Slashdot Mirror


Climate Contrarians Seek Leadership of House Science Committee

An article at Ars examines three members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are seeking chairmanship of its Committee on Space, Science, and Technology. Dana Rohrabacher (R-CA) said in an interview, "My analysis is that in the global warming debate, we won. There were a lot of scientists who were just going along with the flow on the idea that mankind was causing a change in the world's climate. I think that after 10 years of debate, we can show that that there are hundreds if not thousands of scientists who have come over to being skeptics, and I don't know anyone [who was a skeptic] who became a believer in global warming." James Sensenbrenner (R-WI) has a similar record of opposing climate change, as does Lamar Smith (R-TX). Relatedly, Phil Plait, a.k.a. The Bad Astronomer, has posted an article highlighting how U.S. Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL), a member of the Senate's Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee, has declined to answer a question about how old the Earth is, calling it "one of the great mysteries."

518 comments

  1. Richard Muller by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't know anyone [who was a skeptic] who became a believer in global warming.

    You mean like Richard Muller who quite famously denounced anthropogenic global warming only to come to the same conclusion by his own means? Yeah, that opinion piece by him opens with "Call me a converted skeptic."

    Oh, I get it, after it turns out that his research didn't back up your "beliefs", he must never have been a skeptic to begin with, right? Or perhaps when you made that statement you meant that you just don't know Richard Muller personally?

    Political word games have always been such a pain in the ass.

    But you are right that while peer reviewed journals move one way, the population moves the other:

    The most striking result is the increase in the proportion of Americans who express strong doubt or rejection of the reality of global warming through their free associations. In 2003, only 7% of Americans provided “naysayer” images (e.g., “hoax,” or “no such thing”) when asked what thought or image first came to mind when they heard the term “global warming.” By 2010, however, 23% of Americans provided “naysayer” images.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Richard Muller by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      My analysis is that in the global warming debate, we won.

      I'm not sure what he thinks the prize is going to be. But I'm willing to wager that it will indeed be a surprise. A big one.

      Although it sounds rather inflammatory and is really, really stupid, the fact that the House has jammed up that committee with people having the intellectual prowess of fleas really doesn't change things. It's pretty clear that the US government is unable and unwilling to be particularly proactive about this. It's also not very clear that we CAN do anything substantive about climate change.

      Hang on to your butts!

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Muller was never a skeptic.

      No skeptic I’ve met said that “ carbon dioxide from burning of fossil fuels will prove to be the greatest pollutant of human history. It is likely to have severe and detrimental effects on global climate.” (Richard Muller, 2003). So perhaps he became a skeptic later? Not so much. Richard Muller, 2008: “There is a consensus that global warming is real. it’s going to get much, much worse.”

    3. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peer reviewed does not mean correct by any stretch of the imagination.

    4. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't know shit about Muller. Please do more research.

    5. Re:Richard Muller by microbox · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Muller was never a skeptic.

      The minute he said something you disagreed with, he become "biased".

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    6. Re:Richard Muller by microbox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      he is just another person paid to read crystal balls.

      Paid by the Koch brothers.

      Follow the money -- science is a CONSPIRACY!!!!!

      the claims were exaggerated, studies were forged, and statistics were manipulated.

      And you know this because you read some conservative blogs? Gee, you must be really educated on the subject. Unlike those full-time scientists who have spend their life studying it. They're just a bunch of commies.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    7. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bwahahahahaaaa!!!

      Citations?

      No, I didn't think so.

    8. Re:Richard Muller by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0, Troll

      "You mean like Richard Muller who quite famously denounced anthropogenic global warming only to come to the same conclusion by his own means? Yeah, that opinion piece by him opens with 'Call me a converted skeptic.'"

      You mean the same Muller whose co-researcher, immediately after his "revelation", accused him of fudging his research?

      That Muller?

    9. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Muller was never a skeptic.

      No skeptic I’ve met said that “ carbon dioxide from burning of fossil fuels will prove to be the greatest pollutant of human history. It is likely to have severe and detrimental effects on global climate.” (Richard Muller, 2003). So perhaps he became a skeptic later? Not so much. Richard Muller, 2008: “There is a consensus that global warming is real. it’s going to get much, much worse.”

      Um, here you go from the horse's mouth.

    10. Re:Richard Muller by Gadget_Guy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't know anyone [who was a skeptic] who became a believer in global warming.

      It is a rather telling quote. If the skeptics are so entrenched in their beliefs that none ever change then they are not skeptics. They are deniers. If that term is deemed to be offensive, then they could choose disbelievers. But "skeptic" implies a willingness to be convinced, and this is obviously not happening.

      It also ignores the real skeptics: scientists. These are the people who do studies that reproduce other studies to see if their data matches so they can confirm or deny the original claims. These are the people who do studies to test their basic assumptions (that seem so obvious that the public often laugh at them), just in case they were false truisms. These are the real skeptics.

    11. Re:Richard Muller by Sir_Sri · · Score: 2

      Well that's the trick with republicans retaining control of at least one part of government. They can jam up the process on anything inconvenient. That was the point for them all along.

      I agree that it's not clear what Obama and the democrats in general would do if given the chance anyway. We can all pontificate over what they think they might want to do, but I have no idea what they'd actually be able to wrangle their own party into given the opportunity.

    12. Re:Richard Muller by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The reason our federal government is set up this way is PRECISELY for keeping the mob rule (House) or the aristocracy (Senate) from becoming a battering ram to shove whatever agenda they see fit through the process. The process is geared towards compromise. The Founders meant for it to be this way (ever wonder why it's so damn hard to amend the Constitution? Same logic.) If you read the Founders' writings (Jefferson and Adams in particular) you'll see that their purpose was not to create a "juggernaut" that trampled over anything in its path, but a slow tortoise that didn't rush into legislation and learned from compromise rather than intimidation.

      Granted, there are exceptions to the rule, but the point being, we don't WANT a speedy federal government (remember the PATRIOT Act?)... we want a lukewarm slow moving behemoth that doesn't fuck things up every 2 years.

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    13. Re:Richard Muller by jrumney · · Score: 0

      In 2003, only 7% of Americans provided “naysayer” images (e.g., “hoax,” or “no such thing”) when asked what thought or image first came to mind when they heard the term “global warming.” By 2010, however, 23% of Americans provided “naysayer” images.

      Are they restricting their polling to illiterate Americans, or is there some other reason they ask them to provide images in answer to their questions?

    14. Re:Richard Muller by hondo77 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To be blunt, there's more money and power riding on proving AGW is an urgent problem than there is money against it from the fossil fuel side.

      WTF? Care to elaborate or cite?

      --
      I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
    15. Re:Richard Muller by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Sure, it's was a stupid plan then, it's a stupid plan now. You guys got screwed. But at least you didn't end up as part of france.

    16. Re:Richard Muller by Mr2cents · · Score: 1

      This should be a call-out to all skeptics who got convinced by the data to write an open letter.

      --
      "It's too bad that stupidity isn't painful." - Anton LaVey
    17. Re:Richard Muller by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      Although it sounds rather inflammatory and is really, really stupid, the fact that the House has jammed up that committee with people having the intellectual prowess of fleas really doesn't change things.

      Are they dull-witted, or merely serving the will of their climate-denying overlords?

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    18. Re:Richard Muller by Dodgy+G33za · · Score: 1

      One thing we CAN do about global warming is move away from the coast.

      A large percentage of the world population live close to the coast, and that is where the biggest effects are going to be felt as the climate becomes more erratic.

    19. Re:Richard Muller by M.+Baranczak · · Score: 0

      there's more money and power riding on proving AGW is an urgent problem

      Where is this money, and how can I get some?

    20. Re:Richard Muller by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      If you'll look at the way things were originally set up, you'll see that the House was directly elected and was intended to represent the people (Which is why they're called Representatives.) and the Senate was elected by the state legislatures and was expected to represent their state's interests. Now, of course, with direct election of senators, there's nobody in DC who's job is to look out for state-wide issues.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    21. Re:Richard Muller by davester666 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Except R isn't interested in compromise.

      For example, way back when Obama started with redoing health care, he invited the Republicans to participate and said "Lets start with the plan from one of YOUR people, John McCain." The response was that that plan was unacceptable and that they wouldn't participate AT ALL.

      For every issue that actually matters, R largely is "Either you do what we say or we will block everything you want to do".

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    22. Re:Richard Muller by Gadget_Guy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The same ones who are just as skeptical as a Republican congressman, but just happen to be playing for the other side? Tell me more.

      Happy to oblige. On one hand you have the scientists who joined a profession where being skeptical and wanting more information is their entire raison d'être. There are no right or wrong answers in science, only supported or unsupported theories.

      On the other hand, you have a bunch of uneducated politicians who see that climate change is going to cost their supporters a lot of money. They didn't come to this debate with doubts about the science. They came with an agenda to discredit the science so their campaign contributors would not be forced to make costly changes to how they currently do business.

      If it was not for the fact that there is a lot of money riding on this, there would not be any "sides" to this issue. Why is it that the two major scientific disputes that have now have one side with a huge vested interest in keeping science down? Big business hates climate science and religion hates evolution because both have a lot to lose from the science.

      Scientists faced exactly the same forces in the past when they tackled the dangers of asbestos, as well as tobacco smoking. Even back then the motives of scientists were questioned to discredit the message. Who turned out to be right then? Your idea that there is more money in proving AGW is not backed by historical precedent. On the other hand, politicians doing the bidding of their wealthy supporters has a depressing amount of precedent.

    23. Re:Richard Muller by dcherryholmes · · Score: 2

      "Oh, I get it, after it turns out that his research didn't back up your "beliefs", he must never have been a skeptic to begin with, right?"

      Nor was he much of a Scotsman.

    24. Re:Richard Muller by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      I'd rather have gridlock than yet more Constitution raping legislation like the NDAA or the PATRIOT ACT... or hell, SOPA. We have to be hyper-vigilant or we'll get a huge shit sandwich like the DMCA.

      And The Affordable Health Care Act missed the point... vouchers out the wazoo, fundamental things that are supposed to control costs are going to make them go up, and the fact that the government can fine you for not buying healthcare. Oh, sorry.. TAX you. That was a really wonderful bunch of legislation... it really was. Oh, and before everyone jumps in and says "Oh the Republicans watered it down" they didn't... it's all horseshit anyway. (I am not defending either party... they both suck major ass.)

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    25. Re:Richard Muller by efitton · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Yes, scientific grants clearly dwarf the money the oil companies have.

      http://www.flickr.com/photos/49399132@N00/6941179877/

      See if you can follow along.

    26. Re:Richard Muller by ks*nut · · Score: 1

      Those presumptions worked fine when both the electorate and their representatives were educated. Unfortunately we have legislators who don't fuck things up every 2 years, they keep them fucked up for decades. Take a look at the FDA and the way that food regulations have been written by/for the fast food industry and the food mega-corporations. It would be humorous if it weren't so damned pathetic. George Carlin hit the nail on the head when he said, "This country has been bought and sold."

    27. Re:Richard Muller by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Informative
      I really don't think Muller was a skeptic, at least I can't find any old reference where he said he denounced global warming. The closest he came was doubting that the hockey stick graph was real. Here is what he said in 2004:

      If you are concerned about global warming (as I am) and think that human-created carbon dioxide may contribute (as I do), then you still should agree that we are much better off having broken the hockey stick.

      As far as I can tell, he's been concerned about global warming for a long time.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    28. Re:Richard Muller by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      There are thousands of universities... all learning stuff about the universe.

      I would believe he's correct. There is way more money in real research into how the world works than there is going into the PR machine trying to protect fossil fuel providers.

    29. Re:Richard Muller by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The compromise to "indirect" election of the President (some delegates wanted the Congress to appoint a President), probably had a little to do with the State Legislatures picking Senators (because they get to pick the electors)... I don't know if that's significant or a coincidence... However, the direct election of Senators was a Progressive idea, because of all the trouble the State legislatures had at actually picking two senators. I forget which amendment changed it (and I can't find my damn pocket Constitution)...

      Electioneering aside, the Senate sometimes votes with a Statewide minded agenda (whatever that's worth these days) and it is generally the barrier against stupid shit like flag burning legislation, MLK holiday week, or birth certificate inquiries. I wonder if the Special Interests (that seem to drive all politicians) would've had much traction if they were appointed. Surely, there'd be a financial disincentive to have 50 lobbyists per state when came time for state legislatures to appoint senators. They are slow to approve legislation, which is their purpose... and they generally get compromise within the two houses... (unless it's a total fuckfest like the PATRIOT Act...) Additionally, they are slower to change power structure than the House, which goes quicker because of the 2 year cycle. It seems people are more rational voting for senators (FWIW)... well, for the most part.

      I've often wondered (Really can't stand Progressive ideas... they're neither beneficial or Progressive in my mind) that if the State Legislatures hadn't mucked shit up so badly, they wouldn't have had such a welcome voting public willing to amend the Constitution. I think (as I mentioned above) that lobbying would be harder to do with the Senate not being elected by popular vote.

      It doesn't matter anyway... the average person isn't represented at the Federal level... barely at the state level... and it's hit or miss at the local municipal level.

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    30. Re:Richard Muller by TapeCutter · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The same ones who are just as skeptical as a Republican congressman, but just happen to be playing for the other side?

      Are you really so naive that you genuinely believe scientists and politicians are playing the same game?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    31. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the last week the Rs offered a compromise on the fiscal cliff coming up by removing deductions to increase revenue. Since their offer, Obama said no more compromise, Pelosi said no more compromise (not sure why she even matters), and Harry Reid said he will not bring up what the Rs offered for a vote in the Senate.

      Not sure where you are getting your information, but it is false. There has been a clear side refusing any compromise and it is being led by the Democrats.

    32. Re:Richard Muller by khallow · · Score: 0

      How about all the money that the developed world is pouring into renewable energy, both directly and via subsidy and loan guarantees? For example, Germany sunk $130 billion into solar power subsidies in recent years. The US stimulus bill from 2009 dumped $80 billion into renewable energy. That's big money right there.

      There's also big money to be had in the carbon trade markets. $180 billion worth of carbon dioxide emission credits were outstanding in 2011. If the cap credits is restricted more than the very generous amounts today and remains "hard" (that is, no expansion of emission credits at any price), then there's a lot of opportunity for vast profits. This alone has the potential to dwarf the profits to be had from fossil fuels. But it requires societies willing to harm their economies in order to prop up carbon emission credit prices and trader profits. That's where AGW hysteria becomes very profitable to support.

      Then there's the politicians who benefit from the power and money flow of engorged regulatory bureaucracies supporting new carbon emission regulations and renewable energy production. No similar bureaucratic motherlode exists for fossil fuel development.

    33. Re:Richard Muller by jc42 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Perhaps it might help to point out that people are using "skeptic" with two rather different meanings in this discussion. The word means something different in common English than it does in technical/scientific English.

      In common speech, a "skeptic" is someone who actively disbelieves something. And note that in common speech, "disbelieves" and "doesn't believe" are synonyms.

      In technical English, neither of these is true. A skeptic is rather someone who believes that something should be challenged, even if there's pretty good evidence that it's true. There is a lot of scientific history showing the value of challenging accepted theory, and challenges sometimes turn up important exceptions or qualifications. The poster child for this is Einstein's Relativity, which was based on experimenters testing Newton's theories/equations/mechanics, uncovering a number of exceptions. Newton's mechanics are still taught in schools, with the qualification that they're only approximations that are useful under "ordinary" (here on Earth) conditions, but at high speeds or accelerations become inaccurate. Similarly, even the most "devout" believers in climate change will agree that a lot of further research is needed, and our understanding of climate is still rather limited. So there's a lot of room for skepticism withing the field of climatology, if skepticism is taken in its scientific sense of "needing further research" to improve the accuracy of the equations.

      The "disbelieves" vs. "doesn't believe" dichotomy is also important. In common speech, everything is typically either true or false. But scientists live in a world where a lot of things are in an "unknown" state. Disbelieving something therefore doesn't mean that you believe it's false. To a scientist, disbelief means that you don't think we know all the facts, and further testing is needed before we accept something as "theory". It's not uncommon for a scientist to express disbelief in even their own results, and insist that further research is needed. (Funding organizations are very familiar with this phenomomenon. ;-)

      One of the clear cases of a long-lasting state of disbelief was back in the 1980s, when as a result of recent paleontological discoveries, birds were finally reclassified as a branch of the dinosaurs. This wasn't a new idea; it was suggested back in the 19th century by none other than Charles Darwin, as well as by numerous colleagues. The similarities between those newly-discovered dinosaur fossils and bird skeletons couldn't be missed, and the discovery of the few Archeopteryx fossils in Germany just added to the suspicion that they were close relatives. But until the 1970s, no further ancient bird fossils were found. So scientists said "Yeah, it looks like a real possibility, but we need a lot more evidence." Most biologists expected that it would be found true, but they remained officially skeptics until more evidence turned up. Then Mao died, China opened up to field research, and several beds of ancient avian fossils were found there. After a few decades and a few thousand more avian fossils, the skeptics finally said "Yeah; we've got the evidence now", and what everyone suspected all along was made official theory. But this followed more than a century of skepticism on the part of most biologists.

      Also, note that some biologists continue to express skepticism about the bird-dinosaur link. It's mostly of a pro-forma nature, but it's generally considered proper if done scientifically. Compared to other kinds of critters, birds still have a very sketchy fossil record. Their thin bones just don't fossilize well. So various biologists continue to challenge the details of the classification, with the hope that funding will be found to collect the evidence. Thus, recent DNA studies have verified that the ratites are birds and not a separate branch of dinosaurs. Other studies have shown that cockatiels really are close relatives of cockatoos, and not an independent early bra

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
    34. Re:Richard Muller by khallow · · Score: 1

      Slap some solar panels on the side of your house. Speculate in your local carbon emissions credit market. Drive an electric car.

    35. Re:Richard Muller by pitchpipe · · Score: 4, Informative

      ... we don't WANT a speedy federal government (remember the PATRIOT Act?)

      So how come they're really fast to take away our freedoms when confronted with imaginary threats, but with *real, actual threats they act like a toroise with its fucking legs cut off?

      * Like car crashes (PDF):

      In 2010, 32,885 people died in motor vehicle traffic crashes in the United States - the lowest number of fatalities since 1949

      That's ten times the number that were killed in 9/11, and that was the lowest year in a long time!

      --
      Look where all this talking got us, baby.
    36. Re:Richard Muller by pitchpipe · · Score: 4, Funny

      Muller was never a skeptic.

      I think you mean:

      skep-tic-tard /`skeptiktard/ Noun: A person inclined to question or doubt all accepted opinions, regardless of any and all facts. Sees a changing of the mind when presented with good solid evidence as a moral failing.

      --
      Look where all this talking got us, baby.
    37. Re:Richard Muller by CaptainLard · · Score: 3, Informative

      There's also big money to be had in the carbon trade markets. $180 billion worth of carbon dioxide emission credits were outstanding in 2011.

      Holy smokes thats a lot of money! Thats over a third of Exxon's revenue for 2011! It was $486 Billion btw. For one oil company. What got me is back when BP had that the oil spill in the gulf and everyone was reporting that they put $20 Billion in escrow, a few sources reported that's less than a years worth of profits (note profits, not revenue which is also in the hundred billions). If Germany is increasing its power exports with a $130B investment (http://cleantechnica.com/2012/02/09/clean-energy-loving-germany-increasingly-exporting-electricity-to-nuclear-heavy-france/), Imagine what they could do with $500B. As for political motherlodes, what do you call the 10's of millions the Koch brothers spend on lobbying every year?

    38. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know about him, but I'm certainly not.

      Politicians are generally much too indirect and subtle to overtly and directly claim that their special knowledge calls for immediate and unending submission of everyone to their directives, or face certain death.

      Maybe if we were talking about Comintern last century, explicitly and directly stating as a primary strategy to global totalitarianism, utilizing the then-nascent "environmental movement" to gain those ends, they might be said to be playing the same game. But you were probably talking about U.S. politics. Which is something different for the time being.

    39. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's avoid sweeping generalizations such as, "Big business hates climate science and religion hates evolution because both have a lot to lose from the science." Plenty of big business is supportive, or at a minimum indifferent, to climate science. Plenty of religious people 100% support ('love'?) evolution.

      Such comments only serve to further polarize us.

    40. Re:Richard Muller by Concerned+Onlooker · · Score: 4, Funny

      "On the other hand, you have a bunch of uneducated politicians who see that climate change is going to cost their supporters a lot of money."

      The answer appears to be giving the Republicans a way to make money from global warming and then we will see an instant turnaround. Probably so fast that we'd accidentally freeze the planet.

      --
      http://www.rootstrikers.org/
    41. Re:Richard Muller by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      overtly and directly claim that their special knowledge calls for immediate and unending submission of everyone to their directives, or face certain death.

      You don't have to submit to their directives, you are free to exit your apartment via the 10th floor window no matter what their "special knowledge" of gravity says.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    42. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Just because he say's he used to be skeptical (on one tiny detail) doesn't make him a skeptic.

    43. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Easily the most absurd straw man I've seen yet. Childishly claiming questioning the effects of gravity is equal to questions the trillions-of-chemical reactions of the scope we are talking about, one -literally incalculable-, doesn't add anything other than reaffirming your stance is based purely on Argument From Intimidation.

      Let me be clear, however, I'm not crediting -you personally- with any scientific capability or veracity whatsoever, but that doesn't mean an actual scientist isn't welcome to make a scientific argument here. I would, however, expect very strong arguments of -particular- responses measured to the demonstrable scale and rate of effects, in the context of the particular plan's costs. You, I couldn't rationally credit with any ability to stay away from sheer bluster of your whims--hence it isn't "science" that's the problem, it's people -precisely like you-.

    44. Re:Richard Muller by Sir+Holo · · Score: 1

      ... Scientists faced exactly the same forces in the past when they tackled the dangers of asbestos, as well as tobacco smoking...

      I think even when science-types proposed that the earth revolves around the sun, they had problems with the establishment trying to discredit them.

    45. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      As I noted in my original reply, the AGW side has the better funding and engages in remarkably unscientific debate, even among its scientific supporters.

      That claims needs support. Find me a tally of the amount spent by the AGW "side", compared to the amount spent by the hydrocarbon industry (chemical, plastics, oil, petroleum, natural gas) for lobbying, in house studies, interest advertisement, etc... Both "sides" have, also, had their share of pretty bad science. Some of it innocent, and some of it nefarious.

      Some quick poking around finds that the oil and gas industry has spent well over 300 million this year on interest ads and lobbying. James Sensenbrenner's 3rd largest contributor is the oil and gas industry. Old and gas is Smiths 3rd largest as well (#1 by a big margin is old media, big surprise). Oddly two of the people listed have nuclear concerns as in their top 5 donors. Oil and Gas coughed up $63,641,759 this election on politicians, 67% of it going to Republicans.

      There is a lot of money flowing around from big oil. Poking around a bit on Opensecrets.org hasn't really shown me much pointing to the contrary.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    46. Re:Richard Muller by ATMAvatar · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, it failed miserably at its intended purpose, thanks to our political parties. There's plenty of stuff shoved through that is contrary to the public good (copyright extensions, DMCA, PATRIOT act, etc.). The Democrats and Republicans play a lot of good cop, bad cop, but they both have pretty similar agendas on things that matter.

      --
      "They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety."
    47. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      Concerned about global warming in general, or anthropogenic global warming in particular? I've believed in global warming (solid science) for a long time, but was skeptical of the human impact (murkier science) on it (though took the better safe than sorry stance). Lately I've pretty much become convinced that there is some degree of truth in AGW, though it still is a bit murky on the whole.

      Skeptic doesn't mean denier, it just means cautious and undecided, and generally waiting for evidence to point in a convincing direction.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    48. Re:Richard Muller by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I'm going to play devil's advocate here : The way to debate this with republicans is simple : global warming is being used to massively expand government and regulation. It effectively regulates one of the few things nothing and nobody can do without : energy. I don't think anyone really denies that that is happening.

      Which is also why this responsibility thing is so huge with them : they don't feel responsible for global warming. Their grandfather's grandfather had nothing to do with it, other than having kids (ie. you). It's 15-20 generations back that it got started, long before accurate family records even began, and once started it was (and is) just a feedback loop that will complete with or without humans (look at the models in the IPCC reports, and ignore your "you averaged highdimensional non-linear models to arrive at a conclusion ?" impulse, which any statistician should have. And btw, that is not the only alarm that goes off in my head looking at those studies. I agree that those models are the best currently possible way to predict climate. Agreed. How does that fact make them valid ? Our best may simply not be good enough).

      In no reasonable sense of the word is anyone, nor humans "as a whole" responsible for global warming and there is zero moral justification to force people to take global warming into account. Were some humans part of the initial cause of global warming ? Yes, very likely. All the pain the entirety of the west put itself through in the last 15 years, btw, have been worse than useless.

      Ok, but maybe we can justify it by pointing out the success we've had by all that interference and government expansion, right ? Otherwise all the people hurt because of this goal, from people starving due to bio-ethanol idiocy to the masses of people fired from no-longer-profitable factories in the west were hurt merely to make intellectuals feel good about themselves, with no measurable advantage. The only measure of importance in the models is worldwide co2 concentration, which has worsened due to government interference (e.g. because factories in the US by large run on nuclear and oil, whereas the chinese factories replacing them run on coal, producing about 20x more co2 for the same amount of energy).

      So have we improvided global co2 production ? Nope, we've actually worsened it.

      And of course, like all failing political goals, total failure can only be responded to in one way : we must do it again ! More ! Harder ! Which of course, to these sceptics, and to anyone observing the situation proves that the only goal of politicians is not to do do anything about global warming, but to amass more power and hurt more people, make everyone more dependent.

      The result, of course, will be a complete crash followed by wars. But of course, we won't know that for sure until it really happens, and then everyone can say "I didn't know". You just did what was popular, right ? How can popular thinking be wrong ?

      We're on the titanic, slaughtering working people to satisfy the almighty atheismo on the front deck, them screaming and we celebrating, celebrating how he has delivered us from icebergs ... say, what's that in the distance ?

    49. Re:Richard Muller by davester666 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No.

      Obama had Plan A during the presidential campaign
      McCain says Plan A is crap and he would do Plan B

      Plan B was not rejected by the Republicans UNTIL it was presented to them as "Lets start with Plan B". Followed by "We will not take part in any way with any plan, and we will repeal any plan you may pass."

      To me, that is not anywhere in the vicinity of compromise.

      Hell, the current "compromise" by R w.r.t. tax increases is....let's hit poor people by killing the charitable giving tax deduction [which this tax deduction encourages]. But not even 0.01% tax hike for rich, they will just flee the US.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    50. Re:Richard Muller by PiMuNu · · Score: 1

      Oh, I didn't realise they had been here already http://en.memory-alpha.org/wiki/Founder. Oh what, you don't mean some ancient race of star travelling shape shifters, you mean a bunch of guys right. Okay, just checking.

    51. Re:Richard Muller by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It's always been clear that CO2 has an effect, the only questions are how much, and whether it matters.

      My understanding of the article is that Muller has been concerned about AGW for a long time. His main concern in the article seemed to be that because of bad science, people wouldn't believe in AGW.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    52. Re:Richard Muller by sumdumass · · Score: 0

      McCain wasn't elected president, the law has roots deeper then McCain anyways, and it was actively rejected by the republicans on a federal level before when it was put up against Hillary care in 1993. This is the first I hear it was supposed to be McCain's campaign agenda but it's no wonder why he lost that election big time. You have not brought anything of relevance to the discussion.

      I think you are completely confused. Or at least confused enough to not make any sense at all in this.

    53. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "But you are right that while peer reviewed journals move one way, the population moves the other"

      Are you sure? Here is a list of 1100 peer-reviewed, published papers supporting skeptics' arguments: http://www.populartechnology.net/2009/10/peer-reviewed-papers-supporting.html

      Clearly, not everyone is so naive as to be duped by the climastrologists' doctored, pseudoscientific, failed predictions.

    54. Re:Richard Muller by Genda · · Score: 1

      As long as both parties are given their marching orders by corporate interests there will be no sanity, no resolution, and certainly nothing that furthers the health, wealth or happiness of America's middle class. Sanity would have been an "Affordable Health Care Act" based on a single payer system. Get the insurance companies out of the picture altogether, they're a huge part of the problem. But you can almost here them drooling as they as they dream of millions of poor and middle class sheep being fleeced.

      The poor Constitution, has been molested, and raped, and beaten so bloody that its barely worth using as a handi-wipe any more. The body of law that virtually nullifies the Bill of Rights is now indeed ponderous."Fair Use" has been whittled down to meaning "an application performed at a state or county fair." And the last, lonely bastion of human freedom, the internet is beset from so many sides by corporate hounds, the baying alone makes it almost impossible to get a decent nights sleep.

      I don't know what the answer is anymore. The Farmer and the Pigs are toasting their success and the rest of the animals on the farm are seriously questioning just how equal they are anymore. We could shoot the lawyers, starting with the ones in Washington D.C. It might not solve anything but who knows it might and it would be so simply soul satisfying. We could put all the bankers and the stock market executive and the ivy league economy professors and the CEOs of most of the Fortune 100 companies on a boat. With just enough fuel and food to get them to the middle of the ocean. Then let nature take its course. Televise the event and make it pay per view. Use the money to pay down the National Debt. Again a gesture, but one that would make you all warm fuzzy.

      People speak of revolution, perhaps its time for one. Maybe its time for a real third party. One that isn't owned by anyone save the people. One that ignores wedge issues like the plague and only deals with the real and decisive calamities of our day. Thank the Fundies, and Right Wing Fanatics, and the Left Wing Loop-a-doodles, and all the crazed and fringy life-forms for their opinions, and steer this boat straight down the middle for a while, as we get our bearings back from this 30 year long snipe hunt we've been lead on. Perhaps its time to burn down the Federal Reserve, declare insolvency and begin actually cleaning up our national and international debts, while having the Government print real dollars and not those fruity little things that now come on rolls that are squeezably soft (the least you could do if you're going to turn my currency into toilet paper, is start printing Dubyah's face on the twenties so I wipe with a little satisfaction.) Or we could just call it a day and let the bastards burn it all down for the insurance. I don't know anything anymore. Except the men on Wall Street and the men in D.C. are not my friends and they mean to do me serious harm. And I don't appreciate that one little bit.

    55. Re:Richard Muller by Genda · · Score: 1

      George Carlin is perhaps the closest thing we have to a 20th Century Prophet. He called it all straight and it is indeed a freak show... and the pencil necks are running the circus.

    56. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not naive, it's idiocy.

    57. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't matter that Exxon mobile gains a lot more money than what the government can give to you. The government is the low hanging fruit, they're the ones that are going to give you money for any study that has the words "climate change" tucked onto it. To make it more obvious, it doesn't matter that Bill Gates has more money than your granny, because she is the only one that's going to give you a payback for visiting her.

    58. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same ones who are just as skeptical as a Republican congressman, but just happen to be playing for the other side? Tell me more.

      Ok. There are three kinds of people in this "debate". Deniers, believers, and skeptics. Deniers believe it isn't happening, are not willing to change that view, and will seek evidence to support their belief and deny evidence which does not. Believers are the same; they believe it IS happening, and are likewise unwilling to admit to evidence contrary to their view and seek evidence which conforms.
      Then there are skeptics. These are people who don't hold a belief for or against, because they are not interested in belief. They are interested in evidence both contrary to and in support of their personal opinions on the subject. They are willing to change their opinion to support or deny AGW based on the evidence at hand, and are willing to challenge and test the validity of all the evidence.

