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Bill Gates: the Traditional PC Is Changing

Billly Gates writes "Bill Gates, in an interview with Charlie Rose last night, defended the move to Metro-ize Windows 8 and focus solely on the tablet experience (here's the video — tablet talk starts around 28 minutes in). When asked how traditional PC users will react, he explained that the world is moving into tablets, and a new PC needs to have both experiences integrated together. Also, he defended the move to build the Surface while charging his competitors a bundle for Windows 8. He says users have access to both experiences, whether it is a signature Microsoft one, or from an OEM. Is the a sign the desktop is dead or dying?" Gates stopped short of saying the traditional PC is dead, but dodged direct questions about its future. This is a big change to the stance he has advocated in years past.

105 of 552 comments (clear)

  1. Le sigh. by girlintraining · · Score: 5, Funny

    Mobile computing is the future -- just ignore the battery life.

    --
    #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    1. Re:Le sigh. by camperslo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The latest Intel chip will help considerably with x86 battery life.

      It is strange he talks about things being "integrated" when they've announced SEPARATE x86 and ARM tablets. And neither is binary compatible with their gaming platform (PPC).

      Except for Intel probably costing more, why should they need ARM at all? If Intel is now viable for mobile, it would have made more sense to switch the phone to Intel.
      Their eco-system is incredibly fragmented.

    2. Re:Le sigh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Mobile computing is the future

      You say that like it's a bad thing.

      It's not. You just gotta look at it right.

      First, the rise of tablets and the decline of the traditional PC will if not kill Microsoft, at least knock it down to a shadow of its former self. They exist solely because of their monopoly in Windows, and Windows is rapidly becoming irrelevant.

      Second, it's a Star Trek future! Your mobile device will fit in a shirt pocket. It will be able to feed you information through a glasses or even contact-lens HUD. When you need to enter a lot of information or use a large display, it will talk wirelessly to a keyboard and monitor... all from your shirt pocket! Voice commands will also improve beyond where Siri is now.

      The very near future beings shirt-pocket computing more powerful than Star Trek tricorders and communicators. It frees us all from being bound to one spot in order to compute and game and browse.

      The future is bright. Don't sound so glum bro! It's a true integration of computing and life, in a way we've never seen before. The next 10 years during this transition will be exciting indeed.

    3. Re:Le sigh. by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The gaming thing is very deliberately a separate device designed to be a simplified streamlined experience. I'm sort of surprised they aren't doing a 'Windows Xbox' that's actually a fixed spec 86 PC that will then be guaranteed to play particular games.

      The ARM thing doesn't seem to make any sense other than to try and coax Intel into believing there is some serious competition from a different direction than AMD, and hoping they'll innovate (or at least use their fabs to overpower ARM).

    4. Re:Le sigh. by davester666 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Yes, that's it.

      The traditional PC is changing to exactly match how Microsoft envisions it. Don't forget to always carry a stylus with you, because you need it if you are at all serious about creating content.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    5. Re:Le sigh. by viperidaenz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Is that why Metro apps must be built in .net and run on Windows 8 x86, x64 and ARM?

    6. Re:Le sigh. by wvmarle · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The first generation GSM phones also lasted barely a day (and being a phone, for them battery life was even more critical than for tablets/laptops).

      Later generations lasted for weeks - and subsequently battery life disappeared from advertising. Now current-generation smartphones take a serious step back on those battery lives, it's still generally good enough to not be an issue.

      Tablets and laptops now have the battery life issue, but there are plenty of devices already on the market that advertise to last 8-12 hour on battery power alone. Even if in practice it's 6-8 hours, it means we're getting close to full day battery life (12-16 hours is enough for most purposes).

      The display is the biggest obstacle; we need a fast-refreshing reflective colour screen, doing away with the backlight saves heaps of power.

    7. Re:Le sigh. by Alex+Belits · · Score: 2

      No. You just didn't get the memo.

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
    8. Re:Le sigh. by ExploHD · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Obviously English is not his first language; all normal people on here realized what he was trying to say and did not feel the need to point out his mistakes. I'm sure that nobody respects you in life because of your constant need to point out others failures while not listening to what they're trying to communicate.

    9. Re:Le sigh. by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Seriously what COULD the man say "Hey Ballmer is a dumbass but I'm not running the show anymore, sorry?" because if the guy honestly thinks the millions of people that use Windows for something other than tweeting twitting FB shitting social crap is gonna want their desktops to feel like giant smartphones he is seriously fricking stoned! Can you imagine trying to do photoshop, quickbooks, solidworks in that damned social tweety metro crap UI? Hell even MS Office isn't going metro!

      What he doesn't want to admit is what we retailers have known for years, that PCs passed "good enough" at dual cores and when quads, not to mention hexa and Octocores became affordable it went straight to insanely overpowered. The truth of the matter is even businesses don't replace units until they fail simply because, unlike the MHz wars when a 2 year old desktop would struggle to run the latest software, there just isn't a "killer app" that can stress the insane amount of power the average user has. Hell even bottom of the line netbooks like the E350 EEE I have can play L4D and Crysis, its just crazy how much power we have with X86 right now.

      Whether old Bill likes it or not wintel is a mature market and nobody wants WOA so he is just gonna have to suck it up and accept his fate. PCs will still be sold by the millions, they simply won't be bought by most until their last one dies. Their retarded Win 8 strategy is gonna bomb HARD because this is what I have been seeing at the shop only with more frustration and cursing. originally i thought they were going for the teener/tweener crowd but those that played with it in the shop said "I already HAVE a cell phone, this is lame" so if that's the market he's going for it a failwhale.

      Accept it Bill, MSFT will NEVER be king of the hill again. You left the sweaty monkey in charge, who sat on his ass until mobile passed you by, now you have nothing to offer that folks can't get better from Google and Apple. Maybe after Win 8 goes over like a turd in a punchbowl he'll get the clue and get Ballmer to split off the mobile division because frankly that is the only chance they have at mobile, just cut them loose from the Windows name and X86 legacy and hope they can carve a niche like the X360.

      Because if Bill honestly thinks the public is gonna accept some giant icon, touch UI designed flip screening mess on their non touch desktops and laptops I have a magic bean factory he might be interested in, only $20 million Billy!

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    10. Re:Le sigh. by rtkluttz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's all part of the game to KILL PC's. Everyone wants part of the action of devices locked to a captive audience. Metro, Markets... no thanks. I'll retain control of my own devices. If anyone ever creates a tablet device that I don't have to hack to make it mine, then I'll buy into the hype. I just wish more people understood what they are losing with these types of devices.

      --
      Digital is, by definition, imperfect. Analog is the way to go.
    11. Re:Le sigh. by nielsm · · Score: 3, Informative

      Except that they don't. If you write Metro apps in C++ you don't use .NET. If you write them in JScript you don't use .NET. They were careful at the //build conference last year to explain that the WinRT API is native C++ but there is a transparent marshalling layer to the .NET runtime. The host for JScript/HTML apps is presumably also native code that marshals the objects.

      But yes they must run on all the platforms, of which C++ is the only that will need to be built for every platform.

    12. Re:Le sigh. by aaronb1138 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Funny, I played a lot of PC versions of Xbox 1 titles on a Celeron OC'd to 464 MHz, a Geforce 2 MX, though I did have 256 MB RAM. Ran games great on XP.

      Please stop with the FUD and utterly made up garbage.

    13. Re:Le sigh. by jedidiah · · Score: 2

      > there just isn't a "killer app" that can stress the insane amount of power the average user has

      Sure there is. There's Plex, AirPlay, and Handbrake.

      These are the things you use when you have to accomodate the pisspoor performance of an ARM tablet. I am using one of these tools right now to transfer some TV recordings to a mobile device.

      People don't realize just how pathetic ARM is, or they try to shout you down when you bring it up. ARM is like going back to the 90s and that's before people thought "it was good enough".

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    14. Re:Le sigh. by hairyfeet · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I am GLAD you asked that, Mr/Mrs AC, here is what I would do if Bill punt kicked the sweaty monkey and said "Alright Hairy, MSFT is in your hands, fix it" and ya know what? i would.

