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Fusion and Fission/LFTR: Let's Do Both, Smartly

TheRealHocusLocus writes: Disaster preppers have a saying, "two is one and one is none," which might also apply to 24x7 base load energy sources that could sustain us beyond the age of fossil fuel. I too was happy to see Skunkworks' Feb 2013 announcement and the recent "we're still making progress" reminder. I was moved by the reaction on Slashdot: a groundswell of "Finally!" and "We're saved!" However, fusion doesn't need to be the only solution, and it's not entirely without drawbacks.

All nuclear reactors will generate waste via activation as the materials of which they are constructed erode and become unstable under high neutron flux. I'm not pointing this out because I think it's a big deal — a few fusion advocates disingenuously tend to sell the process as if it were "100% clean." A low volume of non-recyclable waste from fusion reactors that is walk-away safe in ~100 years is doable. Let's do it. And likewise, the best comparable waste profile for fission is a two-fluid LFTR, a low volume of waste that is walk-away safe in ~300 years. Let's do it.

Why pursue both, with at least the same level of urgency? Because both could carry us indefinitely. LFTR is less complicated in theory and practice. It is closer to market. There is plenty of cross-over: LFTR's materials challenges and heat engine interface — and the necessity for waste management — are the same as they will be for commercial-scale fusion reactors. To get up to speed please see the 2006 fusion lecture by Dr. Robert Bussard on the Wiffle ball 6 plasma containment, likely the precursor to the Skunkworks approach. And see Thorium Remix 2011 which presents the case for LFTR.

218 comments

  1. Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It doesn't matter how safe modern fission designs are; the public fears it after several high profile disasters and that isn't likely to change.

    1. Re:Fission is Dead by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      What exactly is "the public"?

    2. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What the hell is with the random prepper "saying"? How the fuck does that relate to the rest of TFS? Why does TheRealHocusLocus hate commas and proper grammar? There are many questions raised by TFS, but I doubt they fit into the topic, whatever it is, that subby wanted to discuss.

    3. Re:Fission is Dead by gewalker · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Let's say I had a tested, working LFTR design. Do you really think it would be very hard to convince the public that it is inherently safer than other fission designs. Safer than a coal plant. Safer than hydroelectric. It is pretty easy to understand that a plant that is inherently impossible to cause a melt-down might be a different kind of plant than a light-water reactor design.

      True, there is radiation, but it is very modest. Few people seem to have NIMBY issues with LWR reactors based on the normal radiation. It is the fear of a Chernobyl event.

    4. Re:Fission is Dead by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      What exactly is "the public"?

      It means the American voters, because many Americans think that only America matters. Fission reactors are unpopular in America. They are also unpopular in Japan, Germany, Britain, and other countries. But there are also plenty of countries where nukes have public support, including France, China, India, Russia, etc. Fission power is far from dead.

    5. Re:Fission is Dead by maligor · · Score: 1

      Let's say I had a tested, working LFTR design. Do you really think it would be very hard to convince the public that it is inherently safer than other fission designs. Safer than a coal plant. Safer than hydroelectric. It is pretty easy to understand that a plant that is inherently impossible to cause a melt-down might be a different kind of plant than a light-water reactor design.

      True, there is radiation, but it is very modest. Few people seem to have NIMBY issues with LWR reactors based on the normal radiation. It is the fear of a Chernobyl event.

      I don't think Chernobyl or Three Mile Island is really the problem these days (aside from the green activists that want to enter the stone age), but that the generation experience was lost due to these disaster as well as the passive uranium cycle designs in the company fallout. To be fair, the modern nuclear reactor designs are pretty decent, but the lost generations really hurt the industry.

    6. Re:Fission is Dead by Charliemopps · · Score: 2

      Watch The Discovery Channel/History channel, CNN, MSNBC or Fox News for about 8hrs strait...
      While doing so, pretend you hadn't graduated high-school and need something other than your own failures in life to blame for your continuous and unabated fear of your unstable future.

      Then it will all make sense.
      You'll also either start calling the president Obola or chanting "Bush lied, people died"

    7. Re:Fission is Dead by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      What the hell is with the random prepper "saying"? How the fuck does that relate to the rest of TFS?

      It was a segue between the claim that we need to do things "smartly", and the inane Pollyanna gibberish that followed.

    8. Re:Fission is Dead by Smidge204 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Safer than hydroelectric.

      Including Chernobyl, there have been something like 56 direct fatalities, 4000+ deaths from cancer attributed to the radiation, and 350,000+ displaced peoples due to fission reactor failures. I'm not aware of any deaths *directly* attributed to Fukushima but let's round that off to an even 60.

      Banqiao hydroelectric dam collapse: 26,000 drowned, 145,000 dead from disease and famine, 11+ million displaced.

      Adjusted for GW capacity, hydroelectric power (970GW) is an order of magnitude more dangerous than nuclear (372GW).

      Ban hydro power! ;)
      =Smidge=

    9. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even in Britain they build new fission reactors.

    10. Re:Fission is Dead by markus_baertschi · · Score: 3, Informative

      Unfortunately yes.

      It is easy enough to get a big public outcry for any new nuclear plant, irrespective of its safety. The public has learned that nuclear = big accident (sooner or later). If you ask an activist if he want a coal or a nuclear plant, he will say 'neither' and fight both, but probably more vigorously against the nuclear one. That makes investing into any kind of nuclear stuff a very risky proposal.

      The only way to change is when other fuels get expensive and we'll see rolling power outages again and the public experiences that we need new plants.

      Markus

    11. Re:Fission is Dead by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      A preponderance of the people. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...

      Your ignorance isn't a valid counter-argument.

    12. Re:Fission is Dead by AK+Marc · · Score: 3, Interesting

      So far every "inherently impossible" to meltdown design has been proven to be susceptible. The pebble reactors were meltdown-proof, until it was shown that the pebbles will, over time, change in a way that would eventually guarantee a meltdown, shortening the useful life, and greatly increasing the risk.

      We've heard it before. So why should we believe it this time?

      Of course, the proponents claim the problems are overblown, but nobody wants to find out. The only approved reactor was put on permanent hold. So we may never find out for sure.

    13. Re:Fission is Dead by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 3, Funny

      A preponderance of the people.

      As Pete Porter in Pasadena precisely put it.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    14. Re:Fission is Dead by Orne · · Score: 1

      Umm, it's literally right there, first country name in the 3rd sentence.

    15. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The problem here is the demand for perfect safety. The terrible old reactor designs have the best safety record of any large scale baseload power production technology, ever. Now we're looking at newer designs that are at least an order of magnitude, and likely two to three orders of magnitude, safer, and also don't produce the volume and type of waste that has been a concern. Why would we hesitate?

    16. Re:Fission is Dead by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      What the hell is with the random prepper "saying"? How the fuck does that relate to the rest of TFS?

      If you are having difficulty understanding the concept that one must always have a backup plan or spare tool on hand in order to ensure survival... then perhaps you should not be discussing nuclear technology.

      Some of the nuance was lost when my submission was edited for the front page. It ended like this,

      [referring to the two videos] "Four hours well spent. Saving humanity is worth having at least two eggs in the basket."

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    17. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why don't we just force the private power industry to use the fission reactors designed, tested, used, and debugged by the US Navy since the 1950s? Those designs WORK; the crap Westinghouse et al. designed weren't based on experience, weren't properly tested, and are full of design bugs (bad tubes in heat exchangers, bad vibration modes, impossibly complex instrumentation, improper materials, etc.)

      Oh, wait: Westinghouse can't make money charging for reactor design if they use someone elses' design. Now I get it...

    18. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In Germany they first sucked to the Austrian and his circus. Now they suck up to an American-made circus in the form of GREEN*.

      So what ? China sucks up to nobody.

    19. Re:Fission is Dead by fustakrakich · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not about nuclear itself. We just can't trust the people running the industry, and that includes government oversight. They will cut corners and claim cost overruns every chance they get. It turns out that big business is just as funky as a traveling carnival show... They're all a bunch of hucksters. This is what makes nuclear look bad. Well, that, and a couple of well publicized accidents, caused by what? Corner cutting and corruption. Nuclear can be very safe and secure.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    20. Re: Fission is Dead by Kvathe · · Score: 2

      I believe you mean having your eggs in at least two baskets.

    21. Re:Fission is Dead by UnderCoverPenguin · · Score: 1

      Why don't we just force the private power industry to use the fission reactors designed, tested, used, and debugged by the US Navy since the 1950s?

      How well would those designs scale? Even on the largest ships, the reactors are small compared to commercial power production..

      (While they're are some technical advances to using more small reactors, the construction costs would be higher. Also, while I like the idea of putting small power plants nearer the loads they serve, there will be a lot resistance to building new fission plants closer to urban areas than they already are.)

      --
      Don't try to out wierd me, three-eyes. I get stranger things than you, free with my breakfast cereal. --Zaphod Beeblebr
    22. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Saying is praying but doing is screwing.

    23. Re:Fission is Dead by Sarius64 · · Score: 1

      Might as well ban sugar factories too! https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    24. Re:Fission is Dead by Blahblagger · · Score: 0

      Because the power needs of a nuclear submarine and/or nuclear carrier are VERY different from a baseload power station, and at least an order of magnitude more expensive with completely different design requirements and space considerations?

    25. Re:Fission is Dead by occasional_dabbler · · Score: 2

      Damn, Posting as me to delete the accidental downmod when I was trying to upmod. Fat fingers, sorry...

      --
      "Our opponent is an alien starship packed with atomic bombs," I said. "we have a protractor"
    26. Re:Fission is Dead by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      sorry, had to mock fission reactor locations first, throw in a Pacific Rim 2 reference.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    27. Re:Fission is Dead by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > It doesn't matter how safe modern fission designs are;

      It makes no difference one way or the other.

      Modern fission plants cost between $8 and $10/Watt. Wind turbines cost about $1.50/Watt. See page 11:

      http://www.lazard.com/PDF/Levelized%20Cost%20of%20Energy%20-%20Version%208.0.pdf

      Since the average fission plant has a CF around 85% to 90%, and the average wind turbine has a CF around 30 to 35%, that means that in energy-equivalent terms, wind has an equivalent cost of about $4 to $5. As a result, the *unsubsidized* LCoE of wind is less than fission. Scroll back to page 2.

      So until you can figure out a way to chop the overnight CAPEX of fission plants by a factor of two, and reduce the fuel cost to zero while you're at it. Add to that the need to borrow massive unsecured loans, the inherent risk of long construction times, and the continual habit of going 2x over budget, and the banks run screaming from nuclear.

    28. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your numbers are very deceptive, as you are including both subsidies and non-generation costs, such as the huge legal fees required to build any nuclear plant.

      If you include ONLY the cost of electrical generation, you'll find nuclear is amongst the cheapest power sources available.

    29. Re:Fission is Dead by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      > Let's say I had a tested, working LFTR design

      Ok.

      > Do you really think it would be very hard to convince the public that it is inherently safer than other fission designs

      No.

      But you make the common mistake of assuming that fission isn't being built because of NIMBY. Fission isn't being built because of $8 to $10 overnight CAPEX.

      So, is your LFTR three times cheaper to build than a AP1000? With all that plumbing? Are you sure? Because it has to be - three times cheaper.

    30. Re:Fission is Dead by ericloewe · · Score: 1

      Is that the study from the other day that was summarily dismissed because it made up bogus costs for nuclear power, to make wind look better?

    31. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except for the USN Enterprise.

      Though small, it could power a city. Normal use, I understand, only used 5 of the 8 available.

    32. Re:Fission is Dead by sexconker · · Score: 2

      AK Marc shitting on i kan reed is like Hodor beating up Helen Keller.
      It's mildly entertaining and saves me the trouble of doing it myself, but he'll still be riding the short bus to the kid's table on Thanksgiving.

    33. Re:Fission is Dead by sexconker · · Score: 2

      So far every "inherently impossible" to meltdown design has been proven to be susceptible. The pebble reactors were meltdown-proof, until it was shown that the pebbles will, over time, change in a way that would eventually guarantee a meltdown, shortening the useful life, and greatly increasing the risk.

      We've heard it before. So why should we believe it this time?

      Of course, the proponents claim the problems are overblown, but nobody wants to find out. The only approved reactor was put on permanent hold. So we may never find out for sure.

      Engineers rarely use the word "impossible". With your standards, we'd never build another boat.

    34. Re:Fission is Dead by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > as you are including both subsidies and non-generation costs

      Sorry, are you replaying to my post?

      If so, I think you need to look up the definition of overnight costs.

    35. Re:Fission is Dead by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      > Is that the study from the other day that was summarily dismissed because
      > it made up bogus costs for nuclear power, to make wind look better?

      Ummm, no.

      Maybe you should google up Lazard.

    36. Re:Fission is Dead by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So far every "inherently impossible" to meltdown design has been proven to be susceptible.

      Liquid fuels are already 'melted' while in operation, but I do catch your drift, as in runaway catastrophe.

      Meltdown with atmospheric release of radioactivity is possible where decay heat comes into contact with water (hydrogen, Fukushima) or graphite (Chernobyl). While the danger of graphite ignition pebble reactors has been posed and disputed, they punt by saying, we'll keep a runaway pebbl;e reactor it contained and starved of oxygen (via inert gas) and it won't be a problem.

