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Tesla Will Reveal Its Electric Semi Truck in September (techcrunch.com)

From a report: Elon Musk just let us know when we'll get a look at the electric semi truck that he's teased in the past: The Tesla transport vehicle will be revealed in September, the CEO said on Twitter on Thursday, noting that the team has "done an amazing job" and that the vehicle is "seriously next level." Plans at Tesla for an electric semi truck have been in the works for a while now: The vehicle was first mentioned back in July of 2016, when Musk revealed part 2 of his fabled "master plan" for his electric vehicle company. The Tesla Semi, as Musk called it, is designed to help reduce the cost of cargo transportation, and improve safety for drivers, according to the CEO at the time.

273 comments

  1. Driverless by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It has to have the capacity for a driverless upgrade out of the gate or it's going to be an expensive, outdated piece of awkward shit. That's where we are now: an electric lorry would be awesome, but we're seriously waiting for a driverless lorry in 2020. Promise an upgrade to driverless at significantly less than the full cost of the vehicle and close to the cost difference between it and a driverless model of equal specification when the tech becomes available and you're good to go; require replacing a probably 5,000,000 mile vehicle 500,000 miles into its lifespan to get the driverless tech (bigger than electric tech) and you're getting nothing.

    1. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Driverless lorry would be OK but this article is about trucks. I don't really want a driverless truck sold though. It can't drive up to a loading dock to load/unload. Plus, a terrorist could load it full of explosives and program in the target and turn it loose like a smart bomb. Too much at risk here simply to put a few truck drivers out of work.

    2. Re:Driverless by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Plus, a terrorist could load it full of explosives and program in the target and turn it loose like a smart bomb.

      Trucks are more expensive than suicide bombers. In fact, I'll wager that hijacking autonomous vehicles to deliver bombs will remain more difficult and expensive than brainwashing "martyrs" into doing the job.

    3. Re:Driverless by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      A lorry is a large vehicle which attaches a 40-foot shipping container to produce an 18-wheeled vehicle-plus-trailer with over 12,000kg of gross vehicle weight. They typically drop off a trailer at a loading dock and take a new, empty or pre-loaded one (generally a pre-loaded one if the place has incoming and outgoing shipping; empty at termination points, loaded at distribution centers).

      A driverless lorry could park a trailer accurately, correctly, and safely at a loading dock. The sensors would tell it exactly how it aligns and moves, versus a human who uses some visual information and some prior information (intuition) to estimate without a real data stream.

    4. Re:Driverless by avandesande · · Score: 1

      Everything is drive by wire now retrofitting a truck like this would be trivial.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    5. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is there also going to also be a change in title transfer policy for the cargo? A driverless vehicle still has to be loaded and insured. I doubt the insurance carrier for the transport company is going to accept accident liability for cargo loaded by a third party. Think of a truckload of pipe, cable rolls, rolled steel where that load falls off the truck and squishes a minivan on the highway. Today I'm pretty sure that is an insurance nightmare for the transport company. But in a driverless world the insurance carrier for the manufacturing company that produced the product and loaded the truck would need to accept responsibility. And what would that mean for sea freight that goes the last mile by truck? Would the shipping company or dock workers be willing to load a driverless vehicle ... if it increased their costs?

    6. Re:Driverless by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      It can't drive up to a loading dock to load/unload.

      Why not? Tesla cars can self-park, so why would trucks be any different?

      If anything, it should be easier with trucks. If a company is going to invest in self-driving trucks, they will also be willing to add some standardized markings to their loading docks to make it easier to park them.

    7. Re:Driverless by nospam007 · · Score: 1

      "I'll wager that hijacking autonomous vehicles to deliver bombs will remain more difficult and expensive than brainwashing "martyrs" into doing the job."

      They can rent as many trucks as they want, lots of companies do it that way too.

    8. Re:Driverless by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      " expensive, outdated piece of awkward shit."

      Just like every other Semi Truck ever made.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    9. Re:Driverless by steveha · · Score: 3, Informative

      It has to have the capacity for a driverless upgrade out of the gate

      Please note that Tesla is now building every new car (Model S, Model 3, and Model X) with full self-driving hardware. This includes 8 cameras, 12 ultrasonic sensors, a forward-facing radar, and computers adequate for self-driving (they claim 40x more processing power than the previous "Autopilot" computers). In the future, every Tesla car sold this year could be software-upgraded to full self-driving.

      So, call me crazy, but I think Tesla might have thought of your point and is probably on top of it.

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    10. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    11. Re:Driverless by es330td · · Score: 1

      This includes 8 cameras, 12 ultrasonic sensors, a forward-facing radar,

      I am very interested going forward to know what the maintenance is going to be on this stuff. A relative who owns a garage maintains a fleet of 100 vehicles for a company and says that a significant part of his work is related to sensors that have nothing to do with driving, e.g. mass O2 sensors. Self driving cars depend on absolute values for all these sensors. How many can become non-functional before the electronic brain goes into lockdown because it doesn't have sufficient info? We like to think that this stuff just works and in a safe environment, it does. Out on the road where there are potholes, or rocks, or squirrels that run out into the street these sensors take damage.

      I think driver-less cars are ahead but there is a whole host of major issues we have not even foreseen with this technology.

    12. Re:Driverless by lgw · · Score: 1

      A lorry is a large vehicle which attaches a 40-foot shipping container to produce an 18-wheeled vehicle-plus-trailer with over 12,000kg of gross vehicle weight.

      Isn't "lorry" just British for "truck"? A semi truck is a heavy truck with a 5th wheel instead of a truck body. A semi trailer is a trailer with no front wheels, thus requiring a 5th wheel that can support a significant load. While the combination is often called an "18-wheeler", actual wheel count may vary.

      I'm skeptical that Tesla can deliver the reliability expected in this market. The Model S just got off Consumer Reports's shit list, and the Model X is still on it.

      Kudos to Tesla if they can may this work, even if it's only for in-town jobs. I'd love to see a Tesla consumer truck that would be a viable alternative for consumer trucks for some jobs. Even if it took 3-4 tons of batteries, it could still be useful. I suspect battery cost and reliability are the two blocking issues right now.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    13. Re:Driverless by negRo_slim · · Score: 1

      a terrorist could load it full of explosives and program in the target and turn it loose like a smart bomb. Too much at risk here simply to put a few truck drivers out of work.

      Living in fear like a good citizen.

      --
      On the Oregon Cost born and raised, On the beach is where I spent most of my days
    14. Re:Driverless by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The "driverless" trucks will have a passenger in the driver seat at all times. They won't be AI drones, but smart-cruise-control trucks.

      And they will self-unload in 5 years.

    15. Re:Driverless by lgw · · Score: 1

      A semi truck is a heavy truck with

      A semi tractor is a ...

      Where's my edit button?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    16. Re:Driverless by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      It has to have the capacity for a driverless upgrade out of the gate or it's going to be an expensive, outdated piece of awkward shit.

      Not at all. What you are not taking into account is that electric vehicles requires significantly less maintenance and electricity is cheap. Paying less for maintenance and powering it will result in saving money much faster than your typical car.

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    17. Re:Driverless by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      O2 sensors are exhaust sensors working in a very dirty environment. The backup sensors around for 10+ years now fail at a near-zero rate. The facts show that your worry isn't based in fact. But I don't think that'll stop you from repeating it until you lose your job replacing sensors, at which time you'll be complaining about them being too good.

    18. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      electric vehicles requires significantly less maintenance

      This statement is supported by the fact that teslas have the worst reliability of any car.

    19. Re:Driverless by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      "Lorry" is British for a specific kind of vehicle. "Truck" is American English for a bunch of unrelated things.

    20. Re:Driverless by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      What if they need a different set of hardware bolted on to meet future DOT guidelines for unoccupied autonomous vehicles?

    21. Re:Driverless by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      My point was that electric vehicles require less maintenance, so buying an electric vehicle is (presumably) an investment spanning decades; if your business risk appetite and tolerances are tuned such that you're willing to risk the cost of using old-style diesel to stretch for a few years to upgrade to driverless lorries without having to somehow sell off your (now severely-devalued) electric lorries at a huge loss, you might decide to wait 3-5 years to save yourself hundreds of millions of dollars with only a risk of small millions.

    22. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My point was that electric vehicles require less maintenance

      WRONG. This so far teslas require more maintenance then real cars.

    23. Re:Driverless by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Indeed... and a driverless truck wouldn't decide to just start to change into your lane when you are behind its cab but still beside its trailer on a two-lane city road.

      Damn scary sometimes, those truck drivers.

      At least bus drivers shoulder check.

    24. Re:Driverless by MachDelta · · Score: 1

      ...so why would trucks be any different?

      The trailer makes quite a difference when backing up. Hang out at your local boat-launch to see examples of amateurs giving it a shot.

      The big problem is that the world we live in isn't designed for big trucks. Large vehicles have to break all sorts of traffic rules just to navigate most cities. Accommodating for a trailer often requires making turns from one lane over, or even driving into oncoming traffic first. There are docks that can only be backed into by pulling across two or four or even six lanes of traffic to get lined up. There are stops where trucks have to back up blind, sometimes even into oncoming traffic (and unless the Tesla truck also comes with a Tesla trailer, blind reversals aren't something it will be able to do). Sure, a self driving truck might be good for getting from warehouse A in city X to warehouse B in city Y (a "pin to pin" run) but there's still a huge range of unique traffic challenges these vehicles face every day. Not to mention the art of driving a truck in a fuel and maintenance efficient manner (it involves a lot of prediction). Most people just don't know these issues exist, because they've never driven (or even ridden in) a semi.

      I honestly think that Musk is going to find that it's simpler to get to Mars than it is to build a universal self driving truck. At least this could be a good start, though.

    25. Re:Driverless by Afty0r · · Score: 1

      It can't drive up to a loading dock to load/unload.

      It definitely could, in fact that task is one of the most trivial it could perform. The loading dock will be complete with its own transponders to let the truck know exactly where to position the trailer to the nearest mm and may also include metadata like height etc.

      Compared with automated driving on roads, backing up to a loading dock is the easiest of all tasks.

    26. Re:Driverless by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      I'm skeptical that Tesla can deliver the reliability expected in this market. The Model S just got off Consumer Reports's shit list, and the Model X is still on it.

      I think Tesla (or any manufacturer) has an easier time making a reliable semi tractor than any luxury car or crossover. They're very much brute force vehicles, with size, weight, and performance constraints so broad, they're barely constraints at all. There aren't going to be any happy, slappy self-extruding door handles or falcon-wing doors (the downfall of the Model X) on this thing. It'll be a thin wrapper around a gigantic pile of batteries and one or two ridiculously powerful electric motors. Admittedly the diesel engines in a semi tractor are darn simple already, especially compared to their automotive brethren, but going from diesel to pure electric means going from several dozen moving parts to one, maybe two, and the kind of industrial strength motors we're talking about here are absurdly reliable. Big motors work for 20, 30, even 40 years without servicing.

      We'll have a better idea after the unveiling. With luck, Elon Musk kept a lid on the urges of his designers to get cute.

    27. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What if they need a different set of hardware bolted on to meet future DOT guidelines for unoccupied autonomous vehicles?

      I guess they had better hire some lobbyists now and make sure the regs don't make their current hardware illegal.

      I wish I was joking, but that's probably the best solution.

    28. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Lorry" often refers to what is, primarily in North America, referred to as a "semi" but "lorry" is often interchangeably used with "truck" and also used to refer to tractor units as well as box trucks depending on who is using it. It's not quite as cut and dry as is often the case with language and regional variation. I'm from Birmingham originally and "truck" is often used the ways I've pointed out.

    29. Re: Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People really aren't considering the massive weight. It is a lot. It will take huge motors with huge batteries. These motors will have to not overheat (think mountain crossing) for longer trip or short trip hauls.

      This is a concept vehicle. These motors will not last 20 years like a truck.

    30. Re:Driverless by Altus · · Score: 1

      Why do you think that it couldn't pull itself up to a loading dock?

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    31. Re:Driverless by lgw · · Score: 1

      Tesla also had several serious quality issues with the drive train itself in the first few years, especially on the higher power models, including electrical arcing within the bearings, very rapid wear in the bearings, and so on. The motors themselves may be very reliable, but there's a lot more to a heavy hauler than the motor. The stresses are enormous, and if you get it wrong there will be metal fatigue that can take years to show. Of course, that's all pretty low tech.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    32. Re:Driverless by Altus · · Score: 1

      I have no doubt that the cost of maintaining such systems would be a lot lower than the cost to employ a fleets worth of drivers and the insurance necessary to cover you in the event that the driver crashes (assuming self driving vehicles are ultimately insured by the manufacturer as they probably should be).

      Full self driving tech is going to change a lot of thing in the insurance industry, in the mechanic industry and certainly in fleet maintenance but I have little doubt that the result will be cheaper in the long run... even if its not cheaper initially it will be once costs come down.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    33. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      What happens if it needs to turn left on a busy street and needs to rely on a Tesla model S to notice it and slow down, for example.

