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Next Texas Energy Boom: Solar

Layzej writes: The Wall Street Journal reports: "Solar power has gotten so cheap to produce—and so competitively priced in the electricity market—that it is taking hold even in a state that, unlike California, doesn't offer incentives to utilities to buy or build sun-powered generation." Falling cost is one factor driving investment. "Another reason for the boom: Texas recently wrapped up construction of $6.9 billion worth of new transmission lines, many connecting West Texas to the state's large cities. These massive power lines enabled Texas to become, by far, the largest U.S. wind producer. Solar developers plan to move electricity on the same lines, taking advantage of a lull in wind generation during the heat of the day when solar output is at its highest."

327 comments

  1. Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    So when the economics make sense, investments follow, without the need for governments to step in and choose winners and losers. Who'd have guessed?

    1. Re:Wow by sribe · · Score: 5, Informative

      So when the economics make sense, investments follow, without the need for governments to step in and choose winners and losers. Who'd have guessed?

      That's true. But it's ALSO true that government subsidies can accelerate the development of practical cost-effective technologies, by getting them scaled up earlier.

    2. Re:Wow by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And clearly the massive government investment in both R&D and incentives that let companies achieve economies of scale did nothing to create the current environment where, with the technology developed and economies of scale on hand, companies can make an unsubsidized profit even without subsidies - right? The two things are totally disconnected.

      --
      Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
    3. Re:Wow by jedidiah · · Score: 2

      Clearly you neglected the bit where previous alternative energy interests were directly pandered to. Without that, this new solar project would have no way to transmit it's power.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    4. Re:Wow by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

      Government subsidies are what keep petroleum 'competitive'. Where would we have been without them?

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    5. Re:Wow by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But it's ALSO true that government subsidies can accelerate the development of practical cost-effective technologies

      It's ALSO true that government subsidies can slow development by pushing inferior technologies into mass production before they are ready. Subsidies can occasionally be justified, but in the case of solar, the billions spent on subsidies would have been far better employed on R&D to find technology that made economic sense, rather than mass deployment of technology that did not.

    6. Re:Wow by PraiseBob · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Solyndra gets a lot of criticism, but it's important to note that the program as a whole made money for the public AND spurred energy growth. How is that not a win-win? There were dozens of companies involved, and a few of them didn't pan out, but it is unreasonable to expect a 100% success rate.

    7. Re:Wow by fbobraga · · Score: 1, Troll

      But it's ALSO true that government subsidies can accelerate the development of practical cost-effective technologies

      It's ALSO true that government subsidies can slow development by pushing inferior technologies into mass production before they are ready. Subsidies can occasionally be justified, but in the case of solar, the billions spent on subsidies would have been far better employed on R&D to find technology that made economic sense, rather than mass deployment of technology that did not.

      this is a risk that, in general, the free market does not take :-)

    8. Re:Wow by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

      First off, what magical world do you live in where every investment in a higher-risk financial product pays off? What I couldn't give if I could invest in the world you envision ;) The program as a whole already broke even after just three years in play. All of the outstanding loans are now just profit for the government.

      Is this the highest interest rate investment the government could have earned money with? Of course not. But that was never the point; it helped the companies that succeeded vastly scale up. While making money. And not only do they get the interest payments, but they also indirectly get the tax revenue from all of these much larger companies and all of the knock-on effects.

      --
      Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
    9. Re:Wow by ArhcAngel · · Score: 5, Informative

      BINGO! The West Texas plains were a boon to wind prospectors. Every energy company with any renewable aspirations bought/leased a patch of land and threw up a wind farm. Just one problem...nobody lives in West Texas. It's open range for hundreds of miles. The very conditions that made wind possible left a very real problem. All that electricity needed to get to Dallas but the power line to Dallas was at capacity. All those wind turbines producing electricity and nowhere to send it. Storage tech was prohibitively expensive (If electricity is selling for $0.09 kWh storing it at $0.10 kWh doesn't make financial sense.) so into the earth all that electricity went. So ERCOT set out to build more capacity around 2008. Those lines went live in 2013. Combine that with technology making CSP even cheaper and you've got the next gold rush on your hands.

      Full disclosure, I work for Nextera Energy. Parent company of Lone Star Transmission who operates a stretch of those transmission lines.

      --
      "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K
    10. Re:Wow by avandesande · · Score: 3, Informative

      And this helped by funding chinese solar manufacturers.... how?

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    11. Re:Wow by PvtVoid · · Score: 5, Insightful

      governments to step in and choose winners and losers

      I get so fucking tired of this "picking winners and losers" bullshit. Venture capitalists do this all the time. Do you think the people who do analysis for the Department of Energy are bunch of drooling morons? Backing technology development that is in the public interest is exactly what governments are for. Just like venture capital, some of it is going to pan out and some of it isn't.

    12. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or, government subsidies can stifle the competition that drives the motivation to improve a product.

    13. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Yeah because there are no federal subsidies for solar.

    14. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yeah because someone investing their own money is the same as a congressman earmarking for donors.

    15. Re:Wow by mspohr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, because there are no subsidies for fossil fuels.... oh, wait... about $5 trillion a year.
      http://www.theguardian.com/env...

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    16. Re:Wow by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      How about if you graph the grants in solar power given by government and plot it alongside the rate of increase (pick your measure). You might find out, to your chagrin, that the graph does not back your claim.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    17. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      5 trillion/ year that's not bad for a federal budget of 3.8trillion/year.

    18. Re:Wow by Moof123 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Where the model broke down is that we let them fail. We are supposed to keep sending them orders for stuff and park the products in the Mojave desert. It works for the defense industry, but the government screwed up and actually let Solyndra die rather than converting it into a perpetual contractor like so many defense companies.

    19. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The economics may not have made sense if it wasn't for the government stimulating the solar market and artificially increase demand in the first place. If pollution was properly taxed to reflect damage incurred, solar would have been economical a long time ago.

    20. Re:Wow by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      I've tried that argument and the usual response is that if private individuals were allowed to keep the money they could have made even higher profits than the government, and also tax is just theft etc. All incredibly short sighted complaints.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    21. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Believe it or not, the USA is not the only country in the world.

    22. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your premise that we should only do something when the economics make sense is your problem.

    23. Re: Wow by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      Do you understand risk? At all? If you play Russian roulette with 5 out of 6 chambers full, and if you love you get $100... And then it turns out you actually hit the empty chamber and end up making money, does that mean it was a good idea for you to play? Does the fact that it worked out change the correctness of the decision at all? And by I don't accept your premise that it worked out, but rather than fight that battle I have decided to explain that it doesn't matter if it worked out.

    24. Re: Wow by mattwarden · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes government subsides sure did accelerate ethanol production capabilities, didn't they? And that boondoggle may have slowed the development of alternatives. Like solar.

      It's central economic planning, period. Why are we debating this ignorance?

    25. Re:Wow by KapUSMC · · Score: 1

      Except that it doesn't make sense without subsidy. Solar is still one of the most expensive per megawatt of any of the various energy sources. Even with projected costs reducing the price, the forecast by 2020 for solar is not bright. http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/a...

    26. Re:Wow by gtall · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah, the government never should have sunk all that money into ARPANET, it would have just happened by Immaculate Conception when the economics made sense. Come to think of it, all that money the government sunk into quantum mechanics made no sense until there was use for it, then it would have miraculously evolved from its primordial ooze by bootstrapping itself into usefulness.

      Wow, economics is truly miraculous, able to conjure...well...just about anything out of nothing.

    27. Re:Wow by mi · · Score: 2

      government subsidies can accelerate the development

      The chance of "accelerating" into a wrong direction is prohibitively high. For just one example, consider the case of telephony — by granting AT&T the official monopoly on phone service, the US has "accelerated" wired connections (by mandating that even remotest dwellings be connected upon owners' request).

      This delayed the onset of wireless communications by decades... The technology for tiny portable cell-phones of today did not exist, but a stationary two-way radio could've been placed into every house located "too far" for a wire to be economical.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    28. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solyndra and all other solar providers at the time also got hammered hard by hackers from China. Six months later, the attacks stopped... but there were panels coming from overseas, strangely enough, with the same designs... but cheaper than the rare earths it took to fab panels.

      Solyndra was a victim of foreign dumping and Congress's politics. They enacted protective tariffs to guard Harley Davidson as a company critical to the US national security, but companies providing energy independence were plowed under by dumping.

    29. Re:Wow by Penguinisto · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yes and No.
      (Disclosure: I used to work for Solarworld).

      I partially agree because it was the introduction of *massive* tax/tariff subsidies from the EU member governments (most notably Germany) that drove a lot of development and growth, which led to the rise of solar-panel makers like Solarworld, Q-Cells, etc. (all based in Germany). I think only First Solar is the only big boy that's based in the US.

      I disagree mostly because solar really didn't get cheap until the Chinese began to flood the market with panels, around 2010-2011 or so. Before China, solar panels cost around $2.50/Wp; after China started the flood, they could be had for as cheap as $0.75/Wp.

      All that said, you get what you pay for... Solarworld for instance has the 25-year power output warranty, 17-18% conversion, and high wattage densities (255+ watts per panel), whereas the real low-end Chinese stuff is barely warrantied for a year, might get 10-12% conversion, and might get you 160-200-watt panels (in real-life testing; forget the label's claims).

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
    30. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is an incredibly stupid article.
      Basically the made-up cost every negative externality they can even remotely associate with carbon energy is deemed a "subsidy".
      Stupid stupid stupid.

      You could just as easily say almost the entire world economy is brought to you directly and indirectly by carbon energy, so instead of a subsidy of 5 trillion to the energy companies you actually have an 80 trillion benefit provided to the world.

    31. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Believe it or not Texas is part of the U.S.

    32. Re:Wow by plopez · · Score: 1

      FTFA:
      "Local officials have welcomed solar developers, offering 10-year tax abatements."

      How does this differ from tax credits for house top panels?

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    33. Re:Wow by plopez · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is also true the private sector can block development of new technologies when it seems too risky or threatens an existing profit center. E.g. the way GM killed off the EV-1 electric car.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    34. Re:Wow by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      Actually the price of PV cells dropped at an amazingly consistent rate since 1987 (the oldest figures I could find) when it was $15 per watt.

      The inflection in price occurred in 1987. Prior to that the price was declining geometrically. Without the space program, it would probably be several years behind the current prices.

      The price as of 2015 is 30 cents per watt.

      At current rates of decline, the price will be under 10 cents per watt by 2020.

      However, as you say -- quality panels will cost more, outperform, and last longer.

      Solar cells are going to collapse fuel demand world wide. While the need for fuelbased generators will remain until we get better batteries (also improving about 5% per year pretty consistently for a long time) if we could cut fuel usage by 30%, it would probably collapse the price of diesel.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    35. Re:Wow by plopez · · Score: 1

      Without the AT&T monopoly Unix and by extension Linux would probably not exist.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    36. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You are the one who's not understanding risk. The whole point of investing in a multitude of companies is to reduce risk. This is no different from making sure your investment portfolio is well diversified: some stocks are guaranteed to tank but you don't know which ones, while the market as a whole will grow over time - so you spread your investment money around to make your return not dependent on a single stock's success. This program worked exactly as it was supposed to!

    37. Re:Wow by plopez · · Score: 1

      The Chinese had to do it because US investment in solar and wind power was slashed in the early 80's

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    38. Re:Wow by Solandri · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Solyndra was a scam. Their "technology" involved using half-cylinder solar panels (hence the name) laid out on a plane to get around the problem of lower solar production when sunlight hits at oblique angles. Anyone who's reasonably competent at geometry can tell you the problem right there. The effective collecting area is the projection of the surface of your collectors at a right angle to the direction of the incoming sunlight. That is, the planar area the sunlight sees - the cosine of the angle between the incoming sunlight and a normal from the plane of your collecting area. Doesn't matter whether your panels are flat, a cylinder, pyramids, or whatever - only the projection matters.

      And since the largest planar area you can cover given a square meter of PV cells is flat, a cylindrical collector is actually less efficient than a flat panel. In fact it's efficiency is a factor of 2/pi (0.6366), since it's just the ratio of semi-circumference (half cylinder) to the diameter (flat). When some of the Solyndra generation data leaked out, they were indeed about 40% less effective at generating power than a flat panel.

      Could they have arranged their half-cylinders in something other than a plane? Yes, but non-planar arrangements run into the problem of shadows from one collector covering up another collector at certain times of the day. The net result is worse than a plane. So flat panels are always best. If you want to capture oblique sunlight more effectively, the mathematically best solution is to tilt the panels to follow the sun (shadows from panel to panel will still interfere at extremely oblique angles). Or to raise reflectors at certain times of the day to reflect the sunlight into your static collectors.

    39. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If tax is theft then civilization would be illegal - welcome back to the mesolithic...

    40. Re:Wow by morgauxo · · Score: 2

      Who said economics had to be the reason for "governments to chose winners"?

      Investors would happily enrich themselves all the way into a dead planet if that's where the money lies.

    41. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not fer long, pardner! Yeee Haw! [gunshots]

    42. Re:Wow by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't think Solar could have gotten the critical mass without the incentives. Even with incentives, it took several decades to be a meaningful contributor. Quite honestly, the R&D incentive money is best spent on the challenge that follows, not the first-mover challenge: energy storage. By subsidizing the PV panels up front, you get the industry moving which will create its own R&D investment. By increasing non-dispatchable generation on the grid, you need to have improved energy storage and demand control solutions.

      From the small view I have on where money was being spent, 6-12 years ago a tremendous amount of investment was being placed into these areas for technologies that are viable now.

      Granted, not all $$ are spent with the same efficacy. That is the nature of R&D though.

    43. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      You are again failing to understand even the simplest principles of diversified investment. Since we aren't magically omniscient and can't see into the future, it is necessary to invest in every kind of renewable energy technology in order to find out which ones are the most useful. Many people always held the opinion that corn ethanol in particular was stupid, but it was still just an opinion when not supported by real world data. Also note that if oil prices had stayed as high as they were during the Bush presidency, ethanol would (still) be competitive with gasoline - and this is likely to happen again at some point, so having distribution infrastructure and cars to utilize it is a good buffer against price shocks.

    44. Re:Wow by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Not entirely true; there were plenty of domestic and euorpean manufacturers. The Chinese did scale up faster, in part by dumping capacity, which likely is part of the equation.

    45. Re:Wow by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      Like those "green" scams Obama on which wasted money? No, the norm is for taxpayer money to be poured into sewer

    46. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Believe it or not Texas is part of the U.S.

      Which fall squarely into the category of "SO WHAT?". Idiot.

    47. Re:Wow by chill · · Score: 1

      These are commonly used as incentives for any major business that is considering moving into an area. They aren't unique to solar, and aren't offered to residents as tax credits for house top panels are.

      They're along the lines of "move here, not there and we'll give you tax credits". Very, very common in the U.S.

      --
      Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    48. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about inferior technologies that NEED to be pushed as soon as possible, readiness being optional?

      We need clean energy and with the ecoidiots bashing everything else, there's not much choice, is there?

    49. Re:Wow by tmosley · · Score: 0

      Confusing government and civilization? Tsk tsk. When is the last time you went to kill someone then stopped yourself, thinking that you might go to jail if you did that?

      Governments come and go. Civilizations and societies persist--until a government hostile enough to them comes along and kills them all, usually egged on by the government of those about to get genocided (read: Carthage).

