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Why Is So Much Reported Science Wrong (berkeley.edu)

An anonymous reader writes: An article from Berkeley's California Magazine explains some of the reasons science reporting is often at odds with actual science. Quoting: "Where journalism favors neat story arcs, science progresses jerkily, with false starts and misdirections in a long, uneven path to the truth—or at least to scientific consensus. The types of stories that reporters choose to pursue can also be a problem, says Peter Aldhous, [lecturer and reporter]. 'As journalists, we tend to gravitate to the counterintuitive, the surprising, the man-bites-dog story,' he explains. 'In science, that can lead us into highlighting stuff that's less likely to be correct.' If a finding is surprising or anomalous, in other words, there's a good chance that it's wrong.

On the flip side, when good findings do get published, they're often not as earth shattering as a writer might hope. ... So journalists and their editors might spice up a study's findings a bit, stick the caveats at the end, and write an eye-catching, snappy headline—not necessarily with the intent to mislead, but making it that much more likely for readers to misinterpret the results." The article also makes suggestions for both journalists and the scientific community to keep science reporting interesting while being more accurate.

210 of 294 comments (clear)

  1. It's wrong because... by surfdaddy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...our generation has largely given up on science. We all reap the benefits but I find the level of science education to be abysmal. People can't distinguish between fact and fiction in news reporting and our wonderful government (many of them) don't want to believe *actual data* about things like global warming, etc. - because it's not "convenient" for their economic or religious beliefs. And of course some of those people become the reporters that report on these things, and they are ignorant, too.

    It's really quite sad. We got to #1 in this world because of science, but we are turning into a society of cultish freaks who don't wan't to believe anything they don't like, regardless of the actual evidence.

    1. Re:It's wrong because... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Kind of like clockboy, eh? I wasn't sure if I should have laughed or cried at the fools that believed his stunt.

    2. Re:It's wrong because... by NotInHere · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The science of earlier generations was weird as well. I think, that compared with the past, we live in a golden age of science.

      Think of the racism theories from the beginning of the 20th century. 200 years ago, a large part of the population couldn't even read properly. Slavery was common, the slaves being mostly used for work, without education of course. 500 years ago scientists fought with the church wanting to control science, refuting heliocentrism. And this is only about elites. Science hasn't reached normal people for a long time. We had quite a progress since then.

    3. Re:It's wrong because... by roccomaglio · · Score: 2, Interesting

      People involved in politics have noticed that science can be used to help them advocate for changes they would like. There are many studies that are designed to provide a talking point rather than actually determine if something is really the case. This is unfortunate and leads people to trust science less because they see numerous instance where the science was politicized.

    4. Re:It's wrong because... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      It doesn't help that, for certain theories that are controversial to certain interest groups, vast amounts of deliberate misinformation, not to mention direct attacks on researchers and indeed on science itself, are unleashed.

      Want to know why science is held in such low esteem these days; look to Big Tobacco, Big Oil and Creationists.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    5. Re:It's wrong because... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      The US has done plenty of domestic development. A helluva lot of work in the computer sciences; not just theory but R&D, happens in the US.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    6. Re:It's wrong because... by NotInHere · · Score: 1

      Also consider, that never before, science has been made so much in the open. That's thanks to patent laws, and the fact that we don't live in a cold war anymore. Therefore technical progress was done in.

      And medicine has seen the requirements raise by a very high degree, due to bad experiences with not so well tested therapies. Think of the polio vaccine or the contergan scandals.

    7. Re:It's wrong because... by ArhcAngel · · Score: 1, Troll

      You are blaming the entire problem on half of those actually responsible. Many scientists today refuse to let facts get in the way of their theories. This stems from many factors. Pressure to produce results, ego, fear of failure. But there is overwhelming evidence the scientific model has been superseded by the trending now model.

      --
      "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K
    8. Re:It's wrong because... by hawkfish · · Score: 1

      The US has done plenty of domestic development. A helluva lot of work in the computer sciences; not just theory but R&D, happens in the US.

      People like Richard Feynman, Elizabeth Blackburn, Donald Knuth and Michael Stonebraker (just to name a few off the top of my head...)

      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    9. Re:It's wrong because... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The situation isn't helped by our leading scientific minds having apparently thrown in the towel on rationally understanding the universe altogether, certainly at level of fundamental research in physics.

      Personally I think a lot of this is due to our increasingly globalised and homogenised intellectual sphere. In a massively informationally interconnected world, it's not the right ideas and methods which tend to win out but the easiest, or put another way it's most "efficient" ideas which win out. Modern science exists in a global intellectual supercontinent, of one language, one one model, and increasingly less than a half dozen dominating institutions in most fields. And just like the actual supercontinent Pangaea before it, this leads to less creative diversity, homogenised mega-fauna, and to put it bluntly a world dominated by dinosaurs, ripe for sudden extinctions.

      Our old models aren't going to keep on working in the digital age.

    10. Re:It's wrong because... by methano · · Score: 1

      Hey surfdaddy, Don't beat your generation and yourself up. Science reporting in the popular press has been weak for as long as I've been a scientist (40 years?) and I suspect that it's been weak for a lot longer than that. Science is hard. Writing about science is hard. The few people that might be good at it are probably smart enough to be doing something else. Like investment banking.

    11. Re:It's wrong because... by surfdaddy · · Score: 1

      The media IS part of everyday people - they go to the same schools. They are part of society. So the media changes are part of the bigger picture. Sorry you don't really seem to understand that.

    12. Re:It's wrong because... by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Because the tobacco companies in their turn, and the fossil fuels companies in their turn, didn't collude to attack any science that suggested their products were harmful.

      As to Creationists, well, they are the prototypical pseudoscientists, and much of the anti-science strategy used by the tobacco and fossil fuel industries to attack science is largely lifted from the hard work Creationists put into attacking biology.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    13. Re:It's wrong because... by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      I blame people who don't know the difference between "write" and "right".

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    14. Re:It's wrong because... by nucrash · · Score: 1

      Albert Einstein, Wernher Von Braun, Enrico Fermi, Alexander Graham Bell, Niels Bohr, Edward Teller and so many more.

      Many outsiders saw the US as the country to get science done. After some of the damage we have done in the last 15 years, I don't know if that's still the case.

      --
      Place something witty here
    15. Re:It's wrong because... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Attacks on peer review, claims that consensus are somehow a sign of conspiracy, use of mass media to attack theories, construction of elaborate pseudo-scientifc "critiques" which fool those without sufficient command of the field. Creationists were doing this even before tobacco companies started invoking such techniques to defend themselves against a mounting body of evidence that what they were selling was killing a lot of people.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    16. Re:It's wrong because... by the+gnat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The science of earlier generations was weird as well. I think, that compared with the past, we live in a golden age of science.

      Any time someone bewails the decline of American intellects, this is usually the correct response. At no point in history has the US or any other nation been populated by a majority of sober, thoughtful, rational individuals. There has always been a large population of idiots, and always will be. We only think it's worse now because mass media makes it much easier for idiots to be heard, and, as this is still a liberal democracy of sorts, even idiots are allowed to speak their mind and vote. (And I wouldn't have it any other way.) Oh, and of course thanks to science-informed advances in medicine and public health, these idiots now have a life expectancy roughly double what it was at the start of the 20th century, so they have more time to complain. At the same time, we (educated Americans) tend to be exposed primarily to domestic idiocy, so we don't have an opportunity to observe how stupid and irrational people in other countries are. I only ever meet exceptionally smart and motivated Indians, for example, but I've read enough about India to know that a large part of the country makes Appalachia look like Marin County.

      In addition, in the last 50 years science has actually had a significant impact on public policy - so, naturally, there is a corporate-sponsored backlash against it that would have been unthinkable in less enlightened times. Many aspects of the popular backlash are related; the creationist movement is essentially reactionary and would not have existed before the courts started ruling that you can't use the public schools to teach religion (a use that had previously been relatively uncontroversial, since no one really gave a shit what the Jews thought and they certainly didn't care about the atheists).

    17. Re:It's wrong because... by NetNed · · Score: 1

      Yep and the media is A SMALL PART of the overall population. So if the media is misinformed so much, then does that mean that the climate change isn't really happening or that they are wrong about it being so dire? Cause last time I check the media is "all in" on climate change. So which is it then? They went to the same schools, schools that push climate changes as "fact!" and ignore data like I posted. Can't be both ways, of course unless you're a hypocrite? Or is it that "you don't really seem to understand that."?

    18. Re:It's wrong because... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Science is in the open, but I pin most of the reporting woes on reporters that really don't understand what they are reporting on. They read a little and think they understand enough to report, but the devil is always in the details. They don't do the research, they can't educate the reader so they try to 'wow' the reader with cool claims. In addition, there is no skepticism when it comes to claims of breakthroughs. And almost never do they take a look at the credentials of those performing the science. Anybody can be a science reporter. Anybody can call them-self a scientist as well.

    19. Re:It's wrong because... by DerangedAlchemist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Many scientists today refuse to let facts get in the way of their theories.

      That is a complete myth and would be irrelevant even if it were true. Regardless on what your hypothesis is, in science you present evidence for or against it. Others can verify your claims. That is why, in science, frauds are eventually exposed, unlike virtually anything else. This is also why science has such a strong reputation.

      By the way, you are confusing the difference between a hypothesis, a scientific theory and the layman theory.

    20. Re:It's wrong because... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The people politicizing science are for the most part not scientists. I'd like to see some examples of studies that you think are designed to provide a talking point rather than doing science.

    21. Re:It's wrong because... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Maybe things that you think are true aren't as factual as you were first lead to believe. A lot of that goes around, the fact that we're talking about science reporting being wrong should clue you in some.
       
      I always wonder why people who claim something is common knowledge get offended when asked for citations.

    22. Re:It's wrong because... by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      I think its more subtle and worst. Its not just a matter of disregarding evidence, there is too much conflicting "evidence" that isn't even going through a first pass filter for sanity. This is ESPECIALLY true of science reporting.

      It happens pretty regularly that studies are touted as saying one thing or another based on what amounts to little more than noise. We have studies being done, cherry picked, and hand fed.

      Let me erase the topic here to avoid bias and lets take an example I ran into earlier today:
      "Study finds link between X and Z"
      "Compound Y, with enough exposure can cause Z"
      "We found 49 varients of X which contain Y, and 37 of those contained levels that we were ABLE TO DETECT".

      Able to detect. No talk of anything more than "detection". You would think that they would mention exposure levels, or safety levels, not mentioned.... the entire "link" was based on "detectability".

      What was this? A link between e-cigs and a disease caused by inhalation of one of its components. I have similarly seen studies that linked marjuana to heart disease based on a paltry sample size (a subsample of a study on a different primary topic, their headline grabbbing conclusion was based on a real sample size of under 30 people).

      That is a real issue.... "Scientists further confirm expected results" is boring. "Scientists find oddity in their data" is much more "worthy" of publication by the for profit media.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    23. Re:It's wrong because... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

      500 years ago scientists fought with the church wanting to control science, refuting heliocentrism.

      Oh? That would be why the guy who came up with the notion of heliocentrism was a Catholic Monk, right? Yes, Copernicus was a Dominican.

      You're probably thinking of that Galileo kerfluffle, where Galileo called the Pope an idiot in his book about heliocentrism, and the Pope got in a snit at being called a simpleton? Hint: Galileo got in trouble for calling the Pope an idiot, not for heliocentrism, which idea was developed by that aforementioned Dominican....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    24. Re:It's wrong because... by njnnja · · Score: 1, Troll

      Did it ever occur to you why American rockets were built by Nazis? It's because of the scientific and industrial might of the USA that defeated those Nazis during WWII. And why are German and Japanese cars so good? Might have something to do with the billions that America spent on those countries after their well-deserved butt-kicking. I doubt there is anyone who wouldn't prefer to be an average citizen in a Germany or Japan defeated by the US, than an average citizen in a Russia, the UK, or China defeated by the Germans or Japanese?

      But go ahead an complain. Complaining about America is one of the first freedoms guaranteed in America, and how we keep getting better. Someone points out a problem and we fix it (although, to paraphrase Churchill, not until after we've tried everything else).

    25. Re:It's wrong because... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Satellite temps ignored (which I am pretty sure is data and science all in one) NASA saying it has a 38% chance of being right ...

      Don't worry, 2015 will be the warmest year ever with about 95% chance of being right and if the El Ninos of 1982/1983 and 1997/1998 are any indication 2016 will be even warmer. Satellite temperatures are not ignored, just placed in their proper context. They do not measure surface temperatures and derive their temperatures from a proxy for temperature, microwave emissions of oxygen molecules in the atmosphere.

    26. Re:It's wrong because... by surfdaddy · · Score: 1

      You seem so focused on climate change, that was just an example. There are people who are idiots who believe the moon landings were faked, too. Do you disagree that our society's ability to handle scientific information has declined in the past 40 years?

    27. Re:It's wrong because... by Snotnose · · Score: 1
      ,

      I pin most of the reporting woes on reporters that really don't understand what they are reporting on

      This. When they were reporting the finding of the Higgs, the reporter and the anchors were joking about how they not only not understood this, but they didn't understand physics at all. They were proud of their ignorance, laughing it up.

    28. Re:It's wrong because... by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

      With all due respect to the great Einstein and his adopted country, he did his best work before he emigrated to the USA.

      As for Niels Bohr, he spent most of his life in Europe, although he was part of the British contingent on the Manhattan Project.

      And BTW, Alexander Graham Bell spent a great deal of time working in Canada as well as the USA.

      But I do agree with your point:

      Many outsiders saw the US as the country to get science done.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
    29. Re:It's wrong because... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      I think anyone with some familiarity with pseudo skepicism of science would be familiar with Creationist attacks on evolutionary biology. It's not an uncommon topic on Slashdot, and has ended up in the courts on a number of occasions. The Dover trial revealed a good many of the more sophisticated tactics. The chief difference between Creationist pseudo skepticism and corporate interests is that the latter want to preserve business models and profit, while the former wants to preserve a worldview against evidence that destroys it. But the tactics are the same, right down to having a small number of accredited experts who try to bolster the pseudo skepticism with what amount to appeals to authority (in the case of Creationism and AGW pseudo skepticism, some of the very same people).

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    30. Re:It's wrong because... by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      Albert Einstein, Wernher Von Braun, Enrico Fermi, Alexander Graham Bell, Niels Bohr, Edward Teller and so many more. Many outsiders saw the US as the country to get science done...

      Five of those men had very specific and (for all but Von Braun) similar political reasons for doing science in the US; I don't think we can draw any generalizations from that, other than the stupidity of alienating and harassing some of your greatest minds just because they belong to the wrong ethnic group.

      I'm not sure why you think the last 15 years (why that cutoff?) has been so awful for American science in general; I worked in academic biomedical research for that entire period and I haven't observed any sudden drop in quality. The real big problem we have is that the amount of NIH funding was greatly increased for a while, increasing the supply of researchers, but then leveled off, so the competition for funding is much worse now. It's definitely discouraging and a big disincentive, but the funding and resources are still among the best in the world.

    31. Re:It's wrong because... by the+gnat · · Score: 2

      the reporter and the anchors were joking about how they not only not understood this, but they didn't understand physics at all. They were proud of their ignorance, laughing it up.

      It's extremely difficult for a layperson to understand physics at that level. I have a PhD in biology and I don't understand most of modern physics either; I try not to be proud of my ignorance, but I do try to be completely honest about it. If I were trying to discuss it on a newscast I'm not sure what I could do other than try to lighten the mood.

    32. Re:It's wrong because... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Ethnic cleansing? MutherF**ker? Where?

      What people are saying is that the border should not be open; that emigration to the US needs to be curtailed and overseen and limits placed.

      The US went from 130 million to 300 million in 60 yrs (1940-2000). At that rate of growth (and it's increasing) the US will be at 1 billion before the turn of the century - almost entirely due to immigration.

      At what point do we say no more?

      Who decides?

      You have obscenely intricate (and ridiculous) zoning laws and many say "Oh that's needed." But we can't say no to people entering the country without being called a rightwing nutjob who promotes ethnic cleansing?

      F**K you

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    33. Re:It's wrong because... by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. It's wrong because MOST journalism is wrong. The only difference is that it is EASIEST to check whether hard science reporting is wrong. As such, science reporters regularly get called on their bullshit. The same does not apply to other forms of journalism.

