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NASA's Hansen Calls Out Obama On Climate Change

Hugh Pickens writes "Dr James Hansen, director of the NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, who first made warnings about climate change in the 1980s, writes in the NY Times that he was troubled to read a recent interview with President Obama in Rolling Stone in which he said that Canada would exploit the oil in its vast tar sands reserves 'regardless of what we do.' According to Hansen 'Canada's tar sands, deposits of sand saturated with bitumen, contain twice the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by global oil use in our entire history. If we were to fully exploit this new oil source, and continue to burn our conventional oil, gas and coal supplies, concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere eventually would reach levels higher than in the Pliocene era, more than 2.5 million years ago, when sea level was at least 50 feet higher than it is now.' Hansen says that instead of placing a rising fee on carbon emissions to make fossil fuels pay their true costs, leveling the energy playing field, the world's governments are forcing the public to subsidize fossil fuels with hundreds of billions of dollars per year."

461 comments

  1. "Level playing field" is a sham by Dachannien · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham designed to do nothing more than transfer wealth from first-world economies to third-world economies. In the process, all you really do is set a soft cap on carbon emissions without reducing actual dependence upon fossil fuels.

    We can achieve the same goal of reducing carbon output by instead investing that money into first-world research and development of alternative fuels. Full implementation then eliminates carbon emissions altogether, a goal which can't be achieved by market-based carbon neutrality alone.

    1. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The problem is that "green energy" has been sold as a jobs program. So the money goes to manufacturers instead of basic research. The problem is that a solution to our energy problems is not going to come from a manufacturer. A solution is far more likely to come from research. But research just doesn't generate the same number of jobs that a manufacturer can.

      It's politics as usual.

    2. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually "carbon neutrality" crap is an imperialist scheme to stop developing countries from developing. America polluted it's way to the top and now it wants to block others from this development path.

      On the other hand your plan to create clean energy sounds good too bad the U.S. is not going to fund this research. It's just not going to happen in a democracy controlled by fossil fuel oligarchs. The Chinese, however, have no such pesky troglodytes getting in the way of their research which is why they're getting in front of us. See it's a win-win for China. If they "go green" they head off the "carbon neutrality" scheme that might get forced on them by the UN or WTO and at the same time create technologies that Americans will have to import. When it comes to "doing the right thing" democracy just doesn't deliver.

    3. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Hatta · · Score: 3, Informative

      But research just doesn't generate the same number of jobs that a manufacturer can.

      Research can provide as many jobs as you have funds.

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    4. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by jpapon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham designed to do nothing more than transfer wealth from first-world economies to third-world economies.

      Actually, I think the idea is to put a monetary cost on things which currently have no cost, namely, emission of gasses which may have a negative effect on climate. I think thinking that there is some conspiracy here is kind of ridiculous. One side wants to implement government regulations to reduce carbon emissions. The other side believes the market will solve these problems. So we arrive at a compromise where we attempt to achieve our goal (reducing emissions) by using the market (make it have a cost). This seems entirely reasonable. Why shouldn't we attach a cost to pollution?

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    5. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Entropius · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It really is the only sensible way to go about it: as you say, fossil fuels' cost doesn't represent their true cost, because they cause unreimbursed damage to ... everyone.

      Use a carbon tax to make these fuels' cost represent their real cost, cut taxes somewhere else if you want to or dole the money out to the public, and let the market sort it out.

    6. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The theory that the market is capable of balancing anything what so ever, is conjecture and pseudoscience based on broken or incomplete mathematical models. That in of itself is the root of the 'conspiracy', but I prefer we call it the market, so we can talk to the people that are responsible.

    7. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham designed to do nothing more than transfer wealth from first-world economies to third-world economies. In the process, all you really do is set a soft cap on carbon emissions without reducing actual dependence upon fossil fuels.

      [citation needed] (Fox News does not count)

    8. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by oiron · · Score: 1, Insightful

      With a little help, it's probably quite capable. The only times that capitalism has worked is when it wasn't naked.

      A free market implies boundaries and regulation to keep it free!

    9. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://image.guardian.co.uk/sys-files/Guardian/documents/2011/02/10/CarbonWeb.pdf

      Somehow Canada should show up as larger than it is on this map if the claim is true

      http://image.guardian.co.uk/sys-files/Guardian/documents/2011/02/10/CarbonWeb.pdf

      Instead, Canada is just a bit higher than Italy on a per capita basis?

    10. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by BasilBrush · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That's a false dichotomy. Both manufacture and research provide jobs, and both are being funded. There is no either/or.

      There are plenty of alternative technologies already, and they need to be rolled out. Then as research comes up with better ones, the roll out will progress to better technology.

      Compare and contrast with microprocessors. Would you have said in the late 1970s that we need to invest in microprocessor research RATHER THAN manufacture? That the 808*, 6502 and Z80 weren't good enough and we should wait for something better before manufacturing? Had we have done so, we'd never have had the Core 2s and such like of today. The market supplied reason, direction and finance to the research.

    11. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by santax · · Score: 1

      This isn't true. The emission-rights are being sold on the world markets and it isn't the third world that is making billions and billions of them...

    12. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham designed to do nothing more than transfer wealth from first-world economies to third-world economies."

      Have you heard about "proxies"? The third-world countries are just there to distract the public eye while the money goes to a first-world bank account.

    13. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If Solyndra's any indication of things... It's done NEITHER.

    14. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Gideon+Wells · · Score: 2

      There is nothing wrong with being carbon neutral in theory. If every country were carbon neutral the economic benefits would go to those who do it most efficiency without simply resetting your economy to pre-Industrial.

      One of the problems is how to implement it. It is almost like arguing over flat, progressive, or recessive taxes*. Make it perfectly neutral between all countries and you hinder the development of... well... developing countries. The developed have a huge advantage and they can keep it. Have a progressive and it puts a larger burden on the developed countries and the developing get economic advantages. Unlike taxes where the stratification between rich, upper-class, middle-class and lower class, we have a developing country as the second largest economy in the world. Another sixth in GDP (Brazil). Two developing countries above Russia and the United Kingdom.

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    15. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by WaywardGeek · · Score: 2

      It is politics as usual, but in this case, Obama is right. If we don't buy their oil, they'll just build a pipeline to the coast and sell it to Japan. In the end, humanity has proven over and over that money wins. Here in NC, there's a battle to keep fracking out. In the end, we'll have fracking here. We'll also open ANWR for oil exploration, because it is expected to increase our very short US oil reserves by 50%. You just can't fight that kind of money. However, opening up all offshore drilling is not expected to increase our oil reserves enough to make any significant difference, so that's just dumb politics.

      On the positive side, from a green perspective, none of this oil is cheap. Also, Canada's oil sands companies have figured out how to generate oil much more efficiently, so it's not as dirty as it used to be. Not that they care about pollution, they just want to make more money. Oil sands might help keep oil prices below $200/bbl, which is a good thing, because prices that high would cause global suffering on a huge scale. However, none of the Canada oil is going to keep gas prices below $4/gallon. So, let them drill for it, and build them a pipeline to Texas. Keep fracking out of NC until natural gas prices are so high that voters decide to allow it. Hopefully by then, we'll have figured out how to do fracking safely. And, we need to use this time of permanent high oil prices to ramp up alternatives, like molten salt reactors.

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    16. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by phrostie · · Score: 1

      The statement, "According to Hansen 'Canada's tar sands, deposits of sand saturated with bitumen, contain twice the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by global oil use in our entire history. If we were to fully exploit this new oil source, and continue to burn our conventional oil, gas and coal supplies, concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere eventually would reach levels higher than in the Pliocene era, more than 2.5 million years ago, when sea level was at least 50 feet higher than it is now.' " strikes me as an odd wording.

      when fuel/gas reaches the pump it's content and octane are tightly controlled. the bitumen will have been removed as part of the refining process. this is already being done. the alowable sulfur content was tightened just a few years ago. so the fuel being burned in cars will produce exactly the same amount of carbon as any other fuel. if there is an issue then it needs to be tighter control at the refineries.

    17. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by jenningsthecat · · Score: 1

      Why shouldn't we attach a cost to pollution?

      We should attach a cost to pollution, and a hefty one. The problem is, cap and trade as currently implemented is very easy to scam, with built-in incentives to do so. With no adequate policing or enforcement, current carbon trading schemes are worse than useless - they can actually allow a company or industry to emit MORE greenhouse emissions than they would otherwise have gotten away with, under the pretense that some other body somewhere else in the world is offseting those emissions.

      The carbon market is already rife with fraud - companies selling credits on the premise that they're planting forests that never get planted, or where the proceeds ostensibly reduce future emissions that were never in the works anyway, or in jurisdictions where monitoring and enforcement are extremely corrupt or downright non-existent.

      Carbon trading as it exists is a comforting lie, a fairy tale meant to lull us all to sleep while the house is burning down around us.

      --
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    18. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Ichijo · · Score: 1

      The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham...In the process, all you really do is set a soft cap on carbon emissions without reducing actual dependence upon fossil fuels.

      In order to prove the above is correct, you also need to prove that demand for petroleum is perfectly inelastic. Good luck with that!

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      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    19. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Use the word "Imperialist" = automatic loss of credibility.

    20. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [citation needed] = automatic bitch slap.
      Reference Fox News just for the hell of it (without, ironically, a citation)= automatic kick in the balls.

    21. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Ha!

      I guess you could say that Hansen is a is just a Climate Scientist and not a Petroleum Engineer. So he's really not qualified to have an opinion on gas from the oil sands.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    22. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1
      "The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham designed to do nothing more than transfer wealth from first-world economies to third-world economies. In the process, all you really do is set a soft cap on carbon emissions without reducing actual dependence upon fossil fuels."

      So? Where do you think the material basis for the wealth of the first world came from?

      From coltan to copper, from rubber to rice, from bananas to coffee to mahogany to tea to gold and diamonds and silver - it comes from the third world. Simple fact. The periphery feeds the centre, and the centre pisses it away on conspicuous consumption. So, a wealth transfer from the first world to the third world IS CALLED REPARATIONS AND JUSTICE.

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    23. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Disfnord · · Score: 1

      Because "compromise", in today's political climate, no longer means both of us meeting at the half-way point, but rather means you compromising and accepting my side of things.

    24. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by martin-boundary · · Score: 2
      Attaching a cost to pollution is meaningless. You either reduce (in absolute terms) by a certain fixed amount or you don't. Nature doesn't care about your greenbacks.

      The only thing an economic system of carbon emissions trading does is grow the economy by introducing a new ficticious form of wealth that can be used as leverage for investment games. It's literally creating wealth out of thin air (and I won't go into how useful that really is).

    25. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Ambitwistor · · Score: 3, Informative

      Attaching a cost to pollution is meaningless. You either reduce (in absolute terms) by a certain fixed amount or you don't. Nature doesn't care about your greenbacks.

      Nature doesn't, but humans, who are the ones who have to actually do the reducing, do. An arguably effective way for them to do that is for it to be in their financial best interest to do so.

      The only thing an economic system of carbon emissions trading does

      Who said anything about emissions trading? That's not the only way to make emissions have a cost. Hansen himself favors a tax-and-dividend plan.

    26. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only with fatass American slobs. In which case, no loss at all.

    27. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Immerman · · Score: 1

      ...so let them drill for it

      If only. Canadian oil sands are processed by strip-mining the tar-rich sand and processing it with immense amounts of boiling water which is then flushed downstream along with tons of toxic by-products. All this is done in the middle of what was once pristine wilderness area, and upstream of many indigenous communities which are beginning to suffer severe health problems. The resulting toxic moonscapes make coal mining look positively inviting.

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    28. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by WillDraven · · Score: 1

      Use of the word "Heliocentric" = automatic loss of divinity.

      Just because you don't agree doesn't mean you should immediately close your ears as soon as the speaker says a word you don't like.

      In this case I wont go so far as to say I agree with the GP, but I think the idea has some interesting parallels if you substitute a geographic empire ruled by a state with an economic empire ruled by a corporation.

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    29. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Immerman · · Score: 2

      Yes, all gas has the same CO2 content at the pump; HOWEVER, you also need to count all the CO2 released to get it from where it was in the ground to the pump. In the case of tar sands they require an immense amount of high-energy processing which releases far more CO2 than traditional oil distilling does. That's where the extra CO2 cost comes from.

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      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    30. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A cost is not a fine and implies a valued commodity, and as such, someone will try to capitalize on it. Carbon credits whose value is tied to atmospheric carbon levels? Burn down a rainforest in another country, bottom out the carbon credit value, wreck smaller nations' economies, purchase their credits at lowered cost to save them from going bankrupt, emerge a rich champion of a green world. Whether it's green because of greed or because of environmental friendliness, who's to say? Monetizing problems only works for certain cultural mindsets and benefits nations who have offshored most of their industry and manufacturing. Can you think of a way to implement it that would allow any but the (financially) largest nations to profit?

    31. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Nice buzzwords, but ...

      In the process, all you really do is set a soft cap on carbon emissions

      Yes, in Hansen's scheme you do. Because a hard cap would potentially be very destructive.

      without reducing actual dependence upon fossil fuels.

      Well yes, if your industrial process depends on fossil fuels, this won't reduce your dependence on them, but will make it more expensive. That is by design. The idea is that less fossil-fuel hungry alternatives will get competitive. Once they are, they will benefit from economies of scale and network effects, and may well end up being more productive than the original process, even ignoring the taxes. (We frequently get stuck in local optima).

      We can achieve the same goal of reducing carbon output by instead investing that money into first-world research and development of alternative fuels.

      First of all: We can't know exactly which goals can and can not be achieved by improved technology. We don't know what future inventions can do until we have them. And more importantly, for any stated goal ("We want to find a cost-effective way of scrubbing the atmosphere of excess carbon!") you don't know if you will get there by using ten billions and 3 years, or 30 years and 300 billions. This is the nature of scientific uncertainty: You can't predict what science will produce in a scientific manner.

      So how much would you allocate to research? One billion or 300 billion? It may still not be enough.

      Both Hansen's proposal and to a lesser degree traditional cap and trade (which Hansen opposes) works around that problem. Research will still get funding under those scenarios, but it will come from businesses (and countries) which have decided that directing money to such technology is less costly than cutting emissions in other ways.

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    32. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by J+Story · · Score: 1

      "Oil sands" is the term used by the Alberta and Canadian governments, because not only does it sound better, but it's technically correct. "Tar sands" is the term used by environmentalist extremists, presumably because it sounds dirty. That Hansen uses the latter term clearly shows that his role is more advocacy than science. If he were an honest dealer, he would step down from his position at NASA so he could practice advocacy full-time, or at the very least he would insist that reporters not mention his affiliation when he gets on his extremist soapbox.

    33. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      Skipping over the B.S., if you want actual scientific debate on global warming, here's a good summary of the discussion with links to pieces on both sides.

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    34. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      I think thinking that there is some conspiracy here is kind of ridiculous.

      It's not a conspiracy and I don't think that's what the parent meant. Rather, he was alluding to the fact that third world countries cannot, due to corruption, or will not, due to outright refusal, agree to participate in your carbon taxing scheme. So what you will end up with is a game where one side plays by the rules and the other side does as it pleases. Why should we wrestle with one arm tied behind our collective backs? The US economy is in bad enough shape right now without adding the self inflicted wounds of carbon taxing. Thanks, but no thanks.

    35. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      Then as research comes up with better ones, the roll out will progress to better technology.

      No it won't. Once you start subsidizing manufacturing, you have special interests that want those subsidies to continue. So they block progress. This is already happening. Ethanol from sugar cane is far more efficient to make than ethanol from corn. So we have laws to block it, to "protect" the corn farmers. The Obama administration is also trying to block more cost effective solar panels from China to protect American subsidy sucking manufacturers.

      Subsidies for research make sense. Subsidies for manufacturing are an impediment to real progress.

    36. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by CodeBuster · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Use a carbon tax to make these fuels' cost represent their real cost

      Which would be largely meaningless for several reasons. First, the world is currently using almost as much oil as can be pumped out of the ground at maximum rates. There is no longer any significant slack in the world's oil supplies while at the same time there are billions of aspiring consumers in both India and China who are right now in the process of acquiring all of the habits of a western style consumerist lifestyle. This means that any slack in the oil market generated by American or European cutbacks, due to carbon pricing or whatever, will be almost immediately taken up by consumers and industry in China and India. What will be the result of this policy? American and European economies are crippled by higher energy taxes while at the same time no less carbon is emitted because India and China are now burning whatever oil we don't. In fact, it would probably lead to overall worse emissions because vehicles in China in India tend to be older and less efficient designs which belch huge clouds of greasy black smoke from their tailpipes and produce large quantities of photochemical smog. Second, selling energy taxes is like selling austerity and we've all seen how well austerity sells to the public in Europe as a result of the financial meltdown. People really hate being asked to make do with less, especially when government policy forces it upon them. So asking people to cut back and make sacrifices for the climate is basically a non-starter on any meaningful scale. Any workable solution to climate change will have to be almost a drop in replacement for our current energy use or it has basically no chance of being used.

    37. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by kanweg · · Score: 1

      With high gas prices over here, there is a drive to develop technology to make cars run with less fuel. Chinese manufacturers desiring to sell their cars here will have to meet those standards and will use that same technology in their own country.

      It is not that the tax money by having higher gas prices is gone. It is spent on other things deemed useful. If that meony were not derived from gas taxes, we'd have other taxes to pay for those things. I'd like to think that it is better to tax fuel than raise other taxes.

      Bert

    38. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by phrostie · · Score: 0

      I get that, but RATHER than CONSTANTLY falling back on AGENDAS and CAPLOCKS, why don't we work on finding new ways to reduce the power consumption of the refineries. It would be a win for everyone. New methods could be applied to existing refineries where possible. Personally i'm a big fan of windpower. wouldn't it be ironic if you powered a refinery with a combination of wind and solar? Even he says, "Canada would exploit the oil in its vast tar sands reserves 'regardless of what we do."

      Rather holding your ideological breath, find a solution and make a difference.

    39. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by sixsixtysix · · Score: 4, Informative

      you do realize why Solyndra failed, dont you? after the u.s. government invested $500 million in loans in solar tech, china went and invested $30 billion in loans for solar tech. game over, man.

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    40. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      The wild swings in price are a pretty good indication that the petroleum demand curve is pretty inelastic, at least over the variations in supply we have seen so far.

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    41. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You bring up a good point. That would explain why nations like Chad and Central African Republic are the ones pushing for this type of legislation, and not the US or EU. ... oh.

    42. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by BasilBrush · · Score: 2

      Ethanol is no longer subsidized. That stopped at the beginning of this year. Subsidy did exactly what it was supposed to do. It primed the pump. It got the industry going. Now it's not needed.

      There's a tax on foreign ethanol, of any kind, even corn ethanol. But that's just protectionism. And its tax not subsidy.

    43. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by triffid_98 · · Score: 1

      It's actually worse than that, some factories in China intentionally overproduce carbon so that they can benefit from European carbon offsets without actually installing any pollution controls

      ...when you have a 'level playing field' it means everyone is playing by the same rules, and they aren't, and they won't, ever.

      What's even more depressing is that even if we did globally implement all of these reforms it's probably too late to do anything but delay the inevitable. Russia's (and Canada's, and Greenland's, etc.) permafrost has started defrosting and releasing truckloads of CO2 into the atmosphere, and there's absolutely nothing we can do about it.

    44. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The 'jobs' play is a common technique used by Republicans, now co-opted by Democrats. "NAFTA will create jobs!" "Lower taxes will create jobs!" "Lower minimum wage will create jobs!" It works well, so why shouldn't the Democrats try it too? "Green energy will create jobs!" Sort of, but it's no more accurate than the claim, "Keystone pipeline will create jobs!" In fact, green energy will take jobs away from other kinds of energy, so the net job creation might be 0.

      Now, it could be that if someone did a study to calculate how many jobs would be gained and lost in various sectors as a result of switching to green energy, they would find more jobs are created using green energy than other types. But politicians aren't looking at that kind of study, they are just shouting to convince people to support their position.

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    45. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by russotto · · Score: 1

      The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham designed to do nothing more than transfer wealth from first-world economies to third-world economies.

      To certain third-world economies. Africa will be left out of the wealth, as usual.

    46. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by davester666 · · Score: 2

      Summary of summary of debate:

      Global Warming is happening.
      No, it isn't.

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    47. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Simple, because while more efficient extraction techniques (refining is basically the same as with oil from other sources) would help a little, there's a limit to how far you can take it, the tar is simply much more firmly locked into the soil than with the traditional big underground lake of oil. And generally speaking the environmentally conscious sorts that might develop such techniques aren't terribly interested in making a process that makes strip-mining coal look positively benevolent even more efficient and profitable.

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    48. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by uncqual · · Score: 1

      There's a tax on foreign ethanol, of any kind, even corn ethanol. But that's just protectionism. And its tax not subsidy.

      It seems to me that there are two components here and that one is really a subsidy.

      If there's a tax (I think it's actually an import tariff - but it pretty much walks like tax and quacks like a tax so let's refer to it as a tax) on foreign ethanol, that tax is of course actually paid by the end consumer of any product that includes foreign ethanol or whose production consumes foreign ethanol. The end consumer, of course, are individuals. Even if the tax is temporarily paid by a business it is eventually passed on to the end consumer -- for example, if a cab driver indirectly pays this tax when she fills up her cab's gas tank, it is ultimately passed on to her fares within hours. So, I would agree this is a tax not a subsidy (the end consumer pays it, the government ends up with the money to do with as they please).

      However, if the tariff allows domestic ethanol producers to charge higher prices for their product (i.e., the protectionism is actually working), that delta in price functions much like subsidy except the middle man (the government) is not directly involved in its collection and redistribution -- only in causing it to be collected and redistributed. It's not much different than if the government slightly increased income taxes and then sent those increased proceeds to producers of domestic ethanol and called it a "subsidy".

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    49. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      Sure, the main point of green technology isn't to create jobs. But Republicans argue that green policies will lose jobs, so it's useful to point out the other side: of the jobs created. If net job creation is zero then it's still worth doing.

      Renewable energy is better than non-renewables. Indeed it's logically essential to make the move - finite energy sources will not continue to supply the world's energy by definition. So it's worth doing even before adding the pollution and AGW factors into the mix.

    50. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Arker · · Score: 1

      Attaching a cost to pollution is a good idea. The implementation details are devilishly important though. The cost should go directly to those harmed - NOT into some state general fund where it can be spent politically. Yet that is the one thing that every scheme like this that has any chance of being implemented does NOT do. Instead, it will take the form of a tax, it will become government revenue, and this is not only not helpful it's worse than doing nothing at all. Once pollution becomes an income-generator for the state, it is in the states interest to ensure pollution continues, or even increases.

      So the only way I can think of to do this right would be via civil suit, not via statute. Unfortunately in most, if not all, jurisdictions, statutory pollution control regimes have long ago immunised polluters from common law remedies like this.

      And of course the other flaw in this proposal is the simple fact that CO2 IS NOT POLLUTION. Doh. But even if it were, see above.

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    51. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      No doubt. We are on the side of correctness and we have to win.

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      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    52. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by haruchai · · Score: 2

      What does it say when the archive of a CLIMATOLOGIC debate is on an ECONOMICS website.

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      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    53. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...all over a borderline worthless technology.

      Someone work out something that's practical, and we'll talk. Rolling out half-assed tech just so we can pat each other on the back is dumb. Especially when it involves billions of taxpayer dollars. If the debate were over thorium reactor development, or even just to research useful solar, I'd understand. But pushing billions of dollars worth of mediocre wind and solar tech into production so we can say, "we made jobs saving the earth!" sounds like lunacy.

      We need research, not empty, political sideshows.

    54. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Surt · · Score: 1

      I think the gp's point is that in short term jobs per dollar, manufacturing beats research.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    55. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Surt · · Score: 1

      I'd say the ultimate point of green technology is to ensure there can be jobs in the long term. Ultimately, the ability to do anything is constrained by the laws of physics. Energy creates the ability to do things, which makes jobs possible. Fossil fuels will run out (/ reach the point where the cost to achieve that input is greater than the productive output), and when they do, we'd better have replaced that energy input into our economy, or the proportion of our economy driven by that energy will vanish.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
    56. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      That our modern economy is entirely predicated on use and consumption of a non-renewable, globally harmful fuel source?

      Also that you should consider that it's a big issue and there are summaries of it on many types of web sites.

    57. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 3, Insightful

      PV technology works. My fairly large suburban house would be electrically self-sufficient on a 15 kW PV array. We have 9 kW. The panels, sans subsidy, take about 10 years to pay for themselves. Expanded, to the state-level, that is not an unreasonable figure nor an unreasonable amount time (and these are expensive, high efficiency panels to boot).

      But more importantly, solar tech scales well. Solar thermal technology can provide baseload power via thermal storage, and that's just made with mirrors, turbines (from coal plants of all places) and salt. With real government commitment - say, to the the tune of the aforementioned $30 billion that China pumped into it's PV market, the US could easily begin deploying baseload solar with a goal to decommissioning the the now very old nuclear powerplants which it hasn't been replacing to date - it's a political easy win, and solves a number of real problems. It can also be deployed quickly - nuclear plants take 10 years to build.

      Proposing "more research" is proposing to do nothing. Research takes 10-15 years to turn into viable manufacturing processes. You need electrical power today. It's also wholly unnecessary though - we have the technology, what we lack is the political will to kick start deployment.

    58. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by haruchai · · Score: 2

      I fully understand the importance and am very familiar with the issues, from both sides.

      But finding a economics site backed by the right-wing Liberty Fund claiming to accurately simmarise the SCIENTIFIC debate is incongruous.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    59. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solyndra was, at root, a bad commodities bet. IIRC, they were eschewing silicon* because they thought silicon costs were going to go up. Instead, costs went down and the costs of their substitute went up.

      *From memory, but I'd be happy to be corrected on the actual commodity if someone remembers better than me.

    60. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by khallow · · Score: 1

      Long term jobs per dollar too. Manufacture can buy a lot of research (and has incentive to do so in order to make things better and more efficiently), but the opposite rarely holds especially in today's heavily subsidized world.

    61. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It really is the only sensible way to go about it: as you say, fossil fuels' cost doesn't represent their true cost, because they cause unreimbursed damage to ... everyone.

      Use a carbon tax to make these fuels' cost represent their real cost, cut taxes somewhere else if you want to or dole the money out to the public, and let the market sort it out.

      It's actually very easy to determine a cost without any of that at all. You simply tell people they can no longer dump any emissions into the environment, it must be done in a controlled and metered fashion. However much more it costs to make and run the dirty machinery is your increased cost, no taxes necessary.

    62. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Maybe what he's saying is there is twice as much oil available from tar sands as the amount of conventional oil we've burned so far. It's also true as Immerman mentioned that it takes a lot of energy to process the bitumen into a usable product.

    63. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      This is fundamentally an econimical queston. Is this true?

      (amount that AWG matters) * ($ cost of global warming) > ($ vast economic meltdown from raising the price of energy)

      The climate will change regardless of what humans do. What exactly is the cost of our carbon emissions and their effect on climate change? In dollars? What exactly is the cost of raising energy prices? Even if you believe the Warmists, it's still an economic question.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    64. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      15 years ago: "lets not drill for oil - it won't help oil prices for 10-15 years". 15 years from now: "if only we had funded more research 15 years ago".

      We surely need solar thermal plants, but natural gas is nearly free right now, and NIMBYism applies to solar just as much as anything else. Electrical power today isn't a crisis, thanks to cheap gas. Building solar thermal plants will take years for permittin, years for building them, not a quick fix. We should do it even so, just like we should continue with research -long term both will be rewarding. (Government spending is at crisis levels right now, but research funding is so damn cheap compared to the othee BS our government does that even I can't compain in that direction).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    65. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      Sure, technically fossil fuels will run out one day. Technically, so will solar power.

      As far as electricity ges, we have a glut of natural gas right now, and it will be quite some time before that changes. Solar is moving right along (and we could build solar thermal plants now) so I'm not seeing any longterm problem there.

      Oil and energy for transportation is a different problem. If oil does start to become scarce, the trillions to be made by finding a good alternative will be obvious to anyone who'd like to make a buck. If oil ever stays expensive past the normal spike in the business cycle, any problem that can be solved by throwing money at it will be solved.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    66. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by khallow · · Score: 2

      The US dumped a lot more than half a billion. Solyndra wasn't the only recipient. What's noteworthy about Solyndra is that it was already failing hard at the time of the loan, with or without the Chinese. There was no sane reason to keep lending money to them.

    67. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by haruchai · · Score: 1

      So? The scientific debate is separate from the cost. Chasing fundamental particles, like the Higgs boson, is quite expensive but I don't see rightwing "economic" sites proxying the scientific debate on that.

      On the surface, this appears to be the latest round of opposition that started with the tobacco controversy and moved on to acid rain, pollution, climate change,etc,
      And many of the same "experts" on the side of the deniers are the VERY same men.

      Yes, climate will change, but how? And, even if we aren't the cause of any of the current changes, which seems VERY UNLIKELY, given the research, we've always sought to predict, control and mitigate it.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    68. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

      The level playing field for carbon neutrality is a sham designed to do nothing more than transfer wealth from first-world economies to third-world economies. In the process, all you really do is set a soft cap on carbon emissions without reducing actual dependence upon fossil fuels.

      We can achieve the same goal of reducing carbon output by instead investing that money into first-world research and development of alternative fuels. Full implementation then eliminates carbon emissions altogether, a goal which can't be achieved by market-based carbon neutrality alone.

      Necessity is the mother of invention. If there is not a MARKET BASED need for alternate fuels everyone will use coal and tar shit until the end of time. Work necessary to change will never be reached.

      You can (try to) invest all the money you want into research and subsidies ... in the real world huge economies of scale are required to achive market viability with alternate energy.

      Artifically changing market behavior by imposing carbon levies makes sense to me in the abstract. Implementation is everything. Piss poor corruption (Energy lobbies) based implementation may well end up being a sham but I'm still rather fond of the abstract concept.

    69. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      If oil does start to become scarce, the trillions to be made by finding a good alternative will be obvious to anyone who'd like to make a buck.

      Yes and as a society we can pay really expensive gas AND trillions in research to find those solutions at the same time.

      OR

      We can start trying to find those solutions now while gas prices are still relatively cheap before it *does* becomes scarce and in many studies, it already is. Canada's Tar Sands are only viable with $4+/gallon gas. The cheap stuff is already found and online, there isn't any more of it.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    70. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tell that to the current Australian politician.

      By the way I'm still waiting for an affordable electric car to be put on the market.

      Australia has NONE besides the Prius, there are a couple but they are like unicorns.

    71. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by hairyfish · · Score: 1

      PV technology works. My fairly large suburban house would be electrically self-sufficient on a 15 kW PV array. We have 9 kW.

      That must be one large house. My house is 125sqm (which is small by mcmansion standards, but big enough for us) and I average about 4kwh/day of usage. My roof will only fit 3kw worth of panels at quoted at $6k (subsidised by govt). With a mix of clever and efficient house design, I see no reason why solar couldn't bear at least 50% the load for residential requirements. Throw in some cheap electric vehicles and public transport and you can quite easily eliminate most household CO2 emissions.

