Slashdot Mirror


8 In 10 People Now See Climate Change As a 'Catastrophic Risk,' Says Survey (trust.org)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from the Thomas Reuters Foundation: Nearly nine in 10 people say they are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe, a survey on global threats found Wednesday. The survey of more than 8,000 people in eight countries -- the United States, China, India, Britain, Australia, Brazil, South Africa and Germany -- found that 84 percent of people now consider climate change a "global catastrophic risk." That puts worry about climate change only slightly behind fears about large-scale environmental damage and the threat of politically motivated violence escalating into war, according to the Global Challenges Foundation, which commissioned the Global Catastrophic Risks 2017 report. The survey, released in advance of this week's G7 summit of advanced economies in Italy, also found that 85 percent of people think the United Nations needs reforms to be better equipped to address global threats. About 70 percent of those surveyed said they think it may be time to create a new global organization -- with power to enforce its decisions -- specifically designed to deal with a wide range of global risks. Nearly 60 percent said they would be prepared to have their country give up some level of sovereignty to make that happen.

227 of 384 comments (clear)

  1. But President Trump goes by RotateLeftByte · · Score: 4, Funny

    Fake News. La-la-la-la-la-la I can't hear you.

    --
    I'd rather be riding my '63 Triumph T120.
    1. Re: But President Trump goes by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      And I bet they were also the ones they interviewed. Damn those foreigners with their crazy ideas.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    2. Re:But President Trump goes by taiwanjohn · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Trump, plus a good percentage of the US population, which means the ratios must be much higher in the other countries surveyed in order to average out to 80% overall. According to Gallup, just 42% of Americans "Think global warming will pose a serious threat in their lifetime." Obviously that's not exactly the same thing as "catastrophic risk" with no time constraint, but it's frankly lower than I expected.

      Pew has a more lengthy survey which does a detailed breakdown of views by political affiliation. Here's one aspect I found intriguing:

      One thing that doesn’t strongly influence opinion on climate issues, perhaps surprisingly, is one’s level of general scientific literacy. According to the survey, the effects of having higher, medium or lower scores on a nine-item index of science knowledge tend to be modest and are only sometimes related to people’s views about climate change and climate scientists, especially in comparison with party, ideology and concern about the issue. But, the role of science knowledge in people’s beliefs about climate matters is varied and where a relationship occurs, it is complex. To the extent that science knowledge influences people’s judgments related to climate change and trust in climate scientists, it does so among Democrats, but not Republicans. For example, Democrats with high science knowledge are especially likely to believe the Earth is warming due to human activity, to see scientists as having a firm understanding of climate change, and to trust climate scientists’ information about the causes of climate change. But Republicans with higher science knowledge are no more or less likely to hold these beliefs. Thus, people’s political orientations also tend to influence how knowledge about science affects their judgments and beliefs about climate matters and their trust in climate scientists.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    3. Re:But President Trump goes by Dorianny · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In general the less educated Conservatives tend to believe that the whole Climate Change things is a conspiracy against economic development by the "business hating Liberals," while the more educated ones tend to discount certain aspects of the body of research, such as how much influence human activity has on Climate change or the severity of the effects of Climate change will have on the World, especially the United States. With the research getting stronger and stronger with each new study it will get harder and harder for them to keep up the facade that the research is just not convincing

    4. Re:But President Trump goes by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Republicans have an ideological opposition to taxation and government regulation, and tend to think of everything in those terms, so naturally when the solution might cost them money or impose some restriction on them they assume it's just a conspiracy.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:But President Trump goes by No+Longer+an+AC · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You have been modded "Funny" but I think there is some insightfulness there:

      "Nearly nine in 10 people say they are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe,"

      Oh really?

      Last things first - there's that huge qualification that they would do it "if it would prevent future climate catastrophe". Most of us don't believe we have much if any impact at all. If I do have an impact, it's terribly insignificant.

      And we'd make changes to our standard of living? Wait a minute there - are you talking about any major changes?

      Because I can only do so much. I already do try to make as little impact on the environment as I can. If someone wants to suggest an easy way for me to do better I'm all for it, but I'm not going to inconvenience myself too much. It's too warm in here right now. I could open a window, but I'm gonna turn on the AC instead! Seriously.

      But I recycle every soda can that I buy! Well, that's good but I can only recycle as much as I already am.

      So I do think it's at least sort of fake. Most of us aren't going to do any more than we're already doing. I do care about the environment, but to be honest I'm not willing to sacrifice my standard of living. I like my car and my AC and I'm not going to stop buying things because they come with too much plastic packaging. (Would I really refuse to buy a product just because its packaging wasn't eco-friendly?)

      Quite frankly, the only things I can think of to do that would be more eco-friendly are too much trouble for me to bother with or would have very little impact if any.

      So while it's probably true that nearly 9 in 10 people say they would change their standard of living to save the planet I think it's "fake" to think that nearly 9 in 10 people would actually bother to make any significant changes to their standard of living.

      What would I give up? Nothing.

      I think it's more likely that nearly 9 in 10 people are either dishonest or aren't seriously considering a lower standard of living.

      --

      Or to put it in simpler terms....if you told someone they could save the planet if they just recycled their empty soda cans they'd probably do it, but if you told them they'd have to stop drinking soda they would laugh at you - not that recycling aluminum cans is going to save the planet but I do it anyway.

      It would probably be better for the planet and definitely better for my health if I didn't drink soda in the first place, but screw that!

    6. Re:But President Trump goes by mellon · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It is cyclical, but there is nothing in the fossil record showing as rapid an upward cycle as we are seeing now. That's why the worry.

    7. Re:But President Trump goes by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      Not a Republican. While I do believe that the climate is changing and is affected by man, I do believe that it is also cyclical. These cooling and warming periods come and go over time. Humans have likely accelerated this to the detriment of the planet. Quite a few experts on both sides of the argument believe we are actually headed for a period of cooling.

      I know it's a tired meme, but I do think we need a citation in this case.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    8. Re:But President Trump goes by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      Not a Republican. While I do believe that the climate is changing and is affected by man, I do believe that it is also cyclical. These cooling and warming periods come and go over time. Humans have likely accelerated this to the detriment of the planet. Quite a few experts on both sides of the argument believe we are actually headed for a period of cooling.

      Earth's climate is dynamic and always the process of change however baring natural disasters such as large meteors or supervolcanos, natural climate change occurs in geologic timescales (at least thousands of years). What we are witnessing is Climate Change occurring practically within a human's lifespan

    9. Re:But President Trump goes by jellomizer · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Survey questions are misleading.
      Thinking global warming will not pose a serious threat in their lifetime. is different from being a climate denier.

      Science is solid on that Global warming is real and man made and that it proposes a risk. However the science is less solid on the scope and rate. Also depending on the age of person asked a Lifetime would be a decade - 4 generations.

      The pooling will need to combine many questions asked differently to really get a good view of the persons viewpoint.
      So most people have a hard time separating climate from weather. So a 4 degree change in their weather doesn't seem like big deal. When winter is -6c vs -10c no big deal it is still cold. when the summer gets 34c vs 30c it is still very hot.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    10. Re:But President Trump goes by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I would avoid jumping onto the conclusions that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals. The larger correlation is that liberals will live more in Urban Areas, while Conservatives live in Rural areas. In these different areas, their world view is different. In Urban areas, a strong government is an overall positive, as there are services that need to be provided, and with a lot of people working closely together, a strong rule of law and regulations is needed for that area to function. In rural areas they are more left to fend for themselves, there tax money is going to places where they will see no benefit, and there is a culture if you have a problem you need to solve it yourself. So such regulations proposed by the government seem like an overall negative.
      Now both areas have highly educated people, and less educated who will vote for whatever party. In urban areas the Poor are often under educated and vote liberal because government is trying to prevent them from dying, as the city environment can prevent them from living off the land and being able to fend for themselves. In rural areas, the poor who have resources to fend for themselves, doesn't need rules and regulations trying to stop them from doing what they need to do to live.
      Conservatives seem to rule corporate higher management, and even modern farmers you need to be just as technical savvy as a Silicon Valley tech worker. These people have those degrees, but because they are working commercial they tend not to flaunt them as much. While in urban areas, there are more colleges and universities, and government agencies, where people will need the education status to help push their agendas.
      Now in terms of Science. Liberal groups have seemed to reject science that says "This product is safe" (GMO, Vaccines...) because they expect government to make sure what we do is safe. While Conservative groups reject science that says "This product is dangerous" (Global Warming, Fracking...) because they are afraid that government will take away necessary tools for them.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    11. Re:But President Trump goes by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      "...while the more educated ones..."

      Given the state of education in the US, is this necessarily a good thing? Is much non-real-science education now just a status signifier?

    12. Re:But President Trump goes by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      "Conservatives seem to rule corporate higher management"

      Does this apply in the tech industries, though?

    13. Re:But President Trump goes by ranton · · Score: 1

      I would avoid jumping onto the conclusions that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals.

      In all fairness he never said that. He made a distinction between the rationalizations used by educated conservatives vs uneducated ones. No opinion regarding the relative education between liberals and conservatives were mentioned. If anything his entire comment was an acknowledgement that climate science denial is not just a problem among the uneducated.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    14. Re:But President Trump goes by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

      There are numbers on this subject. We really don't need to guess or say "Well it goes both ways cause I know some people on both sides" or "we don't really know do we?" Because we do: conservatives tend to have less education while liberals tend to have more. Not an absolute, sure, but there's clear bias.

      The urban government useful vs rural government bad thing is one factor probably, but there's definitely an element of tribalism going on in the GOP today that causes some uneducated rural whites to vote for Trump. And the GOP has definitely undergone a brain drain where all they stand for is saying "no" to anything besides tax cuts.

    15. Re:But President Trump goes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I am perfectly willing to change my standard of living to avoid catastrophe, but I want to see us being smart and doing what it takes. For example, large expansion of nuclear energy is a necessary element to major global CO2 reduction. If we are not including that in our path forward because of ignorance and FUD mongering, then screw it. Let the ignorant lower their standards, my children will suffer enough because of them.

    16. Re:But President Trump goes by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Most of us don't believe we have much if any impact at all.

      Are you projecting your own believes on everyone else? Don't do that.

      You're like a fad diet of environmentalism. You only put in any token effort if someone else has done all the hard work for you.

      What would I give up? Nothing.

      Nope I stand corrected. You're not even on the fad level.

    17. Re:But President Trump goes by Ogive17 · · Score: 2

      As someone who lives in rural America, most people here don't realize how much Federal aid comes our way. They just assume that because our taxes are lower than urban areas, it means our costs are lower and that we more wisely use the tax revenue. In fact, we probably (making an assumption without citation) receive more federal money per capita than urban areas. More roads, more utilities, more police, more fire are needed to provide the same service in my town of 25k that is spread out over approximately 12 sq. miles (31 sq. km).

      Education level does not matter, life experience matters. Most people here have never spent more than a week or two (vacations) away from the region and have certainly not traveled to other countries. They don't know the benefits of urban living and don't care to learn about them. It's different from their life and they'd rather be ignorant about it.

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    18. Re:But President Trump goes by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      I'm not a climate scientist but that doesn't sound correct didn't the last glacial have an ubrupt warming period?
       

    19. Re:But President Trump goes by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Leonardo DiCaprio's lifestyle produces more CO2 in a year than my lifestyle will produce in a lifetime. Likewise all the politicians. Why would I change my lifestyle when they haven't changed theirs? Deal with the small group responsible for the majority of emissions first. Ban all government air travel. They can teleconference around the world, they don't need to travel. And stop the Hollywood crowd from jet-setting around the world. Do this, and then I'll consider how I can cut my own emissions.

    20. Re:But President Trump goes by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      The people you're thinking of are not 'less educated', they're 'wilfully ignorant', which is vastly different.

    21. Re: But President Trump goes by Miamicanes · · Score: 1

      Technically, the "Medieval Warm Period" (and the "Little Ice Age" that followed) occurred over the span of just a few hundred years, and made a sufficiently-big difference to flip Greenland from "cold, but still-farmable" to "mostly abandoned, because farming became almost a lost cause there".

      Politicians on both sides are guilty of using climate change as a proxy war. The sensible middle ground is to engineer new construction (and future reconstruction/upgrades) to just assume 10 feet of sea-level rise over the next 100 years & assume it's going to happen regardless of carbon or methane arising from human activity.

      Florida will not be abandoned to rising seas. If anything, rising seas will cause saltwater intrusion into wellfields, making agriculture in Florida unprofitable (reverse osmosis is expensive, but the economic impact is MUCH bigger on farmers). With farms gone, their now-cheap land (mostly inland) will become attractive to developers. The "coastal poor" sell out & move inland, and their increasingly-soggy old neighborhoods will get bought up, bulldozed, raised by 10 feet, and rebuilt into expensive new homes purchased by the wealthy.