      My worst case scenario is worse than theirs. My LFTR-killer event involves an explosion powerful enough to destroy the containment vessel and building, in the rain. It would be an awful mess. But the salts would merely solidify and remain bound to the heavy elements mixed in, and aside from some steam which would be barely radioactive (because they only react with water slowly) there would be no need to evacuate the day care center over the ridge as the cleanup begins.

      So a LFTR 'disaster' is merely a local mishap. To solve the world's energy problems one could not hope for better.The Thorium video describes the failures at Chernobyl and especially Fukushima in greater detail.

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    37. Re:Fission is Dead by macpacheco · · Score: 2, Informative

      I believe you are wrong. Molten salt reactors are so safe it will take a comet / asteroid / military precision strike to cause a significant radioactivity release, and there is no water pressure on the inside to spit stuff out.
      If you want to make the reactor 99.999999999999999% safe just bury it deeper. conventional reactors are too big to be buried, molten salts are compact enough you could install them 10 feet underground (with 10ft of reinforced concrete above it), and have all of its connections first go sideways before go up.
      All three significant nuclear accidents (TMI, Chernobyl, Fukushima) wouldn't have happened with a molten salt reactor.
      Coal kills. Natural gas kills. Oil kills. Coal kills 200k yearly worldwide. Natural gas and oil kills 10k yearly worldwide. When will we understand that fukushima radiation killed nobody and the real reason the quarantine is still going on is the result of unscientific fear of cancers that never materialized with any nuclear accident ?
      Three Mile Island killed zero people, caused zero detectable deviation from cancer rates (specially no thryreoid or leukemia cancer rate deviations, main cancer types from radiation).
      Chernobyl killed less than 200 people from radiation sickness and might eventually kill a whopping 6000 people from cancer compared to those that swear it kill one million, but can't list the names of even a couple thousand cancer cases (with names and diagnosis).
      If people would be allowed back into Fukushima one year after the accident, cancer rates from that population would be smaller than those of people living in downtown Tokyo.
      http://bravenewclimate.com/201...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...
      http://www.nbcnews.com/news/ot...
      The problem isn't the disaster but rather Linear no threshold radiation cancer models which were created by deeply anti nuclear weapon scientists desperate to instill fear on governments undergoing nuclear weapons tests.
      If LNT were true, cancer rates for people living above 10000ft / 3Km would be horrendous.

    38. Re:Fission is Dead by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Smarter countries than the USA are racing ahead with smarter U235 reactor designs and thorium reactors. Growing, not dead.

    39. Re:Fission is Dead by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      Well said. Let me risk '-1 Troll' moderation too by saying I agree with almost all of your points.

      The problem isn't the disaster but rather Linear no threshold radiation cancer models which were created by deeply anti nuclear weapon scientists desperate to instill fear on governments undergoing nuclear weapons tests.

      The Linear no-threshold model needs to be reevaluated, especially the way it is used in statistical tomfoolery to establish a "integer death count" for extremely large populations from doses that can be lost in the noise of background radiation... the official explanation is they were applying the Precautionary Principle to something for which they had no hard data. Some references and angles to LNT in this previous post.

      The problem is that the Precautionary Principle requires no cost, courage or conviction to apply, so it will inevitably be used for a mix of pure-caution and evil-manipulative purposes. Anyone who applies it is indemnified from risk. It leads into zero-tolerance policy, codified aversion to risk taking (which has often been the evolutionary and technological jumpstart of the human race). It's one of those features of the human psyche that is also an exploitable bug.

      Before I post this I'd better check with my insurance company, it may affect the premiums. Actually the rules may change, I really shouldn't, so I won't. vv[n9v9n[[9[[0n cat on keyboa;klkrd iopw;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    40. Re:Fission is Dead by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      The other thing to remember about those reactors is they assume the availability of the ocean as an effectively limitless source of reasonably cool water. This influences aspects of their design from basic operation to last-ditch emergency measures in ways that just don't apply on land. Sure, you could build a bunch of them along the coast, but offshore construction on that scale is not cheap (and then you still need to get the power to the cities that need it). Worth investigating, but not an obvious win.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    41. Re: Fission is Dead by fyngyrz · · Score: 2

      Those baskets had better be woven from different materials, and one needs to be (at least) off planet, too. And if those eggs aren't "organic", well, that's it then, we're all going to die.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    42. Re:Fission is Dead by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      for about 8hrs strait...

      Is that a swimming time, or are we to use a boat?

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    43. Re:Fission is Dead by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 2

      Firstly, naval reactors run on highly enriched Uranium (90+% U-235), which is incredibly expensive and represents significant proliferation risk (you wouldn't want to give Homer Simpson access to "bomb grade" uranium) Secondly, you may also want to look up who built the reactors for the Enterprise, Nautilus, Nimitz class, about half the sub fleet and operated the Bettis Atomic Power Laboratory from 1949 to 2008 (Hint the company name starts with a 'W')

    44. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It also does not help that Fission is more expensive than solar...

    45. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Tea Party members in some states are for Solar...

    46. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Work with me to, improve Nuclear Tech for a renewable and nuclear clean energy future:

      signed,
      solar analysis

    47. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No problem, just cut the corners until it's cheap enough. And when it blows up just blame it on those damned luddites who don't let you build the super safe fifth gen reactors already.

    48. Re:Fission is Dead by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      Even if wind turbines do manage to get a CF of 30 to 35% (only achievable in specific areas), massive generation of wind energy requires hundreds billions spent in transmission lines, other power grid upgrades, gas turbine backup, energy storage.

      I find it doubtful. We can possibly achieve that, with the goal to avoid causing too much global warming ; but burning so much carbon in the process that we'll cause it anyway.

    49. Re:Fission is Dead by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      > Smarter countries than the USA are racing ahead with smarter U235 reactor designs and thorium reactors.

      Hmmm, let's see:

      India - been trying to commercialize thorium reactors for, what, 45 years now? How many are in commercial operation? Zero? Right.

      Canada - so convinced of the future of nuclear power that they sold off the entire reactor division of AECL for $15 million and a $770 million tax right-off (so basically negative $750 million).

      China - the latest saviour for everyone's flavour-of-the-month design, but also the country that builds and installs more PV and wind than any other, at somewhere between 5 and 10 times the *planned* reactor build-out, if that wasn't on hold.

      > Growing, not dead.

      It's just a flesh wound!

    50. Re:Fission is Dead by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      That's like blaming FM radio for all car deaths. Just because cars have radios doesn't mean radios are responsible for car accidents. Correlation is not causation etc.

      There have been deaths and damage attributable to hydro, but not much.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    51. Re:Fission is Dead by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      I take those Troll mods as a badge of honor. Its from those that don't want to debate nuclear facts vs anti nuclear FUD.

    52. Re:Fission is Dead by vandamme · · Score: 1

      People who watch TV, and heard reports about those 30,000 Japanese who died because of that nucular reactor that blew up.

      Remember, as George Carlin observed, half the population is dumber than average. And they vote.

    53. Re:Fission is Dead by lucien86 · · Score: 1

      It doesn't matter how safe modern fission designs are; the public fears it after several high profile disasters and that isn't likely to change.

      Yup. Ordinary people is stupid dumb chickens, 'panic em and keep em running'. Coal is 10,000 times more dangerous than standard nuclear but their not afraid of that.
      The things that make a stupid mindless animal panic and run and the things that don't - now there is a fascinating science... Radiation is invisible (makes
      heeby jeeby ghost noises), whereas the pollution from coal that kills is oh wait its invisible to. . Of course dying of asthma or cancer from airborne nano-scale coal dust is not as scary as dying from radiation. Even if we had 10 Chernobyl's per year nuclear would probably still be safer than coal. ..

      Of coarse unlike coal the nuclear industry haven't secretly had Greenpeace and CND working for them for the last 40 years...

      --
      Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
    54. Re:Fission is Dead by Strangely+Familiar · · Score: 1

      It's not about nuclear itself. We just can't trust the people running the industry, and that includes government oversight. They will cut corners and claim cost overruns every chance they get. It turns out that big business is just as funky as a traveling carnival show... They're all a bunch of hucksters. This is what makes nuclear look bad.

      You can say that about *any* energy technology. We can't trust the people running/regulating the solar, oil, gas, wind, coal, geothermal, electric utility, and hydroelectric industries, because they will cut corners and claim cost overruns, compete unfairly, mudsling at competitors, pollute, pillage, profit, and pass costs on to the public any way they can. And that would only be a half-truth. The other half of the truth is that they would also produce usable energy for the public. Your statement is a call for government/corporate reform overall-- a reform of the system, not a valid criticism of a single sector that is different from other parts of the energy sector.

      --
      Join the IParty!
    55. Re:Fission is Dead by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Nuclear can be a bit more dangerous than wind and solar. Your point seems to be lost in that little detail.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    56. Re:Fission is Dead by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Which even if were true would be of ni use if you put your solar panels in a place where is either
      1. No sun, or
      2. Californians.

    57. Re:Fission is Dead by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the four million people who died at Chernobyl, and the radioactive wasteland of Pennsylvania.

    58. Re:Fission is Dead by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      It is easy enough to get a big public outcry for any new nuclear plant, irrespective of its safety.

      Yes including pro bono activists who will provide materials, come to your town and help organize opposition. It was not always this way.

      First an interesting side trip. Rachel Carson's 1962 book Silent Spring introduced Americans to the vision of a dead planet, but it was actually Paul Ehrlich's 1968 book The Population Bomb that really set the stage for doomsday thinking. This bestseller (200 million copies) was not for everyone, but the predictions were vivid and awful. In hindsight, it grossly underestimated our ability to scale agriculture and feed more people over time, and (foolishly) exaggerated the scenario where so-called '3rd world' women living in poverty and hunger will persist in having 5+ children. Hans Rosling demonstrates nicely that it is excess child mortality (not family beliefs) that contributes to this, and once health improves women desire (on average 2-3.5) children.

      But if you're an American intellectual in 1968, you would have gotten a sense of foreboding that people would soon overrun the Earth. Mostly dem Indiaafricachina people

      In 1972 the UN Club of Rome commissioned a report from MIT, "Limits to Growth" (full text). It sold 12 million copies in 37 languages. This is an amazing piece of work, one of the first uses of computerized models. In it some of the doomsday assumptions made in Population Bomb was deftly woven with projections of food and energy resources to create projections. It also was the first popularized presentation that CO2 would directly increase global temperature.

      The Internet has a lot of tinfoil crap floating around about Club of Rome (and yes they are creepy) but it helps rationally not think of Limits to Growth as some secret Illuminati document. It was merely a widely bestselling book at the time. It even "recommended" the adoption of nuclear energy.

      I put recommended in scare-quotes because that's exactly what they did. Let's all turn to page 73. Nuclear will solve CO2... that's great. But then they launch into a warning about waste heat from nuclear plants disrupting aquatic life, which is a purely local and manageable phenomenon, why nuclear plants are sited on rivers not lakes. Swans love it. They then go full frontal thermodynamics on cities themselves as emitters of heat, as if we're living in a Dyson Sphere and this is something we should be worrying about today Interspersed with graphs of ever-escalating nuclear waste. Which --- according to a propaganda rule I call "The Frightened Animals of Bambi's Forest Flee In Terror" -- could never be somehow contained, burned completely, or managed properly (by default!). A bit on industrial and municipal pollution, lead is mentioned, glad that shit was stopped, then... we're off into a evisceration of DDT. Yes, even modern agriculture ills.

      It's easy to imagine a young ~35 Jane Fonda scared to death by all this. You have to realize that the popular doomsday bestseller with its Malthusian warnings is a relatively recent phenomenon. Throughout the 19th and 20th centuries industrial progress yielded direct and awe-inspiring improvements to life. Go ahead, flick a light on and run water from the tap, flush the toilet. I'll wait. By 1970 in the US this blessed infrastructure had become all but transparent.

      Leaving us the time and luxury to live in the present. And develop new ideas such as the ugly brand of environmentalis

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    59. Re:Fission is Dead by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Catastrophic failure of a hydroelectric dam displacing millions of people and killing hundreds of thousands is not correlation, it is direct causation.

      Funny how a cement containment of a nuclear reactor leaking causes people here to freak out, but a cement containment of a hydroelectric dam collapsing is suddenly given a free pass.

    60. Re:Fission is Dead by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So, is your LFTR three times cheaper to build than a AP1000? With all that plumbing? Are you sure? Because it has to be - three times cheaper.

      No it doesn't. Cost is only one small part of the entire financing equation. Financial risk includes the possibility of it all going horribly wrong as well. If it's 3 times more expensive, 10 times less likely to cause a never ending picket-line outside the fence, and 30 times less chance of catastrophe, then it may very well get the CAPEX approval required.

      In other news the local large industrial plant I work at has spend over $100m in the last 2 years just on firefighting infrastructure. Probably closer to $300m over the last 5 years. All of this investment did not cause a single extra drop of product to get manufactured, yet it was both required by and paid for by our parent company.

    61. Re:Fission is Dead by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      How exactly did the hydro station built into the dam cause it to fail? You need to explain that to establish causation.

      In the case of a reactor containment building failing, the majority of the damage is due to stuff leaking from the reactor itself. Again, can you show that some component of the hydro generation system caused all that damage, or was it the dam and the water it was holding back?

      Just to be absolutely clear, the dam was not built to generate electricity. That was just a nice side benefit.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    62. Re:Fission is Dead by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      India is bringing two thorium reactors online next year. India's roadmap is to have 25 of its energy from nuclear power by 2025.

