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The Gap Between What The Public Thinks And What Scientists Know

First time accepted submitter burtosis writes Despite similar views about the overall place of science in America, the general public and scientists often see science-related issues through a different lens, according to a new pair of surveys by the Pew Research Center in collaboration with the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). From FiveThirtyEight: "The surveys found broad support for government to spend money on science, but that doesn't mean the public supports the conclusions that scientists draw. The biggest gap between scientists and the public came on issues that may elicit fear: the safety of genetically modified (or GMO) foods (37 percent of the public said GMOs were safe, compared to 88 percent of scientists) and the use of pesticides in agriculture (28 percent of the public said foods grown with pesticides were safe to eat, versus 68 percent of scientists). There was also disagreement over the cause of climate change (50 percent of the public said it is mostly due to human activity, compared to 87 percent of scientists). Here’s a full list, via Pew Research Center, of the scientific issues the survey asked about."

69 of 514 comments (clear)

  1. More ambiguous cruft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    "Scientist" is a woefully ambiguous term. As I scientist, I think GMO food is perfectly safe. I am a nuclear scientist and know little about the GMO process, but that doesn't matter. My opinion does.

    1. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I am a Chemical and Biological Engineer and overall I think that GMO food is safe. I would also like us to use more nuclear power. My views on nuclear power are less informed than my knowledge of GMO is. However, my views on nuclear power are still FAR more informed than the average person.

      I think that is where the major difference comes in.

      Many normal people don't research anything and have very strong opinions. Most scientists and engineers I know do tend to do research before holding a viewpoint.

      Most scientists and engineers I know also find other scientists and engineers they trust in other fields and will accept the more qualified persons viewpoint if it seems reasonable. Most mechanical engineers trust my viewpoint more on chemical and biological stuff and I trust theirs more on aerodynamics.

      It makes sense to listen to more qualified people.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    2. Re:More ambiguous cruft by johanw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It may be safe to eat, but there are other issues with GMO food than that. Setting loose genes in the environment for other organisms to pick up for example. Or patent issues with companies like Monsanto. Those are much less decided by science.

    3. Re:More ambiguous cruft by muridae · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As a Computer Science major, I worry more about the patenting of plants; the copyright of the genetic structure; the terms of licenses imposed by the giant GMO firms; the common use of sterile plants to prevent that "IP" from escaping the farms. They may be safe to eat, but "safe" to me means we won't intentionally repeat the potato famine.

    4. Re:More ambiguous cruft by umafuckit · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly. Furthermore, there are many ways something can be "genetically modified." e.g. You can modify a tomato to downregulate expression of an existing protein to make the fruit bruise less. You can also modify a planet to secrete insecticide. I'm certain that the former is safe but I'd reserve judgement on the latter depending on what the insecticide was. Furthermore, what if the insecticide is safe for me but it kills bees? GMO is too broad an issue for blanket statements.

    5. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Sterile plants are almost never used.

      Monsanto developed that system and last I checked they had NEVER used it for any regular seeds. It was only used in test fields to prevent genes escaping into the wild during testing.

      My view on gene patenting is that any natural gene should not be patent able but the process for insertion should be. However, for any custom developed gene that should be patent able.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    6. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This I agree 100% with.

      This is why I can't support the GMO labeling laws I keep seeing. So many just want to label something as GMO which is just based on fear and does not lead to any understanding.

      For ALL kinds of food (organic, gmo, etc) I want to know exactly what is in the food. I want to know the DNA sequence so I can search it or write an app to test it against things i don't want. That is true for GMO and Organic foods. Remember that pink grapefruit was a random mutation. There was no guarantee it would be safe. Same with organic certified chemical mutagens used on organic foods.

      I want all food help to the same high standard. Not this fear based approach that thinks that GMO is different.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    7. Re:More ambiguous cruft by tburkhol · · Score: 2

      It may be safe to eat, but there are other issues with GMO food than that. Setting loose genes in the environment for other organisms to pick up for example.

      No one has genomic techniques to successfully create a protein from whole cloth. All GMO techniques involve transferring an existing gene into a species that lacks that gene. eg, "Roundup ready" crops contain an Agrobacterium enzyme to supplement their own EPSPS (enolpyruvylshikimate-phosphate synthase). So if your concern is just that these genes are "in the environment," then they already were.

      Their commercial use greatly increases the quantity of those genes in the environment, in the same way that commercial farming has greatly increased the number of cows and corn plants. And it's distinctly easier to transfer genes laterally among closely related species (say, wheat and grass) than less related species (say, bacteria and grass), although one of the attractive features of agrobacteria is that they have long been know to mediate lateral gene transfer (ie, tumor formation) into plants. A farmer purposefully planting and cultivating 1000 acres of any single species gives that species a massive advantage over any species dependent solely on birds and bees for propagation.

      Modern, monoculture agriculture methods make us more susceptible to a potato-famine like event, regardless of whether the monoculture has been engineered or not.

    8. Re:More ambiguous cruft by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I am an engineer with chemical and biological background. I've seen more than I want to in commercialized conclusions by PhD scientists that were really just hired guns, corporate and academic. In some cases they got unhired because I proved things otherwise and showed long stretches of repeated, highly biased results.

