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2015's Electricity Retirements: 80 Percent Coal Plants (arstechnica.com)

AmiMoJo writes: In the US, electricity demand is growing very slowly, which means that capacity additions don't have to exceed retirements by much in order to keep the grid functioning. Tracking the comings and goings from the electric grid can help provide a picture of the country's changing energy mix. The Energy Information Administration, which provides data on the US' electric grid, says 18GW of capacity were retired this past year, more than 80 percent of it coal-fired. More than 27GW of utility-scale projects will replace that this year. Note that much of the new generating hardware is wind and solar, but the plants being replaced often had low capacity factors due to their age and high pollutant output.

176 of 244 comments (clear)

  1. And my monthy electric bill... by colin_faber · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Has never been higher. Additionally because my state (Colorado) has decided to replace the coal plants with natural gas, increasing the price to heat my home as well.

    1. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Natgas is one of those damned if you do, damned if you don't technologies, though what you're actually damned by is capitalism. It's better to burn natgas than to simply let it escape from the ground, because CO2 is a less strong GHG than methane, etc. But once you start using it, you fall victim to thinking along the lines of economies of scale, and you start looking for more of it because the more you have, the better the numbers get. And then you get fracking.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Informative

      Natural gas does make a good backup for wind and solar, though, because gas plants can come online quickly when the wind drops.

    3. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      This will be true no matter what the technology currently is or will be.

      But some technologies are inherently harmful, and some are only incidentally harmful. We can reduce much of the incidental harm, if not eliminate it. For example, solar panels are using less and less toxic material, panels made in civilized countries are required not to leach toxics if landfilled rather than recycled, large VAWTs are minimally harmful to wildlife as opposed to small[ish] horizontal wind turbines with fast-moving blades...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You elected the environmental wackos and dope smokers that run your state. Now live with it.

    5. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by gurps_npc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Welcome to the concept of INFLATION. Compare your bill today to that from 1988 to one from today. It should have doubled. If it costs more than twice as much today (2016) than it did in 1988, then prices have gone up, relative to inflation. If it costs less than twice as much today as it did in 1988, then the cost has gone down. See this page infatlation calculator as my source.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    6. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Inflation means your bills keep getting higher as a general rule. Typically, your income increases faster; the GDP-per-capita and the median incomes both increase faster than CPI or any other price inflation measure. That's why people spend a smaller percentage of their income on things like food, clothing, and housing today (caveat: they spend 18% more on housing in 2003 than in 1950, but bought a 2,300sqft house instead of a 983sqft house), and more on cell phones, streaming media, and other new consumer goods.

    7. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by BradMajors · · Score: 1

      Natural gas is currently the cheapest way to produce electricity. Your cost of electricity will soon be dropping.

    8. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by CaptainLard · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Get solar! If you own your roof it will lower your bill no matter how you do it (pay cash, lease, solar installer becomes your power company). We get a ton of sun in CO so you're almost certainly a prime candidate for solar. My total energy bill (gas + elec) hasn't gone above $70 in the 2 years I've had solar. Summer months I have negative bills. If you own your house you will absolutely save money on energy and your rates will never increase!

    9. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by CaptainLard · · Score: 4, Funny

      Thats it! The dope smokers are running the state now! Everyone should stop moving here. The sun is too bright with the clear air and they make us walk through all the forests. It sucks. Stay in KS, TX and MO, your midwest havens of freedom.

    10. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It looks like the price has gone down in real terms, accounting for inflation: http://www.statista.com/statis...

      Colorado is cheaper than average, especially for gas and considering how little renewable energy it has: http://www.eia.gov/state/?sid=...

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    11. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

      Get solar! If you own your roof it will lower your bill no matter how you do it (pay cash, lease, solar installer becomes your power company). We get a ton of sun in CO so you're almost certainly a prime candidate for solar. My total energy bill (gas + elec) hasn't gone above $70 in the 2 years I've had solar. Summer months I have negative bills. If you own your house you will absolutely save money on energy and your rates will never increase!

      That is not enough information. You could be losing money and all those statement still true. I am not claiming you are losing money, but please provide the critical facts..

      What was your bill & total household energy usage before? What are they now? What was the total cost to you, and taxpayers? What size system was installed? What is the guaranteed feed-in rate and term?

    12. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      I think hydro is still cheaper than gas. http://www.eia.gov/electricity...

    13. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Get solar! If you own your roof it will lower your bill no matter how you do it

      > If you own your roof it will lower your bill no matter how you do it

      I'm in favor of solar -- I might be getting some for my property this year -- but despise this kind of willfully ignorant rah-rah-ing. There are plenty of reasons why solar might not lower your bill:

      • Inadequate south-facing roof area
      • Too much surrounding foliage/buildings/topography shading the roof
      • Roof condition requires expensive upgrades before installing
      • Roof condition adequate, but will require replacing too soon into the solar panels' lifecycle
      • Cost of funds for the initial investment
      • Unusually low cost of local energy alternatives
    14. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      Sorry. Meanwhile my electricity company is going to be giving its customers a small refund because fuel costs weren't as high as they forecast.

    15. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by danbob999 · · Score: 1

      Of course coal is cheaper. But it pollutes so much that you should be ashamed of using it in the first place.

    16. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      I wonder how long rooftop solar will last.
      People like Warren Buffett are trying like hell to kill it.
      The power companies absolutely hate homeowners with rooftop solar and are fighting it tooth and nail.

      That just tells me people with rooftop solar are doing the right thing.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    17. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by ledow · · Score: 1

      Plus replacement of the whole system at the expiry date of the service warranty (no, "expected life" is no good - if it's not warrantied you're still going to have to find the money to replace it while you fight that in court at great expense).

    18. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      Has never been higher.

      Mine has never been lower. I replaced all my lights with LEDs, added insulation to my attic, and installed timers and motion detectors. I cut my electricity use by a third, and in less than a year saved enough to pay for all the improvements. Last time I was at Lowe's, they had LED light bulbs for under $1. At that price, the pay back is just a couple months.

    19. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by amorsen · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Hydro isn't really interesting from a price comparison point of view. Most of the easy places to make hydro power are already tapped, so marginal cost for making a new hydro plant is very high -- if not directly in construction costs, then in damage to the local environment. The cost of power produced in an existing hydro plant is practically zero, but that is true for wind as well, and almost true for nuclear.

      For new builds, wind and natural gas tend to fight it out for cheapest power, depending on where you build. Solar and coal win certain areas, as long as we ignore pollution for coal. Unless you happen to be in Northern Norway, where they can still expand hydro -- but no one wants the power there and conservation is hindering power line construction.

      Note that dirt cheap natural gas is mostly a North American thing. The rest of the world does not have that.

      --
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    20. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by colin_faber · · Score: 1

      If only that was true. The natives here (including myself) are quite tired of the influx of Californians and New Yorkers fleeing their over taxed shit hole states, moving here, and voting for the same stupid policies which destroyed their states in the first place.

    21. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by colin_faber · · Score: 1

      Inflation doesn't account for the nearly 40% jump in electricity and natgas prices here.

    22. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by ledow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What if:

      You don't own your own roof.
      The roof is inadequate.
      Your location on the globe is inadequate.
      The tax-breaks and subsidies are taken away from you because there is no cheap alternative and everyone jumps onto solar?

      "Rates will never increase" is a dubious assertion too, maybe if you have a direct system but not if you're counting anything like pushing back to the grid (negative bill would suggest that).

      And not everyone has the ability to do one massive outlay now to save energy for the next 10 years (if the gear lasts that long and you get totally free servicing and replacements in the cost of your system throughout that time - what if the company goes bankrupt, maybe because they relied on subsidies or didn't account for product returns, or they just get priced out of the market?).

