reaches red giant phase in about another 5.5 billion years, it will have used up a bit over another 100. The problem is that it has around 330,000 times as much as the Earth. It is losing mass through fusion, but not nearly enough to increase the orbital radius of the planets by the time it reaches the red giant phase.

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    25. Re:On the upside though by Fluffeh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Also

      the sun gets about 1% brighter every million

      is wrong. The sun is getting brighter at the rate of 10% every billion years.

      Short and Long scales aside, a billion years is at minimum 1,000 million (or a million million if you use the long scale) - both of which are orders of magnitue different to what you claim.

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    26. Re:On the upside though by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Informative

      This was one of the most horrible events in Earths history, causing mass death and killing off nearly all life on this planet.

      Let's bow for a minute of silent prayer to all the anaerobic victims of the Great Oxygenation Event

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    27. Re:On the upside though by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      You can actually push the gas price to 5$, BUT this money has to go into the alternatives. If you just jack up the price, then yes, nothing will happen. Except that people who already have little will have even less. Because, as you identified correctly, they can neither take the (nonexistent) bus nor afford a cleaner car.

      But if you, as the government, slap a 3 bucks tax on every gallon of fuel sold in the US, you can very easily use that money to either establish a bus system worth the name or (and this is more likely to be a success) pay part of a new car, and the less fuel the car uses, the more the share you get from the gov. Yes, yes, it's self defeating because you get less money if less gas is sold, but until this happens you have already not only "converted" enough people but also the car industry because they go for what sells.

      Not to mention that you could use that system to steer people towards buying US cars. Like, say, tax cut only if it's a US built car...

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    28. Re:On the upside though by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Hey, I want to see that planet go pop, so keep moisturizing me!

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    29. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Civilized society came about when there was tea and coffee.

      Then people could start actually getting work done rather than fake it while being half drunk, or near incapacitated by waterborne diseases.

      The alcohol is still good for after the work is done...

    30. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> that there is already 80,000 stations selling hydrogen on every street corner for $1.22 a gallon?

      This sentence alone demonstrates that you have no idea what you are talking about. Hydrogen is NOT an energy source, it is a method of storing energy. There are no natural sources of hydrogen available to us - the only way we can generate hydrogen is by using electricity - more electricity, of course, than you can get out of the hydrogen.

      recommended viewing: http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=6A1FD147A45EF50D

    31. Re:On the upside though by kevingolding2001 · · Score: 1

      A substance that, when introduced into or absorbed by a living organism, causes death or injury, esp. one that kills by rapid action.

      So.. a bullet qualifies as a poison?

    32. Re:On the upside though by StoneyMahoney · · Score: 1

      Water causes injury or death when introduced into the body quickly enough, say through a fire hose or if frozen in a large mass and dropped into you from a reasonable height, say 50ft. Must be poisonous then *nods* uh-huh.

      In fact, water is so poisonous, it was rebranded as a PR move after public safety groups began campaigning to ban it under it's original trade name: http://www.gopetition.com/petitions/ban-dihydrogen-oxide.html

    33. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The moment some touts hydrogen as an alternative fuel source is the moment you can safely ignore anything they have so say about energy.

    34. Re:On the upside though by voidphoenix · · Score: 2

      Wrong. CO2 is directly toxic. Learn something new.

    35. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we have solar here in australia. the govt provides a rebate which kind of makes it seem attractive, but the truth is that the panels will often need replacing before you've broken even on the cost.

      [Citation Needed]
      Maybe electricity is dirt cheap down there or maybe, even after subsidies, solar is stupid expensive, but in most cases, modern solar pays for itself in 10 years or so and the panels last 25.

    36. Re:On the upside though by voidphoenix · · Score: 1

      Yes, most are, since they're made of lead. If you get shot, survive the trauma and not have the bullet removed, you'll suffer lead poisoning.

    37. Re:On the upside though by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      IT is in reach of the common man, IF he has the education.

      Fortunately the education is free on the internet.

      1KW solar install is less than $2500.00
      Electric cars can be built for less than $5000.00
      etc...

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    38. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, if you eat enough of them you'll get lead poisoning.

    39. Re:On the upside though by Dr.Dubious+DDQ · · Score: 3, Funny
      "Both Mantle and Marrow start with 'M'."

      Let's see - the Mantle is a hard shell around a liquid core. Marrow is a rich edible substance scraped from inside bones that has a solid or semi-solid consistency but softens when heated (cooked)...

      I just had a horrifying thought - excuse me, I need to check the ingredients list on my bag of "M&M's" again...

    40. Re:On the upside though by operagost · · Score: 1

      It worked for Fry. And he only had 1,000 years!

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    41. Re:On the upside though by LoRdTAW · · Score: 2

      There is no viable alternative, By what measure, that there is already 80,000 stations selling hydrogen on every street corner for $1.22 a gallon?

      What are you talking about, where are these 80,000 hydrogen stations? $1.22 a gallon? GALLON? Where are you getting these ridiculous numbers and units? Where can I buy a Hydrogen car right now? Maybe your thinking of Iceland but even there they do not have 80k stations nor do they sell H2 by the "gallon".

      That you dont already have your home covered in solar?

      So you're saying that we can fuel our planes, ships and trucks at these corner hydrogen stations and cover them with solar panels? Did you read your parent post in its entirety?

      You really need a reality check if you think replacing fossil fuels is a simple task. We can CUT our use for things like transportation of people via hybrid/electric buses and cars as well as supplementing our electric use with solar. But the bottom line is the lifeblood of our economy is the transportation of goods which is almost entirely fueled by Kerosene, diesel and bunker oil. One they become more and more scarce the cost of transportation will skyrocket unless an alternative comes along. And power stations run on coal, oil and natural gas as well. After the Fukushima disaster I doubt anyone will even want to hear about Nuclear power (fission) for a decade or more (if they ever think about it again). Wind and solar can supplement our demand but it would be costly and difficult to generate enough power for the big industrial consumers who require tens to hundreds of megawatts continuously.

      Where I work we just had a 55kw solar system installed using utility and government aid. It only cost us $10,000(USD) and the system cost total was $255,000. Not a bad investment but it only supplies around (on a sunny day) 15% of our daily power needs and covers more than half of the buildings roof. So industrial demand cant be met by solar. So what about home use? Most electronics and efficient lighting can run off a few kW array, nothing big. But homes need to be heated in the winter and forget about telling people in hotter climates to turn their AC units off. Cooking on gas or electric stoves is a high energy demand. So even homes need to be grid tied to utility energy to supplement solar.

      People living off the grid are a different breed (usually environmentalists, minimalists or "outdoorsmen"). Any they in no way represent a majority of the first world population in terms of living standards, they are the extreme minority. So forget about them.

      The only practical alternative to drilling for fossil fuels is to synthesize them using the Fischerâ"Tropsch process. Essentially it takes a feed gas consisting of hydrogen and carbon monoxide and reacts them over a metal catalyst(iron, cobalt, ruthenium) plus heat. Depending on the temperature and a few other factors you get anything from methane to diesel and possibly heavier hydrocarbons. The CO can be obtained from partial combustion of coal or organic matter such as plant and wood scraps (wood gas). So a power station that processes bio diesel from plants can convert the waste plant matter into CO and feed it into a reactor to turn it into more fuels. A perfect setup to me would be a coal burning power station with an on site FT reactor heated by the waste turbine steam or boiler steam. Plant steam could be used to steam reform water into hydrogen. Plant steam can also drive other processes such as bio diesel production so you now have a power station/fuel refinery rolled into one. Such large stations already have rail access so bio matter can easily be reclaimed from afar in an efficient manner. So the problem of fuel oils is taken care of and the ships, planes and trucks can keep rolling. Not a perfect method but better than shooting from the hip about hydrogen and solar for personal use without thinking of commercial and industrial consumption.

    42. Re:On the upside though by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      The problem is the bus system will NEVER break even as most of the south, aka "the place where the food is grown" is simply spread too far out for buses to make sense, and frankly unlike what I hear about EU bus lines, at least the ones i've seen in most areas I've been, quickly turn into rolling shitholes. Frankly i'd rather ride on a prison bus than the buses I've seen across the south as at least the prison buses have armed guards.

      This is why I say the ONLY way this would really work is to make a "people's car" that gets 40MPG and can be sold for $10k with a small profit per unit. THEN you can offer a "cash for clunkers" and get all those working poor and single moms out of those old gas hogs but until you can make something truly affordable to the masses the gas hogs are going nowhere.

      Hell even those of us that make a little better than most aren't buying, I myself am driving a serious gas hog that gets 14MPG, why? Because in a dead economy with the oldest in college and my mother in declining health it would be seriously risky to get rid of a paid for truck that is in good shape, even if it is a hog, when i have no idea if mom will get worse or one of the boys suddenly have an unexpected bill. Expecting rising gas prices to change that outlook is the height of arrogance and just shows how those like Rev Al Gore (which if you haven't driven by his place he's a fucking hypocrite, he has a fricking Mc mansion with indoor ACed basketball court and a fleet of SUVs) are only in this to see how much money they can leech. I bet my last soon to be QE'd to worthless dollar that the ONLY ones that would see any benefit from that tax would be Rev AL and friends of the POTUS.

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    43. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many billions of years are you planning to live?

      Ideally as many as I can.

      I of course plan to get fashionably mad into my second billion, but the recover after a bit of time in some choice facility. By that time though, I should have enough money to pay for absolutely anything, I deposited six dollars into a compound interest savings plan a week ago Tuesday.

      Ha ha! Joke's on you! The bank charges a $10 a month maintenance fee for balances under $100. You'll end up owing more money than the gross planetary product by the time you check in again!

    44. Re:On the upside though by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      At atmospheric pressure, it's not easy to get enough CO2 for it to be life-threatening. When I worked for Harman Electronics, I occasionally had to test amplifiers below 0 degrees F. Our only cold chamber used the expansion of highly pressurized CO2 (liquid?) for cooling (because the CO2 models are by far the cheapest.) The chamber vented directly into the room, and caused eye pain because the CO2 reacted with tears to form carbonic acid. But I noticed no bad health effect.

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    45. Re:On the upside though by Dishevel · · Score: 1

      Wow. If CO2 is a poison you should stop breathing right now. You are gonna DIE!
      Idiot.

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    46. Re:On the upside though by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      carry 7 passengers + 40 cu FT of cargo all the time

      So your alternative is what? Buy a big car for when I have to carry a lot of people/stuff, and also buy a small car for the rest of the time? That's a huge amount of money put into declining assets. Or perhaps you think I should drive to the nearest rental agency (20 miles) every time I need to use a bigger vehicle.

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    47. Re:On the upside though by operagost · · Score: 1

      Not at 390 ppm, right? Needs to be almost ten times that for extended periods to be at risk for hypercapnia. Mostly, it's a risk because it displaces oxygen, so you might also want to call dihydrogen monoxide "toxic" because it suffocates as well.

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    48. Re:On the upside though by operagost · · Score: 1

      This is another example of needing to understand that toxicity depends on concentration and duration. Many, many people have lived long lives with bullets or parts of bullets still within their bodies.

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    49. Re:On the upside though by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      In the United States over the last 50 years inflation has been more than double (on a yearly basis) the return from a savings account. In a billion years your six dollars will be worthless.

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    50. Re:On the upside though by operagost · · Score: 1

      The problem is that we have a government in America that is trying to make us more dependent on it, not more self-dependent. Case in point: the President lamenting that the Constitution is a "charter of negative liberties" and doesn't say what "the government must do on your behalf". Second case: universal health care. So you can talk about people being world-wise and self sufficient, but you can't do it while supporting huge subsidies for "green" energies paid out of the pockets of working people. Either you expect people to think and do for themselves, or you force them to do what the elite believe is for the common good.

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    51. Re:On the upside though by operagost · · Score: 1

      Because protectionism worked really well for Herbert Hoover. And those 97% tax rates got us out of the Depression in only eight years.

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    52. Re:On the upside though by radtea · · Score: 1

      just so you know, CO2 is a poison.

      So is oxygen: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen_toxicity

      Did you have a point? Or are you just showing off your knowledge of the toxicity of gasses in concentrations that no one not working in a very specialized environment is ever at risk of encountering?

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    53. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course! It's made of lead.

      I know you are kidding, and so am I: I think the correct statement is a bullet can be "poisonous".