    34. Re:It's wrong because... by ArhcAngel · · Score: 1, Funny

      I forgot to mention arrogance but you covered that for me.

      --
      "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K
    35. Re:It's wrong because... by Princeofcups · · Score: 2

      The science of earlier generations was weird as well. I think, that compared with the past, we live in a golden age of science.

      Any time someone bewails the decline of American intellects, this is usually the correct response. At no point in history has the US or any other nation been populated by a majority of sober, thoughtful, rational individuals. There has always been a large population of idiots, and always will be. We only think it's worse now because mass media makes it much easier for idiots to be heard, and, as this is still a liberal democracy of sorts, even idiots are allowed to speak their mind and vote.

      The problem is that those same idiots have more politics power right now than any other time in the country's history. Science used to drive industry. Now that industry is trying to control science. Research used to be the domain of dedicated private researchers. Now pretty much all university and lab funding comes from corporations who don't care about the long term health of the country, only today's profits. In an economy where stocks are bought and sold in seconds, there is no way that long term research is going to be prized.

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    36. Re:It's wrong because... by packrat0x · · Score: 1

      Dear journalists:

      Please stick to your normal stories about crime, disaster, and celebrity. Please stay away from stories on science. Trust that those interested in science will seek it out--without your lame "help".

      --
      227-3517
    37. Re:It's wrong because... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Yesterday, or was it he day before? NYC had a daytime temperature of 17 degrees centigrade. My town had yesterday night around 2:00 a night temperature of 11 degrees .... how many millinia, million years actually, do you have to go back to have similar temperaturs at a 19th/20th/21st december?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    38. Re:It's wrong because... by perpenso · · Score: 1

      I'm don't think you can claim a US scientific advantage in WW2 compared to the Nazis. Manpower and industrial advantages, yes. Plus the US benefited from not having a meddling idiot of a leader getting involved with military strategy, scientific research, engineering development, etc. Rockets, jets, remotely steered missiles, assault rifles, alternative fuels, etc.

      A classic comparison is US and German tanks. Not even close to a fair fight. On a related note I once read something that was quite illustrative: A US soldier was guarding German prisoners. To a particularly arrogant looking German officer he asked "if you guys are such supermen how come you're a prisoner". The German officer replied "I commanded an 88mm gun battery. Every time an American tank came down the road we knocked it out. Eventually we ran out of ammunition and you did not run out of tanks."

      I know we Americans have for generations grown up thinking that Allied victory in Europe was a sure thing, but it wasn't. It could have gone either way. Again, their bat-shit crazy leader meddling in everything was probably the Allies greatest asset. But as far as scientific and engineering prowess goes both sides excelled in various areas.

    39. Re:It's wrong because... by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      Thats pretty easy.

      Cook et Al. 2013
      http://iopscience.iop.org/arti...

      And many others in the same field.

    40. Re:It's wrong because... by unencode200x · · Score: 1

      Good point. I'm not a fan of reporters. Oftentimes it seems they're trying to sensationalize a story and have many in accuracies in even simple facts that don't require advanced education to understand.

      Check this story out as an easy-to-see exampe: http://www.news.com.au/travel/...

      In the story they say (in the text) the guy in the parachute got entangled at 75 feet. The video clearly shows it was at like 5 feet, maybe 10. That day when it was on the news and several news anchors repeated that 75 feet with a video playing behind them that was clearly lower.

      That's just one example, I see it all the time at tons of news outlets. It's one of the reasons I've stopped paying attention to most of the media.

      What the hell happened to fact checkers? Is that even still anyone's job at a news agency?

      --

      Chance favors the prepared mind.
      Perfect is the enemy of good.
    41. Re:It's wrong because... by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      No one modded you up because nobody knows what you're talking about. They're too content agreeing with all the propaganda and too cowardly to ask some actual questions about the scam.

    42. Re:It's wrong because... by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      "Others can verify your claims."

      In all but one kind of "science", oddly enough. You know, the one where the matter is settled and everyone agrees (or else).

    43. Re:It's wrong because... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Science reporting has always been crap. As a child in the 60's I used to go to the library with my parents where I read "science" books that talked about a jungles on Venus and canals on Mars. Walk into any newsagents, the science section in the magazine stand is overflowing with physics and ufo's. Politics doesn't change the behaviour it just changes the subject, open a conservative newspaper and it will be full of anti-science wacko's denying AGW, open a lefty rag and it will be full of anti-science wackos complaining about frankenfood.

      The internet has continued the tradition of using scientifically illiterate people to report on science, however for those who are scientifically literate the internet has made it much easier to bypass the media and go straight to the scientists work.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    44. Re:It's wrong because... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      but the funding and resources are still among the best in the world

      The US is a large wealthy country who often do things that are at odds with what their government is trying to accomplish, for example during the GWB era the US was the funding source for roughly 50% of all climate science on the planet (largely due to the cost of earth facing satellites). The vast bulk of that research was loudly contradicting everything the Bush administration said and did about AGW. Try as they did, they could not cut off the bulk of the funding or bully the scientists into silence.

      The thing is, politicians are mainly sourced from the legal profession. Nothing wrong with the liberal arts except it teaches lawyers to prosecute/defend a POV despite the evidence, rather than because of it. This is an anathema to a scientific mind, but it seems to be the norm for a legal/political one.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    45. Re:It's wrong because... by packrat0x · · Score: 1

      "Science marches forward one (old scientist's) death at a time"
      --Paraphrase of Max Planck

      --
      227-3517
    46. Re:It's wrong because... by mjwx · · Score: 2

      Science is in the open, but I pin most of the reporting woes on reporters that really don't understand what they are reporting on.

      That isn't really the problem. The problem is that most science is boring, making for boring reports. No-one buys boring newspapers, especially in this day an age. So editors and reporters change key details and make some things up completely just to get eyeballs.

      Every paper who printed the headline "everything is just fine" has gone out of business.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    47. Re:It's wrong because... by thunderclap · · Score: 1

      The actual data as you say, isn't really there. NOAA faked their stats to appeal to the people who want to be in Climate change (ie rapid tempature shifts and global sea rise etc) while other who talk to climatologists who are opposed to Climate change because of the data set is only accurate back 50 yrs and the ice cores are most inconclusive (ice cores go back thousands and are the only thing that is accuare and old enough) So if you actually read the dry boring notes and papers you discover that science progresses jerkily, with false starts and misdirections in a long, uneven path to the truth. We haven't even made more than 50 footfalls on that path. Yet media and govt still wants surprising or anomalous findings, in other words, wrong ones. Oh course you bought in.

    48. Re:It's wrong because... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Thats pretty easy.

      Cook et Al. 2013
      http://iopscience.iop.org/arti...

      And many others in the same field.

      LOL, I should have expected that.

      I presume what you mean by "others in the same field" is climate science. Of course the paper you cited isn't really a climate science paper but more of a sociology paper. And on top of that nobody has yet shown that the paper is wrong, just a lot of technical complaints that show lack of understanding on the part of the complainer. But I will cede that the paper was probably a response climate science deniers claiming not all scientists support the current anthropogenic global warming paradigm. It clearly showed that in the climate science field the support for that is in the high 90 percentage.

    49. Re:It's wrong because... by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
      Which is the 'our' generation? I was in school in the 70's and it was horribly bad. I knew far more about science thingys by the second or third grade than any of my teaches until I got to high school. Because I could read and did, while they didn't.

      And the US got to be #1 thanks to WWII where we imported most of the science from the UK (radar), other parts of Europe (nuclear bomb) and an untapped and undesecrated manufacturing base. Our space program was a 99.8% continuation of the Nazi program under von Braun and the US lagged Germany in aerotech thanks to it's (Germany's) militarization and buildup starting a decade earlier, not even counting the German experience in the Spanish Civil War.

    50. Re:It's wrong because... by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      If you want to go all conspiratorial about it... https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    51. Re:It's wrong because... by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      And there you go, claiming propaganda and statistical dishonesty as science.

      Then you wonder why people don't buy the spin you are trying to sell.

      If you can side with a paper like Cook et al. 2013, then you arent worth listening too.
      Your intellectual dishonesty is clear as icy water from a freshly melted glacier.

    52. Re:It's wrong because... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      You probably don't want to hear this but chances are very good that your belief in science is very much a faith-based belief system. Science is, by its nature, incomplete and often needing refinements. Belief in it, as it currently stands, is actually a bit antithetical to science. That's why we have words like consensus. That's where the majority, usually vast majority, think that it is probably correct. Belief in science, as opposed to practicing science, is kind of silly given that it's very likely that what you believe today may well be different in a few hundred years as we understand more and more about the universe.

      The problem is that weak minded people want to know "the truth" instead of being able to admit "I don't know." It's not that hard to admit "this is probably true but might not be." You just need to let go of your ego and stop being afraid to be wrong. Belief in science is silly. Practicing science and learning as you go is good. You exhibit signs of the former and probably do not have much experience with actual science. Science is a process. You're treating it like a religion.

      Hmm... Rereading that makes it look like I'm trying to insult you. I'm not. I just don't see a better way to phrase it. The men in white coats are not the new priests. Stop treating them as such. They're probably wrong. Good ones know they're probably wrong - that's why they're still "doing science." If they were right, well, they'd stop doing science. When they close up shop and say, "We're done here." Then you can believe them. Until then, you're practicing a faith-based belief system where you're subjecting yourself to knowledge handed down by people to whom you've mentally applied a pedestal. That's silly, don't do that.

      This isn't to say that religion is correct. No, it's saying that by their very nature the scientists are wrong (or at least incomplete). You're believing something to be true that may well not be true and that's because you don't actually understand it. It's okay. Most people don't. Hell, I get stuck at QM. I can't wrap my head around some of it - as hard as I try. I hold a Ph.D in Applied Mathematics and I can't understand that. I know little/nothing about biology. The list goes on. Instead, I don't accept answers at face value and look to see if I can find the answer by educating myself in areas that I find interesting. Then I think about it. Then I realize they're probably on the right path. The good scientists say things like, "If you accept the current standard model to be correct then ..." The bad ones say, "This is the truth." (Obviously, some things are truths, as well as we can know.)

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    53. Re:It's wrong because... by KGIII · · Score: 2

      A lot of people seem really fond of misremembering the past as if it was somehow better. One of my favorites is about how journalists are biased today and that we used to have a lot more investigative, hard hitting, unbiased journalism that exposed the truth. It's usually from young people who weren't actually there. In the example that I used, the history of yellow journalism would be a good indicator that they may be off in the wrong direction.

      Hell, the first use of a DOS attack or electronic sabotage was in the America's Cup. A journalist, using a spark-something-or-other, managed to get the results of the race through to the telegraph office and then proceeded to hold the friggin' button down for the next hour so that none of the other journalists could get the story out.

      This Utopian past never existed. They're as bad as the conservatives who pine for the glory days of the 1950s because everything was rosy then. It never was the way they envisioned it. The past is never as good as is remembered. History is just the story we agree to tell each other so as to not look or feel too bad. Take a real look at it and you'll find it was never good.

      It's like people complaining that /. used to be good. Heh... I'm on my second account (lost the first one and the email address associated with it and don't recall the username) and I've been coming here for a very long time. No... If I put on my rose-tinted glasses I might go so far as to say that Slashdot was once better but damned if I'm going to be so dishonest as to say that it was *ever* good.

      "That's not news for nerds!!!" Nope... We've had that complaint forever.
      "Slashdot editors suck since Dice bought them!" Heh... Yeah, no... They've always sucked.
      "We used to able to crash servers!" Yeah, I used to be able to lock the brakes up in my car. They improved the infrastructure.
      "Slashdot posters used to be smarter!" Err... Just no... Well, maybe some truth. However, I just recently re-read a thread about the announced product known as VMWare and the general consensus was that it'd never catch on, was a waste of money, and nobody would have a use for it. Maybe three people actually understood what was going on. The rest ranted and raved about it without actually even understanding what it was. I doubt they read the summary or article.

      So, there's an example of a rose-tinted view that's a bit closer to home. I've never looked but I suspect there's some actual research done on how people envision or selectively remember the past. There might even been a five-syllable word to describe it, I don't know. It's kind of odd and I don't understand why it is that people do this sort of thing. I'm probably not entirely immune to it but I do try to keep myself in check because I'm aware of the trend.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    54. Re:It's wrong because... by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Every paper who printed the headline "everything is just fine" has gone out of business.

      And that's the larger point here: the news distorts EVERTHING, not just science.

      Newspapers sell by sensationalizing everything. It's why public fears are so out of whack with reality -- you read the paper today, and there's a plane crash, a drive-by shooting in another city, and a terrorist attack in another country. Thus the public worries about these things when they could prevent orders of magnitude more deaths by encouraging public officials to target actual everyday common issues that kill lots of people, like car crashes for example. A car crash that kills someone barely makes the back part of the local section, but something rare and weird ("shark bites swimmer!!!") gets the front page.

      The news distorts everything and causes us to take disproportionate notice of rare and misleading stuff. Its distortion of science is no different, so I think it's a bit weird to single out science here. Reporters commonly don't do research, emphasize the rare or weird, and make common errors while burying nuance that would make the story less interesting. It doesn't matter whether the topic is science or crime or accidents or political issues or whatever... the mundane stuff that actually is the most relevant to our lives often isn't newsworthy.

    55. Re:It's wrong because... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Yes, but at most times in US history scientific advice was taken seriously by those in politics instead of being denied as if it was the USSR suffering from Lysenkoism.

    56. Re:It's wrong because... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      And why are German and Japanese cars so good?

      Because development continued instead of stagnating under the trust fund babies that had inherited the US car industry by that time.

    57. Re:It's wrong because... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I have similarly seen studies that linked marjuana to heart disease based on a paltry sample size (a subsample of a study on a different primary topic, their headline grabbbing conclusion was based on a real sample size of under 30 people).

      So in the proper context that would be a situation with a small size showed a trend, and if there is enough of a trend it could be used to justify putting up the serious amount of cash required to properly investigate.

      What gets it into the papers is probably a University press officer who has to keep on putting out press releases to keep their job.

    58. Re:It's wrong because... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Damn it all to hell! I had a huge and beautiful response and it was a perfect time waster. Then I somehow opened the menu and managed to close the browser in its entirety. I'd cited a few good examples of the US (as well as some Allied) science was well in the lead. Things like Fat Man and Little Boy, the Jeep, the B-29, the B-17, P-51, M-1, M-202, M-30, more accurate RADAR (thanks to improving on a UK design that they shipped over), and the list goes on and on.

      Finally, I'm going to have to also politely disagree with your statement that Germany was ever close to winning the war. Hell no... The Russians were right pissed. If anything, people shouldn't be thanking America for winning the war (we didn't - we did help quite a bit) but they should be thanking the Americans for not having to speak Russian today. Left to his own devices, Stalin would have just taken that land, all of it, until he ran into Atlantic. They were on a rape, murder, and pillage spree. (Quite literally.)

      If you want to say that Germany *might* have been close to winning if they'd never acted on Operation Barbarossa then I *might* agree with some caveats but, no... There's no meaningful, simple, choices that Germany could have made that would have ended the outcome of the war. They did stupid shit like letting the Allies capture some 250,000 people due to Operation Torch. North Africa is where the Germans surrendered their most troops in one fell swoop.

      At any rate, from what I know and from the vast majority of historians that I know of, Germany was never close to winning the war. They were kind of, sort of, close to prolonging it but you'd have to change so many facts/choices to get any outcome other than a loss. It was more like a comedy of errors that got them as far as they did. I can go into details if you want.

      While I'm here... Some silly trivia like the above capturing record...

      The Soviets had more than one type of tank. It wasn't terrible. The T-34 is nice but not the only tank they built.
      The T-34 was still in service with some countries up until the mid-1990s.
      The ME-109 was produced in the highest number, ever.
      D-day was the largest amphibious landing ever conducted.
      Antwerp got more rockets dropped on them than any other place.
      Malta got the bombs -- like more than anywhere else by area *and* by duration and by total number (if you count only Axis bombs).
      I forget the name but it was actually a small town in Germany that got more bombs than even Berlin.
      Polish people contributed a great deal and were instrumental in the push to Rome (they were the group that made it up the mountain to the monastery).
      Omaha was actually supposed to be less heavily defended than the other beach.
      None of Japan's Unit 731 (live human vivisection, germ warfare, etc) scientists were ever prosecuted.
      The convicted war criminals, from Japan, are still worshiped to this day by some Japanese people.
      Canada is full of badasses, they're just polite because they don't feel like killing you today.
      The ME-262 was the first operational jet fighter but based on an HE-111 (I think? Some HE model was first.)
      Roughly 75% of the people Japan took prisoner did not survive.
      The two big bombs were not the only deciding factor - the Russians had started curb stomping Japan too.
      Angry Russians love to rape, murder, pillage, and burn. They were really pissed.
      Some 24,000,000 Russians died in the war, more than even Germany.
      Both of Germany's giant guns (one was Big Bertha, the other I forget the name but was at Sevastopol) from both World Wars disappeared and we've never found them.
      Germany made some awesome weapons but one of the greatest was the 88 mm which served multiple roles.
      Not much is as awesome as the wooden plane known as the Mosquito. That's a damned fact, I tell you.