      1.-While using the same underlying codebase, thus making patches easier and cheaper, I would go back to the roots of MSFT and have the X86 Business and Consumer lines separate again. This would let you try new things with the consumer line if you wish while leaving businesses (and gamers who also tend to not want bling as it sucks framerates) with a more conservative line. Both would get 10 years of support so there wouldn't be any reason for one or the other to get shunned, and I would also make it clear that during this transition Win 7 WILL be sold so companies wouldn't feel like they didn't have choice and neither would consumers. treat the customer right would be job #1 at Hairysoft.

      2.- Split off WinARM which from now on will be called Metro, they will be given their own offices in Austin so that the MS Office and Windows teams won't be bugging them. They would be given a decent amount of cash, told to hire the best and brightest they can find in the mobile field and the ONLY requirements they would have that has ANYTHING to do with Windows and Office is a "it just works" mantra must be kept with regards to easy connection between Metro, Windows, and the X360/720. I would want any consumer to be able to hook any MSFT device to any other MSFT device with as few steps as possible, I would also have a tool free number for assistance if anybody has any trouble in that regard.

      3.- Finally I would probably spin off the entertainment division so we wouldn't end up with any more Zune debacles, it would be headed by the X360 guys and again their ONLY mandate would be "it just works" and the continued use of DirectX so that porting between the systems would be as simple as possible. Visual Studio leads would stay in contact with both entertainment and Metro to make sure that VS would be incredibly easy to build applications for both the new X360/720 and Metro, again with a "it just works" mantra at play. I would also have a nationwide census taken with regards to VS and Office to find out what the pulse is with regards to both and what developers and hardcore office users want and need and we would give them that. Focus on your users and make their jobs easier would be the motto of the VS and Office teams.

      I believe with this strategy I could kill the NIH and PHB bullshit that is infecting MSFT like a cancer and right the ship, making the Hairyfeet MSFT a force to be watched within 5 years, probably less. Instead of focusing on the consumer we would be focusing on the USER while giving the Metro team time and space to create truly great products without being tied down by the Windows legacy, while at the same time insuring that Windows X86 stays the #1 desktop planetwide now and in the future.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  2. Apple? by PPH · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I don't see Apple shoving a grand unified UI down the throats of its tablet, laptop, and desktop users. And I don't see Apple users complaining or getting confused by tablet gestures vs keyboard/mouse operations.

    How about we just standardize on the iPod? Put one wheel on the front of everything and be done with it.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
    1. Re:Apple? by vux984 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't see Apple shoving a grand unified UI down the throats of its tablet, laptop, and desktop users.

      Really? Every time they update OSX it becomes more like iOS.

    2. Re:Apple? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 4, Interesting

      With the magic pad and mouse, Mac users already are familiar with gestures on a desktop OS.

      Yes, we are. And it's taking something that works pretty well on a tablet, and trying to port it over to a larger device. Some times it works, others, not so much. My Magic mouse has features that are kind of cool, but some, like the swipe between pages can be very frustrating, and have to be turned off .

      But it's a weird sort of logic that some people think that what works and looks good on a 4 inch screen is going to be the same as what looks good on a large monitor. For years, computer people have fixated on a monocultural universe. And I dare say it is mostly the Windows people - no insult intended there, but as the largest user base, it's not surprising they think that way. But here we have Gates saying in essence, "Fuck you and how you think it should run! We say it is going to be like this and you will use it!

      I love my pad, and I love my desktop and laptops too. But I sure as anything do not want the Pad and the other devices to have the same look and feel.

      And I feel strongly enough about it that Windows 8 will not be on any of my computers. The Preview edition was enough to tell me that.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    3. Re:Apple? by je+ne+sais+quoi · · Score: 2

      Don't use Lion, do you? It is moving very much in the direction of iOS. Read this article. It is rather inflammatory, but the guys makes an interesting point. There is no VP for OS X development listed in Apple's leadership team after Serlet left. He was the one responsible for OS X versions 10.4-10.6, which were the best ones (IMNSHO). If you spend some time talking with long time OS X users, you'll find tepid enthusiasm for 10.7 at best and worst, rabid hatred. Read the comments in this OS X hint on disabling the new autosave in os x. A lot of people don't like the changes in 10.7.

      --
      Gentlemen! You can't fight in here, this is the war room!
    4. Re:Apple? by MBCook · · Score: 5, Informative

      My parents have a Magic Mouse, and it's kind of nice. Most of the features are turned off, so it's hard to say how great it is.

      But when I got a new iMac at work last year I asked for a Magic Trackpad, and I think it's amazing. I don't think it would work well for running Photoshop, but for non-image work it's great. Over the last few years I've gotten so used to using the gestures on my MacBook Pro to go forward/back in Safari, trigger Expose, and show the desktop. I use the forward/back gesture constantly.

      Being able to do that on my desktop has been such an improvement. When I'm surfing I don't need to reposition the mouse to click on the back button, I can just swipe. When I want to change programs I can just swipe and then click on the window I want. It really is nice.

      --
      Comment forecast: Bits of genius surrounded by a sea of mediocrity.
    5. Re:Apple? by Alex+Belits · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Emails, Facebook posts, sharing photos & videos... they're creating kinds of content.

      No.

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
    6. Re:Apple? by Tom · · Score: 2

      Can't see that.

      They port individual features across the OSes, true. But I've owned iPhones ever since the original iPhone 2007, that's almost 5 years now. My desktop OS X experience hasn't changed all that much. A few features, yes. A few changes to common apps such as address book and iCal, not all of them I applaud. Launchpad is new, but I never use it (Alfred does a better job on an iMac) and it's not forced on you in the least.

      In fact, the main common feature seems to be that the Mac has an App Store too, now.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    7. Re:Apple? by itsdapead · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Really? Every time they update OSX it becomes more like iOS.

      They are pulling over individual features that (mostly) make sense on laptops with small-ish screens and large, multitouch trackpads, plus some cosmetic/layout changes that are not really tablet specific. Most of these features can either be ignored or turned off in Preferences.

      What they're not doing - unlike Microsoft and some Linux distros - is forcing everybody to use the iOS "desktop" with the traditional desktop a second-class citizen. Yes, they've added "launchpad" and "Full Screen" mode (which would be better described as "tablet mode") but you can just ignore them if you have a huge monitor. On an 11" Air, they make sense.

      Plus, Macs are uniquely set up for using gesture-based interfaces - all their laptops have, for some time, featured the biggest, nicest trackpads in the busines (the first time I've not felt the need to carry a mouse around) and, for the desktop, there is the Magic Trackpad (which, provided you turn on the three-fingers-to-drag option, I find excellent for everything short of gaming and graphics work).

      --
      In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
  3. Re:Is the a sign the desktop is dead or dying? by girlintraining · · Score: 4, Funny

    No, it's a sign that /. needs editors.

    Slashdot's editors are actually AIs that battle each other deep inside the Gibson. The stories are chosen by the one that survives 17 rounds of gruelling competition. If you listen carefully, you can almost hear the crunch of cheetos and the pounding techno music as hot girls in glowing costumes introduce the contenders. Malda didn't retire, he just returned to userspace.

    --
    #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
  4. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by MrEricSir · · Score: 4, Informative

    Yeah, running a massive charity that helps eradicate disease around the world and improve education? What a selfish jerk.

    --
    There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
  5. The PC is not dying. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Some people browse the web on iPads now. This is approximately the only piece of evidence I've seen that the PC is "dying".

    We all still have a PC in our office to do real work. People write code, write papers, design things, run simulations, SSH into servers, work with complicated spreadsheets and databases, run custom software applications, etc. When there's any sign at all that most of that work is moving onto tablets, then it'll be reasonable to start saying the PC is dying.

    1. Re:The PC is not dying. by Osgeld · · Score: 2

      and yet with all this cloud shit what are we doing? logging into mainframes to write papers, we just dont call them that anymore

      and just like 27 years ago, we can have the state of the art plopped in our laps and its STILL not fast enough when you need to do something heavy. For example we collect data from a test machine out in the manufacturing line, this thing spits out metric tons of data. I got a brand new top of the line i7 system to gather this data and put it on our internal network, and what am I doing this week? Rewriting the server to improve performance, cause despite nearly a decade large jump in disk, network and cpu performance its still fkin slow!

