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UK and US Suspect That ISIS Bomb Took Down Flight 9268 (cnn.com)

An anonymous reader writes with a report from CNN that U.S. and UK intelligence agencies believe it is more likely than not that the destruction on October 31st of a Russian A321 jetliner in Sinai "was most likely caused by a bomb on the plane planted by ISIS or an affiliate of the group." Kogalymavia Flight 9268 fell apart in flight, killing all aboard. From CNN's article: The British government announced Wednesday that it had "become concerned that the plane may well have been brought down by an explosive device." A formal conclusion has not been reached by the intelligence communities of either country. An UK aviation team is travelling to inspect the Sharm airport to look at whether there were proper security measures at the airport and the various scenarios by which an explosive device could have made it to the Russian airliner "including a person or in cargo," according to the British transport minister. Both Russian and Egyptian officials discount the claim, but detecting bombs is hard.

289 comments

  1. It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    ...or gross maintenance negligence. Given that Russians and Egyptians are involved...

    1. Re:It's either that... by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Yeah, those Russians are so shitty at technology. That's why they've had almost every space "first" and are the only nation on earth still consistently capable of sending men into space (and with an almost spotless cosmonaut safety record for the last 40 years, unlike some other nations).

      'Merica!! USA! USA! USA!!

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    2. Re:It's either that... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Thank you for being so contemptuous of America.

      It's true that the USSR/Russia have great mathematicians and engineers but its also true that many of their mass-produced items (including cars, tanks, planes, warships, and submarines) left a lot to be desired.

      Your oversight of that point plus your gratuitous "'Merica!! USA! USA! USA!!" says a lot about you.

      Namely - you think Americans are stupid and uneducated (probably also fat and lazy) and forget that each of these traits applies to other countries as well. You probably think Chinese are all thin, in shape. (Which means you haven't been to China lately.)

      .... /deleted rant.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    3. Re:It's either that... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2, Informative

      (and with an almost spotless cosmonaut safety record for the last 40 years, unlike some other nations).

      Umm, you DO know, don't you, that the Russians lost two capsules full of men in ~120 flights, right?

      And that the USA lost two shuttles full of men in 135 flights, right?

      And that 2/135 is SMALLER than 2/120, right?

      In other words, the failure rates of the Russian and American launches is just about the same (Sorry, the fact that American failures were on international TV (unlike the Russian), does NOT make American failures more common - just more visible to the ignorant....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    4. Re:It's either that... by NotDrWho · · Score: 0

      Umm, you DO know, don't you, that the Russians lost two capsules full of men in ~120 flights, right?

      Umm, you DO know what 40 years is, don't you?

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    5. Re:It's either that... by ScentCone · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Umm, you DO know, don't you, that the Russians lost two capsules full of men in ~120 flights, right?

      Umm, you DO know what 40 years is, don't you?

      Who cares how many years it spans - it's the number of flights that matters. If they sit there for six months NOT flying, then having zero flight deaths during those six months isn't exactly a point of pride. Deaths per astronaut flight is a lot more meaningful, statistically, and as a measure of competence. Regardless, we're splitting hairs. The point is that nothing about their survived hours in flight paints a picture of the Russians being wildly more successful in that regard. They do, though, have an administration that's actually keeping their people in the business of putting people in space - though they're doing a fair bit of that with other people's money.

      --
      Don't disappoint your bird dog. Go to the range.
    6. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "mm, you DO know, don't you, that the Russians lost two capsules full of men in ~120 flights, right?

      And that the USA lost two shuttles full of men in 135 flights, right?

      And that 2/135 is SMALLER than 2/120, right? "

      cough (Apollo 1) /cough.

      3/135 is larger than 2/120... not by much and the post to which you replied was stupid. Just use accurate facts to point that out otherwise you look stupid.

    7. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a bit of a difference between a 7-seater and a 1 to 3 seater, the Buran that could carry 9 was tested with full autopilot.
      Also filling the inside of the apollo module with pure oxigen for testing wasn't a very good idea.

    8. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The nazi's were the first to space. Ever other 'first' is some made up event to make the losers feel better. First person with red hair (go gingers!), first person with a broken leg, first person under 160cm, first person under 162cm, first person to eat a sandwich in space, etc.

    9. Re:It's either that... by MagickalMyst · · Score: 1

      The cold war is over guys.

      Now let's all get along and play nicely with one another.

      --
      Political correctness is really just herd psychology pushed by insecure people who desperately seek social conformity.
    10. Re:It's either that... by phishybongwaters · · Score: 2

      To be "that guy" it is a widely held belief that Russia (The Soviets) did not announce the death toll from their space program. They, in fact, have censored out famous cosmonauts from photos when they lost favor. There's even at conspiracy about the capsule and crew lost in space, supposedly radioing back to earth before they were too far out.

    11. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We had a whole 2 weeks notice when we spotted "spooky".
      I'm curious how much of that time was spent with scientists unsure whether it would smash into Earth or not?

    12. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      cough (Apollo 1) /cough.

      Those people died during a rehearsal, it wasn't even a launch attempt. If you're going to start adding people who died during development of the programs, the numbers on both sides are going to climb... but drastically higher on the Soviet side of the equation.

      3/135 is larger than 2/120... not by much [...] otherwise you look stupid

      The poster then said "the failure rates of the Russian and American launches is just about the same".
      Ignoring what he said and then repeating it in your own post just makes you look like the stupid one.

    13. Re:It's either that... by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Who cares how many years it spans - it's the number of flights that matters.

      Yeah, convenient way to ignore the fact that to find the last Russian space fatality you have to go back over 40 years, whereas NASA space shuttles were blowing up as recently as 2003.

      Yes, the fact that Russia has had a spotless record for over 40 years is completely irrelevant. What matters is that they had two fatal accidents in the 1960's.That makes them somehow worse, or at least no better than, a space agency that fatal accidents in 1986 and 2003.

      The point is that nothing about their survived hours in flight paints a picture of the Russians being wildly more successful in that regard.

      No, but the fact that Russia had almost every space first in the 1960's and 70's DOES paints a picture of an agency that has well-earned and deserves respect. You would think that the fact that Americans have to beg Russia for a ride to ISS these days would at least make Americans inclined to treat the Russian space program with a little of that respect. But never underestimate the self-aggrandizing delusion of the average American, or the lingering effect of bullshit Cold War propaganda on that national psyche. In American movies, the U.S. is still the king of space. In real life, you can't even put a human in low earth orbit anymore.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    14. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      To be "that guy" it is a widely held belief that Russia (The Soviets) did not announce the death toll from their space program.

      They didn't at the time. They even kept the identity of their genius Chief Designer a national secret. But the entire program has long-since been opened up to the public and all their cosmonauts accounted for. Secret accidents that somehow show that the Russians had a worse safety record that NASA only exist in the minds of pathetic Americans who can't accept the fact that the space shuttle program was a dismal failure (both in effect and in its safety record) and that NASA today is a sad shadow of what it once was.

    15. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " their mass-produced items (including cars, tanks, planes, warships, and submarines) left a lot to be desired."

      Which is why the US collectively wet its pants during the Cold War.

    16. Re:It's either that... by rwven · · Score: 1
    17. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Russian space flight safety record is not relevant to their commercial aircraft safety record. You were wrong to even bring it up.

    18. Re:It's either that... by Talderas · · Score: 5, Informative

      6 Vostok (0 fatalities) [0%]
      2 Voskhod (0 fatalities) [0%]
      127 Soyuz (4 fatalities - 2 missions) [1.575%]
      135 missions - 2 incidents [1.481%]

      6 Mercury (0 fatalities) [0%]
      10 Gemini (0 fatalities) [0%]
      11 Apollo (0 fatalities) [0%]
      135 Shuttle (14 fatalities - 2 missions) [1.481%]
      162 missions - 2 incidents [1.235%]

      Apollo 1 falls under the test/training mission and was never a flight.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    19. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you for being a friend
      Traveled down the road and back again
      Your heart is true, you're a pal and a cosmonaut.
      And if you threw a party
      Invited everyone you knew
      You would see the biggest gift would be from me
      And the card attached would say, thank you for being a friend.

    20. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      its also true that many of their mass-produced items (including cars, tanks, planes, warships, and submarines) left a lot to be desired.
       

      Whilst America's mass-produced items no longer exist and are, instead, shipped in from China.

    21. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Go back to masturbating to Rambo movies and eating Cheetos, you dumb fucktard. The adults are talking.

      Yeah...this is not the kind of sentence that should be used as a claim of maturity.

    22. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The problem is russians are great, even in advanced hight-tech, when making prototypes and one-offs. (Assembled by hand by select top-tier technicians and sometimes the engineers themselves.)
      However, quality control is russians' weak point and series production, industrial assembly line type of manufacture inevitably fails them. Whatever they make for the masses, be it cars or TV-radio, suffers from unpredictable reliability or lack, thereof. That is in large part due to the problems with the workforce, predominantly alcoholism. On the other hand, russian elite's indignation at (US style) management principles prevents them from getting the most out of a low-quality workforce. They are looking at the germans for example, but of course every quality trophy is easy prize if your workers are german or japanese...

    23. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Russian rocket technology is impressive today. Only a few within the regime know of all the lives lost during accidents in the early days however, which shouldn't be surprising considering they would cover up a bad cheese sandwich...

    24. Re:It's either that... by Avarist · · Score: 2

      I actually did go to China very recently and the stereotype is very strong. Sure, obese Chinese exist, but literally 99% are thin. But all this is moot as you've fallen into the strawman fallacy.

      --
      In Capitalist US, the commerce controls the Government.
    25. Re:It's either that... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The cold war fear was over a nuclear exchange. Re the military it was not an issue of 1 NATO plane/tank v 1 Warsaw Pact plane/tank. The west positioned themselves on the premise that superior technology and tactics would trump a numerical disadvantage in men and material.

      Your point misses the target. The US was not scared about facing a technologically superior opponent. Only one that threatened to attack and bury the west. (And nuclear war is a scary, pant-wetting, scenario.)

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    26. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The kind used by a 12 year old in his Russian moms basement.

    27. Re:It's either that... by daedalus2097 · · Score: 1

      Not sure what relevance your post has, considering that it wasn't a Russian-built plane. It wasn't even Russian-registered or owned. It was an Irish plane leased to a Russian airline. What has Russian technology got to do with it at all?

    28. Re:It's either that... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 0

      "It's true that the USSR/Russia have great mathematicians and engineers but its also true that many of their mass-produced items (including cars, tanks, planes, warships, and submarines) left a lot to be desired."

      Which has what, exactly, to do with a European Airbus: French airframe, British engines?

    29. Re:It's either that... by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "Yeah, those Russians are so shitty at technology."

      You're right, but they might have to learn that, if you bomb people in the Middle-East, your citizens have to remove their shoes, belts and sometimes drop your pants before boarding a flight, if you want these 'accidents' to stop.

    30. Re:It's either that... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1, Troll

      You're conflating many different people and many different political / philosophical subgroups over several generations.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    31. Re:It's either that... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Depends on where it is maintained and where they get their replacement parts from. Do they follow FAA standards (surprisingly many countries do)? And so on.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    32. Re:It's either that... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually China is only top for cheaper goods (i.e. t-shirts, small electronics, plastic toys) whereas the US still reigns supreme when it comes to manufacturing capital goods (i.e. earth movers, jumbo jets, high density silicon devices.)

    33. Re:It's either that... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      You can't really hide deaths in space. The radio chatter is easy to pick up from multiple points on the globe. In fact that conspiracy theory is based on an alleged transmission received in Italy but mysteriously not picked up anywhere else.

      It is known that some cosmonauts were kicked out for bad behaviour and erased from records, and that some ground accidents were covered up for a time. But space accidents couldn't be hidden, only passed off as say a failed comms satellite instead of a failed military spy satellite. Manned flights were easy to spot because they had voice comms.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    34. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Russians don't value life.

    35. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You sound just like a little kid.

      Does mommy and daddy know you are on the internet?

    36. Re:It's either that... by twotacocombo · · Score: 1

      That's why they've had almost every space "first" and are the only nation on earth still consistently capable of sending men into space (and with an almost spotless cosmonaut safety record for the last 40 years, unlike some other nations).

      You're right! They had the first space flight fatality. And the second through fourth. Go ask Vladimir Komarov about his thoughts regarding the Soviet's concern for cosmonaut safety. Oh wait, you can't; he's a charcoal briquette. You also forget that the Chinese are now sending their own astronauts into space. Russia no longer holds the monopoly on manned spaceflight.

    37. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, but the fact that Russia had almost every space first in the 1960's and 70's DOES paints a picture of an agency that has well-earned and deserves respect.

      Sure, if you completely ignore the fact that the USA is the ONLY nation to put men on the Moon and bring them safely back again. Or the fact that the USA has been the leader in exploring the solar system with unmanned probes of various sorts since the 1960s. (Go google it yourself.) Other than that, you are absolutely right.

