The Paris Climate Talks: Negotiating With the Atmosphere
Lasrick writes: The Paris climate change talks are in December, but what negotiators plan to propose will only be part of non-legally-binding pledges—and they represent only what is achievable without too much difficulty. 2009's Copenhagen Accord say 114 countries agree that global temperature increases should be held below 2 degrees Celsius. "Paradoxically, an accord that should have spurred the world to immediate action instead seemed to offer some breathing room. Two degrees was meant to be a ceiling, but repeated references to an internationally agreed-upon “threshold” led many people to believe that nothing really bad could happen below 2 degrees—or worse yet, that the number itself was negotiable." Dawn Stover writes about alternatives to the meaningless numbers and endless talks: 'The very idea that the Paris conference is a negotiation is ridiculous. You can't negotiate with the atmosphere."
Nobody cares about the climate, aside from the opportunities each disaster presents. In business, profit is the prime, if not the only, motive to be in business at all. Just make it more profitable to be clean.
“He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
I think everyone does in fact believe it - of course belief is irrelevent when AGW is a fact.
There is so much inertia with the World's economy and the fact that people do not want to change their lifestyles and others want an overconsumption Western lifestyle.
The only way humanity is going to change is when there is a catastrophic climate change. When crops fail en mass. When coastal cities are flooded.
A person is smart. People are stupid.
So, I agree; it doesn't matter.
I am doing what I can. Lowering one's environmental and consumptive footprint saves A LOT of money. And I feel a part of the solution instead of an entitled bald ape.
You aren't doing what you can. You are using a computer and the Internet for entertainment purposes. The Internet is a huge energy sink. What a joke. You are probably some suburban dweller who has a car and a big house.
US CO2 emissions are down.
Partly due to the switch to natural gas, and partly due to the bad economy (recession / depression that we are in).
The UN bureaucrat fest is just a part of the sustainability (that is a code word in UN speak for central control and wealth redistribution) push that will culminate this fall with the climate conference and Pope's visit.
Watch out for the freedom crushing proposals. Obama cannot make any commitments legally. A treaty requires senate ratification, which he won't get and spending in poor countries will need house approval for spending. But don't put past our executive order passing illegal action president from trying to push through his radical green agenda to further his control.
We are likely heading into a cooling period in the earths climate as the tendentious computer models drift farther and farther from the real earth's temperature. The surface temperature records are being heavily adjusted to create the appearance of more warming (cooling pas records, warming recent ones with fake adjustments and homogenization tricks).
Sea level rise is an old news (since the last ice age) and shows NO signs of acceleration.
The Internet is a huge energy sink
Hardly. The biggest problems are Western agriculture, transportation and industry -- both outsourced and domestic. 80% of the CO2 released has come from the West. Want to help the world? Eat less, walk more, live where you were born. Just like most of the rest of the world is doing. And pay yourself for the cleanup of your ancestors' damage.
Unfortunately, like each nation that would like to see crude production restricted in OPEC, it would be better for them if the other members could make the sacrifice(s).
Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.
Ernest Hemingway
only 3 feet above sea level. Imagine my property values if it rises, oh, say, 2.9 feet. I say, 2C, 3C, all right for me.
That's a lot of swimming pools!
I remember when nobody posted politics on Slashdot. You guys have ruined a perfectly good site by trying to turn it into a political evangelism site. Can we stick to technology related issues please? I'm sure a lot of you will vote me down for saying these things but how many people have stopped coming here because Slashdot isn't a great place to see cutting edge information any more. There is far too much political demagoguery here, it is depressing.
Why not rename it 'Climatedot' and have done with it?
There is no such thing as 'catastrophic man-made global warming', so they renamed it 'climate change', which means NOTHING, because the climate is ALWAYS changing. There has been no warming for 18 years!
http://www.climatedepot.com/2015/09/02/a-new-record-pause-length-satellite-data-no-global-warming-for-18-years-8-months/
Live where I was born? I tried, but when I turned 18 they kicked me out of the maternity ward.
They should have killed you instead. Damned Western humanism, shows no mercy.
And he's right....which you seem to accept since you offered no counter arguments.
Ferret
Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
How does a lack of counter arguments offered define being right?
I don't mean to suggest that global warming is no big deal, but before we do much more shocked swooning, let's compare this to the "existential crisis" fears of previous generations. That's a nice way to remind ourselves of the fact that never before in the history of humanity have our biggest problems been smaller. The levels of peace, prosperity, human health, human happiness, and every other measurable indicator are at historical highs. Yes, we will eventually need to build some new sea walls and levies, and we will have to get better at large-scale aquaculture, because we kinda fucked up the sea (overfishing contributed much more to this than CO2, but both are bad for oceanic ecosystems). But nobody thinks that for a society as rich as ours, solving these problems will be anywhere near as hard for us as it was to build the plumbing system of ancient Rome.