    50. Re:Wow by mlts · · Score: 3, Informative

      Solar cells are a major piece of the puzzle, and arguably the biggest piece.

      There are other things falling into place as well.

      Relatively inexpensive MPPT controllers. Yes, these require an inductor coil to get the voltage from the panels (100+ volts) to a usable voltage/amperage combination for the battery bank. To boot, most MPPT CCs are multi-stage, so batteries are not boiled when near 100% SoC.

      PWM controllers are cheaper, and because solar panel technology is so relatively cheap, it might be cheaper to throw more panels on as opposed to using a smarter charge controller. In fact, I bought a decent 60 amp, 12 volt, multistage CC with a voltmeter and ammeter for $8.

      Inverters are not standing still. One can have a choice between charging solar batteries for off-grid use, using inverters to feed the grid, or anywhere in between.

      The component that sucks the most is still batteries. They don't hold much energy relatively, and need to be replaced every 5-10 years. Even here, there is progress. For "drop in" batteries, there is a "Smart Battery" brand that goes where flooded lead-acid batteries are used. A battery charger that works with LiFePO4 is required, but since the special discharging circuitry is on the battery, this not just provides a longer usable life, but lead-acid batteries get damaged if drawn below 50% SoC, while lithium batteries can be drawn down a lot further (3-10%) before suffering ill effects.

      What is happening with solar is a combination of the above factors, which gives energy independence, which builds momentum behind it. It used to be that solar power was for hippies, but both the far right and far left have embraced the concept, and it is more of a mainstream, "why not?" as opposed to "why" concept, especially with RVs, camping, and boating.

    51. Re: Wow by tmosley · · Score: 1

      I see you are from the Dogbert school of risk reduction.

      http://dilbert.com/strip/2008-...

      Thing about government grants is that they generally go to the best connected. The lab I used to work at once had its grant yanked out from under it and given to another group (who produced no tangible results with it) at the behest of a local congressman. Those types of people can just sit back and rely on their connections rather than relying on the results they produce.

      It's all human nature. You either accept it and try to harness it (as the Free Market does), deny it (and get overwhelmed by corruption), or try to force it to change (and kill everyone in the process).

    52. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Believe it or not Texas is part of the U.S.

      Which fall squarely into the category of "SO WHAT?". Idiot.

      That is falls, not falls. You want to use, the third person indicative present tense . I see why you post AC.

    53. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Yeah freedom loving people do have a hard time living under would be totalitarians.

    54. Re:Wow by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Now, I wouldn't call two trillion dollars spent fighting a war to protect oil fields a subsidy.

      Please. With those amounts you need something more like "mega subsidy!"

      Oil company subsidies are embedded into the system so well that we don't even notice them most the time.

      If solar can cut oil demand by 10%.. then the price of oil will never recover and we can start saving oil for unique things instead of burning it for energy.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    55. Re:Wow by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      "mathematically best solution", but to what problem? People caught up in the answers often do not understand the question

    56. Re:Wow by tmosley · · Score: 0

      I live in a world where idiotic/corrupt government officials line the pockets of scammers, then just go on with their lives with zero accountability.

      I'd like to leave that world for one a little more pleasant, but liberals are like crabs in a bucket. When they see someone trying to escape for a better life, they grab them and pull them back in. Really, you idiots should mind your own business.

      And fyi: never trust government numbers. They are sociopaths, and will pump out lie after lie to protect themselves. Why do you think they keep changing the way unemployment is reported?

    57. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      VCs aren't doing it with public funds.

    58. Re:Wow by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      Those radios were common in rural homes before the 90s and especially in the 70s, I know I had a great big base station with a giant motorized antennae.

    59. Re:Wow by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 3, Informative

      Solar has been on a consistent and predictable downward trend since 1860 (when solar was discovered). It follows an exponential curve just like Moore's law, the difference being Moore said that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every 18 months and in solar the metric of $/watt halves every 5 years. This has been going one for a century and a half. Kurzweil et andere have lots of graphs on technology like this. With or without government investment.

    60. Re:Wow by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      But what if the VCs aren't doing it at all?

    61. Re:Wow by galabar · · Score: 1

      That isn't possible. Things only succeed with government intervention. God, my grade school teacher told me that! Get with the program.

    62. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pendant for pendant: unless it's taken as the plural. If the reference isn't to the fact that Texas is part of the US, but instead refers to the states of believing and not believing as being both irrelevant... then we're back to it being correct.

    63. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Government and civilization go hand in hand. Can you name one civilization that has ever existed that didn't have some form of government? Can you name one civilization that has ever existed that didn't not have taxation in one form or another? Yes, governments change from time to time by internal or external force but that's usually accompanied by a lot of turmoil and change in the underlying civilization.

    64. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes but the subsidies need to be in the correct area and that is transmission lines . In the Midwest perfectly good nuclear plants are closing due to wind energy making night time electricity worthless while we pay through the nose for electricity on the east coast and could use some of the cheap wind and nuclear energy from the Midwest .

    65. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's more the government investment in r and d . The markets would have developed in their own in the U.S. . Let Europe subsidize the panels to death . Without the transmission lines nothing is possible .

    66. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I don't get why americans always repeat such myth.

      Just because your first government was the english king, there is no reason to distrust every government. Well, Nixxon might have been an exception.

      Subsidies can occasionally be justified, but in the case of solar, the billions spent on subsidies would have been far better employed on R&D to find technology that made economic sense, rather than mass deployment of technology that did not.

      First: which technology besides solar is "better"? Or makes economically more sense? When we clearly right now are at the point where solar makes economical sense?
      Second: the billions spend where likely not the US american billions but the European, notable German, so why do you care?

      I guess you had preferred to wait till the oil runs out, that might be in 20 years? The oil price right now is something like $45. The highest price the last 5 years was something like $135 (or was it $150?).

      With current usage patterns the oil price in 20 years might be something like $5000 per barrel. Obviously that won't be the case as demand will drop rapidly the closer we come to the "empty wells".

      Anyway, in 20 years every solar panel -- regardless how efficient or cheap -- will be cheaper than oil. Without any development at all.

      So: what benefit would have from that?

      None ... you had wasted 20 years paying "to much" for oil/energy.

      I rather have a cheap competitive panel right now. And what I and my fellow europeans expect from a government is exactly that: lay the legal framework and funding for new futur technologies. Fuck your stupid brain dead idea of "the free market fixes all", it took Obama to give you affordable healthcare for every one. By crafting a law! There was no free market fixing your third world problems. And there will never be a free market building you the next Fighter Air Plane, Carrier or other thing where the development cost is 100ds of billions!

      Can't be so hard to grasp that there is no company on the planet, no investor, no consortium that could have propelled the progress in solar technology we made in the last 30 years further than the government funding did.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    67. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm, it is Texas which is a state in the US and has quite an extensive set of governments that regulate the flow the money, where what money is spend and where they get the money they spend. Texas is a modern state with a government just like every liberal or social democracy in the world. Texas is the same mixed economy like the European Nordic states with the exception that Texas wants as little government subsidies or investments as possible, while the Nordic countries seems to want as much government intervention as possible.

      But this has not so much to do with the government but with the people who vote for the government. Just move all the people of Texas to for example Norway, and all the people of Norway to Texas, and within a few years the Nordic oil platforms will have been privatized, while the Texan oil fields will have been nationalized.
       
      This has everything to do with how a culture thinks about running a country. When your ancestors had a hard life surviving in the cold environments, sharing and working together almost becomes part of your genes. When your ancestors where people who preferred to flee their own country instead of trying to make the best of it, because they are more adventurous and think that every person should take care for himself by taking every opportunity their is, your will have those genes too.
       
      This is not about evil government, or evil thinking. It is just a way of life on how people prefer to run their own countries.

      Texas is not some waste land without a government where people released from the heavy burden that is government automatically created an utopia with a infinitely growing economy without any regulation but the free market.

      I understand what you mean with government subsidizing certain sectors, and I fully agree with you that the role of the government should not be to pick up the role of the financial sector. The same financial sector that has been failing since the 80's to give an adequate service to the population and businesses. Ironically it is the one that gets deregulated and who'd have guessed that they not only failed to fuel the economy with clever investments, but that they failed completely with stupid investments. If the deregulated financial cooperations didn't get a financial injection of their so much hated government there would have been a total collapse of the economic system.

      So there you have my opinion. Regulate the financial sectors so that they do their homework and invest in businesses that make sense instead of gambling on the smallest fluctuations of the market. An opportunity that was given to them by the technical advancements in the information technology that was ... sponsored by the government.

    68. Re: Wow by SirSlud · · Score: 2

      The lab where you used to work? Well, I'm convinced!

      --
      "Old man yells at systemd"
    69. Re: Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The problem with laymen is they mix up the meaning of risk and chance.

      Perhaps they always think chance means opportunity and gain and winning.

      Point is: if you play Russian rollet, your chance to get killed is 1 out of 6.
      Your risk is: your life

      You have not a 1 out of 6 risk to lose your life, you have a 1 out of 6 chance to hit the wrong chamber and then your risk is 100% to lose your life.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    70. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Nitpicking about a typo and then making a typo yourself does not really make you look as smart as you are, nor as you believe you are.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    71. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Literally no-one gives a fuck.

    72. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and yet you blame the liberals, but what your talking about is far more common with the MIC and I have never once heard from you more conservative types the idea i\of reducing corruption there. Your ideological bias is showing and it's ugly.

    73. Re: Wow by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Right, because you have so much experience in the system, and you have found it to be completely squeaky clean and not at all corrupt (except when the OTHER guys are in office!). So sorry for insulting your majesty with implications that all is not well in these wondrous United States of America, land of the Free, and home of the Brave! Praise multiethnic happy time Jesus!

    74. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      LOL if that's what you think I was doing then enjoy.

    75. Re:Wow by tmosley · · Score: 0

      It really isn't. That would be YOUR ideological bias. I'm an Anarcho-capitalist. Not even on your radar, slave-boy.

      Conservatives have their own problems, and I speak out against them vociferously when they are in power, and get accused of being a liberal. It's hilarious! You idiots seem to think there can only be two ideologies out there. Which is ironic, because that is actually true, it's just that your "two" ideologies are actually just one: statism.

      Here's a fun thought exercise for you: take your political ideology, and list out all of its various positions. Then think about how you would come to adopt those positions organically without already having the two parties.

    76. Re:Wow by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      Having a two-way radio *instead* of a telephone? That's madness.

      Also, before the phone monopoly, there were tons of different companies stringing wires around, thus duplicating effort.

    77. Re:Wow by mi · · Score: 2

      Having a two-way radio *instead* of a telephone? That's madness.

      Why?

      there were tons of different companies stringing wires around, thus duplicating effort.

      There are two pizzerias on my block today. Should the government grant one of them a monopoly — for great justice?

      The survivor would then be able to use the increased economies of scale and improved bargaining powers to negotiate better prices on supplies to reduce prices. Oh, wait, their supplier would also have to become a monopoly, if we follow the same "let's avoid duplicating effort" principle further. And, being a monopoly anyway, why would anybody care to reduce the prices?

      Ah, the great new world without competition. Are you still sure, that's a good idea?

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    78. Re:Wow by mi · · Score: 1

      Without the AT&T monopoly Unix and by extension Linux would probably not exist.

      Yeah, let's grant a few more corporations official monopolies now. Maybe, with all the profits they'll be raking in the absence of competition, they'll fund something cool again.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    79. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You Think/Beleive.
      I know!

      It pissed me always off big time when my teachers gave me "two error points" for an grammatically error which was a simple type.

      In all honesty, your "victim" know perfectly well that he should have written "falls" ... he simply typed and did not see it.

      Native english speakers (and usually learned ones, too) don't make such grammar mistakes, regardless how bad they are with writing.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    80. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First: which technology besides solar is "better"?

      Nuclear.

      Or makes economically more sense?

      Nuclear. If you remove the NIMBY bullshit.

      Second: the billions spend where likely not the US american billions but the European, notable German, so why do you care?

      Because they spent a crap ton of money on investing in technologies that were the pure result of unwarranted fear and NIMBYism and we'd prefer not to have that sort of crap infecting our politics more than it already does.

      If you suddenly had an intense fear of a comet hitting our planet in the next decade so you spent billions on a spaceship due to that fear, would you criticize us for not making use of your wonderful generation ship technology to move our entire population to Alpha Centauri? Sure, such a thing would be an achievement, but it implies an implementation that we may simply not be interested in.

      We don't need to move to Alpha Centauri, even if you spent all the money to do the research. We also don't need to dump everything for solar just because you invested in it. It's not like you have also spent the money on building out our infrastructure as well.

    81. Re:Wow by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You need a sarcasm or humor tag for that post. ;)

      For Solyndra, I believe that it was best to let them fail. Their product was interesting, but ultimately unsuccessful, like how steam cars didn't pan out over internal combustion, and EVs are only making a return today.

      It's a sunk costs fallacy vs prospective costs. At some point you have to just stop throwing money away and let them fail. If 9 out of your 10 projects succeed in stuff like this, you're doing way better than industry standards - the normal ratio is the opposite.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    82. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "when the economics make sense"

      Yes, "when", as in: after decades of government subsidies.

    83. Re: Wow by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      i dont mind when private individuals spend millions and billions of their own money throwing things at the wall to see what sticks. its their money they can do as they wish

      when its my money, it should go to needs, not throwing it at the wall to see what sticks

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    84. Re:Wow by mlts · · Score: 1

      I am curious about one thing: Direct sun, the best thing to have is a plane perpendicular with the rays.

      However, what about overcast skies where the sunlight is diffuse and can be coming from any direction. In these cases, would the half cylinders do the job better? For regions like the PNW, having PV panels optimized for shade or rainy weather might be useful.

      These days, the point may be moot, especially with how silicon formulations are advancing. On the solar trailer I'm building when I go RV-ing, I'm using two monocrystalline panels (arranged in parallel to a MPPT controller) which will bring in most of the electricity, but for shady/overcast temperatures, a "hybrid" mono/poly panel is going to be present (with its own charge controller.) This way, all bases are covered.

    85. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1, Interesting

      First: which technology besides solar is "better"? Or makes economically more sense? When we clearly right now are at the point where solar makes economical sense?

      Those would be the energy technologies that deliver the vast majority of the world's energy needs - that is, fossil fuels. Oil, gas, coal.

      If solar made economical sense, it would not need subsidies. Maybe it will not in the future ... but we're not in the future.

      Second: the billions spend where likely not the US american billions but the European, notable German, so why do you care?

      America's government has subsidized green technologies with billions of dollars, and it goes without saying that Americans have the right to criticize the choices of their government.

      I guess you had preferred to wait till the oil runs out, that might be in 20 years?

      Oil will not run out in 20 years.

      With current usage patterns the oil price in 20 years might be something like $5000 per barrel. Obviously that won't be the case as demand will drop rapidly the closer we come to the "empty wells".

      At $5000 per barrel of oil, we'd have all the oil we'd ever want. You realize we can *make* oil, right? We could probably make oil using solar power very profitably at that price point.

    86. Re: Wow by cyber-vandal · · Score: 2

      How do you remove the NIMBY bullshit? And the troops in?

    87. Re:Wow by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Now, I wouldn't call two trillion dollars spent fighting a war to protect oil fields a subsidy.

      I hate saying this, but none of the recent wars were actually to protect oil. Even Kuwait 'paid us back' for protecting it in the first gulf war. If they had been about oil, we would have prosecuted them in a far different way.

      Oil company subsidies are embedded into the system so well that we don't even notice them most the time.