    38. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What matters is that they had two fatal accidents in the 1960's.That makes them somehow worse, or at least no better than, a space agency that fatal accidents in 1986 and 2003.

      I still don't care about the years of the accidents, but I do care about their position in the flight series. If flights 5 and 11 crashed, but 12-127 were all fine, that looks better than if flights 48 and 107 crashed, and it's only the last twenty that have been okay. In one case, it's a bad teething problem that was fixed; in the other, it's a mild problem that's still there.

    39. Re:It's either that... by jedidiah · · Score: 2

      Russia's first boomer nearly sank on it's maiden voyage because of a pervasive culture of corruption. It's not enough to have sufficiently talented geeks. Management also needs to not screw things up.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    40. Re:It's either that... by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      As it was leased to the russians, they would be responsible for its maintenance during the lease period. Even the most reliable of aircraft require regular maintenance to keep them airworthy, and the russians could have cut corners there.
      Of course this is all speculation, we don't yet know what actually happened.

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    41. Re:It's either that... by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Go ask Vladimir Komarov about his thoughts regarding the Soviet's concern for cosmonaut safety.

      I'm too busy waiting to speak to 14 NASA astronauts since 1986 who seem surprisingly reluctant to talk on the subject of NASA's safety record.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    42. Re:It's either that... by twotacocombo · · Score: 1

      Go ask Vladimir Komarov about his thoughts regarding the Soviet's concern for cosmonaut safety.

      I'm too busy waiting to speak to 14 NASA astronauts since 1986 who seem surprisingly reluctant to talk on the subject of NASA's safety record.

      Funny thing is, none of them were convinced they were going to die if they launched. Komarov insisted that he went on that fateful flight in place of Gagarin because he didn't want to watch his friend die. The 14 NASA astronauts and 3 other cosmonauts died in accidents. Komarov was sacrificed. Accidents in pioneering methods of travel are going to happen, and are somewhat acceptable. What the Soviets allowed to happen with Soyuz-1 was downright criminal. You'll have a hard time proving that NASA has done anything half as bad, even with the Challenger loss.

    43. Re:It's either that... by gtall · · Score: 1

      Hey, could you tell Putin that? I'm positive he'll listen to you.

    44. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Russia has been lucky that their launches that have blown up more recently have been uncrewed. See here:

      The list of Russian launch accidents over the last six years includes:
      13 complete failures resulting in the loss of all payloads;
      3 partial failures that left spacecraft in the wrong orbits;
      complete loss of 20 spacecraft;
      6 Russian GLONASS navigation satellites destroyed;
      and, an ambitious Mars mission left stranded in Earth orbit

    45. Re:It's either that... by p51d007 · · Score: 1

      "technically" they were not the first "man" into space. According to the people that were recording the "first" of such things, the rules for the first man into space, the person had to go up and come down in the spacecraft. Yuri, went up with it, but due to the Russian way of doing things, he was purposely ejected out of the spacecraft, before hitting the ground, then, was transported back to the craft for photos, movies of him exiting the capsule. So, Since he didn't land in the craft, he wasn't the "first person" into space. Minor technicality, but that's what happened.

    46. Re:It's either that... by jaa101 · · Score: 2

      NASA space shuttles were blowing up as recently as 2003.

      I believe the correct engineering and PC term is "catastrophic self-disassembly."

    47. Re:It's either that... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      This quote is often attributed to Stalin and I seem to recall someone claiming that it was not him but someone else who said it. "Quantity has a quality all its own."

      Also, truth be told, the Russians have built some fantastic aircraft over the years. They may not have been always technologically superior but they've often had excellent flight handling characteristics and been at a price point that even a tin pot dictator could buy some.

      There is some truth to the marauding Russian stereotype. A good recent example would be the affairs surrounding South Odessia (spelling). A more awesome example is the surviving footage of the Russians after the fall of Berlin in WWII. They ran around raping, murdering, and destroying more shit just for fun, at that point. If it still have any value, they took it. One of my favorite video clips is two drunken Russians tearing a Nazi flag up just after the fall of the capitol.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    48. Re:It's either that... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Shh!!! America bad, m'kay?

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    49. Re:It's either that... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      I've read some speculation (they had citations but I did not check them) that Uri Gregaron wasn't actually even the first person in space. They postulated that it was some other guy who they claimed was injured in some accident or another (I think it had something to do with the landing) and that the person was replaced. The other person was, they claim, pissed and ended up either in Siberia or dead or something along those lines.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    50. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, IAE is a US/German/Japanese consortium.

    51. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're drunk, komrade.

      Why don't you go watch some Yakov Smirnoff and sober up.

    52. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Apollo 1 falls under the test/training mission and was never a flight.

      When Buzz Aldrin is going to kick your heartless pedantic unpatriotic ass, you'll snear "he only punched me in the face, so it doesn't count."

    53. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      T34. Best tank in WW2.

    54. Re:It's either that... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 2

      I was in Beijing and Shanghai and there were more overweight people there than in NYC -by far. And the eating and smoking habits don't bode well for the future.

      Of course my points of comparison are limited - NYC /= the USA and Beijing and Shanghia /= China.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    55. Re:It's either that... by DroolTwist · · Score: 4, Funny

      high density silicon devices

      I realize this is a nerd site, but you can still call them breast implants. No need for technical jargon in that category.

    56. Re:It's either that... by Cederic · · Score: 1

      They ran around raping, murdering, and destroying more shit just for fun, at that point. If it still have any value, they took it.

      You appear to be describing most victorious armies, everywhere, ever.

      Shit, even the British have done more than they should, and we're far better behaved than most.

    57. Re:It's either that... by Cederic · · Score: 1

      The west positioned themselves on the premise that superior technology and tactics would trump a numerical disadvantage in men and material.

      As someone living on a military base in Germany in the 80s please let me assure you that there was no misapprehension: if the Russians couldn't hit the North Sea in 48 hours they'd fucked up somewhere along the way.

      After that there was a chance to regroup and retaliate, but nothing short of nuclear exchange was going to properly stop a full on steamrollering.

    58. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think his point was that we assume only our manufacturing processes are solid based entirely on stubbornly insisting America is the best and only. Frankly, he's right.

    59. Re:It's either that... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      There's a whole special level for Russians. And it is awesome. Well, to some extent. I do think that, between that and the toys, those are the only really good parts to war. There's something primal about the whole rape, murder, pillage, and burn and even more exciting is when you get to do it in a 50 million dollar tank. Or a $500 tank, for the Russians.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    60. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's just never mind that major conpanies behind all of those huge capital inveatments have Chinese divisions producing products for the Chinese and Eastern markets, or have outright shared technology with the Chinese for a price. Caterpillar, Boeing, etc.

      Sure, the engineering jobs are here...For now.

    61. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the correct term is general failure or major malfunction.

    62. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As far as killing terrorist the Russians excel... Achieved more in three weeks in Syria than usa did in two years.

    63. Re:It's either that... by Max_W · · Score: 1

      ... It's true that the USSR/Russia have great mathematicians and engineers but its also true that many of their mass-produced items (including cars, tanks, planes, warships, and submarines) left a lot to be desired. ...

      It reminds me as there was a talk that only the USSR nuclear power stations are not safe, but the western technogy is of the absolute quality. No one claims it anymore after the Fukishima.

      About 100 people die in the USA in traffic accidents daily, about 500 people seriously wounded: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... . So obviously the US cars are also "left a lot to be desired".

    64. Re:It's either that... by daedalus2097 · · Score: 1

      Yep, absolutely, I'm sure plenty of corners were cut and we'll hear more about that angle in time. But there has to be something pretty spectacular wrong with a plane's structure for it to fall apart in mid-air - such things are unlikely to crop up overnight.

      But I'm not sure what this entire thread has to do with anything - Russians versus Americans in the space race? What the hell?

    65. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no it wasnt, Tiger was better. there were just a shit load more T34s than tigers.

    66. Re: It's either that... by invictusvoyd · · Score: 1

      BTW the Germans copied sloped Armour from the Russians . And the Russians copied the first assault rifle in the world ( German Stg 44 ) to design the one true weapon of mass destruction . The Avtomat Kalashnikova 47 ( AK 47).

    67. Re: It's either that... by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Really? Have you seen a French SOMUA S35? The Germans saw plenty in 1940.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    68. Re:It's either that... by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      I've read some speculation (they had citations but I did not check them) that Uri Gregaron wasn't actually even the first person in space. They postulated that it was some other guy who they claimed was injured in some accident or another (I think it had something to do with the landing) and that the person was replaced. The other person was, they claim, pissed and ended up either in Siberia or dead or something along those lines.

      You can't argue with evidence like that!

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    69. Re:It's either that... by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Hey, could you tell Putin that?

      Sure, right after you clue in the vast majority of red state Americans--who are still furiously masturbating to their VHS copies of Red Dawn.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    70. Re:It's either that... by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Sure, okay. Whatever helps you soothe that American butthurt.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    71. Re:It's either that... by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Who cares how many years it spans - it's the number of flights that matters.

      Yeah, convenient way to ignore the fact that to find the last Russian space fatality you have to go back over 40 years, whereas NASA space shuttles were blowing up as recently as 2003.

      Yes, the fact that Russia has had a spotless record for over 40 years is completely irrelevant. What matters is that they had two fatal accidents in the 1960's.That makes them somehow worse, or at least no better than, a space agency that fatal accidents in 1986 and 2003.

      The point is that nothing about their survived hours in flight paints a picture of the Russians being wildly more successful in that regard.

      No, but the fact that Russia had almost every space first in the 1960's and 70's DOES paints a picture of an agency that has well-earned and deserves respect. You would think that the fact that Americans have to beg Russia for a ride to ISS these days would at least make Americans inclined to treat the Russian space program with a little of that respect. But never underestimate the self-aggrandizing delusion of the average American, or the lingering effect of bullshit Cold War propaganda on that national psyche. In American movies, the U.S. is still the king of space. In real life, you can't even put a human in low earth orbit anymore.

      It's all Obama's fault.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    72. Re:It's either that... by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      After what the Germans did in Russia and the Ukraine they're lucky the Russians left anyone at all alive in Berlin when they got there.

    73. Re:It's either that... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Double lucky, I suppose, considering this was the Russians we're talking about. God, those videos crack me up. I know they shouldn't, it was a horrible time. But rampaging Russians is something to behold.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    74. Re:It's either that... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Well, first I had to spell his name right. *sighs* Yuri Gragarin... I, obviously, didn't believe it but now I can't seem to find any references to it except maybe:
      http://www.biblebelievers.org....
      Which is a site that's actually crazier than the one I was speaking of.

      I seem to recall that the people claimed it was some Vladimir Ilyushin. It may have been a documentary. I took a look at the above reference and, well, they're crazy. I didn't think people would assume that I'm actually one to subscribe to this idea, it's kind of absurd. The documentary was something about Cosmonaut Cover Up. The above link mentioned something but I'm way too lazy to read it all. I'm also supposed to be a little busy right now.

      Ha! Wait, here we go...
      http://myhero.com/hero.asp?her...

      Now, just to make sure, this is not something I believe in. It is something I found amusing in passing as I came across it. I sort of didn't think I'd need to make that clear but I might have to. ;-)

      I'm kind of sorry for exposing you to this. You seem like an otherwise nice person.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    75. Re:It's either that... by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Hate to tell you this, us Red State Americans don't care about the Russians. It's the lunatics in blue states that are destroying us.

    76. Re:It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now, thanks to the many documentaries from dedicated public service companies such as MGM, UA, WB, FOX etc we all know that american cars are designed to explode when hit by anything heavier than a butterfly.

      Of course, the rest of the world is just hiding taht their cars make puny *puff* toy explosions, not like real cars !

    77. Re:It's either that... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Your comparisons don't work.

      Re the cars - take a look at the iconic Trabant (sp?). It was a disaster of a car.

      Re the deaths - are you saying that is evidence of bad car design and production? How does that make any sense. The significance of total accident rates also involve other factors such as miles driven. And when we're talking about accident rates we can't forget little things such as drivers.

      Wiki has interesting graphic that shows the decline of deaths and the rise of miles driven. According to your statement, if cars were faulty to the point of causing accidents the two lines would not have diverged as much as they did. As a matter of fact as miles driven have increased deaths have decreased.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    78. Re:It's either that... by Max_W · · Score: 1

      The weight of Trabant is 600 kg. The weight of an average SUV is about 3000 kg, five times more. There is a fundamental law of physics that the more is a vehicle mass (weight) the more energy, i.e fuel, it needs to move. No way around this law, no electronics or filters can change it. An average SUV burns times more fuel than the Trabant, and consequently emits tmes more CO2.

      So in this respect, in the fundamental concept, - yes, Trabant, a light vehicle, is definitly a better idea, than an overweight SUV. The elemtns of its design could be improved, no argue of it.