      The fact that a bullet, when introduced rapidly, often ruptures skin, blood vessels and organs does contribute much more to the resulting injury or death than the poisonous material they are typically made of, does not change the effect it could have if it just gets lodged somewhere in your body.

    54. Re:On the upside though by cpu6502 · · Score: 1

      >>>there is already 80,000 stations selling hydrogen on every street corner for $1.22 a gallon

      You make that statement as though it should be impressive. We need 800 *million* hydrogen stations, and at present we have no way to produce that much hydrogen to fill them.

      --
      My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
    55. Re:On the upside though by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      THEN have a cash for clunkers program so that even the working poor can afford to trade in those 10+ year old gas hogs.

      Yould have to give them over $9000 for the clunker to get the working poor to buy a $10,000 car, because they simply don't have that much money and they don't have credit.

      You don't spend half a year's income on a car when you're eating at the food bank. Hell, some of America's working poor are homeless.

    56. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds to me like it'll be worth somewhere around tree fiddy.

    57. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, I think it was a typo. I think they meant "their isn't already".

      We need 800 *million* hydrogen stations

      Really? We need to replace every single gas station with over six thousand, eight hundred, thirty-one hydrogen stations? Citation provided.

      According to the U.S. Census Bureau, as of 2002 (the most recent data available), there were 117,100 gas service stations in the U.S.

    58. Re:On the upside though by JustSomeProgrammer · · Score: 1

      What electric car is only $5000? Or if there isn't one where did you get this number? I don't even know of any new cars approaching this number let alone the generally more expensive electric ones.

      I know ALOT of people for whom $2500 is a very very significant investment.

    59. Re:On the upside though by briniel · · Score: 0

      You can also rearrange the letters in Earth to spell Heart!

    60. Re:On the upside though by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      He could also have been referring to Native American's belief that the earth is alive an oil is its blood.

    61. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought the condition of dying from being shot was referred to as "Lead poisoning" =P

    62. Re:On the upside though by voidphoenix · · Score: 1

      Read the post I was replying to. He said:

      Also, CO2 is not a poison.

      I refuted that statement and linked to supporting articles. Not sure if you bothered to read them, but now you want to argue semantics. Following your argument, there really aren't any substances that are poisonous, because we can dilute pretty much anything to the point where it's not toxic.

      Dose dependence is part of the definition of toxicity. The first page I linked to explains the toxicity of CO2. It has direct toxic effects at concentrations above 5% that have nothing to do with oxygen displacement. The second link discusses CO2 narcosis. That's also a direct effect that isn't caused by hypoxia. Elsewhere in this thread people have posted on acidosis, yet another direct toxic effect of CO2.

      Since you closed with an attempt at reductio ad ridiculum, I'll answer that as well. Dihydrogen monoxide is directly toxic, with an LD50 (median lethal dose) of 90g/kg. It causes hyponatremia, an electrolyte imbalance characterized by low sodium levels. It can lead to water intoxication and a bunch of other nasty things, including pulmonary and cerebral edema. Note that the direct toxic effects of water and CO2 are in addition to any suffocation risk they present. So yeah, they qualify as toxic.

    63. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Best laugh on Slashdot in awhile. Thanks, Fluffeh!

    64. Re:On the upside though by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

      So your alternative is what? Buy a big car for when I have to carry a lot of people/stuff, and also buy a small car for the rest of the time? That's a huge amount of money put into declining assets. Or perhaps you think I should drive to the nearest rental agency (20 miles) every time I need to use a bigger vehicle.

      These are not stupid alternatives depending on your situation.
      If you only need a big car once or twice a year, driving 20 miles for a rental is not a big deal.
      And having two cars allows one to be use as a backup for the other, you also have less problem with conflicting requirements. It means that any of the two cars will certainly be less expensive and more suited for the job than a single car that tries to do everything.

    65. Re:On the upside though by List+Lurker · · Score: 1

      your post reminds me of Jack Vance's Tales of the DYING EARTH ... great tome; give it a whirl if you've time

    66. Re:On the upside though by dudpixel · · Score: 1

      huh? you want people to build their own electric cars?

      I dont know what could possibly go wrong with that...

      Re solar - we can get it fully installed for about $2K for like 1.5Kw, which would hardly cover a thing.
      A 5kw system is like $30K.

      I pay about $1200 a year on my electricity. Assuming I could cover ALL of it with solar, it would take a LONG time to just break even.

      And solar panels dont last forever. I'm told good ones last 15 years. Then they have to be thrown out or maybe they can be "recycled" somehow?

      I would suspect the "cost" of manufacturing and installing them kind of takes away from the whole "greenness" of them...though its probably still a net gain overall.

      But the bottom line is, they are still not financially viable. fossil fuels are still cheaper.

      --
      This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
    67. Re:On the upside though by dudpixel · · Score: 1

      no its not dirt cheap. solar is just expensive.

      solar definitely doesn't last 25 years here.

      Good ones will be like 15 years, and crappy ones less than 10 years.

      How long did you say it would take to break even again? hmm.

      --
      This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
    68. Re:On the upside though by dudpixel · · Score: 1

      sorry, price was a bit old.

      5kw is around 8-10K.

      --
      This seemed like a reasonable sig at the time.
    69. Re:On the upside though by Sardaukar86 · · Score: 1

      different, or maybe if i would of been interested in the whole thing, i was over a friends house and barley paying attention, so watch

      Ah, there's your problem. Try hops.

      --
      ..Mullah or Pope, Preacher or Poet, who was it wrote: "Give any one species too much rope and they'll fuck it up"?
    70. Re:On the upside though by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Still curious why you think we need 800 million hydrogen stations when we only have a pitiful 117,100 gas stations.

  2. Or maybe... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    ... another asteroidimpact caused a warming and creation of an atmosphere, while the byproduct of that asteroidimpact (called hencefort, the moon,) pulle us into a tighter orbit for those first few 100 laps around the sun, needed for the orbit to stabilise?

  3. Earth is migratory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Earth is migratory

    In fact, Earth received a Blue-green card as early as 3.5 billion years ago after passing a solar naturalization test.

  4. Funny pages by paiute · · Score: 3, Funny

    "And then a miracle occurs" makes a good punchline but lousy science.

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    1. Re:Funny pages by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Used that on my calc test the other day.

    2. Re:Funny pages by Guppy06 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It makes for fantastic science if you then go on to investigate and describe the miracle. "Oh, wow! How did that happen?"

    3. Re:Funny pages by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Hey, "a wizard did it" is basically the foundation of intelligent de... ok, you're right, good punchline but lousy science.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    4. Re:Funny pages by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      Hey, "a wizard did it" is basically the foundation of intelligent de... ok, you're right, good punchline but lousy science.

      The Greeks were cynical about the Deus ex Machina even in entertainment. It's a total wash for science.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    5. Re:Funny pages by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      The Greeks? Hell, today you will see film critics flush a movie if the deus ex machina is pulled too many times. How the Bible got a bestseller, I guess that's the real miracle.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:Funny pages by Zordak · · Score: 1

      I used that on a Calculus test once. We were supposed to find the formula for the volume of a cone by rotating a line segment around the X axis. I did most of the steps right but I missed a minus sign or forgot a 1/2 or something, and instead of 1/3*pi*r^2*h, I ended up with V = some big, messy formula that I knew was wrong. I was out of time, so my next step was "Then a miracle occurs. V = 1/3*pi*r^2*h."

      I scored 100% on the test.

      --

      Today's Sesame Street was brought to you by the number e.
    7. Re:Funny pages by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      You may discover that people have quite different tresholds for the quality of their entertainment and the knowledge they have about real stuff.

    8. Re:Funny pages by JTsyo · · Score: 1

      was there extra credit? You should have lost a point.

    9. Re:Funny pages by Zordak · · Score: 1

      You're right, I should have. My best guess is the professor was Catholic. Or he graded the tests drunk. Or both. Either way, I wasn't about to second guess his wisdom.

      --

      Today's Sesame Street was brought to you by the number e.
    10. Re:Funny pages by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Oh c'mon, that's independent of education level. Think about this: A blockbuster movie where our heroes are trapped with no chance to escape and suddenly someone appears out of nowhere, moves away the stones that block their path and they just waltz out of the trap the villain prepared for them.

      Is it me or is that a very unsatisfying, anticlimactic solution?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  5. Conclusions... by busyqth · · Score: 5, Funny

    It is the consensus of 99% of climatologists that the earth isn't a snowball and therefore it is a fact that the earth has slowly moved into a higher orbit at exactly the same rate that the sun has warmed so as to maintain a climate on earth appropriate for life. The more we fill the atmosphere with greenhouse gases and thus heat the earth, the further the earth will move away from the sun so as to maintain an optimum climate. These "inconvenient truths" prove that there is an intelligent designer of the universe.

    Q.E.D.

    1. Re:Conclusions... by TWX · · Score: 0

      Repeat after me...

      Correlation does not equal causation.

      Correlation does not equal causation.

      Correlation does not equal causation.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      These "inconvenient truths" prove that there is an intelligent designer of the universe.

      Of course they do. But who is the intelligent designer? There are quite a few candidates so far. And there's also Me. I'll give you 73 virgins in paradise and point to point fiber. In return, you just have to donate a small portion of your savings to My Bank Account.

    3. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      It is the consensus of 99% of climatologists that the earth isn't a snowball and therefore it is a fact that the earth has slowly moved into a higher orbit at exactly the same rate that the sun has warmed so as to maintain a climate on earth appropriate for life. The more we fill the atmosphere with greenhouse gases and thus heat the earth, the further the earth will move away from the sun so as to maintain an optimum climate. These "inconvenient truths" prove that there is an intelligent designer of the universe.

      Q.E.D.

      Dude, if you can get a creationist to accept enough science to admit that anthropogenic global warming is real, that miracle itself is enough to prove the existence of God.

    4. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good example of Poe's Law

    5. Re:Conclusions... by MickLinux · · Score: 1

      Okay, so the fact that there was an intelligent designer and the fact that the Earth was intelligently designed are only correlations, not causation. But Occam's razor makes it reasonable for me to believe the causation, unless you can find a simpler explanatioon.

      --
      Correct Horse Battery Staple: 72 bits of entropy. Enter "Correct H" into google. When it generates the phrase, that's
    6. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Repeating the same thing over and over again might brainwash you into eventually believing it but it does not change "reality" for the rest of us. You might feel uncomfortable with the idea that you might be wrong and there is an order and a purpose to this universe set in place by a creator but that is "your" problem. Deal with it.

    7. Re:Conclusions... by TWX · · Score: 1

      What the hell does Creationism have anything to do with my statement? I'm pointing out the same fallacy as global warming versus the number of pirates.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    8. Re:Conclusions... by rtb61 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In the game of interstellar billiards quite unusual things can happens to planets over time. Slowly moving to higher orbits is not one of them. Interacting with other high gravity masses is, whether it's a object passing through the solar system upon it's own intergalactic trajectory causing a direct change or that object impacting other high gravity masses and causing an indirect change or usual orbits of high gravity masses within a system.

      For decades science has avoided catastrophic based planetary orbits, it makes for messy science but over millions of years in a much more interactive galaxy and universe than originally thought, much to the fear of us tiny rock in space dwellers, catastrophic orbital patterns are all too common.

      Catastrophic orbits of course imply major life extinguishing impacts, that's were the catastrophe part comes in and of course that's why science doesn't like to think about them too much.

      Although it allows the hypothesis of much simpler and more logically planetary development models and those planets out of sequence being treated as just the result of catastrophic interactions, it leaves those scientist with such a gut wrenching sense of impermanence that emotion over rules logic and far more stable convoluted models are preferred.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    9. Re:Conclusions... by Red+Flayer · · Score: 5, Funny

      Perhaps you should re-read the canon.

      Book Secondi 3:12

      Lo, for the baking of the divine meal
      Let it be done that the goliath meatball[1]
      Be moved upon the table[2]
      At such distance that the woodfire oven[3]
      Provides a strong heat source to allow for the Maillard reaction
      To properly crustify the goliath meatball
      And then let it be moved
      To a sufficient distance, where it may
      Yet leave the inside full of tenderness
      Like the twin meatballs upon the bosom of a mother
      His Noodly Appendage shall make such adjustments
      Necessary to make it so.