      It's honestly not as simple as "get solar".

      Hell, in my country, solar is just laughed at. An installation capable of running an ordinary house costs more than a house extension or a brand new car, and only "saves" while it's being subsidised.

      And just the extra legal cost of who technically owns it if you move house has caused people an awful lot of people to have a lot of unexpected bills (you're leasing? Then you sell the house? And the next guy doesn't agree with the transfer of that lease? Now you have an unsaleable house, or have to buy out the lease, or legal costs to argue the toss, and you can't really remove the system in the meantime, and mortgage companies don't want to touch it as you've effectively rented out your roof to the solar company).

      Nothing is that clear-cut when it comes to that amount of money in a system.

    23. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by colin_faber · · Score: 2

      This isn't true, especially in a state which produces coal at next to no cost.

    24. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      I'd love to see solar roofing that actually replaces shingles. Kind of like the new vinyl roofing but with built in solar cells.

    25. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by CaptainLard · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Fair enough. Total install cost for a 7800W array in 2014 was $19k and I got back around $6k total in tax credits. Xcel lets you bank electricity with no expiration so what extra I produce in the summer carries over to Jan and Feb. The first year I lived in the house my total electricity bill was around $1100 so my break even point is around 11 years assuming rates don't go up (which they have already). I'm planning on an electric car in the next few years which cuts down the payback period even more. The panels are guaranteed to retain 80% capacity at 20 years and will likely output substantial power for at least 40. Throw in a few replacement panels and an inverter or two over that time and I'm still looking at 30-40 years of electricity for the cost of about 10 from the grid.

      That said, I just saw that Xcel has proposed a grid use charge for new solar installs that will change the math somewhat. But when it goes into effect in 2 years, prices for solar will likely have fallen enough to still make sense in most cases. Cheap, effective whole house batteries that will get you through a week of rain aren't far behind.

      I should stop there but....the nice thing about the tax benefits I received is that many more people can now benefit from them since they helped drive down the cost of solar by a huge amount in just a few years. One of the reasons so many solar companies went out of business is because if they held any inventory, it was pretty much unsaleable because next month's panels were better and cheaper. I know talking about such things is a can of worms but in my opinion, this is exactly what the gov is supposed to do: solve the chicken and egg problem by incentivize promising new tech resulting in new markets for average consumers. And now I'll hand it over to ./ for all the free market backlash.

    26. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Valid point, mostly. Some interesting hydro in run of the river and along Canadian border. http://www.chpexpress.com/abou...

    27. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 3, Interesting

      States with higher percentage of renewables (wind and solar) have lower electric costs. Nevada electric prices have been dropping so much that Warren Buffet's owned Nevada Energy had been sabotaging solar by bribing the governor and the state's PUC. Seven of the largest casinos in Las Vegas are threatening to leave NV Energy and rely on much cheaper solar and wind energy. The PUC wants to charge them $127 million to leave.
      Texas now offers free electricity at nights because they have excess wind power.
      Colorado is good to get rid of coal but stupid to not install wind and solar.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    28. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 3, Interesting

      My experience with solar in the mountains of California is this:
      - 4kw system
      - generated $1256 worth of electricity last year (76% of my use)
      - ROI of 7.3 % (I borrowed money at 2.2% to pay for the system so this is a good return)
      - I'll be installing another 2kw this year
      - this year it should give me a better ROI since the power company is raising rates by 7%

      --
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    29. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by pjv936 · · Score: 1

      Burning natural gas is cheaper and it is much cleaner. Its call a win-win.

    30. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by L.+J.+Beauregard · · Score: 1

      I live in North Carolina. If "environmental wackos and dope smokers" caused electric bills to increase, my electric bill would be about five bucks per month. Instead, it continues to rise.

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    31. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Geeze man, I'm buying pure solar power and I don't have that kind of problem; and my bill is still trending toward a smaller percentage of the per-capita GDP and the median income, much less my own income.

    32. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by castionsosa · · Score: 2

      Depends on how they are trying to kill it. If they forbid solar inverters from touching the grid, well, the inverters get replaced by battery chargers, and one uses a battery bank that is fed by the panels, or if there isn't enough solar to keep them topped off, then mains power.

      Rooftop solar is a "why not", rather than a "why". Yes, it has a high initial cost, but once in place, the cost for upkeep is relatively low, and it benefits everyone involved.

    33. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      "We get by with a little help from our friends"
      Compared with the public subsidy of fossil fuels ($5 trillion a year), renewable subsidies are a rounding error. (Google it)
      If you're worried about your money going to waste, take a look at the fossil fuel companies. That's where it's going.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    34. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by ThatAblaze · · Score: 1

      It sounds like you haven't updated your statistics since the 1990s

    35. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Sperbels · · Score: 1

      I'm in Colorado too. I'm heating an apartment and a house in the mountains with natural gas. My bills are not bad at all. Do you have electric heat or something?

    36. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by fhage · · Score: 1

      Has never been higher. Additionally because my state (Colorado) has decided to replace the coal plants with natural gas, increasing the price to heat my home as well.

      I don't believe studying a perceived problem and producing voluntary goals for the future has significant effect on the current market.

      Colorado used to enjoy cheap natural gas (and lower power bills) because we produce more NG than we use by a large margin and there was limited ability to transport it out of state.

      Recently, several new interstate pipelines were built to export the gas. Instead of a constant glut, we now get to enjoy a more regional market where a 10% supply "shortage" nets a 300% change in wholesale price.

      Manipulating the maintenance schedule of the pumping stations to artificially restrict transport capacity has far more effect on the market.

    37. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Here in Western WA our heating is electric forced air (no gas on our street) winter bill jumped $100 over last year for the same kWh (approx 3000 kWh the previous winter cost us $300, this time around $400). The cost of electricity has gone up slightly, what made the biggest part of the change is a lot of the "energy credits" that were being applied went away. Since the windows in our place are in need of replacement and aren't as airtight as they should be, I seal them off with clear plastic, that made a HUGE difference in our energy consumption this winter - like 400kWh less energy over a month (Feb) compared to the same month and average temp from the year before.

      Needless to say that power guzzling electric furnace (still the original one that was installed when the house was built 35 years ago - try and do that with gas) is going to meet its maker in a couple weeks as its being replaced with a heat pump. The power co hates the electric furnaces so much that they offer $1700 in rebates for customers that replace them with heatpumps where natural gas is not an option. Once thats paid off, I'm getting the windows replaced, after that winter energy costs should be well down.

    38. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1, Informative

      Why did you feel the need for so much rationalization? Why don't you just thank us for helping you pay your power bill?

      Lots of energy sources get subsidies, but only with renewables to individuals get the money directly. And for comparison's sake, renewables get many times the subsidy of conventional sources if you calculate it on a per MWH basis. Its not even close. No energy has ever gotten subsidized as heavily as renewables.

    39. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the economics lesson. My inflation has gone up by 1.87x since the 90s, my electricity cost per kwh has gone up 3.4x

    40. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Did you include taxpayer funded portion in that? How much help are we giving you?

      That depends, did you include the tax payer funded portion of your car today? People who complain about subsidies for green energy as being unfair need a massive reality check.

      Guess what. It's a sunk cost. If someone gives me a subsidy I don't need to exclude it in my total cost of ownership. All I need to do is say "ha ha" and have a smug smile on my face if I qualify for the subsidy but you don't.

    41. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      Inflation: the first thing to be ignored by people who want to deceive you

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    42. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by SpankiMonki · · Score: 1

      Compared with the public subsidy of fossil fuels ($5 trillion a year), renewable subsidies are a rounding error. (Google it) If you're worried about your money going to waste, take a look at the fossil fuel companies. That's where it's going.

