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Tesla Delays Launch of Model X Until Q3 2015

An anonymous reader writes "Tesla on Wednesday announced that it was pushing back the release of its highly anticipated Model X until the third quarter of 2015. Explaining the delay, Tesla relayed the following in its quarterly shareholder letter: "Work continues on the finalization of Model X with the testing of Alpha prototypes and initial builds of the first Beta prototypes. Model X powertrain development is almost complete with the early introduction of Dual Motor drive on Model S. We recently decided to build in significantly more validation testing time to achieve the best Model X possible. This will also allow for a more rapid production ramp compared to Model S in 2012." During Tesla's subsequent earnings conference call, Tesla CEO Elon Musk shed a bit more light on all things Model X, including the fact that if you order one today, it won't arrive until early 2016. Forbes goes into more on the business end of what's caused delays for the company, as well as how investors should see it (critically, they say).

111 comments

  1. Re:Why? by Higaran · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It kind of is, they are almost as much of a tech company as a car company, what they do has a big impact.

  2. Re:Why? by Thanshin · · Score: 1, Funny

    Slashdot? This is not Slashdot.

    You're on "&", also called "the site formerly known as Slashdot" or also "SlashWiggleWiggle".

    In & we only have slashvertisement, dupes and slashvertisement.

    Our motto is: "SlashWiggleWiggle, adds for nerds, stuff that mattered."

  3. Re:Why? by Teancum · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If there is anything that is "news for geeks", Tesla automobiles would be it. Exotic energy storage systems based upon laptop computers, mobile network platforms that have built-in web browsers and awesome sound systems, and pretty damn nice looking equipment as well that can get you from point A to point B in some awesome style that can also get you laid (not that most geek know a thing about such stuff).

    What makes that irrelevant to Slashdot? That you might have to wait a few more months before you can get a girlfriend?

  4. NerdPorn by Overzeetop · · Score: 1

    If this were news for jocks, every flash of flesh of the Kardashians would rate a story. This is news for nerds, so the only truly sexy, viable electric car get's the nod. NerdPorn, simple as that.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  5. the model for Tony Stark in the Ironman Series by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "If a Tesla shows up in a movie, said Musk, the model for Tony Stark in the Ironman series, ÃoeitÃ(TM)s not paid for it to be there, itÃ(TM)s just there.Ã

    Elon Musk, born June 28, 1971
    Iron Man's first appearance: March 1963.

    Maybe they looked at him a little bit for the movies. But calling him 'The model for Tony Stark in the Ironman series' is the silliest thing I've read all day.

    Also, I gauge the odds of a Tesla showing up in a movie without someone getting paid to be low. The movie marketing people who set that sort of thing up want paid for *everything*.

    1. Re:the model for Tony Stark in the Ironman Series by Merk42 · · Score: 1

      Not a Tesla, but Elon Musk did appear, as himself, in Iron Man 2.

    2. Re: the model for Tony Stark in the Ironman Series by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the article had said "the man who appeared as himself in Iron Man 2" I wouldn't have objected.

  6. Re:Why? by NotDrWho · · Score: 0

    Because Elon Musk is a diety on /. He's slashdot's Jesus to Bill Gates' Satan.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  7. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'd rather see a car model pushed back a year than wind up back in the shop often due to recalls and bugs that should have been fixed.

    The notable thing about Tesla is that they provide updates for "last year's" models. Other car makes might do some update for safety, but not for adding features.

  8. Re:Why? by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

    It's a gold cart with a cool stereo. Meh.

  9. Still a niche company by NotDrWho · · Score: 2

    Before all the "Tesla is taking over the car industry!!" hype machine kicks in on this story (as with all stories Tesla), I just want to remind everyone in Silicon Valley that Tesla is still a niche car company that's barely on the big car companies' radars.

    I live in a metropolitan area of a red state and I've never even seen a Tesla in person. Not one. I'm sure they're a common sight in San Francisco but in most of the country they're still just something you just read about in Wired.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    1. Re:Still a niche company by NotDrWho · · Score: 0

      They work. But no one who works can afford one.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    2. Re:Still a niche company by TomGreenhaw · · Score: 5, Informative

      We've had ours coming up on two years. By far the best car I've ever owned and driven. It does actually work very well and when maintenance costs and savings on gas are included, its not really more costly than any other comparable luxury sedan.

      Tesla may today be a niche company, but its certainly no liberal pipe dream.

      --
      Greed is the root of all evil.
    3. Re:Still a niche company by rossdee · · Score: 1

      Tesla maybe a niche car, but other companies are also making electric cars nowdays (Like GM, Nissan, Toyota...)

    4. Re:Still a niche company by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Tesla struggles with scaling. They talk about how the demand is greater than their production capacity. which is OK in a niche market but a bad thing in a major competitive market. They are losing money with their existing scale, and it is not clear how much it will cost to scale up significantly. They may take quite a long time to become profitable, or they may never make it to that point, it is still unclear. What makes it a risky investment, in my opinion, is the fact that once the production/price/market variables become favorable for the technology, the big companies will be able to scale it at a much lower cost, as that is what they are good at. That is where the battery manufacturing thing become critical for Tesla's sustainability.