      China has 21 nuclear plants running, and 27 more under construction. They are also building reactors for other countries now. In the next six years they will triple their nuclear power capacity, and triple it again by 2030.

    63. Re:Fission is Dead by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Depends on what you consider dangerously.
      Nuclear is the densest energy source available to mankind. This means operating the whole nuclear supply chain (mining, processing, enrichment, fabrication, fission, waste storage) requires far less people than the equivalent solar/wind industry. This allows for much tighter trainining, oversight, regulation.
      Its not by accident (pun intended) that nuclear power is the safest energy source in the USA for the last 10 years. A single person died in that industry (uranium mining accident), while dozens die yearly on the solar and wind supply chains (each).
      If you exclude Chernobyl, total nuclear power deaths worldwide (including military applications) is less than the total number of deaths natural gas causes yearly (10 thousand).
      But the fact is that at the heart of nuclear risks is high pressure operation of water / heavy water / helium coolant that is used for 99% of the world's operational nuclear reactors. High pressure operation means that the reactor is physically trying to leak out, with a massive internal and external containment used to keep it closed.
      Molten Salt Reactors (LFTR is one type of MSR) operates under near atmospheric pressure, using a coolant that is at the rock bottom of chemical stability, and is a dense coolant, meaning even if the reactor is blown to pieces (comet/meteor/military precision strike) the material inside wants to fall to the earth very quickly.
      In every way you look, MSRs are two orders of magnitude safer than current nuclear technology, MSRs can be designed to be fully walk away safe depending only on physics to shutdown in case of an accident / abnormal condition instead of depending on computers or humans to activate some system that shuts it down (using electricity and/or hydraulics).
      Those that still criticize MSR nuclear tech certainly aren't interested in studying it a single bit. A 10 minute intro presentation to MSR / LFTR you sell you on why its safe.
      And where LFTR comes is its the highest efficiency MSR design, which aims for fissioning 99+% of nuclear material fed to the reactor, meaning the reactor generates is 200x more efficient at electricity / process heat produced per ton of nuclear material fed to it. And 80% of its nuclear waste is stable in no more than a few decades, and the remaining 20% is stable in 300 years. In fact, in 200 years nuclear waste from a LFTR is LESS radioactive than uranium / thorium mined to fuel the reactor.
      When will we understand that COAL is deadly. For each ton of thorium that a LFTR fissions, a COAL power plant will output two million tons of CO2, and produce several tons of coal ASH that is severely poisonous (with material that is poisonous FOREVER like Cadmium, Mercury, Arsenic plus some radioactive materials), COAL burning produces so much poisonous materials its stored out in the open, and all it takes is a big rain to wash it down some river, polluting water supplies.
      Nuclear is what clean coal will never truly achieves, which is sequestration of its pollution in a safe way.

    64. Re:Fission is Dead by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Canada is hard at work with Thorium molten salt reactors, its greatest simplification, a K.I.S.S. variant of LFTR, the DMSR.
      Terrestrial Energy Inc, or look up Dr. David LeBlanc.
      The big difference on his DMSR talk vs more idealistic LFTR proponents like Dr. Kirk Sorensen is that Dr LeBlanc seems to actually have funding for his pre conceptual design work and backers interested in going to each of the next steps as long as costs match expectations.
      But Terrestrial Energy is going the Uranium burner road first. No, it can't be called a U-235 reactor, since it will produce a few times more energy from U-238->Pu-239 fission than pure U-235 fission, it could also be powered with reprocessed spent nuclear fuel for water cooled reactors (using Plutonium, Americium, Curium and U-235 left in the spent fuel).
      The most critical aspect of LFTR by far isn't Thorium. Its the molten salt part. If usage of 20% enriched Uranium is allowed, a 80% Thorium + 20% U fuel would offer much higher burnup and its reprocessed spent fuel would be much better than water cooled SNF (high U-233 content, which is a better fission fuel than both U-235 and Pu-239).

    65. Re:Fission is Dead by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      Canada is hard at work with Thorium molten salt reactors, its greatest simplification, a K.I.S.S. variant of LFTR, the DMSR. Terrestrial Energy Inc, or look up Dr. David LeBlanc.

      Here's a Dr. LeBlanc at TEAC5 2013 describing his denatured reactor concept. And an interview on DMSR and the "tube within a tube" simplification of the original reactor experiments, more video links at the end of the interview. He is projecting ~35 metric tons per GWe year, one-sixth of what is used by a pressurized water reactor.

      more idealistic LFTR proponents like Dr. Kirk Sorensen

      I get that vibe too. As Dr. Sorensen tells it, he learned the deep details of molten salt experiments from a dusty old book. Imagine that --- you make your way through the modern world with a sense of confidence that everything that is worth knowing is part of the curriculum you have been taught --- or at least, there are experts out there, young like yourself, who grasp these things. And then one day you open this dusty yellowed old book and start to glimpse a future, a great future, that could have been but never was. You're asking yourself, why? And you research it further to discover that the rest of the story is kept in a file drawer somewhere, and those who worked on it are now in their 80s and 90s. And they're bitter.

      If that happened to me it would be a moving experience. It would shake any confidence I had that our survival as a species was in any way 'assured'. It would coalesce into a keen sense of desperation to carry on this work, realize the dream Weinberg laid out.

      Sorensen tells the story so well I actually experienced a touch of it myself. That is why I'd like to see nuclear technology brought up to date and applied so we might have a smooth (and fun!) transition from the age of fossil and steam to something better, and have tons of surplus energy to play with. The DMSR might be a commercial success first, but I believe "Captain Kirk" deserves the chance to realize the two-fluid reactor.

      Because the greatest tragedy of all would be if this LFTR renaissance fades and is some day placed into a dusty digital archive, and some keen young student discovers it and finds Dr. Sorensen a bitter old man.

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    66. Re:Fission is Dead by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Le me clarify this for you... I think this need to be stressed:

      The DMSR requires mining of ~35 metric tons of Uranium to produce one GWe yr of electricity versus 250 metric tons of Uranium for similar energy production of a typical LWR reactor. A typical LWR fissions about half of its U-235 present in the fuel and another equivalent part of Pu fission from U-238, so at 6x the burnup it would mean something of the order of 4x better usage of U-238 / Plutonium for energy production than a regular reactor.

      The reactor is so efficient neutronically that for its expected 30 years of operations, all solid fission products can be kept in and a little extra fuel be added every year, no need to reprocess. That is unthinkable for water cooled reactors. It is far closer to a fast reactor burnup than any water cooled reactor in operation.

      With reprocessing, the DMSR might become fairly close to a iso breeder reactor (making almost as much of its energy from Plutonium made by itself), it might have its makeup fuel made from mostly from LWR SNF minus fission products (pyro reprocessing, the cheapest type of reprocessing), with perhaps a little reactor grade plutonium to keepup the fissile ratio.

    67. Re:Fission is Dead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only inherently impossible to meltdown fission reactor designs are those in which there is no accumulation of nuclear fuel - fluid core, gaseous or liquid. All solid fuel reactors are made on the principle of choking what would otherwise go ka-boom. It is similar to having a hypothetical bizarre coal-operated plant where all the coal needed for extended period of operation is stockpiled inside the furnace made of material that can easily melt, and lit on fire, but we are preventing too much air from coming into the furnace. Or even worse - there is all the burning coal, there is plenty of air, but we prevent it from meltdown by cooling it 24/7. Really, what could possibly go wrong? We just need to keep watching it closely and never let the cooling subsystems stop or fail.

      There is one simple condition for safety: when you cut off the supply, the process has to die safely. I believe that any process can be made to do that, including nuclear fission. It is just that it is not convenient thing to do, and since we already invest in all that heavy shielding and containment, let's keep everything (radioactive fuel stock) inside it, we don't want to transport the stuff daily through all those barriers. In short, reduced safety of fission nuclear reactors is direct consequence of our strict policies regarding radioactive materials. We don't want them all over the place, we want everything in one place, sealed most of the time.

    68. Re:Fission is Dead by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      The relevant question is not whether the hydro station caused the dam to fail but whether the dam would have been there if without a hydro station.
      As the goal was both flood control and hydro power I can not say if it was.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    69. Re:Fission is Dead by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      Just to be absolutely clear, the dam was not built to generate electricity. That was just a nice side benefit.

      Electricity was more than just a side benefit - it was a planned feature from the beginning.

      And my original post was, of course, more than a bit tounge-in-cheek.

      The point being that the storage of a large quantity of energy in the form of contained water, and the subsequent catastrophic release of that energy in the form of a structural failure, is absolutely a danger that needs to be considered but often is not, at least by the general public. However, the ACTUAL threats to public safety and environmental quality are greatly overstated for nuclear power - not to say they aren't real threats, but statistically speaking there are much more dangerous things out there. (Using Banqiao as the counterexample was the toung-in-cheek part in case you missed it.)
      =Smidge=

  2. Um by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What the hell am I reading?

    >Disaster preppers have a saying, "two is one and one is none," which might also apply to 24x7 base load energy sources that could sustain us beyond the age of fossil fuel.
    How does a non-nonsensical saying apply to energy? Explain yourself.

    > I too was happy to see Skunkworks' Feb 2013 announcement and the recent "we're still making progress" reminder. I was moved by the reaction on Slashdot: a groundswell of "Finally!" and "We're saved!"

    How did we move from crazy people sayings into nuclear energy? This is the worst written summary on /. in a very long time.

    Also, learn what a comma is and how it's used. For the love of god, this reads like stream of consciousness passed through google-translate a few times.

    1. Re:Um by lgw · · Score: 4, Informative

      >Disaster preppers have a saying, "two is one and one is none," which might also apply to 24x7 base load energy sources that could sustain us beyond the age of fossil fuel.
      How does a non-nonsensical saying apply to energy? Explain yourself.

      Monoculture is bad. Choosing one form of baseload generation to emphasize is bad, because however great it looks on paper, if some horrible problem emerges 10 years later, you're screwed. If all new powerplant construction for decades were split between 2 technologies, and one of them proved problematic, we have a "shipping, tested solution" to migrate to immediately. Expensive, but possible. All of which is even more true when it comes to designs that aren't yet production ready.

      > I too was happy to see Skunkworks' Feb 2013 announcement and the recent "we're still making progress" reminder. I was moved by the reaction on Slashdot: a groundswell of "Finally!" and "We're saved!"

      How did we move from crazy people sayings into nuclear energy? This is the worst written summary on /. in a very long time.

      We need something not-fossil-fuel based that can be used by any city anywhere. (Yeah, yeah, solar and wind have their upsides, but there are plenty of cities where both are nonsense.) Fusion would be wonderful, but we should use "maybe oneday fusion" as any reason not to also pursue sane, modern fission designs. And regardless, we should pursue 2 unrelated technologies, because monoculture is bad.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    2. Re:Um by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Base load power production is not the problem.
      Load following and peak load plants are.
      Oh, you belong to the crowed who does not know what base load actually means?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:Um by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Alternatively, we could put REAL ENGINEERS like Hyman Rickover (born in Poland, btw) in charge. Shoot the MBAs who want to touch nuclear facilities. Because MBAs are actually shitting into their rational brains during their education. And yeah, I mean this very, very seriously. MBA studies are studies in making yourself an egotistical chimpanze.

      Then we would have zero real accidents over 60 years and dozens of reactors. See Rickover and how the Social Engineers hated him.

    4. Re:Um by lgw · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There's no reasonable solution today for non-fossil baseload generation. I personally have no problem with natural gas, but lots of people do. And we shouldn't abandon coal/gas/ancient nuclear for just one replacement technology, lest the unexpected bite us.

      I also really like orbital solar following PG&E's design strategy, but it's still in shadow many hours each day. I doubt we have the tech yet to make the Asimov Orbit practical ("hovering" over the poles, thanks to solar sails), but that's also an eventual option, and might be practical before fusion, if fusion's history is any guide.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    5. Re:Um by jeffmeden · · Score: 1

      What the hell am I reading?

      >Disaster preppers have a saying, "two is one and one is none," which might also apply to 24x7 base load energy sources that could sustain us beyond the age of fossil fuel.
      How does a non-nonsensical saying apply to energy? Explain yourself.

      A saying like "Ai = MTBF/(MTBF+MTTR)" just doesn't have that same ring to it. Preppers aren't known for a keen embrace of statistics.

    6. Re:Um by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      There's no reasonable solution today for non-fossil baseload generation.

      Depends where you are. Many places have enough geothermal or hydro to meet their needs, e.g. parts of Africa.

      The other thing you have to realize is that even if it isn't possible today, that doesn't mean people will be willing to fund the developments that FTA wants. Tens of billions of Euros and tens of years to get it off the ground, at a time when other technologies are developing rapidly and in Germany even new coal plants are looking like they will never turn a profit.

      With energy you have to look at the long term. Most developed nations trying to reduce their energy consumption, and long term it's likely that provision of base load will become a lot less profitable, or even unprofitable. It's really looking likely that large scale energy production won't be a big money maker in future, due to distributed production by individual users driving prices down at the most profitable times of day. Improvements in renewables and battery technology will only make the situation better/worse, depending on your point of view.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Um by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > I also really like orbital solar following PG&E's design strategy

      OMG.

      http://matter2energy.wordpress.com/2011/06/21/the-maury-equation/

    8. Re:Um by lgw · · Score: 1

      It makes sense for PG&E - it's about NIMBY, not cost. They put a lot of effort into how to prevent the sat from becoming an orbital weapon.

