Slashdot Mirror


Elon Musk: Negative Media Coverage of Autonomous Vehicles Could be 'Killing people' (theverge.com)

On the sidelines of the Tesla announcements, CEO Elon Musk accused media of "killing people" by dissuading consumers from using an autonomous vehicle. Musk said that media is aggressively reporting on autopilot crashes, but does "virtually none" reporting of hundreds of thousands of actual accidents that involve non-self driving cars. He said, via a report on The Verge:Once you view autonomous cars sort of like an elevator in a building, does Otis take responsibility for all elevators around the world? No, they don't. What really matters here at the end of the day is "what is the absolute safety." One of the things I should mention that frankly has been quite disturbing to me is the degree of media coverage of Autopilot crashes, which are basically almost none relative to the paucity of media coverage of the 1.2 million people that die every year in manual crashes. [It is] something that I think does not reflect well upon the media. It really doesn't. Because, and really you need to think carefully about this, because if, in writing some article that's negative, you effectively dissuade people from using an autonomous vehicle, you're killing people.

270 comments

  1. Go to hell Elon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    The audacity of this motherfucker. He sells faulty technology then blames the media for covering it. Classic projection move. I can't wait until his "new system" starts killing people left and right so I can sit back and laugh. Stupid, stupid morons.

    1. Re:Go to hell Elon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      *Chime*

      You're now crashing manually.

    2. Re:Go to hell Elon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nothing flame bait about this.

      There is NO empirical data that indicates his system is safer than humans.

    3. Re:Go to hell Elon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Other than accidents per vehicle-mile traveled. But that's ok, you can pretend the data doesn't exist if it makes you feel better.

    4. Re:Go to hell Elon by sycodon · · Score: 1

      When there are several million Tesla's on the road, and you control for the fact that people who can afford them might have particular driving habits, among other factors, you might have a point.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    5. Re: Go to hell Elon by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      So the easy human monitored miles that autopilot can navigate are safe? That's simply astonishing!

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    6. Re:Go to hell Elon by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      "You have just experienced 1 hour and 20 minutes of 100% safe driv--

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    7. Re:Go to hell Elon by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Which is much higher than the human driving on divided highways stat. This has been beat to death. You are wrong.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    8. Re: Go to hell Elon by gweilo8888 · · Score: 1

      Except that accidents per vehicle mile traveled is an extremely misleading statistic, because for MuskWagons it only includes almost brand-new, high-end vehicles owned exclusively by rich people who can afford to have them religiously maintained and who probably either have better driving skills due to a higher education level, or who have somebody driving on their behalf who was likely selected for their above-average driving skills. Whereas by contrast, for the other vehicles assessed you're including low-end mass-market vehicles driven by the great unwashed, barely maintained if at all, and quite possible multiple decades old. A fair comparison would be to equate MuskWagons with brand-new standard cards in the same price bracket, and manufactured within the same range as Teslas have been. And I'd wager if you do so, the MuskWagon's supposed advantage would be largely -- perhaps even entirely -- negated. Which is precisely why Musk makes such a completely nonsensical comparison in the first place: It fits his desired narrative, even if it's totally misleading.

    9. Re: Go to hell Elon by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      accidents per vehicle mile traveled is an extremely misleading statistic, because for MuskWagons it only includes almost brand-new, high-end vehicles owned exclusively by rich people who can afford to have them religiously maintained

      Right now you have to have your car maintained by Tesla in order to keep your warranty. Will Tesla even let you use Autopilot if you don't do that? I doubt it.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re: Go to hell Elon by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

      At what point do we dispense with the fiction that we own the things we buy?

      The more I hear about these Tesla cars the worse they sound. "We decide when, where, and how you use car and Autopilot, because the EULA says we can do whatever we want."

      You know how everyone around here bitches a blue streak about how shitty software licensing is? Let's just apply all that same shit to cars! It'll be great!

    11. Re: Go to hell Elon by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The more I hear about these Tesla cars the worse they sound. "We decide when, where, and how you use car and Autopilot, because the EULA says we can do whatever we want."

      Yes. It's a serious problem. Literally all of the self-driving cars are going to have to phone home in order to operate. It's standalone GPS vs. your phone all over again.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    12. Re:Go to hell Elon by TheCastro1689 · · Score: 1

      So we should compare them directly to Mercedes?

  2. Some truth... by galabar · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There does seem to be some logic in that argument. However, the question is about this particular feature. Has it killed more people by existing (or never having existed). We don't actually have any autonomous offerings out there, so there isn't really anything to dissuade.

    1. Re:Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the automated driver system in Tesla cars has caused more than 1.13 deaths per 100 million miles driven, he would seem to have it backward.

    2. Re:Some truth... by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      There does seem to be some logic in that argument

      Perhaps so but I was under the impression they were going to die, anyway...

    3. Re:Some truth... by PRMan · · Score: 0

      Elon has no trouble killing Uber passengers, though?

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    4. Re:Some truth... by stooo · · Score: 1

      >> "you effectively dissuade people from using an autonomous vehicle "
      The thing is, the Tesla is not an autonomous vehicle.
      It needs a driver, reacting fast as soon as the automation gives up, which means the driver needs to go from doing nothing to full awareness of a complicated situation in half a second.
      That's dangerous.

      --
      aaaaaaa
    5. Re:Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is a flaw in his argument though

      the degree of media coverage of Autopilot crashes, which are basically almost none relative to the paucity of media coverage of the 1.2 million people that die every year in manual crashes

      Almost every single journey is currently manual, there are only a tiny number of cars with Autopilot. Yes there might be a million deaths but that's out of hundreds of billions of journeys. Autopilot on the other hand has had several accidents out of perhaps tens of thousands of accidents. It's the rate that matters not the absolute numbers. I don't have the figures to work it out, but if the percentage was higher in Autopilot than in manual crashes then it is newsworthy because if you extrapolate that to Autopilot being in every single car then it'd mean an increase in deaths. I suspect the rate is indeed smaller (but still significant), but he needs to back it up with fair statistics rather than sensationalist absolute numbers.

    6. Re:Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People are, for the most part, stupid. Also, people are slow to adopt wisdom when it is proffered.

      Eventually, self-driving vehicles will be a given, and manual drive will be the foray of specialists only. But the time to get there will be a lot longer than it needs to be, because people are just slow.

    7. Re:Some truth... by olau · · Score: 1

      True, but if you set aside Tesla for a moment, as we've debated here before, the negative press is probably going to be a big problem in the future, to the point that even a ten times safer driver assist/autonomous vehicle may be fighting against a generally negative perception.

      Everyone knows the mass media is just waiting for an accident to happen so they can write their zOMG! IT'S A DEATHTRAP! story.

      With great power comes great responsibility. My old grand mother was afraid to go out in the evenings because the local news paper was always full of stories of people being robbed, despite her neighborhood being safer than it ever had been. Easy stories to write. Depressing.

    8. Re:Some truth... by geoskd · · Score: 1

      If the automated driver system in Tesla cars has caused more than 1.13 deaths per 100 million miles driven, he would seem to have it backward.

      No, he has it perfectly right. To illustrate, lets use something I like to call "math"

      As of the closest thing we have to actual data, fatalities in autonomous vehicles right now are approximately 4.5 deaths per 100 million miles. As you can see, the current fatality rate for autonomous vehicles is about 4 times the human rate. It seems like they are killing more people than saving so what gives? The secret is in the rate of improvement. Human drivers have shown an approximately 25% reduction in deaths per mile every decade. That means it took 40 years to go from 4.5 deaths per 100mmi to 1.13 deaths per 100mmi. As of 2014, Google has estimated that if its vehicles were allowed to operate at full speed the fatality rate would have been around 50-100 per 100mmi, which is a whopping 91% reduction in 2 years. assuming they maintain that rate of improvement for 5 more years, the human fatality rate will be about 0.988 fatalities per 100mmi while the autonomous vehicle fatality rate will be approximately 0.02 fatalities per 100mmi.

      Assuming a linear relationship rather than geometric (to make the math a lot simpler without affecting the answer much), and we will get and average fatality rate for humans of 1.059 fatalities per 100mmi, whole autonomous vehicles would average 2.26 fatalities per 100mmi. Sounds bad, but what about the 5 years after that? humans: 0.8645 fatalities per 100 mmi. Autonomous vehicles: 0.01 fatalities per 100 mmi. Given an annual death toll of 35k, that amounts to an excess of 34,500 deaths per year for every year after 5 years from now. If we delay that progress for 5 years, then in the mean time an excess of 34,500 people will die for every year that autonomous vehicles are delayed.

      Those number are far more pessimistic in that they assume that we are talking about a 100% conversion to autonomous vehicles right now. Since we are in fact talking about a vanishingly small percentage of actual vehicles initially, the cost in lives for the development of autonomous vehicles is practically non-existant, while the end state savings are phenomenal. Ultimately, Automakers should be given a 5 year moratorium on liability so long as they can demonstrate sufficient continued improvement in performance (say 33% annual reduction in fatalities per mile.). After 3 years it will be safer to be in an autonomous vehicle. After 10 years driving a car manually would be tantamount to drunk driving.

      The question of how safe autonomous vehicles are is a stupid question, as it is obvious to nearly everyone who knows which end of an equation is which that we *will* reach a point where autonomous vehicles are safer, and the sooner we get there the less lives will be lost before we get to have the benefits.

      The surest way to halt that progress is through liability stemming from the over application of our American legal framework. Our legal system almost entirely fails to consider the larger implications of any given law, in favor of the application of precedents and procedures. You could make a very real argument that a single liability lawsuit, at this stage in the game could delay the deployment of autonomous vehicles by a decade or more, which would effectively condemn over 300,000 people to die needlessly

      The automakers need to be given a temporary liability shield, in exchange for which they must demonstrate continued improvement in autonomous safety performance, and after 5 years they must release *all* hardware designs including source code to the public domain so that the other automakers can implement these life saving systems properly. After 10 years it should become illegal to sell any new vehicle that does not have full autonomous capability, and after 15 years, it should be illegal to operate a vehicle manually on public roads.

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    9. Re:Some truth... by galabar · · Score: 1

      We don't know how many miles have been driven autonomously.

      "The company said Autopilot-enabled cars had covered 130 million miles without a fatality, compared to a national average of one fatality every 94 million miles."

      And, remember, we are talking about a glorified cruise control that simply has to stay within the lines.
      We definitely don't have the data Teslas is claiming that we have.

    10. Re:Some truth... by jxander · · Score: 2

      We definitely don't have the data Teslas is claiming that we have.

      Not from Tesla, we don't. You're right about that.

      However Google has been much more open with their data. Google's automated car was just past 1.3million miles before its first automated accident: a minor fender bender.

      I say "automated accident" because it's actually been in a over dozen other crashes, all minor. Most of them involved getting rear-ended at a red light. That statistic alone should be enough to reinforce Elon's point, but we'll need several million more miles before any definitive conclusions can be drawn.

      --
      This signature is false.
    11. Re: Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the deaths were caused by teslas marketing and decision to safeties disabled

    12. Re: Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what matters for tesla is that the autopilot deaths happened because tesla DISABLED SAFETIES and deployed an off the shelf sensor and control package in a fashion the hw/sw provider knew as unsafe(which is why that provider dumped tesla in a rather public fashion)

      musk is trying to sweep that factoid under the rug and affect the future jury in the case.

    13. Re:Some truth... by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Look the real problem is not failure, the real problem is malicious hacking of the vehicle and purposefully causing accidents. Not in one vehicle but in millions of exposed vehicles. Not Tesla's fault and certainly not Elon's fault, it is just the way it is. They can buy the car, learn to remotely hack the car and then chaos ensues. Not just for sick fun chaos but insurance scams; over ensure a property, wait for a passing car, hack it and drive it straight into that over insured property, with total disregard for the driver. How do you get past that problem, with a track record of so many hacked for profit devices with total disregard for the victims, really, really problematic. So seriously who can trust a car operating system with all, every single one, operating system in the world required monthly security updates and bug fixes, you can not just ignore reality.