I do think we should make an effort to speed up the demise of coal mining/burning, and once we've done that, phase out the other fossil fuels as well. Accelerating this will cost money, but humans have never been as rich as we are. We can afford this and much more. But let's not forget that we can also afford all the mitigation steps necessary to negate the impact of whatever global warming we can't prevent. I have a hard time getting too worked up at politicians when they aren't running around like their hair is on fire. Our hair is not on fire. We have solvable problems, and we're gradually solving them.
There's too much science here. Who really cares about 2 degrees? Lots of predictions, statistical projections, meaningless numbers and scientific papers... I want blood and gore! I want great debates and powerful forces aligned with questionable business practices. Face it people, there is no life in science, the life is in the arguments that come after. More politics, please!
And no, facetious is not the same as feces.
...omphaloskepsis often...
live where you were born.
Just because you don't like to leave the basement doesn't mean that the rest of us should shun travel. Sounds like you're the one who needs to get out and about a bit.
"You're right, doc, I really need to lose weight", someone will say. "I'll start on that tomorrow." Then they never do. It's called 'paying lip service' to something, and that's what most nations are doing. It's like they need glasses, or the prescription on their current glasses updated: They can't see past the end of their own noses. Something that's going to happen 100 years or more from now? Nah, that's too far off to worry about, after all they'll be out of office by then and likely dead, so why should they care? To be fair, while that's the way the average person also thinks, the average person (representing 99% of the population, mind you) really is rather busy making sure they have a roof over their heads, clothes on their backs, and enough food to eat, and all this high-concept science stuff is way over their heads, and why again should they care about what's happening halfway around the planet? Sadly short-sightedness on everyone's part is what's going to turn the Earth into a clone of what Venus looks like right now: a searing black calm, devoid of life.
I don't know what the hell to do about this any more than I have a solution for, say, the problem that the homeless represent here in the United States. What I do know is that the solutions to these problems has to come from the top, down, to start with, not from the bottom, up, but getting the people at the 'top' to give a damn enough to actually do something about it, while also getting people on down from there to go along with it, is tougher than herding caffeine-enhanced ferrets.
Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
About 1/3 of all CO2 produced by humans in all of history has occurred in the last 18 years and yet there is no statistical warming during that time. CO2 is logarithmically challenged, as discovered by Arrehnius, the demi-god of the AGW movement who first proposed that CO2 is a greenhouse gas. It's funny that the AGW crowd only ever cites his first paper on the subject and its ridiculous sensitivity. It is tragic that after all these years of doom and gloom from the AGW crowd that they are finally bringing down that sensitivity to the levels that Arrehnius determined in his follow up work.
Most so-called deniers only deny that there is a run-away effect, that all feedbacks are positive, that you can retroactively alter the temperature records to compensate for time of day and siting issues, that you can splice one proxy temperature record with another and put it on the cover of an official IPCC document and that you can continue to cite models and studies based on those models when CO2 is following the worst case scenario and the actual temperature is below the best case scenario.
Finally, quoting the 97% consensus is just plain stupid. It's either made up from whole cloth or based on a severely flawed study. You can't scream anti-science at people and ignore the mountains of bad science published in the name of AGW every year.
Why not rename it 'Climatedot' and have done with it?
There is no such thing as 'catastrophic man-made global warming', .... There has been no warming for 18 years!
I keep seeing that same response posted as AC to climate stories - here on "stuff that matters". Complete with a link for further info:
http://www.climatedepot.com...
Which is partially funded by the ExxonMobil foundation http://www.sourcewatch.org/ind...
Maybe this would be a lot easier if we went back to a dialogue on "pollution", which more folks could easily see value in limiting.
Global warming discussions are the worst.
It attracts maggots, name callers --- the least intelligent people talk the most.
negotiators plan to propose will only be part of non-legally-binding pledgesâ"and they represent only what is achievable without too much difficulty.
^ This right here is the key point to take away from all this...
For all the hot air our "leaders" are giving this issue, the reality is they don't intend to do anything about it. Notice the "without too much difficulty" part of that.
Non-binding, not too hard, not too expensive...
To actually stop the rise of CO2, we need to take drastic measures, and the fact is, while people SAY they care about global warming, what they really mean is "I care about global warming so long as it doesn't impact my lifestyle".
Maybe an uninformed partisan bigot like you will at least take the information right from the EPA web site?
http://www.epa.gov/climatechan...
Of course, carbon emissions aren't down because of all the money the Obama administration wasted on "alternative energy", they are down because of fracking.
Facts don't matter to the brainwashed. They literally will not hear you if you tell them 100% of global warming predictions are false. Never tell them that the "scientists" (ooo they like the sound of that) said that if global warming was not stopped by the year 1996 it would be too late. Don't remind them that the Hadley Climate Research Center said there would be no snow past the year 2000. And whatever you do don't let them know that the temperature in June of this year was -135.4 degrees below 0.
There is so much inertia with the World's economy and the fact that people do not want to change their lifestyles and others want an overconsumption Western lifestyle.