      I think paycheck corruption in science today is even worse, like with the CAGW promoters.

    9. Re:More ambiguous cruft by GrumpySteen · · Score: 4, Interesting

      No one has genomic techniques to successfully create a protein from whole cloth.

      That used to be true, but science marches on...

      http://www.princeton.edu/main/...

    10. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Dan+East · · Score: 4, Funny

      I am a computer scientist, and I'd like to make a game about a nuclear reactor that melts down and makes GMO food come alive and attack humanity, which I'd sell in the App Store.

      --
      Better known as 318230.
    11. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Karmashock · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The only issue there is that if pollen blows into my field, I don't think it is reasonable that I have to pay you a licensing fee.

      Take for example a bull that breaks through a fence and breeds with some of my cattle. Do I have to pay a breeding fee for you bull's "service" to my herd? No.

      And the thing is that Monsanto has done that in the past. What is more, they'll have funny genes that will not only not fertilize my crops but will literally make them sterile. There are terminator genes that won't breed true. And so that bull that hopped the fence not only bred with my cattle but effectively implanted defective genetic material that will miscarry.

      In regards to corn specifically, the GMO corn should probably not produce pollen. Or if it does, that pollen has to not screw up non-GMO corn and has to not incur any fee to Monsanto etc.

      If a farmer is just trying to grow his crops and wants nothing to do with the whole thing, these GMO crops often make that very difficult. If the GMO crops don't spread their DNA to non-GMO crops then they're fine. I really don't have a problem with GMO in theory. The issue is that in practice it tends to have a lot of problems that are not okay.

      --
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    12. Re:More ambiguous cruft by apcullen · · Score: 2

      overall I think that GMO food is safe.

      So you, and other scientists, don't "know", as TFA suggests. I'm not trying to troll, but a majority of scientists having the same general feeling on the topic doesn't ammount to settled science. Relativity is settled science -- it, or at least major aspects of it, can and have been proven. The same cannot be said for some of the topics cited.

      To be fair, TFA actually refers to an "opinion gap" rather than referring to "what scientists know".

    13. Re:More ambiguous cruft by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Monsanto developed that system and last I checked they had NEVER used it for any regular seeds. It was only used in test fields to prevent genes escaping into the wild during testing.

      That's correct. I'd like to know who first got the public all excited about the terminator gene. It's obviously a self-regulating problem; if the terminator gene somehow crosses over into another population, those plants don't breed and they don't carry the gene forward. We should have demanded the terminator gene be emplaced in every GMO organism, and yes, without exception. Instead, someone convinced the people that this gene was a threat to life on earth, even though elementary school biology shows otherwise. Use of the terminator gene would have prevented virtually all corn worldwide from being contaminated with Monsanto's IP.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    14. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is poison in everything you eat. The skins of potatoes are naturally poisonous, the seeds on strawberries are naturally poisonous. However, the health benefits in these items outweigh the damage the poison does. Like everything how a poison impacts you depends on the dosage.

      Lots of poisons are safe for humans at the levels we ingest them. There is no way you could eat any food without dealing with some level of poison.

      The rat study you mentioned has LONG since been discredited and not been replicable by other experts in the field. The scientist that did the work is largely considered to be a fraud in the field and at this point articles published under his name are no longer accepted by reputable journals and he has resorted to destroying students reputations in the field instead by getting them to submit his articles under their names.

      The paper in question was retracted http://www.scientificamerican.... and is widely considered to be fraudulent.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    15. Re:More ambiguous cruft by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 5, Informative

      The only issue there is that if pollen blows into my field, I don't think it is reasonable that I have to pay you a licensing fee.

      Take for example a bull that breaks through a fence and breeds with some of my cattle. Do I have to pay a breeding fee for you bull's "service" to my herd? No.

      And the thing is that Monsanto has done that in the past...

      I believe you've been misled. If you can cite and example that'd be great. The one that got me up in arms was back when Percy Schmeiser lost in court against Monsanto for exactly this. His case was famous at the time, until I brought it up with my family that actually are farming. He's basically the only case I'm aware of where the claim of cross pollination led to a lawsuit by Monsanto. The truth though, is that Percy collected his own seed from his crop normally. Then, his neighbour planted round-up ready Canola beside his own field. Contrary to the story that you and I are told by the GMO fear mongers, his field was NOT accidentally contaminated. Percy actually went along the edge of his field that was shared with his neighbour, and sprayed the entire strip with round up, killing everything he planted but keeping enough of seeds that made it to the edge of his field from his neighbour's. Percy then collected the surviving plants to plant as seed. He deliberately and purposely set out to acquire the GMO seed and went to extreme lengths to do so.

    16. Re:More ambiguous cruft by ranton · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Your average person has well-founded and valid opinions on what they know.

      I rarely find that to be true. Average people tend to have highly biased and largely un-researched opinions even within their area of expertise. My father is a farmer, but knows very little about GMOs. He does have very strong opinions in favor of GMOs but if you investigate you quickly find there isn't much basis for those opinions other than it saves him money (you would get a blank stare if you said the term bio-diversity for instance). I had a brother in law who was an auto-mechanic although he still wasn't a very good source of information when choosing a vehicle. Far too many personal biases.

