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UN Summit Strikes Climate Deal Promising "Damage Aid" To Poor Nations

Hugh Pickens writes writes "BBC reports that UN climate talks in Doha have closed, with a historic shift in principle agreed to by nearly 200 nations, extending the Kyoto Protocol through 2020 and establishing for the first time that rich nations should move towards compensating poor nations for losses due to climate change. Until now rich nations have agreed to help developing countries to get clean energy and adapt to climate change, but they have stopped short of accepting responsibility for damage caused by climate change elsewhere. 'It is a breakthrough,' says Martin Khor of the South Center — an association of 52 developing nations. 'The term Loss and Damage is in the text — this is a huge step in principle. Next comes the fight for cash.' U.S. negotiators made certain that neither the word 'compensation,' nor any other term connoting legal liability, was used, to avoid opening the floodgates to litigation – instead, the money will be judged as aid. Ronny Jumea, from the Seychelles, told rich nations earlier that discussion of compensation would not have been needed if they had cut emissions earlier. 'We're past the mitigation [emissions cuts] and adaptation eras. We're now right into the era of loss and damage. What's next after that? Destruction?' While the United States has not adopted a comprehensive approach to climate change, the Obama administration has put in place a significant auto emissions reduction program and a plan to regulate carbon dioxide from new power plants. 'What this meeting reinforced is that while this is an important forum, it is not the only one in which progress can and must be made,' says Jennifer Haverkamp, director of the international climate programs at the Environmental Defense Fund. The disconnect between the level of ambition the parties are showing here and what needs to happen to avoid dangerous climate change is profound.'"

212 comments

  1. Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    With this, we see their real purpose.

    Climate change.... Well, it's always changing, so the money will always have to flow. Another unending stream.

    What a shock.

    1. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      Just like US elections, the majority voted to take money from the successful minority and have it given to themselves. Now we see the same electoral pattern going on globally. I wonder what those in the US expecting more welfare will think now that their precious money is going to be given to other countries instead of them?

      Its getting to the point where its now impossible to move up classes because of taxes on income. No taxes on wealth, so the rich politicians (or those who don't pay taxes) are still fine, but if you are the hard worker there is no chance of moving up with all those in the US that refuse to take care of themselves and now the world. It has now gotten to the point where only suckers still work to better themselves off, because if they actually accomplish something there is now a line of thousands waiting to take from them.

    2. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by rubycodez · · Score: 1, Insightful

      yes, they and you are that stupid. Name one disaster due to AGC

    3. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Do you seriously think that these negotiators are so stupid that they cannot distinguish between natural and anthropomorphic climate change?

      Well, a large portion of them probably are that stupid. Most of the rest are looking for loot.

      The only shock here is that one individual believes that they are more intelligent and have a better grasp of the environment, economics, and politics than the thousands of people who (directly or indirectly) contribute to these negotiations.

      What's sad here is that the individual is probably right. When you have a revenue stream of tens to hundreds of billions per year, then that's plenty of incentive to be as wrong as you can get away with. It's interesting how this move followed a round of discoveries which claim harm of global warming is worse and more urgent than first claimed,

      Maybe there's a real threat from AGW, but this looks to me more like a bunch of corrupt scientists sexing up their research (and possibly just making stuff up) in order to justify a transfer of wealth large enough to make the oil industry envious.

    4. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate change is real. But you do have a point. This agreement plays into the worst fears of Republicans in the US Congress. It is almost like it was designed to antagonize them. It is a pity because this new treaty will only embolden them. Something similar to the original Kyoto Treaty might have a chance of passing, but mandatory "damage aid" is dead on arrival. So congratulations to the UN for again alienating one of its biggest members and by doing so making its politics more extreme.

    5. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by flaming+error · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "this looks to me more like a bunch of corrupt scientists sexing up their research (and possibly just making stuff up) in order to justify a transfer of wealth large enough to make the oil industry envious."

      As you evaluate the various competing claims before you, consider that perhaps laymen swayed by appearances and compelled to impute motives on strangers might not have the intellectual high ground over people who have studied and debated the topic for decades and live by the scientific method.

    6. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a matter of fact I do think we are any able to distinguish between natural and anthropomorphic climate change. In order for that to work, we'd need a closed form solution that could reproduce the natural signal going back 500,000 years. Good luck with that.

    7. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      And by what standard do you judge corruption?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    8. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by phantomfive · · Score: 1
      It's worse than that. Read this description from the BBC:

      There was last-minute drama as the talks were thrown into turmoil by the insistence of Russia, Ukraine and Belarus that they should be allowed extra credit for the emissions cuts they made when their industries collapsed.
      After a long delay, the chairman lost patience, re-started the meeting and gavelled through the agenda so fast there was no chance for Russia to object.
      A cheer exploded into prolonged applause. Russia bitterly objected at what it said was a clear breach of procedure, but the chairman said he would do no more than reflect the Russian view in the final report.

      What kind of agreement is that??

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    9. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      Troll = Unpleasant truth told.

    10. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, the UN has invented yet another way to waste money. We all know the "aid" will end up in assorted Swiss Bank accounts while the real purpose for the money comes last in a long queue of snouts in the trough.

    11. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by argStyopa · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's always, nakedly, been about wealth redistribution.

      Why do you think India and China - the fastest growing (and now largest) emitters of CO2 - were omitted from the original Kyoto accord?

      Oh, there's a pastiche of 'let's save the planet' but then the road to hell has always been paved with what, again?

      There's a reason they so bitterly hate the term ecomarxists....it strikes waaay too close.

      Go ahead mod me down as 'flamebait' and 'troll'. As the 'climate changers' keep telling everyone, truth isn't based on popular opinion.

      --
      -Styopa
    12. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by lennier · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's always, nakedly, been about wealth redistribution.

      Oh, the humanity! Those nasty, wicked, impoverished nations teeming with starving people who have all the money and social rank and political power and weapons will force - at gunpoint, even! or maybe just with their hectoring, angry words! or their faces! - a tiny beseiged elite of virtuous billionaires to solve a problem facing everyone and which just drowned New York. But the problem can't be solved, because drowning countries is right and just and honourable and we all know it. And yet they pass bad laws like this. It's horrible, that's what it is. But oh well. It's not like educated billionaires who own mega-corporations have any power in the world, is it? Always they're the ones who get downtrodden and stepped on by the naked jackboot of the filthy masses. All those poor people, swarming everywhere! Eating and breeding and voting! Every day, vote vote vote! Like it's a democracy or something! Filling the world's governments with twisted, perverse policies that benefit the middle-class! Don't the billionaires get any say at all? Those long-suffering saints! One day things must change! One day, just once, a billionaire will stand up and say "No!" to a poor person! One day Atlas must shrug!

      Yeah, I don't think that's how the balance of social power actually works anywhere outside Ayn Rand or Paul Ryan's mind.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    13. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      That's like asking someone to name one person killed by cigarette smoke, for obvious reasons it can't be done.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    14. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      It's interesting how this move followed a round of discoveries which claim harm of global warming is worse and more urgent than first claimed,

      This "move" was a key part of the Kyoto treaty and was the stated reason why the USA didn't join, that makes it at least 15yrs old, the yearly conferences have only been going for 18yrs in total so it's a pretty good bet this "move" started before the talking. The rest of your post is just an irrational anti-science rant that does not belong on a geek site.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    15. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Something similar to the original Kyoto Treaty might have a chance of passing

      Do Americans actually have a clue what there government does? The reason the US congress rejected Kyoto is exactly the same as the reason they will reject this, compensation to developing nations. Are some nations more interested in cash than solutions? - Sure, the US is just one of them.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    16. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Do you seriously think that these negotiators are so stupid that they cannot distinguish between natural and anthropomorphic climate change?

      Well, a large portion of them probably are that stupid. Most of the rest are looking for loot.

      This most certainly applies to the people from Maldives, who are obviously unable to distinguish between natural and theomorphic Universe. Why should they be able to grasp the nuances of climate science, when they struggle with basic issues?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    17. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      As you evaluate the various competing claims before you, consider that perhaps laymen swayed by appearances and compelled to impute motives on strangers might not have the intellectual high ground over people who have studied and debated the topic for decades and live by the scientific method.

      Nobody "lives" by the scientific method. And $100 billion a year (or whatever it ends up being) could easily buy the entire realm of climatology. I believe such money already has made significant progress on that as witnessed by the scare stories that came out over the past couple of weeks. The politicians needed cover, particularly, authoritative claims of urgency, some climatologists delivered.

      My view is that nobody in this game has the high ground. The pro-AGW side is just making a huge argument from authority fallacy while simultaneously ignoring the money and power that regulation of carbon dioxide emissions bring. AGW reparations is just the tip of a very large iceberg.

    18. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      And by what standard do you judge corruption?

      Dishonest or fraudulent actions by those in positions of power and trust.

    19. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      This "move" was a key part of the Kyoto treaty and was the stated reason why the USA didn't join, that makes it at least 15yrs old, the yearly conferences have only been going for 18yrs in total so it's a pretty good bet this "move" started before the talking.

      A "move" can be planned well in advance. I'm not asserting that they just decided to do it on the spur of the moment. It'd be hard to coordinate your pet scientists on that short a notice.

      The rest of your post is just an irrational anti-science rant that does not belong on a geek site.

      You want to talk about anti-science? Then what's the justification for this fund that was just created? What damage has been done by AGW that requires any money?

    20. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      That's like asking someone to name one person killed by cigarette smoke

      How about David McLean? Lifetime smoker who died from lung cancer and had suffered from emphysema. Both illnesses highly correlate with smoking in the developed world.

      It's deceptive to claim that uncertainty associated with linking weather disasters to AGW is in any way comparable to the uncertainty of linking lung disease cases to particularly heavy smoking. The evidence supporting health consequences of tobacco smoking is well documented, has huge data sets (something like millions to hundreds of millions of people for the larger data sets), high degree of correlation, and as in the above case, one can even link extreme cases to tobacco smoking directly.

      For the extreme weather stuff, they don't even have statistics indicating correlation and the data sets are very small.

    21. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lennier, thy name is hysterical hyperbole.