    5. Re:Still a niche company by Herkum01 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      What makes it a risky investment, in my opinion, is the fact that once the production/price/market variables become favorable for the technology, the big companies will be able to scale it at a much lower cost, as that is what they are good at.

      I very much doubt that Tesla is going to outsource its manufacturing for key components. It is going to keep those in house, and it will be expensive in the near future, but they will not have worry about competitors getting cheap access to those components. Too many of the current car companies are focused upon assembling a car; they are not engineering huge advantages in technology or going in new directions.

      Tesla is going to have these guys beat for no other reason than they are going to sit on their hands until it is too late. If you want a better explanation, they are going to have engineer their own product and manufacturing of specialty parts. They don't seem interesting in committing to electric cars now and when Tesla is big enough to be mainstream it will still take them 3 to 5 years to get their own product out the door.

    6. Re:Still a niche company by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      Honest question, not trying to troll: Have the cars you've owned and driven in the past been in the 50-60k price range?

    7. Re:Still a niche company by Thanshin · · Score: 1

      LOL. Another proletarian who can't afford a perfectly working electric car.

    8. Re:Still a niche company by tibit · · Score: 1

      It already works. So what's your point?

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    9. Re:Still a niche company by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      I live in a metropolitan area of a red state and I've never even seen a Tesla in person. Not one.

      I live in San Jose, California. I see a few Teslas almost every day. Nissan Leaves are more common. Priuses are even more common. Probably 25% of the cars on the road are either hybrid or full electric. Living here is sort of like living five years into the future. My robotic butler has just paged me to say that my breakfast is ready to be served, so I gotta go ....

    10. Re:Still a niche company by Quince+alPillan · · Score: 2

      I live in a metropolitan area of a red state on the east coast, and not only have I seen Teslas in person, but I know people (friend of a friend) that have them. It helps that there's a supercharger at a nearby mall that I almost always see a Tesla parked at, but I've seen them parked around town, too.

      Your anecdotal evidence is just as good as my anecdotal evidence, and neither one is indicative of the actual popularity, supply or demand of the car.

    11. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder that too. Having owned a 550i, and before that an E550; I tried to like the Tesla, but it just wasnt comparable. Went with the new 7-series Hybrid instead.

    12. Re:Still a niche company by mojo-raisin · · Score: 2

      I drive a 2014 pure EV, and I make a modest/decent wage. I live in the Chicago, and I charge from my apartment. It really is pretty easy, and I don't have to deal with gas and combustion engines.

      So you're wrong.

    13. Re:Still a niche company by TomGreenhaw · · Score: 1

      Fair question. I sold my Z06 Corvette earlier this year, but that's the only car I've ever owned in that price range. I don't really compare the Z06 Vette to a Model S P85, so you're right I may not have enough experience to say its better than other luxury sedans. I have friends with Mercedes, Audi, Lexus and Porche Panamera and I have to admit that they are really nice too.

      I felt I had to reply to the comment that electric cars are a liberal pipe dream. I don't consider myself a liberal and Teslas are not a pipe dream.

      --
      Greed is the root of all evil.
    14. Re:Still a niche company by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      In the entire southeastern U.S. (excluding Florida, because that's hardly typical) I count about 15 charging stations and two showrooms, and there isn't even a single charging station in 4 states. That's not anecdotal, go look at Tesla's own map. Now maybe you live in Atlanta, Charleston, or Charlotte (fairly well-to-do areas) or maybe you count Miami as the South. But I've never seen one. I've seen a lot of Priuses and some nice Mercedes, but never once a Tesla.

      It's like a Lamborghini. I know what they are. I've seen photos and video or them. But seeing one on the road? Never.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    15. Re:Still a niche company by Kjella · · Score: 2

      Electric cars, LOL
      just another liberal pipe dream that will never actually work

      A liberal pipe dream that will never actually work as long as oil is cheap, perhaps. But it's made me a whole lot less concerned about peak oil, here in Norway around 9% of cars sold this year are electric through subsidies. Another 9% are hybrids. If oil prices doubled or tripled I'd expect those numbers to go way up. Before it seemed like peak oil would be the end of personal transportation as we know it, but even if electrics never get quite as cheap or convenient as gas and diesel they'll do. Good enough for my commute, shopping and local activities, visiting nearby friends and family and at least in Tesla's case cabin trips - not the most remote cabin in the world, but still. Of course it now depends on cheap electricity, but at least there we've got many different sources and they don't have to be compact, light and portable like an internal combustion engine.

      Particularly if it eventually gets paired with autonomous cars, cargo generally isn't in any hurry and the lorry isn't paid by the hour. Tesla did US coast-to-coast in 76 hours, the record ignoring all laws and sanity is 29 hours so it's not like they're orders of magnitude slower even if the truck has to stop for a recharge every hour or two. It's only very inconvenient as long as you need truck drivers. Basically it looks to me like we have a workable solution for when oil runs out, if we'll switch faster due to the environment that's nice but I'm guessing push will eventually come to shove anyway even though "unconventional" oil and gas extraction has pushed it back another decade or two.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    16. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that the Tesla isn't a luxury sedan.

    17. Re:Still a niche company by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Tesla is going to have these guys beat for no other reason than they are going to sit on their hands until it is too late.