      Ironically, climate change will probably cause Florida to grow & become MORE urban. Florida's natural ecosystem will be mostly destroyed... NOBODY is going to pay trillions of dollars to protect abstract swampland... but developers WILL spend billions of dollars teraforming a chunk of that soggy swampland into land suitable for tens of billions of dollars worth of NEW condos, office towers, and malls.

      A hundred years from now, Lake Okeechobee will be double its current size, occupy most of western Palm Beach & Broward counties, and be a gigantic freshwater reservoir. The area adjacent to the lake (now farmland) will be home to 25 million new residents, and both coastlines (east & west) will be Manhattan-like expanses of skyscrapers & landscaping, with every hint of Florida's original terrain erased & built-over. In Miami, people will think "Overtown" has ALWAYS been a wealthy residential downtown neighborhood, and "Liberty City" will exist only as the vestigial label on USGS maps next to streets named after French wines, Mediterranean cities & plants, and jewels.

    22. Re:But President Trump goes by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      I think there's another interpretation of these facts which you have neglected to consider. Many people might make substantial changes to their lifestyle if they believed that it would do any good. But do you know what happens when individuals make changes to lifestyle? Fuck-all. The majority of people can't or won't make substantial changes, so those people's efforts is just pissing in the wind.

      The majority of environmental damage benefits not the poor, but the ultra-wealthy. Most of those people don't give one tenth of one fuck about you or me, and are utterly unwilling to make substantive changes in their lifestyles. The few that are willing to make changes have the economic power to have substantial environmental impact, but they are overwhelmed by the rest. The poor aren't shopping at Wal-Mart because they think it's fancy. They're not buying imported Chinese foodstuffs because they think they're of high quality. They're buying what they can afford.

      TL;DR: You're not going to get poor people to make changes while rich people are flying past in their own private jets. And since most people in the world are poor, there's only one direction in which to look for where the changes need to occur.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    23. Re:But President Trump goes by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I would avoid jumping onto the conclusions that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals.

      That's because you fear reality's well-known liberal bias. Don't be scared, it's just a fact.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    24. Re:But President Trump goes by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      And liberals, educated or not, tend to deny that the % of variation due to man is unknown. So which of the three groups is anti-science, again?

    25. Re:But President Trump goes by orgelspieler · · Score: 1

      You need to check your facts on the anti-vaxx movement. Plenty of nutjobs on both sides there. Just look at the recent outbreaks in deep-red East Texas. They think it's the damn gubberment tellin me to give my kids shots they don't need to give the libral big pharma all my money.

    26. Re:But President Trump goes by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Really now? And here I thought the fossil record was accurate to +- 4000 years.

      But our great AGW promoters are comparing year over year records. Hmmm. What stock chart shows more volatility the minute chart or the year chart?

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    27. Re:But President Trump goes by greythax · · Score: 1

      In 100 years?

    28. Re: But President Trump goes by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Conservatives aren't less educated.

    29. Re:But President Trump goes by greythax · · Score: 1

      You hit the nail on the head. People don't want to change the way they live. That is why for vast and rapid change, you will never get anywhere without legislation/public works. Honestly, at this point, we should stop throwing around the "what will I have to sacrifice" trope. The answer is almost nothing. You will still have lights, but they will be LED lights that you have to change less often. You will still have a car, but it will be a hybrid that you have to fill up less often. Your power will come partially from your roof, and you will have to buy less electricity from your provider.

      Lets stop pretending that this debate is really anything more than us sticking with old technologies because we are lazy and lack the will to replace them with better ones. In the grand scheme of things, your soda habits will mean almost nothing against the regulation of the prime contributors to this problem. And implemented responsibly, any change should be nearly transparent/nothing but good news for you the consumer.

    30. Re:But President Trump goes by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Another poster mentioned the Medieval Warm Period.

      As temperatures warmed farmers could sow crops on higher and higher elevations. As temperatures dropped the reverse was true.

      We have tax records of farm lands that showed people abandoning farm lands as the temperature dropped. We see a drastic reduction of available farm land - followed by ever worse famines in a 40 year period (1280 to 1320). The cold, wet, harsher, environment brought with it a recurrence of plagues.

      Europe had plagues every generation from roughly 200AD to 700AD. There then were basically no plagues for 600+ years until 1347 and then there were plagues every generation until roughly 1700.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    31. Re:But President Trump goes by pr0fessor · · Score: 1

      I think it was an abrupt warming followed by an abrupt cooling that lasted for about 2,000 years for both together but don't quote me on that I read about it in the 70s or 80s.

    32. Re:But President Trump goes by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      So, just curious - what would YOU give up?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    33. Re:But President Trump goes by cbeaudry · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Wrong. Fossil records do not have the resolution for which to compare rate of change. 100 year rate changes are smoothed by the resolution, so there is no way of telling if the current rate of 0.85c over 150 years is unique, however it most likely is not at all.

    34. Re:But President Trump goes by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Seriously, I don't have a measurable impact on the climate. Now, if you lump in about three hundred million of my best friends, we have a lot of impact. It's a tragedy of the commons.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    35. Re:But President Trump goes by AaronW · · Score: 1

      Obligatory XKCD: https://xkcd.com/1732/

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    36. Re:But President Trump goes by AaronW · · Score: 2

      Here's a good graph showing warming and cooling.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    37. Re:But President Trump goes by AaronW · · Score: 1

      You do know that Al Gore heavily retrofitted his house and sources green energy for it.

      http://www.factcheck.org/2009/...

      Or that Bill Nye backed a solar panel startup?

      http://www.computerworld.com/a...

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    38. Re:But President Trump goes by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      Jesus Christ, buddy. Can you NOT refrain from talking about Trump in every conversation? I bet you're a hoot at Parties.

      Host: care for some canapes?
      You: Canapes, sounds like something TRUMP might eat.
      Host: Go F yourself.

    39. Re:But President Trump goes by microbox · · Score: 1

      The IPCC reports specify estimated risks for different scenarios. People who say that outcomes are uncertain never bother with risk analysis, and balk at talk of the precautionary principle. So, say there's an estimated 30% change that there will be no severe consequences. OBVIOUSLY that means nothing should be done, since that's what we want to happen.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    40. Re:But President Trump goes by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Jesus, man, you're really raving off on many tangents there. The "elites" of the DNC did what that is worse than screwing over the climate or trying to ban a religion?

      No one that I can see is saying "just trust us we know what we're doing" if one's attention span is longer than a 2 year old. HRC talked as long as anyone was willing to listen to her, but the news was too busy covering the latest insult to a a minority group from the asshole of Trump. Climate change scientists publish hundreds of online articles a year detailing everything, but all conservatives are looking for is out of context quotes. It's like when Pelosi pointed out the GOP was spewing so many lies about Obamacare that America would never understand it until after it was passed. Predictably, the right wing told people she meant it was secret. She was right. Ten seconds of reading on Obamacare at any time would have revealed to most GOP voters Obamacare would be good for them, but the uneducated GOP voters don't have that capacity until it's about to be taken away and their health care bills are about to skyrocket up.

      What does Obama's lifestyle have to do with anything?

      The color of their skin matters because they're attacking every other color of skin. They have no common sense which is why they voted for their own healthcare to be repealed.

      You do effectively prove that education is not the end all be all. I'm sure you have some education, yet

    41. Re:But President Trump goes by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Look I'd like to believe you random internet person, but the full weight of science shows that humans do.

      Now you're either not a human, or an arsehole thinking that everyone else will clean up your mess.

    42. Re:But President Trump goes by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So, just curious - what would YOU give up?

      I have made many changes over the years that have resulted in my energy usage being less than a 1/4 of what it used to be. I have given up driving large over powered cars favouring small fuel efficient vehicles, not that it makes much of a difference since I now cycle to work 4 days a week. Sure it sucks when it is snowing but that's what jackets and studded tires are for. I've stopped heating with oil. I've ditched an always on 4 core xeon server for an Intel Atom. I open the window instead of using air conditioning and put on a jumper instead of warming the house to 25C.

      That's just off the top of my head. What have I given up? Comfort, waste, and a shitload of money to reduce my footprint to a small fraction of what it was. And I continue to look for new ways to do it.

      Let me guess, you're going to reply by saying you changed the lightbulb in your garage to a CFL so you're my equal right?

    43. Re:But President Trump goes by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      This is how it should be: If you want to make environmental changes stick, don't make it nonsense karma feel-good help others. Because people will pay lip service to it and others will take advantage of it. Make it logical and cost effective.
      How did the US reduce CO2 output recently? by moving from coal to natural gas. Because natural gas became economical.

    44. Re:But President Trump goes by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      42% of americans may think this now, but Southern Florida is already pretty much lost. It's simply a matter of time before most areas will have to be abandoned because of saltwater incursion into the aquifers even if the persistent flooding and increased number of storm surges doesn't drive people out first.

      In addition, Louisiana has lost around 30% of its land area over the last 60 years. This is as much down to mismanagement of the delta system as actual sea level rise but coastal villages are already being abandoned and it's only a matter of time until larger towns have to make similar decisions.

    45. Re:But President Trump goes by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      There's nothing showing a spike like we're generating at the moment but there are plenty of CO2 spikes over longer periods (usually 10k years or so).

      What should give pause for thought is that time and again in geologic history, those CO2 spikes go hand in hand with anoxic oceanic events.

  2. Regulatory capture by Esteanil · · Score: 5, Interesting

    While I fully agree with climate change being a catastrophic risk, a global organization with enforcement power will immidiately become the most valuable target for lobbying in the world.

    I believe we'd see such an organization effectively ruled by the very interests it's set to regulate within a few years at most.

    --
    I'm a dreamer, the world is my playpen. But hey, I'm a serious person, I can't dream all the time.
    1. Re:Regulatory capture by Bongo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm sure some will just claim you're just an anti-goverment nut, but taking a broad view, given we're talking an issue that affects the species, humans have through history gone from small tribes to large empires to nation states, and now we're tipping towards global organisation.

      However, there's something very interesting in this sequence, and that's that the shift from empire to nation state was a reduction in authoritarianism, and a move towards more individuality.

      Now, individuality is often criticised as the root cause of all the greed which drives overconsumption, which lead many to say we need a sort of Chinese communist regime where a central authority sets consumption limits, but there's an issue around, WHY did we historically move from empire to nation states?

      And a simple answer ot that is the empires are unsustainable in the sense that they eventually become too big to govern. Authoritarianism collapses when there's too many people and the system is too complex to manage, whatever someone's best intentions may be.

      So here's a thought: the globalised stage will be MORE individual, just that, the individual will be MORE intelligent, and as we continue to develop, the intelligence, knowledge, and compassion of each individual will increase. Just as most ordinary people now realise that racism is bad, and work to eradicate racism from their own minds, so too, gradually, we become more intelligent global citizens.

      And the bad news is, there is no shortcut to that. If the world is really about to end in 20 years, well sorry, too late, people can only develop their individual compassion and intelligence at a normal pace, and if that's too late then that's too late. The alternative, as you say, is some sort of global authoritarian genocide, caused either deliberately or inadvertently.

      We need to pursue the most effective technology solutions whilst human psychology catches up to a globalised world. That probably means lots of nuclear, whatever best form of tech that may take.

      Ya kanny change the laws of physics and ya kanny change the human psychology any faster than it can grow naturally.

      So learn to love your fellow dumb human and build lots of nuclear.

    2. Re:Regulatory capture by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A much simpler and quicker fix is to just shift the subsidies to cleaner energy. Energy is expensive really, it only looks cheap to the end user because much of the cost is either hidden in tax funded subsidy or externalized to someone else.

      In the end, people will usually vote with their wallets. Then they bitch and moan that their wallets are being targeted, because it's the only way to save the fucking planet.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      There are next to no subsidies on nuclear or hydroelectric in most of Canada for example. There are massive subsidies for wind/solar however. Energy is cheap, as long as you're willing to use particular types of energy. If you want cheap power then people are going to have to get rid of the anti-nuke hysteria. They're also going to have to make the choice between building hydro-electric plants and saying "fuck the 3.2" minnow."

      Keeping in mind that this cheap energy has done a lot to uplift human civilization in the last 100 years. And the same environmentalists who are enjoying the benefits of it, want to block developing countries from those same cheap sources.

    4. Re:Regulatory capture by Dins · · Score: 2

      Exactly this.

      My position on climate change has always been why does it matter whether climate change is happening and whether it's man-made or not? This planet is the only one we have and polluting it isn't going to get us anywhere. That, and we need to get off fossil fuels as they are a limited resource. So subsidize the shit out of existing green energy tech and triple the R&D money going to new energy tech. Do that enough and the problem will fix itself.

