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These 19th Century Postcards Predicted Our Future

kkleiner writes "Starting in 1899, a commercial artist named Jean-Marc Côté and other artists were hired to create a series of picture cards to depict how life in France would look in a century's time. Sadly, they were never actually distributed. However, the only known set of cards to exist was discovered by Isaac Asimov, who wrote a book in 1986 called 'Futuredays' in which he presented the illustrations with commentary. What's amazing about this collection is how close their predictions were in a lot of cases, and how others are close at hand."

157 comments

  1. cue the french bashing in 1, 2, 3 by hguorbray · · Score: 3, Funny

    hopefully there will at least be some snide references to 'french postcards'

    -I'm just sayin'

    1. Re:cue the french bashing in 1, 2, 3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      cue the french bashing in 1, 2, 3

      If you're going to count up instead of down, you should write "queue" for the full frosty piss package.

    2. Re:cue the french bashing in 1, 2, 3 by stevegee58 · · Score: 4, Funny

      Now go away or I shall taunt you a second time!

    3. Re:cue the french bashing in 1, 2, 3 by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      He made a stack (of postcards?) instead of a queue. Give him a break!

    4. Re:cue the french bashing in 1, 2, 3 by nschubach · · Score: 2

      His username is the inverse of Yarbrough... which, upon cursory Internet searching could mean he's a UFC cage fighter, a fan of the Tour de France, or just someone that loves getting things backwards.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    5. Re:cue the french bashing in 1, 2, 3 by Eyeball97 · · Score: 2

      Non, non, non... No need to wait for 3...2...1... for French bashing, just get stuck right in there.

      Wait... cue in 1, 2, 3????

      Are you French?

  2. Predictions by girlintraining · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The problem with predictions is that if you make enough of them, whether vague or detailed, you'll find some of them came true. That is not surprising in and of itself, but some people take this as proof of something. But it's not proof, because they aren't looking at all the predictions that didn't come true, or weren't close. It's all about coincidence and the laws of probability -- things that are highly improbable by themselves can become highly probable with repetition or over time. So even if one of the greatest minds of the time predicted all these things for the future that came true, we cannot consider them in isolation -- we also have to consider all the things predicted that didn't come true.

    Mr. Newton would have understood that as a scientist, and if he could be conjured up from the dead to utter a few words on this, he'd likely agree.

    --
    #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    1. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      You want to discuss amazing predictions? These postcards from 1899 predicted Nostradamus would monopolize the History Channel!

    2. Re:Predictions by isorox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem with predictions is that if you make enough of them, whether vague or detailed, you'll find some of them came true. That is not surprising in and of itself, but some people take this as proof of something. But it's not proof, because they aren't looking at all the predictions that didn't come true, or weren't close. It's all about coincidence and the laws of probability -- things that are highly improbable by themselves can become highly probable with repetition or over time. So even if one of the greatest minds of the time predicted all these things for the future that came true, we cannot consider them in isolation -- we also have to consider all the things predicted that didn't come true.

      Mr. Newton would have understood that as a scientist, and if he could be conjured up from the dead to utter a few words on this, he'd likely agree.

      What amazes me is the things which weren't predicted. Even as recently as the 80s and early 90s, films of the future had flying cars (3 years, 5 days to go!), robots, space ships, etc.

      Very few got the internet, or the pervalence of pocket computing and connectivity that we take for granted 20 years later.

    3. Re:Predictions by tgmarks · · Score: 1

      So is the probability on the end of the predictor, selecting from a range of likely events, or on the future of which events came to pass?

    4. Re:Predictions by lobiusmoop · · Score: 4, Informative

      It has a name - apophenia. We unconsciously fit the predictions to the present and thus give them more credence than they deserve.

      --
      "I bless every day that I continue to live, for every day is pure profit."
    5. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes, but who could ever have predicted that a Russian would subvert the revenue stream from the entire American propaganda industry using a popularity measurement and charging less than a tenth of a penny per ad?

      Thanks Sergei! Just stay the hell away from politics, we don't need your help dismantling that.

    6. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These aren't predictions in the sense of fortune telling. They are extrapolations in a scifi sense, and turned out to be pretty close. They don't prove anything, nobody is talking about psychics here. Its just that it was interesting that someone made pictures of these extrapolations. Arthur C Clarke did the same thing, as did Jules Verne, etc.

      They are just drawings, not proof of some mental power. Sheesh.

    7. Re:Predictions by girlintraining · · Score: 5, Funny

      You want to discuss amazing predictions? These postcards from 1899 predicted Nostradamus would monopolize the History Channel!

      He also predicted impossibly-thin french women doing chores for you. But you're still in mom's basement, your room is a mess, and your girlfriend, while impossibly thin, is only that way because you haven't patched the hole in her yet...

      --
      #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    8. Re:Predictions by girlintraining · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What amazes me is the things which weren't predicted.

      The future can't be predicted with any certainty beyond only the smallest of timeframes -- the further you look out, the more likely something major that you couldn't anticipate will significantly impact the prediction being made. Nobody could have predicted in 2000 that we'd be looking at the longest period of economic downturn ever seen in this country's history (if not globally). But all it took was a few airplanes slamming into the side of some buildings to cause radical shifts in our way of life, our economy, etc. There's nothing particularly amazing about that.

      Very few got the internet, or the pervalence of pocket computing and connectivity that we take for granted 20 years later.

      Even in the late 90s, when the technology was already on the market, people still didn't see its importance. Babylon 5, considered at the time as one of the most progressive scifi shows of the era, showed people on space stations standing in line to get newspapers dispensed by computers. It was inconceivable even then that computers would replace printed media. And that was at a time when exactly that was starting to happen right under their noses.

      The future can't be predicted. That's what makes living so worthwhile: What kind of life would it be if we knew what would happen tomorrow?

      --
      #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    9. Re:Predictions by chrismcb · · Score: 1

      That is because flying cars are easier to see on film than the internet. I've read more books that predicted the internet than have predicted flying cars.

    10. Re:Predictions by chrismcb · · Score: 1

      The problem with predictions

      These aren't predictions. Predictions are "The world will end in 2012"
      These are simply a thought experiment. Take the known technology, and and scientists are discussing, and extrapolate it out a few years. It is what science fiction writers do. They get some things right, and some wrong.
      What I find amusing is what they thought would improve, and what wouldn't. Wires would still exist. And why they could conceiving pushing a button could do something, three would still be a need for the push lever. It was like they figured out what technology would exist in the future, then transplanted it to their time line.

    11. Re:Predictions by paiute · · Score: 3, Funny

      Somebody's bitchy. Must be that time of the month.

      What - when the Comcast bill arrives?

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    12. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Even in the late 90s, when the technology was already on the market, people still didn't see its importance. Babylon 5, considered at the time as one of the most progressive scifi shows of the era, showed people on space stations standing in line to get newspapers dispensed by computers. It was inconceivable even then that computers would replace printed media. And that was at a time when exactly that was starting to happen right under their noses.

      I can remember an article in PC Format magazine from somewhere in the early-mid 90s, making predictions for the future. One of them was for the "magazine of the future" (i.e., on a computer), with no linear page numbering, everything just hyperlinked, embedded video clips, etc. Seemed pretty out there at the time but was, as it turns out, very accurate.

    13. Re:Predictions by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 0

      > The future can't be predicted with any certainty beyond only the smallest of timeframes
      False.

      Counter-Examples:
      * Within 20 years everyone will _know_ that we are not alone.
      * Within 100 years Judaism, Christianity, and Islam will be united (finally!)
      * Within 200 years both South America and Africa will have their own global currencies.
      I could go on, but there would be no point.

      That said, the future is indeed dynamic. The further you go out from the present the more potentials there are. Regardless there is a galactic time-frame for everything, whether we are conscious of it (or not.)

      > The future can't be predicted by most people [as there is no need to.]
      FTFY.

      > What kind of life would it be if we knew what would happen tomorrow?
      There would be numerous benefits. One that life would be a-hell-of lot more efficient, to start with.

      Counter-example: Parents realize that one day they will die and their children will survive them. That doesn't stop them from enjoying their children every day.

      The point isn't about the destination (fate) but about the enjoying the journey (free will) along the way.

    14. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mobile phones. Even as recently as 1980, when cellphones were already a reality, nobody saw the ubiquitous pocket phone coming.

      (Someone always brings up the Star Trek communicator at this point, but that's bollocks. The communicator was basically a walkie-talkie, not attached to a phone network and only carried by a few elite people.)

    15. Re:Predictions by IorDMUX · · Score: 3, Interesting

      What amazes me is the things which weren't predicted.

      Look to the authors to find better predictions. Greg Bear predicted the future of the internet and media fairly well in Queen of Angels in 1990, and William Gibson actually invented the term "Cyberspace" (not to mention the entire cyberpunk genre) in 1984 with his novel Neuromancer.