      Anyhow, give the new companies a chance to bring the price of launches way down - I expect the can shed an order of magnitude off launch costs. Further, it's only a matter of time and robotics until it becomes feasible to drag asteroids into orbit, so that we don't have to lift bulk materials, which won't help photoelectric solar, but solar thermal is dead easy to make, and simple robotics could make the "panels" (pipes and mirrors) in space, dramatically reducing what needs to be lifted. We'll likely have fusion by then, I expect, but you never know.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    9. Re:Um by lgw · · Score: 1

      Mankind has never used less power, over all, though regions have faltered. Power = standard of living. As more heavy industry becomes robotic over time, power becomes the primary cost of, well, everything. Efficiency will of course keep getting better, but that just leaves room for more!

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    10. Re:Um by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > I expect the can shed an order of magnitude off launch costs.

      So do I, but the problem is THREE ORDERS of magnitude.

      > dramatically reducing what needs to be lifted

      Even if you have to lift zero, you're still better off on the ground.

    11. Re:Um by lgw · · Score: 1

      Even if you have to lift zero, you're still better off on the ground.

      Sure, a solar panel on the ground might do better than one in orbit needing to send the power down. Except in the artic, or at night, or if you can't afford enough ground nearby, or you just think the ground is pretty the way it is and don't want to pave it over with panels.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  3. Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    The problem with Fission energy is that a "screwup" at any point means a run-away problem. We've had no less than 3 of these accidents, two of them were in recent memory (Chernobyl and Fukushima) where we will be having to deal with the consequences of "cheap" reactors.

    Let's do things right, if any new nuclear facilities come online, they have to be "expensive" solutions that can not meltdown. If a reactor fails, be it from natural disaster, employee incompetence/training, corporate greed, or government beauracy, it must self-shutdown, even without power or cooling, otherwise it should not even be considered at all.

    Fusion is considered a holy grail of energy production because it produces no waste, and has no risk of meltdown (but that doesn't mean that it's risk-free, if it explodes it will rain down radioactive parts just like a fission reactor would.)

    I'm not entirely of the mind that fission plants should never be done, but past experience has shown that "capitalist" and "communist" ideas around nuclear energy are horrible "lowest bidder, highest risk" plans that should be thrown away and never have been considered. Just where are we going to bury all the existing radioactive nuclear reactor parts that are in operation right now? Launch them into space and hope they don't blowup on the launchpad?

    1. Re: Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fission has saved many orders of magnitude of lives than it has cost.

      The facts betray you, because they belong to me.

    2. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      first, a fusion reactor can't "explode". It operates in a vacuum, and the amount of material fusing is less than a cup of deuterium gas (heavy hydrogen). If the fusing material does start to "explode", the fusion goes out and and the hydrogen dissipates in the vacuum.

      Deuterium fusion has the lowest require startup energy, and produces the least amount of neutrons. The goal of fusion is the production of helium 4. The only stray neutrons come from making helium 3 - and that doesn't happen that often (it requires more energy to cause a deuterium nucleus to shed a neutron as it fuses with another deuterium nucleus).

    3. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Sethra · · Score: 2

      This is actually the point of LFTR. They operate at low pressure and are inherently unable to "meltdown". It's a design that has lots of promise if not for the fact that we no longer really need it.

      We have 6 fission reactors under construction or licensed to begin construction. These are proven reactors designs and there is no shortage of fuel for them to burn. Thorium is more plentiful, but at present consumption levels we already have a worldwide supply of uranium to last another 230 years.

      So who is going to invest in a new fission technology at this late stage? Sure, it's cleaner and safer, but it's not economically viable to develop it anymore.

    4. Re: Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your "facts" might be more credible if you could express them in a sentence that actually parses.

    5. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Deuterium fusion does not produce the least amount of neutrons.
      There are plenty of fusion processes that produce ZERO neutrons, that is less than your proposal :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by weilawei · · Score: 4, Informative

      How the hell did this get modded insightful? It's full of total BS.

      First, as the summary even pointed out, fusion will produce waste due to the high neutron flux. You didn't even read the summary, nor do you have the faintest idea what you're talking about.

      Second, LFTRs were designed to NOT meltdown. In fact, you need to heat the piping in order to have the salt not freeze. Again, your statement that all fission reactors melt down is proof of your ignorance. You're full of FUD.

      Third, they tested them. They just walked away. And it shut down by itself. No special magic, no SCRAM. Then they walked away for 40 years. And it didn't melt down. Instead, it froze. Yes, there were problems discovered later, like the evolution of fluorine gas--but these are not even on the same scale of challenges as preventing an inherently meltdown-prone PBWR from going south for the winter. Also, you don't need to use water as your coolant. As we all know very well, water is dangerously prone to turning into a fuel-oxidizer mix and going off.

      Also, what would make you think that solutions need to be expensive? Why is THAT your criteria for a safe design? See, PBWRs are bad because they're inherently unstable. I hope we never build another. However, I'm still pro-nuclear, and I think that a LFTR is the way to go for now, since the design is inherently walk-away safe. Yes, there are materials challenges. You need to use special piping doped with 1.1% niobium and so on. But these are things we've researched and can continue to refine. Solutions should be judged on technical merit, not simply on, "it's expensive, so it must be good!"

      Also, why the hell would you suggest launching old nuclear reactor parts into space? Which orifice did you pull that out of?

      You're so full of FUD that I can only wonder which energy conglomerate you're shilling for. Care to tell us?

    7. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by weiserfireman · · Score: 2

      I have always felt the problem of fission waste disposal has been overblown.

      If the goal is "walk away safe", then fission fuel is walk away safe in about 300 years too. The high level radiation emitted by the fission products comes from cesium and strontium and in 300 years, it will all be gone. Leaving low level radioactives, Uranium and a tiny amount of plutonium. In 300 years, the used rods will emit the same level of radiation as the unused rods. Since plutonium is an alpha emitter, the used rod will effectively not emit any radiation from plutonium. You could store one under your couch and not suffer any ill effects.

      Reason why the US doesn't reprocess nuclear fuel rods anymore is that the Dept of Energy realized that as long as the fuel pellets remain intact, the uranium and plutonium is entrapped in the metallurgical structure of the fuel pellets. For the uranium and plutonium to be released back into the environment they will have to be melted down. If the pellets are unchanged, we could probably recycle them back into a new reactor in 300 years even.

    8. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Immerman · · Score: 1

      >but at present consumption levels we already have a worldwide supply of uranium to last another 230 years.

      That's great, but at present uranium is only supplying 12.3% of the world's energy generation - switch to an all-uranium energy economy and that number drops to only 28 years, even assuming energy consumption remains constant (which it won't). It's not a viable option except as a stopgap as more sustainable alternatives are deployed. As I recall even thorium will only provide several centuries at 100%, though we could increase that by an order of magnitude by developing seawater extraction technology.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    9. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 2

      Mining uranium is one of the dirtiest parts of the process. The idea that we should mine out all the easily accessible Uranium is just as foolish as to drill all the oil or mine all the coal.

      With breeder reactors, either designs like the LFTR or more established designs like SFRs, we don't need to mine significant amounts of additional fissionables for a century. And with the SFRs there's not much left to develop - we can just deploy the existing designs more widely.

      --
      -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
    10. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by rahvin112 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The fusion "waste" isn't even in the same category. The fission reactor has the same problem with the neutron flux of the containment vessel and adds on a waste stream from the reaction. On top of that processing the fuel is not without it's own waste stream. It's that very processing which did in breeder reactors because it was dirtier and more polluting than the reactor.

      Saying they generate approximately equivalent waste streams is an out and out lie. The fusion systems neutron enriched vessel and systems can be taken care of by leaving on site for 50 years then decommissioning and burying it in a conventional low level nuclear landfill or waiting 100 years and then melting it down and reusing it. The waste products generated from not only the fission reactor, the vessel, and the processing of the fuel are not even in the same category, the vessel alone might be close but even that will likely be contaminated beyond just neutron enrichment.

      This is a total bullshit claim.

    11. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      Solar panels are not only installed on roofs.

      Comparing deaths during installation of solar panels with nuclear reactors makes no sense at many frontiers.

      Roof installations: regardless what you install there, e.g. simple tiles, it is dangerous. If you fall to death there it is YOUR OWN FAULT neglecting safety regulations, regardless what you are doing on the roof.

      On the other hand if you like to do such retarded comparisons, I would suggest to count also the deaths that happened during construction of the nuclear plants, during fuel mining, refining, transport, waste storage etc. not to forget Chernobyl ...

      Sorry, counting death on rooftop installations only shows how retarded your country regarding safety regulations is.

      I doubt there is a noticeable amount of roof installators deaths in germany or the EU in recent years.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by weilawei · · Score: 1

      Where did I say they generated equivalent waste streams? Seriously, quote it. You've got a straw-man going. I was pointed out the problem where the GGP claimed fusion was 100% clean!

      FFS learn to read already. All I said was "fusion will produce waste due to the high neutron flux". I don't know HOW you read anything else into that. Not once did I discuss waste from fission, except to say that launching it into space is a preposterous idea.

      You're so full of it, it isn't even funny. You're imagining words where I didn't say any.

    13. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They could go "boiler explosion" like in Battletech. If there is a big enough hole in and enough air gets in fast enough all of that air/water vapor will absorb the energy of the plasma and expand, potentially going boom.

    14. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This. If Lockheed can show off their prototype next year, the market for fission technology and uranium is going to fall apart.

    15. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by rahvin112 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Unbunch your panties.

      My reply was more targeted at the summary than your reply but I replied to you because you perpetuated that same line of thought by claiming Fusion generates a waste stream. Fusion and Fission aren't in the same ballpark. Anyone claiming Thorium reactors are just as good is full of shit.

      Now calm down, you're hyperventilating over a comment on slashdot. If this is typical behavior you should consider seeking medical help with your anxiety problem.

    16. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by weilawei · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Wow. More straw-man. Where did I say thorium reactors were just as good? Fact is, I didn't. And you're STILL lying your ass off. You're insisting I said things that I never did--and you can't quote them, because I didn't say them.

      Will someone mod this idiot -1, Flamebait already? This isn't a case of disagreeing; he's flat out lying about what I said.

    17. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      The vast majority of cheap solar is in fact passive solar, and solar heating/coooling, not solar panels per se.

      Comparing construction accidents for anything done on top of buildings we find they're no more risky than roofing in general.

      Same applies to fusion reactors. The main problems are with radiation shielding, which is the part that becomes radioactive over time. Because it's doing it's job.

      You still have to dispose of it the same way you do with fission reactors, and the materials used in modern fusion have some "salts" that are very unpleasant if not kept separate, and the method to create them can be a bit controversial at times. But all forms of energy creation have negative consequences.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    18. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by GiordyS · · Score: 4, Informative

      ...fusion will produce waste due to the high neutron flux.

      Not necessarily. The most viable fusion approach does not produce neutrons as a product of the reaction. In addition, they don't need to contain and stabilize the plasma which is the bane of most fusion programs. They intend to leverage the inherent instability of plasma to produce 200 small reactions or pulses per second. They won't need steam generators since most of the energy is released in the form of an ion beam.

    19. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by weilawei · · Score: 1

      I love being proven wrong. +1 Informative. You learn something everyday.

    20. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's true, but natural uranium is only mildly radioactive, so at least the inputs of the system are relatively easy to handle, while running a full breeder program involves lots of transportation of highly radioactive materials to and from reprocessing, which is a significantly messy process with plenty of byproducts. Granted, it is vastly more efficient in terms of the fuel use, but it means a lot more handling of the nastier stuff in order to achieve that.

    21. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by crunchygranola · · Score: 3, Informative

      ... As I recall even thorium will only provide several centuries at 100%, though we could increase that by an order of magnitude by developing seawater extraction technology.

      Good that you brought up seawater extraction technology. Using that we have enough uranium, even just using once-through burning, for something like a 10,000 year supply at current consumption rates. Increase nuclear power ten-fold (125% of current world electricity consumption) and it is still 1,000 years. If we implement breeding (we could get the bugs worked out in a few centuries I imagine) then we are back up 100,000 years or so.

      Why does thorium need to enter the picture?

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    22. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by GiordyS · · Score: 1
      Another fun fact: molten salt reactors don't need to burn thorium. They could be used to burn existing nuclear waste:

      Dewan believes one of the MSRs biggest advantage is the its ability to burn SNF (spent nuclear fuel – “nuclear wastes”) more or less completely, extracting 20 times more energy from uranium than a conventional reactor,

      That quote is from A Universally Acceptable and Economical Energy Source?, the worlds largest climate "denier" site. You would think environmentalists would be jumping up and down with joy. Here is an opportunity to kill two birds with one stone: reduce both nuclear waste and fossil fuel consumption; and climate "deniers" are fully on board!

      So why isn't there more interest?

    23. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      ...

      Not necessarily. The most viable fusion approach does not produce neutrons as a product of the reaction. In addition, they don't need to contain and stabilize the plasma which is the bane of most fusion programs. They intend to leverage the inherent instability of plasma to produce 200 small reactions or pulses per second. They won't need steam generators since most of the energy is released in the form of an ion beam.