      At the risk of being accused of a Scotsman fallacy, I will propose that Any True Scientist is a Skeptic, not a believer nor a denier. Unfortunately most of the people in positions of power are not actually skeptics.

    59. Re:Richard Muller by shilly · · Score: 1

      Fabulous cartoon

    60. Re:Richard Muller by Xest · · Score: 2

      Good post, and exactly the sort of which there is not enough of on Slashdot these days. I was going to add however that I'd caution against reading into too much from taxonomic changes. Taxonomy is, in my opinion, rather a "dangerous" discipline in this respect when used as a basis for factual discussion.

      The problem with taxonomy is that it tries to apply classification in a uniform manner, when the evolutionary tree is anything but uniform. As such, classification all too often ends up being nothing more than subjective opinion. This remains true even with the arrival of DNA sequencing.

      The problem is that even if you use an objective measure, such as suggesting that a specimen that has a genome that is (using simple made up percentages as an example) 0.1% different from a reference specimen is a subspecies, a specimen that is 0.5% different is a different species, a specimen that is 1% different is a different genus, and so on then what you will often find is that these arbitrarily defined percentages will have been developed against a specific group of specimens, let's say in this case, frogs, and that because it's been defined against them it works fine. You then take this over to say, Newts, and all of a sudden you end up with odd groupings, and the percentages no longer work to produce meaningful groupings. Some may say well the solution is to have different groupings for different families of species, which works fine, until you start having to deal with species that have come about through natural hybridisation and so forth.

      The issue is that taxonomy tries to provide classification that "feels" right to humans, but that's in conflict with it being a scientific discipline, where subjective feeling is irrelevant and objective analysis is king.

      Until there is some sort of decision either way as to what taxonomy is meant to actually achieve - subjective human-friendly groupings, or objective scientifically-sound groupings, and not the hodge-podge little bit of both, then you'll always get disagreement on classification of species within the discipline of taxonomy and neither side will be wrong, because it's impossible to be wrong when the discipline fails to universally determine what its right.

      This isn't to say taxonomy is a useless discipline - caution must be taken in avoiding that mindset - because it does produce groupings that are useful, we need to be able to call a dog a dog, and a cat a cat, but when it comes to arguments over fringe cases, and battles over reclassification then taxonomy will never provide a "correct" answer, only an arbitrary answer that has received enough backing of enough subjective viewpoints to be chosen as the winner - the problem is that that's not a constant, and opinion can change, which means such cases tend to only be settled temporarily until opinion sways the other way. Or in other words, taxonomy is a useful discipline, but it's often not a genuinely scientific discipline that determines fact, and instead often merely generates simple opinion, and simple opinion is not a firm enough basis for sound factual argument.

      Or to apply the point to your discussion, one might be more correct in saying that birds have many shared traits and some shared ancestry with dinosaurs, whether there's enough shared ancestry to classify them as a branch of the dinosaurs is entirely down to personal opinion, though most experts in the field are currently of the opinion that they are. This may one day change however if for example, the commonly accepted boundary of what is enough shared ancestry also changes.

      Finally, just to contrast this to talk about global warming, we know that the average temperature is rising, that is something that's genuinely a pretty well determined fact based on reproduceable objective analysis of the hard data we have acquired to date. As you suggest though there are still many other specifics that are yet to be determined with a similar degree of accuracy - are we to blame? what will the rise be? can we stop it? what will the effects be? We have answers to these sorts of questions of varying degrees, from "Most likely" when it comes to "are we to blame?", to "Who the fuck knows" when it comes to "can we stop it?".

    61. Re:Richard Muller by Xest · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The scary thing is that even that may not be true.

      As Brian Cox pointed out once:

      "We have spent more money bailing out the banks in one year, than we have spent, on Science, in Britain, since Jesus."

      The amount of money in big business, particularly the fossil fuel mega-corps, is just on a completely different scale to that in the science/research industries.

      For what it's worth though I think there is a bigger problem than PR from the fossil fuel industries. I think the bigger problem is that people neither want, nor like change. Telling people they may have to change their ways a little is a far more difficult than simply proving the fossil fuel industries wrong. People are lazy and getting everyone to even do something simple like sort their rubbish and recycle more rather than mindlessly throwing stuff in the same old bin to be sent to a single landfill is far more of a problem than dealing with shills, the shills just make a tough problem tougher.

    62. Re:Richard Muller by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      And what do you expect Congress to do about people that can't drive worth shit?

      The fleet of cars on the road today are the safest they've ever been, with the only safety improvements not made being the asshole behind the wheel that feels they need to tailgate at 80mph on the freeway. Or thinks they can get through the intersection on that yellow light. Or is too involved in a phone call to see the brake lights in front of them. Or has no idea how to safely merge into traffic without causing everyone already on the freeway to jam their brakes.

      Note that most if not all of these examples already have laws and regulations surrounding them.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    63. Re:Richard Muller by Enry · · Score: 1

      I can see why you're marked troll but I'll bite anyway.

      Take a look at the amount of money that goes to other scientific disciplines from the government (the NIH for example). Do you think that biomedical research is being corrupted in the same way as global warming research? If yes, why not go after those research dollars in the same way? If no, then your reasoning on why the research is being conducted is fundamentally wrong.

    64. Re:Richard Muller by Ferretman · · Score: 0

      Nice try, but not true.

      Muller was "outed" as having NEVER been an AGW Skeptic shortly after the big story about how he "converted". He was always neutral-leaning-towards-the-AGW-meme and said he "switched" after the last IPCC study.

      Scientists who actually take the time to look at the data and read through the modeling code nearly always come away shocked that this has gotten any serious traction at all. The huge bulk of the studies out there are basically exercises in data collection (which is good), though many of those basic activities have been tainted by poor record keeping (where did the data come from?) and/or destruction of the original data (a huge scientific no-no). About half have a paragraph or two towards the ending that say some variation of "we can't think of anything else that might be causing these temps, so we think it's AGW"....which isn't *proof* no matter how many times it's repeated, it's just a guess. Bad correlation, no causation.

      The hard fact is that AGW is an interesting, if unproven (and potentially unprovable) theory, on par with Creationism in terms of evidence. Some folks buy it, most don't, and the "solutions" proposed by the more hard core advocates always seem to have more to do with siphoning money out of people's pockets rather than "fixing" anything.

      Ferret

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    65. Re:Richard Muller by iceperson · · Score: 1

      Yeah, why would there be much costs associated with regulating everything a person ever does from their first breath to their last!?!? Nope, that's gonna be super cheap! Haha At least fossil fuel producers have something to trade for my $$$, Al Gore wants me to pay just for the privilege of breathing...

    66. Re:Richard Muller by PerMolestiasEruditio · · Score: 1

      Richard Muller was never a skeptic, but is a publicity hungry showman. He claimed he was a skeptic so that he could stage a road-to-Damascus style conversion that would play well in the media. Eg check out this interview from 2008: http://grist.org/article/lets-get-physical/

      "The bottom line is that there is a consensus — the [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] — and the president needs to know what the IPCC says. Second, they say that most of the warming of the last 50 years is probably due to humans. You need to know that this is from carbon dioxide, and you need to understand which technologies can reduce this and which can’t."

      He was critical of Mann's woefully poor hockey-stick analysis just as all scientists and statisticians are, though at least he made those critical comments in public (where most scientists were too afraid of fall-out)

      That said his work on BEST (reanalysis of historical global temperatures) is decent science.

    67. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, uhm. Have they named deductions yet?

      I mean, a big R thing is to propose ideas and forget to fill in the details, then bitch and whine about how their 'ideas' haven't become laws. Like the House shenanigan of "LOOK NOBODY WILL VOTE FOR OBAMA'S BUDGET", while ignoring the fact that their version of the 'budget' was 10% the length of the one that Obama proposed. The 90% that vanished?

      Details.

      If they want to propose a compromise on removing deductions, then name the deductions. They've got a long history of negotiating in bad faith that they need to overcome in the last two years.

    68. Re:Richard Muller by Q-Hack! · · Score: 1

      there's more money and power riding on proving AGW is an urgent problem

      Where is this money, and how can I get some?

      Add the words "The effects of AGW in relation to (subject)" to any dissertation and watch the government funding roll in.

      --
      Some days I get the sinking feeling Orwell was an optimist.
    69. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a depressing amount of precedent.

      I believe that's called a deprescedent.

    70. Re:Richard Muller by Ferretman · · Score: 1

      Yep, that's the one.

      To be fair, the HuffPo/DailyKos articles probably didn't mention that part, so the Muller boosters here don't know of it....

      Ferret

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    71. Re:Richard Muller by danlip · · Score: 2

      And what do you expect Congress to do about people that can't drive worth shit?

      Not much. On the other hand, there is heart disease, cancer, Alzheimer's disease, diabetes, and many other diseases which all kill far more people each year than were killed in 9/11, and which could probably all be reduced for far less money than we spent fighting the war on terror. Even suicide (over 36,000 deaths) could probably be greatly reduced with a little more money into our mental health system.

    72. Re:Richard Muller by microbox · · Score: 1

      They are dull-witted. They think they are right, like we all do. The story-line they tell themselves is a convenient and flattering one, just like us. Every politician needs a sugar-daddy (in the absence of public funding).

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    73. Re:Richard Muller by microbox · · Score: 1

      Oh, it's Jane Q Public, competent contrarian number one. And who is that co-researcher you are talking about? Let me guess, there is something completely misread or taken out of context, or perhaps completely absent. But the rumours do paint a flattering picture about your bizarre distortion land, so the /must/ be true, since everyone else is wrong. N'est-ce pas??

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    74. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      my analysis is that we won, i didnt even create a failure speech. ....

      posturing, don't show weakness, weakness alludes insecurity/uncertainty. without those holding us back, we can F this planet up in no time.

    75. Re:Richard Muller by microbox · · Score: 1

      Telling people they may have to change their ways a little is a far more difficult than simply proving the fossil fuel industries wrong.

      That is really part of the scare-mongering from the denialists -- the true alarmists. There will be some changes no matter what, but climate action isn't really going to cost a hell of a lot if we do something about it 30 years go, and we can still do a lot today for pennies.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    76. Re:Richard Muller by khallow · · Score: 0

      Some quick poking around finds that the oil and gas industry has spent well over 300 million this year on interest ads and lobbying.

      NASA is proposing a $2.4 billion increase in climate research through to 2015. That would be on average $800 million a year going to the scientific community, pretty much because enough of them claimed that AGW is an urgent danger. That's just one source of funding in one country for the scientific community because they propagate a particular point of view.

    77. Re:Richard Muller by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Are you referring to Judith Curry? Her comments in the that blog post don't seem to indicate she actually believes that Muller has done anything of the sort. She does, however, have a history of retracting her inflammatory comments shortly after making them.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    78. Re:Richard Muller by Minwee · · Score: 1

      And what do you expect Congress to do about people that can't drive worth shit?

      Take their shoes off, confiscate bottles larger than 100mL and grab their junk before they can enter their cars?

      It seems to work pretty well at preventing tigers from eating people on airplanes. Why not extend that success to driving?

    79. Re:Richard Muller by Xest · · Score: 1

      I don't think it's so much the cost, as I say it's telling a busy housewife that between the screaming kids and making her husband dinner she'll also have to find time to sort her plastics from her glass, from her paper, from her food waste, from her garden waste when throwing things away. Or explaining to her that rather than drive the kids 2miles to school and back in a gas guzzling SVU, she make them walk or stick them on the bus, or make them cycle.

      It's these sorts of things that are going to be hard to change, making people change actual habits.

      The only way to solve it seems to be to make it more inconvenient not to maintain those habits - i.e. drastically tax gas guzzling vehicles more with tax breaks for those who actually need them such as farmers who farm on rugged terrain. You then have the PR battle against mumsnet and such though as they get upset that they can't show off to all the other mums how far into debt the bank stupidly allowed them to go to buy an absurdly large oversized vehicle that will never be used for it's intended purpose anyway.

    80. Re:Richard Muller by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If you believe GW is not man made then you only need to explain 2 things:
      a) why does the current CO2 level match our accumulated output
      b) what is/are the other (natural) reason/s for the

      Can't be so hard to find the other reasons, or?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    81. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm all for solving a problem if it really exists, but I don't see where that's been scientifically proven. I do see a lot of political wrangling, money grabbing, and intimidation by folks who would like everyone to believe that this is a problem and they have the solution. That alone is enough to make me highly suspicious of the underlying motivation, and question how much any of this has to do with true science derived from the application of scientific method. When you have dissenting scientists threatened with being blackballed and having their families killed, and having their funding pulled you might have to stop and wonder why? If they're wrong wouldn't that be born out over time? Why the need for all of these mafioso pressure tactics in a realm devoted to discovering the true nature of the world we live in? Then when you start to dig into the details of their "science" the whole thing comes apart like a wadded up ball of yarn. We have historical data going back 200+ years, but we've chucked that in favor of massaged computerized models because well, the real data contradicts our theory. It's total rubbish.

    82. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When you're a research scientist who's only income is derived from those grants you tend to not bite the hand that feeds you. It doesn't matter how much it is. Opinions are easily swayed based on seemingly insignificant financial influence. If you doubt that's true I'd challenge you to look into the influence of welfare recipients on this last election.

    83. Re:Richard Muller by Slick_W1lly · · Score: 1

      Topically: I did exactly this.

      I bought a Prius when there were still tax incentives to do so.

      I slapped solar panels on my house when there were 50% 'rebates' covering the cost of panels + installation. I produce SREC's every year.
      I live in NJ. This was while we had a Democractic governor. Since fat-arse got into power he's removed the rebate, and told people : We'll up the SREC cap so you can recoup your capital outlay by sale of those. Fine - so now people can get an ROI on their panel investment on their SREC's. He then denied upping the *volume* of those SREC's - which resulted in a glut of SCREC's on the market, and the price has plummeted.

      They used to sell for $200. That went as high as $600 and is now around $100.

      You cannot buy Solar Panels and get a return on your money anymore. You're looking at around 30 years before you break even.
      Of course, I made out like a bandit - I got rebate AND higher priced SCREC's - at least for the period that they were worth anything....

      I happen to like that I produce my own electricity though - I just wish I had a half-decent grid to push it onto.

      My personal experience..

    84. Re:Richard Muller by toriver · · Score: 1

      They are not uneducated, they are just largely educated as lawyers.

      Now, that is interesting, because there are rules against giving legal advice without having a license, typically associated with said profession.

      I wonder if we could enact rules for science as well, where you could not give scientific "advice" (like parroting long-debunked denier myths) without a scientific background, and see how these politicians like it.

    85. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is the plan we have not almost the same thing as the plan Romney put forth in Massachusetts?

    86. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      do you understand that you are comparing two different things? Oil companies don't spend all their money on climate change. And most of the money they do spend on climate change, is spent expanding into assets that will profit from climate change, like solar, biofuel, and .

      Please tell me you don't actually think it makes sense to compare the two numbers you just did.

    87. Re:Richard Muller by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      And now I need a new keyboard because this one has coffee all over it.

      You owe me a keyboard. And a bit of coffee.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    88. Re:Richard Muller by efitton · · Score: 1

      Citation?

      Please also remember that oil companies will at times only let the results be released when favorable or won't bother to fund research if they don't expect it to be favorable.

      Here is the key, 97% of climate scientist believe in anthropological global warming. What all of us spew on different forums doesn't change that one bit. And the entire, "they are just doing it for the funding" is insulting to scientist and stupid if you think about who has the money.

    89. Re:Richard Muller by jandrese · · Score: 1

      The low car crash fatalities are the direct result of "job killing regulation" from a big unelected government board too.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    90. Re:Richard Muller by Scowler · · Score: 1

      On this particular issue, I think it's Big Oil campaign contributions that are ruling the day, more than any ideological barriers. That distinction could very well be a small one.

    91. Re:Richard Muller by Scowler · · Score: 1

      Really, though, the fault of inaction is on us, we the people.

      If you ask "us" if we believe in human-caused global warming, probably a majority of us would say "yes".

      But if you then ask "us" if we are willing to pay $1-$2 more per gallon of gasoline as a possible remedy for global warming, and then ask us if we still believe in global warming, probably a majority of us would say "no".

      Republicans understand this dynamic quite well... indeed, you could say this is their natural position on such issues until a majority of "us" are actually willing to sacrifice something to improve the environment.

    92. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      If you believe GW is not man made then you only need to explain 2 things:

      I have come to think that the human bits of GW are probably correct, mainly for your "a" point. There seems to be too strong a correlation between human emissions, greenhouse gas levels, and actual warming for it to be entirely a natural occurrence. Your point "b" is a bit more tricky, and hits the the reason that I was skeptical in the first place.

      The reason I was cautious in accepting climate change as a primarily anthropogenic event is because the huge amount of time and variation involved in historical (pre-human) climate cycles. We are living in a very small shard of the total history of the earth, and we are living in a very unusual climate within general historical variation of global climates. We humans also are generally fallaciously inclined to take our current context as some sort of norm. With the time scales, and variation involved, and the amount of human temporal bias that we bring to the table, it is hard to tell weather the current and projected warming is just a continuation of a natural event. We're dealing with very long term trends in the very short term. Early in the debate, the historical evidence wasn't strong enough to get past my internal doubt threshold. There was no way to know if our current climate trends were just evidence of natural processes evolving over long time periods.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    93. Re:Richard Muller by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Probably because the fossil fuel side knows what they are doing instead of being all crazies. ;)

    94. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I do wonder if they would get more support by voicing the politically popular view though, so they can make the Republicans holding the purse strings happy, and make the big money interests happy.

      The whole "these guys are funded!" argument strikes me as fallacious though, since if applied universally the result would be that no empirical research would be trustworthy. All research needs funding, and someone needs to fund everything. Does this also hold true for the vast majority of industry funded research as well? If so, how can one actively doubt anthropogenic climate change, being that there is no trustworthy data being generated in favor or against it, since all the data is backed by someone with some interest in the issue?

        This argument only works if there is actual proof of wrong doing actually connected to funding sources. Otherwise it is a somewhat empty argument. Further, it verges on a conspiracy theory, since it hinges on the fact that a vast majority of scientists are dishonest, and corrupt, and are willing to act as a conspiracy to dupe the world. If there was truth in this, surely there would be some strong evidence pointing to this international conspiracy. It also doesn't explain how some government funded, university, scientists are skeptical, while some corporately funded scientists have embraced it.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    95. Re:Richard Muller by khallow · · Score: 1
      Where's the oil business spending that matches what Greenpeace or the World Wildlife Fund is doing?

      Here is the key, 97% of climate scientist believe in anthropological global warming.

      And? Existence of AGW doesn't imply that we need to do something about it now. Those climatologist quickly leave their sphere of expertise when they start making claims about what AGW will bring and the economic impact of such.

      And the entire, "they are just doing it for the funding" is insulting to scientist and stupid if you think about who has the money.

      Not at all. Only a fool doesn't consider the stakes. There is more than enough money at stake to break the science.

    96. Re:Richard Muller by khallow · · Score: 0

      The whole "these guys are funded!" argument strikes me as fallacious though, since if applied universally the result would be that no empirical research would be trustworthy.

      Well, isn't it an amazing coincidence that when there's a huge battle over such things, that certain researchers and government organizations with a vested interest in AGW related funding, suddenly come up with particularly dramatic and urgent claims?

      I find it interesting that no one actually comes up with a valid counterargument. Instead it's either attempts to claim that pro-AGW stakes aren't as big as they actually are, or that the issue doesn't matter at all.

      since it hinges on the fact that a vast majority of scientists are dishonest, and corrupt, and are willing to act as a conspiracy to dupe the world.

      You don't need a vast conspiracy. You just need to control chokepoints, such as aggregation of paleoclimate data.

    97. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      Well, isn't it an amazing coincidence that when there's a huge battle over such things, that certain researchers and government organizations with a vested interest in AGW related funding, suddenly come up with particularly dramatic and urgent claims?

      The same can be said for the groups with opposing results, isn't amazing that they support the status quo and business as usual? Also, the anti-AGW crowd can't make big claims, since they are only supporting the status quo. "Everything is going to be fine" will never sound as dramatic as "the world will change, big time." Which, you must admit, is just as convenient for companies making tons of money as any potential funding is for public sector scientists.

      Again, given the "cui bono"You don't need a vast conspiracy. You just need to control chokepoints, such as aggregation of paleoclimate data.

      Its a good thing that data is public, and available to most anyone, then. The methodologies for aggregating such data is also very well known, so what is to keep some neutral observer (without any external funding or horse in the race, somehow) from either combing the existent data, or making their own aggregates?

      Further, I find this whole issue hilarious. How can someone have such an emotional reaction to a scientific issue. Emotions should never come to play, nature doesn't give a shit how upset you are. I often ponder how much psychology has infected this issue, as opposed to actual empirical, and theoretical science. I do feel that this issue has more in common with the evolution "debate" than any other actual scientific discussion.

      This is true for both sides of the issue.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    98. Re:Richard Muller by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      You mean like Richard Muller who quite famously denounced anthropogenic global warming only to come to the same conclusion by his own means? Yeah, that opinion piece by him opens with "Call me a converted skeptic."

      Except that he was never really a skeptic. He merely disagreed with a specific part of a specific study, namely the hockey stick (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_A._Muller#Climate_change).

      "He went on to state "If you are concerned about global warming (as I am) and think that human-created carbon dioxide may contribute (as I do), then you still should agree that we are much better off having broken the hockey stick. Misinformation can do real harm, because it distorts predictions."

      That quote doesn't sound like a skeptic's mind at work. It merely sounds like someone who already believes in AGW who is trying to ensure his peers aren't using junk science. It's certainly respectable, but it's a stretch to call it skepticism. Heck, this quote of his is from 2003:

      Let me be clear. My own reading of the literature and study of paleoclimate suggests strongly that carbon dioxide from burning of fossil fuels will prove to be the greatest pollutant of human history. It is likely to have severe and detrimental effects on global climate.

      If the man was a "skeptic", he certainly had strong leanings.

    99. Re:Richard Muller by Magius_AR · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Except R isn't interested in compromise. For example, way back when Obama started with redoing health care, he invited the Republicans to participate and said "Lets start with the plan from one of YOUR people, John McCain." The response was that that plan was unacceptable and that they wouldn't participate AT ALL.

      Please find less biased sources of news. What actually went down couldn't have been farther from the truth. If you want the truth, you follow the moderates (like Olympia Snowe for instance, who originally voted FOR the healthcare bill in initial committee, but quickly grew frustrated as the size of scope of the bill spiraled out of control and no one wanted to continue discussing it). What actually happened (and was flat out stated in the press by Dems) is that they believed in 2008 that they had a "mandate" delivered by the people to avoid Republican ideas at all costs (remember the "your policies fucked the country, now we get to drive" rhetoric Obama continually spewed?) This "mandate" concept is happening yet again, where now Obama seems to think the people want him to be a stickler for fucking the rich: http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2012/11/14/obama-signals-hes-firm-on-raising-taxes-for-wealthiest-americans-obama-signals-hes-firm-on-raising-taxes

      You want to see compromise? See what length Boehner took to TRY to make a debt deal happen and then look at how easily Obama undid months of effort by attempting to move the goalposts at the last minute: https://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/01/magazine/obama-vs-boehner-who-killed-the-debt-deal.html?pagewanted=all&_r=1&

      Read that and then tell me the Republicans are the only ones who have a compromise problem.

    100. Re:Richard Muller by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      think the bigger problem is that people neither want, nor like change.

      Incorrect, or you wouldn't have a cell phone in your pocket. What people neither like or want is change that affects them negatively. Change the price of gasoline upwards by a dollar and they'll scream bloody mudrer, change it downwards by a dollar and they'll smile.

      Tell them you've developed an automobile that gets 200 mpg and they'll cheer. tell them they have to wait half an hour in the snow for a bus rather than driving and the torches and pitchforks come out.

      People are lazy and getting everyone to even do something simple like sort their rubbish and recycle more rather than mindlessly throwing stuff in the same old bin to be sent to a single landfill

      Again, make them work more and they're not going to like you. If I was required to sort beer cans from the rest of my trash I'd complain; what's in it for me? Yet I save my beer cans because I can take them to the recycling center and get cash for them. Both are changes from simply throwing them away, but asking for the former is rediculous, while the latter is a boon.

      If you want change, make that change positively impact the lives of the folks who must change. Negatively impact them and you'll lose.

      In the case of your recycling, someone's making money off of your recycled trash, you should be compensated. I'm not going to help you make money unless I get something in return. It's simple psychology.

    101. Re:Richard Muller by khallow · · Score: 0

      The same can be said for the groups with opposing results, isn't amazing that they support the status quo and business as usual?

      I'm as shocked as you are. I just don't pretend that the oil companies have some virtuous reason for what they do which just so happens to further their self-interest. My view is that the climate science needs to be good enough to overcome the resistance. Not merely tell me what I want to hear.

      Its a good thing that data is public, and available to most anyone, then. The methodologies for aggregating such data is also very well known, so what is to keep some neutral observer (without any external funding or horse in the race, somehow) from either combing the existent data, or making their own aggregates?

      And when they do such analysis, they often come up with different conclusions, such as claiming that the Medieval Warm Period may well have been warming than present or that urban heat island effects weren't properly accounted for in averaging grids of daily temperature measurements.

      The "methodologies" for aggregating data verge on mysticism. For example, what really sold me was "climategate" the release of unauthorized emails and such from the Climate Research Unit in the UK. When I looked through the actual computer code released as part of that exposure, then I really changed my mind. The key problems with that code was a) lack of ability to replicate, b) irrationality and complexity of the schemes for normalizing and aggregating data, and c) the general opaqueness of the whole process. This is IMHO standard gatekeeper tactics in science. One or a few scientists maintains control of data or conclusions by making it very hard for anyone else to reproduce their results.

      I do feel that this issue has more in common with the evolution "debate" than any other actual scientific discussion.

      Where's the easy rebuttals then? WIth evolution, you can point to features of the human body and our behavior for demonstrations of evolution in action. We literally are immersed in supporting and very elegant evidence with every living organism (and a lot of dead ones) providing independent verification of aspects of the theory of evolution.

      Not so for AGW. It's touchie feelie bullshit like 97% of climatologists think AGW is real, saying it's like some movie plot, or a vague feeling that the AGW debate is somehow like the evolution debate. That's the sort of crap that's shown up in the past few days.

      There's no scientific basis for discussion of the most radical online claims (particularly that we need to do something about AGW now) because no one can discuss supporting evidence in a single sitting (assuming there is valid supporting evidence for the claim). And once we toss in the semantics games like relabeling anthropogenic global warming as "climate change", calling people who disagree "deniers", and the current fad of "extreme weather", it just turns into a really disingenuous game.

    102. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      Not merely tell me what I want to hear.

      I think that this is the strongest psychological argument there is. We humans like the status quo, and have a hard time picturing it not existing anymore, picturing the world different in the future than it is now. This makes AGW hard to swallow for lots of people. The converse is also true, every generation of people is the last generation of people, we can't picture a world without us (individually) as we are the common context for our understanding of the world. Every generation has to stand on a mountain top waiting for the end, only to be bitterly disappointed. This is a strong psychological reason to embrace AGW. Further, certain sects of environmentalists are highly keyed to the "doom and gloom" message, since it matches their pre-existing world view, a lot of enviromentalist literature is very bleak and pessimistic.

      The "methodologies" for aggregating data verge on mysticism

      This probably will never go away. Data of this type is very different than most collected scientific data (I ran an experiment, got a list of numbers. I ran the same experiment, got another list of numbers, compare. repeat.), in that it is largely interpretation and assumption being that it is historical data, and there is no way to ever get first-hand, repeatable, results thanks to the time scales involved, and the complexity of the systems that we are trying to measure. There will always be some fuzz. This doesn't invalidate the theory, or measurements though, it requires more rigor than most data sets. If you toss it out because of its intrinsic nature, then you preclude ever having any data on historical, long term, climate records.

      Also, I'm guessing their isn't one computer code to rule them all here, I'm guessing there are several big ones, and hundreds of small, ad hoc, in house models at play. That one code doesn't really say much towards the body of research as a whole. Also, we don't know the actual context of that single bit of code, it could have been a work in progress, it could have been a preliminary model...

      Please note, I'm not arguing for the "truthiness" of AGW here, I have an opinion, and I know very well I might be wrong, and invariably am not even mostly correct. I'm just a student of the history and philosophy of science, and find this area a very interesting area to think about.

      Where's the easy rebuttals then? WIth evolution, you can point to features of the human body and our behavior for demonstrations of evolution in action. We literally are immersed in supporting and very elegant evidence with every living organism (and a lot of dead ones) providing independent verification of aspects of the theory of evolution.

      If only there was some. I meant more in the non-scientist realm of this debate, the sociological and psychological aspects. This discussion isn't scientific, really, I have no background in the science here, and I doubt you do (I might be wrong, who knows?), we're arguing about it on a very different level than the actual science. We're arguing how we, as educated lay people, could accept it, and what criteria there would be. This is divorced from the actual data, theory, and science of it.

      The real debate is the science, not this. This is a fun diversion, and at most it starts to diverge into economics and politics, but never science. This is what I meant by comparing it to the evolution debate, it doesn't reflect on the facts (whatever they may be).

      There's no scientific basis for discussion of the most radical online claims (particularly that we need to do something about AGW now

      There is no basis (scientific or otherwise) to pretty much all online claims, no matter the topic. The internet is an idiot concentrator, for the most part. Snark aside, my view is that we probably should do something now, even if the sparks haven't settled within the actual science. I'm a ske

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    103. Re:Richard Muller by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      AGW mitigation is coupled with all sorts of stuff that restricts competition in the fossil fuel industry, such as regulation that has prevented any new refineries from being built in the US for decades.

      Yet somehow, despite these onerous regs you don't cite, we are exporting more oil than we are importing for the first time in over 60 years and are on track to become the world's #1 exporter in another ten.