    22. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Maybe there's a real threat from AGW, but this looks to me more like a bunch of corrupt scientists sexing up their research (and possibly just making stuff up) in order to justify a transfer of wealth large enough to make the oil industry envious.

      I really wonder how dumb people are.
      In my world scientists are not payed according to "research results". If that is the case in your world I would challenge you to change something.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    23. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Scientists have precious little power and as to trust, why would you trust the likes of the Heartland Institute over almost ever climatologist in the world? What's more, considering which side benefits the most here, who has the greatest benefit; deniers or scientists?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    24. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Scientists have precious little power

      They have the power to justify a $100 billion a year or so revenue stream plus all the other revenue streams that have come out of this, such as renewable energy, electric cars, carbon markets, etc. That's a lot more power than you're implying.

      why would you trust the likes of the Heartland Institute over almost ever climatologist in the world?

      I don't. But the bill of goods they're trying to sell me is a whole lot cheaper than the bill of goods that the AGW-oriented politicians are trying to sell me. As I see it, the AGW thing slid into scam territory, when they rushed through all these astoundingly expensive fixes and adaptions - for a problem we don't know exists.

      What's more, considering which side benefits the most here, who has the greatest benefit; deniers or scientists?

      There's a lot more money on the science side.

    25. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      In my world scientists are not payed according to "research results". If that is the case in your world I would challenge you to change something.

      I am changing something by advocating wait and see. A lot of these paid for results lose their punch when things aren't rushed along. And there really isn't a good reason not to wait a couple of decades and see what sticks and what doesn't. Despite panicked claims to the contrary, there isn't urgency to AGW. Whatever happens isn't going to be significantly changed or cost more by another couple decades of waiting.

    26. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 2

      In Tuvalu, sea level rises of an average of 5mm/year over the last 60 years have now resulted in regular tidal flooding of low-lying areas like the main airport. Inland salt water seeps are destroying their coconut and taro crops. Tuvalu's vulnerability to strengthening tropical cyclones is significantly increased, as in the case of Tropical Cyclone Bebe, which in 1972 sent a storm surge right over the entire main island, destroying many buildings and uprooting 90% of the trees.

      There is now a regular exodus of Tuvaluans to New Zealand, which has agreed to absorb the entire population in the event that Tuvalu becomes completely uninhabitable.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    27. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A kind of agreement that China, the US, and Russia will veto.

    28. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "this looks to me more like a bunch of corrupt scientists sexing up their research (and possibly just making stuff up) in order to justify a transfer of wealth large enough to make the oil industry envious."

      As you evaluate the various competing claims before you, consider that perhaps laymen swayed by appearances and compelled to impute motives on strangers might not have the intellectual high ground over people who have studied and debated the topic for decades and live by the scientific method.

      I agree.

    29. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by pete6677 · · Score: 4, Funny

      And by what standard do you judge corruption?

      As a Chicago resident, by the number of Democrats involved.

    30. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by pete6677 · · Score: 1

      The UN will stop at nothing to achieve its true goal of wealth redistribution. Environmental programs could be the most effective ways to achieve this, which is why they are hell-bent on hyping up "climate change" at every opportunity. It has nothing to do with the environment, and everything to do with social justice.

    31. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by tbird81 · · Score: 1

      Tuvaluans are generally quite very nice Islanders. But in fairness, we pretty much take everyone from the Pacific and are happy to pay all their hospital bills.

    32. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Your paranoia is kinda cute. Them ebil scientists, whom you abhor so much, actually developed some proper medication for you. You may want to try it one of these days.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    33. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Quick! Check below your bed! My sources say there is a Red hiding under it!!

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    34. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Lacking mod points, I can only bow to you, good Sir.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    35. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Your paranoia is kinda cute.

      What I'm hearing is that there is hundreds of billions of dollars per year (from the sort of thing I mentioned in my previous post) on the table. But only if you can convince the developed world that there is a near future problem. Now to me, that's a lot of money.

      And I'm seeing symptoms of classic con games such as urgency (it has to be done now, we're already too late (which is a new story that came out in the last year), etc), people making decisions on shaky evidence (untested computer models, temperature proxy paleoclimate data, extreme weather, etc), fallacies galore (particular appeals to authority and confirmation bias).

      Huge stakes and a shaky, hastily done argument for those stakes. This should give you pause, even if you don't have a case of paranoia that requires medication.

    36. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by phlinn · · Score: 1

      Can you prove he wouldn't have gotten both diseases as a non-smoker? Some percentage of non-smokers get them both as well. The anti-smoking crusaders like to pretend that every case of lung cancer in a smoker was cause by the smoking, but it simply isn't true.

      --
      "Pulling together is the aim of despotism and tyranny! Free men pull in all sorts of directions" -- Havelock Vetinari
    37. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      A lot of these paid for results lose their punch when things aren't rushed along.
      That is how it should be, you don't pay scientists for results. And if a scientist is i would call that fraud or corruption.
      And there really isn't a good reason not to wait a couple of decades and see what sticks and what doesn't.
      We already waited 5 decades, how long do you still want to wait?
      Despite panicked claims to the contrary, there isn't urgency to AGW. Whatever happens isn't going to be significantly changed or cost more by another couple decades of waiting.
      Oh, shit, there is no urgency? On what planet do you live? For fuck sake how old are you even?

      My coldest winters, that I remember, where during my age of 8 to 12 ... every winter we had around christmas or 1st of january about -25 to -30 degrees centigrade. (Which is fucking cold). 3 years ago we had at the same time, I remember it because of the funny number coincident: 23th of december, +23 degrees centigrade. This is (just in case your math is as bad as your comprehension) up to 53 degrees warmer.

      The last 10 years climate change slowed down a bit, mainly because of changed sun activity. In a few years the sun will start a new cycle and in the meantime we did a lot to pump more CO2 into the atmosphere. So when it restarts, which will be likely anytime or up to 4 years from now on, the heat will hit us like a sledge hammer.

      Whatever happens isn't going to be significantly changed or cost more by another couple decades of waiting. This is a pretty retarded attitude as you obviously have no idea about costs anyway.

      As a side note for your education: the earlier you counteract the cheaper it is in the long run. Always. Its kinda a physical law.
      You need to have very weird circumstances where waiting pays off. (E.g. I need a supercomputer and have a budget of 100 million. The stuff I want to calculate with it will nevertheless take 3 years. So If I spend the 100 million right now I have the results in 3 years. However we can assume that in 1.5 years processing power has increased by a factor of 2 and prices have dropped by lets say 40%. For the same 100million I can buy "more computers" with more power, reducing the calculation time to perhaps a year. So bottom line I get my results in 2.5 years if I wait 1.5 year before even starting.
      I could even invest the 100millions in the meantime.)

      So, what has this to do with energy production and abolishing CO2? Nothing of course.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    38. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      There is? There's no scientists making vast amounts of money out of this. Whether AGW is true or not climatology would still exist.

      Essentially, you're rejecting AGW because of your own short term interests, and then creating an ad hoc (and frankly ludicrous) conspiracy to justify it.

      Yes, change costs money. That's the way it works. The point is that it will cost one helluva lot less now than it will in fifty or a hundred years.

      And that's not even raising the economic catastrophe waiting when cheap long chain hydrocarbons become scarce.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    39. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      The problem here is that none of these predictions are particularly new. The measurements are refined, the models better, but basically it's been over three decades since climate scientists first begin saying "We have a problem."

      None of this was invented yesterday, and yet, because you have this emotional desire to reject the evidence, you shoot the messenger, declaring climatologists frauds or saying "We need more time."

      We're seeing major melt in the Arctic now, just as predicted, so how much fucking time do you want?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    40. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by lonecrow · · Score: 1

      Funny that you should characterize climate change as a plot against the oil companies. If you check the position papers of the petroleum industry associations you will find that not only do they understand climate change, they also admit their carbon from their products are part of the cause.
      http://www.api.org/environment-health-and-safety/climate-change.aspx

      In addition to the petroleum industry itself, the worlds largest insurance companies, who's entire business is based on determine fact and risk, have long acknowledged climate change and its mankind's role in accelerating it.
      http://www.munichre.com/corporate-responsibility/en/management/environment/climate-protection/default.aspx

      So if the petroleum industry and insurance (banking) industries are part of the same conspiracy with scientists...perhaps it is not a conspiracy?

      Perhaps the only conspiracy are pundits making a money by exploiting a niche? You can launch a site expressing some counter factual, our counter cultural position and you will be guaranteed a small but loyal audience by people who get a sense of self-worth by being "outside" or "bucking the trend" or a "rebel" or whatever.

    41. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Can you prove he wouldn't have gotten both diseases as a non-smoker? Some percentage of non-smokers get them both as well.

      The non-smoker versions are different from the smoker versions. But I'm sure there is some small probability of something like that possible. It might be possible to defend oneself on that basis in a court of law, but I wouldn't bet on it. Now try that affair with weather and AGW.

      Hurricane Sandy is used as an example of funny weather coming from AGW. But New York City gets hit by hurricanes regularly even in the absence of any sort of AGW. It's not prime hurricane territory like most of the Southeast coast, but it does get hit. So one can't use the fact that there is a hurricane to claim that AGW is causing something. Similarly, one can't use the unusual trajectory of that hurricane simply because we haven't seen enough hurricanes hit that area to know if the trajectory is unusual or not.

      Another such example is the cyclone which apparently hit the Philippines recently. Apparently, an attendee to the Doha Climate Change Conference blamed AGW for that. No evidence provided.

      At least, anti-smoking advocates had huge amounts of data showing a strong correlation between lung disease and smoking. No such correlation has yet been found for extreme weather and AGW.

    42. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      We already waited 5 decades, how long do you still want to wait?

      And we have as a yet a bunch of untested models, and a lot of vague extrapolations. We don't even know if we'll still be using fossil fuels in 2050 in the "do nothing" scenario.

      Oh, shit, there is no urgency? On what planet do you live? For fuck sake how old are you even?