    5. Re:Regulatory capture by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except that you recommended nuclear, which is one of the most expensive forms of energy we have. The new plant at Hinkley Point C is the most expensive object on earth and is guaranteed way, way above the odds for every watt-hour of energy it produces for its entire lifetime.

      They had to promise all that because no-one would build it. In the end, the French are building it with Chinese money. In the UK.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    6. Re:Regulatory capture by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

      A much simpler and quicker fix is to just shift the subsidies to cleaner energy.

      That would be nice, but at this point it's not necessary. Renewables are already undercutting the cost of fossil energy in most areas, even without subsidies (and even though most fossil fuels are heavily subsidized). And all indications are that renewables will only continue to get cheaper while fossil fuels will only continue to get more expensive. If we're not already past the tipping point, we will be soon.

      Another tipping point in the near future is energy storage. Tesla claims to have already broken the $200/kwh threshold, and rumor has it they may in fact be closer to $130/kwh. Again, with all the VC cash that's been invested in battery tech in the last decade, this cost will keep going down for a while yet.

      The future looks bright for renewables, not so much for fossils.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    7. Re:Regulatory capture by Sky+Cry · · Score: 1

      Government has no business telling anyone how to produce energy. Therefore there shouldn't be any subsidies for any specific type of clean energy production.

      However, government has every business telling everyone to not pollute the environment. So instead of subsidies there should be extra heavy taxes on anything that pollutes the environment - proportional to the pollution.

    8. Re:Regulatory capture by dtmancom · · Score: 1

      Energy is expensive really, it only looks cheap to the end user because much of the cost is either hidden in tax funded subsidy or externalized to someone else

      You need to be careful with this kind of talk.

      It almost sounds like you are suggesting that the rich/corporations pay a lot of taxes that keep the costs of living down for the regular people, and that directly contradicts the consensus that the rich/corporations are nothing but leeches on society.

    9. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      From the first comment on another shameless piece of propaganda:

      This phase of Burbo Bank has an installed capacity of 252.4 MW, a capacity factor of 32.5%, an 'Expected Life' of 25 years, occupies an area of 40 sq km and costs £800 million.

      Hinkley Point C nuclear power plant has an installed capacity of 3,200 MW, an availability factor of 90%, a 'Design Life' of 60 years, occupies an area of 0.69 sq km and costs £18 billion.

      84.2 Burbo Bank-sized offshore wind farms would have to be built to deliver the same amount of [intermittent] electricity as the [24/7] electricity HPC will deliver.

      84.2 Burbo Banks would cost £67.36 billion and would occupy an area of 3,368 sq km - that's 58 km x 58 km. Hinkley's site measures 830 metres x 830 metres.

      Add to the £67.36 billion the cost of the dedicated gas-fired back up plant for the regular and sometimes prolonged periods when "...the 260 foot blades spans an area the size of the London Eye..." don't have a whoosh in them, and it would be fair to say, we could get 4 Hinkleys and therefore 4X more low-carbon [24/7] electricity for the same money.

      It's quite pathetic how renewables supporters like Jillian Ambrose apply nauseous levels of pure propaganda to articles such as this. No attempt whatsoever of presenting any element of the substantial downside to offshore wind.

      HPC isn't nearly as expensive as the alternatives being pushed. Countries that aren't drowning in anti-nuclear hysteria propagated by tools like you actually have inexpensive nuclear, and better technology will only tip scale further. Dismissing the most effective tool, and helping to maintain artificially inflated costs makes you a traitor to your supposed cause.

      The only winners in your fantastical renewable-only scenario are those harvesting the subsidies, and those supplying the fossil fuels which will continue to provide the bulk of the energy.

    10. Re:Regulatory capture by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Batteries at $100/kWh will be great for electric cars, yet still orders of magnitude too expensive for seasonal energy storage, which is a requirement if you don't want people freezing to death. It is not uncommon to have essentially zero wind and solar output for weeks on end during winter.

      Your "bright" renewable future will continue to depend on fossil energy, as it does today. It certainly isn't cheap if you account for the cost of backup generation or storage necessary to provide reliable power.

    11. Re:Regulatory capture by swillden · · Score: 2

      You're absolutely right, of course. The best way to manage this problem is to internalize the externalities; make energy producers pay the full cost of their operations. This would mean either a heavy carbon tax or -- even better -- strict regulation on carbon emissions that require fossil fuel burners to capture and sequester all of their emissions. Burning dirty coal for power is just fine if you don't put anything into the atmosphere.

      In practice, subsidizing clean energy is more politically feasible, though. Giving money to build new businesses costs taxpayers, but the cost is spread widely so no one gets really upset... and the people involved in the new businesses are enthusiastically supportive. People in competing old businesses will grumble a bit, but if the subsidy doesn't instantly make them uncompetitive, opposition won't go much beyond grumbling.

      In contrast, adding large new costs to existing businesses makes the people involved in those businesses really angry. They get very vocal and start throwing their influence and money around. If voters were purely rational and actually weighed all of the costs and benefits, that wouldn't matter, but that's not how it works.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    12. Re:Regulatory capture by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      "...shift the subsidies to cleaner energy..."

      What do you think is happening now vis-a-vis subsidies? Or are you referring to nebulous uncalculated "externalities" in the fossil fuel industries?

      "...only way to save the fucking planet..."

      Oh, the drama.

    13. Re:Regulatory capture by Evil+Kerek · · Score: 1

      That's a fantasy. There is no renewable energy source capable of providing our energy requirements. Period. There isn't ONE that isn't subject to some kind of sever limitation (like..nighttime....lack of wind) You will need a mountain of eco UNFRIENDLY batteries to even start to pull this off - and the reality is it won't work. There's a reason all those solar companies went out of business despite the money poured into them.

      What we can do is supplement our energy with solar/wind/water. That's about it.

      And here, let me gum up your 'make energy more expensive' thing. How many poor people do you think that will affect when you drive up the price of 'non eco friendly' power? As usually, what people think is a quick fix has a ton of side effects that come along with it.

      As other people have said...I am unwilling to go into the dark ages for this. Especially when most of the people doing the yelling and screaming are flying in private jets and set to make money off the whole thing.

    14. Re:Regulatory capture by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      We're trying to avoid sinking the economy here, and requirements for fossil fuel burners to catch all emissions would be a disaster, particularly for fossil fuel-burning cars, trucks, motorcycles, ships, trains, and planes. We'd have approximately no vehicles, and certainly none that could carry significant freight. Carbon taxes would not require the complete replacement of all vehicle engines, but would encourage less use of fossil fuels.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    15. Re:Regulatory capture by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

      Without wanting to defend Tories...

      Currently, the only things cheaper than the nuclear strike price are fossil fuels and onshore wind.

      Everything else is more expensive. This might and probably will change over time.

      Wind power needs storage, which doesn't really exist at the moment. Nuclear power doesn't.

      I'm not qualified to state whether the power station is a good idea or not, but I suspect I'm more qualified than most of the people who comment about it.

    16. Re:Regulatory capture by microbox · · Score: 1

      Just put a tax on carbon. No need for global enforcement regimes. Different countries can use diplomatic pressure to bring everyone in line. The only people who will hate it are the oil generating nations: Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, et al., and only in the short-to-mid term. A revenue neutral carbon tax doesn't mean reducing economic output. It does mean that big oil loses, and other sectors win (e.g., energy and construction)

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    17. Re:Regulatory capture by microbox · · Score: 1

      Nuclear isn't necessarily expensive -- a lot of the cost is insurance. The technology needs to be developed, which promises huge cost savings if there's investment. And it is also a known factor for providing baseline power, which we currently only know how to do with carbon energy.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    18. Re:Regulatory capture by swillden · · Score: 1

      We're trying to avoid sinking the economy here, and requirements for fossil fuel burners to catch all emissions would be a disaster,

      Are you sure about that?

      Obviously it couldn't be done instantly, and it would probably have to be ramped up in stages, but I see no reason that it's impossible. A carbon tax would accomplish the same thing, of course, as long as it had a clear trajectory towards a level that would motivate research into alternatives, including carbon capture.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    19. Re:Regulatory capture by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The engine in the article you mention sounds like it's not ready for prime time, and from TFS it appears that it separates out the CO2 into its own stream, presumably for sequestering.

      A gallon of gasoline produces about 20 pounds of CO2, so one fill of my tank would produce about 300 pounds. Call that roughly 140 kilos. About 22 liters of CO2 at standard temperature and pressure will weigh 44 grams, call that 440 liters per kilo. That's going to be a serious storage problem on a vehicle, or even a large stationary installation.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    20. Re:Regulatory capture by swillden · · Score: 1

      Which is why transportation should go electric, sure. It's the far more practical emission-free option.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    21. Re:Regulatory capture by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      The State of California is already seriously considering placing devices on cows to capture their methane.
      http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/17...

    22. Re:Regulatory capture by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Wind and solar combined can _just_ match the current conventional fleet, but electrical generation only accounts for 30-40% of carbon emissions

      Factor in reduction of carbon from heating/cooling and transportation and you start needing 6-8 times the amount of electrical capacity that exists now.

      No, you can't carpet deserts. Apart from the issue that places like the Sahara belong to someone else (and they'll want that energy for themselves), there's a practical limit of about 1500 miles for transporting electricity before grid losses make it too expensive to be worthwhile.

      One of the larger problems with Wind/solar plants is the need for fast peaking/backing plants to guarantee their output (which the wind/solar operators don't have to pay upkeep on). Molten salt nuclear systems can load follow without penalties - which means that they can replace peaking plants - and the fact that they're cheaper overall than wind/solar should mean that in a short period of time those "renewables farms" will become rusting monuments to useless technology.

  3. Something's fishy in Denmark. by darthsilun · · Score: 3, Informative

    54 out of 100 Senators and 234 out of 435 Representatives, and Twitler don't.

    The numbers don't line up.

    1. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by silentcoder · · Score: 4, Interesting

      As a South African - go fuck yourself with your racist stereotypes.

      South Africans mostly consider climate change a serious risk to our lives, and one of the nasty impacts of climate change is to raise food prices - by much more than combating it ever could. South Africa has huge investments in renewable energy and these are growing (And make up the ENTIRETY of private sector energy investment).
      The only deniers in South Africa are conservatives and they make up about erm 1% of the population - they're a loud minority but they are about as influential on the country's culture and politics as pissing in the ocean is on it's salt level.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    2. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by JoshuaZ · · Score: 1

      You mean that the United States isn't a perfect representation of what the rest of the world wants? I'm shocked! Newsflash: Outside the US (and to some extent Australia), issues of global warming aren't nearly as politicized or controversial as they are in the US. Heck, previous studies have shown that even in the US the majority of Americans think that global warming is a serious problem http://www.pewinternet.org/2016/10/04/public-views-on-climate-change-and-climate-scientists/. The fact that many Senators and Congresspeople don't is to a large extent a reflection of how two aspects of our government system (the ability to gerrymander congressional districts, and the fact that senators are elected by state and many low population states lean right) distort what our elected government ends up looking like compared to what it would on a strict population basis.

    3. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Y The fact that many Senators and Congresspeople don't is to a large extent a reflection of how two aspects of our government system (the ability to gerrymander congressional districts, and the fact that senators are elected by state and many low population states lean right) distort what our elected government ends up looking like compared to what it would on a strict population basis.

      You forgot to add that the politicians are paid for their belief by the people that they actually work for.

      As the Exxon papers prove, the industry works hard in a "tobacco lawyer" style to sow uncertainty, and pays politicians handsomely to do as the industry wishes.

      All while they know, but they simply don't care.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    4. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      The fact that many Senators and Congresspeople don't is to a large extent a reflection of how two aspects of our government system (the ability to gerrymander congressional districts, and the fact that senators are elected by state and many low population states lean right) distort what our elected government ends up looking like compared to what it would on a strict population basis.

      I think that you are wrong about the cause of US politicians not accepting climate change predictions. I propose the real reason is much simpler: money from the Koch Brothers.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    5. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      South African is not a race.

      Race is a social construct. So it could be if we wanted it to be!

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    6. Re:Something's fishy in Denmark. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      If you don't understand that this is the entire source of your political corruption, you're delusional.

      Unfortunately the same people also use their money to corrupt our information sources. I chose my sig for a reason.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    7. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Globally, it's pretty much only the conservatives that deny climate change, because it threatens their precious Money God.

    8. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      You're absolutely correct there, my point was that since conservatives are such a tiny minority in South Africa the GP's suggestion that South Africans are likely to be deniers is... silly.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
    9. Re: Something's fishy in Denmark. by silentcoder · · Score: 1

      Oh, and contrary to his expectations, the small, conservative denier movement in the country is almost entirely and exclusively made up of wealthy whites. Black people, rich and poor alike, are by and large accepting the science.