    104. Re:Richard Muller by efitton · · Score: 1

      So scientist at NOAA don't need outside funding and are independent; yet they believe in global warming.

      http://www.noaa.gov/climate.html
      http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cmb-faq/globalwarming.html

      As for oil companies, and I'll include the Koch brothers as they are oily enough, here you go. One day you too will be able to use google. Interesting that they spend more money on media blitzes and propaganda than actual research.

      http://www.exxonmobil.com/Corporate/safety_climate_gcep-research.aspx
      http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/exxon-still-aids-climate-sceptics/story-e6frg6so-1225894256861
      http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/jul/01/exxon-mobil-climate-change-sceptics-funding
      http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/oct/24/tea-party-climate-change-deniers

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_denial
      Scientists (notably climatologists) have reached scientific consensus that global warming is occurring and is mainly due to human activity.[17] However, political and public debate continues regarding the reality and extent of global warming and the economics of possible responses. Numerous authors, including several scholars, say that some conservative think tanks, corporations and business groups have engaged in deliberate denial of the science of climate change since the 1990s.[7][8][15][18][19][20][21]

      Wikipedia:
      California, 2010
      Koch subsidiary donates $1 million to stop Calif. GHG law
      In September 2010, a company controlled by the Koch brothers donated $1 million to the campaign to pass Proposition 23, the Suspend AB 32 California ballot initiative that would halt the state's global warming law. The contribution came from Flint Hills Resources, a Kansas petrochemical company that is a subsidiary of Koch Industries. The Koch donation came a day after Tesoro, a Texas oil company that has been bankrolling the pro-Prop 23 campaign, put $1 million into the campaign coffers. According to the No Prop 23 campaign, 97 percent of the $8.2 million raised by the Yes forces has been given by oil-related interests and 89 percent of that money has come from out of state. Three companies, Koch Industries, Tesoro, and Valero -- another Texas-based oil company -- have provided 80 percent of those funds.[68]
      Other Koch funding
      Koch-funded organizations
      According to the 2010 report by Greenpeace, Koch Industries: Secretly Funding the Climate Denial Machine, Koch has out-spent ExxonMobil in funding climate change denial. From 2005 to 2008, ExxonMobil spent $8.9 million, while the Koch Industries-controlled foundations contributed $24.9 million in funding to organizations of climate change skeptics. Efforts include:
      More than $5 million to Americans for Prosperity Foundation (AFP) for its nationwide “Hot Air Tour” campaign opposing clean energy and climate legislation.
      More than $1 million to the Heritage Foundation, which writes about climate and environmental policy issues.
      Over $1 million to the Cato Institute, which disputes the scientific evidence behind global warming, questions the rationale for taking climate action, and has been heavily involved in spinning the recent ClimateGate story.
      $800,000 to the Manhattan Institute, which has hosted Bjorn Lomborg twice in the last two years, a prominent media spokesperson who challenges and attacks policy measures to address climate change.
      $365,000 to Foundation for Research on Economics and the Environment (FREE), which advocates against taking action on climate change because warming is “inevitable” and expensive to address.
      $360,000 to Pacific Research Institute for Public Policy (PRIPP) which supported and funded An Inconvenient Truth...or Convenient Fiction, a film attacking the science of global warming and intended as a rebuttal to former Vice-President Al Gore’s documentary An Inconvenient Truth (PRIPP also threatened to sue the U.S. Government for listing the polar bear as an endangered species.)
      $325,000 to the Tax Foundation, which issued a misleading study

    105. Re:Richard Muller by scared+masked+man · · Score: 1

      A few years back, I lived in a locale where sorted recycling was required (if it wasn't sorted, the crew would just leave it there, and since it wasn't in the proper wheelie bin, it wouldn't get taken to the landfill either), and it really wasn't a burden: it isn't very hard to not put the glass and plastic together, and the majority of the recyclable waste paper was either junk mail or stuff produced in the study, where there wasn't a whole lot of other waste. Similarly, most people produce green waste in the garden, so it isn't like it is any extra effort to throw it in one bin rather than another.

    106. Re:Richard Muller by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

      Well put. Jefferson was in favor of a revolution now and again... in fact, he called for it when that government no longer represented the People.

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    107. Re:Richard Muller by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

      The problem is indeed getting worse, and it's due to the exclusion of "emerging markets" doing the exact same thing the West did during the Industrial Revolution. We should stop focusing on energy consumption and focus on getting different forms of energy. Stop the wannabes from using 50 year old data to support a ban on Nuclear Power.... stop letting every rich idiot (*cough* TED KENNEDY *cough*) block windfarms because it spoils their view of the ocean.

      I thought about this the other night while eating Cheetos. The state, local, and Federal government need to swap their auto/truck/equipment fleets to compressed hydrogen or natural gas. All of those vehicles operate in a small radius with a motorpool (centralized fueling is easy for them)... Ditch the diesel... lead by example for a change. It's not going to interrupt the market if they do this. Encourage contractors who get sweet government contracts to buy into the hydrogen/natural gas machinery route. Will it be cost effective at first? No, but when has the government (at any level) been frugal and good, hell even mediocre at planning and budgeting. Then as the market for natural gas compressed hydrogen vehicles spreads beyond the government, the market will start supporting them with more fueling stations and before you know it, we're not using gasoline anymore. Once we stop that, we can tell the Middle East to suck it... move out and let them fight over the 3 or 4 bits of market for their fossil fuel left. The United States produces enough oil and petroleum products, if we stop using gasoline, to manufacture in-house all the other items that require those products (plastics, etc.) As we stop moving towards oil, we can stop propping up coal. Then we translate coal into solar and/or nuclear through customer demand for it. When the market gets competitive (and the entrenched don't get handouts from the government) things will shift. They always do. Fits and starts at first, of course... but once it starts... it'll change the landscape of the United States forever.

      Then we will be TRULY energy independent and will not need the Middle East, China, or anyone else to keep our economy moving. Perhaps that would generate a 2nd Renaissance of American economic freedom and influence that tugs the rest of the world into the 21st century and beyond. We'll look back on this as a blip in the otherwise fantastic progress the 20th Century started... and by the 22nd century, the fossils will be only in museums and we'll have our goddamned flying cars! :)

      --
      It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
    108. Re:Richard Muller by CaptainLard · · Score: 1

      They've supposed spent just under $200 million in total on various things, including anti-AGW stuff. That's slightly more than a year's funding for the World Wildlife Fund, one of the larger AGW advocates.

      Are you suggesting that TWO HUNDRED MILLION dollars spent by a single family for the sole purpose of political gain is somehow insignificant compared to an international environmental organization's entire budget? I just don't understand your argument that AGW advocates are somehow stomping big oil when it comes to funding (hope I'm reading your post right). Ok so Exxon only made $41Billion in profit...a few more than shell...who made a few more than BP...etc down the line of the hundreds of billion dollar oil companies. But they aren't even the biggest producers. State owned companies dwarf the private companies but they don't publish financials so no one talks about them. Where are the hidden trillion dollar AGW cartels pulling the strings on the poor oil industry? You provided some speculation of how Carbon credits might take off but it won't mean anything if those 98% of scientists are correct and the global landscape shifts faster than we can adapt.

    109. Re:Richard Muller by Xest · · Score: 1

      I agree, it's like that here, and honestly I think it's like that in pretty much all of the UK now, different local government areas sort differently, but I think fundamentally they just about all do it. We have paper, garden waste, glass, plastic, and everything else bins.

      Not everyone is the same though, the problem is that when it comes to recycling day some people never or rarely put their recycling bins out, but they always have their "everything else" bin out, because they try and cram everything in there.

    110. Re:Richard Muller by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      If I was required to sort beer cans from the rest of my trash I'd complain; what's in it for me? Yet I save my beer cans because I can take them to the recycling center and get cash for them

      "rediculous" seems a bit over the top, you are obviously already aware it takes very little effort to separate your cans and it's actually easier to just leave them outside your house to be collected than it is to take them to a recycling centre for the pittance you get in return.

      If separating your rubbish into 2 different piles is too much hard work for people it's little wonder it's so difficult to make the required changes to move toward a sustainable economy.

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    111. Re:Richard Muller by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      Economists quickly leave their sphere of expertise when they start saying anything about the real world or the future.

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    112. Re:Richard Muller by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      it is hard to tell weather the current and projected warming is just a continuation of a natural event.
      If it was a natural event ... which would it be?
      Still same question. Do you really think it is possible we missed a possible natural cause after 200 years of watching? And ice cores going back millenia?

      Early in the debate, the historical evidence wasn't strong enough to get past my internal doubt threshold.
      That is nonsense. The debate happend in the USA since about 15 or 20 years. The rest of the plannet was not debating but was sitting the face full of unbelief about what is going on in the USA.
      Everyone knew it would come to this, except you.
      Strange ...
      I learned about global warming in school around 1975 ... that is soon 50 years ago.
      And you think there is a debate. And some people think: one side won it.
      Rolf, a scientific argument leads to an exclamation: the AGW faction won. That is absurd.
      There was no way to know if our current climate trends were just evidence of natural processes evolving over long time periods.
      That is nonsense. That is what the ANTI AGW faction made you believe. There was never any doubt since the fact that CO2 is a greenhouse gas was discovered. And that was something in the late 19th century, 1870 or something.
      Believing you need "proof" beyond mere simple facts is just an illusion.

      If you are down in your cellar during a hurricane, and the water is dropping into the cellar and levels are rising, you don't need any expertise that either the storm has to stop in time or the cellar will be flooded and you drown. It does not matter if there are holes where water is running out, the simple observation: "oh! Levels are rising!" indicate the outcome.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    113. Re:Richard Muller by iMactheKnife · · Score: 1

      Threaten to tax the blue sky and the same 23% will claim the sky is pink. The issue is about taxes, not climate. There is no logical connection between taxes and climate except in the minds of the warmists.

    114. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      I think you misread me a bit, I'm not refuting the AGW hypothesis, I'm just saying why I had some problems with it in the past. In the earlier days of the debate. The modern debate, since much of the science in the 70's was deeply flawed, and it really didn't get past my innate skepticism until rather recently (the last 7-10 years). Further, I never doubted global warming, I was skeptical of how much, if any, effect we had on it. This is a very different question. Ice cores (and such) can point to a trend, but more work is involved to point towards a cause. To be honest I'm still skeptical that it is due to 100% human actions, we're probably exasperating a natural trend, more so than causing one whole hog.

      Just because the rest of the planet believes something (which I doubt, I'm guessing most people in the world don't know, or are apathetic) doesn't matter one bit. This is something that still pisses me off about this debate (and makes my internal philosopher of science very happy) is how somehow conscensus is supposed to matter, where if 80% of a population believes something it is magically true. This isn't, or at least shouldn't, be how science works. Nature doesn't give a shit what we believe, no matter how many people believe it.

      No one wins anything, either way. Science isn't a sport. Its a dialogue, no one can win, but one can present their points better, but that isn't the point. The point is learning the nature of things, the dialogue is important because it allows two sides of the issue to learn from each other. The amount of "nyah nyah" in this debate is absolutely embarrassing, and makes it very hard to actually listen to proponents of either side of the debate. Thus "us vs. them" bullshit belongs in junior high, not in adult science.

      That is what the ANTI AGW faction made you believe.

      Really? They MADE me believe something? How exactly did they do that? Did they give me an awareness of very long term climate cycles throughout the history of the earth? Did they make me aware of the recent ice ages, and our current abnormally "comfortable" global temperature, which is a couple degrees cooler than the mean temperature of our planet? Did they make me question any theory that smacks of dogma, laced with too much emotion (if so, thank you!)? Did they make me realize that psychology has much more to do with popular acceptance than actual science does? Did they make me realize that our experience, expectations, and context exist in a temporally insignificant period of time, and the trends in our life-time are relatively meaningless?

      Did they make it so it takes a good deal of work and research to allow me to make judgement about theories? Damn, those "ANTI AGW" people are awesome (that was sarcasm, btw).

      There was never any doubt since the fact that CO2 is a greenhouse gas was discovered. And that was something in the late 19th century, 1870 or something.

      So animals cause global warming? We're talking about a hugely complex system, with many sinks, and feedback loops. This make the basic logical statement "CO2 is a greenhouse gas, humans make CO2; therefore humans cause global warming" unsatisfying. It sounds good, sure, but it really has nothing to do with nature. Its meaningless without a ton of bullet points, tangents, and explanations; i.e. science.

      Believing you need "proof" beyond mere simple facts is just an illusion.

      So I should have a knee-jerk response? I should lower my credibility levels to the lowest possible threshold? Further, there are no "simple facts", facts are meaningless in themselves. Facts are points of data, and are nothing without context and sound connective theories.

      This whole issue is a good illustration of what happens when politics and social biases pollute science.

      Further, you're trying to convince me of something I already accept, which is sort of odd. I had to make up my own mind, in my own way. I

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    115. Re:Richard Muller by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If you are as educated as you believe, why do you write this nonsense: So animals cause global warming? We're talking about a hugely complex system, with many sinks, and feedback loops. This make the basic logical statement "CO2 is a greenhouse gas, humans make CO2; therefore humans cause global warming" unsatisfying. It sounds good, sure, but it really has nothing to do with nature. Its meaningless without a ton of bullet points, tangents, and explanations; i.e. science.
      All CO2 produced by animals/humans comes from CO2 that was "eaten" by plants before.

      Obviously my paragraph: There was never any doubt since the fact that CO2 is a greenhouse gas was discovered. And that was something in the late 19th century, 1870 or something. refers to artificial CO2.

      As I said before, there was no need for the whole debate if the USA had not suddenly blocked any progress in Kyoto etc. and invented all the FUD about "natural climate changes", "ice ages", "oh humans can't do anything about it" etc.

      Further, you're trying to convince me of something I already accept, which is sort of odd. I did not try to convince you about AGW, but about the fact that we did not have any need for a "scientific debate" on top of the scientific knowledge we already had.

      The next debate will be: does ice really melt if the temperature goes above 0Â centigrate? Oh, and what is if it is a really large block, surely it can't melt all just because it is warmer? Or well, but you know the ice is at the poles, that can't melt all, you must be wrong! For me the whole debate was on that level. Fake counter ideas, fake counter studies, fake counter model and a huge demand from "normal" scientists to debunk all the fake stuff. And on top of that all funded by politicians, governments, parties and industry.

      Bottom line I did not attack you or your standpoint at all, I only took the chance to make a sarcastic comment based on your input, sorry if I offended you ;D was not my intent.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    116. Re:Richard Muller by Omestes · · Score: 1

      If you are as educated as you believe, why do you write this nonsense:

      It's called a reductio ad absurdum, and was in response to the simplistic logic you replied to me with. Just because CO2 is a greenhouse gas, and humans produce CO2, artificially or not, doesn't imply AGW automatically. It isn't sufficient to arrive at any meaningful, valid, conclusion.

      As I said before, there was no need for the whole debate if the USA had not suddenly blocked any progress in Kyoto etc. and invented all the FUD about "natural climate changes", "ice ages", "oh humans can't do anything about it" etc.

      Politics doesn't equal science. Kyoto is meaningless to the topic at hand. Also I don't understand the FUD about "ice ages" (we were just in one, geologically recently), or "natural climate change" (the Earth's climate has varied wildly over it's history). These aren't new ideas. And I was skeptical on those grounds long before the Kyoto talks. Those two phenomena are the first things a sane person should look at when talking about immediate climate change, how would those two facts possibly effect our current climate. Ignoring them ignores the big picture. Ideally a rational person would weigh and evaluate ALL of the evidence and factors, and not just accept one and move on.

      I did not try to convince you about AGW, but about the fact that we did not have any need for a "scientific debate" on top of the scientific knowledge we already had.

      I hope the scientific debate about this goes on long after I die. There is always need for scientific debate, even if we are relatively sure of the topic.

      I think we're just looking at this from two sides, I'm trying for the purely rational, scientific side, and your shooting for the sociopolitical action side. I understand your point, and I do think we must do something about it (I thought this before I came to any direct judgement. Better safe than sorry.), but I also fear that the actual science is being sacrificed for political ends, on both sides. The leaked memos made me a bit sick, not because of fraud or malfeasance (there wasn't any), but because of the "us vs. them" tone of the scientists. This attitude doesn't lend itself to good science very well.

      --
      A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
    117. Re:Richard Muller by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I'm also purely rational unless I get super anoyed.

      Like newtian mechanics, the topic about AGW was sufficient researched like 100 years.

      The new stuff we learnded is just the small jota of relativity theory on top of that.

      Everything that came the last decade, which you called debate, was simply FUD.

      The new stuff we learnded will never compensate for the time we lost.

      E.g. we did not find any new hint for a unknown natural cycle (and honestly on what evidence schould there be one?)!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    118. Re:Richard Muller by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      The last time I turned cans in it netted me $40. That's dinner for two at D'arcy's.

    119. Re:Richard Muller by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      ... Just in case you would like something other than just my word that it hasn't warmed significantly in the last 2 or 3 years. Now, call that what you will, but it isn't the rantings of some crazy person. However -- again for the sake of truth and fairness -- the graphs in that article are misleading. They are the doings of the media, not the scientist being quoted. [Jane Q. Public, 2011-11-22]

      When you claimed that climate scientists predict temperature trends on timescales of 8 or 9 years, I pointed out that 8 or 9 years is too short to obtain a statistically significant trend. Now you've tightened your self-imposed blinders even further by talking about 2 or 3 year temperature trends. Note that any 2 or 3 (or 8 or 9) year timespan would be too short to obtain a statistically significant trend. It's not something special about the last 2,3,8, or 9 years, so contrarians can recycle this talking point ad nauseum. That's the entire point of the Escalator, in fact. (Incidentally, at least 17 years are needed to establish a statistically significant trend of global surface temperatures.)

      But let's read your article, Scientist who said climate change sceptics had been proved wrong accused of hiding truth by colleague, by David Rose:

      [Prof. Judith Curry] said that Prof Muller's claim that he has proven global warming sceptics wrong was also a 'huge mistake', with no scientific basis. ... Like the scientists exposed then by leaked emails from East Anglia University's Climatic Research Unit, her colleagues from the BEST project seem to be trying to 'hide the decline' in rates of global warming. In fact, Prof Curry said, the project's research data show there has been no increase in world temperatures since the end of the Nineties - a fact confirmed by a new analysis that The Mail on Sunday has obtained. 'There is no scientific basis for saying that warming hasn't stopped,' she said. 'To say that there is detracts from the credibility of the data, which is very unfortunate.' However, Prof Muller denied warming was at a standstill. 'We see no evidence of it [global warming] having slowed down,' he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme. There was, he added, 'no levelling off'. ... As for the graph disseminated to the media, she said: 'This is 'hide the decline' stuff. Our data show the pause, just as the other sets of data do. Muller is hiding the decline. 'To say this is the end of scepticism is misleading, as is the statement that warming hasn't paused. It is also misleading to say, as he has, that the issue of heat islands has been settled.'

      Wow. These are very serious accusations. But are they valid?

      The graph in Rose's article labelled "the inconvenient truth" is misleading, but mainly for the same reason that Jane's references to short term trends are misleading. Since that graph only shows 10 years of data, any conclusions drawn from it will be conclusions about the noise in the climate, not the long-term trend. But this isn't really the media's fault: Prof. Curry chose that absurdly short timespan herself by talking about the trend since 1998.

      Also, the abrupt cooling shown in the BEST data in April and May of 2010 isn't real. Those months only include data from 47 stations in Antarctica, compared to March 2010 which has 14488 spread around the world. So April and

    120. Re:Richard Muller by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Correction: Since that graph only shows ~10 years of data, any conclusions drawn from it will be conclusions about the noise in the climate, not the long-term trend. But this isn’t really the media’s fault: Prof. Curry started talking about absurdly short timespans herself by talking about the trend since 1998.

    121. Re:Richard Muller by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      Oops, I didn't mean to include the word "global" in this sentence: "So Watts and Eschenbach were criticizing Muller for showing that global mean temperature trends aren’t significantly contaminated by urban heat pollution" It's been removed.

  2. Batshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Crazy

    1. Re:Batshit by wierd_w · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Agreed.

      "Look at all the skeptical scientists (that we retained as hied shills)! CLEARLY our side of the debate has won! (Nevermind that the basis of the global climate change scenario is firmly rooted in uncontested scientific principles and repeatedly documented characteristics of carbon dioxide, water vapor, and methane gasses. We assert that because humans are magical, that humans can release all of those gasses that they want, and NEVER release enough into the atmosphere to upset anything at all! Sure, we are releasing it faster than nature can re-sequester it, and the effects are sustained and cumulative, but damnit, a volcanic eruption spews out more "greenhouse gasses" in a few hours than mankind does in a year! Nevermind that volcanic eruptions are not a constant and growing emission source like human activities; and therefor our comparison is lopsided and specious-- don't think too much about that, it's our story, and we're sticking to it! No, those aren't the icebergs you are looking for! Move along!)

      Admittedly, that *is* a rather shameless strawman I just thrashed, but the likeness of that scarecrow to the real thing was alarming.

      Seriously, is this woman simply delusional, or does shw think she can bribe the weather when shit comes apart at the seams?

    2. Re:Batshit by orion205 · · Score: 1

      Seriously, is this woman simply delusional, or does shw think she can bribe the weather when shit comes apart at the seams?

      You might note that Dana Rohrbacher is, in fact, male.

    3. Re:Batshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seriously, is this woman simply delusional, or does shw think she can bribe the weather when shit comes apart at the seams?

      You might note that Dana Rohrbacher is, in fact, male.

      No, in fact it is not

    4. Re:Batshit by WGFCrafty · · Score: 1

      Hitler maintained they still had a chance after the Rhur valley (industry center) had been taken and the Russians were closing from the East of Berlin.

      The citizens weren't stupid they moved towards the allie's lines because they were pretty scared (who wouldn't be?) of Russia's lust for revenge after operation Barbarossa (seige of Stalingrad/Moscow).

      Funny thing about facts, they're true whether you believe them or not. When A=3 she and her delighted side has finally shown A > 3 = $$$

    5. Re:Batshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll believe in global warming when liberals quit building their house on the coastline. They know its bull because they act like it is, regardless of what they say.

  3. What a bunch of by mpcarl · · Score: 0

    Idiots!

    1. Re:What a bunch of by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a bunch of FUCKING idiots, not to mention academically and scientifically illiterate and dishonest.

    2. Re:What a bunch of by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a climate contrarian myself, I don't want these morons representing the opposing view. They're just going to pull horseshit out of their mouths that has nothing to do with a reasonable, scientific position on the matter.

    3. Re:What a bunch of by ganjadude · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      lied to the public for weeks, and than is offered a promotion by the obama administration. These points are rather important

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    4. Re:What a bunch of by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      As someone i see post often's sig says

      flamebait /troll are not the same as "i disagree"

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  4. about time! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How much longer did this nonsense have to continue?!

    1. Re:about time! by paiute · · Score: 2, Funny

      How much longer did this nonsense have to continue?!

      How long can you tread water?

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
  5. My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I do believe global warming is happening, however, I am not sure mankind is responsible for a majority of it. However, I do believe we must cut pollution for the sake of pollution regardless of whether it puts a dent into the overall problem of global warming.

    1. Re:My two cents... by pauljlucas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I do believe global warming is happening, however, I am not sure mankind is responsible for a majority of it.

      At all other times in the planet's history when there have been periods of warming, it's taken orders of magnitude longer than the current period. The difference? This time is post industrial revolution and the wide-spread burning of fossil fuels. How do we know? Ice cores. But don't let the actual facts get in the way of your skepticism.

      --
      If you reply, do so only to what I explicitly wrote. If I didn't write it, don't assume or infer it.
    2. Re:My two cents... by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      Don't let them wrap you up in a correlation game. Real researchers put together a model and compare it to past data - the science has advanced well beyond simple correlations. Everyone who has taken the time and effort to build a model has come to the same conclusion.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    3. Re:My two cents... by sg_oneill · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Serious failure of Occams razor going on here AC.

      Lets take three things we know;-

      1) You say climate change is happening. Well we agree on that. Lets put that into "Known knowns".

      2) We know CO2 significantly traps infra red radiation. This was known since the 1800s when researchers first started putting alarm bells out about climate change after Fourier first demonstrated CO2s effect on IR spectrum light in the laboratory.

      3) And we are putting staggering amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere. Something in the range of 35000 teragrams per year.

      Yet.

      4) You dont think humans are responsible for most of the climate change.

      The question I ask then, is what mechanism are you proposing that is stopping physics from doing its thing here.

      This is the thing the "Humans are not having an effect" people seem to miss here. Thats a huge claim which breaks a tonne of very old and very established physics, and for the "we are not causing climate change" thing to be true, novel physics needs to be proposed to provide a mechanism that causes CO2 to stop absorbing IR light.

      I should note some caution here. If a mechanism is proposed, a LOT of things break. Huge amounts of our knowledge of chemistry , astronomy (absorbsion lines, etc) , and so on are dependent on our understanding of how gasses absorb light, and we'd be throwing out perhaps entire fields of science, because holy crap have we got a lot of things wrong? All that stuff we learned from staring at black lines on rainbows shitting out of our telesopes? Wrong wrong wrong. All the whacky stuff we've learned bouncing light through gasses in laboratories? Wrong wrong wrong. Chemistry wrong, physics wrong, astronomy wrong, biology wrong, its exaustive.

      To wit;- Big claims require big evidence.

      And I'm not seeing that evidence, instead I'm seeing frauds like "lord" monkton, a guy whos entire scientific/mathematical education was finishing highschool, being paraded around by right-wing think tanks as a "renowned mathematician". I'm seeing incredibly detailed frame ups of researchers involving multiple right-wing thinktanks pushing campaigns of deliberate misrepresentation of peoples emails. I'm seeing polls of scientists, in such dead-on fields as "political science" and "marketing" denouncing basic observational physics and not a single damn qualified climate scientist in sight.

      I'm actually not seeing shit. Theres almost no legitimate reason left to doubt climate change and our role in it anymore. Its happening, its real. That debate ended 150 years ago in Fouriers laboratory.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    4. Re:My two cents... by Troed · · Score: 5, Informative

      At all other times in the planet's history when there have been periods of warming, it's taken orders of magnitude longer than the current period.

      No.

      http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/transit.html

      How do we know? Ice cores.

      No.

      http://www.climate.unibe.ch/~stocker/papers/bereiter09grl.pdf

    5. Re:My two cents... by Troed · · Score: 1

      Real researchers put together a model and compare it to past data

      As a start, sure. Real researchers then use that model to make a prediction from their original hypothesis, and wait until reality has either disproven or not disproven the hypothesis.

    6. Re:My two cents... by erroneus · · Score: 2

      It's not that they are "anti-science." It's that they don't value things they don't understand and more importantly, aren't as interesting as other things.

      In a way, these types exhibit unreal amounts of arrogance. They know that without the sciences, their comfortable lives could not be what it is today. (Though in their prayers, they thank god for things other people did... even for things they did themselves.) They know the things they don't understand have a profound impact on their current lives. It's just that they don't want to change what they are doing now and they don't want it to hurt their bottom line.

      If there was a god, their asses would be salt by now.

    7. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well, if we're going to use occams razor, we know that the sun is currently in a solar bright period, and we know the sun burns hotter during bright periods....

      Hey, look there, less things to explain in mine, w00t, I win the occmas razor contest.

    8. Re:My two cents... by bunratty · · Score: 1

      It certainly could be true that the excess carbon dioxide is not having the predicted warming effect. For example, the warming should cause the humidity to increase, and we have observed this increase in humidity. The increased moisture in the atmosphere might create more clouds, which could possibly reflect more sunlight into space, causing a negative feedback to limit the warming. It's all a perfectly good hypothesis, but then we need 1) evidence to support it, such as observations of more clouds and predictions and observations of the expected cooling created by the clouds, and 2) an alternative mechanism that explains the warming we have observed, together with evidence to support that this mechanism is occurring. Now, I haven't seen either of those things, just the hypothesis. But someone could show that evidence from which we could conclude that most of the warming has been natural. There's just the slight technicality of the evidence what has yet to appear...

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    9. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      I fall in the camp of reality myself which isn't listed by you. The UN's IPCC reports are entirely based on research by the CRU in England headed by Phil Jones. He illegally ignored FOI requests for years, to the point that when someone FINALLY got a prosecutator to go after him the 7 year statue of limitations ran out and they couldn't prosecute him. That is why most AWG people say he never did anything wrong because no one would prosecute. Even better is when he was months away from finally being forced to release his research for actual peer review, there has been none done on Phil's research to date, he deleted the data and claimed he didn't want skeptics finding something wrong with his research that he "knew" was right. Phil Jones was also the ONLY person to hold decades and decades of worldwide climate data, for example NASA only has US data. It has all been wiped to prevent actual peer review.

      So weather AGW is real/fake manmade/natural is irrelevant to this. The UN IPCC reports that claim it is real and proven, also used by EVERY AWG proponent, is falsified data. I have yet to see any actual peer reviewed research proving it. What they claim is peer reviewed is only reviewing manipulated data that Jones put out and is not valid.

      So feel free to call people like me deniers, but the reality is you are the denier. I probably listed out information most of you have never heard before, but I wanted to find the truth myself one day and that is what I ended up with. AWG is a religion and Phil Jones is their savior. In order to believe AWG you have to take Phil's word for it and he has admitted to manipulating data, results, and deleting researh to avoid peer review. Not the actions of someone who had undeniable proof.

    10. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Latour's response is laughably bad. Like, I don't know how he could have a Ph.D. bad.

      I found a refutation within the comments on the same page you cited, and of course the denialist response was to merely goal shift away.

    11. Re:My two cents... by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 2

      You may want to recheck your usage of "Dr Roy Spencer" as any kind of legitimate argument, before you further humiliate yourself.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    12. Re:My two cents... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      True - and that has been happening over the last 30 years or so. Since the mid 90s, the models have been looking pretty good.

      It could be a fluke, though - which is why it is still good to look at thousands of years of historical data rather than putting too much weight on any single decade.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    13. Re:My two cents... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      You aren't going to try to tell me that the earth is a closed system, are you?

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    14. Re:My two cents... by tconnors · · Score: 1

      It certainly could be true that the excess carbon dioxide is not having the predicted warming effect. For example, the warming should cause the humidity to increase, and we have observed this increase in humidity. The increased moisture in the atmosphere might create more clouds, which could possibly reflect more sunlight into space, causing a negative feedback to limit the warming.

      Negative feedback either places limits on an external forcing mechanism serving to reduce the deviation from a natural state (but not eliminating it), or if the negative feedback is large enough, causes a cyclic response. Do you want your atmosphere to enter into a huge cyclic response varying between several natural equilibria? At best you can hope that a handwavy undocumented negative feedback force (most climate feedbacks I am aware are strongly positive. Eg, melting icecaps and trapped permafrost methane) makes a bad problem slightly less worse.

    15. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "You may want to recheck your usage of "Dr Roy Spencer" as any kind of legitimate argument, before you further humiliate yourself."

      Pardon me? I referred to the original article which Dr. Latour was REBUTTING. And I did not add the "dr" to Spencer's title, that's from the name of the website, which Slashdot adds to links and over which I have no control.

      So please explain again how I am humiliating myself. Because I made no argument whatever on Spencer's behalf. On the contrary; it looks to me as though your own lack of reading comprehension is making a rather glaring spectacle.

    16. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      "I found a refutation within the comments on the same page you cited, and of course the denialist response was to merely goal shift away."

      I wrote "successfully refuted". The mere presence of a denial does not make it valid.

    17. Re:My two cents... by linatux · · Score: 1

      Any chance of a reference - what percentage of CO2 being put into the atmosphere is man-made?

      I've heard as low as 4% (find that hard to believe), but it's certainly far from 100%.

      Extra points for dividing it into major sources by percentage.

    18. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I wrote "successfully refuted". The mere presence of a denial does not make it valid.

      Heh. If you only had the brains to apply that logic to Latour's "refutation" of Spencer.

    19. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2, Funny

      Completely irrelevant. Back-radiation does not -- cannot -- exist.

    20. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      "Heh. If you only had the brains to apply that logic to Latour's 'refutation' of Spencer."

      Apparently unlike you, sir, I have a basic understanding of math and physics. Please explain to us all where the Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law is in error. I am sure we would all love to know.

    21. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There are many levels of scientific incompetence among climate deniers. The very lowest rung of which are the morons who believe that the greenhouse effect is thermodynamically impossible. Good grief, go pick up a textbook on radiative transfer. Or work your way through Science of Doom tutorials.