      That is a quite an assumption, that no other car company other than Tesla understands the market. I wouldn't bet too much on it.

    18. Re:Still a niche company by CaptainLard · · Score: 4, Insightful

      that's barely on the big car companies' radars.

      Aside from Toyota, Mercedes, & BMW who all previously/current owned shares or have direct partnerships with Tesla or GM where they were at least part of the impetus behind developing the Volt. Not to mention nearly ever car dealer in the USA who are all campaigning to have Tesla stores banned because they might destroy the car dealer business model entirely.

      I live in a metropolitan area of a red state and I've never even seen a Tesla in person.

      But you might hear your politicians talk about them. Now that Tesla is having success, a lot of repubilcans are falling over themselves to say they've supported them all along.

    19. Re:Still a niche company by MMC+Monster · · Score: 4, Informative

      As another Tesla owner (6 months for me), my previous car was a BMW 328 xDrive.

      I drive my cars reasonably hard (~20k miles/year). Fuel savings alone is ~$2-3K/year. So you're not going to make the money back. Period.

      But the drive is totally different from a BMW. Not necessarily better or worse. Definitely different. The Tesla acceleration is unreal but the cornering is so-so. The overall handling in rain is about the same or slightly better in the Tesla.

      All together, I will never go back to the BMW. It's nice not having to worry about filling up my gas tank, and acceleration is more 'fun', and the information/entertainment system is out of this world.

      --
      Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
    20. Re:Still a niche company by BasilBrush · · Score: 0

      Internal combustion engine cars - dirty and old fashioned, just like their conservative fans.

    21. Re:Still a niche company by BasilBrush · · Score: 0, Troll

      Sure. But conservatives don't believe in peak oil. They believe that oil production can keep rising indefinitely. Not because of science, but just because they lack the ability to see that things change.

    22. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're seriously considering a Corvette a luxury sedan? What?

      From the post you replied to:

      I don't really compare the Z06 Vette to a Model S P85

      It's posts like this that make me think the whole Tesla-is-not-a-luxury-sedan crowd failed basic reading in grade school.

    23. Re:Still a niche company by BasilBrush · · Score: 3, Informative

      You seem to be confusing chraging stations with Tesla Supercharger stations. There are chargind stations even in the Hickville states you refer to.

      e.g. http://www.dasolar.com/ev-char...
      http://chargemap.com/city/birm...

    24. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Non-flying cars are old-fashioned! Soon they'll be obsolete," said guy in 1955.

    25. Re:Still a niche company by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      ANd how much more is the Tesla the the 328x? They w
      ere more in the 6 range last time I looked.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    26. Re:Still a niche company by danomac · · Score: 1

      Tesla is going to have these guys beat for no other reason than they are going to sit on their hands until it is too late.

      Yep, in the automotive space Tesla is the Apple/Google and everybody else is Blackberry. It will come to burn some of them.

    27. Re:Still a niche company by icejai · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A friend of mine who happens to be a senior engineer at a large Japanese automaker took me to a Tesla dealership some years ago to take a look at the Tesla. I asked him how much it would to produce a car like the Model S at this very large Japanese automaker. He said each car would end up costing in the hundreds of thousands of dollars. At first I didn't believe him, but as he proceeded to explain every single detail of R&D, prototyping, testing, dealing with suppliers, manufacturing, dealing with the factory (or many factories, being the more likely case), retooling, etc, and all the manpower, meetings, executive approvals, and other costs involved at a company as large as his... it was very obvious that he knew exactly what he was talking about.

      There is a certain myth about scaling. Big companies know how to scale? Of course they know how to scale. But I'm sure many people here can imagine how starting fresh with a small team, and scaling *that*... is faster and cheaper than modifying a gigantic already-scaled process to output something completely different.

      Larger scale *leads to* lower costs.
      But big companies don't *scale up* at "lower cost".

      Tesla has an absolutely *enormous* advantage by manufacturing many parts of the car themselves. The infotainment system, the battery packs, they stamp their own metal, etc. You might not believe me if I told you that automobile companies need to fight with their factories to implement changes to the production line, because the factories are separate companies that operate independently from the actual car company (Ford, GM, Honda, Toyota, etc). Any changes means less cars produced and less profit. Just because of this fact alone, Tesla can scale production MUCH cheaper and quicker than *any* large car company, American or not, just from the fact that they run their own factory.

      Smaller companies are better at scaling. They can do it quicker and cheaper.
      Large companies, especially car companies, not so much.

    28. Re:Still a niche company by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Tesla has a long long way to go to get close to the scale of the major manufactures. The problems you state will become Tesla's problems once they try to scale that large. Controlling & producing everything presents its own set of issues and headaches.

    29. Re:Still a niche company by mspohr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In the past I've had a Porsche and a Land Rover that were each more expensive (adjusted for inflation) than my Tesla as well as a bunch of less expensive German cars. The Tesla is by far the best car I've ever owned. The whole driving experience (power, handling, comfort, etc.) is incredible... an order of magnitude better than anything I've ever owned.
      The fact that it is environmentally friendly is just icing on the cake (but was the primary reason I bought it).

