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US War Machine Downsizing?

mrspoonsi writes "BBC Reports: 'Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel has unveiled plans to shrink the U.S. Army to its smallest size since before World War Two. Outlining his budget plan, the Pentagon chief proposed trimming the active-duty Army to between 440,000 and 450,000 personnel — from 520,000 currently. The U.S. currently spends more on defense than the combined total of the next 12 countries, as ranked by defense spending.'"

49 of 506 comments (clear)

  1. Drone Occupation by Jeremiah+Cornelius · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Of Planet Earth is near completion.

    The rest can be sub-contracted.

    --
    "Flyin' in just a sweet place,
    Never been known to fail..."
    1. Re:Drone Occupation by rmdingler · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Sigh! Mechanization kills another American job.

      Before you know it, well be able to fight a complete war without risking a single soldier.

      Since the bar for invasion of another sovereign state is already set fairly low, what future transgression will be enough when no dead heroes need to return home? Iran looked at me funny!

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    2. Re:Drone Occupation by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The drone pilots at Nellis (Las Vegas) end up with PTSD like field soldiers do.

      While true, that is only because the screening program for that job weeds out abnormal people. Normal people simply don't want to kill other people, either in person or via remote control.

      However, such people do exist... Once the military figures out that they can get socially maladjusted people to fly the drones, they'll have no problems, because such people couldn't care less about killing "ragheads" or whoever the "bad guy of the week" happens to be.

    3. Re:Drone Occupation by Immerman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually I've heard the PTSD can be even worse - the human brain is apparently not that well suited to killing people 8-to-5 and then going home to the wife and kids who can't relate at all.

      On the other hand fully autonomous killing machines are currently being field-tested, and especially when there are no friendlies on the ground I fully such things to be deployed in a big way within a decade or two. And then we'll see just how ugly and expansionist the US war machine can really be.

      Fully autonomous programmer-drones on the other hand I don't expect to see any time soon.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    4. Re:Drone Occupation by l0ungeb0y · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Since the bar for invasion of another sovereign state is already set fairly low, what future transgression will be enough when no dead heroes need to return home

      I thought it was common knowledge that since the fall of the Berlin Wall, the US Gov't has been waging an escalating war on Private Citizens culminating in the last few year in new and improved ways to conduct mass surveillance, removal of their rights to a trial and killing them in drone strikes.

      No more pussy-footing around with stupid attempts at tyranny like saying "We Need to Suspend the Constitution for the War on Drugs" like Bush I stated to the nation. Now days we just call it "National Security" while we have a drone blow up a car carrying a US Citizen because he's a suspected terrorist sympathizer or wipe out a bunch of people attending a funeral because "intelligence sources confirmed a number of terrorists were likely to be present"

    5. Re:Drone Occupation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      ...while we have a drone blow up a car carrying a US Citizen because he's a suspected terrorist sympathizer ...

      There isn't much real doubt about Anwar al-Awlaki .

      Leaving aside this US citizen's extrajudicial execution (which his family repeatedly attempted to have the federal courts address before he was killed), I am presuming you felt his teenage son was worthy of the killing that was administered to him too?

      "Let's start killing people without trial, who haven't even killed anyone themselves. And then let's not get worked up when we kill US citizen minors, either," said no one reasonable.

    6. Re:Drone Occupation by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Once the military figures out that they can get socially maladjusted people to fly the drones, they'll have no problems, because such people couldn't care less about killing "ragheads" or whoever the "bad guy of the week" happens to be.

      Maybe fewer problems with PTSD, but one needs to remember that the military isn't just about violence, it's about controlled violence.

      You get somebody who doesn't care, much less enjoys it, and you increase the already present problems of uncontrolled or misdirected violence. And that costs more than a few cases of PTSD. I mean, besides the waste of drone time and the cost of the munitions you also have destroyed property that you end up paying for, medical bills for the survivors, settlements with the families of the deceased, lowered public perception, protests and sanctions from other governments*, etc...

      *For example, something as simple as denying the US Navy access to a port can cost us MILLIONS in shipping and resupply costs.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  2. Time to end the military industrial complex by litehacksaur111 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    As Eisenhower warned in his farewell address, I hope this news means we have finally heeded his warning and are moving towards dismantling the military industrial complex. All of that money could be used to rebuild the crumbling infrastructure we have right here at home.