      Ramen

      [1] the goliath meatball being our planet.
      [2] the table, sometimes mistranslated as "the firmament", is of course, the fabric of spacetime
      [3] there is some disagreement among scholars about this translation, but we know from context that this is the sun

      Clearly, from analysis of scripture, we can determine that the Master of the Heavenly Forkful moves or planet into a lower or higher orbit to ensure that it cooks properly.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
    10. Re:Conclusions... by aristotle-dude · · Score: 0

      These "inconvenient truths" prove that there is an intelligent designer of the universe.

      Of course they do. But who is the intelligent designer? There are quite a few candidates so far. And there's also Me. I'll give you 73 virgins in paradise and point to point fiber. In return, you just have to donate a small portion of your savings to My Bank Account.

      The god that is love. The god that does not promise sex slaves in paradise. The god that inspires man to move beyond base and selfish desires. The god that gave commandments like "Thou shall not kill", that god. That is the god that created us. We were created in his image but we fell. The image in this case refers to our creative, loving natures rather than what the result of the corruption from the fall. Whenever you help out someone in need then you are reflecting that nature god imbued in us originally.

      --
      Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
    11. Re:Conclusions... by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      True, but causation without a correlation backing it up seems a bit dodgy to me.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    12. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That God that flooded the whole world except a select few, because he wasn't happy with the rest? Is that the god you are talking about? I prefer the ancient Greek Gods myself, at least they knew how to have a good time.

      Yes, you believe that your god is the "one true god", but truely rational people wonder that when there are literally thousands of different beliefs what makes yours special, and more importantly what make it right.

    13. Re:Conclusions... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      Correlation does not equal causation.

      Correlation does not equal causation.

      Correlation does not equal causation.

      Wow - same thing three times in a row!

      But is it correlation or causation?

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    14. Re:Conclusions... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      Okay, so the fact that there was an intelligent designer and the fact that the Earth was intelligently designed are only correlations, not causation.

      Suppose I were rich and you had a clue.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    15. Re:Conclusions... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      These "inconvenient truths" prove that there is an intelligent designer of the universe.

      Of course they do. But who is the intelligent designer? There are quite a few candidates so far. And there's also Me. I'll give you 73 virgins in paradise and point to point fiber. In return, you just have to donate a small portion of your savings to My Bank Account.

      You have hit the nail on the head. Religion is a carrot & stick approach to behavior modification, with the clever twist that they want real behavior modification in the here-and-now so your imaginary soul will get the imaginary carrot instead of the imaginary stick in your imaginary afterlife.

      And when we scoff, they offer up Pascal's wager, which is like a stock broker asking you to give real money for stock in an imaginary company - think how rich you'll be if it turns out that the company actually exists!

      Or, since the emphasis is usually on the stick rather than the carrot, it's like a protection racket that asks you for real money to prevent some imaginary thugs from burning down your imaginary soul's imaginary restaurant in your imaginary afterlife.

      Sweet scam. If my current gig doesn't work out, I'm going to start a religion.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    16. Re:Conclusions... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      The god that is love. The god that does not promise sex slaves in paradise

      Or course not. He only offers meaningful stuff, like streets paved with gold.

      And eternal torture, for people who don't join the club.

      If only every god could be so enlightened.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    17. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Would this be the god that slaughtered every one of the firstborn of Egypt because one man annoyed him, when the perfectly obvious alternative (teleporting all the Hebrews away) would have harmed no-one? Don't tell me it was because he didn't want to be too obvious on the miracles front, because in the same episode he turned the Nile into blood. Don't tell me it was "preserving free will", because having plagues rained upon you by an all-powerful being until you give in is a funny sort of free will. Don't tell me it was to garner extra followers (ie. the Egyptians), because it patently didn't work (Pharaoh sent his troops after Moses once the Hebrews had escaped - an unusual way to show penitence). I'd be delighted to hear any explanation of this episode which can portray God in a good light.

      TL;DR: Persuade me that "God is love", given the fairly hefty evidence otherwise.

    18. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A planet covered in ice would not stifle the greenhouse effect if the same planet has active volcano's spewing CO2 into the atmosphere and suffers from collisions with carbon and oxygen bearing asteroids which can both heat up the atmosphere and cause an increase in greenhouse gases.

    19. Re:Conclusions... by deciduousness · · Score: 1

      Bingo! Hubbard was a genius. Most religions appeal to the poor and lower middle class by letting them know that having too much money is a bad thing and they will get their reward in the afterlife where, presumably, the rich will get punished. Hubbard made it a good thing to have money. You can buy your way! Brilliant! Wish I would have thought of that :(

    20. Re:Conclusions... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Planets can move to higher orbits if energy is coming into the system - systems like ours have a massive multi-billion year fusion reaction at the center and constantly bathe the planet in light. Presuming that we understand all the processes involved in the solar system in a couple of centuries is moronic.

      As is the assertion that scientists don't look at catastrophic orbits because it makes them feel sad. Have you ever considered that catastrophic orbits are not stable enough for life to be sustained over the observed periods. Scientists are human beings, and scientific organisations are full of social, political and human flaws. But your oversimplification and assumption that scientists won't actually apply basic scientific method is nothing short of insulting crackpottery.

      TLDR: You don't know what you're on about crackpot!

    21. Re:Conclusions... by CtownNighrider · · Score: 1

      The moon has been moving its orbit out since it was created....

  6. Old idea, no new insight by MatthiasF · · Score: 2

    Planet migration theories have been floating around since the 1970s. Nothing new, but I guess Discovery's standards are continuing to fall.

    1. Re:Old idea, no new insight by Artifex · · Score: 2

      I guess Discovery's standards are continuing to fall.

      Last time I went to the site I saw articles on things like alien abduction.

      --
      Get off my launchpad!
    2. Re:Old idea, no new insight by jaca44 · · Score: 1

      Yes! There have been better articles in Sci Am which indicate volcanic activity was sufficient to start the swing back from snowball earth; but that's not so exciting, is it?

    3. Re:Old idea, no new insight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No I think that was History Channel. Why that crap and ghost hunters is on History Channel I have no idea

  7. What about the Theia impact theory? by Artifex · · Score: 1

    Doesn't it suggest that the Earth was heated up a lot at the time? That could have jumpstarted the greenhouse engine.
    Could have altered its orbit, too, probably.

    --
    Get off my launchpad!
    1. Re:What about the Theia impact theory? by AshtangiMan · · Score: 2

      It was pulled into a larger orbit by swallows. Swallows.

    2. Re:What about the Theia impact theory? by Brad1138 · · Score: 4, Funny

      It was pulled into a larger orbit by swallows. Swallows.

      African or European?

      --
      If you could reason with religious people, there would be no religious people
    3. Re:What about the Theia impact theory? by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      Space swallows. Their carrying load is higher, although they still need a little piece of string to be able to carry a planet with 2 swallows. Thei air speed velocity is irrelevant (due to the nature of space).

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    4. Re:What about the Theia impact theory? by jamiesan · · Score: 2

      They could grip it by the crust.

  8. Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by Brad1138 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Kind of like this...

    --
    If you could reason with religious people, there would be no religious people
    1. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by Fusselwurm · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? Kind of like this...

      The moon-creating impact was my first thought also. But I can imagine that it may also have heated things up a bit on its own, all without significant chaneg of orbit.

    2. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by ridgecritter · · Score: 2

      The giant impact lunar origin theory got a little less likely just recently. The original article in Nature Geoscience is behind a paywall, but you can read a summary at http://www.space.com/15035-moon-formation-theory-challenged.html.

      Basically, titanium isotope signatures from Earth and lunar samples are identical. For the giant impact theory to be correct, the impactor would have had to have the same titanium isotope mix as Earth, which seems unlikely if it originated elsewhere/when in the solar system's formation. But as usual, it's complicated. See the article and stay tuned...

    3. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by chocapix · · Score: 1

      Why the Giant Impactor Theory assumes a different isotope mix for the impactor?

      From what I understand, they had to have rocks brought back from the Moon to actually measure their isotope mix, so my guess is that we don't accurately know the isotope mix of anything besides the Earth and the Moon. How do we know it isn't the same mix everywhere in the solar system?

      Disclaimer: I'm clueless about all this, I'm only asking questions.

    4. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Because things made in different places at different times will have different isotope mixes. It would be a fantastic coincidence if the mixes of the impactor and proto-Earth were identical.

    5. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      Not really a miracle. The giant impactor could have formed in a Lagrange point of the early Earth. Forming in our orbit, it would be made of virtually identical stuff.

      In fact, when folks run models of solar system formation, my understanding is they get planets forming in the Lagrange points of other planets. Apparently the first - and typically largest - planets to form in an accretion disc create resonances in the disc that tend to draw material together in bands elsewhere in the disc. So the odds of getting multiple bodies forming in pretty much the same orbit is much higher than you'd expect.

      Usually the worlds forming from the matter clumped in these bands either collide right away or get ejected from their orbit due to interactions, but big bodies can form at Lagrange points before their orbits are finally disrupted, either spiraling off into their sun, zipping out of the system entirely, colliding with other worlds (especially those sharing their orbit) or - probably rarely - settling down into their own stable orbit (perhaps in resonance with a larger neighbor).

    6. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by JTsyo · · Score: 1

      With the impact material from the Earth would have been send into space too. You would have to take many samples from all over the moon and from boreholes before you could build confidence that there isn't any remains of the impactor.

    7. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not really a miracle. The giant impactor could have formed in a Lagrange point of the early Earth. Forming in our orbit, it would be made of virtually identical stuff.

      If you assume formation in the Lagrange point, you're also assuming that the proto-Earth and the impactor had essentially the same orbital path round the Sun. Such an impactor would have a relatively low impact velocity. It takes a lot of energy to separate something the size of the Moon and put it into an extremely stable orbit. I haven't run any numbers here, so this is just intuition talking, but it seems unlikely that this could be the explanation -- I'd expect bodies formed in Lagrangian points to either end up coalescing with the main body or (as you went on to say) getting ejected in other interactions.

    8. Re:Wouldn't a giant impact change its orbit? by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      >Such an impactor would have a relatively low impact velocity.

      Which could be a good thing, otherwise both it and the Earth might have just been reduced to rubble.

      And the impact velocity would vary a lot depending on what happened to the body after it fell out of the Lagrange point. It could go whizzing around for several orbits before smacking the parent, picking up a lot of relative velocity in the process.

      Simulations have been run which show planets forming in the Lagrange points of other planets. Happens relatively frequently. And then they fall out. From there you get glancing blows, bodies being ejected, all sorts of relative velocities, etc.

      Solar system formation looks to be a pretty chaotic process where all sorts of seemingly exotic events are in fact pretty common. Planetary migration for example, as happened to Uranus and Neptune.

  9. The answer is easy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    During its initial formation the Earth was molten and hot. As it cooled it continued to collect water from comet impacts or whatever (there is lots of water in a solar system). As it continued to cool eventually the planet reached an equilibrium between temperature, the amount of water on the it and greenhouse gases to keep it from cooling too much.

    It's as simple as that.

    1. Re:The answer is easy by JTsyo · · Score: 1

      But there were times that Earth was a snowball, I would imagine it varied with the sun's cycles. It seems the system has positive feedback such that small changes can have large impacts. Examples: cooling that causes more snow covered surfaces, reflect more sun light and hot temperatures result it more water vapor int he air, increasing the temperature further. Then you have other events that came break you from these cycles (example large volcanic activity, asteroid impacts).

  10. Well, yeah... by Lord_of_the_nerf · · Score: 5, Funny

    Up until it found it was having humans. Then it had to settle down.

  11. Fairly stupid response by SuperKendall · · Score: 4, Informative

    A substance that, when introduced into or absorbed by a living organism, causes death or injury, esp. one that kills by rapid action.

    *breaths in*

    That was just a bunch of CO2 I sucked in right there.

    Even your argument that "everything is a poison in large quantities" is stupid, because it's not the CO2 harming you if you go in the garage and turn on the car - it's the fact you are not getting oxygen. The CO2 itself did not hurt you.

    Plants also disagree with you. When you've made a plant frown how much lower can you go?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think there's a difference between carbon monoxide, and carbon dioxide.

    2. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More CO2 comes out of a tailpipe than CO

    3. Re:Fairly stupid response by Dialecticus · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Even your argument that "everything is a poison in large quantities" is stupid, because it's not the CO2 harming you if you go in the garage and turn on the car - it's the fact you are not getting oxygen. The CO2 itself did not hurt you.