      --
      >> Standing on head makes smile of frown, but rest of face also upside down.
    16. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Even as recently as 1980, when cellphones were already a reality, nobody saw the ubiquitous pocket phone coming."

      Well, I HAD a cellphone (okay, 1985 was my first) and DID imagine, so I guess predict, that in a relatively short space of time it would fit in my pocket (and be far more commonplace).

      How was I able to achieve this miraculous feat. It's called common sense. By 1985 I'd already seen the massive "radiogram" my father had transform into a pocket radio, cassette tape recorder, shortly thereafter walkmans and CD's.

      Come to think of it, imagining miniaturisation didn't even require a great deal of common sense. Just a functioning brain.

      Not sure yours was functioning when you chose the telephone as an example.

    17. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The future can't be predicted. That's what makes living so worthwhile: What kind of life would it be if we knew what would happen tomorrow?

      Exactly. The best way to predict the future is to invent it. Alan Kay

    18. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Babylon 5, considered at the time as one of the most progressive scifi shows of the era, showed people on space stations standing in line to get newspapers dispensed by computers. It was inconceivable even then that computers would replace printed media.

      And another from this incredibly interesting 1972 Rolling Stone article: "One popular new feature on the Net is AI's Associated Press service. From anywhere on the Net you can log in and get the news that's coming live over the wire or ask for all the items on a particular subject that have come in during the last 24 hours. Plus a fortune cookie. Project that to household terminals, and so much for newspapers (in present form)."

    19. Re:Predictions by drkim · · Score: 3, Informative

      Mobile phones. Even as recently as 1980, when cellphones were already a reality, nobody saw the ubiquitous pocket phone coming.

      1980?

      How about Dick Tracy in 1946?
      http://f00.inventorspot.com/images/Dt2wrr.jpg

    20. Re:Predictions by dgatwood · · Score: 2

      Very few got the internet, or the prevalence of pocket computing and connectivity that we take for granted 20 years later.

      Star Trek had the basic concept of portable computing in the late 1960s, albeit crudely. And I'm pretty sure that there were folks predicting it long before that.

      Mark Twain predicted the Internet in the late 1800s. Not precisely, of course—who would have thought that text-based communications would actually make a comeback—but he pretty much described the concept of a worldwide communication network with webcams where you could see and hear what was going on around the world... in an era when computers were mechanical devices, when television was basically still in the hypothetical stage, etc.

      What people didn't predict was that we would clog up those pipes with advertising....

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    21. Re:Predictions by obarthelemy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "all it took was a few airplanes slamming into the side of some buildings to cause radical shifts in our way of life, our economy, etc."

      I've got 2 issues with your statement:

      1- I'm not sure there have been *major shifts* in your way of life and your economy. What are you thinking about ?

      2- What changes there have been, I'm not sure where due to the planes crashing. The housing bubble was there for the pricking, it was bound to burst at some point; the banking system had been running amok on the path of max.rewards for its workers and owners regardless of risk or sense for a while (glass-steagall repeal ?); I remember back when I was in college (and that's 20 yrs back), my econ prof telling us the US Auto industry had insolvable pensions liabilities that would require a bankruptcy and/or bailouts.

      And a more general issue: that comment is very US-centric.

      There are other predictions that are easy to make:

      - A major political party embracing bigotry and idiocy can only lead to strife. Usually the bigots/idiots have to start from scratch, which makes success harder. But if they succeeded, their lies and idiocies can't sustain them in power, and they need to resort to external and internal violence. We're seeing a bit of that already.

      - Economic upheaval can lead to regime change. that's what caused the French revolution. At some point, the low and middle class will realize they are being fleeced by the corrupt and the mega-rich (and that both are often the same), and will react.

      - Dependency on foreign oil and money can only make a state economically weaker and politically more quixotic.

      --
      The Cloud - because you don't care if your apps and data are up in the air.
    22. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The future ain't what it used to be.

    23. Re:Predictions by Patch86 · · Score: 1

      If you RTFA (and please do on this occasion- it has pretty pictures and everything) you'll see they do show the ones that didn't come true too.

      Ultimately it's not about "correct predictions" though- it's about seeing what the people of 100 years ago thought the world would be like in the future. The fact that many of their wildest dreams have actually more or less come true is pretty fascinating.

    24. Re:Predictions by azalin · · Score: 1

      My favorite being the radium powered heater.

    25. Re:Predictions by bickerdyke · · Score: 1

      That's a mobile radio like police uses untill today, but no telephone.

      But even that wasn't unheard of then. The first mobile phone network in Germany has been set up in 1958. So mobile phones have been a reality since then, not only in the 80s

      --
      bickerdyke
    26. Re:Predictions by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The communicator was basically a walkie-talkie, not attached to a phone network and only carried by a few elite people.

      It's been a while since I watched Star Trek, but I think this is wrong on two counts. First, it was a fully switched network: every call started with '{caller} to {callee}' and then the network made the connection. Second, the show almost never touched on civilians within the Federation except (occasionally) those on frontiers, so there's no evidence that they were not carried by everyone (although presumably Star Fleet had their own version with longer range and a more generic and uniform case than the civilian models). We did see that most civilian comms traffic involved fixed terminals, but only because the ones we saw were video conferences, and these tend to be much more convenient if you have a big screen and somewhere to sit.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    27. Re:Predictions by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      No, what he's describing is selection bias: we claim predictions work because we look at the 1% that did work and then ignore the rest. This is the basis for a very simple stock scam. You set up 10 funds, all investing in random things. Some perform better than average, some worse. You liquidate the ones that do worse and then invite people to invest in the remaining ones (with a healthy commission, of course) and the disclaimer that past results don't necessarily reflect future performance. They will see a fund performing 20% better than the rest of the market and not see the one that you quietly closed that did 20% worse, so assume you have amazing insight and invest. You then pocket the commission and keep investing randomly. Your next guesses may or may not be profitable, but you can keep getting new people in for a while because the graphs look like a little downwards dip on a fund that usually goes up (which may mean now is a really good time to invest in it). By the time it's back down at the market average, you've made a healthy profit.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    28. Re:Predictions by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2

      It's actually a good hint for people wanting to write realistic science fiction: stay away from describing the mechanism. A machine for cleaning your floors is a really obvious prediction to make because everyone has floors that need cleaning and no one likes doing it. A Heath Robinson contraption with brooms and dustpans, however, is a bad prediction because that's just the best that was available with the artist's grasp of the technology of the day. Something like the roomba would be quite easy to predict in visual form: a little box that crawls over your floor and cleans it, with no mention made of its interior workings. The same is true of a number of the other advances described. They produce effects like ones we have today, and they do so because those effects are things people want. They don't, however, work by the mechanisms described.

      As soon as digital data storage became possible, it was possible to predict electronic books, for example. Lots of people had big libraries of books and these are very hard to move around. Being able to have a book-sized device that can be any book you want is an obviously desirable goal. It wasn't until the invention of the LCD display that it became possible to make such a thing, but if you'd written science fiction in the '30s you wouldn't have needed to describe how the display worked, just say that it's something like a sheet of paper that can show any image you want. And, if you were particularly clever, you might realise that if this is possible then it can also show any film, as well as any book.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    29. Re:Predictions by TheMathemagician · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "There is no practical obstacle whatever now to the creation of an efficient index to all human knowledge, ideas and achievements, to the creation, that is, of a complete planetary memory for all mankind. And not simply an index; the direct reproduction of the thing itself can be summoned to any properly prepared spot. A microfilm, coloured where necessary, occupying an inch or so of space and weighing little more than a letter, can be duplicated from the records and sent anywhere, and thrown enlarged upon the screen so that the student may study it in every detail." H.G.Wells, "The World Brain" 1937 I'd say that was a reasonable prediction of the internet.

    30. Re:Predictions by Sardaukar86 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But all it took was a few airplanes slamming into the side of some buildings to cause radical shifts in our way of life, our economy, etc.

      That's a fair summary really. I find it deeply disheartening to consider how we Western nations have caved in to perceived terrorism over the eleven years since 9/11. Western nations faced a very real, terrifying enemy but somehow managed to find the backbone to stand together. To help drive the Axis powers into submission when forced to by the events of WWII. Can you imagine such a thing today?

      How we have squandered these gains! Complacent and greedy, we are collectively a whimpering, mewling shadow of our former selves and we have nobody else to blame. We have allowed ourselves to backslide shamefully, our primitive animal fear taking the reins and enabling the dramatic re-shaping of our way of life - and all for the false promise of temporary safety.

      Worse, WE are all that is left; the custodians of a Freedom earned through massive sacrifice made by others on our behalf. It is NOT OURS to give away but we just cannot help ourselves because we're taught to be so. damn. afraid. Meanwhile, the law concerns itself with idiocies such as Intelligent Design and its place in the classroom; fiddling as Rome burns.

      Whilst I find these early postcards insightful and very interesting, I ponder on the artists naive innocence and wonder how anyone at that time could have imagined such a disgraceful future for ourselves.