      Yes, we subsidize 'oil' so much that the government gets more profit per barrel than the company itself.

      Sure, we give them some money back. After we charge them:
      For the rights to drill, extract, ship, refine, property taxes, sales taxes, surcharges, fuel taxes, etc...

      If solar can cut oil demand by 10%.. then the price of oil will never recover and we can start saving oil for unique things instead of burning it for energy.

      It would be tough. Solar is primarily for electricity, oil is primarily for heat/transport. Natural Gas is currently pushing oil out of heating.

      Now, I wouldn't call two trillion dollars spent fighting a war to protect oil fields a subsidy.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    88. Re:Wow by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Solyndra had 'lots' of VC capital. In this case, the VCs lost it all. Which is why you don't get into VC until you have enough money to invest in enough startups that, statistically speaking, you're going to make your money back on the occasional 'big winner'.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    89. Re:Wow by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, the real problem is that we allowed China to dump on America. Had we not done that, then we would have a lot more manufacturing here and it would be even lower costs.
      Thankfully, Solar City is doing it right. They got the infrastructure in place for putting up panels, got the costs down, and now, is focused on lowering the costs of panels by manufacturing their own. And yes, they will come down.

      What is going to be a problem, is that China is going to manipulate the money again and dump on the west to revive their economy that is a total disaster.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    90. Re:Wow by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      yup. You got that right.
      In fact, these same problems continues to this day.

      If we had a decent CONgress they would fund the gen IV reactors and get Trans Atomic and Flible Energy going.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    91. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      I get so fucking tired of this "picking winners and losers" bullshit. Venture capitalists do this all the time. Do you think the people who do analysis for the Department of Energy are bunch of drooling morons? Backing technology development that is in the public interest is exactly what governments are for. Just like venture capital, some of it is going to pan out and some of it isn't.

      The difference is in who foots the bill. The VCs pick winners and losers with their own money. When they lose, they lose their own money. (minus government corruption stealing from the public to make them whole)

      When the government picks losers, the public is paying the bill. The government employees who made the wrong pick, however, don't have any personal skin the game.

      It doesn't take a drooling moron to make a bad decision and lose money. Nor is it stupid for the people footing the bill to object to its usage.

    92. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If solar made economical sense, it would not need subsidies. Maybe it will not in the future ... but we're not in the future.

      You missed the headline, or the article or the summary or all of it.
      Solar energy is now the cheapest energy on the planet.

      Oil will not run out in 20 years.
      With current usage, it will. That is a no brainer. With replacement of current cars by electric cars it, won't. That is a no brainer, too. So try to comprehend what I write instead of jumping to knee jerk reactions and making a fool of yourself.

      We are 10 years beyond "peak oil" ...

      America's government has subsidized green technologies with billions of dollars Did it? Any proof of that? Over what course of years?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    93. Re: Wow by HiThere · · Score: 2

      Sorry, but it was evident from the start that corn based ethanol production was grossly inefficient. It *did* turn out worse than it might have, based on what was known at the start, but even at the start it was clearly uneconomic.

      What ethanol fuel via corn was, was pork for certain Senators that held important positions. And it could be painted green, so it had some political benefit. It wasn't a reasonable approach, and it wasn't prototyped as reasonable approaches have been.

      Governments CAN do good economic development, but only when the politics is right. They can also pour money down a rat hole. And that's what corn-based ethanol was. (Now there ARE corn based systems under development that might be reasonable. But they are based around using the leaves and the stalks, not the ears of corn. The only ear's of corn -> ethanol system that makes economic sense is bourbon (or, whiskey, anyway).

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    94. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Yes I was indeed truly concerned about his grammar

      / sarcasm

    95. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's *ALSO* true that almost all governments on this planet are still massively subsidizing CO2 emitters
      by putting the costs for the resulting damages on the taxpayers' shoulders.

      This dwarfs all subsidies for renewables by orders of magnitude.

      But, future governments may revise this policy and hold the responsible companies and persons
      accountable (hint: governments are elected by taxpayers!).

      BP, Shell, Exxon etc. shareholders: Ask your board to start building
      reserves NOW. Board members and execs, check your D&O insurance policies.
      You have been warned.

    96. Re:Wow by mattack2 · · Score: 2

      Why?

      Because you can't just randomly call *anyone* specific, like you can with a phone.

      There are two pizzerias on my block today. Should the government grant one of them a monopoly â" for great justice?

      If each pizzeria had to build their own road to your house another road to each and every house that they delivered to, YES.

      Haven't you seen the old photos of tons of separate telephone wires from many different companies?

    97. Re:Wow by laie_techie · · Score: 0

      it took Obama to give you affordable healthcare for every one. By crafting a law!

      I hate to break it to you, but the "Affordable Care Act" (aka ObamaCare) is anything but. The ACA forced millions of Americans lose their existing affordable healthcare because it didn't measure up to the requirements of the ACA, then sign up for more expensive coverage or pay an extra tax. My own premiums have almost doubled since the ACA has become law. As to Obama crafting a law, according to our Constitution, it is the Legislative Branch (House of Representatives and the Senate) which have the power to create laws, not the POTUS. Obama has abused our people through the use of Executive Orders. Obama has even threatened to veto any bill which undoes any of his executive orders.

    98. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This does make economic sense. Government policy is responsible for your well-being whether you recognize it or not. I'm not a statist, but this bag over its head libertarianism that's blatantly hatred and contempt wrapped up in a repetitive ignorance is tiresome and pathetic.
        The benefits are right here before us and yet you moan and lie like a teenager that thinks his parents are ruining his coolness and life because they won't abide his wanting to get high and rag at the responsible kids. Pathetic.

          I think you're just pissed off because the anti-solar lie that solar will never be economically competitive will have to be massaged and shoehorned into the conversations with further ridiculous falsehoods. Solar has been subsidized. It is now becoming a serious economic competitor with prior tech. Before long it will be taxed. This is a good thing. Reagan was senile.

    99. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No actually. No great tech was driven by the alcohol mess. It just created more production. Guess what, Idiot corrupt politicians who rail against subsidy suck at arranging subsidy just as they sucked at everything else that resembled an attempt at actual governance rather than abusive corruption. Surprise.

          We are debating because you have been listening to AM talk hatred rather than reading the history of the rise of industry and government's involvement. If you actually read and accepted then there would be no debate other than when and how government involvement is beneficial. Instead we get loud ignorant bleating of the low brow hooligans. Any other questions?

          Did you know that much of the US had native malarial swamps. Now there is no significant malaria in the US. Here's a hint...Donald Trump didn't fix the malaria problem. You're fired.

    100. Re:Wow by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Solyndra was never going to be a successful company. They were created and based on government subsidies. All the other players in the US market were trying to build markets and only using the subsidies to give them an equal footing against other energy sources. Solyndra should have never been approved for a government loan. But even given that the program produced a successful investment rate of 98%, significantly better than even the best investors. Solyndra was one of only a handful of failures out of hundreds of companies that have moved on to become big players including Tesla.

      There is a legitimate argument that, like usual, Solyndra was pushed up and given the loan because of political connections when a fair handling using the program parameters would have disqualified them for insufficient outside investment. This usually happens in government contracting and it's one of the things that needs to be stomped out with some more red tape.

    101. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're nuts. The rural phone coverage was and still is a significant strength in the US. No it didn't delay the onset of wireless by decades. What nonsense. So tell me, just how is the wireless internet coming along in the US right now? We don't have universal wired broadband. We should be seeing the amazing tech innovation of wireless internet in the hinterland by your ridiculous notions. So where is it? Eh?HOW OLD ARE YOU? 12?

    102. Re:Wow by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      you coulds say the same about uber -if taxis didnt exist it wouldnt exist

      or netflix, if late fees at block buster didnt exist, netflix wouldnt have been made

      but that doesnt mean that the same thing would not have shown up organically

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    103. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It sounds like you want a level of perfection out of government that is not humanly possible to attain.

    104. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. You see Ethanol subsidies (Direct, legal, trade protection, and otherwise) are 100%-pure-liberty-filled-god-blessed-stars-and-stripes free market goodness.

      Because corn growing states vote Republican, and when Republicans give tax payer money to farmers in return for votes it's not socialism. It's the free market. It's God's own hand directing commerce.

      (The above would be funny if it were not so painfully close to the way a disturbingly large number of people actually think)

    105. Re:Wow by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      Infrastructure requires time and money to replace. Oil industries are running on inertia right now.

    106. Re:Wow by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      Or ey wants no government

    107. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is also true the private sector can block development of new technologies when it seems too risky or threatens an existing profit center. E.g. the way GM killed off the EV-1 electric car.

      It's almost like both corporations and governments are run by people, and people are flawed.

    108. Re: Wow by mlts · · Score: 1

      Risk is something to be managed. Playing Russian Roulette with one chamber loaded may be worth the reward on one hand... but if one isn't careful, they could be playing Russian Roulette with a semi auto.

      IMHO, I think the US government did the right thing. It got the ball rolling, and even though foreign markets embraced panels, in the long run, cheap solar is a lot better for everyone [1]. Long term, it was places like Solyndra that might have been short term flops... but it got the big players in the business, and dedicated fabs for solar silicon.

      [1]: Even Big Oil, ironically, since they don't have to push discovering or fracking as hard.

    109. Re:Wow by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      I don't think Solar could have gotten the critical mass without the incentives. Even with incentives, it took several decades to be a meaningful contributor

      And you're basing this on what? The government offers incentives for lots of things that haven't gained traction (geothermal comes to mind). There's literally no metric to relate/tie one dollar of incentive to one dollar of influence. And I've seen no study showing a causation effect. Or even a correlation effect. The government yanked a ton of money out of the space industry, and private industry has reacted with enormous strides forward in innovation (e.g. SpaceX). The government dumped tons of innovation dollars into the military complex (continues to every year in fact...), and I don't exactly see us getting bang-for-buck there from an innovation standpoint.

      It general, it seems to me that greedy humans in industry do a fantastic job of pursuing innovations that could make them a fortune and/or solves some societal need, whether the government intervenes or not. We've always had a need for cheaper energy (with energy costs rising every year), and the idea that inventors would somehow ignore it without the government giving them money is silly.

      Quite honestly, the R&D incentive money is best spent on the challenge that follows, not the first-mover challenge: energy storage

      Now there's the rub. And the big elephant in the room that has been holding up solar for decades (and will continue to hold up solar for some time). It's the problem that should have been solved first. The rest would have followed through natural progression.

      Granted, not all $$ are spent with the same efficacy. That is the nature of R&D though.

      Except that in reality, when the government offers dollars for vague things (ala R&D), it typically results in waste. Because everyone is willing to offer a bunch of wacky ideas in exchange for a million dollar check with no strings attached. When it's their money, on the other hand, they tend to put a bit more thought into it.

    110. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah because someone investing their own money is the same as a congressman earmarking for donors.

      This. Solyndra was picked because of its political connections. The essence of crony capitalism. Politicians don't pick companies based on their strength. They pick them based on what the companies can do to help them.

      Another advantage of VCs over governments is that VCs that are consistently wrong lose all their money. Bureaucrats who are consistently wrong continue to make the same mistakes with our money. It's deliberately difficult to fire a bureaucrat because when it is easy, it leads to administrations that fire those who disagree with them and then hire a bunch of their friends. Look up the spoil system for more information.

      A third advantage is that there is more than one VC. This makes it easy for them to have different philosophies and strategies. There's only one national government per country which leads to only a few philosophies and strategies being supported. Perhaps only one. If that one is wrong, it's wrong in a lot of different places. A VC with an incorrect strategy is limited by the funds that it has available.

      Government power is naturally corrupting because it is so concentrated. For that reason, we should limit government's ability to do things. A limited government is a more honest government.

    111. Re:Wow by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Well said but pardon me for preferring this

      "Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worst state, an intolerable one"
      -Thomas Paine

    112. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, because the government just hands out checks with no strings attached.

      What universe are you living in? Is it one where they have implemented basic income or something? This one has things operating very differently.

      Besides, why would you expect to hear about scientific advances from the military industrial complex? That stuff is secret. Until exposed or obsoleted anyway, which is why you can look at pretty Hubble pictures.

      Didn't think about that, did you?

    113. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's also true that some other company, not related to GM can come along and kick their butts with a much better electric car. GM simply shot themselves in the foot.

    114. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mid to low $40's/MWh is starting to get competitive with wholesale energy prices (PJM for example). Factor in the additional renewable energy credits that generators can earn on top of that, and the economics are there.

    115. Re: Wow by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      It happened to me at a large company. We developed a low cost widget that competed directly with another divisions high cost (and high margin) , but nearly identical widget. We were shut down, the group disbanded, the other more politically connected division went on to make high profits for the company - until an external competitor came in and put the whole company out of business with low cost widgets. See The Innovator's Dilemma.

    116. Re: Wow by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      playing Russian Roulette with a semi auto.

      What difference would that make? Do you even know hat that means?

    117. Re:Wow by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 0

      How did the EV-1 threaten GM's profit centers? I understand the concept, but it never would have threatened the IC cars. It "had a stated range of 70 to 100 miles". Nobody is going to pay $50,000 for a car like that.

    118. Re:Wow by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      Inverters can be made very inexpensively. These are an order of magnitude price difference from a solar inverter and with a material cost difference of $60.

    119. Re:Wow by dave420 · · Score: 1

      They didn't waste money, though.

    120. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. It's almost like not everything is black and white, completely right and completely wrong, and so on and so forth.

    121. Re:Wow by mi · · Score: 1

      Because you can't just randomly call *anyone* specific, like you can with a phone.

      You can still "call" the local phone-company's relay (on a dedicated frequency), from where your voice will be carried over the regular cables. Radio can — and could even back then — solve the "last mile" problem.

      Radio did not have to replace wires completely, just the uneconomical stretches of them, which the government mandated in exchange for the monopoly status.

      If each pizzeria had to build their own road to your house

      Running a wire is nowhere near the complexity and the expense as building a road. But even in case of a road it is not any of our business. If a particular pizzeria decides, investing in building such a thing is worth the the money, fine... You can stand there with a placard arguing, that such building is a "duplication of effort", but, so long as you aren't the pizzeria's share-holder, you should not be in a position to stop them.

      Haven't you seen the old photos of tons of separate telephone wires from many different companies?

      I don't need photos — I can look outside the window, where the same pole that carries a FiOS cable to my house, also hosts a Comcast cable for my neighbors and the old-fashioned copper wires to some other houses — plus electrical cables. That's fine — certainly much better, than having a monopoly. (I would rather they buried those wires under ground — to be less susceptible to weather-related disruptions — but that's another topic altogether.)

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    122. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And what the hell do oil prices have to do with solar? No one in the world, except a few islands, and a couple of third-world countries uses oil to make electricity. You really need to learn a little more about the energy business before you spout this crap.

    123. Re:Wow by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      I agree the fraudsters that took the money didn't "waste it", they no doubt are spending the money on things

    124. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Typical progressive bullshit. It's a no brainer.

    125. Re:Wow by volmtech · · Score: 1

      How much oil is baked into a solar panel? Can solar panels be economically built using only renewable power? The best answer I can find is "No, but we use too much energy anyway. The Earth will be better off if we learn to get by with less."

    126. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are confusing the apple for the tree. Civilization creates government, not the other way around. And not all govs used taxation to pay for itself.