      The all new ransom ware. On you heads up display comes the message, hi friend, all your vehicles belong to us, I see you are driving alongside a cliff, take out you mobile phone (info provided by the car with blue tooth connection), and buy bit coins from this location and transfer them or I will drive the car off the cliff with you in it. Do the transaction and over the cliff you go, no witnesses. Unfortunately you have to be able to guarantee to prevent that. Keep in mind unknown mechanics will have full direct physical access to that vehicle. Getting past that hacking will be a huge problem. There is also country to country hacking, where all your vehicles belong to us, is not just a joke.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    14. Re:Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...And that's exactly the point.

      At 50, I'm probably not going to get any better at driving than I am today.

      However the general direction of autonomous vehicles is that they will continue to get better unless stopped.

      What might stop the autonomous driving from getting better ? The only thing I can think of is an over-sensationalised press reaction.

    15. Re:Some truth... by l3v1 · · Score: 1

      "However Google has been much more open with their data. Google's automated car was just past 1.3million miles before its first automated accident: a minor fender bender."

      However, Google's algorithms are not Tesla's algorithms are not Volvo's algorithms are not Daimler's algorithms are not Toyota's algorithms and so on and so forth. My point is, one developer's miles driven and safety (or accident) reports have nothing to do with another's.

      Also, number of accidents and/or resulting deaths don't mean much when the size of the actually deployed fleet of cars is so low. Yes, yes, I know, Tesla is churning out cars like mad, still, their numbers are close to insignificant. When they will have tens or hundreds of millions of cars out there, then their safety/accident numbers will mean something. But, they'll never ever be zero, there's just no chance, unless all cars just stand still in their garages.

      My view on this issue is that until I don't see Volvo or Daimler selling cars with full autonomous driving capabilities, and until Google's car division doesn't say the algorithms are nearing applicability, I won't trust any company selling autonomy features. Why? Because Daimler has been working on this much longer and Google has been developing much longer, and until they don't say it's OK, it won't be OK, it's that simple.

      --
      I am putting myself to the fullest possible use, which is all I can think that any conscious entity can ever hope to do.
    16. Re:Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your grand mother is afraid to go out because there are people being robbed, not because the news paper talks about it. You can create a society where news papers no longer talk about events that might make people afraid, but that is an offense to the key values of the western societies, it is called limiting free speech.
       
      What's depressing is not the news papers reporting on the issue but the apparent failure of the (local) governments to protect its citizens from robbery. That's the goal of the local media, to report problems in the local society not covered by (inter)national media.

      It would be depressing when media would not talk about failing Tesla's to protect Elon Musk's investments. This is what happened with for example tobacco and asbestos in the past. The media didn't talk about health issues caused by those products and the media who talked about it were sued. Today a similar thing happens with the organizations who fund misinformation about global warming. These are more depressing then stories about events that did happen with new technology. The knee jerk reflex is to block those stories so the new technology is accepted faster, but it is better to report any issue so the new technology can be improved. Elon Musk seems to imply he prefers to not talk about it and just let his non perfect software be used by as many people as possible.

    17. Re:Some truth... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's like nuclear power. Ultimately it's one of the safest options for power (and it's metric fucktons better than coal), but due to negative media coverage there's such a public bias against it that almost nobody is willing to use it. Overly negative coverage can severely hurt a technology, regardless of how beneficial it is.

  3. Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by CajunArson · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So Elon's panties are all up in a bunch over supposedly overblown negative media coverage?

    How about all the overblown positive media coverage he's been lapping up for years while running an unprofitable business that caters to wealthy customers getting taxpayer funded bonuses to buy his cars?

    Isn't it fair that all of that media coverage should be withdrawn too?

    --
    AntiFA: An abbreviation for Anti First Amendment.
    1. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So Elon's panties are all up in a bunch over supposedly overblown negative media coverage?

      How about all the overblown positive media coverage he's been lapping up for years while running an unprofitable business that caters to wealthy customers getting taxpayer funded bonuses to buy his cars?

      Isn't it fair that all of that media coverage should be withdrawn too?

      Are you equating lost lives and positive media?

    2. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Last_Available_Usern · · Score: 1

      I don't entirely disagree with you, but I also think his "panties are in a wad" because while the media may have been skewed both for and against him, in this case it's at the expense of peoples lives, not just his ledger numbers.

    3. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      waaaaaaaaa

    4. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately "lives saved" is not a measurable statistic. It can be used as an effective rhetorical device, but Elon has gone into some strange territory here by claiming that the prevention of saved lives is equivalent to taking lives. But then again Musk is under the influence of a bunch of stupid ideas about living in a simulation, a total fruitcake.

    5. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      It's not so much "the media", but that readers solicitously enjoy hearing about pompous rich farts being waffled by their wayward robot toys.

      It reminds me of McDonald's failed attempts at selling health-food: nobody wants it; buyers want Big Macs and fries.

      (And no, I don't mean this kind of Big Mac)

    6. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by baker_tony · · Score: 1

      "Unfortunately "lives saved" is not a measurable statistic"
      Um, yes it is! You can measure the number of deaths per distance traveled. If the number of deaths is less than average over the same distance when travelling on autopilot, the you can say that more lives have been saved.

    7. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only thing killing people is musk's lies.

    8. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In that case you are simply measuring lives saved in terms of lives lost, so lives saved is the inverse of the number of lives lost per some measure. But you can't say what the cause of those saved lives was, because there is no event - the loss of life - which has a cause that needs to be determined. Thus you can rephrase Musk's argument in terms of a meteor shield: by not constructing a meteor shield, you are preventing the saving of lives that would be lost to meteor deaths. Am I to be blamed for meteor deaths? It appears so.

    9. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by David_Hart · · Score: 1

      I don't entirely disagree with you, but I also think his "panties are in a wad" because while the media may have been skewed both for and against him, in this case it's at the expense of peoples lives, not just his ledger numbers.

      His premise is pure bull at this time...

      There is no demonstrable or concrete evidence that supports the assertion that implementing self-driving cars in the state of the technology today will save more lives than it would end up costing. In my opinion, we still need much more testing and development.

      In all reality, Musk is mostly pissed because he views his company as having a lead in this area and it's being eroded by roadblocks enacted through regulations (good or bad), allowing competitors to catch up.

    10. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      while running an unprofitable business

      You mean that unprofitable business which was the only car company to repay the American government? One which did so with interest, and before the payments were due?

      Yeah they can have a bit more free media coverage as far as I'm concerned.

    11. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

      (And no, I don't mean this kind of Big Mac [hdnux.com])

      Still the province of pompous rich farts though.

    12. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by Lennie · · Score: 1

      Google has already shown that automated driving is safer (not counting some conditions, because they don't test in regions with ice, because it will loose effectiveness for certain sensors).

      The 'problem' is with the user. We are now in limbo land between manual and automated. If a car only supports automated you'll have a whole lot less problems.

      --
      New things are always on the horizon
    13. Re:Live by the media hype die by the media hype. by bingoUV · · Score: 1

      No, Google has done nothing of the sort. Any update to the software invalidates all testing done till then - period. If it depends on the server side, server side code/data change also invalidates the tests. Now count the valid tests from Google and it turns out to be insignificant at any given moment.

      Also, any manufacturer's cars are not sufficient in numbers right now to present an enticing target to hackers. Google has proved nothing in this regard - the hackability of the cars or the lack thereof.

      --
      Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  4. Short summary by Locke2005 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sure, autonomous vehicles are dangerous, but they are orders of magnitude less dangerous than the assholes you already see on the road every day! Like the moron I saw trying to ride his bicycle down I-5 in downtown Portland during rush hour the other day...

    --
    I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    1. Re:Short summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, autonomous vehicles are dangerous, but they are orders of magnitude less dangerous than the assholes you already see on the road every day! Like the moron I saw trying to ride his bicycle down I-5 in downtown Portland during rush hour the other day...

      Maybe they are less dangerous, maybe not. It is completely possible to operate a non-autonomous vehicle in a safe manner. Many people simply choose to ignore common sense.

      It stands to reason that people will similarly figure out how to undermine the supposed safety advantages of autonomous cars. E.g. that "moron" on the bike will be further justified in assuming that it is safe to ride on I-5 when cars are operated by scrupulously safe algorithms rather than irrational "cagers".

      IMO, the upshot will be slightly fewer crashes, but an increase in violence and stress related deaths when people realize that their schedule, lifestyle and even property values depended on a level of vehicular risk-taking that can no be achieved with their shiny new robot car.

    2. Re:Short summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hyperbole much?

      No such vehicles on the road today can distinguish a stop light, or handle a police officer manually directing traffic. Let me know when your autonomous thinking AI vehicles arrive that can handle real life.

    3. Re:Short summary by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Well, you should have given your father a ride.

    4. Re: Short summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      To be fair - bikes are faster than most rush hour traffic in the northwest. Also - pretty sure we're not talking about autonomous bike drivers.

    5. Re:Short summary by ArylAkamov · · Score: 1

      Like the moron I saw trying to ride his bicycle down I-5 in downtown Portland during rush hour the other day...

      I hate those people, but then again there are several areas where he was probably going faster than the traffic.

      Nothing like going 5mph in a 70 zone for miles and miles without AC.

    6. Re:Short summary by PRMan · · Score: 1

      I saw a guy eating a bowl of cereal at the wheel yesterday. Bowl in one hand, spoon in the other.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    7. Re:Short summary by Moof123 · · Score: 2

      How about the dumbass driver that nearly mowed me down while I was cycling in the bike lane? Oh, wait, that was like 3 different drivers this year alone... Last one went through the bike lane to get to the turn lane while I was in it, missing my front wheel by about 2 feet. Yes, I am very visible, wiht multiple lights, light clothes, reflectors, flashers, etc. Let me cry a river for the occasional driver inconvenienced by a bicycle.

      Autonomous cars have been getting incredible, and often unbelievable hype with lots of wild and unfounded claims, often from fanboys who are blinded by their own excitement. It is appropriate for the news media to look behind the curtain and report on what they find.

      The reality so far has been rather sobering, and indicate to me we are still farther away than we think.
      - Google employees sleeping or working on laptops in beta vehicles on the way home from work, reminding us that humans cannot be trusted to be a backup safety system if HAL gives up or makes a mistake. More recently the Tesla driver who apparently was watching a DVD player rather than the road when the Autopilot drove under a truck.

      - Uber cars that throw up their hands and require driver intervention for situations as basic as driving over a bridge, reminding us that we are a long way off from being able to remove the steering wheel and let the "driver" tune out and relax.

      - No autonomous vehicles claim to handle dirt roads without markings, snowy conditions that blind lidar, or construction zones all on their own. I still fear a large increase in the error rate for manual driving by drivers who become rusty and have to take over under the worst driving situations (possibly after being summoned from a nap). On the plus side, their pickiness might finally get some money spent to properly maintain the roads.

    8. Re:Short summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meh, I once passed a man folding laundry. Towel draped from ceiling to lap between him and the steering wheel.

    9. Re:Short summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Downtown Portland on I-5 is very likely one of those places. And it's Portland's own fault for refusing to build any roads in the last 30 years.

    10. Re:Short summary by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Needlepoint. Old biddy was doing needlepoint on her steering wheel driving down I-50 at rush hour.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:Short summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How about the dumbass driver that nearly mowed me down while I was cycling in the bike lane? Oh, wait, that was like 3 different drivers this year alone... Last one went through the bike lane to get to the turn lane while I was in it, missing my front wheel by about 2 feet. Yes, I am very visible, wiht multiple lights, light clothes, reflectors, flashers, etc. Let me cry a river for the occasional driver inconvenienced by a bicycle.

