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Give Your Child the Gift of an Alzheimer's Diagnosis

theodp writes "'There's a lot you can do for your child with 99 dollars,' explains Fast Company's Elizabeth Murphy, who opted to get her adopted 5-year-old daughter's genes tested by 23andMe, a startup founded by Anne Wojcicki that's been funded to the tune of $126 million by Google, Sergey Brin (Wojcicki's now-separated spouse), Yuri Milner, and others. So, how'd that work out? 'My daughter,' writes Murphy, 'who is learning to read and tie her shoes, has two copies of the APOE-4 variant, the strongest genetic risk factor for Alzheimer's. According to her 23andMe results, she has a 55% chance of contracting the disease between the ages of 65 and 79.' So, what is 23andMe's advice for the worried Mom? 'You have this potential now to engage her in all kinds of activities,' said Wojcicki. 'Do you get her focused on her exercise and what she's eating, and doing brain games and more math?' Duke associate professor of public policy Don Taylor had more comforting advice for Murphy. 'It's possible the best thing you can do is burn that damn report and never think of it again,' he said. 'I'm just talking now as a parent. Do not wreck yourself about your 5-year-old getting Alzheimer's. Worry more about the fact that when she's a teenager she might be driving around in cars with drunk boys.'"

198 comments

  1. 55% by nospam007 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "she has a 55% chance of contracting the disease between the ages of 65 and 79."

    You can avoid that fate, just let here walk on a hill during a thunderstorm with an umbrella.

    It's stupid to scare your kid for 65 years.

    1. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      My father has Parkinson's and particpated in the 23andMe study. He has one of the two markers that 23andMe knows about. I happen to have none.

      If I knew that I have a high chance of contracting Parkinson's it would change the way I live my life immediately. Instead of waiting until near retirement to travel the world, I'd live out of a suitcase and do it now. I've seen what Parkinson's does to people without the luxury of having endless amounts of money to spend on treatments. It turns you into a giant infant.

    2. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've seen the ads for genetic testing, and they're mostly useless. If all four of your grandparents died of Alzheimer's, chances are that's what you're going to die from. If nobody in you family ever had it, you won't get it. If there's some in your family (say, one or two grandparents) then this test might make sense. Either way, get plenty of sleep.

      Dr Raphaelle Winsky-Sommerer, a lecturer in sleep at Surrey University, said: "It's not surprising, our whole physiology is changing during sleep.

      "The novelty is the role of the interstitial space, but I think it's an added piece of the puzzle not the whole mechanism.

      "The significance is that, yet again, it shows sleep may contribute to the restoration of brain cell function and may have protective effects."

      Many conditions which lead to the loss of brain cells such as Alzheimer's or Parkinson's disease are characterised by the build-up of damaged proteins in the brain.

      The researchers suggest that problems with the brain's cleaning mechanism may contribute to such diseases, but caution more research is needed.

    3. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The obvious question is "Why would it change the way you live?" Are you suggesting that you are currently not living the life you want to live but you have the ability to?

    4. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My mother was adopted, and I have no fucking idea what the medical history of her side of the family is. I was waiting for this test to get cheap, and now that it's down to "less than a tank of gas", I'll probably go for it.

    5. Re:55% by MightyYar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You wouldn't change the way you live if you knew your expiration date? I certainly would. My wife and I try to save as much as we can because we have to assume that we will live to 80 or 90. If I took a blood test that said I was dead by 55, that's hundreds of thousands of dollars that I'd spend doing something else.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    6. Re:55% by Rhaban · · Score: 1

      Having a low chance of contracting Parkinson doesn't mean you don't have a high chance of contracting one of the hundreds of debilitating or lethal diseases out there. You could also die before retirement from thousands of other causes.

      Why are you still on /. instead of packing that suitcase now?

    7. Re:55% by SJHillman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I would like to go to Europe some day. Sure, I have the means to do it right now but that doesn't mean it's a good idea because it would seriously set back other goals I have. By putting off a trip to Europe for now, I can achieve all of my goals eventually. However, if I had a condition that would make long-term goals impossible, then sure, I would go to Europe now because I would no longer be sacrificing the now-impossible goals.

    8. Re:55% by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If it's important for you to travel the world before you die, then do it right away even if you *don't* have the markers for some degenerative genetic disease. See to your priorities as soon as is humanly possible, at least until they develop a test that tells whether you'll be hit by a bus on your 50th birthday.

      The advice "carpe diem" ("seize the day") is as good now as it was 2000 years ago when Horace wrote those words:

      You should not ask it, it is wrong to know impious things, what end the
      gods will have given to me, to you, O Leuconoe, and do not try
      Babylonian calculations [i.e., astrology]. How much better it is to endure whatever will be,
      whether Jupiter has allotted to you more winters or [whether this one is] the last,
      which now weakens upon the opposed rocks of the Tyrrhenian
      Sea: may you be wise, strain your wines [i.e., prepare it for immediate drinking], and because of short life
      prune long anticipation. While we are speaking, envious life
      will have fled:seize the day, trusting the future as little as possible.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    9. Re:55% by Sarten-X · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's not about scaring your kid for 65 years. It's about having 65 years of warning. Perhaps just a nudge in the right direction now, like a focus on cognitive endeavors rather than keeping up on the latest Disney drivel, can encourage a life of improvement to the brain. When Alzheimers' does come around, there's ample cognitive ability to spare, so the gradual decline toward incapability might just outlast your kid's life.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    10. Re:55% by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      Don't be so sure that those are really your grandparents. Illegitimacy rates in Western culture run around 1 in 30, and you have two parents. That's a roughly 1/10 chance* that one of your grandparents aren't really a blood relative.

      * I could have the math wrong, but it's probably close enough for a Slashdot discussion - your mom has as 1/30 chance of being illegitimate combined with the chance that your dad has a 1/30 chance of being illegitimate combined with your own 1/30 chance of being illegitimate.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    11. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      So if your child doesn't have a chance of getting Alzheimer's you would not nudge the to focus on cognitive endeavors instead of Disney drivel?

    12. Re:55% by fast+turtle · · Score: 1

      It wouldn't change how I live as I already "Carpe Diem" and live as though each and every day may be my last. Remember - this game called Life always ends in Sudden Death so live accordingly.

      --
      Mod me up/Mod me down: I wont frown as I've no crown
    13. Re:55% by lxs · · Score: 0

      And then you were spared the disease. Even a 90% chance of getting it means a one in ten chance of living to a ripe old age.
      Healthy.
      Destitute.

      I wonder if you can get insurance for that.

    14. Re:55% by gl4ss · · Score: 2

      I hate to break it to you but there's loads of ways to lose the chance to travel other than parkinsons.

      if traveling is your dream, travel now a little, so you'll at least know if the food is crap in bingaladangstan when you're bleeding to death after a traffic accident.

      and the world is unifying in customs every day. that's not a bad thing but if you want to see crazy shit then today is the day to go.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    15. Re:55% by dpilot · · Score: 1

      > this game called Life always ends in Sudden Death

      No, it doesn't, and that's part of what this topic is all about. Sometimes life ends slowly - tragically slowly, slipping away little at a time, day by day. Sometimes that slipping away is purely mental, leaving a perfectly serviceable body behind, with barely any of You in it.

      Maybe if you're single, "Carpe Diem" works just fine, but if you have wife, kids, etc, do you really want to "play yourself penniless" and then saddle them with the cost of caring for your worthless husk, let alone have them watch you go through the process?

      My guess is that most of the politicians that preach against doctor-assisted-suicide don't have much experience with this type of ending. I have no close experience myself, but close enough to tell me that it's bad.

      I have 2 qualms. First, without proper controls it may be used prematurely or unnecessarily for greed. Second, has the person's mind been destroyed, or simply suppressed? Is there the possibility of a medical breakthrough that could bring a person back, or are they already gone?

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    16. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He had both his and his father's genes scanned (different from sequenced) by 23andMe. He already knows whether his father is his biological father.

      23andMe is an awesome service. Is full genome SNP scanning limited? Yes. But if somebody told you 10 years that you could do what 23andMe does for $99, it would have been cool. Full genome sequencing won't cost $99 for another 10 years. So get with the program and live in the now.

    17. Re:55% by MightyYar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It still lets me plan my life. More data is good, and you generally play the odds. I'm not planning to live to 100, even though I might.

      Anyway, the choices aren't "destitute" and "well-off"... that's a false dichotomy. There is an infinite gradation between the two, and I'm talking about picking something along that continuum. At least some of my retirement will include an annuity as a safety net, no matter when I'm supposed to die. If they invent a potion that gets me to 130, I'll still have my annuity.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    18. Re:55% by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      You wouldn't change the way you live if you knew your expiration date? I certainly would. My wife and I try to save as much as we can because we have to assume that we will live to 80 or 90. If I took a blood test that said I was dead by 55, that's hundreds of thousands of dollars that I'd spend doing something else.

      SO, you'd basically leave your wife in the lurch?

      Hell, if I knew I was going to die soon, I'd start making meth or something, to make sure my wife had a comfortable widowhood (is that a word?)....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    19. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But there is more than one way to live carpe diem depending on your priorities. There is not a single one thing I must do before I die, although there is a list of things I would like to do. The list can be mostly sorted into and ordered list based on preference and priority too. By choosing to have long term goals, I can try to hit multiple things on that list, even if there is a chance of getting nothing due to an accident. If one knows they have much less time to live, then they would shorten that list and pick one or two things to concentrate on.

      I could rush out the door and travel some place right now. What if I wanted to learn a foreign language or two before going, which would be a worthy goal itself? What if I both want to travel and learn a musical instrument, and the latter better fits my budget now? What if I want to concentrate on getting in better physical shape now, because that would have better long term pay off?

      Carpe diem doesn't mean zerg-rushing life, but to make sure that you are always moving forward, not stagnating, and as long as you enjoy the journey as much as the destination.

    20. Re:55% by n7ytd · · Score: 2

      It's not about scaring your kid for 65 years. It's about having 65 years of warning. Perhaps just a nudge in the right direction now, like a focus on cognitive endeavors rather than keeping up on the latest Disney drivel, can encourage a life of improvement to the brain. When Alzheimers' does come around, there's ample cognitive ability to spare, so the gradual decline toward incapability might just outlast your kid's life.

      Well, shoot, if that's all we're waiting for, let me do everyone's kids a favor:

      Hey parents! At some point in the future, all your children are going to die! It will come sooner for some than others, so please teach them to not waste their lives on pointless drivel!

      How's that?

    21. Re:55% by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      My guess is that most of the politicians that preach against doctor-assisted-suicide don't have much experience with this type of ending. I have no close experience myself, but close enough to tell me that it's bad.

      I have 2 qualms. First, without proper controls it may be used prematurely or unnecessarily for greed.

      And there you touch upon the key element - physician-assisted suicide only works if everyone involved is ethically beyond reproach.

      How many people do you, personally, know that would never, under any circumstances, do something unethical? Note that "any circumstances" includes bribes, threats, pussy, whatever convince someone that "just this once it'll be okay"....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    22. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Even a 90% chance of getting it means a one in ten chance of living to a ripe old age.

      No it doesn't. That would only hold true if that specific disease was the only possible way for you to die.

      You've badly over-simplified it in an effort to make your point.

      You do still have a point, but it's nothing like as strong you make it sound.