    127. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      One of the dumpest questions on /.
      The energy needed to produce a solar palel is (re)produced in about a year.
      If the energy to create them came from oil or uanium, no one cares.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    128. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That raises a lot if questions.
      What do you call affordable?
      Why did the people without healthcare had none before the act?
      Why is your system of demogracy not able to stop
      obama, if he is so unconstitunional?
      Sorry ... sounds like urban legends ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    129. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      It sounds like you want a level of perfection out of government that is not humanly possible to attain.

      That's not perfection, it's basic accountability.

      The people who are wisest about taking risks are the ones who will personally pay when it doesn't work out. It's a fundamentally more stable system because the negative feedback loop against mistakes is tighter.

      So rather than accuse me of wanting "perfection", you should ask yourself, "why do I want more mistakes?"

    130. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      You missed the headline, or the article or the summary or all of it. Solar energy is now the cheapest energy on the planet.

      The headline, article, and summary say nothing of the sort. You fail basic reading comprehension.

      What it actually says is that Texas is building a lot of solar power without state subsidies.

      Oil will not run out in 20 years.

      With current usage, it will. That is a no brainer. With replacement of current cars by electric cars it, won't. That is a no brainer, too. So try to comprehend what I write instead of jumping to knee jerk reactions and making a fool of yourself.

      We are 10 years beyond "peak oil" ...

      See this graph?

      10 years ago is 2005. Now which year in the graph has the highest oil production?

      If you are unable to comprehend basic English, and do not know relevant facts, why should anyone care what you say on this topic?

      Did it? Any proof of that? Over what course of years?

      Too lazy to do your own basic research?

      I'm sorry you find it mentally difficult to look up Wikipedia. I'm afraid you're not going to find a safe space here on Slashdot, however.

    131. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Because you can't just randomly call *anyone* specific, like you can with a phone.

      Unlike those cellphones everyone carries that allow people to call *anyone* specific using radio waves?

      A two way radio is still using specific frequencies and protocols to communicate. There is the matter of people listening in, but then again, that's not stopped people from using cellphones, either.

    132. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 0

      Yeah, the government never should have sunk all that money into ARPANET, it would have just happened by Immaculate Conception when the economics made sense. Come to think of it, all that money the government sunk into quantum mechanics made no sense until there was use for it, then it would have miraculously evolved from its primordial ooze by bootstrapping itself into usefulness.

      Waving a winning lottery ticket around doesn't prove that lotteries have EV > 1.

    133. Re:Wow by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Care to prove anything you said ???
      It's been said that Solyndra's business plan was alright until the chinese started dumping solar panels bellow cost. So its BAD when the US govt subsidizes market inovation but we don't say a thing when the Chinese do subsidies on a massive scale ?
      No, I don't have hard data.
      Solyndra was probably trying to do what Solar City is doing right now, they (Solar City) bought a USA solar panel maker, and are investing big on making their products much more efficient. Solyndra was attempting the same thing while building a new factory.
      If you have a big house, current solar panels aren't too bad, if you blanket just half of your roof space (the side that gets most of the solar radiation), you will produce more electricity than you can use on a yearly basis.
      But if you move to commercial/industrial users, even blanketing every inch available that customer will still fall far short of breaking even kWh wise.
      1km2 worth of land gets 1GW of raw solar radiation at its best hours of the year. But current solar parks manage to produce 10-15% of that radiation into useable AC electricity. So at 10% net efficiency your 1km2 will produce 100MW peak. At 20% 200MW peak. If we could eventually achieve 40% net efficiency (already available on labs, perhaps 5 years away at high cost and 10-15 years away from economical prices), then every house that invests seriously on solar panels will become a large net producer of electricity. With most non vertical commercial buildings able to achieve self sufficiency on a yearly average.
      There are solar panels up to 35% efficiency available commercially but those are very expensive.
      The most affordable solar panels are under 15% efficiency.
      Solyndra was planning (and failed) and solar city will achieve is to increase solar panel efficiency to above 20%, perhaps enabling 20% net efficient solar farms without much of a cost premium.

      Taking cheap shots are solyndra just shows how stupid you are.
      The Republican plan is to make renewable energy never become viable.
      Although I'm pro nuclear too, I hope solar can actually become a serious energy source by 2030. If we do it 100% free market, that will NEVER happen.

    134. Re:Wow by eric_harris_76 · · Score: 1

      I hope someday to have a computer in my home.

      --
      There's no time like the present. Well, the past used to be.
    135. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Although you didn't mention Solyndra explicitly others in this thread have. The DOE program that Solyndra was part of had a budgeted failure rate of 12% (IIRC) as set by Congress when they passed the act that created the program. Last I heard the failure rate of the program was about 7% including Solyndra. I'd say that's a pretty positive outcome, probably better than most private VC funds.

      Why do you assume that something the government is involved in will automatically have more mistakes?

    136. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I'll also add that when you listen to the news about government screw-ups keep in mind that it's the screw-ups that make the news. The successes may get a press release but they will seldom reach headline status.

    137. Re: Wow by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      Bud, you are just talking out of your ass. Diversification does not apply here. Investing in 5 shitty stocks that each have a 1 in 5 chance of bombing is exactly the same is putting the same total amount of money in a single stock that has a 1 in 5 chance of bombing. The point of diversification is to make sure you don't lose everything if you happen to hit that 1 in 5 chance.

      This has no applicability to the scenario we are discussing. There is no total amount that we are attempting to invest. Grants/loans were determined on a per-application basis, and they could decide to award one company or a hundred companies, up to a maximum total appropriated amount. In the scenario we are discussing, you are arguing that there is less risk investing $500 million in 5 companies than there is investing $100 million in 1 company. That does not make any sense.

      I thank you for wasting my time.

    138. Re: Wow by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      you are correct, but you took the analogy in a direction that is not analogous to this situation. the analogy in this situation is that investing $100m in one company that has a 20% chance of failing is less risky than investing $500m in five companies that each have a 20% chance of failing. the chance of failure is the same (assuming independence, which is actually quite questionable here) but the risk is much higher.

    139. Re: Wow by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      that had me scratching my head as well. the only thing i could figure is maybe he is saying playing RR with one missing in the magazine, therefore guaranteeing ruin?

    140. Re: Wow by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      you have no idea if it was the right call. all we know is that we risked taxpayer dollars. there is zero information about whether the outcome is better than the alternative history where these green energy loans/grants were never given. there are too many variables at play and it is nowhere near as simple as "did solar technology evolve faster than it would have otherwise?". this is why central planning ends up failing: it's the questions you aren't asking (e.g., did a genius in 2008 not receive seed money to develop her entirely new alternative energy idea because investments were flowing into the solar/wind/algae govt gravy train?).

    141. Re: Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here is the ironic thing. Both this, as well as TARP, the two things touted the most as being taxpayer boondogles have more than since earned their returns on investment.

      So, the government actually is a savvy investor... far savvier than the guys who manage most 401ks... it seems.

    142. Re:Wow by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      That raises a lot if questions. What do you call affordable?

      I used to pay $100 / month for a family health plan.

      Why did the people without healthcare had none before the act?

      I think you meant what and not why. Admittedly, the ACA makes it illegal to deny coverage due to pre-existing conditions. I have a sister-in-law who has health insurance for the first time in a decade. However, people who chose not to have health insurance before are now forced to pay. In the US, there are laws which require emergency rooms to stabilize people, even if they aren't able to pay. Many illegals take advantage of this fact. Those of us with coverage pay for those who can't.

      Why is your system of demogracy not able to stop obama, if he is so unconstitunional?

      It's because the justices of the Supreme Court are also Democrats and are making laws from the bench instead of dictating which laws are constitutional and which are not. There is no balance of powers if all the power resides in the same party. BTW, we are a republic, not a strict democracy.

      Sorry ... sounds like urban legends ...

    143. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Although you didn't mention Solyndra explicitly others in this thread have. The DOE program that Solyndra was part of had a budgeted failure rate of 12% (IIRC) as set by Congress when they passed the act that created the program. Last I heard the failure rate of the program was about 7% including Solyndra. I'd say that's a pretty positive outcome, probably better than most private VC funds.

      You're telling me that the government gives itself an A+, and therefore there is no government waste. That's assuming something about government metrics.

      If the government is doing better than VC funds, back it up with numbers instead of your imagination. Show me.

      Why do you assume that something the government is involved in will automatically have more mistakes?

      If you understood my point about skin in the game, you would not ask me that question.

      Understand my point and come up with a better question. (Hint: I am not assuming what you just said)

    144. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      In the US, there are laws which require emergency rooms to stabilize people, even if they aren't able to pay.
      Probably in some states, not US wide. The news that people die on the stairs of a hospital because the hospital refuses to bring them in and treat them even makes it to europ ;D

      Many illegals take advantage of this fact. Those of us with coverage pay for those who can't.
      Yes, that is the point of an insurance. And in Europe everyone gets treated regardless if he can pay.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    145. Re:Wow by RyoShin · · Score: 1

      Not only would you spend 20 years paying too much for oil, you would also add more pollutants to the air than you would with faster solar cell adoption. So there's a non-financial (at least, not easily calculated) incentive as well.

    146. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Ok, here's a story from Forbes in 2012 about VC success. It says: "Over both 10- and 30-year periods, share of dollars invested that go to losing deals has been roughly 55%.".

      Data Insight: Venture Capital returns and loss rates

      I didn't say "the government gives itself an A+". In any large organization waste is inevitable. I see it where I work which is a subsidiary of a large company. All you can do is try to minimize it.

    147. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Ok, here's a story from Forbes in 2012 about VC success. It says: "Over both 10- and 30-year periods, share of dollars invested that go to losing deals has been roughly 55%.".

      So do you think that failure rate is a proper measure of the success of a government program?

      When the VCs are willing to make risky bets, such that around 55% of their attempted deals fail ... what is government investment in less risky deals (7% failure) accomplishing?

      I didn't say "the government gives itself an A+". In any large organization waste is inevitable. I see it where I work which is a subsidiary of a large company. All you can do is try to minimize it.

      Of course you didn't. I interpreted your use of Congress's metric of 12% as a measure of success of government activity.

      If they said 100% failure was acceptable, would that still be any good? The 12% is unjustified. The 7% is meaningless without justifying the first number.

    148. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Like I said in the first place it sounds like you want a level of perfection out of government that is not humanly possible to attain. And I also said in any large organization waste is inevitable. I think it's your standards that need adjusting.

    149. Re: Wow by billdale · · Score: 1

      Uggggh... you sound just like a perfect Ayn Rand acolyte. Let the whole world fail... fire departments, schools, roads and bridges, health care... everything... so long as it means you don't have to pay taxes or do anything that helps society as a whole. Tons of legacy industries... coal, oil, tobacco, pharmaceuticals, most notably.... were receiving obscenely huge and undeserved subsidies year after year for as much as a hundred years, due to cronyism, back-room deals and pandering. If Solyndra was allowed to fail it was not because it deserved to fail, but only because it was disruptive technology and the technologies it was disrupting had sufficient illicit political assistance in ensuring that Solyndra would be allowed to fail. Tesla Motors nearly failed by the same lack of support that Solyndra did-- it was perhaps a fluke that they did survive the depths of the recession around 2008, but it is fortunate they did survive. All it would have taken for Solyndra to be a blazing success like Tesla is today would have been for some legislation to have been passed to protect them from the predatory dumping of Chinese competition.

    150. Re: Wow by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      That's not how you measure success in investing.

    151. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Like I said in the first place it sounds like you want a level of perfection out of government that is not humanly possible to attain.

      Then you do not have the comprehension to criticize my position.

      You can objectively measure a difference in the feedback loops. The VC who loses money loses his own money. The public servant who loses money loses the public's money.

      Giving the same input to two systems with different feedback loops has different results. There's an entire field of study on it.

      And I also said in any large organization waste is inevitable.

      No one is disagreeing with this. But not all large organizations waste the same amount.

      I think it's your standards that need adjusting.

      I've given you your chance to make a point. You failed, and have instead lied about my position. What you think is now irrelevant to me.

      My standard is that people have a say on how their money is used. It's about ownership.

      At no point have I referenced the ideal level of organizational waste. If people want to choose 100% "waste" with their own money ... it's not my place to stop them.

    152. Re:Wow by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      As far as I'm aware, ERs across the country (in every state) have to stabilize people. They don't have to make sure they'll be stable for long, or treat any underlying conditions, but they can't kick someone out who is actively bleeding to death, for instance.

      And in Europe, you're starting to see some of the reasons America hasn't gone with that plan; the more people coming in as immigrants or requesting asylum who either can't or won't work, or if they do, pay very little in taxes, the less well those systems work.

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    153. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It sounds to me like your position is that the government shouldn't make loans with your tax dollars if there's any chance of it being lost. Period. Is that right?

      But even though Solyndra's money was lost the entire program that included them is now expected to make $5 to $6 billion for the federal government over the life of the program. That's $5 or $6 billion more than they would have had otherwise and over 10% profit. So they haven't lost money.

      Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. expects to earn $5 billion to $6 billion from the federal program that funded flops including Solyndra LLC, bolstering President Barack Obama’s decision to back low-carbon technologies.

      As the article explains the program was there to fund worthy projects that VC's wouldn't especially in the aftermath of the 2008 crash. I'd say the bureaucrats judgement of risk was pretty good if the program's making a profit.

    154. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      It sounds to me like your position is that the government shouldn't make loans with your tax dollars if there's any chance of it being lost. Period. Is that right?

      Not even close. You fail basic comprehension. Or you're a liar. Or even both.

      People have a right to do what they want with their own money. If they want it to be 100% lost, good for them. Basic rules of ownership and accountability.

      Another example of how you fail basic comprehension:

      The $5 billion to $6 billion figure was calculated based on the average rates and expected returns of funds dispersed so far, paid back over 20 to 25 years.

      "Expected returns". Do you know what that means? It's not actual, or they'd use that instead of extrapolating out 20-25 years from now.

      By the way, 10% return over 20-25 years is utterly horrible. Not that it's clear where you got that percentage.

      But what does evidence matter? It's clear you want to believe self-serving nonsense from government bureaucrats and crony capitalists who siphon public money. And you're willing to lie to help them cover it up. Do you even get paid, or do you sell your integrity for nothing?

    155. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Or you fail at getting your point across.

      People have the right to do what they want with their money but if you live in a society and enjoy the benefits of that society you also owe something to help maintain those benefits.

      By the way, 10% return over 20-25 years is utterly horrible. Not that it's clear where you got that percentage

      It's still better than a negative return. And on top of the interest return you have people employed who pay taxes and participate in the national economy which is worth something.

      The better than 10% came from the fact that the total program was somewhere around $43 billion. A $5 billion return on that would be 11.6%

    156. Re:Wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      In most parts of europe health care is not payed with taxes.
      On top of that the "systems don't work" (actually they work) because there is no real market. Different "institutions" have different interests.

      E.g. in Germany hospitals like to have people to long in the hospital, as the hospital is payed per day.

      That has nothing to do with immigrants, low taxes or non working refugees.

      In Denmark health care is payed by taxes, it is basically a branch of the state. You get kicked out of the hospital as soon as you seem fit.

      Bottom line the system is the same: people are required to pay as an "insurance" money into a pool. That pool is used to treat those who need.

      Nevertheless the way how it can be done and how much you bottom line pay is quite different.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    157. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Or you fail at getting your point across.

      Liar.

      You tried to disqualify me from your first response. Somehow, "the public gets a say in how public money is used" is translated into, "you want perfection".

      I gave you a chance to walk it back, but your misrepresentation was deliberate, and you have doubled down on it.