      Actually, it's not CO2 nor lack of oxygen that kills in this situation, but rather CO. As I understand it, hemoglobin bonds preferentially to CO over O2. Once a red blood cell has absorbed CO, it doesn't want to let go even when exposed to O2. This means that one can effectively suffocate even when there's plenty of O2 available to breathe.

      This is why CO is sometimes used on meat. It keeps the meat bright red and healthy-looking so it will look nice on display in the grocery store. Without it, I think meat would tend more toward purple.

    4. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      That's not true. It's not merely displacement of oxygen that can harm you; CO2 also drives blood pH down and results in acidosis.

      Related: The increased acidification of the oceans due to CO2 is one of those things that's often overlooked when people start talking about CO2 emissions and Global Warming and all that.

    5. Re:Fairly stupid response by Algae_94 · · Score: 4, Informative

      That doesn't change the fact that the CO is what kills you. As a poster further down mentioned, hemoglobin preferentially and strongly bonds to CO over oxygen causing your blood to not be able to transport oxygen leading to your death. It is extremely common to have CO2 in your lungs, as that is what we breathe out.

    6. Re:Fairly stupid response by Salgak1 · · Score: 1

      A substance that, when introduced into or absorbed by a living organism, causes death or injury, esp. one that kills by rapid action.

      Plants also disagree with you. When you've made a plant frown how much lower can you go?

      And then, of course, there are the side effects on making the plants sad. They don't fight off the Zombies very well. . . . .

    7. Re:Fairly stupid response by rujholla · · Score: 3, Informative

      I think you mean the neutralization of the ocean as the water is going from slightly basic to slightly less basic. It isn't acidification until you cross neutral.

    8. Re:Fairly stupid response by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      You need to set up a bottling system on your car. If it's making CO2, you can make a tidy profit bottling it with a compressor and selling it.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    9. Re:Fairly stupid response by QuantumLeaper · · Score: 2

      The Carbon Monoxide will kill you faster than the Carbon Dioxide.

    10. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't invent the term.

    11. Re:Fairly stupid response by count_zero451 · · Score: 1

      Too much CO2 isn't too good for you, either. If you get a build-up of CO2 in your blood, the CO2 equilibrates with carbonic acid, lowering your blood's pH. This has all kinds of nasty effects. Our bodies like to live with a pH of about 7.35. Get below 7 and you won't last very long.

    12. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look, if I pump enough CO2 into your lungs, eventually you'll explode like a balloon. So, too much CO2 is lethal. mkay?

    13. Re:Fairly stupid response by rossdee · · Score: 3, Funny

      I thought the prevailing opinion was that basic was bad, (all those gotos) so removing some of the basic (and replacing it with something more structured) , would be good

    14. Re:Fairly stupid response by Dahamma · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It isn't acidification until you cross neutral.

      Sure it is, just like water going from hot steam to slightly less hot steam is still "cooling". It's all just based on concentration of H+, with "neutral" being a given concentration in pure water. "Acidification" just means that concentration is increasing.

    15. Re:Fairly stupid response by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Even your argument that "everything is a poison in large quantities" is stupid, because it's not the CO2 harming you if you go in the garage and turn on the car - it's the fact you are not getting oxygen. The CO2 itself did not hurt you.

      So cyanide is not a poison?

    16. Re:Fairly stupid response by camperdave · · Score: 4, Informative

      So cyanide is not a poison?

      Not in small enough quantities. Cyanide(s) have been used in the treatment of certain cancers, tuberculosis and even leprosy.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    17. Re:Fairly stupid response by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that it's really hard to kill yourself with the exhaust of a modern car, because there isn't so much of the very poisonous CO in it.

      Also, when you breathe in normal air it isn't much CO2, it's essentially nitrogen (85 percent if I remember right) and oxygen (15 percent). Global warming is caused by an increase of .005 to .006 percent CO2 (may be off by an order of magnitude).

      Aside from the fact that gp agrees O2 is a poison (I'm guessing the body can take double the relatively inert CO2 better than it could handle a doubling of the very reactive O2).

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
    18. Re:Fairly stupid response by evanism · · Score: 5, Funny

      Its all a matter of procedure really.

      Afterall, there are so many objects in the C.

      --
      Just bought a new quantum computer, but I'm uncertain how it works.
    19. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's roughly 21% oxygen and 79% nitrogen, with traces of other things.

    20. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So cyanide is not a poison?

      Cyanide exists in small quantities in almonds, nutmeg, and other nuts and seeds that we eat regularly.

    21. Re:Fairly stupid response by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, CO will kill you, CO2 just prevents you from living.

      CO2 is toxic but only in very high concentration. And in general you will suffer from suffocation rather than "classic" poisoning. CO2 was the cause of many deaths in mining and wineries where the heavy gas could accumulate in closed low placed areas (like mine shafts and wine cellars), with people discovering too late that they're getting dizzy and fell unconscious from a lack of O2. Mainly, though, the death is due to blood being saturated by CO2, meaning that the CO2 produced by the body cannot be transported out.

      CO is a completely different beast, and actually toxic in the classic sense. It prevents O2 from being transported into the cells by bonding to the same receptors that usually carry O2, which makes it a LOT more dangerous. If you want a bad analogy, think of it as the difference of you not getting any food compared to you not being able to flush your toilet. While the latter sure is unpleasant, you can usually survive it much longer.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    22. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. CO vs CO2.

      CO bonds readily to your red blood cells, but doesn't unbond as readily - so when you breath in high concentrations of CO it attaches to your red blood cells and prevents the CO2 building up in your cells being taken back out to your lungs. As I understand it it's the CO2 buildup within your cells that actually kills you.

    23. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And indeed is present in many foods, such as in apple (seeds).
      http://www.snopes.com/food/warnings/apples.asp

    24. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Offtopic, but why does adding CO2 to water increase the concentration of H+? I don't remember it being covering in chemistry at school.

    25. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Riiighhht...

      Unless his car runs on electric or hydrogen, then it certainly emits CO2 from its exhaust. And I didn't realise bottled CO2 was that expensive. There is also all sorts of other crap in the fumes, which means it would need to be filtered first, and there is the weight and energy cost of running a compressor, adding this equipment to a car would send its fuel economy to shit. If it was easy and practical it would have been done by now since it would help reduce global warming.

    26. Re:Fairly stupid response by sFurbo · · Score: 3, Informative

      CO2(g) + H2O(l) -> H2CO3(aq)
      H2CO3(aq) -> H+(aq) + HCO3-(aq)

    27. Re:Fairly stupid response by rgbatduke · · Score: 2

      Yeah, then there is the pre-existing CO_2 content of the ocean -- two orders of magnitude more than there is in the entire atmosphere, the fact that Ph is a log scale, the fact that the ocean buffers its Ph various ways and gradually removes CO_2 and carbon altogether, and a few other things like that. Ocean chemistry is a bit complex to be reduced to a sound bite although I'm sure it is all "settled science".

      The real problem with the top article is that it is idiotic quite outside of any consideration of CO_2 (which is in itself major league moronic, since the early Earth was presumably rather volcanic with a big old moon at roughly half the distance from the Earth that it is now raising crustal tides of some 8 feet a day -- that would be tides lifting the surface of the Earth, not the possibly not-yet existent oceans -- and causing all sorts of violent aerosol outgasing of pretty much any sort of greenhouse gas. Europa may have liquid oceans underneath its ice crust from a similar sort of heating now. This sort of action is plausible, involves things we already know occurred and requires no new physics. For an alternative hypothesis to be reasonable (in comparison) it needs to have some sort of actual computational support -- a theoretical basis that works out when one runs the numbers. I'm not seeing it, outside of "and then a miracle happened..."

      Mars has a greenhouse effect and an atmosphere that is mostly carbon dioxide, and it is even farther from the sun. This isn't science, it is making up a "problem" that cursory examination of only three planets refutes from the beginning and then inventing an implausible solution.

      But hey, it got posted on /., putting it in direct competition with the National Enquirer, the Globe, the Examiner, and all of the other pulps I like to look at while waiting in line at Wal Mart.

      Next, Bigfoot Returns! News at 11.

      rgb

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    28. Re:Fairly stupid response by voidphoenix · · Score: 1

      Dilute salt solution isn't toxic, but drinking seawater will kill you. The CO2 you breathed in is at a concentration that your body can tolerate. Try that at 5% or higher CO2, even if you have your 19%-20% O2 in the mix. You'll still suffer toxicity. Here, I don't want to repeat the links.

    29. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course Cyanide is a poison. Sure the definition of a poison is soft not hard as in: "High enough LD50 with a low enough dose". And it's made even more difficult since the poison has different LD50 depend on what spieces it's used on.

      It gets even harder when 750g of salt kills you while 750g of a mildly poisonous mushroom only makes you whoozie. And then a single centiliter of pure nicotine would kill a whole bunch of people while nicotine still is one of the least of your worries in a cigarette.

    30. Re:Fairly stupid response by saveferrousoxide · · Score: 1

      This is why CO is sometimes used on meat. It keeps the meat bright red and healthy-looking so it will look nice on display in the grocery store. Without it, I think meat would tend more toward purple.

      While that may be true, my understanding is there's also some dye added. AFAIK, that red stuff ain't blood; all the blood was thoroughly drained at the slaughter house. I further understand that the meat would tend more toward grey (like when it's "well-done") than purple.

      Fair disclosure, I'm not a butcher and all that is 2nd hand information; so take it for what it is

    31. Re:Fairly stupid response by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      You need to set up a bottling system on your car. If it's making CO2, you can make a tidy profit bottling it with a compressor and selling it.

      The comment sounds like you never took chemistry. Perhaps you could re-phrase.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    32. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you want a bad analogy, think of it as the difference of you not getting any food compared to you not being able to flush your toilet. While the latter sure is unpleasant, you can usually survive it much longer.

      Clearly you've never smelled the bathroom after my roommate gets out.

    33. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ta, muchly.

      Twas hoping for a more detailed explaination (or good link), but I suppose that does explain it, and very concisely too.

    34. Re:Fairly stupid response by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter how much you drain, without applying pressure some blood always stays inside the meat. (And, yep, I have 1st hand experience on that.) Also, meat doesn't tend toward the gray, it tends to a dark color with some purple tonality (but not exactly purple). I don't know the origin of that color, it probably doesn't come from hemoglobine, since it is red when oxygenated, and purple when not, thus it should get more red when exposed to air.

      That red color the meat displays at the supermarket is probably from dye.

    35. Re:Fairly stupid response by matthew_t_west · · Score: 1

      Brawndo: It's got what plants crave.

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tbxq0IDqD04

      Matthew

      --
      Browse at 1. You'll thank me later.
    36. Re:Fairly stupid response by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      ... which rarely happens these days, since cars with catalytic converters (mandatory here for nearly two generations of cars - meet the tin worm!) produce such low levels of CO (carbon monoxide, not dioxide) in the exhaust that people who try to poison themselves with the hose pipe in the exhaust often wake up with a hell of a hang over, and sometimes brain damage.

      OK, you can probably find a uncatalysed car, and possibly you'd get sufficient CO out of a diesel engine (never used one), but that's a bit less spontaneous.

      I see the Wikipedia page mentions using an indoor barbecue as a possibility. Having kissed the razor's edge in the past with a unventilated gas heater in a cold winter, I could well see that working. That heater nearly got three of us - and it was the first time that I got the boring flatmate (bank clerk, for fuck's sake!) to actually got to the pub while the flat ventilated.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    37. Re:Fairly stupid response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Okay as others have pointed out the parent is confusing CO and CO2, and yet is STILL modded +5 informative??? This is how broken slashdot and slashdot moderation is. Ignorant idiots moderating ignorant idiots. All that's missing for the stupidity trifecta is the slashvertisement.

    38. Re:Fairly stupid response by camperdave · · Score: 1

      Paracelsus, the father of toxicology, once wrote: "Everything is poison, there is poison in everything. Only the dose makes a thing not a poison."

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    39. Re:Fairly stupid response by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      That's about 500 years and he's still not wrong. That's a pretty good record.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    40. Re:Fairly stupid response by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      While that may be true, my understanding is there's also some dye added.

      I hear ... the sound of regulatory paperwork rustling in the dark ... and I think I'd like to avoid that paperwork. Some people might use dyes, but that would worry me.

