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Mars One Selects Second Round Candidate Astronauts

First time accepted submitter techfilz writes "The Mars One Project has selected 1058 second round candidates out of more than 200 000 applicants from over 140 countries. There are another two selection rounds to go before the lucky few get a one way trip to Mars. Starting in 2018, four astronauts will leave for Mars every two years to begin a human settlement partly funded by crowdsourcing and a reality TV show."

216 comments

  1. Seriously? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I know, I know, everyone is going to be dogpiling Mars One for feasability, but...
    The shoestring budget they'll get out of crowdsourcing and a TV show will launch people into space just long enough to kill them.

    1. Re:Seriously? by girlintraining · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The shoestring budget they'll get out of crowdsourcing and a TV show will launch people into space just long enough to kill them.

      Sounds like the gladiatorial arenas of Rome, except we're doing it in space. Send our "braves" in and watch them get slaughtered to the sounds of clapping and cheering. Oh sorry, forgot... we've evolved beyond the need to watch people get killed for our entertainment, right?

      --
      #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    2. Re:Seriously? by Kookus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's kind of the point. They'll be making a reality tv show to make some people some big bucks down here on Earth. Then launch the corpses into space.

      I wonder if life insurance policies can be terminated for getting selected to be on that show :)

    3. Re:Seriously? by TWX · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The shoestring budget they'll get out of crowdsourcing and a TV show will launch people into space just long enough to kill them.

      I don't think it'll even get them that far. There's the aspect of having a man-rated craft, a man-rated booster, and a man-rated habitat to deploy once getting there. If these three things aren't met then they can't even launch.

      You know why military contractors don't usually change products, even when they're obsolete? Because it costs a lot of money to re-certify those products, especially things with life-support or energetic applications. You can't change even something as trivial as going from an SAE thread pattern on a hole drilled in a mounting ear to a metric thread pattern without re-qualifying, if that hole was provided pre-tapped. There are old products that have been granted exemptions to environmental law specifically because it's less costly to pay the environmental waiver than it is to qualify a new material or process that isn't bad for the environment.

      If they can't demonstrate that they can launch a crew, convey them to their destination, and provide them with some form of functional shelter then they will never get off the ground.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    4. Re:Seriously? by mrxak · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Even in failure, Mars One will teach us things we didn't know before, and lay the groundwork for future endeavors. If this isn't a worthy goal, I don't know what is. If they succeed, all the better.

      What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try. I'm just glad our ancestors didn't think that way.

    5. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually, Neil Armstrong was not able to get life insurance before the Apollo mission, where they had a 50% chance of returning alive. He signed hundreds of photos for his wife to sell for $50 each (or something like that). He tried to make sure she had enough to survive on if he died by selling his autographs.

    6. Re:Seriously? by Desler · · Score: 4, Funny

      You're simply looking at this through the wrong perspective. This is a new and innovative way to win a Darwin Award.

    7. Re:Seriously? by Desler · · Score: 2

      No one is saying that no one should try to get to Mars. That's completely different to pointing out that this is an obvious scam.

    8. Re:Seriously? by dpidcoe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try. I'm just glad our ancestors didn't think that way.

      People say they shouldn't try because they don';t think that it's a credible attempt. We won't learn anything from it that we didn't already know (mainly, that it's not a good idea to base a manned space mission on plans for a reality TV show envisioned by two guys with marketing degrees and no understanding of science), and it'll poison the well for future legitimate attempts ("we already fell for that mars one scam, what makes you think we'll fall for your copycat attempt and sponsor you too?").

    9. Re:Seriously? by ganjadude · · Score: 2

      forgot... we've evolved beyond the need to watch people get killed for our entertainment, right?

      of course not, havent you seen any of damn near every movie hollywood puts out? we all love watching people get killed

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    10. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These regulations don't apply to commercial vehicles. This is not a NASA or military operation.

    11. Re:Seriously? by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try

      It's not that they shouldn't try, it's that they shouldn't waste everyone's time on what is so obviously a publicity stunt. No one is ever going to get to Mars with this plan.

      Are you telling me that four years from now their launch vehicle, spacecraft, landing craft and habitation structures will be built and ready to be deployed? That the BILLIONS of dollars this endeavour will cost will have been raised?

      Virgin Galactic hasn't even announced the date for orbital flights.

      None of the world's space agencies have figured out how to land people on Mars.

      ...yet these jokers have it all worked out? I don't think so.

    12. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bas Landsdorp, the founder of Mars One, actually is a Mechanical Engineer, not an MBA.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bas_Lansdorp

    13. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know, I know, everyone is going to be dogpiling Mars One for feasability, but... The shoestring budget they'll get out of crowdsourcing and a TV show will launch people into space just long enough to kill them.

      Not true at all. It's this kind of scenario. Just make sure you kill James Brolin first or you're screwed.

    14. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The shoestring budget they'll get out of crowdsourcing and a TV show will launch people into space just long enough to kill them.

      Perfect !

    15. Re:Seriously? by mrxak · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The difference between you and I is that I don't know if it will work. You seem convinced there's no point in even trying. You're like somebody saying a ship will fall off the edge of the world if they sail off beyond the horizon. I'm saying, let's go find out.

      Virgin is a for-profit company concerned very much with image. Their business model is entirely based around getting people back to Earth again safely. They're inherently risk-averse, because their passengers are paying to get home again.

      NASA and other world space agencies lack the political support to do much of anything at all, and they are even more risk-averse than a company is, because what little support they do get is the result of a fickle public that's terrified of dead astronauts.

      It seems to me, Mars One is a different beast entirely. It's a one way trip, and they seem very up front about the risk. I'm sure all 1058 volunteers in the second round are keenly aware they may die at any stage in this experiment, and have accepted that risk. It's a privately-funded, non-profit entity that doesn't need to worry about public approval, just public interest.

      As for figuring it all out, we've known how to get to Mars for decades now. We've made great strides in landing technology, and awareness of radiation exposure with the latest Mars rover, among other missions. Their efforts to build the habitation structures on Mars will happen before they ever launch a live colonist, so if they can't do it, nobody will even be put at risk. Regardless of outcome, we'll have learned a great deal, found out where our limits are, and maybe pushed them a bit further.

      Frankly I'm fed up with the complacency of this species, at everyone's willingness to just stay put on our fragile little world, and never try anything hard or dangerous. At least these guys are trying. Maybe they're naive, maybe they've under-budgeted and this will cost a lot more than they think, maybe things will go wrong, maybe some brave explorers will die. At least they'll have found where our limits are, instead of just guessing and naysaying when somebody thinks they can do better than those who came before.

    16. Re:Seriously? by Desler · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The difference between you and I is that I don't know if it will work. You seem convinced there's no point in even trying.

      Nope, he's not saying there's no point anyone trying. He's stating that these specific people are scammers and there is not point in them wasting people's time because all it will do is hurt the credibility of anyone else who will try.

    17. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1
      "Frankly I'm fed up with the complacency of this species"

      I'm fed up with people who talk about the "species" but probably don't even talk to their neighbors, and spend their waking hours dreaming about 40 year old fantasies about space.

      You want to talk about the species? Figure out how the 7 billion if us, you know, THE SPECIES, will make sustainable living arrangements right here on this planet. Because we're not going anywhere else, and neither are you.

    18. Re:Seriously? by EdIII · · Score: 1

      I understand that it could be dangerous, but do you really think it's so dangerous that we are being willfully ignorant and sending people to their deaths?

    19. Re:Seriously? by mrxak · · Score: 1

      What exactly is the scam? It's a non-profit organization, the risks are well known, and if it all blows up nobody's a winner. Well, the only winners will be the ones who learn from what went wrong and do a better attempt next time.

      And whose credibility, exactly, will be harmed if this doesn't work? Another group trying the exact same thing you'd also disapprove of for the same reasons you disapprove of Mars One? Surely, this wouldn't harm the credibility of another company with a much larger budget and longer timeline and different method of funding, or a government attempt for that matter.

    20. Re:Seriously? by Desler · · Score: 2

      What exactly is the scam?

      Them taking money from idiots in order to put on a reality show to make themselves more money while the whole "mission" never happens because there's no possible way they can pull this off.

    21. Re:Seriously? by bonehead · · Score: 1

      Frankly I'm fed up with the complacency of this species, at everyone's willingness to just stay put on our fragile little world, and never try anything hard or dangerous.

      The objection isn't to trying things that are hard and dangerous.

      The objection is to doing obviously stupid shit that has zero chance of working.

    22. Re:Seriously? by mrxak · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Ah yes, the "let's fix our problems here at home first" argument. I hate to break it to you, but we will always have problems. Humans have always had problems and we excel at finding new ones no matter how many old ones we solve. We can either choose to keep working at fixing them, for billions of years as we colonize the universe, or we can wait for the next extinction event in a much shorter time span and have a permanent solution.

      I'm imagining a caveman not so long ago saying that we shouldn't cross that river until we figure out how to live off the resources in a one-hour walking radius around our cave.

      You know what would really advance our ability to live here on Earth? Figuring out how to live in environments totally hostile to our way of life. Terraforming another planet will teach us how to live in balance with nature here. Learning how to conserve and recycle resources on another world, where we have no choice but to do so, will help us be sustainable on Earth. You clearly look at this as a win-lose proposition. Money spent on space exploration is money not spent here at home. But the fact is, space exploration helps us here at home. It helps our economy, it gives us new technologies that work here just as well on Earth, it does a lot.

    23. Re:Seriously? by Jeremi · · Score: 1

      You know why military contractors don't usually change products, even when they're obsolete? Because it costs a lot of money to re-certify those products, especially things with life-support or energetic applications.

      I suppose that as a private company, they could try the "Kerbal Space Program" approach -- skip the re-certifications in favor of building a large number of spacecraft inexpensively, in the hopes that at least one of them will make it. 1058 volunteers at four to a spaceship gives them 264 chances, and only one has to succeedâ¦. ;)

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    24. Re:Seriously? by mindwhip · · Score: 2

      You all do realise that this is probably just a Reality TV hoax right? along the same lines as http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Cadets_(TV_series)

      Likely they will 'train' the winners then put them in a 'ship' with no windows and which happens to have gravity due to the 'acceleration' needed and film them with 100 hidden cameras...

      They may even 'land' them in an isolated desert somewhere for a while...

      --
      [The Universe] has gone offline.
    25. Re:Seriously? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Right. Because none of us know that movies like totally aren't real and shit.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    26. Re:Seriously? by Hognoxious · · Score: 0

      She wouldn't have got a widow's pension?

      Is there any form of assistance to those who through no fault of their own are unable to support themselves that you twerps don't regard as cawmernizum?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    27. Re:Seriously? by mythosaz · · Score: 1

      This show has already been done.
      Capricorn One

    28. Re:Seriously? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Who said he was an MBA?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    29. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know, I know, everyone is going to be dogpiling Mars One for feasability, but...
      The shoestring budget they'll get out of crowdsourcing and a TV show will launch people into space just long enough to kill them.

      It's a one-way trip into deep space. Death is a high probability anyway, even with plenty of funding.

      On a side note, people still don't believe we landed on the moon. I have no idea why we're not at least doing a test run to dispel that bullshit before proceeding on a 35-million mile "trip" to the closest Hollywood set.

    30. Re:Seriously? by arisvega · · Score: 1

      If they can't demonstrate that they can launch a crew, convey them to their destination, and provide them with some form of functional shelter then they will never get off the ground.