      Its going to be awesome when I can take the lane while riding my bike, per my legal right, and know that the rage-a-holics behind me have no choice but to fume and wait for an actually safe passing opportunity because their self-driving car is actually bound by things like laws and sound judgement.

    12. Re:Short summary by Moof123 · · Score: 1

      Awesome point! Though I still have to worry about the Trimet (bus system) drivers, one of whom was amongst the list of SOB's that have tried to kill me in my bike lane this year.

    13. Re:Short summary by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Enjoy your obstructing traffic tickets.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    14. Re:Short summary by vux984 · · Score: 1

      I still fear a large increase in the error rate for manual driving by drivers who become rusty and have to take over under the worst driving situations (possibly after being summoned from a nap).

      yeah, I think its going to be interesting as autonomous vehicles escalate to the human whenever it runs into somehting it can't handle it's basically setting human up for even more errors.

      As in... here' you tune out and let your driving skills atrophy while I do your driving. Uh oh... I know its been 3 years since you've driven the car... but its snowing something fierce and i cant' see... I'm out you drive home today!

      And then a guy who hasn't driven in years has to drive in the worst conditions possible. multiplied by the entire city.

      On the upside, the carnage will make the autonomous drivers look good right? See how bad it is when human drive!

    15. Re:Short summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No such thing exists moron.

    16. Re:Short summary by Ichijo · · Score: 2

      they are orders of magnitude less dangerous than the assholes you already see on the road every day! Like the moron I saw trying to ride his bicycle down I-5 in downtown Portland during rush hour the other day...

      I would say the same thing if I were envious of the bicyclist passing all that stopped traffic! Like that scene from Office Space.

      But really, what's so dangerous about bicycling past a bunch of stopped cars? As long as the person isn't riding in the door zone..

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    17. Re:Short summary by ChoGGi · · Score: 1

      Some idiot biking on the side of a busy (unlit) highway at 11:30 PM or so; dark clothes, no lights or reflectors (didn't even notice him till just before I was driving past)

    18. Re:Short summary by yuriklastalov · · Score: 2

      No autonomous vehicles claim to handle dirt roads without markings, snowy conditions that blind lidar, or construction zones all on their own. I still fear a large increase in the error rate for manual driving by drivers who become rusty and have to take over under the worst driving situations (possibly after being summoned from a nap). On the plus side, their pickiness might finally get some money spent to properly maintain the roads.

      These fucking cars are going to be just like everything else that comes out of the tech industry these days: It works best in the only place on earth that matters, San Fransisco. Are there any dirt roads in San Fransisco? Probably not, so it doesn't matter if the car can handle them. You know what else it doesn't do in California? Snow.

      Everything the tech industry does these days is useless shit tailored to rich techies in southern California. It's so blatantly obvious I don't know why they bother to pretend they care about anything else.

    19. Re: Short summary by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
      autonomous bike drivers.

      Now there is an idea that would Really save lives!

      --
      Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
    20. Re:Short summary by randallman · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of Teslas in Norway. Pretty sure they handle snow just fine.

    21. Re:Short summary by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      In CA if you have 3 vehicles backed up, you must pull over. Even if going the legal speed limit. It is enforced on bikes, they have a legal right to a lane, but must pull over same as any slowpoke.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  5. waah waah i oversold my product by hsmith · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Autopilot was billed as this revolutionary technology that got idiots to think "hey we don't have to drive anymore the car will do it." Musk is basically beta testing with his customers as the beta group.

    Autonomous driving will be great when it gets here, but he is trying to oversell the current tech as revolutionary autonomous driving tech.

    1. Re:waah waah i oversold my product by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      The problem is, he presented it as "own my most amazing technology" and not the truth which is, "Please be my beta tester".

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    2. Re: waah waah i oversold my product by bestweasel · · Score: 2

      It's Musky's own fault for calling it Autopilot. If he'd called it Driverassist or similar, idiots would be less likely to assume they can watch TV or send texts while driving.

    3. Re: waah waah i oversold my product by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      If he'd called it Driverassist or similar, idiots would be less likely to assume they can watch TV or send texts while driving.

      Pls stop trolling. (You can't call it "driverassist" because it is part of a class of features known as "driver assists".) Nature always makes a better idiot, it doesn't matter what they call it, there will always be an idiot out there to get it wrong.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re: waah waah i oversold my product by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

      They can call it whatever they want. Why not Drivrly? Is that still hip, or has SV moved on to some other insipid bullshit?

    5. Re:waah waah i oversold my product by MattskEE · · Score: 1

      I see lots of people saying this... but the capabilities, and more importantly the limitations, are pretty clearly spelled out when you purchase the option, nobody thought they were buying an autonomous driving package.

      Further, I don't see how it was a beta test. It was a highly capable and valuable assisted driving system at release and since its release it has only gotten better as over 100 million miles of driving data as accumulate, helping to fine-tune algorithms and identify corner cases.

      Currently, there is no statistical case to be made that it is unsafe.

    6. Re: waah waah i oversold my product by bestweasel · · Score: 1

      Yes, idiots will always be with us but the idea is to lower the risks of them harming themselves or others, besides most of us are idiots at some time in some way.

      Not sure why I'm trolling, I've never heard of the clumsy term "driver assists".

    7. Re:waah waah i oversold my product by bingoUV · · Score: 1

      Nobody thought? Why was someone watching a bad movie on an outdated media while "driving" then ?

      Those who are in charge of communication for safety, are considered to have failed, when someone misunderstands. Professionals in safety critical fields don't hide behind pages of boring text - a fireman rescuing you from a burning building won't spell out the limitations and capabilities of the wall that is about to fall on your head, he'll order to get out of it or pull you out.

      And statistical case doesn't have to be made to say it is unsafe. Burden of proof is Musk's.

      --
      Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  6. We will use the DMCA to remove any video showing by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 2

    We will use the DMCA to remove any video showing any of our auto driver cars doing unsafe stuff or even just mock up's just like Samsung!

    https://news.slashdot.org/stor...

  7. obligatory car analogy by sethaw · · Score: 1

    So I guess if you're in the car business you have to use elevator analogies instead of the obligatory car analogy

    1. Re:obligatory car analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk would have more credibility with me if he had used a Slashdot analogy to discuss his car.

    2. Re:obligatory car analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, I'll try one.

      Driving a Tesla is like donating to Slashdot to get rid of the advertisements. It isn't perfect, but it gets rid of most of them.
      Not driving a Tesla is like visiting as an un-numbered AC. Ads above and below every page, often one to the side, and you can't read anyone's signatures at the end of their posts.

      Clearly anyone suggesting not donating to Slashdot to hide advertisements is intentionally contributing the poverty of people with no self-restraint who buy anything advertised in their general direction. As far as hyperbole is concerned, ACs who don't waste their money on the useless crud usually advertised on Slashdot do not and cannot exist, the world is only populated by people who pay to not have ads and people who go broke buying everything that is advertised.

    3. Re:obligatory car analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I guess if you're in the car business you have to use elevator analogies instead of the obligatory car analogy

      Elevators don't tend to crash into other (sometimes much larger) elevators, or run over cyclists and pedestrians,

    4. Re:obligatory car analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's on the hierarchical safety analysis cheat sheet of analogizing, always use less risky transport to explain things:

      Rocketry -> Helicopters-> Small Airplanes -> Motorcycles -> Bicycles -> Cars -> Large Airplanes(never use this as an analogy) -> Boats -> Ships -> Trains -> Elevators -> Funiculars? -> Walking inside a child free home -> Rolling over in bed.

    5. Re:obligatory car analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=man%20loses%20foot%20in%20elevator%20accident

    6. Re:obligatory car analogy by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Elevators are completely isolated. Enough said.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    7. Re:obligatory car analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Elevators used to be dangerous and they required a somewhat skilled and attentive human to run them. Accidents were common. People were killed, they were hurt, they had limbs and fingers sheared off. Aside from cargo, there were not many in use in the world prior to Otis.
      It took almost 50 years for the automatic elevator with safety breaks to be fully accepted. During this time there were few buildings taller than 9 stories because who the hell wanted to climb up that many stairs? Once the automatic elevator came into use buildings got taller, elevator rides went up, but elevator deaths went down.
      Enough engineering can indeed make automatic devices safer than humans.

      There is quite a ways to go with self driving cars, but I do believe that they will in time be safer than human drivers and save lives and change the way we approach transportation, infrastructure design and city layout.

      I don't really care if in the near future they can't work on dirt roads, in terrible weather, in a bunch of road construction, or in a crowded parking lot after a concert.
      My phone does not work without power or under water, or in my kitchen oven, nor does it get a signal at the bottom of a mine shaft. That does not mean that it is useless to me.

      It actually IS a good analogy.... Because it is a mode of transportation that we have already had this automation discussion about.
      Automation was the winner.

      http://www.npr.org/2015/07/31/427990392/remembering-when-driverless-elevators-drew-skepticism

    8. Re:obligatory car analogy by yuriklastalov · · Score: 1

      Elevators go up, elevators go down. You can't explain that.

  8. Honestly? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I trust a computer a 100 times more than I trust a typical driver during bad weather. The worst part of driving in snow is the other drivers--not the snow. I trust a computer to stop and not rear-end someone when traffic suddenly stops where a human was "used" to driving on that portion of highway without thinking.

    I mean, when I drove a motorcycle it was practically suicide being on the road with distracted drivers these days. You have to tap your brakes in advance and flicker them just to get people to wake up and not smash into you and kill you any time there was an abnormal stop situation like a road hazard.

    Computerized cars can not get hear soon enough. We'll save countless lives putting people who don't like driving anyway into vehicles where they don't have to anymore.

    1. Re:Honestly? by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      So.... your laptop drives you to work?

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  9. You are wrong. Elon is right. by Kludge · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I hope Elon continues to take the press to task for this.
    The news media is deplorable for their reporting. Virtually nothing you see in the media has any chance of killing you.
    The news media reports on home invasions and shootings, but the chance of you being shot in your home by a stranger is incredibly low.
    The news media reports on terrorist attacks, but the probability that you will die in a terrorist attack is less than 1 in a million.
    The news media does not report on the 1.2 million people who die in car accidents, nor the tens of millions who die from cancer, nor the tens of millions who die of heart disease.
    IF YOU SEE IT ON THE NEWS IT WILL NOT HAPPEN TO YOU. Unfortunately most people do not understand this.

    1. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by tsqr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      When I started reading this post, I thought you were being sarcastic or ironic, and I was looking forward to the punchline. Then I realized you were actually serious. The thing is, the news media report on what is unusual and what is likely to attract consumer attention, not necessarily in that order. You know: man bites dog, rather than dog bites man; it doesn't matter that dog bites man happens a lot more frequently than man bites dog. You're free to consider this deplorable, but that's the way it's always been and it's very unlikely to change.

    2. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by tsqr · · Score: 1

      Aside from this, anyone who watches local TV news sees frequent stories along the lines of "Entire family wiped out in car crash." This type of reporting is extremely common.

    3. Re: You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is when the media keeps harping on terrorism or some other such nonsense, you get a SIGNIFICANT portion of people freaking out about it. This diverts money and resources away from the serious threats to our safety...

    4. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by shaitand · · Score: 0

      Who cares anymore? See "Tesla Bans Customers From Using Autonomous Cars To Earn Money Ride-Sharing" a few stories down.

    5. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      The problem isn't that the media wants to report the out of the ordinary, the problem is that they are conveniently leaving out facts to make it appear worse than it really is.