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    34. Re:Driverless by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      The trailer makes quite a difference when backing up. Hang out at your local boat-launch to see examples of amateurs giving it a shot.

      That is because they don't know the algorithm.
      We already have software that can backup trailers more reliably than humans.

      There are stops where trucks have to back up blind

      An obvious solution is to add extra cameras.

      it's simpler to get to Mars than it is to build a universal self driving truck.

      Why does it have to be "universal"?

    35. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Except these sensors are outside the vehicle, so they will need to resist snow and ice and somehow work with it clinging to the vehicle. This is a much harsher environment than the inside of an exhaust pipe. Also, I have replaced O2 sensors many times in vehicles and the problem isn't so much that they break a lot but that they can be a $400 touch to replace.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    36. Re: Driverless by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Cooling big motors isn't a problem. The 416HP electric motor in my Tesla is water cooled. One thing is that they generate far less heat than the diesel engine they replace. There are electric motors in the tens of thousands of HP. Electric motors are easier to cool than an internal combustion engine. They don't need to warm up to their operating temperature. They can also have a smaller radiator.

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    37. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All Timothy McVeigh did was rent a Ryder, turn it into a bomb, and park it in front of the federal building. You don't need a driverless truck to do that.

    38. Re:Driverless by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1

      A lorry is a large vehicle which attaches a 40-foot shipping container to produce an 18-wheeled vehicle-plus-trailer with over 12,000kg of gross vehicle weight. They typically drop off a trailer at a loading dock and take a new, empty or pre-loaded one (generally a pre-loaded one if the place has incoming and outgoing shipping; empty at termination points, loaded at distribution centers).

      Huh? 44 tonnes is the maximum weight in the UK. 12 tonnes is nothing.

      --
      Drill baby drill - on Mars
    39. Re:Driverless by AaronW · · Score: 1

      My Tesla has maintenance done every year or 12.5K miles, and that isn't required to maintain the warranty. The big services happen every four years (50K miles) where they replace the brake fluid and coolant. The motor is lubricated for 12 years. The yearly maintenance includes replacing the cabin air filter, wiper blades, rotating the tires (which should be done more often), a wheel alignment as well as cleaning the car inside and out. They also check the brakes and other things and apply any fixes that are needed.

      I don't have to get my oil changed, belts adjusted, spark plugs changed, air filter changed or get emission checks. There's no ignition system or fuel pump to fail, no belts or belt-driven accessories to fail (like AC compressor, power steering pump, alternator and water pump). The water pump is electric and a sealed unit as is the AC compressor. Sealed units tend to be more reliable since it's much less likely they'll develop a leak where the shaft pokes through.

      The only major issue I've had with my car is in the last year I've had three rims destroyed due to our roads going to hell. I've since gotten higher profile wheels so hopefully this will no longer be a problem. My car is an early one too. The newer cars are much more reliable and better since they have learned a lot in the last 5 years. The things that caused me issues have been redesigned (i.e. the door handles).

      Also if things do fail they're much easier to access since there isn't a big engine in the way. If they do need to access the drive train on my car it's *much* easier than an ICE vehicle. Similarly, the battery can be swapped very quickly.

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    40. Re:Driverless by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      How do you know what equipment is adequate for self-driving, when no self-driving cars have actually been made?

    41. Re:Driverless by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      And they will self-unload in 5 years.

      They need to unload much faster than that.

    42. Re:Driverless by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      I'm perfectly happy with self driving tractor trailers, as long as they stay out of my way and don't slow me down.

    43. Re:Driverless by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 1

      What if this were a semi instead of a little care?

      http://www.carscoops.com/2017/...

    44. Re:Driverless by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      My point was that electric vehicles require less maintenance, so buying an electric vehicle is (presumably) an investment spanning decades;

      Assuming it's used extensively, the return on investment would be in years, not decades.

      --
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    45. Re:Driverless by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Except these sensors are outside the vehicle,

      So are the backup sensors. The ones that don't fail in large numbers.

    46. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      My backup camera doesn't work in the winter, ever, unless I clean it myself. I'm just saying that all the sensors might not keep working in the winter. A backup sensor sounds a bit more basic than radar.

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      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    47. Re:Driverless by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      Except these sensors are outside the vehicle, so they will need to resist snow and ice and somehow work with it clinging to the vehicle.

      These problems have already been engineered-around. Sensors for industrial machinery operating in many different types of environments under a wide variety of challenges have been around for a while. Many of the sensors required would be the types already tested, certified, and in use in current-production private and commercial vehicles.

      Speaking of forward-facing radar, I wonder if one could fit a mil-surplus radar system from an old F4 Phantom-II into a car? The Tesla does have a lot of electrical power available to operate something high-powered, which would be handy. With the amount of wattage those things threw out, you could probably cook some dude in front of you on a motorcycle! For extra giggles, tail-gate an "Orville Redenbacher" truck! (kidding, metal trailer-walls form a pretty good Faraday shield...sadly, in this case, as the news reports would be hilarious...'the 404 is still blocked this morning while 35 tons of freshly-popped popcorn is removed with heavy equipment, residents as far away as 3 miles reported hearing the popping and say they still smell the strong odor of popcorn...in other news, butter and salt sales are reporting a mysterious surge in the local area, and experts are baffled')

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    48. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I'm just saying this because it seems like people talk about a lot of sensors. Cameras are definitely not useful in winter. If they are covered they are covered. Doesn't autopilot use cameras? I keep hearing that Radar and Lidar each have weaknesses. Lidar is apparently fooled by fog so I'm not envisioning how that could work through ice.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    49. Re:Driverless by steveha · · Score: 1

      How do you know what equipment is adequate for self-driving, when no self-driving cars have actually been made?

      Are you serious?

      Tesla has been testing experimental self-driving cars for years now. The Tesla "Autopilot" is a limited self-driving system that actual customers are using on actual roads, right now; and Tesla has been working on full self-driving features even though a fully autonomous car isn't legal yet.

      Watch the demo video on this page: https://www.tesla.com/autopilot What's neat is that they also show feeds from three of the car's cameras, augmented with annotations from the computer vision system showing what the car is tracking in its environment. Note how the human keeps his hands off the wheel. Note how the car slows when unexpected pedestrians pop up at one point. Also note how, after the human leaves, the car parks itself.

      Unless you are going to argue that the above video was faked, then clearly self-driving cars have actually been made.

      --
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    50. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Having been a cross-country truck driver for a few years (after becoming sick of the IT world) I can tell you that the majority of the freight moved across the country by the big trucks will be pretty good targets for simple automation. Most of the freight moves from manufacturers to distribution centers, where it will be pretty easy to set up defined (entry, docking, and exit) routes that would be trivial for an automated system to navigate.

      The actual backing of a semi trailer is just pure geometry - easily calculated, and would most likely be programmed into a database using markers for sensors to detect, and react to, at the appropriate time.

      There will most likely be a significant portion of heavy truck deliveries that will not be cost-effective to automate (thinking last mile from distribution center to occasional delivery locations) and these locations will probably always require human drivers.

      There is no reason to think that all trucks will be automated, ever. This would require a complete revamp of the entire infrastructure for any country.

    51. Re:Driverless by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      The sensors work fine. Both for the original complaint of longevity and yours of weather.

      Luddites, can't even complain about real problems, but invent ones to complain about.

    52. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> emission checks
      > My real gas powered car doesn't need to get emission check either.

      That means something is very wrong with your country / state!

    53. Re:Driverless by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Oh really?

      If your vehicle tracks as straight as an arrow, you're wheels likely are properly aligned. Even so, it's a good idea to have your alignment checked annually, such as when you have your tires rotated. You certainly should have it done when you buy new tires so they don't immediately start to wear unevenly.

      Wheel alignment is generally checked annually, at a minimum. The same goes for things like brakes--note my brakes only need replacement after about 7-10 years (manual transmission engine braking, or electric car regenerative braking), yet I have the brakes checked twice a year during tire rotation. Brake fluid gets a flush and full change every two years, not that you ever really need to change brake fluid in a real car--you just don't want to find out you've pushed it a tad too far.

      A K&N filter is life time.

      I ran a K&N filter and killed my car, kind of. What happened was I didn't annually take it out and clean it, and had lost something like 10% of my power by the end of the second year. Four years in, the car barely ran; when I took it out, it was murky and had actual bugs in it.

      In general, you run a paper air filter for some 30,000-45,000 miles between replacement. With a K&N filter, you generally clean them annually, which is more-frequent service than paper filters.

      This no car that requires this. It's not ever a thing.

      I've had to adjust the tensioner in Mazdas and Saturns (although any Saturn car was a qualified piece of shit). The belts are rubber with fiber (cloth) radial, and can wear and stretch. Most often, the belts actually deteriorate and require replacement; you need to inspect timing, drive, and AC belts annually if you want your car to not suddenly destroy its engine head.

      This kind of wear is more-pronounced on motorcycles, which use a chain in open air to transmit power. Car engines use timing chains inside the engine and bathed in oil (which last 100,000 miles without adjustment) or timing belts in open air (which last 30,000 miles, usually). Open-air chain drive leads to excessive wear on the drive sprockets if not continuously cleaned and lubricated. Belts are somewhat better because they require less maintenance; they require frequent inspection because they can wear much faster than their expected service life, and often need adjustment or early replacement.

      All due to the teslas massive weight.

      5,000 pounds is pretty hefty. The Volt is 3,500; the Ford F250 has a curb weight of between 5,500 and 6,700; and the F-150 weighs about what the Tesla Model S weighs. Of course the S-150 runs normal tires, rather than the low-profile tires the OP was running.

      The Chevy Camero weighs up to 4,100 pounds, by the way.

    54. Re:Driverless by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      My license lets me drive any combination of vehicle and trailer with up to 12,000kg GVW. Once you break 12,000kg, you're in Class B.

    55. Re:Driverless by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      I'm just saying this because it seems like people talk about a lot of sensors. Cameras are definitely not useful in winter. If they are covered they are covered. Doesn't autopilot use cameras? I keep hearing that Radar and Lidar each have weaknesses. Lidar is apparently fooled by fog so I'm not envisioning how that could work through ice.

      Well, they've had sensors on all-weather fighter jets for how many decades, now? And that's not mentioning sensor tech in the newer aircraft designs, especially the near-future AI/drone types of aircraft, fighter/military and other.

      The sensors really are not the weak link here. It's the software and algorithms that make sense of the data from the sensors and other inputs, and output control signals to the vehicle. If you want to pick something to doubt on, that's the area to do it, not sensor tech which is quite arguably far more advanced and far exceeds the capabilities of the hardware and software meant to control these things has to effectively use the data.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    56. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      So you're saying they're going to take an entire array of sensors from a fighter jet and put it in a regular car and it's still going to be affordable for people... ooooo k.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    57. Re:Driverless by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      So you're saying they're going to take an entire array of sensors from a fighter jet and put it in a regular car and it's still going to be affordable for people... ooooo k

      Stop being intentionally obtuse. Much of the technology in a modern vehicle came as spin-offs from military and the space program. Where/why do you think forward-looking radar (used in a Tesla's forward-looking sensor) came from/was developed?

      You're tilting at the wrong windmills again.Don Quixote.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    58. Re:Driverless by es330td · · Score: 1

      O2 sensors are exhaust sensors working in a very dirty environment.

      As opposed to those clean room environments of snow, mud, rain, pollen and dirt, right? I am not talking about them failing but them getting obscured in such a way that they no longer provide good data.

    59. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of promises that the pro-automated crowd are making over and over. Two of the main ones are, 1) they will make driving safer, and 2) insurance will be cheap because they will be low-incident. This will only happen if 95% of all people can afford these things. So no I'm not being intentionally obtuse; I am basing my criticisms on getting to the place that we are supposed to be going with AI and driving. I consider it somewhat of a cop-out to just assume that any sensor on a fighter jet can apply when some of those sensors may be worth thousands of dollars. What the common person is going to get is the subset of sensors that fit into a package worth maybe $1000 at the most. Seeing as there have been many options in luxury vehicles for ten years or more that have never made it into base vehicles such as automatic wipers and road tracking headlights, it's an incredible stretch to now say 'it works in a fighter jet so it will work in a car'.

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    60. Re:Driverless by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was looking at the Tesla web site today, and the forward-facing cameras appear to be inside the cabin, right behind the windshield, up around the rear-view mirror. I imagine all the cameras are similarly inside the cabin and behind glass.

      What about rain? The side and rear windows don't have wipers like the front, but if the car is in motion wind will whisk away the rain pretty fast, and there's also the ultrasonic sensors. (I was a bit worried about the lack of a wiper on the rear window, but in the Tesla forum people said that they put RainX on the glass, and they say it works extremely well when the car is in motion. Plus I wonder if the backup camera is down by the license plate instead of inside the car.)

      Tesla has a lot of smart people working on self-driving. I doubt they have a perfect solution already, but I think they have already thought of and answered the obvious problems.