      It is very rare for people to thoroughly research almost anything. I remember people saying how things like home ownership, marriage, and parenting are things you simply cannot properly prepare for until you experience it. Although I have done all three and it really was possible to research and plan for all three well enough that there were no surprises. Although my daughter isn't even one year old yet, so I still have plenty of time to be wrong about that one.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    17. Re:More ambiguous cruft by johnlcallaway · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Have you ever spoken to farmers?? The half dozen farmers I've talked with all say the same thing (I grew up in a small, rural community), most of them were older than 60 and had been farmers for decades. They don't have the time, money, or resources to collect, process, and store seeds, they always buy them. These guys LOVE GMO crops because of the increased yields and predictability.

      It may be an extremely small sample and anecdotal, but it makes a lot of sense. I recall having small gardens growing up, and we always bought seeds every year. Plus, farmers want consistent crops every year and better yields if they can, they don't want some wild child of something they started growing 10 years ago when Monsanto has created a new product that makes more money for them.

      I would think a sterile plant would be a good thing for modern farmers, who want's corn stalks popping up in a soy bean field. Farmers rotate their crops, I used to remember scenes like this growing up. I don't see them as often now.

      --
      I rarely read replies, it's my opinion and if you thought about your opinion a little more, I'm OK with that.
    18. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Karmashock · · Score: 2

      So long as we agree that contamination and claiming ownership of fields due to contamination is unacceptable, I will consider we are in agreement.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    19. Re:More ambiguous cruft by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There is no health benefit to taking a perfectly useful plant and adding more poisons to it.

      There could be, if the poison displaces a chemical pesticide that is more harmful. Bt corn is an example.

      We already grow more than enough food.

      Then higher productivity can allow us to grow the same food on fewer acres, leaving more fallow land for wildlife.

    20. Re:More ambiguous cruft by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 4, Informative

      I can second you anecdotes with my own. Having grown up on farms I've had the exact same experience. I went off to university when Monsanto was just rolling out round-up ready Canola. I got pretty worked up over their patent policies and was eager to reminisce with all the guys back home who where farming. Turns out universally they were all more than happy to buy Monsanto's seeds as it just made them far more money than other approach. More over, as pointed up thread, the only ones Monstanto was suing were guys trying to use Monsanto's seed for free, and the guys willing to buy the seed had no sympathy.

    21. Re:More ambiguous cruft by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 3, Informative

      Why did the courts believe that those seeds were not his? They were on his property. If those seeds were not backed by a state issued monopoly (patent), there is no issue what seeds he wants to collect on HIS property.

      Which is a totally valid complaint. The courts and legal system disagree and belief that patents should be allowed in this case though.

      The point I was drawing was that Percy didn't accidentally start planting the patented seeds, he deliberately and intentionally set out to get his hands on the patented seed instead of his own that he'd been growing before. It was NOT, as has been falsely portrayed, a suit against some poor guy that tried to replant his own seed that got contaminated against his wishes.

    22. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Have you ever spoken to farmers?? The half dozen farmers I've talked with all say the same thing (I grew up in a small, rural community), most of them were older than 60 and had been farmers for decades. They don't have the time, money, or resources to collect, process, and store seeds, they always buy them. These guys LOVE GMO crops because of the increased yields and predictability.

      This stuff is great, until we find out we are cultivating super-weeds. Google "Roundup Ready resistance". Eventually, we'll have to find a different chemical to control weeds. Then another. Then another.

      Complete side note, but organic farmers have started using water jets to get rid of weeds. Even more they have been adding things like corn gluten to the pressure weeders to fertilize at the same time as they cut. The gluten helps kill the weeds too.

      The downside is that it's at least a two person job. Someone has to drive while another aims and shoots. No known resistance has been developed to a high pressure water jet.

      Disclaimer: I am not anti GMO. I am however, concerned about pesticide resistance, and the concept of engineering plants to allow us to use more pesticides, which is a fine way to accelerate resistance. I also eat organic as much as possible because I think it tastes better - but harbor no delusions of us feeding the world that way.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    23. Re:More ambiguous cruft by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

      There is no health benefit to taking a perfectly useful plant and adding more poisons to it. It doesn't matter if it's what occurs in the planet naturally or some other product that someone wants to sell to your local farmer (Roundup).

      We already grow more than enough food. We have been letting food rot in order to prop up commodities prices since before you were born.

      Wrong. Take our most basic food we consume, water. Standard practice is to load it with a poison, chlorine, to kill the bacteria like E Coli in it for the benefit of not getting sick from the water.

    24. Re:More ambiguous cruft by bws111 · · Score: 2

      So, we shouldn't use glyphosphate because plants could become resistant and then we can't use glyphosphate? That doesn't make much sense.

    25. Re:More ambiguous cruft by ultranova · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'd like to know who first got the public all excited about the terminator gene. It's obviously a self-regulating problem; if the terminator gene somehow crosses over into another population, those plants don't breed and they don't carry the gene forward.

      Scenario: terminatored corn is widely succesful and replaces regular corn. Something bad happens to stop Monsanto from delivering more seends. What will the farmers plant? They can't use seeds from terminatored corn since they're infertile, and they can't plant regular corn seeds since they no longer have any. Mass starvation follows.