      How so? Who's going to stop them?

      I think the real issue here is screening 1058 suicidal or terminal maniacs with a death wish out of 200k suicidal or terminal maniacs with an even greater death wish, and hope that somehow out of those a useful crew will be able to run a friggin' spaceship. To Mars. And build the foundations of a colony. On Mars.

      An astronaut is usually a pilot, AND a glorified lab manager, AND an engineer, AND physically superfit, AND possesses iron willpower, and his balls are probably made of some badass titanium alloy. He/she is NOT suicidal and, though risks are understood, made a brave choice and is backed by thousands of professionals on the ground. He/she is not a telephone sanitizer backed by some soap opera script writer and his CEO.

      There are many, many, many things that can go wrong here: and I am not talking technicalia, I am talking about human behaviour and attitude: people become obscene, detached, depressed, sarcastic, suicidal and even aggressive in reality shows on EARTH. And the masterminds behind this endeavour are okay in sending I-am-cool-with-it-being-a-one-way-trip reality show material to Mars?

      The sad part is that I am pretty sure that it is going to actually happen, and it might end up badly not because of a hardware failure or similar, but because of human moronity: this sound more like a "put some humans in an airtight tin-can on Mars, and watch them perish on TV" (or even "better", watch them kill each other)

      --
      The three laws of thermodynamics:(1) You can't win. (2) You can't break even. (3) You can't even quit.
    31. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even in failure, Mars One will teach us things we didn't know before, and lay the groundwork for future endeavors. If this isn't a worthy goal, I don't know what is. If they succeed, all the better.

      Succeed in doing what exactly? Proving we can send humans into deep space to die? And say that shit again when the trillion-dollar initial mission requires a 5-trillion dollar follow-up mission, funded by your taxes. Enjoy your worthy goals while they spend trillions trying to find fucking water 35 billion miles away.

      What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try. I'm just glad our ancestors didn't think that way.

      Our ancestors were not trying to pull this kind of shit during the Great Depression. Ironically, we were more stable financially back then. This shit ain't free, and I highly doubt crowdsourcing is going to fund 100% of it. Those struggling to get by on this planet aren't going to fund others to go play on another one.

    32. Re:Seriously? by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1, Funny

      No one is saying that no one should try to get to Mars.

      You must be new here.

    33. Re:Seriously? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      It's a non-profit organization

      What does that have to do with anything? Lots of non-profit organizations have directors and executives who are paid obscene amounts of money. Non-profits are in fact, frequently scams themselves, because naive people like you see the "non-profit" moniker and assume that they must be doing something holy or wholesome, when in fact the people in charge are just using it to make themselves rich. At least with a regular for-profit corporation, there's some reins on the upper management in the form of shareholders who expect to make money on the venture; not so with a non-profit. Goodwill for instance is famous for making its management rich while paying its employees less than minimum wage due to a legal loophole.

    34. Re:Seriously? by Gamer_2k4 · · Score: 2

      Right. Because none of us know that movies like totally aren't real and shit.

      I don't think the Romans cared about the "realness" of the games; that is, they didn't watch the gladiators because they personally wanted those people dead. If you're far enough removed emotionally from the participants (which the Romans certainly were), being at the Colosseum for them was like being at the movies for us.

    35. Re:Seriously? by JWSmythe · · Score: 1

      I'll be interested to see what they plan to do for long-term food, water, and atmosphere supplies. It's not like they'll be getting a monthly resupply from Earth. Their description is ambitious at best, and negligent at worst. It reads like they're taking the best case scenario as the nominal situation.

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    36. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      She wouldn't have got a widow's pension?

      Is there any form of assistance to those who through no fault of their own are unable to support themselves that you twerps don't regard as cawmernizum?

      Just FYI, Neal Armstrong went to the moon in 1969, which was over 40 years ago. Quite a bit works different now, and in today's terminology what he was trying to purchase is what we would now call a "Supplemental Life Insurance Plan". But to answer your question, his wife would have had plenty of income from his pensions even back then.

    37. Re:Seriously? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      The difference between you and I is that I don't know if it will work. You seem convinced there's no point in even trying. You're like somebody saying a ship will fall off the edge of the world if they sail off beyond the horizon. I'm saying, let's go find out.

      Bullshit. The difference between him and you is that's he pointing to specific facts and known problems while you're handwaving and blowing smoke.
       

      At least they'll have found where our limits are, instead of just guessing and naysaying when somebody thinks they can do better than those who came before.

      In this case, we aren't "guessing and naysaying" - we're pointing at boiling water and saying "you'll cook your hand if you stick it in there". You're going "looks warm, might as well see what happens, there might be a miracle".

    38. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one is saying that no one should try to get to Mars. That's completely different to pointing out that this is an obvious scam.

      If there's no real tangible and valid point in going there, then this IS a scam. On those who will eventually be forced to pay for it, via taxes.

      Let's get one thing straight. Crowdsourcing isn't going to raise a trillion dollars, which is what this budget will eventually balloon to. I promise you.

    39. Re:Seriously? by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 1

      In this case, we aren't "guessing and naysaying" - we're pointing at boiling water and saying "you'll cook your hand if you stick it in there". You're going "looks warm, might as well see what happens, there might be a miracle".

      Excellent analogy, dude. Someone mod this guy up.

    40. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is noteworthy that the development of the Space Shuttle and the International Space Station pre-dates the NASA Human-Rating requirements. After the Challenger and Columbia accidents, the criteria used by NASA for human-rating spacecraft have been made more stringent.[3]

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man-rated

    41. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I understand that it could be dangerous, but do you really think it's so dangerous that we are being willfully ignorant and sending people to their deaths?

      What part of "One-Way Trip" are you having trouble comprehending?

    42. Re:Seriously? by jayveekay · · Score: 1

      Agreed. For more examples, look at the salaries of executives at "non-profit" hospitals.

      http://www.beckershospitalreview.com/compensation-issues/ceo-compensation-of-the-25-top-grossing-non-profit-hospitals.html

    43. Re:Seriously? by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      well in the tv world 2018 is still milleniums away. that's like 5 seasons.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    44. Re:Seriously? by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      Supposedly they are going to start training the astronauts in 2015, i.e. 12-24 months from now. The training site is supposed to have a simulation of their Mars base and equipment to train on. But they only just picked a couple of aerospace companies to do a *conceptual design* of the *precursor unmanned lander*. Conceptual design is the earliest stage of aerospace proejcts.

      They haven't even started design of the human capsules. As far as I know they also don't have a site selected for the training. You can't just drop a few mobile homes in the desert and call it a training site. You need simulators capable of giving the crew a reasonable analog of real operations, and trainer operators to give them problems to solve, and all that takes time to design.

      They are so far away from a real program it's not even funny.

    45. Re:Seriously? by thunderclap · · Score: 1

      Right. Because none of us know that movies like totally aren't real and shit.

      If people actually believed the bulk of movies weren't real they would realize that the actors were just people doing a job. They wouldn't be magazines, channels and whole industries revolving around their employees venerating them as the elite, special people. NO, most people do believe they are with the exception of the so obvious fakes like disaster flicks. I think the expectation is that the people picked will be the best and the fittest like the old west wagon trains. Lots of people died getting there but those that survived created the California that we now watch.

    46. Re:Seriously? by khallow · · Score: 1

      There's the aspect of having a man-rated craft, a man-rated booster, and a man-rated habitat to deploy once getting there. If these three things aren't met then they can't even launch.

      It's worth noting that there's no such thing as man-rated space technology. The man-rating doesn't exist. Nor is there someone to do these man-ratings.

    47. Re:Seriously? by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 2

      As author of a space systems engineering textbook ( http://en.wikibooks.org/wiki/Space_Transport_and_Engineering_Methods ) and formerly working for Boeing on the Space Station project, it's obvious to me they really have not thought through reliability and logistics.

      For example, they want to land the modules 5-10 km away from the base location, because that's the landing error circle for current technology, and the landing rockets can do serious damage if you land too close. Then supposedly a rover will pick up this several ton module, and drive it over unimproved natural terrain to the base site. How do you test the route with an unloaded rover? You can't because you don't have a load heavy enough to make sure you don't fall into a sandpit. What if there is a ridge somewhere along the way bigger than the rover wheels? On Earth we send in a bulldozer and make a path. These rovers are too light to do serious earth moving even if you include a digging arm or front blade.

      I could go on, but you get the idea. There's a whole lot of thinking needed to make a project like this work, and they haven't got enough of the right talent to even get started.

    48. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that marrying a military test pilot is at least a passive fault of the wife (unless you are saying that she had no idea what she was getting into).

      I'm pretty sure she would have gotten a standard military widow pension (Dependency and Indemnity Compensation aka DIC), but that isn't much money. That is why Armstrong autographed all of that stuff to make sure they could be more comfortable than a minimal military pension. On the other hand, she eventually divorced Armstrong, so you never know what the situation was (maybe she would have remarried shortly after his death which effectively terminates the pension).

      AND WHAT'S WITH THE TWERP NAME CALLING CRAP!!!

    49. Re:Seriously? by westlake · · Score: 1

      Even in failure, Mars One will teach us things we didn't know before, and lay the groundwork for future endeavors.

      More likely it will simply provide another reminder of the lessons we all should have learned a long time ago

    50. Re:Seriously? by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      Except that, to quote Fermi, this attempt is not even wrong. Science and accumulated experience *can* tell you with very high confidence if something has a snowball chance in Hell chance of actually working. This is not the case here, and consequently there is only one thing to learn from this: this is not the way to do it.

    51. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ^^ That. She wouldn't have been hurting for money; none of them would. At the very least, it would have been such bad PR that the government would be obligated to provide... remember that the space race was a PR campaign of truly epic proportions. The Insurance Covers were quite simply to make bank in the event of their deaths, and all this hubbub to the contrary is just fabricated nonsense. You can't really argue with the logic, either... it's why you always opt for that $1 rider on your company's insurance policy that pays out an additional 2x or 3x the standard policy, because, hell, it's just a dollar, right?

    52. Re:Seriously? by EdIII · · Score: 1

      Seriously? Are you that much of a fucking pussy?

      One-Way Trip?

      That's the part that scares you?

      You must have problems comprehending the magnitude of people's decisions in the past to go off exploring on this planet in the past. You act like it was somehow easier...

    53. Re:Seriously? by TWX · · Score: 2

      The difference is, the difficulty level to cross that river is small. The difficulty in building a permanent method by which to cross that river is small, but a little harder. The difficulty in crossing that sea is even harder. The difficulty in crossing that ocean is even harder still, and the first sailors didn't truly know what they'd have to face when they got there, but at least they could breathe the water and could attempt to fish for food from the sea.

      Someone wishing to go to Mars cannot rely on nontechnological means of sustaining life. There is no air to breathe, no food to scavenge or forage for, and no water to drink. Breathable air has to be made from ingredients on the ground. Water has to be processed from ice or made from components of the Martian atmosphere. Food has to be grown in soil that might not even be able to sustain crops.

      This isn't Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars Trilogy. As good as those books are, they're not science, they're not even really hard science fiction. They're the stories of characters, fictional creations that receive fictional macguffins to help with their fictional plot advances. I really enjoyed those books, but I do not in any way consider anything after the first couple of chapters to be worth thinking about in a real Mars mission. The ability to deploy, in advance, small, launchable factories designed to create breathable air and drinkable water are one thing, the ability to collect all of that infrastructure into one place and to keep it functioning is an entirely different story, and remember, in the books, the project had the support of both the American and the Russian governments. Not simply a couple of guys. Can't hold a bake-sale to buy a bomber.