      It reminds me of the anti-cigarette commercials there are plenty of good reasons to not smoke but they are running commercials that say there is methane in cigarettes just like poop when in actuality you would have to smoke for multiple lifetimes just to get enough methane out of a cigarette to equal the amount of methane an average person pays to have pumped into their house each month to their furnace, water heater, and stove cook with.

    6. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      IF YOU SEE IT ON THE NEWS IT WILL NOT HAPPEN TO YOU. Unfortunately most people do not understand this.

      It's more accurate to say 'seeing something on the news does not make it any more or less likely to happen to you. Unless you are watching tsunami coverage in a zone that's expecting that Tsunami, or you're watching reporting on a giant fire that's heading for your community.

      The tone of your post suggested that all I have to do to protect myself from a forest fire is to watch it on the news. Then it won't happen to me.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    7. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so basically your complaint is that the news is reporting on rare events more than common, "natural", or "normal" events?
      isn't the fact that its rare or new by definition what makes it news?

      "This just in, everyone living has inhaled air in the last hour!" not really news.

    8. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by tsqr · · Score: 1

      The problem isn't that the media wants to report the out of the ordinary, the problem is that they are conveniently leaving out facts to make it appear worse than it really is.

      It reminds me of the anti-cigarette commercials there are plenty of good reasons to not smoke but they are running commercials that say there is methane in cigarettes just like poop when in actuality you would have to smoke for multiple lifetimes just to get enough methane out of a cigarette to equal the amount of methane an average person pays to have pumped into their house each month to their furnace, water heater, and stove cook with.

      Yeah, that sort of things falls under "what is likely to attract consumer attention".

    9. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by saloomy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Right, but a small mention of "Entire family wiped out in car crash" pales in comparison to the news coverage that a Tesla just scraped a parked car .

      This shows the the level of media attention does not correlate to the appropriate levels of concern. Just like the terrorist attacks. Tobacco companies kill far more Americans than terrorists. Do not ramble on on the argument that smokers choose to risk their health and life, I'm talking about second hand smoke.

      Tesla's autopilot will save many lives on the motor ways. It doesn't have to be perfect. It just has to be statistically better than you or I. Even though this technology is in its infancy, it is already a better than you are, statistically.

    10. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Aside from this, anyone who watches local TV news sees frequent stories along the lines of "Entire family wiped out in car crash."

      That isn't quite the same. People drive cars everyday. So when they see a story about a car crash, they can weigh it against their personal experience. People are also familiar with men and dogs, so they can dismiss a story about a man biting a dog as an anomaly. But people don't have personal experience with terrorism or self-driving cars, so when the media reports on rare events involving them, they should provide some context.

    11. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So I guess you could put them together and say Elon Musk is killing ride share drivers and passengers by not allowing autonomous driving during ride share. He's killing people for his own profit.

      See, Elon, we can twist things too!

    12. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're way passed merely reporting on the unusual.
      every time there's a terrorist attack there is weeks of completely hyperbolic coverage about it

      Never mind that between the red brigades, the IRA, and various independence movements
      there was actually more terrorism in the 80's before the fall of the Berlin wall then today.

      Yet we didn't have the same amount and type of hyperbolic coverage in the 80's
      Something has changed in the press, and not for the better

    13. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Anyone attaching use restrictions beyond distribution controls onto something they sell should be run over by a Tesla... which should be acquired for free via eminent domain.

    14. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by suutar · · Score: 1

      I disagree with your "Unless" sentence, unless you add the clause "instead of running away".

    15. Re: You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We needed a new existential threat to replace the Russkies.

      And now, Ladeeez and Chennulmen, a big round of applause please, I give you, Teh Mooslims.

      Cue mindless panic in 3, 2, 1 ...

    16. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      The thing is, the news media report on what is unusual and what is likely to attract consumer attention, not necessarily in that order

      I think the reasoning here is that while a "watch a dog make an amazingly complicated trick" news attracts news consumers as successfully as "watch an imperfect self-driving car cause an accident", only one of them is potentially harmful by means of feeding normal people's irrationality.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    17. Re: You are wrong. Elon is right. by lightbox32 · · Score: 1

      I guess that means you've never taken a plane, or a bus, or a subway, or a taxi, or a ship, or... You get the point.

      --
      A camel is a horse created by a committee
    18. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      "This shows the the level of media attention does not correlate to the appropriate levels of concern."

      No, you can't go from what you consider appropriate to what is appropriate.

    19. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      What really worries me is another bias: you always see *Tesla* crashed, *Tesla* failed" or "*Brand X autonomous car* did this and that".
      But never "In a *Toyota* crash entire family was wiped out".

      This is not going to change in near future, ambulance chasing lawyers make certain of it.

    20. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's a bit subtle. Seeing something on the news doesn't affect the liklihood of it happening to me (assuming I don't go out of my way to cause it), but it most certainly affects my estimate of whether it will happen to me.

      For instance, I think there is zero chance of a hurricane hitting $town which I'm visiting next week. Then I see on the news that they've had hurricanes every week since last year. Now, my estimate is far higher, and rightly so.

      I don't watch the news to affect what will happen to me - I'm not sure anyone does. I watch it so that I can learn about what's happening in the world and modify my opinions and actions accordingly.

      The OP was completely wrong with the "IF YOU SEE IT ON THE NEWS..." thing. I saw people in towns that were flooded on the news last winter. Then our town got flooded. Disproved by counterexample. OTOH, if it was expressed more correctly, to say that "IT WILL PROBABLY NOT..." then we're in a much better place.

    21. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by CWCheese · · Score: 1

      Toyota took some supersize lumps a few years ago when their sedans were suspected of uncontrollable runaway acceleration, leading to deadly crashes. They were hammered daily for many months as their engineers desperately looked for why their vehicles, particularly the favorite Camry, would suffer these episodes. I never saw the chief of Toyota accusing the press of bad reporting. Elon is likely trying to create a diversion to distract people noticing that it is quite a colossal challenge to scale up from manufacturing a few thousand vehicles per year to 500k by 2018.

      --
      Have a Day!
    22. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk has repeatedly said how much better and safer his cars are. People love knocking others off their high horse. If he didn't make outrageous claims like disliking Tesla equates to murder, as he has done here with the direct accusation that people who say negative things about Tesla are responsible for human death, then perhaps he would not have the bad press.

    23. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Chance that a woman will ever touch Kludge's pee pee of her own free will: 0 percent.

    24. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No, Elon is a jerk.

      RAND crunched the numbers and came up with some actual numbers about how many accident-free miles would be needed to conclude (with 95% certainty) that self-driving cars are safer than human drivers.

      Elon postures and rants and appeals to emotions. Do the math? Maybe he did, but since it isn't in his favor, it's not important.

      See? Jerk.

      What nobody seems to be talking about is what happens when these self-driving cars have been on the road for a decade after being poorly maintained? In most old cars, the first thing to die is electrical stuff.

      What's my expensive self-driving car going to do when the sensors die? (Apparently most self-driving cars fail open, as in "there's nothing there, you're good". Including Teslas.)

      Answers will vary, depending on the most recent lawsuit, but it'll probably be (a) kill me by driving into an obstacle, (b) wreck itself by driving into a wall or building, (c) refuse to go anywhere until it's been towed to an authorized mechanic.

      None of these are good for me.

      If I'm lucky, Tesla will still be in business and willing to rewire the whole car at their expense (but I suspect they won't stay in business if they do that). If I'm slightly less lucky, I'll get to buy a new shiny self-driving car, or pay most of the cost of a new car getting everything replaced.

      The half-assed engineering is all built with short-term thinking and based around shiny features (much like what you get from mediocre software folks, oddly enough), A continual upgrade cycle will be required in order to keep the cars on the road new enough -- and therefore safe enough -- to be on the road.

      Which is really good for Elon. Not so good for people not on the upper end of the wage continuum.

      See? Jerk.

      Further, the Tesla system throws control back to the user when it has a problem. A user who is being trained to not drive the car, who is out of practice of driving a car, who won't be paying attention. Sure, you can tell the user they need to be ready to resume control at any time, but half-a-minute's thought will correct that misconception. How many people read 40-page EULAs that come with their software, despite clicking on the "I agree and certify that I have read this document" button?

      So designing a self-driving car system that screws over actual users as part of the basic operating parameters in order to avoid legal responsibility is probably unethical, and certainly immoral.

      See? Jerk.

      Postscript -

      I agree that most people are distracted drivers. It annoys me. I would love to get those people off the road / out from behind the wheel. But will a self-driving car fix that, once we think past the three-year forecast? And at what cost?

      Might it be cheaper for most folks to just take a taxi (or Uber, or Lyft, or what the flavor of the week is) when they need to go somewhere? Does anyone know if those numbers have been crunched?

    25. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      You can calculate what is appropriate mathematically - and it has never correlated to media coverage. It certainly does not in this instance.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    26. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      >It's more accurate to say 'seeing something on the news does not make it any more or less likely to happen to you.

      No, that's true but useless. The fact that it's on the news is, in fact, strongly indicative that the odds are extremely to vanishingly low.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    27. Re: You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the point is that overall the media is just a money making enterprise and has no interest in anything that doesn't sell copies. In general they're a very scummy and predatory industry. They need to generate sensational headlines every day, so hyperbole is now their main tool. Elon is right, but not for the reason he thinks.

    28. Re: You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the key point is that almost all of problems you alude to -- mean time between failure, failing/degrading sensors, expensive upgrade cycle, and so on -- are going to be continually improving. The diagnostic data from any failure contributes directly to improving the system's resiliency. Not so with human drivers; very few of the mistakes that cost human lives lead to changes in behavior from everyone else, because everyone believes they are a good driver and it won't happen to them.

      So even if it were true that the odds of an accident today are equal or possibly worse if you don't use it as directed, it will not always remain in it's current state. And when self-driving cars can take everyone where they need to go, a shorter lifecycle and higher one-time cost won't matter to most people because they won't need to own a car.

      Basically, Elon's "arrogance" is that he acts like the problems of today are already solved and everyone should have already moved on. But, even though we're not there today, I don't think there's much doubt that we will get there some day, provided regulators and the public allow it to continue to evolve. (Now the other issue is whether this evolution should only benefit Elon's corporate interests or should ultimately be shared in the public domain to benefit society, but that's a whole separate issue.)

    29. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by EricTDuckman1414 · · Score: 1

      The news told me it was going to rain today, and it did!
      The news told me it was going to be cold, and it is!
      The news told me the sun would rise at a certain time, and it did!
      If you see it on the news, it could happen to you!

    30. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by EricTDuckman1414 · · Score: 1

      People who don't know when to use "past" instead of "passed" and "than" instead of "then" do harm to me on a daily basis, and the government does nothing about it! Where is the justice in that?

    31. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

      Futurists decades ago prognosticated robot cars would suffer delays because lawyers would sue over crashes even though robot cars were statistically safer.

      We haven't even gotten that far yet, and he has to rely on this rhetorical defense already.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    32. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      Awareness of an event does not alter your chance of experiencing that event unless you are actively seeking, or avoiding it.

      You could learn about a Tornado or Police chase and either go to, run from, or remain where you are. Overall the outcome is dependent on your actions.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    33. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is NOT better "statistically" or otherwise. All autonomous driving schemes stop short and make human intervention mandatory when the going gets tough. This is de facto admission that the designers and builders themselves know the "autonomous" features are inferior to humans. Surely you can grok that . Ironically you show why the "negative" coverage is justified. Corporate sophistry ,as in your post, that attempts to compare machine driving under selected conditions with human driving in all conditions is just one tiresome example of the hype machine supporting the marketing of this tech.
      When you make statements like you have here then expect some push back from people that just wish for the public discussion to become sane.

    34. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      >Awareness of an event does not alter your chance of experiencing that event unless you are actively seeking, or avoiding it.
      Yes, which is why I said that what you said was true. It's STILL useless though. It tells us nothing that every smart person didn't already know.