      (before you get all high n mighty as I know you will, I didnt write the current version)

    2. Re:The PC is not dying. by CajunArson · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually, there are more mainframes in use today than at any earlier point in history... and IBM keeps making sales for new ones (and not just to replace old ones either).

      As a percentage of total installed computing power the mainframe has dropped substantially from the '60s, but they are not "dying" and the whole "cloud" thing is mostly a buzzword ridden version of mainframe computing that just isn't as reliable as a real mainframe.. nothing is new under the sun.

      --
      AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
    3. Re:The PC is not dying. by Bacon+Bits · · Score: 2

      The basic problem is that the screwheads in sales and marketing are looking at Apple's sales figures for iPads and comparing them to their own PC sales. But they're not realizing that tablets are a new market, or they think that they can tap that market by making the PC more like a tablet.

      The basic issue is this:
      1. Everybody who wants a computer and can afford a computer already has a computer. Additionally, computers have been Good Enough(TM) for about the past 5 years, so you're only going to sell a new computer when an old one fails.
      2. Almost everybody who wants a tablet and can afford a tablet does not have a tablet and has never used one either.

      The fundamental problem is that, well, nobody is quite sure what to do with a tablet other than read (not write) documents and read (not write) email. You can kind of access the web (if you just want to view content) and you can view videos from YouTube and some other places that have special apps. You can play the same sorts of games you can play on your phone that make you wish for a gaming controller. However, typing quickly becomes painful. Navigating large documents is unweildly. Annotating them (IMX) is absolutely dreadful. Accessing anything other than trivial content or content specifically designed for the device ranges from cumbersome to impossible. The only real Killer App... is FaceTime. And that can be replaced by Skype if they'd ever make that easier to use.

      I've noticed a couple things about tablets so far:
      1. Nobody gets one as their first computing device. Literally, nobody does this. People get a laptop first, then a smartphone (to replace their cell phone), and only then a tablet.
      2. The tablet touch interface works very well. For some tasks. For one set of tasks, you really miss a keyboard. For a different set of tasks, you really miss a mouse. I've experienced this on any touch interface I've used. Sometimes I just want my iPad to be a laptop. I... haven't ever had the reverse problem on a computer. I've never wanted a laptop to be an iPad except to be more compact.
      3. Of the people I've known so far that own an iPad or tablet that has failed, exactly zero of them are looking to replace the device. They bought the device, owned it a couple years, and found they didn't use it much.

      Now, maybe they can fix these shortcomings, but I'm really not sure I see a long term market for an iPad. I see a niche market, yes, but I will be very surprised if the tablet market doesn't plateau, or if people decide not to buy a second or third tablet. Not unless they find something that tablets do really, really well that nothing else can do.

      --
      The road to tyranny has always been paved with claims of necessity.
    4. Re:The PC is not dying. by Osgeld · · Score: 2

      any datacenter selling a cloud

  6. Re:Winning! by PPH · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yeah, but ....

    Asking Bill Gates about Microsoft's platform direction is like asking Mikhail Gorbachev about the future of Russia.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  7. Re:Winning! by PapayaSF · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Isn't it amazing how Microsoft seems to have been put on the defensive? What a change from not that long ago, They no longer seem to have much strategic vision, and just respond (usually poorly) to Apple's moves. How freaked out they must be now that the iPhone alone makes Apple more revenue and profit than all of Microsoft.

    --
    Q: What does the "B." in Benoit B. Mandelbrot stand for? A: Benoit B. Mandelbrot
  8. Hey, Look! by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's like that time in the 1990s when Bill Gates discovered the Internet several years later than everyone else...

    But it's Bill Gates, so some people listen and think he's said something profound!

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re:Hey, Look! by Billly+Gates · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Bash him all you want but he is a brilliant and great CEO.

      He almost owned the internet too with IE 6 by taking it proprietary and halting to encourage client/server apps instead. Evil for us but great for his company. Balmer was the one who made MS from a tiger to a paper tiger in 10 years since he left.

      Gates was not that slow with the internet. By 1996 he saw how serious it was after spending an all nighter in the computer lab browsing the web with Netscape and seeing how it can be used for apps. No one was even talking about a browser as a platform yet. He had the vision and IE (you may hate the browser today) invented AJAX to win over Netscape.

      Is he right now? I do not know. My guess is he doesn't do much at Microsoft anymore besides lecture Balmer every now and then and focuses on his charity work. If he were still CEO I bet you Windows 8 would not be so hostile to desktop users and METRO would be much better.

  9. What about developers? Real gamers? by Spacejock · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If the PC is dead, what are the developers writing dinky little games and apps for your shiny new tablets going to use? Have you tried designing a gui with gestures? Typing 150,000 lines of code on a touchscreen? Sure, you can attach a bluetooth keyboard and mouse ... as long as the batteries hold out.

    In addition to that, if PC gamers wanted a braindead machine they'd get a handheld or a console. The sort of games I enjoy need a mouse, keyboard and very large screen. Tablets have their place but they're no substitute for a real computer.

    1. Re:What about developers? Real gamers? by Gaygirlie · · Score: 2

      Displays are only a few megabytes each - your average Tegra3 tablet like the $200 Nexus 7 can handle dozens of them.

      Only a few megabytes each? You still use a CGA-screen? 1920x1080 resolution at 32bit colours is already ~7,9 megabytes PER A SINGLE FRAME. At 60Hz that suddenly becomes ~475 megabytes PER SECOND. You could apply some sort of lossless compression but it'd still be well over 300 megabytes of data every second. I would really love to see you driving such over Bluetooth, I really would.

    2. Re:What about developers? Real gamers? by Bert64 · · Score: 2

      I have a 40 ton truck, it can do everything a car can do.. Plus more.
      Why don't you drive to work in a 40 ton truck, or go grocery shopping in one?

      The answer is that a 40 ton truck, just like a PC is massive overkill for the vast majority of typical end user use cases. Sure there are some cases which require the larger more complex device, but for everyday use the smaller device is a better fit.

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    3. Re:What about developers? Real gamers? by Gaygirlie · · Score: 2

      Framerates will suffer some even with compression, but that's not really an issue for this use case.

      Any non-casual gamers or game developers would disagree with you.

      In actual practice 1080p streams just fine to one display at 12 FPS at 50 Mbps (HD movies over 802.11g), so this will be fine for desktop apps with 3-4 similar displays.

      Desktop-imagery is not comparable to movies as in movies there's a lot of content that can be compressed without it affecting visual effect much, but on the desktop there's a lot of sharp lines, text that needs to stay sharp, UI-elements and so on. With lossy compression the image quality would quickly deteriorate to the point of uselessness. Also, you can try lossless compression over the network with e.g. TightVNC: you'll very quickly notice how much it lags and stutters, especially if you're using any Flash-animations, doing web-browsing, or -- god forbid -- watch some video.

      Ergo, neither solution would actually work in practice.

      If not, we move the per-monitor processing to the per-monitor dongle and it's all good because the dongle is more than capable and distributed processing has gotten that good.

      That would entail moving the whole GPU on the per-monitor dongle which would increase their cost and drop your bandwidth down the drain. And you'd STILL have to transfer textures and any client-side rendering to the per-monitor dongle. Ie. that still doesn't solve the problem.

      But again, we're talking about desktop apps where an average of 4 FPS is overkill.

      I'm fairly certain ANYONE doing actual development work, web-browsing or -- again, god forbid -- video would like to disagree with you.

      And yes, 7.9 MB is "a few megabytes". Especially when your phone comes with 1024 or 2048 megabytes of RAM. That's a reasonable measure for a framebuffer. 512MB is 64 8MB framebuffers.

      You're confusing things again. The size of the framebuffers is irrelevant, it's the amount of data to be transferred that matters. Besides, most systems use double- or triple-buffering, plus any additional buffers for textures and vertex data, so you're still off by quite a large margin even on that.

  10. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yeah, running a massive charity that helps eradicate disease around the world and improve education? What a selfish jerk.