      In attacking my position, you attack the right of the public to control how public money is used. I'd respect your anti-democratic position if you were upfront about it. Democracies have their failings - one is that they don't have strong defenses against special-interest liars like yourself.

      It's still better than a negative return. And on top of the interest return you have people employed who pay taxes and participate in the national economy which is worth something.

      Moving the goalposts AND economic ignorance. 10% over 20-25 years *is* a negative return. You can do better with bonds. And the worst part is that the 10% return is imaginary. Check back on that prediction in 25 years.

      All these lies for what? So that a "green" corporation can get cheaper loan money from the government at the expense of the public. You lying corporate crony.

    158. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The public controls how public money is used mostly through their elected representatives, especially at the federal level. There are plenty of federal expenditures I don't like too but the program we're talking about isn't one of them. I guess we'll just have to agree to disagree.

    159. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      The public controls how public money is used mostly through their elected representatives, especially at the federal level.

      What do you think communicating public disapproval to said representatives is meant to do, you liar? Rip off the mask, and you suddenly gained the ability to grok my point.

      You tried to disqualify the public from disapproving of their very own representatives, you anti-democratic shill. "it sounds like unreasonable standards of perfection to question how public money is used!"

      The public gets a say in how public money is used, period. If you don't like the public's standards, don't beg for public money, corporate parasite.

    160. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I'm perfectly happy to have you communicate your disapproval to your elected representatives. I'm not trying to prevent that at all. I just disagree that the program was a waste, that's all. Since the program has performed better than Congress budgeted it for the controversy over Solyndra had more to do with attacking Obama than anything else.

    161. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      I'm perfectly happy to have you communicate your disapproval to your elected representatives. I'm not trying to prevent that at all.

      "I have good intentions," says the lying corporate shill. Too bad your actions say otherwise.

      I just disagree that the program was a waste, that's all.

      Then just say so instead of sniping at others for having unreasonable standards of "perfection".

    162. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      ROTFLMAO. That's the first time I've ever been called a corporate shill.

    163. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      ROTFLMAO. That's the first time I've ever been called a corporate shill.

      Who benefits from these green energy loans?

      Corporations, with supposed side benefits to the public.

    164. Re:Wow by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Corporations are a fact of life in our current economic system. Some of them do things you like, some do things you don't like. Most are a mixed bag as far as I'm concerned.

      In my judgement we all benefit from the green energy loans. The fact that corporations are involved has nothing to do with it.

    165. Re:Wow by SillyHamster · · Score: 1

      Corporations are a fact of life in our current economic system.

      That's nice. Regardless, shilling for a particular set of corporations makes you a corporate shill. It doesn't change anything if you claim to be an unwitting corporate shill.

      Don't want to be a shill? Then don't attack someone's standards just because he asserts the right of the public to control where public money goes.

      Wouldn't hurt to apologize, either.

  2. In "oil" country no less! by pr0t0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If I felt so inclined, I'm sure I could dig up post-upon-post from previous slashdot stories about how unlikely solar (and wind) power is to take off in any meaningful way, and how electric cars will never be a thing. We are just at the beginning, and the economic incentives took only a few year to become reality. I'm guessing that is due in no small part to subsidies paving the way for investment and growth that so many complained about. An industry, and really a way of life, is slowly being built from the ground-up. It's pretty exciting to watch!

    --
    I'm sorry, but your opinion seems to be wrong.
    1. Re:In "oil" country no less! by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I just wish people would hold other people accountable for their rank hypocrisy. Here's another commercial example... Chevy has aluminum trucks coming in 2018 but they're slagging Ford for selling them right now. What astonishing douchebags. But people will just buy those trucks in a few years...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All it's going to take is the military, when they get interested in renewables (which they are) then all of a sudden Big Energy will get humping on that train

      I mean look at how much research is going into efficient battery development, energy collection and practical applications. It finally really feels like the dawn of renewable energy is coming

      Man, if we can figure out cold fusion soon (which is sounding more and more feasible all the time) then we're gonna be hitting a new golden age

    3. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      Considering most of the well priced solar panels are coming from China these days, are these government subsidies being sent over there? That definitely would be something to complain about.

      Or are the subsidies just trying to get the US to play catchup? That would also be something to complain about.

    4. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Tower · · Score: 2

      Yeah. In the car industry that is pretty standard. I think it was Ford who was a year or two behind on the dual sliding doors on minivans and ran ads about how unsafe that was... until theirs was available. And the execs rotate around and they use different ad companies so they can all blame it on the last guy if anyone does ask.

      --
      "It's tough to be bilingual when you get hit in the head."
    5. Re:In "oil" country no less! by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Oh please! You do understand the nature of marketing, don't you? You gotta go with what works.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    6. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Socguy · · Score: 1

      No kidding! Obstacles to wide-scale renewable energy adoptions are dropping faster than I could have imagined. Only the most ideologically driven, self interested reactionaries can't see where this thing is headed. The smart money is already making the choice.

      Must be a scary thing to sit on the board of an oil or coal company trying to figure how to dig up every last ounce before you're effectively relegated a niche product.

    7. Re:In "oil" country no less! by fbobraga · · Score: 1

      It's the free market!

    8. Re:In "oil" country no less! by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

      is texas oil country? they have refineries in california too

    9. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar has always had some important niches to play. No one believes that solar can power the entire planet (sometimes there are clouds and sometimes it is night).

      What it can do, however, is flatten the base load requirements by providing power during the heat of the day. The highest period of solar generation in the day tends to be the highest period of demand. Combine this with availability of other sources, such as natural gas plants that can cycle up and down quickly, and you suddenly find that you may not need to maintain as much overall energy production.

      Solar can also provide power in disconnected areas. In areas that lack a mature grid, this can provide a level of power that can significantly improve life. Solar with batteries can also provide a backup capability for when the grid fails or is unreliable.

    10. Re:In "oil" country no less! by gstoddart · · Score: 2

      Yes ... lying bastards making dubious claims as if they were factual, with the intent of furthering their own interests, and with a willingness to deceive the customer.

      But never lose track of this point ... lying bastards.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    11. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Economic incentives to domestic oil and gas prospectors also gave us a revolution in fracking and $39/bbl oil. Naturally, this is demeaned as `corporate welfare.'

      Meanwhile, please continue ignoring the contribution of Texas pro-business and pro-industry policies that don't prioritize pressure group hysteria over infrastructure development. Your solar dreams are found in Texas, not la-la land CA or wherever you indulge your hates.

    12. Re: In "oil" country no less! by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      It's not oil country, it's energy country. Try opening your mind, it hurts at first but the benefits are astounding.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    13. Re:In "oil" country no less! by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Oh please! You do understand the nature of marketing, don't you? You gotta go with what works.

      What astonishing douchebags.

      Clearly, he understands it completely.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    14. Re:In "oil" country no less! by operagost · · Score: 1

      You don't even have to Read The Fine Article... just Read The Fine Summary to see that "Solar power has gotten so cheap to produce and so competitively priced in the electricity market that it is taking hold even in a state that, unlike California, doesn't offer incentives to utilities to buy or build sun-powered generation."

      NOT due to subsidies-- at least not state or local ones.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    15. Re:In "oil" country no less! by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      What happened to fibreglass cars? They used to the next big thing, no rust etc.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    16. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      "is texas oil country? they have refineries in california too"

      You might think of solar development as being more ideologically 'California' than it is 'Texas,' but the crucial difference is you can still get things built in Texas.

    17. Re:In "oil" country no less! by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Informative

      What happened to fibreglass cars? They used to the next big thing, no rust etc.

      Too easy to damage, too hard to repair. Even Aluminum is easier than fiberglass, you just weld in a new section. Also, a fiberglass body is just landfill when you're done with it, aluminum or steel is highly recyclable — aluminum actually moreso, because the resulting alloy is more similar to what you started with. Recycled steel is brittle. We used to make cars out of mild steel here and then when they got crushed they would make them into harder steel and make Japanese cars out of them. Now we make cars out of hard steel too, and when they get crushed, they make dishwashers and shipping containers. But Aluminum cars will just get made into more cars.

      Aluminum is more of a PITA to repair than steel, but no plan is perfect.

      We don't use space frames wrapped in non-structural body panels because that's an inefficient use of space. It's cool for a race car but doesn't make much sense for a street car. You can only really build a sports car that way, which is why only sports cars are (or were) built that way; Corvette, some Ferraris, etc.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    18. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Man, if we can figure out cold fusion soon (which is sounding more and more feasible all the time)

      Citation, please.

    19. Re:In "oil" country no less! by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Subsidies? Wrong. Just cheap Chinese mass production. Period end of story

    20. Re: In "oil" country no less! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's not oil country, it's energy country. Try opening your mind, it hurts at first but the benefits are astounding.

      Texas has been describing itself as oil country and bad-mouthing "alternative" power all along, so your comment is apt, but only if you aim it in the correct direction.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    21. Re:In "oil" country no less! by toadlife · · Score: 1

      the crucial difference is you can still get things built in Texas.

      California gets a higher percentage of it's energy from solar than any other state, by at least an order of magnitude, and more solar capacity is being built right now in California than in any other state, by far.

      If Texas, which has a huge amount of prime solar real estate can catch up, more power to them, but to say nothing can be built in CA is not paying attention to the reality on the ground.

      --
      I don't always use unix-like operating systems; but when I do, I prefer FreeBSD.
    22. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      The chinese solar panel market receives substantial subsidies from the chinese government. This allowed them to sell the panels at lower profit markets. The logical reason would be an attempt to capture the solar panel market.

      The problem was... solar panels are still dropping rapidly in price. So while some 1st world companies went bankrupt, new ones arose.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    23. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm reminded of the growing phone size as well. One side makes fun of how big phones are growing... but follows suit. Neither side mentions the real reason why phones get big... the faster and faster CPUs require more heat dissipation, and for a fanless device, it requires more area to get heat away from the CPU.

      Same with aluminum pickup trucks. Ford and Chevy are going to that technology because it saves weight and thus MPG... and since trucks are a top seller, it is crucial for meeting CAFE standards.

    24. Re:In "oil" country no less! by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Thanks, informative. I had a fibreglass Renault many years ago. Good car, despite being a Renault.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    25. Re:In "oil" country no less! by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      faster than I could have imagined.

      Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.

    26. Re:In "oil" country no less! by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Yes, I've been following the saga of Ivanpah. By the skin of its teeth, it got built after surviving every lawsuit the flat-earth lobby could throw at it. And this was in the eastern Mojave Desert, the most featureless, empty, godforsaken, sun-blasted place this side of Mercury. An ideal place to build large arrays of solar collectors without affecting anything in the sacred Environment that one would actually care about, but then again it is in California, where there's a hippie mother to weep for the soul of every diamondback whose habitat would now be shaded.

      West Texas is not quite as good climatically. It's in the Southwestern monsoon belt, so there some rain in July and August, but it's pretty flat and empty. Now that transmission lines are in - and you can no longer build those in California either, even to connect a windfield to an orphanage - this is now the place to farm for renewables.

    27. Re:In "oil" country no less! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Recycled steel is brittle.
      That is nonsense.
      Recycled steel is what ever you want as you add elements or remove elements as you see fit.
      European cars are produced to 90% or more from recycled steel. Except for Audi which is producing cars mainly from Aluminium.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    28. Re:In "oil" country no less! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Recycled steel is what ever you want as you add elements or remove elements as you see fit.

      As you go down the line of recycling it costs more money. With Aluminum, you don't have that problem to begin with. Aluminum costs more to refine, more to repair, but less to recycle. It takes less energy to recycle as well due to its lower melting point.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    29. Re: In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Texas is where owning more than four dildos is punishable by two to ten years in prison.

      This is a state where the capital of it doesn't even have a usable solar power plant within 300 miles of it, and they talk solar. Ironic that.

    30. Re:In "oil" country no less! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As you go down the line of recycling it costs more money As you go down the line of recycling it costs more money
      No it does not. There is no difference in recycling steel or Aluminium.

      Yes, energy wise Aluminium is cheaper, due to its lower melting point. However regarding quality there is no difference at all.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    31. Re: In "oil" country no less! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar is to CISC as Nuclear is to RISC...

    32. Re:In "oil" country no less! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      No it does not. There is no difference in recycling steel or Aluminium.

      What? Who told you that? Because that's not what I learned from an ASE-certified master body man and master mechanic while I was studying auto body and paint.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    33. Re:In "oil" country no less! by jabuzz · · Score: 1

      Really, highest load is during the heat of the day??? What heat is that??? Where I live the highest load is sometime in the evening during winter when there is exactly *ZERO* solar power available.

      Not everyone lives in sunny warm locations you know. That said solar should be a big part of the energy generation equation in most parts of the world, even if it means shipping it in on power lines.

    34. Re:In "oil" country no less! by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, no idea what you learned.
      It is actually a no brainer :)
      As I said before, the inly difference is that Aluminium is modt esily recycled with electric current and steel is so so or recycled with coal/koks.
      However that has no influence on its quallity and recycled steel is in no way brittle.
      I worked a few years for Thyssen&Krupp Stahl ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  3. Call it what you want it isn't green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Can we all just start to admit that wind and solar farms have their own negative environmental implications just like everything else.

    Global warming no, environmental disruption yes.

    1. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Think it's bad now, wait until we green the deserts.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    2. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Oil gives you both, so solar/wind are a +1.

    3. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by PraiseBob · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Have you been to west texas...? It's basically a desert. There isn't much environment to disrupt.

    4. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by Jeremi · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Can we all just start to admit that wind and solar farms have their own negative environmental implications just like everything else.

      Straw man argument -- nobody ever claimed otherwise. Obviously, anything humans do has environmental implications.

      The claim is that wind and solar farms have less environmental impact than the use of coal and other fossil fuels they intend to replace.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    5. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Like what?

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    6. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      Well, there's an "environment" everywhere. It may not necessarily be one you'd like to live in, but that doesn't mean it's not an "environment."

      For example, I'd imagine you have lots of snakes and lizards in West Texas. They like hot weather--or, more precisely, hot things. So we cover the desert with solar panels and what happens to the snakes and lizards?

      I'll grant you, this is Texas, so the answer is, "Who cares?"

    7. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      AZ is far more desert than west Texas and there are environmentalists all over solar plant here.

    8. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
    9. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Is that the best you can come up with? Most people at least can think of birds.
      Fossil fuels, OTOH, have nasty problems like cancer, lung disease, heart disease, climate destruction (which will kill all the tortoises and birds as well as people, fish, etc. - everything except cockroaches).

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    10. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

      That's not a straw man, it's a false equivalency. Solar and wind have dramatically lower environmental costs than coal, oil or even gas. The impacts aren't equivalent and shouldn't be compared as such.

    11. Re:Call it what you want it isn't green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a straw man if he's arguing against a position (that solar/wind have no environmental impact) that no one is actually taking, in order to knock those straw environmentalists down.

  4. Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by ThomasBHardy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There's something I've never understood here.

    if you have land for wind power, why would you not want solar spread around it in the safety zone of the tower? Same lines can carry all of the power. Lower real estate cost. Why is it that I only ever see or hear about a solar farm or a wind farm and never an energy farm?

    Maybe someone here more familiar with the topic can help me out, or tell me that it's being done and just not talked about much.

    --
    Warning: Teh poster of this messaeg is lysdexic
    1. Re: Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The eagle and condor carcasses falling down from the chopping blades foul up the solar collectors.