    61. Re:Driverless by steveha · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of promises that the pro-automated crowd are making over and over. Two of the main ones are, 1) they will make driving safer, and 2) insurance will be cheap because they will be low-incident.

      This will only happen if 95% of all people can afford these things.

      If true automated cars truly work, then services like Uber and Lyft have the potential to become even cheaper. The cars get more expensive but no human drivers need be paid. It may be that if ride services are ubiquitous and cheap, people will use them more and not want to tie up their own money in a car.

      Also, insurance for you may become cheaper if you use self-driving even if nobody else does. If you let the car drive you safely home you aren't getting into an accident due to being sleepy or drunk. From what I have read, insurance on Tesla cars is surprisingly inexpensive since the cars are so safe. (Although I think if you buy a "P" model with the "Ludicrous Speed" crazy acceleration, insurance rates go up.)

      I consider it somewhat of a cop-out to just assume that any sensor on a fighter jet can apply when some of those sensors may be worth thousands of dollars.

      And I consider it somewhat strange that you are arguing about whether Tesla can ship sensors that Tesla is already shipping as standard equipment on every car. The Tesla web site promises that the full self-driving sensors will be on every Model 3, that's the less-expensive model.

      Tesla is making a bet that including all those sensors will pay off eventually. That bet may or may not be a good idea, but we are past the point of arguing over whether Tesla can do it. They are already doing it.

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    62. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      It will be a sad world if people ever have to rely on Uber and Lyft to get from place to place. Personal vehicle ownership is important for freedom of a civilization. Tesla has not demonstrated that the sensors they are shipping will be able to handle all cases. Will they be aimed low enough to stop to allow a rabbit to cross the road safely or are we just running over animals now? Will they scan the contour of the road so they can drive properly through ice ruts or around deep potholes? I didn't think they had that kind of tech yet.

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    63. Re:Driverless by steveha · · Score: 1

      It will be a sad world if people ever have to rely on Uber and Lyft to get from place to place.

      I suspect that you are older than a Millenial and do not live in a dense urban area. (Personally, I'm older than a Millenial, I don't live in a dense area, and I very much treasure owning my own car.)

      When I was a teen I was just counting the days until I got a permit to be able to drive a car; now Millenials are increasingly not bothering to get driver's license and insurance, and taking bus/Uber/Lyft when they want to go somewhere.

      And there are people who live in dense urban areas who would find it a hassle to park a car, and prefer not to own a car there. More, there are cities that are actively trying to reduce the number of cars on their roads.

      Tesla has not demonstrated that the sensors they are shipping will be able to handle all cases.

      Okay, we get it, you're skeptical of the full self-driving features.

      Will they be aimed low enough to stop to allow a rabbit to cross the road safely or are we just running over animals now? Will they scan the contour of the road so they can drive properly through ice ruts or around deep potholes? I didn't think they had that kind of tech yet.

      Frankly I don't know the answers to these questions, but if Tesla thinks their current sensor tech is sufficient for full self-driving, my guess is they have at least thought of each of these things.

      My guess, and it is just a guess, is that the ultrasonic sensors would be used to watch for ice ruts and potholes; that the testing program has already included people driving the test cars on roads with ice ruts and potholes; and the forward radar would likely do a better job of spotting a rabbit than a tired human at night. I don't think anyone is claiming that the self-driving features would completely eliminate all road kills, but equally I doubt self-driving cars will be worse than humans.

      https://www.tesla.com/blog/upgrading-autopilot-seeing-world-radar

      https://www.tesla.com/blog/all-tesla-cars-being-produced-now-have-full-self-driving-hardware

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    64. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Sure public transportation is fine. You said Uber and Lyft. The important difference is that when people pay for public transportation the money filters back and it helps the city they live in. So with lack of independent choices to transportation it becomes like a tax for movement but at least with public transportation it is a tax that helps people. If people are forced to use Uber and Lyft, the money goes into a giant pit that helps Uber and Lyft.

      They have at least thought of these things?? Wow, drink the kool-aid some more. As of a post I found from six months ago, Autopilot doesn't even work with the lane markings covered. Ultrasonic sensors only have a 15-degree radius, and have to be fairly perpendicular to the object they are detecting. They can detct solid objects *exist* but not profile a contour like an ice rut or a pothole. The ultrasonic sensor coming in the new Tesla array detects 360-degrees around the car but not downwards which is where the road is. The things that Tesla says is called 'marketing'. They use that to sell cars. Don't buy into it. There is no way what Musk is selling will ever be able to be used for self driving in all conditions. Furthermore, they still depend on people driving the car manually to detect course differences; a big problem with no solution in site. I'm not just skeptical, I don't see anyone explaining how these problems can ever be solved. This makes believing in automated driving more like believing in a religion ruled by televangelists preaching for billions of dollars.

      And, yes, the links you posted are exactly the marketing I am talking about.

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    65. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I did a little more research and it looks like laser sensors such as lidar can be used for contour detection. They also have to be perpendicular to the object, so in order to avoid a pothole or stay in an ice rut as opposed to a lane, they would need to be pointed down directly at the road sufficiently enough in front of the car for it to have time to steer around the obstacle. The one IEEE study I found about detecting contours only had a summary in English and the actual study was in Chinese. Something tells me Teslas aren't coming with a lidar sensor mounted on a twenty foot pole in front of the vehicle and aimed down. I guess they could have a lidar array on the front of the vehicle pointed down. At least the first vehicle could try to gather as much information about the ice rut as it could while it careens sideways into oncoming traffic. It may even get some information about the opposing lane.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    66. Re:Driverless by steveha · · Score: 1

      Sure public transportation is fine. You said Uber and Lyft.

      Dude, I'm not the Emperor of the World. I'm making my predictions of the future. Whether you like it or not, whether I like it or not, I predict that Uber and Lyft and such services are going to become more common in the future (especially if there are self-driving cars). It's too bad you don't approve, I guess, but there it is.

      (In principle a city or county could operate a service similar to Uber or Lyft. Perhaps that would make you happier?)

      They have at least thought of these things?? Wow, drink the kool-aid some more.

      If I'm understanding you correctly, you believe that Tesla is spending thousands of dollars per car to provide the hardware for self-driving, without having thought of common problems like driving in snow in the winter. They've been testing this stuff for years, but presumably you believe their testing was flawed and/or inadequate. I'd be interested to find out from you what Tesla did wrong, and why they are wrong to think that their hardware is adequate.

      Would you say the Tesla hardware is completely useless, or would you say that there are some circumstances under which the Tesla hardware can do a useful job of driving the car? Also, in your opinion, are the various videos of self-driving Teslas all faked? And the videos where a Tesla equipped with "Autopilot" takes action on its own to avoid an accident, are those faked?

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    67. Re:Driverless by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      I'm saying it's going to be terrible if they allow the kind of automated driving these cars are outfitted for. I'm not looking forward to a future of being behind someone who stops every 40 feet, or drives a maximum of thirty-five, or stays behind a large slow vehicle on the highway giving you two vehicles to pass, gets confused by construction, or generally doesn't drive human. I am a good enough driver that I can anticipate when a person is going to do a stupid thing on the road, but driving behind a robot will be totally different. The way I see this going, it's going to suck. Even worse, the people who drop that much on a vehicle to drive like asses will feel perfectly justified in getting in everyone's way because it's not them doing the driving. If they are to be used on a private roadway then fine, but I hope they don't allow full public use until they are compatible with humans.

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  2. Re:On behave of inner cities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Exactly how do inner cities behave?

  3. Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Nothing says long haul trucking like a vehicle with a 200 mile range and a 6 hour recharge time.

    1. Re: Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If the trailer Is full of batteries, how far could it go?

    2. Re:Nothing says... by Bugler412 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      a huge proportion of the truck market is local travel and terminal movement tractors. An electric makes perfect sense for those roles. Not all trucking is long haul.

    3. Re: Nothing says... by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      You do know that semi-trucks are supposed to carry cargo right? If the trailer is full of batteries you don't have room for that cargo.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    4. Re:Nothing says... by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      Well, considering the cars do more than 200miles, I hope the lorries do too. Also, I'd be very surprised if they didn't have quick replace batteries. Reach the stop- drop off the spent batteries, pick up freshly charged ones. No reason to stop any more frequently than your current vehicles.

      --
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    5. Re:Nothing says... by Ichijo · · Score: 3, Informative

      San Francisco's electric trolleybuses can run all day and all night without stopping to recharge.

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    6. Re: Nothing says... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Perhaps an Atkinson cycle CNG engine would be more suitable?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    7. Re: Nothing says... by ThePawArmy · · Score: 2

      Aslong as the front doesn't fall off, it should be fine.

    8. Re: Nothing says... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Details, details! They'll fix that with the next software update!

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      #DeleteFacebook
    9. Re: Nothing says... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If the trailer is full of batteries you don't have room for that cargo.

      It doesn't have to be "full" of batteries. If you devote 5% of the space to batteries, you can have a 1000 mile range.

      If it takes one hour to recharge after 6 hours of driving, that is a total of four hours/day of downtime. With a human driver, the max legal limit is 11 hours per day of driving, followed by at least 10 hours of downtime. So the SDT has less total downtime, faster deliveries, and no driver to pay.

    10. Re:Nothing says... by Verdatum · · Score: 1

      I don't disagree, but I was under the impression that a lot more of that local transport is medium trucks. I would've guessed it'd make more sense to push that market first and worry about the semi-tractor heavy trucks after proving yourself on that smaller scale. At the same time, I presume they know what they're doing. I look forward to seeing what that battery pack ends up looking like; I bet it'll be impressive.

    11. Re:Nothing says... by Verdatum · · Score: 1

      Oh, you.

    12. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      logistics. 6h recharge time means it could be on the road 12h a day 365 days a year. Without having to pay a driver.

    13. Re:Nothing says... by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Furthermore local/terminal trucks are the vast majority of concentrated pollution, where EV's shine.

    14. Re:Nothing says... by steveha · · Score: 5, Informative

      Nothing says long haul trucking like a vehicle with a 200 mile range and a 6 hour recharge time.

      I guarantee you that this thing is going to have a fast-swap battery pack.

      The Model S already has a battery pack that can be swapped in about 90 seconds by a computer-controlled machine. It turned out that very few Model S owners wanted to pay for the fast battery swap service; the Supercharger service is adequate to most people's needs. (By the way, the Supercharger is much faster than your suggested 6 hours of charge time, for existing cars at least.)

      So if range and charging time is an issue, companies will have the option of buying extra batteries and setting up battery-swap hubs at key locations on long haul routes. Or Tesla will do it like they tried for the Model S.

      And hey what do you know, Tesla is investing heavily in a battery "gigafactory" and is going to bring the cost of batteries down as much as possible, as soon as possible.

      So your joke was amusing but you have not actually identified a real problem. It's almost like Tesla knows what it's doing.

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    15. Re:Nothing says... by Solandri · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The attraction of electric motors for trucks is the same reason steam and diesel locomotives were replaced by diesel-electric. The heavy loading means there's a huge range of torque vs. speed requirements. So a direct mechanical linkage from an ICE engine to the wheels requires a massive number of gears in the transmission. For a train this would mean 20-50 gears. Most trucks use 10-18 gears (plus 2 reverse gears).

      An electric motor can cover that huge torque vs speed range without any gears. At some point the extra weight of the transmission with all those gears is more of a burden than the losses you get from converting the ICE's mechanical energy into electrical to drive the electric motor. In that respect, even if the truck isn't 100% electric, it could offer some serious advantages. e.g. No low gears - the ICE engine only drives the truck at higher speeds. At lower speeds it's powered by an electric motor, whose battery is recharged by the ICE.

    16. Re: Nothing says... by Small+Hairy+Troll · · Score: 1

      Or if it does, then it needs to be towed outside the environment :)

    17. Re: Nothing says... by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      Yeah, and refrigerated trucks are impossible, as the refrigeration hardware wouldn't leave space for cargo.

    18. Re:Nothing says... by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      Tesla cars have nothing in the front but an extra trunk. A Tesla tractor-trailer rig could fill the space traditionally used for the engine with additional battery capacity.

    19. Re: Nothing says... by Luthair · · Score: 1

      Not a trucking expert... but there is a lot of wasted space below the floor and in front of the trailer's axles. I don't see why they need that much clearance in the middle of the trailer since the truck has much less, presumably its only there because it makes sense for the floor to be flat.

    20. Re: Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. Trade your nice new low cycled battery for some old piece of crap. Drop off will never be accepted.

    21. Re:Nothing says... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Charge times for EVs are under an hour. As the battery gets bigger, you can charge it at higher currents to keep the charge time around 40-50 minutes.

      The fuel and maintenance savings offset extra stopping times for commercial use. My old Leaf is a taxi now. With self driving it becomes even less relevant.

      Speed is not usually a big factor. Most deliveries are not time constrained.

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    22. Re:Nothing says... by radarskiy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Nothing says long haul trucking like a vehicle with a 200 mile range and a 6 hour recharge time."

      Nothing says long haul trucking.