People love to say "I care about the environment and global warming".
But what they really mean is, "I care about the environment and global warming so long as it doesn't impact my way of life".
The fact is, world leaders aren't stupid, they are aware that we can't stop this without drastic change that will be unacceptable to the population as a whole. Not at least until "bad things" happen. Then people will accept change.
I dunno, it all seems like a bunch of hot air to me.
Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
No, he's not right. CO2 emissions aren't down because of the switch to natural gas. They're down because of the recession.
http://www.smithsonianmag.com/...
You are welcome on my lawn.
The last thing I want to read about on a technology web site is politics and global warming nonsense. I personally am carbon negative with my solar panels and electric car. That doesn't mean I want to read about every idiot's plan to tax and spend and go technologically backwards to "fix" an already paused state of global warming. Lets keep slashdot to nerd-worthy stories...
For comparison, the Little Ice Age --- frozen rivers, advancing glaciers, and famine --- was a cooling of less than 1 degree C (if you can believe Wikipedia).
Please. Vapid talking points aren't worth arguing - especially on an online peanut gallery like this. It gets tiring having to argue and post facts against arguments that are based on coal industry propaganda.
The GP is totally full of shit and so are you for stocking up for him.
So, you think there is a UN plot, don't you.
Another dipshit Fox News viewer.
Old man yells at cloud.
It seems contrary to their nature.
"Global warming" is a political term - not a scientific term.
"Climate change" is an alternative political term to "global warming" - its not a scientific term. Science says climate always changes. And "climate change" is used instead of global warming because "global warming" pseudo science fell into steep disrepute and so politicians had to come up with an alternative name.
"CO2" is a political term - the scientific term is Atmospheric trace gas CO2 which takes up 0.04% of the atmosphere.
etc etc etc lardidah!
Probably no point in trying to educate the meme infused illiterate climate trolls who have learned their mumbo jumbo but have never question the trolls that they fell for.
Which is exactly what the linked article says.
We are likely heading into a cooling period in the earths climate as the tendentious computer models drift farther and farther from the real earth's temperature. The surface temperature records are being heavily adjusted to create the appearance of more warming (cooling pas records, warming recent ones with fake adjustments and homogenization tricks).
Actually adjustments to the surface temperature records do the opposite of what you say. In general before about 1960 the adjusted data is warmer than the raw data.
Graph
If anything less than 2 degrees C is not a problem then let's just save all those trips to Paris.
A question for everyone who thinks that CO2 controls the climate. How long with rising CO2 and flat or falling temperatures before you admit your theory is wrong? 20 years? 30? Never?
Here are some inconvenient FACTS that show that CO2 does NOT control the temperature:
1) Both of the satellite datasets (RSS, UAH) show no warming for over 18 years. In that time CO2 has risen 8-10%.
2) Since 1950, when a human influence on global temperature first became theoretically possible, the global warming trend has been equivalent to below 1.2 C per century.
3) The oceans, according to the 3600+ ARGO buoys, are warming at a rate of just 0.02 C per decade, equivalent to 0.23 C per century, or 1 C in 430 years.
4) The entire RSS dataset from January 1979 to date shows global warming at an unalarming rate equivalent to just 1.2 C per century.
Why do I use the 2 satellite measurements?
First they have the greatest coverage. RSS goes from 82.5N to 82.5 S and UAH, 85N to 85S.
Second they are the least adjusted. Unlike NOAA which makes completely unjustified adjustments by raising good data (ARGO bouy temps) to match what they themselves admit is bad, corrupted data (ship engine intake temps).
Lastly they are run by 2 scientists with good credentials (Dr Mears & Dr Spencer respectively) and despite looking at what is almost the same data come to different conclusions. Dr Mears thinks CO2 does control the climate and Dr Spencer does not. I like that. Not only does it keep them honest it makes me think and read both sides to see why they are so different in their conclusions despite almost identical data. So far I side with the position of Dr Spencer.
If you want to read a great explanation of why the IPCC models are broken beyond belief there was a great article describing that and all the other problems with climate science by Dr Brown of Duke university. The bottom part of it was his post here on Slashdot to correct some misguided individuals.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/10/06/real-science-debates-are-not-rare/
The economic liberalization is the result of technology adoption.
China has had an industrial revolution.
The reason old Chinese people know the government ran everything because most old civilizations have an authoritarian structure.
What we need is for someone to invent an energy source that is cheaper than coal and can scale to tens of TW (current use is around 15 TW).
Power satellites will certainly scale to that size, and at a high rate of production it looks like they could undercut coal.
But the powers that be have forgotten what engineers are good for.
End MGM. Get prospective parents of boys to Google: Men do complain
Dictionary would come in handy, I'm thinking.
Other words you might want to look up:
Logarithmic
Inter-Glacial
Ice Age
"Even if you ignore the facts. Ask anyone over the age of 40 about the heat this summer."
Pretty mild summer here. I heard it is hot in Mumbai.