      One need only view a minute of Fox News to understand that George Orwell's dystopic vision has been fully realised; slowly and with much more subtlety than I would have ever thought possible. Maybe it's really myself that's the naive one here.

      --
      ..Mullah or Pope, Preacher or Poet, who was it wrote: "Give any one species too much rope and they'll fuck it up"?
    31. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah. I recently got done watching all of ST, backwards (series-wise not season-wise), so TOS is still pretty fresh.

      I can say with some certainty that the communicator was indeed a walkie talkie. Person to person didn't come until com badges, which were arguably more like a telephone with voice recognition.

    32. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Babylon 5, considered at the time as one of the most progressive scifi shows of the era, showed people on space stations standing in line to get newspapers dispensed by computers.

      Most progressive my ass... Ever seen newspaper dispensing on Star Trek TNG? The replacement of printed media is not a good example of something that nobody could predict.

    33. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alas, neither is the old gray mare.

    34. Re:Predictions by laejoh · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Even better: "A Logic Named Joe" is a science fiction short story by Murray Leinster that was first published in the March 1946 issue of Astounding Science Fiction. Look it up :)

    35. Re:Predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Very few got the internet, or the pervalence of pocket computing and connectivity that we take for granted 20 years later.

      That's because the internet and pocket computing have made little difference to how people live their lives. I know this is heresy on slashdot, but the fact remains that being poor and having a crappy smartphone still means you're poor. Their has been no increase in equitable power and wealth distribution due to the internet. We've just got some new toys. Anyone looking into the future isn't going to be that interested in how much shiny there might be.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    36. Re:Predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 2

      I can remember working on a project for a design company in the mid 80s when the only mobile phones (in the UK at least) were those big military style ones like a couple of bricks. One of the lead designers said to me that the only reason they were as big and clunky as that was that the yuppies using them loved the pseudo-military look. They were working on alternative phones about the size of an old Motorola Razr flip phone even then.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    37. Re:Predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 2

      What people didn't predict was that we would clog up those pipes with advertising

      That is a symptom of why the internet is not the great life-changer that everyone here seems to think. The fuckers with the money are still in control.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    38. Re:Predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      The best legal stock scam is to be a stockbroker. They serve no useful purpose, like much of the complicated financial scaffolding propping up late era consumer capitalism.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    39. Re:Predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      What I find amusing is what they thought would improve, and what wouldn't. Wires would still exist.

      As opposed to the actual world we live in where electricity is transmitted Tesla-style through the air?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    40. Re:Predictions by alexgieg · · Score: 1

      Mr. Newton would have understood that as a scientist, and if he could be conjured up from the dead to utter a few words on this, he'd likely agree.

      I doubt it. Newton dwelt A LOT in prophecies and such, just glance over the index of his works on the subject available at Newton's Views on on Prophecy, Revelation and the End of Times. He'd be right at home in any of the not-too-crazy millenarist churches of today.

      --
      Conservatism: (n.) love of the existing evils. Liberalism: (n.) desire to substitute new evils for the existing ones.
    41. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uhm, none of those seem anywhere near given. If we don't know today if we're alone or not, we can't predict that we'll be sure in the future. Religions have historically never joined, though new syncretistic traditions might arise - and historic evidence makes it look very unlikely indeed that those three will join up. The last one sounds plausible to me, though. :)

    42. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't even understand what is being "predicted" in the postcards. The fact is the artist is either so out of touch with the world around him at that time or he in fact so daft he can only present slight modifications of current inventions of the time. Yes, Johnny, everything in the pictures was already invented by Tesla, Edison, Deere, Brizé-Fradin, etc.

      The article and many of you naively proclaim we are so much smarter now. The fact is we haven't seen very many true novel inventions since the late 19th century. But what do you expect from an iPod/Facebook generation. As long as the pleasure centers of the brain are aroused, who gives a fuck about history.

    43. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The most accurate, I think, is the third postcard .
      Sure, they say it's video-conferencing, but come on, just look at what it is portrarying:

      A guy sitting in a dark room, slouched back in his chair, one hand on the electronic device, the other casually in his lap, looking at a pretty girl...remind you of anything?

      +100 points to the artist for deducing the primary usage of this new communications network would be pornography.

      Sure it's sort of creepy that there's that other guy in there but hey, you know, they're French! Bonhomme!

    44. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After spending several minutes trying to decide whether to mod this as "Troll" or "Insightful", I've decided instead to just go stick my head in an oven.

    45. Re:Predictions by Grizzley9 · · Score: 2

      Nobody could have predicted in 2000 that we'd be looking at the longest period of economic downturn ever seen in this country's history (if not globally). But all it took was a few airplanes slamming into the side of some buildings to cause radical shifts in our way of life, our economy, etc.

      So you think the irrational dot-com boom and then bust and the housing market crash, etc were all caused by terrorist attacks? 9/11 had an effect on the economy but not near the amount the the first two did (or did you not mean to connect those two sentences).

    46. Re:Predictions by mcgrew · · Score: 2

      Very few got the internet

      Only two I know of, and they both got it wrong. Asimov got it VERY wrong (multivac). The other was Murray Leinster in his 1946 short story "A Logic Named Joe" (the full story is linked above). Oddly, his internet was fully censored and a faulty "logic" (computer) disabled the censorship. Exactly the opposite is happening in the real future -- we started out with a completely free and open internet, and its (and our) freedom is under assault by authoritarians every day.

    47. Re:Predictions by mcgrew · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's because the internet and pocket computing have made little difference to how people live their lives. I know this is heresy on slashdot

      Not heresy, just the ignorance of someone who has had these devices all their life. You have every single book ever writen before Micley Mouse stole copyright, you have a camera, movie camera, sound recorder, telephone, calendar, calculator, address book in your pocket. You no longer have pay phones.

      If you wanted to contact someone who didn't live close by in pre-internet times, you spent quite a sum to talk over the phone, or you wrote a letter on paper and set it to them, and they'd get it in a week or two. If you wanted to send a photo, you had it printed and again, they'd have it in a week or two. If you took a picture, you couldn't see it for a week because that's usually how long it took to get film processed.

      If your band wanted to record its own album, tough shit -- nobody recorded without an RIAA contract. There was no such thing as indie music. Nobody would hear your band unless they were drinking in the bar you played in. Today your band in empowered, if you're good you may go viral on the internet.

      If you wanted to write, nobody would read it without the blessing of a book publisher. If you wanted to express your opinion on politics, you wrote a letter to the editor and he would get it in a week, and then not print it. Letters to teh editor are printed at the editor's whim. Now, anybody can publish a blog and if it's good it will be read.

      the fact remains that being poor and having a crappy smartphone still means you're poor.

      If you're poor you're not going to have a crappy smartphone, you'll have a crappy dumb phone, and then only if your government or a charity supplies it.

      Their has been no increase in equitable power and wealth distribution due to the internet

      Nor has it given us free energy, flying cars, and world peace. So fucking what? That wasn't its intended purpose. Its purpose was communication, and it's been serving its purpose well.

      We've just got some new toys.

      No, we've got some new tools. Very powerful tools. The internet is more world-changing as the Gutenberg press was. I know, I lived most of my life without it. Without the internet, you wouldn't have my Nobot stories or the Paxil Diaries. You would have never seen that shot from an airplane of the last shuttle launching. before the internet, if a cop beat you, well, you tripped and fell. Now someone's got a camera phone aimed at him.

      The Rodney King riots would not have happened ten years earlier, because nobody would have made a movie of him getting beaten. Powerful tools, son. I did without them for almost half a centurey, be glad you have them.

    48. Re:Predictions by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      That's a mobile radio like police uses untill today

      So is your cell phone.

    49. Re:Predictions by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      It was like they figured out what technology would exist in the future, then transplanted it to their time line.

      To be fair, every science fiction writer there ever was did this. Take Asimov's Caves of Steel where photographic film was still used. Nobody foresaw digital photography; if they did, I missed that story.

    50. Re:Predictions by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      Here are a few more:

      * Scientists will eventually discover the 6 fundamental forces
      * Scientists will also discover white holes are on the "opposite" side of the black holes (this is where all the "missing" energy is)

      Check back in 20 years and we can see how much progress we've made ;-)

    51. Re:Predictions by tragedy · · Score: 1

      Well, if you consider the fact that all communicator calls in TOS went through what basically amounted to a traditional phone switchboard operated by Uhura, it was more like a wireless phone (but not cellular since the only base station was generally the NCC-1701 herself) with a manually switched back end.

    52. Re:Predictions by tragedy · · Score: 1

      1937 I'd say that was a reasonable prediction of the internet.

      Provided you're employing RFC 1149

    53. Re:Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YUP. AFAIR he also said that you can plug in (chain in) a series of USB drives to your head each of which would also have a virus pack. He didn't call it USB though.