      AFAIK, that red stuff ain't blood;

      Oxygenated (or carbon-monoxide-enated) myoglobin? The analogue of haemoglobin which provides oxygen storage and transport within muscle cells.

      Putting a protective atmosphere of carbon monoxide into packaged meat to give it a pink colour? Sounds not in-credible, but the plant and process would be fairly (potentially) hazardous to the staff - that's a lot of poisonous gas around. I'd look more to batch treating the meat in a pressure vessel with the CO, then using CO2 or N2 as a filling material for the final packaging - which is a process likely to leak more gas into the worker's environment than the impregnation.

      Doing a risk analysis of your idea ... I don't think the meat company's lawyers would like the level of hazard it exposes the workers to (and the consequent risk of directors doing jail time for reckless endangerment).

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  12. Perhaps, perhaps, perhaps by Cazekiel · · Score: 1

    There are a lot of "maybe"s out there when it comes to these science theories and discoveries, but adding a "watch out" for planetary chaos at the end is so drama-llamas. I'm not going to worry, because even if it came about, wtf can I (or anyone) do about it? Gotta live out what we got in the here and now while doing our best to observe the future--rationally, not Mayan-Calendarly.

    --
    You want to know how to help your kids? LEAVE THEM THE F*&K ALONE. --George Carlin
  13. It's not that novel by Daetrin · · Score: 4, Informative

    Well, unless he's trying to be punny. Migratory planets were proposed by Immanuel Velikovsky in, among other things, his 1950 book "Worlds in Collision". His ideas were picked up by James P Hogan for his "Giants" series and other books. (James P Hogan was notable for adapting crazy theories into interesting books in his early years, but then digressing later in life to the point where he never met a conspiracy theory he didn't like.)

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    1. Re:It's not that novel by ohnocitizen · · Score: 1

      +1. Though in this case, the migration happened ages ago, as opposed to within historical memory (to the point it influenced mythology).

    2. Re:It's not that novel by spacemandave · · Score: 4, Informative

      This work bears only a superficial resemblance to the ideas of Velikovsky (and I'm being generous here).

  14. It was hit from the outside... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... extra-solar planet, on the way in, hit earth, which was iced up back then, imparting both the heat neccessary to "atmospherize" (you like that!??) the planet, and the force neccessary to impel it into a "goldilocks" orbital.
    Seriously, don't most of the astronomy articles dealing with our odd little solar system have their answers in that whacky old series of books called "The Earth Chronicles", written by that recently-deceased "kook" and "charlatan", Zecharia Sitchin?
    We deserve another Dark Age; we sure haven't availed ourselves of Reason in this "enlightenment".
    And before you "poo-poo" it, try reading just one of them. I've yet to meet anyone who wasn't trained in Anthropology who could hang through the first fifty pages (a real snoozer unless you care about how civilization developed...)
    Got your G.O.O.D.s in order? :)

  15. And this chaos will occur in by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    21.12.2012! Or was it 20.12.2012? It's much nicer looking date anyway. Like, two similar sequences of numbers a row. Oh, yeah.

  16. Are you suggesting by gstrickler · · Score: 2

    it was brought here by a European Swallow?

    --
    make imaginary.friends COUNT=100 VISIBLE=false
    1. Re:Are you suggesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's African Swallow, you insensitive clod!

  17. Re:In the beginning... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who's shoving on whom here? If you weren't interested in shoving, You would have kept your mouth shut. Go troll somewhere else.

  18. The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 5, Informative

    Ah, so here's the deal. I'm the person that this article is talking about (David Minton, professor at Purdue University). I've been reading Slashdot for a fair number of years now, though it took me a long time to sign up and comment for the first time (I've always been a lurker at heart). Because I have a soft spot for all you basement dwellers (I kid!), I'm going to give you a bit of behind the scenes regarding this article, which kind of took me by surprise, actually. This is a bit long, so TL;DR: Science sometimes happens during panicked last minute coding sessions in hotel rooms prior to delivering invited talks that were procrastinated about.

    So about five years ago my graduate school advisor and I wrote what was my very first peer-reviewed paper, which was on the subject of the Faint Young Sun Paradox. The paradox goes something like this: The early Sun was fainter than it is today, so all things being equal the Earth should have spend the first half of its life frozen over. Geologists tell us it wasn't, so something wasn't equal. What was it? We investigated the idea that the Sun may have been slightly more massive (something like 2-7% more massive), and that it had to lose most of that excess mass over a few billion years, which is at odds with measurements of mass loss of Sun-like stars. So we published it, and I went on to do other things in grad school, mostly involving trying to figure out the early impact bombardment history of the solar system, which we think may have been influenced by an early period of migration of the gas giant planets.

    Fast forward to a few months ago, and a fellow at the Space Telescope Science Institute (the place they run the Hubble from) contacted me to ask if I'd like to give a talk about my old mass-losing Sun paper at a workshop that was planned to bring together astrophysicists, geologists, climate scientists, and planetary dynamicists to talk about the Faint Young Sun problem. They wanted me to also talk about planet migration and how that might fit in to the problem. Sure, why not? Revisiting the problem would be fun! The thing is, I've just started a new faculty job, and part of my job is helping get a new planetary science group built up at Purdue, so I've been extremely busy. And, well, I procrastinated. Big time. There was always some pressing thing to do that took time away from getting ready for the workshop. So the next thing I know, it's a few days before the meeting and I still haven't really thought about the faint Sun in about five years. So I dust off my old files, start futzing around with a talk, and the next thing I know I'm on a plane to Baltimore.

    Late the night before the workshop is about to start, I'm racking my brain trying to come up with something new to say. You see, I've been thinking about early solar system history, and planet formation. Migration is a big deal in those early days. It's easy to get planets to move around in young solar systems. But the Faint Young Sun problem is a problem for the Earth's mid-life, not it's adolescence. Then I remembered a paper I really liked that came out a couple of years ago by Jaques Laskar and Mickaël Gastineau. They showed that our own solar system could potentially destabilize after a few billion years of seeming-stability due to Mercury's proximity to a chaotic region. It's described briefly here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stability_of_the_Solar_System#Laskar_.26_Gastineau

    What if something like that had happened *already?* So I futzed around with an N-body gravitational dynamics code remotely from my hotel room, in my pajamas, playing around with plausible initial solar systems where Earth stared just a tad closer to the Sun, but close enough to solve the problem of being frozen over, and Venus started out as two separate planets and then went unstable after many billions of years, scattering Earth to its present location in the process. And, when I checke

    1. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      thanks for your reply! :)

    2. Re:The Inside Scoop by IonOtter · · Score: 5, Informative

      Slashdot needs a moderation code for Awesome.

      Thank you, sir!

      --
      [End Of Line]
    3. Re:The Inside Scoop by GeekyGuru · · Score: 2

      Does your theory take into account the additional heat generated by tidal forces when the moon's orbital radius was smaller?

    4. Re:The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 5, Interesting

      During the Archean, the time period relavant to this study, tidal heating was not terribly important. The larger internal heat from radioactive decay was higher, yet still dwarfed by the energy input from the Sun in setting the surface temperature of the Earth.

    5. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bless your heart Dr. Professor Sir. Play is a the center of much learned and certainly enjoyed. Thanks for doing a wonderful job of explaining the fun of science.

    6. Re:The Inside Scoop by bindo · · Score: 2

      With all the "bad", this post is one of those things that remind me why I've been lurking around here for so many years.

      Thanks

    7. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      could the migrating planet idea have anything to do with the formation of the asteroid belt? wasn't that a planet that was torn apart by Jupiter or something?

    8. Re:The Inside Scoop by RivenAleem · · Score: 1

      I always thought it was the solar wind. Sun gets hotter, wind blows stronger. Slowly, over perhaps a billion years, it will alter Earth's orbit.

      It should buy me a little time when the Sun starts dying, as the wind slacks off. Earth should then start falling closer.

    9. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry SpaceManDave,

      But I think you're wrong. Your entire premise is based on the initial statement: "The paradox goes something like this: The early Sun was fainter than it is today,..."

      I need you to provide an overwhelming body of evidence for this assertion, otherwise the rest of your argument it based on nothing.

      Secondly, you need to provide some metric as to the magnitude of the "faintness" for the early sun.

      And thirdly you need to show a clear (and backed by evidence) timeline for your faint early sun, the formation of the Earth, and then all of the historical data (geologic record) we have for the Earth.

      Once all that groundwork is in place you are then welcome to "play with N-body simulations in your pyjamas", which by itself is a noble cause, but N-body is fiendishly complex, the simulations unstable over long periods of time (Ga) and the initial conditions are entirely unknown. So the problem here is that if you show me some initial conditions that lead to our current solar system configuration then this does not prove that they are correct, as there are many many sets of initial conditions that could lead to what we have today.

      Now, I haven't even started on the physics.

      For the Earth to be moving away from the sun it must be gaining energy to "climb the gravitational well" from the sun. Have you done the calculations for this? Do you have a plausible source (and transfer mechanism) for this energy? Is it taking energy from the kinetic energy of its motion? What effect will this have on its orbital stability. Can you perturb the orbit in the way you want while maintaining low eccentricity?

      It's easy for me to be a critic, but I don't think I am the only one who would find your claim surprising.

      Finally, I saw a talk a couple of months ago by a world leading expert in N-body solar system simulations. Yes, I can't remember his name, so what I'm about to say probably has no more value than an anecdote, sorry, but he was demonstrating that N-body simulations of the solar system are extremely unstable. As you run the simulation forwards, or backwards in time, the errors in the simulation accumulate considerably and the simulation no longer matches what we would expect. How do we know what to expect? Well, in the geologic record there is good evidence of cycles and periodicity to past climates on Earth. The cycles will reveal timescales for the duration of Earth's orbit, as well as the various precisions that are present to its orbit. What I'm trying to reinforce here is that you need to compare your simulations with the data that exists for past climate/orbital dynamics on Earth.

      Don't let my criticism get you down. Keep going with your work, just dig deeper and be sure to always present a clear line of reasoning from what is established, to what you are claiming.

      All the best,

      AC

    10. Re:The Inside Scoop by TeslaHertz · · Score: 1

      One idea that is missing can be found here. Please take some time to learn about Large charged particles. Planets. http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=T6ADWYHJpqg

    11. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you finish reading his not-that-long post? At the begining of the last paragraph he outright states that he think this theory is probably wrong and he is working to kill it.

    12. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "But I'm okay with that. Science can sometimes resembles play, and between writing grant proposals, committee meetings, peer review, debugging code, and all the other stuff that is important but not really directly about the science it's easy to forget that."

      Wait a second. "Sometimes?" What's this "sometimes"? I tell my students all the time that we are *born* scientists (watch a baby experimenting with their surroundings sometime), and that science is formalized play. Scientists are people who never "grew up". That is, we made it through the traditional school system despite its emphasis on learning previously-discovered "facts" by rote. We somehow did not forget what we already knew what to do at birth: experiment/play until things work and make sense. So, don't be apologizing for playing. It's where the most interesting science often originates.

      Oh, but make sure you still call it "experimentation" most of the time. We have to maintain the secret a little bit, and saying you are going to "play" with a particular idea doesn't go over so well with granting agencies :-)

    13. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He isn't the one that made a big deal about it. He published a paper 5 years ago, was asked recently to give a talk about it and came up with something new that seemed to work in the simulations he had time to do, and he talked about it. Why don't you be more constructive and tell those that published this article on it to take a hike.

    14. Re:The Inside Scoop by eggstasy · · Score: 1

      I'm terribly sorry, Professor Minton, but didn't the early Earth had far greater volcanic activity, a thinner crust, a hotter mantle, faster plate tectonics, and meteors constantly hitting it?

    15. Re:The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 2

      That was the subject of my 2007 paper. The problem is that the present-day mass loss rate of e Sun due to solar wind and coronal mass ejections is tiny. The Sun loses more mass do to the conversion of mass to energy in the core, and it's not enough to appreciably change the mass of the Sun over the age of the solar system. Young Sun-like stars appear to have stronger stellar winds, correlated with their higher rotation rate. But the Sun would have had to sustain orders of magnitude higher mass loss than present-day winds for its first 2 1/2 billion years on the main sequence, and this does not appear to match measured mass loss rates of nearby Sun-like stars of those ages.