      Even the more conservative, pro-market, political parties don't deny it here - it's such a fringe movement that the few people who do subscribe to denialism can't even get a voice WITHIN a party, let alone start one themselves. There was an attempt to start a libertarian party (which had denialism in it's platform) a few years ago but it pretty much flaundered because
      1) They couldn't get enough money donated from their "only self interest is real" potential membership to pay the party registration fee (considering that there are dozens of parties with barely enough members to get a single seat in parliament and more than a few that ONLY EVER run in a single town for the council of that town who ALL managed to get the nominal fee collected, that's just pathetic)
      2) They couldn't agree if 'legalize it' should be above or below 'burn the coal'*
      3) They pretty much couldn't agree on anything else except 'guvmints are all evil' and then arguing about why the hell they are trying to run a party to join 'evil' guvmint.

      It was rather humorous to watch.

      *Ironically their 'help' in terms of legalizing marijuana was not needed, all it took was some persistent people willing to fight the battle in the courts that the marijuana laws as written were unconstitutional violating freedom of religion and privacy rights. A recent high court ruling found in favor of the plaintiffs, stating that there is no reason to criminalize posession or growing of small amounts for personal use by adults. Government was given one year to change the law to legalize such adult personal use. Though it remains illegal in the meantime, and it is only becoming legal on your own property - that battle is won. We don't allow drinking in most public places either - because your right to get drunk sort of ends before the point where you become a public nuisance.

      --
      Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  4. Humans will adapt. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Humans will adapt.

    Stupid humans who insist on living where the floods are coming ... well, Darwin has a plan for them and their families.

    But humans have done stupid things for 20K years and we are still here. A good friend bought a home in Tampa, on the water. I think he's an idiot. The same for people living below sea level in New Orleans. Idiots.

    Stock tip - buy companies with experience in dike building. https://www.fastcompany.com/30...

    I live at 900 ft above sea level. No earthquakes or hurricanes here. No flooding nearby - though it does happen within 20 miles and we do have occasional tornadoes.

    I've lived at sea level, in a hurricane zone, and had 2 ft of water in my home. I moved. Hopefully, my family has passed Darwin's test.

    1. Re:Humans will adapt. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So you're OK with the thousands of millions people who live near the water migrating into your country?

    2. Re:Humans will adapt. by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      No, but I'm OK with hunting thousands of millions of people trying to escape the waters for fun and profit!

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Humans will adapt. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      But humans have done stupid things for 20K years and we are still here

      I have been alive my whole life, and therefore will never die. I mean, death has never happened to me before, why should I think it would in the future?

      20,000 years ago we had no technology and our impact on our environment was minimal. Over time our tools have grown more powerful, extending our impact and capabilities. Since you seem to be an investor, you should know that past performance is not indicative of future earnings.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  5. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

    This just isn't the case. I'll talk about the UK because I'm more familiar with it, but other countries will have similar stories. Changes have been made to energy consumption, rules brought in on recycling, incentives given for electric transport, stress on public transport - people see and vote for these things. Yes - every party. Clearly some in the UK want to go further than others, but there is no party that has no policy in this area.

    This didn't happen by magic - this happened because the public consistently and repeatedly voted for candidates that had policies leaning more in that direction. And again - before someone tries to make this a domestic political scrap, this was for every party of every stripe. People do do things when given the chance.

  6. Reality Check by hyades1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It really doesn't matter if 99 out of 100 people see climate change as a real threat. As long as the top 1% keep earning billions of dollars off the status quo, and understand they will be protected from the effects, nothing is going to change.

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    1. Re:Reality Check by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I never have understood - it should be easy for the 1% to consider the wider world and the impact of their behaviour (compared with a poverty line individual that can only make choices on how to survive to the next day) - why can they not?

    2. Re:Reality Check by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because "fuck you, got mine."

    3. Re:Reality Check by tbannist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It really doesn't matter if 99 out of 100 people see climate change as a real threat. As long as the top 1% keep earning billions of dollars off the status quo, and understand they will be protected from the effects, nothing is going to change.

      You know, that only works as long as that 1% can convince enough of the 99% that it's not really a problem. And really, I don't think the top 1% are actually aligned on doing nothing. Of course, they're divided over the whether to take action, often based on whether or not they are invested in the industries that will be hurt by taking action.

      One of the problems of some of this anti-climate change lobbying that people like Rupert Murdoch (owner of coal mines) have engaged in, is that they've spawned groups they can't really control. Trump is the end result of trying to stir up opposition to reasonable policies. If you can't trust the government, can't trust science and can't trust the media, who are people supposed to trust? They set the stage for the rise of Trump and we can only hope that they live to reap the bitter fruits of their labours.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    4. Re:Reality Check by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It kind of does matter.......for example, Germany is now making huge attempts to switch to renewable energy. Not because it's cheaper (or even because it's achievable) but because enough of the population wants it enough to vote based on it.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  7. Re:Armchair heroics by danbert8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Right, this survey found that 8 out of 10 people will lie to a surveyor. Everyone SAYS they want cleaner air, less pollution, and to stop global warming. They just want everyone else to stop consuming so they don't have to. It's the same thing with every problem caused by a group. Everyone complains about traffic while moving further away from their workplace and not wanting to ride the bus or carpool.

    --
    Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
  8. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sorry, but when was Greenland green?

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  9. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    rules brought in on recycling In other words, people being FORCED to change their behavior. If people were truly WILLING to make changes to their lifestyle, you would not need rules, people would do these things without them.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  10. Re:There's no such thing as Climate Change by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    I think I have the perfect guy for that job. He's experienced with delivering, spreading and repeating that kind of information.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  11. Re:Actually the earth has been cooling! by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yes, but for the vast and clear majority of earth's history, humans didn't want to survive on its surface. Including 50 million years ago.

    But then again, we also have not even been around for even a sliver of geologic time. Like the old joke says

    Planet 1: Dude, you look horrible, what's going on with you?
    Planet 2: I have homo sapiens
    Planet 1: Ah, don't worry. It will pass.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  12. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

    The point is they voted for people to make the rules. In many cases they already were doing something about them, and they wanted those rules to be the norm. They were willing, they made the change, they voted for the change to be normalised, and now it is.

  13. Re:CO2 is good for The plants by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    I also recommend reading about what levels of CO2 are toxic to humans, because I don't give a fuck what plants need if I'm dead.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  14. Re:Yeah by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    So ... kill all Muslims to fight global warming? Is that your message? Or why do you conflate them?

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  15. Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Are you "ready to make changes to your standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe"? OK, here we go.

    We believe that the most likely reason for what seems an unnatural climate change is the huge amount of CO2 emissions provoked by humankind ('s industrialisation) during over the last 200 years. As far as you are willing to do all what is in your hand to minimise the impact of this likely-to-be-so-dangerous output of our modern society, I understand that you are ready to stop using:
    - Any machine requiring combustion to run. Examples: all your vehicles (electrical or similar ones can run without generating CO2, although they have certainly generated some at different points like when being built, transported, repaired, etc.; they also generate CO2 indirectly via power plants as explained below), including the ones you use sporadically and/or transport gods which you use in any way (planes or ships) and even the ones used for your amusement (motor sports).
    - All the industrial processes requiring some combustion and outputting goods/services which you consume at any point (directly, a big proportion of the current power plants; indirectly, all the remaining ones by relying on combustion-based processes at any point to complement their usual activity or as part of required manufacturing, transportation, etc. processes; note that the aforementioned electric vehicles are also generating CO2 indirectly via the way in which the electricity they need is generated). Forget about your clothes, your supermarkets, your computers, etc.
    - Any scientific, research facility or study involving the consumption of relevant amounts of energy. You have to get rid of all the universities, research centres, big research facilities, etc.
    -etc.

    Let's assume that you do all this, that you also convince the whole humankind to join you and that we can reach a stage where the worldwide CO2 generation gets down to about the natural levels (= plants + animals + us generating just a bit more). In that case and by assuming that our theories are right (the climate variation isn't provoked by natural causes) how are you planning to remove all the additional CO2 generated so far? Perhaps this is already enough to provoke an inevitable catastrophe within the next years, who knows for sure?

    I am a firm believer in each-single-bit-counts kind of approaches and also think that environment-concerned ideas are rarely a bad thing. A completely different story is building up a world of lies and misinformation where you can save the world just by buying a brand new car! Step by step, always in the right direction, but never falling for magical, crazily stupid or manipulating nonsense. Out of all the problems of our planet, CO2 generation is one of the less important ones simply because we cannot perform relevant changes on this front (or perhaps we could but don't really want). Sadly, most of CO2-concerned policies are promoted by commercial, egoist, short-sighted interests whose main goals are helping themselves rather than the planet.

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    1. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Apparently, my statement was overrated. I am sure that the unnatural CO2 emissions of the person modding this post down (fun fact: being overrated is the most common reason why my posts get modded down since a while ago) are virtually zero. This down-vote was most likely delivered through a magical device powered by unicorn smiles and connected to internet via good intentions. I have so much to learn from the brave, coherent and understanding behaviour of this downvoter!

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    2. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Your point is worth discussion but markets don't exist independent of customers

      "Let's do the right thing" has always been a best-seller, but not always too realistic on account of the short-sighted and conformist nature of humankind. Everyone wants to save the earth and to do it easily without renouncing to all what they have. My point wasn't arguing against the attractiveness of the premises, but about their actual applicability and the honesty of certain claims. Everyone wants to save the world, but nobody wants to renounce to our combustion(= CO2-generating)-based industrialised society.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    3. Re:Yeah, sure by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Those changes would kill most of the human race anyway, so less major changes to slow down global warming are likely to save many more lives. We're more likely to do well with functioning economies and technological development. With a catastrophic return to medieval technology, for example, we're never going to do any geoengineering.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    4. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Those changes would kill most of the human race anyway, so less major changes to slow down global warming are likely to save many more lives

      These generic ideas might be applicable in certain situations on account of the conditions; the problem is that the conditions here aren't precisely favourable. Let's forget for one second about all the CO2 which we have been accumulating during the last quite a few years and assume that we only need to worry about what we generate from now on. Imagine now that we divide all the global CO2 emissions among each single person and that we get 100 for each of us. Out of this 100, the contribution of your car might be 0.000[...].1 and the one from all the industrial processes required to design, manufacture, transport, run, repair, etc. your car might be 5; same story with your air conditioning/heating, your computer, what you eat or wear, etc.

      As said, I am completely pro bit-by-bit improvements and am sure that having environmental-concerned behaviours is positive. But don't lie to yourself by thinking that your contribution is more relevant than what it truly is. Or even better: don't think that people and organisations actually taking care of all this should be really concerned about CO2; this is an eminently commercial/trendy concern, mostly used by people with not much technical knowledge (and/or not too honest) to convince other people with not much technical knowledge (and/or naive and/or gullible and/or looking-for-easy-solutions and/or wanting-to-feel-better-without-actually-renouncing-to-anything, etc.). It might also be good to not forget that the whole climate change is just a theory dealing with an extreme complex reality about which we don't know too much. Reducing the amount of human-made dirt is certainly good, let's do it! But let's also not invent apocalyptic scenarios or unnmotivatedly favour a specific emission type which, objectively speaking, isn't the best candidate to be worried about (e.g., CO2 isn't directly harmful for plants/animals and there is no way to avoid it to happen as far as it is a natural output of combustion).

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    5. Re:Yeah, sure by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      I am very happy to announce that the second down-vote which my original post got was also because of being overrated! Down-modders might not like me or what I say, but at least they think that I behave consistently!!! This can easily be the happiest day of my life: random people non-constructively censoring what I write in internet think that I have a consistent(ly overrated) behaviour! Hurray!

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  16. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Gavagai80 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Glaciers have covered most of Greenland for the past 2-3 million years. Not hundred.

    --
    This space intentionally left blank
  17. Re:More than talk by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    if its floods then it is too late... a minor flaw in your ignorant post

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  18. Needs a less biased survey group by Togden · · Score: 1

    I'd say its more accurate, from the group of laymen I use for my "What do the masses think" questions, to say that at least 8 out of 10 people don't give a toss what happens to the environment. And they aren't even that stupid.

    1. Re:Needs a less biased survey group by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Yes but 5 of those 10 people live in nations likely to receive trillions of dollars in "climate reparations".

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  19. no way!! by markdavis · · Score: 3

    >"it may be time to create a new global organization -- with power to enforce its decisions[...]have their country give up some level of sovereignty to make that happen."

    THAT would be the worst mistake ever, especially for the USA. We have already seen many of the things "the world" would want to do and much of it runs contrary to the Constitution.

    1. Re:no way!! by Godwin+O'Hitler · · Score: 1

      Maybe it's the constitution that runs contrary to the world.

      --
      No, your children are not the special ones. Nor are your pets.
    2. Re:no way!! by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Considering the number of right-wing extremists in the hinterlands that swear they'll shoot blue-hats (UN Peacekeeping Forces) on sight; what could go wrong?