      Planned obsolescence in vital systems is a really bad idea.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    26. Re:More ambiguous cruft by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 2

      The more we learn the harder the science gets. Mostly we end up working on harder and harder problems and many things we are doing today is at the very edges of what we can do. We are at the point where we are designing systems based on atomic arrangements. We can even change the types of bonds being formed not just the atomic arrangements.

      No amount of testing with ever catching everything and realistically during the development of new technology we are probably going to kill a lot of people. However, at the same time we have developed drugs to regenerate your white blood cells after chemotherapy. The lethality rates of many cancers went from 90% to 5% since most of the deaths where from infections. We have saved a HUGE number of people with that one. Right now there is work being done to target the actual mutations that cause cancer and destroy the cells that have them. We even have drugs that work for that we just can't manufacture them at scale.

      It is hard to explain how brutally difficult modern manufacturing is. Imagine having to assembly a few thousand atoms in EXACTLY the right order. If you get one bond wrong the result can be lethal. Even worse these arrangements like to spontaneously hook together and those combinations are almost always lethal. If you have those combinations at greater than .001% that usually means the patient dies. Oh and you need to make on the order of 10^23 of those arrangements for a patient.

      We are going to screw this up. There is no doubt about it but we also know that if we stop trying then even more people die.

      --
      Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
    27. Re:More ambiguous cruft by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

      Your bias is showing. There is nothing legally, morally or ethically wrong with "deliberately and intentionally" culling seeds from your own land and selectively breeding them. You are trying to make it look like doing what he did was wrong. It was not. It is only legally wrong if you're too poor to afford justice.

      Which is why I began my post stating that is a totally valid complaint.

      The claim up thread was that a farmer just trying to use seed he grew himself was suddenly attacked in court because his field had been contaminated. I was pointing out that the only case I'm aware of even resembling that, was very different. I merely observed that the farmer being sued, very intentionally and deliberately sought to collect seed exclusively and only from the contaminated plants and no other.

      I must also point out your wording, which suggests the 'culling' was quite normally. That's simply flat out wrong and ignorant. Take a crop of non-GMO canola and spray it with round-up, and you end up with zero plants surviving. It's the same result, 10 times out of 10. The sole and only purpose of Percy spraying his field, other than to sabotage his own crop, was to attempt to harvest contaminated seed.

      Whether that should be legal or not is separate. I don't think I'm a monster to say I can see both sides. The money required to research and develop such a seed is large, and so there is advantage to society in being able to recouperate that cost to encourage someone to actually bother doing it. On the flip side, I'm a software guy and patents are ridiculously abused already and cutting them way back is my default mode,

  2. Blame politics by kruach+aum · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's because the general public get most (all) of their information about science from sources that have a particular goal in mind when it comes to how that information should be interpreted. First a fear is created, because fear sells, and then they offer a politics based (rather than facts based) answer, because relief also sells.

    Further, people won't listen to scientists, but they will listen to news anchors and politicians, because fiction is far easier to understand than facts.

    1. Re:Blame politics by sumdumass · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It doesn't help when scientists pushing the fear also push the politics.

      Also, its not fiction that is easier to understand. Its how it does or does not impact your daily life directly or indirectly enough for the near future. That is what politicians and news anchors do.

    2. Re:Blame politics by swb · · Score: 2

      A lot of science involves highly technical information. A bit of nutrition science about weight loss might actually involve biochemistry that is complex to understand for biochemists, let alone someone not holding an advanced degree in biochemistry.

      The "general public" can't possibly be expected to actually understand or evaluate the study's findings or methodology let alone the implications of the findings, which may actually raise more questions than they answer, especially if they contradict or raise questions about previous findings. There's a reason it's called "peer review" -- because it takes people with equivalent knowledge and skills to actually validate the findings, otherwise the guy that writes movie reviews could review them.

      And it's not like scientists themselves aren't above wrong interpretations or exaggerating even legitimate findings or pushing the science to find results to advance their own agendas. Read Gary Taubes' "Science" article about the research associated with dietary salt to get an idea (http://garytaubes.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/science-political-science-of-salt.pdf).

    3. Re:Blame politics by dinfinity · · Score: 2

      A lot of science involves highly technical information. A bit of nutrition science about weight loss might actually involve biochemistry that is complex to understand for biochemists, let alone someone not holding an advanced degree in biochemistry.

      That is such bullshit.

      Some scientific matters are complex, but so are a lot of economical and political issues. The difference is that in the latter types, knowledge on the subject is valued: people look up to you at parties if you (seem to) be knowledgeable on the subject. Knowledge on the harder sciences is still 'nerd knowledge', i.e.: it won't get you any pussy ;-)

      The result of this stance towards the different types of knowledge is that scientific matters are brought as coming from a weird outside group: it is 'their science', but 'our economics' and 'our politics'. This leads to the terrible unnecessary 'need' to explain scientific matters as if explaining something to a five year old, a foreigner or an alien. Slowly, with small words and with lots of colorful pictures.

      It also doesn't help that most 'journalists' majored in things as far away from anything science as they could find.

