Slashdot Mirror


Hawking Backs $100 Million Interstellar Travel Project to Send 'Nano-Craft' To Nearest Star

At a press conference on Tuesday, Russian entrepreneur Yuri Milner, cosmologist Stephen Hawking and a group of scientists and philanthropists announced a $100 million research program to send robotic probes to nearby stars within a generation. The group believes that using a nano-spacecraft propelled by lasers, they will be able to reach Alpha Centauri in just over 20 years after launch. The nearest star system is 40 trillion km away, which using current technology would take about 30,000 years to reach there. The aforementioned group said that thanks to their research and development, they might be able to make a spacecraft that could cut down the duration to 30 years. Reuters reports: Tuesday's announcement, made with cosmologist Stephen Hawking, comes less than a year after the announcement of Breakthrough Listen. That decade-long, $100 million project, also backed by Milner, monitors radio signals for signs of intelligent life across the universe. Breakthrough Starshot involves deploying small light-propelled vehicles to carry equipment like cameras and communication equipment. Scientists hope the vehicles, known as nano-craft, will eventually fly at 20 percent of the speed of light, more than a thousand times faster than today's spacecraft. "The thing would look like the chip from your cell phone with this very thin gauzy light sail," said Pete Worden, the former director of NASA's Ames Research Center, who is leading the project. "It would be something like 10, 12 feet across."The Atlantic has just published an in-depth report on this, also explaining how this project came to being. You can also watch the live stream of the press conference.

381 comments

  1. Interesting, but.. by wbr1 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I love the idea. However with a device that small, how do we get a signal back? It will not be able to generate a strong radio or light signal to send back. Would we be able to use existing radio telescopes to pick it up, or would we need better receiving infrastructure?

    --
    Silence is a state of mime.
    1. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Came here to say the same thing. I imagine they must have thought of this, as it seems obvious. But it is exactly what I wonder. How do you ever even know if it got part way there and was destroyed in a small collision or anything?

    2. Re:Interesting, but.. by twotacocombo · · Score: 2

      However with a device that small, how do we get a signal back? It will not be able to generate a strong radio or light signal to send back.

      Nevermind the fact that it's almost a 9 year round trip from sending a signal to receiving a reply when it arrives at its destination. Commands will have to be sent over 4 years before they're received and executed by the craft, so this thing will have to be preprogrammed for its entire mission before it even gets out of the solar system. I don't see how that can go wrong :)

    3. Re:Interesting, but.. by kheldan · · Score: 1

      They've supposedly been doing some interesting experiments with quantum entanglement, and as this is a totally privately-funded project, is it too outrageous to try to develop those experiments into an interstellar communications system?

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    4. Re:Interesting, but.. by wbr1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You cannot use entanglement to communicate at least an not currently understood. A receiver reading the spin or other property of a particle cannot determine if the measurement they make is a result of taking the measurement or the particle having been changed at a distance.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    5. Re:Interesting, but.. by tylersoze · · Score: 3, Interesting

      There wouldn't really be any commands to execute, all they are doing is basically shooting the probes towards Alpha Centauri.There wouldn't be anyway for them to manuever, it's not like they'd be able to slow down and get into orbit.

    6. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The idea is that when it arrives, the natives will pick it up and reply "got it".

      1. Send nano-probe to Alpha Centauri
      2. Natives pick it up
      3. ???
      4. "Got it"

    7. Re:Interesting, but.. by kheldan · · Score: 1

      ..at least an not currently understood.

      Sure, that's my whole point: At this point in time how can anyone have an accurate read on how much that could be developed by a focused, concerted effort?

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    8. Re:Interesting, but.. by magarity · · Score: 2

      Round trip?

    9. Re:Interesting, but.. by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      If FTL communication is possible, it means that the theory of general relativity is completely wrong. But if that's the case, you'd expect to have seen indications of that by now.

    10. Re: Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Every spacecraft that travels beyond the Moon's orbit has to be mostly autonomous. You can't control something in realtime with a lag measured in minutes or more.

    11. Re:Interesting, but.. by 4wdloop · · Score: 1

      Assuming the propulsion laser is in solar system, the "sail" being a mirror that gets "modulated" and hence reflect back the laser light transmitting the information?

      --
      4wdloop
    12. Re:Interesting, but.. by Athanasius · · Score: 4, Informative

      No. Not being able to leverage quantum entanglement into actual FTL communications is a fundamental limit of how it works.

      To state it simply. If two particles have their state entangled for a property then measuring that property on one causes the same measured property on the other to have the opposite value but which way around these are is essentially random and impossible to control. The best you can use this for is to securely duplicate a sequence of random values, (and in the case of sending one half of each pair to another site, assuming your implementation doesn't have any problems, know if someone had at all intercepted those particles).

      This is why all current uses of the technology are used to send an encryption key which you then use to encrypt normal communications.

    13. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Notice that it says they are starting a $100 million research program. I would assume the purpose of this research would be to answer those questions and figure out if its really possible to do this.

    14. Re:Interesting, but.. by kheldan · · Score: 2

      Ah. Well, not being someone with a Ph.D in physics, and certainly not quantum physics, there was no way I'd've known that, which is why I ask questions. ;-) After all we're having a discussion here, right? ;-) Always nice when I can learn something.

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    15. Re: Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The main issue with an object that small is power. You can't generate much, and you can't carry much. Communicating across lightyears is incredibly power intensive. The only possibility is using extremely low bitrate optical lasers. You have to use high frequencies (light) because of the small size, and low bit rates due to the low average power and weak signal. One bit per day or so. And it would be one way back to Earth. A device that small could never gather enough signal to hear anything.

    16. Re:Interesting, but.. by Athanasius · · Score: 1

      Happy to help :).

    17. Re:Interesting, but.. by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      We can barely detect the light coming back from the reflector on the Moon. Out of 10^17 photons/second sent at the reflector, we receive less than one back. This isn't going to work over distances of light years.

    18. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Perhaps it'll use a gravity assist and around the local star and come back to Sol.

    19. Re: Interesting, but.. by avatar+avatar · · Score: 5, Funny

      You jest, but a job with an expected four-year delay between rudimentary commands sounds *perfect* for Windows 10.

    20. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Never mind" is two words.

    21. Re:Interesting, but.. by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Jeez, just trail a long cable behind!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    22. Re:Interesting, but.. by wbr1 · · Score: 2

      And that is with a retroreflector, not a sail designed to impart momentum. Additionally, the laser would not be on for much of the journey, only while accelerating to cruising speed.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    23. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 5, Interesting

      If you have a continuous stream of launches, it would be simple to create a mesh network (for redundancy) that daisy-chains the length of the path to relay signals.

      And by having a large cluster of detector devices you can have an arbitrarily large collective system for high resolution.

    24. Re:Interesting, but.. by mrchaotica · · Score: 1

      Additionally, the laser would not be on for much of the journey, only while accelerating to cruising speed.

      If you're not planning to make the craft slow down on the other side, why not continually accelerate the entire journey to make it as quick as possible (assuming the efficiency doesn't drop below some minimum threshold partway through)?

      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    25. Re:Interesting, but.. by kanweg · · Score: 1

      Don't think it will work but brilliantly creative.

      Bert
      Sorry, modpoints were available until a couple of days ago

    26. Re:Interesting, but.. by invid · · Score: 1

      The thing is going to be hitting Alpha Centauri at relativistic speeds. With no way to slow down it will in all likelihood be vaporized when it hits a spec of dust at the edge of the star system.

      --
      The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
    27. Re:Interesting, but.. by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 0

      But it is exactly what I wonder. How do you ever even know if it got part way there and was destroyed in a small collision or anything?

      They're making spacecraft the size of cellphone. You really think they need to design the craft to communicate that they've hit something in the vast, gaping maw of pure emptiness that is outer space?

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    28. Re:Interesting, but.. by Prune · · Score: 0

      Never mind that there's no such word as "nevermind".

      --
      "Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."
    29. Re:Interesting, but.. by meerling · · Score: 2

      I agree, the article says it'll send back a laser signal, but it might be too weak to even see.
      Seems like they really need to improve that feature first, otherwise it's utterly pointless.

      Also, there was no mention of power supply. At the mass they're talking about, it won't be solar panels or nuclear batteries. Both are too heavy, and a solar panel would quickly become worthless and provide insufficient power. As to our regular batteries, I don't see them surviving that long, both because of insufficient storage, and vulnerability to the expected environment.

      Ideally we'd want data sent home the entire trip. We don't know what's between the stars, and we really want to.

      Besides, there's that whole too F-N cold issue that will trash our current electronics if they aren't kept warm by something. Yes, I said warm. At the really freaking cold temperatures we estimate are out there, you can expect that sucker to stop working and even physically break apart if it either isn't kept warm, or made of something rather different than what we currently do. (Overclockers with their megacooling come nowhere near these levels of cold.) It seems most likely there will be some kind of warming circuit (maybe just running the systems will be good enough), but that will require power, again a problem in the deep void between the stars with something only a few grams in mass. (That whole thing about non-nuclear batteries being vulnerable is a doubly nasty here as they'd have to spend power to keep themselves warm enough to operate, and I suspect we have nothing capable of that for those conditions, durations, and low mass.)

      The final difficulty I'm going to throw in here is speed and deceleration. Ok, so we successfully get it up to 20%C and it zips out of our solar system in a few hours. Now you get to the target system, and either speed through it with almost no observations worth beaming home, or it needs to slow down and hang around for a bit. Sure you've got that tiny solar sail, but you don't have an equivalent megalaser blasting it. You can pretty much assume the solar wind from it's target star is going to have about as much effect as our sun. Not because it might not be stronger, but rather because you probably won't be hitting it at an optimum angle. This flimsy star grape with gossamer wings can't do aerobraking, even if we knew of a viable body to do that with. At those kinds of speeds, I'm rather doubtful it could even pull one of those gravity only based ones around the star and survive. Not to mention, they didn't say what kind of thrust levels it could produce with those "photonic thrusters", but I suspect it's very tiny, and so course corrections would take hours, which would probably exceed it's within system observable window much less maneuver to brake capability.

      Have those guys thought about all this stuff? Maybe, but the article doesn't mention any of it, and they have indicated that they are hoping some technology is developed before hand as they're going to need it.

      I love the idea, but I hope they have some better answers before spending that much money.

    30. Re:Interesting, but.. by Grishnakh · · Score: 2

      No, it's more like 4 years or so, not 9. Why do you think a round-trip is necessary? The point of this thing is to go out there, collect data, and then beam it back here, just like the New Horizons probe to Pluto. It doesn't have to wait to receive commands to send data, it can send any time it wants to.

      It should be obvious that with that much of a time-lag, there's no way to make this a remotely-operated vehicle, and it'll have to be completely autonomous.

    31. Re:Interesting, but.. by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Actually, there are many indications that relativity is wrong. They aren't convincing, but there are indications.

      HOWEVER: General Relativity is clearly incomplete. So is Quantum Theory. And they appear to disagree in certain areas when they make predictions. This may, however, but an illusion. They use such different math to make their predictions that one can't quite be certain.

      E.G.: Do black holes destroy information when they swallow things? No fully consistent answer appears to exist.

      Unfortunately(?), this doesn't lead to a prediction that FTL communication is possible.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    32. Re:Interesting, but.. by Holi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, but launching a probe that has no way of communicating back to earth is a monumental waste of resources.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    33. Re:Interesting, but.. by Holi · · Score: 1

      you don't have many friends do you? http://www.sfgate.com/news/art...

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    34. Re:Interesting, but.. by BradMajors · · Score: 1

      And, only time to take at most one picture.

    35. Re:Interesting, but.. by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Some designs call for the sail to also be used in decelerating the craft. It does mean discarding the sail on arrival, of course, since you slow down based on reflected light from the sail hitting the craft, leading to the sail be accelerated and the craft slowed. And it requires that you trust that the propulsion lasers will still be working when you need to slow down. (Receivers are generally a lot easier to fund.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    36. Re:Interesting, but.. by Holi · · Score: 2

      I am not sure a nano probe is going to have the energy requirements to send a message 40 trillion km back to earth. What happens when some unforeseen event knocks it off of the beam path (say it passes by something massive enough to gravitationally alter its trajectory)? Would we know, or would we keep shining that laser at Alpha Centauri for 20 years?

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    37. Re:Interesting, but.. by Holi · · Score: 1

      Since its propulsion source would be a laser somewhere in our solar system I am not sure that's feasible.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    38. Re:Interesting, but.. by Holi · · Score: 1

      Which I am pretty sure they were thinking about since they say they can reduce travel time to 20 years. They probably are planning on it reaching a significant fraction of c. What happens when it slams into an inhabited planet a relativistic speeds? Next thing you know we have accidentally caused an intergalactic war.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    39. Re: Interesting, but.. by Holi · · Score: 1

      Unless you use the propulsion laser as communication (earth to device obviously).

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    40. Re:Interesting, but.. by kheldan · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Well, see, it's like this:
      This guy, here gave me an appropriate, helpful answer to an earlier question, which I appreciated. In contrast to this is you, who gave an inappropriate, non-helpful comment, because apparently you're a jackass. Or are you not aware that you're being a jackass? Here's a suggestion for you: Have you ever tried not being a jackass? You might want to try it.

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    41. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 1

      As I think about it, a cluster can not only mimic a large detector dish, but also a transmitter, aiding in the relay focus back to Earth.

    42. Re:Interesting, but.. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      a device that small, how do we get a signal back?

      Relax, you have 20 years before the encounter to figure it out. Just don't procrastinate until year 19 and try to rush breakthroughs.

      Otherwise, you'll feel like the New Horizons crew when the probe croaked 10 days from Pluto encounter. I bet that was a mega-stresser. (Fortunately they solved the glitch in time.)

    43. Re:Interesting, but.. by Holi · · Score: 1

      Its propulsion will come from a laser back in our solar system, it would not be able to alter it's course in any way.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    44. Re:Interesting, but.. by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      There is no reason quantum entanglement would violate general relativity. We have not done the experiments to verify if the signal would arrive as it's sent or if it would suffer the same delay (mainly because they couldn't figure out how to send or receive). It could be that the quantum frame of reference is actually outside relativistic effects as data is being exchanged, not mass. Regardless general relativity and quantum effects aren't exactly the best of friends. Einstein spent the remainder of his career trying to reconcile gravity with quantum mechanics and couldn't.

      IMO there is something fundamental about the interaction between quantum and relativistic frames of reference (or about the universe in general) that humanity doesn't understand. At some point in the future a new Einstein will come along and explain this just like Einstein did with Newtonian mechanics. In the meantime all us people with normal brains will sit around scratching our heads.