      This thought process is exactly why Trump is President. Globalism doesn't get traction in the United States because in the US sovereignty is passed from We the People to Government, not from a higher power down to government.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  20. Number of rational folks up by Dahlgil · · Score: 1

    Cool. Looks like the number of rational folks out there is up to 2 out of 10 now.

    1. Re:Number of rational folks up by mean+pun · · Score: 1

      Cool. Looks like the number of rational folks out there is up to 2 out of 10 now.

      That sounds like that joke about a guy listening to the radio in his car:

      Announcer: Warning: there is a car going the wrong way on the I666, near exit 42.

      Driver: One car? I see dozens of them.

  21. Action needed regardless of cause by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Whether or not you believe humans are responsible for climate change, the evidence is clear that climate change is occurring. A great many of the follow on consequences of climate change are highly predictable and many of them are bad. As such, logically it is almost irrelevant whether or not humans are the driver of the change even though the evidence seems bullet proof that we are responsible. Either way it clear that it is happening and it is equally clear is something we need to plan for and quite likely attempt to mitigate. You don't have to believe humans are responsible for it to be logical for us to take substantial action on the problem. It's really no different in principle than a volcano erupting - we still have to take action to address the consequences.

    Of course the sticky bit of the problem is that dealing with the issue requires human action which will come at a cost. The only (sort of) sane reason to not act to deal with climate change is because someone has economic self interest interest in ignoring the problem. It's understandable if not justifiable. There are of course a few illogical reasons why people oppose taking action the most notable of which seems to be tribalism. Thing is that whether people believe in it or not they will end up dealing with the problem sooner or later. The cost of dealing with it sooner is lower but human nature being what it is it's not clear if that will happen before there are some severe consequences.

    1. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > Whether or not you believe humans are responsible for climate change, the evidence is clear that climate change is occurring.

      Being worried on climate change is like being worried on gravity. It's there. You can't avoid it. Has there ever been a time when climate has not changed? Not too long ago Time magazine had cover where the biggest worry was looming ice age.

      Climate changes. Always. Once you make climate change your enemy to fight against, you'll be getting never ending budget.

    2. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by Evil+Kerek · · Score: 1

      Actually it's anything but clear WHAT is causing it. That's the fallacy in all of this.

    3. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Clearly, the primary cause is us burning fossil fuels. That's been nailed down pretty well. We're putting more CO2 into the atmosphere, and the CO2 from fossil fuels is getting in there. More CO2 is more warming, as we've known for over a century. The amount of warming is pretty much what is to be expected given the increased CO2 (there's a range there). If we're not causing most global warming, we've got some research to do about why not.

      In any case, putting less CO2 into the air will mean we warm up more slowly.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    4. Re:Action needed regardless of cause by sjbe · · Score: 1

      Being worried on climate change is like being worried on gravity. It's there. You can't avoid it. Has there ever been a time when climate has not changed?

      The climate hasn't changed dramatically for several thousand years and there is copious evidence to indicate that modern human industrial activity (particularly fossil fuel burning) is throwing the global climate out of whack. While there are things humans cannot control, our own activity is not among them.

      Not too long ago Time magazine had cover where the biggest worry was looming ice age.

      Is Time magazine a respected science journal? Maybe not the best source.

  22. It's not about the science by sjbe · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The percentage of believers doesn't prove facts. It proves belief.

    Missing the point. The point is that when enough people get behind an idea it becomes possible to take meaningful action. This is a political survey regarding the effectiveness of scientific communication. The science is what it is and this survey does not deal with the science. The debate is largely a political and economic one and this seemingly is ammunition in that debate.

    1. Re:It's not about the science by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      The survey is a lie. Its an obvious lie by a global warming alarmist agenda newly founded group. If you want a real survey, here it is: http://data.myworld2015.org/ Even the UN cant massage the data of its own survey. Climate change is DEAD last issue around the world.

  23. Yer All Pansies by boudie2 · · Score: 1

    Don't know if global warming will be our demise. Do know 2 things. Some people lie and some people will believe anything. Humans would be funny, if there weren't so many of them.

  24. Tragedy of the Commons by hipp5 · · Score: 2

    Nearly nine in 10 people say they are ready to make changes to their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe

    Well of course they would. Faced with a clear path to avert catastrophe, people will take it. If you tell people "do this thing, or your life will be ruined", they'll probably do that thing. The problem is that the path to averting climate catastrophe is too abstract from peoples' daily lives. Right now it's more like "do this thing, and depending on whether or not other people do similar things, your life might not be ruined."

    Avoiding catastrophic climate change will take a huge collective action. But since each of our individual actions have a small effect on their own, it's hard for our brains to balance the pain/cost of those actions with a benefit. Few people are willing to lower their standard of living without a clear link between their particular sacrifice and avoiding catastrophe.

    I'm not sure I'm providing any insight into how to solve this problem, but rather that it's not too surprising to see the results as worded.

    1. Re:Tragedy of the Commons by will_die · · Score: 1

      Or for a simpler explanation people are being forced everywhere into believing that we are already in a climate catastrophe, or past the point of no return if you believe the scientists.
      That nearly 9 in 10 would make future changes means they don't believe that there is a current problem. Or in other words as long as you talk the talk on climate change that is all that matters.

    2. Re:Tragedy of the Commons by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      My expected remaining lifespan is very roughly 20 years, and I'm pretty well-off financially. I really doubt that the next 30 years of global warming would ruin my life. It might inconvenience me (chocolate might get very scarce, for example, and food prices will probably rise), but I'll be OK.

      However, we have seen examples of willing lifestyle changes in wartime. Most civilians have been willing to make sacrifices to wage war, as long as they believed the war was a good idea, even when their own sacrifice had only a miniscule effect.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  25. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    I suspect it is more likely that they voted for people who made the rules, not that they voted for those people to make the rules. I think it unlikely that the politicians stance on this issue impacted their vote one way or the other.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  26. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

    It's just not the case. 'Green' position became electoral gold - politicians moved that way in order to attract more votes.

  27. Uh, where does it say it was green? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It was relatively milder, but you go there now and see hw much headroom is left between "green" and "milder".

  28. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by silentcoder · · Score: 1, Insightful

    And while the medieval warm period was, in fact, a thing (with parts, notably the coastal regions, of Greenland being rather greener than today)- it was so incredibly localized that it did not affect global average temperatures at all.

    --
    Unicode killed the ASCII-art *
  29. 8 ot of 10 people don't know much by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "But is it true?" comes to mind as the next question.

  30. Re:Armchair heroics by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

    They are honest about WANTING those things. 7 in 10 want them until they find out it requires something like changing a lightbulb. 1 in 10 of them are willing to put the effort in and change their behaviour.

  31. 8 in 10 people see climate change news on Slashdot by ET3D · · Score: 1

    as less interesting than Trump news.

  32. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

    "Green" land was an example of medieval marketing BS. The reason it is called "Green" land was the same reason almost every state in the US has a city called "Mount Pleasant", "Greenville", and "Springfield".

    It's to make the place sound inviting. Norsemen were trying to establish permanent colonies on Greenland, and wanted to attract people with the prospect of a green fertile island. (it was in reality, a cold frigid place)

    Yes, there was a few hundred years in the medieval period where the earth warmed slightly. And, yes, Greenland was slightly warmer than today. It still was a harsh, frigid place to live and work, and even colonies set up back then tended to collapse because of the harsh conditions. It was hard to get permanent settlements to thrive.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  33. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    They moved that way to attract the votes of the people who are single issue voters on that subject. Most people do not care one way or the other on such issues. Of course the worst part is that recycling rules generally favor businesses which "recycle" over policies which improve the use of materials (that is, it puts money into the pockets of companies which collect recyclables, whether or not there is any use for the products so recycled, or any value to the environment from doing so).

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  34. Elites should put up or shut up by schwit1 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    We really should ban air conditioning in the District of Columbia and tax the blue zones, just to be on the safe side.

    I’ll believe global warming is a crisis, when the people who scream it’s a crisis start to act like it’s a crisis themselves.

    1. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      Nah - they'll keep milking Climate Change Catastrofarianism for taxpayer funds. It's What they Do.

    2. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by LtNacho · · Score: 1

      The solution isn't going to be a few people turning off their AC. We need a regulatory (like your ban, but not just on liberals) or economic solutions (like subsidies or externality pricing) to do anything meaningful. So you aren't going to see a bunch of "elites" forcing themselves into poverty or suffering when it isn't going to make much of a difference. Look up the tragedy of the commons. This isn't going to be solved by individuals changing their behavior.

    3. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I think a good idea would be to force Congress to carpool to work, an even better idea is we pick who rides with whom. I think we could put a dent in the public debt by selling subscriptions to the interior cam feed of Harry Reid and Chuck Schumer or Paul Ryan and Nancy Pelosi riding into work together everyday for 13 weeks!
      No, scratch Paul Ryan and Nancy Pelosi , Representatives should ride public transportation, only Senators should be privileged with car pooling.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    4. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

      I agree in principle that having our lawmakers forced to live more like 'the common rabble' would be a good thing.

      However, when one person's time (or lack thereof) could cause them to read a little less of the legislation they already do a terrible job of reviewing, you start to see the problems that a car and driver might be reducing.

      Maybe we should have 'government housing' - where they are forced to take up residence near their place of work. A decent home would be a job perk, and they could walk or bike to the office. It could be operated like a condo community - the individual houses wouldn't need to be particularly large, because there would be common facilities for various activities, and they wouldn't need a home office given the real thing would be a short walk away.

    5. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Cool Idea, the only channels they'd get on TV is CSPAN.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    6. Re:Elites should put up or shut up by LtNacho · · Score: 1

      Well - I built a small, well insulated house (1500sq ft), put up solar panels, have a very efficient geothermal system for heating and cooling, and drive a small, efficient car. I do what I can, but it's not enough.

  35. Re:Warming? by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

    I took a Pole once and got charged with the federal crime of kidnapping.

    A poll of 10 people revealed 9/10 thought taking a Pole was a bad idea.

    --
    "That's the way to do it" - Punch
  36. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

    Again, the nature of democracy means that is simply not the case - there wouldn't have been enough numbers for a majority if that were true, and the mainstream parties would not have shifted position. They aren't single issue voters - such voters were likely voting for the Green Party anyway.

  37. Re:Armchair heroics by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 2

    Everyone SAYS they want cleaner air, less pollution, and to stop global warming. They just want everyone else to stop consuming so they don't have to.

    There is a social psychology where people are only willing to change/sacrifice if people around them are doing the same. This is why we need individuals that will get the ball rolling and why we need entertainment media to put a lot of positive emphasis on things that are good for the environment without being so extreme as to alienate the audience. If every home makeover show included changing homes over to solar and battery then you would have a lot more people doing the same.

    Behavior (both social and individual) is based on feedback loops, so the stronger the feedback the faster the change.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
  38. Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Most political AGW "fixes" involve taxing CO2, not methane. Methane produced mostly by farmers, who lobby heavily, and are in Iowa the first presidential caucus. If you are interested in winning elections and don't care about solving AGW you need to not admit methane is a bigger problem, which is what liberals do.
    Taxing CO2 is taxing the middle class, which to liberals is perfectly acceptable. As the DNC has shown, screw the middle class and lose the "blue wall". Instead of admitting they hate the working class they come up with "Its the Russians" when they lose.

    Now that the reason they tax the wrong things is covered, lets see what happens with that tax money... It goes to Solyndra, which ended up producing nothing of value and was split up and sold off in pieces. However they did donate heavily to Obama's election. Along with Fisker Auto (not even an American company, but owned by Al Gore), and A123 again who heavily donated to the DNC and was sold off to China.

    So looking at how the DNC deals with AGW, they tax people who they think aren't likely to hurt them in elections, and give that tax money to people who help them get elected and don't seem to care if it helps with AGW at all.

    Put me down as the guy who looked at the solutions put into place to solve AGW and noticed it doesn't actually help but is a money scheme for the DNC instead.

    1. Re:Let me help by mellon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Methane is a hugely valuable resource. What blows my mind is how many people are leaving that money on the table. Methane from farms is zero-impact, because it comes through a renewal cycle, not from fossil fuels. If you put all your manure in methane digesters, you can generate a fuck-ton of power from it, and as a bonus, what comes out of the digester is a lot less nasty to dispose of.

    2. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      And here is the anti-science, increase middle class taxes, liberal. Every scientific study says methane is a massive problem, but since the "regulators" set the rules to measure over 100 years instead of 20, they can ignore methane and the dreaded taxing people that help me get elected.

      Methane - 8% of greenhouse emissions, x86 times the impact of CO2 (Yes, that makes is a significantly bigger problem than CO2). Completely ignored by anti-science DNC who sets taxing policy based on who they don't like, not based on science.