      Ah well... There's some trivia for people who might not know much about WWII. I was that bored. :/

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    59. Re:It's wrong because... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Cook et al. 2013 doesn't matter. It's not climate science, just a survey of the climate science literature and the active practitioners in the field that wrote the papers.

      What matters is the science and what we do with what it tells us. Meanwhile in the real world temperatures continue to rise as scientists said they would, the oceans continue to warm as scientists said they would, ice continues to melt as scientists said it would, sea levels continue to rise as scientists said they would and the oceans continue to acidify as scientists said they would.

    60. Re:It's wrong because... by perpenso · · Score: 1

      I did not say Germany was close to victory. I said Allied victory was not a sure thing. Stalemate was also an option, a stalemate leaving the Nazis in control of much of Europe.

      I think you are discounting the meddling of Hitler. If local generals were allowed to redeploy armor from the Pas-de-Calais region to Normandy D-day may have failed. If Me-262 (jet fighter) production had not been delayed while a ground attack redesign was explored the US strategic bombing campaign may have been stopped, plus air superiority over Normandy may not have been possible. If the Stg-44 (assault rifle) production had not been halted for a while German infantry may have been much more effective. If Rommel had been allowed to withdraw the Africa Corp as he personally pleaded for in Berlin only to be denied ...

      Russian victory had much to do with Hitler's meddling as well. Fixating on political/symbolic cities. Not allowing front line units outrunning supplies to make modest rearward movement to more defensible positions while awaiting resupply. His assumption that victory would be swift and that it was unnecessary to prepare vehicles and troops for winter warfare ...

      Also those great Russian tanks you mention, many were built with US produced steel. Many Russian troops were fed using US food shipments, their supplies transported using US manufactured trucks. One of the most effective tank busting aircraft, and secretly beloved by their pilots, was the US made P-39. Lets not pretend that victory in the East was purely a Russian accomplishment, it was enabled with massive US support. As for Russian casualties, many died unnecessarily due to inept Soviet generals chosen for political loyalty not military prowess.

      And the Russians did not have the amphibious capability to take the Japanese home islands. The Imperial Japanese troops on the mainland could not be returned to Japan due to US Navy control of the sea and the devastation of Japan's transport and supply network. Those mainland troops were irrelevant to the defense of the home islands with or without a Russian campaign. Imperial Japan's surrender was the result of a decision by one man, the emperor, and he was largely influence by the atomic bombings.

      You could argue that Imperial Japan was at a clear scientific disadvantage but not Nazi Germany. Nazi Germany's defeat was in large part due to (thankfully) terrible human decision making. They were overwhelmed more by numbers and industrial production than by scientific advantages.

    61. Re:It's wrong because... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Oh no... Perhaps I wasn't clear enough. I was saying that the Nazis really didn't have a huge technical advantage over the Allied Forces and citing examples of meaningful tech that the Allied Forces had as examples as to where it was closer than many people think. We all had individual peaks and valleys, so to speak and an average (if we could make one) would put them on par with one another or fairly close.

      The "it could have gone either way" kind of left out the option for a stalemate in my head - perhaps that's not what you meant but that was how I read it. After, what was it, Potsdam? After that there was no hope for a stalemate - unconditional surrender was the only option.

      Also, I left something out. I think at one point it could have gone either way - now that I think about it. Had Hitler just kept building up his arsenal and actually forwarded the tech prior to invading Poland then they just might have come out on top as everyone around him was really not doing a whole lot to prepare until things started to go crazy.

      From your post, I can see you're familiar with the firearm improvements, the jet, the rocket powered plane called Comet as I recall, the rockets, wire guided ordinance, and I seem to recall they had played with radio controlled ordinance but that might have been the Allies. At any rate, if he'd stocked up and allowed the new tech to grow instead of pushing it off to the side because he thought he had an easy victory then, maybe, they'd have managed to get an armistice or even "win" for a while. Poking the bear was a horrible choice.

      Japan and Italy were really both at a disadvantage scientifically. The only novel thing that Italy really seems to have done is use three engines on their planes and miniature submarines. Much of what Japan has was largely copied from others. I seem to recall that their main battle rifle was from 1905. Germany helped them out. Oh, heh... Japan had a helicopter, of sorts. It was tethered to a ship and used to see beyond the horizon - based on something they'd bought from Bell and copied so it's not really *their* tech per se.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    62. Re:It's wrong because... by NetNed · · Score: 1

      Oh hey, now the temp in the US IS representative of the entire world? Funny, the last two years when we had record cold the cult of climate change claimed that the US temps didn't represent the overall temperature of the world, local not global I think I recall the rally cry to be. But now since it's warm it's "FUD!!" time? You'll have to excuse me, I am an educated free thinking person with common sense that actually looks at facts and can spot hypocrisy. Probably why I am not much for religion.

    63. Re:It's wrong because... by njnnja · · Score: 1
    64. Re:It's wrong because... by NetNed · · Score: 1

      No, I would say that the dumbing down of the entire world has taken place. I think it's done on purpose, as some believe a dumb society is easier to fool and rule. I also believe people accept things at face value and discount the facts surrounding things even when the facts points to the conclusion being incorrect. Our education systems don't tell students to question anything any more, which stifles progression and innovation. That with the addition of copyrights being applied in fanatical ways and we get what we have, a growing population that questions nothing and accepts being treated like criminals or second class citizens, all while chanting the mantra of their oppressors.

    65. Re:It's wrong because... by njnnja · · Score: 1

      Another commenter makes an excellent point about the Soviets, but I have to take issue with your statement

      I know we Americans have for generations grown up thinking that Allied victory in Europe was a sure thing, but it wasn't. It could have gone either way.

      from another angle. There is almost no way that a virulently anti-Semitic culture was going to win WWII. One of the effects of having a "bat-shit crazy" leader is to drive out scientists (and the parents and spouses of scientists) who were capable of developing a superweapon that could destroy every city in Europe. And while you are correct that scientific and engineering prowess existed on all sides (particularly the underappreciated Russians, whose T-34s were arguably the finest armored unit in the war, all things considered), WWII occurred at a time in the history of physics and engineering such that whoever developed the first nuclear bombs was going to win that war.

    66. Re:It's wrong because... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      That kind of makes my point. Somebody in Detroit could have hired him but trust fund babies did not care about improving products to ensure future sales.

    67. Re:It's wrong because... by njnnja · · Score: 1

      Yes you are correct and I don't want to overstate the quality of GM management in the 70's; I was just refuting ggp post "Hardly, you were never number 1 in anything" by pointing out that at least American education was world class. It's a win-win!

    68. Re:It's wrong because... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Good point. And while Detroit was warming up old iron there was plenty going on in Texas and California that did actually put that sort of thing to use with the electronics industry etc.

    69. Re:It's wrong because... by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      The problem is that those same idiots have more politics power right now than any other time in the country's history.

      See, the problem I'm seeing is that people just love to throw out assertions like this, but they have absolutely zero evidence to back it up. Have you actually read any history? Just to cherry-pick a few examples, during the 19th century, the American people elected a brutal ethnic cleanser as president, an entire region of the country fought a bloody war to protect their right to enslave part of their population, and the Reconstruction was aborted due to back-room Democratic politics, guaranteeing that the South was ruled by inbred morons for another hundred years. (And there was no shortage of loudmouthed sociopaths calling for massive immigration restriction.) All this was happening when there were substantially fewer voters, and, presumably, fewer idiots, yet the country (or parts thereof) made plenty of unconscionable, idiotic decisions (and never really quit).

      If you really think this era is uniquely bad, I recommend the book "Nixonland", which will make you wonder how this country lasted beyond the 1970s. (Nixon was a symptom, not a cause.)

      Science used to drive industry. Now that industry is trying to control science. Research used to be the domain of dedicated private researchers. Now pretty much all university and lab funding comes from corporations who don't care about the long term health of the country, only today's profits

      Also wrong. I don't know what the situation is like in other fields, but in biomedical research the vast majority of the funding for academics comes from government agencies, and a large fraction of the remainder is supplied by non-profits like HHMI. There are certainly plenty of examples of corporate funding as well, but I haven't seen any evidence that they are greatly distorting the research that gets done. Of course the entire field is loaded with perverse incentives of varying severity, but show me a public spending program that isn't.

    70. Re:It's wrong because... by cwsumner · · Score: 1

      "Boring" is not something that happens to you, it is something that you do to yourself. You can choose not to do it!

      Baseing the company on "Squirrel !!!" is not smart, those customers go away too easily.

      Also, this is not new. Look up "Yellow Journalism". 8-)

    71. Re:It's wrong because... by cwsumner · · Score: 1

      We all remember the past, when we were children, as being a golden age because we were taken care of and protected. We didn't see all of the bad stuff. That's why we need to study history, to get some perspective.

      But everyone's golden age is a different year, it depends on when we were children!

      On the other hand, there -have- been "golden ages" in history and some lasted a thousand years. But the people of the time and place didn't know, they just thought it was normal! 8-)

    72. Re:It's wrong because... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      All those golden ages that I read about, watch about, and hear about? Yeah... Some of them might have had indoor plumbing but how many had the variety of porn we have right at our fingertips? Eh? Nae I say! Nae! We live in the best of times and I've cam4 to prove it!

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    73. Re: It's wrong because... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Climate scientists agree on a lot. The IPCC report, particularly the WG1 report is what scientists agree on. As far as taxing it, anthropogenic global warming is a case of "you can pay me now" or "you can pay me later". Either pay for mitigation now or pay even more for adaption later.

    74. Re:It's wrong because... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Funny, the last two years when we had record cold the cult
      You had no record colds ... it was the normal temperature. You simply are to young to remember how cold it is usually around the great lakes.

      E.g. right now you have record highs in New York, it should be below zero centigrade and snowing since a week or two. However: it is so warm that Santa Girls are running around skirts.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    75. Re:It's wrong because... by perpenso · · Score: 1

      As I mentioned in my other response failure to achieve allied victory also includes stalemate, not necessarily axis victory. Delivery of atomic weapons required air superiority or the ability to be beyond the reach of enemy fighters. The later was true for Japanese fighters but not German. The Me-262 had altitude and speed advantages over the B-29. Can't have a bomber shot down over enemy territory and wind up being analyzed. Plus using an atomic weapon on Germany would have loosed what few restraints there were, the Nazis may have started loading chemical and biological weapons on V2 rockets. Use of atomic weapons requires a situation were mutually-assured-destruction (MAD) is not a likely path. Its not clear the nukes could have been used in a stalemate scenario where Nazi Germany still retained control of much of Europe. The US atomic program may have been partly motivated to create a MAD environment should the Nazis get to nukes first, to keep nukes off the table as the US chemical warfare capability kept chemicals off the table.

    76. Re:It's wrong because... by njnnja · · Score: 1

      Nighttime strategic bombing of German targets was widely used during the war regardless of the quality of German fighters; to the extent that it was ineffective (and that is a debatable premise) is mostly because of the inaccuracy of hitting individual factories or power plants at night (which needless to say would have been less of an issue with nuclear weapons). And something like MAD theory has been discussed just about every time a new "superweapon" has been developed (in fact, some "superweapons" were developed for the express purpose of making war so horrible that it would never be waged in the first place), and yet the weapon gets used anyways. There is little reason to believe that in the middle of a hot war, the first combatant to develop a nuclear weapon would have been swayed by these arguments any more than combatants with earlier technological advancements had been in previous conflicts.

    77. Re:It's wrong because... by NetNed · · Score: 1

      Yes because record ice cover on the Great Lakes plus 120 year old record cold broken last year and the beginning of this year is "normal temperature"


      You know what causes record ice cover? RECORD LOWS!! And BTW, so you are over 120 years old? And can post a message that contains a little HTML? Wow that's pretty impressive!

    78. Re:It's wrong because... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, you are simply wrong.

      The temperatures around the lakes two years ago: are normal. They where similar from as long as we have measures till roughly 1985 ... then suddenly it was quite often very warm. Two years ago it dropped back to the "normal" level, and I don't care if it was indeed a new record and 2 degrees colder than your historic data. Fact is: it was nothing unusual and nothing that supports the anti global warming idiots.

      On top of that there are certain big wether pictures that happen every few years (randomly) which simply make that area a bit colder.

      The big picture is: it is 10 degrees centigrade warmer in that region than it "should be". If it drops back to an older level, even if it indeed makes a "new record" (what I doubt, the temperatures I observed seemed pretty normal and exceptional deep) there is nothing special going on.

      You know what causes record ice cover? RECORD LOWS!!
      No it does not. How stupid and silly are you? if it is -1 degree centigrades, and _raining_ 90 days in winter, you have more ice than if it is -30 degrees and no rain at all, pfffttt!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    79. Re:It's wrong because... by perpenso · · Score: 1

      The flaw in your logic is focusing on nuclear not WMD in general. Mass destruction is mass destruction regardless of the technology employed. In WW2 WMDs were not used when both sides had WMD capabilities. In some sort of D-Day failed scenario that left the Nazis in control of the continent as the US completed development and manufacturing of its two bombs the Nazi's capability to drop chemical V2s on Britain may have given the US a pause. Especially given that huge mass of US troops that would be targetable on Britain. Plus in such a stalemate scenario the Nazi's would also be capable of chemical nighttime bomber raids on Britain. Now lets toss in U-boats conducting chemical attacks on US coastal cities. I'm not sure what the Nazi capability to use radioactive dirty bombs would have been, that's another potential for pause. You can't rule out a MAD scenario.

      Plus there is the massive horrible casualties mounting in the Pacific as Imperial Japan employs its bleed the US to the bargaining table strategy. Those two bombs may still have gone to the Pacific in a European stalemate scenario. For political reasons of attaining one decisive victory and the practicality of an enemy unable offer a WMD response. Thus giving the German's even more time to entrench and further their atomic/wmd programs.

    80. Re:It's wrong because... by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      The ?news (I think a question mark belongs in front of some words because they have become so meaningless), has been hugely distorted by corporate interests. Truth in ?news has largely become non-existant, made up stories, advertising planted as news, competitors attacking competitors, concerted political manipulation, concerted social manipulation, corrupt espionage activities, cheap lazy journalists and of course click bait. Basically the whole concept of ?news is dead until such time as there is concerted government interest in forcing ?news to become truthful and factual news, this via legislation and the courts. Don't hold you breath, we are talking decades more of corruption with the trigger for reform being the economic collapse of the US.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    81. Re:It's wrong because... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      200 years ago, a large part of the population couldn't even read properly.

      If you look at the concept of functional literacy (as opposed to strict literacy versus complete illiteracy), then you'll find that there are still high levels of functional illiteracy in the western world.

      Definitions vary, but functional illiteracy rates remain in the tens of percent of the populations. That's tens to perhaps a hundred million in the US, and some tens of millions in the UK.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    82. Re:It's wrong because... by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      Sure, I mean, its worth noting that there was a potential trend but, possibly worth looking at in the future. However, it very much wasn't worth a headline, it was a potentially interesting anomaly at most.

      > What gets it into the papers is probably a University press officer who has to keep on putting out press releases to keep their job.

      Sure but, in the end, the problem is that this shit is being published as if it is a real study result and not little more than a side note. We have good reason to believe that a large portion of well done studies give bogus results anyway, what confidence can we have in the things they can't even have confidence in?

      What hope does the public have of separating speculation from results if the media insists on prioritizing entertainment value over measures of certainty?

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    83. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      There's been a "golden millennium"? What would that be?

      It's fashionable to think of ancient Athens being a golden age for a certain period, producing statesmen, philosophers, and literature. Life simply wasn't like that for most people living in Athens. It may well be that some people in Athens (Athenian refers typically to citizens, a privileged class) would have been philosophers like Socrates, writers like Sophocles, etc., but simply never had the chance and never were going to be given the chance.