    72. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      sorry, solar dosen't work well in the midwest, when you need the electrical power, the sun,wind and stored energy aren't there. You need supplimental sources that are cost effecient, to power the local air conditioning, the business freezer, the agricuritural vehicles,the producers, the steel mills, otherwise you are stuck with none of the above, and when the supply of peruvian fruit, midwest grain cannot make it to the distributionn points then havoc will occur.
      I have seen many new technoliges go by the wayside. That could have been prroduced to the local level, at cheap cost, from solar cell to home sized reactors for powering a modern home, but they have all died on the vine. The best designs came out of high schools, fully developed, for the small home. The student got grants, went on to further studies, and the ideas were adapted for "scientific uses" and never leveled out for the intended consumer.

    73. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, technically fossil fuels will run out one day. Technically, so will solar power.

      Come on, don't be disingenuous. Let's compare apples to apples. You're talking about a time scale of a couple hundred years vs. 4 billion.

      This is like saying, "Sure, I'm burning through my trust fund and it will run out one day. Technically, so will the whole economy when humanity goes extinct."

    74. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Keith+Henson · · Score: 1

      I think we already know how to solve the energy problem. Power satellites are the obvious answer except the cost of lifting parts to GEO is too high.

      Beamed power propulsion will get the cost down to under $100/kg, a point at which power is under two cents per kWh and synthetic fuels on off peak power cost around a dollar a gallon.

      The trick is to build one power sat with conventional rockets and use it to power GW class propulsion lasers to bring up parts for thousands of power sats. The growth potential is high enough that a real effort could end the use of fossil fuels in a decade. And not by reducing energy use or shivering in the dark, but by undercutting the cost of fossil fuels with carbon neutral synthetics. http://www.htyp.org/dollar_a_gallon_gasoline

      --
      End MGM. Get prospective parents of boys to Google: Men do complain
    75. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by jmactacular · · Score: 1

      It's not sensible at all, it's fantasy. In California, we already have added environmental taxes here, but we aren't giving up our cars. We just offset the tax by sacrificing spending in our home budgets somewhere else.

      It also seems incredibly dangerous to create another market out of thin air, that Wall Street will exploit, and create new derivatives for, when you consider gambling with something as fundamental as energy markets has proven disastrous (e.g. Enron and CA electricity).

      NASA should stop complaining about climate change, and take some of the rocket scientists who are out of work now, and begin the next Moonshot type program for something down here on earth for a change, and develop a new energy source, that actually solves the problem.

    76. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      you do realize why Solyndra failed, dont you? after the u.s. government invested $500 million in loans in solar tech, china went and invested $30 billion in loans for solar tech. game over, man.

      Solyndra failed because it was not built to work. Its “factory” was in Silicon Valley for crying out loud, some of the priciest real estate in the US. It was just a sound-stage for politicians who have the shovel and our money-pile.

    77. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by JBaustian · · Score: 1

      Hanson is the sham.

      He's a fraud and appears to be mentally deranged... suffering from the same malady as Al Gore.

      I do not know why he still draws a paycheck from the US Treasury each month.

    78. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lennier · · Score: 1

      Sure, technically fossil fuels will run out one day. Technically, so will solar power.

      Yes, if by "technically" you mean "with a difference of about six or seven orders of magnitude". We've already passed the Hubbert Peak" so oil shocks are ramping up within the next few decades. The sun won't be a problem for millions to billions of years.

      If oil does start to become scarce, the trillions to be made by finding a good alternative will be obvious to anyone who'd like to make a buck.

      Obvious, certainly. But achievable is not the same thing as obvious. It's obvious that trillions could be made curing cancer or exceeding the speed of light, but it doesn't mean that we've got the ability currently to do either. Once we run out of oil, all the angry speeches in the world about burning down life's house with a combustible lemon won't mean we can actually create an alternative.

      That's why we should be changing things now, while we still can, rather than just planning to outsource the problem to the magic future market fairies.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    79. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the energy and materials used to create your "self sufficient" solar panels = the cost to run your house on them, and clean up the chemical waste after the useful life of your panels is over.

    80. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      "Both sides," pfft, what a joke. Might as well have a "fair and balanced" debate about the moon landing between NASA and moon landing denialists.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    81. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      We surely need solar thermal plants, but natural gas is nearly free right now, and NIMBYism applies to solar just as much as anything else.

      ...except natural gas, apparently.

      Building solar thermal plants will take years for permittin, years for building them, not a quick fix.

      vs. the natural gas plant which just slides off a truck onto some cinderblocks and fires right up?

      I don't get the "NIMBYs and government won't allow renewable or nuclear, but fossil is A-OK!" argument.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    82. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is a challenge: Go to wattsupwiththat.com and read and present your ideas at that site. After 2 weeks, if you are of the same opinion, (that CO2 is a pollutant), then you will have to wait until the msm wakes up and starts indoctrinating the opposite, before you might possibly admit that the current consensus is just an unsupported meme.

    83. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by jlehtira · · Score: 1

      You almost came to the right conclusion yourself. A drop-in replacement for oil does not exist now, although such are being developed in America and Europe. Finding such a "replacement" is very important. How could we support that kind of science and business? A carbon tax would work, wouldn't it? Energy's getting more and more expensive anyway, and if the rises in gas prices this far haven't "crippled the economy", then why would future rises do that?

      No matter what we do, price of fossil fuels is going up. That is a requirement for using the tar sand reserves, as extracting oil from those is very expensive.

    84. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by WaywardGeek · · Score: 1

      True, this has been how it's traditionally done. However, that's just the simplest dumbest way to get the oil out of the easiest places to get it. That will run out. 3/4ths of Canada's "proven reserve" requires SAGD for recovery. While this may impact ground water, carbon emissions and devastation to the surface and river water is dramatically reduced. 10-15% higher well to wheel carbon emissions are now projected, according to Wikipedia, and this doesn't take into account the rapid improvement in extraction technologies.

      --
      Celebrate failure, and then learn from it - Nolan Bushnell
    85. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by alonsoac · · Score: 1

      Just don't forget then to transfer the clean energy technologies to the thrid-world. Otherwise we will be left using fossil fuels.

    86. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      Climate change has heavily politicized itself in ways that other science (IMO "real science") hasn't. That political impact is very much centered on the economy. If you want to know "how much will it cost mankind if the oceans rise one meter", is that a scientific or economic question?

      It's sheer folly to think that the climate would be stable if not for man: there's not a bit of evidence to support that, all the data shows the opposite. It's only the intuitions powered by short human lifespan that creates the illusion of a stable climate (and the fact the the past 10k years has been an inexplicably stable anomoly in the past 1M years of data).

      But look at the Vostock data yourself. Look at the longer term (but less-well measured) data yourself. Understand that we're currently in an ice age, in an interglacial period that has gone on far longer than the past 8 we can measure, and understand that we don't know why. Are we headed back to norm with a vengance, or against all odds does mankind somehow exist at the very end of the Quaternary Ice Age?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    87. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      Not every electrical plant is currently running at 100% capacity. Utlilties tend to shift the generation around a bit based on fuel costs. Because gas is quite cheap, existing gas plants can be run closer to max without a significant effect on cost (unlike the few oil plants, which sucks to be them right now).

      Short term we don't have a capacity crisis, but we might have had an economic crisis if fuel costs spiked. But fuel costs instead dropped, so it's not an issue right now. We'd be foolish to ignore future need for new capacity (especially if electric cars catch on - that would be game-changing), and I'd like to see more solar-thermal plants, but I don't expect to see any because they new (and therefore scary), and take more land area (especially where there's room near existing gas/coal plants to add more capacity on existing land).

      Here in Cali we're just screwed of course - the NIMBYism is so bad that PG&E was actually looking at orbital power plants (which got shot down because you still need a little bit of land for the receiving station, and NIMBY!).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    88. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      The cure for high commodity prices is high commodity prices - always has been, always will be. Wailing that the sky is falling when there's no actual scarcity doesn't seem at all credible. Proven oil reserves still get bigger every decade, and natural gas is so plentiful right now you can hardly give it away.

      It's not like we'll suddently run out of either (nor coal). If demand grows faster than supply prices will rise, and that will provide all the needed incentive for all sorts of alternatives. It's not just research - there's a significant portion of power use that varies based on cost - use one process when power is cheap, use a more labor-intensive or material-intensive process when it's not.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    89. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      Hah, a "peak oil" guy! Sorry, I've just lived through too damn many dire predicitons, the solution to every one of which was somehow "give more political power and money to the Left", and none of which ever actually happened, to believe those fairy tales any longer.

      We will never "run out" of oil, it will merely become expensive enough that people embrace alternatives. Of there own free will - no powerful central government required.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    90. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by haruchai · · Score: 1

      The politicization began with the deniers and politicians with rigid ideologies, not the mainstream climate scientists.
      Richard Lindzen, and later Roy Spencer were quick to harp on this.
      The truth is both of them, while being accomplished scientists, are deeply political.

      Lindzen, has ties to oil and tobacco dating back seveal decades and Spencer, the official climatologist of Rush Limbaugh ( it's left as an exercise to the reader to determine how political he is) famously said,
      "I view my job a little like a legislator, supported by the taxpayer, to protect the interests of the taxpayer and to minimize the role of government."

      Is that the statement of an apolitical scientist?

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    91. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by Goocifer · · Score: 0

      I'd agree, but would like to ask - because this has been bugging me for a couple years now - when did the war on emissions change from CFC's and Carbon Monoxide to Carbon Dioxide as the big bad kill-the-puppies thing for the environment? Whomever came to the decision to switch, it seems like a fundamentally bad tactic unless it's simply reaching the time-to-cover-our-asses time when everyone finds out you're full of shit - apparently hinging on "we forgot the trees metabolize CO2".

    92. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      'proven reserves' doesn't mean cheap. Hence why we are only now talking about the tar sands. We've known they were there for decades but they weren't viable because it costs so much to get it out.

      In the nice theoretical world of economics you are correct. You simply switch when the prices go up. Unfortunately other solutions don't magically appear when you need them though. If they have 20 year lead times to get to scale, you're stuck for that 20 years paying high prices for both.

      My point is that when you are artificially keeping the cost of the status quo down through tax cuts and not taxing the effects of it (global warming) then you changing the rules of the economic game being played.

      Coal will run out, though yes we have centuries of it available. It has other problems that are going to be sooner in their emergence. You can wait until those problems become significant, but when you can see trends that parallel the historical record that leads to bad things like sea level rise of meters, you might want to dump your 'theories' and actually start trying to change the direction you're going on before you have to do both at the same time. That will be significantly more expensive than spreading out the cost over time.

      In economics it's call Amortization or perhaps better a Loan. You spread the cost out over time rather than eat it all at once. You don't wait till you have cash to buy a house because you'll have paid rent for 40 years while also saving for the house. You take out a loan and pay it off over time.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    93. Re:"Level playing field" is a sham by lgw · · Score: 1

      'proven reserves' doesn't mean cheap. Hence why we are only now talking about the tar sands. We've known they were there for decades but they weren't viable because it costs so much to get it out.

      In the nice theoretical world of economics you are correct. You simply switch when the prices go up. Unfortunately other solutions don't magically appear when you need them though. If they have 20 year lead times to get to scale, you're stuck for that 20 years paying high prices for both.

      But that's exactly how you'd expect the market to work. As the price goes up, some additional capacity will come on line, and some demand will be reduced (there are plenty of alternative technologies already, just a question of price - remember, consumer autos are only about half of oil demand).

      You seem to think that there's so little oil left that unless the government Does Something Right Now (think of the children!), we'll suddenly run out. 20 years is plenty of time to make a major structural shift if we need to, because we'll never need to change everything all at once.

      My point is that when you are artificially keeping the cost of the status quo down through tax cuts and not taxing the effects of it (global warming) then you changing the rules of the economic game being played.

      Tax cuts? That old saw? Sorry, tax cuts have a trivial effect on oil pricing (how much of the world's oil do you imagine is produced where a US company would pay taxes on it in the first place?). And I'm not a believer in the Warmist religion, though it seems you believe there's a tax for everything and the right way to set the price for everything is for the Central Plannning Committee to determine the proper tax rate (presumably according to a 5 Year Plan).

      Coal will run out, though yes we have centuries of it available. It has other problems that are going to be sooner in their emergence. You can wait until those problems become significant, but when you can see trends that parallel the historical record that leads to bad things like sea level rise of meters, you might want to dump your 'theories' and actually start trying to change the direction you're going on before you have to do both at the same time. That will be significantly more expensive than spreading out the cost over time.

      I grew up in coal country, so save your rant. We're again unlikely to ever "run out" of coal, because, again, if it starts to become scarce, people will use somewhat less.

      And the "sea level rise of meters" - man, as dire prophesies go, your religion has really tame ones! I gre up Fearing the Bomb, your "disaster" scenario of needing to rebuild some cities over the course of what, centuries?, is just a check with a lot of zeros on it. Probably fewer zeros than our current entitlement shortfall.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  2. New Global Warming Strategy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Blame Canada!

    1. Re:New Global Warming Strategy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Canada’s tar sands, deposits of sand saturated with bitumen, contain twice the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by global oil use in our entire history."

      Uh, isn't that like saying there's a lot of oil down there, just in an alarmist fashion? How much carbon dioxide is in the Canadian forests, if we burned them all down?

    2. Re:New Global Warming Strategy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hansen is a retard that can't figure out that burning everything all at once is not the same as extracting it year over year. Mitigation happens; better filters, better controls. These things are already being improved, and the efficiency will improve further long before all of the oil can be extracted.

      Considering the hidden carbon dioxide release costs of solar and wind manufacturing (Why is it hidden, though? Do people still not understand that the factories where those technologies are built still require a huge investment of oil and gas just to run them?), whose environmental efficiencies aren't being improved because they're still trying to figure out how to improve energy efficiency, the oil sands extraction process has a pretty good chance of becoming LESS of an environmental hazard before either solar or wind can become replacements.

    3. Re:New Global Warming Strategy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Blame Canada!

      But you still want Canada's oil. So blame the United States of Amerika. Hell if you are so worried about the planet move to the countryside and become a small-scale farmer to sustain your family and do it all without anything apart from manual labour. Yeah, thought you might balk.

  3. The problem no one will mention by hessian · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Overpopulation.

    If you want less carbon emitted, reduce our population.

    We are not going to achieve zero carbon emissions, but we need more (a) natural land and forests to absorb that and (b) fewer producing sources.

    All people produce some carbon. Having seven and then nine billion people guarantees we will be unable to stop the increase even if we all live in mud huts, eat vegetables and bury our poop.

    1. Re:The problem no one will mention by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1, Funny

      If we were all vegetarian, we'd starve until the seas rose. There isn't enough arable land for that to hold up, and the carbon emissions from arable farming are *ridiculous*. Have you any idea how much oil it takes to produce a kilo of soya?

    2. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Have you any idea how much oil it takes to produce a kilo of soya?

      a lot. Did you know that cows are being fed soya? And for a kilo of beef, you need 10 kilos of soya?

    3. Re:The problem no one will mention by bogjobber · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Do you have any idea how much oil it takes to produce a kilo of beef?

    4. Re:The problem no one will mention by Issarlk · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So if I understand well, eating the vegetables ourselves is unsustainable. But feeding animals with them, then eating the meat is somehow sustainable?

      Sorry but something doesn't adds up here.

    5. Re:The problem no one will mention by oiron · · Score: 1

      Whenever somebody comes up with this argument, the question that comes to mind is: "What do you intend to do though? Nuke China? Kill every child in the developing world?"

      Don't forget, the third most populous country is the United States.

      Like every other problem, it needs to be addressed correctly - family planning, birth control...

      Anyway, both India and China have made quite a bit of progress in terms of birth rate: it's now down to about 2%, and the fertility rate is about 2-3 per woman, which is not too bad.

      What more?

    6. Re:The problem no one will mention by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Informative

      If we were all vegetarian, we'd starve until the seas rose.

      What? If we ate more efficiently, we'd starve until the seas came up and rendered the land unable to support crops for five years across the affected area? Whatchoo talkin' bout, willis?

      There isn't enough arable land for that to hold up

      Maybe not with bullshit "Green Revolution" agriculture designed to provide windfalls to pesticide and fertilizer companies, which destroys the land on which it used, killing off the biological components of the soil. More people are going to have to pick crops until we figure out how to do it with robots, but as it turns out, if you interplant (for example) plants which need nitrogen with plants which fix nitrogen, it all works out a lot better. Indeed, it is possible to produce more food per acre by simply interplanting, and as well, the food is more nutritious as the soil contains the trace elements that we like to find in our food. And you can do it without tilling.

      Have you any idea how much oil it takes to produce a kilo of soya?

      None whatsoever is required but a great deal is used.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    7. Re:The problem no one will mention by maxwell+demon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      What's wrong here is the feeding of the cows with soya. In the former times, cows were eating grass which isn't eatable by humans and grows in places not useful for agriculture. In other words, they made additional resources available.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    8. Re:The problem no one will mention by dadioflex · · Score: 3, Funny

      I love subtle humour as much as the next guy. Not enough arable land? Priceless.

      Besides we can always eat insects, algae, people, fungi. The list is end- what? I said we can eat insects, algae and fungi. Jeeze. Why are you looking at me like that?

    9. Re:The problem no one will mention by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Only in the US. It's uneconomic to feed cows soya. In most countries, where soya and wheat isn't subsidised quite as strongly as in the US, you tend not to find that.

      None of the cows round here eat soya. They eat grass, or silage in the winter.

    10. Re:The problem no one will mention by Hentes · · Score: 1, Troll

      Are you worried about carbon emissions through breathing? Because animals do a lot more of that than humanity, so by this logic we should start by killing all animals in order to save the environment.

    11. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Totally agree, the continued growth of the world population is not sustainable.

      The catch is that most (all?!) world economies are based on the assumption of indefinite growth. This in turn depends on population growth.

      To reduce the world population to sustainable levels requires some pretty fancy economic reworking to allow both contraction without economic collapse.

      This is not something mankind is capable of, based on my limited time and experience on the planet. Though China seemed to be able to pull something like it off so maybe there is hope?

    12. Re:The problem no one will mention by Entropius · · Score: 1

      This, pretty much.

      Out-of-control population growth is going to keep happening while religion gets to dictate the position of women in our world, though.

    13. Re:The problem no one will mention by oiron · · Score: 1

      Though China seemed to be able to pull something like it off so maybe there is hope?

      China's is a slowing of the growth rate, not a contraction. And it comes with a (very high) price... That may not be a great model for the rest of the world!

    14. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >All people produce some carbon
      Less-developed countries have vastly smaller "footprints."
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions
      (go ahead and divide that out per capita)

      The problem is not population, it's the population of wealthy consumers. As China and India develop economically, their populations of wealthy consumers will grow and will vastly increase consumption.

      We need to scale back our consumptive lives, stop subsidizing gluttony, and stop making excuses based on the mythical "invisible hand." It's time for some serious policy both to reduce consumption and to promote research into alternative fuels.

    15. Re:The problem no one will mention by SpockLogic · · Score: 1

      Overpopulation.

      If you want less carbon emitted, reduce our population.

      Free ebola sandwiches for everyone, right?

    16. Re:The problem no one will mention by Rockoon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Don't forget, the third most populous country is the United States.

      Its China and India with their 36.47% of the worlds population, and then the United States with its 4.47%.

      Your statement, while correct, is disingenuous in intent. You are using the truth to be dishonest.

      This graph spells it out nicely. The United States is on the same line as all less populous countries, while China and India are playing on a completely different field.

      The fact that every other country falls on that line says something important about the line, and also says something important about the only two outliers.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    17. Re:The problem no one will mention by jbengt · · Score: 1

      Actually, in the US, the beef cattle are typically fattened up with corn, often with offal mixed in, along with antibiotics and hormones.

    18. Re:The problem no one will mention by webnut77 · · Score: 1

      Out-of-control population growth is going to keep happening while religion gets to dictate the position of women in our world, though.

      This is not true. While the missionary position is great, some religious men actually like it better if the women are on top.

    19. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except for that fact that first world nations tend to be losing population, most of the stagnation or growth of our populations is from immigration and births of immigrants. Large families are no longer the norm in 2nd + generation families.

    20. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      None, if the cows are properly fed.

    21. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is it about Geeks and the Malthusian fallacy?

      Seriously, this b.s. has been geek catnip for two hundred years.

    22. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, that's hilarious. You must feel incredibly guilty about eating meat to come up with a justification that ridiculous.

    23. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This graph spells it out nicely. The United States is on the same line as all less populous countries, while China and India are playing on a completely different field.

      The fact that every other country falls on that line says something important about the line, and also says something important about the only two outliers.

      Geez, don't you read what you link to? It says right underneath that graph that India and China don't fall on that line due to the King effect. It's not like that graph is plotting anything significant like population density or per capita resource usage, just population against ranking in size. What can you infer from that graph? Just that India and China are significantly more populous than other countries, but it doesn't really say anything else about India and China. And there really isn't anything significant about that line.

    24. Re:The problem no one will mention by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Hmm. While I have some doubt in that statement as well, it is worth mentioning that various animals can extract energy from food sources that we, as human beings, cannot. Plants have a ton of cellulose that in human beings is indigestible, but in ruminants offers a fair amount of energy.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruminant

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    25. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The human beef industry doesn't have a particularly strong foothold in the states just yet. Once they figure out how to market it what the returns will be, then subsidizing food prices for humans will become economically feasible.

    26. Re:The problem no one will mention by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Why are you looking at me like that?

      We're hungry.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    27. Re:The problem no one will mention by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      Most excellent Godwin, dude. Actually, we don't mention it, because it's the one word that the "Knight who say Ni!" cannot bear to hear.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    28. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any time the cow moves any muscle, it's wasting the vegetable-energy. So, you need more vegetables. By eating the vegetables yourself, you cut out the middle man.

    29. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The solution is called war. It WILL happen, it WILL be over resources, and at this point, it's all but a certainty.

      Why? War is easier than getting large amounts of people to change the way they live.

    30. Re:The problem no one will mention by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Actually, in the US, the beef cattle are typically fattened up with corn, often with offal mixed in, along with antibiotics and hormones.

      Yeah, I mean you're not even allowed to do that in Europe. I think if I lived in the US, I'd be vegetarian - except for all the horrible chemicals and hormones sprayed onto the plants.

    31. Re:The problem no one will mention by Velex · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Oh, good grief. Really?

      News flash. Women want to have children, and we've designed all kinds of things like child support and welfare to encourage them to be able to exercise exactly zero forethought before going to a party, doing a bunch of drugs, getting knocked up, then calling date rape once their pregnancy test comes back positive.

      If anybody cared about gender equality, a woman who had children with no way to support them would be shunned the exact same way as a deadbeat dad, and instead we'd have some way to either let the children starve or just take them away from her.

      I keep getting told I'm trolling, so either I'm in a parallel universe or men need to start opening their eyes and seeing what's happening around them.

      It's not homosexuals who are destroying marriage, it's women.

      I work around a lot of women, and I see this consistently. When one of them gets pregnant, it's always outside of marriage. Either it's date rape or otherwise the father to be mysteriously turns into a total jackass around the 5th month of pregnancy (give or take a month). The benefits to a woman for making the baby's father out to be a complete creep creates quite the conflict of interest there.

      Every now and then I'm flabbergasted to learn that one of these pregnancies happened within marriage. Then these exact same women turn around and parrot everything fox news has to say about homosexuality. It's completely hypocritical, and nobody has a problem with it. I can accept that perhaps homosexuals are abominations before god, but I'm pretty sure the scriptual basis for that also says that women having children outside of wedlock or even having children with two different men is equally abominable.

      I'm sure that was part of the point you were trying to make, but let's face it. As a homosexual property owner, I'm forced to cough up tax money both from my income and for my property, and all I can do is helplessly watch as it's given to women who, beside being able to have babies, have no skills or any other way to support themselves. If that's how they want to be, then fine. They can get a husband, because I sure as hell don't want to pay for them to be able to freeload.

      Or, if they really, really want to have children without involving a man for anything other than a one night stand, then they can do the responsible thing and advance themselves to a job that will pay them enough to be able to support themselves and their child. I know in an intellectual sense that females are capable of reading, writing, and math, but we have a system that lets them play the victim card and go the easy route instead of doing something they want us to believe that is just too hard like basic algebra.

      But, nobody cares. Women just play the victim card over and over again, and men are perfectly happy to play along with it. I can only wonder if men who legitimize inherent victimhood for women are really so delusional as to believe that they're going to get pussy for being a white knight saving the damsel in distress.

      Sickening. Simply sickening. Oh well, countdown to being modded -1 troll or offtopic for talking about the elephant in the room in 5... 4... 3...

      --
      Join the Slashcott! Stay away entirely Feb 10 thru Feb 17! Close all tabs to prevent autorefresh!
    32. Re:The problem no one will mention by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      A field which grows a good crop of grass can usually grow a good crop of potatoes or cereal too (cereal crops are basically grass). Some exception for very hilly land, perhaps, but cows don't do well in very hilly land anyway. Most fields where cattle graze on grass are left that way specifically for cattle grazing.

      I realise that's not 100% true. For one, some fields are left to grow grass as part of crop rotation, and some sites are left grassy for aesthetic reasons (e.g., sheep are allowed to graze around Avebury and Stonehenge monuments, which are never going to be crop fields). So some livestock farming can be efficient (I'd never dream of arguing we should all turn vegetarian (or worse- vegan)). But you can bet your life that most big commercial livestock farmers are mostly using dedicated, fertile land for the job.

      From an environmental point of view, it would certainly make a lot of sense if we all reduced our meat consumption somewhat (and would be good for health reasons too). Cutting meat consumption by half would make a huge difference. I say that as a man who had meat for lunch, is about to eat meat for dinner, and would probably have had meat for breakfast given half a chance...

    33. Re:The problem no one will mention by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      Don't worry! With the USA having $15T in debt, and the Eurozone having €10T in debt, and neither one having any intention of paying any of that back, and with the people who actually have money not willing to continue financing it for much longer, we're well on our way to having some sort of global catastrophe that will significantly reduce the population. Whether it is civil wars over debt slavery, or border wars over resources, or global wars over debt repudiation, exponential equations don't do well in finite systems. Hopefully some tech and some slashdotters make it to the other side OK.

    34. Re:The problem no one will mention by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      Cattle probably wouldn't be fattened up with corn as much if there weren't such high subsidies on corn. If the cattle were fed on wild grasses that grew in areas unsuitable for large scale farming, and suburban yards were full of vegetable gardens instead of grass, it could happen. But you can't force people to eat broccoli. And you can't force soccer moms to give up kids' soccer practice for weeding the garden. Hell, you can barely force me to mow my lawn :)

    35. Re:The problem no one will mention by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Hell, you can barely force me to mow my lawn :)

      Stick a sheep on it. Once you get to about November, stick it in the freezer. Simple.

    36. Re:The problem no one will mention by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      Hard to support yourself in a nice job that pays well, when you're (in labor/nursing/watching a 2 year old).

      A woman needs a man like a fish needs a bicycle. Until, of course, she needs a man. And if there is no man, she'll just marry Uncle Sam.

    37. Re:The problem no one will mention by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      Exponential equations versus linear ones.

    38. Re:The problem no one will mention by guises · · Score: 1

      This is certainly true: traditional farms had animals because they were a practical means of generating additional food. Cows eat grasses, as you say, pigs eat organic waste (table scraps), chickens eat bugs which are all over the place on a farm. Because these animals fit so well into the working of traditional farm in a temperate climate, they're the ones that we associate with food here in North America.

      What you (or the GGP) are glossing over is the fact that this only works if the animals represent a tiny portion of the total food produced on the farm. It used to be that people would only eat a significant amount of meat for, at most, one meal each week. (This is that chicken in every pot on Sunday business.) There's no way to produce even a fraction of the beef consumed daily in the United States without using up land that would otherwise go to producing food (in much larger quantities) for humans.

    39. Re:The problem no one will mention by Krokus · · Score: 1

      Having seven and then nine billion people guarantees we will be unable to stop the increase even if we all live in mud huts, eat vegetables and bury our poop.

      So I can stop burying my poop, then?

    40. Re:The problem no one will mention by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      That's OK.
      Just take into account that a child born into the developed world will consume at least 10 times more energy than a child born in central Africa so if their average fertility is about 5 children per woman we should have about 0.5.

    41. Re:The problem no one will mention by oiron · · Score: 1

      Good point. Now, stop using resources at four times the rate of a Chinese or Indian.

      Resource use is in no way proportional to the population. If the US can bring itself down to Germany or Britain levels, then we'll start talking...

      In case you're wondering, it's the same case with net energy usage per person and water withdrawal.

      So, it seems like population is hardly the only problem, eh?

    42. Re:The problem no one will mention by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      If meat were grown only the traditional way, it would get more expensive, and thus the consumption would go down by the normal market forces.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    43. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You taste of soylent green... yum yum

    44. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Geez, don't you read what you link to? It says right underneath that graph that India and China don't fall on that line due to the King effect

      They named an observed phenomenon, but provide no explanation. What does that prove? It proves that it is you that didnt fucking think before you replied. You have no point because you are just waving your hands.

      And there really isn't anything significant about that line.

      I guess that line is magically not significant. Hundreds of countries fall on it, like the main sequence in astronomy, but its not significant at all.

    45. Re:The problem no one will mention by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Why would you use Gapminder but not graph every country?

      Whats in the graph of every country that you are trying to hide? Ooh! Ooh! I know! I know! The United States is not the number one user of CO2 per capita. I don't have to use Gapminder to know that, but you did and when you didn't like it... you removed the facts that you didn't like.

      Here is a tip: Don't use Gapminder to be dishonest. Gapminder is all about an honest view of the data. Its only selective when a dishonest fuck uses it.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    46. Re:The problem no one will mention by General+Wesc · · Score: 1

      News flash. Women want to have children

      When we gave women access to contraception, and the ability to get an education and a decent job rather than simply being housewives and mothers, family size dropped to the replacement rate or below. In the US. In Canada. In Europe. And the same trend is very clear in developing countries. Women want to have a reasonable number of children. Population growth happens when women are disempowered.

      Contrary to the Malthusian view that population will grow to the limit of however many kids can be fed, in fact parents choose to have enough kids to give them a high chance that several will survive to support them as they grow old.

      (Bill Gates/Gates Foundation) (Also relevant: Bill Gates' TED Talk)

      Evidence shows tackling high death rates leads to smaller families and the stabilisation of national populations, according to its report, ‘The World at 7 Billion’.

      ...“In the poorest countries, where parents are often petrified that their children will die and leave them to fend for themselves, it’s understandable that they would choose to have larger families," [Brendan Cox] added.

      ...Save the Children points to the example of Botswana where three decades ago women had an average of six children. The average is now three, following long-term investment in healthcare which has helped to nearly halve child mortality.

      (Trust.org reporting on Save The Children's report)

      Healthier and wealthier babies make for smaller families.