    79. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Russians had a habit of only announcing successful missions, so their safety record is kind of biased

    80. Re: It's either that... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your attempt at the physics is quite flawed - you've assumed that the majority of the energy requirement for a car is to get the kinetic energy to get it moving. In fact, the vast proportion of the energy requirement is to keep the car moving, which is related mostly to drag, and completely unrelated to mass..

  2. Uncle Vladi got his vietnam.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Looks like Vladimir got his Vietnam, or wait, no Afghanistan, maybe Iraq? I feel like we've been down this path before...

  3. I wouldn't put it past Putin by Ukab+the+Great · · Score: 0, Troll

    to put a bomb on his own country's plane to justify even greater craziness in the future.

    1. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I know Putin's not the "good guy" but in light of what ISIS is all about?
       
      The fact that you're making this reach with no other input into the situation speaks more of you than it does of Putin.

    2. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And what would he have to gain from that exactly? ISIS is already pretty much universally despised. I don't think he needs to do anything more to impugn their reputation.

      And, anyway, the point is moot, because Russia has been going out of their way to deny it was a bombing. Pretty sure that's not consistent with the actions of a government that had intentionally staged a bombing.

    3. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      And what would he have to gain from that exactly?

      Justification for escalation. Full scale ground invasion, tactical nukes, who knows what he's planning?

      because Russia has been going out of their way to deny it was a bombing. Pretty sure that's not consistent with the actions of a government that had intentionally staged a bombing.

      If you'd think for a moment, that's exactly what they would do.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    4. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xest · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I would. I hate Putin, I think he's at least as evil as some of the worst leaders through history, but he's also not stupid.

      Putin can get away with what he's doing becaus the Russian people support it. The Russians are however weak when it comes to standing firm when reality hits them in the face. Putin got away with what he did in Ukraine because he was able to keep the deaths of hundreds of Russian soldiers largely out of the press, and dismiss those who did tell their stories as full of shit.

      He's able to get away with what he's doing in Syria because there are no boots on the ground and so hardly any risk to Russian soldiers. The chance of a shoot down at the altitude Russian sorties are being flown at is pretty negligible.

      But if reality comes to bite Russians by way of a terrorist attack against them due to Putin's actions in Syria then that will be a massive blow to Putin's ability to keep up the tempo.

      Russians are still raw from Afghanistan in the 80s, because whilst they were defeated largely as the Americans were in Vietnam, the defeat was felt much more greatly for the Russians because it was really the turning point at which the Soviet Union begin to see it's collapse, and that was followed by a decade (the 90s) of severe economic problems. They didn't just lose a war with Afghanistan, they lost their empire including both what little wealth they did have, and what influence in the world they had also.

      The Russians want another Afganistan even less than the Americans want another Afghanistan or Iraq right now. When Russians, civilian or military, start coming home in body bags and Putin can't hide it, then Putin will come under immense pressure to reconsider his support for Assad and the Syrian regime. That's precisely why Putin and his regime are so desperate to declare this not a bomb.

      But all this said, I'm not convinced it's ISIS either. If it was ISIS why now, why against Russia when British and American tourists could presumably have been just as easily targeted at the exact same airport all this time and ISIS hates the British and Americans as much as the Russians? Why on a plane so perfectly full of Russians bar the 3 Ukrainians on board? Why weren't ISIS able to say how they destroyed the plane if it was them, only claiming they shot it down, which has been dismissed as a possibility and the likely method was a bomb? I don't think any conspiracy theory involving the Americans or British is likely, it'd just be way too risky for them to get involved blowing up Russian civilians. I don't even think it's a play they'd want to make. If I had to guess I'd wager it's more likely to be anyone from Israel, to Qatar, to the Saudis - none of these countries particularly give a shit about Russia's feelings because Russia has sided with their arch enemies - Iran and Syria, and both don't want to see Assad propped up.

      But who knows, I'm just guessing as much as the next guy there's a lot that's a little weird about this case though. The other possibility being of course that it simply isn't a bomb and the tail half of the plane genuinely just ripped away somehow, that too would explain why ISIS claim of blame doesn't really make any kind of sense, but then why are the British and Americans so certain of evidence of a bomb declaring they detected a heat flash and cancelling flights and so forth?

    5. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about reciprocity for MH17?

    6. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Coisiche · · Score: 1, Interesting

      but then why are the British and Americans so certain of evidence of a bomb declaring they detected a heat flash and cancelling flights and so forth?

      Opportunism. A chance to reassure their people that they were right all along and provide the pretext for even more invasive surveillance. So much the better if no-one can prove otherwise.

    7. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by bfpierce · · Score: 1

      Why bother with all the cover up and so on when you know if you poke somebody like ISIS they'll just try it anyways.

    8. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xest · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Maybe, but there's similarly a risk for the US and UK in this case. If they insist it's a bomb it harms Egyptian tourism which is a major source of income for them, and they're already facing a fairly strong degree of risk in isolating Egypt. As soon as the Americans distanced themselves from Sisi when he seized power by stalling the further AH-64 Apache sales, he went wandering straight over to Russia. The last thing they want is to push Egypt into the arms of Russia when Syria, Iraq, and Iran have already moved that way. It would give Putin an axis of control right from Africa to Asia, and would provider further access to everything from the Med to the Indian Ocean to the Caspian and give Putin influence over the Suez.

      Couple this with the fact that Putin wants nothing more than to put egg in the face of America and Britain and if his (and even 3rd party such as the involved French) investigators come out and say there was no bomb, then the British and American governments are only going to end up hurting that particular cause and face even more complaints of crying wolf than they already do.

      I know the British and Americans are keen on their fear mongering to push anti-terrorism legislation, but I'm not convinced it's a meme that holds every single time such a thing happens. There's way too much for them to risk losing in being wrong in this particular case, it's not something where it's a domestic incident and the results have no impact outside their borders. The result of being wrong in this particular case has geopolitical consequences and that makes it a much more awkward game to play.

    9. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Devil's advocate here (and I cannot believe that I'm mentioning Putin a positive light.)

      Putin wouldn't have to do anything for this to happen. It was going to happen, sooner or later, and Daesh was quite prompt to take credit for it, which they likely wouldn't do in another case.

      Daesh made a big mistake. Putin keeps Russia from being overrun by his image as a strongman. Unlike the US where Daesh can hold operations at will with no fear of reprisal, Russian pride is at stake here, and Russians will not let a jetliner full of citizens go un-avenged (unlike the US where it is blamed on "guns" or ethnic groups). Bringing in the Russians means that a true army, but one trained to fight wars (and not win no-bid contracts), will be entering this conflict theater.

    10. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Russians are however weak when it comes to standing firm when reality hits them in the face

      They sure are

      Heh. CAPTCHA was "hinged." Pretty ironic considering how UNhinged your post was.

    11. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xenna · · Score: 2

      why are the British and Americans so certain of evidence of a bomb declaring they detected a heat flash and cancelling flights and so forth?

      If the heat flash had been a bomb they should've seen another one when the plane crashed into the ground and the fuel ignited. So seeing one heat flash would actually suggest to me it wasn't a bomb.

      Cancelling flights is exactly what you expect to happen in the aftermath of MH17. The authorities will be overly careful.

      Same happened after the failed attack on the Thalys high speed train. The next time somebody hid in a toilet everyone immediately assumed it was another terrorist. This is the way of public servants.

    12. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You lost me after saying the Russian's lost "what little wealth they did have" because you don't have a single clue as to the gold mine Russian's are sitting on in terms of untapped natural resources. They're just too corrupt atm to exploit it efficiently but if they ever got their act together we would all be eating borscht and thanking them for it.

    13. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Never allow logic to stand in the way of a good conspiracy theory. Even less so for a bad one.

    14. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But all this said, I'm not convinced it's ISIS either. If it was ISIS why now, why against Russia when British and American tourists could presumably have been just as easily targeted at the exact same airport all this time and ISIS hates the British and Americans as much as the Russians? Why on a plane so perfectly full of Russians bar the 3 Ukrainians on board?

      I don't see any North American carriers that fly into that airport. I see:
      - Turkish Airlines
      - Egyptair
      - Royal Jordainian
      - Aeroflot
      - Saudi Arabian Airlines
      - Swiss International Air Lines operated by Edelweiss Air

    15. Re: I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      If the plane broke up, you wouldn't have a tube full of fuel hitting the ground and burning up. Even if it was still full of fuel, the impact soul not necessarily ignite it.

      Have you looked at the crash scene photos? There's a lot of luggage that appears intact, not burned to a crisp.

    16. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Nidi62 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Devil's advocate here (and I cannot believe that I'm mentioning Putin a positive light.)

      Putin wouldn't have to do anything for this to happen. It was going to happen, sooner or later, and Daesh was quite prompt to take credit for it, which they likely wouldn't do in another case.

      Daesh made a big mistake. Putin keeps Russia from being overrun by his image as a strongman. Unlike the US where Daesh can hold operations at will with no fear of reprisal, Russian pride is at stake here, and Russians will not let a jetliner full of citizens go un-avenged (unlike the US where it is blamed on "guns" or ethnic groups). Bringing in the Russians means that a true army, but one trained to fight wars (and not win no-bid contracts), will be entering this conflict theater.

      But Putin doesn't want to bomb Daesh. At least, not yet. Most of the bombing sorties Russia has made so far have been in support of loyalist Syrian forces against the more moderate rebels. As long as Daesh remains active in Iraq and Syria and the US stays impotent to stop them(stop pussyfooting around and trying to protect the ineffective Iraqi government; arm,support, and train the Kurds because they're the only ones with the balls to stand up to Daesh) it drives them closer to Russia and, in the case of Syria, Iran. The whole point is to erode US influence in the region. Only until that happens will Russia truly go after Daesh (they also get the added bonus that radical Chechens are currently going to Syria to fight with Daesh instead of causing trouble in Russia which has been a big source of internal trouble for Russia). So Putin has no reason for any maskirovka-esque self bombing, and even if it was a bomb it is Russia's self-interest to deny it as much as possible otherwise they might be forced to have to engage Daesh.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    17. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Problem is that when Daesh said it was their doing, they just expanded the front from the US and Europe who tolerate those actions (blaming it on internal groups), to a country that isn't as beholden to international opinion.

      This is a big mistake, very similar to when Japan went after Pearl Harbor, and brought another power into a conflict. Even though Europe all but recognizes Daesh as a sovereign nation out of fear of more attacks, it is part of the Russian mindset to be under siege constantly [1]. Russians wouldn't hesitate to support an effort to dispatch Daesh and help Assad expand into Iraq, just to send a message that attacks on their soil or people will not go unanswered.

      [1]: Geography is part of why this happens. There are a lot of countries slavering over the Motherland's territory. This is one reason why Putin has to keep a strongman role -- any sign of weakness can mean an immediate invasion. The Russians still remember Archangelsk and Murmansk when the US invaded them (although it was to keep the Japanese from "annexing" those towns.)

    18. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      but in light of what ISIS is all about?

      Second, that group is in a lot more places than Syria, so you should be calling them either "IS" for "Islamic State" or "ISiL" like everyone else on the goddamn planet other than the fucking moronic US-based news outlets.

      I prefer Daesh because it pisses them off :)

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    19. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 1

      But all this said, I'm not convinced it's ISIS either. If it was ISIS why now, why against Russia when British and American tourists could presumably have been just as easily targeted at the exact same airport all this time and ISIS hates the British and Americans as much as the Russians?

      Well, I don't know exactly how many American and British tourists there really are in Egypt. If you're American and you go, if you don't know the risks, which have been around for more than a decade now (cough cough - ask Mexico about that if you need to), I really don't know what to say. The Russian plane was something like a regularly scheduled charter flight. Egypt either has no visa requirement for citizens of the countries that used to be in the USSR or they are something like "get one on arrival". Too lazy to see which. I know that lots of Russians like to go there for vacations because it's one of the rare places that's warm and not very sucky that they can get into without a lot of effort and trouble.

      Personally, I'm not ruling out a shoddy repair job as others have speculated on. It's been known since the very late 1990s that Russian airlines outside of Aeroflot don't generally meet American and European standards in terms of safety and repair. My default reaction to any Russian airline disaster on a non-Aeroflot flight is to assume mechanical failure as that's almost always it. Or the pilot let his teenage kid accidentally fly the plane into the ground, killing everybody. Yeah, that really happened once on an infamous flight inside Russia. If you fly anywhere in the world on an airline based in Russia whose name is not Aeroflot, you assume a lot of risk.

    20. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was going to happen, sooner or later, and Daesh was quite prompt to take credit for it, which they likely wouldn't do in another case.

      Daesh made a big mistake. Putin keeps Russia from being overrun by his image as a strongman. Unlike the US where Daesh can hold operations at will with no fear of reprisal, Russian pride is at stake here, and Russians will not let a jetliner full of citizens go un-avenged (unlike the US where it is blamed on "guns" or ethnic groups). Bringing in the Russians means that a true army, but one trained to fight wars (and not win no-bid contracts), will be entering this conflict theater.