      My coldest winters, that I remember, where during my age of 8 to 12 ... every winter we had around christmas or 1st of january about -25 to -30 degrees centigrade. (Which is fucking cold). 3 years ago we had at the same time, I remember it because of the funny number coincident: 23th of december, +23 degrees centigrade. This is (just in case your math is as bad as your comprehension) up to 53 degrees warmer.

      Here's one of those sayings that comes around at times like this. The plural of "anecdote" isn't "data".

      You need to have very weird circumstances where waiting pays off.

      Time value of money. Economics is one of those places that has those weird circumstances.

    43. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      The problem here is that none of these predictions are particularly new.

      They're also not backed by a lot of data. Satellite measurements are not just "refined", but actually measure for the first time the quantity of average mean global temperature (though not quite at the surface). Past about a century and a half of human weather station measurements, your proxy data becomes even more uncertain.

      As to predictions, the long term predictions of these "better" models can't be gauged until we run out the clock a lot. But "medium term" predictions have been rather poor.

      None of this was invented yesterday, and yet, because you have this emotional desire to reject the evidence, you shoot the messenger, declaring climatologists frauds or saying "We need more time."

      So you aren't at all interested in massive conflicts of interest among the messengers and the people who fund them?

      We're seeing major melt in the Arctic now, just as predicted, so how much fucking time do you want?

      We're also seeing albedo changes from wildfires (soot is particularly effective for short term changes of albedo of snow). Something we probably would have seen anyway.

      I think two decades would work. If those "better models" are off a lot, we'll know by then. It'll also be enough time for the current batch of AGW-oriented parasites to leave their careers.

    44. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      There's no scientists making vast amounts of money out of this.

      James Henson and Phil Jones did quite well by this. I doubt their careers would have done so well, if they weren't such earnest proponents of AGW.

    45. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Which conflict of interest is greater; a climatologist who is going to be studying climate whether AGW is occurring or not, or some of the largest companies in the world who stand to lose a considerable amount if oil use plummets or oil is priced to reflect the actual damage it's doing.

      I'm sorry, science isn't perfect, but compared with the bizarre opaque world of international petrocorporations, I'm going to go with the science. And since neither you or I are scientists, and you're just trumpeting variations on Heartland and other pseudoskeptic "think tanks", it's not like you've come into this credibility.

      But one thing is clear. The larger governments have no real intention of doing anything about it. I have little hope we will reduce emissions in any substantial way, so at some point the effects AGW will become undeniable even by the few outright pseudoskeptics out there, AND we will start running out of fossil fuels, whose value as long chain hydrocarbons outweighs many times over their value as fuel. Let's just hope the two don't happen at the same time, because our children or grandchildren will spit on our graves for being so unwilling to work in any substantial way towards substantial reductions in burning of one of the important sources of industrial chemicals this planet has.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    46. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Which conflict of interest is greater; a climatologist who is going to be studying climate whether AGW is occurring or not, or some of the largest companies in the world who stand to lose a considerable amount if oil use plummets or oil is priced to reflect the actual damage it's doing.

      The climatologist of course since they can't make money any other way. The oil company probably will see profits go up, especially if they took the effort to diversify into the renewables market (like several have).

    47. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Let's just hope the two don't happen at the same time

      Why not? That's great timing. I think a big part of the problem is the ridiculous pessimism about our ability to adapt. We aren't just burning oil now. We're doing useful things with that. I think it's rather delusion to claim that slightly cheaper chemicals (or the modest effects of near future AGW) in 2050 or 2100 justifies huge distortions of our economy now.

    48. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      So how does an area experience sea level rises higher than actual sea level rises? By sinking. Tell me how much responsibility we creators of AGW should have for land that will vanish anyway (and in the process experience increased vulnerability to cyclones)?

    49. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by common-lisp · · Score: 1

      Foreign aid does not go to poor people. It goes to their oppressive governments. Foreign aid builds and sustains third-world style governments and economies--and for what? So you can have a clean conscience?!

      If you are actually interested in helping poor people, look up the works of Peter Bauer. Do research. Check out the Wikipedia article on Aid. Here's an interesting quote:

      James Shikwati, a Kenyan economist, has argued that foreign aid causes harm to the recipient nations, specifically because aid is distributed by local politicians, finances the creation of corrupt government such as that led by Dr Fredrick Chiluba in Zambia bureaucracies, and hollows out the local economy.

      People who like foreign aid are blocking the progress of third-world countries. They are ignorant, self-righteous hypocrites. And by all appearances, you are one as well.

    50. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Didn't read the first link, did you? It explains how sea level rises are not uniform, and also shows that the sea levels at Tuvalu are rising 9 times faster than any subsidence.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    51. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      It explains how sea level rises are not uniform

      Several mm difference per year for 60 years? I don't buy it. I'd look for alternate explanations like Tuvalu sinking (say in the areas where the measurements were taken) or the measurements were simply incorrectly taken for decades. The problem here is that the explanation now needs to be backed by evidence, not just the original measurement.

    52. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      The relevant study is Becker 2011. It's based on 60 years of "good quality" tide gauge records for sea levels, satellite altimetry, and GPS precise positioning records for measuring land subsidence. Feel free to cite a more recent study, if you can find one with different conclusions.

      Interesting that your reaction to presented evidence is simply disbelief, followed by the assumption that the evidence must somehow be wrong, despite the lack of counter-evidence and (I'm assuming) relevant expertise.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    53. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I'll just note that the authors don't have 60 years of satellite altimetry and GPS data. Also, googling around I see that Tuvalu does experience land subsidence. It is claimed that this is only 10% of the total observed, but subsidence often is not constant over time.

      Glancing at a graph of Tuvalu's sea level rise, I see that sea level has been basically no net gain since a peak of the early 80s. So this phenomena can easily be explained by 1950-1980 subsidence that mostly stopped by 1980. No satellite altimetry or GPS data for that period! This is the peril of making claims based on incomplete data.

      It's also worth noting that none of the other islands except one graphed in the above link show this alleged effect (though Penrhyn does show some effect which might be consistent with the claimed sea level model of Becker). That is also consistent with a local subsidence effect.

      But let's pass that over and go back to the original assertion that you made. Namely, that the sea level rise at Tuvalu is an AGW disaster (as I asked for). The rise happened from 1950-1980 with no net gain since. Further, carbon dioxide emissions have been increasing for the most part since the Industrial Age started. I just don't see the linkage.

      Instead, what I see is a cherry picked sea level rise that has nothing to do with AGW, even if you accept Becker's work at face value.

    54. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      The request was for an example of an AGW disaster - of course it's cherry-picked. Nobody's claiming the sea level is rising this fast in all places (quite the opposite).

      What's also bald-faced cherry-picking is a statement like "basically no net gain since a peak of the early 80s". You have to really try hard to ignore the clear and continuing upwards trend (more importantly for the Tuvaluans, the all-important seasonal peaks keep getting higher, resulting in worse flooding each time). You also have to carefully ignore the altimetry data, which clearly shows a 5mm/year rise since 1993 at Funafuti.

      Even more impressive is how you blithely imply that a peer-reviewed study's conclusions are completely wrong, without seeing the underlying data or challenging their methodology, even though the study confirms earlier work like Church 2006. You smoothly fill in the missing GPS data with assumptions of your own that it would naturally support your pre-conceived conclusions instead. This despite your admission that you're still baffled by the long-established connection between rising CO2 levels and rising sea levels.

      Did I mention that Tuvalu is cited in at least three different studies on climate change disasters? Maybe you should reassure the Tuvaluan Government that the experts are lying and/or incompetant, AGW is a massive conspiracy, and all that salt water they're seeing must be a figment of their imagination, because your glance at a graph proved that rising sea levels and subsidence "mostly stopped by 1980".

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    55. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      You have to really try hard to ignore the clear and continuing upwards trend

      A trend that doesn't exist since the early 80s as I observed.

      Even more impressive is how you blithely imply that a peer-reviewed study's conclusions are completely wrong

      What is there to make those conclusions absolutely right (to use your own flawed logic against you)?

      You smoothly fill in the missing GPS data with assumptions of your own that it would naturally support your pre-conceived conclusions instead.

      The evidence doesn't distinguish between the three hypotheses (the Becker model, my subsidence model, and no real effect with a large measurement error in sea levels before 1980). Peer review doesn't magically filter out such things.

      Did I mention that Tuvalu is cited in at least three different studies on climate change disasters?

      So it is a fad? Where's the science?

      Maybe you should reassure the Tuvaluan Government that the experts are lying and/or incompetant, AGW is a massive conspiracy, and all that salt water they're seeing must be a figment of their imagination, because your glance at a graph proved that rising sea levels and subsidence "mostly stopped by 1980".

      To the contrary, the latter sounds both easier and more productive.

    56. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      You also have to carefully ignore the altimetry data [els-cdn.com], which clearly shows a 5mm/year rise since 1993 at Funafuti.

      And what is it going to show in a few years? If local sea level works is as Becker's model claims, then it's likely that the difference can be explained by sampling at different times of the El Nino cycle.

      If you had looked at the chart I referred to (figure 1 BTW), you would see that 1993 was an unusually low year with 20 cm difference between it, and the surrounding, higher years, 1992 and 1994. There were years in the 1950s that allegedly had higher sea levels than 1993.

      I feel I'm not doing justice to my argument, but someone must speak to the confusion that resides in your claims.

      There are several things to note. First, there is a paucity of good data. For example, altimetry data only comes since 1993. I imagine GPS positioning data is similarly sparse. This means that it is hard to rule out alternate hypotheses (especially those that claim the study is in error, peer review doesn't keep that from happening).

      Another is that there is absolutely no linkage to AGW. You claimed that Tuvalu's elevated sea level rise was due to AGW in a much earlier post, but the timing just isn't right for that claim of cause and effect.

      Third, if this data is correct, then there is a lot of noise in the data and one can generate extraordinary trends by cherry picking low and high points to get artificially shallow or steep trends (such as your comments on the 1993-2009 trends while ignoring the unusual nature of the data from the year, 1993). That is, you've compounded the original error of picking Tuvalu, already an extreme data point, by picking an extreme year.

      In summary, I see nothing backing your claims aside from the before mentioned cherry picking of data (both time and place now as it turns out) to create exaggerated claims of sea level rise.