      Just look at proposed solutions and what has been done or is proposed and you QUICKLY see that they don't see it as a problem. They see it as tax revenue to give to people who help them get elected. They don't care about AGW in the least.

    3. Re:Let me help by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      LOL. Since when do the big city Liberals have any love of the solid red farming heartland? According to the Conservatives the Democrats are trying to ruin farmers with EPA rules on pesticide use and fertilizer runoffs

    4. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Where is this liberals don't care about methane BS coming from? I remember the Obama admin creating regulations to force frackers to capture methane venting during drilling operations while I saw that was quickly undone by Trump. Most people I know are ready to take on Climate Change from every angle necessary, no golden cows.

      Let's be honest with ourselves, democrats aren't the problem with Climate Change. Al Gore and every destroy the middle class type argument are just more fake news frothing up from the merchants of doubt.

    5. Re:Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And here is the anti-science, increase middle class taxes, liberal. Every scientific study says methane is a massive problem, but since the "regulators" set the rules to measure over 100 years instead of 20, they can ignore methane and the dreaded taxing people that help me get elected.

      Methane - 8% of greenhouse emissions, x86 times the impact of CO2 (Yes, that makes is a significantly bigger problem than CO2). Completely ignored by anti-science DNC who sets taxing policy based on who they don't like, not based on science.

      Just look at proposed solutions and what has been done or is proposed and you QUICKLY see that they don't see it as a problem. They see it as tax revenue to give to people who help them get elected. They don't care about AGW in the least.

      And here is the anti-truth, twist the words of the person I'm quoting typical american political partisan. I did not say that methane is not a "massive problem", I said it is not as big a problem as CO2. Methane levels are 1080 parts per billion above pre-industrial levels. CO2 levels are 140,000 parts per billion above pre-industrial levels. Since you object to 100 year measurements, lets just go with the difference it makes RIGHT NOW, and we come up with CO2 having a 50% larger impact than methane, in terms of the amount added to the atmosphere by human activity. This is completely unrealistic comparison of the two for the long term effects, but it is the most extreme one you are going to get and it still falls short of your claims.

      As for your political ranting, maybe I'm missing something here as I'm not american, but I thought the GOP, not the DNC, was the party of choice amoung the farming communities you rail against.

    6. Re:Let me help by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Hey Asshat, CO2 is not toxic, to farming or to people. It's beneficial. It also doesn't cause mutations.

    7. Re:Let me help by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Informative

      Methane - 8% of greenhouse emissions, x86 times the impact of CO2 (Yes, that makes is a significantly bigger problem than CO2).

      Methane induced warming is measured by "CO2 equivalence", so the number you are quoting is already multiplied by the potency.

      There is 200 times more CO2 than CH4 in the atmosphere.

      Methane has a much shorter half-life in the atmosphere, so it is not as much of a long term problem. Methane is 86 times as potent, but has a potency factor of 34 over a century.

      Last year, the world emitted 36B tons of CO2, and about 0.25B tons of CH4, equivalent to about 8B tons of CO2 in 100-year warming potential. So methane is a serious problem, but far less than CO2.

      Methane emissions are declining in most 1st world nations, mostly because of better wellhead equipment, but also because of declining beef consumption.

      Methane emissions are rising in less developed countries, mostly because of rising meat consumption. Taxes on beef may be able shift consumption to chicken or pork, but are unlikely to be politically feasible on a wide scale.

      Methane emissions by country.
      CO2 emissions by country.

      Disclaimer: I don't eat meat, so don't blame me.

    8. Re: Let me help by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      One CH4 ==> 3CO2 if I remember my chemistry

      You mis-remember.

      CH4 + 2O2 ==> CO2 + 2H2O, during combustion.

      There's no way to produce 3 carbon atoms ("3CO2") from one carbon atom ("CH4").

    9. Re: Let me help by AaronW · · Score: 1

      One CH4 = one CO2 + 2 H2O.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    10. Re:Let me help by microbox · · Score: 1

      Methane only sits in the atmosphere if a few years. CO2 is up there for 100s of years. CO2 is what needs to be reduced.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    11. Re:Let me help by dddux · · Score: 1

      That is true about CO2. But too much of a good thing is also not good and he is right about one thing - that you won't have farmland to farm but if the climate changes enough. Droughts and extreme weather changes will make farming impossible.

      --
      "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." - Jiddu Krishnamurti
    12. Re:Let me help by dddux · · Score: 1

      We will have far more serious things to worry about than taxes when next extreme weather hits really hard. How about your home, food and water?

      --
      "It is no measure of health to be well adjusted to a profoundly sick society." - Jiddu Krishnamurti
    13. Re:Let me help by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      "Last year, the world emitted 36B tons of CO2, and about 0.25B tons of CH4, equivalent to about 8B tons of CO2 in 100-year warming potential. So methane is a serious problem, but far less than CO2."

      Until you factor in stuff like the Leptav Sea emissions of methane clathrates - the plumes are reported to be over 1km wide in places

      If these ongoing emissions and the continuing incursion into the arctic of warm water from the Atlantic destabilise the siberian continental shelf clathrates then there's the potential for 1-6GT(*) of CH4 to bubble out rapidly in a new Storegga Slide with accompanying tsunamis - which will be against sparsely populate shorelines but still catastrophic.

      The global methane survey couldn't account for the origin a large chunk of the atmospheric methane it picked up and subsequently blamed cow burps as a possibility - having spoken to the people who ran the survey, it turns out that not only were they not looking at the possibility of ocean releases, they weren't aware of the Leptav Sea emissions (despite them having been increasing for a decade) and the instruments used are _only_ tuned to detect methane over land (apparently it's nearly impossible to detect it over water).

      Now they're aware of the existent and possible scale of the emissions (it's hard to verify stuff happening in russian waters, the russians aren't cooperative), they're trying to rerun what they've got to see if they can verify the emissions are as bad as suspected or whether a new mission will be required.

      (*) Noone's quite sure how much is down there. It's at least 1GT but could be as high as 8-10GT and whilst we have some idea of release volumes from the Storegga Slides, any release volume is a matter of speculation.
      It should be noted that the timeframe of the Storegga Slides and associated methane release more or less coincides with the sharp rise in temperature at the end of the last glaciation. It's a chicken and egg question if those are related, but that kind of warming in current conditions coupled with the spike in CO2 as the methane breaks down may well push us a long way along the curve towards an anoxic oceanic event and associated terrestrial animal dieback.

    14. Re:Let me help by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      Methane breaks down to CO2 and H20, both of which are greenhouse gases in the troposphere.

      The issue isn't that "CO2 lingers in the atmosphere for centuries", the issue is that we're emitting more into the atmosphere each year than the planet can absorb. Until that stops, the levels will keep increasing.

      As part of that, ocean acidity levels have increased by 30% in the last couple of hundred years. The knock-on effects of _that_ are only just starting to become apparent (such as the great barrier reef bleaching now being declared as "irreversible" - when this was decried as alarmist as little as 5 years ago)

  39. Re: CO2 is good for The plants by Entrope · · Score: 1

    At atmospheric concentration of several percent CO2, our lungs can't perform gas exchange to move CO2 from our blood to the air, and we die. That is about 100 times as much as is in the air right now (~400 ppm), and many times the point at which we have other things to worry about.

    So don't put "CO2 levels that are toxic to humans" high on your priority list of things to worry about.

  40. Re: Warming? by Entrope · · Score: 2

    You forgot to pole Poll-land.

  41. The real solution may be dirt cheap... by Acron · · Score: 2

    From MIT's Technology Review:

    https://www.technologyreview.c...

    So why aren't we talking about spending a few hundred million into engineering R&D to come up with this potentially real and very inexpensive kind of a solution as quickly as possible? Why are we instead talking about huge bureaucracies and trillions of dollars in carbon taxes for forever? That's because we're allowing politicians etal come up with the solution, instead of engineers and scientists.

    1. Re:The real solution may be dirt cheap... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Well, taxes are a tried-and-true method of implementing market correction by taking advantage of market forces. As we all know the cheaper solution usually wins in the marketplace, so taxing CO2 emitting energy sources either as a revenue-neutral behaviour modification or to pay for the externalized costs of CO2 emissions is an approach that is known to work and has only a few known, unintended consequences (mostly tax-avoiding black market activity).

      We do not know what will happen if we try to modify the entire earth's atmosphere by spraying it with sulfuric acid, for example. Maybe it would work, but if it failed or there were unexpected side effects, the result could be worse than the problem we're trying to solve (for example, over-dimming the planet could trigger a new glacial period). So geo-engineering is a huge risk, even if everything works perfectly. And, of course, we also have to consider what happens if the geo-engineering malfunctions or is sabotaged.

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
    2. Re:The real solution may be dirt cheap... by tbannist · · Score: 1

      Again, why do huge expensive taxes when we just need to come up with an inexpensive engineering solution to cool the planet?

      How do taxes qualify as expensive?

      I'd recommend reading the article.

      I skimmed it, because it's not that terribly interesting.

      Reducing C02 is not going to stop global warming at this point.

      That's true, but it would stop making the problem worse, or at the very least slow down the problem. The solution proposed in the article that you linked doesn't solve the problem, either. It's a plan to temporarily reflect some of the sun's light back into space before it reaches the earth, and the treatments need to be continued on an ongoing basis. Effectively, you're asking why we can't ignore the disease and only treat half the symptoms (since the atmospheric treatments would only cut the effect of global warming in half).

      So you're doing an expensive "solution" that isn't going to solve your problem, at least not for a long time.

      Again, a carbon tax, cap and trade or legislation are actually relatively inexpensive solutions, especially compared to that proposed solution that requires us to fly dozens (eventually hundreds) of specially designed tankers planes that spay the sulphuric acid into the upper atmosphere year round, and which will require years of study to determine if it's even feasible, and if it is, there will need to be international geo-engineering agreements and treaties, public relations efforts to convince the public that the activity is needed and not inherently evil (the chemtrail people are going to go ballistic), the construction of the materials and a yearly budget of over a trillion dollars to run the program that will need to constantly grow as the need to dim the sun grows with terrestrial CO2 emissions.

      So why aren't we starting to do the R&D?

      Because that's only one of many ideas for how to counter-act the increased greenhouse effect, plus it looks like someone's already doing research on it. His name's David Keith, I believe he may have been mentioned in the article...

      Oh, because then people wouldn't want to do the big government bureaucracy high taxes approach then.

      Every government that I know of already has a tax collecting bureaucracy. Asking them to collect one more tax isn't going to have much effect on them, and the revenue from a carbon tax could be used to offset taxes from other activity that is less worthy of being taxed, for example, it could be used to decrease income taxes. Whether or not the government spends the money on services or on tax reduction is ultimately up to the voters.

      On the other hand, establishing the United Nations department of climate engineering, which would presumably be responsible for running this global dimming operation, would represent an new and expensive bureaucracy. How do we pay for the dimming service? Do we give the United Nations the ability to collect taxes from all the member nations? Is it funded by voluntary contributions? What happens if they don't raise enough money to handle the warming?

      A cheap engineering solution would give us time to try and avoid knee-jerk responses driven by dubious agendas.

      When it comes to engineering the planetary climate, there are no cheap solutions. The one you're currently championing is most likely over $100 trillion dollars over the rest of the century and doesn't solve the problem, it merely mitigates the effects of climate change by effectively dimming the sun.

      Plus that wouldn't generate big headlines and lots of eyeballs, or scare voters into continuing to vote for parties that are no longer interested in real solutions, just getting re-elected and remaining in political power.

      Kid, getting elected (or re-elected) is the primary goal of every democratic

      --
      Fanatically anti-fanatical
  42. I'll believe they are serious when... by Mspangler · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They demand the end of commercial air travel. After all, it's not necessary to humanity, (we lived without it until less than a hundred years ago), and it puts out a lot of CO2, and it's not possible to electrify in the foreseeable future.

    Until then, it's "make someone else change or pay so that I can keep my perks."

    1. Re:I'll believe they are serious when... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Generally, intelligent people concerned about AGW have not been suggesting measures that would trash the economy, for various good reasons. Also, what makes you think they're going to continue to produce CO2 as usual while calling for others to sacrifice?

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    2. Re:I'll believe they are serious when... by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      Air travel is not a total luxury. Lots of people have to travel, and if they're traveling alone there's no real environmental advantage to driving. Over long distances, flying becomes more attractive, as aircraft are more efficient at cruising altitude while the delay of driving mounts up.

      Moreover, we aren't trying to crash the economy and return to technology that can support maybe a billion or two humans on this planet. It's worthwhile slowing carbon emissions down while we do more research and development. We're not going to get all fossil fuels abolished for a long time to come, and we need to develop technology (carbon sequestration, geoengineering, whatever) to make up for that.