    45. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The issue would be focusing the laser beam onto the sail at a great distance. They are talking about acceleration to 0.2c within a period of minutes - at that point the probe will have traveled on the order of 10 million km. This is really far to focus a laser onto a meter-scale object, but not at all a significant fraction of the total travel distance. Once you reach the edge of the solar system (say, Neptune's orbit) a few days later, the beam intensity would have dropped by 5-6 orders of magnitude and there'd be no point in keeping it running even that long. The effective range of the laser beam scales with the size of the hardware used to direct it - I suspect even the 10M km figure will need optics on a scale at the upper edge of feasibility.

    46. Re:Interesting, but.. by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Strictly speaking, FTL by means other than simply exceeding the velocity of light in a vacuum does not invalidate general relativity. Wormholes and space-time warping are not ruled out by GR, although they require some things like matter with negative mass which has not been found and may well not exist.

      There are also closed timelike curves which are also considered to be a valid, if unlikely solution, which allow for time travel. This does not actually require FTL, but it is done with warped space that could be utilized by an FTL travel method.

      It is not clear if we'd notice those situations if they occurred. Obviously, they do seem unlikely given how causality seems to work, but if they are closed systems, they could exist, but we may not be able to observe them.

      The universe should also be teeming with alien life just by the sheer age of the universe and probability of life arising elsewhere, but you'd think we'd have noticed that by now too. I'm not saying FTL is likely, but I don't know that it is actually impossible, even under GR. People like Hawking also assume that Quantum Mechanical solutions will eventually remove certain odd possibilities of relativity, but they actually are just making highly educated guesses based on what we can observe.

    47. Re:Interesting, but.. by tnk1 · · Score: 2

      Something like that would hit the atmosphere of a planet like it was solid rock. There might be a light show, but it is unlikely that something that small, even at .5c would impart enough energy to cause a catastrophe on the ground.

      Of course if there was an orbital habitat in the way... that could be different.

    48. Re:Interesting, but.. by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Um. We're talking about a looooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooong path, you know.

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    49. Re:Interesting, but.. by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Since its propulsion source would be a laser somewhere in our solar system I am not sure that's feasible.

      It is. The probes accelerates up, then separates part of its sail. The laser then bounces off the sail back to the probe, slowing it down.

    50. Re: Interesting, but.. by braddeicide · · Score: 1

      How about a surface that reflects or deflects the laser?

    51. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Sure is. Which is why it requires creative solutions. And if they travel at 0.2C, and you launch every second then you have separation of about 60KM. That represents about 150 million units per light year to the target, or 600M to AC, spread over 20 years at, say $20 each so $600M per target per year, or one Shuttle launch per year

    52. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 1

      Separation is not correct, but, concept is.

    53. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 1

      60K KM

    54. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Power supply is not mentioned I suspect because it is going to have to be a tiny nuclear thermoelectric device. This will provide power for the whole journey and keep things warm, fixing your other problem.

      These things are not going to slow down, we may crash land some into planets or the star itself but most will just fly right through the system, They will have about 2 days to record as much as possible and then transmit that back to us. If they are continuing on their journey they can spend a fair bit of time continuing to transmit the data they collected. Each device can concentrate on something different. As there would e a stream of devices 1 day away from each other, we may be able to use that line to re-transmit data as it is received, ie use them as a relay.

      The idea behind spending the money is to research the viability of this, not to build and deploy it. Seems like money well spent.

    55. Re:Interesting, but.. by magarity · · Score: 1

      Since its propulsion source would be a laser somewhere in our solar system I am not sure that's feasible.

      But neither stopping nor re-accellerating is required, just need to get back here close enough that the transmission distance is reasonable:
      1. Go to other star at high speed
      2. Slingshot around other star (or suitable local gas giant) for return trip
      3. Transmit observations to Earth while whistling through Sol system

    56. Re:Interesting, but.. by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Let's say you launch one probe every second. If boost phase is half an hour, a number that has been bandied about here, then you would need 1,800 high power laser installations (30m x 60s), all running full blast, all the time. That's going to set you back a few unbacked treasury notes. In the building of them, and in the power consumption, and in the maintainance, and the repair, and the real estate, not to mention a very, very, very, very, very, very large number of probes. But you need even more; because you have to KEEP sending them for the whole time the signal is walking back to you or the near end of the chain of relays will have been receding from you at 20% of light speed for quite some time when the return signal gets to them. And all of this presumes you can build enough complexity and power into the probe to cover a second's worth of distance at near light speed (because light propagation speed is the issue here) such that, after lets say ten years, for the probes that are out in the "big dark", they will still be carrying enough power to actually hear the incoming signal (run the receiver) and relay it (run the transmitter.)

      Get my point? The distances involved make almost anything you try along these lines, to understate the case, "non-trivial."

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    57. Re:Interesting, but.. by jc42 · · Score: 1

      "Never mind" is two words.

      C'mon; everyone accepts "nevertheless" and "nevermore" as single words; "nevermind" is an obvious next entry in that particular list.

      Of course, the peevers have to object to anything they didn't learn by 5th grade, including some things that have been part of the language for centuries. (Lately, people have been objecting to usages that date back to published works of Shakespeare. ;-)

      To veer slightly in an on-topic direction, such usages might be considered simple cases of text compression to minimize the physical resources needed to communicate them. We can expect lots of compression in data sent back by the proposed probes, including text-message-style features in any textual parts of the data. And when published, we'll see the usual objections from the peevers about the probes' failure to use "standard English".

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
    58. Re:Interesting, but.. by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      They need to make sure they can receive hundreds of thousands of transmissions at once in case it is more successful than they imagine.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    59. Re:Interesting, but.. by Gavagai80 · · Score: 2

      That's no probe, it's a relativistic kill vehicle.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    60. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They send the nanoprobe first, then figure out everything else 20 years later. Great.

    61. Re:Interesting, but.. by Gavagai80 · · Score: 2

      The laser propulsion won't be shining at Alpha Centauri because it'll be far too diffuse to be of any use long before then. The acceleration will happen in our own solar system.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    62. Re:Interesting, but.. by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      The probes accelerates up, then separates part of its sail. The laser then bounces off the sail back to the probe, slowing it down.

      That's not going to be very useful since the laser beam will be millions of times more powerful when close to Earth than it'll be at the deceleration point.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    63. Re:Interesting, but.. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Yeah, these are major problems with feasibility. I was just addressing the 9-year thing: the idea that you need 2-way communications for this thing is just silly and non-sensical. But that of course assumes that somehow this nano-probe can transmit a signal from Alpha Centauri that we can receive, which doesn't seem possible at this point.

    64. Re: Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We can just check the signature on the FedEx delivery receipt.

    65. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nevermind that, like all pathetic, tiny-minded English pedants, you're wrong. Even within the elitist, entirely arbitrary boundaries of formal English, it's wide acknowledged that 'nevermind' is perfectly fine in informal use.

      http://grammarist.com/spelling/never-mind-vs-nevermind/

    66. Re:Interesting, but.. by dpidcoe · · Score: 1

      At .2C yeah, that's definitely going to leave a mark if it hits something.

    67. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 1

      Not sure anyone used the word 'trivial' to describe the situation.

      Also there is potentially a continuous illumination of the probes (admittedly at decreasing intensity) from the boost lasers which could be harvested, in addition to whatever other sources are available.

    68. Re:Interesting, but.. by wbr1 · · Score: 1

      Nice idea. If say the inter-probe communication distance was 1AU, and you halved that for safety, it would take about 22 fleets space .5 AU out. Alpha Centauri being about 11 AU distant.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    69. Re: Interesting, but.. by jsh1972 · · Score: 1

      They're saying they expect it to hit 20% of the speed of light, I doubt it would slingshot around anything short of a supermassive black hole at that velocity, perhaps alter it's trajectory slightly but that's about it.

    70. Re: Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's relative. Also, pretty much everything in space is moving at an extremely high Delta relative to everything else, so all collisions are guaranteed to be catastrophic - whether the Delta is .2c or .0000002c

    71. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But can you make a Beowulf cluster out of them?

    72. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it is possible although improbable with current designs to sling shot Alpha Centauri and bring it back home even faster then it took to get there. It would need a fantastic energy absorbing heat shield design with the ability to keep it facing the sun withstanding excessively strong G's, passing directly within the corona and redirecting the absorbed energy into: Storage, Thrust and strong highly energetic directional burst emissions (back to our neighbourhood). It may be even more effective and probable to just slingshot to the next nearest star and so on instead of returning home. But the comms thing back is a big deal, and a way to send it commands to update its trajectory (granted high latency, but still doable).

    73. Re:Interesting, but.. by Bite+The+Pillow · · Score: 1

      It's not like they are going to spend something ridiculous like $100 million trying to get smart people to figure any of this out. I mean, if a random dashslot poster doesn't have all of the answers up front, in tfs, idiots like Hawking don't stand a chance to discover anything new in a decade that might benefit this type of mission. All of the questions have been answered, because we know the current state of the art, and that won't change in the next 10 years. /extreme sarcasm in support of people who respond to ignoramuses

    74. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      spread throughout the mesh network there would be, local to the group and central to the node, a computer to issue command and control updates to various parts within close proximity, remote drones for example.

    75. Re:Interesting, but.. by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      Actually there is, it's an old, rarely used noun meaning attention or notice. As in "pay him no nevermind" (i.e. don't pay any attention to him).

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    76. Re:Interesting, but.. by uvajed_ekil · · Score: 1

      That's no probe, it's a relativistic kill vehicle.

      Which leaves me wondering they have found that they need to target.These nano craft are large enough to do a lot of damage with collision speeds in the neighborhood of .2c . Maybe this beats going all Starship Troopers on extraterrestrial bugs. Slowing the craft enough to perform useful science on arrival would seem impractically difficult.

      --
      This is a hacked account, for which the owner can not be held responsible.
    77. Re:Interesting, but.. by Plus1Entropy · · Score: 1

      Uhhh, Alpha Centauri is 4.37 light-years away, or about 276,000 AU... Unless I'm misunderstanding you, or you're being sarcastic...

      --
      Only crack the nuts that crack. You don't put the ones that don't crack in the sack.
    78. Re:Interesting, but.. by Mostly+a+lurker · · Score: 1

      First, I do not accept that deceleration would necessarily be impossible. If you can accelerate, then pointing the thrust in the opposite direction will allow you to slow down. Granted, your "brake" may take a few months to be effective, but that does not mean it is unfeasible.

      More interestingly, I am not convinced faster than light communication is impossible. I appreciate the arguments around causality, but I think it is just one of those things like infinity that we cannot get our heads around. I can imagine quantum entanglement established prior to departure being used to send signals at the time of arrival (in both directions, and possibly with minimal power requirements). I can also imagine this proving to be impossible.

    79. Re:Interesting, but.. by rbrander · · Score: 1

      Sorry, a little too much Star Trek there - you can only "slingshot" around something that you are travelling below the "escape velocity" of, otherwise you just whistle right by.

      Toss a marble into an empty bowl slowly and it circles round inside, but fire it from a rifle and it just zips in one side and out the other. Even if you fire it from a slingshot. Sorry.

    80. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Was going to post the same thing. Modded you up.

    81. Re:Interesting, but.. by AntiSol · · Score: 1

      This question was asked during the press conference. They're thinking of using a small laser to transmit back , reflecting it off the solar sail. Apparently the ground-based laser system back here on earth can also be used as a telescope (with much more power than anything we have), allowing them to detect a relatively faint signal. They think they may be able to get bandwidth in the kilobits using this method. One comment made about this is that at such a distance it's easy to aim your signal at earth - just aim it at the sun.

      Yes, they have thought of it and yes it's one of the challenges on their list.

      In terms of collisions, the plan is to be able to produce them cheaply, so it's easy to send many. redundancy is achieved by sending multiple ships rather than having redundant systems on one ship.

    82. Re:Interesting, but.. by AntiSol · · Score: 1

      1) the "fuel" for the propulsion system is on earth. So unless you can build a laser system on alpha centauri, deceleration is going to be difficult.

      2) Quantum entanglement cannot be used for communication.

    83. Re:Interesting, but.. by AntiSol · · Score: 1

      Parent is saying (correctly) that it would be an almost 9-year round trip if you wanted to send it a command and have it send confirmation back. 4.3 years each way.

    84. Re:Interesting, but.. by AntiSol · · Score: 1

      Yes, the plan is to accelerate it up to 0.2c over a period of 2 minutes. I think they said it was going to experience about 60,000 g during the acceleration phase. Once it gets to 0.2c it needs no more propulsion. The laser only shines on it for 2 minutes.

    85. Re:Interesting, but.. by AntiSol · · Score: 1

      They have an idea for sending signals back to earth which I've outlined elsewhere. Or you could go watch their press conference, they address this question.

    86. Re:Interesting, but.. by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The odds that a Slashdot reader will suggest quantum entanglement as a communications approach approaches 1 as a space-related thread grows ;)

      There are people discussing the issue in the comments section on the Starshot page. For my two cents: given the described craft, which is to have a very flat sail and very high pointing accuracy.... it's really simple. You have a ~100GW class laser on Earth as a fundamental requirement of the proposal. Point it at your craft and fire. Even at those distances, the reflected light will be vastly more than such a tiny "chip" on the sail could ever possibly produce. As for how to modulate the signal, again, that's not tricky. Put a tiny piezoelectric vibrator in your chip. Even tiny vibrations will throw off the phase and particularly the pointing accuracy of the sail. If the vibrations aren't self-damping the you can use active damping to cancel them out.

      When I first heard about this concept, my reaction was mostly "keep dreaming". But actually it's starting to sound more plausible (if they can work out the sail and nanoprobe, that is). For example, the lasers. 1TJ at 20% net system efficiency and industrial power rates of $0,05/kWh is only $70k. There's nothing unaffordable about that - even if your costs work out to be dramatically higher it would still be quite reasonable. But what about storing and then discharging such vast amounts of power? No need - use a chemical laser and store the feedstocks. Chemical lasers also give you the highest power outputs anyway because they discharge their heat in the exhaust, like rocket engines.