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    30. Re:Still a niche company by mspohr · · Score: 3, Informative

      Right now they are constrained by the supply of batteries. They are building a factory to make enough batteries for 500,000 cars a year so in a few years they will not have this constraint.
      Currently their gross margin on cars is 30%... much higher than any other car company. They also have a 2-4 month backlog of orders without doing any advertising and having a very limited distribution network. They are projecting 50%+ growth for the next few years.
      The competition has so far only produced pathetic electric cars (limited range using old designs and chassis from their ICE cars). These are equivalent to what a weekend mechanic could build in his garage. None of the established car companies has attempted to make the investment required to build a real electric car from the ground up like Tesla has... they could do it but they are at least 5 years behind the curve so it will take them a long time to come out with something equivalent to today's Tesla... and by then, Tesla will have moved on to something better.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    31. Re:Still a niche company by Teancum · · Score: 2

      Except that the Tesla isn't a luxury sedan.

      How else would you describe the Model S? An SUV?

    32. Re:Still a niche company by Teancum · · Score: 1

      What has GM done about electric automobiles? Ford? At best all I can see is that they are hiring lobbyists to craft state laws to exclude Tesla automobiles from being sold when they would have been legal under earlier laws.

      That doesn't sound like people trying to innovate and compete in the market place. Instead, it sounds like people who are scared of the future and don't want to make any sort of long-term investments into a new kind of technology.

      Yeah, GM has the Volt. It is basically a conventional automobile with a very complicated drive train that includes an over-sized starter motor and a larger than normal battery. Toyota treated the idea serious enough that they invested into Tesla in a big way (with the Toyoda family... who controls the Toyota company... personally investing too). Nissan has the Leaf, which is really the only significant competitor right now. GM had the EV-1, but got really stupid about marketing and even disposing of those vehicles.

    33. Re:Still a niche company by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      EV's are not in high enough demand to warrant the changes you want to see from the big boys. They could probably create a high end niche car like Telsa, but that won't bring them any significant returns on investment. They will do their best to predict the demand curve for EV's of various types, match the right cost and technology, and try to deliver in time. Some will do better than others, some may move too soon, some late, but there always be a market. If they let Tesla pave the road and take the pain, so be it. Tesla doesn't appear to be on track to make money any time soon.

    34. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's a sedan. It's not a luxury sedan. It's equipment, materials, and build quality is equivalent of loaded Camery. It falls far short of luxury that a real luxury sedan provides.

    35. Re:Still a niche company by steelfood · · Score: 2

      Actually, at $0.02 earnings per share, they're profitable already.

      Musk released all of the patents Tesla owns related to electric cars. I'm almost certain that if the other car manufacturers don't have a competing product in the works, they're smoking some really good stuff. Oil subsidies will only get them so far.

      I can't wait for the Model 3. Once that hits the streets, you'll be seeing a lot more Teslas.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    36. Re:Still a niche company by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Profitable only by playing accounting tricks. They booked income they have not yet received.

    37. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All together, I will never go back to the BMW. It's nice not having to worry about filling up my gas tank, and acceleration is more 'fun', and the information/entertainment system is out of this world.

      But you do have to worry about filling up the gas tank. Not literally of course, but any vehicle that has stored energy, whether in the form of gasoline or stored as potential energy in batteries needs to have that energy replaced or the car won't run. So instead of worrying about putting a fuel nozzle into the tank, you have to worry about plugging a cord in to the grid.

    38. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except the entire point of this article is that they are delaying the Model X due to not being able to meet demand. How are you going to ever see the Model 3 and "a lot more Teslas" when they can't build them?

    39. Re:Still a niche company by icejai · · Score: 1

      You're right. The volume of cars they produce is nowhere near as much as all of Toyota, or all of GM. However, the comparison mustn't be between "Tesla and BMW", the comparison must be made between "Model S and BMW 7-series", or "Model S and Audi A7", simply because the line that makes an A7 isn't the same line that makes the Q7.

      This is why large automakers try to reduce costs by attempting to build other cars on top of already-existing production lines. For eg, Hummer once tried to save money by forcing the Hummer H2 to use the chassis of a Chevy Tahoe, because they wanted to eliminate an entire production line or two to save costs. And surprise surprise, this is what Tesla is also doing with their Model X. It shares the same battery pack, chassis, and electric motors as the Model S. Also, it's quite obvious now why the Model S now has the same 4-wheel drive and dual-motor system as the Model X.

      So it appears that Tesla is scaling exactly the way any automaker would want to -- by sharing as much of the production line as they can with other models. But, their scaling will *still* be cheaper and faster, simply because they run their own production lines and design/manufacture much of the components themselves. Because of this, Tesla will *never* have this type of problem that other automakers have when scaling.

      They will never have to fight their own factories for changes.

    40. Re:Still a niche company by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Maybe, at some point in their history, the now big automakers had similar "nevers" in mind.

    41. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spoken like a non-accountant. I'm guessing you have no experience dealing with banks, taxes, vendors, etc. on any scale larger than household. Your opinion does not count. Come back when you get some experience in construction accounting. How'd you like to take a contract and not get paid for years? Oh, but you still get to pay expenses/taxes now...

    42. Re:Still a niche company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see Lambos, Rolls, Teslas, Maserati... on my commute everyday. Where you live sounds like the problem.