    2. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Competing companies. Shortsightedness. Stupidity.

      Take your pick. Any or all.

    3. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      I don't know about Texas, but in Denmark it is extremely common to use the land next to the towers to collect solar energy. But mostly using photosynthesis, for growing food.

      PV panels on the ground is great for deserts or other places where there are not a lot of alternative uses for the land. In farmable areas it might be a better idea to place the PV panels on rooftops, where you can't grow crops and you also have a connection to the grid nearby. One day we may run out of empty rooftops but we still have a long way to go.

    4. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by boristdog · · Score: 5, Informative

      Well, I drive through a lot of massive wind farms in Texas a lot and that land usually IS being used.

      Usually for agriculture. Lots of cotton, corn, soybeans, cattle, etc. are raised around turbines.

    5. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that's too grim a view.

      I think 'competing companies' is right, but in the sense that they have specific focus areas. A company that sells wind farms may know jack shit about solar farms and vice versa. Also, land costs money, but I'm not sure the savings of having both solar and wind on the same slab of land are worth the added complexity and limitations on that land (i.e. if it is suitable for both).

    6. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Jeremi · · Score: 2

      There are some drawbacks to colocating wind and solar:

      - It's not always the case that a single parcel of land is optimal for both wind and solar

      - Wind turbines will cast shadows onto the solar panels if placed together, reducing the solar panels' output somewhat

      Which isn't to say that placing both together isn't a good idea, only that there are some tradeoffs. I suspect that doing them separately also keeps the projects simpler to implement on both the regulatory and technical sides.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    7. Re: Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1, Funny

      "The eagle and condor carcasses falling down from the chopping blades foul up the solar collectors."

      Solar grills right below the wind towers!

    8. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Solandri · · Score: 2

      The viability of solar and wind are highly dependent on geography. Just like you wouldn't build a hydroelectric dam in the desert, there are specific areas which are prime for solar and wind. Building solar or wind outside of those locations represents lower energy production for the same cost, so it's preferable to use that money to build elsewhere. The wind farms tend to get built where there's the most wind. The solar farms tend to get built where there's the most sunshine. It's pretty much only the southwestern U.S. where these two overlap (actually, wind is viable in lots of places, solar is pretty much only viable in the desert southwest + Hawaii).

      Once their energy production costs drop to where you can plop a wind turbine or a solar panel pretty much anywhere and it'll cost less than buying power from the grid, then you'll see more overlap. Wind is almost there - its cost per kWh is about the same to 50% more than coal in the prime locations. Solar still has a ways to go, costing 2-4x more.

    9. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This. I'm from Kansas and we have a lot of wind power as well...a family friend has leased some of his land as part of a substantial wind farm (I think his property only has 2 or 3 turbines on it though).

      Basically, most of this land is leased in long-term contracts which include both a periodic guaranteed payments as well as a small cut of the wholesale cost of the power generated. However, as I understand it, the actual land used is negligible and farmers typically continue to farm and/or ranch on the portion unused by the actual turbines (and service roads). I'm fairly sure the terms of the contract dictates the total amount of land to be used by the lessee...if they wanted to plant a bunch of PV cells there, they would have to renegotiate the contract. Right now, farmers/ranchers tend to do pretty well in that business, so I'm not sure the power companies could offer a lease that would both be high enough from the land owner's perspective to gain full access to the land as well as be low enough (from their perspective) to allow them to turn a profit.

    10. Re: Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well you must admit, Texas has some pretty great BBQ. Now if we can market the mystery meat to the customers, we'll be rich, rich I tell ya!!

    11. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The viability of solar and wind are highly dependent on geography. Just like you wouldn't build a hydroelectric dam in the desert, there are specific areas which are prime for solar and wind.

      While I agree with your basic point, you might be surprised to find one of the US's most well known hydroelectric dams is in fact in a desert.

    12. Re: Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean turkey vultures and crows? Because that's about all there is flying around west texas.

    13. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they didn't build a dam in the desert, what would happen to the desert Southwest without Hoover dam?

    14. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup, mostly this, you put wind farms up in regular farms so you can use the same space twice.

      If you put in solar, you would lose the agriculture, which isn't exactly a win.

      Putting solar in roofs however, again you get to use the same space twice, not sure how much sense it makes residentially, but it would seem that the roof of a box store would be damn near ideal.

    15. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Usually because the wind towers create shadows and shadows are bad for panels. There is an operational reason as well, you want your panels as densely packed as possible to allow for reduced maintenance costs.

    16. Re:Why are solar and wind not on the same land? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, the places where there is good wind are not necessarily the same places as the places where there is lots of sunlight.

  5. Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

    Wind turbine generation is such shit. If you have a lot of constant, unending wind, it seems like a good idea; typically, solar outclasses it by far.

    My analysis of solar has changed in the past month. I last looked half a decade or so ago, when the ROI for solar was 19 years; it's now 2.5 years. Seriously. What the fuck? The arrays are more efficient, and they're down from like $3.84/W for shit-efficiency panels that degrade rapidly to $1.81/W for high-efficiency panels that degrade by less than 0.7% per year and are guaranteed to have above 80.7% efficiency 25 years into their lifespan--with god damn microinverters and advanced monitoring systems. When did this shit happen? I can generate 9,800kWh/year with optimal placement, 9,200kWh/year with simple placement, and thus about $1500 of electricity and $1700 of SRECs.

    1. Re:Wind energy is such shit by GNious · · Score: 1

      Wind turbine generation is such shit. If you have a lot of constant, unending wind, it seems like a good idea; typically, solar outclasses it by far.

      ...as evidenced by the great many solar-installations being built at sea.

    2. Re:Wind energy is such shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My analysis of solar has changed in the past month

      Has it occurred to you that a month ago you were full of shit, just like you were 6 months ago, and that your insightful analysis of solar and when it would be viable isn't especially useful or insightful?

      The technology was viable before you accepted it as such.

    3. Re:Wind energy is such shit by Socguy · · Score: 2

      Wind energy is still the cheapest renewable out there with research continuing at a breakneck pace. Solar will likely out-compete one day but wind still has the advantage of being a potential 24hr generator as well as not needing such large battery backups systems since downtime is more likely to only be a few hours as opposed to 12 or more with solar. As wind energy reaches higher and higher altitude winds, their consistency continually increases to the point where inflatable models promise the potential for 24hr generation from those high altitude winds.

    4. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The problem is output per area. Large solar installations use 8 acres per MW, with the sun only out for part of the day, and varying insolation per year; while large wind installations use, at the extreme, 14 acres per MW. Wind average is 85 acres per MW; the most efficient are 14, 23, 25, 29, 30, 37, and so forth. There are a handful under 50 acres per MW, and many over 100, some as high as 300 acres per MW.

      As for the fluffy argument, solar is predictable for the whole year; wind is not.

    5. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      They're some of the least-efficient plants. A few at 37 acres/MW, some at 100+ acres/MW.

      There's actually a comparison of land usage for a nuclear power plant as a wind farm or solar farm.

    6. Re:Wind energy is such shit by tomhath · · Score: 2

      The problem is output per area.

      That's only a problem for solar. Most of the land under a turbine can still be used for agriculture.

      As for predictable, wind in Texas is very predictable and available far more than sunshine.

    7. Re:Wind energy is such shit by Hussman32 · · Score: 2

      It has gotten better. FWIW, I'm getting solar installed (using a small business contractor, almost 30% less than the larger corporate companies), and the one thing that they don't include in their economic analysis is value added to the home. The panels have a 25 year guarantee, I may live in my house that long, I don't know, but it's certain to be a separator in the real estate market to a comparable home. It adds an asterisk to the 7 year payback...I'll probably get it all back if I should sell prior to the warranty expiration.

      --
      "Who are you?" "No one of consequence." "I must know." "Get used to disappointment."
    8. Re:Wind energy is such shit by GNious · · Score: 2

      Yeah, my observation is that land-usage by windfarms is going away, as countries are now placing them at sea - meanwhile, I've not heard of any "oceanic solarfarms", and I'm thinking spray and saline might work against that concept.

    9. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      You can't pack wind turbines closely together to create a dense, purposed wind farm. To produce a wind farm, you must secure mineral rights (the mineral being wind) to an enormous land area--say, 300,000 acres instead of about 13,000. That means you must either lease the right to use the footprint of the windmill, or dual-purpose your farm. Farm equipment can't just roll clear through a wind turbine, so will need to navigate around the turbine; this means more labor, and possibly difficult problems if the turbines are close enough together; not to mention the problem of reaching the turbine with heavy equipment for maintenance, driving through the soy and corn.

      The land area demanded by a solar farm is much smaller. Management is much less labor-intensive, and doesn't spill over into agricultural management while you try to dual-use the land. Solar farms can reside on land which isn't suitable for agriculture. Solar farms involve many fewer pieces of industrial equipment. Off-shore wind farms cost twice as much as PV or on-shore wind, which means the small land footprint of solar reduces both the need for off-shore facilities and the size (and expense) of any theoretical off-shore facility.

      Texas wind power output ranges from 60 to 120 acres per MW. That means the wind is blowing 4-8 times as much in Scottland. Texas has 12,000 megawatts of installed wind power generation capacity, but generated 36,000 megawatt hours of wind power in 2013--that means wind power provided 4.1 megawatts, or 34.1% availability. That means you've installed a plant that you think could work 24 hours per day, if only the wind were blowing in the right direction; it will not be blowing, or be blowing in the wrong direction (modern wind turbines don't have this problem to as much of a degree, if any), 2/3 of the time, and you don't know when until the power goes out.

      With solar, you know the sun is out during the day. You know when sunrise is. You know when sunset is. You can predict storm fronts and know ahead of time when clouds are coming, so you can crank up your baseline power. Its availability is quite nearly the availability of the sun--which is so reliable in its punctuality that you could literally set your watch by it, UNLIKE THE WIND WHICH SHOWS UP WHENEVER IT FUCKING FEELS LIKE IT.

    10. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I'm getting a 7kW kit with microinverters (fuck string inverters). According to PVWatts, which my state uses to decide how many energy credits to give you for generation (rather than reading your actual generation statistics) for arrays under 10kW, I'll generate 9,842kWh/year on average, saving $1772 in electricity costs (including transmission fees, per-kWh taxes, etc.), plus about 10 SRECs selling for between $150 and $200 each (they're selling for $200 now!)--another $1500.

      With the 30% ITC and the $1,000 MD grant, the ROI is 2.5 years. $8,000 base cost just about, $3,000 yearly return.

    11. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Off-shore wind farms, as I've said, cost twice as much per unit power generated as solar. Solar's land usage is much smaller (2%-13%, depending on who you ask).

    12. Re:Wind energy is such shit by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      That is a reasonable argument, but consider that a nuclear plant is closer to 8 acres per GW, and that is 1GW 95% of the time, not some pitiful fraction of renewable nameplate capacity. Together, these factors give nuclear a footprint many thousands of times less than renewables. Please, let us not pave the world to harvest the sparse energy of wind and the sun, when there are better alternatives.

      Once one considers the resources that wind and solar require, including land, materials, and the fossil fuels to produce them, the only reasonable conclusion is that they are an environmental travesty. Beyond the thousands of tons of concrete, steel, and rare earths required for each unit, there are vast expanses of land which must be razed to make way for access roads and power transmission infrastructure out to the middle of nowhere. (Which will be poorly utilized because of the low capacity factor, and not economically viable.) One can appreciate how fruitless and ludicrous this exercise is with only a bit of math, or by objectively viewing the results of the "progress" to date. See The Renewables Future – A Summary of Findings.

    13. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      13,000 acres of solar power become something like 2 acres of nuclear power. Nuclear is 1GW like 90% of the time (Texas's main plant has a hard time maintaining that, and goes as low as 89.1% some years). Solar is supposed to be 28%-30%.

      That 8 acres per MW is 1MW average, which means 13,000 acres of solar produce the same output as 2 acres of nuclear, but only run 30% of capacity while nuclear runs about 90% of capacity. The installed capacity of that 1MW is like 3-4MW.

      Capacity is weird. It's not just the amount of time, but the amount of output. A solar panel running 50% of the time at 30% of nameplate output would run at 15% capacity availability.

    14. Re:Wind energy is such shit by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Wind works best at very large scale; for residential PV is almost always better. Even at mountain-top radio sites, the wind turbines are generally only provided for source diversity purposes anymore.

    15. Re:Wind energy is such shit by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > The problem is output per area.

      If its such a problem, why is wind the fastest growing energy source in history?

      The answer is that it's not a problem, except to people looking for any excuse they can find to attack [insert any other power source here].

    16. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      If its such a problem, why is wind the fastest growing energy source in history?

      Politics, inherently marketing. Makes for good arguments for grants and loans.

    17. Re:Wind energy is such shit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      When did this shit happen?
      That is simple to answer: your analysis "half a decade" ago was already wrong. You like felt for some anti solar propaganda.

      What by the way are "SRECs" ... hoping nothing dangerous!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    18. Re:Wind energy is such shit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Solar land usage is not smaller.
      First of all: wind farms don't use up land. The land around the pillars is still used for farming or what ever.
      Solar panles on the other hand make the land close to unusable where they are built. Hence we usually build them on top of existing buildings and not on arable land.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    19. Re:Wind energy is such shit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Neither wind nor solar need batterie packs for "downtime".

      At night the demand for electricity is only half of what you demand during daytime.

      If your country would run 100% by solar, simply speaking you would need 150% daytime demand as production capacity, 100% you would just spend for that demand and 50% you would store and use at night when demand is 50%.

      Obviously that makes not much sense, when you can supply the night demand with wind.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    20. Re:Wind energy is such shit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Farm equipment can't just roll clear through a wind turbine
      Seems neither the german wind turbine companies nor the german farmers know that.
      I guess ignorance is a bliss ... so hey don't die due to hazzards ;D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    21. Re:Wind energy is such shit by Hussman32 · · Score: 1

      Interesting, in California we aren't able to get SRECs, though we get performance credits. It'll take me more time to payback (about 6 years). All of a sudden even without some of the credits solar becomes a decent long-term investment for your primary home.

      --
      "Who are you?" "No one of consequence." "I must know." "Get used to disappointment."
    22. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Or the tech changed.

      My state taxes energy producers (factories, foundries, and power plants) $300 per MWh generated. A MWh of solar/wind gets a credit which can bypass this tax. The credits are transferable, so there's an exchange on which to sell them; utility companies have been paying $198 per credit as of late, up from $168. I usually project them as $150.

    23. Re:Wind energy is such shit by mattack2 · · Score: 1

      I last looked half a decade or so ago, when the ROI for solar was 19 years;

      You seem to think that's bad. I think that's amazing, and would easily be worth putting in solar with that ROI (even _ignoring_ any investment money I could make in the meantime). I use so little energy that it doesn't make sense for me though... Much less the 2.5 years you have.. That's a "do it tomorrow!" price, IMHO.

    24. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      This really looks like a farm.

      The only actual farmland I've seen with wind turbines eschew dense packing for broad spread, making wind power not only opportunistic, but low-density. Not inefficient, but ineffective: generating a megawatt here or there is different than generating hundreds of megawatts.

      In other words: faced with dedicating a square of land to a wind farm or dedicating a square of land to solar, a dedicated solar array will produce 8 times as much output. Faced with not dedicating a square of land, you can usually get better output from a PV cell--farmland being an exception, since the PV produces more shade; wind turbines of practical size placed on street lighting would not generate nearly as much power as PV panels of the same space usage on the same street lighting.