    Yeah, running A strongarm for big pharma that pretends to eradicate disease without being able to get into every country where it is an issue because of regressive IP policies and attempt to shape education in a way that results in more sales for Microsoft, using money that he effectively stole from the entire computing industry by illegally abusing a monopoly position in such a way that it held the computing industry back at least half a decade, and probably a whole one? I call that a selfish jerk, but I guess that's just because I own a dictionary.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  11. CAD: I still need a good desktop computer by gemtech · · Score: 4, Interesting

    When I'm designing stuff (mechanical, schematic, PCB layout), I need a desktop computer: good optical mouse, comfortable chair, big monitor, full-sized keyboard, fast/loaded computer. I have tried to do that on a tablet or notebook, it's not even close. I agree with Spacejock, there is no replacement when you need real development.

    --
    Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Albert Einstein
  12. Re:He doesn't get it by Teresita · · Score: 2

    The future isn't PCs, tablets, or phones. It's smart glasses, with blinks and eye movements replacing the mouse. Cross your eyes to zoom. We just need to make sure cars have a safety interlock so you can't drive with your smart glasses on.

  13. Re:He doesn't get it by jmorris42 · · Score: 2

    > Option #4: Amiga OS, BeOS, etc.

    Linux with an alternate desktop is still probably 100x the size of those in installed base and available apps. Problem is nobody big is pushing the alternate desktops and nobody at all is pushing Amiga OS (which doesn't currently run on any available hardware btw) and BeOS doesn't exist at all. Haiku pretty much only runs in virtual machines at the moment because finding physical hardware with working drivers is beyond the ability of all but the hardest of the hard core.

    So a potential refugee from "tablet madness" is going to get a hundred fanboy recomends for obscure choices where support consists of the one hardcore fan and a forum. If Apple announced a clear plan to keep the Mac a Mac (i.e. no DRM lockdown, no forced app store, no touch madness, etc) they could probably even convert me at this point. And I HATE Apple with the heat of a thousand suns. But the choices are disappearing fast and Mac OS is POSIX when all is said and done. But Apple has already telegraphed their intent to do just the opposite so that isn't an option. If Microsoft gets their way with Windows 8 the cheap PC hardware us penguin folk have relied upon is going to get scarce. Dark times are coming.

    --
    Democrat delenda est
  14. Re:He doesn't get it by jmorris42 · · Score: 3, Funny

    > We just need to make sure cars have a safety interlock so you can't drive with your smart glasses on.

    Why? The cars will be driving themselves by then so we will need something to do while travelling.

    --
    Democrat delenda est
  15. Win8 is problematic however you slice it.... by Junta · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The premise that Metro is a forgone conclusion for the way a tablet/phone experience succeeds is a poor one. The market has not shown that to be true. I figure Win8 is their move to try to force the issue and gain some traction by effectively throwing the desktop market under the bus, since they don't have to worry about losing those to competitors by and large (Vista proved that in relatively modern history).

    I've always hated hot corners, and Windows 8 demands they be used a lot. Both in the annoying 'mouse happened to go to a corner of a screen, do something without user 'clicking' anything' and the somewhat more forgiveable hidden UI element to click on and do things. The hotcorners aren't as bad as the 'activities' hot corner of Gnome 3, but I find it a questionable choice, *particularly* in the context of touch interfaces where hot corners don't even have their 'auto-find' aspect that people like so much.

    The jarring difference between 'Metro UI' and Desktop applications is unfortunate. It's especially bad where you have two 'Internet Explorers" that behave very differently. OSX full-screen really did this right, the full-screen app management pretty much let's the apps be the same in windowed and fullscreen mode, and just tweak the navigation/task switching.

    The search feature is 'hidden' (a common theme in the Metro interface) as there is no visual indication of it's availability. For a keyboard user, I consider this minor, but wonder how it plays in a tablet UI, where typically a text field is a cue for virtual keyboard. More annoying is that the search by default hides all but 'Apps' results, meaning you have to note the non-Apps categories count when searching. Worse yet, that summary will auto-hide, leading you with no UI indication of actual results that you actually want.

    All that said, conceptually there is one thing I think is nice about Metro and Gnome 3, the general concept that when you do 'Start' or 'Activities', that the entire screen real estate is dedicated to the action. I kind of prefer Gnome 3's view over the Metro start (the former giving better consideration for task switching rather than just launching).

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    1. Re:Win8 is problematic however you slice it.... by Junta · · Score: 5, Funny

      Not having a touch device, can't comment on how the interface changes, however:

      of course it defaults to apps, since the Start Screen is all about listing and launching apps.

      What I referred to was how I, in Win 7, will type a string in the 'search' and it will highlight "applications", "Files", and "control panel settings" (and probably other things) and present all results it finds, space allowing. In Win8, I wanted to do an update, I typed 'update' to search for windows update. It said no results. I stumbled over that, since "Windows Update" has always shown up there (in fact before Win 8 it showed up as an 'Application'). It took me a minute to realize I needed to click the "Settings Category" to get more results. When I pondered that a bit too long, the side bar even giving me the hint that 'Settings had 9 results' auto-hid, leaving the entirety of my screen real estate dedicated to the task of telling me it found nothing, and hiding the dozen or so hits it got out of site.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
  16. Re:CAD: I still need a good desktop computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You need a keyboard, monitor, mouse... not a desktop computer. All those things will be able to connect wirelessly to your tablet.

    For the few uses that really NEED a desktop, they'll still exist, but will be a niche market and more expensive. They won't die entirely, just like mainframes haven't died entirely. There's still a mainframe market and business. Neither will desktops die, but they won't be used by the masses any more, so the price will rise accordingly as it becomes more and more niche.

  17. Re:Winning! by symbolset · · Score: 2

    He's still chairman of the board.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  18. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For one, the parent was a troll. Get real. Your eagerness to see a socialist around every corner tricked your mind into ignoring the little details that make the troll nature obvious. Secondly, you don't believe in taxation at all, then? There really is not much socialist rhetoric out there in the mainstream press right now...there is just argument about the degree of regulation and tax rates. Again, get real.

  19. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by Voogru · · Score: 2

    The federal government would spend all of Bill Gates money in like a week.

    What's your plan for week two?

    By the way, Bill Gates doesn't actually have all of that money. He has ASSETS which are worth all of that money.

    Guess what? In order to confiscate all of his wealth, you have to confiscate those assets. Except those assets aren’t money, who are you going to sell the assets to? Who’s going to buy the assets if they know that the government could just confiscate them?

  20. Changing? Not willingly. by linebackn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I get it now. He says the PC is changing. Because he (well, Microsoft) is going to MAKE it change. Change to a locked down environment that can only run Microsoft approved OSes. And do things the Microsoft way. And you are going to like it because they will spend bazillions in marketing dollars making everyone think it is the best thing since sliced bread.

    Count me out.

  21. I am really glad there is linux. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 5, Interesting
    May be the PC is changing. And may be this is where money is and this is where highly amortized commodity mass market devices are heading. But I am glad our company kept linux support alive. Our product does heavy duty scientific computing and number crunching. Traditional mainframe/unix support was the mainstay. One by one our platform makers succumbed. Cray fell. Then SGI irix tru64. Then DEC alpha. Then HP-UX. Then Sun-Solaris. We were forced to switch to Windows as the main development environment. They took command line batch build away in Ms-Dev 4.0. We laboriously converted our nice Imakefiles and makefiles and home grown scripts that will build on PC from Imakefiles to vcproj files. Then they brought it back in Ms-Dev, but our Imakefiles and scripts were irrecoverably damaged. We were forced to use mainsoft for porting. Then mainsoft broke up with Microsoft. Some idiot in Remond thought "no executable is going to be built using more than 10000 source files!" And his monkey of a manager approved. Our builds broke.

    Through it all we persevered. A few of us were preaching separating "GUI from kernel" "event driven code from procedural code". And we pulled extra hours to practice what we preached. Fellow developers from MS world randomly included afxwin.h deep inside non graphical kernel library code to add a one line debug statement, broke the linux builds and threw tantrums when called to fix the offending code, "it is working in Windows, so it can't be my problem. You fix it in Linux". We suffered all these indignities and got our product to build and run in Linux all the time. We no longer have a 3 month delay in releasing linux version.

    Now this. Good riddance. Let the windows and its market dominance and its subsidizing the computing platform go chasing the tablets or whatever. Before Wintel monopoly we had 90% revenue fro unix sales, it dropped to 10% at the height, now linux is back up to 40%. If they cram the win-8 interface down the throat or make our software to be sold through appstore or something, our windows version sales will have no place to go but down. Finally sanity will return. We will separate content from presentation. We will separate gui code from non-graphical code. We will separate event driven code from procedure libraries. Vindication at last.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:I am really glad there is linux. by Tough+Love · · Score: 2

      Now this. Good riddance. Let the windows and its market dominance and its subsidizing the computing platform go chasing the tablets or whatever.

