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Chemical Evidence Shows the Nazis Weren't At All Close To Having the Bomb

TheAlexKnapp writes: The Nazis winning World War II by getting the bomb first is a staple of alt-history and it's the reason why James T. Kirk lost the love of his life, Edith Keeler. Einstein also noted possible German efforts to build one in his letter to FDR urging the U.S. develop an atomic weapon. But it turns out there really wasn't a race to build a bomb at all. Materials from Germany's atomic weapons program have been studied by an international team of researchers, who determined that Germany never achieved a self-sustaining nuclear chain reaction — something that Fermi and his colleagues had accomplished in 1942 — which was a key step to actually building an atomic weapon. This chemical evidence supports other historical accounts that the German atomic program never achieved this result.

197 of 295 comments (clear)

  1. we are in an alt-history by turkeydance · · Score: 4, Insightful

    of our Nazi multiverse

  2. Possible air mail delivery of one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The allies might have determined Germany was ready to "receive" an atomic bomb via air mail though.

    1. Re: Possible air mail delivery of one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      But it's a GLOWING ruin now.

    2. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by LordHighExecutioner · · Score: 2

      What if the nazis had returned the parcel to the sender ?

    3. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      They didn't nuke all Japan, just two cities and neither was a ruin at the time. Both Hiroshima and Nagasaki were excluded from the conventional bombing raids and kept in relatively good shape to test the effects of the nuclear bomb in a living city.

      Captcha: misuse

    4. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      America had no choice but to drop the bomb when it came to Japan, because by that time its military had gone quite insane. For examples see the huge array of suicide weapons they had lined up for the invasion of the mainland, from caves full of Baka bomb launchers to suicide speedboats to training vids showing 8 year old kids how to attack soldiers with a grenade on a stick. For those that think they could have gotten by with regular bombing I'd remind them that generals tried to stop the surrender broadcast even AFTER the bombs and even broadcast a speech saying that the Japanese should fight to the very last person. By that point in the war their military? Quite insane, more insane I would argue than the Nazis.

      As for the Nazis? 1 or even 2 bombs wouldn't have saved them as I would argue the second they invaded the USSR they were screwed as not only is the country simply too vast to be taken by a country the size of Germany at the time but frankly they made the fatal flaw of designing vehicles for German weather and NOT the kind of weather they would be facing in the USSR. Their tank tracks are too narrow for deep snow and mud and too many with interleaved wheels that makes repairs long and time consuming, everything ran on gas which becomes hard to start when the temps drop as low as they do in the Russian winters, and the front was so wide they would just never have enough men and machines to keep pushing forward. The only reason they got as far as they did was Stalin helping them by wiping out the leadership in the purges, this combined with early Soviet tanks and planes lacking radios meant that Germans could win battles with inferior gear just by being able to work as a group while the Soviets all fought as individuals. One or two nukes wouldn't have changed the fact that the allies outnumbered the Germans by nearly 20 to 1 in tanks by 44 or nearly 60 to 1 in bombers in the same period, in fact I would argue all that a nuke dropped on say Britain or the USSR would have done is stepped up the attacks in the hopes of taking them out before they could drop another.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    5. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by countach · · Score: 1

      Instead of dropping the bomb they could have demonstrated the bomb. Actually it's been argued the bomb didn't end the war because Tokyo couldn't really figure out what had happened way down at Hiroshima and Nagasaki anyway.

    6. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      You DO realize your argument makes ZERO sense when you look at what actually happened which was the generals wanted to continue the war AFTER both bombs dropped so to say that merely SEEING the bomb would have given you a better outcome than actually dropping it? I'm sorry but that makes no sense.

      Look at what happened before the bomb dropped, I mean the firebombing of Tokyo showed that they had ZERO chance of stopping the endless waves of bombers coming from Okinawa, no way to even slow the waves down, did this stop them? Did this get them calling to surrender? Nope instead they just started developing suicide speedboats and suicide divers and teaching their own children to kill themselves by attacking soldiers with grenades on a stick. How would merely showing them the bomb have given you a different outcome, when their capital is turned into rubble and they still refuse to stop?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    7. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by Crosshair84 · · Score: 1

      Actually, gasoline engines start easier in the winter, not diesel. Diesel gells, gasoline doesn't.

    8. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Gotcha. No return address on the parcel.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    9. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "For those that think they could have gotten by with regular bombing I'd remind them that generals tried to stop the surrender broadcast even AFTER the bombs and even broadcast a speech saying that the Japanese should fight to the very last person."

      This. They only surrendered because the Emperor intervened and told them to - and even then there were elements trying to unseat the emperor to continue fighting.

      Many more people died in the Tokyo firestorms from conventional raids than from the 2 nukes combined, but the military leaders were determined to keep fighting in the face of increasing internal demands to surrender.

    10. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "Instead of dropping the bomb they could have demonstrated the bomb"

      After the Tokyo firestorms didn't induce surrender, it was pretty clear that the military leaderrs were hellbent on "defending to the last living soul"

      Even after Hiroshima, most wanted to continue. Hiroshima forced the Emperor to intervene, which wouldn't have happened under normal warfare for quite some time.

    11. Re:Possible air mail delivery of one by weweedmaniii · · Score: 1

      Actually, gasoline engines start easier in the winter, not diesel. Diesel gels, gasoline doesn't.

      Then as now gasoline inherently has water in it which below 0 Celsius has a nasty habit of freezing, especially in exposed fuel lines. I witnessed mechanics push out 13cm (5") long pieces of ice out of gasoline fuel lines during extended cold weather periods Around -10 C (13 F) for several days. Considering the terrible conditions they were refueling the vehicles in, it's likely that the fuel was even more contaminated with water than our current rather sanitary conditions; i.e. covered fuel points, secure gas caps, side fueling locations that help reduce ice/snow falling into the tank, gas nozzles that generally fill the gas tube, better refineries, etc.

      --
      "If stupid things work...then they are not stupid."
  3. Bit late by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 5, Funny

    That news is something like 65 years late - a new /. record!!

    1. Re:Bit late by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      It was a coverup, man.

    2. Re:Bit late by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Einstein LIED Japanese DIED!!! Germany had no WMD's!!!!

  4. They were not alone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Physical evidence has shown that nearly everyone bombed or threatened -- Iran, Iraq, etc. -- weren't all that close. On the other hand, all 'friends', from Israel to Pakistan, got a free ride and material support.

    1. Re:They were not alone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Explain North Korea then..

    2. Re:They were not alone by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Also, everyone knew that the chemical weapons we'd provided to Saddam were well past their best-by date.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    3. Re:They were not alone by cr0nj0b · · Score: 1

      russia

    4. Re:They were not alone by tehcyder · · Score: 2

      Nobody ever claimed Iraq had nukes. WMDs can be chemical or biological as well, and everyone knew Saddam had used chemical weapons on the Kurds.

      Calling chemical weapons Weapons of Mass Destruction is pushing things though. I suppose theoretically a biological weapon could wipe out a whole city if you could properly weaponise anthrax or something, but I don't think anyone has actually proved this can be done in practice. And a chemical attack, although psychologically unpleasant, doesn't really kill any more people than a conventional bombing or rocket raid.

      The whole "WMD" thing was just a way of conflating theoretical threats with that of nuclear weapons, which are genuinely capable of killing hundreds of thousands of people at once.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  5. It's nice to mention Jáchimov in the article. by Sique · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Jáchimov (today's Czech Republic) was determined to be the source of the Uranium ore German scientists were experimenting with, and it's nice that they added a "fun fact" for the town, but the most important fun fact, they omitted. Silver coins minted since 1519 in Jáchimov (called St. Joachimsthal at the time) were so common that the name Joachimsthaler for the coins got shortened to Thaler which eventually lead to the U.S. Dollar.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  6. How will the History Channel cope? by Required+Snark · · Score: 5, Funny
    The History Channel has a lock on "OMG!!! the Nazis almost won the war, what if their super secret had been built, we would all be speaking GERMAN and eating sauerkraut, OMG!!!". Of course was either only a prototype or was never built at all, but who cares, RATINGS!!!

    So no Nazi atom bomb is a big dower for them.

    I talked to a producer who knew some History Channel people, and she said they called it the Hitler Channel. No mater what series, if you could tie something to Hitler or the Nazis then it was a big plus. She said that when they had a series on the Spartans they compared them to Germany during WWII, and the management was thrilled.

    --
    Why is Snark Required?
    1. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 2

      Actually, by the time of the Valkyrie plot, the Allies didn't want Hitler assassinated. If he had been, he might have been replaced by someone competent who might have prolonged the war.

    2. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      The History Channel has a lock on "OMG!!! the Nazis almost won the war, what if their super secret had been built, we would all be speaking GERMAN and eating sauerkraut, OMG!!!"

      The Nazi Bell & UFOs.

      That is all.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      http://www.history.com/shows/a...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    3. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by Talderas · · Score: 1

      Britain's ability to avoid being starved would have been significantly hindered had she lost the Persian and Middle East oil fields. Her navy couldn't protect her convoys from submarines if her navy doesn't have fuel.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    4. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by jandrese · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I've always thought this would be a good twist for one of those "Oh, I've got a time machine, lets go back and assassinate Hitler." stories, where they screw it up and end up just getting him replaced by someone competent.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    5. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I suspect that US oil would have supplied the RN if Britain somehow lost the Middle East oil fields. The distance across the Atlantic is less than that from the Middle East to Britain, remembering that the oil had to go all the way around Africa.

