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Bitcoin Security Endangered By Powerful Mining Pool

An anonymous reader writes Ars Technica reports that for the first time in Bitcoin's five-year history, a single entity has repeatedly provided more than half of the total computational power required to mine new digital coins, in some cases for sustained periods of time. It's an event that, if it persists, signals the end of crypto currency's decentralized structure."

281 comments

  1. This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    But all the early-adopters / ponzi-schemers kept insisting that it was impossible.

    Told. You. So.

    1. Re:This is what we've warned you about by billstewart · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Mining pools and custom hardware do make it possible for a large enough group to get over 50%, especially as the need for mining hardware crowds CPU and GPU miners out of the game. We'll see whether they decide it's more useful to stay over 50% and cheat, stay over 50% and not cheat, or split the pool into two or more pieces to keep the value of their Bitcoins higher than they would be if the market abandons Bitcoin because of perceptions of cheating.

      --

      Bill Stewart
      New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
    2. Re:This is what we've warned you about by gweihir · · Score: 2

      Indeed. However, they are killing their own revenue-stream this way, unless people stay stupid. Well, judging from earlier ponzi-schemes, people will stay stupid until all their money is gone...

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    3. Re:This is what we've warned you about by westlake · · Score: 1

      Mining pools and custom hardware do make it possible for a large enough group to get over 50%
      We'll see whether they decide it's more useful to stay over 50% and cheat, stay over 50% and not cheat, or split the pool into two or more pieces to keep the value of their Bitcoins higher than they would be if the market abandons Bitcoin because of perceptions of cheating.

      do you need a large group or simply raw computational horsepower?

      and if they --- whoever "they" are ---- don't give a damn about the value of their holdings and are simply out to topple the inverted pyramid the geek has created, what then?

    4. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      could be the work of a government player with the intent of destabilizing and discrediting the currency completely. that would actually be an effective strategy to that at least.

    5. Re:This is what we've warned you about by gl4ss · · Score: 1

      raw computational horsepower would mean that you would have a large group.

      but at this point, it would be in the interests of some of the bigger contributors to this pool to put their machines on some other pool.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    6. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I made rigs and made lots of money. when it peaked at 1200 per coin i sold everything plus all my rig components. anyone hanging on to this is an idiot. peace.

    7. Re:This is what we've warned you about by ArsonSmith · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is it? I kept away from Bitcoin and the literally millions of dollars I could have made and this is the big fizzle that I was warned about. Fuck you! Fuck you and your fear mongering.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    8. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Travis+Mansbridge · · Score: 1

      Unless you got in before the fear mongering (or any widespread awareness), or you invested millions (which would be stupid at any point), you didn't miss out on "literally millions of dollars."

    9. Re:This is what we've warned you about by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      millions of dollars I could have made

      Hindsight is always 20/20, you made a decision based on a risk judgement because nobody can predict the future, we all have to wait for it to happen. Also what did you do with the money you didn't put into mining, I doubt you hide it under the mattress?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    10. Re:This is what we've warned you about by pantaril · · Score: 1

      But all the early-adopters / ponzi-schemers kept insisting that it was impossible.

      No one except trolls like you claims that 51% attack is impossible, on the contrary, the danger of it is explicitly mentioned even in the original bitcoin white paper. Maybe you should read it before spreading misinformations:

      Proof-of-work is essentially one-CPU-one-vote. The majority
      decision is represented by the longest chain, which has the greatest proof-of-work effort invested
      in it. If a majority of CPU power is controlled by honest nodes, the honest chain will grow the
      fastest and outpace any competing chains. To modify a past block, an attacker would have to
      redo the proof-of-work of the block and all blocks after it and then catch up with and surpass the
      work of the honest nodes. We will show later that the probability of a slower attacker catching up
      diminishes exponentially as subsequent blocks are added.

      https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pd...

    11. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mining pools and custom hardware do make it possible for a large enough group to get over 50%, especially as the need for mining hardware crowds CPU and GPU miners out of the game. We'll see whether they decide it's more useful to stay over 50% and cheat, stay over 50% and not cheat, or split the pool into two or more pieces to keep the value of their Bitcoins higher than they would be if the market abandons Bitcoin because of perceptions of cheating.

      Oh, yeah, I'm sure that'll work. After all, the current ratio of 99:1 for the USD has practically kept the 1% in the poorhouse.

      Yup, no way in hell the world would make a currency that corrupt the global standard, right?

      Now I know how ignorance insisted this could never happen to bitcoin.

    12. Re:This is what we've warned you about by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1

      For me, reading about Bitcoin when I first did, the money I would have invested in Bitcoin was spent in one transaction at a bar. For that investment (£20) at the purchase price of the time (20p per Bitcoin), I would currently own £35k worth of Bitcoin. 1750x return on investment.

      Ah well. That's life :)

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    13. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This exact scenario was predicted months ago:
      "When GHash.IO get the numbers to execute a 51% attack on Bitcoin - and there's little doubt they will - it's going to be ogre for Bitcoin. Forever."
      http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1v85lr/namecoin_is_currently_51_attack_vulnerable_right/

    14. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you also complain about buying insurance if your house didn't burn down?

    15. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For what it's worth, this is probably the usual FUD that occurs before someone takes a large position.

    16. Re:This is what we've warned you about by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1

      I'm stating verifiable fact, not saying that anyone shoudl buy them now.

      See the histories here, for how many bitcoin were in circulation, and here for their USD price history. Prior to approximately Feb 2011 bitcoin were less than $1, yet there were 5m available at that time. Buying 100 for £20 around that time was easily doable, and now, not even at the peak of over $1000, they would be worth north of $60,000.

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    17. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Feb 1st 2011: $1/BTC
      Feb 1st 2012: $6/BTC
      Feb 1st 2013: $22/BTC
      Feb 1st 2014: $800/BTC

      So lets say someone bought 100$ usd worth on any of those dates.

      Feb 1st 2011: 100 BTC
      Feb 1st 2012: 16.7 BTC
      Feb 1st 2013: 4.5 BTC
      Feb 1st 2014: 0.125 BTC

      Then say sold the coins they bought a year later:

      Feb 1st 2011: NA
      Feb 1st 2012: $600
      Feb 1st 2013: $367
      Feb 1st 2014: $3600

      So really it would have been a good buy even last year. We don't need to look back to 2011. Will it continue? I don't know, but like I said this 51% attack issue has been known for a long time and could be being brought up now as FUD before someone buys a ton of them. I wouldn't recommend it unless you understand what bitcoin is though.

    18. Re:This is what we've warned you about by ub3r+n3u7r4l1st · · Score: 1

      So, if you are so smart, either come up with the patch to fix this, or propose a new protocol that does not have the same problem, and does not involve any centralized entity such as the federal reserve.

    19. Re:This is what we've warned you about by dimeglio · · Score: 1

      Given the work required increases over time and that there are limited supplies of BTC, it will actually not be very effective.

      --
      Views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the author.
    20. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Agares · · Score: 1

      No way you actually got modded up for that comment? Well done, wish I could have been one of those people to give you points.

    21. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is it? I kept away from Bitcoin and the literally millions of dollars I could have made and this is the big fizzle that I was warned about. Fuck you! Fuck you and your fear mongering.

      Well, you could have bought Beanie Babies early on too, or speculated in pet rocks, but do you really feel bad about missing out on these things?

      Sometimes you just have to trust your BS radar and go with it.

    22. Re:This is what we've warned you about by jeffmeden · · Score: 1

      Mining pools and custom hardware do make it possible for a large enough group to get over 50%, especially as the need for mining hardware crowds CPU and GPU miners out of the game. We'll see whether they decide it's more useful to stay over 50% and cheat, stay over 50% and not cheat, or split the pool into two or more pieces to keep the value of their Bitcoins higher than they would be if the market abandons Bitcoin because of perceptions of cheating.

      Postulate 3 (split the pool up) raises a very interesting question: if the operators are anonymous, can the pool ever be split in such a way that we are sure the same group doesn't control both pools? With clandestine collaboration, two pools totalling over 50% of the total could perform the same treachery that a single pool would. Since we don't know who controls it, how do we know who *doesn't* control it, or does it matter?

    23. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only all the time! If only I could burn it down myself without it being a crime. I'd make so much money/get a new house!

    24. Re:This is what we've warned you about by hobarrera · · Score: 1

      If they do it right, the might be able to cheat unnoticed for a pretty long while.

    25. Re:This is what we've warned you about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You obviously don't understand how the protocol works let alone how a 51% attack can occur.

  2. I now have 50% of the Slashdot comments here! by billstewart · · Score: 0, Troll

    Bwahahah!

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
    1. Re:I now have 50% of the Slashdot comments here! by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 2

      Heh. I just stole 17% of your total.

    2. Re:I now have 50% of the Slashdot comments here! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bwahahah!

      No way, I do...

  3. Now I have over 50% of the comments! by billstewart · · Score: 1, Troll

    Better than First Post!

    And if this were Bitcoin, instead of Slashdot, I'd get to block the rest of you! Bwahahah! But it's not, so you'll probably crowd me out here soon enough.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
    1. Re:Now I have over 50% of the comments! by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 1

      I'll sell this post back to you -- for a price.

  4. Fear mongering much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's an event that, if it persists, signals the end of crypto currency's decentralized structure.

    The Bitcoin network doesn't control all the crypto currencies networks. It only controls the Bitcoin network. Even if a pool takes over, the other cryptos are safe from this particular takeover.

    What's going to be interesting is watching the trade value for Bitcoin. As of this writing, the value is around 598$USD, it was around 530$USD earlier today.

    1. Re: Fear mongering much? by sandertje · · Score: 2

      It does have severe ramifications for other crypto currencies. The other crypto currencies are modeled on Bitcoin, with just some parameters different. If Bitcoin can be compromised, this nearly immediately means the other currencies can be compromised as well. The end of Bitcoin would thus also signify the end of most, if not all, other crypto currencies.

    2. Re: Fear mongering much? by viperidaenz · · Score: 2

      That, and once bitcoin went bye bye, there would be an entity with massive computing power available to take over any other crypto currency.

    3. Re: Fear mongering much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It does have severe ramifications for other crypto currencies. The other crypto currencies are modeled on Bitcoin, with just some parameters different. If Bitcoin can be compromised, this nearly immediately means the other currencies can be compromised as well. The end of Bitcoin would thus also signify the end of most, if not all, other crypto currencies.

      All except one, Timekoin is not a copy/paste/rename of Bitcoin code. The model it uses is immune to those with the most CPU power and for the last 4 years with thousands of dollars offered as a reward, no one has been able to break its implementation of open digital currency. Bitcoin might have been a good beta test for the idea, by others have already solved the obvious issues long ago.

    4. Re: Fear mongering much? by Issarlk · · Score: 1

      It will be interesting to watch, since some other currencies use a different challenge, making the computer need memory in addition to the computing power to twart specialised asic miners.

    5. Re: Fear mongering much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go with Pandacoin then, specifically the current variant with the market symbol "PND". Being Proof-of-Stake now (formerly Proof-of-Work, for about three months, to get a large quantity of coins distributed as fairly as possible) makes it resistant to this kind of attack, but at the same time there is the Pandacoin multipool which you can mine at as well, either via Scrypt of X11 algorithms. That way you can still make some coin without having to "buy in" or trade something else. Seems a pretty safe bet in my opinion.

    6. Re: Fear mongering much? by pantaril · · Score: 1

      It does have severe ramifications for other crypto currencies. The other crypto currencies are modeled on Bitcoin, with just some parameters different. If Bitcoin can be compromised, this nearly immediately means the other currencies can be compromised as well. The end of Bitcoin would thus also signify the end of most, if not all, other crypto currencies.

      Not all cryptocurrencies use proof of work like bitcoin, some of them use proof of stake, combination of proof of work and proof of stake or maybe some completely different mechanism.

      Yes, other currencies which use proof-of-stake are also vulnerable to 51% attack but this is nothing new, this is a fact known from the beginning, it is explained in the original whitepaper by Satoshi Nakamoto.

    7. Re: Fear mongering much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After quickly looking it up I couldn't figure out how it works. Can you summarize?

    8. Re: Fear mongering much? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      For 10 million you can buy a quantum computer. Now, it's a primitive one to be sure, but what about in 10 years?
      Once that happens, well electronic currency has an addition huge risk attached to it.

      Sadly, E-Currency will never become practical.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    9. Re: Fear mongering much? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I primarily deal in E-Currency. Most of the time, I use a Visa account to move it around, and occasionally write small rectangular documents transferring some of it. What's left of my paycheck after deductions is automatically added to one of my E-Currency accounts. Every so often, I hit an ATM to get some paper tokens of value.

      Really, money has been almost exclusively in account balances for some time. The main difference between dollars and bitcoins in this is that dollars have a more hierarchical audit trail.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  5. Where's the guns to their heads? by waddgodd · · Score: 1

    One would assume that the thousands of other miners, if it was really that important to them, could easily step up their collective games and provide more hashing power than ghash can, even if ghash is actually claiming their entire rented-out customer base as their own (a rough equivalence of this would be if, say, Hertz was claimed to control more than half the roads because the cars on it are Hertz rent-a-cars).

    --
    Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they aren't out to get you
    1. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by mpthompson · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I believe the issue isn't so much whether one group can counteract another. Rather, it is something happening that the promoters of Bitcoin claim should not happen. It doesn't instill confidence in a crypto currency when what you say is impossible (or extremely improbable) is proven to be false and your only backup is relying on parties to "play fair".

    2. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Barlo_Mung_42 · · Score: 1

      I guess I don't see how this was even considered improbable. The amount of coin you dig is based on the amount of power ($$$) you put into it. What was ever in place to keep a very rich person or group of less rich people from stepping in and doing this?

    3. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      your only backup is relying on parties to "play fair".

      Yes, I always found it odd that libertarians and the flower power people don't get along with each other.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    4. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who says they don't?

    5. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by pantaril · · Score: 1

      I believe the issue isn't so much whether one group can counteract another. Rather, it is something happening that the promoters of Bitcoin claim should not happen. It doesn't instill confidence in a crypto currency when what you say is impossible (or extremely improbable) is proven to be false and your only backup is relying on parties to "play fair".