      OK

  3. Flying postal carrier by Mullen · · Score: 4, Funny

    I have been trying to get my local postal carrier to deliver my mail to my balcony via Ultra Light, but she keeps pointing out that that would expensive, dangerous and I only live on the 2nd floor. Some people just can't see the future.

    --
    Linux O Muerte!
    1. Re:Flying postal carrier by Andy+Prough · · Score: 1

      Got to wonder how much longer we will really need postal carriers. I think I'll be sending a total of about 10 pieces of physical mail for the entire 2012 year, down from about 20 the year before. Not even 10 years ago, I was sending that many per week. Between email, online bill pay, and DropBox, there's hardly ever a reason for me to buy postage anymore, either for my business or personally. Heck, even greeting cards are nearly all e-cards now.

    2. Re:Flying postal carrier by girlintraining · · Score: 1

      Some people just can't see the future.

      Or maybe they just don't want to see you.

      --
      #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    3. Re:Flying postal carrier by fermion · · Score: 2
      Just like most predictions, these missed what actually happened. Though we did automate many manual tasks, and we do have a robot that cleans floors, what was actually automated to lead to the future we are in was the computer, that is the people who would add numbers to other numbers to create the navigational table, the bank statements, the mathematical treatise. Because this, after all, is all the computer is. In much science fiction up until computer actually existed, these calculations were done by hand. Spacecraft were depicted with auto medical bays, but navigation was still done by hand with books.

      Yes, these cards did predict robots, but saying they predicted the future would be like a person from the iron age building a cylinder and saying he predicted rockets. It is one thing to take current technology and extrapolate a straight line to the future. It is quite another to predict the divergent thought that will lead to what is the real future.

      For instance, a sewing machine does not sew like a human, and have pictures of mechanical hands sewing does not predict the sewing machine. We use fixed wing aircraft that does not flap. Most computing machines did not do additions very quickly, the almost exception being the Difference Engine, and we can do calculus on a computer but still not iron a shirt.

      Yes imagining a future is important to progress. But I no longer wish for a flying car, and can think no one that imagined the music industry has meet it's end when TI or Fairchild, take you pick, create the NAND gate.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    4. Re:Flying postal carrier by azalin · · Score: 1

      Got to wonder how much longer we will really need postal carriers. I think I'll be sending a total of about 10 pieces of physical mail for the entire 2012 year, down from about 20 the year before. Not even 10 years ago, I was sending that many per week. Between email, online bill pay, and DropBox, there's hardly ever a reason for me to buy postage anymore, either for my business or personally. Heck, even greeting cards are nearly all e-cards now.

      So you don't shop online?
      While private mail has probably declined, the amount of commercial shipping (to the consumer) has soared. People by tons of stuff on amazon, ebay or from small companies that cater to a specific niche. They even sell stuff themselves online through ebay.

    5. Re:Flying postal carrier by tehcyder · · Score: 2

      Heck, even greeting cards are nearly all e-cards now.

      Yeah, because nothing says "I thought of you" like a fucking email.

      Anyone who sends me an e-card gets struck off my birthday/Christmas card list.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  4. Site commentary for last few postcards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I don't know why accelerating maturity in some animals would be considered a "bad idea" or using radium to warm a house if foolproof containment unit could be devised..

    Why you could even call it a "nuclear power plant" or something..

    1. Re:Site commentary for last few postcards by realityimpaired · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A fool-proof containment unit for radium wouldn't heat the house...

    2. Re:Site commentary for last few postcards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *woosh*

      Hence the whole "nuclear power plant" comment right below that..

      Radium Series

  5. I see no black people in the pictures. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Not accurate.

    1. Re:I see no black people in the pictures. by azalin · · Score: 1

      Troll feeding and all, but living in France a hundred years ago he probably never saw a black person until he traveled a lot. And even if he did, there would have been only a handful even in Paris.

  6. They missed the 3 most important inventions by Andy+Prough · · Score: 5, Insightful

    They missed the 3 inventions that have done the most to promote health and prolong human life expectancy: toilets, refrigerators, and water treatment plants.

    1. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Haven't you seen the three sea shells in one of those postcards?

    2. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Andy+Prough · · Score: 1

      Haven't you seen the three sea shells in one of those postcards?

      No, but there should have at least been a robot to toss the contents of the chamber pots out the window and onto unsuspecting passers-by.

    3. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The toilet is older than these postcards. Ignoring things like King Minos' toilet in Crete or Queen Elizabeth's toilet in England, a hotel installed toilets as early as 1829: http://inventors.about.com/od/pstartinventions/a/Plumbing_3.htm

    4. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      toilets, refrigerators, and water treatment plants.

      Dude. In 1899 they already had _all_ of those.

    5. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by stymy · · Score: 1

      Actually, I believe that the ancient romans had flushing toilets. Rich romans also used iceboxes, packed with snow brought down in insulated barrels from the mountains.

    6. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Andy+Prough · · Score: 1

      Yes, but indoor toilets were not common until 20 years later. Home refrigerators with compressors were not invented until 1914-1916. It wasn't until the 1940's until most municipalities in the US had treated water, and until the 1970's that the developed nations passed safe drinking water laws and required more industrial waste to be removed from the water. And billions of folks still don't have access to these simple, life-saving inventions.

    7. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Sique · · Score: 2

      I beg to differ. I've grown up in a house built in 1894 with an indoor toilette for each appartement (albeit not part of the appartement itself, but with a separate entrance from the corridor).
      So yes, the concept of an indoor outhouse was no "prediction for the future" in 1889. And the first sewage plant in my home country was built in 1882, so no futural concept either.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    8. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      Yes, but indoor toilets were not common until 20 years later. Home refrigerators with compressors were not invented until 1914-1916. It wasn't until the 1940's until most municipalities in the US had treated water, and until the 1970's that the developed nations passed safe drinking water laws and required more industrial waste to be removed from the water.

      And billions of folks still don't have access to these simple, life-saving inventions.

      ..the postcards weren't from US or about inventions already made.

      the postcards have been featured many times on light science mags and websites already though..

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    9. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by azalin · · Score: 2

      Actually, I believe that the ancient romans had flushing toilets. Rich romans also used iceboxes, packed with snow brought down in insulated barrels from the mountains.

      Not exactly flushing, but close. They used to have running water under the toilets. Works just as well, but needs more water. Number one on the other hand, was also collected in conveniently placed pots/amphorae in the streets and used by the clothing industry.

    10. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot the pill and abortion.

    11. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bit unfair comparison you make here. I's saying. In 1899 they had the technology. And in fact it was even reasonable common.

      Just as common as you consider your PC, tablet and clean drinking water.

      Needless to say anno 2012 almost half of the world population still has no access to clean drinking water and proper sanitation. A billion others have no access to electricity, proper food or education, let alone an iPhone.

    12. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They missed the 3 inventions that have done the most to promote health and prolong human life expectancy: toilets, refrigerators, and water treatment plants.

      I live in Paris, in a building built in the 1880s or 1890s, like most of the buildings in central Paris, and I'm sure the toilets were built in from the beginning.

      It's also quite common to see small old signs on parisian buildings saying "Eau et gaz à tous les étages" = ("Running water and gas at each floor") . Those are also at least from the 1910s or 1900s .

      You're right about the refrigerators though, however those buildings also very often had a small compartment beneath kitchen windows, ventilated with outside air.

    13. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Abortion has been around much longer than this

    14. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it promotes neither life expectancy nor health (quite to the contrary)

    15. Re:They missed the 3 most important inventions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They used iceboxes for toilets? Wow they were decadent.

  7. lame by Charliemopps · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Same old lame story... People a long time ago predicted that people in the future would get what they want with technology. Fast forward to today, and people have amazingly gotten what they want via technology! All be it, in entirely different ways than predicted, but lets not let that stop a journalist with a deadline from filing a cookie cutter article!

    1. Re:lame by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 1

      When I was 21, I looked around, and realized I had everything I wanted when I was 17. When I was 25, I had the things I still dreamed of when I was 21. Now, at 32, I've got what I wanted at 25.

      It wasn't obvious to me at the time, although it is now--you tend to get what you want because you try to get it. Even if it's not a desired outcome, making a prediction can put something in your mind, or others' minds, to the point that it happens. Self-fulfilling prophecy at its finest.

      --
      <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
    2. Re:lame by tbird81 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I agree. And I doubt these were even "predictions", more like fun cliches and what-ifs. It's the same as how many movies think that everyone in the future will wear vinyl clothing.

      It is painful trying to watch the writer compare the postcard to something either Google or Apple have made (rather than saying the generic term), then explaining that the prediction was "not far off".

      Then to top it off, he states some of the postcards as bad ideas. Such as rapidly turning eggs into baby chicks. This idea could revolutionise the poultry industry! But it's bad! Then there's the heater with the glow: the author interprets it as radium, but it might just be electricity and be quite correct. Or it might be contained nuclear fusion, and the illustrator just got the timing wrong by 1000 years.

      A pathetic, lame, cliched, "lol at predictions from the past" story. I find it interesting to see the pictures, but the commentary makes me cringe more than Cringely.