    1. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 4, Funny

      All of that money could be used to rebuild the crumbling infrastructure we have right here at home.

      Oh, that would be pointless. Meth-heads will just steal the rebuilt infrastructure to sell to scrap metal dealers, again.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    2. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I hope this news means we have finally heeded his warning and are moving towards dismantling the military industrial complex.

      No. That is not what is happening. Almost all the proposed reductions are to fighting troops. Almost no cuts are to the bloated defense bureaucracy that make up the core of the MIC's revolving door. Hagel wants to reduce the muscle while protecting the belly fat. He is going about it all wrong anyway. Rather than trimming a little here, and a little there, it would be much better to completely eliminate a few big misguided programs. Killing the trillion dollar F-35 boondoggle would be a great place to start.

    3. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by icebike · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The last time we had such a recommendation it was to totally get rid of the Marine Corps.
      The next hear Gulf 1 started, and Kuwait was over run, and those same "useless" Marines once again arrived the firstest with the mostest.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    4. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by TWX · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Did you mean JSF, not JSOC?

      The A-10 is on the chopping block, as is the U2. What I don't get about the elimination of those is that one has proven itself extremely cost-effective in close-quarters ground support (as in using bullets, rather than relying on rockets and bombs) and extremely durable when taking fire (flying back with a wing missing) and the other has been extremely effective for quick-turnaround intelligence.

      Both programs are effective in the kind of engagements that we've found ourselves in during the last couple of decades and both are paid for. It's maintenance only, as opposed to development.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    5. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Informative

      Hagel wants to reduce the muscle while protecting the belly fat. He is going about it all wrong anyway.

      No, he's eliminating the parts of the Regular Army that can be (relatively) easily replaced by National Guard troops in time of trouble. He's keeping in place things like divisional command structures (we already have two divisions that are nothing more than HQ's to be filled out with 3 NG Brigades each in time of trouble) and the rear area parts of the Army which are needed in case we have to suddenly expand the force.

      Then again, he's getting rid of the A-10 also. Which is probably a bribe to the Air Force, since they've always hated having to provide close air support to the Army....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by cold+fjord · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    7. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Then again, he's getting rid of the A-10 also.

      The A-10 was bought and paid for decades ago, so that is not a big savings.

      Number of times we have need air-to-ground support, like the A-10 delivers, in the last two decades: tens of thousands.
      Number of times we we have need an air superiority fighter, like the F-35, in the last two decades: 0.

      Of course, the F-35 can do close air support, but it does it no better than the A-10, despite costing far, far, more to build, operate, and maintain.

    8. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by hibiki_r · · Score: 5, Funny

      We could solve that problem, and have major savings by replacing medicare with a 'free meth and oxycodone' program.

    9. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 5, Interesting
      The Army and Air Force need to be merged and the Navy, Coast Guard, and Marines need to be merged. The overlap there is just nuts, tons of overhead, procurement programs, command structure, etc...

      So you'd be left with an Army who does everything on land and a Navy who does everything at sea (and does landings on coasts, then hands off to the Army at about the 15 mile point inland).

    10. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, he's eliminating the parts of the Regular Army that can be (relatively) easily replaced by National Guard troops in time of trouble.

      No, there are no such things. In times of trouble we activate both the Army and the National Guard. See: The Persian Gulf. Not only did we activate them, but we subjected them to stop-loss programs (See: Slavery.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    11. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      for a lot of teenagers, the military is the only way into what resembles a middle class lifestyle.

      And that is why we are so warlike — we encourage it generation by generation. Maybe it's time to grow up and learn to cooperate.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    12. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by litehacksaur111 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yes, but that does not include the veterans benefits and health care when you say "defense spending".

    13. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by SuperBanana · · Score: 4, Informative

      Both programs are effective in the kind of engagements that we've found ourselves in during the last couple of decades and both are paid for. It's maintenance only, as opposed to development.

      "Maintenance only" when talking about military aircraft is huge, especially with planes that are 60 years old. There's a phrase in the general aviation world for planes that don't fly much and require a lot of maintenance - hangar queens. Both sitting around, and their age, causes maintenance headaches.