      You say "Unlike the US" but that sounds an awful lot like what happened after 9/11.

    21. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xest · · Score: 2

      I was talking about the end of the last century, before they started really exploiting their natural resources. As you're apparently unaware, this is what the Russian economy looked like in the 90s:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Yes of course they've made lots of money on natural resources since, but it took 10 years before they started to see that recovery. That was an extended period of strife and growing poverty following the pullout of Afghanistan and the collapse of the USSR that isn't easily forgotten. The fact that they've grown in wealth since then is precisely why they're nervous about repeating the events that led to that, and any sign of mass casualties due to a war on foreign soil is bound to bring back bad memories and create cause for reconsideration about supporting such a policy.

    22. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xest · · Score: 2

      "Well, I don't know exactly how many American and British tourists there really are in Egypt. If you're American and you go, if you don't know the risks, which have been around for more than a decade now (cough cough - ask Mexico about that if you need to), I really don't know what to say."

      Perhaps it's a less popular destination for Americans but Sharm El Sheikh is a massively popular tourist destination for British tourists. It's largely been free from the insecurities that have plagued the rest of Egypt. Obviously it's declined since the arab spring regardless, but have a look here, there's still 300,000 people a year visiting. That's a lot of targets:

      http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news...

    23. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      tactical nukes, who knows what he's planning?

      Tactical nukes? It's past the time to carry out a full-fledged thermonuclear sterilization of that region. That's what nukes are for: Solving difficult geopolitical problems. Let the bleeding hearts cry, but that's the only way to end this mess [of course you have convince the Chinese and Russians to look the other way - but I would think it is not that hard]

    24. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xest · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I think the exact wording from the US was that they detected an air based heat flash. Presumably it wouldn't be too difficult (someone else here no doubt has the knowledge to clarify) to determine the difference between such an event at 30,000ft, and one at ground level. I'd have thought that's a reasonable enough altitude difference to fathom from the satellite data whether the event happened in the air, or on the ground.

      It's also worth noting that the plane blew up some distance from where the bulk of it ended up on the ground too, and as such it's possible that the air based heat flash was detected a mile or so away from the location that the fuel ended up such that if the location data for the heat flash is reasonable that in itself would be enough to separate the two incidents.

    25. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      Putin can get away with what he's doing becaus the Russian people support it.

      People support Putin because all that oil revenue and the sovereign wealth fund it created (when oil was over $100/barrel) have people feeling well-off. However, the current low oil prices are not enough to support the levels of spending by the Russian government and the sovereign wealth fund will be gone in a couple or more years. Then, austerity will bite and the people are much less likely to support Putin.

      IMHO, the West's policy in the middle east has been aimed at keeping oil prices low in order to counter the threat from Putin.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    26. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      "You say "Unlike the US" but that sounds an awful lot like what happened after 9/11."

      It WILL be just like what happened after 9/11, but with Russian rules of engagement. They won't hesitate to do something like drop three fuel/air bombs on Raqqa, decapitating ISIS instantly.

    27. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This.

      FWIW, I think the US is probably doing the same thing. I they seem to be dragging their feet going after Daesh because they are a useful thorn in Assad's side, while they focus on fighting pro-Assad forces.

      This makes me fear that US and Russian forces in Syria will eventually end up fighting head-to-head, perhaps without expecting it. If it does happen, oddly, it might be best if everyone just pretends it never happened rather than having to deal with the political fallout of such a crisis.

    28. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      If it was ISIS why now, why against Russia when British and American tourists could presumably have been just as easily targeted at the exact same airport all this time and ISIS hates the British and Americans as much as the Russians?

      ISIS isn't a country that has rules and sits around and thinks about their best course of action. ISIS is a diffuse collection of people. These are the guys that smashed up museums. Did that really have a well thought out reason? Of course not.

      ISIS is a mob, not an organization.

    29. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by blind+biker · · Score: 1

      He's able to get away with what he's doing in Syria because there are no boots on the ground and so hardly any risk to Russian soldiers. The chance of a shoot down at the altitude Russian sorties are being flown at is pretty negligible.

      First of all, let me stress very strongly that I agree 100% wit everything you said, except the quote above. The thing is, Putin can get away with bombing Syrian rebels because he is very effective (compared to allied sorties) also against ISIS targets. The thing is that UK and EU public opinion is very much in favor of Russian airstrikes in Syria. I have seen BBC News stories where the comment section was flooded with messages in support of the Russian attacks (it was a story about Turkey warning Russia not to interfere in its air space). And practically all the highest-voted comments were pro-Russian strikes.

      Why is Russia so much more effective than the allies (chiefly the US)? I thin because the allied sorties amount to little more than pitter-patter, as they're super-careful to not offend the Saudis and Turkey, both of whom are strong supporters of Syrian rebel groups, including Al-Nusra and apparently even ISIS. Russia doesn't give a shit about Saudi Arabia since they have their own oil and gas. They don't give much of a shit about Turkey, either (Turkey is a NATO member).

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    30. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Why weren't ISIS able to say how they destroyed the plane if it was them, only claiming they shot it down, which has been dismissed as a possibility and the likely method was a bomb?

      Actually this was identified as a mistranslation, I don't remember what it said in Arabic but the meaning was more like they "brought down" the plane, which may or may not imply shooting it down. As for whose gain it is here, take your pick. ISIS might think that Putin will bomb more indiscriminately (he will) turning more moderate Muslims to join their cause. Any western country might think he'll concentrate more on ISIS and not the other rebels threatening Assad's regime. Putin might feel he needs an excuse to justify a much larger military presence. The one who probably has most to gain is Assad, if he could pull it off but then why would ISIS try to take the credit? They don't usually do that unless they really are doing it, and it's not like they lack atrocities to actually point to.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    31. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by dhaen · · Score: 1

      Spot on. Mod up please!

    32. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's able to get away with what he's doing in Syria because there are no boots on the ground and so hardly any risk to Russian soldiers. The chance of a shoot down at the altitude Russian sorties are being flown at is pretty negligible.

      First of all, let me stress very strongly that I agree 100% wit everything you said, except the quote above. The thing is, Putin can get away with bombing Syrian rebels because he is very effective (compared to allied sorties) also against ISIS targets. The thing is that UK and EU public opinion is very much in favor of Russian airstrikes in Syria. I have seen BBC News stories where the comment section was flooded with messages in support of the Russian attacks (it was a story about Turkey warning Russia not to interfere in its air space). And practically all the highest-voted comments were pro-Russian strikes.

      Why is Russia so much more effective than the allies (chiefly the US)? I thin because the allied sorties amount to little more than pitter-patter, as they're super-careful to not offend the Saudis and Turkey, both of whom are strong supporters of Syrian rebel groups, including Al-Nusra and apparently even ISIS. Russia doesn't give a shit about Saudi Arabia since they have their own oil and gas. They don't give much of a shit about Turkey, either (Turkey is a NATO member).

      Well we don't really know how effective Putin's bombing campaign has been so far, in many of the reports, its generally been the Syrian Rebels, not ISIS which has been bombed the majority of the time, and there has been little word on how effective it is even at that. With that said, it should be easier for Russian to be more non discriminate in its bombing compared to the US, which outside of mistakes makes an extreme effort to not take out civilian targets, where being more in control of the press, Russia might be able to be a bit freer in its bombing campaign, as well as his potential willingness to put boots on the ground which the US isn't willing to do.

    33. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by gtall · · Score: 1

      Putin gets away with it because the American Administration doesn't have the balls to stand up to him.

    34. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But if reality comes to bite Russians by way of a terrorist attack against them due to Putin's actions in Syria then that will be a massive blow to Putin's ability to keep up the tempo.

      How did this ever be modded as insightful? Maybe detached from reality, but not insightful.

      Maybe you should read up on history of Chechen wars and how Putin crushed the opposition. There are even allegations that some of the Moscow apartment bombings were staged by Russian secret police to drum up support for Chechen war.

      And then here you go, writing crap that if terrorists blew up the plane, that Putin support would implode?? WTF? If anything, Putin would prefer that this was some terrorist attack. But instead, the terrorist claims are being suggested by UK (no political reason??) and not Russia. It's almost like Russia wants to know WTF happened, but US and UK made up their minds already.

      Kind of reminds me how Saddam Hussein had WMDs...

    35. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by rsborg · · Score: 1

      The last thing they want is to push Egypt into the arms of Russia when Syria, Iraq, and Iran have already moved that way.

      There is no way in hell that Egypt will go to Russia. If need be US/Israel will bankroll whatever Egypt needs... assuming there's any tourism drop-off from this incident (which may or may not be the case).

      Assuming the US/UK are falsely claiming a bomb, I really don't see anything they lose if they're caught lying about it.

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    36. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      But if reality comes to bite Russians by way of a terrorist attack against them due to Putin's actions in Syria then that will be a massive blow to Putin's ability to keep up the tempo.

      Given the current public sentiment in Russia, I would actually expect it to rather strengthen Putin's positions by demonstrating to everyone that ISIS really is a threat to Russia and Russians, and thus it needs to be dealt with swiftly and decisively.

      Note also that the ongoing operation in Syria is nothing like the Soviet involvement in Afghanistan so far, and is modeled more after the various American operations in the past couple of decades - primarily air strikes, boots on the ground mostly to defend the bases, and spec ops operating behind enemy lines. Also, no conscripts. And also, unlike Afghanistan, the operation in Syria is openly acknowledged, televised etc. Basically, it was intended to be a showcase for how strong the Russia has become militarily and geopolitically under Putin, by doing something that heretofore was largely exclusive to US/NATO - successfully military intervening in some country halfway across the world.

    37. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xest · · Score: 1

      But you've just made the point, for Egypt not to go to Russia the US and Israel would have to bankroll them. Billions of dollars to a grossly unpopular regime back home is definitely something to lose.

    38. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Xest · · Score: 1

      "The thing is, Putin can get away with bombing Syrian rebels because he is very effective (compared to allied sorties) also against ISIS targets."

      He's barely even hit ISIS targets, he's been focussing on moderates an al Qaeda, his actions have, more than anything, helped ISIS, because they've massively damaged one of ISIS enemies - moderate rebels, and in fact, as moderate rebels have been losing ground as a result of this, ISIS have been gaining ground. Putin wants to create an Assad vs. ISIS scenario to force the West to support ISIS.

      Here are some sources. This map shows the pattern of Russia's bombing campaign compared to that of the West. There are a lot of maps from a lot of sources showing the same pattern if you don't trust the BBC FWIW:

      http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news...

      Here's a fairly detailed analysis showing the advances:

      http://www.nytimes.com/interac...

      You can actually find similar evidence even on Russian news sources, although they label moderate/al Qaeda areas as ISIS, even though no one in the entire rest of the world including the people in those areas actually identify with ISIS. At best Russia's done a handful of actual strikes on ISIS to try and maintain this false credibility that it's about hitting ISIS, rather than supporting Assad and ISIS to help turn the tide in favour of Assad and force everyone to rally with him against ISIS, because the fact is, if it comes to that kind of two way fight as Putin wants, the West will have no choice but to back Assad against ISIS.

      "The thing is that UK and EU public opinion is very much in favor of Russian airstrikes in Syria."

      I don't think this is even remotely true. I don't know anyone in the UK or any of my friends in Europe who even remotely support Russia. Support for Russia largely exists on the fringes in groups that feel under-represented in Europe, such as far right groups like the BNP and their supporters.

      "I have seen BBC News stories where the comment section was flooded with messages in support of the Russian attacks (it was a story about Turkey warning Russia not to interfere in its air space). And practically all the highest-voted comments were pro-Russian strikes."

      Rather than take that as a reasonable vox pop of public opinion, you need to understand that the BBC comments section is fundamentally broken and does not even remotely represent popular opinion. It is a favour melting pot of government propagandists, and zealots. The same comments section on political stories also suggests 80% support for xenophobic and racist parties like UKIP, but actual general election day polls gave them a meagre 13%. You can't discern anything of merit from the BBC comments section, it's a cesspit of nonsense and even the moderators are part of the problem. There was a UKIPer calling Polish people a bunch of lazy spongers, and I responded saying I've actually found the Polish to be incredibly hard working, often more so than many British folk. Guess which one of us got censored and which did not? When the leanings of the moderators there (I believe the BBC contract that work out to a 3rd party company so it's not their direct staff at fault but the company they subcontract to) supports that world view, is it surprising that that view is more prominent there?

      I do agree that Russia is more effective though, you're right about that, but it's largely because whilst the West at least tries (even though it regularly fails) to avoid civilian casualties, Russia just doesn't even care about them. If there's a rebel fighter in a hospital of 100 innocents, Putin is happy to see that hospital bombed to get that one fighter - he's a leader who after all openly broke the Geneva Convention and admitted to committing a war crime by removing identifying marks

    39. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unsubstantiated horseshit. Again.
      Fucking trolls post "their opinions" with no links or evidence.