  3. Re:Are GMOs safe by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Do you mean Bacillus thuringiensis toxin?

    You mean the toxin that is classified as organic and can and is sprayed on plants as an organic pesticide?

    You know the one where the only way to harm a human with it is to inhale it as a powder and in that form it causes the same damage as inhaling almost any other powder. Even inhaling sugar as a powder is bad for you.

    That toxin is COMPLETELY inert inside humans. However insects and some fish can cleave the protein and can then be killed by the toxin.

    The organic version is sprayed on plants, washes off and damages local aquatic life. The GMO version does not wash off and has no impact on local aquatic life. The GMO version also concentrates in the parts of the plant we don't eat.

    The organic way of using BT toxin is worse in ALL WAYS than the GMO version.

    --
    Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
  4. The public thinks? by jfbilodeau · · Score: 2

    That's news to me. I didn't think the public could think :P

    --
    Goodbye Slashdot. You've changed.
    1. Re:The public thinks? by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's news to me. I didn't think the public could think :P

      Pro tip: you're a member of the public.

  5. Are GMOs safe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You are kidding, right? Yes they have been tested.

    http://archive.randi.org/site/index.php/swift-blog/2225-no-health-concerns-for-gmo.html

  6. Re:The Public - who cares? by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Who cares what the fucking public think? They're the worthless sheep that keep us locked in a pathetic 2-party system,

    When talking about the public, you should use the pronoun "we", not "they".

  7. how many times have scientists been wrong? by alen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In the past after some drug or chemical had been around for thirty some years and it took that long to gather data. And meanwhile a lot of people died painfully diseased deaths

    1. Re:how many times have scientists been wrong? by naasking · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I notice that you don't balance how many times scientists have been wrong against how many times they've been right. What do you suppose a scientist's wrong:right ratio is as compared to a non-scientist's?

  8. whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by raymorris · · Score: 4, Insightful

    >. Politicians push fear, and then lord their position and power over the people who they nominally serve.

    Which one should keep in mind when looking at science. Scientists being paid by a grant from Phillip Morris (tobacco) or All Gore tend to publish conclusions that are likely to get the grant renewed. A lot of people I work with are top experts
    in their field, whose jobs are dependant on a federal grant getting renewed. Guess how many of them published information that makes the grantor unhappy last year. Hint - it's a round number.

    1. Re:whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by itzly · · Score: 3, Informative

      Instead of adding it all up over the last couple of decades, it would be more fair to look at the yearly budget. The budget for climate change science was about $2 billion in 2010, and on average somewhat less than in the years before that. That doesn't sound like a whole lot for a potential game changer.

    2. Re:whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 5, Informative

      > A recent GAO report said that $106 BILLION was spent by the US government through 2010 on global warming research

      Im staring at the Forbes report at http://www.whitehouse.gov/site.... Note that a lot of that money is involved in "clean" energy projects which have dual or triple use: reducing pollution, improving arable land, water management, emergency planning for coastal areas, and switching from unsustainable fuel resources to sustainable, less greenhouse gas producing fuels.

      I'm also afraid you're comparing apples to oranges. Most of the federal budget is not "advertising" to compare to oil companies, it's a great deal of real work with multiple scientific. urban development, and economic uses. If you compare it to the amount of money oil companies spent on drilling for new oil or on research to expand their markets, you'd have a better scale.

    3. Re:whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by CaymanIslandCarpedie · · Score: 4, Informative

      That is true, but without understanding what the GAO report was covering it can be a bit misleading. Here is a bit of a graphic summary. http://www.gao.gov/key_issues/...

      First it is important to note the 106B was over like a 20 year period. It is also important to note, that 106B wasn't all for science (in fact only the minority of it was). That number was the full amount they could attribute towards any are of work on climate change. In the above link the break it down into science, technology, and international assistance. So this covers FAR more than what one would first think of if they were told 106B went to climate change research. Research into clean coal? That would be counted. Nuclear, that would be counted. Research into better batteries for electric cars, that is counted. Research in to solar/wind, that is counted.

      You can dig into the reports further to get a more detailed understanding. The point is simply saying climate change got 106B may sound like "oh my god climate researchers are getting rich!!!!". However, when you understand what the report really covers (long period of time and only a small portion goes to what you'd normally thing of as climate research) it does change the perspective a bit.

      --
      "reality has a well-known liberal bias" - Steven Colbert
    4. Re: whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I've read a lot of journal articles, and granted, they arne't Science or Nature since I don't have expertese in those fields, but more like IEEE transactions. In those journals, I'm always shocked as to the piss poor quality of the a lot of the articles. And honestly, some of the most interesting articles I've read weren't in top tier journals. They went against the mainstream and IEEE wouldn't touch them. If you think groupthink isn't a thing in science, you're massively naive.

    5. Re:whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by Cytotoxic · · Score: 2

      The point is simply saying climate change got 106B may sound like "oh my god climate researchers are getting rich!!!!". .

      The argument is not "OHM those climate researchers are getting rich!!!"

      The argument is "those evil, rich oil companies have so much more money to throw at creating biased research studies!" The counter argument the GP made was "the GAO says the US alone is spending many orders of magnitude more on climate change research".

    6. Re:whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by dywolf · · Score: 4, Informative
      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    7. Re:whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by dywolf · · Score: 2

      Even if true, which I highly doubt, it has absolutely zero relevance.

      Again, the notion that scientists are all corrupt bastages that simply deliver predetermined products is stupidity, which is about normal for you.

      http://arstechnica.com/science...

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    8. Re:whose payroll is the scientist on? It matters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      > The argument is "those evil, rich oil companies have so much more money to throw at creating biased research studies!"

      That is a subtle mis-statement. The argument is "those evil, rich oil companies have so much more incentive to create biased research studies."

      The most extreme interpretation of the GAO report says there has been an average of $5B/year of revenue aka incentive for 'global warming industry.' Compare that to the oil industry, which at current numbers (90m barrels per day @ $45/barrel, ignoring other forms of petroleum) has about $4B/day of revenue.

  9. Re:pesticides are expensive, so you buy resistant by jcupitt65 · · Score: 5, Informative

    That's not always correct. Roundup-ready crops sold by Monsanto (for example) are not resistant to pests, they are resistant to herbicides. They let you spray MORE, not less.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glyphosate

  10. Re:Science isn't based on opinions: Like HELL! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yes, but generally any scientist* trusts the scientific method and experimental evidence over other methods of coming to a conclusion. There are a few exceptions with biases (climate scientists paid to parrot big oil's talking points, for example), but generally scientists try to discover the truth, whether or not it conforms with their world beliefs.

    No.

    The book 'Big Fat Surprise" in its explanation of how the dietary guidelines of how a low fat diet isn't backed by good science, showed how the scientific process was derailed by egos of scientists, eminent people, scientific politics, and group think in the scientific community - as well as lots of money from the big food companies.

  11. Re:68 percent of scientists are idiots? by tburkhol · · Score: 3, Informative

    GMOs usually need far fewer pesticides sprayed on them, that is pretty much the point of them most of the time.

    This depends entirely on the modification. The two most popular GMOs are "roundup ready" and "Bt." Roundup-ready plants are resistant to glyphosate, which allows farmers to use higher amounts of the herbicide. "Bt" plants produce their own insecticide, which allows farmers to reduce their external application of such agents. As glyphosate resistance transfers to weed plants, biotech companies have begun developing resistance to other herbicides: the next step in the evolutionary arms race.

  12. Informed by whom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    You sez:

    I would also like us to use more nuclear power. My views on nuclear power are less informed than my knowledge of GMO is. However, my views on nuclear power are still FAR more informed than the average person

    Okay, as a person of Science, lemme try ask you, a fellow Scientist, the following ...

    1. How do you know your view is "FAR more informed than the average person"?

    2. You said you were "FAR more informed", so ...

    2a. Who was the one informed you?
    2b. And how do you know what you have been informed is correct?

    1. Re:Informed by whom? by nukenerd · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You sez:

      I would also like us to use more nuclear power. My views on nuclear power are less informed than my knowledge of GMO is. However, my views on nuclear power are still FAR more informed than the average person

      1. How do you know your view is "FAR more informed than the average person"?

      2. You said you were "FAR more informed", so ...

      2a. Who was the one informed you? 2b. And how do you know what you have been informed is correct?

      I don't know about the education system where the GP lived, but generally those becoming well educated and capable in a specialist subject tend to be better educated and more capable than average in other fields. I am a nuclear engineer but did not even specialise in it until my third job. So I would claim similarly to the GP that (1) I am much more informed on subjects outside nuclear engineering, both in science and the humanities, than the average person. That is simply because I had a liberal education to a significantly further level than the average person. Even to be accepted on my course to study engineering I had also to have studied (and passed the exams in) sciences other than maths and physics, foreign languages (plural), English to the same level as someone entering a university course in it, and certain other humanities subjects. (2a & b) At that time I was taught these other subjects at a good school, and that knowledge had been confirmed by what I have seen and heard ever since.

      Also a factor is the inherent tendency of scientists (in the broadest sense to include engineers) to find out about and question things, leading to more and more knowledge being acquired through life, knowledge which tends to be missed by the average person who is more likely to spend as much free time as possible being entertained.

  13. Common sense by Rashdot · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The reason why people don't trust GMO food for instance, is that it's sometimes impossible to undo mistakes that are made. Scientists tend to have tunnel vision and have made mistakes with global impact in the past. So I don't find this gap surprising at all. People are wary because they think scientists want to mess with the planet.

    --
    This is not the sig you're looking for.
    1. Re:Common sense by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      People are wary because they think scientists want to mess with the planet.

      Yeah, and they do literally want to "mess with the planet". All the time we have interviews where a scientist talks about how some technology with serious ramifications is "cool" because it will let us do X. Well, sure, but it's also chilling because it will also let us do Y and Z. By all means, show some enthusiasm, but temper it so that we know you're not just playing games with the planet. But on the gripping hand, the news media edits things for whatever slant they want, so maybe most of these people are actually doing that. Conclusion? Don't talk to the media. Just talk to youtube (or whatever, but let's be realistic) instead, so you can put your own bias on the information. The media is not your friend. Maybe they were once, but it was only because you shared a common enemy. Today, they work for that enemy.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  14. Re:More ambiguous cruft: hardly. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think paycheck corruption in science today is even worse, like with the CAGW promoters.