      I see that only bitcoin haters are incorrectly claiming that bitcoin promoters say that 51% attack is impossible. But that is simply untrue. The 51% attack is clearly described in the original whitepaper by Satoshi Nakamoto in the proof-of-work section and it is well understood by bitcoin enthusiasts. How are we saying that 51% is impossible when we describe it in our core specification?

    6. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Fr33z0r · · Score: 1

      it is something happening that the promoters of Bitcoin claim should not happen

      "The system is secure as long as honest nodes collectively control more CPU power than any cooperating group of attacker nodes."
      - Bitcoin Whitepaper, Page 1

    7. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Rich0 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      One would assume that the thousands of other miners, if it was really that important to them, could easily step up their collective games and provide more hashing power than ghash can...

      I wouldn't assume this at all. Back when everybody was mining with CPUs then a popular appeal might get people to donate a ton of unused CPU capacity to beating a big miner.

      However, today mining is done with ASICs which are many orders of magnitude faster than any CPU you can buy. An Intel CPU might mine 10-20 Mhash/s, and and ASIC stats are measured in high GH/s to the low TH/s. So, you'd need 100,000 CPUs dedicated to mining to equal a single ASIC unit.

      The current hash rate is 100 PH/s having doubled in the last two months, or the equivalent of 10 billion Intel CPUs. Are there even 10 billion modern Intel CPUs in existence? You'd probably need $100M to just buy that many ASICs (if I didn't miscount my zeros), which gives you a sense of the scale of Bitcoin mining today. That mining collective operates about $50M worth of hardware, though I guess controlling an entire currency for a $50M investment isn't bad.

      It is a bit like saying that if it was really important people could team up in neighborhoods and produce cars, and the collective might of the entire US population could outproduce the big 3 car manufacturers. The problem is that an optimized robot-assisted assembly line can churn out a LOT of cars, and building one by hand in a garage takes a very long time even setting aside the logistics nightmare which isn't much better when you're making one car vs a million of them. 10k workers in a factory could very well produce more cars than the entire rest of the population working at home combined.

    8. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. To reiterate. "It is something happening that the promoters of Bitcoin claim should not happen". Not that they didn't say can't happen, just that it shouldn't. But it is. So now the question is, is that cooperating group honest?

    9. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's more an issue of how much it costs to sustain the attack vs the reward of performing it. Likely we will see such an attack soon (it is about time for a serious test of this), the network will wait it out, and the attackers will be much poorer. People will just have to wait for 12 confirms or so rather than 6.

    10. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by stenvar · · Score: 1

      That bullshit. The "promoters of Bitcoin" made a reasonable assumption about adversaries and stated it clearly up front; there was no "backup" and they didn't assume that people would "play fair".

      You could decide whether you wanted to take that risk or not, no "confidence" required. Furthermore, the only reason it is in this situation is because the US government has obstructed its adoption; if it were in widespread use, this imbalance wouldn't exist.

    11. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by CauseBy · · Score: 1

      The libertarians and the flower people say they don't.

    12. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Hippies like social solution.
      Libertarians think anything social is communist.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    13. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by geekoid · · Score: 1

      They assumption that people need to 'play fair' is built in.
      That's the problem with e-currency. There are a lot of powerful actors who have no intention of playing fair and will use large amount od resource to either destroy a currency or break a currency.
      Currency is attacked everyday.

      "US government has obstructed its adoption;"
      It has done no such thing.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    14. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by stenvar · · Score: 1

      They assumption that people need to 'play fair' is built in.

      Repeating this obvious nonsense again and again doesn't make it true. Bitcoin assumes adversaries and widespread attacks. That's the whole point of a cryptographic currency: to guard against such attacks.

      "US government has obstructed its adoption;" It has done no such thing.

      You should take your signature line on Dunning Kruger to heart... and stop embarrassing yourself.

    15. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one ever said a 51% attack was not possible. We have always said its a real risk.
      Either a solution will be found, like forced (by the protocol itself) P2PPool mining, or bitcoin will get compromised, and a new version will be bootstrapped that fixes this inherent problem.
      These are all challenges that can and will be solved, just like the security challenges we faced with the internet and TP/IP in the late 80's early 90's.
      These are simple issues that will be overcome, and some smart individuals will make a fortune doing so.
      Bitcoin is still in its early days, it will probably be almost unrecognizable from what it is today in 2 years. Keypairs will be built into hardware devices , completly seperated from the OS for one thing. mining will not be done in centralized pools, and we will see much more flexibility and ease of use in the addition of counterpartys to transactions.
      AT some point , especially once hardware becomes widly adopted, the buy in required to change the core protocol form miners, wallet companies, harware vendors, payment processors, etc will be so great that the protocol will freeze, just like IPV4 did. and then we will move on to the next layer on top of bitcoin to implement features and fixes (think NAT , to fix IPV4 limmitations). Point is, some people are going to see problems as insurmountable "told you so" things, and others(the ones who will be the leaders in this next generation of technology) will only see golden opportunity.

    16. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Richy_T · · Score: 1

      The theory (and I say this as a supporter of Bitcoin) was that as this situation was approached, miners would see the risk they were bringing to their earnings and move away from any pool that was getting anywhere near 50%.

      Unfortunately, as it turns out, GHash has a model which (Apparently due to braindead investors) rewards miners far better than any other pool or solo mining. So it becomes a prisoner's dilemma for the miners and no one was leaving. In the end, from my understanding, Gigahash effectively took their own miners out of their own pool to "Save the day". Unfortunately, it may be too little too late just as you can't lose your virginity a little bit. Once that line is crossed... It's going to be interesting to see what comes next.

    17. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Richy_T · · Score: 1

      It's not so much "are they honest?" as "what if they're not". It's the same reason many of us weren't happy when Bush was helping himself to all those powers and now those who supported him are now crying about Obama taking it forward. Some things are just bad on principle.

    18. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by waddgodd · · Score: 1

      Block erupters are $20 at Amazon last time I checked...

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they aren't out to get you
    19. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      In what way has the US government obstructed bitcoin? AFAICT, they have approached it just like any other currency-like thing. Where have they done anything differently? (If you're going to say that bitcoin can't thrive in the normal financial regulatory system, I'd say that's a problem with bitcoin rather than the US government. The regulations are there for a reason, and everybody else in the space complies. Bitcoin should not need special dispensation.)

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    20. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by stenvar · · Score: 1

      AFAICT, they have approached it just like any other currency-like thing.

      They have, in that many "other currency-like things" are illegal or frowned upon by the federal government.

      The regulations are there for a reason

      Yes, mostly so that politicians, like our crony capitalist in chief, can enrich their buddies in industry, finance, and banking.

      Bitcoin has been intended to undermine that kind of political corruption, which is precisely why the federal government has been trying to interfere with it.

    21. Re:Where's the guns to their heads? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but CPUs are something that everybody already has and are idle most of the time.

      If you buy one of these things, it is for the express purpose of generating hashes, and not a lot of them. Also, that unit is 10x faster than a CPU, but that is hardly earth-shattering. Serious mining equipment is measured in GH or even TH/s.

      The global hash rate is 120PH/s. So, 51% of that would be about 100M of these devices.

      Sure, if EVERYBODY in the US/EU bought one right now then hash generation would be truly distributed, but only if they upgraded them to newer hardware every other month.

  6. It's just human nature... by mpthompson · · Score: 5, Interesting

    But having a single entity in GHash's position, of holding 51 percent of the mining power, of being in a monopoly position, of being able to launch any of these attacks at will, completely violates the spirit and intent of Bitcoin as a currency.

    Given enough of an incentive, has there ever been in history a man-made system, technical, political or otherwise, that hasn't been undermined and exploited by those with the capability and power to do so?

    Probably best this happens to Bitcoin sooner rather than later. As fine as Bitcoin is, believing that technology alone can defeat human nature is a fools errand. We are betting off investing in creating more moral men and woman and a society that sustains them than technology that is supposed to be infallible against basic human nature.

    1. Re:It's just human nature... by Beck_Neard · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Not to mention that every time a bug or vulnerability has been found in some part of the bitcoin ecosystem (like in Mt.Gox's non-standard trading software), the vulnerability HAS been exploited. Every single time. If you really think that someone isn't going to use this power (or hasn't already), you're dead wrong. Even worse, they can double-trade coins in a way that no one would ever find out, even if they dropped back below 51%. A few smaller cryptocurrencies got completely destroyed by 51% attacks. I think the bitcoin community will be watching this development very closely.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    2. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not to mention the environmental damage is huge. They use a ton of electricity to basically do nothing... they're not curing cancer or anything. They're making up numbers.

    3. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But having a single entity in GHash's position, of holding 51 percent of the mining power, of being in a monopoly position, of being able to launch any of these attacks at will, completely violates the spirit and intent of Bitcoin as a currency.

      Given enough of an incentive, has there ever been in history a man-made system, technical, political or otherwise, that hasn't been undermined and exploited by those with the capability and power to do so?

      Probably best this happens to Bitcoin sooner rather than later. As fine as Bitcoin is, believing that technology alone can defeat human nature is a fools errand. We are betting off investing in creating more moral men and woman and a society that sustains them than technology that is supposed to be infallible against basic human nature.

      This is possibly one of the most insightful and true things ever said on slashdot.

    4. Re:It's just human nature... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      " We are betting off investing in creating more moral men and woman and a society that sustains them"

      Been trying that for millenia. Success is limited.

    5. Re:It's just human nature... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      like in Mt.Gox's non-standard trading software

      Since they were the main players MTGOX were the standard.

    6. Re:It's just human nature... by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I agree. The main problem with modern capitalism is that a particular economic activity does not have to make sense, nor does it have to contribute to the growth/maintenance of civilization, it just has to make a profit. OTOH the phrases "make sense" and "civilization" are both subjective terms.

      Bitcoins are just an obvious example. Here in Australia we ship millions of tons of bauxite several thousand km's from a mine bathed in sub-tropical desert sunshine all year round to the southern end, and turn it into aluminium. We spent billions on port infrastructure to do so. Why? - Because the southern state's government build a brown coal generator specifically for the smelter and sold the electricity to the smelter for virtually zero profit. It beggars belief that it was (supposedly) more "economical" to do this than it was to build a solar smelter right next to the "fly in, fly out" mine located in the middle of the fucking desert.

      To the right wing nutters that may misinterpret the above, I'm not advocating we throw away capitalism. I agree that no matter what the game is, people will adapt to the rules of the game guided by self interest, but without rules there is no game. We need to step back and rethink the rules in light of the object of the game.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    7. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, they weren't. The standard (protocol-wise) is, by definition, what at least 51% of the bitcoin network's computational power uses. MtGox's software made some dodgy assumptions about that standard. However big they were, the consensus of bitcoin nodes always trumps one trading site. And that's why having 51% controlled by one group is a bad thing.

    8. Re:It's just human nature... by N3x)( · · Score: 1

      Of course someone would find out. There can only be one blockchain and when your coins suddenly aren't a part of it anymore they are no longer valid coins and can't be spent. Which is something most would notice.

    9. Re:It's just human nature... by gnasher719 · · Score: 1

      Since these exploits are illegal, a _known_ group cannot perform them. And I'd say that if you have 51% of the bit coin mining capacity, you are a big group and can be identified.

    10. Re:It's just human nature... by Rockoon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      To the right wing nutters that may misinterpret the above, I'm not advocating we throw away capitalism

      Clearly, since your example begins with government having a power plant built and then selling its capacity at cost.

      This sort of thing is highly unlikely in real capitalism where the owner of the power plant would want to justify this particular use of the money over other particular uses. It is only through force of government, with specific government action, that your example exists at all.

      But yes, the Statist might try to pass off your example as an "anti-capitalism" thing.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    11. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You claim 'every single fault has been exploited so far' is incorrect. The claim 'every single exploit was based on a subset of faults in implementation' was so far true.

    12. Re:It's just human nature... by reanjr · · Score: 1

      I don't understand your claim that no one would find out. If they double-spend, one recipient of that double spend is going to find out very quickly.

    13. Re:It's just human nature... by pantaril · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the environmental damage is huge. They use a ton of electricity to basically do nothing...

      They don't do nothing. They try to secure (so far quite successfully) the first and biggest distributed cryptocurrency and payment network.

    14. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I agree. The main problem with modern [s]capitalism[/s] socialism is that a particular economic activity does not have to make sense, nor does it have to contribute to the growth/maintenance of civilization, it just has to make a profit. OTOH the phrases "make sense" and "civilization" are both subjective terms."

      Fixed it for you since you CLEARLY have no understanding of capitalism... of course most of socialism(sic communism) make absolutely no sense...

    15. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This sort of thing is highly unlikely in real capitalism where the owner of the power plant would want to justify this particular use of the money over other particular uses. It is only through force of government, with specific government action, that your example exists at all.

      That reminds me, the marxist notion of the state is an armed body of men.

      Something that's supposed to become obsolete and whither away

    16. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are betting off investing in creating more moral men and woman and a society that sustains them than technology that is supposed to be infallible against basic human nature.

      Ah, the eternal pipe dream of socialists and Christians: "the world would be a paradise if only human nature were like we say it should be, and we are (somehow) going to make people behave that way, even if it kills them". But instead of paradise, you only produce hell on earth. That's because you don't even understand what morality or a functioning society are.

      As for Bitcoin, its primary intent is to protect people from people like you, people who think that they can somehow transform human nature and society. I think that's why you hate it so much.

    17. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no chance of course that a government corrupted by money from a greedy company arranged this for the greater profit of companies with no concern for the people. the anti-statist people (love that term statist) love to call for reduced government power whenever large companies exercise their power over the state and cause further social decay by forcing govt to allow them to externalize costs, making the govt look bad. government may not be perfect, but without it we have NO representation in the power structure. of course, the severe right wing et al want this, and want a return to feudalism, either because they do have power, or dream of the power to harm others.

    18. Re:It's just human nature... by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "Since these exploits are illegal"
      and what do you base that on?

      " a _known_ group cannot perform them. "
        a _known_ group who needs to fear the law cannot perform them.
      Of course on person with specific malware can create a large group of people who are unaware they are part of it.
      And foreign nations are also a large group.
      As are several global gangs.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    19. Re:It's just human nature... by mythosaz · · Score: 2

      Illegal?

      In what country? Internetia?