      As far as a German invasion of Britain goes, the British Army wargames that campaign periodically, and the Brits win. Assuming the Royal Navy and Royal Air Force were neutralized, the German attack forces would have hit the beach thoroughly seasick and worn out, and the British had wired their ports for demolition. There was no way Germany was going to be able to supply enough troops in Britain to defeat the Brits. The British Army was actually fairly large at the time, although it had a very large shortage of heavy equipment and many of the troops were undertrained, and it would have taken a significant German force to conquer Britain.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    6. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by Talderas · · Score: 1

      Following the German invasion of France the BEF had to abandon most of its equipment at Dunkirk. While they brought back men the loss of equipment was painful and would be a source of strain for awhile. Following the evacuations of British soldiers from France Britain had the equivalent of 11 infantry and 1 armored divisions. They also had around 1/6th of the artillery that the divisions would have normally been equipped with. They were plagued with tank shortages which would have made counterattacking the invasion more difficult and the air arm was not very cooperative with the army ground forces. Alan Brooke himself, in charge of the entire Home Army later to become CIGS of Britain, confided to his war diary that it was questionable as to how well the British could have met an invasion by German troops.

      Britain constantly faced a manpower situation throughout the entire war. That was a crucial pain point for them with conducting operations. They could never field anything close to the number of men that Germany could and British war production was no where close to Germany's. What made a German invasion of Britain untenable was the Royal Navy. Germany could not realistically mount an invasion against Britain as long as they couldn't control the channel.

      Could American oil have replaced the loss of Middle East oil? Possibly but you have to take into consideration that it was a loss of total overall oil production and that oil production was crucial to shipping men and material around the globe as well as allow British air forces the fuel to operate.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    7. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      ... they called it the Hitler Channel. No mater what series, if you could tie something to Hitler or the Nazis then it was a big plus.

      Godwin's Law Channel might be a better name but doesn't roll off the tongue that well. Like the Military Channel, it's all WWII. Same footage over and over but with color added and better sound effects. Speaking of footage, all combat footage even most of Vietnam War footage is all silent. None of those cameras had sound.

      Korean War is the Forgotten War, Vietnam War is still too sensitive to talk about (many people are still "fighting it"), and Iraqi 1 and 2 Wars are mysteriously locked away even considering there is tons of footage from various video sources (there is a lot of clips from camcorders and phones on youtube but all disorganized).

      Next well covered war of combat footage is the Civil War, obviously much of it is re-creation.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    8. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I'm cheating here. Unlike Brooke, I do know what the Germans had for invasion forces and techniques. He had plenty of force to defeat the invasion.

      Of course, the RN kept three or four destroyer flotillas and a battleship in the Channel at all times, was not driven away by Luftwaffe attacks, and they'd have had no problem taking out the invasion forces.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    9. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by fredgiblet · · Score: 1

      Psh. History Channel doesn't even care about WW2 anymore except on December 7th and June 6th.

    10. Re:How will the History Channel cope? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      French tanks were somewhat superior to German tanks on paper, but German tanks had better communications and their construction made it much easier for the crew to get the most out of the tank. French armored divisions were not balanced fighting forces, lacking infantry and artillery. They were committed piecemeal against the invasion, including the one that was immediately divided up into groups of three tanks and sent to various points on the front, effectively destroying it. The light mechanized divisions were, in organization, well balanced and effective armored formations, and were mostly engaged in Belgium, getting cut off.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  7. The Nazis Could Have Won by Etherwalk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The History Channel has a lock on "OMG!!! the Nazis almost won the war, what if their super secret had been built, we would all be speaking GERMAN and eating sauerkraut, OMG!!!". Of course was either only a prototype or was never built at all, but who cares, RATINGS!!!

    So no Nazi atom bomb is a big dower for them.

    I talked to a producer who knew some History Channel people, and she said they called it the Hitler Channel. No mater what series, if you could tie something to Hitler or the Nazis then it was a big plus. She said that when they had a series on the Spartans they compared them to Germany during WWII, and the management was thrilled.

    The Nazis could easily have won the war, if Hitler wasn't insane and had settled for controlling mainland Europe west of Stalin. Only an idiot fights on two fronts. Only the heir to the throne of the Kingdom of Idiots invades Russia during the winter. If Hitler had not betrayed Stalin, he could have held mainland Europe indefinitely. If he had not declared war after Pearl Harbor, but had let Japan fight the United States alone, the war would have dragged for an extra decade. But an extended war against the biggest industrial powers in the world is impossible without technological advantage that cannot be countered.

    1. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, the Nazis could have won if they didn't have a racial idealogue. Einstein, Leo Szilard, Eugene Wigner, Edward Teller, Hans Bethe, John von Neumann, and James Frank all came from Germany and Hungary. Enrico Fermi and Emilo Segre came from Italy. These were many key men of the Manhattan Project and ancillary research.

      They already had a rocket delivery system, and they were ahead in jet aircraft. Mix von Braun with those guys, and Germany would have been unstoppable in the late 1940s.

    2. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by gtall · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Germany invaded the Soviet Union in June, 1941. The problem, which you note, is that Hitler was military dolt. He split his forces and decided to go south to capture oil fields. Things went great at first, but Hitler didn't understand that a map doesn't portray just how big the Soviet Union was or that Stalin was prepared to sacrifice untold numbers of Russian troops. Because Hitler didn't prepare for a long campaign, his troops were left unprepared for the winter of '41.

      Great generals do not make the mistake of thinking the enemy thinks like they do. They are able to put themselves in their enemies' heads and think like the enemy. Hitler was more or less a pompous ass. The Soviet generals were not all that great either, Stalin had already purged the good ones. Their hero, Zhukov, was more or less a bulldozer driver. He'd have never risen in rank in pre-war Germany. Of course the Americans had their pompous asses, e.g., MacArthur. Admiral Nimitz was once asked why he kept a picture of MacArthur in his office given that they never got along together. His reply was something along the lines of, I want to remind myself what a real ass looks like.

    3. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Rei · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's a good point. Nazi Germany had many talented engineers. But their basic sciences in many regards had been ideologically purged - not just by driving out the jews and other undesirables, but also those who supported them and didn't support the general principles of Nazism.

      --
      "This administration is so incompetent that they cover their tracks with bigger tracks." - Seth Meyers
    4. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by fnj · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The Nazis could easily have won the war, if Hitler wasn't insane and had settled for controlling mainland Europe west of Stalin.

      No they couldn't. Not even close. They made a miserable failure out of trying to defeat a tiny force of Spitfires with their vaunted Luftwaffe in 1940 after the fall of France, when Britain stood alone. They didn't have a clue how to fully mobilize their economy on a war footing. They were ideologically opposed to harnessing the 50% of the potential economy that females represented: females were only supposed to spend their time bearing and raising teutonic warriors. Britain's blockade was strangling them. Their idea of efficiently harnessing workers in conquered territories was to beat and starve them to death wastefully and stupidly, as well as evilly. Their economy was not put on a full war footing until 1943, after they had lost the war.

      German naval power on the surface was a sick joke, and the U-boats, even with gigantic industrial effort, fell short, even with Japan diverting much of the US's navy.

      If Hitler hadn't gone for Stalin's throat, the reverse would have happened, and the situation would have been even worse for Germany.

      Only the heir to the throne of the Kingdom of Idiots invades Russia during the winter.

      Arguably so, but Hitler Invaded the USSR in June 1941, not the winter. The invasion went spectacularly well, and by September, despite stupid decisions to divert forces at the critical period, German forces approached to within 11 km of Moscow, reaching streetcar lines in the suburbs.

      If he had not declared war after Pearl Harbor, but had let Japan fight the United States alone, the war would have dragged for an extra decade.

      No way in hell. Britain plus the USSR would have finished it without us. Maybe one extra year at the utmost. And the US would have devastated Japan much faster without our own second front (which actually had priority). Then we would have swarmed into Europe in full undiverted force by 1944 or 1945.

    5. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Nope. They couldn't have won because of faulty logistics. The Allies had 1 light truck: the Willys Jeep and 1 heavy truck: the Dodge 2.5 ton, which was even used by the Soviets. The Nazis had 8 light vehicles because everyone used political influence to get a piece of the action regardless of the fustercluck that resulted. The heavy truck was only standardized to the Opel Blitz during the war. The only reason the Nazis lasted as long as they did was French/British cowardice; had they occupied the Ruhrgebiet in 1934 Hitler would have folded like a wet paper doll; the Wehrmacht didn't have enough bullets to last a week in 1934.

    6. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      The bomb would have changed that.

      Holding mainland Europe (even without the bomb falling on your key strategic supplies) for a decade would have been a miserable siege exercise for all involved, but ultimately futile for the ones holding the tiny, war torn continent.

      For Hitler to conquer, anything really, he would have had to win "hearts and minds" and convert lots of people to his cause... or at least not piss off the rest of the world enough to try to stop him. Doesn't seem likely that would have happened, unless he somehow altered his propaganda message to work for people without blonde hair and blue eyes.

    7. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Germany invaded the Soviet Union in June, 1941. The problem, which you note, is that Hitler was military dolt. He split his forces and decided to go south to capture oil fields. Things went great at first, but Hitler didn't understand that a map doesn't portray just how big the Soviet Union was or that Stalin was prepared to sacrifice untold numbers of Russian troops. Because Hitler didn't prepare for a long campaign, his troops were left unprepared for the winter of '41.

      Great generals do not make the mistake of thinking the enemy thinks like they do. They are able to put themselves in their enemies' heads and think like the enemy. Hitler was more or less a pompous ass. The Soviet generals were not all that great either, Stalin had already purged the good ones. Their hero, Zhukov, was more or less a bulldozer driver. He'd have never risen in rank in pre-war Germany. Of course the Americans had their pompous asses, e.g., MacArthur. Admiral Nimitz was once asked why he kept a picture of MacArthur in his office given that they never got along together. His reply was something along the lines of, I want to remind myself what a real ass looks like.

      Hitler also fucked up by delaying his invasion of the USSR by two months or so because someone in Yugoslavia pissed him off, so he knocked off Yugoslavia before invading. One wonders what would have happened if the Germans had another two months of campaigning in Russia before winter set in. Moscow would have fallen, and probably Leningrad too.

      And as for MacArthur? Maybe he was a pompous ass, but the entirety of that pompous ass's campaign in the southwest Pacific from 1942 to 1945 had less US casualties than just the one landing at Anzio. And look what MacArthur did in Korea an Inchon.