      "Viable" roughly means "practical", the first step for something to be practical is to be able to do it. Did you read page you linked to? It admits that "Humanity hasn't figured out how to harness it yet." Actually that is a half-truth. We haven't learned how to harness convention tritum+deuterium fusion yet. But we at least can demonstrate it in a laboratory. With aneutronic thermonuclear fusion can't do it at all under any circumstances!

      This isn't in a class with fairies, unicorns and pixie dust since it is based on physical principles, but it is in the same class as those elevators that take us to the Moon.

      We are better off restricting energy plans to technologies that we know can be implemented this century.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    24. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by rahvin112 · · Score: 0

      Apparently you didn't take my advise about unbunching your panties. Try it, you might like it, I suspect though that you like them that way as you've clearly gotten very angry about being advised that they are bunched. Give it a try, see how it feels, I dare you.

      Yes please mod me down, after all I hurt his feelings! Boohoo

    25. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      "You're so full of FUD that I can only wonder which energy conglomerate you're shilling for. Care to tell us?"
      He is not he is a green.
      You see the truth is that there are a good number of "activists" that make a living telling people that "you never know".
      The will spout off about solar and ignore the problems like storage and the fact that solar peak is not the same as usage peak. They will just use buzzwords like "smart grid" and then complain about the cost of nuclear being greater than natural gas but ignore the cost of solar and wind being higher than natural gas.
      It has become a religion and if you dare to be pro-nuclear your friends and the other people you self identify with will shun you.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    26. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're basing your FUD on a board game?! Could you at least provide us with a serious citation giving a theoretical model, even a paper on arXiv? I'll take just about ANYTHING over claims based on a board game.

    27. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If my dreams of a flying car which can also act as a submarine come true, Daimler will be toast. Dont hold your breath, though.

    28. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dont say that ! You dont have the permission to sabotage the CIA's propaganda campaigns agains non-Americans daring to touch nuclear power !

      You know, if only America has nukes, America rules the globe. Let's minimize the number of countries who have Unlicensed Freedom(TM).

    29. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      ...though we could increase that by an order of magnitude by developing seawater extraction technology.

      Good that you mentioned seawater extraction. If we did that for uranium then we would have a 10,000 year supply at current consumption rates. If we increase nuclear power 20-fold, to 250% of world electricity production today, it is still 500 years. If we implement breeding (I suspect we could get the bugs worked out by then) we are back up to a 50,000 year supply.

      Where is the necessity of thorium?

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    30. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by WalksOnDirt · · Score: 1

      As I recall even thorium will only provide several centuries at 100%, though we could increase that by an order of magnitude by developing seawater extraction technology.

      You don't get thorium from seawater; there isn't enough there. Uranium can be recovered from the ocean, and there is enough thorium on land to last nearly forever.

      --
      a,e,i,o,u and sometimes w and y (at be if of up cwm by)
    31. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by GiordyS · · Score: 1

      Oh boy, that is so utterly wrong.

      But okay, I will do a quick google search for you and pass on the first result I find.

      http://fire.pppl.gov/fusion_la...

    32. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by ericloewe · · Score: 1

      Count all those and nuclear power is still safer by at least an order of magnitude, as repeatedly stated by numerous studies.

    33. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by weilawei · · Score: 1

      That brings to mind this quote, which seems to adequately describe much of the hoopla surrounding this topic. (Don't get me wrong. I'm not anti-solar or other technologies, but each has its place. Nuclear is a superior baseload technology and can even be operated in load-following mode.)

      The profession of shaman has many advantages. It offers high status with a safe livelihood free of work in the dreary, sweaty sense. In most societies it offers legal privileges and immunities not granted to other men. But it is hard to see how a man who has been given a mandate from on High to spread tidings of joy to all mankind can be seriously interested in taking up a collection to pay his salary; it causes one to suspect that the shaman is on the moral level of any other con man. But it is a lovely work if you can stomach it.

      -- RAH

    34. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Immerman · · Score: 1

      I believe you're overestimating by an order of magnitude or two, but perhaps I'm misremembering. Or perhaps my source was assuming energy consumption would continue to increase exponentially.

      Regardless, we don't have seawater extraction technology today, and are unlikely to develop it in the next thirty years, so it's irrelevant to the discussion at hand - we still need some other energy source in the short term.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    35. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope.

      Not enough heat energy there...

    36. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This tripe is modded insightful? Golly gee whiz mods. You're doin' a fine job! Keep up the great work!

      Unbunch your panties.

      Troll.

      Anyone claiming Thorium reactors are just as good is full of shit.

      Straw man.

      Now calm down

      Flamebait.

      you're hyperventilating over a comment on slashdot

      Troll

      If this is typical behavior you should consider seeking medical help with your anxiety problem.

      Ad hominem.

      Yep, doin' a mighty fine job there mods.

      captcha: salaried (How appropriate for a clear-cut case of a shill...)

    37. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by blindseer · · Score: 2

      Because thorium might end up being cheaper and easier than uranium. The reason we were able to go from the speed of a horse to beyond the speed of sound is because we were able to find cheap and plentiful energy in coal and petroleum. As energy gets cheaper the more things become feasible.

      Why is it that people don't have flying cars? We certainly have the technology for everyone to have their own personal aircraft. The limitation is the price of energy. It just costs too much to fly a helicopter for a person with an average income. But if energy were to be one tenth of what it is now then we'd be flying to get groceries instead of driving.

      I believe we need to investigate every possible energy source. Solar power may last us for a billion years but I doubt it will ever be able to do so at a price as cheap as what thorium could do.

      We don't burn coal because we want to live in a smog filled world. We burn coal because it gives us energy cheap enough that we can enjoy air conditioning while sitting in front of a computer. We are going to keep burning coal until something cheaper comes around. We do that because cold beer and hot pizza means more to us than some theoretical future where Florida is under water from melting the polar ice caps.

      So, why thorium? Because beer, pizza, and Miami.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    38. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by jonwil · · Score: 1

      The reason the US stopped reprocessing nuclear waste from its reactors is because one of the steps in the process results in weapons-grade material and there was (and still is with the terror threat) a proliferation risk.

    39. Re: Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Kvathe · · Score: 1

      He's not referring to you, he's addressing the summary. The first paragraph of his first reply was directed at you, and then he went on to argue with the OP. He does the same sort of thing with his second response. He was pretty vague about it though so I can see how you misunderstood.

    40. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by GiordyS · · Score: 1

      At the risk of beating a dead horse, read "Record proton-boron fusion rate achieved". Clearly aneutronic fusion HAS been demonstrated in a laboratory. I have no idea how you came to your conclusion or why you would express it so vehemently, when a simple google search shows that you are clearly wrong.

      By "most viable fusion approach" I meant the approach most likely to succeed within the next decade. But hey, that's just an opinion. They say on their indiegogo page: "we have already achieved two of the three conditions needed to produce net fusion energy. We heated the fusion fuel up to 1.8 billion degrees—200 times hotter than the center of the sun, and confined it in a tiny plasmoid for 10 billionths of second. This is not a long time, but it is all we need. The third condition, which we still have not achieved, is enough density so the fuel will burn up during the confinement time."

      Nobody is saying there aren't technical challenges, and nobody is saying it is a sure thing. For example, they have not yet achieved the densities needed, and there are issues both with arcing and x-rays with degrading materials. I think the biggest challenge is to demonstrate how the quantum magnetic field effect can prevent the plasmoid from cooling (caused by x-rays).

      Regardless, these guys are doing real science and they deserve more respect than the dismissive nonsense you posted above.

    41. Re: Fission = bad, but not super-bad by weilawei · · Score: 1

      Hi, sockpuppet with a grand total of THREE posts, two on this thread...

      That's what creating a new thread is for. None of his replies addressed me whatsoever. Not a single thing referred to something I actually stated. Instead he replied directly to me, and claimed I said things I didn't, repeatedly, and can't quote them--because I didn't say ANY of them.

    42. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      I'm going to assume you meant to say "hundreds of thousands" and that English is not your first language. I'll give you the benefit of a doubt that far.
      You're going to have to provide a citation for the actual value, though. According to the estimates that I've read, you're off by two orders of magnitude (that is, it's a few thousand deaths, not tens much less hundreds of thousands). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C... (Estimates of human deaths due to radiation from Three Mile Island and Fukushima - neither of which killed anybody directly - are in the single digits.)

      How do you justify the claim that mining accidents don't count, by they way? The extraction of the fuel is certainly a part of the cost - both in money and in lives - of running a power plant.

      You sound like somebody who has made some assumptions, decided they are facts, made more assumptions based on them, and continued on until you have an entire encyclopedia of "knowledge" that has no basis in reality. For example, you appear to believe that mining, refining, and transporting uranium is dangerous. None of those are really true. Uranium mining per unit volume is comparable to coal mining for the same volume, but the volume of coal used by a single commercial power plant in a day is more than the volume of uranium fuel used by all the world's reactors in a year. Refining and transporting uranium is *expensive* (because people are so cautious about it, and so afraid of terrorists getting ahold of it) but not actually unsafe; until combined into fuel rods for insertion in a reactor assembly, fuel-grade uranium is safer to transport than, say, natural gas or gasoline (petrol). It's already obvious you didn't look up any statistics about Chernobyl, either; you appear to have just decided that "lots of people died" -> "lots" of deaths must mean hundreds of thousands -> "hundred[s of] thousands dead after [C]hernobyl..." May I recommend using facts based on observations instead of guesses in the future?

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    43. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Also hundred thousands of dead after chernobyl beg to differ I guess.

      Yep, that was definitely a guess. Perhaps this will help

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    44. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by darkonc · · Score: 1

      Hmm... It seems like Aneutronic fusion is actually a light-weight fission process. -- splitting Barium into 3 Helium by adding a Proton (as opposed to a Neutron for most fission processes).

      --
      Sometimes boldness is in fashion. Sometimes only the brave will be bold.
    45. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      I thought the used fuel was too polluted with fission products and crap to be useful. You would at least need to use your civilian reactor in short runs tuned for millitary plutonium breeding rather than normal operation. (and that's what very old dual use designs were design to do, such as Chernobyl type.)

      If we can do that sort of thing then theoretically a thorium reactor can be used to make Uranium 233 bombs.

    46. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The estimates go from a few ten k to up to a million, should I google some links as well?
      The fist few thousand dead where put to public viewing in moscow on the kreml place, until it was clear that riots would start soon, so they stopped showing the coffins of the dead on TV. And yes: I saw those dead on TV my self!
      If you did not watch TV at that time you don't know that ...
      Every 5 - 10 years on the aniversary european TV shows send camara teams to Russia and the Ukraine. They interview the survivors they can find and the typical questions include: how many of your clean up brigade is still alive?
      The numbers are very scary, there is no doubt that a few 100k died at minimum! I know dozens of Ukraninians or Russians, there is not a single one who does not know one or even has a relative who died to the Chernoby disasterl.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    47. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Why don't you google a bit?
      Greenpeace as well as the World Health Organization (yes, the guys who coordinate the fight against Ebola) both speak of up to a million.
      I eye wittnessed theveral thousand.

      Every 5 - 10 years there again TV shows about it, the consensus is that it is minimum a few 100k and likely over half a million.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    48. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Actually it is the opposite. You benefit preaching doom and gloom.
      If your advice is taken what ever the worry can not happen because you stopped it. If good things that could have happened didn't no one will really notice.
      If your advice is not taken you just take the "it is only a matter of time" and keep your true believers scared. Any failure no matter how small is a victory for you.
      If your advice is not taken and something bad happens you where right all along.

      You can not really fail being an anti.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    49. Re:Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      That's Boron, I'm pretty sure, not Barium.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
  4. Closer to market by mfwitten · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you've got a valid business plan, then get investors like any other business.

    1. Re:Closer to market by crunchygranola · · Score: 2

      Mod this guy up!

      You have hit the nail on the head.

      No conspiracy of hippies is keeping U.S. nuclear power off the table. Commercial ventures can get licenses if they want (and have). The issue is straight-up capitalism and profit-making business decisions -- the capital cost of a nuclear plant is very high so it is an unattractive investment as long as coal or natural gas are available.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    2. Re:Closer to market by ericloewe · · Score: 3, Insightful

      NIMBYism drives up costs. You can't completely dismiss something just because it's not a direct contributor to the problem.

    3. Re:Closer to market by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the nuclear industry don't know how run a success business because they think they government when they need their own nuclear John D Rockerfeller or Elon Musk...

    4. Re:Closer to market by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly.

      Many licenses have been granted over the last 20 years, and none of them were able to raise enough capital to actually build the thing.
      And that is with the government (i.e. the taxpayer) footing the bill for liability insurance.

    5. Re:Closer to market by Ceriel+Nosforit · · Score: 1

      No conspiracy of hippies is keeping U.S. nuclear power off the table.

      Have you heard what fusion people are saying about fission though? It's almost as bad, as if they don't realize that we needed better-than-fossil yesterday.

      Nevermind that you can burn current long-term waste in LIFTR so that it becomes only a minor problem. Reason need not apply.

      That is why #lockheed #fission matters. It's political, populist, and a Big Idea which makes small people hiss and bark in fear. I think the Skunworks being in control is the best thing that could happen to fission, because they need and have opsec and lobbyists.

      --
      All rites reversed 2010
    6. Re:Closer to market by Ceriel+Nosforit · · Score: 1

      #fusion. I meant #fusion.