      (The Solution To Global Population Growth is Saving Children) (Contains two talks by Hans Rosling using stats to show this. Look at the first video starting at 6:30 if you're impatient)

      Well-designed programs can bring down growth rates even in the poorest countries. Provided with information and voluntary access to birth-control methods, women have chosen to have fewer children in societies as diverse as Bangladesh, Iran, Mexico, Sri Lanka and Thailand.

      ...A trial by Harvard researchers in Lusaka, Zambia, found that only when women had greater autonomy to decide whether to use contraceptives did they have significantly fewer children....

      (New York Times reporting on a UN report)

    47. Re:The problem no one will mention by coredog64 · · Score: 1

      I believe that historically, for something that used to be as expensive as chicken, you'd have roast chicken one night and then figure out how to stretch what was left into two or three more meals during the week (Chicken a la King with scraps; soup with the neck, gizzards, and whatever bits were stuck to the skeleton). You can see this in older American cookbooks, where there are strategies for cooking with small amounts of lower quality cuts of meat, or how to make meals out of leftovers.

    48. Re:The problem no one will mention by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Hell, you can barely force me to mow my lawn :)

      Stick a sheep on it. Once you get to about November, stick it in the freezer. Simple.

      Huh? You have one of those Brady Bunch Astroturf lawns that you can roll up and stick in the freezer? Weird.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    49. Re:The problem no one will mention by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      "..India and China don't fall on that line due to the King effect."
      Which explains nothing, it only gives it a name.
      China and India are not nations, historically they were not unified states any more than Europe. They are actually empires composed of many nations.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    50. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Overpopulation.

      If you want less carbon emitted, reduce our population.

      Each third world person uses 1/20th the resources as a first world person. Reducing population is not going to do shit when the rest of the world begins to enjoy the same level of (waste) development you've always had.

      but we need more (a) natural land and forests to absorb that and (b) fewer producing sources

      Trees on land are a realitivly insiginficant contribution. Our oceans do all the heavy lifting so don't fuck with them if ya'll know whats good for ya.

      All people produce some carbon. Having seven and then nine billion people guarantees we will be unable to stop the increase even if we all live in mud 2huts, eat vegetables and bury our poop.

      Yes Malthus. You need not worry about that scenario as the carrying capacity of such a world is much less than nine million people.

    51. Re:The problem no one will mention by hoboroadie · · Score: 1

      We finally got rid of our sheep. The depth and breadth of their stupidity is very trying.
      Guinea Pigs do a fabulous job on lawns, if you like the look of a well-kept putting green. And you can butcher them in a small kitchen. Just sayin'.

      --
      They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
    52. Re:The problem no one will mention by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      I wish I could post and mod in the same thread ;-)

    53. Re:The problem no one will mention by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Very little, all of it in transportation, when the cows are eating native grasses. And most of the transportation fuel is artificially forced on the situation. There are few places you can take the meat for processing, and the state makes it very difficult to open new processing plants, which forces you to take the meat further than you'd like.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    54. Re:The problem no one will mention by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      A field which grows a good crop of grass can usually grow a good crop of potatoes or cereal too

      not if it's on a grade

      Some exception for very hilly land, perhaps, but cows don't do well in very hilly land anyway.

      Cows do fine in very hilly land. They end up with legs shorter on one side, but they do fine. They don't do that well in mountainous terrain, but luckily the ongoing browning of the USA means that the demand for goat meat is increasing, and they do great there. The hard part is getting them out of it. Meanwhile, we don't generally bother farming food on the slightest grade because it messes with the ability to use heavy machinery. If you look at the state where the food actually comes from — California — and you look at where the food is produced in the state — except for some few hand-picked tree crops, entirely on flat pieces of land — then you can possibly construct an argument which makes more sense. The ONLY food you'll see produced in the hills is beef!

      From an environmental point of view, it would certainly make a lot of sense if we all reduced our meat consumption somewhat (and would be good for health reasons too).

      Ah, you're one of these wackos. If I'd read that first I could have saved myself some time.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    55. Re:The problem no one will mention by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see you used the word disingenuous, you may also like the word prevaricate.

      Your statement, while correct, is disingenuous in intent. You are using the truth to be dishonest.

    56. Re:The problem no one will mention by Velex · · Score: 1

      Perhaps your point supplements mine.

      I was flabbergasted the other week that one of the baby-mammas where I work was proud that she never took algebra. I wish it weren't just a matter of her projecting pride as a self-defense mechanism. One time the women I work with started from the proposition that programming is actually very easy and, because I'm a sexist man, I was just keeping the secret from them. So we sat down once a week for an hour, and I tried to teach them remedial algebra when it became apparently they didn't understand the idea of a variable. As other women have noted, Newton's Principia Mathematica is a rape manual, and I realized that I was looking at the horrified faces of women being raped. I resolved to never again delude myself into thinking that women could think abstractly.

      I just wish I knew how to get over to your universe. I really do. I'm sure that over there, when a 10 year old boy says that he wants to kill himself because he's not a girl, they let him undergo gender transition instead of forcing him through male puberty ("because you'll grow out of it and thank us later"). And why not if in your universe women have the same faculties as men?

      --
      Join the Slashcott! Stay away entirely Feb 10 thru Feb 17! Close all tabs to prevent autorefresh!
  4. Again. by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Every political debate about climate change countermeasures comes down to the same fundamental conflict:

    Politician: "My advisers inform me that if we do not take action to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, there will be serious global climate repercussions."
    Public: "Well, reduce emissions then."
    Politician: "This does mean some unavoidable increase in gas prices, but -"
    Public: "FUCK THE CLIMATE! Give us cheap gas!"
    People are happy to do something to help reduce emissions, providing this something doesn't involve any expense or inconvenience for them personally. Politicians know this. There is a big public demand to exploit every drop of oil that can be found in order to keep gas prices down, and it's very difficult for anyone hoping to get elected again to go against that.

    1. Re:Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have one part of it, but equally important in my opinion is this little dialogue:

      Politician: "My advisers inform me that if we do not take action to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, there will be serious global climate repercussions."
      Oil companies: "That's not important. What's important is that there are resources there that are immensely profitable, and we must extract them. All of them. Or else there will be serious global economic repercussions, and who will be blamed for any instability? You've got a nice power apparatus going on here, why rock the boat? And by the way here is a modest contribution to your political cause. I'm sure it will help you in our common goal to help the public understand the real issue."
      Politician: "Of course climate changes naturally all the time and how could that be due to anything we humans do. Must be a socialist plot to transfer wealth to the Third World."

    2. Re:Again. by Entropius · · Score: 0

      I have cheap gas already.

      Why?

      I bought a (cheap) car that doesn't use much. It will go over 100mph, cost $12.5k, and carries a family comfortably.

      People who drive cars that get under 40mpg have no footing to whine about expensive gas.

    3. Re:Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would be helpful if you told us what this car was.

    4. Re:Again. by thue · · Score: 1

      > Every political debate in the USA about climate change countermeasures [...]

      Europe is perfectly capable of making hard decisions here.

    5. Re:Again. by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      And its the same for everyone. Not just increases in gas prices. Blaming the oil crowd for beign selfish.

      Let's check with our buddy Hansen here. I'm pretty sure he is quite well paid and well off. Now if we're facing 'global catastrophe' if we don't stop global warming, how much is he and all the AGW supporters willing to cough up to fight?

      You know when floods happen, people get out of their homes and volunteer to sandbag to prevents their community from being destroyed.

      Where are all the scientists and engineers willing to volunteer and work for less money so the government has more resources to give towards sustainable energy?
      Not to mention the army of people who could volunteer to manufacture and maintain this stuff?

      Ill take the AGW seriously when they're willing to make some sacrifices for a cause they say is going to have serious global climate repercussions.

      Until that time, ill continue to view global warming as something that is happening, but is something we'll deal with as it happens. Being Canadian, its so far been all good... much nicer weather this winter. It's not an emergency.

    6. Re:Again. by rs79 · · Score: 1

      Also, with the extra two months of warm this year in Canada we had green grass year round. How might that affect Co2?

      Somebody suggested NASA and the NOAA think about this, look what they said: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/12/08/new_model_doubled_co2_sub_2_degrees_warming/

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    7. Re:Again. by Entropius · · Score: 1

      '09 Toyota Yaris sedan.

  5. Meanwhile in space... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Little did James Hansen know that his obsession with space studies would lead to his daughter Annika to be degraded and objectified by the Borg.

  6. A market problem needs a market solution by Fished · · Score: 1

    The reality is that global warming probably sounds kind of good to most Canadians, and billions of dollars in oil revenues probably sound even better. (Whether it should is, of course, a different question.)

    The ONLY way to prevent future global warming due to Carbon Monoxide emissions is to develop a credible alternative to petroleum for cars. I suggest a small "carbon tax" that is, by statute, 100% dedicated to alternative fuels research. The Chinese are actively pursuing this. Do we (as Americans -- sorry to all those not American) want the 21st century to be the "Chinese Century"?

    --
    "He who would learn astronomy, and other recondite arts, let him go elsewhere. " -- John Calvin, commenting on Genesis 1
    1. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by Fished · · Score: 2

      Errr... that should have been "Carbon dioxide emissions." I'm smoking a cigarette, so I guess I have carbon monoxide on my brain.

      --
      "He who would learn astronomy, and other recondite arts, let him go elsewhere. " -- John Calvin, commenting on Genesis 1
    2. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by JWW · · Score: 1

      Sure, that'll do it.

      Because once we switch to electric cars charged by coal plants, we'll be fine.

      We need to switch to nuclear power to but the greenies always miss that step.

    3. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      We need to switch to nuclear power to but the greenies always miss that step.

      We need nuclear power to plan for the future (reprocessing fuel) and to be operated safely (not controlled by corporatists) but the nuclear playboys always miss those steps.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by oiron · · Score: 1

      Actually, switching to less tail-pipe emissions really would help...

      As far as nuclear power's concerned, we can't afford to build the old designs (I mean 1st to 3rd generation stuff like Fukushima) anymore. We would need to use modern designs, which are often either experimental (molten salt, pebble bed,...) or expensive (Gen 3+ or Gen 4 PWRs). They also take years to build correctly! Can we really afford to wait?

      My problem with nuclear power in India (yeah, I've got to come back to my country, after all) is that I know how crappy safety procedures can be here. The consequences of a methyl isocyanide leak in Bhopal was a toxic cloud that dissipated, and at least the area is still habitable. The consequences of a blowout in Kalpakkam would be that my city is irradiated.

      I know how unlikely a blowout may be, but what about radiation leaks, or leaks of radioactive material? The coast on which that particular plant is situated provides seafood for a vast hinterland. A radiation leak there would work its way up the food chain into any fish-eaters in much of the state!

      Not that I'm against nuclear power, but it has to be done correctly and responsibly. And it has to be done along with other methods like solar/wind, efficiency increases in the grid, or at the consumption end and so on.

      It's not a turn-key solution. That's something that the nuclear drummers can't seem to wrap their brains around!

    5. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by oiron · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the mining... The playboys always forget the mining...

    6. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by Entropius · · Score: 1

      It should be controlled by private industry because private industry, in most conditions, is overwhelmingly more efficient than the government. Should I point out that the worst nuclear accident in history was at a government-controlled plant?

      But that private industry needs to be liable for anything it breaks -- in the context of that liability, they actually have an incentive not to cause an incident. Modern nuclear power is far safer than coal any way you measure it, though.

    7. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by Bieeanda · · Score: 1
      Sorry, but that global warming crack is about as ignorant as ones about the value of the loonie (which has actually gone above par with the greenback more than once in the last few years). Geographically, most of us are clustered along the border in the temperate zone we share with the northern states.

      On the other hand, Alberta is a financial powerhouse thanks to those oil reserves and the tar sands, and it spends a lot on balancing payments to help keep some of the poorer provinces running. Our current Prime Minister comes from there, so his interest is very much in keeping things running smoothly back home. Something that most people don't know is that he's an unreformed Dominionist-- doing whatever the fuck we want with our resources, and fuck the environment because God put everything here for us, and if anything really fucks up, He'll fix it, is literally part of his religion.

    8. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by Immerman · · Score: 1

      It's not a turn-key solution

      It could be - that's where things like the Hyperion reactors start to look good, especially the temporarily shelved uranium-hydride reactor design. You design the things to be sealed and self-regulating so that they can be dropped into a secure underground vault to replace the boiler at the power station. After a decade or so (depending on usage patterns) you shut it down, let it cool for a year or two, and send it back to the factory to be refurbished and refueled.

      In essence it becomes a big nuclear battery, quite safe to operate and proliferation resistant since opening the reactor to extract the fuel requires heavy shielding and remote-operation equipment that, unlike a traditional refuelable reactor aren't available on-site.

      And at $50 million/(70MW(heat)*10years) you're talking $0.008/kWh(heat), it actually compares well to coal at ($30~70 /ton) / (6150kWh(heat) /ton) = $0.005~0.01 / kWh(heat), though obviously the fact that you've got to buy 10+ years of fuel up front complicates things a bit.

      The real problem is that we only have enough Uranium to supply the world's current energy demands for 40-70 years, so we really need to start doing some serious research on Thorium reactors if we want to go nuclear. (For those that aren't aware, Thorium is about as common as lead, there's plenty to supply the world's energy needs for a few millenia, and it's distributed fairly evenly around the world so it's geopolitically a good choice too)

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    9. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      How come operated safely =/= controlled by corporatists? Think about your last trip to the DMV. Think about mailing a package via USPS vs FedexKinkos.

      I do agree with you on the reprocessing. Don't we have tons and tons of nuclear waste lying about? How about we offer our entire supply for free to the company that can reliably and safely generate power from it? Create an incentive for anyone who can reduce the half-life of the waste by a given percentage?

    10. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by oiron · · Score: 1

      So, you support India's getting rid of the Nuclear Liability Act which caps private liability at 100 million USD?

      The trouble is, getting rid of that would make it an incentive to private operators to not invest in the first place because it's too risky!

      This is one of the paradoxes of nuclear power.

    11. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by oiron · · Score: 1

      It's not a turn-key solution

      It could be - that's where things like the Hyperion reactors start to look good, especially the temporarily shelved uranium-hydride reactor design. You design the things to be sealed and self-regulating so that they can be dropped into a secure underground vault to replace the boiler at the power station. After a decade or so (depending on usage patterns) you shut it down, let it cool for a year or two, and send it back to the factory to be refurbished and refueled.

      In essence it becomes a big nuclear battery, quite safe to operate and proliferation resistant since opening the reactor to extract the fuel requires heavy shielding and remote-operation equipment that, unlike a traditional refuelable reactor aren't available on-site.

      And at $50 million/(70MW(heat)*10years) you're talking $0.008/kWh(heat), it actually compares well to coal at ($30~70 /ton) / (6150kWh(heat) /ton) = $0.005~0.01 / kWh(heat), though obviously the fact that you've got to buy 10+ years of fuel up front complicates things a bit.

      The real problem is that we only have enough Uranium to supply the world's current energy demands for 40-70 years, so we really need to start doing some serious research on Thorium reactors if we want to go nuclear. (For those that aren't aware, Thorium is about as common as lead, there's plenty to supply the world's energy needs for a few millenia, and it's distributed fairly evenly around the world so it's geopolitically a good choice too)

      I addressed that too... Show me a working Hyperion or molten salt Thorium reactor!

      All this tech is still in the research stage - do we wait for those, or build other sources that are closer to reality? Even if we started building one, how much time would it take to complete construction? Ten years? That seems about average for nuclear power...

    12. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      As far as nuclear power's concerned, we can't afford to build the old designs (I mean 1st to 3rd generation stuff like Fukushima) anymore. We would need to use modern designs, which are often either experimental (molten salt, pebble bed,...) or expensive (Gen 3+ or Gen 4 PWRs). They also take years to build correctly! Can we really afford to wait?

      Ten years ago, here in the USA, someone said "we need to open up more lands for extracting our oil!" The response was "But those sources won't actually deliver any oil for a decade!" They are still closed, and we need the energy now, just as we did then.

      So to answer your question, YES! Build the experimental and expensive plants now. Maybe nuclear power tech can improve exponentially, but we'll never know until we get it going. As designs get better, we can take some of the worst ones offline, and maybe even replace some coal or NatGas plants.

    13. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Show me a working Hyperion

      There's something like 70 variations of the original uranium hydride reactor design scattered around the world in various research institutions that require a reactor for their work. They're quite popular since even grad students can't screw them up. That's actually the reason Hyperion chose the basic design to begin with, decades of testing in some of the most abusive environments available. They just haven't been used in power stations because (I think) they don't scale up well to gigawatt production. Hyperion just said why scale up, instead lets change how we think about nuclear reactors and tackle the low end of the market.

      As for time frame - the last number I saw was from 2009 that Hyperion was still on track to ship their first reactor in mid-2013, with 4000 more shipped by... 2023 I think it was, so about 33/month. That's the whole point of building them in a factory - you can crank them out like mad, all identical so you only need to get the design licensed once and then guard against manufacturing defects. The power plants themselves are nothing special - you could potentially just replace a coal/oil/gas plant's boiler with a reactor in a vault and run with it. More likely new construction would be optimized to work with the reactor, but the point is that nothing radioactive leaves the sealed reactor vessel so nothing except the secure storage vault needs to be specially licensed. And since you're not belching toxic gasses or dealing with tons of waste goal ash the environmental impact is negligible, all you need is a heat sink to dump all the waste heat into, and that can easily be harnessed for heating, water purification, etc.

      As for thorium reactors of any design - yeah, we badly need research on them. There was one one liquid salt research reactor that was built back in the... 50s? 40s? Anyway a long ways back, and operated for a decade or two, but that's the only one I know of. Hopefully if a market is created for small-scale reactors then there will be room for competing drop-in replacement technologies, perhaps thorium can find a niche there to get it off the ground. Then again I'm not certain a thorium reactor can operate at those scales, and may require ongoing fuel reprocessing which could rule out the "nuclear battery" approach.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    14. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      Repost of my comment from a few days ago:

      They have changed plans. Hyperion is now Gen4 Energy. Now: 20% enriched uranium nitride, lead-bismuth cooled, 10-year / 25MWe, installation no sooner than 2018 (and probably later), no word on price, but likely $60M-$100M (early installations more expensive) judging by their niche target markets. They have an impressive team in both business and engineering.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    15. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "Do we (as Americans -- sorry to all those not American) want the 21st century to be the "Chinese Century"?"

      Well, they've invaded less countries, aren't quite as nuclear, have better food and make great computers. I say we give them a chance.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    16. Re:A market problem needs a market solution by rs79 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear like Japan?

      Or solar like German, India and China?

      Thing about nuclear is, it's centralized. Solar is decentralized, there's no transit cost. Half your power bill is transit.

      Use it where you make it.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
  7. There's no end to the alarmism, it seems by mfearby · · Score: 0

    Sea level rises 50ft more than the current dodgy "science" predicts? The prophesying of these alarmists is completely self-serving, not to mention so "far out" that we'll all be dead by the time they're supposed to come to pass, and would be used for toilet paper if I wasn't reading this off my LCD monitor.

  8. at least one libertarian likes this idea by Trepidity · · Score: 2

    Jonathan Adler agrees, and thinks Hansen's proposal is a viable market-based approach, and better than the cap-and-trade approaches that have been getting more press.

  9. Mr. Holocaust Rhetoric still at his post I see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "If we cannot stop the building of more coal-fired power plants, those coal trains will be death trains — no less gruesome than if they were boxcars headed to crematoria, loaded with uncountable irreplaceable species."

    Yes, I want this man to peer-review my science.

  10. The bigger issue by hessian · · Score: 2

    That's a good point. What I said was that even if we cut emissions to the bare minimum by living in mud huts, subsistence farming, etc. we're not going to be able to stop carbon emissions.

    If we visualize this as an equation:

    P x R = I

    Population times average Resource use equals total Impact.

    Then we can see that if we decrease R, but raise P, we cancel out any benefits gained.

    Even more, there's another variable, which is the only truly fixed commodity we have -- the open land that replenishes our water, air, etc. and filters out toxins.

    P x R = I - F

    If we reduce the amount of Forest, we have more impact. There is also a minimum amount of Forest below which we start losing natural species and living in a toxic gasmasks-required Fallout 3 type world.

    1. Re:The bigger issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe you want something more akin to

      I=Sum_{Pop} Resource use (Person)

      If you reduce people, of course your reduce impact, but there are ways to reduce the largest contributors to Resource use(Person).

      I know that you used average resource use, so your equation is technically correct, but it is misleading as R is a function of P.

      Also the sign on your F term is incorrect - increasing forest decreases impact, so it should be I + F.

  11. So he wants Imperialism... by CajunArson · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So on this website whenever Iran, North Korea, China, Russia, etc. do anything that America doesn't like it's universally applauded as "standing up against evil imperialist right-wing Chrisitan America" No matter how bad or destructive the action, it's OK because it's "speaking truth to power" or some nonsense.

    Now we have Canada basically saying that it's going to use its own oil, and the exact same people are going apoplectic. International intervention suddenly become

      Note that these same people are strangely silent when Brazil or Venezuela develop new oil resources, and I haven't heard any huge outrage over the fact that drilling off the coast of Cuba will put oil rigs just a few miles from the Florida Keys. The same people who complain that America == Somalia (you've seen those posts) because we don't have the federal government in control of all economic activity never complain when foreign corporations drill for oil righ in the middle of sensitive areas.. as long as the money will be going to a government they approve of.

    I've come to realize that environmental movement doesn't really care about what is done to the planet, only on who is doing it. Put up a windmill in America that a bird might run into? Destroying the world! Use nuclear power in Japan? CHINA SYNDROME! Setup nuclear plants in Iran that are known to be using unsafe designs that are intended to produce weapons-grade plutonium instead of producing electricity? No problem. Put an oil pipeline directly through the rainforest in Venezuela to prop up Hugo Chavez? That's a wonder of the world showing how great socialism is!

    I've seen it all before and this is just a thin coating of green paint on a corrupt and broken set of ideas.

    --
    AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
    1. Re:So he wants Imperialism... by Johann+Lau · · Score: 1

      So on this website whenever Iran, North Korea, China, Russia, etc. do anything that America doesn't like it's universally applauded as "standing up against evil imperialist right-wing Chrisitan America" No matter how bad or destructive the action, it's OK because it's "speaking truth to power" or some nonsense.

      Well, that's what happens when "you"'re evil as fuck. Well-meaning people sometimes overreach and get confused, and less well-meaning people happily mingle with them.

      Stopping to be evil as fuck doesn't solve the problem completely, so it's usually recommended to not be evil as fuck as well as not being a sissy. Because then, once you know you're also not evil as fuck anymore, you'll actually be able to gently smile at the remaining, unfounded criticism, or merrily counter it with facts if you feel like it. It actually works, so don't knock it until you tried it, which you haven't. You're not the only one who has seen a thing or two before, heh.

  12. It's just nuts by Johann+Lau · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Consider the vast amount of energy the sun is pumping into earth (not to mention all the stuff that doesn't hit earth....). We need to get to that, instead of plundering resources that could be used for other things other than just burning them, or in some cases even are best just left there. If worst comes to worst, we let "elites" and private, short-sighted interests run amok with this, and when they're done with it let it serve as an excuse for even more control and subsidies (for more stuff that does more harm than good, ofc). Instead of, you know, being gentle(wo)men and trying to get free energy, shelter and food for everybody. How can we even look in the mirror.. Oh wait, we can't, that solves that.

    I know this is a rather random rant off-topic; I have no clue about the details about any of this, anyway... but "the big picture" gets me every time. It's just nuts! No convincing me otherwise.. we have a veritable Garden of Eden on one hand, and New York and Calcutta is what we turn it into. WTF.

    1. Re:It's just nuts by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2

      Solar power satellites are the way forward, I am convinced of it.

    2. Re:It's just nuts by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Umm, let's hold off on that one shall we? In theory it's great, but it means we're continuously pumping several gigawatts of energy to receiving stations down on the surface, probably via tight-beam microwave transmission. What happens when the targeting system drifts out of alignment? Or worse, comes under the control of someone with a nefarious motive? Call me cynical, but I don't think we're quite ready for orbital death rays just yet.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    3. Re:It's just nuts by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      The one JAXA is working on is putting down a GW over a 1 km diameter rectenna, birds could fly through it.

    4. Re:It's just nuts by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Okay, assuming an even energy distribution, that's about 1.2kw/m2, slightly less than the energy density of direct sunlight but in a wavelength more easily absorbed by water and oil. And I'd guess the energy density at the center is actually much higher. Birds might be able to fly through it, but I doubt it would be healthy to live in. China's the bogeyman of the day, so how long do you think Japan would maintain it's independence with a few of those focused on downtown Tokyo?

      Plus there's the obvious - even if the original design called for a maximum energy density of a few kW/m2, how hard would it be to modify that design to allow a much tighter focus? And do you really trust the government that funded its construction not to do so? I can't think of any government on the planet that, spending billions on building and launching a gigawatt orbital energy beaming station, wouldn't be tempted to spend a few million more to make it weaponizable at will. It wouldn't take much, tighten that beam to 1/4 the diameter and the average power density leaps to 20kW/m2, enough that I'm betting nobody is going to want to spend much time in it and you can start doing serious damage to infrastructure.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    5. Re:It's just nuts by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      China's the bogeyman of the day, so how long do you think Japan would maintain it's independence with a few of those focused on downtown Tokyo?

      Would this be before or after their satellite was shot down and they were invaded for attacking the capital city of a US ally? Please, nobody is that stupid. Especially not the Chinese.

      Plus there's the obvious - even if the original design called for a maximum energy density of a few kW/m2, how hard would it be to modify that design to allow a much tighter focus? And do you really trust the government that funded its construction not to do so? I can't think of any government on the planet that, spending billions on building and launching a gigawatt orbital energy beaming station, wouldn't be tempted to spend a few million more to make it weaponizable at will. It wouldn't take much, tighten that beam to 1/4 the diameter and the average power density leaps to 20kW/m2, enough that I'm betting nobody is going to want to spend much time in it and you can start doing serious damage to infrastructure.

      Yes, just like the Russians put nukes in Sputnik and ruled the world for a thousand years. Oh, wait, no. Seriously if you're going to get excited about what might happen if a rogue government somehow managed to weaponise solar satellites without someone noticing, you're probably really worried about what's actually up there right now.

    6. Re:It's just nuts by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Okay, bad example I admit, I was going for dramatic effect. But how about South Korea, or any of the Indonesian city-states? Obviously after carefully disrupting their diplomatic ties with anyone powerful enough to be willing to risk a head-on confrontation.

      No, I'm not terribly worried about what's up there now. I fully expect there's at least a few nuclear-armed missile launchers up there. Maybe some of them even still work. But the key term is *few* You're talking about putting thousands of gigawatt power-beaming stations in place, and that's just to meet current energy demands. Yes, a certain amount of MAD would likely apply, and might even stabilize the geopolitical landscape a bit(after the initial cold-war scramble to get the things in place). Then again what's to stop someone from say hacking one of Pakistan's satellites and aiming it Israel in order to prompt a retaliatory strike? Or for that matter hacking Israel's own satellite and giving them the choice of either destroying their multi-billion dollar power source or being slowly burnt off the face of the map Oh, right, I forgot, these will be the first-ever wirelessly controlled devices without security holes.

      And actually, now that I think about it I *really* doubt anyone who was had their own power satellite would want to destroy anyone else's - these things will almost certainly all be in geosynchronous orbit to allow them to keep a lock on their receiving station, so the shrapnel from the first one will inevitably impact pretty much all the others, which may or may not generate enough secondary shrapnel to start a cascading reaction - these things will be huge, at least a couple kilometers in diameter, that's a lot of shrapnel to deal with. So yeah, we might not actually blow up China's satellite if they started microwaving Tokyo - doing so would have a non-negligible chance of wiping out the entire planet's power supply.

      All I'm really saying is we probably want to think really carefully before intentionally launching thousands of almost weaponized satellites into orbit. At the very least we're going to want to get some rather toothy treaties in place, and probably collaborate on developing some *extremely* secure control systems. Maybe even require that the transmission antenna be easily destroyed/disrupted without risking breaking up the rest of the station so that a rogue station could be forcibly decommissioned without risking cascading destruction.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    7. Re:It's just nuts by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      We could just design the satellites so its non-trivial to focus the beam, or to put it another way, impossible. Articulation mechanisms on a huge microwave transmitter wouldn't be subtle or hard to spot. There are also numerous hardwired safeguards that can be put in place, like a deadman-switch beam from the middle of the rectenna. If the satellite deviates, the lights go off, and keep that airgapped from the rest of the systems. Nothing really is safe though, and yet nuclear power plants are still being built. Besides when it reaches that stage we'll have a lot more material zipping around in nearby space than today, better perhaps to worry about what happens if a half million ton ore hauler decides to take a 50km/s run at the nearest continent.

    8. Re:It's just nuts by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Really? It would seem to me that the ability to slightly refocus the beam could be pretty simple and non-obvious, You're dealling with mm-wave radiation, so it's not like radio which needs large obvious antennas to focus it, and you're already focusing down to 1 part in 36,000, seems to me it could be a very minor adjustment to focus just a little tighter. Especially if like the JAXA design you're talking about independently aiming many microwave lasers - do you design each laser with a 500m beam width, or do you just avoid aiming them all at exactly the same spot? And even in geostationary the articulation necessary to aim the sucker is absolutely essential to compensate for minute drift - you're talking about beaming power at a 1km target from over 36,000km away; the entire planet, pole-to-pole only spans about 18 degrees at that distance, plus the satellite has to be spinning to keep its face pointed at the sun or you defeat the point of putting it in orbit, which means the transmission antenna has to be forever rotating at 1rev/day relative to the solar array just to stay pointed at Earth at all, which will add even more drastic compensation requirements

      The air-gapped kill switch is probably a really good idea, I guess you'd what, kill the signal if received power levels fell below a certain threshold? Of course I still wouldn't trust folks not to put in an override that could be transmitted along with the "don't die" signal, but it would at least make accidental retargeting or hacking considerably more difficult provided you maintain tight security and an air gap around the "don't die" transmitter, which you'd want to do anyway just to keep your power supply secure from hostiles.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  13. What the fuck are you going on about? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You descended into nonsensical gibberish within the first sentence of your comment. I didn't even bother to read beyond that point, but I'm sure the rest of it is utter bullcrap, too.

    1. Re:What the fuck are you going on about? by lexsird · · Score: 1

      It ended with we are all a bunch of retarded commies and the world is going socialist and the sky is falling.

      --
      Take the Red Pill.
  14. I don't get it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The comment is about Canada. We have as much influence over Canada's political and economic processes as we do over those of Mexico. If we don't buy the oil someone else - probably China - will. Other than the very short term, Obama's point about our impotence to stop tar sands extraction rings true. This is like going to a foreclosure auction and saying that other people shouldn't let that guy default.

  15. Hasn't Hansen been discredited enough yet? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Come on, people, this guy Hansen has already admitted to bending the facts to fit a political agenda. And he's done it consistently since he went on a nationwide speaking tour to complain about how he was being silenced by the Bush administration.

  16. BS on both of the above by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Overpopulation is certainly a huge problem, but even if we decided to address this 'problem' today, short of killing people there's no quick fix. However there's plenty that can be done to change the rate at which we burn fossil fuels which is linked directly to our rates of production, transportation and consumption. The methods we employ for each, the geographic relationship of production to consumption and the efficiencies or which we take advantage, in terms of energy use, determine the rate of carbon emissions. It's that simple.