      Nothing says 200 mile range.

      Nothing says 6 hour recharge.

      Your argument aspires to strawman status.

    23. Re:Nothing says... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      How do they get the batteries to the hubs? Manually driven vehicles?

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    24. Re:Nothing says... by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      You don't even need to swap the battery pack: swap the whole damn truck.

      There are limits on how long the drivers can be actively driving (11 out of 14 hours, then 10 hour rest). So do a 5.5 hour stage, stop for a meal, swap tractors, do another 5.5 hour stage, swap tractor and load, then go to sleep.

    25. Re: Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good job, Mr. Genius. I'm sure those dummies at Tesla never thought about that. You've saved the world once again.

    26. Re: Nothing says... by uncqual · · Score: 1

      In trucks swapping batteries might fly.

      Large trucking companies on well traveled routes might just own all the batteries they swap/charge at the battery swap points. Smaller operators or trucks used for less traveled routes may rent batteries and the battery charging/rental business will be responsible for retiring batteries that no longer meet spec or move them to situations requiring lower specs (perhaps renting them at a lower 'per kwh' or 'per hour' cost).

      With driverless trucks, drivers won't be leasing or buying the tractors anymore so some big capital intensive organization will own, maintain, and operate them.

      --
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    27. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can do that too with my DIY electric car - although I need to stay about 250 feet from my garage which is a bit limiting.

    28. Re:Nothing says... by AaronW · · Score: 1

      The all-wheel drive ones have less space in front, but considerably more than an ICE vehicle. For a truck this wouldn't be an issue since only one motor is needed though I suppose it could use two smaller ones and get rid of the differential. You can also get rid of the transmission, exhaust system, smog controls and a lot more. One thing Tesla is good at is a compact drive train. People often ask me where's the motor, especially when I pull up the cover in my trunk and expose the large storage space underneath it. Having a 416HP engine the size of a large watermelon helps.

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    29. Re:Nothing says... by steveha · · Score: 1

      How do they get the batteries to the hubs? Manually driven vehicles?

      Probably. But who cares?

      Once the batteries are there, they will be used for swaps. Every time a battery is taken away, another battery is left behind. So these hubs will be charging hubs, hooked up to the electrical grid.

      Now, let's assume that Mr. Anonymous Coward is correct and it really does take 6 hours to charge the battery. If truck A does a swap, and 6 hours later truck B needs a swap, the battery from truck A will be charged. A remote hub that never gets more than one truck every 6 hours could squeak by with a single on-site battery, but of course spares would always be a good idea. Anyway it won't be difficult to work out how many battery packs to stock at the various hubs.

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    30. Re:Nothing says... by steveha · · Score: 1

      There are limits on how long the drivers can be actively driving

      True for human drivers. Put a sleeper cab on the thing, let the human sleep while the truck drives itself, and the truck could drive round the clock, just pausing for battery swaps.

      That's assuming they want to keep a human on the truck to handle unexpected breakdowns or whatever. If they are willing to leave the truck completely unattended and just send someone out to check on it when it breaks down, then the truck can still drive around the clock and you don't even need the sleeper cab.

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    31. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They also do not weigh up to 80,000 lbs, either.

    32. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While I agree with you, the problem is that a diesel-electric plant small enough to fit in a semi-tractor would weigh more than the engine/transmission configurations already in use. Otherwise, this would have been a no-brainer decades ago.

    33. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most deliveries are not time constrained.

      Au Contraire, just about EVERY delivery is time-critical, thanks to "Just-In-Time" logistics.

    34. Re: Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am a former IT nerd, and former truck driver. Somewhat of an expert.

      There is a ton of wasted space in the semi-trailer in just about every load. -- Except, it isn't really wasted space.

      By law, the truck, trailer, and cargo cannot exceed 80,000 lbs. unless specially permitted (read really expensive). Generally speaking, the trailer can already hold a lot more volume than is legal to haul. Unless your cargo is bubble-wrap, which I have hauled.

    35. Re: Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason for the large clearance is bumps dips and such. Its amazing how much is needed over a 53ft trailer and some urban roads. Still much of that space can be used.

    36. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      do the math on time management for even fast swap battery changes.

      i'm sure you've noticed that even trivial stops during a long trip add significant time to the trip.
      i.e. latency is forever.

    37. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i'm sure you've noticed that even trivial stops during a long trip add significant time to the trip.
      i.e. latency is forever.

      From what I have read, a Tesla Model S can go about 30 miles on a dollar's worth of electricity. My car needs a gallon of gasoline to go 30 miles on the highway, more than that in town. So a Tesla Model S has a fuel cost 1/3 that of my car... or 1/4 that of my car if gasoline prices go all the way up to $4 per gallon again.

      So, the electricity cost for running these Tesla semi-trucks... if it's 1/3 the cost of the diesel needed for an ordinary semi-truck... heck, even 1/2 the cost... those are savings that would add up fast. Much of the cost of transporting things by road is the fuel cost.

      Given the above, I think the shipping companies could live with a short detour to visit a battery swap hub once every 200 miles or so.

    38. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahem I think he was joking.

    39. Re: Nothing says... by dyslexicbunny · · Score: 1

      That math is a little wonky since your process is really 7 hours. If you wanted to run it 24/7, you could have 24 cycles of drive and recharge in a week - 86% utilization. But compare that to 7*24/21 (21 is drive and rest), you get 8 so a utilization of 52%. Still far better regardless.

      The question of interest I have is what these unmanned trucks will do if someone attempts to rob them - say at night with limited traffic. Could be via fake traffic block or something out of Fast and Furious while at speed. Having an active driver serves as a legitimate deterrent as they can call it in quickly. Not sure what the solution might be for an autonomous fleet. Broadcasting cameras going to some security office hub? How do you handle areas with lousy data coverage?

    40. Re:Nothing says... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Technically strawmen. Or strawarmy.

    41. Re:Nothing says... by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      It's almost like Tesla knows what it's doing.

      Maybe one day they will even make money at it.

    42. Re: Nothing says... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      The question of interest I have is what these unmanned trucks will do if someone attempts to rob them

      An obvious solution is to lock the doors.

      Anyway, I don't see how robbing a SDT is any different from robbing a human driven truck while it is parked and the driver has gone to pee/eat/sleep or whatever. It is not a new or different problem.

    43. Re:Nothing says... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, this is how UPS operates, where they lease drop-off spots all over the countries where one driver drops off the load and another driver picks it up.

    44. Re:Nothing says... by PPalmgren · · Score: 1

      Gotta find a way to hot swap batteries on the regular with low space requirements. Local/terminal trucks often get worked 24/7/365 and are only taken out of service for their maintenance plan. Also, space at some terminals is exorbitantly expensive, so stocking 2x the trucks and having half charge all the time is not a reasonable alternative.

  4. Hey, it kinda looks like a... by pr0t0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Given how critical aerodynamics are for ev's, I wonder if they'll be able to streamline the vehicle without it looking like a phallus on wheels.

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    1. Re:Hey, it kinda looks like a... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1, Interesting

      A lorry has a giant plastic scoop on top that serves no purpose other than to provide fairing for the big, box-shaped shipping container. Seriously, it's a third of the cabin's height.

    2. Re:Hey, it kinda looks like a... by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      Given how critical aerodynamics are for ev's, I wonder if they'll be able to streamline the vehicle without it looking like a phallus on wheels.

      The problem with truck aerodynamics is:
      A. The trailer is not always owned by the trucking company.
      B. Boxy trailers have more usable space than aerodynamic ones. Because of this, most trucking industry analysts look at "freight efficiency" (how far a unit of mass can be moved with a unit of fuel). That leads to some interesting trade offs. The most aerodynamic truck is not always the most efficient at moving freight. This can even vary based on what the vehicle is hauling, or the route taken.

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    3. Re:Hey, it kinda looks like a... by grungeman · · Score: 1

      Aerodynamic drag is proportional to the square of the velocity. This means that at lower speed steamlining becomes much less important. Not unimportant, just much less important.

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  5. Re:On behave of inner cities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    poorly, lol

  6. Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by bogaboga · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I say to Tesla: Reduce the complexity and(or) the gimmickry and see cash flow into your coffers. Folks, how about creating a near "normal" car with better range and more competitive pricing?

    I for one know I'd be a sure customer. I also know that I am not alone. Who needs a car whose handles will pop out? These get "stuck" sometimes...and in a dusty environment, it gets worse!!

    1. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 3, Informative

      Model 3: $35,000. Bolt EV: $37,000. Volt PHEV: $33,000.

      Seems like Tesla is in the same MSRP class as Chevrolet.

    2. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you're describing has a name: the model 3

    3. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by avandesande · · Score: 2

      Too bad Tesla is the only manufacturer that has figured out how to make an EV that doesn't look like a moronic toy. They aren't even close to being in the same class.

      --
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    4. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Only a complete moron thinks the model 3 will sell $35,000. It's gonna be $60,000 minimum.

    5. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Folks, how about creating a near "normal" car with better range and more competitive pricing?

      Then why would I buy Tesla instead of a Renault Zoe or one of the many EVs several companies are going out of their way to release? The thing that sets Tesla apart from everything else is the amazing about of car you get for your dollar. Aside from the model X screwup they have a good thing going.

    6. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

      The standard fusion, hybrid, and EV (energi) all have the same body. Perhaps i'm biased, but i think they look pretty damn good.

    7. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by sexconker · · Score: 0

      Who needs a car whose handles will pop out?

      Middle aged men with more money than sex appeal.

      The car reacting to your presence in such a way (other luxury cars have similar gimmicks with lights and logos and shit) is a form of presenting, a mating display ritual common in female mammals.

    8. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Luthair · · Score: 1

      Bolt availability for purchase - today

      Model 3 availability for purchase - sometime after 2020 at the earliest

    9. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Luthair · · Score: 2

      I'd say the Model S looks good, the X looks like a Pontiac Aztek and the 3 looks OK until you see the interior which looks like a moronic toy.

    10. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      My regular, non-popping car handles sometimes get covered with ice in the winter. I'm pretty sure a Tesla owner wouldn't be able to open his doors at all.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    11. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > the X looks like a Pontiac Aztek

      Saw my first Model X today, and in some ways it looks good, but in others, especially the chrome around the windows, it look as horrific as a Honda.

    12. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      It's called the Tesla Model 3.
      Smaller, less complex, fewer gimmicks, great range, $35,000
      You'll have to get in line, though. 400,000 people have already put down $1000 deposits.
      Deliveries start in a few months.

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    13. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I like it when I walk up to the car and the door handles pop out. Makes me feel special.
      (Yes, I am an old guy with waning sex appeal so this does keep me going.)

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    14. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Haven't had this problem with the Tesla in spite of the doors being covered in ice/snow. Seems to break through just fine. (OTOH, my Land Rover door handles regularly get iced up and require hot water to thaw them out.)

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    15. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      Those that want boring cars are already buying the Leaf. Go buy a Leaf, and stop whining about the Tesla.

    16. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Based on what? They're already taking orders at the $35,000 price, on which they're contracted to deliver. There are already EVs with better range and acceleration near the $35,000 price point. There's no reason to believe the Model 3 will cost over $35,000.

    17. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      They're delivering in July of 2017.

    18. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by AK+Marc · · Score: 3, Informative

      http://i.imgur.com/TQMbb51.gif Seems to work in the lab.

    19. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're claiming to deliver in July of 2017.

      Fixed that for you.

    20. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Never mind passenger cars that can out-race a Porsche. Never mind gigantic trucks for hauling freight. How about a nice small pickup truck? That's what I want and need. Oh and you can keep your cheesey 'self driving' nonsense, don't want it.

    21. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      If we reach the point where everyone is required to have so-called 'self driving cars', then ALL cars will be 'boring' by definition, and there won't be anything you'll be able to do to change that.

    22. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by J-1000 · · Score: 1

      The luxury features justify to buyers what would be a high sticker price regardless. Eliminating features like motorized handles and gull wing doors won't cut costs enough to make it "affordable". Maybe eventually, but not yet.

    23. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're already taking orders at the $35,000 price, on which they're contracted to deliver

      No they aren't.

    24. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To the US. Maybe.

    25. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      We will never reach that point.

      I can see Interstates being closed to human drivers, and a resurgence in the pre-Interstate routes, but banning billions of cars from the road seems like a non-starter.

    26. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Altus · · Score: 2

      the exterior of the 3 looks like a mazda with its grille sealed up. Not a bad choice of cars to rip off, but not exactly inspired.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    27. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      Forbes predicts that the model 3 will be more like $60K when released.

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    28. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

      Lol, until you have the owners papers in your hand, they aren't contracted to do anything. Forbes magazine is predicting the Model 3's will have to be 60K and that it is probably why they discontinued the low end Model S.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    29. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by brunes69 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Tesla quite literally can not build cars fast enough to meet demand.

      The Model 3 is already the most successful consumer product launch of any kind in history (forget cars), and it won't even start shipping for months. It has years worth of pre-orders in the backlog.