      It's amusing to realize that if Latour was arguing for the greenhouse effect, you would treat his utter failure to defend his arguments with the utmost skepticism, but all your "skepticism" goes out the window when it's a guy on "your side". I'm sure you're also quite willing to rally around Spencer when he's arguing about climate feedbacks to the greenhouse effect, but throw him under the bus when he admits that the greenhouse effect exists.

    22. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Apparently unlike you, sir, I have a basic understanding of math and physics. Please explain to us all where the Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law is in error.

      Hilarious. My Ph.D. is in statistical thermodynamics. The Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law is not in error. Nor does it disprove the greenhouse effect or any other well known result in radiative transfer physics.

    23. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not a skeptic in the sense of this article. There is strong evidence of a warming trend and CO2 traps heat by the somewhat misnamed "greenhouse effect". There are a lot of big questions about the global process. For example, if estimates of human CO2 emissions are correct, then the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere should be substantially higher than it is... and the excess has not been found dissolved in the oceans or anywhere else. We're talking about a lot of CO2 here, something like 1/4 to 1/5 of all emissions each year. So I think as much as we'd like to think the models are predictive, we need to be careful since there is strong evidence we don't understand some substantial part of this extremely complicated and dynamic system. So I view prediction of consequences with a very skeptical eye. It's also not entirely obvious if a warming climate is necessarily good or bad.. we're coming along toward the end of a very warm inter-glacial period and if warming were to keep us out of another ice age, that would be a good thing. Obviously runaway planetary warming would also be disastrous...

      One thing I worry about his this mixing up of C02 with "pollution". Lots of money and public attention and time of talented people and public concern is being spent on global warming and I fear it draws attention away from other sources of pollution that also have more immediate public health and environmental consequences.

    24. Re:My two cents... by ganjadude · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I believe the same. As I believe most skeptics do

      The issue I have (and many others) is the forced change being implemented at a what I would call a rushed time frame.

      the planet is billions of years old, humans have been here for a few hundred thousand years, in one form or another. We have gone from fully covered with ice to other climates over the ages. We happen to live in an ideal climate for us right now and it makes sense to want to keep it that way.

      The earth, even if we "ruin it" has an uncanny way of recycling itself over the years, the problem as I see it is that some humans tend to have a higher self worth of themselves than they deserve, especially in the entire earth timeline.

      recycling as much as possible is great, renewables are great. BUT ad this is a big but, why do we have to raise the prices, or outlaw some forms of fuel or other things to force adaption? When the cars came around 100 years ago and put the horse and buggy out of business, did the government force them out of business? did they say that you can still have a horse and buggy if you want, but we are going to charge you more money for using it over a car? NO! when the technology was mature enough it took over.

      I believe that with enough time wind and solar and nuke power and others will rid of us oil, but until that day comes, there is NO good reason to charge people more money for living, because raising the cost of gas artificially to get people to drive less doesnt hurt those who can afford it, only those who are lower middle class and poor.

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    25. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I tried being a climate skeptic and I thought the thermodynamics angle might have merit for a while.

      Then I realized that I couldn't explain how blankets worked, thermodynamically. At that point, I decided that maybe it was more likely that I didn't understand thermodynamics as well as I thought I did.

    26. Re:My two cents... by ridgecritter · · Score: 2, Informative

      I can recommend the Wikipedia article as a place to start: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_in_Earth's_atmosphere

      In the Sources section, it states that humans release about 29,000 megatonnes (= 29 gigatonnes), compared to natural processes that release about 439 GT annually. That would make the human contribution about 6.6% of the "natural" contribution.

    27. Re:My two cents... by sco08y · · Score: 1

      2) We know CO2 significantly traps infra red radiation. This was known since the 1800s when researchers first started putting alarm bells out about climate change after Fourier first demonstrated CO2s effect on IR spectrum light in the laboratory.

      No, we know that CO2 is a very weak greenhouse gas, and we think that the slight affect of CO2 will cause greater concentrations of other green house gases, especially water vapor and methane, which will have the much larger effect that's supposed to lead to catastrophe.

      Once you start considering a bunch more greenhouse gases that we're not producing in tremendous quantity, the argument that we may not be doing it at all becomes far more reasonable.

    28. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, just no.

      Um, yes. You've already uncritically dismissed critiques of Latour as "unsuccessful", as well as uncritically dismissing Spencer himself, while uncritically eating up anything Latour has to say. You haven't the slightest grasp of radiative transfer physics and haven't spent the slightest amount of time educating yourself in the field. But for some reason you're still willing to buy anything Latour has to say. This is why you're a fake skeptic. Dunning-Kruger effect at work.

      As I mentioned to the other... well, let's call him critic...

      I'm the same guy. The fact that you think the greenhouse effect or backradiation requires the Stefan-Boltzmann law to be in error only reinforces your stupidity.

    29. Re:My two cents... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      You mean all those models that rely on the concept of back-radiation, which is a violation of the Second Law of Thermodynamics? Those models?

      "Back-radiation"? Are you saying that Earth doesn't radiate heat? Or that Earth's atmosphere doesn't radiate downward?

      Or does this have to do with spreading back hair? *shudder*

    30. Re:My two cents... by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      Just for reference"

      "In TCS Daily, Spencer wrote, "Twenty years ago, as a PhD scientist, I intensely studied the evolution versus intelligent design controversy for about two years. And finally, despite my previous acceptance of evolutionary theory as 'fact,' I came to the realization that intelligent design, as a theory of origins, is no more religious, and no less scientific, than evolutionism. In the scientific community, I am not alone. There are many fine books out there on the subject. Curiously, most of the books are written by scientists who lost faith in evolution as adults, after they learned how to apply the analytical tools they were taught in college."In the book The Evolution Crisis, Spencer wrote, "I finally became convinced that the theory of creation actually had a much better scientific basis than the theory of evolution, for the creation model was actually better able to explain the physical and biological complexity in the world. Science has startled us with its many discoveries and advances, but it has hit a brick wall in its attempt to rid itself of the need for a creator and designer." - Shamelessly cut and paste from WP.

      I'm an optimist, I'm waiting for the day you stop linking to lobbyists and religious nutters on this subject.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    31. Re:My two cents... by efitton · · Score: 1

      I'm going with actively anti-science.

      Young earth, no evolution, no climate change. Evidence and the scientific method is completely discounted. I can't think of how you could more more actively anti-science. Well I suppose Copernicus comes to mind but still.

      And what really pisses me off is that these are the same people who complain about the U.S. science scores compared to other countries.

    32. Re:My two cents... by zz5555 · · Score: 2

      What the heck? What is this nonsense? If it can't exist, why is it possible to measure it? Here's a paper that first did it back in 1954: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/1520-0469(1954)011%3C0121%3AAIDFMO%3E2.0.CO%3B2

      How gullible does someone have to be to believe that back radiation is a violation of the 2nd law of thermodynamics? Do you even know what the 2nd law is?

    33. Re:My two cents... by linatux · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that. Looks like human reduction of CO2 'sinks' is more of a problem than the release of CO2.

    34. Re:My two cents... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      No. http://www.climate.unibe.ch/~stocker/papers/bereiter09grl.pdf [unibe.ch]

      I'm not sure how this paper relates, would you mind explaining?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    35. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      When even the skeptic bloggers turn against you, you know you're fighting a lost cause. Spencer obviously thinks Latour is crap. Lucia thinks "Slaying the Sky Dragon" is crap. Curry thinks it's crap. (I don't link to her blog because the publishers of the book got her blog shut down for daring to criticize them.)

      But hey, keep eating up everything the Sky Dragon feeds you, you gullible tool.

    36. Re:My two cents... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      anti-science ... People who believe it's man-made , but there's nothing we can do about it.

      I'm not sure that's "anti-science" - if they think it's impossible for political, economic or social reasons, then they might just be cynical. Or even worse, realistic!

    37. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I should note some caution here. If a mechanism is proposed, a LOT of things break. Huge amounts of our knowledge of chemistry , astronomy (absorbsion lines, etc) , and so on are dependent on our understanding of how gasses absorb light, and we'd be throwing out perhaps entire fields of science, because holy crap have we got a lot of things wrong? All that stuff we learned from staring at black lines on rainbows shitting out of our telesopes? Wrong wrong wrong. All the whacky stuff we've learned bouncing light through gasses in laboratories? Wrong wrong wrong. Chemistry wrong, physics wrong, astronomy wrong, biology wrong, its exaustive."

      No, all it actually would require is that an increase in CO2 cause an environmental effect that counteracts the increase, thus tending toward an equilibrium. "We're allowing a vast increase in mice" is really only a problem if there aren't any cats. Off the top, I'd suggest CO2 could naturally increase the amount of vegetation feeding off of it, thus then reducing the amount of CO2--and though there may be a strong counterargument to that, it seems to be your position that is presenting the absolute assertion that there are no countervailing factors or chemical reactions that the CO2 increase itself causes, several causal steps down the chain. Since the number of permutations possible of those would be huge, it seems imprudent to dismiss it out-of-hand. While we can, indeed, say that CO2 is increasing, but that in itself, in isolation, is irrelevant--it's the proposed systemic effects of the CO2 that are relevant. That's a much different question than the behavior of CO2 in isolation when viewed from physics.

    38. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Um, yes. You've already uncritically dismissed critiques of Latour as "unsuccessful", as well as uncritically dismissing Spencer himself, while uncritically eating up anything Latour has to say."

      Um, no. Latour's math is sound, Spencer's is not. Latour's physics are sound (which he clearly shows), Spencer instead relies on "common knowledge" and intuition.

      It's pretty easy to see who -- scientifically -- is the winner here. And it sure as Hell isn't Spencer.

      "The fact that you think the greenhouse effect or backradiation requires the Stefan-Boltzmann law to be in error only reinforces your stupidity."

      Jesus Christ. Did you actually just make a statement that ignorant? That's what the whole fucking articles are about.

      Holy shit.

    39. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      According to the Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law, unless the substance in question is an ideal "black body", which is a perfect absorber (and radiator) of energy, and which frankly does not exist, it's just impossible.

      The Stefan-Boltzmann law is almost totally irrelevant to this discussion. It does not dictate which objects can transfer energy to which objects. (Hint: any body can transfer energy to any other body through radiation, as long as nothing blocks it.)

      Warmer objects cannot, and do not absorb lower-energy radiation from cooler objects.

      Warmer objects ARE REQUIRED BY THE LAWS OF PHYSICS to absorb radiation from ANY source, with some quantum mechanically determined probability that depends only on the momentum of the radiation and other properties of the absorbing atom. (Hint: that probability isn't zero if the photon is "lower-energy", which isn't even physically meaningful when you get down to the level of atoms.) Good grief, man. Just consider what's going on at the atomic level. Do you think there's some radiation police sitting outside the atom saying "sorry photon, you came from a cooler object, get lost"? Sheesh. Add ignorance of quantum electrodynamics to your ignorance of thermodynamics.

      This whole stupid argument is predicated on a fundamental misunderstanding of what the laws of thermodynamics actually say. Hint: they talk about NET absorption of radiation between warmer and cooler objects. The cooler object absorbs radiation from the warmer object, and the warmer object absorbs radiation from the cooler object. It's just that more goes from warmer to cooler than vice versa.

      While I'm at it, let me respond to your other comment downthread:

      Latour's math is sound, Spencer's is not. Latour's physics are sound (which he clearly shows), Spencer instead relies on "common knowledge" and intuition.

      You are absolutely incompetent to judge anybody's physics, too stupid to realize it, and too stupid to be educated better.

      It's pretty easy to see who -- scientifically -- is the winner here. And it sure as Hell isn't Spencer.

      Well I'm glad you cleared that up with your proof by assertion.

      Jesus Christ. Did you actually just make a statement that ignorant? That's what the whole fucking articles are about.

      I realize that's what they're about. That's precisely my point: there is absolutely no incompatibility between the Stefan-Boltzmann law and the greenhouse effect. Hence the reinforcement of your stupidity by bringing it up.

      With that, I'm done with this stupid argument. If you want to know more, go to the Science of Doom tutorials you were referred to earlier. Then pick up a textbook. And educate your damn self.

    40. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Latour is a chemical process engineer trying to explain thermodynamics to a climate scientist. His "rebuttal" is full of basic misunderstandings and laughable examples (that headlights example still makes me grin). He flatly declares (without backing evidence of course) that warmer bodies cannot possibly absorb any energy from cooler bodies (guess what? it slows cooling!), which directly contradicts nearly two centuries of well-established greenhouse theory and countless observations (starting with Fournier in 1824). He does not even try to address the primary issue of disparate absorption of thermal radiation from the Sun and Earth. And he then has the gall to accuse climate scientists of not understanding the difference between radiation and convection.

      When (to cut through the misunderstandings) Spencer offers him a simple observational experiment he can do himself to prove the theory, he dodges it and accuses Spencer of shifting the goalposts. It's no wonder Spencer (a practicing climatologist with better things to do) didn't bother to engage further.

      If you still think greenhouse theory is nonsense, read this. If you think greenhouse theory somehow violates thermodynamics, read this.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    41. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      And please pardon me. The articles I mentioned appear to be on a different sub-thread of the discussion, so I retract any comments that may have seemed derogatory. Please see some of my other comments to find the links to those articles.

    42. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For examples when bad things are outlawed even if the things are useful and people love to use them:

      "Unfortunately, those involved in the manufacture of the new phosphorus matches were afflicted with phossy jaw and other bone disorders,[18] and there was enough white phosphorus in one pack to kill a person. Deaths and suicides from eating the heads of matches became frequent[...]
      An agreement, the Berne Convention, was reached at Bern, Switzerland, in September 1906, which banned the use of white phosphorus in matches.[25] This required each country to pass laws prohibiting the use of white phosphorus in matches. Great Britain passed a law in 1908 prohibiting its use in matches after 31 December 1910. The United States did not pass a law, but instead placed a "punitive tax" on white phosphorus-based matches, one so high as to render their manufacture financially impractical, in 1913. India and Japan banned them in 1919, and China banned them in 1925."

      And another one: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shoe-fitting_fluoroscope

    43. Re:My two cents... by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      im sorry but if you eat a match... you deserve what you get...

      call me heartless if you want, but we eed some more darwinism going on

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    44. Re:My two cents... by zz5555 · · Score: 2

      Umm, what articles? There aren't any links in this part of the thread and it doesn't seem like it would be part of the article that started this. Your claim that back radiation violates the 2nd law is nonsense. And what's the AGW version of it? Your statement that the earth can't absorb the back radiation coming from greenhouse gases is just embarrassing nonsense. How would the earth even know what photons came from the greenhouse gases? Or is your argument that the earth is transparent to the infrared coming from greenhouse gases?

      The usual remark I hear for this nonsense is that the earth is warmer then the atmosphere, so no radiation can move from the atmosphere to the earth, but that's just a misunderstanding of the 2nd law. I hope that's not your argument.

    45. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0, Troll

      "When (to cut through the misunderstandings) Spencer offers him a simple observational experiment he can do himself to prove the theory, he dodges it and accuses Spencer of shifting the goalposts. It's no wonder Spencer (a practicing climatologist with better things to do) didn't bother to engage further."

      Quite an astounding analysis.

      But everyone here seems to keep forgetting: Latour isn't relying on his own analysis. He's using long-known and oft-proven principles. Among them (which I have found it necessary in this discussion to raise several times) the Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law.

      I notice that EVERYONE on the AGW "side" of the argument has ignored that the models violate this specific law... and none of them have offered an explanation of this.

      So... as I have asked several times here on Slashdot... please show me how your pet theory gets around this law. Then I might be motivated to actually accept it. But you must do that first.

    46. Re:My two cents... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 2

      Warmer objects cannot, and do not absorb lower-energy radiation from cooler objects.

      Sure they do. If they didn't then equally hot objects in a vacuum would cool at the same rate regardless of their surroundings, and of course they cool at a rate proportional to the difference in temperature. Also, infrared lasers couldn't heat things to the point that they give off visible light. Microwaves wouldn't be able to heat things.

      Please go back up this thread and read the articles to which I linked: "Yes, Virginia" and "No, Virginia".

      You're referencing an online argument by a very stubborn person?

    47. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. There is no such thing as global warming.
      2. Global warming is possible, but it isn't happening.
      3. Global warming is happening, but it's not caused by humans.
      4. Global warming is happening, and caused by humans, but its net effect is beneficial.
      5. Global warming is happening, and caused by humans, and having a negative effect, but there's nothing we can do about it.
      5. ???

      You're up to step 3.

    48. Re:My two cents... by skids · · Score: 2

      Your linked articles are essentially a strawman, dissecting a poorly contrived and oversimplified example, since "back radiation" (or as AGW scientists call it, "downwelling radiation") isn't so much causing an increase in the temperature of the planet as it is decreasing the cooling rate of the planet. Radiation that would normally have gone through the troposphere into the stratosphere/space has to bounce around more in the lower layers of the atmosphere and surface, during which period there is more chance that it will be siphoned off by other heat transfer mechanisms while it is busy exciting electrons. This is why the stratosphere is cooling as the lower troposphere and surface warm due to increased opacity, as GHGs are added.

      Essentially the article you linked is not trying to "debunk" AGW, it is trying to "debunk" the greenhouse effect entirely. CO2 or no CO2, warming or no warming, if the greenhouse effect did not exist at all, the earth with have an average temperature.33C lower than it does. I'd love to see the author of that try to explain some other mechanism by which the stratosphere would be cooling or by which the earth can be maintaining a temperature that doesn't match its equivalent black-body.

    49. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      By the way: Latour is a process engineer with particular expertise in thermodynamic control systems.

      If I were in a room in which you challenged him over thermodynamics, I'd probably want to go outside to avoid the bloodbath.

      Good luck with that whole argument. To say it's weak is just... well... weak.

    50. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      From your fine link,

      http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/transit.html

      Various mechanisms, involving changes in ocean circulation, changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases or haze particles, and changes in snow and ice cover, have been invoked to explain these sudden regional and global transitions.

      So, WTF are you talking about again? Just linking random stuff without even reading it?

      Too bad the only thing that the only thing that we have in common with your link and GW (ie. today) is changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. Too bad.

      If your example is in hope of saying that climate change cannot affect humans because it happened in the past (hell, even more quickly), when there were almost no humans, I think you are wrong.

    51. Re:My two cents... by stinerman · · Score: 1

      I think you know the answer to your question of why certain technology must be outlawed or taxed more. It's because by the time the technology becomes cheaper than fossil fuels we will have already done the damage.

      I'll meet you half way and say, lets just get rid of all the implicit subsidies for fossil fuels that already exist and then tax people on the externalities they create. Hell, that in and of itself might be enough to make renewables cost effective.

      I'm reasonably sure we're past the point of no return, so it might not even matter.

    52. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Are you completely off your own nut? Since when I have I endorsed either lobbyists or religious whackos? Are you sure you have the right person?

    53. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      Aw, heck, I said I was done ... but I just couldn't let this pass:

      I notice that EVERYONE on the AGW "side" of the argument has ignored that the models violate this specific law

      Actually, pretty much EVERYONE here on the AGW "side" of the argument has pointed out that the models do not violate this law, that the greenhouse effect does not violate this law, and that in fact you don't even know what the law states, let alone its relevance (or the lack thereof) to the phenomenon in question. But here you are, lying about what everyone else says, impermeable to facts.

      And funny how you are elsewhere using proof-by-authority to argue for Latour's credibility (whose job doesn't even require a basic understanding of the Stefan-Boltzmann law as applied to radiative transfer) — while ignoring pretty much all the real physicists in the world with expertise in thermodynamics and radiative transfer physics. Including myself, of course, but also everyone else who does radiative physics for their day jobs. You're very selective in your "authority" figures. While we're at it:

      Hey, that's great! I also have a degree in Thermodynamics

      One of us actually has a degree in thermodynamics, and one of us is lying, and we both know who it is. But I'm perfectly willing to let you keep embarrassing yourself in front of your betters.

      Anyway, I'm really done here. I just want it pointed out for the record that nobody is ignoring your claims here, and in fact plenty of people have refuted them. Including myself. Fact: nowhere in the Stefan-Boltzmann law or any other law of thermodynamics does it state that warmer bodies cannot absorb radiation from cooler bodies. Deal with it.

    54. Re:My two cents... by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      I do believe global warming is happening, however, I am not sure mankind is responsible for a majority of it. However, I do believe we must cut pollution for the sake of pollution regardless of whether it puts a dent into the overall problem of global warming.

      If it's not mankind then what is the cause? If there is another cause it should be obvious by now - increased output from the sun, or increased volcanic activity, for example. But no convincing argument for an alternative cause has been presented.

    55. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      "Your linked articles are essentially a strawman, dissecting a poorly contrived and oversimplified example, since "back radiation" (or as AGW scientists call it, "downwelling radiation") isn't so much causing an increase in the temperature of the planet as it is decreasing the cooling rate of the planet. Radiation that would normally have gone through the troposphere into the stratosphere/space has to bounce around more in the lower layers of the atmosphere and surface, during which period there is more chance that it will be siphoned off by other heat transfer mechanisms while it is busy exciting electrons. This is why the stratosphere is cooling as the lower troposphere and surface warm due to increased opacity, as GHGs are added."

      Sir... with an alias like "skids" I am assuming you are a sir... it is not enough to say this. This is what I have had to keep saying here. People SAID the Earth was the center of the Universe. It even seemed obvious to them. But they could not SHOW that it was actually true.

      People here keep SAYING that Latour is wrong... but not one of them -- not even one, and not you -- has even attempted to show how he is actually wrong. And until they do, I will continue to accept what appears to be very solid and legitimate math and science.

      It is that simple.

    56. Re:My two cents... by Immerman · · Score: 4, Informative

      I think every mirror ever used in a high-energy laser experiment would disagree with you - *reflection* (such as from clouds) is a highly localized surface phenomena that does not require an ambient energy level sufficient to radiate. If it didn't those mirrors would all themselves melt when reflecting laser beams capable of melting through their glass backing. (Just one of the reasons that high-end laboratory mirrors are silvered on the *front*, so that the reflected beam never passes through the glass substrate).

      As for actual radiation - any symmetric body above absolute zero will radiate energy in a symmetric pattern - the upper atmosphere doesn't somehow "know" that the Earth is warmer and not radiate in that direction, it radiates fairly uniformly in every direction - i.e. half of it goes downwards again, and *something* will absorb it (unless it gets reflected) Of course the *net* heat transfer will still be from the Earth outwards because the Earth is much warmer and hence radiating more energy. The problem is just that forcing even a tiny extra percentage of the heat radiated by the Earth to make an "extra bounce" before it escapes means the total energy within the atmosphere increases similarly - and even that tiny percentage translates to a truly staggering number in absolute terms.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    57. Re:My two cents... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Since when I have I endorsed either lobbyists or religious whackos?

      Not sure, at least a couple of years, but whenever it was it was a long time before the endorsement I just replied to.

      Are you sure you have the right person?

      Yep. Although I have to admit you often decline to reveal your sources at all, even when called on it.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    58. Re:My two cents... by mdielmann · · Score: 1

      No. http://www.climate.unibe.ch/~stocker/papers/bereiter09grl.pdf [unibe.ch]

      I'm not sure how this paper relates, would you mind explaining?

      The first couple sentences in the results section should indicate what he's talking about (in that he disagrees with the value his parent post puts in ice cores). I haven't read enough to know whether I agree or not.

      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
    59. Re:My two cents... by dhTardis · · Score: 2

      People here keep SAYING that Latour is wrong... but not one of them -- not even one, and not you -- has even attempted to show how he is actually wrong. And until they do, I will continue to accept what appears to be very solid and legitimate math and science.

      OK, here goes. Latour starts by complaining that Spencer's example fails to specify whether the cold surround is kept there by constant heat removal or by a thermostat. Of course, he then goes on to state (correctly) that it makes no difference: the heat input (from the electricity) is constant, therefore (in steady state, which is the only thing under consideration) the heat removed is the same constant regardless of any unpowered additions to the chamber. So the heat input to the wall must be equal in the one- and two-plate cases as well; in both cases its temperature is constant, and the heat removed is the same.

      That heat is of course exactly the radiation from one or both plates. In the two-plate case, some of the chamber wall can see only the added plate, which I suppose everyone agrees cannot reach the same temperature as the heated plate. That portion of the wall therefore receives less radiation. As the total must be unchanged from the one-plate case, some other part of the wall must be receiving more radiation. We could suppose this to be that part of the wall that can see both plates edge-on. But, either by making the plates thin and close together, or by (as Spencer suggests to exaggerate the effect) making the added plate actually be a (partial) shroud around the heated plate, we can reduce that effect to irrelevance. Therefore the additional radiation received elsewhere on the chamber wall must come from an increased temperature of the heated plate.

    60. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you still like pics of kittens and lolcats right? I mean you haven't completely changed because of this revelation have you.

      I always thought you were dumb as a fucking rock, but now, I think your IQ level jumped ten fold and it might be equal to the size of your shoe lace now.

    61. Re:My two cents... by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      The problem with this idea, which is relied upon by almost all Anthropogenic Global Warming models, is that it can't happen. According to the Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law, unless the substance in question is an ideal "black body", which is a perfect absorber (and radiator) of energy, and which frankly does not exist, it's just impossible. Warmer objects cannot, and do not absorb lower-energy radiation from cooler objects.

      Congratulations, JQP, you've gone from your usual "wrong" into "not even wrong" territory.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    62. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, shit. No sense putting on a blanket tonight; it's cooler than my body, so it can't possibly keep me warm.

    63. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Use one argument and kill it with the other, Whitch came first? The egg or the chicken? One is based on research on ice cores, and the other say ice cores cant be thrusted? I admit I did not understand the last article. It would be interesting to ask the researchers how they interpret their findings. Would they support your claim that ice cores cant be used as evidence on climate changes.

    64. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's actually much simpler to refute than that.

      Latour states:

      "However, the absorption rate of real bodies depends on whether the absorber T (radiating or not), is less than the intercepted radiation T, or not. If the receiver T > intercepted T, no absorption occurs"

      This is an absolute falsehood. There is no law of physics that states this. In fact, it is a physical impossibility, which is obvious if you look at it at the atomic level. Suppose a lower temperature body emits a photon toward a higher temperature body. The probability that photon is absorbed by an atom manifestly does not depend on the temperature of the emitting body, or on any other property of the photon source. (The quantum amplitude for this process is the vertex Feynman diagram in QED, Eq. 8 here.) There isn't any footnote in the equation that adds "... unless the photon came from a cold body, then the amplitude is zero". The atom has to absorb photons, independent of where they came from.

      I haven't the patience to work through Latour's tedious algebra to find the error, but that seems to be the only "proof" Jane Q. will accept, no matter how many other ways there are to disprove Latour.

    65. Re:My two cents... by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      The problem is if we remove the subsidies than the cost will be upwards of 8 bucks a gallon, which is simply not affordable for 50% of america.

      But lets just say I do agree to that concession, I would only agree to it as long as eliminate the spending totally, meaning we are not shifting the payout to other industries and use the money that was going to the oil companies to pay down the national debt.

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    66. Re:My two cents... by Immerman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sure, the Earth "regenerates" itself remarkably well - but it doesn't do so on a human timescale so it's not much use to us. The real question with global warming is, what will it cost us to deal with it - if we had started 50-100 years ago it would have only taken a fairly minor shift in culture and which technological areas were getting funding. If we start today it will take slashing fossil fuel consumption and pouring some serious R&D dollars into developing and deploying alternatives - and there are actually many technologies that are ready to start taking up the slack, even if they're not quite ready to take over completely. If we wait another 50-200 years to start doing anything (depending on which projection things follow - so far we've been trending worse than the worst-case scenarios) we'll have *real* problems on our hands - global famines and wars, massive unilateral geo-engineering projects with similarly massive potential unforseen side effects, not to mention the cost of deploying any fixes we come up with "today" instead of over many decades because we're out of time.

      As for keeping the price of fossil fuels artificially low (which they are in the US) - that actively makes things worse. Solar (for example) is already roughly cost-competitive with coal, so why don't we see it being deployed everywhere it's viable? Well, you're not actually *gaining* much, and you have to pay for all that energy up front as installation costs. Now imagine that electricity cost 3x as much - don't you think more people would start installing solar (and/or getting more efficient), even if they can only afford a low-power installation that just takes the edge off their bill? Does it hit the lower-classes harder? Yes, definitely, and that sucks, but if we want to move our society in the direction we need to go it has to happen, and there are options to make things fairer - for example tax fossil fuels to reflect the non-market costs and dedicate the revenue to subsidies for personal solar energy/efficient appliance/etc, which will also disproportionately benefit the lower classes. For that matter we could just turn around and give all that tax money back to the population equally - that way "average" consumers don't suffer at all, and efficient users end up with a nice fat wad in their pocket to spend on whatever they like, courtesy of the rich folks who don't want to bother with plebeian measures like using public transportation when possible or wearing a sweater instead of cranking up the thermostat.

        More to the point if coal/gas/etc. were 3x as expensive you can bet the energy companies themselves would start getting serious about investing in alternative generating capacity to bring down their generating costs and thus increase their profits. And as alternative energy starts getting deployed on the large scale it both drives down costs for the technology and drives innovation in the technology, bringing it within reach of even more people/communities. How else do you expect alternatives to catch on? These technologies won't get deployed until it's cost-effective to do so, and that won't happen while we keep fossile fuel prices artificially low.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    67. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Maybe I should've linked to the Basic page instead. The Intermediate page seems to have bounced off you.

      Stefan-Boltzmann still applies, of course - warm bodies radiate energy - but it says nothing about a warm body's ability to absorb radiant energy, even if produced by colder bodies. This is where you're going wrong. Warm bodies radiate faster than cool bodies (that's thermodynamics), but cool bodies still radiate some energy, which can of course be absorbed by the warm bodies, slowing their rate of cooling. Is this not intuitively obvious? It's certainly long-established science.

      Let me break down the atmospheric situation for you, in simple language: Greenhouse gases reflect & absorb certain IR bands of sunlight,but pass higher bands, like visible light. The sunlight that gets through warms the Earth, which radiates it back in the IR bands, according to Stefan-Boltzmann. Those same greenhouse gases now reflect & absorb the IR coming from the Earth as well - trapping much of the heat that would otherwise have radiated into space.

      This process is in complete accordance with thermodynamics, and has been observed and proved to virtually everyone's satisfaction long, long ago. If Latour still labours under the belief that he can challenge this, he can attempt to publish a paper, but I predict his methodology will be torn to shreds by reviewers far more capably than I could manage.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    68. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm an optimist too, and I'm waiting for the day you understand what an ad hominem fallacy is.

    69. Re:My two cents... by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      thx

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    70. Re:My two cents... by skids · · Score: 1

      His argument seems to be based on photon density equilibrium, which demands that the object reflect or transmit the photon, because its electrons are already excited to that energy level and another photon of that same energy level is just going to knock another one loose if absorbed. What he misses is that with a constant input power, electrons are being excited from those states to even higher states, and then emitted, resulting in lower energy states, which can indeed then absorb incident radiation. So that means the electric element is more efficiently producing the higher energy states, because it is supported by the reflected radiation.

    71. Re:My two cents... by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      The issue I have (and many others) is the forced change being implemented at a what I would call a rushed time frame.

      In what mirror universe is that? In this one, the U.S. periodically gets together with other G7 nations to kick the Kyoto can (itself a half-measure) down the road so it's always 10 years off.