    8. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by chthon · · Score: 1

      That was one of his key errors in the first invasion of Russia. The people in the western part of Russia were glad for a change, glad to have a way to get relieved of the soviets. However, for Hitler and his cronies they were all Slavs, and those same people decided after a couple of months that it was better to take their bets at the side of Stalin.

    9. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Nidi62 · · Score: 2

      Germany invaded the Soviet Union in June, 1941. The problem, which you note, is that Hitler was military dolt. He split his forces and decided to go south to capture oil fields. Things went great at first, but Hitler didn't understand that a map doesn't portray just how big the Soviet Union was or that Stalin was prepared to sacrifice untold numbers of Russian troops. Because Hitler didn't prepare for a long campaign, his troops were left unprepared for the winter of '41.

      What compounded this problem was that historically, even when Moscow was captured Russia was able to keep fighting. What Hitler didn't realize was that Moscow was much more important to the Stalin regime than it had been in previous wars. To Hitler, Moscow wasn't the prize that state capitals usually are. Had he not pulled those divisions and sent them to help Army Group South (which didn't really need the help anyway) Moscow would likely have fallen, and the Soviet Union along with it.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    10. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by AchilleTalon · · Score: 1

      On another hand, who was really knowing what was going on in weapons development in Germany during the war? They had the potential to build a successful nuclear bomb, that was enough. It seems the root of the argument is you shouldn't have develop the nuclear bomb unless you have enough evidence the enemy is about to have one first. That's not how it works, that just plain stupid to wait until your enemy is having a WMD before you develop one. In particular when the enemy is someone insane as Hitler was.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    11. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 2

      The Nazis could easily have won the war, if Hitler wasn't insane and had settled for controlling mainland Europe west of Stalin. Only an idiot fights on two fronts. Only the heir to the throne of the Kingdom of Idiots invades Russia during the winter. If Hitler had not betrayed Stalin, he could have held mainland Europe indefinitely.

      If Hitler had not betrayed Stalin, Stalin would've betrayed Hitler. The non-agression pact was, for Hitler, supposed to be a chance to take care of the West first before invading Russia, and for Stalin, a chance to rebuild and re-organize his armies before taking on Hitler while Hitler beat up the west (who had just given him a massive cold shoulder in the negotiations prior to WWII). This was even largely recognized at the time.

    12. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There was a much more easy method than that.

      Nazi's were greeted as liberators by russian peasants. Who they started slaughtering.

      If they had treated the peasants decently, they would have conquered russia easily.

      But it just wasn't in their nature.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    13. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Flavianoep · · Score: 1

      Hmmm. I've seen GW Bush do the same Nazi salute when visiting the troops in Iraq.

      That was the Roman salute.

      --
      Linux is for people who don't mind RTFM.
    14. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Drethon · · Score: 1

      He split his forces and decided to go south to capture oil fields.

      My understanding is this is the main reason for the war expanding to two fronts. Hitler being a dolt not withstanding, if Germany had stayed out of Russia they might have had serious trouble holding Europe without good sources of oil.

    15. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Deadstick · · Score: 1

      Only an idiot fights on two fronts.

      Like FDR?

    16. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Deadstick · · Score: 1

      Maybe he was a pompous ass, but the entirety of that pompous ass's campaign in the southwest Pacific from 1942 to 1945 had less US casualties than just the one landing at Anzio.

      Or the Battle of the Bulge, for that matter.

    17. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by CaptainLard · · Score: 1

      The Nazis could easily have won the war, if Hitler wasn't insane

      No they couldn't. If Hilter wasn't insane there wouldn't have been a war to win.

    18. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by blankinthefill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If Hitler had supported Rommel in North Africa with as little as a few more battalions of ground troops and hardware, it's pretty likely that the Allies would have lost the campaign there, and Hitler would have been able to take the Middle East basically unimpeded. But Hitler didn't like Rommel, and he didn't trust him, which is one of the reasons Rommel was in North Africa in the first place... and because of that, Hitler wasn't going to provide the support that Rommel needed to succeed, since he believed he could easily seize the Russian oil fields. He saw the North African campaign as a minor offshoot of the war, and didn't realize the huge potential involved in being able to easily secure the most rich oil fields in the world without pissing off one of the more crazy dictators of the modern world.

    19. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Talderas · · Score: 2

      There was also an attempted military coup to prevent surrender.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    20. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Well first, Germany wasn't fighting on two fronts, they had captured all of Western Europe except for England. Second, Germany didn't invade during the winter. The plan was to crush the Russian armies decisively during the spring and summer and be done before winter. Germany was supplying it's war effort by getting the resources it needed from Russia in exchange for manufactured equipment. As the war progressed, Germany began to fall behind on their end of the deal, and Russia began to threaten Germany with cutting off their supply of resources. This was one of the big reasons for Hitler's decision to attack Russia as early as possible. However, the Italians were making a mess of things in southern Europe, and Germany was forced to divert their forces to clean up the mess Italy made. This resulted in the German offensive against Russia starting 6 weeks later than originally planned by the German High Command. The end result was the German army beginning to encircle Moscow just as the first blizzards of the Russian winter set in at the start of December. Had they started the offensive in May as originally planned, it's quite possible that the German army would have captured Moscow and the additional 500,000 new Russian troops being trained there. If that had happened, the Russians wouldn't have had any troops left on the western front with which to start a counterattack.

    21. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Nidi62 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nazi's were greeted as liberators by russian peasants. Who they started slaughtering.

      If they had treated the peasants decently, they would have conquered russia easily.

      But it just wasn't in their nature.

      That problem can again be attributed to Hitler and those he placed in power. Certainly many of the professional officers on the ground realized that decent treatment of civilians would cut down on issues, but they were ordered to be harsh with civilians and cooperate with Einsatzgruppen in their area. As atrocities and mistreatment mounted partisan activity could only increase; especially with the Red Army tactic of leaving behind trained soldiers to organize, coordinate, and lead partisan groups in bypassed or occupied areas. Barring Hitler's other many blunders in matters of military strategy the Germans could have still won even with the mistreatment of civilians. But there is a difference between conquering a country and pacifying it. Even if they had won, they would have been tied down for years clearing out the large swathes of Russia they passed over, with literally divisions worth of troops in pockets all over the country fighting a guerrilla warfare led by Commissars and hardline officers. But in any case it was a good case study of what kind of policies not to put in place when you are trying to occupy an area.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    22. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      He split his forces and decided to go south to capture oil fields.

      My understanding is this is the main reason for the war expanding to two fronts. Hitler being a dolt not withstanding, if Germany had stayed out of Russia they might have had serious trouble holding Europe without good sources of oil.

      From what I had always understood, Hitler's thinking (insofar as his syphilis-infect, drug-addled brain could think) was that a large-scale assault could take Russia out quickly due to the state of the Red Army (purges, training and equipment deficiencies, etc). His concern was that if he focused only on England that would allow the Soviets to recover, build up their army, and remove any possibility of defeating them. If he could knock them out quickly he could then focus on England. And for the first 2 years or so on the Eastern Front the Germans had several chances to win, but bad luck and mistakes by Hitler often squandered those chances.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    23. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Talderas · · Score: 1

      > They didn't have a clue how to fully mobilize their economy on a war footing.

      It was both a blessing and a curse. Germany industry was never operated at full capacity for the war effort. As such the industrial bombing against Germany was of limited value since there was so much surplus capacity lying unused towards the war, both in factory and manpower.

      > No way in hell. Britain plus the USSR would have finished it without us.

      Britain was in such a crap position. Axis domination of the Mediterranean basically shit on their ability to conduct operations. Britain was, without the US in the war, entirely unable to perform any operations on mainland Europe. Supplies for the Middle East, Egypt, and the Far East theaters required that shipping go around the Cape of Good Hope rather through the Suez Canal. The amount of shipping capacity that was lost because of being unable to use the Suez was ridiculous. The British would have had to basically abandon all their empire territory in order to avoid needing to ship supplies so they could retain that capacity to conduct an entry into Europe but that ignores two excruciating factors. The first that by abandoning the Middle East the British would be abandoning their primary source of oil to fuel their navy and air force making them more susceptible to submarine warfare. This would have impeded the flow of supplies from Britain to Russia. The second is that Britain was constantly suffering from manpower problems which would have basically prevented the British from landing any sort of army in a force size sufficient to not be beaten back into the sea by the Germans. Under those circumstances the Germans could have trivially shifted divisions from France and other locations to the eastern front to face the Russians.

      The Germans made a lot of fuck ups and fixing even a small portion of some of them would have had the war go far more favorably for them.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    24. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Carewolf · · Score: 2

      Had Japan delayed the surrender, the inability of the US to launch a third nuclear attack would have resulted in the reveal of the bluff.

      Had US delayed the launch of the nuclear bombs then it is likely that the surrender had came anyway.

      Actually they did surrender, just not with the term unconditionally which the US president had promised the US people. And yes it would have upgraded anyway, it was just semantics.

    25. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The bigger point was that they didn't need to start a war, at all, period.

      Look at Europe today - who's the most dominant nation in the European Union, economically and politically? Germany - and that's after they were bombed all to hell, split in half for 50 years by the USA/USSR, not to mention stripped of various bits of land in the east that were given to Poland and Russia. While Germany wouldn't be the strongest power in the world, certainly, they'd have done a lot better for themselves had they not started an aggressive war.

    26. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1

      It's because the Nazis cared more about their racist genocidal beliefs than they did about winning the war. For Hitler, losing the war and having Germany destroyed was an acceptable trade-off for murdering millions of Jews and others.

    27. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not to mention that Italy had already invaded Greece, and was bogged down fighting the Greeks.

      Overall though, Hitler became grossly overconfident as a result of the 'easy' victory in France. Like most average people at the time, he was expecting a war that would be akin to World War I - ugly, slow, and brutal. The "Lightning War" in France was a huge shock to everyone (except perhaps the Panzer generals that came up with it) in the equivalent of the worldwide pundit class at the time, Hitler included. He didn't think he'd need to do anything particularly different against Russia, and expected the campaign would be quick and easy. "One swift kick, and the entire rotten structure will collapse."