      My carbon footprint is trivial, and completely eliminating it will do nothing noticeable for the planet. The only way any reduction I make can be significant is in concert with hundreds of millions of other people, and that generally requires government action, so I don't see where the "authoritarian" comes in for Heinberg. However, I don't take anyone who is flat against GMO food too seriously. You'll notice he wants scrutiny of global trade agreements, but not of GMO.

      We've had environmental problems before. We got a lot of people interested in helping out, but the way we got results was government action.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  43. 8 In 10 People ... by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    OK 8 In 10 People ....yes but what do the cats think?

  44. Re:Armchair heroics by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

    1 in 10 of them are willing to put the effort in and change their behaviour.

    And 1 in 1000 are willing to switch to cold showers. But somebody else should make changes.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  45. Whatever by whoda · · Score: 1

    So, what you are saying is: Nearly 9 in 10 people are complete liars.

  46. Lemmings by U8MyData · · Score: 1

    First, I really don't know what to think about climate change vs. solar influence vs. normal centuries long ebbs and flows of our 4 billion year old planet. However, my gut tell me this. If you say it long enough and beat the drum loud enough, then whatever your message it must true, right?

  47. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by budgenator · · Score: 3, Informative

    And while the medieval warm period was, in fact, a thing (with parts, notably the coastal regions, of Greenland being rather greener than today)- it was so incredibly localized that it did not affect global average temperatures at all.

    Research is indicating that the medieval warm period was much more global than those with financial interests in it being regional will admit.

    Observed increases in ocean heat content (OHC) and temperature are robust indicators of global warming during the past several decades. We used high-resolution proxy records from sediment cores to extend these observations in the Pacific 10,000 years beyond the instrumental record. We show that water masses linked to North Pacific and Antarctic intermediate waters were warmer by 2.1 ± 0.4C and 1.5 ± 0.4C, respectively, during the middle Holocene Thermal Maximum than over the past century. Both water masses were ~0.9C warmer during the Medieval Warm period than during the Little Ice Age and ~0.65 warmer than in recent decades. Although documented changes in global surface temperatures during the Holocene and Common era are relatively small, the concomitant changes in OHC are large. Pacific Ocean Heat Content During the Past 10,000 Years Science 01 Nov 2013:
    Vol. 342, Issue 6158, pp. 617-621
    DOI: 10.1126/science.1240837

    Humans, Human Civilization and the environment all did much better at warmer temperatures.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  48. Re:Need smarter zombies. by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

    If you would be patient, we're almost done with that. Autonomous electric vehicles will be hitting the streets in the next two years, and they will be so cheap that no-one will ever want to own a car again

    LOL, so they have global warming on your planet too?

    --
    "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  49. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

    Sorry, but when was Greenland green?

    Geez, it ain't hard to find....:

    To investigate the possibility of climatic cooling, scientists drilled into the Greenland ice caps to obtain core samples. The oxygen isotopes from the ice caps suggested that the Medieval Warm Period had caused a relatively milder climate in Greenland, lasting from roughly 800 to 1200. However, from 1300 or so the climate began to cool. By 1420, the "Little Ice Age" had reached intense levels in Greenland.

    They took these measurements from ice cores. Does it not stand to reason that the ice in those cores existed at the time being measured? See where I'm going with this?

    --
    "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  50. re: nuclear and cost by King_TJ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The main reason nuclear has been so costly isn't because the technology itself isn't feasible.
    The extremely high costs have historically had a lot to do with politics, fear of nuclear energy, and contractors taking advantage of the fact that it's "scary stuff".

    Almost every time a new plant is schedule to be constructed, it turns into a big battle with groups fighting against it and requires expensive site surveys, safety studies and more. (Well, perhaps not in Communist countries where the people don't really get any say-so anyway -- but safety seems to take a back seat to just getting something up and running anyway, in those situations - a la Chernobyl.)

    Here in the U.S. - there has often been a lot of poor long-term projecting of energy needs, also contributing to high cost of nuclear plants. For example, the power plant not far from where I used to live in St. Louis, MO, Callaway County Nuclear plant, had a whole lot of issues in the past including no need to operate it at above 50% or so of its generation capacity because power demands just didn't grow as quickly as they anticipated when it was constructed. (I also recall some issues where construction materials for the cooling pipes didn't wind up meeting the promised standards, leading to an inability to run the plant at full power until that was redone.) It received the top safety rating for risk of damage due to an earthquake though, and is apparently running quite profitably today. That didn't stop a lawsuit in 2014 though, trying to prevent it from getting its operating license renewed, over new rules allowing above-ground storage of spent fuel after years of failed efforts to build a permanent national storage site in Nevada.

    The people who keep arguing we should use other "renewables" refuse to recognize the fact that wind and solar power aren't "always on" power sources. You generate nothing after dark with solar, and the wind doesn't blow constantly at a good rate of speed. The work-around for that always revolves around ideas of implementing large storage batteries, which greatly increases the cost of those projects and reduces reliability. (Batteries are based on chemical reactions and they wear out. Refurbishing them amounts to gutting them out and rebuilding their insides, making that process almost equivalent to just manufacturing new batteries.)

  51. Re:Oh good grief! by tbannist · · Score: 1

    Look up the sunspot cycle and you'll have your answer, if, you are willing to be open minded and believe it!

    It sure likes you are ready to believe just about anything.

    --
    Fanatically anti-fanatical
  52. Stupid by dcw3 · · Score: 1

    If you're naïve enough to believe that the world is ready for a global organization that can enforce it's wishes on sovereign nations, maybe you should consider some of the idiocy that's come from the UN previously.

    https://www.unwatch.org/from-t...
    https://www.globalpolicy.org/c...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
       

    --
    Just another day in Paradise
  53. Re:More than talk by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

    As soon as liberals evacuate Florida, New york city, and coastal California due to rising oceans I'll believe they are serious about global warming.

    Until then they are full of shit.

    So, they're full of shit until the effects of what they've been warning of get so bad they have to evacuate their homes? Really, that's your bar?

    --
    "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  54. Re:Armchair heroics by mccalli · · Score: 1

    And again - some make-up of that 50% or 90% will be 'green' policies. If I 45% agreed with you before, but now like your climate change policies it might tip me over the 50% needed to vote for you.

  55. Re: More than talk by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

    Also, they could lead by example. Ride the bus, get your tubes tied (and your kids' & grandkids' tubes tied if you have them) and start paying an additional 20% income tax to combat climate change. No more private jets. Do that for a year and the rest of us might be willing to go half as far.

    Let me guess: You think Al Gore is a hypocrite because he flies on planes.

    --
    "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  56. Call me when... by sycodon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...Algore, Leo, Obama, and all the other celebrity AGW champions jetting around the world Signalling their Virtue are ready to curtail their lifestyles.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:Call me when... by sycodon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Please enlighten us. Have these people moved into a two bedroom home and started driving a Prius?

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    2. Re:Call me when... by greythax · · Score: 3, Funny

      Good work sir! Thank God you are hear to point out the hypocrisy of a few individuals. Surely that will fix AGW! You are doing God's work, sir!

  57. Re: nuclear and cost by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2, Informative

    In the UK the cost has little to do with protesters or politics. In fact the UK government has been extremely generous to nuclear operators - it build all the original plants, then gave them to commercial operators basically for free, with a guarantee that it would pick up most of the cost of decommissioning, plus the usual subsidies like free insurance.

    The problem are all to do with the technology itself. For example, the long term profitability of new nuclear is in doubt as renewable energy is replacing it. That's why the people building this new plant demanded a guarantee of extremely high prices and guaranteed sales for the lifetime of the plant. In Europe the decommissioning requirements are stricter too, because land is more valuable here, requiring the site to be made habitable again rather than just burying the reactor there until it becomes safe enough to move.

    As for renewables, fortunately Europe is quite large and has plenty of distributed wind power. While batteries do wear out, they don't wear out as fast as people think and as we move to electric vehicles there will be vast numbers of them that can be re-used before being recycled. There are also other forms of energy storage. More investment is needed of course, which is why people want the subsidies for nuclear redirected.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  58. UN Survey says AGW is dead last. by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

    I will have to call b.s. on this survey from a newly founded global warming alarmist organisation. You want a real survey, here it is : http://data.myworld2015.org/ Climate change is DEAD LAST.

  59. Re:Armchair heroics by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

    In other words, people being FORCED to change their behavior. If people were truly WILLING to make changes to their lifestyle, you would not need rules, people would do these things without them.

    So, you have noticed that people generally don't change until circumstances force them to. Congratulations, welcome to reality. Do you pretend you are not also this way? Sure, if men were angels no government would be necessary. And if my aunt were a man she'd be my uncle. You can be pissed about it if you want, but it changes nothing and only results in you being pissed off.

    --
    "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
  60. Re:Armchair heroics by pipingguy · · Score: 1

    And everybody wants to save the planet but no one wants to help mom with the dishes.

  61. Re:CO2 is good for The plants by Straumli+Perversion · · Score: 1

    According to this page: https://www.kane.co.uk/knowledge-centre/what-are-safe-levels-of-co-and-co2-in-rooms, the maximum allowed workplace exposure limit is 5000ppm, and the hard-limit appears to be 40000ppm. People start reporting drowsiness or bad air at 1000 to 2000ppm.

  62. Not a "risk" anymore by gweihir · · Score: 2

    A risk is something that has an element of potentiality. In the case of climate change, the catastrophe is already assured. The only question is whether it will be severe, very severe or "collapse of civilization"-level. Calling a "risk" is, once again, making it sound a lot more harmless than it is.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  63. Re:More than talk by cyberchondriac · · Score: 1

    But then we won't be entertained by any more, " crazy Florida man does xyz " stories.
    Save Orlando at least. DisneyWorld and Universal are there.

    --

    Look back up at my post, now look back down, you're on the Internet. Now look back up. I'm a signature.
  64. Real aliens are like by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    I don't even admit to being from this planet!

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  65. Too late by OrangeTide · · Score: 2

    We had a chance to make a real difference with climate change some 20 to 30 years ago. We chose to argue about it instead of developing the science and executing a plan. No use arguing about it anymore, climate deniers can say whatever they want and I simply don't care. They'll eat their words within their own lifetime, which will be at least something they can eat during the cycles of famine.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  66. Exactly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Exactly what I was going to say, but I will add that this is what allows us to conclude that Conservatives are less educated than Liberals.

    1. Re:Exactly by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      I always wonder if this is cause of effect.
      Way back when, when I was in college, Liberalism was consistently pounded into me by my professors, sometimes in ways that seemed unrelated to the course at hand. I can only recall one professor who declared herself conservative, and this was outside of class during extra credit group study.
      So are college educated people more liberal, or does going to college involve an indoctrination of sorts?

  67. Re: More than talk by pastafazou · · Score: 1

    Al Gore, Barack Obama, Leonardo DiCaprio, and many more ARE hypocrites. They produce more CO2 in a single year than I have produced in my entire life. If they're serious about how catastrophic it's going to be, why haven't they ceased their own air travel? They can attend meetings via teleconference, travel by electric vehicles/sailboats, and vacation locally. Why is it all the climate conferences are attended physically by thousands of air travellers? They should be via teleconference only!

  68. Re:Armchair heroics by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    The original poster stated that saying that "8 in 10 are willing to change their standard of living if it would prevent future climate catastrophe" does not mean anything. That in fact 10 out of 10 are not willing to do anything unless forced to do something. mcalli used the fact that in the UK the politicians had forced people to do something as evidence that people were willing to do something without being forced.

    I am not pissed, except at someone claiming that people support the government forcing people to do something is evidence that people are willing to change without being forced to change.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  69. After the Warning = Was Re:Let me help by atrimtab · · Score: 2

    James Burke (creator of the "The Day The Universe Changed") covered a lot of the issues with methane back in a 1990 TV program called "After the Warming:"

    http://www.nytimes.com/1990/11...

    which the farming and petroleum industry worked vigorously to discredit because both create or leak large amounts of methane into the environment as side-effects/externalities/pollution of their profit making businesses.

    Looking up info on that program now provides more links to FUD spun by industry groups than accurate information. There are errors in this now 27 year old program, but the basic points are sound.

    Organizations never want to pay for the externalities, negative side-effects and pollution their activities create. That will have to change or we'll need to get off this planet before we are buried in externalities.

    That is not anti-business. That's a call for responsible enterprises that properly resolve the externalities they create.

    --
    Facebook is billions of individual "Skinner Boxes." And if you use it you are the pigeon!
    1. Re:After the Warning = Was Re:Let me help by mellon · · Score: 1

      You're talking about a different thing than I am talking about. Fossil methane is a problem. Methane produced by farms is not. It's a missed opportunity at present, for the most part.