    20. Re:It's just human nature... by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Well, maybe.

      Nothing stops somebody running a big mining collective from taking some of the hashes they discover and submitting them under an anonymous ID and then just throwing away the bitcoins they receive for that one transaction.

      The mining collectives brag about their results and of course they want to profit from the bitcoins, so they do it under their own name now.

      Also, it doesn't have to be one big org - it could be a conspiracy between the operators of a few pools that add up to 51%. Those who run the orgs don't necessarily need to know about it either - would the board of some mining company notice if a few of their hashes weren't cashed in?

    21. Re:It's just human nature... by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      That's quite likely. But don't blame capitalism for the propensity of some people to use the power of the state for their own ends. Socialism and communism seem to fall prey to the same human weaknesses.

    22. Re:It's just human nature... by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      There are ways to obfuscate the block-chain so that it becomes very hard to tell which coins are legitimate and which were double-spent (actually, a double-spent coin is 'legitimate', since the thing that defines legitimacy in the network is number of confirmations, which it would have). The only safe option is for the rest of the community to wrestle back mining power and then invalidate all blocks that were confirmed after the pool got 51%. This would eliminate double-spent coins, but it would create another problem: if any dollar exchanges happened during that time, the exchanges would be left holding the bag. It would be extremely hard to tell which transactions were legitimate and which weren't.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    23. Re:It's just human nature... by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      Nope. If someone has 51% control they can effectively create a private blockchain and no one else would even have access to the information required to find out. If it dropped below 51%, people could find out, but if the blockchain were obfuscated enough this would be very hard.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    24. Re:It's just human nature... by N3x)( · · Score: 1

      This doesn't seem correct. I have checked the available docs: https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Wea... Even if you control the blockchain you still have to broadcast it otherwise the chain will split and the broadcasted one would become the real one.

    25. Re:It's just human nature... by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      Yes, but if your goal is to convert the bitcoins to cash, you don't have to broadcast it immediately. You can create the private blockchain, quickly run through an exchange, then broadcast.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    26. Re:It's just human nature... by N3x)( · · Score: 1

      well if you don't broadcast then you won't get any confirmations and the exchange won't accept your transfer. AFAIK the double spend 51%+ attack is where you make an ordinary transaction let it confirm and then build your own blockchainfork that doesn't have this transaction and since your private chain is built faster than the regular chain you can then release your chain and it would supercede the public as it is longer. But you have to get away with the money/goods before this and it's very very expensive in processor time, so you have to get away with millions for it to be worth it. And most exchanges do have enough of a delay for this approach to be unfeasible.

    27. Re:It's just human nature... by Beck_Neard · · Score: 1

      > so you have to get away with millions for it to be worth it.

      Not if you're not paying for the processors yourself i.e. you control a mining pool. In fact it would be very counterproductive to just make off with millions, because you'd be quickly found out that way. The best way would be to go slow and steady; each time you edge up 51% steal a few thousand dollars or less. Do that enough times and you could make serious money without having any costs at all beyond what it takes to run a mining pool.

      --
      A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    28. Re:It's just human nature... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      What it comes down to is that successful capitalists don't like capitalism, and will attempt to suppress it in others. Making it in the free market is work. If you can coerce somebody else into providing free power, or artificial barriers to entry, that's more money for less work.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    29. Re:It's just human nature... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah yes the mythical "real" capitalism that can do no wrong and is the perfect path to a utopia.

      Any form of capitalism that is imperfect isn't real and therefore doesn't apply to arguments about capitalism! (And you wonder why nobody takes libertarians seriously)

      Sorry, but we have plenty of real capitalism here today. Ask any real capitalist about getting free power from a government run plant and he'll tell you that it's the purest of pure free market goodness and that you're literally taxing him if you taking away his taxpayer funded government welfare.

      How can you blame him? He paid his real hard earned money to bribe those politicians! He put a lot of money in to those think tanks and friendly news outlets that poison the public debate! That is 100% free market commerce and you're a communist if you think otherwise.

  7. Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyways by mysidia · · Score: 4, Informative

    Not yet anyways.

    6 months ago GHash.IO promised they would (1) Take steps to prevent accumulating 51% hashing power, including: not accepting new miners, and (2) They would not attempt an attack, and (3) They would provide cex.io users an option to use another mining pool (They have apparently not implemented (3) yet).

    A DDoS against the pool was reported to occur yesterday, which adversely affected mining. At one point... their hashrate was reported to have dropped to 7%. Then BitFury pulled 1 PH/s out of their pool.

  8. Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time ago. by Animats · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Bitcoin stopped being a distributed system a long time ago. All the serious miners now have data-center sized installations of custom boards with custom ASICs. Some are liquid-cooled. The original idea was millions of end users running Bitcoin mining as a background job on their CPU. That's totally dead.

  9. What happens if by goombah99 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I wonder what happens if someone with more than enough CPU power to get 99% of the mining jumps in one night. What kind of Damage could they do in a short interval before people notice? What if their goals were not to steal bitcoins but rather to snatch all the coins from, say, Kim Jong Un, or Al Queda. E.g. for example the NSA or Samsung or Saudi arabia. They would not care about the loss of value in their stolen coins, the point is to deprive an adversaries use of them.

    Does the Amazon or Azure networks have enough rentable time to pull this off?

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:What happens if by goombah99 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Also if the bit coin miners get concentrated into just a few, what happens if these 3 were to get DDOSed? if the big miners are off line then would the next largest miner have a window of time where they controlled more than 50% of the mine? Would they be able to pull off some shenanigans in that time?

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    2. Re:What happens if by gweihir · · Score: 2

      Amazon and Azure are far too expensive, unless a state-actor is willing to invest a few billions.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    3. Re:What happens if by sFurbo · · Score: 4, Informative

      The difficulty is updated every 2016 blocks, or roughly every two weeks. If the amount resources spent on mining was suddenly reduced extensively, the mining would just go much slower until the next update, so no one would be able to take advantage of that (although it could be problematic for bitcoin, if e.g. the update went from 10 minutes to 100 minutes). After the next difficulty update, the difficulty would be low, but if the mining pools were back up, you would not be able to control bitcoin. Even if the update rate goes to 1 minute, this will only persist for 201,6 minutes, or a few hours.

      All of this is assuming that no other response was done in the two weeks after the DDOS.

    4. Re:What happens if by dbIII · · Score: 1

      unless a state-actor

      Wouldn't they just use distributed malware?

    5. Re:What happens if by lgw · · Score: 3

      If someone rents 1,000,000 Amazon severs to mine bitcoins, would you pick a DDOS fight with that. Even with special purpose HW, it's unlikely to be a small pipe.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    6. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I wonder what happens if someone with more than enough CPU power to get 99% of the mining jumps in one night. What kind of Damage could they do in a short interval before people notice? What if their goals were not to steal bitcoins but rather to snatch all the coins from, say, Kim Jong Un, or Al Queda. E.g. for example the NSA or Samsung or Saudi arabia. They would not care about the loss of value in their stolen coins, the point is to deprive an adversaries use of them.

      Does the Amazon or Azure networks have enough rentable time to pull this off?

      Thanks to ASIC mining, they're not even close. You need specialized hardware and lots of it to make to get a noticeable market share these days. For mining, a GPU is about 100-200x faster than a CPU, and the newest ASIC mining boxes are 1000 - 5000x faster than a GPU.

    7. Re:What happens if by N3x)( · · Score: 5, Informative

      Well the thing is, getting 51% doesn't mean you can steal any coins. It means you get to control who can and cannot spend their coins. Also you would be able to do "double spends" of coins in certain situations. Getting 51% means you control the transfer service not the coins themselves. Also it would be really really expensive and once you stop the network will start working as normal again.

    8. Re:What happens if by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3

      If someone rents 1,000,000 Amazon severs to mine bitcoins, would you pick a DDOS fight with that. Even with special purpose HW, it's unlikely to be a small pipe.

      One potential complication is that 'mining' isn't particularly bandwidth intensive (not quite zero, and more miners require more bandwidth, to cover updating all of them when it a block is found and you need to get new work units immediately since you now know that all the other candidates are incorrect; but overall quite minimal); but it is computationally demanding and very much rewards specialized hardware.

      Most of the hardware you can easily rent in places with ample bandwidth will be aimed at customers who want to do web services. Comparatively anemic CPUs; plenty of storage and RAM, nice fat connection; maybe some offerings with faster CPUs or GPU compute units if the vendor has been dabbling with those sorts of customers.

      I definitely wouldn't pick a bandwidth fight with such a thing, unless I had some delightfully clever amplification attack up my sleeve; but even at Amazon prices you would be burning insane amounts of money to get a hashrate that would even make you worth paying attention to.

      If anything, I'd consider the reverse strategy: much of the world's crazy-ASIC capacity is probably on relatively narrow pipes because that's all they need. Don't bother trying to rent enough to out-compute them, use the rentals in high-bandwidth areas to knock as many ASIC clusters that aren't your collaborators as possible offline.

    9. Re:What happens if by pantaril · · Score: 1

      I wonder what happens if someone with more than enough CPU power to get 99% of the mining jumps in one night. What kind of Damage could they do in a short interval before people notice? What if their goals were not to steal bitcoins but rather to snatch all the coins from, say, Kim Jong Un, or Al Queda. E.g. for example the NSA or Samsung or Saudi arabia. They would not care about the loss of value in their stolen coins, the point is to deprive an adversaries use of them.

      First it is highly improbable that someone with 99% of current hashing power would suddenly emerge out of the blue. He would need pretty big and completely secret hardware factory for making ASIC mining chips.
      Second you can't steal third-party bitcoins even with 51% attack because you don't have control of the private keys necessary to sign the transaction. Only thing you can do is try to double-spend your own bitcoins - craft one fake transactions which sends your coins to merchant than overwrite it with another transaction which sends the money back to your own address.

    10. Re:What happens if by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Amazon and Azure are far too expensive, unless a state-actor is willing to invest a few billions.

      Unless either is somehow hiding unbelievable losses from overbuying capacity they can't sell, they'd likely get even more expensive if anyone actually had a serious try: power isn't free, so there is presumably a price for EC2 spot instances so low that they won't even fire up the server; but depreciation isn't free, so both Amazon and Microsoft presumably work rather hard to keep their supply close to the available demand and have most of the churn at a given time be give-and-take between cost-sensitive; but failure tolerant, spot customers, and less cost sensitive, less failure tolerant, reserved and on-demand customers, with very little going idle if they can help it.

      If you had vast financial resources; but wanted the capacity Now, you could buy out all the spot instances in no time, and with no special fuss; but you'd have to have a special talk with Amazon about suspending normal on-damand pricing and booting all those customers, and a still touchier talk about the possibility of telling all the 'reserved instance' customers that a more important client has come up, so sorry, and booting them. Displacing the resources allocated to Amazon's own e-commerce operations would also be a touchy business.

      Both Amazon and MS do a pretty good job of, at amazingly low cost, making sure that there appears to be as much capacity as you want at any given time; but they'd go bankrupt in short notice if that were actually true for radically atypical requests. Even if you paid for buildout, and were willing to wait while the contractors scrambled and shoved stuff in containers and trailers and things, the semiconductor industry is 'just-in-time' all the way down, more or less.

      If a state actor (especially American) wanted to roll Bitcoin, they'd probably be better off designing a mining ASIC, or contracting Intel/IBM/some much quieter fabless contractor that usually does custom bits for NRO satellites/whoever to do it, and then using some combination of large amounts of money and insinuations of special consideration on future contracting to get it fabbed by one of the classy outfits that the plucky little ASIC startups(the ones that aren't just scams) just don't have access to.

      I definitely wouldn't want to argue with the Ghashes/watt of a well designed ASIC produced by someone who has the clout and the cash to get it produced on Intel's fancy process of the moment...

    11. Re:What happens if by wbr1 · · Score: 1
      You could not use your ownership of the pool to steal coins. The work done validates transactions. You could double spend, or deny transactions, but to my knowledge not forge them. But I am a crypto currency newb so I may be wrong.

      However the cost to even attempt it would be exceedingly prohibitive.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    12. Re:What happens if by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

      Malware is handy because it makes Ghashes/watt much less relevant (though, with the portion of today's computing power that is in battery powered or thermally constrained devices, you have to be careful that your compute malware doesn't cause even the most idiotic of users to notice that their laptop now scalds their flesh and lasts 45 minutes on a full charge and bring it in for repair, an uptick that vendors would probably notice relatively quickly and get actually-competent security consultants involved in); but what it doesn't do is change the fact that CPU mining is basically a toy at this point.

      Sporadic amounts of time on a few hundred thousand to few million CPUs is still hardly valueless, especially if you pay none of the costs other than a command-and-control server; but you'll be a relatively small player. Not a bad gig if you can get it; but you won't be a kingmaker.

    13. Re: What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope. The processing power of the bitcoin network is substantial;it is, however, single purpose custom ASICs.

      In terms of general purpose CPU equivalence, you would need about 10 billion of the latest Xeon CPUs, to get 50% (or about 200 million of the latest GPUs).

      I'm not even sure if that much general purpose computing power exists in the world.

      The other issue is that dozens of manufacturers are pumping out bitcoin ASICs at an incredible rate - the bitcoin network hash rate is currently increasing exponentially at 1-2% per day!

    14. Re:What happens if by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 2

      Given the fairly low bandwidth demands of bitcoin mining (only slightly higher than just keeping a client up to date with the blockchain, and increasing with size only by a fairly low constant factor as you need to grab more work units), I wonder what sort of connections most of the world's bitcoin hashing power is on?

      Unless there is some sort of "yeah, it's just DSL speeds, but we do something really clever upstream to make it as hard to DDOS as a connection a million times as fast" service, that might actually be how Amazon, Azure, or any other web-services-oriented rental service could manipulate the bitcoin scene:

      Not by computing; because CPU miners are toys; but by DDOSing all concentrations of mining power not aligned with they hypothetical attacker into smoking craters long enough to substantially magnify the effective representation of the attacker's compute assets...

      Perhaps Russian Business Network wishes to consider, yes?

    15. Re:What happens if by postbigbang · · Score: 4, Funny

      There are still botnets, yes running on ancient XP machines with CPUs best measured in furlongs per fortnight, with zillions of captured kernels that might, for that brief moment, create hashing power of the kind that the world has never known. Dimming the planetary grid, perhaps even the very sun itself, t even phashes would be spewed higher than a volcano, and for that brief moment, a new zillionaire would be annointed.