    3. Re:lame by chrismcb · · Score: 1

      It isn't a lame story. It is interesting to think what people thought would happen.

    4. Re:lame by jcfandino · · Score: 2

      Looks like consumerism, a new luxury is created by media/culture and a few years later the market has it ready for you, you've been waiting for it, so it becomes a need you cannot live without.

    5. Re:lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can totally see where you're coming from. It's now 12:26 where I'm at. At 08:00 I thought that by 12:00 I wouldn't be hungry - and after brunch at 11:30, I wasn't!

      Things like that happen to me all the time. I used to think I was psychic but now thanks to you, I can see how wrong I was.

    6. Re:lame by azalin · · Score: 1

      I would even say the egg to chicken automaton exists and is in use by the poultry industry. While it does take a little longer than one might guess from the picture, the whole process of chicken production is quite automated.

    7. Re:lame by Rob_Bryerton · · Score: 1

      It's like The Matrix, but with chickens.

  8. Same Style by alexander_686 · · Score: 1

    And today Google is celebrating Winsor McCay. I know when I was young that I looked at these old drawings to envision the future. Tall buildings and lots of Zeppelins. Technology does have a way of defining how things look. Good printing technology 100 years ago did have a specific style.

    1. Re:Same Style by xenobyte · · Score: 2

      Airships (Zeppelins) are actually quite efficient and safe. Just don't use hydrogen: use helium and electric motors, powered by solar-charged batteries, and the whole thing is both cheap, safe and environmentally friendly. They offer the ability to fly into the center of a metropolis without polution and noise. I predict that they'll return soon, and we might still see a metropolis skyline filled with airships.

      --
      "For every complex problem, there is a solution that is simple, neat, and wrong." -- H.L. Mencken (1880-1956) --
    2. Re:Same Style by smooth+wombat · · Score: 1

      and we might still see a metropolis skyline filled with airships.

      Along the same lines as hooking an airship to the top of the Empire State Building so people could disembark down a rope staircase.

      --
      We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
  9. Accelerating maturity in some animals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the way chickens and turkeys are raised today?

  10. LOL, plainly French by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    What do you suppose the artist who drew this card had on his mind. Oh maybe he thought for just a moment about air travel, but plainly his mind wandered.

  11. explaining our world to a 19th century person... by wierd_w · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Many of the things we know today, and even take for granted, would be seen as pure magic to a person from the 19th century.

    Take for instance something we are all on (precariously) friendly terms with, like the integrated circuit.

    The finer points of how an IC work (such as the quantum nature of the bandgap, especially at nanoscopic scales) would be nearly incomprehensible to such a person.

    Fiberoptic communication, with such strange things as helical polarization would bake their noodles, not to mention such curious things as the GPS network. (Einstein didn't come along until much later. GPS wouldn't work without SR, due to earth's frame dragging.)

    Or even just the workings inside a cellphone, or just a microwave oven.

    They might have been able to imagin the basic concept of the device, (eg, "portable wireless telephone"), but the signal encoding stratagems used to get the most from limited commodities of wireless band? In an age without computers, the math involved would be frightening! Something like 4096bit RSA ecryption would induce nightmares. (Just the mere notion that somebody might be willing to *try* factoring a number like that would cause dumbstruck expressions of incredulity. Let alone people routinely attempting to attack the problem from a myriad of different theoretical angles, and the impetus to do so.)

    Others that would floor people from the 19th century, would be ENGINEERING microbes. They often felt that complete eradication of germs was desirable. (Just read the last part of "the time machine") As such, the very idea of creating new ones would be cognitatively jarring. Using engineered viruses for gene therapy and the like would seem backward and regressive to their views.

    Wells' time traveler would be astounded, and confounded simultaneously by our modern world.

    Here's a clever thought experiment for you: imagine H.G. Wells dropping in for a sunset view from his time machine at a nude beach, asking politely for a newspaper and being laughed at, going to a delapidated paper book library, and told by a 10 year old that he could have all the books in the entire world litterally in the palm of his hand. Expose him to the radical idea of the internet, then expose him to 4chan (or worse, a site dedicated to 'rule 34'), and reveal the shocking truth that most people use the internet for pornographic entertainment instead of personal improvement. (Remember, 19th century sexual repressedness)

    My money would be on the time traveler being convinced we are all incurably insane, rushing back to his time machine, and wondering how it all went so terribly wrong.

    Really, our world more strongly resembles the various "decadent decline" models of the fiction of their time, where people are depicted as being unacceptably vulgar, evil, and jaded. (Take for instance, the descriptions of the decadent residents of k'n-yan, from lovecraft's novels) A short, 10 minute exposure to witnessing an online FPS shooter, with 8 year olds "teabagging" people, with the conception that "this routinely happens" would surely sinch it.

    Our world would traumatize people from the 19th century.

  12. hmm? by tibman · · Score: 2

    What's wrong with a Radium Fireplace? Keeps the place nice and warm.

    --
    http://soylentnews.org/~tibman
    1. Re:hmm? by azalin · · Score: 1

      The mice might grow horns and large fangs though. Or die. Maybe both.

  13. WOW! NEAT! by johnwerneken · · Score: 0

    Interesting and informative. Science Fiction at it's best, combines what can be known about what people want to do or to have done, with current knowledge of fields where boundaries are exploding, to guess ways of using advances in such fields to achieve such goals. The result illuminates how it might feel to do all that, and sometimes the guess on HOW isn't that far off at all...

  14. Quick thought for quick thinkers by Peter+(Professor)+Fo · · Score: 1

    The WHOLE POINT of science fiction is to get us to think about how decisions in the past and we make TODAY affect the future.

    How about for an example? A TV-top camera watching for who watches what adverts being used to detect atheists who 'ignore' religious blatterings? (I hope) this is SF but either it is bound to be abused occasionally or massively. "The next educational program on Afgan [UAE, Dubai,...] TV is not for women."

  15. similar for our predictions by deodiaus2 · · Score: 2

    I think our predictions of the future (regarding the singularity, robots, biogenetics, wealth, energy, and space exploration) will be as off based as these were.
    This is interesting in its own right as it shows just how myopic these visions were.
    I always laugh when I see our future depicted in movies and TV shows. Looking at Star Trek, we see how much the architecture is so 1960's. The knobs and lights look right out of 1967. Even something like the CRT-TVs in UFO and Space 1999 are dated.

    1. Re:similar for our predictions by ShoulderOfOrion · · Score: 2

      So true. It's amazing how constrained we are by our own experiences. I've been watching old Outer Limit shows recently, produced in the 1960's. Wonderful examples abound there, such as a future videophone that still uses a rotary dial. Of course, with AT&T being a monopoly again...

    2. Re:similar for our predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, Star Trek TNG predicted the Apple Ipad exactly!

    3. Re:similar for our predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Looking at Star Trek, we see how much the architecture is so 1960's. The knobs and lights look right out of 1967

      Yeah, never mind about warp drive, phaser weapons, communicators, automated sick bays and the rest, let's criticise the fucking set decor.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    4. Re:similar for our predictions by xenobyte · · Score: 1

      I'm actually surprised that so few shows back then used experts when it came to 'designing the future'. I mean, the reason Star Trek TOS looks so dated was because they took their current technology and surroundings and transplanted them to a spaceship. So you had a typical 1960's environment that just happened to be the bridge of a spaceship. Later, a lot of efforts were put into making the future actually futuristic, and those movies/tv-shows looks a lot less dated today, although there's a lot of huge misses here and there.

      In "Blade Runner" there are flying cars but no traffic? - We rarely see any flying cars besides those of the main characters and there's very few road cars as well and we see no subways. There's a lot of pedestrians but still - Los Angeles is a huge city with many millions of people and they can't all walk everywhere.

      In "The Island" we get more realistic reality where there's still a lot of road traffic but flying vehicles do exist. The regional trains have gone maglev and the subways are flying too (using guide wires). It just seems more realistic that the mass transit systems are the first to move away from congested roads and rails. Phone booths are now information kiosks as well - although they didn't see Bing coming... ;)

      Both of these films had 'visual futurists' attached, thus making a conscious effort to guess at what's coming.

      --
      "For every complex problem, there is a solution that is simple, neat, and wrong." -- H.L. Mencken (1880-1956) --
  16. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by PlusFiveTroll · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I probably should mod your great post up, but I'll post instead.

    This reminds me more of the Douglas Adams Hitchhikers series science fiction, where Authur Dent gets stuck in an alien spaceship and alien people and it's all just weird and incomprehensible to him. That's what 100 years in the future would be to us without understanding the inbetween 99 years. Alien.

