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World Population Grows Beyond 7 Billion

First time accepted submitter assertation writes in with a LA Times feature about the booming world population and the strain it puts on the environment and governments. "After remaining stable for most of human history, the world's population has exploded over the last two centuries. The boom is not over: The biggest generation in history is just entering its childbearing years. The coming wave will reshape the planet, and the impact will be greatest in the poorest, most unstable countries."

349 comments

  1. Good news everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This means more than 70 million are in the top 1%!

    1. Re:Good news everyone by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 1

      The top 1% is based on income, not population.

    2. Re:Good news everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So then Steve Jobs wasn't a member since he only made $1 a year?

    3. Re:Good news everyone by adonoman · · Score: 1

      That still leaves 70,000,000. The order you sort things doesn't change their number.

    4. Re:Good news everyone by tgd · · Score: 4, Funny

      The top 1% is based on income, not population.

      I may have found a contributing factor to you not being in the 1% ...

    5. Re:Good news everyone by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 1

      I misspoke, I meant net worth.

    6. Re:Good news everyone by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 1

      Maybe, maybe not.

      If you have 100 people, and 50 of them are worth $1000 and 50 are worth $500. Where is the top 1%? It's not 1, it's 50.

    7. Re:Good news everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Global one child policy please..I'm not good with crowds.

    8. Re:Good news everyone by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Yet you aren't either. Likely because you don't actually understand how math works. You're using a simplistic equation that assumes everyone is worth different amounts, and thus you get a nice linear vector where you can chop off 1%. That's not likely true at all.

    9. Re:Good news everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yet you aren't either. Likely because you don't actually understand how math works. You're using a simplistic equation that assumes everyone is worth different amounts, and thus you get a nice linear vector where you can chop off 1%. That's not likely true at all.

      Question for you: What percent of the total population falls within the top 1%?

      Hint: It's not a trick question.

    10. Re:Good news everyone by Antipater · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unless I'm missing some hidden factor that forces groups of people's net worths to be exactly equal, then I'd say that "assuming everyone is worth a different amount" is a very valid assumption. Even if you magically redistributed everything to be exactly equal, that would end as soon as one person wanted extra pepperoni on their pizza.

      --
      Everything is better with chainsaws.
    11. Re:Good news everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's likely quite true, when you consider the range of possible net worths. You know how the probability of two real numbers being = is 0 unless they're eq? (If you'll forgive the LISPism...) Same thing -- the probability (without chicanery of some sort) that any two net worths are truly equal is very small. If they differ by even 10ppb (1c out of the $million or so you need to be in the top percentile), then they're different. 50 people having one exact amount?! Contrived example is contrived.

      Now, certainly, if we're looking at "70 million in the top %", it's conceivable, even likely, there's a collision or two in there. But we don't care -- the only collision that matters is between person 70,000,000 and person 70,000,001, and the probability of that is already vanishingly small. (Much less the probability of your turd-brained 50-way collision.)

    12. Re:Good news everyone by Anubis+IV · · Score: 2

      You can't be serious.

      Okay, I'll bite. What is this glorious math that you understand that we've all apparently missed? Because near as I can tell, the top 1% of any group is going to be equal in number to 1% of the sample size. Since the sample size here is 7B, we can say that the top 1% will be made up of 70M. How the wealth is distributed among the members of that top 1% is wholly irrelevant in determining how many are in the top 1%.

    13. Re:Good news everyone by Razgorov+Prikazka · · Score: 3, Funny

      More than 490.000.000.000 tonnes of meat, 600.000.000 colour blind people, 700.000.000 people with Herpes, 70.000.000 people with syphilis, 140.000.000 severely mentally retarded people and an equal amount of highly intelligent people. And the list goes on if you talk about percentages! Oh, and while I am at it, one would need 280 grams of Botulinum type A toxin to kill half of them.
      I'm not saying one should, but one could. I don't want to ruin anyone's day you know...

      --
      rm -rf --no-preserve-root / ...and let /dev/null sort them out...
    14. Re:Good news everyone by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 3, Informative

      Your question is too vague. Do you mean what percentage of people fall within the top 1% of personal wealth? That doesn't have a 1:1 correlation with population.

      "top 1%" requires definition of what the 1% applies to specifically, and how it's measured.

      For example, suppose you add up all the total wealth, then take 1% of that and figure out how many people are in that category? You will come out with a different number than if you take the wealthiest person and the poorest person, and take 1% of that range and figure out how many people fall in that 1%.

    15. Re:Good news everyone by HapSlappy_2222 · · Score: 2

      I *think* he's trying to point out two different measurements.

      First, you have the subset of people who own the top echelon of the world's wealth (though this measurement is far easier to parse as owners of 99% of all wealth instead of the top 1% of wealth owners; I digress). Second, you have the 1% of the population that have the highest net worth. These two numbers are not necessarily the same; I'd think the first group is far larger than the second, but I'm not really sure.

      Exactly *why* he believes the phrase "the 1%" refers to that first group of people, I can't tell you. I always understood it to meant that 1% of the population controlled more wealth than the other 99% (as an extreme symbol, anyway; I don't believe this is strictly true based on the numbers I've seen). I believe most people understand the phrase to mean this subset of the population.

    16. Re:Good news everyone by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      It is absolutely far more likely that everyone is worth different amounts than whatever scenario you are talking about. Are you suggesting that there are large amounts of people that have the exact same net worth, down to the nearest penny?

      Let's not even begin to mention how misguided your use of the word "vector" is.

    17. Re:Good news everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      This entire stupid fucking argument is why Slashdot is becoming less and less the place for me to get my tech news and discussion. Fuck all of you guys.

    18. Re:Good news everyone by tgd · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yet you aren't either. Likely because you don't actually understand how math works. You're using a simplistic equation that assumes everyone is worth different amounts, and thus you get a nice linear vector where you can chop off 1%. That's not likely true at all.

      Actually, if we're going to go there, I am... and comfortably so. Although the reality is the 99% of the 1% have a lot more in common with the bottom 1% of the 99% than the 1% of the 1%.

      And, of course, my original post was mocking your brain fart, not really attempting to make any socio-political statement about any correlation of internet gaffes to wealth or the intelligence or lack thereof of any particular income bracket.

      Now, I suppose the fact that everyone else seems to understand that and you missed it might suggest an additional set of evidence related to my original assertion, so perhaps the joke was a little too close to home.

    19. Re:Good news everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      I misspoke, I meant net worth.

      Funny--because if you own a car, you're in the top 10% of the wealthiest people in the world.

      Having a job that pays over $25,000/year puts you in the top 8%.

      So shut the fuck up, sell your car, and hand your paycheck over to the 80% of the world that lives on less than $1,000 PER YEAR....

    20. Re:Good news everyone by SternisheFan · · Score: 2

      This entire stupid fucking argument is why Slashdot is becoming less and less the place for me to get my tech news and discussion. Fuck all of you guys.

      Feel better now? Got that off your chest, did'ja? You aren't the 1st to voice that opinion here. You will be missed. Though no super-techie, I've found a lot of intelligent, stimulating back & forth opinions and arguements here covering a wide range of subjects that affect us all. And I learn an awful lot here. One thing I've learned is that Slashdot has seemed to evolve and change over the years. Change pisses some people off, can't help that. I can't see being an editor here and pleasing all the people all the time.

    21. Re:Good news everyone by tompaulco · · Score: 2

      More than 490.000.000.000 tonnes of meat
      So, if I understand correctly, the average human weighs 70 tonnes? And my Doctor says I am obese.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    22. Re:Good news everyone by Kell+Bengal · · Score: 1

      But the thing to remember is that in less developed parts of the world, that $1k/year goes a lot further than $1k elsewhere. I couldn't feed myself on $1k/per year living in Brisbane. Well, at least not unless I wanted to sacrifice my health in a big way (trolls, I challenge you to live in a modern developed city on $2.75/day). While we may have more disposable income for technology toys, it's ridiculous to try to compare total earning capacity unless you compare it to cost of living. I know lots of folks living in the US who struggle to pay for even basic stuff like medical care - frankly, they get first dibs on my charity.

      --
      Scientists point out problems, engineers fix them
      altslashdot.org: The future of slashdot.
    23. Re:Good news everyone by Xanny · · Score: 2

      I was a lurker on SD for ~5 years, finally decided to make an account, got excellent karma, etc - and realized I can't post in any discussion I do modding in. I find it impossible to spend mod points, because any topic I get engaged enough in to reasonably moderate posts I want to contribute to. I much prefer the reddit system to the SD system in that regard, especially since the quality of posts has fallen since so few people are actively spending their mod points it seems.

    24. Re:Good news everyone by M8e · · Score: 1

      90% of the top 10% is in the bottom 99%.

    25. Re:Good news everyone by voidphoenix · · Score: 1

      The top 1% is based on income, not population.

      I misspoke, I meant net worth.

      It's based on population and wealth, which may be measured by income, net worth or any of a number of other metrics.

      Maybe, maybe not.

      If you have 100 people, and 50 of them are worth $1000 and 50 are worth $500. Where is the top 1%? It's not 1, it's 50.

      How is 50 1% of anything in your example?

      Yet you aren't either. Likely because you don't actually understand how math works. You're using a simplistic equation that assumes everyone is worth different amounts, and thus you get a nice linear vector where you can chop off 1%. That's not likely true at all.

      Actually, it is very, very true. Some people own more than others, in other words, "are worth different amounts". There's nothing simplistic about that equation.

      Your question is too vague. Do you mean what percentage of people fall within the top 1% of personal wealth? That doesn't have a 1:1 correlation with population.

      "top 1%" requires definition of what the 1% applies to specifically, and how it's measured.

      For example, suppose you add up all the total wealth, then take 1% of that and figure out how many people are in that category? You will come out with a different number than if you take the wealthiest person and the poorest person, and take 1% of that range and figure out how many people fall in that 1%.

      Wow, you either suck at math or... No, you just suck at math.

      Here, let me try and spell it out for you. The top 1% refers to population as ranked by wealth, not the "average number of people who own 1% of the wealth" or "the number of people who own an average amount of wealth". That's why the word "top" is there. You have a list of people, sort them by descending wealth, and you take the top 1% of the entries on your list, that's the top 1%. The source of dissatisfaction (of the 99%) comes from the fact that if you total the wealth of the top 1%, you'll find that they own a disproportionate fraction (approximately 40% in the case of the United States). This trend extends across the whole chart, with the bottom 80% of Americans owning just 15% of the wealth.

      By the way, in your example with 100 people, your answer (50) is wrong by either method you described. By your first method, since the total wealth is $75,000, 1% of that is $750, and the number of people who own $750 is zero. By your other method, the wealthiest person owns $1,000 and the poorest owns $500 and that covers everyone (it will, every single time), that's 100 people. 1% of that is 1.

    26. Re:Good news everyone by KingBenny · · Score: 1

      i think if the 1% were to split over a range of about 10% things would look a lot different, as if life were to imitate the brain and you get 10% neurons making decisions and acting all high and mighty. Can't have total equality in an overpopulated world where resources are getting scarcer (is that good english or is it 'more scarce' or 'less abundant' for the positivists, and society as is is still basically pretty primitive underneath the thin layer of tek.
      by the way, how much matter do we have left before the whole planet consists of humans ?

      --
      Free speech was meant to be free for all... how can anyone grow up in a nanny state ?
  2. god damn it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Taco's wife needs to stop having kids.

    1. Re:god damn it by sexconker · · Score: 0

      Brown people, be they hispanic, black, or Indian, have ENTIRELY too much unprotected sex.

      Hispanics are white. Central and South Americans are brown. The fact that people from Mexico, who often have darker skin than most other caucasians, can't decide if they're Latin/Hispanic/Spanish/Mexican/Aztec doesn't change the fact that the majority of them are of "white" ancestry.

    2. Re:god damn it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The majority of US Hispanics are mestizos, and aren't white. It's convenient for the powers-that-be to consider them as such, as adding the elevated Hispanic crime rate to the White crime rate makes the spread between the white and black crime rates look better.

    3. Re:god damn it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, it's either make him a baby or make him a sandwich and she's all out of baloney.

    4. Re:god damn it by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Taco's wife needs to stop having kids.

      Screw that, I refuse to wear a condom.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    5. Re:god damn it by TheInternetGuy · · Score: 1

      Taco's wife needs to stop having kids.

      Why? I thought the scripture said that the geek shall inherit the earth?

      --
      If my comment didn't sound as good in your head as it did in mine, then I guess we all know who's to blame
    6. Re:god damn it by chrish · · Score: 1

      I've tried to read that three times now, and I keep reading it as US Hipsters.

      --
      - chrish
    7. Re:god damn it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somewhere a woman is having a baby every 0.09 seconds.

      Someone needs to call her up and tell her to stop what she's doing.

  3. Colonization by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's time to start colonizing Mars, the Moon and other celestial objects. The http://mars-one.com/en/ project looks interesting.

    1. Re:Colonization by vlm · · Score: 1

      It's time to start colonizing Mars,

      Antarctica is closer, not quite as harsh, yet a reasonably good engineering challenge.

      I don't mean colonize in either the current forward military base where its more of a logistics achievement than an actual "colonization" nor do I mean some weird lovecraftian stuff or hollow earth flakery, but literal colonization complete with algae and fish farms for dining or whatever. Even if its never done the planning process would be pretty good training.

      Even KSR's mars trilogy began with a year on Antarctica.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    2. Re:Colonization by busyqth · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Let's just move Mars closer to the sun so it would be a more hospitable place.

    3. Re:Colonization by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's time to start colonizing Mars,

      Antarctica is closer, not quite as harsh, yet a reasonably good engineering challenge.

      I don't mean colonize in either the current forward military base where its more of a logistics achievement than an actual "colonization" nor do I mean some weird lovecraftian stuff or hollow earth flakery, but literal colonization complete with algae and fish farms for dining or whatever. Even if its never done the planning process would be pretty good training.

      Even KSR's mars trilogy began with a year on Antarctica.

      Yeah, I wish. More likely is that they'll just dome it up and burn fuel to generate heat and electricity to live the temperate zone life there.

    4. Re:Colonization by gmuslera · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oceans and deserts are even closer, and probably the investment needed to sustain a lot of people is smaller.

    5. Re:Colonization by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Problem with settling in Antarctica is we'll still be here, constrained by the available resources.

    6. Re:Colonization by sbenitezb · · Score: 0

      Antarctica is boring and very restricted to military/scientific missions. A commercial/civil mission to Mars would attract a lot of interest by the media and help improve the technology and get the experience needed to settle somewhere else. Of course, we wouldn't be moving many people there, just enough to start a human colony.

    7. Re:Colonization by vlm · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I wish. More likely is that they'll just dome it up and burn fuel to generate heat and electricity to live the temperate zone life there.

      Um, Antarctica or Mars? You've just kind of made my point for me.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    8. Re:Colonization by Moheeheeko · · Score: 1

      Ive seen far to many horror movies to EVER want to be any where near the arctic.

    9. Re:Colonization by vlm · · Score: 1

      Oceans and deserts are even closer, and probably the investment needed to sustain a lot of people is smaller.

      We've already done New Orleans, not so well, and Vegas, OK so far. The hard part is making a colony thats not a drain on the rest of the environment; self contained.

      Also too close makes it too easy to cheat, look at everything we send to N.O. and Vegas. Antarctica would have to be self contained, other than O2 and H2O and solar energy which makes it a good training ground... tough, but not too tough.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    10. Re:Colonization by vlm · · Score: 1

      Antarctica is ... very restricted to military/scientific missions.