      And at the end, we'd just have more hash. Pass me the ketchup bottle, please.

      --
      ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    16. Re:What happens if by reanjr · · Score: 1

      The BTC network power went past the point where the only entity with the resources to take control like that is the US government. Maybe not even them anymore. But it would be such a vast investment in hardware, the bill for such an endeavor to the American taxpayer would be difficult to get past congress.

    17. Re:What happens if by reanjr · · Score: 1

      That said, it would be relatively easier for the NSA to just take control of Gigahash or some other 51% group to disrupt the network.

    18. Re:What happens if by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      Amazon and Azure are far too expensive, unless a state-actor is willing to invest a few billions.

      A state actor of sufficient size wouldn't need to rent space; they could just harness their existing resources in a pool. How much power could the US, for example, tap if every PC they control began harvesting Bitcoins? They have the network, admin rights to add programs, programming skill to develop the required programming, and would not care if the added electrical cost outweigh the value created since making money is not the goal. As an added bonus, some of the supercomputers could be added to the mix as well.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    19. Re:What happens if by reanjr · · Score: 1

      You really think the federal government has the programming skill to pull off something like that? An organization run on software from the 80s?

    20. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And 75.19322375002323477% of all numbers stated on the Intarwebz are pulled from someones arse!

    21. Re:What happens if by ocean_soul · · Score: 1

      Maybe I should take up my research into quantum computers and quantum cryptography again :-). When I was still working in that field, I didn't think it might give me some money/power someday.I wonder how difficult the bitcoin cryptography is for a quantum algorithm...

    22. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You think the federal government is one monolithic organization, from an IT perspective, how cute.

    23. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it wouldn't. Now shut your whore mouth.

    24. Re:What happens if by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      You really think the federal government has the programming skill to pull off something like that? An organization run on software from the 80s?

      Yes, primarily because if the decide they want to do it they have the money to do it. In addition, while there is a lot of old legacy systems running mundane tasks there are some very sophisticated computing technology and skills that can be tasked to work on the problem. This wouldn't be a run of the mill operation but rather something run out of an intelligence agency where a team could be dedicated to such a task. I am not saying they would do it; but they certainly have the capability and capacity to pull it off. The hardest part would not be the technology but figuring out how to get all the IT organizations spread across the country to agree to allow some mining software to be installed; along with the over and under on how long it would take for someone to figure out what was happening and spill the beans.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    25. Re:What happens if by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      The NSA doesn't have any red tape or legacy junk holding them on '80s software...

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    26. Re:What happens if by ocean_soul · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure state-actors with an interest, for whatever reason, in bitcoin will have there own hardware and wont need to rely on infected machines. Countries like the USA, China, Israel, UK,... all have there systems.

    27. Re:What happens if by Holi · · Score: 1

      And if you think the NSA is using 90's software only....

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    28. Re:What happens if by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      It doesn't work that way. To snatch someone's coins you have to break their private key and produce a transaction signed by it.

      You could refuse to include some transactions, or you could spend your own coins twice on two different forks of the block chain. I don't think there are any other ways to game the system.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    29. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And 75.19322375002323477% of all numbers stated on the Intarwebz are pulled from someones arse!

      The mining power of the various kinds of hardware is not hard to look up if you want to verify it.

    30. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Physically, it would be "easy" for anyone with a bunch of guns to take over a bunch of pools. After all we are talking a bunch of fairly small servers and as long as the word does not get out, boom you are a 51%er.

    31. Re:What happens if by fulldecent · · Score: 1

      If this was possible, a likely target would be the FBI's auction of Silk Road Bitcoins:

      http://online.wsj.com/articles...

      --

      -- I was raised on the command line, bitch

    32. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What would stop the BitCoin community from flagging coins made by this entity as not-usable? Like they do with coins that are stolen. It would be an effective defense.

    33. Re:What happens if by geekoid · · Score: 1

      And? DDOS from 100 million machines would close that pipe down.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    34. Re:What happens if by geekoid · · Score: 1

      And there you go.
      State actor have the resource already to have sever impact on any digital currency.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    35. Re:What happens if by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Why do you think the Federal government is on organization that all run form the same computers?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    36. Re:What happens if by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 1

      The NSA doesn't have any red tape or legacy junk holding them on '80s software...

      Depending on how the US Gubment *really* feels about Bitcoin, it might just be on their "radar" to put the Super Secret Super Computers at the NSA on this to undermine (heh, heh...) Bitcoin this way.

      --
      If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    37. Re:What happens if by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      DDoS _what_? Miners have use a negligible amount of network traffic. You probably can run the whole mega-pool on one old-school 56k modem.

    38. Re:What happens if by jdavidb · · Score: 3, Informative

      There are a whole host of reasons why what you are saying is impossible. First off, no matter how much CPU power you accumulated, you wouldn't be able to rival the hashes per second being put out by the custom hardware. If you rooted and botnetted every CPU on earth you would still only be a fraction of the hashes per second of the Bitcoin network. CPUs for Bitcoin mining were obsoleted by GPUs long ago, and both CPUs and GPUs are now way-obsoleted by ASIC.

      Also, even if you were able to control a majority of the hash power on the Bitcoin network, you would still not be able to spend somebody else's Bitcoin. To do that you would have to crack the private key for the account containing the Bitcoin. Doing that is a totally different math problem from what Bitcoin mining hardware is doing, and there are a lot of visuals out there illustrating that it would likely take longer than the projected life of the universe to crack these keys using currently available methods. If you had a majority of hashpower on the network, you could alter the blockchain, which is the ledger showing in what order transactions occurred. This would allow you to double-spend your own Bitcoin and cheat somebody, but would not allow you to spend somebody else's.

    39. Re:What happens if by sexconker · · Score: 1

      I wonder what happens if someone with more than enough CPU power to get 99% of the mining jumps in one night. What kind of Damage could they do in a short interval before people notice? What if their goals were not to steal bitcoins but rather to snatch all the coins from, say, Kim Jong Un, or Al Queda. E.g. for example the NSA or Samsung or Saudi arabia. They would not care about the loss of value in their stolen coins, the point is to deprive an adversaries use of them.

      Does the Amazon or Azure networks have enough rentable time to pull this off?

      The block chain is public, and it can be forked (and has been). Legitimate miners can simply decide to ignore the blocks mined (or faked) by the 99% enemy. But as Bitcoin grows it becomes harder to organize such a fork, and every transaction processed after the attack and before the fork leaves someone holding the bag.
      If the attacker's goal is to scare people away from Bitcoin they could have some success by doing this repeatedly, but they'd be better off manipulating the difficulty and trying to stay hidden. Mine until the difficulty ramps way up, sell, then stop. Wait for the difficulty to crash back down and then start mining again. You can shake confidence AND profit. If you merely want to scare everyone away from Bitcoin by mining and holding or by faking blocks then you're going to end up holding Bitcoins no one wants. You still scare people away from Bitcoin but you passed up on tons of cash along the way.

      Amazon, Azure, etc. COMBINED do not have the power to do this. This requires custom hardware, and LOTS of it. It's likely that only a major government could do it.

    40. Re:What happens if by jeffmeden · · Score: 1

      I wonder what happens if someone with more than enough CPU power to get 99% of the mining jumps in one night. What kind of Damage could they do in a short interval before people notice? What if their goals were not to steal bitcoins but rather to snatch all the coins from, say, Kim Jong Un, or Al Queda. E.g. for example the NSA or Samsung or Saudi arabia. They would not care about the loss of value in their stolen coins, the point is to deprive an adversaries use of them.

      Does the Amazon or Azure networks have enough rentable time to pull this off?

      Custom made ASICs are so much more powerful than GP CPUs that no, I doubt all the rentable cloud capacity currently in existence (if you could manage to muster it) would compare to the mining capacity in use via ASICs.

    41. Re:What happens if by jeffmeden · · Score: 1

      Unless there is some sort of "yeah, it's just DSL speeds, but we do something really clever upstream to make it as hard to DDOS as a connection a million times as fast" service, that might actually be how Amazon, Azure, or any other web-services-oriented rental service could manipulate the bitcoin scene:
       

      I believe (but am not an expert) that the mining pool concept is what accounts for this. The pool (one main server assigning jobs) runs on a nice fat, multi-homed system with plenty of bandwidth in every direction. Then, the ASIC-based miners sign on to the pool and do the crunching for it. This has the effect of both allowing the pool to maintain constant operations, and to hide the ASIC miners from public view.

    42. Re:What happens if by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      It would be smart for the NSA to try to undermine Bitcoin: From the US government's perspective, the only things a cryptocurrency can do that some more established payment system can't can be categorized either as some form of crime or a thwarting of their surveillance systems...and as far as they're concerned, the distinction between the two is hardly more than an academic issue.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    43. Re:What happens if by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed, they do.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    44. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      99% of the hashing power would take hundreds of millions of dollars to achieve. No one is going to do that for a chance of double spending for 10 minutes.

      No one thinks this scenario through. Why would I spend 100,000,000 to make a few thousand bucks and then end up with 100,000,000 worth of un-useable gear because no one trusts the network anymore. No one is going to do this.
      \

    45. Re:What happens if by lgw · · Score: 1

      You certainly wouldn't rent enough servers to dominate the bitcoin pool to make money mining, but you might it you had a different objective (subverting the block chain for one reason or another). But there's a lot of supercomputing projects don't on EC2 these days, as it's not bad by the pricing of supercomputer time (especially Spot pricing), and they do have sizable GPU farms.

      The only problems with the reverse strategy is the fact that cloud servers usually charge for outgoing bandwidth (but not incoming), and that law enforcement takes DDOS attacks seriously these days, while they still don't seem to care about bitcoin much (not that either would bother a governmental attacker).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    46. Re:What happens if by lgw · · Score: 1

      How many botnets that big are there? Sure, the Russian mafia might manage it (though it would still be non-trivial to make Amazon notice, after all, they call 100M machines hitting their pipe "December"), but I'm struggling to think why they would.

      I do remember "Anonymous" tried a DDOS against Amazon once and were laughing at themselves for the compete failure of the effort. Something about the end boss of the internet having a final form.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    47. Re:What happens if by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Depends on how many of the miners are in the US, or some country the US can successfully bully. Miners in Russia or China are going to be immune.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    48. Re:What happens if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All the top 500 supercomputers in the world, put together, don't have enough power to make that possible.

      http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/155636-the-bitcoin-network-outperforms-the-top-500-supercomputers-combined

  10. Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by Powercntrl · · Score: 2

    While the threat of a 51% attack may be blown out of proportion (a pool sells their cut of the coins that are mined and it is in their best interest that the coin remain as valuable as possible - attacking a coin would be counterproductive), some altcoin developers have stated that they will change their coin's proof-of-work algorithm if ASICs are developed for it. Vertcoin and Execoin's developers have both stated they'll do whatever it takes to keep ASICs out.

    Most of the speculation that fuels the pump-and-dump world of altcoins is based on the belief that Bitcoin may not end up being the cryptocoin that average people use to buy pizza, pay their bills, etc.

    --

    ---
    DRM is like antifreeze, to the MPAA/RIAA it's sweet, to the consumers it's poison.
    1. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by gweihir · · Score: 1

      At the very least, the scrypt-based coins offer a nice security-test of scrypt. And scrypt is ASIC resistant. The Password Hashing Competition may also yield a few more where ASICs do not offer any advantage. With those, the idea of a lot of individuals mining on their own systems may become reality again.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    2. Re: Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by sandertje · · Score: 1

      Again, this means having to trust some developers to actually do what they're promising. That's the complete opposite of crypto currencies' core tenet: that trusting any humans is not necessary since the technology means no one can feasibly gain any real control. That assumption has now been proven false. If so, then what is the remaining use of cryptcurrencies in favor of general fiat currencies?

    3. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by Time_Ngler · · Score: 1

      While the threat of a 51% attack may be blown out of proportion (a pool sells their cut of the coins that are mined and it is in their best interest that the coin remain as valuable as possible - attacking a coin would be counterproductive)

      Why don't we just let ghash.io own the "official" copy of the ledger, and do away with mining entirely, then? After all, according to you, it would be against ghash.io's best interest to do anything to harm the value of bitcoin...

    4. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      You can get ASICs for scrypt now. They don't perform very fast (My five-ASIC Gridseed miner is almost exactly as fast as my GPU), but they are very power-efficient.

    5. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by viperidaenz · · Score: 1

      http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com...
      96MH/s hardware litecoin/scrypt miner, $3600.

    6. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

      Because ghash is actually controlled by the NSA for tracking currency.

      Oh, dear...I may have said too much.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
    7. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Well, that is a consideration when mining coins. It is not when looking at security, there speed counts. scrypt is no power-intensive, it is memory intensive which makes it inherently slow. It is surprising however, that your GPU is competitive at all. Seems whatever you are mining has not a really large memory footprint.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    8. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      The ASICs for scrypt are a recent introduction. The forums are full of people predicting that this will be the end of GPU mining litecoin now - the first generation may be slow, but the next is sure to leave GPUs in the dust as previously happened for bitcoin.

      I'm not really a miner. I dabble, as a little hobby, but my rig consists of one low-end scrypt miner (The cheapest you can get) and two of the cheapest bitcoin ASICs you can get. I'm not expecting to many any profit on this, it's purely to play with the tech.

    9. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Well, scrypt has this linear speed-down when you have less memory than optimal. That does allow GPUs with, say 64k or less per node to still compute 128k footprint scrypt pretty fast. Of course an ASIC with exactly the right amount of memory per "thread" will be proportionally faster.

      The password hashing competition https://password-hashing.net/ has some pretty interesting entries though, where less memory than optimal will give you exponential speed-down. Combine that with a memory-footprint of, say, 1GB, and both GPUs and ASICs go out the window as RAM will be the deciding factor.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    10. Re:Some newer coins intend to stay ASIC resistant by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      While the threat of a 51% attack may be blown out of proportion (a pool sells their cut of the coins that are mined and it is in their best interest that the coin remain as valuable as possible - attacking a coin would be counterproductive), some altcoin developers have stated that they will change their coin's proof-of-work algorithm if ASICs are developed for it.

      How can they know whether an ASIC was developed for it? All this does is gives miners incentive to develop ASICs but not disclose this to the world. It isn't like miners are audited to prove they're burning enough kWh to inefficiently mine all the coins they generate.