      I Googled it, and even the most liberal estimates I found are nowhere near $5 trillion/year.

      In any event, GP asked you the amount of the subsidy for your installation. You disclosed some of your other figures, perhaps you'd care to answer GP's question and share the amount of tax break you received?

      I very pro-renewable, BTW.

    43. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 2

      VAWTs don't really work. There is plenty of history on this; the highest capacity-factor units produced were at 12% at scale, and only survived 10-15 years. They are much more decoration than solution.

      The physics is pretty straightforward. For high wind-speed survival they are generally limited to two blades in a common plane, but that design causes vibration issues when the blades are in shadow of the mast. Mast-less designs have been done but not successfully, and not at large scale.

      But, that said the difference on impact with wildlife is about the same. It is crashing into a wall that they can't sense effect that is the problem, not the speed of the tips. Both designs have the same flaw there.

    44. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Look into the PV trackers as well; going off-grid is starting to become viable. By my math it takes batteries around $300/kWh and a "minimum bill structure" that results in over $600 annual charges, although high heating loads can kill it.

    45. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by unimacs · · Score: 1

      Electricity costs in Colorado are still quite a bit lower than the national average. To put things in perspective, the average household in Colorado probably pays less for electricity per month than they do for cable/Internet and probably less than 1/2 of what they pay to use their cell phones.

      If electricity prices were at all a burden to most Americans, they'd be doing far more to cut back on its use than they do. That's not to say that there aren't people for whom paying for electricity isn't a real problem. I used to talk to a number of them on a regular basis as a side effect of my job. However, the issue for them is a lack of any real income and not the price of electricity.

      The real cost of burning coal to produce electricity goes far beyond what you pay on your electric bill. Google "externalities" if you're curious.

    46. Re: And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I thought I did thank you in the first line of my post.
      I will take this opportunity to thank you directly and personally for your support of solar energy and the $7000 tax credit I received.
      Thank you, good sir. You are a gentleman.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    47. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 5, Informative

      http://www.popsci.com/science/...

      2013 Solar Panels Now Make More Electricity Than They Use

      And by 2020, the solar industry will have completely "paid back" the energy it took to produce the world's panels.

      Also--- "rare" earth metals are "rare" at the current low prices. but there are vast quantities available at only slightly higher cost levels. One mine in california has more rare earth than all of china but it's shut down right now because the cost to extract means it isn't profitable right now (partially because of higher labor costs in the U.S. than china which will correct itself by 2045).

      Some are stripmined- valid point. Some are conflict materials- a valid point you didn't make.

      But that's a case of business externalizing their costs on society.

      The future really is solar. Enough solar power to satisfy the globes needs would like like a a half dozen to a dozen little dots scattered around the globe. But even more exciting is decentralized solar power which is

      a) Less likely to be stolen/destroyed by bandits.
      b) Extends lighted hours (for education and business) far into the night.
      c) Can drive laptops, wi-fi, fans, and small food cooler/heaters (for insulin and similar items more than for sodas).

      And solar just keeps getting cheaper. Like the space program, solar power investment has a huge payoff for the startup cost the government funded.

      And it has an interesting feedback loop with fossil fuels. It reduces their use by just a tiny amount- but that's enough to significantly drop the prices of fossil fuels because the price of all fossil fuel is set by the cost of the most expensive fossil fuel.

      If it costs $90 to get out the last barrel, the $10 a barrel is sold for $90. If you destroy demand for oil over $60 a barrel, then all oil will be sold at $60.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    48. Re: And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I received a $7000 tax credit. I thank you and all the taxpayers for your support of solar power.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    49. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 3, Insightful

      People don't count 2 to 3 trillion and 4000 lives lost fighting over oil as a "subsidy" but it is.

      People don't count toxic site clean up of fossil fuel sites as a subsidy but it is.

      People don't count free right of way land as a subsidy but it is.

      I'd still like to see the source for your $5 trillion figure. That's pretty high.

      Solar power is reaching a point where a subsidy isn't needed.

      However- the network effect of power companies is being lost and they will be forced to charge higher rates as their fixed costs will be spread over fewer customers. One way they are adapting is recognizing the fixed costs and charging them as a base to all customers including solar customers who don't use much electricity.

      Likewise, explicit subsidies for solar and net metering are both being aggressively lobbied out of existence.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    50. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It sounds like there is no subsidy, just a reduction in the tax payable. In other words it costs the taxpayer nothing, they just collect less tax on something you might not have bought otherwise.

      --
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      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    51. Re: And my monthy electric bill... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Well, its not like I had a choice.

    52. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      I know you live in a unique bubble where everything comes up roses, but real energy prices have been increasing for the majority of us for years. Enough so that I'm looking at a solar installation to offset those increasing prices.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    53. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      The International Monetary Fund has done several studies of fossil fuel subsidies.
      The latest update is here:
      https://www.imf.org/external/n...
      "Energy subsidies are estimated at US$5.3 Trillion for 2015, or 6.5% of global GDP."

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    54. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      The International Monetary Fund has done several studies of fossil fuel subsidies.
      The latest update is here:
      https://www.imf.org/external/n...
      "Energy subsidies are estimated at US$5.3 Trillion for 2015, or 6.5% of global GDP."

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    55. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      The International Monetary Fund has done several studies of fossil fuel subsidies.
      The latest update is here:
      https://www.imf.org/external/n...
      "Energy subsidies are estimated at US$5.3 Trillion for 2015, or 6.5% of global GDP."

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    56. Re: And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      In that case, good sir, I applaud your good natured support of solar energy.
      I should also thank you for the $10,000 subsidy I received for buying my electric car.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    57. Re: And my monthy electric bill... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      I sure you feel you deserved it.

    58. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Bratch · · Score: 1

      I know solar is good, but as more people get it, people without it will be paying higher prices for electricity, so the energy companies can keep up their revenue.

      It's similar to conserving water during a drought. The water company still needs an operational budget, so the more you conserve, the more they will charge to operate at the same level.

      --
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    59. Re: And my monthy electric bill... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      "You can't always get what you want... but if you try real hard, you get what you need."

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    60. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I have people telling me their power costs 1/5 what mine costs, so my bubble sucks.

      I've been paying for delivered generated solar power, which comes at a slightly-higher premium than my local coal and gas power. I also buy carbon-offset gas power, again at a premium. My heating bills have not increased by very much at all in 5 years.

      My house has 66% of its wall-area exposed; 87% of that is un-insulated. I'm looking into adding rigid foam insulation to 25% of the exposed wall area in the short term and 75% in the long term, plus insulative batting to 50% of the exposed wall area. The ceiling has 50% of the exposure area of the wall area, and will get insulative batting and a radiant barrier (this is extremely effective for summer overhead sun, and somewhat less effective for winter rising heat: almost all downward-moving heat is radiant heat).

      I expect the addition of insulation to cost $1,000 on 25% of the area and $4,000 on 50% of the exposed area. I expect ceiling and in-wall insulation to cost under $1,000 in total. A corresponding 95% drop in heating and AC costs should lower my bills from around $280 in winter to around $70, and from $150 in summer to around $40. This is to heat a house with 1350 square feet plus 600sqft basement.

      While the cost of $6,000 seems steep for a $2,250 annual savings, it gives me an opportunity to add double-thick drywall with Green Glue for noise isolation, and stabilizes my monthly expenses to 29% of my income from 34% of my income. My eventual target is 11% of my income: each month of employment should allow me to save for 9 months of expenses.

    61. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      Complete rubbish, modern turbines are expected to last 40 years, even offshore turbines can produce electricity cheaper than nuclear. Denmark for instance gets a high percentage of it's electricity from wind and it's paying under 10c per kwh and that's including subsidies, when the subsidies end it'll be less than 10c per kwh. (10c euro)

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    62. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      How about four times the rate of inflation in this situation:
      https://ipa.org.au/publications/1828/electricity-prices-skyrocket-around-australia

      The site has political bias and nothing resembling academic rigor but they can do simple sums and get them right.