    IF that were true, then the climate scientists who know the "truth" would be able to get all the grants they want from the fossil fuel industry and "clean up" or least get a paycheck.

    See, if global warming were in fact a hoax or even over-blown, the oil, gas, and coal industries would be handing out grants like candy with their unlimited money. I wold expect to see the battles like the cigarette industry put up.

    But they are not. They only thing they have is press releases and propaganda - usually attacking AGW on political grounds (like increased taxes or some other nonsense.)

    Which tells me that there is nothing there scientifically for them.

    The evidence is conclusive: human caused global warming is fact.

  15. Re:Are GMOs safe by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    You mean the toxin that is classified as organic and can and is sprayed on plants as an organic pesticide?

    It's entirely possible to have organic cyanide, so that argument is irrelevant.

    You know the one where the only way to harm a human with it is to inhale it as a powder [...] That toxin is COMPLETELY inert inside humans

    Yeah, this specific fix ain't harmful to humans AFAWCT. But what it has done is lead to more resistant pests.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  16. Re:More ambiguous CULT by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Scientist" is a woefully ambiguous term. As I scientist, I think GMO food is perfectly safe. I am a nuclear scientist and know little about the GMO process, but that doesn't matter. My opinion does.

    Good point. The glaring assertion that the sanctity of scientific authority would carry forth across disciplines, and that those in different branches of science carry more weight than say --- a layman who has put effort to research a specific subject --- is dubious.

    One might even say this tabloid appeal to authority is religious... but I would not grace it like that. I have too much respect for my religious friends. I may not share their faith but I can easily see that they deliberately and carefully choose their sources of information (such as the Bible, ancient text and modern sermons) and consider the messenger with each message. They would not inherently revere a reverend with 'priest' rubber-stamped on the forehead any more than we should defer to the results of a poll whose categories are drawn from the presence or absence of a University degree in fields the pollsters considered to be 'sciency'.

    Whatever the criteria for being one, scientists are part of the demographic 'public' in the real world.

    There is also the fact that people who have read a fair amount in certain fields may understand the questions in a poll but because of their background they may have different perceptions as to the meaning. For example, when I saw the article "Americans Support Mandatory Labeling of Food That Contains DNA"... I did NOT spot it a mile off as a malicious trip-wire question to expose duh-idiots (which it apparently was). I recalled the recent scientific controversy over whether microRNA uptake in digestion might change gene expression in a harmful way, and whether any specific GMO food (by virtue of its narrow genetic origins) might, as an unintended consequence, be able to deliver such a payload. It was all over the news in the US a few years ago and the 'public' had every right to be concerned. Though the science is pretty well settled (see this excellent article) it turns out that the hysteria was fed partly by a failure of the scientific process, among other things. Years ago when the microRNA article was published it was refuted, too casually, even though its implications if true may be dire. Our DNA mechanisms are well-adapted to deal with these fragments and they are indeed very prevalent. This was never explained well enough to the public, who were thinking in terms of a new type of man-made 'contaminant' that had suddenly appeared in the food supply.

    It is the "4 out of 5 dentists surveyed recommend Trident Sugarless Gum for their patients who chew gum" phenomenon, where the fifth dentist's opinion does not fit the message and is not even revealed. Could the fifth dentist have known or glimpsed something that would have blown all the others away, convinced them or shamed them? (the survey was actually 1,700 dentists).

    If you show most anyone -- including 'scientists' --- a list of major Yellowstone eruptions over time and point out that it has been ~640,000 years since the last, and asked the question "Would you say that an eruption is overdue?" they will tend to say YES. They may even sense it is a trick question. But a geologist would shout "NO!!" and if another Geologist says yes, they would form a mob with pitchforks-mob and march to the door. Geologists are aware of the fuzziness of geologic time scales but above all, their too-casual answers have been used to dupe-scare people.

    These polls have been taken before. And the tendency is to perceive them as a sort of exposé of how stupid the 'public' is. But for a few of

    --
    <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
  17. Re:Blame the people by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

    Sometimes the debate is so politicized that even reputable sources get tainted. An example is one of the IPCC reports on climate change, where the summary (what most people and press would read) got changed for political reasons into an overly alarmist version that did not match the scientific data in the rest of the report. Quite a few contributors to that report objected to the change, and rightly so. Not because the report wasn't a cause for worry about our influence on the climate, but because such politics have no place in science. Besides, it gave opponents of the idea of AGW ammunition to dismiss the entire report, and call the integrity of the IPCC in question.

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  18. Re:Patenting genes by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 2

    I would say that scientist B is guilty of patent infringement and should probably be prosecuted for it but only if the therapy was for sale on the market at a reasonable price (based on cost to develop etc).

    However, any children that resulted from that patent would be completely free and clear in my view. They had no part in it. I would even extend that to other animals and plants so long as profit is not being made from the patent violation.

    If you violate the patent and create a plain strain that you then sell then I think that normal patent law would apply.