    As far as food production, the energy we put into raising animals for food is immense in comparison to the nutritional yield. In terms of protein alone, there's a 16:1 ration between the feed protein required to raise cattle vs. the protein yield from beef, and the energy required to raise all that corn and soy and transport it to feed the livestock only compounds the problem of carbon emissions.

    James Lovelock, as well as the authors of The Limits to Growth: the 30 Year Update, point out the the lifestyle choices we make have more to do with determining emissions and carrying capacity than any single variable you can wave your little arms at in the vain hope of simplifying the nature of the system.

    1. Re:BS on both of the above by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Cows and sheep eat grass. Humans cannot eat grass. It's pretty simple. It doesn't matter how much grass and scrubby plants cows need to eat to produce a kilo of beef, because it won't do us a bit of good if they don't.

      Unless you've got some genius idea, of course, for how we can suddenly grow an additional stomach and majorly rejig our gut bacteria. That could work too.

    2. Re:BS on both of the above by chrb · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter how much grass and scrubby plants cows need to eat to produce a kilo of beef, because it won't do us a bit of good if they don't.

      In modern farming, what percentage of cows do you think are fed using only scrubby grass land as a food source? We're talking here about land that is so useless that it can't be used to grow any human consumable crops like rice, wheat, potatoes etc. I would bet that the vast majority of "green grass" cow farms in the U.S. and Western Europe would be just as capable of growing potatoes as grass.

      Do these calculations give an argument in favour of vegetarianism, on the grounds of lower energy consumption? It depends on where the animals feed. Take the steep hills and mountains of Wales, for example. Could the land be used for anything other than grazing? Either these rocky pasturelands are used to sustain sheep, or they are not used to help feed humans. You can think of these natural green slopes as maintenance-free biofuel plantations, and the sheep as automated self-replicating biofuel-harvesting machines. The energy losses between sunlight and mutton are substantial, but there is probably no better way of capturing solar power in such places. (I’m not sure whether this argument for sheep-farming in Wales actually adds up: during the worst weather, Welsh sheep are moved to lower fields where their diet is supplemented with soya feed and other food grown with the help of energy-intensive fertilizers; what’s the true energy cost? I don’t know.) Similar arguments can be made in favour of carnivory for places such as the scrublands of Africa and the grasslands of Australia; and in favour of dairy consumption in India, where millions of cows are fed on by-products of rice and maize farming.

      On the other hand, where animals are reared in cages and fed grain that humans could have eaten, there’s no question that it would be more energy-efficient to cut out the middlehen or middlesow, and feed the grain directly to humans. - source

    3. Re:BS on both of the above by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      In modern farming, what percentage of cows do you think are fed using only scrubby grass land as a food source? We're talking here about land that is so useless that it can't be used to grow any human consumable crops like rice, wheat, potatoes etc.

      That would be pretty much all the farming in the Scottish Highlands, for example. You can do pretty well with grazing animals on land that would be damn near impossible to cultivate, because it's too wet, too rocky, too vertical or just plain the wrong sort of soil.

      You know that Aberdeen Angus beef you like so much? Guess what kind of farmland the cows are grazed on?

    4. Re:BS on both of the above by Troed · · Score: 1

      Overpopulation is certainly a huge problem

      Why would you claim that when it's not anywhere near the truth? We have no problems with overpopulation on Earth. In fact, we could easily sustain a tenfold increase in numbers - although that's irrelevant. The rate of population increase has gone done over the last few decades and the medium UN projection is for us to never even reach 10 billion but to max out slightly below that in the ~2070 timeframe.

      Overpopulation is not an issue. People who claim it is scare the crap out of me. What's the agenda?

    5. Re:BS on both of the above by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      I know, let's subsidize pastureland instead of corn. We can do it by having people install wind/solar generation in their pastures, and subsidize THAT!

      Oh, we are you say? Hm.

    6. Re:BS on both of the above by chrb · · Score: 1

      That would be pretty much all the farming in the Scottish Highlands, for example.

      Nobody is disputing that in some geographically poor areas grazing is advantageous - the quote I provided said as much - and the Scottish Highlands is recognised as an agriculturally disadvantaged area. The rest of the E.U. isn't. So, the question is, what percentage of sheep and cow sold in the E.U. is reared on land similar to the Scottish Highlands? Because if it is less than 95%, then your claim that "It doesn't matter how much grass and scrubby plants cows need to eat to produce a kilo of beef, because it won't do us a bit of good if they don't" is invalid, as clearly some significant amount of the land could be used to farm alternative crops.

      You know that Aberdeen Angus beef you like so much? Guess what kind of farmland the cows are grazed on?

      Aberdeen Angus is a breed that is reared worldwide; the term is not geographically protected for beef farmed in the Scottish Highlands. Aberdeen Angus farmed in southern England is probably fed from land that could just as easily be used to grow human consumable crops, and the diet is probably supplemented with grain and soya.

  17. really... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    That's a debate between an adult with an assertiveness problem and a child acting out its candy seeking behavior.

    The adult doesn't have to justify anything to the child who will throw up when he inevitably fails to regulate his intake.

    1. Re:really... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except the child can call social services and get the Adult in your scenario taken out of the equation. For the politician it is the failure to be reelected.

    2. Re:really... by Stormthirst · · Score: 1

      Welcome to human nature 101

  18. What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by tp1024 · · Score: 1, Informative

    What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene is that back then, North America and South America were divided continents.

    What we call the Gulf Stream today (and some people seem to be quite impressed by it) would have been the Pacific Stream back then. It transported a much larger amount of heat to Europe and beyond than it currently receives from that puny bathtub called the Gulf of Mexico. Of course that had a large influence on the amount of ice in and around the arctic sea and the global sea level.

    There is no causative link from higher CO2 levels during that age to higher sea levels, it is merely a correlation.

    1. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      You sir are full of excrement.

      Do you think climatologists haven't heard or the Panama strait closing and the effect it had on global ocean circulation?
      Also fail for lack of basic physics on the greenhouse effect and thermal expansion of water.

    2. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Considering they can't even make models that predict against knowns of the past? That answer is yes, it's more so egregious when they believe that their answer is the only correct one.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    3. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      You may want to learn more about climate science.
      The models are about answering details like ocean currents, precipitation patterns and the like.
      The big picture (average temperature and ocean heat content versus CO2 concentration) is basic physics and so trivial to solve that nobody bothers any more. Those things are the "settled science" part that was solved 30 years ago. See Hansen's study from 1982 which has pretty much come true (except that the warming slightly exceeded his worst case preditcions.)

    4. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      What exactly is unclear about the title?

      "What Hansen doesn't say"

      I haven't implied in any way whatsoever that either Hansen or other climatologists hadn't heard about this. I merely pointed out that Hansen neglected to say as much, even though it was absolutely relevant to his statement.

    5. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Yeah, yeah. Standard denialist tactics by distracting from the facts that matter.

    6. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Another sad case of projection..
      (Oh, and keep using that word "denialist". It makes you seem unhinged and desperate, implicitly comparing yourself to the victims of the Holocaust to try to prevent any debate or skepticism over your pseudo-scientific proselytizing for fear.)

    7. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by tiqui · · Score: 1

      And it's a standard AGW tactic to label all criticism as "denialist" (a dishonest tactic meant to associate AGW skeptics with Hitler and the holocaust)

      Notably, when you labelled the previous poster a "denier", you provided no rational input to undercut what he posted... so readers ought to presume that the actual information stands as unchallenged.

      Rhetoric is no substitute for rational dialog, logic, and the scientific method...

      The more one studies AGW the more it appears to be a religion:

      1. It is defended as dogma, rather than with science.
      2. it has two dieties (Gaia and the flying spaghetti monster) and its adherents feel compelled to attack other belief systems (I note you link to "the God movie")
      3. It is loaded with results which either cannot be verified or cannot be reproduced. (no climate models being used to predict the future also work to explain all known past events, and "researchers" in the field have a proven record of data hiding, data manipulation, and data loss)
      4. There are sacred scrolls (hidden computer codes and data)
      5. There are saints who may not be challenged by the unwashed (Hansen, Al Gore, etc.)
      6. There are heretics (many scientists, engineers, meteorologists, etc have been denounced for not accepting the teachings)
      7. There are "wise men" who block acceptance/publication of other scrolls that disagree (climate researchers manipulated the peer review process so that no skeptical papers would be published... and then they criticised all skeptical writings as "not peer reviewed")
      8. They have a collection plate for offerings (carbon taxes)
      9. They sell indulgences (carbon offset purchasing)
      10. They grant salvation to the poor and needy (exemptions from carbon regulations for third-world countries even though their carbon in no different from anybody else's and therefore as dangerous to mother Earth)
      11. The have started an inquisition (with government panels calling "polluters" to testify at hearings and explain how they will reform themselves and various government leaders pledging to destroy certain industries...)
      12. The leaders of the faith exempt themselves from the rules (this is more from the cult-end of the religious spectrum) which they apply to others (they fly on private and chartered planes, ride in limos, and live in multiple excessive residences. Indeed, governments are some of the largest polluters and consumers of carbon fuels while they turn the screws on "the little people" jacking-up the prices for the energy they need to get to work and heat their homes)

      The similarities go on, and on, and on, as far as they eye can see... Oh, and none of the above applies to any real and valid field of science

    8. Re:What Hansen doesn't say about the Pliocene by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "Do you think climatologists haven't heard or the Panama strait closing and the effect it had on global ocean circulation?"

      Wouldn't surprise me. They hadn't heard plants eat CO2: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/12/08/new_model_doubled_co2_sub_2_degrees_warming/

      Or that cosmic rays cause global cooling and glaciation: http://rs79.vrx.net/opinions/ideas/climate/poles/

      Or the pesky carbon-13 dilemma: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YrI03ts--9I

      Or that's it's not good to lie: http://worldnews.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/04/23/11144098-gaia-scientist-james-lovelock-i-was-alarmist-about-climate-change

      WTF is a climate scientist anyway? In 1985 climate research and climate scientists appeared out of nowhere. Where did they get their training? Where did they get their attitude nobody else was qualified to talk about this?

      I think they're just failed scientists from other fields who were good at getting funding and the nuclear industry was all too happy to help out.

      Given how much Hansen has been caught lying I'm surpised anybody listens to him. How do you know he's not lying now?

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
  19. China would be happy to take it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Charging the full price of oil and the environmental damage it causes would simply drive down demand in the US. China would be happy to pass the oil along to their people without paying the environmental fees, while the US starves for a cheap resource to replace it. Good luck getting Canadian companies to produce or sell the oil if the fees for that are levied directly on them, while OPEC charges the market price for oil. Of course Canada's government would have to do that part, and no politician wants to kill jobs. The best bet is for the government in the US to raise our super low gas taxes just a little and put the money into R&D for better tech, not that such a thing would be particularly popular.

    1. Re:China would be happy to take it by oiron · · Score: 1

      I don't think China's track record on the environment is anything for others to emulate...

    2. Re:China would be happy to take it by rs79 · · Score: 1

      You mean by doing what America and Europe did?

      Except for the solar bit. China is the world leader in wind and solar. The lack of oil has been holding back progress in China. The lack of oil in the US means 400 pound soccer moms can't have three Escalades.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
  20. So sayeth the Book by argStyopa · · Score: 0

    It is written in the Book of the End:
    "...(2) And it came to pass in the years of the Second Millennium that the Prophet did pause, and did turn to his followers, wroth with bitter words. "You who claim to follow me, why do you not keep up? I bear the Holy Understanding given unto me, and thou hast claimed to be a member of my Temple. (3)Yet I outdistance thee. For thrice I have taken a stride, yet thou has taken but one in turn. I understand that it is given to me that I will have followers, yet these so-called followers lag behind and lack the enthusiasm I need to spread my Word across the face of the Earth. (4)You are my friends, but your support is weak. You listen to the Word, but your faith is like dust in your mouths. You repeat the Word to others, yet you are empty of understanding." (5)He raged for hours, castigating the Faithful ceaselessly in many ways and tongues. The followers were taken aback by his rebuke. (6)And from their eyes did fall a veil, revealing him as a charlatan, a rogue, and a mountebank. (7)By his recriminations did he finally reveal himself as the False Prophet. (8)In droves his angered followers slowly recognized that he was nothing, his ideas were nothing, his Word was not The Word, but merely Another Lie. (9)Powerful men among them took up the cry to stone him, and he was finally driven away into the wilderness. (10)Yet the Faithful mourned him as they had been so deeply affected, and lacking a Messiah they cast about for another to follow, for they were Followers and could not live without the Guidance of another..."

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:So sayeth the Book by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cool story bro

  21. regardless of what we do by thereitis · · Score: 1

    But it's important to understand that Canada is going to be moving forward with tar sands, regardless of what we do. That's their national policy, they're pursuing it. With respect to Keystone, my goal has been to have an honest process, and I have adamantly objected to Congress trying to circumvent a process that was well-established not just under Democratic administrations, but also under Republican administrations.

    From http://stoptarsands.wordpress.com/:

    70% of the crude oil being extracted from the tar sands is exported directly to the United States mostly for use in transportation.

    1. Re:regardless of what we do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Big money is the real power in Canada -- and nothing your typical Canadian can do will ever stop the tar-sands development. I'd bet real money that the majority of Canadians are AGAINST this development.

      Yes our current government is openly loathsome, but whatever pretense politicians maintain to get elected -- they NEVER work for us when push comes to shove. I bet Americans can relate to that ..

    2. Re:regardless of what we do by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "70% of the crude oil being extracted from the tar sands is exported directly to the United States mostly for use in transportation."

      (shakes fist) Damn you OPEC for your price fixing. Oh, wait...

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
  22. Chicken Little, again by davide+marney · · Score: 1

    As a lay person, I have honestly tried to follow all the arguments and counter-arguments about catastrophic AGW, the only kind of climate change that matters -- and that we could do anything about. One thing is clear to me: claims of imminent catastrophic changes such as 50-foot elevations in sea level are all highly exaggerated. Yes, the climate is changing -- as it ever has -- but it is doing so much more slowly than predicted: my layman's sense of it is that for each foot of claimed rise there's been a half-inch actually observed.

    The other Chicken Little angle on this is that yes, there have been huge changes in climate -- but not caused by Man (at least, not yet). The cafe where I'm writing this comment was under a mile of ice not too long ago, in geologic terms. It has never been shown to my satisfaction that the last ice age was caused by CO2. There are a lot of competing theories, and CO2 is just one of them. Until there is clear proof regarding the mechanism for ice ages, why should we believe anyone who claims to know the mechanism for warming ages?

    --
    "We receive as friendly that which agrees with, we resist with dislike that which opposes us" - Faraday
    1. Re:Chicken Little, again by Immerman · · Score: 1

      If by imminent you mean, as the researchers do, "within the next couple of centuries", then no, they're really not exaggerated. Sea levels are currently rising at about 1cm/year and accelerating, and we're beginning to see environmental positive feedback loops that will speed things up even more. More extreme and slower-moving weather patterns which are already beginning to appear mean more economic damage due to drought, flooding, and outright destruction from tornadoes and hurricanes. Wouldn't it make more sense to spend at least some of that lost money up front to reduce the impact?

      The earth is big, it takes a while to change things, but we've been leaning on this massive boulder for a century and a half, and it's starting to roll downhill. If we want a chance of stopping it we really need to stop pushing, instead of keeping on pushing ever harder. The problem is we probably won't start seeing really severe changes for another 50 years or so, and if we wait until then to start doing anything the bolder will already be rolling at a good clip, meaning we'll have to make much more drastic (and correspondingly more expensive) changes, to have any chance at all of stopping it.

      As for climate changes occurring naturally in the past, what does that have to do with anything? Most falling deaths aren't caused by people being thrown off of buildings, that doesn't mean you should just smile and cooperate when someone is quick-marching you towards the edge.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    2. Re:Chicken Little, again by Troed · · Score: 1

      Sea levels are currently rising at about 1cm/year and accelerating

      Why would you lie about something so easily disproven?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_sea_level_rise

      (There's also no support in data for increased destruction from tornadoes and hurricanes, but I guess you knew that as well)

    3. Re:Chicken Little, again by Immerman · · Score: 1

      My bad, I misremembered the data and didn't verify. Still, I was only off by a factor of 3 (~3.3mm/year 1993-2009).

      As for hurricanes - I'll refer you here, you can clearly see a gradual increase in the number of both hurricanes and tropical storms over the last hundred years, it doesn't take a rocket scientist to correlate increased number of storms with increased damage, even if the individual storms aren't becoming more damaging, which I'll admit is a question still under some debate.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    4. Re:Chicken Little, again by Troed · · Score: 1

      you can clearly see a gradual increase in the number of both hurricanes and tropical storms over the last hundred years

      Due to humans seeing more of the world, humans expanding settlements over larger parts of the world and thus reporting of storms has increased. Not the actual number of storms.

      A NOAA-led team of scientists has found that the apparent increase in the number of tropical storms and hurricanes since the late 19th and early 20th centuries is likely attributable to improvements in observational tools and analysis techniques that better detect short-lived storms.

      http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2009/20090811_tropical.html

      it doesn't take a rocket scientist to correlate increased number of storms with increased damage, even if the individual storms aren't becoming more damaging, which I'll admit is a question still under some debate.

      Now what do we say about correlation and causation?

      A team of scientists have found that the economic damages from hurricanes have increased in the U.S. over time due to greater population, infrastructure, and wealth on the U.S. coastlines, and not to any spike in the number or intensity of hurricanes.

      http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2008/20080222_hurricane.html

    5. Re:Chicken Little, again by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you're right about the increase in observation, not being interested enough to investigate in detail at the moment all I can say for certain is that in the last two decades it seems like I've been hearing about more frequent and more severe hurricanes and tropical storms hitting land. Perhaps that's coincidence, but with most researchers also predicting such an outcome and the basic science being straightforward (warmer air = more atmospheric energy => more energy _potentially_ available to storms), I'm inclined to lean in that direction without convincing evidence to the contrary, especially looking forward. After all, we're only just hitting the leading edge of climate-change predictions from 50 years ago, and so far they seem to be tracking fairly well, if perhaps being a little too conservative since they underestimated the rate at which fossil fuel usage would increase and didn't predict many of the positive feedback loops we're beginning to discover.

      Now what do we say about correlation and causation?

      In this case, since we're talking about an increase in the number of things that throw around large objects at high speed, I think it's safe to assume that a correlated increase in damage is *probably* causative. Either that or it's actually millions of magic pixies that like to fly in circles that both form the hurricanes and do the associated damage.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    6. Re:Chicken Little, again by Troed · · Score: 1

      If scientific data does not change your opinion, debate is futile. Do note my statements were well sourced.

    7. Re:Chicken Little, again by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Okay, you want logical objections, fine

      (1) The data is not particularly relevant to long-term trends, as I pointed out above we're only at the leading edge of the climate trend, nothing much is happening yet. Extrapolating forward as to the behavior of a chaotic system in such a situation is irrelevant without theory to back it. Those saying storms will likely get more frequent and/or severe have theory on their side, but little/no data, which could easily be explained by us not having crossed whatever tipping point is maintaining the current quasi-stable state. Those saying "don't worry we'll be fine" have, so far as I'm aware, no theoretical foundation on which to base such a claim.

      (2) The NOAA's study is based entirely on "filling in" existing data that does in fact suggest an increase in storm activity with additional, purely hypothetical data based on what they think the historical record probably missed. This is good as a refutation to the original study that showed an increase in that it highlights a source of observer bias; however, I hope it goes without saying that the dependence on hypothetical data makes the study worse than useless on its own merits.

      (2.5) As a division within the Department of Commerce, NOAA is undoubtedly subject to various political pressures to toe the party line. That doesn't necessarily mean that their study is compromised, but I would want to see a confirming study from an independent group before I ascribe much weight to it. Remember too that (ideally) the purpose of publishing a study is not to say that something is true, but to draw more attention to a question and seek confirmation or refutation and a hilighting of flaws. Many, possibly most research papers are later shown to be flawed, with rates being especially high among institutions pressured to reach a particular finding, such as drug testing. It is through the consensus of many independent researchers that an understanding of the actual system begins to emerge.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    8. Re:Chicken Little, again by Troed · · Score: 1

      Those saying storms will likely get more frequent and/or severe have theory on their side, but little/no data

      They have a hypothesis, with no support in data. There are hypotheses that say that equalized temperature over the globe will lessen the intensity of storms as well (less severe fronts). Until we have more data, it's scientifically wrong to make claims either way.

      one of the four models examined (a respected model) predicts fewer strong hurricanes in a warmer world instead. - http://www.earthzine.org/2011/04/16/will-a-warmer-world-be-stormier/

      The results suggest that storm-track intensity is not related in a simple way to global-mean surface temperature - http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2010/10/18/1011547107

      Here's another way of extracting storm intensity values from a few decades back, by looking at damages: http://www.springerlink.com/content/v1851121221p0244/

      (2) As a division within the Department of Commerce, NOAA is undoubtedly subject to various political pressures to toe the party line. That doesn't necessarily mean that their study is compromised, but I would want to see a confirming study from an independent group before I ascribe much weight to it.

      Who's independent? JPL (below)? I'm not sure what you're getting at.

      A likely source of the decrease is the change in measurement of MSLP with the cessation of
      routine aircraft reconnaissance in 1987. There is no significant trend in intense storms either
      before or after 1987 when the two periods are analyzed separately.
      - http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/3/1/124/pdf

      A possible clue to the apparent discrepancy is that the increase in overall tornado reports roughly matches that of the U.S. population over this time, suggesting that the trend may be an artifact of greater tornado detection due to increases in population density, awareness of severe weather threats, and modern technological advances such as Doppler radar. At the current time, it is therefore not possible to anticipate even the sign of any climate change in tornado occurrence or strength. - NASA, same earthzine link as above.

      Also, more discussion on reporting here: http://www.stanford.edu/~omramom/Diffenbaugh_Eos_08.pdf

      My point is that we shouldn't make statements that do not accurately reflect the current state of science.

    9. Re:Chicken Little, again by rs79 · · Score: 1

      Causes of glaciation are indeed key. For the longest time we just didn't know.

      Now, a French team have pretty good proof of causes of glaciation, and it translates into "global warming? hah, I wouldn't exactly panic if I were you".

      David Suzuki did an hour on it. .

      http://rs79.vrx.net/opinions/ideas/climate/poles/

      CERN validated the theory. Then put a gag order on the results

      http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/07/18/cern_cosmic_ray_gag/

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    10. Re:Chicken Little, again by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "then no, they're really not exaggerated"

      Other than the bits they admitted exaggerating about:

      http://politics.slashdot.org/story/12/04/25/1325241/gaia-scientist-admits-mispredicting-rate-of-climate-change

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    11. Re:Chicken Little, again by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Many scientists (and experts of all stripes really) suffer from the delusion that expertise in one field qualifies them to be taken seriously in others. James Lovelock studied chemistry and medicine, his Gaia hypothesis and other climatological ruminations were provocative, and better formulated than what a man with no scientific backing would come up with, but still nothing more than cocktail discussions of a man whose expertise had little to do with climate.

        Show me a consensus of scientists who focused on the study of climate, weather, the atmosphere, or anything else closely related to climatology who were making such alarmist predictions. I really doubt you'll find them.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  23. Hippie Apocalypse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    I am very tired of the same old Apocalyptic rants from this stupid political straw man. "Global Warming" is now "Climate Change": a move in words that Joseph Goebbels would love! Climate change is a straw man. These people are anti-capitalists, they are Puritanical. They are elitist ecological technocrats. They are moralists! They believe that everyone should bow to their world view, the means to do that is through legislation on "climate change".

    GUESS WHAT?? ITS CALLED THE WEATHER! AND IT CHANGES!!!! Why does it have to be apocalyptic, in your myopic vision? Why can't northern fields, liberated from cold produce more 10 times more food? Energy saved with mild winters would be Trillions of Barrels of oil! Deserts, emersed in the warm steamy wind off the oceans will bloom! Why not have that kind of a hippie dream? NO! instead it has to be DOOM!

    Listen you liberal apocalyptic fear-mongers:
    QUIT TELLING US WHAT TO DO!!!

    1. Re:Hippie Apocalypse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not "telling", it's "saying". As in, keep it up and we'll have to deal with significant climate change, and based on historical reactions, human civilizations don't have much capacity to deal with huge disruptions to agriculture. You're right that it won't be the end of the world, but it will be disruptive.

      "Why can't northern fields, liberated form cold produce 10 times more food?" Well, maybe they could. But if those areas don't get comparable precipitation it will be a moot point (cold isn't always the constraining factor), it takes years to bring new areas into agricultural use, and if the regular agriculture areas simultaneously experience prolonged drought, then it isn't going to be a net positive. The point is, we're rolling a big, dangerous dice with this kind of change. Will it be complete doom? Probably not, but if people get hungry because it screws up agriculture, it could get bad. It's a gamble, and it might be better to avoid the less pleasant outcomes.

      The rest of your rant doesn't really capture the attitude of most people who care about climate change. I'm not anti-capitalist. I look at the economic costs of climate change and think "Wow, is business ever unprepared for change if this gets as bad as predicted." People don't have to "bow to my world view" or something silly like that. I'm a big fan of democracy and free markets. But I do worry about whether or not people will be stupid enough to think they can continue with "business as usual" and everything will work out fine. The change is real, and at least some of it is human-driven. Based on historical patterns before humans were even around, climate can change drastically. Would it be bad if there was a continental glaciation again, as there was up until ~10000 years ago? Heck, yeah. And that's just natural change. So, it makes sense to study climate and try to understand what it is doing. Even ignoring climate change as a general or a human-triggered process, dealing with dwindling oil supplies in the next couple of decades is a huge economic problem, and some economies are better prepared for it than others (highly oil-import-dependent economies and ones that rely on inefficient transportation are going to get creamed).

      Pointing all this out and saying "people should care" isn't the mark of "elitist ecological technocrats", it's people saying to the drivers of a vehicle: "Hey, it looks like we might be about to drive off a cliff. Maybe lay off the acceleration until we figure out what's going on." If you want to keep flooring it, go ahead. But I'm going to do things differently, and yes, I'm going to keep nagging you that it might not be a good idea to do what you're doing, because I'm a passenger in the same vehicle that you are (Earth), and what you do affects me too. No, I'm not going to shut up. I'm going to listen, and try to talk about the issue in the normal way that democracies try to sort these things out. Feel free to disagree.

    2. Re:Hippie Apocalypse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Global temps are getting lower since 1998. Blame Canada. Blame China. Blame overpopulation.

    3. Re:Hippie Apocalypse by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      THIS is a great post. Well thought out, measured, reasoning, articulate. Please allow me to respond in the same manner.

      OP is suggesting, to borrow your car analogy, that we are not in fact driving off a cliff, but that we ARE in fact, headed down a hill. You look both look 20 miles down the road, and see that it is a thousand feet lower. He is suggesting that there is a road, some parts perhaps steeper than others, that leads down the mountain. You are suggesting a cliff, with no safe way from here to there.

      If, over the next 5 years, the global temperature raises 10 degrees, we are indeed going to feel like we drove off a cliff. Millions of homes will be destroyed in floods, global crop failures will cause mass starvation and global resource wars. Granted. If that same change takes place over a hundred, or two hundred years, we will deal with it. Melting icecaps will increase the amount of water in the water cycle, increasing precipitation. People will slowly stop buying beachfront property as it becomes unstable and dangerous, one lot at a time. Huge expanses of land in the north (Think Northern Canada, and Northern Russia, and Greenland!) will go from useless, to marginal, to adequate over a few generations. Billions of people, over generations, will each make small, individual choices that will benefit them, and as a species we will cope just fine.

      Most "AGW-deniers" aren't necessarily challenging the idea that average temperatures may be rising, on average, by a fraction of a degree per decade. The challenge comes to one of the following:
      1. That the change is primarily caused by man
      2. That the change will continue IRREVERSIBLY, FOREVER
      3. That the change will at some point become exponential
      4. That the change will occur at a catastrophically rapid pace
      5. That warming is, in and of itself, A Bad Thing
      6. That humanity will not be able to adapt, or will simply sit on the beach and drown
      7. That the solution involves allowing someone to create, from thin air, carbon credits, which can then be sold for real money
      8. That the solution is to force a reduction of the population, regardless of method
      9. That the solution involves creating some sort of super-government to mandate things globally

      When one of these points is brought up, and the answer is "SHUT UP YOU DENIER!" the conversation degrades quickly. Thank you for responding civilly, and being willing to listen.

  24. let's level it for real then by khipu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Actually, I think the idea is to put a monetary cost on things which currently have no cost, namely, emission of gasses which may have a negative effect on climate.

    Great principle. What about charging for the environmental destruction many third world nations are guilty of? What about charging for the enormous population growth that Asia and Africa are imposing on the world? What about charging for the stupendous costs environmental destruction in Europe over the last 5000 years has imposed on the rest of the world, not to mention the consequences of European colonialism and emigration, which kick-started these processes all around the world?

    Depending on how you account for these factors, you reach very different answers about who should pay for carbon emissions. There is no objectively right answer, and that's why there won't be any meaningful agreement on carbon emissions.

    1. Re:let's level it for real then by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Nuke it from orbit. It''s the only way to be sure.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:let's level it for real then by WillDraven · · Score: 1

      Problem being, try as we might, nobody has figured out how to get their long deceased ancestors to pay taxes.

      Either we try to fix the problem now, or let our children try to fix it once it's gotten even worse (and therefore more expensive).

      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    3. Re:let's level it for real then by chrb · · Score: 4, Informative

      Depending on how you account for these factors, you reach very different answers about who should pay for carbon emissions.

      The obvious answer to the question "who should pay for emissions?" is "the people who did it". You are, for some reason, attempting to lump in lots of other environmental issues to the one of CO2 emissions. When we regulated SO2 emissions, we just did it - we didn't wait until we had figured out how to handle deforestation or population growth in Africa, or how to somehow "correct" the effects of colonialism or emigration in Europe thousands of years ago.

      If you don't think that the emitter should pay, then who should? The rich? The poor? Everyone pay an equal share? If so, how do you account for different salary rates in different nations - should everyone pay an equal proportion of their income? It is ridiculous to suggest that, say, Africans with their average income of $315 a year should have the same responsibility towards paying this cost as Westerners who earn many times more, especially when it was the Western nations who contributed most to the increase in co2 levels:

      The major countries with the biggest per-capita emissions are Australia, the USA, and Canada. European countries, Japan, and South Africa are notable runners up. Among European countries, the United Kingdom is resolutely average. What about China, that naughty “out of control” country? Yes, the area of China’s rectangle is about the same as the USA’s, but the fact is that their per-capita emissions are below the world average. India’s per-capita emissions are less than half the world average. Moreover, it’s worth bearing in mind that much of the industrial emissions of China and India are associated with the manufacture of stuff for rich countries.