      I suddenly realized that Microsoft actually has a useful purpose: they keep PC hardware cheap so I can install Linux on it. Maybe we need them just a little while longer.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
  22. Dear Apple : Please release for generic hardware? by addikt10 · · Score: 2

    Dear Apple :
    Microsoft believes that the PC is dead.
    Would you please go ahead and release your OS for generic hardware?
    Or simply release a mid-tower box. Good enough for me.

    Signed : A Lover of PCs

  23. Fortunately Windows 7 has lots of life left. by xs650 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Windows 7 will soldier on until MS replaces 8 with a useful PC OS. Just like XP did when Vista bombed and MS needed a couple of years to replace it.

  24. You need to re-read that by Dunbal · · Score: 2

    "that the world is moving into tablets" actually means "we want to move the world into tablets".

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  25. Battery life by symbolset · · Score: 2

    We have heard that promise before, time and again. Time for show and tell.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  26. Keyboard or gamepad on shirt-pocket computers by tepples · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The very near future beings shirt-pocket computing more powerful than Star Trek tricorders and communicators. It frees us all from being bound to one spot in order to compute and game and browse.

    One thing I don't see very often on shirt-pocket computers is a keyboard for entering large amounts of text or a gamepad for controlling a video game character. A completely flat touch screen is no substitute, as Intellivision II owners learned in 1983.

    1. Re:Keyboard or gamepad on shirt-pocket computers by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      One thing I don't see very often on shirt-pocket computers is a keyboard for entering large amounts of text or a gamepad for controlling a video game character.

      One thing you often see on shirt-pocket computers is bluetooth.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Keyboard or gamepad on shirt-pocket computers by Rakarra · · Score: 2

      One thing I don't see very often on shirt-pocket computers is a keyboard for entering large amounts of text or a gamepad for controlling a video game character.

      One thing you often see on shirt-pocket computers is bluetooth.

      Sweet, battery vendors will be making a killing.

    3. Re:Keyboard or gamepad on shirt-pocket computers by coastwalker · · Score: 2

      If you are dictating to your pocket fondle slab anywhere near me in my office I will personally shove it so far up your left nostril that your arm wont be long enough to reach it.

      It may interest you unemployed thirteen year olds spending your parents money on all this portable technology to know that you are lusting after entertainment devices. These entertainment devices are designed for one purpose only. That purpose is to ensure that you have the means on your person at all times to pay for content that your feeble brains are addicted to.

      Meanwhile let me as an adult with a job explain to you, that its very nice for Microsoft and Apple to be wiring the world up for the extraction of small payments from everyone and to have the radical (gosh you hipsters are so radical) youth slavering away for mobile products. But there is one slight problem. Us adults with jobs earning the money that you are spending, need to do some work, in an office, on a screen large enough to contain something bigger than a MacDonalds receipt, with a keyboard attached so that we can type away quietly without getting death threats from our colleagues.

      We gave up shite 640x480 interfaces over two decades ago and no amount of trendy hype is going to persuade us that going backwards is going forwards (See Newspeak in George Orwells 1984 for explanation).

      So enjoy your portable sex toys or whatever they represent to you but realize that they are just toys most of the time. Sometimes useful to working travelers and therefore welcome but almost never the tool of anybody who is making money out of other people.

      Mobile = Payment device
      Desktop = Productivity device.

      Did you get that or do I need to tweet it to you?

      --
      Facts are history now plebs have politics for religion on social media.
  27. Backed into a corner by transporter_ii · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We have to put out our own tablet, because our OEMs can't build a competitor to the Kindle Fire and sell it for 199.00 if 80.00 dollars out of that 199.00 is for our OS.

    Microsoft can't release a 700.00 tablet. Anyone going to spend that much money would go for an Apple product. The logical entry point to sell a lot of them is on the low end, and guess what...the OEMs can't meet the low end price point and use Windows 8.

    This may not be the year of Linux, but it could be the year it backed MS into a corner.

    --
    Doctors destroy health, lawyers destroy justice, universities destroy knowledge, religion destroys spirituality
    1. Re:Backed into a corner by Tough+Love · · Score: 2

      This may not be the year of Linux, but it could be the year it backed MS into a corner.

      How could this not be the year of Linux with a million Linux phones hitting the streets a day?

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
  28. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by Teresita · · Score: 2

    Assets, including the source code to EDLIN, DOS 4.0, Bob, Windows ME, and Vista. Knock yourself out.

  29. Re:Winning! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's what happens when you spend too much time defending your market and not enough time 'innovating'.

    Apple didn't just put out more and better hardware, they created a unified approach to handing all their customers a market in a box. The iPhone and iPad apps market, the music on your device(s) market, the internet as a TV show market, the eBooks market...

    BG was a visionary, but you can only get just so much productivity out of your Office employees before the hardware improvements are lost on those who are moved primarily by the ROI arguments. And the web is a great platform to deliver services, but again, how long does it it take before the western world is saturated with sales opportunities and M$ had to start targeting the 3rd or diminishing marginal returns.

    Apple is riding the tide of people who believe that the most portable device that gives them everything, everywhere all the time with slick engineering reliability built in is worth a premium. It's a good thing Steve Jobs came back and rescued us from the inevitable degradation that the Mac clone wars would have ultimately delivered, as evidenced by Microsoft taking back their hardware in an effort to combat the crap that's marketed in the PC world.

    Thanks Steve!

    (I really enjoy my Swiss Army knife of markets in a box!)

  30. Good luck finding affordable Linux HW by tepples · · Score: 2

    Good luck finding affordable hardware on which to run X11/Linux after the economies of scale leave the PC market.

  31. Don't get it by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Where the hell is everyone going that the personal computer has to suddenly become "mobile computing"? I move around more than most people and despite my best efforts, I still can't find anything so freaking important that requires a computer while I'm going from point A to point B. I mean, I really want to justify the price of these tablets, but besides playing a few not-so-good games and watching some movies, it's just shopping and reading. Are any of those things so crucial that the entire world of personal computing has to be transformed into "mobile computing"? The reading thing is nice, but how "mobile" can you be when your battery doesn't even last half a day?

    I hear a lot about how "mobile computing is the future" but I still don't understand the "I'm always on the move" part and I need that computer while I'm moving" part. I mean, I understand it, but not enough that the entire world of personal computing has to change.

    I think what Mr Gates really means is "computers are for shopping, instead of making". I have yet to meet someone who has produced anything meaningful on a smartphone or tablet.

    And does it matter to Mr Gates and the Zombie Steve Jobs that there are still a lot of us who actually want to make things with our computers and would actually like a nice powerful machine with a big screen and full-size keyboard? Maybe a couple of cool interfaces and controllers? A desk full of control surfaces, a variety of interface devices, good sound reproduction and display technology?

    Why is it that whenever one of the god-kings makes a pronouncement like this I seldom feel that the actual desires and needs of consumers are being taken into consideration? It's all about what they want for us - what they think we should have.

    Remember how we were all going to have netbooks? How tablets are the new black? Well, couple years have gone by and they're still just shopping interfaces and metered toys.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:Don't get it by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      How about working on a personal programming project to fill my portfolio while I commute to and from a day job on the bus? That's what I do with my 10" laptop.

      Have you ever done that on a tablet? When Gates is talking about "mobile computing" something tells me that he's not referring to anything with a physical keyboard, OR anything that can open a command prompt.

      "photo manipulation", I do that with GIMP on my 10" laptop.

      I believe you. I have actually done live music and video performances using my laptop. But let's see if Gates' notion of "mobile computing" allows for open source image processing programs or home-brew sound design. I doubt it.

      Remember when everybody thought the iPhone was going to be a "handheld Mac"? Instead, the Mac is becoming the "desktop iPhone".

      Maybe you have more faith in the vision of the industrial elite.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
  32. Re:CAD: I still need a good desktop computer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    yea go fire up solidworks and make something and watch it drag a dell precision with an i7 down pretty quickly, you thing your little pussyfoot P3 era powered tablet is going to get anywhere close to that?

  33. Re:Not Yet! by DeathFromSomewhere · · Score: 2

    Yes because that configuration is so incredibly popular these days. Seriously, do you ever leave the basement?

    --
    -1 overrated isn't the same thing as "I disagree".
  34. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by moderatorrater · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Only on a slashdot discussion of bill gates would you find someone finding fault with curing diseases.

  35. Re:Winning! by Gadget_Guy · · Score: 3, Informative

    This is not a defensive move in reaction to the iPhone at all. Microsoft's move to tablet computing began back in the Windows 3.1 days with Windows for Pen Computing as extensions to the OS. It became a version of Windows in its own right with Windows XP Tablet PC Edition. This was merged into the main OS with Vista and is still part of Windows 7.

    Their efforts to change the user interface to suit the tablet continued with the introduction of the Ribbon in Office 2007.

    With Metro, they have come full circle with their efforts to make their phone interface the same as their desktop interface. Previously they had adapted the phone interface to look like the Windows 95 desktop, including a tiny little start menu (it even ran on the ARM CPU). Now they are making their desktop look like a phone. It was a dumb idea then and it is a dumb idea now, but that is another issue. However, it does show that everything they have done as been consistent long term strategy, and not just a knee-jerk reaction to one Apple product.

  36. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Interesting

    socialism just ensures that we all live in squalor. Just look at the ex-soviet state lifestyle

    Choosing the USSR as an example of socialisim is like choosing Somalia as an example of capitalisim. The scandanavian countries are more socialist than most and they are definitely not "living in squalor". Thing is when you tie yourself to one ideology you automatically throw out all the good ideas from other ideologies which is why US citizens currently pay top dollar for a second rate health system.

    The US system is ideologically afraid that someone will get "something for nothing", so afraid that they spend most of that extra money on an army of accountants that do nothing but try and work out who pays for what and how. In other words it's costing the average US citizen more to exclude each other from health care than it would to bite the bullet and implement a sane system (almost 10X more for a single-breadwinner family of four when compared to Australia's 'solialist' system).

    you don't have a right to another's property without his permission

    Of course not, but there are different definitions of what is and isn't private property. For example it's virtually impossible to amass billions in private property in a Scandanavian country due to the tax regime, meaning it's impossible for the bulk of the nations weallth to be concentrated into a few hands as it is in the US. This doesn't mean you can't be rich in a Scandanavian country, it just means you can't be filthy rich. And lets face it, most people become filthy rich via luck or hereditry, they DO NOT work any harder than the guy who cleans their corporate bathroom.

    I'm no bill gates fan

    I'm a big fan of his philanthropic activities, the guy has put his money where his mouth is and (along with Warren Buffet) has encoraged many other billionaires to make similar pledges. Did he (or any other multi-billionaire) do anything to "deserve" that level of property and power in the first place? - Definitely not.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  37. Other than Xperia Play? by tepples · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's not the architecture as much as the input device. A video game controlled by on-screen buttons on a completely flat multitouch screen gives the player no way to find the buttons by sense of feel. This is true whether the CPU behind the touch screen is x86, ARM, or a freaking 6502 for all that matters. Did device makers learn nothing from the Intellivision II's flat keypad? What would surprise me is if more makers of tablets and smartphones were to introduce gaming models including physical buttons. The only one I can think of right now is Xperia Play by Sony.

  38. Re:CAD: I still need a good desktop computer by symbolset · · Score: 2

    No, he said CAD so he really does need 3 huge monitors. There's a wifi attach that turns the Raspberry Pi into a monitor for your Android tablet now, so multi monitor support next year is not unreasonable. Maybe by then VDI solutions will be up to snuff for him too. Then he still needs the computer, but it doesn't have to be in the way - or even anywhere in particular. Then he can take his CAD workstation tablet workspace anywhere he needs to go.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
  39. I DON'T WANT A TABLET by MpVpRb · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I DON'T WANT A TABLET

    I DON'T WANT A TABLET

    I DON'T WANT ANYTHING LIKE A TABLET

    I don't care if the marketoids think it's the future

    I DON'T WANT A TABLET

    Have I made myself clear?

    1. Re:I DON'T WANT A TABLET by majid_aldo · · Score: 2

      100s of millions of others do and have made their wants known by purchasing a tablet.

      --
      --- widget evolution: enhanced, plus, super, ultra, extreme, exxxtreme, ultra-extreme, ..etc.
  40. Windows Mojave by tepples · · Score: 2

    Most [iPad] users aren't creating dissertations of 30 page Excel spreadsheets, but they are creating something.

    The problem comes when someone owns an iPad and no PC, realizes he wants to do something creative that would be far more difficult on an iPad if not impossible, but has no money for a PC. Ideally, he should have bought a PC in the first place. For example, I often run into needing to do some scripting to analyze various data so that I can incorporate the analysis into a document. An iPad in a keyboard case wouldn't work for that because of Apple's policies. So I carry a 10" laptop instead.

    Windows 8 is a hell of a gamble. It wouldn't surprise me if it ended up like OS X 10.0: shows promise, is ultimately too flawed to use. But when Windows 8 OSR 2 (or whatever) comes out with a few tweaks, it might work quite well.

    Likewise, Windows Vista Service Pack 1 was enjoyable, but Windows Vista RTM had already tarnished the Windows Vista brand that Microsoft needed to rebrand SP1 as "Mojave".

  41. He's right. by Spit · · Score: 2

    Gates isn't saying that we'll all be using tablets, but that for the vast majority of users, convergent devices are more convenient and suitable.

    Workstations will become niche as per servers, but they will remain. The trend started half a decade ago when notebooks started outselling desktop PCs.

    --
    POKE 36879,8
    1. Re:He's right. by Tough+Love · · Score: 2

      Gates isn't saying that we'll all be using tablets, but that for the vast majority of users, convergent devices are more convenient and suitable.

      Bill Gates' predictions have an illustrious history of nearly perfect negative correlation with actual trends since the mid nineties.

      --
      When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
  42. Secure Boot by tepples · · Score: 2

    in the mid-80s. Microsoft gained its dominance through economies of scale in the HW market. It will happen again if MS goes down that path.

    In the mid-1980s, there was nothing in the PC market comparable to the Secure Boot with no custom mode and no disable that Microsoft is requiring on ARM tablets.

  43. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by MrEricSir · · Score: 2

    The computer industry: more important than not dying of deadly diseases. Who knew?

    --
    There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
  44. Superior technology don't always win by k(wi)r(kipedia) · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If the PC is dead [...]

    I think this is what you call a figure of speech. It encapsulates in a few words what will probably take a paragraph or more of explanation. Perhaps it's better phrased as "the PC is dying" or more prosaically: "The phenomenal growth in the market for personal computers is levelling off and is expected to go down. It's even possible that the total number of PCs will go down in the near future."

    So is the PC dying? What we have are a few indisputable trends. There are now more cellphones in the planet than there are PCs. The percentage of cellphones that can somehow connect to the Net are increasing. Smartphones today are more powerful than the typical desktop from the Windows 95 era, arguably the turning point when the PC migrated from the office to colonize the home market.

    The only thing missing for the smartphone to replace the PC is the consistent ability to connect to input-output devices that are taken for granted in the PC world. Support for keyboards and external pointing devices is iffy at best. Support for printers and large monitors is even more dismal. But these issues are being addressed (some of the pricier smartphones now have HDMI output).

    Developers and hardcore gamers don't count in the post-PC world. Developers weren't a large breed to begin with. For them the PC will become a niche product, just like mainframes. Hardcore gamers will always have their consoles.

    Yes, the tablet is no substitute for a real PC. But superior technology don't always win out. Microsoft should know this better than any other gigantic tech company.

    1. Re:Superior technology don't always win by jez9999 · · Score: 2

      This all comes down to what you define a PC as. If you're talking about the form factor of the hardware that humans don't need to interact with then, sure, maybe it will become the size of a grain of sand one day. However, I think it's a pretty safe bet that if you're talking about a PC as consisting of certain human interface devices (a real keyboard, a real mouse, a good sized monitor), they're *never ever* going to be replaced by a tablet because they're fundamentally more human-ergonomic for many computing tasks, and the human body can't be upgraded quite as easily as computer hardware.