      We tend to think of historical periods in terms of the splashy things they did: fought a brutal war, produced several great composers, whatever. However, the ordinary man or woman had approximately no way to use their talents in strategy or music.

      This is the closest thing we've had to a true golden age, when people of average origins have a decent crack at greatness if they can make it. It isn't perfect, but it's getting better (at least in Europe; US social mobility lags considerably). The pool of people who have talents and can use them has increased tremendously.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    84. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      There's a large number of deniers, who have staked their intellectual world on the "facts" that global warming isn't existing, or isn't anthropogenic, or isn't a problem. This means that the science that supports the idea that we're heating the planet up and it will have serious consequences has to be wrong, typically because of incompetence and corruption, and anything that supports that conclusion has to be propaganda or faked. This leads to character assassination and lies, and of course any investigation that finds nothing at the bottom of those complaints has to be corrupt itself. The reason papers are not published agreeing with the deniers must be censorship rather than they being bad science.

      Personally, I'm getting tired of that argument.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    85. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      You mean physics? If you started denying gravity or relativistic conservation laws or the dual nature of elementary particles, you're running into settled science and everyone agrees (or else).

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    86. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Partly right, partly wrong. While US production of tanks was considerably higher than German, it wasn't nearly as high as it would have to be if the stories about US tanks were true. Moreover, that 88mm battery was in serious danger of being shelled by artillery or bombed by aircraft. US artillery was extremely good

      The superiority of German tanks, where it exists, was a matter of being bigger, not better. The Panther was about 50% heavier than a Sherman, and the Tigers were way beyond that. US tanks had to be shipped across the Atlantic, and when they arrived on the Continent they were primarily attacking. The US did have a tank about as heavy as a Panther (the M26 Pershing), but only introduced it at the very end of the war.

      The US had rockets, remotely piloted bombs, jets, didn't need alternative fuels, and did have something approximating an assault rifle (the M2 carbine, if you'll count the bullet as powerful enough for an assault rifle, which is controversial). While Germany had the best machine gun of the war, and near the end the best infantry rifle of the war, those were matters of good design, not good technology. U-boats with snorkels were a threat late in the war, because the Germans improved on a Dutch invention.

      In the meantime, the US had much better radar, and of course sponsored the first nuclear weapons. Germany was scientifically behind there, in a way that wouldn't have been rectified by more resources.

      The reason WWII in Europe went as it did is that the Soviets kept fighting and didn't give up, even after much more losses than the ones that led to the fall of the Tsarist regime in WWI. The Western Allies had a great deal of influence in how the war was won, and contributed significantly to the victory, but what stopped Hitler was primarily the Red Army.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    87. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      My commentary:

      The Soviets had several types of tanks, some useless, some excellent. The early T-34s were well armed, well armored, and fast, but had serious ergonomic problems. The late war T-34/85 solved most of those problems, and served for a long time. It wasn't universally the best tank, or the Soviets wouldn't have taken the new T-34/85s from the elite exploit unit the First Guards Mechanized Corps and replaced it with Shermans.

      I don't know that D-Day was the largest amphibious landing. I believe some of the late operations against Japan might have been bigger.

      The Me 262 came into service at (IIRC) approximately the same time as the British Meteor. Because of the Meteor's short range, it was primarily used in defense against V-1s. There was a jet deathtrap from Heinkel earlier.

      In the Imperial rescript announcing the surrender to the Japanese people, the reason was given as "a new and most cruel bomb", whereas the destruction of the Japanese navy, the economic blockade that would have crashed the Japanese economy, the loss of most Pacific islands as well as Burma and Manchuria, and the Soviet declaration of war was referred to as "developments not necessarily to Japanese advantage". In addition to being nuked twice, Japan had a host of other problems. The USN had curb-stomped them pretty thoroughly (including battleship bombardments of Japanese industrial areas near the coast), and the Soviets were just a pile-on.

      Offhand, I don't remember the German 80cm railroad gun having a name. It was useless for anything other than siege purposes, since it took about a week to set up and a week to take down, so it could only be used when the battle line was not going to move. It was used at Sevastopol to great effect, and (IIRC) the Polish rebellion at Warsaw in 1944.

      The 88mm was not nearly the weapon it was made out to be. It was a good AA weapon that could be used against tanks, much like the US 90mm AA gun and of similar performance. However, pretty much any time GIs faced German shells, they attributed it to 88s. Some German small arms, though, would fit very nicely as squad-level weapons in a modern army. Those were very good.

      The Mosquito was designed as something that could be built with relatively little in the way of critical resources, and became one of the great aircraft of WWII.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    88. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      I disagree that Hitler was that much of a problem. The German army was used to being left independent of the government and fighting the war its own way, so the slightest influence from Hitler was resented.

      Moreover, in the 1950s, German officers like Guderian, von Manstein, and von Mellinthen wrote stories of the German heroism on the Eastern Front. They had to make themselves look good while acknowledging that they did, indeed, lose, and so they blamed Hitler all they could.

      The first times Hitler made orders that his generals disapproved of were in 1942, particularly the decision to resupply the Stalingrad pocket by air and plan to relieve it. Then again, Sixth Army had very limited mobility, and might have just been cut up by Soviet tank formations in the retreat.

      In 1944, a deep schism developed between Hitler and the Army. The Army wanted Hitler to make a peace. It would be humiliating like the end of WWI, but they did not think they could win. Hitler, on the other hand, knew that the Allies weren't going to negotiate a peace as in 1919, no matter what, and he had a good idea what would happen when the Allies found the concentration and death camps, and (with good reason) thought the only two possible results were victory and the destruction of the Third Reich and at least a partial dismemberment of Germany. Therefore, the Army was concentrating on losing the war as slowly and cheaply as possible, while Hitler was willing to take great chances in the hope of pulling out a victory. When a general wanted to do something like fall back, Hitler couldn't know whether this was a possible path to victory or whether the general was simply trying to lose slowly. With Hitler being bad at strategy and the generals not realizing the political environment, there was going to be a lot of distrust and acrimony.

      The Me-262 was not particularly delayed by the ground-attack idea, since the aircraft was something very new and had plenty of teething problems. In fact, it tended to flame out in turns and had a mostly safe minimum speed greater than its stall speed, meaning that after it left the runway it had a period when the aircraft was quite unsafe. It would not have stopped the US strategic bombing, could not have prevented Allied air superiority on D-Day, and generally wouldn't have seriously slowed down the Allied war effort. With few exceptions, the invention of a single wonder weapon will not win a war. It needed special airstrips, which had to be prepared well in advance, so US fighters could loiter over those bases and shoot them down when they took off and landed. This is the closest thing I've found in WWII to spawn camping.

      Soviet pilots liked the P-39 as a fighter more than a ground-attack aircraft. Its biggest problem was performance at altitude, and the Eastern Front air war was mainly fought very low. I think the tank-busting story started when the Soviets turned out to like it, while US pilots couldn't understand why anyone would want it as a fighter and concluded it had to be something else.

      While Soviet army leadership really sucked in 1941, by 1942 the incompetents in high places (Budenny, Pavlov, Mekhlis) had mostly been weeded out. However, as the prewar Red Army had mostly been destroyed in 1941, Soviet generals had to form and train new units and formations while they had to fight.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    89. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      IQs in the developed world are 15-20 points higher than they were in the 1930s, say. The world isn't being dumbed down, it's that the manipulators are much better at it, partly due to science.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    90. Re:It's wrong because... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Actually, where I live, the last severe winter would have been considered severe even when I was a kid. It would not have been considered unusual, though.

      However, it's been very rainy the past week or so, and that did not happen when I was a kid. In the early 90s, someone mentioned the song starting "White bird in a golden cage", which mentions winter rain, and I commented that I had no experience of winter rain where I lived. This winter is just freaky so far.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    91. Re:It's wrong because... by cwsumner · · Score: 1

      There's been a "golden millennium"? What would that be? ...

      Different definition of "golden age". Of course most arguments are really about word definitions... 8-)

      Some Historians list parts of the Greak and Roman ages, and some others, as golden ages because there was less war and starvation.
      Unfortunatly, they tend to be times of stagnation. That means violent ends, for some ages.

    92. Re:It's wrong because... by perpenso · · Score: 1

      German tanks were superior in armor and firepower by '43. Even with upgraded guns in '44 the German tanks could knock out Shermans at many times the range a Sherman could knock them out, assuming the Sherman didn't hit one of the more highly sloped (thicker) spots. Even Eisenhower admitted we screwed up and underestimated the German tanks on the Continent, an improvement over what was seen in Africa.

      US jets were not available until after the war was over.

      The M2 Carbine is inherently not an assault rifle. That is not a matter of controversy but rather of fact. The M2 is firing a pistol calibre, it fits in the submachine gun category. An assault rifle is defined by having an intermediate cartridge that has performance somewhat similar to that of a high powered battle rifle. In other words effective at hundreds of yards.

      The Red Army victory in the East was completely enabled by the US. US manufactured high grade steel was used to manufacture T-34 tanks. US food and US manufactured trucks were absolutely critical to the Red Army. The US P-39 was the Red Army's most effective (and beloved) tank busting aircraft. Ongoing US support was necessary for a Red Army victory. If stalemate in the west led to an armistice that ended such US support Red Army victory is also no longer a sure thing.

      Seriously, the greatest thing the Allies had going for it was Hitler's meddling. Even in the East. 800,000 troops lost, nearly a thousand aircraft, 500 tanks, all for a target only important to Hitler, a symbolic target. Stalingrad was not even a target for the Army planners, they wanted all their southern forces to go for the caucasus' oil fields. Hitler ordered the southern force split and Stalingrad attacked. His loss was the turning point for the Red Army. Without his meddling, if the full force had gone for the oil fields at Baku, the Red Army might have been severely weakened by the loss of Baku, not to mention the German's strengthened by avoiding the pointless loss at Stalingrad. Red Army victory in the east was no more of a sure thing in WW2 than US/UK/Can victory in the west. Hitler's meddling being key to the turning points of D-Day and Stalingrad.

    93. Re:It's wrong because... by perpenso · · Score: 1

      Yes Hitler's control over the Army was not as absolute as many think. However this lack of absolute control mainly manifested in what one might call "illegal orders", "war crimes". An officer/soldier who refused to obey may be quietly transferred or get away with it. Summary execution often not possible, a formal proceeding also not practical due to the need to document the order refused. However when it came to "legal orders" the story was quite different. Then that old school follow the orders of the **legal** government authority came into play, even if one personally disagreed with those orders. Stalingrad is a great example, the turning point of the war in the east. The Army planners did not think the city important. They wanted their entire southern force to go for the oil fields of the Caucuses. Hitler's personal meddling spit this force and made Stalingrad a target, resulting in the loss of over 800,000 troops, 1,000 aircraft, 500 tanks and probably the failure to take the oil fields or at least deny them to the Soviets. Denying those oil fields to the Soviets, avoiding the losses of Stalingrad, may have transformed the war in the east. Red Army victory no longer a sure thing. So yes, Hitler's meddling was critical.

    94. Re:It's wrong because... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Yup. The T-34 might not have been the best but it was damned good and cheap as well as, after some work, fairly easy to maintain. For a while they were leaving them on the side of the road but then the tankers went into the factories (many of them) and learned to maintain the tanks while they were being built. They often drove from the factory to the front.

      I think (I'm not entirely sure) they count Normandy as the largest amphibious landing because more went in at one time. I do think that more went in, in total, at Okinawa but I'd not swear to it.

      It's okay, I seem to recall that the Me-262 should *not* have been first because some English dude, who's name I do not know, had invented it before hand - like in the mid 30s, and had been shut down and told it would not work. I've seen a video of him staging an example of an accident he had in his workshop. I should make it clear - I'm *not* a historian, by any means. I am, however, an enthusiastic watcher of documentaries and reading but (and this is important) those are done for *entertainment* and not for scholarly pursuits. I make no effort to memorize things. I make no effort to learn dates, spelling, or any of that. I'm purely a curious person who's amused by strange things. Things most others find boring. (I often prefer the drier documentaries that are saturated with details.)

      There's an excellent documentary called Secrets of War - Hirohito's War. It actually gets into some of the actual uncovered records. The Russians had stomped down and were kicking the snot out of Japan (even after they surrendered) and taking anything from islands to prisoners. This meant they lost the manufacturing base in Manchuria. Japan has been bombed into rubble and losing their manufacturing, raw materials, and the likes meant that Hirohito was told (by one of the generals - Army, I think) that the war was over. They still vied for an armistice but then the news of the actual damage from the bombs reached them. So, it wasn't the bomb exclusively. I might have worded that a bit better. :/

      Same series as before. The German's giant gun (I don't believe they could rifle that type of barrel) did have a name, as I recall. That series mentions it - Secrets of War. I'll get you a link when I'm done typing this. :D I suspect you'll like it but I'll give some caveats.

      The 88 was quite nice, however. It was able to take out even the T-35 from something like 1500 yards as I recall. Their small arms? Oh, wow... Those are awesome. I can't spell 'em (it's entertainment and not scholarly) but they had some beautiful weapons including the first real (or at least really good) assault rifle that was easy to lug around and use to put a lot of lead down range. I'm not impressed with most of their pistols except the Walther makes. I seem to recall the AK-47 is largely based on one of the German assault rifles. Sturmgevehr (I have no idea how to spell it, I really shouldn't even try it) and Machinapistola (again, I'm butchering that) were rather nice, or so I'm told. I've never had the chance to use either.

      The Mosquito was awesome. Have you looked into its history? You post indicates you know about it, at least a little. What a beautiful little critter. I have a beautiful wood shop and can really appreciate the craftsmanship that went into them. I'd almost say it was my favorite WWII plane but I'd be lying. That would be the B-17G. Why the G? Dude... 13 .50 cal rifles on it. I don't even care if it flies. That's just awesome! (Actually, they flew pretty well and were really good at still being flown after suffering heavy damage. I don't care. THIRTEEN .50 CAL! That makes it awesome because I've the maturity of a five year old.) The Mosquito is on the list for a variety of reasons including it having some stealth(y-ish) capacity, speed, materials, functionality, etc...

      Anyhow... The documentary! There are something like 70 episodes (maybe more) but this list has some repeats.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    95. Re:It's wrong because... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      However, it very much wasn't worth a headline, it was a potentially interesting anomaly at most.

      Hence my last line: "What gets it into the papers is probably a University press officer who has to keep on putting out press releases to keep their job."
      There was a vast amount of hate for the press people at a university materials science department I worked at.

    96. Re:It's wrong because... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      We have +14 degrees C right now in my town. Clear sky and sun (that is not that unusual, but in older times decembers where notorious "gray" and between rainy and snowy). However the "normal" temperature would be something like -3 C. Some years it was already -10 C around this time of the winter. The real cold time used to start around the beginning of January. But I guess it will hardly hit 0C this year.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  2. Media all about agendas and headlines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately science has been caught up in political agendas and media trying to create interesting headlines. People talk about stories fitting the narrative and its clear sometimes science is trying to do the same. Twisting words is a lot easier then twisting numbers. Science is based on facts and figures, not hope and predictions. You cannot simply use numbers you like and ignore numbers you don't like. That's a lot like telling a story based only on some facts and ignoring others. Simple because you create a false narrative when you do not paint the whole picture.

  3. It's not just science... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Journalism is a shambles these days. Democracy can't function without ethical journalism and we've got very little, hence the state of things. People terrified in their homes when the US is safer then ever. Obama is a muslim, Trump thinks all mexicans are rapists - this kind of intellectual dishonesty has real and serious consequences.

  4. scientific consensus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    "Scientific consensus" is an oxymoron. If you don't understand why, then you are not following the scientific method.

    1. Re:scientific consensus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If you don't understand why science should reach a consensus then you clearly don't understand the scientific method.

    2. Re:scientific consensus by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And if you think scientific consensus is an oxymoron, then you don't understand how science works at all. This idea that science is nothing more than a pack of edifice-building conspirators being toppled by a few brave sacred cow tippers is absurd and demonstrates a complete ignorance of how science works, and how scientists interact. Providing all concerned understand that a well supported and accepted theory still remains a theory, and it's "truth" is provisional, there is absolutely nothing wrong with consensus.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re: scientific consensus by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If by consensus you mean scientists with the same opinion, you are wrong, this is not scientific method.
      If by consensus you mean scientists reaching the same results by running repeatable experimets and through observable and contrastable data, you are wrong, this is not consensus.