    16. Re:The Inside Scoop by RivenAleem · · Score: 1

      I'm not saying that the solar wind causes the sun to lose mass. The solar wind acts as a force upon Earth. A weaker sun blows weaker wind. As the sun grows the wind strengthens, thus pushing the Earth into a higher orbit.

      When, in a few billion years, the nuclear reactions in the core cause the sun to weaken and die, the wind will slack off and our orbit will reduce, this will bring us closer and thus put off my death due to the Earth cooling down.

    17. Re:The Inside Scoop by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Thanks
      My initial thought was that solar wind / radiation pressure would act to move the earth to a more distant orbit by direct force, rather than by reducing the gravitational pull of the sun through mass loss. I'm too lazy to do the calculation, but an internet search led to a suggestion of 4000 km per 1e9 years for radiation pressure alone (i.e. not much). Have you included solar wind / radiation pressure in your calculations?

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    18. Re:The Inside Scoop by gameboyhippo · · Score: 1

      Not to use the God of the gaps crutch, but could Science consider the idea that an outside actor (God, aliens, etc...) terraformed the Earth? I'm no expert, but that seems like it could be a logical answer.

    19. Re:The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 4, Informative

      Hi, good questions. The time period relevant to this is the Archean. The interior of the Earth was warmer back in the Archean than it is now, and there may have been more volcanic activity, but it's difficult to know what style of tectonics was operating at the surface. Very few rocks survive from that time period. Now one proposed solution to the Faint Young Sun problem was just that there was a lot more CO2 in the atmosphere. The subject of a few talks at this workshop a couple weeks ago was constraining the abundance of atmospheric CO2 from looking at the chemistry of the few rocks we have from that epoch. There were some presentation suggesting that the atmosphere contained no more than about 20x the present abundance of CO2, but you may need more like 100-1000x in order to completely solve the problem. So people have suggested things like more CH4, NH3, and also that perhaps the Earth was somewhat darker due to different styles of cloud-making and fewer continental land masses (oceans are quite dark), meaning that the surface did not reflect back as much radiation as it does now. All of these ideas are being actively debated.

      Now as to the question of meteor bombardment: that was the topic of the last 1/3 of my talk at the workshop, but was not mentioned in TFA. I am on a paper coming out in a couple of weeks that is showing that the so-called Late Heavy Bombardment persisted on the Earth all throughout the Archean, rather than ending abruptly at the end of the Hadean, as was thought from looking at lunar samples. The bombardment rate, while much higher than present-day, was not so high as to likely have had any major direct effect on the climate over geologically interesting timescales (say an impact creating a 1000 km wide basin occurring every 200-500 million year during the Archean). However, there may have been indirect effects of impact bombardment that have yet to be explored, and we find that it is an interesting coincidence that bombardment rate pretty much drops off completely by the early Proterozoic, just as Earth began to show signs of having some oxygen in the atmosphere, and the first real evidence for any kind of major glaciation events (the Huronian snowball). Could somewhat elevated impact bombardment rate be a controlling factor in the warm and anoxic Archean? I don't know the answer to that, but were studying it.

    20. Re:The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 1

      No, those weren't considered because their effect is so tiny. In other work I do, I consider radiation forces as they pertain to the orbits of small bodies, such as asteroids. The most important of these is the Yarkovsky effect (non-isotropic radiation of thermal photons), which can change the orbits of small asteroids, but the effect diminishes as the size of the body increase. For objects greater than about 10-20 km in diameter in the inner solar system, the Yarkovsky effect isn't important over the age of the solar system.

    21. Re:The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 2

      No, the asteroid belt was never a planet. We receive pieces of the asteroid belt in the form of meteorites, and most of those meteorites basically reflect a well-mixed sample of the same kinds of things that the Sun is made out of (minus all the gas), which hints that they are samples of the solid component of the solar nebula that the Sun formed out of. If they were a part of a planet, the planet would have differentiated into a core and a mantle, so would not reflect the "primitive" composition of the solar nebula. The asteroid belt is thought of a s a place where planet formation was halted very early on (likely due to the gravitational influence of the formation of nearby Jupiter), and was cleared out of most mass before it had a chance to combine to make planets. The combined mass of the asteroid belt is quite small, only about 5% the mass of the Moon.

    22. Re:The Inside Scoop by hypergreatthing · · Score: 1

      Have you thought about external forces being involved with fluctuation with the orbits to cause a shift, rather than something that can be accounted for within the system itself? For instance when the sun's system passes through a galaxy arm, the close proximity of the other systems (close being relative) it travels near having an effect on the balance of the orbits of the planets? For example, a rogue planet/red dwarf which may have gotten close enough to have an effect on the orbits of the planets after the encounter later by adding instability which was corrected afterwards with planets migrating to more stable orbits/oort cloud disruptions which caused a flurry of comet activity,etc?

      I'm not advocating that it's possible, i'm just curious to see what kind of event may have taken place so that it's possible, and how noticeable the effects would be. I would assume that the orbits of the planets always try to establish the most stable pattern possible, but small disturbances, which may not seem like much during the event, may over time cause instability which would effect the overall system as it finds a new "ground" state for rotation. For instance, if for some reason, Jupiter was shifted towards the inner planets, to lets say where the asteroid field is between mars and jupiter today, how would that affect the inner planet's orbits? I would assume it would have a major effect over time, probably mars and some others would be ejected, but i'd like to then know what kind of event would cause that.

      Thanks,

    23. Re:The Inside Scoop by Reziac · · Score: 1

      That's something I've wondered about -- is it possible that our sun is really a binary, where star #2 is 1) dead and 2) has a really REALLY big and strongly elliptical orbit, with a period tens of thousands of years or more (I don't know what the theoretical maximum is for that -- anyone??) and the occasional pass of #2 is the disrupting factor. It might account for stuff like "Earth's magnetic poles swap ends every 25,000 years or so" (assuming that's true) that otherwise lacks a good explanation.

      Just making shit up here, but along the same lines as you were thinking.

      And if I were a student, I think I'd really enjoy Spacemandave's classes. :)

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    24. Re:The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 1

      I need you to provide an overwhelming body of evidence for this assertion, otherwise the rest of your argument it based on nothing.

      First, the Faint Young Sun Paradox is not my idea. The first paper to point out the problem was written by Carl Sagan and George Mullen back in 1972, but the idea that stars steadily rise in luminosity as they age is older than that, and it is a very well established outcome of our understanding of how stars work. Basically as a main sequence star converts H->He in its core, the density of the core increases over time, which causes the core's pressure to increase in order to keep the star in hydrostatic equilibrium, and its luminosity rises as a consequence of the higher nuclear reaction rates in response.

      Secondly, you need to provide some metric as to the magnitude of the "faintness" for the early sun.

      An approximate functional form of the luminosity as a function of time is given by Gough (1981, Solar Physics) L=1/(1+0.4*(1-t/4.5e9))*3.9e33 erg/s (where t is given in units of years). This form, while an approximation, has been well matched by computer simulations of solar evolution, and is well matched by observations of stars on the main sequence.

      And thirdly you need to show a clear (and backed by evidence) timeline for your faint early sun, the formation of the Earth, and then all of the historical data (geologic record) we have for the Earth.

      Based on measurements of the partitioning of the elements Hafnium and Tungsten in rocks from the Moon mantle we can date when the giant impact that formed the Moon occurred. You can read more here. Basically Earth completed its formation in less than 100 million years after the start of the solar system, about 4.57 billion years ago. The earliest minerals on the Earth are zircon crystals that form in continental crust, which are dated to at least about 4.3 billion years ago, and seem to indicate formation on a planet with liquid water oceans on the surface. The earliest whole rocks on the surface are about 3.8 billion years ago. Plate tectonics has a tendency to recycle and destroy rocks, but nevertheless geologists have been able to identify several locations where very ancient bits of the Earth are still preserved. The Faint Young Sun Paradox is about the time from about 4.3 billion years ago to the Archean/Proterozoic boundary at about 2.5 billion years ago, or about 2 billion years after the formation of the Earth.

      For the Earth to be moving away from the sun it must be gaining energy to "climb the gravitational well" from the sun. Have you done the calculations for this? Do you have a plausible source (and transfer mechanism) for this energy?

      The mechanism by which Earth gets its orbit raised is by a corresponding decrease in the orbital distance of a hypothetical Venus-precursor body. Yes, I did those calculations. That was the point of the talk this article is about.

      Finally, I saw a talk a couple of months ago by a world leading expert in N-body solar system simulations.

      The person you describe sounds an awful lot like Jacques Laskar. Yes, I am aware of his work, and in fact it was that result that you describe that inspired me to try my hypothesis out.

      Don't let my criticism get you down.

      I won't

      Keep going with your work, just dig deeper and be sure to always present a clear line of reasoning from what is established, to what you are claiming

      Your mistake is a common one that I find in places like Slashdot and other online communities. The bulk of scientific discussion and debate takes place in the peer reviewed literature. It's what it's designed for, and for all its flaws, it works quite well. People often mistake articles written in the popular press, such as TFA, as accurately reflecting the science. Unfortunately by their nature these kinds of articles

    25. Re:The Inside Scoop by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      Hey, question for you, and I just thought of this and don't know enough about orbital mechanics or whatever to know if this could even have been a factor, but...

      When we look at exoplanets being discovered by Kepler and especially those being detected by stellar wobble, we see a lot of (apparently) stable systems (at least for the moment) containing multiple worlds in highly eccentric orbits (compared to most of the large bodies in our system).

      Has anyone correlated eccentricity to the age of the systems in question? Are younger systems more likely to have worlds in these highly eccentric orbits? I'm just wondering if, over the scale of billions of years, if multi-planet systems like that remain stable or if the various bodies act upon each other to either reduce or increase the eccentricity of those orbits (say, as stellar mass slowly declines and they begin to migrate outward).

      I guess what I'm getting at is, maybe Earth and the other terrestrial planets once occupied more eccentric orbits, in our case generally closer to sol, but ~2 billion years ago interactions began forcing them into more circular orbits, a process which in our case shifted us further away from the sun. Perhaps Jupiter's orbit was relatively circular from the beginning and its influence gradually pulled Mars and then Earth into more circular orbits, with Venus and Mercury then being forced along, shifting their mean distances from sol in the process until the more stable, less eccentric condition we see today prevailed.

      One other thought - is it possible sol was once the distant companion to a large, luminous star, and that heat and light from that giant neighbor compensated for the young faint sun? Perhaps as that neighbor lost mass - and my understanding is large stars lose mass fairly quickly even before they go nova - sol drifted away until it finally fell out of orbit completely.

      Also, wouldn't a thicker atmosphere retain more heat regardless of its composition? If the atmospheric pressure at sea level was 2-3 times what it is today, wouldn't that do a great deal to insulate the early earth? Earth days were also much shorter then, and tides were much higher. I think at early on the oceans flooded the early continents on a daily basis, thanks to the enormous tidal pull of the moon, which whirled overhead just outside the Roche limit. Could both of those phenomena had a warming effect on the early Earth, resulting in a world that, while it might have been cool overall, couldn't have developed the kind of icy surface that could lead to runaway snowball events?

    26. Re:The Inside Scoop by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Not to use the God of the gaps crutch, but could Science consider the idea that an outside actor (God, aliens, etc...) terraformed the Earth? I'm no expert, but that seems like it could be a logical answer.

      It could be an answer, but since it discards one of the fundamental tools of logic - Occam's Razor, paraphrased as "avoid the unnecessary multiplication of entities" (incidentally, Occam was a theologian, did you know? He developed his razor to cut through the verbiage of many of his contemporary theologians. The cad ! ) - then it would be a tortuous struggle to describe it as a "logical" answer.

      That is, of course, regardless of your personal desire for for a god-of-the-gaps-shaped crutch to protect you from fear of your imminent death.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    27. Re:The Inside Scoop by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Excellent and thoughtful post, Prof. Minton. I was wondering from TFS if you'd taken into account the "wandering Mercury" paper of a few years ago, but it seems that you have. It's an interesting idea, but I'm wondering why you started with Venus as a double planet then having a late collision instead of (for example) looking at the effects of losing a 5th "terrestrial" planet from the inner solar system, producing an outwards movement of Earth on the time scale you want?

      But I would guess that you're already exploring "parameter space" around the original idea. Do I smell a singeing Beowulf cluster in the basement?