      And what is next, requiring crippled mining software so that better programmers don't get an advantage? It seems like the whole point of an approach like these is to ditch the central bank. If you're going to basically have a central bank anyway, then why not just use a traditional currency and get some of the benefits of a central bank and not just the trust issues?

  11. Isn't the block chain what makes it decentralised? by ceview · · Score: 1

    Isn't the point of bitcoin is that the block chain is decentralised? i.e. everyone has a copy of it? does it matter who mines the coins as long as the coins end up distributed around? also can't the bitcoin protocol just be tweaked by the developers or something?

  12. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by LordLimecat · · Score: 2

    Oh they promised! Well, color me convinced.

  13. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by GrandCow · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Bitcoin stopped being a distributed system a long time ago. All the serious miners now have data-center sized installations of custom boards with custom ASICs. Some are liquid-cooled. The original idea was millions of end users running Bitcoin mining as a background job on their CPU. That's totally dead.

    This is absolutely hilarious. Not because it's a fake post (I honestly don't know if it is or not), but just the fact that someone would even think that this is a good enough idea to post that 'serious' miners are actually doing this. This is the California gold rush all over again... the only people making a profit off of the mining are the people selling the ASIC's/shovels. Mining isn't profitable and hasn't been for quite some time. While it might be if you ignore the hardware cost and only think of the electricity cost, you're still BARELY making a SLIGHT profit. That's only in places that you have very cheap electricity (or can find a way to make someone else pay for the electricity). And once again, that doesn't even count the cost of hardware in the first place. Lets not forget that there are other idiots funneling money into even faster hardware which makes your very expensive highly specialized and unable to be repurposed board basically worthless in a few months time, once the electricity cost passes what you'll make back from mining.

    HINT: this is before you get your initial cost of hardware back out of the system. You will never make a net profit. Ever.

    The only money in bitcoin right now is in speculating, and even then it's a suckers game. Your profits are based entirely on someone else guessing wrong and losing money into the system that you might be lucky enough to cash out at the right time. You can do that easier and without a datacenters worth of hardware with penny stocks. Also penny stocks are LEGAL! You don't have to worry about some new law negating all of your money like you have to do every day with bitcoin.

    I'll just stop here because anyone that legit cares about bitcoin already had their opinion made before they even read a word of this comment.

    --
    "Well kids, you tried your best, and you failed. The lesson is, never try." -Homer Simpson
  14. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by houstonbofh · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Oh they promised! Well, color me convinced.

    And if they break it (like they did) a simple DDOS attack knocks them off the top spot, (like it did) and sets a scary precedent...

  15. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by houstonbofh · · Score: 2

    However, the large mining groups also make large targets. A simple DDOS makes them small potatoes again. http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com... A few of these and the big mining groups will start breaking up.

  16. Re:Isn't the block chain what makes it decentralis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If I say I have it, and you say you have it - who has it ? whoever more than 51% of nodes say has it.

  17. Re: Isn't the block chain what makes it decentrali by sandertje · · Score: 5, Informative

    If you control 51% of the hashing power in the network, you can modify the block chain while simultaneously self-verifying your version as the one-and-true block chain.

  18. Not really a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This isn't really an issue.

    If the number 1 mining pool is foolish enough to try something like the 51% attack, the perceived value of Bitcoins would plummet. Therefore, they won't do it. They would be the biggest losers from such a move.

    1. Re:Not really a problem by 91degrees · · Score: 2

      You can makea lot of money from a drop in value. Short selling is possile with Bitcoin as well as any other fungible commodity.

    2. Re:Not really a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This would be the equivalent of GM deliberately making their cars explode, and massively short selling their own stock. Sure, it's theoretically possible, but it would be pretty stupid in practice.

  19. 80/20 rule by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It would be ironic if the brilliant and careful design of bitcoin gets taken down by the 80/20 rule.

    Perhaps more thought needs to be given to the alternatives that try to address the computation race problem that leads to this distribution.

    1. Re:80/20 rule by 1s44c · · Score: 1

      Slashdot. Where someone picks a random rule or law and claims it explains whatever the current story is about.

      There were no 80's or 20's in this story. Only a 50.

  20. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Ignorant, misinformed, and outspokenly opinionated? What an unusual combination!

    Some asshole on slashdot.org claims that you can't make money mining bitcoin so it must be true.

    That's why the network difficulty continues to get exponentially more difficult right? Cause there's just THAT MANY suckers burning up electricity at no profit?

    Here's what ACTUALLY happened: you tried to compete in an industry with high barriers to entry, while GROSSLY under-capitalized, with limited-zero competitive advantage. You failed to turn a profit therefore all the people investing in 20nm fab & data-centers are just fools with too much money.

    Learn something about how the world works before spewing nonsense on the interblags please. I come here for serious business.

  21. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by gl4ss · · Score: 1

    That's why the network difficulty continues to get exponentially more difficult right? Cause there's just THAT MANY suckers burning up electricity at no profit?

    in a word: Yes.

    or do you think the shovel makers are just stupid enough to not to plug the usb cable into their own computer?

    --
    world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  22. The Night Shift @ Fort Meade by Scot+Seese · · Score: 3, Interesting

    .. It's just the guys on the 3rd shift at Fort Meade, retasking server farm cycles.

    --
    THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK.
    1. Re:The Night Shift @ Fort Meade by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      .. It's just the guys on the 3rd shift at Fort Meade, retasking server farm cycles.

      /makes a mental note to check and see what was declassified in 2038-2040. I'm sure someone at the puzzle palace has been tasked with researching how much computing power it would take to own the network. No, I don't think they have, and no I don't think they will, it's not their bailiwick. But answering the question of whether or not they could falls into the category of damn interesting problems, and damn interesting problems are well within their bailiwick.

    2. Re:The Night Shift @ Fort Meade by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      .. It's just the guys on the 3rd shift at Fort Meade, retasking server farm cycles.

      Even Fort Meade couldn't pull this out without some kind of dedicated ASIC hardware (which is something they could pull off).

      The current hash rate is 120E15 hashes per second, and 51% of that is about 60E15 hashes/second. It looks like with Xeons you might get something like 50E6 hashes per second. So, you just need a billion of those lying around to retask for the night shift. I don't think that the NSA has a billion high-end Intel CPUs - did Intel even make a billion of them? Maybe if they had a huge GPU-based cluster lying around they might make a significant dent, but I doubt they'd get to 51%.

      The only way to mine any significant number of Bitcoins these days is to run ASICs. Even GPUs are obsolete now, and those are much faster than CPUs.

  23. Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by perpenso · · Score: 4, Interesting

    And scrypt is ASIC resistant.

    It was erroneously thought to be so. ASICs have taken over scrypt mining. Two $90 ASIC scrypt miners (720 kh/s) using 7-8 watts each can beat a Radeon R9 290 (850 kh/s). Their combined hash rate is slightly less but when you factor in power costs they win. Note the ASIC miners are usually controlled by a Raspberry Pi to reduce power costs.

    1. Re:Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, who you replied to missed the mark - scrypt *is* ASIC resistant, but only by addressing a certain type of parallelization. How scrypt can scale memory puts the hardest bottleneck you can on modern architectures as there's only so much data you can pipe into and out of an ALU in a certain time frame.

    2. Re:Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      scrypt doesn't use nearly enough memory (only 128KB per attempt) to thwart ASICs.
      This was done on purpose to keep verification time manageable (it must be possible
      to check of proof-of-work with little effort, since many lightweight clients need to do
      tons of such verifications).

      An asymmetric proof of work scheme could require a thousand times more memory than
      scrypt yet remain instantly verificable. My Cuckoo Cycle (https://github.com/tromp/cuckoo)
      is a graph-theoretic proof-of-work scheme that aims for these properties...

    3. Re:Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by gweihir · · Score: 1

      To be fair, GPUs are really, really bad at scrypt. The proper comparison is full CPUs.

      Anyways, the next generation of password-hashing functions is likely fix that ASIC advantage, as they will include exponential penalties for less RAM than required. scrypt only has a linear penalty, it seems.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    4. Re:Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Only 128k? That is indeed far too little. That is however the parametrization for some coin. When doing security with it, 10M or so will be more the norm as you will make sure to keep GPUs and ASICs out.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    5. Re:Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by perpenso · · Score: 1

      To be fair, GPUs are really, really bad at scrypt. The proper comparison is full CPUs.

      Are you sure, I've always heard the opposite? My understanding is that optional software from ATI needs to be installed to get GPU based mining working properly.

      Anyways, the next generation of password-hashing functions is likely fix that ASIC advantage, as they will include exponential penalties for less RAM than required. scrypt only has a linear penalty, it seems.

      Including the necessary amount of RAM in an ASIC would seem plausible, as is done in video cards.

    6. Re:Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is that ASIC mining is be more efficient, but users with Radeons can still participate and contribute something meaningful to the network. Which sounds fine to me. The problem is when the disparity is so great that you have to have dedicated hardware to participate in any meaningful way at all, as is the case with BTC.

    7. Re:Scrypt has been taken over by ASICs by perpenso · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the migration from CPU/GPU to ASIC that Bitcoin experienced seems to be repeating itself with scrypt.

      Scrypt ASICs are making great improvements in very short amounts of time. Difficulties are rapidly increasing. Ever greater portions of shrinking proceeds have to be spent on power. Things do not look good for GPU based mining. I've heard that 50% of proceeds are already going into power expenses for some.

  24. Pool operators can't be hacked ? by perpenso · · Score: 1

    This isn't really an issue.

    If the number 1 mining pool is foolish enough to try something like the 51% attack, the perceived value of Bitcoins would plummet. Therefore, they won't do it. They would be the biggest losers from such a move.

    Pool operators can't be hacked? Targeted malware can not launch a 51% attack?

    1. Re:Pool operators can't be hacked ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good point. Logically they should have amazing security procedures to make this impossible, but since most humans are lazy and greedy ....

    2. Re:Pool operators can't be hacked ? by QilessQi · · Score: 1

      +1 Intriguing...

  25. or a society that leverages selfishness for good by raymorris · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > We are betting off investing in creating more moral men and woman

    Attempts to do that have a not been as successful as we'd like. Religions, for example, have that as a primary goal. Unfortunately, religions are run by the same selfish, power-hungry humans who run all of our other systems.

    Some of the founding fathers of the US wrote about attempting to create a system whereby the individual quest for money and power ends up benefiting the common good. Some native American tribes had such a system. In their tradition, every few years neighboring groups would gather to redistribute rankings - power and prestige. The ranking of each leader was determined by how much he gave away. A man of prestige would work a few years, carefully managing his capital to try to produce as much good stuff as he could in order to give away more than his neighbor, thereby retaining his title.

        Free and open source software is similar - one gains prestige by contributing a lot. Recruiters have computer programs thatlook for people with a lot of commits on Github and elsewhere. My own contribution to the Linux kernel gives me some cachet that helps with getting a good job, etc.

    Some US founders wanted to use that idea as much as possible, and they succeeded in one way. They reasoned that the President would want to keep his power, so he'd resist any attempt by the senate to increase their relative power. Similarly, the house would want to be powerful, so they wouldn't let senate or president roll over them. That worked pretty well for 200 years, then presidential power increased vis-a-vis Congress. Each house of Congress is still pretty powerful, though, so they do keep the president in check to some extent.

    Perhaps we could find more eways to make doing "right" also be the most profitable / prestigious. If someone controls a capital asset such as a large cargo ship, they'll WANT to do good thing X because the benefit to them is Y. What might X and Y be? Alternatively, people want (money/power/recognition/sex), in order to get what they want, they might need to do (something that benefits society). How can society benefit from people's attempt to get money, or power, or sex?

    Don't say it can't be done. For thousands of years societies traded sex for marriage. People wanted sex, society wanted stability, and it was decided that the society would expect you to get married before having sex. Most people complied.

  26. Re: Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the cabal of moneyed elites with their mining super rigs who currently dominate the network, will be pushed out by black hats. I'm sure the future of bitcoin is in good hands.

  27. Re: Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No. That's actually not what happened.

    What happened is exactly what people who understand cryptography said would happen. Bitcoin's cryptographic cost has gone up, number of miners has gone down, specialized pools have reached critical mass, and the TRUST IN THE CURRENCY (which is the only asset it ever had) is gone.

    So you can call everyone else losers for not investing enough capital. (Gotta spend money to make money, right? But with Bitcoin that's only true if you're an idiot.)

    Bitcoin is dead. The only people still "investing" in it are speculators and miners who are either playing with someone else's money or worriedly working it hoping to recoup their "investment" and the majority are not going to make it.

    Time for the sociopaths to shut up while the cryptographers work around them.

  28. Re:Isn't the block chain what makes it decentralis by Barlo_Mung_42 · · Score: 1

    " also can't the bitcoin protocol just be tweaked by the developers or something?"

    Not if they want to be taken seriously as a real currency. You might be tempted to think "The Federal Reserve does that with the $". Sure, but the developers behind bitcoin (if they can even do this, I don't know) are not the Federal Reserve.

  29. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Animats · · Score: 2

    'serious' miners are actually doing this.

    They are. Here's the biggest Bitcoin mining operation in North America as of Dec. 2013. (Annoying commercials, then skip ahead to 03:15). Generated $8 million/month at the time. Probably about $800K/month now; the difficulty has gone up 5x since then, and the price has dropped by half. It's in upstate Washington, where power is cheap and cooling is easy.

  30. Winklevoss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Who are they going to sue this time ? They put all the money of the Facebook lawsuit into Bitcions. And now they're going to lose it.. I'm a little sad for these two guys.

    1. Re:Winklevoss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt they are going to lose it all. They are simply trying to set up a publicly traded fund, where people invest dollars into the fund, and the fund then buy bitcoins in that amount. As bitcoins increase/decrease in value, so does the fund. The people losing money with a crash of bitcoin would be those who invested their money into the fund. The twins, however, will be making their money from the administrative costs charged to the people invested in the fund. What they are proposing to setup, I cannot imagine it costing them more than a few million. Any profit they make is not at risk of a bitcoin crash. They only thing a crash would do is shut down their business. So, once they've recouped their original investment, they are completely in the clear. Their only real risk is bitcoin crashing after they've made their investments, but before they've had the change to recoup it.