      The time to prevent serious climate change came and went 20 years ago. Now the hope is to keep the temperature increase from being catastrophic.

      the planet is billions of years old, humans have been here for a few hundred thousand years, in one form or another. We have gone from fully covered with ice to other climates over the ages. We happen to live in an ideal climate for us right now and it makes sense to want to keep it that way.

      Ah, the old "climate change has happened before" canard. Nevermind that it's not usually this fast, or that rapid climate change has coincided with mass extinctions.

      We happen to live in an ideal climate for us right now and it makes sense to want to keep it that way.

      Riiiight. How much money will be spent on Hurricane Sandy? How much money was spent on tornadoes and wildfires this year? Warmer weather + humidity = more powerful storms. How about your air conditioning bill? Enjoyed paying higher prices for pork, chicken and beef due to the drought-induced shortage of corn?

      The costs of mitigating climate change are insignificant next to the costs of ignoring it.

    72. Re:My two cents... by skids · · Score: 1

      People here keep SAYING that Latour is wrong... but not one of them -- not even one, and not you -- has even attempted to show how he is actually wrong.

      If he was correct, we would all be freezing our asses off right now. Even if the Earth were a black body, it would have an average temperature of 5C-ish while it is actually 14C-ish. The fact that Earth is not a black body just makes things farther off. Therefore there has to be something serving as an insulator. That something is the atmosphere, and we have known that far longer than before the idea of AGW was ever brought up.

      A implies B and not B therefore not A.

    73. Re:My two cents... by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Ah, that old slight-of-hand. No one is claiming that humans are responsible for the majority of carbon emissions.

      It's that the level of human emissions are more than the biosphere is equipped to deal with without consequences.

    74. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I looked through both of the studies that you cited. Neither study supports, nor even particularly relates, to the points that you try to make (ie, the two no's). The first talks about how climate change is WAY scarier than one might think. The second talks about how to properly store an ice core sample for long periods of time.

      You didn't read those studies, did you. Go fuck yourself. Nice try citing studies, but just, go fuck yourself.

    75. Re:My two cents... by civilizedINTENSITY · · Score: 1

      Hell, even I took stat thermo in grad school. The Stefan-Boltzman law is not in error, and neither is the greenhouse effect. Nor is there a connection between the two such that they can't both be true. They aren't mutually exclusive.

    76. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Global warming zealots do not want a solution or they would simply use it. Carbon free energy has been available for more than half a century now in the form of extremely safe nuclear power. But forget that because liberals demagogued it to death since the 1970s. Liberal emotions always trump science no matter what, even for something they claim they want.

    77. Re:My two cents... by erroneus · · Score: 1

      That rather underscores my point. They don't see the [dis]connection between what they want to believe and with science.

      I work at a heavy tech company with lots of engineers and math and science people available. You would think "hey, now here's a company where you wouldn't find anti-science people." But no. I've got "we're not monkeys" and "6000 year old earth"ers in our midst.

      I don't get how people can literally shift their thinking about without connecting various dots along the way.

    78. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Try carbon free nuclear power if you actually want to do something about the non-problem. You'll not only get no opposition from the "deniers" like myself, they will actually support it.

      You don't really want a solution. If the non-problem disappeared tomorrow you would have to find another boogey-man to scare people into giving up their rights and freedoms.

    79. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if you wanted a scientific solution for carbon free energy you would have chosen nuclear long long ago. The "deniers" have embraced science while the liberal quacks chose emotionalism over accepted science about nuclear power LONG ago.

      You do want a solution, right? No, no you don't. You are more interested in hate like this than a solution.

    80. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever heard of the desert? It has very low humidity. That is why it heats up very quickly in the morning and cools off very quickly at night. Oh, and since you know something about IR forcing, I might remind you that water vapor is the number 1 greenhouse gas. That never gets said in any agitprop demanding money from innocent people because keeping people ignorant about simple facts like this is the number 1 goal. CO2 is not even the number 2 greenhouse gas. But lets keep a lid on that too. If global warming were happening then all desert areas of the world would be experiencing less of the low humidity effect. It would heat up much less faster in the morning and cool down much less faster at night.

      But forget about all of that since no global warming zealot will ever acknowledge such a thing or want to talk about it. A simple demo would show the same speed of temps up and down and no change in either over the last century.

      What you are experiencing is the urban heat island effect. All areas of the world are becoming more paved, concreted, built up and hotter locally. Very simple science.

    81. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But why does it matter it's natural or not? Is it somehow better to be killed by a bear than a human just because the bear killed you in a natural way?

      Also, why does the solution have to be to shut down everything and use less energy, why is it not acceptable to just build more nuclear?

    82. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't worry, the problem isn't as big as people make it out to be.

      If the alarmists really believed that global warming would cause so much damage as they claim they would not want to wait a couple of decades for solar and wind power to mature enough to be able to replace coal. Instead they would be fighting to build as much nuclear as possible.
      If someone can't accept any solution other than their own that is a pretty clear indication that it's just a political movement rather than a real problem.

    83. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I fall in the camp of reality myself which isn't listed by you. The UN's IPCC reports are entirely based on research by the CRU in England headed by Phil Jones.

      LOL, those two sentences together represent an oxymoron since "the IPCC reports are entirely based on CRU research" is not reality. All you have to do is read the citations for the various sections.

      The rest of your screed has a similar level of unreality to it.

    84. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The carbon cycle has kept CO2 levels hovering around 280 ppm for around 10,000 years, since the end of the last glaciation, because there is more or less the same amount of CO2 absorbed as emitted by nature each year. The increase in CO2 (from 280 ppm in 1830 to 395 ppm in 2012) is nearly 100% from man-made emissions. Did you know that of the 30'some billion tonnes of CO2 humans emit each year only about 43% of it serves to increase the atmospheric level. The other 57% is absorbed by various CO2 sinks, mostly the oceans.

    85. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... and the excess has not been found dissolved in the oceans ...

      Of course much of the excess is found dissolved in the oceans. What do you think is causing the drop in ocean pH, AKA ocean acidification?

    86. Re:My two cents... by 12WTF$ · · Score: 1

      The question I ask then, is what mechanism are you proposing that is stopping physics from doing its thing here.

      Ok, I'll bite... How about this as novel physics

      to provide a mechanism that causes CO2 to stop absorbing IR light

      The basic thermodynamic laws were conceived and especially the infrared spectrum of CO2 were determined with....
      new carbon. That is to say CO2 that has been recently in the carbon cycle (recent being a geological time span) is more fit and sparky than tired old carbon that has been locked underground in fossil fuel deposits.*
      I call this true and honest theorem the "Degrees of Freedom: Fossil carbon aint what it used to be"(R)(C).

      This makes perfect sense when you consider the world economy is slowing down, not because of the widely held erroneous view that the banks totally manipulated the financial markets to heck**, but simply that the more old tired carbon we breathe and consume in our petroleum soaked food supply, the less capable humans are of stepping up to their true Galtian potential.

      OK I'm done, need to wash the brain with less sciency talk... What's on Fox?

      *) Can I get my Koch grant now, please?
      **) Can I get my hedge fund kickback soon?

      --
      Cryonics - Keep cool and carry on.
    87. Re:My two cents... by Troed · · Score: 1

      If your example is in hope of

      My post had nothing to do with causes of warming. It disproved the parent's statement about the speed which with climate changes.

    88. Re:My two cents... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      I fall in the camp of reality myself which isn't listed by you.

      Well, let's work out what camp you lie in.

      The UN's IPCC reports are entirely based on research by the CRU in England headed by Phil Jones

      Oh, the camp of idiots who don't know what they're talking about, there's a suprise.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    89. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      " (Hint: any body can transfer energy to any other body through radiation, as long as nothing blocks it.)"

      Thank you. You have just demonstrated your ignorance of thermodynamics to the world.

      We all hope that makes it a happier place.

    90. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "You're referencing an online argument by a very stubborn person?"

      Considering that those articles are the entire subject being discussed here, I would say yes.

    91. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      "Also, infrared lasers couldn't heat things to the point that they give off visible light. Microwaves wouldn't be able to heat things."

      Hahaha. Really?

      What a joke. You are referring to things that have higher radiative energy (microwaves, for example) than the things they are heating. This is exactly the issue Latour is addressing. You are arguing for him.

      And that was in reference to microwaves, but in regard to your infrared comment, are you really serious? Guess what? The way most lasers even WORK are a refutation of your argument.

      So let's be blunt about it, shall we? Energy moves from higher levels to lower levels.

      If you can disprove that, I will gladly buck for your Nobel Prize.

    92. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      "I think every mirror ever used in a high-energy laser experiment would disagree with you - *reflection* (such as from clouds) is a highly localized surface phenomena that does not require an ambient energy level sufficient to radiate."

      I really have to say -- for at least the third time in this discussion -- "My God". You have really misunderstood Dr. Latour's argument this much? REALLY? You haven't figured out that the whole thing is not about reflection, but absorption, and at particular energy levels?

      I mean, REALLY? You haven't figured that out, even though it's stated in plain words?

      I haven't written "Holy Crap" so many times in years.

    93. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      So...

      let's see the math.

      Come on, man. Money where the mouth is, and all that.

    94. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So please explain again how I am humiliating myself.

      You're quoting a guy who doesn't understand that Science only assumes one thing- that there are fundamental Laws upon which the Universe operates which do not change.
      If you want to call them The Will of God instead of Laws of Nature then Science does not give a shit as long as those rules remain consistent. And as long as they do, by definition it is impossible to say whether the Laws are the result of Intelligence or Happenstance as they are the exact same thing to anything and everything in the Universe.
      Whether the universe was created or manifested on its own is completely irrelevant to the discussion. Evolution does not hinge upon having or not having an all powerful God- it only hinges on that one simple assumption that the rules never change, regardless of why those rules exist. Or put another way, the debate is not "Evolution vs. Creation" as this guy thinks, the debate is "Evolution vs. a Magical Fairy showing up and fucking around with the Earth".

    95. Re:My two cents... by jo_ham · · Score: 2

      By the way: Latour is a process engineer with particular expertise in thermodynamic control systems.

      If I were in a room in which you challenged him over thermodynamics, I'd probably want to go outside to avoid the bloodbath.

      Good luck with that whole argument. To say it's weak is just... well... weak.

      Remind me to never be near any "thermodynamic process" he has had a hand in designing "expertly".

      If he believes that objects selectively absorb radiation based on the the origin of said radiation like some sort of "radiation absorption door man" then I'm sorry, the only bloodbath would be the wails of the person who viva'ed his PhD.

    96. Re:My two cents... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 2

      You are referring to things that have higher radiative energy (microwaves, for example) than the things they are heating.

      But they are the same kind photons given off by cooler objects. If "Warmer objects cannot, and do not absorb lower-energy radiation from cooler objects." then a larger, concentrated dose of those same photons shouldn't be absorbed either. If I stand under the night sky, either my hot coffee can absorb the CMB energy that hits it, or the microwave in my kitchen couldn't hove gotten it hot in the first place.

      So let's be blunt about it, shall we? Energy moves from higher levels to lower levels.

      As a whole, energy does tend to disperse. But is that true for every single particle interaction? Of course not. The second law is a statistical result of large numbers of interactions going both ways. This has to be true because temperature itself is a matter of statistics. How would the molecules in a hot body that happen to have below average energy for an instant know they're not to absorb energy from a cooler objects' temporarily above average energy particles?

      If you can disprove that, I will gladly buck for your Nobel Prize.

      I don't think they give Nobel prizes for duplicating previous work - see Ludwig Boltzmann, etc.

    97. Re:My two cents... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Alright, if you (or someone whose work you are reading) is so convinced that the models would be better without back-radiation, then go ahead and improve the model. Otherwise you are just armchair quarterbacking.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    98. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are completely barking mad. Of course you think you are "right", but then again, we all do. Sad.

    99. Re:My two cents... by microbox · · Score: 1

      So let's be blunt about it, shall we? Energy moves from higher levels to lower levels on average.

      Fixed that for you. Gee, you must be some sort of college drop-out with anger issues.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    100. Re:My two cents... by microbox · · Score: 1

      I haven't written "Holy Crap" so many times in years.

      Hope this helps

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    101. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Back-radiation"? Are you saying that Earth doesn't radiate heat? Or that Earth's atmosphere doesn't radiate downward?

      Or does this have to do with spreading back hair? *shudder*

      Laser hair removal isn't cutting it, I'm moving on to radiation...

    102. Re:My two cents... by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

      Lol no it isn't. Seriously, its quite an effective absorber. Even as back as far as early 1930s (We knew its absorbsion properties from experiments in te 1870s shining IR light into CO2 gasses and measuring temperature rises but it was later we started to piece together exactly how, as our chemistry knowledge increased) it had been identified as quite comprehensive absorbtiion at the 4.3u and 15u bands. That energy has to go somewhere , and that energy is the climate in the form of all the whacky nonsense you get when you turbulate a big old complicated non linear system like the climate.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    103. Re:My two cents... by SonnyDog09 · · Score: 1

      As for keeping the price of fossil fuels artificially low (which they are in the US)

      This again..... the difference in the price of fossil fuels between the US and Europe is TAXES. The price of a barrel of oil is the same in both places. The price difference between what Europeans pay for a gallon (or litre) of gasoline is the amount of taxes that Europeans allow their governments to gouge them. How is a lack of tax "artificial?" I am waiting for the first US politician (besides the current Secretary of Energy, who quickly recanted) to propose European levels of tax on fuel. That would be a career ending move.

      --
      Your "fair share" is NOT in my wallet.
    104. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Just for your amusement, some tome ago here on /. some idiot claimed the "first law of thermodynamics" would be the law of energy conservation, and the second would be the law of impulse conservation.
      I'm connvinced most people who use the term "law of thermo dynamics" certainly habe no clue about it.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    105. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Why should someone spend the time to disprove something that is wrong? I rather prove something that is true (and not known to be true) e.g. when my microwave is running the cold thing becomes hot. And the antenna who made it hot stays cold. So emergy was tramsfered from one cold thing to another cold thing warming that up and continues to flow from the cold thing to the warm thing and continues to flow crom the cold thing to the hot thing ... oh, sorry to many turtles for you I guess.
      Butit is no wonder the western world is going downhill with voters like you.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    106. Re:My two cents... by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Nice way to completely ignore the entire second paragraph, the first paragraph was explicitly in reference to clouds. Back-radiation is in no way impossible - in fact postulating it doesn't exist would require introducing a heretofore unheard of phenomena that allowed a radiating body to know what was out there so it would only radiate heat away from higher-energy bodies. Ridiculous. That's like saying a 30-watt lightbulb won't shine towards a 100-watt lightbulb because... umm.. yeah, get back to me with that explanation

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    107. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Depends how you count. Natural CO2 comes from rotting plants/corpses and breathing. However the exact same amount a rotting plant releases was uses first to let the plant grow.
      The only non human source of CO2 comes from vulcanoes. Since the outbreak of mount St. Hellen we had no relevant CO2 emmissions from vulcanoes ... hence for any practical purpose we can asume 100% of the CO2 is contributed by man kind.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    108. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You missed the small put important line: most CO2 sources are natural (so far you came) but are balanced by natural CO2 sinks (this one you left out).
      So ~ 100% of the atmosperic increase of CO2 is man made.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    109. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If the greenhouse effect did not exist all, we had no greenhouses and hence no word/term "greenhouse".

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    110. Re:My two cents... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      " (Hint: any body can transfer energy to any other body through radiation, as long as nothing blocks it.)"

      Thank you. You have just demonstrated your ignorance of thermodynamics to the world.

      Thank you. You have just demonstrated your ignorance of thermodynamics to the world.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    111. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Ok, so you're hung up about this one blog trying to refute this other blog.

      Warmer objects cannot, and do not absorb lower-energy radiation from cooler objects.

      And this is what you're hinging your argument on. That's nice.

      First off, you're wrong. For example, the sun radiates a LOT of energy to the earth. The earth ALSO radiates SOME energy to the sun. Mostly reflected run-rays. It's just a very small amount compared to, you know, sunlight. So the sun, a warmer object, is absorbing radiation from a cooler object, the earth. Same goes for hot metal bars placed next to each other, and all other thermodynamic situations. You are simply wrong here.

      What you MEANT to argue was that warmer objects cannot absorb MORE energy from cooler objects, THAN THEY RADIATE to the cooler object. (unless they're mystical black bodies, which everyone here agrees don't exist). And that's true. And it lends to the argument that (via the silly blogs) the cooler upper atmospheres aren't making the warmer lower atmosphere even warmer.


      And what makes you "not EVEN wrong" is that all this DOESN'T EVEN MATTER in this argument between blog posts because the "cooler object" in question is acting as insulation. The cooler object is not a heat source to the warmer object, it's insulation keeping the heat in. A blanket, even one colder than you, can help keep you warm.

      So yeah, green-house gases. Turns out it's not all bullshit.

    112. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Alright, if you (or someone whose work you are reading) is so convinced that the models would be better without back-radiation, then go ahead and improve the model. Otherwise you are just armchair quarterbacking."

      Haha. Once again, I am astounded. Do you even understand your own argument? By analogy, you are effectively saying "Well, okay, so we can disprove the existence of phlogiston... but that means you need to dream up something else to take its place."

      Just no, man. Not even close. Disproof is disproof. It does not require a new proof in its place.

    113. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "They aren't mutually exclusive."

      I never claimed they were. Holy crap. Do people on Slashdot even look at links anymore? Okay, look. Here they are again. The articles this whole discussion is about:

      This one by Spencer.

      And this rebuttal by Latour.

      Got it? If you have a problem with either argument, please make them to the appropriate people, okay? Rather than me. I am just a reporter here.

    114. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 0

      "Warmer objects ARE REQUIRED BY THE LAWS OF PHYSICS to absorb radiation from ANY source, with some quantum mechanically determined probability that depends only on the momentum of the radiation and other properties of the absorbing atom."

      Holy shit. I have to say that again because I have just been amazed over the last couple of days at the stupid things smart people have been willing to say to defend AGW.

      If you think about it -- I won't pretend to be rigorous about it here on Slashdot, it should be obvious to any Dilbert reader -- your statement violates the First Law of Thermodynamics, not just the Second, as Spencer's argument does. If cool things can give their warmth to hot things... well, I'd better build a fire in the fireplace to cool this place down.

    115. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      " I don't think they give Nobel prizes for duplicating previous work - see Ludwig Boltzmann, etc."

      Boltzmann was one of those I was indirectly addressing. You missed that, eh? Did you even read the original articles?

    116. Re:My two cents... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Frankly, I find your argument that back-radiation does not exist to be suspect. I'm a mechanical engineer and have a fair understanding of thermodynamics. That said, I'm not a climate scientist and you very well may be closer to the matter than I am.

      But without a model that outperforms any of the mainstream models, it is hard to take your theory seriously. Anyone serious about climate research is involved in building or improving climate models, or collecting data for such models. You, or your sources, are "disproving" something with talk and no action. As a non-expert, I have to defer to people that have actually demonstrated some success.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    117. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      High weirdness here. I will ask you POLITELY to go away, before I contact the authorities.

    118. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Nice way to completely ignore the entire second paragraph,..."

      When the first paragraph is utter nonsense, do you really expect people to read your second? Honestly?

      THIS IS NOT ABOUT RADIATION, as anybody with half a brain who has read both articles should plainly see. This is about absorption. And I think explaining that to you twice is quite enough. I mean, in addition to the original articles which should have made that explanation unnecessary.

    119. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      The issue you MISSED, Dvorkin, is that Latour's argument is based on the fact that neither Earth, or CO2, are black bodies.

      Get it???

    120. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      to tell them... what, exactly?

    121. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      If cool things can give their warmth to hot things... well, I'd better build a fire in the fireplace to cool this place down.

      Not only did you get that arse-backwards, you're still confusing "giving warmth to" with "making hotter". Absorbing energy does not necessarily result in an increase in temperature - not if the object is radiating energy faster than it absorbs it. But radiating energy does not mean the object reflects all incoming energy.

      If I put a red-hot poker next to a white-hot stone, then obviously the stone will radiate heat on to the poker (perhaps making it hotter, depending on how fast the poker can shed its own heat). But the poker is also radiating energy. Where do you believe that energy goes, when it hits the stone? Do you think the stone would cool at the same rate if I surrounded it with ice, rather than red-hot pokers?

      If you're claiming that warmer objects cannot absorb energy from cooler objects, please quote the actual wording of the physical law you believe prevents this. Not just the name of that law, but the specific wording. A Wikipedia link to that wording would also enlighten us all, I'm sure.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    122. Re:My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, so you're a climate scientist huh ?
      That don't impress me much.

    123. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      They're not white bodies either. They absorb some energy, radiate some energy, and reflect some energy. Your point?

      Here, let me draw your attention to the Second Law of Thermodynamics:

      No process is possible whose sole result is the transfer of heat from a body of lower temperature to a body of higher temperature.

      Note my emphasis. But this is not the sole result - the transfer of energy is not one-way. There is also a (greater) transfer of energy in the other direction.

      A cool body cannot transfer energy to a warm body without also absorbing energy from the warm body. Likewise, a warm body transferring energy to a cool body will also absorb some energy from it.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    124. Re:My two cents... by Immerman · · Score: 2

      He, you're the one who mentioned clouds, which unquestionably DO act as reflectors.

      so... you're trying to convince me that an argument against back-radiation has nothing to do with radiation.... okay, I think I begin to see the problem. As for the articles you mention - I just skimmed back to the beginning of this thread and saw not one reference, perhaps they were in one of the other branches? I'm not going to go back to the original article and dig through the entire conversation tree, but I'd be happy to skim them if you provide a link.

      According to the Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law, unless the substance in question is an ideal "black body", which is a perfect absorber (and radiator) of energy, and which frankly does not exist, it's just impossible. Warmer objects cannot, and do not absorb lower-energy radiation from cooler objects.

      The Stephan-Boltzmann radiation law relates radiation spectrum to temperature, granted only for idealized black-body objects, but it's a good first-order approximation. In any case though it says nothing about absorption - it simply says the atmosphere will radiate X amount depending on it's temperature. And since barring magic it will do so in a fairly symmetric fashion half of that radiation will go down, becoming Downwards Long-wave Radiation, aka back-radiation. And warmer objects (the Earth) most certainly DO absorb radiation from cooler objects - the only alternatives are that they become magically transparent, or magically reflective based on the wavelength of incoming light. There simply won't be a *net* transfer of energy because the warmer body will be radiating right back even faster. (and that is what thermodynamics is concerned about - even with conduction statistical variation means that some heat will in fact flow from the cooler to the warmer object, there's just no way to separate that from the much larger flow in the opposite direction)

          However DLR isn't about the Earth getting warmer because it's being heated by the upper atmosphere, it's about it getting warmer because X amount of heat takes longer to escape - some percentage of the energy radiated by the Earth gets absorbed by greenhouse gasses, and half of that gets radiated back downward where it gets reabsorbed and radiated upwards again, etc,etc,etc. The more greenhouse gasses present in the upper atmosphere, the more "bounces" (not reflections, just back-and-forth transfer of energy) an average quanta of energy makes before escaping and the more net energy accumulates in the lower atmosphere - much like a tall tube being filled with water(energy) while it leaks from a hole in the bottom (the n% of thermal radiation that manages to escape per "bounce") - make that hole even slightly smaller and the tube will have to fill further before a new equilibrium is reached.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    125. Re:My two cents... by The_Revelation · · Score: 1

      From what your saying, it seems like you are inferring some link between climate change and past events. I like your way of thinkings. You should consider joining climateskepticsanonymous.org. My membership number is 851458. Look me up!

    126. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "... you're still confusing 'giving warmth to' with 'making hotter'. Absorbing energy does not necessarily result in an increase in temperature - not if the object is radiating energy faster than it absorbs it."

      Hahahahahahahahaha.

      No shit, Sherlock. Now show us all how that works in the particular case of "back-radiation" from atmospheric gases.

      As for the rest of your comment: as I said before, show us the math.

    127. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "If you're claiming that warmer objects cannot absorb energy from cooler objects, please quote the actual wording of the physical law you believe prevents this. Not just the name of that law, but the specific wording. A Wikipedia link to that wording would also enlighten us all, I'm sure."

      Why are you asking ME to argue with you about this? Why aren't you arguing with the author directly? As I stated way back in the beginning: I am not making these claims myself. I am merely challenging others to refute them.

      Not even remotely the same thing. And which you have not done, by the way.

    128. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      I attempted to post his math here but Slashdot would not allow it (lines too short).

      I respectfully suggest, then, that you actually go read the fucking article , and refute the author there, rather than trying to argue with me, since I am not him.

      Good luck with that.

    129. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "One of us actually has a degree in thermodynamics, and one of us is lying, and we both know who it is. But I'm perfectly willing to let you keep embarrassing yourself in front of your betters."

      Let's examine the facts:

      [1] One of us may have a degree in thermodynamics; the other was obviously joking.

      [2] The one who MIGHT have such a degree does not possess testicles large enough to identify himself, so we shall never know.

      [3] I can claim a pass on the identification thing, since I have been using this same Nom de Plume on Slashdot for many years now.

      In summary: if you want any credibility, don't post as AC. As far as the rest of us know, your degree is actually in cartoon illustration.

    130. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "I just want it pointed out for the record that nobody is ignoring your claims here, and in fact plenty of people have refuted them. Including myself. Fact: nowhere in the Stefan-Boltzmann law or any other law of thermodynamics does it state that warmer bodies cannot absorb radiation from cooler bodies. Deal with it."

      Well, see, there was this guy named Kirchhoff, who rather did show that under the specified circumstances, it just ain't gonna happen. You might want to look him up.

      And by the way: we both know why you won't identify yourself. Just keep in mind that it makes you even more of a creep than I thought you were before. And I am keeping records.

    131. Re:My two cents... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 2

      Boltzmann was one of those I was indirectly addressing. You missed that, eh? Did you even read the original articles?

      I only had to read enough to see that his work was being misrepresented. Am I required to read every creationist/UFO/electric universe/William Lane Craig screed all the way to the end, or can I stop after I find a few painful distortions of other people's work?

    132. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Right, so you can't explain or defend your own beliefs, you can only point to the person you heard them from. You throw around the names of scientific laws, but you can't show how they support your claims. You'll take the blog of some random engineer on the internet at face value, while dismissing the accumulated expertise and observations of centuries of scientists. Does any of this sound like confirmation bias to you?

      All you've done is dodged my points and tried to cover it with bluster. Anything we say, you'll just dismiss with flat declarations as wrong or inadequate or whatever, while rationalising the dissonance as "I'm sure they're all wrong in some way because they're contradicting what I just know to be true, and no doubt Latour could prove it for me." Trying to engage your reason is pointless, because there is no reason involved, only belief.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    133. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "A cool body cannot transfer energy to a warm body without also absorbing energy from the warm body. Likewise, a warm body transferring energy to a cool body will also absorb some energy from it."

      Duh. With the net result exactly as Latour described.

      I don't know where you got the idea that I was trying to say individual photons, for example, can't be absorbed. But the net result, in the long run, is the same: the warmer body does not absorb energy from the cooler.

      This whole discussion has been about so-called "back radiation" from cooler gases to the warmer surface of the Earth. If you want to jerk the whole damned thing out of context AND THEN argue about semantics... well, what does that say about you?

      Let's think about that word "reflection" again.

    134. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      If I hadn't read the article, how did I produce my "astounding analysis"? Latour's math is not the problem; his basic assumptions are, and I've already made it clear exactly which ones.

      But I can see you're not bothering to think about any of this for yourself, let alone respond intelligently, so there's no point me trying to reason with you, or him. You're both welcome to your misguided beliefs; I'm just helping to ensure nobody here accidently takes you seriously.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    135. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      I'm trying to address some fundamental misunderstandings that appeared to be confusing you. If you want to dismiss that as "semantics", then fine, we'll stick to high-level descriptions (though I'm betting you'll just dismiss these too, because I haven't mentioned Stefan-Boltzmann enough or some such). Still, at least you're now conceding that warmer bodies will at least absorb energy at the photon level.

      The net result is still an overall transfer of energy from the warmer body to the cooler, of course. The point is, greenhouse gases are slowing the Earth's rate of cooling, even though they are cooler than the Earth itself.

      This is in accordance with Newton's Law of Cooling. The Earth radiates energy as it cools, and the greenhouse gases absorb this energy, warming in the process. As the temperature difference decreases, the Earth's rate of cooling slows. The gases are also reflecting radiant energy back to Earth, much like a space blanket (which also keeps people warm, despite being colder than them).

      The process by which a cooler body slows the cooling of a warmer body is termed "back radiation" - but I forgot, you're not interested in "semantics". Let's just stick to the net result - the Sun warms the Earth, but the Earth can no longer cool itself as efficiently, so the global average temperature increases until a new equilibrium is found. That's the greenhouse effect.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    136. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "The net result is still an overall transfer of energy from the warmer body to the cooler, of course."

      Which is exactly what I stated. So how does this indicate that I don't know what's going on???

      "The point is, greenhouse gases are slowing the Earth's rate of cooling, even though they are cooler than the Earth itself."

      No, the point is that you have to show this, rather than merely state it.

      I have said this before, not just once but many times now: where is your actual refutation? Where is the math, or a disproval of Latour's math? Until you provide at least one of those, you are simply blowing hot air.

    137. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Don't know why I thought you might actually read all of what I wrote, rather than ignoring the inconvenient bits and saying "duh" at the rest. Silly me.

      You're looking for a mathematical proof of Newton's Law of Cooling? Go read Wikipedia.

      But math doesn't help if you're starting from the wrong assumptions, as I pointed out. Latour claims cooler bodies cannot affect warmer bodies, which Newton proved wrong centuries ago. As a consequence, it's not that his math is wrong, he's just calculating the wrong equations.

      Look, Latour's whole point is that cooler objects cannot make warmer objects even warmer, right? Then how does he explain the space blanket, or any reflective surface? A heat source that has all its heat reflected back at it will get hotter, regardless of the temperature of the reflector (first law of thermodynamics; energy doesn't just disappear). Not according to Latour.

      If you can't even see that much, then it's pointless discussing this further.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    138. Re:My two cents... by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      All we have to do is wait for thousands of years to get full enough results, at which point the deniers would start complaining about the "fix" applied to compensate for the fact that early weather satellites were inadequately calibrated. Blithely ignoring the waters on their doorsteps.

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    139. Re:My two cents... by erroneus · · Score: 1

      Oh you get no argument from me about Nuclear. I'm all for it. We have much better control over nuclear power management than we did so long ago. The problem is that most of the operating plants are from the 60s. They all need to be replaced... badly.

      Nuclear is the only viable clean energy.

    140. Re:My two cents... by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      Oh, poor troll getting upset by reality now?

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    141. Re:My two cents... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      You don't need math to prove Latour wrong. Latour's problem is a logical one, he's begging the question. He assumes that warmer objects can't absorb radiation from colder obejcts, however, that assumption necessitates that the conclusion is true all by itself. If the warmer body can't absorb the radiation then of course, the colder body can't warm it. Everything else is just window dressing (intentional or not) that hides the fundamental mistake. He needs to go back and prove that a warmer body can never absorb radiation from a colder body before his argument can have any value. It's easy to "prove" that any false conclusion is true, if you start with false assumptions.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    142. Re:My two cents... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I believe there are no authorities ... only facts.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    143. Re:My two cents... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Okay, you may not be that ignorant of thermodynamics. You may just have abysmal reading comprehension.