      Not for any technical reason just flaky politics. Preparation for a mars colony counts as "scientific mission" anyway.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    11. Re:Colonization by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Actually, I disagree about the "training" aspect. Training is worthless when the person trained never uses it, or dies before it's used. Sure, it'd be cool if a bunch of people figured out how to live in Antarctica, but if they don't do it, what good is it? It's not like they're going to somehow pass that knowledge on to the next generation. We learned that with the space program; some of the basic designs were preserved, but a LOT of stuff simply wasn't, and this happens every time some industry goes under or moves offshore. Not everything is written down somewhere, and doing something large and complex creates a huge number of "learned lessons" and specific domain knowledge that usually just dies when the people doing it die off. Even if there were a much larger effort to record knowledge, putting it into some form where it can then be looked at by following generations isn't so easy. Just look at all the problems large organizations have with organizing data, frequently leading them to using the shitty "Sharepoint" tool from MS which just makes it worse.

    12. Re:Colonization by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      The arctic, or the antarctic? In the arctic, you have to ancient spirits called "Wendigo" killing you. In the antarctic, however, that's not a problem, but instead you have to worry about shape-shifting aliensattacking you and using your body to attack your coworkers and friends.

    13. Re:Colonization by snemiro · · Score: 1

      Where is the Ark B when we need it??

    14. Re:Colonization by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Informative

      New Orleans should never have happened IMHO. Much of it is below sea level. Effectively, it's a giant bowl. The pumps are constantly moving water out 24/7. That's a lot of energy being used on a daily bases just to keep it from flooding.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    15. Re:Colonization by Moheeheeko · · Score: 1

      That or mind control worms that make you kill your friends.

    16. Re:Colonization by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      Then you should have no problem at all with going to the antarctic.

    17. Re:Colonization by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Netherlands?

    18. Re:Colonization by TapeCutter · · Score: 1, Funny

      It's time to start colonizing Mars, the Moon and other celestial objects

      The slashdot equivalent of "let them eat cake".

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    19. Re:Colonization by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      Of course, the truth is that we aren't doing it because we don't know how. If the technology for a self contained habitat on Antartica were available, there would be people there already. And that has some obvious implications about colonizing Mars or any other body.

      Now, we don't have a problem with space. That's because people don't like to spread, we just do it because of natural constraints.

    20. Re:Colonization by DesScorp · · Score: 3, Informative

      The Netherlands?

      Not the same situation. While you can also question the wisdom of "reclaiming land from the sea" as the Dutch have done, they did it in modern times using dikes. Further, the Dutch have a stable landmass with bedrock underneath. New Orleans literally goes away over time without fresh annual flooding, as it's nothing but delta silt built up over time with no bedrock underneath. People can't live with flooding, but without flooding, the landmass eventually goes away. New Orleans may be the single worst place to build a city in North America. And nothing we do can change that.

      --
      Life is hard, and the world is cruel
    21. Re:Colonization by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      If you examine the logistics it's basically impossible with any feasible technology to launch people into orbit faster than they are currently being born. Now if we get Star Trek transporters that may change.

    22. Re:Colonization by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 1

      New Orleans would be fine if the Army Corps of Engineers would let the river take it's natural course. I think the main thing that keeps New Orleans at threat is this desire to make it a riverboat city and the killing off of swamp land on the Gulf.

      A good compromise is to merely divert a token amount of water to run by the city -- and let the rest of the river follow the lowest course to the Ocean.

      If planning for everyone could start to supersede what helps a few become really wealthy -- a lot of "dumb decisions" an complex intractable problems would mysteriously disappear.

      --
      >>"ad space available -- low rates!!!"
  4. leave! by zerosomething · · Score: 2

    "Earth is too small a basket for mankind to keep all its eggs in." Robert A. Heinlein

    --
    It all starts at 0
    1. Re:leave! by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 1

      B5... ...and now we leave the cradle for the last time.

    2. Re:leave! by magarity · · Score: 3, Insightful

      B5... ...and now we leave the cradle for the last time.

      The problem of course is it's going to be super hard to find funding and staff at the beginning since we know ahead of time what happens to B1-B4.

    3. Re:leave! by Antipater · · Score: 1, Troll

      B5... ...and now we leave the cradle for the last time.

      The problem of course is it's going to be super hard to find funding and staff at the beginning since we know ahead of time what happens to B1-B4.

      Nah, it'll be fine. Remember, a war just ended. Gotta keep those factories in gear or risk recession!

      --
      Everything is better with chainsaws.
    4. Re:leave! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with the idea of expanding out to other planets is the current belief that mankind is a cancer on the planet. Therefore, the process of expanding our population to other worlds would just be considered as spreading a cancer across space. The current plan doesn't include finding more space but reducing the tumour to a size the planet can live with.

      ref: the Georgia Guide stones and Agenda 21, negative population credits

  5. good for business by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    war is good for business

    1. Re:good for business by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until it comes to your own business.

  6. Bad news everyone by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Funny

    It also means that you've only got a 0.0000000143% chance of getting that coveted first post.

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  7. What nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "After remaining stable for most of human history, the world's population..."

    Well, that already proves they have no idea what they're talking about. Do these morons really think there were no more people in 1800 CE than in 800 CE? The world's population has always grown exponentially.

    1. Re:What nonsense by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 1

      The thing is, hundreds of years ago, the mortality rate was right up there with the birth rate. Even if you cancel out infant mortality with births, it was still pretty high.

      If you had a family of 10, you were lucky if 3 survived. Often times, it was only 1 or 2 that survived, making a pretty break even population growth.

      With the advent of medicine, however, mortality rates plummeted but birth rates did not.

    2. Re:What nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Guess what, even today everybody dies. In all of human history, when left unchecked by war, famine or plague, populations grew, exponentially. As long as the absolute rate is low, people tend to fit a linear growth "curve", but seeing the exponential nature of the beast is just a matter of choosing the right scale. If you are studying biology and don't reach for the exponential function when you hear the word population, you're not doing it right.

    3. Re:What nonsense by MBGMorden · · Score: 4, Insightful

      With the advent of medicine, however, mortality rates plummeted but birth rates did not.

      I'm not sure that's the case - at least not here in the US. If you go back to my parents generation all the families had 5-7 children without fail. Some had more than that (my grandfather on my mother's side came from a family of 14).

      Fastforward to modern times. None of my aunts or uncles had more than 3 kids per family. Between my own generation I'm seeing more like 1 or 2 kids per family. Part of it may be the increased cost of raising children - part of it may be the increased number of women in the workplace (where each child is not only time off from work for recovery but without a parent at home each is another daycare bill). I'm sure a large part of it is simply the invention of birth control.

      Regardless, birth rates per family (if not for the planet as a whole) seem to have come down significantly in the last 50 years.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    4. Re:What nonsense by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      Every Western nation with advancing education for the population has seen a decreasing birth rate. The birth rate world-wide is still high because there are a lot of poor, uneducated third world nations that have not had declines in birth rates.

    5. Re:What nonsense by jkflying · · Score: 1

      Only in 1st world countries, 3rd world countries children are cheaper to raise (no school/college fees) and provide useful labour around the house and surrounding property. The number of children per family also has strong correlations with women's rights in the respective country, so as that improves birth rates should drop in the rest of the world as well.

      Something exacerbating the problem is the number of people we now have over the age of 70 - they never used to be particularly common (only in upper classes), whereas now the medical attention is widespread enough to keep people alive into their 90s on a fairly regular basis.

      --
      Help I am stuck in a signature factory!
    6. Re:What nonsense by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      We had a baby shower at the family reunion. One of the great aunts tried to convince us to have more kids. Said that having a brother and sister was some sort of fundamental experience. She wanted four, two boys and two girls, so each could have a brother and sister.

      Thank you, but no, one will do us just fine. If he wants a brother, he can go boss around the cats.

    7. Re:What nonsense by careysub · · Score: 1

      If by "remaining stable for most of human history" they mean "for most of the time modern humans have existed" then they are on reasonably firm ground - between 40,000 BCE and 4000 BCE there was little population growth - except for colonization of new areas. If they mean the period thought of as "the historic period" when we have written records, then no, they are no correct.

      A good graph that reveals population growth trend patterns since pre-historic times is this one: http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2010/12/the-axial-age-world-population/

      Most charts using a linear population scale only show the exponential blow up that appears at the end of the curve of every exponential process, no matter when you pick that end, but offers little or no insight into what was happening in previous epochs.

      What the Discover graph shows is that population was pretty stable until the development of civilization around 4000 BCE, a steady upward trend then set in for the next 3500 years, then around 500 BCE the development of high ancient civilization in the Mediterranean and East Asia led to a growth spurt which hit a plateau around 100 BCE after which there was only slight growth for the remainder of the ancient civilization period (until around 500 CE), the so-called Medieval "Dark Age" period led to accelerated, but erratic growth, and then we entered the two recent acceleration periods - the early modern period (age of exploration), and then the industrial revolution.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    8. Re:What nonsense by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 1

      Yes, but even people in third world countries are living a lot longer, and infant mortality rates are plummeting.. but births in these countries have not.

      Yes, western nations birth rates have gone down, but this is more than made up for by third world countries.

    9. Re:What nonsense by anyaristow · · Score: 1

      at least not here in the US. If you go back to my parents generation all the families had 5-7 children without fail.

      What are you, like, 140 years old?

    10. Re:What nonsense by Algae_94 · · Score: 5, Informative

      The birth rate decline in western nations correlates best with raising educations. If this is the true cause, improving educations in third world nations is the solution. A more educated populace will decide on their own that having so many children is a bad idea.

    11. Re:What nonsense by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 1

      The reasons poor people have more kids are many. Lack of viable birth control is a huge factor. However, there is also a tendency to have more children because you're going to lose some. You need spares.

      This is sort of like driving faster because you're running out of gas, and hope to make it to the gas station before you fuel runs out.

    12. Re:What nonsense by RPI+Geek · · Score: 1

      There is evidence (TED video) to support your hunch. The gist is that over time, countries trend towards having 2 children per mother. The presenter claims that after crunching the numbers (I haven't seen the calculations), it turns out the world will max out at around 10b people.

      --

      - "Nobody came out that night, not one was ever seen. But Old Man Stauf is waiting there, crazy sick and mean!"
    13. Re:What nonsense by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Another max pop prediction for a VSP. gosh, I have only heard that 3 times in my life.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    14. Re:What nonsense by geekoid · · Score: 1

      This old trope. The vast amount of 3rd world poor people don't own farms, and aren't group working types. Many of them just squat in the mud, trapped in a world with no way out.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    15. Re:What nonsense by lazybeam · · Score: 1

      My wife's grandmother recently died at 92 - she was the youngest of thirteen children (one didn't survive being into childhood so twelve). That kind of size was common back then, IME at least. (As an aside, all six of her brothers were either killed in the war or came back and never had kids so that family name died)

      We planned on only having two kids but our second pregnancy was twins so we have contributed to more overpopulation...

      --
      --
      no sig for you. come back one year.
    16. Re:What nonsense by Targon · · Score: 1

      It isn't just medicine, it is the sending of food to places where people refuse to do ANYTHING to improve their quality of life. How much aid has been sent to Ethiopia to feed the starving children? If after all these decades we have not helped them to the point where they can grow their own food and take care of themselves, perhaps it is time to just cut the cord, and let their population decrease to the point where they CAN take care of themselves. This may sound harsh, but when people are worried about global populations and how we can feed everyone, you have to start being a bit colder about things like that. Food for natural resources is a valid trade for example, and that would work, but this idea of letting nations that have resources take care of those who have NOTHING needs to end.

      You are right on the money about families having more children BECAUSE there was a lower chance of survival, and this can be seen in almost every species on the planet. Those with the least chance of survival have more offspring, just to offset the high number of deaths in those offspring. Normally, food would be a limiting factor, except that we have people sending food to places where people should not be living. If you live in a desert where no food grows, you should EXPECT to die from starvation, or figure out how to eat whatever life you can find out there. If you live in a place with plenty of food, then you won't have that problem, the population grows, and then you run into conflicts of needing resources to trade or pay for food. Those who can't figure out how to make money to survive will generally die out.

      It is that simple, and really, charity is the big source of the problem with the world having a higher population. There IS a natural balance that comes into play, which is why you see all these wars and violence in places that have a low food generation. If people keep getting fed that would normally have starved, then there will be criminals that will show up to balance things back out. Again, it is cold, but I suspect that if we as a species just let regions just go through periods of pain and sociological growth, they will eventually balance themselves out. Warlords can't enslave, rape, or kidnap dead people who died out due to lack of food, which in turn means those warlords would end up dead due to some other cause. Feeding an ecosystem that keeps trying to kill itself off is NOT the answer.

    17. Re:What nonsense by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      No, I'm 30. My mother came from a family of 6 (that survived - 2 sets of twins were stillborn so 10 total) and my father came from a family of 7 (all survived). Of of their cousins came from similar sized families. I am from a more rural area so trends can lag a bit here.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    18. Re:What nonsense by man_of_mr_e · · Score: 1

      That seems to be the prevailing opinion of the wealthy about the poor in the United States. If we cut off all their safety nets, either they get to work earning their way or die off.

      Unfortunately, in an industrial society, you need people to buy the goods you make.

    19. Re:What nonsense by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      Having been a only child myself, and having raised an only child, I'd like to say there are pluses and minuses. Obviously, with fewer kids, there is less cost, and more time that could be devoted on an individual basis. I do believe that only children miss out (or at least are delayed in learning) some socialization skills. They don't have to learn to play nice with others...sharing...negotiating...and simply putting up with someone simply because you have to. Yes, there are exceptions, and yes, some of this can be learned elsewhere, but I'd argue that for the vast majority of only children, this is the way it is.

      And, yes, I know I've only got my own data points to go on, but it's what I've observed fairly consistently in my 53 years.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
  8. Alarmist by J'raxis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The biggest generation in history is just entering its childbearing years.

    And fertility rates are dropping everywhere, and more people than ever are choosing to simply not have children. Of course by mentioning that, this article wouldn't be nearly as alarmist, so it was conveniently omitted.

    1. Re:Alarmist by mrcaseyj · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The population growth rate will explode again as more children are born of high birthrate religious parents and are increasingly high birthrate themselves. This slowing of population growth is only temporary.

    2. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Surely people aren't really born in waves like that anyway, especially not world-wide. How can it possibly be true that a particular generation is "just entering its childbearing years"? Why weren't the people who started bearing children last year or five years ago or ten years in that generation? Or to put it another way, wouldn't the statement "the biggest generation in history is just entering its childbearing years" have been just as true last year, and five years ago, and seven and a half years ago and 15 years ago and 23 years ago and 58 years ago?

    3. Re:Alarmist by ichthus · · Score: 2, Informative
      --
      sig: sauer
    4. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually this is mentioned in the article. And yes, I actually did RTFA.

    5. Re:Alarmist by brainzach · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You are safe from overpopulation in the developed world, but it is still a major problem for the billions in the developing world.

    6. Re:Alarmist by crakbone · · Score: 2

      Your maths a bit skewed. Yes more people than ever are choosing to not have children. Also more people than ever are required to have only one child. But we actually have more people than ever. So the percentage is down while the amount is up. You have better medicine now, more people are living longer in the poorer countries and having more children. Child age groups that used to die are living. Adults age groups that used to die are living longer. Oddly enough the more technology a country gets the less children it has. Pushing technology out to poorer countries should help handle the growth problem without tangling with the pesky religious issues.

    7. Re:Alarmist by Anubis+IV · · Score: 2

      Thankfully, they are developing. Time and again, we've seen birth rates level off once countries attain a status closer to developed. With the world as interconnected as it is now, I honestly believe it's an exciting time that will see large changes over the next century throughout the developing world, bringing them quite a few more of the comforts enjoyed in the developed world.