    63. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Really? Where id you get that from? Are gas prices that low now? Will they stay low?
      It used to be an expensive way to cover peaks but far quicker to bring online than coal.

    64. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      A major point for it is independance or partial independance from price gouging utilities. So for some people it's an obvious win but for others where the utilities are less predatory it is not so obvious.

    65. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      renewables get many times the subsidy of conventional sources if you calculate it on a per MWH basis

      That's true, you can win if you move the goalposts over the top of the ball.

      Meanwhile in the real world we have really fucked up by inventing the stuff then giving almost the entire solar game away to China for ideological reasons. What's wrong with a bit of help to give Americans a bit of an opportunity to get into the market and stop all the money from going offshore?

    66. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Do you replace your car every year? No? Then it's a pretty stupidly narrow constraint isn't it?

    67. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Cheaper batteries and continued price gouging by utilities are likely to make it become more common instead of less. Expect a trend of a lot of people going off grid if the Tesla battery factory lives up to the hype.

    68. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Jack+Griffin · · Score: 1

      Are you the spokesperson for the Koch Brothers?

    69. Re: And my monthy electric bill... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Which is a lie. First off, if you lived here, you would know that Nat gas is far far cheaper than coal. Secondly, it has been utilities that have decided how to make the energy matrix, except that the state requires xcell to have 20% renewable. Of that, the wind is already more than 20% of Xcel and is cheaper than then coal. So go peddle your lies elsewhere.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    70. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Jack+Griffin · · Score: 1

      Did you include taxpayer funded portion in that? How much help are we giving you?

      Probably less than I'm giving you. If you want to play that game, how much tax did you pay last year?

    71. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Jack+Griffin · · Score: 1

      Lots of energy sources get subsidies, but only with renewables to individuals get the money directly.

      Rather than Haliburton, KBR et al? I know which I prefer...

      And for comparison's sake, renewables get many times the subsidy of conventional sources if you calculate it on a per MWH basis. Its not even close. No energy has ever gotten subsidized as heavily as renewables.

      What about when you include the body count?

    72. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Thanks.

      Some of those seem like "funny" numbers to me. Placing a value on things which were not previously valued such as mild air pollution.

      I read the report tho and it didn't include subsidies to alternative energy which was one of my concerns.

      Thanks for the link.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    73. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Mast-less designs have been done but not successfully, and not at large scale.

      Not successfully? Savonius turbines are older than electricity, and they work without a mast. Granted, they have not been done at large scale, but suggesting that mast-less VAWTs don't work is beyond idiotic.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    74. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      The average rate where I am is around $0.08 / kWh. I have already added a radiant barrier to one attic, and it made a big enough difference I'm looking to add it to the rest. If you do it yourself, it's downright cheap, although it does suck to work in the attic.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    75. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      EIGHT CENTS!? I pay 9.8/kWh for coal-oil, 10.2/kWh for solar (hence why I bought into pure solar); plus transmission fees takes it to some 15 cents, and taxes raises it to 18 cents per kWh. Natural gas was 58 cents per therm, but is now down to 50 cents here; I can get a 2-year contract for 52 cents.

    76. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by AlterEager · · Score: 1

      You seem to have misread aaarrrgggh's post -- he wasn't talking about "modern turbines", he was talking about VAWTs

    77. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by CaptainLard · · Score: 2

      Agree 100% that it's not for everyone. My post was in response to someone who lives in CO, USA where there are ~300 days of sunshine per year with a sun that's more intense than sea level and most houses are on plains where there is minimal shade. But prices have come down so much that even if solar didn't make sense 2 years ago your area it might be worth another look.

      Yes there are some issues with leasing panels and selling houses. However, the real estate industry has caught up quickly and has developed tools to gracefully handle lease transfers or removals. Perhaps I should have said "take a hard look at solar".

    78. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Gr8Apes · · Score: 1

      I could easily pay that much, but it's an interesting tightrope. In Tennessee the average is sub 6 cents thanks to the TVA. Oh, and that is the total cost including transmission fees for 1kWh+ / month usage without upper cap restrictions, there are cheaper plans as long as you go with restrictions on use such as time of day or usage windwos, which if exceeded remove pretty much all benefits and push you to the "real" rate above about 13 cents per kWh. On my plan, if I drop under a cap, I pay more per kWh, something like 12-14 cents, but that's immaterial as to negatively affecting budget, I'd rather have a slightly raised floor than a rapidly escalating ceiling. If I add local solar generation, then it could start to get interesting.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    79. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by vandamme · · Score: 1

      Here in upstate NY we vote against those stupid policies regularly, and it does no good because The City votes for them. Until recently we were a monarchy headed by Sheldon Silver.

    80. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      Mine went down. I own six solar panels and buy wind and hydro energy from Seattle City Light, which is 98 percent green.

      Some of that could be because I cut operating costs by replacing my old fridge, washer, and dryer for more efficient EnergyStar high rated ones, and replaced all my lights with LEDs I bought on sale, of course.

      Adapt.

      The future is not fossil fuels.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    81. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Who needs synthetic methane? Pig farms, cattle ranches, and cities produce a huge natural supply.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    82. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Solar generation isn't worth it if you can only install 2 panels; if you can install a 7kW array, it's well worth it.

      People talk a lot about having no maintenance or whatever, but you still have to go up there from time to time to mop them off. That's the problem with distributed solar: too much cost with management spread over a huge, complex area; it's only acceptable at a mid-scale (a few kW, not half a kW) with the resident handling the maintenance, since otherwise the transit time to get workers between sites to do sparse maintenance gets you shit like Solarcity where they charge you 95% of what solar should save you and give you a 2 cent/kWh discount. Some of us don't like going up on the roof to do maintenance once a month when the seagulls decide to paint our panels (and half the panel goes dark if you cover 10% of it--a single maple leaf can shut off half of an entire array if it's run by a string inverter).

      I want panels, but only if I can put them on 80% of my roof area. I have a thin attic (rafters, not space) and can make the argument that firefighters can cut open the rear and front wall and avoid the panels; as well, the line is 240VAC center tap, and the power cuts off if you cut line power (the microinverters are on the panels, and they shut down if they don't have mains power to sync to). That gets around the nightmare of navigating a 600VDC circuit trying to find an entry point for a roof vent to let smoke and heat out; regulations in many states require a 3 foot setback for such breaches during fire.

    83. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Gryle · · Score: 1

      How do you propose we capture that?

      --
      Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not entirely sure about the universe - Einstein
    84. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1
      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    85. Re:And my monthy electric bill... by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      At least in Ontario our nuclear and hydroelectric generation is expensive. It contributed 40% to our price hike last fall. Of course that's most likely over paying the employees.

      http://globalnews.ca/news/2279...

  2. Thanks @sierraclub by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    The Sierra Club Beyond Coal campaign has really helped in getting this going. http://content.sierraclub.org/...

  3. Nuclear FUD by Luthair · · Score: 1

    Brought to you by the coal industry.

    1. Re:Nuclear FUD by fbobraga · · Score: 1

      Really! And "taxpayer" bullshit too!

  4. But..it's still growing by evolutionary · · Score: 1

    With 7+ Billion people and a large chunk of them in China and India in poor areas with little to no electricity, what happens when they start demanding access to the conveniences of the modern word?

    --
    "Imagination is more important than knowledge" - Einstein
    1. Re:But..it's still growing by Smidge204 · · Score: 2

      Hopefully they'll be smart and go for sustainable energy alternatives rather than turning their countryside upside-down in search of fossil fuels.