      A moment's thought should indicate that a body is going to radiate something if it's warmer than absolute zero. This radiation really doesn't care where it goes, so if there's a warmer body in its way it can be caught. Or is there some magic shield that prevents bodies from absorbing radiation from sources colder than them?

      Another moment's thought should indicate that, if several intelligent people who know something about physics say something, it's very unlikely to conflict obviously with any well-established physical law. The odds that an intelligent and educated person says something obviously stupid and stands by it are low. The odds that several do is much lower.

      This doesn't mean that everything such people say is correct, only that you're extremely unlikely to find some basic and obvious flaw in their reasoning. Moreover, if you think you think you see such a flaw, the odds are that you are wrong about it. At that point, you need to figure out what you are missing about the situation. Even if you're right and they're wrong about the fact in question, there's reasons why they do not believe themselves to be obviously wrong, and you're much better off at least understanding that reason.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    144. Re:My two cents... by civilizedINTENSITY · · Score: 1

      "No, Virginia, Cooler Objects Cannot Make Warmer Objects Even Warmer Still" is a lie. It is not in accord with the Laws of Physics. Whenever you state "Please explain to us all where the Stefan-Boltzmann radiation law is in error", you either are confused or lying "about why most AGW models are in violation of the Second Law of Thermodynamics", when they aren't. The problem I have is with the argument you are making. Don't put responsibility for your faulty posts off on someone you are quoting who is wrong, after having facts refute your bizarre position. Accept that you were taken in my psuedo-science and learn how and why. And please stop spreading such quakery.

    145. Re:My two cents... by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      I still feel that you completely missed the boat, Phil.

      I agree that what MOST people are talking about (comments in the code, etc.) are really no big deal. It is the other emails that concern me... like the ones that show deliberate (and very probably illegal) failure to honor FOI requests and so on. Also, emails that indicate that the data used was improperly handled. Take this exchange, for example (I posted this same link on your other blog entry):

      THAT exchange is completely IN context, showing both sides. Yet it indicates that either they used improper data in their calculations, or possibly that they simply are not aware of what data they did use (which amounts to pretty much the same thing). What it does show, pretty clearly and in context, is that they made a mess of this whole study. Add to that the missing data (whether it was done on purpose or not), and what you have is BAD SCIENCE, completely aside from any conspiracy theories.

      I am not crying conspiracy, and I don't give the slightest damn about this politics of this whole thing. But you are ignoring the real, demonstrable goofs that these people made... some very big goofs that call their whole set of data into serious question. And when you look at all the OTHER studies done that rely on this very same data... what you have is a travesty and a tragedy. [Lonny Eachus, 2009-12-04]

      These are very serious accusations, Lonny. And they're all based on this WUWT article by Willis Eschenbach:

      "One of the claims in this hacked CRU email saga goes something like 'Well, the scientists acted like jerks, but that doesn't affect the results, it's still warming.' I got intrigued by one of the hacked CRU emails, from the Phil Jones and Kevin Trenberth to Professor Wibjorn Karlen. In it, Professor Karlen asked some very pointed questions about the CRU and IPCC results. He got incomplete, incorrect and very misleading answers. ... Professor Karlen was quite correct. The claims made by the CRU, and repeated in the IPCC document, were false. Karlen was looking at the evidence. ... Now, I have not taken a stand on whether the machinations of the CRU extended to actually altering the global temperature figures. It seems quite clear from Professor Karlen's observations, however, that they have gotten it very wrong in at least the Fennoscandian region. Since this region has very good records and a lot of them, this does not bode well for the rest of the globe ..."

      Even if the methodologies used to establish the base data were sound, there is no doubt that it was later used improperly and irresponsibly. For months now, in these blog posts of Phil's, I have asked anybody - ANYBODY - to refute what is on this page: When Results Go Bad. I have had no takers. Not one. Anybody care to take a shot at it now? [Lonny Eachus, 2010-07-01]

      Sure, why not? The next day, Zeke Hausfather wrote When results aren't bad which shows that Prof. Karlen, Eschenbach and Eachus based their accusations on a misunderstanding of the geographical region represented in the IPCC's time series. The first link in Zeke's article leads to Lonny's comment.

      I see. The "actual experts in the field all have research that shows the same thing"? Interesting! I would be very interested to see some evidence for that claim! Wait... d

    146. Re:My two cents... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Warmer objects cannot, and do not absorb lower-energy radiation from cooler objects.

      This is quite a surprise to me, and it would certainly change everything I learned about Thermodynamics in college - which was a lot, since my major required a lot of it. It would also break many of my models that I use for thermo control and prediction on our little robots at work.

      So forgive me for being skeptical.... answer me this:

      If the atmosphere is radiating photons, and the photons are not directional in nature, where do the downward-moving photons go? If they aren't absorbed by the earth, then what happens to them? Do they pass through the earth? Do they ricochet around until they hit the atmosphere again? If they ricochet around and are re-absorbed by the atmosphere, can you explain why that would make a difference mathematically from being absorbed and then re-emitted?

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    147. Re:My two cents... by sco08y · · Score: 1

      Lol no it isn't. Seriously, its quite an effective absorber.

      You're being dishonest. Per unit, it's quite weak compared to methane, water vapor or ozone, and water vapor is by far the largest overall contributor to the greenhouse effect.

    148. Re:My two cents... by sco08y · · Score: 1

      But why does it matter it's natural or not? Is it somehow better to be killed by a bear than a human just because the bear killed you in a natural way?

      Also, why does the solution have to be to shut down everything and use less energy, why is it not acceptable to just build more nuclear?

      The natural / not natural aspect matters because of the assumption that we're at a climate optimum. If, in fact, the climate were better if it were warmer (or more energetic or whatever) then we're actually doing twice the harm trying to cool it.

      We can't use nuclear because the progressive, pro-science left won't allow it.

    149. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      " Latour claims cooler bodies cannot affect warmer bodies, which Newton proved wrong centuries ago."

      NOW who's overgeneralizing? Latour's claims are very specific; I see nowhere any claim that "cooler bodies cannot effect warmer bodies".

      "A heat source that has all its heat reflected back at it will get hotter, regardless of the temperature of the reflector (first law of thermodynamics; energy doesn't just disappear). Not according to Latour."

      Man. Really? And you claim that *I* am not understanding this? I mean regardless of bringing up the space-blanket straw-man in the first place.

      "If you can't even see that much, then it's pointless discussing this further."

      It is obviously pointless to discuss further, since you have repeatedly shown that you have failed to understand that this whole discussion is about "back radiation". Reflectors need not apply.

    150. Re:My two cents... by khayman80 · · Score: 1

      " Latour claims cooler bodies cannot affect warmer bodies, which Newton proved wrong centuries ago."

      NOW who's overgeneralizing? Latour's claims are very specific; I see nowhere any claim that "cooler bodies cannot affect warmer bodies".

      Latour's article says "The generalized claim that a cooler object placed near a warmer object cannot result in a rise in temperature of the warmer object stands."

    151. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      No shit, Sherlock?

      That's not the same as what GP said.

    152. Re:My two cents... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      So, according to this nebulous definition of yours, "back radiation" does not include radiation returned by reflection, but only radiation returned by absorption and re-emission. Not sure why you think there's some magical difference in this radiation; it's all still photon. Is it simply because re-emitted radiation can be a different/lower wavelength? What do YOU think this discussion is all about? But of course you won't and can't answer that.

      You've already conceded that cooler bodies still radiate, and that warmer bodies absorb that same radiation at an atomic level (i.e. in every case), regardless of net energy transfer, just like reflected energy. So I'm at a loss as to what you're still arguing about back radiation for. But doubtless you're unclear on that yourself. Personally I think it's because you're still attempting to rationalize away bad news, only you're letting others provide the rationalizing, so long as the results match your own desired outcome.

      As khayman80 says, Latour is making quite broad claims (even in his article's title) which are contradicted by trivial observation. But since you've just demonstrated you don't even know what he's actually claiming, you are unable to provide any arguments yourself ("Latour must be right, he uses math!"), you ignore any specific counter-points, and thus we've seen nothing more substantial than attempts at mockery from you for the last half-dozen posts.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    153. Re:My two cents... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "So, according to this nebulous definition of yours, "back radiation" does not include radiation returned by reflection, but only radiation returned by absorption and re-emission."

      What makes you think it's MY definition? Jesus. Google "Hansen back radiation". Get a clue.

  6. F this by RenHoek · · Score: 1

    If you can't beat scientists on the F of Facts, then go by the F of Funding..

  7. Re:Profits will suffer by s73v3r · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    You're completely and utterly full of shit. There is absolutely no reason why cutting pollution has to cause quality of life to go down. The only profits that will go down are the profits of shitty companies that refuse to adapt. And I can't say I give a damn about them.

  8. Re:Profits will suffer by wierd_w · · Score: 1

    If the choice is between having an iDevice and cheap transportation, and having a world outside that I don't need an environment suit to survive in, I will take the latter one.

  9. Oh shut up! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ah yes.

    Having lost the election, these fine ladies and gentlemen must now redirect attention to another matter. They lost the other matter too, but by redefining the problem, the answer, the audience, the meaning of "won", and so forth, they can claim victory.

    Next watch for them to claim to have won the "evolution debate", the "age of the universe debate", the "voting fraud debate", the "who crashed the economy debate", and the "legitimate rape debate", among many others.

    Why do we listen to these people? They are about as reliable as a sex addict in a monastery!

  10. No such thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's no such thing as a climate "contrarian". That's just a politically correct term used to coddle ignorant deniers and make them feel like they have something to contriibute to civilization.

    1. Re:No such thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I like the term "contrarian", because it is less offensive, and face, it, contrarians will disagree with /everything/ they perceive that remotely supports the "liberal agenda". Skeptic is a poor term for people who are so credulous, critics implies a level of critical thinking and intellectual honesty that is plain absent, and "denier", while accurate, is emotionally charged and demeaning.

    2. Re:No such thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, it's fine to call us deniers. We call the proponents cultists, after all. It wouldn't be fair if the bullshit could only be flung one way.

    3. Re:No such thing by efitton · · Score: 2

      Go buy some coastal property somewhere. Just make sure you sign a waiver forfeiting governmental help a couple of decades from now.

    4. Re:No such thing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure thing. Make sure you come visit me in the Arctic in your bathing suit and sunscreen.

  11. Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by rubycodez · · Score: 0

    Rock and minerals are mosly recycled by our active planet. The oldest rock is 4.03 billion years old (gniess from NW Canada), and oldest mineral is 4.3 billion years (zircon crystals from west australia). But neither tells us the age of the Earth. That is done by assumption from meteorites and moon rocks.....true age of Earth is honestly a mystery.

    1. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by Grayhand · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Rock and minerals are mosly recycled by our active planet. The oldest rock is 4.03 billion years old (gniess from NW Canada), and oldest mineral is 4.3 billion years (zircon crystals from west australia). But neither tells us the age of the Earth. That is done by assumption from meteorites and moon rocks.....true age of Earth is honestly a mystery.

      Actually there's a reason for most of the rock being not much over 4 billion years old. I think it was around 4.5 billion years that Earth was impacted by a body that was maybe as big as Mars. It's what caused the Moon to form. Most of the surface went back to being molten for a few hundred million years so the oldest rock was after that impact. In truth it's hard to give an exact date because it cooled for so many years that it's hard to given a specific date when you can call it a planet. The material collected and solidified over hundreds of millions of years then it was still hot for hundreds of millions of years and once it became liveable there was the impact event. There's even a debate if life evolved twice on earth both before and after the impact.

    2. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      By that reasoning almost everything is a mystery because very little can be isolated to perfect accuracy and precision. Consider, "how long does it take you to bake chocolate chip cookies?" "Well," I reply, "it's a mystery: last time it took 14 minutes plus or minus approximately 20 seconds, so I can't say."

      Things we know are, outside the bounds of mathematics and pure logic, generally known only within reasonable bounds. If the earth is 4,540 million years old, a senator needn't stumble over the +/- 10 million error bars. What he means is that the age of the Earth is either a mystery to him because he's ignorant of such things, or just as likely isn't sure how to answer the question without fear of pissing someone off, so he chickened out. Maybe he believes the earth is 6000 years old but didn't want newspaper headlines the next day pointing out his conflict with all available scientific data suggesting this is wrong by approximately 4.54 billion years. Or perhaps since he's a Republican he didn't want to piss off his party's large fundamentalist wing by noting the scientifically indicated age of the Earth. It's a mystery.

      What's not a mystery is that the Earth is quite surely about 4.5 billion years old. Saying it's a mystery does a serious disservice to the overwhelming amount we do know about its age.

    3. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by artor3 · · Score: 2

      That's all well and good, but if you read the full quote, Senator Rubio was suggesting that the world was made in seven days:

      Whether the Earth was created in 7 days, or 7 actual eras, I'm not sure we'll ever be able to answer that. It's one of the great mysteries.

    4. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by dr.dynamics · · Score: 1

      Have you read the bit on half-lifes? We have a pretty good grasp on the periodic table, we know where all the radioactive decaying elements fit in, and we know their half-lives. There's a line that shows up. There are lots of substances with half-lifes longer than a billion years or so, and you can find _all_ of them occuring naturally. There are even more with half lives shorter than that, and _none_ of them occur naturally. The idea that the earth is a few billion years old (4 or 5 half-lives to reduce by >99%) seems like a pretty good explanation to me, no moon rocks necessary. (Yes, carbon is an exception, UV light, etc.)

    5. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by mbone · · Score: 1

      Rock and minerals are mosly recycled by our active planet. The oldest rock is 4.03 billion years old (gniess from NW Canada), and oldest mineral is 4.3 billion years (zircon crystals from west australia). But neither tells us the age of the Earth.

      Well, they do tell us for sure that the Earth is > 4.3 billion years old, which is 95%+ of the way there. If you want to argue at the few per cent level, I'll be glad to listen.

    6. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 1
      But it is definitely more than 6000 years old.

      Link

      These wingnuts are just looking for a reason to convince themselves that they are relevant to the darkside in an attempt to cut funding even more for NASA and other programs.

      They will likely never be re-elected.

      --
      You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
    7. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      This is clearly missing the point. The Earth is well over four billion years old, and almost certainly under five billion years old. Given that this other option as as Rubio is concerned is a range of 5000-10,000 years old, any issues still outstanding simply aren't relevant.

    8. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      .....true age of Earth is honestly a mystery.

      Not really, you would need to explain why so many other observations are wrong too. The orbits of the the planets strongly imply that they formed at the same time as the sun. The age of the Sun can be estimated by several different techniques.
      The radiometric data agrees with the current estimate.
      I suppose you can argue about exactly when you call a lump af accreting material a planet, or hypothesise about the whole thing being spat out of a 'special' tea pot, but I think it's pretty much cased closed for science.

    9. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      that model is a hypothesis with some supporting evidence, not a proven fact. It is not the reason rocks of greater than 4.03 billion years never found, that is due solely to the tectonic recycling of the earth's plates. The point is that it is possible our Earth is much older than 4.5 billion years if our model of the early solar system's development is flawed.

    10. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      What's not a mystery is that the Earth is quite surely about 4.5 billion years old.

      No, absolutely false. that is just according to generally accepted model which may prove false or incomplete. There is no hard proof, other than that it is older than 4.3 billion years.

    11. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's not a mystery is that the Earth is quite surely about 4.5 billion years old.

      No, absolutely false. that is just according to generally accepted model which may prove false or incomplete. There is no hard proof, other than that it is older than 4.3 billion years.

      Really? I'm not sure what you consider "hard proof," but radiometric dating has pretty well established the age of the Earth with as much certainty as we can ever hope for. The methods of dating are all supported by theory and evidence, and all the possibilities for how it may be wrong proposed by creationists have all been debunked. Read Dalrymple's "The Age of the Earth" to get the whole story.

      The only way around this conclusion is magic, and if you accept magical explanations in your theories, then all bets are off and there can be no such thing as "hard proof" anyway.

      Yes, there's always a slim possibility science has it wrong, but it's a fact as much as anything in science can be.

      "In science, 'fact' can only mean 'confirmed to such a degree that it would be perverse to withhold provisional assent.' I suppose that apples might start to rise tomorrow, but the possibility does not merit equal time in physics classrooms." - Stephen Jay Gould

    12. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      wrong, there is *nothing to radiometrically date* to know the age of the Earth. that's the point and problem of inhabiting a tectonically living planet. We can only say it is not younger than 4.3 billion years.

    13. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by ApplePy · · Score: 1

      The difference is that I was present for the entire baking process of the cookies. No human I know was around 4 billion years ago to watch our planet form.

      We can posit a 4.5 billion year old Earth, and we can back it up with mountains of evidence and lots of sound science. It may be exactly true. But you and I can't *know* it beyond any shadow of doubt. IMO, an insistence that everyone must *know* how old our planet is -- is almost as much a thing of blind faith as the 6,000-year-old-Earthers have. I mean, what if Earth was just compacted together 20,000 years ago by the Annunaki out of pieces of older planets and brown dwarves blown up by Darth Vader's Death Star? Then launched a capsule of microbes at it, a la "Search for Spock"?

      I'll lean much more to the billions of years on the scale, for sure. I believe it. But I can't say I know. That would be intellectually dishonest.

      As far as I'm concerned, closed-mindedness is closed-mindedness, whether your gods are priests or scientists. And that's not scientific at all.

      --
      That I'm right, and you don't like it, doesn't mean I'm a troll.
    14. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      maybe it was, over 4.3 billion years ago

      8D

    15. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      From your linked article, various ages for the Sun up to 4.6 billion years were made by various models + measurements + assumptions. The true age of the Sun is a mystery.....

    16. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [Covers ears] "Lalalala it could be wrong, it could still be wrong..."

    17. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      sure, but we have *nothing on earth to measure* to see how old is it. instead, we have things to measure that are younger such as the mineral I mentioned. we can also measure things outside the earth, but then we're in the realm of our current models and understanding which may change.

    18. Re:Age of Earth is Mystery, assumptions are used by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most people can't think in error bounds. It's hard enough for them to manage true, false and unknown/not-proven

  12. Just like the 80's: "We won." by Randym · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Back in the 1980's, the [so-called] Moral Majority spent a lot of time stealthily taking over local school boards. By stealthily, I mean they concealed their true colors, while running, then used their winning of elections to argue that they had a mandate to undermine the teaching of science and critical thinking in public schools. The fact that people can be elected to Congress and make such fatuous statements with a straight face makes me think that they -- in a certain sense -- did "win": these Congresspeople are the children of that age. It's sad, of course, that people think that "winning" means one has the right to determine the conceptual course of the nation's children -- regardless of actual facts.

    --
    DNA is a Turing machine. You, however, being dynamic and emergent, are not.
  13. My two cents... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's interesting to see how fragmented the anti-science people are.

    That 23% of people who express doubt, are actually a bunch of different doubters. People who think it's not happening and lah-lah-lah (fingers in ears).
    People who believe it IS happening but its natural.
    People who believe it's man-made , but there's nothing we can do about it.

    If you watch Fox (it's the only US news I see on my cable), they can't keep their story consistent between which of these they are. I suspect all they really care about is that you use fossil fuels as wastefully as possible at as high a price as possible. Whenever energy efficiency comes up, they're all screaming 'unAmerican' as if anyone would be against doing the same thing for less money!?

    But it does show that you don't actually have 77%-23%, you have a more fragmented 77%-10%-10%-2%

  14. Re:Profits will suffer by russotto · · Score: 0

    You're completely and utterly full of shit. There is absolutely no reason why cutting pollution has to cause quality of life to go down. The only profits that will go down are the profits of shitty companies that refuse to adapt.

    You mean like the ones who depend on power and transportation? Yeah, those companies are really shitty.

  15. Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Senator Barack Obama in 2008:

    What I've said to them is that I believe that God created the universe and that the six days in the Bible may not be six days as we understand it... it may not be 24-hour days, and that's what I believe. I know there's always a debate between those who read the Bible literally and those who don't, and I think it's a legitimate debate within the Christian community of which I'm a part. My belief is that the story that the Bible tells about God creating this magnificent Earth on which we live—that is essentially true, that is fundamentally true. Now, whether it happened exactly as we might understand it reading the text of the Bible: That, I don't presume to know.

    http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2012/11/rubio_and_obama_and_the_age_of_earth_politicians_hedge_about_whether_universe.html

    These guys are politicians. Part of being a politician is to not annoy anyone who might vote for you, unless you have a really good reason. Privately, both Rubio and Obama might well believe the science is settled and that the literal word of the Bible is just wrong... but why would they say so? Why not just give a non-answer that annoys the fewest number of people?

    So, is it stupid and wrong when Rubio does it, but okay when Obama does it? If you have that kind of double standard, then shame on you.

    1. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Someone should ask them if Jonah really lived in a fish/whale for 3 days and 3 nights.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    2. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by El_Oscuro · · Score: 1

      What if his non-answer is right? Since the Earth, by definition wasn't created, the 24 hour day is meaningless. What if he subcontracted the planet of Magrathea to construct the Earth and it go delayed an cost overruns so it wound up taking 4 billion years? What if the dinosaurs were a minor side project which got hosed when another subcontractor forgot to adjust the heading of a resupply asteroid when then slammed into the Earth?

      --
      "Be grateful for what you have. You may never know when you may lose it."
    3. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by skids · · Score: 1

      So, is it stupid and wrong when Rubio does it, but okay when Obama does it? If you have that kind of double standard, then shame on you.

      The elephant in the room here is that the R party has been fielding slates upon slates of actual true nutball candidates, some of which are actually getting elected. We're talking true believer zealots here. So yes, they get additional scrutiny. That, and while I really do prefer the President to be scientifically grounded, it is a less important qualification for that position than it is for a legislator with direct and privilaged influence on matters of science, even beyond the level of influence of most of his colleages. Senate comittee assignments are very important positions within their purview.

    4. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "That, I don't presume to know"

      vs.

      "we should teach both"

      It's okay to defer to scientists on a matter you don't understand.

    5. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by makomk · · Score: 1

      Obama's statement about his beliefs there looks - to me at least - very much like the statement of a Christian who does actually believe the scientific evidence as to the age of the Earth and the creation of the universe, and who doesn't see any contradiction between that and his Christianity. That's probably why no-one really objected;

    6. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone read Inherit the Wind...good. That's good.

    7. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, so you really do have that kind of double standard! Shame on you.

      Obama: "the six days in the Bible may not be six days as we understand it."

      Rubio: "Whether the Earth was created in 7 days, or 7 actual eras, I'm not sure..."

      You: Obama looks like he believes in science, as opposed to Rubio who doesn't.

      Read the fucking article, which identifies four major points of agreement between the two men. The one I called out above is just point four.

    8. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Old earth" day/age creationists are really grasping at straws. There's no natural or scientific basis for dividing the history of the universe or earth into 6 "ages" or eras. You can pick milestone events and divide it up into however many periods you like.

      And that's perfectly okay if it allows you to reconcile your sacred teachings with scientific knowledge, but it's not like science is ever going to discover any correlation between a biblical "day" and any specific time period.

    9. Re:Barack Obama agrees with Marco Rubio by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The elephant in the room here is that the R party has been fielding slates upon slates of actual true nutball candidates, some of which are actually getting elected.

      Eh, the worst of them went down in flames. For example, Todd Akin is history now.

      I agree that actual true nutball candidates should be rejected. I only point out that there is a horrific double standard, where the media turns a blind eye towards liberal nutballs, and focuses the white hot light of publicity on conservatives who are even slightly quirky. Just imagine if it had been a Republican who had expressed fears that Guam will capsize... but it wasn't, and only right-wing media reported that story.

      To me, the worst nutballs are the ones who don't understand economics but presume to command the economy. These are mostly liberal Democrats. For example, most of them claim that we don't need to cut spending at all, that if we just tax the rich all our troubles are over. That's a worse mistake than believing that the Bible is the literal true history of creation. (You could tax the rich at 100%, just straight-up take all their stuff, and it wouldn't even pay for one year of spending, let alone solve our problems.) For another example, Social Security is headed for catastrophe, yet most of these guys insist that we cannot possibly change it or cut spending.

      That, and while I really do prefer the President to be scientifically grounded, it is a less important qualification for that position

      But President Obama has clearly shown that he doesn't understand economics, yet he intends to command the economy. My bold prediction as an Anonymous Coward: the next four years will be even worse than the last four years. Wait and see.

  16. Holy disingenuous. by microbox · · Score: 2

    Yeah... it is a great mystery, but the bible says less than 10k years, which is obviously wrong, and obviously what is being fished for in the question. And to think that religion is really about seeking truth. I went to the creation museum -- intellectual vapid bunch if ever there was. Funny how the "holy" can be so disingenuous about their motives. I'm sure Jesus would tear town their temple and decry the corruption of the Pharisees.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    1. Re:Holy disingenuous. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I want a peer review of all major religious text.

    2. Re:Holy disingenuous. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The bible says less than 10k years.

      Not that it matters, but this isn't strictly true. The Bible doesn't say how long Adam and Eve were in Eden.

    3. Re:Holy disingenuous. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "but the bible says less than 10k years"

      No, it doesn't. If one refuses the existence of allegory in a book clearly rife with allegory, one might interpret that. However, intellectual honesty (as well as avoidance of straw man arguments), requires you address the best-form argument of your opposition, not the worst-form. And contrary to revisionist notions of the history of religion, allegorical interpretation was being forwarded by leading Christian philosophers a full 1700 years before Bishop Usher's (in)famous "4004 BC".

    4. Re:Holy disingenuous. by Arker · · Score: 1

      The thing is, the Bible really doesnt even say that. That's a fictitious creation of a particular interpretation of the Bible, not anything actually there in the text.

      --
      =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
      Friends don't let friends enable ecmascript.
    5. Re:Holy disingenuous. by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      The problem is that this argument becomes political. Primarily for two reasons.
      - First, "man made" global warming implies a man made solution, and this undoubtedly involves a shake up in the economy; say fewer jobs, shifting jobs, first world countries shouldering more burden than developing countries etc. Because money is involved this means the issue is political.
      - Second, the religious idea that man can't screw up the world because then we could have a manmade apocalypse, the promise that the world wouldn't be destroyed in a flood, and so on. And religious means political. This is a smaller argument overall I think. However because of essentially a two-party-only system in the US the economic idea exists side by side with the religious idea, and they reinforce each other enough that the religious opposition to climate change becomes pretty strong.

    6. Re:Holy disingenuous. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And that's going by the "Adam and Eve were the first people" model, which is not essential, and in fact arguably a much weaker interpretation than the notion of pre-adamic people. "Male and female He created them"... wait, plural? How many as of that "day"? "Hold dominion over the Earth" (said to those plural humans chronologically before Eve's creation is ever mentioned)... wait, isn't that a rather Darwinian-sounding expectation of people who were never supposed to leave the Garden? Cain's wife... from where, now?

    7. Re:Holy disingenuous. by microbox · · Score: 3, Insightful

      and this undoubtedly involves a shake up in the economy,

      This is economic scare-mongering that is not born out by real-world evidence. Germany is doing it. China is doing it. Heck, 20% of the US economy is doing it (the greater New York area), and their economy is /growing/ relative to the rest of the USA, despite the apparent "burden" of a carbon tax. In fact, eletricity bills have come down for residents and businesses.

      Alarmists indeed.

      And it isn't the first time the economic scare-mongering was used to stave of regulation. Same happened with acid rain, and the ozone hole. Regulation was going to ruin the economy (esp. on acid rain). It was all baloney, of course.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    8. Re:Holy disingenuous. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish more people brought up the historical context for anthropogenic environmental changes, especially the ozone hole or the giant reef of plastic bags. For crying out loud, we can't eat more than 3 freshwater fish a week because of our "wait and see" attitude (saltwater already had a mercury problem, but freshwater did not). Those events snap everything into perspective--the Earth is a big place, but it's well within our reach to categorically fuck it up beyond any sort of repair. Even if we weren't causing global warming, just the theory that we could contribute to it eventually should probably be worth acting on.

  17. Allow me to raise my hand... by Sarten-X · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Hi. Nice to meet you, Dana. I go by the name Sarten X, often represented with a hyphen.

    When The global warming concerns were first being voiced, I was skeptical. Surely humans' influence couldn't be that severe? Then I started learning. I learned about how CO2 traps heat. I learned how human CO2 production has been increasing exponentially. I learned how small shifts in ocean temperatures put far more moisture into the air, producing more severe storms.

    I learned too much to doubt. Even if half my knowledge turns out to be wrong, the other half still leads to the same conclusion: Our society is royally screwed because of global warming, and we're making it worse every day.

    I hope I'm wrong. I hope that we've been terribly mistaken in our analysis. I hope the solar system drifts into a previously-unknown dust cloud, and the greenhouse gasses save us. Hope, though, will not explain to my great-grandchildren why they can't leave the tunnels during storm season.

    At this point, I am still skeptical of many of the claims. A world covered in poison ivy by 2015? I doubt that. The east coast of the United States submerged in a decade? Probably not. Regardless of what preposterous scare-tactic forecasts are made, there is still too much evidence for me to ignore. Though the outcome is uncertain, the trend is clear. We, as the current dominant species on this planet, should do what we can to reduce the approaching threat of a warming planet. We should strive to make our pollution as harmless as we can, and keep our industrial processes as flexible as we can to allow future change if similar problems are discovered. We should have been more cautious in our designs over the past century, and we may not even have another century to live if we do not change our ways now.

    I am Sarten X. I was a skeptic of global warming, and I now support the efforts to fight it.

    --
    You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    1. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 0

      'Sarten X' sounds like some sort of Buck Rodgers sci-fi character?

      Are we still working to defeat Killer Kane, too?

    2. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      She was actually referring to *scientists*, something you are obviously not. Science is exactly not about your personal "doubts". Science is about what can be stated for fact, and what cannot. You, and many others, are confusing "not being able to say something is a fact" with "denying it is fact at all". It requires a smart person to appreciate that difference, which you are obviously not. Sorry pal.

    3. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      You are on the same track as me. The next step is to realize that you can't fight it any more than you can convince locusts to peacefully leave a field alone. Currently, I want politicians to talk about mitigation... can we try to predict what will happen and what we can do about it? For instance, New Jersey and New York just got walloped by a hurricane that wiped out thousands of houses in low lying areas. It would be nice to have some idea whether it is cost effective to rebuild and wait for the next 100-year event, or whether some infrastructure change is needed, or whether they should just leave it to the ocean.

      People have strong opinions about this stuff already, but without any kind of scientific backing. Property owners and residents want to rebuild and build in extra protections (seawalls, dune lines, etc), and environmentalists look at this as an opportunity to let nature have some of her shoreline back. Meanwhile, any rebuilt homes will rely on federal flood insurance... It would be nice if there was some sense of a master plan that any rebuilding could try to adhere to.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    4. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by Sarten-X · · Score: 1

      Funny you should mention that. My name was originally "Sarten", which is a Spanish term for "frying pan". The "X" got tacked on later as part of a late-night IRC conversation gone awry, and it's stayed there.

      Not that you're one to question odd nicknames, Mr. E.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    5. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by RedWizzard · · Score: 1

      She was actually referring to *scientists*, something you are obviously not.

      How exactly is a biologist's opinion on climate change any more informed or relevant than Sarten-X's? If you want to restrict the field to scientists then you really should go all the way and reduce it to climatologists. They are the scientists who really count. And 99% of climatologists accept the AGW hypothesis as been correct. I've yet to hear of one climatologist who has become a sceptic.