      It's not "interesting" - it's "noise".

    40. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "stop pussyfooting around and trying to protect the ineffective Iraqi government; arm,support, and train the Kurds"

      Trouble is the Turks really won't like that, in fact their recent agreement for US to use turkish airfields probably has a clause explicitly limitting what can be sent to the kurds.

      That's the problem, the Iraqis wont fight north of Baghdad (classic militia behavior), the turks are only interested in the kurds, and Assad (and the Russians) want to clean out the socalled moderate opposition first, so it will be Assad vs ISIS and the US will have no choice but at least tolerate him.

      Well, it's still better than the suicide move Bartlett was planning at the end of West Wing :-)

    41. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Russian Rules og Engagement"

      During the 70s when airplanes (and ships) were hijacked left and right, there was only one instance where a russian plane was involved.

      The typical pattern was that it was easy to find out who was behind it, but extremely hard to find the individuals as they were hiding in friendly territory.

      Apparently the russian response was to locate relatives of the kidnappers and releave each family member of his "family jewels" w/o anesthesia.

    42. Re:I wouldn't put it past Putin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...implying that there is a difference between the moderate terrorists and the ISIS terrorists.

      Actually, there is a difference. The moderate organizations - not the terrorists - don't believe that they have a duty to take out the kings of Jordan and Saudi Arabia. The radical organizations believe that they do have this duty, in the cause of Saudi, because the House of Saud has been letting infidels and heresy in the Land of the Two Mosques, and in the case of Jordan, simply because it's illegitimate for a Sunni population to be ruled by a king without some religious thing or other.

      But that's the organizations. There are radical terrorists, who work for ISIS, and mercenary terrorists, who work for moderates when the West is paying them, and work for ISIS when the West isn't paying them.

  4. How likely? by 6Yankee · · Score: 2

    More likely than not most likely!

    1. Re:How likely? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's probably a fancy way of saying that they put the probability at 25%+. (50%+ chance that is has a 50%+ chance gives 25%+).

    2. Re:How likely? by LessThanObvious · · Score: 1

      We can't just wait around for the evidence! That would we put on the news tomorrow if credible people didn't speculate? Sure we know what's likely, but I'd rather we let the country with the dead citizens make a conclusion based on some clear evidence.

  5. Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Xenna · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Don't discount the possibility of an accident. Something very similar happened to China Airlines flight 611

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    A tail section badly repaired after a minor accident came off in mid-air. The airplane spun out of control and disintegrated before crashing into the ground. That fits this accident very well.

    Without conclusive evidence of a bomb, I would be very careful to scream terrorism. Terrorists claiming responsibility doesn't mean a thing without evidence.

    1. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Oxygen99 · · Score: 2

      And Japanes Airlines 123. That happened 7 years after the original tailstrike.

      --
      I had a dream, bright and carefree, but now there's doubt and gravity
    2. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But wouldn't there be anything on the cockpit voice recorder?

    3. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Xenna · · Score: 1

      I don't know about this particular plane, but AFAIK the flight recorders are usually located in the tail section so they might well be disconnected immediately in such a scenario,

    4. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I certainly wouldn't rule it out, but the evidence released seems pretty fitting to the bomb scenario as well. It's not just the "satellite recorded a heat signature bit" because that could have been the plane itself exploding, though.

      It's the fact that (according to what we've heard in the news) the plane broke up almost exactly when it reached a certain altitude. Why is this important? Because the single most effective way to trigger a bomb in an airliner is to tie it to an altimeter, so that the bomb will only go off once it's taken above the set height.

    5. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Christian+Smith · · Score: 2

      The altitude profile reminded me of TWA 800. The sudden climb then fall looks like the plane might have overbalanced towards the tail, which might be indicative of losing a forward section of the fuselage, whether by bomb or technical fault.

      But, I am not an aeronautical engineer etc...

    6. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Airbus performed the repair apparently after its 2001 tail strike. Also, the aircraft underwent a major maintenance interval recently.

    7. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by AmiMoJo · · Score: 0

      It's also extremely suspicious timing, right after the UK government demands more powers to snoop on people. While that doesn't disprove anything, the UK government has a history of thing kind of thing.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    8. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to people on pprune (you know, people who might know what they're talking about), regulations dictate that the black boxes must be located as far back as "practical" whatever practical means. The QAR (quick access recorder), however, is in the avionics bay (roughly below the front cabin door) and if it has survived, it can contain more valuable information than the FDR since it records more parameters over a longer period of time. The chances of it surviving are of course not great since it's not protected like the black boxes when it's only intended to monitor the condition of the aircraft for maintenance.

    9. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That profile was extremely interesting to me as well. Especially that the velocity did not noticeably change during the sharp climb. I have made all kinds of speculation about how such a thing would have happened but the tail falling off doesn't seem like it would cause that. As with you, I am no aeronautical engineer and I hope someone with more experience in this topic would chime in.

    10. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I don't know, that seems risky to me from the point of view of the bomb maker. The A321 cargo hold is pressurized, so the change in pressure is only from airport level up to around 2,100m (the approx. cabin pressure at cruising altitude).

    11. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Egyptians first said it was an engine explosion. It would have been odd, since the major stress on the engine would happen on climbing, when the power is around 100%. I trust the US and UK more.

    12. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the plane broke up almost exactly when it reached a certain altitude.

      Isn't this true of any break up that happens during the ascent period?

    13. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Solandri · · Score: 2

      It's the fact that (according to what we've heard in the news) the plane broke up almost exactly when it reached a certain altitude. Why is this important? Because the single most effective way to trigger a bomb in an airliner is to tie it to an altimeter, so that the bomb will only go off once it's taken above the set height.

      In this case, that's actually evidence against an altitude-triggered bomb. The flight was last tracked on radar at 31,000 ft. Far, far above the internal pressurization, which is usually equivalent to 7000-10,000 ft. So unless the bomb were somehow attached to the outside of the aircraft, it should have blown somewhere around 10,000 ft max if it were triggered by a pressure altimeter.

      It's worth noting that structural failures also occur the exact moment a plane reaches a certain altitude. As the pressure differential between inside and outside increases, the stresses in the structure increase. If the structure is somehow weakened, it will give way once a certain pressure threshold is exceeded, which usually happens upon climbing in altitude.

    14. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by lgw · · Score: 1

      It's also extremely suspicious timing, right after the UK government demands more powers to snoop on people. While that doesn't disprove anything, the UK government has a history of thing kind of thing

      The UK government has a history of placing bombs on airliners? Do you just make up everything now?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    15. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by tlhIngan · · Score: 2

      A tail section badly repaired after a minor accident came off in mid-air. The airplane spun out of control and disintegrated before crashing into the ground. That fits this accident very well.

      Without conclusive evidence of a bomb, I would be very careful to scream terrorism. Terrorists claiming responsibility doesn't mean a thing without evidence.

      Actually determining if a plane was downed because of a bomb or not is fairly easy. So easy, it's one of the first scenarios they test and eliminate in most crashes at the very beginning.

      A bomb leaves certain signatures that are not present in any other form of breakup, including fire and disintegration. Notably, a bomb works by creating an overpressure wave that is difficult to contain. (Explosives are classified by how rapidly they generate this overpressure wave - do they do it slowly over a long period of time, or suddenly).

      The end result is that metal curls away, shrapnel leaves holes that have bits pointing away, and shrapnel itself generally follows a path of "away" from the explosion. Add in chemical remnants and it's easy to tell it was an explosion.

      Whereas a fire or other cause doesn't generally leave such organized patterns - an explosion wouldn't cause metal to curl towards the source, or shrapnel to go backwards, so if there's evidence this took place, then a bomb can be discounted.

    16. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by T.E.D. · · Score: 1

      Don't discount the possibility of an accident. Something very similar happened to China Airlines flight 611 ...A tail section badly repaired after a minor accident came off in mid-air. The airplane spun out of control and disintegrated before crashing into the ground. That fits this accident very well.

      Note the following about this particular plane:

      On 16 November 2001, while operating for Middle East Airlines as F-OHMP, the aircraft suffered a tailstrike landing in Cairo. It was repaired and went back into service with the airline in 2002.

      Another incident that comes to mind is Aloha Airlines 243, which was also a cruising altitude when a large part of the fuselage suddenly ripped off the plane for no apparent reason. "Metal fatigue" was cited. The only fatality was a flight attendant who happened to be standing in the aisle by the new hole in the plane. So it is certainly not unheard of for there to be fuselage failures at cruising altitude (where the air pressure differential would be greatest) rather than takeoff or landing.

    17. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doesn't have to be placing bombs on airliners...could simply be opportunism.

    18. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Bombs are usually in the cargo.
      The cargo area is not pressurized, so your theory, while interesting, does not hold.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    19. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it's true that the cargo area is not pressurized then you should probably aim to correct this Aviation Stack Exchange page before you correct someone in a random thread on Slashdot.

    20. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by rsborg · · Score: 1

      It's also extremely suspicious timing, right after the UK government demands more powers to snoop on people. While that doesn't disprove anything, the UK government has a history of thing kind of thing

      The UK government has a history of placing bombs on airliners? Do you just make up everything now?

      Stop being silly. He was talking about RIPA [1] and other such orwellian moves by recent administrations in the UK. They keep introducing legislation to snoop on their citizens and blame it on "fundamentalists" (i.e., dark skinned foreign born) or incidents.

      [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      --
      Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
    21. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 1

      I'm not arguing one way or the other here. Really about the only thing that we can rule out for near certain, based on the information available, is that it likely was not a surface to air missile.

      And as far as the pressurization, perhaps I shouldn't have been generic, because there are ways to measure altitude other than via pressure - such as GPS. But again, you're also assuming the bomb was inside the pressurized area. If a bomb was placed by, let's say, an ISIS guy on the maintenance crew, then it very well could have been placed somewhere inside the fuselage that wasn't pressurized.

      But this is all highly speculative, and we should certainly not rush to any final conclusions, because it should be very clear from an examination of the wreckage whether it was indeed caused by a bomb or some other sabotage, or was an accident caused by poor maintenance/stress/etc.

    22. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yea, my skeptability meter is just slightly on high here. Motivations aside, my confidence in Russian commercial aircraft maintenance and record keeping, much less paying its employees, leaves my suspicions there. ISIS planting a bomb? What a convenient fear patsy to keep them in the news. Sorry, they're too busy making production videos and dealing with armed area conflicts to actually take down any airliner. Much less a Russian one.

    23. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      I certainly wouldn't rule it out, but the evidence released seems pretty fitting to the bomb scenario as well. It's not just the "satellite recorded a heat signature bit" because that could have been the plane itself exploding, though. It's the fact that (according to what we've heard in the news) the plane broke up almost exactly when it reached a certain altitude. Why is this important? Because the single most effective way to trigger a bomb in an airliner is to tie it to an altimeter, so that the bomb will only go off once it's taken above the set height.

      But the bomb also went off exactly at a certain time, at a certain latitude and longitude, when a certain passenger in a certain seat was handed a certain snack by a certain attendant, etc. etc. etc. including when a certain infant in a certain town in a certain state wet his or her diaper.
      i.e. post hoc analysis of correlation is untrustworthy

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    24. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Don't discount the possibility of an accident. Something very similar happened to China Airlines flight 611

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      A tail section badly repaired after a minor accident came off in mid-air. The airplane spun out of control and disintegrated before crashing into the ground. That fits this accident very well.

      Without conclusive evidence of a bomb, I would be very careful to scream terrorism. Terrorists claiming responsibility doesn't mean a thing without evidence.

      ValuJet Flight 592, blowing up in 1996 as a result of oxygen generators in the cargo being triggered accidentally.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    25. Re:Remember China Airlines flight 611 by uncwjason · · Score: 1

      The cargo holds are pressurized...but the wheel wells are not. And the wheel wells are open continuously from touchdown to nose-up. Someone could have easily slipped something in there right before takeoff.

  6. And the cycle begins anew. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Given the track records of these two agencies I'm not convinced, not by a long shot.

  7. Convenient timing by digitig · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So although the experts don't know what caused the crash, it seems that the British PM David Cameron does know, and it's ISIS.

    In other news, Cameron wants British airstrikes on ISIS but can't get the support of parliament.

    No matter how much I tell myself that correlation is not causation, this just looks like too much of a coincidence.

    --
    Quidnam Latine loqui modo coepi?
    1. Re:Convenient timing by bareman · · Score: 2

      Agreed. At this point the bomb story sounds more like a politically convenient tale than an evidence based explanation.

    2. Re:Convenient timing by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      He got his intelligence from Airbus. They are in big trouble if it's not a bomb.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    3. Re:Convenient timing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      No matter how much I tell myself that correlation is not causation, this just looks like too much of a coincidence.