      But then nobody at all suggested it and it's mindboggling how you could conclude that what the GP said meant that. Nobody was suggesting awareness alters the odds. We were informing you of the simple fact that it wouldn't be on the news unless the odds were astronomically low. Hence, if it is on the news - you can conclude that the odds must be astronomically low. Ergo, if it's on the news it will not happen to you.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    35. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      We were informing you of the simple fact that it wouldn't be on the news unless the odds were astronomically low.

      You were doing good up until here. The line above is true. I get this.Your conclusion blow though is hideously false. This is what I am taking issue to.

      if it's on the news it will not happen to you.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    36. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I read this and I cannot help but recall an image of new-yorkers running from Air Force one sometime after 911.

      Such a futile, cowardly action that yields no real result.

    37. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      The line you agreed with and the line you take issue with are two ways of saying the exact same thing. That was the whole point.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    38. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by sudon't · · Score: 1

      Aside from this, anyone who watches local TV news sees frequent stories along the lines of "Entire family wiped out in car crash." This type of reporting is extremely common.

      Yeah, I was wondering where the guy gets his news from because I see almost nothing but glowing reports of how autonomous cars are going to save us. Of course any autonomous car crashes are going to get covered, just because of the unusualness factor, but every report of the Tesla crash made a point of saying it was the driver's own fault.

      --
      -- sudon't

      Air-ride Equipped

    39. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by sudon't · · Score: 1

      So-called second-hand smoke is a bad example, considering that it's unproven at best. It's killed zero people, obviously, and the media credulously reported everything the anti-tobacco lobby published. I mean, that's where you got the idea, right?

      I'm always amazed when otherwise intelligent people believe that one. It doesn't even pass the common-sense test. Haven't you ever wondered how a whiff of smoke is going to hurt someone when smokers are filling their lungs all day, everyday, for decades on end? And even then, only seventy-percent of smokers are killed by it. You'd have to be a believer of homeopathy theory not to see that as suspect. But that's only cigarettes. Pipe smokers have the same mortality rate as non-smokers, (actually, they live a little longer on average), and cigar smokers don't do that much worse - yet they are surrounded by tobacco smoke. How can that be? That, my friend, is the kind of boring news the media ignores. They pounced on ridiculous figures like "42,000 Non-Smokers Killed by Second-Hand Smoke Each Year". Seriously. Google it.

      --
      -- sudon't

      Air-ride Equipped

    40. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      "You can calculate what is appropriate mathematically"

      I guess so, but you can't go from what you consider mathematically appropriate to what is appropriate.

    41. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      By your Logic, if I see a car accident on tv then I will never have a car accident because it was on the news and therefore cannot happen to me.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    42. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      >I guess so, but you can't go from what you consider mathematically appropriate to what is appropriate.
      Sometimes there is only one answer. Those times are the times when one can be calculated mathematically.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    43. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      No, because NEITHER line means that.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    44. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      Now you're being contrary solely for the sake of arguing.

      Done here.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    45. Re: You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      No. Im just once again informing you that nobody ever claimed awareness influences likelihood. That is not what the sentence "if you see it on the news it will not happen to you" means.
      That sentence means the same thing as the one you agreed with. Just more poetically expressed. Your strict literal interpretation is simply false.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    46. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      "Sometimes there is only one answer. Those times are the times when one can be calculated mathematically."

      Right, sometimes, but for calculating 'appropriate' in the context of media concern, no.

    47. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Erm yes, absolutely. It is inappropriate for media concern to be significantly higher than the risk of an event - that will never change because if that's true the media is contributing to an unsubstantiated panic and panics are a PROVEN risk to public safety (and coincidentally, among the most common and severe public safety events). Mass hysteria kills people, hurts economies badly (which also kills people) and happen frequently.

      A few years ago, a private fax from a secretary at the South African weather service to a friend mentioned casually that they were tracking some tornado-like cloud patterns (which is a pretty bad laymans misunderstanding of what her bosses were doing). The friend forwarded the fax on to dozens of people, including the media and it morphed into a massive e-mail, social-media and fax warning campaign that somehow ended up declaring that the weather service were warning people of a tornado expected later that day. Radio and TV were reporting it as an actual warning from the weather service (but somehow, despite being in daily communication with them for weather reports - none of them actually called the service for comment - which would have seen the myth debunked)

      Schools were closed, businesses shut down and sent their workers home early. The single worst traffic jam in the history of Johannesburg happened that afternoon. The economy of this poor country is estimated to have lost 7-Billion rand that day as it's most important economic city came to a shutdown. Dozens of people died from heart attacks and other mundane emergencies while the emergency services were unable to get to them through the traffic.

      All because of one fax which had a weather service letterhead mentioned the word 'tornado' in a country where those happen less than once in 30 years on average and never with warning.

      Oh, by the way, the typical damage and death tolls from actual tornadoes in South Africa is far, far lower than the what was caused by that one day of panic. Media response being hugely out of proportion to the actual incidence of events is massively inappropriate because it kills and starves people.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    48. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      "It is inappropriate for media concern to be significantly higher than the risk of an event"

      For you, maybe. My point is that you can't decide what is appropriate for others to believe.

    49. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Belief applies to opinions, not to facts. If it can be calculated it's a fact, not an opinion and if you believe something else you are just plain wrong.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    50. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      "If it can be calculated it's a fact"

      Yes, it's a calculated fact, but what I'm referring to are cultural level beliefs, like what is appropriate for various news outlets to cover or not.

    51. Re:You are wrong. Elon is right. by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Do you often expect that things used for commercial purposes will cost exactly the same as residential use?

      Musk is saying that the residential level autodrive doesn't have the proper insurance coverage and that people who want to use the autopilot for commercial purposes should get the commercial level service. That story doesn't say what you think it does, it is another hyperbolic media headline.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  10. Duh, Elon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "Dog bites man" is not news. "Man bites dog" on the other hand...

  11. Incidents vs. population? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    Yes, there are fewer incidents with self driving car. There are, though, also vastly fewer self driving cars. Does anyone have a "Accidents per 100.000 vehicles" statistics out there? Else, it's about as useful as saying that Model Ts have the best contemporary accident records.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Incidents vs. population? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's like a billion cars in the world and a handful of autonomous vehicles. The autonomous vehicles are new and their success is certainly newsworthy and if their success is newsworthy, why not their failures?

    2. Re:Incidents vs. population? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      miles driven per accident is a pretty good indicator, which all the autonomous cars completely smash the record for normal drivers.

    3. Re:Incidents vs. population? by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      http://newatlas.com/google-rev...

      for Property damage only Google appears to be higher than average *but* only ~54% of property damage only accidents get reported while Google reports 100% of accidents, so... Likely a push.

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    4. Re:Incidents vs. population? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      miles driven per accident is a horrible metric to use to compare safety; not all miles driven are interchangeable

    5. Re:Incidents vs. population? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, Google cars also drive in extremely controlled conditions at low speed.

    6. Re:Incidents vs. population? by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

      Furthermore, Autopilot only drives the simplest miles of road and always has a human monitoring it. It shuts down if something complicated happens, and it doesn't attempt difficult manoeuvres such as passing other vehicles. So in order to make some sense of the numbers, you must omit all accidents by people not happening within the ability of Autopilot.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    7. Re:Incidents vs. population? by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      They match the statistic for all human driving. But automated cars only drive in the safest circumstances. Where human drivers also have about 1/4 the overall accident rate.

      Best data is: Current 'automated' cars are about 4x as dangerous as the average driver.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    8. Re:Incidents vs. population? by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      To be fair, being only 4x more dangerous at this early stage of experimental testing sounds pretty impressive.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    9. Re:Incidents vs. population? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Does anyone have a "Accidents per 100.000 vehicles" statistics out there?

      Those are easy to find. They are not relevant! Autopilot is only used on highways and freeways, so you have to compare accidents (and fatalities) only on highways and those statistics are much more difficult to come up with. Otherwise you'd already have seen an apples-to-apples comparison.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:Incidents vs. population? by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      To be fair, being only 4x more dangerous at this early stage of experimental testing sounds pretty impressive.

      It's only impressive if you consider the problem solvable. It's irrelevant if the problem is intractable - we were "almost there" with AI for 20+ years before they finally figured out that the problem was harder than it looks.

      I see the same thing with SDC. We've had good enough sensors for 20+ years. We've had the software that was 98% of the way there for almost 20 years. I give it another few years before the penny drops and the engineers realise they are trying to solve an intractable problem.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    11. Re:Incidents vs. population? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Because people are stupid and don't understand statistics.

      An example: Imagine there is an ultra rare disease that one in 100 million people gets. Now imagine there is a test for it with a 0.001% error margin (i.e. 0.001% of test results are false).

      Is that test worth anything?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    12. Re:Incidents vs. population? by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Right. Drive as far away as you can, 80% of all traffic accidents happen within 50 miles of the home of the driver!

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  12. The Horror by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    So, by extension, Musk making this argument has caused more media coverage, which results in killing more people, and these Slashdot postings kill more people, around and around...

    It's a bloodbath.

  13. He's totally right by Miamicanes · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The fact of the matter is, every day, millions of commuters drive to and from work while distracted. If I'm going to be driving anywhere near somebody who's surfing the net on his phone while driving, I'd sure as HELL prefer that his car have some kind of autopilot capabilities paying attention to the road when he's not. At the very least, cars with limited autonomous driving have the potential to eliminate most rear-end collisions and accidents caused by drifting out of a lane.

    Maybe South Florida is unique, but I've noticed an EXPONENTIAL increase in both gridlock, phone use while driving, and rear-end collisions over the past few years. The moment traffic slows down to 5mph or less, you can literally see every driver around you reaching for his or her phone (or already using it). Even a PRIMITIVE system that's only capable of "stay in the current lane, follow the car in front of you if the lane becomes ambiguous, and maintain speed while braking if necessary to avoid a rear-end collision" on limited-access roads would be a net improvement over what we have today.

    1. Re:He's totally right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      every day, millions of commuters drive to and from work while distracted

      You know what would be an even bigger improvement? Let people with "office jobs" work from home instead of whipping them like beasts on a factory floor. The technology has existed for a very long time. Think decades.

    2. Re:He's totally right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is a Primitive Say in lane / Auto-stop System. Being sold as Auto Pilot.

      His Marketing is causing the problem.

    3. Re:He's totally right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      on the surface this seems correct. You need to dig deeper to understand the problem though.

      1. you are assuming these autopilots wont glitch and CAUSE an accident.
      2. You are also assuming that people will pay the same amount of attention on auto pilot as they will in manual mode. Unfortunately, if people think they are on autopilot, they will let the car do it and pay even less attention, making this even less safe.

    4. Re:He's totally right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > The moment traffic slows down to 5mph or less, you can literally see every driver around you reaching for his or her phone (or already using it).

      You should stop spying on people in other cars and pay attention to the traffic.

    5. Re:He's totally right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a matter of fact: to be truly exponential phones should use their own phones.

    6. Re:He's totally right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See also: anti-vaxers

    7. Re:He's totally right by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Nope thats not unique to Florida. Its here in AZ too. Part of my commute home from work involves a 20 minute stretch of freeway, and Its gotten so bad that its unusual not to pass at least one accident where some moron has rear-ended someone.

      A few days ago I saw some dumb bitch in a Lexus (illegally) driving alone in the HOV lane during rush hour at maybe 75-80 mph past traffic doing 40 or so, texting with both thumbs (so both her hands off the wheel), not even hardly glancing up from her phone.

    8. Re:He's totally right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More rear-end collisions => more gridlock.

      More gridlock => more delays.

      More delays => more people making phone calls to say "I'm late".

      Are you sure you've got the chain of causation right?