    8. Re:Alarmist by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      I don't see how you can avoid tangling with the pesky religious issues. Certain religions (names Roman Catholicism) forbid you from using contraception, no ifs and or buts. If people live longer in Catholic countries, the population will skyrocket (and it already is), because they'll still have 6-10 kids per family but they'll live longer, and modern medicine will mean more of them will live to adulthood and have more kids of their own. The only way around this is for those people to abandon Catholicism, or to practice it the way Americans do (which is to ignore the pope and priests when they talk about contraception). The latter doesn't really work though; what I've seen is that Catholics have become more extremist in America, and the moderates who ignore the stuff about contraception have all abandoned the Church (largely in the wake of the pedophilia scandals) and switched to other churches such as Episcopalianism.

      There is some hope, though; I've read that in Latin American countries, a lot of people are switching to evangelical churches, so maybe those people will use more contraception and also push others to switch (since evangelicals are really big on converting people). Of course, now we'll wind up with a huge population of Rush Limbaugh fans.

    9. Re:Alarmist by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      Children born to the small minority of religious women who *continue* to have very high birth rates will eventually dominate the population of child bearing age. The birth rates of religious people have dropped over the previous decades, but certain high birthrate sects will rebound with a vengeance. Although high birthrate religious groups are much more common, population growth would also explode among secular persons who simply like to have more children, given a few extra decades. The process is faster within religious groups not just because of their doctrine but because they tend to mary within their group of higher birthrate spouses instead of mixing with outsiders of normal birthrate. But religion or not, the end result will still be higher birthrates until maximum capacity is reached.

      The planet can easily support the food and space needs of several tens of billions in population, and the population will eventually grow to fill that capacity unless limited by law or some mechanism other than food shortage. As religious groups dedicated to high birthrates come to dominate the population, it may become increasingly difficult politically to enact reproduction limitations. Space of course provides unlimited expansion opportunities, and will become much more practical as reusable launch vehicles will have several decades of refinement by the time the planet is nearing capacity.

    10. Re:Alarmist by fafaforza · · Score: 1

      And will we have enough energy and water to power and feed those cities?

    11. Re:Alarmist by schlachter · · Score: 1

      ironically...it's largely the educated people in the most developed economies (i.e. Germany/US) who are choosing to have less children. The uneducated and poor in both the developed and undeveloped world continue to churn out kids at record numbers.

      --
      My God can beat up your God. Just kidding...don't take offense. I know there's no God.
    12. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      UN stastitician

      http://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_religions_and_babies.html

    13. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This will be the most informative response in this thread. Hans data is incredible. 10B +/- will be our max population.

    14. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See the TED talk by Hans Rosling linked by others in this thread. He proves through data that religion has very little to do with the number of children. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ezVk1ahRF78

    15. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course not.

    16. Re:Alarmist by JonySuede · · Score: 1

      Last time I heard, Rush Limbaugh was not pro contraception, that vile angry blubber will tolerate it while calling the women who use it sluts.

      --
      Jehovah be praised, Oracle was not selected
    17. Re:Alarmist by amorsen · · Score: 1

      You are safe from overpopulation in the developed world, but it is still a major problem for the billions in the developing world.

      Try actually comparing population density though. Look at Congo, Somalia, Kenya, Ethiopia... Some of them could add an order of magnitude and still not be particularly densely populated.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    18. Re:Alarmist by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Good point. Maybe I should have said they'd become Donald Trump or Kock Brothers fans or something like that.

    19. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Children born to the small minority of religious women who *continue* to have very high birth rates will eventually dominate the population of child bearing age.

      I'll take unsupported speculation for five hundred, Alex.

    20. Re:Alarmist by badpool · · Score: 1

      The planet can easily support the food and space needs of several tens of billions in population

      Care to back that up?

    21. Re:Alarmist by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      It isn't RC that is the problem. Islam is as big or bigger problem with regard to Birth Rates. Take a look at which countries have the highest birth rates, many of them are Muslims. Even in Europe, Caucasian people are having less than the required 2.4 kids and the Muslims are having much more than that.

      Muslims can take over the world one baby at a time. You liberals all hate Christianity, which has let you live more or less the way you want, but you're not paying attention to the camel in the tent. Wait for Sharia law, it is coming.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    22. Re:Alarmist by JonySuede · · Score: 1

      a population comprised of Donald trump adulators would be extremely interesting to study ;)

      --
      Jehovah be praised, Oracle was not selected
    23. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Luckily, religion is not a genetic disease.

    24. Re:Alarmist by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      "You liberals"? Sorry, but I go to a protestant church. I just don't care much for RC (especially after growing up in it, and finding out later that most of the priests I knew are now in jail for molestation).

      Islam has its faults (and some pretty severe ones at that), but it also has no proscriptions against contraception that I know of. Muslims have lots of babies because they want to, not because their imams are telling them that condoms are evil. It's the same way in much of Africa; they don't have kids because of religion, but because of local culture. Poor latino Catholics may also be having kids because of local culture, but you can't deny that their churches are also telling them to; it's hard to say exactly what would happen if one of the two factors changed (being poor, or being Catholic).

      It also doesn't help when governments give all kinds of financial incentives to poor people to have more kids, in a perpetual cycle. The poor people are ecstatic if they have 8 kids and one of them manages to go to college on a scholarship or something and get into the middle class, but in the meantime, there's 7 other kids that are still dirt-poor, several of them in and out of prison, and all having 8 kids of their own, each. The whole thing isn't sustainable.

      As for Sharia Law, you sound paranoid here. Maybe the Europeans need to worry about that, as they do have a lot of immigration from nations where that is practiced and revered, but over here in North America it's not a big concern. There's a few muslims here and there, but not even close to enough to make a difference in the polls, and their kids tend to be assimilated into western culture anyway because, again, of their low concentration.

    25. Re:Alarmist by LDAPMAN · · Score: 1

      Ever hear of WW2? Births dropped like a rock during the conflict then sky rocketed afterward as society returned to normal. Hence, a "wave".

    26. Re:Alarmist by LDAPMAN · · Score: 1

      Rush doesn't care either way about contraception. What he was objecting to was being forced to pay for someone else's contraception.

    27. Re:Alarmist by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Surely people aren't really born in waves like that anyway, especially not world-wide.

      The first modern "wave" came in the aftermath of WW2, young men returned home from the war and started families. That created a baby boom, I am at the tail end of the "boomers", my dad was an english soldier in occupied Germany just after the war, I was just a bit too young to play with the big kids at Woodstock but benifited from the abolishion of the draft in the west. Subsequent "waves" initiated by those who survived the war still occur but each one is flatter that the previous one. Six decades later in 2012 the wiggly bits in the population curve have been smoothed out.

      Nowadays new generations seem to be defined every decade and are something people use to define target markets They appear to be based on shared childhood culture, for example both my parents and my children complain that my music is too loud (but the grandkids are on my side :).

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    28. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They have a name for that generation. You might have heard of the term Baby Boomer. This is that Wave

    29. Re:Alarmist by Stanza · · Score: 1

      So explain to me why some of the most catholic countries in the world have some of the lowest birth rates in the world? Look at Italy (1.4 children/mother) and Spain (1.39 children/mother). Where as protestant Netherlands is 1.79. For an example in the Americas, Colombia (2.1 children/mother) ties the USA.

      As other people are telling you, the fertility rate correlates far better to wealth and education than religion, or even what type of religion.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_dependent_territories_by_fertility_rate

    30. Re:Alarmist by EdIII · · Score: 1

      This not troll.

      Religion may be wrong, but there is a pressure to have large numbers of families from cultural pressures, which in some cases, may be linked to religions.

      The article itself mentions poor and unstable countries being the hardest hit which is more or less correct. Through religious pressures (lack of contraceptive technologies), and societal pressures (children as a resource and "hedging" your bets) you will see women in the worst situations having the most children.

      Fertility rates are not dropping, or at least I think fertility implies the ability to have children. In more developed countries you will find a larger population of sophisticated and educated women having less children, and later in life.

      How does that apply to a country like Saudi Arabia, or a Muslim country that is not that unstable but still has a religious and cultural pressure to have large families?

      China does not have a fertility issue. Large families were normal in China until population control was put in force, which in some cases can be extreme, including forced abortion.

      The problems are going to come from the worst places on the planet, and those do have plenty of societal and religious pressures exacerbating the situation.

    31. Re:Alarmist by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      Luckily, religion is not a genetic disease.

      I didn't mean to suggest that religion was a genetic disease. Note that I mentioned that the population would eventually be maxed out by secular parents as well. It is an evolution and culture issue not a dig against religion. Religious groups that encourage high birth rates might consider it a complement to hear it asserted that they will someday dominate the population.

    32. Re:Alarmist by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

      The planet can easily support the food and space needs of several tens of billions in population

      Care to back that up?

      Converting all land areas and most or all of the oceans to maximum productivity crops would increase food production several fold. If that is not enough, then most of our dietary needs could be cheaply synthesised from rocks and air using nuclear or space solar power.

    33. Re:Alarmist by khallow · · Score: 1

      Fertility rates are not dropping,

      Fertility rates are dropping globally. It's not just a rich westerner thing.

    34. Re:Alarmist by khallow · · Score: 1

      Of course we will. We won't have enough land for US style sprawl, but people are seriously underestimating how much resources we have.

    35. Re:Alarmist by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yet the population keeps going up and up and up and up and up and up.

      That's because current fertility is above replacement rate. That doesn't mean it will stay there. There are already a lot of countries below replacement rate.

    36. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are safe from overpopulation in the developed world, but it is still a major problem for the billions in the developing world.

      Nothing a little bio-engineered wheat products in the form of flour cannot solve within a few months when the people are covertly sterilized by eating the wheat. China and India are at the top of this list.

    37. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      10B +/- will be our max population.

      If you're going to try to use statistical notation, at least provide the error range for + / -.

    38. Re:Alarmist by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      The sheer ignorance displayed in these Slashdot discussions is appalling! I live in Portugal, a Catholic country which has one of the lowest fertility rates in the world.

      If you look at the world map you can see correlation with poverty and fertility rate, but no clear religious pattern. But don't look at facts and numbers. It will spoil your deeply entrenched prejudicial view of the world.

    39. Re:Alarmist by assertation · · Score: 1

      These are the same people that denied global climate change was happening until pictures of icebergs crumbling were common on the evening news.

      Don't bother waiting for the American right to open their eyes. They will never admit they are wrong

    40. Re:Alarmist by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It isn't religion (or rather atheism) that is causing the population to stabilize, it is education. That isn't going to go away.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    41. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Religion has very little, if anything to do with it.

      Your Rick Astley "Never Gonna Give You Up" link does not qualify as a valid citation.

    42. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Remember that the evolution of Islam is about 600 years behind that of Christianity and 3000 behind Judaism. I'm pretty sure there will be an Islamic reformation / renaissance in the next 200-300 years.

    43. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Something like 50% of the food produced is lost on the fields and during processing, transport and storage, before the food reach the consumer. Another ~10% is wasted by the consumer. A few percent is wasted to create meat, a few more percent is wasted on fat people. Totaling something like 60-70%. We are currently feeding 7 billion people and 7 billion / 35% = 20 billion.

      With expansion and modernization of the the food production, we could feed another 10 billion in addition to those 20 billion.

    44. Re:Alarmist by assertation · · Score: 1

      Overpopulation means pollution, resource depletion and wars over resources. Overpopulation is very much a problem for the developed world.

    45. Re:Alarmist by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      So the Portuguese are all ignoring what they're told in Mass every weekend?

    46. Re:Alarmist by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      A fair share of the few that attend, yes.

      I would say only the most retarded, mouth-frothing fanatics refuse to use contraception because it's a sin, or something. This is only a fringe minority with no relevance. The vast majority of cases of not using contraception should be attributed more to ignorance and/or stupidity than religion.

      I'd say the same about other Catholics, namely Italians who are far more devout than the Portuguese.

      As seen by your own example, ignorance is not exclusive of Catholics.

    47. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nice try, butthead.

    48. Re:Alarmist by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Nothing ignorant about it. If you use contraception, you're going directly against what all the Catholic leadership tells you. So why do you even bother staying Catholic and attending services if you're going to ignore everything they tell you?

    49. Re:Alarmist by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      I'm a devout Atheist, so just I do whatever I please. And it feels great! Instead, you should ask the millions of people who call themselves Catholics but can't make it without their rubbers or their pills. What I find strange is that you immediately assume Catholics will breed like rabbits without looking into actual data, or giving credit to people who know better than you.

      People have a brain of their own. And they know it's completely impossible to live by the standards imposed by religious authorities. Standards, by the way, that these authorities fail follow themselves. Catholics don't ignore everything they're told, just the parts that that are out of line with practical everyday life.

      Catholics are not alone. Every religion is more or less based on hipocrisy. If whatever god from any religion was to smite the infidels, there would be nobody alive on Earth.

    50. Re:Alarmist by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Actually, I don't think the Catholic authorities have much trouble following their standards regarding contraception. They're all men, and they're either celibate, or they molest little boys as their sexual outlet, so contraception isn't much of a concern for them.

      I don't know about the bit about religion all being based on hypocrisy. I've been going to a Lutheran church lately, and all they preach about is loving your neighbor, following Jesus's examples, etc. They never talk about contraception (since that's not a problem in that church anyway), politics, etc.; it's all just about being a better person. They do talk of course about asking for forgiveness for your sins, but they never specify what is and isn't a sin, I guess they figure you should be able to figure that out for yourself.

    51. Re:Alarmist by daem0n1x · · Score: 1

      I've been going to a Lutheran church lately, and all they preach about is loving your neighbor, following Jesus's examples, etc. They never talk about contraception (since that's not a problem in that church anyway), politics, etc.; it's all just about being a better person. They do talk of course about asking for forgiveness for your sins, but they never specify what is and isn't a sin, I guess they figure you should be able to figure that out for yourself.

      Now, if I happened to be capable of the slightest bit of religious feeling, I might attend one of those.

      But your should understand how things happen here. My country is almost 900 years old. The Catholic religion is a defining characteristic of our national identity since the beginning. People perform the rites of the Catholic church in automatic pilot, not really bothering to think about them.

      We have many emigrants scattered around the world. Christmas and Easter are the times in the year to visit your family. In the summer months, we have celebrations all around the country dedicated to all kinds of saints and the multiple incarnations of the Virgin Mary (every village has a patron saint). During those celebrations, some people go to church, most dance to raunchy music and get shitfaced drunk.

      Most people don't practice religion, but they are baptised, they marry in a church (though this is sharply diminishing) and they declare themselves Catholics. They will never switch religion. In Europe, most people don't take religion as seriously as in the US so they don't bother very much. You take religion seriously, so you try to pick the one that suits you best.

    52. Re:Alarmist by crakbone · · Score: 1

      It honestly does not matter. Look at just the statistics for countries with technology as apposed to countries without. You put in technology and birthrates drop. People watching television, playing wow in their mom's basement, para gliding, jet sking, scuba diving, are not having sex they are doing something else. Put that against a guy in a dirt hut with with 10 hours a day looking at other girls in the village and your going to see a difference.

    53. Re:Alarmist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Icebergs are created when glaciers calve, which they do when growing. I sincerely hope you didn't take calving as a confirmation on climate change, unless you're of the opinion that it's getting colder.

  9. Just Stop! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    How many of those people starve to death everyday? People who cannot provide for their kids need to make a conscious effort to stop having them.

    1. Re:Just Stop! by teg · · Score: 3, Informative

      How many of those people starve to death everyday? People who cannot provide for their kids need to make a conscious effort to stop having them.

      It usually works the other way - when child mortality rate is high, you hedge your bets by getting more children so at least some grow up.

    2. Re:Just Stop! by MaWeiTao · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The reason people in poverty have more children is in the hope that one of them will rise out of that misery, and at the very least grow to adulthood and have children of their own. But a most of their problems are a consequence of government corruption, not a true lack of food or medicine.