      So I echo the original poster, rubycodez. What disaster can be legitimately blamed on AGW?

    57. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Still selectively ignoring any inconvenient data, I see, and going with flat denials rather than attempting to refute any points (what, don't want to look at the altimetry map?)

      Where is the science? Well, certainly not in any of your posts. All I can see is textbook denialism from an unknown forum poster with a self-admitted lack of knowledge, and some obvious selection and confirmation biases. Can't imagine why you think this might be convincing.

      I'll stick to the verified observational data and expert analyses from dozens of respected scientists with reputations to uphold, thank you.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    58. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      You can plainly see from the blue lines on that graph that the 1993 altimetry data does not start on "an unusually low year" - that trough is clearly the 1997 El Niño. The Funafito data starts years later, and the other data starts years earlier. Your other points about cherry picking kind of fall down when you can't even get that right. But please keep telling me how my claims are confused.

      You can propose alternate hypotheses all you like, but if you want anyone to take them seriously, you'll need to actually present observational evidence that supports them. So far all you've done is claim that that Becker's data is not accurate enough, despite not having laid eyes upon that data, or knowing anything about its error bars, and despite the other studies. Why should anyone listen to you, instead of a sizeable group of scientific experts who do this for a living?

      You deny my claim about linkage to AGW with nothing more than "just isn't right", but it's not even me who's making these claims. I'm just pointing out the many studies by people far more expert than I (look, here's a few more reports that show continuing sea rise far exceeding subsidence). If you feel you know their jobs better than they do, go right ahead and tell them that, but I expect they'll find your unsubstantiated denial even less convincing than I do.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    59. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      You can plainly see from the blue lines on that graph that the 1993 altimetry data does not start on "an unusually low year"

      Huh, ok I guess so. I made a mistake on the x-axis. Still it doesn't make sense to discuss short term changes with so much year to year variation. The noise is too loud on a few year scale to make that sort of determination.

      So far all you've done is claim that that Becker's data is not accurate enough, despite not having laid eyes upon that data

      One doesn't speak of nonexistent data as being "not accurate enough".

    60. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      So now all those decades of tidal gauge data don't even exist? Yes, there's seasonal noise, and that's why you look only at long-term trends. Those last few report links I sent all show an increasingly-steady positive trend (Fig 4) of 3-5mm/year - does all that data not exist either?

      The basic point remains: There are multiple lines of data, from multiple sources, all consistently showing that sea levels are increasing, and at a much faster rate than Tuvalu is sinking. There are dozens of studies linking global sea level rises to glacier melt and thermal expansion caused by rising temperatures. And there are multiple lines of evidence to show that it's us that's causing it, with our CO2 emissions. Hence, AGW is in large part responsible for Tuvalu's situation. Of course Tuvalu is a cherry-picked example, but all that science is global.

      97% of climatologists and countless studies agree on this point. You can disagree, but without supporting evidence that's at least as solid as theirs, disagreement becomes simple denialism.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    61. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes, there's seasonal noise, and that's why you look only at long-term trends.

      Since when is 16-17 years (1993-2009) long term? That was what you looked at for altimetry data.

      Those last few report links I sent all show an increasingly-steady positive trend (Fig 4) of 3-5mm/year - does all that data not exist either? "Increasingly-steady"? No they don't.

      And there are multiple lines of evidence to show that it's us that's causing it, with our CO2 emissions

      You still have the problem of claiming that 5mm/year rises are due to global warming. There's no evidence for that assertion.

      Of course Tuvalu is a cherry-picked example, but all that science is global.

      So you're not doing science and kinda, sorta admit this. It's just classic confirmation bias.

      As I see it, you have not shown an example of a AGW disaster.

    62. Re:Ah, so there we go.... by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      So, the long-term tidal gauge data is apparently not accurate enough for you, and the accurate altimetry & GPS data is not long-term enough. All the climate scientists deem it useful, but not you.

      As I see it, you simply won't accept any data that doesn't support your own opinions, nor can you present any data that does. Anything I say (which obviously isn't science; merely pointing out others' science) is clearly falling into that rejected category too. And you accuse me of confirmation bias :-)

      Enjoy your misconceptions. Hopefully you won't suffer from them too directly, or be in a position to cause others to suffer.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  2. Get the Koch brothers to pay by benjfowler · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    They profit extremely well from trashing the Earth; make them pay.

    1. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Soros has done much more to trash it. Make him pay.

    2. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That can't be. Soros is a socialist, and those people never do anything bad to anyone. Time for more reeducation comrade!

    3. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by rubycodez · · Score: 5, Insightful

      hypocrite. the use of coal and oil fueled western civilization and increased average human lifespan by over two times, Modern material, medicine, health, food, all the blessing of hydrocarbon fuel. you are alive and well fed because of it. without it you would likely be dead already.

      yes, we need to go to something else with little pollution, like well designed nuclear power reactors. but the planet has been made better for humans by fossil fuel

    4. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      you get the Biggest Douche award...

    5. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A short term improvement that directly leads to long term devestation is not a benefit. At any rate, the benefits of cheap hydrocarbons are now being outweighed by the dangerously ill effects.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    6. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by benjfowler · · Score: 0

      The Kochs are union-busting, anti-human, anti-civilization scum who desperately need a date with Karma.

      I pray that there is somebody out there crazy and unstable enough to give it to them early, before they unjustly die a natural death.

      Anyway, Satan has prepared a very hot place in hell for those devils.

    7. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by khallow · · Score: 1

      A short term improvement that directly leads to long term devestation is not a benefit.

      And what does that observation have to do with fossil fuels? Let us keep in mind that catastrophic AGW remains an unfounded fear and nothing else about AGW generates long term devastation.

    8. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by khallow · · Score: 1

      It's interesting how these issues of climate change bring out some of the worst psychopaths in slashdot.

      People don't deserve a horrible death just because they disagree with you. I find the sort of advocacy that the Koch brothers do, with their own wealth no less, to be admirable.

    9. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      Modern material, medicine, health, food, all the blessing of hydrocarbon fuel.
      That is complete nonsense.
      What have hydrocarbon fools (oops ;D) to do with health care or medicals?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      But this is the ideal Libertarian solution, right? The equivelent of suing countries for exporting pollution, to force compliance through lawsuits. If this doesn't work, how can anything Libertarian ever work?

    11. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      One of the key predictions is shifts in agricultural zones. Sure, we'll still be growing grain in North America, but most of it will be in Canada, and history has lessons for those who think food security is nothing to worry about.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    12. Re:Get the Koch brothers to pay by khallow · · Score: 1

      Growing more food in Canada, doesn't mean that enough food won't be grown in the US. US doesn't have the population that say, India or China has. That's what would come to my mind, if we were to speak of countries without food security.

  3. Sorry, but unsustainable by GeneralTurgidson · · Score: 0

    These countries need to be dissolved and integrated with another. Things are just going to get worse. What's better, preserving a nations identity or preventing the inevitable extinction of it?

    1. Re:Sorry, but unsustainable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't we just let them go extinct?

    2. Re:Sorry, but unsustainable by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      These countries need to be dissolved and integrated with another. Things are just going to get worse. What's better, preserving a nations identity or preventing the inevitable extinction of it?

      Oh, that works out all the time. Look at the history of, say, the Middle East and Africa. Historical political boundaries chopped up by England and France (with a little help from other largely European countries) starting before WWI and going on to the present day. Trying to make larger political entities from little ones doesn't actually usually work. The US, India and China appear to be the major 'success' stories using this schema. Russia, not so much.

      It's a pretty slow, messy process and nobody has any sort of idea how to make it work. Not that the US hasn't tried.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    3. Re:Sorry, but unsustainable by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You seriously need to learn some history, Germany and Italy would be a good place to start.

      Also the origins of the word 'balkanization'.

      There is only so long the third world can blame the Brits, especially if they are still using the British built railways.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  4. Just another money grab. by dlt074 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    And now we see the real reason behind this entire charade. Take from the rich give to the poor. More class warfare.

    1. Re:Just another money grab. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What an idiotic comment. Rich countries have generally contributed to the problem far more than the rest, but the rest will (and are) facing the brunt if the problems. Sandy was bad, but others have had it worse. This principle has been around for decades but rich countries have dragged their feet in doing anything I even this latest deal doesn't amount to much. The charade is the rich countries pretending that they are concerned.

    2. Re:Just another money grab. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nope, it's take from the rich and give it to the richest individuals, but the money first needs to pass through the most corrupt countries in the world to make it untraceable.

    3. Re:Just another money grab. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a retarded comment, prove it last i heard weather does not target based on a country's wealth, it targets based a the amount of it populous that masterbates and kills kittens.

    4. Re:Just another money grab. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As if the wealthy countries have done nothing for the poorer ones. Nope, no foods exported to the starving, no medicines provided to the ill, no classrooms built for the illiterate, no cell phones for the disconnected, nope, none of that stuff and more. The wealthy got that way by building on what their forbears built. The developing countries are following that example. I am waiting for the undeveloped countries to get a clue and start doing the same. Till then, the developed world can pour endless monies into the undeveloped world, and it will be for naught.

    5. Re:Just another money grab. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's like a situation where rich people are sending their sewage down the river to where the poor people live for 200 years, and when the poor eventually say "pay up for the damages", shortly before being completely immersed in the stuff, it's "class warfare". Yeah, it is in a way. But only because one side finally realized they were getting completely screwed over and decided to do something about it. If the alternative is for poor countries to keep getting steamrolled, then I'm all for "class warfare". This isn't a money grab, it's paying dues for services already rendered (i.e. the global atmosphere and oceans absorbing ~200 years worth of CO2 input from industrialized countries). We in the industrialized countries have been getting globally-subsidized mitigation of our pollution by being able to spread it out everywhere rather than having to contain it inside our own countries.

    6. Re:Just another money grab. by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      No, this is a take from the moderately well off and give to the wealthy and powerful under the guise of helping the poor. Some among the current poor will find a way to become wealthy out of this, but only so far as they help the currently powerful accumulate more wealth and power.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    7. Re:Just another money grab. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The charade is the rich countries pretending that they are concerned.