    9. Re:He's totally right by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Even a PRIMITIVE system that's only capable of "stay in the current lane, follow the car in front of you if the lane becomes ambiguous, and maintain speed while braking if necessary to avoid a rear-end collision" on limited-access roads would be a net improvement over what we have today.

      No, no it wouldn't, because you can already buy a car that has that. Pretty much every manufacturer sells at least one model with radar-adaptive cruise control, and today all of these systems will run right down to 0 mph and apply the brake for you.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:He's totally right by Lennie · · Score: 1

      Even a PRIMITIVE system that's only capable of "stay in the current lane, follow the car in front of you if the lane becomes ambiguous, and maintain speed while braking if necessary to avoid a rear-end collision" on limited-access roads would be a net improvement over what we have today.

      Actually, those systems already exist today and even yesterday, because they've been around for years already.

      --
      New things are always on the horizon
    11. Re:He's totally right by bazorg · · Score: 1

      Literally exponential, or hyperbolically exponential? :)

      Joking aside, I agree with you and with Musk. I look forward to seeing a majority or self-driven cars to be on the road, or at least for mainstream cars to adopt the sensors and driving aids that Teslas have now, so I can get back to enjoying motorcycling.

      It will be interesting to see how insurance companies, car manufacturers and the legislators will address AI driving aids. Will these devices become mandatory in the same way that seat belts have? Sounds like a good way to push for replacing "legacy ICE cars" with less polluting vehicles.

  14. Musk is congenitally insane or by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 0

    or irretrievably stupid if he thinks car crashed are not reported. Watch a local news cast sometime ass-hole. FYI car manufacturers are responsible for product recalls. But hey if you're too much of a pussy to accept full liability, just admit it.

    1. Re:Musk is congenitally insane or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      sure on the local news for normal (fatality) car crashes, but how often do you hear about normal car crashes 5 states away? Now how often do you hear about every time auto pilot is implicated (not proven) in a crash (most the time non fatal) half the world away?

    2. Re:Musk is congenitally insane or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or irretrievably stupid if he thinks car crashed are not reported. Watch a local news cast sometime ass-hole.

      You're missing the point, even though you made it yourself.

      Watch a local news cast...

      If someone wrecks his/her Ford in some podunk town, the locals will see it reported in the news and that will be the extent of reporting.

      If someone wrecks his/her Tesla in the same podunk town, the whole world will see it reported in the news.

    3. Re:Musk is congenitally insane or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How often do you hear about a space rocket exploding? Should we just ignore negative events in an unusual field because common events in a common field are?

    4. Re:Musk is congenitally insane or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many common citizens are likely to personally own space rockets in the near term (say, 5 to 10 years) ?

  15. Think I've heard this one before by rasmusbr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The proponents boldly claim how the new technology is going to be completely safe and how it'll be available for everyone everywhere at virtually no cost.

    Then mistakes are made and there is a minor accident. Nothing too bad in the big scheme of things, but a serious accident nonetheless.

    Then the accident is followed by attempts to cover it up by lying to the public about minor details about the accident, followed by more bold claims about how the technology is so absurdly safe that the opponents can only be evil. The media has field day after field day exposing the lies. Soon, there is a public outcry, which causes the government to step in with draconian regulation.

    And then it's all over. The regulations make it impossible to build and operate the technology at a reasonable cost.

    1. Re:Think I've heard this one before by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The proponents boldly claim how the new technology is going to be completely safe and how it'll be available for everyone everywhere at virtually no cost."

      I have literally never seen ANYONE claim this. No one.
        I have seen many people claim that it will be SAFER... notice the 'ER' at the end? As in more safe than before, but not 100% safe.
      It is actually not that hard to be safER than the current reality. Cruse control, seat belts, airbags, crumple zones, anti-lock breaks, better tire materials, head rests, padded dashboards.. All of these things have caused measured decreases in death and injury as well as less crashes to begin with.

      I'm reminded of a true story from my grandfather. He went to buy a new car sometime in the late 60's or early 70's. Seatbelts were a NEW option. He wanted them in his car. The dealer laughed and said 'What are you? A race car driver? You don't need seatbelts. They will just trap you if you crash in the water.'

      Obviously in hindsight this was very stupid. There are very few crashes into water as opposed to 'normal' crashes where seatbelts save lives.
      I don't know if Tesla's tech will evolve into the solution, but I am sure that autonomous cars will eventually be common and cheap.

      http://www.forbes.com/sites/robertszczerba/2015/01/05/15-worst-tech-predictions-of-all-time/#3dc351e25c19
      1903: “The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty – a fad.” — President of the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford’s lawyer, Horace Rackham, not to invest in the Ford Motor Company.
      1921: “The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to no one in particular?”
      1946: “Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.” — Darryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox.
      1981: “Cellular phones will absolutely not replace local wire systems.” — Marty Cooper, inventor.
      1995: “I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse.” — Robert Metcalfe, founder of 3Com.
      2005: “There’s just not that many videos I want to watch.” — Steve Chen, CTO and co-founder of YouTube expressing concerns about his company’s long term viability.
      2006: “Everyone’s always asking me when Apple will come out with a cell phone. My answer is, ‘Probably never.’” — David Pogue, The New York Times.
      2007: “There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share.” — Steve Ballmer, Microsoft CEO.

    2. Re:Think I've heard this one before by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Then mistakes are made and there is a minor accident. Nothing too bad in the big scheme of things, but a serious accident nonetheless.

      Minor accident ..... serious accident ... I saw what you did there!

    3. Re:Think I've heard this one before by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      If nuclear policy had favored the sane approach, opposition would have had much less to work with. Scaling up a submarine reactor was a terrible idea, and the accident scenarios that have since played out were forewarned. When the inventor of the technology is firmly opposed, and advancing another option, a sensible person might give it some thought. Instead they fired Alvin Weinberg, for daring to voice safety concerns. Fortunately, even if nuclear technology is 50 years behind, it is still the most capable low-carbon energy source, and also the one with the greatest realizable potential for improvement.

      While nuclear started off on the wrong foot, the larger problem was that it was facing very powerful entrenched interests. Along with the obvious measures to shape public opinion and policy, they also sponsored the dishonest "research" that formed the basis of nuclear regulation which persists today. They even funded early “environmental” organizations, to embed an anti-nuclear tenet at the core of “green” values, which sadly still takes precedence over decarbonization.

      Driverless cars will face much less opposition though, since they are competing with people and displacing jobs. Great for owners of large businesses involving transportation and such. Good for everyone else too, but the ever increasing scarcity of productive jobs needs addressing. The gains of productivity should benefit everyone, not just a handful of owners. It is also crucial to keep in mind that while energy is the foundation of all prosperity, it will never again be a high-margin product and so offers little incentive to invest in production of it. That also needs to change, even if it means diverting a massive chunk of the defense budget to building reactors. Interestingly, that would be a much better return on investment for national security as well.

    4. Re:Think I've heard this one before by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We managed to win out the cost-benefits of cars and realized the benefits outweigh the deaths. The statistics show deaths have been decreasing steadily since 1980 though. We're all kinda just used to these numbers by now and we've stopped reporting on them. Billboards continue to educate people on the merits of not driving distracted and not breaking the law and we've made quite a bit of progress.

      Autonomous cars will further decrease those fatalities but we're going to need to take a few years of data before it becomes clear. The sales haven't really started yet either so there won't be much good data to go on. Once we see the uptick in self-drives and actually have a graph of % autonomous cars on the road we can start measuring again.

      Meanwhile: Find a town, make all the cars autonomous, measure the stats. You have to pay your beta testers.

    5. Re:Think I've heard this one before by rasmusbr · · Score: 1

      I can't find it now, but about 5-10 years ago I saw a talk on youtube where a guy suggested that we should demonstrate to the public how safe driverless cars are by having volunteers run out in front of them on a closed stretch of road... As if the laws of inertia and friction don't apply to driverless cars.

      Around the same time I watched an information video published by the Swedish road authority where they claimed that they will be able to make roads in Sweden a third narrower once all cars are driverless. I guess that would work, were it not for winter and rain, and again those pesky laws of inertia and friction.

      The thing that I think a lot of people overlook is that human drivers are actually pretty good at not getting killed or seriously injured while driving. Look at the statistics. Look at vehicle between deaths and vehicle miles between serious injuries in the US. It's not going to be easy to build driverless cars that can match those numbers. I highly doubt that Google or Tesla is anywhere near that level of safety.

      I don't doubt that driverless cars will become an order of magnitude safer than manual cars unless they get banned (or effectively banned through draconian regulation), but it's going to take many years to get to that level. In the meantime a lot of people will die. Some of them will die in accidents that a human driver could easily have avoided. I think it's going to be tempting for politicians to step in and demand extreme regulation.

  16. That must be why you prohibit ride-sharing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, that's it.

    Tesla tries to prohibit you from ride-sharing - because they trust their product SOOO MUCH!!!.

    1. Re:That must be why you prohibit ride-sharing! by Lab+Rat+Jason · · Score: 1

      That's a bullshit argument.

      When a schoolbus hits your kid, you don't just sue the driver, you sue the driver, the drivers union, the school, and the school district... 'cause this is 'murica, the must litigious place in our entire solar system. Do you think for a second that if someone gets hurt while hailing an autonomous Tesla, that they're not going to sue Tesla, regardless of whether or not the hailing service is operated by Tesla? So as long as Tesla is forced to take some risk, they're going to want a piece of the profits too. That's why the prohibition on using _other_ ride haling providers.

      --
      Which has more power: the hammer, or the anvil?
    2. Re:That must be why you prohibit ride-sharing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OK, fine. You could make that argument. Let's see what happens when all of the other autonomous systems come out - do you think they will all do the same thing? If so - expect a rather fast "net neutrality" type rule to come out. You have to treat all ride sharing services the same.

    3. Re:That must be why you prohibit ride-sharing! by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      When autonomous vehicles come out, it is clear that the provider of the autonomy must carry all liability for anything that happens. If it is true autonomy then the person in the car might not even have a valid drivers license.. if there is a person in it at all. Nothing else is logical.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    4. Re:That must be why you prohibit ride-sharing! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot about suing the school bus manufacturer, the car maker and the company that made the road and Canadian oil companies for supplying the tar.

  17. He may be right. by phayes · · Score: 1

    The summary does not do justice to Musks argument.

    If autonomous cars do indeed have fewer fatalities per km then retarding their dissemination through fake polemics is indeed causing the deaths of more people than pushing for their general adoption would.

    The rub is in determining whether or not AV's are indeed safer than human drivers. Elon has his idea of that but in the absence of a serious non-biased study that doesn't exist yet I'm not convinced that he is right (yet).

    --
    Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    1. Re:He may be right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On the other hand, if his premise held, talking about most anything could be killing people. It's Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon... of Death.

      I'll stick with the First Amendment, full stop.

    2. Re:He may be right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The rub is in determining whether or not AV's are indeed safer than human drivers. Elon has his idea of that but in the absence of a serious non-biased study that doesn't exist yet I'm not convinced that he is right (yet).

      And there's the problem. Musk can say whatever he wants, but it doesn't make it true. Develop a detailed standard for autonomous vehicle performance, then demonstrate that vehicles made by different manufacturers to that standard can operate successfully in real-world scenarios, and maybe his case can be made. As it stands today though, there are only a bunch of proprietary solutions that either operate with significant limitations or can't function completely autonomously, with a negligible amount of time/distance behind them.

    3. Re:He may be right. by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Furthermore, if Musk is as brilliant as people say he is, if he is going to make these claims then he should have a meaningful plan on distributing his vehicles so that enough people own them for actual statistical change. I suspect most people will not like how he thinks this will unfold. It probably calls for an end to private ownership which will erode the freedom for everyone to move around. Considering the tiny chance of getting in more than a fender bender in anyone's lifetime, along with the fact that everyone accepts the risk of the road, I question whether the end outcome will be worth it. It's worth discussing but hardly decided yet.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    4. Re:He may be right. by phayes · · Score: 1

      He has a right to having his own opinion and also has access to Tesla's data so EM probably does have a good idea of whether AVs are indeed already better than human drivers. The problem is in proving it.

