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North Korea Claims It Detonated Its First Hydrogen Bomb (nytimes.com)

HughPickens.com writes: North Korea announced it has detonated its first hydrogen bomb, dramatically escalating the nuclear challenge from one of the world's most isolated and dangerous states. "This is the self-defensive measure we have to take to defend our right to live in the face of the nuclear threats and blackmail by the United States and to guarantee the security of the Korean Peninsula," said a North Korean announcer on the state-run network. "With this hydrogen bomb test, we have joined the major nuclear powers." The North's announcement came about an hour after detection devices around the world had picked up a 5.1 seismic event that South Korea said was 30 miles from the Punggye-ri site where the North has conducted nuclear tests in the past.

"North Korea's fourth test — in the context of repeated statements by U.S., Chinese, and South Korean leaders — throws down the gauntlet to the international community to go beyond paper resolutions and find a way to impose real costs on North Korea for pursuing this course of action," says Scott Snyder, a Korea expert at the Council on Foreign Relations. According to the NY Times, the test is bound to figure in the American presidential campaign, where several candidates have already cited the North's nuclear experimentation as evidence of American weakness — though they have not prescribed alternative strategies for choking off the program. The United States did not develop its first thermonuclear weapons — commonly known as hydrogen bombs — until 1952, seven years after the first and only use of nuclear weapons in wartime.

22 of 412 comments (clear)

  1. Meh. by msauve · · Score: 5, Funny

    They popped a hydrogen filled balloon with a lit cigarette and declared success.

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    1. Re:Meh. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'd like to see the hydrogen bomb small enough to cause a 5.1 earthquake

      H-bombs can be designed with small yields. It is basically just a fission core with a lithium deuteride booster. You can make the booster any size you want just by putting in more LiD, which is non-radioactive, non-toxic, and requires no special shielding or handling. Early American designs held the LiD in place with Styrofoam. The hard part is building the fission core, which NK has already done in the past. Going from fission bombs to fusion bombs is not difficult, and every country that has attempted it has succeeded on the first try.

    2. Re:Meh. by tibit · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I heard of an interesting possibility offered by a BBC analyst today: Of course this could all be posturing with full knowledge of the leadership. But perhaps the development facility is lying to the leadership about it. The leadership is completely crazy and demands things that might not be possible in their circumstances. The bomb makers might have detonated another fission device to buy more time, or simply to keep the disconnected-from-reality leadership placated.

      Going further along this line of thinking: Perhaps the atomic weapon program people are sabotaging their own program. Better this than the crazy leadership bombing Japan or South Korea on a whim. They probably have the talent needed to develop a hydrogen bomb, but these people aren't stupid gullible fools anymore. I wouldn't be surprised if they said "fuck that" and only pretend to have a hydrogen bomb.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    3. Re:Meh. by crow_t_robot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The shootings in CA and Paris were really of 0 impact especially comparing it against something like 9/11 that happened on Bush's watch. The islamic state has absolutely no power outside of their tiny tribal areas and if you are afraid of them at all and you live in the US then you are a huge pussy.

    4. Re:Meh. by GrumpySteen · · Score: 5, Funny

      From the article:
      "an estimated explosive yield of six kilotons and a quake with a magnitude of 4.8 were detected Wednesday"

      Hmmm....

      One mole of Hydrogen will produce 241.8 kilojoules of energy when burned.

      A kiloton explosion releases 4.184*10^12 joules, so we're looking at 2.51*10^13 joules for this explosion. That would require 1.04*10^8 moles of hydrogen.

      A mole of hydrogen is 22.4 liters, so that gives us 2.3*10^14 liters of hydrogen. That means the balloon had to be 230 cubic kilometers and, when popped, it would have sucked up all the oxygen in a surrounding area of about 547 cubic kilometers.

      This tells us one absolutely undeniable fact; I'm really fucking bored.

    5. Re:Meh. by Xest · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Anyone who knows my history of posting on the whole Iran/nuclear topic knows that I'm about as far from an Iran apologist as you can get, but frankly your post is pretty much entirely bullshit.

      Nuclear technology transfer has been in the exact opposite direction, rather than Iran transferring knowledge and information to Iran, it is in fact North Korea that transferred to Iran (and it's close ally Syria).

      North Korea's nuclear programme stems back much further than both Iran and Syria, and in fact, Iran was still largely under Western influence long after North Korea had already decided to pursue the nuclear weapons route.