    23. Re:55% by bitt3n · · Score: 1

      It's stupid to scare your kid for 65 years.

      If she's that much at risk for Alzheimer's, you're probably only scaring her for about 15 minutes.

    24. Re:55% by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Don't be so sure that those are really your grandparents. Illegitimacy rates in Western culture run around 1 in 30, and you have two parents. That's a roughly 1/10 chance* that one of your grandparents aren't really a blood relative.

      No, all four of your grandparents (parents of your parents) are blood relatives.

      Of course, your grandparents may not be who you think they are - just because you call your father's father "grandpa" doesn't make it so....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    25. Re:55% by rikkards · · Score: 1

      This is true for pretty much all medical screening.

    26. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's just fucking stupid. You could say that about anything that humans do. What you mean to say is that humans are stupid, and will abuse such a system. But, so what? That's what humans do. Doesn't mean we all throw our hands up and say "it'll never work". I label you a whiner.

    27. Re:55% by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      LOL, good point. We are speaking hypothetically, are we not? So I can give her the same disease :)

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    28. Re:55% by khallow · · Score: 1

      However, if I had a condition

      Now suppose you paid to find out about this condition twenty years from now rather than today and there was no repercussions for the delay in test results except perhaps a slight reshuffling of priorities? Even if the test doesn't change in price, that's still a substantial time value benefit from kicking that can 20 years down the road.

    29. Re:55% by Sarten-X · · Score: 1

      No, you see, my kid is special. All those other kids of those other parents aren't nearly as smart as mine. My kid's already so much ahead of everyone else because of his natural talents, that he can afford to waste time while the others catch up! My kid is also immune to all preventable disease, completely safe in a car, a champion at every sport (except the ones where the opponents have to cheat to beat him), and next year he's probably going to start modeling. So go ahead, and give your blanket advice to those moronic other parents, who really should follow it like sheep just so their kids have a chance to keep up with my little Carlos, but my parenting has worked out well so far!

      Jokes aside, I'm sadly not even exaggerating too much. So often, parents believe their children are miracles, and they don't understand that the risks can affect their own kid until it's too late. Regarding mental capability, it could be a simple decision to let the kid shirk math homework in favor of getting extra football practice, because "he's just so talented, he doesn't need math".

      It's only when faced with a direct actual threat assessment specific to their child that they care - and even then, there's always the hope and expectation that their kid will be the miracle who beats the odds.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    30. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That wonderful and proves the point nospam was making. It however is completely unrelated to what would be important to someone who may or may not develop ALZHEIMER's.

      As a side note, there's a reason why we have so many stories about what happens when people can see the future...

    31. Re:55% by citizenr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My father has Parkinson's and particpated in the 23andMe study. He has one of the two markers that 23andMe knows about. I happen to have none.

      If I knew that I have a high chance of contracting Parkinson's it would change the way I live my life immediately. Instead of waiting until near retirement to travel the world, I'd live out of a suitcase and do it now.

      You are delusional, you are lying to yourself.
      You wouldnt change duck, you would find a way to rationalize just like you did now.

      --
      Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
    32. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good news! You and your wife will both be killed in the 2025 race riots. Better start doing something else while you still can!

    33. Re:55% by Antonovich · · Score: 2

      With the rate of advances in gene/bio-tech it's not only stupid, it's meaningless. Hell, I'm pretty sure that in 30 years *I* won't have to worry about that sort of thing - people who are born today will almost certainly not have to. I have cousins who have haemophilia. I remember what they had to go through when they were kids - big bags of frozen blood factor every couple of days, so never far from a freezer (and hours wasted), to a few years ago when they just had dried up white stuff in tiny vials that they hydrate with some purified water and inject every week or so. The vials only need to be "kept cool" - so travel became much easier. I remember reading that they are trialling tech that will mean they only need a booster (little implant?) every six months or so in the near future. Apparently a complete cure is also in sight. Alzheimer's in 60 years? Please!

    34. Re:55% by LNO · · Score: 5, Informative

      The advice "carpe diem" ("seize the day") is as good now as it was 2000 years ago when Horace wrote those words.

      The advice "carpe diem" meant something different 2000 years ago when Horace wrote those words. Then, he wrote "carpe diem, quam minimum credula postero" -- or, as your translation states, "seize the day, trusting as little as possible in the next". His meaning was more along the lines of the ant vs the grasshopper in Aesop's fable. Seize the day, prepare for your future, work while you're healthy, make hay while the sun shines, and pack your 401k with as much as you can afford (or at least enough to get your full company match). Make sure your future is secure today, because you don't know what'll happen to you tomorrow.

      Nowadays, "carpe diem" is usually interpreted to mean something akin to your post. Go see the world, party with your friends, have a great time, even YOLO. It can still be good advice (you might get Alzheimer's when you're 50, so see the world today while you can appreciate it) but the fact remains that the meaning of the exhortation has changed in the modern era.

    35. Re:55% by MightyYar · · Score: 2

      What race will kill us? This is important because we are different races and so it might only affect one of us.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    36. Re:55% by conquistadorst · · Score: 1

      Don't be so sure that those are really your grandparents. Illegitimacy rates in Western culture run around 1 in 30, and you have two parents.

      The problem with some statistics is that some people enjoy regurgitating them in an obscene way that not only ignores their original intent but also abuse them to present a more dramatic falsely supported argument. This twisted behavior is especially enjoyed by politicians.

      #1 Having illegitimate parents is not some random 1/30 curse that befalls you because you're now part of a western culture, stop making it sound like you'll never know if your grandparents are your grandparents b/c your parents cheated on each other. Based on demographics, wealth, culture, education... the numbers change dramatically.
      #2 The term "illegitimate" doesn't only cover parents practicing infidelity in hidden closets, it covers children who belong to parents that aren't married. So yes, that includes divorce, "whoops", adoption, and modern family who never planned on getting married.
      #3 Knowing who your real parents/grandparents are and having them tested instead of your "foster" parents, doesn't stop you from being illegitimate child but lets you continue the test for your sake.

      But yeah, see how that makes your exclamation so much less fun and dramatic? Seeking out the truth isn't as fun, is it? Please don't spread crap around like that, it doesn't do anyone any good. Not even yourself.

    37. Re:55% by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

      If you have a high risk of Parkinson's, the best advice is to avoid high impact sports (football, soccer, stuff where your head gets hit), explosions (military), and living in cities where they spray for bugs in apartments or rural areas where pesticides are frequent.

      That's useful advice.

      Living in fear won't change anything.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    38. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no scientific base for race, it is an entirely human created concept.

    39. Re:55% by Derec01 · · Score: 1

      I never understand this reaction.

      The assumption you're making is that I would be flat out terrified or anxious, day in, day out, of my tragic diagnosis.

      Putting aside for a second that human psychology doesn't normally work that way at all, and that people often end up accepting such things - it gives me knowledge and helps me better plan my future. It gives me much greater odds that I will come to the effective end of my life having completed what I wanted to.

      The only thing I would have supposedly lost is some blissful sense of invulnerability, which I lost when I hit my 30s anyway.

    40. Re:55% by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      #1 Having illegitimate parents is not some random 1/30 curse that befalls you because you're now part of a western culture, stop making it sound like you'll never know if your grandparents are your grandparents b/c your parents cheated on each other. Based on demographics, wealth, culture, education... the numbers change dramatically.

      So you have better data for Mr. Anonymous Coward? I have no data on the faithfulness of his parents, and in fact was even guessing that he was from a Western culture.

      #2 The term "illegitimate" doesn't only cover parents practicing infidelity in hidden closets, it covers children who belong to parents that aren't married. So yes, that includes divorce, "whoops", adoption, and modern family who never planned on getting married.

      I was specifically referring to "paternity fraud", though using a poor choice of words. You are correct that "illegitimate" is the wrong terminology here. My numbers, however, seem to be about right:

      A 2005 scientific review of international published studies of paternal discrepancy found a range in incidence from 0.8% to 30% (median 3.7%, with half of the academic studies on the subject, i.e. eight, yielding rates from 2.0% to 9.6%), suggesting that the widely quoted and unsubstantiated figure of 10% of non-paternal events is an overestimate.

      I used 1/30, but you can make the same argument with the median given of around 1/27. Then the math works out to 1/9 instead of my 1/10. Whatever. Even the low of 2.0% gives a pretty good chance that your grandparents aren't who you think they are. Add people who were adopted but never told to the mix and I think the odds get even better.

      #3 Knowing who your real parents/grandparents are and having them tested instead of your "foster" parents, doesn't stop you from being illegitimate child but lets you continue the test for your sake.

      That is exactly my point - you can't necessarily rely on family history. If one of your grandparents has Alzheimer's, that may or may not mean anything for you at all, especially if it is the men who have the Alzheimer's.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    41. Re:55% by crontabminusell · · Score: 1

      I would like to go to Europe some day. Sure, I have the means to do it right now but that doesn't mean it's a good idea because it would seriously set back other goals I have. By putting off a trip to Europe for now, I can achieve all of my goals eventually. However, if I had a condition that would make long-term goals impossible, then sure, I would go to Europe now because I would no longer be sacrificing the now-impossible goals.

      What happens if you spend all that money now and a perfect cure is found in 10 years for whatever condition you have? Where would that leave you?

    42. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just like there is no such thing as white and black, big and small, rich and poor, they're all just post-colonial artifacts of human thought patterns.

    43. Re:55% by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      No, he's right - there is no way to discern the races using a scientific methodology. Example: define Barack Obama's race using the scientific method. Even in society, you'll hear him referred to sometimes as black, other times as mixed.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    44. Re:55% by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      It's called an annuity.

    45. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Perhaps just a nudge in the right direction now, like a focus on cognitive endeavors rather than keeping up on the latest Disney drivel, can encourage a life of improvement to the brain."

      and so we should only do this when we might percieve a risk of alzheimers?

      seems like flawed thinking.. perhaps you should lay off the latest Disney drivel..

    46. Re:55% by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      My thought is, "would she remember?"

    47. Re:55% by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      It leaves him having visited Europe, presumably having had a good time, and thus maybe doing better at his job in the meantime? He didn't say he was going to spend every freaking cent he had on earth.

    48. Re:55% by sjames · · Score: 1

      But then again, you're not 5.

      In 60 years, will Alzheimers even be a problem anymore? This isn't even information meaningful to a 5 yo. Perhaps when the daughter is 30 if Alzheimers is still a thing then this would be good to know.

    49. Re:55% by SJHillman · · Score: 1

      It leaves me set back in my other goals... exactly the same as if I visited Europe without having any condition. Not really sure where you were trying to go with that.

    50. Re:55% by hey! · · Score: 2

      Well, the thing about literary opinions is that they can't be entirely disproved, but I don't think that a reading of Ovid's poem supports your construction. I do endorse preparing for the future, though. It's just that speaking from experience youth passes a lot faster than you expect.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    51. Re:55% by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      It still lets me plan my life. More data is good, and you generally play the odds. I'm not planning to live to 100, even though I might.

      Well I don't know about you, but I'm planning to live forever (or die trying).

    52. Re:55% by 19thNervousBreakdown · · Score: 1

      Me too! So far, so good!