    4. Re:scientific consensus by Cinnamon+Beige · · Score: 1

      And if you think scientific consensus is an oxymoron, then you don't understand how science works at all. This idea that science is nothing more than a pack of edifice-building conspirators being toppled by a few brave sacred cow tippers is absurd and demonstrates a complete ignorance of how science works, and how scientists interact. Providing all concerned understand that a well supported and accepted theory still remains a theory, and it's "truth" is provisional, there is absolutely nothing wrong with consensus.

      The problem is that, to borrow your imagery, consensus in humans is very prone to go about anointing cows and loathe afterwards to turn them into hamburgers when necessary: the conditional you give is a very good one, but there's every reason to believe that unless we change something fundamental in how we view science, it'll never be safe to trust that the majority do more than think this is what they believe right up until they have to deal with even potentially slaughtering their pet sacred cow. This is probably a result of how we generally think of science--we overall think of it as a way to find The Truth, as opposed to gradually approximate a potentially-unknowable truth.

      When it comes to how science is reported, this along with such other gems of scientism such as the 'science will majykally* fix/destroy everything' are too common in their explicit and/or implicit forms, and we really don't talk as much as we ought about the problems posed by scientism.

    5. Re:scientific consensus by erapert · · Score: 1

      Obviously. And nobody disagrees with that.

      Except that "X% of $Y scientists agree about $Z; and that's why you're wrong" really boils down to an assertion that what's "accepted" is True, not theoretical, and is proven to be True because of the consensus. And this argument is used frequently concerning certain theories and problems that are in the public eye these days.

      You may not be one of the people using this argument. Real scientists probably don't use this argument. But it is trotted out frequently by people who have a virtue-signalling or intelligence-signalling agenda. Just look around /. if you don't believe me.

    6. Re:scientific consensus by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      we really don't talk as much as we ought about the problems posed by scientism.

      Probably because there is no such thing.

    7. Re:scientific consensus by Cinnamon+Beige · · Score: 1

      Wikipedia, Merriam-Webster, and American Association for the Advancement of Science, among others, disagree with the claim you just made, and that's just picking some of the hits from using Google.

  5. Because hype sells more papers than truth by penguinoid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Also, journalists have become corrupt little trolls, trolls matching exactly the "throw something out there and see if anyone will bite" definition.

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    1. Re:Because hype sells more papers than truth by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      That's a mistatement. The problem is that controversy and conflict drives page hits and viewership. so their is a strong economic incentive to present sensational headline, not inciteful journalism. Fix the economic incentives, and you'd get better journalism. Like I say about most of the disreputable aspects of our culture: If there was no demand, there would be no supply. We're evolving into creatures with a 15-second attention span; nobody wants to listen to a long, drawn out reasoned debate with ample supporting evidence. They just one to hear someone shout "Make 'Merica great again! Yeaaaaaaaaaah!"

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    2. Re:Because hype sells more papers than truth by hawkfish · · Score: 2

      That's a mistatement. The problem is that controversy and conflict drives page hits and viewership. so their is a strong economic incentive to present sensational headline, not inciteful journalism.

      Speaking of misstatements, I think you meant "insightful". Inciteful journalism is the problem you are pointing out!

      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    3. Re:Because hype sells more papers than truth by Kjella · · Score: 1

      That's a mistatement. The problem is that controversy and conflict drives page hits and viewership. so their is a strong economic incentive to present sensational headline, not inciteful journalism.

      Yes, but that was primarily front page news since once you'd bought the newspaper you had it. The rest had to be interesting enough to not appear just as filler, but not really more than that either. And you weren't in a second-to-second competition to bring out the most rushed, poorly fact-checked rumor/story, it came out once a day or at most twice a day. A lot of what you're seeing is exactly like it were, except everything now has to be headline news to get the clicks.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    4. Re:Because hype sells more papers than truth by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
      Neil Postman has an interesting take on this. It's not so much a concerted effort on the part of trolls, but by the inherent nature of the medium itself. Take television vs newspaper for example. I recently found a newspaper of Kennedy's assassination in a box of old papers. It's pages and pages of dense tiny text and allows for in depth detailed analysis.

      Television, by its very nature cannot do this. No one would listen to three hours of minutia of some guy reading a report and would insead turn the channel to watch the Flinstones. So the news has to be dumbed down an filled with color animation to stay relevant. What happens when this goes on for a couple of generations? Eventually you are left with a populace incapable of articulate thought.

      Then what?

  6. Reporters are dim by mveloso · · Score: 2

    Science reporting is bad because reporters are lazy and rewrite press releases.

    If they did simple things, like looked at absolute numbers instead of percentages, or understood absolute and relative risks, or even understood statistics they might do a better job. But that requires math and statistical knowledge, both of which are hard for reporters. If they could do those they wouldn't have been reporters.

    Maybe they could apply some critical thinking skills too? Although a reporter with no credentials probably wouldn't get real far down that path.

    1. Re:Reporters are dim by peragrin · · Score: 1

      Ah but there are times when relative numbers make better sense than absolute numbers.

      However both should be given next to each other. Very few people realize we have a 4 trillion dollar budget and then worry about 5 million dollar spendin while ignoring 100 billion in spending.

      That is like counting pennies and then eating out at five star restaurants every night

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    2. Re:Reporters are dim by hey! · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Science reporting is bad because reporters are lazy and rewrite press releases.

      Science reporting is bad because major news outlets have eliminated their budget for people who can do more than this. Thirty years ago many US daily newspapers had dedicated science reporters who put out a weekly "science" section for the paper and covered big science stories as they arose. These reporters had a high degree of familiarity with science topics because this was their beat. The dedicated science journalist and the weekly science supplement are well on their way to becoming extinct.

      This is part of a general shift away from expensive, financially speculative "shoe leather journalism" toward cheap, profitable "opinion journalism". This is why on breaking news stories you'll see broadcast news services filling up time with frank speculation, which is the cheapest to produce kind of "information" there is. The intersection of slashed news-gathering capability and a 7x24 news cycle leaves them in a situation like having a half pat of butter to spread on a whole loaf of bread.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    3. Re:Reporters are dim by jbengt · · Score: 1

      I just saw something similar in an ad on TV for a cancer drug (for a particular type of cancer). The narrator authoritatively stated that this new drug was proven to increase survival rates compared to standard chemotherapy. Then the fine print briefly flashed at the bottom of the screen, which let you know that 50% of patients on regular chemotherapy lived 6 months, while 50% of those on the new drug lived a little over 9 months. It said nothing about comparing side effects or comparing the percentage of patients surviving 5 years, or even 1 year.

    4. Re:Reporters are dim by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Reporters are too busy with Critical Theory skills to bother with critical thinking skills.

    5. Re:Reporters are dim by mjwx · · Score: 1

      This is part of a general shift away from expensive, financially speculative "shoe leather journalism" toward cheap, profitable "opinion journalism". This is why on breaking news stories you'll see broadcast news services filling up time with frank speculation, which is the cheapest to produce kind of "information" there is. The intersection of slashed news-gathering capability and a 7x24 news cycle leaves them in a situation like having a half pat of butter to spread on a whole loaf of bread.

      This.

      I know a few journo's, they've all switched careers to marketing (or corporate communications if you prefer) because it was a more honest career.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  7. Often funny. by ls671 · · Score: 1

    It is often funny to read about any topic as reported by journalists when you actually know a little about the topic.

    The funniest one I can remember is a guy saying on the news that the Oklahoma bomber had just been identified as "John Doe". The poor guy really believed his name was John Doe. That journalist has committed suicide since. Go figure...

    --
    Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
  8. "Journalists" stopped being journalists years ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When you chase any story for "ratings", you're doing it wrong. Just report the facts and stop trying to write fiction. All we have today are a bunch of short story writers who base their story on some truth but try to sensationalize the story to sell more papers, commercials, etc.

    You write entertainment, not news, which is not the way it used to be. Unfortunately the true news journalists are either dead or retired.

  9. That's how Science Works by NReitzel · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It is unfortunate that in this day and age, it is necessary to explain how science works, and why it is different from other belief systems.

    First science is a belief system. The fundamental axiom of science is that an objective reality exists, is independent of the observer, and that by investigation, truths about that reality can be discovered.

    What makes it work is that progress in science depends critically on getting it wrong. A couple hundred years ago, people were looking at fire (Fire's Cool), and wondering how it works. Deep thinkers thought deeply about it, and came up with a hypothesis: There was this stuff, phlogiston, that escaped into the air and that was why fire burned, and why stuff that burned mostly disappeared. Good theory.

    Then some pesky scientists - who were trying to put numbers to how much phlogiston was in different things - discovered that if you sealed up stuff, so air couldn't get in or out, and burned something, the weight was exactly the same. Hmm. The scientists first concluded that they had captured phlogiston. Great, let's figure ot what it is. Except that burning different things, led to different kinds of phlogiston. The science was a little wrong.

    New experiments brought new results. Burning magnesium led to a weight gain, not a loss, so maybe it captured phlogiston. If that were true, then the ash (calx) should burn, right? More phlogiston! Except that it would not. More problems.

    To shorten what could be a very long story, in 1774 or thereabouts, two scientists separately and independently came up with a more correct explanation, something to do with oxygen. In 200 years, their explanation has not yet been found to be fundamentally wrong.

    Science moves forward by being wrong. A theory is presented, scientists test it's limits, and if there are things that are wrong, they are made better. The process repeats. Every time a mistake is found, every time science is wrong, it gets better. It's like a fine wine, it improves with age. Also, like a fine wine, it is not democratic. The fact that a whole lot of people seem to prefer that Thunder-stuff wine, does not make it a fine wine. The fact that a lot of people disagree with a scientific principle does not make it wrong, just unpopular.

    Why is so much science wrong? Well, Homer, that's how it works.

    --

    Don't take life too seriously; it isn't permanent.

    1. Re:That's how Science Works by fermion · · Score: 1
      I don't know that there is objective reality, but there is a self consistent set of approximations we can use to predict specific outcomes for certain situations, and when those predictions are met we have created a reliable reality in which we can live. For instance our ability to get from point A to point B in a car depends on the prediction of science being accurate.

      However, as the parent mentioned, science has to move through many iterations before a reality is exposed. Furthermore, in studies like health 'science' there is no way to reliably establish a domain, and many of the researchers are trained as technicians, not scientists. This leads to the production of overly bread results and a lack of nuance when presenting to the media.

      But I don't think that scientist, no matter how ill trained, are really the problem here. It is that most people think that once a 'truth' is known it does represent reality. We can blame religion for that. Most people don't know that a single data point, a single paper, is a guess. That it can take years of research for a paper to prove it has shown a novel concept that reasonably reflects the reality we live. Even a highly cited paper is not necessarily valid.

      A second issue is domain. Reporters need to understand that results only reflect the conditions under which the study was made. For example, autism is pretty much only studied in boys. This means that any result only applies to boys, and we really don't know that much about autism in girls. Statements that girls don't have autism, or only present at smaller rates, is completely irresponsible. We don't know. And that is the real difference between a scientist and a researcher. The ability to say we don't know.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    2. Re:That's how Science Works by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      And just how many scientific theories are outright wrong? Yes, there are abandoned claims like phlogiston and phrenology, but I question if you could ever call any of them "scientific". I can think of a few; non-tectonic plate geological models that proved wrong, alternatives to Big Bang cosmology which were demonstrated to be wrong (although elements of the steady state model remain in the form of the Cosmological Constant). In general, elements of theories are shown to be wrong or inadequate, and you are right that theories are refined. But scientific theories themselves are rarely outright shown to be wrong. The worst fate seems to be what happened to Newtonian mechanics, which were subsumed in Relativity and ended up becoming a still useful set of calculations for non-relativistic velocities, more than adequate to land probes on Mars or put humans on the Moon.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    3. Re:That's how Science Works by Princeofcups · · Score: 1

      It is unfortunate that in this day and age, it is necessary to explain how science works, and why it is different from other belief systems.

      First science is a belief system. The fundamental axiom of science is that an objective reality exists, is independent of the observer, and that by investigation, truths about that reality can be discovered.

      Philosophically incorrect, but a common misconception. To paraphrase Bohr, science is NOT how the universe works. It is what we can say about how the universe works. Repeatability under varying conditions drives science. That does not imply that other conditions and results could not exist, only that we currently do not see them. Think of classical mechanics and a solid sphere, to atomic physics and the atoms that compose that sphere, and particle physics and quantum mechanics that describe the structure of the atom. Classical mechanics is perfectly sound under macroscopic conditions, but that does not make it the entire truth. Science never looks for absolutes, only incremental glimpses of the unknowable (to not get too metaphysical).

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    4. Re:That's how Science Works by swillden · · Score: 1

      Yes, there are abandoned claims like phlogiston and phrenology, but I question if you could ever call any of them "scientific".

      Why not? They (well, phlogiston, at least) were reasonable hypotheses based on observations, with considerable explanatory power that produced lots of testable predictions. That's exactly what you want in a scientific hypothesis. The fact that phlogiston theory was wrong doesn't mean it wasn't scientific.

      The worst fate seems to be what happened to Newtonian mechanics, which were subsumed in Relativity and ended up becoming a still useful set of calculations for non-relativistic velocities, more than adequate to land probes on Mars or put humans on the Moon.

      But not to operate a Global Positioning System. Newton's theories are wrong. In terms of calculations the degree of wrongness is slight in most circumstances, but in terms of explanations of what's going on underneath the calculations Newton was completely wrong. Gravitational "force" does not, in fact, exist!

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    5. Re:That's how Science Works by dbIII · · Score: 1

      but I question if you could ever call any of them "scientific"

      Phlogiston works for the mass balance in a lot of different reactions, so yes it was. It did not fit things like the example above and the oxidation of iron so it was thrown out almost overnight when this was established - hence practical science instead of dogma.

    6. Re:That's how Science Works by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      Gravitational "force" does not, in fact, exist!

      It is capable of inducing acceleration, therefore it exists. That's what "force" means.

  10. My 2c by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I use to have a job editing and translating news pieces from a well-known American newspaper into an Asian language for the local readers. Due to my science background, I was frequently assigned the science news. I didn't need to deal with the journalists directly but I worked with the editors.

    Those guys were good and intelligent people to work with, but most of them lacked a science background. I had to do rounds of push and pull with the scientific bits. Translating the English word "space" as in relativistic space-time was not the same as translating it in the context of flying to the earth orbit, and I needed to tell them about it. And while I sometimes added my tiny clarifications to the originally unclear message (read: journalist crap), I had to write much longer notes for them.

    Also, they were more concerned with the readers' psychological response than scientific rigor. I might have preferred a technically correct way of saying things, but they pointed out that it didn't fit very nicely into the general tone and style of the whole website (not just the article's, but their "overall" style). Very good points, but at first both of us were surprised by each other. We learned to work it out, taking compromises, and I tried to influence them, with limited success.

    The moral was that journalists have vastly different priorities compared with a science/tech writer. They may do a good job of notifying the public, but informing, not so much. They paint an image of what it looks and feels like, in a kinda impressionist way, but reading it for education is like studying Monet's lilyponds for botany. The good ones will provide link to sources so the interested reader can dig deeper and judge by himself. The poor ones sell clickbaits.

  11. Multiple reasons by infernalC · · Score: 2

    Part of the problem is that most scientists are not journalists, and most journalists are not scientists. If a journalist takes enough time to become an expert in the scientific field he is reporting on, it isn't likely that he will ever come to market with his product, the reports, in a timely enough fashion to actually make a living on it.

    Part of the problem is that many scientists lack the literary skill to communicate effectively with laypeople, and have to rely too much on journalists who don't have the competence needed to report on the subject material.

    Another problem is that the proletariat crave the truth... the conclusions. As a mathematician, I reject the notion that empirical science determines truth. Yes, you can craft an experiment with reproducible results, but your results will still be just empirical observations. If you do a study, and find out that there is approximately a 78% correlation between wearing blue sweaters and getting hives, and that this result was reproduced three times given blah blah , then report that. Don't report that blue sweaters cause hives. Oh wait, the only thing the public cares about is what caused the hives... they have no appreciation for the results being what they are. The public wants to extrapolate conclusions only.

    I like mathematics. Assuming a few axioms, prove something. What you then have is truth.