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    5. Re:He may be right. by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Tiny chance? 1.3 million people die in car accidents a year, along with nearly 50 million injuries a year. Carnage in Aleppo and Mosul is nothing by comparison.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    6. Re:He may be right. by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      You need to put those numbers into perspective. This is out of billions of trips. A person has a 0.17 percent chance of getting into an accident in their lifetime. I'm not saying it isn't a problem, but I have to see the full path to the solution of that problem in this case.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    7. Re:He may be right. by HuguesT · · Score: 1

      It's true but for any individual driver, the risk of being involved in a fatal car accident is still fairly low. 1 death per 200 million km approximately in the USA and Europe. Most people drive for far less than 1% of that distance in their entire lifetime. The risk of death by road accident is way down the list of causes of death in the western world.

  18. Re:We will use the DMCA to remove any video showin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And remember, it is illegal for you to read the leaked Clinton/DNC emails on Wikileaks. Your only legal option is to let CNN tell you what they say and what this means.

  19. Some hyperbole... by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    See $subject.

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    1. Re:Some hyperbole... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I get:

      See null

      Isn't it $subject.text? Then I get

      See Some hyperbole...

      which doesn't make much sense, but is better than before.

  20. mean, median and cautious intelligence by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    Autonomous vehicles probably have to be an order or two safer than the average to represent a comfortable decision for a skilled, conscientious person that is not an engineer (i.e. it has to have some overkill "to be sure"). It has to be both obviously better to overcome doubts and the normal risk of a cautious conscientious drivers.

    Remember that both the median risk exposure is a lot different than the high risk drivers who blow up the averages vs someone who has intelligently eliminated risk in their daily profile including dangerous commutes, neighbors and neighborhoods.

    1. Re:mean, median and cautious intelligence by johanw · · Score: 1

      And it has to be able to do that by another way than the current Google approach: to completely stop the car if the situation becomes difficult. That's even annoying in a country like the US where most drivers drive slow and predictable and the traffic situation favors cars, but try that in the inner city of Paris, Rome or Manilla. You won't get very far then.

  21. He's got a point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    All of the comments so far as so dismissive, right from the get-go. What you fail to realize is that he's got a point. It completely sucks that the people who died in these known crashes had it happen to them. But, think about it. How many people die every day in a car crash because they were (a) drunk/under influence of something (b) not paying attention at all/day dreaming (c) trying to drive like an asshole because they are "in a hurry" (d) not even mentally capable of driving attentively (too old, not even trying to discriminate. look up how many people die because of how many people are on the road that shouldn't even be driving anymore!!!!!) (e) staring at their goddamn phone (f) worrying about what their kid/friend is doing instead of looking at the road...and whatever other reason there is when someone dies in a crash because of another person/themselves.

    It's true, everyone is pointing the finger at Elon for these happenings. Now, I don't think people are dying because they aren't driving a Tesla vehicle. But, seriously, people kill people every day while driving. If a car can safely drive itself, that takes care of the idiot-proofing.

    FYI, the morons are the people who don't know how to drive, IMHO. So, want to blame somebody for deaths on the road? Blame the idiots who passed the other idiots on their driver's test. You're an idiot if you think these autonomous cars are the problem.

    1. Re:He's got a point by fullmetal55 · · Score: 1

      or G) someone else was doing one of the above...

    2. Re:He's got a point by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      The question is, would that person have got in an accident anyway or did AI create an accident for that person. AI should not be creating accidents, period.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  22. Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If he's so certain that this is all a simulation then why does he even care? I mean, none of this would be real, right?

  23. Media never takes responsibility - 9/11 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He is correct, but it will not dissuade media stories for very long. If he is lucky it helps balance them.

    The media rarely seriously considers the consequences of their reporting, short of "we actually have a guy behind enemy lines who will be killed the instant you report this."

    Two quick example: (1) Around the time of the Israel-Lebanon war, people had been kidnapping reporters and getting less and less coverage for it, and it had been winding down a little. Then when a soldier was kidnapped, it got massive media coverage so everyone started kidnapping soldiers. (2) 9/11. In 1993, OBL bombed the twin towers with a van in the garage under the building. The media coverage emphasized, among other things, that the twin towers survived because they had been designed to withstand a plane impact. Al Qaeda was watching the coverage of the bombing and began plotting to hit the towers with planes.

    Of course, that doesn't make the media murderers, but it makes some irresponsible. They did give OBL the idea because filling the airtime (for the networks) and getting on air (for the commentators) was more important than thinking "what will pushing this information to tens of millions of people including the attackers do?"

    1. Re:Media never takes responsibility - 9/11 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No he's not. There is no practical self driving car in existence today. Hindrance of self driving cars is more driven by the lack of existence more then the excess of negative reporting. Maybe Musk should do what most R&D groups do and keep the system out of headlines until it, you know, works. That way you can avoid the negative press of it failing all the time until your ironed out the wrinkles.

    2. Re:Media never takes responsibility - 9/11 by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      But its zactly like awto pilot by gawd. Only differnt.

  24. Pot, meet kettle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    because if, in writing some article that's negative, you effectively dissuade people from using an autonomous vehicle, you're killing people.

    Because if, in skimping on a sensor that would prevent people from being decapitated by low-hanging objects, you effectively dissuade people from using an autonomous vehicle, you're killing people.

    Hands-free freeway driving ought to be trivial. Stay on the road, don't hit the thing in front of you and don't hit the thing beside you. Staying on the road should be the hardest part, if you have reliable sensors that can identify if you're going to hit something.

    1. Re:Pot, meet kettle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is a little naive, by the same logic that a stopped clock is right twice a day. A car has to provide transportation, it cannot simply "stay on the road" - which it could accomplish by not moving at all. So the formula for a autonomous vehicle is to get from the current point A to some other point B in a safe and legal manner. In a reasonable amount of time. And try not to run out of gas. And in the event of mechanical failure, do not stop in the middle of the freeway unless it can't be avoided. If the brakes malfunction, it is acceptable to crash into a stationary object as long as you are not carrying any passengers. Oh, and make sure to...

  25. Another thing: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why does the media report on his musky scent?

  26. Re:Luddism kills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Anti-CFL luddites were right to be skeptics. Those things are unreliable and nasty and never did live up to the hype. LED and other light-emitting semiconductor technology is the future.

  27. That's just how the media works by arobatino · · Score: 1

    He has a valid point, to some extent. On the other hand, that's just how the media works - it's also more likely to report deaths by plane crashes, or terrorism, or mass shootings, because that's what people want to read about. Also, those other things have a long history of causing only a small relative number of deaths, while autonomous vehicles are new, and deserve some higher level of scrutiny in the early years.

  28. For as smart as he is by mhkohne · · Score: 1

    Musk once in a while misses a trick. The media reports on NEWS. Regular people dying in regular auto crashes is normal - it happens every day, so unless it's a particularly bloody or strange crash it's not new.

    Autonomous cars are a brand new thing, and when a brand new thing kills people, it's news.

    He may or may not be right (I actually think it'll have little to no real effect), but it's hardly surprising.

    --
    A thousand pounds of wood moving at 300 feet per minute. Don't get in the way.
  29. And it's perfectly OK ! by alexhs · · Score: 1

    While negative media coverage of autonomous vehicles could be 'killing people' , one of these potentially killed people could be the next Hitler. Who would be so irresponsible to take the risk ?

    --
    I have discovered a truly marvelous proof of killer sig, which this margin is too narrow to contain.
  30. It takes 30 days to get paid on ebay/paypal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But elon musk has a spaceship.

    Not only does he have a spaceship, but after 30 days some people could be homeless and starving on the street. dying, after not getting paid on paypal in time,

    Fuck elon musk

  31. Re:Indeed by Copid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    God, I can't wait for this election to be over.

    --
    An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
  32. I'm short Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And I couldn't be happier.

  33. Re:Luddism kills by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i guess CFL's are fine if you like mercury poisoning.

  34. Prove it by quantaman · · Score: 1

    The onus is on him to show that his new technology is actually safer than human drivers. So far the only arguments I've seen from him are hand-wavy approximations.

    This isn't a web app, you're dealing with people's lives, you can afford to publish some proper research to demonstrate how the AI compares to humans.

    Take the initial fatal crash that caused all the uproar. It turned out the car couldn't see the white truck because of the sunlight and time of day. Is that a scenario they examined during testing? Why didn't the AI refuse to drive in those conditions?

    --
    I stole this Sig
    1. Re:Prove it by PRMan · · Score: 1

      Because just like a person staring at the sun and hitting someone, it thought it could see.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
  35. Teslas are doing just fine killing people by superdave80 · · Score: 2

    Call me about your 'kind-of-autonomous-vehicle-but-not-really-but-I-want-to-sound-cool-that-we-have-autonomous-vehicles' when they don't do stupid shit like run smack into a giant semi-trailer in the middle of the road. Until then, stop saying you have an autonomous vehicle.

  36. His fault for marketing it wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Should have been called "Driving Assist" or similar - calling it an autopilot is not good enough when your product has mortal risks and can be used by complete morons.

    There is (was?) a higher bar to getting a pilot's license so calling airplane pilot ASSIST features autopilot could be tolerated when those features were developed.

  37. yes they would by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    > does Otis take responsibility for all elevators around the world? No, they don't.

    If one failed in such a way that its design caused deaths yes they absolutely would.

    1. Re:yes they would by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Only if it was made by Otis. There are other elevator manufacturers in the world and they would be responsible for their own equipment.

    2. Re:yes they would by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Well Duh.
      You can bet Musk isn't going to take any responsibility for non-Tesla car accidents too.

    3. Re:yes they would by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Well Musk was the one stupid enough to ask if Otis was going to take responsibility for all elevators around the world in the first place.

  38. The problem isn't autonomous cars by rmullig2 · · Score: 1

    The problem is autonomous cars made by Tesla. If he really wants them to gain acceptance then he should stop producing them. Let the companies that spend their capital on engineers instead of lobbyists create the vehicles.

  39. Daily Musk handy-j by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where would Slashdot be without it?

  40. This man believes there is no spoon... by uCallHimDrJ0NES · · Score: 1

    ...so why should he believe in us? I don't take advice from him. You guys are killing people by not doing what I want. Right. Safety versus freedom, blah blah blah slashdot modmedown call me a troll, i'm practically falling asleep from boredom after reading these comments.

    --
    Cloudiot: A person who does not see offsite storage as a way to lose control over access to his or her own data.
  41. No hypocrisy here by sacrilicious · · Score: 1

    Negative Media Coverage of Autonomous Vehicles Could be 'Killing people'

    Whereas sending people to Mars, that won't kill anyone. If anything it will result in a baby surplus.

    --
    - First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then ???, then profit.
  42. And your delusional twaddle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    about colonizing Mars is premeditated murder, you asinine narcissistic psychopath.

  43. Reasonable People Distrust Computers by sycodon · · Score: 1

    Any normal person who uses computers on a day to day bases doesn't have to have a Newspaper tell them that they should be suspicious of any software.

    Software is only as good as the software authors. Fly By Wire software has killed several pilots in the past, despite millions and millions of dollars in development. The resources Musk has devoted to this task and the testing done pales in comparison.

    It will be a long time before I take my hands off the wheel.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re: Reasonable People Distrust Computers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your hands could be taken from your wheel as soon as tomorrow, should you die in a crash.

