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Windows Phone Actually Gaining Market Share In Some Countries

Nerval's Lobster writes "Last week, research firm IDC issued a report suggesting that Windows Phone shipments exceeded those of the iPhone in seven countries around the world, including Argentina, India, Poland, and Russia. The data startled some people — Daring Fireball's John Gruber, for example, blogged his skepticism. As the story gained a bit more momentum, The New York Times' Nick Wingfield reached out to IDC analyst Kevin Restivo for a bit more clarification: 'IDC's numbers also reflect only the official number of cellphones imported into the countries,' he wrote. 'Mr. Restivo said that in some countries, like Argentina, high government taxes mean there is a very significant gray market in cellphones, which IDC doesn't track.' Now new survey data from Kantar Worldpanel uggests that Windows Phone is indeed gaining some sort of momentum in some parts of the world: Android was responsible for 51.2 percent of smartphone sales in the U.S. for the quarter ended February 2013, followed in second by Apple's iOS with 43.5 percent, with Windows Phone edging up into third place with 4.1 percent. BlackBerry trailed in fourth with 0.7 percent, down significantly from its 3.6 percent market-share last year. That doesn't mean that Windows Phone will prove any sort of champion in the near term, but maybe the platform isn't totally on life support."

26 of 114 comments (clear)

  1. rot-13 version by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    We don't normally read the OP or the articles, so rot-13 doesn't seem to slow down our comments.

  2. Windows Phone Gaining Momentum by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    This is easily the best April Fools joke of the day.

    1. Re:Windows Phone Gaining Momentum by stenvar · · Score: 2

      Says who?

  3. Re:/jumping/the/shark by mkiwi · · Score: 2

    At least OMG PONIES!!! was colorful...

  4. Slow Burn by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's unlikely either iOS or Windows Phone will ever attain android levels of adoption--however, I remember working on Android marketing for the first couple years and sales were pretty sad then too. Maybe it's because Windows Phone finally has Chase, United and official pandora apps but it feels like it might have finally hit the app threshold to be taken seriously in the last few weeks.

    Seeing as BB10 has all of Android's apps it might be able to leapfrog Windows Phone's "lost year" but now they're back where WP was at the beginning of last year. So even if they are a year ahead of where Windows Phone *was* they'll still be behind (just like Windows Phone is behind Android).

    Regardless of whether or not Windows Phone is a success--it was a necessary effort on MS' fault. It laid the groundwork for all of their Windows strategy. If nothing else it is functioning well as a large R&D effort to make Windows 9 a run-anywhere OS. Windows 8 is already slowly displacing Windows phone. W8 is the kernel, W8 is driving the app framework now... undoubtedly by W9 both the phone and PC will be the same OS through and through.

    In the long run the question will be whether or not a Tablet/Phone OS (android) can scale up to handle PC duties better than a PC OS (Windows) can scale down to handle phone duties. Windows Phone 8 as a proof of concept has already proven it's possible. But we don't have a desktop android to compare it to. But like I said, one way or another a single OS is the direction everything is headed. And if Microsoft didn't invest in Windows Phone, windows would ultimately die. Market share in the mobile phone device is IMO secondary to this goal. Meanwhile Apple still has to go through this painful transition at some point in the future.

    1. Re:Slow Burn by fredgiblet · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Indeed. I've said before and I'll say again, I think MS is finally ahead of the curve. It's possible they're too far ahead, changing things too fast, but I expect that in 5-10 years Google and Apple will both have converged their Operating Systems as well and the idea of a computer without a tablet-oriented default interface will be considered silly.

      MS needs to release a docking station for the Surface that lets it act like a desktop, of course they'd prefer to keep people buying both as long as possible.

    2. Re:Slow Burn by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If Ubuntu is ahead of the curve, I'll follow a straight line instead.

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    3. Re:Slow Burn by strikethree · · Score: 2

      Indeed. I've said before and I'll say again, I think MS is finally ahead of the curve.

      I have been wrong before but I am going to go out on a limb here (I would bet my life savings on it) and say that Microsoft is not even *in* the game. Sure, they are trying to be in it but they are not even really a competitor. They have absolutely no focus on the user/purchaser of their products. All of the their products are designed around Microsoft's needs, not the purchaser's needs; therefore, they will ALWAYS be a failure in all markets that they do not have a monopoly in (and will eventually lose their monopoly in the desktop operating system market).

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  5. 2013 by abednegoyulo · · Score: 3, Funny

    Year of the Windows Phone!

  6. I know that it's April 1st by ModernGeek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know that it's April 1st, but can we make these articles at least a LITTLE believable? That's the whole point in getting the "... gotcha!" at the end.