    1. Re:Multiple reasons by MrKrillls · · Score: 1

      I suspect that a lot of journalists have a very weak "sense of number". Reading endless science stories in the popular press, I keep getting the feeling that numeracy is no part of a journalistic education. So much modern science is entwined with mathematics that the lack of a sense of number would make even superficial understanding near impossible.

      --
      Don't step on the baby.
  12. You're asking the question wrong... by VeritasRoss · · Score: 2

    Why is so much reported _anything_ wrong? The media wants to come across as the trusted expert on everything, but the truth is they don't know squat about anything.

    --
    If my post were a car, this sig would be its bumper-sticker.
  13. Finally! by Sir+Holo · · Score: 1

    Well, at least someone with a loud voice has finally said it.

    Journalists need(ed) to fill column-space, and have to get readers' attention. But although it is difficult to get a high-end concept through to them — they won't come back with a galley proof for you to check — the more common result is the journalist "spicing up" the words, without really understanding that they are changing the meaning.

    That and flying cars. Everyone wants to believe in flying cars.

  14. Science Reporting by Jason+Levine · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Short Answer: Obligatory PHD Comics: The Science New Cycle

    Longer Answer: Reporters know "Scientists have found that X is weakly correlated with an increase in Y. More studies will clarify whether this is correlation, causation, or whether the first study was incorrect." won't generate views (or sell papers for the old school newspaper folks in the house). Instead "X found to cause Y" is a much better headline for generating more views. Even better is clickbait like "You won't believe the horrible things X has been found to cause!" So reporters go for the most sensational spin on the scientific study in order to get more views.

    The side effect of this is a mistrust of scientists who "can't make up their minds." After all, today it's being reported that "X directly leads to Y, scientists 100% sure." Tomorrow, though, the reporting says "X shown to have no effect on Y!" The actual details of the studies don't matter. It doesn't matter that this is how science works (someone tests a theory, proves or disproves it, and then others try to replicate it). It doesn't matter that science "changing its mind" isn't a weakness, but a strength of science. All that matters is that the headlines changed so scientists must not know what they're doing. Luckily, the local creationist/anti-vax proponent/homeopath/etc says they know what's what and they insist that they would never change their story.

    --
    My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
  15. ...or anything? by matbury · · Score: 1

    Why pick on science reporting? How much of the media's reporting on other topics is thorough, diligent, balanced, and representative of the real world? I guess lousy science reporting is easier to identify because people who are science literate tend to read it and complain loudly.

  16. Not just science reporting. by real+gumby · · Score: 1

    Really all reporting suffers from the same problems. Do you think the reporting on, say, ISIS is any less sensationalist or distorted. The mechanisms and incentives are the same.

  17. Re:"Journalists" stopped being journalists years a by turbidostato · · Score: 1

    "When you chase any story for "ratings", you're doing it wrong"

    The paycheck I get by the end of the week begs to differ.

  18. Citation [Re:It's wrong because...] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 4, Informative

    As to Creationists, well, they are the prototypical pseudoscientists, and much of the anti-science strategy used by the tobacco and fossil fuel industries to attack science is largely lifted from the hard work Creationists put into attacking biology.

    Cite please?

    The most comprehensive citation would be the book The Merchants of Doubt: http://www.amazon.com/Merchant...
    But you could start here: http://scienceblogs.com/denial...

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Citation [Re:It's wrong because...] by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      Oreskes? Really?

      The Master spin doctor lunatic from the chruch of climate science is your reference? Read her papers, thats where you will find the pseudoscience.

      No one believes the creationists except for those already inclined and indoctrinated into the crazy churches. Why? Because its bat shit crazy.

      Some did believe the tobacco industry, and to be honest, many doctors did too for a long time. Not to mention that the second hand smoke studies are not all that convincing and arent really conclusive. In any case, it took time to get to the right conclusions about smoking, not just because of the tobacco industry, but because it was and still is such a big part of peoples lives.

      Now about the oil industry... though I'm sure there is some misinformation being pushed by them, there is much more by the Greenpeace movement, the highly ignorant Sierra foundation and the other likes it (350.org funded by the Rockefeller's) etc.

      What allot forget is that our modern society exists because of cheap energy. The only reason we are here, with this level of technology, education, leisure, etc... is cheap energy. The only reason women can work on an equal footing and be educated, cheap energy. Anything about our modern society can be brought back to cheap energy and the industrial revolution.

      So yes, it will take quite a bit of convincing for most people that oil is a bad thing.

    2. Re:Citation [Re:It's wrong because...] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

      You're mixing two different arguments here.

      What allot forget is that our modern society exists because of cheap energy.

      Nobody is forgetting that. But it is irrelevant to the point. The point being made was that the anti-science strategy used to cast doubt on climate science uses the techniques previously used by the tobacco companies and before that by the creationists to cast doubt on science.

      So yes, it will take quite a bit of convincing for most people that oil is a bad thing.

      nevertheless the strategies used to cast doubt on climate science are the same techniques previously used by the tobacco companies and creationists.

      If you don't like those references, there are plenty more. The techniques used are the same, and in some cases, the actual people are the same as well.

      http://www.skepticalscience.co...
      http://www.psmag.com/nature-an...
      http://www.earthmagazine.org/a...

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    3. Re:Citation [Re:It's wrong because...] by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      I am not mixing anything.

      When something has benefits and drawbacks, its important to weight them against each other. Making decisions without considering the impacts is irresponsible.

      Now, you'll say we have thought of all this, but I don't agree.

      About your links... I'm not saying there aren't some that where part of the tobacco misinformation and creationists too who are part of the climate skeptics, but they arent alone.

      Again one of your links SKS is one of the worst propaganda sites around. If you cant see that SKS is spin, propaganda and bullshit, then there is no point in discussing with you as you will never open your eyes. No matter how smart and what credentials you have.

      There is something very wrong with climate science, the UN IPCC bureaucratic organisation, the IMF, the corruption of the peer review system and of public science funding. Its dangerous and it should worry everyone.

    4. Re:Citation [Re:It's wrong because...] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

      I am not mixing anything. When something has benefits and drawbacks, its important to weight them against each other. Making decisions without considering the impacts is irresponsible.

      But the discussion wasn't about "benefits and drawbacks," nor even about making decisions. It was a single, very specific point: anonymous coward asked for a citation for a statement that "the anti-science strategy used by the tobacco and fossil fuel industries to attack science is largely lifted from the hard work Creationists put into attacking biology", and I provided some citations-- five of them, in fact.

      If you don't like the citations, that's your prerogative. Feel free to research the point and find your own set of references that either support or contradict the thesis.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    5. Re:Citation [Re:It's wrong because...] by dbIII · · Score: 1

      What allot forget is that our modern society exists because of cheap energy

      In many ways due directly to the science that is being denied. Fossil fuels got their name from somewhere and the Creationists hate that. Geology was about the first thing to be denied. Remote sensing is another thing that is being ignored when reality doesn't match the politics. Like it or not, the science that is delivering that cheap energy is tied up too tightly with the science of climate to be able to throw one away without the other.

      So yes, it will take quite a bit of convincing for most people that oil is a bad thing.

      That's only an issue because of a childish attitude to cost/benefit situations. We call some items "goods" because Adam Smith spoke of cost/benefit in terms of "goods" and "bads", but PR efforts make us ignore the "bads" and try to force us into a childish accepting and thoughtless state. Like everything oil comes at a cost. Whether it is worth it or not depends on the situation.

  19. The Simple Reason... by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...is that journalists generally don't know what they are talking about when it comes to science. They live in a world of politics and history, and they often even screw those up. It is generally accepted that, as a journalist, you don't really need to know the details of something, since an expert can explain it to you.

    That said, science journalism, as bad as it is now, is still a lot better than in the 1970s. Then, they really didn't know anything. That's why you get stupid articles in Time and Newsweek about "global cooling" and the "coming ice age", even though actual scientists like Carl Sagan are rolling their eyes at the stupidity of journalists.

    1. Re:The Simple Reason... by Foobar+of+Borg · · Score: 1

      even though actual scientists like Carl Sagan are rolling their eyes

      considering the man died almost 20 years ago, that would be an interesting scientific phenomenon indeed.

      Sorry, I should have said "were" not "are". I was talking about the 1970s, after all. You can look, for example, at an episode of Cosmos where he discusses horoscopes and the state of science journalism. His criticism is actually rather understated and polite give how bad science journalism was then.

  20. What is scientific consensus by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 3, Informative

    "consensus" is a summarizing word.

    What it means is that science does not actually consist of one scientist doing something and announcing a result.

    It's science when that scientist convinces other scientists using evidence and clear, step by step reasoning that their theory is right.

    Any nut can announce a theory, and tell the world how groundbreaking it is-- and many do. The hard part of science is filling in the details, so that you can show your work to other scientists and have them understand it and believe it. That's science.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:What is scientific consensus by nine-times · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's science when that scientist convinces other scientists using evidence and clear, step by step reasoning that their theory is right.

      Well... honestly, no, that's not science. If you look at attempts to formalize the scientific method, you probably won't see a step that is, "convince other people", and there's a reason for that. The process of convincing other people is political, and not really a scientific process.

      Now there's a good reason people talk about reaching a scientific consensus, which implies that they're reaching a consensus on a scientific concept by using scientific evidence. The word "scientific" here is a modifier to indicate the subject matter. It's like saying, "I'm going to a scientific lecture at school." It doesn't make lectures part of the scientific method, it just indicates the kind of lecture you're going to.

      Science is not a body of canonized knowledge. It's not "the collection of all ideas that you can convince scientists of." Science is a process that aims to develop certainty based on empirical evidence, regardless of whether you can convince a single other person.

    2. Re:What is scientific consensus by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

      Well... honestly, no, that's not science. If you look at attempts to formalize the scientific method, you probably won't see a step that is, "convince other people",

      If you look more carefully, yes, you do see that step. It is sometimes phrased differently, but it's always there.

      For example, here's the UK science council listing of the scientific method http://www.sciencecouncil.org/... . The final step: "critical exposure to scrutiny, peer review and assessment"
      In other words: convince other scientists.

      Science is not a body of canonized knowledge. It's not "the collection of all ideas that you can convince scientists of." Science is a process that aims to develop certainty based on empirical evidence, regardless of whether you can convince a single other person.

      Correct right up to the final clause. That's a mythologized vision of science. In real-world science, convincing other scientists of the validity of what you did absolutely is a critical part of the scientific method.

      If you can't explain it to others, and explain why it's valid and what the evidence is in a way to convince somebody other than yourself, no, it is not science.

      Yes, there are plenty of crazies who think otherwise, but real science relies on work being vetted and understood by more than one set of eyes.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    3. Re:What is scientific consensus by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, I guess what you want to say, but your logic and argumentation is flawed.

      What it means is that science does not actually consist of one scientist doing something and announcing a result.

      Sorry, here you are wrog. How I do my science in my cellar an if I or don't I publish it: it is still science.

      It's science when that scientist convinces other scientists using evidence and clear, step by step reasoning that their theory is right.
      No, that is marketing.

      Any nut can announce a theory, and tell the world how groundbreaking it is-- and many do. The hard part of science is filling in the details, That is nonsensense. hint: Newton, Einstein ...

      so that you can show your work to other scientists and have them understand it and believe it. That's science.
      That distinguishes the good teachers from the bad, not scientists amoung each other.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:What is scientific consensus by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      hint: Newton, Einstein ...

      What in the world are you talking about? Newton was the most famous scientist of his time; lionized for his work throughout Europe. He most certainly did publish his work, which "was received with the greatest admiration, not only by the foremost mathematicians and astronomers in Europe, but also by philosophers like Voltaire and Locke and by members of the educated public." (http://physics.ucsc.edu/~michael/newtonreception6.pdf ) And Einstein, likewise, published his theories, which were analyzed and accepted by the leading scientists of his day, starting with Max Planck.

      The idea that either of these scientist failed to get scientific consensus is nonsense. There were (and still are) a number of scientists who criticized their works-- but it was the critics, not Einstein nor Newton, whose work failed to gain consensus.

      The myth of a lone scientist whose work is not understood and is dismissed by mainstream science is exactly that: a myth.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    5. Re:What is scientific consensus by nine-times · · Score: 2

      The final step: "critical exposure to scrutiny, peer review and assessment" In other words: convince other scientists.

      So I'm not sure I'm ready to accept that web page as a definitive authority. I can understand if you get annoyed at that and say it's bullshit, but the fact is, it's just a political body making a claim at what they think science is, and I'm more concerned with what science has claimed to be over the past few centuries, as well as a logical view of what it makes sense for science to be. If convincing others is the end-point then the rest of the process is vaguely irrelevant.

      I don't know if you'll immediately grasp the meat of this objection, but if the convictions of other people is a requirement for science, then it kind of undermines the hopes at developing certain/reliable knowledge. It's like, "Investigate. Come up with a hypothesis. Run tests. Collect data. Analyze your data. Come to a conclusion. Now all of that is irrelevant, because it doesn't matter whether your experiments are designed well or executed well, whether your analysis was correct. What matters is the political process of getting a bunch of self-involved hairless monkeys to form a consensus that you're correct." You may as well skip all that experimentation stuff and just figure out how to be a better salesman. At that rate, cult leaders are great scientists, because the ultimate test of your theory is just whether or not you can convince a large group of people.

      And maybe the Science Council knows this, and that's why their last step is "exposure to scrutiny" rather than "convince others". Exposure to scrutiny only implies that other people are able to pick apart the experiment and look for problems, but it doesn't require explicitly require that everyone is immediately convinced. I'd agree that in the overall larger scheme of science, part of the process is "making my experiment public, allowing other people to perform their own tests and build off my what I've learned." However, I just think it's really screwing with the idea of science to require that people are generally convinced.

      And it might even be worse if you say, "Oh no, not people in general, but only scientists," because it sets up "scientists" to be a special class of priests that are "the keepers of truth". Science should not judged based on who performs the experiment or who reads the paper.

    6. Re:What is scientific consensus by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I did not say, they did not publish it.

      I said: publishing is irrelevant to make science science.

      The myth of a lone scientist whose work is not understood and is dismissed by mainstream science is exactly that: a myth.

      No it isn't. Einstein was such a guy. It took years that his theories got accepted.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:What is scientific consensus by Spinalcold · · Score: 1

      Well... honestly, no, that's not science. If you look at attempts to formalize the scientific method, you probably won't see a step that is, "convince other people", and there's a reason for that. The process of convincing other people is political, and not really a scientific process.

      Yes, that part of science is political but it is still part of the scientific process. You can't separate science from humanity, thus it is a CULTURE. That culture has many aspects, like the process you speak of, but part of it is convincing others that one theory is better than another. It effects, not only what is studied and funded, but what methods are favored and in the end taught.

      There was a great CBC program on this recently, I can't link to it directly cause for some stupid reason the internet filter at work thinks CBC is a bad site to visit... But it's on CBC Radio One, Ideas and called Knowledge and Democracy. A sociologist of science explains this very well.

    8. Re:What is scientific consensus by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Yes, that part of science is political but it is still part of the scientific process.

      Again, if you're using "scientific" as a sort of modifier to talk about the political/cultural process of passing down ideas, I'm fine with that. But science qua science should be focused on "What can I prove?" and not "What can I convince people of?"

    9. Re:What is scientific consensus by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Are you actually asking for "the [hope] at developing certain/reliable knowledge"? From science? You don't get that. In the 20th Century, a whole lot of fundamental concepts, like space, time, and causality, were found to be wanting. No knowledge is certain and/or reliable.

      Now, suppose you have an idea, come up with ways to test it, and run experiments to try to prove it wrong. This seems to be what you think of as science. That's only part of how science works. If you want to publish a scientific paper, you're going to have to convince some other people educated in the field that, at the very least, what you've done is not stupid. (Consider the phrase "not even wrong".) If you haven't published, you haven't advanced science.

      Mendel did a lot of good work, and came up with the basis of genetics. He then published in a really obscure journal. Nobody (to a first approximation) knew about it. Later on, two people/groups came up with genetics independently. The reason that I don't remember their names is that they did literature searches and found that Mendel published first, and made sure Mendel got the credit. However, what he did really didn't advance science, since nobody knew about genetics till other people figured it out independently.

      Once you get published, other people will look at what you've written (you hope, anyway, for the sake of your citation list if not for the reward of having advanced science). If you've gotten it wrong, people will figure that out and you'll be pretty much forgotten. If people really can't understand what you did, it's not going to do any good. If other people read your paper and think it's worth investigating, that's great for you.