      The latecomers to the modern energy economy have the advantage of other nation's experiences... Hopefully they also have the wisdom to exploit it.
      =Smidge=

    2. Re:But..it's still growing by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      With 7+ Billion people and a large chunk of them in China and India in poor areas with little to no electricity, what happens when they start demanding access to the conveniences of the modern word?

      I think a dictionary would be in order.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    3. Re:But..it's still growing by btroy · · Score: 1

      You may find this article interesting. I think it explained India's dilemma well. http://www.wired.com/2015/11/c...

    4. Re:But..it's still growing by Jack+Griffin · · Score: 1

      With 7+ Billion people and a large chunk of them in China and India in poor areas with little to no electricity, what happens when they start demanding access to the conveniences of the modern word?

      Such as?
      The advantage of living in a truly modern world (instead of a 1970's version of modern which most of the West is ensnared), is that new electrical devices are incredibly efficient. An average family with LED TVs, lights, phones, tablet etc could almost get by now on solar and a batteries. Unlike your average fat American who needs 10kwh/day to get by, your average human will get by on 3kwh/day or less. So there is a convergence between energy generation, storage and use which means this won't be an issue for the next generation of modern humans.

  5. it's working by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

    large and powerful companies can buy off some of the people in congress, enough to block any real reform. so the new tactic is to fight them everywhere which companies are not prepared to fight because it means you have to buy off all the little people which would be quite expensive and the little people can't always be bought. i think you will find that after much of the coal industry has fallen, only then will congressional reform be possible.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  6. Make it part of the cellphone bill by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Interestingly, electrification is now proceeding as an appliances service. Phone, light and radio come with solar and battery. Don't pay your bill? The devices won't work. http://www.economist.com/news/...

  7. Critical mass by johnsmithperson123 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I wonder when the fossil/nuclear/hydro vs wind/solar ratio will tip us over into regular Brownouts. Wind and solar are not the future, unless you want to have to turn on your less efficient plants every night. Nah, the real future is in nuclear, hydro, and limited fossil fuels (mostly natural gas). Solar will go away after the Federal subsidies end, and wind is more expensive than either alternative anyway.

    1. Re:Critical mass by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Nope. Turns out RE enhances reliability. http://www.rmi.org/reinventing...

    2. Re:Critical mass by DarkTempes · · Score: 1

      If we learn to store energy better then we can harvest all of the energy we need for the night during the day.

      Fossil fuels are basically stored solar energy after all...

      I agree that solar doesn't make sense everywhere and that a variety of production methods are necessary but I can't see solar going away.
      Grabbing some of the energy that the sun is blasting us with just makes too much sense.

    3. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Is that supposed to be a joke?

      Renewable energy is more reliable than Nuclear, Hydroelectric, and Natural gas plants? Since when? How do you define reliable to twist that statement into being anywhere close to correct?

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    4. Re:Critical mass by mdsolar · · Score: 1
    5. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      You know, I think you might have a reading comprehension problem. How does a national power grid making power cheaper even come close to supporting your assertion that somehow renewable energy is more reliable or cheaper? The article you linked has nothing about relative prices of "renewables" vs nuclear, hydro, natural gas.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    6. Re:Critical mass by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      I think the idea is that the others will gradually be moved to backup the solar and wind generation. It makes sense as you need build no more nuke or gas plants since the majority of the load will transfer to renewables. It's a gradual process which is what drives the tree huggers insane. They want it all now and the other side wants to stay on coal forever but the truth is that we will move to renewables at a slow, steady rate because that's the most economical way to do it. The biggest threat to the power industry though is batteries. If local storage ever becomes economical then there will be a huge switch to off grid electrical because, why not? No more bills, simply set it up and be independent. All it takes is cheap power storage. I pray for that day to come.

    7. Re:Critical mass by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      And faster. http://thesolutionsproject.org... Better, cheaper, faster. Pick all three.

    8. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 2

      I agree, but trying to claim that solar or wind is more reliable is very suspect. Hydro could be called reliable, but even that has its reliability issues as Lake Mead's current state should show.

      http://www.livescience.com/519...

      But solar and wind, or even the two combined have nothing on nuclear for reliability.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    9. Re:Critical mass by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Nuclear and hydroelectric plants are large and when they go offline, it's a big shock for the grid.
      Solar and wind are widely distributed, small installations and a single point of failure has little effect. It's pretty much impossible to have a large scale failure of wind and solar (renewables are a distributed network kind of like the Internet). Much more reliable and predictable.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    10. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 2

      There is a large scale failure of solar every single day...it is called night. Wind is a bit better about this, but having to build out 2-3 times the needed capacity to handle times when parts are not running increases the cost considerably.

      Nuclear goes offline for maintenance all the time without issues, even sudden shutdowns of nuke plants are handled without issue. However, powering everything when the wind is not blowing, or the sun is not shining would be kind of hard with just renewable.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    11. Re:Critical mass by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I think you need a better understanding of "reliability".

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    12. Re:Critical mass by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      "Night" is no more a failure of solar power than a scheduled shutdown is a failure of any other type of plant. The problem is when it goes offline unexpectedly, and in that respect solar is extremely reliable.

      (Most people are not surprised by nightfall.)
      =Smidge=

    13. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Offline unexpectedly? You mean like when a cloud covers the sun?

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    14. Re:Critical mass by Smidge204 · · Score: 1
    15. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Which is a risk with any power generation system. The transformers went offline, that can happen with Solar Thermal, Coal, Natural Gas, Hydro, (depending on setup) even solar and wind.

      Every large scale power generation uses transformers, in power plants they are generally out in the open to allow air cooling. Then the transformers go offline, the plant shuts down to prevent damaging the electrical infrastructure further. This happens in solar installs to when there is damage to the inverter, so how is this any different?

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    16. Re:Critical mass by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1

      Well for starters: how do you define renewable energy? One would argue that hydroelectric is renewable. Second, procuring nuclear and natural gas materials is not exactly guaranteed. While humans have more experience with drilling and mining, it is conceivable that obtaining sources for nuclear power and natural gas will be more scarce as time goes on. Unless humans cloud the sky like in the Matrix, the sun will always be there.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
    17. Re:Critical mass by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It turns out that if you spread of lot of little generating sources around the consequences of failure of a single unit are less than large ones with major dependencies and network bottlenecks.
      Does that help? Are you looking for such a simple and honest answer based on education and experience or are you just playing some sort of debate game?

    18. Re:Critical mass by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I think the idea is that the others will gradually be moved to backup the solar and wind generation.

      No.
      While it may seem desirable to do so the reality is that thermal units (coal, nuclear and some others) take time to be brought on line so perform best when used continually. Attempting to do otherwise drives fuel costs through the roof and dramatically reduces the life of the units. Think about how much expansion you get by changing the temperature of a steel tube by 600C to get an idea of why things like thermal fatigue kill units that are run intermittently.

      Some gas fired units are a different story but they are small and expensive to run per MWh unless the gas price has hit rock bottom.

      All it takes is cheap power storage

      The point is to follow demand and storage is always a loss. We talk about storage a lot now because there is a lot of "base load" generation overnight that only gets usage due to encouragement such as lower prices. With less capacity that is best run whether it's actually needed or not there is less requirement for storage. Why store and throw energy away from losses when you can match the demand?

    19. Re:Critical mass by dbIII · · Score: 1

      but having to build out 2-3 times the needed capacity

      We do that and more already. Peak loads are a pain, seasonal ones that may not come up every year more so.

      However, powering everything when the wind is not blowing

      Go ask a small child to show you a weather map and try to think in more than one dimension. It staggers me that an argument that depends on having windmills in one place is still argued by adults. I don't even like windmills, I'm from the coal and oil industry and used to work in coal fired power stations, but some things are just too ridiculous to be put up as a serious argument.

