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Fukushima Actually "Much Worse" Than So Far Disclosed, Say Experts

PuceBaboon writes "The BBC is reporting that experts are casting doubt on the veracity of statements from both the Tokyo Electric Power Company and the Japanese government regarding the seriousness of the problems at the Fukushima nuclear power plant. Not only are the constant leaks releasing radioactivity into the ocean (and thus into the food chain), but now there are also worries that the spent fuel rod storage pools may be even more unstable than first thought. An external consultant warns, 'The Japanese have a problem asking for help. It is a big mistake; they badly need it.'"

274 comments

  1. screw the spin by nimbius · · Score: 1

    Be optimistic about it. if it gets any worse, we'll be able to use sushi instead of toothpaste.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
    1. Re:screw the spin by msauve · · Score: 2

      You use toothpaste which makes your teeth glow in the dark?

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    2. Re:screw the spin by gweihir · · Score: 1

      You want your toothpaste to cause your teeth to fall out? Effective in protecting the teeth, admittedly, but somehow still seems to be a bizarre way to do so.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  2. Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by JoeyRox · · Score: 4, Interesting
    1. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by AmiMoJo · · Score: 5, Informative

      18 children already have thyroid cancer, 25 more waiting to be confirmed. For reference the usual incidence rate is one is a few hundred thousand, and these children are from a group of about 300,000 being monitored so the normal rate would be about 2-3 a year.

      It's pretty bad.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by h4rr4r · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And what would the rate be if we examined all kids that thoroughly?

    3. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by LordLimecat · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I dont believe cancer generally develops that fast, and would highly suspect an agenda from any organization that tries to claim it does-- particularly when the estimates for radiation exposure even for the 3 workers most seriously exposed are just on the fringe of "elevated risk of cancer".

    4. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      the normal rate would be one child with thyroid cancer in 300,000. not 2-3 as you say. it says "The incidence rate of thyroid cancer in children is said to be one in hundreds of thousands".

      the thyroid cancer rate is therefore 43x normal. given that they underestimate and underdetect, the cautious factor is 100x not 10x.

    5. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its been years since the accident. It seems like enough time to me, but I am not a doctor or know that much about medicine.

    6. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      It happens fairly quickly in children. Besides, what other explanation is there? Are you saying that doctors are lying about this and will perform surgery and chemotherapy followed by lifelong medication because...?

      Chernobyl is estimated to have caused at least 6000 extra cases of thyroid cancer, beyond the normal background level. I don't see how any can seriously deny the probable link any more.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I dont believe cancer generally develops that fast," Too bad you have no data, non-scientist.

    8. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      It happens fairly quickly in children. Besides, what other explanation is there?

      That maybe children dont regularly get checked for thyroid cancer, but that it is nevertheless present in a given population, and theyre catching the ones that were already there?

    9. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Informative

      You would know if you had thyroid cancer. The symptoms are not something you can ignore, and eventually you would die. I think it's safe to say there are not many unexplained deaths due to undiagnosed thyroid cancer.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    10. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Informative

      The same. Thyroid cancer has some hard to ignore symptoms and eventually spreads and kills you if untreated. I suppose if there were zero more detections for the next couple of decades we could write it off to early detection, but somehow I doubt that is very likely.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    11. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by h4rr4r · · Score: 3, Informative

      Early stages are very easy to miss.
      I know, I am basically waiting for it due to other thyroid problems.

    12. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by ArsonSmith · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How many children would die if there was no power?

      How many children would have died from coal burning related illnesses?

      How many children would not have been born because their parents died due to either of the above?

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    13. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the blood tests for Thyroglobulin which is a cheap easy way to test for thyroid cancer is not 100% accurate.

      Its the old, even if the test is 99% accurate, if the incidence rate of thyroid cancer in the population is 1 per 100k, then testing everyone will provide more false positives than actual cases.

      So, without diving into the data (beyond the estimated dosage guidelines), I question anyone with an agenda claiming an increased rate due to Fukushima. Give it a few years, if the rate keeps increasing then questioning the initial dosage numbers is in order, right now, the claims of increased incidence should be questioned because its not supported by the radiation data or any kind of radiation dosage models even assuming the data has been significantly under-reported.

    14. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      How many children would die if there was no power?

      How many children would have died from coal burning related illnesses?

      How many children would not have been born because their parents died due to either of the above?

      About 10% of all children die before the age of five in societies with little or no power compared to about 0.5% in countries with power, so that's about 2000 additional deaths per year per 100,000 children under five.

    15. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by leathered · · Score: 2

      It's pretty bad.

      If I had a choice of what cancer I would have it would be thyroid. It's one of the most treatable cancers with an over 90% survival rate, the 10% fatalities usually affecting those who have sought treatment far too late.

      --
      For all intensive porpoises your a bunch of rediculous loosers
    16. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Personally, I'd prefer not to have cancer.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    17. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Sure, but it doesn't matter. The numbers are too high to be accounted for simply by early detection.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    18. Re: Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I believe when we induce cancer, or tumor genesis, the time frame is a few weeks.

      Using a model system in an insect host, days.

    19. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Actually, there is data. The only fast-acting radiation-induced cancer I know of is leukemia.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    20. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      You would know if you had thyroid cancer.

      Except that they didnt know that these children had thyroid cancer, which is why it was caught in a blanket test of 300,000 children-- so clearly what youre saying is not accurate.

    21. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by khallow · · Score: 2

      Thyroid cancer has some hard to ignore symptoms and eventually spreads and kills you if untreated.

      No, advanced cases of it do. Small growths on your thyroid do not.

      I suppose if there were zero more detections for the next couple of decades we could write it off to early detection

      No, because they're going to be early detecting for probably the entire lives of these children.

      People don't get how observation bias works. If one took a control population and examined that group just as aggressively, one would see more cases of thyroid cancer as well.

    22. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It may well be detectable before it's symptomatic.

    23. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And how many people die to coal every year?

      Keep this in perspective. Nuclear is empirically by far the safest.
      Just because we can't see radiation we fear it more.

    24. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by PNutts · · Score: 1

      Its been years since the accident. It seems like enough time to me, but I am not a doctor or know that much about medicine.

      But you did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.

    25. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Pav · · Score: 1

      Childhood cancers are almost universally aggressive... those young cells and healthy body work against you when things go wrong in certain ways. It's the same reason cancer is often ignored in the very elderly - it progresses slowly and something else will probably kill you first. Basically the point is it's hard to suffer observation bias when something kills you dead fairly quickly even if it's missed.

    26. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      How many children would die if there was no power?

      How many children would have died from coal burning related illnesses?

      Are those really humankind's only energy options? Coal, nuclear, or nothing?

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    27. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I'll rephrase that. You would eventually know you had thyroid cancer. It wouldn't affect the stats though as they include everyone who develops it at any time in their lives.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    28. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by s0nicfreak · · Score: 1

      Not really an option in today's world...

    29. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      Currently, yes. Especially in Japan.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    30. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      No, only you seem to say that. I gave the only truly valid alternative: coal.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    31. Re:Multiply any radiation claims by 10x by khallow · · Score: 1

      Childhood cancers are almost universally aggressive...

      [...]

      Basically the point is it's hard to suffer observation bias when something kills you dead fairly quickly even if it's missed.

      Observation bias works like that. When you looking harder, you see stuff that you didn't see before. I bet they're also more aggressively classifying what were non-cancers as cancer now.

      The only way to be sure that one filters out observation bias is to compare to a control sample. I believe in this case at these small levels of increase in incidence, we will see similar increases in thyroid cancers among children not exposed.

  3. Pride Always Sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yet nobody cares about your pride except you

    1. Re:Pride Always Sucks by tatman · · Score: 1

      Despite the anon coward post, there is a bit of truth to this. Rather than making it sound bad as pride, there is a cultural thing to consider. The Japanese are great and noble people.

      --
      I've always said English was my second language. Had Romeo and Juliet been written in C, I might have understood it.
    2. Re:Pride Always Sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      There's nothing "noble" about being overproud to the point of denial causing deaths.

    3. Re:Pride Always Sucks by epyT-R · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Just like the soviets were after chernobyl..From the locals at the plant doing the 'safety' test, to just after the initial accident, to the delays in evacuations, to the kremlin's international response..

      Pride is ok, but it's gotta be rational.. There's no reason to feel prideful when you fuck up. Now, I could see the argument for 'honor' (It's our mess, we should be the ones to clean it up), but for something like this, if you need help, you should ask. Governments with strong ideological bias often have trouble accepting that the laws of physics don't care about political borders.

    4. Re:Pride Always Sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretty much any government in a similar position would act in the same way. It's not pride, it's that people over-react, try to push their own agenda at every opportunity. Soon as something happens, groups come out of the woodwork pointing fingers and shouting "told you so!" This will go on as long as the majority of worldwide population doesn't say "ok shit happened, we're all in this together let's fix it together." Instead the Americans take cheap shots at the Russians and vice versa, the Chinese take cheap shots at the Japanese and vice versa, Greenpeace rams fishing boats, and everybody gets ultra-defensive.

    5. Re:Pride Always Sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go jack off to your animes some more. The japanese are fucking assholes all the way around.

    6. Re:Pride Always Sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Japanese are great and noble people.

      And about as racist as any people you will find anywhere on earth.

    7. Re:Pride Always Sucks by Iniamyen · · Score: 1

      How about, if it involves radiation and a body of water that touches other countries, it's not just your problem, so you better do some goddamn communicating!

    8. Re:Pride Always Sucks by epyT-R · · Score: 1

      This is essentially what I said.

    9. Re:Pride Always Sucks by sunking2 · · Score: 1

      Exactly. If you want proof just ask the Chinese.

    10. Re:Pride Always Sucks by losfromla · · Score: 1

      really? They don't have just the standard one?

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    11. Re:Pride Always Sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is no longer a matter of asking. The Japanese do not own the entire Pacific ocean. If they pollute their own country by recklessly handling a nuclear accident that is their problem, but a major release of radioactive material into the ocean hasn't been ruled out as a possibility. They should no longer have the option of declining aid since they've manifestly proven time and again that they can not contain the problem.

      If they would have accepted the assistance that we, the Americans, offered at first they likely would not be having these problems now. Their honor is worthless.

  4. level 1 to level 3 by schneidafunk · · Score: 1

    I don't really understand what the levels mean, anyone want to enlighten me with a simple explanation?

    --
    Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
    1. Re:level 1 to level 3 by schneidafunk · · Score: 1

      * I am referring to the levels described in the article here: "The Japanese nuclear energy watchdog raised the incident level from one to three on the international scale that measures the severity of atomic accidents. "

      --
      Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
    2. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      It means at least one of the 'level 3' conditions has been met.

      Most likely:

      Severe contamination in an area not expected by design, with a low probability of significant public exposure.

    3. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      A weak attempt to measure what can't sensibly be measured. Think defcon, but with kickback levels working in reverse (i.e. the more severe, the less money).

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    4. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      If this is a three, what's a 7? Hiroshima reloaded?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    5. Re:level 1 to level 3 by schneidafunk · · Score: 1

      Thanks!

      --
      Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
    6. Re:level 1 to level 3 by cyfer2000 · · Score: 1

      Cleanup Attempt At Japan's Fukushima Plant Could Release 14,000 Times As Much Radiation As Atomic Bomb. The fukushima is way worse than the Hiroshima bomb on radiation.

      --
      There is a spark in every single flame bait point.
    7. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Ken+D · · Score: 1

      After reading the article, it's clear that they mean that this leak by itself is a Level 3 incident. Not "Fukushima" is a Level 3 incident.

    8. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Dins · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, the Fukushima disaster has already released over 168 times the amount of radiation as the Hiroshima atomic bomb.

    9. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Dins · · Score: 1

      In retrospect, my article is outdated. As cyfer2000 posted above while I was typing mine, Fukushima is WAY worse than that, and apparently getting worse by the day.

    10. Re:level 1 to level 3 by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      With the exception of ones specifically designed for the purpose (which remain mostly theoretical and definitely unused), Nuclear bombs aren't really designed for radiation release, and definitely not the loads of messy decay products that you see with nuclear fuel rods that have been stewing in their own neutrons for months to years.

      The initial blast is pretty dramatic, and certainly spreads whatever nuclear fuel isn't converted into energy all over the place; but for them to release as much radiation, and cause as much contamination, as a defective nuclear generator they'd have to be so large that they wouldn't fit on anything short of heroically large transport aircraft.