      In particular, I'm looking at something like COIL. Discharge into water to recover the iodine as iodic acid, then recover elemental iodine from that through dehydraton followed by reaction with carbon monoxide. Elemental iodine is solid, so you can store it in a big pile if you wanted. The other side of the laser involves creating excited oxygen. COIL does it by reacting a mixture of hydrogen peroxide (produced by the anthraquinone process from hydrogen and water) and KOH with Cl2 (KOH and Cl2 produced from the resultant KCl by the chloralkali process). But alternative reactions might allow for lower capital cost storage, particularly in terms of avoiding Cl2 tankage. But if we assume that a traditional COIL approach is used, then what you need to drive the regenerative processes are carbon monoxide, hydrogen, and electricity. It just so happens that those are the three things you get from the partial oxidation of methane (aka natural gas) driving generator. Natural gas being the cheapest available fuel source in many areas.

      Total stored feedstock mass for the laser should be on the order of several hundred tonnes. The most expensive chemical involved by far is elemental iodine, which is $30/kg. So no capital cost problem there. So it just comes down to the capital costs on the lasers and associated optics hardware.

      Really, I'm not seeing any roadblocks in this regard.

      --
      "Well, then fire it up and show me what this..." (sigh) ... "coccoon can do."
    87. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they're that small chances are they will be cheap (after the first one - kind of like ASIC chip designs - the first one always costs a million dollars but they're fractions of a penny thereafter.) In that event you could launch them one after another where the vast majority would just be used as relays until they get to the destination and start collecting their own data to send back.

    88. Re:Interesting, but.. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Yes, I realize that. I'm pointing out that that's infeasible, and so you *cannot* send it a command. The ship has to be fully autonomous. Communications are 1-way.

      (And we still haven't figured out how this thing is going to send any data back in the first place; something that small won't have the power or antenna size necessary.)

    89. Re:Interesting, but.. by dingleberrie · · Score: 1

      Commander, they continue to fire these at us. I think they're attacking.
                                                        -- aliens probably

    90. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 1

      Perhaps a Centaurus Cluster...

    91. Re:Interesting, but.. by Lodlaiden · · Score: 1

      That sounds like an unintentional interstellar machine gun.

      --
      Suborbital [spaceflight] is the special olympics of spaceflight. - Rei
    92. Re:Interesting, but.. by n7ytd · · Score: 1

      150 million units per light year to the target... with an acceptable failure rate of 0%?

    93. Re:Interesting, but.. by n7ytd · · Score: 1

      Not sure anyone used the word 'trivial' to describe the situation.

      No, but you did use the word "simple".

    94. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point of this thing is to go out there, collect data, and then beam it back here, just like the New Horizons probe to Pluto. It doesn't have to wait to receive commands to send data, it can send any time it wants to..

      Sounds like a great idea. It can be fully automated to collect data. I vote that we name this craft V'ger

    95. Re:Interesting, but.. by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      The probes accelerates up, then separates part of its sail. The laser then bounces off the sail back to the probe, slowing it down.

      That's not going to be very useful since the laser beam will be millions of times more powerful when close to Earth than it'll be at the deceleration point.

      It's all must a matter of figuring out the equations for when to start and stop the various process to get the desired results. I mean, really, at this point, it's all a pipe dream and 100 million probably won't even put up a test system to see if they can even get it to work and send something out of earth orbit, so complaining about technical details for a plan that is supposed to happen around Alpha Centauri doesn't really pertain here as everything we are discussing is theoretical futuretech anyway.

    96. Re: Interesting, but.. by interstellarsurfer · · Score: 1

      Considering it'll be fueled by a massive, earth based laser, and powered by a reflective sail, I imagine you could use semaphore, if nothing else.

    97. Re:Interesting, but.. by magarity · · Score: 1

      It should be obvious that the approach speed to the remote star should allow for this.

    98. Re:Interesting, but.. by twotacocombo · · Score: 1

      No, it's more like 4 years or so, not 9. Why do you think a round-trip is necessary?

      It should be obvious that with that much of a time-lag, there's no way to make this a remotely-operated vehicle, and it'll have to be completely autonomous.

      If you had read my whole post (which was an entire three sentences), you'd see that I came to the same conclusion: 2-way communication would be completely out of the question due to the immense distance, and the craft would have to rely solely on its initial programming. That's one hell of a crap shoot, risking your entire 30 year mission solely on the knowledge and software available on day one. Your comparison to New Horizons is a bit off. That mission required several course corrections during its flight, and we knew exactly when and where we'd be approaching Pluto. Sending a probe outside of the solar system to a target 4 light years away without the ability to steer, and having no idea when the best time to collect data and send images would be, is going to take a lot of very careful assumptions.

    99. Re:Interesting, but.. by twotacocombo · · Score: 1

      But that of course assumes that somehow this nano-probe can transmit a signal from Alpha Centauri that we can receive, which doesn't seem possible at this point.

      With spacecraft this small (and cheap?), it might be possible to send several out in stages, and just have them relay the information back.

    100. Re:Interesting, but.. by lannocc · · Score: 1

      Separation cannot be constant since they are accelerating to a maximum velocity of 0.2C.

    101. Re:Interesting, but.. by NEDHead · · Score: 1

      I was referring to the maximum separation, under the conditions specified.

    102. Re:Interesting, but.. by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      You still need a transmitter, and something the size of even a cellphone does not have enough power to send a signal from Pluto let alone across an interstellar distance (even if you're relaying it).

    103. Re: Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But nobody these days would use it that way. If you mean attention then say "attention" and if you mean nevermind then say "nevermind". It is perfectly understandable to anybody that is not a pedantic prick.

    104. Re: Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do not need to transmit anything. You just need to slow it down with a laser. It has been demonstrated that you can use light to pull, not just push. So all you need are a chain of these craft that will periodically refocus the laser beam. So, basically, it will be like dropping breadcrums. I think it could work, but it would be a pretty big waste of money. What are we really going to learn by going to Alpha Centauri? I think we are going to learn that the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

    105. Re:Interesting, but.. by eric_harris_76 · · Score: 1

      The common theme in the plots of many of Larry Niven's "Known Space" stories is that the robotic probes sent back incomplete information. A probe would transmit "Come on in, the water's fine!" because it landed during the non-windy season, for instance. Albinism became common among colonists, because they ended up living underground most of the year. Build-in dermal sunscreen was a waste of melanin.

      In retrospect, not checking for surface gravity of every planet seems unlikely. Perhaps the sensor was miscalibrated, or malfunctioned. Either way, once the colony on Jinx was well-established, their descendants tended to migrate to low-gravity worlds.

      If no one on the team was already aware of Larry Niven's work -- unlikely -- surely someone has dropped them a copy of "A Gift From Earth", etc. by now.

      --
      There's no time like the present. Well, the past used to be.
    106. Re:Interesting, but.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Executing commands would be no problems. Just encode the signal in the laser. The question was: how do we get a signal back?

      But again I think the laser is the answer. By opening and closing the light sail or changing its reflectiveness the reflection of the laser light would change. And I assume the light sail will be humongous compared to the space craft itself (or not enough light will hit it at a distance) and the laser will have tons of power (or the acceleration would be too small). The bandwidth will be horrible but free.

      As for slowing down: The probe has a light sail and it's flying towards a star. If the probe doesn't mind getting a bit hot it can dive straight in till it stops.

      I imagine the biggest problem would be running into things and shredding the light sail. Dust particles, even single hydrogen ions, at 20% the speed of light are like atom bombs.

    107. Re:Interesting, but.. by sl3xd · · Score: 1

      I must be missing something here: A large nuclear power plant is on the order of 1000MW - 1GW. A sustained 100 GW is roughly 10% of the current United States total electrical production.

      It's a staggering amount of power. Even if you built huge solar arrays around Mercury's orbit - the power is cheap but building the array isn't.

      --
      -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
    108. Re:Interesting, but.. by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      http://www.dictionary.com/brow...

      There is, but not the way we normally use the phrase never mind.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    109. Re:Interesting, but.. by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Did the space nutter AC just out him(her)self? No, we are not space nutters for trying to push the envelopes of science, and no, not all science fiction is impossible.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    110. Re:Interesting, but.. by ZorglubZ · · Score: 1

      Changing a car engine is not "trivial", but it is a quite "simple" operation (as opposed to "complicated").

    111. Re:Interesting, but.. by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      If no one on the team was already aware of Larry Niven's work -- unlikely -- surely someone has dropped them a copy of "A Gift From Earth", etc. by now.

      "The Mote in God's Eye" is also very relevant, given the light beam acceleration.

      It is incredible (literal sense) that no-one in the team is familiar with these - and many other - works. Hard SF is a popular relaxation amongst both scientists and engineers.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    112. Re:Interesting, but.. by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      ... which precludes a travel time to Centauri less than hundreds of human lifetimes.

      Catch-22.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  2. What's in the payload? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Is there room for enough antimatter to take the star out?

  3. Obligatory Fermi by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So why hasn't "someone" done this already?

    1. Re:Obligatory Fermi by maeka · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So why hasn't "someone" done this already?

      I'm aware of no human technology which would enable us to say with any certainty at all that there aren't 10,000,000 similar-sized alien probes in our solar system right now.

    2. Re:Obligatory Fermi by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      I'm aware of no human technology which would enable us to say with any certainty at all that there aren't 10,000,000 similar-sized alien probes in our solar system right now.

      You don't think we'd be able to detect the powerful lasers that would be aimed at them ?

    3. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Gilgaron · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Why would you? The whole idea of a laser is that it stays cohesive. It isn't like you'd see the beam like using a laser in atmosphere.

    4. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Sarten-X · · Score: 1

      No, because the photons would be aimed at the probe, not at us.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    5. Re:Obligatory Fermi by religionofpeas · · Score: 0

      You can see a laser beam when you get in its path.

    6. Re:Obligatory Fermi by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      No, because the photons would be aimed at the probe, not at us.

      If the beam is wide enough, it would hit both. The laser we use for lunar ranging has a 6.5 km spot on the Moon's surface, and the Moon is very close.

    7. Re:Obligatory Fermi by SJHillman · · Score: 2

      Not if they're tightly focused enough. You only see a laser if A) it's pointed at you or B) it's going through a medium like dust or gas that parts of the beam reflect off towards you

    8. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      They were already swallowed by a small dog

    9. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Athanasius · · Score: 5, Interesting

      You can't collimate a laser beam that perfectly. When I looked into that some time recently I believe for a visible red light laser you'd see significant dispersion after less than 10km. Yes, in a vacuum. Even if you could align the internals perfectly you'd still get a small amount of diffraction where the beam leaves the apparatus.

      Over lightyears you're never going to maintain beam cohesion.

      This also both answers the GP's question for the period of time the such a probe is being accelerated and why it wouldn't be accelerated the whole distance. Indeed given the travel time, even if accelerated to very close to the speed of light, you'd not be aiming the laser at the destination system (it would move some by the time the probe got there).

    10. Re:Obligatory Fermi by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      There are theoretical limits to the size of the laser spot. Making it smaller requires uses shorter wavelength, but you can't make the wavelength too short, or the light will go through the sail.

    11. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Salgak1 · · Score: 1

      . . . and that "Mutual of Andromeda's 'Wild Planet'", hosted by Mrln Prknz, is the Galaxy's number one reality show. And they don't even pay us for it, much less a year's supply of Rzz-a-roni, the Aldebaran Treat. . .

    12. Re:Obligatory Fermi by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      you'd not be aiming the laser at the destination system (it would move some by the time the probe got there).

      That's a good point. So, basically you'd use the laser to give it a short boost, and then let it coast to the destination.

    13. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Lab+Rat+Jason · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The write up on Ars Technica basically stated this... accelerate it to 20% speed of light within a very short span (half hour if I remember correctly), and send multiple devices for redundancy... Once the technology was built, there'd be no reason not to send thousands of them.

      --
      Which has more power: the hammer, or the anvil?
    14. Re:Obligatory Fermi by religionofpeas · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Half an hour is a really long time. After a few seconds at 0.1 c, it would already be a huge challenge to keep a laser beam focused on a 10 meter target.

    15. Re:Obligatory Fermi by DroolTwist · · Score: 2

      The Mote In God's Eye

    16. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm going to go out on a limb and propose that any alien civilization with the technological capacity to send 10 million probes to our solar system can probably just push a proverbial button and instantly know everything about our planet, and probably from clear across the galaxy. (This is the same argument I use against the UFO-sighting crowd.)

    17. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Princeofcups · · Score: 1

      Why would you? The whole idea of a laser is that it stays cohesive. It isn't like you'd see the beam like using a laser in atmosphere.

      You mean like using a laser in a dusty room. It takes effort to make the beam of a laser visible, contrary to how Hollywood represents it.

      --
      The only thing worse than a Democrat is a Republican.
    18. Re:Obligatory Fermi by backwardsposter · · Score: 1

      The Fermi might still apply. Assuming that just because they can observe doesn't mean they can visit or communicate. And if not, ask why not?

    19. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Caesar+Tjalbo · · Score: 5, Funny

      You can't collimate a laser beam that perfectly. When I looked into that some time recently ...

      ... I remembered to be more careful with my remaining eye.

      --
      "I'm not much interested in interoperability. I want substitutability. I want to be able to throw your software out."
    20. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      accelerate it to 20% speed of light within a very short span (half hour if I remember correctly),

      Hmm... if they are dumping enough energy into this to reach 0.2C in half an hour, I wonder how they plan to avoid melting it. Even with as near a perfect reflector as we can make, it's going to absorb mind-bending amounts of energy.

      To me, this seems like one of those things where nothing in the laws of physics prohibit us doing it, but the engineering reality is going to throw so many spanners into the works that in practice, we can't really do it. At least, not for a long time yet.

    21. Re:Obligatory Fermi by dbraden · · Score: 2

      I would say "no." First of all, the propulsion laser is only fired at it for a few minutes while it's still close to its launch point. Second, we wouldn't be in the laser's path if we were the destination since the laser light is traveling 5x faster than the probes (missing our location probably by several years, unless of course ours and theirs stellar movement is in exactly the same or exactly the opposite directions).

    22. Re:Obligatory Fermi by barc0001 · · Score: 1

      Well simple logic would be able to say that with a fair amount of certainty. Similar alien probes moving at .2 speol would only be in the system for a couple of days, and pumping out 10,000,000 of them every 2-3 days continuously is just crazy talk from a resource management standpoint.

      Now, we wouldn't be able to say with any certainty that 10,000,000 similar sized probes haven't previously transited our solar system with more coming through periodically.

    23. Re:Obligatory Fermi by invid · · Score: 2

      I'm aware of no human technology which would enable us to say with any certainty at all that there aren't 10,000,000 similar-sized alien probes in our solar system right now.

      We would detect all the explosions they made when they hit the Oort cloud.

      --
      The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
    24. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Don't you think that advanced alien civilizations would have better laser-collimation technology than us?