      Oh hivemind, don't you ever rest...

      --
      All rites reversed 2010
    7. Re:Closer to market by mr.mctibbs · · Score: 1

      Citation?

    8. Re:Closer to market by ericloewe · · Score: 1

      You have to be kidding.

      The process goes like this:

      NIMBYer complains and gets others to complain along.
      Politician goes along in populist idea, arranges for additional costs.
      Result is fed back into NIMBYers, who feel vindicated and grow louder.

  5. A Load Of Marketing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nobody has built a large-scale reactor of this type. What we had and have is THTR300 and CANDU converting Thorium. What we figured was that is IS HARD, ENGINEERING-WISE. I am not saying we should not do it, quite the opposite. But -

    Now we have a bunch of folks claiming that an unproven-in-reality concept is "easy". What year do we have ? 1317 ???

    Better look at the record of CANDU and the Russian fast breeder. These things ACTUALLY WORK.

    1. Re:A Load Of Marketing by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Nobody has built a large-scale reactor of this type

      Yup.

      > I am not saying we should not do it, quite the opposite.

      The *only* question is "how much can we do it for".

      If it's over $4 a watt, and I'd say the chance of that is 99%, then there's no point trying.

  6. This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading by Obscene_CNN · · Score: 1

    This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading. Nothing really informative here just someone saying I support this.

    --
    I don't want to do a sig now
    1. Re:This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading by tomhath · · Score: 1

      This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading

      True, but why should this energy related article be any different from all the other ones?

    2. Re:This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading. Nothing really informative here just someone saying I support this.

      TL;DW eh? Glad you picked up the subtle nuance. When did 'fanboy cheerleading' become an insult? Were your comic book heroes aloof and distant, battling enthusiasm everywhere with snide epithets and apathy-vision?

      I'm just glad that the late Dr. Bussard's lecture made it once again onto a Slashdot page. And Thorium Remix for the first time ever. Everyone needs to look into these topics. With attention always on the new even if it is short on substance, hard lectures are always is good to find.

      Dr. Brussard was close to seeing the level of Polywell confinement that had eluded him for so many years realized. But in his lecture you will also hear his disappointment at lack of funding for his approach -- he who had championed the Tokamak and helped secure its development could not find support in his twilight years for his own subsequent design. That is why the 2006 Google talk is so important, it should remind us that what may be the right path is often a lonely one. If Polywell pans out, isn't it a shame that Dr. Bussard will not see it.

      How similar that is to the tale of Dr. Alvin Weinberg, one of the original inventors of the light water reactor who later became convinced there was a better way, fissile in molten salts at normal atmospheric pressure. He literally pursued it to the end --- his own career's end --- and molten salts were abandoned for no good reason. Thorium Remix tells it better than I.

      And thanks to the AC who goes on about commas,,,,,, it really helps.

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    3. Re:This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading by Obscene_CNN · · Score: 1

      Well you can keep on being a fan boy and a cheerleader all you want but it still won't help deal with the main obstacle of LFTR dealing with Uranium-232, its gamma rays, and decay products.

      --
      I don't want to do a sig now
    4. Re:This sounds like a fanboy cheerleading by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      Well you can keep on being a fan boy and a cheerleader all you want

      Thanks kindly. !! Back by popular demand !!

      CONFESSIONS OF A SLASHDOT LFTR FANBOI

      It's fun to discuss nuclear energy on Slashdot ... sometimes you just have to point things out point by point ... some confuse Weinberg's '300 year best-fit for waste' two fluid design for other single fluid designs ... or using solid fuel Thorium, which is pointless so long as uranium is available ... yes it's full of dangerous glop, but it is useful and happy glop ... yes, I think a LFTR could be developed and built within $4B ... every path to biofuels leads to scorched-earth disaster, Thorium energy gives us the surplus to generate synfuels ... a move to LFTR may be the only way to preserve modern society in the face of disaster (volcanism, Maunder minimum) ... utility-scale so-called 'renewables' non-solutions have a gazillion points of failure, gigawatt LFTR plants few, and it is my belief they will save NOT fail us ... aside from your own yard or roof, solar and wind are losers ... with LFTR surplus we could begin making diesel and fertilizer ... do it for the children ... and you my friend -- you would look especially good in space ... an Admiral Rickover fact check (severe tire damage) ... LNT (linear no threshhold) needs re-examination ... no I'm not risk adverse, just risk conscious ... one must sift past the fear-hype, especially regards Fukushima ... a look at Electricity in the Time of Cholera ... on the new coal powered IBM Power8 chips ... Thorium lays on its back, its belly baking in the hot sun, beating its legs trying to turn itself over, but it can't. Not without your help.

      Think of me as the Trix Rabbit of Thorium.

      ___
      Please see Thorium Remix and my own letters on energy,
      To The Honorable James M. Inhofe, United States Senate
      To whom it may concern, Halliburton Corporate
      Also of interest,

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  7. Fission = bad, but not super-bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Fission is only "super-dangerous" if you compare it with unicorn fairy energy sources. REAL ones badly compare to fission in terms of people killed/TWh. Just figure how many people fall off roofs installing solar panels and divide that by the funny leccy you get from that. Or better, dont get in rainy days and need coal backup. Or better Gazprom-based backup like we Germans idiots do it.

  8. Glad society is stable for that long by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    100 years or 300 years walk-away is fine if idiotic revolutions (like IS these days, but it doesn't have to be Islam) don't happen that often and/or the political class implements a good long term watchful eye policy regarding hazardous materials. But as soon as society collapses, once these rupture, we rapture, so to speak.

    1. Re:Glad society is stable for that long by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 1

      Bullshit.

      First, radioactive materials aren't that dangerous. You don't want to be near them, but it's only moderately worse than any other common industrial waste. Second, people can read signs even after revolutions. If you put "severe radiation, stay out" on a concrete building, it'll be fine.

      --
      -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
    2. Re:Glad society is stable for that long by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      What fantasy land are you living in?!

    3. Re:Glad society is stable for that long by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Not hardly. Dirty bombs are unpleasant for those affected, but its mostly a cleanup problem, it's bloody difficult to spread it around enough to be a major issue. You could make some serious cleanup of Times Square necessary, but polluting a significant portion of the city, much less the state would be a real challenge without a nuclear weapon to disperse the material with.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    4. Re:Glad society is stable for that long by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      Second, people can read signs even after revolutions. If you put "severe radiation, stay out" on a concrete building, it'll be fine.

      An additional advantage to those signs is that in a dystopian future, the terrorists are usually the good guys. The info will help direct those good guys to where they can find materials helpful in the fight against evil governments.

    5. Re:Glad society is stable for that long by zildgulf · · Score: 1

      I guess if we are OK with natural selection on people that can read and don't read the signs that could work, maybe.

    6. Re:Glad society is stable for that long by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Boohoo. They can also dig up Arsenium and Asbestos and feed that to their victims.

      Boy, you have downed the GREEN* hysteria line and sinker.

    7. Re:Glad society is stable for that long by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your grasp of the English language and its idioms is terrible. And "Arsenium"?

  9. People killed/TWh by reezle · · Score: 3, Informative

    Actually pretty interesting numbers

    http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/...

  10. One small problem by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    History has shown (most recently with the baby boomers) that humans don't handle abundance so well. I mean, by all means, go for it, just don't be all slovenly about it.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:One small problem by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      History has shown (most recently with the baby boomers) that humans don't handle abundance so well.

      I've got great news! Abundance, especially abundant energy and grid electricity, really works!

      Take a look at Hans Rosling's 200 Countries, 200 Years, 4 Minutes - The Joy of Stats - BBC Four to see the interplay of "wealth" and life expectancy over time. In case you're wondering why the life bubble for China took a sudden dive in 1959, that was Chairman Mao. Let's not do that again.

      Which leads into Hans Rosling's Child Mortailty, Family Planning & the Environment where it is revealed that in a progressively 'modern' world with low child mortality and family planning (by whatever means) women choose to have fewer children. The United States has achieved a fertility rate matching the replacement rate. To me this means that despite any political, ideological or religious mandates, folks with access to all the modern inconveniences are (naturally) gravitating towards a more stable population. If we could find a way to share our present level of infrastructure with the whole world in a clean and sustainable way, the greatest potential 'threat' of abundance, an over-abundance of people, would be pushed years into the future.

      Hope this makes you feel better. Be fruitful and multiply 2.33 times.

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  11. Glad society is stable for that long by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The funny thing is that only in Germany we need thousands of policemen to escort radioactive material because of the GREEN* operatives, In the U.S. two guys with an M16 each and sunglasses suffice. I guess this is because in Germany NSA works against German nuclear industry while NSA works for nuclear industry in the U.S.

  12. Expensive? You Can Say That Again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Monoculture is bad. Choosing one form of baseload generation to emphasize is bad, because however great it looks on paper, if some horrible problem emerges 10 years later, you're screwed. If all new powerplant construction for decades were split between 2 technologies, and one of them proved problematic, we have a "shipping, tested solution" to migrate to immediately. Expensive, but possible. All of which is even more true when it comes to designs that aren't yet production ready.

    The US Gov couldn't even fund ITER and all you want for Christmas is TWO technologies? For Christ's sake "expensive" doesn't even begin to describe it!

  13. LFTR by Pollux · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I love the idea of LFTR. Honestly. A thousand years of cheap and plentiful fuel, simplified nuclear design, smaller physical footprint, lower risk of cataclysmic meltdown & resulting fallout, waste having a much lower half-life, no CO2 emissions...

    But it's still an idea. After Oak Ridge, there's been no government-led development of LFTR reactors in the states. Our only hopes at present are either with the Chinese or a private company called Flibe Energy that's trying to gather investment funds to build LFTE reactors for army bases.

  14. Re:LFTE == Like a frikken TLA explanation? by Immerman · · Score: 1

    I agree, acronyms should generally be expanded the first time they're used in the summary. Hell, I'm even rather familiar with LFTRs, but had to google it to remember exactly *which* reactor family with an L-starting acronym it was.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  15. I hope America does nothing new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    America is a part of the ITER consortium. I hope America does no other research on LFTR, or Lockheed's fusion hype.

    1) What the hell does the Lockheed Martin Skunk Works have to do with fusion? I thought they built airplanes?
    2) Others are already doing the work. Russia has had success with its BN-600 sodium cooled breeder reactor. China is pursuing LFTR research. India has been pursuing light water breeder reactors for a while now. India and Europe are each building a new, big fast sodium breeder reactor. The United States is working on a pebble bed reactor, cooled by lithium flouride salt. I'd like to see some experimental reactors with different fuel claddings, and a scaled up TRIGA reactor.
    3) If all else fails, wind and solar are now cheap enough to run a civilization on. Our civilization would change quite a bit, but it can now be done.

  16. Re:advocating nuclear (fission/fusion) is an IQ te by hypergreatthing · · Score: 1, Insightful

    screw you. Fusion has the potential to fuel all energy needs and future ones with minimal waste. How do you plan on creating solar panels with no energy? it costs a mountain of coal/gas/oil to produce. Solar has some big issues involving night time, scaling and expanding to meet future needs.

    How will you launch rockets using solar? You won't. You'll never reach that level of energy production. You can with a fusion reactor.

  17. So what's your point? by Immerman · · Score: 0

    All nuclear reactors produce only waste that will decay within a few centuries, assuming you're reprocessing the spent fuel and not doing something phenomenally stupid like burying the waste along with a bunch of fertile material that will continue to fission into more waste for tens or hundreds of millenia.

    Fusion reactors will generate neutron activated waste, and in fact will do so in quantities much higher than fission reactors because the energy per neutron released is notably lower. Unless they're using the neutrons to breed more fuel, in which case it will be much lower. Or are doing aneutronic fusion which will likely be the case for most second-gen and later reactors. Aneutronic fusion will still generate some neutrons from side reactions, and thus some activated waste, but in quantities a couple orders of magnitude lower than fission reactors. It's not nothing, but producing ten times the energy of all current reactors while producing 1/10th he waste is pretty damn close to "perfectly clean".

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  18. Re:let's say by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But you don't. Until you do it's a meaningless question.

  19. I agree with this sentiment. by Chas · · Score: 3, Interesting

    There's almost zero reason we should put LFTR and Fusion into an adversarial relationship.

    LFTR is closer to market right now, and fuel for it is ridiculously plentiful. It can easily power this planet for hundreds of years.

    At the same time, Fusion is around the corner (though it's been "around the corner" for several decades).

    Still, instead of dealing with:

    * Nasty, polluting fossil fuel generation
    * Solar/Wind/Hydro installs that fuck up the local ecology
    * Dirty, ancient solid-fuel fission tech

    Take the first step forward with LFTR and MSR fission.

    Yes, we'll have waste still. But it's FAR easier to design storage/depletion facilities that last 100-300 years. Current fission plants are producing stuff that'll be hot for tens or hundreds of thousands of years. And, quite simply, we can't guarantee anything we engineer will last that long. The oldest (mostly intact) megastructures on this planet are the Egyptian pyramids. And they're only about 4500 years old. Mostly because they're just a giant pile of stone.

    Still with LFTR/MSR, we can lower emissions and give ourselves time to grow and improve the grid while we get the kinks out of Fusion technology.

    With portable, modular solutions like Boeing's fusion skunkworks project, we can put cheap, safe power generation capacity just about ANYWHERE.
    When more power's needed? Just drop another unit next to the first and keep adding until your requirements are met.
    And when it's time to decommission a unit? Simply truck it away!