      Plus the cost of "staffing" is enormous. The U2 is enormously difficult to fly; at altitude, the window between stall (plummet to the ground) and Vmax (lose control surface functionality and/or rip pieces of the plane off) is something like 10mph. Training people in the things places the planes and people at risk; keep up the program and eventually you won't have any U2's left to fly. Then there's the problem of an unpressurized cockpit; pilots need to nitrogen-purge for hours before flight and wear what is almost a space suit. Oh, and it cannot evade modern SAM and AA missiles....and has no steal capabilities....yet has a human inside? The US needs another Gary Powers like a hole in the head.

      Then there's the fact that the U2 can only launch from a small number of bases (mostly designed to cover Russia), is slower, doesn't offer as nice real-time capabilities, and in the time it takes for a U2 pilot to plan a mission, suit up, prebreathe, etc - the drone is half-way enroute and they're figuring out the rest of the flightplan as they go. Nevermind that with so many commercial satellite imagery companies, chances are someone's already got the imagery you're looking for.

    14. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The US isn't particularly warlike.

      Who told you that, and why did you believe them? Check our our body count and our military expenditure, and look into how many conflicts we've been in per decade as compared to other nations, and get back to me.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    15. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by cold+fjord · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The Army and Air Force need to be merged and the Navy, Coast Guard, and Marines need to be merged.

      Canada did that decades ago, and it has been problematic in various ways. They have been "unmerging," assuming more of their old identifies.

      Royal Canadian Navy

      On 16 August 2011, the government renamed Maritime Command the "Royal Canadian Navy", renamed Air Command the "Royal Canadian Air Force" and Land Force Command the "Canadian Army".

      There has even been talk of Canada forming its own marine corps. It will be interesting to see which way they go with that if they do, something along the British model, the American model, or a hybrid. Perhaps the news will some day report, "Today, Canadian Royal Marine commandos took part in a daring mission to .... "
       

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    16. Re:Time to end the military industrial complex by dinfinity · · Score: 4, Informative

      You jest, but programs where drug abusers are allowed to do a free, limited, government funded amount of drugs in a safe environment actually decrease criminality, and costs to society, and generally improve the situation of the users and the environment where they would normally roam:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H...

      So, while doing away with Medicare isn't a very good idea, 'free [strictly regulated] meth' is probably a very good one.

  3. But will they shrink man-hours? Spending? by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Or are they just privatizing more military functions?

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  4. Plans to shink the US army by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ha! I'm going to beat him to it. I just need to steal some super-rare crystals stored at Los Alamos first, to complete my shrink ray. And a white kitten.

    --
    Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
  5. Makes sense. Its just the Army. by ClassicASP · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'd me more surprised if it were the marines or the navy seals being downsized. The Army is a lot of bulk manpower that just sits around for the most part and maintains control of areas that have already been seized from the enemy via the attacking efforts of the marines. Advancements of technology means drones and stationary automated turrets can do a lot of that defending work I'd imagine. Just gotta have some protected folks around to maintain control and change the batteries every now and then. Probably way more affordable than actual people. The marines and seals on the other hand can't be so easily replaced by a machine.

    1. Re:Makes sense. Its just the Army. by rmdingler · · Score: 3, Funny
      A Recon Marine, a Navy Seal, and an Army Ranger sat around the fire one evening discussing who was the toughest.

      The Recon Marine described his training, which included being dropped off in the middle of nowhere with a mark on a map for a rendezvous point, and his diet of raw bugs and reptiles as he struggled toward the LZ for five days.

      The Navy man regaled with the legendarily difficult, 90+% failure rate, Seal training program that requires a man to learn to swim like a fish, but kill like a lion.

      The Ranger took a long,quiet look at the others, squatted on his haunches, and stirred the coals in the fire with his fingers.

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    2. Re:Makes sense. Its just the Army. by germansausage · · Score: 3, Funny

      When I heard the joke it was a Marine telling it. It ended with " ...and the Marine just sat quietly, stirring the ashes with his dick."

  6. Re:But will they shrink man-hours? Spending? by artor3 · · Score: 4, Informative

    If these changes go through, it will actually reduce spending. We spent $670B on "defense" in 2013. This change would get us down to around $500B for the 2015 budget.

    This was already passed as a part of the sequester -- this story is really just discussing how the Pentagon plans to get under the limit set by the law. The budget that got passed in December rolled back a few of the sequester cuts, and I'm sure Republicans will push to roll back more. However, the Democrats will want new taxes on the rich to offset any further increases in military spending, and I doubt the Republicans will budge on that front, so any further changes are likely to be minimal.