    28. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      It'd be interesting if some historians wrote some alternate-timeline novels about how things would be today if things had gone differently back then, perhaps with Hitler being deposed and replaced with someone smarter and more realistic, or a chancellor being elected who didn't start a war.

    29. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The Americans had two Bombs ready to go. There was a third Bomb that needed another week or so of development. After that, with the current Tech, they could roll out one single "Atomic" Bomb every month or so.
      That was the Plan. This is something simply not understood these days. The Manhattan Project wasn't simply about making a couple of Bombs to drop on Germany or later, Japan, and then the War would be over, and everybody could go Home.
      One Bomb a month, and maybe a second Bomb a month... forever. It was an Industry, with thousands of determined workers.

      (This is all second hand of course- but I have Primary Sources, now all dead.)

      Germany quickly folded, and an isolated Imperial Japan would starve itself to death. Forget all that Invasion nonsense, it was just folderol for public consumption. Isolation was the ultimate goal, and the Bombs were then convenient.
      Dropping the Bombs just gave the Saner Japanese an excuse to easily and quickly Surrender. Don't forget the Japanese Coup that led to this Surrender, and how the Emperor was then forced to grovel to keep his head. Others lost theirs.

      So what happened to those other early Bombs? They became Science Projects, with a twinge of Security Theater added. My Best Source used to fly through those Mushroom Clouds, grabbing bits of them on Filter paper, to see what actually happens in the few seconds following a Nuclear Fission. Realize that Nuclear _Fusion_ is quite common, and it surrounds us every time we go outside. Nuclear Fission in Nature is rarer; Stars usually have to Explode for this to naturally occur at any great scale. This is Basic Nucleosynthesis.

      My Best Source lived to be 94. He was so fucking Radioactive, (Mainly long lived Americium and Curium isotopes.), that he refused at some point to be studied any longer. But he had some great and very funny stories to tell, and his mind was sharp right up the very end. Thanks for everything, Al.

      Another Source was the thoroughly Evil and Corrupt Edward Teller. We took an immediate dislike to each other, but that didn't stop his boasting. He actually was a Monster. A family member of his later divulged to me certain details...
      Edward Teller was pretty much the worst Monster that a little kid can imagine. That he is now so fondly regarded by Republicans is no wonder.

    30. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by elgatozorbas · · Score: 1

      Admiral Nimitz was once asked why he kept a picture of MacArthur in his office given that they never got along together

      Somewhat besides the point, but writer Henrik Ibsen also had a portrait of his arch enemy, August Strindberg in his working room, to "show him [Strindberg] how well he was writing".

    31. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by operagost · · Score: 1

      Seems like Hitler was wise not to trust him. It pains me to put "wise" near "Hitler".

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    32. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by houghi · · Score: 1

      I believe that if Hitler would not have been insane, their would have been no Hitler. The fact that he WAS insane is part of his success AND his failure.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    33. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by eulernet · · Score: 1

      Nazi's were greeted as liberators by russian peasants. Who they started slaughtering.

      I believe it was the polish peasants who were greeting their liberators and were slaughtered.
      Later, polish people sabotaged german trains.
      What a surprise !

    34. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by eulernet · · Score: 1

      No way in hell. Britain plus the USSR would have finished it without us. Maybe one extra year at the utmost. And the US would have devastated Japan much faster without our own second front (which actually had priority). Then we would have swarmed into Europe in full undiverted force by 1944 or 1945.

      I totally agree with you, except that the war was already coming to an end.
      USSR was already winning the war (the best german generals were sacrificed in Russia), and I believe that De Gaulle and Churchill asked the US to intervene before Stalin could invade the whole Europa.
      I believe that the progression of the US soldiers from France to Berlin was easy, while USSR's progression from Russia to Berlin was slow because nobody liked the russian soldiers.

    35. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by rgmoore · · Score: 1

      If Hitler had not betrayed Stalin, he could have held mainland Europe indefinitely.

      Or until Stalin decided to betray him first. Long-term peace between Nazi Germany and the USSR was not going to happen; Communism and Fascism were too strongly opposed ideologies for them to avoid war for very long.

      --

      There's no point in questioning authority if you aren't going to listen to the answers.

    36. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by afaiktoit · · Score: 1

      I seem to recall the US fighting a war on 2 fronts and winning. Or did I slip into an alternate universe?!!

    37. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by DerekLyons · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, the Nazis could have won if they didn't have a racial idealogue.

      That's a popular theory... but it's not at all clear there's any truth to it, as the things that beat Germany weren't the things those guys were working on. True, they were key to the Manhattan Project (except for Einstein who took no part in the war and von Neumann who mostly did mathematical consulting work across a broad number of fields including the Manhattan project), but it's not the Manhattan project that beat Germany - it was the difference between Germany's industrial output and that of the US and the rest of the Allies.
       
      WWII was, like most wars, largely a war of attrition - and the Axis lacked the capacity to win that war due to their relative (to the US and the allies) lack of industrial capacity and manpower, as well as the fragile conditions of their supply chain. This page concentrates mostly on the naval war in the Pacific, but it speaks to the grim disparity that all the Axis powers faced.
       
      Or, as I like to say - the atomic bomb didn't win the war, it ended the war. The war was already won, and the only remaining question was how large the butcher's bill was going to be.
       

      They already had a rocket delivery system, and they were ahead in jet aircraft. Mix von Braun with those guys, and Germany would have been unstoppable in the late 1940s.

      They didn't have a rocket delivery system until late 1944 - by which time they were already in deep trouble, barely able to sustain their existing forces and starting to be pinched by lack of petroleum and access to raw materials. (Germany's industrial output peaked in Q3 of 1944.) The same holds true of jet aircraft. While they were technologically ahead... their production capacity was starting to lag. And by the time they started figuring out how to use it effectively, the Allies had figured out how to partially counter it in flight and how to attack it at it's most vulnerable points in flight. (On top of the fuel and raw material problems.) They never could have survived to the late 1940's to become unstoppable.

      Or, to put it another way, real history is very different than the urban legend version endlessly touted in a variety of poorly researched TV programs and books. The poor research incidentally is deliberate - breathless accounts of how close the Germans came and how they might have won sell by the truck load.

      On a side note, I'm actually quite pleased with TFA - it and researchers acknowledge the truth, this is just a shovelful added to the already existing mountain of evidence that the Germans weren't anywhere close to the bomb... and that it's not clear they were even trying. The common consensus among those who have studied (as opposed to watching TV and reading urban legends and deliberate misinformation) the issue is that they were not.

    38. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by linuxgurugamer · · Score: 1

      FDR didn't have a choice. Hitler did

    39. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by calidoscope · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure you're both wrong, the Ukrainian peasants were the ones that hated Stalin - several million died in the early thirties. Had the Germans treated them well, they might have been very willing to join the Germans in attacking Russia.

      --
      A Shadeless room is a brighter room.
    40. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Actually, the Nazis could have won if they didn't have a racial idealogue.

      Well, yes, it usually all comes down to that the Nazis could have won if they weren't Nazis, or hadn't had Hitler as their leader.

    41. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The Nazis couldn't have done so well early in the war without Hitler. Hitler pushed German rearmament at a breakneck pace that the top German generals wouldn't have allowed, if they'd had their way. He got WWII started at about the right time, when German rearmament was pretty much at its peak compared to the Western Allies.

      Hitler's plan was to attack the Soviet Union and get a quick victory while he was not engaged heavily on any other front. If you'd told him how many prisoners the Germans would have taken by the end of Fall 1941, and the amount of territory captured, he'd have been sure the Soviets would have capitulated, so the problem was underestimating how hard the Soviets would fight, not any other strategic failing.

      After the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact and the Soviet fiasco in Finland, Stalin adopted the policy of trying to be economically important for Germany while creeping up to war. He didn't trust Hitler one bit. Had he had another year to prepare, the Germans would have had an extremely unpleasant surprise when they attacked, and Stalin might be talking with the British about what he'd get if he attacked.

      One reason Hitler declared war on the US after Pearl Harbor was that the US was already waging war against him. In September 1941, Roosevelt ordered the US Navy to go to war against Germany in the North Atlantic. The USN wasn't good at anti-submarine operations at that time, and really didn't do that well, but Hitler knew what they were doing.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    42. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Most of the third nuke (fourth, if you count the Trinity test) had been delivered to Tinian. FDR was holding back on airlifting the core (the radioactive part). There's no reason the third bomb couldn't have been dropped soon. After that, more bombs would be arriving, but they weren't ready at that time.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    43. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Hitler did like Rommel. He was the reason for Rommel's meteoric rise through the ranks.

      The General Staff disliked Rommel.

    44. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      The big problem with the invasion was that neither Hitler nor the General Staff ran it, and so the focus shifted over time. Hitler wasn't a great general, but he wasn't that bad on strategy, and having the invasion go according to this vision would have been better than changing vision during the campaign.

      The reasons German forces were sent south in greater force were (a) the Red Army had fought the Germans to a standstill near Smolensk, and (b) there were very large Soviet forces there. The move south bagged about six hundred thousand Soviet soldiers that otherwise would have been on the German flank, perhaps with a halfway competent commander (Kirponos?). Stalin was prepared to sacrifice the Red Army, but there were limits as to how many soldiers he could get, and half-million-man losses cut sharply into that.

      The problem with winter was that the German Army was advancing on a logistical shoestring. There was barely enough capacity to keep the armies moving and fighting. When winter approached, the Germans had a choice between sending winter supplies or sending munitions to make another push, in the hope that defeating the Red Army would make it a lot easier to spend the winter. They chose wrong, but it wasn't an obviously stupid choice.