      The early North Korean weapons effort was largely kickstarted by the USSR under the form of an initially civilian effort and this gave North Korea the initial technology it needed to start refining Uranium (the same sort of enrichment technology that has been at the heart of the current Iranian nuclear drama). As such, North Korea was doing what Iran is being criticised for 40 years before Iran really started though North Korea never really got anywhere through that time until the 90s when it benefitted from the AQ Khan network. That is, it was our supposed ally (as fucking usual) Pakistan that traded nuclear weapon technology with North Korea and made them a nuclear weapon capable state.

      Whilst there has been ample evidence over the years that Iran has at least dabbled in pursuing nuclear weapons (though personally I think they did more than dabble) we don't necessarily know in much detail what shape that took. We do know however that when Syria's al-Kibar nuclear programme was unveiled by the fact Israel blew the fucking thing up, that it was basically an exact clone of North Korea's programme. Had Iran had it's own indigenous built programme with no outside influence, it would seem odd that Syria's programme looked like North Korea's, not Iran's, when Syria and Iran are far closer partners (to the extent that Iran is currently paying in the blood of it's special forces and top generals to prop up Assad right now).

      Which is why in all likelihood, there's little that North Korea could gain from Iran. North Korea's programme is decades ahead, and whilst Iran was also a beneficiary of the AQ Khan network it still lacked the actual experience and knowledge of enrichment that North Korea had.

      So the idea that Iran is somehow coaching the North Koreans makes absolutely no sense, NK's programme is a year short of 55 years in the making, whereas Iran's is sat at about 15 to 20 years at best, the bulk of which has been spent recreating that which NK already had been handed outright in the 1960s by the soviets.

      For all the criticism I've had of Iran over the years, I'm optimistic about the nuclear deal. The biggest problem I've had with Iran's nuclear programme is simply that it's completely blocked the IAEA from confirming that it isn't producing weapons by outright blocking access to key nuclear facilities, and as such this is why I believe that the only reason Iran would do this is because it did genuinely have something to hide - there's no point suffering crippling economic sanctions just to pretend you're trying to make nukes if you're not. If Iran is now willing to allow full and thorough inspections, then I suspect that's because it's now got nothing to hide any more because it genuinely has given up on it's pursuit of nuclear weapons.

      It's pretty clear that the path Ahmadinejad carved wasn't working for Iran, that Iran was getting weaker, poorer, and increasingly more isolated. The arab spring was the wake up call to Iran's elite that that path simply was not sustainable. Whilst I'm not particularly a fan of Rouhani, because he was still ultimately a vetted option and still under the thumb of Khamenei, he is at least reversing many of Ahmadinejad's bad ideas (like the pursuit of nuclear weapons) precisely because the alternative is collapse of the Iranian political system, and likely a Syria-esque civil war.

      That is why it's both nonsense to sug

    6. Re:Meh. by ClickOnThis · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Could be worse they could have put a person called Bush on a boat (no aircraft carriers) and delcared misson complete!

      Nah.

      Worst case would be some clown who had no idea what he was doing pulling the US out of Iraq and allowing Al Qaeda in Iraq to grow into an organization that could take over actual territory, say, maybe calling itself something like "The Islamic State", such that it would then have the resources to conduct terrorist attacks like bombing airliners and mass shootings in disparate places such as Paris and Southern California.

      That would be the worst possible outcome.

      Good thing nobody in power in the US is that fucking naive and stupid.

      Sadly, there was someone in power who was that stupid, and his name was George W. Bush. It was his administration that negotiated the exit-date with Iraq. Obama succeeded at getting a short extension, but ultimately his hands were tied.

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  2. Glorious leader show us the way by liqu1d · · Score: 3, Funny

    By his divine power he created hydrogen from his bowel and light it setting the world alight in his glorious blaze. Praise the leader and death to the west.

  3. Meh, I'll wait for confirmation by dywolf · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We have sniffer/detector craft for just this reason.
    I wait until we hear confirmation before believing anything NK says.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    1. Re:Meh, I'll wait for confirmation by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If true, it's quite frightening. H bombs currently require multiple small A bombs to triggter, and the bomb casing is also typically made out of non-weapons grade uranium which reflects and focuses the A-bomb blasts onto the tritium and deuterium core. The result is far, far more radioactive uranium blown as vapor into the atmosphere than original US bomb designers were willing to admit, and a far larger radioactive fallout zone than the US was willing to admit before The Progressive published H-bomb details back in 1979.