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    Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
  19. Re:Are GMOs safe by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 2

    That toxin was already sprayed on plants and is still being sprayed on plants. The GMO version has not changed the usage by much at all. What is HAS changed is the amount that runs off into the environment.

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    Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
  20. Re:More ambiguous cruft: hardly. by ideonexus · · Score: 5, Informative

    Exactly this.

    What's funny is that when Climate Change Skeptics, the Koch Brothers, funded their own study and planted an outspoken critic of climate change science as the director of the research, that skeptic ended up becoming a believer and published an Op-Ed in the NYT explaining how wrong he had been to not accept the science.

    But somehow people still find a way to rationalize it all away as just the invention of a bunch of wealthy limousine-riding scientists keeping down those poor, defenseless oil companies.

    --
    i ~ Celebrating Science, Cyberspace, Speculation
  21. Re:pesticides are expensive, so you buy resistant by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 2

    That's not always correct. Roundup-ready crops sold by Monsanto (for example) are not resistant to pests, they are resistant to herbicides. They let you spray MORE, not less.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glyphosate

    You've never farmed I take it? Round up is one of the least expensive, and also very safest to humans. You can drink it and be alright. If you make it a habit you likely increase your cancer risk. As a herbicide, it impacts plants, not animals. More over, if you spray it shortly before or after a rain there's a good chance even the plants won't be impacted to much because it breaks down so fast in water. Even without water after a day or two even plants aren't harmed by it anymore, that's how sage it is. Better still though, having your crop immune to it means that you only have to spray 1 chemical to wipe out all weeds, because round-up is a very effective general purpose herbicide wiping out most any plant it hits while it's active. That means instead of spraying expensive combinations of different herbicides to get weeds but not your own crop, round-up ready lets you use one chemical, and effectively too.

  22. Think? Know? by AndyCanfield · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I disagree with the headline here. The presumption is that the public merely thinks, but may be wrong, and scientists actually know facts.

    Everyone listens to those whom they respect. Some are taught to respect firebrand preachers; some believe any idiot with a PhD. Some look for truth in Biblical quotes, but can't read; others believe in scientific method, but couldn't explain scientific method if you gave them a cheat sheet.

    Example: Is the world flat or round? Well, people we respect say that it is round. But how many average citizens have a clue to the evidence?

  23. Re:Vital information lacking... by bws111 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sound thinking there. The GMO crops "raison d'etre" is to sell more weedkiller, eh? So farmers willingly buy this more expensive GMO crop JUST so they can buy more weedkiller? Yeah, that makes sense. Or maybe Monsanto is making this GMO crop JUST so it can sell more glyphosphate, which has no patent protection and is dirt cheap? Yeah, that makes sense. And of course, before GMO crops they weren't spraying pesticides everywhere, right? And those pesticides could never have affected insect populations, right? And, oh yeah, Monsanto destroyed every food crop except their own, right?

  24. Re:a scientific bridge by itzly · · Score: 2

    Complete faith in a single scientist is not required. It is clear that most people have a bias, but as long as these are diverse enough, errors due to these biases will correct themselves.

  25. Re:Patenting genes by Ambassador+Kosh · · Score: 2

    What I don't like is a company patenting something just to keep anyone from using it.

    I don't think it should be legal to buy a competing technology for instance and then license it so high or refuse to license it such that the technology is dead until the patent has expired. Too many technologies related to battery technology have been slowed down that way.

    What I would be looking for is a serious effort to sell the patented product and actual people paying for it. if it is determined that you don't hold the patent in good faith then it should be invalid. Remember a patent is something that society grants in exchange for what we get from the patent. At least in the USA a patent is not some kind of natural right.

    That should be true of all patents. Society gives up something so that a patent can exist. If the agreement is not held up it should be invalid and the invalid state is the information is generally available.

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    Computer modeling for biotech drug manufacturing is HARD! :)
  26. Re:Patenting genes by dryeo · · Score: 2

    Usually they force compulsory licensing rather then strike down the patent though I believe in the past patents have been basically nationalized and generally the threat is enough to lower patent fees.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C...

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    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  27. Arrogance by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 2

    Why should I hold your opinion on something outside your field of expertise in higher esteem just because you are an engineer? My neighbor down the street may be just as well read on the subject, but may be a mechanic, but you posit that your opinion is more valuable to society because you are a scientist/engineer? I would assume, you have empirical data to support that premise.

    I go to my doctor when I am sick. If I needed advice about nuclear engineering, I'd go to a nuclear engineer. Likewise, for other fields. But no matter how well read a nuclear engineer may be on various medical texts, I'm not going to rely on his unprofessional opinion, when I am sick. Likewise, outside one's field of expertise, our opinions are just as unprofessional as neighbor down the street and should carry as much weight.

    This is nothing new. 100 years ago, in small communities, the doctor or the preacher was the most learned person so the community deferred to them for all sorts of decisions. Often, their advice was wrong and led to all sorts of negative outcomes. Why? Because those doctors and preachers were learned, but they weren't often qualified in the areas they were being asked to advise on. Likewise today's scientists and engineers may be more learned than the population as a whole, but that doesn't make us any more qualified outside our fields than anybody else. To think otherwise is just arrogance.