      I'm not concerned. And I don't want the US to pay a cent for this nonsense.

  5. If they can still print the email by paiute · · Score: 4, Funny

    Dear Seychelles,

    We are sincerely sorry that your small island nation has been covered over by the Indian Ocean.

    Attached is a coupon for 10% off any Boeing or Raytheon product. Simply print the coupon and present it at your local dealership to redeem.

    Best wishes,
    The United States of America

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    1. Re:If they can still print the email by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amen

    2. Re:If they can still print the email by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 2

      So . . . what will actually, legally, happen when the Seychelles go under? I mean, no land, no country, right? Or will they have some legal entity elsewhere that represents the waters over the islands? Another empty seat at the UN? What about long term debt? Can you still own land underwater? Maybe real estate investors might want to start building under water hotels? Maybe the submerged country will be a scuba divers' paradise?

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    3. Re:If they can still print the email by vlm · · Score: 1

      So . . . what will actually, legally, happen when the Seychelles go under?

      See the Scarborough Reef for an example of a couple rocks barely above sea level. You'll have a lot of whining about who owns it, and ham radio guys will visit every once in a while.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scarborough_Shoal

      Note that its probably not going to collapse under the sea in moments... for years they'll just be less and less above high tide, then the day will come when there's only a couple rocks above average high tide, then finally those rocks will occasionally go under, then ...

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    4. Re:If they can still print the email by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is not funny. This is exactly how US "aid" operates. The target country never sees the first dollar.

    5. Re:If they can still print the email by __aaltlg1547 · · Score: 1

      They can use the aid money to ship trash consisting mostly of cheap junk items manufactured in China and used once or twice before they broke in the United States to the Seychelles, where they can pile them on top of the island, creating a new surface a few meters higher.

    6. Re:If they can still print the email by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It would not be hard for them to build up their land. With the money they bleed from the US, Canada, and UK (They will be the only ones really paying) they will be able to rise their land and turn it into a 2nd Venice. Then they can make lots of money from rowing people around in boats.

    7. Re:If they can still print the email by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I guess if the US was to stop all their food programs, no one would mind? We can save a lot of money if we stop feeding the world.

    8. Re:If they can still print the email by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      This is exactly how US "aid" operates. The target country never sees the first dollar.

      [Citation needed]

    9. Re:If they can still print the email by Kelzar · · Score: 1

      I think you've got to have land to have territorial waters and whatnot, so I'd think they would at least want to keep a few bits peeking above the surface. Otherwise I suppose they could either go the route of the Knights Hospitaller see Wikipedia and still have recognition without a jurisdiction, or they could just let their country dissolve.

    10. Re:If they can still print the email by dodobh · · Score: 1

      It would help if the food programs were aimed at purchasing from the local farmers *before* shipping food from the US.

      --
      I can throw myself at the ground, and miss.
    11. Re:If they can still print the email by budgenator · · Score: 2

      Most of the islands of the Seychelles are coral islands and atolls, which means they will always look like they are on the verge of becoming inundated, no matter what the sea levels do. Sealevel rises measured in millimeters per decade just don't seem that scary, hasn't been any significant warming for 16 years; these people are more worried about the gravy-train ending than anything else.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    12. Re:If they can still print the email by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      It would help if the food programs were aimed at purchasing from the local farmers *before* shipping food from the US.

      It seems beggars can be choosers. Or at least petulant whiners.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    13. Re:If they can still print the email by bunratty · · Score: 1

      No, the warming and sea level rise are continuing to accelerate meaning the last decade was the warmest on record.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    14. Re:If they can still print the email by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The can call it an iLand.

    15. Re:If they can still print the email by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      We wouldn't save that much money if we stopped all food programs. For one, the amount of pork is so large that the billions spend on food wouldn't be noticed under the trillions of pork for military and energy.

      Also, if the US stopped buying/subsidizing food, the prices would drop and the poor would be able to afford to eat with less money.

    16. Re:If they can still print the email by tbannist · · Score: 1

      The point that you don't understand is that the "food aid" is actually just a new name for farm subsidies. The government buys food from American farmers and gives it away for free in the target country. If it weren't "food aid" it would be called "flooding the market" and "illegal subsidies". However, it still has the effect of undermining local food production and increasing the need the more "food aid".

      It's actually much more effective to use the money to buy local food first and then import any shortfalls, that encourages local food production and reduces dependence on food aid. However, many of the people involved aren't looking at what's best for the target nation, they've got local farmers who need government handouts.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    17. Re:If they can still print the email by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      The point you don't understand is that I don't fucking care anywhere near as much about the 'target nation' as I do my own.

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
    18. Re:If they can still print the email by tbannist · · Score: 1

      You might want to consider whether that "food aid" is actually in your nation's best interest. It pays some farms to send yearly crops overseas and in doing so it increases taxes, food and fuel prices.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    19. Re:If they can still print the email by gmhowell · · Score: 1

      Minor changes. Third order effects. I understand these intellectually. One problem the left has is making me care. I'm reminded of that episode of the Simpsons where the greatest intellects take over the town, much to the annoyance of everyone else. (FWIW, my actual opinion is a pox on all their houses. No foreign aid, no crop subsidies. But if we must engage in a Wilsonian/neo Manifest Destiny global political push considerations such as the one you raise must be addressed. But cold logic isn't the place to start.)

      --
      Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
  6. LOL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    I want to know where all of this "compensation" is going to come from. Our debt to gdp ratio is approaching 100 percent and rising, and the Europeans aren't exactly in good shape either. I don't know how Europeans feel, but I think when there is a choice between maintaining social security, medicare, and the military or giving money to brown people in a foreign country, Americans will choose the former.

    1. Re:LOL by ashelton · · Score: 2

      It doesn't really commit anyone to anything. It's mostly so they could get something out and not look like they'd just had a junket.

  7. Voluntary? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This better be voluntary.

    One, I believe global warming is happening. However, I am skeptical that a majority (50% or greater) of it is human-caused. However, in any situation, we should be reducing pollution for the sake of pollution. We should be investing in alternative energies in order to have clean air, water, and hopefully cheaper electricity. I'd hope cheap electricity would correlate with people not having to work so much in order to pay their electric bills. (It bugs me so much when people use wood-burning fireplaces when it's not their primary source of heat, save for special occasions.)

    I believe it is dangerous for something like that to be proposed. It may be called voluntary, but we know it's not. What it does is it strips national sovereignty away from nations. That isn't to say we (Americans) shouldn't be doing good for other nations. However, I don't want an outside group telling us we should even if it's "voluntary".

    Let's assume the premise that these rich nations are at fault for global warming to an extent exceeding 50%. Let's say that global warming is having a substantial effect on poor nations' economies. So what? We should be helping those poor nations regardless, but by our own volition. And how many of those poor nations are struggling because of past atrocities involving forms of slavery and they being forced to grow cash crops (thus eliminating their own cultural food supply)?

  8. US bribes help stop climate action by FriendlyLurker · · Score: 4, Interesting
  9. I'm sure this will end well... by GrimShady · · Score: 1

    clear cutting the rainforest was a net co2 producer. Who will collect that fine?

    1. Re:I'm sure this will end well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spain? They seems to hate trees, at least historically...

  10. BLOW HOOKERS BLACKJACK & CLIMATE CHANGE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ....and then forget the climate change.

    What ! you want me to give money to you for some unproven scientific THEORY that plots current temperature variations that are still well within the MARGIN OF ERROR !

    Go to hell all you greedy bureaucrats that are hellbent on destroying my economic future. Even if you convince my bent Westminster politicians to scam me and take money, and it somehow turns out that this climate change does have exponential runaway feature, i know there is a fat chance in Hades that you would use the money to do anything constructive about it. You will just sit in your armored fortresses that you built with the money you collected, doing blow and hookers and playing blackjack with your carbon derivative futures market wall street friends.

    You people make me sick.

    1. Re:BLOW HOOKERS BLACKJACK & CLIMATE CHANGE by Admiral+Valdemar · · Score: 0

      Science is wrong because people can be shits? And the Grand Master of Logic Award 2012 goes to...

    2. Re:BLOW HOOKERS BLACKJACK & CLIMATE CHANGE by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      science can be and has been "wrong", scientists welcome a better model or falsification of an accepted one. Letting scientifically ignorant politicians use science to push an agenda invoving restribution of wealth, that is folly.

    3. Re:BLOW HOOKERS BLACKJACK & CLIMATE CHANGE by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      We always judge others by ourselves. I suppose.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    4. Re:BLOW HOOKERS BLACKJACK & CLIMATE CHANGE by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Letting scientifically ignorant politicians use science to push an agenda invoving restribution of wealth, that is folly.
      Redistribution of wealth has nothing to do with AGW.
      On the other hand having 99% of the resources and wealth of the planet in 1% of the planes populations hands makes no sense either.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:BLOW HOOKERS BLACKJACK & CLIMATE CHANGE by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Science is never wrong. That's like saying the air is "wrong" because a storm damaged a building. "A scientist" can be wrong. But science is a process, not a destination.

    6. Re:BLOW HOOKERS BLACKJACK & CLIMATE CHANGE by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      On the other hand having 99% of the resources and wealth of the planet in 1% of the planes populations hands makes no sense either.

      When you count debt, it's more like 150% of the "worth" of the resources in the hands of the top 1%. The poor would have to work 1000 years to get back to even. And bankruptcy won't wipe out much anymore, even if Trump finds it so convenient he's declared bankruptcy 5 times to protect his billions.

  11. Better Yet by flyneye · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Best off, just like I recall my grandfather to say...
    "Get the U.S. out of the U.N. and the U.N. out of the U.S."
    Because we know the only real agenda of the Mickey Mouse Club is for U.S. hating countries to manipulate and bleed the U.S.(although it's been handy to screw with Israel too)
    Gosh, if so many countries get together and decide what other countries should do, well that just makes it official,yup,yup,yup.
    That beautiful building could be used to house homeless, then it wouldn't be a total waste of time.
    Let the poor and foolish countries be cared for by the rich and socialist countries China,Russia, S.A., Dubai, etc. That is their gig after all.
    Pretty sure they are big offenders anyway ,even if it is a round about way. Charity starts at home.