      Acquiring customers is far from their problems.

    30. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

      That $35.5K price tag is pretty much proven to be a dream. It will be more like $60K.

      --
      Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
    31. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      I don't believe we'll ever reach that point, either, and in fact I think that 'self driving cars' are mostly a meme and media hype, and will be for quite some time to come, in addition to most people not wanting to have anything to do with a vehicle they can't control themselves; it's just against human nature to not feel in control of your situation. Also there are of course so many circumstances where a so-called 'autonomous' vehicle just won't be capable of doing what needs to be done, or capable of navigating on it's own; what do you do when it can't find the off-road path you have to take, and it just stops cold and won't go any farther? There has to be manual controls, and you have to know how to drive. What if you go somewhere where you need to park in a makeshift 'parking lot' in the middle of a field? Also I'd like to see one of these parallel park successfully. And so on. There's too many 'exceptions' that I can't see any automated system handling. At best, for the next 10 to 20 years, I think it'll be just more sophisticated 'driver assist' systems, and more sophisticated 'cruise control' systems, that can handle long highway journeys, and keep you from going off the road if you start to nod off at the wheel, etc.

    32. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by AaronW · · Score: 1

      They're certainly preparing for it. I was just at the factory getting my windshield replaced and they're moving everything around in preparation for the model 3. Also, unlike the Model X, they aren't putting any crazy new stuff in it like the falcon wing doors or seats. Even the model S has changed a fair bit under the covers to improve manufacturing.

      The model 3 was designed from the beginning with manufacturability in mind. They already have a lot of experience with motors, batteries, inverters, etc. It wouldn't surprise me if they reused the electric motor used for the front wheels in the model S for the model 3 since the model 3 won't need the crazy horsepower of the performance versions. They learned a lot with their first models.

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    33. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Rei_is_a_dumbass · · Score: 0
    34. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Never mind passenger cars that can out-race a Porsche.

      A tesla cannot out race a yugo.

    35. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      There are already EVs with better range and acceleration near the $35,000 price point.
      Not even close to true. Not a single EV comes close to M3.
      The BASE Model 3 is guaranteed to be less than 6 for 0-60, a minimum of 215 MPC and $35K.
      OTOH, the base bolt is 0-60 @ 6.3 sec, and an EPA rating of 238 MPC and $42K. BUT, perhaps most telling on these, is the fact that M3 will have a massive supercharging network that costs a lot less than what the bolt has. In addition, the Base M3 should take less than 50 minutes for a FULL charge on a tesla supercharger, while the Bolt will take close to 2 hours one one of the FEW DC 80kw fast chargers ( and most are 40 KW).

      Basically, the M3 will serve as a regular car and able to run across the nation, while the bolt remains a localized pedal vehicle.

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    36. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      forbes has rarely been accurate with either SpaceX, Tesla, or Solar city.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    37. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      no, they had issues with MX, but those are gone.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    38. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WRONG moron. Check the date on that post dumbass. That what delivered to the customer within the last month retard.

    39. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      [Our model has] an average transaction price of $60,000. We think that the kind of people that will put in an order for that carthey won’t want the $35,000 version. While they technically could deliver that, we think once it’s spec’d up with the range and performance and safety capabilities that the average customer will activate, very few customers will actually walk out the door at that entry level price

      So they believe customers will load the $35,000 car up with $25,000 of options, not that Tesla can't deliver the advertised $35,000 car.

    40. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The Bolt is standard J1772 accepting 7.6kW AC 240V/32A charging (e.g. a ChargePoint home station) for a charge rate of 25 miles range per hour. Their J1772 connector also accepts DC charging at 80kW, with 180 miles of range added per hour. Standard charging stations will show up with demand, typically at the expense and supporting the profitability of the premises (e.g. McDonalds will pay to add DC charging stations, rather than Chevrolet paying to put DC charging stations everywhere in case you have a Bolt).

      On the flip side, the Tesla can take advantage of the 80kW DC fast chargers and up to 9.6kW of AC 240V. All the J1772 popping up for the Volt, Bolt, Leaf, i3, and Zero R will also feed the Tesla. Tesla will probably see their expense for supplying power through their supercharge network dwindle as people find these stations more-convenient than locating a Tesla Supercharger.

      By the by, the nearest Tesla Supercharger is 23.3 miles from my house, 39.9 miles from my job. I've found 4 in a 200-mile radius from Baltimore.

    41. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Eloking · · Score: 1

      Folks, how about creating a near "normal" car with better range and more competitive pricing?

      Then why would I buy Tesla instead of a Renault Zoe or one of the many EVs several companies are going out of their way to release? The thing that sets Tesla apart from everything else is the amazing about of car you get for your dollar. Aside from the model X screwup they have a good thing going.

      Well they only have two model (I'm not counting the Roaster) so, in other words, the model S is good.

      --
      Elok
    42. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure a Tesla

      Every time you start a sentence with "I'm pretty sure..." stop and think: "Would a company worth billions of dollars and investing stupid amounts of money into R&D have thought of the incredibly obvious thing I just come up with on the spot?" I'll pre-answer that question for you: yes. Whatever you say now, they've thought of it.

    43. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla quite literally can not build cars fast enough to meet demand.

      The Model 3 is already the most successful consumer product launch of any kind in history (forget cars), and it won't even start shipping for months. It has years worth of pre-orders in the backlog.

      Acquiring customers is far from their problems.

      On the contrary, demand for Model S and Model X is flat as pancake. That's why Tesla desperately need Model 3 to come out soon - other wise they cannot keep up the appearance of "explosive growth"

    44. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by rpstrong · · Score: 1

      Didn't see Yugos mentioned, but I did see this:

      “The lap itself was around 10 minutes Bridge to Gantry (in heavy traffic) but unfortunately the car went into a reduced power mode about 3 minutes in due to excess battery heat (at least, that’s my guess).”

      “However, before it did it was able to keep a GT3 RS going full chat, within shouting distance (at the 2:00 mark) far longer than any 4,700lb sedan has a right to.”

      “I think without the reduced power output and traffic, a B-T-G lap under nine minutes is possible. According to the Bridge To Gantry site, that would put it in the company of some really quick hot hatches.”

    45. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by quicks0rt · · Score: 1

      Only a complete moron thinks the model 3 will sell for 60,000 minimum when model S at its lowest price point WITHOUT tax incentives is 68,000.

    46. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Nope.
      The bolt will ONLY accept 40 KWH at a DC fast charger. As such, it will do 90 miles in the first hours, about 120 in the first 90 minutes, but then slows down. In fact, the fastest that I could find anybody had charged a bolt at, was from 20 miles left, it took 2 hours and 35 minutes. Keep in mind that as it fills up, the fill rate will slow way down. That is why they all speak about the first 30 minutes on the bolt, and the first 45 minutes on the tesla.

      Secondly, McD will NOT be putting in fast chargers for ANYBODY. However, Places are installing level 2s. Now, Tesla offers their level 2 device for free to any company that pays to install it AND offers up free service (even if limited to their customers).
      So how many do they have? As it is, Tesla has over 3000 destination chargers JUST IN THE US along with around 350 SuperChargers. Note that by end of year, Tesla expects to double their super charger count.
      Even in Europe, they just started doing destination chargers this last year and they are over 1000 of them.

      Now, it is interesting that you mention about the Superchargers being so far from your house. These are NOT meant for daily charging. You are supposed to do your daily charging at your home in the middle of the night. By doing 80% of the charging in the middle of the night, then we do not have an issue with the grid or poer plants. In fact, it will LOWER the costs of electricity. It is hybrids and leaf owners that charge in the daytime on a constant basis that are going to screw all of us.
      The superchargers were developed for LONG DISTANCE driving. These were not meant for daily re-fuels the way some of the nutjobs have been doing. In fact, if you look at the price that Tesla now charges the new teslas using the SCs, the price is always MORE than the nighttime prices. Some of that is due to eletric company charging more for daytime, but Tesla designed it this way purposely to discourage daytime charging.
      Now, the current Tesla Super Chargers can add 149 KWH to certain tesla's. The older one like we have, only accepts 120, or possibly only 90. BUT, Tesla has a NEW supercharger coming that will do well above 350 KW, and I have heard around 500-600 KW. That means that the average Model 3 with a 50 KWH battery will FULLY charge in less than 10 minutes (slows down towards the end), but can charge to 80% in just 3 minutes. Obviously, Tesla will likely charge a high price for that re-fill. Still, it will be less than $1.00 / gal of gas equivalence.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    47. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily. People sometimes don't realize how different things are different in other parts of the world. Hollywood is the perfect example, where "snow" in most movies doesn't look or behave like snow at all.

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    48. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily. People sometimes don't realize how different things are different in other parts of the world.

      Because the USA doesn't get cold?

      Hollywood is the perfect example, where "snow" in most movies doesn't look or behave like snow at all.

      Yes, not creating a perfect example of snow in the movies has everything to do with good enough within the budget and nothing to do with "not knowing what it looks like". You're confusing the concepts of not knowing and not caring.

    49. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then why aren't they doing that? And, coincidentally, why do several other manufacturers have EVs that look just like perfectly average petrol/diesel powered cars?

    50. Re:Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced... by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The bolt will ONLY accept 40 KWH at a DC fast charger.

      Page 232 of the Bolt EV Owner's Manual, "Driving and Operating":

      When using a DC charging station supplying at least 80kW of available power, it will take approximately 30 minutes to recharge from a depleted battery to 145km (90 mi) of driving range.

      BOOM, HEADSHOT!

      So you either know the Bolt will accept and use 80kW DC charging input and load up 90 miles of charge in 0.5 hours or you stuck your tongue to a frozen pole in the fourth grade and it's still there .

      Keep in mind that as it fills up, the fill rate will slow way down.

      Actually, the lithium ion battery chemistries used in electric vehicles have a generally-flat voltage curve up to 95% of their capacity. The last 5% generally takes a long (frequently fixed) time to fill because of a dramatic increase in voltage at the end of the curve. That means charging from 10% to 30% takes almost exactly as long as charging from 70% to 90%, but charging from 95% to 100% takes a hell of a lot longer than charging from 90% to 95% when using a high-power charger.

      Secondly, McD will NOT be putting in fast chargers for ANYBODY. However, Places are installing level 2s.

      Not today, but maybe in the future. Duly note that a ChargePoint Express 250 costs $35,800 and supplies 50kW or 62.5kW with two connectors. 24kW DC fast chargers cost $12,500 these days, and are considered slow DC charging. The Express Plus ChargePoint platform can get up to 400kW per port, but they're obviously expensive as balls.

      The places most likely to get big DC charge ports in the nearer term are rest stops along the interstate expressways. Hotels are likely to supply DC fast charging in a more-general sense sooner than your average Burger King.

      So imagine 20% of all new cars are long-range electric. That's 3.2 million vehicles per year. In five years, that's 16 million vehicles, or 10% of the workforce. You're taking a trip from Pennsylvania to Ocean City MD. Where are you going to stop for lunch? Gotta be some place with a fast-charge port so you can plug in your car and suck down an extra hour and a half's worth of driving while you eat.

      Well, shit, that's not McDonalds with its Level-2 charger. At 7.6kW, we're only going to get about 13 miles of range added on during the 45-minute meal. Better stop at the Wendy's across the street--it has a ChargePoint Express 250 and can dump an extra 85 miles into the tank while we eat.

      Note, again, that the (expensive) ChargePoint Express Plus is highly-modular (it uses multiple stations hooked up to a separate power supply unit, so you can use more PSUs and fewer stations to get more continuous power delivery) and can deliver 400kW DC. GM's Bolt has an 80kW charging circuit. When EVs have become a significant, common option as such, they'll come with bigger circuits--the 2021 Bolt might have a 160kW circuit, for example. A 160kW circuit adds 180 miles to the Bolt in half an hour; the ChargePoint Express generally supplies 187kW when all stations are in use, but the two-station-per-PSU gives 312kW simultaneous, with up to 400kW on one station. That's available today, even though cars that can accept 2.5 hours of all-electric driving range in half an hour aren't exactly common.

      This is cheap shit, man. It's inexpensive; it's just not important right now. Gas station should be shitting their pants.

      Now, it is interesting that you mention about the Superchargers being so far from your house. These are NOT meant for daily charging.

      They're not on any logical path or in any logical location. Using these things to make a long trip would involve adding tons of miles to the trip; and the trip to and from destination may cut ~50-70 miles off your range so you can get back to

  7. Naming fun by Alwin+Henseler · · Score: 2

    From the article:

    Tesla's not the only company targeting electric drivetrains for transport vehicles; Nikola revealed its One vehicle last year, too, though that's a hybrid that also uses compressed natural gas in addition to its electric battery.

    Hehe.. I'm sure Nikola & Tesla will get along nicely...

  8. Wasted snark opportunity by sjbe · · Score: 4

    Nothing says long haul trucking like a vehicle with a 200 mile range and a 6 hour recharge time.

    Who said it was a long haul truck? And if you're going to make up bogus numbers for range at least try to make them credible. Be more clever with your snark next time.