  70. Catastrophic risk by mattwarden · · Score: 1

    Driving is a catastrophic risk. Eating and not eating are catastrophic risks. Breathing air the composition of which is untested is a catastrophic risk.

  71. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    "Milder" and "Greenland" is like "moderate" and "Westboro Baptist Church".

    Yes, there may be moderates among them. But their moderate is still in the batshit insane religious nutjob category.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  72. Re:Armchair heroics by Ranbot · · Score: 1

    A different and less flamey way to say this is what people say they will do and what they actually do are often very different. You can't trust people to be honest about themselves in a poll and many polls are essentially useless to predict actual behavior. This is well know to any researcher studying behavior (e.g. psychology, sociology, marketing, politics, economics, etc.) where they often purposely avoid direct polls, will trick study participants, and/or find other data sets that better indicate what people actually do and think.

  73. Re: nuclear and cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    There are those that will insist nuclear can't be economical even though the existing fleet in the US and France and other countries has provided economical energy for many years. Unfortunately, there are some that have decided no matter what the facts are, the only solution they will accept is wind and solar and the next wonderful unproven source like tidal. They will argue with false facts and NEVER EVER talk about the challenges those energy sources face. They act like its all been figured out because the headlines sound so wonderful. Most of the biggest Solar Wind proponents can't even adequately describe the challenges.

  74. Re:Modders here are shitbags by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

    Thanks for the tip, other AC, but I am not planning to join your group. I have never posted anonymously and will not start now, much less out of fear to anyone or anything. Also bear in mind that the moderators are (at least, theoretically) randomly-selected logged-in users with a good track record. Until some weeks ago, I used to get mod points quite regularly, but not so much lately (more logged-in users?).

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  75. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by greythax · · Score: 1

    Humans, Human Civilization and the environment all did much better at warmer temperatures.

    Better than what? Seems to me with all the science and education and, you know, no black plague we are doing pretty good, and would like to keep it that way. We have identified a threat with the same tool that got us to this halcyon age. Stop trying to pretend science is panic or conspiracy.

  76. There's just a lot less methane by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

    Yes, methane emissions are worse per ton than CO2.

    But as ShanghaiBill says, there's just a lot less methane being released -- at least until the tundra melts.

  77. I hope you get fat by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

    Because I can only do so much

    Clearly.

    I could open a window, but I'm gonna turn on the AC instead!

  78. Re:Modders here are shitbags by HBI · · Score: 1

    It's not fear, it's the license to troll. With a gazillion sock puppet accounts, those with no life have the advantage. The shitbags deserve the incessant trolling and didn't play nice, so here we are.

    --
    HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
  79. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by budgenator · · Score: 1

    Better than what? Seems to me with all the science and education and, you know, no black plague we are doing pretty good, and would like to keep it that way. We have identified a threat with the same tool that got us to this halcyon age. Stop trying to pretend science is panic or conspiracy.

    The Black Plague happened during the Dark Ages, also known as LIA, Little Ice Age, one of the things that lead me to realize that warmer is better.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  80. Re:Modders here are shitbags by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

    It sounds like fear to me. I prefer to not post in articles about certain issues because of not feeling like getting involved in sad situations. If I thought that there is a real problem as the one you are describing, I would certainly fight it (and/or eventually stop using the site). I like Slashdot and am not willing to let a bunch of virtual mobsters to convert a sensible community into a fear-based crap.

    I am not sure if I fully understand your post. Are you implying that you (or your other accounts) are the author of the last down-vote I got? Just in case that there is even the slightest doubt, note that this is the only account which I have ever used (+ have always modded fairly and by exclusively focusing on the post content, never on the author; I think that I have down-modded just once or twice) and all the up/down mods I have ever got have been voluntarily given by people who I don't know (or at least didn't tell me about that). I have never "trolled" (still not even sure about the exact meaning of this expression; I mostly hear it from very aggressive people trying to attack others who don't agree with them), I am just trying to enjoy the site, show my ideas, meet people like me, share knowledge/learn, etc. You know? Be part of a community which I like, where I am not sure that you, your fears and expectations belong.

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  81. Re:Armchair heroics by david_thornley · · Score: 1

    That's one of the things government does: get everybody doing the same thing when necessary.

    --
    "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  82. Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

    Human CO2 output is equivalent to one or more Yellowstone-sized supervolcano eruptions per year. Source is Gerlach, '08 if memory serves. He has written various papers and articles comparing human activity with historical volcanism.

    Now, I'm sure I don't know about the resolution of various proxies and datasets, and unless you have some published research on the matter your opinion is worthless too. However, unless you can point me out any past period in Earth's history where multiple supervolcanos were going off on an annual basis, I'm afraid the idea that this CO2 spike is happening at an unprecedented rate has to go unchallenged.

    Frankly I don't know where you get off lying about this subject.

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    1. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      First off, if you dont know what you are talking about, how can you come to the conclusion that I am lying? Or are you just mad I don't agree with your belief? Second, I wasnt talking about CO2, so your whole post is just a long rant with no point. You can deny my opinion and science all you like, but high and low resolution problems in various proxy datasets is well known. That you do not know about them, does not make then non existant. You can see a study here that tries to improve temperature resolution by using multiple proxies from the same area. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/p...

    2. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Why would CO2 not be relevant to this topic? Unless you're one of those "CO2 doesn't trap heat" liars. I mean, I'm not particular about what brand of liar you are, really, just so it's out there.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    3. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      No one said CO2 is irrelevant. I said your reply was. Saying GHG are the highest ever, does not mean the end of the world is coming. Observations do not demonstrate that it is. CO2 heat trapping properties are logarithmic. Which means, to trap the same amount of heat 400ppm does, you will need to double de CO2 concentration to 800ppm. The effects per molecule are less the more you have. Also, studies have been trying to determine the climate sensitivity to a double of CO2 for a long time now. The only consistency whe get from all these papers over the last 25 years is that as we learn more, that sensitivity is on a downward trend. This means, the more we know, the more we are realising that climate sensitivity to a double of CO2 gets lower and lower and lower. Currently probably somewhere between 0.5C to 1.1C for every doubling of CO2. That my friend is what we call, not much to worry about. It indicates CO2 is not really the driver of the slight increase in global average temperatures we see. In short, you cant call people liars when you just dont understand the subject. Climate isnt black and white, its complex. And complexity comes with nuance and a spectrum of colors. I dont really care what your particular about as you lack the knowledge to debate this subject. I'm sorry your beliefs do not agree with science.

    4. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      In order to dispute the AGW consensus you basically have to be a liar. Here is your lie:

      This means, the more we know, the more we are realising that climate sensitivity to a double of CO2 gets lower and lower and lower. Currently probably somewhere between 0.5C to 1.1C for every doubling of CO2.

      Try 4-6 degrees C. See wikipedia or the IPCC for more info.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    5. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      Try actual peer reviewed studies.

      https://landshape.files.wordpr...

      Call me a liar all you want, but you would also be calling all the climate scientists who published these studies (many of which are found in the IPCC) liars too.

      There is no consensus.

      It would do you good to do some research, might just help you understand that Wikipedia and the MSM are just pushing a narrative.

    6. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Anything less than the no-feedback forcing is unphysical. The lower bound is fixed at 3.7 w/m^2 per doubling, generally held to be about 1 degree C. AR5 had the likely arange at 1.5-4.5k, with a fairly long-tailed distribution. Generally given the H2O feedback low estimates are less plausible.

      The exact value of TCR/ECS have yet to be determined, because that value relies on computer modeling. The lower bound for no-feedback forcing is given by basic physical laws of radiative transfer.

      Wikipedia may or may not be pushing a narrative. I'm not aware of what the MSM is doing. I don't tend to assign much faith in things unless they have been fairly long established in the scientific literature. Unfortunately AGW is one of those things, and there is no reason to believe that climate sensitivity is anywhere near the lower bound.

      (and if your response to that is, "How do we know there's a lower bound?" you don't know enough physics to have this conversation)

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    7. Re:Supervolcanoes by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      The mental gymnastics you are doing to justify your comments is amazing.

      AR5 was 4 years ago. Based on research compiled from 8 to 4 years ago.

      The point I made, that you cannot refute, is that in the last 25 years (and more) most studies have been revising climate sensitivity downwards as we know more.

      It wont go to zero, that is obvious.

      AGW is not a set in stone science and you know this, you just choose to ignore that.

      The reason to consider or at the very least pursue research concerning the no-feedback lowerbound is because of observation.

      When nearly 30% of the CO2 increase has happened over the last 20 years and at the very same time, except for El Nino events, global average temperatures have flatlined statisticaly, its a clear indication of the above.

      You know, all I'm saying is, there is no reason to be alarmist. There is no obvious catastrophic even coming. This needs to continue being researched and we learn more everyday that demonstrates things arent as tire as Hansen, Schmidt, Karl and Mann would want us to believe.

      The fact that you are making a strong effort to deny that, is what makes your comments and train of though un scientific.

    8. Re: Supervolcanoes by JWW · · Score: 1

      Wrong. The climate sensitivity of CO2 is just as the gp post stated. The 4-6, and btw it's continually being down graded, it's now 2.5-4 sensitivity number is based on an Assumed positive feedback effect that has not yet been identified.

      The gp post is completely correct on the impact of CO2 specifically.

    9. Re:Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      The reason to consider or at the very least pursue research concerning the no-feedback lowerbound is because of observation./quote.
      Nope. The lower bound is due to the laws of thermodynamics. As I said, that you don't understand why there is one means you don't understand the subject well enough to speak about it.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    10. Re: Supervolcanoes by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      There are a number of feedback effects involving the water cycle, whose contributions have been measured, not assumed.

      based on an Assumed positive feedback effect that has not yet been identified

      This is a lie.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  83. Re:eight in ten people believe in ghosts by AaronW · · Score: 2

    Except we've hijacked that cooling period and are very quickly warming. https://xkcd.com/1732/

    --
    This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
  84. Al Who? by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    It's been ten years and you're still harping on about Al Gore? Ten years and that's all you know about climate science? Ten years of that being the only thing you have to say about the subject? Did your brain ossify at an early age or something?

    Christ almighty man, get some different lies at least.

    --
    Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
  85. Re:Push Polls by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    You know, the rest of the world is wondering just this every time there is a "discussion" about global warming in the US. But then again, we're usually also shaking our head over the fact that you're the only country outside the Islamist world that takes crap like Creationism serious.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  86. Re:Yeah by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    I like that idea. You do that, take those 11 people and ... what do you mean, they don't let you?

    I know this is alien to you, but you might have to learn that the hard way: People don't like to be told what to do. No, not even by the all-knowing, ever-so-wise US.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  87. Re:Armchair heroics by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

    No, the problem is that many people view the changes they're being asked to make as useless / feel good only.
    For example, if I told you to give me all of your money and I can guarantee I would find a cure for cancer--you'd be skeptical, and rightly so.
    People for years have been lectured on what's "good" for them, often finding later it was wrong.
    Why would you be surprised that many are skeptical now?

    Nuclear Power produces no CO2 emissions. Yet I've had self-identified greens almost foaming at the mouth to tell me how bad it is, because RADIATION. Then, in the next sentence, they're lecturing me on the science of global warning and how limiting methane emissions from cows in California will solve climate change.
    Everyone's illogical on the subject, depending their personal weirdness.

  88. Re:Armchair heroics by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

    oddly enough, I consider it my duty to always lie to anyone conducting a poll.

  89. Re:Armchair heroics by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

    I'm often surprisingly shocked by this:
    How many people go on and on about global warming, or refugees, or any other number of hot button topics-- but won't help a friend fix a car, or help their family with a small task, or find it OK to steal things from a a store because "they're corporate".

    There's a radio personality the other day who always harps on animal rights and refugees, and just admitted a few years ago that they helped a friend steal a car.

    You know who I trust? the one who helps mom with the dishes.

  90. Re: nuclear and cost by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

    "The main reason nuclear has been so costly isn't because the technology itself isn't feasible."

    A lot of _that_ has to do with the conventional uranium cycle being pretty rotten at producing electricity and pretty good at producing nasty byproduct stuff which happens to be handy to build nuclear weapons with - which means paranoid levels of security are required - and that's before you get into the issue of mixing radioactives and water under high pressure. (steam explosions and leaks happen. It's a fact of life. The best fix is not to mix them)

    Thorium cycle is a lot harder to weaponise and a lot easier to generate electricity with. Molten Salt systems were already proven in the cold war but discarded in the rush to make more bombs. Thankfully the chinese and others are now reopening investigations into the technology which should have been at the core of the civil nuclear program from the 1970s onwards.

    Fusion might happen but it;s unlikely to be in my grandchildrens' lifetime. We need to get on with decarbonising _now_. Nuclear waste is a vastly overblown issue and with MSRs the volume is reduced by a factorof 100+ anyway.