    43. Re:Still a niche company by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I still don't get the distinction. Tesla is deliberately trying for creature comforts similar to a high-end BMW or Lexus. That is why they have an internet connection in every car with a built-in web browser, high-end seats, and other features where you travel in style. What other luxury frills are missing? Gold-plated consoles and hummingbird tongues?

    44. Re:Still a niche company by MMC+Monster · · Score: 1

      Except I plug the car in every night and I'm generally good for the day. Range anxiety almost evaporated a couple weeks after owning the car. It totally evaporated once the NJ superchargers went online this summer.

      I live in eastern PA and go to south Jersey and Long Island on a regular basis. Between the superchargers in NJ and Long Island, I'm perfectly good. I've even done trips to Washington D.C. and had no problem with range, even after some spontaneous detours to Annapolis and such.

      --
      Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
  10. Re:Why? by TWX · · Score: 1

    No, Geeks are Nerds that figured out how to bathe and dress themselves, and figured out that women generally don't care about what speed of microprocessor is in their computer or how much RAM they have.

    Seriously. My wife has a bachelor's degree from MIT. Even she doesn't care about the processor or ram in the computer, she just cares that it works.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  11. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Please. Tesla throws in more batteries to reach a greater range than other EVs. That's all. Take a look at the size and weight of the Tesla cells versus those of the i3 or the Leaf and their respective ranges. There really isn't that much going on there worthy of note.
     
    It's like making a half kilo smartphone and proclaiming it to be better because it can last a week in the same testing while a HTC, Samsung or iPhone only lasts two days.

  12. Same magazine, two articles, one rather biased. by denzacar · · Score: 4, Informative

    "Tesla Q3 Earnings Live: Shares Rise, Strong Outlook for '15 Even While Model X Faces More Delays"
    http://www.forbes.com/sites/ma...

    Tesla reported a tiny third-quarter profit of $3 million using its preferred numbers while delivering a record 7,785 Model S sedans. That resulted in a $932 million quarter, up 55% from a year ago. But results were challenged by a month-long shutdown of the company's lone production facility as it tools up for the Model X crossover SUV it is introducing next year, albeit later than planned. Gross margin also took a small hit due to changes in warranty accounting, coming in at 23%. The sum total is that Tesla lowered its outlook for 2014 production to 33,000 total deliveries, from 35,000 citing the production deficit. Investors so far have shrugged off the news, sending the stock higher after hours.

    Wall Street was looking for lower revenues and a small loss. But the numbers were buoyed by very strong sales of Zero Emission Vehicle credits, which totaled a "much higher than expected" $76 million, Tesla said.

    "Tesla Shows Signs It's Struggling With Manufacturing"
    http://www.forbes.com/sites/mi...

    Tesla Motors TSLA +5.8% reported its third quarter results Wednesday. While analysts' attention was riveted to its financials, manufacturing experts saw two signs that the company is struggling.

    First, Tesla lowered its 2014 production target to 33,000 vehicles, down from its goal of 35,000. Second, Tesla pushed back the delivery date for its upcoming Model X once more, to the third quarter of 2015. ...
    The announcement validates the prediction made last month by Morgan Stanley MS +0.09% analyst Adam Jonas.

    One has a "hey, no biggie" tone while the other uses weasel words and literal red herrings to push "gloom and doom" scenario.
    Despite obvious disregard by investors, clearly seen in the opening paragraph with Tesla's stock market tag.

    I.e. "Manufacturing experts" who say that the company is "struggling" are ONE "Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas".
    Who, in the cited article said the following:

    "Given the ever-higher level of technical and safety scrutiny facing all auto manufacturers, we find it very common for major launches to hit dealer lots later than the market anticipates," Jonas said.

    Which was interpreted in TFA as:

    One was that major launches are often delayed, although generally not for numerous times like Model X.

    Note the slight bias?

    The rest of it is in the same mode. Positive points and sentiment turned into negative.

    Jonas refers to Tesla as "world's most important car company", calling the delay "an opportunity to buy" and a "silver lining".
    Instead of talking about "generally numerous delays", furor, technological features not available - while dumping lines which present those things as positive.

    Like " intense public interest in the product", "one of the most desirable âwhy buyâ(TM) characteristics" and the entire 4th point being a praise to Tesla.

    Jonas, in his investor note, said there were four reasons he expected another delay for Model X. One was that major launches are often delayed, although generally not for numerous times like Model X. The second was that few prototypes have been spotted on the road.

    Third, Tesla caused a little furor a few weeks ago, when it introduced an unexpected all-wheel drive version of the Model S, and Jonas thought the company might want to put more space between it and the Model X.Fourth, Model X is likely to be Teslaâ(TM)s most ad

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  13. Re:Why? by Thanshin · · Score: 2

    Because Elon Musk is a diety on /. He's slashdot's Jesus to Bill Gates' Satan.

    For me, he won't be a god until he succumbs to the pressure of a million puns and releases his own eau de parfum.

  14. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nah. Buy TSLA shares. They cost less than a date and in nine months you will have more money instead of more debts.