    And both of these technologies are engineered, from the get-go, to be inherently safe.

    With LFTR/MSR fission. If power is cut, you don't get a runaway reaction. By design, the reactor dumps the medium into dump tanks, away from the reagent.

    With fusion, you turn off power to a fusion reactor or change the dynamics inside the reactor, and the process shuts down naturally. Snuffed like a blown out candle.

    But, will all the "nuclear = bombs" hysterics ever allow this to go through?

    Hell no!

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  20. Both yes, but as Fusion-Fission hybrid by DumbSwede · · Score: 4, Interesting

    What is really needed is a fusion/fission hybrid, which has been theorized for decades, but somehow never makes it past initial design phases. Gives a bridge to pure fusion, burns nuclear waste and/or thorium. Far fewer unknowns and engineering problems to overcome than pure fusion. What’s not to love?

    1. Re:Both yes, but as Fusion-Fission hybrid by blindseer · · Score: 2

      What's not to love? You get the cost and complexity of having both a fission and fusion reactor but no more useful work done than if the reactor did just one or the other.

      I thought of how one might build a fission/fusion hybrid reactor and realized just how complex such a device would have to be to work. Everything inside the reactor would be very hot, bombarded by neutrons and gamma rays, and have to be precise and powerful enough to maintain confinement of a fusion reaction. I suspect that at some point someone will build such a hybrid reactor just because the idea is so compelling. I just think that it would never be as profitable as a much simpler device that did only fission or fusion.

      A similar idea to a hybrid fission/fusion reactor are accelerator moderated fission reactors. Both ideas solve two problems inherent with fission reactors. One problem is the initial source of neutrons, the other is the problem of too many neutrons. With a fusor or particle accelerator providing the neutrons the neutron flow can be moderated by how much power is supplied to the neutron source. What many people have found out is that there are much easier ways to solve these problems.

      A lack of neutrons in the fission reactor can be solved with enriching the fuel and/or control rods. Too many neutrons can be solved with control rods too, the control rods might be of a different material but it is still control rods, or by simply allowing the fissile material to heat up and expand to a lower density. Once a fission reactor gets going it naturally tends to produce enough neutrons on its own that a constant neutron source is unnecessary.

      I could be wrong, maybe there is some detail I missed that makes my assumptions incorrect. I just don't see hybrid reactors as feasible outside of a research setting.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  21. First rule in government spending by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 2

    Quoting S.R. Hadden (from Contact): "First rule in government spending: why build one when you can have two at twice the price?"

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    1. Re:First rule in government spending by gewalker · · Score: 1

      How about -- one is a sure bet, but the other is more desirable but likely harder to produce.

  22. We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by zildgulf · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Here in Georgia we are having a heck of a time jumping through the political hoops to build two new much needed pressurized water nuclear (fission) plants in east Georgia. We also have a boiling water nuclear (fission) plant in south Georgia that probably needs to be decommissioned due to age and the problems of radioactive leaks in boiling water reactors inside the reactor containment bunker...er...building.

    P.S. How can you call an airtight, air-locked, negative-pressured, yards thick of specially hardened reinforced concrete, enough to survive at least 2 9/11 style airplane crashes, "building" anything but an above ground bunker?

    I have to say that where we built our nuclear plants geologically, population-wise, and climate-wise, are the best places to put such nuclear plants. Far better than in the crowded Northeast US or on the West Coast.

    In Georgia we have no single "go-to" on alternative energy for base electric generation, no desserts for large scale solar projects, like Nevada, nor massive amounts of land for large scale wind farms, like the Plain states, and we lost much of our hydro capacity in the last 30 years or so. Natural Gas and Nuclear are our go-to for large scale base electric generation and our chance to break from coal. We use too way much coal here in Georgia our air quality has suffered immensely for it. At least nuclear plants do not create millions of tons of CO2 and makes our air cleaner.

    I sincerely hope that the fusion plants can be built here.

  23. advocating nuclear (fission/fusion) is an IQ test by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar panels generate something like three times more energy than they spend making from the leccy from extremely dirty Chinese coal-powered stations. Nuclear will give you an E-ROI of 60.

  24. Re:advocating nuclear (fission/fusion) is an IQ te by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

    ...How do you plan on creating solar panels with no energy? it costs a mountain of coal/gas/oil to produce...

    Where did all the energy go? Is solar energy tainted and unusable for making new solar panels? The energy payback time for current solar technology is 3 years, and steadily dropping. It should reach 1 year over the next decade.

    You can with a fusion reactor.

    How? They don't exist.

    --
    Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  25. I agree with this sentiment. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So boeing is running the same P.R. campaigan like Lockheed ? And it also does only work on PPT slides ?

  26. Re:advocating nuclear (fission/fusion) is an IQ te by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The truth is that we can only afford these funny solar panels because our entire first-world economy (which now includes China) is only possible by burning massive amounts of coal, oil and gas. That energy is cheap and abundant so we can spend some of it for making solar panels.

    As soon as you start to make panels from energy generated solely by panels (think of the purification processes, digging+milling up the metals etc), you will be economically dead and stuffed. IT DOES NOT WORK.

    Look up "energy return on investment" if you want to know more.

  27. crazy nerds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    its an option to simply change grid infrastructure too and eliminate base load as a concept. We are willing to look out side the box on nuclear generation, but somehow tied to some ultimately arbitrary concept of electrical distribution that just happened because idiotic utilities are too lazy to think differently?

  28. Re:We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    Here in Georgia we are having a heck of a time jumping through the political hoops to build two new much needed pressurized water nuclear (fission) plants in east Georgia.

    That's because you cain't find nobody to read the instructions.

    I mean, we're talking Georgia.

    I have to say that where we built our nuclear plants geologically, population-wise, and climate-wise, are the best places to put such nuclear plants.

    You just build them next to that damn meth lab.

    I found this documentary about the people building the Georgia nuclear plants:

    http://youtu.be/HBwUROwdE6w?t=...

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  29. Re:We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

    > nor massive amounts of land for large scale wind farms

    I had to look this up because I thought you were wrong. But you're not. Georgia has crap for wind:

    http://apps2.eere.energy.gov/wind/windexchange/wind_resource_maps.asp?stateab=ga

    What up with that?

  30. Fission or fusion is cleaner than the alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have been using fission for some time and it sounds like fusion promises to be cleaner. Even when fusion goes wrong it seriously pollutes a few hundred square kilometres at the most. The alternative is petrochemicals which are seriously polluting the entire planet.

  31. Pollyanna by sexconker · · Score: 0

    I believe the morning sun's
    Always gonna shine again and
    I believe a pot of gold
    Waits at every rainbow's end, oh
    I believe in roses kissed with dew,
    Why shouldn't I believe the same in you?

    I believe in make believe,
    Fairy tales and lucky charms and,
    I believe in promises,
    Spoken as you cross your heart, oh,
    I believe in skies forever blue,
    Why shouldn't I believe the same in you?

    You may say I'm a fool,
    Feelin' the way that I do
    You can call me Pollyanna,
    Say I'm crazy as a loon,
    I believe in silver linings
    And that's why I believe in you

    I believe there'll come a day,
    Maybe it will be tomorrow,
    When the bluebird flies away,
    All we'll have to do is follow,
    I believe that dreams can still come true,
    Why shouldn't I believe the same in you?

    You may say I'm a fool,
    Feelin' the way that I do,
    I believe in friends and laughter
    And the wonders love can do,
    I believe in songs and magic
    And that's why I believe in you
    You may say I'm a fool,
    Feelin' this way about you,
    There's not much I can do,
    I'm gonna be this way my life through
    'Cause I still believe in miracles,
    I swear I've seen a few
    And the time will surely come
    When you can see my point of view,
    I believe in second chances
    And that's why I believe in you

  32. Its all PR by GoodNewsJimDotCom · · Score: 1

    Realistically we should be making a new Nuclear Power utility every 20-40 years just to keep up to date with our technologies. More realistically: People are guaranteed to have health problems with coal furnaces, but only a chance that people get hurt by nuclear.

  33. Re:advocating nuclear (fission/fusion) is an IQ te by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

    > Fusion has the potential to fuel all energy needs and future ones with minimal waste

    For infinite cost.

    Sheesh, how do people not understand this fundamental point? There are hundreds of forms of energy out there, thousands. We don't use them because they cost to much. Fusion costs more. Even if the price of energy goes up, that means we'll use one of the thousands we're not using now. There is an infinity of money between now and fusion.

  34. Re:advocating nuclear (fission/fusion) is an IQ te by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

    > Look up "energy return on investment" if you want to know more.

    I did:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_returned_on_energy_invested#Economic_influence_of_EROEI

    Wind outperforms nuclear, 180%. PV is 70% of nuclear.

    So, you were saying?

  35. I have a fusion-based viable solution. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The production is centralized to achieve scale gains.

    The core idea is the distribution which is done electromagnetically in a manner similar to those cellphone wireless chargers. Extra care has been taken to adjust power levels so that such radiation can be transmitted within safety levels in order to avoid harmful effects. It may require some protection, though.

    It's not restricted to highly populated areas; instead, it can be used in wide areas. Infrastructure investment will be kept to a minimum, though R&D is still working on it to further reduce costs.

    The project's code name is sol.

  36. There is no such thing as a "safe" fission reactor by Required+Snark · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Safety is not about technology, it's about human error. As long as people do dumb things, no design will prevent a catastrophe.

    Look at the three big reactor failures: Chernobyl, Three Mile Island, and Fukushima. All three were caused by human error. For Chernobyl, it was a dangerous design and running dangerous tests. For TMI, it was a less dangerous design, and they still screwed it up with bad procedures. For Fukushima, they made a series of globally bad design choices because they refused to consider realistic worst case external events. Plus they uncovered a flaw in the containment structure design that lead to the hydrogen explosions.

    All of these are human error.

    And it's not just reactors. The British Petroleum oil platform blowout in the Gulf of Mexico was human error. The sinking of the ferry Sewol in Korea was human error, as was the sinking of the Concordia off of Italy. BP also had a refinery blow up in Texas because of bad operations and ignoring a known problem with volatile fume leakage.

    So no matter how secure a technology looks, it will still suffer a complete worst case failure. Assuming anything else is wishful thinking.

    What's the worst case for LFTR? No one seems willing to even talk about it. It's remarkably like the head in the sand attitude that lead to the Fukshima disaster.

    So here's a question: what happens when a molten salt containing fluorine, uranium, thorium and other miscellaneous radioactive elements comes in contact with water? Does it explode? Does it burn in air? How toxic are the substances entering the environment? (Trick question: both uranium and fluorine are very toxic elements. Fluorine forms many toxic compounds with carbon.) What is the equivilant explosive energy of tons of molten uranium salts?

    If it is burning, how do you put it out? (Note: with fluorine compounds water is a bad idea. It's explosive.) How do you build a containment vessel that will withstand all of that? How will the cost of proper containment and emergency planning and equipment impact the economics of power generation?

    A burning LFTR makes a burning graphite reactor seem like a campfire for a marshmallow roast. Good luck with that.

    --
    Why is Snark Required?
  37. Re:We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 2

    I sincerely hope that the fusion plants can be built here.

    Congratulations on achieving ~22% nuclear electricity in July 2014.

    My state of no-nuke Oklahoma is powered by natural gas and coal (which arrives by train), considers itself a nexus of wind power but after decades of investment, hundreds of turbines and probably much more money spent --- net generation of mostly-wind ~809GWh for July is still less than the ~855GWh that would have been generated that month by the single two-reactor Black Fox Nuclear Power Plant. That is... if it had not been the only nuclear plant in the United States cancelled after construction began, in 1982.

    Oklahoma sits on the border of the three North American grid interconnects. I have been trying to convince the powers that be and Halliburton Corporate to embrace molten salt research, to no avail so far.

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  38. Re:There is no such thing as a "safe" fission reac by rubycodez · · Score: 1

    no, you are confused. The worst case is exactly what LFTR addresses and of course its engineers talk about that. Blow a hole in a LTFR reactors, the fuel drains into collection tanks and cools like glass. The salts are chemically stable and don't burn, decompose or explode.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L...

  39. It will only happen when it has to by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LFTR will only be developed when it has to. There are a lot of people aligned against it: uranium miners, fossil fuel corporations, renewables.

  40. Re:There is no such thing as a "safe" fission reac by blindseer · · Score: 2

    If it is burning, how do you put it out?

    You are confusing fluorine with fluoride. A fluoride will not burn because it has already reached a state with a potential lower than that it would have with water or air.

    With that said most every LFTR design I've seen does have fluorine as a gas at some point in the process but that is in the chemical processing of the fuel while outside the reactor. There is little to no fluorine in the reactor vessel.

    There would not be a fire because the stuff in a LFTR does not burn. If there were things burning then the answer is to use water.

    both uranium and fluorine are very toxic elements.

    Uranium tetrafluoride is an insoluble salt, no more toxic than sand. Saying uranium and fluorine are very toxic is like saying sodium and chlorine are very toxic. Sodium and chlorine alone are very bad but combined they create a substance vital to life. I suppose you think we should ban the use of table salt because of the toxic materials it is made of.

    What's the worst case for LFTR?