      --
      <xml><I><am><so><damn>Web 2.0</damn></so></am></I></xml>
    53. Re:55% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That might explain why some parents, when faced with an actual diagnosis of a degenerative disease (rather than a risk assessment) in their kids will clam up and start accusing the kids of malingering and wanting to be sick, or saying they don't need the wheelchair or the medicine, you'll be fine, stop whinging. Hurts the kids like hell, may even make them more sick, but it's all in favour of the delusion that their children (and therefore their own posterity) is invulnerable. Protect the ego and all is fine. Live through the kids. Maybe that's why some people don't vaccinate, either?

  2. Some Perspective by g0bshiTe · · Score: 2

    Seriously some perspective here. As a parent why in hell am I going to worry about my kids health when she's in her 60's? No doubt I'll be dead and gone then. When my kid was 5 I never worried what their life would be like when they were in their golden years, hell that was 55 years away from then.

    I suggest to prevent your child getting Alzheimers you spend less time worrying about their state of mind when they reach old age and more time worrying about their long journey there.

    It would suck to take precautions to prevent them from having that later in life, and have the kid snuff it before even getting there.

    --
    I am Bennett Haselton! I am Bennett Haselton!
    1. Re:Some Perspective by OhHellWithIt · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The gift to my kid would be for me to get the test, never tell a soul about it, and make plans to deal with Alzheimer's if I'm going to get it.

      --
      "Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past." -- George Orwell
    2. Re:Some Perspective by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Welcome to the time when parents live their kids' life for them.

      It's not like it's anything new, never heard of parents that spend more time planning their kids' future (and of course even present), to make sure "they got it better" (for varying definitions of "better")?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Some Perspective by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Agree one hundred percent!

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    4. Re:Some Perspective by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      Kind of like how you should put the mask on your own face before helping the person sitting next to you on a plane. Its all well and good to help others but, sometimes the best help you can give is first making sure you wont become the next burden.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    5. Re:Some Perspective by hodet · · Score: 1

      This is why the insightful mod has been created. I am with you 100% on this one.

    6. Re:Some Perspective by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      As a parent why in hell am I going to worry about my kids health when she's in her 60's? No doubt I'll be dead and gone then.

      Really?

      Don't most people still have kids in their 20s? You don't potentially see living into your 80s? You don't want them around to take care of dottering old you?

  3. Speaking as a parent by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 3, Funny

    'I'm just talking now as a parent. Do not wreck yourself about your 5-year-old getting Alzheimer's. Worry more about the fact that when she's a teenager she might be driving around in cars with drunk boys.'

    Yeah, that's much more comforting. Thanks, Professor!

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re:Speaking as a parent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm more worried about when I have to explain to my children what "Twerking" means.

    2. Re:Speaking as a parent by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I'm not. I don't have the foggiest clue what it means and somehow I don't think knowing it would enrich my life...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Speaking as a parent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No time to worry about 5-year old getting Alzheimer when old.
      There's too much going on now have to deal with, such-as:
      What did you do with the cat?
      Stop feeding my shoes to the dog!
      Windows don't make a good backboard for basket ball shots.
      What's that smell?
      Why is smoke still comming from under the bed?
      Stuffing up the drains to let water spill on the floor isn't how we make water slides.
      Why did I find the hamster in the fridge again?
      O'h shit, how will I explain to your teacher why all of your skin is painted green today?
      Fuck Alzheimers ! Lucky to make it through each day!

    4. Re:Speaking as a parent by bitt3n · · Score: 4, Funny

      'I'm just talking now as a parent. Do not wreck yourself about your 5-year-old getting Alzheimer's. Worry more about the fact that when she's a teenager she might be driving around in cars with drunk boys.'

      Yeah, that's much more comforting. Thanks, Professor!

      well on the plus side, driving around in a car with drunk boys is clinically proven to reduce one's risk of acquiring Alzheimer's.

    5. Re:Speaking as a parent by RivenAleem · · Score: 1

      We shouldn't be worried about that. I'm more worried she might be doing the things I did as a teenager!

    6. Re:Speaking as a parent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then you're the only person left on earth who hasn't witnessed Miley Cyrus embarrassing the human race at this year's MTV music awards show. Fortunately my children are young enough that I didn't have to explain what Hannah Montana was doing with her pelvis.

    7. Re:Speaking as a parent by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Miley Who?

      Guess not having kids really puts you outside the loop...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  4. Ugh, the title by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

    Much as I dislike both, the "GOP system" is different from the status quo.

    1. Re:Ugh, the title by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's worse.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    2. Re:Ugh, the title by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      If we're using the hypothetical straw-republicans that live in my head: their plan is to keep an emergency supply of healthy poor minorities to vivisect for organs in case a rich person gets sick.

      If we're using the the real world: Obamacare is essentially a republican plan except Obamacare adds subsidies so that the working poor who have to buy insurance can afford it.

    3. Re:Ugh, the title by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Except, of course, for the fact that the subsidies aren't actually enough to allow the working poor to afford it.

    4. Re:Ugh, the title by Zynder · · Score: 1

      So what the fuck does that mean? Should we scrap it or increase the subsidies? Well since it isn't perfect I guess we should just toss the whole thing away huh? We all know the current system is terribly broken. I am about to the point that Aboriginal Medicemen chanting and shaking branches over me will be just about as good as the "usual" way we've been doing things. Your troll was weak, 1/10. Try again.

  5. If there are things you can do now... by barlevg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Let's say the genetic test instead reported that the kid was at high risk of skin cancer. No one would argue that that's not useful information--give greater emphasis to teaching the kid to use sunscreen and avoid tanning salons. I'm not up on what the current research says are ways of delaying / combating the onset of Alzheimer's, but if such methods exist and can be started early, why wouldn't you make use of the information. Yes, there are a lot of other ways to be killed or debilitated in sixty years of life, and in sixty years, we may well have a cure, but more information is never (okay fine, rarely?) a bad thing.

    Another good use of the information in this report: enroll the kid in some longitudinal studies on the progression of Alzheimer's, if such things exist and look for children that young.

    1. Re:If there are things you can do now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      More information is very often a bad thing:

      1. Incorrect information can lead you to make exactly the opposite choices to the ones you would have made with correct information, or with no information
      2. Incomplete information can lead you to make incorrect assumptions which you wouldn't make if you had no information
      3. Information on probabilities is not easy to correctly interpret even for a professional statistician
      4. Ignorance is bliss - knowing you are doomed is not likely to lead to greater emotional health over a lifetime

      23andme can't give me correct & complete information about my health outcomes 30 years from now. All it can give me is incorrect/incomplete probabilistic information, and all I can do with that is worry about it. There are very sound reasons to think such information is worse than useless.

    2. Re:If there are things you can do now... by stenvar · · Score: 2

      Generally, the more mentally fit and alert she starts out, the longer she'll stay healthy and functional. Exercise and a good diet may also help. Of course, those are generally good things to do, but for some people they have much less importance than for others. If she knows she is predisposed for Alzheimer's, she knows that these choices are likely to be much more important for her than for average people.

      Alternatively, she can also simply decide not to bother and instead to live life faster and more intensively; maximizing lifespan isn't everything, in particular since years after 60 are arguably less valuable than years before 60, but you need to make sacrifices in your earlier years to prepare for the later years.

    3. Re:If there are things you can do now... by lxs · · Score: 1

      What if the test reported nothing wrong and the kid turned into a fat lazy slob because they didn't have a special incentive to lead a healthy lifestyle?

    4. Re:If there are things you can do now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think her parents should focus on training her to be a nice person.

      Then hopefully if her brain starts malfunctioning she'd still be nicer than average.

      More people living longer in great health is good but overrated. More nice people around is a superior goal but nowadays seems to be too low a priority.

    5. Re:If there are things you can do now... by disposable60 · · Score: 2

      I'm part of a longitudinal study on early-onset alz (I'm 53). I doubt the study would want to look at anyone much younger, but it's being run out of Indiana University Hospital Neurology in Indianapolis, if anyone cares to inquire.

      --
      You're looking for quotes? See my journal.
    6. Re:If there are things you can do now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I got my 23andme results 9 months ago and found out I am also APOE4 homozygous like this child. 23andme is actually inaccurate about the 55% chance. About 50% with this genotype get Alzheimer's by the time they are 70 and about 70% get it by the time they are 75 or older. Most genetics are weak predictors of disease, however APOE is one of the few that is extremely well established and has links to Alzheimer's as strong as BRCA mutations are linked to breast cancer. In addition to this I also have another mutation which increases my risk of getting Alzheimer's by an additional 400% independent of APOE4. So I am really screwed and better pay attention to all of this.
      At least I am still young and knowing this I can do all I can to prevent it. If I had known about this earlier I would have not pulled so many all nighters or stressed myself out so much. There are no proven ways to prevent or treat the disease but if you follow the research there are lots of promising ways that may reduce the risk. Curcumin (turmeric) seems very promising, and other things that promote NGF production like ECGC also might help. Getting enough sleep seems to be very important for many reasons. Caffeine seems to offer protection but inhibits the action by melatonin which offers much better protection than caffeine at night. Vitamin D is extremely important and deficiency in vitamin D is very bad although too much is also bad. Caloric restriction also helps through expression of SIRT1 as well as other methods of expressing SIRT1. Stress is extremely harmful for people with APOE4 and can greatly increase your risk of Alzheimer's and they can tolerate much less of it than a normal person. Avoid blood pressure and cardiovascular issues as well which can be preventable.
      APOE genotype is very important to know besides its increase in risk in Alzheimer's. Even if you don't get Alzheimer's the brain of a person with APOE4 ages much more rapidly than a normal person starting in the late 20s. Aside from Alzheimers, people with APOE4 have very poor recovery from any kind of head trauma or stroke so you wouldn't want to go playing contact sports with that. APOE4 is associated with lower longevity in general. It also dramatically increases the risk of vascular diseases in general but those are largely preventable with the right lifestyle so it is important to know if you have APOE4 so you can make the right choices.
      23andme is probably the best $100 I have spent. For most people you probably won't find anything terribly important from 23andme but maybe you will. But you also need to consider those results with some skepticism since genetics doesn't always have a strong effect on phenotype. It is easy for the lay person to get carried away with results if they don't consider how much uncertainty there is so some people may end up hurting themselves. The bottom line is responsibility. With the falling cost in genetic sequencing, genetic testing will likely become widespread in the coming years so this is only the beginning.

      Keep on folding@home

  6. Fundamental Question by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 2

    This is one of the fundamental questions of genetic screening.

    So what if you find out you have some future likelihood of ending up with a serious illness that you cannot prevent?

    I don't think I would want to know.

    1. Re:Fundamental Question by DRMShill · · Score: 2

      I don't understand the logic of people like you. What if you find out you have a serious that you can treat? Suppose you have an incurable illness but it won't hit for 60 years? 60 years is a long time in medical research. Suppose it' incurable but you can live your life in such a way as to reduce the chances of it?

      Do you also drive to work with a blind fold on because other drivers make you nervous?

    2. Re:Fundamental Question by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      I don't think it helps in any way to know.

      Imagine you find out today that you have some sort of disease, that you cannot do anything about it and that it will eventually kill you in, say, 30 or 40 years. Hell, even if I knew it wouldn't change a thing. I can't do jack about it, so why bother thinking about it? I will of course keep up to date with developments in the area and certainly any kind of breakthrough in the field will have my undivided attention, but aside of that, what's there that I could possibly do?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Fundamental Question by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      Do you also drive to work with a blind fold on because other drivers make you nervous?