      The Soviet High Command (Stavka) had to build a new army while the old one was being torn to pieces and large parts of the country were overrun by the enemy. The fact that they succeeded suggests a good deal of ability. They also were able to learn to conduct effective offensives and counteroffensives. They never were as good at the actual division-level fighting as the Germans (who was?), but their strategy and logistics were good.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    45. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The invasion of the Soviet Union was not going to get off to a good start much earlier than June 22, 1941. It was very difficult to campaign in Spring because of the state of Soviet communications, and the "rasputitsa" (season without roads, roughly) lasted longer than usual in 1941.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    46. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      While Hitler threw away a lot of goodwill in the Ukraine and some other places, it's not obvious that they would have won by treating the occupied population legally. While it would have reduced the partisan problem, it would have increased the logistic burden on the German Army.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    47. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by eulernet · · Score: 1

      You are probably right.
      My mother was a polish peasant, and she was deported to Germany, as a peasant.
      At the end of WWII, her mother and sister were deported from Poland to Ukraine, since most peasants were killed there.

    48. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      The question about supplying more troops to Rommel is how to transport and supply them. Even if Rommel had been able to win at El Alamein, he wouldn't have been able to push into the Middle East. Auchinleck had a plan to withdraw to the south, where the Germans couldn't pursue, and hanging on Rommel's flank if he drove into the Middle East. Further, there was no way the Germans would be able to exploit the Middle East oilfields, given British commerce raiding in the Mediterranean, the lack of Axis oilers there, and the difficulty of getting the oil across long miles of desert. (Assuming, of course, that the British didn't sabotage everything, forcing the Axis to try to rebuild oilfields and refineries, somehow getting all that equipment to the oilfields.)

      Those were far from being the most rich oil fields in the world during WWII. The US produced the majority of the world's oil back then. The Middle East was a whole lot richer than anything in Europe, and somehow (cue the alien space bats) would have been extremely useful if Hitler could have gotten it to Europe, but it didn't dominate.

      Hitler referred to Africa as "the glacis of Europe", meaning that the Allies would have to defeat the Axis in Africa before proceeding to Europe. What he wanted to to was to stave off defeat in Africa as long as he could, and holding off the final surrender to something like May 1943 was an accomplishment.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    49. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      By the time Germany attacked the Soviet Union, the US was pretty much supporting the Brits with pretty much all aid short of war, casually disregarding the international law on rights and duties of neutrals. In September 1941, the USN went to war in the Atlantic. During Operation Barbarossa, it was becoming increasingly obvious that the US wasn't going to let Britain be defeated.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    50. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Grumpinuts · · Score: 1

      Actually the Hawker Hurricane was by far the most common British fighter in the Battle of Britain (29 Squadrons vs 19 for Spitfires.) Both great planes, groundbreaking for their time.

    51. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Grumpinuts · · Score: 1

      No. You just forgot that the US was one of many allies who fought together to defeat Germany and Japan in separate wars.

    52. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      The third bomb would have been ready within days. Bomb casings were available at Tinian and the plutonium core was ready to ship when the war ended. Had the ware continued, production of bombs would have continued to ramp up, with estimates as high as 12 per month by December (once the Fat Man design was proven, all U-235 production was switched to composite implosion cores). Once the war ended, production slowed as there were several improvements engineers wanted to make to K-25 and the top plant that required them to shut down for several months.

    53. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      You mean Truman, FDR was dead by then

    54. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      Had the war continued production would have ramped up faster than that. With the direction of all U-235 to the production of composite cores (With implosion proven, the Little Boy design was abandoned), and all reactors operating at Hanford, estimates were as high as 12 per month as early as December.

    55. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Talderas · · Score: 1

      And without that staunch US support it would have been more likely that Germany could have slowly strangled and starved Britain. Despite what Portal and Harris thought a bombing campaign directed at Germany was not going to win the war. Boots on the ground were going to be needed and Britain lacked the manpower to field divisions sufficient to conduct good operations on mainland Europe.

      Losing the oil in the middle east was more a consequence of losing the Middle East. Shipping around the cape was being used for far more than just oil shipments. It was moving troops and supplies to India and Egypt. All of that shipping capacity was being locked up to keep those places from folding over and having to use the longer trip required more shipping to be locked to support it. Simply opening up the Mediterranean freed up a lot of shipping by shortening the trip.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    56. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      Overall though, Hitler became grossly overconfident as a result of the 'easy' victory in France.

      Thank you, I've never heard a good strategic reason for Operation Barbarossa, only ever idealistic excuses that didn't sound really plausible. This makes sense.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    57. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by kellymcdonald78 · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately the spring of 1941 was particularly muddy and summer came late. Had the German's started in May, its likely they would have become bogged down and allowed the Soviets to reorganize themselves better after the surprise attack

    58. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1

      Even when Germany was losing though, he kept doubling down on genocide, dedicating resources to the killing that could have been used for the war effort. It was that much more important to him.

      See Timothy Snyder's latest work, Black Earth: The Holocaust as History and Warning (http://www.indiebound.org/book/9781101903452).

      You can find a decent summation here along with an insightful interview with the author: http://www.theatlantic.com/int...

    59. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1

      What also aided them was the location of the fight. The aircraft on both sides had comparable range, but because the fighting in the Battle of Britain was over and around the British bases, the British fighters had a significant advantage in the amount of fuel they had available to dogfight with, whereas the German Bf-109s only had (IIRC) a few minutes of time before they had to return home.

    60. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by serbanp · · Score: 1

      Wow, brainwashing at its finest!

      You really think that the genocide against Jews and Gypsies was the central piece of WW2? Really? WW2 has been a horrendous event, but the genocide played only a minor part to it.

      To believe that Germany's reason to go to war consisted in exterminating the Jews shows just how brainwashing works over long periods of time.

    61. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Stalin's plan was to rearm. He had something like 40 tank divisions facing the Axis, most woefully underequipped and badly trained. Some of them did put up serious resistance. Give them another year, and they'd be much better equipped and they'd have had large formation training, and would have been quite dangerous.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    62. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by fredgiblet · · Score: 1

      YOU CAN'T HUG YOUR CHILDREN WITH NUCLEAR ARMS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      But yeah, all the rabid anti-nuke sentiment ignores the reality that a lot of Japanese were quite willing to drag the war on for a long time.

    63. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by fredgiblet · · Score: 1

      Had the nukes not been present Hiroshima and Nagasaki would have been firebombed to similar, though less spectacular, effect.

    64. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by fredgiblet · · Score: 1

      I've heard it said repeatedly that Germany couldn't sustain Hitler's economic plans and if they didn't go to war there would have been an economic collapse soon after. That being said, such a collapse likely wouldn't have been permanent. An interesting thought experiment though.

    65. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by fredgiblet · · Score: 1

      I doubt it would have been quick. They were very far behind and their best minds were gone or busy elsewhere.

    66. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by fredgiblet · · Score: 1

      And if Hitler hadn't declared war there's a good chance the people would have forced our focus to Japan. Roosevelt likely would have tried to provoke Germany further, but the PEOPLE didn't want a war with Germany, so it's plausible that it could have been avoided.

    67. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by fredgiblet · · Score: 1

      The Hurricanes were primarily earmarked for anti-bomber operations IIRC, the Spitfires had priority for anti-fighter ops.

    68. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1

      The US military ordered a massive stockpile of Purple Heart medals in anticipation of the casualties from the projected invasion - so many that even after Korea, Vietnam, Gulf War, and Afghan/Iraq, we STILL haven't exhausted that stockpile.

    69. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      It'd be interesting if some historians wrote some alternate-timeline novels about how things would be today if things had gone differently back then, perhaps with Hitler being deposed and replaced with someone smarter and more realistic, or a chancellor being elected who didn't start a war.

      The probelm with that is that most interesting alternative histories are based on scenarios where something worse happens than actually did.

      A story about the gradual rise of a non-aggressive Social Democratic Germany, ending up more or less with the political and economic situation we have today, would probably not grip that many people on the face of it, even though it would actually be fascinating to see what happened to Russia, the USA and the UK in the absence of WW2.

      It's why dystopian fiction is much more popular than utopian fiction.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    70. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Actually, the Nazis could have won if they didn't have a racial idealogue.

      Well, yes, it usually all comes down to that the Nazis could have won if they weren't Nazis, or hadn't had Hitler as their leader.

      The problem with Nazism is that it required the whole world to be invaded and run as one big slave camp. The problem with Hitler is that he was a poor military strategist.

      In both cases, early successes led them to believe that they were unbeatable.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    71. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Overall though, Hitler became grossly overconfident as a result of the 'easy' victory in France.

      Thank you, I've never heard a good strategic reason for Operation Barbarossa, only ever idealistic excuses that didn't sound really plausible. This makes sense.

      No, from the Nazis point of view, the invasion and subjugation of Russia was essential both on racial and political grounds: they thought of the Russians as Slavic Subhumans, and of course they hated Communism.

      Without thse ideological elements, they wouldn't have been Nazis.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    72. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Nazi's were greeted as liberators by russian peasants.

      This sounds like someone re-writing history because they're anti-communist. I'm not saying that all the peasants loved Uncle Joe Stalin, but they must have realised how bad the Nazis were by then?

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    73. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Cool cartoons. But in the last one you linked they are shaking hands with their left hands. I wonder if that has any significance.

      Their right hand is behind their backs, near their holstered gun.

      Most people are right handed, and the whole reason for shaking hands with your right is to show that you're not holding a weapon.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    74. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Hitler wasn't insane; he was a genius. An evil genius, but a genius nonetheless.

      In any discussion about WW2, at some point someone will claim Hitler was a genius.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    75. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      ...and of course they hated Communism.

      I know that we're taught this today, but how was it perceived back then? How ideologically different is a National Socialist ideal from a communist ideal?

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    76. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I understand that. But I think it'd be interesting to see a movie showing the present day, but where WWII and the Cold War never happened (or did it? But between different countries perhaps? After all Stalin's still in the picture even with a more peaceful Germany which perhaps is placated by the Allies realizing their punitive treaty was stupid and amending it before Hitler takes over.)

      Not everything has to be dystopian; just look at 2001: A Space Odyssey for instance. Or Star Trek.

    77. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Yes, I do mean Truman. Thanks.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    78. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      The problem with Nazism is that it required the whole world to be invaded and run as one big slave camp. The problem with Hitler is that he was a poor military strategist.