  17. Steampunk by aNonnyMouseCowered · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They're far too whimsical to be predictions of OUR present. They're best suited as material for a steampunk movie or anime, what people thought was possible using souped-up versions of the technology of the day. I doubt whether it's possible to predict what the future will look, although it should be possible to describe vaguely what type of technologies people will use. For example, it should be possible to describe a tablet computer in terms that a 19th century geek would understand, a portable magic lantern that can also serve as a camera, telephone, phonograph, etc. In a non-dystopian future, we're sure to have micro-versions of today's supercomputers, but whether it'll look like a smart phone, AR glasses, or something implanted inside our skulls is something for the next Steve Jobs to market to the gadget sheep of the future.

    1. Re:Steampunk by evilviper · · Score: 1

      In a non-dystopian future, we're sure to have micro-versions of today's supercomputers, but whether it'll look like a smart phone, AR glasses, or something implanted inside our skulls is something for the next Steve Jobs to market to the gadget sheep of the future.

      It's pretty obvious what it'll be. Even now scientists are working on devices that allow blind people to "see", using the nerve endings in their tongue, or whatnot, and developing tech that allows brain activity to be used as an input device. It's all pretty silly right now, but it's quite obvious that input and output devices of today are cumbersome, and the logical conclusion is to have computers wired right to nerves. Don't type or talk, just think... Don't look at the a screen, everything you need to see will be delivered straight to your optic nerve. Whether these future computation devices will really be implanted, or just clip-on to our necks or heads, is an open question.

      Transportation is an interesting one, too, as we KNOW it has to change, and we're at the start of a pretty big change right now. The human-sized vacuum tubes in Futurama are probably a good model for the future of transit. Splitting the difference between that, and where we are today, perhaps there will be a proliferation of autonomous, electric-powered, one-man Velomobiles, which just appear when you want them because they got the signal from your implanted computer that you would want to travel somewhere, soon, and drove to your current position. I know they look claustrophobic, but if New York apartments are any indication, we'll ALL live in capsule apartments (with noise cancellation) soon enough, anyhow.

      And with cheap, automated cars, comes cheap, automated just-in-time home deliveries of groceries (Welcome back, robotic milk man!), and any other products you could want (if you aren't already printing them at home, or generating them from your replicator...).

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
  18. The future through the eyes of the present by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What I always find interesting about visions of the future is the way in which people's present day taints the image. For example, I think there are some old science fiction stories about space travel where the people on the voyage use wood or oil for heat. Or, as with these postcard pictures, the idea of blimps carrying boatloads of people instead of jet liners. Looking at the original Star Trek series I find it interesting that they've got faster than light travel and transporters, but most of their computers don't have screens and they still use physical toggle switches for controls and some episodes show them printing off results on paper.

    It's very hard to accurately predict the future because our visions are constantly tainted by what we already have. I think a lot of these postcards did a pretty good job, considering what the artists would have known at the time. The farming equipment and two-way visual phone calls are especially impressive. Sure, some didn't turn out, but I don't think that reduces the impressive show of imagination on display.

    1. Re:The future through the eyes of the present by Harvey+Manfrenjenson · · Score: 1

      Looking at the original Star Trek series I find it interesting that they've got faster than light travel and transporters, but most of their computers don't have screens and they still use physical toggle switches for controls and some episodes show them printing off results on paper.

      Perhaps there are situations where you *want* a physical toggle switch for ergonomic reasons? The best example I can think of is musical gear (say, a high-end synthesizer). I'd be willing to bet there are still toggle switches on a nuclear submarine.

      And yeah, I'm rationalizing.

    2. Re:The future through the eyes of the present by drkim · · Score: 1

      Looking at the original Star Trek series I find it interesting that they've got faster than light travel and transporters, but most of their computers don't have screens...

      It depends on the imagination of the predictor.

      If you look at Stanley Kubrick's 1968 "2001" you'll see them reading/watching news off what could easily be an iPad. And the ship is controlled by voice recognition.

      If you really want your mind blown, read Sir Francis Bacon’s "The New Atlantis"

      “Carriages without horses.”
      “Ships without sails.”
      “Boats for going under water and brooking seas.”
      “Mechanically made silks, linens and tissues.”
      recording studios
      “Glass of divers kinds, among them some metals vitrificated.”
      "great and spacious houses where we imitate and demonstrate the meteors." (planetarium)
      grafting and inoculating of trees, fruits and flowers
      “prolonging of life and the curing of some diseases by refrigeration.” (cryogenics)
      "we make observations otherwise unseen in the blood and urine." (microscopes)

      ...all back in 1626!

  19. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So basically you're saying that our time would be Futurama to his 1880's mind?

  20. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    But what's interesting, too, are the many things people from the 19th century could and did imagine, and thought relatively simple, which still elude us today.

    Take dictation devices, for example. It's an incredible challenge for us to do a good enough job with speech recognition to use them for actually transcribing documents. Google Now and Siri are jokes by comparison with what many futurists in the 19th century thought wouldn't be that hard: how many of them would be able to fathom, being told about something like the Internet, that courts still have to use court reporters, and the majority of the magical systems of the future use substantially similar keyboards to what they were using then?

    Or take robotics and automation: again, look at the predictions from these postcards, or from anything between 1880 and 1970 or so. How would your time traveller comprehend that we can engineer viruses and nanometer-scale computing devices, but can't build a reasonable device to cut someone's hair or do someone's makeup? In fact, we tend to be impressed by things like robot arms barely managing to flip a pancake, or humanoid robots slowly climbing stairs. For that matter, we're just now starting to manage automated cars, something that is everywhere in science fiction over the last century.

    What tends to be impressive about these sorts of predictions is that there are so many things we take for granted that people from past eras couldn't begin to imagine, and so many things they could easily imagine that are nowhere near being possible.

  21. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by wierd_w · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Worse.

    The 1880s were still deely gripped by puritanism, social stratification as being a good thing, institutionalized racism, and a very narrow and rigid view of what was considered "acceptable", and "proper".

    We aren't talking a comical spin on modern problems with aliens and silly technologies.

    Think about what *we* consider unspeakable. THAT, times 9000.

    I doubt that a 19th century time traveler would have a sufficiently powerful adjective to describe what he would see, and how he would percieve it.

  22. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by wierd_w · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I agree. Explaining the extreme difficulty involved with machines even approaching that level of autonomous function would be hard to do indeed.

    Even today, few people realize how excrutiatingly difficult AI really is. Something as intelligent as a mouse would be a radical accomplishment. (And we routinely make science fiction where AIs with superhuman intellect are commonplace...)

    Like everything, the devil's in the details. Sadly, this is something that routinely goes unnoticed or unappreciated, even today, where the reality stares us brazenly in the face and mocks us openly. (How many times have you had to deal with the starry-eyed executive, who has "a great idea"?)

    Many of the things we have today came from trying to solve the frustratingly difficult, but seemingly simple things people have imagined for ages. Like going to the moon. I would be hard pressed to make an all-inclusive list of things around me at this very moment that exist exclusively because we dared to tackle that seemingly simple problem, [which it turns out wasn't so simple.]

    I just think it prudent for people daydreaming about the future to rationalize that the future world where your romantic idea becomes real, is one that you simply cannot understand, because of all the knowledge and social changes it brought in the intervening time.

    When I think about a future with strong ai in it, I imagine a future where goatse-esque things are commonplace, and even appearing on things like gameshows. Essentially phillip k dick on an ecstacy and crack smoothie. (With barbituates and chocolate chips blended in.)

  23. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by ljw1004 · · Score: 2

    I think you're way off the mark! I remember reading St Augustine's "City of God Against The Pagans" written in the early 400s. I was struck that my thought processes as a computer scientist were much closer to him than to my peers. He had the pedantic logical mind of a computer scientist. My favorite example is his version of the Cogito - "I know I exist. The skeptics say I am mistaken in this, but by the same token they say I am".

    I think people from older eras were every bit as mentally adept and flexible as we are now, and more than we generally credit.

    Let's look through your list...

    The finer points of how an IC work (such as the quantum nature of the bandgap, especially at nanoscopic scales) would be nearly incomprehensible to such a person.

    Incomprehensible to someone today also. I tried explaining N and P gaps to my wife without any success.

    "Fiberoptic communication, with such strange things as helical polarization would bake their noodles, not to mention such curious things as the GPS network. (Einstein didn't come along until much later. GPS wouldn't work without SR, due to earth's frame dragging.)"

    It wouldn't work without SR, true, but sextants and celestial navigation have been around for thousands of years, and by the 19th century they had damned fine instruments to measure celestial bodies including the moon. The idea of basing it off other more nearby celestial bodies would be easily understood. As for calculating exact position due to the differences in signals -- well, not much different from interferometry and "Newton's Fringes" (named after Newton of course).

    "In an age without computers, the math involved would be frightening! Something like 4096bit RSA ecryption would induce nightmares."