      So, assuming that “something needs to be done” to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, who has a special responsibility to do something? As I said, that’s an ethical question. But I find it hard to imagine any system of ethics that denies that the responsibility falls especially on the countries to the left hand side of this diagram – the countries whose emissions are two, three, or four times the world average. Countries that are most able to pay. Countries like Britain and the USA, for example.

      Historical responsibility for climate impact

      If we assume that the climate has been damaged by human activity, and that someone needs to x it, who should pay? Some people say “the polluter should pay.” The preceding pictures showed who’s doing the polluting today. But it isn’t the rate of CO2 pollution that matters, it’s the cumulative total emissions; much of the emitted carbon dioxide (about one third of it) will hang around in the atmosphere for at least 50 or 100 years. If we accept the ethical idea that “the polluter should pay” then we should ask how big is each country’s historical footprint. The next picture shows each country’s cumulative emissions of CO2, expressed as an average emission rate over the period 1880–2004. Average pollution rate

      Congratulations, Britain! The UK has made it onto the winners’ podium. We may be only an average European country today, but in the table of historical emitters, per capita, we are second only to the USA.

    4. Re:let's level it for real then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure about the other problems, but there's an easy fix to overpopulation in Africa. Stop sending them food. This reduces demand for foodstuffs in all other areas of the world, reduces the fuel it takes to transport the food to Africa, and reduces the population in Africa to what that continent and those societies can actually maintain. Thus positively impacting carbon emissions of the entire planet.

      If any reader is sitting there gasping in horror at how terrible someone must be to even suggest such a thing, get one thing through your head: to "fix" this problem, people are going to die. From the point of view of the health of all humanity, why would we want places to survive that can't even feed their own damn selves? Hey, maybe without outside help, plenty of places in Africa will finally start to thrive. More power to them if they can! If they can't... then they die, and make the world better for the rest of us.

      If you find talk of these subjects distasteful, then go away -- you're not serious enough about the subject yet. Yet.

    5. Re:let's level it for real then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually...

      "...we are second only to the USA." ...I believe that's incorrect, and you (in the UK) are the clear winners.

      The article you cite cherry-picks (for whatever reason - irrelevant) the dates: "The next picture shows each country’s cumulative emissions of CO2, expressed as an average emission rate over the period 1880–2004." But the UK has been emitting CO2 for much longer than that, as the original and undisputed first-mover of the Industrial Revolution; which goes back much further. Theoretically to somewhere around 1750. Also, CO2 lasts quite a bit longer in the atmosphere than 50-100 years.

      In any case, I've read studies that were able to identify percentages of UK/British Empire-orginating CO2 molecules still in the atmosphere; and the UK wins, hands down.

    6. Re:let's level it for real then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about charging for the environmental destruction many third world nations are guilty of? What about charging for the enormous population growth that Asia and Africa are imposing on the world?

      Genocide seems a reasonable response to curb the population explosion in China, India, and much of Africa. There is no purpose in keeping people alive through food transfer programmes which only perpetuate the problem. Global overpopulation particularly in Third World countries of which China is a member despite "the elite" saying China is an advanced society. Eliminate 5 billion people in a year and the planet - not you and me - would recover within a few generations. Not politically correct enough for you? Tough!

    7. Re:let's level it for real then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I prefer the food + education approach. Giving food by itself for the long term is stupid (it can help for short term), but it's hard to educate starving people. Once they are educated enough they usually solve the population problem in more civilized ways.

      You could require them to attend classes in order to get food. But good education is more expensive than food.

    8. Re:let's level it for real then by khipu · · Score: 2

      If we accept the ethical idea that âoethe polluter should payâ then we should ask how big is each countryâ(TM)s historical footprint. Congratulations, Britain! The UK has made it onto the winnersâ(TM) podium. We may be only an average European country today, but in the table of historical emitters, per capita, we are second only to the USA.

      You have the right idea, but you are not doing the accounting right. The state atmosphere doesn't depend on per capita emissions or how much people earn, it depends on total accumulated carbon. And that is the result of the balance of both emissions and capture. So, to determine how much to charge each country, you need to take the discounted historical emissions and the discounted historical carbon capture.

      But it gets worse. Europe started out 90% forested, and is down to less than 10% these days. Those forests used to scrub CO2 from the atmosphere for the entire world. Did Europeans even have the right to chop those trees down, impacting the carbon balance for the entire planet? Maybe, for each nation, we shouldn't use the difference between emissions and capture to calculate charges, but the difference between emissions and original capture rate prior to human-caused deforestation.

      This isn't just a question of ethics, it's a question of what incentives we give. Charging for per-capita emissions or just total emissions won't work, it will simply result in countries gaming the system in various ways. But doing the accounting correctly would be so costly for Europe that Europeans are simply not going to go for it. Hence, nothing is going to happen, other than a lot of finger pointing.

    9. Re:let's level it for real then by khipu · · Score: 1

      Problem being, try as we might, nobody has figured out how to get their long deceased ancestors to pay taxes.

      No need to. Modern Europeans have inherited the benefits of those past actions, they should also inherit the debts their ancestors accrued (knowingly or unknowingly).

      Either we try to fix the problem now, or let our children try to fix it once it's gotten even worse (and therefore more expensive).

      The US isn't going to be all that strongly affected by climate change or sea level rise, so appealing to self-interest also doesn't really work.

    10. Re:let's level it for real then by repapetilto · · Score: 1

      That chart is weird. It appears to take the cumulative emissions recorded from 1880 to 2004 and divide by the 2004 population (this is a guess, the text doesn't say) then divide by the number of years. It is well known that the proportion of CO2 emissions due to the US has been dropping. For some reason that chart needlessly leaves out this information.

      The correct chart would be a time series of CO2 emissions per population each year for each country. There is also the aspect of carbon capture mentioned in the other responses.

      The last thing is that it should be normalized to "quality of life" or some measure like that.

    11. Re:let's level it for real then by TheRealLifeboy · · Score: 1

      Or not. You're assuming its going to get worse. What if it gets better? There's 1% more foliage on earth than 10 years ago despite deforestation according to NASA. That is a huge amount of foliage. Maybe the politicians have it all wrong. The earth adjusts, we stop polluting (the real pollution, not this bollocks about life-giving CO2 being a pollutant) and things get better. We can't do that while being taxed to death in favour of the 1%.

  25. B-b-b-but... by loshwomp · · Score: 1

    ...nuclear energy is bad, nuclear energy is bad, la la la I can't hear you nuclear energy is bad.

    1. Re:B-b-b-but... by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Wind is now cheaper than even bog standard nuclear, let alone newfangled variants, even after accounting for its intermittency.
      So why build new nukes?

    2. Re:B-b-b-but... by tiqui · · Score: 1

      This is false

      Nuclear is remarkably cheap, nearly in-exhaustible, and carbon-free (this is proven every time some navy launches another nuclear powered ship or submarine). Why does it take decades and billions to build a power plant on land? Simple: In the 1970's the left in the US discovered that they could dissuade utilities from building new plants with the thousand-bee-stings of government regulations/hearings/etc and lawsuit after lawsuit after lawsuit by which they meant to kill-off the industry they hated so much. They did not succeed in killing the industry; what they succeeded in doing was removing much of the profit and therefore the motivation to design and build cleaner, cheaper, and safer newer models of plants. They succeeded in getting the industry to struggle mightily to keep older more dangerous plants online decade after decade because there was no real (as in: "it works outside of the college campus and internet echo chamber") way to provide the required energy in the US without the nuclear component. In fact, if you wired the whole US to run on windmills and solar panels, you would still need a large number of nuclear and/or gas-fired plants to stabilize the grid (from moment-to-moment, day and night, cloudy and sunny, on superbowl sunday, etc. Solar and wind are not reliable (in the technical sense of being constant,certain, and controllable) and cannot do what nuclear/gas/coal/etc can do (ramp-up and down on-demand to compensate for energy demand) ) Wind turbines are a novelty if you need an energy grid to run a civilization without rolling blackouts everytime some new video game comes out and all the kiddies fire-up their X-boxes at the same time, or everytime half the country cooks a holiday turkey or tunes into some sports event...

      In short, by trying to kill nuclear with armies of lawyers and bureaucrats, the environmentalists only succeeded in making all of us less safe and making our lives more expensive. Nothing the left-wing activists do is ever subjected to cost-benefit-analysis...

  26. Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Hansen would be garner more support from a wider base and generally more acceptance if instead of trying to stop people from doing things he encouraged them to do something...such as invest in nuclear power.

    If the AGW crowd expended only half as much energy advocating and educating the public about nuclear power, and how it could solve the AGW problem, as they do with silly stunts and way over the top scenarios (50 feet higher eh?), it would be a win win. CO2 would be cut and we could tell the Oil Tyrants to fuck off and die.

    I know that Hansen supports nuclear, including Breeder reactors for waste recycling, but he's not very vocal about it.

    People respond better when you come to them with a solution rather than admonishments, guilt and doomsday predictions.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Nuclear by squiggleslash · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Nuclear may or may not be part of the energy solution, but it's hardly the whole thing. You don't solve our transportation by sticking uranium up your car's tailpipes.

      Reality and sanity says that we need both to look where we're using oil, and find alternative ways to generate and transport energy to those points of use, how we generate energy at all, and whether there are more efficient ways to do the same things.

      Anyone who says "Global warming? Let's just go Nuclear!" is, unfortunately, failing to address 90% of the issues. Which is why you'll find those concerned about global warming don't restrict themselves to a single solution.

      I dearly want us to stop banning people from living close to the businesses that serve them, as is common in the US. I want to see better use of available infrastructure, such as rail, to provide access to walkable cities from everywhere. I want more fuel efficient vehicles, and I'd like, ultimately, to see lower cost electric vehicles designed to drive the shorter distances that ought to be more common if we rethink planning policies - I don't know about you, but I don't really need a vehicle that goes for more than 50 miles without {long period of downtime due to recharging} 99% of the time, and would be happy to keep a low cost second vehicle around for those times of journey, yet 99% of the expense of electric vehicles right now has to do with the obsession of making them universal replacements for gasoline vehicles - sticking in redundant gasoline motors, or five times the number of batteries.

      And here's the other thing that really bothers me: most of those pushing against global warming or insisting on single solutions are insistent that any solution must protect the status quo. The status quo sucks. My energy usage is high not because I want it to be, but because of poor zoning policies, crappy offerings from transportation businesses, and so on.

      Even if gas was back to a dollar a gallon as it was under Clinton, I don't _want_ to fucking drive everywhere. Who the hell does? Who enjoys being locked in a metal box for an hour or two a day, having to concentrate on nothing except whether that box is between two lines painted on the tarmac? Who likes the fact they can't really go for a drink after work or, well, easily socialize anyway, because of the requirements and boundaries set by reliance on motor vehicles?

      Does everyone actually like the fact their property and sales taxes are high despite the complete lack of the public services, solely because of the costs of maintaining many times the lengths of roads necessary because we've gone out of our way to partition off neighborhoods from businesses? What about the cost of food and other essentials? (Why is it about half the price in Britain than in the US, despite much higher taxes and much lower subsidies in the UK?)

      You're looking for a positive message? That's because you're not listening! Put in the basic, obvious, solutions that have been proposed for decades, and there's every reason to believe our lives will be more relaxed, our cost of living cheaper, and our options more free.

      Nuclear solves 10% of the problem, and isn't a positive or negative solution, any more than windmills or solar is.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    2. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are the reason people push back and you provide the fodder needed for people to say AGW is all about Control.

      You don't like people's lifestyles and you want to change them..that's Controlling and AGW is the club you are using to achieve it.

      I guarantee you, you will get a great big Fuck You from the majority of people when you take this approach. You will from me anyway.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    3. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      Hansen would be garner more support from a wider base and generally more acceptance if instead of trying to stop people from doing things he encouraged them to do something...such as invest in nuclear power...People respond better when you come to them with a solution rather than admonishments, guilt and doomsday predictions.

      I agree with the admonishments and guilt part, but doomsday predictions are entirely appropriate and will work,, because people respond to fear. I'd love a reasonable, science-based debate, but the climate change debate is all about fear, and humans are wired to avoid danger and to overvalue threat information. You might get a friendlier discussion with hope and change, per those lying bastards the Democrats, but you'll get more vote with fear and disgust, per those lying bastard Republicans. So it depends on how you define "respond better." I think.

      If the AGW crowd expended only half as much energy advocating and educating the public about nuclear power, and how it could solve the AGW problem, as they do with silly stunts and way over the top scenarios (50 feet higher eh?), it would be a win win. CO2 would be cut and we could tell the Oil Tyrants to fuck off and die.

      50 feet higher is what will happen if we burn all the Canadian oil sands. It's only an overstatement in that it overstates perhaps how much oil we're going to consume in the near term, but Dr Hansen is not exaggerating the effects of doing so. Nuclear fission is not a panacea -- there is none. This is going to be a tough challenge, on a global scale, and we need something better than nuclear fission to solve it. It takes 15 Terawatts to power the world and each fission reactor apparently provides about 1 gigawatt, so to furnish 50% of the world's energy needs of today with nuclear, we'd need to build 1 billion nuclear fission reactors. I think we need a combination of fusion + solar-to-fuel (artificial photosynthetic fuel) technologies and that's going to take massive research funding. Maybe if we stopped the NFL budget for a year, we could solve the problem, LOL

      I know that Hansen supports nuclear, including Breeder reactors for waste recycling, but he's not very vocal about it.

      As a scientist, I'm frustrated by the apparent fact that most people don't care about the science. What we need to be vocal about is that climate change is real and something needs to be done about it. In America, many people don't even think this is a problem. My business school friend thinks that scientists are making this up in order to get research grants and Obama is pushing it so he can create a command economy. Seriously, that's how deniers think.

      --
      Currently hooked on AMP
    4. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, apparently, looking at the polls, Fear and doomsday has not worked.

      Also, you assume that the nascent nuclear industry (technology wise it is just learning to walk) will not mature. It is not unreasonable to expect far greater efficiency and power output.

      Last, if replacing all the fossil fuel power plants with nuclear, which are blamed for the majority of CO2 production, what on else earth do you imagine could be done about it?

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    5. Re:Nuclear by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I dearly want us to stop banning people from living close to the businesses that serve them, as is common in the US.

      Ban? Care to elaborate on this? I know of no bans or even any regulation on where you can live?

      My energy usage is high not because I want it to be, but because of poor zoning policies, crappy offerings from transportation businesses, and so on.

      Well, we're pretty much stuck working with what we have. I mean, where are you planning to get the massive funding, to tear up the current cities and their infrastructure, to 're-do' it into a properly organized and planned and laid out way of life for us all to live 1 block from work, and have all our groceries delivered, etc? Not getting into the common things of people changing jobs every few years and not wanting to sell the house and move just to be closer to the new job (would we need to average the distance between couples that both work?)

      Even if gas was back to a dollar a gallon as it was under Clinton, I don't _want_ to fucking drive everywhere. Who the hell does?

      I do, that's why I drive sports cars...I've never owned any car with more that 2 seats in my life (ok, the Porsche turbo technically was a 4-seater, but you couldn't even really fit one kid back there for more than a couple blocks).

      Who likes the fact they can't really go for a drink after work or, well, easily socialize anyway, because of the requirements and boundaries set by reliance on motor vehicles?

      ???

      Nothing stops me from having a drink after work and socializing...nor does it stop any of my friends. I mean, do you not see those bars on the way home with very large parking lots that are filled with cars? Those lots aren't filled up by employees of the establishment.

      Does everyone actually like the fact their property and sales taxes are high despite the complete lack of the public services, solely because of the costs of maintaining many times the lengths of roads necessary because we've gone out of our way to partition off neighborhoods from businesses?

      Err...those roads and all are paid for by fuel taxes...I don't know that any of my property or sales tax goes for my roads. Even if some of it did, no...it isn't that bad. I like having the independence to go where I want when I want, and not have to sit waiting for a fucking bus in the rain, heat, humidity...and take hours to get back and forth (which takes minutes in my own car)...and try to haul all my groceries on/off multiple busses while sitting next to a smelly bum...and then, figuring some way to carry the load of stuff home from the nearest bus stop which is about 1/2 a mile away easily. I frankly dunno how I could carry all my groceries on said public transport. Hell, I have to usually make 3-4 trips at least to carry them into the house from my car in the garage. Geez, what about families that have to feed 3-4 mouths? That would really be impossible, unless you are saying you want to force everyone to take time out of their day to shop daily....

      What about the cost of food and other essentials? (Why is it about half the price in Britain than in the US, despite much higher taxes and much lower subsidies in the UK?)

      I'm not sure where you get your stats. On my cooking lists, I'm often shocked how much my friends in the UK and other EU countries say their food is compared to ours here in the US.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    6. Re:Nuclear by WillDraven · · Score: 2

      I dearly want us to stop banning people from living close to the businesses that serve them, as is common in the US.[...] poor zoning policies, [...] because we've gone out of our way to partition off neighborhoods from businesses

      This sounds like a good idea in theory, until the crab shack next door has dollar margarita live music Wednesdays and you have work early Thursday morning. The problem is, you either can ban businesses from residential neighborhoods, place heaps of restrictions on businesses in said neighborhoods, or deal with all your citizens complaining of those other types of pollution, noise and light, at every town meeting.

      The good news for you is that zoning laws are typically a locally controlled thing. If you can find enough people who prefer one of the lesser used options you are free to either start your own town or move into an existing one in significant numbers to become the voting majority.

      The problem being of course that most of the people who don't mind noise and light during the night already live in such places: cities with high rise apartments with shops on the ground level. If this is the model you prefer, vote with your wallet and move into such a building.

      --
      This is my sig. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    7. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      Well, apparently, looking at the polls, Fear and doomsday has not worked.

      I think it has. Most people vote against the worst candidate, not for the best one. But I agree that we should be telling the truth and not exaggerating or lying to make a point. Against your point also -- look at the reaction to the reactor leaks in Japan. They shut down their whole program based on fear and doomsday.

      Also, you assume that the nascent nuclear industry (technology wise it is just learning to walk) will not mature. It is not unreasonable to expect far greater efficiency and power output.

      I think it's unreasonable to expect efficiency to more than double in the next 20 years, during which we still have to build some of those 1 billion reactors I mentioned. How many are scheduled to be built in the next 10 years? LOL. Even if efficiency goes up a factor of 10, we need a million plants worldwide. Also, fission (as opposed to fusion) has a proliferation risk (Iran -- cough) and a waste disposal problem (solvable), plus the risk of radiation leak. I'm no luddite, but let's get real: we cannot just build fission reactors to solve the problem. We need massive research funding to develop game-changing technologies.

      Last, if replacing all the fossil fuel power plants with nuclear, which are blamed for the majority of CO2 production, what on else earth do you imagine could be done about it?

      I believe I answered this question already: fusion + solar-to-fuel. Those are the only two I know of with the energy potential to solve the problem in a truly safe way.

      --
      Currently hooked on AMP
    8. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Hansen does strongly encourage people to do things.

      In fact, all of his talks and most of his essays and letters to the public and policymakers end with exhorting people to do things, including the very essay we're discussing here.

      Most commonly these call for a tax-and-dividend policy, moratorium and phase-out of coal plants that don't capture and sequester CO2, etc.

      But they don't count because they're not nuclear power and therefore are inferior solutions, right?

    9. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Fusion. I'm all for it. Hope I live to see it (and I have at least 50 years to go).

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    10. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 1

      We need massive research funding to develop game-changing technologies.

      And that's where Hansen and the other scientists who are currently wasting their political capital on carbon trading/caps etc. com e in.

      Regarding the power plants...Do we have a billion fossil fuel power plants going now? I don't think so. So that 15 terawatt figure must include the energy provided by gasoline and diesel to run vehicles.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    11. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Fusion is almost totally irrelevant to climate change, if you consider the time lags involved to (1) continue research to the point that cost-efficient techniques are discovered, (2) develop workable test reactors, and (3) scale them up and deploy them globally on a scale that would represent a significant fraction of the world's energy supply. Realistically that would take you to nearly the end of this century, when we'd already have experienced a large amount of the climate change we're currently hoping to avert. (And will continue to experience, given the long effective lifetime of CO2 in the atmosphere.)

    12. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 0

      They don't count because they are all about changing lifestyles.
      They are about control.
      They are about punishment.
      They are about spending more for less.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    13. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      You are probably right, but not definitely right. Fusion is worth gambling a few billion dollars on if only for the long term payoff. Solar to fuel is really our best hope. I got the idea from Steven Chu and it strikes me as eminently sensible. No new infrastructure needed, inherent carbon neutrality, plenty of available power. There's just the little detail that it doesn't exist yet. :-)

      --
      Currently hooked on AMP
    14. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 2

      Yes, it includes that energy of course; any scheme to combat climate change must. In order to address climate change, we have to move off fossil fuels, right? The good news is that we can continue to burn hydrocarbons, if we create them using solar energy in a pseudo-photosynthetic process. Again, I claim that the biggest impediment (other than that my proposed technology does not exist yet) is that uneducated people think climate change is not a settled "theory," kind of like evolution and the big bang. It's just way too scientific and "out there" to be real. Gotta keep those hamster wheels turning!

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      Currently hooked on AMP
    15. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 3, Insightful

      All of that is paranoid nonsense. Correcting the market distortions introduced by negative externalities by pricing them is a market solution that has been advocated by mainstream economists for nearly a century. I mean really, it's practically Economics 101.

    16. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Fusion could have a long term payoff in terms of energy production, and could be worthwhile on those grounds alone. I'm just saying it won't have much payoff in terms of climate mitigation.

    17. Re:Nuclear by bjourne · · Score: 1

      That's bullshit. Environmentalists have for ages supported investments in public transportation. Basically for every new rail or subway line ever constructed you have had loads of people supporting it. You are the one who have decided to not hear that and all the thousands of suggestions from environmentalists on how to get rid of our oil dependence. The first step is to ensure every city has a functioning public transportation system with high coverage so that people can travel efficiently without having to drive. The second step is to encourage people to use it by lowering fare prices and increasing the price on driving using tolls on congested roads. Employers should get tax rebates if, say more than 20% of all employee time is worked from home. Make it easier for people to live close to work so they dont have to drive 40 km each way every day.

      There are many more ideas out there, practical stuff that can easily reduce carbon emissions. The green movement are absolutely not just a bunch of whiners but are definitely offering suggestions to the problems.

    18. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      I don't agree that you are necessarily correct. There is a chance it will pay off. Assuming your timetable is correct, then yes it's useless, but why does that mean we should not hurry it up but rather give up on it? And honestly, look at the way things are gong right now. EVERYTHING is too late now. We are basically just continuing to pollute at an increasing rate. We aren't going to act until it's painfully obvious there is a problem, as in major catastrophes on a regular basis. By then, the only cure will be taking CO2 out of the atmosphere or just living with the disasters. Most likely we will choose the latter. That's what it looks like to me.

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      Currently hooked on AMP
    19. Re:Nuclear by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      I for one enjoy my lifestyle very much, and would want it to be better, or at least not too much worse. It's not that I "don't like" people's lifestyles (including my own) it's just that I'm worried about their sustainability in various ways.

      A solution to global warming that doesn't involve anyone changing their behavior in any way? Yes, I'm sure people will be more positive to such an approach. I would, too, if I had any delusions it could work.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    20. Re:Nuclear by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 2

      Because nuclear isn't a silver bullet, no matter how often you claim it. France, the country with probably the most experience running a commercial breeder reactor, has still not found a way to make it reliable and economically self-sustaining. Regular nuclear has its own set of problem (yes, even thorium reactors), and ultimately, is also a stop-gap.

      Finally, I think it's hilarious that the carbon tax is now some devilish plot, when in the late 80s and early 90s, was the tool recommended by conservatives and economists as the free market solution to global warming. For anyone wondering who the hell was talking about Global Warming in the 80s: that would be the world outside the US.

      People respond better when you come to them with a solution rather than admonishments, guilt and doomsday predictions.

      And people take your complaints seriously if you don't throw a hissy fit every time the solution proposed has even the slightest negative impact on you.

      On a side note: I find it interesting that over the weekend, anti-AGW comments are regularly upmodded over AGW comments. During the week, however, the inverse is true.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    21. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 0

      I'll type slower this time.

      Your solutions are about changing people's lifestyles. People, including me, will tell you to fuck off and die.

      "My" solution is about harnessing nuclear energy for electricity and also the production of hydrogen to fuel vehicles. You get that figured out and you've killed two birds with one technology, so to speak.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    22. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      We can't realistically hurry it up in any useful way. It would take decades just to deploy on a wide scale even if was available now and made economic sense. It's not. If you want to embark on a crash program, better to ramp up an existing technology that is already in deployment.

    23. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I find it interesting that over the weekend, anti-AGW comments are regularly upmodded over AGW comments.

      Maybe that's because people who have JOBS are on Slashdot during the weekend. During the week it's nothing but a bunch of loser college students and professional protestors who are fresh from drinking the Kool Aid in class.

    24. Re:Nuclear by CodeBuster · · Score: 3, Informative

      Ban? Care to elaborate on this? I know of no bans or even any regulation on where you can live?

      It's called Zoning, look it up sometime.

    25. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      What existing technology will ramp up, Mr. Realist? :-) I don't know what you're talking about there. There is no existing technology that ramps up, that's my point. 15 TW.

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      Currently hooked on AMP
    26. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm sure he will, but so what?
      I currently live in an area where a single large company has 10,000+ employees on the roads every daytime shift change. I've talked to a number of those people as a financial counselor, trying to help them with debt problems, usually the ones with severe, almost impossible debt problems, (and getting paid for it). I focus much more on tax related work than counseling, because so many of the financially strapped cases want nothing but free, painless solutions, and unless I pick cases very carefully, I would get nothing but customers who simply can't be satisfied. At least, anyone who badmouths me because the IRS didn't buy their story that they forgot the dog wasn't human before they claimed him doesn't scare other customers away too much, but I've had cases where I've been badmouthed for, just for example, telling a person with a 28,000 $ a year job and 375,000 $ in credit card debt that no, continuing to pay off credit cards with other credit cards was not going to get them out of the hole.
                In this process, I keep running across people who live outside the city limits and put up with taking an hour or more of bumper to bumper rush hour traffic to get to their suburb every single working day. They give me excuses such as the in city property taxes being too high, and I find out they are spending 2,000 $ a year on gas and such to avoid 500 $ a year in property taxes, plus sending their kids to inferior schools, dealing with the stress of double or triple commute times in a really bad traffic environment, and often getting much poorer services (such as septic tanks instead of a sewer system). I've shown people wherte they can literally cut their costs by 20% or more by moving into a particular location inside the city and nearer their job, or make such a move pay for itself. Often, these people's debt issues are so great such a move would pay for itself in less than a single year. And I've had some of those people literally say "Fuck You". I'm sorry, but at some point, reality is what's doing the controlling. It's not a case of whether I like some people's lifestyles or not - It's a case of reality itself doesn't like those choices.

    27. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Your solutions are about changing people's lifestyles. People, including me, will tell you to fuck off and die.

      That's hilarious.

      If you really cared about nuclear power, you'd advocate a carbon pricing scheme just like James Hansen does. That would make nuclear power more competitive with fossil fuels, because they're being effectively subsidized by the market distortion which ignores their negative economic impacts on the environment.

      For that matter, if you really cared about freedom and not forcing decisions on people, you'd advocate pricing carbon so the market would be aware of its real costs, and could therefore adjust the energy sector accordingly. This could be by ramping up nuclear power, or solar, or decreasing fossil energy consumption, or increasing efficiency, or whatever makes the most economic sense.

      Advocating a particular technology is "picking winners", an anti-market approach. Why do you hate capitalism?

    28. Re:Nuclear by bzipitidoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What are your ideas, other than nuclear? Didn't you say:

      People respond better when you come to them with a solution rather than admonishments

      If the price of gas shoots up, and it will (assuming Peak Oil is correct), everyone would quickly forget their umbrage at being "admonished", as suddenly, solutions would be more important. Plus, it's the other way around. Cheap gas has changed our lifestyles. The car is king to an unprecedented degree. Why do all those changes, and the fact they weren't all voluntary, get overlooked? We've been manipulated into much of the present day design of our cities. We used to have shopkeepers living above their businesses. Is there any good reason that's no longer acceptable?

      One ugly, often unsaid part about all this is status. Car owners like cars because they are a little exclusive. Of course bigger and newer mean higher status. It's such an easy mental shortcut that people like having. Huge parking lots keep unwashed, impoverished pedestrians away from our stores, and that's good because people who don't have cars are more likely to rob! No, of course that wasn't the intention, but people feel that might be one of the effects, and like it. It's similar to the old 55 mph national speed limit in the US. That was passed during the 1970's gas shocks, to save gas, which it does. But then people found it made for safer roads, and some groups tried to keep the national speed limit for that reason.

      You think $4/gallon is high? Try $10/gallon! Blame it on the President all you like. Then when you're done uselessly flogging the politicians and the liberals, greens, oil speculators and whomever else you feel might be responsible, think what you're going to do about it. We'd all be wise to prepare for those times. One thing I've done is switched to a plug in electric mower. No battery that way. The cord is of course the big disadvantage, but you learn to work with it. Everything else about the electric mower is a huge plus. Quieter, more efficient, more reliable and durable, no fumes, instant on/off, lower maintenance, cheaper to operate, lighter, and slimmer. It totally blows away the gas powered mower.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    29. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Existing technology will ramp up to widespread deployment faster than technology that doesn't exist yet, I can tell you that.

    30. Re:Nuclear by chrb · · Score: 3, Informative

      It takes 15 Terawatts to power the world [wikipedia.org] and each fission reactor apparently provides about 1 gigawatt [euronuclear.org], so to furnish 50% of the world's energy needs of today with nuclear, we'd need to build 1 billion nuclear fission reactors.

      Your math is wrong. 15*10^12 / 1*10^9 = 15000 reactors. The estimate I've read is lower, 3000 new reactors over 60 years, i.e. 50 new reactors a year globally, which might be acheivable. See Sustainable energy without the hot air, chapter 24: Nuclear: Mythconceptions

      I heard that nuclear power can’t be built at a sufficient rate to make a useful contribution.

      The difficulty of building nuclear power fast has been exaggerated with the help of a misleading presentation technique I call “the magic playing field.” In this technique, two things appear to be compared, but the basis of the comparison is switched halfway through. The Guardian’s environment editor, summarizing a report from the Oxford Research Group, wrote “For nuclear power to make any significant contribution to a reduction in global carbon emissions in the next two generations, the industry would have to construct nearly 3000 new reactors – or about one a week for 60 years. A civil nuclear construction and supply programme on this scale is a pipe dream, and completely unfeasible. The highest historic rate is 3.4 new reactors a year.” 3000 sounds much bigger than 3.4, doesn’t it! In this application of the “magic playing field” technique, there is a switch not only of timescale but also of region. While the first figure (3000 new reactors over 60 years) is the number required for the whole planet, the second figure (3.4 new reactors per year) is the maximum rate of building by a single country (France)!

      A more honest presentation would have kept the comparison on a per- planet basis. France has 59 of the world’s 429 operating nuclear reactors, so it’s plausible that the highest rate of reactor building for the whole planet was something like ten times France’s, that is, 34 new reactors per year. And the required rate (3000 new reactors over 60 years) is 50 new reactors per year. So the assertion that “civil nuclear construction on this scale is a pipe dream, and completely unfeasible” is poppycock. Yes, it’s a big construction rate, but it’s in the same ballpark as historical construction rates.