    The worst case is you douse it with water for hours, maybe days, until it cools off. After it's cool you send in people with jackhammers and tractors to haul away the pieces for recycling. The mangled mess would no doubt contain radioactive material but since fission would have been stopped for days at this point the pile of scrap would be about as radioactive as a typical granite counter top. The workers would have to wear protective gear for the dust because heavy metal poisoning is a risk, just like for people that mine for gold or coal.

    Perhaps I am mistaken, perhaps I exaggerated a bit, but regardless a LFTR simply cannot burn or react with water like you describe.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  41. Not safety, benefit by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

    Do you really think it would be very hard to convince the public that it is inherently safer than other fission designs.

    I expect that you can convince them that LFTR is safer than our current reactors but that is not the same as convincing them that it is safe enough to build. If you want to do that they best way to do it would be to sell them cheaper electricity. They are unlikely to be able to sensibly judge the risk but at least this way they see that they are benefiting from having a plant nearby.

    However there is still the issue of nuclear waste. Both LFTR and fusion still generate it but the advantage of fusion is that it is a one-generation problem not a 10-100,000 year issue. The lighter nuclei activated by neutron radiation from fusion reactors have far shorter half lives than the heavy nuclear fragments left by thorium fission. LFTR might reduce the volume but not to zero and it will be with us for a VERY long time.

  42. LFTR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Plus LFTR can burn off old Nukes.

  43. Re:We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most of the blowhards moved to Alabama or Texas. :)

  44. Moderation 101 by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    New here, then? All downmods are of the form "I disagree", with a soupçon of "what choice least likely to get my ass metamodded"

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  45. Re:There is no such thing as a "safe" fission reac by markass530 · · Score: 1

    What's the worst case for LFTR? No one seems willing to even talk about it. .

    Well if you stick your fingers in your ears and yell "NA NA NA I CANT HEAR YOU" of course it's going to sound like no one is talking about it. In reality it's been discussed and disected quite a bit

  46. More than 200,000 people died in Banqiao dam break by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Banqiao hydroelectric dam collapse: 26,000 drowned, 145,000 dead from disease and famine, 11+ million displaced

    If you go by the official statistics from the Communist China and yes, _only_ 26,000 people drowned
     
    But if you are to count how many people returned after the disaster had struck, the figure is much higher - an estimated of more than 200,000 people had gone missing forever

  47. Big LFTR Problems: To safe, and too cheap. by darkonc · · Score: 1

    By safe, I mean it can't be used to blow things up -- either by accident or on purpose. This makes it bad for nuclear Proliferation -- Including making bombs for the US military. That's why it never got as much funding as Uranium-based reactors ... they couldn't figure out how to use Thorium reactors to make bombs. Remember that this was in the 60's and 70's and at the height of the cold war // arms race.
    As a side point of not being useful for making bombs, it's also harder to have a (semi) critical accident -- i.e. a Chernobyl / 3-mile-island / China-syndrome type accident.

    That's a big problem when you're trying to get the civilian population to accept bomb-making, but (and) much more dangerous Uranium - based reactors... Which would you rather have in your back yard? A Thorium reactor that pretty much can't have a meltdown, or a Uranium one that is one (albeit unlikely) step from being a bomb.

    The other problem is that it's too cheap.... from a commercial vantage point, Uranium-based fuels are incredibly hard to make properly -- and their exact format varies from reactor to reactor... That means that reactors that aren't sufficiently profitable to make (even with military^w government subsidies) can make (more) profits because the plant manufacturer has an effective monopoly on making fuel pellets. ... kinda like the way that printer manufacturers sell you the printer for cheap, then ding you on ink refils. LFTR plants, on the other hand, just need an occasional addition of Thorium, and a little bit of the salts (to make up for any evaporation).

    That means that there's less likely to be a commercial proponent for LFTR Thorium reactors. Why spend billions researching a reactor that will never get Military/Government subsidies ... and then -- once built -- won't be a lucrative source of fuel sales? It's really good for the utility using the reactor (and their customers), but it sucks for the plant manufacturer.

    So there you have it.. LFTR is unlikely to be created because it's.

    1. Too safe (can't be used to make bombs), and
    2. to cheap (nobody can corner the market on fuel refills

    That's why LFTR may never find a good backer -- unless we can find a billionaire willing to fund the development on a lark (and to save mankind from our own greed/hatred).

    --
    Sometimes boldness is in fashion. Sometimes only the brave will be bold.
  48. Pure FUD from from a known renewable troll... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First of all, LCoE ignores the cost of integrating intermittent wind and solar into the grid, so comparisons with a reliable source like nuclear are meaningless. Those cheap wind turbines require an economically infeasible storage and transmission infrastructure, which incidentally also suffers from NIMBY obstacles. They are also exposed to the environment and need replacement every decade or so, but are typically abandoned when the subsides inevitably run out.

    Picking the most expensive first of a kind nuclear build ever is hardly representative of the cost of nuclear. The Chinese are now building AP1000s for a quarter of the cost, with economics still improving. Yes, trolls like you have managed to drive up the cost of nuclear power in the west, but that is not a technical problem, and it is still cheaper than wind and solar when system costs are considered. Molten salt reactors operate at near atmospheric pressure, vastly simplifying construction and lowering cost.

    Fuel cost is negligible today, and primarily driven by fabrication of fuel assemblies, which are unnecesary in a liquid fueled reactor. Long construction times are a result of enormous concrete containment structures for conventional water cooled reactors which operate under extreme pressure. Read about ThorCon for what is possible with existing technology. There is also significant potential for decreasing costs even further with molten salt reactors, as compact brayton cycle turbines become available.

    1. Re:Pure FUD from from a known renewable troll... by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      Hey look, I'm a "known renewable troll". Yay, I'm famous!

      > First of all, LCoE ignores the cost of integrating intermittent wind and solar into the grid

      Which is why everyone is building wind and not nuclear, I guess.

      > Those cheap wind turbines require an economically infeasible storage and transmission infrastructure

      Which is why Lazard, and enormous economic forecaster, is the one making these numbers.

      > The Chinese are now building AP1000s for a quarter of the cost

      So they say, but they also say they are building wind turbines for a quarter of the cost

      > Picking the most expensive first of a kind nuclear build ever is hardly representative of the cost of nuclear.

      The Lazard numbers were averages, with error bars.

      > Fuel cost is negligible today,

      Wind is free. Last time I checked that was cheaper than "negligible".

      > Read about ThorCon [c4tx.org] for what is possible

      A device designed by a guy with exactly zero experience in reactor design, worked on as a home project? Right, ok.

      > as compact brayton cycle turbines become available

      Which, of course, would have the exact same effect on any other power source that uses them, which means everything else would get cheaper too, and reactors would retain their cost disadvantage.

      Wow, some comeback there AC.

    2. Re:Pure FUD from from a known renewable troll... by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      Hey look, I'm a "known renewable troll". Yay, I'm famous!

      Pleased to meet ya. Famous myself, though I hardly ever get a -1 Troll. Usually it's an -1 Overrated, which is what meta-mods use when they don't like your face. I have an ugly face.

      > First of all, LCoE ignores the cost of integrating intermittent wind and solar into the grid
      Which is why everyone is building wind and not nuclear, I guess.

      Beg to differ here. The real reason we've been building out so much utility-wind these last decades is not that it is a workable solution (never was)... it's not that the folks doing it haven't gotten around to running the numbers yet (some have, that's why natural gas plant manufacturers are the real winners)... it's not even that fossil companies actively support these renewable options because they do not pose any kind of threat (so much for conspiracy theory, it's plain conspiracy fact)... it's simply because nuclear has been kept off the table by a social phenomenon of fear that became rooted in the 'environmentalist' demographic, and that group has been steering the ship. I describe the genesis of this in this adjacent post. Chernobyl may have stirred it further but the fear was already entrenched by 1980.

      I believe there will be a time --- soon --- when the emerging generation takes the reins and examines the gigawatt-year track record nuclear plants have demonstrated, even with 'old' designs. If Stewart Brand, a founder of the environmental movement, can re-think this fear, why cannot others? If demonstrated wind output on the grid has taught me anything, it is that you will probably never see a windmill produced by a factory that is powered by windmills. Our fixation with wind has produced some great strides in compact Neodymium designs (Tesla would be proud!) but it has delayed us at a crucial time.

      > Read about ThorCon [c4tx.org] for what is possible
      A device designed by a guy with exactly zero experience in reactor design, worked on as a home project? Right, ok.

      Jack Devanney's summary and his slide show prepared for the 3rd Annual Workshop on Accelerator-Driven Sub-Critical Systems & Thorium Utilization, which is fancy speak for 'nuclear furnace'.

      This approach is brilliant and deserves more than a one liner --- whether you have the time to work your way through this 69 page summary or not. I have, and though I've never designed a nuclear reactor either, I have boned up on LFTR tech and will try to do it justice...

      I can see that he has tacked the heat expansion problems in the reactor head-on by doing something that only a designer of naval ships (and not conventional reactors) might think of --- shrugging off the problem entirely by suspending components. [p.18] "Almost all the vertical expansion is downward. The drain line is hung from the PHX to Pot line and has no direct physical connection to the Can. So this vertical movement is unrestricted and the drain line at Can temperature is free to expand independently of the primary loop."

      He's abandoning the Holy Grail of breeding, striving to leverage the proven portions of salt technology into a system that can be built and scale today. [p.16] "ThorCon is a thorium converter, not a breeder. ThorCon requires periodic additions of ïssile fuel. And the ïrst generation ThorCon is not a particularly eïfcient converter. Only about 25% of its power comes from converting thorium to 233U. ThorCon derives its ability to produce power cheaply not from its use of thorium, but from all the other advantages of liquid fuel."

      He points out that the FLiBe salts neces

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  49. Re:Big LFTR Problems: To safe, and too cheap. by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

    That's why LFTR may never find a good backer -- unless we can find a billionaire willing to fund the development on a lark (and to save mankind from our own greed/hatred).

    It would take two or more celebrity billionaires coming together who are polar opposites (green+oil, democrat+republican, penguin+polar bear, etc.) coming together and shaking hands under a Thorium banner. It's for the grandchildren, but also good for business. The only 'sustainable' form of wealth creation is to introducing something completely new that changes the game --- by lowering the personal and corporate cost of living.

    AND NOW FOR SOMETHING COMPLETELY DIFFERENT
    Meltdowns at the recent 2014 Thorium Energy Conference

    John Kutsch is positively ape-shit about lack of support for the S.2006 Thorium Bill
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgRn4g7a068

    He's Mad As Fucking Hell And Not Going To Take It Anymore (with bonus luddite doofus footage)
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nUXmff5R_bI

    Jim Kennedy is absolutely bleedin' outraged that DOD is 'blocking' the Thorium Bill and handing over rare earth production, parts to China like fucktard traitorous pussies
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CARlEac1iuA

    Cavan Stone is excited about Bismth-213 for cancer treatment, also in a blather over S.2006's stall in Congress
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RAUzldJqlq4

    Fascinating new topic this year, Andrew Dodson (BS EE, going for Master's in Power Distribution) is tearing out his beard about grid instability
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kU6izpryqqw
    But also choleric, fuming about the ridiculous current state of things
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJtv7gkuh1s

    All in all it's a great time to be stark raving monkey fuck for Thorium energy.
    We are completely surrounded by fools -- they cannot possibly escape now.

    Playlist of all TEAC6 conference videos so far (includes all above)
    https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLKfir74hxWhMI5JIcVhnWAZjrDszejxjS

    Profanity used for entertainment purposes only. Management regrets any inconvenience experienced by those with delicate sensibilities.

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  50. Re:Big LFTR Problems: To safe, and too cheap. by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

    Management regrets any inconvenience

    Meant to say incontinence, my bad.

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  51. Re:We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by Optali · · Score: 1

    Well, a bunker is indeed a building, isn't it?

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    -- 29A the number of the Beast
  52. Not Boeing. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fusion machine is being developed by Skunk Works/Lockheed Martin, not Boeing.

    1. Re:Not Boeing. by Chas · · Score: 1

      Thanks.

      Saw that in the article and totally brain-farted while typing.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
  53. Re:We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Ivanpah, CA, has plenty of featureless open desert for its solar mirrors. Unfortunately, it's also infested with Californians.

  54. Re:We need Nuclear here! Fission and fusion. by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Current nuclear reactors are strong enough to survive a 747 impact against its secondary containment. That's the result of having to build a containment structure capable to surviving 150 atmospheres of pressure from the inside.
    It nuclear reactors were weak, terrorists would have already hijacked one aircraft to blow one up.
    But the fact is a nuclear reactor needs a direct hit from a comet, asteroid or heavy military bomb to destroy its secondary (outward) containment.
    Anyhow, this topic isn't about water cooled nuclear reactors which have always been a kludge as far as nuclear fission is concerned. We never moved away from water cooled fission cause that's what NATO's Navies want for nuclear subs and surface ships. They paid for the initial R&D costs and follow on improvements.

    Take a look at the MSR (Molten Salt Reactor) basics. LFTR is an advanced form of MSR reactors. Even the most KISS for of MSR, the DMSR achieves 6x the utilization of uranium mined from the earth. With this efficiency plus a handful of fast sodium reactors mankind could convert all of our depleted uranium into MOX fuel and power the world with Uranium+Plutonium+Thorium fueled DMSR. LFTR is a way to get rid of the Uranium+Plutonium route and go 100% Thorium.