      In other words, for you to accomplish anything, you have to get a lot of people convinced that your paper is worth something, either being mostly correct in itself or suggesting different approaches. If you are actually right (as far as anybody can figure it out), you will find other scientists agreeing with you. How many physicists do you know of who think there is no such thing as a photon? Biologists who disagree with Mendel's genetics? There are scientific consensuses, and we have to have them, since we can't advance if we can't generally agree on some subject of investigation and an idea of how to investigate it (see philosophy).

      Scientists are raised to be skeptical, so you're not going to convince them by being a salesman, nor by trying to recruit them into a religious cult. If you manage to do that, later generations of scientists will disregard your charisma and look at the evidence, and it will be corrected.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    10. Re:What is scientific consensus by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Are you actually asking for "the [hope] at developing certain/reliable knowledge"? From science? You don't get that. In the 20th Century, a whole lot of fundamental concepts, like space, time, and causality, were found to be wanting. No knowledge is certain and/or reliable.

      We can quibble about the exact working, but the point of the scientific method is the attempt to remove sources of assumption and error. Your model "Come up with an idea, test it a little, and then determine whether it's true by whether you can convince people," is basically superstition followed by a popularity contest.

      Scientists are raised to be skeptical, so you're not going to convince them by being a salesman, nor by trying to recruit them into a religious cult.

      Ah, so science is really about "scientists". There are a special group of "scientists" who are just too smart to be convinced of anything untrue, because of their special indoctrination. Therefore, we common people should just believe what these special priests... sorry, not priests, I mean scientists. We should just believe that what these special scientists tell us, on faith that they can't be mistaken or fooled.

      Sorry, no. Science is about the process, and not about a reliance on a special class of people to intuit truth.

    11. Re:What is scientific consensus by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Um, science is done by, um, I guess, scientists? Without scientists, there is no science. Science is a process primarily done by scientists, who are human.

      There is no special group of scientists who can't be convinced of anything untrue. Given the lack of that, we have to muddle through with humans. This means that scientists come up with ideas, test them, and then publish. These papers are read by other scientists. Nobody's going to believe the paper is correct just because of reading it. Scientists will come up with tests, and will do their level best to disprove what the paper has to say. If they can't, other scientists will come up with other tests. When something has been pounded on by lots of scientists, and still looks good, it's the nearest to truth that we can get.

      What this means is that nobody has confidence in it just because of one paper. Lots of scientists have to have a go at it before anybody's confident about it. This means that it arrives at being known as a good approximation of truth as a result of a process that ends in lots of scientists being convinced they don't have anything better. Salesmanship may work in the short term, although I'd doubt it, but it won't work long-term.

      So, someone intuiting an idea is the start of something. It isn't truth, because nothing scientific is true. It isn't accepted as probably true, although the scientist with the idea may believe it to be. (Einstein seemed to have strong ideas about how the Universe had to work, not all of which were right.) It needs lots of people trying to find out why the idea is wrong and failing, meaning lots of people become more or less convinced or accepting. Science isn't something that is normally practiced by individuals in isolation. Communication is very important.

      BTW, you could stuff firecrackers in all those straw men and light them at next Guy Fawkes day.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    12. Re:What is scientific consensus by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Compare this:

      Scientists are raised to be skeptical, so you're not going to convince them by being a salesman, nor by trying to recruit them into a religious cult.

      with this:

      Science is a process primarily done by scientists, who are human.

      Scientists are human, which means they can be convinced by good salesmen and charismatic leaders. No one is immune. And the phrase "scientists are raised to be skeptical" is just silly, as though scientists are a special group, raised from birth to be scientists. They're just people who decide to do some kind of science. There isn't even necessarily a consistent educational background. Anyone can do science, and anyone can be a scientist.

      So the decision of what's "good science" can't be based off of whatever some group of scientists find convincing, or else a bullshit artist selling bullshit can be "good science".

    13. Re:What is scientific consensus by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      A good salesman could perhaps manage to get something accepted for a short time. It won't last. It won't be easy, because scientists are trained to be skeptical, and have high sales resistance when looking at scientific ideas (they can be utter fools outside their field, like any other field). Scientists usually have a Ph.D. in their science, or at least an MS. This doesn't apply in new sciences like sabermetrics (making predictive models of baseball, such as finding the average number of runs scored in an inning with bases loaded and nobody out).

      There are also cases of scientists working hard on something and coming up with a wrong answer for perfectly good reasons. Phlogiston explained combustion nicely, and fit into observations very nicely until someone made a different sort of observation. Science changed to another model with much more predictive and explanatory power, and which has the virtue of agreeing more with the observations and the other virtue of fitting into a more general theory. Science is almost certainly wrong about some stuff, and we hope to find which stuff later. (There are areas where we just don't have science, such as quantum gravity.)

      However, if scientists agree on something, that means that a lot of highly intelligent and very knowledgeable skeptical people were convinced, so it's a good bet to be practically true.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  21. Science? by AnotherBlackHat · · Score: 1

    Most reporting is wrong.
    Reporters often don't care about what they are reporting about, don't do research on the subject, don't do fact checking or anything else that sounds like work.

    The only difference with science reporting is you can often tell how bad the reporters got the story.

  22. Re:FTFY: "Why Is Science Reported Wrong So Much" by ClickOnThis · · Score: 1

    Mod parent up. I was going to post the same thing.

    And yes, terribly ironic.

    [grammar nitpick: you meant "Reported Incorrectly"]

    --
    If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  23. Maybe it's not all about journalists by Pallas+Athena · · Score: 1

    While the author probably is very right about journalists being focused on 'surprising' and 'spectacular' results, there might also be a problem with the science itself. In an effort to reward 'good' researchers, scientists all over the world are caught in a rat-race to produce x papers each year. Now, while the goal is very noble, this is often at odds with the way science works. Sometimes experiments fail. Sometimes they just confirm what everyone already assumed. Sometimes results are not conclusive. Not something that gets you easily published in 'Nature'... but still your job depends on you publishing enough papers, each year again. That leads to situations where researchers themselves massaging their results. Leave out certain 'outliers', or 'forget' to mention something, and suddenly your result does get very significant! Bingo! According to some, up to 75% of all papers have applied some trick to get published. Of course, combining these embellished papers with the bias of journalists does lead to lots of interesting, but nonsense articles. And this comes from someone whose income depends on said research.

  24. Re:"Journalists" stopped being journalists years a by slew · · Score: 1

    I don't think you've learned the same history as I did...

    Historically, all research was done through private wealthy benefactors (not the government). That never really stopped. What happened is that governments started to fund some specific research. But this research was/is mostly contracts done using semi-private labs.

    The real turning point was when governments started funding their own universities and labs in the 19th century. But this is not the modern university research lab that you might be thinking about. Basically a quasi-religious institution that wasn't really open to the general public (elites only). The primary goal of these institutions was to train the bureaucracy. It wasn't until the early 20th century, you see the beginnings of the modern research university in Germany with a more scientific focus. By concentrating the resources of the state, they were able to finally become as influential as the private research labs.

    The German R&D model isn't really what you might think of it either. Take for instance the Fraunhofer Society. Although nominally a public institution, it conducts research with the goal of industrialization often on contract as it is primary funded by industry (e.g., using mostly private money, not public money). Perhaps ./-ers might be familiar with the MP3 audio compression development that has come out of Fraunhofer.

    Sure there are now also pure research university groups doing good research with pure public money, but it has never (and probably never will be) exclusively that way.

  25. Most reporting sucks, not just science by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Sturgeon's Law also applies to reporting in general.

    Our press is largely based on capitalism, and capitalism tries to maximize customers. This means hype and marketing tricks are used to get and keep customers. Accuracy and balance is secondary.

    The only solution is to get rid of capitalistic reporting. However, "socialistic" reporting has its own downsides, such as higher taxes, boring or bad writing, sluggish use of resources, and anti-capitalistic bias.

    But I have to say, the BBC is probably better than most commercial news overall. Perhaps because they are balanced by the need to partially compete with commercial news. Maybe the solution is to find a good balance between too much and too little competition.

  26. Simpler reason: no fact checking by slew · · Score: 2

    Fact checking and editing used to be the core of journalism.

    Now editorial staffing is pretty much non-existent in most publications. Even if it does exist, the disproportionate power of the "star" journalist has any rendered editorial oversight limp at best (e.g., Dan Rathers, Jayson Blair).

    Journalists used to cut their teeth with fact checking. Fact checkers were the checks-and-balances built into the historical journalism structure. Now with a publication paths that doesn't require them learning how to fact check (e.g., web publishing), budding journalists simultaneously are both inexperienced with fact checking and do not see any value in fact checking. Thus the facts that are reported suffer. That is the crux of the problem.

    We are probably simply reliving the days of yellow journalism (from the late 19th century). Some speculated the original outbreak had to do with circulation wars at the time. The more things change, the more they remain the same...

    Let's just hope a Pulitzer-Hearst war doesn't lead to a modern day Spanish-American War (if I can dabble in a little yellow journalism myself ;^)

  27. Next thing you'll be telling us.. by DaRanged · · Score: 1

    .. is that the Earth is Flat!

    1. Re:Next thing you'll be telling us.. by cwsumner · · Score: 1

      The Earth -is- flat, within the given working area, to the required level of accuracy.

      The rest is just mind games.

      Unless, of course, your given working area is larger. Like the Pacific ocean. Or Earth orbit. Then you need a different algorithm. 8-)

  28. Everything is wrong by Lost+Race · · Score: 1

    Reporters get science wrong because reporters get everything wrong. You notice it more when the subject is something you know well.

  29. Media degenerated into those who just "repeat" ... by perpenso · · Score: 1

    No, the populace isn't much to blame for the poor quality of work done by the media. The members of the media are to blame. The media has largely degenerated into a group that just repeats what others tell them. If they can find two people telling them the same thing they are good to go. Learning the subject matter enough to evaluate these people isn't really important anymore, doing their own investigations isn't really done that much anymore. Just get a couple of people to say the same thing, and if you can find two people to both say something controversial then "bonus points".

    And this is not specific to science. It happens with pretty much any topic. Pick any topic that you have some sort of depth of knowledge and experience and you will most likely find that the media is incredibly superficial and ill-informed. Keep this in mind when reading things on topics where you lack knowledge and experience.

    And don't try to take this into a political direction. There are plenty of science deniers at both ends of the political spectrum, both ends see things in terms of politics first and science second. Science that supports their politics embraced and science that conflicts with their politics is rejected, both the far left and far right do so.

  30. Re:Jesus fucking christ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    > So when you, like a full bore retard, go "Where?" IT IS IN THE FRIGGING POST YOU REPLIED DO, FUCKWIT!

    What a well thought out, well formed, and influencing argument.

    Come on, man!

  31. Pope initially defended Galileo over heliocentrism by perpenso · · Score: 1

    500 years ago scientists fought with the church wanting to control science, refuting heliocentrism.

    Oh? That would be why the guy who came up with the notion of heliocentrism was a Catholic Monk, right? Yes, Copernicus was a Dominican.

    You're probably thinking of that Galileo kerfluffle, where Galileo called the Pope an idiot in his book about heliocentrism, and the Pope got in a snit at being called a simpleton? Hint: Galileo got in trouble for calling the Pope an idiot, not for heliocentrism, which idea was developed by that aforementioned Dominican....

    Its interesting to note that this same Pope had defended Galileo long before this book was written, when Galileo was first advocating the notion of heliocentrism. The same Pope who at a later date asked him to write a book about heliocentrism.

  32. It did not take 15 years by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

    After some of the damage we have done in the last 15 years, I don't know if that's still the case.

    It's not and I was in the US and saw the change firsthand myself since it affected me. I was an RA with a US university and worked part of the time at Fermilab. When I started there in the late 1990's the senior European postdocs who were on the experiment I was on were all looking for faculty positions in the US. 4 years later, after the 11/9 attacks, almost every European postdoc, myself included, was looking to get out of the US at the earliest possible opportunity. I don't know any who were planning to stay.

    1. Re:It did not take 15 years by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      Why would you want to stay in the US regardless of 9/11 after the scsc was cancelled and cern was ramping up lhc? I knew half a dozen grad students pinning their theses on the scsc who transferred briefly to batavia before heading off to wall street.

  33. History shows scientists being part of the church by perpenso · · Score: 3, Informative

    Actually history shows scientists being part of the church for many centuries. Members of the clergy proposed and advanced heliocentrism, genetics, the big bang theory, the scientific method, etc. As another poster pointed out don't get confused by those who were persecuted mainly for political reasons, for mocking the pope. Also keep in mind that the fact that people within the church rejected various scientific discoveries at first is not something unique to religion. Many scientists are political in that they defend their turf, their field, their pet theories, their friends who have a stake in a competing theory. When many of the leading men of science rejected the Big Bang Theory they did so because it "smelled of creationism", the theory was put forward by a catholic priest at a catholic university, it didn't matter that this man was a world class physicist and astronomer trained at some of the most prestigious universities.

    At one time young PhD candidates were being told not to follow their interest and study string theory. That the consensus was against it and you will potentially damage your career.

    Men of science have their biases and politics, both men of science who are religious and men of science who are not religious.

  34. I hate that this is always said... by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 2

    without education of course...

    I see this "Not Educated" meme all the time. Mostly by nitwits (not accusing you of being one BTW) who think because they are "Well Read/Literate" that means that their "Education" is complete and anyone who is not has "No Education". Nothing could be further from the truth. People who are illiterate are not "Uneducated" for the most part (especially in the past). They had more practical education. Most of the so-called modern, literate, educated populace would quickly starve to death if nearly everything they needed to survive weren't provided to them by seemingly less educated peers. The idea that somehow "Literate Education" is the only meaningful/useful educate is complete nonsense.

    1. Re:I hate that this is always said... by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      I see this "Not Educated" meme all the time. Mostly by nitwits (not accusing you of being one BTW) who think because they are "Well Read/Literate" that means that their "Education" is complete and anyone who is not has "No Education". Nothing could be further from the truth. People who are illiterate are not "Uneducated" for the most part (especially in the past).

      These types of statements are usually only made by people who have not had much education, and really don't know what they have missed. Yes, "uneducated" people have some education, but it is, by definition, very little and could be picked up with a few weeks of study. The reverse is not true.

      Most of the so-called modern, literate, educated populace would quickly starve to death if nearly everything they needed to survive weren't provided to them by seemingly less educated peers

      Most of the so-called "seemingly less educated" people would not be able to sell their labor, pay bills, drive a car, etc, if it were not for their more educated peers designing cars, planning and building roads, providing accounting services, etc.. Did you see what I did there?

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    2. Re:I hate that this is always said... by KGIII · · Score: 1

      What's funny is that they (and you - but mostly you) seem to be making the claim that farmers (perhaps construction workers, etc) aren't educated. They're educated. They're just not educated in the things that both of you seem to deem important. A lack of formal education does not mean one is uneducated. It does not even mean a lack of intelligence. It simply means a lack of formal education.

      A neighbor of mine, back home in Maine, will be here tomorrow evening for the holidays (his wife is already here). He can read, a little, and probably can't write much more than his name. He can place a dime on the ground and make a tree fall on it every time. He can tell you how many cords of wood are in a pile. He can (and does) provide a healthy income for his family. He's adept at welding, mechanical work, animal husbandry, wildlife tracking, plant identification, etc... He can build a barn, help birth a cow, repair even a modern vehicle, process meat and vegetables, etc... He does construction work, masonry, concrete, and finish construction...

      He also paints beautiful oil paintings and some water colors. He sings and plays guitar, banjo, and probably a dozen other instruments... He composes music with lyrics that are quite well done if not a bit raunchy at times. And he's as every bit awesome as you might imagine.

      Yet you would call him uneducated, feel superior, and make claims about them not knowing what they missed. I wonder if some introspection and some internal honesty might help you see that the reverse is equally true? And no, you can't just learn it from a book in a few weeks. That you think you can is laughable. I'm willing to blindly wager that I've a fair deal more education than you but the difference is that I can see how educated he really is. In short, he's brilliant. I've learned vast amounts from him because I was smart enough to shut the hell up and listen and to ask questions instead of pretending I knew the answer already. I don't have a whole lifetime left in which to amass the knowledge he has but his education has been wide and deep.