      Then you should also ask yourself how much Snowden contributed to those people being killed when he compromised the intelligence gathering which was designed to head off exactly this type of mass murder.

    4. Re:Convenient timing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You kidding me?

      Boeing lost an entire fucking 777 in the south Indian Ocean last year and have been conspicuously absent from the investigation.

    5. Re:Convenient timing by Cederic · · Score: 1

      Given that the 11/9 bombers, boston bombers, the 7/7 bombers and the charlie hebdo attackers were all known to the intelligence services, I'm guessing Snowden's had zero impact on their ability to stop an attack on a flight out of Egypt.

      At worse, he's given them plausible deniability rather than making them look stupid for ignoring the information they'd collected.

      It's one reason the whole 'gather all data everywhere' approach is so flawed. They can't even process the data they already have.

    6. Re:Convenient timing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No to mention at the same time trying to introduce new laws that legalise the bulk collection of data etc.

      Heard a radio interview today with the transport secretary stating that they got the ISIS link from an intercepted internet communication.

  8. Bombs are easy to detect (now) by mbone · · Score: 5, Informative

    Both Russian and Egyptian officials discount the claim, but detecting bombs is hard.

    Not after the fact. If there was an explosion inside the cabin or luggage compartment, there will be internal paneling, structural members, etc., blackened and bent and peppered with explosive ejecta littering the deserts of the Sinai. That debris will look radically different from a structural failure due to metal fatigue, composite fairlures, bad repairs, etc., and will be in the wrong place to be the result of a fuel tank explosion. (And, an internal bomb will bend things out, while a missile strike will bend things in.) Making this determination in a case like this (where all of the debris should be easy to find) should be a straightforward case of air crash forensics.

    1. Re:Bombs are easy to detect (now) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "while a missile strike will bend things in"

      What kind of missle? Some explode on contact, some explode in close proximity and some (the really cool ones) explode shortly after penetration.

    2. Re:Bombs are easy to detect (now) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Both Russian and Egyptian officials discount the claim, but detecting bombs is hard.

      Not after the fact. If there was an explosion inside the cabin or luggage compartment, there will be internal paneling, structural members, etc., blackened and bent and peppered with explosive ejecta littering the deserts of the Sinai. That debris will look radically different from a structural failure due to metal fatigue, composite fairlures, bad repairs, etc., and will be in the wrong place to be the result of a fuel tank explosion. (And, an internal bomb will bend things out, while a missile strike will bend things in.) Making this determination in a case like this (where all of the debris should be easy to find) should be a straightforward case of air crash forensics.

      How correct you are. One of the most interesting aviation photographs I've ever seen was a re-assembly of the Pan Am Lockerbie 747 that was brought down by a bomb over Scotland. The investigation showed that a bomb located on the left hand side of the plane probably brought down the aircraft. The investigators then took all the pieces of the left hand side of the plane that they could find and laboriously pieced them together like a jig saw puzzle on a huge scaffolding. The explosion effects (metal ripped and bent outwards) and hole made by the explosion were obvious from the re-construction.

      Gordon

    3. Re:Bombs are easy to detect (now) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and some (the really cool ones) explode shortly after penetration.

      In before the "in your mom" jokes.

    4. Re:Bombs are easy to detect (now) by mbone · · Score: 1

      "while a missile strike will bend things in"

      What kind of missle? Some explode on contact, some explode in close proximity and some (the really cool ones) explode shortly after penetration.

      That might make the "bomb versus missile" decision path a little harder (although missile parts should survive the explosion) but it would still be easy to distinguish that from an airframe failure.

    5. Re:Bombs are easy to detect (now) by Solandri · · Score: 2

      If there was an explosion inside the cabin or luggage compartment, there will be internal paneling, structural members, etc., blackened and bent and peppered with explosive ejecta littering the deserts of the Sinai.

      That's actually part of the difficulty. The parts which clearly indicate it was a bomb because of blackened and bent pieces are scattered around the crash site, impossible to tell where they originally came from. So there's usually no direct evidence of a bomb.

      What you end up doing instead is looking for areas of missing pieces from other mundane pieces of debris. In Pan Am 103, they conducted tests using mock bombs stored in retired fuselages. The baggage containers adjacent to the bomb survived like this.. The suspect baggage container in Pan Am 103 was shredded like this. Which was their basis for concluding the bomb was inside that baggage container. A falling object only has so much energy once it hits terminal velocity, and that energy is only sufficient to deform or tear metal by a certain amount. So the pieces end up a certain size on average (that's why the debris from USAir 427 and American 77 were virtually unrecognizable as a plane - they struck head-on at such a high velocity their high kinetic energy went into tearing the metal into tiny pieces).

      The evidence which led to the conclusion the bomb on Pan Am 103 was in a radio were these pieces of circuit board (overlayed on top of a pristine board in this first pic). An explosive decompression and free fall from altitude would not have fragmented the circuit board in that manner. An explosion very close to the board had to have done it. The police and investigators at Lockerbie did an impressive job of evidence collection to find these pieces. As Kogalymavia Flight 9268 crashed in a desert, they should be able to recover even small pieces like this and we'll eventually know if it was a bomb.

    6. Re:Bombs are easy to detect (now) by trawg · · Score: 2

      Thanks for mentioning that. I was curious as to how they did that kind of thing; after your post I had a quick Google and found some of the images - all watermarked terribly by Getty; maybe there are better ones elsewhere but I was fascinated:

      http://www.gettyimages.com.au/...

  9. That's strange! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The US is supposedly fighting ISIS for quite some times now, but it's only when Russia begins to act that ISIS decide retaliate by bombing a plane? Even stranger, the US say Russia is not targeting ISIS. So why ISIS decided to bomb a Russian civilian plane and not an American civilian plane?

    1. Re:That's strange! by MightyYar · · Score: 4, Interesting

      There could be many explanations. They could have a agent at the airport who only has access to Russian flights - or some other explanation that fits in the "opportunist" category. They could be more worried about Russian involvement since the regime was about to fall until the Russians stepped in, or some other simple explanation that fits into the "motivation to attack the Russians" category. They might fear a physical on-the-ground American presence as the result of an act of terror, whereas with the Russians this has already happened. That could fall in the "strategy" category. Who knows? But it is at least plausible.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    2. Re:That's strange! by mbone · · Score: 1

      There is also the simple fact that there are a lot more Russian than US flights to and from the Sinai.

    3. Re:That's strange! by guestapoo · · Score: 1

      That's strange, the oil fields, which ISIS has illegally sold the oil to Turkey, one of the most important resources of ISIS, still operated during the U.S and NATO bombing, and now stopped by Russian.
      That's strange, ISIS never had to cut their beard and masked as women to flee to Arab Saudi, Turkey, until Russian bombs them.
      That's strange, when Russian didn't bomb Al-Quaeda/ISIS, the Al-Quaeda claimed Syria will be Russian graveyard.
      That's strange, while the West try hard to play down the role of Russia in Syria, the people in the region love Putin.
      That's strange, MH17, there is no U.S satellite data, but the 9268 case, they quickly released the data of "heat flash" detected by satellite.

      Of course, any conclusions right now could be considered "conspiracy". And I do NOT blame any NATO/U.S for "suspected bombing" of 9268, but I think this the opportunity to press on Putin plan on Syria, may shape public opinion about anti-bombing campaign in Syria among Russian population.

    4. Re:That's strange! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess the US bombing around the edges, careful not to actually blow anything up, wasn't too effective.

  10. just in time for the TSA report... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The world is tired of security states, the TSA gets lambasted and suddenly there's a report saying ISIS did it! Do you think it will result in greater government monitoring and greater controls by the TSA and their international equivalents? Yes I understand TSA wasn't responsible for this plane.

  11. Re Putin bomb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I doubt Putin's megalomaniac belief that he is the savior of Mother Russia allows such an act. Only a Reagan-esk "the evil empire" would come up with suggesting such a scenario. Damn the reality distortion field of religious holy wars of all ilks. If Russia had planted the bomb, it would have been discovered and publicized by now (while it was still headline material.)

  12. The media are complicit! by bogaboga · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's sad! The western media, with no personnel on the ground but with their respective government agendas to advance, report news with innuendos being taken as the truth by the consuming public.

    No wonder none of them took their governments to task when Iraq was being bombed years ago.

    Question: Who provides reliable truthful media reports in today?

    1. Re:The media are complicit! by Major+Blud · · Score: 2

      "Question: Who provides reliable truthful media reports in today?"

      I've had pretty good luck with trusting a reporter who goes by the moniker "Anonymous Coward".

      --
      If you post as Anonymous Coward, don't expect a reply.
    2. Re:The media are complicit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Question: Who provides reliable truthful media reports in today?"

      I've had pretty good luck with trusting a reporter who goes by the moniker "Anonymous Coward".

      Just don't think too hard about how he has the scoop on this bomb story.

    3. Re:The media are complicit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only sources of news I take somewhat seriously any more is Reuters and Al Jazeera, unfortunately both right now are parroting the "they say it's a bomb" lines.

    4. Re:The media are complicit! by kencurry · · Score: 1

      +1 funny (wish I had mod points today)

      --
      sigs are for losers (except to point out that sigs are for losers)
    5. Re:The media are complicit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Question: Who provides reliable truthful media reports in today?"

      I've had pretty good luck with trusting a reporter who goes by the moniker "Anonymous Coward".

      Disregard that I suck cocks.

    6. Re:The media are complicit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's sad! The western media, with no personnel on the ground but with their respective government agendas to advance, report news with innuendos being taken as the truth by the consuming public.

      No wonder none of them took their governments to task when Iraq was being bombed years ago.

      Question: Who provides reliable truthful media reports in today?

      Al-Jazeera America, the BBC, and NPR.

      CSM on occasion.

    7. Re:The media are complicit! by Spaham · · Score: 1

      there's lots of personnel on the ground, what are you talking about ?
      most debris were found, I'm sure they have a pretty good idea of what they looked like and if there's any trace of explosion or not already.

    8. Re:The media are complicit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's sad! The western media, with no personnel on the ground but with their respective government agendas to advance, report news with innuendos being taken as the truth by the consuming public.

      No wonder none of them took their governments to task when Iraq was being bombed years ago.

      Question: Who provides reliable truthful media reports in today?

      *twirls finger around head* cuckoo cuckoo

    9. Re:The media are complicit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      counterpunch.com often has independent journalists, not beholden like the mass media are.
      But it's still "teh intranetz", so don't believe none of what you hear, and only half of what you see ... anywhere.

  13. Should be easy enough to check by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

    There will be copious evidence of a bomb in the wreckage - from chemical traces to the way the fragments look. Enough with the propaganda from the IC.

  14. Take our Security by 31415926535897 · · Score: 1

    We haven't had a bomb go off in a plane here in the US. Perhaps they want to take our TSA force and use it abroad. I mean completely--the TSA can leave here and go work in Russia.

  15. Do you believe them? by Burn+The+Cheese · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Are these the same intelligence agencies that said Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction? Trillions of dollars and millions of deaths later, I am not so fast to accept this convenient accusation.

    1. Re:Do you believe them? by NostalgiaForInfinity · · Score: 1

      Who knows what the intelligence agencies actually found out; we are always getting the message the administration wants to get out, regardless of the actual facts, whether it's Obama or Bush.

    2. Re:Do you believe them? by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Are these the same intelligence agencies that said Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction? Trillions of dollars and millions of deaths later, I am not so fast to accept this convenient accusation.

      Clearly Saddam's ghost used the WMD to blow up the plane.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  16. Oh noes!! by hort_wort · · Score: 5, Funny

    Quick, everyone! Let's invade... *spins a globe* Zimbabwe!

    1. Re:Oh noes!! by Fire_Wraith · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Wheel of Invasions, turn, turn, turn. Tell us the country that we must burn."

    2. Re:Oh noes!! by tommeke100 · · Score: 2

      I think that country would definitely be better off without 'President' Mugabe.

    3. Re:Oh noes!! by Nidi62 · · Score: 1

      Quick, everyone! Let's invade... *spins a globe* Zimbabwe!

      Ah, kind of like when the embassy in Beirut got bombed and we invaded Panama.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    4. Re:Oh noes!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After the eventual deployment of rail guns, you can simply throw a dart at the spinning globe to simulate a rail gun hit to mark the spot of invasion.

    5. Re:Oh noes!! by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 2

      *spin* Invade Rand McNally!

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    6. Re:Oh noes!! by sociocapitalist · · Score: 1

      ^^

      Excellent :-D

      --
      blindly antisocialist = antisocial
    7. Re:Oh noes!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And like when Hafez Al-Assad bombed a Berlin disco, we bombed Kadaffi.

      Or when 15 Saudis took out the WTC, we invaded Iraq.

    8. Re:Oh noes!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Thou, O Queen, art the fairest of all," .. Wait, wrong story.

