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Freeman Dyson Talks Interstellar Travel, Climate Change, and More (theregister.co.uk)

New submitter Tulsa_Time writes with this interview in The Register with Freeman Dyson. They cover a wide range of topics including climate change to which Dyson says Obama has picked the "wrong side". The Reg reports: "The life of physicist Freeman Dyson spans advising bomber command in World War II, working at Princeton University in the States as a contemporary of Einstein, and providing advice to the US government on a wide range of scientific and technical issues. He is a rare public intellectual who writes prolifically for a wide audience. He has also campaigned against nuclear weapons proliferation. At America's Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Dyson was looking at the climate system before it became a hot political issue, over 25 years ago. He provides a robust foreword to a report written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change cofounder Indur Goklany on CO2 – a report published [PDF] by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF)."

15 of 330 comments (clear)

  1. Climate modeling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    He also said that climate models were a joke, and are getting worse and are deviating more and more from what is actually happening. But he is only one of the worlds most distinguished physicists. I trust Al Gore more. His carbon trading system will save the planet!

    1. Re:Climate modeling by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What he's not is a climatologist, and one should be very cautious about any scientist speaking out of their area of expertise. That you rely on him as an authority suggests you've bought into a fallacious appeal to authority.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Climate modeling by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What he's not is a climatologist, and one should be very cautious about any scientist speaking out of their area of expertise. That you rely on him as an authority suggests you've bought into a fallacious appeal to authority.

      Martian, I generally like your contributions so I'm going to help you out. Note:

      I trust Al Gore more.

      See any "fallacious appeal to authority" there regarding someone who is not a climatologist?

      As someone else said: whoosh.

    3. Re: Climate modeling by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I saw predictions before the end of 2014 that it would be the hottest year on record. Those predictions were right.

      Similarly right now I am seeing predictions that 2015 is going to be the new hottest year on record - it has already set record for 6 months of the year being the hottest ever.

      I think these predictions are out there, you just have your head in the sand.

      Because these predictions are talking about the global average temperature, they are climate predictions. When you put a decade of "hottest year on record" years together, the average thinking person should start asking for an explanation - whether that be Sun spots or anthropogenic warning, there should be some explanation.

    4. Re:Climate modeling by MightyMartian · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, he has not, and since almost every expert in that actual field says he's wrong, not only is he not an authority, but his continued insistence that his largely layman understanding is equivalent to that of a researcher that has actually dedicated themselves to studying climatology is, to be quite blunt, deeply dishonest. Dyson I condemn for what even he must know is a dishonest set of claims. You I condemn because you're a fucking ignoramus.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    5. Re: Climate modeling by ShieldW0lf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      He's not a member of the right priesthood.

      --
      -1 Uncomfortable Truth
  2. It's easy to not worry about climate change by Overzeetop · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's easy to not worry about climate change when you'll probably be dead in a few years anyway.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  3. Re:The Register by aristotle-dude · · Score: 2, Insightful

    > The Reg is shamelessly used to push these views.

    Exacty. That is why proposed laws against challenging settled science are so important. The scientists have already voted.

    Voting creates truth? Scientists lie all the time when someone pays them enough money. They are all whores but their honour varies in price.

    --
    Jesus was a compassionate social conservative who called individuals to sin no more.
  4. Re:The right side of history by Crashmarik · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You forgot to call him an anti-science shill for the oil companies.

  5. Re:The right side of history by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Obama is always on the right side of history

    Obama signed an extension of the PATRIOT act within two years of taking office. Pull your head out of your ass.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  6. Re:The right side of history by chipschap · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What you're saying is that his conclusions are politically incorrect and don't agree with what you feel compelled to believe, for whatever reasons.

    I am not qualified to say who's right and who's wrong here. But I keep an open mind and listen to reasoned argument. The extremes (flat out deniers on one side and cataclysm mongers on the other) do neither.

  7. More complicated than a denier by XXongo · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Dyson is a smart guy, and worth listening to-- but being smart does not mean he is always right. He tends to be a contrarian-- but being contrarian, although an interesting philosophy, unfortunately doesn't make you right.

    The denialists want to claim him as one of them, but if you read what he actually says (and not what other people rephrase what he says), he's not; he's a skeptic, all right, but not a denier, or, at least, he doesn't parrot the deniers' (mostly stupid) talking points. His arguments are more complicated than that.

    He does, however, think that climate models are not reliable. When you dig down into why, you see that he admits taht he hasn't actually studied them, he's just distrustful of numerical models in general.

    A large part of his argument, however, is that global warming just isn't a problem, and if it is, it's one we can solve. (In the very short interview referenced, for example, he says that we should look at ways of increasing snowfall in Antarctica as a solution.)

    I think, unfortunately, that there is a complete contradiction here. You can't solve a problem if you don't have a model that tells you the effect of your prposed actions. So-- if you don't believe the models, then you can't model what the effect of your solution is. Contrawise, if you are asserting that you can solve the problem (by, for example, increasing snowfall in Antarctica), this means that you think that you can model the problem, and be confident that your solution the effect of solving the problem. So: you can assert that you don't believe the models, or you can assert that we can solve the problem, but you can't logically assert both.

    1. Re:More complicated than a denier by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unfortunately, when many hear skepticism they scream "denier!". Those idiots are not helping the cause. That the models are inaccurate is obvious to anyone paying attention. Modeling climate is extremely complicated, and we don't even fully understand all of the variables, inputs, and feedbacks. That certainly doesn't mean the science is wrong, it just has great uncertainty when it comes to predicting extent and impact. Doomsday predictions are as unscientific as denial.

  8. Re:The right side of history by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What the AC failed to do, though, was explain why a climate scientist is more qualified to talk about relative scales of problems than anybody else is. Climate scientists are better at what they do than anyone else, but that doesn't mean they're good public policy makers, sociologists, economists... all of whom will need to be involved in determining what public policy should be.

    --
    Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
  9. Dyson - good at physics, bad at predicting behavio by burtosis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes it's true that climate models do have some issues (as any science does), and are constantly refined. It's also true that, from a scientific perspective, the earth will be quite habitable even under the most dire predictions.
    This is NOT where the major problems associated with global warming come from. It's the changing of natural resources everyone is used to. It could require massive engineering projects or moving tens of millions of people and abandon whole cities near sea level. It could cause massive heat waves that could kill tens of thousands like what is starting to happen in India. It could require whole regions to abandon the familiar agriculture practices, and in some areas leave no alternative production. It could destabilize whole regions of the world and cause massive wars killing millions - far worse than any direct effect.
    This is the real danger of global warming, not simply a few degrees of temperature rise on an otherwise bearable average value.