    1. Re:Wasted snark opportunity by tsqr · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Who said it was a long haul truck?

      It's implied by the descriptive term "semi truck".

    2. Re:Wasted snark opportunity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Formerly a professional semi driver, Currently a programmer.

      It is only your implication it is not the implication by those that drive the semi's or manage the fleets.

      I spent 10+ years behind the wheel of large vehilces and most semi's I knew of drove in a radius of less than 400 miles as the crow flies. Hell I know thousands of semis that drove in a radius of less than 100 miles on a general basis. If he has made a Semi capable of 200 miles and a six hour recharge than he has great market potential. Please note semi's are often sitting for 1+ hours to load/unload or wait to load/unload. If the warehouse they are siting at has recharge capabilities then partway through your day you are able recharge while sitting.

      Semi does not mean long haul and a 400 mile radius is not long haul to a semi driver.

      Overnight trips are not long haul at least not to the truckers I know.

      * I still have the liscence and occasionally get behind the wheel to keep up the skills but i would not consider myself a professional truck driver anymore as I don't drive for a living.

  9. Wind resistance doesn't care by sjbe · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Given how critical aerodynamics are for ev's, I wonder if they'll be able to streamline the vehicle without it looking like a phallus on wheels.

    Aerodynamics are just as important for gas powered vehicles as they are for EVs. Wind resistance doesn't care what you have under the hood. Besides, EVs have an advantage there because they don't need a radiator up front screwing up the air stream.

    1. Re:Wind resistance doesn't care by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      EV's have more flexibility in location of the radiator but I believe some if not all still have them. The battery packs have to be climate controlled to stay stable and the cooling is most efficiently handled via water cooling using a radiator. Aerodynamics are important to gas powered vehicles but arguably more important for EV's because of the range constraints from using a battery. Whereas putting a larger fuel tank in a gas powered car is trivial both in difficulty and expense.

    2. Re:Wind resistance doesn't care by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Most don't have them. A water-cooled air-to-water heat exchanger is a "radiator". The EVs with air-only systems would never have a radiator, though air-cooled is less common, as the batteries change. And in EVs, 5% or so becomes heat, while in an IC gasoline engine, it's closer to 70%. So the radiator in an IC car has to be about 14 times the size of the EV, for the same performance. But, when you need so little cooling, you are back to where radiator-less systems may be better.

      And the size of the car in a semi is huge. The cab would have space for more than enough batteries. Weight and weight distribution would be more an issue.

    3. Re:Wind resistance doesn't care by swillden · · Score: 1

      EV's have more flexibility in location of the radiator but I believe some if not all still have them.

      Actually, I think Tesla is the only one that uses a radiator to cool the battery. I know my Nissan LEAF doesn't have one -- which has been a problem for LEAFs in hot locales.

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    4. Re:Wind resistance doesn't care by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Most do have them. The Nissan Leaf didn't have proper cooling and their batteries tended to die in hot climates and rapid charging was hard on them. Most other EVs have liquid cooled batteries. Tesla also has liquid cooling for the inverter and motor and I suspect many other EVs have a similar setup since even my old Prius had liquid cooling for the inverter and electric motor.

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    5. Re:Wind resistance doesn't care by toadlife · · Score: 1

      It would absolutely have to have a radiator. Given the data we now have on EVs in the wild, it's apparent that thermal management is the most important aspect of Lithium Ion battery longevity. GM, Tesla and BMW all who use liquid cooling for their batteries have fantastic records so far when it comes to battery degradation (or lack thereof) while makers who have opted for air-cooling like Nissan have shown less than stellar records.

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    6. Re:Wind resistance doesn't care by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Aerodynamics are just as important for gas powered vehicles as they are for EVs.

      Aerodynamics are fundamentally limited for ICE cars by the need to cool the engine. Its the reason why the Honda Accord and a Ferrari F40 have an almost identical co-efficient of drag. If you look at a list of cars sorted by drag co-efficient you can't tell the fuel economy or efficiency from the list.

  10. Re:On behave of inner cities by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    They don't pay attention in English classes, apparently.

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    Ezekiel 23:20
  11. I want a pickup by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

    I get that this could be useful, but where if they can make a semi-truck it seems like they could make an electric pickup. Something capable of hauling around a family, the occasional lumber load or appliance, and towing trailers in the 3000-4000 lb range (a LOT lighter than a semi).

    At least in my area it seems like at least half the vehicles on the roads are trucks, and most of those people actually use them for doing "truck things". Even the most efficient trucks on the road though are still not getting better than ~30mpg highway.

    --
    "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    1. Re:I want a pickup by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      I used to get 30mpg in my Ford Ranger 15 years ago if I was doing mostly highway miles. Of course, Ford decided that if they did away with the Ranger in the US everyone would buy bigger trucks instead. So I've been driving cars ever since and they haven't been Fords.

      I have heard they're considering bringing back the Ranger to the US, if they do, it might be my next "car" if they can improve the fuel efficiency in it to the same degree they have other cars. I loved my Ranger, best "car" I ever had, although I have no desire to drive one of their bigger trucks.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:I want a pickup by Verdatum · · Score: 1

      I specifically want a light pickup, which we haven't really seen in the US for decades because of the tax status for pickup trucks. Presumably, an EV could duck all those problems since they were only put in place because of emissions and fuel economy concerns (and then the industry ducked around it all by creating the SUV, the clever buggers)

    3. Re:I want a pickup by CyclistOne · · Score: 1

      This expresses my sentiments exactly.

    4. Re:I want a pickup by mspohr · · Score: 1

      I think Tesla is planning a pickup truck since they are very popular. I don't know why since most of them that I see on the road are empty in the back "pickup" part.
      I guess people are enamored with the idea that some day they might want to put a board in the back and drive home and do some home improvement work... someday...

      --
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    5. Re:I want a pickup by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      So do I. They sell some in Canada this model year, why can't we buy them in America?

      A plug-in light pickup would be great.

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    6. Re:I want a pickup by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't really look at the bed of trucks coming down the highways as to whether or not they're used. I get plenty of use out of mine, but the bed is still empty most of the time. My truck is my daily transportation first and foremost, but occasionally I'll need to haul something. I tow a boat fishing at least every other weekend, and I'll end up needing to haul something at least every 3 or 4 weeks, but still, the most common time you'll see my truck is when it's empty and I'm just driving it to work.

      Generally though, it's ok. I live within 3 miles of the office so my daily fuel use isn't that big of an expense. Still, if an electric was available that would also perform the tasks I need, AND it was priced well, I'd certainly look into it.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    7. Re:I want a pickup by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My retired father has a well maintained light pick up from the 90. Most of the time the back is empty... you do not go around to move construction material for fun. But when someone need something that do not fit in a car to get move that pickup is so convenient. But you only need one pickup per extended family/small community

  12. Re:On behave of inner cities by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

    that's just downright racist.

  13. Humans can part a trailer just fine by sjbe · · Score: 1

    A driverless lorry could park a trailer accurately, correctly, and safely at a loading dock.

    So can one with a human driver. They do it every day all over the world with excellent results. Nothing wrong with letting the computer do it but let's not pretend humans can't handle the task.

    The sensors would tell it exactly how it aligns and moves, versus a human who uses some visual information and some prior information (intuition) to estimate without a real data stream.

    You think there are no sensors on trucks to assist the human drivers in docking? You need to go visit a warehouse sometime.

    1. Re:Humans can part a trailer just fine by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 4, Funny

      Nothing wrong with letting the computer do it but let's not pretend humans can't handle the task.

      I've met humans. They're dumber than they look.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    2. Re:Humans can part a trailer just fine by nospam007 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "So can one with a human driver. They do it every day all over the world with excellent results. Nothing wrong with letting the computer do it but let's not pretend humans can't handle the task."

      But not 24/7 without any pay.

    3. Re:Humans can part a trailer just fine by Hamsterdan · · Score: 1

      ^this

      "So can one with a human driver. They do it every day all over the world with excellent results. Nothing wrong with letting the computer do it but let's not pretend humans can't handle the task."

      While working at a Coke bottling plant as a student job, one of their drivers would backup his truck (2 45-footers on it) in one move. in 1988 I'm pretty sure he didn't have any electronic assistance, and yet everytime he would dock perfectly, maybe an inch or so between the dock and the second trailer.

      --
      I've got better things to do tonight than die.
    4. Re: Humans can part a trailer just fine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I dunno, you look pretty dumb

    5. Re:Humans can part a trailer just fine by Altus · · Score: 1

      yes, with training and practice humans can do some really amazing things.

      That doesn't mean those jobs wont be replaced by automation... pretending otherwise is just sticking ones head in the sand

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

    6. Re:Humans can part a trailer just fine by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      They do it every day all over the world with excellent results.

      They also do it all over the world with bad results. Truck companies are adding 'auto dock' functions to newer trucks because damage to loading docks happens constantly.

    7. Re:Humans can part a trailer just fine by Hamsterdan · · Score: 1

      "That doesn't mean those jobs wont be replaced by automation... pretending otherwise is just sticking ones head in the sand"

      Unfortunately, you are probably right. The technological jump in the last 3-4 decades is pretty impressive...

      --
      I've got better things to do tonight than die.
    8. Re: Humans can part a trailer just fine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I remember how it's done. Back, back, back, . OK!

    9. Re:Humans can part a trailer just fine by WallyL · · Score: 1

      I've met humans, and over half of them were dumber than average!

    10. Re: Humans can part a trailer just fine by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      I dunno, you look pretty dumb

      You should see how dumb I am!

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    11. Re: Humans can part a trailer just fine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A human driver won't ignore a vandalized stop sign or confuse a Bridge with a brick wall. Right now driver assistance (replacement) tech is in the Circus sideshow phase. It's a shame we're in a hurry to put it into production. Might make a killing.

  14. Pickup buyers are the problem by sjbe · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I get that this could be useful, but where if they can make a semi-truck it seems like they could make an electric pickup.

    I think the problem there is that the typical buyer of a pickup is... ummm, rather conservative so it's a harder sell. It's a big market but the typical buyer tends to have some rather backwards notions about what makes for a drool-worthy vehicle. Go pick up a copy of Diesel Power magazine if you don't believe me. These are people who all too often think getting 12mpg while belching smog is just fine and think they "need" 800ft-lbs of torque even though they rarely haul anything. I think selling them on an EV pickup is going to be a tougher sell than a family sedan.

    Don't get me wrong, I'd buy an EV pickup in a heartbeat. My daily driver is a pickup and I'd happily replace it with an EV if one was good enough. All sorts of advantages to electrification of a truck. Tons of torque, electric power on tap to run power tools, more cargo space, fuel efficiency, etc. What's not to love? Though I have to admit that in many cases a hybrid pickup might make more sense especially as a work truck.

    1. Re: Pickup buyers are the problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      800ft-lbs sounds like pocket change for an electric pickup. I dont tinhk they care one bit for torque becus if they where nuts about that electric is the way to go.

      It is all about coal rolling

    2. Re:Pickup buyers are the problem by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't an electric pickup have better towing performance than a conventional pickup? There should be plenty of pragmatic reasons to pick it over a conventional... or I am sure Tesla wouldn't build it.

    3. Re:Pickup buyers are the problem by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      I'd buy an EV pickup in a heartbeat. My daily driver is a pickup and I'd happily replace it with an EV if one was good enough. All sorts of advantages to electrification of a truck. Tons of torque, electric power on tap to run power tools, more cargo space, fuel efficiency, etc. What's not to love? Though I have to admit that in many cases a hybrid pickup might make more sense especially as a work truck.

      Yup, you could fit some nice long batteries under the bed of an electric pickup, especially with no exhaust or drive linkage (individual motors on wheels would make four-wheel drive a few lines of code). The "more cargo space" would be even better than that -- you'd get something sorely missing on most pickups: an enclosed locking trunk space like a car has, via the front hood no longer having an engine. Now you have someplace to store more expensive tools.

    4. Re:Pickup buyers are the problem by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      I think a pickup would actually be a great use case for a Volt-like hybrid: electric with a diesel engine backup for when you need the range. Since pickups should normally be work vehicles, they might need more range than what an all-electric could currently do (though they do have a lot more space for batteries).

    5. Re:Pickup buyers are the problem by swillden · · Score: 1

      Yeah, an EV pickup would be awesome... but still too expensive, I think. You'd need a 200+ kWh battery to have reasonable range while towing. That's probably $100K just in battery, plus the cost of the rest of the truck. It would probably make sense for commercial fleets with particular needs, but I don't think many consumers would buy one. I mean, ICEV trucks are $60K and people do buy those -- lots of them -- but at more than double the price? It would be a small market, even if you're wrong about truck buyers.

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    6. Re: Pickup buyers are the problem by sjbe · · Score: 1

      That's the thing. Most pickup buyers don't buy their pickups for pragmatic reasons. In fact they buy them seemingly for whatever the opposite of pragmatism is. They buy them for their ego. They lust after features they will seldom use or don't need. Less than 10% everactually go off road but they are built like tanks. Most have way more power and torque than is actually needed. They are bigger than is actually needed. They get terrible gas mileage and attempts to modernize the technology in them is viewed with suspicion.