    20. Re:Critical mass by dbIII · · Score: 1

      An unexpected cloud that covers and entire continental grid? We'd better put something in space to spot things like that. Maybe we can put the pictures from that on TV every night as a side benefit.
      Sarcasm aside, please stop discussing this in a one dimensional manner. Power is generated at multiple points in a grid since it's not 1920. The tiny unit sizes of solar mean that losing output on a few has far less impact than a 500MW unit dropping out which is the sort of thing grids have to deal with on a regular basis (far too regular with some aging units out there).

    21. Re:Critical mass by dbIII · · Score: 1

      We are discussing small distributed units on the solar/wind/etc side so please try again with something that applies.

    22. Re:Critical mass by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      If local storage ever becomes economical then there will be a huge switch to off grid electrical because, why not?

      In some cases it is already competitive. I have some land up in northern Minnesota and will be putting a cabin up on it at some point. If I want power I have 3 options, a gas generator, pay for a 1/2 mile run and transformer from the power company up there, or do off grid renewable. I don't really want to fuck around with a portable gas generator as they are either inexpensive and noisy, or quiet and expensive all while requiring buying fuel and requiring maintenance. So that leaves either renewables with a low installed capacity with a large storage (given the usage pattern it will experience), or pay a huge upfront cost for a 1/2 mile run and transformer and then pay for the hookup and any usage costs I incur. In this case it looks to be in the $10,000-$20,000 range for the run and transformer so for that amount I could get a pretty nice solar+wind+battery system that would meet my needs.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    23. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Solar/wind/etc uses transformers too, usually called inverters in that context. They also have the same failure modes, though are generally less exposed.

      But, no, we were not talking about small distributed units, but the reliability of grid power run completely on renewables vs having nuclear/hydro/natural gas power backing up the solar and wind power. This whole thread was about the reliability of grid scale renewables, not your home power system.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    24. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Click on Parent until you get to the top of the thread, then try to tell me I am wrong that renewable is less reliable than nuclear/hydro/fossil power. You are the one hopping into the middle of a thread and claiming things that weren't in the earlier discussion. Also, arguing in a sibling of this post that we are talking about home renewables when the whole thread was about grid scale, now you are claiming that grid is more reliable because a cloud can't cover large sections of the grid.

      Anyways, yes, cloud cover can cover large sections of the grid. When storms roll through the US, they can cover whole regions, and so your point is that we can have enough spare solar/wind to back up a quarter of the country at a time? You seem to not understand how power grids work. You are also arguing that cloud cover and losing all your solar power generation at night isn't an issue, as that is the thread you are replying to, so how can you argue that point?

      If solar is more reliable, while still going out every night, and having cloud cover negatively effect it, but nuclear is extremely unreliable in comparison (the argument at the very beginning of this thread), then I would love to know what world you are living in.

      http://www.weather.gov/satelli...

      So, how will you backup that half the map that is covered with clouds right now? Solar power is nearly useless when it is cloudy, so, please enlighten me on how wrong I am that this is somehow more reliable than nuclear/hydro/fossil.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    25. Re:Critical mass by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Bullshit is bullshit no matter what argument it is meant to support. Please keep that in mind. No matter what the benefits are of one thing it is very annoying when falsehoods are used to make other things appear far more inferior than they are to skew a comparison.
      Go ask a high school kids about a weather map and photos of cloud cover to get an idea of how you have reached deep into the realm of the ridiculous in the hope of forcibly pushing a point of view.

      We have an energy mix for a reason. Those arguing for a monoculture are in my opinion either selling something or deluded fanboys.

      Arguing against a distributed power network with situations that depend on the generation happening in one place (one dimensional thinking) indicate either trying to put something over on the ignorant and gullible or being ignorant and gullible yourself.
      I don't think I should walk past attempts to convince people via silly little verbal shell games to abandon technology for purely empty ideological reasons.

    26. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Well, isn't it great then that I used no falsehoods, but instead pointed out that; indeed, solar power and wind power is significantly less reliable than nuclear, hydro, and fossil power, for the many reasons indicated above. I am so glad that you have issues with falsehoods, such as this assertion above:

      Nope. Turns out RE enhances reliability. http://www.rmi.org/reinventing... [rmi.org]

      That somehow renewable energy is more reliable than the system we had before widescale deployment of RE.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    27. Re:Critical mass by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      We have an energy mix for a reason. Those arguing for a monoculture are in my opinion either selling something or deluded fanboys.

      Exactly, thank you for agreeing with me. Mdsolar keeps advocating for a monoculture of renewable energy, which as everyone in the industry knows is not possible.

      I did not argue against the usage of solar, wind or any other power source, I stated that solar and wind are far less reliable than nuclear, hydro, and fossil. Quit putting words into my mouth. I have suggested to no one to not use solar power, I however will fight dishonesty I see people using to support their own personal agenda, which in mdsolar's case is making more money selling solar panels by deriding nuclear like it is the worst thing in the world.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    28. Re:Critical mass by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      For fossil fuels to be stored solar energy the world would have to be more than 6,000 years old and everyone knows that's just not true. Fossil fuels are God's gift for us to use however we want and they won't damage His environment because He loves us. It's all in the Bible.

    29. Re:Critical mass by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      For the humour challenged I was joking and made that BS up.

    30. Re:Critical mass by dbIII · · Score: 1

      A dead link as something to cite? What a disgusting shell game you are playing.

  8. Re:Good! by khallow · · Score: 1

    Nothing the Kock bros do is for the Greater Good(tm), they are in it for themselves alone.

    Even if that were true, their interests do overlap with poor people and small businesses.

    If the Kock empire were to vaporize overnight, I would be shocked if a statistically measurable number of "the poor" or "small businesses" had any negative change in their lives.

    Depends how it were vaporized. Nuclear weapons, for example, would leave a mark on those other groups too.

  9. Re: Good! by johnsmithperson123 · · Score: 1

    I don't know, I think a whole lot of superPACs, candidates, and special interests would be very sad. Or happy if you found a different one.

  10. Re:Good! by jfengel · · Score: 1

    I don't disagree, but this doesn't really affect the Kochs all that much. They're in oil and gas, not coal. It may even be helping them: a lot of the capacity shifts to gas plants, which they supply through fracking.

    The drop in oil prices may be hurting them, and some of their fracking operations have as they're no longer profitable. So you can take that as a bit of cheery news.

  11. Re:Thank god! by clong83 · · Score: 1

    I support nuclear and don't generally enjoy your submissions, but I am very happy to see you have a good sense of humor about it. Enjoy your day.

  12. Re:Good! by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Depends how it were vaporized. Nuclear weapons, for example, would leave a mark on those other groups too.

    Drone strikes, limited casualties.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  13. First sentence makes no sense by chudnall · · Score: 1

    Even if electricity demand were growing very quickly, capacity additions don't have to exceed retirements by much in order to keep the grid functioning.

    --
    Disclaimer: Evolution comes with NO WARRANTY, except for the IMPLIED WARRANTY of FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.
    1. Re:First sentence makes no sense by chudnall · · Score: 1

      Nevermind, it didn't say what I thought it said

      --
      Disclaimer: Evolution comes with NO WARRANTY, except for the IMPLIED WARRANTY of FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.
  14. The power plants retired had low capacity because by pjv936 · · Score: 1

    they were more expensive to run. The utilities don't really care whether or not the plants pollute. What they care about is how expensive they are to run. Old power plants tend to be less efficient in converting fossil fuel to electricity. The general dispatching rule is that the cheapest power plants go online first until you satisfy the demand. Which means that old power plants only go online during peak demand periods. In fact some may only be on during the weekdays of the summer months. Since you still need them you have to maintain them and they are old so that can get expensive. There comes a point where that does not make sense anymore.