      How reasonable is my assertion that the world’s maximum historical construction rate must have been about 34 new nuclear reactors per year? Let’s look at the data. Figure 24.14 shows the power of the world’s nuclear fleet as a function of time, showing only the power stations still operational in 2007. The rate of new build was biggest in 1984, and had a value of (drum-roll please...) about 30 GW per year – about 30 1-GW reactors. So there!

    31. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      So name the existing technology that will ramp up. It doesn't exist. I think I've demonstrated that fission will not, but you perhaps disagree.

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      Currently hooked on AMP
    32. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't realize how wasteful your lifestyle is though? If I want some groceries I go downstairs to the grocery under my apartment building or if I don't want fresh produce but frozen food I walk farther down the street. Being able to go where ever I want without having to pay for gas, looking for and pay for parking, etc. is really freedom. If want to go drunk off my ass I just catch the subway home, don't want to take the subway? hail a cab. It's simple and free. No need to worry about being pulled over and given tickets or fines. Urban life is real freedom, you should try it sometime. Being so far away from civilization that the only way you can get anywhere is by burning up a bunch of oil is not freedom. You are the Saudi's bitch, basically.

    33. Re:Nuclear by dunkelfalke · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Your right to live your lifestyle ends where my right to live my lifestyle begins. This way you get a great big Fuck You if you want to continue to pollute the environment I have to live in.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    34. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      You're missing my point. My point is, no matter what your target is for non-fossil energy sources, that target will be more quickly and cheaply met by anything but fusion.

    35. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      That's an empty claim, because no existing technology can meet the need. Wind, photovoltaic, geothermal, ocean energy, where is the energy? It's only in the sun and in the atom. Fission does not scale. So we have to turn to nonexistent technologies, to research. I'm sorry, but that's the way it is. It would be nice to just 'scale up nuclear power' or something, but you haven't put a real option on the table.

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      Currently hooked on AMP
    36. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      That's an empty claim, because no existing technology can meet the need.

      Look, this is stupid. I didn't say anything about "meeting the need" (presumably replacing fossil fuels altogether). We are going to have SOME non-fossil energy technologies, and ALL of them can be scaled up TO SOME EXTENT. The magnitude of that extent is irrelevant to my argument, which is that fusion power will play essentially no role in whatever energy technologies we end up deploying this century. Increasing solar power by x% (even if x=1% or something trivial) is still vastly more feasible - in costs and timescales - than increasing fusion power by the equivalent amount of energy.

    37. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      That's an empty claim, because no existing technology can meet the need. [...] So we have to turn to nonexistent technologies, to research.

      To sum up: It is even less feasible to meet this century's non-fossil energy requirements with currently nonexisting technologies than with currently existing technologies. It amazes me that you believe otherwise. No matter how much you research some tech that doesn't exist, it's going to take most of this century to deploy it even to the extent that existing "inadequate" technologies are already deployed. It's a matter of infrastructure and business economics, not technology.

    38. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are saying "Dear sir, I understand that you like going where you want to go, when you want to go there, in an independent transportation unit. However, I wish for you to go where I want you to go, when I want you to go there, in a transportation unit of my choosing, at the time of my choosing. If you wish to elsewhere, or elsewhen, you are wrong, and I will make you pay."

      This is the issue he is bringing up.

    39. Re:Nuclear by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      As a scientist, I'm frustrated by the apparent fact that most people don't care about the science.

      Is this a one-sided frustration, or did it bother you when you read the unscientific things said Hansen said in the paper? Things like, "Over the next several decades....California’s Central Valley could no longer be irrigated." I'd love to see his source for that, it's certainly not supported by IPCC report, nor by any science I am aware of (Central Valley rainfall is hugely affected by ENSO, and climate computers aren't able to predict ENSO at all).

      Or what about this fun stuff? "Sea levels would rise and destroy coastal cities. Global temperatures would become intolerable. Twenty to 50 percent of the planet’s species would be driven to extinction. Civilization would be at risk. That's as sensationalist as you get.

      Does it REALLY sound scientific to you? How much different is it than this lovely quote, that "entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.". Sensationalism attracts attention, but is it scientific?

      There's a lot of unscientific behavior all around, and it's extremely depressing to people who are interested in how the environment works. You could do worse than following Richard Feynman, who suggested that if people are not trying to find ways to attack their own ideas, they aren't being scientific.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    40. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      No, I'm making a more general point, mostly in response to his claims elsewhere about emissions policy being "changing people's lifestyles".

    41. Re:Nuclear by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      Anyone who says "Global warming? Let's just go Nuclear!" is, unfortunately, failing to address 90% of the issues. Which is why you'll find those concerned about global warming don't restrict themselves to a single solution.

      If we replaced every coal, oil and gas fired electrical power station in the world with nuclear (but continued to use petrol/diesel/fuel oil/LPG in cars and other motor vehicles), we would still be in a much better position than we are now, greenhouse gas wise.

      I'm all for people ditching petrol for electric, or ditching cars for the bus, but changing behaviours is very difficult. We should still crack on with the (relatively) straight forward bits.

    42. Re:Nuclear by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      Well, you can be as amazed as you like, but there are two flaws to your argument from where I sit. First, you claim that it will take a hundred years to develop and deploy a new technology and I'm curious as to what the basis is for that number -- I think you pulled it out of your ass. Second, you seem to be claiming that is it more reasonable to go with existing technologies which are already deployed but do not address the problem of climate change (remember, that's the real problem), rather than developing new technologies that actually will address the problem. You claim the new technologies will not address the problem, I can see your skepticism, but you do not show how the existing technologies will address the problem. A 1% change is not worth doing.

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      Currently hooked on AMP
    43. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah it sucks being able to tell the heavy manufacturers that he can't put his plant right behind my house.

    44. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      May I never hear the phrase "vote with your wallet" again. There is no phrase that more succinctly represents what is wrong with this country.

    45. Re:Nuclear by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      Fallacious appeal to authority. Having a job has no relationship with understanding AGW.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    46. Re:Nuclear by guises · · Score: 1

      You are the reason people push back and you provide the fodder needed for people to say AGW is all about Control.

      This is the only sensible thing you wrote there. Yes, addressing climate change in a real way is ultimately going to effect the way that people live and that will invariably make some people leap back and say, "Sure I'm all for making the world better, but not if it means I have to do anything." This is why every approach to the problem that has gained any traction so far has been limp-wristed drivel.

      But then you identify yourself as one of those people, claiming that climate change is just an excuse to screw with others... Look, GP gives some cogent arguments for his suggestions. If you're unhappy with them you could respond with something like, "I think the idea of reducing urban sprawl is bad because:"

      What I'm saying is, screaming "Conspiracy!" is not a conversation.

    47. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the US, fuel taxes only pay around 50% of the cost of roads. The rest comes from suckers like me, who commute via bike and live in walkable neighborhoods. Also, suburbs suck. Get on your bike and meet some neighbors, explore your neighborhood. It's nice.

    48. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So, in some cases you may not be able to live on the same block as businesses, but it keeps them all together. It is far more efficient to have all necessary businesses in one location then scattered in every direction.

    49. Re:Nuclear by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      First, you claim that it will take a hundred years to develop and deploy a new technology and I'm curious as to what the basis is for that number -- I think you pulled it out of your ass.

      Come on. Look at fission, a much simpler technology than fusion. That took 30-40 years to deploy after they had working reactors. We're decades away from having a fusion reactor that creates a nontrivial amount of net energy. Hell, look at how long it took to remake the world's economy around even simpler technologies like coal or oil. A good portion of a century.

      Second, you seem to be claiming that is it more reasonable to go with existing technologies which are already deployed but do not address the problem of climate change

      Existing technologies do address the problem. They are displacing some fossil fuel use and will displace more in the future. They just won't displace all of it on the climate timescales, but that's the best we can hope for.

      rather than developing new technologies that actually will address the problem.

      Developing radically new technologies will not address the problem on relevant timescales, because they're even further behind the R&D curve than existing technologies. At best, we could hope for incremental improvements on technology (like more efficient solar cells, or nuclear reactors, etc.) exploiting existing economies of scale, experience with engineering, deployment, and maintenance, etc.

      You claim the new technologies will not address the problem, I can see your skepticism, but you do not show how the existing technologies will address the problem.

      For the purposes of my argument, it is irrelevant whether existing technologies will address the problem. My point is merely that non-existing technologies are even less likely to address the problem than any existing technology.

      A 1% change is not worth doing.

      No point in researching fusion, then.

    50. Re:Nuclear by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      Bullshit.

      In the US fuel taxes pay for 100% of roads AND subsidize mass transit.

      The only way you can claim gas is subsidized it by claiming fuel taxes should pay for 100% of the US military. All businesses count expenses when calculating net profit, so shove that claim before making it.

      I've seen green websites count taxes on fuel that are used to pay for roads as a fuel subsidy. When you are dealing with people that dishonest you have to watch them for Bullshit constantly.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    51. Re:Nuclear by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You are free to 'vote with your feet' and move wherever the fuck you like.

      Net immigration will still be to America from wherever you move. They can have you.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    52. Re:Nuclear by n3r0.m4dski11z · · Score: 1

      "You don't like people's lifestyles and you want to change them..that's Controlling and AGW is the club you are using to achieve it.
      I guarantee you, you will get a great big Fuck You from the majority of people when you take this approach. You will from me anyway."

      It doesnt matter how stubborn you are, you cant stop the train. The environment IS changing. People ALWAYS have to be saved from themselves before its too late. Anti Global climate change people are pretty much the stupidest people i have ever met. "I dont want to change AT ALL, so im just going to stick cotton in my ears". How terribly short sighted and selfish. Grow up. Look at the bigger picture.

      But just out of curiosity, why do you think that people are "pretending" that this is happening? What is the goal here? Do you honestly believe that there is some big conspiracy to "keep america down" or some such thing? I really do not understand this totally backward view some people on slashdot have. You just don't want to feel guilty? and you will damn humanity because of that? How terribly fucking childish!!! GROW THE FUCK UP

      --
      -
    53. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So are you advocating we just allow murderers and rapists to continue murdering and raping? It seems you don't like their lifestyle. That's Controlling and civilized society is the club you are using to achieve it. See how much of a douche you sound like when you grossly exaggerate?

      And for those of you who do NOT have your own best interests in mind (and adamantly refuse to take responsibility for your own inadequacies), the rest of us have two words for that: Natural Selection.

    54. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Well, it's their decision. Maybe they like a bigger house or yard. Maybe the generally lower crime rates attract them to the burbs. Whatever it is, they make the decision because it's their decision to make.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    55. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 0

      I'll just get a head start here and tell you to fuck off and die now and beat the rush.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    56. Re:Nuclear by uncqual · · Score: 1

      I was going to post a comment that included much of this so I'll just add a couple things here.

      People's interests differ. Some people like to tinker and/or express themselves in ways that are often rather incompatible with dense urban living. Obviously the GP doesn't have such interests and likes dense urban living which is fine, but imposing that on others with broader or different interests via public policy is arrogant, bigoted, and narrow minded.

      In dense housing, there are usually many more rules (either your landlord's rules or your condo/town house association rules) than in more suburban or rural settings. These include what you can have outside your unit, what time you must turn your music down/off, when you can do your laundry or even run your dishwasher (or, even requirements that you have rugs on your floors instead of bare hardwood - seriously). These rules interfere, for example, with one's desire/tendency to work eclectic and irregular hours (and therefore to do non-work activities at similarly eclectic hours).

      In dense housing, there's no place to have a substantial garden and/or orchard if you like to grow food. Maintaining your own compost heap on your high rise balcony just isn't very practical. Sure, community gardens exist in some areas, but they are generally inconvenient compared to going out your back door to tend your garden when you have 15 minutes to spare or when the rain let up for a few minutes. And, of course, community gardens are not suitable for growing your own long lived plants like fruit, nut, and citrus trees.

      In dense housing, there's little place for making stuff of any size and/or have multiple maker projects active (some of which are eventually abandoned after sitting and taking space up for months). It's impractical to, on an impulse, buy a mini-lathe (and perhaps mod it) and then a couple days later wake up with a neat idea and wander down to your workshop for thirty minutes before breakfast to make a prototype of your idea.

      Raising kids in a high density urban environment is quite a bit different as well. In suburban and rural settings, you can usually (unless you have Chester The Molester living next door) send your five and six year old into your (possibly fenced) back yard to safely play with minimal supervision for short periods when they need to "burn off some energy". In dense urban settings where one has to rely on communal outdoor play areas, one has to monitor the kids more closely (if, nothing else, to make sure a random eight year old who you've never seen isn't beating up your five year old) and has to escort them through public spaces on the way to the play area that they are not yet competent to safely navigate independently.

      So, yes, for some people who are happy with a structured lifestyle, dense urban living is fine -- indeed, likely preferable as it provides some of that structure they crave in their life. But it's not everyone's goal.

      Ultimately we will need to limit, either explicitly or via evolving of cultural attitudes, world population. There is some limit to our resources and the only answer to the "population problem" can't be to keep packing people closer and closer together and reducing the resources they can use. In reality, the world would be better off with a couple billion well educated and prosperous humans using resources fairly freely (although, intelligently) than with the seven billion we have now (let alone the 9.22 billion in 2075 as projected by the UN).

      --
      Why is there an "insightful" mod and why isn't it "-1"? If I wanted insight, I wouldn't be reading /.
    57. Re:Nuclear by sycodon · · Score: 1

      The AGW crowd is ill served by screeching, wild-eyed nut jobs.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    58. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm... I drink, but I've never had a problem with "getting drunk off my ass" and worrying about getting pulled over and getting tickets and fines. You may want to consult with a professional in the field of alcoholism or check in with your local AA.

    59. Re:Nuclear by SuperGlide · · Score: 2

      Math fail. 15 terawatts = 15,000 gigawatts. So, to provide half of 15 terawatts, 7,500 fission reactors would be required. But what's a factor of 133,333 anyway.

    60. Re:Nuclear by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      ... and way over the top scenarios (50 feet higher eh?)

      Here's what James Hansen actually said about that:

      Canada’s tar sands, deposits of sand saturated with bitumen, contain twice the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by global oil use in our entire history. If we were to fully exploit this new oil source, and continue to burn our conventional oil, gas and coal supplies, concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere eventually would reach levels higher than in the Pliocene era, more than 2.5 million years ago, when sea level was at least 50 feet higher than it is now.

      There's nothing over the top about that statement, just a simple statement about the science as we know it.

    61. Re:Nuclear by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 1

      As a scientist, I'm frustrated by the apparent fact that most people don't care about the science.

      The best remedy for this situation would be a record of successful predictions made by climate models. So far, there haven't been very many successful, substantial predictions that you can point to when people question the science.

      As a result, statements like 50 feet higher is what will happen if we burn all the Canadian oil sands don't really help your cause. They're reminiscent of bullshit like this, which "deniers" will cheerfully throw in your face for the next 100 years. When the battle is fought between breathless hyperbole and proudly-borne ignorance, the truth will suffer all the collateral damage.

      So you need to make fewer sweeping pronunciations like that, and more like, In 19xx we predicted that X would happen in 20xx if Y was done (or not done). X was, in fact, the outcome.

      This is not an unusual or exceptional burden to place on your shoulders -- it's merely the standard that the rest of us have to meet in our day-to-day work.

    62. Re:Nuclear by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      The refrigerator you can buy today, compared to the 1970s, is 3 times as large, and uses a 1/3rd the electricity.

      Any sustainability proposal that begins by assuming people must have less, isn't really a sustainability proposal at all - and besides, any proposal that starts with "people should act different" is already irrelevant. We have a lot of experience with where that road leads us.

    63. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 1

      I would hope that you and those same people are the ones who bitch and moan about gas prices and insist that the government, who, just a minute ago was too controlling, should go secure more cheap oil.

      Because those people deserve a great big Go Fuck Yourself. But I'm sure you're not at all like that.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    64. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 2

      Don't kid yourself - the denialist camp, at all levels, is full of people who fit that description

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    65. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 1

      The problem for the US is how much money leaves the country to pay for imported oil - I believe the figure has been ~ 1B $US per day for years.

      If nukes could replace a significant amount of that oil, building more plants would be a slam dunk. But most of the fuels for electricity generation are locally abundant and very cheap, notwithstanding their deleterious effects.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    66. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Well, it's no longer true of Mexico, which has probably been the single largest source of immigrants, legal or otherwise.
      I believe that will not remain that way for very long, but it's significant that it has happened at all.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    67. Re:Nuclear by Rutulian · · Score: 1

      You don't like people's lifestyles and you want to change them..

      Where did you read that? He didn't say anything of the sort.

      Saying that we need to rethink how we organize our cities (which is true, no doubt) is not forcing a lifestyle on anyone.

    68. Re:Nuclear by AmiMoJo · · Score: 0

      Fuck you. We all have to live on this rock and you can't expect to just do what the hell you like even if it negatively affects everyone else. Society makes all kinds of rules and laws and you just have to accept that because you can't opt out. Sorry but that is the world we live in, and the reality is that you benefit a hell of a lot from the "control" society uses to prevent people from murdering you or dumping toxic shit in your backyard, so when the majority disagrees with you on AGW then you just have to suck it up.

      Anyway, the green movement is about making life better for everyone. Most people don't like pollution, they don't want to live near a dirty coal power station, or a rubbish burner, or main road full of oil burning cars. The problem we have is not that green tech will reduce quality of life, quite the contrary, it is that there is too much vested interest in carrying on with the status quo and maximizing profits by transferring costs. That is where the real control is, the people who hold us back.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    69. Re:Nuclear by coredog64 · · Score: 1

      In most US states, sales tax levied on vehicle purchases and the annual registration fee counts for quite a lot of money. In fact, that's what drove Tim Eyman to propose I-695 in Washington State. One of the arguments against I-695 was that said registration fees were covering other programs, and the loss of those funds would blow a hole in the state budget.

    70. Re:Nuclear by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Two points.

      1. If we are going to embark on such a massive building programme why concentrate on nuclear? Throw those hundreds of billions at renewable instead. Aside from anything else the market for such technology is bigger because it can be exported anywhere in the world and still rapidly expanding, offering a better ROI.

      2. Even if you build reactors at that rate you also need to build infrastructure, fuel them and deal with the waste. You also increase the risk of accidents with every new plant (even if the reactors are safer most accidents happen outside the reactor during fuel handling/storage). Plus some countries just don't have much room for new reactors, e.g. Japan which ran out of suitable sites decades ago.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    71. Re:Nuclear by coredog64 · · Score: 1

      The situation is actually a little less dire than that though. We don't need to replace all 15 Terawatts: Some of that electricity already comes from carbon-free sources (wind, tide, solar, nuclear, hydro, whatever). Second, if you could move to newer reactors, you could cut that number even more. The reactors at Palo Verde, for example, are 1.21GW reactors: That drops the number to ~ 12400. If the AREVA 1.6GW design works out, that's less than 10K total (less what's already renewable).

    72. Re:Nuclear by Thangodin · · Score: 1

      Well said! Political self interest is not the same as rational self interest. I do like my life style, which I try to make as low energy as possible, but I have no wish to starve, live on gruel, or subsist on back breaking labour--all of which are likely outcomes in we do not find an alternative to oil, and if we do not address the challenges of global warming;. The anti-global warming pedants fail to understand that we are trying to preserve their lifestyle, not abolish it, and that we are asking them to make small sacrifices to that end--and that, if they don't, the sacrifices they will be required to make will break them utterly, and will be measured in the blood of their loved ones.

    73. Re:Nuclear by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      I think a big problem with AGW is hypocrisy which royally pisses people off. take Al Gore telling people to take the bus while he farts around in a Lear jet and plays on an indoor ACed basketball court. i don't care if his ideas were right I'd tell him to go fuck himself because he is a giant hypocritical douche.

      That is why we need to tell Al Gore and friends to fuck right off and if anyone is gonna talk to us it should be Ed Begley Jr. The man lives in a little house, drives an electric car to places he can't bike, the man walks the walk. Too many in the AGW camp are living like kings and telling us to eat cake.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    74. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There have been plenty who've been living like that for decades and most people have not been listening. Aside from Ed Begley, there's Bill Nye, Dennis Weaver, Larry Hagman, etc.

      I'm not crazy about Gore being something of a hypocrite but it would be pretty hard, especially when he started, to spread the word without lots of traveling.

      But it seems to me that you're only looking for an excuse, a way to not have to change.

      What's your tipping point - what ratio of AGW-proponents have to be saintly for you to agree to change? 50%? 99.9999%? 5%? Only the rich ones?

      McKibben and Hansen have been walking and talking longer than Gore? Why wasn't that enough for you to change?

      And how quickly would you change? What excuse would you latch onto then to change as slowly as possible?

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    75. Re:Nuclear by Savantissimo · · Score: 1

      "50 feet higher is what will happen if we burn all the Canadian oil sands."
      No, the seas will not rise 50 feet. The wildest estimates are about 8 ft by 2100, assuming 6C expected heating (top of the range, 1C is the bottom) and then far more melting and expansion than IPCC estimates for that amount of heating. The actual projections are more like 40cm, (and that's assuming a doubling in the rate of sea level rise already) but the error bars are huge for both expected heating and resulting sea level rise. 50 feet is many standard deviations outside those bars. It's not going to happen. Even if we burned all the tar sands (which would be a bad idea for many reasons besides warming, and is unlikely to happen), it would take centuries to get 50 feet of sea level rise.

      "15 Terawatts to power the world [wikipedia.org] and each fission reactor apparently provides about 1 gigawatt [euronuclear.org], so to furnish 50% of the world's energy needs of today with nuclear, we'd need to build 1 billion nuclear fission reactors."

      No. No. No. Even assuming your figures, 15TW/1GW = 15,000, not 1 billion.

      From the same Wikipedia article you cited, total fossil fuel use is the equivalent of 4.2e20J worldwide for 2008. That's thermal power equivalent, not electric. If the average nuclear reactor is 1GW electric, and is 40% efficient, that's 2.5GW thermal. The average actual output per plant is about double that, since a plant will have an average of 2 reactors. (Same WP article and links say 0.93TW / 439 plants = 2.11 GW)
      So, say 5GW thermal per plant = .1.58e17J per plant per year. 4.2e20J/1.58e17J = 2658 nuclear power plants or 5316 reactors to replace all fossil fuels, then add back the 439 existing plants=
      3097 plants, 6242 1GWe reactors would replace all world fossil fuel use at current consumption rates.
      (Cross checking with the figure 143,851TWh primary energy for 2008, and using 3GW thermal per reactor (33% efficient), gives 5470 reactors to replace all world energy, so the above calculation is likely an overestimate. )
        (Fossil and Nuclear are 87% of all energy. At most 50% more would replace all the other sources of energy, too, assuming that the others sources are electrical rather than thermal equivalent. -- that's 1/(1 - (1-0.87)/40%)
        4.6x as many would get the entire world up to US levels of energy consumption. 7x as many would do both. 10x as many would support a population of 9.5billion at higher than current US levels for all energy needs.)
      So assuming 10x needed to provide all energy for the future world at US consumption rates,
      30,970 plants, 62,420 1GWe reactors would be the most the world could ever need, and is likely an extreme overestimate.

      Don't claim that there wouldn't be enough fuel for so many reactors, either. The demonstrated energy density of thorium dioxide is 1.6e13J/kg, with nearly 100% burnup. Assuming 5.2e20J current yearly energy use, that's 32,400 tonnes of thorium dioxide per year, or perhaps as much as 10x that in the future. No one knows what the reserves are really because no one wants thorium now - it's a high- concentration byproduct of rare-earth mining, with 600,000 - 3,000,000 tons of high grade ore in just one US deposit. If 5% of the cost of $0.05/kWh electricity went to fuel, thorium would sell for $11,000/kg, at 1/10th which price, 100s of millions of tons would be economically extractable from common granite. We have enough fuel to last for millennia, and the technology to use it.

      "As a scientist, I'm frustrated by the apparent fact that most people don't care about the science. "

      I'm appalled that someone who claims to be a scientist is unable to tell when his figures are off by over five orders of magnitude.

      --
      "Is life so dear, or peace so sweet, as to be purchased at the price of chains and slavery?" - Patrick Henry
    76. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >We've been manipulated into much of the present day design of our cities. We used to have shopkeepers living above their businesses. Is there any good reason that's no longer acceptable?

      Ew, gross. What if he sells food? I'd alert the authorities at once!

    77. Re:Nuclear by rs79 · · Score: 1

      Consider two possible worlds: one where we build thousands of nuclear plants. Another where instead we equip the whole world with solar. Assume ten years and similat budgets.

      Can you forsee any differences? What might disaster scenarios be like in each case?

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    78. Re:Nuclear by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "No, the seas will not rise 50 feet. The wildest estimates are about 8 ft by 2100"

      Yeah but they admitted they were lying about that: http://politics.slashdot.org/story/12/04/25/1325241/gaia-scientist-admits-mispredicting-rate-of-climate-change

      Hansen is known to be a liar.

      Whittlin' down that list of honest "climate scientists" pretty small there.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    79. Re:Nuclear by rs79 · · Score: 1

      ""My" solution is about harnessing nuclear energy for electricity and also the production of hydrogen to fuel vehicles. You get that figured out and you've killed two birds with one technology, so to speak."

      Just ask the birds of Fukishima.

      Nuclear has proven to be not an option, sensibly, it's being deprecated. I assume you folks all know it's been the nuclear industry funding the AGW hysteria all along right? They're even astroturfing right here right now.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    80. Re:Nuclear by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is a necessary evil. Nothing else currently can replace base load power and so nuclear is the only thing we have that can that doesn't contribute to global warming.

      His support for it is based on this.

      400,000 people evacuated and relocated and 1000 sq km of Russia uninhabitable for decades if not hundreds of years is not a viable power source solution. Nuclear can be made 'safer' but never safe enough given the potential dangers of when it fails.

      Yet we are going to need it for another 50-100 years before true renewable sources can be base load viable.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    81. Re:Nuclear by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      The refrigerator you can buy today, compared to the 1970s, is 3 times as large, and uses a 1/3rd the electricity.

      And you can thank California for that :) Government can drive people's activities through regulation, subsidization and taxation.

      Fossil fuels are heavily subsidized through tax cuts and federal highway funds to build/maintain the roads the country uses. Rail? not so much even though it's much more efficient. Tax long haul trucking and put the money towards a modern rail network and you save a LOT.

      Likewise, tax gasoline and subsidize electric vehicles and you start pushing people towards using vehicles that help rather than exacerbate the problem.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    82. Re:Nuclear by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Gore's Tennessee house uses a massive amount of electricity, something people call him a hypocrite for. Yet he generates almost all that energy on site via solar (he had to get a permit to be a power plant his installation was so large). So he is following his own preachings. That indoor AC'd court likewise. If he's generating that AC's power via solar, what's the problem?

      Likewise they called him a hypocrite for buying a 'beach front' house in CA while warning about rising sea levels. The problem? His house is on a 50 foot CLIFF above the water.

      Don't buy into the people calling him a hypocrite when he actually does things that follow his exact preachings if you dig into the details.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    83. Re:Nuclear by hairyfish · · Score: 1

      I dearly want us to stop banning people from living close to the businesses that serve them, as is common in the US. I want to see better use of available infrastructure, such as rail, to provide access to walkable cities from everywhere. I want more fuel efficient vehicles, and I'd like, ultimately, to see lower cost electric vehicles designed to drive the shorter distances that ought to be more common if we rethink planning policies

      The funny part is that the solutions already exist, we just need some Steve Jobs style leadership to pull all the parts together to change the game. We already have this in places like Hong Kong. There's next to no personal car ownership, most transport is by foot or train. Once you replace the small percentage of personal transport with electric, and replace coal power (HK is mostly coal currently) with Nuke, solar and wind your CO2 problems literally disappear.

    84. Re:Nuclear by Vintermann · · Score: 1

      Why do you hate America, hairyfeet?

      Al Gore is not a hypocrite. He's just a very pro-market, pro-capitalism person. He believes - as do by far the most people in the west today - that having money and being willing to use it makes him deserve a couple of things we couldn't possibly let everyone have. Not everyone can have a swimming pool, not everyone can have the right to pollute. In both cases, those who can pay, get the privilege. So what's new?

      The problem with Gore isn't this. The problem with Gore is that under the scheme he proposes, he gets off very cheaply with his excess CO2 emissions. The scheme is also quite vulnerable to corruption.

      Hansen's scheme would be a lot more expensive for people like Gore, due to it being designed not only to sanction polluters, but also to seriously reward those who pollute less than average. It's still a very market-compatible approach. It still very much permits inequalities, in pollution rights as in swimming pool ownership, because contrary to what you may have been told Hansen is not a society-toppling revolutionary either.

      --
      xkcd is not in the sudoers file. This incident will be reported.
    85. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Duh, squiggleslash's point was that at a local pub you walk to/from, you don't have to worry about when you're legal to drive home.
      2. In a ped-friendly urban env, you won't be buying 2 weeks of groceries at a time - you'd make many 5-minute walks to nearby markets and shops to pick up smaller quantities (either from your home, or, gasp, while walking home from the metro station).

      You really didn't _choose_ your lifestyle.
      -TK

    86. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Thank you. But he does fly quite a bit and those emissions are hard to offset. Also, from what I've now been able to find, he's made considerable improvements in the last few years - but, what about before then?

      He's been a believer in AGW for decades - how long has he been working at keeping his emissions low and mitigating his footprint.

      That said, I'm waiting for hairyfeet or some of the other posters who hate hypocrites to respond to my previous post.
      Should be interesting.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    87. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm just saying it won't have much payoff in terms of climate mitigation.

      It might. It is possible to remove CO2 from the air, it's just inefficient and ends up costing more in energy to do it than it's worth.

      If we had plenty of available clean fusion power, it might be worth scrubbing the air.

    88. Re:Nuclear by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      2. In a ped-friendly urban env, you won't be buying 2 weeks of groceries at a time - you'd make many 5-minute walks to nearby markets and shops to pick up smaller quantities (either from your home, or, gasp, while walking home from the metro station).

      That isn't economical....if you buy in bulk and large sizes, you get savings.

      Also, I like to cook...but I cannot shop and cook all week, just no time for it. I buy all my food, usually on Sat or Sun...and I spend a large bit of Sunday, cooking 2-4 different meals and sides....and I put these away to eat on all week...lunch, snacks and dinner. I rarely eat out, I don't do McBurger for lunch.

      I eat better this way, and I have time to go to the gym before work, and come home and bicycle or do whatever I need after work.

      Urban might be good for some...but it would be much more costly for me, and nowhere nearly as convenient.

      At the minimum...I don't think I'd want to be lugging home by foot/backpack/bicycle for a BBQ day on Sat....a 14lb brisket, bag of potatoes for tater salad, cabbage for slaw...and all the beer ,etc to go with it...much less the wood and charcoal for smoking (maybe ribs too if I have friends over).

      And hell...I've talked to friends in the NE in the urban cities....and often their high rise apts won't let them have a grill of any sort...much less an offset smoker like I have for my BBQ.