    2. Re:Winklevoss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "All the money" [citation needed]

  31. Stupidity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It appears that people who provide half of the mining power are so stupid to choose the most popular pool among the alternatives.

  32. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

    I've lived in Washington 40 years, and I'm never heard of a town/county named 'upstate'.

  33. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How much internet access does mining require? And how much should they care if they don't see every bitcoin (because of DoS) when they get to say which transaction is valid?

  34. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by kasperd · · Score: 1

    Take steps to prevent accumulating 51% hashing power, including: not accepting new miners

    Why is this even necessary? I was under the impression that a mining pool would not be able to pull off an attack without it being immediately visible to the miners in the pool. Doesn't that mean that having a pool with majority of the processing power isn't enough to pull of an attack, you also need all miners in the pool to conspire to perform the attack?

    --

    Do you care about the security of your wireless mouse?
  35. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by N3x)( · · Score: 1

    It's still distributed it's just not massively distributed anymore.

  36. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bitcoin stopped being a distributed system a long time ago. All the serious miners now have data-center sized installations of custom boards with custom ASICs. Some are liquid-cooled. The original idea was millions of end users running Bitcoin mining as a background job on their CPU. That's totally dead.

    This is absolutely hilarious. Not because it's a fake post (I honestly don't know if it is or not), but just the fact that someone would even think that this is a good enough idea to post that 'serious' miners are actually doing this. This is the California gold rush all over again... the only people making a profit off of the mining are the people selling the ASIC's/shovels. Mining isn't profitable and hasn't been for quite some time. While it might be if you ignore the hardware cost and only think of the electricity cost, you're still BARELY making a SLIGHT profit. That's only in places that you have very cheap electricity (or can find a way to make someone else pay for the electricity). And once again, that doesn't even count the cost of hardware in the first place. Lets not forget that there are other idiots funneling money into even faster hardware which makes your very expensive highly specialized and unable to be repurposed board basically worthless in a few months time, once the electricity cost passes what you'll make back from mining.

    HINT: this is before you get your initial cost of hardware back out of the system. You will never make a net profit. Ever.

    The only money in bitcoin right now is in speculating, and even then it's a suckers game. Your profits are based entirely on someone else guessing wrong and losing money into the system that you might be lucky enough to cash out at the right time. You can do that easier and without a datacenters worth of hardware with penny stocks. Also penny stocks are LEGAL! You don't have to worry about some new law negating all of your money like you have to do every day with bitcoin.

    I'll just stop here because anyone that legit cares about bitcoin already had their opinion made before they even read a word of this comment.

    Then perhaps you could explain why someone IS invested millions of dollars to attempt to mine bitcoins, because it certainly seems that the only intent to invest that kind of money into this only to find little or no profit is only doing it to destroy bitcoin completely.

    And please don't sit here and point fingers towards penny stocks or any other investment vehicle sitting behind the most corrupt currency on the entire planet. We're worried about BTC miners capturing 50% of the market while ONE percent controls the overwhelming majority of the USD that you somehow think will remain stable. Corruption is the only thing keeping the USD a currency.

    Sorry if you didn't catch that last part. I'll TRY AND SPEAK LOUDER SO YOU CAN HEAR ME OVER THE PRINTING PRESSES WORKING OVERTIME IN WASHINGTON.

  37. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by pantaril · · Score: 5, Informative

    The original idea was millions of end users running Bitcoin mining as a background job on their CPU. That's totally dead.

    The author of the original idea bets to disagree:

    Long before the network gets anywhere near as large as that, it would be safe
    for users to use Simplified Payment Verification (section 8) to check for
    double spending, which only requires having the chain of block headers, or
    about 12KB per day. Only people trying to create new coins would need to run
    network nodes. At first, most users would run network nodes, but as the
    network grows beyond a certain point, it would be left more and more to
    specialists with server farms of specialized hardware. A server farm would
    only need to have one node on the network and the rest of the LAN connects with
    that one node.

    That is from Satoshi Nakamoto's post from 2008: http://www.mail-archive.com/cr...

  38. Not reusable by DrYak · · Score: 1

    there would be an entity with massive computing power available to take over any other crypto currency.

    Except that massive computing power is in the form ASICs which are extremely optimized for computing SHA256^2 and nothing else.
    So the largest part of the current computing power would be pretty much useless.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
    1. Re:Not reusable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Huntercoin ("human-minable") is resistant to such attacks. I'm not sure if the devs have noticed that one (it is the most interesting alt out there in my opinion). Perhaps there is some way of modifying bitcoin to include this approach. However, playing a game to mine coins makes the currency seem less serious so huntercoin will probably remain niche, perhaps it will be a good way for people without hardware to get their first crypto which then they could exchange for btc, etc. Maybe there is another "more serious" way of using the human mining concept though.

    2. Re:Not reusable by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Yep, no one has ever cracked a game before.\

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:Not reusable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure what your point is? The salient aspect of huntercoin is that the gameplay is stored in a blockchain, it is not like any previous game. This also allows the rewards of the game to be used as a cryptocurrency. Because the "coins" are distributed throughout the gameworld, a 51% attack would need to be sustained for much longer if someone were to really take advantage.

  39. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by pla · · Score: 1

    or do you think the shovel makers are just stupid enough to not to plug the usb cable into their own computer?

    A market exists for mowing lawns. Do you consider John Deere too stupid to fuel up their own products and make a profit like that? A market exists for corn chips. Do you view the farmers as too stupid to grind and bake their own corn and bypass the middle men?

    We don't see perfect vertical integration across all markets because sometimes, manufacturers want nothing to do with the end product. A lot of companies view BitCoin as a high risk opportunity; how do you get in on it while limiting exposure to that risk? Selling mining rigs looks like a pretty much ideal answer to that question, IMO. Now, could GAW or Butterfly potentially make more mining on their own gear? Currently, yes, they could. That doesn't mean they want that as a business model.

  40. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by davek · · Score: 2

    Not yet anyways.

    6 months ago GHash.IO promised they would
    (1) Take steps to prevent accumulating 51% hashing power, including: not accepting new miners, and
    (2) They would not attempt an attack, and (3) They would provide cex.io users an option to use another mining pool
    (They have apparently not implemented (3) yet).

    A DDoS against the pool was reported to occur yesterday, which adversely affected mining.
    At one point... their hashrate was reported to have dropped to 7%.
    Then BitFury pulled 1 PH/s out of their pool.

    Excellent post. BTC haters gonna hate, and I don't understand why.

    Funny thing about pooled mining, it's run by the users. User's don't like it? They go away.

    --
    6th Street Radio @ddombrowsky
  41. Unicorns and rainbows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not surprised. Bitcoins are a fantasy. Please stop wasting power on this nonsense.

    1. Re:Unicorns and rainbows by 1s44c · · Score: 2

      Just like USD is a fantasy. All money but gold is pretend computer numbers, yet somehow money is still useful.

    2. Re:Unicorns and rainbows by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

      And some libertarians still think that gold has any intrinsic value. Ask me how much your gold is worth when I put a gun to your head.

      --
      Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
    3. Re:Unicorns and rainbows by geekoid · · Score: 1

      gold is just as pretend as any currency.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:Unicorns and rainbows by swillden · · Score: 1

      Gold is no less pretend than anything else. With the exception of the tiny part of its value that derives from industrial applications, the value of gold is that people believe it has value, just the same as bitcoin, USD, EUR, etc. Note that even gold's value for making jewelry is all belief-based.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    5. Re:Unicorns and rainbows by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gold is no exception, any more than bread.
      Gold has some practical value today, for electronics and jewelry, but If industrialized society broke down to the point that fiat currencies are no longer useful, gold as money won't be worth any more than any other thing you could barter.

    6. Re:Unicorns and rainbows by RawrJ45isaEtherbeast · · Score: 1

      Filthy paper coupons. So inefficient and unsanitary. Several generations had to kick the bucket before Galileo's irrefutable telescopic witnessing of celestial bodies revolving around 'not us' could be discussed publicly without fear of a blasphemous beheading.

  42. Re:or a society that leverages selfishness for goo by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Attempts to do that have a not been as successful as we'd like. Religions, for example, have that as a primary goal.

    [citation needed]

    Unfortunately, religions are run by the same selfish, power-hungry humans who run all of our other systems.

    And they're also founded by them.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  43. Jebus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People still think bitcoin is going to keep going strong?

    I though most people had realized by now, that it's doomed to failure?

    1. Re:Jebus by 1s44c · · Score: 1

      It's so doomed to failure that major companies are taking it. That's not very doomed at all.

    2. Re:Jebus by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

      No, they aren't. They have a deal with payment processors that allow you to pay for things with it, but the processor takes your bitcoins and gives the major companies US dollars.

  44. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your post skimmed over somethign quite important.

    A lot of these "serious miners", work for companies with huge datacenters. And as such, they can ignore hardware and power costs..

  45. Re:Where's the news? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    For the first time in Bitcoin's five-year history, a single entity has repeatedly provided more than ...

    • Bad grammar: If this has been repeatedly happening, then now is hardly the first time that this has become news-worthy.

    Old news on Slashdot again...

    Really? Is it so hard to figure out? The first time something happens repeatedly is different than the first time it happens. Think of it this way...people have been able to fall from tall building (without any safety gear: parachutes, air cushions, etc) and survive. Yet, as far as I know, nobody has every been able to do this repeatedly. If somebody managed to fall from a tall building multiple time in such a manner and survive every time, then they would be the first person to be able to do it repeatedly.

    Also, since we are trying to nitpick wording here, what does bad grammar have to do with determining whether something is newsworthy, and whether or not it's old news?

  46. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by mysidia · · Score: 2

    you also need all miners in the pool to conspire to perform the attack?

    You need most miners to either conspire or to not notice. To avoid conspiring; they have to detect that an attack is occuring and pull their hashing power out.

    The pool essentially has control of what work the miners are being assigned, however.

    A 51% premining attack would look like this:

    (1) A miner in the pool discovers a block.
    (2) Instead of the pool broadcasting the solution, it saves a copy of the solution, and starts distributing to miners work units for coming up with the _next_ block, without broadcasting the solution. It ignores a solution that any of the other pool's come up with
    (3) The miners solve the following block; instead of broadcasting the solution, the pool saves the solution, and starts working on the next one....

    Because the pool has more than 51% of the hashing capacity, it will eventually have mined a longer chain of blocks than any of the other pools.

    Perhaps 6 or 7 blocks later; the pool conducting the selfish mining will broadcast all the solutions it came up with.

    Since the selfish pool's chain is longer than the blockchain the rest of the network came up with (due to it having more hashing power), then the selfish pool's version will win.

    A miner connected to the bitcoin network AND the pool, could in theory foil the attack. If all the miners were designed to broadcast any solution they come up with.... not /just/ to the pool, but also to the Bitcoin network, then the mining pool would not be able to conduct premining.

    And since the pool is not in direct control of the individual miners; they couldn't necessarily force arbitrary changes.

  47. Is this even true? by jbmartin6 · · Score: 2

    Researchers at Cornell say something, that doesn't mean it is true. See for example, https://blockchain.info/pools. It seems what they are saying is that there were a few specific periods of time where GHash was doing 51% of the work. Most of the time this isn't the case though.

    --
    This posting is provided 'AS IS' without warranty of any kind, implied or otherwise.
  48. Re:or a society that leverages selfishness for goo by Tom · · Score: 1

    Don't say it can't be done. For thousands of years societies traded sex for marriage. People wanted sex, society wanted stability, and it was decided that the society would expect you to get married before having sex. Most people complied.

    Still works that way, in a way.

    When the government dramatically raised university feeds in my country, several commentators were half-jokingly commenting that politicians voted yes mostly in order to ensure a steady stream of young student prostitutes.

    Money for sex usually also means money flowing from an older generation that had time to acquire it to a younger generation.

    Yeah, it's a bit sad.

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  49. federal employee mining with gov computers to by peter303 · · Score: 1

    Reported last week. Reprimanded, but not fired. Resulting bitcoins were about 10% fof the computer cost.

  50. Peercoin by ChodeMonkey · · Score: 1

    If my understanding is correct, the alternative crypto-currency peercoin does not have this problem. It probably has other issues, but once it starts operating in purely proof-of-stake mode then the 51% attack simply disappears. Is that correct?

    --
    All your attention are belong to my old internet meme.
  51. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by dhj · · Score: 1

    Is it 51% or 50%+1? There is a big difference. If it's 51% then DDOS as soon as someone gets 50%-1 would work to prevent an exploit. If it's 50%+ then now many false transactions could they make at 51% (or 50%+2) before the DDOS is activated? If it's 50%+ then maybe the DDOS needs to come at 49% or 48% by community agreement. It does set an unsettling precedent that there could be DDOS battles over percent hashing contributions.

    On the other hand, maybe this is enforcement that a bitcoin fork needs -- explicit support for mining pools. Such that the ability to get to say 40% by any one actor (pool or individual) is explicitly guarded against. There could be some sort of enforced diminishing returns with viability consensus like transaction consensus. Surely if you are trusting transactions to hash consensus you could also trust "ability or degree to contribute" to the same mechanism. If no-one could get over 48% then no-one could get over 50%. Does anyone know if that's a possible solution?

    Does a mining pool really provide the ability to perform a 50%+ attack? They aren't running custom clients are they? Would it require ALL members of the mining pool to collude in the exploit?

  52. Re: Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

    So the cabal of moneyed elites with their mining super rigs who currently dominate the network, will be pushed out by black hats. I'm sure the future of bitcoin is in good hands.

    If the DDOS people are attacking because the mining group is gaming the system, who really has the black hat?

  53. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I've lived in Washington 40 years, and I'm never heard of a town/county named 'upstate'.

    What's that now?

  54. Nonsense story by 1s44c · · Score: 1

    This has happened before will no ill effects. The situation got fixed with no ill effects. The possible effects of one pool having 50%+ of the mining power are significantly less harmful than reported.

  55. "How Hard Could It Be?" by jpellino · · Score: 2

    Should be the phrase in Latin on their icon coin image.

    --
    "Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
    1. Re:"How Hard Could It Be?" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      quantum fieri potest?

  56. Re: Isn't the block chain what makes it decentrali by 1s44c · · Score: 1

    If you control 51% of the hashing power in the network, you can modify the block chain while simultaneously self-verifying your version as the one-and-true block chain.