    11. Re:level 1 to level 3 by umghhh · · Score: 1
      What I wondered already when first photos of bloody tanks showed up is this: limited space, unstable tectonic and they build tanks for thousands of tons of contaminated water without even hope that they :
      1. find a method of disposal/cleanup of this watery mess
      2. stop the need to have the tanks in the first place

      As it is right now they have limited capacity AND seemingly unstoppable source of contaminated water. On top of that it seems not only tanks leak water but all three reactors do too. At least 'Russians' at Chernobyl managed the concrete sarcofag somehow. I guess it has to be replaced soon anyway as this was an emergency solution rather than a long lasting one but at least they did something meaningful. TEPCO seems neither to know how to stop the leaks in reactors, nor how to stop the need to cool them in this way i.e. by throwing water at it and hoping to catch it below.

    12. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that the smaller the yield the dirtier it is. Take something like the Davy Crocket device or some of the bombs used in Operation Plowshares to see nuclear weapons not specifically built to make a giant radioactive mess, make a giant fucking radioactive mess.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    13. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Svartalf · · Score: 1

      Fukushima's actually a Level 7, right on up there with Chernobyl. The leak's a level 3 incident? That's news? I thought this was an aspect of the still ongoing level 7 Incident.

      It's not "as bad" as Chernobyl...yet.

      --
      I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    14. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Svartalf · · Score: 1

      If you're using the recorded details of the two known Level 7 Incidents, Fukushima's still not QUITE as bad as Chernobyl by the numbers. The thing is, though, it's going to probably have a farther reaching impact than land-locked Chernobyl- and it's still not over with (they can claim it's a new incident with this "leak", but it's still part of that level 7 that started with the Tsunami.) and it's reaching the 1/6th the total radiation at this point and no signs of being over and has signs of possibly being worse or getting worse than they're claiming.

      --
      I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    15. Re:level 1 to level 3 by gweihir · · Score: 1

      If they have a fire in the spend fuel-rods (due to loss of cooling; cannot be extinguished except with very special equipment they do not have ready) and if they do not get as incredible lucky as they were during the original accident, Tokyo becomes burned earth for a very, very long time. Hiroshima was insignificant in comparison to what they are risking at the moment. They risk nothing short of a complete national collapse with millions of victims.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    16. Re:level 1 to level 3 by sunking2 · · Score: 1

      At level one basically all you can do is cast magic missile once a day and have 4 hp if you are lucky. But you gain some with each level.

    17. Re:level 1 to level 3 by lgw · · Score: 1

      The biggest factor is airburst vs ground level. Airburst give much higher destructive effect (at the ideal height for whatever yield). Ground impact makes a real mess.

      The "Davy Crocket" nuclear mortar was effectively a suicide weapon. It would only have been used when things were so far gone that no one cared any more.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    18. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong----all you have to do, is drop the bomb *on* a nuclear power plant, and voila! you get more radioactive pollution in one event than in all the *ordinary* atmospheric atomic bomb tests combined. This is the *main* reason why nuclear power is stupid and brain damaged.

    19. Re:level 1 to level 3 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It sounds like extracting the rods from the spent fuel pool could be really dangerous.
      Are they planning to move the racks before extracting the rods?
      You'd think it would be preferable to have a lower fuel mass if a critical event occurs during extraction.

    20. Re:level 1 to level 3 by gweihir · · Score: 1

      I think they have no clue what to do at this time. The problem is that waiting does not make it better at all.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  5. Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Any "bad" news from government should be assumed to be much worse, and any "good" news from government should be assumed to be not nearly as good. That's just common sense when dealing with an organization that takes money from you by force, promising to spend it on things which benefit you, and then turns around and spends billions each year on self-promotion.

    1. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      s/government/big corporation.

    2. Re:Rule of thumb by akirapill · · Score: 5, Insightful

      s/government/big corporation.

      Mod AC up. If anything, this incident shows that corporations are _at least_ as bad as the state when it comes to managing nuclear power. Nuclear may be scientifically safe and sound, but the lumbering bureaucracy (public or private) required to actually build and operate a plant guarantee that this type of disaster will keep happening for as long as this technology is in use.

    3. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nobody is denying that corporations work purely in self-interest. The elephant in the closet is that government also works purely in self-interest.

    4. Re:Rule of thumb by runeghost · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sadly, I'm coming to around to agreeing with your point of view. On paper, nuclear should be the solution to the world's power needs. In practice, we as a species don't seem to be able to create and sustain the requisite human and material support structures for truly safe nuclear power.

    5. Re:Rule of thumb by BergZ · · Score: 1

      That's weird. On climate change topics I'm always being told that you can assume governments exaggerate bad news.
      How can it be that governments, simultaneously, exaggerate and understate bad news?

      --
      Warning: This sig is not thread safe. For more information see Slashdot's sig policy.
    6. Re:Rule of thumb by JWW · · Score: 2

      The better rule of thumb would be that governments exaggerate news such that the exaggeration leads to an increase in their power.

    7. Re:Rule of thumb by mikael · · Score: 2

      They exaggerate bad new when taxes need to be raised, or corporate donors need government contracts, they understate bad news when compensation claims are likely (military experiments, privatized companies mess up bad).

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    8. Re:Rule of thumb by tibit · · Score: 2

      This is Japanese government, not just any government. They are culturally averse to asking for help. Almost any other government in their place would be screaming for aid left right and center.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    9. Re:Rule of thumb by rwise2112 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's called spin. Apply spin to either under- or over-estimate to make the government/corp to look better.

      --

      "For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert"
    10. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      You say on paper... But on which paper is the solution to the problem of nuclear waste material? Or the problem of finite raw materials? On paper, Sir, it's renewable energies.

    11. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Basically, "on paper" means nothing. Oh, nuclear energy is great, except when we actually do it, there are always problems - the lil'' externalities, like mechanical limits, human error, the "free market", human failings, etc. etc. etc. Other stuff that is great "on paper" - hyperloop, libertariansim, religion, one device for everything...

    12. Re:Rule of thumb by fredklein · · Score: 1

      But on which paper is the solution to the problem of nuclear waste material?

      The Yucca Mountain storage facility's operating documents

      Basically, find a place many miles away from anyone, a place that's geologically stable, and bury that shit.

    13. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear power has killed very few people (less than 10,000) and supplies a lot of energy. To create two nature preserves is a bonus. This is serious comment.

    14. Re:Rule of thumb by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      And what if it does? What is the alternative? Coal? That kills thousands of people every year.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    15. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point is that governments lie, often. Asking for help is the the wrong tree (which you're barking up).

    16. Re:Rule of thumb by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or better yet reprocess it until all the hot waste has been used to make power and all that is left is stuff that is about as radioactive as bismuth. If it is so radioactive as to be dangerous then it is radioactive enough to be making electrons do useful work.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    17. Re:Rule of thumb by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nuclear may be scientifically safe and sound, but the lumbering bureaucracy (public or private) required to actually build and operate a plant guarantee that this type of disaster will keep happening for as long as this technology is in use.

      Yeah, this technology should have been completely replaced by now. We have two political problems here: first they won't permit the replacement technology to be used commercially, and second, they declared a State monopoly on the nuclear insurance market, ensuring the corporate owners would never have to worry about liability.

      If the insurance were underwritten according to risk and the safer technology allowed, the last of the light water reactors would be coming down in the coming decade. Instead we're stuck with, essentially, 1950's technology and concomitant risks.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    18. Re:Rule of thumb by gdshaw · · Score: 2

      Better would be to use it in a fast neutron reactor, at which point the so-called waste becomes fuel.

      (Current reactors only used about 1% of the available energy. We can certainly improve on the current storage arrangements, but burying it permanently would be very wasteful.)

    19. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      External consultant's assertion, "problem asking for help" should've clearly been "problem telling the truth" instead.

    20. Re:Rule of thumb by Xaedalus · · Score: 1

      Might as well just kill off everyone on the planet then, because no system will ever be perfect due to human interaction.

      --
      Here's to hot beer, cold women, and Glaswegian kisses for all.
    21. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      at least_ as bad as the state when it comes to managing nuclear power.

      Perhaps the military does a good job of covering its screw ups but given 'the state' as exists as the military, doesn't the Military do a better job of fission management than civilans?

    22. Re:Rule of thumb by ArsonSmith · · Score: 1

      Leave it to Nuclear and terrorism to have the number of problems still be able to be counted by a single person yet be so unsafe as to spend far to much time and money trying to counter it. The amount of good that comes from nuclear power and the amount of bad that comes from the overly sensitive security state out way by far the problems of either.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    23. Re:Rule of thumb by Y-Crate · · Score: 1

      This.

      It annoys me to no end when people respond to those critiquing the nuclear power industry with childish replies like "OMG ATOMS!!!!" and the like.

      I trust the science, but I sure as hell don't trust the public or private institutions involved.

      How many times have we heard "Oh yeah, this terrible thing happened, and it nearly became this horrific thing, but it got covered-up"?

    24. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      s/government/big corporation.

      Mod AC up. If anything, this incident shows that corporations are _at least_ as bad as the state when it comes to managing nuclear power. Nuclear may be scientifically safe and sound, but the lumbering bureaucracy (public or private) required to actually build and operate a plant guarantee that this type of disaster will keep happening for as long as this technology is in use.

      government == big_coprorations, not government = big_coprorations

    25. Re:Rule of thumb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      /. noob, sorry:

      government == big_coprorations, not government <= big_coprorations

    26. Re:Rule of thumb by shiftless · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In practice, we as a species don't seem to be able to create and sustain the requisite human and material support structures for truly safe nuclear power.

      It has nothing to do with the species. I am perfectly capable of creating and sustaining a safe nuclear power station. There are others out there like me. We can (and will) get together and form our own nation which does this effectively and safely. Others will go extinct. When fire was invented, I guarantee only 20-30% of hominins back then had what it took (mentally, genetically) to safely use fire. I bet after the first few tribes burned themselves and their whole forest to the ground there were people like you who threw their hands up in the air and exclaimed that hominins would never be able to safely use this mysterious force. Those people went extinct.

    27. Re:Rule of thumb by lgw · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But on which paper is the solution to the problem of nuclear waste material? Or the problem of finite raw materials? On paper, Sir, it's renewable energies.

      We won't run out of uranium on any timescale that matters. Like the Sun, out uranium is material leftover from a supernova long ago. Both will run out eventually, neither on a timescale that matters to humanity.

      We only keep spent nuclear fuel because it's valuable. As nasty industrial waste goes, there's so little of it that it shouldn't matter ... on paper. We do insanely stupid things, just crazily handle this stuff in a way that makes it more dangerous by far than it needed to be. Leave spent fuel in place for ~5 years, and most of the storage problems go away. Contamination in old reactors is a different, and IMO larger problem, but one that has had enormous engineering effort invested in solving. But since we like won't build a new-design reactor in my lifetime, we're stuck with designs that predate the personal computer.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    28. Re:Rule of thumb by lgw · · Score: 1

      s/government/big corporation.

      Remind me what the difference is again?

      When you change the topic to a debate over whether big government or big corporations are worse, you've fallen for it. You took the bait. You bit the hook.

      Better to think "what do we do about the bully" than argue among ourselves about whether his left fist or his right hurts more. Yes, the bully can beat any one of us - but he can't beat all of us.

      If you're mad at every politician except your own representative, you're doing it wrong. If you think what matters is which party wins, instead of breaking the current culture in DC, you're doing it wrong.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    29. Re:Rule of thumb by ebno-10db · · Score: 2

      When fire was invented, I guarantee only 20-30% of hominins back then had what it took (mentally, genetically) to safely use fire. [emphasis added]

      If you think you can make such guarantees, then you're the last person I'd want designing a nuclear plant.

    30. Re:Rule of thumb by JabberWokky · · Score: 1

      Isn't it just easier to apply this fix instead?

      s/government/people

      --
      "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
    31. Re:Rule of thumb by Immerman · · Score: 1

      >We won't run out of uranium on any timescale that matters.

      At current energy consumption levels the entire accessible uranium supply will only last a thousand years or so. And that's assuming seawater extraction and reactors that can run on non-enriched uranium. Admittedly long enough that it's not a pressing concern, provided our energy consumption doesn't continue to increase geometrically.

      With *current* technology though, mined uranium and reactors that can only consume U235, the accessible supply will only last something like 50 years, and I *think* that assumes fuel reprocessing so we fission 100% of available U235. That means that we'd likely run out of cheap fissile uranium before the reactors built today reach their end-of-life, and that's *definitely* something worth considering, because safely decommissioning or retrofitting those reactors to run on thorium or U238 is likely to be extremely expensive if not built with that in mind. Not to mention we'll need to have perfected the necessary new reactor designs well before then so that the retrofit/replacement option is even on the table, so that R&D needs to start getting serious attention soon.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    32. Re:Rule of thumb by budgenator · · Score: 1

      My understanding is the reactors that are causing the problems were actually scheduled to be decommissioned 3 months after the earthquake happened, more like rotten luck than incompetance.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    33. Re:Rule of thumb by PNutts · · Score: 1

      >We won't run out of uranium on any timescale that matters.

      With *current* technology though, mined uranium and reactors that can only consume U235, the accessible supply will only last something like 50 years

      Assuming lgw is 95 years old I must agree with him.

    34. Re:Rule of thumb by lgw · · Score: 2

      Not sure I follow - current worldwide uranium demand (all flavors) is only ~70 kT/y. Known extractable reserves are about 40 MT, so over 500 years at current rates. However, every decade I've been alive people have been warning that we only had enough oil for 20-30 years, yet proven oil reserves grow every decade. Technology grows faster than consumption, and there are gigatons of uranium in seawater.

      But we could already meet our energy needs with solar if we every needed to - low tech, solar-thermal (no rare materials) could produce enough power for the likely peak population of the Earth to consume at current American levels. We use other power sources because solar thermal is expensive, but not all that expensive really.

      All of which to say: we need something to provide the massive electrical power that the emerging nations will need as they close in on first world standard of living. But it won't be long before solar is the answer - we just need s bridge for a generation or two. And uranium supply is certainly not a constraint there.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    35. Re:Rule of thumb by real-modo · · Score: 1

      Slashdot commenters discussing politics always put me in mind of Samuel Johnson's quip about women preaching.

      The first two-thirds of it, anyway.

    36. Re:Rule of thumb by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      Isn't it just easier to apply this fix instead?

      s/government/people

      I'm not sure that people outside of government are any more competent than people inside of government. It may seem that way because capitalism allows a sort of 'survival of the fittest' where more-competent companies survive and less-competent companies fail, which is great -- but only in cases where an incompetent company's failure can be tolerated. It's not clear that e.g. a company's failure to safely run a nuclear reactor is something society can tolerate.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    37. Re:Rule of thumb by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Or better yet reprocess it until all the hot waste has been used to make power and all that is left is stuff that is about as radioactive as bismuth. If it is so radioactive as to be dangerous then it is radioactive enough to be making electrons do useful work.

      Perhaps it's more complicated than you think. Maybe materials technology have something to do with it and reactors can't be built that way.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    38. Re:Rule of thumb by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      But on which paper is the solution to the problem of nuclear waste material?

      The Yucca Mountain storage facility's operating documents

      Basically, find a place many miles away from anyone, a place that's geologically stable, and bury that shit.

      Yucca Mountain was described by the DOE's original design criteria for as unsuitable for Nuclear waste disposal.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    39. Re:Rule of thumb by Immerman · · Score: 2

      Yes, but nuclear power provided only 12.3% of global electricity in 2011 - so if we went 100% nuclear those 500 years would be reduced to just a bit over 50, with the remainder easily being eaten by our ever-increasing energy consumption. And yes, if we develop commercial seawater extraction technology then we get much more fuel, but probably not cheaply. More importantly since fuel is a negligible cost in the amortized operation of a nuclear reactor - if that's enough to buy us another few thousands years with natural uranium reactors, then we'll only get another few decades with modern U235-dependent models which can reasonably be expected to still be in operation. Only 0.72% of uranium is U235 which can go critical and operate our current reactors, the rest is just ultra-dense toxic heavy metal. Even worse - to date at least all the thorium/natural uranium reactor designs I've heard of require U235, plutonium or other critical-capable "seed stock" to initiate and maintain the reaction - if we use up all that easy fission fuel to power our current crude reactors, then the next-generation reactor design are likely to be considerably more complicated.

      As for solar, certainly. I think it's the best shot we've got at an 80% solution, even 100% if we develop sufficiently cheap and efficient battery technology, especially as we start working out power generating technologies that don't depend on rare earths. Some of the solar-thermal designs even integrate thermal batteries to moderate the daily power fluctuations, reducing the need for electrical batteries. I am somewhat cautious about relying on it as the primary power source in the face of global warming though - estimates are currently that a 2*C raise by 2100 is no longer a realistic goal, with 4* to 6* being the best we can realistically hope for. At that point atmospheric water vapor levels will likely be much greater, so cloud cover will likely be more common, and the jet streams are expected to slow and begin meandering wildly, trapping weather patterns over regions for extended periods. We're already likely seeing the beginnings of this, and a state that hasn't seen more than a shred of blue sky in weeks won't find solar a viable power source. Probably nothing that a high-efficiency long-range power distribution grid couldn't handle, provided the neighboring areas in drought have sufficient excess generating capacity, but that's one more major infrastructure expense.

      There's also political concerns as well - Japan for example probably doesn't realistically have the option of generating anywhere near enough solar power for itself, and would have to be stupid to rely on China. Nothing a world government couldn't fix, but frankly I'd just as soon try to avoid that until we can figure out how to keep a nation-sized government from drifting into tyranny after only a century or two.

      There's always fusion of course, but unless something like the Polywell reactor proves out soon that's probably at least many decades away from commercial viability. The total lack of political will to sufficiently fund Tokamak-based reactor research means it will likely be several decades before we even have a proof-of-concept reactor based on that technology (progress-per-dollar has been proceeding in line with initial estimates, but funding has been being cut steadily, hence the "forever 20 years away" meme) Moreover the extreme neutron flux of hydrogen-based fusion makes for some really thorny material science problems for commercial reactor construction even if we can control and sustain the reaction itself (not to mention the amount of low-to-mid grade radioactive waste created by that bombardment - which is much higher per watt than fission), and Tokamak technology seems unlikely to be able to reach the energy levels necessary for any of the more promising aneutronic reactions.

      So yeah, I'd say currently deployed fission reactors are primarily a stepping-stone technology. But they have to be intentionally deployed with that in mind or it won't actu

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    40. Re:Rule of thumb by JabberWokky · · Score: 1

      Yes. That's what that means. It applies to all people equally: people tend to tout their good news more than their bad news. You are repeating my point.

      --
      "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
    41. Re: Rule of thumb by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      The current nuclear industry and reactor designs are modeled on the great success of the nuclear navy in its startup days under Admiral Rickover, apparently anybody noticing that it was being run as a completely authoritarian, no evasion of reponsibility, buck stops here, no excuses, nonprofit, spare no expense, government project, the exact opposite of a for profit corporation. After all, the entire reason for the invention of the limited liability company is/was to insulate the owners against liability for deliberate or accidental mismanagement.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    42. Re:Rule of thumb by shiftless · · Score: 0

      If you think your over-literal interpretation of my generalization makes you intelligent, you're probably one of the 70% I was referring to.

  6. Different than Deepwater Horizon by EMG+at+MU · · Score: 2

    When a corporation/government has no independent oversight and an interest in minimising the severity of a disaster the public should have no expectation of receiving accurate information.

    1. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That doesn't make it actually much different, Corexit was simply used to hide the problem.

    2. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by brian0918 · · Score: 1

      Why does the corporation have no incentive to minimize pollution? Because the open waterways have been deemed "public" property by the government. Whereas if you dumped your waste on your neighbor's property, he could sue you for contamination, with public property - such as rivers, lakes, even oceans - there is the potential for corruption and political pull to override all legal deterrents.

    3. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      If you are BP you can dump your waste on your neighbors property all you like. You can keep him tied up in court forever.

      Polluting public property should be a criminal act not a civil issue. With public property the government could also sue.

    4. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, everything and everyone should be owned by corporations, resulting in a better world.

    5. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      yeah, this is quite a bit more like Leviathan and Tri-Oceanic Corp.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      So, everything and everyone should be owned by corporations, resulting in a better world.

      Everything should be owned by people. Corporations are just fascist arms of government. Don't confuse the issues.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    7. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by EMG+at+MU · · Score: 1

      Too late now but I was meaning that this is no different than Deepwater Horizon / BP. I forgot a word or a question mark.

    8. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by lgw · · Score: 1

      BP has already paid a fuckton of money. Polluting public property already is a crime. People already go to jail for it - it's one of the few ways that a manager can go to jail over the actions of workers.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    9. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by brian0918 · · Score: 1

      You can keep him tied up in court forever.

      That's the key, once again: the government - including the courts - have become skewed toward favoring massive numbers of lobbyists and legal teams. So even though the neighbor might have a case, he could never win. The government has become the enforcer of rights violations.

      Polluting public property should be a criminal act not a civil issue. With public property the government could also sue.

      So long as you believe that, or that another law is going to stop pollution on public grounds, politicians and their cronies will continue to laugh at you. So long as there exists public property and the potential for government to violate the rights of one group to benefit another, there will always be lobbyists buying politicians. The solution is not to pretend that another law against companies is going to fix the problem. The solution is to prohibit government violation of individual rights: privatize all property, and restrict government to the minimal role of police, courts, and military, to only uphold and protect individual rights. Such a system, so long as it existed, would offer no incentive for lobbyism as an industry to exist.

    10. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      Without the government there would be no enforcer of rights. BP would simply ignore any attempt at arbitration or have you killed.

      The system you describe would result in feudalism in a very short time. The rich would simply do anything they wanted. You are incredibly naive if you think that would work, more naive than your average college communist even. The real solution is rigorous enforcement of law.

    11. Re:Different than Deepwater Horizon by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      No one went to jail and they paid a tiny sum compared to their income or the damage they did.

      Personally, I would have made them replace any lost revenue for everyone impacted. I would have also prevented them from ever drilling in that area again. Let another company take a crack at it.

  7. It's like this by djupedal · · Score: 5, Informative

    Anyone that has lived and worked in Japan with the local engineers and agencies knows it's not a good idea to take safety statements and claims at face value. Trusting the boys with nuclear reactors is asking for incidents like Fukushima to be downplayed.

    Example - the locals in our apartment building told us if there was a fire to order a pizza before calling the fire dept. and tell the fd to follow the pizza delivery guy - they now the neighborhoods much better than the authorities.

    Other example - our R & D center had a super-efficient furnace that was supposed to burn trash at 900. The furnace operators decided on their own to run at lower temps so the equipment would 'last longer'...that coked up the 2nd combustion chamber. One day someone tossed a 5 gal. container of cutting oil into the trash, and when they tried to burn it, the whole thing exploded, sending thousands of confidential documents out across the neighborhood. Everyone had to run out and pick them up. The community gave our company an award for being so good at the cleanup. No mention of the explosion.

    Yet another example - to be counted as a highway fatality in Japan, you have to die in the first 12 hours. This isn't how other countries tally such stats, leaving Japan to appear to be much safer.

    Final example - fire drills in the company were typically over-organized. We were instructed to gather at a pre-detemined location with our assigned fire monitor, and then leave the building in order. We told them that in our country, we simply get the hell out...

    1. Re:It's like this by ttucker · · Score: 1

      Thank you for this, it was very interesting.

    2. Re:It's like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Yet another example - to be counted as a highway fatality in Japan, you have to die in the first 12 hours. This isn't how other countries tally such stats, leaving Japan to appear to be much safer. "

      You could have a point if highway fatalities weren't much lower there too. The fact is, everything you pointed are common practices in all countries, not only in Japan; Irresponsible people exist everywhere and data manipulation too.

    3. Re:It's like this by i · · Score: 1

      AFAIK, not here in Sweden.

      --
      Mundus Vult Decipi
    4. Re:It's like this by skullboy0 · · Score: 2

      Example - the locals in our apartment building told us if there was a fire to order a pizza before calling the fire dept. and tell the fd to follow the pizza delivery guy - they now the neighborhoods much better than the authorities.

      (snip)

      Final example - fire drills in the company were typically over-organized. We were instructed to gather at a pre-detemined location with our assigned fire monitor, and then leave the building in order. We told them that in our country, we simply get the hell out...

      To be fair, they need to get everybody together in order to get the pizza order straightened out before they call it in...

    5. Re:It's like this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Yet another example - to be counted as a highway fatality in Japan, you have to die in the first 12 hours. This isn't how other countries tally such stats, leaving Japan to appear to be much safer."

      The National Police Agency issues statistics on traffic fatalities, and since 1980, have counted people who die within 30 days of the accident. You are over three decades out of date.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_motor_vehicle_deaths_in_Japan_by_year

      This makes your conclusion hopelessly invalid. I trust your other anecdotes were from a more reliable source.

  8. Asking for help? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    'The Japanese have a problem asking for help. It is a big mistake; they badly need it.'" Wouldn't that be a cultural thing? Japanese are reserved and taught not to bother others with their problems even if it is apparent to the rest of us they probably need help.

  9. Nuke it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why don't they just nuke it from low earth orbit. It's the only way to be sure.

    1. Re:Nuke it by ciderbrew · · Score: 3, Funny

      The USA did that twice. it didn't stop the Tsunami.

    2. Re:Nuke it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I laughed, and immediately felt horribly guilty.

    3. Re:Nuke it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The atom bombs CAUSED the tsunami. /tinfoilhat

  10. So this is how the awakening begins... by oraclese · · Score: 2

    I, for one, can't wait for my new superpowers!

  11. Cue the XKCD cartoon apologists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    .... now! "Fukushima is just the same as eating ten bananas, see? I saw it on xkcd!"

    1. Re:Cue the XKCD cartoon apologists by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      If you knew my digestive system, you would KNOW that yes, me eating 10 bananas is on par with Fukushima. It's just a biohazard disaster, not an atomic one.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re:Cue the XKCD cartoon apologists by tgd · · Score: 3, Insightful

      .... now! "Fukushima is just the same as eating ten bananas, see? I saw it on xkcd!"

      Radiation exists in the environment. Fukushima being worse than they're disclosing is, generally speaking, a very localized problem. There's lots of radioactive stuff in the "food chain", and only nebulous comments about potential "health concerns" in the article.

      The oceans are big, and the radioactive tanks there are small. Its the radioactive equivalent of homeopathy, when you look at things on the global scale.

      So, XKCD (although I don't recall the comic you're talking about ) would be absolutely correct if they're mocking the overhyped concern about the food chain.

    3. Re:Cue the XKCD cartoon apologists by SrLnclt · · Score: 5, Informative
    4. Re:Cue the XKCD cartoon apologists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      c.f. Carbon 14

    5. Re:Cue the XKCD cartoon apologists by tibit · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. You're off by a couple orders of magnitude, and XKCD says just as much.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    6. Re:Cue the XKCD cartoon apologists by FirstOne · · Score: 1

      Yes, the pacific Ocean is very large, but it also takes a very long time to to mix evenly.. "(hundreds or thousand+ years.)" Thus a large portion of the contamination will remain in the surface layer for generations to come. These relatively hot isotopes also tend to bio-concentrate/bio-accumulate up the food chain.

      Recommendation.. "Eat low on the food chain" and avoid Meat products, especially those that were caught, or were fed fish meal products from the Pacific ocean.

  12. Fear Mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    See the articles (latest link included) by El Reg's Lewis Page :

    http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/08/21/omg_new_crisis_disaster_at_fukushima_oh_wait_its_nothing_again/

    1. Re:Fear Mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See the articles (latest link included) by El Reg's Lewis Page :

      http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/08/21/omg_new_crisis_disaster_at_fukushima_oh_wait_its_nothing_again/

      Anything in the news to bump down the hate crime against Chris Lane being gunned down in the back by a bunch of bored black teens...

    2. Re:Fear Mongering by i · · Score: 1

      AC as usual.

      --
      Mundus Vult Decipi
    3. Re:Fear Mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AC as usual.

      Do you always point out the obvious?

      Let me try. Your mother has herpes, I gave it to her.

    4. Re:Fear Mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lewis "half a" Page talks shit about pretty much everything. Whatever story he covers he carefully pics and chooses the facts he wants to support, and ignores those that go against his message. He really should try reading the other half of the documents he reports on.

    5. Re:Fear Mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AC doesn't mean anything on its own, stop implying otherwise. The correct term for the person you quoted is "idiot."

    6. Re:Fear Mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      El Reg's Lewis Page, otherwise known as the Iraqi Information Officer of the Worldwide Nuclear Industry?

      He can (as often suggested) go live in a reactor shell in Fukushima.

      Tara then, Lewis - long past time to put the old feet where your mouth has been overly long and loud for years.

    7. Re:Fear Mongering by Captain+Hook · · Score: 2

      I stopped reading any energy/military section on The Reg because they don't mention who wrote the article from the front page and I don't want to run the risk of giving Page any Page Views (pun sort of intended).

      A sibling to your post mentioned that he picks facts which support his message as if he's some sort of nuclear industry shill. I don't believe that, Page writes deliberately controversial articles just so there will be a flame war in the comments which bumps his articles view count.

      He's not stupid, just deliberately disingenuous.

      --
      These comments are my personal opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the other voices in my head.
    8. Re:Fear Mongering by Maow · · Score: 4, Informative

      See the articles (latest link included) by El Reg's Lewis Page :

      http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/08/21/omg_new_crisis_disaster_at_fukushima_oh_wait_its_nothing_again/

      Great - he's the same twunt that claimed that no radiation could possibly survive past the fence enclosing Fukushima - at about the same time the first explosion happened.

      His reaction was to say, "Oops, seems a bit worse than I thought", right? No, of course not. Even though there's corium blown a mile and a half from the reactors. Even though there were multiple melt-downs. Even though on-site experts with experience in nuke plants claim they don't know exactly what's going on (unlike omniscient Lewis fucking Page). Even though arguably the most dangerous steps still lie ahead - removal of spent fuel from its pool in the now-reinforced reactor 4 building.

      So no, he's a blight on El Reg and I, for one, shall not be reading what his bullshit apologist rantings have to say; I'll remain here in reality and hope for the best with the spent fuel and radioactive water storage.

      And let's not forget that reactor 4, where the spent fuel pool boiled / leaked dry, was not in operation at the time of the 'quake / tsunami.

      News from reality, instead of from Page's ridiculous pro-nuclear, nothing-can-possibly-go-wrong, ignore-those-explosions ranting:

      INADVERTENT CRITICALITY

      "There is a risk of an inadvertent criticality if the bundles are distorted and get too close to each other," Gundersen said.

      He was referring to an atomic chain reaction that left unchecked could result in a large release of radiation and heat that the fuel pool cooling system isn't designed to absorb.

      "The problem with a fuel pool criticality is that you can't stop it. There are no control rods to control it," Gundersen said. "The spent fuel pool cooling system is designed only to remove decay heat, not heat from an ongoing nuclear reaction."

      ...

      Removing the rods from the pool is a delicate task normally assisted by computers, according to Toshio Kimura, a former Tepco technician, who worked at Fukushima Daiichi for 11 years.

      "Previously it was a computer-controlled process that memorized the exact locations of the rods down to the millimeter and now they don't have that. It has to be done manually so there is a high risk that they will drop and break one of the fuel rods," Kimura said.

    9. Re:Fear Mongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I stopped reading El Reg years ago when I realized it was turning into the online digital supplement for the Daily Mail. (AKA Daily Fail, Daily Heil)

  13. too bad actually by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    A lot of these isotopes are being shunted aside and stored (from which they are leaking), are useful ones. In particular, st-90 is a beta- and can be used to create long-lived batteries (20-50 years) without worrying about mechanical issues. These are ideal for putting on rovers on the moon/mars. Basically, a company should be filtering that water quickly and getting all of those isotopes out for use.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:too bad actually by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If only you had a koi pond, and ground fish-bone powder... that'd concentrate 90Sr real quick...

    2. Re:too bad actually by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Strontium-90 is also notorious for behaving a lot like calcium in the human body and other biological systems. While a useful industrial material, because it is bioaccumulative it is also more dangerous than its status as a mere beta emitter implies.

    3. Re:too bad actually by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      How do you filter a water soluble?

      If you can do that you've solved the fresh water problem, world wide.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    4. Re:too bad actually by h4rr4r · · Score: 1

      Could you not use membranes like they do for desalination?

    5. Re:too bad actually by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      How do you filter a water soluble?

      If you can do that you've solved the fresh water problem, world wide.

      We can it 'reverse osmosis' and it works just fine. Costs a hell of a lot more than just pumping up well water (and so is confined largely to locations where that isn't an option, or where you need your 'water' to actually be within 5 9s of being nothing but water); but it's totally doable.

    6. Re:too bad actually by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the membranes have to be engineered for the contaminant. Obviously they've been working on normal salt a little longer then Strontium.

      You could also pull it out with electroplating.

      Calling any of that a 'filter' is stretching the definition of filter.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    7. Re:too bad actually by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's good advice and bad advice. I'd say that WindBourne's giving somewhat bad advice- because of the very detail he omitted from mentioning.

    8. Re:too bad actually by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heh, yeah, it sort-of works...

      For example, Strontium is deemed a major RO foulant..

      It's a better answer than nothing, but it's going to be pricey. Really pricey.

    9. Re:too bad actually by ebno-10db · · Score: 1

      Sounds like a great business opportunity. I'm sure they'd be happy to let you take it home for free.

    10. Re:too bad actually by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well, I suggest you don't eat his strontium 90 batteries then, if that's how you feel about it.

    11. Re:too bad actually by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      So, you prefer that Japan allow this St-90 to continue to leak out into the ocean?
      I think that I prefer keeping it out of the food chain and turning it into something useful.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    12. Re:too bad actually by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Well, I suggest you don't eat his strontium 90 batteries then, if that's how you feel about it.

      LOL. Yeah, between the st-90 and the lead casing, but you never know.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    13. Re:too bad actually by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Time for jeopardy:
      What is de-ionized water?

      There is reverse osmosis, distillation, etc.

      Getting this out of the water is not that hard. You just have to process it, but that tends to be slow. That is why they would be wise to start doing it now as quickly as possible. Always better to turn bad lemons into lemonaide then to just cry about it.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    14. Re:too bad actually by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of solutions, such as distillation. And most likely, all of them are cheaper than having a number of these elements passed into the food chain.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  14. Wat by Antipater · · Score: 3, Informative

    I'm not disputing that the situation is serious, given that even TEPCO agreed to up the incident level.

    But this entire article reads like a piece of tabloid trash:

    "It's really bad!" says a famous anti-nuclear activist (aka an "independent consultant").
    "It's even worse!" says the same activist/consultant.
    "It could be bad; we don't know. We should be prepared, though," says a former regulatory official.
    "Holy crap, if that first guy's assumptions are right, then we're in deep shit!" says an oceanographer.
    "I didn't even tell you the worst part!" continues the first guy. "This completely unrelated thing might possibly be happening and then we're dooooooomed!!"

    --
    Everything is better with chainsaws.
    1. Re:Wat by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      He seems fairly serious and level headed, like he actually understands the issues and came to an informed decision that we are probably better off moving away from nuclear power. Clearly many governments trust him, including the very pro-nuclear French.

      Of course ad hominem attacks are easy and since everyone has an opinion, especially people who are experts on a particular subject, you can brand them an "anti-whatever activist". Has he ever protested? He wrote some books with very boring titles that don't appear to be sensationalist at all.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    2. Re:Wat by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Actually, I take it back, the guy is something of an activist. Still, rather than attacking him why not address the points he makes directly?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Wat by Tailhook · · Score: 2, Insightful

      address the points he makes directly

      I think the GP did address the, erm... "points", which all amount to "it's bad, they're lying, it's getting much worse," etc.

      This is BBC fear-mongering. There isn't one new substantiated fact in the whole story. Its 100% pure US Grade A hyperbole. That the hyperbole coincidentally aligns with the worldview of BBC anti-anything-bigger-than-a-hobby-farm readers doesn't make this story or the fact-free activists/experts they quote any more credible.

      And Mycle Schneider is an activist. He isn't "something" of an activist. He is a die-hard professional anti-nook and has been so for decades.

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    4. Re:Wat by Antipater · · Score: 1

      I'm not attacking him so much as I'm attacking Matt McGrath, the author of the article. Mr. Schneider has two claims - that water is leaking everywhere, and that the spent fuel pools may be cracked. Mr. McGrath takes both claims at face value and proceeds to go full tabloid-tard.

      The article starts by taking Schneider's first claim as its thesis, introducing Schneider as an independent consultant. It then sets the stage by discussing the water storage tanks (it has a nice picture of storage tank proliferation) before veering back to Schneider's claim, which has almost nothing to do with the storage tanks. It re-introduces Schneider, for some reason (are we supposed to have forgotten him by that point? The way it introduces him, it almost seems to imply that this is a second consultant saying it, when it's the exact same guy), and makes absolutely no mention of how he knows that water is leaking everywhere. He mentions that a flowrate can't be measured, which seems plausible, but can't he at least estimate? If he's detected it happening, he should be able to at least ballpark something. "Unmeasurable" sounds like a guess.

      Then it cuts to Shunichi Tanaka, the head of the regulatory authority. Mr. Tanaka (Mr. Shunichi? Don't know which is the family name) gives a quote that basically says "It's good to be prepared for any contingency." The article takes his neutral, measured statement as support for Mr. Schneider's claim of disaster.

      After twisting Tanaka's words into support for Schneider, and an extensive discussion of the consequences should Schneider's claim be true, McGrath jumps back to him to close with a second claim, one even more doomsdayish than the previous. Of course, Schneider starts with the words "There is absolutely no guarantee that there isn't...", which are some of the greatest weasel words ever thought up to claim that the sky was falling.

      McGrath takes an unverified claim, proclaims it as true, twists neutral words to fit that claim, discusses the awful consequences of the claim, and then finishes up with an even bigger one. It's the epitome of tabloid journalism.

      --
      Everything is better with chainsaws.
    5. Re:Wat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the GGPs point was that the activist didn't make any actual points.

  15. "expert" is a kook by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Mycle Schneider only has honorary, not the actual education, and has been a WISE(an anti-nuclear group) activist in France for 30+ years. He is the person who gets consult jobs from the government when they want to appear as showing both sides.

    Two versions of his Wikipedia page:
    http://i.imgur.com/y2dxdFo.png
    http://i.imgur.com/XUS0duU.png

    1. Re:"expert" is a kook by goldspider · · Score: 1

      Don't these crackpots realize they are doing more harm to their (supposed) cause than good?

      --
      "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    2. Re:"expert" is a kook by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Don't these crackpots realize they are doing more harm to their (supposed) cause than good?" You don't seem to, no.
      He has credentials, and a point. You don't. All you have is poorly-managed ad hominem, not even an argument.

  16. Oak Ridge Troll by BoRegardless · · Score: 1

    We showed you how to fix this with Thorium in the early 1970s.

    1. Re:Oak Ridge Troll by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yes, it would have. Still can stop FUTURE issues. The question is, will we? Or will be stupid and scared.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Oak Ridge Troll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who is "we"? And are "we" using Thorium Reactors today...?

    3. Re:Oak Ridge Troll by imikem · · Score: 1

      Oh for mod points right now. And a great big "Fuck you very much," to the Nixon administration for derailing the thorium reactor program just to enrich a crony in California. And massively screwing up health care in this country with a sweetheart deal for Kaiser (more cronyism for CA). And the escalation of the "war on drugs." I used to think Nixon maybe wasn't so bad. I have learned.

      --
      Perscriptio in manibus tabellariorum est.
  17. If government is good for ONE THING... by catfood · · Score: 1

    ...it should be keeping corporations from pulling stunts like this. It's not like you and I have the means to confront TEPCO over this.

    1. Re:If government is good for ONE THING... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No way!

      We don't need government regulations getting in the way of doing business. Those pesky government regs actually increase the risk because they increase the cost of doing business.

      If companies were further deregulated, things would actually be safer, because they wouldn't have to spend money that could be used on safety features on government paperwork instead. And for companies that didn't have those safety features, the market would quickly take care of things.

      Or so I've been told by Ron and Rand Paul.

  18. Re:Obama's Take by ttucker · · Score: 1

    I'm sure the Obama administration will continue to state a glass of milk has more radiation in it than what is escaping from Japan. Oh yes, and that nobody has died from nuclear poisoning. Then he will take off his jacket and bring out a napkin in each hand to wipe the imaginary sweat from his face and say we need more nuclear power to fight global warming. (While sending coal to the rest of the world and subsidizing their coal plants.)

    After all this hard work, maybe take Air Force One for a spin to Hawaii. Well, not Hawaii, that is closer to the radiation.

  19. nuke it by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Nuke it from orbit, it's the only way to be sure.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  20. Its not really that bad by Shilly_McShillington · · Score: 1

    I've been considering opening a side business called Fuk-u tritium enhanced water. Cancer patients will love it. People know that radiation also causes people to gain super powers. It will practically market itself!

  21. Re:Obama's Take by WindBourne · · Score: 0

    So, do you have your rope handy and a tree picked out as well?

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  22. I wouldn't trust TEPCO with a backyard grill by swschrad · · Score: 1

    those guys are woefully uninformed liars who have proven over and over they just don't get it. it's really time to cut the Japanese authorities out of it, except for writing checks, and bring in the RANET team of the IAEA to overhaul the whole containment/cleanup effort. it's really two years too late.

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
  23. Re:Obama's Take by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Perfect time for another "America Apologizes" tour of the Middle East, all while continuing to illegally fund an Egyptian military coup, er, wait, no, it's not a coup, so it's perfectly legal.

  24. No water processing plant by Animats · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's been years since the event, and Fukushima still doesn't have a radioactive water processing plant. The US has dealt with this problem before, both at 3 Mile Island and some Superfund sites. Water itself doesn't become radioactive (except for tritium, which has a 12 year half life); as with fallout, the radioactives are mostly solids in the water, and can be removed and converted to smaller amounts of solid waste.

    With a processing plant, they could reuse the cooling water, instead of building more and more storage tanks.

    1. Re:No water processing plant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ssssh, you're not one of their superiors, so your opinions and expertise don't matter to them, gaijin.

    2. Re:No water processing plant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      400 tonnes a day, they said. You can't filter that much. Nobody can.

    3. Re:No water processing plant by CharlieG · · Score: 2

      wow, a pool about 34 ft in diameter, 4 feet deep, nope, no one can filter that much water

      --
      -- 73 de KG2V For the Children - RKBA! "You are what you do when it counts" - the Masso
    4. Re:No water processing plant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Every day, that much. In addition to the 300+ tanks existing, no, there is no facility that can filter that much, that radioactive, that quickly, to "clean" standard.

      If you can cite one I'll admit you're not an uninformed goof. Until then, your opine stands alone.

    5. Re:No water processing plant by reverseengineer · · Score: 2

      400 tonnes of water is 400000 liters. From the link in the GP, the two treatment plants (at a Superfund site that used to process thorium into lantern mantles) process 60.5 million liters of water a year, for an average of 165000 liters a day. Building treatment plants with 400000 liter/day capacity doesn't seem like that much of a stretch.

      --
      "FDA staff reviewers expressed concern about the number of patients who were left out of the study because they died."
    6. Re:No water processing plant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A small amount of single-element conamination does not compare easily with 20-to-50-million Becquerel per liter multi-isotope core water.
      Compare an apple to an orange grove, thanks for showing us that no such facility in fact exists, if by accident.

    7. Re:No water processing plant by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      The East Bay Municipality has waste treatment plant that can hit 375 million gallons per day.

      http://www.ebmud.com/water-and-wastewater/water-quality/water-treatment

      That's ( 375 M x 8 pound/gallon x 1 ton/2000 pounds) = 1,500,000 tons per day.

      Or 62,500 tons per hour.

      Or 1,041 tons per minute.

      I don't think you realize what modern water treatment plants are capable of.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    8. Re:No water processing plant by reverseengineer · · Score: 2

      Apples to apples? Hanford Site cleans 1.4 billion gallons of groundwater a year, which is about 14.5 million liters a day. I'm sure you'll object that the levels of contamination are lower (though there's a lot of nasty stuff there), and yes, it's quite possible that nothing exists exactly like what is needed at Fukushima, in large part because the other massive radioactive material cleanups were different sorts of situations. However, the quote was , "You can't filter that much. Nobody can." A statement of possibility, not of existence. Do you really believe this to be physically impossible, rather than merely unfeasible, or just very expensive?

      --
      "FDA staff reviewers expressed concern about the number of patients who were left out of the study because they died."
    9. Re:No water processing plant by Beorytis · · Score: 1

      Chicago and Detroit have plants exceeding 1 billion gallons per day, but I have a feeling activated sludge is not going to be the treatment method of choice for the cooling water at fukushima.

    10. Re:No water processing plant by NatasRevol · · Score: 1

      True, but if there are water treatment plants that can handle four orders of magnitude more than what the GGP was asking for, I'm sure a radioactive processor would be fine at his levels.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    11. Re:No water processing plant by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well, what does this slide refer to? It's titled "Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Outline of water processing facilities" and dates from June 4, 2011.

    12. Re:No water processing plant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Normal treatment plants don't become enormously radioactive in a very short time. The water filtration requirements at Fukushima are almost entirely unlike municipal wastewater treatment.

    13. Re:No water processing plant by lennier · · Score: 1

      The East Bay Municipality has waste treatment plant that can hit 375 million gallons per day.

      If San Francisco sewage is radiating at 100 mSv/hr (ie, enough to give all the wastewater workers acute radiation sickness after spending a day next to it), then you've either got robots doing all the handling, or kaiju in the sewers. Or both.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    14. Re:No water processing plant by lennier · · Score: 2

      Building treatment plants with 400000 liter/day capacity doesn't seem like that much of a stretch.

      Just for reference, if all this water is radiating as strongly as the stuff that recently leaked, you will die for sure if you work within a foot of any of it for a week. And if you work within a foot of it for a day, you'll get very sick. If you work within a foot of it for an hour, you'll get as much radiation as an airline worker gets in 20 years or a Fukushima nuclear worker is allowed in five years. Looking at the map, the tanks are stacked maybe a couple meters apart. You won't want to be walking between the rows of tanks much.

      Oh, and did I mention all this water is highly corrosive seawater? It's seawater. The last kind of water you want anywhere near your very expensive high-tech reverse-osmosis filtration plant which needs careful calibration for exotic metal salts.

      So you'll need to be doing a lot of remote handling for everything, not repairing anything unless absolutely necessary, making sure to pump and drain tanks before you check seals (which are corroding rapidly). This in an outdoor, debris-strewn environment where robots haven't performed very well. You'll also be burning your workers' radiation badges out rapidly (if you're taking care of them to the legal standard) or falsifying dosimeter readings (if you aren't, and which appears to be what's happening).

      Occasionally there will be radioactive dust and steam releases which will stop work because there's still three melted cores down in the groundwater occasionally going fizz.

      This is an interesting technical challenge, to put it mildly.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    15. Re:No water processing plant by Animats · · Score: 1

      Well, what does this slide refer to? It's titled "Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Outline of water processing facilities" and dates from June 4, 2011.

      Their water processing facility doesn't work yet. "Recent leaks from a novel type of radioactive water treatment device, currently under trial runs at the crippled Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant, occurred from corrosion holes in welds, Tokyo Electric Power Co., the plant operator, said July 25, 2013."

    16. Re:No water processing plant by s0nicfreak · · Score: 1

      Okay, so let's just FedEx that water right over there.

    17. Re:No water processing plant by khallow · · Score: 1

      Your linked article merely says the facility is operating under trial runs and has some problems that delay its regular operation. It doesn't work yet, but there is such a water treatment facility.

  25. When the Russians had the same problem... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Redundant

    When the Russians suffered the previous greatest (admitted) nuclear disaster, they moved as quickly as possible to entomb the site in actively cooled concrete, and used as much man power as possible IN THE FIRST INSTANCE to render the site as safe as possible for the foreseeable future. The Russians lost vast numbers of Humans to the consequences of radiation, but being a REAL nation, didn't feel the need to seed media sites across the planet with lies about the 'safety' of nuclear contamination and radiation.

    Japan did the exact opposite. They employed ZERO real engineering at Fukushima to deal with the disaster. Instead, they launched, with the full co-operation of the owner of major media outlets across Asia and the West (Slashdot included) the world's greatest propaganda psy-op. Large numbers of people have died as a result of on-site radiation effects, but the Japanese government silences the families of the dead by linking compensation packages with confidentiality agreements. Filthy pro-nuclear power shills use this silence to claim that no-one died as a result of this 'accident' (if you consider extremely gross negligence to ever be an 'accident').

    Unlike after Chernobyl, after Fukushima, governments in the West immediately switched off their public radiation monitoring services, so they could claim whatever lies they desired about the spread of radiation through the atmosphere. This meant that where, for instance, sheep from certain,locales in the UK were declared "unfit for Human consumption" for years after Chernobyl, the population of the Earth were informed that there was NO significant atmospheric fallout from Fukushima. And yet Fukushima actually placed hundreds of times more radiation into the atmosphere than Chernobyl.

    Explosions at Fukushima actually vaporised an incredible amount of plutonium. This was the worst possible early outcome of a nuclear accident, but sites like Slashdot immediately declared that decades old scientific consensus about plutonium was 'wrong', and that ingesting such materials is actually 'good' for Humans. The usual industry lies about 'safe' levels of radiation exposure got trotted out too, and governments across the planet raised the 'safe' levels for public exposure to moronic degrees.

    Radiation is like being shot at by bullets. ONE bullet can kill you, but if you are far enough away from a random shooter, it becomes a probability game. So, you might say after 1000 bullets, your chance of being shot is 50%, but that does not make ONE BULLET a 'safe' level. And yet, the people around Fukushima were definitively told by government scientists that radiation below a certain level was COMPLETELY harmless.

    Why didn't the world insist that Japan, with its incredible industrial resources, neutralise the threat of Fukushima as well as the Russians did with Chernobyl? Here's why. Every major nation wanted the disaster to play out, so they could study the full aspects of an uncontrolled contamination accident. This area of Japan is one giant experimental research environment. The people living there are lab rats. Remember all those medical atrocities inflicted on blacks, orphans, prisoners, and other unfortunates in US history, in the name of 'research'? Fukushima is being used in the same way.

    1. Re:When the Russians had the same problem... by imikem · · Score: 2

      Nice rant. Have any actual evidence, Mr. AC?

      --
      Perscriptio in manibus tabellariorum est.
    2. Re:When the Russians had the same problem... by tibit · · Score: 2

      Those hydrogen explosions outside of the containment structures vaporised plutonium? How the heck did that plutonium get there, and why would it be vaporized, while, say, the structure itself wasn't vaporized? How do you know that significant (say >10% by weight) of released plutonium got vaporised? Doesn't vaporised plutonium, like, condense at room temperature as you'd expect any other room temperature solid to behave? Does it subsequently sublimate if it has small particle size? I mean, man, what the fuck, do you have nothing specific to say? Get real.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    3. Re:When the Russians had the same problem... by FirstOne · · Score: 1

      The Hydrogen was formed when steam(H2O) reacted with hot Zirconium(Zr) metal tubes which contained fuel pellets (and most of the fission byproducts). Upon reacting Zr +2H2O became ZrO2(white powder), H2 was released and the tubes lost all structural integrity.

      As these Zr metal tubes chemically reacted and disintegrated, the fuel pellets and the associated fission byproducts(Pu included) were released into water/steam/hydrogen mix. Thus some Pu became part of the explosive mix that later detonated, destroying the containment buildings.

      While a virgin U02 fuel pellet may initially start out as a hard ceramic(tightly bonded oxide), after being inside an operating nuclear reactor for several years, a significant portion(4 to 10%) is something other than a ceramic.

    4. Re: When the Russians had the same problem... by sternlight · · Score: 1

      The Russians are used to decision makers by leaders. I know the man in charge of cleaning up Chernobyl; he is an internationally renowned Nobel laureate physicist (got the prize before Chernobyl) and a frank straight-shooter. In contrast the Japanese make decisions by consensus, which leads to delay and less than the most effective solutions. Over the long run the Japanese system nay be more robust; over the short run it can be disasterous.

    5. Re:When the Russians had the same problem... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Explosions at Fukushima actually vaporised an incredible amount of plutonium."

      Where's the evidence of that? Most of the emissions have been more volatile stuff (e.g., Iodine and Cesium) and stuff in solution in water (strontium-90), because that's what can most easily leak out of the containment. The release of more refractory (high temperature of vaporization) isotopes is quite small at Fukushima in comparison to Chernobyl. In fact, scientists didn't detect significant Pu until a very careful survey was done and reported about year later. The Fukushima results are several orders of magnitude lower (by about 10000x) for Pu. That matches the observed fact that the cores at Fukushima were never directly exposed to the open atmosphere, whereas Chernobyl's was literally blown to pieces and strewn across the terrain. So, claiming that "an incredible amount of plutonium" was vaporized is a bit of an exaggeration, unless you're referring to plutonium that is still trapped inside of the reactor cores and buildings rather than released into the surrounding environment, or unless you mean that any amount of plutonium released in the atmosphere is an "incredible amount" (in which case I refer you to the decades of weapons testing that strew the stuff all over the planet and are still detectable as background). It's bad in the vicinity of Fukushima inside the exclusion zones, but in concentration, total amount, and distance, it is a lot smaller than Chernobyl by every measure.

      The Russian effort to contain Chernobyl was an admirable effort under much harsher conditions than Fukushima.. That led to a much more desperate approach that included shovelling the pieces of core back into the building, dumping tons of concrete, sand, and all sorts of material on there, some of which it was later determined did not help, but made things worse. Dumping sandbags on top of the thing from helicopters wasn't exactly a carefully-considered solution, although they did try to mix as much boron (neutron absorber) as they could into it. Given the situation and the many unknowns about what was going on, the way it was done is not surprising, but it did lead to a rather unstable structure that is anything but "safe as possible for the foreseeable future". You can't be serious about that when the Ukraine has been spending years building a new containment structure because the old one is leaky and in danger of collapsing. By contrast, most of the main structures at Fukushima are still intact (the hydrogen explosions were *outside* the containment), which makes the task of entombing the reactors somewhat easier and less hazardous, and it doesn't have the same kind of urgency because you don't have radioactive graphite blocks burning and large pieces of fuel all over the ground in the area. Fukushima isn't a good situation, but it doesn't justify the same kind of desperate and risky approach as at Chernobyl.

      "And yet, the people around Fukushima were definitively told by government scientists that radiation below a certain level was COMPLETELY harmless."

      If they were told that, then it was wrong. If, on the other hand, they were told that radiation exposure below a certain level was no worse than the kind of exposures that people accept every day when they fly on a plane, eat a banana, or just sit in a room with natural radioactivity all around them, then that would be fine. There is indeed a level of radiation below which there is no point worrying about, because we get exposed to that much regardless of what we do. That's why "background radiation" isn't zero.

      The suggestion that this is some kind of experiment is nonsensical. People are studying the area to understand the risks and the best strategy for containing and remediating the area. Accusing people of participating in an intentional medical experiment on the citizens of Japan by using supposedly sub-standard containment practices is grossly offensive.

    6. Re:When the Russians had the same problem... by tibit · · Score: 1

      As these Zr metal tubes chemically reacted and disintegrated, the fuel pellets and the associated fission byproducts(Pu included) were released into water/steam/hydrogen mix. Thus some Pu became part of the explosive mix that later detonated, destroying the containment buildings.

      But then the explosion is probably irrelevant. The Pu particulate sizes were already small enough to be carried out with the gas escaping the containment structure. I'd still like to see some experimental evidence to back up the claim that dispersing such Pu particulate in hydrogen/air mixture, and subsequently detonating it, would actually change the size of the Pu particles in such a way that they will spread farther (if that's what the AC implied). I mean, if the presumed vaporization is bad, there must be a reason why it's bad, and the only reason I see is that the particles get smaller and travel farther. Even that might be a wrong assumption - some particle size classes may have very long half-time of suspension in the atmosphere, so they may, counterintuitively, be less polluting in spite of traveling very far. They'd "never" get to the ground (or at least get there very slowly). The vaporization is besides the point, all that happens is that the Pu will recondense, as it necessarily will, on whatever condensation nuclei are around (whatever more-robust-than-Pu dust already in the air). Basically, the explosion might turn out to be a completely bogus thing to worry about.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  26. Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by tp1024 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The only reason there are so many water tanks to begin with is the perfunctionary insistence that "no radiation must be released into nature". The problem is: It's too late. Any of the releases that are reported as if it were a disaster completely pale in comparison to what happened in the days after March 11th 2011.

    The water from the reactor is being filtered and cleaned of Caesium and Strontium. The process is good, but not perfect. But since absolute perfection is being demanded, none of the water is allowed to be released into the environment. Hence it must be stored in thousands of tanks, safely, which is as impossible a task as the ludicrous targets for radioactivity in the water.

    Those tanks are necessarily makeshift in nature. The tanks cannot be individually monitored 24/7 by a limited number of people on the ground whose time in the contaminated area around the nuclear power plant is further limited by the maximum radiation dose of 20mSv per year. Yet, the government, the media and of course the usual activist groups demand the impossible. Each for their own petty reasons.

    How about asking people in Fukushima Daiichi to do the possible instead of the impossible? Clean up the water as much as possible and release it into the sea. Yes, there will be some Tritium and trace amount of residual Cs and Sr - it will be a very small fraction to what was released into the sea in 2011. This would allow the people there to concentrate on actually making sure that the core equipment is running and the site as a whole is making progress to being in a better more workable state - instead of setting up new water tanks every day and worrying about leaks.

    It is a marvel all of its own that workers there were at all able to keep up with setting up all those water tanks. But you should keep in mind that this isn't actually what they should be doing. They should have concentrated to bringing the plant back into a stable stead state. This will include allowing for some minor emissions of radioactive water. Provided that this is done in a controlled and closely monitored manner, this does not pose any problem that even approaches the scale of rainwater washing Caesium from the countryside into the sea (thus being part of natural decontamination processes). It will be diluted to levels that will not be harmful to the population.

    Dilution is a temporary solution to pollution. And I'm not saying this should be anything more than a temporary emergency measure. I'm very surely not advocating this to be a general way to dispose of radioactive waste. But given the circumstances, it is the most reasonable solution. You should remember that the old way of diluting pollutants was not in itself false. It was just the case that it done by everyone in ever increasing scale, to the point where dilution was perfectly meaningless. But as a temporary, local, emergency measure - instead of a permanent, global and general way of doing things - it is perfectly viable.

    Nobody demanded that no oil must leak from the Cosmo Oil Refinery either and for some reason nobody demands that water below that refinery conforms to drinking water standards either, nobody asks wether any of the oil that contaminated the ground there will seep into the sea (it did and it will continue to do so) - while they do demand that the water below Fukushima Daiichi must not exceed limits for driniking water safety.

    1. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "further limited by the maximum radiation dose of 20mSv per year. Yet, the government, the media and of course the usual activist groups demand the impossible. Each for their own petty reasons."

      There's nothing "petty" about low cumulative radiation exposure limits. You're simply an industry shill.

    2. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      If I got a dollar every time some anonymous coward blamed me for being "an industry shill" or, quoted me out of context as you did, I certainly would do a lot better.

      Since you seem to know a lot of "industry shills", why don't you forward some of your contacts? Unlike what you seem to imply this "industry shill" here certainly doesn't get paid a nickel, much less a dime, for what he does.

    3. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "petty" reason to limit cumulative radiation exposure in workers and unaffiliated civilians? You're correct, you're not an industry shill, fucking idiot.
      You are just a dumbass apologist for radioactive contamination at this level and scale of magnitude. You have no credentials, none are required.
      What you say is simply irrelevant, nobody would bother to shit on you personally to put the ignorance fire out.

    4. Re: Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by sternlight · · Score: 1

      While we are on the subject, haven't there been so-called "inherently safe" reactor designs ( perhaps derived from the Canadian CANDU reactor) available for many years? What's stopping it?

    5. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by hey! · · Score: 2

      Well, if you put it that way, we don't want to demand perfection in defiance of reality. But let's start by figuring out what "reality" is.

      Remember, we're talking about a situation that TEPCO claims doesn't exist -- leaking of contaminated waters. But one of the constant features of this story has been unpleasant surprises. That's bound to happen in most disasters, after all a disaster pretty much by definition is a situation you hadn't planned adequately for. But the Fukushima Daiichi catastrophe stands in a class by itself for unpleasant surprises; from day one we have heard one optimistic assessment after another brought low by horrible news. It smacks of management by wishful thinking, starting with the failure of TEPCO to adjust its preparations in response to a revised tsunami risk. During the crisis TEPCO's management was still thinking in terms of salvaging the plant. Fortunately for them they were defined by their own chief engineer onsite, Masao Yoshida, who on his own authority took drastic and irreversible action to cool the reactors.

      So if it turns out this problem *does* exist, as researchers from Woods Hole seem to think it does, that shows us that TEPCO's management has still failed to grow enough spine to face unpleasant news. I'm open in this scenario to the possibility that discharging the contaminated water might be the best course of action, but not on TEPCO management's word, because if the problem exists that means their word is no good.

      If I were PM, on confirmation this problem exists I'd take the solution out of TEPCO's hands. I'd charter a non-profit authority to direct the securing and cleanup of the plant, funded with TEPCO money.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    6. Re: Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      In the US? Well, no new permissions to build nuclear reactors have been issued between 1979 and 2012. (Some of those that had already received permissions by that point had been finished in the meantime.) That has been a bit of a hindrance for building better designs. In 2012 permission has been granted to build two AP1000, which - while not perfect - go a long way to being inherently safe.

      So, yes they are being build, if you can somehow obtain permission to do so. Hence, as far as actually completed power plants go, the Russians and Chinese have some of the best and they get them first. Note: That doesn't mean they are all great or even that the average is great - it just means that a few of them are very good indeed. That's a result of not being technologically stuck with power plants in the late 1970ies and being able to build new power plants.

      Russian power plants like the AES-92 (from 1992) are pretty good, in that it can be completely passively cooled in a power outage for 3 days. After that, all you need is to refill a tank of water, which requires a working water pump but not electricity). It does lack a core catcher to cool a molten core in a controlled and predictable way - but all other power plants don't have those either. But it does have a filtered containment vent and hydrogen catalyzers (both of which could have prevented Fukushima from becoming what it is today ... and that was in 1992). You could argue with some justification that Iran has the best average technological level of any fleet of nuclear power plants ... consisting of exactly one AES-92. The first power plant of an improved version (AES-2006), including core catcher, is scheduled to start operation at the end of the year.

      They are developing several lead-cooled reactors as power plants (SVBR-100) - improved versions of the reactors that were used in the Alfa class submarines. You can do quite a lot more for the safety of a reactor, if you don't have to put it in a submarine and they did.

      If you want to see any other new power plants - you must go to China. They have them all, including Russian ones. They will have the first AP1000 running and the first EPR. They got a license to use the technology of the AP1000 to make their own scaled-up versions. They dropped all plans of building more CPR-1000 (a derivative of late 1970ies french power plants) in favour of those "CAP-1400" power plants. They are building two Russian BN-800 sodium cooled fast reactors. (Also passively cooled and having a negative void coefficient unlike older breeder reactors.) They have build yet another prototype of a pebble-bed reactor (the third, fourth or fifth worldwide now - I lost count), but plan to build it as a power plant now.

      The safety of pepple-bed reactors and lead-cooled reactors goes quite a bit beyond that of water cooled reactors - simply because they don't lose their coolant by boiling it off, when they get hot. Higher temperatures do two things. First, the higher the temperature the lower the reactivity of the reactor. The chain reaction breaks down when the temperature rises above a certain level, at the same time, higher temperatures make it much easier to cool something - even without specialized equipment and coolant pumps. When you do it properly, you can build such reactors to be inherently safe - they will default into a stable and controlable state no matter what happens, without operator intervention. Lead and sodium are also good solvents for Caesium and will react chemically with Iodine - even when fuel melts or gets damaged, only xenon and krypton can get out of the core, and those will not create any kind of fallout, even taking a containment failure as a given.

      They will not withstand a meteorite impact or sustained, concentrated artillery fire. But they are safe enough to protect the public in almost any reasonable scenario that doesn't involve destroying the whole country along with the reactor. But arguably that's exactly what happened in Japan and nobody cares how much was destroyed or how many people were killed by the tsunami.

    7. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by Mike+Van+Pelt · · Score: 1

      In my experience, "Shill" is a code word for "Wahhhh, I can't refute your rational words with my shrieking scare-mongering, so I'll just call you names, nyahh nyahh nyahh!!!"

      "Anonymous Coward" is just icing on the cake.

    8. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      What TEPCO money are you talking about? They are broke. The goverment owns TEPCO because they are broke. The government has effectively taken the whole thing out of their hands and is making a mess of it. But it is not a total mess.

      The main reason why you only keep hearing about new problems, is that nothing else is being reported in the media at large. When a problem is solved and there is a problem with the solution to the problem they had, you get two news stories:

      1) PROBLEM AT FUKUSHIMA
      2) ANOTHER PROBLEM AT FUKUSHIMA

      You hear about the initial problem and the second problem. But you don't hear about the problem being solved or the fact that the second problem is much smaller is scope and scale than the first problem that has been solved. You don't hear about the work being done by the people there.

      You don't hear about any progress that is actually being made at the site, because everybody is shooting any reporting on any kind of progress down as "industry shills" trying to "cover up" problems. Any news that constitutes anything positive at all is reported as highly suspect if it is reported at all. And usually it doesn't get reported not even with caveats attached. While any new problems, including rumors of new problems and speculation about problems, is being printed right away without checking of sources, affiliations or heaven-forbid factual content.

    9. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by hey! · · Score: 2

      Good point about TEPCO's financing, but you're missing my main point, which isn't just that we keep hearing bad news about Fukushima, but that we keep hearing news about things that weren't supposed to be happening that actually were. This implies a certain disconnect with reality.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    10. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by tp1024 · · Score: 0

      That's because things that aren't supposed to happen, happen everywhere all the time. That includes Fukushima Daiichi. No matter what you do or where you go, if you can always report things that aren't supposed to happen. But if you limit reporting to those things, that is a much worse disconnect from reality, than not expecting the unexpected.

      You can minimize how often unexpected things happen, by having realistic expectations of the things that are supposed to happen. Currently, people are doing a lot of things that they should not need to do, given the limited time and workforce. When people have to do more work than you can reasonably expect them to do properly - or if you simply push them to their limits - you should not be surprised that mistakes happen more often and faults or leaks are discovered much later than you would prefer.

      It is just as unrealistic to expect perfect performance by human beings in Fukushima Daiichi as it is everywhere else. But the reporting doesn't reflect that at all.

    11. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by hey! · · Score: 1

      I understand that you can't expect perfection from human beings. However, that doesn't mean you can't expect *anything*. TEPCO management displayed a pattern of proceeding on best-case assumptions, which isn't something you can chalk up to generic human fallibility. It is a *choice*, for which one can hold someone responsible, especially someone who is a professional.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    12. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by tp1024 · · Score: 0

      Now you slowly get to a point where we might start to agree.

      (If you can read this, the internet didn't implode.)

    13. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by lennier · · Score: 2

      They should have concentrated to bringing the plant back into a stable stead state.

      That's actually what they're trying to do. The problem is that there is no stable steady state for a melted core. Keeping it below 100 degrees C requires constant active cooling with lots of water. Above 100 degrees and things get a lot worse - smoke and fire. But it's not like it's "shut down" right now. It's just sleeping.

      Nuclear fission has no real "off" button. Fuel rods are like slow-burning candles that you can burn fast or let smoulder, but you can't extinguish completely. Once you've lit one up, it takes years for the residual heat to go away. And once you've experienced an, um, unplanned geometry-altering event in the core, you're not really sure what the core is doing, since the level of radiation inside the containment buildings is more like "you will die in minutes" (multiple tens of Sieverts) rather than "you will die in days" (less than 1 Sieverts) which is the case for the runoff water.

      They're doing their best. Unfortunately, no-one's best is good enough in this case. The water is probably going to be released into the ocean eventually, but that's not going to do the local fish a whole lot of good. We're talking isotopes with half-lives in the years, not months, absorbed into marine life tissue, with the potential for bioaccumulation (medium-low for caesium as I understand it, but extremely high for strontium).

      A lot of sick fish might be the best case scenario here. Good thing the Japanese economy isn't big on fisheries, right?

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    14. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by eyenot · · Score: 1

      You speak as if you've been missing the news updates for the last two years about the seawater coolant being released back into the ocean.

      --
      "Stratigraphically the origin of agriculture and thermonuclear destruction will appear essentially simultaneous" -- Lee
    15. Re:Don't demand perfection in defiance of reality by eyenot · · Score: 1

      You don't need to be paid now for what you expect to give tomorrow.

      Though I suspect the correct term for you wouldn't be "shill", it would be "patsy". Although that also carries connotations that you'd probably disavow.

      --
      "Stratigraphically the origin of agriculture and thermonuclear destruction will appear essentially simultaneous" -- Lee
  27. Rule of tards by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was on food stamps once, and did anyone help me? FUCK NO! Like Ayn Rand herself, I had to pull myself up by my own bootstraps and line up for food stamps so that I could eat until society finally understood how great I was.

  28. removing the radioactive rods by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    dumb question..... but why aren't they removing the radioactive rods or whatever from that particular site and storing them else where? or is it a giant melted mess?

    1. Re:removing the radioactive rods by lennier · · Score: 3, Informative

      dumb question..... but why aren't they removing the radioactive rods or whatever from that particular site and storing them else where? or is it a giant melted mess?

      Actually a very good question. And the answer is: yes, removing the fuel rods and making them safe in permanent storage is a very sensible thing to want, and TEPCO is planning to start doing this this November.

      The bad news, as I understand it, and the reason why they haven't done this obvious thing until now, is that moving fuel rods is very dangerous since you don't want to get two rods too close to each other otherwise you get a criticality event (a small fission reaction). While radioisotopes can give you cancer or make you very sick, a criticality could kill you in days. And while the rods in the fuel pools aren't melted like the cores are, they have been badly shaken by the earthquake, tsunami and explosions, and they've been drenched in corrosive seawater for two years. I'm guessing that could mean that they're likely to be jammed in their framework, maybe shaken loose, possibly with their cladding decayed, some of them in pool 4 may already have burned, and all this will make handling them a very difficult and dangerous manual process.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  29. You don't say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fukushima Actually "Much Worse" Than So Far Disclosed, Say Experts

    "Water is actually 'much wetter' than ice," say Experts

  30. Just for reference... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Can someone give an estimate of how much more or less radiation is being introduced by the Fukushima plant than say... the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombs? It could be more valuable and revelatory if someone could point to atmospheric monitoring data and could say something like, "well, our estimates are that X Roentgen's worth of radioactive material has been released, which is roughly 3.5% the amount released when Fat Man was detonated.. or the some such like?

    I mean, we need to have a frame of reference for talking about this. It's like trying to have a conversation about what constitutes a healthy body-composition and body-fat percentage when the only women you've ever seen are Parisian underwear models. Can we get a comparison to some event people are familiar with?

    1. Re:Just for reference... by lennier · · Score: 5, Informative

      Can someone give an estimate of how much more or less radiation is being introduced by the Fukushima plant than say... the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombs?

      This is a very good question and as a nuclear layman, it's difficult for me to get a handle on an exact answer. IANA health physicist, just a guy with Wikipedia and Google. But given that, I'll try to give some baselines from what I can see on the net.

      First, in terms of "radiation", it seems like we're mostly talking about release of radioactive isotopes, rather than the initial prompt radiation of a nuclear explosion itself. The Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombs ( as, eg, this blog describes) were airbursts, so relatively radiologically "clean" - they did a lot of initial damage from blast, heat and gamma radiation, but didn't leave nearly as many "dirty" isotopes in the way of fallout. This is compared with, eg, a surface shot like Castle Bravo which was a huge dirty contamination event.

      So when we're talking about "comparing" Fukushima with Hiroshima, we're talking purely about the isotopes, not the explosive power. Which is not really a straight comparison. But given that, Fukushima (or any other nuclear power station) is and/or has the potential to be much dirtier than a bomb (at least an airburst), because there's more nuclear material stored onsite. You'd want a nuclear engineer to give the precise bequerel ratings of all the isotope mixes in the fuel composition, but for a back-of-the-envelope estimate: Little Boy had 64kg of uranium fuel - Fukushima had 1,760,000 kg of fuel on the entire site.

      So all else being equal, which of course it's not because we're not talking weapons-grade uranium and I'm sure power rods have lots of other alloys in them, Daichi has 27,500 times as much raw radioactive fuel as the Hiroshima bomb. Impressive, no?

      Now most of that fuel probably won't be released, as not all the reactors were damaged, and the health impact of the various isotopes varies wildly based on the half-life of the isotope, its heaviness (ability to be transported far from the site), whether it can be ingested in air or water, how long it stays in the body, what the affinity is for various body parts, and what kind of radiation it releases - alpha, beta or gamma. Alpha particles are the biggest, so do the most damage, but also the easiest to block - I believe outside the body they're fairly harmless, blocked by cloth or skin. But inside the body, they can do more harm. So you really do need a health physicist to work out all the equations here.

      However, the buzz on the net has always centered around three main radioactive isotope families: iodine-131, caesium-134 and -137, and strontium-90.

      Iodine has a half-life measured in days to weeks so it was always going to be the initial problem. Theoretically, if all the fission occurred at the first meltdown, there shouldn't be any left. In practice it seems like some short-halflife isotopes are still being detected, which suggests spontaneous fission may still be occurring in the melted cores. Iodine goes for the thyroid and its effect is thyroid cancers, particularly in children. This is starting to show up but there's arguments over what the baseline rate is and how much is due to testing rather than fallout.

      In terms of initial (not ongoing) iodine release, Fukushima was 2.5 times bigger than Hiroshima.

      Most of the Fukushima-Hiroshima comparisions focus around the caesium isotopes, as these are long-lived (several years) and the body trea

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
  31. Question about spent fuel pools by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

    Why do they still not know if the spent fuel pools are leaking?

    From the article:

    "There is absolutely no guarantee that there isn't a crack in the walls of the spent fuel pools. If salt water gets in, the steel bars would be corroded. It would basically explode the walls, and you cannot see that; you can't get close enough to the pools," he said.

    1) It is trivial to determine if there is saltwater in a pool
    2) People dive in those spent fuel pools to inspect the rods. So what do they mean by "you can't get close enough to the pools?"
    3) When water leaks out of a container, you can detect the water level going down. Plus, it would increase the radiation that escapes the pools.
    4) If there is a concern about spent fuel pools, move the spent fuel to another site!

    Can someone explain what the article is trying to say?

  32. Them first. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is all very reasonable, but TEPCO et. al. should first state that in "reality" disasters happen and that people must accept that nuclear plants will eventually create some number of nuclear disasters that exceeds 1.

    Moreover, they should state unequivocally that further contamination of the environment around Fukushima is inevitable, and nobody has any choice other than hope for the minimum possible amount of damage.

    Reasonable?

    Of course, if people dealt with "reality", the nuclear industry will be done forever in any democratic country. That may not be a reasonable outcome, but we talking "reality" here, right?

    1. Re:Them first. by tp1024 · · Score: 1

      Exactly how is TEPCO supposed to make such a statement, as long as everybody else demands the exact opposite - namely that absolutely no contamination must take place? TEPCO would probably be the first people to make such a statement, if there was any way at all to do so without defying the demands of the government (which owns TEPCO) or that of the public (which elects the government). There isn't and so they won't.

      Let me repeat, TEPCO is forced to say whatever the government is saying, in the same way that a puppet is forced to do whatever the puppeteer wants it to do, because the government owns TEPCO.

      So what does the government do? Whatever it takes to stay in power. To stay in power, it must appeal to the public.That's one of the problems of democracy. This does not immediately lead to unreasonable or impossible demands. The government will only follow such policies, once a significant part of the public is making such demands (or at least appears to do so), because the government wants to stay in power.

      That's the problem when there are political activists trolling all through the media making misleading and impossible demands, without anybody within the media rising to their actual task of checking their statements and providing explanatory background - instead of resorting to cheap substitute of reporting limited to "who said what" and running with the implication that it must be right because somebody held in high esteem by a lot of people said it.

      Democracy breaks down when the public is ill-informed and Fukushima Daiichi is a prime example for that process.

  33. Reuse water from the tanks? by cnepveu · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't it be possible to reuse the water stored in the tanks instead of using (and polluting) more fresh water?

  34. lucky being unlucky by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we can count ourselves lucky that this leaking stuff isn't lead or mercury or cadmium.
    those three are stable and remain in the environment as poison FOREVER.
    with this "radioactive" stuff at least it breaks down into harmless stuff...
    (me waits for trout slap.)

  35. I remember all the neglecting comments about.... by Sla$hPot · · Score: 1

    I remember all the neglecting comments about nuclear safety. Hmm.
    Now listen up!
    Nuclear power is unsafe!
    It is not that nuclear material can't be safely maintained or stored.
    The problem is we as a human race are just not up for it.
    Nuclear material is stored safely on Earth by nature, inside bedrocks, deep below in the ground.
    As soon as we start digging it up and start playing with it, that is when it starts to become a real problem.
    So leave it where it is!

  36. Don't eat by sternlight · · Score: 1

    Don't eat any food products from Japan, especially fish, seaweed (yes, especially Sushi using Japanese ingredients); avoid Pacific food products (yes, including West Coast salmon and smoked.fish), prefer Atlantic seafood, especially European smoked salmon (lox). Spring $500 for a Geiger counter with meter that can do object measurement, not just atmospheric measurement. Be suspicious of Western US propaganda claiming an ocean whirlpool effect protects their seafood. pressure the FDA to require radiation measurement of foods or drugs of Pacific Region origin, including Western US.

    1. Re:Don't eat by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1

      Darn, why did you have to remind me.

      I've practically been living on fish for the last month. Salmon, Tuna, Sushi, etc. Figuring that it was better than some of the alternatives and assuming that the industry had this worked out already.

      Now you've given me an excuse to get a geiger counter.

      Now, whatever you do, don't make a valid argument for say... a PS4... or I'll have have to buy that too

    2. Re: Don't eat by sternlight · · Score: 1

      Based on naive looking at a map, Korean seaweed, widely sold in the US, MAY be ok, but I haven't checked the ocean currents between Fukushima and Korea.

    3. Re:Don't eat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm guessing that your PS4 will probably be made in China.

      Still, I've bought a ton of stuff from Japan recently (most expensive was a humidifier), and haven't suffered any ill effects, so far...

  37. Of course by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For once in my damn life id just like them to say you know what SHTF time to wave your arms and run circles in panic.
    i,d have a hell of alot more respect for the powers that be.

  38. Re:I remember all the neglecting comments about... by gdshaw · · Score: 2

    Nuclear power is unsafe!

    Absolutely it is. It just happens to be safer than the current alternatives, and a lot safer than going back to the stone age and doing without power.

    Anyone who really cares about safety (or indeed the environment) should be focussed on one thing only: eliminating coal as a source of energy. Until that happens, all of this scaremongering is just a distraction.

  39. Of course it is worse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    FUD always is.

  40. this would be why by bravecanadian · · Score: 2

    I always chuckle when the technology crowd here at slashdot and the people leaning right on the political spectrum always seem to pump up nuclear power as the solution to our energy needs.

    Sure, in theory with the proper safeguards it could be ok.. but as Yogi Berra said:

    "In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. But in practice there is.."

    And the cost for mistakes is so high and long lasting.

    1. Re:this would be why by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Let's not try to adapt cutting edge technology, it's much safer to maintain the status quo and take no risks. (by "cutting edge" I mean something that we have been toying with for the last 6 decades),

      Alternatively we can maintain nuclear power plants, and learn some hard lessons in the process. Hopefully lessons we can extend to future technology, like nanorobotics and biogenetics.

      The cost of not advancing ourselves is so long lasting that it is potentially permanent.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    2. Re:this would be why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm confused on Slashdot's general stance on nuclear power. I only come on here every so often, and sometimes when I read the comments I see nothing but support for nuclear power and calling the opposition "anti-science"; and then it will become the exact opposite in another article.

    3. Re:this would be why by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Alternatively we can maintain nuclear power plants, and learn some hard lessons in the process. Hopefully lessons we can extend to future technology, like nanorobotics and biogenetics."

      That's not a very good justification. Are advances in those fields reliant on nuclear disasters?

    4. Re:this would be why by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      For very broad generalizations, yes. Development of methodical safety processes, already considered a part of Systems Engineering, really needs to advance much further. A society that is mature enough to balance risks and face consequences together.

      The main justification of nuclear power is still clean cheap energy. But it's my opinion that we need to be open and honest about the risks. There was definitely a major lack of transparency in nearly all (perhaps all?) major civilian nuclear and radiological accidents. (Chernobyl, Fukushima, Three Mile Island, and numerous other small incidents that still affect a small number of people today).

      Giving up on nuclear power would likely mean no further progress in managing risk for large scale projects. And in my opinion generic engineering has the potential to result in extinction of one or more species. The danger of nanorobotics is less clear, as the capabilities are not yet developed. I don't think we can realistically envision self replicating machines outside of specific labratory conditions. Sunlight alone would probably disrupt an early prototype, so initially the technology will seem pretty harmless. But science fiction authors paint an often plausable and nightmarish picture of nanotechnology.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  41. Re:I remember all the neglecting comments about... by Sla$hPot · · Score: 1

    You are probably right about coal and fossil fuel in general. That's a slow death.
    Nuclear on the other hand is a random killer, striking without warning. Kind of like a mad terrorist with access to radioactive material.
    Then again, what about the wast problem. Can we administrate waste over a 10.000 year period ?
    I don't think so.
    Sun power is good, especially near equator.
    Wind power is good wherever there is wind.
    Same with water power (wind=>waves).
    But i would much rather like to see the next moon project being about helium 3 harvesting.
    Imagine one ton of H3 arriving at earth every month.
    That would be the biggest change in energy production ever.

  42. Thought experiemnt by TiggertheMad · · Score: 1

    E=Mc^2 gives you the answer.

    The more mass you convert to energy, the bigger the explosion. The unconsumed fuel is the radioactive waste that is spread about, so if you are producing waste, you aren't creating the theoretically most efficient detonation. Since the goal with most nuclear devices is to create a big explosion, most military weapons are going to be designed the be as efficient as possible. (Especially because of the c^2 portion of the equation, which says that even a little mass will release a lot of energy. Even being a little more efficient with your fuel will yield a lot more energy.)

    Now you could build bombs that poison the detonation zone, but that makes them substantially less useful. For example, you can't really use them against an invader or against a enemy in close proximity. You can't use them when invading, because you are poisoning the land you are trying to take and hold.You are also getting a smaller bang for your buck, where your opponent might be employing higher yield clean bombs. (Or worse, twice as many bombs of the same yield.)

    --

    HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
    1. Re:Thought experiemnt by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      It's also just a question of sheer size: Commercial nuclear reactors have an economic incentive to convert as much mass to energy as possible (nuclear fuel assemblies aren't exactly free, and shutting down/cutting power output to refuel carries substantial costs, and nobody wants more waste on hand than strictly necessary); but it costs them very little to add mass to their designs. I don't know about the Fukishima units specifically; but a big BWR can have north of 100 metric tons of fuel (not counting the weight of cladding, control rods, and other non-fissile parts) loaded at a time. It's all low-enriched, and built into protective assemblies; but nobody builds bombs so big that you'd need a cargo-variant 747 to deliver them.

  43. Re:I remember all the neglecting comments about... by lgw · · Score: 1

    You are probably right about coal and fossil fuel in general. That's a slow death.

    As soon as you say that, you've entirely missed the point. Coal - specifically coal and just coal - is a horrible nasty source of power. The pollution is bad for all involved, the mining is bad for all involved, and mine fires are as close to Hell on Earth as anyone should ever see.

    Natural gas doesn't have these problems. Burns clean, and while we're still figuring out what problems fracking can cause, it doesn't hold a candle to the problems coal causes.

    The total worldwide deaths ever attributable to nuclear power are just tiny (and almost all from Chernobyl) on the scale of deaths from mining coal.

    Ultimately solar is the way to go. But that will take decades, and in the meantime everything-but-coal would be a vast improvement with no miracle technologies needed.

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  44. Histrionics. Again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What the fuck is wrong with you?

    Look, here's now it goes.

    Solar PV gets some birdshit on it and that's the most danger you'd get from an accident involving a solar power plant.

    But, no, since nuclear is shit, you go all freak-out and claim "WELL, SINCE NOTHING'S PERFECT!" Who the fuck said it had to be perfect?

    Risk x probability should be as low as possible.

    That works for renewables. So we can go with them.

    1. Re:Histrionics. Again. by SBrach · · Score: 2, Interesting

      More people die every single year simply falling off roofs installing solar panels than from nuclear power plants.

  45. Re: Don't demand perfection in defiance of realit by sternlight · · Score: 1

    I'm sure you saw Bennett Ramberg's paper in Annual Reviews of Energy many years ago. He was concerned about dangers from high explosives ( not necessarily sustained). When I spoke to Velikhov he said that had they had it earlier, it might have prevented Chernobyl.

  46. Half truths! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Half truth.

    1. It is true that "normal rate" is 1-ish per 100,000
    2. It is not true that there is not MORE than 1-ish per 100,000

    There are plenty of people with thyroid cancers that never manifest themselves and never cause problems. Some populations have 30% rate of thyroid nodules simply because of their genes, and nothing to do with any radiations.

    A doctor told me once, if you screen carefully enough, you will find *something* wrong with almost everyone. Be that some thyroid nodule, some cysts on your liver or kidneys, some partial artery occlusion in your brain, or heart with screwed up electrical connections (at least 8% of males in the last group!)

    Furthermore, it is well known that radioactive iodine exposure results in tumors being produced in the thyroid about 7 years after said exposure. That is from years and years of using I-131 to cure hyperthyroidism. (yes, it is continued to be used because there are no safer alternatives).

    So, your entire poast is a half-truth. We will ONLY know that real rate of thyroid tumors because of Fukushima in about 10 years, after the 7-year peak that happens in about 5. Only then will there be sufficient information to weed out the sporadic cancers from the radioactive iodine cancers.

  47. Multiply Severity by 100X (at least) by turp182 · · Score: 1

    The event was raised from a level 1 atomic event to a level 3 (per the article, read it a couple of times I did).

    Each level is 10 times more "severe" than the level below:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Nuclear_Event_Scale

    Level 4 is Accident with Local Consequences; in my opinion they are at least one level too low. Given the food chain potential implications, level 5 may actually be honest, Accident with Wider Consequences.

    The best people in the world need to be working on this problem until it is resolved. No other response is rational.

    --
    BlameBillCosby.com
  48. What worries me is... by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 2

    that the same folks who are pro-nuclear also tend to be anti-regulation. That's a hell of a recipe for disaster.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
    1. Re:What worries me is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called you don't understand what regulation does to the process of having new nuclear technology. Get some rectal cranial extraction for that matter.

  49. Some perspective by radarskiy · · Score: 1

    If Fukushima killed half the population of Japan, then on average nuclear power would be *almost* as deadly as coal.

  50. Certainty by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Of one thing we can be sure. Any official report will paint as rosy a picture as possible. And by possible, I mean without immediate, predictable, credible contradiction. And by credible, I mean contradiction by those whom the officials lack the power to silence. That doesn't, in fact, lead to very many contradictions, except those between official reports and reality.

  51. General Electric and Westinghouse by Otis+B.+Dilroy+III · · Score: 1

    could be wrong, but I'm thinking that the core technology here was built, licencesed and or, contracted from General Electric or Westinghouse.

  52. Re:I remember all the neglecting comments about... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am betting on solar and batteries!

  53. Solutions?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is there any way to super-freeze this radiactive water or contain it to some kind of high carbon impregnated colbalt diamond concrete shielding and send it to the sun? Why does this have to end up in our ocean? If there is any help the rest of the world can offer to the Japanese, whether they ask for it or not, get right on it, now.

    CALLING ALL STATIONS..

    HELLO! Is there anybody out there?