    6. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was skeptical of AGW as well. I suspected modern temperature measurements were being influenced by the urban heat island effect. But as more data has come in, it looks more real.

      At the same time, I think we need to carefully balance cost and benefit in the solution, and realize the limits of governance. We're not going to shoot people to solve this problem. We will have to mitigate much more warming than we are likely to prevent.

    7. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is as funny as it gets. No liberal like Doomberg truly believes in it or they would not allow building anywhere near the coastline in their state. Do you know of any liberal politicians who claim we are doomed like Bloomberg outlawing coastal construction? There ain't any. They only spout it because its the fad of the day, like bell-bottom jeans once were. If they were to do so, they would become so unpopular that people would just bounce them at the ballot box. They don't believe their own pablum.

    8. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Freakin nut job.

    9. Re:Allow me to raise my hand... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      And you are whom in the climate debate?

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  18. Shorter House GOP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Shorter House GOP: "Fuck it - we're not going to live to see the destruction we cause, nor are our most reliable voters. Sky Jeebus is going to come back anyways, so why should *we* care that we're screwing over future generations? Also, cut taxes for the rich."

  19. Re:Profits will suffer by wierd_w · · Score: 1

    Waste is nothing more than an untapped resource stream. The light fractions burned off at refineries for instance. Instead of burning it off at the stack, pipe it under low pressure to a power plant made to run on methane and natural gas.

    Municipal waste is a veritable gold mine for rare earths in reasonably pure form, as well as other heavy yet valuable metals. (Like mercury.) Not to mention as a source of refinable plastic.

    Sewerage is a few stones throws away from being usable like brown coal or peat in power plants.

    Granted, pretty much all of those release carbon. No contest. The deal is though, that those are potentially new industries that could provide the needed waste management services for a cleaner environment overall. (Babysteps)

    Seriously looking into alternatives to combustion for power generation, or at the least, adopting carbon neutral economies, would go a very long way as well.

    The issue you seem to have, is that you appear to be butthurt that "purpetual growth" would be laughed at, and your idea of prosperity requires infinite resources from the environment to attain, and such restrictions would put the kabosh on that hard.

  20. One of the Great Mysteries by ygtai · · Score: 1

    How the US has become one of the most scientifically/technologically advanced country on Earth in the past hundred years is beyond me...

    1. Re:One of the Great Mysteries by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      perhaps by allowing and in many cases embracing scepticism. AGW has replaced the christians as the biggest religious force in our country. Next it will be something equally arrogant.

    2. Re:One of the Great Mysteries by skids · · Score: 1

      Sadly it is in large part because military procurement is very goal oriented, and so has no time for fairy tales.

      Happily it is also because for most of our history, even the nutcases felt obliged not to badmouth higher education.

    3. Re:One of the Great Mysteries by gweihir · · Score: 1

      It actually is not. It just pretends to be. And most of what is there is by poaching scientinsts and engineers from countries where they actually have a working education system.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  21. Re:Profits will suffer by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If the choice is between having an iDevice and cheap transportation, and having a world outside that I don't need an environment suit to survive in, I will take the latter one.

    Unfortunately, that's not the choice most people are confronted with. Instead the choice is (1) have cheap tech, transportation, be able to waste resources, etc. NOW, or (2) have a world where your grandchildren or great-grandchildren might have to wear environmental suits many years from now.

    I think the general pattern of the debt crisis, people unwilling to plan for paying their mortgage next month, let alone planning for retirement or grandchildren, gives a general sense of where most people's priorities are. "If it makes my life easier or just more fun today, I'll worry about that other stuff later..." even if that othet stuff means complete financial ruin or disaster.

    If people are willing to gamble in these ridiculous ways with their futures just to buy the slightly larger sunmer house, you really think they're motivated to worry about the quality of people's lives a century in the future? A lot of people say stuff like how they don't want to ruin things for their kids or grandkids, but few of them seem to really do much about it other than buying a more energy efficient light bulb or recycling a tin can.

  22. Profits will *SOAR* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If US industry does the same thing using half the oil, then their costs are down significantly and so their profits are up.

    I don't know why House Republicans keep opposing every energy efficiency measure, but I don't think its because their god told them to. I suspect they're oil lobby stooges.

  23. What will China do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Ultimately it doesn't matter too much what SOME countries do, if they ALL don't do it. The atmosphere has no boundaries.

    California is starting to swirl faster and faster down the drain, taxing the producers out of the state, and now implementing a ridiculous "carbon credit" scam which will drive more businesses out of that state... Likewise, If the US enacts debatable "green" policies the result will be to drive business out of the country.

    Net effect - the "pollution" will just get made somewhere on the other side of the world where it is completely out of your control.

    The road to hell is paved with good intentions, and the cars that speed down it are not the nice, clean, catalytic-converter equipped cars you are used to...

    1. Re:What will China do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're going under the assumption that because only some of the countries are doing something about the situation, then it's pointless for anyone to even try. You forget that someone has to lead the way, to develop new technologies and processes. Isn't that what the United States touts itself as, home of great leaders?

  24. still? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How many times do I have to say it?

    This is why we can't have nice stuff.

  25. Re:Profits will suffer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    And yet history is full of examples where Government pollution laws have decreased quality of life or caused prices to rise for consumers:

    - Removal of TSP from detergents causes them to be less effective at cleaning
    http://mises.org/daily/5267/Why-Everything-Is-Dirtier

    - Ultra low sulfur diesel requirements made diesel fuel more expensive than gasoline
    - Mandated (and formerly subsidized) ethanol in gasoline lowered gas mileage, increased costs, and has done damage to small engines and fuel systems

  26. The Plan is proceeding onschedule by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The decline of USA as a global superpower is finalizing.

    At least according to the plan, it is.

  27. I don't believe by ygtai · · Score: 5, Insightful

    BTW, I don't believe in global warming. Facts just show that it is happening.

    1. Re:I don't believe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right...everyone is all about the "facts" now...give us a break.

    2. Re:I don't believe by Raenex · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that you don't believe in facts?

    3. Re:I don't believe by ygtai · · Score: 1

      Believe is not for facts.

    4. Re:I don't believe by Raenex · · Score: 1

      Any statement can be challenged. Facts are just statements where the evidence is supposed to be indisputable, and hence the belief is correspondingly strong. Sometimes what were once considered facts turn out to be wrong, and you would be right to not believe in them any more.

  28. Beware All Politicians by Crypto+Gnome · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I agree with what he says, "I think parents should be able to teach their kids what their faith says, what science says.".

    However this is not what he (and his accomplices) actually mean.

    Despite what the words say, the underlying intention is radically different.

    - not "parents should be able to teach..." but "schools must be forced to teach"

    - and not just teach, but with every word imply ABSOLUTELY equal standing with science (eg Intelligent Design, which is nothing more than christian creationism with SCIENCE branded all over it)

    And, of course, the WORST part of their hypocrisy is that they want THEIR religion mandatorily taught everywhere, but not any OTHER religion.

    You want the worldview of your religion taught in schools, sure - GO AHEAD - as long as EVERY other religion also gains equal airtime and equal status.

    For Example:
    - Hindus
    - Buddhists
    - Mormons
    - Zoroastrians
    - and yes, even Scientologists.

    It's called having a secret agenda and they're doing the same thing with Global Warming.
    The entire "debate" has nothing to do with science, and everything to do with MONEY.

    --
    Visit CryptoGnome in his home.
    1. Re:Beware All Politicians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think any of those groups are OK with their kids being forced to learn how to put a condom on a banana either.

    2. Re:Beware All Politicians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget the Rastafarians.

    3. Re:Beware All Politicians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot the current ones in the universities, the marxist humanists, that call themselves atheists, and claim their beliefs are not a religion (anthopologists disagree), so when they suggest religion must be erradicated from school, they in practice mean all other religions save their own.

  29. Re:Profits will suffer by wierd_w · · Score: 1

    While I haven't been saving for retirement like I should, I have no problems with the mortgage. I have been unable to save for retirement, because every creditor and insurance company on the planet has been hiking rates for my demographic like I am made out of 100$ bills. (No seriously. I make about 30k a year, and live fairly comfortably, and cyclically manage to save up around 2 to 3k each year, only to have it vaccumed up by homeowners insurace (1.5k), and property taxes(500$).)

    I MIGHT be able to finally start saving for my retirement after I have paid off the mortgage, which should be sometime next year.

    I have no problems seeing where the future is headed, and would eagerly prepare for it if the shortsighted people around me beholden to their precious quarterly reports would wake up and smell the ashes already.

    When the mortgage is paid, I will look for a less brutal insurer, and use the monthy difference to improve my retirement prospects, and reduce my environmental impact. That's the plan anyway. Assuming Uncy Sam doesn't decide that he needs to raise my taxes.

  30. Re:Profits will suffer by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    There is absolutely no reason why cutting pollution has to cause quality of life to go down.

    There is if you happen to own coal or petroleum companies.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  31. Re:Christians are evil by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Forced sterilization? Seriously?

    I'd rather live with the most obnoxious christians I've ever met than with nazis like you.

    If you're so concerned about the average IQ in the world, then die in a fire, you conceited little prick.

  32. Bill Nye said by Spinalcold · · Score: 2

    "The science of age of the Earth is the basis of nuclear medicine & power. Should our leaders understand it?" Maybe not understand it mathematically, but I think everyone should understand what 'radiation' and 'nuclear' are. There are so many misconceptions that some people fear everything other don't fear anything. People don't understand just how many discoveries and applications nuclear physics and nuclear medicine has brought. Bill Nye is being polite, since I'm online, I won't. If he wants to deny the age of the earth, then deny him X-ray's, most cancer treatment, MRI's and so many other or our medical treatments. (I'm exaggerating of course, I'm from Saskatchewan where the first medical treatment of cancer using radioactive material was invented and performed, and as a physicist in training, I'm damn proud of that.)

  33. I guess the sane people get the last laugh by Grayhand · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The main reason for global warming denying is to avoid having to change how rich corporations do business. Energy companies want to keep burning coal and auto companies preferred to make gas guzzlers. The joke is the very ones denying global warming tend to be the ones buying beach houses. Those same beach houses won't be around in 50 or 100 years due to global warming. They can assume it'll happen after they are dead but like what just happened in New Jersey many will be lost in the next 25 years. In truth I think the majority of deniers believe it's happening they just don't want to change how they live so it's easier to just claim it's all a lie.

    1. Re:I guess the sane people get the last laugh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those same beach houses won't be around in 50 or 100 years due to global warming.

      Although, to be fair, those houses won't be around anyway since modern construction practices (at least in the US) basically ensure that your house won't last that long.

    2. Re:I guess the sane people get the last laugh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I seem to recall a lot of ordinary people standing in line for gas and demanding their electricity be restored.
      What's your solution? Do you have one?
      My thought..quit breathing.
      Hey...big problems are easier to solve if you tackle them a little at a time.

    3. Re:I guess the sane people get the last laugh by kenorland · · Score: 1

      The joke is the very ones denying global warming tend to be the ones buying beach houses. Those same beach houses won't be around in 50 or 100 years due to global warming.

      No, the real joke is that the federal flood insurance programs pay for rebuilding these beach houses every time they get flooded.

      In truth I think the majority of deniers believe it's happening they just don't want to change how they live so it's easier to just claim it's all a lie.

      I do think it's happening, and I don't deny it. I don't want to change the way I live. I already don't drive much and live in an energy efficient home.

      I don't see why I should pay additional taxes and subsidies just because people like you are incapable of reducing your carbon footprint voluntarily. If everybody who says they believe in global warming in the US stopped being such a hypocrite and voluntarily reduced their carbon footprint, we'd have bigger reductions than we will ever achieve by law. The problem isn't "rich corporations", the problem is you.

    4. Re:I guess the sane people get the last laugh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can put you down for supporting carbon free nuclear power then. Great, you agree with deniers that nuclear is fine and has been proven scientifically safe now for over 70 years. No wait, you are liberal and therefore your unscientific liberal emotions tell you that nuclear is bad no matter what the science says.

    5. Re:I guess the sane people get the last laugh by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> I don't want to change the way I live.

      Sorry to break it to you but what we want doesn't mean shit.

      If we carry on the way we are, everyones (including your) lifestyle WILL get changed, either proactively by the government, or the resultant environmental disasters because the proactive changes were too little too late.

      While industry is still polluting the way it does, and the system forces everyone to continue living the way we currently do, the actual savings from your energy efficient home and your reduction in driving is less than insignificant. Thats why it really is the rich corps and the government they own that are the problem.

      My money is on some disaster rather than the government being the agent of change as the politicians on both sides are clearly still happily taking bribes and direction from big biz to stick their head in the sand and just kick the can down the road.

    6. Re:I guess the sane people get the last laugh by kenorland · · Score: 1

      If we carry on the way we are, everyones (including your) lifestyle WILL get changed, either proactively by the government, or the resultant environmental disasters because the proactive changes were too little too late.

      I don't mind my lifestyle being changed by what you call "environmental disasters" resulting from carbon emissions; I look at the IPCC report and find that I can live with that.

      While industry is still polluting the way it does, and the system forces everyone to continue living the way we currently do

      Nobody forces you to live in any particular way. You can join the Amish if you like. But of course your willingness to do something for the environment ends when it means any change for you personally.

      Thats why it really is the rich corps and the government they own that are the problem.

      And the solution of climate change activists is to hand even more power and more money to the government that is "owned by the rich corps". Does that make sense? Who do you think is going to write the carbon reduction legislation? Where do you think your carbon taxes are going to end up? It's a supreme irony that just the people who are most jaded about "big corporations" and "corrupt government" want to fix these problems by giving even more money and power to government and corporations.

      If you want to reduce carbon emissions, buy less crap and emit less carbon. Unlike a carbon tax, you'll end up with m.ore money in your pocket, and your choice actually will reduce carbon emissions.

  34. Dana Rohrabacher is clearly delusional by mbone · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It is a pity when insane people are allowed to embarrass themselves in public so.

    1. Re: Dana Rohrabacher is clearly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is a pity when insane people are allowed to embarrass themselves in public so.

      why is it a pity?

    2. Re: Dana Rohrabacher is clearly delusional by eliphalet · · Score: 1

      I've voted against him many times, but he won't go away.

  35. For all you "skeptics" by rrohbeck · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Watch this
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6gE6zipFWmo
    and you'll know why you're a "skeptic."

    1. Re:For all you "skeptics" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could probably have done yourself a favor and just looked up the definition of skeptic. You're not convincing anyone they're wrong with a YouTube video.

    2. Re:For all you "skeptics" by rrohbeck · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The people who call themselves skeptics are the deniers.
      Real scientists are the biggest skeptics. Skepticism is the basis of all science.

    3. Re:For all you "skeptics" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is why it's such a sick joke when the real scientists get caught up in groupthink.

      Anyone who believes in Climate Change without skepticism are cultists.

    4. Re:For all you "skeptics" by Ferretman · · Score: 0

      That's a rather self-serving definition. Is the position of the AGW theorists so weak that they must resort to Holocaust-similes to try to silence Skeptics?

      I'm a scientist. I'm a Skeptic of the AGW theory...in my evaluation, what has been presented as "evidence" frankly doesn't rate any more credibility than the "evidence" presented by Creationists.

      But because I am a scientist I'll gladly look at evidence as it comes in, evaluate studies, reconsider possibilities. That's what a scientist does (and to which you make an oblique reference).

      Please stop calling AGW Skeptics "deniers".....it's attempting to put them on the defensive, and there's little room for discussion at that point.

      Ferret

      --
      Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    5. Re:For all you "skeptics" by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      Do you dispute the fact that CO2 interacts with infr-red radiation, or do you dispute the fact that burning organics compounds has a by-product of CO2? Perhaps you dispute the fact that humans burn organic compounds? I'm not sure what else there really is to dispute...

  36. So MORE than 10k years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The point being that Republican Marco Rubio, used the 'climate change is natural' argument, and referred to a graph showing a peak 130,000 years ago. So everyone is keen to get him to state that the earth isn't 7000 years old.

    Not to pin down the date to a Monday afternoon.

    That's the problem, this 'creationism vs evolution' stuff is to get people to state something they know is a lie. Once you get people to lie, they will continue to tell ever bigger lies to remain consistent. It's a indoctrination technique used by cults. The more they depart from the real world the harder it is for them to accept aspects of reality.

  37. Re:Profits will suffer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the choice is between having an iDevice and cheap transportation, and having a world outside that I don't need an environment suit to survive in, I will take the latter one.

    that is BS - it's not a choice of current lifestyle and catastrophe - 4 degrees makes you wear a environment suit ???? its current lifestyle and something somewhat worse. Heck Canada , Russia and Mongolia will do better.

  38. Re:Profits will suffer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    You're missing a big part of the calculation. All these costs reduced or eliminated the resulting costs not doing these actions would bring. No one pulled these initiatives out of the hat; such decisions aimed at reducing costs for society in the long term.

    That's called not thinking just about today, but saving money for future times. It's quite sound economics, in fact.

  39. Re:Profits will suffer by wierd_w · · Score: 1

    .... do you not comprehend the wild swing that a 4c global temp increase would cause in global climate, or that CO2 levels will CONTINUE to rise during that time, unless we alter our behavior, and will continue to rise afterwards?

    It won't "stop at 4c". It will go PASSED 4C, and get hotter each decade.

    In 200 years, the earth will be a fucking sauna. But what do you care? You'll be dead by then!

  40. Nazis + Fleeing Germans + DARPA? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Oh, and Idaho potatoes I'm sure.

  41. Do you have to be stupid to be Republican? by kawabago · · Score: 4, Funny

    or can anyone get in?

    1. Re:Do you have to be stupid to be Republican? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      or can anyone get in?

      You only have to be able to pretend.

      In representative democracies, politicians have to please their constituencies, either for real or for pretend. It doesn't matter which.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    2. Re:Do you have to be stupid to be Republican? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would say that the recent election proves conclusively that the masses are asses.

    3. Re:Do you have to be stupid to be Republican? by Alomex · · Score: 1

      Given that they labelled their smart people RINOs and expelled them from the party, it seems that yes, you have to be stupid to be allowed to stay in the GOP.

    4. Re:Do you have to be stupid to be Republican? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well - if you have to ask....

  42. Political issue by Darkness404 · · Score: 1, Troll

    The problem is, we've turned most every science question into a political one and so its turned into:

    If AGW exists and it will negatively impact my quality of life if new legislation is enacted, then it only makes sense that those people will deny that AGW exists, irrespective of the evidence for or against AGW.

    If AGW doesn't exist and it will negatively impact my quality of life if the government doesn't do something (for example, if they don't subsidize "alternative" energy and you've got a large stake in said "alternative" energy), then it only makes sense that people will say that AGW exists, irrespective of the evidence for or against AGW.

    Even "unbiased" scientists will never truly be "unbiased" because like everyone else they act in their own self interest and creating predictions that will lead to more funding (or recognition of their deeds) will benefit them.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
  43. Re:Profits will suffer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And let your grand children suffer in a shitty world caused by global warming. Wait, I know. You think you'll be rich enough to evade the fate of the majority of people. You are a real selfish person masquerading at someonethinking about the future. At least this is what you wrote shows.

  44. Re:Profits will suffer by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 2

    I think we can fix both. Say all those oil/coal subsidies we give to that segment of the population... save it and use it to give incentives when the market moves towards alternative fuels/solar/wind/nuclear. The sticking point with most rational people (people who aren't of the 6,000 year old earth variety) isn't whether or not we should do something about it, but whether or not we use a stick or a carrot. I vote carrot, because in the area of new technology, the United States still kicks major ass. We can, and should, reward them (not giving stupid bulk grants to failing companies like Solyndra) and use the government's meddling in the market for good (for a change.) OR, we can level the playing field so that the market corrects itself (that'd be removing subsidies to the oil/gas/coal too). When people want to change, it's easier to get them to. Beating them over the head "you're killing Mother Earth! You're killing your children! Martians are laughing at us!" will get us nowhere... it hasn't worked in a society not ruled by an iron fist. And I am not for giving Obama a big iron glove to beat us all over the head with his agenda.

    Markets work when we let them... meddling for the most part has been shit... because it isn't really market manipulation in the strictest sense... it's rewarding the established players (specifically: those who give the most campaign money). If they want to manipulate the market... shift the balance and see where it leads. Will oil companies piss and moan? Yes. But as a libertarian, I'm tired of them sucking on the government teat and charging ME $4/gallon gasoline for no other reason than they can. Something that has inelastic demand should have a limited fluctuation in pricing when there is sufficient supply (we've not had a "shortage" since the 1970's... and that was artificial.) But I'm going offtopic.... time to submit...

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  45. Re:Profits will suffer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Wait, do you even know what 1 Celsius represents? What are we at right now, today for temperature? Add 4C to that. What are our hottest summers like? Add 4C to that.

    Don't try and crap out the average making things exponentially hotter everywhere because not everywhere even is getting hotter. Temperate regions may ONLY see a 4C increase, while colder climates will not see anywhere near 4C and may even go down over the same time period. Hotter places will see much more than 4C, so those places like Arizona, where it's already a sauna, or the Sahara desert, or Peru will become more like the saunas that they already are. That's how an average works.

    So in 200 years, the Peruvians or Nigerians might have to move out. However most likely not, as a permanent +12C to their normal temperatures is just another hot summer in those regions. Plants and animals also have a much wider range of survival than people like to give them credit for. Sure, the closer a species is to extinction the more likely it is to die out. But the more robust species will take over and flourish.

  46. Antisocial and Omnipotent by SpeedBump0619 · · Score: 1

    I believe the universe was created by an omnipotent, antisocial hedge-maze 3.5 years ago. Science can do nothing to prove me wrong. You actually *can't* know the truth in these types of questions, which is why it's called faith. Please stop confusing the two.

    Oh, and when religious types can't define their faith in non-disprovable ways they are rank amateurs, and should be ridiculed for their ignorance. Attack ignorance, not faith. We'll all just get along better.

    -Your friendly neighborhood theological non-cognitivist

  47. Contrary to what the MSM thinks, America is still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... a center/dumbass nation

  48. Re:Richard Muller & Michael Shermer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Founder of The Skeptics Society and Editor in Chief of its magazine Skeptic writes:
    "Because of the complexity of the problem, environmental skepticism was once tenable. No longer. It is time to flip from skepticism to activism. "
    Michael Shermer, 2006.
    http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=the-flipping-point

  49. A 12 year old me would never have believed this. by NEW22 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This whole business is a large part of why I can not vote for a Republican, at least in national races. Between the people mentioned in this story, and we all remember Todd "In the case of a legitimate rape" Akin and Paul "Lies straight from the pit of hell" Broun, both who were/are also on the House Science committee. I mean, a Republican can say, "Hey, yeah, that is looney, but we're not all looney!". But I have to ask, "Who let these people serve on the science committee, and what does that say about... their concern for the nation?" Its this unbelievable horror story that these people are in an elected office, just utterly baffling. Sometimes I expect Rod Serling to step out from around a corner and tell us all that this was all just an odd trip into the Twilight Zone.

  50. You are right, to a point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1 - The climate has warmed.
    2 - CO2 absorbs infra-red energy at certain wavelengths
    3 - More CO2 will lead to warming

    Most skeptics will agree with the above points. The application of pretty simple physics leads to the following: Doubling the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere will lead to about one degree celsius of warming. That's hardly alarming.

    To get the amount of warming necessary to cause alarm, it is necessary to have positive feedback. That's where the skeptics part company with the alarmists.

    The evidence for positive feedback is very tenuous. The evidence for negative feedback is just as strong. Judith Curry comes as close as any serious climate scientist to being completely open minded and she thinks the case is far from clear either way.
    http://judithcurry.com/

  51. Just trolling... by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Just asking.

    No, you're "just trolling". If you were "just asking" you would listen to (or at least respond to) the answers you have been given in the past. But that's not what you do, you keep repeating the same discredited claims over and over again like a broken record. Another possibility is that you have a learning disability, but I doubt that since you seem like a rational human being on politically neutral subjects.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    1. Re:Just trolling... by TapeCutter · · Score: 3, Informative

      Stop playing dumb and innocent your not fooling anyone, someone below pointed out the answer was in the comments section of the link you provided. Nobody has disproved SB, they don't need to. I myself have given you the reason why that is so several times in the past couple of years. Listen very, very, carefully this time and try and form an intelligent response. Earth is not an ideal "black body", SB applies ONLY to ideal black bodies. Just to be sure you heard it, here it is again...

      Earth is NOT an ideal black body, SB applies ONLY to ideal black bodies.

      Now that I have given you the answer (again) I expect a thank-you, or at least a fact based rebuttal. ;)

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    2. Re:Just trolling... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wage eleventy-billion on the troll not admitting they're wrong!

    3. Re:Just trolling... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Earth is not an ideal "black body", SB applies ONLY to ideal black bodies. Just to be sure you heard it, here it is again... "

      Holy shit. Again. And you are pretending to lecture me?

      No, Earth is not a black body. That is nearly the whole of Latour's argument. And the emissivity of CO2 is very close to 0.002. Very, very far from a black body.

      You are really saying that you have misunderstood him (and me) that thoroughly? Honestly? Holy crap.

      And if you are claiming that a REAL refutation is in the comments, surely you don't mind pointing out which one you think it is?

    4. Re:Just trolling... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      You're right, I don't understand what you're saying, to me it's complete nonsense. "Not even wrong" as they say...

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  52. I think it's worse than that. by ridgecritter · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You wrote: "They know that without the sciences, their comfortable lives could not be what it is today."

    I suspect a large fraction doesn't know that. I doubt these are people who, when they flip a light switch or run hot water in their kitchen or flush a toilet, even occasionally think of the infrastructure that lets them do those things. They not only don't know what they don't know, they aren't curious about it. Much less capable of changing their minds in light of scientific evidence that conflicts with their faith/beliefs.

  53. We are going to die again !!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The Church of global warming is fear mongering again ? Did you guys studied your Bible to predict when exactly the world will end ? Is it next year or the year later ?

    JAM

    1. Re:We are going to die again !!!! by efitton · · Score: 1

      I know it is crazy. They keep bringing out data and publishing models and everything.

  54. Re:Profits will suffer by Dodgy+G33za · · Score: 1

    The distinction between retirement saving and paying off your mortgage is moot, unless you are talking about insurance. Your house should be one of the best assets you have, so pay that off and then start saving.

    Here in Australia the government mandates 9% savings for retirement. This is for the stupid people who won't save. Me, I would rather have the money to put against my mortgage or spend on my own share portfolio rather than pay some muppet to do it for me.

  55. Re:Profits will suffer by ganjadude · · Score: 2

    how is putting gas in my car, that damages the engine, in turn making my car that used to last 15-20 years only last 10 "helping"

    so while I may be "polluting less" in the short term, i need to buy a new car sooner (along with hundreds of millions of other humans
    so, I ask you this. What is the cost/benifit/polution ration of using a fuel that will kill your car faster, gives you less power per gallon of gas (some 20%less efficient than regular unleaded) and therefore a car that runs for 100K miles, will use MORE fuel that is eth based than gas based

    my issue is not with future times, my issue is with forcing high cost alternatives early rather than allowing them to mature.

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  56. Re:Profits will suffer by ganjadude · · Score: 1

    for that to be the only choice we would have to believe that WE (2012 people, not humans as a species ) are going to do THAT much damage. I disagree, there are many other choices, like allowing tech to mature to the point of replacing old tech, Should we have raised the price of the typewriter to force the adaptation of the computer? hell no, and the same is true with fuel.

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  57. Re:Profits will suffer by ridgecritter · · Score: 3, Informative

    and removing TSP (trisodium phosphate) removed an antropogenic source of phosphorus that was aggravating eutrophication of lakes; see, for example, http://www.ecy.wa.gov/programs/wq/nonpoint/phosphorus/HSphosphatepresent.pdf Lowered oxygen->fewer fish, etc.

    and removing sulfur from diesel reduced the amount of SO2 in the atmosphere, which reduced the amount of SO3 -> H2SO4 production, which reduced the acidity of rainfall, which has a number of beneficial effects which you can explore if you're interested.

    The price rises for consumers simply indicate the fact that the full costs weren't being accounted for in the first place. As we learn more about the various complex processes that sustain our lives, we're better able to determine what it actually costs us to live. Don't expect those data to be especially comforting.

  58. Obama had Dem Senate and House for 2 years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I agree that it's not clear what Obama and the democrats in general would do if given the chance anyway. We can all pontificate over what they think they might want to do, but I have no idea what they'd actually be able to wrangle their own party into given the opportunity.

    How is there no clarity? The President had democratic majorities in the Senate and the House his first two years.

  59. Re:Profits will suffer by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    the United States still kicks major ass.

    Fuck yeah!

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  60. Orwell Would Be Proud - Or At Least Not Shocked. by efitton · · Score: 1

    It might surprise you to learn that The Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea is not actually democratic or a republic.

    You do realize that "The Friends of Science" are not scientist. Actually they are political activist (shills) being paid by oil companies.

  61. Science test requirement by Arancaytar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why do we still pretend it is okay for uneducated people to make policy decisions?

    Before politicians are elected (and particularly before they get into any committee with science in its name) they should have to pass a written examination.

    1. Re:Science test requirement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If only we could apply this to business healthcare policy as well. Perhaps Obama could not be allowed to be president and those that voted for the poorly written healthcare law could not have been passed.

    2. Re:Science test requirement by will_die · · Score: 1

      Unfortunatly the uneducated people are already making stupid laws, such as a the carbon taxes.
      Not sure how useful making them pass exams from organizations with science in the name since alot of those groups don't follow the scientific principle. It would just go against your original idea of requiring educated people to make policies.

    3. Re:Science test requirement by Arancaytar · · Score: 1

      Also, before you call something poorly written, you should be required to prove that you read it.

  62. Re:Profits will suffer by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    Yeah right, the world bank and the pentagon are a bunch of hippies.

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  63. Pelosi controlled participation, not Obama by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Except R isn't interested in compromise. For example, way back when Obama started with redoing health care, he invited the Republicans to participate ...

    Uh, no. The first thing Obama did was hand health care reform to Nancy Pelosi who took things behind closed doors and did not invite the R's in. Obama did not control participation, Pelosi did. Obama provided little to no leadership in the drafting of the legislation. Did not push Nancy to do so in an open fashion as he had promised. He was an organizer not a leader on the signature issue that would define his legacy. He merely campaigned for pretty much whatever Pelosi came up with. He only took positions on the most egregious abuses like the cornhusker kickback.

    The attitude of the Obama administration towards the Republicans was well stated by Obama's Chief of Staff: "F*ck em, we have the votes". That quote was from a little over a week into the new administration. There was no real effort at bipartisanship.

    1. Re:Pelosi controlled participation, not Obama by SlippyToad · · Score: 2

      The first thing Obama did was hand health care reform to Nancy Pelosi who took things behind closed doors and did not invite the R's in.

      Horseshit.

      --
      One day I feel I'm ahead of the wheel / the next it's rolling over me / I can get back on / I can get back on
  64. Re:Profits will suffer by Doctor_Jest · · Score: 1

    Freedom isn't free. It cost's about a $1.05....

    --
    It's the Stay-Puft Marshmallow Man.
  65. Re:Profits will suffer by ChromeAeonium · · Score: 1

    More than that, to use your analogy, it would be as if a large number of people did not believe that spending made debt and the consequences it would bring are real things.