  15. Re:Why? by king+neckbeard · · Score: 2

    So, why don't the manufacturers of said vehicles include or at least have the option for bigger batteries? The Tesla isn't impractical like a half-kilo smartphone would be.

    --
    This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
  16. Re:Why? by Njovich · · Score: 1

    How about you go start your own website if you want to pick the articles. The slogan of slashdot is 'News for nerds, stuff that matters', not 'stuff that luthair likes' or 'software news'.

  17. This is a recurring bug they keep fighting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pre-launch checks revealed a leak in a helium valve.

  18. Re:Astroturfing by GM shills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good job son, you sure showed that strawman who's boss!

  19. Re:Why? by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

    Processors matter less and less, especially since we simply add cores to make them "faster". Ram matters, but less and less as things move towards "cloud" computing.

    And with my most used computer fitting in my pocket, along with a thing called "cell phone", which I use less and less, I see the world is completely different than it was just ten years ago. And in ten years time, we're going to be looking at the things we think are neat/groovy/radical/wicket awesome today as "quaint" (a keyboard .. how quaint)

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  20. Re:Still a niche company barred from your state? by Herschel+Cohen · · Score: 1

    Look how many supposed supporters of unbridled capitalism, opt to impose state rules making entry nearly impossible via compliant state legislative acts. Could, just by chance, your state allow sales only through dealerships? If so that might partially explain your not seeing them, I know it took a very long time before hybrids were common in this area.

    Also could the implicit antipathy be due to its association with belief that climate change is both real and mostly due to human sources?

  21. Re:Astroturfing by GM shills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like the pope, everything they say is implicitly true, because they said it.

    Even Catholics do not believe this.

  22. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because those who are putting out the 85-100 mile range cars are still selling out? That's my guess. Seriously, how many people honestly need the range of a Tesla and can afford Tesla prices? There are some who really do but I'm betting you most of the Tesla fanbase (especially those who don't actually even own a Tesla) are buying/wanting it with the same justifications in mind that these guys use who own a one ton pickup who've never hauled more than a case of beer in it.
     
    When it comes right down to it, not many consumers can honestly justify the Tesla. So the people at Nissan, et al, are going for the people who are willing to pay 30-50k for their EV instead of pricing it out of their reach. Nissan is breaking sales records every other month without having to have a 200+ mile range and their Leaf is still largely considered a first generation vehicle. The rumor mills show that they're branching out but they're not going to go in full tilt just for the hell of it. They've tested the waters and they see what does and doesn't work with their target clientele.
     
    I don't know what your driving habits are like but I'm guessing that a majority of auto owners don't really need 200+ miles of range at the ready. I've owned my current car (that is about the same size as the Leaf but isn't a 5 door) for nearly 8 years now. I can count on one hand the number of times I really would haven't made my destinations in a single day with a 100% charge in a Leaf. While I can understand this being a big consideration for people living in a one-car situation I just don't think that many people really need a larger range. For me I'd just rent a car. But for now I can't justify trading in a car I own free-and-clear for my new shiny. I give my car about another 2 years/40k miles until it really has outlived its useful life. At that point all indications are that Nissan (and I'm sure many more manufacturers) will have a 120+ mile range car on the market at roughly the same price point their current offerings are going for. All in all that's a really sweet spot for me since out of those 4 or 5 times I would have needed better range I can only think of one where I know I couldn't have pulled it off. Even at that I'm suspecting that within a couple of years the QC stations will be widely available and I may have been able to pull off the one trip I've done in the past 8 years that I couldn't do even in the Tesla P85 even with their QC stations.
     
    So in my case the Tesla is impractical as the car costs so much compared to the number of times I'd actually use the range. Not many people out there can justify spending more than twice as much for a car for a range that they'll hardly ever use.
     
    When you get beyond simply screaming "It's teh Teslaaaaa!!!!" as a justification for paying attention to it you'll understand that there is good reason that few people outside of the car/high tech community care about it at all.
     
    That is the one really refreshing thing about going to forums that deal with specific EVs and not general forums likes this; they don't care about pulling out their car out of their pants and making it an object of esteem, they leave the fly zipped and actually discuss their experience. These people are all in the same boat with the same problems and with stories to tell that really mean something to people who own or are planning to own an EV. It's not the drum beating fanboy nonsense you get from the would-be geek crowd. I've taken 10 times as much knowledge and insight from single threads in those forums than I've taken from all the banter that goes on here.

  23. Re:Why? by 91degrees · · Score: 1

    Because Slashdot has always been about what interests the editors.

  24. Re:Still a niche company barred from your state? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Could you pull out any more strawmen?
     
      Look how many supposed supporters of unbridled capitalism, opt to impose state rules making entry nearly impossible via compliant state legislative acts.
     
    Care to name some? I guess I should let you off the hook as you said "supposed" but you're really trying to do some serious jackassing here so I'm going to call you out on it.
     
      Could, just by chance, your state allow sales only through dealerships? If so that might partially explain your not seeing them, I know it took a very long time before hybrids were common in this area.
     
    When have any hybrids ever been stopped from sales because of state law? Cite it, if you will.
     
      Also could the implicit antipathy be due to its association with belief that climate change is both real and mostly due to human sources?
     