      In both cases, early successes led them to believe that they were unbeatable.

      I was working on an alternate history story where the Nazis got super tech. I got together with a military buff/history major friend of mine to discuss the ramifications and figure out how the Nazis could still fail when given super tech. The end answer that seems most plausible to us both was to let Hitler be Hitler and prevent it from being used effectively and micromanage it into uselessness.

    79. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Things were terrible for the peasants. The peasants had no idea how bad the nazis were. No free flow of information.

      So you are under a literally murderous regime. The "Great Purge" was only a couple years prior.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      The soviets had averaged over 1,000 executions per day combined with terror and treatment for those not executed which made life horrific.

      Then these soldiers come along and kill the people who were terrorizing you. Hooray! Anything has to be better than what you had been experiencing right?

      And then within days, you find out they are mass murdering people and dumping the bodies into mass graves. And instead of just killing 1 in 10 of you, they'd be happy to kill 10 in 10 of you.

      Okay... so apparently something CAN be worse than the great purge under stalin.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    80. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "And look what MacArthur did in Korea an Inchon."

      You mean apart from directly disobeying orders by going right up to the chinese border, which led to prolonging the conflict and forcing the chinese into helping the North?

      He should have been courtmartialled and discharged for that, if not what he pulled in England.

    81. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Sorta. Had Hitler not decided to invade Russia, he likely would have "won" the war. However, and not to attribute strategic thinking on the part of Hitler, but it doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out, even after wining the war, they would *eventually* have to deal with Russia, or more accurately would have to deal with Russia deciding to deal with them. Perhaps they thought in the grand scheme of things, Japan and Russia would weaken each other to the point where eventually they could make a move on the whole lot.

      Given the NAZI ideology and whole racial pureness thing, it sure makes strange bedfellows with the Japanese... The Italians I can see with the fixation of all things on the Roman empire... Anyway even had they "won" the political climate I don't think would be as simple as eating strudel and oktoberfest. Not to mention likely decades of unrest and rebellion etc...

    82. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Schmorgluck · · Score: 1

      There's a reason why the Allies abstained from attempting to assassinate Hitler: they didn't want to risk him being replaced by someone competent.

      --
      There's nothing like $HOME
    83. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Schmorgluck · · Score: 1

      Very different on paper. Mein Kampf was pretty much followed to the letter. Marx's writings, not so much. In his correspondence with Engels, Marx himself warned against a communist revolution in Tsarist Russia, lest it would lead to a new Prussia (i.e. an aggressive imperialist power).

      --
      There's nothing like $HOME
    84. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      Thank you. I've actually not read Mein Kampf, I know that I should.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    85. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Schmorgluck · · Score: 1

      Things were terrible for the peasants.

      The Bolsheviks, being born of urban intelligentsia, had deep-rooted despise for the peasants. As a result they treated them like shit. There's a reason why Gorbachev tried to reform the USSR: he was from a peasant family (quite a novelty for his position) and had a new perspective on the state of affairs.

      --
      There's nothing like $HOME
    86. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      And Germany even with all its occupied territories couldn't feed that number of starved Soviet (Russian, Ukrainian, Belarus) peasants.

      Do you even know what a peasant is? It's a farmer. Farmers can feed themselves, thank you very much, with a bit to spare. The trick is to not burn their farms, kill their animals and loot their equipment.

      If it was an easy task, with all the arable land and manpower, Soviets would have organised themselves to eradicate the hunger,

      Actually, Soviet "organisation" caused a famine that killed, by some estimates, as many as the Nazi holocaust. That's in a region so naturally fertile - provided you don't intentionally fuck it up - that it was called the breadbasket of the Russian empire.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    87. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Schmorgluck · · Score: 1

      After the battle of Bir Hakeim, some retreating French soldiers were caught prisoners by Rommel's forces. Hitler directly ordered that said prisoners be all executed, which Rommel refused. I think it's this kind of orders that pushed Rommel and others to conspire against Hitler.

      --
      There's nothing like $HOME
    88. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      The Germans behaved very differently on the Eastern front than they did in France, for example. Most of that can be attributed to expediency. The Eastern front was at the end of incredibly long supply lines, and the scorched earth policy was explicitly aimed to depopulate the areas between the front and the homeland. They thought that if they left any villages unburned, they would fill up with partisans who would sap all the energy from Barbarossa. When Americans invaded Iraq and Afghanistan, they didn't resort to such brutality, but asymmetric warfare from partisans who blend into the population basically undid everything that the US had tried to do, ultimately driving out the Americans and leaving room for ISIS/Taliban. For me, the lesson is that it's a bad idea to try to invade and occupy other countries. You're basically guaranteed to fail.

    89. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      To believe that Germany's reason to go to war consisted in exterminating the Jews shows just how brainwashing works over long periods of time.

      I suggest you do some reading before resorting to namecalling. Thanks partly to the work mentioned by Fire_Wraith, historical evidence is beginning to accumulate for the race v. race framing of Hitler's motivation for war. Sure, he was optimistic that Germans would prove the strongest race, but it was more important that the struggle of the races is renewed. The Jews played such a central role in Hitler's plans because he thought that they had infiltrated enough of the world's governments that they successfully put a halt to global racial struggle, leaving weak and degenerate races protected by the political artifice of statehood. No doubt this was a totally delusional view of the Jews, which is a prima facie reason to not believe that the Nazis would have held it. But the evidence seems to be stacking up that this is exactly how Hitler saw the situation.

    90. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      Only an idiot fights on two fronts.

      Like FDR responding to the German declaration of war, after the Japanese attack.

      Using this argument - and it's not without merit - Roosevelt could perfectly well have fought the Japanese first, being the "clear and present danger". During that time, Hitler could have consolidated in Europe, possibly succeeded in invading and conquering Britain. And then, in about 1945, proposed to America a joint offensive against Russia with the Americans coming overland from their takeover of China (after destroying Japan), and Operation Barbarossa being properly supplied and organised.

      Alternative history - but perfectly credible. Even if Roosevelt's personal inclinations would have favoured supporting Britain against Germany, there was enough sympathy for the isolationist position in America that they could have made it fly.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    91. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      If Rommel had won at El Alamein, he'd have been able to capture Alexandria. At that point his supply situation becomes vastly easier, whereas the remains of the 8th Army who've buggered off into Sudan or Ethiopia are living on what and being supplied from where?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    92. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      At first I thought it could mean they're Boy Scouts, but on looking they're both holding guns in their right hands.

      The two things are sort of related, though.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    93. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Not really. They sell us short so many times. For example people don't know that the US had a jet fighter in WWII - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... . Wonder woman's plane BTW. The shooting star would make short work of the 262. Understand that rocketry and such that Germany had was all from US - Robert Goddard and they admitted it. We also had Tesla. Ultimately we would have still have the bomb, that would trump anything they did. I studied those guys quite a bit. Most, almost all of the heavy lifting was done by our scientists. Most of which are not even mentioned in history.

      However it's true and one of history's ironies that we probably wouldn't have had a bomb if Einstein - a pacifist hadn't written his letter to FDR.

    94. Re:The Nazis Could Have Won by serbanp · · Score: 1

      Thank you for your perspective.

  8. How did they go to the moon then? by Ecuador · · Score: 2, Funny

    I call BS! If they weren't close to a nuclear reaction, how did they get to the moon?

    --
    Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent. Polar Scope Align for iOS
  9. Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 5, Informative

    Well we already knew that the Nazis were very far from a nuclear weapon. They didn't even have the theories right by the end of the war. So this is just confirming something that wasn't under much question.

    Heisenberg himself didn't realise that with compression the mean free path becomes much shorter and hence you can get a supercritical assembly with much less fissile material than you would otherwise need. When told of the Hiroshima explosion he calculated that the Americans had just managed to refine 500kg of U235 in order to make a bomb. An overestimate by about a factor of ten.

    The German physicists also discarded plutonium early on as an alternative, and whey they discovered their error it was far too late in the programme to do anything about it.

    Also Heisenberg himself seems to not have been too keen on the idea, always downplaying the possibility, and trying to convince Bohr that on-one should work on developing the bomb.

    --
    Stefan Axelsson
    1. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Regardless of progress, the were certainly working on it. Good thing they were stopped.

    2. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      So you are saying that Heisenberg was uncertain?

    3. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by Capt.Albatross · · Score: 1

      There is an interesting discussion of Heisenberg's critical mass calculations here: https://www.mpiwg-berlin.mpg.d...

    4. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      It should be noted that Little Boy didn't actually use compression to achieve fission. It was a gun type bomb (the only one ever built - and it was built not because it was a good design but because it was the EASY design - enough so that they didn't even bother to do a test).

      Fat Man, of course, set the pattern for all subsequent nuclear weapons. And it did use compression....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    5. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      So you are saying that Heisenberg was uncertain?

      Well, his momentum was low, we know that, so that means that his position was indeterminable. Which is a fair match which history actually. :-)

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    6. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by Nidi62 · · Score: 4, Funny

      So you are saying that Heisenberg was uncertain?

      At least he had principles.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    7. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      After the war, Heisenberg *claimed* that he prevented work on the bomb, and accused Bohr of being morally wrong in helping to create a bomb. Whether Heisenberg deliberately obstructed the creation of a Nazi bomb, we'll never know. We only have his word for it.

      Well, he met with Bohr during the war, just before Bohr fled west. The contents of the meeting is unclear however, and there are differing accounts of what was said. So there's at least the possibility.

      Forthermore, we know that Heisenberg didn't have a "can do" attitude when it came to developing a bomb, dragging his feet. This is sharp contrast to someone like Werner von Braun, who was instrumental in getting the rockets flying, even as the prototypes exploded left and right. Now, whether Heisenberg dragged his feet because he didn't think it was something that should be done on philosophical or moral grounds, because he didn't think the project could be done on scientific/engineering grounds, or something else, we don't know with any real certainty. Personally I think its a "all of the above in various parts" kind of answer, and I don't think that moral outlook necessarily was the overarching concern. But even so, he was far from the worst of the bunch. Quite the opposite.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    8. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      There is an interesting discussion of Heisenberg's critical mass calculations here: https://www.mpiwg-berlin.mpg.d...