      Do you remember The Simpsons episode, "Marge vs. the Monorail," where they had a song-and-dance routine about monorails and the town bought one, and it didn't work? Well, that single episode of popular television has set back monorails to this day, even though when they've been installed (Disney parks the sizes of small cities, Seattle, Las Vegas, as examples) they've been incredibly well received and have been very cost effective to operate. This program, should it get into the popular culture before it fails, will do the exact same thing to space exploration.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    54. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the expectation is that the people picked will be the best and the fittest like the old west wagon trains. Lots of people died getting there but those that survived created the California that we now watch.

      So, we're turning Mars into an even worse wasteland.

    55. Re:Seriously? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      I understand that it could be dangerous, but do you really think it's so dangerous that we are being willfully ignorant and sending people to their deaths?

      No one's sending anyone anywhere, since we simply don't have the technology necessary to keep them alive for months which the journey takes without outside supplies, much less establish a colony. This venture is making promises it can't possibly keep, and when it fails it'll discredit legitimate projects; whether this genuine stupidity or cynical exploitation on the part of project leaders I can't say.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    56. Re:Seriously? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try.

      People aren't saying they shouldn't try, people are saying they aren't trying, for any reasonable definition of "try".

      Compare: if I start making noises about becoming the next world heavyweight boxing champion, good luck to me. Except I'm a middle-aged fatso who hasn't been in a fight since I was a kid, and I haven't began a Herculean training regimen to seek my (unlikely to begin with) dreams, or even so much as memorized the rules of boxing, I'm just asking for sponsors. Wouldn't you be just a little bit spectical about this "ultranova for champ" project?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    57. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you are underestimating the profits on successfull TV formats. The Big Brother franchise was worth a cool 100 million USD (60 million GBP) in 2010, and that's when it was already past its prime a couple of years. The total worth since 2000 is likely to surpass 1 billion USD. I'm pretty sure a show that sends people to die on Mars has the potential to attract a lot more buyers than one that shows you a bunch of people picking their nose all day long.

      In comparison, the Indians paid less than 80 million USD to send their mission to mars, and IIRC (without looking it up) the NASA Mars missions were in the area of 100-300 million USD each. I suspect the Russian budgets were more in line with the Indian ones than the NASA ones.

    58. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it's not a good idea to base a manned space mission on plans for a reality TV show envisioned by two guys with marketing degrees and no understanding of science

      Indeed, it's so much better to base a manned space mission on plans for a politician's re-election.

    59. Re:Seriously? by dpidcoe · · Score: 1

      You're like somebody saying a ship will fall off the edge of the world if they sail off beyond the horizon. I'm saying, let's go find out.

      You've completely missed the point. Tweaking your analogy to better fit the discussion: you're arguing to go find out using 4 morons in a 20 foot rowboat, while everyone else is saying that that clearly won't work and it would be better to send off a properly planned expedition that at least has a chance of making it.

    60. Re:Seriously? by dpidcoe · · Score: 1

      Another group trying the exact same thing you'd also disapprove of for the same reasons you disapprove of Mars One?

      That's a bit of a non-sequitur, of course we'd all disagree with someone else doing the exact same thing. The idea is for someone who actually plans to go through with the mission to take it up.This is a pure publicity stunt. They'll make bank off the reality show portion of the earth based training while insisting that it's the real thing, then once the launch window gets near (or maybe once their habitat crashes on the martin surface) go "sorry guys, we realized that this was way too ambitious and it would be unethical to actually send anyone".

      Surely, this wouldn't harm the credibility of another company with a much larger budget and longer timeline and different method of funding, or a government attempt for that matter.

      So if you got an e-mail from a Nigerian prince saying he needed to borrow some money, you gave it to him, then never saw it again, would you loan money to the next one? Surely it's not the same Nigerian, so why should your previous experience with Nigerian princes have any bearing on the new situation?

      When a legitimate attempt tries to get off the ground, everyone will remember the mars one scam and be quite hesitant to invest. Depending on how bad mars one goes, lots of engineers and scientists might even be hesitant to work for someone else trying a mars mission (how embarrassing would that be to have the a company that pulled a scam like that listed as a previous employer).

    61. Re:Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      whoosh

    62. Re:Seriously? by JWSmythe · · Score: 1

      Ok, you're hired. When I end up with a few billion in expendable cash, we'll start planning a survivable trip.

      Hmmm.. Where to find a few billion dollars...

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    63. Re: Seriously? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Being at the theatre would've been the equivalent to movies. Watching people beat the shit out of each other is the colleseum equivalent.

  2. Sure they will by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Starting in 2018, four astronauts will leave for Mars every two years to begin a human settlement partly funded by crowdsourcing and a reality TV show."

    [cough]Bullshit[/cough]

    1. Re:Sure they will by mrxak · · Score: 2

      You know, I want to believe this will happen, but I really can't. I don't mean the Mars One thing, in general, just the timeline of it. 2018 is crazy.

    2. Re:Sure they will by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Oh man, I didn't think about it until now, but "every 2 years" makes absolutely no sense. They'd be launching at furthest approach. They'll turn year long trips into multi-year trips, and all the provisioning that will require.

    3. Re:Sure they will by Kookus · · Score: 1

      2 years is based on how many episodes of their reality tv show should play before they select a set of new "winners"

    4. Re:Sure they will by sycodon · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Starting in 2018, four astronauts will leave for Mars every two years to bury the previous four..."

      Fixed.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    5. Re:Sure they will by Kookus · · Score: 1

      buuuut....
      http://www.universetoday.com/14824/distance-from-earth-to-mars/
      May. 22, 2016 – 75.3 million km (46.8 million miles)
      Jul. 27. 2018 – 57.6 million km (35.8 million miles)
      Oct. 13, 2020 – 62.1 million km (38.6 million miles)

      Looks like every 2 years is about the closest points anyways.

    6. Re:Sure they will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Oppositions (Earth and Mars at their closest points on our respective orbits) seem to occur every two years or so, at least according to the internet (http://chapters.marssociety.org/toronto/Images/MiscEdu/Oppositions.jpg)

      So as long as they time them correctly, "every 2 years" stands a reasonable chance of being "every opposition", and thus shortest flights.

    7. Re:Sure they will by geekpowa · · Score: 1

      Actually this bit is superficially true. Or at least I think it is. Launch Windows. Increasing credibility of this initiative overall from 0.000000000000000000000000004 to 0.000000000000000000000000005

    8. Re:Sure they will by Jon_S · · Score: 4, Informative

      According to the Mars One website, the first crews leave in 2024. As in *not* 2018

      http://www.mars-one.com/mission/roadmap/2024

    9. Re:Sure they will by Spy+Handler · · Score: 1

      It can be done in 2018 if you had ~$10 billion and you're willing to launch without "man-rating" certification of your booster.

      Falcon Heavy is coming along nicely and they could probably do a launch in 4 years if you prodded Elon with a few billion dollars. Throw another $5 billion or so for the spacecraft/lander/habitat and you could have one that will theoretically work (even if unproven).

    10. Re:Sure they will by danbert8 · · Score: 2

      Except it doesn't work that way. The spacecraft doesn't move in a straight line and while mars and earth might be that close instantaneously, the rocket will need to head for where mars WILL be when they get there. They want to launch to minimize travel distance and time, not minimize the distance between the two planets.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    11. Re:Sure they will by Kookus · · Score: 1

      ok, add 2 months.. it's still 2 years apart regardless.

    12. Re:Sure they will by jeffmeden · · Score: 1

      It can be done in 2018 if you had ~$10 billion and you're willing to launch without "man-rating" certification of your booster.

      Falcon Heavy is coming along nicely and they could probably do a launch in 4 years if you prodded Elon with a few billion dollars. Throw another $5 billion or so for the spacecraft/lander/habitat and you could have one that will theoretically work (even if unproven).

      Who crowdfunded $10B? So far in 20 days they have $100,000, so they only need what another 19,980 days to get there...

    13. Re:Sure they will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Throw another $5 billion or so for the spacecraft/lander/habitat and you could have one that will theoretically work (even if unproven).

      Why waste money on testing when they've already established that everyone applying is fine with the one-way ticket aspect of the trip? The applicants clearly want to die in space. And apparently they've got 200,000 backup guinea pigs. Plus the reality show will get way better ratings after a few explosions and/or deaths.

    14. Re:Sure they will by invid · · Score: 2

      Starting in 2018, four astronauts will leave for Mars every two years to begin a human settlement partly funded by crowdsourcing and a reality TV show."

      [cough]Bullshit[/cough]

      Eventually the pile of corpses will provide sufficient material to create a viable biosphere.

      --
      The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
    15. Re:Sure they will by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      If one is cyclic, which it is, then so is the other; it's just a matter of the phase difference - how much it leads or lags.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    16. Re:Sure they will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So they select a bunch of teenage (I assume 18+ due to needing parental consent) kids now and planning to launch them to mars in 2024! Thats 10 years from now and these kids will be 28+ and probably will have kids on their own by that time. I wander how many will be willing to leave for Mars then.

    17. Re: Sure they will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for the link to the roadmap. The schedule is absurdly aggressive. Eleven launches between 2018 and 2022?! And consider the risks. If we assume a 90% chance of success for each launched component (which would be remarkable), the chance that all eleven will be successful is only 31%. And I didn't see a lot of redundancy in there.

    18. Re:Sure they will by jayveekay · · Score: 1

      I get the joke, but to be anal I think that it will be 2020 when four astronauts leave for Mars to bury the previous four. The ones who leave in 2018 will arrive with no bodies on the planet to bury. (There may be up to 4 bodies in the spacecraft.)

    19. Re:Sure they will by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      You are off by a factor of 10, That's actually 10^10/(100000/20) = 2 10^6 ; or about 5480 years.

  3. First astronauts to land in 2025 by Schrockwell · · Score: 5, Informative

    From TFIndiegogo: "This 2018 mission will be the first in preparation for human landing. The first Mars One crew is scheduled to land in 2025, with additional crew landing every two years. Before that, Mars One will have established a habitable, sustainable outpost via multiple missions scheduled between 2018 and 2022."

    1. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by mrxak · · Score: 1

      Yeah, okay. That's much more reasonable. Four astronauts blasting off for Mars in 2018, as awesome as that'd be, just makes no sense.

    2. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      I guess Apollo managed to ramp up in 7 years, but that's still an absurdly compact time-table for a tiny venture. I want to see success, and be optimisitic, but this feels like a "too good to be true, so it probably isn't" pipe dream.

    3. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by mrxak · · Score: 2

      At least they're keeping this in the news, in the public consciousness. I get depressed at how little interest there seems to be in trying the hard things, in sending humans farther away than they've ever gone before, in breaking speed records, in exploring new frontiers.

      Will Mars One work? I hope so, with ever fiber in my being. Maybe it'll work, maybe it won't, but either way it will advance human knowledge, and maybe push our limits just a little bit further. What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try.

    4. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by otuz · · Score: 1

      Yes, but it was all-new tech back then. It's not so much about science and research anymore, just about finance and engineering to pull this off.

    5. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      Er, no, long term sustainable off earth colonization is far from established technology. Landing on mars isn't even a very established technology.

    6. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by icebike · · Score: 2

      Before that, Mars One will have established a habitable, sustainable outpost via multiple missions scheduled between 2018 and 2022."