      That's a pretty silly analogy.

      I choose to drive every day DESPITE it being fundamentally the riskiest thing I do in my life, because it does not benefit me to sit at home and worry about my potential fate.

    4. Re:Fundamental Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, there's an 85% that Wojcicki's husband will get his nose broken when someone smacks him in the face for wearing those stupid google glasses.

      He's has inherited both the douche baggery gene and the asshole gene. Bad combination.

    5. Re:Fundamental Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is more complicated than that. Suppose you've been diagnosed and treated for a serious ailment that has a strong genetic component in a population to which you happen to belong. Two direct blood relatives have died from the same disease, and one was 1st diagnosed at an unusually early age. You have children and you are extradorinarily worried that they may have inherited the genetic component from you. Further, there is a high probability of reoccurance if you have the gene. Testing enables you to determine if you need further monitoring or treatment, and if your children need to be alert to changes in their health.

      For many "incurable" diseases, the treatment options and outcomes are much better with early detection. Trends in medical care are against screening without other compelling reasons, and those reasons are being narrowed. That will only get worse (with and without Obamacare for US-domiciled readers). In the cases where there are no treatments, it still allows planning. Just purchase the long term care insurance policy BEFORE you are tested.

      Persons with no obvious family histories of illness with genetic links may be wasting their money. If you have family history, genetic screening with knowledgable counseling (don't try doing this at home with only the internet for advice and counsel) may be life-saving.

    6. Re:Fundamental Question by n7ytd · · Score: 1

      This is one of the fundamental questions of genetic screening.

      So what if you find out you have some future likelihood of ending up with a serious illness that you cannot prevent?

      I don't think I would want to know.

      You do already do have a likelihood of ending up with a serious illness that you cannot prevent. You will most likely die of a terminal illness late in life, unless you are unlucky enough to suffer a fatal accident before you contract whatever disease is waiting for you. But, I do agree with you, I don't think I would want to know because I would not want that knowledge gnawing in the back of my mind for the rest of my life, and it would probably affect my choices in unwise ways. I'm approaching age 40 now, and planning for retirement is very much on my mind. If I knew that I was likely to die at age 50-55, would I start eating large slabs of red meat and taking extravagant vacations rather than save for retirement? What if I got lucky and didn't get the disease, or a cure was discovered in the meantime? Then I'm 55, obese, and broke. Geez, all my replies in this thread are so fatalistic today...

    7. Re:Fundamental Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Then I'm 55, obese, and broke.

      Welcome to America! So are we!

    8. Re:Fundamental Question by TangoMargarine · · Score: 1

      The summary made it sound like this test is specifically for Alzheimer's, and if Alzheimer's is not really preventable and likely won't come on until the kid is 65 and I'm dead, how does knowing help *anyone*?

      --
      Unity? Screw that: XFCE. Slashdot Beta? Screw that: SoylentNews. Australis? Screw that: Pale Moon. UX developers DIAF
    9. Re:Fundamental Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what if you find out you have some future likelihood of ending up with a serious illness that you cannot prevent?

      Like mortality? I can accurately predict that the occurrence of your death within about an 80-year window. There is only a remote chance these guys even narrow that window to about 20 or 30 years. Is that really so much precision that you would panic and behave irrationally if you knew it?

    10. Re:Fundamental Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quite frankly, if I find out that I am going to die in 60 years from some disease, there is a reasonable chance that I may be able to cure it by then...

    11. Re:Fundamental Question by Jaqenn · · Score: 1

      The question of 'Do I or do I not want to know how I'll die?' is explored very interestingly in the collection of fictional short stories 'Machine of Death'

      Can be read for free here: http://machineofdeath.net/ebook

      --
      You are awash in a sea of fiercely stated opinions. Obvious exits are: 'File->Quit', 'Reply', and 'Page Down'.
    12. Re:Fundamental Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > I choose to drive every day DESPITE it being fundamentally the riskiest thing I do in my life, because it does not benefit me to sit at home and worry about my potential fate.

      Do you have to drive in order to get away from your home? You could simply move to a city where everything you need is near you. I don't worry about my potential fate and I don't even have a car. If I need to go to another town, I take a train, if I need something else, I walk to drive my bicycle. But that is just me. I really hate taking risks, so I try to minimize at least those that are easy.

    13. Re:Fundamental Question by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      LOL, you think that riding a bicycle in a big city is safer than driving? hahahahahaha :-D

      You're a comedian!

  7. Well, that seals her fate, I guess. by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Because there's clearly no chance of significant progress on Alzheimer's treatment, prevention, or reversal over the next SIXTY YEARS.

    If I'd received a diagnosis like that in my teens, it might well have lent me some much-needed career focus. As it is, I sort of happened into a position where I was contributing to Alzheimer's research (in a very small way), and eventually drifted back out of it. With this kind of motivation, I might have pushed a lot harder, and stayed engaged.

    Seriously, if I had to pick a terrible disease to contract sixty years down the road, Alzheimer's would be high on my list. It's high-profile, there's a huge amount of research being done, and there are lots of promising avenues for progress.

    1. Re:Well, that seals her fate, I guess. by schneidafunk · · Score: 1

      My thoughts exactly. This Alzheimer breakthrough I read about yesterday.

      --
      Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
    2. Re:Well, that seals her fate, I guess. by TheCarp · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not only that but there is a bit of a "its how you look at it". A lot of evidence on the disease indicates that there are likely several factors involved and that the damage starts decades before symptoms. That means that.... sometime in her 30s or 40s is really when she needs the breakthrough by....but
      it also means that she can be mindful of it.

      Take this: http://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2013/03/use-it-or-lose-it/

      Evidence that using the mind, and and being stimulated by different environments (something that we naturally tend to do less of as we age and get into lifelong habbits) helps:

      The ability of an enriched, novel environment to prevent amyloid beta protein from affecting the signaling strength and communication between nerve cells was seen in both young and middle-aged wild-type mice.

      Seems like evidence to me that being mindful of propensity for the disease early does, right now, give some possibilities for mitigating the worst of it down the road. Maybe not now as she is 5 years old, but later in her 30s and 40s.

      Kinda makes me think I should switch up hobbies or....drop acid again.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    3. Re:Well, that seals her fate, I guess. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      No dad. That was 20 years ago...

    4. Re:Well, that seals her fate, I guess. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There will not be a cure for Alzheimer's in the next sixty years. That is a guarantee you can take to the bank.

    5. Re:Well, that seals her fate, I guess. by kencurry · · Score: 1

      Evidence that using the mind, and and being stimulated by different environments (something that we naturally tend to do less of as we age and get into lifelong habbits) helps...

      Isn't this just good advice regardless? Why put the sword over the kid's head? Just encourage them be life-long learners and try new challenging things every chance they get?

      --
      sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
  8. What can you do now. by Sterling_Aug · · Score: 0

    Teach your child to focus on their own health. There are studies that prove spices such as turmeric contain chemicals that help brain activity and reduce the chances of getting Alzheimer's.

    1. Re:What can you do now. by smooth+wombat · · Score: 0

      There are studies that prove spices such as turmeric. . .

      You mean (A HREF="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23723666">one study which had 3 patients who were given turmeric capsules. This one study didn't prove anything. It only suggested there is some kind of link between properties in turmeric and the somewhat mitigated effects of Alzheimer's.

      Further, it's not tumeric per se but curcumin, the source of turmeric, which seems to have the effect.

      Teach your child to focus on their own health.

      If I had children, I would but the government has said my health doesn't matter. What matters is your neighbors health which is why I'm forced to hand over my money to smokers, the obese, alcoholics and drug users who never have to change their ways.

      --
      We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    2. Re:What can you do now. by larry+bagina · · Score: 1

      Also, beer, weed, and cocaine during the teenage years is vitally important. Your children will thank you.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

  9. Re:GATTACA by StoneCrusher · · Score: 1

    Why does this sound like GATTACA?

    Because it is very much like GATTACA. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kl68ca3Yzpo

    NERVE CONDITION - PROBABILITY 60%
    MANIC DEPRESSION - 42%
    OBESITY - 66%
    ATTENTION DEFICIT DISORDER - 89%
    HEART DISORDER - 99%
    "EARLY FATAL POTENTIAL."
    LIFE EXPECTANCY - 33 YEARS.

  10. whole genome sequencing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Hi,

    I'm off to the ASHG meeting next week (human genetics) and will see how much advance there has been in sequencing and diagnosis.

    Here is the real issue. There are molecular tags for definite diseases. There are copies of genes that increase your chances. But you must know the relative risk.

    Whole genome sequencing is going to arrive, simply because it will be too cheap to avoid, and there will be an avalanche of information.

    The more whole genomes we get, the BETTER we will get at predicting the outcomes and mechanisms of subtle outcomes.

  11. The Gods help those who help themselves. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Give the child a basic book on medicine, and if she shows interest give her more. She will be more driven than anyone else on this earth to find a cure. If she succeeds then something good came from this. If she fails then at least she went down fighting.

  12. Retirement / estate planning by xtal · · Score: 1

    If I had such a diagnosis I would likely dramatically alter my estate planning strategies. I can see several scenarios where that information would be very useful.

    The 23andme kit is on my list of things to purchase. I do wish it could test for more things, but I suppose that's in the works.

    --
    ..don't panic
  13. cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

    First of all, it's not clear that this is a problem that needs addressing. In a free market, parents would buy child health insurance prior to getting a child that would cover such risks. In fact, in some countries that's how it works: your kids are automatically on the parents' policy, and they have the option of continuing coverage. All you really need for that to work is to legally prevent insurance companies from weaseling out of their obligations once they get more information than when they had when they wrote the original insurance contract.

    But if this really were a problem, it still shouldn't be addressed by making insurance blind to all pre-existing conditions. Once you know that a person is likely to develop a disease, "covering" them by insurance at average rates isn't insurance anymore, it's welfare; you simply change the pool of people you tax in order to pay for it. The problem with paying for this kind of welfare out of risk-blind insurance payments is that you end up making insurance blind to preventable pre-existing conditions as well, removing a strong incentive for people to stay healthy.

    1. Re:cure worse than the disease by amorsen · · Score: 2

      The problem with paying for this kind of welfare out of risk-blind insurance payments is that you end up making insurance blind to preventable pre-existing conditions as well, removing a strong incentive for people to stay healthy.

      Does that mean we should replace the current warning labels on cigarettes with this?

      "Smoking Causes Health Insurance Premiums to Rise"

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
    2. Re:cure worse than the disease by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 2

      While the issue of people staying healthy is an important one (and should not be ignored), Alzheimers is a great example of a non-preventable condition.

      So the ACTUAL conundrum here is this:

      1) Do alzheimers/cancer sufferers (including/especially the poor and uninsured) deserve treatment? Is it a human rights issue? Or even one of ethics?

      2) If so, who pays for it?

      This is the issue. You either decide that some people won't be covered and will simply starve to death on the sidewalk, or you cover them, which implies some level of social welfare payment.

      Now, if you don't like some fraction of people dying on the sidewalk, the question is simply to decide how to pay for the service.

      Right now, in the US, the rule is simply that a hospital cannot turn away someone who is within 24 hours of death. So minor and preventable conditions like a skin tumor, or pre-diabetes go untreated and result in a dozen or two dozen ER visits shortly before the person dies.