    25. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Jason+Levine · · Score: 1

      I started college as a physics major and quickly decided that I enjoyed computer science a lot more. (Hitting Quantum Mechanics like a brick wall was a big factor.) I switched majors but was one small class away from a physics minor. So I did a lab course involving powerful lasers. The only problem was that the lab was extremely early in the morning so I was perpetually tired. When you're tired, you aren't as careful as you could be and make mistakes. How I didn't wind up with an eye put out, I don't know.

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    26. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sharks, man. We mount em on sharks.

    27. Re:Obligatory Fermi by dissy · · Score: 1

      So why hasn't "someone" done this already?

      We're WORKING on it, jeez-oh-peat!

      If we had any idea of the job demands for being the first intelligent life form in the galaxy to leave their home planet, we probably would have gone for a medical degree instead :P

    28. Re:Obligatory Fermi by HiThere · · Score: 1

      When are you assuming the aliens put the devices in place? If it was before around 1900 there's no way we would have noticed. For many frequencies there's no way we would have noticed before around 1970. Even now noticing them might not be easy. Wide scan surveys don't cover the full field, so most of the time nobody's looking in any particular direction, and most frequencies are essentially blocked by the atmosphere. (You wouldn't use radio for propulsion.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    29. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Diffraction limits the smallest size spot at any given distance. It is the fundamental nature of light. Wavelength reduction only gets you so far. The spot size will be immense at immense distances. No focusing can change that.

    30. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's like asking whether they would have better gravitational acceleration technology than us. You don't get to hand-wave away physical limits with the phrase "advanced alien technology!"

    31. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're a retard if you think any information can be transmitted "instantly".

    32. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Holi · · Score: 1

      Umm, not that much effort. I can smack my couch and see a beam because of the dust. I may need a cleaning lady though.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    33. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Holi · · Score: 1

      Unless we are correct and the speed of light is actually the universal speed limit.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    34. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it worked like this proposal, it would have been a laser that was turned on for a period of minutes when the probe was launched. You would have to be really lucky to catch one in the act. We have only recently began continuously monitoring some stars, but not nearly all of them at all times.

      The good part is that it would be possible to detect such a launch with the best current hardware, as a transient anomaly in a star's spectrum. So if somebody is doing this on a regular basis, we might see it eventually.

    35. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oort cloud is empty space with specks of matter separated by millions of miles, and we're not really watching it anyway. If there was a collision, it would be indistinguishable from a collision between larger, slower objects.

    36. Re:Obligatory Fermi by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

      Yes! And they will move through space by.... JUMPING!

      --
      I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    37. Re:Obligatory Fermi by TheSync · · Score: 1

      When I looked into that some time recently I believe for a visible red light laser you'd see significant dispersion after less than 10km

      Actually we bounce laser beams off of the Moon to measure Earth/Moon distance on a regular basis.

      I find the laser acceleration an engineering scale problem, and solvable for a very, very small probe.

      However I do not see any way a very, very small probe can have enough energy to transmit a signal back to earth. Ultra-short pulse lasers are clearly the sanest way to transmit data between the stars, but we are generally talking about some of the largest lasers ever built by mankind with 10m telescopes. Not something a micro-probe could do.

    38. Re:Obligatory Fermi by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      The write up on Ars Technica basically stated this... accelerate it to 20% speed of light within a very short span (half hour if I remember correctly), and send multiple devices for redundancy... Once the technology was built, there'd be no reason not to send thousands of them.

      So let me get this straight. By my calculations they're going to hit something weighing in at a less than a kilogram with a 42,000 megawatt laser for half an hour. I can see it accelerating up to speed, but not as anything but plasma.

    39. Re:Obligatory Fermi by rsborg · · Score: 1

      Obligatory xkcd:
      https://xkcd.com/638/

      --
      Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
    40. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is why you might consider using your stream of devices as a relay. This would allow you to re-transmit over approximately 0.2 light days with worst case a break of maybe 10 light days (allowing for some losses of craft (in this case 50 missing craft). I think we may be able to get something like that working but yes it will be a challenge.

    41. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hence the REALLY big laser probably in the thousands of TeraWatts range.

    42. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Instead of looking for one, or a few, tiny probes somewhere in the vastness of the solar system, would it be easier to look for their return signals?

    43. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      "Actually we bounce laser beams off of the Moon [wikipedia.org] to measure Earth/Moon distance on a regular basis."

      Because we relay off a corner-reflector array that was placed there for that purpose.

    44. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      I'm not hand-waving away physical limits. AFAIK, the reason our lasers aren't that well-collimated has nothing to do with the limitations of physics, but of our technology. I don't see any reason it isn't possible to make photons all travel in the exact same direction (or at least moreso than our current lasers). We just don't know how to do it yet, or our current lasers are "good enough" and we don't bother, or it's too expensive to try to improve them and there's no real need for it to justify the investment to research better methods, etc.

    45. Re:Obligatory Fermi by maeka · · Score: 1

      If your ship is the size of a postage stamp and light years from home it probably isn't broadcasting with a low gain antenna which could be picked up anywhere but the direction from which it came.

    46. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      Certainly the return signal would have to be something tight-beam, such as another laser. We could have to look for backscatter from the signal.

    47. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry, you're wrong. Aside from Bessel beams (which are unphysical), any wave is going to diffract at the edges, due to Heisenberg's uncertainty principle. See here and here. Frankly, that we stopped short on perfect lasers "just because" when even this article demonstrates the limitations, is an odd notion to take into your head.

    48. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So why hasn't "someone" done this already?

      I'm aware of no human technology which would enable us to say with any certainty at all that there aren't 10,000,000 similar-sized alien probes in our solar system right now.

      So all those Russell's teapots in between Earth and Mars are actually alien probes!!!

    49. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a joke in here about hitting a wall and quantum tunneling through it....

    50. Re:Obligatory Fermi by Athanasius · · Score: 1

      When I looked into that some time recently I believe for a visible red light laser you'd see significant dispersion after less than 10km

      Actually we bounce laser beams off of the Moon to measure Earth/Moon distance on a regular basis.

      From your link:

      At the Moon's surface, the beam is about 6.5 kilometers wide

      That's just emphasises my point, although some of that will be atmosphere-caused diffusion of course. Also the "significant dispersion" in the calculation I made was on the order of 10x the radius compared to when the beam exited the laser apparatus as the context was using lasers as weapons.

    51. Re:Obligatory Fermi by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If the alien probes use the same sort of technology, they'll be passing through at about 1.5 AU/hour. Pluto gets about 40AU from the Sun, so if you use that as the definition of "solar system" a probe will spend less than five days in the solar system, which means we've got a probe flux of about 7.5E8 probes per year, and since a year is about 3E7 seconds we've got a probe flux of about 25 probes entering the solar system each second. We can't rule that out, but it does seem unlikely.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    52. Re:Obligatory Fermi by maciarc · · Score: 1

      I used to bullseye womp rats in my T-16 back home. They're not much bigger than two meters.

    53. Re:Obligatory Fermi by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      We don't even know for sure that there is an Oort Cloud.

      If there is, it is from an astronomic stand point very dim. It is extremely unlike that a probe of the size of a post card will be noticed when it hits an 'comet' there.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  4. Laser Power by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    Let's hope they can keep the lights on...

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:Laser Power by twotacocombo · · Score: 1

      Let's hope they can keep the lights on...

      And the beam focused to a point the size of a SIM card at a distance of 40,000,000,000,000,000 meters.

    2. Re:Laser Power by kheldan · · Score: 2

      They'd be better off building and situating the launching laser in orbit, or perhaps on the Moon, or perhaps out in one of Earths' L-points, where an atmosphere won't disperse the beam.. and while I'm thinking about it, why rely entirely on a launching laser? They could use a combination of solar sails and gravity assist from Sol, then supplement that with a launching laser.

      Of course building a gigantic laser in orbit around the Earth, or on the Moon, or anywhere it could possibly be pointed back at the Earths' surface, isn't going to play well with just about any nation on Earth..

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    3. Re:Laser Power by SJHillman · · Score: 1

      Unless your SIM card is two meters wide, I think you missed the part where they're using a sail. Not that it matters at that distance.

    4. Re:Laser Power by SJHillman · · Score: 1

      Solar sails get pretty useless even before you get halfway to the heliopause. For an interstellar journey, they're completely useless *unless* you point a laser at them.

    5. Re: Laser Power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't get a gravity assist from the object you're in orbit around (Sol)

    6. Re: Laser Power by HumanWiki · · Score: 1

      You can't get a gravity assist from the object you're in orbit around (Sol)

      Clearly you've never seen Star Trek IV. Not only can you do that, but you can use it to go back in time to call someone a double dumb ass.

    7. Re:Laser Power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I used to bullseye ducks in my nintendo back home, they're not much bigger than two centimeters...

    8. Re:Laser Power by Jason+Levine · · Score: 1

      Just carve out a shallow bowl section of the moon and place the giant laser there. Then, you have eight separate lasers that merge into one giant planet destroying... I mean spaceship propelling beam. Here are some plans.

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    9. Re:Laser Power by Holi · · Score: 1

      Build it on the far side of the moon. Since the moon is tidally locked it could never face the Earth.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    10. Re:Laser Power by Holi · · Score: 1

      That's no moon.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
  5. Weapon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Say it makes it to Alpha Centauri, and lets say there is intelligent life there... At 1/5 the speed of light, this thing is a micro weapon. Wouldn't it be perceived as being shot at by Earth?

  6. Better make two by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 1

    Better make two of those...

    >> fly at 20 percent of the speed of light ...in case the first one hits a dust spec at 134 million miles per hour.

    1. Re:Better make two by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Read the article, looks like the idea would be to put a mothership in orbit, then release one a day for a hundred or so day.

      Then hope that at least one makes it.

    2. Re:Better make two by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Initial plans are 1 a day for a year ie. 365, is that enough for you? Chances are that at least one out of 365 will get through but if not, then we have learned something ie. there is a lot of shit between us and stars. Only one way to find out for sure though.

  7. Re: What if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Quit whining. This isn't in our stupid orbit, this is interstellar. We're way below a rounding error there- if we did nothing but shoot little spacecraft out, we wouldn't even be detectable, much less annoy someone.

  8. 0.2C by kheldan · · Score: 4, Informative

    Um, small or not, have they considered how the craft is going to be shielded against collisions at that speed? Even something as small as a grain of sand at 0.2C packs quite a wallop. Also, is radiation an issue at that velocity?

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    1. Re: 0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      They'll probably use force fields and/or deflector shields.

    2. Re: 0.2C by kheldan · · Score: 2

      They'll probably use force fields and/or deflector shields.

      Oh come on, I'm being serious here, this is not a Star Trek fan forum we're commenting in.

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    3. Re:0.2C by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      They probably assume that space is empty enough not to worry. Probes to Jupiter and beyond have to fly through the asteroid belt and that's never been a problem.

    4. Re:0.2C by The-Ixian · · Score: 1

      I was thinking the same thing.

      Also, related to that, once the craft gets to its destination, how does it slow down and send back information?

      --
      My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
    5. Re: 0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am being serious. Have they figured out how to modulate the deflector shields? Or will they use a dampening field?

    6. Re:0.2C by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      Also, related to that, once the craft gets to its destination, how does it slow down and send back information?

      It doesn't. It makes a few pictures during a fly-by and sends those.

    7. Re:0.2C by Athanasius · · Score: 1

      It doesn't. There's no way to slow it down, and given the size that's being talked about it wouldn't have enough power to have any hope of sending a detectable signal back (both because it wouldn't have enough stored energy and it also wouldn't have a big enough antenna to have any hope of aiming the signal back).

      I suspect this whole thing would be more aimed at developing technologies and inspiring others to solve the various problems to sending a useful probe in the future.

    8. Re: 0.2C by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      No, silly. You just reverse the polarity and/or modulate the shield frequency.

    9. Re:0.2C by Rockoon · · Score: 1, Interesting

      More than a few probes have mysteriously been lost.

      The fastest (relative to our sun) thing ever recorded in our solar system was only a few percent of the speed of light. We can treat all the rocks and dust in the solar system as basically standing still when talking about the relative speeds that this probe will take on.

      Basically, you are talking out your ass, waving your hands about data that wouldn't apply if it were true, but isnt even true.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    10. Re: 0.2C by HumanWiki · · Score: 1

      No, silly. You just reverse the polarity and/or modulate the shield frequency.

      I was lead to believe that you bounce a graviton particle beam off the main deflector dish.

    11. Re:0.2C by lobiusmoop · · Score: 1

      Maybe the idea is that an advanced alien race will discover it, add on a whole bunch of mods and then send it back to Earth to report.

      --
      "I bless every day that I continue to live, for every day is pure profit."
    12. Re: 0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're all wrong. An inverse tachyon pulse will do the trick.

    13. Re:0.2C by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      We can treat all the rocks and dust in the solar system as basically standing still

      If you fly a probe through the asteroid belt, or any other kind of dust or rocks, it doesn't matter if they're standing still or moving.

    14. Re:0.2C by CanEHdian · · Score: 5, Funny

      More than a few probes have mysteriously been lost.

      No mystery at all. They have been hit by nanoprobes launched from Alpha Centauri and were destroyed on impact.

      --
      When the copyright term is "forever minus a day", live every day like it's the last.
    15. Re: 0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Redundant array of inexpensive interstellar probes? The first hundred or so just clear a path...

      The solar-powered Mercury launch lasers will be handy when the Kzin armada arrives after tracking them back to Sol...

    16. Re:0.2C by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      Speaking of talking out your ass, exactly how many probes have mysteriously been lost?

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    17. Re: 0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could also generate a low-level tachyon field from a small cluster of dilithium crystals.

    18. Re:0.2C by meerling · · Score: 1

      It's not. They plan on sending a hundred or more so something will hopefully get through. RTFA

    19. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nothing to worry about. At that speed by the time the impact is over the craft has already moved several thousand miles, so it's well beyond any trouble.

    20. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Captcha was "pitted"

    21. Re: 0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, silly. You just reverse the polarity and/or modulate the shield frequency.

      I was lead to believe that you bounce a graviton particle beam off the main deflector dish.

      Why not just polarize the hull plating?

    22. Re:0.2C by Eloking · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Um, small or not, have they considered how the craft is going to be shielded against collisions at that speed? Even something as small as a grain of sand at 0.2C packs quite a wallop. Also, is radiation an issue at that velocity?

      Collisions at 0.2C? Hell, even at 100 MPH (160Km/h) the probe will be pretty much destroyed.

      The magic is that most of the universe is, well, empty. I didn't do the math for this particular case, but I remember one of NASA scientist that made such calculation of the probability of a collision of the voyager probe for the next millennium. It was several digit after the decimal point.

      --
      Elok
    23. Re:0.2C by nucrash · · Score: 2

      Even if we manage to pepper the Alpha Centauri system with these things, around a million or so, the odds of actually hitting a planet are? You would have better luck repeatedly winning the lottery every day for a year straight than hitting something over on the other side.

      If these are space born, intelligent creatures on the other side, they will most likely respond with a serious, WTF?, rather than retaliate. That is if they are advanced and actually have quite an established presence(Thousands of Stations).
      If they aren't space-faring, then the odds of them knowing that we are peppering their system with wafer sized bullets traveling at 0.2 C is even less because we will likely hit their planet's atmosphere at increase velocity. Basically the most they would see is a little high speed poof ball, if anything at all.

      Unfortunately, we still can't confirm that planets even exist in this little cluster of stars.

      --
      Place something witty here
    24. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Basically, you are talking out your ass, waving your hands about data that wouldn't apply if it were true, but isnt even true.
       
      Ok, cite (CITE) the probes you're talking about and their hypothesized reason for being lost. Don't cry that someone else is talking crap and all you have to back it up is some "well, something bad happened sometime before that might happen again" without getting into the details.

    25. Re:0.2C by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Speaking of talking out your ass, exactly how many probes have mysteriously been lost?

      I dont have the exact count. I know its not zero like the OP implied.

      Here is one: Mars Observer

      I am confident that the actual number of probes which we have mysteriously lost contact with is at least a dozen.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    26. Re:0.2C by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      If you fly a probe through the asteroid belt, or any other kind of dust or rocks, it doesn't matter if they're standing still or moving.

      Stop proving how uneducated you are.

      If something is standing still relative to the probe, it cannot ever hit the probe, but if its moving relative to the probe then it can. So yes, it does matter.

      Notice how every time I mentioned speed, I spoke of relative velocities and also precisely indicated what the reference frame was. Notice that you didnt do any of that. You arent equiped with the knowledge to discuss this subject intelligently, which is why you appear so unintelligent.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    27. Re:0.2C by Holi · · Score: 1

      None of those probes are doing a substantial fraction of c though.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    28. Re:0.2C by Holi · · Score: 1

      The asteroid belt is still relatively empty, I mean if you flew through it you would most likely never see an asteroid.

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    29. Re:0.2C by Holi · · Score: 1

      So basically we would be sending a kinetic missile at Alpha Centauri. Hopefully it is uninhabited. Say it weighs around 5 kilos, what kind of impact would it have at say 20% the speed of light?

      Who wants to do the math?

      --
      Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
    30. Re:0.2C by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      I am confident that the actual number of probes which we have mysteriously lost contact with is at least a dozen.

      Uh, Mars Observer was not "mysteriously" lost. FTFA:

      Likely reason for spacecraft failure was the leakage of fuel and oxidizer vapors through the improperly designed PTFE check valve to the common pressurization system. During interplanetary cruise, the vapor mix had accumulated in feed lines and pressurant lines, resulting in explosion and their rupture after the engine was restarted for routine course correction.

      i.e., it wasn't mysteriously lost. We have a pretty good idea of why it was lost.

      But, hey, let's say it's a dozen. Here's a wikipedia list of Solar System probes. Now, I'm not going to go through and count them, but I'd be willing to bet that a dozen would account for less than 10%.

    31. Re:0.2C by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      The Asteroid Belt is not particularly dense. There are colossal gaping spaces between asteroids. It's not rocks with little pebbles and dust filling in all of the space in between.

      Yes, there is more of that than in the space outside the Asteroid Belt, but you'll find that the smaller particles will tend to clump a bit around the bigger objects. That's basically the effect of gravity on things over the period of millions of years. Bigger objects will sweep up smaller objects, even if they aren't massive enough to clump into a planet.

      The risk of failure is higher, of course, but it is not particularly high.

    32. Re:0.2C by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      And it is hard, although not impossible, to have planets in a stable orbit in a multi-star system which Alpha Centauri is. They tend to have their orbits perturbed enough by the other close stars over millions of years that they get ejected or plunge into their sun.

      There is some evidence there could be one or two planets possible around B, but none confirmed.

    33. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Add in the fact that this thing will probably jettison it's light sail and any frame leaving something the size of a bottle cap or bullet. Chances are even less of hitting something that size. Main risk is the incredibly long distance. Still, sending over 300 probes means that at least one should get through. We may need to up those numbers though if we want to use other probes as a means to relay data, we can't afford too many losses.

    34. Re:0.2C by kheldan · · Score: 1

      Yeah, well, those probes are not travelling at 1.341e+8 miles per hour, either.

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    35. Re: 0.2C by kheldan · · Score: 1

      We should wish we were far enough along in our space-based industry to have anything at all on Mercury. I'll consider it a real treat just to see Man go back to the Moon before I'm dead, at the rate things are going.

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    36. Re:0.2C by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      I'm just trying to hold you to task when you're calling someone else out for "talking out their ass" and "waving their hands" while you use phrases like these:

      "More than a few"
      "I dont have the exact count"
      "its not zero"
      "I am confident"

      Moreover, I doubt this claim:

      I am confident that the actual number of probes which we have mysteriously lost contact with is at least a dozen.

      You're using the word "mysteriously", which is obviously open to interpretation if you're trying to fit the data to match your claim, but I don't think that there are even 2 spacecraft where we lost contact and have absolutely no idea why. I went down the list posted by R3d M3rcury a couple times and each spacecraft where contact was lost had a suspected cause, even if it couldn't be proven.

      It seems like you're trying to imply that any spacecraft leaving the solar system quickly would be subject to collisions, but I don't see data which particularly shows that to be a threat. The vast majority of spacecraft failures happened in the early years of the space exploration era, especially on relatively short trips to the moon, Venus, or Mars. Spacecraft sent to any of the outer planets or those that left the solar system have a 100% success rate, none of them have been "mysteriously lost". That doesn't sound like space is chock full of stuff waiting to impact a spacecraft. It's actually a very empty place, even though even very small things can be fatal.

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    37. Re:0.2C by nytes · · Score: 1

      So the first one gets destroyed by hitting a rock.

      The other 99 get destroyed by hitting the debris from the first one.

      --
      -- I have monkeys in my pants.
    38. Re:0.2C by joe_frisch · · Score: 1

      Just background gas creates a pretty harsh radiation environment at these speeds. Lots of 10MeV protons. The denser gas and dust in the solar system is a lot worse.

      Still I think its the least of the problems.

    39. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey shit-for-brains, Mars Observer wasn't lost due to a collision. Go shove a lead pipe up your ass. You're not the braintrust you like to make yourself out to be, queer nuts.

    40. Re:0.2C by brantondaveperson · · Score: 1

      It's weird, but radiation still arrives at the speed of light.

    41. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course they have considered it.

    42. Re:0.2C by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      You're using the word "mysteriously", which is obviously open to interpretation

      Of course.

      Spacecraft sent to any of the outer planets or those that left the solar system have a 100% success rate

      "outer planets" is also open to interpretation (for instance, there may be 8 outer planets with mercury being the only inner planet), yet you just criticized me for leaving stuff open to interpretation? Go fuck yourself.

      It seems like you're trying to imply that any spacecraft leaving the solar system quickly would be subject to collisions

      I am not implying it. I am stating it to be a fact. What you dont seem to understand is that the faster you go, the worse all collisions are. The collisions with space dust that happens now are mainly at quite low velocities compared to what the article is talking about. There are many reasons for why the velocities are quite low, such as because most of the stuff in our solar system is moving along with it at less than escape velocity, and that most of the stuff orbits in the same direction as well (including the probes we send out) ..

      You are guessing, and you know that you are guessing.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    43. Re:0.2C by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Uh, Mars Observer was not "mysteriously" lost. FTFA:

      The article says "Likely reason" but the independent investigation only found it to be the "most probable cause" which doesnt at all mean "likely reason" ..

      You found a non-authoritative source that agreed with you and then you stopped, rather than you finding an authoritative source. You obviously don't care about veracity.... about facts. You only care that your opinion holds, and to that I say go fuck yourself.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    44. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is NOT empty. The Interstellar Medium is mostly hydrogen, but it is also 1% dust. Dust is probably the collision you have to worry about, especiall carbon dust. The other thing is magnetic fields and ionic currents which could throw it very severly off course without a "collision". There is probably a very important qualifier to that calculation you are referring to that you completely ignored.

    45. Re:0.2C by amicusNYCL · · Score: 1

      "outer planets" is also open to interpretation (for instance, there may be 8 outer planets with mercury being the only inner planet), yet you just criticized me for leaving stuff open to interpretation? Go fuck yourself.

      Haha, great example. Even Google has a specific definition for outer planets:

      a planet whose orbit lies outside the asteroid belt, i.e., Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, or Neptune.

      Here, there's an entire wikipedia article about them too. If you even go so far as to look at a scale diagram of the orbits of the planets in the solar system, you can probably even draw your very own conclusion about why we say we have 4 inner planets and 4 outer planets. You may even be able to find an actual astronomer talking about the distinction.

      Now, find a list of spacecraft which have "mysteriously been lost" so that we can argue about how "mysterious" each one is.

      By the way, right now it is accepted that there are 8 planets, not 9. Even if Pluto was considered a planet it wouldn't be the only one (Eris is larger and also has at least one moon), we would have more than 9.

      What you dont seem to understand is that the faster you go, the worse all collisions are.

      Oh, gee, is that what I don't understand? Thanks for the physics lesson, doctor. Here's a question: could any collision in space be considered non-damaging? Do collisions in space happen between objects which are perfectly elastic? We have had very low-speed collisions when trying to dock with a space station, for example, which have damaged either the station or the ship docking. ANY collision in space is potentially deadly. You're saying that a collision at 0.2c is going to be more damaging than one at 0.05c? Wow, that's amazing. Here's a thought: any collision of a spacecraft with any other object at any useful speed is going to result in the destruction of the ship. It doesn't matter if the difference in velocity is 1000 m/s or 0.2c, the ship is still fucked. My point is that we don't have a single record of a spacecraft being destroyed by a micro-meteoroid in space. More spacecraft have been destroyed by Chinese anti-satellite missiles than from natural space debris. This is further shown to be true by the success rate of the long-distance spacecraft. If space was so crowded then the success rate of a long-distance (outer planets or beyond) spacecraft would approach zero the farther it goes, but for some reason they're all still flying. And, no, Dr. Hawking, it's not because everything is orbiting in the same direction. That's just stupid.

      We have had 9 different spacecraft pass through the Jupiter system. Since this is obviously a beginning science lesson in this thread, I'll point out that Jupiter is the single largest gravity sink in the solar system other than the sun. All of those little pieces of dust and rock flying around the solar system do end up finding a permanent home, and for many of them that home is Jupiter. It is a relatively crowded system, complete with rings of dust and over 100 moons, not to mention the millions or billions of pieces of dust orbiting just waiting to fall in. We've had 9 spacecraft pass through that system, and none have been destroyed. Hell, 2 of those spacecraft even stuck around to orbit Jupiter. We've had 4 spacecraft visit Saturn, including an orbiter. Saturn is this bigass planet beyond Jupiter and it also has rings of dust, but they're a whole hell of a lot bigger than Jupiter's. Guess how many of those 4 spacecraft have been destroyed when passing through the Saturn system. Go ahead, guess. I'll leave that one as an exercise to the reader.

      In case you're still not following, here's the point of replying to your original post: even the current speeds at which o

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    46. Re:0.2C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is, in fact, a huge problem with the proposal (there are many). Even single atoms of interstellar gas cross the barrier from "stuff" to radiation at relativistic speeds; this is the meaning of "cosmic ray". A grain of sand is waaaay beyond the scale we need to worry about here, packing around 2 MJ or the energy in 1 lb of TNT.

    47. Re:0.2C by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Actually we could say: it is not lost at all. We know exactly where it is :D

      Like the old question to Odin: where did you lose your Eye? "I did not lose my eye, I know exactly where it is"

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    48. Re:0.2C by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Why don't you do the math your self?
      Can't be so hard: e = m * v * v

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    49. Re:0.2C by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      The article says "Likely reason" but the independent investigation only found it to be the "most probable cause" which doesnt at all mean "likely reason" ..

      Very true. It could have lost it's propellant because of an badly designed valve. It could have been hit by a meteor. It could have been screwed up by a solar flare. It could have been that a squirrel accidentally got in there and ate the wires. It could have been that space aliens abducted the craft.

      You found a non-authoritative source that agreed with you [...]

      Actually, I didn't find that non-authoritive source. You did. You're the one who referenced the wikipedia article in your reply. I merely pointed out that the article you referenced said that the likely reason was a leak.

      [...] and then you stopped, rather than you finding an authoritative source. You obviously don't care about veracity.... about facts.

      Well, I wouldn't go that far. Again, you're the one who gave the reference. So if anyone should be checking their sources, it's you.

      But, okay, I went and dug out NASA's "Mars Observer Loss of Signal: Special Review Board Final Report." On page 7-62, the report says that the meteoroid impact scenario was credible, but very unlikely.

    50. Re: 0.2C by ZorglubZ · · Score: 1

      When do we reverse the polarity of the neutron flow?

  9. Starwisp by seanellis · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Something like this was proposed many years ago by Robert L Forward, called Starwisp. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... for details.

    The probe would be very light but extended, like a cobweb. Tiny processor/sensor nodes would exist where the wires touched. Some nodes and web filaments would undoubtedly be destroyed by dust collisions en route, but would be multiply redundant. On arrival, the probe would be tattered and torn but still functional.

    1. Re:Starwisp by Salgak1 · · Score: 1

      Hopefully, nanotechnology will be developed to a useful level when and if they decide to launch. . . . of course, those of us who've read Charles Stross wonder about the potential of a nanotechnology-enhanced Starwisp-type craft. . . .

    2. Re:Starwisp by drew_kime · · Score: 1

      Some nodes and web filaments would undoubtedly be destroyed by dust collisions en route, but would be multiply redundant. On arrival, the probe would be tattered and torn but still functional.

      But would they? I wonder what the odds are?

      There's a whole lot of empty between us and the nearest star. I wonder what the actual odds are of collision over that distance. Would be a neat problem for someone who knows this stuff ... which is not me.

      --
      Nope, no sig
    3. Re:Starwisp by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      But would they? I wonder what the odds are?

      There's a whole lot of empty between us and the nearest star. I wonder what the actual odds are of collision over that distance. Would be a neat problem for someone who knows this stuff ... which is not me.

      As I post this there are 160 posts, but nobody has tried to make an actual estimate, so here goes. According to this paper there is one dust particle per million cubic meters in local interstellar space (a figure that surprised me, it seemed much higher than I expected).

      A one square centimeter spacecraft would sweep out a volume 4.5 LY long, with is 4.5E13 km, or 4.5E18 cm. A million cubic meters is 1E12 cm^3, So the 1 cm^2 area would get by 4.5E6 dust particles on its way, or an average impact density of one per 20 square microns. You will need a distributed mesh that can function after this level of dust penetration.

      Since a dust particle impact on a film would create an explosion (of 1E-4 J) the obvious solution is to make the mesh a true net with empty space between nodes. An impact on the mesh filament would vaporize that segment, but the number of such impacts (location random) could be estimated in advance, and the design based on preserving functionality reliably with that level of random disconnection.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    4. Re:Starwisp by drew_kime · · Score: 1

      According to this paper there is one dust particle per million cubic meters in local interstellar space (a figure that surprised me, it seemed much higher than I expected).

      That seemed high to me, too. But this is what was really surprising from that link:

      Starship deceleration caused by tether-dust collisions is about an order of magnitude less than deceleration caused by collisions between the tether and interstellar hydrogen atoms.

      "Vacuum" is weird.

      --
      Nope, no sig
    5. Re:Starwisp by HiThere · · Score: 1

      I think the estimate of dust particles is too high, because a bright laser has just been shining along that column of space. That should move or evaporate much of the dust.

      Also, the spacecraft itself shouldn't be a mesh, but rather, as you said, a net. you need tensional stability. You probably even want it to be rotating (slowly, you don't need *much* tension). But communication between the nodes could well be via a mesh network.

      I'm sure this kind of thing would be addressed during the research phase of this project. And we probably aren't up to building something like this yet anyway...not using nanotechnology. Give us 5 or 10 years thought and ...

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    6. Re:Starwisp by drew_kime · · Score: 1

      I think the estimate of dust particles is too high, because a bright laser has just been shining along that column of space. That should move or evaporate much of the dust.

      The particles aren't just sitting there, they're already moving. The calculation above assumes that over a long enough trip the average odds of impact are roughly the same as if it's all static, but the particles that would strike wouldn't have been in the column when the craft started it's journey.

      This opens the possibility that the craft could potentially be configured to minimize cross section in the direction of travel, if that would reduce the exposure.

      --
      Nope, no sig
    7. Re:Starwisp by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Dust isn't stationary in space. Even if you could reliably sweep some dust out, you'd still end up with some on your path. And I don't believe the laser would have the necessary power and coherence that far out to have cleared even a fraction of the whole route. The laser is mostly for quick acceleration that would probably happen mostly within the Solar System. It would probably be down to a very small fraction of its power before it even reached the Oort Cloud.

    8. Re:Starwisp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is the whole point, nobody knows for sure, we can just best guess.

      We can use hundreds or even thousands of tiny probes to reduce the risk of a collision with all of them. Even if quite a few get destroyed, we can learn something about how much there is between us and the star.

    9. Re:Starwisp by HiThere · · Score: 1

      I was thinking of using a laser/light-sail combination, so the laser is going to need to be on a LONG time. If you're using ablative thrust, or some such, then yes, the laser would only be on a short time, and that might be a reasonable way to start, as it would give you much higher thrust than the lightsail, but at the cost of ejection mass. So after a bit switching to a light-sail would be better. And that means a long laser thrust.

      Also, while dust does drift, I believe the average velocity (relative to the velocity of the sun) is small, so there shouldn't be a lot of dust drifting in from the side.

      Of course, this is just thumbnail figuring (not even back of the envelope). But presumably this would be covered during the research project. Probably rather early in the project.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  10. Re:What has Hawking actually done? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    He introduced thermodynamics to the theory of black holes. He found the mechanism of Hawking Radiation and the evaporation of black holes, hugely important in understanding the fate of the universe and why there seem to be no sub-stellar black holes. Pretty good for a guy who can't hold a pen. He does seem to enjoy celebrity. If they could only fix that under-bite.

  11. Never gonna happen by IWantMoreSpamPlease · · Score: 2

    I'm all for science, I work in a lab after all, but the technological tasks facing them won't be solved anytime soon.
    Maybe 20 years from now, but not anytime soon.
    Call me when they have a working, fully functional one.

    --
    So rise up, all ye lost ones, as one, we'll claw the clouds.
    1. Re:Never gonna happen by rudy_wayne · · Score: 1

      Please notice that it says "a $100 million research program".

    2. Re:Never gonna happen by Rockoon · · Score: 0

      Please notice that it says "a $100 million research program".

      ..and we've spent 1000x that much trying, and failing, to cure cancer.

      Somehow you think that the amount of money spent tells us something about the probability of success. It doesn't. Fool.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    3. Re:Never gonna happen by amicusNYCL · · Score: 4, Funny

      Call me when they have a working, fully functional one.

      Why, so we can get another awesome opinion?

      --
      "Our two-party system is like a bowl of shit looking at itself in a mirror." - Lewis Black
    4. Re:Never gonna happen by ohnocitizen · · Score: 2

      How do you think we get from here to 20 years from now? This is 100 million in research they hope to conclude over a "generation" (which happens to be 20 years). So maybe they won't call you, but they are calling people who can help get us from "that's not possible" to "we've done it!".

    5. Re:Never gonna happen by brantondaveperson · · Score: 1

      Cancer is a lot harder. This is just physics, but Cancer is biology. Biology is far far more complicated.

    6. Re:Never gonna happen by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Cancer is a lot harder. This is just physics, but Cancer is biology. Biology is far far more complicated.

      Biology is just physics....

      ...unless you are a religious nutjob. Are you one of those?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    7. Re:Never gonna happen by XPACT · · Score: 1

      Cancer is a lot harder. This is just physics, but Cancer is biology. Biology is far far more complicated.

      Nope it is the other way around. Biology is easier than FTL drive. Biology and Cancer does exist it is a matter of finding a way to manipulate DNA, Faster then Light travel does not exist, and it is against the physics laws we know so far.

    8. Re:Never gonna happen by brantondaveperson · · Score: 1

      I agree, because FTL travel is impossible. No arguments there. But 'finding a way to manipulate DNA' is probably tougher than, say, getting to Mars. Just my opinion, since I am neither a biologist nor a physicist.

  12. War comes first by Pollux · · Score: 2, Insightful

    At $100 million, that's roughly the cost of 40 airstrikes against ISIS. It's too bad we're such a trigger-happy country, we aren't willing to let our thumbs rest for two weeks and use the money we saved to launch a scientific mission instead.

    1. Re:War comes first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Russia could have nuked ISIS a long time ago. They chose to let it grow out of control.

    2. Re:War comes first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comparing apples to baseball bats. ISIS kills. ISIS is a brown stain on humanity and should be bleached out of existence.

  13. Groud based lasers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What a waste. What about MOON based lasers?

    1. Re:Groud based lasers? by 4wdloop · · Score: 1

      I suppose by "ground" they meant "stationary" as in "not on the spacecraft"...

      --
      4wdloop
  14. hello universe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think it would be a good idea to send millions of these, with information how to find earth on them :) better yet if they are self replicating :D

  15. Hawking is Senile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sadly, I think Hawking is getting senile.

    1. Re:Hawking is Senile by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      And between you and Hawking, who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?

    2. Re:Hawking is Senile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah the good old appeal to authority! He was good at math at one point, therefore he will be correct in any other field at all, especially if it aligns with my pre-conceived space religion!

    3. Re:Hawking is Senile by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      Same thing happens in other fields, too. Example: Jonathan Ive is a great industrial designer but he should never have been put in charge of the user interfaces nor in charge of the engineering. What's the point of thin desktop computers?

    4. Re:Hawking is Senile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Two problems. First, Ive is a designer and executive. He is overseer role, not the plethora of engineering roles required to bring his ideas to market. 2) He designed Apple human interfaces, which may be or may not be revolutionary depending on who you ask.

    5. Re:Hawking is Senile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Truly sad to see what Hawking and his handlers are doing to his legacy. I read his books and respected him. I guess he, and his handlers, needs a piece of that 100 mil.

      I literally won't be surprised the day I see some product, probably some crappy China made drone toy, marketed by Mattel with his likeness or silhouette on it. [sigh]

    6. Re:Hawking is Senile by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you could explain how black holes prevent loss of information when the swallow something, then.

      He's talking out of his area of expertise, but that's a different matter. And since what he's proposing is a research project, it sounds quite reasonable to me. ...Of course, I may have been trolled.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  16. actually some sort of hovercraft by Thud457 · · Score: 2

    Build a LASER on the moon? Only if they call it "The Alan Parsons Project"

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  17. The nearest star by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The nearest star is btw..... The Sun.

    1. Re:The nearest star by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 1

      Oh great, now the damn things will need to run Java.

    2. Re:The nearest star by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Zzzzzttt! Wrong. The nearest star is most likely in the TMZ.

    3. Re:The nearest star by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

      I seem to be having tremendous difficulty with my lifestyle.

    4. Re:The nearest star by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

      Sorry, responded to wrong line.

  18. Re:What has Hawking actually done? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Being in a wheelchair and overcoming adversity isn't exactly unique to him; lots of others do it on a daily basis, too.

    But not with his swagger and cool robot voice.

  19. I can already see how it ends by U2xhc2hkb3QgU3Vja3M · · Score: 3, Funny

    For decades, the tiny ships will tore across the empty wastes of space to finally dive on to the first planet they come across, where due to a terrible miscalculation of scale the entire space fleet will be accidentally swallowed by a small dog.

    1. Re:I can already see how it ends by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

      I seem to be having tremendous difficulty with my lifestyle

    2. Re:I can already see how it ends by Jason+Levine · · Score: 1

      Either that or:

      "We have good news and bad news. The good news is that our nano-craft have sent proof that Alpha Centuri has a planet that supports intelligent life."

      "And the bad news?"

      "The probe crashed into the planet at relativistic speeds, exploding with such force that it wiped out all life."

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
  20. Re: What has Hawking actually done? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "rigamortis "

    WTF? If you're going to be an ass, at least get it right: "rigor mortis". You'll look a bit less like a jackass next time.

  21. Unsurmountable obstacles by Trachman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Obstacles are way too high. Current calculation requires 60 Giga Watt laser beam. Largest nuclear plant in USA, Palo Verde, Arizona, has approx 1.25 Giga Watt power.

    More: according to the plan, installations that generate power of 50 nuclear plants would need to be sent to space, for lasers are supposed to be above the atmosphere.

    Finally, the power of 50 nuclear plants would be concentrated into the area more or less equal to handkerchief. I think that handkerchief will evaporate, maybe it will not. However there might be some interference at the interstellar probe. Technical difficulties are insurmountable so far.

    Anyway, the last time I have checked approximately 50% of world's population did not have proper sewer, and approximately 15% do not have running water and electricity. Just a small fraction of interstellar travel project would bring these necessities to the fellow human beings. I would say, that we should build few nuclear power plants here on earth first.

    I think that we will need 100 years to send a interstellar probe.

    1. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by religionofpeas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      approximately 50% of world's population did not have proper sewer, and approximately 15% do not have running water and electricity.

      If you solve that, you'd get a bigger population, followed by the same problems on a larger scale.

    2. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Trachman · · Score: 3, Informative

      Perhaps we will get bigger population. However, history shows, that once electricity, television and contraceptives are introduced, population growth slows down significantly. Once population becomes richer population growth turns negative.

    3. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      history shows, that once electricity, television and contraceptives are introduced, population growth slows down significantly

      Temporarily, yes. But after a few generations, it'll pick back up. Welcome to Evolution 101.

    4. Re: Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you don't. Birthrates in solved countries are much lower.

    5. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Trachman · · Score: 1

      There will be always a way to slow down growth. Here are the few trends:

      1. Fantasy football (or online games) will be compulsory. To make sure those who proudly do not have cable TV, are using their time on the internets.

      2. Everyone will need to get a PhD and compulsory post-doctoral studies just to get a job to maintain and service fast food robot servers. Many of the people get postdoc education at around 35 years.

      3. Having a child will be so expensive (both in terms of time and money), that many will chose not to have it.

      4. Masculine males will be stigmatized as "crude", and feminine women with maternal instincts will be viewed as "stupid".

    6. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1

      Actually, as people's lives improve, birthrates go down. This has been shown to be closely correlated with child survival rates above all else. Sanitation and clean water have a large impact on child survival rates.

    7. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Based on the trends in the regions that have (barely...) proper sewer and generally reliable water, that is not the trend. Instead, increased lifespans seem to result in less obsession with reproduction and an increase in attempting to maximize personal pleasure. The largest factor of population growth in such regions is immigration, in no small part because some of the locals are neglecting to have children until they are no longer biologically capable (whether due to age or prior hobbies) of reproducing naturally.

      A society with no pressing existential threats (abundant food, water, energy, communication, and fairly capable medical resources) puts much of their resources into doing things that sound fun or exciting. Like sending Slylandro exploration probes across the galaxy.

    8. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      1+2, yes sufficiently strict laws to prohibit getting children would work, but we're not going to have global strict laws. Some countries will continue to encourage child birth + emigration. 3: poor people already more children than rich people, and they're not going to stop unless you let the children die, which means you're back to where you started. 4: your puny stigma is no match for the forces of evolution.

    9. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Harvey+Manfrenjenson · · Score: 1

      Anyway, the last time I have checked approximately 50% of world's population did not have proper sewer, and approximately 15% do not have running water and electricity. Just a small fraction of interstellar travel project would bring these necessities to the fellow human beings.

      "15%" of the world's population doesn't have running water? The number is closer to 50%. If you were *actually* concerned about water issues in the developing world, I suspect you would know that already. (And no... a "small fraction" of a $100 million research budget isn't going to bring indoor plumbing to 3.5 billion people).

    10. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Give a cite to something more than opinion please.

    11. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Eloking · · Score: 2

      Perhaps we will get bigger population. However, history shows, that once electricity, television and contraceptives are introduced, population growth slows down significantly. Once population becomes richer population growth turns negative.

      Yeah....let's see how that argument hold when we'll find a cure to, let's say, double the life expectancy (and double the fertility time) of a human being.

      --
      Elok
    12. Re: Unsurmountable obstacles by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Yes, but then to make up for the loss in economic growth, they open the borders to millions of third-worlders, so the countries they came from free up the pressure by getting rid of these malcontents, and then they continue expanding their population and then calling for richer countries to take in their extra people. There's no solution for this other than changing the culture in the poorer countries, but they're not doing that, instead they're doubling down on their medieval values.

    13. Re: Unsurmountable obstacles by cyber-vandal · · Score: 1

      You think 100 million dollars will build all the infrastructure necessary for that? What are you going to do about the local warlords blowing it up? How are you going to stop corrupt officials denying water to people who can't afford to bribe them?

    14. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless I'm missing some joke, that's just not true. Modern civilizations have an almost completely steady birthrate. Many are actually decreasing. It turns out people only really have more than one or two kids so that enough of them will survive to provide care once you get old. Once you have education, a social safety net, retirement plans, etc, there's no point to kids other than if you enjoy it.

    15. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps we will get bigger population. However, history shows, that once electricity, television and contraceptives are introduced, population growth slows down significantly. Once population becomes richer population growth turns negative.

      People have been parroting that to me my whole life. People who want to make more babies, or maybe they just want to parrot something so they do not have to have uncomfortable thoughts.
      Lets sanity check this.
      1. Population grows VERY quickly. Close to doubling over my short lifetime (less than 4 billion to close to 8 billion). https://www.learner.org/course...
      We are now growing at more than a billion a decade.
      So if you would like a heaping helping of citations about eating all the big fish in the sea, dead spots in the sea, and climate change caused by this growth, no more farmable land, the fuel that grows and moves the food running out at some point, killing our species via over population, just ask and we will help.

      But wait what about this?:
      2. "Education, women's rights, a higher standard of living, and magic make population growth go negative."? The problem is that is a VERY slow process compared to population growth.

      Do you see the problem now and why you should drop parroting things along that line?

      If you don't, just remember this: Very slow solutions for explosively growing problems.. are not solutions!!!!!
      No one tries to put out a forest fire with one stream of pee.

      Once population becomes richer population growth turns negative.

      Just to make absolutely sure you now understand: YOU HAVE JUST HANDED US 'TRICKLE DOWN' BIRTH CONTROL!
      I am so deeply embarrassed for you.

    16. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Anyway, the last time I have checked approximately 50% of world's population did not have proper sewer, and approximately 15% do not have running water and electricity. Just a small fraction of interstellar travel project would bring these necessities to the fellow human beings.

      I agree that we should take care of people, but money isn't the problem with water and electricity for those people. It's usually politics. 100 million dollars is a small fraction of the US yearly budget. Don't you think we would have already done all of that if it was just a matter of throwing money at the problem?

      In any event, you can do more than one thing without neglecting the others. You pay for maintenance and infrastructure, but you do need to spend money on R&D as well. Work on all of these things pays off.

      And a laser that can move a small object to 10% of c could possibly have other real uses in space and on Earth. For instance imparting that sort of power wouldn't necessarily move a large object, but it could deflect a very distant inbound massive object enough so that it misses the Earth, for instance. The capacitors used to output that sort of power would probably be very useful on Earth as well.

    17. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe do some research before posting?

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_power_stations_in_the_world

      Largest nuclear in the world: 7.9GW
      Largest overall (hydro) 22GW
      Largest Coal 5.5GW
      Largest Natural gas: 5.6GW
      Largest wind farm 5GW

      Even Zimbabwe can manage 0.9GW

      Of course you were talking specifically about US Nuclear (not sure why) so going with that, we get 3.9GW for Palo Verde, a little over 3 times your quote.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palo_Verde_Nuclear_Generating_Station

      Of course the idea here is to actually charge up something like a huge and I mean huge bank of super capacitors or some kind of battery so that it can all be released in about 30 minutes and then have 23.5 hours to recharge. Seems very doable to me.

    18. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Capacitors! Set up a 1GW plant next to the lasers, and every two hours you can pump out 2 minutes of 60GW lasers.

    19. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Watts (Power) vs Joules (Energy). The lasers proposed are powerful,, but they don't need a whole lot of energy. A nuclear power plant can deliver a GW of power all the time. This experiment needs tens of GW for only a few minutes -- the total energy is about the same as that used in a shuttle launch. So you charge up a bunch of batteries, and then release the charge really quickly. This is how we already have PetaWatt lasers -- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vulcan_laser

      Of course, this doesn't mean the rest of the hurdles in this project are easy to overcome!

    20. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah....let's see how that argument hold when we'll find a cure to, let's say, double the life expectancy (and double the fertility time) of a human being.

      People will wait even longer to have children, they will have less incentive to have big families, and will spend a greater part of their life focusing on careers. That's what's happened in post-industrialized (mostly "Western") countries as life expectancy has increased, child mortality has decreased, and women's rights have made societies more equal. In fact, seen globally, the population is growing only due to higher life expectancy.

    21. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by tigersha · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the fact that a multi-nuke-plant powered 60 GW steerable Laser in earth orbit is going to draw quite a bit of military and political interest.

      --
      The dangers of excessive individualism are nothing compared to the oppressiveness of excessive collectivism
    22. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obstacles are way too high. Current calculation requires 60 Giga Watt laser beam. Largest nuclear plant in USA, Palo Verde, Arizona, has approx 1.25 Giga Watt power.

      In related news, rockets to the Moon can't possibly work because in the vacuum of space there's nothing for them to push against.

      Powering lasers with electricity is dumb. Chemical lasers are much more efficient, they've been available in the megawatt range for years. Imagine a chemical laser with reaction chambers the size of an F-1 engine and fuel tanks the size of a Saturn V.

    23. Re:Unsurmountable obstacles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But a lot of this problems are political. It doesn't matter that the money to solve them exists, it's not enough. If we waited to solve all of these issues before moving on we'd never make it anywhere. The science for the probe might not exist yet, but it's not going to research itself, so we better get started!

  22. Numbers? by joe_frisch · · Score: 2

    A visible light laser can't practically be focused to meter scales over more than about ~10^7M considering diffraction and reasonable (eg 10s of M) sized mirrors. At 0.1C, that gives you an acceleration time of ~1 second. So the sail material is hit by ~10% of its mass energy in 1 second. No way it could possibly survive, even if the laser could be constructed.

    Considering that a 30M telescope is a ~$1B project, requiring a much larger telescope is not consistent with a $100M project.

    This is why we need experimental physicists as well as theorists.....

    1. Re:Numbers? by wbr1 · · Score: 0

      Let me guess, you are an expert theorist? Or are you an experimentalist?

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
    2. Re:Numbers? by joe_frisch · · Score: 4, Funny

      Accelerator physicist - which really means engineer......

      but I play Kerbal a lot so I'm an expert in space stuff ;-)

    3. Re:Numbers? by NotAPK · · Score: 1

      The telescope mirror for powering this thing does not need to operate with the same precision as mirror used for astronomical observations.

      Sure, inaccuracies in the reflective surface will point light rays off axis and they will be lost, but such a mirror could easily be built out to 50m or more.

    4. Re:Numbers? by joe_frisch · · Score: 2

      The mirror has to be very good. My numbers were roughly based on diffraction limit. If you have a worse quality mirror it needs to be larger.

      I'm not saying that its physically impossible, but if you put in numbers for a reasonable mirror size, and power dissipation on the sail, it quickly becomes clear that it doesn't come close to working.

      Going to soft X-rays helps because diffraction limit is much smaller. (hard x-rays and higher don't work, the sail needs to be too think to absorb them). Still the numbers quickly become heroic for the whole system.

      Besides, for 1/10 C you can use a fission powered high ISP ion drive rocket - which while incredibly difficult, is less exotic than the laser sail.

    5. Re:Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Couldnt agree more about the experimental vs theorist comment.
      What a lot of people dont seem to understand is that at these velocities the kinetic energy is greater than the potential energy of plutonium. It seems to me that the challenges of using a charged particle beam would be significantly less. Of course building a light weight magnet that can bend the beam 180 deg wouldnt be a challenge at all...

    6. Re:Numbers? by FeelGood314 · · Score: 1

      Back of the napkin math - 2 hours to accelerate the craft

      Assume 99.9% reflection, square meter sail, 4.5 GW 550nm laser and 3 grams for the entire craft. Also assume the sail can withstand 3000K temperature.

      At 3000K a 1 meter square sail can radiate 4.5MW. Given 99.9% reflectivity the sail can be hit with 4.5GW of light. 4.5GW of light will give us 30N of force. 30 N on a 3g object gives us an acceleration of 10000m/s^2. To reach 0.2c the craft would need to accelerate for 6000 seconds or less than 2 hours.

    7. Re:Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The mirrors aren't reasonably sized -- they're talking about coherently phasing up a bunch of mirrors over 100s (1000s?) of metres. I believe the power is supposed to be delivered over a minute or two. I also don't think anyone is suggesting we get to alpha centauri with $100M (at least I hope not, I would have thought a project like that is on the scale of Apollo -- $100B)

    8. Re:Numbers? by joe_frisch · · Score: 1

      average velocity during acceleration is 0.1C or 3e7M/s. so it travels 2e11Meters. With a 10M sail, the transmitter needs a divergence angle of 5e-11 radians. With 1 micron light, that is a 2e4 M transmitter - 20 km. Pretty big for a diffraction limited mirror - the largest telescopes are only 30M.

      Also, 99.9% reflectivity is only possible with multi-layer mirrors which are too heavy, or with infrared light which requires a larger transmitter.

    9. Re:Numbers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They aren't talking about a single telescope here, this is a phased array. Each beam has to be synchronized in phase in order for it to function. This works like an astronomical interferometer in reverse, where the diffraction-limited spot size is determined by the synthetic aperture of the telescope's baseline. In theory it would be even better (and thus more practical, because we aren't building a 100 GW phased laser array in THIS century) to spread them out in orbit and increase the baseline.

  23. DON'T POKE THE BEAR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It's like no one has read the book "The Forge of God" by Greg Bear.

    Best to keep quiet until we have overwhelming tactical and strategic supremacy over other planets.

  24. Is it privately funded? by mi · · Score: 1

    as this is a totally privately-funded project

    If it really is a privately-funded undertaking, a link to gofundme or some such would be useful.

    But if this is one of those "Ah, if only the evil RethugliKKKans allowed NASA to fund it" things, then no way no how.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  25. progress by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    By the time the probe is ten years into its mission (half way), it will be passed by a new probe that can do the whole trip in ten years.

  26. Re:Obligatory Big Scary Laser by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Do not look into beam with remaining eye!

  27. Starting development is a good idea by Cyberpunk+Reality · · Score: 1

    We're going to need something like this to get a good look at Planet IX once we find it.

    --
    Rule 35 of the internet: "If it can be hacked, it will be". - Charles Stross
  28. GW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That assumes continuous power. Because power is energy divided by time, P=E/t, you can charge up capacitors to a million joules (E=1/2CV^2) and release it all in a microsecond to make a terawatt of power (10^6/10^-6 = 1=^12). It's common (n the field).

  29. Hang about by mzellers · · Score: 1

    Perhaps this is a dumb question. If the probe can attain speeds of 0.2C, just how do they plan on slowing it down once you arrive? Seems like a lot of effort to spend for a visit that is likely to last at most a day or two.

    1. Re:Hang about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's likely all it will be. The energy required to stop is equal to the energy required to get going in the first place. Even if stopping isn't your goal, you'd better shed a lot of speed in order to increase the time you have in the destination solar system.

    2. Re:Hang about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, just pump the breaks a couple times?

    3. Re:Hang about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's 'brakes', you fucktard.

  30. Attempts at interstellar travel should wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Considering how difficult interstellar travel is, I think Earth should wait at least 100 years before trying such a thing.

  31. Put your money where your robot voice is! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How much has Hawking himself forked towards those $100 mil? Just don't come after my wallet for pet projects!

  32. Top Secret ansible communications involved.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ie - quantumly entangled photons/electrons held in static fields used to transmit data / energy will be used to power and communicate with the nano-sats.

    They just can't announce the breakthroughs making this possible as the CIA/NSA would have collective apoplexy if the world at large knew they could have secure instantaneous communications that were immune to their efforts.

  33. Re: What if by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes but what if..?

  34. Quantum entanglement by JesperSigården · · Score: 0

    Can't anyone figure out how to use Quantum Entanglement to communicate directly to the spacecraft?
    Just load it with a couple TB of unused quantum pairs and send it to its destination and receive beautiful pictures immediately without that stupid limitation of "light speed".

    I mean, how hard can it be?

    1. Re:Quantum entanglement by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I mean, how hard can it be?

      It can be, and is, impossible.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    2. Re:Quantum entanglement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I mean, how hard can it be?

      It can be, and is, impossible.

      Well, it is and it is not... at the same time...

  35. Just intercept one and reuse it by DriveDog · · Score: 1

    ...one of the microcraft cruising through the Solar system originating from other worlds. They could be all around us before we'd notice.

    Once it's zooming along at .2c, it won't have much time to observe anything. Unless the plan includes deceleration, which adds quite a bit of time to the trip. Also, we'll need to be prepared for the severely red-shifted signal coming home from it. If it's not going to tell us what it found, we might as well just throw rocks, which would probably make ET mad.

    1. Re:Just intercept one and reuse it by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

      we might as well just throw rocks, which would probably make ET mad.

      The bugs threw the rocks at us first!

      --

      -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  36. AC has no hostile beings? by DriveDog · · Score: 2

    Why did Hawking decide it's OK to send tracer bullets to Alpha Centauri so A-C's ETs can locate us? Because they can already observe our electronic emissions anyhow?

    1. Re:AC has no hostile beings? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Man you'd think Hawkins was omniscient by that comment. The universe does not bend itself to his explanations, or anyone else's. Your guess is as good as Hawkings here, also the idea that someone has to "OK" this is hilariously presumptive.

    2. Re:AC has no hostile beings? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For fucks sake... any civilization that is a threat to us can already detect us without any kind of beacons. Can people get the fuck over this already?

  37. Re:What has Hawking actually done? by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

    He also wrote some books for laypeople, including the bestseller "A Brief History of Time", which was well-known for explaining a lot of modern physics theory in a way that regular people can understand.

  38. Could we keep it there once it arrived? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Could we keep it there once it arrived? Or would it just whiz right through the star system at 20-percent the speed of light?

  39. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by Fallen+Kell · · Score: 1

    I love the idea. However with a device that small, how do we get a signal back? It will not be able to generate a strong radio or light signal to send back. Would we be able to use existing radio telescopes to pick it up, or would we need better receiving infrastructure?

    The real questing isn't detecting the radio/light signal. The real question is how in the world (or more aptly "universe") can such a craft survive impact with dust when moving at the velocity that they are proposing? A stationary piece of dust weighting 1 gram will have an impact force of 662,920,828 TONS! A piece of dust moving in the opposite direction of the probe will have even higher impact energy due to the relative speeds between the two objects.

    --
    We were all warned a long time ago that MS products sucked, remember the Magic 8 Ball said, "Outlook not so good"
  40. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by Fallen+Kell · · Score: 1

    A stationary piece of dust weighting 1 gram will have an impact force of 662,920,828 TONS! A piece of dust moving in the opposite direction of the probe will have even higher impact energy due to the relative speeds between the two objects.

    To put that in perspective, imagine an indestructible needle/pin and put 1816 Empire State Buildings on top of that indestructible pin and then put your spacecraft under that pin...

    --
    We were all warned a long time ago that MS products sucked, remember the Magic 8 Ball said, "Outlook not so good"
  41. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by HiThere · · Score: 1

    Maybe the laser propulsion system would automatically clean the dust out of the way. Dust shouldn't take much to give it a shove, or possibly to evaporate it.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  42. Lets Kill All Who Try After Us... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess no one is considering that any spacecraft attempting to go to Alpha Centauri later in time could run into these toy probes and cause the (later sent) spacecraft to be critically damaged or destroyed. Anyone who has studied this topic knows given the incredible speeds involved, even a small object can cause horrendous damage when they collide.

    But you know, screw that - rich dumb guys are giving away 100 million dollars baby! Gotta' get some!

    1. Re:Lets Kill All Who Try After Us... by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      I've read of attempts to calculate the odds of a fatal impact for such high-speed probes, and it's surprisingly low considering, roughly like between 0.5% and 5%. Outside of planetary systems, space is quite sparse.

  43. Will be moot point in 10 years by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

    Considering First Contact will happen by ~2024, the whole mission seems like a moot point.

  44. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by drew_kime · · Score: 1

    To put that in perspective, imagine an indestructible needle/pin and put 1816 Empire State Buildings on top of that indestructible pin and then put your spacecraft under that pin...

    But how far are you dropping it from?

    --
    Nope, no sig
  45. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by Holi · · Score: 1

    A stationary piece of dust weighing 1 gram is not dust, that's a pebble. What happens to the poor planet it impacts at those speeds.

    --
    Sorry, teleporters just kill you and then make a copy. A perfect, soul-less copy.
  46. Mod parent down: misinformation by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

    Obstacles are way too high. Current calculation requires 60 Giga Watt laser beam. Largest nuclear plant in USA, Palo Verde, Arizona, has approx 1.25 Giga Watt power.

    60GW for 2 hours, or one launch every 2 days, powered by a single power plant. It's not clear that the mission requires more frequent launches than that, so there's no basis to say "way too high" here.

    More: according to the plan, installations that generate power of 50 nuclear plants would need to be sent to space, for lasers are supposed to be above the atmosphere.

    Actually, according to the plan, the lasers will be sited on the Earth's surface. They will require a mile-wide adaptive optics array to compensate for atmospheric distortion. Perhaps you aren't too familiar with the plan you're citing.

    Finally, the power of 50 nuclear plants would be concentrated into the area more or less equal to handkerchief. I think that handkerchief will evaporate, maybe it will not. However there might be some interference at the interstellar probe. Technical difficulties are insurmountable so far.

    While a "handkerchief" would likely "evaporate" (become ionized, more realistically), I believe this mission actually plans to use solar sails. Solar sails are defined by having insufficient absorption to undergo catastrophic heating in the course of ordinary use. Consequently, I think the technical difficulties are a lot less technically difficult than your hyperbole would otherwise suggest.

    Anyway, the last time I have checked approximately 50% of world's population did not have proper sewer, and approximately 15% do not have running water and electricity. Just a small fraction of interstellar travel project would bring these necessities to the fellow human beings. I would say, that we should build few nuclear power plants here on earth first.

    If you believe that "a small fraction" of $10B would provide water, sanitation, and electrical services to every last person on Earth, you're mistaken.

    I think that we will need 100 years to send a interstellar probe.

    So, after all that, you think their estimate of 40 years isn't that far off?

    --
    Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
  47. Re:Hawking Backs $100 Million Interstellar Travel by tnk1 · · Score: 2

    Nope. There's a rich Russian involved in there. That's where at least some of the money is coming from.

    Apparently he got bored of buying tiny giraffes.

  48. Let's send humans instead! by reboot246 · · Score: 1

    We can start with Hawking and Zuckerberg. Hawking may not live another 20 years to survive the trip, but Zuck would. Let another star system have him!

  49. Various merits by fyngyrz · · Score: 1

    I suspect the propulsion laser will be here in the solar system. Not on a probe the size of a cellphone. Because shining a light on your own sail is like standing on a sailboat blowing into its sails. You're not exerting leverage on the craft. Only on yourself. Also because a laser needs a power source, assuming you could get around the prior physics issue.

    The big question here is, as was stated above, how will it get any information back? As an information gathering instrument for our benefit, that seems like the critical question even if everything else is quite reasonable, as it may well be, although I'm just going by the fact that Hawking is in on this. I kind of doubt he failed to do the math. :)

    Now, as a probe carrying information from us, to any space-faring critters in the target system... I imagine that would be quite interesting to them, just as we would be interested if a small device came into our solar system being dragged, or having been dragged, more or less, by a light sail.

    Even just as a "we sent something to another star and got it there, assuming it didn't run into something along the way" seems pretty cool to me. And considering some of the things humans have done at similar costs... a few hundreds of millions of dollars, if TFS has it right... yachts, etc... it also seems plenty worthy.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  50. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by tnk1 · · Score: 1

    Possibly, but you'd need to take the sail down on occasion to allow the beam to pass through it to clear the way ahead of it.

    I'm sure that the laser could technically act on objects that are somehow stationary and in the path of the laser, but it is most likely that an object would impact the craft from an angle that is less than head-on. If so, then the object would have originated outside the path of the laser and would not be affected.

    Additionally, for the laser to clear even straight ahead, the sail would have to come down, at least on occasion, to avoid blocking the laser's path. And that seems theoretically possible, but more complex and power intensive where you'd have a very limited power budget on such a craft to begin with.

    I honestly don't know how they'd maintain a viable interstellar craft for that long without at least an RTG onboard, and RTGs are pretty heavy.

  51. Full of hope by nospam007 · · Score: 1

    I hope they have a very big antenna to get the report from that "chip from your cell phone"'s bluetooth chip.

  52. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

    On the plus side, the smaller your spacecraft is the lower your odds of being hit are.

    --
    This space intentionally left blank
  53. You know it's not him anymore, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Why is anyone still even listening when this guy supposedly proposes anything? He's just a vegetable in a motorized chair!

    Don't you guys realize that all the speech you hear when he "talks" comes out of a SYNTHESIZER, and that for the last dozen or so years, it has actually been programmed to talk by his former students and colleagues!

    HE'S not the one doing it! In fact, I'm not even 100% convinced the lump of goo in that chair is even HIM anymore. They may be "Weekend at Bernie's"-ing this!

    They probably all got stoned on April 1st, and were like, "hey man... as an April Fools joke, we should like... ask for 100 million dollars to... you know... uh... um... SHOOT SHIT AT ONE FIFTH THE SPEED OF LIGHT!" But because they were high, they waited for a week to finally do it!

  54. Once there by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

    Once there it just crashes into the star?

    --
    Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
  55. Re:Starting development is a good idea [Planet 9 ] by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    need something like this to get a good look at Planet IX once we find it.

    Indeed! It would take a traditional probe roughly 50 years to reach the estimated distance.

    Plus, communication is a much easier problem for Planet IX-like distances than for stars.

    It would be interesting to test such a gizmo on Pluto even. We didn't get a decent look at one entire hemisphere because New Horizons was moving too fast relative to Pluto's 6-day rotational period. Send a nano-probe to check out the "blurry" side.

  56. 0.1C by deodiaus2 · · Score: 1

    If I remember correctly from an article in Starlog in 1979, at .1c, interstellar hydrogen will create enough stress on a vessel made of a block of diamond to break it apart.

  57. Not that much energy? Really? by pablo_max · · Score: 1

    Let’s work it out.
    KE= 0.5xmv2
    We can use your example of .5 C. So, that’s 14989622900 m / s.
    Let’s say the package has a mass of only 2 kg. (would be more like 10 though)
    Then we get KE= 0.5 x 2kg x 224688794684204410000m2/s2
                    = 224688794684204410000 joules.
    I don’t know 2.2468879468420442e+20 J seems like a lot. Hiroshima was “only” 6.3xE+13
    In case you are wondering, 10kg would take it to 5.61721986710511e+20J. Also a lot ;)

  58. Yes true actually by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

    That's just using three photons instead of two. You still can't transmit information with it.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  59. I broke Alpha Centauri by wkwilley2 · · Score: 1

    "The thing would look like the chip from your cell phone with this very thin gauzy light sail,"

    Sounds like a job for Nokia!

    --
    Have you ever fallen asleep at the keybhanusdiog?
  60. Put the Beamer array on the FAR side of the moon by wisebabo · · Score: 1

    Since there are so many parts to this project that are on the thin line between science fiction and science fantasy I think their estimate of 20(?) years (or about one generation) of development is more than a little optimistic. That said, in TWO generations this kind of thing might be a bit more practical, especially if, by that time, we have some relatively robust nano-bots that could construct and MAINTAIN the "starwisp". (Their stated approach to getting over the very probable impact of interstellar dust at relativistic speed is just numbers; that is launch a lot and hope a few survive. Not a very solid strategy to hang a likely multi billion dollar project on).
    Given that time frame (around 50 years?) another possibility arises. Their proposal currently has the 100 GW laser Beamer array being in a high altitude part of the super-dry atacama desert in Chile. Despite it's deliberate isolation from major population centers, it could still be used as an insanely powerful anti-sat weapon which would essentially give the controlling nation the power (ha ha) to rule near earth space. (Current technology shows 100KW lasers blowing drones out of the sky, this would be a million times more powerful). Even though it only can "see" half the sky, almost all orbits would eventually process overhead, only get-sync satellites on the opposite side of the earth would be permanently safe. This potential destructive capability would probably be a major block for international approval of this project.
    So, since the insanely ambitious other aspects of this project are unlikely to be ready soon, why not plan for a time when (hopefully) launch costs have given us ready access to the moon? In fifty years, it probably won't be insanely expensive to build this array on the Far side of the moon and it brings several advantages. No atmospheric distortion, geologic stability, slow (two week pointing time) rotation and abundant solar power just adds to the principal advantage of being unable to be used against the earth (and near earth objects possibly out to the moon's orbit). Another major advantage is that with the improved stability and beam purity it may be possible to keep it "locked on" for farther than 1 million kilometers. If it could do ten times this distance then the acceleration could be reduced and, more importantly, the sail would only have to be not absorb 99.9 % of the radiation instead of 99.99%. (Or the payload could be increased by a factor of ten or, you get the picture).
    For these reasons, a far side lunar array should be considered. As an aside, in addition to using this laser launch system to power space vehicles/habitats throughout the solar system; it might prove to be a very effective asteroid deflection system. A 100 GW laser beam hitting the side of an asteroid would provide a very powerful "kick" from the presumed boiling off of any material there. Over long periods of time, perhaps even the light pressure alone would be significant.

  61. Re: Put the Beamer array on the FAR side of the mo by wisebabo · · Score: 1

    By the way, sorry for the numerous typos, improper use of contractions (it's vs. it's) etc. I'm typing this on a smartphone on a bumpy bus!

  62. additional idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we need to develop technology to use light to construct objects in space so we can build a communications hub when we get there

  63. What a stupid idea by n7ytd · · Score: 1

    This is not an interesting idea at all. I hate to say it, but this level of stupidity is beneath Dr. Hawking. Even after solving all the technological problems standing in the way, in some accelerated miracle fashion, we will have accomplished what? Sending a single piece of space junk across the galaxy with no way to receive any sort of data back from this "probe?"

    I saw a brief snippet about this on the local news last night, complete with animations of the solar sail and some guy holding a 4" x 4" PCB up to the camera, like it was some sort of launch-ready kit.

    My hat's off to the con men who convinced private investors to fund their cushy research project career.

  64. Re:Interesting, but.. how can it survive dust... by HiThere · · Score: 1

    Well, the laser beam is going to be a lot wider than the craft mirror when you get to any distance, and there will also be some bending around the edge of the sail. So I don't think taking down the sail will be needed.

    Also, a few holes in the sail aren't going to be important. All that matters is the payload, which will be a lot smaller.

    Now if they were flying into a cloud of bbs, or even something 1/1000th that weight, I'd be thinking very differently, but most interstellar dust is going to be lighter than the dust that floats in the air, and that's light enough to be shoved around by a laser.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  65. pi places by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I bet they'll have to use more than 15 digits of pi for this project.

  66. It's cannot be done. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ignoring the acceleration issues, the laser issues, the biggest problem will be a matter of precision. They would need to calculate the future position of Alpha Centauri exactly. Next biggest problem, you need to send this probe to Alpha Centauri with a precision of less than 1 meter per second. If you are out by any more than this in a vertical or horizontal axis, you will miss the entire solar system by the time the probe gets there. 86400*365*20=630 million seconds in 20 years.

    The earth is 93 million miles from the sun, the probe if it is out by 1 meter per second will end up being 630 million kilometers away from the destination star.

    The probe will be moving at 0.2c since Alpha Centauri is 4-5 light years away. So it will need to travel at 0.2c so that works out to 59,958,491.6 meters per second. We need an accuracy of less than 1 meter per second to even get near that solar system. Which is 1 part in 60 million.

    If our solar system is similar in size to the Centauri system this probe will pass thru the system in less than a day. Anyone want to calculate the number of pixels that a Jupiter size planet would occupy at say a distance of 100,000,000 meters. I can't imagine ever taking a clearer picture than we can already.

    These probes if possible would be far better used to explore our own solar system and the surrounding heliopause.

  67. And for Feredal Reserve by jeneag · · Score: 1

    "The nearest star system is 40 trillion km away, which using current technology would take about 30,000 years to reach there" And it takes how long for US Federal Reserve to print 40 trillion dollars?

  68. Equiv to sending 1000 nuclear bombs by lwiniarski · · Score: 1

    An iphone moving at 0.3c would destroy a city..... How would these idiots feel if the alpha centaurians sent 1000 nukes back at us as a "reply"