    They had many computers for celestial-navigation tables in the 18th century. Computer at this stage meant "person who performs computation", and they'd have entire halls full of them. And they had computers for artillery tables going back to the middle ages, where it was the bright mathematician hired by the local nobleman. The idea of upping the scale was already widespread. Charles Babbage (died 1871) was far more ambitious about what could be computed. He wouldn't have been frightened, not one bit. Say what you will about the 18th century, but they weren't unambitious about what they could achieve (at least not in the British Empire).

    imagine H.G. Wells dropping in for a sunset view from his time machine at a nude beach, asking politely for a newspaper and being laughed at, going to a delapidated paper book library, and told by a 10 year old that he could have all the books in the entire world litterally in the palm of his hand. Expose him to the radical idea of the internet, then expose him to 4chan (or worse, a site dedicated to 'rule 34'), and reveal the shocking truth that most people use the internet for pornographic entertainment instead of personal improvement. (Remember, 19th century sexual repressedness)"

    Whatever reason do you have to think that? Nothing of H.G.Well's writing suggests he'd be shocked. I reckon from his book "A Modern Utopia" that he's far more progressive than our own society today.

  24. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by Harvey+Manfrenjenson · · Score: 2

    The Victorians were actually quite fond of pornography. So I don't think Mr. Wells would be shocked to learn that we are, too.

    In other respects, though, I think your post is dead on.

  25. Good and bad predictions by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Looking at a lot of predictions of 'the future', a lot of them were right on, and a lot of them were "WTF".

    I wonder what a prediction today, of 200 years in the future, would be. Life in 2212. We've been tainted by Star Trek, etc All that stuff should be possible, NOW! But what will it really be like?

    My predictions:
    1. We will have landed men on the Moon again.
    2. We will have landed men on Mars (why? I don't know...)
    3. There will have been another nuclear weapon used in anger (this leads to a major restructuring of global politics)
    4. We still won't have anything like a warp drive
    5. We will have actually come up with a better power source. Cold fusion or similar.
    6. There will still be religious nutcases (See #3)

    1. Re:Good and bad predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Will there still be bitter cowards posting their vitriol with impunity?

    2. Re:Good and bad predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Will there still be bitter cowards posting their vitriol with impunity?

      ISays the AC responding to a non-AC.

      PS was it the "religious nutcases" jibe that upset you? I bet it was you fucking god-bothering fantasist.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    3. Re:Good and bad predictions by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      5. We will have actually come up with a better power source. Cold fusion or similar.

      No, in 200 years time that will still be 25 years in the future, just like AI.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    4. Re:Good and bad predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering that the only use thus far of atomic explosives was done by a democratically-elected government, not "religious nutcases," I'm not sure why you're linking the two.

  26. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by wierd_w · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The issue is not the lack of logic, or having weaker minds. (The exact counter argument could be made, in fact. The greeks had an entire profession built around training people to remember huge volumes of information, for instance.)

    The issue is the distance on cultural norms, and radical changes that disruptive technologies produce. (Compare the culture of the 80s, with that of 2012. What changed? What stayed the same? Why?)

    As for the 1880s mathematitian being daunted by factoring a 4096 bit integer, on paper... approach this rationally.

    A 4096 bit integer has more possible factors in an exhaustive search than there were human beings on the planet at the time. Assuming 100% utilization of 100% of the world population, factoring a single crypto block would take more time than the human race had previously existed up until that point. Even with technological devices of the time, running at a few hundred operations per second (per babbage), the absurdity of doing this so uncle sam wouldn't spy on your private correspondence would be dumbfounding.

    (People used cryptograms back then, sure. But nothing approaching the "overkill" of modern cryptography. When we measure "time to factor complete space" in terms of "time before universe dies of heat death", using modern, multi-gigahertz machines with billions of FLOPS each, *and* ubiquity of such horsepower, doing it on PAPER would be laughable, and a good mathematician would point out how impractical that is. Its like inventing superliminal processing, only to get porno from the future.)

    As for victorian era porno.. with exception to houses of ill repute, and dog and pony shows, the "pornography" of the era is easily trumped with a victoria's secret catalog. Goatse, tubgirl, and "2 girls, one cup" and their ilk would send victorians rushing for the door. Remember, "dog and pony" were the "extreme" of that era. The shit on the internet, both real and fake alike-- puts even the raciest stuff from that era to shame in terms of being scandalous.

    While wells might be willing to have an open mind about the future, I think he would draw the line at child porn snuff films, and people using the greatest accomplishment since the library of alexandria to wipe their asses with. (Intellectually speaking.)

  27. I'm amazed that we don't have flying cars by Animats · · Score: 3, Interesting

    We still don't have flying cars. It's clear that massive numbers of flying cars wouldn't work out well. But nobody has produced even a prototype of a useful thrust-type VTOL big enough to carry humans. One would have expected a military version by now. The stability and control problem is solved; little quadrotors under computer control are now incredibly maneuverable in tight spaces. Jet engines have enough power. The F-35 VTOL variant, like the Harrier, works, but the price tag is insane.

    The problem is probably related to jet engine cost. Jet engines good enough for manned aircraft don't get significantly cheaper below 6-passenger bizjet size. That's why general aviation is still using pistons.

    (Moller is part of the problem, not part of the solution.)

    1. Re:I'm amazed that we don't have flying cars by WillAdams · · Score: 2

      There's also the physics of energy density, &c. --- remember the ads in the back of Popular Mechanics for the hovercraft one could make using a vacuum cleaner? They'd work, but one couldn't go farther than the extension cord plugged into the wall.

      As a contraption gets smaller you lose more mass in proportion to mechanical structure and have much less volume

      --
      Sphinx of black quartz, judge my vow.
    2. Re:I'm amazed that we don't have flying cars by Animats · · Score: 1

      hovercraft one could make using a vacuum cleaner

      Hovercraft scale differently than thrust-type VTOLs. Hovercraft airflow needed increases with the perimeter of the skirt (linear), while thrust-type VTOL airflow needed increases with the mass (cube). The biggest hovercraft was 330 tons; the F-35 is about 25 tons, but both have roughly comparable engine thrust.

  28. Amazing. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's really amazing, that postcards from 1899, already described in details in a book from the last millennium, that I read as a kid, is presented as news for nerds.

    1. Re:Amazing. by Sardaukar86 · · Score: 1

      And predictably there's always some squealy little fucktard to whine that the story doesn't meet his stratified requirements of 'News for Nerds'.

      Never mind that the number of comments on the story seem to indicate quite the inverse; we understand that you've gotta keep that gob of yours mindlessly flappin'.

      --
      ..Mullah or Pope, Preacher or Poet, who was it wrote: "Give any one species too much rope and they'll fuck it up"?
  29. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by Teancum · · Score: 1

    I wonder what that same HG Wells would have thought of looking at a farmer driving his air conditioned enclosed cab tractor plowing his field while talking on a cell phone negotiating a future contract with a trader in Chicago for the crop he is harvesting at the moment. Or for that matter looking at a bunch of airmen conducting sorties over Afghanistan while relaxing in a Las Vegas suburb.

    Perhaps more astounding would be to tell this time traveler that people went to the Moon, sampled a bunch of rocks, and then never bothered going back for another 50 years while letting the spaceships that could have (or even should have) been used rot away from rust and are eaten out by mice.

    Yeah, it is a weird world we live in, which would certainly would confound and even confuse somebody from even the 19th Century. What was interesting though is that people at the end of the 19th Century knew that the world was going to change in some profound ways, and that the old ways of doing things was on its way out. The fruits of the industrial revolution were finally being noticed and it was transforming the lives of very ordinary people in profound ways.

  30. They really didn't. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most of these are nonsensical and none really show what people keep saying they do.

  31. not that exciting by pbjones · · Score: 1

    flying machines were already being developed (just needed fine tuning), gliders were woking, balloons were flying, the telephone was in use, electricity was lighting and heating homes, and the 'robots' were talked about as part of industrial fantasy. As nice as these are, and I'd like a set too, they represent many of the common thoughts of the future.

    --
    There was an unknown error in the submission.
  32. Old News by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We've seen these quaint 'predictions of the future' pictures for quite some time.

  33. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by Sique · · Score: 1

    Fiberoptic communication, with such strange things as helical polarization would bake their noodles, not to mention such curious things as the GPS network. (Einstein didn't come along until much later. GPS wouldn't work without SR, due to earth's frame dragging.)

    I wouldn't count on that. SR was pretty much in place from a mathematical point of view with Hendrik Antoon Lorentz' Ether Theory of 1892, building on a framework by Hermann Minkowski and finetuned by Henri Poincaré. Until today we learn the Lorentz transformations in SR - and they predate the SR by 13 years. The only thing H.A.Lorentz didn't get right was the Ether. He still believed he needed a medium for lightwaves to propagate. But for calculations, Ether Theory and SR are equivalent, Albert Einstein's theory is just much more elegant.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  34. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by opusman · · Score: 0

    The 1880s were still deely gripped by puritanism, social stratification as being a good thing, institutionalized racism, and a very narrow and rigid view of what was considered "acceptable", and "proper".

    Sounds just like the USA circa 2012!