    9. Re:Oh noes!! by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      They said something similar when Ian Smith was in charge.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    10. Re:Oh noes!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't forget Pearl Harbor--let's kick some German ass.

    11. Re:Oh noes!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      good, let's get rid of Mugabe and his 100 trillion dollar bank notes, and install a competent leader like Ian Smith

  17. Black boxes ? by no-body · · Score: 1

    They were found a couple of days after the crash and so far, it's only "suspected" what caused the crash. One would think that the data of those black boxes would reveal what was going on.

    On other plane crashes - to find the black boxes solved the cause of the crash and the reasons were published.

    Now this this, what is taking so long?
    Sure gives reason to speculation.

    1. Re:Black boxes ? by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      One would think that the data of those black boxes would reveal what was going on.

      I wouldn't, but then I'm not labouring under the misapprehension that they record 360x180 degree HD video.

      They capture basic flight parameters like speed, altitude, angle, control positions etc. If the tail was blown off by a bomb, bitten off by a dragon or fell off of its own accord because some vodka-sozzled dunderhead used chewing gum instead of rivets the trace would be pretty similar.

      Voice? There might be the first syllable of whatever the Russian is for "Shit!". If you're lucky.

      Not that there's aren't other ways to tell. Residues, shrapnel, distortion, teeth marks. But the recorder? Nah.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    2. Re:Black boxes ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The black boxes yield hardly anything useful when a flight disintegrates suddenly in the air (like this flight, Pan Am 103, Air india 182 or TWA 800). The cables to them are cut the very same instant as something has happened and until then the flight is normal. A notable exception was MH17 because the sound of the warhead detonating was recorded by several microphones in different locations so the direction could be calculated from the last split second of the recording. Not that the cause was a mystery then.

    3. Re:Black boxes ? by no-body · · Score: 1

      As for voice - apparently, there were attempts to change course and to an emergency landing on another airport and there was apparently an emergency situation then communication broke up. Your Russian "" assumption is probably wrong. If there is a will to get this resolved, there is a way, as seen there: https://www.youtube.com/watch?... No need for a 360x180 degree HD video. The delay in comments/news on black box content sure is weird and that's not addressed in your response.

    4. Re:Black boxes ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There might be the first syllable of whatever the Russian is for "Shit!".

      That would be . The first syllable would sound like Derr...

    5. Re:Black boxes ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that the claims of any communications from the aircraft have already been debunked. The Egyptians desperately want this to be something else than a bomb. Tourism is their main livelihood. That said, personally I'm suspending judgement and after all, the old mantra of priorities is "aviate, navigate, communicate".

    6. Re:Black boxes ? by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Black boxes almost never give you the answer right away. In the case of an explosion you might see some of the sudden loss of a number of systems, smoke, fire, loss of air pressure, fuel lines cut, and a bunch of other things. But it won't tell you the cause of the explosion. It could be a bomb. Something in the cargo. Attack.

      That plus it will take at least a day to even get the black boxes to a proper laboratory to do the examination. You don't just pop open the box and hook up the storage medium to a laptop.

    7. Re:Black boxes ? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Even if it was a bomb, it might not have been put on in Egypt. It could have been there for days or even weeks if a rogue maintenance guy hid it behind a panel.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    8. Re:Black boxes ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I suspect that anyone who doesn't have a specific individual as a target but just civilians of a certain nationality/ethnicity/whatever wouldn't take the risk of not having it detonate as soon as it can do maximum damage. A bomb that's so small that it only kills a couple of people if it explodes on the ground is nevertheless enough to bring down an aircraft if it explodes in the sky and if you have a longer timer, you have less certainty of where the aircraft will be. Having a trigger based on altitude is harder nowadays since the entire fuselage is often pressurized on modern aircraft. A GPS trigger wouldn't work that well either since it's hard to make it receive a signal if it needs to be hidden somewhere. A mobile phone might work, though, if you for some reason do want to place the bomb well in advance and hide it. In that case you probably don't care if there's a chance that it disturbs aircraft instruments.

    9. Re:Black boxes ? by no-body · · Score: 1
  18. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by MasterOfMuppets · · Score: 2, Informative

    Because not all Muslims are violent terrorists? And not all Muslims wear traditional dress believe it or not.

    --
    The Master Of Muppets,
    CAPTAIN: TAKE OFF EVERY "SIG"!!
  19. Retaliation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When it's confirmed that ISIS or some other whackjob terrorist did this, I wouldn't want to be within 1k miles of that desert when it gets turned into glass from the big one dropped by Putin.

  20. Re:I wouldn't put it past CIA by mrops · · Score: 1

    In that case, can you put it past CIA?

  21. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Wow, way to paint with a broad brush.

    You know that Egypt's largest industry as % of GDP over the past 20 years has been tourism, right? And that millions of people visit every year wearing Western garb with absolutely no problem. Jordan,Turkey, Albania, Morocco, Malaysia, and until recently Syria and Iraq (before the West destabilized them and allowed fundamentalists to take over) are all places where wearing Western garb would be just fine.

    In fact, walking through any major city in the US in Western garb, you are far more likely to be killed violently than you would be in many predominantly Muslim countries.

  22. Occam's razor by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    The simplest explanation is the obvious one, payback by Sunni extremists for the recent Russian military actions in support of a Shia dictator in Syria. Russian interest in Syria goes back to the cold war, it is home to Russia's only naval base in the mediterranean. Putin is nobody's fool, his actions make much more 'sense' when you realise that Syria is to Russia what Saudi Arabia is to the US. All four nations recognise they have a common enemy in ISIS and their allies, lets hope none of them lose sight of that.

    I think Putin and Obama are smart enough to realise that ISIS would be overjoyed if they could arrange for the Russians and Americans to start shooting at each other in the middle east. AQ have used the same tactic against Pakistan and India in Kashmir. ISIS are a 'psychopathic' organisation, they arose from the remnants of Saddam's (Sunni) political base in central Iraq, their end game is a global caliphate with themselves at the top, that goal makes all nations states their natural enemy, in particular their Shia dominated neighbours, Syria and Iran (who are also aligned with Russia).

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  23. Scary Investigation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    A formal conclusion has not been reached by the intelligence communities of either country.

    Am I the only one who is deeply concerned that a formal conclusion is in the hands of "the intelligence community"? How much of the government is now under the control of "the intelligence community?" Should traffic accidents be under a different jurisdiction?

  24. Re:0 Credibility by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't be the least bit surprised that some guy on the internet is talking about his ass about some hand-waving conspiracy theories.

  25. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by dave420 · · Score: 1

    There you go again, proving to the world you don't know the difference between a group and some of its members. As not every westerner (dressed as such) gets hated, attacked or killed, I'd say your point is well and truly destroyed.

    Hint: You won't make any logical sense when you start off on a very illogical footing.

  26. US News is at least full of shit on this by cHiphead · · Score: 1

    I watched a few minutes of CNN last night, they were bringing on any asshole to try to talk up the idea of a bomb on the plan. Plans can actually have internal explosions not related to a bomb. The speed at which the British trotted this bullshit out was suspect. Either they had intelligence and didn't do anything with it, or it's just a propaganda game being run by intelligence services. Either way, it's just spitting in the face of reality that people died and an investigation is required without a predisposition for the conclusion to be a bomb.

    --

    This is my sig. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    1. Re:US News is at least full of shit on this by cHiphead · · Score: 1

      What the fuck kind of typo was repeating there. Plans. What.

      *Planes.

      --

      This is my sig. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    2. Re:US News is at least full of shit on this by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 2

      There is reasonable evidence floating around-- what looks like shrapnel in the rear exit door panels, and an "ejection" hole in the same vicinity of the airframe. Nothing conclusive-- the "shrapnel" could have been caused by the door falling on the rocks and being repositioned by search and rescue personnel.

      I give it about 60-40 odds of being a bomb vs structural failure from repair.

    3. Re:US News is at least full of shit on this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same happened with Ahmed the Clock boy, and any time a black thug is shot by a cop. The news channels are no more trustworthy to tell the truth than The National Enquirer. Might as well get your news from the onion... http://www.theonion.com/

    4. Re:US News is at least full of shit on this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's possible the British (government) have intelligence about the plane debris. It could be "The Egyptian evidence makes it look like a bomb", in which case David "Porker" Cameron probably said "Let's say it was ISIS!", or the intelligence could be, "We'll never know", in which case DC said "Let's say it was an ISIS bomb!". Either way he's going to use it to funnel money to his masters. In this case the "defense" industry, while crying crocodile tears over dead service men, and maybe a few civilians.

    5. Re:US News is at least full of shit on this by Mal-2 · · Score: 1

      Who you are doesn't matter. What matters is your plan.

      --
      How is the Riemann zeta function like Trump rallies? Both have an endless number of trivial zeros.
  27. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by dave420 · · Score: 2, Informative

    He doesn't want to learn. He pops up in almost every thread to do with terrorism or Islam and spouts his nonsense. Sometimes the thread has nothing to do with that topic yet still he pops up, vomits his ill-informed hatred everywhere, and then disappears back into the sewers from whence he came.

  28. UK and US inteligence agencies suspect.... by cahuenga · · Score: 1

    Pretty much stopped reading there. I know where this ends.

    1. Re:UK and US inteligence agencies suspect.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah, with weapons of mass destruction that didn't exist... ;)

      you'd have to be an imbecile to trust anything coming out of either party.

  29. what about grumpy unpaid employee by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ivan the mechanic/baggage handler/pilot, just dumped by Irina because he hasn't been paid by the airline for the last two months, decides, screw those bastards, builds a bomb and says "take that".

  30. They hope it's a bomb by fustakrakich · · Score: 0

    Otherwise Airbus has some questions to answer. Hell, this could have been another frozen pitot tube, making the computer go crazy, or the repair from the tail scrape 14 years ago finally let loose. Personally, I am interested in the missing horizontal stabilizer and elevators were missing from the tail, never could see it from the published pictures so far.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  31. "Both Russian and Egyptian officials by 0xG · · Score: 1

    "Both Russian and Egyptian officials discount the claim"

    You know the saying...Denial ain't just a river in Egypt...

    --
    A pox on web designers who feel that window.innerWidth == screen.availWidth
    1. Re:"Both Russian and Egyptian officials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Both Russian and Egyptian officials discount the claim"

      You know the saying...Denial ain't just a river in Egypt...

      I once saw a bumper sticker while driving into work: Don't believe anything until it has been officially denied.

    2. Re:"Both Russian and Egyptian officials by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now also a river in Russia!

  32. Cloak and dagger by Dan+East · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think there are a couple things going on here. First off, Russia (as in Putin and the government) desperately wants this to be an accident or something they can at least claim to be an accident (and by accident I mean some massive mechanical failure of the plane where it spontaneously broke into pieces during the safest part of flight when cruising). A successful attack by ISIS is the last thing they want, because up to this point Russia appears strong and unassailable in their air campaign in Syria. If this was an attack by ISIS it shows that Russian people have been directly attacked and are vulnerable. So I would imagine Russia would drags its feet as much as possible in admitting it if this is indeed an attack by ISIS, although the direct involvement of so many other countries in the investigation may make that difficult.

    The other thing going on is US intelligence. This crash happened in one of the most intensely watched areas of the world. Sinai is the buffer area that lies between Israel and Egypt. In addition to the US's spy satellites, drones, etc, Israel certainly has its own close surveillance of the region as well. It has already been leaked that US satellites detected a "heat flash" while the plane was at altitude. More than likely the US or Israel has direct evidence that a bomb went off in flight, but the information is too sensitive (for example, betraying just how good the US's surveillance technology is) that no one can officially and unequivocally state that it was a bomb.

    That pretty much leaves one other semi-realistic scenario, which is that a repair made a long time ago has failed. Again, that is very unlikely, because a structural failure of that kind would happen when the plane is under maximum stress - during the take off and climb. Not when the plane is at altitude and cruising along with very, very little stress on the airframe. Further, pictures of the tail after the crash show the tail is still attached to the fuselage. The type of tail failures in the past with the Airbus (like flight 587) were the rudder, not the entire tail. With the Russian plane, the entire tail section was intact and attached to the rear fuselage, but separate from the plane. That is a gross failure of the entire fuselage itself, not the tail failing.

    It's very likely that both the US and Russia already knows for certain what happened - if it was a bomb it would be extremely obvious from examining the wreckage.

    --
    Better known as 318230.
    1. Re:Cloak and dagger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The tail repair could have been under stress when the cabin is pressurized, so that's a possibility. Russia wants to be sure about the cause, because if it was a bomb there's going to be heavy retaliation. It was reported that the rear passengers had shrapnel.

    2. Re:Cloak and dagger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or they may want it to be a bomb by ISIS so that they can keep bombing them and put even more forces in the ground.

      Seriously, one can always come up with an argument for or against something or someone.