      This costs the hospitals an ENORMOUS amount (some hospitals, it accounts for almost 50% of budgets), which is paid by insurance (mostly) and is reflected in premiums, albiet in a highly inefficient way that also has terrible health outcomes and is strongly weighted to hurt hospitals in less affluent areas.

      Also, once you have a few minor issues, like skin tumors that are removed, you will have a VERY hard time getting insurance, because you're a cancer risk, even if you ARE a highly productive member of society or a small business owner.

      A middle-ground might be to mandate insurance companies to not turn away people for pre-existing conditions and to provide a basic safety net for elderly and poor (this is what the US currently does with "Obamacare"). I don't think it goes far enough to promote preventative health measures (which decrease long-term costs).

      Meh... problems problems.

    3. Re:cure worse than the disease by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In a free market, many parents have to make the decision between paying the health insurance premium or buying food.

      Before the inevitable strawmen are brought out, I'll add this:

      In a free market, many hard working, full time employed parents who do not buy unnecessary luxuries or live drug/alcohol-fueled or lavish lifestyles have to make a choice between paying the health insurance premium or buying food.

    4. Re:cure worse than the disease by Opportunist · · Score: 2

      Preventative measures (or the lack thereof) are also a problem around here in Europe, in our "socialized healthcare paradise". After literally decades our insurances finally caught on that it's cheaper to pay people to get checked for diseases early so if people are on the road to an early grave they can now easily and more importantly cheaply be kept alive instead of having to resort to expensive measures later on (like, say, pay for comparably cheap blood pressure medicine now than having to pay for insanely expensive bypass operations later).

      If they could now find out that it's cheaper to find tumors early and have them removed rather than keeping the patient alive that year or two he still lives after it's discovered and determined to be terminal...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    5. Re:cure worse than the disease by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      The problem is that in a free market people sell their work force cheaper than they actually can if they want to participate in what should be the minimum living standard of a western world.

      When people need X money to live today, to pay their rent, their food, their power and to make other ends meet, you will find people willing to work for X. That also means that this is what will be paid. But that in turn means that these people will have no money to put aside for unexpected events, for retirement, for healthcare, for insurances.

      And this is why people who neither have highly sought after skills nor the necessary connections to have a good job despite being complete idiots will NEVER be able to afford such "luxuries" as healthcare or retirement plans. There is always someone else who is willing to work for just enough money to make ends meet today.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:cure worse than the disease by pepty · · Score: 4, Informative

      If they could now find out that it's cheaper to find tumors early and have them removed rather than keeping the patient alive that year or two he still lives after it's discovered and determined to be terminal...

      Part of the US's vaunted 5 year cancer survival rates vs European single payer systems isn't due to screenings leading to earlier treatment, its due to the disease running the same course over the same period of years and killing the same number of people but being detected earlier in the progression. Imagine a deadly cancer for which there are early screening tests but no treatments at all. The screening typically finds the cancer 4-8 years before death, otherwise the cancer is usually diagnosed via symptoms 1-4 years before death. One country uses the screening test, the other does not. Guess which one has a better 5-year survival rate?

      That's an extreme analogy of course, and screening does save lives, but screening can also artificially inflate survival statistics. Cancer mortality rates are the way to go, and overall the US is more or less tied with the EU. For the most preventable common cancer (lung), the US is actually worse than the EU:

      http://theincidentaleconomist.com/wordpress/how-do-we-rate-the-quality-of-the-us-health-care-system-disease-care/

    7. Re:cure worse than the disease by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      > he problem with paying for this kind of welfare out of risk-blind insurance payments is that you end
      > up making insurance blind to preventable pre-existing conditions as well, removing a strong
      > incentive for people to stay healthy.

      I understand that theory, I don't buy it. Too simple and ignores the fact that diseases themselves are much stronger incentive. Do you REALLY think that many people are just like "Well if I smoke and get lung cancer, insurance will pay so its ok"? Do you really think the people who do say things like that are not just rationalizing a decision they already made?

      I really think this ignores the realities of how people actually think and make decisions.

      Just because you can imagine something could be a strong incentive, doesn't make it one.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    8. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Now, if you don't like some fraction of people dying on the sidewalk, the question is simply to decide how to pay for the service.

      Keeping people from dying on the sidewalk is easy: you provide terminal hospice care for them, which is comparatively cheap and the humane thing to do.

      Expensive medical care has little to do with preventing death or keeping people healthy; there are dozens of nations that pay a fraction what the US pays with comparable or better health outcomes. Money in the US medical system goes largely to expensive and useless procedures that only prolong suffering. Universal coverage or single payer just feeds even more money into a broken medical system and bad individual choices; it won't make people healthier or live longer.

    9. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Too simple and ignores the fact that diseases themselves are much stronger incentive. Do you REALLY think that many people are just like "Well if I smoke and get lung cancer, insurance will pay so its ok"?

      No. What people actually think is: "I won't get lung cancer", and since it's 20-40 years off, they don't care. The beauty of insurance is that it translates this long term risk that people ignore into short term costs that they understand: "Smoke, and your insurance rates go up 70% right away." Of course, for smoking, Obamacare tries to give insurance companies the option, which is a good thing, but it prohibits it for other kinds of things.

      For example, you might be able to get cut-rate insurance rates with weekly weigh-ins and monthly health screenings, with a variable insurance rate based on your results; e.g., if your blood pressure goes up 5% and/or your BMI goes up 0.2 points and you pay $100 more per month. That is something people do notice. You might get a special discount if you shop in the right places and your shopping patterns indicate healthy nutrition. I'd certainly go for that if it substantially reduced my health insurance premiums.

    10. Re:cure worse than the disease by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      Name those countries with better health outcomes. What fraction have a single-payer system?

      I would wager it is almost all. But I'm curious, I'm not actually certain.

    11. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Does that mean we should replace the current warning labels on cigarettes with this? "Smoking Causes Health Insurance Premiums to Rise"

      Or: "Buy this and you won't be able to afford a new iPhone. Which one is more important to you?"

    12. Re:cure worse than the disease by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      Also, people "dying on the sidewalk" is a bit polemic, but it illustrates the point. Someone with a simple mild case of diabetes will die of gangrene in their feet in a matter of a year or two. Sure, you can provide them hospice while they die of something that was treatable almost 100 years ago, or you can get them insulin and antibiotics and you will notice that they'll then continue to live for 5-10 (or more years).

      Of course, you could kick them out of "hospice" and then they would be back on the sidewalk dying in a few months.

      Rinse, repeat.

      Hence, the problem.

    13. Re:cure worse than the disease by kencurry · · Score: 1

      Excellent post. If only I had mod points today.

      --
      sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
    14. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Your example illustrates the insanity of the current system and the perverse incentives it creates.

      Most people with diabetes should never have gotten it in the first place because it's so easy to prevent in most people: they get it because of obesity, poor diet, and lack of exercise. But they don't make the necessary lifestyle choices because they don't understand the serious consequences. Doctors have no incentive to push patients to make changes, and few are even qualified to give people advice on weight loss and diet. And people get little financial feedback either, since their premiums are not affected very much, if at all.

      http://wholehealthsource.blogspot.com/2012/07/what-causes-type-2-diabetes-and-how-can.html

      Then, mild cases of diabetes are often treatable with diet and other lifestyle changes, changes that have lots of other health benefits and cost nothing. But doctors have no incentive to push such no-cost solutions; it requires lots of time and supervision of patients and results in no profit for them. It's more profitable and simpler for them just to start putting people on drugs and insulin because, hey, it's covered anyway.

      And if people have diabetes that requires insulin injection can be provided with insulin and (if needed) antibiotics for next to nothing. Almost everybody could pay that out of pocket, it's so cheap. If people carefully control their diabetes, there is no reason for them to get seriously ill. But, of course, if you are an obese patient who doesn't exercise and has acquired a lifetime of bad habits and lack of concern for your health, you aren't suddenly going to be able to monitor your health and control your diabetes.

      And that's the point where it gets expensive: hospital care and expensive interventions due to poorly controlled diabetes.

      Your example of diabetes illustrates nicely what's wrong with the current system and Obamacare-like coverage: it encourages everybody to do the wrong thing by making it cheap and easy to do the wrong thing for people's health. Instead of cheap and effective solutions, it encourages expensive and ineffective solutions. The end result is not just enormous medical costs, but also enormous human suffering.

    15. Re:cure worse than the disease by Czech+Blue+Bear · · Score: 1

      While the issue of people staying healthy is an important one (and should not be ignored), Alzheimers is a great example of a non-preventable condition.

      So the ACTUAL conundrum here is this:

      1) Do alzheimers/cancer sufferers (including/especially the poor and uninsured) deserve treatment?

      Yes, they deserve treatment, even when it is currently futile and costly. It is crucially important. Please let me explain.

      Currently, Alzheimer's is an incurable and mostly untreatable condition. But with each patient, even if he/she dies, we still get scientific data about the disease - how it progresses, what biochemistry it affects, what chemicals may change its course. Thanks to these shards of information, we are steadily moving towards the elucidation of the disease process, and to a cure. In some time, maybe a few decades, the disease can be completely curable. But we need the data. We won't get any if we just let the people die without trying to treat them.

      Secondly: we must never think in a way "this disease is too difficult, research is too expensive, better euthanize the sufferers". This very idea is toxic. It is not just a death sentence for the people. It is a death sentence for all science. Because all research is expensive and difficult. If we reject some problem because "it is too expensive to look into it", we enter a deadly spiral. We start to reject more problems because all are expensive. And after some time, we will end where we originally started: as a bunch of naked monkeys.

      And, of course, it is not exactly nice to tell a fellow human "sorry man, we don't know how to treat your disease, and it would be too difficult to research it, so you will have to die a slow and horrible death". Compare with "sorry man, we don't know how to treat your disease yet, but we are all working on it... hang on, we will figure it out!"

    16. Re:cure worse than the disease by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      Have an alternative?

      I notice that you point out the issue is in human nature. A lifetime of poor lifestyle choices.

      So are you advocating for big brother mandating compulsory exercise and veggies?

      Obviously, that would be the cheapest way to do it, but probably not the "freeist" in the American sense.

      FYI, I don't live in the US, but I have in the past.

      But in the scenario where you don't find it socially acceptable to force people to eat well at age 35 so they don't get diabetes at age 55, what is the alternative?

      Sure, you could increase premiums on people who drink more than 5 drinks per week. How would you determine when they do that?

      I'ts not an easy solution, but given what we regard as "freedom", we have to accept that people make bad choices. And then decide what to do with them when they are sick.

      I'll point out that you suggested problems with all modern health systems and i don't know of any that don't suffer from these problems, so I encourage you to suggest alternatives. :-)

    17. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      I'ts not an easy solution, but given what we regard as "freedom", we have to accept that people make bad choices. And then decide what to do with them when they are sick.

      Then we also have to accept that they need to live with the consequences of their choices, which may include bankruptcy, suffering, or death. Otherwise, the freedom to choose will disappear anyway because society can't afford the downstream costs anymore and tries to start regulating behavior, just like we have tried with alcohol, drugs, guns, sex, banking, and other areas, often without much success.

      For medicine, this isn't even as horrible as it may sound. First of all, medicine (in particular of the costly kind) is much less useful than people think; if someone manages to get diabetes, heart disease, or kidney failure due to obesity, there's little that can be done for them anyway. Furthermore, society would likely still offer charity (and so would I). But I object to the idea that someone has a right to take my money for expensive and ineffective medical care that attempts to fix problems that are a consequence of their own choices. If I support someone who made bad choices, it should be my choice to do so.