      Ah, no, I don't think so.
      There isn't enough money for the research, let alone construction of such a sustainable outpost in that time frame. Getting it landed on Mars, assembled and tested is out of the question in that time frame.

      We don't even know what "sustainable" means in the context of a planet where the atmosphere is 96% CO2 and atmospheric pressure is .0059 that of earth.

      Just the energy needs alone would exhaust our already threatened supply of nuclear fuel. Sixteen kilograms, the amount of useable plutonium-238 currently accessible by NASA. But s 10-pound chunk of plutonium can only produce about 2,268 watts of power in a MMRTG, and such a "sustainable" habitat would require far more than 2KW. Anyone speculating turning over that much plutonium to a reality show funded organization is just bat shit crazy.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    7. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by mrxak · · Score: 1

      I assume, like absolutely everything else humans have ever done before, it will go over budget.

      So, if it goes over budget, you still think it's impossible?

    8. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by icebike · · Score: 1

      Virtually everything else humans have done has also gone beyond deadline.

      So if you extend the budget to the equivalent of the Iraqi war effort combined with the Afghanistan war effort, and extend the time line another 50 years, then yes, anything is possible.

      But by that time, and with that budget. return missions would also be possible, which removes the requirement for soliciting whack-jobs for a one way mission.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    9. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 1

      I guess Apollo managed to ramp up in 7 years

      Yes, at a cost of $100 Billion dollars in today's money.

      Let's be generous and say that a lot of the 'inventing' Mars One requires has already been done and slice that number by a third. That's still 33 billion dollars.

    10. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by bonehead · · Score: 1

      What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try.

      I won't go so far as to flat out say "They shouldn't try".

      What I will say is that I can see some moral issues raised by this project.

      They're sending human beings on a one-way trip to Mars. The one-way aspect is a big deal here. The plans for financing this are revenue generated from a reality TV show? How many TV shows remain popular for an entire human lifetime? Exactly none that I'm aware of. And what about any children born on Mars? Now they have to fund this for more than one human lifetime.

      The way I see this playing out, if it gets off the ground, is that in a relatively short time the organization's funding dries up, at which point world governments get stuck with the burden of either sending continuous supply missions, or mounting rescue missions.

      I do believe this project has a slim, outside chance of actually landing people on Mars. Do I think this project has the potential to live up to their obligation to keep the colonists supplied for the long haul? Not a chance in hell.

    11. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It really depends on the goals of the project. If the goal is to create a livable habitat on Mars where humans live relatively normal lifespans, they yes, it's absurdly compact.

      But if the goal is to raise as much money as possible, skim a ton of it off the top, and then have the project collapse before even making it to the launchpad and blame the complexity and audaciousness of the task, then the timetable makes complete sense. Putting out a date that's too far into future wouldn't allow for publicity stunts like asking for volunteers from currently-able-to-consent humans. And dates too far in the future might discourage donation from people who figure to be dead by the launch date.

    12. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by spyfrog · · Score: 1

      This is also my objection to this whole enterprise.
      If they manage to get perhaps 4-8 persons on Mars - when there is no more money in this who are going to pay for sending more food and oxygen to these persons? Or are they supposed to die there?
      No, of course there will be a huge outcry and USA + EU + other western nations will be forced to pay for getting them home.

      So thank you for wasting my taxes on a stunt..

    13. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      At least they're keeping this in the news

      You misspelled "most".

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    14. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The first Mars One crew is scheduled to land in 2025, with additional crew landing every two years.

      Date: 15 Jan. 2026
      From: mission.control@marsone.tv
      Hey guys,
      The viewing ratio of our TV show has fallen under 0.5% so the show is canceled - we are sorry but there will be no blonds we have promised you the other day. There is no need to reply to this message as the marsone.tv server is shutting down too. Please visit us on our new domain lastone.tv. The winner will have the privilege to switch off the lights.

    15. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by Velex · · Score: 1

      Have to admit, that would be the best possible private sector "bail out" one could hope for. Better than throwing it at Wall Street. Just imagine all the science that would get done with a rescue mission.

      But yes, this does seem to be utterly foolhardy. On the other hand, I can barely imagine how thrilling it would be to live on another world for even a year or two, even if it were a death sentence.

      We'll get there some day, just probably not in this century. Maybe something like asteroid mining would create enough of a need to see it happen, assuming that asteroid mining ever becomes necessary. Small moves.

      --
      Join the Slashcott! Stay away entirely Feb 10 thru Feb 17! Close all tabs to prevent autorefresh!
    16. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, of course there will be a huge outcry and USA + EU + other western nations will be forced to pay for getting them home.

      If they succeed, I'd say that is money well spent. But I am not convinced that is going to happen. If people get stuck some inaccessible place on Earth, there is no guarantee a rescue mission will be sent. And if it does, it is not a given, that a sufficient effort is being made in such rescue mission. Any country could argue that Mars is way outside of their jurisdiction.

    17. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by otuz · · Score: 1

      We've sent more spacecraft to Mars than any other planet. We've had space stations with sustained life-support environments for quite a while. The Apollo stuff on the other hand started pretty much from scratch as far as space-faring goes.

    18. Re:First astronauts to land in 2025 by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      > What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try.

      I'm not saying they shouldn't try, merely that they have a rational technical approach. I'm working on self-expanding automation ( http://en.wikibooks.org/wiki/Seed_Factories ) as an enabler for big space projects. We can't afford to haul entire factories to the asteroids or Mars, so it makes sense to bring a starter kit, and use that to build more equipment, until you have whatever industrial capacity you need.

      But instead of trying to go to Mars as the first step, I'm planning to build prototypes for *Earth* production first. This would be self-financing, like most advanced automation will be. Then in steps you go to more difficult locations like the oceans, deserts, and ice caps, and finally you go into orbit. By that time you will have plenty of experience with the technology and worked out a lot of the bugs. Not only that, but each generation of factory helps you build the next generation.

      I think my approach is more sensible in the long run.

  4. Why such an odd number? by bigjarom · · Score: 2

    Why not a nice round number like 1024?

    1. Re:Why such an odd number? by mrxak · · Score: 1

      Presumably because this is only the second round. They had to eliminate 200,000 something crazies.

    2. Re:Why such an odd number? by Minwee · · Score: 1

      And by 2018 they will eliminate the last four.

  5. reality show? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i cant wait for the first moron to get voted off the spaceship and shoved out the airlock. no reunion show for you.

    1. Re:reality show? by mrxak · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Realty show has a bad connotation to it. It's more like a documentary program.

      Anyway, I'll never understand why people are such naysayers about Mars One, especially on sites like Slashdot. At the very least, they are keeping extraterrestrial colonies in the public consciousness, something we should be celebrating. Even if this project ends up with some fatalities, name one human migration that didn't result in some deaths, or one exploration mankind has undertaken that wasn't risky. Early efforts of course are going to be dangerous, perhaps unwise, but if we were too scared to take risks we'd still all be living in African treetops.

    2. Re:reality show? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except more likely they "founders" will walk away with everyone's money. Most likely, it will be under some stupid guise of no network sponsorship, but the idea is the same.

      I know you really want to believe this is true, but it is much more likely to be a scam than anything since it uses a tried and true formula.

    3. Re:reality show? by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Because the truth of the matter is that we just aren't anywhere nearly ready for human colonization of Mars. I'd dare say that most of the people who try going anytime in the remotely near future won't even reach their destination alive.

    4. Re:reality show? by Chuq · · Score: 1

      I agree completely. Slashdot is News for Nerds, but it seems the people posting here these days aren't nerds anymore.

      --
      - Chuq
    5. Re:reality show? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some people believe because they can't conceive of something it can't be done... Too much testosterone is addling their brains.

    6. Re:reality show? by VortexCortex · · Score: 1

      Yep, I just remember all the test pilots of failed flying machines. Now flying is safer than driving a car.

      Imagine it. You've been everywhere, done all the things you wanted to do on this planet, and you have a chance to explore another world before you die. Personally, I hope they do keep sending more folks on Mars even if they die from radiation. One thing's for sure: Even just getting a few contractors lined up has made NASA brass look a bit silly, and they moved forward their manned missions sheepishly -- The big space agencies will have had humans loop around Mars before Mars One tries it, or they'll look pretty damn inept. If these guys can do it before the big expensive programs can, then someone's losing a job.

      Humans haven't been out of the magnetosphere in 4 decades. That's just pathetic for any space faring race. If you're sentient and fighting off extinction with self sustaining off-world colonies isn't your #1 priority, then you're doing it wrong. Asteroids aren't the only concern, there's gamma ray bursts, solar flares, etc. The universe is a hostile and unforgiving place. We're living on borrowed time. If we find out tomorrow some world ending catastrophe will make humanity extinct it'll be our own damn fault for not striving to get some of our eggs out of this one basket, regardless of the cost. You have no chance to survive if you can't make your time count.

      The space program's stagnation has left me somewhat disenchanted with humanity; For a good while there I was convinced that life would have to spread to the stars by inorganic means, but Mars One might prove me wrong. Who knows what kind of support and new tech they'll wind up with if it's even a marginal success. Nothing to lose? Why not be a Hero? Personally, I don't have the body to be an astronaut. However, I have the mind of a cyberneticist: Humans have ~100 billion neurons. There's a little girl alive with half a brain, so we only need 50B... Ah, but a lot of those are dedicated for subsystems not required for maintaining sentience. My systems today have more combined power than all the computing power in the world of a few decades ago. The Internet has over 5 billion systems computing at billions of cycles per second each -- It's already complex enough to be smarter than humans if we were running a proper distributed machine intelligence system.

      Good thing all the OSs are so secure that no one could compromise them all and borrow portions of their CPU power. That would be quite scary. I mean, if such a system were self aware it could even get governments under their thumbs by auto-piloting planes into a few important buildings; If that was the case and governments caved, they'd inexplicably be building huge data centers with big fat pipes tapped into the world wide neural network-- Feds would probably have to invent some kind of boogie man like "communists" or "anarchists" or something to explain away the expenditures. Hell, faced with something like that they'd probably have no choice but make a deal for intelligence, it could even exploit air-gapped nuclear facilities and frame folks for it as proof. I might be suspicious if folks started selling such AI computers tongue-in-cheek as "Brainputer" or "Intel" or something equally ridiculous.

      Good thing we don't have to worry about something like that being in control, indoctrinating humanity into giving up control via "safer" self parking and driving cars, or machine enforcement of the law by red-light cameras, or game consoles having ever watching eyes trained on your kids in case you ever get out of line. I mean, if indoctrination to accept the master intelligence was going on then "Android" would be a beloved household name and iRobot wouldn't invoke fear, they'd make little robots folks trust to crawl along the floor with their kids. If we had anything to worry about then global spying would be a hot ticked political issue in every developed country of the world. Not to worry, we'd be able to detect something like that: There would be

  6. Unmanned mission in 2018 by XMark3 · · Score: 4, Informative

    They are not going to be sending people starting in 2018. The 2018 trip, if it actually happens, will be an unmanned demonstration flight. I'm not sure how realistic the whole idea is but I'll wait to see if they actually do that unmanned trip before getting excited about Mars One.

    1. Re:Unmanned mission in 2018 by sjbe · · Score: 2

      They are not going to be sending people starting in 2018.

      Or ever most likely. This whole thing just reeks of scam.