  15. The case for optimism on climate change by doug141 · · Score: 1

    New TED talk
    http://www.ted.com/talks/al_go...

    Starting at 13:40 he shows graphs of the exponential growth of wind, solar, and batteries that are driving the move to renewables.

  16. Seriously? by tacokill · · Score: 1

    What the heck does this have to do with the Koch brothers or Koch anything? Koch doesn't deal with coal and they don't own any electricity generation companies (that I know of).....so this doesn't appear to have anything to do with them or their companies. Are you so blinded by hatred and ignorance that you can't take 2 seconds to learn something about them?

    It's hard to take the Koch haters seriously when they can't do basic research or differentiate between the different kinds of "energy". Hint: It ain't just electricity...

  17. Re:Wait by desdinova+216 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think it's more the fact that the current Republicans would rather see things go down in flames than cooperate with Obama

  18. Re:Good! by tnk1 · · Score: 1

    You wouldn't be able to take them out of the equation without hurting some people who don't deserve it.

    The real question isn't whether you will be hurting people by doing that. The question is whether you will be hurting fewer people over a longer interval than if you just left them there.

    Note, I don't think the Koch brothers are the evil genius behind the Illuminati that is running the US. That's just bogeyman in the closet sort of bullshit. The problem with the country is how it is run, and while the Koch brothers may be part of that, maybe even a larger part of it than most, you wouldn't end the problem by removing them. It's not even clear that they wouldn't be replaced by something or someone worse.

    If you want cleaner energy, then definitely take the step of both promoting and using it. Remain positive and keep moving forward, and you'll find that obstacles will still be there, but they will fall apart when reality sets in.

  19. Re:Wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I think it's more the fact that the current Republicans would rather see things go down in flames than cooperate with Obama

    Dream on. Obama's deliberately divisive. Read up on Critical Race theory - where EVERYTHING is about race.

  20. Thanks @algore by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Relentless.

  21. Hydroelectricity FTW! by fbobraga · · Score: 1
    1. Re:Hydroelectricity FTW! by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      Screw the salmon!!!

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    2. Re:Hydroelectricity FTW! by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      You can build the dams on all of those new rivers you keep making in the US. /s

      Most (all?) of the spots suitable for dams in the US already have dams built. There's a few spots left in Canada. You can't just put a dam where there is a river. You need the right terrain, the right ground (so that it can support the weight of the dam and the water), and there can't be anything important up river for quite a way from the proposed dam. Plus the river needs to be a certain size too, without a lot of silt, no endangered animals dependant on the river, ... There's lots of things that I don't even know about since it isn't my field. There just aren't a lot of good spots to build a dam.

    3. Re:Hydroelectricity FTW! by fbobraga · · Score: 1

      I'm Brazilian (where almost 100% of electric power supplies comes from Hydro) :P

  22. Re:Problems with the summary by Flavianoep · · Score: 1

    Oops, I modded you up before noticing that you insulted the OP. I'm just correcting that.

    --
    Linux is for people who don't mind RTFM.
  23. Oh no! by aron1231 · · Score: 1

    We are all going to die from Global Warming!!

  24. ROI on solar by sjbe · · Score: 2

    If you own your roof it will lower your bill no matter how you do it (pay cash, lease, solar installer becomes your power company).

    It may lower your monthly bill but that doesn't mean it's cheaper to you. I've done the math and for what it would cost me to cover my roof in solar panels I would break even in somewhere between 8-12 years. That's presuming that the panels still work at the same efficiency and require zero maintenance and that I'm still living there a decade from now, none of which is certain.

    Don't get me wrong I'm a big fan of solar but the ROI for solar is anything but simple and certainly isn't quick. Its a big up front cash outlay with a (hopefully) long term payback that isn't always realized by the person spending the cash.

  25. Re:Wait by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 2

    The vast majority of new oil production added to the global market over the past 10 years is from the US. Saudi production is up 7%. US production is up 60%.

  26. Solar wind cheaper anyway by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Without massive government subsidies, exclusions, and tax exemptions for coal, it's way too expensive to use, even without counting the 259,000 kids killed by coal.

    Time to adapt.

    Note that some of the coal plant retirements are for older end of cycle power plants, but more recent power plants may be retrofitted for more efficient use as coal cogeneration power plants, where we trap the waste heat and use it for other purposes, at the same time as outfitting the stacks with pollution scrubbers. This does end up increasing total power generation by 20-80 percent above original specs, but you need a process that can use the waste heat appropriately.

    So not all the "retired" coal plants are gone forever, as business analysts incorrectly surmised when China retrofitted their coal plants for pollution scrubbing cogeneration coal plants. They just go away for a while as their internal processes are optimized for the 20th century instead of the 18th century.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  27. What?!? by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

    Are you trying to tell me my zero emmissions vehicle... actually produces emmissions?!?

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
  28. Re:Wait by kqs · · Score: 1

    I never thought I would call Newt Gingrich "the reasonable one"!

  29. I went solar, but not so impressed .... by King_TJ · · Score: 1

    Out here in Maryland, I'm not convinced that going solar makes a whole lot of financial sense. We're one of the states where it's pushed heavily, but we have quite a few days that are cloudy, rainy, snowy or just partially overcast, where panels just don't generate much power.

    I purchased a 7.84 KWh PV system with a combination of South and East facing panels (all SunPower branded equipment which does cost a premium, but also means I've got panels with a little greater efficiency per square foot and hopefully backed by a warranty I can have more faith in than some).

    The total cost with installation for this system, back at the end of 2014, was around $32,000. And yes, tax credits promised me 33% of that cost back -- but the way my taxes have worked out, I only got about $3,000 of it back the first year. (Not a tax expert or anything, but I'm assuming it's because I had enough other deductions so there wasn't enough earned income left to allow deducting more than that, for that tax year.) Anyway, on this year's return, I believe it was the same way.... I got a few more thousand of it back, but not the whole thing. This was rather unfortunate since the installer convinced me to take out a 1 year long 0% interest "bridge loan" for $10K to help finance the initial purchase, with the promise that "your first tax refund will let you pay it off before you owe any interest on it". Nope.... not so. I had to scramble to come up with money to pay the thing down.

  30. Re:Good! by khallow · · Score: 1

    Even if their interests overlap, hurting Kochs hurts Kochs themselves the most, not poor people and small business (the original statement and GGP's response)

    That's ludicrous and one doesn't need to go beyond the current topic to see why. Most of the Koch family businesses are not dependent on coal production or consumption. So a drop in coal power plants doesn't hurt them very much. Meanwhile we have a significant impairment of US electricity production which hurts a lot of poor. So something that hurts the Koch brothers has IMHO hurt the poor even more, contrary to your assertion.

    Would poor people and small business be hurt a bit? Probably, but still not as much as Kochs would be hurt. That's what we keep telling the poor anyway, that the problems of the poor aren't nearly as bad as the rich have it, and the poor should shut up, let the rich walk over you, and maybe one day YOU will be rich and be the one walking over others!

    That's a pretty story.

  31. Capacity factor of units to provide peak power? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    One thing readers should pay attention to and one trick the unscrupulous should stop pulling is talking about the capacity factor of units that are mainly used to cover a peak. Of course it's going to be low. It's low because demand is not constant and you only being things on line when you need them.

    Comparing windmills and large thermal units (coal, nuclear, some others) is like comparing a bicycle to a locomotive - while they both move they are intended for different roles.


    I'm not accusing the above poster of pulling the trick but since it seems to come up every time this topic comes up I thought it was worth mentioning before the slimy salesfolk slithered out.

    1. Re:Capacity factor of units to provide peak power? by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      One thing readers should pay attention to and one trick the unscrupulous should stop pulling is talking about the capacity factor

      Insightful++

      please mod up!

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    2. Re:Capacity factor of units to provide peak power? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      The Darius VAWT which I indirectly referenced was hurt by its "gale force wind" peak power numbers, which put capacity factor at 12%. Compensating generously for this, you might have been closer to 20%, which would have been competitive for the early 90's.

      Today though a well sited 2MW+ HAWT will give a capacity factor closer to 40%, which is great.

      To the parent's comment regarding manipulation of capacity factor data, while it shouldn't preclude use of renewable energy, it is meaningful for comparing total cost of different power sources.

    3. Re:Capacity factor of units to provide peak power? by dbIII · · Score: 1

      That number is actually totally irrelevant since it comes from when the grid requires a bit of extra input so a windmill is brought on line.

  32. Out of date by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Out of date - a lot of the US production has shut down due to the Saudi price war.
    Turns out that Bush's special friends are not so friendly.

    1. Re:Out of date by Ralph+Wiggam · · Score: 1

      I just showed you that the "Saudi price war" is made up bullshit.

    2. Re:Out of date by dbIII · · Score: 1

      So those people out of work did not lose their jobs?
      Of course it's real. Try reading a newspaper instead of making things up.

  33. Re:Wait by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    You know, if ole Bill had managed to control his pecker

    Seriously, so fucking what. Bill got his dick sucked by a young saucy intern - welcome to the world of having testosterone. If I was Bill I'd have looked the camera in the eye and said "Fuck yeah I had sex with her, I'm only human - I'll apologize to my wife but the rest of you can get in line and suck whatever is left. Next question."

    If you wanted a reason to impeach Clinton it should have been for not taking a case of the finest Kentucky Bourbon whiskey he could find, presented it to Boris Yeltzin and said "Sign this Nuclear Disarmament treaty motherfucker and you can have this to get you started"

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  34. Re:Wait by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    He's made zero attempts to work with them. His idea of working with them is for him to send them shit to pass and they need to shut up and rubber stamp it. I'll admit they're some sad fuckers but to say he's tried to work with them is an absolute, total lie.

  35. Re:Wait by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    Not an Obama fan but that's really not true. He plays along with the liberals on race but he's not leading the pity pack on that.

  36. Re:Wait by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    Listen fool. I don't give a shit if he got his dick sucked and shoved a cigar up her cunt either. Still and all, he serves the American public and if the majority or even just a significant portion of them don't think it's right for him to be getting his jollies on the job then he should maybe think about the ramifications of what he's doing. He got caught, which is a cardinal sin, because he wasn't discrete and he didn't cull shit. He'd stick it any bitch any time no matter where or how ugly and fat. Seriously, what's with that? He ruined his presidency because he couldn't control his dick. Just because you and I don't care doesn't change that fact.

  37. Re: Wait by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Even here we are being astroturfed by what is pretty much American far right fascisism. I miss having Republicans in the GOP.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  38. Re:And my monthy electric bill.. by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    Yeah. It says I'm using the system the way it was intended from the top down, not from bottomfeeding which you are implying. The idea of introducing externalities in your cost analysis in a negative way would completely offset the whole purpose that government subsidies have in the first place: drive policy via financial incentives.

    In that regard I absolutely do not nor will ever take into account subsidies I get on my solar panels, just like I don't take into account the tax I pay on fuel when I fill up my car. The point of these is to push a certain technology paid for by taxes that will get taxed regardless of whether it gets pumped into environmental initiatives, donated to oil companies, spent on healthcare, or spent on warfare. If you disagree with any of those then the place for those discussions is in the political realm, not in a cost benefit analysis of something you're purchasing.

    This post brought to you by the NBN, a $45bn network funded by my taxes.

  39. Re:And my monthy electric bill.. by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

    So, you are implying that total cost benefit analysis should not include total cost. And the reason is that the government spends a lot of money in a lot of places. I'm not sure I buy that. I think its very important to look at real cost when we are charting our energy future.

  40. Re:Wait by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    Still and all, he serves the American public

    My point was that he could have delivered an arms treaty that would have made the world a better place and been a great man for doing so.

    Just because you and I don't care doesn't change that fact.

    Well my point was that people care more about what his cock was doing and forget that a great opportunity was lost. You pretty much proved my point.

    Listen fool.

    I wasn't actually directing Seriously, so fucking what that at you, just at the general situation. I should have made that clearer.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  41. Re:And my monthy electric bill.. by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    No I'm arguing that the total cost benefit analysis should cover only costs which are directly applicable and controllable.

    Here's my scenario. I pay x number of taxes per year. I buy a solar panel from my roof. I still pay the same x number of taxes per year if I don't build a solar panel on my roof. That money has been given to someone else. That someone else is in control of directing country policy. The country policy in this case subsidises solar panels. Not buying solar panels won't change that.

    Actually when I look at it now the result is even more in favour of going for subsidised options since I'm not only gaining benefits of the subsidy but I'm actually reclaiming some money I spent using that method.

    Don't agree with the subsidy? That's politics, not project cost-benefit analysis.

  42. Re:And my monthy electric bill.. by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

    You pay X amount of taxes relative to others. Your share changes with the tax credit, which is essentially taxpayers paying part of your power bill. You can rationalize it however you like.

    Yes, subsidy amounts are political and area separate argument, but that doesn't mean they don't factor in to real cost. I don't think you care about real cost, you are focused on yourself. I care about the systemic cost, which is key to our energy future.

  43. The idiocy of simplifying it to sides by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Oh, so now you are attacking another poster to get at me because you think I am on the same "side" instead of a discussion based upon reality?

    This empty ideologically motivated shit of dismissing an energy source merely because the party donors have another is annoying, depressing and makes you look like a complete and utter idiot.

    1. Re:The idiocy of simplifying it to sides by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Considering I never advocated AGAINST any power type, I am not sure who you mean to be replying to.

      You must have reading comprehension issues, or you are willfully ignoring the whole thread to attack specific points with strawmen. You are arguing against a whole conversation by trying to claim that the conversation wasn't about what it clearly is about if you read the whole thing, but keep up that tilting at windmills, I am sure you will get one of them eventually.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    2. Re:The idiocy of simplifying it to sides by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Considering I never advocated AGAINST any power type

      So it's very obvious lies now as if that stuff you wrote above about local events and extrapolating stupidly to an entire continent is not there for people to read?

      but keep up that tilting at windmills

      A bit of an ironic attack from someone toeing the party line of attacking wind power.
      What is it about these issues that brings out a lack of morality and a desire to brainwash? This political shit is turning this place into the sort of utter luddite shithole that the circle jerk political sites have become.

      You should be ashamed of attempting to manipulate the kiddies to the luddite view you are parroting from your political masters "comrade" but I doubt you are capable of shame.

  44. Re:His activity with Monica was not an article of by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    impeachment, you completely propagandized dolt. Let me mansplain it to you:

    You are also missing the point, and being a douchebag at the same time. The bigger picture was the opportunity for international nuclear disarmament treaty was lost which highlights the dysfunctional nature of two party politics. No steps forward, one step back.

    1. 2.

    It's was a good explanation. I wasn't aware of that, however it changes *nothing* about what I have said. The opportunity in history to make the world better was lost, as you mansplain, by Clinton's own folly which mansplains why his language in interacting with the press used specific legal terms. I would like to understand that part of history better however it is still irrelevant in terms of the point I have made.

    The Magna Carta

    Due process of law has been bypassed in the US by the Bush administration that appointed him the wartime powers to pass various terrorism acts. It was not restored by Obama so this apolitical issue is unlikely to ever be rectified.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.