  66. Re:Profits will suffer by compro01 · · Score: 1

    - Ultra low sulfur diesel requirements made diesel fuel more expensive than gasoline

    Unrelated. Canada has the same ULSD requirement (15ppm maximum) as the USA and diesel is frequently cheaper than gasoline.

    --
    upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
  67. The problem is with models not physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The question I ask then, is what mechanism are you proposing that is stopping physics from doing its thing here.

    That is a silly question, red herring'ish. No serious person is claiming that some basic mechanism of physics is misunderstood. What serious people are claiming is that our model(s) of how the environment functions as a whole have problems. For example:

    "In addition to finding that far less heat is being trapped than alarmist computer models have predicted, the NASA satellite data show the atmosphere begins shedding heat into space long before United Nations computer models predicted."
    http://news.yahoo.com/nasa-data-blow-gaping-hold-global-warming-alarmism-192334971.html

  68. Re:Orwell Would Be Proud - Or At Least Not Shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I notice that you made no attempt to refute any of the claims in the post you were replying to. I therefore conclude that you have nothing of substance to contribute to the discussion at hand.

  69. Politics and funding can distort science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you can't beat scientists on the F of Facts, then go by the F of Funding..

    Politics and funding can distort science in either direction. Politicians can funnel money towards "pro" as easily as "con". The biggest problem with climate change is that politicians have politicized it. That is going to slow our progress because it artificially silences one side and artificially enhances the acceptance of the other side.

  70. Sun Wobble? by Stolzy · · Score: 1

    Since the Sun does a polar shift about once every 15 years (and is due for one this year), wouldn't the flow of electrons through the magnetic core change the course of the Sun from a downwards to and upwards trajectory in space? North to South, then South to North, so to speak? /Stolzy

  71. Dana, You Have to Buy the Next Round by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    Every so often my man, Rep. Dana, and some of us low life scum bags go drinking at the various watering holes. For some dark force reason, my man Dana seems to think that the Tea Party has the inside on what reality is. Dana is a good guy, and fair surfer. But his choice in fund raisers is the reason he lost my vote.

  72. Potatoes can save your life in combat by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Oh, and Idaho potatoes I'm sure.

    Never forget the potatoes, they can save your life in combat. Well maine potatoes, don't know about idaho, maybe they don't look enough like hand grenades.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_O'Bannon_(DD-450)#1943

  73. doing the right thing for the wrong reason by kenorland · · Score: 1

    Politicians on either side of this issue don't understand the science behind global warming. But as someone who believes that global warming is happening but that the US should not adopt policies to reduce carbon emissions (because such policies do more harm than good), I don't really care why people vote the way they do as long as they do.

    1. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More harm? bullshit. That's like saying going to a primary care physician does more harm because otherwise you could have spent the dosh on cigarettes and meth. The future you would be pissed that you were so fucking shortsighted.

    2. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      >> (because such policies do more harm than good)

      wow really? as opposed to say, having the east coast repeatedly wiped out by mega-storms and western states becoming uninhabitable due to heat + the lack of water? Thats not even considering the effects on agriculture and the problems the rest of the world will face.

    3. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by kenorland · · Score: 1

      wow really? as opposed to say, having the east coast repeatedly wiped out by mega-storms and western states becoming uninhabitable due to heat + the lack of water? Thats not even considering the effects on agriculture and the problems the rest of the world will face.

      So, in your magical world, Obama passes a law, CO2 emissions get reduced, and we all live happily ever after in a never-changing lush green paradise? Come on, what are you on? Meaningful CO2 emission reductions simply aren't in the cards. And even at pre-industrial CO2 levels, lush forests turned to deserts and entire coastlines disappeared. And past experience shows that humans have no problems adapting to changing climate. Twenty percent of the Netherlands live below sea level, and large parts of Southern Europe turned from lush green forests to near desert conditions centuries ago.

      Carbon taxes and similar policies end up only as another way by which corporations and cronies will be able to enrich themselves, and in the process, will hold up economic progress. The solution to global warming isn't trying to stop the unstoppable, it is to increase development around the globe so that people can cope better with the inevitable change.

    4. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Stop putting words in my mouth, It wasnt me that said anything about lush green anything, or carbon taxes. Thats all you. I just want to try and stop the problems that are already beginning to manifest themselves.

      >> Meaningful CO2 emission reductions simply aren't in the cards.

      But It absolutely could be. Just look at the reductions that have already been achieved in Europe. US arent even slowing up let alone reducing. Unfortunately in the US big business has too much of a stranglehold on the government and media to let anything stand in the way of extracting the last 1% of short term profits, even the end of the world. I mean there's still a massive number of Americans that dont even believe global warming is happening. That alone shows you either how ignorant most Americans are or how much big businesses can control the media, schools, government etc in the US. Probably both.

    5. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by kenorland · · Score: 0

      "Meaningful CO2 emission reductions simply aren't in the cards." But It absolutely could be. Just look at the reductions that have already been achieved in Europe.

      The only thing Europe has done to reduce its carbon emissions is wreck its economy (by means unrelated to carbon emissions); European reductions (e.g., in Germany) are right on the same line expressing a linear relationship between economic growth and growth in carbon emissions that the US, India, South Korea, and Canada are on.

      Furthermore, European reductions aren't meaningful. They have been more than compensated for by increases in China and India. And even if you managed to get the entire world to achieve European style reductions, climate change would only be delayed by a few years.

      Unfortunately in the US big business has too much of a stranglehold on the government and media to let anything stand in the way of extracting the last 1% of short term profits,

      Carbon emission reductions are basically the same as an increase in the price of oil, something we already experience anyway. The only way US companies would suffer from carbon emission reductions is if companies in, oh, China or India aren't forced to make the same reductions. You're right that US companies are strongly opposed to that kind of agreement, because it threatens their existence and competitiveness. And you should be concerned about it as well, because if that comes to pass, many additional US jobs will move to those countries but no net decrease in carbon emission happens.

      I mean there's still a massive number of Americans that dont even believe global warming is happening. That alone shows you either how ignorant most Americans are or how much big businesses can control the media, schools, government etc in the US. Probably both.

      Europeans believe in climate change because their corporate and government media and educational systems find this a convenient fact to highlight as part of their own agenda. The corporate agenda behind pushing belief in climate change is to get people to vote for more taxes to combat this problem, taxes that then get paid as subsidies to big corporations in order to "compensate" them for "costs" associated with acting on climate change. You're right that there's a corporate agenda at work here, just not the way you think.

    6. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Sorry but you're clueless.
      Watch this:
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6gE6zipFWmo

    7. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by kenorland · · Score: 1

      What does the BBC documentary have to do with what we are talking about? Whether global warming is happening is not in dispute. What's in dispute is your ridiculous claims about economics and media.

      You implied that Europe had achieved meaningful carbon emissions reductions through public policy, and that is objectively false; all of Europe's carbon reductions are explained by the European recession, as you can easily verify yourself from public GDP and emission data.

      You also implied that action on climate change in the US was inhibited by greedy US corporations, but you haven't come up with any plausible way in which US corporations would actually benefit from stopping climate change legislation or in what way US media or schools are supposedly influenced. What US corporations do fear is losing competitiveness with China and India, but in that, their interests are aligned with everybody's interests in the US. And you fail to apply the same analysis to European companies and media.

      Your problem isn't what you do or don't believe about climate change, your problem is an utter lack of understanding of economics and politics, and as a result you believe in wild conspiracy theories.

    8. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Why is it people like you worry about politics and economy even when doing nothing is literally destroying the planet. Do you not realise that without a stable environment we lose even the basics such as food and energy supply and therefore any kind of society so all your arguments are moot. This is not some political or economic issue its one of basic survival.

    9. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by kenorland · · Score: 1

      Do you not realise that without a stable environment we lose even the basics such as food and energy supply and therefore any kind of society so all your arguments are moot. This is not some political or economic issue its one of basic survival.

      Please think about what you're saying and some of the many resources on science around you. Primates have been around for 85 million years, and modern humans for at least 250000 years. Look up the PETM and glaciation cycles. The BBC documentary you link to talks about frequent and large "abrupt climate changes" over the last 100000 years. Humans and primates have survived and thrived under changes far larger than those predicted even under the IPCC's worst case scenarios of high growth and no action.

      Global warming does not produce significant food shortages, it just causes arable land to move around. And how could global warming possibly decrease the energy supply? A lot of coal, oil, gas, and minerals are locked up under ice; if that melts, we might get more energy, we certainly don't get less.

      Why is it people like you worry about politics and economy even when doing nothing is literally destroying the planet.

      Instead of fabricating horror scenarios or watching British corporate edutainment, why don't you look at what the actual experts have to say, namely the IPCC reports. Even in those already alarmist documents, there is no serious claim about threats to "basic survival" of humans.

      Climate change is, in fact, only a question of economics and politics: an important issue, but just one of many. And by repeating uninformed and unscientific horror scenarios, you let yourself be used as a tool for propaganda.

    10. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Only when the last tree has been cut down,
      the last river poisoned,
      and the last fish been caught,
      will people realise that they can't eat money.

      18th century Cree Indian proverb.

    11. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sentiment is noble, but the saying is not old and it's not Cree. Most likely Greenpeace or someone else tagged it that way to lend it an air of sagacity.

      http://quoteinvestigator.com/2011/10/20/last-tree-cut/

    12. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by kenorland · · Score: 1

      That's not an 18th century Cree proverb. That doesn't even make sense. What are 18th century British colonists supposed to have poisoned the rivers with?

      In addition, the Cree were largely hunter gatherers. Such societies generally have low population densities and life expectancies of less than 40 years, and they practiced various unpleasant forms of population control. If we took their advice on how to live, 99% of Americans would have to die. Cutting down trees, damming rivers, trading, and (gasp!) financial markets are what put food on your table and heat and light your home reliably, day after day. Not only can you metaphorically "eat money", you can't eat without it.

      I find it fascinating that people can live in the modern world and be so completely oblivious to how food ends up on everybody's table.

    13. Re:doing the right thing for the wrong reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not an 18th century Cree proverb. That doesn't even make sense. What are 18th century British colonists supposed to have poisoned the rivers with?

      Now you're just being obtuse for the sake of arguing. The previous poster was making the point that destroying the environment limits our ability to produce food and live. Sure, there have been major climate changes in the past 250,000 years, but were there 7 billion people on the planet at the time? What are the social, political, and economic consequences of moving several million people around as opposed to a few thousand hunter gatherers? Just look at the cost of refugees from Sudan or Syria to get some idea of the scope.

      The environment trumps economics. Without a viable environment to live in, you don't have the ability to engage in meaningful economic activity.

  74. Re:A 12 year old me would never have believed this by WGFCrafty · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was impressed when John Huntsman (R) plainly said "I believe in evolution and I trust scientists on global warming."

    It's sad you have to make sure you say that so people don't mistake you as the typically wrong thinking (in this aspect and much more) republicans.

    He's a Mormon but he also created Dream Theater day in Utah when governor and is the ambassador to China. Funny thing is if he had been made VP you would alinate the far right but gain so much at the middle. Instead their strategy was to alienate not just a political spectrun but 47% of Americans which includes a large part of Republicans. Maybe they just didn't want to vote after that.

    Funny thing, Paul Ryan maintained he loved Rage Against the Machine and it was funny how Tom Morello called him out and basically told him he was a hateful ass they didn't want as a fan. Bitch slapped by your favorite band, and a guy with a Harvard education.

  75. Re:Profits will suffer by skids · · Score: 1

    It's fun to pretend the rest of the world is composed of dimwits, but the reality is those people are the exception. The rule is people who do dimitted things due to stress or a lack of hope for the future, but are not intrinsically dimwitted. So no, I cannot lay the blame for poor retirement planning entirely or even majorly at the feet of the masses, especially considering the reasons their 401ks collapsed has so little to do with their own actions.

    Having to constantly worry about their livelihood in the short term is not conducive to long term planning, and is more conducive towards saving for vacations to preserve one's sanity and get some laughs in before the whole shithouse collapses. Some people seem to like to promote this condition, in the hopes of squeezing these people for their own benefit. Those are the truly short-sighted dimwits.

  76. What's in a name ... by quax · · Score: 1

    Personally, rather than climate contrarians (who's really against climate?), I like to call them Climate Change Denying Douchebags (CCDD). Bad maybe that's just me.

    1. Re:What's in a name ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, you're so clever, you coined an epithet. I guess that makes you more enlightened than anyone who actually read the climate gate mails and looked at the code and took exception to so-called scientists conspiring to suppress any research that didn't fit their agenda.

    2. Re:What's in a name ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, no, it's not the fact that they are inquisitive, it's based on their idiotic and misinformed conclusions. It's hard not to gloat when you dipshits give us so much opportunity to say "But that's wrong, you moron..." Such as the content of those allegedly damning e-mails and the word "trick" which you medieval mystical minded supernaturally brain-addled fucksticks take to mean some sort of conspiracy. Do fuck off now, asslicker.

    3. Re:What's in a name ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not the word "trick", it's the fact that they shaped the graph until it displayed what they liked, by applying arbitrary multiplications to the raw data.

  77. Re:Richard Muller & Michael Shermer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Argumentum ad veracundiam. Try again.

  78. I can't wait by deskjet · · Score: 1

    I have for years postulated a big enough event say, a large hurricane that tears up the expensive parts of the east coast of the USA, might be enough to prompt some serious thought about climate change, but Sandy was not really big enough, only 50B worth of costs, I guess it will take a really big one to carve up Florida or Washington DC to prompt a reaction. Let's face it either it's a freak event (or two or three), Global climate change, or God hates you.

  79. It doesn't regulate energy AT ALL. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What would the AGW regulation on Solar Panels? None. What would be the regulation on tidal power? None.

    It doesn't regulate energy.

    It reglates burning fossil fuels.

    Try to get out of the stone age and stop burning things for heat and light.

  80. Please help me to understand by ciclano · · Score: 1

    Not sure I understand the debate of global warming. To me it looks like the following:

    Evidence: the earth is warming, no one disagrees.

    Hypothesis 1 - The cause is the emission of greenhouse gases generated by human activity such as fossil fuel burning and agriculture.

    Hypothesis 2 - It is a natural cycle that has no known cause ...

    Is that right?

  81. Re:A 12 year old me would never have believed this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What if a politician got drunk and killed a woman? Would you throw your support behind them? Of course you would because you are a Democrat. They would have to be Democrat but it would be ok if they did it. Hello Ted Kennedy! I wanna be your girl next~~~ Yep, Democrats really care about women, unless they are using them. Well surely you would not support one who is the Grand Cyclops of the Ku Klux Klan? Right? Well, it would be ok if they were a Democrat. In that case we would make him the longest serving senator in the history of the United States. Hello Senator Sheets Byrd, DEMOCRAT senator from Virginia! Twilight Zone indeed!

    But don't worry, being Democrat means never saying you are sorry, or any introspection at all.

  82. You've got your own dictionary, I see. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, a skeptic IS NOT "one who believes that something should be challenged," it is someone who will always be open to evidence contrary to THEIR position.

    Which is why deniers like yourself are not skeptics whilst the IPCC authors are.

    Note how for you deniers that uncertainties only work one way: to make you right. Never skeptical to that idea, never considering that it could be worse.

  83. The whole world would be laughing at you! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't let that happen! Show them what the real America is. A country founded with the strict separation of church and state.
    And that mentally ill religious schizophrenics are not allowed to be the ones to decide things. But deserve a therapy.

    Not only that, but the US won't have the current power for that long anymore. And when nature begins to wreck everything, and the US doesn't stop causing it, the rest of the world will put an embargo on it. Which, considering how much the US imports, will not end well.

    I for one, don't want the US to fall in the pit of becoming a Christian Iran. No way.

  84. Re:Orwell Would Be Proud - Or At Least Not Shocked by efitton · · Score: 1

    So you admit that the entire group are paid shills but you still copied and pasted their talking points.

    97% of climate scientist believe that global warming is happening and is man made, why would I bother looking at points made by a group with economic interest opposing the clear majority of specialist? If a doctor and a second opinion both said surgery is necessary would you be saying that you didn't need it because Bubba across the street said it wasn't necessary?

  85. the science is settled: Bring on the Battle Robots by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

    The science has settled. Anthropogenic Global Warming is a real. Scam. It's high time to leave CO2 out of it and turn our attention on the effects of particulate aerosols, contrails. Those are true effects of humankind. And in the case of contrails, a net cooling effect.

    Debating AGW is a lost cause. Bring on the battle robots.

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  86. Coming soon: Laws stating pi = 3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and so on.

  87. Here you go. by efitton · · Score: 1

    Now remember the part where 97% of climate scientist said that they believe Hypothesis 1 and that the evidence exists for Hypothesis 1.

  88. Re:A 12 year old me would never have believed this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a case of not noticing the outer tiny box because you noticed the inner, even tinier, box.
    The actual sad part is that he said "believe" and "trust", and didn't even remotely think about maybe saying words like "know" or "understand".
    It's all about belief and truthiness nowadays. People are literally no individuals anymore, since their views are entirely built on stuff they haven't even tried to understand or check for themselves. Which is crazy close to schizotypic delusions. They just follow beliefs and trust, no... are... their opinion makers.

    He should understand the dynamics of global warming and have checked the evidence for evolution with his own senses. In fact every school child should.
    He should therefore know how those things are. And he should not be allowed into any government at all, otherwise.

  89. Re:Profits will suffer by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

    It's fun to pretend the rest of the world is composed of dimwits, but the reality is those people are the exception.

    Umm, no. As someone who has actually taught math to high school seniors, I can guarantee you that the vast majority of the population has no clue how to evaluate even the most basic financial situations. And, from polls I've seen about financial questions, people don't pick up a lot more knowledge about this stuff later in life either. Even if some people do want to save or invest or get better terms for a loan or whatever, the vast majority of the U.S. population doesn't even understand stuff like how compound interest works. I like to have faith in people, but in this case, I'm sorry, but you're simple wrong about most people's abilities to plan for tomorrow. Hell, after teaching high school for 3 years, I can tell you that many of my math and science teacher colleagues were living from paycheck-to-paycheck, saving nothing that wasn't forced on them by state retirement policies or whatever... and some of them were in their 40s or 50s. I also know that their salaries weren't that bad in those schools -- I managed to sock away quite a bit in a couple years. If that's true of teachers actually trained in math, you think their students (most of whom won't be) will do better in financial decisions?

    So no, I cannot lay the blame for poor retirement planning entirely or even majorly at the feet of the masses, especially considering the reasons their 401ks collapsed has so little to do with their own actions.

    I don't blame them ENTIRELY -- not just financial execs but even our basic educational system is at fault. But it shows how much you know about "the masses" in your response... most people don't even have money in a 401k. Poor people don't have steady enough jobs to have things like employer matches and encouragement to contribute. They're worried about putting food on the table or medical bills... but even there, many of them will spend ridiculous percentages of their budgets on cable bills or a new cool TV, rather than putting a little away for a rainy day. Sorry, but you seem to have no clue about the masses.

  90. There is money to be made already by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    There is money to be made already, solar panels. But it is the Chinese who are making the money.

    Republicans are not interested in making money, they are interested in maintaining the Status Quo. If things change, someone else might get their hands on some money, ordinary people even. Can't have that. Better to be the richest man on a sinking ship then for everyone on an intact ship to be better off but the rich man misses a single penny.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  91. The second jump by PPalmgren · · Score: 1

    Hi. Nice to meet you, Dana. I go by the name Sarten X, often represented with a hyphen.

    When The global warming concerns were first being voiced, I was skeptical. Surely humans' influence couldn't be that severe? Then I started learning. I learned about how CO2 traps heat. I learned how human CO2 production has been increasing exponentially. I learned how small shifts in ocean temperatures put far more moisture into the air, producing more severe storms.

    I learned too much to doubt. Even if half my knowledge turns out to be wrong, the other half still leads to the same conclusion: Our society is royally screwed because of global warming, and we're making it worse every day.

    See, this is where I have trouble. I take the first jump, and do come to the conclusion that AGW is happening. Its the second jump that bothers me, that society is royally screwed. Looking at history, I am amazed at humanity's ability to respond to changes in the way we live, either man-made or naturally. Comparing 150 years ago to today is light night and day, and the rate of progress only continues to plow forward at breakneck pace. The focus is always on how expensive it will be to relocate or re-engineer coastal cities, and I'm not convinced this is an accurate way to measure the impact of GW. If you look at a city, any given building that doesn't exist for historical importance has either been built anew or heavily renovated in the past 100 or even 50 years. City relocation predictions tend to not weigh the costs of sustained society next to those of the proposed relocations. This is all aside from the fact that the change will be gradual, making trillion+ predictions alarmist in nature and not amortized so as to give us a clearer picture of the cost.

    Cost vs. Benefit. That's what it boils down to for anyone who believes in AGW but doesn't agree with a massive societal restructuring to mitigate its effects. There is no extensive cost benefit analysis of the different paths, and there likely never will be because we're unsure of what technologies will make expensive things now trivial in 20-50 years. Hell, advances in AI and robotics alone could turn construction and scrapping into a trivial affair, as could breakthroughs in Fusion in regards to sustainable energy, or civil engineering techniques in coastal cities. I guess I've seen such a malleable society in history that I'm not worried about the changes that come, since change is the only thing that's constant and its not something we've found daunting in the past. Maybe I'm a short-sighted asshole for this? I don't know. What I do know is that being labeled a denier because I debate the response to AGW is assinine. The focus needs to be on people who refuse the science behind AGW, not the people debating humanity's reaction to it. Tieing action to beleif in AGW, turning this into an all or nothing debacle, is the #1 flaw in the AGW issue.

  92. Science Much? by Brewster+Jennings · · Score: 1

    The biggest problem that pro-technology, pro-science Conservatives face today is an overly vocal minority that is either ignorant, mysognistic, racist, religious, or some combination of the four, and as we pull our money away from Education in the name of Defense Contracts and corporate tax breaks, it's not surprising that part of the population is going that way, as well.

  93. It's too bad by LeopardMechanic · · Score: 1

    It’s complicated for a peripheral observer like me. What am I supposed to do, just take as gospel that AGW is occurring? Every time I hear proof from one side I hear counter-proof from the otherthen I’m called a Neanderthal for not knowing what to believe. Too bad, cuz the way I figure it man is probably responsible for some of to much of the warming, and we should probably do something about it. And that brings me to my main point This whole carbon trading biz just reeks of inefficiencies and corruption. How is the original value for one credit set? How are the credits allocated? How can we validate that every carbon emitter emits the amount in accordance with his credits? It is way too complicated with arbitrary HUGE dollar values set by unelected, unaccountable entities. No freekin’ way. Guaranteed corruption. Then when a simple google on methods to capture carbon turns up plenty of potential carbon trapping techniques that I never hear Al Gore and Co. promote I get really suspicious. Again, too bad.

  94. Re:Profits will suffer by Trails · · Score: 1

    Or like the time the gov't stopped me from using Agent Orange in my backyard. I had to go buy roundup instead and that shit is expensive. So what if some little shitheaded brats get cancer in twenty years, not my fucking problem!!!! My quality of life took a serious dip there.

  95. Re:Profits will suffer by Trails · · Score: 1

    And we were all thinking it was the oil companies funding the astro-turf, but I think you're onto something. Those sneaky fucking canucks...

  96. Here comes more Republican... by emaname · · Score: 1

    ..."math."

    --
    An effective "democracy" creates the illusion the people have a say in their government.
  97. Pulllease... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just let me know when the climate *stops* changing. That would be news worth discussion.

  98. I didn't think it possible... by Jawnn · · Score: 1

    ...but apparently the term "scientists" is now a weasel word. As in...
    I think that after 10 years of debate, we can show that that there are hundreds if not thousands of scientists who have come over to being skeptics...
    Well, which is it? Hundreds or thousands? Oh, you don't actually have any real evidence. It's "just a feeling", right? Whatever. Let's just, for the sake of argument, say that there are actually more than 1,199 "scientists" who are now skeptics. The last time someone cited some "scientist" skeptic as an authority on climate change, it was a geologist... (wait, it gets even better) ...who works for the petroleum industry. Piss off, you little oil-industry whore.

  99. artificial prices by Immerman · · Score: 2

    The lack of tax is artificial because there are many external costs to oil that are not reflected in the market, for example the military costs of maintaining a semblance of stability in the Middle East to keep oil prices down, the environmental costs of pollution (in terms of reduced crop yields, increased medical costs for people exposed, etc.), and the long-term costs of global warming which will incur phenomenal costs on the whole planet as we're forced to abandon or massively fortify all our coastal cities to protect against rising waters and stronger storms. All of those costs can be laid directly at the doorstep of fossil fuel consumption, yet none of them are reflected in the price of oil - in Economics they are what is called externalities and it is understood that a free market can't directly address them. By taxing them so that all of those costs can be entirely paid for from those tax revenues you make the at-the-pump price reflect the actual cost society is paying. Without the taxes all those externalized costs are just a massive socially-funded subsidy for fossil fuels.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    1. Re:artificial prices by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      I would argue the tax (or any tax in any arena) is the REAL artificial barrier

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    2. Re:artificial prices by Immerman · · Score: 1

      How then would you suggest non-market costs be handled? Or should those who figure out how to profit in a manner where society bears most of the expense simply be allowed to do so

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  100. Re:Orwell Would Be Proud - Or At Least Not Shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    UFOlogists also believe UFOs are real, and because the universe is so vast, they might be right. The problem is, neither them or me have a way to settle the matter because there's too much unknown variables. However, if a climate sciencist or UFOlogist tells me that in order to save the world from a (very unlikely) doom scenario, I have to deviate large sums of money to their cause, and further studies, I don't care how many of them really believe their bullshit.

  101. Re:Profits will suffer by Scowler · · Score: 1

    It had to be an "iDevice" didn't it. Never mind that all smartphones are all roughly equal in their environmental costs... you just gotta undermine your main argument to get a cheap dig / troll in.

    /sigh...

  102. A great reason to vote Republican. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I used to be one, but libertarians who claim that "the two big parties are equally evil" are dickheads! Republicans are just "libertarian lite", with a better understanding of geopolitics and the hands-on dirty details of gradualist reform. Democrats are wrong on everything across the board, starting with complete retardation in understanding of basic economics. Libertarians (radicals, not gradualists) have the luxury of sitting in their futurist Ivory Tower and not having to deal with the disgusting "lesser evil" tactics of the here and now. Convince Republicans to only pursue their "culture warrior" bullshit locally (on the state, municipal, or ideally neighborhood association level), and they're good people. Their halfhearted appeasement of the functional idiots who are religious is politically inevitable (democracy sucks), and is far less harmful than the Democrats' appeasement and bribery of the dysfunctional idiots on their side!

    Political dodging of questions like the age of the Earth is not ignorance - to the contrary, it is strategic awareness of what the democratic circus requires. Obama has done the same thing! AGW is the only scientific issue on which there is genuine disagreement, because it is the one issue on which the government-funded "scientific community" is largely wrong, or rather it's bribed and coerced to jump to politically convenient conclusions. Real scientists know how to tell politicians "we don't know", "don't jump to conclusions", or "there's no cause for alarm". Real climate science is a process of data gathering and factual analysis - not a popular democracy, a shouting contest, or a barrage of emotional videos that end with the Earth catching fire! Real scientists know that, without a time machine, our knowledge of climate history is very approximate at best. So real scientists are suppressed by the system, while the politically-convenient greeny radical are promoted instead...

    If you study the actual science, you will inevitably see that political alarmism over AGW is baseless, and very likely could be the most dangerous fraud in human history! It is a set of politically desirable solutions in search of a problem, and if the problem doesn't exist it must be manufactured. No crisis - no need to retain / expand / monopolize the power of the state! The Soviet commies knew they couldn't win because the relative advantages of Economic Freedom were obvious and inescapable - the only way to enslave the world is to homogenize all governance. So they stepped back, regrouped, and painted themselves green! Only a world government can make communism possible, by removing all frame of reference and all intergovernmental competition that has been the only source of freedom throughout human history. And only a bullshit lie like an alien invasion or a global ecological crisis could provide the excuse. After the AGW hysteria goes the way of all other politically-bought pseudo-scientific fraud that occurred throughout history (ex. Lysenkoism), the people who advocated it should be treated the way Nazi supporters were treated after the spring of 1945! A "climatologist" without AGW wouldn't even be able to get a job flipping burgers!

    Never mind that the total human contributions to greenhouse gases are like a mouse riding on the back of an elephant (the elephant being water vapor, natural sources of CO2, etc). Never mind that all their projections are based on the assumption that there will be ZERO TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION in the 21st century! Never mind that the margins of error on their CO2 ice core samples and temperature measurements before modern satellites are greater than the alleged temperature changes! Never mind that there are natural temperatu

  103. College education violates the Smith Act by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    However, it's OK for the BRIC nations to pump out carbon all they want. Why? These nations are either tyrannical ethnic republics or have sufficient squalor to maintain the "not first world" status. For whatever reason, college students are attracted to tyranny and squalor so as to please their professors. We have America haters here and it all has to do with post-secondary education, especially in the USA. I would like to see these college educated people putting their money where their mouth is and adopt a full live-in-filth-and-squalor third-world lifestyle. Heck, they already have the hairstyles, tattoos and piercings (especially NOSE RINGS). to match their intentions. They are not happy so much that there is one human left exercising freedom of choice of which they do not approve.

    Hey, Joe College, here's some cholera, dysentery, and tuberculosis for a true oneness-with-the-world experience, go diarrhea yourself to death while coughing up lung cheese.

  104. Re:Profits will suffer by russotto · · Score: 1

    Waste is nothing more than an untapped resource stream. The light fractions burned off at refineries for instance. Instead of burning it off at the stack, pipe it under low pressure to a power plant made to run on methane and natural gas.

    Waste is waste; you can improve efficiency up to a point, but ultimately you're going to have unusable waste. Entropy is a bitch.

    Seriously looking into alternatives to combustion for power generation, or at the least, adopting carbon neutral economies, would go a very long way as well.

    Fine, you go work on that. Until you find them, we'll keep burning things. Wind has very limited potential. Photovoltaic is a joke. Nuclear is politically infeasible. Solar thermal is of unproven potential. As for carbon neutrality -- there's that entropy again. We can't grow enough fuel to replace petroleum and oil.

    The issue you seem to have, is that you appear to be butthurt that "purpetual growth" would be laughed at, and your idea of prosperity requires infinite resources from the environment to attain, and such restrictions would put the kabosh on that hard.

    So you admit your ideas will cause quality of life to go down?

  105. Which Congresman was it...? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One of them made a speech several years ago that said any scientist that espoused the validity of climate change should be arrested and jailed for life for conspiracy to commit fraud on the American people. I can't remember which one it was.

    Made me flash back to the days of The Inquisition when even asking certain questions could get you burned alive.

  106. Re:Orwell Would Be Proud - Or At Least Not Shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    UFOlogist? Now you're just making up words. Scientist, people with degrees and peer reviewed journals.

  107. Yet one more reason why the French laugh at us by cundare · · Score: 1

    After the defections of two of the four major remaining climate-change deniers last year (and the reluctant admissions of both tha their pseudo-research had been funded by energy multinationals), my impression had been that the debate was al but over. Perhaps what we're seeing now is merely the snarling of death throes. Like (to put it into Red State terms) the hisses of a treed raccoon.