      I'll point out that you suggested problems with all modern health systems and i don't know of any that don't suffer from these problems, so I encourage you to suggest alternatives. :-)

      That's not surprising, because it's really a general problem of societies: everybody tries to shift their risks and costs onto society as a whole. The obese getting subsidized care is really no different from big banks or mortgage holders getting a bailout. Historically, societies collapse under their own weight of "bread and circuses" and start over. We may not have that option this time.

    18. Re:cure worse than the disease by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      You might go for that, I am not intersted in having some company play parent for me.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    19. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      You might go for that, I am not intersted in having some company play parent for me.

      With a free market in health care, you don't have to, since you can choose what health plan you want. Of course, the less information you reveal, the more expensive your plan gets.

      With Obamacare or single payer, you and everybody else will have the government play parent for us; there won't be a choice.

    20. Re:cure worse than the disease by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      Old thread, but it's worth asking...

      I totally understand your argument about personal responsibility. It's the cornerstone of conservatism (not that that this is a bad, necessarily).

      But... Something like 20% of diabetes is not environmental, but genetic and/or random.

      So are most cancers (like 30-80% are genetic and/or random).

      Same goes for random accidents. Broken ankles from stepping on a crack, for example. Herniated discs in the back due to... lifting heavy objects.

      It is not the lifestyle choices that represent that hardest choice, for intervention, but what of... Random lukemia, or... random "hit in the head with a falling rock" cases?

      Do those people also "live with the consequences" and die, destitute?

      seems a curious claim.

      Or are you contending that most unexpected hospitalizations are due to lifestyle choices?

    21. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Do those people also "live with the consequences" and die, destitute? seems a curious claim. Or are you contending that most unexpected hospitalizations are due to lifestyle choices?

      I'm saying neither, actually.

      First, I'm saying that the cost and success of treatment is related to the causes. If someone gets diabetes because they can't manage their weight or diet, their treatment will be very expensive and largely ineffective. People who live healthy and get diabetes randomly are very cheap to treat (I have friends like that). It's similar for many other diseases.

      Second, loss of insurance and pre-existing conditions are a result of tying health insurance to jobs and letting insurance companies weasel out of their obligations when people get sick. There simply has been no way even for financially responsible people to get a health insurance contract in the US that would actually protect them long term under existing law (I've tried). That's what should have been addressed.

      ACA doesn't fix these problems. Instead, it forces people who use medical care and insurance responsibly to subsidize those who don't. Furthermore, it makes it hard for insurance companies to signal the cost of poor choices to people through their rates. That does ensure universal coverage, but those are exactly the things you don't want to do if you want to control costs and improve public health. Americans will get poorer, sicker, and fatter as a result of ACA.

    22. Re:cure worse than the disease by SecurityTheatre · · Score: 1

      ACA doesn't fix these problems. Instead, it forces people who use medical care and insurance responsibly to subsidize those who don't. Furthermore, it makes it hard for insurance companies to signal the cost of poor choices to people through their rates. That does ensure universal coverage, but those are exactly the things you don't want to do if you want to control costs and improve public health. Americans will get poorer, sicker, and fatter as a result of ACA.

      But "responsible people" were already subsidizing those who aren't. It was just done indirectly and very inefficiently, and with huge gaps in coverage for legitimate illness that otherwise "responsible people" found themselves not covered for.

      I see what you're saying, and I agree that the ACA is not an ideal solution. It was only adopted because it was almost entirely Republican-drafted and Democrats assumed that would mean they would get at least some support.

      The whole concept of "health insurance" is a bit wonky, because you can be dropped from your coverage whenever by an insurance provider. Insurance is designed to spread the risk of single-event large-scale losses, but health is almost never that. Obviously, there is the catastrophic accident scenario, but that's relatively rare in our hyper-safety society, so the bulk of health issues are chronic and/or terminal.

      Having an intelligent discussion on how to deal with chronic illness is a serious concern.

      Obvious, systemic issues such as obesity need to be addressed, but I'm not sure that "your insurance will cost more when you're 40" is a sufficient, nor really even a very useful signal to "don't eat ice cream for dinner" to some random chubby 23 year old.

      So, on that, I reject the idea that "signaling bad behaviour via the future cost of health insurance" is a relevant marker for the value of a health program.

      There are some programs in the world (like Japan) where the government offers universal coverage, but only pays something like 80%. You can buy private insurance to cover the remainder, or you can eat it. People under a certain income get 100% regardless and that moves up on a graduated scale. This gives them incentive to avoid unnecessary procedures, but still offers universal coverage for catastrophic injury and the poor.

      I don't think any changes to the healthcare or health insurance system will fix things like obesity or smoking, frankly, because most humans are inherently REALLY bad at planning. So I contend that we can virtually dismiss the "changing habits via the threat of future cost increases" as a viable tool to change public behaviour.

      Given that, what alternatives are there that don't completely suck, other than a public-payer system? I'm not sure I see the argument outside that.

    23. Re:cure worse than the disease by stenvar · · Score: 1

      But "responsible people" were already subsidizing those who aren't. It was just done indirectly and very inefficiently,

      That was a justification given for ACA, but the numbers never made much sense to me. Most of the uninsured were healthy anyway. And most of the people who were irresponsible but covered still are covered the same way they were before: through Medicare and Medicaid. ACA's effect in this regard is virtually nil.

      I see what you're saying, and I agree that the ACA is not an ideal solution. It was only adopted because it was almost entirely Republican-drafted and Democrats assumed that would mean they would get at least some support.

      Well, and when that assumption turned out to be wrong, they could have simply dropped the entire matter.

      The whole concept of "health insurance" is a bit wonky, because you can be dropped from your coverage whenever by an insurance provider.

      That is a result of the employer provisions in existing law, plus the absence of regulations to prevent insurance companies to do just that. Those are the two legal issues reform really needed to address, and it failed to address both.

      Obviously, there is the catastrophic accident scenario, but that's relatively rare in our hyper-safety society, so the bulk of health issues are chronic and/or terminal.

      And neither of those are usually costly. Chronic conditions generally have good and cheap treatments, and terminal conditions only need cheap palliative care. Statins alone, for example, rake in $35b for drug companies and are unnecessary and probably harmful.

      I don't think any changes to the healthcare or health insurance system will fix things like obesity or smoking, frankly, because most humans are inherently REALLY bad at planning.

      Constant fear and losing money are the two most powerful motivators we have, and they are sufficient for many people to counter smoking and obesity. Unfortunately, both are exactly the motivators that ACA and single payer are supposed to eliminate.

  14. Put her down in the "denied" column by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For Medicare, or whatever it will be called then, put her down in the not in the public interest in spending money on.

    1. Re:Put her down in the "denied" column by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh Oh!

      You just pointed out that the typical slashbot's stupid god is in fact stupid. Prepared to be modded down -999999999999999999.

  15. Don't test kids. by Hatta · · Score: 1

    Test yourself, and test fetuses. Procreation without genetic testing in this day and age is terribly irresponsible. But if you're going to help tidy up the gene pool, you have to do the testing before you procreate.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    1. Re:Don't test kids. by fropenn · · Score: 2

      I think you misunderstand the accuracy of modern genetic testing. In most cases "markers" are identified that are associated with an increased risk of a condition or disorder. Increased risk != a guarantee that the person will develop the disorder or condition. Further, many (myself included) would consider screening for disorders or conditions (like alzheimer's) for which there is no cure and no benefit to early intervention in children unethical. (Once you become an adult, you are free to make your own choices.) Who is to say that living a life with an increased risk of _____ (alzheimer's, breast cancer, skin cancer, etc.) is not a life worth living?

    2. Re:Don't test kids. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better yet, do like the wife and I have done. Skip procreation.

    3. Re:Don't test kids. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have a genetic risk factor for a future disorder, would you prefer to have been aborted? Or would you rather take your chances?

    4. Re:Don't test kids. by Hatta · · Score: 1

      If I was aborted, I'd never experience the loss. Death is scary. But if there was never any me to experience anything, there would be no fear.

      Besides, if I was aborted in favor of a healthy fetus, that person would be in favor of aborting fetuses with genetic defects, for the exact reason you think I should be against it.

      This line of reasoning is nonsensical. Out of the millions of sperm in an ejaculate, only one gets to fertilize an egg. The flap of a butterfly's wing could change which sperm fertilizes the egg, and could have prevented my existence. Should I be against butterflies now?

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  16. Eggs chocolate and dairy by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    I was rooting around in some old papers my parents had kept and found an allergy report on myself that had been done when I was 4. It said I needed to avoid Eggs, Chocolate, and Dairy. I love all those things and know I'm not allergic to them. I'm so glad my parents ignored the report. If they had deprived me of Diary it's very likely I would not be able to eat dairy now. The point was the report is a probability, like gene markers, It says I probably was allergic to these things within the error margin of the allergy tests (which are huge). Acting on that would have had severe and unnecessary consequences.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  17. "There's no gene for fate." by idontgno · · Score: 2

    -- Vincent, Gattaca

    --
    Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
  18. Driving? by zerosomething · · Score: 1

    By the time this kid is 16 she will likely have access to a self driving car. Hell it may even be required for 16 to 21 year olds by then.

    --
    It all starts at 0
  19. Prostate screening discussion yesterday with doc by the_rajah · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I had my annual physical with my family doctor yesterday. He told me that he no longer does, nor does he recommend, prostate cancer screening based on recent studies. Most of the prostate cancers detected are not the ones that will kill you, but it's not possible to test for that without an invasive biopsy that is very uncomfortable. If you jump right into treating the cancer, that is also very uncomfortable and potentially debilitating.

    --


    "Do the Right Thing. It will gratify some people and astound the rest." - Mark Twain
  20. Slashvertisement by argStyopa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I agree with latter-quoted guy: there's a HUGE business out of exploiting the (natural) fears of new parents. I have 4 kids, and our level of paranoia on the first one was crazy.

    The idea that you need to drop $100 to see if there's any likelihood that your kid will eventually contract Alzheimers is ludicrous.
    - there's no certainty about these numbers, it's about as reliable as the weather
    - even if they WERE reliable, there's no firm understanding of genetic vs environmental factors
    - and even if there was a firm understanding, there are no developed therapies/routines that are known to have ANY impact on long term development of the condition.

    This is just marketing FUD to paranoid parents. BELIEVE ME, you're going to have about a million other far more immediate concerns getting your kids to the point where they move out on their own, and thereafter.

    Personally, I'd be flipping delighted if someone could guarantee to me that my kids will live long enough for Alzheimers to be of the faintest relevance. Seriously.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Slashvertisement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      > drop $100 to see if there's any likelihood that your kid will eventually contract Alzheimers

      100$ is for the whole range of genetic tests, not just Alzheimers. Just saying.

    2. Re:Slashvertisement by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      The idea that you need to drop $100 to see if there's any likelihood that your kid will eventually contract Alzheimers is ludicrous.

      The $100 is for a fairly comprehensive SNP analysis, not just an Alzheimer's test. Also, you have to read a big disclaimer before they'll even tell you whether you have a risk for Alzheimer's for all the reasons that are coming up here. By default they won't tell you anything about it.

