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Study Suggests Weather and Not Hunting Killed Off Wooly Mammoths

Big Hairy Ian writes, quoting the BBC: "A DNA analysis shows that the number of creatures began to decrease much earlier than previously thought as the world's climate changed. It also shows that there was a distinct population of mammoth in Europe that died out around 30,000 years ago. ... Dr Dalen worked with researchers in London to analyse DNA samples from 300 specimens from woolly mammoths collected by themselves and other groups in earlier studies ... [The researchers] speculate that it was so cold that the grass on which they fed became scarce. The decline was spurred on as the Ice Age ended, possibly because the grassland on which the creatures thrived was replaced by forests in the south and tundra in the north."

150 comments

  1. It's a conspiracy! by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 2, Funny

    Scientist keep changing their mind on things! It's big science that's supporting research that shows that AGW is not the root of all evil! Wait, no.... it's liberal academics who are polluting our childrens's minds with nonsense like wholly mammoths not being hunted to extinction by savage humans!

    I'm confused. Someone please point me to the right meme I'm supposed to employ against evil scientists here. Help me, Bill O'Reilly!

    --
    Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    1. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 5, Funny

      >> point me to the right meme I'm supposed to employ against evil scientists

      Try this: Those dumb scientists are blaming climate change for everything, including killing the Mammoths.

    2. Re:It's a conspiracy! by dreamchaser · · Score: 4, Funny

      >> point me to the right meme I'm supposed to employ against evil scientists

      Try this: Those dumb scientists are blaming climate change for everything, including killing the Mammoths.

      It was obviously all the SUV's that Cro Magnons were driving.

    3. Re:It's a conspiracy! by interkin3tic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Good parody up until the last line. I don't think anyone who actually uses "Scientists are always changing their minds" are confused about anything ever. It takes like a microsecond for cognitive dissonance to kick in. Have you ever confronted someone with data that runs contrary to their established worldview? Usually not even a flicker of doubt crosses their face. Any "deep in thought" processes that go on are searching for a reason to throw out the new, unwelcome bit of data rather than considering it.

      It's not specific to climate change deniers or conservatives obviously. I had a similar reaction last night to a deeply catholic friend's saying that natural family planning was the most effective form of birth control. I caught myself immediately going to wiki, which backed up his statement, and then I immediately decided no, they were both definitely wrong, I just needed to dig deeper to establish the truth, that NPF was a catholic conspiracy to make more catholic babies. So, we all suffer from it, or at least I do and so do other closed minded idiots. Don't try to prove me wrong on this point!

    4. Re:It's a conspiracy! by cayenne8 · · Score: 1
      My guess was....

      They were ALL on the Paleo/Primal diet thing...and found that wooly mammoth tasted really GOOD!!!!

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    5. Re:It's a conspiracy! by jellomizer · · Score: 0

      They are very few scientific laws.
      Laws are fact.
      There are a lot of theories.
      Theories are educated guesses of how something should be, backed up by known and measured facts, that seems to match.
      Hypothesis are educated guesses that needs research to be backed up. But there isn't enough data to make any sort of conclusion.

      The problem is the news media, jumps on all these Hypothesis and states them as theories, and theories as laws.
      So for all those Hypothesis after doing its testing found out to be false, Scientists say well it isn't that. The Fox new watching drone will say, look scientists can't make up their mind.

      For theories, occasionally there is some new evidence that needs to tweak it. Then the news say, LOOK EVERY This theory that told everyone this is true is actually a full lie!!!

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    6. Re:It's a conspiracy! by dywolf · · Score: 1

      I thought they all peacefully coexisted and everyone ate plants, not each other?

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    7. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Scientist keep changing their mind on things! ...

      I'm confused. Someone please point me to the right meme I'm supposed to employ against evil scientists here. Help me, Bill O'Reilly!

      It's not the scientists' fault. Mother Nature is trying to kill us all ... and she'll do it too if we don't get her first.

    8. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      SUVs cause global warming, not global cooling. Meanwhile, I just saw this morning at national Geographic that It was caused by extraterrestrials. Not alien life, but a comet or asteroid that smacked Canada, melting glaciers which screwed up the currents in the Atlantic causing a cooling cycle (the glaciers had been retreating before the object hit).

    9. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are woefully misinformed on the definition of "theory" in this context.

    10. Re:It's a conspiracy! by rubycodez · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Absolutely false, laws are not "facts", they are uesful generalizations and most scientific laws have many exceptions.

      You want examples? Ohm's Law, Hooke's Law, Charles Law, Boyle's law are all linear approximations that many materials obey but real world materials have higher order terms and some materials have *opposite* behaviour.

      Second law of thermodynamics, one of the most useful laws, applies to closed systems, but there are no truly closed systems.

      Coulomb's law, applies to electrostatic system but there are no pure electrostatic systems in the universe, it is approximation and so there is "the electrostatic approximation"

    11. Re:It's a conspiracy! by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      Would you please inform us, as I appear to be under the same delusion.

    12. Re:It's a conspiracy! by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 4, Informative

      #1 thing to keep in mind: laws and theories refer to the same thing. Laws are just a historical anachronism when people used to call things laws of nature any time they found out a rule that seemed to be invariable in nature. Buoyancy, F=ma, etc.

      #2 thing to keep in mind: theories are not just guesses. They are statements about how some things supposedly work, based on our current understanding of related things. They are fully independent of scientific facts, which are data. Sometimes though, theories and facts have the same name, but refer to different things. Example: the theory of evolution, and Evolution. The theory of evolution lays out how we think creatures evolve. Evolution is the fact (the data collected) that creatures evolve.

      #3 thing to keep in mind: linguistically, a hypothesis and a theory is the same thing. In scientific vernacular, a hypothesis is what you have before you have data. A theory is what you have once you have collected some data and have the ability to support your theory with more than "cuz I say so."

      #4 thing to keep in mind: laws, theories, hypotheses - all of these can and will be changed once data shows that they're not correct anymore. That is the hallmark of science. We've just gotten so used to things having been nailed down so well that they haven't been updated in a long time. That doesn't mean that they can't be in the future.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    13. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And they were driving them 24,000 years before the earth was even created, those sneaky bastards!

    14. Re:It's a conspiracy! by PRMan · · Score: 1

      I don't know. I thought the flash-frozen mammoths with their last meal still in their belly was a dead giveaway. (No pun intended.)

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    15. Re: It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you've got the right meme...not just sayn'

    16. Re:It's a conspiracy! by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      You say it wasn't alien life, but that's just what Anubis wanted you to believe.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    17. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So for all those Hypothesis after doing its testing found out to be false, Scientists say well it isn't that. The Fox new watching drone will say, look scientists can't make up their mind.

      Scientists CAN"T make their mind. That has nothing to do with Fox watchers. The people that only believe certain scientists and theories that reinforce their own beliefs and completely blow off contradicting scientists and theories are the ones that have made up their minds.

      We don't know what dinosaurs looked like, we don't know why they died, we don't know what caused previous ice ages, we do not know why the mammoths disappeared in Europe or in America or where ever else they lived. We also are not totally sure why bees are dying right now as we speak and we are here now to actually observe it happening.

    18. Re:It's a conspiracy! by FatdogHaiku · · Score: 1

      >> point me to the right meme I'm supposed to employ against evil scientists

      Try this: Those dumb scientists are blaming climate change for everything, including killing the Mammoths.

      It was obviously all the SUV's that Cro Magnons were driving.

      I think we should be blaming the cooking process. You know how much wood you have to burn to cook a freaking Mammoth? Not only is that carelessly discharging green house gases, at the same time it is destroying the best carbon sequestration system ever... trees! And don't forget that the Mammoths themselves released massive amounts of green house gases with each thunderous fart!
      All of this could have been avoided if the species in question simply evolved a less tasty flavor profile!

      I have to go take my meds now and then get the baby seal burgers thawed out in time for dinner.

      --
      You have the right to remain sentient. If you give up the right to remain sentient, you will be elected to public office
    19. Re:It's a conspiracy! by OlRickDawson · · Score: 5, Funny

      Don't forget ColesLaw. It would probably go good with fried wolly mammoth.

      --
      Ol' Rick Dawson had a farm EIEIO
    20. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "They were ALL on the Paleo/Primal diet thing..."

      Speaking of diet... TFA has me puzzled.

      Elephants -- close relatives of the mammoth -- are not grass grazers. They eat trees.

      A mammoth sure doesn't seem to be constructed in a way that is conducive to grazing.

    21. Re:It's a conspiracy! by tomboalogo · · Score: 1

      actually the Mammoths were driving the SUVs. Can you imagine the gas mileage of a Mammoth family going on summer vacation in their SUV??? Pathetic.

    22. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I had a similar reaction last night to a deeply catholic friend's saying that natural family planning was the most effective form of birth control. I caught myself immediately going to wiki, which backed up his statement, and then I immediately decided no, they were both definitely wrong, I just needed to dig deeper to establish the truth, that NPF was a catholic conspiracy to make more catholic babies. So, we all suffer from it, or at least I do and so do other closed minded idiots. Don't try to prove me wrong on this point!

      To be fair, someone saying that not having sex is an effective form of birth control would be taken seriously by any reasonable person. Not a desireable form of birth control, but certainly effective. You might do well to find a different subject for your study of bias and self delusion.

    23. Re:It's a conspiracy! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      In the game of life Mother Nature bats last.

    24. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tide goes in, tide goes out. You can't explain it!

    25. Re:It's a conspiracy! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Elephants -- close relatives of the mammoth -- are not grass grazers. They eat trees.

      Not all elephants eat trees. In fact, not all elephants eat the same type of food all year round. They have behaviorial plasticity, and a relatively broad range of dietary possibilities. This helps them survive once-in-a-decade dry years (or wet years), which would occur in most elephant's lifetimes once between birth and sexual maturity.

      Also, as you say, elephants are "close relatives" of mammoths ; not identical twins. So you wouldn't expect them to be identical in behaviour and dietary ranges. Polar bears and grizzly bears are also close relatives, in fact in the wild and in captivity they are known to interbreed occasionally, but have quite different anatomy, diet and behaviours.

      A mammoth sure doesn't seem to be constructed in a way that is conducive to grazing.

      A significant number of modern elephants get routine nutrition by pulling up grasses with their trunk, dusting off the soil against their feet, then eating it. and when the trees are more digestible, they eat them. And when there's fruit, they'll eat that. They're flexible.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    26. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "A significant number of modern elephants get routine nutrition by pulling up grasses with their trunk, dusting off the soil against their feet, then eating it."

      Good point. I hadn't considered that. I was thinking only that their necks and heads do not appear to be conducive to grazing; I hadn't considered their trunks.

    27. Re:It's a conspiracy! by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      or an in-law

    28. Re:It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A hypothesis is not the same as a theory. A hypothesis is a proposition, or set of propositions, set forth as an explanation for the occurrence of some specified group of phenomena. A Theory is more rigorous in that it needs to express its propositions in a manor that is testable. You can't get from hypnosis to data without defining what questions need to be answered in order to define the data. Doing so turning your hypothesis into a testable theory which can yield data. Saying they are linguistically the same is just a generalization based on ignorance of the subject. Its like saying a Ford and Ferrari are the same because they are both cars. Both being cars is true, but it does not make them the same.

    29. Re: It's a conspiracy! by Optali · · Score: 1

      Well, that's like not considering the hands when talking about humans

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    30. Re: It's a conspiracy! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cute fat nerd playing hard...
      Aaaawh
      ^_^

      XOXOXO

      I guess the baby seal would have you for dinner instead. Remember, they are carnivores... Uuuuhhhh!

      don't take me too serious, I just haven't grown up and I still like to bully people from time to time :)

    31. Re: It's a conspiracy! by Optali · · Score: 1

      Neeeeeerds!

      Lol. Have you noticed that the above threat you are answering was just a pun?
      OK mates, that's an extra point in the Nerd Purity Test.

      And taking it from a different angle. it's sad to see that even here in /. Science is on retreat defending itself from idiocy and needing to justify itself

      --
      -- 29A the number of the Beast
    32. Re: It's a conspiracy! by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Not considering their trunks, when talking about elephants, is a pretty major omission. All that brain needs something to supply it with sensation and to demand it's attention. Not being a proboscidian biologist by trade, I don't know how much of an elephant's brain power goes to it's trunk ; but I bet it's a lot.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  2. Nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We all know they died in Noah's Flood.

    1. Re:Nonsense by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 3, Funny

      We all know they died in Noah's Flood.

      I'm pretty sure it was Noah's ark and God's flood.

      I wonder if the mammoths had a water bottle in their carry-on, so the TSA wouldn't let them board.

    2. Re:Nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure it was Noah's ark and God's flood.

      No, that was just Noah's propaganda. He didn't consider it a good idea to say "I killed all people except for my family, by causing a big flood." So he just claimed "God did it."

  3. Caveman Aduni Wuts says by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

    "Don't worry about the mammoth numbers, I'm sure they'll adapt to the changing weather. Mammoths have been around a very long time you know."

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    1. Re:Caveman Aduni Wuts says by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Caveman Aduni Wuts

      You repeat yourself.

    2. Re:Caveman Aduni Wuts says by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but I need a mammoth tusk now, for a chick in Winterhold.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    3. Re:Caveman Aduni Wuts says by HybridST · · Score: 1

      I used to be like you; in need of a mammoth tusk. Then I took an arrow to the knee!

      --
      Ever notice that Cobra Commander sounds an awful lot like Star scream?
    4. Re:Caveman Aduni Wuts says by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      For just 570 gold, Dwarven obsidian dragon plate knee guards, cheap!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
  4. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Or you know, the scientific method was used that refines theories, based on new evidence.

    Maybe we should be like you, where we know that there's no human-induced climate change because we ignore the unprecedented rate of change in temperature over the past 2 centuries, and keep all our understanding exactly the same as when we were born.

  5. Mammoth burgers by onyxruby · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Look, who's the bigger villain, humans with their penchant for turning anything that moves or doesn't move into a ___burger or climate change that is the current boogeyman?

    Who knows? Let's face it, any number of factors from volcanoes to natural predators to climate change to caveman barbeques all likely shared guilt. The world isn't black and white and people need to stop thinking of everything as having a singular one dimensional true answer.

    1. Re:Mammoth burgers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Being delicious to humans ensures your success as a species as long as humans exist.

      Chickens, cows, pigs... millions of 'em

      Tigers, lions, elephants? Not so much

    2. Re:Mammoth burgers by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      Being delicious to humans ensures your success as a species as long as humans exist.

      It didn't help the Galapagos tortoises or the Passenger Pigeon.

    3. Re:Mammoth burgers by jabuzz · · Score: 1

      Wrong, allowing your self to become domesticated is the key to genetic success. So for example horses which are not widely eaten are doing well. On the other hand zebra's which are virtually undomesticatable not so much.

    4. Re:Mammoth burgers by Piata · · Score: 3, Funny

      It didn't help the Galapagos tortoises or the Passenger Pigeon.

      Well obviously. They were not delicious.

    5. Re:Mammoth burgers by RabidReindeer · · Score: 1

      Being delicious to humans ensures your success as a species as long as humans exist.

      Chickens, cows, pigs... millions of 'em

      Tigers, lions, elephants? Not so much

      People do eat elephants, you know.

      Tastes kind of like mammoth, I hear.

    6. Re:Mammoth burgers by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      The galapagos tortoises were indescribably delicious. They all got eaten on the way back to Britain, where they were being taken for the purpose of scientific study and preservation. Not sure about the PP, but it was hunted for food. Being delicious is only an evolutionary advantage if the species is also domesticable.

    7. Re:Mammoth burgers by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 1

      No, it didn't. The OP was correct but incomplete: Being delicious to humans *and being able to be efficiently domesticated by humans* ensures your success as a species as long as humans exist.

    8. Re:Mammoth burgers by intermodal · · Score: 1

      That's completely unacceptable. We have to have a one-size-fits-all scapegoat that we can heavily politicize.

      --
      In SOVIET RUSSIA... erm...NSA AMERICA, the Internet logs onto YOU!
    9. Re:Mammoth burgers by PhilHibbs · · Score: 3, Interesting

      From Wikipedia:
      Captain James Colnett of the British Navy wrote of "the land tortoise which in whatever way it was dressed, was considered by all of us as the most delicious food we had ever tasted."[108] US Navy captain David Porter declared that, "after once tasting the Gallipagos tortoises, every other animal food fell off greatly in our estimation ... The meat of this animal is the easiest of digestion, and a quantity of it, exceeding that of any other food, can be eaten without experiencing the slightest of inconvenience."[81] Darwin was less enthusiastic about the meat, writing "the breast-plate roasted (as the Gauchos do "carne con cuero"), with the flesh on it, is very good; and the young tortoises make excellent soup; but otherwise the meat to my taste is indifferent."

    10. Re:Mammoth burgers by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      or the Dodo...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    11. Re:Mammoth burgers by cellocgw · · Score: 1

      Being delicious to humans *and being able to be efficiently domesticated by humans* ensures your success as a species as long as humans exist.

      Ok, let's see.
      Species: human
      Delicious to humans: check
      Efficiently domesticated by humans: check.

      I see a giant upside to this emerging market. excuse me while I assassinate my competition, Mr. Soy Lent.

      --
      https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
    12. Re:Mammoth burgers by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      If you look up what the Royal Navy typically ate in Darwin's day (rats, weevil infested everything else), Tortoise might well have been really high up on the delight list. Today, not so much.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    13. Re:Mammoth burgers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With humans, not so much about eating things into extinction as it is about racing to deplete resoures for individual personal gain; i.e greed. As a group, humans are just like the lower animals in that they have no foresight and no self-control. Honestly, it's not even quite correct to use 'humans' in the statements above, because it's really only men that have this deficient quality of destruction for the sake of ego.

    14. Re:Mammoth burgers by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      On the other hand zebra's which are virtually undomesticatable not so much.

      So are grocer's.

  6. Disputable results by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The liberals will argue the opposite, and use this just as another reason why guns are bad.

  7. Damn Global Warming by Dareth · · Score: 1

    It was all them blasted cavemen with their fancy fires that caused it!

    --

    I only look human.
    My mother is a halfling and my dad is an ogre, so that makes me an Ogreling
  8. Re:How history changes by somersault · · Score: 1

    So, you were never taught about "Ice Ages" in school?

    Hey, whatever happened to nuclear apocalypse--radiation/nuclear winter/etc.? Anyone remember that one back in the 80's?

    Did you somehow miss the whole Fukushima thing?

    --
    which is totally what she said
  9. well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Humans killed off the dinosaours by hunting, why not the big elephants with tusks?

    1. Re:well by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      oh, someone who has been to the Kentucky Creationist museum...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  10. They must have lived in Seattle by sandysnowbeard · · Score: 1

    Weather kills all that lives there.

    1. Re:They must have lived in Seattle by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      That's what caffeine is for. Ennnouuggghh vibbbrrrrattingg aaaannndd yooouuuu ccccaaannn staaayyyy wwwaarrrmmmm.

      Too bad Starbucks wasn't around then. A woolly on a 50 shot latte would be an entertaining sight.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:They must have lived in Seattle by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      This post brought to you by the Discovery Institute. (Interestingly located in Seattle.)

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  11. Mammoths by Richy_T · · Score: 1

    Have you seen the size of those things? They must have driven *HUGE* SUVs. No wonder climate change wiped them out.

    1. Re:Mammoths by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Must have been Unimogs.

  12. Re:How history changes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This story is relatively old, isn't it?

    http://evolve.zoo.ox.ac.uk/evolve/Oliver_Pybus_files/bisonMedia.pdf

  13. Straw man by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And exactly where do you see them doing this?

    Citation?

    I'm waiting.

    I'm still waiting.

    1. Re:Straw man by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And exactly where do you see them doing this?

      Citation?

      I'm waiting.

      I'm still waiting.

      When you have no intelligence of your own, you can always quack out the party line. No citations needed.

  14. Still humans' fault? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since climate change only happens because of human activity it's still our fault, right?

    1. Re:Still humans' fault? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Natural events cause fires, therefore arson doesn't exist.

    2. Re:Still humans' fault? by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      but damage due to arson is neglible compared to value of destroyed property and extent of damage done by natural fires. hmmm...

    3. Re:Still humans' fault? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Way to take the idea that humans are a factor in climate change to it's ridiculous conclusion. Reductio ad absurdum(b).

  15. I prefer the Bedrock Theory by GodfatherofSoul · · Score: 5, Funny

    Their insatiable drive for 24/7 dishwashers eliminated the mammoth's ability to reproduce.

    --
    I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
    1. Re:I prefer the Bedrock Theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nah, that couldn't have killed them. After all, it's a living.

  16. Polar ice? by Gothmolly · · Score: 1

    Wasn't the BBC the one who said we'd be ice-free by 2013?

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
    1. Re:Polar ice? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      A BBC story reported that one croyologist said in late 2007 or early 2008 "At the rate it's going the Arctic could be ice free by 2013." In 2007 the Arctic sea ice extent minimum was 4,140,000 km^2, 22% or 1,190,000 km^2 less than the previous record low.so yes, at that rate it could have been gone by 2013. No one asked him if he thought that would actually happen though and most of his colleagues would have called it ridiculous. Latching on to that is really just a case of quote mining and ignoring the larger context.

  17. I Blame.. by ackthpt · · Score: 1

    Global Humidification

    Seriously, ever wear a sweater on a hot, humid day? It'll kill ya!

    or make you wish you was dead

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  18. Re:How history changes by TWiTfan · · Score: 1

    Did you somehow miss the whole Fukushima thing?

    Ah, that's weak tea. A true 1983-style nuclear apocalypse has to have mutants on dune-buggies and wastelands (or at least bombed-out cities with lots of skulls laying around).

    --
    The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
  19. Re:How history changes by dkleinsc · · Score: 0

    So, you were never taught about "Ice Ages" in school?

    What, are we're talking about 3500 BCE, when Noah was chillin' with dinosaurs?

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  20. Weather? Really? by SoupGuru · · Score: 2

    Can we not contribute to the confusion between climate and weather, please? I mean, we're mostly technically literate people here and can appreciate the need to stick to agreed-upon definitions of words, right?

    Words have meaning.

    --
    What doesn't kill you only delays the inevitable
  21. Re:How history changes by istartedi · · Score: 1

    Hey, whatever happened to nuclear apocalypse--radiation/nuclear winter/etc.? Anyone remember that one back in the 80's? Man, I'm old.

    The parachute pants and narrow ties didn't disappear. The Russians and the USA still have huge stockpiles, and it should still concern you. You should also be worried about their nuclear weapons.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  22. Re:But.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    your an idot

  23. What? by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    The BBC News version is pretty damn confusing.

    ""The picture that seems to be emerging is that they were a fairly dynamic species that went through local extinctions, expansions and migrations. It is quite exciting that so much was going on," he told BBC News."

    The idea that they were a dynamic and occasionally migratory species, yet died out because they couldn't find GRASS seems a little odd. I mean, it's not like the last Ice Age ENTIRELY covered the planet with glaciers.

    "They found that the species nearly went extinct 120,000 years ago when the world warmed up for a while. Numbers are thought to have dropped from several million to tens of thousands but numbers recovered as the planet entered another ice age."

    So wait, I thought the theory was that they couldn't find food due to climate change? They almost went extinct when the climate warmed UP? Remember, we're talking about a climate SUBSTANTIALLY colder than today, with sea levels 120m or more below today's levels. The "warming" was to levels still quite a bit cooler than today....and grass is pretty common?

    "The researchers also found that the decline that led to their eventual extinction began 20,000 years ago when the Ice Age was at its height, rather than 14,000 years ago when the world began to warm again as previously thought.

    They speculate that it was so cold that the grass on which they fed became scarce. The decline was spurred on as the Ice Age ended, possibly because the grassland on which the creatures thrived was replaced by forests in the south and tundra in the north."

    "But from about 20,000 years ago onwards, the population started the dramatic decline that led to its extinction, first on the mainland about 10,000 years ago, and finally on some outlying Arctic islands. The pattern seems to fit forcing by natural climate change: any role of humans in the process has yet to be demonstrated".'

    This pattern fits no such thing. Maximum glaciation was reached about 22,000 years ago. Thus the mammoth population started its dramatic decline shortly after WARMING began. Now, granted, it's possible this was an inertial effect, the way it gets coldest in the morning as the sun is coming up, but the fact that the bulk of their decline was only 10,000 years ago (when the climate had significantly warmed and grasses were again widespread), their last remnants (that we know of) were on ARCTIC islands (why would they have gone North?), are both far better fits to the "human success killed them off" theories.

    Frankly, this all sounds like bollocks to me, unless your sole goal was to try to spread more FUD that "warming" - of any kind, in any context, and from any start point - is "bad"...and that would be somewhere between politics and religion, not science.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:What? by PRMan · · Score: 1

      that would be somewhere between politics and religion, not science

      Sadly, this represents most of the science reported in the media these days...

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    2. Re:What? by TheSkepticalOptimist · · Score: 1

      It's the BBC, English is not their forte.

      --
      I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
  24. Re:How history changes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, whatever happened to nuclear apocalypse--radiation/nuclear winter/etc.?

    Fortunately we didn't yet have a nuclear war to test those predictions.

  25. Earth Doesn't Need Saving by RugRat · · Score: 1

    Perhaps the Mammoths were too preoccupied trying to "save the earth" when it was themselves that needed saving!

  26. Re:But.. by Infiniti2000 · · Score: 1

    your an idot

    Yuo two

  27. Re:How history changes by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

    Ah, that's weak tea. A true 1983-style nuclear apocalypse has to have mutants on dune-buggies and wastelands (or at least bombed-out cities with lots of skulls laying around).

    ...and a young, anti-hero...looks a lot like a very young Mel Gibson (before he went nuts), and I think he was "Angry" or something...?

    :D

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  28. Weather and "not hunting" killed them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good news for hunters! By not hunting, you are actually contributing to a species demise!
     
    Pull the trigger that makes you man...

  29. Mammoths throughout the ages by Misagon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Mammoth-type animals have actually appeared and gone extinct not once, but at about once every ice-age cycle.
    That blew my mind when I heard it the first time.

    That the last type the mammoths would have gone extinct because of climate change does not seem very far-fetched then, now does it.

    --
    "We mustn't be caught by surprise by our own advancing technology" -- Aldous Huxley
    1. Re:Mammoths throughout the ages by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Also saber toothed animals.

    2. Re:Mammoths throughout the ages by dargaud · · Score: 1

      What about saber-toothed mammoths... ? Please.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    3. Re:Mammoths throughout the ages by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      They're called tusks.

  30. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    "If we cannot have perfect knowledge, we can't have any knowledge, and I'm an intellectually lazy snob"

    All I could get out of what you posted..

  31. Re:How history changes by gmuslera · · Score: 2

    You have to separate facts from culture. You have a nice menu of extintion causes to choose from, but culture have other priorities, Dinosaurs are still named antediluvian (from before the flood) or prehistoric (before written history) animals, no matter what killed them. Some of what you said are still potential extintion causes, i.e. for diseases, we have as precedent the black death that killed from 30 to 60% of the population in europe, overpopulation is a ticking bomb, but will not mean extintion, "just" a lot of deaths, and regarding nuclear apocalypse is a pending threat too (the country that had in account most wars and alikes in recent history have still the biggest nuclear arsenal).

    Regarding climate change, it definately causes the extintion of species, i.e. an ice age kills species that depends on warm/hot climates, and happened a lot of them in earth history. But about the asteroid that "caused" the extintion of dinosaurs, is not that it hit in the head in each dinosaur, between other effects, it made the global temperature drop, that was one of the factors that contributed to a mass extintion. We got already hit by supervolcanos, the Toba eruption 70k years ago almost wiped mankind, but what killed us wasn't directly the eruption, but the global cooling that came after.

    The current cultural problem regarding climate change is that this time wasnt a supervolcano or an asteroid the one that is causing the climate change and all its possible consequences, but us. And while the main factors contributing to it keep actively denying that is happening, it will keep increasing.

  32. Re:How history changes by Kielistic · · Score: 1

    So what do you suggest? No one discus science or perform studies because there's a good chance in the future more information will come to light?

    Let me suggest some reading for you: Relativity of wrong.

    tl;dr :

    ... when people thought the earth was flat, they were wrong. When people thought the earth was spherical, they were wrong. But if you think that thinking the earth is spherical is just as wrong as thinking the earth is flat, then your view is wronger than both of them put together.

  33. Re:How history changes by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 2

    Or you know, the scientific method was used that refines theories, based on new evidence.

    Maybe we should be like you, where we know that there's no human-induced climate change because we ignore the unprecedented rate of change in temperature over the past 2 centuries, and keep all our understanding exactly the same as when we were born.

    http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/noaa_gisp2_icecore_anim_hi-def3.gif

    Or we can be like you and keep perpetuating memes about "unprecedented rates of change" and pretend there has never been any change in the climate before the evil humans and their "machinez" came along.

    It's estimated that Homo Sapiens has been on this planet for around 200K years. This graph shows temperatures for the last 3/4 of a million years. Notice that it was warmer 110K years ago than it is now? So this isn't even "unprecedented" during our time on this planet, let alone before our ancestors climbed down from the trees.

    Seriously, we all need to do (a lot) more to avoid poisoning ourselves. Yes the planet is warming. Yes we are contributing to it. Yes we need to work toward ways to mitigate this. The planet has been here for 4.5 billion years. I find it a little disingenuous to look at the temperatures from the last 1500 years and claim the sky is falling.

  34. Re:Weather? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Words have meaning.

    We live in a society here!

  35. Re:How history changes by Kjella · · Score: 2

    Hey, whatever happened to nuclear apocalypse--radiation/nuclear winter/etc.? Anyone remember that one back in the 80's? Man, I'm old.

    In case you didn't notice WWIII didn't come (yet) so tens of thousands of nuclear warheads didn't explode all over the world whirling up tons of dust into the atmosphere causing a massive global drop in temperature. The only reason nobody talks about it today is because a full scale nuclear confrontation seems so unlikely, we're still more than capable.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  36. Re:How history changes by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

    Or you know, the scientific method was used that refines theories, based on new evidence.

    How is this the scientific method? Where are the controlled, repeatable experiments?

    This is mostly a bunch of speculation, with the trappings of science draped over it.

  37. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    There are a host of things that can reasonably be called "controlled repeatable experiments" within the theory of human induced climate change. You're going to have to narrow down which specific hypothesis you're "concerned" with in the greater theory for me to address you query with an answer more specific than "you're wrong".

  38. actually... by mschaffer · · Score: 1

    Actually, had our ancestors been driving all of those SUVs, the mammoths might still be with us---assuming they aren't too tasty.

  39. Re:How history changes by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 0

    So new evidence is that climate change and not human encroachment caused the extinction of a species 30,000 years ago?

    Suck it, deniers.

  40. Re:How history changes by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    In school there was something called "The Ice Age" which we were told was some point in time before civilization when the entire earth was a huge ball of ice, after the dinosaurs died.

  41. Re:How history changes by PRMan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Funny that you think the scientific method was used in relation to explaining ice ages and global warming/cooling... Historical sciences are guesses at best and typically have very little to do with the scientific method. This is why they are overturned often and in massive ways. The "faith" that people have put into global warming based on only history and computer models is staggering. And the zeal with which they have attacked anyone who disagrees smacks of burning people at the stake for believing in a round earth. It's closer to politics or religion than science, because a true scientist doesn't care if other people agree with his "side". In a true science, the facts will do that for them.

    Of course, now we know that instead of their being no ice in 2013 (as predicted), there is actually so much ice that 20 ships are trapped in the arctic and most of the shipping lines are completely blocked. On the past 2 seasons of Deadliest Catch, they had to go home and take a break for a few weeks because the entire sea was full of ice, the most in 30-40 years.

    This stuff is way more complicated than most people think and we are in the early stages of understanding it. To treat anyone as an idiot for having a difference of opinion at this early stage is just mind-blowing. And as for "unprecedented rate of change of temperature"? I don't think .5 degrees over 100 years is that big of a deal, especially when I question the accuracy being good enough to catch half a degree 100 years ago.

    Climate changes. With or without man. We see a "fertile crescent" in Iraq that now looks like a massive desert (because they cut down all the trees). We see a California which was a desert which is now Mediterranean (because of man planting lots of trees). We see flash frozen mammoths (and don't know why). We know the earth has recovered from an ice age in the past, so it's pretty darn resilient.

    The bottom line is you are right. We should do our best to keep learning because we really don't understand this stuff yet. But vilifying people that disagree and trying to stifle their funding and ruin their careers hampers that effort significantly. And that's what the GP was lamenting.

    --
    Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
  42. Re:How history changes by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    It is said that ice ages caused the extinction of north america's earth worms, and the re-introduction of european nightcrawlers is destroying our forests by causing a change in the topsoil chemistry.

    I say scientists are dumb. Okay, so some worms will till the soil, the nitrogen balance changes, leaves decay faster. These large shifts will impact how seedlings grow and thrive; over time, new seedlings which thrive better in an ecosystem with earthworms will outcompete the ones that take best to a worm-free system. Give it a few hundred years and the forests will change over--not suddenly and catastrophically collapse.

    Scientists aren't even arguing that forests will collapse or mass extinctions will occur; I've seen arguments like "We need to slow the progression and spread of worms to keep some areas as they are, because there's some inherent value in that." Inherent value? A non-important ecological evolution and you want to lock that shit down and freeze state to as-it-is-now? You're arguing that growth and adaptation are not value; stagnation and stasis are value. Stagnation and stasis in the biosphere will weaken it and expose it to greater risk of failure under stress!

    Humans fear change. Extinction of a species of which there are 30 alive on the planet and have been at most 250 alive on the planet in the past 500 years and they do nothing except nibble on some leaves of no plant in particular would be seen as a devastating catastrophe.

  43. Re:Weather? Really? by PPH · · Score: 0

    Right. Weather is a day-to-day phenomenon which could be hot, cool, trend up or down. Climate is something entirely different and unrelated to weather. Its a thing we have to take on faith that we are damaging beyond repair even when weather trends the other way.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  44. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    Changing climates is a bitch for any species, no matter the rate. Evolution is a hash mistress and you get genes that adapt you really well to one circumstance, and when things change, the generalist k-selected species like cockroaches, algae, and e-coli kick your ass.

    It's a little disingenuous to say that's similar to what's happening now. Human concerns are for relatively small temperature changes over REALLY REALLY REALLY short amounts of time, that threaten the stable conditions the agro-economies of the world are currently built on, not the continued existence of species.

  45. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    Funny that you think the scientific method was used in relation to explaining ice ages and global warming/cooling... Historical sciences are guesses at best and typically have very little to do with the scientific method. This is why they are overturned often and in massive ways. The "faith" that people have put into global warming based on only history and computer models is staggering. And the zeal with which they have attacked anyone who disagrees smacks of burning people at the stake for believing in a round earth. It's closer to politics or religion than science, because a true scientist doesn't care if other people agree with his "side". In a true science, the facts will do that for them.

    Yeah, we totally don't use science to understand things that already happened, like how the Sun formed, or how life operates, without directly observing those processes.

    No wait, those are very well understood concepts in astronomy and biology, and you're a misguided idiot for pretending that science always happens in a test-tube.

  46. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    Besides making things up, do you have anything to contribute?

  47. Re:How history changes by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    The charts show an average change of some 0.2 degrees kelvin deviation from mean over decades, so yeah. Relatively small temperature changes.

  48. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    You have to understand, that's fast geologically speaking. It's not a lot but the time span in question is really damn short.

  49. Re:How history changes by gmuslera · · Score: 1

    Scientists (in average, at least) are not dumb, but their knowledge is limited. Probably the current ecosystem is not fully understood (at least, going to microbes and even lower levels), and so how fragile is or at least how easy is to go from one ecosystem to a different another is not (fully?) known. But the problem with ecosystem is that we are part of it, most of what we depend on is part of it too. Introducing big changes won't kill all life probably, life eventually adapts, if changes are not too fast, but will the new environment be friendly with us?

    Maybe is a bias, but i prefer to follow advice form people that know something on the topic, based on evidence, information gathering, and experimentation, and admit that that knowledge is far from complete, over the advice of people that think that they know everything, based on hints, prejudices and ridged information. The second kind could get random hits, but i prefer to play with loaded dices.

  50. Re:How history changes by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

    Seriously, we all need to do (a lot) more to avoid poisoning ourselves. Yes the planet is warming. Yes we are contributing to it. Yes we need to work toward ways to mitigate this. The planet has been here for 4.5 billion years. I find it a little disingenuous to look at the temperatures from the last 1500 years and claim the sky is falling.

    They sky isn't falling but the roof is getting pretty leaky. The difference between a couple of thousand proto humans chasing herbivores off cliffs a couple of thousand years ago and 7 billion of the annoying creatures burning anything they can get their paws on is ecologically profound.

    The planet will be here long after we're gone. But at the rate we're going it's likely that the entire human experience will be a narrow band of sediment trapped inside an alien archeologist's core sample.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  51. Of course it was weather, its the BBC by TheSkepticalOptimist · · Score: 1

    Global warming is the source of all problems according to the BBC. Our selfish behavior today can be directly linked back to killing the Wooly Mammoths 30,000 years ago, dontcha know.

    --
    I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
  52. Re:How history changes by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

    You conflate 'scientists' with small groups of people interested in one aspect off an enormous topic.

    "Science" does not have an opinion on what reintroduction off burrowing worms on the NA continent will do. Some people researching the field may have some observations and possibly opinions about the desirability or lack thereof of a particular issue, but that isn't some giant statist conspiracy that you're trying to make it into.

    And yes, you CAN make the argument that 'slowing down' or avoiding changes might be beneficial - those arguments may or may not be true (or relevant in the long run) but they are reasonable and important items of discussion. You are unsuccessfully trying to toss any concerns about environmental change into the tree hugger basket. Sorry, the basket isn't big enough. Yes, at times we have to embrace change but when you have several billion people living at the ragged edge of existence you might want to look very carefully at what the changes are likely to be and what we might do to avoid them.

    Some of those billions of people might end up being interested in your breakfast.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  53. Re:How history changes by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    Actually I was paraphrasing the "I think there's some inherent value" quote from an actual researcher whose only reason for wanting to stop the spread of earthworms was that keeping things the way they are is inherently valuable in some unqualified way. He never claimed there would be catastrophic collapse; that's separate, a lot of researchers are saying that the forests may eventually be destroyed by worms changing the nutrient cycle by causing faster consumption of nitrogen resources and integration into the soil, and it's a very vacant and poorly-thought-out position.

  54. Re:How history changes by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

    The difference between a couple of thousand proto humans chasing herbivores off cliffs a couple of thousand years ago and 7 billion of the annoying creatures burning anything they can get their paws on is ecologically profound.

    These weren't proto-humans. If you want to talk about that far back, then we need to look at the past 6 million years as opposed to more relevant graph for the last seven-hundred-fifty-thousand. It's estimated (as I previously stated) that homo sapiens has been on this planet for the last 200K years. We were certainly still here 110K years ago when it was even hotter. If you look at that last graph you'll also notice that there was a serious decrease in the human population during a colder period around the time of the Toba super-eruption. At that time the human race was reduced to somewhere between 3K to 10K. The population was significantly more than that during the last warm period.

    The point is, is that 110K years ago, humans were not the cause of the warming, and yet is was even more significant that what is occurring now. So it is not unprecedented.

    The planet will be here long after we're gone. But at the rate we're going it's likely that the entire human experience will be a narrow band of sediment trapped inside an alien archeologist's core sample.

    No doubt. and the ancestors of the cockroach will probably be burning our remains the same way we are the dinosaurs.

    I'm not disputing that we need to mitigate the damage we are causing. Because we certainly should have started some time ago. I'm simply saying we need to dial back the BS. It's not helping. In fact, I think it's having the opposite effect. I remember the oil crisis in the 70's. Doomsayers were screaming that we were going to run out of oil in 10 or 20 years. Cars became better and more efficient. But then when 20 years past and oil production steadily increased and more oil than was even though existed was found, the general public lost interest. Then Americans started driving around in Hummers and all kinds of aircraft carrier sized vehicles. They basically got numb to the fear of oil running out. At least until the price of gas rose sharply a few years back. People become complacent when you bombard them with apocalyptic predictions that don't come true repeatedly. I fear that we are seeing more of this as time passes.

  55. Re: How history changes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I didn't post that.
    Oliver Pybus

  56. Re:How history changes by cusco · · Score: 1

    It's not the change that's worrisome, it's the RATE of change that is. Change happens, always has. Climate takes millenia to change, it took thousands of years for the glaciers to retreat, for example. We're changing it measurably in decades, and noticeably in centuries. That's what's unprecedented.

    --
    "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  57. Re:How history changes by cusco · · Score: 1

    The experiment is to examine mammoth remains from diverse areas, to inspect the remains of the ecosystem, to look at the changes in isotopic take-up (a way to measure long-term temperature change) of organisms. If the findings are consistent across multiple you have your repeatable experiment. Just because something can't be done in a test tube doesn't mean it's not an experiment.

    --
    "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  58. Re:How history changes by cusco · · Score: 1

    You're replying to bluefoxlucid, he won't understand.

    --
    "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
  59. Re:How history changes by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    I... what? I was just clarifying a point, one I don't even thing he contradicted, and nothing in the immediate post history I can see implies any sort of unreasonable intransigence.

  60. All of the Above by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've seen a number of viable, competing theories about why the Mammoths died out, but for whatever reason, people tend to ignore the obvious, they might all have had a hand in it.

  61. you mean climate changes naturally by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and can drive extinctions? Wait, I'm confused, I thought humans caused climate change.because, you know, theres no way that todays climate change can be natural.....

    1. Re:you mean climate changes naturally by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Well, the known causes of natural climate change point toward slow cooling so human causes are probably more than 100% of the cause of the warming. Both are still operating but anthropogenic causes are overwhelming the natural causes lately.

    2. Re:you mean climate changes naturally by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Don't bring logic to a stupid fight! Let the deniers misunderstand science and delight in demonstrating their ignorance to fellow deniers.

  62. Re:How history changes by hawkfish · · Score: 1

    It's estimated that Homo Sapiens has been on this planet for around 200K years. This graph shows temperatures for the last 3/4 of a million years. Notice that it was warmer 110K years ago than it is now? So this isn't even "unprecedented" during our time on this planet, let alone before our ancestors climbed down from the trees.

    Love the way that graph has such thick lines you can barely read it... And judging by the hysterical captions, it looks like this is a "temperature rise always causes CO2 rise" meme. Those of us in the reality-based community understand that this historical sequence has a physical cause (Milankovich cycles) and don't take it as an absolute rule that prevents CO2 emissions from causing temperature rises...

    Anyway, notice that yellow chunk at the far right? That is the development of agriculture. Notice how it is much lower than the 100Kya bump you are so proud of? Now imagine if we push global temperature (or Antarctic temperature, which is what your graph actually shows) up to that level. How well do you think our food supply is going to handle that?

    Oh, but we can fix these problems with technology! Sure, that is working so well in Syria, where the underlying cause of the conflict is idiotic government responses to a long term drought. If we start shifting rainfall around by heating up the planet, do you think the responses will be any better in other locations? The Pentagon is betting not.

    So yeah, the planet will survive and so might the species, but civilisation may not.

    --
    You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
  63. Re:How history changes by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

    a) Historical sciences do in fact use the scientific method: make observations-> make theories-> make more observations-> refine theories.
    b) Climate science is not at an early stage. A few of the predictions were slightly off, but that just means refining the parameters a little, not throwing out the whole model.

    I looked up the "no ice in 2013" you mentioned, it's here: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7139797.stm. Notice that the actual estimates aren't predicting no ice until 2030 or 2040. We may be reversing the trend this year, but the longer trend is still towards less ice.

  64. Phththth by Toad-san · · Score: 1

    I submit that populations dying out LONG ago have damn all to do with populations dying out NOT so long ago.

    Unless the newer ones tripped over the bones of the older ones and broke their necks.

    North America still had plenty of mammoths running around, healthy as clams, 4500, 3000, even 1500 years ago. The continent was warming up then, not chilling down.

  65. Re:How history changes by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    The change in temperature from the height of the last glaciation (around 25,000 years ago) to the Holocene is only about +4 Kelvins. The difference between the height of the Little Ice Age and now only about 1 Kelvin. The increase from 1880 to now is about 0.8 Kelvin. It doesn't take a lot of temperature change to cause some pretty drastic changes from a human point of view.

    (BTW, being the pedant I am I have to say Kelvin's don't have degrees even though they are the same size as a Celcius degree. Kelvins are an absolute measurement based on absolute zero.)

  66. Re:How history changes by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    ... especially when I question the accuracy being good enough to catch half a degree 100 years ago.

    I see this all the time. People assume that just because the precision that the measurements were taken at in the past is somewhat less than it is today that it's invalid to express the aggregation of many of those measurements to a greater precision. This can be statistically shown to be wrong but perhaps the simplest example I can give is this. In baseball a player's batting average is commonly expressed to three decimal places and yet each measurement is a binary choice, either they got a hit (1) or they made an out (0)*. If you said the statistical aggregation of a players batting average had to be expressed to the precision of the measurement then all batters are batting 0.000 (or 1.000 if they miraculously manage to bat better than 0.500). The same principle applies to all areas where statistics are being applied.

    *Things like walks or "hit by pitch" don't count in the batting average.

  67. fifty percent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The natives who killed off (or not) the mammoths also killed off half of the other species in north and south america. So naturally suspicion falls on them.

  68. Re:How history changes by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    The last time there might have been a "snowball Earth" was long before the dinosaurs died and in fact before the Cambrian explosion around 550 million years ago.

  69. Re:How history changes by dave420 · · Score: 1

    You will look back on the time when you held these ignorant views and feel embarrassed that you could be so naive. The science is good - your understanding of it is poor.

  70. Re:How history changes by dave420 · · Score: 1

    Livid Larry? Something like that.

  71. Re:How history changes by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

    Look, you've obviously been around Wikipedia a lot; but you have a lot to learn about how public school operates.

  72. Re:How history changes by TWiTfan · · Score: 1

    And one day you will have selectively forgotten that you were such a pro-global warming zealot--long after the gloom-and-doom scenarios didn't materialize and the hippies have moved on to the next environmental fad for hating on humanity.

    --
    The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
  73. Wooly Mammoths, Methane, and Global Warmig by nobaloney · · Score: 1

    If those wooly mammoths' digestive systems didn't create so much methane perhaps they wouldn't have caused so much global warming.

  74. Re:How history changes by mcgrew · · Score: 1

    I remember growing up how asteroids, overpopulation, diseases, and shit like that once killed every species that ever went extinct. Now climate change did it all.

    Incorrect. SOME mass extinctions were the result of climate change (like when the early anaerobic life produced too much of that poisonous oxygen). Some were caused by gamma ray bursts (which affected the climate by destroying the ozone layer and polluting the atmosphere with oxides of nitrogen), some by asteroids (this particular one was supposedly caused by a n object colliding with Canada, sending fresh water into the Atlantic and causing the retreating ice to grow again). It was once thought that disease killed the dinosaurs but they're pretty sure it was an asteroid hitting off the coast of Mexico.

    Hey, whatever happened to nuclear apocalypse--radiation/nuclear winter/etc.?

    The cold war ended.

  75. Brown Hairy Stuff by Tannasgh · · Score: 1

    Know what the brown hairy stuff scientists have been finding between the wooly mammoth's toes is? Slow Cro-Mags

  76. 30,000 years ago by minstrelmike · · Score: 1

    Interestingly enough, I read an article about human lifespans and how it changed drastically about 30,000 years ago, giving us grandparents who were able to help spread knowledge across generations. Maybe if people were living twice as long, then humans were eating twice as many mammoths.

  77. UM...Weather vs. Climate by bbsalem · · Score: 1

    It is not a nit that unless stratigraphers are able to decipher daily weather reports from fossils and the horizons they are found on, that you are talking about climate.

    Because of the problems of getting absolute dates and their precision being low, there is always the danger that causes get confused when the error bars of dates overlap or, worse, when gradual changes get telescoped into seeming catastrophies. So, there is persistant change in climate from late Pliocene on that stresses mammalian communities the world over, and there are sudden events that interceed, such as the glacials and interglacials and the arrival of Mankind, to confuse matters.

    This is not unlike the debate over the robustness of dinosaur populations before the K/T event. Few doubt that a big event ended the Cretaceous, but we now know that the diversity of the fauna was very much in decline for several million years prior. Even though it is common to call the K/T event a catastrophic mass extinction event, we have the terrestrial predator birds and all the modern birds to attest that these things are usually matters of degree, If there had been no asteroid or massive trapps eruptions in India, the decimation of the large fauna may have still happened. It might have been less total and taken a longer time, but the fact that the terror birds and the rest of modern birds made it through may simply be a demonstration of degree and not kind. This is more of a statistical process.