      Most developed Asian nations, generally still more densely populated, are seeing fertility rates barely above 1. Hell, even China is starting to see the impact of population decline and has been experiencing the consequences of it's one-child policy. Europe has also seen marked population decline, especially if you don't count immigration. I think the US is one of the exceptions, where the more affluent population continues to have more than multiple children. And even then, it's hard to argue that we have any kind of population problem.

      I'm not sure why the stories of a population explosion persist when it's long since been shown that it's not going to happen.

    3. Re:Just Stop! by Enderandrew · · Score: 1

      Starvation still exists, but global malnourishment has actually gone down.

      Forgive me for going a bit partisan on this one issue (I don't belong to either party) but using the alarmism of the population boom generally comes from Democrats, who in turn also argue that genetically modified foods are evil. They're worried that people around the globe are starving while at the same time trying to stop food shipments to third world countries. I can't understand the hypocrisy on this issue. And when it comes to people fucking starving, we should ignore traditional party lines and think like decent human beings. Let the fucking people eat.

      The reason the world isn't starving on the whole right now is because of agricultural science.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    4. Re:Just Stop! by vlm · · Score: 1, Troll

      I think the US is one of the exceptions, where the more affluent population continues to have more than multiple children.

      LOL its the other way around, pretty intensely. High school dropout and no skills and no job = minimum 7 kids in the trailer, "career oriented woman" = no kids.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    5. Re:Just Stop! by rgbrenner · · Score: 5, Interesting

      the us native-born reproductive rate is 2.

      2.1 is required for the population to stay the same.

      The US only has a growing population because of the higher birth rate among immigrants

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate#United_States

    6. Re:Just Stop! by crispylinetta · · Score: 2

      I think the US is one of the exceptions, where the more affluent population continues to have more than multiple children.

      Can you share a source that cites just how many more than multiple? :)

    7. Re:Just Stop! by CubicleZombie · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I think the US is one of the exceptions, where the more affluent population continues to have more than multiple children.

      The intelligent hardworking people I know have two, one, or no children. The dumbest and poorest just keep pushing them out. It's exactly like the movie Idiocracy.

      It doesn't help that we have a social system that rewards low income high birth rate. My wife and I will have to make a tough decision when it comes to offspring #2. Can we afford it or not? If we can't, I'll get snipped and we'll just go on working to pay for other people's children through welfare, food stamps, WIC, EIC, Section 8, school lunch vouchers, head start, etc, etc, etc. Our standard of living would improve if we both just quit working and had more children.

      --
      :wq
    8. Re:Just Stop! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The reason people in poverty have more children is in the hope that one of them will rise out of that misery

      They have more children in the hope that they will sustain them in old age.

    9. Re:Just Stop! by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      I don't see why they need to be mutually exclusive. Trailer park patrons do indeed have a higher birthrate, but that doesn't negate the claim that affluent people are having more children in the US than their counterparts elsewhere in the developed world. Do they have as many as redneck Joe? No. But do they have enough to cause a population increase, rather than a decline? Yes, according to what was said.

    10. Re:Just Stop! by microbox · · Score: 1

      I agree with you regarding partisan sentiment. However, the Republicans can hardly be considered the party of science. Perhaps we need a "science" party, but then again, who would vote for them??

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    11. Re:Just Stop! by HapSlappy_2222 · · Score: 1

      This isn't always true. Often religious beliefs factor in. I know a great many Mormon and Catholic families that pump em out like turnip factories, yet these people can afford all college tuition, cars, clothes, etc for all their children.

      Granted, I'm sure they get some pretty significant tax breaks, but they are by no means the dumbest *well, in terms of marketable intelligence; why anyone would WANT 8 kids is beyond me) and/or poorest.

      Here's why I'm happy with my two: my family fits in all Disneyland rides, we all get window seats on long drives, we fit in booths properly at restaurants, and when my lovely wife (their stepmom) and I grow too old wipe, we each get a free nurse. THAT is family planning, baby.

    12. Re:Just Stop! by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Exactly. A lot of people scream about statistics that 1 in 6 US children are born into poverty, and there's a reason for this: it's the poor people that have all the kids. The rich(er) people are too busy with their careers to have more than 1 or 2, if any. A lot of people even put it off because of their careers, only to find out they missed their window.

    13. Re:Just Stop! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason people in poverty have more kids is they have fewer entertainment options.

    14. Re:Just Stop! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I consider myself an intelligent hardworking person. I make a nice six figure salary. My wife has a masters degree and is in her 10th year as a teacher. We have 5 children. We have never used any government welfare of any kind. I am raising my children as left leaning Atheists. My oldest son is 15 and I already have money for college set aside for all my children. My children are all intelligent and taught to think for themselves. They are taught the realities of life. They are well rounded children who do well in school. My oldest is pushing to be a doctor. My 3rd son has wanted to be an engineer for the last 5 years and my second son has expressed interest in becoming a lawyer. Where I live, the majority of my friends and family who have been unsuccessful in life, don't have a career etc, have zero kids. Life doesn't easily fit into a box. Yes I know two people with a large number of kids, 4 - 5 who are poor parents and are raising their kids religious but not everyone is like that.

    15. Re:Just Stop! by Teresita · · Score: 1

      The number of people who are alive automatically represents the number of people who can eat under the present level of technology, since you have to eat to live. If by some misfortune there were to be more people than we have the ability to feed, why, then, those extra people would soon starve, and we'd be right back at the equilibrium population again.

    16. Re:Just Stop! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gee, yes, let's all speculate on this with guesses and personal anecdotes... because there couldn't possibly be organizations that collect census data on fertility around the world!

    17. Re:Just Stop! by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      That keeps getting trotted out, but it sound like BS. There may be some cultures that do this, but making a blanket statement like that imparts WAY more planning for the future than is really believable for much of the population that is in poverty.

    18. Re:Just Stop! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Our standard of living would improve if we both just quit working and had more children.

      You don't honestly believe that do you? I can understand people not wanting to support others with their work but I cannot understand how anyone thinks the poor have a better standard of living. The bottom 50% in the U.S. have 5% of the wealth. That's a huge differential. In the end government provides a 'safety net' for the poor for the simple reason that if half the country went hungry for a day or two we wouldn't have a country left by next Saturday.

    19. Re:Just Stop! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They all still afford college and everything else because they only buy what they need. They don't buy two cars per person, they make large meals and reuse leftovers, the first two kids get new clothing and everyone else has hand-me-downs, they go to cheaper schools, etc...

      Their cable and internet bills are the same as yours, they go to more community activities and have enough people to play board and card games with themselves so less expensive electronic gaming, they've got multiple people to split up the chores so everything gets done faster despite there being a little more work. It really isn't that harder to wash 6 dishes than wash and dry 2 dishes (another kid will do the drying of the 6 dishes). It's just as easy to read to four kids the same story as it is to read to two kids. Eventually the older kids will start helping out the younger kids, providing you with more time and the older kid better experience compared to an only child. Assuming all the kids don't hate each other, they've got their brothers and sisters who will back them up when needed thus less prone to depression and feeling like an outcast. There are many, many more examples.

      I'm not sure which large families you've seen, but the one's I've seen get by by having a more sustainable life style. Tax breaks don't out weight the cost of a kid. If they did, kids wouldn't be expensive and everyone would have many. Each kid after 2 or 3 becomes cheaper than the last.

    20. Re:Just Stop! by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Perhaps we need a "science" party, but then again, who would vote for them??

      This is what a strong public service is supposed to provide. They are supposed to be a meritocracy staffed by technocrats with the balls to "speak truth to power", the IPCC and NASA are good examples of such a service. Politicians are then supposed to weigh the science and budgeting options against another old fashioned concept called "the common good" to form a sane policy.

      A weak public service leads to corrupt legislature, a weak legislature leads to a corrupt public service. From a foriegn POV, the majority of Americans appear to want both to be weak, which (IMO) is the worst possible combination in a democracy.

      As for population, the NWO are not doing a very good job

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    21. Re:Just Stop! by TapeCutter · · Score: 0

      It's much more complex than that. Natural populations often grow to a point where they destroy their food source and the population simply collapses to (near) zero. Easter Island is a good analogy to the global problems we face today. They cut down every tree and lost the ability to build boats which was their main source of food, the food was still there but they lost the ability to harvest it. The famine and fighting that followed restablised the population of a few thousand living in a 'tropical paradise' to ~200 clinging to a barren rock. I've seen this phenomena first hand in the form of rabbit/mouse plauges here in Australia. Oil (for fertiliser, transport, tractors, etc) is the modern global equivalent of the trees on Easter Island, it's not our food source but it might as well be.

      Unlike mice, rabbits, and fermenting yeast, we can make pretty good guesses at the future and self regulate to avoid problems, it's THE thing that has put us at the top of the food chain, acid rain and erradication of smallpox are good examples, but sadly they're vastly outnumbered by not so good examples. I agree healthy competition is the most effecient way to solve a problem, be it social, economic, or technical, but it requires informed co-operation to define the 'problem' to the satisfaction of a healthy majority.

      OTOH the above may just be wishful thinking, perhaps there are no aliens because at some point all technological species wipe themselves out with something as silly as, removing phone sanitisers, chopping down the last tree. But aliens are not the only evidence, how many civilizations have come and gone before the current, global civilization that exists today?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    22. Re:Just Stop! by Holi · · Score: 1

      Yes because living on welfare is such a reward. I really doub t you would consider section 8 housing an improvement in your lifestyle. Please remember that the myth of welfare queens is just that, a myth. And notice the majority of those programs are there to help the children. It's not like these people are living large.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
  10. What problems? by pointyhat · · Score: 2

    The only problem with exploding population is that it's not profitable to move all the food around so some people throw 50% away and some people starve.

    Oh and as for governments, they don't scale. We need to start chopping everything up into smaller bits.

  11. Solutions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Abortion, sterilization, genetic cleansing of sexual desires, genetic manufacture of population. All part of the big plan to make us dependent on the IFSP.

    Discuss.

  12. What a bunch of bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Generations don't come in waves. Children are not born only every 30 years. The human population has never been stable either. The absolute growth changes, but the factor by which an exponentially increasing population changes is always the same. It's half full one doubling time before it's full. That doesn't mean it's not on an "explosive" (exponential) growth curve before.

    1. Re:What a bunch of bullshit by Applekid · · Score: 1

      Really, though, any given day, the largest number of people enter their childbearing years than ever in history, and that number is always greater than those leaving childbearing years.

      Calling it a "generation" is a bit silly, but it's certainly a less wordy way of saying it that still sends the message.

      --
      More Twoson than Cupertino
    2. Re:What a bunch of bullshit by Steve+Max · · Score: 2

      Actually, if this graph is to be trusted, it's very far from an exponential growth. You can see two breaks: one at about -5000, where the population started growing; and one at about 1700, where the growth rate increased dramatically. Also a hint for another, more recent break (~1950?), where the growth rate increased again. (Note for the mathematically impaired: an exponential growth means a straight line in a log graphic. You can divide this graphic in 3-4 different straight lines, so you have 3-4 different growth rates at different points in time)

    3. Re:What a bunch of bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That graph shows exponential growth from at least 5000 B.C. on. The doubling time changes (shrinks) several times, but there are big stretches where it stays constant. I'd be very cautious about population numbers that far back, so let me put it this way: During all of recorded human history, there has been exponential growth. If people had had this discussion 4000 B.C., there would have been someone pointing at data from the past 1000 years and be all alarmist how the growth was exponential and that it was unsustainable. If you normalize the current population to 100% and plot the graph for one doubling time, the curve looks exactly the same, 4000 B.C. or now. The absolute numbers are different, but the simple fact that it's exponential growth remains.

      Now, this isn't to say that there isn't a problem. Our resources are finite and if the growth continues, rather drastic change will be upon us. But the way to describe it isn't to postulate that we've entered a phase of exponential population growth. Exponential isn't a fancier word for "fast". It has a clearly defined meaning. We're in a bit of a problem precisely because the population is STILL growing exponentially. Had it not been growing exponentially for a long time already, there wouldn't be a problem for another couple doubling times from now.

    4. Re:What a bunch of bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agriculture and then industrialization?

  13. 100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ....that if i had a button which if pressed, would kill every man, woman and child; I would push it without hesitation.

    1. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but barring that, I'll just be sure not to have any children....

    2. Re:100% serious.... by busyqth · · Score: 0, Troll

      You're an idiot.

    3. Re:100% serious.... by bwintx · · Score: 1

      But only once, obviously. Unless you're one of those computer-using cats I'm always seeing on YouTube.

      --
      Discussion System prefs link: http://slashdot.org/users.pl?op=editcomm
    4. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd be tempted press one that would instantly erase all superstitious beliefs (aka religion)

    5. Re:100% serious.... by tgd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ....that if i had a button which if pressed, would kill every man, woman and child; I would push it without hesitation.

      The problem with that is that you're effectively dooming three billion years of evolution to comparatively short term extinction.

      Humanity may be killing vast percentages of the biome, and may be causing substantial short term damage to the ecosphere, but its also the best opportunity the planet has had, or likely will ever have, to getting off the planet. And life that doesn't get off the planet will end, period. The odds are there won't be a second chance. Could intelligence arise again? Its possible. Its also possible it has arisen before.

      The problem is one of opportunity. Getting life off this rock doesn't take intelligence. It takes intelligence, the right series of events making that kind of capability important to be developed, *AND*, most importantly, it will require some hypothetical future species to have access to vast amounts of energy.

      Guess what, we've used up virtually all of the dense sources of energy that can be recovered without technology. The conditions that led to the development of coal, oil and natural gas involve geological and environmental conditions that in concert won't likely happen again.

      So your short-sighted action would likely save one small potential set of life that otherwise wouldn't have a chance to exist, but would essentially guarantee an end to the entire chain of life in another half billion or billion years.

    6. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Evolution is not getting faster, or smarter or even being able to build a civilization. Is being able to survive. If we by our own idiocy don't survive, then we weren't better by evolution terms.

    7. Re:100% serious.... by na1led · · Score: 0

      We are doomed to extinction because of our evolutionary traits, such as greed and envy. All of which made it possible for intelligent life, but also results in self destruction.

      --
      -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
    8. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Life that does get off the planet will also end anyway "period"

      You do understand the second law of thermodynamics, don't you?

    9. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) "Life" doesn't care if we get off the "planet" or not. Life is fine waiting for the sun to go out, thank you very much.
      2) "We" will go extinct at some point in the future no matter what we do. even if by the slimmest possible chance we make it to the heat death of the Universe "we" will die shortly after.
      3) "We" will not survive off the planet. There is no extra-Terran humanity. Either we adapt to space or we send robots but there is no "us" out "there".

      Please stop trying to create some stupid Manifest Destinity IN SPAAAAAACE! There ain't none, son.

    10. Re:100% serious.... by HapSlappy_2222 · · Score: 1

      What if we gave you a button you thought did this? Would you push it and shut the fuck up?

    11. Re:100% serious.... by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      You're probably already sorted on that score.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    12. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We are doomed to extinction because of our evolutionary traits, such as greed and envy. All of which made it possible for intelligent life, but also results in self destruction.

      Speak for yourself and those around you only (perhaps in your country this is true). Not everywhere is there a great sense of self-abasement. There are mainly good people around going about their day making it possible for advanced technology to develop and mature, and for you post this drivel on slashdot.

    13. Re:100% serious.... by jkflying · · Score: 1

      Until a meteorite hits Earth and sends everything back to pre-cambrian.

      --
      Help I am stuck in a signature factory!
    14. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ....that if i had a button which if pressed, would kill every man, woman and child; I would push it without hesitation.