  21. What exercise and what's a good diet, anyway? by swb · · Score: 1

    A lot of evidence suggest that Alzheimer's is "type 3 diabetes", so does that mean that a "good diet" is what we've been told is a good diet since the late 1960s (high carbohydrate, low fat), or is a "good diet" what is suggested by low-carbohydrate advocates suggest, one high in fat and very low in carbohydrates (a ketogenic diet)?

    And what kind of exercise? From what I've read, there's not a lot to suggest that exercise has much influence on weight loss, so perhaps just "being active" (walking 2-3 miles per day) is good enough versus engaging in running or other vigorous cardio? And then there are those who suggest that weight training is better.

    My sense is we really don't know the answers to these questions very well and there may be huge variations in response on an individual basis, suggesting a strong genetic influence.

    1. Re:What exercise and what's a good diet, anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All the "type 3 diabetes!" "evidence" has been discredited.

    2. Re:What exercise and what's a good diet, anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gonna need a source on that, cap'n

    3. Re:What exercise and what's a good diet, anyway? by psithurism · · Score: 1

      good diet

      There are many opinions on what constitutes a "good diet" but very few people advocate a diet of sleeves of Oreos for breakfast lunch, dinner, mid-morning snack and afternoon snack, between snack snacks...You don't need a perfect diet, but cutting out some junk food, eating some veggies and not obscenely overeating would do wonders for the vast majority of the populace.

      Being active

      Again, fitness 'experts' will argue all day about what the perfect routine is, but I'm not sure it matters here either; I don't see anyone denying the evidence that just "being active" is good for just about everything for everybody, including Alzheimer's (though not a magic bullet weightless).

      We don't know the answers to these questions perfectly, and probably never will, but there's no need to give up. Studies continue to shine light into specific change->benefit relationships that will only be improved by better of genetic predispositions should only improve our ability to figure out the optimal changes we need to avoid / take advantage of our unique predispositions.

    4. Re:What exercise and what's a good diet, anyway? by stenvar · · Score: 1

      Eat lots of vegetables and fruits. Eat fat and animal protein in moderation. Cut out sugars and starches (including soft drinks, sweet coffee drinks, cereals, potatoes, pasta, and breads). Cook at home, know your ingredients, and avoid fast food, processed foods, and most restaurants. Check your weight, blood pressure regularly; if they are OK, your diet is probably fine. Have a full physical once a year. Walk a lot and pick some sport you enjoy. That will put you ahead of the majority of Americans. It isn't rocket science.

  22. Plan ahead .. its a hell of a lot cheaper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Buy the kid a long term care policy with $75 per day benefit and 5% inflation rider .. and most importantly look for a 10 year fixed premium. At age 5,
    the amount of interest compound with have the policy worth something north of $500 per day by the time it is needed, if ever. On the flip side, if you do it now you will pay a hell of a lot less than if she is 40, 50, 60 etc

  23. How does this change anything? by harvestsun · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Do you really need to know your child is at risk of Alzheimer's before you decide to teach them healthy habits and encourage brain activity?
    Then newsflash: you may be a really shitty parent.

    1. Re:How does this change anything? by bitt3n · · Score: 1

      Do you really need to know your child is at risk of Alzheimer's before you decide to teach them healthy habits and encourage brain activity?

      For me it's kind of the opposite. Why bother teaching the kid that stuff if he's just going to forget it anyway?

    2. Re:How does this change anything? by harvestsun · · Score: 1

      HA, good point.

  24. Hold on there, buckoo by Overzeetop · · Score: 4, Funny

    Now she's in a self driving car with drunk boys, and nobody has to keep there hands on the wheel?

    Out of the frying pan and into the fire, I say.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    1. Re:Hold on there, buckoo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, for mod points ...

  25. Really? With your UID I'd expect a little better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Apparently you haven't lived with a spouse ( or in my case a parent) with Alzheimer's.

    The worst is when in their all too brief moments of clarity they know what is happening and are helpless to do anything about it before the light goes back out of their eyes and they curse you as a stranger for stealing something from them prior to your birth.

    I would not wish that on my worst enemy.

  26. many genes dont express themselves by peter303 · · Score: 2

    And people still dont know yet why. The third person to be sequenced Jame Wtson had like 30 serious defects in the genetic disease databse like bindness for example, but these had not manifested themselves.

  27. Fund research by Stewie241 · · Score: 1

    If there was much degree of accuracy, it may end up working the way open source does - developers scratch their own itches. Some people may be more likely to fund alzheimer's research if they knew their son or daughter was likely to get it. Or they themselves were.

    The negative effect of this might be that harder to predict and/or less common diseases would get less funding.

  28. Re:Prostate screening discussion yesterday with do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I had my annual physical with my family doctor yesterday. He told me that he no longer does, nor does he recommend, prostate cancer screening based on recent studies. Most of the prostate cancers detected are not the ones that will kill you, but it's not possible to test for that without an invasive biopsy that is very uncomfortable. If you jump right into treating the cancer, that is also very uncomfortable and potentially debilitating.

    Yeah. You know what is more debilitating? Having a chance to cure your cancer but sticking with "oh well, I'm old and I will live another 5 or 10 years with it before it will kill me so not going to get it cured." Then 7 years pass and you die of curable disease.

    1. your doctor is an idiot
    2. the "finger test" works
    3. biopsy uncomfortable? How about every day of the last 3 or 5 years of your life as you can't piss or walk properly?
    4. for PSA test to have any meaning, you need a baseline for results in years prior to middle age (or at least to old age) - then and only then can it show any results. Even if you opt out of this one because it is not conclusive, the "finger test" *is* physical exam of the prostate!

    http://www.cancerresearchuk.org/cancer-info/cancerstats/types/prostate/mortality/uk-prostate-cancer-mortality-statistics

    Prostate cancer is 2nd most common cause of cancer deaths, and thus most common cause of cancer deaths in male non-smokers. I guess no treatment warranted??

    PS. The only time I would opt-out of treatment of prostate cancer is if I had other terminal diseases that would kill be sooner *and/or* I would not be capable of making my own decisions anymore. That's it.

  29. Re:GATTACA by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Just you wait 'til we can predict with some certainty how long someone lives and you'll instantly get someone who decides that it's a waste of resources to educate someone 'cause he will be dead before his working could recover the cost.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  30. Re:Prostate screening discussion yesterday with do by dj245 · · Score: 1

    I had my annual physical with my family doctor yesterday. He told me that he no longer does, nor does he recommend, prostate cancer screening based on recent studies. Most of the prostate cancers detected are not the ones that will kill you, but it's not possible to test for that without an invasive biopsy that is very uncomfortable. If you jump right into treating the cancer, that is also very uncomfortable and potentially debilitating.

    Caution definitely needs to be taken in treatment of this kind of cancer.

    But why not test for it? Wouldn't it be a good idea to monitor the size/shape of anything which was found?

    --
    Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
  31. I had the test done by badford · · Score: 1

    Forgot what it said, though. Now, where is that damn paper? Have you seen the remote? I put it right here! What were we talking about?

    --
    -badford
  32. Re:Really? With your UID I'd expect a little bette by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    My UID? Did... did you just fall for what amounts to an injection attack?

    I appreciate the horror of Alzheimer's as much as anyone who has higher-than-normal empathy, a good imagination, and no direct experience. So, no, I probably don't get it as viscerally as you do. But sixty years is a very long time. If I thought it likely I had sixty more years, and if the post below yours had not been made AC, I'd definitely take that bet on a cure -- or, more accurately, effective treatment and prevention of the syndrome's ill effects.

  33. so what's the counter-argument? by badford · · Score: 1

    My child does not have any genetic bias towards degenerative brain disease after age 65. I guess I should feed her a diet of froot loops & iCarly

    --
    -badford
    1. Re:so what's the counter-argument? by Virtucon · · Score: 1

      Frosted Flakes cure cancer too... They're Great!

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
  34. What Our Doctor Told Us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When our son was diagnosed with a certain non-curable medical disorder, it came with a 60% chance that he would develop another, non-curable, non-preventable medical disorder as well.
    When we asked our doctor about it, he said, "That's not really relevant to your situation."
    And when we asked why, he said, "Because those statistics only apply to the population at large. Your son either will develop the disorder, or he won't. It's 100%, or 0%, and there's nothing we can do to plan or decide which percentage he will be in."

    It made things a lot easier to deal with, honestly. And our son was in that 100%, as well as being in the general population's 60%, and he did develop the disorder. But with all of his other complications, we always keep that one phrase in mind; it doesn't matter what the chances are to everyone else, when it comes to you it either happens or it doesn't. I hope that this will be as comforting for you as it was for us.

    1. Re:What Our Doctor Told Us by koan · · Score: 1

      "there's nothing we can do to plan or decide which percentage he will be in"

      So is the doctor saying don't bother considering the worst and planning for it? Or am I out of context with that assumption.

      Because personally I find modern doctors to be little better than technicians, with truncated skill sets.

      --
      "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
    2. Re:What Our Doctor Told Us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was nothing we could do. Realistically, how do you plan for a disease that you can't cure or prevent? You can't go on waitlists for help, because he doesn't have the disease yet. There is no prophylactic medication. There was no way of knowing how the disease would manifest, so researching medications or making treatment plans was useless, because there was no way of knowing how it would happen, or worse, when. When it did happen, it was so different from what we expected that any plans we made would have been worse than useless.

      The reality is that we don't know. We can't treat everything. We can't fix everything. We can't plan for everything. That doesn't make modern doctors technicians, it makes them realists.

      And that's hard for you to deal with, I get it. I really do. But when you can't plan for the "worst" (and this outcome was not the worst, not by a long shot, not by a hundred times), when you have no control over the future whatsoever, there is no point in worrying about it. Because all your worry does is make things harder, so no one benefits. If it happens, it happens, and there's nothing you can do or think to change that. If it doesn't, then you wasted your time worrying about it.

      Knowing a possible future outcome doesn't give us the opportunity to alter it.

  35. boys? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but driving around with drunk girls is ok

  36. Meanwhile by Virtucon · · Score: 2

    In 60 years they'll probably have a very expensive medication you can take to moderate the effects of the disease. That's the way it's going it seems in Big Pharma, they won't cure you but they'll milk you for a very expense prescription for the rest of your life.

    In the meantime, this parent should be taken out and flogged mercilessly because you've now instilled a fear in your child no matter how you try and mask it. You'll now treat that child differently because you view them differently. This whole 23andme bullshit is another way to separate you from your money for not a lot of benefit. Now ancestry.com is using it so you can find your genetic roots as well. You may as well go to the Mall and get your Biorhythm chart built out for you because you're born with a set of genes and unless there are cures for all these things that are genetically linked, knowing that you'll die at a certain time or have a certain disease has more meaning later on in life and will create unnecessary worry and burden on you and your loved ones. While you're on this planet with it's dysfunctional economies and governments where war is preferrable to peace, enjoy life to its fullest and every day of your life because you could also get run over by a truck walking across the US on an honor walk for your son.

    --
    Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    1. Re:Meanwhile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're not just offering a service that tells you your chance of getting diabetes or Alzheimer's, they're doing that for what it's worth, pointing out what markers you inherited (you don't get a full genome copy, yet) and they provide the same service as ancestry.com, except with potentially more accuracy as the field grows. Perhaps someone who dropped the $100 can confirm all this.