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    28. Re:The Inside Scoop by spacemandave · · Score: 1

      I considered it, but the problem is that the terrestrial planets are small, and they live deep in the Sun's gravity well. They aren't really big enough to toss each other out completely. So after an instability they either want to collide with each other or the Sun. The problem with an excitation that leads to a solar collision, is that you leave the remaining system in a state of instability. A collision between two proto-Venii solves this by decoupling Earth from the dynamics of the precursors. I can easily end up with solar systems that dynamically resemble our own, and I'm not sure that a solar collision would do that. But I'm still looking into it. I'm also fascinated by the apparent young, yet uniform, age of the surface of Venus.

    29. Re:The Inside Scoop by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      THANK YOU!!!

      I have stopped posting on slashdot for the most part because quality has gone down the toilet recently. Thank you for reminding me that real well thought out discussion can still exist, even here. Best of luck in all your future endevours, scientific and otherwise.

    30. Re:The Inside Scoop by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      I was surprised too years ago when I first learned about the young, uniform surface of Venus. There was a program I saw on television years ago though which showed that if you bake the water out of crustal rocks here on earth, they become much stronger. So if Venus lost its water fairly early on, it's possible its crust became so rigid that volcanic activity couldn't break thru until it shattered violently, unleashing a planetary-resurfacing flood of volcanic activity over a very short period of time. So I don't know if you need an external catastrophic event to explain away the surface of Venus.

      One other thought I've had - what if Venus had a good-sized moon in a retrograde orbit? Could it have eventually spiraled downward, colliding with Venus and leading to its resurfacing?

    31. Re:The Inside Scoop by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      They aren't really big enough to toss each other out completely.

      Hmm, am I mis-remembering the "moving Mercury" paper then? I thought that it had around a 20% probability of an interaction in the next few billion years, with one of the three (Mercury, Venus, Earth) getting ejected. I'll have to go back and re-read the paper.

      So after an instability they either want to collide with each other or the Sun. The problem with an excitation that leads to a solar collision, is that you leave the remaining system in a state of instability. A collision between two proto-Venii solves this by decoupling Earth from the dynamics of the precursors. I can easily end up with solar systems that dynamically resemble our own, and I'm not sure that a solar collision would do that.

      OK, I can see that at a qualitative level. You're the expert. (Compared to most other people who'll be posting in this thread.)

      But I'm still looking into it.

      Horror! Wouldn't you be better looking for clues in crop circles?

      I'm also fascinated by the apparent young, yet uniform, age of the surface of Venus.

      Who, who is aware of the issue, isn't?
      I think Douglas Adams failed to report on one of Magratheia's advertising slogans (the planet-building agency) : "Diversity'Ð'Us"
      (That's probably going to get borked by Slashcode's inability to handle non-Latin characters ; it's a Cyrillic "Capital Ya". Thought so ; borked ; thanks Slashcode.)

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    32. Re:The Inside Scoop by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      There was a program I saw on television years ago though which showed that if you bake the water out of crustal rocks here on earth, they become much stronger.

      "stiffer", (I don't think the ultimate compressive strength changes so much) and with a reduced density change against temperature, I think. Both of which would act to make convective overturn harder.

      it's possible its crust became so rigid that volcanic activity couldn't break thru until it shattered violently,

      Welllll .... more likely without convective overturn, the core heat would slowly build up in the upper mantle/ lower crust until the temperature gradient did get high enough for convective overturn to start. Since this would happen with more-or-less radial symmetry, then it would lead to ...

      unleashing a planetary-resurfacing flood of volcanic activity over a very short period of time.

      That's the way I read it though. But this is just a hobby ; I may well be wrong.

      One other thought I've had - what if Venus had a good-sized moon in a retrograde orbit?

      Hmm, how would you get a moon in a retrograde orbit without some pretty vigorous interactions already?

      If I recall my maths from pre-university properly, there is a property of shearing systems called "curl" which allows you to predict the rotation direction of vortices, their shedding frequency, the probability of uniformly sheared flows (e.g. the protoplanetary disc) developing turbulent instability ... powerful tool. And as flow speeds get faster (orbits are smaller, closer to the proto-Sun), the "curl" gets higher, which tends to make things more uniform. So, a priori I'd expect you to be more likely to spontaneously develop retrograde satellites etc further out in the protoplanetary disc.

      Ah, good ; buried in "the pile" is "Nature-0459-0817 collisional trajectories of Mercury, Mars and Venus with the Earth", the Laskar & Gastineau paper cited previously. See if I can read it adequately on the Kindle on the bus to work !

      Just love those employers that purchase a site license for places like Nature, intending it to be used by a couple of dozen geoscientists and/ or engineers world wide, but leave the gates open to anyone on their network !

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    33. Re:The Inside Scoop by sootman · · Score: 1

      Awesome, awesome post. Thanks for taking the time to write it.

      --
      Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
    34. Re:The Inside Scoop by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      >Hmm, how would you get a moon in a retrograde orbit without some pretty vigorous interactions already?

      Doesn't Saturn have an outer moon in a retrograde orbit?

      Maybe Venus captured a moon in a retrograde orbit, one that slowly degraded over billions of years until it smacked into the planet. Would explain the crazy slow rotation of Venus compared to Earth and Mars, and why it was resurfaced relatively recently.

    35. Re:The Inside Scoop by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Doesn't Saturn have an outer moon in a retrograde orbit?

      I think that you may be right on that. But the outer Solar System is a much emptier place than the inner solar system.

      I think the Saturnian example is thought to be a captured asteroid. Shrivelled up comet? Something.

      Neptune has a retrograde satellite too - ISTR? [checks] Yeah, Triton and three others are retrograde (and the Saturnian retrograde one is "Phoebe"). A lot of Neptune's satellites are "irregular" - high eccentricity, high inclination to the plane of the planet - 5 out of 13. For Uranus, it's 9 out of 27. Saturn 38 out of 64. Jupiter, it's 58 out of 66. And inside the Asteroid Belt, it's 0 out of three.

      I think that collection of figures suggests that the presence of retrograde satellites is more related to the (inward) proximity of the Asteroid belt.

      Would explain the crazy slow rotation of Venus compared to Earth and Mars, and why it was resurfaced relatively recently.

      Hmmm, making a guess that in your model Venus had a rotation rate comparable to Earth and Mars (Mercury has a complicating tidal interaction with the Sun) ... then you can work out the angular momentum and kinetic energy that had to be lost to achieve the present situation. That should be enough information to solve for the nature (mass, velocity) of the impacting body. 14+ mechanics problem. OK, maybe 16+ : it's a long time since I did my physics.

      From the cratering record on Venus - a bit wobbly because of the cushioning effect of the dense atmosphere - the estimated epoch of Venus' most recent re-surfacing is 200-500 million years. For your scenario, there might be secondary debris impacts on Earth (complicated by the recycling effect of plate tectonics), but there are (practically) certain to be impacts on Mercury. Is there any evidence of this?

      I'm not being nasty asking these questions - I can see how to go about assessing the likelihood of your scenario. You're making proposals like a scientist ; following through the consequences of your idea and trying to invalidate it is the next step (exactly as Prof Minton said up-thread). Feynman had an appropriate Feynmanism for the situation (but he would, wouldn't he?).

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    36. Re:The Inside Scoop by sunspot42 · · Score: 1

      ~500 million years ago was around the time of the Cambrian explosion here on earth, after a big snowball event. Wonder if there's any evidence for increased impacts around that time...

      It's been proposed that Triton is a captured satellite as well, I believe. Maybe something Neptune picked up as it migrated outward.

      Wonder what the ratio of captures to collides to ejects is when these bodies encounter each other during solar system formation. Would be interesting if you could also determine how much big stuff either slammed into the gas giants or was ejected from the solar system (or spun into the sun).

      Hmmm. Wonder if some of the big stuff buzzing around in the Oort Cloud was ejected by the gas giants? Could some terrestrial world be lurking out there, chucked into a wide, distant orbit 4 billion years ago?

    37. Re:The Inside Scoop by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      ~500 million years ago was around the time of the Cambrian explosion here on earth, after a big snowball event.

      The Cambrian explosion was around 550 to 540Ma. The "snowball event" is less well founded, and it's significance, intensity, duration and global simultaneity are more open to disagreement than Discovery and NatGeo Channels would lead you to think.

      The (approximate) time limits I proposed for the re-surfacing of Venus go back as far as 500 million years, but to connect the Cambrian explosion and the resurfacing would require dragging both events out of their credible time periods to get an overlap. The Permian-Triassic extinction event also falls into the "re-surfacing window", at it's nearer end. As do the end-Devonian and Ordovician-Silurian mass extinction events. The P-T event and the end-Dev event are closely associated with large impacts (Manicougain, Canada and Bedout, Australia ; IIRC), though it's not terribly clear if the impacts came before the extinctions or after. Or if they're just coincidences.

      To get a clear signal of a Venusian impact causing secondary impacts on Earth, you'd need to collate the ages of all the recorded impacts on the Earth, line them up, and then look for a particular peak. The problem is, a lot of the ages are not very well recorded. The data simply isn't there. a +/-100Ma accuracy on an age is nothing unusual. That's going to make it very difficult to acquire data to support your concept.

      That's part of the reason that it's easier to check a concept for ways it couldn't be possible than for ways that it could be possible. It would be perfectly possible for there to have been 32 distinct gunmen on the Grassy Knoll, but for it to still have been Lee Harvey Oswald who was the killer. OTOH, if the angle of fire and penetration make it impossible for LHO to have been the shooter, then Jack Ruby was wrong. (I may be mangling the analogy - I don't follow the Keneddy conspiracy nuts any further than finding the remote and moving to something interesting.)

      It's been proposed that Triton is a captured satellite as well, I believe. Maybe something Neptune picked up as it migrated outward.

      Perhaps, shading towards "probably". The further out we get, the less orderly the solar system becomes. Which doesn't terribly surprise me.

      Wonder what the ratio of captures to collides to ejects is when these bodies encounter each other during solar system formation. Would be interesting if you could also determine how much big stuff either slammed into the gas giants or was ejected from the solar system (or spun into the sun).

      Certainly good questions. Some of them we can estimate the answer by modelling studies of the sort that Prof Minton is involved in. (And many others, it should be said.)

      The composition question has I think been addressed by spectroscopy on the gas giants, and is pretty minor for Jupiter and Saturn. From a different direction, there was a report last year of a star detected with evidence of having just swallowed a "terrestrial" planet - again spectroscopy. The logic in their argument is a moderately long inference chain, but seems solid to me. Worth digging out from Arxiv.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  19. Re:In the beginning... by Lumpy · · Score: 1

    O.M.G. you are a genius!

    PRAY FOR MORE OIL! God will provide my brothers!

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  20. Man Stabbed. Death Caused By Anemia. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Your post is neither less stupid than the GP nor informative.

    Re: Sucking
    It was also just a bunch of CO2 you blew out.

    Re: Your ridiculous claims.
    *Everything* that kills you works by disrupting something your body needs to do to live. You might as well say paralyzing venoms don't kill you, it's the lack of oxygen because your lungs aren't working. Does that mean venom isn't poison? No.

    Re: Car scenario
    The CO2 in your scenario doesn't kill you. The CO does that. CO2 CAN kill you, though. Maybe you've heard of hypercapnia. (Note the URL, too.)

    Re: Plants
    Just because something is not poison to ONE organism does not mean it is not a poison.

    1. Re:Man Stabbed. Death Caused By Anemia. by khoonirobo · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up.

    2. Re:Man Stabbed. Death Caused By Anemia. by Tyr07 · · Score: 1

      Re: Just because something is not poison to ONE organism does not mean it is not a poison.

      That's a poor example. I agree with the rest, but oxygen is technically a poison too, there are organisms that find oxygen toxic.

      Like humans for example. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen_toxicity

      All of it is about quantity, and how it's used, for everything. Something becoming poisonous entirely depends on the context a substance is used, the quantity, and how the particular organism reacts to it.

  21. Re:In the beginning... by busyqth · · Score: 1

    2 Kings, Chapter 4.

  22. What by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

    That makes no sense. Early in Earth's life it was a molten ball of lava because it was just forming and it had a heavy atmosphere since volcanoes spit out green house gasses like crazy.
    As far as I knew early in Earth's life it was extremely hot, as even after life starting it was far far hotter then now and far too hot to have snow/ice.

    --
    Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    1. Re:What by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Yes, that's the paradox: the early Earth was warmer than it "should" have been, given what we (think we) know about solar output, greenhouse gases, etc. at the time.