  35. Lack of imagination by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All the characters wear typical clothes of the era and the gizmos are wired up like an early Marconi wireless transmitter, not an amazing leap into the future at all. They were probablu unpublished because even the cheap postcard publishers could see that they were crap.

    And the killer is that Microsoft used the "future schoolroom" illustration to plug their "Microsoft University" initiative some time in the mid-80s. I remember the advert in Byte from back then....

  36. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by azalin · · Score: 2

    While wells might be willing to have an open mind about the future, I think he would draw the line at child porn snuff films, and people using the greatest accomplishment since the library of alexandria to wipe their asses with. (Intellectually speaking.)

    Maybe you should read de Sade sometime. The days of Sodom contain stuff that would make even internet hardened people sick. We aren't talking about Goatse or 1cup anymore with this fellow, we are talking about stuff even hardcore bondage and fetish sites would not dare to show for real.

  37. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by Burb · · Score: 1

    "Our world would traumatize people from the 19th century." Victorians were not as universally repressed as popular belief would suggest. In public, there was higher standard of "official" morality, perhaps. But HG Wells had a quite colourful love life.

    --

  38. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by magic+maverick+ · · Score: 1

    > Many of the things we know today, and even take for granted, would be seen as pure magic to a person from the 19th century.
    And to people today.
    > The finer points of how an IC work (such as the quantum nature of the bandgap, especially at nanoscopic scales) would be nearly incomprehensible to such a person.
    Yes, most people today have no idea about such things.
    > Fiberoptic communication, with such strange things as helical polarization would bake their noodles, not to mention such curious things as the GPS network.
    People might understand GPS (I do), but I'venever heard of baking noodles in relation to fiberoptic communication.
    > Or even just the workings inside a cellphone, or just a microwave oven.
    I've only got the faintest idea of how a cell phone works (it's a computer with a radio?), and most people wouldn't understand how a microwave worked. Though they may understand if you explained it.

    > Something like 4096bit RSA ecryption would induce nightmares.
    Bullshit.

    > Others that would floor people from the 19th century, would be ENGINEERING microbes. They often felt that complete eradication of germs was desirable. (Just read the last part of "the time machine") As such, the very idea of creating new ones would be cognitatively jarring. Using engineered viruses for gene therapy and the like would seem backward and regressive to their views.
    But an educated person from that time could have it explained, and understand why it was a good thing. Even if at first 'glance' it sounds like a bad thing.

    You give too much credit to people today, and not enough to people from the past. An educated intelligent person from either era could understand most of what you mentioned with some basic explanations. Yes, some of it would be incomprehensible to the 19th C person, but some of it is incomprehensible to people today. (Why are 'civilised' countries still fighting wars of aggression, the leaders still lying and manipulating people, etc.? Why is sex still a taboo subject, and violence considered normal?)

    --
    HELP MY ACCOUNT HAS BEEN HACKED BY AN ILLIBERAL ART STUDENT SET TO DESTROY THE INTERWEBZ!
  39. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by vlad30 · · Score: 1

    Worse.

    The 1880s were still deely gripped by puritanism, social stratification as being a good thing, institutionalized racism, and a very narrow and rigid view of what was considered "acceptable", and "proper".

    you need to talk to your grand parents and great grand parents they were far more pornographic than you give them credit for

    please note they have modern distractions like TV (the greatest contraceptive ever invented according to my grandmother) and came up with their own "Entertainment"

    --
    Your'e all thinking it, I just said it for you
  40. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The finer points of how an IC work (such as the quantum nature of the bandgap, especially at nanoscopic scales) would be nearly incomprehensible to such a person.

    Are you telling me the average Apple user comprehends how an IC works, but it would be a problem for a person from 100 years ago?

    Or even just the workings inside a cellphone, or just a microwave oven.

    Yes, the average user of a cellphone knows how ICs work and the average user of microwave oven knows the physics behind it. I get it.

    They might have been able to imagin the basic concept of the device, (eg, "portable wireless telephone")

    Yes, while the average contemporary user grasps way more than that... I said I get it, not that I agree with it...

    Remember, 19th century sexual repressedness

    Is this serious? Do you know anything about the 19th century? What are you talking about here, 19th century Buddhist monasteries perhaps? Yes, their porn was not that prevalent but that was because the technology was poor and expensive, yet there was quite hard porn even then, even though they could just go out and buy a few prostitutes and have the real thing! Yes, it may come as a shock to you, but porn is just a replacement, the real thing is better! Now who is shocked, eh? Try telling that to an American (citizen of the only superpower) who lives in a pseudo-puritan country where if you are shy/ugly/etc and can't get any of the loose women running around, you are not allowed to pay for a professional. Hey! Now THAT would be a shock to the 19th century French!

    So while I don't doubt that many 19th century people might be traumatized if transported to today, your explanation is retarded. There are a great many people that would NOT be traumatized. Thinkers and scientists would survive fine (try to convince me that Tesla, Verne, Twain etc would have a real problem) and on the other hand many contemporary people would be as traumatized if they were transported back 100 years and they lost their MTV, Nintendo, Mac etc

  41. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by nyctopterus · · Score: 1

    Why is sex still a taboo subject, and violence considered normal?)

    Because sex is more pleasurable precisely because of it taboo nature. If you take away the taboo, you take a out a lot of the intensity and intimacy.

    Violence, on the other hand, is more public -- in fact a lot of the time that is the point.

  42. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by tehcyder · · Score: 1

    Worse.

    The 1880s were still deely gripped by puritanism, social stratification as being a good thing, institutionalized racism, and a very narrow and rigid view of what was considered "acceptable", and "proper".

    you need to talk to your grand parents and great grand parents they were far more pornographic than you give them credit for

    please note they have modern distractions like TV (the greatest contraceptive ever invented according to my grandmother) and came up with their own "Entertainment"

    Having sex with other real people isn't pornography.

    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  43. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by tehcyder · · Score: 1

    While wells might be willing to have an open mind about the future, I think he would draw the line at child porn snuff films, and people using the greatest accomplishment since the library of alexandria to wipe their asses with. (Intellectually speaking.)

    Maybe you should read de Sade sometime. The days of Sodom contain stuff that would make even internet hardened people sick. We aren't talking about Goatse or 1cup anymore with this fellow, we are talking about stuff even hardcore bondage and fetish sites would not dare to show for real.

    Yes, but I think the point is that most ten year olds don't read de Sade as casual entertainment, unlike the crap on the internet.

    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  44. The future is chaotic, but chaos is *not* random by rocket+rancher · · Score: 1

    ...so the future can be predicted, in theory, to within an arbitrarily small epsilon neighborhood. But...there is a difference between "predicting the future" and "extrapolating the present." The latter is just one of a myriad ways of accomplishing the former. SF is replete with interesting and intriguing attempts at extrapolating and correlating social/political trends with technological trends. The key, I think, is in identifying which correlations remain stable as the axes along which we are making the extrapolations vary in time. In chaos theory, these stable correlations are called strange attractors. For example, I would offer the the correlation between energy storage density and population density as a remarkably resilient strange attractor -- the correlation remains very significant, whether you are looking at a Neolithic encampment or a modern metropolis. As energy storage density rises, so does the social/political/economic infrastructure around it. This would suggest that the flow of energy and how we manage it will be strongly correlated with the social/political/economic trends at some future point. Models that incorporate this particular correlation will thus be more likely to model actual conditions than models that do not.

  45. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by azalin · · Score: 1

    I thought the point was, that all the poor time traveling great great ... grandfathers would be scared out of their wits by goatse and friends. To which I replied: "I don't think so".
    People have always found pleasure in rather bizarre entertainments. The internet has changed the availability of smut, but not it's range or scope.

  46. The Visiplate by GargamelSpaceman · · Score: 1

    I was just re-reading Catch that Rabbit to my daughter. I noticed that in 'The future' they spied on the malfunctioning multibot by watching it on the 'Visiplate' a flat screen TV/monitor.

    --
    ...
  47. Mostly mechanical by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    What's interesting is how far off the mark the predictions of electricity-based technology these cards are. Lots of mechanical levers and knobs to control things. Also, miniaturization seems to have been missed.

  48. Re:explaining our world to a 19th century person.. by wierd_w · · Score: 1

    I was more aiming for the 'la la la, wow, this internet thing in the future is fantastic, I can get any..... omg, is that mdoing what I think he's doing!? What is wrong with these people!? "Trol-lol-lol"?'

    Eg, wells sits down at the free computer kiosk at the familiar setting of the library, starts researching things to see how culture has changed, and gets sub jected to the very worst the internet has to offer. Walked in expecting enlightenment. Gets a stark lesson in the futility that is man.

    Even better, reads online that 4chan is a bastion of uncensored speech. Decides to look for himself (expecting more of a french salon). Gets told "tits or GTFO", called a "newfag", etc. Quickly realizes that no speech of any real importance goes on there. Leaves disappointed after having been pelted with internet memes.

  49. Set is incomplete by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where's the cheese-eating surrender monkey card?