      Allright, Mitt, I'm still voting for you, but only because the guy we've got right now has barely budged the unemployment rate in four years!

    15. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ....that if i had a button which if pressed, would kill every man, woman and child; I would push it without hesitation.

      The Twilight Zone tv show has an episode on this. A random person is offered a large sum of money to press a simple button knowing that if they did, some unknown to them person would die. The "twist" revealed at the end was that the person who had last pressed that button was the one who died, and so on... So go ahead and 'press that button', see where it gets you.

    16. Re:100% serious.... by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      1) "Life" doesn't care if we get off the "planet" or not. Life is fine waiting for the sun to go out, thank you very much.

      So? "Life" also doesn't care if several species go extinct or not. "Life" wouldn't ever care if we destroy the entire biosphere, except for us (what we seem to be doomed to achieve) - several criters have done that before, and there is nobody around complaining about that pesky oxigen at the atmosphere.

      If you don't care if life out-survives our Sun (or even the freezing of the Earth's core, that may happen much sooner), why do you care about life out-surviving people?

    17. Re:100% serious.... by busyqth · · Score: 1

      Ok, so a guy who says he wishes he could kill every human being is "interesting", but the guy who calls him an idiot is a "troll".
      Thanks!

    18. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two issues:

      1.Are humans a threat to the viability of life on earth? answer: no, only a threat to our own viability. life WILL continue, even if we drop all our nukes. The extinction event we are creating is tragic only from the perspective of a human being who will suffer climate change, loss of habitat, loss of beauty, dwindling resources, etc. I myself feel immensly saddened by how we have painted ourselves into a horribly tiny corner, with such a path of suffering to get out of it, if we can.

      2. Are you human? possibly not. the hallmark of humans is the capacity for the conscious extension of our compassion beyond our immediate breeding group, to all other humans, other species, and the environment. saying you are willing to press a button that would kill 7 billion creatures, makes you THE worst type of sociopath that can possibly exist. It doesnt matter what other qualities you possess, an attitude like that is completely unforgivable. Assuming you are not trolling, I would ask you to seriously think about the role of compassion in human existence, and whether there is a possibility that you are merely expressing rage at the pain that we have caused the world, or rage at some pain done to you. If you can find the source of this lack of compassion, and show some compassion for your own humanity, you may find you can soften your heart to us and find a way to channel your pain in some constructive manner. If not, you deserve our prayers if you choose to never act on your sociopathy, and our enmity if you feel you have the slightest chance of acting on this impulse to any degree. good luck.

    19. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ....that if i had a button which if pressed, would kill every man, woman and child; I would push it without hesitation. ..........The problem with that is that you're effectively dooming three billion years of evolution to comparatively short term extinction.

      No, the problem with the is some whack job wants to kill people. Men, women, and children. What the F*CK is wrong with you sick people?

    20. Re:100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spot on. Bravo. Seriously, you said what I was thinking.

    21. Re:100% serious.... by rastos1 · · Score: 1

      James Holmes, is that you?

      If not, go and see a 2-years old. Then a psychiatrist.

  14. We could easily stop this by Hatta · · Score: 5, Insightful

    By bringing middle classes to developing nations. People who don't have to have litters to ensure that one child survives have one or two children, below the replacement rate. People who have careers and money to spend and cultural activities to take part in don't spend so much time screwing. And when they do, they realize that having extra children will prevent them from enjoying those luxuries.

    In short, the fight against overpopulation is the same as the fight against global inequality.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    1. Re:We could easily stop this by SirGarlon · · Score: 0

      This is why I call the birth control pill the greatest boon to mankind since the smallpox vaccine. Indeed, I would say more: it's the greatest boon to mankind since agriculture itself. Agriculture allows civilization but dictates rapid population growth; birth control counter-acts the rapid population growth and resulting resource shortages and general squalor.

      --
      [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
    2. Re:We could easily stop this by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      By bringing middle classes to developing nations.

      That reduces population growth, but causes an explosion of per-capita resource consumption. That's not exactly sustainable either.

    3. Re:We could easily stop this by vlm · · Score: 2

      People who have careers and money to spend and cultural activities to take part in don't spend so much time screwing.

      Unlikely. "everyone knows" if you get a bachelor pad downtown in the hip urban areas then you'll get laid every night. Supposedly. Also see endless "I can't date until I buy a junker car" and "I can't get laid until I get an apartment and move out of mom's basement" and "rich guys get all the chicks" and "I need to get a job after school to pay for dating if boy and clothes so boys notice me if girl" etc etc.

      Aside from examples and logic, if its anecdote time, it certainly applies to the first half of my life... I can't even think of a situation where I didn't get laid where I thought to myself, "self, if only I was unemployed, had no money, and never went anywhere or did anything, then, right now I'd be on top of her"

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    4. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A middle class person in a first world countries uses up as many natural resources as a few large families in a 3rd world country.

      The environment wouldn't be able to take that kinda pressure.

    5. Re:We could easily stop this by 0123456 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is why I call the birth control pill the greatest boon to mankind since the smallpox vaccine.

      Except it means that the sensible people have few or no kids while the nutty cultists continue to have dozens. Doesn't take long for that to result in a world of nutty cultists and few sensible people.

    6. Re:We could easily stop this by brainzach · · Score: 1

      Bringing billions of people around the world to the middle class is much more difficult than controlling population growth.

    7. Re:We could easily stop this by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Doesn't take long for that to result in a world of nutty cultists and few sensible people.

      Only about 52 years apparently.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    8. Re:We could easily stop this by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Allowing the majority of the world's population to languish in poverty is morally reprehensible. Whether it's hard to eliminate poverty or not, we should at least strive to do so.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    9. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, but the GP's point is that you're wrong to say that this could "easily" be stopped. And he's right - It can't. No problem of this magnitude has an "easy" solution.

    10. Re:We could easily stop this by Hatta · · Score: 1

      It's easy, if we choose to do it. We won't, but we could.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    11. Re:We could easily stop this by jkflying · · Score: 1

      52.3 to be precise.

      --
      Help I am stuck in a signature factory!
    12. Re:We could easily stop this by jkflying · · Score: 1

      Better to catch in now though, then a generation later when there are 5x as many of them?

      --
      Help I am stuck in a signature factory!
    13. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think he meant screwing as in making babies.

    14. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For most people with a minimum of education there is a difference between 'getting all the girls' and 'getting all the girls pregnant'.

    15. Re:We could easily stop this by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Bringing billions of people around the world to the middle class is much more difficult than controlling population growth.

      Better let the enlightenment period know, they want a word with you.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    16. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it isn't. Even if literally every single person on Earth got behind the idea and fully dedicated their entire life to making it happen, it wouldn't be "easy". Nor fast.

      There are no easy answers. Never have been, never will be, never can be. Claiming that there are is a comforting lie whose sole purpose is to spare oneself from having to really think about the problem.

    17. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But it would end up with an equilibrium, unless the population grows that much that the planet is unable to support the consumption before we have equilibrium. Even then, with companies now starting to mine asteroids, the whole solar system will be our playground soon, so more than enough resources to go around.

    18. Re:We could easily stop this by manu0601 · · Score: 1

      By bringing middle classes to developing nations. People who don't have to have litters to ensure that one child survives have one or two children, below the replacement rate. People who have careers and money to spend and cultural activities to take part in don't spend so much time screwing. And when they do, they realize that having extra children will prevent them from enjoying those luxuries.

      And if people have a retirement system, they do not need to have a lot of children to take care of them in their old years.

    19. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. Therefore, killing the poor and starving peoples in underdeveloped nations is the only viable course of action. If Africa sank into the ocean and India slid into the sea nobody of reasonable intelligence would weep. The event would be reason to rejoice for the Earth.

    20. Re:We could easily stop this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're an idiot.

  15. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 5, Informative

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  16. 3 1/2 Billion Women... by SternisheFan · · Score: 4, Funny

    and still none for the average /.er. ;-(

  17. The thing about nature... by Q-Hack! · · Score: 1

    Nature has a way of equalizing the population to it's confined space. We may not like it, but it will happen one way or the other. I like how the video tries to tell you that the problem is solvable by government action. It isn't by any realistic measure. The more you provide resources to people, the more they will consume, and the worse the problem becomes. Wars, while not ideal, do a fairly good job of removing large numbers of the population quickly, as does desease. However, we like to think that to be civilized we should do all we can to stop both. So instead we allow people to starve to death... Yea, humanity.

    --
    Some days I get the sinking feeling Orwell was an optimist.
    1. Re:The thing about nature... by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Wars and disease are lousy at controlling population. Birth rates jump right up afterwards.

      And no one needs to starve, there is plenty of land left which isn't being efficiently farmed.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    2. Re:The thing about nature... by BenJury · · Score: 1

      War really won't 'save' us. Take WWII, the UK lost under 400k, while the population jumped 4m during the decade. (With a 2m increase the decades before and after.)

      Unfortuantly what is more likely is a 'perfect storm' of enviromental disasters wiping out a lot of our farming for a few years. At least after there maybe political will to grapple with population control. 'Tis a scary thought.

      --
      Blatant Advert: Android Apps!
    3. Re:The thing about nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wars actually reduce small numbers unless you want to talk about some kind of nuclear holocaust or you are counting the starvation/disease caused by war?

      I might be selfish but I hope my country stays on top of the pile until after I shuffle off at a ripe old age.

  18. Interestingly.... by freshlimesoda · · Score: 1

    per Hans Rosling in http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/en/hans_rosling_religions_and_babies.html we have already peaked the world population.. worth a watch.

    --
    I come to Slashdot only to read sigs. One you are reading is mine.
    1. Re:Interestingly.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If world population has peaked, how can it still go up?

  19. That's the thing about a J-curve... by Iniamyen · · Score: 2

    If the present day is the right hand side, things always look more stable in the past. It's always been a J-curve, though.

  20. fwiw by buddyglass · · Score: 2

    UN's "medium" estimate is that population will reach about 10 billion and then plateau. Of course, projecting population 90 years in the future is an inexact science at best. On thought on resource consumption: an individual human being's resource consumption is, to a large degree, a factor of his or her standard of living. Consider the per capita resource consumption of developed, western countries vs. sub-Saharan Africa. One could reasonably argue that it will prove impossible to maintain the current global mean standard of living as population increases, ergo environmental stress may not end up increasing linearly with population.

  21. Agent Smith by wideBlueSkies · · Score: 0

    Didn't he say something about a virus?????

    --
    Huh?
  22. Population Cap by DeeEff · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Obligatory TED links, that might actually be a bit more insightful than TFA.

    http://www.ted.com/talks/lang/en/hans_rosling_religions_and_babies.html
    http://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_on_global_population_growth.html

    While I am skeptical that we'll have enough resources either way, I think that humans are going to have to adapt hard or the entire race will just fade away. This won't necessarily be a problem for a few generations, but there is very little left in this world that is untouched, or that we can leave untouched. Solutions to the energy crisis aside, food and water are still major concerns, and we can't infinitely increase the amount of farming, because we'll also need to increase our living spaces; however, this is unless we go full Tokyo and build above and below ourselves and learn to live in cramped situations. Even still, it will be an incredibly difficult feat to convince most Westerners that they aren't allowed cars anymore and that they need to walk or use trains to go to work. I don't mind myself, since I'm a student who uses trains and busing all the time, but few people want to give up the luxury of driving to work in favour of using a subway system (similar to how most east asian countries operate).

    In the meantime, I'm going to be developing my zombie formula so that I can do my part to end overpopulation. Call me if you can help, I'm trying to put a patent together so I can sue others who want to destroy the Earth while the zombies and lawyers (?difference) take over.

    1. Re:Population Cap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solutions to the energy crisis aside, food and water are still major concerns, and we can't infinitely increase the amount of farming, because we'll also need to increase our living spaces

      There's a fairly simple change that we can make to our farming strategy that will go a long ways towards feeding a lot more people than we have today. People won't like it, but it will work. Basically, we need to stop eating animals. Look at the resources necessary to grow 1lb of food versus those needed to produce 1lb of meat...there's a lot of inefficiency there that, if eliminated, could support a lot more people.

      The main problem...most people would prefer a global war that wipes out 2/3 of the population rather than living in a world where they can't eat meat.

    2. Re:Population Cap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You've got a couple of errors in your thinking. Some factoids to help you out:
      - With a population density that of Paris, France, you could fit the entire population of the world into a space a bit smaller than the US State of Texas. The world is pretty damn big.
      - A fusion-scale solution to worldwide energy problems also provides the solution to countless other problems, fresh water included.
      - Infinite increases in farming are not needed - the issue is and will continue to be with distribution, not production. In other words, it's hard to feed people who are being starved by their government.
      - You have a massive misconception about "the luxury to drive to work". Polling routinely indicates that people prefer public transit, as long as it is reasonably convenient. The US, being the worst offender on the reasonableness front, has some of the most poorly designed cities on Earth. Consequently, public transport in the US generally sucks.

    3. Re:Population Cap by mdarksbane · · Score: 1

      There is still a *lot* of empty space. Also, if we managed to convert even a fraction of the developing world to the level of output that US farms have, we have plenty of food. Mostly the issue is water and sanitation.

      But even then... the real issue is energy. We can deal with getting water to where it is needed if energy is cheap enough.

    4. Re:Population Cap by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Solutions to the energy crisis aside, food and water are still major concerns, and we can't infinitely increase the amount of farming, because we'll also need to increase our living spaces; however, this is unless we go full Tokyo and build above and below ourselves and learn to live in cramped situations.

      Everything comes down to ready supply of cheap energy. If we have that, nothing much matters.

      With cheap energy you can grow food indoors without any farm land. With cheap energy you can build huge skyscrapers where everyone has more living space than they do today. With cheap energy you can dig up all the materials you want, recycle what you can't find, and ship more down from space if you really have to.

      Which is probably why so many on the left hate cheap energy so much.

    5. Re:Population Cap by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 1

      The main problem...most people would prefer a global war that wipes out 2/3 of the population rather than living in a world where they can't eat meat.

      Well then, most of us are in luck!

      --
      <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
    6. Re:Population Cap by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 1

      Which is probably why so many on the left hate cheap energy so much.

      Speaking for myself only, it's not cheap energy I have a problem with, it's destroying the environment and running out or becoming so scarce that it's prohibitively expensive.

      --
      <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
    7. Re:Population Cap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Completely correct. The biggest stunt to growth in farming has been water. If we can cheaply desalinate the ocean, and cheaply pump that water into the mainland, we could turns deserts back into farmland, and irrigate everything.

    8. Re:Population Cap by rve · · Score: 1

      There is still a *lot* of empty space. Also, if we managed to convert even a fraction of the developing world to the level of output that US farms have, we have plenty of food. Mostly the issue is water and sanitation.

      But even then... the real issue is energy. We can deal with getting water to where it is needed if energy is cheap enough.

      You do point out the elephant in the living room here by mentioning energy, but you seem to have missed just how big this elephant is. In a very real way, modern farming is a way of using land to turn fossil fuel into food. When thinking about peak oil, and cheap energy becoming a thing of the past, people think of their gas bill. This isn't the problem at all! Spending two or three times as much on gas to get to work is not a problem - people in Europe and Japan have been used to this for decades now and they've adapted. The real, society changing and possibly civilization collapsing problem is the price of food. A large chunk of the price of our food is in the form of the fuel it cost to make it, and this cost will continue to rise. Simply switching back to an old fashioned, less energy intensive way of farming is impossible - there is not enough available land to compensate for the substantially lower yield.

      Every single forest in the world would have to be cleared for farming, and it still might not be enough. Here in the west, and doubling of the production cost will not immediately cause a doubling in the price of food, because a large portion of the price here consists of added services. In lower wage countries, this is not the case, and food prices swing wildly, which has triggered a cascade of revolutions and civil wars in the past few years. This may look like a good thing now, but just wait until it turns out that democracy can't bring their food prices down either.