      Interesting. I hadn't seen that one before. They argue that Heisenberg knew more than he let on as a bargaining chip to be used in the negotiation with the allies. They play his "tons" statement as both not giving away useful information and as a pedagogical device used to explain the principles to Otto Hahn.

      It's a nice theory, but I'm not sure it passes Occam's razor. It's still quite possible that he just didn't know any better, or was a bit confused himself as to the details, not having given the subject serious consideration (the paper itself stresses that he was a reactor guy first and foremost).

      That said, its certainly possible. I guess we'll never know. It's difficult to ascertain exactly how people thought in hindsight, even under the best of circumstances.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    9. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Well, its a good thing overall that they were stopped. It's just that their advancement of nuclear weapons wasn't a particular reason to. They would have fallen for many other reasons long before that became a problem.

      What's more interesting in that regard is that the Nazis did have largish quantities of nerve gas stored, and the capacity to make more. Hitler didn't press the issue though since he was, wrongly, told that the allies must have the same capability (they didn't) and since he himself had been injured by gas in WWI he wasn't too keen on starting gas warfare.

      For example, the German army reportedly had something like 13 tons of Tabun available during the Normandy invasion. If they had had the willingness to use it, things could have turned out much different. (At least there. By that time it was probably too late to stop the Soviets, nerve gas or no nerve gas.)

      So the Nazis could have employed weapons of mass destruction, its just their capacity to wage nuclear war that was never that substantial, they were years from a working bomb.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    10. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Of course, they essentially did deploy chemical weapons on prisoners.

    11. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Yes, there's that. However, as deplorable as that was, it didn't really help their war effort. It could be successfully argued that it took away from it. In fact, there's a theory that says that the allied feet dragging on the matter was that they didn't mind at all that the Nazis spent time and effort on an endeavour that took that same time and effort from something that could have helped their war effort.

      Not that I subscribe much to that theory, just to be clear.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    12. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If Germany had used chemical weapons, the Allies would have also. The Allies didn't know about German nerve gas, and the Germans didn't realize the Allies didn't have their own, but the Allies had pretty large stocks of the older weapons.

      The German Army depended heavily on horses for transport. You can put a gas mask on a horse (I've seen pictures), but you can't make the horse do anything with the mask on. A truck will run just fine on air that would kill a horse or man. The Germans knew that starting chemical warfare would hurt them worse than it would hurt the Allies.

      Allied strategic bombing missions would start including mustard gas along with the explosives. It's hard to take out factories with high explosive, since the individual machines are very durable, but drop some mustard gas and they're very hard to use without an arduous decontamination process.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    13. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Yes, well, taken to its logical conclusion they couldn't have won no matter what they did. At least as soon as the Soviets were involved. They didn't have the manpower, raw materials or industrial base to outfight the rest of the world. Even a nuke against London would only have delayed the inevitable, and made the end that much worse. (The US had the B-36 on the drawing board, but put it on hold in favour of increased B-29 production as there wasn't a need for the B-36. The Nazis couldn't effectively reach the US, well maybe the east coast, but even a nuke against New York or Washington would only have pissed the Americans off even more...).

      So, any strategy is a losing strategy in the end. My point was mainly that even though the allied really had no reason to fear a Nazi nuclear bomb, they were too far behind, they could have wreaked havoc with nerve gas. Sure that wouldn't have been a winning strategy in the end, and as you say provoked an even nastier response, but it could have seriously bloodied the allies noses before they got up, even more determined to finish the job. The Normandy landings could have failed for example. (They were closely enough run affairs as it was.)

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
    14. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by careysub · · Score: 1

      So you are saying that Heisenberg was uncertain?

      Well, his momentum was low, we know that, so that means that his position was indeterminable. Which is a fair match which history actually. :-)

      By the eponymous principle, if his momentum was low then we should know his position with good accuracy.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    15. Re:Their own scientists weren't even close by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      No, we know his momentum with high certainty (and it was low) that means that his position cannot be known with any precision.

      Or did I just miss a loud wooshing sound?

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
  10. No WMDs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    At least the USA are learning from history: It worked once, it worked again.

  11. Hitler wasn't interested about atomic bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I read a biography of Hitler some time ago. According to the biography, Hitler wasn't interested about atomic bomb, because the scientists said that it would take many years to complete the bomb. Hitler was concerned about his health even in 1930s, and he didn't think he would be alive anymore when the bomb would be ready. Because of this, he didn't think it would be useful to use resources for atomic bomb research.

  12. WMDs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Not the first time the US thought an enemy had WMDs but didn't, huh?

    1. Re:WMDs by Chrisq · · Score: 4, Informative

      Not the first time the US thought an enemy had WMDs but didn't, huh?

      Hitler certainly had WMDs, just not nuclear

    2. Re:WMDs by onthemightofprinces · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Those weren't exactly WMDs. It took tens of thousands of them to do severe damage.

    3. Re:WMDs by Coisiche · · Score: 1

      MWoD instead of WoMD.

    4. Re:WMDs by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Actually they did but not the V-weapons. They had developed nerve agents but never used them. It seems that Hitler was not a fan of gas in combat. The Japanese did use gas in the war in China but the US warned them that if they used it on US troops then the US would retaliate.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    5. Re:WMDs by sconeu · · Score: 1

      I always wondered if Hitler's reluctance to use gas was a direct result of him being gassed in WWI.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    6. Re:WMDs by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      That is the common theory.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    7. Re:WMDs by Prien715 · · Score: 1

      According to a 2011 BBC documentary, the attacks resulted in the deaths of an estimated 9,000 civilians and military personnel, while 12,000 forced laborers and concentration camp prisoners were killed producing the weapons.
      ~Wikipedia

      Seems like a basic tenet of a "good weapon" is killing more people than are killed building it.

      --
      -- Political fascism requires a Fuhrer.
    8. Re: WMDs by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Well I think that unfortunately and Hitler are often used in the same statement.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  13. And this is news? by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    I thought this is clear since 1945. Germany never came close to obtaining a critical mass of fissible material.

  14. We just thought they were close to having the bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    We just thought they were close to having the bomb because someone found a prototype of a digital clock in the wreckage of the Reichstag.

  15. Stop the presses! by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

    So exactly what everyone has been saying without variation since the Alsos teams arrived in Paris in 1944 turns out to be correct?

    Slow news day.

    p.s. Had a nice chat with one of the Alsos guys once. Described showing up in one of the labs and everyone there being shocked to see just who was walking through the door. All their former colleges were in fatigues, which they kinda thought was weird. But then when they explained why they were there, and what they were trying to stop, all of the Germans immediately went "What?!? No, we were never doing that!" but then understood why they were in uniform and armed.

    1. Re:Stop the presses! by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      all of the Germans immediately went "What?!? No, we were never doing that!"

      No shit. It's like how none of them were REAL Nazis, they were just going along with it because of the cool Hugo Boss uniforms.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  16. Re:The Jews will BURN in the OVENS AGAIN! by Qbertino · · Score: 1

    Mint Nazi Propaganda on Slashdot, modded +2?
    Well, that's a first.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
  17. Re:wmd by onthemightofprinces · · Score: 1

    Yes, but it wasn't so much America going 'they have them, we have to stop them' so much as it was 'we have them, and we really wanna use them'.

  18. Re:The Jews will BURN in the OVENS AGAIN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Both "english" and "german" in your sig should be capitalized.

  19. Bombs and sabotage helped too by tomhath · · Score: 1

    Allied bombings and sabotage by resistance fighters contributed as well. It's possible the German physicists could have made more progress if they had secure places to do their work like Los Alamos, Oak Ridge, and Hanford. And of course the Nazis sabotaged themselves by chasing off the best scientists in Europe.

    Heisenberg himself ... calculated that the Americans had just managed to refine 500kg of U235 in order to make a bomb. An overestimate by about a factor of ten.

    As it turned out, the Americans also overestimated the amount of material needed by another factor of ten. They had enough material for over twenty. but they used it all on three bombs.

    1. Re:Bombs and sabotage helped too by HiThere · · Score: 1

      There's also the question of how much the Heisenberg, etc., wanted Hitler to win. Some of their calculations may well have been excessively pessimistic. We know that this was the case with Radar, but there's no reason to believe that's the only place this happened.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  20. It didn't matter anyway by ericdujardin · · Score: 1

    Because the War to Japan was not won by the Bomb. Japanese already lost people by thousands every day. What mattered was the arrival of the soviets on the Japan north coast, threatening them of ending up under Stalin's hand. They preferred the gentler US domination and capitulated for that.

    1. Re:It didn't matter anyway by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The Soviets had not attacked the Japanese north coasts, but were making a hash of amphibious landings in the Kuriles. Despite all their advantages, the Red Army assault forces were only saved by the surrender.

      I've seen no evidence that the Soviet attacks caused the surrender (although they must have had a lot of influence). The Japanese at least blamed it on the nukes. The Imperial rescript announcing surrender mentioned "a new and most cruel bomb" and lumped everything else (like the destruction of the Japanese Navy, large parts of the Japanese Army, the destruction of the Japanese economy, etc.) into "developments not necessarily to Japan's advantage". The timing and what we know of the proceedings of the Japanese government body concerned strongly suggest that the Nagasaki bomb was the deciding factor. (It's at least arguable that what it did was give the Japanese a way to surrender without losing face, but that's a legitimate contribution to the surrender.)

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  21. Boron in Graphite by tomwrake · · Score: 3, Informative
    The Nazi team went the very expensive heavy water route because the graphic route appeared unworkable . After reading The Making of the Atomic Bomb I concluded that the Nazi were unable to make a good estimate the needed critical mass because of Boron in their graphite. Essentially the US National Carbon had a better process than the German Siemans process. Or perhaps this was because Fermi was on the American team and demanded a better process. Another possibility was that Heisenberg just missed the Boron.