    Right, because everyone driving a Tesla is a treehugging hippie and everyone who doesn't see them is a raving shill for BIG OIL!!!!
     
    [sarc]
    Wow! You're right! I see tons of Teslas at the local vegan cafe and none at the honkytonks. What an odd coincidence.
    [sarc]

  25. Re:Still a niche company barred from your state? by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

    There are no such state rules here, but also no Tesla showrooms. In fact, in the entire southeastern U.S. there are only two Tesla showrooms, one in Atlanta and one in Nashville. Hell, I live in a city that's hours away from even the nearest charging station. And that's not a town, mind you, it's a major CITY.

    So I would have to drive over 3 hours in my regular car to even see a Tesla in person. Then I would have to spend at least $70,000 for the cheapest model. And I would only be able to charge it at home and could never travel beyond beyond 130 miles from my home in it (unless I wanted to have it towed back). Realistically, how many people are going to buy a car like that? A handful of people wanting a status symbol maybe.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  26. Re:Why? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    I know my processor's model number and clock speeds and I don't even care about it any more, nor about my RAM. All I want is a lot of both, and that's cheap as heck now. I'm not even overclocking anything any more. It's all fast, and I paid rock-bottom dollar for all of it and most of it is old.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  27. By that logic then oceans also don't exist. by Brannon · · Score: 1

    Objects can exist even if they aren't in your direct view, it's called object permanence.

    Every company that has ever dramatically changed an industry was at one point a niche company--and I'm sure in each of those cases some jackass from a red state went out of his way to point that out.

    1. Re:By that logic then oceans also don't exist. by NotDrWho · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I'm aware they exist, jackass. My point is that they're still a niche product. Now, maybe that will change someday. But until I can see more electric cars in the wild than Windows Phones, it's still a niche market.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    2. Re:By that logic then oceans also don't exist. by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      Oh, please, next you'll tell us that Apple opened a new facility in the Ballard neighborhood of Seattle ....

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    3. Re:By that logic then oceans also don't exist. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here in Seattle, I see more electric cars than Windows Phones. Volts, Leafs, and yes Teslas. This is actually saying quite a bit, since a lot of my friends work at MS. Several of my co-workers have electric cars. Tesla has replaced the Porsche as the "status car" in my office garage, and the garage has installed a row of chargers right by the entrance.

    4. Re:By that logic then oceans also don't exist. by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Here in Seattle

      Yeah.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  28. I've never seen you--therefore you don't exist. by Brannon · · Score: 1

    This is fun.

  29. They've sold 50,000 of them so far by Brannon · · Score: 1, Insightful

    At an average price of >$80K, that's >$4B dollars

    At one point everything you are saying was true of gasoline automobiles. There are lots of places in the country which have a good supercharger & showroom infrastructure now, and more chargers & showrooms are showing up every month. You can drive cross-country in a Tesla right now. Obviously they are focusing on the parts of the country where people have a lot of money and don't have an irrational hatred of anything new or different--so it will be a bit of a wait for you.

    If change is so unsettling for you then why do you cruise technology sites? maybe just go sit in your Ford F150 and listen to AM radio?

    1. Re:They've sold 50,000 of them so far by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Change is just fine with me. My point is that a $70,000 car that can only go about 250 miles on a charge is still a niche product. There is nothing irrational about the vast majority of the country looking at that and deciding to stick with their un-hip combustion engine cars.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
  30. Make it perfect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One thing that I was not impressed with is the access to the third row of seating. Even Elon Musk hinted his displeasure at a conference by saying he is tweaking the look and style of the back seat. One idea was to have the last row of seating optional when ordering because the area would be hard to access. I hope the door area is a little wider than in the prototype.

  31. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    they are a "tech" company because they use words like alpha and beta. otherwise they are just a fleshlight maker

  32. Re:Why? by tlhIngan · · Score: 2

    So, why don't the manufacturers of said vehicles include or at least have the option for bigger batteries? The Tesla isn't impractical like a half-kilo smartphone would be.

    The Tesla comes with the option of a bigger battery - at first you could buy a 40kWh battery, a 65kWh battery and a 85kWh battery. (Though to simplify the BOM, the 40kWh model was really a 65kWh downrated in software). So you have the option to buy a bigger battery.

    Or due to the strangeness in which things work, get the "D" variant and get more distance with the same battery (yes, running two motors is more efficient than one).

    Heck, Tesla even has battery change stations for quick boosts - you pay a small fee for a pre-charged battery and the battery gets swapped. (You are basically renting a battery though, so you have to return back to pick up your battery).

  33. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So is, presumably, Lamborghini, but you don't hear about every fart of Winkellman here.

  34. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nerds have at least one core expertise. Geeks lack the expertise they often pretend. Large amount of charlatans, posers, and those consumed more about self image, but not necessarily in a way that is sensible to "normal" people. Neither are known for style or hygiene.

  35. Re:Why? by radl33t · · Score: 1

    spoken by someone who clearly has no expertise in the field, aka slashdot where fucktards extend one irrelevant technical competency to all fields of science and engineering.

    also, it's not "like" your poor analogy either.

  36. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, you're bringing a lot to the table. If you can't come up with something better than name calling maybe you're the one who clearly has no expertise in the field.