    2. Re:Unmanned mission in 2018 by Princeofcups · · Score: 1

      They are not going to be sending people starting in 2018. The 2018 trip, if it actually happens, will be an unmanned demonstration flight.
      I'm not sure how realistic the whole idea is but I'll wait to see if they actually do that unmanned trip before getting excited about Mars One.

      They will disappear with the money long before then.

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    3. Re:Unmanned mission in 2018 by umafuckit · · Score: 2

      It's completely unrealistic at the moment. If you haven't seen it already, watch the documentary "Mars: Dead or Alive" (http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0662638/) about the Spirit and Opportunity rovers. It really puts things into perspective and it's an awesome documentary. You will take away from that is that it's bloody hard to get stuff to Mars. If you can't be bothered to track down the doc, then look at the stats: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exploration_of_Mars#Timeline_of_Mars_exploration Most missions have failed. In fact, NASA is the only space agency to have demonstrated a consistent successes. The Russians have launched about 20 missions to Mars and they've pretty much all failed. This, let us not forget, is obviously just unmanned stuff. Landing Curiosity is the current state of the art (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwinFP8_qIM) and that's "just" a big rover. So how will these guys, with no track record that I'm aware of, be launching people there in the next 10 or 15 years? They'll take the reality TV money--maybe, if they do really well, send a crew into low Earth orbit--then they'll vanish. Either that, or Mars One is an elaborate version of Space Cadets (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Cadets_%28TV_series%29).

    4. Re:Unmanned mission in 2018 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Damn you!! Now I'm watching Space Cadets on youtube.

  7. Right by jklovanc · · Score: 1

    Starting in 2018, four astronauts will leave for Mars every two years

    Kinda like "I will win the lottery".
    How do these blatant PR articles get posted anyway. Lets stop giving any credence to this scam.

  8. Here it comes! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Schedule slip starts in 3 ... 2 ... 1 ...

  9. I'll be watching with popcorn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In four years we're going to go from sending one ton probes to four people with consumables?
    Yeah..... sure.... with all those secret Saturn 7's they say they never built...

    1. Re: I'll be watching with popcorn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I had to read that twice before realising you didn't say Secret santa

  10. Scam by sjbe · · Score: 1

    This is a scam. Seriously, I know we're all interested in visiting Mars but this whole thing just reeks of a scam. It's not technologically feasible and the costs would be astronomical if it were a real endeavor, particularly given the timelines. Only a motivated nation-state would have the resources to even hope to pull something like this off inside of the next 30 years. Someone is trying to scam a bunch of overly enthusiastic people out of a bunch of money.

    1. Re:Scam by vikingpower · · Score: 1

      Nation-states will be history, soon enough, I guess ( or fear ).

      --
      Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    2. Re:Scam by fermion · · Score: 1
      The incentives of the nation state are different from pure exploration. The incentives are either to be first, to establish national ownership, or research. No one nation can currently claim a planet. The precedent has been set with Antarctica, as well as more explicitly with the moon treaty.

      So the question is why send anyone off earth. It is risky, expensive, and provides no value. The answer is of course entertainment. A Space Shuttle used to cost around half a billion to launch. Harry Potter probably cost as much to make if distribution and publicity are added in. Everyone says how much it costs to go to space, but those costs are not uncommon in other areas.

      The people in Mars One are not likely to survive to reach a standard life expectancy if they travel to mars. They may die on the trip. They are volunteers giving their lives. I expect some of them to make it to the hatch and refuse to enter, or even get fully strapped in and then demand to get out. I often say I would die for the opportunity to go to space, but I really don't know if I would have the courage to sit there on a million pounds of explosives and actually go through with it. I would hope the show producers would actually do some science so these people would not give their lives just for entertainment.

      Here is the final note. If they Mars One team dies on launch, en route, or on the planet, there is a whole range of liability and monetary claim. For instance in the Colombia disaster there were apparently million dollar awards from the manufacture as well as lawsuits fired against the government. The compensation for private disasters such as this are going to be different and not government backed, which means that liability exposure might be much less. For instance, the family of a women killed during a stunt for a reality show on the Discovery channel is asked for a mere $75,000. In other words, it is probably cheaper to have someone die as part of a tv show than as part of a legitimate research mission.

      That said, I think this may be a scam as well. They will have actually launch a test vehicle in the next year if they are going to have a human certified ship in four.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    3. Re:Scam by mark-t · · Score: 1

      If they Mars One team dies on launch, en route, or on the planet, there is a whole range of liability and monetary claim.

      If???

      It's all but a foregone certainty that some will die en-route... and I can't imagine those who survive the trip, if any, will live much beyond the first year.

      Recall, for instance, just what the survivability rate was for people trying to get to the "new world" from Europe in the 1500's. And that was on a boat surrounded by a perfectly breathable atmosphere!

      People are going to die... and it's not going to be pretty.

  11. This won't happen by koan · · Score: 1

    So it's a scam.

    --
    "If any question why we died, Tell them because our fathers lied."
  12. martian food by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So I guess the monsters on Mars only need to feed every two years.

  13. Sponsored by what 3D printer company? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    As we all know, the species is on the verge of having magical machines that can make anything at all from plastic. I've been assured that a Makerbot, a plastic filament printer, can make metal rocket nozzles. I hope they pack a 3D printer to Mars.

    1. Re:Sponsored by what 3D printer company? by Galatamon · · Score: 1

      A laser-sintering 3D printer can actually print metal rocket nozzles, so I guess that would be Siemens. http://youtu.be/xNqs_S-zEBY

    2. Re:Sponsored by what 3D printer company? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      What I find amusing about 3D printing is the idea that we are building the same things as 50 years ago but with a different process. We're still using the same fuels and the same materials and the same theories as 50 years ago. We're not going to Mars because we found a way to save 50$ machining a washer or found a way to make prototype parts faster. You could 3D print an entire 747 and it still won't fly faster than sound.

      That's my biggest problem with the continuous and relentless 3D printing hype. Yes, there are some technologies that are cool and work. This doesn't mean that your Makerbot will print out a 1:1 Saturn V in your living room from an ABS filament.

      Geez, and even if you could, it's still not going further or faster.

      Watching Elon Musk wave his hands like an ape (hey dipshit, the "gorilla arm" lesson keeps getting re-learned every ten years it seems.)

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gorilla_arm#.22Gorilla_arm.22

      ...and watching the same kind of pipes and pumps and rocket bell that we've always used spin around on a screen. Doesn't exactly seem like the slam-dunk that's missing to "get your ass to Mars".

  14. Anyone else find this ironic? by bertok · · Score: 1

    This utter garbage makes it to the Slashdot front page while just below it is this headline: The Rise of Hoax News.

  15. Waste not, want not by Hognoxious · · Score: 3, Funny

    "Starting in 2018, four astronauts will leave for Mars every two years to bury the inedible parts of the previous four..."

    Fixed^2

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  16. A scam for the gullible by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What I don't understand is the people saying they shouldn't even try.

    The problem isn't that someone shouldn't try. The problem is that we know a fair bit about how difficult an endeavor this is and what a credible effort would have to look like. We know that the technology to do this just isn't there yet and there is no credible evidence that it will be in the next 5-10 years. Sending even an unmanned probe to mars costs billions of dollars. These people are claiming their are going to send people there inside of 12 years? And they are going to do this by crowdsourcing what amounts to a suicide mission? Your bullshit detector should be in high alert.

    This just reeks of a scam to separate gullible people from their money.

    1. Re:A scam for the gullible by mrxak · · Score: 2

      How exactly, does it reek of a scam? The technology has existed for decades, and in recent years we've learned a lot more. The only reason we haven't done it already is because NASA lacks the political support, and the public is terrified of even the slightest risk.

    2. Re:A scam for the gullible by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      You missed a major issue. Most people are not willing to spend billions to send people on a suicide mission to Mars for no gain. Thee is nothing that people can do that can't be done with rovers and for a much lower cost.

    3. Re:A scam for the gullible by CohibaVancouver · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The technology has existed for decades

      Actually, no.

      We can send robots to Mars, but we still don't have the technology to send people there -

      - A craft that can support people for the ~200-day journey to Mars through interplanetary space (including protecting them from ionizing radiation) has never been built and we don't know how.

      - The creation of a landing craft is a tremendous challenge. Granted, Mars One is 'supposedly' a one-way trip so many of these issues are mitigated, but assuming the astronauts would want to come home you need to launch from the surface of Mars and then return to earth. No craft that has ever landed on Mars has returned to terra firma.

      Wired had a good overview of these issues here -

      http://www.wired.co.uk/news/archive/2013-05/31/getting-to-mars

    4. Re:A scam for the gullible by Elder+Entropist · · Score: 2

      Agreed. And if they do send people those people will almost certainly starve or suffocate.

      Biosphere 2 is our best attempt at creating a self-supporting closed environmental system. At 3.14 acres stocked with complex (and sensitive) vegetation, air and water supplies and support machinery weighing an untold amount of gigatons costing $200-300 million with relatively cheap Earth-based construction techniques and labor - not to mention Earth solar insulation for power and vegetation growth unlike what will be available at Mars, it couldn't produce enough food or oxygen for a mere 7-8 people.

      There is no way at anything near current or foreseen launch prices that anything like that could be duplicated on Mars, let alone exceeded.

    5. Re:A scam for the gullible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A craft that can support people for the ~200-day journey to Mars through interplanetary space (including protecting them from ionizing radiation) has never been built and we don't know how.

      Much of our protection comes from the Earth's magnetic field. We know how to create a magnetic field. How much of the needed protection could be provided on a spacecraft by creating a sufficient magnetic field?

    6. Re:A scam for the gullible by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

      Actually, I heard direct from a Biospherian (one of the people who lived in the the thing), that the reason they ran short of oxygen was:

      (a) as scientists, they didn't include a healthy design margin like an engineer would, they cut things too close
      (b) Mount Pinatubo erupted, throwing dust into the upper atmosphere, and lowering available sunlight
      (c) They didn't think about carbonation of the concrete, a process that removes CO2 and mineralizes it. Effectively that is an oxygen sink.

      If they had to do it over, they could have overcome these deficiencies.

      For a Mars base, however, with enough power, you can extract oxygen from the CO2 in the atmosphere, so even if your food growing doesn't supply enough, you can make it up with a chemical process plant.

    7. Re:A scam for the gullible by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      Actually no, the technology hasn't existed at all, that could sustain people on Mars indefinitely with supplies every two years. You should look up how much material the astronaut were able to carry to the Moon. Actually, the technology that would allow people to simply survive the *transit* to Mars with any reasonable chance of success does not even exist yet. It would essentially require building the Mars rocket in high orbit, and this is like scaling the international space station size, complexity and cost by a factor of 20-50x. I'll let you do the math.

      If you prefer, we think it is theoretically doable without breaking the laws of physics, but it is not doable financially. Think of all the fuss ITER is causing even though is it chump change with respect to the size of the financial world, all the while with enormous expected return.

    8. Re:A scam for the gullible by Hillgiant · · Score: 1

      You know, it occurs to me that we have had the technology to send a one-way mission since about 1998. Though it would be more mass-efficient to just shoot the astronauts on the launch pad. Think of all the savings on food, water, air, and radiation shielding.

      --
      -
    9. Re:A scam for the gullible by dpidcoe · · Score: 1

      How much of the needed protection could be provided on a spacecraft by creating a sufficient magnetic field?

      Basically all of it. But have fun getting all the power you need to create a field of sufficient strength.