      I have a choice...I prefer more space, independence and freedom to enjoy my life.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    89. Re:Nuclear by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      It takes 15 Terawatts to power the world and each fission reactor apparently provides about 1 gigawatt, so to furnish 50% of the world's energy needs of today with nuclear, we'd need to build 1 billion nuclear fission reactors.

      What?

      We need 1.5 x 10^13 W
      One reactor can give us 10^9 W

      So we need 1.5 x 10^4 reactors to meet all current engergy needs, thats 15,000 not a billion.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    90. Re:Nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't like people's lifestyles and you want to change them..that's Controlling and AGW is the club you are using to achieve it.

      If people's choices created the problem, then how is it wrong to suggest that changing those choices would solve the problem.

      I don't want to control you. I want you to stop controlling me, which you're doing by fucking up my future with your self-centered choices.

    91. Re:Nuclear by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      You don't solve our transportation by sticking uranium up your car's tailpipes.

      Yes you do. Well not literally, but that's what electric cars are for.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    92. Re:Nuclear by tbannist · · Score: 1

      People's interests differ. Some people like to tinker and/or express themselves in ways that are often rather incompatible with dense urban living.

      Your arguments are counter-productive. You should be all for dense urban environments as long as people are required to live there, which they won't likely be in the lifespan of anyone currently alive. You see the more people are living in the dense urban environments the fewer people are living in sprawling suburbs which is win-win for you. Fewer people living where you want to live means less competition and lower costs for you.

      In dense housing, there's no place to have a substantial garden and/or orchard if you like to grow food.

      That's not actually true. There has been a big rise in urban gardening where certain public property is being turned into gardening centers. Most tower buildings could, in theory, have their roofs turned into garden, for example.

      In dense housing, there's little place for making stuff of any size and/or have multiple maker projects active

      Presumably this isn't true either, if there are other people who share your interests, you could form a co-operative and pool resources to make a builder space, or more likely if it's likely to be profitable someone else will start a business to provide you with the tools and the space. Why go and buy a new lathe when renting it for a few hours is cheaper (or pay a monthly membership to you local makers club).

      Ultimately we will need to limit, either explicitly or via evolving of cultural attitudes, world population.

      That appears to be a problem which will probably solve itself within the century as long as birth rates continue to fall.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    93. Re:Nuclear by uncqual · · Score: 1

      Your arguments are counter-productive. You should be all for dense urban environments as long as people are required to live there, which they won't likely be in the lifespan of anyone currently alive.

      (I assume, based on context, that you meant "aren't" not "are".) You seem to be assuming something here. I currently live in a fairly dense urban area and like some aspects of it and dislike other aspects of it -- I just recognize that it's not for everyone at all phases of their life (I've also lived in much less dense suburban/rural areas). I'm for personal freedom and choice where feasible. If people WANT to live in dense urban areas, they will -- no government intervention or "public policy" or income reallocation from the rural/suburban areas to the urban areas is required, it will just happen.

      That's not actually true. There has been a big rise in urban gardening where certain public property is being turned into gardening centers. Most tower buildings could, in theory, have their roofs turned into garden, for example.

      And you can grow a black walnut tree or an avocado tree or a peach tree which won't produce substantial crops for some years and which have a large footprint on your roof top (or, even in a "community garden")? In a "short" high rise, lets assume 10 floors of residences with an average residence size of 1300 sq ft and another 200 square feet of "public/utility" space per unit (amortized over all the units on the floor) -- or 1500 square feet. Some of the top of the tower roof would be devoted to pool, water tank, utilities - but lets just ignore all that. You have an absolute max of 150 sq feet (15x10 feet) per unit of space on the roof including space for aisle ways between plots -- really not much and certainly not enough for substantial food production or much of a hobby. Pretty much limited to annuals from a practical standpoint -- most other stuff gets too big and is too immobile.

      Why go and buy a new lathe when renting it for a few hours is cheaper (or pay a monthly membership to you local makers club).

      Because I want to use it on the spur of the moment, not have to take a bus or walk 20 minutes carrying materials back and forth. Not spontaneous enough for my taste. Obviously if all I cared about was the "cost", I wouldn't even make anything because a kid in China can make it much cheaper -- but "cost" obviously isn't the reason for well off engineers to make stuff.

      That appears to be a problem which will probably solve itself within the century as long as birth rates continue to fall.

      It is projected to do so -- but at a substantially higher population than now. And, projecting out that far is speculation at best - no matter which way you project. My point is, cramming people into dense urban environments to save on resources just isn't needed if we encourage reduced fertility rates. The couple living the greenest possible lifestyle and having TWO kids ultimately has a VASTLY larger resource foot print than a couple who uses resources freely without regard to the impact on the environment but has only ONE kid.

      --
      Why is there an "insightful" mod and why isn't it "-1"? If I wanted insight, I wouldn't be reading /.
    94. Re:Nuclear by chrb · · Score: 1

      Consider two possible worlds: one where we build thousands of nuclear plants. Another where instead we equip the whole world with solar.

      The difference is that we already have the technology to build nuclear power plants on a scale to power the world. We do not have the technology to build photovoltaic farms to power the world. This situation might change, if the technology develops to a point where solar becomes viable, but it would require some huge technological leaps - perhaps photovoltaic plastics. Providing only 1/4 of UK's energy consumption (pop. 62M) would require more than 100 times all the photovoltaics that exist in the entire world right now. Another quote:

      Fantasy time: solar farming

      If a breakthrough of solar technology occurs and the cost of photovoltaics came down enough that we could deploy panels all over the countryside, what is the maximum conceivable production? ...

      How audacious is this plan? The solar power capacity required to deliver this 50 kWh per day per person in the UK is more than 100 times all the photovoltaics in the whole world. So should I include the PV farm in my sustainable production stack? I’m in two minds. At the start of this book I said I wanted to explore what the laws of physics say about the limits of sustainable energy, assuming money is no object. On those grounds, I should certainly go ahead, industrialize the countryside, and push the PV farm onto the stack. At the same time, I want to help people figure out what we should be doing between now and 2050. And today, electricity from solar farms would be four times as expensive as the market rate. So I feel a bit irresponsible as I include this estimate in the sustainable production stack in figure 6.9 – paving 5% of the UK with solar panels seems beyond the bounds of plausibility in so many ways. If we seriously contemplated doing such a thing, it would quite probably be better to put the panels in a two-fold sunnier country and send some of the energy home by power lines. We’ll return to this idea in Chapter 25.

    95. Re:Nuclear by CptNerd · · Score: 1

      pics or it didn't happen...

      --
      By the taping of my glasses, something geeky this way passes
    96. Re:Nuclear by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Pretty much any talk by Alex Jones about global warming makes my case. I particulary liked when he said "I'm not trying to demonize them but they are soulless vampire commies"

      And Monckton's rants, especially the one on Jones' show when his knickers were all a-twisted after being shredded by John Abraham is a milder case - Jones is hard to top for being over the top.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    97. Re:Nuclear by ultranova · · Score: 1

      It takes 15 Terawatts to power the world and each fission reactor apparently provides about 1 gigawatt, so to furnish 50% of the world's energy needs of today with nuclear, we'd need to build 1 billion nuclear fission reactors.

      Um, what? One terawatt is 1000 gigawatts, so by your numbers we could cover the world's entire energy need with 15,000 nuclear reactors.

      Where on Earth did you get the "1 billion" from?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  27. I don't see a contradiction by khipu · · Score: 1

    Hansen says that tar sands contain a lot of carbon. Duh.

    Obama realizes that Canada is going to exploit this resource no matter what we do, which also sounds correct to me.

    Hansen seems to be shooting the messenger, but that doesn't alter the fact that the message is correct.

    1. Re:I don't see a contradiction by rs79 · · Score: 1

      Actually, first he took money from the messenger, then lied to the messenger, then shot him.

      How do you know Hansen isn't lying now?

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
  28. In context by J'raxis · · Score: 3, Informative

    If we were to fully exploit this new oil source, and continue to burn our conventional oil, gas and coal supplies, concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere eventually would reach levels higher than in the Pliocene era, more than 2.5 million years ago, when sea level was at least 50 feet higher than it is now.

    Let's put this alarmist prediction into context:

    James Lovelock, the scientist that came up with the 'Gaia Theory' and a prominent herald of climate change, once predicted utter disaster for the planet from climate change, writing 'before this century is over billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic where the climate remains tolerable.' Now Lovelock is walking back his rhetoric, admitting that he and other prominent global warming advocates were being alarmists. In a new interview with MSNBC he says: '"The problem is we don't know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books -- mine included -- because it looked clear-cut, but it hasn't happened," Lovelock said. "The climate is doing its usual tricks. There's nothing much really happening yet. We were supposed to be halfway toward a frying world now," he said. "The world has not warmed up very much since the millennium. Twelve years is a reasonable time it (the temperature) has stayed almost constant, whereas it should have been rising -- carbon dioxide is rising, no question about that," he added.' Lovelock still believes the climate is changing, but at a much, much slower pace.

    1. Re:In context by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What does crackpot Lovelock have to do with Hansen?

      How many times does this need to be said. James Lovelock is not, and has never been, a climate scientists. He has no published papers in regards to climate science, and no credible scientist in the field has ever given any credence to any of his extreme disaster scenarios. He has always been out in left field.

      Now he has swung 180 degrees in the other direction, and again he pays no heed to the actual science. Since his ludicrous claims never came to pass, he made his own conclusions that climate change isn't going to be a problem. That's pretty arrogant and egotistical of him, but it fits his MO. He has always been combative with the climate science community.

      He didn't have any credibility before, and he certainly doesn't have any now.

      Now, to put what Hansen said into context, he was not implying that such changes would happen immediately or even within this century. He was saying if we burned the tar sands like we're doing now with oil that eventually we would reach those levels. Given our current burn rate and the acceleration of that rate (and the size of the tar sands) it would probably take until the middle of the next century to burn it all. Then there is about 30-50 year lag between when additional CO2 is introduced and the full effects are present. Then it would take quite a bit of melting before ocean levels +50 feet. So you're looking at least in the 2300-2400 range before something like this came to pass.

      The current worst case scenarios at the moment only have an ocean rise of 1-2m by the end of this century, with most scenarios at the moment projecting sea rise of 1m or less. No credible scientist, including Hansen, is projecting that oceans will rise 10's of meters this century. Nor is any credible climate scientist predicting DOOM for the planet.

    2. Re:In context by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      What does a crazy like Lovelock have to do with serious climate science?
      If you choose to listen to the crazies then climate science looks crazy to you.
      You may want to start listening to sober scientists.

    3. Re:In context by tiqui · · Score: 1

      What does some crazy pope-guy have to do with religion??!?!?!?!?

      That's just hillarious! If I had any power to mod that post, I would have modded it to the maximum and tagged it "pure comedy"

      Everytime one of the AGW charlatans is exposed as a crazy doodle-bug, people who previously fawned over him say "that guy?!?!? he's nutters! why are you listening to HIM!?!?!?!

      Hint: No normal person would have ever HEARD of James Lovelock had it not been for the fact that he and his ideas were elevated to the lofty position he held by supporters of AGW. It would be like a bunch of Catholics shrieking that everybody else was being irrational by associating the Pope with the Catholic Church.

      can't stop laughing at your post... thanks! I needed a lift tonight!!!!!

    4. Re:In context by rs79 · · Score: 1

      No no - we tried saying that when you asked us to believe him and you wouldn't accept it.

      You don't get those two bites at the apple, that is you don't get to hold him up and expect is to believe him and give us a hard time when we point out he isn't a scientist and then use the same argument you rejected back at us when it's point out he, like Hansen, flat out fucking lied. And admits all of his friends did too.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    5. Re:In context by J'raxis · · Score: 2

      Either the globalwarmers are guilty of an "appeal to false authority" for supporting this guy, or now we've got the "no true Scotsman" fallacy on our hands when they're repudiating him.

      Isn't hypocrisy fun? :D

    6. Re:In context by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Either the globalwarmers are guilty of an "appeal to false authority" for supporting this guy, or now we've got the "no true Scotsman" fallacy on our hands when they're repudiating him.

      Isn't hypocrisy fun? :D

      Actually, you can agree with the general idea of someone's statement (the climate is warming and this will eventually have bad consequences for us) and disagree with their specifics without being a hypocrite.
      He may also believe in global warming, but he is quite wrong on specific matters of his beliefs.

  29. Let's just fix this problem by lexsird · · Score: 3, Interesting

    We aren't going to stop using whatever kind of oil we find, obviously. So we need to clean up this carbon out of the air. Classically, nature does this for us but we seem to have overloaded that mechanism. Trees have been the acme of biological agents for scrubbing the air, but we need a new one.

    We need a plant that grows fast, and by growing and producing it's seeds/fruit it consumes a lot of carbon. We have just such a perfect candidate, but leave it to politics to forbid it. I am talking about hemp. Hemp has the bulk and the seed production that will yank carbon out of the air by the scruff of it's neck. It grows small tree tall in a single season and it sucks so much carbon that the seeds are teaming with a hydrocarbon.

    Historically, it's a weed that farmers hate because it leaches soil quickly of nutrients. To me this isn't a problem with modern hydroponics. We have plenty of recyclable products and our own sewer to feed a hydroponic system that would feed these hemp plants. It would process waste and carbon into a plant that has more uses than I can count.

    With hydroponics, lots of real estate that is worthless to build on can be used for hemp patches, piping a rich slurry to feed them, processing our own waste. We don't need to cut into crop lands, hence the "leaching" effect can be controlled.

    Of course there are roadblocks to this solution. The cotton industry has been an enemy of hemp, mostly out of fear that it will replace them. Of course we have the anti-drug crowd that will insist that hippies are going to smoke it. Counters to that are that is creates new industry and innovations from a very "green" resource that is not only renewable, but it helps scrub the air. Everyone wins. Except for the hippies who tried to smoke it, who are wreathing in agony from a "ditch weed" headache.

    --
    Take the Red Pill.
    1. Re:Let's just fix this problem by Broodje · · Score: 1

      This has to be a part of the solution, it is simple, everyone can pitch in, and it just makes sense.

    2. Re:Let's just fix this problem by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      lolol proof that everyone sees every issue as a way to push their own agenda. We're trying to save the world here man, you can't think of something besides hemp?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:Let's just fix this problem by lexsird · · Score: 0

      I'm thinking and you are trolling. Fuck off troll.

      --
      Take the Red Pill.
    4. Re:Let's just fix this problem by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      lol you can't think of any other plant that would be just as effective as hemp at reducing CO2? You can't see how such a plant would be easier to use in implementing your plan, because of obvious political problems with hemp?

      I think you have an interesting proposal actually, but your single-minded insistence on using hemp is laughable.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:Let's just fix this problem by Immerman · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually, while trees and other land-dwelling plants certainly help, just like with oxygen production most of the heavy lifting is done by the oceans - atmospheric CO2 dissolves in the water and gets used by diatoms, algae, and plankton, which then die and carry their sequestered carbon to the ocean floor.

      And when it comes to hemp roadblocks, don't forget the lumber industry which wouldn't be very profitable if hemp replaced wood waste for paper making and other uses, and the pharmaceutical industry which is none too pleased about the panacea of useful compounds found in hemp. I hadn't heard of the nutrient-leaching problem, but I doubt it's much worse than with cotton or other soil-destroying crops and could probably be handled similarly, with fertilizers or intelligent crop rotation. Talk to the folks currently farming it in other countries, I'm sure they've got it all worked out.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    6. Re:Let's just fix this problem by lexsird · · Score: 1

      Now that is something I can work with. At least it isn't "ha ha, you fucking hippy, fuck off".

      Why hemp? I guess it's the outlaw in me that is attracted to it at first. After I seen all of the products it can produce, and the fiber is amazing, I am wondering why we aren't using it? Of course I smoked plenty in my youth, but I learned you can't smoke "hemp". Anyone with any knowledge knows this, so why present it in a bad light? Isn't that kind of lying?

      Moving past the politics, this particular plant has lots uses. I am thinking that if you are going to use a plant for a "carbon sink" you need one that produces something that will hold the carbon. For example with trees, they hold on to the carbon in the form of lumber. This takes quite a while to develop but eventually we harvest the tree, and replace it with another. With hemp there is a faster turn around on the harvest, and there are lots products to be had from it.

      The plant has brutal tenacity and is defined by farmers as a weed. One they aren't too happy to see around because it can eat up crop land nutrients. This is an aggression that should be harnessed by focusing it on processing waste. It also seems easily cross bred with other strains, which has its own merits.

      Frankly, I am disappointed the cotton industry hasn't annexed the hemp fiber into their productions to create something far superior to current synthetics. I digress.

      We need deeper greens on our planet surface it would seem. How much do we burn ourselves by chopping up thick vegetation to replace it with lawn grass? I think we need to look at all energy absorption and heat dissipation mechanics of our ecosystem. Ponder how we fight nature and all of it's plants when we conquer spaces, build on the area, mow it down and seed it with grass. Is grass going to carry the load as well as what it replaced? Think on a larger scale what we have effected and what effect will our changes make?

      Now consider concentrated growths of hemp, monstrously big plants that grow to size in a single year, teaming with hydro carbon filled seeds, all powered by our waste, all the while scrubbing our air. Got a better solution? A better plant option?

      --
      Take the Red Pill.
    7. Re:Let's just fix this problem by rrohbeck · · Score: 2

      The biosphere is mostly carbon neutral. Carbon that gets scrubbed out by plants is released back into the atmosphere by burning or rotting except for the small fraction that is buried (and forms fossil fuel in the long term.)
      Growing trees does not make a difference. Actively burying carbon would (biochar for example) but that takes more energy than you want to think of, so it's more efficient to not burn the carbon in the first place.

    8. Re:Let's just fix this problem by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Now don't get me wrong, I have nothing against the legalization of hemp. I think we should legalize it.

      But if you're looking at plant options, why not malva? It grows like a weed, I mean it is a weed, and it could be genetically engineered to maximize its CO2 sucking properties. Now, I'm not sure that malva is the best plant for sucking CO2 from the effectively, because I haven't done a comparative study of many kinds of plants. But I don't think you have either, at least, you didn't give any indication of that. Which is why it looks like you jumped to hemp to push your agenda.

      Slightly off-topic, the reason hemp doesn't replace cotton is because cotton is soft. Hemp is more like linen. It doesn't have the light, soft feel of cotton. Maybe hemp could replace flax, but I don't see it replacing cotton ever.

      And hippies are cool.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    9. Re:Let's just fix this problem by ChunderDownunder · · Score: 1
    10. Re:Let's just fix this problem by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "Growing trees does not make a difference"

      Nope.

      http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5j2BAdNIG5Q2FJlEdac1l-KXiTSCA?docId=CNG.dfe97e07f144a2d29eb615412e0c12be.a81

      Forests soak up third of fossil fuel emissions: study
      By Marlowe Hood (AFP) – Jul 14, 2011
      PARIS — Forests play a larger role in Earth's climate system than previously suspected for both the risks from deforestation and the potential gains from regrowth, a benchmark study released Thursday has shown.
      The study, published in Science, provides the most accurate measure so far of the amount of greenhouse gases absorbed from the atmosphere by tropical, temperate and boreal forests, researchers said.
      "This is the first complete and global evidence of the overwhelming role of forests in removing anthropogenic carbon dioxide," said co-author Josep Canadell, a scientist at CSIRO, Australia's national climate research centre in Canberra.
      "If you were to stop deforestation tomorrow, the world's established and regrowing forests would remove half of fossil fuel emissions," he told AFP, describing the findings as both "incredible" and "unexpected".

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    11. Re:Let's just fix this problem by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Everything you said is retarded. First, hemp is a heavy feeder. It takes a lot of Nitrogen. Now, you account for that by suggesting hydroponics. The problem with that idea is that if we're not producing a food crop there are other crops which are much better than hemp. Algae springs immediately to mind. We The People spent a great deal of money proving its practicality at Sandia NREL in the 1980s. And you don't need to pump a "rich slurry" to feed it, either; just water, and damned near any water, at that. Indeed, you can use salt water.

      There's nothing inherently "green" about hemp because while you can grow it organically, you can also use synthetic pesticides and fertilizer. But since Algae has none of that shit, it's inherently "green" besides being literally green. You put some water out, you get algae. Done and done.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    12. Re:Let's just fix this problem by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Slightly off-topic, the reason hemp doesn't replace cotton is because cotton is soft. Hemp is more like linen. It doesn't have the light, soft feel of cotton. Maybe hemp could replace flax, but I don't see it replacing cotton ever.

      These days you can make something much like silk from hemp, so the days when hempen fabric was necessarily rough are long over.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    13. Re:Let's just fix this problem by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      If it's truly like silk, that would be amazing.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    14. Re:Let's just fix this problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I said MUCH like silk, it's not as much like silk as silk is. But, and I realize this may be TMI territory, but silk shirts sometimes chafe my nipples when I sweat. Yeah, I said it.

    15. Re:Let's just fix this problem by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Cotton will chafe nipples too. Pretty much any material will. You can put bandaids over to prevent that problem.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    16. Re:Let's just fix this problem by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Cotton will chafe nipples too. Pretty much any material will. You can put bandaids over to prevent that problem.

      Uh, not unless I shave my chest I can't...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    17. Re:Let's just fix this problem by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Sacrifice for the team!!

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  30. It will be mined by readin · · Score: 1

    I hate to say Obama's right, but he's right that the Canadian shale oil will be mined and used regardless of what we do (unless we intervene militarily, of course). From an environmental perspective, it is better that the oil be refined in the US where we can have stricter rules on the refining process to limit pollution. From a strategic perspective we should want that oil coming our direction so we don't need to import so much from unfriendly countries and so that we have a secure supply (and one less supply for China). Obama should have approved the Keystone pipeline a long time ago instead of trying to postpone the politically dangerous decision until after the election.

    I have concerns about global warming but not being heavily immersed in the science I have to made my judgement largely based on how much I trust the people and the motives of the people on each side. I have to say that the pro-warming side lost a lot of credibility with me when they started trying to slander their opponents with the word "denier' (which was before then usually part of the term "Holocaust denier"). Such behavior suggests they feel they can't win a fair debate and have to resort to name calling.

    --
    I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    1. Re:It will be mined by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2

      I have to say that the pro-warming side lost a lot of credibility with me when they started trying to slander their opponents with the word "denier'

      Those on the side of evolution apply the same term to creationists. Do you therefore disbelieve evolution too? Or are you willing to accept, maybe, that labels people use have nothing to do with scientific credibility? Accusations of tribalism aside, is it really a secret even to someone "not heavily immersed in the science" that the scientific literature overwhelmingly supports anthropogenic global warming?

    2. Re:It will be mined by tipo159 · · Score: 1

      I hate to say Obama's right, but he's right that the Canadian shale oil will be mined and used regardless of what we do (unless we intervene militarily, of course).

      I have a bunch of friends in Alberta and a few even work in the oil sands business. Obama is right. Hansen can "call out" Obama all he wants, but it isn't gonna change what the Canadians will do.

    3. Re:It will be mined by Arker · · Score: 1

      I cant speak for the OP but:

      1. Never heard that language used by anyone on my side in an evolution debate. Suspect that's a strawn man.

      2. Don't 'believe' in evolution in any sense that involves faith. I understand it as the fundamental basis of modern biology, an important powerful scientific theory.

      3. The problem with creationists is not any 'disbelief' in evolution (skepticism is fundamental to science) - it's their failure or refusal to understand science at all. Creationism is not a scientific theory, period. It cannot be tested, it cannot be disproven, it is religion, not science. Anyone skeptical of evolution that can put forth an alternative scientific theory is welcome to do so, and would receive a fair hearing with me. I have yet to see anyone do this, however.

      4. The analogy is obviously imperfect, but it would be a better fit to compare the creationists and the global warmers together rather than apart. Scientific fact is never, ever established by a vote or a survey of opinions. Ever. Anyone who thinks it is has a fundamental misunderstanding of science, similar to that of the creationist.

      --
      =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
      Friends don't let friends enable ecmascript.
    4. Re:It will be mined by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Well, what else are you supposed to call a group which when for fifty years has been confronted with ever-stronger evidence that we're causing a problem, continues to deny not only that we're causing it, but that the problem even exists?

      Also, when looking at the dialog I think it's important to distinguish between the four basic camps. The two "core camps" consist of almost every climatologist on the planet in the "AGW is happening" camp, versus most of the largest fossil-fuel companies and pro-business-as-usual corporations in the "There's not a problem" camp. Each core camp then has a much larger secondary camp of everyday people who believe what their respective core camps are telling them. If you want to get at the real issue I think it's important to look at the core camps - the scientists are mostly showing decades worth of research which shows we're causing a problem, while the industry camp is spouting denial and vitriol (alarmists, extremists, etc), and occasionally a little weak research in their favor. Given that the industry camp is funding a massive negative PR campaign that's taken up by their secondary camp, I don't think that it's at all surprising that the scientists' secondary camp starts throwing a certain amount of vitriol back at them. And like I said before.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    5. Re:It will be mined by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the scientific literature overwhelmingly supports anthropogenic global warming

      Is that in dispute? Besides popular straw man rhetoric, of course.

      I thought it was the projected _catastrophe_ from the AGW that was in question. The difference between 0.8 degrees of temperature increase or 6. Those elusive positive feedbacks.

      I deny those, btw. So does the scientific literature. That hypothesis has very little in support for it, and a lot against.

    6. Re:It will be mined by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Denier is a perfectly apt name for the people who refuse to admit reality for political reasons. It's the exact same thing as Holocaust deniers, as unpalatable as it may be.

    7. Re:It will be mined by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Never heard that language used by anyone on my side in an evolution debate.

      Oh come on. Just Google "evolution denier", or search the talk.origins archives.

      Don't 'believe' in evolution in any sense that involves faith.

      That's nice, but irrelevant to my point.

      The analogy is obviously imperfect, but it would be a better fit to compare the creationists and the global warmers together rather than apart.

      If you think the people who debate global warming are more akin to creationists than scientists, you have a fundamental misunderstanding of science (as well as the people who debate global warming).

      Scientific fact is never, ever established by a vote or a survey of opinions.

      That too, is a strawman. Scientific fact isn't established by vote. It is, however, entirely legitimate to bring up the relative balance of scientific opinion on the matter when discussing it with someone who isn't going to sit down and teach themselves climate science.

      I'm a professional physicist. There are all kinds of cranks who claim to have disproven quantum mechanics, relativity, etc. It's can be fun to pick apart their arguments, but at some point, when they say "Deepak Chopra has an argument and you have an argument, and I can't evaluate who's right", it's perfectly reasonable to say "Look, quantum mechanics has been working on and tested for a century, and there's a reason why the scientific community as a whole has come to different conclusions than Deepak Chopra".

    8. Re:It will be mined by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Is that in dispute? Besides popular straw man rhetoric, of course.

      Sure. There are all kinds of people who think there is still huge controversy in the scientific community.

      I thought it was the projected _catastrophe_ from the AGW that was in question.

      Hell, there are still people who dispute the existence of AGW, independent of any "catastrophic" outcomes.

      The difference between 0.8 degrees of temperature increase or 6. Those elusive positive feedbacks. I deny those, btw. So does the scientific literature. That hypothesis has very little in support for it, and a lot against.

      You don't specify what "catastrophe" is supposed to mean. But the scientific literature, as well as the evidence, quite consistently supports the existence of substantial positive feedbacks, in agreement with the IPCC range of 2-4.5 K per CO2 doubling.

    9. Re:It will be mined by Arker · · Score: 1

      Oh come on. Just Google "evolution denier", or search the talk.origins archives.

      Seriously, never heard it, certainly never used it, would have a problem if I did. If you can find some hits for it I would suspect it came in as a contagion from the climatology debate.

      That's nice, but irrelevant to my point.

      I think it is relevant to your post, because you express a problem with *disbelief*. Disbelief is the foundation of scientific thinking, it's a core value, it's not a valid criticism.

      If you think the people who debate global warming are more akin to creationists than scientists, you have a fundamental misunderstanding of science (as well as the people who debate global warming).

      A bare assertion on your part, with no evidence. And if you were in a position to know me, which you are not, you would know that that is simply not true. I cut my teeth on Kuhn, Popper, and Feyerebend.

      Now I shall return your bare assertion with one of my own. If you dont see that the likes of "Mikes nature trick" is what we should expect from creationists, not scientists, then YOU, sir, have a fundamental misunderstanding of science.

      That too, is a strawman. Scientific fact isn't established by vote. It is, however, entirely legitimate to bring up the relative balance of scientific opinion on the matter when discussing it with someone who isn't going to sit down and teach themselves climate science.

      Your accusation of strawman is itself a strawman. I didnt say it wasnt legitimite to bring it up. I said it does not in any way constitute proof. And it doesnt.

      There have been any cases where the vast majority of 'scientists' were unanimous - and dead wrong. This is normal and expected. So any headcount of 'scientists' justifies at the very most a very weak inference, nothing more. Science works on more solid grounds than that, or it doesnt exist.

      --
      =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
      Friends don't let friends enable ecmascript.
    10. Re:It will be mined by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

      Seriously, never heard it, certainly never used it, would have a problem if I did.

      You're young, aren't you?

      Talk.origins has been around since ... the 1980s maybe? At least the 1990s. It was the place for creationism-evolution debates, back when Usenet was the place for Internet discussion.

      If you can find some hits for it I would suspect it came in as a contagion from the climatology debate.

      That's hilarious. Newsflash: the term "denier" is ancient history in Internet debates.

      I think it is relevant to your post, because you express a problem with *disbelief*. Disbelief is the foundation of scientific thinking, it's a core value, it's not a valid criticism.

      The point is that it's stupid to disbelieve a scientific theory on the basis of what terminology people who debate it use.

      If you dont see that the likes of "Mikes nature trick" is what we should expect from creationists, not scientists, then YOU, sir, have a fundamental misunderstanding of science.

      You're conflating one person with an entire field and condemning researchers as a whole on that basis. I thought we we supposed to be arguing about scientific facts here? There's more to climate science than Mike Mann, or the late-Holocene paleotemperature reconstruction community.

      I cut my teeth on Kuhn, Popper, and Feyerebend.

      Oh, an armchair philosopher of science. That's even funnier than an armchair scientist making grand declarations about what science is.

      I didnt say it wasnt legitimite to bring it up. I said it does not in any way constitute proof. And it doesn't.

      Fine, we both agree on that. Nobody's claiming that it is, although that seems to be your straw man representation of "global warmers".

      There have been any cases where the vast majority of 'scientists' were unanimous - and dead wrong. This is normal and expected. So any headcount of 'scientists' justifies at the very most a very weak inference, nothing more.

      In the history of science, there are far more examples of a scientific consensus established over decades being right, than being "dead wrong". (Insofar as theories can be said to be "right", i.e. good approximations.) You just don't read about the boring cases in philosophy or pop-sci books. There aren't any daring scientific rebels who overturned the WKB approximation but driven out of academia for their heresy.

    11. Re:It will be mined by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is the crux of the matter. The warming from CO2 is not sufficient to give the projections they want, so they basically pull numbers out of their ass, tweak both the simulations and the data until they seem to support the conclusion of catastrophe from which they actually started. The positive feedbacks are nowhere to be seen, but negative feedbacks are everywhere in climate.