    Also see the Nuclear Graphite History section for some details.

  22. Re:The German's were rocket people not bomb people by MagickalMyst · · Score: 1

    "The only way to stop this is by attacking the infrastructure of Iran's nuclear program."

    Yes, let's attack a sovereign nation without any provocation because we don't like what they are doing and they could possibly build a bomb and theoretically might attack us someday.

    It is people like you - those who would rather circumvent peaceful negotiations in favor of murderous pre-emptive strikes - who are the biggest danger to our planet. Fortunately you are the minority.

    But please keep your fear mongering to yourself. The world doesn't need any more wars or violence.

    --
    Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
  23. huh by maestroX · · Score: 1

    I built an atomic bomb for my grade six Science Fair exhibit.

  24. Hindsight much? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I like how hindsight is used to attempt to control virtually everything on this site.

    You fight wars with what you believe at the time based on the evidence you have available, it's all you can ever do. All these people talking about how Hitler was a pompous ass and that's how he lost the war, well guess what - if we would have believed that Germany was too backwards to have been developing the kind of technology we were working on, and quit working on it ourselves because reasons, then that would have made the US and their allies the pompous asses.

    And running around talking about how people were "wrong" and "liars" because the evidence that they had wasn't as reliable as they thought at the time, and trying to punish them for their actions because of it - well, that's damning them if they do, and damning them if they don't. If you see smoke in your building you run out and call the FD. You don't sit there and think "oh must be the commies fucking with us again". If it turns out later to happen to be some kid playing with a smoke device they stole from some groupies the night before, that doesn't make you stupid.

    1. Re:Hindsight much? by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      It's not just this site.

    2. Re:Hindsight much? by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      Exactly.

      We knew the Germans were working on an Atomic Weapon, and they were - all the facts support that. They just were not as far along as we thought they were.

      FWIW, even Japan was also working a nuclear weapon (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_nuclear_weapon_program).

      All-in-all, you don't ignore the potential dangers, you have to act on intelligence based on what you know at that time and its potential implications, not what you might be able to deduce in hindsight. Even with Iraq - that is one of the biggest mistakes now, people look back in hindsight and say "you should have known" when Saddam did a great job of bluffing and doing exactly what Iran is attempting now.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
  25. So USA is 0 for 2... by otaku244 · · Score: 1

    On invading hostile countries with weapons of mass destruction, but only criticized for 50% of it.

    --
    Mod me down, I shall become more off-topic than you could possibly imagine.
    1. Re:So USA is 0 for 2... by halivar · · Score: 1

      Because the other 50% were genocidal Nazis? Maybe? Just a shot in the dark.

    2. Re:So USA is 0 for 2... by acoustix · · Score: 1

      On invading hostile countries with weapons of mass destruction, but only criticized for 50% of it.

      We invaded Germany? Really? Your version of history doesn't match the rest of the world's.

      --
      "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
    3. Re:So USA is 0 for 2... by otaku244 · · Score: 1

      If we occupied their country and dissolved their government, then, yes, I say we invaded Germany. I'm not making a rant against either WWII or Iraq. There are PLENTY of difference between the two wars.
      But justifications (either ahead of, during, or after the fact) for actions in BOTH cases were made based on some very inaccurate information. What's done is done. I am questioning whether any of this could have (or *maybe* even should have) been avoided where we can draw parallels between the situations. Do the ends justify the means?
      In my opinion, the key differentiator between the two was that we were already in the fight during WWII and nothing is fair about war. You fight to win. On the other side, using WMDs as a justification to start the Iraq war was a poor decision... especially when considering the use of Sarin and mustard gas in the region over the last 2 decades has not directly translated to military action on the part of the US.

      --
      Mod me down, I shall become more off-topic than you could possibly imagine.
  26. Edith Keeler by morgauxo · · Score: 1

    I never understood why she had to die. They should have just taken her with them. The effect would likely be the same. If it mattered so much they probably could have used their advanced medical knowlege to fake her death. The only change to history would be the disappearance of her body. How bad could that be?

    1. Re:Edith Keeler by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      maybe Joan Collins only wanted to do one ST episode, otherwise could have been an interesting alt ST universe. Dynasty Diva of sorts?

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
    2. Re:Edith Keeler by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      I never understood why she had to die. They should have just taken her with them. The effect would likely be the same. If it mattered so much they probably could have used their advanced medical knowlege to fake her death. The only change to history would be the disappearance of her body. How bad could that be?

      Good to see someone focussing on the really important part of this story.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    3. Re:Edith Keeler by morgauxo · · Score: 1

      Aww... somebody hasn't had his coffee yet has he?

  27. Re:wmd by Tailhook · · Score: 1
    Yes; FDR was told to:

    speed up the experimental work, which is at present being carried on within the limits of the budgets of University laboratories, by providing funds, if such funds be required

    because Germany:

    has actually stopped the sale of uranium from the Czechoslovakian mines, which she has taken over. That she should have taken such early action might perhaps be understood on the ground that the son of the German Under-Secretary of State, Von Weishlicker [sic], is attached to the Kaiser Wilheim Institute in Berlin where some of the American work on uranium is now being repeated.

    Well known war profiteer Einstein wrote that to further the interests of his weapons manufacturing company and his international banking cartel buddies. Also, big oil.

    --
    Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
  28. I'm Sure We Had Nothing To Do With That by Greyfox · · Score: 1
    I'm sure we didn't overstate the danger at all to rally support for the war. No matter how close they were, Hitler was a giant asshole and we needed to be in that war so we could fuck him.

    Interestingly, it seems there are a lot of misconceptions about that what was going on over there. One might draw parallels to what's going on over there today in Syria, but it seems that we're not in the business of fucking assholes so much anymore. No one has the energy to fuck those assholes anymore.

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    1. Re:I'm Sure We Had Nothing To Do With That by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      I'm sure we didn't overstate the danger at all to rally support for the war. No matter how close they were, Hitler was a giant asshole and we needed to be in that war so we could fuck him.

      Interestingly, it seems there are a lot of misconceptions about that what was going on over there. One might draw parallels to what's going on over there today in Syria, but it seems that we're not in the business of fucking assholes so much anymore. No one has the energy to fuck those assholes anymore.

      Reminds me of:

      "Pussies don't like dicks, because pussies get fucked by dicks. But dicks also fuck assholes: assholes that just want to shit on everything. Pussies may think they can deal with assholes their way. But the only thing that can fuck an asshole is a dick, with some balls. The problem with dicks is: they fuck too much or fuck when it isn't appropriate - and it takes a pussy to show them that. But sometimes, pussies can be so full of shit that they become assholes themselves... because pussies are an inch and half away from ass holes. I don't know much about this crazy, crazy world, but I do know this: If you don't let us fuck this asshole, we're going to have our dicks and pussies all covered in shit!"

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    2. Re:I'm Sure We Had Nothing To Do With That by Greyfox · · Score: 1

      Fuck yeah!

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  29. Re:It's nice to mention Jáchimov in the artic by dunkelfalke · · Score: 4, Informative

    The English word "slavery" has a completely different root, it came originally from the Greek "sklabos". Slav as in ethnicity comes from the slavic word "slovo", meaning "word" - as in people speaking an understandable language. In fact, even today, after more than a millennium of separation all Slavic languages are still partially mutually intelligible.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  30. Not quite accurate... by mschaffer · · Score: 1

    Szilard actually wrote the letter (Einstein only signed it). Regardless, it only stated that Germany had ceased selling uranium from Czechoslovakian mines. It does not mention that Germany is actually working on an uranium bomb. The letter urges further research on chain reactions. The letter does not urge that the US develop an uranium bomb.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  31. Nimitz on MacArthur by calidoscope · · Score: 2

    The quote according to Eddie Layton was, "To remind myself not to be a horse's ass." It's unfortunate that Nimitz isn't as well known as some of the other WW2 principals, as he did a very good job as CinCPAC.

    --
    A Shadeless room is a brighter room.
  32. Re:It's nice to mention Jáchimov in the artic by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1
    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  33. Was too! by countach · · Score: 1

    Yes there was a race, I saw it on Hogan's Heros! For me, that's definitive.

  34. I thought that I read this about 15 years ago by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 1

    It seemed to me that I already read an analysis of the purity of the graphite used in a buffer wasn't high enough and thus was more of a blocker than a buffer. The result was that the failed experiment then diverted the Nazis from an efficient path down a far harder path. That the Manhattan project was effectively based on the same experiment but done at ever higher purities of graphite until it worked and confirmed what they thought about neutrons.

  35. Re:German poison gases were better than early nuke by countach · · Score: 1

    You make a good point that it wasn't Germany's strategic aim to inherit a nuclear wasteland of Europe. But perhaps they might not have minded turning the US into nuclear wasteland to stop them.

  36. Re:It's nice to mention Jáchimov in the artic by short · · Score: 1

    The spelling is JÃchymov.

  37. Re:The German's were rocket people not bomb people by tehcyder · · Score: 1
    The possibility of Iran nuking the US/West, even if they developed nuclear weapons, is so remote as to be not worth considering. The only plausible point of them having nukes is to avoid being as defenceless as Iraq, so that as a last resort they could threaten to retaliate against the US if they were invaded, even though the amount of damage they could do would be (relatively) minor.

    As far as actually using them offensively, their only real target might be Israel, in which case you would have a mini-MAD scenario.

    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  38. Re:Imagine if Hitler had won by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    We'll give some land to the chinks and the niggers, but we DON'T want the Irish.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  39. The real blame by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    How can we blame this on George Bush?

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  40. Not that there was no race. There was. The US won. by dakra137 · · Score: 1

    From all the text in the original item and Forbes blog, there definitely was a race. Several races, in fact. Aryans, Jews, Italians, Mixed-ethnicity Americans, etc, as well as the race for the bomb. Thank God, the Germans did not win, or come close enough to create lots of radioactive material with which to blitz England with dirty bombs and V2's. They might have been set to explode at 150 .. 1000 meters to pollute and require effort to clean up.