    --
    *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    1. Re:Better Yet by Admiral+Valdemar · · Score: 0

      Translation: fuck you, I got mine.

    2. Re:Better Yet by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      Better translation: Fuck you, I got mine ... and yours.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:Better Yet by flyneye · · Score: 1

      Assuming it was anything but a control ploy anyway.
      If they gave a damn about environmental concerns they would do something themselves rather than forming a club to agree that someone else should do it for them. Doesn't work in real life, ridiculous to assume it would work in their fantasy land.

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    4. Re:Better Yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Complete translation:

      Fuck you, I worked hard and got mine. You pissed around with socialism, got fucked and now you're up shit creek without a paddle. It's not my fault or my problem.

  12. All the Mice that ever Roared.... by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 0

    are coming to the trough.
    Sorry, I gave at the office.

    I pledge by my life and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.
    ~John Galt

    And if you live on a coral atoll, move onto solid land before you start whining about sea level. You actually have a land level problem.

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  13. Seems like by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 3, Informative

    There are two different stories here. One says that wealthier nations will offer humanitarian aid to disaster struck areas, the other claims that general compensation is due for damages. Two completely different things, and the actual facts of the matter seem to be more towards humanitarian aid.

    1. Re:Seems like by ashelton · · Score: 1

      And even that is fairly non-binding and has a proviso of "when their financial circumstances permit" apparently. I believe the first confidence pledged some serious amounts of assistance most of which never eventuated.

    2. Re:Seems like by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Informative

      It looks like they agreed to encourage the member states to set aside up to $10billion a year, in order to aid countries affected by global warming. It also appears that money will not go to those countries until they actually have a disaster. In order to get countries like the US to agree to this, they chose to add that money to the crisis relief fund, instead of creating a new global warming relief fund. In other words, an imaginary line on a budget somewhere was increased. Also, the Kyoto agreement was extended for a few years.

      If you pay attention, you'll see when a disaster strikes a country, hundreds of countries around the world promise millions, or even billions, in aid to the affected country. As time passes and the world news stops focusing on the disaster, everyone forgets, and most of those countries that promised aid don't actually deliver. I suspect here is nothing different.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:Seems like by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As time passes and the world news stops focusing on the disaster, everyone forgets, and most of those countries that promised aid don't actually deliver.
      This is nonsense.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:Seems like by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      No it's not.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:Seems like by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      What do you expect? Should I shout "yes it is"?

      Sorry, you are an complete idiot ... just forget it.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:Seems like by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      My argument was no worse than yours. Sorry you are also a complete idiot. I've seen some countries definitely deliver on their aid. The US does, and I've seen Nicaragua do it. But very often those who promise, don't deliver.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    7. Re:Seems like by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      But very often those who promise, don't deliver.
      And how would a mere layman like you know that? You have a secret access to the bank accounts?
      Sorry, you are dreaming and making stuff up, thats qualifies you as an idiot.
      Perhaps you have one small insignificant example of an incident where a country assured help but did not deliver?
      Oh ... sorry, did not want to mess up your day. No need to google.
      Claims like yours are not only nonsense but jsut bullshit. Dream on.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:Seems like by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Believe me, you didn't mess up my day. I can see why you get modded down a lot though. Pointless, harassing, posting. Do you make this stuff up?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    9. Re:Seems like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The above discussion seems like the standard of debate that occured in the UN meeting discussed in the article.

    10. Re:Seems like by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You are making stuff up, thats my point.
      Otherwise you would be ale to give some examples. Which you did not do so far.

      Regarding the modding. I have a good idea who the guys where :D and they wont get mod points the next few years ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    11. Re:Seems like by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You are making stuff up, thats my point. Otherwise you would be ale to give some examples. Which you did not do so far.

      I know what I know. I feel no need to prove myself to every yokel who tells me I'm wrong. If you want to know, go look it up. Or pay attention after the next disaster.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    12. Re:Seems like by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      This delusive talk fits your name ;D

      No need to look it up. Unlike your country in my world we had a newspaper and news uproar if something you claim would happen.

      As you have no single evidence or example I put you into the trol basket. (No fear, a lot of your friends are here already).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    13. Re:Seems like by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Your country's newspapers are so much better than in the rest of the world, is that what you are saying?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  14. Annnnnd.... by HappyCycling · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is why people think climate change is just a huge scam masquerading as an environmental cause.

    1. Re:Annnnnd.... by timeOday · · Score: 2

      Mind if I ask where you live? I have a few truckloads of garbage to dump somewhere.

    2. Re:Annnnnd.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Garbage is a different issue. At least be intellectually honest.

    3. Re:Annnnnd.... by timeOday · · Score: 4, Informative

      Garbage is a different issue.

      Perhaps, since garbage can always be carted away later.

      Maybe a better analogy would be a government that decides not to compensate residents when it builds a dam to make a reservoir out of a valley where people were living.

    4. Re:Annnnnd.... by __aajxhe7746 · · Score: 1

      At leas in that situation it would go to a real court, not some kangaroo lobby groups

    5. Re:Annnnnd.... by bunratty · · Score: 2

      Ah... so disbelieving AGW has nothing to do with scientific evidence. Thank you for clearing that up once and for all.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    6. Re:Annnnnd.... by PPH · · Score: 1

      First of all, when a dam is built the consequences for the upstream residents are pretty easy to determine. A better analogy would be like building a dam and a fish hatchery and then refusing to compensate some tribe a hundred miles downstream because they don't consider hatchery fish to be actual fish.

      With dams, we compensate all the property owners upstream (or none). So, what will we be paying The Netherlands for sea level rise due to AGW? Or all the residents on Long Island when the hurricanes wash their ocean front properties away?

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    7. Re:Annnnnd.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because the rich nations where all the climate scientists live have voluntarily agreed to give money to poor nations where they don't live?

      That makes no sense.

    8. Re:Annnnnd.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by "give", you mean "make poor countries economically dependent on rich countries so that they are forced to cooperate with us when it comes to military policy, free trade and natural resource extraction, deportation and extradition, and sharing of internal information", then sure.

    9. Re:Annnnnd.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah... so disbelieving AGW has nothing to do with scientific evidence. Thank you for clearing that up once and for all.

      It doesn't. Generally speaking, believing in it doesn't either. People react emotionally then construct rationalizations to validate their emotions. The scientific evidence hands down supports the AGW side, which means that they have a much better rationalization, but I'm not sure that granting carte blanche to the side with the better rationalization is a good approach to public policy.

      My view is that both sides of the political spectrum have things they think are quick fixes which, while they may at times be an element of an effective solution, if implemented without delicate consideration or in circumstances where they are ill-suited tend to make things worse. We have this endless game where both sides look for excuses for why they should be allowed to implement their quick fixes without any impediments.

      The left tends to think that you can mandate an optimum (i.e. that you can just figure out what the best setting of some social parameter is and just set it there). The right tends to think that regulation only ever impedes achievement of optima and there is never need for regulation to exclude any kind of perverse rewards in the system. Both of these tendencies are delusional. Interestingly, both sides are capable of correctly diagnosing these tendencies in the other, but incapable of understanding their own diseases.

    10. Re:Annnnnd.... by artor3 · · Score: 0

      No, people think that because they've been force-fed propaganda for decades and are no longer able to make rational, evidence-based decisions about the world.

    11. Re:Annnnnd.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amen!

    12. Re:Annnnnd.... by timeOday · · Score: 1

      So, what will we be paying The Netherlands for sea level rise due to AGW?

      No, from the article, I think this is mainly what to do about the most accute cases - tiny island nations that will be underwater 50 years from now.

      Or all the residents on Long Island when the hurricanes wash their ocean front properties away?

      This has nothing to do with the UN, but yes, to the tune of $60 BN from Sandy alone. (Of course not all that damage is due to sea level rise).

      But going forward, this is going to be a huge issue, as owners of expensive waterfront property feel ripped off by rising sea levels (which they are not exclusively responsible for), but people who live far away don't want to subsidize millionaires' foolishness.

    13. Re:Annnnnd.... by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Ah... so disbelieving AGW has nothing to do with scientific evidence. Thank you for clearing that up once and for all.

      Would that be the same scientific evidence that's been claiming that the end of the world is neigh for the last 20 years? I'm seeing similarities to this and doomsday cults too. Then again a lot of environmentalists are in the malthusian camp anymore too.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    14. Re:Annnnnd.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      tiny island nations that will be underwater 50 years from now.

      How many meters does sea level have to rise to cause that? And what evidence is there that this will happen in 50 years?

    15. Re:Annnnnd.... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      For many islands, perhaps about 100 million people, 2m is enough to sink them.
      What do you mean with evidence?
      If it gets 5 degrees warmer they sink ... what has that to do with evidence? Simple logic, melting ice on greenland, and perhaps a few ice bergs breaking of from antarctica is enough. The former will happen if we don't change quickly, the later is a matter of chance (in the next 50 years, but not in the next 100)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    16. Re:Annnnnd.... by khallow · · Score: 2

      If it gets 5 degrees warmer they sink ... what has that to do with evidence?

      "If". That's what it has to do with evidence.

      Plus, there's the matter of timing. You're claiming 40 years till those people have to move. If instead, it's two centuries, then that changes the strategy. It no longer is such a good idea to pile up a lot of cash flow for something that's not going to happen anytime soon.

      Simple logic, melting ice on greenland, and perhaps a few ice bergs breaking of from antarctica is enough.

      No evidence that stuff "will" happen like you claim to justify your concern. For example, Antartica currently is accumulating ice and Greenland is within historical range for melting and a later paper indicates earlier results overestimated melt rate by a huge amount (about a factor of two or three allegedly, can't really tell from the story).

      In other words, the ice fields that matter aren't melting particularly fast for a threat that supposedly will be bothering us in 40 years. For example, that last paper above estimates 2 mm of sea level rise from the melting of Greenland's ice fields over a six year period (2003-2009). That's under 2 cm of rise, if it continues as is through 2050.