    2. Re:Reasonable People Distrust Computers by mea_culpa · · Score: 1

      It's going to be a long road for sure and people will die.
      What car accidents in the future will likely look like

      In this scenario a bus blows out a tire, crashes into the railing. The advertisement on the side of the bus and the angle it is offset to the oncoming cars creates a rare condition where both optic and radar are unable to discern a problem until it's too late. Due to government regulations and agreed upon decision scenario standardization the computer decides it is best not to strike the side of a bus but instead to swerve off to the side of the road. Since the location of the accident is on a blind curve car after car continues to drive off of the ramp onto cars piling up below.

      This is a worst case scenario sure. But accidents will happen and will help us understand problems and prevent future accidents. Just like with the airlines this will become more and more rare with the benefit of saving 1,000,000 plus lives per year.

  44. Re:Indeed by umghhh · · Score: 0

    How is this off topic - it is very much on topic. The opinion presented in parent's post may be not something you would like to see or not something you share but it is not off topic. This is clear case of censorship by mods. Not good.

  45. Re: CAPS = exaggeration now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe South Florida is unique, but I've noticed an EXPONENTIAL increase in both gridlock, phone use while driving, and rear-end collisions over the past few years.

    It would have to be pretty unique to have an actual exponential increase in those things.

  46. Let him put his money where his mouth is by taustin · · Score: 1

    When Elon Musk is willing to let me pick any place in the United States, accessible to road, get into a car he built with no manual controls, and bet his life he will arrive there safely, in the rain, at night, then I'll accept that there are self driving cars in existence.

    Until then, they are, at best, an experiment in the earliest stages, but mostly, some rich guy's toys.

    1. Re:Let him put his money where his mouth is by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Rain? Why not during a blizzard?

    2. Re:Let him put his money where his mouth is by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I was told in yesterday's Tesla article that driving in a blizzard is illegal in the US.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    3. Re:Let him put his money where his mouth is by taustin · · Score: 1

      Let's keep the test fair. Most people shouldn't drive in a blizzard, either.

    4. Re:Let him put his money where his mouth is by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Most people shouldn't drive, to be fair.

  47. High stakes should be caution not panic and guess. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the higher the stakes the more we should just guess so we might save lives... or not...

    And following the car in front of you works fine until all the cars in front of you are autonomous then you get that 120 car pile up in the ditch.

  48. Impractical by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    These vehicles will only save lives if more than half the drivers are in them. Until Musk presents his plan on how to make his vehicles affordable by 75% of the population, this is all hot air. It must be nice to live in a world where all things somehow get cheap enough for everyone to own one.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  49. Same for small plane crashes by spaceyhackerlady · · Score: 1

    The media are all over small plane crashes much the same way, giving a highly distorted view of just how safe aviation is. Aviation organizations like AOPA have started to get on the media's case about this.

    If they reported car crashes with the same enthusiasm the "news" would be nothing but car crashes.

    ...laura

  50. dying by sucko · · Score: 0

    just like BSD.

  51. Re:Indeed by 31415926535897 · · Score: 2

    You think Clinton bashing will stop when the election is over?!

  52. hey musk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    if your cars cant kill people because "peole are still driving the vehicle", then they cant save people either

    dont need to be a genious (or be called one)

  53. Re:Indeed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We can get back to plain old Bush bashing. Or Reagan.

  54. A note to Tech mega rich by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    fortune may favor the brave, but fortune favored you because right place right time with right people, your not smarter than many many people, you have more resources and connections, that is not a sign of brilliance.

    [CITATION NEEDED]

  55. Yes and No by TheSync · · Score: 1

    1) Musk is basically correct
    2) Yet Musk should not be saying this himself. He needs to act very humble about the capability of the technology until it really is proven out and accepted, because people will smell a businessman wanting to make a profit at there expense.

  56. What matters is what people understand. by Futurepower(R) · · Score: 1

    We should not justify what the media does. The media does not give people an accurate understanding.

    U.S. Auto Crashes: About 35,200 in 2015.

  57. Re:Indeed by Copid · · Score: 1

    I'm hoping it will at least come up only when a little bit relevant. Right now it's, "I'm stuck at a red light. Fucking Crooked Hillary!" or, "This mac and cheese is terrible, but not as terrible as Donald Trump!"

    We get it, people. You think you're topical and clever. You have feelings and ideas and stuff about current events. We just don't want to hear them.

    --
    An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
  58. No, Elon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Media coverage is incidental. Yes, there are traffic accidents. A very small percentage of them are fatal. Hyperbole much? What a ********. Really, really tired of this weasel.

  59. Fast food by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    By working in a fast food establishment, you are literally killing people. And heart disease / obesity is 10x to 100x worse than automobile accidents as far as death statistics.

  60. That is okay... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    because then it will always be the human driver's fault and not the autopilot.

    Which prompts the question: Why is Tesla allowed to lump "all miles driven in autopilot mode" into one bucket when it makes its safety claims? Under scientific testing conditions, any change in hardware or software should require a fresh slate for testing data. We talk about needing autonomous vehicles to have 100 millions miles of driving experience, but we know nothing about how these cars perform when they aren't on public roads and there is no protocol for collating that data.

  61. Make that a GTA 5 mod by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Teslas that BSOD, randomly veer onto crowded sidewalks, their batteries eject plasma at pedestrians.

  62. Musk is a failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All of his businesses are failures, all of his "visions" are fantasy with no reality. He is as much of a failure as Trump, and both are washed up!

  63. Re:Indeed by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    I'm hoping it will at least come up only when a little bit relevant. Right now it's, "I'm stuck at a red light. Fucking Crooked Hillary!" or, "This mac and cheese is terrible, but not as terrible as Donald Trump!"

    Thanks, Obama!

    i.e. Good Fucking luck

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  64. Smart guy, stupid argument by mbeckman · · Score: 1

    For a smart guy, Elon seems amazingly stupid about statistics. Trillions of human-driven miles accumulate each year, and that's just in the U.S. The fatal accident rate compared to miles driven is extremely low -- about 25 deaths per billion miles driven (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_motor_vehicle_deaths_in_U.S._by_year). And this is with drivers actively evading dangerous situations tens of thousands of times per day. Not perfectly, but acceptably. In contrast, driverless cars have not competed with nearly enough vehicles for any valid statistical significance. Moreover, nobody knows how well driverless cars interact with each other, since there are so few on the road.

    So Musk's claim that media reports are killing people is statistical poppycock.

  65. Re:We will use the DMCA to remove any video showin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    These robo-cars are going to revolutionize the Democrat party's "bring out your dead, get out the vote" operation. Get in the car, tell it to take you to the polling place and it stops at the nearest Democratic Voting Center where you can vote for anyone you like, as long as they're Democrats. Fuck yeah, I am so with her!

  66. Why would Musk case? by lxs · · Score: 1
  67. Fallacy as fuck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If this is the way Tesla's talking heads are going to behave, trying to guilt people into buying their crap and not thoroughly reporting on divisive new technology, then they deserve all the negative coverage they get.

  68. As Bruce Schneier loves to point out by silentcoder · · Score: 1

    The news is only news because it's a rare or exceedingly unlikely event. The mere fact that something is in the news is all the evidence you need that it is NOT going to happen to you.

    --
    Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  69. Re:Indeed by silentcoder · · Score: 1

    "My father could not get elected in todays' republican party. According to the republicans today my dad would be deemed a dangerous liberal. He raised taxes, and raised them more on the rich. When confronted with a serious threat from a middle eastern country he did not go to war with them but resolved the issue with diplomacy. He raised the debt and he eventually cut defense spending. He increased medicare more significantly and oversaw the largest increase in the federal minimum wage ever. All of these were sane responses to the issues he faced. But today's republican party would never let sanity get in the way of ideology. It's not my dad's party anymore. My dad's party. The party of 'good morning in America' has been replaced by a bunch of apocalyptic fundamentalists who cozy-up to radical racists and ethnonationalists. They may call his name with reverence but I am sure glad he didn't live to see what they do in his name." - Rod Reagan (quoted from memory, may have heard or remembered a word here or there wrong, but the gist is accurate).

    --
    Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  70. You've heard this one before? by tpgp · · Score: 2

    You've heard this one before?

    Please give an historical example that follows your timeline.

    --
    My pics.
    1. Re:You've heard this one before? by rasmusbr · · Score: 1

      You'll have to write the timeline yourself, but I think I that if you compare and contrast how the nuclear industry and the mobile phone industry have handled concerns about potential dangers with their respective technologies, you'll see that the nuclear industry consistently dismissed the concerns, while the mobile phone industry consistently responded to concerns by publishing data and funding studies that attempt (but of course fail) to show that phones cause cancer.

      The global anti nuclear movement managed to kill off nuclear power in the ten years following the TMI accident. The anti-cellular and anti-wifi people have never really been able to organise as a movement.

      I claim it's because the industry itself is constantly playing a game of "Maybe out tech is a bit dangerous. Maybe it's not. Look at these studies and make up your own mind." I think it's a clever way to make people feel complicit and perhaps even a tiny bit rebellious when they're holding their phone to their ear, ignoring the advice about using a headset.

      Elon Musk should just probably make blunt estimates (preferably over-estimates) about how many people he expects to die while driving on Autopilot.

  71. Re:We will use the DMCA to remove any video showin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Elon definitely has a stake in this, but he raises a valid point -- overly negative media bias can severely hurt a technology, no matter how beneficial it may be in the future. That's what happened to nuclear -- it's literally the least lethal source of power (and a metric fuckton better than coal/gas), and puts nothing into the atmosphere (well, there's steam, but even that is regulated so that it doesn't have negative effects on weather/the environment), but over the course of it's development as a power source, extreme media bias and some fear mongering crippled it's chances of wide adoption.
    I can see that happening to autonomous vehicles just as easily. People are not rational creatures; even if the tech develops to a point where it is irrefutably better than traditional driving, they will have bias against it due to the focus on negative news about it early on. Considering the potential for lives saved, that would be pretty damn bad.
    That said, the tech isn't quite there yet. I'm not saying that we should ignore the flaws in current implementations (that would be counter-productive to getting to a widespread solution), but news outlets should try to avoid creating a widespread bias against the technology in general. The reason news outlets are so big is that a lot of people do not realize how sensationalized the news becomes, and accept the general ideas presented at face value -- if those ideas are that autonomous driving is super-dangerous, it's an issue.

  72. Price and bugs by allquixotic · · Score: 1

    It's not the media that dissuades me from buying a self-driving car. Not at all. It's the price of self-driving cars, and the fact that they're still pretty buggy.

    Once the price of reliable, safe, bug-free-to-a-very-high-standard-deviation self-driving vehicles drops, I'll be in the market. I couldn't care less what the media wants me to think. The FUD bounces off and splats against the floor.

  73. Nothing is perfectly safe. by Shirley+Marquez · · Score: 1

    His point is a good one. Some people want self driving cars to reach the point of absolute safety. That's an impossible goal; there will always be things that the vehicle cannot predict, like a pedestrian who appears to be walking on a sidewalk suddenly darting into the street.

    But once self driving cars reach the point of being able to drive more safely than human drivers, a point that they may have already reached, publicity that discourages people from using self driving cars is dangerous. It might lead people to making the more dangerous choice of driving the car manually, even if they are tired or under the influence of alcohol, rather than letting the car drive itself.

  74. Key difference by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Elevators have a lot of regulation surrounding them which defined the rules of how they operate. They also have much simpler interfaces and only a few actions / static environment.

    Self driving cars have an entire OS that has to keep a live version of the world surrounding it (as far as the road and anything moving on it) in internal memory. If any part of that OS fails, so does the car. Also, Elon Musk insists on being able to send out updates at any time, and any one of those updates could have serious consequences for the operation of the system.

    Further, Elon Musk's version of a self driving car is far inferior to Google's for instance, and Google's doesn't go nearly as fast as his.