    2. Re:What by jaymemaurice · · Score: 1

      I thought we were still on a molten ball of lava with a nice crust on top. I'd imagine the earth didn't form precisely in its current size desity and orbit that it has been since it's creation and thinking such would be as assinine as believing we/and the solar system just appeared one day. That said, I thought it was understood the ball of lava we are floating on is not heated by solar/green house gases so if the change in orbit was THAT significant, it would have to be one hell of an orbit change... and such an orbit change would take a massive amount of energy.

      --
      120 characters ought to be enough for anyone
    3. Re:What by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      yeah don't volcanos have massive gas output?

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    4. Re:What by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      The surface of the Earth is not substantially heated by its interior. The heat received by the Sun is orders of magnitude more important (with greenhouse gases adding another ~10% to that).

      Large orbit changes don't necessarily require "massive amounts of energy" in a chaotic system.

    5. Re:What by jaymemaurice · · Score: 1

      I agree and don't think the surface of the earth is heated substantially by its core, but the core is not heated substantially by its surface... how could a massive sudden change in orbit occur without sudden massive energy transfer?! A massive jupiter size object crosses through the suns orbit - that would still be a lot of energy and we should be able to see evidence of that. Not saying there isn't and this is bunk, but surely something that should be able to have lots of solid factual backing.

      --
      120 characters ought to be enough for anyone
    6. Re:What by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Nobody said anything about sudden. The article talks about a process occurring over billions of years, involving an extra planet that either fell into the Sun, was ejected from the Solar System, or collided with another planet (like Jupiter). If all this happened billions of years ago, I can't see how we could possibly have any evidence of it today. (That's a problem with the testability of this theory.) It's actually quite easy, in a chaotic solar system, for orbits to gradually change over billions of years. Nothing really dramatic has to happen. (For a related example of how easy it is to cause dramatic orbit changes with very small inputs of energy, see the Interplanetary Transport Network.)

  23. Err ... Mars .. Sheesh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All geological accounts indicate that Mars had liquid oceans.

    Under this theory, Mars being significantly further from the sun should have been a Hoth planet. Instead, Mars oceans gradually evaporated and with insufficient gravity to retain even the heavier gases, Mars lost not only its oceans but most of its atmosphere.

    The theory presented in this articles blows. First the needed level of energy to push the Earth away from the Sun would be ... errr ... astronomical.

    But more than that, it does not explain Mars loss of oceans.

    1. Re:Err ... Mars .. Sheesh by shoor · · Score: 2

      I'm not an astrophysicist, but I'll respond to the part about the amount of energy 'to push the Earth away'. It's all about conservation of momentum. If one planet moves closer to the sun, something else has to move out. Big Jupiter might move in a little by pulling a small planet like earth or Mars out a lot. No energy is 'lost'. One might even argue that energy is not even used, just passed around. To give a relatively simple example of how the motions of the planets are more complicated than the simple models we learn as kids in school, consider that the fact that the moon is slowing down the rotation of the earth though tidal action means that that angular momentum has to go to the moon, so it's orbit is gradually getting further away from the earth. And yeah, some energy is 'lost' in this case because of tidal friction. It would only become 'stable' when the earth was rotating at such a speed as to be in lock step with the orbit of the moon so that the moon was always directly above the same place on the earth like communications satellites are now.

      --
      In theory, theory and practice are the same; in practice they're different. (Yogi Berra & A. Einstein)
  24. Mod up by ridgecritter · · Score: 1

    Wish I had mod points for you. Maybe if I make a Sprinkled Parmesan sacrifice to His Noodlyness, I'll get some....

  25. Double plus good post by ridgecritter · · Score: 1

    Thanks

  26. Re:Intellectual nightmare by cheaphomemadeacid · · Score: 1

    Was gonna mod this down, but i'll reply instead. Sure there are lies about global warming. That said, what do you, personally, think what variables are responsible for climate of earth? Are you making the case that humans have affected exactly NONE of these variables? Because, that sounds kinda far fetched ;P

  27. Re:Intellectual nightmare by jaymemaurice · · Score: 1

    Do you have to believe in man made global warming to believe that bringing up and burning long burried carbon, turning it into CO2 is a bad idea?! Especially when we are doing other things like turning areas of land that burried the carbon into barren concrete?! Do you have to believe in man made global warming to accept that there are ways to get energy without hugely upsetting balances?

    This isn't my field, but I think the idiot is the one who calls others idiots based on such a narrow scope.

    --
    120 characters ought to be enough for anyone
  28. We are a "snowball Earth", but life changed that by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 1

    We have been a "snowball Earth", but life changed that some 2-3 billion years ago. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cryogenian

    Without life, Earth would probably have remained a snowball Earth.

    What is the problem?

  29. I am quite skeptical about this by ctrl-alt-canc · · Score: 4, Interesting

    One of the amazing consequences of the Kolmogorov-Arnold-Moser theorem (KAM) is that the Earth orbit is stable, despite the influence of Jupiter. Stable in this context means that the orbit perturbations caused by Jupiter and the other planets don't cause the Earth orbit to move too close or too far from the Sun, causing dramatic changes of temperature.
    Chaos theory when gravitation is involved is not so chaotic as one could expect: the KAM theorem tells us that multi-body systems governed by gravitation law have intrinsic stability regions.

    1. Re:I am quite skeptical about this by spacemandave · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is not Earth's stability, it's Mercury's. Mercury is close to a so-called secular resonance, and it's eccentricity varies more chaotically than Earth or Venus. So yes, Earth would remain bounded indefinitely as long as Mercury never attains a high enough eccentricity that it begins crossing into Venus's orbit. Once close encounters take place with Mercury, the whole inner solar system can rapidly destabilize.

    2. Re:I am quite skeptical about this by tgd · · Score: 1

      The problem is not Earth's stability, it's Mercury's. Mercury is close to a so-called secular resonance, and it's eccentricity varies more chaotically than Earth or Venus. So yes, Earth would remain bounded indefinitely as long as Mercury never attains a high enough eccentricity that it begins crossing into Venus's orbit. Once close encounters take place with Mercury, the whole inner solar system can rapidly destabilize.

      Oh, I hope Michael Bay doesn't read /. or an even worse disaster could happen:

      Armageddon II: Mercury's Rampage
      Coming Christmas 2013

  30. Re:In the beginning... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Believe what you want, as long as you don't try to shove it someone else's throat and that includes kids at school, who am I to say that your bearded imaginary friend on his fluffy cloud isn't as great a buddy as my friend Harvey over here?

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  31. Re:In the beginning... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

    In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth. 2 Now the earth was formless and empty, darkness was over the surface of the deep, and the Spirit of God was hovering over the waters. 3 And God said, “Let there be light,” and there was light. 4 God saw that the light was good, and he separated the light from the darkness. 5 God called the light “day,” and the darkness he called “night.” And there was evening, and there was morning—the first day.

    And as an afterthought, He created the sun.

    And the moon to rule the night, though for some reason it spends half its time in the daytime sky.

    The problem I have with a lot of people is I don't try to shove my belief in god on them

    Remind us who brought this nonsense up?

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  32. Re:Don't listen to this guy. by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

    He's a fraud.

    I'll give you 74 virgins

    74 virgins for all eternity? If they stay virgins, you're probably in Hell. Otherwise... even if you just bonk one per quadrillion years, you run out before you've put a scratch in eternity.

    Lurid offer, but meaningless if you pause to think about it. Once per quadrillion years is like offering you a chance to be a Slashdotter for all eternity.

    My religion, OTOH, offers you one skilled courtesan. Or gigolo - my Heaven offers something for everyone.

    Or dominatrix...

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  33. Re:We are a "snowball Earth", but life changed tha by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Life would make the Earth more prone to be "cold" because on the grand scale of things it tends to lock up CO2 in carbonates and organic molecules that get trapped in sediments and buried (look up the carbon cycle). As life proliferated this means the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere would go down, reducing the greenhouse effect. This appears to have nicely counter-balanced the gradual increase in solar luminosity over billions of years. If we had the atmosphere now that was probably present back in the Archean, we'd probably look more like Venus by now.

  34. H20 - has an LD50 and everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_intoxication

    Water intoxication, also known as water poisoning, is a potentially fatal disturbance in brain functions that results when the normal balance of electrolytes in the body is pushed outside of safe limits (e.g., hyponatremia) by overhydration, i.e., over-consumption of water.

    Under normal circumstances, accidentally consuming too much water is exceptionally rare. Nearly all deaths related to water intoxication in normal individuals have resulted either from water drinking contests in which individuals attempt to consume large amounts of water, or long bouts of intensive exercise during which electrolytes are not properly replenished, yet excessive amounts of fluid are still consumed.[1]

    Water, just like any other substance, can be considered a poison when over-consumed in a specific period of time. Water intoxication mostly occurs when water is being consumed at a high quantity without giving the body its proper nutrients it needs to be healthy.[2]

    Excess of body water may also be a result of a medical condition or improper treatment, see "hyponatremia" for some examples. Water is considered the least toxic chemical compound, with a LD50 of 90 g/Kg or more. [3]

  35. Re:In the beginning... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess between the believers and non-believers we're even. See Matthew 28:19. Part of the damn religion says "go bug everyone who doesn't believe until they believe... and the Christians DO!).

  36. I have a better hypothesis by mcgrew · · Score: 1

    Since it's believed that the moon was created by a Mars-sized object slamming into the Earth, it makes sense that the collision could have moved the Earth's orbit at least a little.

    The "Wandering Earth" could spark some good SF, though.

  37. Oh slashdot how you disappoint.... by MarkGriz · · Score: 1

    How could there not be a Monty Python joke in here somewhere?

    --
    Beauty is in the eye of the beerholder.
    1. Re:Oh slashdot how you disappoint.... by coolmadsi · · Score: 1

      How could there not be a Monty Python joke in here somewhere?

      Perhaps someone was going to make one, but got hit on the head by a coconut

  38. Farnsworthian by tmosley · · Score: 1

    It's just water! 99% water.

    With just a trace amount of LSD.

  39. Re:Intellectual nightmare by doston · · Score: 1

    Trying to reconcile the garbage that is man made global warming with real science. It forces more and more people to adopt stupidity and idiocy instead of rational thought.

    I fully expect the MSM to be chock full of lies, but here at /. I expected a little more honesty and rebellion. Ars-technica is now riddled with idiots who believe in man made global warming. Are you here the same now as well? Have you surrendered that much honesty and objectivity?

    The Republican party now has its catechism of things you have to repeat in lockstep, kind of like the old Communist party. One of them is denying climate change.

  40. Re:We are a "snowball Earth", but life changed tha by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 1

    I found this from http://faculty.ucr.edu/~martink/pdfs/Kennedy_2008_Nature.pdf

    "The start of the Ediacaran period is defined by one of the most
    severe climate change events recorded in Earth history—the recovery
    from the Marinoan ‘snowball’ ice age, ,635 Myr ago. [...]

    The distinctive features of Marinoan deglaciation that define the
    base of the Ediacaran period can be attributed to the effects of
    permafrost methane clathrate destabilization. In contrast to the
    balanced feedbacks and progressive glacial–interglacial cycles of
    Cenozoic deglaciation, the violent opening of the highly volatile
    shelf-permafrost methane clathrate pool could act as a trigger to
    catastrophic climate and biogeochemical reorganization of the
    Earth system, abruptly bringing the long-lived and icy Cryogenian
    period to a close and setting the stage for the appearance of metazoans
    and dominance of a new Earth system. This event both identifies
    the range of function of the climate system, and demonstrates a
    mechanism activated by strong climate forcing not unlike projected
    future effects of atmospheric CO2."

  41. AC, stupid as ever by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Okay as others have pointed out the parent is confusing CO and CO2

    Wrong. I was VERY CAREFULLY pointing out CO2 (the gas specifically mentioned, carbon dioxide) is not toxic, being explicit because CO (carbon MONOXIDE) is in fact toxic. It just so happens both are found in car exhaust...

    Even though your post supports the argument that perhaps people are truly too stupid to be allowed to post AC, I still support the AC system. You may want to read up on the next subject before you post again though.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  42. Not MKAY by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    So, too much CO2 is lethal. mkay?

    I never said it was not lethal. Just not toxic.

    Words mean things, m'kay?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley