The Next Big Fiber Showdown: Austin
Nerval's Lobster writes "Google might have big plans to wire America with high-speed broadband, but at least one carrier isn't willing to let Google Fiber have a free run: AT&T has announced that it will deploy a '100 percent fiber' network in Austin, Texas, capable of delivering speeds of up to 1GB per second. That location is auspicious, given how Google's already decided to make Austin the next city to receive Google Fiber. Whereas Google plans on connecting Austin households to its network in mid-2014, however, AT&T promises to start deploying its own high-speed solution in December. But there's a few significant catches. First, AT&T's service will initially roll out to 'tens of thousands of customer locations throughout Austin' (according to a press release), which is a mere fraction of the city's 842,592 residents; second, AT&T has offered no roadmap for expanding beyond that initial base; and third, despite promises that the service will roll out in December, the carrier has yet to choose the initial neighborhoods for its expansion. Could this be a case of a carrier freaking out about a new company's potential to disrupt its longtime business?"
Funny what a little competition can do. Now if only this stuff could happen in other areas.
Initial speed will be 300Mbps, of unknown cost, probably with the current 250GB monthly cap, available in few unspecified areas... oh boy.
Diabolically genius!
Wire the most affluent neighborhoods (a few 10s of thousands) from which Google would getting the greatest profit margins in terms of profile building and actual fiber revenue, spoil the proposition for the entire city.
What is AT&T's plan here?
... Probably? They'll just assume we're going to do it anywhere they announce next and will all hang themselves, at which point we can quadruple the costs for the austin fiber and everywhere else."
CEO: "Gentlemen, google's competitive service challenges our freedom, our very way of life, our absurd profits. No longer will we be able to abuse customers and laugh as they threaten to leave us for better competitors, because there WILL BE a better option"
All: "GASP!"
CEO: "We have only one option. Stop them in Austin Texas. Throw everything we've got there. Be better than google."
Member of the audience: "But Sir, how can we keep getting monopoly-level profits for doing very little if we do that?"
CEO : (closes eyes) "We... can't."
All: "NNOOOO!!"
CEO: "But fear not! If we stop them in Austin Texas, they will give up expanding elsewhere!
All: "AMAZING!!!"
By the time you stream 4 or 5 simultaneous HD DVR streams plus a like number of active HD TVs, you're at a fair fraction of that 1GB. True, that's sproadic, but ATT is counting on nobody consuming anywhere near that capacity on an ongoing basis.
You're looking for quotes? See my journal.
Remember that disaster in a can? This was during the Big Deal when DSL was the trend maker. The problem with DSL or any ISP service over telecom copper needs to be operating at or on spec. Most of the locations where Pronto was slated to roll out on had crap copper. So guess where the money went? Almost all of it got sunk into infrastructure improvement and service roll out to high income, high density areas, leaving the blue collars and rural folks high and dry.
Take a guess where the FTH is going to be rolled out to. You guessed right, the moneybags districts.
First rule of holes; When in one, stop digging.
They haven't decided where to install because Google hasn't. It will be predatory installation. That means they will install the system only where Google does and will only offer competitive prices to those who can get Google service. They do this to anyone that tries to overbuild.
This sort of thing was Google's intent all along; not directly competing with ISPs, but doing just enough to light a fire under their seats and demonstrate how full of it they are about the cost of network infrastructure.
You'll be at a fair fraction of 1Gb, not 1GB.
GPs point.
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Your head.
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Friends don't let friends enable ecmascript.
I have a few observations to make.
1) "So what" that AT&T is only going to roll out this service to "tens of thousands of customer locations throughout Austin". Google is not promising to do anything more, with a plan to deploy it to select neighborhoods based on expressed interests from residents in those neighborhoods. The real question is whether AT&T tries to roll out AT&T fiber to the same neighborhoods or if they pick other neighborhoods. I would prefer the latter just so there's more high-speed coverage around the town.
2) I am currently a RoadRunner customer. RoadRunner sucks horribly, but AT&T's service sucked so much worse the last time I used it that I fired them as soon as I could. I'm not sure I would trust AT&T to make G-bit service work, given that they couldn't make dial-up or DSL work right in the past.
3) BRING IT ON! Competition is a good thing on all fronts. I also expect (hope?) to see other communications outfits (most notably Grande) try to get in the same game, which would be *great*.
I can't help but think of AT&T's announcement as a good thing...
Why does Austin get everything before Portland? By the time I get my fiber, all those f'ing hipsters will be saying, "I had fiber before it was cool."
We do have Verizon FIOS out here in the metro area, but it's way the heck out west by Beavertron, presumably because of Intel. East of the Willy, the choices are Qwest (CenturyLink?) DSL which is slow as F, or Comcast, which is fast and reliable, but with a little more competition, I'm sure they could afford to drop the price by a few bucks.
Oh, and speaking of Qwest/CL's DSL, they keep sending me mailers suggesting that I could get up to 20 Mbps on their enhanced DSL. Once a year, I take the bait and call them, and every single time, the max they can offer me is a virtually trogloditic 1.5 Mbps. You'd think that, if their mailing system is database-driven, and their bandwidth availability lookup is database driven, they could do some cross-referencing and only bother sending out mailers to people who either can get great bandwidth or who don't have any other options...
OK, end rant.
The CB App. What's your 20?
In AT&T's Dallas HQ parking garage, you can get four bars in every elevator as it's critcally important all their execs be in constant contact.
But for their customers? Ha! This will be just more cobbled-together Uverse hybrid garbage.
It would be hard to believe that their long track record of cost-cutting employee moves and incompetence will be reversed in few months. When I was at college, we could not believe the dregs they send in for network work.
Will they have better TV bit rates and more streams in the same areas as well?
Digging duplicate trenches to lay parallel fiber is wasteful. That's why utilities are "natural monopolies". Getting economic efficiency in such situations usually requires regulation or community ownership.
I really enjoyed calling up to cancel after Google connected our house.
"Why are you cancelling?"
"I found a better service."
"Can I ask what?"
"Sure, I found 1,0000 Mbps for $70/mo"
"Well. I can offer you 14Mbps for $40/mo"
They followed up with a letter just yesterday saying how they were surprised I canceled since they have such a great service and offering a $300 gift card for re-upping. As far as I can tell they have no strategy for dealing with competing fiber rollouts and Austin doesn't sound like one either.
it isn't free if you have to pay a communications surcharge fee for it for a decade and get nothing to show for it.
30Mbits per mux = 5-8 TV channels
you can have 160 TV streams on 1Gbit, thats a lot more than your "4 or 5"
Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
They had their chance to take care of me as a paying Customer. At this point, no matter what at&t or time warner do at this point I will dump them the first opportunity to get Google Fiber.
Digging duplicate trenches to lay parallel fiber is wasteful. That's why utilities are "natural monopolies". Getting economic efficiency in such situations usually requires regulation or community ownership.
In the magical land of the oompa-loompas, where Willie Wonka is a benevolent dictator and everything is done for the betterment of their society, this would be important.
Any real issue has arguments both for and against. It's like a mathematical function with many variables, and you have to choose the combination of variables that gives the function the highest value.
In this case the highest value is utility for society, and the variables are the amount of weight you assign to each argument.
Specifically in this case, we assign little weight to "being wasteful because we're digging two trenches" because even though that argument is valid, the utility to society is much lower if we let that consideration drive our choice.
Yeah, I'd *like* to not have to waste effort to have good things, but that's not the world we live in.
Having fiber is more valuable than the expense of digging an extra trench.
Netflix or hulu streaming on a couple TVs, Xbox Live, tablet and a couple android cellphones playing games and checking facebook, a pc, a laptop, fairly normal in my busy household all on 50mbps. {5 out of 8 devices are usually doing something} Sure sometimes I think I should upgrade to 100mbps since it is now available but I haven't had enough problems w/bandwidth to make me spend that extra $$.
160 TV streams - is that TV, HD, 3-DHD 4kHD or 3D4kHD?
You're looking for quotes? See my journal.
This is Austin... ironic that fiber can be dropped so quickly when there hasn't been a major road improvement (183) since 1995, other than Perry's tollways. Well, MoPac going from a congested highway to a congested tollway where the price to sit in the parking lot goes up with the cars on the road isn't really what one calls an improvement.
We are getting the Uverse rollout in my neighborhood. You'd think I might know from some advertising email or a mail flyer, but not with AT&T. We found out after several hours on the phone with support about our resulting internet outage, the unnecessary purchase of a new dsl modem, and a in-house visit they threatened to charge us for.
Wow. Yet another example of AT&T rolling out a half-assed hastily thrown together technology upgrade. Go Google!
No, but seriously.. when AT&T first started rolling out U-verse to some test neighborhoods, the one I lived in at the time was given a free month to check it out. We had Dish Network at the time. To say the feature set for U-verse was laughable is an understatement. Oh sure, you could get a box for every tv, but only one had a DVR on it.. the rest were stuck with "live tv only". Who does that? The system also felt a little sluggish compared to Dish Network, and I was used to actually useful "information" in the info section of each tv program.
GWB to President of Brazil - "You have blacks, too?"
Also, this mealy-mouthed "up to 1Gb" sets off my bullshit meter, and leads me to suspect that AT&T are going to try and do this on the cheap. OTOH, GFiber starts at 1Gb, and there's plenty of upside built in to their backbone.
What I would be very careful of is the agreements AT&T manages to strong-arm out of Austin in "exchange" for promsing to think about maybe deploying fiber someday. I could easily see AT&T wresting an agreement that grants AT&T exclusive access for 50 years to municipal poles for deploying new information services (as an "incentive," of course). Oh, and the agreement will have no or an extremely vague performance clause. Once they get that agreement, they can shut out all competitors and then do nothing, or as close to nothing as they can get away with.
Editor, A1-AAA AmeriCaptions
that is normal TV with a mix of SD and HD
one DVB-T mux can handle ~5 HD channels or up to 8-10 SD ones.
Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
And the 250GB month cap...
They have been coming to my house (in Austin) since the uverse upgrade a couple years ago. I asked them "can i have it without TV" and the answer was no. Now its possible, but TW is giving me 30/5 for less than their 20/1 service.
A rather cute little girl knocked on my door the other day, but as soon as I saw the AT&T shirt, I told her I wasn't interested, when she was persistent I basically told her where to put it and closed the door in her face.
Anyway, it took TW 5 years to roll out DOCIS 3 after everyone else did it, its still only a single channel upstream though. I suspect TW's plan in Austin is to ignore google until they actually start to see a significant impact in their business. Which may never happen if google just wires up a couple neighborhoods.
I think its TW's model, do the absolute minimum, charge the maximum and only upgrade/lower prices if another competitor has a better offering in the same area. Which is basically AT&T at the moment since its impossible to choose Grande if you have TW because of the monopoly rules in Austin.
Anyway, AT&T's model seems to be charge whatever they want for garbage service, advertise like the dickens, and pull in suckers.
OTOH, grande is suddenly advertising a 100/5 service in Austin (up from 15/1 or some crap) I can only assume to get some good will before google hits.
My land line (yes I still have one, for now) has long distance billed separately... but with cell phones I hardly use the land line.
My last bill had long distance calls: 2 minutes - charge $.08
What would you guess the total charge for 8 cents of services would be? $3.61
$3.53 for Federal Universal Service Fund, Fed Telecom Relay Service, Federal Regulatory Recovery, Property Tax Recovery, and Interstate Services Fee.
This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
When most of the country doesn't have fiber, does it really make sense for providers to split a relatively small market like Austin? I mean, if I'm running AT&T and Google announces a rollout in Austin, I'll do my initial rollout in, I dunno, Dallas (assuming Dallas doesn't already have fiber). I don't see any reason to actually compete until all the higher density areas have at least one provider.
There will be two sites connected by a single fiber. It's "100% fiber". But that says nothing about the coverage, even if they are trying to imply it.
Learn to love Alaska
It'll cost $500/month to use, to make it's other plans still seem like good deals.
What do I know, I'm just an idiot, right?
Why does Austin have monopoly rules? I thought Texas was the land of the free market? My little piece of Democrat controlled Ohio has two cable companies, u-verse, multiple DSL providers (if you haven't gone u-verse yet), two fixed wireless providers, and Clear wireless as broadband options. Not many of those options are over 20Mbps, but honestly there's not a hell of a lot of content out there requiring that kind of bandwidth at this time.
There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
Did it specify "Please do a crap job and redo it 2 weeks later"?
Or was in an incompetent commercial business' fault?
I'm a capitalist and all for competition. For too long the telecom industry has been an oligopoly. If Google wants to come into Austin and shake things up a litte, so be it! I welcome when they come to the Philadelphia area. Comcast and Verizon, the duopoly in my area, will be scrambling!
The purpose is to destroy a new product roll-out by providing competition just where the new competitor is setting up. Competitor fails to displace customers, monopolist survives with inferior offer.
I have Grande, ATT Uverse, Time Warner, and I had Clear. I'm from Austin. I'm not some transplant from Cali. So that is 4 right there. You were saying? Some areas also have Suddenlink.
ignorance is bliss. googlefiberatx.com
They have enterprise class fiber which is to the premise. I had it in 2006. They don't have fiber to the home as a product, its coax the last mile, unless you are ponying up for the enterprise class which is too expensive. They have also not been able to cross 2222 to where I can get cable at my home even though my sister a 5 minute walk from me had had it available for about 8 years.
ignorance is bliss. googlefiberatx.com