    No you can't. You still have to output valid blocks or every node will reject it. Every node validates every block and rejects anything that breaks the rules.

    A 51% attack can't steal coins, generate more coins, or change the past in any way other than by generating a parallel blockchain. It's considerably less harmful than people seem to think.

  57. Re: Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time by 1s44c · · Score: 1

    Err, no. It's going almost exactly as the 2008 plan said it would.

  58. The important thing to remember by David+Gerard · · Score: 1

    The most important thing to remember is:

    THIS IS GREAT NEWS FOR BITCOIN!!

    --
    http://rocknerd.co.uk
    1. Re:The important thing to remember by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is true. Any opportunity to test the resilience of bitcoin is good news for it.

  59. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by 1s44c · · Score: 1

    Read the 2008 paper. The idea was never that everyone would mine, it's that mining was going to be taken over by specialized equipment and that the difficulty adjustment system and the free market would compensate for the ever increasing mining power. It worked out exactly like that.

  60. Hilarious FFWD:ing of capitalist process by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is always what happens.
    1. You get the upper hand > 2. You get money to invest > 3. You gain even more advantage > GOTO 2

  61. Read the article by Zeorge · · Score: 1

    No, really, you should take the same amount of time it took you to type that sentence, scan the article, and you'll find the name of the company:

    MegaBigPower with a PO Box in Silvana, WA

    1. Re:Read the article by Kaenneth · · Score: 1

      My point was, I've heard of 'upstate New York' without ever coming within 1000 miles of it. But no one here, that I know of, ever called any part of Washington 'upstate', so it's a meaningless description.

    2. Re:Read the article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, really, you should take the same amount of time it took you to type that sentence, scan the article, and you'll find the name of the company:

      And if you want people to know where that is, you describe it as being in "Western Washington", or perhaps "the Puget Sound area".

  62. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

    A market exists for mowing lawns. Do you consider John Deere too stupid to fuel up their own products and make a profit like that? A market exists for corn chips. Do you view the farmers as too stupid to grind and bake their own corn and bypass the middle men?

    If John Deere could make a profit by rigging up its tractors in its factories to some pre-built servers, it would. If all it would take the farmers to make corn chips is to plug their corn silos into some pre-built servers, they would.

    All your comparisons fail due to the huge difference in how easy it is to move from producing bit-coin machines to producing bitcoins. Especially if the bitcoin machines have to be tested with their final functionality, which is 100% indistinguishable from its end user utilization.

    Now, could GAW or Butterfly potentially make more mining on their own gear? Currently, yes, they could. That doesn't mean they want that as a business model.

    Why would they not? All they would have to do is to not unplug their bitcoin rigs from their testing harness. In short, it takes them more effort to stop being miners than it does to be miners. Why in god's name does anyone still think that there is some economic reason they don't mine bitcoins themselves? The only reason they even pretend they don't is because this way, they get up-front free capital for creating their own rigs. When the cost of a loan drops below the cost of servicing the miner purchases, that's when these operations will stop selling to end-users.

    --
    Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
  63. Re: Isn't the block chain what makes it decentrali by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

    A 51% attack can't steal coins, generate more coins, or change the past in any way other than by generating a parallel blockchain.

    What do you call it when someone doubles (or triples, or quadruples) an existing transaction? What do you call it when someone invalidates a transaction? And what do you call it when 51% of the network generates a parallel blockchain that it calls the one true blockchain? Yes, you can fork it and have two official block chains, but at that point, bitcoin WILL be dead to everyone. It'd be like there suddenly were two US of A governments, each distributing their own, slightly different dollars, but with hugely different printing rules.

    Yeah, this 51% business is as bad as people make it out to be.

    --
    Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
  64. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by geekoid · · Score: 1

    Because electro currency is inherently flawed. Once a threshold it reached, it will be in the bets interest of many large groups, like countries, to devise a way to break it.
    And the can d so relatively anonymously.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  65. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by geekoid · · Score: 1

    Really, the top of the pyramid makes the most money, you don't say?

    It's like pointing the top of ta pyramid scheme and saying it's not a pyramid scheme becasue those people make money.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  66. Re: Isn't the block chain what makes it decentrali by geekoid · · Score: 1

    When talking about currency, that sort of thing is very harmful.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  67. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by mythosaz · · Score: 1

    He answered your questions about why they don't just keep every unit they make and plug it in.

    It's currently profitable, but risky.

    They prefer the steady (safe) income of selling rigs over the potentially higher (but risky) income of mining BTC.

    Even in a profitable gold rush, not everyone wants to find a stream and start panning.

  68. Re: Isn't the block chain what makes it decentrali by mythosaz · · Score: 1

    o you can't. You still have to output valid blocks or every node will reject it.

    Great. Who's "everyone?"

    51% of the clients approve it, some small percentage of clients who're aware of the 51% attack try (pointlessly) to reject it, and the rest of the clients standardize of the one that the 51% push.

  69. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by pla · · Score: 1

    Why would they not?

    Your question presupposes that every rational actor will always attempt to engage in the highest-profit activity possible without regard for external circumstances (or even simply personal preference). Why doesn't everyone become doctors-aspiring-to-play-pro-football?

    In the John Deere and corn farmer examples, you quickly spotted the problem - John Deere doesn't want to mow lawns, they want to manufacture tractors; and yet, people do quite successfully buy Deere mowers and make a profit using them to mow lawns. Farmer Brown doesn't want to work in snackfood manufacturing, he wants to work the soil; and yet, Frito Lay manages to make a profit taking Farmer Brown's corn and turning it into Doritos.

    Now, in the case of Bitcoin, your question has a simple, direct answer based on external factors: price volatility. If the US government bans Bitcoin tomorrow, would you want a multi-million dollar inventory of dedicated mining rigs on-hand? That doesn't mean they can't make money mining today, it just means they don't have all their eggs in the "make money mining for the next quarter" basket.


    Especially if the bitcoin machines have to be tested with their final functionality, which is 100% indistinguishable from its end user utilization.

    Given the lead times to order most ASIC rigs, I highly suspect the manufacturer's do keep them around for "testing" a good bit longer than strictly necessary. That still doesn't mean they want to operate a server farm as their core business rather than building and selling mining rigs for others.


    Why would they not? All they would have to do is to not unplug their bitcoin rigs from their testing harness. In short, it takes them more effort to stop being miners than it does to be miners.

    That doesn't even come close to "all" they would have to do. Capital has costs, ROI does not equal ROIC, and engaging in manufacturing conveys tax breaks that operating a server farm does not. It sounds great to say "just don't sell them", until you consider that that means, at the very least, writing down the cost of all on-hand inventory at the time and restating the past year's tax statements to reflect purchases for use rather than purchases for resale. Okay, you say, so they get a loan to cover the switch, and then start building just to mine - Good luck convincing any bank of that business plan! "We want you to finance our switch from high-tech manufacturing to bitcoin mining"...I can hear the laughter already.

    I get your point, but I think you have massively oversimplified the differences between making ASIC rigs for resale vs making them to run in-house; you have also overlooked a variety of reasons one might want to do the former but not the latter. Whether or not they could make more doing the latter today actually comes pretty low on the list of reasons they should or shouldn't.

  70. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 1

    Even in a profitable gold rush, not everyone wants to find a stream and start panning.

    The difference, again, is in how much effort is expended to move from one to the other. Gold panning is difficult and unpredictable. Bitcoin mining is very predictable (if you take into account current valuations), very easy to turn off, requires nothing you aren't already running, and its only downside is the impact of a drop in bitcoin valuation, which changes for how long you can run you mining rig before you want to ship it out.

    People might start out thinking "I'm gonna sell shovels to the miners!", and then they quickly discover that they have created an automated shovel, and that the gold mine is in the electric outlet.

    --
    Those who can, do. Those who can't, sue.
  71. Re:or a society that leverages selfishness for goo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What part of your story is related to marriage at all?

  72. the end? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The end if crypto currencies decentralized structure?

    You guys talk like proof of stake doesn't exist now.

  73. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Algae_94 · · Score: 1

    Look dude, you don't have to like or have any faith in the US dollar, but calling it " the most corrupt currency on the entire planet" (emphasis added) is a bit of an exaggeration. When you extremely exaggerate and spew hyperbole, people tend to tune you out and label you a nut job.

  74. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The 51% (which technically is a 50%+1 as you said) would simply allow them to double spend coins in the short term.

      Trouble is, since double spending is theft, and since the transactions are all visible, it is relatively easy to show that this double spending it occurring than get the regular police involved. Double spending by unknown thieves is bad, double spending by large identifiable collective is less so.

  75. Re:or a society that leverages selfishness for goo by Tom · · Score: 1

    The part where sex is exchanged for another valuable.

    Here's a free pro hint for next time: Read, comprehend, comment - in that order.

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  76. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by BoberFett · · Score: 1

    Finding the bitcoin might be easy, but managing power loads, working deals with local utilities or other involved parties, and managing the actual sales of the bitcoin (because unless you can turn a bitcoin into actual cash, the value of a bitcoin is ZERO) is whole lot more work than plugging in a board.

  77. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by kasperd · · Score: 1

    A miner connected to the bitcoin network AND the pool, could in theory foil the attack.

    If you are mining without communicating with the rest of the bitcoin network, you are putting somebody else in charge of that communication, which means you are giving somebody the power to cheat. Any miner not intending to cheat should be considering that to be a vulnerability in the mining software.

    In other words, any miner not intending to cheat have an interest in running mining software, that does communicate with the rest of the bitcoin network, even if the rest of the mining pool doesn't.

    --

    Do you care about the security of your wireless mouse?
  78. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by mysidia · · Score: 1

    If you are mining without communicating with the rest of the bitcoin network, you are putting somebody else in charge of that communication, which means you are giving somebody the power to cheat.

    I agree with that, but I believe 98% of miners are using standard mining tools which communicate with the selected pool only; the mining pool has connections to the network, but the miners themselves don't have direct communications with a node on the bitcoin peer to peer network.

    By the way... running a full blown bitcoind requires a lot of RAM, so I don't think most individual miners even have a node on the network.

    What i'd like to see happen is a pool cross-submission scheme, where: instead of miners having just one pool configured, they have at least 3 configured, and: while they may only be requesting work units from 1 pool; they could send a 'heads up' to all the secondary pools, when a new block is detected...

    The 'secondary pools' ought to allow these unsolicited valid blocks to be received, and then relayed to their own Bitcoin network nodes.

    Furthermore.... they could add a mechanism for miners to query information about the current block, and alert the other pools: if for some reason, there is a disagreement about which block is the most recent one in the blockchain.

  79. The Truth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You either fundamentally understand this already... or you will soon be discarded as trash upon actual trash.

    Allow me to explain, for the latter 10% of you:

    Banks had one simple double negative purpose: Hold our money and never not hold it.
    Charge us a fee for your 'service' if you must (not a thousand misc. bullshit fees) and maybe store the money somewhere "safe," like a big metal box or SHA256 encrypted in a packet of electricity you could magically route through a series of tubes to one or more persons unique and predesignated electric packet repository.. or whatever. Our only stipulation was to just keep having our money and never not hold it. A paltry task! Yet somehow, shattering your usefulness to us forevermore, you went and did the opposite of that one thing: Took our money and did, in fact, a lot of not holding it. Such a simple thing you failed to achieve (suspiciously en masse), blatantly disregarding that one tiny mandatory stipulation. According to my calculations you have a 100% failure rate. No other business in the history of mankind has that kind of track record and still makes record profits. Not only are you still employed, but are somehow in possesion of fresh food, warm houses, and parachutes made of gold.

    Not for long.

    You then did something truly atrocious: After we bled more blue collar dollars into your BIG bail out, you immediately craw-fished and foreclosed on the very same people who did not foreclose on you. Hundreds of thousands of families. Women, children, back breaking laborers, your saviors...... discarded like a wet newspaper into the gutter; hungry, afraid, alone and hopelessly entangled eternally in your debt web of compounding deceit.

    Surprise, surprise, when all the dust settled not long after, it came to light that you lost our money to each other quite intentionally. This final straw sowed strong the seed of your demise. We will NEVER forget this. Not my generation, nor any generations influenced by me or my brethren forever after, so help me Spaghetti Monster.

    Central Bankers: You are dismissed.

    We will allow you and your immediate family members (temporary) safe passage to any and all garbage landfills in the world, where you and your few remaining generations will rot slowly from disease and starvation till your genes are passed on no more. This befits the nature of your crimes against humanity. Just as you audibly declared value in paper coupons, we declare you permanently exiled and welcome to the world The BlockChain, a system most efficient for evolving.
    The BlockChain will propel Humanity
    To The Moooon.

    All we have left is one easy peezy tisky task: Scrub clean the world of your inky black sickness and weed out your greed by rinsing and repeating the Exile every four score or so. Oh, and please take all those dirty pieces of fiat paper with you. You worked so hard to own almost 90% of it. Let them be your toilet paper. Because you earned that.

    -RawrJ45istheW0rkH0rseEtherbeast

    1. Re:The Truth by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Uh, you complain about foreclosures. Are you suggesting that Bitcoin offers some magical solution to obtaining a loan to buy a home when you don't have the money to pay cash?

      Bitcoin simply regulates the total supply of a currency/minting/etc. It has nothing to do with who can kick you out of your house when you don't pay the loan on it.

      Also, keep in mind that the reason that the banks didn't have the money that people deposited to them was because they gave it to the people that they're trying to foreclose on.

      I'm no fan of the banks, but your description of the situation oversimplifies it greatly. I do sympathize with those who ended up with underwater mortgages (this is hard to avoid in a bubble unless you rent), but not really with those who took out loans that required payments that were more than a third of their total income at the time.

  80. The Truth by RawrJ45isaEtherbeast · · Score: 1

    -RawrJ45istheW0rkH0rseEtherbeastisnotanAnonymousCoward

  81. The Truth by RawrJ45isaEtherbeast · · Score: 1

    -RawrJ45istheW0rkH0rseEtherbeastisnotanAnonymousCoward

    -RawrJ45istheW0rkH0rseEtherbeastisnotanAnonymousCoward and is now all up in your slashdot.

  82. People still think bitcoin is going to keep going strong?

    I though most people had realized by now, that it's doomed to failure?