    7. Re: Pickup buyers are the problem by phrobot · · Score: 1

      "think they need 800 ft-lbs of torque even though they rarely haul anything" Yeah, well the key there is that they do haul things. Ever tried hauling a 6-ton horse trailer with a sedan? That's an exercise in futility, no matter how rarely you try. You *need* torque to move it, strong springs to hold the tongue weight, and mass to control it.

  15. Re:On behave of inner cities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    race-ist? who's winning?

  16. All teslas are lemons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  17. A pipe dream for sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So being in trucking for a 20 years. I can tell you Musk is obviously having a pipe dream if he thinks a all electric truck can work. For one a semi truck can gross around 80,000 lbs and any reduction in that for batteries or other technology won't be attractive to a trucking company. I can only imagine the time it will take to charge a battery large enough for a heavy truck. Especially one that will navigate cities for up to 10 hours if that's even a possibility. If you have to reduce cargo capacity to accommodate weight of batteries, and range of truck. You will probably add to the congestion because it will require more trucks because of this reduced capacity. Its obvious Musk is absolutely clueless on how trucking works.

    1. Re:A pipe dream for sure by Higaran · · Score: 1

      As someone who owns 25 class 8 trucks, I like the idea, but I'm worried about how this will actually work. I'm all for going electric, as long as it's cost efficient vs what is currently available. You currently still need a driver, it can not be driver-less for a long time. Here is the thing, one of the main points of a drivers job is going inside a warehouse to find out what dock he is supposed to go into, then back into said dock and wait to get loaded/unload, part of that is securing the load, and then closing the back doors. If this thing is truly driver-less then who will do that. I could see this work for something like moving freight between 2 different facilities owned by the same company, what will happen when a small company that might not even have a dock, and have to hand load everything.

    2. Re:A pipe dream for sure by AaronW · · Score: 1

      The nice thing about electric motors is that they have torque, a LOT of torque. Put in a big electric motor and 80,000LBs shouldn't be a big problem. The other nice thing is they can deliver that torque at low speed, exactly where trucks need it. It probably won't even need a transmission. Hell, trains haul a hell of a lot more than 80,000LBs and they're powered by electric motors. In the US they're diesel-electric, where the diesel engine drives a generator used to power the motors. In other countries they're just electric without the diesel part.

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    3. Re:A pipe dream for sure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could have a guy at the warehouse do that, kind of like a harbor pilot.

  18. How would trucking AI handle the Calais disaster? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's an enlightening video of a trucker driving near Calais, in France, showing how illegal aliens there attack the truck traffic.

    The situation there presents some very interesting challenges for anyone writing software to automate truck driving.

    There are scenes where the illegal aliens are walking in traffic, in front of the trucks.

    The driver talks about how these illegal aliens try to break into the trucks, or throw rocks and other debris at them.

    At one point the driver gets angry, and rightfully so, because the illegal aliens have damaged or displaced one or more of the mirrors on the truck, limiting the trucker's visibility of the surroundings.

    It would be difficult enough to write software that can handle normal driving conditions.

    But having to handle the sort of threats and dangers posted by these third-world illegal aliens who attack the truck traffic near Calais brings up a whole new set of challenges.

    What should a self-driving truck do if it's swarmed by illegal aliens?

    What should a self-driving truck do if the illegal aliens were to enter it?

    What should a self-driving truck do if the illegal aliens manage to damage it?

  19. We already have those by Solandri · · Score: 1

    They're called trains. We don't run them without a driver out of an overabundance of caution, but the conductor mostly just sits there ready to yank on the brake if something catastrophic happens.

    A driverless truck/lorry won't happen (at least not for several decades if not centuries) because the existing infrastructure won't support it. A good percentage of the places where trucks have to unload their goods aren't actually built for trucks to park and unload. I regularly see tractor trailer drivers make 5, 7, even 9 point turns to position their trailer correctly. Newer businesses in remote areas (lots of cheap land) can be built for easier truck unloading. But existing businesses in cities and areas with high land prices are usually limited in the amount of space they can devote to truck turning/parking. (Loading generally isn't a problem because the distribution warehouses are designed around the trucks, unlike retail stores.)

    Heck, one of the businesses near where I live gets a produce delivery truck every other day who parks in the middle of the street with hazard lights blinking while they unload. That turns the two-lane road (one lane in each direction) into a one lane road where traffic in both directions has to take turns going around the truck. Hardly ideal but it's the only way for a truck to unload cargo at this location. I've wondered how an autonomous car would even deal with a situation like that, much less a driverless truck.

    I don't think a driverless truck will ever happen until the "truck" is redesigned with all-wheel steering and no cabin (engine and drivetrain completely underneath the truck bed). Basically they'd be mobile shipping containers which can pivot and rotate in place or move sideways if need be.

    1. Re:We already have those by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Is it cheaper to pay $12/hr for a driver to make a 3-day cross-country drive, or to pay $12/hr for a driver at the destination to get into each truck and park it as it arrives?

    2. Re:We already have those by acoustix · · Score: 1

      Sorry to burst your bubble, but its already happening and the industry can't wait for it to happen mainstream. Check out the stories of OTTO and their shipments of Budweiser using driverless technology.

      --
      "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
    3. Re:We already have those by Altus · · Score: 1

      Centuries... really?

      God I thought this was a tech website but apparently its run by people who have never seen what computers are capable of... Just look at what tractor trailers looked like 2 centuries ago to have some hint as to how much things have changed.

      --

      "In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson

  20. How they improve safety of drivers by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 1

    I believe the long-term plan to protect driver safety is to allow them to sit at home instead of perform the dangerous job of driving a truck.

    1. Re:How they improve safety of drivers by OhPlz · · Score: 1

      Work from home long haul trucker.

  21. Re:How would trucking AI handle the Calais disaste by AvitarX · · Score: 1

    I imagine you have a caravan of Trucks with two drivers, one in front, one in back, taking 12 hour shifts of being awake.

    You could effectively have 5 long haul trucks running 24 hours instead of 2 running 12 hours for the same staff.

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  22. Re:How would trucking AI handle the Calais disaste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What should a self-driving truck do if it's swarmed by illegal aliens?

    "You have three seconds to comply."

  23. Re:How would trucking AI handle the Calais disaste by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 0

    Replace "illegal aliens" with "blacks", "Muslims", or your scapegoat of choice. Ethnicity and correlation with reality may be region-dependent; correlations with reality may be due to regional demographics rather than actual racial behaviors. Americans take no responsibility for predictive value of scapegoating in either the event-implies-profile or profile-implies-event direction; ethnic profiling provided for entertainment only.

  24. Re:On behave of inner cities by rogoshen1 · · Score: 1

    Statistically speaking? The ones who do the worst at English.

  25. Already done and it works look: by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    http://www.wrightspeed.com/tec...

    Tesla co-founder. Perhaps they are working together? I don't know why Tesla would try to recreate what their co-founder is already doing -- why not work with them? Old grudges? Planning on merging and the deal fell flat?

  26. Pre-Announcement Announcement by Luthair · · Score: 1

    Now first page news. Bubble?

    1. Re:Pre-Announcement Announcement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What? You have never been called to join the advance-meeting to discuss scheduling a pre-meeting-meeting to discuss the strategy for the upcoming meeting... which is in itself just a preliminary meeting to set the agenda for the following meetings?

      (If so, I envy you...)

  27. Tractors can swap when out of power... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tractor / Trailers can swap the trailer at charging stations with a new automated tractor to take over transport while the other tractor recharges...

    Kind of like Tesla and electric cars originally planning on doing battery swaps for long distance...

    1. Re:Tractors can swap when out of power... by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Why bother swapping the cab when you can just swap the battery. If it's like the Model S battery swap it would only take a couple of minutes, less time than it takes to fill up with diesel.

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  28. Re: On behave of inner cities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The one with HB1 visas. They are winning.

  29. Re:On behave of inner cities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think it more likely that you're just technologically ignorant, in addition to being so pedantic and obsessive-compulsive that you can't stop yourself from going to all the trouble to post a comment on the basis of one word that very obviously was substituted by someone's spellcheck on their phone. Step away from the Internet and go take your meds.

  30. Electric trucks are fairly common by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    In India. In China. In Taiwan. In S Korea. And in model year 2017 in Canada.

    Tesla is great at getting free advertising for a quality product.

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    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:Electric trucks are fairly common by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Divco electric trucks were driving around Detroit in the 1930's as milk trucks. The US likely beat everyone else in widely manufactured electric vehicles, by perhaps 50 to 75 years.

  31. Re: Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You should see what I do to the gas cap

  32. Re:How would trucking AI handle the Calais disaste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Americans take no responsibility for predictive value of scapegoating in either the event-implies-profile or profile-implies-event direction

    You misspelled "humans". Or did you seriously think that you were describing a trait that is either universal among or exclusive to humans from one particular area?

  33. Supply and demand by knorthern+knight · · Score: 1

    > Not at all. What you are not taking into account is that electric vehicles
    > requires significantly less maintenance and electricity is cheap.

    Electricity is cheap *TODAY*. Diesel fuel used to be a lot cheaper than gasoline. Then diesel cars became common, and the resulting demand pushed up diesel fuel prices. A big switchover from diesel fiel to electricity for trucks will push up electricity prices, and possibly lower diesel fuel prices. It's the demand side of supply and demand.

    --

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    1. Re:Supply and demand by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      The funny thing is that if you don't like the price of electricity, you can just get some solar panels and tell the power companies to fuck off because they don't control the sun.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    2. Re:Supply and demand by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Actually, gasoline refinement used to be a highly-complex process requiring larger amounts of total labor (in part due to consuming much more fuel). Diesel was always cheap and easy to refine. We developed improved gasoline refinement processes, and the price of gasoline didn't increase as fast as the price of oil and inflation--diesel followed along as prices went up, gasoline lagged behind.

      Supply-and-demand isn't the basis of economics. There's enough supply of gasoline and diesel and a big enough demand market of each that the margins applied from refinement out are controlled by actual costs. That is to say: all refineries have access to the same oil suppliers; and there are enough refineries with the capacity to produce more or less gasoline or diesel that they can profit in volume by undercutting the competition until they get relatively close to costs. Neither gasoline nor diesel is scarce, so refineries don't have to scale up beyond linear capacity, thus they aren't adding real costs and driving the price up in that manner.

      That was also the stable state a few decades ago, and then someone figured out a better way to make gasoline. That means one refinery could start scaling up gasoline production and undercut the entire market, using the profits to buy out its competition (it's safe to just let your competitors have the diesel market while you do this); since every refinery had both the capacity to capture more market share and the threat of being undercut by competition, they all started doing this.

      Now if you double or triple the demand for gasoline or diesel overnight, the capacity just won't be there. They'll have to run in an inefficient manner to get more output by expending more fuel and bringing in more personnel while they scale up facilities, which will raise actual costs (scarcity), and thus push the price up. If production still can't physically meet demand, you have a shortage, which means speculators get in on it and start buying from suppliers and selling to the highest bidder, driving prices up by way of large profit margins. Note the complex set of conditions involved and the various states to which the market may exist.

    3. Re:Supply and demand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The added demand for electricity could be an issue for some places that have a limited supply.

      Many truck drivers are owner operators at least here in Canada they may not be in any hurry to make a massive investment.

      If driver less trucks take off this will be a serious hit to employment and here they do not make a $12 an hour.

    4. Re:Supply and demand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Diesel fuel used to be a lot cheaper than gasoline

      It still is. The difference is about 0 cents a litre in many countries.

  34. Re:On behave of inner cities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The master race?

  35. Electric is Short-haul & it does it already by bjamesv · · Score: 1

    http://www.wrightspeed.com/tec...

    Tesla co-founder. Perhaps they are working together? ...

    frequent-stop drive cycles

    [Emphasis mine] - this is not a replacement for the hundred million trucks we see hauling goods world-wide.

    Electric (and LNG, etc.) is already a proven applications for urban, stop & go style, short-haul trucking. (Not that Phase2: More Customers, is a bad thing...)

  36. Why Elon? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Semi truck"

    Why make only half a truck when you could make the whole truck? Why Elon, why??

  37. Re: Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced.. by mspohr · · Score: 1

    Ah! You have proof?
    All I've seen is ignorant speculation.

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  38. Re: Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced.. by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    Recent Forbes article.

    --
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  39. Re: Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced. by mspohr · · Score: 1

    Ignorant speculation

    --
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  40. Re:On behave of inner cities by F34nor · · Score: 1

    Probably attributable to lead poisoning from gas additives.

  41. Re: Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your use of language makes you sound like a retarded dimbass moron.

  42. Electrified pickups by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I think a pickup would actually be a great use case for a Volt-like hybrid: electric with a diesel engine backup for when you need the range.