      I am under no illusion that just because we are rich, free and enlightened, our society will deal with a sustained shrinkage of the standard of living in a peaceful and dignified manner. 'Interesting' times may be ahead...

    9. Re:Population Cap by jkflying · · Score: 1

      And the price of table salt would come down, as well.

      --
      Help I am stuck in a signature factory!
    10. Re:Population Cap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why should supporting an ever increasing number of people be the goal? I'd much prefer to support a lower number of people with healthy diets, versus a higher number of people eating poorly.

      Riddle me this:
      - What are the essential carbohydrates? (In other words, what are the carbs that the body needs to survive but can't produce for itself)
      - What are the essential proteins?

    11. Re:Population Cap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even still, it will be an incredibly difficult feat to convince most Westerners that they aren't allowed cars anymore and that they need to walk or use trains to go to work. I don't mind myself, since I'm a student who uses trains and busing all the time, but few people want to give up the luxury of driving to work in favor of using a subway system (similar to how most east Asian countries operate).

      In the meantime, I'm going to be developing my zombie formula so that I can do my part to end overpopulation. Call me if you can help, I'm trying to put a patent together so I can sue others who want to destroy the Earth while the zombies and lawyers (?difference) take over.

      People use that "luxury" because the public transportation is so bad. Have you ever tried to catch a bus in the Phoenix Metro Area when it is 113 out? you cannot wait for 30 minutes to sit on an unairconditioned bus that may or may not be on time to get you to yet another bus that may or may not be on time. total trip 4 hours and you still missed the appointment and nearly died of heat stroke.

      Now if they had a fantastic transportation system here, that ran on time, and for 8 months out of the year had working A/C you might start to change things.

    12. Re:Population Cap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Simply switching back to an old fashioned, less energy intensive way of farming is impossible - there is not enough available land to compensate for the substantially lower yield.

      [Citation Needed]

    13. Re:Population Cap by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Eat the rich.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  23. Population growth by ravenswood1000 · · Score: 1

    It is a very significant possibility that at this growth we will be starving ourselves to death. There is only so much to go around. The question is, how many and who?

    1. Re:Population growth by Enderandrew · · Score: 1

      Malnourishment has been going down steadily for decades. And people have made the claims that the world will starve because of population growth for decades.

      http://www.amazon.com/The-Population-Bomb-Paul-Ehrlich/dp/1568495870

      Those claims continue to prove false.

      --
      http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
    2. Re:Population growth by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 1

      Err, they've been saying that since Malthus at least, so for centuries.

    3. Re:Population growth by amorsen · · Score: 1

      World population is growing at around 1.1% a year right now. If we cannot figure out how to make our farms 1.1% better each year, we deserve to die out.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  24. A little late, isn't it? by dpilot · · Score: 1

    It's not "the Coming Wave," we're right in the midst of it, and have been for some time. It's not in front of us, we're well into it. That's not to say it won't get much, much worse, but it's very important to realize that we have entered the effects of overpopulation.

    Just ask the Atlantic Cod fisheries, the Pacific garbage patch, that dry lake somewhere in the former USSR - heck, there are too many to list.

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  25. Hans says no! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Over at TED, Hans Rosling has a fantastic presentation of why he thinks the world's pop will plateau at 10 billion. That's still a LOT of people, but there appears to be hope...

  26. Get... by rainer_d · · Score: 1

    ...off...my....lawn!

    --
    Windows 2000 - from the guys who brought us edlin
  27. Re: Total, Ugly, Disaster by SternisheFan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "We need regulations that strictly govern who is allowed to reproduce and how many babies can be born. That is unpleasant and almost unthinkable but it must be done." *** And may I suggest we begin the sterilization with YOU!

  28. Re:TED by na1led · · Score: 0, Troll

    Religion is what got us to this place to begin with! Anyone with a rational brain can see the consequences of having too many kids. Religion teaches irrational behavior.

    --
    -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
  29. There's 70 billion people of Earth by objekt · · Score: 1

    Where are they hiding?

    --
    -- Boycott Shell
    1. Re:There's 70 billion people of Earth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      7 billion = 7,000,000,000 = 100%
      700 million = 700,000,000 = 10%
      70 million = 70,000,000 = 1%
      7 million = 7,000,000 = .1%

      See how that works?

  30. Little left untouched by phorm · · Score: 2

    "There is very little left in this world that is untouched, or that we can leave untouched"

    I'm not sure how true this is. In terms of natural resources (mines, forestry, oil) things will get tougher. However, there are lots of places with places for people.
    However, most people tend to
    a) Prefer to live in the big, already-crowded cities
    b) Not want to start new towns

    Technology allows us to cultivate land that was previously quite un-usable. The big problem is that we're dirty pests that tend to f*** up said land. If we could clean up our act ecologically, perhaps we could integrate better into the large amount of landmass that's still available.

  31. The 6 foot virus by na1led · · Score: 0

    It will consume the world till it consumes itself.

    --
    -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
  32. We're all going to die! by jeffasselin · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "This natural inequality of the two powers, of population, and of production of the earth, and that great law of our nature which must constantly keep their effects equal, form the great difficulty that appears to me insurmountable in the way to the perfectibility of society."

    Thomas Malthus, 18th century.

    People have been saying that the "end is near" since human beings developed speech. None have been right. Ockam's razor and the law of induction tells me they won't be in the future.

    --
    If he explores all forms and substances Straight homeward to their symbol-essences; He shall not die.
    1. Re:We're all going to die! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that's the kind of logic you use to get through life, you're not going very far. Seriously, "It hasn't happened yet, even though someone pre-Industrial Revolution predicted it, so it won't happen no matter how circumstances have changed." is about as dumb as it gets.

    2. Re:We're all going to die! by HapSlappy_2222 · · Score: 1

      Agreed. The focus should be on improving quality and expectancy of life, for all people. I don't fear mass extinctions except in a few distinct cases (asteroid strikes, global pandemic, etc). Global warming and climate change may cause a drastic change of life for us all, and it will suck bad, but I don't see extinction level event.

      All that said, yup, there's a lot we can do to improve life for the people who do live here, and we should strive to do so. All of us atheists get it, and most religious folks do too; you don't do the right thing out of fear of the whip, you do it because it's the right thing to do (the Golden Rule is the ONLY tautology I subscribe to).

    3. Re:We're all going to die! by SternisheFan · · Score: 1

      If that's the kind of logic you use to get through life, you're not going very far. Seriously, "It hasn't happened yet, even though someone pre-Industrial Revolution predicted it, so it won't happen no matter how circumstances have changed." is about as dumb as it gets.

      IMHO, Parent is right. The sun will rise tomorrow even with a "the end is near" guy barking every couple of years. Throughout history people have said, "This is not a good time to bring kids into the world." And you know what? We're still here! Humans have an amazing ability to adapt and survive. As someone here already posted the ancient chinese curse, "May you live in interesting times.", these are interesting times. I used to work for a guy who once said to me,"Don't worry about it.. Just think, in a hundred years, all new people!"

    4. Re:We're all going to die! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      However, eventually someone _will_ be right, that is a certainty!

    5. Re:We're all going to die! by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      He'll probably get a lot further than you. He's going to be right every day until he's wrong, and when he's wrong, it's not going to matter any more anyway.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    6. Re:We're all going to die! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ockam's razor and the law of induction tells me they won't be in the future.

      You're forgetting the selection bias. If one of the people saying that the "end is near" had been correct, we wouldn't be here talking about how they were wrong.

    7. Re:We're all going to die! by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      People have been saying that the "end is near" since human beings developed speech.

      Have you read que citation you posted? Where do Malthus say anything equivalent to "end is near"?

      People have being predicting several different kinds of problems since the beggining of speech? Oh shit, do you mean that people didin't have several different problems since then? When did those problems started to appear? Oh, your point is actualy that no, there is still no problem, everything is perfect and anybody concerned about anything is crazy.

      Have a hint: Before the Modern Age the Europe worked exactly the way Malthus described. Then, there were advancements (and problems too) that pushed the west, and later the world out of this situation. But are you really stating that our population can grow indefinitely, on this same planet, and we'll never run out of resources? Really?

      Another hint: Malthus description isn't even original. On his book he was simply repeating a well known (by the time) aspect of Economics, and explaining why it didn't apply to his time. That aspect become well accepted at the earlier times (you'll see it if you read Adam Smith, for example), based on empiric evidence. You are claiming that a phenomenum actualy reported for generations is impossible.

    8. Re:We're all going to die! by manaway · · Score: 1

      People have been saying that the "end is near" since human beings developed speech. None have been right. Ockam's razor and the law of induction tells me they won't be in the future.

      Day after day, week after week, bacteria in the petri dish told each other "look at all the fresh resources, go forth and multiply!" And so they did, until they couldn't. -- Law of the Finite

    9. Re:We're all going to die! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People do not understand the exponential function. Here's a primer:

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=umFnrvcS6AQ

  33. Birthrate... by Entropius · · Score: 1

    The birthrate will in the long term tend toward one birth per person (or two children per woman given a 50:50 sex ratio). The only question is whether this happens because most children that are born die of famine or violence before they get the opportunity to reproduce or whether it happens by a more benign mechanism.

    1. Re:Birthrate... by amorsen · · Score: 1

      The birthrate is practically there already. Growth of 1.1% a year is so close to stagnant that it really isn't worth worrying about.

      Unfortunately resource consumption per capita is rising way faster than 1.1%. That is what we need to fix, not the imaginary population problem.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  34. In God's Eye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The implied warning: the Moties were a stand-in for humanity. We're well on our way to the end of our first cycle.

  35. Google Earth from 30 miles up... by rmdyer · · Score: 0

    Anybody who does not believe the earth is too populated has not viewed the earth from 20 to 30 miles up. Given where I live in the southeastern U.S. I can see the massive devastation of forest and biomass that once existed here. In my lifetime, I have seen massive amounts of land just decimated by "developers". I can foresee that this will continue because of course, the land has no value until it is developed.

    1. Re:Google Earth from 30 miles up... by SternisheFan · · Score: 1

      Don't worry too much about the earth. The planet will heal no matter what we do to it. The people may die, but the earth will go on.

    2. Re:Google Earth from 30 miles up... by amorsen · · Score: 1

      Did those massive amounts of land get devastated because the population in your area went up massively? Most likely not, more likely it was devastated because approximately the same amount of people wanted more resources.

      Not that there is anything wrong with WANTING more resources. That is completely natural. The problem is that we as a species let people, including myself of course, GET what they want.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  36. Damn by nomad-9 · · Score: 1

    The average man produces almost one whole pound of poop a day. Times 7 billion. No wonder life stinks.

  37. also 100% serious.... by OrangeTide · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you kill yourself then the effect is the same, from your point of view.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    1. Re:also 100% serious.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And much better for the rest of us, I might add.

  38. fixed that for you by OrangeTide · · Score: 3, Informative

    Biology got us into this situation.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  39. Population Growth brings change by 3seas · · Score: 1

    This is not the first time population growth drove change.
    not to many posts but by reading them you might comprehend what is happening, why and where we are heading
    https://www.facebook.com/pages/Abstraction-Physics-101/170311386325230

  40. Nothing to see here. by microbox · · Score: 1

    Yes, population is discrete. Yes it can be approximated as continuous. We are talking about 7 billion points. Nothing to see here.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  41. easy solution, that nobody wants to use by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    The most effective, and least oppressive way to reduce birth rates is to give women an education. I would rather make college mandatory than get into the business of regulating people's sexual behavior.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  42. Random things... by trims · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Firstly, TFA is dead wrong in stating that human population has been relatively stable throughout most human history. This is blatantly false, for anyone who has bothered to look at the historical record. In pre-history, human populations have varied wildly, from up to several dozen million to possibly as low as several tens of thousands. Likewise, once "civilization" has started, human populations have obeyed a rather steadily increasing geometric curve. We notice now because we're finally at the heel portion of the hockeystick curve where the numbers start increasing quickly.

    Secondly, the decline in number of children per woman is primarily tied to increasing Woman's Rights in a society. The closer women are treated like property (both culturally and legally), the higher the number of children borne, and the inverse when women and men are treated equally. Women's Rights is also closely correlated (and, likely a causative factor) in development of a significant middle class. Religion only has an impact in so far as it affects Women's Rights (which, it certainly can have a very negative impact).

    Also, there are two major factors that aren't really addressed in TFA: lack of energy, and water. Advanced civilizations require ludicrously larger amounts of power than low-tech societies, and, even with conservation, this isn't going to change. We need power to run our 1st world countries, and the more everyone else tries to emulate us, power requirements will be exponential (probably high exponential) in growth. Until we have real clean energy, this energy demand and the side effects of providing energy is going to be the number one environmental pressure. On the other hand, (decreasing) access to clean water for both drinking and agriculture is something that is radically reshaping societies, as we can't really de-salinize enough to make a difference at this point, and we're well on our way to draining many historical water sources out of existence. Water will be the new oil which people fight over, likely very, very soon. It's already a major friction point in the Middle East and Indian subcontinental areas.

    To quote the old Chinese curse: "May you live in interesting times."

    --
    There are always four sides to every story: your side, their side, the truth, and what really happened.
    1. Re:Random things... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ...human populations have obeyed a rather steadily increasing geometric curve. We notice now because we're finally at the heel portion of the hockeystick curve where the numbers start increasing quickly.

      Ah yes, geometric growth. The only curve where you are perpetually in the 'heel' where the numbers ahead begin to grow unreasonably* quickly.

      * Where unreasonably is defined relative to past experience.

    2. Re:Random things... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US Middle class was relatively small for much of the 19th century, being less than 15% of the population (consisting almost exclusively of tradesmen and small merchants). It only began to expand with the Unionization movements of the late 19th century, which coincided with the Woman's Suffrage movement (and were both outgrowth of Populism/Progressivism). The size of the Middle Class more than tripled from 1880 (~15%) to 1950 (~60%), and probably peaked somewhere about 1970 (~75%). It's been on a slow decline since then, but not radically so, with about 60-70% nominally Middle Class as of now.

      It's not a 1:1 correspondence of increasing Woman's Rights to Middle Class, and does depend on other things, especially once you get to the tail end of the curve (i.e. once equality is reached, or approximately reached). However, the generalization applies in large amounts, so that a significant increase in Woman's Rights does have a statistically significant increase in the size of the Middle Class. Even in US History, this bears out: look at the difference in the size of the Middle Class in 1910 vs 1925 (pre- and post- Suffrage, in approximately the same economic conditions). In places where there were NO Woman's Rights, the link is obvious.

    3. Re:Random things... by careysub · · Score: 1

      While well written, you are wrong in the comment below;

      Secondly, the decline in number of children per woman is primarily tied to increasing Woman's Rights in a society. The closer women are treated like property (both culturally and legally), the higher the number of children borne, and the inverse when women and men are treated equally. Women's Rights is also closely correlated (and, likely a causative factor) in development of a significant middle class.

      How is it we have an increase in Women's Rights (starting since 1893, first Suffrage laws in place), but still have a decline in the middle class. You can't say that increased Women's Rights produces a larger middle class, that is patently false. Our current economic climate is a prime example of this.

      The original poster is much closer to being correct. The Middle Class came into existence in the U.S. since the late 1800s, when women started moving into more professions, acquiring greater rights, and the long term steady decline in the fertility rate set in (this has been a steady trend since at least 1880, with the one 25-year anomaly of the Depression birth rate crash followed by the Baby Boom surge) . The emergence of woman's rights, and increase in female employment is not something that just happened in the 1960-1970s despite all the attention it attracted at the time but has been a persistent trend for 130 (or more) years.

