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Scientists Say Climate Change Is Damaging Iowa Agriculture

Hugh Pickens DOT Com writes "Radio Iowa reports that 155 scientists from 36 colleges and universities in Iowa are jointly issuing a call for action against global warming and calling on the US Department of Agriculture to update its policies to better protect the land. 'The last couple of years have underscored the fact that we are very vulnerable to weather conditions and weather extremes in Iowa,' says Gene Takle, director of the Climate Science Program at Iowa State. Both years were marked by heavy spring rains followed by droughts that damaged Iowa's farmland. 'This has become a real issue for us, particularly with regard to getting crops planted in the spring,' says Takle adding that Iowa had 900,000 acres that weren't planted this year because of these intense spring rains. 'Following on the heels of the disastrous 2012 loss of 90% of Iowa's apple crop, the 2013 cool March and record-breaking March-through-May rainfall set most ornamental and garden plants back well behind seasonal norms,' says the Iowa Climate Statement for 2013 . 'Iowa's soils and agriculture remain our most important economic resources, but these resources are threatened by climate change (PDF)." When the Iowa climate change statement was first released in 2011, 44 Iowa scientists signed on and last year's statement was signed by 137 Iowa scientists. "It's easy to set up a straw-man argument, to say, 'Oh, well climates always change; there have been changes in the past. This might just be natural,' " says David Courard-Hauri. "And often that gets played on the Internet as, 'Maybe scientists haven't thought about the fact that there have been natural changes in the past and maybe this is related.' " Of course scientists have thought about that possibility, says Courard-Hauri, but the evidence strongly suggests the climate is changing faster than could be expected to happen naturally."

19 of 444 comments (clear)

  1. So we all migrate to iowa then. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I take it that they're going to allow us to adapt to climate change this way rather than have to, you know, stop polluting.

  2. 1. Legalize Regulated Marijuana Cultivation by Freshly+Exhumed · · Score: 1, Insightful

    2. Profit!

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  3. They didn't think this through by Shadow+of+Eternity · · Score: 3, Insightful

    More or less the entire scientific community of the planet has been in a consensus about this for most of the last decade or two and our government still does not give a fuck. Iowa is not going to accomplish by itself what the whole freaking world didn't all together. The only way we'll ever start making progress on climate change is if somebody finds a way to outspend big oil, the car manufacturers, and every other petro-lobby.

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  4. Damn tree huggers by yusing · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The first Earth Day took place on April 22, 1970, to " to create awareness for the Earth's environment and to encourage conservation efforts."

    The phrase "Damn tree huggers" has been heard ever since. Yeah, even in Iowa. So, 40 years of deliberate ignorance and acrimony is coming home to roost? Tough grid.

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    1. Re:Damn tree huggers by pitchpipe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So, 40 years of deliberate ignorance and acrimony is coming home to roost? Tough grid.

      Shit. Not only do we see the promotion of ignorance and acrimony on the far right coming home to roost in the area of climate change, we see it in a general distrust of experts no matter the field. Look at the latest government financing 'crisis'. Most of those on the far right were in favor of a government default on the debt. They do not believe the consensus of economists that the results would be really bad. Also, look at vaccines, we're starting to see the results of all of the people who believe that somehow vaccines are harmful so they don't get their kids vaccinated.

      The promotion of ignorance was a useful tool for some of the ruling class to promote their agenda, but now it's really starting to bite them in the ass. Unfortunately it's biting all of us in the ass.

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  5. Re:You're an idiot... by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When the overwhelming majority of scientists working in fields related to climatology say "AGW is real", and even the very small number of researchers working in fields related to climatology who are publicly skeptical rarely if ever actually publish papers in journals backing up their skepticism, I have to say, seeing some random AC on /. posting links to notorious denier sites doesn't exactly convince me that said AC actually a. knows what the fuck he's talking about, b. cares about what the fuck he's talking about, or c. is ever going to be willing to even consider really actually fucking learning a fucking thing about what he's talking about.

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  6. Re:You're an idiot... by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You know what's awkward for the deniers?
    When you talk about the ozone layer.

    The same people who said "if we stop using halons and CFCs, we can fix the hole in the ozone layer"
    are the ones saying "hey, this global warming stuff is a problem"

    Unlike the denial industry, the scientists have already been proven correct once.

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  7. Re:Except the IPCC has just admitted it ain't warm by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Make what the fuck public? Jesus, fucktard, the evidence, the models, all of it out there.

    How about you actually go look, instead of hiding up your own ass and only visiting denier sites that function as you're echo chamber.