    Agreed. I've been saying something similar for years. I've thought something similar for long haul trucks as well. A diesel electric hybrid semi just seems to make all the sense in the world. Make it a diesel electric powertrain similar to a locomotive for the bigger trucks. Diesels work great on the highway at steady state speeds. The electric motors could be used for acceleration and the truck could go electric only around town.

    Since pickups should normally be work vehicles, they might need more range than what an all-electric could currently do (though they do have a lot more space for batteries).

    The hybrid would also allow them to power their tools for longer than would be possible with just an EV. Quite frankly an EV-hybrid pickup just seems to make a huge amount of sense if they could be bothered to do it right. It's probably the most practical electrified vehicle they could make for the mass market. Makes WAY more sense than a sedan or hatchback.

  43. EV pickup economics by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Yeah, an EV pickup would be awesome... but still too expensive, I think.

    I think you're being a little too pessimistic. Prices for battery packs are falling and in a few years when someone (Tesla?) bothers to do this sort of truck I think the economics of it will be fairly reasonable. Pricey at first to be sure like any new technology but I think there is cause for optimism looking forward.

    You'd need a 200+ kWh battery to have reasonable range while towing.

    Not if you made it a hybrid. I think a hybrid actually makes more sense for a pickup anyway, especially for a work truck. Problem is that nobody has bothered to do an electrified pickup properly yet, hybrid or pure EV. But if we go pure EV, GM has stated that their costs for battery packs are already around $145/kWh which would put your 200kWh battery pack at around $29,000. Expensive sure, but not prohibitively so. If they can build the rest of the truck for under $30,000 (and we know they can) then they are competitive with current high end pickups right out of the gate. Make it a hybrid and you could cut the cost of the battery pack by more than half.

    I mean, ICEV trucks are $60K and people do buy those -- lots of them -- but at more than double the price?

    Like I said, I don't think you'd have to double the price to get something pretty reasonable on the road.

    1. Re:EV pickup economics by swillden · · Score: 2

      Yeah, an EV pickup would be awesome... but still too expensive, I think.

      I think you're being a little too pessimistic. Prices for battery packs are falling and in a few years when someone (Tesla?) bothers to do this sort of truck I think the economics of it will be fairly reasonable. Pricey at first to be sure like any new technology but I think there is cause for optimism looking forward.

      I agree that in a few years it will be feasible.

      You'd need a 200+ kWh battery to have reasonable range while towing.

      Not if you made it a hybrid. I think a hybrid actually makes more sense for a pickup anyway, especially for a work truck. Problem is that nobody has bothered to do an electrified pickup properly yet, hybrid or pure EV. But if we go pure EV, GM has stated that their costs for battery packs are already around $145/kWh which would put your 200kWh battery pack at around $29,000. Expensive sure, but not prohibitively so. If they can build the rest of the truck for under $30,000 (and we know they can) then they are competitive with current high end pickups right out of the gate. Make it a hybrid and you could cut the cost of the battery pack by more than half.

      I'd like a hybrid with a detachable ICE which is placed in the bed, up front like a large truck box so it wouldn't interfere with fifth-wheel or gooseneck towing, and with extendable legs so you can jack it up and drive the truck out from underneath it. This would allow you to eliminate most of the front hood; you'd still need to keep a bit for a crumple zone, but wouldn't need much. That would be a huge improvement for off-road driving, where the big projecting hood often obscures the driver's vision of the road. The ICE wouldn't need to be big enough to fully power the vehicle while towing a tall load at highway speeds, it would just need to provide enough range extension to give you, say, 300 miles loaded range. Then you could recharge the battery at a charging station, or let the ICE recharge it, while you eat, etc.

      Of course, most of the time I'd keep the ICE parked and use the truck as a pure EV. Give me a couple hundred miles of unloaded range and my everyday driving is covered, and then some.

      For camping, I'd drop the ICE in and hook up the camp trailer and take everything up to the mountains, then drop both trailer and ICE at the camp site. The ICE could act as a generator, if needed (though my camp trailer has solar panels), and I could roam the hills on electric power, with the very low center of gravity provided by that big battery along the very bottom of the vehicle (and the big steel plate underneath it). When the battery gets low, back to camp to recharge from the ICE.

      What would make it even better is if you could power the vehicle with hub motors, and put the wheels on four independently-suspended extensible jacks. That would dramatically increase the net clearance, with no axles or down-hanging differentials, and would allow the truck to be lowered close to the road for better efficiency on the highway or raised for greater clearance off-road. You could even lift one side for traversing a hillside. And you would no longer have to raise or lower trailer tongue jacks. Lower the truck, back the ball under the tongue or gooseneck and raise the truck. No need for pneumatic levelers, obviously. Granted that there are a lot of challenges with hub motors, since they're unsprung weight, but I think it could be done and there would be huge advantages.

      For boating, most of the time I don't go far so I'm sure I could leave the ICE home. But this raises the possibility of getting an electric boat... which the truck's ICE could also be used to recharge on extended trips. I'm a little skeptical of the practicality of an electric ski boat, though. Given how they burn

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    2. Re:EV pickup economics by sjbe · · Score: 1

      Sounds like you and I have more or less the same ideas about EV pickups. I'm just baffled that nobody has really tried to make one yet. It seems obvious to me that a pickup is among the best candidates for electrification but maybe there is something I don't understand. I agree about the detachable ICE idea though depending on the application an integrated one would be fine too.

      I drive a Honda Ridgeline as my daily driver and Honda could easily make that truck into a PHEV. Just convert some/all of the in bed trunk into a battery storage area and it could easily be turned into a hybrid. And Honda already knows how to do hybrids pretty well. I think they'd sell quite a few if they marketed it correctly. Instead they've just made a sort of mediocre pickup version of a Honda Pilot. Good vehicle but less than it could be.

    3. Re:EV pickup economics by swillden · · Score: 1

      My thoughts focus more on larger trucks since that's what I need/use -- mine is a Ford F350, though I could probably do fine with a 3/4 ton -- which may be harder to make cost-effective. I think they'll get there.

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  44. Coal rolling by sjbe · · Score: 1

    800ft-lbs sounds like pocket change for an electric pickup. I dont tinhk they care one bit for torque becus if they where nuts about that electric is the way to go.

    It's not that they don't care but rather that they understand how much torque electric motors generate. To them they hear electric and they (incorrectly) think Prius and those "commie liberal eco-nuts" instead of more accurately thinking diesel-locomotive. My point is that their choice of pickup rarely has much correlation with their actual needs and they insist that pickups keep Flintsone's era technology even when it actually harms performance.

    It is all about coal rolling

    No argument that there definitely is a fair bit of this going on. People that do this are just of big of assholes as those who ride Harley-Davidson motorcycles because they like the noise.

  45. Location of the radiator by sjbe · · Score: 1

    EV's have more flexibility in location of the radiator but I believe some if not all still have them.

    The point was that they don't need the radiator UP FRONT at the nose of the vehicle where it completely screws up aerodynamics. Some can still use one but EVs can place it in different spots where it won't reduce fuel economy nearly so badly.

  46. Long haul vs regional by sjbe · · Score: 1

    It's implied by the descriptive term "semi truck".

    Semi trucks are used for a lot more than just long haul transport. If it can make it 500 miles (not unreasonable) that's plenty far enough to cover regional transport needs which cover a huge percentage of the market. Local routes are an enormous market.

  47. Obviously... by pr0t0 · · Score: 1

    Yes, of course wind resistance happens regardless of the power plant, but that's not really what I'm talking about. If you look at most semis, they don't have the aerodynamic styling that cars do. Look at the classic "cab-over" design. It's a flat wall barreling into the wind at highway speeds. Why? You might think that given how important fuel costs are to that industry, particularly for owner-operators, trucks would be more aerodynamic but they're not.

    The reason is practicality. The sacrifice in space, or extra space, required to make the cab aerodynamic does not make sense given the current nature of that industry. The tractor has to have enough space to accommodate the enormous engine, and have a cab that's comfortable enough for the driver to spend long hours while driving, and sleep in when not for long-haul. States have strict vehicle length limitations, and adding length to the tractor to allow for the engine, the driver, and aerodynamics means reducing the space allowed for the freight.

    With an EV truck, the mix of needs changes though. The power plant is likely smaller and could probably be placed behind the driver instead of in front or below. This would allow for a more aerodynamic shape which is critical for an EV because charging stations along highways are not ubiquitous like fuel stations are. The EV truck really has to get every mile it can on a charge otherwise use-case just isn't there.

    --
    I'm sorry, but your opinion seems to be wrong.
  48. Musk should reconsider the Hybrid for Semi Trucks by Rob+Lister · · Score: 1

    I may have gotten some of the math wrong so feel free to double check me. If I leave all things as they are and just replace the Semi engine with an electric one and only consider the weight of the battery pack and how that impacts performance, it looks like an all electric semi isn't a very good idea. I get that one could change the way a driver takes breaks, etc, but I'm taking it as it is now.

    The max legal drive time for a driver is 11 hours.
    The Max distance traveled over that 11 hours is 660 mi
    150 MJ/gal = actual energy in diesel (google)
    .5 = Max theoretical efficiency of a diesel engine
    75 MJ/gal = energy used over that actual mile (150 x .5)
    7 = mpg for a typical fully loaded semi (google)
    11 MJ/mi = energy used over a typical mile (75/7)
    3.6 MJ/kwh = joules to kwh conversion (google)
    So...
    3 kwh/mi = kwh required to move the truck one typical mile (11/3.6)
    2000 kwh battery pack is needed (3kwh * 660 mi)
    85 kwh Model S battery weighs 1200 lbs (google)
    15 lbs/kwh = weight of batters (1200/85)
    30,000 = weight of 2000kwh battery pack

    Since ...
    The max legal weight of a semi, trailer, cab, cargo, is 80,000lbs. (google)
    The batteries will constitute 37% of the total load (30k/80k)

    A typical Semi, with an empty trailer attached, is roughly 22,000 lbs, call it 20000 with no engine (google)
    That's a 25% of the the max weight.

    That doesn't leave much to actually Haul in the Long Haul.

    But if we limit the battery pack to 200kwh, charge it though breaking and a smaller diesel engine always running at a constant load at a peak efficiency, I think you'd see a great improvement in overall efficiency.

  49. Trucks are status symbols by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Yeah, well the key there is that they do haul things.

    There is plenty of evidence to suggest that a majority of pickups are not used to tow anything and even those that do only do so occasionally. Trucks are often as not status symbols rather than practical tools. You don't need a $40-60K pimped out ride to haul a trailer. People use them as daily drivers even when doing so is wildly uneconomical.

    Ever tried hauling a 6-ton horse trailer with a sedan?

    Most people that own pickups will never haul a 6 ton horse trailer either. No sure what your point is.

    Trucks from 30 years ago somehow managed to tow all the stuff we do now and they did so with substantially less horsepower and torque. Pickup buyers are mostly feeding their egos rather than rationally examining their needs. I own a pickup that can tow 5000lbs and it's been plenty for everything I've ever needed. I use the heck of out of the pickup bed. It has about 260hp which is more than plenty for most people's needs. True some need something beefier but that's the exception that proves the rule.

    1. Re: Trucks are status symbols by phrobot · · Score: 1

      ...and a $90,000, 0-60 3 sec Tesla is not a status symbol? Clearly the more economical, utilitarian choice. Tell me, what size refridgerator can you fit in the frunk?

    2. Re: Trucks are status symbols by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      I tow with my truck only on the weekends for fishing. It wasnt some crazy expensive vehicle. It's a work Truck trimmed Colorado with a v6 that was $25k brand new. I also use it as a daily driver because while a more fuel efficient vehicle might be more efficient, BUYING a second vehicle just for fuel efficiency will take forever (if ever) to break even on.

      If you need to tow aand nd haul, then you're best bet is to get a relatively exp

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
  50. Re: Tesla will flourish if complexity is reduced.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Morons like you will always feel threaten by those with more intelligence like me.

  51. Where's an electric pickup? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    gimme something like an older Ford Ranger, or the newer Transit Connect van, sitting on an older Model S style chassis. More than enough range for a full day of around down deliveries or parts-chasing or hauling light job site gear. Or go with a Model X chassis and have an electric Tacoma sized rig that can crawl with full torque at low RPM and is silent on trails.

  52. Rhetorical strawman by sjbe · · Score: 1

    ...and a $90,000, 0-60 3 sec Tesla is not a status symbol?

    Exactly where did I talk about Tesla specifically in regards to pickups in this thread? I'm talking about the fact that people buy pickups who clearly do not need pickups and would be better served by a different type of vehicle. Yes Tesla's are status symbols but they are purchased by people who would mostly otherwise buy a Mercedes or BMW. Equally absurd in its own way EXCEPT for the fact that there are no other vehicles on the market quite like the Tesla. Every other pure EV out there is some ugly econobox that performs like crap.

    Tell me, what size refridgerator can you fit in the frunk?

    Hard to say since Tesla has only teased their version of a pickup and won't have one on the market for several years.