      I love how you always twist things so that "they" look bad and "we" look good.

      Point being: stop bullshitting. You just can't read someone else's mind.

    3. Re:Cloak and dagger by swb · · Score: 1

      I'm trying to decide why Russia is so eager to say it wasn't a bomb.

      Since caution and reason aren't part of the usual repertoire of Russian responses, I can only guess that the knee-jerk reaction is not to admit any vulnerability. A failure of the aircraft itself would be something they could blame on the west and sanctions.

      On the other hand, a terror attack on Russian civilians like this has massive propaganda value for a country doubling down on a long-simmering Middle Eastern civil war. It would give their incursion into Syria less the look of a tyrant supporting a tyrant and allow them to claim the same kind of moral status of a post-9/11 United States. I'm not even sure I'd put it past Putin to stage a false-flag operation for these very reasons.

    4. Re:Cloak and dagger by T.E.D. · · Score: 1

      That pretty much leaves one other semi-realistic scenario, which is that a repair made a long time ago has failed.

      Turns out there was a tail repair to this aircraft years ago:

      On 16 November 2001, while operating for Middle East Airlines as F-OHMP, the aircraft suffered a tailstrike landing in Cairo. It was repaired and went back into service with the airline in 2002.

      Again, that is very unlikely, because a structural failure of that kind would happen when the plane is under maximum stress - during the take off and climb.

      Aloha Airlines 243 had a massive structural failure of the fuselage while at cruising altitude. The cause was put down to metal fatigue. So it has been known to happen.

    5. Re:Cloak and dagger by dhaen · · Score: 1

      I'm trying to decide why Russia is so eager to say it wasn't a bomb.

      Because the Russians are very cautious people and have more subtleties in their language than English. Even if they know for sure what caused it, they'll wait and watch for the most advantageous moment to announce it.

      They're a bit angry today because the UK had beaten them to it.

    6. Re:Cloak and dagger by Maow · · Score: 1

      That pretty much leaves one other semi-realistic scenario, which is that a repair made a long time ago has failed. Again, that is very unlikely, because a structural failure of that kind would happen when the plane is under maximum stress - during the take off and climb. Not when the plane is at altitude and cruising along with very, very little stress on the airframe.

      When the plane hits cruising altitude is when the maximum pressure differential between cabin and outside occurs, hence when an explosive depressurization is most likely to occur.

      From the excellent Aviation Today article on CAL Flight CI-611:

      In this case, maintaining the pressure differential of 8.6 psi for flight at 35,000 feet may also have put a final decisive strain on the cracks in that tail strike repair.

      A fascinating, if slightly morbid at times, read at the quoted link.

      Normal disclaimer(s) apply: I Am Not An Aeronautical Engineer, etc. ad nauseam.

    7. Re:Cloak and dagger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, this might give Russia something to do other than invade it's neighbours. In fact, taking further action against ISIS helps both their reputation as being strong, and gives them a chance to do something good for the world.

    8. Re:Cloak and dagger by Motherfucking+Shit · · Score: 1

      It has already been leaked that US satellites detected a "heat flash" while the plane was at altitude.

      Suppose some mechanical failure, or a fire from a load of batteries on board, etc. compromised a fuel tank and led to an explosion. Wouldn't that also generate a "heat flash" while the plane was at altitude? Assuming the aircraft exploded, there are numerous possible explanations that don't involve a bomb.

      US and British intelligence agencies have cried wolf too many times to have any credibility left with me. Until proof to the contrary is provided, Occam's razor tells me this was just a catastrophic accident.

      --
      "BSD: Free as in speech. Linux: Free as in beer. Windows 10: Free as in herpes." --Man On Pink Corner in #52607549.
  33. Controls the media by dlenmn · · Score: 1

    Putin can get away with what he's doing becaus the Russian people support it... Putin got away with what he did in Ukraine because he was able to keep the deaths of hundreds of Russian soldiers largely out of the press, and dismiss those who did tell their stories as full of shit.

    Yes, the Russian people support Putin, but I'm guessing that a lot of that is because he controls the media and can manufacture crises at will. In short, I think the second sentence in your quote explains the first rather than the other way around.

    Look at this plot of Putin's populairity rateing. His popularity had been slowly but steadily declining from 2008 to late 2013 -- dropping to a low of ~60% around the end of that period. What happens after that? A fortuitously timed olympics that stirred patriotism, and a manufactured Ukraine crisis to amp things up further. Putin's popularity jumped to something like 85%.

    Yes, a 60% approval rating is high by international standards but is low by the standards of a media-controlling leader with authoritarian tendencies. I don't think it's a coincidence that a manufactured crisis followed a steady decline to a 60% approval rating. Perhaps he saw what was happening, decided 60% was a lower limit on what he would tolerate, and brilliantly boosed it after that. (He got lucky with the timing of the olympics, which would have boosted his popularity above 60% on its own since Russia did so well at the olympics, but maybe he decided that boost wasn't enough or would be temporary.)

    1. Re:Controls the media by Xest · · Score: 1

      Yes I think you're right - I recall reading, I cannot remember where, but I believe Al Jazeera, a column written by one of Putin's former advisers who basically said that Putin's entire decision making process revolves around polls and approval ratings, but the problem is that he never stops to ask how accurate they were. For example, he annexed Crimea based on a supposed poll of citizens saying something like 90% supported it, and yet there was no evidence that poll was ever even carried out. It was apparently just a number plucked out of thin air and handed to him as fact and that was enough for him to decide to invade and annex part of a foreign sovereign state.

      So yeah, numbers are a big deal to Putin as I understand it, he just doesn't necessarily care how factual they are. Presumably big numbers and not asking too many questions is simply how he justifies his actions to himself.

  34. kind of like... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Kind of like Benghazi was caused by a YouTube video?

    Sure, whatever is politically most expedient must be the cause of bad stuff!

  35. And since the CIA created ISIS by svendsen · · Score: 1

    CIA, Saudis To Give "Select" Syrian Militants Weapons Capable Of Downing Commercial Airliners (link below). And we know all the arm drops the CIA has done hoping they get in the "right" hands has never landed in ISIS hands. Proxy war anyone? CIA payback for Ukraine or making the US look bad in Syria or.... http://www.zerohedge.com/news/...

    1. Re:And since the CIA created ISIS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That article has TODAY'S date on it, and the WSJ article it cites doesn't mention ANYTHING about weapons capable of downing a commercial airliner. Try harder plz.

    2. Re:And since the CIA created ISIS by aaaaaaargh! · · Score: 1

      Complete nonsense.

    3. Re:And since the CIA created ISIS by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      The weapons in question can only hit low flying airplanes. The aircraft in question climbed far higher than any MANPAD can reach.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  36. Nah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's guy's an ass. I wouldn't trust him.

  37. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're sorely mistaken, if you think that. First of all, some "Muslim countries" are relatively secular and Egypt is among them. Second, tourism is such an important source of revenue that people there who work in the tourism industry are very willing to risk their own lives to protect tourists. Not just the armed guards around tourist attractions but even ordinary tourist bus drivers. But sure, it's riskier than going on holiday to yet another boring Western culture. However, if you prioritize safety too much, you're more likely to die of old age after a very boring life.

  38. ISIS! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, isn't that convenient...

  39. Sick and tired of anonymous "sources" by WaffleMonster · · Score: 4, Interesting

    CNN unsurprisingly had been running hard with the bomb narrative even before they had any evidence of any kind to support it.

    If people in the US government are making the claim a bomb took down flight 9268 then why the hell does this information have to be unofficially leaked to the media with no attribution? Is there no better way to communicate? The same person apparently hedges by saying "there has not been a formal conclusion" and uses weasel words like "definite feeling" ... WTF does that even mean?

    The bomb narrative happens to be the most profitable one for both stated US interests against Russia's Syria adventures and CNN's ratings with all assertions carefully constructed such that they get to walk away when they are proven to be wrong.

    I have no faith or reason to believe any of this conjecturbation. I'll wait for investigation by the grownups actually doing the work.

    1. Re:Sick and tired of anonymous "sources" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because it's not news, it's government progaganda that's planted.

    2. Re:Sick and tired of anonymous "sources" by guestapoo · · Score: 1

      The bomb narrative happens to be the most profitable one for both stated US interests against Russia's Syria adventures and CNN's ratings with all assertions carefully constructed such that they get to walk away when they are proven to be wrong.

      That is!
      I'm glad that a least someone said about this.
      I also notice the rise of citing "anonymous official/source" during the involvement of Russia in Syria , especially when they was caught lying or providing fake evident or citing "social media" before.

    3. Re:Sick and tired of anonymous "sources" by guestapoo · · Score: 1

      One of recent headline in The Guardian maintains your point.

      Sinai plane crash may show price of Putin's military adventurism in Syria

  40. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I mean going dresses as a Westerner (...)

    Russians are not Westerners.

  41. So, I'm supposed to believe... by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

    So, I'm supposed to believe that ISIS did it but unlike the other 10,000,000,000 things they've done they just conveniently forgot to release a polished video where some English-speaking nutjob pontificates on how they just struck another major blow to "the enemies of Allah"? Not buying it.

    Remember the first rule of terrorist attacks: the problem isn't trying to determine *if* it was a terrorist attack, the problem is determining *which* of the 50 psychos taking responsibility for it actually did it.

  42. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by lgw · · Score: 1

    Not all Harlem residents are violent either (isn't Harlem gentrified these days?). Obviously, almost all aren't. But it only takes a few to make a violent crime wave.

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  43. Equivalent of 15 Airbuses daily by Max_W · · Score: 1

    Meanwhile more than three thousand people are killed daily in traffic accidents (1.24 million per year): http://www.who.int/gho/road_sa...

    And cars are just getting more powerful and fast.

  44. Shrapnel from bomb? by kbahey · · Score: 1

    This is a Daily Mail article quoting Pravda, a Russian newspaper.

    Disregard the sources above for a moment, not known for being the most objective. However, look at the photos. They do show what appears to be shrapnel piercing the body from the inside out. Gives credence to the bomb theory.

    Other indicators:

    - USA satellite is said to detect a heat flash, probably from an explosion (could be a bomb or could be fuel tanks exploding)
    - Egypt replaces the airport manager (then say, not this was not replacing, it was a promotion. Really? Days after this incident)?
    - UK and USA say terrorist group chatter confirms it.

  45. Why comment on it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why would the US and UK need to comment on an accident on which they have no information whatsoever? The investigation is being carried by the Egyptians and the Russians. We need to wait for the official results.

    If the US or the UK do have any information regarding a bomb, then they should disclose how they obtained that information, and since when. We dont need more fuzzy BS on "secret sources" and undisclosed informants.

  46. Screw evidence, let's jump to conclusions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    which, coincidentally, further the government's aim of oppressing the population through fear. What are the odds?

  47. Why ISIS? by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

    ISIS doesn't really have a reason to attack Russia. Russia is only performing a small amount of their attacks against ISIS as they are more concerned with helping Assad defeating the rebel groups. Essentially Assad is concentrating on the rebels and leaving ISIS to the US and it's allies. The token Russian attacks against ISIS are just to basically to say that they are there to fight ISIS.

    Going into tin-foil hat territory I could see Russia bombing the airplane and letting ISIS take the blame in order to drum up support for the battle in Syria.

  48. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim country?

    You won't have a choice for long. They're quickly taking over civilized countries.

  49. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You certainly need to learn to practice what you preach Dave420 http://slashdot.org/comments.p...

  50. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You don't want to learn. You've been clobbered by this guy 50 times constantly making the same mistake you did here http://slashdot.org/comments.p...

  51. Re:I wouldn't put it past CIA by Mal-2 · · Score: 1

    What, crashing a plane with no survivors? I can put it past CIA, but I wouldn't put it past Bane.

    --
    How is the Riemann zeta function like Trump rallies? Both have an endless number of trivial zeros.
  52. Of course they do by terrywirth5 · · Score: 1

    we need bad guys in order to justify "defense spending."

  53. clearly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    trick or treat gone terribly awry.

  54. Jim Stone suspects air-to-air missile by Thing+1 · · Score: 1

    There were war games being done 40 miles away. Range of air-to-air missile is 150 miles. See http://82.221.129.208/shootdow... for a graphic of the map showing where the war games were and how far the plane was, and the maximum range of an air-to-air missile.

    His site is http://82.221.129.208/ and also has good commentary on other subjects.

    --
    I feel fantastic, and I'm still alive.
  55. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You don't get it. Let me fill you in. Dave420 likes to get bitch slapped by apk regularly. Dave420 needs it. Fucked up as that sounds you read the weird truth of it yourself. It is hilarious that anyone could be that stupid but there you have it in black and white. Dave420 is truly that stupid.

  56. Re:Why would anyone go for a Holiday in a Muslim c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LOL! That's Dave420 for you. We suspect he likes regularly getting bitch slapped by apk on a regular basis. He enjoys it.