  45. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by capt_mulch · · Score: 2

    What, like that really bad Windows disease?

  46. Socialism's biggest mistake by k(wi)r(kipedia) · · Score: 2

    Choosing the USSR as an example of socialisim is like choosing Somalia as an example of capitalisim..

    The invention of the term "dictatorship of the proletariat" is perhaps the biggest mistake committed by socialists of whatever stripe. Radical socialists of the Communist variety have taken what was intended to be a political figure of speech (perhaps equivalent to "war on poverty" if not "war on terror") to mean a literal dictatorship (or at most an oligarchy) that tolerates no dissent. Maybe the 20th century would be a vastly different place if Marx (or is it Engels?) used the term "democracy of the proletariat".

  47. PCs Aren't Going Anywhere by deweyhewson · · Score: 2

    *sigh* Another "IS THE PC DEAD?!?!?!" headline, another dollar. People who try to view tablets as "desktop replacements" are consistently missing the fact that tablets are not PCs, are not intended to be PCs, and aren't going to replace PCs.

    For many people, they may even totally replace the need to have a typical computer at home. If anything, it is only for this group of people that the PC will be "dead".

    But for anyone wishing to do serious work, so long as the PC remains exponentially more powerful, expandable and capable than tablets, it won't be going anywhere. Go try using Photoshop Express on the iPad, then use CS6 on the desktop. Use any of the multitude of word processors for tablets, then go use Word. Use a mobile browser, then use Firefox or Chrome. Play the popular games on a tablet, then play the popular games on a PC. Do you see where I'm going with this?

    Tablets have created, and filled, an entirely new niche in computing, and done so very well, but they aren't PCs.

  48. Re:Winning! by PapayaSF · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I never said or meant it was "a knee-jerk reaction to one Apple product." Clearly Microsoft has also been paying close attention to OS X, the iPod, the iTunes Store, as well as iPhone/iPad/iOS, and they have had their own innovatives. But perhaps I should have said Microsoft hasn't had a workable or successful strategic vision for a while now. Sure, they have new ideas, they just don't seem to work out. Microsoft makes money, but from long-existing products. Even their relatively recent success of the Xbox may not have yet turned a profit, given the billions they sank into getting it going.

    (I don't consider the fact that their old pen and tablet products have been subsumed into the current version of Windows means they were successful or even very noteworthy. In history they are footnotes, not milestones and game-changers.

    I'm not sure how going from "make phone look like tiny desktop" to "make desktop look like big phone" counts as a "consistent long term strategy," though. Is this "coming full circle" or "going in circles"?

    --
    Q: What does the "B." in Benoit B. Mandelbrot stand for? A: Benoit B. Mandelbrot
  49. Re:Winning! by wvmarle · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Since when has MS been on the offensive?

    Over the past several decades they have always been highly defensive. Every offensive move (aggressive pricing of Office to outcompete WordPerfect; developing a web browser to kill off Netscape; hostile take-over of other competing companies) have always been to defend the status quo which includes Windows on the desktop. MS never innovated much, instead they have bought up many small companies with innovative products, sometimes including the product in their own offering, usually killing it off (by making it suck).

    MS makes money by selling Windows and Office to the desktop computers. Anything that threatens this status quo they will defend against.

    Now the mobile computing has quite suddenly matured and become popular, and that's what keeps MS scrambling. They don't have an easy answer to that. It's too big to buy (and Apple and Google are not for sale, anyway), and most devices are using hardware that Windows doesn't work well on (ARM processors, touch screens, small screens, no keyboard/mouse).

    Add to that the notorious slowness of MS and the company has a big problem. The first iPhone, that set off the revolution, was released five years ago. The first Android release by Google followed two years later. Another three years later and MS still doesn't have a viable competitor, and is by many considered a few years behind Android and iOS.

    MS is on the defensive, still, while to survive they must be on the offensive. The Surface proves that they are trying to do just that now. An interesting concept, I wonder if it will be released as product before competitors take over the ideas and release their own. When the first iPad was announced by Apple it was mere weeks before the Chinese manufacturers started to churn out 7" iPads - running Android but looking exactly like the real thing. Just smaller, and cheaper.

  50. Here's what I would do if I ran Microsoft by gman003 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I see Microsoft today, and I see a company that has no idea what it's doing. Well, I don't claim to know what is best to do, but I'd at least aim for consistency.

    I'd thought about making an Ask Slashdot based on this premise, but I probably will never actually do it. So here's what *I* would do if I ran Microsoft.

    Windows. Still a good product, at least on the desktop, but the brand keeps getting diluted, and attempts to "re-imagine" it or "re-invent" it simply will not work. On the desktop side, you really don't NEED to change much. Just keep focusing on making the existing experience incrementally better. Try to get boot times down to under a second, make it more stable, little improvements like that.

    Windows Server? Can it. Windows Server is so far behind *technically* that it's not even funny. The only reason it's used is because a) it's far easier than Linux, and b) Microsoft. (B) won't last forever, so you know what? Give up. Give up a bit of control. Make the next Windows Server a Linux distro.

    BUT

    Don't do it like every other Linux distro.

    The theme should be "it all works together seamlessly". Port Active Directory, port Exchange, port Microsoft SQL, port ASP.NET and everything (make sure it runs as Apache or nginx modules, though. IIS itself is a "maybe"). Wrap it all up in a GUI that makes things easy to figure out - your goal should be that you don't even need a manual. But don't ignore the command line and config files. Make the best damn Linux distro you can, and *sell* it.

    Yes, sell. Obviously, anything open-source should stay open-source. Maybe even open-source the stuff that lets others integrate with you - AD stuff, .NET, and so on. But the big stuff? Keep it proprietary, and sell it. And not ridiculously overpriced, either.

    In fact, hedge your bets on the desktop side as well. Port the Windows desktop environment over to Linux, because trust me, KDE and GNOME are fucking things up right now, and the Windows desktop experience is actually *better*. You don't even have to make it natively X11, just include an X11 library so all the old apps still work (like how OS X does it). And release for free tools that make Linux integrate well with Windows, stuff to EASILY integrate with AD and such. Yes, open-source stuff can do most of this already, but those are both a pain, and not supported by Microsoft.

    Windows Phone? Drop it. You aren't going to win unless you have the apps. And WP7 does not have the apps. It does have some good ideas, though, some very good things. So you know what you should do? Take Android, and mod the shit out of it. Put Office on it. Make it integrate with Active Directory and Exchange and all that shit, so businesses will love it. Make it work with the Xbox and whatever else you've got. And license it out to whoever wants it. Make it "Android, but with ___, ____ and ___". Still compatible with the millions of Android apps, but it has several that, at best, you'd have to buy on the marketplace; at worst, simply not available.

    The Xbox is one of the few things Microsoft's not just doing well, but is recognized as doing well. This is your new Big Brand. Make a new Xbox, price target $400-$500. It should be a powerful core-gamer machine. Let Nintendo have the low-end market with the Wii U. And make it more than a game console - you're doing well already, having Netflix and all that on there. Keep that up. Make it work with your WinDroid phone systems, both as a Wii U-like display for the console, and as a remote for Netflix and such. This way, you aren't just fighting Sony - you're also fighting Apple TV and whatever that Google thing is called. Keep backwards compatibility, maybe add a Blu-Ray drive (even if the movies aren't selling so well, it is good for games). But don't do anything crazy. Just... incremental improvements. Make one device that does the task of many others, well enough that it isn't a compromise, and cheaply enough that it's an option if you only actually want one part of it. Yes, that's

    1. Re:Here's what I would do if I ran Microsoft by gman003 · · Score: 2

      The 360 wasn't intended, itself, to make a profit. It was intended to gain Microsoft a real position in the market. That's why it was frequently sold at a loss (especially at the beginning). Now, between their own legitimate success and Sony's missteps (and Nintendo's not even competing in the same market anymore), they're in prime position to deliver a knockout punch.

      Even if the console itself is not profitable, think about everything else. Every Xbox Live subscription. All the first-party games are big money-earners - a few dozen million in development and marketing, then several hundred million in income (the Halo series alone, just the 360 games, likely brought in over a billion dollars). And they get a chunk of every third-party game, especially the XBLA games. They probably *would* have been profitable, if it weren't for the RRoD issues.