      It's funny how many times that skill has come in handy for me. What skill is that? The one that lets me let go of my ego, admit that I don't know everything and that I may be wrong, and then to shut the hell up and actually listen to someone who does know what they're talking about. As far as eduction goes, well, that was one of the hardest ones for me to learn. I'll let you draw any further conclusions on your own.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  35. Excellent Post by gerald.edward.butler · · Score: 1

    I wanted to mod you up "Insightful", but, couldn't as I'd already posted in this thread. As an Atheist (but not anti-religious where "religious" means believing in a set of moral principles and spending my time trying to adhere to them rather than worrying about forcing others to adhere to them), I applaud your analysis of the situation.

  36. Reporters are biased idiots. by MouseTheLuckyDog · · Score: 1

    They will report any study no matter how flawed or inapplicable. to justify their position.

    Plus they are idiots who can't tell a black hole from the hole in their ass.

  37. Re:Media degenerated into those who just "repeat" by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    No, the populace isn't much to blame for the poor quality of work done by the media.

    Yes they are. Advertisers pay based on what people watch. Media companies' income depends on advertisers, so they produce what people watch. Companies produce shit because people watch shit.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  38. Re:Media degenerated into those who just "repeat" by perpenso · · Score: 1

    No, the populace isn't much to blame for the poor quality of work done by the media.

    Yes they are. Advertisers pay based on what people watch. Media companies' income depends on advertisers, so they produce what people watch. Companies produce shit because people watch shit.

    No. Even if your interpretation were accurate the media would be to blame for maximizing profits rather than maximizing information disseminated. Don't forget that people are ignorant in part because the media chooses profits over all else in your hypothesis.

    However contrary to your hypothesis the media is still in the business of disseminating news and information and they take short cuts and do it poorly. They lack journalistic integrity. Whatever fraction of the media is devoted to news and information it can still be done right.

  39. simple politics by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    Some "science" is flawed, because the science needs to "fit" the politics of the day, or, rather the $$$$$ that comes from the politicians.

  40. Is this story is wrongly reported science? by walterbyrd · · Score: 1

    Lettuce Produces More Greenhouse Gas Emissions Than Bacon Does

    Bacon lovers of the world, rejoice! Or at the least take solace that your beloved pork belly may be better for the environment in terms of greenhouse gas emissions than the lettuce that accompanies it on the classic BLT.

    This is according to a new study by researchers at Carnegie Mellon University who found that if Americans were to switch their diets to fall in line with the Agriculture Department's 2010 dietary recommendations, it would result in a 38 percent increase in energy use, 10 percent bump in water use and a 6 percent increase in greenhouse gas emissions.

    http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/lettuce-produces-more-greenhouse-gas-emissions-than-bacon-does/

  41. Re:Pope initially defended Galileo over heliocentr by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

    The problem with Galileo was not heliocentricism which was generally accepted by the church at the time, but by his end run around the pope to publish the work and not going the church bureaucracy route. Also, the big bang was proposed by a Catholic Priest physicist,Georges Lemaître.

  42. Re:History shows scientists being part of the chur by penguinoid · · Score: 2

    Actually history shows scientists being part of the church for many centuries.

    History shows scientists being a subgroup of the people who are literate and have free time. In the past, that meant the clergy, rich people, and people sponsored by rich people. Now, everyone is literate and almost everyone has enough free time to do science if they so wished, and can even get jobs doing science. If your implication is that religion is what was good for science, pray tell what is the current correlation between members of the clergy and scientific advance, and how it compares to non-clergy?

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  43. Re:Republicans hate us. by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

    I hate the lower classes too and wish no one were lower class. I guess if you love lower class people, then you'd like to see more of them. I love pizza and am always happy when I get more.

  44. Re:History shows scientists being part of the chur by KGIII · · Score: 1

    Slashdot needs an "Eloquent +1" mod. I'm far too verbose to be articulate. Even my novellas are often whittled down from my original drafts (I do preview - sort of, sometimes) and I can not manage to say much of what I want to say without needing to say many other things.

    So, I don't actually use my mod points (I prefer to comment and not to judge), I'll just say that it is posts like your post that are why I visit as frequently as I do. I didn't actually learn anything new, factually-wise, from your post - I did, on the other hand, get to enjoy reading it and appreciate *how* it was composed.

    Err... TL;DR: Thanks!

    --
    "So long and thanks for all the fish."
  45. Re:"Journalists" stopped being journalists years a by turbidostato · · Score: 1

    "Exactly the problem."

    How is it? The paycheck comes from my employer considering my work's worth it. And my employer considers it's worth it because money flows his way more when I chase for ratings than when I go for scientific precision.

    How can be a problem following the path the market rewards the most? Unless you consider capitalism itself being the problem, that is.

  46. Question and Answer [Re:What is scientific con...] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    The final step: "critical exposure to scrutiny, peer review and assessment" In other words: convince other scientists.

    So I'm not sure I'm ready to accept that web page as a definitive authority.

    That was an example in reply to your statement "If you look at attempts to formalize the scientific method, you probably won't see a step that is, "convince other people"" That was a site on which the British Science Council "attempted to formalize the scientific method", and it did include the final step.

    I'm sorry you don't understand that sharing your work-- and have other people critique it, and possibly even reject it-- actually is part of the scientific method, but nevertheless it is. Science is, to some extant, a series of protocols for checking your work against the real world, and having others look at your work is an essential part of it.

    Yes, in fact, science is a human endeavor, done by humans.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  47. Is this an admission... by TaleSpinner · · Score: 1

    ...about "global war..." - sorry - "climate change"???

  48. In defense of science reporters by Etherwalk · · Score: 1

    Science is in the open, but I pin most of the reporting woes on reporters that really don't understand what they are reporting on. ... Anybody can be a science reporter. Anybody can call them-self a scientist as well.

    That's how it seems if you've had science training but have never known any reporters. Reporting is a job. You only have a certain (small) amount of time to deal with a subject so you rely on someone else who knows it better. You know you don't understand it very well, certainly not compared to them, and you know you're filtering it for someone else, in a particular spoon-feeding way. You want to be accurate, you want to help a reader who knows less than you've learned from the expert to learn something from the expert, but you also really want to meet your deadline.

    You only have half an hour to write it up. Or you only have a 30-second block between Donald Trump and Miley Cyrus. Because people who watch the news would rather have the sound byte to talk about than to understand the science, and if you talk about something in detail they'll change the channel and the news loses money.

    And if a media outlet has a dedicated science reporter, you're very lucky--not anybody can be a science reporter, at least not for anyone reputable. There aren't a lot of science reporter jobs out there.

    The reporters are workers in a given system. Blaming them for not fixing it is like blaming the guy who installs your cable for Comcast's business model.

    Realistically, nerds (for the most part) shouldn't be getting their news from the reporters who report to the masses. That's a way for you to get news if you don't care about understanding stuff. Nerds want to understand stuff. We should get our news from panels of experts, from lectures by experts, or from studies and reports and abstracts of them.

    A good expert panel is absolutely amazing and you learn more from it than you would from watching a year of news. Don't blame reporters for doing their job; realize you're not their target demographic, and encourage others to take their news from sources that favor a far more curious mind.

    1. Re:In defense of science reporters by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      I don't accept those excuses for reporters to not be accurate, do the work, or be critical. There are good reporters out there. Yes, the system encourages thin reporting effort, so that is a good point, but it doesn't force a reporter to act like he/she knows more than they do. Nerds or knowledgeable scientific persons should be able to find the information they need, so the bigger problem is ignorant reporters preaching to the less knowledgeable masses, and its not limited to science.

  49. Re:History shows scientists being part of the chur by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    String theory still has ample potential to be a dead-end, and a career waste.

    In science a negative result is not a failure.

  50. Re:History shows scientists being part of the chur by perpenso · · Score: 1

    If your implication is that religion is what was good for science ...

    I make no such claim. All I point out is that members of the clergy have contributed, and continue to contribute, to science. That religion is not inherently incompatible with science. Religion and science explore areas that do not overlap and hence are not in conflict, crudely: the mechanics of the universe (including life) vs god's actions, intentions and expectations.

    As for today, the vatican operates an observatory that participates in leading edge cosmological research. Anecdotally my cousin attending a catholic high school probably received a more rigorous and comprehensive science education than I did at my public high school. At my public state university the dean of the chemistry department was a local parish priest for a few years. So yeah, the clergy still seem to be involved in real science from education through to advanced research.

  51. Re:History shows scientists being part of the chur by penguinoid · · Score: 1

    Sure, there exists at least one religious person who contributes to science. But that means nothing. Does being religious, nowadays, correlate positively or negatively with scientific contribution? If, as you say, there's no conflict then surely there wouldn't be a negative correlation, now would there?

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  52. Re:Question and Answer [Re:What is scientific con. by nine-times · · Score: 1

    That was an example in reply to your statement "If you look at attempts to formalize the scientific method, you probably won't see a step that is, "convince other people"" That was a site on which the British Science Council "attempted to formalize the scientific method", and it did include the final step.

    Ok, so to add a bit of emphasis and interpretation here, "If you look at attempts to formalize the scientific method, you probably won't see a step that is, 'convince other people'." The reason I put that word "probably" in there is that, well... you never know what some idiot is going to put in his attempt to formalize the scientific method. And let's not pretend like there's nobody saying stupid things in political councils.

    But that aside, as I pointed out, it doesn't say, "convince other people". It says that you should make your work available for public scrutiny, and I could present a rationale for why that makes sense. One very good reason to put that into the formalized form of the "scientific method" is science is iterative, and the knowledge gained from it is refined over history as it's taken up by new people. In that sense, it's important that the output of the scientific endeavor is shared publicly.

    But "convince other people"? That way madness lies. You're basically leaving open the possibility that Creationism might be "better science" than Evolution, depending on which side has convinced the greater number of people.

  53. Re: What was faked was that he "invented" somethin by loren · · Score: 1

    I have yet to hear the kid's explanation. I'm not giving him a free pass, but after just reading the post on how and why science reporting is so bad. We know he was questioned and detained for what turned out to be a commercial clock board in a pencil box (or something similar.) There are more innocuous explanations. He could have, for instance, gotten a discarded, damaged circuit board working, and put it pencil box for lack of any other available, undamaged enclosure. I'm not proposing this because I think the kid is blameless in the circumstances or their aftermath... but primarily to point out that there are other explanations.

    --

    Loren Osborn

    Software isn't software without source code. -- NASA
  54. Einstein: an example of scientific consensus by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    The myth of a lone scientist whose work is not understood and is dismissed by mainstream science is exactly that: a myth.

    No it isn't. Einstein was such a guy. It took years that his theories got accepted.

    It did not. Where the heck does that myth come from? Einstein's work was published, understood, and not merely accepted but extended by mainstream scientists remarkably quickly. Kaufman was already giving lectures calculating relativistic mass increase of electrons using (and crediting) Einstein's formulas the same year that Einstein's Annalen der Physik paper appeared. Max Planck's "Das Prinzip der Relativität und die Grundgleichungen der Mechanik" came out a year after. By 1907, when Minkowski got into the act, pretty much everybody was using Einstein's work.

    Einstein's work was emphatically not "dismissed by mainstream science;" it was central to mainstream science. To the contrary, it was Einstein's critics whose work never gained consensus, and was eventually dismissed as crankery.

    This is exactly how scientific consensus works.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Einstein: an example of scientific consensus by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I oversaw the word "dismissed", did not guess it was so important for you.

      His work was not "dismissed" but it nevertheless not accepted immediately, it was quite controversial. The break though for him was in fact that he worked on top of Lorenz' work an people like Planck built up on his work.

      At least that is what I learned in school. But that is 30 years ago, so perhaps I'm wrong ;D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    2. Re:Einstein: an example of scientific consensus by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      I oversaw the word "dismissed", did not guess it was so important for you. His work was not "dismissed" but it nevertheless not accepted immediately, it was quite controversial.

      Except it was. Einstein's work was understood and accepted remarkably quickly, and within a year had other scientists commenting on it, building on it, and working on making experimental measurements to verify it. This is an example of how scientific consensus is built.

      The break though for him was in fact that he worked on top of Lorenz' work an people like Planck built up on his work.

      Right. That's how science works.

      At least that is what I learned in school. But that is 30 years ago, so perhaps I'm wrong ;D

      What your school was teaching you is more the myth of science than the reality.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  55. Why are reporters so bad on science? by whitroth · · Score: 1

    My old friend Bro. Guy Consolmagno (now Director of the Vatican Observatories) used to teach at different Catholic colleges around the US. One of the courses he taught was "Science for Non-Science Majors", and years ago, he gave us the rundown on the majors who used to take that course: next to the bottom were the business majors, who didn't get it, but didn't let that worry them. The very bottom of the food chain, the worst of all, were the communications majors, who didn't get it, and didn't *know* that they didn't get it.

    Those are the folks who go into journalism, and PR, and HR... and you wonder why they're all so bad?

                          mark

  56. Re:History shows scientists being part of the chur by perpenso · · Score: 1

    Its not me saying anything. Various churches have said that the discoveries of science are not in conflict with faith. So whether a member of such a church contributes to science or not is not a matter of faith but some other factor.

  57. The media self-selcts for idiots, that's why. by thermowax · · Score: 1

    I have noticed, through the years, an interesting thing about the mass media: *every* time I read something about a topic in which I'm very knowledgeable, it's inevitably wrong. And I don't mean geeked-out minutae wrong, but fundamentally flawed in some way.

    Journalism is a very non-technical (non-scientific, non-statistics) degree program. Furthermore, it yields a very low paying job. It's *highly* competitive- so the salaries suck, especially with the move to news that's more entertainment than not, and all the Homecoming kings and queens types want to be on the TeeVee. Why on Earth would any geek want to put up with that crap? And be paid poorly to boot? I also have a theory that the idiots that pay a bunch of money for a degree with crappy salary prospects are being funded by their parents, who apparently don't know any better either- or have enough money that they don't care. So we wind up with a bunch of people that haven't struggled financially, or worked hard to attain a tough science degree- is it any wonder that we have a generally Leftist media?

    I'm sure there's some out there that really care and want to be the next Woodward or Bernstein, but unless you're talking about JAMA or or a trade rag, forget quality science reporting.

  58. Re:And yet... by TimCognito · · Score: 1

    ...an education, and a long life of idiocy are not mutually exclusive.

  59. Journalists are liars in the US. by ToddInSF · · Score: 1

    They are rarely held accountable for anything the write.

  60. It's not just science by eastern · · Score: 1

    Reread this para, replacing 'science' with 'reality'. Whether it's science, or politics or business or international affairs, it's the same story.

    'Science and journalism seem to be uniquely incompatible: Where journalism favors neat story arcs, science progresses jerkily, with false starts and misdirections... '

  61. Signal-to-noise ratio by NewYork · · Score: 1
  62. I Dunno... by Doctrinsograce · · Score: 1

    I don't know about journalists. I was a Astronomy/Physics major back in the 70's. I remember coming to study at one of the largest and most well funded universities in the nation. It wasn't very long that I learned that the scientists with whom I studied were flawed men. There was a variety of cheating and falsification in the papers being published. I saw one physics professor hold back a peer-review because it was too similar (and ahead of) his own work. In another place, I saw a physicist alter data to fit more closely his theory. Science cannot function without a fanatical adherence to truth. As I think on it, I rather doubt that journalism can either.

  63. Re:Media degenerated into those who just "repeat" by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    The thing I really disagree with is your implication that this sort of stuff is new. When I was younger, journalism looked better because we had nothing to compare it to. There was sort of a consensus news environment, and it was really enlightening in the 1960s to have my mother in a teachers' dispute that was reported in the media, because what she said and what they said were very different. Currently, we have lots of viewpoints easily available. It's not that we have more questionable stuff in the media nowadays, but we have more sources to ask questions about it.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  64. Re:Media degenerated into those who just "repeat" by perpenso · · Score: 1

    I agree that instances of superficiality and being ill-informed are not new, however I think there is a much greater frequency of such instances. Journalists being much less likely to research. Journalists being much less likely to be balanced, the rise of "gonzo journalism" behaviors where objectivity and distance is abandoned.

  65. Follow the money by countach · · Score: 1

    Follow the money. There are too many people whose lives depend on supposedly discovering something, for it all to be good science, and not enough actual things ready and waiting to be discovered. Universities are machines for producing studies on things that don't need studying and proposing hypothesis that don't need proposing.