      OTOH, you need something more like 2 meters of rise. I doubt you'll see that by 2100, much less 2050.

    17. Re:Annnnnd.... by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Scientific evidence doesn't claim anything. People make claims, and I'm sure people have made false claims. If you look at what climate scientists have predicted, climate is changing even faster than predicted.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    18. Re:Annnnnd.... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      So you think climate change is a scam because mitigating it is not free? That is the result of sounding your intellectual depth? Nice insight into the denialists mind, though.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    19. Re:Annnnnd.... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No evidence that stuff "will" happen like you claim to justify your concern.
      Sorry, you don't need evidence for the laws of physic.
      If you believe otherwise your school education is not very good.
      OTOH, you need something more like 2 meters of rise. I doubt you'll see that by 2100, much less 2050.
      This is what everyone is claiming right now ... but I find this unbelievable. Trends like this usually accelerate ... and after a while of accelerating just a little bit, they suddenly charge with immense speed.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:Annnnnd.... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Sorry, you don't need evidence for the laws of physic.

      The laws of physics are a human construct based on observation. If reality disagrees with the laws of physics, then it's not reality which is wrong.

      And even though in theory, you can construct the right model from available data, we've always had to test our models against reality.

      Climate models have the twin burdens of having to make a number of approximations (for example, for the cooling effects from storms and cyclones) and data of dubious integrity (there's something like three decades of fairly solid satellite data, about an additional century of less reliable temperature data from weather stations, and then temperature proxy data of dubious value past that point. The laws of physics don't tell you whether that data and those approximations are good enough or not.

      This is what everyone is claiming right now ... but I find this unbelievable. Trends like this usually accelerate ... and after a while of accelerating just a little bit, they suddenly charge with immense speed.

      How long is "a while" of accelerating a little bit? Please keep in mind that the radiative heating models they use are generally linear approximations which would snap as well.

  15. They're not serious about it yet. by ashelton · · Score: 1

    It's a by product of the UN requiring consensus from every nation to pass anything. The smaller nations know we're not going to stop increasing global carbon emissions (and maybe believe they can continue on mostly as usual) so hope they can get some money out of the process. And it's pretty convenient for the US as they can justify doing nothing on the basis of the UN being ineffectual. Meanwhile China says it doesn't apply to them (despite being the biggest global emitter) because they didn't get to poison the planet in the first place so they deserve their turn (In UN terms that's referred to as "equity"). I recommend http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RInrvSjW90U/ for the current numbers. Basically if we want a planet that looks remotely like the comfortable one we occupy now we'd need to peak carbon emissions soon (before 2020) and start reducing at unheard of rates. Instead most of the planet has no intention of stopping, some of the nations just want to get some money out of it, and a small group (15% of global emissions) are trying to cut their emissions by numbers that are a small fraction of what would be needed globally. We're pretty much guaranteed to blow through any manageable carbon trajectory in the next decade. Probably sooner because most of the news out of the climate scientists is bad and that they may have badly underestimated how sensitive the system is. Be thankful though, we'll basically get to watch mankind fumble their first highly probable global crisis (barring miracle discoveries or climate science being wrong in a good way) which should be entertaining. Given the current prediction is 4c by by 2050 (twice the "acceptably dangerous" level of 2c, 6c by 2100) we'll even get to see many of the effects start to kick in.

  16. OR ... Judge Roy Bean by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From www.qsl.net/w5www/roybean.html
    But with the nearest courtroom a week's ride away, and County Commissioners eager to establish some sort of local law enforcement. They appointed Roy Bean Justice of the Peace for Precinct No. 6, Pecos County, Texas. Roy was just crazy, or drunk enough to accept. He packed up and moved north from Vinegaroon to a small tent city on a bluff above the Rio Grande named Langtry in honor of a railroad boss who had run the Southern Pacific's tracks through it.
    - - - - -
    I am coming to belive that the Smith and Wesson, or its modern equivalents, will soon be the ONLY true law, as justice no longer exists outside any individual's willingness to die or become a slave to either corporate or bureaucrat power mongering.

  17. Soooo..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what does this mean for the poor countries ravaging rainforests all over the world? Am I going to start seeing "rainforest money" in my mailbox!?

  18. So Obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is an obvious and thinly veiled talk about redistribution on a global scale that uses environmental issues as the backdrop.

  19. Israel is already dead by Weezul · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Israel will die within 100 years. An average increase of 4 degrees C translates into a much greater increase over land because the earth is 70% covered by water and the temperature won't change as much over water. In the Mediterranean, that average 4C increase should translate into a 9C overland increase. Israel routinely hangs out above 36C during the summer. Israel routinely has 98% humidity in the summer. Humans cannot survive 100% humidity at 45C. I'd therefore expect that Israel will be effectively uninhabitable by humans in 2100, although obviously their humidity might change before then.

    --
    The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
    1. Re:Israel is already dead by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 1, Troll

      You're working under the assumption that the climate will increase nonstop until then. This is unlikely, however it has happened before. Many, many times before.

      And you know, during these warm periods, the earth was much more green than it is now. Macro scale life was also much larger.

      --
      Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
    2. Re:Israel is already dead by tsa · · Score: 1

      I truly hope Israel has destroyed itself long before that. If the US wouldn't pump billions of dollars into their 'economy' every year (billions they could use better for themselves) they would have ceased to exist long ago. I completely agree with Anonymous Coward above. Hopefully Netanyahu and his cronies will be voted out of the government soon and then the peace process can start for real.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    3. Re:Israel is already dead by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Humans cannot survive 100% humidity at 45C.

      Good luck then for the Arabs further to the east, where the climate is even more continental. But I would have thought that the proximity of the Mediterranean Sea, acting as an accumulator, keeps the temperature changes close to the global level.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    4. Re:Israel is already dead by khallow · · Score: 1

      Several things wrong with this picture. First, the biggest temperature increases come in the upper northern hemisphere, as the snow line retreats. Other land areas, especially those that already start very hot, don't heat up as much. Second, we have air conditioning and ground cooling. No one is going to hang around outside in 45C heat and 100% humidity. Pretty much what they do now anyway.

      Third, what 4C change in global mean temperature? The Earth isn't heating up that much now despite how much CO2 has been put in the atmosphere. It's a prediction based on one or more untested models and doesn't really fit what we currently observe. It shouldn't be hard to figure out the problems with doing that sort of thing.

  20. Bad deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The outcome of these talks is just not enough. An extension of Kyoto is not nearly enough. I just ran out of hope. This issue will not be solved and a lot of people will die as a result.

  21. Screw Africa by p51d007 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Look at the continent of Africa...pretty much everything south of the oil fields IS A WASTELAND. A black preacher said it best...."you blacks ain't built nothin' ". Yep, pretty much hits the nail on the head! Why should countries, that actually BUILT up their nations, be forced to once again prop up countries that want to run around barefoot, shooting each other with spears? Oh, but their countries are run by dictators? Yeah, and where do you think the trillions already handed to these countries (unicef) has gone?

    1. Re:Screw Africa by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What a hideous distortion. First of all the "First World" has been plundering sub-Saharan Africa for over five centuries, and second of all a good deal of the economic woes of the region are due directly to those policies.

      Third; you're an ignoramus (and probably a crypto racist). There were sub Saharan kingdoms of a fairly sophisticated nature.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Screw Africa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look at the continent of Africa...pretty much everything south of the oil fields IS A WASTELAND. ...that want to run around barefoot, shooting each other with spears?

      This level of ignorance in 2012 is just unacceptable.

      You're on Slashdot so evidently you are capable of basic internet use - do yourself a favour and actually read up on the facts about Africa before spouting this drivel in the future. If you can't be bothered to do that at least look at a map. South Africa is an oil producing country and it is literally the southmost country on the continent. So your assertion that everything south of the oil fields is 'a wasteland' is wrong - south of the oil fields isn't land at all, it's the ocean.

      Even if we presume that your comment is only referring to the relatively oil rich north, south of that we have Zimbabwe, Angola, Mozambique...none of which are particularly known for "shooting each other with spears".

      Here's something for you - this is a file photo of Maputo in Mozambique. Man, there are so many spears flying from those apartment windows you can barely see anything else!

      Wasteland indeed.

    3. Re:Screw Africa by MikeKD · · Score: 1

      (and probably a crypto racist)

      Probably? Crypo? You are being way too generous.

    4. Re:Screw Africa by stenvar · · Score: 2

      Third; you're an ignoramus (and probably a crypto racist). There were sub Saharan kingdoms of a fairly sophisticated nature.

      You can find a list here:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_kingdoms_in_pre-colonial_Africa

      "Fairly sophisticated" compared to what? Large cities, writing, legal codes, democracy, entire empires existed in the Mediterranean and Asia for thousands of years BC. The Olmec empire in the Americas started in 1500BC. What has sub-Saharan Africa produced that comes even close?

  22. where to spend money on a raft? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess no one offering to take in refugees from Maldives or Bangladesh?

  23. Greed by lorinc · · Score: 1

    'We're past the mitigation [emissions cuts] and adaptation eras. We're now right into the era of loss and damage. What's next after that? Destruction?'

    Obviously, the ultimate answer to this question is the same as for the Fermi paradox: greed.

  24. Bwahahaha! by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

    Just like US elections, the majority voted to take money from the successful minority and have it given to themselves.

    Mod parent funny!

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  25. Sounds like a bad version of emission credits by Hentes · · Score: 1

    Countries paying an undefined compensation in proportion of their wealth won't solve anything. If we want to incentivize emission cuts, we should require countries to pay up (or receive aid) in proportion of their emissions. That's what the old emission credit system did, and while it wasn't perfect it was still much better than the current treaty. But that wasn't good for the radical greens, now look at what we've got as a result.

  26. UN: Threat or Menace? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't worry, Hugh, Jennifer and her bankster elite puppet-masters will pay for saving the planet. Using your pension and tax funds, of course. I seriously doubt the UN is going to bother Arab oil sheiks, Chinese Party bosses, or the Indian Parliament to fund this "aid". Damned sure better not bother me.