      We see the emergence of woman's rights, and the growth of a Middle Class in industrializing countries, like India today, and even in dirt poor Bangladesh.

      The recent decline of the Middle Class in the U.S. is due to specific policies adopted by business and politicians here, it is not general world-wide.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
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  46. Go forth and multiply by HangingChad · · Score: 1

    Mission accomplished breeders. Enough already.

    --
    That's our life, the big wheel of shit. - The Fat Man, Blue Tango Salvage
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  49. Bill Gates would do better by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

    to spend his money providing free birth control rather than trying to wipe out disease in the Third World. That would be the most effective use of his money.

    Preventing childhood disease is a laudable goal, but that just brings more misery in the long run from overpopulation -- unless you also bring them up to First World standards in education, economy and infrastructure. And I don't think Bill has enough money to do that. There's probably not enough money on the planet to do that actually.

    But I can understand why he does what he does. Who wants their legacy to be "The Great Population Reducer"? Everybody will hate him, from the religious who oppose abortion and birth control, to the liberals who will accuse him of genocide for preventing the blacks and browns from having babies. On the other hand, save children from dying by malaria and everyone will applaud him. Safe choice.

    1. Re:Bill Gates would do better by JedaFlain · · Score: 1

      Who wants their legacy to be "The Great Population Reducer"?

      His wife? http://science.slashdot.org/story/12/07/12/024254/melinda-gates-pledges-560-million-for-contraception

    2. Re:Bill Gates would do better by careysub · · Score: 1

      Preventing childhood disease is a laudable goal, but that just brings more misery in the long run from overpopulation -- unless you also bring them up to First World standards in education, economy and infrastructure. And I don't think Bill has enough money to do that. There's probably not enough money on the planet to do that actually.

      ...

      A common belief, but one that is disproved by the example of Bangladesh, where the fertility rate has plunged to below the replacement level recently without requiring economic advance to First World standards: http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=sp_dyn_tfrt_in&idim=country:BGD&dl=en&hl=en&q=bangladesh+fertility+rates

      It is possible to bring birthrates under control simply by improving the relative socio-economic status of women, even in a country that remains poverty-stricken.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
  50. So, which country do we nuke first? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I call India. They just breed like rabbits man. It is practically their religion to bang each other raw.

    1. Re:So, which country do we nuke first? by neo12 · · Score: 1

      How about terminating you first and put you out of your misarable life. Easier, cheaper and less painfull option I would say.

  51. Re: Total, Ugly, Disaster by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 1

    A few months back some distraught fellow ran into a building shooting everyone that he could and apparently had left behind messages about over population and what is about to occur. I suspect that he was driven off his rocker because nobody wanted to hear him.

    Let me see if I'm following the logic of this correctly: Nobody wanted to listen to a criminally insane person rant, so he murdered a bunch of people, therefore he was correct and we should start implementing reproductive laws to keep the population down so we can support a huge military to keep out the countries that can't even feed their own citizens?

    --
    <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
  52. Re by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nothing a little bit of war, disease, and famine can't take care of.

  53. same for the stock market by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People have been saying that the "end is near" since human beings developed speech. None have been right. Ockam's razor and the law of induction tells me they won't be in the future.

    Many folks kept calling for a massive crash in the stock markets and in the real estate markets for years.

    Then one day they were right with catastrophic consequences because hardly anyone believed them.

    The few that did made billions of dollars.

    Many times the doomsday "alarmists" are right but their timing is off.

    Oh!

    People have been saying that the "end is near" since human beings developed speech.

    No they haven't..

    Ockam's razor and the law of induction tells me they won't be in the future.

    I think they will be. And it has happened in the past - Easter Island. Fortunately, I don't either one of us will be alive to see it happen World wide.

  54. The Myth of Over Population by hackus · · Score: 1

    and it is a Myth.

    There are two ways of looking at the human condition of over population: If you are in the 1%, it is an extreme dire emergency because everyone one alive is plotting ways to steal your luxery living, entire economic sectors your family controls, or the future payoff budgets in making government do exactly as you tell them.

    If you are the 99% it is obvious the planet is under developed technologically, due to the wars...the constant trillion dollar wars, bankers literally stealing everything from left to right, and governments who have created conditions with rules for themselves, and then rules for everyone else. It is _not_ over populated.

    In those sorts of conditions chaos stunts technological development. (Unless you want to waste resources and energy making cute technological gadgets like iSh*t this and iSh*t that.)

    You know, when you build a computer network, one of the obvious things you want to eliminate are bottlenecks in all of your edge networks. One way to do that is to add more infrastructure to accommodate those bottlenecks as well as adding redundancy.

    However, you don't ask your users to stop using the network in a sort of austerity measure because you want them under your thumb and just don't feel like working that hard to build a larger network.

    One example I use is power distribution. Half of the energy in power production is lost before it even arrives at its destination. Everyone should generate their own power, and it should be forbidden to centralize its production. There are lots of ways to do this, but they won't be permitted because a few people own all of the power and it would be threat a ruling dynasty.

    Secondly what they don't tell you is as long as infrastructure is in place and kept up, most communities stop having more than maybe 1 or 2 kids. This is a well known side effect of developed countries who have good education systems, and economies that aren't in the clutches of a bunch of crooked bankers.

    Iceland would be a good example there.

    But the 1% don't want that. They want destruction, war and huge crisis that _THEY_ caused so that they can appear to be in control and save us all by essentially making things worse and worse.

    Yeah there is a over population, an over population of 1% having way to much and strangling technological development for the rest of humanity so that little old ladies can't cool their apartments and babies have to die of stupid diseases.

    Specifically I am talking about Democrats, Republicans, the Rothschild banking Syndicate, and United Nations that need to just GO AWAY.

    If they don't, the human species might not be around for very much longer.

    -Hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
    1. Re:The Myth of Over Population by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      Your power distribution argument isn't well thought out. I don't use that much power on average. Maybe 10 - 40KWh per day depending on season. That's not unreasonable to generate myself, only a 2KW generator, I guess that's what you base your argument on.

      However, with the heat pump on, the hot water cylinder heating up, the oven going, the computer on, the tv on, microwave going, the jug boiling, the stove going... That could easily add up to 20KW of demand. It is not simple to generate that much power.
      My electric oven is rated at 40A. Microwave is 10A, Jug is 10A. This is all 240V, so you're looking at a peak of 14KW in the kitchen alone. The heat pump in the lounge is 1.5KW
      I would need some huge batteries or my own lake/river generate my peak power demand. Batteries wear out, generators require maintenance. Small generators are not as efficient as large ones.

      Not everyone cooks their dinner at the same time, or has a shower at the same time. Over an entire city, that evens out the peak load. The huge hydro power stations that power 70% of my country do a good job. They don't burn fossil fuels, the only impact on the environment is the unnaturally large lakes they create. No energy storage is required, gravity does it just fine.

      If everyone had to make their own power the only reasonable way to do so would be small gas turbines - Not everyone has constant wind, sun, water or geothermal power sources. But then you'd still have to buy gas from somewhere... Your distribution network just changed from electricity to gas. That's not 100% efficient either. You need to mine it, refine it, compress it, maintain the high pressure network of pipes...

  55. Re:TED by na1led · · Score: 1

    Anything that teaches people to believe in things without question, simply because of some myth, is irrational.

    --
    -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
  56. Great, just what the world needs by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

    More and more people being born into countries that do not have the resources to support them. Sure fire way to increase poverty: help those currently in poverty reproduce by giving them handouts while not giving them the means to support themselves.

    There may be a lot more people in Africa now than there was 5000 years ago, but they're not living longer, they're running out of food, being crippled by disease and generally not well off. There is less wild life now from excessive hunting and poaching so less food to feed more people. Dense populations increase the spread of disease. So does malnutrition.

  57. Re:TED by jkflying · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately the bible didn't stop at the commandments... there's a few other things in there that make it more than slightly detestable.

    --
    Help I am stuck in a signature factory!
  58. Peak population by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It looks like we won't hit peak population for another 100 years at least. Quite honestly I liked the earth much better when it had 3 billion people on it.

  59. Put them all in texas... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FYI - mathematically speaking, you could shove the entire world population in Texas and you'd have ~230sq ft. to dedicate to each person (been a few months since i calculated last, number might be slightly off). Granted, no roads, buildings, or anything other than tape separating each persons plot, but it conveniently illustrates we still have plenty of places to fit shit in.

    While the idiocy and volume of our next generation can be concerning, I think it pales in comparison to how powerful big corporations and "super-conglomerates" and lobbying groups are becoming (think "Brawndo" in idiocracy, where they just simply BUY the FDA after they talk bad about one of their products lol). One day, our grand-kids will look back on this time and say "Hey remember when companies could just buy anything? Like people, politicians, laws, and whatever cuz they had SO MUCH money?"

    "Yeah...people were pretty fucking stupid back then too..."

    1. Re:Put them all in texas... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When I did some math on this a while ago, I figured out that if the United States had the population density of England, it'd have 2 billion people in it. It's likely more now since it's been a few years, but shows how much scale there is.

  60. Re:TED by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

    The first four are "irrational" according to the left. Of course in Christianity, only three of those are valid ;)

    Christians do not believe in Ten Commandments. They believe in Nine Suggestions and One Legalism, which if you keep, you cannot be saved.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  61. Re: Total, Ugly, Disaster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or the government could simply stop giving tax breaks for having kids and take away welfare if one has a kids while on welfare.

  62. Still has to grow to 10 Billion by sapgau · · Score: 1

    I didn't read TFA but I vaguely remember there was a TED video explaining that statistically the earth's population will stabilize around 10 Billion.
    That number is the equilibrium between countries reaching a higher standard of living and industrialized countries going with lower levels of births and a bigger senior population.

    The question is if the earth can support us growing to 10 billion.

    1. Re:Still has to grow to 10 Billion by sapgau · · Score: 2

      Oh I see that "ichthus" has posted it already:

      "Hans Rosling: Religions and babies" --> http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ezVk1ahRF78

  63. .... energy that can be recovered w/o technology . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A couple of problems with the statement "used up virtually all of the dense sources of energy that can be recovered without technology.. like coal, oil, and natural gas."

    First, the reserves for coal and natural gas are still much greater than a measurement of being virtually all gone (oil is probably the same). Second, it required a great deal of technology to go from a coal-driven pump that produced a quarter of a horse-power at a terribly low efficiency (something like 1% efficiency) to a modern coal generator that gets something like an 85% efficiency.

    Your statements about all the easy stuff is gone are terribly misleading.

  64. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  65. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  66. Re:TED by Hatta · · Score: 1

    The video is quite good, but what it shows is that which religion you are doesn't affect birth rates. It doesn't show any data about secular people, so it can't disprove a link between religion and birth rates.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  67. Rosling is ALWAYS worth watching. by sgtrock · · Score: 1

    Check out some of his earlier videos (including other TED talks that he's done) at Gapminder.

  68. War is the natural solution for overpopulation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Imagine waking up tomorrow and not being able to buy gas, not being able to repair your car, not being able to use electricty; all becuase one country or another has MORE resources than we do. Guess what will happen?

    Population inflation has a solution, and its coming whether we like it or not. When critical resources dwindle to zero (no matter what resource it is) it WILL precipitate war.

    I'm not sure if they thought about this or not... but World War III hasnt happened... Yet.

  69. And the news gonna be badder still by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 0

    The more advance the science we got, the more people we gonna have, and the more pressure the human population gonna put on the ecology of Planet Earth

    Link below illustrates the link between population explosion since the dawn of modern industrial revolution
     
     

    http://www.ecology.com/2011/09/18/ecological-impact-industrial-revolution/
     

     

    ""Modern humans have been around for about 2.2 million years. By the dawn of the first millennium AD, estimates place the total world human population at between 150 Ã" 200 million, and 300 million in the year 1,000"

    "At the dawn of the Industrial Revolution in the mid 1700s, the worldÃ(TM)s human population grew by about 57 percent to 700 million."

    "It reached one billion in 1800."

    "The birth of the Industrial Revolution altered medicine and living standards, resulting in the population explosion that would commence at that point and steamroll into the 20th and 21st centuries.

    "In only 100 years after the onset of the Industrial Revolution, the world population would grow 100 percent to two billion people in 1927 (about 1.6 billion by 1900). "

     

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:And the news gonna be badder still by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Not science, technology. Learn the difference.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:And the news gonna be badder still by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 1

      Not science, technology. Learn the difference.

       
      Since you want to split hair -
       
      Where are you going to get any advancement in technology without advancement and more understanding in Science?
       

      --
      Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    3. Re:And the news gonna be badder still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not science, technology. Learn the difference.

      Not really : look at the fertility rates of most Western countries : they are below 2.1 children/mother , which is required for a stable population.

      The problem is not technology : it's underdeveloped countries becoming developed, those people gaining wealth, and becoming big consumers,
      but keeping their old habits ( having lots of children means they can take care of you when you get older ).

      It was that way in most Western countries only 70 years ago , so I'm sure this it will level out eventually.

    4. Re:And the news gonna be badder still by Black+Parrot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not science, technology. Learn the difference.

      Since you want to split hair -

      Where are you going to get any advancement in technology without advancement and more understanding in Science?

      Technology advanced by trial and error for millennia before science AWKI existed. Maybe you could say that trial and error is a form of science, but I wouldn't. Trial and error doesn't require understanding *why* the new idea works better.

      Even today technology isn't entirely science-driven. We have rigorous mathematical approaches to engineering, but we still get sent beck to the drawing board whenever a bridge collapses or an airplane falls out of the sky.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    5. Re:And the news gonna be badder still by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 1

      Sounds a lot like "technology" is like evolution in this sense. Organisms that improve and adapt don't understand WHY they are changing or what -- merely, the better creator or widget is preserved.

      I think there are some expert systems that try this with computer models now -- in fact, there was a twisted antenna, that was completely designed by computer models that had random changes, and then ones that gave a better signal profile survived. The resulting antenna was counter intuitive but was a great improvement.

      So science can create a technology that counter-inuitively, arrives at answers without any good science being used at all.

      Human's eventually will create a computer that thinks -- but I'm firmly of the belief that they will be "grown" from technology rather than planned with science.

      --
      >>"ad space available -- low rates!!!"
  70. Lies, Damned, Lies, Statistics, and the LA Times by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "World to End Tomorrow, Women and Minorities Hardest Hit". Worst paper ever....

  71. Re:TED by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

    The last six are prefaced by the first four. They are a combined total of 10. But for the sake of argument.

    5) My parents were total dirtbag drug addicted sexual perverts (not really, but I know people whose parents were), why should I "honor" them for such a despicable childhood?

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  72. Overpopulation is a myth by INowRegretThesePosts · · Score: 1

    There is no global overpopulation. Some places (such as Japan) are already experiencing population aging and decline, which is bad in many ways. Other places (such as the USA and specially Europe) already have sub-replacement fertility rates; their population only grows because of demographic lag and immigration. It is predicted the European Union population (now at 503M) will reach zero natural population increase by 2015 and zero total population increase in 2035 (at 520M), then start declining.

    The USA will grow from 310M in 2010 to 403M in 2050. [1]
    Asia will grow from 4.2B in 2010 to 5.1B in 2050, then start declining. [2]

    The only region that is really growing is Africa. It will increase from 1B in 2010 to 2.2B in 2050. [2] Then its population density will be 73/km2. [3] Compare that to the current population density in Portugal (115/km2), in South Korea (487/km2) and in Taiwan (641/km2). [4]

    Global population is predicted to grow from 7B in 2011 to 9B in 2050 and 10B in 2100 [5] and start falling soon after [6].