    You have absolutely no fucking idea what you're talking about, and worst of all, you think that's a good thing.

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  8. Don't Tell Anyone But Change is Already Here. by BoRegardless · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We have had a 50 meter rise in sea level in about 20,000 years. Does that give ANYONE a clue? Do you think any government could have stopped that?

    Egypt was the most powerful nation on earth about 5000 years ago because of its fabulous growing regions. They are now desert caused by NATURAL climate change. Could any government reverse that change?

    Based on lack of Sunspots of late, we may have an inordinately cold hard winter (climate change?) and some areas in the upper midwest already had 20,000 steers freeze to death. Climate change? Well, the same thing happened back in the 1960s, so was it climate change? Tell me when the next Maunder Minimum will occur? No solar scientist knows if or when. We still don't understand the long term variations of climate due to the variability of the Sun's output. Vary the sun up or down .01-.02% and the earth has large changes.

    Scientists afraid of losing their job don't necessarily want to publish papers that go against the grain of politics. To do so may eliminate one's income.

    There are damn good reasons to eliminate pollution where they occur, but the U.S. is not going to eliminate Asia's soot, carbon and heavy metals and chemical pollution. About 25% of the Los Angeles air pollution was noted in the paper recently to be from Asia/China. The US is NOT going to stop that by spending large sums in the US.

    If we start spending massive sums before we really understand what is needed or even after, we may doom society to merely working for the government bureaucrats on a futile search for "stability" that can never be reached meaning we will all be serfs to an omnipresent government.

  9. Iowa by Tailhook · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Iowa agribusiness has been cultivating more land than ever due to high commodity prices. Between 2001 and 2011 Iowa went from under 1700 million bushels of corn to over to almost 2400 million, while soybean is nearly the same during that interval.

    We did not become 40% more efficient at growing corn since 2000. That growth represents more land use; land that was considered marginal when commodity prices were low is now viable. Marginal means flood plain, land with poor drainage or limited access to water. What's actually happened here is that since the marginal land is now in the rotation, farmers incur higher risk of big losses during outlier years.

    Two bad years after apparently 10 good years (at least) is not Climate. It's weather. And "Weather Is Not Climate." Or so I'm told whenever we get a cold spell.

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  10. Re:Agribusiness by cayenne8 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Their weather conditions may be one problem, but one problem that is gonna grow to possibly an even more DIRE problem, is the soil nutrition depletion...due to the way out agribusiness is working up there, to using almost a mono-culture of planting the same fields over and over again with same couple of products, mostl 'dent' corn (I think is the name of it)....and wheat.

    We're mostly growing crops that nutritionally not the best for our population, and by not rotating in crops of different nature (how about more green leafy veggies or other veggies that can be eaten fresh and not processed 1400 different ways before consumption?) or allowing fields sufficient time to recover...the soil depletion will likely be the death of the food basket section of the US.

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  11. Re:not the issue by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yes, that's the only way, and fortunately that's not going to happen. When all is said and done, if you could give people a choice between driving their cars and economic growth now, and a few degrees warmer temperatures and a few feet of sea level rise, they are going to prefer driving and growth

    Maybe you shouldn't speak for anyone but yourself.

    I'll bet the same argument was once made when it came to not just shit in the street but to dig a hole out back.

    And the bit about "economic growth" is bullshit. The only "growth" that ignoring climate change guarantees is that of the bank accounts of a handful of energy companies.

    Global warming is inevitable and we better just learn to live with it.

    Did you learn to live with a 640k limit on address space? It appears as though you have learned to live with a very dim view of humanity's ability to innovate. "Solar energy isn't any good and we just need to learn to live with it" and, "Internal combustion engines are here to stay and we just need to learn to live with it" and, "Pumping toxic chemicals into the ground water under extreme pressure is how we're going to keep the lights on and we just need to learn to live with it".

    I will never understand why there is a small but vocal cadre of tech nerds who for some reason believe that we have reached the absolute zenith of technological innovation when it comes to energy, but will gladly engage you in a discussion of the best types of interstellar drives to power ships for colonization of deep space.

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  12. Because science are not plitics by aepervius · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Stop saying there is no consensus. There is a quasi consensus *on the science*. Once politics , denier, and teh conservative STARTS tio admit that point and stop trying to denie it with all their strength, we MAY take a step toward a solution. But as long as news media trump up some fake "let both side speaks" as if there were two side of the debate, and all the associated shenanigan to refuse admit the science is real, there cannot be any step toward a solution as long as people/politician deny the science. Once that hurdle is gone, solution will be found. But we haven't gone past that step.