    A few hundred triillion in "damages" would not do a DAMNED thing about climate change, WHATEVER it's cause. This is a shakedown, pure and simple.
    I will suggest to you that Ms. Haverkamp and her pals have a much, much bigger disconnect to deal with. There's more than a tort here, there's hanging offenses.
    Not the least of which is the perversion of science.

    Sorry to be blunt. I wish more people would drink less Kool-Aid(tm), though.

  27. don't forget Algore by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    ...whose old man [father] was into dirty coal, too.

  28. What's the real story here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This whole discussion makes me puke.

    You think that artifically driving up the cost of energy in "carbon trading or fines" is going to somehow save the planet? It's really, really simple, even you retards can get it if someone explains it in simple enough terms. So here goes:

    You make my gas artifically expensive, I use a little bit less of it. Maybe I use a whole lot less of it. In any case, I demand less. The price drops a bit. This means that China/India/Whoever can access more of that resource, and get the habit too.

    Does overall comsumption go down? No, of course not. I remains stable, but perhaps gets burnt in a less efficient, more polluting engine.

    It's this simple: While the resource is there, humans will use it. When it's gone, humans will look for something else. This has nothing to do with rich or poor.

    So, my suggestion is this: Go to the Chinese government, get them to stop burning their shitty brown coal for their energy needs, and while you're there, get them to pay for the flood damage on my house.

    And look how well "institutionalization culture" has done in Africa so far: The more money arrives, the more it feeds the corruption and the more it ends up in the wrong pockets. That's the real story here: we've got a band of banana republics lobbying for more corruption fodder...

  29. already given... by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 2

    Actually most people alive today would never have existed without the fossil fueled economies. Some might argue that this is bad for the species since so many are marginally independent at best, a la Heinlein. Consumers only...

    1. Re:already given... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Actually, you have that reversed: even more people would be alive today without the fossil fueled economies. You seem to have forgotten that birth rates are inversely related to prosperity. Because of prosperity in the West created by fossil fuel exploitation untold millions of lives were never started.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  30. The charade... by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    is that "rich" countries are pretending that they are rich. Most appear to be insolvent and much of their educated populations are headed for extinction for failure to reproduce.

  31. Its a faith issue, really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People of 'Science' believe that the earth was created billions of years ago, based on research.

    People of 'Faith' believe that the earth was created thousands of years ago, by a supreme being, because he could.

    People of 'Climate Change' believe the earth was created 200 years ago, because that's when the base their temp data, because its convenient.

    If all the Climate Change people would simply run into the chipper/shredder (I'll make a solar powered one if they fear the emissions) we can get on with life.

  32. Re:Israel? by flyneye · · Score: 1

    I'm thankful for them for several reasons, the least not being the burr they figuratively place under the saddle of certain mid-east nations.
    The maintenance of a beautiful country that keeps it friendly for me as a u.s. American to visit. Krav Maga, small machine guns and sexy women. These are a few of my favorite things...

    I agree what happens to Israel is karma, but for disobeying YHVH when originally told to eliminate those inhabiting the promised land to the last breath. In retrospect this would probably made today quite different. Sometimes pity really is a weakness,in spite of not, most of the time.

    Nazis I won't consider part of the equation, since they would've gladly eliminated the local Islamic along with the Jews, both are Semitic.

    As far as blowing taxes, I recall we aren't Constitutionally allowed to do much of anything outside of defending our own borders. This policing the ungrateful assholes of the world came along with the "New Deal" horseshit back when the Repubmocrat tyranny first conspired. None of it is our fucking problem and I don't want to hear anyones lame ass excuses about foreign business interests. That is why we set borders to begin with and outside investments are a worse GAMBLE than chances taken on domestic ones. Tough droppings.

    --
    *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
  33. Glenn Beck was Right!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And everyone called Glenn Back a scare monger when he mentioned this was their purpose. Have the rich countries pay the poor countries. He has been saying this is the purpose of climate change advocates for the past 5 years. Everyone says he is a loon, but then when he is right, nobody says anything.

    So here you go all you anti Beck guys who never listen to him and just listen to what people say about him. He was right and has been on so many things...like the 08 fiscal cliff and the endless wars in the middle east, and all the Bush spending, and all the Obama spending.

  34. Glenn Beck Was Right!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He predicted this 5 years ago.
    Please don't delete this comment like the last one I posted saying the same thing.

  35. We've known this purpose for a long time by Quila · · Score: 1

    It's one of the reasons I remain skeptical. Where there are billions, or trillions, of dollars to be made, you can be fairly sure the motives aren't going to be pure.

  36. Nothing but a scam to take from the by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rich and give to the poor.

  37. I'm Selfish by twakar · · Score: 1

    As the subject line notes, I'M SELFISH.

    Allow me to elaborate.

    I believe the world needs a 'reboot'. There is far too much wrong in the world that I think we need to start over.. not as cavemen, but the governments of the world need to be replaced, as does the allocation of wealth. I don't mean wealth resdistribution, as I am a capitalist, but the way things are now, capitalism can't work... too much control (patents, copyrights, barriers to entry) for people to bring themselves up. Too many roadblocks. Not to mention the problems (yes I consider them problems) of surveillance, too much government control, taxes, over-population, censorship and so many other ills of the world. Of course this could blow up in my face, but I do belive most of the world is corrupt and in need of rebuilding.

    Secondly, as has been noted recently, it would appear that Russia and Canada could very benefit from climate change. As a Canadian, I would welcome some warmer weather, and I VERY resent having to pay someone, somewhere for alleged damage, without considering the good, for something that I can benefit from, and actually want. Notice that I'm not denying it, or skeptical of it... I am looking forward to it, and I hope I live to see it.

    I also have a wife and 2 kids, including a 3 year old whom I love very much, but I fear for their future the ways things are now.

    Call me selfish, but I want the world rebooted, and my home just a touch warmer ;)

    --
    Progress is man's ability to complicate simplicity!
  38. So, much ado about nothing? by russotto · · Score: 1

    200 nations... but all the major ones will either be exempted by the new treaty (China, India) or won't accede to it (US, Russia).

  39. I'm just glad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm just glad "man-made" climate change was proven to be 100% bullshit.

  40. Zombi Power On Display by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Governmental Employees soaking up the booze and per diem have like found a source of Zombi Power.

    Who would have thought that after the Official Ending, the Zombies managed a Coup De Gras and resuscitated
    the Kyoto Protocol and champion 'Climate Aid' from the 15% still desperately holding on to the Kyoto Protocol.
    Even Japan has abdicated from the Kyoto Protocol!

    Well.

    I would hazard that 'Climate Aid' is like the 'AIDS' fund for countries who have not the talent nor money to have
    any kind of GNP.

    "Oh ... The Horror ... The Horror ..." as one Doha delegate being removed from the proceedings proclaimed wile
    prone on a slab.

    XD

  41. All They EVER Cared About... by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    ....was getting "free money".

    How *exactly* does sending money to other nations help fight alleged climate change?

    Ferret

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
    1. Re:All They EVER Cared About... by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Developing countries don't want to cut their emissions because they already have low emissions. Countries that have had low emissions but are suffering from climate change also don't want to lower emissions. Paying them money levels the playing field and gets them to cooperate to continue to keep emissions low or reduce emissions. In short, we need countries to cooperate, so we need a deal that countries will agree to, which is one that everyone finds fair.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:All They EVER Cared About... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Well, it might give the countries who produce the most emissions an incentive to tax emissions, if they are eventually required to pay based on their level of emissions. And, of course, taxing emissions would pass the incentive on to privately owned corporation and individuals. So it could eventually help reduce emissions.

      On the other hand, giving money to the people who are suffering the consequences could help them mitigate or repair the damage. For example, the money might be put to use building a dyke to protect a city that is currently at sea level.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  42. The cable in question by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

    is here. Maldives encouraged to request assistance with infrastructure projects worth $50M, in exchange for supporting the US climate agenda.

    --
    Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
  43. Draft IPCC Report of 2013 Circulating by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    More precise modeling alows IPCC climate report to backstep from previous hysterical claims and hoopla that every recent unusual weather event was a harbinger of doom to come.

    Sea level rise in next century, not even a meter. Hurricanes & sever storms, somewhat LESS of them. Arid areas, become slightly more arid and areas with frequent precipitation have somewhat more rain. Total temperature rise in next 100 years, 2 degrees C on top of the 1 degree C rise over 20th century.

    In short, not a doomsday scenario, not the end of the world.

          http://abcnews.go.com/International/science-hone-climate-change-warnings/story?id=17906408#.UMVJntHQQSk

    1. Re:Draft IPCC Report of 2013 Circulating by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Curiously the draft report does not seem materially different from the 2007 report. In fact, that is the very point of the linked article! Dispite this, people seem to alternate between claiming that the IPCC is alarmist and claiming that their reports are 'hardly a doomsday scenario'. Sometimes within the same posting.

  44. Just create a fiat currency to pay for it by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

    All we need to do is invent a new fiat currency, convince the third world that it has value, and pay them in that. Problem solved.

  45. Screw the united nations by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wish America would stop supporting these unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats. I am sure there is more to this story, but I'm sorry, the united nations is a complete joke. Dissolve the united nations. There is nothing united about it.

  46. Fossil fuel companies. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Making money flow to them.

    What a shock.

  47. How about this? by jasper160 · · Score: 1

    We tie their payments to their human rights, women's rights, religious freedom (to have or not to have), and free speech. Oh, you don't have those? Too bad.

    --
    No good deed goes unpunished.
  48. well, well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    NATIONS do not pay these bills.. their taxpaying citizens do. And taking the money earned by individual taxpayers and redistributing it to another nation because of climate change is NOWHERE in the constitution. I guess that doesnt matter to some of you? We should just let the government do whatever it wants.. because they couldnt possibly abuse the power or anything.. or that sits unethical even f it were constitutionally sound. Funny how you all scream about constitutional power when it comes to internet privacy and personal freedom but you throw it all out the windows when its a cause that makes YOU feel better.

  49. Come again? by flaming+error · · Score: 1

    Appeals to scientific textbooks are fallacious, but unsupported conjecture about a vast international pan-professional conspiracy corrupting every venerable scientific institution on the planet is not?