      I could theoretically generate 800W of wind power at my house, or 7,000W of solar using just my roof space. That's an 800W output residential turbine that might run at 34% of its output (in my case, it'd actually be 8%; Texas gets 34% in well-placed installations), producing an actual 2380kWh (in my case specifically, about 561kWh); the 7kW PV array (theoretical 24 hour max output: 61000kWh) will generate, in practice, 9850kWh on average. Were my lot vacant, it may fit two wind turbines (4700kWh); it would take four at the high-capacity output of a Texas wind farm to meet what my solar panels do in just my roof space--which is 900 square feet on a 4500 square foot lot (capable of generating 49,250kWh of output if it were blanketed in solar panels, instead of 4,700kWh blanketed in wind turbines; and my panels aren't two-axis tracking, but fixed axis monocrystaline at 15.7% efficiency, at a sub-optimal azimuth).

      Farms with turbines are like slapping a wind turbine in my back yard and producing that projected 2,400kWh per year. They spread their turbines more widely than my back yard, but also use bigger turbines. Even a dense, dedicated wind farm is blown out of the water by a dense, dedicated solar farm.

    25. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I use so little energy that it doesn't make sense for me though

      I'm actually ramping up my electricity usage by getting a split system heat pump instead of gas, to eliminate all gas space heating. I don't want to produce more electricity than I use, because I pay taxes and transmission fees on every kWh of electricity I consume: if I send energy back, it's worth about 7 cents per kWh less than if I would otherwise reasonably consume it. That means going from an $120 gas bill to consuming $60 worth of electricity, doubling my electricity usage, allows me to derive a better profit from a PV array by evading the taxes inherent in that $60 worth of electricity rather than selling it back to the grid unused for $40.

      Electric dryer, electric heat pump, electric heat pump water heater, gas stove. Imagine having a plug-in electric vehicle (an extra 180kWh per month--300 mile range on the 60kWh battery, and I fill my 300 mile gasoline tank 3 times).

    26. Re:Wind energy is such shit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I'm not interested to read your strange post.

      All on shore wind farms in germany, on shore means on the land and not at sea, are built on farms.

      Every single pillar for a wind mill uses up a 5x5 meter area. Sometimes more, if there is an fenced area around it.

      Bottom line the amount of farm land lost is negligible.

      No idea what you want to say with "difference is if you want to generate 100ds of megawatts".

      A single windmill produces 25MW ... 4 of them is 100MW ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    27. Re:Wind energy is such shit by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Residential turbines are crap. Solar far outclasses them, but this is not true with commercial wind turbines. You get a modern 90m high turbine or the new recommended standard 140m high turbine and you generate serious power in a very small foot print. Solar can't come anywhere near that energy density, the trick is tapping those strong winds because the power output is a function of wind speed, turbine height and blade length. The small residential turbines they sell excel at none of those strengths and as a result are essentially worthless unless you could get it for free.

    28. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      A single windmill produces 25MW ... 4 of them is 100MW ...

      Oh really?

      GE Renewable Energy is the world's leading wind turbine supplier with wind turbines with rated capacities ranging from 1.6 MW-3.2 MW.

      The V164 8MW turbine is the latest addition to the to top 10 list. The Vestas V164 came online in January 2014, nearly three years after the project was first unveiled in London. Curiously for an offshore turbine, the V164 is geared. Other notable features include a 80 metre-long blades and a lightweight nacelle that won the design innovation category in Windpower Monthly's annual wind turbine awards. The first machine has been installed for testing at the Danish national wind turbine test centre at Osterild.

      The biggest on-shore turbine is a 7MW deal. That's 7MW of nameplate output, which of course you don't actually get--in the same way you get more out of solar, but not 100% of the nameplate 100% of the time.

      How far apart are turbines?

      According to JHU, the newest wind farms typically use turbines with rotor diameters of about 300 feet. Currently, turbines on large wind farms are spaced about seven rotor diameters apart.

      So, on those dense, dedicated wind turbines, they're 2100 feet apart. An acre is 208 x 208 feet--43560 square feet. That means four rotors are spaced at the extreme corners of 100 acre square areas. The biggest land rotors are 7MW, so that's, oh... 28MW in 100 acres, or 0.28MW/acre of peak nameplate output. Of course, that 7MW Enercon has a rotor diameter of 127 meters (416 feet), so you'd space them 2916 feet apart--a 14 x 14 acre square, 196 acres, producing 28MW, or 0.14MW per acre. Of course, when you stretch it out, you don't bump them up next to each other; a grid of 3x3 would space across 21 x 21 acre square area, each acre with a unit edge of 208 feet, or a total of 441 acres generating 63MW, or 0.14MW/acre, when winds are high and constant.

      My rooftop solar array, on a 900 square foot roof, has a rated output of 7kW and an actual output of 1.1kW. The same panels stretched out over 1 acre would have an actual output of 16kW, and a nameplate rated output of 103kW. Stretched across the 441 acres of that wind farm, they'd generate an actual output of 7.2MW (7,200kW).

      Every single pillar for a wind mill uses up a 5x5 meter area.

      If I took that same stretch of 441 acres and put nine 5x5 meter arrays in the same place as the wind turbines, I would have an actual generation of 0.92MW, and a theoretical of 5.8MW. This is why I said wind farms are not inefficient, but ineffective: they're spaced far and wide even on dedicated wind farms--you know, the majority of wind farms, which are not farms--and the average farm in the US is, oddly enough, 441 acres, enough for nine wind turbines.

      The United States has the potential to install a total 10,500 gigawatts of wind generation capacity. It has the potential to install 200,000 gigawatts of solar generation capacity. Solar is just a more efficient use of land, getting everything closer together. Solar is to wind what nuclear is to coal: a small installation with the output of 20 large installations.

    29. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The turbines are typically spaced 7 diameters apart, which for one of those 7kW turbines is 2900 feet. In a 441 acre square plot, you can fit nine turbines. Solar in a 441 acre plot generates a fuckload more power.

    30. Re:Wind energy is such shit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry if I have to hammer it into your brain:
      Square arcres are irrelevant, as you simply farm around the wind mills as usually.
      No idea why you rae ranting so idiotic.
      A typical off shore wind mill in germany is 25MW nameplate. And the diameter is not 300feet, we use meeters, and it would be sane for americans to use yards for everything that is more than a dozen of feet.
      How big those mills are is up to you to google ;D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    31. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Square arcres are irrelevant, as you simply farm around the wind mills as usually.

      One: The installable capacity in an area is low. That is: if you want to power an adjacent 15 square mile city, you need a 9,000 square mile area instead of a 2 square mile area. (Numbers not to scale, but you get the idea.)

      In other words: You need to find and control a hell of a lot of land to build the same wind generation capacity as solar; and the local weather patterns often aren't advantageous.

      Two: The vast majority of wind generation installations are dedicated, non-agricultural farms. Your argument is akin to saying that marriage doesn't restrict your sex life because you can just have sex with college schoolgirls as usual: that's not actually common, even if your one buddy's wife lets him bring home strays.

      A typical off shore wind mill in germany is 25MW nameplate

      SheerWind claimed to have invented a new turbine vortex system in 2013 that looks like a giant funnel and sucks 25MW out of 2mph wind by converting it into 40mph wind; it's not in production.

      In June of 2015--that is, two months ago--Japan unveiled a 220 meter (721 feet for us barbarians) wind tower, the highest-output in the world. Its nameplate output is 7MW.

      NO 25MW NAMEPLATE WINDMILL EXISTS.

      You're either lying, stupid, or both.

    32. Re:Wind energy is such shit by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      NO 25MW NAMEPLATE WINDMILL EXISTS.

      You're either lying, stupid, or both.

      That counts more for you, as we are installing them since years.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    33. Re:Wind energy is such shit by burbilog · · Score: 1

      The turbines are typically spaced 7 diameters apart, which for one of those 7kW turbines is 2900 feet. In a 441 acre square plot, you can fit nine turbines. Solar in a 441 acre plot generates a fuckload more power. But only during the day.

    34. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      No, in total. Those calculations were based on actual, measured output power of real installations, not nameplate ratings.

      That is to say: the turbines are rated 63kW in that installation, and generate 19kW; those solar panels are rated 45,000 kW, and generate 9,000kW. 9,000 is more than 19.

    35. Re:Wind energy is such shit by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Japan officially unveiled today its 7 megawatt (MW) wind turbine, the world’s largest offshore turbine to date. It is slated to be operational by September [of 2015].

      Let's also look at contenders.

      The SeaTitan 10MW wind turbine designed by American energy technologies company AMSC is currently the biggest wind turbine in the world. [...] AMSC is currently negotiating with potential partners to build and commercialise the SeaTitan 10MW wind turbines.

      That one's not in production yet.

      The ST10 offshore wind turbine designed and developed by the Norwegian technology company Sway, is the world's second biggest wind turbine. It has a power output of 10MW, is equipped with a rotor of 164m diameter, has a 2rpm nominal speed and blades 67m in length. [...] Sway Turbine is looking for potential partners to commercialise the ST10 turbine technology.

      Looking to commercialize this one, too.

      French energy company Areva's 8MW wind turbine, launched in November 2013, is the world's third biggest wind turbine by rated capacity. [...] The turbine's prototype is scheduled to be installed in 2015, while commercial production is expected to begin in 2018.

      This is the third-highest-nameplate-capacity turbine in the world, behind the two 10MW ones that haven't even gone into production yet. This one is looking for a prototype test in 2015, and maybe commercial production in 2018.

      Shit this big doesn't exist yet. No single 10MW turbine exists yet. You're claiming you've got single 25MW turbines installed, when they don't exist either. Do you also have Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny over there, and a functional warp drive and space fold generator?

  6. Electricity is too cheap to meter by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    We are now ready for fixed infrastructure payments instead.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:Electricity is too cheap to meter by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Some utilities really should be metered this way. Our city started a big initiative to cut water usage. We have a huge surplus of fresh water, so there's no reason to limit usage, but it was an effort that made them look good to the uninformed public. Since they bill on usage, when the water usage went down, the amount they collected in usage fees went down. However, the cost of operating water treatment did not go down. Water treatment is mostly fixed costs, with very little of the cost varying with the amount of water you need to process. So the next year they had to double everybody's water rates so that they had enough money to operate the treatment facility.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  7. Interesting by Rinikusu · · Score: 1, Troll

    How many GOP Texans were screaming about how solar, wind and other renewables were nothing but communist liberal bullshit and yet.. here we are.

    Bread and circuses.

    --
    If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
    1. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      GOP Texans object when they are required to pay higher taxes to subsidize unprofitable energy projects whose only stated benefit is cooling the planet. We, unlike many, can see that the only true objective is lip service to environmentalist, and greater money/control running through their fingers. Grow up!

    2. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We'll see who's right fairly soon. At what point would you admit you are wrong?

    3. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When the government taxes you and uses the money to subsidize inefficient, money losing wind and solar ventures, that's when we complain.

      Clearly, as demonstrated in West Texas, this was done without state or local subsidies.

    4. Re:Interesting by Notorious+G · · Score: 1

      Probably the same point you would ...

    5. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right about the planet not warming? That's not even the point. The point is that some energy project in California or Texas is going to have exactly ZERO effect according to the climate models if China and India keep on burning coal.

      If our nation wants to effect change, the way to do it is to involve private capitol and research and provide incentives where possible. This is a prime example. Texans aren't building solar plants because they want to save the planet, but because it is a good investment. But this is not the socialistic way.

      The socialistic way, as you can note the last few years, is to create crisis and alarm, blame evil capitalism, take their profits as punishment, take a little of the top don't-mind-if-I-do -- and then pretend that you are using that money to solve the imagined crisis.

    6. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Big difference between corporate welfare that steals half a billion dollars from us at gunpoint versus a private company spending their own money. Well, that is the Republican reality. Corporations spending money is still stealing from us. That corporation instead could use the money to feed poor children, but instead they want children to starve. To starve. The company building the solar power hates children.

    7. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. Children are dying by the thousands every day because of these greedy corporations. Rather than investing in something to make power for the gluttons that rule this country, they should instead feed children. These solar panels are literally taking food out of the mouths of children. That is why they're doing this. They want to throw money away instead of allowing it to go for good causes. This is just so typical of those corporations.

    8. Re:Interesting by Solandri · · Score: 3, Interesting

      How many GOP Texans were screaming about how solar, wind and other renewables were nothing but communist liberal bullshit and yet.. here we are.

      This is classic misunderstanding of Republican ideals. They're not against renewables per se. They're against subsidizing the sale of technologies which can't self-support themselves. If/when the technology is able to compete economically on its own with existing technologies, they are more than happy to use it.

      The error is actually in the environmentalists' thinking. They support wind and solar unconditionally regardless of cost. They then assume everyone else thinks like they do. Since the GOP opposed wind and solar in the past, they erroneously assume the GOP must oppose wind and solar unconditionally. (I narrow it down to environmentalists because most of the people on the left are aware of cost constraints.)

      In fairness, there is a non-monetary cost associated with pollution which many GOPers leave out. But if you factor that in, then nuclear ends up being the best choice of power source at present. And most environmentalists oppose nuclear so I can't give them credit for correctly factoring in pollution costs.

    9. Re:Interesting by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      man are you confused, the conservatives in Texas have led the way for the nation in wind power. When it's profitable they'll support something, unlike "liberals" who piss away money on agendas and good feelings

    10. Re:Interesting by Damarkus13 · · Score: 2

      Would the early R&D on wind power have been done as quickly (or at all) without subsidies?

    11. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They're against subsidizing the sale of technologies which can't self-support themselves.

      Then why do they support oil subsidies? Why do they support corn subsidies? Because it's profitable for them

      Sorry, the GOP alternately believe in a bullshit version of libertarian economics which is false, right wing Christian ideology, and pork barrel spending to support their pet projects they've been paid to support.

      The GOP believes in socializing the risks and privatizing the rewards. Let's not pretend the GOP does anything other than what their screeching ideology tells them to do.

      Certainly don't pretend there is a consistent guiding principle instead of simple greed. If they and their cronies stand to profit from it, they're all over it.

      The GOP has become the representatives for greedy asshole capitalism and have been instrumental in the lie that what is good for greedy asshole capitalists benefits us all.

      "Trickle down economics" is provably false, but they keep touting it as if it's a solution. All that's really happening is the GOP allow the rich to steal money from everybody else.

      The GOP is opposed to anything which thee people who have bribed them the most don't profit directly from.

    12. Re:Interesting by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      However, in our national interests, it actually made good sense in pushing Solar and Wind, along with small nukes, small hydro and geo-thermal. Yet, it was the GOP that continues to fight that. Worse, they push the manufacturing our of the nation and into China, while 'screaming' that China is destroying America. Go figure.

      The neo-cons/tea* that run the GOP today do not give a flying fuck about what is happening, as long as they get theirs.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    13. Re:Interesting by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      The answer is an affirmative no, and the evidence is a look at the installation rate when the subsidy was allowed to expire a few years ago. The industry has made major strides over the last subsidy run. I completely support an extension and sun setting of the subsidies. They shouldn't be cut off immediately but they should end as the market is now producing power at rates cheaper than coal. The subsidies should be extended for 5 years with a gradual reduction in subsidy every year of that 5 years to taper off the support.

    14. Re:Interesting by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The error is actually in the environmentalists' thinking. They support wind and solar unconditionally regardless of cost. They then assume everyone else thinks like they do.