      Their next one? They don't need to do much. Keep the same general architecture, for compatibility. Double the core count by mirroring the die, maybe up the clock speed if that's feasible. Upgrade to 4GB or 6GB of RAM (remember, in the 360 architecture, RAM is shared between the CPU and GPU). Upgrade the video card - a mid-range Radeon 7000 should be fine, maybe something like the 7770. Add some minor power-saving features - the ability to shut down 5 of the 6 cores should suffice for most purposes, making it more energy-efficient (and thus quiet) when in non-gaming mode.

      While they definitely *could* push the hardware much harder, they don't need to. Remember, this is a console. It'll be hooked up to a 720p or 1080p television. Yes, you can get a much better gaming computer, but not in the $400-$500 range.

      Bam. There we have it. New console. Dev costs are almost all software. You should be able to sell for $400-500 at a profit, or $300-400 at a minor loss (that will be made up for with game sales and Xbox Live).

  51. Re:CAD: I still need a good desktop computer by blakelarson · · Score: 2

    You (and I) are an edge case. You really need to think about the millions of people for whom Excel is the most complicated program. That's really 99% of the user base. I'm worried about the future when the PC I want is not available for a reasonable price since most people are getting one of 6 models of mass-produced tablets.

  52. Re:Winning! by datavirtue · · Score: 2

    Late to the party? You mean when all the girls are drunk and the fights are about to start? I would say they missed the party. I don't mind being late.

    --
    I object to power without constructive purpose. --Spock
  53. Use the right tool for the job please by knorthern+knight · · Score: 2

    > Their efforts to change the user interface to suit the tablet
    > continued with the introduction of the Ribbon in Office 2007.

    Everybody agrees that the universal desktop UI absolutely sucks on tablets/smartphones. What annoys me is all the idiots who want to ram a tablet/samrtphone UI down my throat that absolutely sucks on a desktop. It's not just MS either. The idiots writing GNOME and KDE are doing the same on linux. I'm sticking with ICEWM.

    --

    I'm not repeating myself
    I'm an X window user; I'm an ex-Windows user
  54. Re:Why is this man allowed to keep so much money? by moderatorrater · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The AC would have a point (it would still be a terrible one btw, relieving human suffering is noble regardless) if it weren't for the family planning work that they're doing. As it is, it's a clear bias against a man who has committed the majority of his wealth to philanthropy.

  55. Re:Winning! by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 2

    He's still chairman of the board.

    He maybe chairman but he does nothing with daily operation nor guiding teams and telling them what to do. Windows 8 with Metro would not be so pathetic and Vista never would have happened in its current form he was the actual CEO and ran the company.

    It shows. Vista was rushed to get it out and so was Windows 8 with Metro. Metro is truly terrible even for a tablet OS that even iOS 1.0 and Andriod 1.x are more functional and feature filled. The integration with the desktop is wrong as well as taking away instant search to the abomination and many many more small things that add with attention to detail.

    Judging by your screen name, Mr. Gates., I think you may be a little biased when commenting about how much better Vista or Win8 would have been.

  56. please, Bill by Tom · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...stop trying to be a visionary - you aren't. Your record on future predictions equals that of the world cup animal oracles.

    Sure the PC will change - it always does. But the world isn't "moving to" tablets, it is adopting tablets. Most tablet owners also own a PC and for that reason alone don't want the two to be identical. One tool for the one job, another tool for a different job. Some people are happy with just one of the two, that's fine, too. Yes, some people now use a tablet instead of a PC because what they used to use the PC for is better done by a tablet, there just weren't any.

    MS more than anyone should know this. Their second cash cow is MS Office, after all - something that nobody really wants on a tablet for any serious work. Sure, the iPad office apps (Pages, Numbers, Keynote) are bestsellers - because people want to read and update their documents on the road. But it is not only my own opinion that serious office work doesn't get done on a tablet. And if you need business numbers, look at the sales figures for notebooks and netbooks. Not exactly dead in the waters, are they? So even in the mobile computing market, there's still an interest in real computers in addition to tablets.

    MS is missing the boat - again - because they are so out of touch with what the users want. That's the true secret of the Apple success - the give people something they want, sometimes something they didn't even know they wanted. Sure, it's a "our way or the highway" offering, but MS still thinks they dominate computing so much that they can get people to follow them anywhere - and that hasn't been true for a decade.

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    1. Re:please, Bill by GameboyRMH · · Score: 2

      Your record on future predictions equals that of the world cup animal oracles.

      If Bill Gates was as good as that squid it would be a massive improvement.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  57. No it is a dystopian 1984 future by aepervius · · Score: 2

    If the technology was adopted in a form respecting the privacy of people, I would agree with you. But it is not the case and the more those devices can, the more private and public entities attempt to track us. Contrary to US slashdotter I don't mind public tracking, because we effectively limit it by law and (unless it is police stuff) we can check what we are tracked for and correct data (Privacy law and right to correction in EU). Heck they might be people spying onto us, but they are our LOCAL thug obey a modicum of respect of the law. Whereas private entity in mobile device, are often in another country not respecting the privacy of people in the slightiest bit (USA), meaning if that data go there , your control on it is GONE forever in the hand of some foreign governement and private thug your own law has no effect on.

    So yes, I see that progress as a sort of 1984 in worst : not only the telescreen is portable, but the data is sent to private entity you cannot even do a bloody revolution against. At least in 1984 even if revolution was unlikely, the dictature and spying was governemental.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  58. Re:Winning! by Tough+Love · · Score: 2, Insightful

    With Metro, they have come full circle with their efforts to make their phone interface the same as their desktop interface.

    Microsoft is running around like a chicken with its head cut off, trying desperately to find a way to stay relevant.

    --
    When all you have is a hammer, every problem starts to look like a thumb.
  59. Re:Winning! by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

    Asking Bill Gates about Microsoft's platform direction is like asking Mikhail Gorbachev about the future of Russia.

    In the sense that you'd get a much more informed answer from him than most people?

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  60. Re:Winning! by Bert64 · · Score: 2

    Funny you should mention it, but if i buy a particular model of Mac i know exactly what components it has...
    I tried to buy a laptop from HP or Lenovo recently, and they told me they couldn't tell me what wireless chipset it would have (from a choice of 3) in advance, and that i would just have to buy it and see.
    Now those 3 chipsets (atheros, broadcom, intel) are NOT equal, atheros and intel publish specs and open drivers, broadcom does not... The atheros will do monitor and master mode, not sure the others will.

    That said, i'm not happy with Apple since they dropped the 17" macbook, so...

    Show me a laptop where i can be guaranteed to get an atheros, or at the very least intel wireless card (none of this broadcom crap) and a high resolution screen competitive with the apple retina displays.

    --
    http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
  61. Small screen, kludgy input, poor battery capacity by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

    Sure, it's good that you can take it everywhere. But the problems are:

    * Small screen is hard to see.
    * Input is difficult for large amounts of text, and there isn't the precision for doing things like graphics & photo editing.
    * Poor battery life.

    The solution would be to mount good quality peripherals to some kind of frame or harness that you leave at home or the office (maybe have one at each) and you plug your tiny portable into it. It'd be almost like a proper computer!

    If you think of the portable as like a ship sailing from port to port, then the harness could be called a "mooring terminal" or something like that.

    Nah, it'll never catch on.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  62. Re:Winning! by SerpentMage · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You are an idiot!

    1) Ok so who made MacBook Air competitors before Apple came out? Oh yeah ZERO!

    2) So who made notebooks with great than 2K resolution on the screen before Apple came out? Oh yeah ZERO!

    3) So who made SSD's popular before Apple came out? Oh yeah ZERO!

    Do you see the pattern here you turd! Does Apple charge more? Heck yeah! But do they deliver on better quality and better hardware? YEAH! Did you notice in Tim Cook's keynote address where he slammed the competition on Ultrabooks saying, "its not so easy is it?" Essentially he was saying what Apple has been preaching. To make hardware as sexy as theirs is not cheap, nor easy as typified by the prices charged by the Windows people.

    --

    "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
    "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
  63. @AC 1:18 - Re:Winning! by nukenerd · · Score: 5, Insightful

    BG was a visionary

    Yes., he saw what others were doing, and copied it.