    --
    Sig: I stole this sig.
  7. Re:Has anyone actually seen a Windows Mobile phone by Miamicanes · · Score: 5, Interesting

    > millions of Windows Mobile Phones are sitting in a warehouse somewhere?

    or reflashed to Android. Don't laugh. The Htc Touch HD ended up being one of the best Android phones, ever... and firmly convinced most of Microsoft's remaining mobile developer ecosystem to say "Fuck Microsoft" after their flagship phone with 16 months left on-contract was cruelly & prematurely EOL'ed for the crime of having 4 hardkeys instead of 3. Yes, read that again. It had 4, and some tool @ Microsoft decided to officially shun it because Windows Phone devices were required to have exactly 3 buttons.

  8. Maybe you are ignoring the real reason ? by aphelion_rock · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nokia made big inroads into the cell-phone market because their products were easy to use. Microsoft teamed up with Nokia with the view of entering the marked with a Microsoft powered device. This is the result.

    Speaking to the people who own a Windows phone, they are very happy with it. People are familiar with Windows and Nokia's reputation for useability has probably paid dividends.

    Not all of the users of cell-phones are the younger generation who easily adapt to a complicated device.

    1. Re:Maybe you are ignoring the real reason ? by FoolishOwl · · Score: 2

      Windows phones are no simpler than iPhones or Android phones.

    2. Re:Maybe you are ignoring the real reason ? by sd4f · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've done the same thing, had a SGS1, which was software wise, an abortion of a phone, as it didn't work well (probably due to carrier related fw) so i moved up to a nokia L920. WP8 still has a lot of catching up to do, software wise, however the the lumia hardware is excellent.

    3. Re:Maybe you are ignoring the real reason ? by strikethree · · Score: 2

      Not all of the users of cell-phones are the younger generation who easily adapt to a complicated device.

      WTF are you saying? That Microsoft's phone operating system product is easier to use than Android or IOS? Perhaps if you dig deep enough into Android's internals, it could be considered "complicated"... but IOS? Complicated?

      Your view is demented or distorted if you believe what it appears that you are saying.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    4. Re:Maybe you are ignoring the real reason ? by TheNinjaroach · · Score: 2

      Speaking to the people who own a Windows phone, they are very happy with it.

      Our "Desktop OS" guy absolutely, positively wants to see Windows succeed. It's his bread and butter.

      He wants to see Windows 8 succeed so bad that he traded in his iPhone 5 for a high-end Windows Mobile. He sugar coats almost everything he says about Windows... but the phone? He says, "The phone just doesn't get it."

      --
      I went to eat some animal crackers and the box said, "Do not eat if seal is broken." I opened the box and sure enough..
  9. Best April 1 prank by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2

    Was it done by Steve Balmer or done to Steve Balmer? That is the question.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  10. Re:well by Missing.Matter · · Score: 2

    Rtfa. Windows phone has as much as 13% in Italy, 6.7% in the U.K., and 6.8% in Germany. It's doing much better in Europe than the US.

  11. Re:well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Is that maybe just because they still buy Nokia phones in Europe?

  12. This was real by Frankie70 · · Score: 2

    I had done a submission a week back - http://slashdot.org/submission/2570591/idc-predicts-windows-phone-to-be-the-fastest-growing-platform

    Overall, IDC says Windows Phone and Windows Mobile devices accounted for six percent of the 227 million smartphones shipped worldwide in the fourth quarter of 2012. For the year, Windows Phone made up 2.6 percent, however, the analyst firm is predicting Windows Phone to be the fastest growing platform between now to 2016 with a compound annual growth rate of 71.3 percent. IDC expects Windows Phone to account for 11.4 percent of smartphone shipments by 2016, largely off the back of declining Android market share.

    Windows Phone handsets have outsold the iPhone in seven markets including India, analyst firm IDC has revealed, and beat out BlackBerry in 26. Some of the countries where Windows Phone pipped the iOS handset in Q4 2012 were Argentina, India, Poland, Russia, South Africa and the Ukraine.

    1. Re:This was real by gmack · · Score: 2

      IDC is also the company that predicted that the Itanium would be a huge success so I would take any prediction of theirs with a grain of salt.

    2. Re:This was real by japa · · Score: 2

      IDC's forecast on windows phones for 2012 was only %238 off. Ref: Tomi Ahonen consulting

  13. Ignoring the rather dubious maths. by tuppe666 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's funny how people are quick to make fun of Windows Phone. It's like they don't realize that Windows Phone has market share that is 3-4 times larger than desktop Linux's market share.