      I remember that article when published: it was quite frightening, and revealed a number of long-published lies about how H-bombs were "cleaner" than A-bombs.

    2. Re:Meh, I'll wait for confirmation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      I remember that article when published: it was quite frightening, and revealed a number of long-published lies about how H-bombs were "cleaner" than A-bombs.

      One H-bomb is dirtier than one A-bomb. But if you realize the same explosive power with (multiple) A-bombs, then you get something dirtier than a single H-bomb. So, for the damage it does, the H-bomb is cleaner.

    3. Re:Meh, I'll wait for confirmation by Quantum+gravity · · Score: 3, Informative

      A real hydrogen bomb is much more difficult to produce than an A-bomb. Experts are saying that what NK might have done is mixed a hydrogen isotope with a normal A-bomb. That would technically make it a hydrogen bomb, but not a true fusion bomb that starts a massive fusion reaction.

  4. Re:Just wait until they can deliver it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So, what would NK do with it? The military leaders aren't completely insane like some dictators here and there. Not even the front figures are that insane.
    They have to keep playing war to keep the population timid. Any longer period of peace and the population will not be as willing to make sacrifices for the state.
    The occasional bullet shot at South Korea is mostly symbolic. They do just what they can get away with and SK doesn't retaliate because they don't want to harm the North Korean civilians.

    The real players are China, Russia and South Korea (backed by the US.) here. NK just abuses the situation to keep control of their population.
    No one of them takes any strong stance regarding NK since that would piss off the others.
    If North Korea does something so inconvenient that any one of its neighbors feels that a war might be better then North Korea would be obliterated in a matter of days.
    Having a hydrogen bomb or two with delivery mechanism is not going to change that.

  5. Re:Thermonuclear? by jandersen · · Score: 3, Informative

    I guess I'm dumb, how is a pure fission warhead not thermonuclear?

    Not dumb, but you could have looked it up on Wikipedia. Never the less:

    - Fission works by splitting the nucleus of large atoms, such as Uranium or Plutonium. This works according to a surprisingly simply principle, called the chain reaction, which gets stronger, the more concentrated the active element is. This means that if you take a large enough mass of the right element and squeeze it together in a small enough volume (and quickly enough), then it will explode.

    - Fusion works the opposite way, by fusing together light nuclei; the perhaps surprising thing is, fusion releases energy when you fuse light nuclei, but not when the nuclei are heavier - I think it is around iron that it changes. Fusion on ly happens at very high temperature and pressure, hence the name "thermonuclear". Incidentally, the process of fusion in a hydrogen bomb is set of by a fission device.

    But look the subjects up - wikipedia is probably a good place to start.

  6. Re: Just wait until they can deliver it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    +1.

    North Korea doesn't want a war with America or South Korea. They know they would be wiped out in a matter of days. They (the Kim regime) want to keep living like kings, with all the food, women, drugs, and praise anyone could ever dream of.

    Of course they want the status quo, and the only way to keep that is through duping the populace with this perpetual war. They are like a thug who acts badass, but not badass enough to have someone actually react (get arrested or his ass kicked).

  7. Re:Why are South Korean youth so silent? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Informative

    these West German youth knew they didn't have any real power, but they knew through song they could fight against their enemies.

    The songs and protests were not directed against their "enemies". They were directed against the Atlanticist government of Helmut Schmidt, and the American deployment of Pershing Missiles in Germany. Rather than "fighting" their enemies, the protestors advocated unilateral disarmament and appeasement.

    Why are South Korean youth so silent when facing a similar threat?

    Perhaps they have more sense.

  8. Re: Just wait until they can deliver it by dcw3 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Apparently, you believe we enjoy sending our children out to fight (and die) when in your ass is in a sling. The vast majority of us would prefer not to do so. When was the last time America actually saw any benefit from doing so? Did we steal the oil from Iraq, as many accused us of being motivated for? No, but because we screwed up with the Iraq II, nobody wanted to finish up what was started, and we've been left with the void that created ISIS.

    --
    Just another day in Paradise
  9. Re:Thermonuclear? by Lemmeoutada+Collecti · · Score: 3, Informative

    A more accurate version of thermonuclear would be thermonuclear triggered. The military just likes to shorten things.