  37. Teach Your Kids RIGHT! by BoRegardless · · Score: 1

    Education on relative risks is crucial to rational living. What is your daughter most likely to get & WHEN?

    When people are in their prime years, the CDC says 120 million US citizens have STDs; 1 out of 3 adults or more. 1 out of 3 will get heart disease, kidney & pancreas/diabetes. All of these can severely degrade ones ability to live & work and kill prematurely.

    So what does your daughter really need to focus on to avoid MAJOR problems in her prime productive years.

  38. used the kid as article fodder by vpness · · Score: 1

    as a parent, I'm horrified the author whored out her 5 year old for this article. Her article will still be readable on the internet, 15 years from now when her now 5 year old, pre kindergarten kid is a young adult. Her future adult's prospective employers, prospective spouses, etc, will all be able to read her DNA results. If the author wanted to share about herself ... especially as her child isn't genetically hers ... that'd be fine. Imagine her writing about her significant other, without his consent ? 'oh yea, my hubby has a marker for testicular cancer, sucks being him.' Guess that's the pandoras box that genetic testing opens up, exposing privacy of this kid without their ability to have a clue what they were consenting to.

    1. Re:used the kid as article fodder by koan · · Score: 1

      This is the power of marketing "parental concern", the energy behind a mothers (parents) concern for his/her offspring generally out weighs "common sense" leading to poor choices for her child.

      But it's all done in good faith right?

      --
      "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
  39. at the current rate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    of genetics research.. it won't be long before MEN are OBSOLETE, and women can be fertilized with artificially created, genetically-superior sperm...

    (some might argue that men are already obsolete.....)

    1. Re:at the current rate by koan · · Score: 2

      Or women could be made "obsolete" (whatever that means).
      Because if I have the tech readily available to "artificially create" to produce "Superior Sperm" (whatever that means) then it's not to much of a stretch that I could also use an "artificial womb" or artificial surrogate.

      In any case, it's always amusing when people begin to question the way Mother Nature designed things. (yes I am aware that my writing implies a conscious effort on Natures part and clashes with my latter comment.)
      As though somehow Man could do it better, think about it, we arose from a perfect system only to question it, and there in lies the seed of failure that we sow so often.
      It is difficult for me to escape the human centric view espoused by the failed religions of Judaism, Catholicism, and Islam, if I have ever escaped it.
      But like Spinoza, I too believe that Nature (God as Spinoza defined) is perfect (in the sense that it follows the laws that govern), it had to be, that only Man is flawed and therefore interprets Nature as wrong or failed.

      --
      "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
  40. Hmmm by koan · · Score: 1

    While it's nice to have the tech, I have to wonder again about abuses.
    It seems (to me) nothing can be celebrated without also considering who will be abusing the system.

    The 5 yo doesn't grasp the implications of her DNA being documented (if any) and I doubt the mother could even if you explained it to her, she sees only her daughters health.
    That's why marketing people choose to sell things of a dubious nature using "parental concern".

    There was an article earlier about people with the tendency to see the negative in any given situation, that's me to the tee.
    I have to factor that attitude into all my important decisions.

    So am I a genetic worry wart over non-issues or does anyone else feel like "DNA testing" and "obamacare" will some how wind up being abused or as a tool of oppression or segregation?

    I'm not saying "don't ever do these things" I just feel beset with the constant feeling that those in power will manipulate and monetize *EVERYTHING*, which leads to the state of "we can't have nice things".

    --
    "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
  41. Mammograms are the same way by sirwired · · Score: 1

    There are two main types of cancers Mammograms detect:

    A slow-growing type you'd be able to notice yourself (because of the lump) before it's too late
    The fast-growing type where treatment is largely futile, as it starts spreading before it can be caught by a mammogram.

    There ARE some cancers detected where mammograms are useful, but the cost of the scans, biopsies, and worry for all the false positives mean it's an awful expensive (in more ways than one) way to save lives.

  42. To be fair, the advice is useful by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Having two copies of the risk allele and being female do increase your chances, but the best advice is to avoid stress so throw away the report.

    Eat a varied diet, get mild to moderate exercise, and use your brain.

    But avoid stress and get enough sleep (clears out toxins in your brain, and the failure of the clearance mechanism is linked).

    Probably die from slipping in the bathtub - you're at far more risk of a heart attack than AD, quite frankly. The above advice works for that too, with the addition of eating red meat less often and having some fish in your diet.

    Look - news flash - you're going to die at some point. That's a given.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:To be fair, the advice is useful by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      I should point out that Apolipoprotein E genetic assessments are fairly tricky, and we find the ones on most chips are close to useless, so we do them in our own genetics lab at the UW ADRC at the VA center.

      But the advice is still good.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  43. Re:Prostate screening discussion yesterday with do by Rich0 · · Score: 1

    My understanding is that the course of action if there is a positive screening result is worse on average for a patient than getting prostate cancer, when adjusted for the various risks. The treatment has risks of complications, and the risk of actually getting prostate cancer is low, so you're actually better off ignoring it.

    It isn't about ignoring cancer - it is about ignoring a likely false positive when the reaction to the test is likely to cause other problems.

  44. Re:Prostate screening discussion yesterday with do by EmperorArthur · · Score: 1

    Times change.

    It used to be that Appendectomies were done for almost no reason at all.

    --
    So lets pretend that we've just completed writing this code, as opposed to having just completed sabotaging it -Altera
  45. Re:Prostate screening discussion yesterday with do by Rich0 · · Score: 1

    1. your doctor is an idiot

    Actually, there are MANY doctors who question the value of prostate screening. If you get a positive result, you aren't necessarily going to get cancer, but you WILL end up getting treatment. The treatment is not without its own risks. So you have the low risk of getting cancer and dying on the one hand, and the much higher risk of having other problems as a result of treatment on the other hand.

    It isn't a clear-cut decision, and most patients probably aren't really given all the facts. You'd be amazed at how few modern treatments actually have clinical evidence to back them in terms of better outcomes. Sure, somebody who gets a bypass might live 10 more years, but what would have happened if they didn't get the bypass, and how many die from complications/etc? Bypass surgery probably isn't a good example there, but there are many of modern treatments that lack any proof that they actually result in any meaningful improvement of life. That doesn't mean that they don't - often nobody bothers to ask the question.

  46. Machine of Death by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You may be interested in a collection of short stories called "Machine of Death." All the stories share a premise: there exists a machine which will tell you how you will die with 100% accuracy, though usually cryptically (e.g. old age could mean your own age, or you're hit by a car driven by a geezer whose driving ability is reduced by his age). Free digital copy here: http://machineofdeath.net/ebook

    Some pretty thought provoking stuff, not to mention good fiction.

  47. Statistical probabilities tell you... by Gavin+Scott · · Score: 1

    Statistical probabilities tell you EVERYTHING ABOUT EVERYONE and yet NOTHING ABOUT ANYONE.

    Yes, if you take 1,000 people like your daughter then of those who live to age 65 or whatever, just about 550 of them are going to get Alzheimer's.

    But each individual will have an ACTUAL rate of the disease of exactly 0% or 100%, and that 55% chance actually gives you NO information about which you will be.

    And without those gene variations, she still might have a 10% say chance of getting the disease.

    Behind the screen the DM rolls the dice. You don't get to see the results of the roll. Anyone who has played a D&D like game, or something like World of Warcraft which is so dependent on dice (random number generators) for the outcome of events, will know that it's hopeless to think too much about what the next roll of the dice will bring, because when you're rolling a lot of numbers between 1 and 100 on a regular basis, you're going to get numbers like 1,2,3 and, 98, 99, and 100 all the time, and you absolutely cannot develop any sort of intuition based on probability.

    So lots of people with 55% chances will not get the disease, and lots of people with 10% chances will.

    Even when your risk factor is 95%, there's no guarantee, and you should not be "surprised" if you turn out to have it happen to you after you thought you could just round the probability to the nearest value of 0 or 100.

    People hate uncertainty. Given a probability most people will NEED to decide at that point whether the event will happen or not, because they can't stand to go through life in suspense. They will ask you "Ok, so that means I will get the disease?" when it means nothing of the sort.

    A 55% chance to get terrible disease by age 65 is just NOT a reason to change your lifestyle IMHO.

    For a good dose of reality, take 100 people age 65 and have them get their 23 and Me tests done and watch while they laugh at all the things they were at higher risk for that they DIDN'T get and all the things they were at low risk for that they DID get. If you do this (even for one sample, give a 23 and Me gift certificate to an older relative and see how much their results make you worry less) chances are it will make you worry about probability a lot less.

    Statistics are great for determining insurance rates and public health policy, but they DO NOT ACTUALLY GIVE YOU ANY INFORMATION about whether YOU as a single individual will come out one way or the other.

    There are a few "completely penetrant" genetic diseases (hemophilia, etc.) where if you have the gene then you WILL GET the disease. But almost everything 23 and Me tells you is about probabilities which are much less than certain and honestly nothing to get too worked up about.

    G.

  48. Try before you buy it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually, I thought the trend would be to perhaps test the kid before adopting him.

    I know this sound harsh but, I just had a baby myself and it is terrifying to think of all the things that can possibly go wrong. Having the ability to do a full DNA scan before having/adopting a baby would be a great thing.

  49. 65 years of warning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That might be long enough to get the kid signed up to Obama Care before it is repealed and they have a preexisting condition that is no longer covered.

  50. Mod Don Taylor Up! by Geste · · Score: 1

    If you weren't looking to be comforted and did want to be modded "Funny", I guess I should get the joke, but Taylor offers the sanest comment in the whole oiece. Let's repeat it: ' Worry more about the fact that when she's a teenager she might be driving around in cars with drunk boys.' Yup, something that has an unfortunately high chance of happening which will kill your teenager dead or destroy their life that you can actually try to prevent.

  51. Betting the odds. by godel_56 · · Score: 1

    "The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, but that's the way to bet.", as Damon Runyon said.

    If you've got a 55% chance of Alzheimer's, you'd be foolish not to make at least some adjustments to your life, but a young kid doesn't need to know those facts just now. You can leave it until she's a young adult to tell her.

    One thing she might do when she decides to have kids is use embryo selection to weed out the bad genes, so her children aren't burdened with the same worry.

  52. Other lifestyle-related changes from DNA test by billstewart · · Score: 1

    Some genetic test results are interesting but aren't something you can do much about; others are things you should pay attention to. 23&me says I've got a higher-than-average risk of Type 1 Diabetes (dodged that) and a lower risk of Type 2 (which tends to develop in middle age and is strongly influenced by diet.) If it were the other way around, I'd hopefully be a lot more serious about diet and exercise than I am currently. (Like most American adults, I need to lose weight, but at least I don't need to be taking insulin or the various things they give you before that to keep my blood sugars in line.)

    On the other hand, I'm apparently also at risk for male pattern baldness (who'd have guessed?) Not much I can do about that besides wear hats.

    I know some people whose DNA testing results said they were more or less sensitive to commonly-used medicines, which says that if they end up taking them they should let their doctors know so they can adjust dosages or choose alternative drugs.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  53. Useful information by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    Now the kid will be highly motivated to start a career as a researcher on Alzheimer disease.

  54. doing brain games and more math by Mirar · · Score: 1

    "doing brain games and more math" -- please do this to your kid regardless of testing and test results. :/