    Its not funny, its depressing. Linux occupys about 75% of the phone market compared to Microsoft 2.6% [Less if we count incompatible OS] at the cost of Nokia/Microsoft represent market shares of 25%/10% highs before their merger [self mutilation].

    It shows how well Linux shines compared to Microsoft when Microsoft it unable to use its Oppressive Microsoft Monopoly [or simply by being one] can successfully restrict competition. When you see Microsoft complaining [and throwing Billions at the problem] it can't get market share by not being able to access first party Google apps; not getting carriers to sell its product. Its kind or ironic. The fact that its not a good product just an aside

    Linux on the Desktop continues to grow, nobody is noticing, because the Desktop is not sexy right now, both to the shame of Apple and Microsoft, but funny never...I feel for those Nokia employees, that have been sacrificed for this White Elephant.

    1. Re:Ignoring the rather dubious maths. by Xest · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "It shows how well Linux shines compared to Microsoft when Microsoft it unable to use its Oppressive Microsoft Monopoly [or simply by being one] can successfully restrict competition."

      It's funny you used to say this, I used to work local government here in the UK quite some years back and the head of IT there was as corrupt as they come* in signing up a massive multi-million pound deal with Microsoft for their software assurance programme. They didn't even evaluate FOSS at the time precisely because it was such a whitewash of a deal - the only contender they bothered to evaluate was Microsoft, so no wonder they won the bid - it's kind of easy when the person deciding on the bid wont let anyone else put a bid forward.

      Fast forward to today and I'm told by an old friend who still works there that they're getting rid of all their Blackberries after all this time and are replacing them with... Windows Phones. That means a few thousand windows phone sales right there.

      This is just one of 468 councils in the UK. Multiply this sort of backhander deal across all of the councils where there is trivially corruptible IT management, multiply it across the world and it's no surprise Windows Phone is gaining market share.

      *I know this for a fact, because I was working in a conference hall that had a stage with curtains prior to a conference and was fixing some broken network points behind the curtains when he wasn't aware I was there. I heard him talking to the Microsoft sales rep about everything from how they both fiddle their expenses to how they were looking forward to getting the deal signed before it had even gone out to tender.

  14. Re:well by jbernardo · · Score: 2

    In Belgium, Luxembourg and Portugal I've only seen another windows phone in the wild (outside of MS seminars). The owner was happy with it, as the Nokia hardware is still good. However, he used it only for phone calls and quick emails.

    In these three countries the phone distribution is very different - Luxembourg I can see a lot of Galaxy S3 and Note, Belgium is mostly 50/50 between older Apple and Samsung/HTC, Portugal is more ZTE and some Samsung.

    My Lumia is only being used as a second phone - it works to receive phone calls for a second SIM, but that is it. The crappy interface (impossible to see notifications unless the tile is in view, among other idiotic limitations), incomplete bluetooth, lack of configurability completely killed it for me. Well, the person who gave it to me won't give me another one, that is for sure.

    Btw, was I the only one to notice that Kantar has changed its "data" since landing a nice contract with Microsoft? As for the IDC statement that WP is outselling iOS in 7 countries, more damning are all the other countries where it is outsould by Bada, BB, etc. If even selling phones below cost (lower price lumias are being sold at a loss, only compensated by the money Microsoft injects in Nokia) doesn't allow "winning" more than 7 markets, things are really bad. And when you take into account that both IDC and Kantar are only showing number for officially shipped phones, and don't include "grey" imports, and that in some of these markets (Poland, Argentina, etc.) the iPhones aren't even on sale, then this looks as another failed attempt to fake interest in WP, by the same marketing companies that have been telling us that WP8 phones are selling out, the same that told us that WP7 phones had sold out...

  15. Re:well by jbernardo · · Score: 2

    Care to explain what "lack of configurability" means?

    Well, if you look at what WP is copying (android's widgets) you'll see what I mean by lack of configurability. Only three sizes, long "toilet paper" list with no way to add side screens, etc. I can see how it is more configurable for you if you're coming from iOS, but even iOS now can create folders, allowing you to organize your apps as you want. WP doesn't know what that is, you only have two views, either the tiles, or the alphabetical list. It might work if you have only a few apps, but when you pass the 100 is completely unmanageable. And I have over 200 on my Android, which I use regularly.

    As for notifications, you're right, Apple only recently copied them from Android. But Apple has fanatical followers and it has allowed them to sell a less "feature rich" phone at a premium price- Microsoft I'd bet has more haters than followers, and apparently has trouble selling WP even at barrel scraping prices.