    It looks like this is actually going to happen, and it's about damn time.

  7. Re:What is it good for? Absolutely $$$! by icebike · · Score: 3, Insightful

    He's saying as soon as you appear weak, you are weak.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  8. Re:But will they shrink man-hours? Spending? by hey! · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well, judging from TFA, they are cutting spending for FY 2015 to 496 bln, then raising it to 535, 545 and $559 bln in following years. That means if you deduct the wartime finding for Iran and Afghanistan, the baseline spending level will be back to pre-sequester levels, and as much as the next seven countries in defense spending rank put together.

    Not that spending is at all a measure of how much defense we get. One of the things the budget does is it retires the A10 Warthog attack plane which costs less than $18K/flight hour to operate and replaces it with the F-35, which is currently *promised* to cost $32K/flight hour, if it ever becomes combat ready.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  9. How could Iran look at you funny? They're dead. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    We attacked last week over a EULA violation.

    1. Re:How could Iran look at you funny? They're dead. by sjwt · · Score: 4, Funny

      Wait until the drones detect they have illegal copies of software installed, you bet your ass the EULA allows them to participate in a 'removal of corrupt authoritarian powers and replacement with a benevolent drone overload'

      I for one welcome our new drone overloads.

      --
      You have 5 Moderator Points!
      Which Helpless Linux zealot/MS basher do you want to mod down today?
  10. The Army could stand to be downsized... by Taelron · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The Marine Corps handles 90 to 95% of all "Peace Time" military actions while subsisting on the hand-me downs from the other branches and a paltry 3% of the Defense Budget. Navy Seal teams get more money for training ammo than the entire Marine Corps.

    At the beginning of the 1st Gulf War, the Marines were just getting the M1 Abrahms tanks the Army was swapping out for newer models (before that the Marines were still on old M60 tanks).

    In the late 90's (97-98) the Marines were just starting to get the venerable Singars radios. Up till then they were still using post-Vietnam era AN/PRC-77 radios.

    Time and time again the Army goes and asks for more men and money, new gear, etc, because they state they cant accomplish the mission with what they have.

    And time and time again the Marine Corps happily takes that "old outdated" equipment with fewer men and exceed... There has long been a rivalry between the branches, but maybe its time for the other branches to take a page out of the Corps manual and learn how to do more with less. You could drop military spending by half at least, if not more, by following the Marines lead.

  11. Re:Finally! by crunchygranola · · Score: 4, Informative

    ...

    Then why is the state buying ammo at an unprecented rate?

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2013/03/11/1-6-billion-rounds-of-ammo-for-homeland-security-its-time-for-a-national-conversation/

    ...

    You mean buying ammunition at a highly precedented and declining rate?

    Even Fox News more or less debunked this bit of conspiracy baiting.

    --
    Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  12. Re:Where are the ennemies by felrom · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Southeast Asia.

    China just launched its second aircraft carrier. India just launched its first, is building two more, and is buying 120 Rafales. South Korea is buying Apaches and F-15s (or maybe F-35s). Malaysia and Thailand want to buy AH-1Zs. Thailand is also modernizing its current fleet of western fighter planes. Japan just launched its first helicopter attack ship, is buying V-22s, and is no longer keeping up the pretense of only having a defensive force. The Philippines is begging us to come back and reopen a base in their country. The Norks are rattling the sabers as usual. Taiwan has some truly revolutionary anti-ship missiles. Vietnam is in the process of fielding 6 new submarines. Indonesia is in the middle of a large new naval buildup. In 2012, Singapore spent 24% of its national budget on its military.

    The entirety of southeast Asia is in the midst of an arms race the likes of which hasn't been seen since the European interwar period. And similar to that same period, we're cutting our military budget and shrinking the forces, even in the face of what's brewing among our allies.

    Is doing that right? Wrong? Who knows? I can't see the future. History tells us it's foolish. Maybe this time will be different.

  13. Re:But will they shrink man-hours? Spending? by artor3 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I don't see how that's relevant. We're talking about negotiations here. Increased military spending and decreased social spending are both things Republicans want.

    I was pointing out that the Republicans don't have anything they're willing to trade in order to stem the sequester cuts to military spending. The only way they could stave off the cuts would be by accepting increased taxes, and they're not willing to do that.