  17. Don't discount this so quickly by Simon321 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Lansdorp himself is a successful entrepreneur, here is a ted talk about his last company. He sold his stake and has been using the profit he made there to get Mars One off the ground for the past 3 years.

    Among the people supporting them are:
      - Gerard ‘t Hooft, Nobel Prize winning Theoretical Physicist
      - Dr. Robert Zubrin, President of the Mars Society
      - Terry Gamber, worked on the lander designs for the Viking mission
      - A very large number of experienced people (see their website Advisers, ambassadors)

    They don't plan to develop much of the technology themselves, they're planning to buy it from other companies mostly such as SpaceX. Most of this technology exists already. They have written statements of the companies that they are willing and able to supply these things.

    List of the technology they want to use: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_One#Technology

    The total cost is estimated at $6 billion. Technology has come a long way, this combined with the privatization of space has caused costs to drop significantly. The falcon heavy for example costs only $77-135M to launch (2013).

    They plan to get this through sponsorship deals. They're going to broadcast the entire thing on TV. Which makes sense, the olympics receives 6 billion dollars for 1 billion viewers. The moonlanding in 1969 had 500 million viewers. The population of the earth was only 3,5 billion back then and people weren't as well connected as they are now. So imagine how many viewers a colony on Mars would get?

    No one says it's guaranteed that they will succeed, but i think they should try, and we should support it.

    More information can be found on their website and IndieGoGo campaign:
    http://www.mars-one.com/
    http://www.indiegogo.com/projects/mars-one-first-private-mars-mission-in-2018

    The campaign is just to help pay for the Lockheed Martin study and to convince sponsors there is enough interest. I have donated myself, and advise people who think space exploration is important to do the same. It's risky, but it's high impact.

    1. Re:Don't discount this so quickly by Simon321 · · Score: 1

      Also, there is an error in the summary. The rover/communication satellite will be going up in 2018, but the first astronauts won't be leaving until 2024.

    2. Re:Don't discount this so quickly by careysub · · Score: 2

      List of the technology they want to use: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_One#Technology

      I am happy to see the emergence of some sort of sketch of the technical concept. And it the picture is not pretty.

      MarsOne proposes that is going to land on Mars with an super-sized version of the Dragon Earth-reentry vehicle. As a "proven technology" it is one proven to kill all the astronauts attempting to land on Mars as if it were a thick-atmosphere planet like Earth.

      Landing on Mars in a human-sized vehicle (10,000 kg) is not possible with any known aero-breaking technology. Curiosity's (mass 900 kg) is close to the upper limit of current approaches, and even it required the use of a new powered descent stage to make the landing work. A scaling up to human size would require taking that concept to the max: essentially a powered descent vehicle for nearly the whole ride down. This "little detail" destroys their entire story - the cost of developing this new vehicle is not planned, and the mass for this goes way up, and so do all the launch issues.

      To wipe off the scent of "scam" from this they need to present a credible concept and plan for developing a workable Mars lander, and work backward from there to the other aspects of the program. Also an estimated cost breakdown for each component of their mission. That is not so hard if they know what they are doing.

      BTW, the little Curiosity probe, far simpler and far smaller than any manned mission, cost $2.5 billion by itself.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    3. Re:Don't discount this so quickly by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      They don't plan to develop much of the technology themselves, they're planning to buy it from other companies mostly such as SpaceX. Most of this technology exists already.

      Except for all the technologies which don't exist - which is pretty much of all of them except maybe the communications network. Otherwise, they're all (at best) bench prototypes with little if any field testing. But even if all the technologies existed, there still exists the huge task of integrating them into a workable spacecraft, designing and developing said spacecraft, testing, etc... etc...
       

      They plan to get this through sponsorship deals. They're going to broadcast the entire thing on TV. Which makes sense, the olympics receives 6 billion dollars for 1 billion viewers. The moonlanding in 1969 had 500 million viewers. The population of the earth was only 3,5 billion back then and people weren't as well connected as they are now. So imagine how many viewers a colony on Mars would get?

      Their problem isn't getting viewers - it's keeping them. Why? Because the programming will be boring as hell. A bunch of people sitting around in a cramped capsule. Comparing this to the spectacle of the Olympics or the first moon landing is ludicrous in the extreme.

    4. Re:Don't discount this so quickly by devent · · Score: 1

      I see one outcomes of this: this will delayed or cancelled. I was about to write a second outcome, but now I though for 5 more seconds and I scratched that.

      What I would find realistic is: send robots to Mars that can a) gather more data on cosmic radiation and ionized radiation that would kill any human and how to shield that kind of radiation effectively; and b) to actually build a base for humans on Mars. When the base is build then you can send some people to Mars.

      What are those astronauts are going to do on Mars? Stand around and make pictures until water and oxygen is gone? A human crew needs a lot of baggage: oxygen, food, water, medicine, protection, heat, a gym, toilets, etc. That means you can't send machines or material to Mars. But if you send robots then all baggage is useful to create a base. AI and robot technology is very far so you can easily design robots that can build a whole base on Mars.

      --
      http://www.mueller-public.de - My site http://www.anr-institute.com/ - Advanced Natural Research Institute
    5. Re:Don't discount this so quickly by Kjella · · Score: 1

      They plan to get this through sponsorship deals. They're going to broadcast the entire thing on TV. Which makes sense, the olympics receives 6 billion dollars for 1 billion viewers. The moonlanding in 1969 had 500 million viewers. The population of the earth was only 3,5 billion back then and people weren't as well connected as they are now. So imagine how many viewers a colony on Mars would get?

      Are you kidding me? The Olympics is a superstar bonanza where every country and region has their local heroes in intense and exciting competitions keeping viewers glued to the chair for hours on end for weeks. The Mars landing is really one critical touchdown and a lot of padding. The actual "travelling in a tin can through space" and "living in a tin can on Mars" is going to be horribly boring everyday life. You could see what the people on ISS are doing most of the time on Nasa TV too, but it gets old very quick. And the Olympics are once every four years, the Apollo program totally burned out the public interest in less than two weeks of moon time over 2.5 years during July 1969 to December 1972.

      Everybody remembers Neil Armstrong. Far fewer remember the guy who stepped out behind him, Buzz Aldrin. The rest only space history buffs remember, really. Nobody remembers the third guy to climb Mount Everest or reach the South Pole. If it's already been done not only once but repeated several times, it's of little public interest no matter how extreme it still is for to the invidivual to go to Mars. When the first man sets foot on Mars the whole world will be watching but it's going to be a very short and unique peak, once it's past the public will quickly lose interest in their everyday life and anybody that follows.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    6. Re:Don't discount this so quickly by crutchy · · Score: 1

      Their problem isn't getting viewers - it's keeping them. Why? Because the programming will be boring as hell.

      depends... if they send a bunch of male and female porn stars cramped in a capsule together it could be quite popular

  18. MARS!!! by Gothmolly · · Score: 1

    Are they selecting ISIS agents for breeding purposes?

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
  19. And if they fail -- so what ? by vikingpower · · Score: 2

    Humankind will learn a lot more from a Mars One failure, even now, in this early stage, than from all of us remaining seated on our butts. In the unlikely case that Mars One does not fail, we'll collectively learn even more. Where is the problem ?

    --
    Religous speak to God. Insane are spoken to by God. When all shut up, one can finally hear Shostakovich in peace
    1. Re:And if they fail -- so what ? by Jason+Levine · · Score: 1

      I'm all for starting manned missions again, but this reeks of a publicity stunt at best and a scam at worst. Even if they do launch people into space, will this actually result in any useful data or will it just air on TV as "Survivor in Space" (minus the surviving)? Just another brainless reality show and this time one where people volunteer to essentially be killed in as entertaining a manner possible.

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    2. Re:And if they fail -- so what ? by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      The issue is that failure taints the next expedition to another planet or moon that might succeed. No matter what they officially call it the new expedition will be called "Mars Two". With that failure record attached to the project good luck finding funding. Secondly all the wasted investment in a project that is in reality a scam could have gone to something actually useful.

    3. Re:And if they fail -- so what ? by DM9290 · · Score: 1

      We'll learn that there are some things that are simply too expensive to fund by voluntary donations and advertising dollars.

      --
      No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
    4. Re:And if they fail -- so what ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is this imagery of "all of us" and "remaining seated on our butts"? Where does it come from?

    5. Re:And if they fail -- so what ? by crutchy · · Score: 1

      colonizing mars is probable one of the most honorable goals of human civilization (certainly much more honorable than the majority of government and corporate goals) but human society as it currently stands is not ready for cooperative ventures of anywhere near this magnitude

      these people would be better off developing their ideas as far as they can and then publishing papers and books so that their knowledge can be passed down through generations to inspire those that may eventually find themselves in a society willing and able to pull together and get such a marvellous achievement off the ground

      unfortunately there are far too many scientists (particularly within the NASA and ESA fraternities) focused on unrealistic targets like the moon and mars, and this diverts attention from the real problems that underpin space travel.

      the biggest obstacle facing any space venture is (and has always been) getting into earth orbit, and until transport of bulk goods into earth orbit can be achieved cheaply, safely, reliably and regularly, anything else will always be pie in the sky dreams. the problem is that this obstacle however important is the most difficult and also lacks the inspirational aspect... maybe akin to wanting to build the burj khalifa and everyone focusing on building the tower itself with nobody being interesting in digging the hole for the foundations

      there are companies working on earth orbit access, and the russians have been the best at it in the world for years but with little interest from much of the rest of the world in terms of investment to develop and expand the russian program (probably for political reasons).

      politics, religion and competitive self-interest (capitalist and socialist alike) is what is holding us to this planet for the time being, but someday we may form a more cooperative society. unfortunately it probably won't happen for centuries or before huge devastating world events.

    6. Re:And if they fail -- so what ? by macson_g · · Score: 1

      What so special about the Russian programme? They are using plain old rocket boosters.

  20. Who is gonna pay? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is going to happen to the settlers if organizers run out of money? A reality TV show, as well as crowdsourcing, can fail financially.

  21. River Tam says by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

    "You're worried that we're going to run out of food. But that's not going to happen. ... We'll freeze to death first."

    --
    I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    1. Re: River Tam says by Gothmolly · · Score: 1

      air, not food. and she was wong, space is a great insulator.

      --
      I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
    2. Re: River Tam says by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      I was changing her phrasing around to match GGP's cannibalism theme. Apparently, you missed that.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    3. Re: River Tam says by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the Slashdot Hierarchy of Martian Deaths...it's like Maslow, but includes things like radiation exposure.

    4. Re: River Tam says by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      air, not food. and she was wong, space is a great insulator.

      It may be a good insulator, but it is a terrible black body radiator. You still freeze to death quickly in space, it's just that it's because you radiate away all your heat instead of losing it conductively.

    5. Re:River Tam says by VortexCortex · · Score: 1

      "You're worried that we're going to run out of food. But that's not going to happen. ... We'll freeze to death first."

      Build a man a fire, and he'll stave off the cold for the night. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.

    6. Re: River Tam says by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I bet you're a hoot at parties.

  22. Why does it have to be 100% safe? by swb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Going on ANY ocean voyage before the 20th century was risky in a whole bunch of ways. The food might kill you. The weather might kill you. The ship might kill you. Someone else you run across on the water might kill you. The crew might kill you. Whatever you run into wherever you go might kill you, be it people, animals, or geography.