      LOL, kind of like the nuclear fanbois think about nuclear power.

    15. Re:Interesting by iceaxe · · Score: 1

      What I observe as a politically independent Texan is that ideologues on multiple sides of any topic (there are always more than two, thank you very much) make vociferous arguments that ignore any considerations orthogonal to their particular ax grinding, and almost invariably present opposition to their viewpoint as coming from a broad brush painted group of "others" who can be castigated as un-whatever-they-value-in-human-beings. So you get loaded but essentially meaningless terms like "environmentalists" or "neo-cons" or the dreaded "libruls". Go ahead and apply Godwin's law, I'll wait...

      Meanwhile, eventually reality demonstrates itself and the creativity of humanity comes up with thousands of possible solutions to problems, some of which work and some of which get adopted, though those are not always overlapping groups. It's messy and sub-optimal, but probably the best we can manage. So far it's getting better over the long view, despite setbacks.

      Personally, I'm in favor of doing whatever actually works balanced against doing the least amount of damage, and upgrading as time goes by to improve on both counts. Sometimes we need to cooperate (that's called "gubmint") to get over a hump, and sometimes competition will do the trick.

      --
      WALSTIB!
  8. And a regional electrolysis plant by swb · · Score: 1

    They could probably add in a plant to do hydrogen generation with the "overflow" electricity not needed for grid purposes and pretty easily tie it into the existing natural gas network while they're at it.

  9. I sense a great disturbance in the force... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As if millions of birds suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly burned to a crisp.

    1. Re:I sense a great disturbance in the force... by Drethon · · Score: 2

      As if millions of birds suddenly cried out in terror and were suddenly burned to a crisp.

      Unfortunately most of them ran into windows and cats before they got there. A few managed to land on a live wire, get hit by a car or eat some poisoned plants first. One amazing bird managed to successfully fly through a wind turbine to reach its destination of concentrated solar power. http://www.usatoday.com/story/...

    2. Re:I sense a great disturbance in the force... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      you forgot the fact that pollution from coal is doing a large number on these birds as well.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  10. More corporate welfare! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the Texas tax payers are subsidizing clean energy. It's good to see the working class subsidizing the millionaire and billionaire energy moguls. Let's hear it for wealth redistribution!

    And they call California socialist!

    1. Re:More corporate welfare! by Forgefather · · Score: 3, Informative

      If you had read the article you would know that Texas doesn't subsidize solar. The made a vast improvement to their power grid that would allow private businesses to do what they will with it. In fact you will probably find that this measure is quite popular in Texas as they are quite proud that their state has its own energy grid. The key difference here is that Texas owns its own power lines, and any investment in their lines directly benefits everyone.

      Energy as a whole is very well done in Texas. When I lived their for 5 years I had a choice between at least 5 power companies at any address I chose, and I could select the source of my power, be it hydro, wind or solar. Renewables isn't some crazy conspiracy to the people there. Just another option.

      --
      "There are lies, there are damn lies, and there are statistics"
    2. Re:More corporate welfare! by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Oh my lord, it must be communism when the government owns infrastructure!

      The horror! They should immediately sell (coincidentally of course to a republican donor) all those power lines and get back into the monopoly power business.

    3. Re:More corporate welfare! by illtud · · Score: 1

      The key difference here is that Texas owns its own power lines, and any investment in their lines directly benefits everyone.

      Damn pinko socialists.

  11. Re:If only... by Rei · · Score: 5, Funny

    They're working on it, but it's difficult.

    A novel tear extract with high energy density and exceptional corrosive properties
    Ji Yeon Woo, Seo Jin Son, Hyo, Se Hee Choi et al
    13 Feb 2015
    DOI: 10.1111/bph.12793

    Abstract:

    A newly available resource of tears (H. sapiens spp. Ted Cruz) has been analyzed for its potential uses in industry and medicine. Tears were acquired by presenting the subject with a low income McDonalds employee from Queens and presenting her with a valid medical insurance card for a program subsidized by the government. Attempts to collect the tears into a glass vial proved insufficient as the fuming fluid rapidly corroded the glass and ate its way into the floor. After several attempts, small quantities of tears were finally isolated in teflon-coated containers chilled in liquid nitrogen. An swirling, oily ichor was concentrated from the bulk of the tears via fractional freezing. Tests revealed that upon exposure to sunlight the substance bursts into flame with a measured energy density of 168kJ/g. Spectral analysis of the extract proved inconclusive, yielding only an image of Ayn Rand taking soup away from orphans. Further study of the substance was hindered by the mass resignation of the clinical team.

    --
    Stale pastry is hollow succor to one who is bereft of ostrich.
  12. 3% - 9% in 15 years a boom? by Perl-Pusher · · Score: 0

    From the article: "In 15 years, ERCOT predicts between 3% and 9% of its electricity generation will come from the sun, though that could be slowed by low natural gas prices, according to the grid operator and energy company officials.

    West Texas “is flat, the land is open, available and cheap and there is a lot of sun” said Raiford Smith, vice president of corporate planning for CPS Energy, a city-owned utility in San Antonio. “It is an ideal place for putting solar.”

    So how much is energy consumption increasing nation wide? What about states that aren't flat arid deserts? The goal here I think is to take federal taxpayer funding, produce minimal results and get rich. How many of the solar panels are produced in China or other slave wage countries as opposed to US, EU etc. We would all be getting are our energy from solar if it were really the most cost effective. And not before.

    1. Re:3% - 9% in 15 years a boom? by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      "So how much is energy consumption increasing nation wide?" Energy is decreasing nation wide, largely in part to it being imported in manufactured goods rather than manufacturing them here.

  13. True Benefits to Solar by nucrash · · Score: 3, Insightful

    While taking over a desert to lay out a giant solar power farm, roof top units are probably more ideal. A large portion of power is lost through transit. I have heard calculations from 65% to 84% of power produced being lost from generation to the time where a device is powered. I don't much care for those kind of losses. Smaller and distributed sources of power generation help to create a more robust power grid.

    --
    Place something witty here
    1. Re:True Benefits to Solar by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 3, Informative

      Your numbers are way off. It is true only 35% to 16% of the energy contained in the fuels eventually reach the customer in the form of electricity. But line losses are not 65% to 84%. Transmission losses are typically less than 10%.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    2. Re:True Benefits to Solar by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Long distance high voltage DC transmission is better than 95% efficient.

      The total losses in the system can exceed 50% easily, but most of it is down to losses at the local level, and are the same no matter how far the HVDC part has to run.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:True Benefits to Solar by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      You've heard wrong. Next

    4. Re:True Benefits to Solar by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Line losses are 6%, sometimes up to 10%, depending on distance and voltage of the power line.

      Yes, coal is transformed into electricity with an efficiency of about 42% ... no idea if that has anything to do with you tried to say ... I did not grasp what you wanted to express.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  14. Texas Prayer by ISoldat53 · · Score: 1

    Lord, give us one more boom. We promise not to piss it away this time.

    1. Re:Texas Prayer by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      yet, they always do.
      Even now, they are not manufacturing their own solar or wind equipment.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  15. Storage by jklovanc · · Score: 1

    Yes PV solar plant are becoming less expensive if they dump all their power directly to the grid. If they are required to have a storage system so that they can base production on demand rather than supply the costs rise greatly. A molten salt plant is much more expensive to build and maintain than a field of PVs. Otherwise we get conventional plants that ramp way down during the day and back up at night. Both those ramps waste a lot of money and CO2.

    More thought and money needs to go into storage. I don't think enough lithium batteries can be made to meet the terrawatt demand.

    1. Re:Storage by stevelinton · · Score: 2

      Demand is generally higher during the day, so at least for a while this will mean a less variable demand on other supplies, not more.

      Moving water up hills (or not letting it down -- letting hydro reservoirs fill up) is quite a good storage option on this scale.

      Demand can also be shifted to some extent. You can within certain limits, choose when to cool a refrigerated warehouse, or charge an electric car. I imagine tarifs that make electricity cheap in the few hours after dawn and expensive in the few hours after sunset, for instance.

      For the last awkward gaps, methane plant can be built that is designed to switch on and off quickly and run at a relatively low duty cycle. If you're that desperate you can make the methane from CO2 (or food waste).

      I've seen reports significant gains in efficiency of making diesel from CO2 and electricity, to the point where that may become a storage option.

    2. Re:Storage by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      The greatest fear of the power industry isn't solar displacing residential revenue. It's solar wiping out demand and peak power pricing on the commercial/industrial side. Solar output aligns relatively well with commercial/industrial power use. The demand and rate charges that this demand causes generate mega dollars for the power company. Solar could chop that off and make the peak power price at night, this would decimate power company profits.

      This is what the power companies fear, a world where solar makes commercial power cheap.

    3. Re:Storage by jklovanc · · Score: 2

      Demand is generally higher during the day, so at least for a while this will mean a less variable demand on other supplies, not more.

      That is true until the daytime solar production approaches total daytime demand. Previously, base demand is supplied by coal and other slow ramping systems. During the day this base load supplies about 50% and almost 100% at night. The ramp up for daytime demand was handles by faster ramping systems such as gas and hydro. The problem comes when solar makes up for more than 50% of daytime usage. Without storage one would start ramping down the conventional production to make room for the solar production. It would then need to ramp back up again for night.

      Moving water up hills (or not letting it down -- letting hydro reservoirs fill up) is quite a good storage option on this scale.

      That would mean building reservoirs and there are a limited number of places that have enough drop to make it viable.

      Demand can also be shifted to some extent. You can within certain limits, choose when to cool a refrigerated warehouse, or charge an electric car. I imagine tarifs that make electricity cheap in the few hours after dawn and expensive in the few hours after sunset, for instance.

      That requires a lot of infrastructure that does not yet exist.

      I've seen reports significant gains in efficiency of making diesel from CO2 and electricity, to the point where that may become a storage option.

      This technology has yet to be installed on a large scale hence my point that more research and development needs to be done on storage.

      All of these things could be done. My point is that there is too much emphasis on production and not enough one storage, demand shifting, etc. Too many people think that more production is the answer when it is only part of the solution.

  16. oh bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bullshit upon bullshit. All "renewable" is inherently subsidized by renewable energy mandates.

  17. Call me in two years by tomhath · · Score: 2

    This "boom" is really just another observation of the scramble to grab federal subsidies before they dry up next year. Once the full cost of PV is carried by the owners the economics will change.

  18. About time by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

    I own 4 Community Solar units even way up north here in Seattle, and my last electric bill, before I got more efficient washer, dryer, fridge, showed $81 for electricity used, but I had $43 per unit, which means show me the money, baby!

    Adapt. Because nobody's waiting for you to get your rear in gear.

    Note: Passive solar is 10 times cheaper than active solar, so do that when you buy a new house and build it to allow for active solar. Here at the UW we have patents for solar film (like car wraps), window screens, and even have an all-electric Formula 1 race car that can charge from a solar panel.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  19. This is a load of BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Bush Crime Family rules Texas, and they hate solar and supporters of solar power to die. They want us to die. There's no way they're allowing this, because you would hear about them machine gunning more people in the streets to scare people into not doing it. That is the way of their kind.

    1. Re:This is a load of BS by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Don't be ridiculous. Even if they were an actual crime family, most real crime families only oppose something until they can control and profit from it. If Texas goes solar and they control Texas, then they can very well benefit from solar.

      Oil companies have been re-branding themselves as "energy companies" for years now. Don't think for a moment that they don't want solar and that is motivating their actions. What they don't want is to be left behind because of their legacy investments in oil/gas/coal extraction. They have significant investments in fossil fuel extraction, but don't think for a moment that they won't simply buy up the solar capacity when it comes time to do so. They may even support it, at some point.

      If anything energy companies are being held back by the fact that there is a significant demand for gasoline and other oil products that will not be going anywhere even if we power the grid 100% with solar. They have significant investments in oil extraction equipment and mineral rights that they want to pay off. If it becomes relatively cheap to get solar power online, it will be easier to add it to their inventory while maintaining those other assets.

  20. TX Solar Field construction by snadrus · · Score: 1

    I know a small company in S.E. of San Antonio that has been building solar farms in that area for a while for themselves to manage. It's a boom everywhere in the state & has been going on for years.
    The federal subsidies help.

    --
    Science & open-source build trust from peer review. Learn systems you can trust.
  21. When Solar Got Cheap by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 3, Informative

    > I disagree mostly because solar really didn't get cheap until the Chinese began to flood the market with panels, around 2010-2011 or so.

    It wasn't the Chinese so much as solar grade silicon production. Prior to about 2009, demand for silicon for solar cells was smaller than for electronics. So solar piggy-backed on existing silicon foundries. But electronics-grade silicon is expensive (~$400/kg) because even one defect can ruin a chip. Eventually solar cell production got big enough that solar-grade silicon was worth it's own foundry lines. Defects in a solar cell just degrade the output a little bit, they still function just fine. The lower quality product was much cheaper to make ($18/kg last time I looked). Since the raw silicon was a major component of final panel cost, you had dramatic cost reductions for a few years.

    Now we are back to more incremental cost reductions, but the panels are now so cheap that the "balance of system" (panel mounts, labor, wiring, inverters or transformers, permits, etc.) is the majority of the cost, and that's where work is being done to reduce them more.

    1. Re:When Solar Got Cheap by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
      Inverters are 50/watt

      Wiring an mounting (hardware) is 10/w

      Until recently solar was > $2/watt, so even if the BOS were free, solar would have been prohibitively expensive. Only now that the panels are In a sunny place like AZ, a 1w solar cell will produce 25 of electricity/year. A solar system here potentially would have a payback time of less than 3 years, even when taking into consideration the cost of money.

  22. Wow by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 3, Informative

    "On a sunny summer afternoon, the facility could provide more than 5% of the city’s power needs at a price—$50 per megawatt hour—considerably below other solar projects. In July, Austin Energy announced bids for a new round of solar construction that were below $40 a megawatt hour."

    That's 4 cents per kWh.

    Wow.

  23. Who killed EV-1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "GM" didn't kill EV-1. Government regulation did. CAFE didn't give them any credit for EV-1, and the environmental and liability costs of EV-1 were so high that GM was forced to crush them rather than accept decades of liability for an experimental design.

  24. Missing units by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    Your post doesn't make much sense without units. 50 what? Presumably cents. 25 of electricity? Dollars? kWh? What?

    Back when I costed it out, 'ancillary' was about $1-2/watt for the wiring, inverter, etc... It got cheaper the bigger you went.

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    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Missing units by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      cents. Sorry, I originally wrote it with a c and planned to go back and replace with a but was distracted.

  25. Correction by tacokill · · Score: 1

    Correction: Texas wasn't bad-mouthing alternative power. Texas was bad mouthing heavily government subsidized alternative power.

    The difference is subtle but extremely important.

    1. Re:Correction by drinkypoo · · Score: 0

      The difference is subtle but extremely important.

      Yeah, the difference is that we could have been doing this shit back in the 1970s, but they could see that they could dither around protecting their oil interests for decades while we squabbled over what to do about it. Instead we've been huffing the results of oil-based energy.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  26. That was YOUR money they were spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where do you think they got it from? That's right: higher prices. And cross-subsidisation. And tax write-offs. And investor money that they can just piss away, which money comes from YOUR retirement fund.

  27. What Texas needs now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...is good solar-powered air-conditioners! It's hot as hell and the grid is challenged by the peak use of Willis Carrier great invention. But of course, A/C is needed 24/7 in Texas summers, the peak time is a start.