    I get the feeling you took my comment as a slight against Republicans, and posted some knee-jerk response. I'm only pointing out the reality of the negotiations.

  14. Re:But will they shrink man-hours? Spending? by artor3 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem is that the sequester is 50% defense, 50% everything else, but the defense budget is a minority of the Federal budget. That pushes the cuts disproportionately on the defense side.

    Totally irrational. The fact that the defense budget is a minority of the overall budget does not mean that it is a minority of the waste. The defense sector is filled with bloat, and is essentially just functioning as a make-work program in the districts of influential representatives. It would be far more efficient to take that same money and spend it on more direct social services.

  15. Re:End the MIC? by sjames · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You don't get to blame SS for that though. It had nothing to do with the baby boom or anything else. Through careful planning, SSA had it all covered until Congress busted the piggybank so they could cut taxes for the wealthy and pay for all that bumbling in Afghanistan and Iraq.

    Given that, it is perfectly reasonable that any military cuts and new (or reinstated really) taxes for the wealthy should go towards putting the money back where it came from.

    The responsible people are Congress for ordering SSA to make the loans. If it makes you feel better, I FULLY support your call for the responsible congressmen to spend some time in jail.

  16. The Air Force brass *never* wanted the A-10 by perpenso · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The Air Force brass *never* wanted the A-10, the A-10 was virtually forced upon them. There has never been a moment in time since the A-10 first flew that they were not trying to be rid of it.

    My understanding is that A-10s undergo a lot more mechanical stress during training and combat than B-52s and that the A-10 fleet is seeing a lot of micro-fractures in key structural areas. They have been cannibalizing old planes in storage but that source is just about dried up. They are at the point where they will need to manufacture new components, major components like wings. This is letting the brass finally get their way.

    1. Re:The Air Force brass *never* wanted the A-10 by perpenso · · Score: 3, Informative

      The Air Force pilots flying the A-10 love it. Many Air Force pilots flying other aircraft think the A-10 is an incredible and valuable aircraft, a perfect complement to the high performance fighters.

      Its really only the Air Force leadership that hates the A-10.

  17. Wish it was more by Brad1138 · · Score: 3

    These cut are a step in the right direction, But I would love to see them cut the size in half. I'm an American and do not like what we have been doing in the years since 9/11. That being said there are a lot of countries that rely on the U.S. to be their protectors and I am tired of that also. So many countries can afford to be prosperous because they don't need to spend much on military, let them fund their own military and we can spend our money here, where we need it. All our military is really doing is pissing the rest of the world off anyway.

    --
    If you could reason with religious people, there would be no religious people
  18. Re:Heratige foundation by cheesybagel · · Score: 3, Informative

    A lot of the items labeled as 'social security' are in fact veterans benefits.

  19. The Navy and Marine Corp are "merged" by perpenso · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The US Navy and Marine Corp are "merged" in some ways, command, procurement, etc. Together they represent the Naval Services commanded by the Department of the Navy.

    For example look at Marine Corp Aviation. Marine pilots are trained at the same schools along side Navy pilots and the Navy and Marines essentially fly the same aircraft. Marine squadrons are often deployed on aircraft carriers. There is one notable difference with respect to Marine pilots. They must first become infantry officers before starting aviation training.

    The Coast Guard also falls under the Department of the Navy when directed to do so by the President. This happened during WW1 and WW2. Normally the Coast Guard is performing missions that the military is prohibited from doing, law enforcement for example.

  20. Re:But will they shrink man-hours? Spending? by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Increased military spending and decreased social spending are both things Republicans want.

    In the last days of the USSR it's what the communists wanted, and did, as well.

  21. Re:It IS to blame, but so what? by sjames · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm pretty sure they would have found another piggy bank to bust if they hadn't had SS to put the bite on. Failing that they would have printed money.

    SS really should be paid back through a tax on the wealthy though. Otherwise it amounts to the wealthy literally robbing middle and lower class retirement funds to pay their bills for them (not that there's anything new about that).

  22. I think I've already read about this by reboot246 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If I remember correctly, I think it was called "The Fall of the Roman Empire".

  23. Downsize === Entire Canadian Military by fygment · · Score: 3, Informative

    At a worst case of about 80,000, the US ARMY is downsizing more people than are employed in the Royal Canadian Army, Navy, and,/i> Air Force put together.

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.