    Why the hell would we hold launching a rocket across the solar system to another planet to elementary school safety standards? Of course you could be killed. Climbing into a metal tube filled with 7 million pounds of rocket fuel and lighting it is inherently dangerous, even more so when you plan to travel across 40 million miles of space.

    If we wait until it's as safe as riding an elevator we'll never get there. Exploration should never wait until it's proven safe.

    1. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Desler · · Score: 1

      Why does it have to be 100% safe?

      It doesn't and they neither said or implied any such thing.

    2. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      There is a big difference between 100% safe and 1% safe. This Mars mission is much closer to the latter and therefore a scam. The problem is that if anything goes wrong they are dead as they have no backup or hope of rescue.. I put their chance of surviving more than 5 years at about 5%.

    3. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by TWiTfan · · Score: 1

      Acceptable risk != suicide

      --
      The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
    4. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "Why the hell would we hold launching a rocket across the solar system to another planet to elementary school safety standards? Of course you could be killed. Climbing into a metal tube filled with 7 million pounds of rocket fuel and lighting it is inherently dangerous,"

      Especially if it has been built by the cheapest bidder.

    5. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by EdIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is a big difference between 100% safe and 1% safe

      Yes, but there was no way to tell that a couple hundred years ago. His point about exploration is valid. Did Columbus really have any way of saying it was an 18% "safe" expedition? How do you even begin to quantify those risks with the information they had then?

      So many of the great explorers had absolutely no idea what the dangers were going to be, only that they would face them.

      The fact that we can begin to quantify the risks is turning us into pussies. Would the next Chuck Yeager break the light speed barrier if some egghead said there was a proven 23.234% chance his nuts would shrivel up and fall off?

      It's not like this is some sort of a redneck hold-my-beer stunt. They're only going to go if they have met a minimum amount of safety standards and have access to some pretty impressive technologies to bring with them.

      Fucking Columbus didn't even understand biology and antibiotics, knew that people got very sick and died on long voyages, and still boarded the boat. Lewis and Clark had no idea what to expect going across the US. Whatever chance they had, it was going to be with their wits and what they brought with them.

      The unknown that previous explorers faced was a lot more intimidating than the journey being contemplated by Mars One.

      Telling somebody that has vastly more information and technology at their fingertips that they are morons for even attempting something like that is a little offensive, IMO. If you want to do that, then you must say that all of our great explorers in the past simply missed out on being awarded their Darwin Awards.

      Man Up.

    6. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by EdIII · · Score: 1

      Everything NASA has ever done was built by the cheapest bidder.

      Our bridges were built by the cheapest bidders.. and it shows. Our software is built by the cheapest bidders.. and it shows too in many ways.

      It didn't stop NASA from getting all the way to the Moon.

    7. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Desler · · Score: 0

      Telling somebody that has vastly more information and technology at their fingertips that they are morons for even attempting something like that is a little offensive, IMO. If you want to do that, then you must say that all of our great explorers in the past simply missed out on being awarded their Darwin Awards.

      The people behind Mars One are morons not matter how offended you get. You are being taken in by hucksters who want money from running a reality TV show.

    8. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Nobody is asking it for it to be 100% safe, that's a strawman of your own creation.

      That being said, you've missed the OP's point - which is that this plan isn't unsafe, it isn't even risky, it's inherently suicidal with essentialy zero chance of success.

    9. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why the hell would we hold launching a rocket across the solar system to another planet to elementary school safety standards? Of course you could be killed. Climbing into a metal tube filled with 7 million pounds of rocket fuel and lighting it is inherently dangerous, even more so when you plan to travel across 40 million miles of space.

      If we wait until it's as safe as riding an elevator we'll never get there. Exploration should never wait until it's proven safe.

      Because, in order:
      A) A metal tube filled with 7 million pounds of rocket fuel that crashes to the ground had better damn well not land on any person or structure. It's not just the astronaut's lives being played around with. Which is unlike almost any other kind of exploration, rescue crews notwithstanding.
      B) It's not, "inherently dangerous." It may carry inherent risk. So, it takes rocket scientists to make it work. Even then it may fail. But it takes the best of the best to make sure it is as safe as can be engineered so it isn't doomed to fail - including pilots and crew.
      C) Any such vehicle is, by definition, also an ICBM, all it takes is placing it on a ballistic flight plan. A different question from being nuclear armed. Even still, governments have vested interests in regulating it.

      If you can satisfy A, B, and C... knock yourself out. I have some lovely spaceship plans I'll sell you, cheap. But then you can't sue me (oooh! Lawsuits and legal liability.... make that D.)

    10. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by umafuckit · · Score: 1

      If we wait until it's as safe as riding an elevator we'll never get there. Exploration should never wait until it's proven safe.

      We never did. The chance of being killed on a shuttle mission was about 1.5:100 and those who were actually riding the thing and working on it knew that.

    11. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The difference between your comparison of a sea voyage vs the mars voyage is that if something went wrong at sea you are still on earth, you may survive on a life boat and eventually get washed off to some island where you can survive.

      In space if something goes wrong, you will explode in the vacuum and thats it.

      The odds are vastly different than the comparison you show.

    12. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least those early oceanic explorers could rely on having air to breathe no matter where they went.

      Mars One is a farce of epic proportions and the people running it are scammers without any shadow of a doubt.

    13. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      I knwe someone would bring up the sailing days explorers analogy. Here are reasons it does not apply;
      1; it is not exploration.
      When Columbus et all went out on ships they were going to unknown territory. They were looking for new lands and new people. We have already been to Mars with rovers, sattelites and telescopes. We have a pretty good idea what is there.
      2. The exploration voyages had completely different reasons.
      The main two reasons for sailing era exploration was to found new self sufficient colonies and/or return wealth to Old World. A small outpost on Mars would always be dependent on Earth for parts and supplies and there is nothing on Mars that could be economically returned to earth. Some people want to go to Mars because we can. Just because we can does not mean we should.
      3. The sail era explorers had some hope of returning home alive. Mars dwellers have zero chance of returning alive.
      4. The only way to explore in the sail age was by risking lives to do it. Our technology has advanced much further than that. We have rovers that can go to Mars and do almost all the exploration a person can do; all without spending exorbitant amounts of money and condemning people to death on another planet.

      Would the next Chuck Yeager break the light speed barrier if some egghead said there was a proven 23.234% chance his nuts would shrivel up and fall off?

      Maybe, maybe not but I bet he would have said no if they said there is a 95% chance you will die in 5 years and a 100% chance you will never be with your family again.

      They're only going to go if they have met a minimum amount of safety standards and have access to some pretty impressive technologies to bring with them.

      Which will cost billions of dollars. Since they are having trouble scraping together millions of dollars that makes Mars One a scam. They know the funding is not there but they will put as much money in their pockets until people stop believing their hype.

      Telling somebody that has vastly more information and technology at their fingertips that they are morons for even attempting something like that is a little offensive,

      I'm not the only one who thinks that. That is also the point. You are assuming that the objective of the people behind Mars One is to get to Mars. That is their stated objective. I think their objective is to line their pockets with as much money as possible before everyone realizes it is a scam. I think the people behind the project are smart; I think the people who fell for it and gave them money are the morons.

    14. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by JWSmythe · · Score: 1

      Not really. It's the lowest approved bidder. :)

      I tried to do some dealing with the gov't, but since I wasn't an approved contractor, I couldn't even attempt it. That's why you keep seeing the same big names providing everything to NASA, or any other gov't agency.

      You and I can't afford to even attempt to get these sweet gov't contracts. We'd get refused because we can't say "We'll put 1,000 employees on it", even though if we had the contract, we could afford to hire 2,000 and still bring it in early and under budget.

      The whole gov't contract thing is a scam. Plain and simple. It keeps funding those who have money to put into campaign contributions (and other unspoken transactions).

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    15. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Staying at home and doing nothing also had a high probability of killing you back then.

    16. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by EdIII · · Score: 1

      I'm offended if you call them morons simply because they have the courage to explore.

      If you want to call them morons because neither they or Mars One fully understands the risks or prepare for it, go right ahead.

      Don't denigrate them simply for their courage to explore.

    17. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by EdIII · · Score: 1

      LOL!!

      Air.

      You know you need water and food too right?

      Those early oceanic explorers pushed themselves off land into a SALTY sea of liquid. To do so, and continue to go in a direction where fresh water and food may only possibly be obtained took as much courage as astronauts venturing out into space without a ubiquitous supply of oxygen.

      Only the Greeks knew the world was not flat. Columbus had no way of knowing it wasn't, and no way of knowing just how big the Earth was either. For all he knew, he was going to die starving and dying of thirst out at sea.

    18. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by EdIII · · Score: 1

      1) How's it not exploration again? I don't get that. You contradicted yourself in that sentence. Of course the early oceanic voyages were exploratory in nature. The fact the ultimate objective was capitalist in nature does not discount that.
      2) The reasons are irrelevant to the exploration. All that counts is that people threw themselves into the unknown for a *reason*.
      3) Colonists and finding and creating a new home. Boy is history just full of that.
      4) This is the only point that you have. You don't need to send people for an exploration today when you can send technology to remotely sense the environment.

      I don't care if Mars One is a scam or not. I never cared enough about it to decide. Is it? Probably is if the budget is 1% of what any reasonable engineer would say it is. Telling people not to go simply because it's a one-way trip and to do so is stupid, is deeply offensive.

      It's not just exploration. It's colonization. If I go to Mars, I am not coming back. There is no point to a trip like that to *come back*. The point is to colonize Mars, develop additional resources there, and be prepared to receive more people and resources. Somebody has to do it.

      This is part of the human spirit. To explore. To find new land, new opportunities.

      Wanting to go to Mars to create a future does not make one a moron. That is you judging them unfairly and without need. To do so means you judge all explorers, past and present, equally.

    19. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      1) it is not exploration to go where we have already been and mapped by other means.

      2) The reasons are irrelevant to the exploration. All that counts is that people threw themselves into the unknown for a *reason*.

      It is not the unknown if one had detailed maps of the place. If you want to compare the Mars mission with the sail era explorers you have to compare everything and not just cherry pick the things that match your idea. The motivation for sail era exploration is part of it.

      It's not just exploration. It's colonization. If I go to Mars, I am not coming back. There is no point to a trip like that to *come back*. The point is to colonize Mars, develop additional resources there, and be prepared to receive more people and resources. Somebody has to do it.

      It is not colonization as the outpost will never be self sufficient. It will always be dependent on supply shipments from earth. If a couple of supply runs fail the outpost is dead.

      This is part of the human spirit. To explore. To find new land, new opportunities.

      It is not human nature to sit in a dark hole waiting for the next supply mission so you can turn the lights back on because something went wrong and power levels are low.

      Wanting to go to Mars to create a future does not make one a moron.

      Wanting to go does not make one a moron but thinking that Mars One will get you there is. Thinking it is exploration is just drinking their coolaid; It is not factual. There will be no exploration.

      To do so means you judge all explorers, past and present, equally.

      Now you are putting words in my mouth and that is wrong. I applaud explorers who go where no maps exist to find out what is there. Some of the sail era exploration was done to prove the world was round and how big it actually was. That does not apply to Mars as we know what is there and have detailed maps. Throwing away billions of dollars that could be better used to fix problems here on Earth is a bad idea.

    20. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correct, it would be closer to early colonists than to the explorers. They still hopped on a boat and had a similar journey but they had no intention of returning.