    12. Re:It will be mined by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "You don't specify what "catastrophe" is supposed to mean. But the scientific literature, as well as the evidence, quite consistently supports the existence of substantial positive feedbacks, in agreement with the IPCC range of 2-4.5 K per CO2 doubling."

      Oh rly?

      http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/12/08/new_model_doubled_co2_sub_2_degrees_warming/

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    13. Re:It will be mined by rs79 · · Score: 1

      If you use terms like "denier" and "reality" you are advocating, not looking for truth and have already made up your mind.

      That's religion, not science. You haven't looked at all of the data.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    14. Re:It will be mined by mpthompson · · Score: 1

      You are being purposely obtuse with regards to the term "denier". You know damn well the term is historically and culturally linked with those that deny the Holocaust and the murder of millions of innocent people occurred in Nazi Germany. Your obtuseness and straw man argument regarding creationism only serves to reinforce the original posters point and detracts from own credibility. However, from the tone of your posting, I suspect you could care less.

    15. Re:It will be mined by Arker · · Score: 1

      You're young, aren't you?

      Age is a relative thing. If we were living in the middle ages, I would be old. Today that's probably not the right word yet, but young is even further off. Does it matter?

      Talk.origins has been around since ... the 1980s maybe? At least the 1990s. It was the place for creationism-evolution debates, back when Usenet was the place for Internet discussion.

      I know talk.origins, I just never wasted much time on the forums. There are some very good articles. I havent been to it recently but the last time I was there I would have only mildly criticised a handful of the articles - for occasional overstatements or mistatements of the sort only a fellow pedant would likely deem worthy of mention.

      The forums? I have no idea. If it is as you say my response is a few levels up the tree already.

      The point is that it's stupid to disbelieve a scientific theory on the basis of what terminology people who debate it use.

      I'll concede that if you concede it's stupid to believe a scientific theory on the basis of a "poll" of scientists, however defined.

      Oh, an armchair philosopher of science.

      I'll grant I can see how that looked like a good shot to take but as a shot in the dark usually does, it's a swing and a miss. I have always insisted that abstractions must never be allowed to float, unconnected to practical/experimental application.

      A physicist has an enviable field in many ways. It's generally possible to experiment properly, at least if you can pull funding. In many other areas grounding your abstractions is more difficult. Philosophy of science is the only discipline that gives one the necessary tools to determine when and how alternative approaches are valid.

      Now you must be aware that climateology is more like, say, anthropology than physics in this regard. Proper experimentation just isnt possible to do in so many cases. (This doesnt mean that NO experimentation is possible, of course. Some of the micro-questions are amenable, but on the macro level, most of what we want to address simply isnt open to experiment.)

      So, very often, instead of running an experiment, it is only possible to analyse historical data. And we must ask, is this scientifically valid? And the answer is a qualified yes. Yes, but. Yes, but only if X, Y, and Z.

      Well in this case a critical qualification is that the raw data MUST be available for others to replicate the analysis. That's a necessary but not sufficient condition for this sort of analysis to have any credibility, any validity, at all. So when we look at the CRU, we find that they are making all these claims to scientific knowledge, but the raw data on which the claims rest? The details of the method of analysis? Those things are hidden, and more than that they have been deliberately hidden, even destroyed, to *prevent* others from being able to duplicate the analysis and question or corroborate it. When we find them discussing how to prevent anyone outside of their own circle of agreement from even getting a glimpse at the basic information needed to evaluate their work independently - it is not possible to conclude from this that their work is scientifically valid. Of course that doesnt prove that their conclusions are wrong either - but it does strip them of any legitimite claim to scientific validity, and indicates what they are doing is more like politics, or religion, than science.

      Also, bear in mind I did say the fit between global-warmers and creationists is far from perfect. One huge difference I see. Creationism, as I mentioned before, is simply not a scientific theory. It isnt even theoretically possible to address it scientifically, it's so far off it's not even wrong.

      On the other hand, anthropogenic climate change per se is clearly not in that category. It is a usable scientific theory, and in principle

      --
      =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
      Friends don't let friends enable ecmascript.
  31. ACLU to the rescue ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ACLU, please step in to protect separation of state and religion. Stop this sect of global warming from trying to influence our government.

    JAM

  32. Hansen is a fraud by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hansen's ex-boss has stated that Hansen is an incompetent fraudster. FOIA requests can't even get the taxpayer funded research data that he says proves something. There is only one reason you hide data! The data is fraud. I can't see how the media and socialist politicians accept the CO2 arguments without seeing the data and without letting the world see the data. There is some real serious criminal activity going on here. And Obama is part of it.

  33. All issues boil down to controlling others. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You are the reason people push back and you provide the fodder needed for people to say AGW is all about Control.

    Isn't that what it comes down to in any and all issues? Abortion, Guns, marriage, wealth, ... you name it....

    And everyone who wants the control has plenty of rationalizations and arugments and rhetoric to justify their position - and the other side basically says "Fuck You."

    I have a solution. I adjust my life and I make investment decisions based upon where I'm seeing things going. And I get a chuckle out of how many people think I'm "rich" and I tell them extactly how I'm living my life to acheive that.

    Nobody wants to give up their "lifestyle" to acheive what I have.

    Their loss.

  34. Overpopulation isn't the problem by Ambitwistor · · Score: 1

    Demographers expect the world population to stabilize by approximately mid-century. Sure, population growth until then will increase CO2 emissions. But it won't increase them nearly as much as previously poor populations industrializing and dramatically ramping up their energy consumption. Rising energy demand in currently developing nations, not rising population, is the real problem.

    1. Re:Overpopulation isn't the problem by BooMonster · · Score: 1

      Demographers expect the world population to stabilize by approximately mid-century. Sure, population growth until then will increase CO2 emissions. But it won't increase them nearly as much as previously poor populations industrializing and dramatically ramping up their energy consumption. Rising energy demand in currently developing nations, not rising population, is the real problem.

      And in order to harness more energy without increasing CO2, we need to...?

      Personally, I think we should take all our nuclear waste that is supposed to be dangerous for 100,000 years, and use it to generate electricity. Also, solar powered residential air conditioners.

  35. Just a thought by sycodon · · Score: 1

    As a scientist, I'm frustrated by the apparent fact that most people don't care about the science.

    When people care about something, they become involved. When they become involved, they ask questions. Sometimes the answers make sense, sometimes they don't. When they don't, they'll call you on it, whether it's valid or invalid. And what do they get in return?

    "You are not qualified"
    "You are a denier"
    "Shill"
    etc.

    For me, I have a real problem wit the whole temperature reconstruction based on tree rings. First, the divergence issue that started in the fifties. No one has an explanation for it. If the trees and temps don't jive now, then why is it valid to say they jived a thousand years ago? Any reasonable person would think that would invalidate the entire correlation between tree rings and temps because you don't know when else there was a divergence.

    And even without that issue, there is the paucity of actual data itself. If tree rings ARE valid temp indicators then they should have tens of thousands of samples from throughout the world. As far as I can tell there are not that many samples. Since these provide pretty much the entire context from which we evaluate todays temps, it makes no sense to rely on such few samples.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Just a thought by wealthychef · · Score: 1

      It's good to ask questions and be skeptical. I think of people as deniers only when they are not willing to look as skeptically at their pet theory that global climate change is occurring naturally, without man made forcings, or that it is not going to have important and dire consequences. Tree rings are not by any means the only basis for thinking global climate change is being caused by man-made forcings -- evidence is pouring in from literally all corners of the earth and across scientific disciplines. So even if the tree ring analysis is flawed, what theory explains the climate change that is occurring? Anyone is qualified to ask questions, but we should be realistic about the limits of our ability to analyze the data and the need to turn to experts in the field. And there are definitely shills at work in this debate. You do not seem to be a shill, I suspect you might be a denier but that's just a nervous twitch on my part, LOL, and neither one of us is probably a climate authority, but I'm not an evolutionary biologist either and I'm sure evolution is occurring and explains what we see in nature very well.

      --
      Currently hooked on AMP
    2. Re:Just a thought by rs79 · · Score: 1

      How would you quantify the natural co2 emissions?

      What comments do you have on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YrI03ts--9I ?

      And what about: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/12/08/new_model_doubled_co2_sub_2_degrees_warming/

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
  36. Global warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Theres no glogal warming , according to serious climatologists.

    1. Re:Global warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Theres no glogal warming , according to serious climatologists.

      Global*

  37. Pay their true cost? by PPH · · Score: 1

    Hansen says that instead of placing a rising fee on carbon emissions to make fossil fuels pay their true costs,

    Pay to whom? There may in fact be legitimate science behind this whole global warming thing. But when we start talking about paying, I've got to wonder who is collecting the money. If in fact there is a relationship between tons of CO2, temperature and sea level rise, then I'd expect my payments to go to buying up land in low lying places like The Netherlands or the Seychelles which will be flooded. But somehow, I doubt that this will be happening. Someone (namely governments or carbon traders like Gore) will be the recipients of these payments. But they incur no actual loss from this hypothetical sea level rise, or coral reef death, or whatever. So, in the final analysis, imposing fees for CO2 production will do little or nothing to compensate the people suffering from these effects.

    And we all know what happens when we hand governments money for free, so to speak. With no obligation to actually compensate the losing parties, they'll just spend it on whatever. And become dependent on CO2 production as a means of revenue, thus undermining the whole justification for the charges in the first place.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  38. Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Theres no global warming according to serious climatologists.

  39. Posting to undo bad moderation by KagakuNinja · · Score: 1

    I agree with everything you said, btw

  40. Lets talk about the money in transportation by h00manist · · Score: 1

    The money is at the crux of the matter. The technology, politics, legislation, public opinion, will all follow once it is decided who gets the money. As I see it, at this point the money basically goes to the auto and fuel industries, and they are behind much of what people are debating about. The people spending the money are mostly disorganized and not aware of the size of their financial outlays, or not seeing many options. If you get together a bunch of companies which spend enormous amounts of money on transportation, and are not profiting from this business, I think we will have a significant lobby group. Supermarkets, stores, consumers, manufacturers, delivery companies, farmers, most businesses simply spend huge amounts just getting their stuff around. They have no option but to pay out for the use of trucks, drivers, fuel, taxes, insurance, and roads, mostly. If a cluster of non-trucks-and-oil companies in big cities get together with city governments to find ways to get rid of their trucks, the traffic, noise, and expense associated with them, that might be successful. Say if 2000 stores in NYC, SF, or London, got allied with city government and some tech companies, to invent some federated-automated-electric-night-truck-drones-delivery system downtown, that might work.

    --
    Build your own energy sources from scratch. http://otherpower.com/
  41. I'm Confused by 10101001+10101001 · · Score: 1

    I really don't under Dr James Hansen's complaint about Obama's statement. It seems pretty clear to me that there are three issues at hand: that climate change exists, that Canada (just like about any other nation*) is more interested in its own short-term economic well-being than its long-term economic well-being, and that if there's any real interest in attacking big issues like climate change there has to be a process in place such that short-term interests aren't allowed to override long-term interests except in real emergencies, for which there should be long-term planning to account for the presence of such issues. When it comes to the Keystone Pipeline, as I understand it, Congress was trying to push construction of it unilateral to any standing policy and process to approve such pipelines and other works.

    If Hansen's issue is with the policy and process, he should make the case to change the policy and process, not attack Obama for trying to faithfully carry out his duty as Executive of the Government. That Obama's hands are effectively tied in that, only able to make the rhetorical comments of the need for long-term change--which he made--, his duty is to approve the Keystone Pipeline iff the proper policy and procedure is followed and to argue against circumventing that process, either for or against that pipeline regardless of his personal feelings, is entirely proper and right. Hansen's real complaint should be against Canada for not having the policy and process in place to allow for the short-term excavation and exploitation of those tar sands, damn the future, and Congress for not only trying to circumvent the current policies and processes but further that those policies and processes, being insufficient, should be modified to accommodate stricter guidelines such that if and when tar shale, sands, etc are excavated and exploited, there won't be a last-minute appeal to try to the consideration of what, if any, government involvement there should be.

    I mean, I know it's fun and everything to attack the President because as he generally has some leeway in how to act when it comes to the law, but do we really want another Unilateral President like Bush, who decides who is or is not a citizen, who is or is not a person, etc and then execute the laws as he sees fit? The whole point of a representative democracy is to have a person that represents you, but clearly a single person as President cannot adequately represent the will of the people. Neither, really, can Congress. Leaning too strongly on the idea of "representative" really just turns the office of President into a four year dictator, and that's clearly undesirable. No, Obama is doing exactly what he is meant to do, to try to speak to the will of the people, even if they're not exactly shouting cries about the environment as loudly right now as they are speaking about the need for jobs. Because, in the end, as much as his words have weight, it's Congress who actually carries out the act of legislation and has the power to have real effect. The President may try to rally the people to direct their Congressmen to act--and to that, I'd readily admit Obama isn't charismatic enough and is failing in that point--, but it's invariably in the hands of the people to effect change. But, I guess it's hard to get Hansen and others to accept that you can't bully a few politicians for the people's own good. And if the people refuse to speak loudly enough, then clearly the people can be fucked over. And since Canada is run under the same sort of system, well, it does little to pretend that Canada isn't just as guilty of being a global warming contributor and failed to meet the Kyoto Protocol--although they finally got around to admitting to it and pulling out of their commitment.

    *Democracies behave this way. Even dictatorships behave this way, although they generally have and are more willing to brutally repress any sort of uprising. Of course, given conditions bad enough, that may not be enough. I can only say I'm thankful I've never had to consider the choice between possible slow starvation, torture, death in police custody, or possible martyrdom in an uprising. I certainly don't think I'd really consider rising up over global warming.

    --
    Eurohacker European paranoia, gun rights, and h
  42. "Hide the decline" by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Informative

    If the trees and temps don't jive now, then why is it valid to say they jived a thousand years ago?

    If you throw out the enitire TR proxy the results are virtually the same as only throwing out the divergent part. This in itself strongly suggests the "good" part of the proxy does indeed correlate well with the average of the other proxies wich in turn correlate with instrumental records and/or isotopic 'clocks'. As you say the TR proxy diverges from the instrumental record after the 1950's, and it's unknown why this is so, but it doesn't change the reconstruction in any meaningful way.

    You should always consult the primary source, especially when the subject is AGW. If you haven't read the hockey stick paper and it's 2005(?) follow up, then do so, they list the proxies and discuss the tree ring problem. Proxy data sets can be found at Nasa's paleoclimate data repository. I think you'll find there are more than a "few samples" in the 3377 TR data sets they have on their books. Yes, data SETS, not data points.

    Speaking of sources, you may want to try running your bullshit detector over the primary source that led you into this well known cul-de-sc of irrelevant trivia.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    1. Re:"Hide the decline" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you throw out the enitire TR proxy the results are virtually the same as only throwing out the divergent part. This in itself strongly suggests the "good" part of the proxy does indeed correlate well with the average of the other proxies wich in turn correlate with instrumental records and/or isotopic 'clocks'. As you say the TR proxy diverges from the instrumental record after the 1950's, and it's unknown why this is so, but it doesn't change the reconstruction in any meaningful way.

      You should always consult the primary source, especially when the subject is AGW.

      Statistics 101 + the scientific method says: You cannot pick and choose part of proxy records because they fit with your preconceived notion of what a positive research result would be.

      (That proxy doesn't just diverge in the late 20th century but a few centuries before that as well. Of course, the fact that tree rings do not correlate well with temperature alone was well known and documented in the paleo field before someone somehow wanted to claim differently. Luckily, all tree ring based hockeysticks have now been falsified and the issue is thus moot. At least if you follow the scientific method)

    2. Re:"Hide the decline" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Proxy data sets can be found at Nasa's paleoclimate data repository.

      Whoa...wait. What are you talking about? All the anti-GW drones keep telling me that the data is locked away in secret filing cabinets and no one has ever been able to do their own research!

  43. Slow to catch on by biodata · · Score: 1

    My geography teacher warned us about it in 1978.

    --
    Korma: Good
    1. Re:Slow to catch on by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      In 1978, the impending crisis was global cooling and the imminent ice age if the government didn't act quickly to raise taxes and implement programs to fight it.

    2. Re:Slow to catch on by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Let me guess, you weren't around in 1978. I was. I recall no such campaign for government to raise taxes and implement programs to fight it.

  44. We're actually going into an ice-age by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There you go. We should stop polluting and raping the planet anyway. Not make a money making thing out of it.
    The whole paying for it thing is hypocritical. It's like hey you can continue the raping if you pay some tax to us.
    So we're all accomplices now.

  45. Hansen is wrong. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    First off, Canada will simply build a pipeline to the west or the east. Not a problem for them. IOW, this WILL be coming.

    Instead, what O SHOULD be doing, is pushing as modified NAT GAS act, along with more money for electric cars and bio-energy.
    The NAT GAS act should be modified to quickly get commercial vehicles as well NG refueling moving as quickly as possible. Instead of 1B a year for 5 years, it should start out at 3B, and decrease .5B each year. Basically, that will spend 10B over 6 years. The money for it should come from a tax on the pipeline.
    Likewise, there should be an increase in spending on bio-energy, in particular, for Joules Energy and other Algae based systems.
    Also, there are means to convert coal into Methane. One of them is Great Point Energy which just got 1B from China. But there are others.
    Finally, a bigger push to instead electric chargers makes sense.

    Now, why do this? Because keystone is NOT about bringing oil/gasoline to America. It is about exporting it mostly to China. Great. China will take this from someplace. Since China uses tariffs (both exports and imports) to fund most of its development, it is time to make use of these products destined for China to also make the west move to a cleaner solution.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  46. now account for the sinks by khipu · · Score: 1

    And that doesn't even take into account carbon sinks. The US still is 30% forested and has 3,000,000 km2 of forests, down from about 5,000,000 km2 preindustrial, busily capturing CO2. For most of its history, the US was almost certainly a net carbon sink, with the switchover probably occurring sometime in the second half of the 20th century.

    The UK is 10% forested and has 24,000 km2 of forests, down from about 200,000 km2 preindustrial. Since the start of the industrial revolution, the UK has probably always been a net carbon emitter.

    1. Re:now account for the sinks by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      And that doesn't even take into account carbon sinks. The US still is 30% forested and has 3,000,000 km2 of forests, down from about 5,000,000 km2 preindustrial, busily capturing CO2. For most of its history, the US was almost certainly a net carbon sink, with the switchover probably occurring sometime in the second half of the 20th century.

      Wrong. Forests are not a carbon sink, they are a carbon store.

      To be a carbon sink forests have to be expanding.

      As you point out the US has lost about 2,000,000 km2 of forest - most of that carbon has gone into the atmosphere.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    2. Re:now account for the sinks by khipu · · Score: 1

      Good points, but US forests were likely growing for much of the past few centuries, because they were not in equilibrium. These days, forests in the US are used extensively for making paper and wood (as opposed to heating), which does result in carbon capture. As for losing forest, Europe is worse: it lost about 8,000,000 km2 of its original forest cover, most of which turned into carbon in the atmosphere.

    3. Re:now account for the sinks by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Good points, but US forests were likely growing for much of the past few centuries, because they were not in equilibrium.

      I still don't get what you're trying to say. Your own figures show that the US forest coverage has declined by 2,000,000 Km2 since pre-industrial times. So the forest has been a net carbon source, not a sink.

      These days, forests in the US are used extensively for making paper and wood (as opposed to heating), which does result in carbon capture.

      No. Most of that paper and wood is either burned after use or goes into landfill, where bacterial decay turns it into methane, then eventualy to CO2.

      The only way for a forest to be a sink is for it to grow (which is of course impossible in the long term), or for the wood to be cut and sequestered somewhere outside the carbon cycle, which is something we have never managed to do.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    4. Re:now account for the sinks by khipu · · Score: 1

      I still don't get what you're trying to say. Your own figures show that the US forest coverage has declined by 2,000,000 Km2 since pre-industrial times. So the forest has been a net carbon source, not a sink.

      It's a lot more complicated than that. American forests were already managed by American Indians when Westerners arrived, including by burning and other means. Management of American forests by Westerners has been entirely different because forests are being used for different purposes (wood, paper, landscape barriers, and "natural" forest).

      I'm not saying that I know definitively how this all works out in the balance (although I suspect the US comes out far better). I'm just saying that someone needs to do the math, and that using current and historical emissions from fossil fuels alone is not sufficient.

      No. Most of that paper and wood is either burned after use or goes into landfill, where bacterial decay turns it into methane, then eventualy to CO2.

      No, obviously not, otherwise landfills would just disappear to nothing over time (or at least to the non-biodegradable plastics), but they don't. In fact, lignin largely doesn't biodegrade in current landfills, and cellulose only biodegrades partially.

      If you wanted full biodegradation to occur, you need to build landfills differently. Of course, if low atmospheric CO2 is your goal, the question is why you would want to. Conversely, we can probably construct landfills such that essentially nothing biodegrades and the carbon is removed from the atmosphere for a long time.

  47. Re:You have to admire him by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    These are the very same lunatics that say they will not vote for Obama because he is not far-left enough for their liking.

    Scary shit.

  48. i say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    eff global warming and climate change numbnuts

  49. Level playing field - an oxymoron by yidele · · Score: 1

    Alternative fuels are unfortunately a sham. No technology or mix of technologies provides even a tenth of the energy output of fossil fuels. Affordability of basic commodities ( plastics) and food production ( fertilisers, without which we could barely feed 4 billion) all depend on petroleum. It's not just energy. The amount of acreage needed to grow biofuels would need to be greater than the total used for food production, and this is WITH synthetic fertilisers made from oil. The whole industrial paradigm is going to rot, a lot of people will have to die before we're anything like 'sustainable' without fossil fuels. Yes, you can help shorten this painful interlude now. Kill yourself.

  50. The Warmer, The Merrier by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    James P. Hogan on Global Warming: http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig9/hogan2.html
    http://www.jamesphogan.com/bb/bulletin.php?id=1171
    http://www.jamesphogan.com/bb/category.php?id=21
    "But even if the recent warming trends were shown to be largely of our own doing, there's more reason for celebration than the panic that we're witnessing. Warm worlds are cheerier, healthier, more secure, and better able to support a richer and more abundant biosphere than cold ones. On land and in the oceans, life thrives in the green equatorial and temperate zones, not the icy higher latitudes. A warmer world would transform the vast wastes of Siberia and northern Canada into forests, gardens, granaries, and habitats, opening up huge areas to accommodate the growing population that some view as a blight, and bring water back to such regions as the Sahara and Middle East, that were once verdant. So, if human activity is capable of making a measurable difference, one would think that a good policy to adopt would be to help things along by using the abundance of energy that the world offers, to increase wealth and living standards generally, and enjoy the environmental benefits."

    The deeper issue is the unfairness that some people benefit from this (Canadians, Russians) while others lose out (islanders, those with beachfront property, those in places where the weather worsens, etc.). Our form of geographical sovereignty and related economics of real estate are not designed to deal with the consequences of global changes from "externalities".
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Externality.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  51. Skepticism... by deesine · · Score: 1

    is looking at the predictions made by climate scientists and the honesty to remark when those predictions fail. Predictions are either accurate or not.

    --

    --
    damaged by dogma
  52. Old Story is No Story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NASA's, though NASA wishes to disown him. James Hansen has been making upsupported extreme claims for almost 30+ years and will not stop.

    In Hansen's latest soap-box rant we hose use the word 'Pliocene'!

    Not a real psychological psychopathic killer show stopper, but a true mind-shift for Hansen.

    Fore as many years as in his 'career' Hansen has denied the existance of an Earth older than 4000 years.

    How's that for denial in the face of a 4.8 Billion year history? Not much and even less for the life calling itself James Hansen.

    LoL

  53. Fuel tax doesn't pay for roads [Re:Nuclear] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    Bullshit.

    In the US fuel taxes pay for 100% of roads AND subsidize mass transit.

    Sorry, but no, they don't. They don't pay for the roads, much less subsidizing mass transit. That was the theory behind gasoline tax, that it would pay for roads, but it turns out to be so incredibly difficult politically to raise the gas tax that at the moment fuel taxes don't come anywhere near paying for roads. They should, but they don't.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  54. Not that much extractible oil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is a huge difference between all the oil in the tar sands and all the economically extractible oil.

    Simons: Impact of burning all Alberta’s oilsands negligible, scientists argue
    "In their paper, Swart and Weaver conclude the impact of burning all the economically viable proven reserve of Alberta’s oilsands — all 170 billion barrels — would be negligible. Burning all the proven reserve between 2012 and 2062, they say, would raise global temperatures by just 0.02 C to 0.05 C."
    http://www.edmontonjournal.com/news/Simons+Impact+burning+Alberta+oilsands+negligible+scientists+argue/6180734/story.html

  55. Climate Blame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Meanwhile, the entire world of SCIENCE and Liberalism and journalism had allowed bank-funded and corporate-run “CARBON TRADING STOCK MARKETS” to trump 3rd world fresh water relief, starvation rescue and 3rd world education for just over 26 years of insane attempts at climate CONTROL.

  56. A particularly job-rich reseach field is... by unassimilatible · · Score: 1

    ...the study of paying people to dig holes and then fill them up again. Of course, the jobs are just what is seen...

    --
    Slashdot "libertarians": Small government for me, big government for those I disagree with. -1, I disagree with you
  57. So your view of science is by unassimilatible · · Score: 1

    that you can make ad hominem attacks on the presenter, and be done with it. Ironic.

    --
    Slashdot "libertarians": Small government for me, big government for those I disagree with. -1, I disagree with you
    1. Re:So your view of science is by haruchai · · Score: 1

      What? Oh, please.

      Did you even bother to check the link? Or did you toss off a quickie one-liner?

      The link is to a critique of one economist by another's rebuttal of a letter published in a popular newspaper written by a bunch of skeptics who are not climate experts.

      What is your "view of science"?

      Sorry, kid. It's economists all the way down.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  58. Pipeline does appear to be a fiery side-issue... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But opposing the oil pipeline seems to address the symptom and not the cause? I agree that they'll find other ways to burn that oil. Hell, they'll probably truck it across the border and use even more oil.

  59. Hansen is unqualified to discuss this by tiqui · · Score: 1

    Everytime a scientist or engineer who is not a "climate scientist" speaks out against anthropogenic global warming, the AGW fanboys (most of whom are not themselves scientists or engineers) flood internet message boards with shrieks that the skeptics are not qualified to speak on the subject because their degrees are not in climate science...

    Hansen has degrees in physics, math, and astronomy...

    He lacks a degrees in the following applicable fields:

    1. Geology

    2. Chemistry

    3. Petroleum engineering

    4. Climate science

    He is, therefore (by AGW fanboy standards), speaking outside his field and his input is not valid.

    Live by the sword, die by the sword

    1. Re:Hansen is unqualified to discuss this by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Hansen is an astrophysicist. He started out by studying radiative transfer of energy in the atmosphere of Venus then moved on to applying it to the other planets including the Earth. Radiative transfer of energy is the primary driver of our climate. He is eminently qualified to discuss the climate.

  60. Problem solved with fossil fules by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We can convert every internal combustion engine to run off of water with modifications. And with no new technology, electrolysis isn't new. And anyone who say's this is not possible, your ignorant, and you have no idea how the universe works.

  61. what would George do? by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    If it was George W Bush, he would have sent fighter jets to bomb Canada's tar sands. So....there's always that extremely logical option, lol.

  62. Re:High-Pressure Asphalt by hoboroadie · · Score: 1

    I told Enbridge not to put their pipe through my yard, wish me luck.

    --
    They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
  63. Bitter Irony by hoboroadie · · Score: 1

    Looking at the projected outcomes of the climate modification program, I invested in land on the Skeena. (Clean, fresh water. I have no idea what you all are planning to drink.) The atoll drowners in China want to pipe pressurized asphalt through my yard so they can finish the job.

    --
    They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
  64. Re:It will be shipped to China by hoboroadie · · Score: 1

    The Deal's been done, I'm just NIMBYing about running the pipe through my yard, when the Fraser Valley is already fucked, er, festooned with pipelines and shit. No one claims to have re-engineered the pipes to handle high-pressure asphalt, and fish still live in my river.

    --
    They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
  65. It is not as simple as your soundbyte by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Some vegetable are simply not the quality you would feed someone with in the first world (3rd world would be another matter) for various reason (pesticide content, sub specie of vegetable not palatable for human, vegetable not fresh anymore etc...) it can be sub standard. But feeding an animal would be OK with it. Furthermore only the big agrare firm feed animals with animal flour and vegetable. Small agrare firm and single private family usually feed them grass, corn rest, wheat stalk (fourage?) and so forth. Here around the beef and sheep feed mostly in summer in field which are improper to other cultivation, and in winter in stable and are fed wheat stalk which were cut during the summer and stocked. *shrug*.

  66. People have the consensus that counts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It’s safe to say that climate change is now driving votes AWAY from the political left, thus proving it was exaggerated political science in the first place. 26 more years of neocon-like CO2 fear mongering will be like handing the keys over to Conservatives.
    1-Even occupy doesn’t support anything that is "CO2" (bankster carbon trading stock markets).
    2-Obama hasn't mentioned the greatest crisis imaginable in two state of the unions.
    3-Climate change denying voters voted in a climate change denying Canadian prime minister to a majority.
    What needs to be done is to somehow rally the millions and millions of people in the global scientific community to join the dozens of climate change protesters to prove their warnings are not exaggerated. Scientists have doomed kids as well.
    Meanwhile, the entire world of SCIENCE and Liberalism and journalism had allowed bank-funded and corporate-run “CARBON TRADING STOCK MARKETS” to trump 3rd world fresh water relief, starvation rescue and 3rd world education for just over 26 years of insane attempts at climate CONTROL.
    “a threat to the planet” –IPCC / Earth Hour
    Need it be said that climate change is now driving votes AWAY from the political left? Even occupy does not support anything that is "CO2" (bankster carbon trading stock markets), and Obama hasn't mentioned the greatest crisis imaginable in two state of the unions. What's worse, a comet hit? And where are the millions of people in the global

  67. Oh boy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How do I filter climate change related topics out of the ./ main page?

  68. City property taxes higher? by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    Are they? Here in Paris local taxes are the lowest in the country, in spite of the largest concentration of services, because of the economies of scale.

  69. Nuclear's impact on the environment by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    The great thing about nuclear's impact on the environment is that it typically mostly happens near the point of use. Fukushima is going to have terrible consequences, but mainly local ones; i.e. it's mainly those people who benefited from it that will bear the cost.

    Contrast with coal burning: everybody gets hit by the carbon bill, even if you don't have electricity.

  70. It's economically self-sustaining by Nicolas+MONNET · · Score: 1

    I don't know where you get the idea that it's not. It pays for itself, and it translates into the lowest CO2 output in the EU.

    The main drawback and the reason why it's being reconsidered is that it's dangerous.

  71. Demise of NASA by billd10 · · Score: 1

    James Hansen is just one of the reasons NASA is fast becoming irrelevant. There will be more funding cuts because the agency lost sight of its primary mission: to explore space and learn about the universe.