    --

    You can have it fast, accurate, or pretty. Pick any 2.
  10. Nope. by cirby · · Score: 4, Informative

    If true, it's quite frightening. H bombs currently require multiple small A bombs to triggter, and the bomb casing is also typically made out of non-weapons grade uranium which reflects and focuses the A-bomb blasts onto the tritium and deuterium core.

    First, no, you don't need "multiple small A bombs to trigger" a fusion detonation. You need one. You can make multi-stage weapons like the Tsar Bomba, nobody seems to nowadays.

    Second, you can supposedly make the tamper out of a lot of different materials (even lead) - but even if you decided to use uranium, any country with a big enough program to make an A-bomb would have a crapload of uranium metal sitting around.

  11. No they didn't. by goodmanj · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Nuclear weapons create earthquakes, and you can roughly estimate the size of the bomb from the magnitude of the earthquake. In this case, we're looking at a 5.1 magnitude quake:

    http://earthquake.usgs.gov/ear...

    There's an empirical law for calculating the size of an underground nuclear blast from the magnitude of the earthquake.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    This law is a little sketchy (earthquake size depends on how tightly the bomb is packed into the ground), but taking it at face value I calculate a 45 kiloton blast. That's nowhere near a true fusion H-bomb (typically hundreds of kilotons up to megatons): it's consistent with a large fission bomb, a boosted fission weapon, or a failed fusion test, where the fusion secondary failed to ignite.

  12. Re:Just wait until they can deliver it by dj245 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It won't be long before China or Russia sells them a delivery vehicle, if they haven't done so already.

    They have Seoul with a population of almost 10 million only 35 miles from the border and that's as good a hostage as any. North Korea must have people who know about the outside world and that they'd be obliterated if they attacked anyone. Even China might just roll over them to avoid western forces on their borders if necessary. He's realized that if you only seem "half dangerous" like Iraq, Afghanistan etc. you get invaded. If you are armed to the teeth and batshit crazy maybe you're not. He would, as far as I can tell be the first nuclear force to be invaded.

    Having been to the DPRK, I don't think anyone can really understand it without visiting. 99% of what is written about the country is written by outsiders, and a substantial amount of that is written by South Korea, which is still at war with the North. So propaganda abounds.

    Having said that, I don't completely understand the DPRK either, but many of the things they do make sense from their perspective. Many people there sincerely believe that South Korea and the USA plan to invade their country by force at some point. It isn't an unrealistic idea- the USA has a long history of invading and bombing places that we don't like. Every single year in April there are joint South Korea / USA exercises right off the coast of North Korea. These happen in disputed waters- Look at the Northern Limit Line and how it compares to the land border. If you look at it impartially, it is skewed in favor of the South. This is the part of the ocean where the USA and South Korea do combined exercises every single year in April. The USA and South Korea say these are defensive exercises to practice coordination of forces. I have no doubt that statement is both honest and true.

    The problem is that North Korea sees that we are using landing craft in these exercises. There is one in the very first photo on the Foal Eagle wikipedia page. Hovercraft aren't generally classified as defensive vehicles. They are for making beach landings. I'm sure there are perfectly valid reasons (opening up additional fronts in a defensive war, etc) for having hovercraft in defensive military exercises. But North Korea doesn't see it that way. The US and South Korea escalate the situation every single year with the military exercises. They aren't stupid- they know they would lose a war, and they are quite understandably fearful of one. Paranoia isn't crazy when it has a solid basis in reality and history. Having nuclear weapons is the only card they can possibly play to ensure the survival of their way of life in the event of a real conflict. You may not agree with their way of life, but most people around the world are willing to defend their way of life to the death.

    Poking North Korea annually with a stick hasn't worked. The only realistic action we can expect under the current circumstances is for them to continue sharpening their own sticks. It is time to stop believing that isolationism, military threats, embargoes, and sanctions can work on a country that has resisted for over 60 years. It is time for talk. Talking to them may go absolutely nowhere. I expect the first few talks will accomplish a whole lot of nothing. However, it is my opinion that so long as the US is spending billions propping up the South Korean military, making honest efforts to to end the conflict through discussions is the least we can do.

    --
    Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
  13. Re: Just wait until they can deliver it by crow_t_robot · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When was the last time America actually saw any benefit from doing so?

    Uh, American Imperialism in the form of military bases in almost every country in the world is extremely effective in pursuing and forwarding American economic interests. Not sure if you are aware of that.