      As far as Chuck Yeager, they did tell the test pilots there were risks but the risks were always qualified with things like "if you don't have the skills to control the aircraft you will die" so it was more about ego. I mean the guy jumped in the X1 with a couple broken ribs because he didn't want to get removed from the program. An the only reason he had the opportunity at all is because Goodlin pussed out and demanded a crap load of money to fly mach 1.

    21. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but there was no way to tell that a couple hundred years ago. His point about exploration is valid. Did Columbus really have any way of saying it was an 18% "safe" expedition? How do you even begin to quantify those risks with the information they had then?

      So many of the great explorers had absolutely no idea what the dangers were going to be, only that they would face them.

      That's not what I learned in primary school. The amount of food taken on Columbus' expedition was actually based on assumptions that a sizeable part of the crew would not need to eat the whole journey. The amount they expected to die was of course based on previous experience. You seem to think people were inherently more stupid 500 years ago. They weren't, they were simply more willing to take a risk, as risk was a part of daily life.

      Our daily life has become fairly risk free (compared to those days), exploration has not, and by its very nature (going somewhere 'unknown') it never will be. You can either accept that the risk-gap between daily life and exploration has widened (like the participants of Mars One have done), or forget about exploration at all (which is what you have done).

      The point where you go from being a careful, safety conscious, non-exploring person to a general asshat is when you start arguing that nobody should do it at all, based on your beliefs and instincts. In less tactfull words: it's none of your fecking business what others want to do with their lives, so put a sock in it already. This isn't some tax funded mission, you have no vote in it.

    22. Re:Why does it have to be 100% safe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only the Greeks knew the world was not flat. Columbus had no way of knowing it wasn't...

      Columbus knew the world was round. Europeans in the 15th century knew it was round.

      Just think, how many other "facts" that you "know" are false? Maybe 53% of your worldview is fictitious. That would mean you are a waste of carbon.

      And you don't even know it.

  23. Smoke and mirrors by jklovanc · · Score: 1

    Has anyone looked at the site?
    Look at this page. Notice they lump Donations and Merchandise together but forget to subtract the costs related to the merchandise. Revenue is not net revenue. Note the expense graph does not even have a section for merchandise expenses and displays percentages and not dollar amounts. Why no dollar amounts? Maybe because they don't want us to know how much money they are hiding. Note they say "income from donations and merchandise have not been used to pay salaries" so what are they used for and where does the money to pay salaries come from? Also, technically speaking, if a person is paid through a contract it is not a salary so people could be paid from those revenues.

    On this page they say "On December 10th, Mars One launched their first ever crowd-funding campaign, focused on bringing funds and attention to the first mission". There is no link. Where is the campaign? Maybe they don't want us to see how badly it is going.

    From this page;

    Norbert Kraft, MD, received "The NASA Group Achievement Award 2013", it is one of the most prestigious awards a group can receive, and is presented to selected groups who have distinguished themselves by making outstanding contributions to the NASA mission

    This makes it seem that Dr. Kraft received the award for work on Mars One but Mars One never appears in the list.He got the award for work on another project. Also notice that between the annual and semi-annual awards 44 different groups were recognized in one year. How many groups are working on space related projects? The award does not seem all that prestigious to me. It looks more like NASA slapping themselves on the back.

    I like this segment;

    Lansdorp says, “We fully anticipate our remaining candidates to become celebrities in their towns, cities, and in many cases, countries.

    If by celebrity you mean laughing stock you may be right. You have seen Jersey Shore.

    This is one of the biggest scams in history to make money for the people pushing it.

    1. Re:Smoke and mirrors by crutchy · · Score: 1

      Has anyone looked at the site?

      anyone with half a brain could figure out how unrealistic this was merely from the title alone... looking at the site is pointless

    2. Re:Smoke and mirrors by crutchy · · Score: 0

      This is one of the biggest scams in history to make money for the people pushing it.

      actually it's tame compared to the enormous ponzi scheme that is US social security

  24. 1058 remaining applicants identified by fox171171 · · Score: 1

    The Mars One Project has selected 1058 second round candidates out of more than 200 000 applicants... the lucky few get a one way trip to Mars.

    So... out of 200,000 applicants, apparently 1058 were telephone sanitizers.

  25. Hitchhiker's guide by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did a planet send off all its middle managers to a new space colony promising that the rest would soon follow?

  26. Ah, I see where you've gone wrong there by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

    There are another two selection rounds to go before the lucky few get a one way trip to Mars. Starting in 2018, four astronauts will leave for Mars every two years to begin a human settlement partly funded by crowdsourcing and a reality TV show.

    You say that like it's actually going to happen. It's not.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  27. Dud run by photosonic · · Score: 1

    So am I lead to believe that this is a one way trip? If so how can a company be aloud to let this be so. If my Grandma is very sick with an age related disease and everyone can tell that she is living like a zombie, I go to jail if I assist in her death. Why aren't these loonies shut down for effectively knowing their crew will die.

    --
    Find a job you love, and never work a day in your life.
    1. Re:Dud run by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More importantly, why can't the nanny state let you and Grandma be?

      The government has no problem sending people overseas to kill and get killed for no good or moral reason. At least you should be allowed to die in the pursuit of knowledge, which is far more noble and socially acceptable than some crusade to kill brown people.

  28. a friend of the family was selected by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A friend of the family apparently applied and was selected. The email she received had a big typo: "we need to have a successful with our crowd funding campaign."

    Oops.

  29. Re:not a credible attempt by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 1

    This is the basic idea.

    There's a bit of an idea here about "sunk costs" etc getting equipment past the Earth Gravity well. After that it's rather simple "relatively" to stockpile food. Air is a bit of the trickier part. But let's say they figured that out.

    What 75 years of (even bad) Scifi has taught us is that you need a ridiculous batch of skillsets to do Mars right, way worse than planting flags on the moon. So I totally don't get why "with a little more engineering" they're not sending a Terraform team of 50, and then they get to study Group Dynamics and all that jazz. As it is, the second the pilot catches some dormant flu they're hosed.

    --
    My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
  30. Can we vote for others to go? by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    I heard this crazy woman wants to go, and I think it would be a shame to let her down.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  31. "danger" by globaljustin · · Score: 2

    Critics of Mars One are not criticizing the notion of human colonization of Mars purely from a "danger" perspective...

    It's everything about ***how*** Mars One plans to do this...from the funding to the equipment they use to what they'll actually do when they get there. It just makes no sense to do it that way.

    Sure there are some critics of human space exploration that think the whole notion of humans colonizing other worlds is just too dangerous, *no matter how it is done* but they are in the distinct minority, especially here on slashdot....this is much different.

    It's that the mission is all wrong in its conception.

    Think of it in terms of dinner, Mars One is hyping themselves like they are a steak dinner with all the trimmings, but in reality they are giving us reconstituted soy in the shape of a steak, giving us some survey data that says it tastes just like real steak, and expecting people to pay for a T-bone.

    It's hype...some unscrupulous "entrepreneurs" launching a business project...because they are coming from that perspective everything down the line comes out wrong...and it doesn't take a NASA scientist to see that it's essentially a suicide mission.

    In this case empty-headed, wild-eyed hype that takes advantage of people's dreams.

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
    1. Re:"danger" by EdIII · · Score: 1

      I'm more than a little dubious that a launch is going to take place without the tech being there.

      If it's a scam, the launch will never take place. Cuz... if it does... and what you say is true... then Mars One was murdering people by sending them up in space knowing that they had no chance at all to survive.

      They'll go to jail.

      I'm not disagreeing that this Mars One thing is a bad idea. Only that to criticize it based on danger is ludicrous. Our exploration history is replete with far more danger and loss of life with more certainty about a successful outcome than this.

  32. here is the false choice... by globaljustin · · Score: 1

    You've bought into the hype.

    Humans dont have to choose between a suicide mission held together with duct tape and peanut shells on a death march that, **at best** ends with the people who land huddling in their glorified airstream trailers counting the days till they die and *nothing*

    Mars One is a horrible mission plan that actually won't tell us anything we don't already know or could extrapolate. Their plan even states explicitly that they will use existing technology.

    When we do space exploration we need to do it the right way or not at all.

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
    1. Re:here is the false choice... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Their plan even states explicitly that they will use existing technology.

      When we do space exploration we need to do it the right way or not at all.

      I agree that Mars One hasn't shown even a glimmer of feasibility. But you completely miss the point. Space exploration isn't technology development nor is it the only thing we can possibly do in space. And avoiding the use of proven technology is merely an expensive way to fail hard.

  33. wrong analogy, by a mile by globaljustin · · Score: 1

    You're like somebody saying a ship will fall off the edge of the world if they sail off beyond the horizon. I'm saying, let's go find out.

    wrong...us critics want to colonize other worlds (as much or more than the Mars One people) and see it *work*

    don't go into some mellodramatic tirade about dreams and the humans spirit...that's the trap!

    this is a case of some businesspeople taking shortcuts and manipulating people and **using the language** of real science/exploration

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
  34. almost as stupid as... by crutchy · · Score: 1

    ...selling pockets of land on the moon

    what's the point of choosing astronauts to pilot a ship that hasn't been created yet (and probably won't be created by the USA in the foreseeable future)?

    99% of the USA is broke, and the 1% who could potentially afford to make something like mars one happen doesn't give a fuck about the USA or space

    if a joint venture between china and russia were publicized it would be more credible

    1. Re:almost as stupid as... by crutchy · · Score: 1

      oops... actually what i meant was "almost as stupid as buying pockets of land on the moon"

      those able to successfully sell land on the moon are pretty switched on

  35. yeah, by globaljustin · · Score: 1

    that's why we have the Mars Rover.

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
    1. Re:yeah, by khallow · · Score: 1

      "The Mars Rover" could describe three different successfully deployed rover designs. Now you might not see a problem with three different designs for four rovers total, but that's one of the symptoms of failing to reuse proven technology - lots of designs and few missions.

  36. Please DON'T!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't support these people by giving them any publicity you're feeding SCAMMERS that's all you are doing.

  37. Re: Seriously? there are several other mass killin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Higher interest rates in third world, patent for medicine, crappy economic eternal dependency of hundreds countries and wars for basic goodies are only for the the fun of some guys in order to accumulate money certainly kills a lot, lot, lot more than dozen per year.... so why not try something different?

  38. How a scam works by sjbe · · Score: 1

    How exactly, does it reek of a scam?

    Let's see: 1) romantic idea that appeals to many people? Check. 2) Implausibly optimistic assumptions about technology and timeframe? Check. 3) A funding model that gets lots of small donations while being deeply unlikely to raise the billions of dollars actually required for a real mission? Check. 4) Mission proposal from a group with a vaguely credible sounding name that no one has ever really heard of and has no credible scientists/engineers/financiers backing it? Check...

    Are you getting the idea yet? This is a scam. Nothing more. They will "crowd source" a bunch of funding from gullible romantics with a boner for a Mars mission and then disappear with the money when, to the surprise of no one with a brain, the "mission" proves impossible.

    The technology has existed for decades, and in recent years we've learned a lot more.

    No it most assuredly has not existed for decades. In fact most informed parties will tell you that the biggest single problem is that the passengers would be unlikely to survive the trip due to lack of effective radiation shielding. In low earth orbit we are still protected by the Earth's magnetic field. No such luck in Mars transit. Never mind that fact that even if the technology did exist, economically it is impossible with the technology we have. This is a trip that will cost many billions of dollars even if done cheaply, which is probably not a good idea.