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    1. Re:Because science are not plitics by gottabeme · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's heartbreaking to see irrational rants like this get modded +4 insightful. Not only is it irrational, but it's full of lies!

      1. The consensus is a farce. Cook, et al was a premeditated lie. Did you fall for it?

      2. Science is based on reproducible, falsifiable hypotheses. Computer models != reproducible real-world results.

      3. You don't even try to disguise your irrationality, you put it on blatant display:

      But as long as news media trump up some fake "let both side speaks" as if there were two side of the debate

      Ah, yes, there cannot be two sides to the issue! We all agree on it! There's consensus! No one disagrees! That's unacceptable! The idea that there are dissenting opinions is just a made up lie! They're all fake! Those filthy deniers!

      And that line of "reasoning" gets +4 Insightful. It's as bad as Obama ordering the Park Service to "make life as difficult for people as possible," and then asking for stories about how the Republicans made life difficult for people. Not even a hint of subtlety, but the sheep just lap it up like hungry animals.

      This is why mob mentality and groupthink (i.e. "consensus") is so dangerous. It's why Constitutional amendments require supermajorities. Even hundreds of years ago, wise people recognized the dangers of fads and the "prevailing winds" of the times (actually even thousands of years ago; see e.g. Eph 4:14).

      This is why we need strong, principled leadership that isn't based on whatever is popular at the time. Going along with what's popular is what led many thousands of average human beings to commit unspeakable atrocities under the leadership of evil people during World War II. But going against what was popular, against what had been done before, is what led to the creation of a nation that is founded upon a document explicitly declaring the right of all human beings to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

      Some will probably complain that I'm making a nonsensical rant, bouncing from "science" to history to religion to politics--but the point is that we need to live and make judgments based on sound principles, rather than being "tossed to and fro by the waves and carried about by every wind of doctrine, by human cunning, by craftiness in deceitful schemes."

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      "Those who consume the bulk of goods are those who make them. We must never forget this secret of our prosperity."
  13. Re:You're an idiot... by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Hint : IT WASNT A THEORY

    I guess you're unaware of what a theory is. Theories of gravity are still theories despite being confirmed to a lot of decimal places for the regimes where they apply. The speculated effect of surface emitted CFCs on the ozone layer is a theory.

    Any rational person would be concerned about the lack of good data collection before the era of satellites. This problem cripples all of climate research.

    I find it interesting how people babble about how bad "deniers" are while simultaneously demonstrating profound ignorance of scientific matters.

  14. Re:Except the IPCC has just admitted it ain't warm by volmtech · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Has anyone published a comprehensive plan for world-wide replacement of fossil fuels? One that address the loss of the benefits of fossil fuels. Much of the quadrupling of the population of Africa in the last 50 years was fed by the over production of subsidized Western farms. A self impoverish West will not be sending food anywhere. India and China will not re-impoverish themselves, who is going to make them?

    Posters on another thread voiced the dangers of a world wide economic collapse from an American debt default. The American money machine runs on oil, sun beams and unicorn farts will not power it.

  15. Re: You're an idiot... by techno-vampire · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm getting sick of chaos being used as the trump card to invalidate any measure that doesn't meet the expected values.

    You aren't the only one. It was clear to me the moment the AGW High Priests invoked chaos to explain what was happening that they'd made it impossible to falsify their claims because if things go the way they predict, it's considered to be proof that they're right, and if it doesn't, they just invoke chaos. IANACS, but to me, at least, ever since they started explaining inconvenient events with chaos, AGW became, as Popper would phrase it, a meaningless noise.

    That being said, I do think that cutting back on CO2 emissions is a good thing and that the farmers in Iowa should be taking better care of their topsoil, because that's just common sense, and AGW has nothing to do with it.

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  16. Re:You're an idiot... by Gavrielkay · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Do you even know what a scientific theory is? Do you understand that a theory doesn't actually have to graduate to anything more? A scientific theory is a statement that describes all current known evidence and is contradicted by none. Furthermore, a theory should be able to predict the results of new experiments in the same field. There is no such idea as "just a theory" in science because a theory is a very powerful and well vetted tool. It is entirely different than the use of the word in the vernacular.

    Satellites are not the only means of collecting climate data. Ice cores go back tens of thousands of years and even human recorded history goes back thousands of years.

  17. Re:Agribusiness by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Wouldn't growing a fodder crop like wheat be the same as fallow?

    Negative, you need a nitrogen fixing crop like Alfalfa, Soybeans, etc...

    Wheat is pretty much the definition of a 'depleting crop'.

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