    People witnessed the demise of Myspace said Facebook was "doomed to failure" but then major corporations started creating accounts and official pages and utilizing the billion+ powerhouse of marketing madness. Point is, once Crisco and Goodyear have invested resources and reputation, it is in their best interest to help Facebook succeed from then on. Not long ago, you couldn't search anything on Pintrest without child porn images appearing in the list of results. Major companies started climbing on board the Pinterest train and there is now a concerted e]effort to clean it up so major corporations will put their rep on the line to be part of it. This is where I prove you are an idiot with no foresight/common sense: I can pay for my degree at New York's Kings College in bitcoins, buy almost anything a credit card can, or just take my girl to a movie using the "doomed to failure" currency hundreds of global corporations have already started accepting. This will pave the way to a big fat "Told You So" and I'll be here to rub it in your face every single day. Global companies that accept bitcoin now (to name a few): Expedia, Richard Branson/Virgin Galactic, Overstock.com, TigerDirect, Lord & Taylor, your mom, Amazon, Target, CVS, Subway, VictoriaÃ(TM)s Secret, Sacramento Kings, Chicago Sun Times, Bloomberg.com, Bing by Microsoft,Home Depot, KMart, Sears, Gamestop Gap and JCPenny via eGifter, Your mom again, Dish Network, the list is huuuge and bigger every day. I think it is you who is doomed to failure. Do some research and quit being the central banking industries stool pigeon, Jebus.

  83. Wow you just got served old old old school!

  84. the end? by RawrJ45isaEtherbeast · · Score: 1

    Name 1 pos coin that lived to reap it's interest bearing rewards. There is no value in it other than to draw out the bag holder hot potato game

  85. ...then why hasn't the price dropped? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bitcoin is still valued at about six-hundred times that of the US dollar. Ghash.io gaining 51% of the mining hashrate for a few hours had no real effect on the price. So this is doomsday?

  86. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by kasperd · · Score: 1

    I believe 98% of miners are using standard mining tools which communicate with the selected pool only

    So, we are dealing with a (minor) weakness in the standard mining tools.

    What i'd like to see happen is a pool cross-submission scheme, where: instead of miners having just one pool configured, they have at least 3 configured, and: while they may only be requesting work units from 1 pool; they could send a 'heads up' to all the secondary pools, when a new block is detected...

    Sounds like a reasonable solution.

    --

    Do you care about the security of your wireless mouse?
  87. Re:or a society that leverages selfishness for goo by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    Religions are often founded by people who are not selfish or power-hungry. Unfortunately, the direct impact of the founder is typically gone in a few generations, and the only way the religion will survive is to have some sort of church structure, which either dies out or becomes somewhat powerful, attracting the selfish and power-hungry.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  88. Fly, my pretties, fly! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think it's a wonderful testament to /.'s interest in technology and the common good that we're willing to point at a security flaw and wave 'I told you so' flags and spout hyperbole instead of coming up with a way to harden it. Keep up the good work, guys!

  89. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by mysidia · · Score: 1

    So, we are dealing with a (minor) weakness in the standard mining tools.

    Perhaps so. Keep in mind; if the miners did have to communicate with the pools constantly and synchronously with their mining, it could slow down their mining, and therefore give them a competitive disadvantage.

    On the other hand... the insertion of an additional "status reporter/cheating detector/squealing engine/preemptive information sharing mechanism" could serve to partially mitigate risks that they unwittingly assist a large pool in conducting an attack.

    Actually.... if the cheat detection was setup in this manner; it's suddenly difficult to imagine just exactly what an attack from a large pool would have to consist of ---- without persuading a majority of miners not to run cheat protection, in order to be successful.

  90. Re:or a society that leverages selfishness for goo by romons · · Score: 1

    Some of the founding fathers of the US wrote about attempting to create a system whereby the individual quest for money and power ends up benefiting the common good. Some native American tribes had such a system. In their tradition, every few years neighboring groups would gather to redistribute rankings - power and prestige. The ranking of each leader was determined by how much he gave away. A man of prestige would work a few years, carefully managing his capital to try to produce as much good stuff as he could in order to give away more than his neighbor, thereby retaining his title.

    Isn't this just buying elections? Just let the rich pay the poor for their votes. Worked well enough in Chicago...

    --
    Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company -- Mark Twain
  91. In Chicago, the pols use the people's money by raymorris · · Score: 1

    There is a similarity, and also a very, very important difference. What you normally see in the US is that the politicians take money from the people, then "buy votes" through spending the people's own money. Obama doesn't buy Obama phones" and give them away - you pay for those. He didn't withdraw several billion from his bank account and give it to his campaign bundlers who own solar companies. He had you and I withdraw billions from OUR bank accounts to give to his top supporters.

    The current American system is about taking from one group and "giving" what's taken to another group. The native system I referred to is about the potential leader giving away his own possessions. It's about both generosity and competence, effectiveness. A guy who spent the year trying to grow rice in the dry earth will have nothing to give away. The guy who planted a variety of beans,maize, etc will have some grow well and have bags of food to give away. This is good for the community, that fools do not become leaders. Those who make effective decisions get and keep leadership positions, since the requirement for getting the position is that you effectively manage your resources to produce the maximum amount of goods to give out. The US system has no such constraint - politicians can be wasteful and ineffective. When they waste resources, they just take more from the taxpayers.

    1. Re:In Chicago, the pols use the people's money by romons · · Score: 1

      Since there is no shortage of paid shills for the rich, whenever there is any waste, it is pointed out gleefully (and usually unfairly) by these mouthpieces. So, there have been innumerable stories (mostly unfair) of welfare queens and $1000 hammers since I was a kid in the 60s. These stories have lead people to the mostly incorrect assumption that government is wasteful.

      The US government is NOT wasteful. Our tax rates are lower than most other industrialized countries. Government is trimmed to the bone. You probably don't know this, but there has been a huge reduction in government employees since the 2008 financial meltdown. Local government has been hit even harder, since reduction in federal subsidies have caused massive layoffs. There is CONSTANT cost pressure on government. This ratchets costs downwards. You may also not know that we enjoy the lowest income tax rates in the industrialized world. We do have a very fine military, but the reality is that that military is where the real government waste lives. Do we really need more military spending than the next 10 players combined?

      Our government works pretty well, all things considered. We enjoy safety from invasion, robbery, and fire, reasonable roads, fairly good schools, and OK health care (assuming we are 'middle class' enough to live in a good neighborhood.) I think you are seeing a government that doesn't really exist outside conservative ideology.

      --
      Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company -- Mark Twain
  92. Re:Bitcoin stopped being distributed a long time a by Rich0 · · Score: 1

    This is absolutely hilarious. Not because it's a fake post (I honestly don't know if it is or not), but just the fact that someone would even think that this is a good enough idea to post that 'serious' miners are actually doing this.

    Uh, everything he posted is factually accurate, not that you would know per your own admission. I'm not sure what you mean by "good enough idea to post" - I'm not sure why adding facts to a discussion about Bitcoin wouldn't be a good idea.

    He never claimed that the serious miners were making money. His point was that Bitcoin mining wasn't really a distributed operation any longer - at least not in the sense of everybody and their uncle doing it with 10% of their spare CPU capacity.

    I won't disagree that trying to make money by mining Bitcoin doesn't make sense right now, because there is far more supply of mining than there is demand for it. If at some point the value settles down and it actually gets used in some significant volume of commerce then there would be a steady demand for mining, and it would be possible to make a very modest profit for mining once all the enthusiasm dies out. As you say, right now there is a gold rush which has created a bubble.

    Bitcoin was never designed to give out free money to miners. They're a necessary part of the operation of the system, but as their supply goes up so does the difficulty level and the value of transaction costs right now is low since there aren't many transactions and half the miners will bless transactions for free.

    The concentration of mining operations is a real problem for the protocol.

  93. Re: Isn't the block chain what makes it decentrali by Rich0 · · Score: 1

    You still have to output valid blocks or every node will reject it.

    The problem here is that you have a definition of "every node" which excludes 51+% of the nodes.

    Distributed systems like this are often susceptible to commandeering by somebody willing to throw enough brute force at it. If the NSA spun up a million tor nodes then a significant percentage of network traffic would travel entirely through nodes they control and thus they could trace it trivially. If you go and play poker with a table full of people who are conspiring against you, then you're going to lose out big. Bitcoin is just another case of this - if the majority of the network is out to take advantage of you, and it is a consensus-based network, then you're in trouble.

  94. Re:Ghash.IO is not consistently over 51%, yet anyw by kasperd · · Score: 1

    Keep in mind; if the miners did have to communicate with the pools constantly and synchronously with their mining, it could slow down their mining, and therefore give them a competitive disadvantage.

    True. I was assuming it was obvious, that the communication had to be asynchronous. And I can't see any reason to communicate with other pools more often than once per block.

    Once a node has started computing, it should be able to go on for quite a while without any communication. If the node doesn't hear anything else, it should just keep doing whatever it was doing. The only thing that can render the continued computation completely pointless for the node is if a node somewhere (in the same pool or any other pool) successfully mines a block. If communication has been totally dead for an hour, it is probably a waste of energy to keep trying to mine a block, since somebody else likely mined it already. But if you haven't heard anything for five minutes, just keep trying to mine the same block you were already working on.

    This means the most important information to get synchronized between nodes is the fact that somebody mined a block. This should be totally independent of the pool, so this can be communicated between nodes even if they are in separate pools.

    The other information a node needs to receive is information about which transactions to include in the block. It's no big deal if that information is lagging a bit behind. You could update the list of transactions multiple times while trying to complete a block, but if it lags a couple of blocks behind, nothing is going to break.

    --

    Do you care about the security of your wireless mouse?
  95. your link says 1.3%. That's HUGE! 80%, on the othe by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > there has been a huge reduction in government employees [census.gov]

    Your link says:
    > Looking back to the previous census, the number of full-time equivalent state and local government employees decreased 1.3 percent from the 2007 Census of Governments to 16.2 million in the 2012 Census of Governments.

    A decrease of 1.3%. Wow, that's huge. Over the same period of time, the unemployment rate jumped from 4.6% to 8.1%. In the private sector, 4% of people lost their jobs. That's THREE times as many as the 1.3% in government. So over that time period, government's share of employment INCREASED - a higher percentage of jobs were government jobs in 2012 then were in 2007.

    So, you look at an increase and call it a "huge decrease". You then come to conclusions that make just as much sense.

    I work for a government agency that gets awards for efficiency. We're one of the most efficient government agencies in the country. I've never seen a private business nearly as inefficient as this agency, though I'm sure there are some. That's not a bad thing, though, democracy isn't SUPPOSED to be efficient.

    The government of North Korea is efficient. Lil Kim issues an order and it's done. If you get in the way, he can just kill you, no problem. That's not the American way. The US government is supposed to be fair, it's supposed to be accountable. The US government respects the religious, racial, other sexual identity traditions of it's employees and citizens. We're make sure that we are fair to the transgender community. Do you think North Korea's government employees have annual sensitivity training? Our way of government is not supposed to be efficient. It's supposed to respect the rights and opinions of each individual. We have public hearings, approval processes that sometimes take years. That's so that members of the public can come and voice their opinion. That's good. Criminal cases can spend years to make it through various levels of hearings and appeals to ensure fairness. That's not efficient - it's not supposed to be.

    Don't ask for efficient government. Efficient government would spend a few minutes to convict you of a felony. Ask for fair and open government. That also means that when you do want efficiency, don't look to the government for that. They are set up for fairness, for democracy, not for efficiency. Efficient government would run like an efficient business - where the boss is the boss and what the boss says goes. You don't have 435 people argue about each decision if you want efficiency.

  96. Re:your link says 1.3%. That's HUGE! 80%, on the o by romons · · Score: 1

    I don't want to be a dick here, since we are clearly on the same side of most of this. However, you can't really call a decrease in government employment an increase because the private sector lost more jobs. That is faulty logic. In addition, during the sort of recession we've been through, you WANT to spend more government dollars to promote demand. The fact that government spending has gone down for the last 4 years (as a percent of GDP) is due to misguided nonsense like saying that government employment and private employment are a zero sum game. Not even close to being true.

    I am really just pointing out that government is already pretty efficient. You claim to work in an agency that is really efficient, but you say that it isn't as efficient as any business. You probably haven't worked in business much. I've worked in various large, successful computer companies over the years (cisco and apple spring to mind. Cisco in particular is 'known' for being cheap), and they are all incredibly inefficient, starting projects and then canning them, buying lots of crap they don't need when they are having a good year, running parallel development efforts, and laying off whole teams they will just need to rebuild in a year. Other things include buying shit nobody needs because "if you don't use up your budget, they will cut it next year". At cisco, there are about 20 labs, each of which have thousands of routers for 'testing and development'. In my racks, at least 80% of the machines were powered on and unused most of the time. This was true of most of the other racks. The power waste must have been 10s of millions of dollars per year, with equivalent air conditioning costs. Nobody cared.

    I get what you are saying about government, and not wanting it to be efficient, but that is wrong. Government is obviously not a business (which is why business guys like Bush and Cheney don't really understand it;) it has different goals. However, given a mandate and resources, it should effectively fulfill that mandate using the least amount of resources possible. Serving the most people with the given resources is a matter of pride for many in government (state government, and I suspect federal government.)

    The post office won't ever make a profit, but, as you say, that isn't its purpose.

    --
    Go to Heaven for the climate, Hell for the company -- Mark Twain
  97. Re: Isn't the block chain what makes it decentrali by fezzzz · · Score: 1

    And then the value of all bitcoins will quickly approach 0 and the entity that spent so much money to acquire all the bitcoins will be broke.

  98. CPU-Mining The Non-ASIC Coin Types. Much Wow! by billstewart · · Score: 1

    There are crypto-currencies designed to be resistant to ASIC mining (though some are starting to get hit with GPU mining), by using algorithms that take enough memory or other complexities that are easy to do in CPU but hard to do on non-general platforms. Litecoin's one example.

    Some of them might have enough market depth that a stolen-CPU botnet mining farm could actually make money on them. There was a recent hack where somebody mined a lot of DogeCoins, and supposedly got about $200K worth - it's just appalling, because while DogeCoin is supposed to be ASIC-resistant, it's also supposed to be worth so little that it's purely for fun and nobody could actually make real money mining it.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks