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Tesla Posts 13th Straight Loss, Says On Track For Second-Half Deliveries (reuters.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Reuters: Tesla Motors Inc reported its 13th straight quarterly loss as a rise in sales of its Model S and Model X electric cars failed to make up for the huge cost of ramping up production. The company, run by Silicon Valley entrepreneur Elon Musk, said on Wednesday it was on track to deliver about 50,000 new Model S and Model X vehicles during the second half of 2016. Shares of Tesla, which has offered to buy solar panel installer SolarCity Corp for $2.6 billion, were volatile in after-hours trading. They were last up 1 percent. Tesla delivered 14,402 vehicles in the second quarter, missing its goal of 17,000. It delivered 14,810 vehicles in the first quarter, which was also less than its expectations. Tesla said its net loss widened to $293.2 million, or $2.09 per share, in the second quarter, from $184.2 million, or $1.45 per share, a year earlier. Total revenue rose 33 percent to $1.27 billion in the quarter ended June 30. In addition to acquiring SolarCity, Tesla has unveiled its massive $5 billion Gigafactory in Nevada last week and announced its "Master Plan, Part Deux" not too long before that, which includes manufacturing electric trucks and buses, as well as a ride-sharing program.

177 comments

  1. Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ford and GM stocks are stable and over-inflated making shit no body wants.

    Sometimes I hate what modern economics have done to us.

    1. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not true, I just purchased a new Ford last month... And I wanted it..

    2. Re:Meanwhile..... by gweilo8888 · · Score: 4, Informative

      If nobody wanted it, their sales last month wouldn't have been 267,258 units (GM) / 215,268 units (Ford) vs. just an estimated 3,300 units (Tesla). Those two brands also wouldn't own one-third of the entire market between them, versus 0.2% of the market for Tesla.

      http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-autosales.html

      The truth of the matter is that at the prices they're being sold for, most people want a Ford or GM far more than they want a Tesla.

    3. Re:Meanwhile..... by barc0001 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And when Tesla announces a model at a price people do want, they do 325,000 pre-orders in a week. At $1000 per, that is $325M in deposits in a week.

      http://www.theverge.com/2016/4/7/11385146/tesla-model-3-preorders-375000-elon-musk

      So the truth is there is a demand for a low cost Tesla, now we wait and see if Elon and Co can deliver.

    4. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ...and there's nothing wrong with that.
      I don't think anyone at Tesla was expecting to make a profit whilst outlaying the money required to get the Model 3 going.

      Obviously they'd like to at least meet their targets - but I'd be very surprised if they hadn't accounted for the possibilities of reality being either side of their targets.

    5. Re: Meanwhile..... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes, but as an anonymous coward, you are nobody in particular.

    6. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      which explains why they sell in a month what Tesla sell in a year

    7. Re:Meanwhile..... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      I'm waiting to see what the real battery life of these low cost electric cars is... not just range when new, but miles driven until that range has deteriorated to something unacceptable.

    8. Re:Meanwhile..... by geekmux · · Score: 2

      The truth of the matter is that at the prices they're being sold for, most people want a Ford or GM far more than they want a Tesla.

      The actual truth of the matter is most people can't afford a Tesla.

      I'm not sure why that was so hard to say for you, since the reality here is what consumers want has fuck-all to do with what they can afford.

    9. Re:Meanwhile..... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      "but miles driven until that range has deteriorated to something unacceptable"

      What range would be unacceptable?

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    10. Re: Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I feel sorry for you. If you really think that means anything you must be a truly sad individual.

    11. Re:Meanwhile..... by barc0001 · · Score: 1

      They're the same batteries that are used in the current Tesla, just less of them. How are the current cars doing in your opinion?

    12. Re:Meanwhile..... by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      I won't hazard a guess as to what is unacceptable to him, but if our scarecrow model is Average American that's about 25.5 miles, times 2 (one to go, one to come back). We may have fantasies about our weekends, but on average that's also about as much as we drive on weekends too based on the model I have.

      I will admit, I wouldn't buy another Ford if I were paid to do so.

    13. Re:Meanwhile..... by toadlife · · Score: 3, Informative

      The batteries lose very little capacity as long as they are thermally managed and never fully charged or discharged. GM's Gen-1 Volt has a "charge window" of 20% to 85%. They increased a bit with the Gen2 Volt after getting real-world data from Gen-1 Volts in the wild.

      There are 2011/2012 Chevy Volts in the wild with around 100K EV miles and no apparent battery degradation.

      Here is all-time the leader, "Sparkie",a GM employee from Michigan:

      http://www.voltstats.net/Stats...

      And mine... ;) (Yes, I'm totally biased)

      http://www.voltstats.net/Stats...

      You can browse the leaderboard, sort by "EV miles" and browse others.

      As for Tesla, I don't think their batteries are quite up to the level of GM's, but they do employ active battery cooling and a charge window.

      The one model that doesn't have active liquid cooling, the Nissan Leaf, is notorious for suffering significant range degradation after only a few years.

      --
      I don't always use unix-like operating systems; but when I do, I prefer FreeBSD.
    14. Re: Meanwhile..... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      I like my 2015 Mustang Ecoboost convertible... Fair price, great car, very good mileage, a hoot to drive.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    15. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This.

      Do I want a Tesla? Hell yes.

      Can I afford a Tesla? Considering that the cheapest model is $AU114,881 (model S 60, rear wheel drive, no options), versus around $AU20,000 for a decent hatchback (which is all I really need), and my disposable income would require at least ten years to pay for the cheapest model... no. No, I can't. It would meet my needs, but I'd be living on ramen noodles for at least a decade to pay for it.

      The Model 3, on the other hand, at an estimated $AU50-60,000, is a stretch - but not so much of one that I can't afford it. Especially when I consider how much I stand to save on maintenance and fuel.

    16. Re:Meanwhile..... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      And, I live and drive in Florida... most days less than 30 miles, but on weekends we do actually travel more than 120 miles in a single trip at least one time a month.

      When ambient temp is over 100F, and the temperature on the black asphalt can reach 130F easily, I'd be quite concerned if the batteries aren't actively thermally managed.

      So, if that range capacity drops to less than 120 miles at 60mph, it's going to hurt our common weekend plans.

    17. Re:Meanwhile..... by larryjoe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And when Tesla announces a model at a price people do want, they do 325,000 pre-orders in a week.

      Yes, sort of. Tesla announces a free car because there is absolutely zero commitment to buy the car. That free price is pivotable. Who know how many people would have put down a non-refundable $1000 deposit. The number of pre-orders would have been lower, and probably much lower.

    18. Re:Meanwhile..... by gweilo8888 · · Score: 1

      I didn't say it because unlike my statement, which is grounded in fact, yours attempts to imply a desire which is not in any way backed up by the evidence. Sure, most people *might* want a Tesla they can't afford, but equally most people *might* have no interest in that Tesla even if they could afford it. I'm not in the habit of making statements with no grounding in fact; perhaps you are.

    19. Re:Meanwhile..... by gweilo8888 · · Score: 1

      It's worth noting that preorders -- even with a meager deposit -- are not the same thing as orders. Just how many of those preorders are speculative in the hopes of turning around and selling immediately at a profit? I'd wager the answer is "many of them", and many more will likely never be turned into actual orders.

      I'd also argue that the Model 3 is far from being "low cost" or sold at "a price people do want". At US$35,000 base, there are 564 new vehicle types (that's models and trim levels together) listed on Edmunds.com which are less expensive (I ruled out 11 vehicles that were almost $35k, accepting only anything sub-$34.5k.) And as of late last year, the average new car sale price in the US market was $33,500.

      The Model 3 is, by most people's standards, still an expensive car.

    20. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wear on larger packs is much less of an issue than with smaller packs like the Leaf uses. Just back of the envelope, if the battery from a 200 mile range EV retains a reasonable amount of capacity after 1000 charge/discharge cycles, you're looking at ~200k miles before you need a new battery. Granted, typical driving behavior is not to drive from fully charged to empty in one shot. But if the car comes with software to limit charging to, say, 80% on days when you don't need the full range, daily driving might range from 80% down to 50% and hanging out in the middle of the pack's capacity causes much less wear than fully charging it and running it to empty.

    21. Re:Meanwhile..... by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      At US$35,000 base, there are 564 new vehicle types (that's models and trim levels together) listed on Edmunds.com which are less expensive (I ruled out 11 vehicles that were almost $35k, accepting only anything sub-$34.5k.)

      Yes, but many, or perhaps most of those 564 types don't attract a $7,500 subsidy from the federal government, which probably about half the model 3s' buyers will get.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    22. Re:Meanwhile..... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      If you wear ice vests instead of using air conditioning, you can squeak out a few more miles.

    23. Re:Meanwhile..... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but many, or perhaps most of those 564 types don't attract a $7,500 subsidy from the federal government, which probably about half the model 3s' buyers will get.

      Half of the initial pre-order list, but none after that. Which is one of the reasons for the pre-order list rush.

    24. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It won't be anywhere near half, rumor has it they're almost out between the model S and the model X. That 35K car is going to be 43K minimum, and that assumes they hit their price goal, which every car they've ever released has failed to do. They've typically come in at about 30K above their quoted goal price so far, so if history is any indicator they're looking at a 70k car. They're going to lose a lot of pre-orders if the actual price is 43K, they'll lose almost all of them if their price is 72K.

    25. Re: Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let us see those delivered. I'm sure it will be another portion of Musk's bullshit, though.

    26. Re:Meanwhile..... by geekmux · · Score: 1

      I didn't say it because unlike my statement, which is grounded in fact, yours attempts to imply a desire which is not in any way backed up by the evidence. Sure, most people *might* want a Tesla they can't afford, but equally most people *might* have no interest in that Tesla even if they could afford it. I'm not in the habit of making statements with no grounding in fact; perhaps you are.

      The lower-end Tesla price tag today is around $75,000. It's not hard to argue the fact that most people don't have that lying about in cash, so let's talk about what happens after the bank evaluates your income and debt.

      The lease due-at-signing cost is over $7500. Then you get to settle in and enjoy a $900+/month car payment.

      There's really no point in running the numbers to buy one. It doesn't get much better.

      My original statement now stands with Common F. Sense; most people can't afford a Tesla.

      As far as predicting what consumers *might* want or implying desire, let me know the next time a Ford or Chevy breaks the Consumer Reports rating system.

    27. Re:Meanwhile..... by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Not sure the carbon-balance is there, ice costs quite a bit of energy to make.

      Personally, I like the "cool seats", but most of those are air-circulators - which don't seem like they're going to have really good longevity.

    28. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is not accurate

    29. Re: Meanwhile..... by goose-incarnated · · Score: 2

      I like my 2015 Mustang Ecoboost convertible... Fair price, great car, very good mileage, a hoot to drive.

      IME Fords are generally quite reliable; I own a 2005 Ford Mondeo with 300000km on it with only 3 non-service repairs in its life. Also own a 1992 Ford Sierra with god only knows how many miles on it (I'm not the first owner). Both cars are used daily by my wife and myself, no problems.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    30. Re:Meanwhile..... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Haven't driven a Ford in a LONG time; had a Tempo that I'll would have happily put a bumper sticker on that read "my other car is a Trabant"

      Drove a Volvo station wagon for a summer about 20 years ago that was a great car - lots of capacity, respectable power and surprisingly good handling.
      Had a VW Golf that was just fantastic and was considering a Volt until the GM ignition fiasco came to light.

      So if I don't go with Tesla, I'll be looking for another new (to me). Perhaps I'll finally go Japanese although I drove a Corolla last summer and didn't like it at all.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    31. Re:Meanwhile..... by polar+red · · Score: 1

      I think you should account for the significant savings in energy and maintenance cost though.

      --
      Yes, I'm left. You have a problem with that?
    32. Re: Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      $35K is before tax credit, not after.

    33. Re:Meanwhile..... by gweilo8888 · · Score: 1

      That savings can't possibly be counted before the car even exists. It could be a huge savings, or it could turn out to be a small one or none at all. Just because it's electric or Tesla is no guarantee.

    34. Re:Meanwhile..... by gweilo8888 · · Score: 1

      Everything I've read says nowhere *near* "half" of Tesla Model 3 owners will get that. But OK, let's humor you: There are at *least* 357 types which cost the same or less than the Tesla Model 3, meaning that almost two thirds of the vehicles I mentioned (not "perhaps most") are still cheaper even if you get the subsidy -- and you don't have to gamble on getting it.

      You also don't have to pay sales tax on the rebate amount, which I'm guessing most folks will have to do (since the sales tax on the rebate will almost certainly not be refunded). That's a non-trivial amount: $525 in my market.

    35. Re:Meanwhile..... by gweilo8888 · · Score: 1

      OK, so you're a fanboi. Fair enough.

    36. Re:Meanwhile..... by geekmux · · Score: 1

      OK, so you're a fanboi. Fair enough.

      Fanbois usually own the thing they're crazy about. I drive what I can afford.

      And I really don't care who you are. From corporate suit to drag strip junkie, this technology is impressive, and I give credit where it is due.

      And when someone else steps up to the plate and presents a product that crushes Teslas numbers, I'll be impressed then too. Likely so would Elon.

    37. Re:Meanwhile..... by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Not sure the carbon-balance is there, ice costs quite a bit of energy to make.

      You freeze a hundred or so during the winter and keep them in an isolated cellar..

    38. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Love my Ford F-150. Tesla is a sentiment stock, and sentiment is drying up for Mr. Musk.

    39. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >because it's electric
      that's a garantee that 1/ energy cast savings are huge 50-80 % 2/ electric engines require a lot less maintenance.

    40. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Deep soil temperature here is around 68F.... not much to work with on the natural cold side.

    41. Re:Meanwhile..... by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Just add more insulation, then!

    42. Re:Meanwhile..... by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      FWIW my Honda's have been pretty good. I've heard quality on the newer models has declined, but my 2006 accord hybrid is still going strong with less problems in 10 years than either of my Ford's had their first 3.

      But I do want a Tesla, I'm just not ready to throw my money at something sight unseen.

    43. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not true. The Model 3 is going to be using a new battery cell and pack design, compared to the current Model S / X. The new cell is is called a 21-70. You can find a lot of info about it around, but here's one link I found in a couple seconds...

      http://fortune.com/2016/07/27/tesla-bigger-battery-gigafactory/

    44. Re:Meanwhile..... by rch7 · · Score: 1

      It's worth noting that preorders -- even with a meager deposit -- are not the same thing as orders. Just how many of those preorders are speculative in the hopes of turning around and selling immediately at a profit? I'd wager the answer is "many of them", and many more will likely never be turned into actual orders.

      I'd also argue that the Model 3 is far from being "low cost" or sold at "a price people do want". At US$35,000 base, there are 564 new vehicle types (that's models and trim levels together) listed on Edmunds.com which are less expensive (I ruled out 11 vehicles that were almost $35k, accepting only anything sub-$34.5k.) And as of late last year, the average new car sale price in the US market was $33,500.

      The Model 3 is, by most people's standards, still an expensive car.

      Average passenger car is something like $26k. $33k+ includes trucks and SUVs.
      And no way you will get usable Model 3 for $35k in 2017 or 2018, as second quarter report shows Capex investment for production and service stalled and highly unlikely to reach more than half of 2.25 billion target for this year. Sorry guys, urgent SolarCity bailout is priority now.
      Just quick charging access will cost you some thousands extra above base price, and most likely you will not be able to use standard chargers like every other competitor car on the road without paying "supercharger activation fee" like it is with older Model S even if you'll buy some clumsy adapter from Tesla for half a grand.

    45. Re:Meanwhile..... by rch7 · · Score: 1

      Accounting for dummies: This year investment doesn't affect profit. Or loss in this case. It may only affect next year through depreciation.

    46. Re:Meanwhile..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see your point, but you can make certain estimates, based on the fact that it's an electric drive-train alone. Here they outline the various costs associated with owning a vehicle. One of these costs is fuel. It states that a Jeep Liberty can cost an owner more than $3,000 a year to fuel based on the average number of miles driven by survey respondents and the average fuel costs. This is a high example, but it's a great illustration.
       
      A Model 3, with a 60kWh battery, travelling the 12,000 miles used in the above example, you would need to fill your "tank" from empty 60 times in a year to drive that number of miles. At 11.58 cents a kWh and efficiency losses, you're looking at $521.10 a year to fuel your car. (Average electricity cost, I grabbed from here, and for the efficiency losses I used a multiplier of 1.25)
       
      Even the more fuel efficient cars, like the Honda Civic at 35mpg would cost you $1371.4 a year to fuel, which is still about 2.6 times more.

      Then add to these savings not having to bring the car in for oil changes every few thousand miles, which always seems to cost more than I'm expecting it to. You don't have to replace fuel filters, top up transmission fluid, likely won't need to change the brake pads throughout the life of the vehicle thanks to regenerative braking. You basically only have to change the tires when they wear out, replace the wiper blades and re-fill the wiper fluid.
       
      Compared to an already cheap civic, you're saving at least $1000 a year. And if you have the expensive Jeep Liberty, you'd be saving probably around $2500 a year.

      Just because it's ... Tesla

      It being a Tesla car in and of itself could result in further maintenance cost savings because they have stated a company policy of not intending to make a profit off of car repairs and maintenance.

    47. Re: Meanwhile..... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

      And if nobody ever saw my posts, I wouldn't have a +2 by default.

    48. Re:Meanwhile..... by gweilo8888 · · Score: 1

      Nicely biased answer. Compare a really inefficient, unaerodynamic vehicle (18mpg average per EPA) with utterly outdated technology that's been out of production for years (last sold in 2012) against a modern vehicle that has an aerodynamic design, uses current technology, and doesn't even exist yet. And even then, the numbers are complete crap.

      The Jeep Liberty takes regular gas. At current national average retail prices (US$2.12/gallon per GasBuddy) and with the EPA-rated average economy, we're talking US$1,413 to fuel this archaic junkheap for 12,000 miles.

      And since we're comparing American cars based on an American website's review, we should also be using American electricity costs -- what Ottawans pay is irrelevant. Per the EIA, the national average US electricity price for consumers is 12.67/kWh, almost 10% above your figure. Even assuming your other assumptions are correct, your cost is now US$570.

      Instead of a savings of 4.75x on gas, we're already down to just 1.47x simply by using accurate figures. And that's against an intentionally inefficient vehicle from a totally different class than the Model 3. Now let's make a comparison that's actually valid -- a 2015 Mazda 6. Now we're managing 32mpg average per the EPA. Our gas cost is down to just US$795, and your savings is down to just 39%.

      And while yes, you don't pay the minor costs you mentioned for some routine service associated with gas engines, instead you'll be paying US$10,000 to replace your battery once it dies. Swings and roundabouts. And as for some handwaving about the "company policy of not intending to make a profit off of car repairs", that's pretty much meaningless. You're a fool if you count on that as a reason for buying an overpriced car in the first place, and the Model 3 is badly overpriced. The Mazda6 sedan we've compared to here has a starting price that's fully one-third lower than the Tesla -- and if anything, it's going to be the larger and more comfortable vehicle despite that.

      And in my experience, my mileage is typically significantly better than the EPA predictions, so frankly I wouldn't be surprised if the difference in gas versus electricity cost was, in the end, little to none at all. But this is Tesladot, and it's 24/7 Elon Musk fellation session here, so I'm not surprised to see utterly biased figures supplied as "fact".

  2. I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 4, Funny

    They really need to take Charge of their profits. Things are looking very Negative for them. The Current situation is dire. These losses are simply reVolting. They need to Amp up production and eliminate all Resistance. It's coming down to the wire, time to think Positive.

    1. Re:I'm Shocked! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      I really hope there's a special circle of hell for people like you.

    2. Re:I'm Shocked! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hell hires people like him.

    3. Re:I'm Shocked! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I will remain neutral on this dispute.

    4. Re:I'm Shocked! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So does Musk

    5. Re:I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 1

      Yes, a place where we will all be punished.

    6. Re:I'm Shocked! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They really need to take Charge of their profits. Things are looking very Negative for them. The Current situation is dire. These losses are simply reVolting. They need to Amp up production and eliminate all Resistance. It's coming down to the wire, time to think Positive.

      A well-Grounded assessment.

    7. Re:I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 1

      Usually cars work better in Drive, but Neutral may be more efficient.

    8. Re:I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 1

      Where do I submit my resume?

    9. Re:I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 1

      Perhaps a position in Marketing...

    10. Re:I'm Shocked! by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Dude, did you forget your lithium today?

      You know Tesla isn't in this for the long haul, they don't have the range. Their batteries are dead all too soon. You see it's a chemistry problem, a weighty issue of inefficiency coupled with a departure from a stable power source. They don't use enough oil, but leach their energy from the outside and try to store enough to get by but they fail. Too soon they die, stop working and come to a stop, left in need of power from outside, occupants stranded to walk.

      Fix that and they may yet survive, yet no fix appears, nothing comes to their rescue. They shall die, driven to death, energy depleted, left in want for more, but nothing on the way. The ride is over...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    11. Re:I'm Shocked! by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Shocking disconnect from the high capacity of Elon's funds.

    12. Re:I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 1

      So, short of getting 1.21 GigaWatts every mile, they are screwed?

    13. Re:I'm Shocked! by whoever57 · · Score: 0

      Dude, did you forget your lithium today?

      Did you hear that "whoosh" sound? Because it was the joke flying over your head!

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    14. Re:I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 1

      There must be an open circuit somewhere...

    15. Re:I'm Shocked! by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Not me Marty.. The car!

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    16. Re:I'm Shocked! by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      Ooops, looks like it was me that missed the joke ....

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    17. Re:I'm Shocked! by npslider · · Score: 1

      Your'e saying Tesla's next model...this things going to be nuclear!?

    18. Re:I'm Shocked! by bobbied · · Score: 2

      No, I heard the original "woosh"... Actually I've heard two to your one at this point, though the second was obviously not as loud..

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    19. Re:I'm Shocked! by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      There is a battery of cells reserved.

    20. Re:I'm Shocked! by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      That would be an impedance to their progress. Some people could get really wound up. What could induce such a change?

    21. Re:I'm Shocked! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They really need to take Charge of their profits. Things are looking very Negative for them. The Current situation is dire. These losses are simply reVolting. They need to Amp up production and eliminate all Resistance. It's coming down to the wire, time to think Positive.

      I really hope there's a special circle of hell for people like you.

      In this case, I think you'll find it's a special circuit of hell.

    22. Re:I'm Shocked! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      roll it up and flush it down the toilet.

  3. Sounds a lot like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    communism don't it. This is why you should buy American, like Chrysler/Jeep!

    1. Re: Sounds a lot like by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pieces of shit, the lot of it.

  4. just like a battery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    negative means positive

    1. Re:just like a battery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Originally it was. I forgot why they changed it. Electrons run in opposite direction of current.

  5. 0-13 by turkeydance · · Score: 1

    doesn't look good for the home team.

    1. Re:0-13 by npslider · · Score: 1

      Maybe lucky 14 will be the charm?

    2. Re:0-13 by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Two big plays and they're back in the game!

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  6. They'll profit by selling in volume by TexasTroy · · Score: 4, Funny

    When asked how the company can survive by selling each unit at a loss, Elon Musk responded "Although Tesla sells each vehicle below the cost to manufacture, we will attain profitability by selling in volume".

    1. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by npslider · · Score: 1

      I know that a negative (number) multiplied by a (negative) number equals a positive number, but I don't think a million negatives add up to a positive. Must be that new math.

    2. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by sexconker · · Score: 1

      It's pretty old math. It used to be such a common folly that it spawned a well-known joke,

      Today it's an actual strategy where you need to generate sales/revenue in order to gain enough type to secure more $$$ from idiot investors or secure a ridiculously overpriced buyout from some retard like Marissa Mayer who thinks they can "leverage" your IP/assets/customers, further "monetize" your existing products by jacking up the price and splitting them out into different SKUs/services/etc., and possibly "pivot" their existing, dying business into your business's market.

    3. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by npslider · · Score: 1

      So, it's just a ponzi scheme? Get more and more people to "invest" until either Profit! or the bottom falls out.

    4. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, it's just a ponzi scheme? Get more and more people to "invest" until either Profit! or the bottom falls out.

      Yes. Looking at Elon Musk's history of business "successes", that is precisely what he does. Go big, float along on investments while running negative, everybody gets hyped that he is doing the impossible, then sell out and start again.

      Seems to be working for him.

    5. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, it's not like he built rockets that supply the ISS when NASA can't...

    6. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by DogDude · · Score: 1

      It works for Amazon...

      --
      I don't respond to AC's.
    7. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by msevior · · Score: 1

      Well gee, he went from 0 to selling well over 50,000 fully electric cars per year and an order book for an order of magnitude more. That's real hardware rolling around the streets not vapour-software sitting on a computer not being used.
       

    8. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by guruevi · · Score: 1

      So basically Musk is the Trump of technologies? It's a smart move that makes him millions of dollars and it isn't illegal.

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    9. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm pretty sure that Tesla isn't selling vehicles below the cost of manufacture.

      What's dragging their financials down is the capital they're expending: building the Gigafactory, designing and tooling up for the Model 3, building up a larger sales force, and so on. That's a huge cost, and the sales of the Model S and Model X are obviously not bringing in enough funds to cover it at the rate they're trying to do it. The high reservation rate on the Model 3 exacerbates this: they're ramping up production at a greater rate than they originally expected they'd need to, and that means spending more money right now.

      Once the Gigafactory is fully constructed, and the Model 3 is being produced in volume, I fully expect Tesla to be profitable. How profitable? Now that's the million dollar question, and I honestly don't know. But suffice to say that, if I had enough spare funds, I'd both be buying their shares, and chipping in for any capital raising they might have - because I reckon they're setting themselves up very nicely; give it ten to fifteen years, and I reckon Ford and GM won't know what hit 'em.

      Time, of course, will tell. I could be wrong. But even if I am, they won't go out of business - rather, I'd expect to see the business taken over and continue on a similar path. Because if there's one thing Tesla has shown, it's that electric vehicles are realistically possible, and that means that the shift is inevitable, given enough time.

    10. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      Study a little finance before lecturing.

      Cap costs aren't in profit and loss. They are reporting the carrying costs of the loan to build the gigafactory, not the cost of the gigafactory.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a big difference between losing money for every car sold and spending more money than you make. Considering the profit margin on the Model S is over 25%, Tesla is actually in the latter category. Making the Model S is profitable. Rapidly expanding into a major car manufacturer while making the Model S is not.

              Look at it this way. You want to open a McDonalds. It will cost you $500,000, which you borrow from a bank. The first year you bring in a million dollars in revenue, and make $100,000 profit from sales. However, you borrowed and spent $500,000 opening the store, which means you sort of lost $400,000 that first year.

              Would you say you lose $2.00 for every Big Mac sold? I guess so.

    12. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Study a little managerial economics yourself. Both variable and fixed costs are relevant whether from research or facility outlays.

    13. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla has a postive gross margin and it sells its vehicles about 30% over the cost of manufacture. Tesla's gross profit doesn't cover it's SG&A and R&D costs and thus has a net loss.

    14. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right. Sold at a loss at the expense of investors, with the expectation of getting more investments. A Ponzi Scheme.

    15. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      Hard to tell if that is successful comedy or failed microeconomics. These days the only law is Poe's Law.

    16. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      Sorry, got the wrong reply link in the comment tree. Ignore that other reply that should be making no sense to you.

    17. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      This reply is in the wrong place in the comment tree. Please ignore.

    18. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      It's the difference between net margin and gross margin.

      Simplified: The net margin is difference between the sum of all revenue and the sum of all expenditures. The gross margin is the difference between just incremental revenue for an incremental amount expended.

      The gross margin for Tesla last quarter was +21.9%. That means that to earn $1 additional revenue it would cost them only 78.1 cents. Additional work adds revenue faster that it adds costs, so if you add enough work you can offset the fixed costs and turn a profit. I.e. you can make it up in volume.

      Ignore the people that think it's just some MBA drivel. They are the one that failed their micro-economics class.

    19. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Encoded in 32 bits, an overflowing negative number will end up positive. Maybe that's what Elon is waiting for.

    20. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by horza · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's not a Ponzi scheme. A Ponzi scheme promises great immediate returns, and uses investors money to pay off other investors to fool people into thinking they are. Nobody is buying into Tesla to make a quick buck. I doubt people invested large sums because they expected every car to be electric by 2020.

      They are sold at a loss because it takes continued R&D to bring the costs down. To short sighted people like yourself, R&D is a considered a waste of money. However refining the world's most advanced car manufacturing plant, developing and integrating the software and battery technologies, all takes time and money. In the mean time building up a significant patent portfolio. See the sale of the patent portfolios of Motorola or Nokia to see how much this can be worth.

      Starting from scratch is expensive. We all hope they can make it. Mobile phones were sold at a loss for a long time after they came out, but I wouldn't like to be without mine now.

      Phillip.

    21. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Its not necessarily a folly at all.

      Take an example from the aviation industry - you have a lot of up front investment to design an aircraft, build the test aircraft and carry out the testing.

      You are typically north of $15Billion in debt on the program before the first aircraft has been delivered.

      The problem is, that first aircraft delivered adds to the debt, it doesn't decrease it. Woah, I hear you say, why would you hand an aircraft over that costs you more to make than a customer buys it for? Simple really, because the customer wants a decent price and won't pay any more, and you are banking on that in order to sell lots of these aircraft.

      It gets worse than the first aircraft, as the first few hundred off the production line will actually cost you more than you receive from a customer. The design, development and testing of the aircraft has already been paid for, so whats adding to the debt now?

      Inefficiencies in the production chain, thats whats adding to the debt - the production chain ramp up costs money, and its burned on those first few hundred aircraft

      But with each aircraft that is delivered, the cost of production goes down as the production chain improves, parts get cheaper to produce, parts are produced quicker etc etc etc.

      So Boeing and Airbus count on two points in any aircrafts production life - the moment an airframe breaks even on production costs, and the moment the program pays back its investment. The first is called the production break even, and the second is called the program break even. All planes delivered after the program break even is profit, so for a market of 1,000 aircraft, you generally aim for production break even to be no later than 300, and program break even to be no more than 600, and then you sit back and let the money roll in.

      Pricing aircraft before the production break even to eliminate the concept of production break even doesn't work, because no one will buy those early airframes if they cost more than the late airframes, so you *have* to eat that cost in order to have a product which you can sell at a profit later on.

      Occasionally airframe manufacturers cock it up - Airbus achieved production break even on the A380 but will never achieve program break even, and Boeing currently wont achieve program break even on the 787 even with the current order book of 1,100 aircraft - they need another 300 or so on top of that to clear the program back log of debt.

      But then you have cash cows like the A320, A330, 737, 767 and 777 all of which achieved production and program break evens early on in their lives, and went on to sell massive amounts of airframes at profitable levels. For example, the A320s production break even was set at 400 airframes - its now past 7,100 aircraft delivered, so thats the trade off.

      So Musk and Tesla know they have to bring the cost of producing the cars down - the only way to do that is to actually produce them. R&D is only going to get you so far on the costs, you need a production line which can be streamlined and self lubricates, so you need to take a loss on the product until the production line is cost effective.

      So selling it cheap but making it up in volume does work - the "common folly" only comes into play when the cost of producing the volume stays static at the same cost of producing one item, which it does not do. This is why the gigafactory concept is so beneficial here - Musk puts one on each continent and pushes battery production to levels never seen before, levels which are orders of magnitude more than current levels, the cost of the car doesnt go down but the cost of producing a core component of the car does down dramatically.

    22. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by JamesKeane7745 · · Score: 1

      Study a little finance before lecturing.

      Cap costs aren't in profit and loss. They are reporting the carrying costs of the loan to build the gigafactory, not the cost of the gigafactory.

      A little bit of a naive view and a bit harsh considering their accounts justify his point a little - The accounts for R&D and sales network are OpEx, therefore entirely conceivable that ramping up for a new model with big forecasts gives a loss now.

      Further, they are at profit before OpEx - so the cost of manufacturing isn't what it dragging them down. Your point about interest doesn't hold either, interest is only 40m of a 280m loss last qtr.

      Citations:
      https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/q...
      http://ir.tesla.com/secfiling....

    23. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by shilly · · Score: 1

      Have you really never heard of an investment J-curve?
      http://www.investopedia.com/te...

    24. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sigh. It's getting really tiring to see this same grossly untrue meme trotted out over and over. They don't sell any vehicle at a loss. Their avg margin is around 20-25%. The business as a whole is making losses because of the extreme amount of capital they have to plough back into expansion of their production facilities and supercharger network.

      Please do at least 30 seconds of research once and a while before spouting lies. Info from Q2 earnings report shown below, they talk about vehicle margins towards the end...
      https://techcrunch.com/2016/08/03/tesla-misses-q2-earnings-delivers-14402-vehicles/

    25. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taking one out of Milo Minderbender's book

    26. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Given all the bubbles, crashes, scams & bailouts I've seen in my 7 decades, I can tell you it's all one GIANT Ponzi scheme.

    27. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by rch7 · · Score: 1

      True believers don't care about stinky math or money.

    28. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by rch7 · · Score: 1

      It is sold at loss because it is not the main business. Main business is to sell shares.
      R&D is unavoidable in any new product. It is not going anywhere. R&D will be here 10 years later the same as it is here today. Old R&D investment depreciates and becomes useless. You don't sell exactly the same car model for 10 years.

    29. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by rch7 · · Score: 1

      Accounting for dummies: You still need to sell at a price that is more than manufacturing costs and any costs per plane/car for this to work. In case of Tesla they sell at less. Multiplying negative number by whatever big positive number just increase your losses. Just don't start on Tesla gross margins, they are artificially inflated and not comparable with other automaker accounting.

    30. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by rch7 · · Score: 1

      It just shows that you didn't checked details how Tesla calculates gross margin. Simple, it doesn't include all expenses that depend on amount of cars sold, like service and sales centers. So you may see some fantastic gross margins and CEO may claim them, but in reality they are much less. Just look at abnormally high SG&A numbers, over 20% of revenue!

    31. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by rch7 · · Score: 1

      And what do you think happens with SG&A that includes sales and service centers that you own yourself when you sell millions of cars? It looks like fake gross margin, it doesn't include everything it should include.

    32. Re: They'll profit by selling in volume by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, did you read the post you replied to and then still posted so stupidly?

    33. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by quicks0rt · · Score: 1

      I'll have call bullshit on this one or the op was simply jesting, in any case I've listened to the entire call and this never came up. Nice try TexasTroll.

    34. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by Richard_at_work · · Score: 1

      Congratulations for not reading my post, dipshit, because it covers exactly fucking that.

      Heres a little summary for you, because it seems you cant read large explanations - the negative number doesnt necessarily remain static when the production chain can be optimised for volume, so it wont always be "negative number multiplied by large number".

      And if you doubt the facts of the matter, then you are doubting every single aircraft manufacturer (and both Airbus and Boeing are independently profitable), every single car manufacturer (you think that the first cars GM makes for a model are unit profitable? Think again...), every single electronics manufacturer out there (you think the first new model iPhones off the production line are per unit profitable? Think again....).

      Practically no production line in the world is per unit profitable from the moment it starts, every single one has a ramp up and its that ramp up where the revenue goes from negative to positive.

      Its basic fucking manufacturing economics. Which you fail at.

    35. Re:They'll profit by selling in volume by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      Accounting for dummies

      Like you?
      Richard explained the whole thing very clearly.

  7. Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The truth of the matter is that at the prices they're being sold for, most people want a Ford or GM far more than they want a Tesla.

    Early adopter costs are high. Then, production of commodity items ramps up and they're sold at a more reasonable price. There are intermediate steps along the way with progressively larger prouction, lower cost, less flashy models.

    This isn't just a modern high-tech phenomenon. The internal combustion automobiles went through it, too. They started as rich-people's playthings/status symbols and worked down through things like country-doctor housecall vehicles before Ford's commodity "A" and "T" vehicles put them within reach of the mass of the population. Why should new-tech battery-electric cars be any different?

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by npslider · · Score: 1

      This trend has also held true in modern electronics. DVD players were once for the rich, now they are at dollar stores.

    2. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      LiFe batteries and steel cage bodies are going to keep the cost of electric cars rather high for a long time.

      What made DVD players cheap was that the components required are teeny tiny, the cost of complexity drops much faster than the cost of bulk raw materials and energy required to process the materials into usable form.

    3. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by haruchai · · Score: 3, Informative

      Battery prices have been falling very quickly for years. They were estimated to be ~$600 per kWh in 2012 and expected to reach $200 per kWh by 2020 and $160 by 2025
      http://www.plugincars.com/lith...

      We may already be at the $200 level or getting close and *should* beat that $160 level by 2019.

      Steel cage bodies?? EVs aren't the only ones requiring those.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    4. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GM is reportedly at $145 as of 9 months ago.

    5. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      $200 to $150 isn't exactly the bottom falling out of the price, the way DVD players went from $200 to $20 in the space of 5 years.

    6. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      LiFe batteries and steel cage bodies are going to keep the cost of electric cars rather high for a long time.

      Drastically raising production and slashing cost of automobile batteries IS what Tesla's $5 billion "Gigafactory" in Nevada is about.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    7. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Tesla has never used LiFe batteries. Their chemistry has much higher energy density and also seems to have very good longevity. I have over 43K miles on my 3+ year old P85 and haven't noticed any significant drop in range. In terms of cost per kwh, Tesla is at the bottom, having the lowest price per kwh. Their gigafactory should significantly reduce that further.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    8. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      Battery prices have been falling very quickly for years. They were estimated to be ~$600 per kWh in 2012 and expected to reach $200 per kWh by 2020 and $160 by 2025
      http://www.plugincars.com/lith...

      We may already be at the $200 level or getting close and *should* beat that $160 level by 2019.

      We're already several years ahead of that curve.

      From QUARTZ:

      The average lithium-ion battery pack has plunged to $150 per KWh from $1,200 per kilowatt hour in 2010, says MIT's Keith. Musk predicted on Tuesday that the Gigafactory could reach $100 per KWh by 2020,

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    9. Re: Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Gigafactory is an aassembly plant, Musk will keep buying the cells from Panasonic.

    10. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I'm not convinced that automated cars will follow the same pattern. They're complicated, and the electronics is usually what 'goes' after a vehicle gets old. They will always be expensive to maintain if they are older. Also, how many automated features have we really seen trickle down? Luxury cars have had headlights that could follow the road for at least ten years now and there has been no trickle down.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    11. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by haruchai · · Score: 1

      I believe that was the best-case *cell* cost for LG Chem but there are still substantial costs to assembling hundreds into a managed pack with active cooling

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    12. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by haruchai · · Score: 1

      "$200 to $150 isn't exactly the bottom falling out of the price"

      A 25% drop in something that will last 7-15 years is a big deal at the corporate / industrial / institutional / utility level, especially when it's *already* seen a +40% drop in just the 4 previous years.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    13. Re: Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      ...which will be produced - wait for it! - inside the Gigafactory. :-p

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    14. Re: Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      The Gigafactory is an aassembly plant, Musk will keep buying the cells from Panasonic

      ...which will be produced - wait for it! - inside the Gigafactory. [wikipedia.org] :-p

      Part of the reason for locating in Nevada was the availability of lithium ore.

      IMHO it was also because, with the plant in Nevada, the metals can be mined and processed into finished batteries entirely in a state with legal structures built around its history of mining - in primarily desert areas - as its cash-cow.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    15. Re:Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by rch7 · · Score: 1

      Why are battery cars so expensive then? They don't need that complicated engine, just slap cheap* battery and electric motor that is already well perfected technology used in hybrids.

      $150/kWh * 60 kWh = $9000. Plus margin, warranty costs, cooling system, etc. It is close to automaker's manufacturing cost for a complete economy gas car.

    16. Re: Happened with Internal Combustion cars, too. by rch7 · · Score: 1

      It doesn't change anything. Panasonic didn't invented any new "giga" technology. It will be using mostly the same technology, slightly different form factor with some extra silicone to improve specific energy a bit. And by the way, current piece of "giga" factory is even smaller than old Panasonic battery factory in Japan. If you believe in all the miracles Musk is talking about before every share sale, you may as well go buy some cold fusion device, it will make miracles too.

  8. $37,584.00 by rmdingler · · Score: 1
    I ask myself, when I see numbers like these, "How does a company survive with losses all the way down?

    As it turns out, businesses are like the governments in that you can't reconcile their economies in the same manner as your personal budgeting.

    The leading number? That's Elon Musk's salary from Tesla, and I believe he is making California's minimum wage with that. Folks who can afford to roll with that kind of backstory play by different rules, too.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

    1. Re:$37,584.00 by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Investors, at least the smart ones, are not primarily interested in profits.

      They are interested in growth. A company that has zero growth potential and a stable profit paid in dividends can be far less attractive than a company posting losses with massive potential growth potential. Especially when capital gains taxes are a factor as they are in the US.
      This is not always the case depending on your circumstances but most often is.

      Remember the finance 101 law that states share price increases are always better than dividends because with share increases you can choose to sell some of your shares and get the same effect as dividends should you want it.

      Also remember that, theoretically, share price is a combination of current company value with future growth potential and risk factored in. (hence why most stocks are valued far in excess of their book value) Risk is mitigated by investors across their portfolios (unless they are idiots) and in fact they would WANT them to take risks for the potential gains.

      So yes, government and company books are nothing like personal accounts.

      With government books it is wise to save during booms and spend like crazy during crashes to help smooth the economic cycle and prevent depressions. Completely counter intuitive to personal spending.

    2. Re: $37,584.00 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Much theory, so profit, wow growth.

    3. Re:$37,584.00 by slinches · · Score: 2

      It really is like your personal budgeting, except access to loans is quite a bit easier.

      What Tesla is doing is borrowing money to invest in product development and increased production capacity. It looks like a loss on the books because they are currently spending more money on expansion than they are selling in product. But this occurs fairly frequently in healthy rapid growth companies where demand for their product greatly exceeds their ability to supply it. The idea is that as the production rates grow, the revenues will eventually overtake the investment costs and will ultimately generate similar or larger returns faster than by limiting growth to what can be achieved solely by reinvesting profits.

      --
      Knowledge Brings Fear
    4. Re:$37,584.00 by kamapuaa · · Score: 1

      You know how people complain about businesses being short-sighted, they're only interested in profits for the next quarter? Actually, Tesla (and many other technology companies) are interested in long-term profits.

      If they just wanted to make profits over the short term, they wouldn't be spending so much money to expand their company.

      --
      Slashdot: providing anti-social weirdos a soapbox, since 1997.
    5. Re:$37,584.00 by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      Except virtually no business includes capital expenses in profit and loss (unless they are writing down a failed investment).

      The numbers including new factories would be much worse.

      Startups never include cap costs in P&L.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    6. Re: $37,584.00 by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 1

      Its not theory. Its what actually happens and how it actually works in practice.

      There is theory, maths and evidence backing it also.

    7. Re: $37,584.00 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of the evidence I've seen shows that, unless you're a dotcom that can slash its burn rate overnight by firing the boss and his marketing mistress, if you can't manage to become profitable over several years, you go away. Tesla and Musk have been around onmy because they received billions of taxpayers money for nothing.

    8. Re: $37,584.00 by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 1

      Then your evidence is crap.

      It is more complicated than that.

      Accumulating debt for expansion can increase the value of the company and thus the stock price. (buy new factory for new sales which increases sales by more than total cost of loan)

      It can also be neutral. (buy plant with debt that roughly equates to value added or pay back a loan)

      It can also be a disaster. (invest heavily in something that does not work out)

      Decisions can be good and bad.

      Not sure how to make this more obvious or simpler so I will not try further. Feel free to use your own advice for your own investments however.

    9. Re:$37,584.00 by rmdingler · · Score: 1

      Investors, at least the smart ones, are not primarily interested in profits.

      Quite right. The biggest payoffs for investors seems to be when a promising company is taken public, or when the stock of a fledgling enterprise multiplies like a field mouse. Tesla stock, currently about US$225.00, could be had in January 2013 for under $33.00 a share.

      FD: I'm rooting for Elon in all his ventures, including Tesla. He's made the electric car cool and brought attention to it that has spurred development by other manufacturers. At this point, though, I would wager new investments in Tesla are unlikely to spawn great returns... and continuing investment may have everything to do with his vision and persona.

      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    10. Re:$37,584.00 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should have taken finance 102, and learned that dividends can often (usually) be re-invested without transaction fees (drip accounts). A stable stock with 5% dividend (paid quarterly) re-invested would be worth more than a non-dividend bearing stock with 5% annual growth.

    11. Re:$37,584.00 by houghi · · Score: 1

      True. How many years was Amazon operating at a loss?

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    12. Re:$37,584.00 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As it turns out, businesses are like the governments in that you can't reconcile their economies in the same manner as your personal budgeting.

      Wow, nice random anti-government dig. I guess you've never invested in the future. Going to college for example would be stupid in your world view.

    13. Re: $37,584.00 by Jzanu · · Score: 1

      That is still theory, because it ignores all market reactions and the entire legal regulatory framework. Investors expecting gains requires faith that the company can succeed, where Tesla has done nothing to deserve it and Musk sure as hell doesn't when based exclusively on sci-fi failures.

    14. Re: $37,584.00 by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 1

      Ok. You win. I give up. Feel free to miss the point entirely. This is a complete and utter waste of my time.

      I took pains to describe in my previous post this was NOT A THEORY but an insight into WHAT ACTUALLY GOES ON for most investors evaluating ANY stock. Whether YOU or I think Musk deserves it or not is entirely irrelevant to the discussion - the stock price will dictate that.

      Holy Christ...beating your head against a brick wall really hurts...

      Also...if you are an investor and think that "faith" (FFS!) is required in an investment decision then you are doing it wrong!

    15. Re: $37,584.00 by Jzanu · · Score: 1

      You need to research something called behavioral economics - it is the real way the stock prices and markets operate.

    16. Re: $37,584.00 by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 1

      The fact that you do not realize why that statement is irrelevant to the point I made tells me all I need to know. You are here with a bone to pick about the single topic in this field you understand and are immune to all other information. I get it now.

      Discussion ended.

    17. Re: $37,584.00 by Jzanu · · Score: 1

      You are very mistaken, try to at least finish off your undergrad before you try me again - idiot.

    18. Re:$37,584.00 by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 1

      It depends on the country and the laws. I am not from the US.

      In my country the tax is withheld by the company from the dividend payment.

      And it was a single example of why profit is not always the most important thing. It example still holds if you can run it in reverse.

      So in other words your post is tangential and pointless.

    19. Re: $37,584.00 by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that final summary of your intellectual ability.

      I think no more need be said.

    20. Re: $37,584.00 by Jzanu+Syr · · Score: 1

      You've said nothing the whole thread so no loss.

    21. Re: $37,584.00 by haruchai · · Score: 1

      " received billions of taxpayers money for nothing"
      For nothing?? Dude, they're not making apps and their annual sales have now crossed $5 billion.
      They established an upscale automaker in California, employing thousands who have to pay taxes. And this is mostly skilled manufacturing which has been fleeing the USA for decades. The Gigafactory, when completed, will have ~5000 workers earning $25 / hr.
      If the Solar City deal goes through and with the moves already made in energy storage, they could become a powerhouse of American manufacturing.

      There's plenty of opportunity for them to screw up and they may well crash & burn even if they make mostly the right moves but that's a far cry from getting "billions of taxpayer money for nothing"

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  9. WARNING: TFA has a swear word in it!!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I find it humorous that Reuters, a publication for adults to get business and investing news, has the following warning: "(Editor's note: This story may contain language in paragraph 9 that may offend some readers)." If you are reading the article and cannot take a direct quote of Musk saying the word "shit," then you have bigger problems in life and should probably seek therapy.

  10. To be fair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not making a profit because you are ramping up production faster than you make the money back is at least the best reason to post losses.

    In theory, you could switch to gains just by stopping the ramp up.

    1. Re:To be fair by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Tesla could be profitable any time they wanted to, but it would be a death sentence in the long term. They're spending a lot of money tooling up for new products which require large capital expenditures. It cost a lot of money to build a new production line and even more to build the massive battery factory. Long term, though, these expenditures will increase profits by allowing them to mass-produce vehicles. A lot has also spent on R&D.

      The model S, for example, is very profitable with a profit margin of around 28% which is much higher than the industry average.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    2. Re: To be fair by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They can't, because their cars are too cheap for that. They sell few very expensive vehicles and lose money on each car sold. Without the billions of govt aid they'd have been under 5 years ago already.

    3. Re: To be fair by rot16 · · Score: 1

      You must be either ignoring the facts or purposefully trying to mislead readers.

  11. what is missing is that orders continue to rise by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    While orders for nearly all other car makers are slowing down, Tesla continues to grow faster. In fact, it has always been ahead of supply.
    And upon looking at competitors to Model X, we can see that they are also slowing down FASTER than the average.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:what is missing is that orders continue to rise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are aware that "ahead of supply" in this case isn't a good thing, right? They're ahead of supply because they've consistently missed their manufacturing goals. That's not a good thing. Especially if the model 3 is even half as popular as pre-order seems to indicate. Yes, you'll get your model 3, in 10 years. Not exactly great for long term sustainability and likely to get you sued.

    2. Re:what is missing is that orders continue to rise by rot16 · · Score: 1

      Even if they met all their manufacturing goals they would still be short of cars to sell. And I still fail to see why greater demand is a problem, while the fact that they don't change the prices to reflect the scarcity of the product is probably part of the bigger plan. And how on Earth can someone be sued for not delivering preordered product if they are still willing to give the money back, is beyond me. Amurica too much?

    3. Re:what is missing is that orders continue to rise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As long as they're able to give the money back and they make the process easy, then they're legally in the clear, but we're talking about a company that's losing nearly a billion a year. Saying they may not have the money to refund those isn't unreasonable to say when you're talking a company that's hemorrhaging money at this rate. And if they make the process difficult to get the money back (again see the hemorrhaging money portion), then they could get in trouble again. Then of course there's always the risk of false advertising if they claim they're going to sell you something that you've put money down on but then take too long.

      Then for greater demand, well, when you've taken preorders and can't deliver, it pisses the public off. I know I'd never buy one simply because of that, eventually the fanbois run out. And their failure to meet manufacturing goals tends to mean a lack in confidence in their ability to ever become profitable. How can they become profitable if they don't have anything to sell? Will it require even more expenditure than they are currently spending to meet the goals? Right now they're doing about 4000 units a month. They've been spending like mad to get production levels to that. And yet at that rate to fulfill their preorders it will take 80 months (nearly 7 years!) to fulfill their preorder. How much more will they need to get manufacturing up to a decent level? Will banks give them that much when they're posting losses of nearly a quarter billion dollars per quarter? How long until they fold? Do people want to even buy a car from a company that might fold? It really will be interesting to see what happens in the next 5 years. How many of those preorders will cancel? Will they remain solvent? I know this much, my uncle day trades and his analysis says Tesla is a buy at about $2.50 a share because their financials are crap and their performance and delivery are crap. Is he wrong? Maybe. But he's done well enough to make a living off of this.

      I get it, the Tesla fanboi doesn't care about any of this because TESLA!!!! But lets be blunt here, it's a company that's probably not long for this world. They're losing nearly a billion a year, yet they're talking about buying solar city? Their biggest obstacle to profitability is recalls, and contrary to what the fanbois say, it's not because of their super high quality, it's because their doors don't shut and their windshields aren't transparent if the sun is at the wrong point in the sky, basic shit like that. Then throw in that their collision detection system failed to notice a truck, and yeah. It's a company that's never delivered a product on time or at the price they said. It's objectively a shit car company but people still jizz themselves over them. Can the fanbois keep them afloat? Maybe, but over charging for a car is a lot harder to get away with than other companies with similar cult followings like Apple. $1000 for a computer is one thing, $35000 (assuming Tesla is to be believed) is quite another. Toss in that at those prices Apple has huge margins and Tesla is losing money and it's not a good place. Feel free to get all excited about them, but don't make me out to be an idiot for not believing in them.

    4. Re:what is missing is that orders continue to rise by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      only a fool or a FUDer from another car company, would make such a claim.
      Tesla could produce 1M cars TODAY AND WOULD STILL BE BEHIND. Why? Because they are a wanted quantity. Simple as that.
      They are not missing their goals by much. In addition, NOBODY since Henry ford 100 years ago, has ever grown as fast as they have.
      And to make the clean that you will get your T3 in 10 years, means that you have not even taken note of the fact that they will be at 100,000 cars at year end.
      And at this time, I suspect that they will be able to gear up to 500,000 easily since T3 is quite a simplier car than the S and X, AND the fact that Tesla has pulled a lot of their 3rd party parts in-house. Basically, if 3rd party can NOT do the job, they will do it themselves.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:what is missing is that orders continue to rise by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Claiming that Tesla is losing 1B / year is a joke. On their cars, they are actually making a NICE PROFIT. The problem is that they are investing heavily into :
      1) replacing 3rd party suppliers with in-house production.
      2) adding massive numbers of Super Chargers .
      3) adding massive numbers of service and show rooms.
      4) R&Ding T3. 5) R&Ding a new bus, new Semi, new Truck, and new Roadster.
      6) R&Ding a new factory line for T3.
      7) R&Ding a new battery manufacturing plant.
      8) R&Ding a new battery chemistry
      etc, etc. etc.
      Basically, they have around 60,000 cars / year development paying for the above, which is not enough. So, they are grabbing money from other sources and gearing up to take out major companies before they can take out Tesla.
      Now, you can BS all you want, but this is no different than what Henry Ford went through with his Ford, and what Bezo went through with Amazon, or what the Google boys went through with Google. Basically, all saw that they had to grow FAST while the chance was hot.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  12. A win for the oil companies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Does no one else see that the oil barons artificially lower prices and drive out competition when it pops up? Oil is by far still the cheapest form of energy and they want to keep it that way. This will continue until they have nothing to offer and we all fall off the cliff.

    1. Re:A win for the oil companies by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 1

      If you think current oil prices has anything to do with crushing Tesla you're a moron. While part of the reason the oil prices are low is the changing demand side dynamics, the current prices isn't to crush that change but rather as a reaction to it.

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      - These characters were randomly selected.
  13. Failing Company is Bad Investment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tesla motors is a shell game and a scam only benefiting Musk's ego. Investors are losing money as it fails to profit now, and faces increasing safety problems leading to risk of both regulatory action stopping sales and risk of class action lawsuit damages.

    1. Re:Failing Company is Bad Investment by horza · · Score: 1

      A lot of troll posts here, wonder if they are by the same person? Possibly as they show a basic grasp of fundamentals.

      Phillip.

    2. Re:Failing Company is Bad Investment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not a troll, just a blunt person who isn't sucking Elon Musk's cock for fun.

  14. That link is screwy by Brannon · · Score: 1

    Tesla sold >50K cars in 2015 and is on track to sell >80K cars in 2016. The WSJ reports ~10K in 2015 for some reason.

    Tesla sells cars as fast as they can make them; they already sell a lot of cars, and they are increasing production by >1.5x per year. Extrapolate out a few years and GM & Ford are very worried.

  15. Tesla drwoning in debt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How fickle the consumer is. Right now gas is cheap and anything other than pick ups and big SUV's are dying. The reality of consumer buying traits is that whatever is positive for them is good. Dealing with a Tesla is harder than dealing with a cheaper bigger vehicle you can stop at any gas station. Fill up and driver 400 miles.
    You don't have to plug it in, or deal with a limited support system, or be concerned the company could simply vanish in 5 years. I get that some people are all in on buying a Tesla still. But you are not a movement that is growing in leaps and bounds.

  16. All I can say is look at the revenue growth by BlueCoder · · Score: 1

    One third.

    Let's remember that they are still a small company. More important is getting the company structure right and people to deal with future growth.

    It's easy to see that once they break even the other car manufacturers will be knocking down their doors just to do collaboration deals since they will be so far behind. If they produced 200,000 vehicles a year they wouldn't be a threat.

    It's all about the batteries. It's the most expensive part of the car. And the new gigafactories by 2020 will drive cost down at least by a conservative 50%.

    The hard thing right now is getting quality batteries for electric vehicles. Once the batteries pass quality control and validation we will see staggering growth in units delivered and actually turning a profit.

    If Tesla produced a 1/4 ton truck people would be breaking their pens trying to write a check fast enough. But to be fair that won't happen til they turn profitable and so I think that will actually be a collaboration with a couple truck companies since they have never produced a truck before. That would make more sense to me.

    More interesting would be if Tesla got a contract to produce short busses with automatic driving. Could be a hybrid possibly. It will take a few years of validation with a driver behind the wheel before we see the first true driverless bus. They could also be used be someone like Uber. After that the sky is the limit for delivery, garbage, and street sweepers.

    1. Re:All I can say is look at the revenue growth by EnsilZah · · Score: 1

      Well, they did announce they are working on all the vehicles you've mentioned.
      Personally I'm more curious about Elon's Machine-that-builds-the-machine stuff, improvements in manufacturing density and efficiency.
      And I was wondering, even before the Solar City merger plans, if in fifteen years we'll even think of Tesla a mainly a car manufacturer.

  17. Look up learning factor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_goods_sold#Cost_of_goods_made_by_the_business

    Basically as you produce something the various people involved learn what needs to be done and streamline their work. This allows production to increase for a set amount of time with no other inputs. I would guess that Musk set his price based on an anticipated learning factor that will have the cost of the vehicles be profitable in the future but currently is at a loss. The learning factor tends to be steeper for production lines that are partially or totally without a precedence from which to take experience (such as the mass production of electric cars which has not happened in the US before. The V-22 is another partial example). This extra steepness makes betting on the learning factor allowing future profitability have less risk than would be expected. It also allows prices to remain more constant and avoids sticker shock preventing customers from buying early, which prevents production, which prevents the learning factor from occurring, which causes customers to keep waiting.

  18. It was a FAD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Electric cars are sold as green. This is a gimmick. You can point to the fact they don't directly run on oil, but the reality is it takes a hell of a lot of oil to make 1 electric car. Just one tire takes something like 11 gallons of oil to make. The machinery you have to tool to make the parts takes a lot of oil, as does running the machinery to build the car.

    They are not green. It is a gimmick to sell sports cars to the uninformed. Never mind that they only go so far and you have to charge them.