    And according to [7], 40-50% of America-produced food is thrown away. According to [8], 1/3 of the world food is thrown away.
    And this does not take into account that people eat, just for pleasure, excessive quantities of resource-intensive food (such as meat). If Americans/Europeans want to help the poor, an easy way would be to decrease (say, by 30%) their diet of meat. This will immediately reduce food demand and, for double bonus, the saved money can be donated to charity. And much arable land is wasted on subsidized inefficient corn-based ethanol. You can lobby your government to stop that.

    Plus, there does not seem to be a negative correlation between population density and GDP per capita. [9]

    African hunger is not caused by overpopulation. It is caused by corrupt and authoritarian governments, and by guerrillas/terrorists motivated by Marxism, theocratic Islamism, ethnic hate or simply greed.

    Overpopulation fear-mongering is very old - at least as old as Malthus. One of its more recent incarnations was the 1968 book "The Population Bomb", which predicted mass starvation to occur in the 1970s.

    Anyway, for better or for worse, there is already strong action taken by billionaire individuals, foundations, and Western governments, to restrict fertility in Africa.

    1 : http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Analytical-Figures/htm/fig_11.htm
    2 : http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Analytical-Figures/htm/fig_2.htm
    3 : According to [2], Africa will have 2.2B people in 2050, and according to Google[10] and Wikipedia [11], the area of Africa is 30,221,532 km2
    4 : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_dependent_territories_by_population_density
    5 : http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Analytical-Figures/htm/fig_1.htm
    6 : http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Analytical-Figures/htm/fig_6.htm
    7 : http://www.foodnavigator-usa.com/news/ng.asp?id=56376-us-wastes-half
    8 : http://www.fao.org/news/story/en/item/74192/icode/
    9 : http://sanamagan.wordpress.com/2011/03/10/population-population-density-gdp-per-capita-ppp/
    10 : https://www.google.com.br/search?q=africa+area
    11 : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Africa

  73. Re:TED by mrcaseyj · · Score: 1

    That TED talk only shows that religious birth rates were dropping similarly fast in the past. But there is a small religious minority who's birth rate still hasn't dropped, and barring legal reforms or some other limiting effect, simple evolutionary theory suggests they will dominate before long and bring the rate back up. And no, there is no significant limit to food production. It can be synthesized cheaply, in quantities only limited by the carbon content of earth's and other planet's crusts, from rocks, air, and nuclear or space solar power.

  74. Re:TED by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because God said so, duh.

  75. In other news, the solar system is underpopulated by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 0

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_habitat
    http://pcast.ideascale.com/a/dtd/A-global-effort-to-develop-self-replicating-space-habitats/76206-8319

    From JD Bernal writing in the 1920s:
    http://cscs.umich.edu/~crshalizi/Bernal/world/
    "Imagine a spherical shell ten miles or so in diameter, made of the lightest materials and mostly hollow; for this purpose the new molecular materials would be admirably suited. Owing to the absence of gravitation its construction would not be an engineering feat of any magnitude. The source of the material out of which this would be made would only be in small part drawn from the earth; for the great bulk of the structure would be made out of the substance of one or more smaller asteroids, rings of Saturn or other planetary detritus. The initial stages of construction are the most difficult to imagine. They will probably consist of attaching an asteroid of some hundred yards or so diameter to a space vessel, hollowing it out and using the removed material to build the first protective shell. Afterwards the shell could be re-worked, bit by bit, using elaborated and more suitable substances and at the same time increasing its size by diminishing its thickness. The globe would fulfil all the functions by which our earth manages to support life. In default of a gravitational field it has, perforce, to keep its atmosphere and the greater portion of its life inside; but as all its nourishment comes in the form of energy through its outer surface it would be forced to resemble on the whole an enormously complicated single-celled plant. "

    Quadrillions of humans could live in style in space habitats in the solar system. It would take another 1000 years of exponential growth to approach that. And then it is somebody else's problem -- perhaps to create virtual universes, travel faster-than-light, or create matter and energy and space from the quantum vacuum, or just migrate into a computational matrix?

    As Julian Simon said, the human imagination is the ultimate resource (whether expressed through science or otherwise):
    http://www.juliansimon.com/writings/Ultimate_Resource/

    The more people, the more imagination. People may consume resources and take up space, but they also produce resources and make spaces worth being in.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  76. Ask Japan by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    about birth rates. Even in the US the birth rate is barely keeping up with death rates. Funny how educated people that are completely broke and working 12 hours/day 6 days a week don't want more kids. Just wait and see what happens in the developed world when the male birth control pill hits...

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  77. From: How to escape the pleasure trap by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    "The main problem...most people would prefer a global war that wipes out 2/3 of the population rather than living in a world where they can't eat meat"

    From: http://www.drfuhrman.com/library/article16.aspx
    ==== By Doug Lisle and Alan Goldhamer
    An abundance of food, by itself, is not a cause of health problems. But modern technology has done more than to simply make food perpetually abundant. Food also has been made artificially tastier. Food is often more stimulating than ever before -- as the particular chemicals in foods that cause pleasure reactions have been isolated-and artificially concentrated. These chemicals include fats (including oils), refined carbohydrates (such as refined sugar and flour), and salt. Meats were once consumed mostly in the form of wild game -- typically about 15% fat. Today's meat is a much different product. Chemically and hormonally engineered, it can be as high as 50% fat or more. Ice cream is an extraordinary invention for intensifying taste pleasure -- an artificial concoction of pure fat and refined sugar. Once an expensive delicacy, it is now a daily ritual for many people. French fries and potato chips, laden with artificially-concentrated fats, are currently the most commonly consumed "vegetable" in our society. As Dr. Fuhrman reports in his excellent volume Eat to Live, these artificial products, and others like them, comprise a whopping 93% American diet. Our teenage population, for example, consumes up to 25% of their calories in the form of soda pop!

    Most of our citizenry can't imagine how it could be any other way. To remove (or dramatically reduce) such products from America's daily diet seems intolerable -- even absurd. Most people believe that if they were to do so, they would enjoy their food -- and their lives -- much less. Indeed, most people believe that they would literally suffer if they consumed a health-promoting diet devoid of such indulgences. But, it is here that their perception is greatly in error. The reality is that humans are well designed to fully enjoy the subtler tastes of whole natural foods, but are poorly equipped to realize this fact. And like a frog sitting in dangerously hot water, most people are being slowly destroyed by the limitations of their awareness.

    The pleasure trap

    Figure 1 (above) depicts a devastating trap. People consuming a whole natural foods diet will experience a normal range of pleasure from eating low-fat, high-fiber, unprocessed foodsâ"shown as Phase I. However, if concentrated, adulterated, processed foods are consistently allowed in the diet, they quickly will become preferred.

    In Phase II, we see that these products are typically experienced as better -- that is, more pleasurable -- than natural foods. This is the result of the heightened pleasure-inducing characteristics of artificially-produced foods. However, within a short period of time (a few weeks), the taste nerves adapt to this higher level of stimulation, and reduce their firing rate. This reduces the pleasure experience of artificially-stimulating foods back down to normal levels (Phase III).

    Phase III is the culmination of a process of extraordinary importance. It is within Phase III that most people live out their lives. And it is from within Phase III that most people will engineer their own health crises. Phase III occurs when we have become "used to it" - used to the extreme levels of stimulation present in artificial foods. Yet ultimately, we experience no more pleasure than had we remained on a simpler, more healthful diet! However, this process is rarely noticed - just as we rarely notice the process of getting used to a brightly-lit room.

    A challenging escape

    Once in awhile, a person may actually become aware of important dietary knowledge. Despite the ingenious misinformation campaigns waged by the dairy, cattle, and processed food industries, sometimes a person actually comes to understand the truth about diet. At such times, determin

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  78. Re:TED by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because honoring them is a limited scope engagement, and most, if not all, religious leaders would say the same.

    Also, Honoring is not the same as Obeying. If you are an honorable person, then an honorable parent would be proud. It's a chicken\egg argument.
    It's all about your own character, even if those you are supposed to honor are despicable people, and don't deserve it.

  79. Re:TED by Creedo · · Score: 1
    I don't know which version you happen to believe in, so I'll pick one arbitrarily.

    Thou shalt not kill.

    Good one. Can't argue there.

    Thou shalt not commit adultery.

    Depends on the context. This is Old Testament, of course, which means that you can be nailing multiple wives, slave girls and/or concubines without technically committing adultery. Pretty much any woman who is your property. Or, you can take the Christian extreme, and make even private fantasy a sin to be burned forever for. Sounds shitty either way. How's about you allow the participants in a relationship dictate the terms of that relationship freely amongst themselves.

    Thou shalt not steal.

    Not bad. Can't argue with it.

    Thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbour.

    Again, not bad.

    Thou shalt not covet thy neighbour's house,

    What a stupid rule. If you are abiding by #7, this is superfluous. And, like adultery, it's another attempt to legislate thought crime.

    thou shalt not covet thy neighbour's wife, nor his manservant, nor his maidservant, nor his ox, nor his ass, nor any thing that is thy neighbour's.

    Stupid for the same reason as #9, but more insidious than that. Do you notice something about that list? It explicitly says that a wife is OWNED by her husband, along with the slaves that he owns(quick quiz: How many times is slavery condemned in the bible? Zero!). Moreover, they are listed in the same block of property as animals.

    I want you to mull over that for a while. I want you to chew on the level of barbarism that that mindset entails. The best summation of morality you can put forward for your religion is a couple of obvious ethical standpoints, some nasty thought crimes and some atrocious violations of human rights. Congratulations on that.

    --
    All that is necessary for the triumph of good is that evil men do nothing.
  80. hi friends by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    hi friends..how ho are you today?

  81. This happened in October by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    srsly

  82. Arthimetic, Population and Energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The biggest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the Exponential Function"

    http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=6A1FD147A45EF50D

    We will be witnessing severe problems during our lifetime if things continue like this (and they will)...

  83. The Solution by assertation · · Score: 1

    The solution is easy. If you haven't started a family yet, talk about not having more than 2 children of your own. Teach your kids to do the same.

  84. Re:TED by na1led · · Score: 1

    What people don't understand, is that the Bible was meant for an earlier time, not today! It's like reading the hieroglyphics in the Egyptian Pyramid and thinking its today's news. Humans evolve, ancient text doesn't.

    --
    -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
  85. Re:TED by Creedo · · Score: 1

    What people don't understand, is that the Bible was meant for an earlier time, not today! It's like reading the hieroglyphics in the Egyptian Pyramid and thinking its today's news. Humans evolve, ancient text doesn't.

    I have no problem with viewing the bible as a historical document. But we aren't talking about that. The person I replied asked why the last 6 commandments were bad as public policy(teaching "good stewardship"). The answer is that they are a mixed bag, a couple of laudable bits with a bunch of horrible bits mixed in. As a general guideline for a modern pluralistic society, they don't cut it.

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    All that is necessary for the triumph of good is that evil men do nothing.
  86. Soylent Green by tedgyz · · Score: 1

    Let's get the factories built. It will also create jobs.

    --
    "No matter where you go, there you are." -- Buckaroo Banzai
  87. Re:TED by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wait - are you trying to prove that 60% of christianity teaches good stewardship? That's not even a passing grade...

    lolfailboat.

  88. here let me try by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The commandments don't teach. They rule. They tell people to do as they're told, "or else". It's the grown-up equivalent of "because I said so".

    The "or else" refers to a supernatural entity that will punish them if they do not abide. That threat which has not been materially documented because well, it happens after you die. That's the irrational part. Even less logical is the fact that even if you break those commandments, you can still have your slate erased if you believe that a man from 2000 years ago was in fact the supernatural entity that will punish you.

    Good enough for you?

  89. wasnt it just last year by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    Did we not just hit 6 billion the year before? how could 1 billion creep up so quickly without warning? or is it the governments do not want to scare us so they keep us uninformed???

    "Make mine Mad Max!"

  90. Get me an editor, STAT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "After remaining stable for most of human history" seems like yet another example of how starting a sentence with a subordinate clause is pretty weak. Especially when you are wrong.

  91. Overpopulation is a myth by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    "They all still afford college and everything else because they only buy what they need. They don't buy two cars per person, they make large meals and reuse leftovers, the first two kids get new clothing and everyone else has hand-me-downs, they go to cheaper schools, etc... Their cable and internet bills are the same as yours, they go to more community activities and have enough people to play board and card games with themselves so less expensive electronic gaming, they've got multiple people to split up the chores so everything gets done faster despite there being a little more work. It really isn't that harder to wash 6 dishes than wash and dry 2 dishes (another kid will do the drying of the 6 dishes). It's just as easy to read to four kids the same story as it is to read to two kids. Eventually the older kids will start helping out the younger kids, providing you with more time and the older kid better experience compared to an only child. Assuming all the kids don't hate each other, they've got their brothers and sisters who will back them up when needed thus less prone to depression and feeling like an outcast. There are many, many more examples. I'm not sure which large families you've seen, but the one's I've seen get by by having a more sustainable life style. Tax breaks don't out weight the cost of a kid. If they did, kids wouldn't be expensive and everyone would have many. Each kid after 2 or 3 becomes cheaper than the last."

    Mod parent up. With a solar system that is almost entirely empty, I'm just shocked to see all the people on Slashdot celebrating low fertility. Sure, a small cafe (the Earth) in a big city (the Solar system) may have an occupancy limit, but we don't go around telling people not to have kids because some cafe is too crowded. People generally just open another cafe...

    Here is a step towards how:
    http://www.kurtz-fernhout.com/oscomak/SSI_Fernhout2001_web.html
    http://pcast.ideascale.com/a/dtd/A-global-effort-to-develop-self-replicating-space-habitats/76206-8319

    And here is why:
    http://scienceworld.wolfram.com/biography/Tsiolkovsky.html
    "Russian physicist and theoretical father of rocketry. Tsiolkovsky was the son of a Polish deportee to Siberia. Tsiolkovsky was an inventor and aviation engineer who was also an insightful visionary. As early as 1894, he designed a monoplane which subsequently flew in 1915. He also built the first Russian wind tunnel in 1897. In 1903, as part of a series of articles in a Russian aviation magazine, Tsiolkovsky published the rocket equation, Eric Weisstein's World of Physics and in 1929, a theory of multistage rockets. Tsiolkovsky was also the author of Investigations of Outer Space by Rocket Devices (1911) and Aims of Astronauts (1914). One of Tsiolkovsky's many memorable and inspiring quotes is "Mankind will not forever remain on Earth, but in the pursuit of light and space will first timidly emerge from the bounds of the atmosphere, and then advance until he has conquered the whole of circumsolar space" (1911). Tsiolkovsky's most famous quote is, "Earth is the cradle of humanity, but one cannot remain in the cradle forever." "

    The more people, the more vision and imagination...
    http://www.juliansimon.com/writings/Ultimate_Resource/

    This "overpopulation" meme is so short sighted and despairing. Someday maybe we will see potential parents getting obsessed with "pleasure traps" of modern technology as perhaps a bad thing, rather than something that is now celebrated. Industrialized populations (especially places like Japan and Italy, and even the USA just about without immigration) are no longer even replacing themselves and their populations demographically will fall. Where does tha

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  92. 7 Billion People: Will Everyone Please Relax? by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1
    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  93. Thanks for the great post. See also: by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1
    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  94. Forget what the churchs say stop reproduction. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "it is natal control not sex control so don't be paranoid because no more children will come in decades. To start with, the real culprits are those who sell useless gadgets for a profit not for supply something useful and durable to consumers. Stop making money for the sake of it, make money with a worthy purpose like to provide a useful and durable thing or service and above all sell foods that really are food not just a way to make money that more often that not ruin the health of those who buy and/or eat it, provide medicine that really works not just an excuse to go deep into patient pocket and that more often that not make patient worse and so on. If the real gosh you worship is easy money play Russian Roulette till there is no bullets because you are an unworthy Humanimal."