  37. Re:Why? by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

    I meant that if the difference between a Leaf and a Tesla is that the size of the battery, why doesn't Nissan offer an 85kWh battery option or something similar?

    --
    This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
  38. So long as Tesla C launches in 2015 by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Because that's the car I'm buying.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  39. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You wouldnt know a geek if one bit you on the ass

  40. No, X is not the highly anticipated model. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

    What was the 40k low end model?model E? That is the highly anticipated model. This one is a plaything for people with too much money.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:No, X is not the highly anticipated model. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "People with too much money" has never been used to mean anything other than "people with more money than me".

  41. Re:Astroturfing by GM shills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  42. You should all dump your Tesla stock, obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You should all tell all your friends Tesla is doomed and you should sell all your stock immediately for whatever you can get for it.*

    People want electric cars, but they can't afford the up-front costs.

    *Because that will help me get very very rich, and that's the only reason the world exists, is for my benefit.

  43. Re:Why? by Teancum · · Score: 1

    Seriously, how many people honestly need the range of a Tesla and can afford Tesla prices?

    At the moment, Tesla is selling more cars than it can produce. I don't think they are hurting for finding people who can afford their prices right now.

    Perhaps when Tesla gets to 500k vehicles produced on an annual basis your complaints about cost and ordinary people not caring will actually resonate and mean something. In the meantime, they don't even have a marketing budget other than to run their company website and work with journalists who make an earnest inquiry about the company.

    I'll also note that yesterday I made a trip that I couldn't have made with a Leaf, and sadly it is pretty regular as well. A few hundred mile range is pretty much something needed if you live in the western USA.

    It also sounds like you don't get the business model that Tesla is using to sell their vehicles when you go about complaining that there isn't an "affordable" car they are producing.

  44. Re:Why? by Teancum · · Score: 1

    why doesn't Nissan offer an 85kWh battery option or something similar?

    It isn't nearly as trivial as you seem to make it here. Tesla did the hard part by designing their cars to accommodate the higher capacity storage battery systems as well as spent considerable engineering effort to get a battery pack that size which could also meet U.S. Department of Transportation requirements to be a standard part in an automobile. Nissan hasn't put in that kind of effort. It isn't like you are strapping extra batteries on the roof of your car with duct tape and bailing twine, but rather making it something safe that can be driven on a daily basis in a large variety of conditions.

    The other problem is that Tesla presumed they could get the Li-ion cells needed for all of the automobiles that they were producing, and Nissan wasn't quite so sure. As it turned out, Nissan was mostly correct as the global battery cell market wasn't ready for that kind of major application. Tesla has instead needed to build their "Gigafactory" for producing the batteries instead, which has required a major pile of capital that an automaker typically doesn't want to bother with unless absolutely necessary. Tesla is going to be bringing these battery backs to their assembly plant in California by the trainload.

    Give it time though. Eventually other automobile companies are going to catch up to Nissan and Tesla.

  45. Re:Astroturfing by GM shills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If that's the best example of someone "getting sensitive" about Tesla that you could find*, then you've made my point for me.

    *It is.

  46. Re:Why? by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

    Autism saves the day, yet again. Or were you trying to illustrate exactly the difference he was attempting to point out?

  47. Re:Astroturfing by GM shills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's not the best but it sure was the most convenient.

    Want me to find another example? Maybe one from the time Tesla said there's nothing wrong with their systems within, like, hours of that house fire that they did a totally unrelated recall for? Or the time they said there's nothing wrong with their cars after that highway fire, after which they did their totally unrelated raise-the-car's-suspension-while-it's-driving thing?

    Goddamn Tesla fans. It always reads like they're working to get Elon Musk's approval even though Mr. Musky doesn't read their comments and even if he didn't wouldn't give them the time of day because he's a trophy-wife-marrying alpha-male industrialist.

  48. The Model S is a high-end luxury sedan. by Brannon · · Score: 1

    It competes against $70K+ cars from Mercedes and BMW, and it's doing very well in that segment. Sure, that's a niche market.

    Tesla has plans to work their way down into more volume markets. Lots of automotive technology started out initially in luxury segments (because those segments can tolerate high capital costs associated with new technology) and then trickled down to the volume markets as the technology matured (air conditioning, automatic transmissions, fuel-injection, etc.). Tesla is following that curve and all indications are pretty good--that's what people are excited about.

  49. Re:Astroturfing by GM shills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Those other examples don't exist, because you're lying about what was actually said.

    And I'm not a Tesla fan, nor have I said anything to suggest that I am. That's something else that you made up so that you could pretend you were winning an argument. But you will never manage to do so.

  50. Re:Why? by TWX · · Score: 1

    No, you describe Dorks. They're the me-tooers, the AOLers of the bunch. They have all of the negatives without the technical acumen.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  51. Re:Why? by Luthair · · Score: 1

    This could reasonably apply to any major car manufacturer going back a decade.

  52. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Kinda sucks doesn't it? Not seeing that 18-24 month huge jump in performance we used to see?

  53. Re:Why? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Kinda sucks doesn't it? Not seeing that 18-24 month huge jump in performance we used to see?

    What sucked was having to buy a new CPU and motherboard (and maybe RAM) every year to keep up with new games.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"